Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-22-24 | Colorado +1.5 v. Florida | Top | 102-100 | Win | 100 | 9 h 38 m | Show |
NCAA Friday Colorado Buffaloes +1.5 vs Florida Gators @ 4:30 ET - I have been riding the Buffaloes hot streak for awhile now and I will not stop now! We saw the SEC struggle yesterday as 3 teams already got knocked out including #3 Kentucky upset by a #14 seed! The only SEC winner yesterday was Tennessee and that was a #15 versus #2 mismatch. As for the Pac-12, they are rolling. Note that Utah also advanced in the NIT and here in the NCAA, Arizona and Washington State and Oregon all advanced. Colorado has won 9 of 10 games and the only loss was to the Ducks who have a great coach in Altman and know how to win at Tourney time. They showed that gain yesterday against South Carolina. So no shame in that one loss for the Buffaloes last 10 games and once this Buffs team started proving they can win away from home, their confidence level was boosted greatly. This team is truly starting to believe and is playing with a ton of confidence. That will lead the way again in this one and I look for Florida to struggle again on the defensive end. Yes, the Gators can put up big points but this Florida team has allowed at least 79 points in 10 of last 12 games. This is the time of year when defense really matters. I know the Gators offense is strong but their points against numbers leave a lot to be desired. As for the Buffaloes, they have allowed 58 points or less in 4 of last 5 games and that included solid foes like Boise State, Utah and Washington State. Both teams should score well here but in the end, this Colorado team certainly appears more capable of getting enough stops for the win. COLORADO +1.5 |
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03-22-24 | Northern Ireland v. Romania OVER 2 | Top | 1-1 | Push | 0 | 12 h 52 m | Show |
Rotation #222629: International Friendly: Friday OVER 2 -145 in Romania vs Northern Ireland @ 3:45 ET - The ability to have a 2 here, even at extra juice, is a huge value as 2 is such a key number in soccer totals. Romania is a solid money line favorite here at home but I also foresee an aggressive Northern Ireland side making the net ripple in this one. Hence, I am expecting at least a 2-1 final here. Note that Northern Ireland shutout Romania once in the last 5 meetings but in the other 4 meetings Romania scored an average of 1.5 goals. Also, Northern Ireland has scored a goal in each of the two most recent meetings. 4 of last 6 Northern Ireland matches have totaled at least 2 goals and the 4 that did actually averaged 4 goals apiece! Romania has scored at least one goal in 12 of last 14 matches across all competitions and averaged scoring 2.3 goals per match in those dozen matches. Given the above, you can see why I am looking for a 2-1 type match here and we have the added value of this total at 2 goals readily available in the marketplace. OVER 2 -145 in Romania |
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03-22-24 | Scotland v. Netherlands OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 26 m | Show |
Rotation #222645: International Friendly: Friday OVER 2.5 -120 in Netherlands vs Scotland @ 3:45 ET - The last meeting was also a friendly and was a 2-2 draw. I expect a similar result here. 10 of last 12 Netherlands matches across all competitions have totaled at least 3 goals. In just looking at their last 25 matches, Netherlands has scored in all but ONE of the 25 and averaged 2.2 goals scored per match. Scotland has seen 14 of last 19 matches total at least 3 goals. Scotland has scored an average of 1.8 goals per match in their last 25 matches. Given all of the above, you can see why I expect to see the goals to fly here in an international friendly that may not feature intense defense. Another 2-2 entertaining draw would not surprise me in the least. OVER 2.5 -120 in Netherlands |
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03-22-24 | Czech Republic v. Norway OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 24 m | Show |
Rotation #222633: International Friendly: Friday OVER 2.5 in Norway vs Czech Republic @ 1 ET - Historically there has been scoring from each club in each of the last 3 meetings and 3 of the last 4 meetings have totaled at least 3 goals. Norway has scored an average of 3 goals in their last 7 matches across all competitions and they are on their home pitch here. Czech Republic has one embarrassing shutout loss in last 8 matches across all competitions but scored an average of 2 goals in the other 7 matches. It does look like Norway should have both Haaland and Odegaard available for this one which further boosts their attacking power on their home pitch. Even without them I would still like the over here given the above scoring numbers for each of these clubs and the fact that this match is a friendly and could be lacking in defensive intensity. OVER 2.5 in Norway |
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03-22-24 | Northwestern +4 v. Florida Atlantic | Top | 77-65 | Win | 100 | 7 h 12 m | Show |
NCAA Friday Northwestern Wildcats +4 vs Florida Atlantic Owls @ 12:15 ET - These are two very good offenses but what I like about the Wildcats here is they actually play defense quite well for extended stretches while the Owls almost never do. Additionally we have 4 points to work with here too. I feel this is a fantastic value for grabbing Northwestern and the points. The Wildcats enter this one having won 6 of 10 games. In those 10 games they had one high-scoring loss to Iowa 87-80 (one outlier) but allowed an average of only 64 points in the other 9 games! Conversely, FAU is 5-3 L8 games and there was no outlier as they allowed 77 points in these 8 games and consistently allowed big points. In a win or go home game in the NCAA Tourney against two teams most experts view as equal, I am happy to grab the better defensive team and the 4 points! Also, the last two losses for Florida Atlantic were to a Memphis team that lost 8 of 15 games to wrap the season and also to a Temple team that went 5-13 in conference action this season. Northwestern's last 3 losses were to Iowa, Michigan State and Wisconsin! All 3 of those are Big Dance teams and the Hawkeyes and Spartans advance already with wins yesterday while the Badgers are favored to win today on Friday as well. All signs above are pointing to the fact that the Owls are over-valued here and the Wildcats are undervalued! I will gladly take the generous points here as added insurance though I am making this wager expecting an outright underdog upset win. NORTHWESTERN +4 |
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03-21-24 | Blackhawks v. Ducks OVER 6 | Top | 0-4 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 14 m | Show |
NHL Thursday OVER 6 in Anaheim Ducks vs Chicago Blackhawks @ 10 ET - Both these teams have been allowing a lot of goals. So even though the Ducks have not been scoring great, I do look for Anaheim to get going here. As for the Blackhawks, they have been better in the offensive zone of late. These teams last met a week ago and that one totaled 9 goals! Chicago is actually 4-3 last 7 games and has scored an average of 4 goals per game during this stretch! The problem for the Blackhawks is similar to the Ducks - they can not stop anyone. Chicago has allowed 4 goals per game last 10 games. Anaheim has allowed 5 goals per game during their current 7-game losing streak. Given the poor defense and goalie work that these two have been displaying, this total set at 6 goals is a great value. OVER 6 in Anaheim |
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03-21-24 | NC State v. Texas Tech -4.5 | Top | 80-67 | Loss | -120 | 16 h 39 m | Show |
NCAA Thursday Texas Tech Red Raiders (-) vs NC State Wolfpack @ 9:40 ET - Give credit where credit is due and NC State had a helluva run through the ACC Tourney. However, they were fortunate to force OT against a late-game mistake-prone Virginia team. Then they beat rival North Carolina despite the Tar Heels having 16 more shot attempts from the field in that game. Also, the Pack made 6 of 8 threes while UNC took 30 threes but made only 8 of them! Again, give the Wolfpack credit but the fact remains both the Cavaliers and Heels played a role in giving victories away in each game. The result is line value here. NC State is a little overvalued now and Texas Tech, knocked out the Big 12 Tourney by Houston (one of the nations best), is now undervalued as a result. The Red Raiders had a better regular season than NC State but the Wolfpack got hot in the Tourney. This is a new tourney now however! Though Texas Tech has a new coach this season in Grant McCasland, he has a 375-131 career coaching record and has had success every step of the way no matter where he has been and what level the program was. Junior College, Division II and now Division 1 for the past 8 seasons. McCasland is a winner. Kevin Keatts has been solid for NC State but Keatts is 0-4 SU all time in NCAA tournament action - twice with NC St and twice with UNC Wilmington. 11 of 14 Wolfpack SU losses have been by at least 4 points this season! 19 of 23 Red Raiders wins have been by 6 or more points this season. Lay it! TEXAS TECH -4.5 |
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03-21-24 | Pelicans v. Magic +120 | Top | 106-121 | Win | 120 | 9 h 38 m | Show |
NBA Thursday Orlando Magic +120 vs New Orleans Pelicans @ 7:10 ET - The Pelicans are a short road favorite here and I understand the line but this has opened up a great home dog opportunity I will not pass up. Orlando was a .500 team in late January! They have since gone 17-5! Also, the Magic have won 7 of last 8 home games. As for the Pelicans, I have plenty of respect for them and they have been hot also. However, New Orleans - with very few exceptions - has struggled on the road in most match-ups when facing winning and healthy teams. Orlando is a winning team and is healthy right now and they are playing well. Pelicans have road losses to the Mavericks, Bucks, Celtics, Nuggets, Lakers and Pacers since the calendar flipped the page to 2024. How do the Magic compare to the blended home records of those teams? Well Orlando has 24 home wins this season and those 6 teams have an average of 25.5 home wins this season. You see my point? The Magic at home and healthy are right within range of those teams that the Pelicans have losses to the last couple months when traveling. I am grabbing the home dog value here. OLRANDO +120 |
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03-21-24 | Flyers +1.5 v. Hurricanes | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 51 m | Show |
NHL Thursday Philadelphia Flyers +1.5 -120 @ Carolina Hurricanes @ 7 ET - The Hurricanes are playing really well and have won 4 straight games. However, prior to a comfortable 4-0 win in most recent home game, the Canes actually had only 10 wins by a multi-goal margin in their last 27 home games. The Flyers are a scrappy team that is tough to beat by a multi-goal margin so this is actually a great spot for a dog puck line play. Philly, ever since the All-Star break, has had just 4 losses by more than 1 goal in 19 games! So, as you can see, in looking at Hurricanes home games and Flyers games overall, the odds favor a tight game here in which the Flyers hang around all game long as they so often do. They have a legit shot at the post-season and continue to play with a lot of energy and passion even as they battle through injuries. PHILADELPHIA +1.5 -120 |
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03-21-24 | Colorado State v. Texas -2 | Top | 44-56 | Win | 100 | 12 h 21 m | Show |
NCAA Thursday Texas Longhorns -2 vs Colorado State Rams @ 6:50 ET - For whatever reason, Virginia was not ready when they faced Colorado State. It was an embarrassment and the Cavaliers offense was pathetic and they missed the last 15 field goal attempts they took in the first half of that game. That was a 1st half in which they ended up scoring just 14 points. That is an embarrassment and while some credit goes to the Rams, the ugly margin of that game had a lot to do with a Cavs team that was ill-prepared. That is not happening again here. Now Colorado State faces a Longhorns team that will be ready and that plays in one of the toughest conferences in the land. The Big 12 has 6 Top 25 teams and the MWC has 2. The Mountain West is a solid conference but this goes to show how the markets can sometimes get a big misaligned on a game and that is the situation we have here in my opinion. The Longhorns off a tough tight loss to Kansas State in the Big 12 Tourney and UT is 9-2 SU this season when they are off a loss. As for Colorado State, they just beat a Cavaliers team that gave an embarrassing effort. Prior to that they did have a nice win over a solid Nevada team but went 3-4 in their other 7 games since the 21st of February. Those 3 wins were against 3 of the bottom-feeders in MWC - Wyoming, San Jose State and Air Force. Those 3 teams went a combined 12-42 in the MWC this season. The Rams are a solid team...but they are not as strong as the Longhorns! This is a HUGE line VALUE! Lay the bargain number here! TEXAS -2 |
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03-21-24 | Oregon +1.5 v. South Carolina | Top | 87-73 | Win | 100 | 12 h 32 m | Show |
NCAA Thursday: Oregon Ducks +1.5 -120/-125 or Pick'em -110 vs South Carolina Gamecocks @ 4 ET - Take a look at the other 11 vs 6 match-ups on the card today. The 6 seed is favored solidly in each one with Texas Tech -5 and BYU -9.5 so the odds makers must be crazy here with this line near a pick'em, right? Of course not! This game is priced atypical to an 11 seed vs 6 seed match-up with good reason. For starters, the only loss that red hot Colorado has in last 10 games was to this Oregon team in the Pac-12 Championship. That is the same Buffaloes team that just knocked off a solid Boise State last night in the First Four to advance. I know South Carolina just got embarrassed by Auburn in the SEC Tourney and would like to respond here. However, the Gamecocks also got drilled by Auburn in the regular season plus lost AT HOME to Tennessee in the regular season plus got embarrassed at Alabama too. Those are 3 of the best teams in the SEC so against strong teams, South Carolina has had some major slip-ups with 3 losses ALL by 27 or more points! That is the sign of a soft team when you can get beat that bad. I am hearing the talk that now SC is playing with a chip on their shoulder here. I don't care. They are playing a tough Ducks team and a chip on your shoulder is not what wins games. This is the first time the Gamecocks have been in the tourney since 2017. Oregon did lose both regular season games with Arizona this season but then knocked them out in the Conference Tourney. Also, same thing with how their season against Colorado went. They also split with Washington State and Utah which are the other 20+ win teams from the Pac-12. The Ducks have had good post-season success in terms of advancing whether NCAA or NIT. Also if you had to pick a coach for your team in College Hoops would you rather have Dana Altman (27 straight winning seasons!) or Lamont Paris (3 ugly seasons in 6 in his career)? Altman is one of the winningest active coaches in NCAA basketball and this is a mismatch in the coaching department in my opinion and yes the Ducks have the talent on the floor to match South Carolina. Don't let this line fool you! OREGON +1.5 -120/-125 or Pick'em -110 |
