Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-31-22 | Oilers +163 v. Avalanche | Top | 6-8 | Loss | -100 | 20 h 35 m | Show |
NHL Tuesday 10* Top Play Edmonton Oilers Money Line +160 @ Colorado Avalanche @ 8 ET - I have a ton of respect for Colorado but feel the Oilers could steal game one of this series on the road before some adjustments are made. Edmonton has shown a lot of resilience to get here. Remember they suffered the OT heart-breaker versus the Kings in Alberta to fall behind 3-2 in the series and then had to go on the road to win Game 6 before winning Game 7 again home ice. Then they dropped Game 1 of their series at Calgary only to battle back and win 4 straight games over a very strong Flames team. That said, I am more impressed with the Oilers than the fact the Avs got by the Predators and then a Blues team that I think they should have destroyed but they did not. The key point being that the value is off the charts here as Edmonton is much stronger than many realize while everyone knows the Avalanche are so talented and hence we have seen a line move in a strong way toward Colorado in the opener. I am happy to invest in the value on the other side as the Oilers are 4-2 on enemy ice in this post-season and the road team has won 7 of last 8 Avs games! 10* EDMONTON +160 |
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05-31-22 | Angels v. Yankees OVER 8.5 | Top | 1-9 | Win | 100 | 16 h 14 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in New York Yankees vs Los Angeles Angels @ 7:05 ET - Yankees have trended under recently but they still have a hitter-friendly home park for sure. The runs will start coming again and we have a low total to work with here. Keep in mind, the Angels Syndergaard has a 5.93 ERA in his 3 road starts this season. Overall, his last 3 outings have featured 2 overs and a push. The over is also 2-0 in the last 2 starts for the Yankees Montgomery. The southpaw has his hands full here with a solid Angels lineup. The issue for Los Angeles will be a pitching staff that has allowed an average of 7 runs per game during their 5-game losing streak. That said, regardless of the pitchers here, look for both teams to score well in this one as the under has cashed in only 7 times in Angels 21 road games this season. 10* OVER 8.5 in New York Yankees |
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05-31-22 | Giants v. Phillies -122 | Top | 7-4 | Loss | -122 | 17 h 12 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Tuesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies -125 vs San Francisco Giants @ 6:45 ET - The Phillies are off frustrating B2B losses in extra innings and have now lost 4 straight games. That is noteworthy as Philadelphia is in this position now for the 3rd time this season. They have ended the losing streak each time so far and make it 3-0 today in my opinion. Regardless of who pitches I fully expect the Phillies to bounce back here so this is a play no matter what. I will however mention that Suarez gives us the edge over Junis. Suarez piling up the strikeouts again and should work deeper here against a Giants team that has not seen as much of him as other teams. As for Junis, his lone start against the Phillies was an ugly one and he certainly is not piling up the strikeouts like Suarez is. 10* PHILADELPHIA -125 |
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05-30-22 | Rangers +136 v. Hurricanes | Top | 6-2 | Win | 136 | 42 h 51 m | Show |
NHL Monday 10* Top Play New York Rangers Money Line +135 @ Carolina Hurricanes @ 8 ET - With the home team having won all 6 games in this series, there is certain to be favoritism from the betting markets toward the Hurricanes in this one. However, I feel strongly that that the fact the Rangers have taken 3 of the last 4 games in this series has much less to do with the home ice factor and much more to do with a goalie edge. New York has the edge between the pipes and that is particularly huge in a Game 7. That said, I am backing the road dog that is loaded with momentum and coming off another huge win in Game 6 Saturday. 10* NEW YORK RANGERS +135 |
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05-30-22 | Royals v. Guardians OVER 9 | Top | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 15 h 9 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Monday 10* Top Play OVER 9 in Cleveland Guardians vs Kansas City Royals @ 6:10 ET - The Royals got hammered 7-3 yesterday and that over brings the O/U run to 9-1 last 10 Kansas City games. The Guardians are off a 2-1 loss yesterday and have been trending toward unders. However, I like the over a ton here regardless of the starting pitchers as Cleveland bounces back at home and takes advantage of facing a Royals pitching staff that has allowed 6 or more runs in 8 of last 10 games. Kansas City also should hit well here no matter who is on the mound but I will mention that the expected starters here are Plesac and Heasley. Note that Cleveland's Plesac has a 6.88 ERA last 3 starts and all 3 of those outings resulted in overs. The O/U is 6-2 in Plesac starts this season. Heasley has 13 walks compared to 7 strikeouts in his 3 starts this season. He has a command issue to say the least. Again, regardless of pitchers, look for recent over trending in Royals games to continue here. 10* OVER 9 in Cleveland |
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05-30-22 | Brewers -110 v. Cubs | Top | 7-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 56 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Monday 10* Top Play Milwaukee Brewers Money Line -110 @ Chicago Cubs @ 1:05 ET (Game 1 of 2) - This match-up expected to feature a pair of rookie starters on the mound. I like this play regardless of who the pitchers are as the Cubs are just 7-15 at home this season. Chicago coming off a disappointing loss to White Sox as they gave up a run in the bottom of the 9th which forced extra innings and they lost in extra innings. The Brewers, on the other hand, are off a momentum-boosting 8-0 win at St Louis. Milwaukee has won 9 of 14 games while Cubs have lost 7 of 11. Also, as noted above, home field has been unkind so far this season for Chicago. Look for Brewers to get the road win and improve to 4-1 last 5 games versus the Cubs. 10* MILWAUKEE -110 |
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05-29-22 | Celtics v. Heat +123 | Top | 100-96 | Loss | -100 | 39 h 26 m | Show |
NBA Sunday 10* Top Play Miami Heat Money Line +125 vs Boston Celtics @ 8:30 ET - The Celtics continue to get a lot more respect than the Heat and this has resulted in line value here. Miami has been getting a lot of shots from the field but just was not shooting well at all and that allowed Boston to take a stranglehold on the series. However, with the Heat bouncing back in Game 6 thanks to Jimmy Butler proving to be Mr Clutch as he so often is, the value is with Miami on their home floor here. The Heat are getting healthier including Butler certainly looking 100 percent again and couple that with the home court and momentum edge here and I just do not see Miami being denied in this one. Tatum is a beast for the Celtics of course and they are a very strong team just like Miami and that is why this series is going 7 games. However, just can not see the ultra-competitive Butler being denied here as he and his teammates put it all together again for a big win on their home floor. Their confidence is back and better shooting will follow and they are at home here and, keep in mind, the Heat averaged 19 more shots from the field than the Celtics in the 3 games that preceded their big Game 6 road win. 10* MIAMI +125 |
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05-29-22 | Phillies +102 v. Mets | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 54 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Sunday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Money Line +102 @ New York Mets @ 7:08 ET - The Phillies are off B2B losses and the last 5 times they have entered a game off 2 or more consecutive losses they have gone 4-1. So I like the Phillies here to avoid the sweep no matter who the pitchers are. However, the expected starters are Wheeler and Bassitt and this gives the Phillies an edge. Wheeler is a former Met and has been very strong in his starts against them since going from New York to Philadelphia. Also, Bassitt is off a start in which he allowed 8 earned runs in 4 and 1 / 3 innings. He has now allowed 5 homers in his last two starts. To put that in perspective compared to Wheeler, note that the Phillies starter has allowed only 2 homers in 8 starts this season! In this divisional rivalry match-up look for the Phillies to get the road win and avoid the dreaded sweep at the hands of the first place team in the division. Note this is the 4th series between these teams already this season and neither has swept the other thus far. Look for that trend to remain intact when the final result rolls in on this game as well. 10* PHILADELPHIA +102 |
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05-29-22 | Giants v. Reds OVER 9 | Top | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 32 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 9 in Cincinnati Reds vs San Francisco Giants @ 11:35 AM ET - The Giants pounded out 12 hits yesterday but scored only 2 runs. Today they will make up for that. I like this play no matter who the pitchers are as the over is 14-6 in Reds games this season. However, I will mention the expected starting pitchers are Cobb and Mahle. That is noteworthy because the over is 6-1 in Cobb's starts and 8-2 in Mahle's starts this season. The fact Cobb has a 6.25 ERA on the season and Mahle has a 6.35 ERA in home starts this season only helps our cause here. Cincinnati has won 4 straight games and scored an average of 8 runs per game. The Giants are off B2B unders but this was after an 8-2 run to the over and I do like the fact they pounded out a dozen hits in yesterday's loss. 10* OVER 9 in Cincinnati |
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05-28-22 | Hurricanes v. Rangers -106 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 16 h 6 m | Show |
NHL Saturday 10* Top Play New York Rangers Money Line -105 vs Carolina Hurricanes @ 8 ET - The home team has won all 5 games in this series and long-term history is on our side here too as the Rangers have won 37 of 51 meetings between these franchises when they are a host. Not only is the home team 5-0 in this series, the Rangers are a perfect 4-0 the last 4 times they were on home ice and coming off a loss in prior game. That means we have a double perfect situation here and I am happy to test it! 10* NEW YORK RANGERS -105 |
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05-28-22 | Rangers v. A's OVER 7.5 | Top | 11-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 30 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 7.5 in Oakland Athletics vs Texas Rangers @ 4:07 ET - The Rangers are hot right now and have won 8 of 12 and are scoring well in those victories. I understand the low O/U here based on the fact that Texas has trended under on the road this season and the A's have trended under overall this season. However, this total seems far too low given the way Texas has been swinging the bats of late. Also, the A's should score well again here at home just like they did yesterday. I like this play regardless of the pitchers but I will mention that the Rangers Taylor Hearn has been hammered in each of his last two starts. Also, the same holds true for the Athletics Zach Logue. That said, we have plenty of value here with this one and I will go to my highest level on this play. 10* OVER 7.5 in Oakland |
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05-27-22 | Heat v. Celtics OVER 200.5 | Top | 111-103 | Win | 100 | 20 h 24 m | Show |
NBA Friday 10* Top Play OVER 200.5 in Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat @ 8:30 ET - Back to back unders but the Heat actually have averaged 92 shots from the field the last 3 games. The only reason the last two games have stayed under is because of horrible shooting from Miami which is highly improbable to continue here. At the same time, you know Boston is likely to stay hot. Celtics are at home where they are loaded with confidence. Boston has only had one poor game offensively in their last 8 home games. In the other 7 games, the Celtics have averaged 108.4 points per game as a host. Considering that plus the Heat facing elimination and likely to finally shoot at least a halfway respectable rate in this one we have great line value with this ultra low total. 10* OVER 200.5 in Boston |
