Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-23-23 | South Alabama v. Eastern Michigan OVER 44 | Top | 59-10 | Win | 100 | 9 h 49 m | Show |
CFB Bowls Saturday 10* Top Play OVER the total in South Alabama Jaguars vs Eastern Michigan Eagles @ 7 ET - This total has dropped to as low as a 44 as of 9 hours before kickoff and yes I am aware of the opt outs and guys entering the transfer portal as well. The fact is this has resulted in line value on this total as it is far too low in my opinion. For one thing, South Alabama is a huge favorite for a reason and this Bowl game is being played in their home venue as well! That said, if the odds makers are close with the spread here (as they so often are) that means we just need about 14 points from the Eagles and we win this total. That's because, in theory, that would mean a 31-14 final given this spread of the Jaguars as a 17 point favorite. Eastern Michigan has scored more than 20 points in 7 of last 8 games! In those 8 games, the Eagles have averaged scoring 23 ppg! South Alabama played another MAC team, Central Michigan, earlier this season and that was a 34-30 loss. Again, this posted total just too low here as we get line value due to opt outs. Neither team is good against the pass. Both teams will attack through the air regardless of who is under center. The Jaguars have averaged scoring 32 ppg last 11 games. The Jags have allowed 22 ppg last 9 games. Take advantage of the low posted total here and look for an easy over in this one. 10* OVER the total in South Alabama |
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12-23-23 | Arsenal v. Liverpool OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -140 | 4 h 25 m | Show |
Rotation #200033: English Premier League: Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 -140 in Liverpool vs Arsenal @ 12:30 ET - For the first time in 20 years, Liverpool had at least 34 shots on goal without scoring! It was a crazy result against Manchester United and that is helping to give us line value in this match-up with Arsenal in which the goals should fly in this blockbuster battle. Liverpool has seen it's other 3 recent matches across all competitions all total at least 3 goals and those averaged 4 goals apiece. Arsenal has consistently been averaging 2 goals per match and Liverpool is also consistently averaging 2 goals per match plus has scored at least 2 goals in each of last 4 meetings with Arsenal. 2-2 draw here would not surprise me in the least and certainly expecting a 2-1 final here at a bare minimum as this is the perfect set-up for an over. 10* OVER 2.5 -140 in Liverpool |
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12-23-23 | AFC Bournemouth v. Nottingham Forest OVER 2.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 2 h 2 m | Show |
Rotation #200013: English Premier League: Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +100 in Nottingham Forest vs Bournemouth @ 10 AM ET - Look for a strong effort from a Nottingham Forest club on their home pitch and buoyed by a managerial change. The trouble for Forest is they are facing a red hot Bournemouth club and that is why I am expecting the goals to fly here. Forest needs to be more aggressive and start scoring some goals and, hence, the managerial change. As for Bournemouth, they have been in top form and are showing no signs of slowing down. That means they will also keep Forest on their heels a bit in this one too and I look for a lot of attacking and counter-attacking opportunities in this one given the situation. Note that Forest has allowed 2.4 goals per match last 5 matches. Bournemouth has scored 2.4 goals per match last 5 matches. You know Forest is not going to lay down at home given the situation but you can also see why the visitors are projected to have a strong day as well. 2-1 at the very least here the way I see it with this one. 10* OVER 2.5 +100 in Nottingham Forest |
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12-22-23 | Temple -3.5 v. Old Dominion | Top | 63-78 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 16 m | Show |
Rotation #883: Friday CBB 10* Top Play Temple Owls (-) vs Old Dominion Monarchs @ 7:30 ET - Temple will bounce back here in Hawaii - this line 3.5 as of about 6 and 1/2 hours before tipoff - as the Owls take advantage of a struggling Old Dominion team here. The Monarchs have lost 4 straight games and allowed an average of 90 ppg in those 4 defeats! Old Dominion only has two wins in regulation time this season and both were against outclassed foes. The Monarchs certainly do not outclass the Owls! So, in other words, look for their losing skid to continue here. The Owls are off their worst loss of the season to a tough Nevada team but, prior to that defeat, Temple was 6-4 on the season and the average loss was by just 6 points. The Owls have faced a tougher schedule than Old Dominion as well and the Monarchs are just 3-7 SU on the season. So when you factor all this in, this is a solid line value situation to back a short favorite off their worst loss the season. 10* TEMPLE (-) |
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12-22-23 | Raptors v. 76ers -8.5 | Top | 111-121 | Win | 100 | 7 h 28 m | Show |
NBA Friday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers (-) vs Toronto Raptors @ 7:10 ET - Current line on this is an 8.5 as of 7 hours before tipoff! There is only one team in the entire NBA that does not have a SU divisional win yet this season and it is the Raptors! Toronto is 0-7 SU in divisional action this season and their road losses in divisional games have come by an average margin of 14 points per defeat. The Sixers have won 7 of 8 and each of their last 6 wins have come by a double digit margin! In fact, the average margin has been 29 points! Philly should roll huge again here as this is their last home game until after New Year's so they will make the most of it. Toronto drops to 0-8 SU in divisional games this season and you can see why I am expecting the win to be by a double digit margin! 10* Top Play PHILADELPHIA (-) |
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12-22-23 | Flyers +116 v. Red Wings | Top | 6-7 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 8 m | Show |
NHL Friday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers +115 @ Detroit Red Wings @ 7:07 ET - The Flyers should have Carter Hart back between the pipes for this one after he served as the back-up to Ersson last night. Hart is having a great season so far and has allowed just 4 goals in total in his 3 starts so far in December. The Flyers were in a 2-2 battle with Nashville yesterday but ended up losing 4-2. They will bounce right back here. That was the first loss in regulation time in the entire month of December. The Flyers have been playing well and had won 7 of 8 before yesterday's loss! Detroit has lost 7 of 8 games. The Red Wings are hurting right now due to goaltender injury issues and Reimer is struggling in goal. Philly will take advantage. 10* PHILADELPHIA +115 |
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12-22-23 | Central Florida v. Georgia Tech UNDER 67.5 | Top | 17-30 | Win | 100 | 8 h 53 m | Show |
CFB Friday 10* Top Play UNDER 67.5 in Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets vs Central Florida Golden Knights @ 6:30 ET in Gasparilla Bowl in Tampa, FL - This total has gone from low 60s to upper 60s and it is just too much the way I see it. Yes, each team is known more for offensive production than defensive strength but, even with that, 8 of 12 UCF games totaled less than 63 points! As for GT, 9 of 12 games totaled 65 or less points! Both teams know they are facing defenses that do tend to struggle against the run and I do expect a heavy dose of the ground game in this one from each team and that means running clock. Georgia Tech is a more pass-oriented offense than they use to be in years past when they ran the option attack heavily on offense. However, they still know that controlling the time management of this game with a heavy dose of ground attack is going to be a key to keeping this explosive UCF offense off the field as much as possible. As for the Golden Knights, they want to utilize their ground attack throughout this game to take advantage of a GT defense that allowed over 200 rushing yards in 5 of last 6 games. To get a game into the 70s in total points you generally need an emphasis on the aerial attack and I just do not see that being the case for either team in this one and this one lands in the 50s the way I see it. Take advantage of the added value of the line move on this total as well and look for 65 or less. 10* UNDER 67.5 in Gasparilla Bowl |
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12-22-23 | Sheffield United v. Aston Villa OVER 3 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -130 | 5 h 21 m | Show |
Rotation #200005: English Premier League: Friday 10* Top Play OVER 3 -135 in Aston Villa vs Sheffield United @ 3 ET - I know Sheffield United has been solid defensively at times but they are facing a potent Aston Villa attack that has their sights set on the top spot in the EPL table and will be able to breach that backline. While Aston is near the top of the table Sheffield is bringing up the rear. Sheffield has allowed just 3 goals last two matches but they had allowed 3 goals per match on average in the 11 matches preceding that one. That said, the goals should fly here. Sheffield off B2B shutout losses but this was preceded by them scoring at least 1 goal in 6 of 9 matches. Aston Villa has allowed at least 1 goal in 17 of last 21 matches across all competitions. Of course the hosts are a huge favorite here with good reason and that is why I am envisioning a 3-1 type match here. Look for at least 4 goals here but we also have value with this total available at 3 goals in the marketplace as of about 5 hours before the match goes! 10* OVER 3 -135 in Aston Villa |
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12-22-23 | Voluntari v. Dinamo Bucuresti OVER 2 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -107 | 4 h 8 m | Show |
Rotation #206809: Romania Liga 1: Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2 +100 in Dinamo Bucuresti vs FC Voluntari @ 1:30 ET - Excellent value with this over available at 2 goals. Dinamo has momentum coming off the 2-0 win at Botosani. They also had allowed 7 goals in 5 matches preceding that one so I certainly do not expect another shutout here. Also, FC Voluntari has allowed 10 goals last 7 matches so it is difficult to envision a clean sheet for either club in this one. Voluntari is off a shutout loss but this was preceded by a stretch of 5 matches in which they scored an average of 2.2 goals per match! Note that Voluntari has only a 30% draw rate this season and Dinamo has only a 20% draw rate this season. That said, the odds of a draw are not strong and you can see why the odds favor each club scoring at least 1 goal and the expectation here is a solid 2-1 final at least. The extra value here is the fact this total is being held at 2 goals in the marketplace as of about 4 hours before the match. 10* OVER 2 +100 in Dinamo Bucuresti |
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12-21-23 | Boise State +2.5 v. Washington State | Top | 61-66 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 13 m | Show |
CBB Thursday 10* Top Play Boise State Broncos (+) vs Washington State @ 11 PM ET at Spokane, WA @ 11 ET - This one is a neutral site game though the location certainly favors the Cougars over the Broncos as Pullman is closer to Spokane than Boise is but the point is this is not a true home game for Washington State. I love the contrarian aspect to this one as Washington State has revenge plus they are the Pac-12 foe facing a Mountain West team so they are the perceived stronger team and want payback for a loss to Boise State early last season. Consider all these aspects and then think about why this line would have opened up in the pick'em range? Exactly...and this line has now even moved up to Washington State as a 2.5 point favorite. Of course most are backing the Cougars given all of the above but the odds makers know that revenge is not always all it is cracked up to be plus the Broncos have played a tougher early season schedule. So when you fact all this in you can see the line value with the underdog in this match-up and I am backing the underdog in this one and we'll grab the bucket though we should not even need the points. 10* BOISE STATE (+) |
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12-21-23 | Coyotes v. Sharks +134 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 48 m | Show |
NHL Thursday 10* Top Play San Jose Sharks +135 vs Arizona Coyotes @ 10:37 ET - The Sharks have started to struggle again last few games but are now back on home ice where they have been tougher. Couple that with the fact that Arizona is known for home dominance. They have a huge home/road dichotomy. If you just take the road team in Coyotes games you would have a 22-10 record this season. The home team is also 23-9 in Sharks games so you have a lot of value here for sure in terms of grabbing the home team when these teams are involved and this is particularly true when you factor in the +135 money line available on the Sharks here. San Jose is off a home loss to a tough LA Kings team but, prior to that, San Jose had won 6 of last 8 home games. They are a well-coached team that is starting to play better and certainly is tough on home ice. Note that Arizona has lost 8 of last 11 road games. Arizona has won 3 straight including a 1-0 win over these Sharks but all those games were at home. The home team is 6-0 in Coyotes last 6 games and I look for that run to reach 7 in a row right here. 10* SAN JOSE +135 |
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12-21-23 | Lakers v. Wolves -8 | Top | 111-118 | Loss | -113 | 5 h 13 m | Show |
NBA Thursday 10* Top Play Minnesota Timberwolves (-) vs LA Lakers @ 9:10 ET - This line is up around an 8 but it is with good reason. James is out for the Lakers and Davis is questionable for LA. Both these teams are off losses yesterday but Minnesota is the much healthier team plus overall the stronger team plus they have the home court edge in this one. Also, the Timberwolves are a PERFECT 5-0 SU this season when off a loss. Additionally, when off a loss in which they allowed 127 points or less, the Wolves are not only 4-0 SU but every single win was by at least a 16 point margin and that means they are a perfect 4-0 ATS this season in this situation. Look for this one to make it 5-0 ATS on the season as this will be a home blowout against a short-handed Lakers team. 10* MINNESOTA (-) |
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12-21-23 | Saints v. Rams OVER 45 | Top | 22-30 | Win | 100 | 6 h 16 m | Show |
NFL Thursday 10* Top Play OVER the total in LA Rams vs NO Saints @ 8:15 ET - Waiting as this has paid off to delay release time some and this line is down to a 45 as of about 6 hours before kickoff. The Saints have scored at least 24 points in 6 of last 8 games. They have averaged 25 points per game last 10 games. New Orleans is off B2B wins and the Rams have won 4 of 5 so each team playing with extra confidence here. Also, Los Angeles has scored an average of 30 points per game during this 5-game stretch. Though there is some rain expected in the area this evening in LA it is expected to light at least for the majority, if not all, of the game. Also, winds expected to be light as well. That said, both offenses should be able to operate as they want tonight and the Saints have allowed 24.5 ppg in their last 4 games away from home. The Rams have allowed 24 ppg last 9 games. We should see both teams getting to at least the 24 point mark here and I see this game finishing in the 50s for total points scored as two confident offenses are squaring off in this one. Carr and Stafford both poised for big games in this one the way they have been going. The Saints will have WR Olave back for this one as well. Also, in terms of trending, the over is 3-0 / 100% this season when the Rams are off a game decided in regulation (non-OT) in which they scored at least 28 points! This one tests that 100% season-long trend and I expect the winning to continue as we should see another high-scoring match-up here given all of the above. 10* OVER the total in LA Rams |