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03-21-24 | Estonia v. Poland OVER 2.75 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 20 m | Show |
Rotation #225417: Euro Champ Qualifying | Semi-Finals: Thursday OVER 2.75 -115 in Poland vs Estonia @ 3:45 ET - This total holding at 2.75 in some spots is leading to solid line value here as there are multiple indicators here for 3 or more goals in this one. Poland is so strong on their home pitch and are a heavy favorite here with good reason. They also have played much better since Probierz took the managerial reins from Santos. Poland fully capable of getting this one over the total all by themselves but I do expect Estonia to take advantage of a very aggressive Poland attack and so the big underdogs should make the net ripple once on the counterattack. Estonia is heavily outclassed here so they have no choice but to take some chances but this will leave them vulnerable in front of their own net as well! Poland is a 2-goal favorite on the goal line with good reason and will be relentless on the attack as they have been reminded of their most recent match-up with Estonia being a 1-0 loss back in 2018. This is payback and look for at least a 3-1 final. OVER 2.75 -115 in Poland |
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03-21-24 | Kazakhstan v. Greece OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 110 | 13 h 7 m | Show |
Rotation #225409: Euro Champ Qualifying | Semi-Finals: Thursday OVER 2.5 +110 in Greece vs Kazakhstan @ 3:45 ET - This is a great spot or an over. Kazakhstan has played well and is playing with a lot of confidence right now. That makes for a dangerous dog. However, Greece is a heavy 3 to 1 money line favorite for a reason here. Speaking of 3 to 1, that is the type of match I expect here and 2-1 would get the job done just as well. Take advantage of the plus money available on the over 2.5 here as Greece has scored an average of 2.2 goals in last 5 matches. Also, Kazakhstan has both scored and conceded in 4 straight matches and all 4 totaled at least 3 goals. Look for this run of overs to reach 5 in a row here! OVER 2.5 +110 in Greece |
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03-21-24 | Akron +12.5 v. Creighton | Top | 60-77 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 49 m | Show |
Rotation #739: NCAA Thursday Akron Zips +12.5 vs Creighton Bluejays @ 1:30 ET - Akron undervalued here and Creighton overpriced in my opinion. The Zips come from a weaker conference and do have 10 losses on the season. However, this is a solid team defensively and I expect the Bluejays to struggle to truly pull away in this game as a result. Note that Akron had only two blowout losses in their 10 defeats this season. The other 8 losses were all by a single digit margin and, in fact, by an average margin of just 3.6 points per game! Creighton, of course, is the stronger team and from the better conference. However, another key with the Bluejays year in and year out is they tend to shoot much better at home. Of course this is a neutral site game and note that Creighton blew away the weakling Hoyas and Blue Demons at Georgetown and DePaul, respectively but look at their other last 10 games away from home. The Jays went just 4-6 SU in those 10 games and also 3 of the 4 wins were by an average margin of just 4 points! This game is going to be a lot closer than you might be expect for a 14 seed vs 3 seed match-up! Groce is a solid head coach and was at Illinois in the Big Ten before coming to Akron. He has already enjoyed great success with the Zips. They were also in the Big Dance two years ago as a 13 seed and so they faced a 4 seed. They lost that game by just 4 points to a UCLA team that went on to the Sweet 16. I just can not envision a blowout here and am confidently grabbing the big points in this one. AKRON +12.5 |
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03-21-24 | Luxembourg v. Georgia OVER 2 | Top | 0-2 | Push | 0 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
Rotation #225401: Euro Champ Qualifying | Semi-Finals: Thursday OVER 2 -125 in Georgia vs Luxembourg @ 1 ET - This total has dropped from 2.25 to 2 because each club is without one attacker. However, there is still enough attacking talent on each side and so this is a value spot for a play on the over with this total held down at 2 goals. Luxembourg has a knack for lower-scoring matches but Georgia will dictate the flow of this match on their home pitch. That said, note that Georgia has seen each of last 6 matches total at least 3 goals and these 6 have averaged 5 goals apiece! Look for this run of overs to reach 7 in a row here! OVER 2 -125 in Georgia |
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03-20-24 | 76ers +8.5 v. Suns | Top | 102-115 | Loss | -100 | 19 h 53 m | Show |
NBA Wednesday Philadelphia 76ers +8.5 @ Phoenix Suns @ 10:10 ET - If you look at the board tonight there are 8 games and only 3 of them are match-ups in which both of the teams have a winning record. The Heat / Cavs appears to be an even match-up and Cleveland is favored by about their home court edge. Makes sense. The Celtics are a decent sized favorite over the Bucks but Boston is an insane 31-3 at home this season so that line makes sense as well. This Philly / Phoenix game is the outlier in my opinion. The Suns just have not been playing well enough to justify this large of a line. The Sixers, even while dealing with injuries, remain very scrappy and they have made some changes in their lineup/playing rotation of late that are already starting to pay dividends. That said, the 8.5 points here appears to be on the high side. The Suns have won just 6 of 13 games and the average margin of victory in the 6 wins, not including OT points, was just 6.5 points. Phoenix just has NOT been blowing teams away of late. The Sixers are just 5-5 L10 games but 4 of the 5 losses by a single digit margin! Don't be surprised when this one goes down to the wire. PHILADELPHIA +8.5 |
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03-20-24 | Colorado -2.5 v. Boise State | Top | 60-53 | Win | 100 | 16 h 11 m | Show |
Rotation #703: NCAA First Four Colorado Buffaloes -2.5 vs Boise State Broncos @ 9:10 ET - The Mountain West is solid but the Pac-12 is even tougher. I have plenty of respect for the Broncos but the Buffaloes really seemed to turn their season a dime when they finally figured out how to win away from home. Once they did that their confidence level exploded and they are not a different team. Yes they bowed out of the conference tourney when they lost to Oregon but the Ducks are a strong team. As solid as Boise State is, they lost all 3 HOME games against the other 3 teams that finished along with them in the top 4 of the MWC. The point is, if you can't win at home against the best teams in your conference, how can you expected to win in a neutral site game against an equally strong (if not stronger) Pac-12 team playing its best basketball of the season? Note that the Buffaloes won 3 of the 4 home games against the other 20+ win teams in their conference. The Buffs had won 8 straight games before the Ducks beat them by 7 in the Pac-12 Tourney final. Note that Colorado lost the turnover battle 13 to 3 in that game and were outscored 23 to 0 in terms of points off turnovers! Given that it is amazing they only lost the game by 7. They will clean things up again for this one and when they play clean basketball, they have been tough to beat for many weeks now. They get this win and cover the small number. COLORADO -2.5 |
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03-20-24 | San Francisco +6 v. Cincinnati | Top | 72-73 | Win | 100 | 17 h 0 m | Show |
Rotation #715: NIT Tourney: Wednesday San Francisco Dons +6 @ Cincinnati Bearcats @ 9 ET - These Bearcats started the season 12-2 but went 8-12 from then until now! The Dons have as many wins in just 12 games as the Cats had in those 20 games. Indeed, San Francisco is on an 8-4 run and the kicker is that one loss was to a 20-win Santa Clara team and the other 3 losses were against ranked teams - St Mary's and Gonzaga! This SF team is a solid shooting team that plays well on the defensive end. The Bearcats will be in a war here just to win this game let alone cover the spread. That said, I love the points here as Cincy's most recent wins included against a Kansas team that was without the two top scorers in the Big 12! Also, Cats won against Kansas State but were down in that game with just 10 seconds to go when they hit the game winner in the 1-point win. The other two wins in the past 4 weeks were against a West Virginia team that went 9-23 overall and 4-14 in Big 12 action. This Bearcats team is over-rated in this spot and the Dons having to travel to Cincinnati for this game is no big deal when they have had so much time off to prepare for this game! Grab the generous points. SAN FRANCISCO +6 |
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03-20-24 | Maple Leafs v. Capitals OVER 6 | Top | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 31 m | Show |
NHL Wednesday OVER 6 in Washington Capitals vs Toronto Maple Leafs @ 7:35 ET - I understand this total starting to move from a 6.5 to a 6 but, at the same time, I am happy to fade the move. Yes, the Capitals have been getting some solid play in goal and defensively but this Maple Leafs club is very dangerous in the offensive zone. Also, Toronto is off a loss at Philly last night (had the Flyers +115 here yesterday!) and the Leafs will be fired up to respond. However, one issue for Toronto is no goalie other than Samsonov has started in 2 weeks now. So the options for Toronto here are a rusty goalie or a guy playing the 2nd night of a back to back who also just allowed 4 goals last night. This Toronto team is prolific offensively however and 7 of last 9 Leafs road games have totaled at least 6 goals. Also, the Capitals have averaged 4.6 goals scored in their last 5 home games. 5 of their last 6 games at home have all totaled at least 7 goals and this one will too! I know this game will have playoff intensity as the Caps are fighting for their playoff lives but the reasons above are why this game will still see plenty of scoring. Look for each to get to the 3-goal mark here and, as a result, at least a 7-goal final in this one. OVER 6 in Washington |
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03-20-24 | Grambling State v. Montana State -3.5 | Top | 88-81 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 30 m | Show |
Rotation #702: NCAA First Four Montana State Bobcats -3.5 vs Grambling State Tigers @ 6:40 ET - This is essentially a play based on conference strength. The fact is that the SWAC that Grambling hails from is absolutely the worst conference in Division 1 basketball. The Big Sky is certainly not a big conference but it is a much stronger conference than the SWAC. That said, the fact the Bobcats have a much stronger offense than the Tigers plus the fact that they faced a tougher overall schedule plus the fact that Grambling is in the Big Dance for the first time ever...it all adds up to a solid play on the favorite in this one! We are getting some line value here because people see the Cats were just a .500 team in the regular season and finished only 5th in their conference. However, Grambling finished first in the worst conference in Division 1. Lay the small number here with confidence. MONTANA STATE -3.5 |
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03-20-24 | Chesterfield v. Halifax Town OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 14 h 5 m | Show |
Rotation #226001: English National League: Wednesday OVER 2.5 -115 in Halifax Town vs Chesterfield @ 3:45 ET - Great match-up for goals here. Chesterfield is on the road and looking to wrap up the league title here. They are the leading scorer in the league and are averaging 2.5 goals scored per match. However, on the road they are allowing 1.5 goals per match this season and have been far from water-tight defensively. That spells at least some trouble here as Halifax has turned their season around and moved up the table thanks to wins in 6 of their last 7. In those 6 victories, Halifax has averaged 2 goals scored per win! Overall, Halifax Town is on a run in which 5 straight matches at home have totaled at least 3 goals! Look for this over run to make it 6 in a row here! The last time these clubs met the match totaled 5 goals and a similar result would not surprise me in the least! Chesterfield has had 6 of last 7 road matches total at least 3 goals and those 7 matches averaged 4 goals apiece! OVER 2.5 -115 in Halifax Town |
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03-19-24 | Nuggets v. Wolves +7.5 | Top | 115-112 | Win | 100 | 17 h 41 m | Show |
NBA Tuesday Minnesota Timberwolves (+) vs Denver Nuggets @ 9 ET - Yes the Timberwolves have a cluster of injuries at the big man position. However, the last time these teams met Jokic had a solid game for the Nuggets and yet the Wolves still won the game by 22 points. Outside of Jokic, the Nuggets mostly play a "small ball" lineup which is the same type of lineup Minny will be playing here because of injuries to their bigs. So, the point is that Jokic will again "get his" in this game but I don't see that translating to a huge road win here. Minny is tough at home and this is a key divisional battle and they will not just "lay down" here because they are without Towns and Gobert. In fact, you might even see a more feisty effort from the Wolves here as a result! Look for Minnesota to be aggressive here as it is the wounded dog that often bites the hardest. This is just too many points to give the Timberwolves when at home and hosting the defending champs and a division rival. Playing their first home game in two weeks, Minnesota is absolutely going to make the most of it here! They are getting as many as 7.5 points here as of very early game day morning! We'll take it! MINNESOTA (+) |
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03-19-24 | Colorado State v. Virginia +3 | Top | 67-42 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 46 m | Show |
Rotation #672: NCAA Tuesday Virginia Cavaliers (+) vs Colorado State Rams @ 9:10 ET - Give me the 3 points here. Maybe I have a bit of the old "East Coast bias" but I have seen others that are unbiased do have the ACC as a significantly stronger conference than the Mountain West. Note that the only two teams that Virginia finished behind in the final ACC standings were North Carolina and Duke. Those are two teams rank in the top dozen teams in the nation. Also, the team that won the ACC Tourney (NC State) is a team Virginia should have beaten but inexplicably made a couple key mistakes late that allowed the Wolfpack to tie it up and force OT. It was a gut-wrenching loss but also the Cavs can't wait to get back on the floor to make up for that here. The fact NC State then went and upset North Carolina in much easier fashion after they should have lost outright to Virginia also says a lot. This Cavs team is very well coached and annually has one of the best defenses in the nation. Colorado State is certainly a solid team but they are over-rated here. The top teams in the MWC are only in the #20 to #25 positions in the nation. Also, the Rams finished tied for 6th in the MWC while the Cavaliers were 3rd in the ACC! The Cavaliers play ugly basketball so a lot of guys don't like them. However, this time of year, that ugly defensive style can play hell with opponents and I am grabbing the underdog line value here with an angry Cavs team that is still pissed from that inexcusable loss to NC State. They will not be denied here in my opinion but grab the points for added insurance. VIRGINIA (+) |
