Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-13-22 | CFR Cluj -135 v. Mioveni | Top | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play CFR Cluj Money Line -135 @ CS Mioveni @ 11 AM ET - CS Mioveni has two slight edges here but they are not enough to overcome the talent disparity between these two clubs. CS Mioveni is hosting this match and they have a rest edge as CFR Cluj played in the Cupa Thursday while the hosts had their match on Tuesday. However, CFR Cluj won their match 5-0 and CS Mioveni had a much tougher 1-0 battle in getting past FC Botosani. That said, the value here is with the road favorite. Just how bad has CS Mioveni been this season? Every club in the league has at least FOUR victories except CS Mioveni and they have only ONE! Also, they have been outscored 8 to 2 in last 5 matches while, on the other hand, CFR Cluj is again one of the top teams in the league. The visitors also have won each of the last 3 meetings including a 4-2 win earlier this season. CFR Cluj has just one draw in their 15 matches this season so I am very comfortable laying a reasonable money line to have the road team to get the win over the worst team in the league which has already lost 11 matches this season! 10* CFR Cluj Money Line -135 |
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11-13-22 | Aston Villa +345 v. Brighton & Hove Albion | Top | 2-1 | Win | 345 | 6 h 35 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play Aston Villa Money Line +345 @ Brighton & Hove @ 9 AM ET - Upsets happen. Yes, Aston Villa has not won on the road yet this season but neither had Brentford and then they went and upset Man City in Manchester yesterday as a huge dog! Aston Villa is off a win in their most recent EPL match over a solid Manchester United club but then lost to the same club in English Carabao Cup action when Man U got their revenge. Look for Aston Villa to be ready to fight back hard here after that 4-2 loss and they catch Brighton & Hove at the right time for an upset. The Albion just knocked off Arsenal 3-1 in English Carabao Cup action! Yes, Brighton & Hove won their only EPL match this month but it was against a bad Wolverhampton club. Also, lets not forget that the Albion won only 1 match in 6 in the month of October! I love the big dog value here and look for another team, like Brentford did yesterday, to finally enter the win column on the road after starting the season with a drought away from home. 10* ASTON VILLA +345 |
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11-12-22 | Canucks v. Maple Leafs OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -118 | 10 h 25 m | Show |
NHL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Toronto Maple Leafs vs Vancouver Canucks @ 7:05 ET - I lost with the Leafs Over last night as the over 6.5 landed on 6 but as noted in last night's write-up, Toronto has major goaltending concerns right now due to injuries. That said, this B2B spot does them no good in that regard and you know the Canucks are coming in hungry off a loss too. But the problem for Vancouver is they can stop no one. That is why their games have totaled at least 7 goals in 10 of 14 this season including 5 straight! Their last 5 have averaged totaling nearly 9 and I know the Maple Leafs will come out skating strong after last night's loss and look to take advantage of the Canucks weaknesses in and around their own cage. However, I also know that Vancouver is going to have success against Toronto's defense and netminding in the 2nd night of a B2B situation. 10* OVER 6.5 in Toronto |
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11-12-22 | Kansas State v. Baylor -2.5 | Top | 31-3 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 21 m | Show |
CFB Saturday 10* Top Play Baylor Bears -2.5 vs Kansas State Wildcats @ 7 ET - The Bears opened up favored at 3.5 and even as high as -5 at some of the earliest posting shops. Baylor is down to a 2.5 as of game day very early morning. Everyone is seeing that a ranked team is getting points here and everyone sees the stats that Bears were fortunate to beat Sooners at Oklahoma last week. Also, everyone sees that Wildcats deserved better at home against Texas last week. However, this is just all leading to exceptional line value here with a Baylor team that plays different when at home and is catching Kansas State off 3 straight emotional games and that is on the road for the first time in 3 weeks! The Wildcats had a chance to knock off undefeated TCU and did not then they won a huge home game against Oklahoma but fell short against Texas. That is 3 straight very big games for the Cats. Note that they have averaged scoring just 19 points per game last two road games and could be emotionally spent here. Also, the Bears have won 4 straight meetings with Kansas State! The Bears have one home loss this season but they outgained Oklahoma State by nearly 100 yards in the surprising defeat. Their other 3 home games have been won by a combined score of 146 to 40. That includes a Big 12 win over an improved Kansas team in which the Bears had 28 first downs compared to just 11 for the Jayhawks! Remember Baylor is coming off a huge season last year and yes they have regressed a little but this is still a very strong, very well-coached team, that loves to play in Waco and will be riled up for a huge win here over the Wildcats. Fade the line move as the Bears improve to 11-1 their last 12 home games! They are strong here and I do not trust this Kansas State team on the road off of 3 straight huge games. This is a tough spot for them and they will struggle to keep up with the strong offense that the Bears have. 10* BAYLOR -2.5 |
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11-12-22 | South Carolina v. Florida OVER 58 | Top | 6-38 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 50 m | Show |
CFB Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 58 in Florida Gators vs South Carolina Gamecocks @ 4 ET - The Gamecocks confidence is growing as they have won 5 of 6 games and became bowl eligible with last week's win at Vanderbilt. QB Spencer Rattler played well in that one and has been solid on the road this season. In his 3 starts away from home the Gamecocks have averaged 31 points and he has averaged 251 yards passing with 5 TDs and only 2 INTs. I like the growing confidence of this South Carolina offense against a Florida defense that is not very good this season. The Gators have allowed about 30 points per game this season and it is not fluke as the yardage allowed numbers reflect this! The key to the over here though is that is Florida's final home game and their offense has been solid and the South Carolina defense is certainly not great. The Gamecocks have allowed 30 points per game in SEC action. The Gators are off a big win at Texas A & M and have scored an average of 34 points last 7 games. 6 of Florida's last 7 games have totaled at least 59 points and I feel strongly that this one will too. QB Richardson was struggling earlier this season but he has a TD-INT ratio of 9-3 his last 6 games and had one bad game versus Missouri but averaged throwing for 250 yards per game in the other 5 games. South Carolina could get MarShawn Lloyd back at running back for this one too but, either way, I love the over in this match-up. Two solid QB's coming off strong games and each offense has some extra confidence heading into this one. Again, Gators defense down this season too and Gamecocks defense hard to trust on the road against a quality offense. 10* OVER 58 in Florida |
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11-12-22 | Maryland v. Penn State -10.5 | Top | 0-30 | Win | 100 | 12 h 44 m | Show |
CFB Saturday 10* Top Play Penn State Nittany Lions -10.5 vs Maryland Terrapins @ 3:30 ET - Maryland just got blasted at Wisconsin and has failed to cover 4 straight games. Not only is this a B2B road game situation for the Terrapins, they will be facing a very motivated Nittany Lions team. Yes, Penn State did win at Maryland last season but they also have not forgotten the Terps last visit to State College. That was in the pandemic-impacted 2020 season and the Nittany Lions lost 35-19 despite having nearly twice as many first downs in the game. PSU was about a 4 TD favorite in that game but was done in by a 3-0 turnover deficit and got embarrassed at home. The Lions will be ready for payback here and, with this line dropping a little bit, I feel we have excellent value here. The average margin of victory in Penn State's last 6 wins is 25.5 points. All 6 were by a double digit margin. The Nittany Lions most recent home game was a loss to Ohio State and, as noted above, they did lose to Maryland last time they met here. Those two factors mean that the Nittany Lions will be very focused here. Insuring that focus is the fact they have Rutgers (1-4 in Big Ten action) on deck. Lay it and look for the hosts to pull away as this game gets into the 2nd half. 10* PENN STATE -10.5 |
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11-12-22 | CS U Craiova v. Rapid Bucuresti | Top | 2-2 | Push | 0 | 12 h 52 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Saturday 10* Top Play Rapid Goal Line PK +100/+105 vs Universitatea Craiova @ 1:30 ET - Both clubs had been playing well but Rapid is off a loss to rival FCSB last week and then lost in Cupa action in mid-week to a very strong Farul club. Both defeats were by a 2-goal margin. That sets this one up well for a home victory. I really like the way Rapid has been playing and like having them here off those defeats. Rapid has been playing a very tough schedule of late and will make the most of this home match against Universitatea Craiova. Yes the visitors have won 9 of 16 this season but the hosts have lost just 5 of 17 matches. I feel we have good value on the goal line here as the pick'em in this case turns a draw into a push at the betting window. Rapid is undefeated (6-0-2) at home this season. Universitatea Craiova has won last two matches away from home but this was preceded by 3 straight losses as travelers in league action! 10* RAPID Goal Line PK +100/+105 |
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11-12-22 | Senators v. Flyers +120 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 50 m | Show |
NHL Saturday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers +110 vs Ottawa Senators @ 1:05 ET - The Flyers are improved yet they still are not a great hockey club. However, the Senators are not great either. That said, Philly continues to be undervalue and really Ottawa, even though this is a revenge game, is overvalued here. The Flyers are off a loss and will be hungry here. Philly is a perfect 3-0 this season when off a loss in regulation time. Ottawa has lost 7 straight games over this same period time. That means essentially we are testing a 10-0 / 100% SPOT here. 3-0 in favor of Flyers and 7-0 in favor of fading the Sens. Considering that plus the fact we are getting plus money to do it? Yes, I will take it! 10* PHILADELPHIA +110 |
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11-12-22 | Green Bay v. Georgetown OVER 144.5 | Top | 58-92 | Win | 100 | 3 h 5 m | Show |
NCAAB Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 144/144.5 in Georgetown Hoyas vs Green Bay Phoenix @ 11 AM ET - I wanted to wait some to see if this total would come down some and sure enough it has. I know the Phoenix did not score well in their first game but they allowed 80 and will score much better here against a Hoyas team that is known for giving up a ton of points. I know Georgetown's first game went into OT but, even taking that out of the equation, the game was 83-83 before it went to OT! Keep in mind that was against Coppin State too. This match-up features two teams off very bad seasons and they each have a lot of transfers in. That can make a game play out more like a pick-up basketball game than a structured hoops match-up. That said, I am looking for a ton of points here. Green Bay has to shoot better than they did in first game but the Hoyas will continue to run and gun and also, along the way, will continue to forget about playing much defense too! So let's take advantage of the downward line move on this total. 10* OVER 144/144.5 in Georgetown |
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11-12-22 | Farul Constanta v. Chindia Targoviste OVER 1.75 | Top | 1-1 | Win | 50 | 9 h 11 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 1.75 or 2 goals in Chindia Targoviste vs Farul @ 10:30 AM ET - I understand the low total here. The last time these clubs met it was a scoreless draw in July. Last season the two matches finished 1-0 and 2-0 in favor of Chindia Targoviste. So Farul has not even scored in the last three meetings. However, Farul is off a 2-0 mid-week win in Cup action over a very strong Rapid team and is the highest-scoring team in league action this season. Farul is averaging scoring 2 goals per match this season! Chindia Targoviste, despite occasionally getting involved in low-scoring matches, still has seen their matches average 2.5 goals this season! The hosts are off a 1-0 win over Hermannstadt but their two prior matches averaged 3.5 goals apiece! Not only have 11 of Farul's last 12 matches totaled at least 2 goals, 8 of the 11 totaled at least 3 goals. Excellent value with the low total in this one. 10* OVER 1.75 or 2 in Chindia Targoviste |
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11-12-22 | Leeds United v. Tottenham Hotspur OVER 3 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 105 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 or 3 in Tottenham Hotspur vs Leeds United @ 10 AM ET - The Hotspur are getting some reinforcements to support the attacking side of things in this one and I am expecting plenty of goals. In league action, the last 3 Leeds United matches have all totaled at least 3 goals and actually averaged 5 goals apiece! Leeds is off a disappointing loss in the English Carabao Cup by a count of 1-0 but that was against low-scoring Wolverhampton. This match will play out much differently with Tottenham on their home pitch where they have averaged scoring 2.4 goals per match. Also, the Hotspur will be aggressive on the attack here because they are off B2B losses. One in the English Carabao Cup and one in EPL action. Those defeats were to a surging Newcastle club and long-time strong rival Liverpool. Look for Tottenham to rise up after those two tough losses so I don't see them taking their foot off the gas here. Leeds is averaging 1.5 goals per match this season so I don't see them being delivered a clean sheet here. Tottenham has gone 7 straight matches across all competitions without a clean sheet. That means look for at least a 2-1 match here but I am expecting more like a 3-1 or 3-2 type final here. 10* OVER 2.5 or 3 in Tottenham |
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11-12-22 | Leicester v. West Ham United OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 49 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in West Ham United vs Leicester @ 10 AM ET - I know Leicester has been better defensively for some time now. However, the last 7 times they have met West Ham United the match has totaled at least 3 goals all 7 times! With this total at a 2.5 here that means we are testing a match-up angle producing 7-0 run. Despite Leicester playing better defensively of late, I just do not see a very hungry West Ham club being denied on their home pitch here. The Hammers have scored 9 goals in 7 matches here. As for Leicester, they were delivered a clean sheet by Manchester City to wrap up October but City is City! In their other 4 recent matches dating back to late October across all competitions, Leicester has scored an average of 2.8 goals per match! The last 5 matches between these clubs have averaged 4.4 goals apiece and 4 of the 5 totaled at least 4 goals. Though West Ham has struggled to score goals recently in EPL action their most recent match in league was a 2-1 loss to Crystal Palace. The Hammers have also played matches in English Carabao Cup and UEFA Europa Conference League action this month and scored an average of 2.5 goals per match in those two. With having scored at least once in all 3 matches across all competitions this month, the Hammers have some added confidence for this battle on their home pitch. As for the Foxes, they have been riding high of late and won't shy away from being on the attack in this one given that added confidence. 10* OVER 2.5 in West Ham United |
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11-11-22 | East Carolina v. Cincinnati UNDER 52 | Top | 25-27 | Push | 0 | 17 h 33 m | Show |
CFB Friday 10* Top Play UNDER 52 in Cincinnati Bearcats vs East Carolina Pirates @ 8 ET - The Pirates have an efficient offense but the Bearcats have a great defense. Cincinnati's offense, statistically, is not as strong as their points per game average. Also, this included scoring 63 against an FCS school. Against FBS opponents this season, the Bearcats are scoring an average of 29.5 points per game. They have allowed an average of only 17 points per game at home and just held Navy to 10 last week. East Carolina comes in off a bye week so they'll be ready to go here and the Pirates are a scrappy, tough team. However, their offense runs into a very solid defense that will be fired up for this home game too. As for the East Carolina defense, they have allowed only 21 points per game in regulation time of their games this season. Remember what I said above about Cats allowing 17 ppg at home and now note EC allowing 21 overall. This line is near a 4 and that 21 to 17 is a 4 so you can see why I am expecting this game to fall in this range of a 21-17 final and well below the low 50s total we currently have in the marketplace on this one. 10* UNDER 52 in Cincinnati |