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05-27-22 | Avalanche v. Blues OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -115 | 19 h 17 m | Show |
NHL Friday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in St Louis Blues vs Colorado Avalanche @ 8 ET - The Blues are down to their last chance here at home after surviving the same situation (a must win) Wednesday on the road at Colorado. As a result, I expect them to bring a huge effort on home ice. The problem for St Louis is that ever since they lost Binnington to injury, the goaltending has really taken a hit. The Blues can not seem to stop the Avalanche and Colorado, prior to the 5-4 Game 5 loss, had outscored St Louis 11 to 5 since Binnington got hurt early in Game 3. Keep in mind, those two high-scoring Avs wins were at St Louis and now, on the road where they have played so well, the Avalanche are even more likely to pile up goals in this one as they come off a high-scoring loss. The Blues have scored an average of 3.5 goals per game the last 4 games but the Avalanche are a big favorite for a reason here. In other words, a 4-3 or 5-3 type game would not be surprising in the least. Only 2 unders in last 11 meetings between these teams in St Louis and that trend involving Blues and Avs continues here. 10* OVER 6.5 in St Louis |
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05-27-22 | Phillies +126 v. Mets | Top | 6-8 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 38 m | Show |
*Action on Pitchers* MLB Friday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies +126 @ New York Mets @ 7:10 ET - Regardless of who pitches here I like the Phillies as they continue to hit much better on the road than at home and will ride the momentum of a big win at Atlanta last night. The Mets were off yesterday but the Phillies are likely to go with lefty Falter here and the young hurler has been pitching extremely well at the AAA level. Falter also has a good amount of MLB experience though most of it out of the bullpen. The key about New York facing a lefty here is that the Mets are just 5-8 this season versus southpaws including losses in 4 of the last 5 versus left-handers. As for the Mets Carrasco, he has been giving up a lot of hits in recent games and the Phillies have won 3 of last 5 games and scored at least 4 runs in 6 straight games. Note that the Mets have been feast or famine at the plate of late and have been held to 3 or less runs in 3 of last 5 games and 5 of last 10 games. The Mets have allowed 6 or more runs in 4 of last 7 games. So, again, no matter who is on the mound today for either team, I like the road team at a nice come back price to get the underdog win. The big line move toward the Mets means extra line value here as well. 10* PHILADELPHIA +125 |
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05-26-22 | Mavs +7 v. Warriors | Top | 110-120 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 6 m | Show |
NBA Thursday 10* Top Play Dallas Mavericks +7 @ Golden State Warriors @ 9 ET - Amazingly, the Mavericks have not had a standalone win in 4 months. You have to go all the way back to January 24th to find the last time that the Mavericks were off a loss, had a win, and then lost their very next game. Since that time, the Mavs are 12-0 / 100% perfect in this situation. That is a SU record. 12 straight times the Mavericks have managed to avoid the dreaded standalone win. That said, I definitely like our chances here of getting at least a cover as the Mavericks look to keep their season alive with one big upset. Once again, when off a win that was preceded by a loss, the Mavericks are 12-0 / 100% perfect SU. Give me the points here. 10* DALLAS +7 |
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05-26-22 | Rangers +140 v. Hurricanes | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 19 h 55 m | Show |
NHL Thursday 10* Top Play New York Rangers Money Line +140 @ Carolina Hurricanes @ 7 ET - Just too much value to pass up on here in my opinion. The line keeps climbing on the Canes but the Rangers have the hot goalie in Shesterkin and have all the momentum after B2B wins. I know one could argue the home team has won all the games in this series and their argument is correct. However, I think the biggest key in this series is the goalie edge that New York has. That said, and with momentum on their side, I will ride the road dog in this one. 10* NEW YORK RANGERS +140 |
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05-26-22 | Rockies v. Nationals OVER 8.5 | Top | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 18 h 34 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Washington Nationals vs Colorado Rockies @ 7:05 ET - The Rockies and Nationals each have a struggling starting pitcher on the mound for this one. But, regardless of the starting pitchers, the Rockies off a 10-5 loss yesterday and they are likely to see bullpen lit up again today. As for the Nationals, they are off a 1-0 shutout win and that ended a stretch of 3 straight overs and I look for the high-scoring trending to immediately resume. The Nats were allowing an average of 6.5 runs per game last 11 games prior to the shutout win. Colorado allowing 5.8 runs per game last dozen games. Plenty of offense likely in this one no matter the starters but also note Marquez has a 6.14 ERA this season and Corbin has 6.59 ERA this season. Look for a wild one here. 10* OVER 8.5 in Washington |
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05-25-22 | Celtics v. Heat +1.5 | Top | 93-80 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 1 m | Show |
NBA Wednesday 10* Top Play Miami Heat +1.5 @ Boston Celtics @ 8:30 ET - The Heat are off a loss and have been so strong off a defeat. The Celtics got the key Game 4 win to even this series up but now are over-valued on the road. Boston has been alternating wins and losses frequently in this post-season in the last two series and I look for that trend to continue here. The Celtics will have their hands full here with a Heat team that had won 10 straight home games prior to losing to 25 points as a host versus Boston in Game 2 of this series. Not only payback for that but Miami enters this game off a 20 point road loss in Game 4 at Boston. The Heat take back series lead with a key revenging win over the Celtics in this one. 10* MIAMI +1.5 |
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05-25-22 | Blues v. Avalanche OVER 6.5 | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 16 h 5 m | Show |
NHL Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Colorado Avalanche vs St Louis Blues @ 8 ET - The Blues are down to their last chance here. As a result, I expect them to bring a huge effort on the road. The problem for St Louis is that ever since they lost Binnington to injury, the goaltending has really taken a hit. The Blues can not seem to stop the Avalanche and Colorado has outscored St Louis 11 to 5 since Binnington got hurt early in Game 3. Keep in mind, those two high-scoring Avs wins were at St Louis and now, at home with a chance to close the series out, the Avalanche are ever more likely to pile up goals in this one. The Blues have scored an average of 3 goals per game the last 3 games but the Avalanche are a big favorite for a reason here. In other words, a 4-3 or 5-3 type game would not be surprising in the least. 10* OVER 6.5 in Colorado |
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05-25-22 | Orioles v. Yankees OVER 8.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -102 | 14 h 23 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles @ 7:05 ET - The Yankees and Orioles continue their high-scoring ways in this one. Baltimore has had just 2 unders last 9 games. The Orioles have scored at least 6 runs in 5 of last 6 games. The Yankees have won 11 of last 16 games and have scored an average of 5.5 runs per game last 7 games. JP Sears expected to make first ever MLB start for Yankees here and a struggling Tyler Wells likely to start for the Orioles here. Wells has a 7.62 ERA on the road this season and Baltimore is 0-4 in those starts. Considering that plus the fact that the Sears making first ever start and will feel pressure to perform well for the home fans in first ever start in the Bronx, this one sets up well for an over. Regardless of the starting pitchers, the over is the play here as both teams keep piling up the runs and only 1 of last 7 meetings between these teams has resulted in an under. 10* OVER 8.5 in New York Yankees |
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05-23-22 | Heat +6.5 v. Celtics | Top | 82-102 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 19 m | Show |
NBA Monday 10* Top Play Miami Heat +6.5 @ Boston Celtics @ 8:30 ET - The Heat could get Butler back for this game and I do expect that plus they are loaded with confidence after the big Game 3 win on the road. Miami does not have to win this game to get the money for us either. A loss by 6 or less points also cashes our ticket and 5 of Boston's 9 post-season wins have been by a margin of 4.8 points. All the pressure on Boston here to avoid a 3-1 series hole before heading to Miami for Game 5. As for the Heat, they already have accomplished the success of insuring they have home court edge for this series no matter what happens in Game 4. That said, they can play loose and relaxed basketball. With all the pressure on the Celtics, the Heat are going to be tough to put away in this one. Huge value with the points. 10* MIAMI +6.5 |
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05-23-22 | Panthers v. Lightning -122 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show |
NHL Monday 10* Top Play Tampa Bay Lightning Money Line -125 vs Florida Panthers @ 7:05 ET - Vasilevskiy has allowed only 1 goal in each of his last 4 starts. Tampa Bay has won 5 straight games. The Lightning are on home ice here and are the two-time defending champs. TB continues to get too little respect and Florida continues to get too much respect. The ability to get the Bolts at a small money line here on home ice just because the Panthers are in a 3-0 hole is too good to pass up on. Brayden Point likely to be out again for this one and yet though he keeps missing the games the Lightning have a 3-0 series lead. They are so strong defensively and in goal and know how to win playoff hockey and I expect them to get the sweep here as Florida continues to struggle to score goals and their power play numbers have been on a horrific run even after yesterday's goal! 10* TAMPA BAY -125 |
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05-23-22 | Cubs v. Reds OVER 9 | Top | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 29 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB 10* Top Play OVER 9 in Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs @ 6:40 ET - The Cubs have been better on the road than at home this season and the Reds have been better at home than on the road. This one set up well for plenty of runs no matter who is on the mound. The over is on a 3-0 run in Cubs games and they have scored an average of 5.7 runs per game during this win streak. The Reds are scoring an average of 5.6 runs per game as a host this season and the over is 11-3 in their 14 home games this season. Smyly the expected starter for Chicago and he is 0-3 with a 5.53 ERA in his last 3 starts and the damage could be even much worse as he has been hit hard. Gutierrez is 0-5 with an 8.65 ERA in his starts this season and the over is 3-0 in his last 3 starts as he has been particularly roughed up in these outings. 10* OVER 9 in Cincinnati |
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05-22-22 | Warriors v. Mavs UNDER 218 | Top | 109-100 | Win | 100 | 9 h 3 m | Show |
NBA 10* UNDER 218 in Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors @ 9 ET - Barring another absolutely ludicrous finish like the 24 points we saw scored in the final minute and 20 seconds of last night's game between the Celtics and Heat, we should finally seen an under here. The Mavericks will dial up the defense here as they look to avoid an 0-3 hole here and the Warriors are known for struggling with their shooting on the road at times. Golden State fully capable of more solid defense here though just like they showed in the 2nd half of their Game 2 win. The result is a game that should fall well short of the total tonight unless we again see another absolutely preposterous final 81 seconds of basketball like we saw last night. 10* UNDER 218 in Dallas |
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05-22-22 | Hurricanes v. Rangers +105 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 105 | 5 h 28 m | Show |