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03-19-24 | Avalanche v. Blues OVER 6.5 | Top | 4-3 | Win | 104 | 8 h 30 m | Show |
NHL Tuesday OVER 6.5 +105 in St Louis Blues vs Colorado Avalanche @ 8 ET - Colorado is one of the highest scoring teams in the league and they have won 6 straight games and, not including OT goals, have scored an average of 4 goals per game in those victories. The Avs have allowed 3 goals per game in last 4 road games and I am sure the Blues will put up a fight in this one. St Louis has won 4 straight games and scored 3.5 goals per game in this 4-game winning streak. Also, at home, the Blues have won 5 straight games and averaged 3.2 goals scored per game. I know the Blues are getting solid goaltending of late but the Avs offense is just too much. At the same time though, I do expect St Louis to continue playing confident hockey and putting the puck in the back of the net on their home ice. They catch Avs off a big win at Edmonton over Connor McDavid and company. Their defensive play may not be at its best in this one. OVER 6.5 +105 in St Louis |
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03-19-24 | Maple Leafs v. Flyers +115 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 115 | 7 h 49 m | Show |
NHL Tuesday Philadelphia Flyers +115 vs Toronto Maple Leafs @ 7 ET - The Flyers are out for revenge here. Tortorella is back on the bench and they just fell short in a wild 6-5 loss to Boston after an ugly home loss to the Leafs last week by a 6-2 count. Philly will be much better here on home ice and in revenge mode coming off such an ugly loss in front of their own fans. The Flyers are dealing with injuries to defense but are still battling hard and have been even in shots on goal in their recent games with the Bruins and Maple Leafs. Philly has scored 10 goals in their last 3 games and the Leafs big win over the Flyers is their only win by more than 1 goal in their last 7 games. In that stretch Toronto also had an OT win, a SO win, 3 losses and one other win by just 1 goal. The point is that the Leafs have been far from dominating and the Flyers are 3-0 the L3 times they entered a game on a losing streak of 2 or more games. PHILADELPHIA +115 |
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03-19-24 | Boston College v. Providence -3 | Top | 62-57 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 16 m | Show |
Rotation #676: NIT Tuesday Providence Friars (-) vs Boston College Eagles @ 7 ET - Yes the Friars are expected to be without leading scorer Carter for this one but this line has fallen too low in my opinion. It is down to a -3 and, even without Carter, the Friars at home are stronger than these Eagles. Also, I feel Providence is one of a handful of teams that is out to prove the Big East was robbed in terms of only 3 Big East teams making the Big Dance. The Friars are hungry to prove they were one of the teams wronged and I expect a very strong performance here at home. Note that is what not that long ago that Boston College had just been obliterated by Pittsburgh and then sat at 15-14 on the season and just 6-12 in ACC games! I know the Eagles then won 4 straight, including 2 in the ACC tourney, before bowing out against Virginia. However, other than the impressive over Clemson, the other 3 wins were against a horrible Louisville team that finished 3-17 in ACC action and a Miami team that slumped badly and lost 10 straight games to the end the season. The point is the Eagles had a helluva great game against the Tigers but I am not sold on a team whose other recent wins were against bad teams considering they were also just 6-12 against conference opposition not too long ago. This Friars team had won 6 of 3 before a loss to Marquette in the Big East tourney and 3 of their last 4 losses were against the Golden Eagles and UConn - both of whom are in the Big Dance of course. Watch the Friars rise up here, even without Carter. PROVIDENCE (-) |
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03-19-24 | Wagner +3.5 v. Howard | Top | 71-68 | Win | 100 | 13 h 18 m | Show |
Rotation #669: NCAA Tuesday Wagner Seahawks (+) vs Howard Bison @ 6:40 ET - Give me the 3.5 points here. If you watch the talking heads speak about this game or read preview articles you will see many people quoted about Wagner having a 7-man rotation and being short-handed because they are down two key players. Guess what? They played nearly the entirety of the season without those two players. Those two players played a combined 12 games - so an average of 6 games out of 31 on the season. In other words, this is 100% a NON-factor here. Now it would be a factor later in the tourney but there is no "later in the tourney" for either one of these teams. Whether Wagner or Howard advances either one will get blasted by North Carolina Thursday. However, I do like Wagner to advance as they ride the positive momentum of their conference tourney run. Also, most rankings do give a slight edge to the NEC over the MEAC in terms of conference power rankings. I personally feel the edge is bigger. The NEC is a little more significantly stronger than the MEAC in my opinion. I am well aware that Wagner had a sub-par regular season but they had to beat the top 3 teams in their conference (36-12 combined NEC record!) to get here! As for Howard, they had a ridiculous 3-point shooting effort in beating top seeded Norfolk State in their conference tourney but had the added benefit of their other two games against teams with a combined 13-15 conf record and overall 26-38 record. If they had faced a tougher team after upsetting Norfolk State they would have likely lost. Wagner thinks they are invincible right now. That makes for a dangerous dog. The way these two teams are playing right now, Howard is absolutely no better than Wagner. Also, the Seahawks are allowing just 54 ppg last 4 games. The Bison allowing 71 ppg L4 games. The Hawks stay hot! WAGNER (+) |
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03-19-24 | Notts County v. Bradford City OVER 2.75 | Top | 3-0 | Win | 50 | 12 h 54 m | Show |
Rotation #201189: English League Two: Tuesday OVER 2.75 -119 in Bradford City vs Notts County @ 3:45 ET - Notts County won the first meeting this season 4-2 which sets this up as a solid revenge spot for Bradford City. While I certainly do expect the hosts to respond here, they also have allowed 7 goals in their last 2 matches so they will again struggle to slow down Notts County in this one. Notts County consistently gets involved in high-scoring matches and so we have excellent line value here with this total available at less than 3 goals. Note that 6 of last 8 Notts County matches have totaled at least 3 goals and those 6 matches averaged 4 goals apiece. Going further back it is an incredible 17 of 21 run in terms of Notts County matches totaling at least 3 goals and I am happy to put this 81% run to the test here! OVER 2.75 -119 in Bradford City |
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03-19-24 | Almirante Brown v. Gimnasia y Tiro OVER 1.75 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -116 | 11 h 22 m | Show |
Rotation #210705: Argentine Nacional B: Tuesday 10* OVER 1.75 -116 in Gimnasia y Tiro vs Almirante Brown @ 3 ET - Gimnasia y Tiro has scored at least 1 goal in 6 of last 7 matches and averaged 1 goal scored per match during this stretch. Almirante Brown has seen 3 of last 4 matches total at least 2 goals and 2 of those 3 reached the 3 goal mark. We got solid line value with the low total posted on this match and we will not hesitate to get involved here. 10* OVER 1.75 -116 in Gimnasia y Tiro |
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03-18-24 | Knicks +165 v. Warriors | Top | 119-112 | Win | 165 | 17 h 56 m | Show |
NBA Monday New York Knicks +165 @ Golden State Warriors @ 10 ET - Revenge game for the Knicks as they just at home to the Warriors less than 3 weeks ago. New York has very quietly won 3 straight and 5 of 7 games! They also catch Golden State off a big win over the Lakers too. Prior to that victory the Warriors had lost 3 of 4 and their only win was against a horrible Spurs team - and they also lost to San Antonio in that stretch too! Also, GS actually has lost 3 of last 4 home games so I feel we have exceptional line value with getting the Knicks on the money line at a solid comeback price! New York has been playing great defense and has allowed an average of only 83 ppg last 5 games! Golden State has allowed 116.8 ppg last 5 games! HUGE difference. Now, of course, the Warriors are the better team offensively but we are getting to the time of year when teams win games with defense and I like the Knicks in a revenge spot and catching GS off a key divisional win. No points needed. Knicks win outright. NEW YORK KNICKS +165 |
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03-18-24 | Sabres v. Seattle Kraken OVER 5.5 | Top | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 15 h 51 m | Show |
NHL Monday OVER 5.5 in Seattle Kraken vs Buffalo Sabres @ 10 ET - I know that neither team is scoring overly great of late but this non-conference match-up opened up at a 6 for a reason and I am now going to grab the value as it has dropped to a 5.5 across the board in early market activity. The first meeting was a 5-2 win for the Kraken at Buffalo so the Sabres are out for revenge here! Seattle has been struggling of late so Buffalo is catching them at the right time to exact revenge. The trouble for the Sabres though is they have been quite inconsistent in terms of goals allowed! Buffalo has one 4-0 win recently but in their other 6 recent games they have allowed 3.3 goals per game. The Sabres are off a 4-1 loss but had averaged scoring an average of nearly 4 goals per game in their 7 games before that! Buffalo will respond here in this revenge spot. The Kraken are off B2B low-scoring losses but this followed a stretch in which 7 of their last 10 games totaled at least 6 goals. This one will too! Take advantage of the low total here. OVER 5.5 in Seattle |
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03-18-24 | Capitals v. Flames -130 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -130 | 13 h 21 m | Show |
NHL Monday Calgary Flames -130 vs Washington Capitals @ 8:35 ET - The Flames have finally got going again with some solid goalie work and they are off back to back wins by a combined score of 9 to 3. Not only that, Calgary has now won 6 of last 8 home games! This is the Flames only game between this past Saturday and next Saturday so they are fully focused here! Important win for Calgary before nice break in the action to rest mentally and physically! I expect a very focused Flames team here. At the same time, I expect the Capitals could struggle here. Washington is wrapping up a 5-game road trip and has huge 4-game homestand on deck. This is the kind of spot where a team can come out flat as, in their minds, they are already halfway back going home! I know the Caps are off B2B road wins but this followed losing 4 of 5 on the road and the combined score of those 4 defeats was 21 to 7! Washington has scored only 6 goals last 4 games. Look for the Flames to be too much here on home ice and I love this scheduling situation. CALGARY -130 |
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03-18-24 | Heat v. 76ers -2 | Top | 91-98 | Win | 100 | 14 h 26 m | Show |
NBA Monday Philadelphia 76ers -2 vs Miami Heat @ 7:40 ET - The 76ers will take advantage of a Heat team dealing with a myriad of injuries right now. Yes, Philly is still without Joel Embiid but he is back practicing with the team and spirts are up for the Sixers team right now as they know he'll be back sooner rather than the later. Even without Embiid, the Sixers are the overall healthier club in this match-up plus they are at home. Note that Miami is only 4-5 L9 games and here is the kicker to that! One of the wins was against a slumping Jazz team that has lost 12 of 15 games. The other THREE WINS were against a Pistons team that is one of the worst in the league. Beating those teams and winning AT Philly are vastly different things! Even a wounded Sixers team is far superior to the Pistons and the current version of the Jazz. That said, the home team should win this in solid fashion as they take advantage a Heat team that is dealing with too many banged up guys right now. PHILADELPHIA -2 |
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03-18-24 | Stockport County v. Crawley Town OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -114 | 14 h 42 m | Show |
Rotation #201085: English League Two: Monday OVER 2.5 -114 in Crawley Town vs Stockport County @ 3:45 ET - I like match-ups like this for goals when you have two solid clubs and the stronger club is on the road. That's because the hosts are going to put up a valiant effort hosting a top of the table type of club but, at the same time, the visitors are a powerhouse for a reason. In this case, Stockport County and Crawley Town have met 3 times in the past 18 months and the matches have all totaled at least 3 goals and averaged 5 goals apiece! Look for the over run to reach a perfect 4-0 with another high-scoring battle here. Crawley is off B2B wins by a 2-1 count entering this one. Stockport County is struggling a bit of a late and is off a 2-2 draw and hungry to get back on track. Though they have struggled a bit of late, the visitors are still a club that is scoring an average of 2 goals per match this season but also allowing about 1.5 goals per match when traveling. Crawley Town is also allowing about 1.5 goals per match this season but also scoring 1.7 goals per match when at home and they are in solid form right now. The goals should again fly between these clubs as their match-up run to the over reaches 4 in a row! OVER 2.5 -114 in Crawley Town |
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03-18-24 | Amorebieta v. FC Andorra OVER 2 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -113 | 14 h 41 m | Show |
Rotation #202045: Spanish La Liga 2: Monday OVER 2 -113 in Andorra vs Amorebieta @ 3:30 ET - These are the bottom two clubs in the league but Andorra is a different club when at home. Note that 7 of their last 9 home matches have totaled at least 2 goals and those 7 matches averaged 3 goals apiece! As for Amorebieta, they won the first meeting between these clubs by a count of 3-0. That means that Andorra is out for revenge here but it also means that Amorebieta has some added confidence as well. Note that they are off a 1-0 loss but, prior to this, had scored a goal in 3 of last 4 matches prior to this. Their problem tends to be in the defensive zone where they have allowed 16 goals in their last 13 matches. Could we see a 1-1 draw here? Yes but both clubs are desperate for the full 3 points in the table and I feel we will see a strong push here and a 2-1 final as a result. OVER 2 -113 in Andorra |