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11-11-22 | Suns -7.5 v. Magic | Top | 97-114 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 58 m | Show |
NBA Friday 10* Top Play Phoenix Suns -7 @ Orlando Magic @ 7 ET - The Suns recently lost Cameron Johnson to injury but then, even without Chris Paul, they knocked off the Timberwolves at Minnesota by a double digit margin. Not only have the Suns won 7 of 9, all 7 of the victories have been by at least 9 points. That said, and especially with Paul likely coming back tonight, I am not going to hesitate to lay the 7 points here with one of the best teams in the NBA against one of the worst. Even if Paul is not back, note that Payne had a huge game filling in for him against the T-wolves. Also, Orlando is off a rare win as Mavericks shot horrific in that game and the Magic stole it even though they were without Banchero. He has an ankle injury so he could miss again here. Ankle sprains are not easy to come back from and he already missed one game and would not surprise me if they hold him out since next game not until Monday. So he can rest up some more this would be the logical thing to do. Even the Magic must know this is not likely to be a winnable game but Monday they host a bad Charlotte team. Will see how smart Orlando management is on this one but Banchero should not play. Either way I look for the better team to win and to continue their trend of winning games by at least 9 points. Note that the Magic were 2-9 this season before they got the shocking upset over Dallas. Lightning will not strike twice. 10* PHOENIX -7 |
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11-11-22 | Penguins v. Maple Leafs OVER 6.5 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -111 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
NHL Friday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Pittsburgh Penguins vs Toronto Maple Leafs @ 7:05 ET - Look for a lot of goals here. Samsonov and, in particular, Murray are getting closer to returning in goal but neither could be trusted in first game back from injury and Kallgren is not use to being a regular starter in the NHL. Current back-up has been Petruzzelli so the Maple Leafs goalie situation has been unusual recently to say the least. Toronto can score well though and 2 of their last 3 home games have totaled at least 7 goals and this one should do. I know Toronto has not been scoring as much this season thus far as past season but look for the Penguins to bring out the best in them here. Pittsburgh is off a 4-1 win but that was against an injury-depleted Washington team. Prior to that the Penguins allowed 4.7 goals per game their last 7 games! Their last 6 road games, prior to the win in DC, had averaged 7 goals. Look for this one to get there too as this match-up features two teams with a lot of scoring firepower but some concerns in goal. Penguins scoring an average of 3.5 goals per game this season but, of course, Maple Leafs favored solidly here for a reason! 10* OVER 6.5 in Pittsburgh |
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11-11-22 | Petrolul 52 v. Sepsi OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 17 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Sepsi vs Petrolul Ploiesti @ 2 ET - Incredibly the hosts have not scored a goal in any of their last 3 home matches yet are favored by about -200 on the money line in this one. A mistake? Of course not! Sepsi is off a 5-0 road win and hungry to get back on track on their home pitch and is facing the right club to do just that. Petrolul Ploiesti has been allowing plenty of goals and I look for this one to easily get to at least a 2-1 final. Sepsi has allowed at least 1 goal in 5 of last 6 at home but they will find a way to prevail in this one. The weather will be chilly but most of the rain was earlier in the day and should not impact this match. Petrolul Ploiesti has scored at least 1 goal in 4 straight matches and has averaged 1.5 goals scored during this stretch. Petrolul Ploiesti has scored at least 1 goal in 6 of last 7 road matches. Petrolul Ploiesti has only 2 draws in 17 matches so, again, another reason to look for at least a 2-1 final here. Petrolul Ploiesti delivered a clean shot at FC Voluntari in most recent road match but this was preceded by allowing at least 1 goal (and average of 1.8) in their 4 preceding road matches. Petrolul Ploiesti is ahead of Sepsi in the table but the hosts are a large favorite here and hungry for goals on their home pitch. Look for an entertaining one here if you like goals! 10* OVER 2.5 in Sepsi |
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11-11-22 | Detroit v. Boston College OVER 139 | Top | 66-70 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 50 m | Show |
CBB Friday 10* Top Play OVER 139 in Boston College Eagles vs Detroit Mercy Titans @ 1 ET - The Eagles first game totaled 156 points and it was no fluke. Boston College and Cornell University combined to make just 17 of 53 threes and both shot poorly from the free throw line yet the game still flew over the total. Why? Well the pace was there and that is a key with hoops totals and I expect another fast paced game here. Detroit comes to Chestnut Hill with added confidence after they scored 93 points in winning the first game of the season. Yes, they played Rochester University so they were supposed to win handily but, to put up 93 points is big for the Titans confidence. Keep in mind Antoine Davis is back for Mercy and he is a tough match-up and an elite scorer. He'll get his points for the Titans here and takes so much focus that it opens up the scoring for others on the floor. So this game should fly over the total. 10* OVER 139 in Boston College |
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11-10-22 | Falcons v. Panthers +2.5 | Top | 15-25 | Win | 100 | 17 h 12 m | Show |
NFL Thursday 10* Top Play Carolina Panthers +2.5 vs Atlanta Falcons @ 8:15 ET - Could be some rainy plus possibly windy and ugly weather in Carolina tonight. The hurricane that moved into Florida is bringing rain up to the Charlotte region and it is expected to be here for the entirety of this game. Look for the ugliness to help the home dog Panthers as they have the better defense in this match-up. Yes they just got throttled at Cincinnati but they are 2-3 at home this season including 2-0 in divisional home games. Carolina won those two home games versus the Bucs and Saints by a combined score of 43 to 17. I look for them to step here at home again. As for the Falcons, they are just 1-3 on the road this season and have allowed 27.5 points per game on the road this year. There is a reason that Atlanta is such a small favorite here over a team that is 2-7 on the season! Don't let the line fool you. The home dog is the play here. 10* CAROLINA +2.5 |
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11-10-22 | Southern Illinois v. Oklahoma State -8 | Top | 61-60 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 31 m | Show |
CBB Thursday 10* Top Play Oklahoma State Cowboys -8 vs Southern Illinois Salukis @ 8 ET - Both teams off wins but OSU was rather unimpressive in theirs while S Ill rolled on the scoreboard in theirs. I love spots like this because it creates solid line value. The Salukis actually won by 31 points but had 9 less shot attempts from the field than Little Rock did. How is that possible? Well Southern Illinois shot lights out while struggled badly including 3 of 18 from 3 point land and 8 of 18 from the free throw line! Southern Illinois was great from the field in this game and also were able to dominate the glass against Little Rock. So the key here is that none of those things are likely to be repeated here. Now the Salukis are on the road and facing a Big 12 program and Stillwater is not an easy place to play. Look for the Cowboys, with a talented backcourt and strong team depth, to roll to a win by double digits at home in this one. OSU is off a disappointing campaign so they are hungry to make amends this season. The fact the Cowboys only won their opener by 11 against UT Arlington even though they were favored by 21 only strengthens this spot. Oklahoma State should shoot much better than 6 of 25 from 3-point land in this one! 10* OKLAHOMA STATE -8 |
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11-10-22 | Tulsa v. Memphis -6.5 | Top | 10-26 | Win | 100 | 16 h 45 m | Show |
CFB Thursday 10* Top Play Memphis Tigers -6.5 vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane @ 7:30 ET - Tulsa has QB issues. Brin has been hurting and, even if he plays, he has been throwing too many picks lately. The other option for the Golden Hurricane QB is Braxton but he is a freshman and would be making a road start here against an angry Memphis team that has lost 4 straight games and is ready for a huge bounce back here. The Tigers are much better than their record shows and this is their final AAC home game of the season. In a primetime situation on a Thursday night, I look for Memphis to put on a show in this one! Beautiful weather expected for this one and the Tigers can put up huge points at home in this one. I just don't think, even though Memphis D is not a strength, that Tulsa can keep up here given their QB situation. The Golden Hurricane have just 3 wins this season and they have come against a Northern Illinois team that entered this week with a 2-7 record. Also an FCS school, Jacksonville State, and a Temple team that is 1-4 in conference games this season. Tulsa's last 5 losses all by at least 8 points and the average margin of defeat has been 15 points. As for Memphis, yes they have been losing but they faced some tough match-ups and lost some tight games too. The Tigers will take advantage here of taking a step down in level of opposition. Keep in mind, Memphis lost by a single point then lost a game in 4-OT, then lost B2B games against teams that were ranked in Top 25. The Tigers 4 wins this season all by double digit margins and average margin of victory was 17 points. Getting them at under a TD here is a great bargain price. Look for huge home win in a statement game for the Tigers. 10* MEMPHIS -6.5 |
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11-10-22 | Mavs -3.5 v. Wizards | Top | 105-113 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 8 m | Show |
NBA Thursday 10* Top Play Dallas Mavericks -3.5 @ Washington Wizards @ 7:10 ET - Yes this is a back to back for Dallas and we did lose with them last night. However, the Mavericks had a simply awful shooting night and that was the difference in the game. I certainly do not expect a repeat of that here. That said, some perfect trends in play here too. Dallas is 3-0 this season when off a SU loss and all 3 wins have been by at least 4 points. The line on this game is 3 or 3.5 and I feel we can lay it with confidence. That's because Washington is off a win and they are 0-3 last 3 times they were off a SU victory this season. All 3 losses were by a double digit margin including the most recent one coming by 42 points in a blowout defeat. Double perfect trends here favoring the Mavs. Lay it. 10* DALLAS -3.5 |
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11-10-22 | Flyers +115 v. Blue Jackets | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 7 m | Show |
NHL Thursday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers Money Line +115 @ Columbus Blue Jackets @ 7:05 ET - This is a great spot for the underdog Flyers. They are playing with confidence under head coach Tortorella. Now they face the last time he coached. Tortorella was with Columbus for a number of seasons and had success here before they mutually agreed to part ways. Even though perhaps not necessarily a bitter break-up, you know Torts wants this game badly against his former team. He'll have the Flyers playing with extra fire here tonight as a result and they certainly should be able to take down the Blue Jackets. Hart has been phenomenal in goal for the Flyers this season. If Sandstrom plays, he is coming off a great start in net and has been better than expected early on in the back-up role. While Flyers are 7-3-2 this season, Blue Jackets are an ugly 3-9 on the year. Also, Columbus has lost 5 straight games by a combined score of 28-8 for an average margin of defeat of 4 goals per game! They just lost both games to Colorado by a combined score of 11-4 in the two match-ups in Finland. Yes, making this situation even worse for Columbus is they were over in Europe this past weekend. Tough spot for Blue Jackets and Flyers roll continues. 10* PHILADELPHIA +115 |
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11-10-22 | Golden Knights v. Sabres OVER 6.5 | Top | 7-4 | Win | 102 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
NHL Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Buffalo Sabres vs Vegas Golden Knights @ 7:05 ET - The Sabres are welcoming back Jack Eichel to Buffalo for this one. The Sabres had that big trade with Vegas not too long ago and he finally played his first game back here as a member of the Golden Knights last season and Buffalo got the better of it 3-1. The atmosphere was great for that one and should be great for this one too. However, look for a lot more goals this time around. I really expect another huge effort from the Sabres here as there is a special animosity in this match-up that creates a lot of energy since that huge trade happened. This time that energy is going to result in a lot of goals because Sabres are hungry to snap their recent losing skid but the Golden Knights are red hot and scoring a lot of goals. So look for this game to play at a fast pace. Note that Vegas has won 8 straight games and scored an average of 3.5 goals in regulation time of those 8 wins. The Golden Knights have allowed 3.7 goals last 3 games though! Buffalo is off an ugly 4-1 home loss but had scored an average of 4.3 goals in regulation time of first 6 games and will bounce back here. The Sabres have allowed 4 goals per game last 8 games however. That is why I am looking for a crazy game here. Neither team has been stopping the opposition of late but both have plenty of firepower and Vegas is such a fast team but you know the Sabres are going to bring the ultimate level of energy here on home ice for this one too. I am expecting a 5-4 type game but certainly we should at least get this one to 4-3 or 7 goals at a minimum. 10* OVER 6.5 in Buffalo |
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11-09-22 | Canucks v. Canadiens OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 25 m | Show |
NHL Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Montreal Canadiens vs Vancouver Canucks @ 7:35 ET - I know the Canadiens are known for lower-scoring games but this is a back-to-back for both teams and the Canucks are having a wild start to this season. Vancouver is off a crazy 6-4 win yesterday and their 4 wins have seen the Canucks themselves (!) average 6 goals scored per victory! The trouble is that Vancouver has 9 losses this season and those have seen the Canucks allow 4 goals per game on average in regulation time. That is why I am fully expecting at least a 4-3 final here. Vancouver has seen 6 of their 7 road games total at least 7 goals and that includes 5 in a row! Look for this roadie to make it 6 STRAIGHT! Montreal is off a key 3-2 shootout win at Detroit (divisional foe and original six rival!) last night. Back to back spot for both teams and the Canadiens have seen 4 of their 6 home games total at least 7 goals so they do tend to score more at home. More of the same here as that Canucks road game streak adds to 5-0 over run. 10* OVER 6.5 in Montreal |
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11-09-22 | Hurricanes +100 v. Panthers | Top | 0-3 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
NHL Wednesday 10* Top Play Carolina Hurricanes Money Line +100 @ Florida Panthers @ 7:05 ET - Florida is happy to be home but they are off a long road trip out west. Those often create tough situations in the first game back and that is the case here because the Panthers are catching the Hurricanes off a loss. Carolina had won 4 in a row before the loss and also is 2-0 this season when off a loss in which they scored 2 or less goals. Off the 3-1 defeat, the Canes back bounce back here. The Panthers are off a win but Florida is 0-5 the last 5 times they were off a victory. So with playing against that by going with the Canes here, we are backing a 5-0 situation that I fully expect to go to 6-0. Hurricanes off loss, Florida off long road trip across the country. Great spot. 10* CAROLINA +100 |
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11-09-22 | Kent State -2.5 v. Bowling Green | Top | 40-6 | Win | 100 | 17 h 56 m | Show |