10* New York Rangers +105 - Rangers have scored an average of 4 goals per game in regulation time of their post-season games in 2022. New York has won 3 straight games on home ice. They are getting strong goal-tending from Igor Shesterkin but just can't get anything going in the offensive zone. They will now that they are back on home ice. Look for the Rangers to get back into this series with a big win Sunday. 10* NEW YORK RANGERS +105 |
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05-22-22 | White Sox v. Yankees OVER 9 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -120 | 4 h 6 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* Game 1 of 2 in New York Yankees vs Chicago White Sox @ 3:05 ET - 10* Top Play OVER 9 runs - The Yankees been scoring so well at home. New York has won 10 of last 12 games overall and have averaged scoring 6.4 runs per game last 11 games. They have hot bats right now and this ball park is conducive to runs. Cueto and Taillon the expected starting pitchers but I really do not care who pitches. This is all about two solid batting lineups and an afternoon game in the Bronx and ideal conditions for an over here. The White Sox bats did get off to a slow start this season but they are starting to hit better and have averaged a respectable 4.3 runs per game last dozen games. 10* OVER 9 in New York Yankees (Game 1 Sunday) |
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05-22-22 | Panthers v. Lightning +100 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 4 h 13 m | Show |
10* Tampa Bay Lightning +100 - Vasilevskiy has allowed only 1 goal in each of his last 3 starts. Tampa Bay has won 4 straight games. The Lightning are on home ice here and are the two-time defending champs. TB continues to get too little respect and Florida continues to get too much respect. The ability to get the Bolts at even money here on home ice just because the Panthers are in a 2-0 hole is too good to pass up on. Brayden Point likely to be out again for this one and yet though he keeps missing the games the Lightning have a 2-0 series lead. They are so strong defensively and in goal and now how to win playoff hockey! 10* TAMPA BAY +100 |
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05-22-22 | Newcastle United v. Burnley +133 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 10 m | Show |
10* Burnley +130 - Battling with Leeds to avoid relegation is Burnley and the latter club certainly has the much better chance of avoiding relegation as they have the better of Leeds United on goal differential plus here they are hosting a Newcastle club that has had a very rough season as travelers in this campaign |
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05-22-22 | Aston Villa v. Manchester City OVER 3.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 105 | 2 h 8 m | Show |
10* OVER 3.5 in Manchester City - Aston Villa has a leaky defense at times and Manchester City needs the full 3 points here in the table to make sure they hold off Liverpool fo the top spot so I am expecting Man City to be very aggressive on the attack here and they do average 3 goals per match as a host this season and Aston Villa is averaging 1.4 goals scored per match this season so I look for them to find the back of the net at least once in this one plus the hosts fully capable of getting this match over the total all by themselves |
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05-21-22 | Heat v. Celtics UNDER 207.5 | Top | 109-103 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 37 m | Show |
NBA Saturday 10* Top Play UNDER 207.5 in Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat @ 8:30 ET - The first two games of this series have totaled at least 225 points yet the odds makers have hardly budged on the O/U they are posting. As I have said many times before, the odds makers are super sharp and I feel they have this match-up pegged. We're going to finally see the type of defensive-minded chess match many have been expecting with this series. Keep in mind the Celtics just knocked down 20 of 40 from three point land in Game 2 and also note that each team has combined to hit above their normal shooting percentages from the field in the first two games of this series. These numbers are not sustainable and with this series tied at 1-game apiece, we are going to see some solid defense here in a critical swing game here in Game 3. The under has cashed in 4 of last 5 Boston home games. The under has cashed in 4 of last 5 Miami road games. 10* UNDER 207.5 in Boston |
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05-21-22 | Rays v. Orioles OVER 8.5 | Top | 6-1 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 32 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays @ 7:05 ET - The Orioles Bradish has struggled at home and no matter who pitchers here I like the over on a warm evening in Baltimore. The Rays are expected to start Springs and throughout his career he has struggled more on the road than at home. Yesterday's 13-inning game used up some bullpen arms and was 2nd straight Orioles game to total 14 or more runs. Baltimore has allowed 5 runs per game last 10 games. The Rays have seen 5 of their last 7 road games total double digits in runs. More of the same expected here. 10* OVER 8.5 in Baltimore |
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05-20-22 | Mavs +6.5 v. Warriors | Top | 117-126 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 29 m | Show |
NBA Friday 10* Top Play Dallas Mavericks Money Line +220 @ Golden State Warriors @ 9 ET - If you think this series is over already think again. Ton of value here with Dallas and we don't need any points. Yes the Mavericks got blown out in Game One of this series but that was only the 2nd time they have been blown out by Golden State in the last 7 meetings. The two defeats were blowout losses but the Mavs won each of the other 5 games and ALL were straight-up outright wins. That is why I am advising NOT to take the points here. We will not need them. Dallas, overall, is 16-3 SU the last 19 times when off a loss. These teams knows how to bounce back and that is why losing streaks have been rare. That has played a key role in why the Mavericks finished up the regular season on a 36-12 SU run last 48 games. As for post-season, the Mavs are already 4-1 when off a loss and I am looking for a big-time bounce back here. The Mavericks had 4 more shots from the field and 5 more shots from the free throw line in Wednesday's 25-point loss. We have value here as a result because I am expecting much better shooting from the Mavs in this one. 10* DALLAS +220 |
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05-20-22 | Rangers +157 v. Hurricanes | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 29 m | Show |
NHL Friday 10* Top Play New York Rangers Money Line +155 @ Carolina Hurricanes @ 8 ET - Late in the 2nd period of Game 1 the Rangers rang one off the pipe that would have given them a 2-0 lead in the game and likely a 1-0 series lead as a result. Instead, the Canes kept the 1-goal deficit nearly the entire game and then struck finally with just a few minutes left in the game to tie it up and force OT. The Hurricanes then went on to win it in overtime and now the Rangers respond. Since the calendar turned the page to 2022, New York has had 4 losses after regulation. There were 2 in the regular season and then Wednesday's was the 2nd one of the post-season. After each of the first 3, the Rangers won their next game every single time. I look for that record to improve to 4-0 after tonight's game goes into the books. Game 1 was a heart-breaker for the Rangers and for us but we both get payback tonight! 10* NEW YORK RANGERS +155 |
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05-20-22 | Dodgers v. Phillies +128 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 43 m | Show |
*ACTION ON PITCHERS* MLB Friday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Money Line +125 vs Los Angeles Dodgers @ 7:05 ET - Phillies off a shutout loss and, regardless of the pitching match-up, I look for them to bounce back at home after being held scoreless here yesterday. Philadelphia is 4-1 last 5 times they were off a loss in which they were held to 1 run or less. Also, the Phillies just took 3 of 4 games from the Dodgers in Los Angeles and were one out away from a 4-game sweep there! The Phillies will have plenty of confidence entering this series as a result and the projected pitchers are Urias and Suarez. The Phillies just hammered Urias for 4 homers in LA. Also, his start before that was on the road and he allowed 11 hits in 6 innings. While Urias is trending the wrong direction, Suarez appears to have righted the ship and returned to his 2021 form. He has a 3.00 ERA his last 3 starts and that includes a strong effort versus the Dodgers. The Phillies could get Bryce Harper back tonight but, regardless of his status and without regard to the pitching match-up, I look for the home team to bounce back off a shutout home loss yesterday to the Padres. Look for the Phillies to make it 4 out of 5 against the Dodgers on the season. 10* PHILADELPHIA +125 |
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05-19-22 | Celtics +157 v. Heat | Top | 127-102 | Win | 157 | 11 h 14 m | Show |
NBA Thursday 10* Top Play Boston Celtics Money Line +157 @ Miami Heat @ 8:30 ET - The Celtics lost game one of this series and feel challenged by their coach after a horrific 2nd half at Miami. Boston is 10-1 SU the last 11 times when off a loss. Also, the Celtics are a fantastic 7-0 / 100% PERFECT SU when on the road and off a loss. No points needed here. Boston set to improve to 8-0 SU when on the road and entering that game off a defeat. Celtics get it done at solid plus money here as they are an angry bunch after being embarrassed by the Heat in the 2nd half of Tuesday's game. 10* BOSTON +157 |
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05-19-22 | Lightning v. Panthers OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 45 m | Show |
NHL Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Florida Panthers vs Tampa Bay Lightning @ 7 ET - Of course Vasilevskiy is an amazing goalie and one of the best in the world. That was on full display again in the game one victory for the Bolts. However, lets also not forget that the Panthers offensive capabilities rank among the best in the league as well and I am certain they will bounce back at home in Game 2 after being held in check in Game 1. That said, the Lightning will continue piling up goals as well in this one in what should be a back and forth high-scoring affair. Florida needs a win as they can't afford to lose both games on home ice to open up this series. But the Panthers known for struggles in goal and in their own end of the ice. So goals should be aplenty in this one. The last 3 games between these teams have totaled 29 goals! 10* OVER 6.5 in Florida |
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05-19-22 | Burnley v. Aston Villa OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 26 m | Show |
EPL Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Aston Villa vs Burnley @ 3 ET - I know both teams coming off low-scoring matches but Burnley is allowing 1.5 goals per match when on the road this season and Aston Villa's home matches have seen them both score and concede 1.5 goals per match. Burnley desperate for points here and will be more aggressive on the attack in comparison with how they played against Tottenham. Burnley wants to avoid relegation and will do everything they can in that endeavor here. The visitors had scored an average of 1.5 goals per match in the 4 matches before the loss to Tottenham. The hosts had scored 2 goals per match last 3 matches before the draw with Crystal Palace. 10* OVER 2.5 in Aston Villa |
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05-19-22 | Leicester v. Chelsea OVER 3 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 35 m | Show |
EPL Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 3 in Chelsea vs Leicester @ 3 ET - Chelsea has to be disappointed after the loss to Liverpool last weekend. At the same time, Leicester comes into this one surging with confidence and scoring plenty of goals. However, you know Chelsea will want to bounce back and will be no easy match on their home pitch. They are averaging 2 goals per match as a host this season. Leicester is conceding 2 goals per match as a visitor this season. With Leicester likely to continue to be aggressive and gets goals on the road here but also having issues stopping the opposition as travelers, I see this match getting quite crazy and 4 or 5 goals would not surprise me in the least. 10* OVER 3 in Chelsea |