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12-21-23 | Syracuse -3 v. South Florida | Top | 0-45 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 13 m | Show |
CFB Thursday 10* Top Play Syracuse Orange (-) vs South Florida @ 8 ET - This is the Boca Raton Bowl in Florida so the location certainly favors the Bulls. However, the Orange are the stronger team and this line has dropped from near 6 to near 3 and it is go time for me. Syracuse has an interim coach here but Nunzio Campanile will bring out the best in this team here. I realize the Syracuse QB is out for this one but look for the Orange to have a Wildcat offense in place for this one that utilizes the skills of their skill position players at QB. They should not have a problem here against a Bulls defense whose D is a major weakness. USF has allowed 455 ypg on the season and they played a weaker schedule than the Orange did. Also, Syracuse is going to take advantage of a team that had lost 4 of 6 before closing the season with a win over Charlotte. In those 4 losses, the Bulls allowed at least 49 points in all 4 losses! It is hard to trust a defense like that to stop anyone and I like what I am hearing from the side of the Orange in this one in terms of being motivated for this game. The faves are going to bring an "A game" effort here and they cover the FG along the way! 10* SYRACUSE (-) |
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12-21-23 | Brighton & Hove Albion v. Crystal Palace OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -104 | 5 h 40 m | Show |
Rotation #200001: English Premier League Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 -105 in Crystal Palace vs Brighton & Hove @ 3 ET - Crystal Palace off an impressive 2-2 draw with Manchester City and their scoring has been up lately. In fact, CP has both scored and conceded in 5 of their last 6 matches. Also, 6 of the last 9 matches for Palace have totaled at least 3 goals! Their last 9 matches have averaged 3 goals! Brighton is off a disappointing 2-0 loss to Arsenal and will bounce back here. Long-term Brighton & Hove has averaged scoring 2 goals per game and they will be on the aggressive here coming off the shutout loss. B & H rarely ever gets shutout and they catch Crystal Palace overconfident off the draw with City so the set-up here is perfect for the goals to fly. The way CP has been trending this one sets up well for plenty of goals. 10* OVER 2.5 -105 in Crystal Palace |
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12-21-23 | Universitatea Cluj v. CFR Cluj OVER 2.25 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 3 h 5 m | Show |
Rotation #206997: Romania Liga 1: Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +115 in CFR Cluj vs Universitatea Cluj @ 12:45 ET - The last 3 meetings between these Cluj rivals have totaled at least 3 goals apiece. In fact, those 3 matches have totaled an average of 4.7 goals apiece. CFR Cluj has allowed at least 1 goal in 6 of last 7 matches and has allowed 1.4 goals per match last 5. Universitatea Cluj has allowed 1.2 goals per match last 5 matches. They are off a shutout loss but scored an average of 1.6 goals per match in their 9 matches prior to that. Both clubs average match this season has been near the 3 goal mark and considering that plus the high-scoring history when these clubs meet, this should be a high-scoring battle. 10* OVER 2.5 +115 in CFR Cluj |
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12-20-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Kings OVER 6 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 5 m | Show |
NHL Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 6 in Los Angeles Kings vs Seattle Kraken @ 10:07 ET - The confidence of the Kraken is back up as they have been scoring more goals of late but of course they are large dogs here with good reason and the Kings will pressure them early and often here. However, I do like the fact that Seattle has scored an average of 4 goals in their last 4 games. As for Los Angeles, they have scored an average of 3.6 goals on the season. That said, I like the odds on a 4-3 type match here and we have the added value of this total being at just 6 goals. 10* OVER 6 in Los Angeles |
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12-20-23 | Villanova +9 v. Creighton | Top | 68-66 | Win | 100 | 5 h 10 m | Show |
Rotation #685: Wednesday 10* Top Play Villanova Wildcats (+) @ Creighton Bluejays @ 9 ET - The Wildcats are only 7-4 SU this season but they have wins over some teams and plus 3 of their 4 losses this season have been by 4 or less points. I feel we have excellent line value here with this one in the 9 to 9.5 point range and I will not hesitate to step in with a solid play on the Wildcats in this one. Villanova also has revenge here as they were knocked out of the Big East tourney by the Bluejays last season. The Wildcats lost their regular season game at Creighton last season as well but that defeat was by just 5 points. There is a lot of value here on Nova because this is still a talented team and they just beat UCLA without Justin Moore. Everyone is stepping up with Moore out of the lineup and that will happen again tonight. Also, the Wildcats have a tendency to play poorly against weaker foes and then be at their best against stronger foes. In other words, you will see their best again tonight. They also have a rest edge with 10 days off since their most recent game. Even though the Bluejays are at home for this one, there could be a lot of students home for the holidays already so they may not have an exactly raucous crowd for this one either. All factors considered (including the fact that Moore is out for this one) has led to a big value with the big underdog here. 10* VILLANOVA (+) |
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12-20-23 | Clippers v. Mavs +2.5 | Top | 120-111 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 9 m | Show |
NBA Wednesday 10* Top Play Dallas Mavericks (+) vs LA Clippers @ 8:40 ET - The Mavs are getting about 2.5 points here and of course it looks easy to lay the 2 or 2.5 with the Clippers here as they have won 8 straight games! Of course we all know what usually happens when something looks too easy, right? Indeed! So the point is this is the perfect time to go contrarian and back the Mavericks as a home dog in this one. First off, note that 6 of the 8 wins in the Clips win streak were home games! Also, one of the only two road wins was against a Jazz team that now stands just 10-17 on the season. The Clippers are still just 5-7 on the road this season and now they face their toughest road test since a 120-114 loss at Golden State. Also, 2 of the other road wins LA has this season were against a Western Conference league-worst Spurs team! So, the point is the Clippers are facing a much bigger challenge here but we get line value because of the current LA hot streak! Let's take advantage as the Mavericks are off a loss and they have gone 7-2 this season when coming off a loss! 10* DALLAS (+) |
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12-20-23 | West Ham United v. Liverpool OVER 3.5 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 120 | 7 h 13 m | Show |
Rotation #200613: EFL Cup Quarterfinals: Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 3.5 +120 in Liverpool vs West Ham United @ 3 ET - West Ham and Liverpool may not play all their best players here as they have bigger fish to fry. Still this is as match they both want to win plus the players that do see time on the pitch will be wanting to impress. There is a lot of talent on both clubs including plenty of attacking talent and certainly the Reds deserved much better in their recent scoreless draw with Manchester United as they fired shot after shot in that one and had so many scoring chances there. They will do better with those same chances against this West Ham bunch. Also, West Ham United has won 3 of last 4 matches overall and scored 8 goals in those 3 victories. Liverpool has scored 5 goals in the last two meetings between these clubs. Also, Liverpool has averaged 2.6 goals per match at home in EPL action. This is not an EPL match but the point is they are generally stellar on their home pitch when facing EPL opposition. The goals should fly in this one based on current form of both clubs and some hungry players getting time on the pitch in this one as well. 10* OVER 3.5 +125 in Liverpool |
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12-20-23 | Rapid Bucuresti v. Farul Constanta 1920 OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -112 | 5 h 27 m | Show |
Rotation #206801: Romania Liga 1: Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 -110 in Farul Constanta vs Rapid Bucuresti @ 1:30 ET - Both clubs have scored at least 1 goal in each of the last 5 meetings between these clubs and those 5 matches have averaged 4 goals apiece and we only need 3 goals here to be a winner. Note that Rapid Bucuresti has uncharacteristically had 3 straight scoreless matches in road action. However, they have averaged scoring 2 goals per match in their other 6 matches dating back to early October. They are one of the top clubs in the league but Farul is as well even if the results this season don't full reflect that. Farul is also off a rare scoreless draw but this followed 3 straight overs and those 3 matches averaged 5 goals apiece. When these clubs meet the goals tend to fly and I love the situation entering this one as well as both clubs will be hungry and on the attack considering the result of their respective most recent match. 10* OVER 2.5 -110 in Farul Constanta |
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12-19-23 | Kings v. Sharks +1.5 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -113 | 7 h 38 m | Show |
NHL Tuesday 10* Top Play San Jose Sharks +1.5 -115 vs Los Angeles Kings @ 10:37 ET - The Sharks just got hammered at Colorado but that game unraveled quickly after San Jose got an early 5-minute major penalty that set the tone for the entire game. The Sharks deserved better and had been playing better and they will bounce right back here on home ice. San Jose entered the game against the Avalanche having only 1 loss by more than a 1-goal margin in their last 11 games! Look for SJ to respond immediately off that tough loss. As for the Kings, they are off a hard-fought 3-2 SO win over Seattle and they have the Kraken on deck again after this. As strong as LA has been, note that they have gone just 1-2-1 last 4 games and that lone win was in the shootout and the Kings have only 2 wins by more than 1 goal in last 8 games! This will be a much tougher game for Los Angeles than many are expecting as the Sharks have turned the corner after such a rough start to the season. Their most recent game notwithstanding, SJ has been ultra-competitive of late and they resume that competitive play here on home ice against a division rival. 10* SAN JOSE +1.5 -115 |
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12-19-23 | Suns v. Blazers +7.5 | Top | 104-109 | Win | 100 | 7 h 54 m | Show |
NBA Tuesday 10* Top Play Portland Trail Blazers (+) vs Phoenix Suns @ 10:10 ET - Big revenge game for the Suns is on deck against the Kings. That said, I like the value here of the big home dog Blazers who are playing this game with revenge and have been playing better of late but are off a tight home loss in which they covered ATS versus the Warriors. The Trail Blazers are still fighting hard for a win to snap their losing streak and they are on the cusp and should battle all the way through again here in this one. The points are a huge value in this one given the revenge situation for the home dog and the lookahead situation for the road favorite in this one! 10* PORTLAND (+) |
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12-19-23 | Western Kentucky +5.5 v. California Baptist | Top | 73-70 | Win | 100 | 6 h 9 m | Show |
CBB Tuesday 10* Top Play Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (+) @ California Baptist Lancers @ 10 ET - The Hilltoppers have won 5 straight games and I like the fact they are averaging 8 steals per game. This WKU team plays opportunistic defense and their confidence is surging with each win. The Toppers can hang tough in this game and they are facing a California Baptist team that has just one win in last 3 games and that win was by just a single point. The Lancers come from a weaker conference and the Toppers are undervalued here the way I see it. An outright upset would not surprise me in the least but certainly there is value in the points here even though the Hilltoppers are on the road for this one. Keep in mind Cal Baptist off tight 1-point win over UC Riverside which is, of course, a city rival of theirs in Riverside so the set up here is even better than most realize. Love this spot for at least a road dog cover in this one. 10* WESTERN KENTUCKY (+) |
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12-19-23 | UTSA v. Marshall OVER 51.5 | Top | 35-17 | Win | 100 | 12 h 56 m | Show |
CFB Tuesday 10* Top Play: OVER the total in Frisco Bowl - Marshall Thundering Herd vs UTSA Roadrunners @ 9 ET in Frisco, TX - This total has dropped to the low 50s as of early game day morning and yes I am aware of the opt outs and the fact that Marshall's starting QB is one of them. However, guys can step in and surprise and yes I know Cole Pennington has ugly numbers thus far. The Roadrunners defense is not as strong as past versions but they do have a great offense and this is Frank Harris' final game. They will go all out and push the pace here and the weather looks just fine for this one in Frisco. Look for both offenses to be able to fully open the playbook and Pennington will show improvement here as he has worked with the first team offense heading into this one and he knows he is the guy for this one. Marshall off the 35-21 win in their season finale and will look to build off that here as that got them into this bowl. They are, however, a double digit dog in this one with good reason. Marshall will surprise with moving the ball here but they will not be able to slow down UTSA. Note that the Runners had won 7 straight games before the loss to Tulane to end the season and UTSA had scored an average of 41 ppg in those 7 wins! The Runners are allowing 25 ppg and the Herd are allowing 28 ppg and this one should get well into the 50s. Contrarian play but I see a well-paced game here as the Roadrunners will force the tempo and will force the Herd to play catch up. Great value here with the drop on this line. 10* OVER the total in the Frisco Bowl |
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12-19-23 | Steaua Bucharesti v. CSMS Iasi OVER 2.5 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 30 m | Show |
Rotation #206821: Romania Liga 1: Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 -110 in Poli Iasi vs FCSB @ 1:30 ET - Each of last 5 meetings have totaled at least 3 goals so this is testing a perfect 5-0 run to the over. FCSB is a heavy favorite with good reason and has scored an average of 2 goals in last 3 victories. Poli Iasi is off a 2-2 draw and also has a 3-2 loss and a 3-3 draw as 3 of its last 5 matches have been high-scoring. This should be another one given the history of these teams in their recent meetings and the fact that FCSB comes in on a high and is trying to pile up a winning streak again. They are one of the top clubs in the league but Iasi is known for putting up a fight so this should be a good one if you like seeing matches with a lot of scoring chances and a good pace! 10* OVER 2.5 -110 in Poli Iasi |
