Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-07-22 | Brewers v. Rockies OVER 11.5 | Top | 4-8 | Win | 100 | 14 h 32 m | Show |
MLB Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 11.5 in Colorado Rockies vs Milwaukee Brewers @ 3:10 ET - Action on pitchers. Yesterday's game exploded late and ended up a 10-7 final in extra innings. The late game explosion is nothing new in games at Coors Field and I am expecting another wild game today on an unseasonably warm afternoon in Denver! Lauer has been great at home for the Brewers this season but he has a mediocre 4.03 ERA on the road and a 4.72 ERA in his day game starts this year. Coors Field is not an easy place to pitch and right now it is unseasonably warm in Denver too. So all signs point to the hitters ruling the afternoon here. As for Freeland, he has having a horrible run in home starts. He has allowed 19 earned runs in 20.1 innings over his 4 home starts. Brewers will take advantage and, prior to yesterday's 10-7 loss, were 6-4 last 10 games and they scored at least 6 runs in all 6 wins. Milwaukee has allowed an average of 6.5 runs in last 8 losses. The Rockies have been struggling but a lot of that was on the road. Before being held to 4 runs in Monday's home loss, Colorado had won 6 of 11 home games. The Rockies last 13 home games have averaged 13 runs per game. We get at least a dozen here in my opinion regardless of the starting pitchers. Take action on pitches and watch these lineups be as hot as the Denver weather! 10* OVER 11.5 in Colorado |
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09-06-22 | Brewers v. Rockies OVER 11 | Top | 7-10 | Win | 100 | 18 h 58 m | Show |
MLB Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 11 in Colorado Rockies vs Milwaukee Brewers @ 8:40 ET - Action on pitchers. Yesterday's game was 6-3 in top of the 6th but ended up with only 10 runs by the end of the game. That is unusual for a Coors Field game and today will make up for it. Woodruff has been great at home for the Brewers this season but he has a mediocre 4.67 ERA on the road and Coors Field is not an easy place to pitch and right now it is unseasonably warm in Denver too. So all signs point to the hitters ruling the evening here. As for Kuhl, he has having a horrible run. He had an 8.71 ERA in his 5 July starts. He has been a little better in his last 2 starts since returning to the rotation but still struggling overall and his first August start was a disaster and so last 3 starts overall he has allowed 15 earned runs in 14.2 innings. Brewers will take advantage and are 6-4 last 10 games and have scored at least 6 runs in all 6 wins. Milwaukee has allowed an average of 6 runs in last 7 losses. The Rockies have been struggling but a lot of that was on the road. Before being held to 4 runs in yesterday's home loss, Colorado had won 6 of 11 home games. The Rockies last dozen home games have averaged about 13 runs per game. We get at least a dozen here in my opinion regardless of the starting pitchers. Take action on pitches and watch these lineups be as hot as the Denver weather! 10* OVER 11 in Colorado |
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09-06-22 | Blue Jays v. Orioles OVER 8.5 | Top | 6-9 | Win | 100 | 18 h 33 m | Show |
MLB Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays @ 7:05 ET - Action on pitchers. Both these teams got their lineups going yesterday and I am looking for more of the same today. The clubs played a double-header yesterday and combined for 22 runs on 43 hits. The Orioles got swept and will be looking for payback here and should have success against White. He is 0-5 with a 5.12 ERA in night action this season. The Blue Jays, and red hot Bichette, should stay hot here against Bradish. The Orioles right-hander is 0-4 with a 6.29 ERA in his 9 home starts this season. Regardless of the starting pitchers, each bullpen got some extra work because of the double header yesterday and I like the way both teams were swinging the bats yesterday. Take advantage of the low total here. Blue Jays appear to have snapped their recent hitting slump and Orioles known for hitting better at home. 10* OVER 8.5 in Baltimore |
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09-06-22 | Marlins v. Phillies -1.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 21 m | Show |
MLB Tuesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Run Line -1.5 +100 vs Miami Marlins @ 6:45 ET - Action on pitchers. It is raining in Philly Tuesday but the rain during day that is expected is also to subside and become light showers by late afternoon. So the hope is we get baseball on Tuesday at Citizens Bank Park. Aaron Nola is off a rare bad start at Arizona where he got rocked. This followed him allowing 1 earned run or less in 4 of last 5 starts. Nola also has dominated the Marlins this season in a pair of starts against them. Miami starter Jesus Luzardo can be strong at times but this is still a guy who is 9-15 with a 5.32 ERA last two seasons combined. The big key here is Marlins do not hit well and Phillies ready to bounce back big at home after a tough series at San Francisco over the weekend. Philadelphia is 15-6 last 21 home games and 8 of last 9 victories overall by 2 or more runs. The Marlins are mired in an 8-26 slump and 11 of last 16 losses by at least a 2-run margin. Home blowout here. 10* PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES -1.5 +100 |
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09-05-22 | Giants v. Dodgers -1.5 | Top | 7-4 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 17 m | Show |
MLB Monday 10* Top Play Los Angeles Dodgers Run Line -1.5 +102 vs San Francisco Giants @ 10:10 ET - Giants off a dramatic walk-off win over the Phillies last night and had surprising success in that series after entering it on a rough run of mostly losing for two weeks. The Dodgers won big again yesterday and are simply an incredible machine. Los Angeles has not only won 70% of their games this season but, when they win, it is almost always by a multiple-run margin! 80 of their 92 wins this season by 2 or more runs. Regardless of pitchers here I like the Dodgers at home but I will mention them here. Webb got hammered by the Dodgers last time he faced them and he also has been shaky in 2 of his last 3 starts. Heaney has great numbers for the Dodgers and has been piling up strikeouts including when he faced SF with Webb on the hill 5 weeks ago. Webb allowed 6 earned runs in that one and Heaney allowed just 1 earned run in that one. More of the same here and again I like the Dodgers though regardless of pitchers. Play this one with ACTION. Los Angeles has won 47 of 64 home games this season! San Francisco is 9 games UNDER .500 in road games this season. 10* LOS ANGELES DODGERS Run Line -1.5 +102 |
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09-05-22 | Clemson v. Georgia Tech OVER 50.5 | Top | 41-10 | Win | 100 | 16 h 57 m | Show |
CFB Monday 10* Top Play OVER 50.5 in Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets vs Clemson Tigers @ 8 ET - This total has dropped down to as low as 50.5 as of early game day morning. I feel strongly that the Tigers are going to explode for big points in this game. At the same time I am not really crazy about laying more than 3 TD's in almost any situation! That said, the safer play is the over in my opinion because I do feel the Yellow Jackets will find a way to break through for some points here. This is a desperate Yellow Jackets team with a chip on its shoulder and this is not the old triple option teams of the past. They will be airing it out a bit here and will be willing to take some risk to try and put points on the board and keep up with powerhouse Clemson. Off a disappointing campaign, by Tigers standards, they can't wait to take the field and prove last season was but an aberration. They will not hesitate in piling it on here and putting up big points. Keep in mind, before last season's grinder of a low-scoring win, Clemson had scored 125 points in wins in 2020 and 2019. Two games...125 points scored...they may not get to a level of averaging a point a minute like those two games work out to but I do expect the Tigers to score big here. Consider the line is in the 23 range so if you think Clemson can get to at least 37 (and honestly I expect much more) and if odds makers are right about the spread of 23 (like they so often are) that puts this game at 37-14 and that would give us an over. But again, how about 44-21, etc? Clemson will pile up points here and Yellow Jackets will do whatever it takes to get some respectable points on the board in this one. The result is a game that should land in at least the 60s at Mercedes Benz Stadium in Atlanta the way I see it. 10* OVER 50.5 in Georgia Tech |
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09-05-22 | Diamondbacks v. Padres OVER 8 | Top | 5-0 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 14 m | Show |
MLB Monday 10* Top Play OVER 8 in San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks @ 6:40 ET - Action on pitchers. I know that Snell is a big name pitcher but that is also what is helping to keep this line low. His last two home starts have been a bit shaky, especially his most recent one was bad. The way the Diamondbacks have been hitting of late, I feel strongly they will get to him. Ditto for the Padres getting to Ryne Nelson as well. The right-hander is a rookie making his first start and is not striking out as many batters at the AAA level this season in this minors compared to his earlier seasons. He has been giving up a lot of homers and Padres have some decent long-ball hitters in addition to Machado that can take advantage even though, of course, they have missed Tatis this season. The key is NOT the pitchers in this match-up as my play is action for a reason. The key is that both these teams have been scoring runs quite well and both these teams have been consistently involved in high-scoring games. I am taking advantage of a low total here and it will be a warm late afternoon game in San Diego Monday. The Padres are 6-3 last 9 games and have scored an average of 5.7 runs per game during this stretch. 7 of their last 9 games have totaled at least 8 runs. In fact, NONE of their last TEN games have totaled less than 7 runs and the average score during this stretch has been 11.5 runs! The Diamondbacks have won 9 of 12 games! Arizona has averaged scoring 6.3 runs per game last dozen games. 10 of last 14 Dbacks games have totaled at least 8 runs and those 14 games averaged 11.7 runs per game totaled. This one should reach double digits and I love the value here. 10* OVER 8 in San Diego Padres |
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09-05-22 | Edmonton Elks v. Calgary OVER 49.5 | Top | 18-26 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 2 m | Show |
CFL Monday 10* Top Play OVER 49.5 in Calgary Stampeders vs Edmonton Elks @ 4:30 ET - This line dropped because the top receiver for Edmonton is out. However, Calgary does allow the most passing yardage of any team in the league. That said, the Elks may still get some yardage through the air. They still have a veteran WR and young dynamic talented WR that they even use out of backfield packages and for trick plays. They find a way to get the ball in his hands and he makes things happen. We get some line value here because the total is being held lower due to the injury situation for Edmonton at WR. I like the fact that some defensive injuries are getting less attention from the markets and note that Elks have been horrible against the run. So the Stampeders will get their run game going plus had a huge game through the air in their most recent game. Once you establish the run the passing game becomes more and more wide open. Hence that is why the Elks are so bad this season. They can't stop teams on the ground and then they get burned through the air. That is why I expect Stamps, coming off a loss, to have a huge game here and put up a ton of a points. But I am not comfortable laying double digits with Calgary as I am a contrarian by nature. I fully expect the Elks to surprise some people by moving the ball better than most expect here. That turns this one into a shootout. 10* OVER 49.5 in Calgary |