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05-19-22 | Padres v. Phillies -105 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 18 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Thursday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Money Line -105 vs San Diego Padres @ 1:05 ET - Normally I do like to take good teams off losses and the Padres do enter this game off a loss yesterday. However, I am riding the Phillies here on their home field. Philadelphia has won 5 of last 7 games. No matter who starts for the Phillies it is likely to be righty and the Padres are only a .500 team against right-handed starters this season. Also, the expected starts are Darvish vs Gibson. Note that Darvish has a horrible 7.91 ERA in his 4 road starts this season and Gibson is 3-0 with a 1.93 ERA and a minuscule 0.70 WHIP in his home starts this season. Phillies roll at home no matter the pitchers here. 10* PHILADELPHIA -105 |
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05-18-22 | Mavs +182 v. Warriors | Top | 87-112 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
NBA Wednesday 10* Top Play Dallas Mavericks +180 @ Golden State Warriors @ 9 ET - Dallas has won 8 of the last 10 meetings. That is a SU 80% record in last 10 meetings and also that includes 4 of last 5 in San Francisco. That said, we have exceptional line value here with the money line in my opinion. The Mavericks already beat two division champs - Utah and Phoenix - to get here. The Warriors, on the other hand, beat a Memphis team that ended up without star player Ja Morant as the series went on plus Golden State defeated a Denver team that went just 6-10 in divisional play this season. In other words, the teams that the Warriors beat to get here were not on par with what the Mavs faced. Don't get me wrong, GS is a great team of course. I just think the hunger and resolve that Dallas has already shown in this post-season is going to carry over to Game 1 of this series. Warriors are at home and feeling good about themselves and will be guilty of overlooking the Mavs in this one. The road team makes them pay and steals game one. 10* DALLAS +180 |
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05-18-22 | Pirates v. Cubs OVER 8 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 51 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 8 in Chicago Cubs vs Pittsburgh Pirates @ 7:40 ET - The Pirates have not settled on a pitcher but I really do not care who Pittsburgh chooses. The Pirates continue to give up big runs no matter who is on the mound. I am expecting the Cubs to start Drew Smyly but even if he does not go I do not care here. I am expecting the Bucs to bounce back at the plate after back to back shutouts. If Smyly does go (which is likely by the way), the Pirates should finally get going at the plate as the southpaw has a 5.79 ERA in his home starts and has struggled to a 4.80 ERA last 3 starts and he has been hit hard and has a 1-4 record on the season. The Cubs have won 6 of 8 games and have scored an average of 5.4 runs per game in those 8 games. The Pirates have scored better (4 runs per game) in games against left-handed starters but, again, even if Smyly does not go here I do like this play. Pittsburgh, prior to Tuesday's shutout, had scored an average of 4.7 runs per game this season when entering a game off B2B games in which they were held to 2 or less runs. In other words, the Pirates are due and recent history suggests their bats come to life here. At the same time, Pittsburgh's mound struggles continue. 10* OVER 8 in Chicago Cubs |
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05-18-22 | Rangers +153 v. Hurricanes | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 16 m | Show |
NHL Wednesday 10* Top Play New York Rangers +150 @ Carolina Hurricanes @ 7 ET - As we saw yesterday with Tampa Bay, good teams know how to win on the road. The road team has taken 3 of the last 4 meetings between these clubs. Also, the Rangers have won 3 of their last 4 visits to Carolina. Of course the Hurricanes are a good team but New York is under-valued here and can steal game one on the road. I know that Shesterkin had some struggles in the first round series with the Penguins but he seems past that now. Note that the Hurricanes are not quite the same team without goalie Andersen. Just too much value here to pass up on with the road dog. The Rangers tied for the regular season league lead with 25 road wins this season. 10* NEW YORK RANGERS +150 |
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05-17-22 | Celtics +112 v. Heat | Top | 107-118 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 18 m | Show |
NBA Tuesday 10* Top Play Boston Celtics Money Line +114 @ Miami Heat @ 8:45 ET - My family is from the Philly area and I am about as passionate of a Philly fan as you will find and have followed the sports scene in Philadelphia like a hawk for 4 decades now! What does that have to do with this play? More than you would think! The 76ers, at times, played the series with the Heat like it was preseason. Their lack of hunger and passion and effort on the floor is absolutely sickening to me. You are paid to play a game and you can't get up for a do or die post-season series? What is wrong with teams/players like this? Well how that relates to this is that Miami is here because they just beat a Sixers team that was without Embiid in the first two games of the series and then played later in the series like a team lacking heart and fire. Now the Heat face a real team. A real team that knows how to play high-level basketball and that will not quit and that has the talent level to knock off the defending champion Bucks. Unlike Philly, Boston has killer instinct, hunger, passion, fight. I admire Boston much more for their series victory over Milwaukee in comparison with Miami beating a gutless, heartless Philly team that needs shaken up in a big way. Now look at this game. The Heat are at home and playing with rest and the Celtics are off a hard-fought series victory over the Bucks and yet Miami opened up at a pick'em line. Talk about a trap! The whole world will likely be lining up on the Heat here and, indeed, the line has already moved that way. Guess what Miami...this is not the sad-sack Sixers you are facing here...this is a real team. Celtics get the outright win. We don't need any points here. Fading the masses and fading the trap line in this one! 10* BOSTON +114 |
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05-17-22 | Lightning +155 v. Panthers | Top | 4-1 | Win | 155 | 8 h 3 m | Show |
NHL Tuesday 10* Top Play Tampa Bay Lightning +155 @ Florida Panthers @ 7 ET - I know the Lightning are likely without Brayden Point here but this is just such a strong team and getting a great price in this one. Also, I like the fact that the Bolts just beat a very strong Maple Leafs team. Florida struggled at times with the Capitals and I feel strongly that Washington was nowhere near the level of the Toronto club that Tampa just defeated. So, don't get me wrong, the Panthers are certainly a strong team but the point is that the value is off the charts here with the two-time defending champion Lightning getting a huge comeback price here on the money line. Look for goalie Vasilevskiy to be a key here in Game 1 and I certainly like the goalie edge here with him over Florida's Bobrovsky. 10* TAMPA BAY +155 |
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05-17-22 | Yankees v. Orioles OVER 8 | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 37 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 8 in Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees @ 7:05 ET - As mentioned in yesterday's analysis, Baltimore entered this series off a 3-game sweep at the hands of the Tigers but, keep in mind, that was on the road! The fact is the Orioles are known for playing better at home and they entered this series having won 4 of last 5 games as a host and scored an average of 5.6 runs per game in those 5 games. The Yankees enter this one with plenty of confidence too as they have won 7 of 8 games. Also, in their last 6 wins, New York has scored an incredible average of 8 runs per game. That said, I am expecting them to give plenty of run support to Taillon here and he will need it! The right-hander is facing the Orioles for the 3rd time already this season and they hit him harder in the 2nd one than the first and so you know what is likely coming here in the 3rd one especially with the Orioles being at home. As for Watkins, he has been getting hit hard and the Yankees are likely to pound the Baltimore right-hander. Regardless of the starting pitchers here, and even though we have two pretty solid bullpens working in this one, I love the over. Just thinking the confidence of each lineup based on recent play (at least when Orioles at home they had been scoring well) is going to key a lot of success for each club in this one. 10* OVER 8 in Baltimore |
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05-17-22 | Liverpool v. Southampton OVER 3.5 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 47 m | Show |
EPL Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 3.5 +120 in Southampton vs Liverpool @ 2:45 ET - Liverpool still has sights set on winning the league as they chase Manchester City for the top spot. There also will be no chance of Liverpool overlooking Southampton here as they lost here last season by a 1-0 final. So the visitors are going to pour it on here but the hosts have been solid on their home pitch this season and I do expect them to put up quite the fight here. Southampton will find the back of the net at least once but will not be surprised to see Liverpool score at least 3 goals here. The hosts getting to 2 would not be a shock here either as the visitors are allowing 1 goal per match when on the road this season. Considering all of the above and the plus money available on the over 3.5 goals in this one, it gets my highest rating. 10* OVER 3.5 +120 in Southampton |
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05-16-22 | Yankees v. Orioles OVER 8 | Top | 6-2 | Push | 0 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Monday 10* Top Play OVER 8 in Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees @ 7:05 ET - This is a contrarian play because Bradish is off a fantastic start for the Orioles and fanned 11. Also because Baltimore is off a 3-game sweep at the hands of the Tigers but, keep in mind, that was on the road! The fact is the Orioles are known for playing better at home and they have won 4 of last 5 games there and scored an average of 5.6 runs per game in those 5 games. The Yankees enter this one with plenty of confidence too as they have won 6 of 7 games. Also, in their last 5 wins, New York has scored an incredible average of 8.2 runs per game. That said, I am expecting them to give plenty of run support to Severino here and he will need it! Severino has been a bit "off" this season and has a 5.74 ERA in his last 3 starts and has been hit particularly hard in his last 2 starts. Regardless of the starting pitchers here, and even though we have two pretty solid bullpens working in this one, I love the over. Just thinking the confidence of each lineup is going to key a lot of success for each club in this one. 10* OVER 8 in Baltimore |
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05-16-22 | Arsenal v. Newcastle United OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -111 | 5 h 15 m | Show |
EPL Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Newcastle vs Arsenal @ 3 ET - Arsenal and Newcastle both looking to bounce back from losses in which they failed to score. As you can tell by the line here, Arsenal is the better club but the fact is they have been giving up too many goals of late plus have some injuries impacting the defense. Also, the hosts do tend to score better at home and I expect them to put up a strong effort here in this one. Look for Arsenal to ultimately prevail or look for at least a draw in this one. That said, the over is the play here as we should see at least a 2-1 final or perhaps even a 2-2 draw. There is just some leaky defense being played by both clubs of late and I do like the fact this match is at Newcastle. Both clubs hungry to bounce back after being dealt clean sheets by strong clubs last week. That said, should be goals aplenty in this one. 7 of last 8 Arsenal matches have totaled at least 3 goals and all signs point to that trend continuing here. 10* OVER 2.5 in Newcastle |
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05-15-22 | Penguins v. Rangers -133 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 13 m | Show |