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03-17-24 | Nets +106 v. Spurs | Top | 115-122 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 23 m | Show |
NBA Sunday Brooklyn Nets +105 @ San Antonio Spurs @ 7:10 ET in Austin, TX - The Spurs are in Austin again tonight rather than home in San Antonio. They are trying to expand their fan base with this and have done it the last two years but it is not their true home and takes away some of the typical home court edge an NBA team would have. Overall San Antonio is one of the worst teams in the league. The Nets have also struggled but they are still a better team than the Spurs. One way to see this is that both team have struggled against winning teams as you would expect. But the Nets (15-11 SU) are much better than the Spurs (7-17 SU) when facing teams with a losing record. Look for Brooklyn to again take advantage of facing a lesser foe tonight. The Nets are off B2B losses but this followed wins in 5 of last 9 games. Conversely, San Antonio has not shown any true signs of life like that. The Spurs have just 4 wins in last 21 games. San Antonio is already thinking ahead to next season. The Nets are running short on time but Atlanta keeps losing so the Nets still have a shot at the #10 seed and a chance to at least get into the play-in portion of the NBA post-season. To stay alive however they must have games like this. As they've done frequently this season, they will take advantage of facing a lesser foe here. BROOKLYN +105 |
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03-17-24 | Red Wings v. Penguins OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 104 | 5 h 34 m | Show |
NHL Sunday OVER 6.5 +105 in Pittsburgh Penguins vs Detroit Red Wings @ 6 ET - Penguins in a back to back so Nedeljkovic expected to start in goal. He is struggling and overall Pittsburgh is off B2B crazy games as well. Additionally, the Red Wings are off a 4-1 win so it was good to see their scoring come back. However, Detroit had allowed an average of 5 goals per game in losing 7 straight prior to that one! Also, before B2B 4-1 games, the Red Wings had seen 5 of 7 games games total at least EIGHT goals! We only need 7 to be a winner here and the set up here is perfect as Pittsburgh off B2B high-scoring games and on home ice and off a loss and starting a back-up goalie. The goals should fly in this one. OVER 6.5 +105 in Pittsburgh |
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03-17-24 | Sharks v. Blackhawks OVER 6 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 4 h 24 m | Show |
NHL Sunday OVER 6 in Chicago Blackhawks vs San Jose Sharks @ 6 ET - The Sharks starting a rookie goalie making his NHL debut. Devin Cooley has a 3.77 GAA at the AHL level this season. He will continue to get peppered with shots here as San Jose is so bad defensively. The Sharks have allowed 5 goals per game in the 12 losses in their current run of just 1 win last 13 games! The Blackhawks have allowed an average of 4 goals per game last 8 games. However, prior to a 5-0 loss in most recent game, Chicago had won 3 of 4 games and had scored an average of 5 goals in these 4 games. Given numbers like this plus the fact each team coming off a shutout loss, look for the goals to fly in this one. OVER 6 in Chicago |
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03-17-24 | Wisconsin v. Illinois -3 | Top | 87-93 | Win | 100 | 6 h 39 m | Show |
CBB Sunday Illinois Illini -3 or -3.5 vs Wisconsin Badgers @ 3:30 ET - Badgers fought hard and won in OT versus the Boilermakers yesterday as they got the big upset win over Purdue. Their top 3 scorers in yesterday's win (71% of the points) played an average of 37 minutes as the game went to OT also. Now playing again today and having battled so hard to make it this far, this is the game where the juice runs out for Wisconsin. Their 3-point shooting was so hot but keeps cooling off game by game as their legs are starting to get tired. Purdue did not shoot as well as usual yesterday and also lost the turnover battle badly. Give some credit to the Badgers for sure but the Boilers caused their own demise as well. Don't look for Illinois to be so generous! This Illini team gets to the foul line well and Wisconsin had all kinds of foul trouble versus Purdue yesterday. Hats off to the Badgers for still being able to grind out the win but their big run ends here. The Illini create match-up problems with guys like Damask and Shannon just like they did in the recent regular season meeting. Getting this line in the -3 range is a great value. ILLINOIS -3 or -3.5 |
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03-17-24 | Temple +7.5 v. UAB | Top | 69-85 | Loss | -120 | 5 h 28 m | Show |
CBB Sunday Temple Owls +7.5 vs UAB Blazers @ 3:15 ET - These teams just met before the conference tourney started and Temple was embarrassed in Philly as the Blazers scored 100 points! UAB shot a ridiculous 61% from the field including 56% from 3-point land! Teams don't forget about home losses like that. The Owls have since won 5 straight games and just knocked off two of the top three teams in the conference as they beat Florida Atlantic and Charlotte. Temple underachieved in the regular season - to say the least - but they are truly battling hard now and have jelled as a team at the perfect time of year - mid-March! I am not saying they get the outright win here but I do expect them to have another very strong game and that should be good enough for at least the cover here! They have allowed just 62 ppg in their 4 games in this tourney so far. UAB has allowed 78 ppg in their last 8 games. The Blazers are the stronger overall team but the Owls are playing confident defensive-minded basketball right now and this game should go down to the wire. Grab the generous points and this one has upset potential as well. TEMPLE +7.5 |
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03-17-24 | FC Cincinnati v. New England OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 31 m | Show |
Rotation #209821: Major League Soccer: Sunday OVER 2.5 -135 in New England Revolution vs FC Cincinnati @ 2 ET - Look for the goals to fly here. There has not been a clean sheet from either club in any of the last 6 meetings. Those matches averaged 4 goals apiece and all but one of the six matches totaled at least 4 goals so this one testing an 83% RUN to the over! All the stats here included the Concacaf Champions Cup action going as well and note that New England had scored an average of 2 goals per match last 4 matches prior to resting guys in their 1-1 draw earlier this week (they already had a big lead on the aggregate). Cincinnati is the defending champ but struggling to score goals in MLS so far but have scored well in Concacaf action. They will take advantage here of a NE club allowing goals at an alarming rate thus far. New England has allowed 11 goals in their last 4 matches against MLS clubs (one was a friendly). But they are on their home pitch and I am expected them to get their attacking going as Cincy has not been perfectly tight defensively thus far. At the same time, NE focus on attacking to finally get a win after an 0-3 start this season means Cincy can make them pay on the counterattack! OVER 2.5 -135 in New England |
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03-17-24 | Liverpool v. Manchester United OVER 3.5 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 115 | 8 h 5 m | Show |
Rotation #200413: English FA Cup | Quarter-Finals: Sunday OVER 3.5 +115 in Manchester United vs Liverpool @ 11:30 AM ET - The last meeting was a scoreless draw but this followed the 7 most recent meetings averaging 5 goals apiece! We'll see goals here as Man U has scored at least 1 goal in 13 straight matches (averaging 2 goals scored per match) while Liverpool is certainly favored for a reason here! I am looking for a match finishing in the 3-2 range! 8 of last 12 Liverpool matches - as they continue prolific scoring run - have totaled at least 4 goals. The Reds have conceded at least one goal in 10 of last 14 matches. More of the same here! OVER 3.5 +115 in Manchester United |
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03-17-24 | Aston Villa v. West Ham United OVER 3 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -108 | 5 h 45 m | Show |
Rotation #200157: English Premier League: Sunday OVER 3 in West Ham United vs Aston Villa @ 10 AM ET - Aston Villa has had 7 straight EPL matches total at least 3 goals and 5 of the 7 totaled 4 or more so, with this pick, we are testing a 5-0 run going for 6 in a row. Aston Villa has scored 3.3 goals per match in their last 3 EPL matches away from home. However, they have also allowed an average of 2 goals per match last 5 matches overall in EPL action. West Ham has seen each of last 4 home matches across all competitions total 4 or more goals and these matches averaged 5 goals apiece. So this pick is testing double perfect angles with a 4-0 home angle involving West Ham and a 5-0 EPL angle involving Aston Villa. With the way both these clubs have been attacking of late plus the fact Ollie Watkins should play here, look for the goals to fly in this one! OVER 3 in West Ham United |
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03-17-24 | Leicester v. Chelsea OVER 3 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 43 m | Show |
Rotation #200409: English FA Cup | Quarter-Finals: Sunday OVER 3 -125 in Chelsea vs Leicester @ 8:45 AM ET - Leicester has scored in 13 straight road matches across all competitions. Chelsea is a heavy favorite, including by 1.5 goals on the goal line, with good reason of course. Look for this to get to the 3-1 range as a result. 7 of last 9 matches across all competitions for Chelsea have totaled at least 4 goals. This one will too! OVER 3 -125 in Chelsea |
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03-16-24 | Knicks +145 v. Kings | Top | 98-91 | Win | 145 | 9 h 59 m | Show |
NBA Saturday New York Knicks Money Line +145 @ Sacramento Kings @ 10:10 ET - Home court is nothing special for Sacramento. The Kings are off B2B home wins but this followed losing 9 of last 16 home games! In fact, Sacramento has not won more than 2 straight home games since mid-December! The Knicks are a live dog here! Their defense has been fantastic for an extended stretch now and so you have the defensive edge here with New York. Also, while Knicks are off a win over a bad Portland team, the Kings are off big wins over the Bucks and the division rival Lakers. Sacramento might be a little flat here the way I see it. The Knicks have allowed an average of just 81 points last 4 games. Another interesting thing here is New York is off B2B wins and they have been in this spot 6 times this season and 5 of the 6 times their streak extended to 3 games and many much more. Don't be surprised if this pattern continues and another win streak is building for the Knicks. NEW YORK +145 |
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03-16-24 | NC State v. North Carolina -9 | Top | 84-76 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 0 m | Show |
Rotation #634: CBB Saturday North Carolina Tar Heels -9 vs NC State Wolfpack @ 8:30 ET - Give the Wolfpack plenty of credit of course as a win is a win and they fought hard yesterday. However, it took some late mistakes from Virginia including a key turnover and then a bank-shot 3 at the buzzer to even force OT in their eventual win over the Cavaliers. I also expect the Wolfpack to be worn out here. This is going to be their 6th game in 8 days! Conversely, North Carolina is playing just its 3rd game in 7 days! Not only is this a huge rest edge for the Tar Heels, they are absolutely the superior team in all facets of the game. I do not often lay big points in spread sports but there are exceptions. In this case, the rest factor plus the talent factor are hugely in favor of UNC. Also, the Wolfpack went just 9-11 in ACC games this season while the Tar Heels went 17-3. While 9 points may seem like a lot, half of NC State's losses this season were by 9 or more points. Given that plus the fact they are facing one of the top teams in the nation (and a rival that won't hold back given the chance to rout) and the fact they are very tired after all the basketball over the past week, this one gets ugly and UNC pulls away for blowout win by 15+ points. NORTH CAROLINA -9 |
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03-16-24 | Flyers +1.5 v. Bruins | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 5 h 49 m | Show |
NHL Saturday Philadelphia Flyers +1.5 -150 @ Boston Bruins @ 7 ET - Bruins off tight win over division rival Canadiens. Since starting the season 29-8-9, Boston has only 5 wins by more than 1 goal in last 22 games! Flyers are off an ugly 6-2 loss but this followed by a 16 games stretch in which only 3 of the 16 games were a loss by more than 1 goal. This is a great set up with Bruins off a tight divisional win and Philly off an ugly loss. Take advantage and grab the puck line here at a reasonable price. PHILADELPHIA +1.5 -150 |
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03-16-24 | Sharks v. Blue Jackets OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 35 m | Show |
NHL Saturday OVER 6.5 in Columbus Blue Jackets vs San Jose Sharks @ 7 ET - Chrona will be between the pipes here and he has allowed 26 goals in his 6 starts and 1 relief appearance at the NHL level this season. In other words, giving up about 4 goals on average. His counterpart will likely be Tarasov tonight and the Blue Jackets netminder has been better of late and yet he still has been weaker at home than on the road. He has a 3.51 GAA at home this season. The Jackets scoring has tailed off of late but facing a struggling Sharks team (particularly the defense and goaltending) will help Columbus open things up at home here. Also, San Jose has seen 6 of last 9 games total at least 7 goals and amazingly 5 of those 6 totaled 9 or more goals! The Sharks have scored 3 goals per game last 8 games, despite all the losing but their problem is they can stop no one! That will be the case again tonight and I expect both teams to get to the 3-goal mark in this one as it finishes with at least 7 goals. OVER 6.5 in Columbus |
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03-16-24 | CF Montreal v. Chicago Fire OVER 2.5 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 1 m | Show |
Rotation #209973: Major League Soccer: Saturday OVER 2.5 -130 in Chicago Fire vs CF Montreal @ 2 ET - Love the fact that Montreal has both scored and conceded each of the last two weeks and both matches totaled at least 3 goals AND Chicago has both scored and conceded in each of its 3 matches this season and all 3 totaled at least 3 goals! In other words, this play at over 2.5 is testing a trend that is 100% PERFECT on the season and all set for 4 in a row. The important thing about each of these 2 clubs over trending is there are no clean sheets involved! The trends involves both scoring and conceding and that is why I am anticipating a 2-2 type match in this one! OVER 2.5 -130 in Chicago |
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03-16-24 | Newcastle United v. Manchester City OVER 3.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 42 m | Show |