CFB Wednesday 10* Top Play Kent State Golden Flashes -2.5 @ Bowling Green Falcons @ 7 ET - Love the set-up and the motivational/pressure factors in this one plus the line. Why would Kent State be favored by 2.5 on the road when they are 3-6 on the season and Bowling Green is having a winning season including 4-1 in MAC play? Exactly! Don't let the line fool you here. The Golden Flashes have played the much tougher schedule overall as well as within the MAC. The Falcons are over-rated right now. Kent State certainly has the much better offense in this match-up with Schlee back under center. Also, all the pressure is on Bowling Green here. With Ohio University's win last night, BG needs a win here to maintain a tie atop the MAC East standings and plus Buffalo (in action tonight) is in the mix as well. That said, Falcons are feeling pressure while Golden Flashes looking to play the role of spoiler. Kent State has won 4 straight meetings and by a combined score of 186 to 92. All 4 wins have been by at least 7 points so were are testing a 100% streak here and the Golden Flashes have truly dominated this period as they have doubled up the Falcons in total points the past 4 years. Kent State averaging 28 points scored in their 5 MAC games but is off a tight loss last week. Bowling Green is on a 3-game winning streak but has scored an average of only 18 points last 4 MAC games! The Falcons have not had a 4-game winning streak since the 2015 season! They are over-rated right now and playing with pressure they are not use to. The Golden Flashes take advantage. 10* KENT STATE -2.5 |
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11-09-22 | Davidson -3.5 v. Wright State | Top | 102-97 | Win | 100 | 14 h 30 m | Show |
CBB Wednesday 10* Top Play Davidson Wildcats -3.5 @ Wright State Raiders @ 7 ET - The Wildcats have the stronger backcourt in this match-up. That is important early in the season. I like the Raiders frontcourt but have some concerns about their guard play and feel they could struggle a bit early on this season. Yes Davidson has a new coach but he has been the assistant there for years under his father and he himself was a strong scorer for this program about two decades ago. The point is that he is experienced in the program and had been working with his Dad here for about two decades and I think Davidson is going to be rock solid yet again this season. Yes they lost some of their playing rotation from last season but so too did Wright State. The Wildcats are a fantastic program and remember that the Raiders did start off slow out of the gates last season in non-conference action too. Look for that to be the case again this season as they go through some early-season growing pains in the backcourt in particular. 10* DAVIDSON -3.5 |
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11-09-22 | Mavs -6 v. Magic | Top | 87-94 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 28 m | Show |
NBA Wednesday 10* Top Play Dallas Mavericks -6 @ Orlando Magic @ 5:30 ET - The Magic are tied with Rockets for worst record in the NBA and just let Houston score a ton of points against them and shoot lights out from the field. The point is that Orlando, other than rookie forward Paolo Banchero, is really having a rough start to this season. Making matters even worse here is that if Banchero even plays in this game he could be limited by an ankle sprain. I am away that Hardaway could miss this game for Mavericks but his injury seems less serious and is not an ankle. Don't be surprised if he plays and is very effective. Even if he does not play, the other guys who would get a lot of minutes in his absence are Finney-Smith and Josh Green and they are coming off huge games as is Luka Doncic as he continues to dominate. The Magic have one OT loss in last 8 defeats but the other 7 were are all by at least 6 points. Dallas has a lot of tight wins this season but they have won 4 straight games and that includes 9 point win over Orlando. I really believe Banchero could miss this game but, even if he plays, he will not be himself 100% and that is a key detriment for the Magic. By the way, Mavs have allowed just 102 ppg last 4 games while Orlando, not including OT points, has allowed 120.4 points last 5 games. Big difference in terms of level of defense when comparing these two teams. 10* DALLAS -6 |
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11-08-22 | Blues v. Flyers +115 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 115 | 15 h 46 m | Show |
NHL Tuesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers Money Line +115 vs St Louis Blues @ 7:05 ET - Statistically if you look at the Flyers you have concerns but if you watch them on the ice and, in particular red hot goalie Carter Hart, those concerns become tempered. The fact is that Philly is exceeding expectations early this season even as they battle through to some injury issues. The markets have yet to catch up with this. The Blues are favored here despite being in the 2nd game of a B2B and on a 7-game losing streak. St Louis is likely to have Thomas Greiss in goal for this one since it is a B2B. The Blues are 0-2 in his two starts and lost the games by a combined score of 10 to 2. In fact, in this 7 game losing streak St Louis has been outscored 33 to 11 and lost each game by at least a 2 goal margin and the average margin of defeat has been 3 goals. The Flyers have some issues but they hold the scheduling edge here and home ice edge and Hart has not lost in regulation time yet this season! 6 wins, 2 OT losses, 0 regulation losses. I expect him to start here based on the scheduling situation here but no matter the goalie match-up in this one I would ride with Flyers as this is not the right time or place for Blues losing streak to end. 10* PHILADELPHIA +115 |
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11-08-22 | Flames v. Devils OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -120 | 14 h 19 m | Show |
NHL Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 goals in New Jersey Devils vs Calgary Flames @ 7:05 ET - New Jersey has been off since the beat the Flames in Calgary with an OT winner in a 4-3 final over the weekend. What I liked about that over is what 3-1 after just one period of play. Also the teams were a combined 0 for 6 on the power play until the OT winner for the Devils was on a power play. So what that means is these goals were coming 5 on 5 and I look for more of the same here. The Flames are off yet another OT loss last night as they fell short by the same 4-3 count in OT at New York against the Islanders. Calgary has now lost 5 straight and since this is a back to back it will likely be Vladar between the pipes. It would be his 4th game and in the first 3 he has a 3.82 GAA and an .865 save percentage. Whoever is in goal for the Flames here is will likely be in trouble as Calgary has allowed 3 goals per game this season. The good news for Flames fans is they are also scoring 3 goals per game on the season and none of these stats include OT. I am looking for each team to again get to at least 3 here because the Devils are on a 9-1 run last 10 games. New Jersey has scored an average of 4 goals per game in their 9 wins! In their 3 losses this season the Devils have allowed 5.3 goals per game. Given the situation and the revenge factor for Flames but NJ so strong lately and confident, we are going to see a lot of goals here. 10* OVER 6.5 in New Jersey |
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11-08-22 | Eastern Michigan v. Akron OVER 56 | Top | 34-28 | Win | 100 | 16 h 14 m | Show |
CFB Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 56 in Akron Zips vs Eastern Michigan Eagles @ 7 ET - This is home finale for Akron. The Zips are off an ugly 27-9 home loss to Miami-Ohio. However, they had almost 400 yards of offense in that game but were done in by turnovers. As a result, we are getting line value here. Akron had averaged 27.5 points per game the 4 prior games. Also, the Zips had averaged 26.3 points per game in their 3 prior home games. Akron will again move the ball well here as Eastern Michigan has allowed an average of 31 points in MAC games this season. However, the Zips are not good defensively and the Eagles will take advantage. Eastern Michigan has averaged 29 points per game on the road this season and 26 points per game in MAC games. In summary, Akron's D is very bad but the Eagles are not much better and with this being the Zips finale look for a huge effort from the hosts. As a result, this one turns into a back and forth high-scoring affair. 10* OVER 56 in Akron |
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11-08-22 | Wisc-Milwaukee v. Purdue OVER 140 | Top | 53-84 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 58 m | Show |
CBB Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 140 in Purdue Boilermakers vs Wisconsin-Milwaukee Panthers @ 6:30 ET - How will UW-Milwaukee play with a new head coach? Fast and firing up 3-pointers and willingness to press on defense. How will this effect the Panthers. We already got a taste of this in their first game. Yes it was against Milwaukee School of Engineering in an Exhibition if you will but last year UW-Milw won it by a count of 69-63. This year they won it in a rout and topped the century mark. Now of course the Panthers will now being scoring huge points against Purdue but their willingness to press on defense, fire up threes, and play a fast pace means they should get into the 60s here and, keep in mind, the Boilermakers are a 27-point favorite for a reason! So I look for this one to play out at a fast pace and with a margin getting to the 20 to 30 point range that means no pressure and guys can fire up 3's and play fast which is exactly what coach Bart Lundy wants. He is coming back to the area (previously was an assistant at Marquette) after a great run at a division II School. Queens College (Charlotte, NC) had 7 Div II NCAA Tourney appearances during his 9 seasons there and last season they averaged 85.5 points per game. Again, the pace the Panthers will play with will be fast and Purdue's concern heading into the season is their backcourt so the pressure D could result in turnovers and points in the transition game. Of course Purdue is the much better team and the Boilermakers frontcourt will dominate this game. The end result, in my opinion, is plenty of points here! 10* OVER 140 in Purdue |
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11-07-22 | Nuggets v. Spurs OVER 231 | Top | 115-109 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 57 m | Show |
NBA Monday 10* Top Play OVER 231 in San Antonio Spurs vs Denver Nuggets @ 9:40 ET - These teams just met in Denver and that game stayed just under the total but neither team got to the free throw line much and both teams shot poorly at the free throw line. Look for the Spurs to play at a faster pace here at home and score plenty in this one as they will be stronger on their home floor then they have been on the road. The issue for San Antonio in this one, as has been the issue all season long, is just that they can not stop anyone. The Spurs have had one home game this season in which they held their opponent under the century mark but in their other 4 home games they have allowed 127 points per game. The line on this one is right around a -7 for Denver so that would put the final score here at 127-120 and that total is well above the posted total on this game. The Spurs have averaged 114 points scored per game their last 9 games and won 5 of those so don't be surprised if they do indeed get close to 120 here. The Nuggets have averaged 118 points per game their last 8 games and are allowing 122 points per game on the road this season. Look for a high-scoring shootout int this one. 10* OVER 231 in San Antonio |
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11-07-22 | Ravens v. Saints +1.5 | Top | 27-13 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 60 m | Show |
NFL Monday 10* Top Play New Orleans Saints +1.5 vs Baltimore Ravens @ 8:15 ET - Ravens off B2B wins but were on a 3-9 SU run dating back to last season prior to getting these consecutive wins. Also, even though they have extra rest since they had the Thursday night game last week, it is still not easy to go on the road again and win B2B road games. Since Dalton has taken over at QB for the Saints, they have averaged 30 points per game last 5 games. Ravens have averaged 22 points per game last 5 games. The Ravens do have a bye on deck but have covered just once the last seven times they have a bye week on deck. The Saints have the much better passing offense in this match-up plus the Ravens pass defense has been an issue this season as they rank as one of the worst. New Orleans defense builds off last week's strong performance. Also, Saints let a receiver go back to the practice squad which means they are now expecting more from some of the guys that had been banged up. Strong team effort gets the home win as confidence is building with Dalton under center for the Saints. 10* NEW ORLEANS +1.5 |
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11-07-22 | Oilers v. Capitals OVER 6.5 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 32 m | Show |
Monday NHL Top Play 10* OVER 6.5 in Washington Capitals vs Edmonton Oilers @ 8:05 ET - The Capitals have trended toward lower scoring games but the Oilers are going to force the issue here. Edmonton plays high-scoring games as they are so strong in the offensive zone but struggle defensively and in goal. This one shapes up to see plenty of goals as the Oilers have had only one low-scoring game all season - a 2-0 loss to the Blues. Edmonton is 7-4 in their other 11 games. The Oilers averaged scoring 5 goals in those 7 wins but allowed an average of 4.5 goals in the 4 losses. Look for a 4-3 or even 5-4 type game here given the above. The Caps last 2 home games have been 3-2 finals but, prior to this, 3 of their first 4 home games totaled 7 or more goals and averaged 8 goals apiece. 10* OVER 6.5 in Washington |
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11-07-22 | Suns -125 v. 76ers | Top | 88-100 | Loss | -125 | 17 h 46 m | Show |
NBA Monday 10* Top Play Phoenix Suns Money Line -115/-125 @ Philadelphia 76ers @ 8:10 ET - I know the Suns just lost Cameron Johnson to an injury but the 76ers are without James Harden plus who knows if Joel Embiid will finally play for the Sixers in this one after missing time with an illness. I do expect him to play but the last I heard was Coach Rivers saying he was at about 75% in the latest practice. What I do know though is that even if he does play he won't be 100% plus probably can't play as much as usual here in his first game back. Also, Philly is actually just 2-4 in games in which Embiid has played this season. That said, I feel we have great value here with this 7-2 Suns team even without Johnson. Again, the Sixers are without Harden here. So adding up all the factors and the line value because home court is baked into this line, the road team is the play here. I am seeing money lines as low as -115 on the Suns so I would rather lay a money line here than the 1.5 points and risk getting burned if the road teams wins by just a single point. Of course this play being posted early so there could be a lot of line movement but let's go ahead and get involved now and grab the Suns. 10* PHOENIX -115/-125 money line |
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11-07-22 | La Salle +15 v. Villanova | Top | 68-81 | Win | 100 | 9 h 7 m | Show |
CBB Monday 10* Top Play La Salle Explorers +15 @ Villanova Wildcats @ 6:30 ET - This is an intriguing match-up because it is an all-Philly game and, as always, the little brother wants to prove they can compete with the big brother. What has added to the intrigue here is La Salle has Fran Duphy (a 1970 Explorers graduate) and his 30 years of head coaching experience patrolling the sideline. At the same time, Villanova no longer has Jay Wright on the sideline and it will be strange to see the Wildcats without Wright patrolling the sideline. Kyle Neptune has only one year of head coaching experience. To his credit, Neptune has experience within the Wildcats program and helped recruit a lot of this current roster. Still I like the head coaching edge of Dunphy over Neptune and also note that guard play is so key early in the season in particular. It helps teams get comfortable in the early going of the season when teams are still trying to work out the kinks. That said, I like the depth of the Explorers in terms of their backcourt and will note that Villanova lost a lot from last year's backcourt. Of course Nova still the better team and should win this by a range of 7 to 9 points but I would not be surprised to see the Explorers, led by Dunphy, to hang around in this Philly battle much longer than many expect and it should not be a blowout as a result. 10* LA SALLE +15 |
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11-07-22 | U Craiova 1948 v. CFR Cluj OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 13 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals -133 in CFR Cluj vs U Craiova 1948 @ 2 ET - There are some books with over 2 available at juice in the -133 range and that is the way I would recommend playing this one in case it lands on 2. However, I am expecting 3 goals or more or I would not be recommending this wager. CFR Cluj is off a victory in UEFA Europa Conference League action but they lost their most recent Romania Liga 1 match as they ran into a strong Rapid club. That meant it was a match-up of 2 of the heavyweights in the league but now CFR Cluj takes a step down in class to face a U Craiova 1948 club that is one of the weaker clubs in the league. I like the over here rather than laying heavy juice on the money line side because I do expect U Craiova 1948 to get on the scoresheet here. On the season, the visitors are averaging 1 goal per match and CFR Cluj is conceding an average of 1 goal per match. Back in July, U Craiova 1948 beat CFR Cluj 3-1 and so I am sure the hosts are going to look to get revenge in a big way here. The last 3 meetings between these clubs have all totaled at least 2 goals and have averaged 3.7 goals apiece! CFR Cluj has conceded at least once in 4 straight Romania Liga 1 matches so I am expecting U Craiova 1948 to get on the scoresheet here. However, the hosts have only 1 draw (the fewest in the league) in 14 matches this season. So all signs point to at least a 2-1 final in this one. 10* OVER 2 goals -133 in CFR Cluj |