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09-05-22 | Farul Constanta v. CS U Craiova OVER 2.25 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 14 h 34 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +120 in Universitatea Craiova vs Farul @ 2:30 ET - Farul has won 3 straight matches and by a combined score of 8 to 3. The club from Constanta is feeling it right now to say the least. However, this is still a road trip for them and they have conceded a goal in each of last 3 matches. Also, with more and more confidence for Farul, they are apt to taking more risk and getting caught with some leaky defense in their own end. Look for Universitatea Craiova, on their home pitch, to take advantage here. Universitatea Craiova has found the back of the net in 3 of their 4 matches as a host this season. So I do expect Universitatea Craiova will find the back of the net at least once here but note Farul still does not have a loss this season. That puts this match at least 1-1 and then we see at least 1 more goal. Farul just too hot right now and the defense of the hosts can surely be exploited. They have not allowed a lot of goals this season but against quality clubs (and Farul one of highest scoring in league), the hosts have proven more susceptible of course. 10* OVER 2.5 +120 in Universitatea Craiova |
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09-05-22 | Toronto v. Hamilton | Top | 28-8 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 26 m | Show |
CFL Monday 10* Top Play Hamilton Tiger-Cats Pick -110 vs Toronto Argonauts @ 1 ET - The standings show Toronto 5-5 and Hamilton 3-8 on the season. This is after Argonauts beat the Tiger-Cats 37-20 last week. However, the Ti-Cats are 3-2 this season at home while the Argos are 1-2 on the road this season. Also, in last week's game at Toronto, Hamilton actually won the yardage battle 452 to 301. The reality is the Tiger-Cats dominated statistically but yet lost by 17 points due to turnovers. That sets this one up absolutely beautifully and we get extra line value here too. The Ti-Cats are much better than their current record shows and Toronto is a bit over-rated plus has been helped by playing 70% of its games at home so far this season. 10* HAMILTON -110 |
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09-05-22 | Hermannstadt v. Arges +128 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 9 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Monday 10* Top Play FC Arges Money Line +128 vs Hermannstadt @ 11:45 AM ET - The 3-way line is showing you the most likely outcome here is a home club win despite the fact Hermannstadt has not lost a match out of 7 this season. Indeed the visitors have won 3 and had 4 draws in their 7 matches thus far. As I have said before, the odds makers often the sharpest people in the room! The point is that this match is priced this way for a reason and I do expect Hermannstadt to fall short after hanging on for a tight 1-0 victory last week. FC Arges is angry off a scoreless draw on the road and they will respond well on their home pitch here where they already have 3 victories this season by a combined score of 7 to 2. The hosts get it done here again. 10* FC Arges +128 |
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09-04-22 | Florida State v. LSU -3.5 | Top | 24-23 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 37 m | Show |
CFB Sunday 10* Top Play LSU Tigers -3.5 vs Florida State Seminoles @ 7:30 ET - The SEC sure does look strong, as per usual. LSU is the only team yet to play and every other team won their games and there was quite a bit of domination thrown around. Now, as for the ACC, Clemson will meet Georgia Tech tomorrow but, other than that Florida State is the only team yet to play. However, 3 teams already lost games (granted a Louisville or Syracuse was inevitable) and the ACC (other than Clemson) just not on the same level overall as SEC teams overall. LSU is going to be much stronger under new head coach Brian Kelly and they are facing a solid ACC team here but still look at some of yesterday's results. NC State barely beat East Carolina, Louisville scored just 7 points, Boston College and Virginia Tech each lost their games. There is still a gap in levels between these two conferences and the Tigers are VERY hungry and rejuvenated with the Kelly regime now here. LSU is off a disappointing campaign so we are getting line value here. I look for the Tigers to be back with early momentum from the coaching change! The Seminoles also disappointed last season and a win over an FCS school in Week 0 might help confidence but this is not Duquesne they are facing this week! Mike Norvell, HC of FSU, has struggled in his tenure here so far. Keep in mind, HC Kelly was 34-6 with Cincinnati and then went 92-39 with Notre Dame. Florida State, ATS, does not have a good track record in recent games with teams from the Power 5 conferences. 10* LSU -3.5 |
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09-04-22 | Winnipeg v. Saskatchewan +3.5 | Top | 20-18 | Win | 100 | 13 h 31 m | Show |
CFL Sunday 10* Top Play Saskatchewan Roughriders +3.5 vs Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ 6 ET - Home dog is getting much healthier now and also has the added confidence of a road win at BC last week under their belts. The Roughriders handed the Lions just their 2nd loss of the season and now they can do the same to the Blue Bombers this week. Winnipeg had a target on their backs off their unbeaten start and now they are off an OT loss and a very tight 2-point win the past two weeks! This is going to be another very tough battle for the Bombers because they are on the road and Saskatchewan is not an easy place to play. Also, the Riders confidence is starting to grow as they have won 2 of 3 since a much needed bye week 4 weeks ago. 10* SASKATCHEWAN +3.5 |
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09-04-22 | Astros v. Angels OVER 9 | Top | 9-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 24 m | Show |
MLB Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 9 or 9.5 in LA Angels vs Houston Astros @ 4:07 ET - Lot of extra bullpen arms used in last night's lengthy extra-inning affair that the Angels eventually won 2-1. We'll see a lot more scoring here. Action on pitchers as I like the fact Angels had been scoring better of late and Astros one of top teams in MLB and NOT facing Ohtani tonight! That said, lets talk about the pitchers first though they are not the most important factor. Davidson expected to start for Angels and he has a 7.16 ERA in his 4 home appearances this season and has had major command issues on the mound no matter where he pitches with far too many walks this year. As for the Astros Urquidy, he has a 4.24 ERA in road starts this season and the Angels seeing him for the 3rd time this season. That could help them have more success this time around and they have had Trout in the lineup lately and Urquidy has allowed 6 homers in his last 4 starts. This one flies over the total. The Angels have won 6 of 8 games and had averaged scoring 5 runs per game before yesterday's tight 2-1 win in 12 innings! Astros had won 8 of 10 games before yesterday's loss and Houston scored an average of 4.5 runs per game in those 8 victories. Houston on an 18-10 run last 28 games and scored 6.5 runs per game in those 18 wins and of course they are a sizable road favorite here for a reason. Look for a lot of runs in this one. 10* OVER 9 or 9.5 in LA Angels |
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09-04-22 | Arsenal v. Manchester United OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 29 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Manchester United vs Arsenal @ 11:30 AM ET - We will see goals here. Arsenal scoring an average of 2.6 goals per match thus far in their 5 matches this season. Each of the last 4 Arsenal matches have totaled at least 3 goals and have averaged 3.8 goals per match. The two meetings between these clubs last season totaled 4 and 5 goals, respectively. Manchester United playing much better after their dreadful start to the season and certainly, on their home pitch here, they are going to be a tough club. However, Arsenal will not allow this match to be a grinder. They are playing too well and too confident to just sit back on their heels here. So Arsenal forces the issue a bit and I look for Manchester United also to have a breakout game offensively and their most recent home match was a 2-1 win over Liverpool. Neither team has had a draw yet this season and Manchester United has scored at least once in 4 of 5 matches. Arsenal has scored at least twice in all 5 matches. In other words, look for at least a 2-1 final here as odds favor each team scoring and odds favor no draw here! There also has been only one draw in the last five meetings between these clubs. 10* OVER 2.5 in Manchester United |
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09-04-22 | Leicester v. Brighton & Hove Albion OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 106 | 6 h 47 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Brighton & Hove vs Leicester @ 9 AM ET - The Albion are known for being tough to score on at home but Leicester has made some adjustments on the frontlines and is emphasizing offense in this one. The Foxes will be on the attack. The last 4 meetings between these clubs have averaged 3 goals apiece with 3 of the 4 reaching at least the 3 goal mark. I fully expect this one will as well! Brighton has scored an average of 1.8 goals per match last 4 across all competitions. Leicester, prior to being held without a goal last week, had scored at least once in each of 3 prior matches in league competition and those 3 matches all totaled at least 3 goals and averaged 4 goals. We'll see some goals here. 10* OVER 2.5 in Brighton |
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09-04-22 | Botosani v. Petrolul 52 OVER 2 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 51 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in Petrolul Ploiesti vs FC Botosani @ 2:30 PM ET - Petrolul Ploiesti going to build off last week's 3-2 thrilling victory. However, FC Botosani comes in fired up after not scoring a goal in B2B weeks. This followed an unplanned bye week and prior to that FC Botosani had scored in all 5 of their first 5 matches and were scoring an average of 1.4 goals per match. In other words, this club can and will score well and will get back on track here as they face a Petrolul Ploiesti club that played a wild one last week on the road and yet still got the win. That is the kind of a set-up that can set up a club for a bit of loosely played defense when they return back home overconfident. Certainly overconfidence can be a problem when you are 4-0-2 last 6 matches like Petrolul Ploiesti. As a result plenty of goals here. 10* OVER 2 in Petrolul Ploiesti |
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09-03-22 | Boise State v. Oregon State OVER 55.5 | Top | 17-34 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 18 m | Show |
CFB Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 55.5 in Oregon State Beavers vs Boise State Broncos @ 10:30 ET - First thing I want to talk about here is the Boise State defense because I know it is good but consider they shutout New Mexico last season but the Lobos scored an average of only 8.5 points their final 10 games of the season! They were horrible! Boise State also allowed just 3 points in their win over Utah State but the Aggies outgained the Broncos in that one and piled up 443 yards of offense but were done in by turnovers. That 27-3 win was definitely a bit of a phony final! As for their other 10 games last season, Boise State allowed an average of 22.5 points per game. Keep in mind they were not facing a bunch of top offenses either considering they play in the Mountain West Conference. Now they face a very good Oregon State offense on the road and with great weather expected here. This is going to be a back and forth high-scoring affair. The Beavers are very talented offensively but their defense is not their strength and Boise State has the weapons to exploit. This is particularly true of a weak secondary. The Broncos averaged 29 points per game last season and have Bachmeier back at QB and Holani at RB and are very hungry after a 7-4 season last year is not the level they are use to performing at. The Beavers averaged 36 points per game at home last season and return a ton of talent. The issue is a defense that, not including game against FCS Idaho, allowed about 30 points per game last season. This total, very early, actually opened up in the low 60s and has since fallen down to the mid-50s and even below the key number of 56. QB Nolan is back for the Beavers too and leads a solid offensive attack. 10* OVER 55.5 in Oregon State |
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09-03-22 | Brewers v. Diamondbacks OVER 8 | Top | 8-6 | Win | 100 | 14 h 44 m | Show |