NHL Sunday 10* Top Play New York Rangers Money Line -135 vs Pittsburgh Penguins @ 7:05 ET - Crosby likely going to play tonight as he was at practice yesterday and seemed ready to go. However, he is not the Penguins biggest issue right now. Their biggest issue is that they have goalie injury issues and the Rangers have an edge in the crease. Dominque has allowed at least 4 goals in 3 of his last 4 starts. Also, the Rangers have the home ice edge here and all the momentum after rallying from a 3-1 series deficit to tie this series up. Look for the Rangers to ride all these edges to the win this one this evening. 10* NEW YORK RANGERS -135 |
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05-15-22 | Bucks +5.5 v. Celtics | Top | 81-109 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 2 m | Show |
NBA Sunday 10* Top Play Milwaukee Bucks +5.5 @ Boston Celtics @ 3:30 ET - Boston has home court here for Game 7. Critical, right? Hardly! The home team has only gotten the money ONCE in the first SIX games of this series. These are two very evenly matched teams and I like the value of having the 5.5 points on our side here. We'll grab the points in what should be a tight battle in Game 7. There has been only one blowout win for a home team so far in this series. Also, the same team has not won B2B games in this series yet and I do not expect that to change here. I am expecting the Bucks to get the outright upset win as they have the champion pedigree. But I am also grabbing the points should this be a tight finish decided by just a bucket or two. 10* MILWAUKEE +5.5 |
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05-15-22 | Reds v. Pirates OVER 8.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 24 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds @ 1:35 ET - The Pirates won 3-1 yesterday but this followed a stretch in which the Reds had scored 4 or more runs in 10 straight games. Cincinnati had been heavily trending to the over and I am not going to let one game stand in way of that. The Reds should bounce back here. I know Quintana has been throwing well for the Pirates but there will be a regression to the mean for this guy. As for Greene, he has struggled badly for Cincinnati and the over is 3-0 in his last 3 starts. He has a 7.62 ERA on the season and a 10.22 ERA in his last 3 starts. Neither bullpen is very good and no matter who starts here I am expecting plenty of runs in this one. 10* OVER 8.5 in Pittsburgh |
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05-15-22 | Brighton & Hove Albion v. Leeds United | Top | 1-1 | Push | 0 | 4 h 4 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play Brighton & Hove PK -115 @ Leeds United @ 9 AM ET - Even though Leeds are hosting this one, they are slumping and have less rest and are a bit of a depleted squad right now. Conversely, Brighton is playing extremely well of late and has the rest edge here plus has won 7 road matches this season while Leeds have only 4 victories on their home pitch this season. A lot of pressure on the hosts as they are looking to avoid relegation while Brighton is loaded with confidence and playing without any pressure. Leeds allowing an average of 2 goals per match as a host this season while the visitors allowing only 1 goal per match when traveling this season. 10* BRIGHTON & HOVE PK -115 |
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05-15-22 | Manchester City v. West Ham United OVER 3 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 54 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 3 in West Ham United vs Manchester City @ 9 AM ET - West Ham has scored in all their home matches this season and Manchester City has some issues impacting their defense right now. That said, West Ham should score at least once here but, of course, the visitors are heavy favorites on the road for a reason here. Manchester City is looking to hold off Liverpool for the top spot in the league in this campaign and will be heavy on the attack here. City averaging scoring about 2.6 goals per match this season while the hosts averaging about 1.7 goals scored per match on their home pitch. That said, plenty of goals expected here given all of the above. 10* OVER 3 in West Ham United |
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05-14-22 | Lightning v. Maple Leafs -120 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 31 m | Show |
NHL Saturday 10* Top Play Toronto Maple Leafs -120 vs Tampa Bay Lightning @ 7:05 ET - The Lightning are the 2x defending champs. Tampa just forced a Game 7 with the OT win in Game 6. The Leafs are now 0-8 their last 8 games with elimination potential. That said, all signs would point toward the Bolts in this one. However, in typical contrarian fashion I am on Toronto here and I feel backing them is fully justified in this one. The fact they are favored despite all of the above is further justification for backing the Maple Leafs. Truly this season's Leafs team seems different and I just do not see them being denied here. Toronto is very strong and on home ice and has a different team chemistry than other recent Maple Leafs teams. This is the season they put it all together and advance to the 2nd round. Toronto is 8-1 last 9 times when off a loss and they get it done again here as they bounce right back from the loss at Tampa Thursday. The Bolts are actually 0-4 last 4 times when off a win. The patterns continue here as no team has won B2B games yet in this series and, in my strong opinion, that is how this one closes out as well. 10* TORONTO -120 |
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05-14-22 | Blue Jays v. Rays OVER 8 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -124 | 7 h 27 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 8 in Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays @ 6:10 ET - Both pitchers in this match-up have struggled in limited action so far this season. Regardless of the starting pitchers here, like the over tremendously here! The Rays over is 9-3-1 the last 13 games. The Blue Jays are 6-1 to the over last 7 games. Tampa Bay has won 8 of 11 games and scored 6 runs per game in those 8 victories. Toronto has scored an average of 4 runs per game last 7 games. With this total only at 8 runs, I feel we have excellent line value here and expect the recent over trending for each of these clubs to continue. 10* OVER 8 in Tampa Bay |
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05-14-22 | Bruins +130 v. Hurricanes | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 34 m | Show |
NHL Saturday 9* Top Play Boston Bruins Money Line +130 @ Carolina Hurricanes @ 4:35 ET - I know the home team has won all the games in this series but I am bucking that trend here. What I am looking at is the fact that the Bruins have allowed just 2 goals to the Hurricanes in 3 of the last 4 games since they switched to Swayman in net. Also, the Canes have allowed 4 goals - not including empty netters! - in 3 of the last 4 games. Boston is a veteran team loaded with playoff experience and the Hurricanes home ice edge can only take them so far. Carolina just 3 for 21 on the power play last 4 games while Bruins 5 for 20 and the special teams play could absolutely make a difference in a winner take all Game 7. Grab the underdog in this one as they continue with the better goaltending and ride their recent momentum to the upset win to advance. 9* BOSTON +130 |
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05-13-22 | Celtics v. Bucks OVER 210.5 | Top | 108-95 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 50 m | Show |
NBA Friday 10* Top Play OVER 210.5 in Milwaukee Bucks vs Boston Celtics @ 7:30 ET - Finally B2B overs in this series but truly the pacing has been there for overs in all but one of the five games so far in this series. That said, and with Boston facing elimination here and the Bucks continuing to push the pace at home, I am going to take advantage of this low total. The posted total has moved down a little from its opener and I feel we have excellent line value here as a result. Keep in mind, the Celtics have averaged 117 points per game last 7 road games. The Bucks have averaged 110 points per game last 7 home games. This line is practically a pick'em and whether the Bucks get to their recent 110 range and or the Celtics get to their recent 117 range and if the odds makers are right about this game being decided by a slim margin, you can see why this one should fly over the total. Milwaukee has had at least 90 shot attempts from the field in 4 of the 5 games and they are not going to change this faster pace which has been serving them well. This is a chance for the Bucks to close this series out on their home floor. Great pace expected here. 10* OVER 210.5 in Milwaukee |
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05-13-22 | Rangers -110 v. Penguins | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 6 m | Show |
NHL Earliest Dominator Friday 10* Top Play New York Rangers -110 @ Pittsburgh Penguins @ 7 ET - The Penguins already dealing with goalie injury issues and now they are hurting at the other end of the ice too as Sidney Crosby is a big question mark for this game. Even if he plays, I like the fact that Igor Shesterkin bounced back in goal for the Rangers in Game 5. When he is on, he certainly gives the Rangers the huge goalie edge with Pittsburgh having now turned to Louis Dominque in goal due to the injury issues. It is with good reason that the Rangers are favored on enemy ice here even though they are facing elimination and even though the home team has won four straight games. 10* NEW YORK RANGERS -110 |
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05-13-22 | Brewers -142 v. Marlins | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 1 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Friday 10* Top Play Milwaukee Brewers Money Line -142 vs Miami Marlins @ 6:40 ET - The Brewers are the better team and this situation favors them as well. The Marlins are off a big win but had lost 9 of 10 games prior to that. The Brewers are off a loss but had won 16 of 22 games prior to that. Regardless of the pitchers I like the better team here. But I will mention that the scheduled starters are Burnes for the Brewers and Lopez for the Marlins. Burnes and Lopez both have been pitching well but Burnes has been piling up a lot more strikeouts. I also like the fact that Lopez allowed 4 earned runs in less than 5 innings of work in his most recent home start. Also, he has allowed 5 earned runs in 2 of his 3 starts against the Brewers. Look for the road team to roll to a big win here. 10* MILWAUKEE -142 |
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05-12-22 | Yankees v. White Sox OVER 7.5 | Top | 15-7 | Win | 100 | 14 h 58 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 7.5 in Chicago White Sox vs New York Yankees @ 8:10 ET - Both teams have been heating up and I like the extra confidence at the plate regardless of the pitching match-up. The Yankees have won 15 of last 17 games and scored an average of nearly 7 runs per victory! The White Sox had a postponement yesterday but that will not slow them down here as they have won 8 of 10 games and are finally starting to score better too after a very slow start to the season. Chicago now averaging 4.2 runs scored last 10 games. As for the pitching match-up (again, my play is action here) Cease has been throwing very well for the White Sox but note he faced the Yankees in two starts last season and had a 7.72 ERA. Also, Luis Gil would be making first start of this season and struggled as a starter late last season. Plenty of runs expected here as both teams have a lot of confidence right now. 10* OVER 7.5 in Chicago White Sox |
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05-12-22 | Hurricanes v. Bruins -122 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 13 m | Show |
NHL Thursday 10* Boston Bruins -122 vs Carolina Hurricanes @ 7 ET - We have seen the zig zag theory working quite well in this particular NHL first round series and I expect more of the same here. Bruins just got blasted by the Hurricanes in most recent game in Carolina so watch them bounce right back here in Boston. The home team is a perfect 5-0 in this series and the hosts have won the games by an incredible margin - average of 3.2 goal margin per victory! More of the same expected here and another solid home win projected in this one. 10* BOSTON -122 |
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05-12-22 | Heat v. 76ers -2 | Top | 99-90 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 25 m | Show |