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12-19-23 | Manchester City v. Urawa OVER 3 | Top | 3-0 | Push | 0 | 5 h 45 m | Show |
Rotation #235617: Club World Cup: Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 3 -125 in Urawa vs Manchester City @ 1 ET in Saudi Arabia - Manchester City is, of course, going to field a mostly second unit for this match. However, those players still have the talent level to dominate in this one and that is why City is a 2-goal favorite. I like the fact that City has conceded at least 1 goal in 8 straight matches! That puts this at a likely 3-1 final at a minimum the way I see it and we have line value with this one dropping from a total of 3.5 down to a 3 as of matchday morning. Urawa has scored at least 1 goal in 7 straight matches and they have averaged 1.4 goals per match during this stretch. However, the Red Diamonds will be unable to stop the attack of a more potent Manchester City club and so this one sets up well for 4 or more goals. 10* OVER 3 -125 in Urawa |
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12-18-23 | Eagles -3 v. Seahawks | Top | 17-20 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 58 m | Show |
NFL Monday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Eagles (-) vs Seattle Seahawks @ 8:15 ET - The Eagles are mostly 3 point favorites, though you may find a 2.5 or two out there, as of early gameday morning. I am aware of the Hurts illness but expect him to play at QB for Philly. In any event, lets also not forget that Geno Smith is still dealing with a groin injury and is unlikely to be 100% if he even plays here. That could leave little-used Drew Lock as the starting QB for Seattle here. Even though the Seahawks have strong receivers, I like the fact that the QB situation could certainly be impactful in that regard! The Eagles defense also could be aggressive here with Patricia taking over the play-calling duties and I expect the Philly D to respond after looking lousy the last couple games. The Seahawks, keep in mind, have lost 4 straight games. The Eagles, courtesy of the Dallas loss yesterday, are again in the driver's seat for the NFC East division and I do not expect them to let this opportunity slip through their hands. Philly is 7-1 ATS when they are off B2B SU losses if the latter of those two losses was against a divisional foe. This one fits the bill in that regard. Also, the Seahawks are 0-7 ATS when they are off a divisional road game. Keep in mind they last were at home off a divisional road game where they had lost at the Rams and then got pounded 31-13 by the 49ers. This is all now part of an 0-4 stretch in which they have allowed 33.3 ppg last 3 games. The Seahawks now off another ugly loss to the Niners this time at San Francisco so this one fits that system play that is 7-0 ATS going against the Hawks! Look for that one to make it 8 IN A ROW right here! Seattle has a great home record this season but played a lot of struggling teams here. The Seahawks are 4-2 at home but 3 of the 4 home wins against teams that are now a combined 9-33 SU this season! The Eagles are 5-2 on the road this season and 3 of the road wins have come against teams that at least a have a .500 record on the year. They can beat this 6-7 Seahawks team and I have no hesitation in backing the 7-0 angle! 10* PHILADELPHIA (-) |
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12-18-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Stars OVER 6 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 44 m | Show |
NHL Monday 10* Top Play OVER 6 in Dallas Stars vs Seattle Kraken @ 8:07 ET - The Stars are now without #1 goalie Oettinger. Though Wedgewood can be decent, he is no Oettinger and I expect the Kraken to pepper him early and often with shots in this one. Note that Dallas has been scoring well however and the best option in this game is the over the way I see it. We get solid value with this total at just 6 goals as note that 13 of last 16 Dallas games have totaled at least 7 goals and that includes 6 in a row. Seattle has scored 4.3 goals in last 3 games and picked up 2 wins and 1 point in a shootout loss as well during this solid stretch. The Kraken consistently allow an average of 3 goals per game and the Stars have been trending that way as well. That said, a match can not end 3-3 and I am looking for at least a 4-3 final in this one. The goals will fly here as I fully expect the over in Stars games to make it 7 in a row given the situation here. Both teams coming off losses - one in OT and one in SO - and they will be pushing hard to put those defeats behind them. Both goalies are susceptible here. 10* OVER 6 in Dallas |
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12-18-23 | Bulls v. 76ers -11 | Top | 108-104 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
NBA Monday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers (-) vs Chicago Bulls @ 7:10 ET - This line in the 11 range as of about 9 hours before tipoff. I know this is a big number and normally I do not like to lay such big numbers but this 76ers team, including their bench play, is absolutely on a tear right now. The Sixers have been getting great play from their bench and this has allowed them to sustain blowout margins in recent games and they are at home here and the Bulls have struggled overall this season. Chicago is a little better than their 10-17 record in my opinion but they are dealing with injury issues and the Bulls also are on the road and walking into a buzzsaw here. The 76ers have won 6 straight games and the average margin has been 27 points! Yes they are dominating teams! Each of last 4 wins by at least a margin of 18 points! The Sixers should roll big again here as on deck is a Western Conference foe and that game is not until Wednesday. So Philly is fully focused here. Also, though they won most recent game with Bulls, they lost the game immediately before that in a "home and home" B2B spot last season and that was in Philly. Chicago beat the Sixers in double OT in that one and the Sixers will get their home court revenge here the way I see it! 10* PHILADELPHIA (-) |
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12-18-23 | Oakland +16.5 v. Michigan State | Top | 62-79 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 25 m | Show |
Rotation #873 CBB Monday 10* Top Play Oakland Golden Grizzlies (+) @ Michigan State Spartans @ 7 ET - This line in the 16.5 point range as of about 5 hours before tipoff. Spartans off that huge win over the highly-ranked Baylor Bears and it was a blowout win. However, Michigan State shot lights out in that game including a ridiculous 8 of 12 from three point land. That said, we absolutely have some value here with this solid Oakland team catching huge points in a classic little brother versus big brother match-up. Of course the Spartans are the much stronger team but the Golden Grizzlies are loaded with Michigan guys who want this game of course. Last season they did lose by double digits in this match-up but the Spartans were heavily outshot by Oakland in that game and the Golden Grizzlies were done in by poor shooting. That said, there is value here with a big dog that has proven they can compete with stronger teams. The Golden Grizzlies have competed just fine with solid programs like Xavier and also other Big Ten teams like Ohio State and Illinois. This one will likely be decided by single digits and we take advantage of the strange shooting percentages that the Spartans just had in their win over Baylor plus the crazy shooting dynamics of last season's meeting between these teams. 10* OAKLAND (+) |
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12-18-23 | Leicester v. Birmingham City OVER 2.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 44 m | Show |
Rotation #200385: English Championship League: Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 -130 in Birmingham City vs Leicester @ 3 ET - Leicester is the top club in the league and scoring an average of 2 goals per match. Home or away has not mattered as they consistently make the net ripple. However, Birmingham City is scoring an average of 1.5 goals per match as a host this season and I do expect them to make the net ripple here as well. The strength of the visitors should prove to be too much however and the ultimate result will be at least a 2-1 final here as a result. Excellent line value with this total at a 2.5 across the board as of very early matchday morning. The last meeting was a 1-0 match but this has historically been a high-scoring battle with the 4 meetings prior to that all totaling at least 3 goals. Also, Leicester enters this one on a 3-match winning streak in which all 3 matches totaled at least 3 goals and averaged 4 goals apiece. 10* OVER 2.5 -130 in Birmingham City |
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12-18-23 | Western Kentucky v. Old Dominion OVER 51 | Top | 38-35 | Win | 100 | 6 h 41 m | Show |
CFB Bowl 10* Monday OVER the total in Famous Toastery Bowl - Old Dominion Monarchs vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers @ 2:30 ET - This total (51 as of 6 hours before kickoff) has been dropping due to the likelihood that Austin Reed will not be suiting up at QB for the Hilltoppers. Even if that is the case, don't be surprised if Turner Helton has a big game. Yes, I am aware of the opt outs and that the offensive line has been impacted for Western Kentucky but this has happened to them in past bowls as well and they have still piled up points. I do like the Monarchs to score their fair share as well here as they are certainly favored for a reason and WKU has given up some big point totals throughout the season. Note that Old Dominion has some key opt outs on defense as well for this one so Western Kentucky is going to take advantage of this I am sure. WKU is well coached with explosive schemes on offense. They both averaged and allowed around 30 ppg this season. Old Dominion not a big scoring team but they take advantage of a Toppers team that had two solid defensive efforts this season but allowed 32 ppg in the other 10 games. This one should get well into the 50s based on all of the above. Western Kentucky only had 3 of 12 games total less than 51 points this season! Old Dominion allowed 29 ppg in their 6 games away from home this season. 10* OVER the total in the Famous Toastery Bowl |
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12-18-23 | Dinamo Bucuresti v. Botosani OVER 2.25 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -52.5 | 7 h 57 m | Show |
Rotation #206973: Romania Liga 1: Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +120 in FC Botosani vs Dinamo Bucuresti @ 1 ET - Dinamo won 1-0 in August in the reverse fixture. Not only is FC Botosani now out for revenge but also the last 4 meetings prior to the one in August all totaled at least 3 goals and averaged 4 goals apiece! Both of these clubs struggling badly this season but that also sets this up as a match that each club is viewing as winnable and they will push hard for that deciding goal. I expect a 2-1 type final. FC Botosani allowing an average of 2 goals per match this season and Dinamo Bucuresti is allowing 1.6 goals per match on the season. 2 of the last 3 Dinamo road matches have totaled at least 3 goals and their road matches are averaging 3 goals apiece this season. FC Botosani is off a 2-0 loss and a scoreless draw here in December but this followed 8 of 11 matches totaling at least 3 goals and those matches averaged nearly 4 goals apiece! 10* OVER 2.5 +120 in FC Botosani |
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12-17-23 | Nevada -120 v. Hawaii | Top | 72-66 | Win | 100 | 7 h 9 m | Show |
Rotation #749 CBB Sunday 10* Top Play Nevada Wolf Pack (-) @ Hawaii Warriors @ 10 ET - The Wolf Pack are as low as a -1 or a -120 on the money line as of about 7 and 1/2 hours before tipoff for this one Sunday. Nevada is the stronger team but this game is at Hawaii and the Warriors have a strong record due to playing a weaker schedule so far this season. This has resulted in line value here. The stronger team that has a tougher schedule is basically available at a pick'em price and I will not hesitate to get involved here. The last time these teams met it was a double digit win for Nevada 6 years ago. Things have changed since then of course and yet this is reflective of the fact that there is a talent gap between these two teams. Hawaii is not too far behind but the Wolf Pack are still the overall better team and I am going to take advantage of the line value being offered in this one as it has dropped from the visitors being a 3 point favorite in this one down to nearly a pick'em. 10* NEVADA (-) |
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12-17-23 | Warriors v. Blazers +5.5 | Top | 118-114 | Win | 100 | 7 h 17 m | Show |
NBA Sunday 10* Top Play Portland Trail Blazers (+) vs Golden State Warriors @ 9:10 ET - I know the Trail Blazers have a bad record but this is a great spot for them. They are at home off a home loss and they catch Golden State traveling off a hard-fought home win over the Nets last night. Yes, Portland has an ugly record and is on a losing streak but they are catching 5.5 points here and they are hosting a Warriors team that has lost 7 straight road games. I know the Blazers are off B2B ugly losses but this followed an 8-game stretch in which only 1 game was a loss by more than 6 points! They will be in this one all the way and, considering the Warriors 0-7 SU run in road games, an outright win is not of the question either! This line is round a 5.5 as of 7 hours before tip-off so we'll grab the generous points in this one! 10* PORTLAND (+) |
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12-17-23 | Ravens -3 v. Jaguars | Top | 23-7 | Win | 100 | 59 h 11 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play Baltimore Ravens (-) @ Jacksonville Jaguars @ 8:20 ET - The current line as of Friday morning is a 3 and I love the value with the small road favorite in this one. The Ravens are actually 5-1 on the road this season. The Jaguars are just 2-3 SU last 5 games and one of those wins was against a Tennessee team that is now 5-8 on the season. The Jags, not including OT points of course, have allowed 26 ppg last 5 games. The Ravens enter this game 10-3 on the season including 7-1 last 8 and Baltimore has allowed only 14 ppg in last 5 games played away form Baltimore. The Ravens are the much stronger defense, particularly against the pass, and Trevor Lawrence is off a game in which he threw 3 picks. This is also a revenge game for the Ravens since they lost here last year by a single point. Baltimore knows they have extra rest on deck with a big Monday night game (their only one scheduled this season) on deck and the Ravens have gone 7-0 ATS the last 7 times when they have a Monday Night game on deck. The Jaguars are 0-3 ATS this season in true home games (not neutral site like London) against non-divisional opponents. That means we have double perfect angles we are testing with this play and I look for another Ravens cover in this one as they are the stronger overall team playing the better football right now and they have the better defense. Getting a 3 here makes this is a great value! 10* BALTIMORE (-) |
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12-17-23 | Sharks +1.5 v. Avalanche | Top | 2-6 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 49 m | Show |
NHL Sunday 10* Top Play San Jose Sharks Puck Line +1.5 +100 @ Colorado Avalanche @ 8:07 ET - I know the Avs are off a loss and Colorado is a strong team but believe it or not, they have had only one standalone loss since early November. That happened on November 20th. Other than that they have had a 2-game losing streak and 3-game losing streak since then. Not only that, the Avalanche have only one win by more than 1 goal in their last 9 games. I love the value here with a Sharks team that continues to be ultra competitive. Not only has San Jose turned things around overall, they also have just one loss by more than 1 goal in their last 11 games! The Sharks have been a much better hockey club and, in fact, at +1.5 goals are a perfect 6-0 the last 6 times they have entered a game off a loss. Here is winner #7 in a row at +1.5 for the Sharks! 10* SAN JOSE +1.5 |