MLB Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 7.5 in Arizona Diamondbacks vs Milwaukee Brewers @ 8:10 ET - Action on pitchers. I like this total no matter who pitches as it is on the low side due in part to the expected pitchers here and the fact Burnes generally is tough on the mound. The Brewers right-hander actually has given up 4 or more earned runs in 2 of last 3 road starts and struggled a bit overall in August with a 4.83 ERA. However, speaking of struggling, Bumgarner is off a winless August in which he went 0-3 with a 9.23 ERA in his 5 starts and opponents hit .373 against him. Brewers lost 2-1 yesterday and were shutout 5-0 the day before. However, prior to this, Milwaukee had won 4 of 5 and scored an average of 6.2 runs per game. The Brewers will get back on track after rare B2B ugly games at the plate. Milwaukee averaging 5.2 runs per game last 5 times they have entered a game off 2 or more consecutive losses. The Diamondbacks are 8-2 last 10 games and in their last dozen games, even with only a 2-1 win yesterday, have averaged scoring 6.3 runs per game. You can see why I like this total with action on the pitchers. Great set up here. 10* OVER 7.5 in Arizona |
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09-03-22 | Manchester City v. Aston Villa OVER 3 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 48 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 3 in Aston Villa vs Manchester City @ 12:30 ET - Manchester City has been a scoring machine for a long time now with an incredible 14-match streak of scoring at least 2 goals. However, the scoring has become even more prolific of late because Erling Braut Haaland has been incredible with his goal-scoring prowess in his first season in the EPL. This City team is on a roll and Aston Villa was lucky they did not allow more scoring in the first half of their most recent match. They will not be so fortunate here as Manchester City has been ruthless on the attack. However, I will say this...I do expect Villa to score at least once at home and to put up a fight here on the counter attack. They did score an average of 1.5 goals per match when on their home pitch last season and City is so confident right now they could end up exposed at times on the counter attack. I say that because Manchester City is so confident in pushing the ball up the field because they have been scoring with such proficiency. Don't be surprised if Villa gets at least a goal here but City wins this by a multi-goal margin possibly. So looking at a 3-1 or 3-2 or 4-1 type of match. Lot of value here with this rather low total. 10* OVER 3 in Aston Villa |
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09-03-22 | Chindia Targoviste v. UTA Arad OVER 1.75 | Top | 1-1 | Win | 50 | 12 h 56 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 1.75 or 2 in UTA Arad vs Chindia Targoviste @ Noon ET - Chindia Targoviste is at the bottom of the table but it is not for a lack of scoring goals. They do average 1 goal per match. The problem for Chindia Targoviste is they are allowing 2 goals per match this season. UTA Arad is angry here as they are off a draw against one of the other bad teams (CS Mioveni) in the league and they know they should have got maximum points in the table instead of settling for a 1-1 draw. That said, the play here is the over as UTA Arad will not hold back and will be aggressive on the attack. Also, I like the fact that Chindia Targoviste, though still searching for first victory of season, is known for finding ways to manufacture goals. UTA Arad's matches have averaged 2 goals per match and I am expecting at least 3 here because there is nothing "average" about this match-up in terms of the fact Chindia Targoviste has a tendency toward getting involved in very high-scoring matches. Each of their last 3 totaled at least 3 goals and 2 of them reached the 5 goal mark! 10* OVER 1.75 or 2 in UTA Arad |
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09-03-22 | Crystal Palace v. Newcastle United OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 9 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Newcastle United vs Crystal Palace @ 10 AM ET - Newcastle angry off the last minute loss to Liverpool last week. They will respond at home where they are known for scoring better and playing stronger. Newcastle however sometimes gets a bit leaky with the defense in front of their own goal. Also, note that Crystal Palace has both conceded and scored in each of last five matches in league action. I am sure that will be the case again here and I also do not expect it to end 1-1 either so good value with the over 2.5 here given the situation. Newcastle going to be very hungry for the full 3 points but Crystal Palace also is angry about a late equalizer that cost them the full 3 points last week. As a result, think both teams will be very aggressive on the attack here and Newcastle has seen only 1/3 of last 21 home matches ended in a draw. Look for a 2-1 match here and if it does end in a draw look for it to be 2-2 rather than 1-1 as the situation here tells me goals will be flowing. 10* OVER 2.5 in Newcastle United |
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09-03-22 | Fulham v. Tottenham Hotspur OVER 3 | Top | 1-2 | Push | 0 | 8 h 48 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 or 3 in Tottenham vs Fulham @ 10 AM ET - Tottenham is angry off a 1-1 draw in a match they should have been awarded a penalty kick and that, of course, would have given high odds on an eventual 2-1 win. That said they will be pushing hard here but Fulham has scored an average of 2 goals in its last 3 matches in league action. Tottenham has scored an average of 2 goals per match last 5 meetings between these clubs. Fulham has allowed 7 goals in last 4 matches across all competitions. Tottenham scoring an average of 2 goals per match this season. Just see this one getting to at least 2-1 and do not foresee the Hotspur taking their foot off the gas in this one as they had started the season so hot. The hosts want to resume that early season momentum in a big way here. 10* OVER 2.5 or 3 in Tottenham |
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09-02-22 | Phillies -102 v. Giants | Top | 1-13 | Loss | -102 | 17 h 40 m | Show |
MLB Friday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Money Line -102 @ San Francisco Giants @ 10:15 ET - Action on pitchers. The Giants have lost 7 straight and 11 of 13 games. San Francisco has scored just 2.4 runs per game in 13 of last 14 games. Only one big offensive output during this 14-game stretch and you see the poor average they have in the 13 other games. Things are going much differently for Philly. The Phillies bounced back from B2B embarrassing losses by being on the right end of a blowout in an 18-2 win at Arizona Sunday. Unlike San Francisco, the Phillies have been scoring quite well and have won 23 of 34 games. Philadelphia has scored an average of 6.3 runs per game their last dozen games. Also, the Phillies have the pitching edge here. I like them no matter the starting pitchers here but will mention that Gibson is 6-3 in night games. Also, he went 3-1 with a 2.30 ERA in his 5 August starts. As for San Francisco's Cobb, he is 3-5 in night games this season and has been getting hit quite hard his last 4 starts. The Phillies are the hotter team and available at a great price here. 10* PHILADELPHIA -102 |
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09-02-22 | TCU v. Colorado OVER 58 | Top | 38-13 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 17 m | Show |
CFB Friday 10* Top Play OVER 58 in Colorado Buffaloes vs TCU Horned Frogs @ 10 ET - Both teams were weak defensively last season. Making matters worse for the Buffaloes, they lost many of the top tacklers from last year's stop unit. In other words, Colorado's defense likely to continue to struggle and this is particularly true early in the year. TCU returns most of the starters from last seasons team on both sides of the ball. But this may not be good news for a defense that ranked among the worst in the nation statistically. Not only that, they have a new head coach in Sonny Dkyes. He is an offensive minded coach so this helps the offensive production but is unlikely to help the porous Horned Frogs defense! In fact, Dykes comes over from SMU where last season, the Mustangs had some of the best production on offense in the nation but were one of the worst defenses. Considering all of the above and considering that Colorado is at home and should score better as a result and that Texas Christian will be geared up to score anywhere with Dykes on board and 10 starters back on offense, I like the over plenty in this one. Game should have a good pace and also features two very weak defenses and the weather will be great for this one also. 10* OVER 58 in Colorado |
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09-02-22 | Ottawa v. Montreal -4 | Top | 38-24 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 18 m | Show |
CFL Friday 10* Top Play Montreal Alouettes -4 vs Ottawa Redblacks @ 7:30 ET - Montreal has a huge situational edge here as they were off last week. So Alouettes enter off a bye week while Ottawa played in the final game of last week's schedule and it was out west at Edmonton. The Alouettes already defeated the Redblacks this season and that game was at Ottawa. Now they get this rivalry match-up at home and they have the rest edge. Additionally, Redblacks win last week was a bit fortunate as they were outgained by Edmonton in that one but the Elks turned the ball over 5 times - 1 fumble, 1 interception, and 3 times on downs. I like the value here with laying the low number on the home team that should dominate in this one. The Als bye week was preceded by B2B wins and their confidence is growing as they are in the mix for the East Division title for sure. 10* MONTREAL -4 |
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09-02-22 | Rangers v. Red Sox OVER 9.5 | Top | 1-9 | Win | 100 | 15 h 39 m | Show |
MLB Friday 10* OVER 9.5 in Boston Red Sox vs Texas Rangers @ 7:10 ET - Action on pitchers. The Rangers have lost 5 straight and 6 of 8 but continues to score plenty of runs. Texas averaging 6.5 runs scored in those 8 games. 6 of the 8 games totaled at least 13 runs. Look for another wild one here. I know Pivetta has pitched well at times recently for the Red Sox he still has a 4.83 ERA at home and has been hit 44 points higher at Fenway Park than on the road this season. Also, Keuchel has been incredibly bad this season. He is with his 3rd team already this season and got hammered again in most recent start and is 2-8 with a ridiculous 8.87 ERA in his 13 starts this season! Remember last season he got rocked too. Sad to see it ending like this but it sure looks like Keuchel is at the final stages of his career. The Red Sox will certainly show no mercy and tend to hit better at home than on the road. Boston has won 6 of last 7 at Fenway Park and 5 of those 7 games totaled at least 11 runs. In fact, the 5 games averaged 14.6 runs apiece. More of the same expected here. 10* OVER 9.5 in Boston |
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09-02-22 | U Craiova 1948 v. Universitatea Cluj OVER 2 | Top | 1-1 | Push | 0 | 14 h 43 m | Show |
Good value with the over here. U Craiova 1948 off a win by just a 1-0 margin but their first 7 matches this season averaged 2.6 goals totaled per match. As for Universitatea Cluj they are allowing 1.3 goals per match in what has been a disappointing campaign so far. I expect Universitatea Cluj to again struggle here and give up scoring to U Craiova 1948 but also to get on the scoresheet as well on their home pitch. They are fully focused on scoring here because after starting the season with goals in 4 of first 5 they have now been handed a clean sheet by their opponent 3 straight times. Unacceptable and they know it and they are at home here and they focus on the attack. The result should be goals aplenty in this one. 10* OVER 2 in Universitatea Cluj |
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09-02-22 | Mioveni v. Sepsi -1 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -111 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
Sepsi is a heavy favorite here with good reason. Of course we are not going to lay -200 odds on the money line but I do like Sepsi -1 goal here on the goal line in what should be a dominating win. Mioveni winless on the season and has a -9 goal differential which is worst in the league. Sepsi has suffered B2B losses but one was on the road and one was at home against a Rapid team that is tied with Farul for 1st place in the table. Sepsi has a +3 goal differential on the season and their two victories by a combined 5-0 margin. Look for big victory here for the hosts. Sepsi Goal Line -1 -111 |
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09-01-22 | Brewers v. Diamondbacks +1.5 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 16 h 42 m | Show |