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11-06-22 | Maple Leafs v. Hurricanes OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -114 | 11 h 9 m | Show |
NHL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Carolina Hurricanes vs Toronto Maple Leafs @ 5:05 ET - The Leafs hung on for a divisional win by a 2-1 count over Boston yesterday. They lost goalie Samsonov to injury in that game plus Murray is still out with injury. That means it is their #3 option Kallgren who gets the start here in the 2nd game of a B2B and he did play yesterday too. Toronto had to use Kallgren yesterday because they lost Samsonov to injury during the game. The Hurricanes are one of the top teams in the NHL so they will show the Leafs no mercy here and I expect the Canes to be relentless on the attack here as a result. However, I do respect the Maple Leafs potent offense and that is why I love the over in this game. Looking for both teams to enjoy plenty of success in the offensive zone. The Hurricanes are 8-2-1 this season but have allowed 3.4 goals per game last 8 games in regulation time. The Leafs have averaged scoring 3 goals per game last 5 games. I am looking for this game to get to 3-3 and that guarantees us at least a 4-3 final. 10* OVER 6.5 in Carolina |
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11-06-22 | Calgary v. BC OVER 50 | Top | 16-30 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
CFL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 50 in BC Lions vs Calgary Stampeders @ 4:30 ET - BC will have Bryan Burnham available for this game at WR. They also welcomed back star QB Nathan Rourke late in the season. Remember this team is a different animal on offense when he is under center as he had a breakout season for the Lions. The thing is, Calgary can put up huge points too. I look for this one to turn into a back and forth shootout. I know it is playoff football time but these two offenses are just too good. The Stampeders averaged 31 points per game this season. The Lions averaged 29 points per game this season and that was even with Rourke out injured for a significant number of games. I am expecting this to be a 31-28 type game at a minimum and the fact it is at BC Place in Vancouver means we have no weather concerns with this one either as the roof will be closed. Look for a ton of offense in this one. 10* OVER 50 in BC Lions |
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11-06-22 | Rams v. Bucs OVER 42.5 | Top | 13-16 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 32 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 42.5 in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Los Angeles Rams @ 4:25 ET - I know the Bucs might get a couple guys back in their secondary for this one but they may not be 100% and certainly may not play a ton of snaps if they even come back for this game. The fact is that the Rams and Bucs offense both struggle to run the ball. This game is going to be all about airing it out. Look for Brady to put on a show for TB at home in this one but I expect Stafford to finally have a bigger game as well. The Bucs defense has been been struggling and the Rams will take advantage downfield and WR Cupp is good to go for this one. Tampa is allowing 25 points per game last 5 games and those included match-ups with bad teams like Steelers and Panthers plus a Falcons team I am not so impressed with despite their surprising .500 record so far this season. Also, against the Ravens and Chiefs during this stretch, the Bucs allowed an average of 34 points per game. The Buccaneers have averaged scoring 25 points per game last 3 home games and are hungry to snap their losing skid here before heading to Germany to take on the Seahawks next week. The Rams managed just 14 points against a solid Niners defense last week but did score 24 in their prior game and I think facing a struggling Bucs defense is going to get LA going here. Los Angeles has not impressed this season on offense but they have faced a tough schedule too. They get it going again here in this one and TB will not take their foot off the gas in this one and that will force the Rams to have to throw as well. Low total considering the key factors here and decent weather expected for this one too. 10* OVER 42.5 in Tampa Bay |
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11-06-22 | Seahawks v. Cardinals -125 | Top | 31-21 | Loss | -125 | 9 h 1 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play Arizona Cardinals -1.5 point spread or -125 money line vs Seattle Seahawks @ 4:05 ET - For those of you with access to the money line I would certainly grab that rather than risk getting burned on a 1 point win here. However, I do feel confident the Cardinals should get a comfortable win in this revenge game. Yes, the Seahawks are on a 3-game win streak which started in a win over Arizona. However, this Cards team's other 4 losses this season have come against Kansas City (Super Bowl contender again), LA Rams (won Super Bowl last season), Philadelphia (8-0 this season), and Minnesota (6-1 this season). I feel this Cards team is flying under the radar now, especially since DeAndre Hopkins is back. He is such a threat in the passing game and has been fantastic in his two games since returning. With QB Kyler Murray off a game in which a couple of his picks were the difference, despite putting up big numbers, I look for a huge game here at home for the Cards passing attack. WR Rondale Moore also off a huge game and Zack Ertz, TE, a threat in the passing attack as well. The Cards just so much stronger with Hopkins back in the mix and remember they beat the Saints here 42-34 in the only home game since he came back! I know the Seahawks have been winning some games but they are over-rated in my opinion and yet leading the division. The Cards are hungry to, and will, close the divisional gap with a dominating win here! 10* ARIZONA -1.5 spread or -125 money line |
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11-06-22 | Rapid Bucuresti v. Steaua Bucharesti OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 14 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2 or 2.25 in FCSB vs Rapid @ 2 ET - Battle of Bucuresti here with FCSB hosting Rapid. No team has played fewer matches (14) then FCSB and yet they are the only club in the league that has both scored and conceded at least 20 goals on the season. In other words, expect goals here. The last two meetings between these rivals have averaged 3 goals and 3 goals per match is what FCSB matches are averaging this season. I know Rapid is capable of playing tighter, lower-scoring matches. However, Rapid has been trending to higher-scoring matches with each of last 6 matches totaling at least 2 goals. Rapid has averaged scoring 1.5 goals during this stretch and scored at least once in all 6 matches. In last 10 matches across all competitions, FCSB has allowed an average of 2.2 goals per match. Specific to Romania Liga 1 action, FCSB has scored in all but one match this season. The only match they did not was a 2-0 defeat against, you guessed it, Rapid! Payback time here on their home pitch and each team should score at least once as you can see and then note that Rapid has only 2 draws in 16 matches this season! In other words, strong odds that this one gets to at least a 2-1 final. 10* OVER 2 or 2.25 in FCSB |
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11-06-22 | Hamilton +2 v. Montreal | Top | 17-28 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
CFL 10* Top Play Hamilton Tiger-Cats +1.5 @ Montreal Alouettes @ 1 ET - Montreal has the home field edge here but there is a reason this line is practically a pick'em even though Hamilton was 2-7 SU on the road this season! Keep in mind the Ti-Cats are loaded with experience from key playoff runs in recent seasons plus they were the hotter team down the stretch this season. Montreal faded a bit late in terms of level of play and I am taking the team that is peaking at the right time to get the job done Sunday in the opener of the post-season. 10* HAMILTON +1.5 |
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11-06-22 | Vikings -3 v. Commanders | Top | 20-17 | Push | 0 | 6 h 19 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play Minnesota Vikings -3 @ Washington Commanders @ 1 ET - The Vikings are 6-1 this season. Their only loss was to Philadelphia. Yes, to the now 8-0 Eagles. The point is that Minnesota is winning every game they are supposed to win. However, because the Vikes are on a 2-4 ATS run, the betting markets are not exactly enamored with them. Yes the Commanders have won 3 straight games but they were severely outstatted by the Bears in the victory that started this win streak. They then beat a Packers team that is now on a 4-game losing streak and has been the most disappointing team in the NFL compared to expectations for the season. Then they beat a Colts team that has been another significant under-achiever this season. Truly, other than a solid game in a loss against the Titans (but they caught Tennessee in 2nd straight road game off key divisional win), the Commanders have not impressed this season. They have been blown out by the tough teams they faced (Cowboys and Eagles). Their other 5 games besides the 3 that I just mentioned were against teams with a combined record of 12-26-1 this season. So the Vikings at just -3 in this game basically just have to win the game for us to get the money. This is, like I said, a Minny team that has only one loss this season and it was to the still-undefeated Eagles. I really like Minnesota here because they just had a bye week two weeks ago. Washington still has not had a bye. They are playing for a 9th straight week. They have not played in the same city twice in consecutive weeks this season. It has been home/road/home/road, etc all season long. The Commanders need a bye. They are not getting it yet and I see the better team prevailing here and covering along the way. One final note of importance, the Commanders Super Bowl is next week. That's right, a chance to knock off the undefeated division rival Eagles. Set-ups don't get much better than this one in my opinion. Vikings all day! 10* MINNESOTA -3 |
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11-06-22 | Liverpool v. Tottenham Hotspur OVER 3 | Top | 2-1 | Push | 0 | 8 h 20 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.75 or 3 +130 in Tottenham vs Liverpool @ 11:30 AM ET - You have the options of laying sizable juice for a 2.5 here or less juice for a 2.75 here or grabbing the big plus money with the over 3 goals available as high as a +130. For what it's worth, I am expecting 4 goals here. I know Tottenham has been hurt by the injury to Heung-min Son but they are still such a strong club when at home. Tottenham is scoring an average of 2.7 goals per game in home matches this season! Liverpool has struggled on the road this season but they have avoided defeats at the hands of Tottenham in 10 straight meetings. The most recent 5 have featured 3 wins and 2 draws and the last 4 have seen Liverpool score an average of 2 goals. Tottenham has scored at least 1 goal in each of last 4 meetings. That said, you can see why I am expecting at least a 2-1 match here. But really I am expecting much more because Tottenham has shown a knack for coming back in recent matches and Liverpool also knows they must be more aggressive on the attack and they will feel they can do here especially because Heung-min Son is out for the hosts. So watch the Hotspur have some success on the counterattack with the visitors being so aggressive on the attack. Liverpool will have some success attacking but the hosts answer with great scoring chances of their own and I would not be surprised to see a 2-2 draw in this one. 10* OVER 2.75 or 3 in Tottenham |
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11-06-22 | Chindia Targoviste v. Hermannstadt OVER 1.75 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -114 | 9 h 47 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 1.75 or 2 in Hermannstadt vs Chindia Targoviste @ 9:15 AM ET - Hermannstadt is tougher to face on their home pitch but Chindia Targoviste has been rolling and that is why I am expecting both clubs to score at least once here. Hermannstadt has allowed at least 1 goal in 5 of last 6 home matches including a pair of goals conceded in each of last two. Hermannstadt scored 2 goals in last week's win and has scored at least 1 goal in 12 of 15 matches this season. 11 of 15 Chindia Targoviste matches this season have totaled at least 2 goals. Chindia Targoviste has seen their last dozen matches average 2.8 goals apiece. I feel we have good value with this low total because Chindia Targoviste has scored at least 1 goal in 10 of last 11 matches and the hosts have scored at least 1 goal in 80% of their matches this season. 10* OVER 1.75 or 2 in Hermannstadt |
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11-06-22 | Newcastle United v. Southampton UNDER 2.5 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 19 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play UNDER 2.5 in Southampton vs Newcastle @ 9 AM ET - Newcastle has been playing so well but Southampton has been tough on their home pitch this season. I look for this one to be very tightly played with goals tough to come by. Southampton is one of the lowest scoring clubs in the league but they also have conceded only 8 times in 6 home matches. Newcastle has allowed only 10 goals in 13 matches this season and that is the best mark in the league! This is why Newcastle is so high in the table as they continue to be so tough to score on and I look for that to continue here. The hosts, however, will put up a fight here and a 1-0 type match would not surprise me in the least. Southampton's last 4 matches have all totaled 2 or less goals and have averaged only 1.5 goals. Newcastle allowing just 0.5 goals since start of September as they have allowed only 4 goals last 8 matches! All signs point to this being a tight low-scoring affair! 10* UNDER 2.5 in Southampton |
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11-05-22 | Phillies +135 v. Astros | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 49 m | Show |
MLB Saturday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Money Line +135 @ Houston Astros @ 8:03 ET - Action on pitchers. Expected starters are Wheeler and Valdez. The Phillies right-hander got roughed up in his only start in this series while the Astros southpaw was great. The odds makers did not get the memo. They opened up with Houston, at home, laying only a -135 price in this one. Sure looks easy to take the Astros at home here, right? You know what happens when something looks too easy usually, right? Well the thing is Wheeler is capable of throwing a gem and the Phillies powerful lineup is certainly capable of coming up big against Valdez in the rematch. This series has the feel of a 7-game series and I am confident we are going to get there. Don't let the line fool you. The Phillies are the play here. The last 4 times when Wheeler was making a road start and Philadelphia had lost in his prior start, the Phillies won that game all 4 times. Look for the run to improve to 5-0 here as the underdogs get back up off the mat to force a Game 7 even though no one else believes in them here. 10* PHILADELPHIA +135 |
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11-05-22 | Texas v. Kansas State OVER 54.5 | Top | 34-27 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
CFB Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 54.5 in Kansas State Wildcats vs Texas Longhorns @ 7 ET - Sometimes crazy stuff happens in sports. The Wildcats shutting out Oklahoma State last week was one of those. Don't put too much weight into that. Kansas State is going to struggle to slow down this Longhorns offense coming off a bye week. Texas is ready to light up the Wildcats and, keep in mind, other than games against Iowa State, both the Horns and the Cats have been involved in an abundance of high-scoring games involving Big 12 foes. Again, not including the Cyclones game, the Longhorns have scored an average of 39 points per game in Big 12 action. The Horns also have allowed big points in their two true Big 12 road games - at Texas Tech and at Oklahoma State. As for Kansas State, not including the Cyclones game, they had allowed 33 ppg in Big 12 action before throttling Oklahoma State last week. The Wildcats have averaged 38.5 points scored per game in Big 12 action, not including the rare low-scoring battle with Iowa State. So the point is that both these offenses fully capable of putting up big points in this one. Also, the Horns pass defense is a concern and the Kansas State defense comes into this one over-rated after last week's surprising shutout. Watch the Horns run right through them in this game but the Wildcats surging offense will battle right back too. That means plenty of points in this one. Tough game to call the side in my opinion as this one shapes up to be a back and forth shootout. 10* OVER 54.5 in Kansas State |