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12-17-23 | Cowboys v. Bills -125 | Top | 10-31 | Win | 100 | 6 h 2 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play Buffalo Bills (-) vs Dallas Cowboys @ 4:25 ET - The line on this one is as low as 1.5 as of about 5 hours before kickoff but also the money line is as low as a -125 if you have that option as well. The Bills off the big win at Kansas City but the Cowboys off the shocking absolute blowout of the Eagles last week. That was a huge divisional win for Dallas but the most shocking aspect was not just the final score and the domination. The most shocking aspect is the Cowboys finally beat a good team. The fact is Dallas almost always fails against good teams. It has been their modus operandi (m.o.) for quite some time now. The Cowboys dominate all the bad teams and then crumble against quality teams. Give Dallas credit for the big win last week but also it looks like something was amiss with the Eagles the past few weeks. That is certainly not the case with Buffalo. The Bills have won 2 of last 3 and their only loss was at the Eagles in OT in a game that Buffalo deserved to win. That said, I feel we have some solid home value here with the Bills in this one. Dallas, including post-season action, is 0-4 both SU and ATS the last 4 times they have been road dogs. Of course when the Cowboys are road dogs it means they are facing a quality team. This times back to what I was saying above in that Dallas usually struggles against quality opposition and, of course, road games are the toughest. Look for that streak to reach 5-0 ATS here as the Bills continue their strong level of play and catch Cowboys off that huge divisional win over Philly. Arguably this game means even more to Buffalo also as their playoff hopes are hanging in the balance but they gave themselves a boost with the win over the Chiefs last week and will build on that momentum here! 10* BUFFALO (-) |
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12-17-23 | 49ers v. Cardinals OVER 48.5 | Top | 45-29 | Win | 100 | 6 h 47 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Arizona Cardinals vs San Francisco 49ers @ 4:05 ET - This total offering great value in the upper 40s. The Cardinals have been a different team since Murray came back at QB and I expect them to score well here but Arizona also has little chance of slowing down a 49ers team that has been clicking and is one of the most dangerous teams in the league. San Francisco is a huge favorite here with good reason of course. Note that they are 10-3 on the season and in their 10 wins they have averaged 33 ppg! The Cardinals, since Murray has come back, have averaged a respectable 20 ppg. Also, Arizona's 6 home games have averaged 52 ppg this season. Look for another high-scoring battle here as the Cards also are off a much-needed late-season bye week. Arizona will have fresh legs here and will move the ball well on their home field and with a rejuvenated offense. However, they are allowing 33 ppg in their home losses this season and the Niners will impose their will against a suspect Cardinals defense as this game goes on. 10* OVER the total in Arizona |
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12-17-23 | CFR Cluj v. Sepsi OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 29 m | Show |
Rotation #206965: Romania Liga 1: Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +110 in Sepsi vs CFR Cluj @ 2 ET - Each of the last 5 meetings have totaled at least 3 goals. CFR Cluj has always conceded at least 1 goal when away from home this season and they have allowed an average of 2 goals per match in their last 7 away from home. The last 3 matches for Sepsi have all totaled at least 3 goals. Sepsi has scored at least 2 goals in 3 of last 5 home matches and scored an average of 3 goals in those 3 matches. This one sets up well for solid scoring with CFR Cluj desperate to get back on track after a tough winless stretch and Sepsi consistently involved in high-scoring matches last 3. Based on all of the above, the series pattern in this one reaches 6 in a row that reach 3 or more goals. 10* OVER 2.5 +110 in Sepsi |
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12-17-23 | Giants +5 v. Saints | Top | 6-24 | Loss | -107 | 3 h 24 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play New York Giants (+) @ New Orleans Saints @ 1 ET - The Giants have rallied around DeVito at QB. They are getting much better play on the offensive line. The defense and even special teams at times is forcing turnovers. New York has a very positive vibe right now and I like backing sizable underdogs in spots like this. They have the momentum and even though the Saints won last week they were outgained by about 100 yards in that victory and it was against a Panthers team that is 1-12 on the season! So New Orleans is a still a bit over-rated right now and the points are generous in this one. The Giants are a perfect 3-0 ATS the last 3 times they have entered a game off of exactly 3 straight SU wins. The Saints are 0-3 SU the last 3 times they were off a win in which they allowed 17 points or less. That makes this a double perfect spot and I would not be surprised to see the Giants win outright but we will grab the points just in case. 10* NEW YORK GIANTS (+) |
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12-17-23 | Manchester United v. Liverpool OVER 3.5 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 18 m | Show |
Rotation #200197: English Premier League: Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 3 or 3.5 in Liverpool vs Manchester United @ 11:30 AM ET - Liverpool hammered Man U by a 7-0 count in their most recent meeting. You know the visitors want revenge for that here and they had won the 2 prior meetings, including a club friendly, by a combined count of 6-1. However, this was preceded by a pair of Liverpool wins by a combined score of 9-0. You can see why I am expecting the goals to be flying in this heavyweight battle. Liverpool did rest players in their most recent continental battles in Europe and now they have fresh legs for this domestic battle. At the same time, Man U is desperate for a positive result and will absolutely go all out here. It has been a tough period for Man U and they need to throw caution to the wind here and do their best to challenge Liverpool's aggressive approach on home soil with a counter-attack. The visitors have some dangerous attacking options and I foresee a wide-open affair in this one. The last 5 meetings have averaged 4.6 goals apiece and I am looking for 4 or 5 in this one. 10* OVER 3 or 3.5 in Liverpool |
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12-16-23 | California v. Texas Tech OVER 58 | Top | 14-34 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 50 m | Show |
CFB Saturday 10* Top Play OVER the total in California vs Texas Tech @ 9:15 ET in Independence Bowl in Shreveport, LA - This total in the 58 range as of about 12 hours before kickoff and this is an excellent value for the over the way I see it. There are so many quarterback opt outs or guys entering the transfer portal in these early bowls in this bowl season and yet here is a rare case where we have the QBs we want entering this match-up. Not only that, these are two teams that are quite solid offensively and yet I can not trust either defense. Particularly the Golden Bears defense has struggled badly much of this season but the reason they are just 3.5 point dogs here is because of their potent offense. I fully expect them to enjoy success against a Red Raiders defense that has proven susceptible at times. Cal closed the season on a winning run but did allow 45.4 ppg in their first 7 conference games this season. Now they face a Red Raiders team that can move the ball well and will take advantage. Texas Tech wrapped the season with a 57-7 loss to Texas and the Red Raiders did allow 29 ppg in their 11 games against FBS schools this season. You can see why I am expecting both teams to enjoy success against these defenses today and note that the Red Raiders, other than the ugly loss to Texas and a low-scoring loss to West Virginia, did score an average of 30 ppg in their other 10 games. Look for both teams to get into the 30s in this one as Cal did average 31.6 ppg in their games this season and are on a 3-game winning streak entering this bowl. 10* OVER the total in Independence Bowl |
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12-16-23 | Mavs v. Blazers OVER 233.5 | Top | 131-120 | Win | 100 | 9 h 45 m | Show |
NBA Saturday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Portland Trail Blazers vs Dallas Mavericks @ 9:10 ET - This total in the 233.5 range as of 9 hours before tipoff. Both teams rested and the Mavs off a loss and Blazers off 5 straight losses. In other words, these teams will be pushing hard for the win here plus Portland has revenge for losing the most recent meeting with the Mavericks. Dallas has allowed 117 ppg last 4 games but scored 124 ppg last 5 games. The Trail Blazers last 3 games have all totaled at least 236 points and this one should too. 10* OVER the total in Portland |
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12-16-23 | Broncos +4.5 v. Lions | Top | 17-42 | Loss | -108 | 36 h 30 m | Show |
Saturday NFL 10* Denver Broncos (+) @ Detroit Lions @ 8:15 ET - Current line is 4.5 as of Friday morning. Not only is Denver 6-1 SU last 7 games, the Broncos had 5 of the 6 wins come against teams that are in the mix for a playoff spot. Now look at a Lions team trending the other way as Detroit has gone just 4-3 SU last 7 games and only 1 of the 4 wins was against a team with a legit playoff shot. That would be the Saints who have a decent chance because they play in a division that does not have a single team with a winning record entering this week's action. The Lions other 3 wins in this 7 game stretch came against 3 teams that entered this week a combined 15-24 and, barring a miracle, will not be in the post-season. In fact, the last time the Lions beat a team that currently has a winning record was way back in Week 1 when they beat Kansas City in a surprise season-opening win. The Broncos also have a win over the Chiefs plus also the Browns, Vikings and Bills - all 4 of those teams have winning records right now entering this week's action. The point is that the Lions have been trending the wrong direction and are not a true 9-4 team the way I see it while the Broncos have been trending the right direction and confidence growing with each win. With each victory, the confidence of Denver is growing. I am not saying they win this outright necessarily but I do feel we have excellent value with this line at 4.5 as of Friday morning meaning that the common final margins of both 3 and 4 would both provide winning tickets with the dog in this one. Goff has thrown multiple picks in 2 of his last 4 games and both were against a Bears team that is just 5-8 this season. Conversely, Wilson had thrown NO picks in 7 of last 8 games prior to his 3-INT performance against the Texans which gave Denver its only loss last 7 games. I like the way the Broncos are trending and feel the Lions are starting to show their true colors as the season has gone on. Give the big points in this one! 10* DENVER (+) |
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12-16-23 | UCLA v. Boise State +6 | Top | 35-22 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 10 m | Show |
CFB Saturday 10* Top Play Boise State Broncos (+) vs UCLA Bruins @ 7:30 ET in LA Bowl - Points will be at a premium here with both teams having issues at the QB position entering this one. With defenses likely to rule the day, I feel we have excellent line value here with getting the full +6 points in this one as of about 10 hours before game time. The Broncos finished the season much stronger after their coach was fired and the Bruins did not look strong at all wrapping up this season. UCLA lost 3 of last 4 games and did not score more than 10 points in any of those 3 losses! The Broncos won 4 straight games to close out the season and they scored an average of 39.5 points per game in those 4 victories. I know they are starting a true frosh at QB in this one but Boise State still has a solid overall team and plenty of weapons they will utilize on offense in this one as well. The Broncos being given generous points here and I will not pass up on it! 10* BOISE STATE (+) |
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12-16-23 | St. Joe's v. Iona OVER 142.5 | Top | 83-58 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 6 m | Show |
Rotation #680: CBB Saturday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Iona Gaels vs St Joseph's Hawks @ 7 ET - This one in the 142.5 range and St Joe's had one ugly game this season but really has scored very, very well in their other games. They have been consistent with their other games featuring only 1 loss and that was at Kentucky and was a game the Hawks nearly won in regulation before losing in OT. St Joe's has averaged 77.4 ppg in those 9 games! Iona has not been scoring quite as well but the Gaels are generally known for high-scoring games and 7 of first 8 this season totaled at least 140 points. Now off B2B low-scoring games, Iona will join in on a fast-paced non-conference match-up as the Hawks are loaded with scorers and will push the pace here. 10* OVER the total in Iona |
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12-16-23 | Red Wings v. Flyers -121 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 5 h 7 m | Show |
NHL Saturday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers Money Line -120 vs Detroit Red Wings @ 7:07 ET - The Flyers will go with Ersson between the pipes again but he is on a 5-0-1 run. Also, the Red Wings dealing with a lot of injuries right now. Lyon has played well between the pipes for Detroit when called upon but he struggled in his most recent start AND he has not played in awhile. Lyon could be a bit rusty and this Flyers team is playing much better than the Red Wings of late. Philadelphia off another win and has now won 5 of last 6 games. Detroit, on the other hand, has now lost 4 of last 5 games and the injury bug has become a concern for the Red Wings of late. 10* PHILADELPHIA -120 |
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12-16-23 | Steelers v. Colts +1 | Top | 13-30 | Win | 100 | 5 h 27 m | Show |
NFL Saturday 10* Top Play Indianapolis Colts (Pick'em) vs Pittsburgh Steelers @ 4:30 ET - This line is right around a pick'em and is as much a play AGAINST the Steelers as it is a play on the Colts. Followers know I have been very anti-Pittsburgh this season as the wins the Steelers have definitely have seem to come mostly by virtue of smoke and mirrors. Statistically Pittsburgh has been outgained in almost every single game this season. Indianapolis enters this game off an ugly loss but this followed 4 straight wins. I like the fact that Pittsburgh has beaten Indy 8 straight meetings yet this line is a pick'em. Looks easy to take the Steelers going for 9 in a row does it not? Well the fact is their offense has been struggling badly and Pittsburgh is averaging just 14 points per game last 4 games and I look for that 8-0 SU run to come to a screeching halt right here. The Steelers have lost 3 of 4 now and quickly are coming back down to earth and the last two losses were at home as well. Now they go on the road. They are now 0-5 ATS when they are coming off an outright upset home loss in non-divisional action. This one, just like their loss to the Patriots after upset home loss to Cardinals, fits the bill in that regard and I look for that "go against Steelers" spot to make it to 6-0 ATS as the hungry Colts get it done at home here. Indy is the much more consistent offense and respectable on the ground and through the air. 10* INDIANAPOLIS |