MLB Thursday 10* Top Play Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5 -135 vs Milwaukee Brewers @ 9:40 ET - The Diamondbacks are off an embarrassing 18-2 loss last night but this followed 5 straight wins and the average score of those wins was 9 to 4. In other words, Arizona has been rolling. I am going with action here because this is an overall a team-based and situational play. Another key to the situation here is Brewers are on the road. Yes, Milwaukee has been winning lately but being at home helped them. The Brewers actually have lost 10 of last 13 road games! I am grabbing the +1.5 here on the run line for added insurance as half of Milwaukee's dozen wins after the All Star break came by just one run. They have been winning bigger of late but again a lot of home games too. On the road here I expect them to struggle and note that Woodruff has an ERA two runs higher on the road compared to at home. As for Kelly, he has allowed a total of only 18 earned runs in his last 11 starts and, keep in mind, he went at least 6 innings in 10 of those 11 outings. Excellent home dog value. 10* ARIZONA +1.5 -135 |
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09-01-22 | Penn State -3.5 v. Purdue | Top | 35-31 | Win | 100 | 13 h 29 m | Show |
Thursday CFB 10* Top Play Penn State Nittany Lions -3.5 @ Purdue Boilermakers @ 8 ET - So the Lions finished 7-6 last season and got hammered in their bowl game loss to the Razorbacks by a two-TD margin. The Boilermakers went 9-4 last year plus beat Tennessee in the Music City Bowl. Purdue also is at home for this game. The Boilers also return more starters than PSU. Also, though Clifford is a very solid veteran QB for the Nittany Lions, Boilermakers QB O'Connell is probably the 2nd best QB in the conference behind Ohio State's Stroud. So all that said you have Penn State FAVORED by 3.5 points here. You think the odds makers do NOT know what they are doing? The Lions are favored here for a reason DESPITE all the above and a big key is because the Boilers offense lost their top two receivers from last season as one of them was ruled ineligible due to academics while the other one, Bell, is now a Cleveland Brown in the NFL! As for Penn State, no such problems. Not only do they bring back RB Lee, they also have WR Washington back plus they brought in a transfer from Western Kentucky (Tinsley) who had phenomenal numbers for the Hilltoppers last season. PSU has the better defense in this match-up and I know there are some questions about the offensive line for the Lions but that is an area they have filled in nicely despite departures from last season. O'Connell the better QB but Clifford is very solid and led PSU to a 5-0 start last year before he got hurt against Iowa. This Lions team is on a mission this year and they play in the tough east and rank behind only Ohio State and Michigan whereas Boilers play in the weaker West and I would rank them about 4th in Big Ten West. Roll with the road favorite here as they win by at least 7 and, more likely, double digits. 10* PENN STATE -3.5 |
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09-01-22 | A's v. Nationals OVER 7.5 | Top | 5-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
MLB Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 7.5 in Washington Nationals vs Oakland A's @ 4:05 ET - Action on pitchers. We get line value here because two bad teams are matched up and the A's are so often weak in terms of runs scored. Now we take advantage because Espino is the scheduled starter for the Nationals and he is 0-6 this season. Espino has particularly struggled as a starter and especially at home. In fact, in his last 5 home starts he has allowed at least 3 earned runs all 5 and in 2 of them he allowed 4 earned runs. Espino did not work deep in any of these outings. A's expected starter is Waldichuk and he is a rookie that struggled more when he made the jump from AA to AAA level of minors and now he jumps to the majors. Note that Nationals have scored 4 or more runs in 8 of last 13 home games and scored 5 or more runs in 7 of those 8. Washington is known for scoring better at home than on the road. Oakland had won 3 of 4 road games and scored an average of 6 runs per game prior to yesterday's 5-1 loss. This is why I like the over regardless of starting pitchers here and feel we have excellent line value with the low total here. 10* OVER 7.5 in Washington |
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09-01-22 | Manchester United v. Leicester OVER 2.75 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -114 | 11 h 25 m | Show |
EPL Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 or 2.75 or 3 in Leicester vs Manchester United @ 3 ET - Manchester United is back on track with B2B wins and I expect another strong effort from them here to result in more scoring. However, Leicester is not going to be shutdown on their home pitch. They will get on the scoresheet too and I am looking for nothing less than 2-1 final here and that means value with this current total. Leicester has seen their matches average 4 goals this season and they are hungry for first victory of the season. Leicester has only 1 draw and Manchester United has no draws this season. That means only 1 draw in 8 matches or 12.5% this season involving these clubs. Man U is off 1-0 win at Southampton but the Saints had plenty of chances in that match and it was one that could have played out much differently with both clubs having so many opportunities. Prior to that all 3 of Manchester United's matches totaled at least 3 goals. As for the hosts in today's match-up, all 4 of their matches this season have totaled at least 3 goals. More of the same on tap here. 10* OVER the total in Leicester |
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09-01-22 | CS U Craiova v. Hermannstadt OVER 2 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -112 | 12 h 7 m | Show |
Not only did all 3 Romania Liga 1 matches go over the total yesterday, they all totaled at least 4 goals. The weather is already cooling down across the country today and the players will not be tiring out so quickly on the attack. Universitatea Craiova is off a 1-0 win versus Botosani but could have easily scored a lot more. They looked great on the attack and I am certain that will continue here at Hermannstadt. As for the hosts, they continue to be a scrappy club despite battling financial difficulties. Some home cooking will do them some good here and I look for an entertaining affair as a result. Hermannstadt is off a 2-2 draw last week against FCSB and that was on the road. As a host this season they are scoring an average of 2 goals per match. Universitatea Craiova has played only 2 road matches so far this season and they have each totaled at least 2 goals. 10* OVER 2 goals in Hermannstadt |
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09-01-22 | Arges v. Botosani OVER 2 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 19 m | Show |
Not only did all 3 Romania Liga 1 matches go over the total yesterday, they all totaled at least 4 goals. The weather is already cooling down across the country today and the players will not be tiring out so quickly on the attack. The Botosani defense had a lot of breakdowns last week and face a solid Arges club here. The visitors have played 7 matches this season and NONE have resulted in a draw. I do expect Botosani to score at least a goal at home here but to again be shaky in front of their own net. That said Arges gets on the board too and has not a draw yet this season. In other words, this match should end up at least 2-1. Botosani failed to score last week but that was first time this season. Arges failed to score twice this season but scored an average of 1.8 goals in their other 5 matches. 10* OVER 2 in Botosani |
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08-31-22 | Phillies v. Diamondbacks OVER 9 | Top | 18-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 23 m | Show |
MLB Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 9 in Arizona Diamondbacks vs Philadelphia Phillies @ 9:40 ET - Action on pitchers. These teams involved in high-scoring action thus far and I expect more of the same here regardless of starting pitchers but we'll start there. Falter has decent numbers of late for the Phillies but this is going to be one of the tougher road appearances he has made in awhile. When facing a good team, or a team surging like Dbacks sticks are right now, Falter has struggled on the road this season. As for the Diamondbacks Henry, he has had about as many walks as strikeouts other than one very strong start this season but that one was against Pirates. In other words, his ERA is a little lower than it should be as he has had some good fortune on balls put in play and I feel this is giving us some extra value here as a potent Philadelphia lineup can get to Henry early and often. No matter the pitchers, the Phillies had averaged nearly 6 runs per game last 9 games before the ugly loss last night. As for the Dbacks, they have averaged 7.3 runs per game last 9 games and are feeling extra confident at the plate right now as they are on 5-game winning streak and have reached double digits in runs in 3 of last 4 victories! 10* OVER 9 in Arizona |
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08-31-22 | Yankees v. Angels UNDER 7.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 15 h 48 m | Show |
MLB Wednesday 10* Top Play UNDER 7.5 in Los Angeles Angels vs New York Yankees @ 9:38 ET - Action on pitchers. Angels Sandoval has been red hot in August and is the type of crafty lefty that can keep the Yankees free-swinging lineup off balance. Yankees Cole having another strong campaign, as is Sandoval, and the Yanks right-hander has been practically unhittable last couple road starts. Regardless of pitchers I like the under here as Angels, not including extra innings, entered this series being held to 3 or less runs scored in 12 of last 16 home games! So far in this series they have managed 4 runs in each of the first two games so they still are not exactly knocking the cover off the ball at home. As for the Yankees, they entered last night's game having been had only 2 big games at the plate last 19 games! In the other 17 games the past 3 weeks the Yankees scored an average of only 2 runs per game! Don't be surprised, given the above, if tonight ends up a 3-2 type game! 10* UNDER 7.5 in Los Angeles Angels |
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08-31-22 | Newcastle United v. Liverpool -1.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -125 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
EPL Wednesday 10* Top Play Liverpool Goal Line -1.5 -125 vs Newcastle United @ 3 ET - Liverpool is not going to win 9-0 again but certainly that dominating victory over Bournemouth (which led to coach Scott Parker being relieved of his duties!) has given the Reds a huge boost of confidence after a slow start to the season. I know that Newcastle managed a draw versus Manchester City earlier this month but that was at home and City did outplay them on possession time and scoring chances. Newcastle is known for being tough to face on their home pitch but often struggling as a traveler and I fully expect that pattern to continue here and will lay the goal line with the hosts in this one. Liverpool has outscored opponents 59-10 in last 21 home matches in league competition. That means an average score of approx 3 to 0.5 goal. A 2.5 goal margin and they are favored at 1.5 goals here. Newcastle has been outscored 36 to 19 in last 21 road matches. Keep in mind that is against all competition not just elite competition and they are averaging about a -1 goal differential in road matches since the start of last season. I have no hesitation in expecting the Reds to win this on their home pitch by a multi-goal margin. 10* LIVERPOOL -1.5 |
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08-31-22 | Tottenham Hotspur v. West Ham United OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -116 | 10 h 21 m | Show |
EPL Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in West Ham United vs Tottenham Hotspur @ 2:45 ET - West Ham finally got a goal and finally got a win in their victory over the weekend. They will now build off that here at home and I expect the added confidence to lead to more of an attack mode here for the hosts. However, they are hosting a dangerous Tottenham squad that can score plenty! Off a 2-0 victory that easily could have been a 3-0 final were it not for a rare failed penalty kick, the visitors are going to have West Ham on their heels at times. Tottenham notched a 3-1 victory when these clubs met in March and Tottenham is averaging 2 goals per match so far this season. I am looking for at least a 2-1 final here as I expect each club to get on the scoresheet in this one and in 8 matches total for these clubs there has been only 1 draw. In my mind, slim odds of a draw here and strong odds we see each club score a goal and that means a 2-1 final - at the least - is likely here the way I see it! 10* OVER 2.5 in West Ham United |