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11-05-22 | Flyers +168 v. Senators | Top | 2-1 | Win | 168 | 12 h 17 m | Show |
NHL Saturday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers +160 @ Ottawa Senators @ 7:05 ET - Carter Hart should be back in goal for the Flyers in this one after getting a breather with Felix Sandstrom getting the last start. Note that the Flyers have yet to lose in regulation with Hart in goal. He has been fantastic this season and yet Ottawa is priced very high here. This is huge underdog value on Philly in my opinion. Yes, Cam Talbot is making his first start for the Senators after coming on in relief in the loss to the Golden Knights. However, coming on in relief in a game in which your team already allowed 5 goals is different than the situation here. The Sens are priced very high because the Flyers are still seen as one of the worst teams in the league. This is incredible line value here because Philly has been very competitive this season. They are on a 3-game losing streak but 2 of the losses were in OT and then the 3rd one at Toronto that was a 5-2 loss saw them down just 3-2 with under 8 minutes to go. Also, Hart did not play in that game. The Senators have lost 4 straight games by the way and none of those were in OT and they continue to allow too many goals. Is Talbot coming back from his rib injury going to fix all that? I don't think so either! And right now Flyers (when Hart is in goal) have been a lot better than the Senators this season in terms of goals allowed. Phenomenal underdog value here and I will not pass up on it. 10* PHILADELPHIA +160 |
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11-05-22 | Oklahoma State +1.5 v. Kansas | Top | 16-37 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 55 m | Show |
Saturday CFB 10* Top Play Oklahoma State Cowboys +1.5 @ Kansas Jayhawks @ 3:30 ET - I know there are major questions at quarterback for both teams entering this one. I know the markets have moved toward Kansas in this game. I am happy to grab the extra value on a well-coached Oklahoma State team that is off a thoroughly embarrassing 48-0 loss last week. Keep in mind, the Cowboys have beaten the Jayhawks 12 straight times. Also, OSU was 6-1 SU and ATS prior to that loss last week to the Wildcats. The only loss that Okla St had suffered this season, prior to last week, was a defeat in double-OT. In other words, I feel we have seen a severe over-reaction to last week's result and we are getting value with a Cowboys team that is sure to come out angry and focused for this game. I know Jayhawks are better than past teams but their defense has been very bad too. Though Kansas enters this game off a bye, they had lost 3 straight games and by an average margin of 10 points per defeat before that week off. Lets not forget that OSU was a top ten team entering last week's game. They should bounce back strong here no matter the QB situation for either side. I know the emotion that Cowboys are going to bring to this team under coach Gundy! Look for the 12-0 run in favor of the Cowboys in meetings between these foes to make it 13 in a row! 10* OKLAHOMA STATE +1.5 |
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11-05-22 | Penn State -13.5 v. Indiana | Top | 45-14 | Win | 100 | 7 h 11 m | Show |
Saturday CFB 10* Penn State Nittany Lions -13.5 @ Indiana Hoosiers @ 3:30 ET - Looks like most of the weather is going to move through before this game gets underway so this one is a go for me after having to wait it out a bit. Penn State should roll to a huge win here just like they did after losing badly at Michigan last month. The Nittany Lions turned around and rolled the Gophers. Yes this time the Lions are on the road and Indiana is off a bye week but this Hoosiers team has lost 5 straight games. This included a loss to Rutgers in their most recent game and they lost WR Cam Camper to a season-ending ACL injury in that one too! Sean Clifford had huge numbers for PSU versus Ohio State last week but also had turnover problems. He has been challenged by his head coach as a result of that and I expect he and this Penn State offense to attack a bad Hoosiers defense all day long in this one! On the other side of the ball, the Indiana offense has struggled in recent games and losing their top WR certainly will not help matters. The Hoosiers already have 3 losses by 14 or more points and this one should fall into this category as well. Be warned that there is a chance that Lions could start a little slow out of the gate, though I am not expecting that, but the Lions will come ROARING back either way as they are just too much for this bad Hoosiers team. 10* PENN STATE -13.5 |
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11-05-22 | Universitatea Cluj v. CS U Craiova OVER 2.25 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 34 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals +135 in Universitatea Craiova vs Universitatea Cluj @ 3 ET - Going for the bigger plus money here rather than playing this at Over 2 or 2.25 we will go over the 2.5 which is available in the +135 range! Why am I expecting at least 3 goals here? Well Universitatea Craiova has won 3 straight matches and scored 1.7 goals per match. Universitatea Cluj has allowed 1.7 goals per match last 3 matches but has also scored at least 1 goal in 7 of last 8 matches. Universitatea Craiova is the biggest favorite on the board of 3 matches today. That said, look for the visitors to score at least once but the hosts to find a way to get the victory. On their home pitch and favored heavily for a reason, Universitatea Craiova should get multiple goals here. The hosts are one of the top teams in the league this season and looking to make a move up the table so they will fight hard here for the full 3 points. 3 of their last 4 home matches have totaled at least 3 goals and that included a wild 4-3 win over Farul. Prior to shutting out Sepsi last week, Universitatea Craiova had allowed at least 1 goal in 8 straight matches. That said, there is certainly reason to expect Universitatea Cluj to get on the scoresheet here. Look for at least 3 goals as an end result here. 10* OVER 2.5 goals +135 in Universitatea Craiova |
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11-05-22 | Leicester v. Everton OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 55 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Everton vs Leicester @ 1:30 ET - Both clubs have been getting solid defense and goaltending. That said, this is a contrarian play but there is a key to it. Both clubs need to be more aggressive and go for the full 3 points here. Leicester is still in a relegation position at #18 and Everton is only 3 points above them in the table. Yes the season is only about a third of the way in but it is not too early to have some concerns about this. Each club has only 3 wins on the season. Only 2 clubs have less and that is Nottingham Forest and Wolverhampton with 2 apiece and both of them are in relegation positions at #19 and #20. This is why I am expecting a 2-1 final here and feel we have excellent line value with this total at 2.5 goals and no juice on the over. I totally understand the line but just saying there is reason to go contrarian here and the situation is filled with value in my opinion. Both of Everton's home matches in October went over the total. The last time these clubs met went over the total. I know Leicester has allowed only 1 goal in last 4 matches but look at their long-term road history. All 6 of their matches away from home have totaled at least 3 goals and those have averaged 5.2 goals apiece. So I know they have been keeping teams from scoring and Jordan Pickford has been great between the sticks for the hosts too with just 1 goal allowed last 3 matches but you can see why I love the over here. I have no hesitation in testing the 6-0 / 100% run of overs in Leicester's road matches this season. 10* OVER 2.5 in Everton |
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11-05-22 | Fulham v. Manchester City OVER 3.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -135 | 6 h 57 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 3.5 in Manchester City vs Fulham @ 11 AM ET - Reports are that Haaland will be back for Manchester City for this one. Even if he is not, though I expect he will be, City has won all 6 home matches this season and is on very long winning streak at home across all competitions. Not only that, the 6 matches in league have averaged 5.5 goals apeice. As for Fulham, they are on the only club in the 20-team league that has both scored AND allowed 22 goals or more. Considering that factor plus the way that City plays when on their home pitch, this one should fly over the total. 10* OVER 3.5 in Manchester City |
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11-04-22 | Oregon State v. Washington OVER 54 | Top | 21-24 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 49 m | Show |
CFB Friday 10* Top Play OVER 54 in Washington Huskies vs Oregon State Beavers @ 10:30 ET - This total has dropped a lot because of the weather forecast in Seattle. However, this game does not start until 7:30 ET local time. As luck would have it, the weather forecast is showing the heavier rain in the afternoon letting in up in the early evening. It actually may not even be raining at all when this game kicks off. Now weather can be tricky of course so there are no guarantees. But the point is that the expectation is very light showers to no rain at all during this game. It will have rained hard earlier in the day but the field here is AstroTurf and the playing conditions should be fine. There is some wind in the forecast but even those winds are subsiding to the 15 mph range by kickoff and down to 10 mph range during the game. The wind should not be a major factor either is the point. So lets take advantage of this now-lower total. The Beavers have allowed at least 27 points in all 3 of their road games this season. Now they face one of the best offenses in the nation and off a bye week. The Huskies have scored an average of 40 ppg this season but, other than allowing 6 points to an FCS program, Washington has also allowed 31 ppg this season in their other 7 games. With this line around a 4 that puts this game at 40-36 or 35-31 as you can see based on those numbers. Oregon State has scored 31 points per game last 3 games and I expect this one to get well into the 60s and 70s would not be a total shock either as you can see. 10* OVER 54 in Washington |
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11-04-22 | Warriors v. Pelicans -4 | Top | 105-114 | Win | 100 | 15 h 5 m | Show |
NBA Friday 10* Top Play New Orleans Pelicans -4 vs Golden State Warriors @ 8:40 ET - The Pelicans are off an unbelieve, inexcusable OT loss at Los Angeles when they missed 2 free throws with under 2 seconds to go in the game. That then allowed the Lakers get off a 3 at the buzzer which did go in to force OT. After LA won the game in OT you know New Orleans is going to be extremely fired up here. Not only that, the Pelicans are getting back Brandon Ingram and Herbert Jones for this game. Those reinforcements will help and what also helps is they are catching the Warriors in a back to back. Golden State has been getting good production from their starting five. But the Warriors bench has struggled and that means if the Warriors starters are worn out from the B2B than this one sets up to be very tough sledding for GS. Look for NO to take advantage. the Pelicans will run them right out of the arena and Golden State has been struggling defensively so this sets up for a big-time home blowout here. 10* NEW ORLEANS -4 |
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11-04-22 | Sabres +1.5 v. Hurricanes | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -140 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
NHL Friday 10* Top Play Buffalo Sabres Puck Line +1.5 goals -140 @ Carolina Hurricanes @ 7:05 ET - This is an excellent situational spot that favors the road dog. I was really tempted to take Buffalo at big plus money on the money line but we'll go the safer route in case Carolina claws their way back to win this game late or in OT or SO and it ends up being a one-goal game. The key here is that the Sabres should get the jump on the Hurricanes off a huge win at Tampa Bay last night. Carolina got the tying goal in the 3rd period and then won the game in the shootout. Beating Vasilevskiy and the Lightning in Tampa is a big deal and I could see the Canes being flat here for this one and they are in the 2nd day of a B2B. By the way Carolina at -1.5 goals on the puck line would be 0-7 last 7 games as they have 4 wins by 1 goal (and only one of those wins was in regulation!) and they have 3 losses in this stretch. As for the Sabres at +1.5 goals on the season they would be 9-1 (90%) as they are 7-3 on the season and only 1 of their losses was by more than 1 goal. So here were are testing a spot for Buffalo that is 90% this season and also testing a go-against situation fading the Hurricanes that has worked in 7 straight games for a 100% run which favors the Sabres here as well. 10* BUFFALO +1.5 goals -140 |
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11-04-22 | Mioveni v. Farul Constanta OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 1 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals +115 in Farul vs CS Mioveni @ 3 ET - CS Mioveni has had one scoreless draw in their last 6 matches. In the other 5 matches they have allowed an average of 2 goals per match. Now they are on the road and facing the highest scoring club in league. In terms of this match-up, it is one pitting first versus last in the table. Look for Farul not to hold back here. The hosts have scored an average of 2.5 goals in last 4 home matches. Farul has reached the 2-goal mark in 9 of their last 11 matches. Now facing the worst club in the league I would not be surprised to see them reach the 3-goal mark and push this total over all by themselves. As for CS Mioveni, don't be surprised if they get on the scoresheet here. Farul is willing to play aggressive on the attack and has allowed at least 1 goal in 7 of last 11 matches. Before a recent rough stretch that began in mid-October, CS Mioveni had scored at least 1 goal in 5 of 6 matches. They have scored at least 1 goal in 2 of last 3 meetings with Farul. This match, in Constanta, should see plenty of goals as the hosts have another foe (Chindia Targoviste) on deck that is at the lower portion of the table also. So there is no lookahead here! The hosts roll to a big win and that means plenty of goals. 10* OVER 2.5 goals +115 in Farul |
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11-04-22 | Blue Jackets v. Avalanche OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 28 m | Show |
NHL Friday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Colorado Avalanche vs Columbus Blue Jackets @ 2 ET (game played in Finland) - Columbus is 3-7 this season and has scored an average of 4.3 goals in regulation time of the 3 wins and allowed 5.3 goals in the 7 losses. All defeats were by a multi-goal margin too. The defense of the Blue Jackets and the goal-tending have each left plenty to be desired early this season. 7 of last 9 Columbus games have totaled at least 7 goals and this one surely should as well. As for the Avalanche, they have not been involved in nearly as many high-scoring games but I look for the fact this is the Blue Jackets and the game is being played overseas to lead to plenty of scoring chances throughout this game both ways. Colorado has not been as lock tight in their own end as they were last season. Other than a 1-0 shutout loss at New Jersey, in their other 5 games away from home they have allowed an average of 3.4 goals per game. Also, other than the shutout loss to the Devils, they have scored an average of 3.5 goals per game. You can see why I am expecting this game to get to 7 goals or more. I am fully expecting it reaches 3-3 at some point (which would guarantee at least 7 of course) but, either way, the expectation is 7 or more in this one. 10* OVER 6.5 in Colorado |
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11-03-22 | Ducks v. Canucks OVER 6 | Top | 5-8 | Win | 100 | 14 h 42 m | Show |
NHL Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 6 in Vancouver Canucks vs Anaheim Ducks @ 10:05 ET - This total probably will move to a 6.5 and already has done so at some books. This seems like a great spot for plenty of goals. Vancouver is off a 5-2 loss versus New Jersey to drop to 2-6-2 on the season. In the Canucks 8 losses, not including OT of course, they have allowed 4.1 goals per game. In Vancouver's 2 wins, they have scored 5 goals each time! Given these numbers you can see why I am expecting a wild one tonight. The Ducks have some solid talent that can produce plenty of scoring and that is starting to shine through. The problem for Anaheim is they are not getting good goaltending and they certainly are not known for being strong defensively. 8 of the Ducks 10 games this season have totaled at least 6 goals. Also, confidence is building courtesy of a 4-3 OT win and a 6-5 SO win in last two games! Amazingly, Anaheim has allowed at least 4 goals in 8 of 10 games and, again, the Canucks are allowing an average of 4 goals per game this season. There is certainly nothing average about that either! 5-4 anyone? Honestly it would not surprise me in the least but we should get to a 4-3 type game at a minimum. 10* OVER 6 in Vancouver |