Rotation #200405: English FA Cup: Saturday OVER 3.5 +100 in Manchester City vs Newcastle United @ 1:30 ET - Kevin DeBruyne is out for City but Jack Grealish is back. Also helping the odds on a high-scoring match here is that City #1 goalie Ederson is out for this match. I do look for Newcastle to get on the board here at least once, if not twice, but of course City is a heavy favorite with good reason. That is why I am calling for at least a 3-1 final here. Note that Manchester City will be chomping at the bit to get to back to their aggressive ways after a bit of a disappointing 1-1 result with Liverpool in league action last week. Prior to that, City was averaging 2.6 goals scored per match last 30 matches across all competitions. They tend to be a scoring machine when on their home pitch as well! The last meeting between these clubs totaled 5 goals. Also, Newcastle enters this one with their last 13 matches having averaged 4.3 goals per match! 9 of the 13 totaled at least 4 goals and I look for the high-scoring trend to continue here. Newcastle United has been known for a leaky backline but also their attackers will take advantage of City having to go with #2 goalie option here. OVER 3.5 +100 in Manchester City |
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03-16-24 | Tottenham Hotspur v. Fulham OVER 3 | Top | 0-3 | Push | 0 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
Rotation #200153: English Premier League Saturday OVER 3 -135 in Fulham vs Tottenham @ 1:30 ET - These clubs have a history of lower-scoring matches but Tottenham is on a tear in the attacking zone since they got Son Heung-min back from his time with South Korea. Tottenham has now scored 7 goals in last two matches and also this total is available at 3 goals and a -135 price. Yes, we have to lay some juice to have the total of 3 goals but that is a key number in soccer betting! Note that Tottenham has had 17 of last 20 matches across all competitions - including a current run of 6 in a row - all total at least 3 goals. Also, in EPL matches, Tottenham has had 10 in a row total at least 3 goals and 7 of those totaled 4 or more so this is a 100% streak going for 8 in a row here! As for Fulham, they have had 6 straight EPL matches total at least 3 goals and they have both scored and conceded in all but one of those. That said, and with Tottenham a heavy goal line favorite for a reason, look for at least a 3-1 final in this one! OVER 3 -135 in Fulham |
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03-16-24 | Wisconsin v. Purdue -6 | Top | 76-75 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 42 m | Show |
Rotation #610: CBB Saturday Purdue Boilermakers -6 vs Wisconsin Badgers @ 1 ET - Live by the three, die by the three. Today is the day Wisconsin's Big Ten Tourney run dies. 3rd game in 3 days. The legs start to give out. That is very important in 3 point shooting. The Badgers have been ridiculous from three point land in each of their first two games in the tourney. Now they face a Purdue team that shut them down from downtown in each of their two meetings this season. I also like the fact that the Boilermakers faced a tough Spartans team yesterday. Gutting out a gutsy win over a Tom Izzo-coached team is never easy come tourney time. Keep in mind the Badgers played a struggling Maryland team and then Northwestern so far in this tourney. I know the Wildcats finished ahead of Michigan State this season in the Big Ten but when you factor in the Tom Izzo effect, the Boilers arguably faced the tougher match-up yesterday. Give credit to the Badgers for a solid run but I could see their 3-point shooting really drop off here (just like the regular season meetings) especially with some weary legs. The Boilers have a rest edge and they are fully focused on becoming the first team in 24 years to win both the Big Ten regular season title and Big Ten tourney in the same season. Look for big man Zach Edey to have another huge game and the fact their largest deficit was only 1 point and they led by as many as 12 points yesterday has led to value here considering they only won the game by 5 points. That is keeping this line a little low and I look for the Boilers to roll by double digits given all of the above. PURDUE -6 |
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03-16-24 | Nottingham Forest v. Luton Town OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -145 | 8 h 37 m | Show |
Rotation #200145: English Premier League Saturday OVER 2.5 -145 in Luton Town vs Nottingham Forest @ 11 AM ET - Luton Town just played on Wednesday and there could be some weary legs on defense! Why? Because they just blew a 3-0 lead (incredibly) and lost 4-3 at Bournemouth in most recent match! Luton Town allowing 2.1 goals per match this season but they do also score about 1.5 goals per match and have a long 16-match run (in EPL matches) of scoring at least 1 goal! Yes, 16 in a row and yet they just can not seem to stop anyone which is why I like the over so much in this match-up. Note that 13 of those 16 matches totaled at least 3 goals so we are testing an 81% EPL run with this play. Also, Nottingham Forest is allowing 2 goals per match when on the road this season. Nottingham knotted up Luton at 2-2 in the first meeting and I anticipate a similar result here. Nottingham on a stretch of low-scoring results but they will open things up here against a weak Luton Town backline. Also, Nottingham has not had a stretch of 4 straight matches failing to reach 3 goals since the mid-Sept to early-Oct timeframe more than 5 months ago. The high-scoring ways resume here given a favorable match-up after some tougher opposition. OVER 2.5 -145 in Luton Town |
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03-15-24 | Colorado -1.5 v. Washington State | Top | 58-52 | Win | 100 | 13 h 38 m | Show |
Rotation #857: CBB Friday Colorado Buffaloes -1.5 -115 or money line -130 vs Washington State Cougars @ 10:30 ET in Pac-12 Tourney at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, NV - Love the line movement on this one. Colorado opened favored by about 2.5 then came down to 1.5 and now appears headed back up. First off, why were the Buffaloes favored in the first place even though Washington State is ranked and the Buffaloes are unranked? Exactly! Odds makers know! Why did the line come down? Sharps wanted to move it down! Why is it now going back up? Sharps took advantage of the lower number and the bigger bets are starting to come in. In addition to all these betting and market factors, I also like Colorado here because they are playing their best basketball of the season at the right time. The Buffaloes have won 7 straight games! The Cougars have two recent losses and they were to Pac-12 teams that finished the regular season with a combined 17-23 record in conference games! Colorado is the better team offensively including at the free throw line. That could be key in a projected tighter game. Though this game may indeed be tight I just do not see the Buffaloes being denied here. Colorado playing with such confidence right now. The Buffs were tested yesterday by a solid Utah team while the Cougars took advantage of facing an inconsistent Stanford team that ended up finishing their year on a 3-9 run. Don't let this line fool you. The Buffaloes are favored with good reasoning here as noted above. COLORADO -1.5 -115 or money line -130 |
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03-15-24 | Hawks v. Jazz +125 | Top | 122-124 | Win | 125 | 9 h 46 m | Show |
NBA Friday 10* Top Play Utah Jazz +125 vs Atlanta Hawks @ 9:40 ET - Good home dog value here and no points needed the way I see it. Utah 19-13 at home this season while the Hawks road record is the exact opposite of that this season. Of course the Hawks are also without Trae Young now but they also have additional injury issues entering this one. Utah will be without Markanen again but, prior to a loss to an elite Boston team, the Jazz had won 2 of last 3 home games and the only loss was by just 2 points. Considering the fact that Atlanta is 3-7 SU last 10 road games and Bogdanovic off an ugly game as he is dealing with an illness and is questionable and Trae Young is still out too, the Hawks are a bit over-valued here. Atlanta just looked right past Portland and lost and the same thing could happen here as they underestimate another team as they look forward to their trip to LA to play the Lakers and Clippers plus then they have a tough Suns team next. I expect another sub-par effort from the wounded Hawks here. In their last game Murray had 40 points and no one else topped 13 points. That is not a good sign of where this Atlanta team is right now. The Jazz, though Clarkson won't play tonight, had Clarkson and 2 others all score at least 20 points in their loss to the Celtics. The Jazz are a little bit more of a balanced team and they are at home and they are offering plus money on the money line. I'll take it! UTAH +125 |
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03-15-24 | Kings v. Blackhawks OVER 5.5 | Top | 5-0 | Loss | -118 | 5 h 24 m | Show |
NHL Friday OVER 5.5 -120 in Chicago Blackhawks vs Los Angeles Kings @ 8:35 ET - Some sharp books already have this total at a 6 which is a sign to me that they are expecting the sharper action to be on the over in this one. I also am expecting a higher-scoring game as well. The Blackhawks are suddenly playing much better and have won 3 of 4 games and scored at least 5 goals in all 3 victories! However, this is still a Chicago team that has allowed about 4 goals per game last 15 games as well. The Kings enter this one off a 3-1 loss but should bounce back here as this followed wins in 4 of 6 games and they scored an average of 4 goals in the 4 victories. LA also has scored an average of 4 goals the last 3 times they were off a loss. So look for Los Angeles to respond here and score well but the hot Hawks match them goal for goal in a game that has a great shot at seeing each team score at least 3 goals. I anticipate this one getting to 7 or more goals so we have great line value here. OVER 5.5 -120 in Chicago |
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03-15-24 | Providence +5 v. Marquette | Top | 68-79 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 38 m | Show |
Rotation #841: CBB Friday: Providence Friars +5 vs Marquette Golden Eagles @ 8 ET in Big East Tourney at Madison Square Garden - The Friars are off a great win over Creighton yesterday after an easy win over a horrible Georgetown team Wednesday. Yes it is a 3rd game in 3 days for Providence but they do catch Marquette off an intense physical and emotional grinder of a win over Villanova yesterday that did require OT. That said, this one sets up well for an upset. Will grab the points here just in case but the Friars enter this game with a lot of confidence and they actually had 70 shots from the field yesterday compared to just 58 for the Bluejays. In other words, the win was not a fluke and they took great care of the ball as well and that had an edge in the turnover department for the Friars as well. Providence has won 6 of 9 games and Marquette is at a disadvantage in the rebounding department also. Prior to yesterday's OT win over Villanova, the Golden Eagles were on a 6-6 run in games played away from home. Also, the only 2 wins that were blowout wins were against DePaul and Georgetown - the two worst teams in the Big East. The other 4 wins were by an average margin of 4.5 ppg an none of those wins by more than 6 points. Don't be surprised if this one goes to the wire and, though I expect an outright upset, we'll grab the points just in case the Friars fall a bucket or so short. PROVIDENCE +5 |
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03-15-24 | Cadiz CF v. Real Sociedad OVER 2 | Top | 0-2 | Push | 0 | 12 h 32 m | Show |
Rotation #201801: Spanish La Liga: Friday OVER 2 -120 in Real Sociedad vs Cadiz @ 4 ET - Cadiz has been scoring better of late as they continue to push hard in hopes of avoiding relegation. Cadiz has scored 5 goals in last 3 matches and now they visit Real Sociedad. The hosts have had 4 straight La Liga matches total at least 3 goals and I don't see things slowing down here. They have had 7 straight matches across all competitions total at least 2 goals and these 7 matches have averaged 3.4 goals apiece. In other words, goals should fly in this one. Cadiz gets on the board but struggles to stop their superior foe in this one and I look for a final of at least 2-1 as a result. Cadiz, prior to their 2-0 upset of Atletico Madrid, had allowed 1.8 goals per match last 4 matches. OVER 2 -120 in Real Sociedad |
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03-15-24 | RB Leipzig v. FC Koln OVER 2.75 | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 35 m | Show |
Rotation #202577: German Bundesliga: Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2.75 -125 in FC Koln vs RB Leipzig @ 3:30 ET - I known Koln has struggled but they are off a 3-3 draw plus they are on their home pitch. So they should have their shooting boots on here and be able to get on the scoreboard. At the same time of course, RB Leipzig is a solid favorite here with good reason. Believe it or not Leipzig is averaging both allowing AND conceding nearly 2 goals per match when traveling in Bundesliga action this season. Could see a 2-2 or 3-2 type battle here. 3 of the last 4 meetings have totaled at least 4 goals. RB Leipzig is off a 2-0 win but had allowed 4 goals in 3 matches prior to that and allowed at least 1 goal in all 3. I envision at least a 2-1 type final here as RB Leipzig also has scored an average of 2 goals in last 5 matches across all competitions as well. OVER 2.75 -125 in FC Koln |
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03-14-24 | Utah v. Colorado -3.5 | Top | 58-72 | Win | 100 | 12 h 45 m | Show |
Rotation #782: CBB Thursday Colorado Buffaloes -3.5 vs Utah Utes @ 11:30 ET - Excellent line value here as the Buffaloes have won 6 in a row and have the rest edge here too as they have been off for a few days while the Utes were in action yesterday. Utah, prior to yesterday's win had lost 8 of 12 games and though they beat the Buffaloes by 5 earlier this season they also lost at Colorado by 24 in the rematch. This Buffs team playing with a lot of confidence right now and has all the key edges going in their favor here. Utah started the season 11-2 but then went 7-11 the rest of the way before this conference tourney. Colorado, on the other hand, has won 11 of 15 games since starting the season 11-5. Two teams that truly have been trending in opposite directions. Also, the Buffaloes finally got the much needed confidence boost by winning some road games. They needed that and this will also help them in his neutral site game in Vegas. COLORADO -3.5 |
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03-14-24 | Knicks v. Blazers +10.5 | Top | 105-93 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 5 m | Show |