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08-31-22 | Voluntari v. CFR Cluj OVER 2 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 2 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in CFR Cluj vs FC Voluntari @ 12:15 ET - Voluntari off a scoreless draw but their prior two prior road matches each have been 2-1 losses. We should see 3 goals here! CFR Cluj was best club in the league last season but enters this match off a 3-1 home loss! Now they are home again and angry and favored by 1 goal here for a reason! In other words, look for an aggressive attacking style in this match and the result will be plenty of goals as FC Voluntari becomes forced to try to keep up in this one! 10* OVER 2 in CFR Cluj |
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08-30-22 | Phillies -125 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 3-12 | Loss | -125 | 16 h 13 m | Show |
MLB Tuesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Money Line -125 @ Arizona Diamondbacks @ 9:40 ET - As you would expect, losing a game in which you score at least 7 runs does not happen very often. Prior to yesterday's 13-7 loss, a game the Phillies actually led 7-0, it had happened to Philadelphia just 3 times this season. Each time they bounced back with a win! Look for them to improve on that mark here and make it 4-0 / 100% YTD when in that situation. I am going action on pitchers here because I love this situation and fully expect a Phillies bounce back here. But I will touch on the expected starting pitchers here. Aaron Nola has been great with a 2.13 ERA on the road this season. Lately his "vintage Nola" breaking stuff has been phenomenal with curveballs looking like they are falling off the edge of a table when they arrive at the plate. Arizona's hitters do not have much familiarity with him and that will make their task even tougher here. The Phillies, on the other hand, pounded Zac Gallen earlier this season and he could not make it out of the 2nd inning. Trust me I know Gallen has been throwing very well and is a quality pitcher but the Phillies have some hitters that have had his number long-term not just this season. The Phillies have 6 hitters that are a combined 9 for 18 with 3 homers and 6 runs batted in versus Gallen. Regardless of the pitchers, note the 100% situation for the Phillies and the fact they are 43-23 against teams with a losing record on the season. Arizona still just 17-37 against teams with a winning record. Diamondbacks just had biggest comeback win in franchise history! Now the Phillies get some payback for that comeback! 10* PHILADELPHIA -125 |
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08-30-22 | Yankees v. Angels OVER 8 | Top | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 17 h 29 m | Show |
MLB Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in LA Angels vs NY Yankees @ 9:38 ET - I know yesterday's game stayed under the total but the Angels have now won 4 straight games and scored an average of 6.5 runs per game. I know the Yankees have been slumping but the ball was carrying very well last night in Anaheim and there are a number of big hitters in these lineups. Regardless of the starting pitchers (take action) I like the over in this one. The Angels are expected to start Mayers and he is essentially an opener here. I look for the Yankees to get to him and then their bullpen. As for expected Yankees starter Taillon, he had a 2.30 ERA on the season after his first start in June. Since then, he has a 5.06 ERA. In other words, he has been far from dominant and this Angels lineup is feeling it right now. This one flies over the total regardless of starting pitchers. There were 5 homers in last night's game and there should have been more than 7 runs. Tonight there will be and I am expecting double digits. 10* OVER 8.5 in LA Angels |
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08-30-22 | Universitatea Cluj v. Rapid Bucuresti +100 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 15 h 15 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Tuesday 10* Top Play Rapid Bucuresti Money Line +100 vs Universitatea Cluj @ 3 ET - Universitatea Cluj has a one day rest edge here but Rapid Bucuresti is on their home pitch. Also, Rapid Bucuresti has 5 wins already this season which is tops in the league. Universitatea Cluj is one of 3 clubs that remain winless on the season and they are near the very bottom of the table while Rapid Bucuresti is near the top. Universitatea Cluj does have 3 draws this season including 2 as visitors and a draw hands us a losing ticket. That is why this line is priced this way so it certainly is no "gift" on Rapid Bucuresti here but at home and able to lay no juice to back the hosts to get a win I feel is very strong value. 10* RAPID BUCURESTI +100 |
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08-30-22 | Chelsea v. Southampton OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 50 m | Show |
EPL Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Southampton vs Chelsea @ 2:45 ET - I know Southampton is off a 1-0 defeat but there were a ton of scoring opportunities wasted in that match with Manchester United. As for Chelsea, they have been involved in higher scoring matches than usual early this season. We are seeing a little more push from Chelsea on the offensive attack these days from head coach Tuchel and you know he is "chomping at the bit" to have his team on the attack for this one after he had to watch the last match as a spectator due to a suspension. With Southampton on their home pitch I feel certain they will score here as Chelsea has already conceded 6 times in 4 matches this season as well. However, there is a reason the visitors are a rather pricey money line favorite here plus favored by 1 goal on the goal line. In other words, look for at least a 2-1 type match here in this one. Southampton had scored 1.7 goals per match in first three matches this season before being delivered a clean sheet at the hands of an angry Man U team last week. The Saints will bounce back on their home pitch but will also prove unable to slow down a determined Chelsea club and I see at least 3 goals here as a likely result in this one. 10* OVER 2.5 in Southampton |
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08-30-22 | Brighton & Hove Albion v. Fulham OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 107 | 13 h 36 m | Show |
EPL Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals +107 in Fulham vs Brighton & Hove @ 2:30 ET - I have said it before and I will say it again here. The odds makers tend to be the sharpest people in the room. The reason I am mentioning that here is because this total looks a little suspicious and I am putting that odds makers edge to our advantage! Look at the two earliest matches today and the other won is Crystal Palace versus Brentford. Note that the average goals totaled in matches for Palace is 3.50 this season and it is 3.75 for the Bees. Yet their total and pricing looks nearly identical to this match which features a Brighton club whose average match has totaled 1.5 goals thus far. In fact, Brighton has conceded only 1 goal in 4 matches this season! Looks suspicious, eh? We are not falling for it. Over is the play here and the reason is because I could see a Brighton club, on a short week, finally lose some defensive focus and concentration and Fulham will take advantage on their home pitch. Fulham actually has played quite well and been very competitive early this season but they have been plagued by defensive inconsistencies and getting worn down in the 2nd half of matches. Look for that to be an issue again here as well especially on short rest! The result should be more goals than most are expecting here and I am looking for at least a 2-1 final. 10* OVER 2.5 goals +107 in Fulham |
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08-30-22 | Sepsi v. U Craiova 1948 OVER 2.25 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -104 | 13 h 47 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in U Craiova 1948 vs Sepsi @ 12:15 ET - Both clubs off 2-1 losses over the weekend and playing on short rest. Expect some tired legs among the defense and this will lead to some breakaways and excellent scoring chances. U Craiova 1948 matches this season have averaged 2.6 goals per match and they will control the tempo play here at home. Sepsi had a couple of 0-0 draws this season but their other 5 matches averaged 2.8 goals per match and I am expecting a wide-open style of play in this one. 10* OVER 2 in U Craiova 1948 |
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08-30-22 | UTA Arad +156 v. Mioveni | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Tuesday 10* Top Play UTA Arad +156 @ CS Mioveni @ 9:30 AM ET - CS Mioveni has been the worst club in the league thus far. They are off a draw last week but it was a scoreless one and they have managed only 3 goals total in their 7 matches thus far. UTA Arad as has twice as many goals on the season and CS Mioveni also leads the league in the unwanted category of 5 losses so far. Adding to the value here is that this is a unique scheduling situation this week in the league with some early matches in the week and UTA Arad has an added day of rest compared to CS Mioveni. The visitors last played Friday while the hosts just played on Saturday and that was also a road match for CS Mioveni on Saturday so this is a particularly tough short rest situation. We get value here because our "play on" team is on the road. I will take it! 10* UTA Arad +156 |
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08-29-22 | Phillies v. Diamondbacks OVER 8.5 | Top | 7-13 | Win | 100 | 18 h 43 m | Show |
MLB Monday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 or 9 in Arizona Diamondbacks vs Philadelphia Phillies @ 9:40 ET - Action on pitchers. Like the Phillies to bounce back off 6-0 shutout home loss yesterday. Also like the Diamondbacks sticks at home though too. Arizona has won 3 straight games and the Dbacks have scored an average of 6 runs per game last 7 games. Philadelphia, prior to ugly loss yesterday, had won 7 of 8 games and scored an average of 6 runs per game. You can see from these numbers why I like the over here. Now will touch on the pitchers but they are not the most important factor. Ranger Suarez had been red hot for the Phillies but then he faded in his most recent start as he got in trouble in the 6th inning. I feel he could be wearing down. Remember he just converted from a reliever to a starter during the season last year. This season he has now thrown more innings than ever before in his MLB career. As for Madison Bumgarner, he has solid numbers overall at home this season but, as of late, it has not matter where he has pitched. The southpaw has been struggling bad and the Phillies have the lumber to take advantage. Bumgarner is 1-4 with a 6.38 ERA since the All Star break and has been hit at over a .300 clip in his last 6 starts combined. He has allowed at least 4 earned runs in 6 of his last 7 starts. No matter the pitchers here, plenty of reason to believe in both lineups in this one as Dbacks get it done at home and a Phillies team that had been hot bounces right back at the plate after yesterday's shutout loss. 10* OVER 8.5 or 9 in Arizona |
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08-29-22 | Cardinals v. Reds OVER 9 | Top | 13-4 | Win | 100 | 17 h 6 m | Show |
MLB Monday 10* Top Play OVER 9 or 9.5 in Cincinnati Reds vs St Louis Cardinals @ 6:40 ET - Action on pitchers as I look for the Cardinals to ride the wave of momentum off last night's 6-3 win that came courtesy of a big 3-run homer in the bottom of the 8th. The Cardinals are 12-3 last 15 games and have scored an average of 6.4 runs per game during this stretch! The Reds are just 5-5 last 10 games but have scored an average of 5 runs per game during this stretch. Cincinnati has allowed an average of 6 runs per game last 7 losses and this one with St Louis looks like a slugfest in a hitters park regardless of pitchers. But will mention that Chase Anderson making his first start of this season and he struggled as a starter both in 2020 and 2021 with high ERAs above 6.50 each year. As of Cards starter Miles Mikolas, he has an ERA nearly 2 runs higher on the road compared to at home and this is nothing new for him. Road struggles and home successes have been the pattern for him throughout his recent seasons at the MLB level. 10* OVER 9 or 9.5 in Cincinnati |