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11-03-22 | Eagles v. Texans UNDER 46 | Top | 29-17 | Push | 0 | 18 h 42 m | Show |
NFL Thursday 10* Top Play UNDER 46 in Houston Texans vs Philadelphia Eagles @ 8:15 ET - Look for the Eagles to simply do enough here to win and move on. They are on a short week. Yes it is Jalen Hurts homecoming and he would love to have a huge game here in his hometown. But does Philly really want to risk him too much in this one? I could see the Eagles going with a run-heavy and short quick passes to minimize injury risk for Hurts in this one. I mean Philly should be able to sleep-walk their way to another SU win here but they don't need a blowout win and the Texans just do not score much at all. Houston's offense is a mess and the Eagles defense has been playing with a lot of pride ever since they gave up 35 to the Lions at Detroit in week 1. Before their blowout win over the Steelers, the Eagles had averaged 24.6 ppg their 5 prior games. They are not piling up huge points every week. Their defense has been the real story though and each of their last road games were easy unders and Philly has allowed only 13.8 ppg their last 6 games. The Texans will struggle to score much here as they are averaging only 16.6 ppg on the season and now face the only undefeated team in the NFL. I look for a bit of an ugly grinder that plays out 24-10 in favor of the Eagles. Something along those lines. Maybe 27-13 or 28-14. Think this one stays in the 30s but at best, low 40s the way I see it. 10* UNDER 46 in Houston |
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11-03-22 | Astros v. Phillies +147 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 50 m | Show |
MLB Thursday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Money Line +147 vs Houston Astros @ 8:03 ET - Action on pitchers. Remember when the Phillies lost to Astros 10-0 early last month when they faced Verlander the night after clinching a post-season berth? Then remember what happened when they faced Verlander in Game 1 of this series and got the huge comeback win? Lets throw out the outlier that the double digit loss was given the situation. The last 6 times the Phillies are off a loss by a single digit margin they have won their next game all 6 times! That includes every time in this post-season including their first game of the post-season too when they were off a loss in their regular season finale. Syndergaard may not pitch more than 3 innings here so this is more about the bullpens and the Phillies bullpen has been great. I know Verlander is a great pitcher but he has now struggled in 2 of his 3 starts in the post-season. Also, this will be his first road start since September! Of course he is a veteran pitcher and he is a fantastic pitcher but still a road start against a team that just came back on you when you had a 5-0 lead is not the easiest. After Phillies got no-hit yesterday, look for them to connect on some big shots against Verlander and that will be enough to get the crucial home game for them as they know this game is essentially do or die. If they lose Game 5 at home they would have to win both games at Houston and that is not likely. All signs point to a Phillies bounce back here no matter the starting pitchers. Grab the home dog! One final interesting note here is these teams have played 37 innings so far and the Astros have scored in only 5 of the frames. The Phillies have not been tremendously better but they entered last night's game with runs scored in 8 of 27 innings prior to Wednesday's loss. After getting no-hit at home I am sure this powerhouse lineup bounces back tonight. Look for Phillies to make it 7-0 last 7 times they were off a loss by a single digit margin. 10* PHILADELPHIA +147 |
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11-03-22 | Appalachian State v. Coastal Carolina OVER 63.5 | Top | 28-35 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 29 m | Show |
CFB Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 63.5 in Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs Appalachian State Mountaineers @ 7:30 ET - Chase Brice, App St QB, has almost thrown for 22 TD's and only 4 INT's this season. Brice has thrown for nearly 2,000 yards already this season. Coastal QB Grayson McCall has 19 TD's and only 1 INT and has just eclipsed the 2,000 yard mark in passing on the season. The fact is that this should turn into a high-scoring shootout as good weather is expected in Conway, SC as well. So you have the ideal set-up for both teams to air it out so don't let the big number scare you here. Also, the Mountaineers can run the ball well and we have seen Coastal Carolina struggle against the run recently. The run game being dominant can then open up the passing attack. So App St should move the ball very well here but the Chanticleers at home and facing a weak pass defense will absolutely turn this game into a back and forth score-fest. If you are a fan of the punting game tune in elsewhere because I don't expect to see the punters on the field much in this one! Both teams move the ball very well and plenty of points throughout. App St has scored at least 42 in 3 of last 4 games. Chanticleers did not score well in most recent home game but had averaged 35 in first 4 home games and bounce back here. 10* OVER 63.5 in Coastal Carolina |
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11-03-22 | Golden Knights v. Senators +127 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 60 m | Show |
NHL Thursday 10* Top Play Ottawa Senators Money Line +125 vs Vegas Golden Knights @ 7:05 ET - Vegas is hot to start this season and they enter this game on a 5-game winning streak. However, each of their last two wins were in overtime. Also, they have a game on deck at Montreal. When Vegas most recently missed a chance to get to the Stanley Cup Final it was because they lost to the Canadiens in the recent covid-impacted season that changed the post-season structure for that campaign. In any event, the Golden Knights have not forgotten and a visit to Montreal brings a little extra attention for sure. That said, Vegas could look right past Ottawa and that could prove to be a mistake. The Senators have lost 3 straight but the last two were on the road and prior to that the Sens had won 4 straight on home ice. In fact, just playing the home team in Ottawa games would have netted you a tidy 8-1 record so far! I am backing that 89% YTD record right here as I look for the Senators to get back on track on home ice where they have played so well. Note that their 4 wins came by an average margin of 3 goals apiece and, again, the Knights are entering this one off tight wins that each required OT. Solid home dog value here. 10* OTTAWA +125 |
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11-02-22 | Astros v. Phillies UNDER 7.5 | Top | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 18 h 43 m | Show |
MLB Wednesday 10* Top Play UNDER 7.5 in Philadelphia Phillies vs Houston Astros @ 8:03 ET - Action on pitchers. When a team hits 5 homers in a game with a total of only 7.5 runs and it still stays under the total that says a lot! That was Game 3 last night. This followed a Game 2 in Houston that also totaled 7 runs. I am looking for 7 or less again tonight. This one looks like it will be the lowest-scoring of the bunch the way I see it. I will make this wager with action on pitchers as I expect things to tighten up a bit at the plate in this one and the losing team has scored an average of just 1 run last two games. Could this be a 2-1 pitchers duel? I sure think so. Cristian Javier is expected to get the start here and he is so tough to hit and has been pitching extremely well late in the year. Also, the Phillies do not have experience against him so this is a big edge for Javier. As for Philadelphia's expected starter Aaron Nola, I am looking for a bounce back effort at home after he struggled in Game 1 of this series. Nola has been rock solid at Citizens Bank Park throughout his career and I expect his breaking stuff, which can be devasting to hitters, to be on point in this one at home where he is so comfortable on the mound. 10* UNDER 7.5 in Philadelphia |
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11-02-22 | Penguins v. Sabres +110 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 110 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
NHL Wednesday 10* Top Play Buffalo Sabres Money Line +110 vs Pittsburgh Penguins @ 7:35 ET - The Sabres are playing very well. Buffalo is off B2B wins at home and they already had a 3-game win streak on the road in Western Canada earlier this season. They are rested here too while the Penguins played last night. That means it is likely Pittsburgh will start Casey DeSmith here and he is winless on the season. He has not played all that poorly but he is allowing an average of 3 goals per game and his teammates could be tired in front of him. Penguins off a demoralizing 6-5 OT loss yesterday as they blew a 5-2 lead in a game they led 5-3 going to the 3rd period. Not only that, Pittsburgh was on home ice for that blown game! This Penguins team has now lost 5 straight including 4 straight on the road and this is the perfect set-up for another loss with this being a B2B spot with Penguins struggling with confidence issues after the way last night's game played out. The Sabres are much better than the Sabres teams of old and their 6 wins this season have come by an average margin of 3 goals. The point is that they are not just winning, they are getting big wins and you know they want to take down Crosby and Company here. 10* BUFFALO +110 |
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11-02-22 | Flyers v. Maple Leafs OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show |
NHL Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Toronto Maple Leafs vs Philadelphia Flyers @ 7:05 ET - Flyers off a 1-0 OT loss at Rangers last night. Another huge effort from goalie Carter Hart and the young netminder has been fantastic this season. However, he will likely rest tonight in this back to back and that means Felix Sandstrom likely between the pipes. Sandstrom lost all 5 starts last season and had a 3.23 GAA on the season. This season he allowed 4 goals in his only road start. Toronto is angry at home off 4 straight losses. The Maple Leafs desperately need huge production on home ice and I am sure we will get that from them in this game. They are loaded with high-end offensive talent and this is a "put up or shut up" type of game and I feel certain the Leafs are catching the Flyers are the right time to do plenty of damage in the offensive zone. The issue for Toronto is the fact that they have allowed at least 3 goals in each of last 4 games. Look for a 4-3 or 5-3 type game here. Just can not trust the Maple Leafs defense or goaltending but look for huge offensive output here. 10* OVER 6.5 in Toronto |
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11-02-22 | Central Michigan v. Northern Illinois OVER 55.5 | Top | 35-22 | Win | 100 | 15 h 18 m | Show |
Wednesday CFB 10* Top Play OVER 55.5 or 56 in Northern Illinois Huskies vs Central Michigan Chippewas @ 7 ET - The Chippewas made the switch at QB last week with Bauer coming in during the game for an ineffective Richardson. That QB competition is going to help spark things here no matter which one gets the start. As for the Huskies, they could get QB Lombardi back this week but either way, they should move the ball well here. Northern Illinois was averaging 33 points per game this season before being held to 14 last week in a deceiving final score as they did outgain Ohio University. As for Central Michigan, they have allowed 150 points in their 4 road games this season. Also, the Chippewas are averaging 26 points scored per game on the road and that even includes facing Oklahoma State and Penn State. In their road game versus Toledo they scored only 17 points as 3 lost fumbles in the game kept them from getting any rhythm going. I look for the QB situation for each club to help spark things here and the weather will be very nice with unseasonably mild weather expected for this one Wednesday evening. The Huskies allowed 38 points per game in their first 6 games this season so I am not sold on their defense just yet after being better their last two games. 10* OVER 55.5 or 56 in Northern Illinois |
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11-02-22 | Wizards v. 76ers -7.5 | Top | 121-111 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 2 m | Show |
NBA Wednesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -7.5 vs Washington Wizards @ 6:10 ET - The Wizards have not been traveling far but still they are bouncing around quite a bit right now. Washington was at home than on the road at Boston then at home versus 76ers and now on the road at Philly to face the Sixers again. This is also a 4 games in 6 days situation for Washington so this is all part of their toughest test so far this season in terms of scheduling. I like the fact that the Sixers, even without Embiid, were able to win by 7 on the road at Washington Monday. This is a Philly team that is finally starting to find its footing. The 76ers have won 3 straight games on the road and also won their last home game by 14 points. I look for them to build their run to 4 straight wins even if Embiid is not back tonight. But I do expect him back and also want to note that even though they are not stars, Kispert and Wright being out for the Wizards is still taking away a couple guys that average about 24 minutes a game. They are rotation players that Washington wants to use as part of the core group for the team! As for the Sixers, the only current "injury" situation was Embiid's illness and I would be surprised if he misses tonight's game. Look for the Wizards to run out of gas as this game goes on and the deeper Sixers again take advantage just like they did Monday with their big 3rd quarter in DC leading to solid win. 10* PHILADELPHIA -7.5 |
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11-01-22 | Wolves +5.5 v. Suns | Top | 107-116 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 6 m | Show |
NBA Tuesday 10* Top Play Minnesota Timberwolves +5 or +5.5 @ Phoenix Suns @ 10 ET - When something looks too good to be true it usually is. Keep in mind, Phoenix is 4-0 at home this season and the Suns enter this game on a 4-game winning streak in which all 4 wins were by a double digit margin. That said, how can the Suns have opened up as only a 4-point favorite at home? Exactly! Sure enough this line is already up to as high as a 5.5 in some spots and I love being a contrarian in situations like this. Minnesota went out and made the big move for Gobert in the off-season because they want to be a force to be reckoned with. To prove they have indeed arrived in the Western Conference, the Wolves must prove they can compete with one of the best teams in the West (and in all of NBA) in the form of the Suns. I feel Minny is going to be extra hungry here as a result and I love having the handful of points being offered here too as an outright upset would not surprise me in the least. If the Wolves do fall short, look for it to be by the slimmest of margins. 10* MINNESOTA +5 or +5.5 |
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11-01-22 | Kings v. Stars -138 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 55 m | Show |
NHL Tuesday 10* Top Play Dallas Stars -135 vs Los Angeles Kings @ 8:35 ET - The Kings in the 2nd game of a B2B set and that means Petersen is likely between the pipes and he has struggled so far this season. He just had a strong start in his most recent game but that was against a Maple Leafs team that appeared to be playing at least a gear or two low of where they should be. He won't be facing a disinterested team tonight. This Stars team is fired up after losing their last game and having lost 4 of 6. Before their 6-3 loss to the Rangers they were 3-0 at home this season with the wins by a combined score of 11 to 2. In the 6-3 loss Oettinger go hurt and Wedgewood had to come in for him. Sometimes that can be tough on a goalie when he was not expected to play. Wedgewood now knows he is getting the start tonight (Oettinger is out) and I look for him to be much stronger in this start than he was in relief last week. The Stars will play much better in front of him too to limit shots on goal and scoring chances. After that lackluster finish to the game against the Rangers, Dallas will be much better here and they come out angry for this one. 10* DALLAS -135 |
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11-01-22 | Astros v. Phillies +113 | Top | 0-7 | Win | 113 | 18 h 29 m | Show |