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12-16-23 | Hermannstadt v. Steaua Bucharesti OVER 2.25 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 37 m | Show |
Rotation #206981: Romania Liga 1: Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +115 in FCSB vs Hermannstadt @ 1 ET - Hermannstadt is off a 2-1 win. They have allowed an average of 2 goals per match in their last 5 versus FCSB. As for FCSB, they have struggled a bit entering this one and they will be very aggressive on the attack in this match as they look to get rolling again. They are a decent sized home favorite here for a reason. FCSB has allowed 1.6 goals per match in the last 5 and I am looking for a 2-1 type match here as a result. Hermannstadt will not be denied and will make the net ripple but FCSB is going to respond after a 1-1 draw and a 2-0 loss the past two matches. FCSB had scored an average of 1.5 goals in their 4 matches leading into this lull and it is time for this club from Bucuresti to again flex its muscles in a league in which they are typically one of the best clubs. Before 3 straight lower-scoring matches, 9 of last 12 FCSB matches had totaled at least 3 goals. Hermannstadt has scored 2 goals in most recent meeting between these clubs and also scored 2 goals in the most recent meeting in Bucuresti. 10* OVER 2.5 +115 in FCSB |
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12-16-23 | Everton v. Burnley OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 16 m | Show |
Rotation #200181: English Premier League: Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +105 in Everton vs Burnley @ 12:30 ET - Everton has scored at least 1 goal in 7 of last 8 matches and actually averaged 2 goals scored in those 7 matches. Everton is known more for defense but Burnley does view this as a winnable match and I expect more of an attacking approach from the visitors in this one. Note that Burnley has scored at least 1 goal in 4 of last 5 matches and averaged 2 goals per match in those 4 matches. Also, each of the last 4 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 3 goals and those 4 averaged 4 goals apiece. Look for that streak to reach 5 in a row here. 10* OVER 2.5 +105 in Everton |
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12-16-23 | Fulham v. Newcastle United OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 2 h 48 m | Show |
Rotation #200173: English Premier League Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Newcastle United vs Fulham @ 10 AM ET - Fulham has allowed 2.4 goals per match in last 5 meetings with Newcastle. Fulham enters this one hot in the goal-scoring department however. Fulham has scored an average of 3.4 goals in last 5 matches. Fulham has had 5 straight matches total at least 4 goals and those 5 matches averaged 5 goals apiece! Newcastle has had 3 straight matches total at least 3 goals and those 3 averaged 4 goals per match. Newcastle tends to be stronger at home and even though Fulham will be attacking, just as they have been for weeks now, look for the hosts to have a "fight fire with fire" approach in this one and the goals should be flying. 10* OVER 2.5 in Newcastle United |
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12-15-23 | Connecticut -4 v. Gonzaga | Top | 76-63 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show |
CBB Friday: 10* Top Play Connecticut Huskies (-) @ Gonzaga Bulldogs @ 10 PM ET - The Huskies are the stronger team and have an experience edge and they are so strong in the paint. Connecticut also has enough outside shooting prowess to stretch teams out and that open things up inside the paint as well. Note the Bulldogs lost their only game against a ranked team this season while Connecticut has played 3 ranked foes already and gone 2-1. I feel strongly that the Huskies are better prepared for this intense match-up and that is also why you are seeing them favored by about 4 points here (as of mid-day Friday) even though they are on the road and playing in a tough venue. Lay the points with the road team in this one. 10* CONNECTICUT (-) |
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12-15-23 | Sharks +1.5 v. Coyotes | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show |
San Jose +1.5 -145 - The Sharks have been playing much better of late and gone 6-2-2 last 10 games. Only 1 of those 10 games was a loss by more than a 1-goal margin. Kahkonen expected to start in goal and has been playing much better of late. Arizona is going with Ingram and though he is off a solid start, the Coyotes still lost that one and overall he has been struggling. Ingram has allowed an average of 4 goals last 3 starts. Arizona has lost 4 straight games. The Sharks are scoring an average of about 4 goals per game last 9 games. Conversely, the Coyotes are scoring only 2 goals per game on average last 4 games - all losses. This is a reasonable price to lay to have the added insurance of the 1.5 goals. Arizona has only 4 wins by more than 1 goal in their 13 home games this season. Possible upset here. Either way, the +1.5 gets us the cash in what should be a tighter game. SAN JOSE +1.5 -145 |
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12-15-23 | Predators +147 v. Hurricanes | Top | 6-5 | Win | 147 | 6 h 47 m | Show |
Nashville +145 - The Predators have the scheduling edge here as Hurricanes are in a B2B. The Canes starting to turn things around but they are in a B2B now and that means the goalie will likely be Raanta here and he has been struggling this season. The Preds will likely have Saros and he has been hot again. The Predators have won 11 of 14 games. The Hurricanes have won B2B games but this followed losses in 4 straight and, again, this is a tough scheduling spot. Yes, Carolina is known for being tough at home but the goalie edge and scheduling edge is too much here. NASHVILLE +145 |
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12-15-23 | Pistons v. 76ers OVER 234.5 | Top | 92-124 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 51 m | Show |
NBA Friday 10* Top Play OVER 234.5 in Philadelphia 76ers vs Detroit Pistons @ 7:10 ET - Another very high-scoring match-up likely between these teams Friday. They just met Wednesday and, not only did the game total 240, every single quarter saw at least 56 points scored. I love that type of consistency when you have an over. Now, the match-up shifts from Detroit to Philadelphia and should only help the over even more as Philly scores so well on their home floor. In terms of defensive intensity, the Pistons have proven all season they do not have much of that at all. As for the 76ers, it is hard to be intense on the defensive end when you know you are facing a team that has lost over 20 games in a row and you are nearly a 20 point favorite! From a statistical standpoint, the Sixers have averaged 129 points per game in their 10 home games against teams NOT named Boston! Certainly the Pistons are at the opposite end of the spectrum in comparison with the Celtics. Hence, my expectation that Philly is going to score in the 130s here and that means the Pistons (based on the spread) should score in the 110s in this one. That means we are looking at 240s here, if not 250s. 10* OVER 234.5 in Philadelphia |
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12-15-23 | Tottenham Hotspur v. Nottingham Forest OVER 3 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 39 m | Show |
Rotation #200161: English Premier League: Friday 10* Top Play OVER 3 +105 in Nottingham Forest vs Tottenham Hotspur @ 3 ET - Nottingham Forest finally got back on track with notching a draw in most recent match after losses had been piling up. They do tend to score better when at home and I do expect them to make the net ripple at least once in this one. But, of course, Tottenham is also a solid favorite here for a reason. That said, I look for this one to have no trouble getting to at least a 2-1 type match but do expect 4 or more goals in this one. Nottingham won the most recent match here 2-0 but the other 4 recent meetings were all Tottenham wins and the Hotspur scored an average of 3 goals per match in those 4 matches. Two of those finished 3-1 and that is the type of match I am expecting here. Tottenham has had 7 straight matches total at least 3 goals and the Hotspur have both scored and conceded in all 7 of those matches. Those 7 matches averaged 4 goals apiece. Nottingham Forest off the 1-1 draw but 3 of 4 matches leading into that had all totaled at least 5 goals. Excellent value with the over in this one. 10* OVER 3 +105 in Nottingham Forest |
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12-15-23 | Rapid Bucuresti v. Petrolul 52 OVER 2 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -124 | 6 h 55 m | Show |
Rotation #206985: Romania Liga 1: Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2 -125 in Petrolul Ploiesti vs Rapid Bucuresti @ 1 ET - Petrolul Ploiesti sometimes has these 0-0 matches but then other times they get involved in high-scoring ones. It is truly feast or famine with them and this looks like another one of those. 4 of last 7 matches have totaled at least 3 goals and 3 of those 4 totaled 4 goals. Given the situation here, with Petrolul Ploiesti at home where they should play well but are hosting an angry Rapid team that will be on the attack. The goals should fly in this one. Rapid off a 2-1 loss and has struggled some recently with an 0-2-2 mark last 4 matches but this club is so much better than that. They are chomping at the bit to get back on track here. Petrolul Ploiesti has scored 2 goals in each of last two home matches. Rapid lost at home to Petrolul Ploiesti by a 2-0 count in August after winning the prior meeting 3-1 so the club from Bucuresti is out for revenge here as well. The fact we get this total at only a 2 is a great value. 10* OVER 2 -125 in Petrolul Ploiesti |
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12-15-23 | U Craiova 1948 v. Voluntari OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -119 | 3 h 11 m | Show |
Rotation #206961: Romania Liga 1: Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +100 in FC Voluntari vs FCU 1948 Craiova @ 10 AM ET - FC Voluntari off a 2-1 win and 4 of last 5 matches have totaled at least 3 goals. They have scored at least 2 goals in all 4 of those matches and now they face a FCU 1948 Craiova with which the last 4 meetings have all totaled at least 3 goals. There has been scoring from both clubs in each of those 4 meetings as well and more of the same likely here. FCU 1948 Craiova is off a 2-0 win and that was preceded by 3 straight matches that all totaled at least 3 goals. More of the same expected here as goals have been flying for each of these clubs in terms of recent form and in terms of match-ups. 10* OVER 2.5 +100 in FC Voluntari |
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12-14-23 | Chargers +3.5 v. Raiders | Top | 21-63 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 36 m | Show |
NFL Thursday 10* Top Play Los Angeles Chargers + @ Las Vegas Raiders @ 8:15 ET - The current line on this as of about 12 hours before kickoff is in the 3 to 3.5 range and I feel we have solid underdog line value with the Chargers in this one. LA will be starting Ethan Stick at QB in this one. Yes he has a little NFL experience but this guy was a winner at North Dakota State - a solid FCS school - and he has some experience already in the LA system here. Now with a full week to prepare for this game and work with the first team offense again, Stick will be fully prepared here and I expect him to surprise. This Raiders team covered their game last week despite not scoring a single point! They lost 3-0 but were 3.5 point dogs last week. They are favored here because of the home field factor in this one but the road team is actually 8-5 SU in Chargers games this season as LA has been better on the road than at home. Also, one of those 5 SU wins for the home team was when the Chargers beat the Raiders in LA earlier this season. Remember too that the Chargers just recently won 6-0 at New England after a low-scoring loss in which they scored just 10 points at home the week before. The Chargers are now a perfect 9-0 ATS when they are on the road and coming off a game in which they scored 10 or less points. Coming off the 24-7 home loss to Denver last week and now on the road at Las Vegas, look for LA to bounce back strong here and take that ATS run to a perfect 10-0 ATS! 10* LA CHARGERS + points |
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12-14-23 | Senators -117 v. Blues | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -117 | 6 h 9 m | Show |
NHL Thursday 10* Top Play Ottawa Senators -117 @ St Louis Blues @ 8:07 ET - The Blues just fired their coach and normally that is a situation that would be a play on situation for me. However, St Louis has some major issues right now and this Senators team has a coach that has been enduring a stretch on the hot seat as well. That said, I like this Ottawa team - with much more scoring firepower - to get the job done against a Blues team that is just having too many issues at both ends of the ice. The Blues have lost 4 straight and been outscored by a combined 20-10 during this stretch. The Sens have won 3 of last 5 and outscored the opposition 17-10 during this stretch. Ottawa has won 5 of last 6 games played away from home and I just can't see this Blues team having enough to outscore them here. The Senators have the much better power play unit and also have been a much higher-scoring team than the Blues this season. St Louis just has not been able to get their scoring going with any consistency. 10* OTTAWA -117 |
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12-14-23 | Cavs +9.5 v. Celtics | Top | 107-116 | Win | 100 | 7 h 41 m | Show |
NBA Thursday 10* Top Play Cleveland Cavaliers (+) @ Boston Celtics @ 7:40 ET - This line currently in the 9.5 to 9 range as of mid-day Thursday. Boston is the only team that has an undefeated home record this season but this sure looks like too many points! Cleveland is 2-0 the last 2 times they have entered a game on a losing streak of at least two games. The Cavaliers are 12-8 SU last 20 games but, only 3 of their last 20 games have been losses by a double digit margin! Boston is 8-3 SU last 11 games but only 3 of the 11 games were Celtics wins by a double digit margin. The Cavs did lost this same match-up when these teams met Tuesday but Boston outscored them by 20 points at the free throw point line. In other words, the Cavaliers actually won the game by 13 points if not including free throws and I feel we have excellent line value here in this revenge spot for the Cavs. Grab the points in this one. 10* CLEVELAND (+) |
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12-14-23 | Capitals v. Flyers -129 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 33 m | Show |
NHL Thursday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers Money Line -130 vs Washington Capitals @ 7:07 ET - The Flyers are off an OT loss at Nashville but had won 10 of 14 games before that and have been one of the biggest surprise teams in the league so far this season. Washington is off B2B wins but they had lost 5 of 7 games prior to that. The Flyers are at home and off a loss and this is the ideal spot to fade the Capitals. Lindgren is expected to start between the pipes here for the Caps. He is off a shutout win in his last start but this was preceded by 3 of the 4 prior appearances seeing him allow at least 3 goals. He allowed an average of 4 goals in those 3 appearances. The Flyers likely will have Carter Hart between the pipes here and he has allowed a total of ONLY 4 goals in his last 3 appearances. The Flyers have allowed only 1.8 goals per game in their last 5 games. The Capitals have allowed lesser goals recently but they were really struggling just before that and the Flyers, off a tight loss in OT, will prove to be too much here on home ice! 10* PHILADELPHIA -130 |