NBA Thursday 10* Philadelphia 76ers -2 vs Miami Heat @ 7 ET - We have seen the zig zag theory working quite well in the NBA of late and I expect more of the same here. Philly just got blasted by the Heat in most recent game so watch them bounce right back here. The home team is a perfect 5-0 in this series and the host has actually won 7 straight meetings dating back to regular season action in March. More of the same expected here and another solid home win projected in this one. 10* PHILADELPHIA -2 |
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05-11-22 | Orioles v. Cardinals OVER 8 | Top | 1-10 | Win | 100 | 8 h 53 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 8 in St Louis Cardinals vs Baltimore Orioles @ 7:45 ET - The Cardinals should pound Watkins as he has been hit quite hard in his past two starts and those were at home plus he allowed 2 homers in just 5 innings in most recent road start. As for the Cardinals Mikolas, I know he has been strong again this season but the Orioles have been heating up at the plate and that is why they have been winning some games of late. Baltimore has won 5 of 6 games and scored an average of 5.5 runs per game during this stretch. The Cards, before yesterday's home loss, had won 4 of last 6 home games and scored at least 7 runs in 3 of the 4 wins. Overall, before back to back losses in which they scored just 3 runs in each game, the Cardinals had a 4-game stretch in which they averaged 7 runs per game. This is why, regardless of the pitching match-up here...no matter who starts, I am expecting double digits in runs in this one. 10* OVER 8 in St Louis |
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05-11-22 | Capitals v. Panthers OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 50 m | Show |
NHL Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 -120 in Florida Panthers vs Washington Capitals @ 7:30 ET - The Capitals nearly won Game 4 but gave up a late goal and lost in overtime. Washington did a very poor job of generating shots on goal in that game and they ultimately paid for it. Look for the Caps to have learned their lesson and be much more aggressive in the offensive zone in this one but, at the same time, they will not be able to stop the Panthers in Florida. The hosts will be a determined bunch on home ice and should score plenty here and I expect a very high-scoring game here as a result. 10* OVER 6.5 in Florida |
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05-11-22 | Bucks +5.5 v. Celtics | Top | 110-107 | Win | 100 | 9 h 53 m | Show |
NBA Wednesday 10* Top Play Milwaukee Bucks +5.5 @ Boston Celtics @ 7 ET - The Bucks fell short in Game 4 as the Celtics rallied. However, Milwaukee is 4-0 SU the last 4 times when off a loss. Whether or not the Bucks get the outright upset here, I definitely like the fact that Milwaukee is getting a handful of points and I expect this game could go down to the wire! The Bucks had won 4 of 5 SU against the Celtics prior to Monday's loss and I feel strongly they will bounce back big here. At worst it will be a loss by a bucket or two in my opinion. Boston a bit over-rated here after the huge fourth quarter rally in Game 4. I do not expect a repeat of that here but yet we get line value as a result of that game 4 finish. 10* MILWAUKEE |
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05-11-22 | Manchester City v. Wolverhampton Wanderers OVER 2.75 | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 58 m | Show |
EPL Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Wolverhampton vs Manchester City @ 3:15 ET - Manchester City still gunning hard to lock up the top spot in the League for the season. They will not let up here. I know that Wolverhampton is known for lower-scoring matches on the season. However, the hosts have been struggling defensively and have allowed 5 goals over last two matches. For Manchester City, they have seen each of last 5 matches across all competitions total 4 or more goals. City has some depth concerns defensively and Wolverhampton should find the back of the net at least once in this one. However, the key to the over here is a Manchester City attack that has helped lead the way to piling up a league best average of 2.6 goals scored per match. The Wolves are scoring an average of 1 goal per match and I just don't see this match finishing with anything less than at least 3 goals given all of the above. 10* OVER 2.5 in Wolverhampton |
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05-10-22 | 76ers +140 v. Heat | Top | 85-120 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 22 m | Show |
NBA Money Line Mauling Tuesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers +140 @ Miami Heat @ 7:30 ET - The 76ers have swung momentum in this series and have won the only two games that Embiid has played in. I know one could argue that the home team has won every game in this series and that should continue would be their argument. However, my argument would be that I think Joel Embiid is the different maker and I am also expecting another big game from James Harden here. Simply put, just too much value with the road dog getting a money line payback price in this one. Will take the Sixers here as they stay red hot in games in which Embiid has played. 10* PHILADELPHIA +140 |
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05-10-22 | Blue Jays v. Yankees OVER 7.5 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 105 | 7 h 58 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB AL East Total of the Month Tuesday 10* OVER 7.5 +105 in New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays @ 7:05 ET - Yankees getting their 3rd shot at Kikuchi already this season. Blue Jays seeing Severino for 2nd time this season. Regardless of the starting pitchers here the Yankees have endured a tough 2-2 stretch and will be ready to bounce back here and New York had average scoring 7 runs per game in the 11-game winning streak before this 2-2 stretch. The Blues Jays have averaged 4.5 runs per game last 4 games so you can see, given all of the above, this total seems a bit low. We'll take advantage here. 10* OVER 7.5 +105 in New York Yankees |
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05-10-22 | Bruins +135 v. Hurricanes | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 3 m | Show |
NHL Earliest Cash Tuesday 10* Top Play Boston Bruins +135 @ Carolina Hurricanes @ 7 ET - The home team has won all 4 games so far in this series but I see a shift happening here. Boston won the last two games on home ice and part of the key was that Kochetkov struggled in one game in goal for the Hurricanes and Raanta struggled in the other guarding the crease. The Bruins on the other hand, switched to Swayman in goal after losing the first two games of this series. The move has paid off huge and he will be in goal for Game 5 on the road tonight at Carolina. All the momentum with the road team and a hotter goalie. The Hurricanes are a great team but really got hurt badly when Frederik Andersen got hurt and that costs them again here. 10* BOSTON +135 |
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05-10-22 | Liverpool v. Aston Villa OVER 3 | Top | 2-1 | Push | 0 | 6 h 42 m | Show |
EPL Daytime Dominator Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.75 in Aston Villa vs Liverpool @ 3 ET - Aston Villa has played better recently but it had to do with level of competition too. The last time they faced a strong club, Aston Villa got blasted 4-0 by Tottenham. Now they are hosting one of the best clubs in the league and Liverpool is not happy as they are off a 1-1 draw versus Tottenham. That said, the visitors are going to bring an extremely strong effort here and I look for them to pile up the goals. Aston Villa home matches do average 3 goals apiece. Liverpool allows about 1 goal per match in road matches this season but also has scored an average of 2.5 goals on the season. That said a 3-1 type match would not surprise me in the least. I don't see the hosts being held without a goal on their home pitch and I also expect the visitors to be very aggressive on the attack here after scoring just 1 goal in their most recent match versus Tottenham. 10* OVER 2.75 in Aston Villa |
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05-09-22 | Guardians v. White Sox OVER 7.5 | Top | 12-9 | Win | 100 | 9 h 19 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Central Div Total of the Month Monday 10* Top Play OVER 7.5 in Chicago White Sox vs Cleveland Guardians @ 8:10 ET - The over is 3-0 in last starts by Plesac for the Guardians this season. Cleveland enters this game off an under but this followed 6 straight overs. Chicago has been trending under but they are on a 7-1 winning run in which they have scored an average of about 4 runs per game. Look for a breakout game for the White Sox lineup here as Plesac has allowed 10 earned runs in less than 9 innings of work spanning his last two starts. Chicago's Kopech did have more walks than strikeouts in his last home start. With the over trending of the Guardians coupled with the winning run the White Sox are on, all signs point to an over here regardless of the pitchers. 10* OVER 7.5 in Chicago White Sox |
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05-09-22 | Celtics -102 v. Bucks | Top | 116-108 | Win | 100 | 10 h 16 m | Show |
NBA Money Line Mauling Monday 10* Top Play Boston Celtics -102 @ Milwaukee Bucks @ 7:30 ET - The Celtics rallied to put a scare into the Bucks in Game 3 but ultimately came up just a bucket short. That huge 4th quarter for Boston and yet still falling short will only increase their motivation here and they will not be denied here as they look to even this series up. Milwaukee has been managing without Middleton but this is the type of game they could really use him and he is not there. The Celtics as determined as ever and have gone 8-1 the last 9 times when off SU loss. That strong 89% trend continues here. 10* BOSTON -102 |
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05-09-22 | Rangers -112 v. Penguins | Top | 2-7 | Loss | -112 | 8 h 44 m | Show |
NHL Metro Div Game of the Year Monday 10* New York Rangers -112 @ Pittsburgh Penguins @ 7 ET - The Rangers got down huge to the Penguins in Game 3 but then rallied to tie it only to ultimately lose the game 7 to 4. This will only strengthen their resolve here in Game 4. I do feel strongly that New York is the stronger team and this is essentially a must-win game to even up this series up at 2 games apiece. Rangers could have easily won Game 1 of this series and should have were it not for a disallowed late goal that never should have been disallowed. NY also won the final two meetings between these teams in the regular season. Look for the Rangers to bounce right back here as they are 8-1 last 9 times when they are playing on the road after coming off a loss in the prior game. 10* NEW YORK RANGERS -112 |
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05-08-22 | Heat v. 76ers OVER 207 | Top | 108-116 | Win | 100 | 11 h 55 m | Show |
NBA 2nd Rd Total of the Year Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 207 in Philadelphia 76ers vs Miami Heat @ 8 ET - Game 3 of this series was a dead under. But the 76ers last 8 home games, prior to the under Friday, had featured 6 overs - a 75% over rate as a host. Look for both teams to finally put it together offensively here as I feel certain the Heat are going to bounce back after scoring just 79 points in the Game 3 loss. At the same time, the 76ers tend to be a better shooting team when at home and I expect them to roll up big points in this one as, with Embiid back, they are hell-bent on getting back into this series and tying it up at 2 games apiece. Keep in mind the 76ers have scored an average of 114 points per game last 5 home games versus Miami. 10* OVER 207 in Philadelphia |
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05-08-22 | Maple Leafs v. Lightning OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 9 h 11 m | Show |
NHL 1st Rd Total of the Year Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Tampa Bay Lightning vs Toronto Maple Leafs @ 7 ET - The over is 5-1 in last 6 meetings between these teams. There has not been an under in any of the last 4 meetings between these clubs at Tampa Bay. I fully expect the Lightning to respond big off the 5-2 loss to the Leafs in Game 3 but, at the same time, I don't see Toronto's scoring slowing down any time soon. The Leafs are feeling it again and growing with confidence and, amazingly, the winning team has scored at least 5 goals in each of the last 6 games between these teams. Neither goalie has been consistently overly impressive of late and there have been 11 power play goals scored in the last 4 games between these teams. 10* OVER 6.5 in Tampa Bay |
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05-08-22 | Wild +105 v. Blues | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 55 m | Show |