NOTE: A lot of this is from yesterday's write-up (game rained out) but I am still going with this play though Suarez is now expected to start instead of Syndergaard in this one: MLB Tuesday MLB 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Money Line +115 vs Houston Astros @ 8:03 ET - Action on pitchers. Remember when the Phillies lost to Astros 10-0 early this month when they faced Verlander the night after clinching a post-season berth? Then remember what happened when they faced Verlander in Game 1 of this series and got the huge comeback win? Lets throw out the outlier that the double digit loss was given the situation. The last 5 times the Phillies are off a loss by a single digit margin they have won their next game all 5 times! That includes every time in this post-season including their first game of the post-season too when they were off a loss in their regular season finale. Suarez is averaging only 3 and 2/3 innings last 4 starts so this is more about the bullpens and the Phillies bullpen has been great and is well-rested here. McCullers expected to get more work than Suarez here but McCullers just got rocked by a Yankees team that was struggling to hit anyone in this post-season. That is not a good sign for McCullers as he now faces a Phillies lineup that is so confident and has hit so well at home. This one turns into a home rout in my opinion. All signs point to a Phillies bounce back here no matter the starting pitchers. Grab the home dog! 10* PHILADELPHIA +115 |
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11-01-22 | Golden Knights v. Capitals OVER 6 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
NHL Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 6 in Washington Capitals vs Vegas Golden Knights @ 7:05 ET - I know Vegas has played surprisingly well early this season but I am still not sold on their goalie situation. It is still early and the Capitals will be skating hard on home ice here after falling short 3-2 in a shootout loss at Carolina last night. The Caps will now be starting Lindgren in goal for this one. I know he had some success in limited action for St Louis last season but he struggled in each of the 3 seasons prior. He is not really use to being a regular back-up in the NHL as he has been more of a spot goaltender throughout his career. That said Vegas will be looking to put pressure on him early and often in this one after #1 goalie Kuemper got the start for Washington last night. 3 of the Caps 4 home games this season have totaled at least 7 goals. The Golden Knights have won 8 of 10 games this season and 3 of their 4 road games have totaled at least 6 goals and that is the posted total on this one. Given the situation, I feel we have fantastic line value with this non-conference match-up available at a rather low total. 10* OVER 6 in Washington |
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11-01-22 | Ball State v. Kent State OVER 62 | Top | 27-20 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 20 m | Show |
Tuesday CFB 10* OVER 62 in Kent State Golden Flashes vs Ball State Cardinals @ 7 ET - The question marks with injury issues has led to this total dropping. The result has been excellent line value. The Kent State defense is not good. However, their offense proved last week that they can move the ball well even with Kargman at QB instead of Schlee. Also, Ball State has not scored well lately but they have an excellent passing attack and the Golden Flashes pass defense is a major weakness. Great weather for a November game in Kent, OH is expected for this one as well so both offenses will be able to have their full playbooks at their disposal in this one. Both offenses have been better statistically than in scoring and that also leads to value here as their point totals will improve to catch up with the stats they have produced. That is not an absolute but is likely as some breaks have just not gone the way of either offense really. Ball State allowing 36.3 ppg on road this season. Golden Flashes allowing 32.5 points per game in MAC games. This one will surprise some people because Cardinals have not scored well recently but their offense is better than people realize and will put up a ton of points against this bad pass defense. But, again, the issue for Ball State is they can stop no one! 10* OVER 62 in Kent State |
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10-31-22 | Bengals v. Browns +3 | Top | 13-32 | Win | 100 | 15 h 12 m | Show |
NFL Monday 10* Top Play Cleveland Browns +3.5 vs Cincinnati Bengals @ 8:15 ET - Waiting has paid off as we are starting to see +3.5 show up on this game for Cleveland and I love the home dog in this spot. Cincinnati, and deservedly so, is receiving high praise for their defense. But note that the Browns are off a great defensive effort at Baltimore and held the Ravens to just 254 yards but lost the game due to losing the turnover battle. Yes Cleveland is an ugly 2-5 on the season but 4 of their 5 losses have been by 3 or less points. Again, another reason I love the fact we can now get 3 plus the hook in this one with the Browns. As for the Bengals, they are 4-3 on the season but their wins are against teams that are a combined 17-15 on the season. They also have lost to a Pittsburgh team that is 2-6 this season. I am not saying that Cincinnati is not the better team in comparison with the Browns. I am just saying that this is a tough spot for them here in my opinion as Cleveland has won 7 of the last 8 meetings and gives them a lot of trouble. Also, the Browns back home off a tight road loss while Bengals on the road after a blowout road win. These set ups often work out well for the hosts and particularly when they are a home dog! The Browns have been just as solid as Bengals in terms of pass defense and they also are the much better rushing team on offense. 10* CLEVELAND +3.5 |
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10-31-22 | Kings v. Blues -113 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -113 | 12 h 35 m | Show |
NHL Monday 10* Top Play St Louis Blues Money Line -115 vs Los Angeles Kings @ 8:05 ET - The Blues have been struggling and are on a losing streak but that has resulted in exceptional line value here. St Louis is normally solid on home ice and this line has dropped a lot and the Kings have not exactly been dominant this season plus Los Angeles is known for struggling on the road. So when you add up all the factors here you have exceptional line value on a home team that is absolutely poised to end their recent losing skid. St Louis, including loss in most recent game, is still 6-3 the last 9 times they have entered a regular season game on a losing streak of 3 or more games. Last season they did not have a single losing streak more than 4 games. This one ends at 4 games too! Take advantage of the great price here as Kings entered their most recent game, a win, having allowing at least 4 goals in 7 of 9 games this season. Blue so hungry to shut down an opponent and they allowed 3 or less goals in 4 of first 5 games this season. In fact, STL allowed an average of just 2 goal per game those 4 games. The Blues reach back for some of that tonight and get back to usual "Blues hockey" in this one! 10* ST LOUIS -115 |
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10-31-22 | 76ers -4 v. Wizards | Top | 118-111 | Win | 100 | 13 h 19 m | Show |
NBA Monday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -4 @ Washington Wizards @ 7:10 ET - The Wizards are playing in a B2B for the first time this season and yesterday's game was on the road at Boston. This is also a 3 games in 4 days situation for Washington so it is their toughest test so far this season in terms of scheduling. Yes, the Wizards get the benefit of being at home for this one but that is also helping to keep this line very manageable on a Philly team that is finally starting to find its footing. The 76ers have won B2B games on the road and will be hosting the Wizards on Wednesday so they are fully focused on Washington here and I look for them to build their run to 3 straight wins! Look for the Wizards to run out of gas as this game goes on and the rested Sixers take advantage. 10* PHILADELPHIA -4 |
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10-31-22 | Capitals v. Hurricanes OVER 6 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -122 | 11 h 18 m | Show |
NHL Monday 10* Top Play OVER 6 or 6.5 in Carolina Hurricanes vs Washington Capitals @ 7:05 ET - Capitals have won 5 of 7 games and have scored an average of 4.4 goals in the 5 victories. The goaltending has improved for Washington after some early struggles but the defense is going to have its hands full at Carolina here. The Hurricanes are known for an aggressive forecheck and for creating plenty of scoring chances of the high-quality variety. Carolina will build off a 4-3 OT win at Philly and is ready to make up for a 6-2 loss in their most recent home game. The Canes have had only 2 home games and they did manage to score 4 goals in their home game. This is a highly talented offensive unit that will be on display here after scoring just 2 goals at home in their game here last week. The Canes are allowing 4 goals per game last 5 games so don't be surprised if the Caps also enjoy some success in the offensive zone in this one as well. 10* OVER 6 or 6.5 in Carolina |
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10-31-22 | Steaua Bucharesti -101 v. Universitatea Cluj | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -101 | 12 h 39 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Monday 10* Top Play FCSB Money Line -105 @ Universitatea Cluj @ 3 ET - FCSB was one of the top clubs in the league last season again and they are on their way back up the table this season too after a slow start. In the month of October they have won all 4 matches and, with a win here, they can move up to #5 in the table of 16 teams. We get line value here because they are on the road. That means we have a manageable line to work with here as this match is at Universitatea Cluj. Note that the hosts are one of the lowest scoring clubs in the league this season plus they enter this match off B2B losses in which they allowed 2 goals in each match. FCSB has allowed a total of only 1 goal last 3 matches so Universitatea Cluj has their work cut out for them here and I do not expect this to end well for the hosts! FCSB has a tough match with Rapid next week so they know making sure they take care of business here to get the full 3 points is of the upmost importance here. Look for them to do just that and make it 5 in a row. 10* FCSB -105 |
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10-31-22 | Hermannstadt v. Mioveni OVER 1.75 | Top | 2-0 | Win | 50 | 9 h 12 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2 +115 in CS Mioveni vs Hermannstadt @ Noon ET - CS Mioveni is off B2B low scoring matches but this was preceded by a 3-match stretch in which all 3 totaled at least 3 goals. That said, prior to a scoreless draw with FC Botosani last week, CS Mioveni had seen last 4 matches average 3 goals. The last two matches between these clubs each totaled 3 goals and that included a key battle last summer in the Romanian Liga 1 Promotion/Relegation Playoffs. That said, intensity will be up for this match and I look for both clubs to be aggressive on the attack as a result. Hermannstadt has seen 10 of their 14 matches (and 5 of last 6) total at least 2 goals. With Hermannstadt having allowed at least 1 goal in 6 straight matches, I do expect CS Mioveni to enjoy success at home here in terms of finding the back of the net. However, Hermmannstadt will answer too as they have have scored an average of 1.2 goals per match last 5 road matches. The clubs have combined for just 10 draws in 29 matches this season so the odds favor a 2-1 match the way I see this one unfolding. Even if we get to just 2 goals we get a push but I am fully expecting 3 or more in this one! 10* OVER 2 +115 in CS Mioveni |
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10-30-22 | Packers v. Bills OVER 47 | Top | 17-27 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 52 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 46.5 or 47 in Buffalo Bills vs Green Bay Packers @ 8:20 ET - Very nice weather expected, surprisingly, for upstate New York in late October. Both offenses will take advantage. I know the Packers have been struggling on offense but watch Aaron Rodgers and company redeem themselves on national TV tonight as Buffalo's defense underestimates and comes in overconfident off the bye week. At the same time though, this GB defense has struggled much more than expected and now faces the best offense in the league and Josh Allen and company, at home and in nice weather, are going to put on a show in this one! Bills have averaged 40 points scored per game in their two home games this season. The Packers allowing 25 points per game last 4 weeks and facing a MUCH TOUGHER test here. By the way, GB has scored more than 20 in 3 of last 4 games and the Bills have allowed at least 20 points in 3 of last 4 games. Lets say the Packers get their 21 points here and the oddsmakers are right about the double digit spread...that puts this one into the low 50s! The fact is I am expecting much more than that given the situation and the good weather and this one could push the 60 range! 10* OVER 46.5 or 47 in Buffalo |
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10-30-22 | Jets +183 v. Golden Knights | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 43 m | Show |
NHL Sunday 10* Top Play Winnipeg Jets Money Line +175 / +180 @ Vegas Golden Knights @ 8:05 ET - The Jets lost to the Knights here 5-2 earlier this month. Winnipeg was down 4-0 after one period. No one on the Jets has forgotten this. Winnipeg off a win at Phoenix on Friday and they will win again here. Vegas is off a win versus the Ducks Friday but were outshot in the game and Anaheim had goalie trouble in that one with Gibson getting pulled. Speaking of goalie troubles, Rittich was in goal when the Jets faced the Knights the first time but now #1 goalie Hellebuyck will be in between the pipes for this one and he and Winnipeg will be ready to go. This is a revenge game and Vegas has won 3 straight but last season Vegas had 6 chances at a winning streak of 4 or more games and only 2 times in those 6 chances did they manage to win that 4th game. This season already they had a chance and failed in the 4th one too. Look, it is not easy winning in this highly talented league and streaks are hard to sustain. The Jets want this game badly and this looks like a great spot to fade Vegas. They have a 5-game road trip back east on deck and it starts with the Capitals team that won the Stanley Cup over the Knights just a few seasons ago. 10* WINNIPEG +175 / +180 |
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10-30-22 | Warriors v. Pistons +8 | Top | 114-128 | Win | 100 | 10 h 19 m | Show |
NBA Sunday 10* Top Play Detroit Pistons +8 vs Golden State Warriors @ 6 ET - Back to back spot for Warriors who are winless on the road this season and they went into overtime at Charlotte last night so not a good situation here. Not only could Steph Curry and company need a little extra rest tonight, Jordan Poole is dealing with an ankle injury. The Pistons are off to a rough start to this season but they will take advantage of facing Golden State in a tough situation for the Warriors. You also know the home team will be up about having Curry and Company in town for this one. 10* DETROIT +8 |
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10-30-22 | Titans v. Texans | Top | 17-10 | Win | 100 | 9 h 38 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play Tennessee Titans Pick or +1 @ Houston Texans @ 4:05 ET - The Titans Ryan Tannehill is out for this game. Malik Willis gets the start. I know he is an NFL rookie. I know he did not look good in preseason. But he started his college career at an SEC school, Auburn, and then went to Liberty so he could get playing time. He is a true dual-threat QB and in his two seasons at Liberty he threw for 47 touchdowns and ran for 27 touchdowns! He is not facing a great defense here. Also, unlike preseason, he is working with all the starting talent around him. This Titans team is first in the AFC South and this Texans teams is dead last in the division and one of the worst teams teams in the league. I think this is a classic case of value being created by an injury situation. Tennessee is the much better team and now is not even favored here and they have a strong ground game and will do damage on the ground here. The only team in the AFC with fewer losses than the Titans is the Bills. The Texans are tied with the Lions as the only teams in the NFL that have only 1 win on the season. There is simply a much bigger disparity between these teams than what this line is reflecting and we can take advantage of the added value. Houston's only win this season was against (now 2-5) Jacksonville. Tennessee has a game at Kansas City on deck so they know they need this game against the Texans. The Titans want to maintain their hold on the top spot of the division and next week's game at KC will be tough. Look for them to be fully focused here and everyone dialed in on offense to help Willis along and the result will be a surprisingly solid win here! 10* TENNESSEE Pick or +1 |
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10-30-22 | CFR Cluj v. Rapid Bucuresti OVER 2 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 58 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in Rapid Bucuresti vs CFR Cluj @ 3 ET - This is a pretty simple write-up really. Farul is at the top of the league so far this season but these two clubs are right behind them and battling it out for the #2 spot in the table. Note that Rapid has just 2 draws in 15 matches and CFR Cluj has just 1 draw in 13 matches. That works out to a combined 3 of 28 draw rate or 11% chance of a draw. So if you like each club to score here and you know the draw rate is so low, you can feel comfortable with over 2 here as this one should get to at least a 2-1 final. Note that Rapid has scored at least 1 goal in 12 of last 14 matches. 5 straight Rapid matches have totaled at least 2 goals. CFR Cluj has seen 9 of last 12 matches in Romania Liga 1 action total at least 2 goals. They have scored at least 1 goal in 8 straight matches in league action and have averaged 1.8 goals scored per match during this stretch. Both clubs pushing hard for the full 3 points in the table here so we should see at least a 2-1 match here. 10* OVER 2 in Rapid Bucuresti |