NBA Thursday Portland Trail Blazers +10.5 vs New York Knicks @ 10 ET - Of course the Knicks should win this game SU but I don't see them winning this in a complete blowout. This is their first game on this west coast swing after playing 4 straight home games. Also, the tougher games on this road trip are up next with facing the Kings, Warriors and Nuggets. I just can't see New York being too excited nor too focused on facing this Blazers team they already beat handily two months ago in New York! That said, this spot could be a bit tricky for the Knicks. The Trail Blazers have gone 4-4 SU L8 games. Granted, the wins were against teams that are not on the level of this New York team. However, just getting some SU wins is a confidence boost for a Blazers team having a tough season. Also, some of the players they are missing are close to coming back as well. That is also a positive in terms of creating good vibes and positive energy for the team. I look for them to put up a strong fight on their home floor here and this game will be decided by single digits. PORTLAND +10.5 |
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03-14-24 | Boston College v. Virginia -4.5 | Top | 60-66 | Win | 100 | 10 h 59 m | Show |
Rotation #734: CBB Thursday Virginia Cavaliers -4.5 vs Boston College Eagles @ 9:30 ET - Eagles playing for 3rd straight night. Virginia has huge rest edge. Cavaliers won the first meeting even though it was at Boston College. Now this neutral site game in the tourney (in DC) truly is a location that favors the Cavs. They have stellar defense and did score 72 points in 2 of their last 3 games so it gives them some added confidence on the offensive end. On the defensive end there is no shortage of confidence for this tough Cavaliers team. Look for them to use that tenacious defense to pull away as this game goes on and they wear down a tired Eagles team playing a 3rd straight day. The revenge angle for BC that many in the market will buy into is helping to keep this line lower than it should be. We take advantage! VIRGINIA -4.5 |
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03-14-24 | Golden Knights v. Flames OVER 6.5 | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 20 m | Show |
NHL Thursday OVER 6.5 in Calgary vs Vegas @ 9 ET - Wolf getting the start in goal for the Flames and he is the #3 option but Markstrom out with an injury and Vladar just played but struggled. Calgary will not be able to stop Vegas here. However, Hill getting the start for the Golden Knights here and he has struggled. Hill has allowed at least 3 goals in 5 straight starts. Given this situation and the goalie match-up, I just can not see either team failing to get at least the 3-goal mark in this one. Of course that would guarantee us of at least a 4-3 final. Note that 9 of last 10 Vegas games have totaled at least 7 goals. Also, the Flames last dozen games have averaged 7.3 goals apiece. More of the same here! OVER 6.5 in Calgary |
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03-14-24 | Coyotes v. Red Wings OVER 6.5 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 31 m | Show |
NHL Thursday OVER 6.5 in Detroit vs Arizona @ 7 ET - Red Wings Lyon is 0-5 L5 and has allowed at least 4 goals in all 5 of those! Connor Ingram starts for Coyotes and he has been struggling overall recently except for a strong shutout effort versus...you guessed it...these Red Wings. Detroit is out for revenge and will score well at home but they continue to have issues in the crease in their own zone. OVER 6.5 in Detroit |
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03-14-24 | Sporting Lisbon v. Atalanta OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show |
Rotation #224453: Europa League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg: Thursday OVER 2.5 -135 in Atalanta vs Sporting Lisbon @ 4 ET - The first meeting finished in a 1-1 draw but Atalanta' other 3 recent matches have all totaled 3 or more goals. Sporting Lisbon's other 4 recent matches have all totaled 3 or more goals. The point is that the first meeting was a bit of an outlier and I am looking for at least a 2-1 result in this match-up that is currently tied on the aggregate. Note that Atalanta had numerous shots off the bar in their first meeting - tight misses. Sporting Lisbon averaging scoring 3 goals per match in Portugese Primeira Liga action. Atalanta averaging 2.2 goals scored per match when at home this season in Italian Serie A action. Two confident clubs that score well and you'll see much more scoring in the rematch. OVER 2.5 -135 in Atalanta |
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03-14-24 | Ajax Amsterdam v. Aston Villa OVER 3.25 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 103 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
Rotation #219925: Europa Conference League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg: Thursday OVER 3 -125 in Aston Villa vs Ajax Amsterdam @ 4 ET - The first meeting finished scoreless yet this total opened up at a 3 and even moving toward 3.5 in some books. You know what this generally means, right? A 0-0 1st leg and then a total of 3 goals getting action on the over in the 2nd leg? Exactly! This one should fly over the total after the very surprising 1st leg result! Aston Villa's other 8 recent matches have all totaled at least 3 goals and actually have averaged 4.3 goals apiece. Ajax Amsterdam, other than that scoreless draw, has scored at least 2 goals in 22 of last 26 matches! You can see, given the above, why it would not be surprising at all to see both clubs reach the 2-goal mark in the rematch. Ajax known for scoring well and they are one of the top scoring teams in the Dutch Eredivisie. At the same time, Villa at home will be relentless on the attack here after the disappointing first leg result and now back on their home pitch! OVER 3 -125 in Aston Villa |
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03-14-24 | St. John's v. Seton Hall +4.5 | Top | 91-72 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 59 m | Show |
Rotation #746: CBB Thursday Seton Hall Pirates +4.5 @ St John's Red Storm @ 2:30 ET - I know many might look at this and say it is a home game for St John's and it is true that the Red Storm do play home games at Madison Square Garden too. However, Seton Hall is from the NYC metro area as well and MSG is essentially right between the campuses of these two schools. Also, the Pirates won both regular season meetings so many people will be looking at the double revenge factor as well. The result of all this in my opinion is that St John's is getting too much support in the betting markets and we are getting plenty of value here on the underdog side catching 4.5 points! It is true that the Red Storm wrapped up the season winning 5 in a row. However, 3 of the 5 wins were against the 2 Big East teams that finished the season with a combined 2-38 record in the Big East. I am not saying St John's is a bad team or that Seton Hall is an elite team. I am just saying that these teams are close to equal in my opinion and I would say the Pirates are the slightly better team. The Red Storm are simply over-rated here and I look for the underdogs to make it a rare 3-0 season sweep over St John's but we will grab the points just in case. SETON HALL +4.5 |
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03-14-24 | SC Freiburg v. West Ham United OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show |
Rotation #224443: Europa League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg: Thursday OVER 2.5 -115 in West Ham United vs SC Freiburg @ 1:45 ET - West Ham is on their home pitch and down 1-0 in this one because of losing the 1st Leg. That sets this up well for plenty of goals because Freiburg has a talented attack but West Ham is going to respond on their home pitch. The Hammers are favored here with good reason but I also can not anticipate them delivering a clean sheet. In other words, this situation translates to at least a 2-1 final. West Ham had scored a pair of goals in the last two meetings before the shutout loss at Freiburg. Also, the Hammers come into this one having allowed at least 1 goal in 11 straight matches and have conceded an average of 2 goals per match during this stretch. Freiburg has allowed 2 goals per match in their last 11 matches as well. OVER 2.5 -115 in West Ham |
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03-14-24 | Maccabi Haifa v. Fiorentina OVER 3 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 58 m | Show |
Rotation #219905: Europa Conference League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg: Thursday OVER 3 -110 in Fiorentina vs Maccabi Haifa @ 1:45 ET - The first meeting finished in a 4-3 thriller in favor of Fiorentina. That means Maccabi Haifa has to be aggressive here on the road and will be on the attack as they look to make up for the 1-goal deficit. However, Fiorentina has the firepower - particularly on their home pitch - to make them pay in this one! In Italian Serie A action, Fiorentina has averaged 2 goals scored per match this season when at home. As for Maccabi Haifa, the Israeli Premier League club has scored 2.2 goals per match this season and they are the highest scoring club in the league. Look for the goals to fly again in this one as 4-3 aggregate thus far in favor of the hosts sets this up for another exciting match which the visitors pushing hard on the attack and the hosts taking advantage on the counterattack. Plenty of scoring opportunities in this one. OVER 3 -110 in Fiorentina |
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03-13-24 | Avalanche v. Canucks OVER 6.5 | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 0 m | Show |
NHL Wednesday OVER 6.5 in Vancouver Canucks vs Colorado Avalanche @ 10:35 ET - Tough spot for the goaltending for each team. The Canucks just lost Demko to injury so they are having to use the back-up DeSmith. As for Colorado, they used Annunen between the pipes last night and he has actually been the hotter goalie of last. Georgiev now likely to be in the crease because of this B2B situation and he has been a bit inconsistent of late. That said, look for the goals to fly as the goalie situation is surely helping. Also, the Canucks have won 4 straight and have scored 4 goals per game last two victories. Colorado has won 6 of 8 and, incredibly, the Avs have scored at least 5 goals in 5 of those 6 victories. Considering the above as well as the goaltending situation plus the B2B situation for the Avalanche, look for the goals to fly in this one. OVER 6.5 in Vancouver |
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03-13-24 | Cincinnati v. Kansas OVER 138 | Top | 72-52 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 44 m | Show |
Rotation #659: CBB Wednesday OVER 138 in Kansas Jayhawks vs Cincinnati Bearcats @ 9:30 ET - Both teams have averaged scoring about 75 to 76 points this season and allowed about 68 to 69 points this season. We have good value with the low total posted on this game. The key is that the Jayhawks are without a couple of top players and that will weaken them in the paint some. At the same time however, Kansas is loaded with talent and is going with a "small ball" lineup here. I expect this to result in a high-scoring game. Their defensive presence around the rim is not going to be as strong as usual and now here they face a Cincinnati team that has added confidence from B2B wins in which they scored 90+ points in each game. Granted the games were against a bad West Virginia team but it still helps in terms of confidence on the offensive end. Here the Bearcats will be able to attack more than usual with success against a smaller than usual Kansas lineup. At the same time, the Jayhawks are out to prove they can win without a couple of their top players and I expect a huge effort from Kansas in this one. The Cats, not including OT points of course, averaged 81 points in their final 3 games this season. The Jayhawks, prior to an ugly season-ending loss to Houston (which means even more motivation for Kansas here) had averaged 77 points per game their last 3 games. Cincinnati is a 3 point favorite here which, with a total of 138, would put this game at about 70-67. I feel strongly that both teams are fully capable of topping those numbers in this one. Particularly true given the small ball style that Kansas will be playing in this one. They certainly are going to respond on offense after scoring just 46 points in most recent game. OVER 138 in Kansas |
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03-13-24 | Bulls +150 v. Pacers | Top | 132-129 | Win | 150 | 4 h 26 m | Show |
NBA Wednesday Chicago Bulls +150 @ Indiana Pacers @ 7:40 ET - The Pacers are in a B2B spot and the Bulls are rested but coming off B2B losses including the most recent one at home in UGLY fashion. That set this one up well for a road dog upset in divisional action. I know Indiana has been better in divisional games than Chicago has this season but these two teams are not too far apart in the standings really. Also, before the Bulls lost at LA to the Clippers, they had won 8 of last 10 road games! So Chicago has been sneaky good on the road for many weeks now and is coming off bad home loss and a road loss. So the set up here is truly ideal especially with the Pacers in a back to back. Also, the Bulls have not lost two consecutive road games since late January! Last but certainly not least, Chicago has not lost more than 2 games in a row overall since NOVEMBER! Dating back to that losing streak in November, the Bulls are now a perfect 5-0 the last 5 times when entering a game on a losing streak of 2 or more games. No points needed here, look for the Bulls to win this one outright! Each of last 6 Indiana wins have been by 9 or more points so I really don't think the points would help us anyway here but I do love the plus money on this money line testing that 5-0 streak! Let's win big again with that going for 6 in a row. CHICAGO +150 |
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03-13-24 | OGC Nice v. Paris Saint-Germain OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 3 m | Show |
Rotation #203613: Coupe de France | Quarter-Finals: Wednesday OVER 2.5 -135 in Paris Saint-German vs Nice @ 4:10 ET - PSG just too much for Nice and they have scored 2 goals in 3 straight matches with them. However, Nice has averaged 2 goals in last two meetings in Paris. Nice does enter this match in poor current form and are conceding too many goals which has led to 4 of last 6 totaling at least 3 goals. PSG also has revenge on their mind from a home loss to Nice back in September so they will be relentless on the attack here. PSG has scored at least 2 goals in 13 of last 15 matches. They have also conceded in 8 of last 11 matches. You can see, given all of the above, we should be looking at a 2-1 match here at the very least. OVER 2.5 -135 in Paris Saint-Germain |
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03-13-24 | Inter Milan v. Atletico Madrid OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 110 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