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12-14-23 | Sturm Graz v. Sporting Lisbon OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 14 m | Show |
Rotation #224557: Europa League Group Stage: Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 -140 in Sporting Lisbon vs Sturm Graz @ 3 ET - Sporting Lisbon has already sealed their spot but they are still pricey favorites here for a reason. The odds makers are well aware of what is going on but they still have Lisbon priced in the -155 range for this one. It is Sturm Graz that still needs to win and they will field a strong lineup for this one as a result. Plus they need to go all out on the attack here because they are in a battle with Rakow for securing a spot and Rakow's match with Atalanta is taking place at the same time as this one. I expect Sturm Graz to get on the board here but also feel they are sizable dogs with good reason and envision a 2-1 type final here. Lisbon, even without playing their top guys, still has the superior talent edges. Also, Sturm Graz is without a key defender. The goals will fly quite well here as Lisbon has a big league match on deck for this weekend so the focus here is simply on a loose and relaxed playing style which will translate to goals. Sturm Graz will push hard and Lisbon will respond and 3 or more goals is not a big ask in this one considering the situation. 10* OVER 2.5 -140 in Sporting Lisbon |
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12-14-23 | Liverpool v. Union Saint-Gilloise OVER 3 | Top | 1-2 | Push | 0 | 6 h 30 m | Show |
Rotation #224521: Europa League Group Stage: Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 3 -105 in Union Saint-Gilloise vs Liverpool @ 12:45 ET - Liverpool is bringing a lesser roster to Belgium here so the total has been held down to a 3. The fact is the Reds have plenty of firepower and the superior talent edge to give USG all sorts of problems in this one. However, Union Saint-Gilloise are pushing for the upset win here as they still have a shot at a top two finish in this group. Liverpool has already secured the top spot so they can play loose and relaxed here and throw caution to the wind. That should translate to plenty of goals in this one. Liverpool won the reverse fixture 2-0 but their other 4 matches in Europa League action have ALL totaled 4 or more goals. Considering the situation entering this one, I fully expect 4 or more AGAIN in this one! 10* OVER 3 -105 in Union Saint-Gilloise |
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12-13-23 | Creighton v. UNLV OVER 151.5 | Top | 64-79 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 8 m | Show |
Rotation #639 - CBB Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 151.5 in UNLV Rebels vs Creighton Bluejays @ 9 ET - The Bluejays are huge road favorites here and I feel the big numbers is justified. However, I also feel that the Rebels will score well at home and so you are looking at a match-up that should get well into the 150s. Creighton, other than one game in which they were surprisingly held to just 48 points, has scored extremely well all season. They scored 79 points or more in each of the other 8 games (all wins) and actually averaged 84 ppg in those 8 victories. The Rebels have scored more than 70 points in all but one of their games this season. Of course if they get to at least 70 points here (and on their home floor against an offensive-minded team they should do just that) then notice the line on the Jays is about a -13 and so you are already into the low 150s and that is just looking at the minimum type result here the way I see it and based on all of the above. That is why the reality is you have a game that should get into at least the 160 range. Neither team has played any OT games yet either so the ppg stats are certainly not over-inflated either. Look for a wild one in another non-conference match-up involving teams that have consistently put up solid offensive numbers early this season. 10* OVER 151.5 in UNLV |
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12-13-23 | Bruins v. Devils OVER 6 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -125 | 9 h 51 m | Show |
NHL Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 6 in New Jersey Devils vs Boston Bruins @ 7:37 ET - The Bruins are 3-0 to the over last 3 road games and the Devils are 3-0 to the over last 3 home games. The set up here is a good one with New Jersey hungry to get back on track off a 4-1 loss that wrapped up their recent road trip. Now they are back at home where each of their last 3 games totaled at least 8 goals. Also, prior to that loss, the Devils were 6-1 their last 7 games and have scored an average of 4.5 goals per game in those 6 wins. The Bruins have seen 5 of last 6 road games have totaled at least 7 goals. Boston used to be known for stellar defense and goaltending but this is not quite the same style of club it once was and they have allowed an average of 3.2 goals per game last 10 games. They have scored an average of 3.5 goals per game last 16 games. This one is set up well for plenty of goals as Devils had been on fire and will push hard on home ice and enjoy some success in the offensive zone against the Bruins just like other clubs have in recent Boston home games. However, the Devils are expected to start Vanecek between the pipes in this one and he has allowed 3.5 goals last 6 appearances. I look for both clubs to get to the 3-goal mark and that would guarantee us of no less than a 4-3 final. 10* OVER 6 in New Jersey |
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12-13-23 | 76ers v. Pistons OVER 233 | Top | 129-111 | Win | 100 | 10 h 26 m | Show |
NBA Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Detroit Pistons vs Philadelphia 76ers @ 7:10 ET - Total in 233 range as of early gameday morning. The 76ers are off a beatdown of the Wizards and are proving they are ready to battle even though they are now in a stretch in which they face a number of weak foes consecutively. That includes facing a Pistons team that has lost 20 straight games! Detroit has allowed 124 ppg this season. The Sixers have averaged 131 ppg in their last 8 wins. With this pointspread around an 11, that would put this game at about 131-120 and certainly that sounds about right and that pushes this game into the 250 range for total points. The Sixers had one dominating win defensively in their last 6 games as that was when they beat the Lakers and held them to 94 points but in their other 6 games since Thanksgiving they have allowed 119 points. The 76ers have shown they are willing to play run and gun type games. Given all of the above I expect 250ish here but at least the 240s and that is why I feel we have excellent value with this total in the 233 range as of early game day morning. Pistons off a high-scoring loss against the Pacers and I expect a similar result here as they do tend to score a little better when at home. 10* OVER the total in Detroit |
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12-13-23 | AC Milan v. Newcastle United OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 53 m | Show |
Rotation #224321: Champions League: Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Newcastle United vs AC Milan @ 3 ET - Both clubs dealing with injuries but Newcastle has seen a return to health of a couple players that help on the attacking front plus they are at home. Meanwhile, a solid AC Milan club has injury issues defensively and in goal. The set up is perfect for goals here in a match where each club is in need of a win in hopes of advancing. Newcastle should be relentless here after their prior match in Champions League action was a tough 1-1 draw on a late penalty that was debatable. Newcastle is known for being stronger at home and this time, after that 1-1 draw with PSG, they will be relentless on the attack no matter the score! However, Newcastle has conceded 7 goals in last two matches so they certainly have not been water-tight at the back! As for AC Milan, 4 of their last 5 matches have totaled at least 4 goals. I expect this one will as well as AC Milan has both scored and conceded in 5 of 6 matches. Couple that with the fact that neither club can afford to settle for a share of the spoils here and this one should end with at least a 2-1 final. 10* OVER 2.5 in Newcastle United |
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12-13-23 | Young Boys Bern v. RB Leipzig OVER 3.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -112 | 6 h 53 m | Show |
Rotation #224301: Champions League: Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 3.5 in RB Leipzig vs Young Boys @ 12:45 ET - With a match that carries no weight other than pride, I expect a rather loosely played affair with an attacking mindset being front and center in this one. RB Leipzig is a heavy favorite here with good reason and note that of their last 8 home wins, they have conceded in 7 of them. Young Boys will play with an attacking style here in a wide open affair. The reverse fixture was 3-1 and this one will also see goals aplenty! RB Leipzig has both scored and conceded in 6 straight matches and these matches have averaged 4 goals apiece. Look for plenty of scoring opportunities throughout this highly entertaining match. 10* OVER 3.5 in RB Leipzig |
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12-12-23 | Jets v. Sharks OVER 6 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -118 | 7 h 44 m | Show |
NHL Tuesday OVER 6 in San Jose Sharks vs Winnipeg Jets @ 10:37 ET - The Sharks continue to fly over the total in games and I don't see that changing here. The Jets are expected to go with Brossoit here and he may be "okay" but he is no Hellebuyck. As for the Sharks, they will likely go with Blackwood and he has struggled recently. Look for his struggles to continue here. Blackwood is facing a Jets team without leading scorer Kyle Connor but that is helping to keep this line lower than it should be. I feel this total should be a 6.5 and we have solid value here. The Sharks have gone over the total in 5 straight games and, not only that, all 5 games totaled at least 9 goals. Lover the way the over is going strong in San Jose games and here neither team has a top goalie going. The Jets have won 12 of 16 games and are heavy favorites here for a reason. Winnipeg has averaged 4 goals per game in those 12 victories! The way both of these teams are scoring, the goals should again fly in this one. 10* OVER 6 in San Jose |
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12-12-23 | Warriors v. Suns -115 | Top | 116-119 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show |
NBA Tuesday 10* Top Play Phoenix Suns Pick -115 vs Golden State Warriors @ 10:10 ET - The Suns will be without Kevin Durant here but look for others to pick up their game in his absence. Phoenix is so strong at home. The Warriors are not good on the road and have been struggling overall. Golden State have lost 10 of 14 games. Phoenix has lost 4 of 5 but were 11-6 this season prior to this. Also, the Suns are 3-0 the last 3 times they have been at home and entered a game off B2B losses. That is their situation here and I am taking advantage of the line value with Durant being out for this one. Look for Booker to have a huge game! 10* Phoenix Pick -115 |
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12-12-23 | Oral Roberts v. Texas Tech OVER 143 | Top | 76-82 | Win | 100 | 6 h 52 m | Show |
CBB Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 143 in Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Oral Roberts Golden Eagles @ 9 ET - The Red Raiders have scored well this season with one exception. If you take that one outlier out of the equation, Texas Tech has scored at least 69 points in all the other 7 games. Not including OT points, the Red Raiders averaged 76 points points in those 7 games. Now look at Oral Roberts and they have averaged 76 points per game this season as well. I feel the Golden Eagles are going to hang tough in this game as they have played some tough teams this season and already and held their own. Yet Texas Tech is a large favorite here for a reason and basically if we get Oral Roberts to 65 and the odds makers are right about the -13 here than we are already in the 143 range but I expect Oral Roberts to get into the 70s here and hence the solid value with this total. 10* OVER 143 in Texas Tech |
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12-12-23 | Bayern Munich v. Manchester United OVER 3.5 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 1 h 56 m | Show |
Rotation #224293: Champions League: Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 3.5 +110 in Manchester United vs Bayern Munich @ 3 ET - 3 of last 5 meetings have totaled at least 4 goals. Man U needs to go all out here and is coming off a 3-0 embarrassment in EPL action. Bayern Munich off a 5-1 loss that was embarrassing in Bundesliga action as well. So here you have two strong clubs coming off disappointment and likely to push hard here in an effort to regroup yet both showed again most recently that they are capable of shipping a lot of goals. Given the circumstances here, look for a lot of goals in this one. The number is big with good reason. 10* OVER 3.5 +110 in Man U |
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12-12-23 | Galatasaray v. FC Copenhagen OVER 3 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 1 h 45 m | Show |
Rotation #224273: Champions League: Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 3 +11 in FC Copenhagen vs Galatasaray @ 3 ET - This Galatasaray club scores goals very well. FC Copenhagen is desperate for a win as well so both clubs pushing hard for goals here. Galatasaray is one to attack but Copenhagen is at home and desperate for a win and the result should be plenty of goals here. The attacking style of Galatasaray does expose them on the counter-attack and just getting to 3 goals here is not asking too much. Excellent line value here. 10* OVER 3 +110 in FC Copenhagen |
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12-11-23 | Packers v. Giants +6 | Top | 22-24 | Win | 100 | 14 h 55 m | Show |
NFL Monday 10* Top Play New York Giants (+) @ Green Bay Packers @ 8:15 ET - The Giants will likely have Tommy DeVito under center for this one and he has been a pleasant surprise as he has improved each week. This one sets up well from a situational perspective. The line has gone up on Green Bay and is now a solid 6 as of early game day morning. The Packers are off that huge upset win over the Chiefs while the Giants benefit here from a late season bye. Note that New York won their two games before the bye week too. I know those wins were over bad Commanders and Patriots teams but, the point is, the confidence of New York is growing with each win. They also will have Tyrod Taylor available here to back up DeVito. The Packers won their most recent road game in upset fashion at Detroit but they had lost 4 straight road games prior to that. Now Green Bay is in an unusual role (for this season) as they are a larger favorite in this one. Keep in mind, the Packers (before these wins over the Lions and Chiefs), had only one win by more than 3 points in the 9 games preceding these two bigger wins. As bad as the Giants have been, they only have lost by more than 5 points twice in their last 7 games and they have the rest edge entering this one plus a home dog edge as they have been much better here since losing big in their first two home games to the Cowboys and Seahawks. Grab the home dog here and don't be surprised if we see an outright upset. Not only is GB off the big upset of KC but they also have TB on deck and the Bucs are in the mix along with the Packers for a Wild Card spot in the post-season. This is a tricky spot for the Pack all the way around. Give me the points. 10* NEW YORK GIANTS (+) |