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10-30-22 | West Ham United +425 v. Manchester United | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 50 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play West Ham United Money Line +425 @ Manchester United @ 12:15 ET - Big upsets, though rare, do happen from time to time and this looks like another one here! The Hammers have been playing much better of late and this line looks funny to me. It looks too easy to take Manchester United at home on either the goal line or money line. The pricing looks too easy. The closer I looked at this match and knowing the recent distraction the hosts have had with the whole Ronaldo issue, I started to like West Ham United more and more in this spot. Keep in mind, Man U is off a hard-fought 1-1 draw with Chelsea followed by a 3-0 win in Europa League Thursday. They could be getting a little fat and happy now with all the recent successes as they drew with Chelsea in extra time too. As for West Ham, they are 6-1-1 this month across all competitions and I think the Hammers - still so far down in the table - will prove to be the hungrier club here. I sense a massive upset in this one. 10* WEST HAM +425 |
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10-30-22 | Nottingham Forest v. Arsenal OVER 3 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 7 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 or 3 in Arsenal vs Nottingham Forest @ 10 AM ET - Nottingham Forest getting high praises for a solid stretch in which they have allowed only 2 goals total over 4 matches. However, while they certainly deserve some credit, they caught slumping clubs in Liverpool and Aston Villa and Brighton at the right time plus they faced a Wolverhampton club that has scored less goals than anyone in the league this season. Now they face an angry Arsenal team that is 5-0 on their home pitching this season and those matches have averaged 4.2 goals. That is what I am looking for here. Nottingham Forest struggles to score goals but their confidence is growing and Arsenal is allowing 1.4 goals per match at home this season. So look for the visitors to slip one through at some point in this one but the hosts are -2 on the goal line for a reason! Look for at least a 3-1 final in this one! 10* OVER 2.5 or 3 in Arsenal |
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10-29-22 | Phillies +129 v. Astros | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 8 m | Show |
MLB Saturday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Money Line +130 @ Houston Astros @ 8:03 ET - Action on pitchers. Game 1 played out in the best way possible for the Phillies. The old saying of "a win is a win" is very true but, in this case, there might be no win better than that one for the Phillies to have a solid shot at winning the World Series. They were down 5-0 and on the road and facing a guy by the name of Justin Verlander! The fact the Phillies came back to tie it up quickly and then to eventually win it in the 10th inning is a huge boost in confidence. Philadelphia already came into this series with confidence but now they are starting to really believe. That makes for a dangerous dog and this is especially true when they have their best pitcher on the mound. Zack Wheeler over Framber Valdez here but I really don't care who the pitchers are. You saw how unimportant that was again yesterday. Hats off to Tucker for a huge game for the Astros but this Phillies team still has the more complete and confident lineup right now and that will shine through again here today. 10* PHILADELPHIA +130 |
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10-29-22 | Baylor v. Texas Tech OVER 60.5 | Top | 45-17 | Win | 100 | 16 h 17 m | Show |
CFB Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 60.5 in Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Baylor Bears @ 7:30 ET - The Red Raiders play extremely fast. They, by far, run more plays on offense per game than any other team on average this season. Texas Tech has a very dangerous passing attack, long known for an "Air Raid" offense and they got it going in a 48-10 win last week. The Red Raiders will move the ball against a Bears defense that has not been as good as advertised this season. Baylor particularly struggles on the road defensively and the weather is going to be very nice in Lubbock for this one too. So the Texas Tech offense should stay hot here but look for Baylor to answer them score for score as well! After all, this line is priced at nearly a pick'em for a reason! Look for this game to be a back and forth shootout! The Red Raiders had one bad game at NC State this season in which they scored only 14 points but in their other 6 games they have averaged 40 points per game! Also, in the 3 games prior to facing the Mountaineers, Texas Tech allowed 37 points per game. The Bears, similarly, had one poor offensive showing (at BYU) but have averaged 40 points per game in their other 6 games. You can see why I am expecting this game to get into the 70s and why I am fully confident we will get this one into the 60s at the very least. 10* OVER 60.5 in Texas Tech |
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10-29-22 | Leeds United v. Liverpool OVER 3.5 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 34 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 3.5 in Liverpool vs Leeds United @ 2:45 ET - This is a great spot for a home blowout for Liverpool. They have disappointed in recent EPL action but are off a big win in Champions League action which means they can afford to rest some guys in their next Champions League clash. That means they are likely to trot out their best here for this one on their home pitch and they are scoring an average of 3 goals per match when at home this season. Couple that with the fact they have recently disappointed in league action and you have the right situation for a home blowout here. However, I am most comfortable with the over here rather than any goal line side for example and I say that because Leeds is scoring an average of 1 goal per match and even a 3-2 final here would not shock me but I also would not be any more surprised to see a 4-1 final. So I am looking for 5 goals here but fully expecting at least 4 and look for an entertaining affair here as I feel the Reds will be relentless on their home pitch in this one. 10* OVER 3.5 in Liverpool |
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10-29-22 | Everton v. Fulham OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -117 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Fulham vs Everton @ 12:30 ET - I know that Everton tends to play lower-scoring matches but Fulham at home is going to dictate the tempo here. Also, Fulham manager facing the club he formerly managed and will want revenge here. Fulham will be aggressive on the attack and their matches are averaging 4 goals this season! Indeed, Fulham is averaging 2 goals scored and 2 goals allowed per match. Everton is allowing 1.6 goals per match on the road this season. Given all of the above variables I know the hosts do not want to settle for a draw here and they play an aggressive style even at the risk of sacrificing the defense. That said, this one would not surprise me to get to 3-2 and I am confident we'll see at least 2-1 here. 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Fulham |
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10-29-22 | Ohio State v. Penn State +15.5 | Top | 44-31 | Win | 100 | 10 h 47 m | Show |
CFB Saturday 10* Top Play Penn State Nittany Lions +15.5 vs Ohio State Buckeyes @ Noon ET - Remember when Penn State was so awful against Michigan and got blasted by the Wolverines? Yes? Well, so does everyone else and that is impacting this line. You know who remembers it the most? These Nittany Lions! They are at home and with a chance to make up for that embarrassment. They know they are better than that. They are not Ohio State and they are HIGHLY unlikely to beat the Buckeyes here. However, in my opinion, they also are HIGHLY unlikely to lose this game by more than 2 TDs. In fact, I expect this game to be decided by a single score as PSU has something to prove here and is capable of playing tough hard-nosed football against a very strong OSU team here. 10* PENN STATE +15.5 |
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10-29-22 | Petrolul 52 v. Voluntari | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -135 | 8 h 10 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Saturday 10* Top Play FC Voluntari Goal Line PK -130 vs Petrolul Ploiesti @ Noon ET - We could take plus money on the money line here but then if the match ends in a draw we lose our bet. By playing the goal line at a pick'em, a draw is a push with our bet. I do expect a win here or I would not be betting it, but I will have the added insurance of playing this on the goal line. This is great spot for FC Voluntari as they are off an ugly 3-0 loss on their home pitch. They are ready to bounce back strong here and they will take advantage of a Petrolul Ploiesti that has lost 3 straight road matches by a combined score of 5 to 2. Note that FC Voluntari, prior to ugly loss last week, was on a 5-match unbeaten streak which including winning both home matches by a combined score of 4 to 1. The home/road dichotomy here is a big difference maker. 10* FC Voluntari PK -130 |
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10-28-22 | Penguins v. Canucks OVER 6.5 | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -120 | 17 h 6 m | Show |
NHL Friday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Vancouver Canucks vs Pittsburgh Penguins @ 10:05 ET - Finally...the Canucks got a win last night and they were the last NHL team this season to do it. Vancouver won 5-4 at Seattle but it was not pretty. Still, this will be a confidence boost for the Canucks but now little-used Spencer Martin will likely be between the pipes tonight. I have nothing against him for sure but he does not have a lot of NHL experience and he has started only once this season and he is facing an angry Pittsburgh team here. The Penguins are off a 4-1 loss at Calgary so that game, of course, stayed under the total. However, prior to this, Pittsburgh's first 6 games saw 5 total 7 goals or more. In fact, those 5 games averaged 8.2 goals per game! The Pens will come out firing here and I could see them jumping out to an early lead and not wanting to slow down. But, keep in mind, the Canucks finally got that first win and now they want that first home win of the season and they will be battling back in this one. Don't be surprised if we see this game get to at least 3-3 and that means nothing less than a 4-3 final would be possible. 10* OVER 6.5 in Vancouver |
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10-28-22 | BC v. Winnipeg OVER 50 | Top | 9-24 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 2 m | Show |
CFL Friday 10* Top Play OVER 50 or 50.5 in Winnipeg Blue Bombers vs BC Lions @ 8:30 ET - Rourke is back for BC at QB. They want to get him into rhythm before the playoffs start. This is the regular season finale. It really carries no meaning and I do not expect a lot of defensive intensity because of that key factor. Both teams are going to the playoffs and are hosting playoff games in the coming weeks. That means this game is all about staying in rhythm on offense. The weather is going to be nice in Winnipeg too by late October standards. Both offenses can air it out in this one. The Blue Bombers and Lions are both averaging 30 points per game. Don't be surprised if, based on that fact as well as the spread for this game, we see a 34-31 type game. Winnipeg has averaged 39 points per game last 5 games. BC has averaged 31 points per game last 4 games and now Rourke is back and he was phenomenal early this season before getting hurt. 10* OVER 50 or 50.5 in Winnipeg |
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10-28-22 | Phillies +156 v. Astros | Top | 6-5 | Win | 156 | 12 h 60 m | Show |
MLB Friday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Money Line +155 @ Houston Astros @ 8:03 ET - I am not going to sit here and tell you negative things about the Astros and Justin Verlander. The fact is this play is all about the line value. We get a red hot Phillies team with a pitcher capable of dominating and that pitcher, Aaron Nola, is from Baton Rouge LA which is only a 4 hour drive from Houston. Rest assured that making this World Series start near where he grew up is extra special. Nola has proven to be a big game pitcher and he was excellent on the road this season. He enters this start having allowed 1 earned run or less in 10 of his last 15 starts dating back the regular season. He is off a rare bad start at San Diego and in the regular season this year, when he was off a start in which he allowed 5 or more earned runs, he allowed a TOTAL of just 2 earned runs in 5 starts! That's right, after those 5 bad starts, he allowed 1 earned run twice and 0 earned runs 3 times. Complete dominance. Verlander did dominate the Phillies when he faced them earlier this month but the Phillies, who clinched a National League Wild Card berth the day before, rested a number of their regular starting position players including Jean Segura, Nick Castellanos, J.T. Realmuto, Rhys Hoskins and Kyle Schwarber! Verlander is off a great post-season start versus the Yankees but got rocked by the Mariners in the start before that. He is a great pitcher and the Astros are a great team but there is something special going on with this Phillies team right now. Nola is capable of a dominating start here and the Phillies have some long-ball hitters that could surprise Verlander here with a couple of key homers. ACTION ON PITCHERS as I am riding the big dog Phillies for a shocker in Game 1 no matter the starting pitching write-up. 10* Philadelphia +155 |
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10-28-22 | East Carolina v. BYU -3 | Top | 27-24 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 33 m | Show |
Friday CFB 10* Top Play BYU Cougars -3 vs East Carolina Pirates @ 8 ET - This is as much a play against East Carolina as it is a play on BYU and, trust me, the Pirates are solid and respectable team. But I think the difference in the current level of these two programs is not being properly estimated by the betting markets here. Not only that, traveling West for a weekday game is not easy and is not something the Pirates are really use to either. They have been particularly spoiled by their early season schedule. That, to me, is one of the biggest keys here. I personally do not feel the AAC is a very strong conference. Yes, Cincinnati and UCF have had their moments in recent seasons but this is still not a Power 5 Conference like the SEC or Big 12 or Big Ten or ACC or Pac-12. So far this season East Carolina's toughest game had been versus NC State and though they fell just short that tight loss is becoming less impressive with each successive ATS loss that the Wolfpack continue to suffer. Now credit must be given for the Pirates beating UCF last week but that was a turnover-fueled win as the yardage and first downs were about equal. Plus East Carolina was at home for that one and the 21-point margin of victory is serving to give us line value here. BYU is an independent but has played a ton of tough match-ups. Tough game have included facing Baylor and Oregon and Notre Dame and Arkansas. Look for the battle-tested Cougars to bounce back and respond after an embarrassing loss at Liberty last week as they take advantage of home field here and stop their 3-game losing streak! 10* BYU -3 |
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10-28-22 | Hornets v. Magic OVER 224 | Top | 93-113 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 43 m | Show |
NBA Friday 10* Top Play OVER 224 or 224.5 in Orlando Magic vs Charlotte Hornets @ 7:10 ET - The Magic are winless on the season and will be fighting hard for their first win here. They will have to score plenty to do that because the Hornets have continued piling up big points this season. Though Orlando might scare you to be involved with because of their 0-5 record, note they have played a tough road-heavy schedule so far. Also, this team scored 120 points in their only home game so far this season. Trouble was that the Magic allowed 126 points in that game. I know Cole Anthony is now out with an injury but the point guard shot a combined 8 of 28 last two games! Keep in mind that Anthony had only 14 points in the home game in which Orlando scored 120 versus Celtics. The point is that the Magic, even though still dealing with some injury issues early this season, are fully capable of putting up plenty of points here at home - just their 2nd home game of the season! Charlotte, not including OT points of course, has seen each of their 4 games this season total at least 231 points. More of the same expected here! 10* OVER 224 or 224.5 in Orlando |