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08-29-22 | Botosani v. CS U Craiova OVER 2.25 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -112 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +110 in Universitatea Craiova vs FC Bostosani @ 2 ET - Scoring picked up in this week's action and part of the reason for the extra scoring was fresh legs from being off last week. Some clubs had matches that were canceled last week. 6 of them to be exact. These are the final 2 of those 6. Of the first 4, they ended up in 3 different matches this week that all totaled 3 or more goals. In fact, 2 of those 3 matches totaled 4 goals. Look for another high-scoring one here. Love the fact that each of these clubs off 1-0 matches in their most recent action as there were plenty of excellent scoring opportunities in each of those matches that simply did not get cashed. Look for at least a 2-1 final here as we continue to see a scoring surge in the final match of Week 7 action as those Week 6 cancellations truly had an impact. 10* OVER 2.5 +110 in Universitatea Craiova |
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08-28-22 | Braves v. Cardinals OVER 8 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 14 h 25 m | Show |
MLB Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 7.5 or 8 in St Louis Cardinals vs Atlanta Braves @ 7:08 ET - Action on pitchers. I like the potency of these two lineups and like the over regardless of starting pitchers but will mention them here. Wainwright expected starter for Cardinals and historically he is very strong at home. However, if there is a game for him to get tripped up it is this one. He recently struggled at home versus Yankees this month and they got to him good. In another prior home start versus a high quality lineup, Dodgers, he had to work out of a lot of jams and was fortunate to avoid any damage in that one. Now Wainwright faces a strong Braves lineup and I expect some struggles. As for Atlanta starter Odorizzi, he has consistently shown throughout recent seasons that he struggles more in night games than day outings. It is a marked difference and has been consistent for year after year in recent seasons. That said, the St Louis lineup is a solid one particularly when at home and they can do some damage here. Again, regardless of starting pitchers I like the over here. That is in part because the Cardinals are 11-3 last 14 games and have scored an average of 6.4 runs per game during this stretch! As for Atlanta, they are 15-3 last 18 games and have scored an average of 6.4 runs per game during this stretch. Solid production from each of these lineups expected again tonight. 10* OVER 7.5 or 8 in St Louis |
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08-28-22 | Hermannstadt v. Steaua Bucharesti OVER 2.25 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 21 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.25 or 2.5 in FCSB vs Hermannstadt @ 2:30 ET - Both clubs had their games postponed last week so we have some fresh legs on the pitch for this match. FC Steaua Bucharesti and Hermannstadt both have been involved in some higher scoring matches early this season. What I like about the set up here is that FCSB is off a big 3-2 win in their most recent match which was also on their home pitch. They are flowing with confidence right now and ready to go on the attack while Hermannstadt, despite financial difficulties plaguing the club, continue to be a very scrappy underdog no one wants to face. The visitors will again challenge in this match but, of course, FCSB is a big favorite for a reason. Hermannstadt scoring an average of 1.4 goals per match this season but FCSB matches have averaged 2.6 goals apiece and I am looking for a 2-1 type match. There is a reason the odds makers have this one at slightly more than a 2.0 on the total. 10* OVER 2.25 or 2.5 in FCSB |
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08-28-22 | Pirates v. Phillies -1.5 | Top | 5-0 | Loss | -145 | 9 h 46 m | Show |
MLB Sunday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Run Line -1.5 -145 vs Pittsburgh Pirates @ 1:35 ET - Action on pitchers. The Phillies have won 6 straight and have been hot for weeks. The Pirates have lost 7 straight and are having another disappointing season. Pittsburgh is 21-43 on the road and 18-41 versus teams with a winning record. Philadelphia is 43-21 against teams with a losing record this season. All of the above is why this is a play regardless of pitchers. Like the Phillies plenty here. But now I will touch on those pitchers. Contreras expected to get the call for Pirates and he has some solid numbers this season but does get hit harder on the road. In fact, in his last two road starts against NL playoff level teams like the Phillies - he got rocked by both the Braves and Cardinals. Syndergaard expected to start for Phillies and after a rough first start with Phillies he has pitched well in each of his last three starts with his new club. The right-hander has been settling in nicely and Phillies should win huge again here. The Pirates have lost 13 of 15. Also, 14 of Pittsburgh's last 16 defeats have been by at least 2 runs. 10* PHILADELPHIA -1.5 -145 |
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08-28-22 | Giants v. Jets OVER 38 | Top | 27-31 | Win | 100 | 9 h 51 m | Show |
NFLX Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 38 in New York Jets vs New York Giants @ 1 ET - The Jets have been giving up a lot of yardage but so too have the Giants. Also the Giants have shown they'll keep slinging the ball around on the field no matter what the situation is and who is on the field. That said, the Jets are expected to play starters more in this one but all I am seeing from this is points. That's because the Jets defense also struggled in that first game of the season against the Eagles in the first half before they rallied for the win. I just do not care for what I have seen from either defense this preseason including almost the entirety of when the back-ups are in. Also there is still a lot of QB evaluation going on here with back-ups so both teams will continue to throw a lot in this preseason finale. Note that each teams first two games have totaled at least 40 points this preseason. Also, their game last preseason was low-scoring but that was week 1. Note that their week 3 games saw the Jets game total 62 points and the Giants game total 42 points. We'll get into the 40s here based on the way these two teams have been playing in this preseason and what I am expecting to see here based on how the teams are approaching this preseason finale. 10* OVER 38 in New York Jets |
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08-28-22 | Farul Constanta v. CFR Cluj -112 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -112 | 11 h 53 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play CFR Cluj Money Line -112 vs Farul Constanta @ 11:30 AM ET - Great set up here. CFR Cluj was a top team in the league last season but it has been a bit of a choppy start for them this season. Then their match last week got postponed and this was off a 1-0 loss the week before. Undoubtedly the hosts will be ready here on their home pitch and they catch Farul off a hard-fought win in Constanta. Down 1-0 at the half, Farul battled back for the 2-1 win. From a situational standpoint, matches don't get much better than this! CFR Cluj had won 3 of first 4 matches including both at home before the loss two weeks ago. Payback time here. Farul had 3 straight draws before last week's win. They have yet to lose this season but CFR Cluj well aware of that and Farul has just 1 victory last 4 matches. In other words, Farul has not been dominating but they do remain undefeated on the season and the hosts well aware of that. The home club is favored with good reason here. A victory marches them right back up the table and ties them with Farul for points. Lay it! 10* CFR Cluj -112 |
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08-28-22 | Tottenham Hotspur -1 v. Nottingham Forest | Top | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 9 h 51 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play Tottenham Hotspur Goal Line -1 -115 vs Nottingham Forest @ 11:30 AM ET - Nottingham Forest has performed better than expected so far this season in a return to the EPL after a long time away after being relegated many years ago. Now they take a major step up in class as, other than Arsenal, no one has looked as strong as Tottenham early this season. The Hotspur should get it done again here and I love the value here since they are on the road. If they were at home they would be too pricey to back here but, because they are traveling, Tottenham is available at a -115 price on the goal line with having to lay just 1 goal. Yes a push is not the ultimate desire but it is some added insurance in a match I am expecting this rock solid Tottenham club to win by a multi-goal margin. The visitors are so strong on both ends of the pitch and I just do not see them being denied here. 10* TOTTENHAM -1 -115 |
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08-28-22 | West Ham United v. Aston Villa OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -111 | 7 h 5 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Aston Villa vs West Ham United @ 9 AM ET - West Ham seeking first points of the season in the able as they have lost all 3 matches and have yet to score a goal. However, West Ham has scored 3 goals in each of last two matches in the UEFA Europa Conference League Qualifying action including a 3-0 win Thursday. So West Ham brings a little confidence into this match and will score some goals here. Aston Villa has allowed an average of 2 goals per match in league action thus far. The hosts should manage some scoring as well on their home pitch for this one where they have a 2-1 victory already this season. I look for a similar result here with at least 3 goals scored as Villa can also take advantage of a West Ham club that has allowed 1.7 goals per match thus far in league action. 10* OVER 2.5 in Aston Villa |
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08-28-22 | Chindia Targoviste v. Arges OVER 1.75 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 14 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 1.75 or 2 in FC Arges vs Chindia Targoviste @ 6:30 AM ET - Each club is averaging about one goal scored per match and plus FC Arges allowing 1.5 goals per match and Chindia Targoviste allowing 1.8 goals per match. This one sets up well for goals as Chindia Targoviste has played 3 road matches thus far and two of them finished with 5 goals apiece! FC Arges off a 1-0 win last week but that was the first time this season that they had a match finish with less than 2 goals scored. Love the value here with this low total. 10* OVER 1.75 or 2 in FC Arges |
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08-27-22 | Vanderbilt v. Hawaii OVER 54.5 | Top | 63-10 | Win | 100 | 33 h 35 m | Show |
CFB Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 54.5 in Hawaii vs Vanderbilt @ 10:30 PM ET - The Warriors have a new head coach in Timmy Chang and we was a former star QB for Hawaii. They are going back to the run and shoot offense. They most recently ran this in 2018 and 2019. Their point totals were very high most of the time. A lot of offense and no defense. Based on their way their roster looks this season, more of the same expected here especially with running that type of offense. That is the same offense that former coach Rolovich then took to Washington State and they had some high point totals in 2020 and 2021. The point is that the emphasis for Hawaii is going to be on offense and Vanderbilt is coming off a horrible season defensively. However, they have a head coach hell bent on turning the Commodores around and I feel strongly they are coming to Hawaii to turn this thing around. But their emphasis, like Hawaii, will have to be offense. Again, Vandy was dreadful on defense last season and that is not something you turnaround overnight! I do like some of the personnel changes they have made to get their offense going and the Warriors defense has a lot of holes. As a result, high-scoring shootout in Honolulu is quite likely in this one! 10* OVER 54.5 in Hawaii |
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08-27-22 | Reds v. Nationals OVER 8.5 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 30 m | Show |