Rotation #224229: Champions League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg: Wednesday OVER 2.5 +110 in Atletico Madrid vs Inter Milan @ 4 ET - Atletico Madrid has struggled recently including losing the first leg of this battle with Inter Milan by a count of 1-0. However, they are a different club when on their home pitch and this will be just their 2nd home match in the past 4 weeks! Their last two home matches have seen them win by an aggregate score of 7 to 1. Also, Atletico Madrid is 13-1 at home this season in Spanish La Liga matches and has averaged scoring 2.5 goals per match! Inter Milan has won 13 straight matches and averaged scoring 2.5 goals per match during this winning streak. The point is both clubs are certainly solid defensively but you can also see their goal scoring prowess in these numbers. That said, I see at least a 2-1 final resulting here as the hosts must push hard here as they are down 1-0 already via that 1st leg result so they must be aggressive on the attack here but Inter Milan has been red hot as well so the goals should fly in this one. OVER 2.5 +110 in Atletico Madrid |
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03-13-24 | Xavier -1.5 v. Butler | Top | 76-72 | Win | 100 | 6 h 20 m | Show |
Rotation #679: CBB Wednesday Xavier Musketeers -1.5 vs Butler Bulldogs @ 4 ET - This line is around a 1.5 and I like the Musketeers to respond in this opportunity at right back revenge. They just lost at Butler in the Bulldogs regular season finale and Xavier can get the best kind of payback right here in the Big East Tourney! Also, the Musketeers did win the first game when the teams met in Cincinnati and that was their 2nd straight win in this series. They bounce back here after the loss at Butler. The Musketeers dominated the glass in both meetings this season and they will cut down on their turnovers here in the rematch of the last season 6-point loss. Also, Xavier does a better job of getting to the free throw line than the Bulldogs. In a potentially tight contest I want the better rebounding team, that also thrives on getting to the rack and creating contact to get to the FT line, and that also has revenge on their minds. Great set up here to lay a short number! XAVIER -1.5 |
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03-13-24 | Luton Town v. AFC Bournemouth OVER 3 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
Rotation #200125: English Premier League: Wednesday OVER 3 -145 in Bournemouth vs Luton Town @ 3:30 ET - These clubs had a match abandoned at the 60' mark earlier this season and it was 1-1 at that point. They appeared on target for at least 3 goals given the way that one was playing out. In terms of their most recently completed matches, those were in League Championship action and the last two of those each totaled at least 3 goals. Luton Town enters this match off a 1-1 draw but this followed 9 straight matches each totaling at least 3 goals. Those 9 matches averaged 5 goals apiece! Each one of these clubs allowing an average of about 2 goals per match in EPL action this season. Also, Bournemouth has seen 10 of last 15 matches overall total at least 3 goals. They have also scored an average of 2 goals per match last 19 matches overall. Given all of the above we should see an entertaining battle here in which it would not surprise to see each club reach the 2-goal mark! OVER 3 -145 in Bournemouth |
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03-12-24 | Bucks v. Kings +120 | Top | 94-129 | Win | 120 | 14 h 19 m | Show |
NBA Tuesday Sacramento Kings +120 vs Milwaukee Bucks @ 10 ET - The Kings are at home and off a home loss in which they were held to 109 points. Sacramento is 5-1 SU the last 6 times they entered a game off a loss in which they were held to 109 points or less. Ironically, the lone loss in that 5-1 run was in OT at Milwaukee. So you have a strong angle here plus you have the revenge angle working in your favor as well. Great spot for the Kings. The Bucks are off a road win but had lost 7 of last 12 road games heading into that one. Milwaukee had been better on defense but now they've allowed 122 ppg L3 games and this is the final game of a 4-game road trip so it is also a bit of a tricky spot as many team historically struggle in a spot like this when wrapping up a road trip. Definitely a strong situational edge for the home dog in this one. We'll forego the points and grab the money line. SACRAMENTO +120 |
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03-12-24 | Gonzaga v. St. Mary's +150 | Top | 60-69 | Win | 150 | 8 h 0 m | Show |
Rotation #634: CBB Tuesday St Mary's Gaels +150 vs Gonzaga Bulldogs @ 9 ET - First off, why am I taking a shot with the +150 money line here instead of grabbing the +3.5 points? Well, the Bulldogs have won 25 games this season and all have been by a margin of at least 4 points! The Gaels only have one loss by less than 4 points this season and that one was by 3 points. So the odds suggest that if Gonzaga wins, they cover. But the fact is St Mary's is primed for an upset here in Las Vegas. They truly have closed the gap on the Bulldogs this season and did split the season series with them. Also, most of the guys that are on this Gaels team were with them last season when they got embarrassed here in Las Vegas and lost to the Bulldogs 77-51 in the WCC Championship Game! Trust me, they have not forgotten. They have the better defense this season and they are ready for payback here and there is a reason the Zags opened up as such a small favorite here. No points needed, the solid D of the Gaels helps lead the way to revenge here. ST MARY'S +150 |
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03-12-24 | Sharks v. Flyers -1.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -125 | 5 h 20 m | Show |
NHL Tuesday: Philadelphia Flyers -1.5 -125 vs San Jose Sharks @ 7 ET - Flyers are off a horrible 7-0 loss and now hosting one of the worst teams in the league. This is a great bounce back spot and Philly is angry and coach Tortorella was so angry about all the power plays conceded in the 7-0 loss that the was ejected when the game was 4-0 and now serving a suspension. This angry Flyers team, as well as goalie Ersson (who had been hot) will be ready to respond here. The Sharks are off a win but this was preceded by 9 straight losses by an average margin of 2.5 goals. Flyers most recent win was by 1 goal but this followed 8 of last 10 wins by 2 or more goals. Philadelphia -1.5 -125 |
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03-12-24 | Red Wings v. Sabres OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 5 h 54 m | Show |
NHL Tuesday OVER 6.5 +100 in Buffalo Sabres vs Detroit Red Wings @ 7 ET - The Sabres have been getting solid goalie work from Luukkonen but this total is at 6.5 for a reason! The fact is Detroit's Lyon has allowed at least 4 goals in 4 straight games. Overall, the Red Wings have allowed 4.7 goals per game last 6 games! But Detroit also is dangerous offensively and has scored at least 3 goals in 12 of last 18 games. They are hungry on a losing streak in which, other than a shocking loss to Arizona, they faced some really tough competition. That said, I am looking for each team to get to the 3-goal mark here which would get us to at least a total of 7 goals in this one. Buffalo is off a 3-2 win in the shootout over the Oilers at home but this followed 4 of last 6 Sabres home games totaling 7 or more goals. OVER 6.5 +100 in Buffalo |
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03-12-24 | FC Porto v. Arsenal OVER 3 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -102 | 11 h 5 m | Show |
Rotation #224221: Champions League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg: Tuesday OVER 3 in Arsenal vs FC Porto @ 4 ET - Down 1-0 in this one, Arsenal need to not only respond at home but respond in a big way. Look for them to do just that as Arsenal has averaged scoring 4 GOALS per match in their last 8 matches in English Premier League action. In other words, the 1-0 loss to FC Porto in the reverse fixture is certainly an outlier! Also, Arsenal has allowed an average of 1 goal in their last 18 matches across all competitions and they are favored by 1.5 on the goal line here with good reason! In other words, look for a 3-1 type final here. Porto has scored at least 1 goal in 11 of last 12 matches and has averaged scoring 2.5 goals per match during this stretch. Many times these 1st and 2nd leg matches are polar opposites. The first one a 1-0 battle, don't be surprised if this one is a high-scoring thriller. Porto also still dealing with injuries to defensive personnel which also helps the cause. OVER 3 in Arsenal |
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03-12-24 | Napoli +0.5 v. Barcelona FC | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
Rotation #224217: Champions League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg: Tuesday Napoli +0.5 goal line +115 @ Barcelona @ 4 ET - Barcelona is on their home pitch and they are expected to be strong here but that has resulted in them being overvalued in this spot. Keep in mind, this one is 1-1 on the aggregate and Napoli is now much stronger than when they met about 3 weeks ago. That meeting was right after a managerial change. Napoli has been a different club ever since and appears rejuvenated. Keep in mind a 1-1 final here again - with the match then decided after the 90 minutes plus injury time - certainly is possible. Napoli just has not been conceding much at all and, in comparison with Barcelona, they are the much healthier team entering this one. Battling for a 1-1 draw on the road that extends their chances into AET (added extra time) in a match decided after 120 minutes would not surprise me in the least. That said, I like the plus plus option here with Napoli on the goal line at plus half a goal and plus money. Napoli has allowed 1 goal or less in 11 of last 12 matches and Barcelona has allowed goals in 10 of last 11 matches outside of La Liga action. In fact they have allowed an average of 1.8 goals in those 10 matches. This is tough competition for Barcelona and this one likely a draw or possibly even an upset win. Grab the dog value. NAPOLI +0.5 goal line +105 |
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03-12-24 | Middlesbrough v. Birmingham City OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -135 | 12 h 43 m | Show |
Rotation #200209: English League Championship | Gameweek 29: Tuesday OVER 2.5 -135 in Birmingham City vs Middlesbrough @ 3:45 ET - Both clubs will push hard for the full 3 points here as Birmingham City is perilously close to the relegation zone and Middlesbrough still has hopes of a top six finish in the league. Birmingham City is a different club when they are at home and 4 of their last 5 matches on their home pitch have totaled at least 3 goals and those 4 matches averaged 4 goals apiece! Middlesbrough has scored in 5 of last 6 road matches in English League Championship action and they averaged scoring 2 goals in those 5 matches! They are favored here on the road for a reason and I can't see this one ending with anything less than a 2-1 final. Middlesbrough averaging 1.8 goals scored per road match and Birmingham City averaging 1.5 goals scored per home match. This one gets to at least 3 goals. OVER 2.5 -135 in Birmingham City |
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03-12-24 | Borussia Monchengladbach v. Saarbrucken OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 53 m | Show |
Rotation #203001: German DFB-Pokal | Quarter-Finals: Tuesday OVER 2.5 -140 in Saarbrucken vs Borussia Monchengladbach @ 3:30 ET - Saarbrucken are a 3rd tier club in Germany but enjoying an impressive run in the DFB-Pokal competition. They are also the host in this match-up and they have scored 2 goals in each of their 3 matches in this competition thus far. At home, I do expect them to put on another strong showing here but Borussia Monchengladbach is in the top flight Bundesliga in Germany. The visitors in this match are having a rather "middling" season in Bundesliga so this competition has become even more important to them in terms of a chance to win some hardware! They are well aware that there is only one other Bundesliga competitor remaining and so they have a solid shot at winning it all. They too will bring a strong effort here as a result and they have allowed an average of 2 goals last 4 matches but also scored an average of 3 goals last 3 matches and those were against top flight competition. You can see why one can anticipate at least a 2-1 final in this one. OVER 2.5 -140 in Saarbrucken |
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03-11-24 | Stony Brook v. Hofstra -7 | Top | 63-59 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 60 m | Show |
Rotation #854 CBB Monday Hofstra Pride -7 vs Stony Brook Seawolves @ 8:30 ET - The Seawolves had to rally multiple times yesterday in an amazing double OT win over Drexel. Not only will this be the 3rd game in 3 days for Stony Brook, their top 5 scorers in yesterday's game scored 87 of their 91 points. Those 5 players averaged 39.4 minutes played. That means you have the guys that scored 96% of their points yesterday and are playing their 3rd game in 3rd days AVERAGED playing a FULL GAME of 40 minutes yesterday. This is a fantastic setup for the more rested Pride team to dominate. Hofstra has won 12 of 15 games and each of their last 6 wins have been by a double digit margin. The Pride did have 4 guys play heavy minutes in yesterday's game but that was their first game in more than a week and they will definitely have the fresher legs here. They pull away as this game goes in and it make it a 7th straight win by a double digit margin. Lay it! HOFSTRA -7 |
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03-11-24 | Hornets +145 v. Pistons | Top | 97-114 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 31 m | Show |
NBA Monday Charlotte Hornets +145 @ Detroit Pistons @ 7 ET - I know we could have the Hornets at 3.5 here but, believe it or not, the Pistons only have 1 win this season in a game decided by 4 or less points this season. Also, Charlotte only has 1 loss this season in a game decided by 4 or less points. So, the point is, if this game is tight at the end, it very likely goes the way of the Hornets and so the points do not even matter. We'll go for the bigger plus money return by utilizing the money line here. Note that the Pistons have defeated the Hornets in both games this season but only have 8 wins the rest of this season. Charlotte, despite no wins against league-worst Detroit, have 16 wins against the rest of the NBA. So, the point is the team with TWICE as many wins against the rest of the NBA, is a dog here. Now, of course it makes sense to the betting markets because Detroit is at home here and most people view these teams are nearly equal. However, I like the double revenge aspect and the aforementioned 16-win vs 8-win angle plus the Hornets are the better team defensively and they enter this game off a win which helps from a confidence standpoint. Speaking of confidence, I am confident in the fact no points needed here. CHARLOTTE +145 |
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03-11-24 | Devils v. Rangers OVER 6.5 | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 60 m | Show |