NHL Daytime Dominator Sunday 10* Top Play Minnesota Wild +105 @ St Louis Blues @ 4:30 ET - The Wild have swung the series behind back to back strong starts from Marc Andre Fleury while the Blues have lost each of the last two games behind a struggling Ville Husso. St Louis also has some injuries to defenseman and I feel Minnesota will continue to pull away in this series. They are just so strong and are built well for the playoffs and the Blues simply are not what they use to be. The downhill slide for St Louis continues here. 10* MINNESOTA +105 |
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05-08-22 | Suns v. Mavs +115 | Top | 101-111 | Win | 115 | 7 h 3 m | Show |
NBA Money Line Mauling Sunday 10* Top Play Dallas Mavericks +115 vs Phoenix Suns @ 3:30 ET - The home team trend continues here in my opinion. The home team has won all 3 of the games so far and 5 of the last 6 meetings between these teams have seen the host come out victorious. Phoenix has lost 5 of last 8 road games. The Mavericks have won 16 of last 19 home games. The home edge here is simply offering great value in this one because so many bettors play the zig-zag theory and yet I don't see it in this case. Just because Mavs won Game 3 does not mean the Suns come back and win Game 4 on the road. 10* DALLAS +115 |
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05-08-22 | A's v. Twins OVER 7 | Top | 3-4 | Push | 0 | 4 h 33 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Total Dominator Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 7 in Minnesota Twins vs Oakland A's @ 2:10 ET - I know scoring is down so far this season but this total is simply far too low in this one. Oakland's Daulton Jefferies is 0-3 last three starts and has allowed 11 earned runs in 9 innings in his last two starts. Jefferies gave up 11 hits in 5 innings in his most recent start. I know Chris Paddack has great numbers on the season so far for the Twins but he allowed 16 hits in less than 11 innings in his two career starts versus Oakland and both those games went over the total. More of the same expected here as these teams both enjoy some success at the plate and that helps this one get over the very low number set for this match-up. Regardless of the pitching match-up, I expect the bats to finally come back to life in a Sunday afternoon game. 10* OVER 7 in Minnesota |
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05-08-22 | Newcastle United v. Manchester City OVER 3.25 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 51 m | Show |
EPL Annihilation Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 3.5 goals +120 in Manchester City vs Newcastle United @ 11:30 AM ET - The hosts need to win after Liverpool settled for a 1-1 draw yesterday so now City can overtake them for first place in the table with a win here. I expect Manchester City to score plenty here as they are averaging 3 goals per match on the season when on their home pitch. Also, they are scoring an average of 4 goals per game in last 4 match-ups with Newcastle. The visitors have been playing better late in the season and should be good for at least a goal here but will not be able to stop a determined home club here. That said, this one should fly over the total via a 3-1 or 4-1 type final in my opinion. Look for at least 4 goals here given the situation. 10* OVER 3.5 goals +120 in Manchester City |
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05-07-22 | Rangers -110 v. Penguins | Top | 4-7 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
NHL Situational Slaughter Saturday 10* Top Play New York Rangers -110 @ Pittsburgh Penguins @ 7 ET - The Rangers have won 4 of 5 games against the Penguins including the key blowout in Game 2 of this series after losing a heart-breaker in Game 1. Keep in mind, New York never should have lost Game 1 of this series as they had a disallowed goal late in the game that never should have been disallowed and they went on to lose that game in triple-OT. In other words, the Rangers could easily be up 2-0 in this series and have 5 straight wins over the Penguins. Considering that plus the fact the Pens had already lost goalie Jarry to injury and now also lost back-up goalie DeSmith to injury. That said, the Penguins are counting on Dominque in net and the Rangers have a huge edge with Shesterkin between the pipes. With Rangers on the road for this one we get line value with a very low price and I will take it. 10* NEW YORK RANGERS -110 |
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05-07-22 | White Sox v. Red Sox OVER 8 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -103 | 6 h 25 m | Show |
MLB Total of the Week Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 8 in Boston Red Sox vs Chicago White Sox @ 4:10 ET - Yesterday's game saw the teams combine to go for 2 for 16 with runners in scoring position. Was a tough game for over players. I will come right back with the over in today's match-up. I know it will be chilly and the wind blowing in at Fenway Park but I love the over here. Boston's Pivetta has struggled bad this season and particularly struggles in his home starts and the White Sox will get to him early and often. I know Cease has great numbers for Chicago this season but he got hammered by the Red Sox in his two starts against them last season. More of the same here as Boston gets their bats going finally. Cease has struggled more on the road than at home. We'll see runs aplenty after the teams hit into 4 double plays yesterday plus left 17 men on base. The game yesterday saw so many wasted opportunities and I expect today to make up for that. 10* OVER 8 in Boston |
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05-07-22 | Celtics v. Bucks -117 | Top | 101-103 | Win | 100 | 7 h 48 m | Show |
NBA Money Line Mauling Saturday 10* Top Play Milwaukee Bucks -117 vs Boston Celtics @ 3:30 ET - The Celtics rolled the Bucks in Game 2 in Boston by a 23 point margin. However, Boston outscored Milwaukee by 51 points from 3-point land! That's right, from beyond the arc, the Celtics hit 20 threes while the Bucks hit just 3. Suffice to say that was the difference in the game and that kind of insane variance will not be happening again in Game 3 in Milwaukee. Look for the return home to get the Bucks going here. Milwaukee 6-1 last 7 times when off a loss. 10* MILWAUKEE -117 |
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05-07-22 | Tottenham Hotspur v. Liverpool OVER 3 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -112 | 16 h 7 m | Show |
EPL Total of the Week Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 3 in Liverpool vs Tottenham @ 2:45 ET - Tottenham tends to give Liverpool trouble. These match-ups between these two tend to be high-scoring. The thought here is another high-scoring match-up as Tottenham knows that going on the attack is their best chance for success here as they know they will not shut down Liverpool especially with this match being played at Anfield. Tottenham scoring an average of nearly 2 goals per match this season. Liverpool is known for being tough to score on when on their home pitch but, again, the hosts tend to have trouble slowing down the Hotspur. Liverpool should score plenty here as they average 2.5 goals scored per match and are even better when on their home pitch which means 3 goals would not be a surprise in the least in terms of the production of the host in this one. 4 of the last 5 meetings have totaled at least 3 goals and each of the last two have totaled 4 goals and I am projecting at least that many here with a 3-2 final actually in the cards in my opinion. 10* OVER 3 in Liverpool |
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05-07-22 | Manchester United v. Brighton & Hove Albion | Top | 0-4 | Loss | -108 | 14 h 30 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play Manchester United PK -108 vs Brighton & Hove @ 12:30 ET - Manchester United undervalued in my opinion. They are off a key win in the last match and look revitalized. I feel that Brighton & Hove is overvalued here. This is a host that has won only 3 matches in 17 on their home pitch this season. Conversely, Manchester United is a club that has won 16 matches this season and seems revitalized of late. I feel strongly that the visitors will continue their strong recent run of play and get the big victory here. The nice thing is that a draw gets us a push here since the goal line is a pick'em. Man U has played 36 matches this season and only 10 were losses so, based on odds alone, we have value here with a 26 of 36 spot. 10* MANCHESTER UNITED PK -108 |
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05-06-22 | Tigers v. Astros OVER 8 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 50 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB 10* Top Play OVER 8 in Houston Astros vs Detroit Tigers @ 8:10 ET - The Astros have won 9 of 12 games and scored an average of 5.3 runs per game in the 9 wins. The Tigers are known as a bad team that does not score a lot of runs but they could get to Garcia early in this one. Garcia has a 6.17 ERA in home starts this season. Both Garcia and the Tigers Brieske have proven homer-prone this season. Brieske has allowed 3 homers in 10 innings as a starter. Garcia has allowed a pair of homers in each of his last two starts. Regardless of the pitchers here I have a strong feeling the Astros will stay hot and take advantage of a bad Tigers team in this one. Time for the bats to turn things up a notch in this one and I do like the homer angle here too. After yesterday's 3-2 battle yesterday a lot more runs in this one. 10* OVER 8 in Houston |
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05-06-22 | Maple Leafs +107 v. Lightning | Top | 5-2 | Win | 107 | 10 h 45 m | Show |
NHL Atlantic Division Game of the Year Friday 10* Top Play Toronto Maple Leafs +107 @ Tampa Bay Lightning @ 7:30 ET - The Maple Leafs lost Game 2 by a 5-3 count but the Lightning had 3 power play goals in that game. In other words, Toronto outscored Tampa Bay in 5 on 5 hockey. Also, the Leafs did win Game 1 by a 5-0 count. The point is that I feel we are now getting some line value here as the series has shifted to Tampa. It is so hard to repeat and I know this is only the opening round of the post-season but the Bolts are B2B Stanley Cup Champs and will they be able to match the hunger and intensity of this Maple Leafs team coming off a loss? I don't think so! I really like Toronto here to bounce back off the Game 2 loss with a strong effort and we are getting line value since they are on the road. Keep in mind, TB has lost 6 of last 15 home games so they certainly are not automatic when they are on home ice! The Maple Leafs have won 6 of 9 road games and I like the value with them in this spot. 10* TORONTO +107 |
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05-06-22 | Brewers +102 v. Braves | Top | 6-3 | Win | 102 | 8 h 35 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Friday 10* Top Play Milwaukee Brewers +102 @ Atlanta Braves @ 7:20 ET - The expected pitchers are Lauer vs Chavez. I don't care who pitches here as I like the fact that the Brewers have won 10 of 12 games and have gotten a confidence boost with playing some weaker foes and having a chance to get their lineup going. Milwaukee has scored an average of 9 runs per game last 8 wins. The Braves, on the other hand, have lost 4 of 6 games and Atlanta has scored an average of only 2 runs per game in those 4 losses. This one will be all Brewers regardless of the pitchers but I will mention that Milwaukee has won all 4 of Eric Lauer's starts this season and he has been phenomenal of late including piling up the strikeouts. 24 K's in last 13 innings spanning two most recent starts. Grabbing the hotter team that is also available at a great price because of being on the road. 10* MILWAUKEE +102 |
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05-06-22 | Heat v. 76ers +3.5 | Top | 79-99 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show |
NBA 2nd Rd Game of the Year Friday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers +3.5 vs Miami Heat @ 7 ET - The Sixers will still be without Joel Embiid. However, even on the road in Game 2, the only difference in the game was really the 3-point shooting of Miami. The Heat outscored Philly by 18 points from 3 point land and won the game by 16 points. The 76ers had just 8 turnovers while Miami had 14 and Philadelphia did have 6 more FG attempts in the game. Philly is going to bring a huge effort here and are going to shoot much better than the combined 14 of 64 they shot from distance in the first two games of this series in Miami. At the same time, I do not expect the Heat to make a ridiculous 14 of 29 from outside the arc like they did in Game 2. The Sixers can get back into this series with a win here and Embiid possible returning for Game 4. That said, this is Philly's season here and I expect a huge amount of fight in this dog at home! The Sixers have won 5 of last 6 home games and the Heat have lost 2 of last 3 road games. The home team has won 10 of last 13 meetings between these teams and I expect that trend to continue here. 10* PHILADELPHIA +3.5 |