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12-11-23 | Wizards +12 v. 76ers | Top | 101-146 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 9 m | Show |
NBA Monday 10* Top Play Washington Wizards (+) @ Philadelphia 76ers @ 7:10 ET - These teams just met in Washington and the Sixers only won by 5 points and that was with Joel Embiid scoring 50 in that contest. I realize that the Wizards shot very well in that game, including from 3-point land. But now the Sixers are heavier favorites here - 11.5 to 12 points as of early gameday morning - and this is with Embiid questionable. Embiid did practice fully Sunday but why is he still on the report then? The fact is there is a chance that, facing a 3-18 team, the Sixers might try to give him rest here. Even if they do not rest him fully, there is a chance they will limit his minutes. Either way, the Sixers are likely in for at least a dogfight in which the Wizards keep this one to a single digit margin again. Washington has scorers and has some confidence given the way the last game played out. The Wizards off ugly loss at Brooklyn but this followed a 7-game stretch in which Washington had only 2 losses by more than 5 points! As for the 76ers, they only have 2 wins by more than 11 points in their last 15 games. I feel this is a nice value here as this is a game where Philly knows they have bigger fish to fry and I could see them being a bit flat or disinterested in this one. Even if they do manage to get up by 15 points or so the Wizards could easily backdoor the cover in the final stages too. Just too many points. 10* WASHINGTON (+) |
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12-11-23 | Coyotes v. Sabres OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 34 m | Show |
NHL Monday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Buffalo Sabres vs Arizona Coyotes @ 7:07 ET - The Coyotes have been scoring well but now goalie Ingram is finally coming back down to earth after a hot run. He might finally be seeing a regression to the mean in terms of his results. Since this is the front end of a back to back for the Coyotes, we might see Vejmelka in goal here and he has struggled this season. Either way I look for the Sabres, on home ice for this one, to snap their recent slump of lower-scoring performances. Buffalo will take advantage of the Coyotes goalie situation as Ingram struggling now and Vejmelka will be rusty if he gets the call here. The issue for Buffalo though is that the Coyotes have been scoring a lot of goals and they come into this one with plenty of confidence having built up based on recent performances in the offensive zone. That is why I fully expect a high-scoring match-up here. This is a non-conference battle too and those tend to be be less intense defensively. The Coyotes have averaged scoring 3.5 goals their last 8 games. But, other than a shocking shutout at Vegas, Arizona has allowed 4 goals per game in last 8 road games. I am expecting, based on the above, that each club will get to at least 3 goals here and that would result in at least a 4-3 final. 10* OVER 6.5 in Buffalo |
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12-11-23 | Universitatea Cluj v. Dinamo Bucuresti OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 43 m | Show |
Rotation #206957: Romania Liga 1: Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2 -145 in Dinamo vs Universitatea Cluj @ 1:45 ET - Dinamo is having a dreadful season and starting to face a lot of pressure as a result. They need to start scoring better and are at home here and will take advantage of hosting a Universitatea Cluj club that has allowed 12 goals in its 9 road matches this season! Note that Dinamo has allowed 1.5 goals per match in losing 4 straight matches. Universitatea Cluj has scored 1.5 goals per match last 10 matches. Dinamo has only 4 draws in 18 matches this season and with the pressure to be aggressive on the attack here, I see this one ending up at least a 2-1 final. The fact we can get over 2 here, even at higher juice, makes this one a high value play too! 10* OVER 2 -145 in Universitatea Cluj |
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12-11-23 | Botosani v. U Craiova 1948 OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -106 | 5 h 5 m | Show |
Rotation #206929: Romania Liga 1: Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in FCU 1948 Craiova vs FC Botosani @ 10 AM ET - FCU 1948 Craiova has seen 4 of last 5 matches total at least 3 goals. 7 of their 9 home matches this have totaled at least 3 goals! Botosani is off a scoreless draw but had been scoring better of late and yet typically concede goals at an alarming rate. Botosani, prior to the scoreless draw, had seen 8 of last 11 matches total at least 3 goals. I also like the fact that Botosani has both scored and conceded in 6 straight road matches. They are a big dog here with good reason. In other words, based on all of the above, this one is destined for at least a 2-1 final. 10* OVER 2.5 in FCU 1948 Craiova |
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12-10-23 | Sharks v. Golden Knights OVER 6 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 32 m | Show |
NHL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 6 in Vegas Golden Knights vs San Jose Sharks @ 10:07 ET - The Sharks are playing well finally but are still giving up a lot of goals. San Jose has played 4 straight games that have each totaled at least 9 goals. Vegas is heating up again and has won 4 of 5 games and scored an average of 5 goals in the 4 victories! Also, I like the fact that this is a B2B situation for the Knights as that impacts the goalie situation. Is Hill ready to come back? Will it be Patera in this one? Thompson has been playing well again but he go the start last night. This is the perfect set-up to expect plenty of goals tonight as the Knights have been lighting the lamp with great regularity plus already scored 4 or more in each of their two meetings with the Sharks this season. This is a divisional match-up and the teams do not like each other and San Jose is playing much better than they were when Vegas faced them the two prior times. In other words, the goals should fly here as San Jose fights back seeking revenge here but the Sharks continue to allow too many goals. Vegas in a B2B and that goalie situation further helps the cause here! 10* OVER 6 in Vegas |
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12-10-23 | Eagles +3.5 v. Cowboys | Top | 13-33 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 17 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Eagles (+) @ Dallas Cowboys @ 8:20 ET - This is a classic case of recent results creating an immediate over-reaction from the marketplace. The Cowboys are favored by 3.5 points here as of the overnight hours heading into Sunday. Dallas lost at Philly earlier this season but, since then, they have won 4 straight. However, they barely got by Seattle last week after having walloped the Giants, Panthers and Commanders. The combined record of those 3 teams is now 9-28 on the season. This is classic Cowboys. Dallas tends to look great and pad stats against bad teams and then struggle mightily against others. Note that the Cowboys are now facing 4 straight tough games against teams with a combined 34-14 record. Part of the reason Dallas has such a strong record this season is they have played a weak schedule. The Cowboys already are 0-2 against stronger teams: SF and Philly. The Eagles have already played Buffalo and Miami while Dallas still has those teams on deck. Philly also beat the Chiefs in addition to toppling the Bills and Dolphins. Now, I am well aware that the Niners just waxed the Eagles but the Cowboys got rolled by them as well. The ugly Philly loss to SF just happened and creates the line value here. You know the Eagles will be hungry to bounce back and prove that defeat was a fluke! I have no hesitation in grabbing the points here and challenging Dallas to win this game by more than field goal. The Cowboys just do not have a history of performing well in big games against strong teams. Dallas will struggle just to win, let alone cover, in this one! 10* PHILADELPHIA (+) |
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12-10-23 | Michigan State -3 v. Nebraska | Top | 70-77 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 36 m | Show |
Rotation #859: CBB Sunday 10* Top Play Michigan State Spartans (-) @ Nebraska Cornhuskers @ 6:30 ET - The Huskers are 7-2 this season plus at home and plus playing with revenge from last season. Yes they are a 3-point dog to a Spartans team that is just 4-4 this season. Big mistake, right? Actually, not at all! The Huskers have played a weaker schedule than the Spartans. Also, Nebraska lost their Big Ten opener to Minnesota despite the Golden Gophers losing their leading scorer to injury early in the game. Yes the Spartans also off a loss to open up Big Ten action but they faced a tough Badgers team and mainly lost that game because Wisconsin was much better from 3-point land than Michigan State. So here we are getting solid line value in this spot as there has been an over-reaction the Spartans mediocre record so far this season. We step in and take advantage of a quality team laying a small number in a bounce back spot. We get the small number because they are on the road and because of a forced adjustment on the line by the marketplace. 10* MICHIGAN STATE (-) |
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12-10-23 | Bills +1.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 14 h 22 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play Buffalo Bills (+) @ Kansas City Chiefs @ 4:25 ET - Current line in the overnight hours is as high as a +1.5 for the Bills. The Chiefs are at home where they are 4-2 on the season. The Bills are on the road where they are 1-4 on the season. Kansas City also lost last year's meeting at Buffalo so this is revenge even though yes, I know, the Bills have had some memorable playoff battles recently against the Chiefs that went the wrong way. When you consider all of the above factors, how is KC such a small favorite in this spot? Exactly! Do not let the line fool you! The Bills are the play! Who can bet against Mahomes and Company at a home in a game where the line is virtually a pick'em and we are playing on a team that has had tough road trips this season? We can! Buffalo has a key edge here in that they are coming off a late-season bye week. So the Bills have had plenty of time to rest both mentally and physically plus "recharge their batteries" for this game. The set-up here is a solid one for Buffalo. Remember that the Bills made a change at offensive coordinator last month. The Bills are off that OT loss at Philly but they scored a pile of points and this followed a thrashing of the Jets the prior week. As bad as the Jets are, they do have a respectable defense and the point is that Buffalo put up big yardage against them and against the Eagles. They outgained Philly by over 100 yards and should have won that game. They have averaged nearly 450 yards per game in the two games since the OC change. Conversely, the Chiefs offense just has not been what it once was. The Bills season has ended here in Kansas City in 2 of the last 3 seasons. Though the Bills won a regular season game at KC last season, this is yet another shot at more payback that is on the very field where the Bills season had ended in EACH of the two seasons prior to last year. Payback time. 10* BUFFALO |
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12-10-23 | Colts +2.5 v. Bengals | Top | 14-34 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 26 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play Indianapolis Colts (+) @ Cincinnati Bengals @ 1 ET - We get line value here (in the 2.5 range as of overnight hours) because the Bengals are off that upset win of the Jaguars on Monday night. Note that the Bengals had lost 3 straight before that. I know Browning had a big game for Cincinnati and is a solid QB. However, Cincinnati is now on a short week and with travel involved as they were in Jacksonville for the battle with the Jags. Indy has won 4 straight games and, like Jags QB Browning, Colts QB Minshew is off a big game. The Colts were favored in this one but the line has flipped to having Indianapolis as the dog. I love fading line moves like this and expect the Bengals struggles to quickly resume. Yes, both teams off OT wins but the Colts have a rest edge here plus they have now won 4 straight whereas the Bengals had lost 3 in a row before that victory. Cincy is allowing 28 ppg last 4 games while Colts allowing 17 ppg last 4 games. 10* INDIANAPOLIS (+) |
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12-10-23 | Steaua Bucharesti v. CFR Cluj OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -63 | 2 h 54 m | Show |
Rotation #206941: Romania Liga 1: Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +105 in CFR Cluj vs FCSB @ 1 ET - I know CFR Cluj has struggled recently but they are too strong at home to keep struggling here in terms of the goal-scoring department. As for FCSB, they are also a strong club but enter this one off a 2-0 loss to Galati. The set up here is perfect for two clubs that normally score well to bounce back big off disappointing shutout losses. Note that CFR Cluj has been shutout in B2B matches but this followed a stretch in which they scored 3 goals twice in their 3 preceding matches. As for FCSB, they have scored an average of 2 goals per match in last 6 road matches. This one should at least get to 2-1 but even a 2-2 draw would not surprise me in the least. Despite a history of low-scoring matches when these clubs meet and despite the fact each have struggled a bit recently in the goal-scoring department, the total on this one is set at 2.5 goals. You know what that means! 10* OVER 2.5 +105 in CFR Cluj |
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12-09-23 | Flyers +1.5 v. Avalanche | Top | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 12 m | Show |
NHL Saturday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers +1.5 -135 @ Colorado Avalanche @ 9:07 ET - The Avalanche have lost 4 of 5 games and the only win was by a 1-goal margin. Of course they are the better team in this match-up but they have been a bit shaky of late and the Flyers continue to be an early season surprise. Philly has been getting strong goaltending for much of this season and that is why they have been so hard to beat by big margins too. Philadelphia has won 9 of 13 games and also if you look at their last 24 games only 6 of them (25%!) have been a loss by more than a 1-goal margin. The Flyers are hot and the Avs are cold and even if Colorado bounces back for a win here I look for it to be by the slimmest of margins. The Avs makes it 6 in a row without a multi-goal win and the Flyers remarkably have been on an amazing road run. They won their first road game of the season but then lost the second one 5-2. However, since then, they have played 11 road games and NONE of them featured a Flyers loss by more than 1 goal. Look for that run to reach 12-0 right here Saturday! 10* PHILADELPHIA +1.5 -135 |
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12-09-23 | Pacers +4.5 v. Lakers | Top | 109-123 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 29 m | Show |