NHL Monday OVER 6.5 +100 in New York Rangers vs New Jersey Devils @ 7 ET - The Rangers are said to saving Shesterkin for the big battle at Carolina tomorrow. That means Quick getting the start here at the front end of this B2B. He has allowed 4 goals in each of his last two starts. Also, New York's D, even though they certainly have a history with nearby rivals like the Devils and Islanders and Flyers, could get caught thinking ahead to their big showdown with Carolina tomorrow. That's because the Hurricanes are right behind them at 2nd place in Metro as the Rangers keep working hard to stay in the #1 spot. New York has averaged 4 goals per game in going 12-3 last 15 games. So they should score well here for sure again but Quick could prove susceptible to a dangerous Devils attack. New Jersey has had 6 straight games away from home (including outdoor game with Philly) total at least 6 goals! 4 of the last 5 totaled at least 7 goals. These 6 games averaged 7.5 goals and I expect this one to get to 7 or 8 goals as well. Devils have allowed 4 or more goals in 7 of last 10 games. More of the same here. OVER 6.5 +100 in New York Rangers |
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03-11-24 | Newcastle United v. Chelsea OVER 3.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 115 | 12 h 18 m | Show |
Rotation #200121: English Premier League: Monday 10* Top Play OVER 3.5 +115 in Chelsea vs Newcastle United @ 4 ET - These clubs have met 4 times in less than a year across all competitions and there has not been a clean sheet yet. I feel we have strong odds on much more scoring here after many of those matches ended in 1-1 draws. Newcastle is allowing 2.3 goals per match when on the road this season. Chelsea has significant injuries impacting their defensive players. This one should be a high-scoring battle that would not surprise me if we saw each club get to the 2-goal mark. Newcastle is off a 3-0 victory at home and in EPL action this followed 8 straight matches all totaling at least 4 goals! That said, the over is now 8-0 and one push in Newcastle's last 9 EPL matches. The over is also 4-1 in Chelsea's last 5 EPL matches and those 4 overs all totaled at least 4 goals. This one will too as we test that 100% trend involving Newcastle Premier League matches and look for the 100% run to make it 9 in a row! OVER 3.5 +115 in Chelsea |
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03-11-24 | Udinese v. Lazio OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 128 | 12 h 8 m | Show |
Rotation #201237: Italian Serie A: Monday OVER 2.5 +120 in Lazio vs Udinese @ 3:45 ET - Lazio has only a 15% draw rate, 2nd lowest among the 20 clubs in Serie A, so if you like both clubs to score it stands to reason you like at least a 2-1 final. That is the case for me in this one too as Lazio is not in a good mood and will respond big at home but I also don't see Udinese being held off the scoresheet here. Both clubs are dealing with injury and/or suspension issues effecting the rearguard. The defensive stability of each club could be impacted here as a result. The first meeting this season was a 2-1 final two months ago and I expect a similar result here. Udinese is scoring an average of 1 goal per match this season. Lazio will be ready to respond after a 3-0 loss in Champions League followed a 1-0 home loss in Serie A action! Lazio had scored 9 goals and scored at least once in all 6 matches leading into this rare tough stretch of futility in front of the goalmouth. They now will take advantage of facing a lower-tier club that has allowed 1.5 goals per match this season. Look for at least a 2-1 final in this one given all of the above as you will see a spirited effort from the home side forcing a faster tempo filled with attacking in this match. Both clubs look to take advantage of the defensive absences as well. OVER 2.5 +120 in Lazio |
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03-11-24 | CSMS Iasi v. Otelul OVER 2 | Top | 1-1 | Push | 0 | 11 h 40 m | Show |
Rotation #206953: Romania Liga 1: Monday OVER 2 -125 in Otelul Galati vs Poli Iasi @ 2 ET - The value of this over available at 2 goals is a big one. 4 straight Galati matches have totaled at least 2 goals and these 4 matches have averaged 4 goals apiece! Poli Iasi is off a scoreless draw at home but 5 straight matches for Poli Iasi away from home have totaled at least 2 goals! These 5 matches averaged 3.6 goals apiece. So both these teams have UNBEATEN trends going here and, within those trends, there are 100% PERFECT records. 4-0 on the road for Poli Iasi to the over 2 goals and 3-0 to the over 2 goals overall matches for Galati. Take advantage of the solid line value here as both teams preparing for the playout phase of the season and 3 points is a critical step in the right direction as they are right next to each other in the table right now. So look for a big push for the victory here rather than a sharing of the spoils so we should see at least a 2-1 final as a result. OVER 2 -125 in Otelul Galati |
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03-10-24 | Pacers +115 v. Magic | Top | 111-97 | Win | 115 | 7 h 26 m | Show |
NBA Sunday Indiana Pacers Money Line +115 @ Orlando Magic @ 6 ET - Someone knows something. Yes, this is one of those games! This line opened around a pick'em and sure enough the Magic are now as high as 2.5 point favorite. Ask yourself this. Why was this line set this way? Exactly! It was an open invite to take the Magic which is why we are doing the exact opposite, of course, and grabbing the Pacers! Note that Orlando is off a loss and had won 13 of 16 games prior to that plus they are at home for this one. Conversely, Indiana has lost 4 of 6 games! All this yet this line was a pick'em? Indeed this is a trap line for the betting public and I am going on the other side of the move and we do not even need the points. Outright win for Indiana here. The Pacers have double revenge here from losing both games this season with the Magic and those two games were in Indiana. The road team has now won 3 straight in this match-up as the final meeting last season was a Pacers road win at Orlando as well. Look for the road team to make it 4 in a row and grab the money line road dog in this one! This line was set at a pick'em originally for a reason. Now we take advantage here and grab the underdog value. INDIANA +115 |
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03-10-24 | Coyotes v. Blackhawks OVER 5.5 | Top | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 6 h 56 m | Show |
NHL Sunday OVER 5.5 in Chicago Blackhawks vs Arizona Coyotes @ 6 ET - This total has dropped from a 6 to a 5.5 and this has opened up solid line value here. Neither team is known as an offensive juggernaut but Arizona is off a rare shutout win. Prior to that 4-0 win, 11 straight Coyotes games had totaled at least 6 goals as Arizona - just like Chicago - is known for giving up goals. Those 11 games averaged 7 goals per game! The Blackhawks last 13 games have featured just 2 wins and in the 11 losses they allowed an average of 4 goals per game. Chicago did beat Arizona 5-2 the last time these teams met and that was earlier this week. The goals should fly again in the rematch as Connor Ingram struggled against the Hawks in that 5-2 loss and had allowed 3.5 goals per match last 4 matches before that shutout win. The Blackhawks had Mrazek in goal last night so this will probably be Soderblom tonight and he had allowed 4 goals per game in last 4 games prior to holding these Coyotes to 2 goals in Arizona. Based on all of the above, I look for both teams to enjoy a lot of success on offense in this one. OVER 5.5 in Chicago |
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03-10-24 | Stony Brook v. Drexel -3.5 | Top | 91-88 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 36 m | Show |
Rotation #822: CBB Sunday Drexel Dragons -3.5 vs Stony Brook Seawolves @ 6 ET - Stony Brook had to play yesterday so this is a big scheduling edge for Drexel as they have been off for a week. Also, the Dragons have won 20 games this season. Compare that to the Northeastern team that the Seawolves beat yesterday - that team now has 20 losses this season. Also, Stony Brook was 20 of 22 from the FT line while Northeastern was 12 of 21 from the FT line. That was the difference in the game which is not saying a whole helluva lot about the Seawolves. This Dragons team has veteran leadership and a deep rotation and they will take advantage of facing Stony Brook in a B2B. Yes this is a neutral site game in DC but this is a bargain line that has moved down on the favorite and I am happy to take advantage of this Dragons team is the stronger team and will advance to the next round of the CAA tourney. They take advantage of having had a double bye heading into this one. DREXEL -3.5 |
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03-10-24 | Flames v. Hurricanes OVER 6 | Top | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 5 h 13 m | Show |
NHL Sunday OVER 6 -115 in Carolina Hurricanes vs Calgary Flames @ 5 ET - This total dropping from 6.5 to a 6 in some spots as of 5 hours before drop of the puck has opened up some great line value. The Hurricanes have seen their games total at least 6 goals in 3 of last 4. The Flames have had 6 straight games total at least 6 goals. Grab the value here as Calgary had scored an average of 4 goals in their last 7 games prior to an ugly 5-1 loss in most recent game. The Flames will be aggressive on the attack here after a game like that but they will struggle to slow down a strong Hurricanes team on their home ice. I expect both teams to get to the 3-goal mark in this one and so we'd be looking at 7 goals at least as final result. OVER 6 -115 in Carolina |
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03-10-24 | CS U Craiova v. U Craiova 1948 OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 25 m | Show |
Rotation #206973: Romania Liga 1: Sunday OVER 2.5 -120 in FCU 1948 Craiova vs Universitatea Craiova @ 2:45 ET - FCU 1948 Craiova has played 8 matches in the new calendar year and these have averaged 8 goals apiece Universitatea Craiova has played 11 matches since early December and 10 in a row had totaled at least 3 goals before last week's 1-1 draw. That was the 6th straight match that Universitatea Craiova has both scored and conceded. Considering that, plus the fact that FCU 1948 Craiova has only a 14% draw rate this season - lowest in the league - look for at least a 2-1 final here. Note that we are testing the 10-1 run to the over involving Universitatea Craiova in this one. That's a 91% run. 10* OVER 2.5 -120 in FCU 1948 Craiova |
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03-10-24 | Ohio State -110 v. Rutgers | Top | 73-51 | Win | 100 | 5 h 9 m | Show |
Rotation #805: CBB Sunday Ohio State PK -110 @ Rutgers Scarlet Knights @ 2 ET - The Buckeyes have been a different team ever since they fired their head coach. Yes, this is Senior Day at Rutgers but the Scarlet Knights have been on the fade with losses in 5 of 6 games. Ohio State, on the other hand, has won 5 of 7 games. Clearly a case of two teams going in opposite directions. Also, Ohio State has 18 wins on the season and they have won 3 straight. They are motivated here to stay hot and get that 19th win and then look to make a little noise in the Big Ten Tourney and get to the 20-win mark at least. They did beat the Scarlet Knights in the first meeting but revenge is not enough to get it done for Rutgers in this one. They are simply slumping too much. The Buckeyes are the much better shooting team and are much more of a threat offensively than the Scarlet Knights. Also, Ohio State has been playing better defense since the coaching change. This is simply a new team right now in terms of morale, etc and the Buckeyes will get it done here. OHIO STATE Pick -110 |
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03-10-24 | Manchester City v. Liverpool OVER 3 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -118 | 5 h 34 m | Show |
Rotation #200117: English Premier League: Sunday OVER 3 -120 in Liverpool vs Manchester City @ 11:45 AM ET - The last meeting was a 1-1 draw but this followed 7 of last 8 meetings having totaled at least 4 goals and this one should get there as well considering the way these two clubs are rolling right now! Manchester City has scored an average of 2.7 goals over last 20 matches across all competitions. City has also conceded at least 1 goal in 7 of last 10 matches across all competitions. Liverpool has scored an average of 3 goals per match last 7 matches overall and they have Mohamed Salah now back as well. The over is a perfect 4-0 L4 Liverpool matches on their home pitch and these have averaged 5 goals apiece. Look for a 3-2 type final here in what is the final time that Jurgen Klopp will meet Pep Guardiola in a Premier League battle with the former moving on after this season. That said, no holding back here and plenty of fireworks expected. OVER 3 -120 in Liverpool |
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03-10-24 | Burnley v. West Ham United -0.75 | Top | 2-2 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 49 m | Show |
Rotation #200110: English Premier League Sunday West Ham United Goal Line vs Burnley @ 10 AM ET - Burnley is now in the cellar of the 20-club Premier League after Sheffield United moved out of the basement via a 2-2 draw yesterday. Unlike Sheffield United, Burnley has shown no signs of goal-scoring life of late. Burnley has lost 3 straight matches by a combined score of 10 to 0 and overall has been outscored 13 to 1 in losing 4 straight matches. The most concerning aspect is the last two defeats have come against clubs that only have a combined 7 wins in 55 EPL matches this season! Indeed, Burnley in horrific form right now and getting ready to take on a West Ham club that is threatening for a Top Six finish in the league! Also, West Ham is off B2B wins in EPL action by a combined score of 7 to 3. West Ham undefeated the last 5 meetings between these clubs and won 3 of those and the way they are scoring goals (and Burnley is not) of late, this looks like a home blowout. West Ham United Goal Line |
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03-10-24 | Tottenham Hotspur v. Aston Villa OVER 3.5 | Top | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 3 h 12 m | Show |
Rotation #200105: English Premier League Sunday OVER 3.5 -117 in Aston Villa vs Tottenham @ 9 AM ET - In EPL action, Aston Villa's last 6 matches have averaged 4.3 goals apiece. 6 of their last 9 matches overall have totaled at least 4 goals so don't let this big total scare you away from backing the over in this one. Tottenham has seen it's last 8 EPL matches average 4.1 goals apiece and 6 of the 8 totaled at least 4 goals. Don't be surprised if each club gets to the 2-goal mark in this one and I anticipate a 3-2 or 2-2 type match in this one given the recent trending of both clubs in English Premier League matches. OVER 3.5 -117 in Aston Villa |
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03-09-24 | Raptors v. Blazers +130 | Top | 118-128 | Win | 130 | 9 h 49 m | Show |
NBA Saturday Portland Trail Blazers +130 vs Toronto Raptors @ 10:10 ET - The Blazers are in a B2B spot but they are 9-10 SU against Eastern Conference teams. Toronto is only 7-17 SU against Western Conference foes! So the point is, even though you are talking about two teams having rough seasons, the Blazers have favored much better in non-conference action than the Raptors. Also, Portland has the homecourt edge in this one. The Trail Blazers have won twice in last five games. Toronto has lost 7 straight road games against Western Conference foes. Look for that run to reach 8 in a row in this one! Grab the home dog value here. No points needed! PORTLAND +130 |