MLB Saturday 10* OVER 8.5 in Washington @ 7:05 ET - Okay, I know these teams are not very good but neither are the expected starting pitchers here. I am going with action on the pitchers anyway but you are talking about two bad bullpens too and these teams combined for 10 runs in yesterday's game and now we have a total of 8.5 runs with expected starters of Cessa and Espino on the mound? I will take it. Cessa has a 5.67 ERA this season mostly working out of the bullpen but has struggled as a starter just like he did earlier in his career before moving to the bullpen. As for Espino, he is 0-4 with an ERA in the 6.00 range over his 9 starts in July and August. As for the lineups in this one, note that Cincinnati has seen 9 of last 13 games total at least 9 runs. The Reds have averaged scoring 5 runs per game last dozen games. The Nationals did not score well on their recent road trip but their last 8 home games have totaled an average of 10 runs per game. Don't be surprised if this one also gets to double digits in runs scored. 10* OVER 8.5 in Washington |
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08-27-22 | Eagles v. Dolphins OVER 37 | Top | 10-48 | Win | 100 | 12 h 42 m | Show |
NFLX Saturday 10* OVER 37 in Miami @ 7 ET - The Dolphins scored only 13 points in last week's loss but it was a deceiving final point tally as they had over 300 yards of passing offense in that one. As for the Eagles, each of their first two games totaled over 40 points and so too did Miami's first game of this preseason. Philadelphia on a 4-1 O/U run in preseason games under their new head coach and the only one that did not go over did see them allow 35 points. In other words, expect plenty of points here because did score an average of 31 points per game in their last 3 preseason home games prior to the low-scoring loss to the Raiders last week. Again, the Dolphins did have solid yardage in that game through the air and I like what they have been doing in terms of the QB rotation in this preseason and ditto for the Eagles. 10* OVER 37 in Miami |
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08-27-22 | Ottawa +3.5 v. Edmonton Elks | Top | 25-18 | Win | 100 | 11 h 23 m | Show |
CFL Saturday 10* Ottawa +3.5 @ 7 ET - It is the match-up everyone in the CFL has been patiently waiting for all weekend. All kidding aside, this is a match-up of the last place teams from the respective divisions and will have few eyes on it. But, for our purposes, this one is actually a gem. Ottawa got hammered last week at home by the Elks on the scoreboard courtesy of a bad 2nd half. However, the yardage for the game was nearly equal! Now we get line value backing the Redblacks on the road at Edmonton catching a field goal plus the hook. This is a revenge special and the road dog will be dialed in after what happened last week in Ontario. 10* OTTAWA +3.5 |
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08-27-22 | Pirates v. Phillies -1.5 | Top | 0-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
MLB Saturday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Run Line -1.5 -135 vs Pittsburgh Pirates @ 6:05 ET - Action on pitchers. The Phillies have won 5 straight and have been hot for weeks. The Pirates have lost 6 straight and are having another disappointing season. Pittsburgh is 21-42 on the road and 18-40 versus teams with a winning record. Philadelphia is 42-21 against teams with a losing record this season. All of the above is why this is a play regardless of pitchers. Like the Phillies plenty here. But now I will touch on those pitchers. Beede expected to get the call for Pirates and he is 0-2 with a 7.50 ERA in his 4 starts this month. Gibson expected to start for Phillies and he just recently had a strong tough start versus Mets but has pitched well in each of his last three home starts before that. The right-hander has been settling in nicely and Phillies should win huge again here. The Pirates have lost 12 of 14. Also, 13 of Pittsburgh's last 15 defeats have been by at least 2 runs. 10* PHILADELPHIA -1.5 -135 |
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08-27-22 | Rapid Bucuresti v. Sepsi OVER 2 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 5 m | Show |
Two of the better clubs in the Romania Liga 1 square off in this one with Sepsi hosting Rapid. Both clubs are off 1-0 victories last week. I don't see either being denied the scoresheet in this one either and that puts this one at a 1-1 match at the very least. So how likely is a draw? Well, while Sepsi has proven prone to draws early this season, Rapid actually has had no draws in any of their 6 matches. If this trend continues, plus each team hits at least their scoring average of 1 goal per match then this game ends up at least a 2-1 final. The odds favor that is my point. Now, Sepsi certainly has done a good job in league action of keeping the opposition off the board but they allowed 3 goals in each of their two matches in UEFA Europa Conference League Qualifying action this month. That said, Rapid is a strong enough club to take advantage of defensive shortcomings and they have only been delivered a clean sheet once in last 5 matches and scored an average of 1.5 goals per match in the other 4 matches. The last 3 matches have averaged 2.3 goals per match and I am expecting an entertaining affair as both clubs (ranked rather high in the table) are going hard for the full 3 points in the table when the dust settles on this one. Look for a 2-1 type of match here. 10* OVER 2 in Sepsi |
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08-27-22 | Fulham +1.5 v. Arsenal | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 52 m | Show |
10* Fulham Goal Line +1.5 -105 - Tremendous value on the goal line here. Fulham is playing well so far this season with a victory and two draws. One of the two draws was against Liverpool so it was a quality earn of points for Fulham. Arsenal has been red hot to start this season and also was red hot in the summer friendly action leading into this campaign. All of this I do not deny. However, they are over-valued here. Fulham is built well to be the type of club to give them some issues. These clubs played to a 1-1 draw when they last met in April. I would not be surprised to see another draw here and, at worst, perhaps a 1-goal loss. Consider who Arsenal has faced too because Bournemouth is newly promoted and Leicester is still winless on the campaign. The point is that Arsenal, as well as they have been playing, might be a little over-rated right now and I see Fulham giving them all they can handle. In addition to a 3-2 win, the visitors have also played to a scoreless draw and a 2-2 draw. The point is that Fulham has proven they can be competitive in all types of matches. Fulham is newly promoted this season but they are playing very well already and the season (2020-21) before last season Fulham was known for being tough to beat on the road. They only lost 7 of 19 matches away from home. Keep in mind, even a loss here can still be a win for us if it is by just a 1-goal margin. That, to me, is the most likely out come here as I really like the way the visitors have been playing and they are in this one all the way. 10* FULHAM +1.5 -105 |
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08-27-22 | Mioveni v. Petrolul 52 +113 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 39 m | Show |
Petrolul Ploiesti has won 3 straight matches. Each one was by only a 1-0 final but the fact they are not conceding goals is bad news for a CS Mioveni club that has been the worst in Liga 1 this season. CS Mioveni is giving up average of 2 goals per match while having scored a goal in only 2 of their 6 matches this season. This is a classic case of hot versus not and CS Mioveni has more losses than any other club this season while only one club, Rapid, has more victories than the 3 that Petrolul Ploiesti has. Keep in mind those have all come now too with 3 straight victories entering this one for this host. They get it done here too. 10* Petrolul Ploiesti Money Line +113 |
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08-27-22 | Crystal Palace v. Manchester City OVER 3 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 16 m | Show |
10* OVER 3 in Manchester City - The hosts are the highest scoring club in the league long-term and have scored multiple goals in every EPL match their last dozen! That is consistent high-scoring. The problem is they are having some issues in terms of keeping the ball out of their back of their own net recently. That said, the over is the play here because Crystal Palace has some attackers that can take advantage of City's short-comings defensively and the hosts are still a little banged up too. Also, Palace has been known in recent seasons for giving Man City some problems so they will enter this match with extra confidence. Manchester City is off a 3-3 draw last week in EPL and another 3-3 draw in a mid-week friendly too. That said, they will not take their foot off the gas with the lead here and the result should be plenty of goals. Manchester City has scored at least 3 goals in 3 straight matches across all competitions. Crystal Palace has scored at least 2 goals in 5 of last 6 matches across all competitions. 10* OVER 3 in Manchester City |
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08-27-22 | Manchester United v. Southampton OVER 3 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 35 m | Show |
Southampton one of those clubs that can score well particularly on their home pitch and I just do not foresee a clean sheet being delivered in this match. That said, is perfect spot for an upset with Manchester United off their huge upset win over Liverpool after a disappointing 0-2 start to the season. I actually believe rather than falling flat however, Man U could use that winning match over the Reds as a springboard of sorts. Still, Southampton known for being dangerous team to play as they do concede a lot but can be dangerous on the attack as well. That is why, especially given the situation here in this one, feel the story is going to be goals! 10* OVER 3 in Southampton |
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08-26-22 | Saskatchewan v. BC -4 | Top | 23-16 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 53 m | Show |
CFL Friday 10* Top Play BC Lions -4 vs Saskatchewan Roughriders @ 10:30 ET - Yes, the Lions lost QB Nathan Rourke to injury but Michael O'Connor relieved him and went 5 for 5 and he has some CFL experience and had preparation time to now get ready for this start. The Rourke injury is what has the full attention of the marketplace. But the Roughriders are loaded with injuries. Multiple receivers including top guys and also their top running back all out for this game. I feel Saskatchewan is highly over-valued here because they are going to have trouble completing passes downfield without their usual receivers out there. This is a cluster injury situation and even their RB caught 4 targets last week too. The Riders hurting without guys and Lions have been so strong this season and are so tough at home. Feel we have excellent line value with the short home favorite that is a high quality team and back-up QB O'Connor is surrounded by one of the most talented teams in the league. This makes a difference too of course. BC won 28-10 at Saskatchewan last week and I fully understand the loss of Rourke to injury is big but the Lions just far too undervalued here. With a win they are within one win of Winnipeg for the top spot in the division. Look for the Lions to get it. 10* BC -4 |
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08-26-22 | Patriots v. Raiders OVER 37 | Top | 6-23 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 36 m | Show |
NFL Friday 10* Top Play OVER 37 in Las Vegas Raiders vs New England Patriots @ 8:15 ET - Yes it is preseason. Yes you don't see all the starters. Yes you don't see teams wanting to show their playbook on offense very much either. However, one of the keys to how preseason games play out is a team wanting to win it. In this case I think former Patriots OC, Las Vegas head coach Josh McDaniels has extra motivation just like his Patriots adversary has here too. That means later in a preseason game where most teams typically are just trying to run the clock and get the game over with, I feel this one plays out much differently. Whoever is trailing will keep pushing to score. Neither wants to lose this game no matter what they have (or would) otherwise say. There is a little extra motivation here and the result will be more points I am sure. Raiders would love to finish preseason 4-0 by knocking off McDaniels former team. Las Vegas gave up more yardage than you would think though in last week's 15-13 win over Miami. Also, the Patriots allowed only 10 points last week but Carolina sat top two QB's. This one plays out differently than the unders these teams just had! 10* OVER 37 in Las Vegas |