NBA Saturday 10* Top Play Indiana Pacers (+) vs Los Angeles Lakers @ 8:30 ET in Las Vegas, NV - There is some extra value baked into this line because the Lakers just absolutely destroyed the Pelicans on the scoreboard. However, LA shot 55% overall plus made 17 of 35 threes. New Orleans had a dreadful shooting game and was outscored by 30 from 3-point land as the Lakers made 10 more threes in the game. Keep in mind, the Lakers entered that game against NO in Vegas having gone just 4-7 in road games this season. The Pacers entered their game, a win over the Bucks, having gone 4-3 on the road this season and 2 of the 3 losses were at Boston and Philly. Of course the Celtics and 76ers are two of the best teams in the league. The point is that Indiana is arguably a better road team than the Lakers yet they are catching sizable points here against an over-rated LA team that is now over-valued after the hot-shooting win over the Pelicans. The Pacers are a very cohesive group. I like the team chemistry this roster has and I feel they will pull together to win this thing. Even if they fall short I look for it to be by one possession. This game could go right down to the wire but I am expecting the outright upset. We'll grab the 4.5 points. 10* INDIANA (+) |
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12-09-23 | UCLA v. Villanova OVER 127 | Top | 56-65 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 29 m | Show |
Rotation #711: CBB Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 127 in Villanova Wildcats vs UCLA Bruins @ 7 ET - Justin Moore is out for Villanova but sometimes when a solid veteran guard like that is out for a team it can result in more scoring. That's because perhaps the defensive rotations are thrown off a bit. Perhaps the guy coming in is willing to jack up a lot of shots. In this case, Jordan Longino played a lot of minutes against Kansas State because Moore got hurt after playing only 8 minutes in that game. Longino was 5 of 17 from the field including 3 of 9 from three point land. You can see the style he played in that one. I am looking for Nova, now off 3 straight losses, to be very aggressive at home in this one. They may have a more aggressive attacking style in this situation and I feel this low total is offering us exceptional value. The Wildcats are averaging 74 ppg this season. The Bruins are averaging 71 ppg this season. UCLA has scored at least 65 points in every game this season and that includes facing Marquette and Gonzaga and none of the Bruins games have gone to OT this season! Villanova has had two duds on the offensive end in which they scored 57 and 55 points but even eliminating the OT points against Kansas State they reached the 63 mark. Considering the importance of this game I look for a big effort at home but this Wildcats defense is not what it was under Jay Wright. The Wildcats are just not the same level of team but they are quality and they have scorers and the shots are going to start to fall. Take advantage of a total that is too low in the 127 range here in this one. 10* OVER 127 in Villanova |
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12-09-23 | Army v. Navy OVER 28 | Top | 17-11 | Push | 0 | 7 h 20 m | Show |
CFB Saturday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Navy Midshipmen vs Army Black Knights @ 3 ET - First off, this game being played in Foxboro, MA instead of Philly. Don't be surprised if we see the change in venue result in the change of results this year as well. Last season's match-up did go over the total but it took OT to get there also. If you only factor in regulation points, last season's game would have ended 10-10 and would have been the 17th straight under in this series. Long-time followers know I am a contrarian. The total was in the low 30s for this match-up and has dropped to the upper 20s. We have value here and I will buck the long-term under trend. For one thing the weather will be surprisingly mild and for this one. Certainly by New England standards it is unseasonably mild and little wind and no precipitation expected. Both teams have averaged about 15 pass attempts per game on the season. That may not seem like much but for these teams it is and it means it will not necessarily be just "run run run" here like we so often see in this match-ups. Of course this will also help in terms of an over. I know that both teams know how to defend the option because they see it so often and that is what leads to a lot of unders. But sometimes there is an overadjustment and I do believe that is the case here as well. I am even seeing some 27.5 out there in some spots as of about 7 hours before kickoff. Again, I completely get it that this low total is all about the match-up but the game being in a different locale this season, the decent weather, a little more passing from each team, plus consider the numbers. Army has had only 2 games out of 11 this season finish with less than 31 points. 7 of 11 Navy games have totaled at least 37 points. I am looking for at least a 17-14 type game here at a minimum. 10* OVER the total in Army/Navy game |
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12-09-23 | Voluntari v. Rapid Bucuresti OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
Rotation #206949: Romania Liga 1: Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +100 in Rapid Bucuresti vs FC Voluntari @ 1:45 ET - Rapid is fired up for this one after a scoreless draw at league-worst Botosani! Rapid is now back home where they have scored have scored at least 2 goals in 6 straight matches! Rapid has averaged scoring 3 goals per match in those 6 matches! Not only that, Rapid won 4-1 in the most recent meeting here with FC Voluntari. The last match Voluntari (a suburb of Bucuresti) hosted also went over the total as that was a 2-1 win for FC Voluntari. Note that Voluntari is also off a scoreless draw but this followed 3 straight matches totaling at least 3 goals and those 3 matches averaged 5 goals apiece! 10* OVER 2.5 in Rapid Bucuresti |
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12-09-23 | Arsenal v. Aston Villa OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -140 | 6 h 49 m | Show |
Rotation #200141: English Premier League: Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 -140 in Aston Villa vs Arsenal @ 12:30 ET - This is a marquee match featuring the 1st and 3rd place clubs in the table entering the day. Note that Liverpool can pass or move level with Arsenal if the Reds win and the Gunners lose. That said, strong push from Arsenal here to maintain top position as they want the full 3 points in the table in this one. The thing is, so does Aston Villa! If Villa wins this match then they move to within one point of the table of Arsenal. So this is a big match where neither club wants to settle for a share of the spoils. So if you can expect each club to score you can also logically expect this match to find its way to 2-1 also! Aston Villa has had now draws at home where they are actually a perfect 7-0 and scoring an average of 3.4 goals per match. Arsenal has had only 1 draw in 7 matches on the road and is averaging scoring 2 goals away from home this season. You can see why I am fully expecting at least a 2-1 final here. 3 of the last 4 meetings have totaled at least 3 goals and those 3 matches have averaged 4 goals apiece. Aston Villa's 1-0 win over Man City notwithstanding, both clubs have been consistently involved in high-scoring matches of late. Given the situation and the high stakes of this marquee match, more of the same expected here Saturday. 10* OVER 2.5 -140 in Aston Villa |
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12-09-23 | AFC Bournemouth v. Manchester United OVER 3 | Top | 3-0 | Push | 0 | 4 h 30 m | Show |
Rotation #200125: English Premier League: Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 3 -130 in Manchester United vs Bournemouth @ 10 AM ET - Bournemouth has actually been scoring well despite their lower placement in the table right now. They have scored at least 2 goals in 4 straight matches and are making a move up the table. As for Manchester United, they are off a 2-1 win and have scored at least 2 goals in 3 of last 4 matches across all competitions. The have conceded an average of 1.7 goals last 3 matches across all competitions and Bournemouth has conceded an average of 2 goals per match this season and 2.6 goals per match when on the road. This one should feature plenty of goals as Bournemouth has been going strong and is playing with confidence but Man U is a heavy home favorite with good reason here. The last 3 meetings here all totaled at least 3 goals and averaged 5 goals per piece. 10* OVER 3 -130 in Manchester United |
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12-08-23 | Hawks v. 76ers -7.5 | Top | 114-125 | Win | 100 | 13 h 57 m | Show |
NBA Friday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers (-) vs Atlanta Hawks @ 7:10 ET - This line in the 7 or 7.5 range and this is a bargain in my opinion. Looks like Trae Young could miss due to illness or at least would not be 100% here. That is bad news for a Hawks team that already lost to the Sixers by double digits earlier this season and that game was in Atlanta! Also, Philadelphia won their most recent home game by 44 points over the Lakers and the 76ers are getting healthy again with Oubre having come back as well. The Sixers are off a road game at Washington and have another game versus the Wizards at home up next. That said, the Hawks are certainly getting the full focus and attention of the Sixers right now. When Philly is focused they can blow teams out. They know they let that game at DC be much closer against the Wiz then it should have been and they will respond huge here with a strong home game. The Sixers have 7 home wins this season and all were by double digit margin except the Celtics. The Hawks are definitely not at the level of the C's. In other words, another blowout home win is imminent here! 10* PHILADELPHIA (-) |
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12-08-23 | Blues v. Blue Jackets OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 11 m | Show |
NHL Friday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Columbus Blue Jackets vs St Louis Blues @ 7:07 ET - Great set up for plenty of goals here as the Blue Jackets are off a 7-3 loss yesterday on the road and the Blues are off a 6-3 home loss Wednesday. Columbus has allowed 4 goals per game in last 5 games but the Blue Jackets also have scored 3.6 goals in their last 9 games on home ice! St Louis has scored an average of 3 goals per game last 9 games and had won 5 of 8 before the home loss to Vegas. Blues have had one low-scoring game last 8 games but the other 7 games averaged 8 goals apiece. Blue Jackets have seen 11 of last 17 games total at least 7 goals. Both teams allowing too many goals in many of their recent games but both are also in bounce back mode off high-scoring losses. Perfect set-up for another high-scoring contest here given all of the above. Also, Blue Jackets allowing 3.5 goals on the season. Blues have struggled on the penalty kill this season. Look for each team to get the 3 goal mark in this one and the result would then be at least a 4-3 final in this one. 10* OVER 6.5 in Columbus |
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12-08-23 | Illinois-Chicago v. Jacksonville State OVER 130.5 | Top | 55-49 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 16 m | Show |
Rotation #887: CBB Friday 10* Top Play OVER 130.5 in Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs Illinois-Chicago Flames @ 7 ET - As I mentioned in my write-ups earlier this season on UIC, the Flames have been developing well in recent years. They are well-coached and now the coach has been able to assemble the type of roster he wants here. It has been a process for sure but this Flames team looks stronger this season than they have been in a long time. Now Illinois-Chicago is coming off B2B losses in which they did not score well and this is the perfect spot for an over. I am sure that UIC is going to push the pace here as their 5-game winning streak saw them average 83 ppg while their 2-game losing streak has seen them allow just 63 ppg but also score only 60 ppg. That is not working for the Flames. They will resume with an up-tempo attack here plus I expect better shooting against a Gamecocks team that has played a rather weak schedule. I do like the fact that Jacksonville State is at home in this one and they had scored 71 ppg in a 3-game winning streak prior to losing their most recent game. So both teams off losses, both teams had been hot recently and scoring well, and now we have a rather low total to work with here. I look for a solid over here as both teams should get into the upper 60s here if not into the 70s! 10* OVER 130.5 in Jacksonville State |
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12-08-23 | UTA Arad v. CSMS Iasi +125 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 125 | 7 h 30 m | Show |
Rotation #206938: Romania Liga 1: Friday 10* Top Play Poli Iasi Money Line +125 vs UTA Arad @ Noon ET - Arad won the first match 1-0 so this is a revenge spot for Iasi. Notice that Iasi is favored here on the 3-way line (draw and Arad both in +200 range) and this is even though Arad has the better record recently. This is a classic "someone knows something" situation when you consider this line. Of course I do like the fact that Iasi is at home for this one but how is a club that has no wins in last 6 matches (1 loss, 5 draws) put in this type of price range? Exactly! Someone does know something here and Iasi has scored 8 goals in last 5 matches as a host. Arad has scored an average of just 1 goal in their 9 road matches this season. Arad, prior to a scoreless draw in most recent away match, had conceded 1.6 goals per match last 8 matches away from home. With a win here, Iasi will move into a tie with Arad in the table as they currently trail by 3 points in the table. That means we have motivation, revenge, and home pitch all in our favor here! 10* IASI +125 |
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12-08-23 | Adana Demirspor v. Galatasaray OVER 3.75 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 50 | 7 h 19 m | Show |
Rotation #207881: Turkish Super Liga: Friday 10* Top Play OVER 3.5 -135 in Galatasaray vs Adana Demirspor @ Noon ET - Both clubs are scoring an average of 2 goals per match this season. Galatasaray is motivated for a win here by the fact they can move into 1st place in the division. They are 6-0 at home this season. while Adana Demirspor has struggled away from home this season, this club will likely be very aggressive on the attack here as their goal is to score more goals away from home. They know they can not afford to sit back here against a club that is so ruthless on the attack at home. They must counterattack. The visitors lost the most recent meeting 2-0 but had scored at least 2 goals in 3 of 4 prior meetings. The hosts are heavy favorites here for a reason. I am expecting a 3-2 type match which is the result Adana Demirspor just had in most recent match too. The hosts in this one have scored 3.3 goals per match last 3 matches but did allow 3 goals in most recent match as a host. That was in Champions League action versus Man U and I look for another high-scoring battle in this one in Istanbul. 10* OVER 3.5 -135 in Galatasaray |
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12-07-23 | Hurricanes v. Flames OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 52 m | Show |
NHL 10* Carolina / Calgary OVER 6.5 - Flames using a young goalie again in Wolf here and he has struggled in his action so far this season at the NHL level ... though Wolf has been solid at the AHL level, the fact he is struggling so far in the NHL means it could really be tough sledding for him tonight ... the Hurricanes are angry off a loss and will be firing plenty of shots on goal ... the issue for the Canes this season is they continue to give up too many goals ... Carolina has allowed an average of 3.5 goals per game in their last 8 ... the Flames are now without top goalie Markstrom due to broken finger and Calgary has allowed 4 goals per game in their last 3 ... strong odds each team gets to 3 goals in this one and that would guarantee us of nothing less than a 4-3 final here |