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05-05-22 | Capitals +1.5 v. Panthers | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
NHL Puck Line Punisher Thursday 10* Top Play Washington Capitals Puck Line +1.5 goals -120 @ 7:30 ET - The Capitals rallied for the win in Game 1 as they were down 2-1 after two periods. However, the victory was no fluke really. This Washington team built well for the playoffs and they outshot a tough Panthers team 38 to 32 in the game. I don't necessarily think they will spring the outright upset in each of the first two games of this series but they will be tough to beat here. Florida going to have to really battle just to win this game let alone cover the 1.5 goals on the puck line. Washington is a strong physical team and I also do not trust goalie Sergei Bobrovsky of the Panthers. Again, not saying they will not win this game. Just think it is going to be a tough battle all the way through and remember the Capitals tied for the league lead this season with 25 road wins in the regular season! 10* WASHINGTON +1.5 goals -120 |
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05-04-22 | 76ers +8.5 v. Heat | Top | 103-119 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 40 m | Show |
NBA Early Dominator Wednesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers +8.5 @ Miami Heat @ 7:30 ET - The 76ers off a double digit loss in Game 1 but should respond here even without Joel Embiid. Philly just getting no respect here and, with backs against the wall, will get back on track in Game 2. The Sixers had won 9 of 12 before the ugly loss in Game 1. The Heat are 1-3 ATS last 4 times when off an ATS win. The 76ers are going to battle all the way to end in this one and remember they were only down 4 with 4 minutes to go in the 3rd quarter Monday. 10* PHILADELPHIA +8.5 |
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05-04-22 | Bruins +105 v. Hurricanes | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 20 h 11 m | Show |
NHL Earliest Cash Wednesday 10* Top Play Boston Bruins +105 @ Carolina Hurricanes @ 7:05 ET - The Bruins lost Game 1 by a 5-1 score but outshot the Hurricanes by a count of 36 to 25. In other words, this was not the blowout it really looked like. In fact, the game was very close for a very long time so the final score not indicative of how the game played out. The Bruins are a playoff-veteran team that will bounce back off the game one loss. Boston has eliminated Carolina from the post-season twice in recent seasons and has plenty of confidence in this match-up despite the recent Hurricanes wins in both the regular season and the start of this series. 10* BOSTON +105 |
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05-04-22 | Rays v. A's +114 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 39 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Afternoon Dominator Wednesday 10* Top Play Oakland A's +115 vs Tampa Bay Rays @ 3:37 ET - The A's blew a 5-3 lead in the top of the 9th yesterday but overall their bullpen has been solid this season. I know Oakland is on a losing streak but they bounce back at home here after letting yesterday's game slip away and losing 10-7 in extra innings. I like this play regardless of the pitchers but will mention that Tampa Bay's Kluber is off a strong start but allowed 11 hits in 5 innings in his prior start. Also, in his 8 career starts against Oakland his teams have a record of 2-6. Conversely, Montas has a 2.46 ERA in his 4 career starts versus the Rays and his teams have a record of 3-1 in those 4 starts. Look for the A's to bounce back big here and I love fading the line move as the line on TB as a small fave has been climbing higher and higher this morning. 10* OAKLAND +115 |
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05-04-22 | Mariners v. Astros OVER 7.5 | Top | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 5 h 33 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Contrarian Dominator Wednesday MLB 10* Top Play OVER 7.5 -115 in Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners @ 2:10 ET - Mariners off B2B shutout losses and now face Justin Verlander. However, watch Seattle surprise some people here. Verlander did give up 2 homers in his only home start this season and now the Mariners getting a 2nd look at him after facing him in Seattle in mid-April. Look for this to benefit the M's lineup here but the issue for Seattle is they are starting Matt Brash. He is winless with a 9.82 ERA in his road starts this season and the over is 3-0 in his last 3 starts and that included a start against the Astros in which he was fortunate he did not give up more runs as he walked 6 in about 5 innings. No matter who starts here I am anticipating the Mariners bats get back on track and the Astros bats will stay hot. Houston has won 7 of 10 games and averaging 5.4 runs scored per victory. 10* OVER 7.5 in Houston |
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05-03-22 | Bucks v. Celtics OVER 215 | Top | 86-109 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 13 m | Show |
NBA Contrarian Crusher Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 215 in Boston Celtics vs Milwaukee Bucks @ 7 ET - The Bucks have had unders now in 6 straight games. In typical contrarian fashion, I will take the over in this one given that streak! I love the fact that Milwaukee held Boston to just 89 points in the Game 1 upset win. The Celtics entered that game having won 8 of 9 games and scoring an average of 122.6 points per game! Boston will bounce back and make adjustments and score well here but the Bucks are the defending champs for a reason. Milwaukee will hang around in this game and they had averaged 114 points per game last 4 games before the low-scoring Game 1 win in this series. Celtics were on an 8-4 run to the over last dozen games before that under and also in match-ups between these teams the over was 7-3 last 10 meetings before that under. Game 2 will play out much differently. 10* OVER 215 in Boston |
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05-03-22 | Penguins v. Rangers -125 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -125 | 8 h 16 m | Show |
NHL Earliest Cash Tuesday 10* Top Play New York Rangers Money Line -125 vs Pittsburgh Penguins @ 7 ET - Very few teams in the NHL had more home wins than the 27 the Rangers amassed this season. Also, the Rangers Igor Shesterkin was arguably the best goalie in the game this season. Though he is coming off a tough couple starts to finish the season that will only motivate him even more to have a huge performance beginning with Game 1 of this series. So the Rangers have the goalie edge and home ice edge and we are getting a very fair price because the Penguins are a public team in the NHL. They are very popular indeed and a lot of bettors like to back them which gives us even more value in the backing the Rangers here. New York has won 4 of last 5 home ice meetings with the Pens. Overall, the Rangers have won 3 straight meetings with Pittsburgh. Love the line value here. 10* NEW YORK RANGERS -125 |
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05-03-22 | Rangers v. Phillies -1.5 | Top | 6-4 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 30 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Run Line Rout Tuesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 +125 vs Texas Rangers @ 6:45 ET - I do not care who pitches here but do expect it to be Suarez and the Phillies are 4-0 in his starts this season. As for the Rangers it could be Otto or Gray but most likely Gray and he has a 7.00 ERA so far this season and Otto is off to a good start this season but he got hammered last season. Otto is still inexperienced and whether he goes or Gray goes or whoever pitches for Texas here I like the Phillies to bounce back off a 10-6 loss to the Mets on Sunday. Philadelphia had won 7 of 10 games before that. I am comfortable laying the run line here as 10 of the Phillies 11 wins this season have been by 2+ runs. Texas is off B2B wins but had lost 14 of 20 games prior to that! Also, the Rangers last dozen losses have featured 10 by 2 or more runs. This one has home blowout written all over it. 10* PHILADELPHIA -1.5 +125 |
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05-03-22 | Braves v. Mets OVER 7 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 3 h 49 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Daytime Dominator Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 7 in New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves (Game 1) @ 3:10 ET - I know that scoring has trended downward early this season but Morton is having a rough start to the season and the over is 3-1 in his outings. As for Carrasco, he is off a very rough start in his last outing plus got hammered by the Braves the last time he faced them and that was in October so was not too long ago. Regardless of the pitching match-up here I like the over as Atlanta is on a 6-3 run to the over and the Mets lineup is super solid but off a loss yesterday and ready to respond here. Prior to that, New York had won 7 of 10 games and scored at least 5 runs in 6 of those 10 games. More of the same expected here. 10* OVER 7 in New York Mets (Game 1) |
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05-02-22 | 76ers +7.5 v. Heat | Top | 92-106 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 19 m | Show |
NBA Situational Slaughter Monday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers +7.5 @ Miami Heat @ 7:30 ET - How many times have we seen a key player out for a team and then the line jumps the other way of course but it is the wounded team that actually gets the cover? Plenty! This has been a strong regular season trend and it has continued into the post-season. That said, with Joel Embiid out for at least the first two games of this series, this line on the Heat has gotten out of hand. Keep in mind, Miami is currently dealing with some nagging injury issues as well. Too much value to pass up here. 10* PHILADELPHIA +7.5 |
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05-02-22 | Yankees v. Blue Jays OVER 8.5 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 14 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Divisional Dominator Monday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees @ 7:07 ET - The Yankees have won 9 straight games and averaged scoring 7.4 runs per game. The Blue Jays are known for scoring better at home but are off some low-scoring games here. I look for the bats to come back to life here. I do not care who the pitchers are as the Yankees will stay hot at the plate and the Blue Jays will answer them run for run in this one. Toronto has trended under this season but they are scoring an average of 4.5 runs per game at home this season. The over is 6-2 in Yankees last 8 games. If it is Montgomery versus Stripling (again I am playing this regardless of pitchers) note that Montgomery has struggled in recent starts versus Jays and Stripling is winless with a 4.50 ERA in two career starts versus Yankees and the New York sticks are hot right now and the Jays bullpen has struggled a bit particularly at home. 10* OVER 8.5 in Toronto |
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05-02-22 | Bruins v. Hurricanes -110 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 39 m | Show |
NHL Earliest Cash Monday 10* Top Play Carolina Hurricanes Money Line -110 vs Boston Bruins @ 7 ET - The Hurricanes seek revenge for playoff ouster at the hands of Bruins two years ago. Boston is a great team but only one team in the Eastern Conference (Florida with 7) had fewer losses than the 8 Carolina had on home ice in the regular season. This is a tough team to beat at Carolina. Also, the Hurricanes certainly are not lacking for confidence in this one after beating the Bruins by a combined score of 16 to 1 in the 3 regular season meetings! The goalie match-up is expected to be Raanta versus Ullmark and both have been playing well but note that the Canes won 10 of 13 home starts for Raanta and the Bruins lost 8 of 20 road starts for Ullmark. The pick'em price considering the home ice factors and all of the above make the Hurricanes well worth the investment here. 10* CAROLINA -110 |