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08-26-22 | Orioles v. Astros OVER 8.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 30 m | Show |
MLB Friday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Houston Astros vs Baltimore Orioles @ 8:10 ET - Action on pitchers. Not many will be looking over here because McCullers in on the mound for Astros. However, I am not looking so much at the pitchers here but we'll start there although this play is action. McCullers is making just his 3rd start this season so he is still trying to round into top form and having some command issues with his pitches. Walking too many has been an issue for him throughout his career and though he is still a strong pitcher he is still a little out of sorts since coming back from injury. As for Bradish, he is 1-5 with a 6.25 ERA and teams hitting .318 against him this season. So now the real key is this Orioles team is playing very motivated baseball, off another win yesterday, in the wild card race, and so the lineup has a ton of confidence at the plate right now. Speaking of confidence, of course the Astros remain a very strong hitting club at home as they continue to be one of the top teams in baseball. Houston has won 11 of 16 games and scored an average of 6 runs per game during this stretch! Baltimore has won 4 of 6 games and scored an average of 6 runs per game. The Orioles will do some damage at the plate here but Astros always tough at home and, as a result, this one flies over the rather low total. 10* OVER 8.5 in Baltimore |
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08-26-22 | Hamilton v. Toronto OVER 48.5 | Top | 20-37 | Win | 100 | 15 h 17 m | Show |
CFL Friday 10* Top Play OVER 48.5 in Toronto Argonauts vs Hamilton Tiger-Cats @ 7:30 ET - This is a bitter rivalry but the defensive intensity sure has not resulted in many stops. Both of these teams have moved the ball well in the first two meetings this season and they scored 54 in the first one and 61 in the 2nd one. I know the weather may not be ideal tonight but I do think it will be decent enough and we get this game into the 50s the way these teams have been able to move the ball against each other. Take advantage of a rather low total here. Keep in mind, Hamilton has scored 26.5 points per game last 4 games and the Argonauts have scored 27 or more points in 4 of last 5 games. 10* OVER 48.5 in Toronto |
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08-26-22 | Pirates v. Phillies -1.5 | Top | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
MLB Friday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Run Line -1.5 -132 vs Pittsburgh Pirates @ 7:05 ET - Action on pitchers. The Phillies have won 4 straight and have been hot for weeks. The Pirates have lost 5 straight and are having another disappointing season. Pittsburgh is 21-41 on the road and 18-39 versus teams with a winning record. Philadelphia is 41-21 against teams with a losing record this season. All of the above is why this is a play regardless of pitchers. Like the Phillies plenty here. But now I will touch on those pitchers. Wilson expected to get the call for Pirates and he is 2-7 with a 5.74 ERA on the season. In the month of August he has allowed 7 homers and is allowing an average of 1 every 3 innings this month! Falter expected to start for Phillies and he just recently had a strong start at Pittsburgh and has pitched well in each of his last two starts including against a tough Mets lineup. The southpaw is settling in nicely and Phillies should win huge again here. The Pirates have lost 11 of 13. Also, 12 of Pittsburgh's last 14 defeats have been by at least 2 runs. 10* PHILADELPHIA -1.5 -132 |
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08-26-22 | Universitatea Cluj v. Voluntari OVER 2 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -112 | 9 h 37 m | Show |
Romania Liga I Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in FC Voluntari vs Universitatea Cluj @ 11:45 AM ET - Voluntari off an over as their game finished 2-1 and they looked sloppy at times in their own end against Farul. As for Universitatea Cluj, they are ready to go here after a 1-0 home loss to Sepsi that had many chances and certainly should have seen more goals. Both clubs on short rest after just playing on Monday and I feel strongly that this will equate to some mistakes in coverage in the defensive zone in this one and we'll see plenty of goals as a result. 10* OVER 2 in FC Voluntari |
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08-25-22 | Calgary +6 v. Winnipeg | Top | 29-31 | Win | 100 | 18 h 10 m | Show |
CFL Thursday 10* Top Play Calgary Stampeders +6 @ Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ 8:30 ET - Winnipeg will suffer unbeaten letdown here. The Blue Bombers are off a bye week which followed a loss in Week 10 in OT versus Montreal. It was Winnipeg's first loss of the season after opening the year 9-0. Now the Bombers will feel the pressure of trying to get right back into the win column and they are facing the wrong team at the wrong time. Calgary is one of the top teams in the league and the Stampeders only have 3 losses on the season. One was by just a single point to another very strong team, BC, a few weeks ago. The other two losses were by just 7 points apiece and both were to this Blue Bombers team. The Stamps actually led Winnipeg heading to the 4th quarter of the most recent game but fell just short. Getting a full 6 points here and I really like the QB battle going on between Maier and Mitchell right now with Calgary. Maier getting the nod here and this will spark the team just like it did in their win last week when the switch was made. The world will back Blue Bombers here thinking they must bounce back off the loss but this Stamps team is extremely good, very focused, solid defensively, force turnovers, solid pass protection, and ready for payback here. Love the value of having the 6 points here should the Stampeders fall short of the upset win. We'll take it. 10* CALGARY +6 |
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08-25-22 | Packers v. Chiefs OVER 36 | Top | 10-17 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 6 m | Show |
NFLX Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 36 in Kansas City Chiefs vs Green Bay Packers @ 8 ET - The odds makers opened this one up near 40 and it immediately plummeted and is now down to a 36 as of game day. Personally I love when the betting markets think they know so much more than the smartest people in the room. Who are those guys? The odds makers! That is not to say you can blindly fade every line move. Of course not, but when the situation is right it opens up a wealth of value. This one blew right past the key numbers of 38 and 37 on NFL totals and I am happy to invest on the over 36 here. Both teams playing a slew of back-ups throughout this one. So you really think you are going to see great defense all night long in a case like this? Of course not. Also, Love has looked strong at QB for the Packers thus far in the pre-season. The Chiefs have Henne getting action here and then a good battle for the #3 spot between Buechele and Crum. How will head coach Andy Reid evaluate this QB situation? It certainly will not be by seeing how good these guys are at handing the ball off! The point is there will quite a bit more offense than many expecting here. Note that Green Bay has already scored at least 20 in each game of this preseason but, prior to last week's solid defensive effort, the Packers allowed an average of 24 points per game last 8 preseason games and NEVER allowed less than 19 in any of those 8 games! Over was 6-2 in those 8 preseason games and that trend resumes here. Chiefs 24-14 win last week was 4th straight home preseason game totaling at least 38 points. Those 4 games averaged 47.5 points scored and I fully expect this one to get into the 40s as well. 10* OVER 36 in Kansas City |
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08-25-22 | White Sox v. Orioles OVER 8.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 7 m | Show |
MLB Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Baltimore Orioles vs Chicago White Sox @ 7:05 ET - Yesterday's game stayed under the total despite the teams combining for 18 hits. The White Sox left 14 men on base. The Orioles went 0 for 5 with runners in scoring position. I like taking the over after games like this and I am going with action on pitchers here as per usual. I will mention that the expected starters are Lynn and Lyles. I know Lynn has been better of late including a solid start at Cleveland in his most recent outing. However, in his 5 road outings before facing the Guardians, Lynn struggled almost always. That is why, even including solid start at Cleveland, he is 0-3 with a 6.39 ERA and a .311 batting average against in his 6 road starts this season. Lyles has allowed 4 earned runs in B2B starts plus he is getting hit at a .326 clip this month and he gave up 4 earned runs in only start versus White Sox this season. Orioles have averaged 6 runs scored per game last 8 home games. Chicago has not been scoring that well but, prior to leaving 14 on base yesterday, they left 13 on base Tuesday! The point is that the White Sox have had their opportunities and I fully expect them to cash in more of those today coming off the confidence boost of a win yesterday. Regardless of starting pitchers here, look for plenty of runs. 10* OVER 8.5 in Baltimore |
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08-24-22 | Blue Jays v. Red Sox OVER 9.5 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 46 m | Show |
MLB Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 9.5 in Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays @ 7:10 ET - Action on pitchers. Red Sox have averaged 5 runs scored per game last 7 games and 4 of last 6 games have totaled double digits in runs. Last 17 home games at Fenway Park have averaged 10 runs per game. Blue Jays had an 8-run 3rd inning yesterday and Toronto has scored an average of 5.3 runs per game last 11 road games. This is why I like the over here regardless of pitchers but I will mention that the expected starter for Toronto is Berrios and Red Sox expected to go with Bello. Note that Berrios has a 6.82 ERA in road games this season and opponents have hit over .300 against him in starts away from home. As for Boston's Bello, he has made 3 starts this season and allowed at least 4 earned runs in each of them despite lasting only 4 innings in each start! Red Sox bullpen not exactly stellar either and will be called upon early in this one most likely. It all sets up for a high-scoring slug-fest at hitter-friendly Fenway Park Wednesday. 10* OVER 9.5 in Boston |
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08-24-22 | Reds v. Phillies -1.5 | Top | 5-7 | Win | 100 | 18 h 41 m | Show |
MLB Wednesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Run Line -1.5 -115 vs Cincinnati Reds @ 7:05 ET - Action on pitchers as this is all about the better overall team and the fact we get line value because they are using an inexperienced hurler here so the line is kept more manageable. So don't care who the starters are but Phillies Sanchez should have success here if called upon. Cincinnati expected to start Zeuch here and he got hammered in his only two starts this season and that includes his most recent against the Phillies. As for Sanchez, he actually has enjoyed some success and proven tough to hit in his two starts this season. The pitching-thin Reds already more thin heading into this game in terms of bullpen arms. Philadelphia the better team and at home and tonight is about the situational and overall team factors and lineup strengths rather than the pitching. The Reds entered this series off B2B wins but had lost 8 of 10 prior to that and sure enough have now lost each of the first two games in this series. Also, those B2B Cincinnati wins came against a struggling Pirates team. The Phillies have won 18 of 26 - including 4 of 5 versus Reds - after yesterday's win though it came by a one-run margin after Monday's victory was by a multi-run margin. Lay it again with the run line here as Reds 28-48 in night games and 10-19 against NL East foes and 57 of 73 losses by multi-run margin this season. Reds horrible on road and against teams with a winning record this season. Phillies 16-9 vs NL Central teams and 38-19 against teams with a losing record. Regardless of starting pitchers (our play here is action), the hosts roll big in this one. 10* PHILADELPHIA -1.5 -115 |
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08-24-22 | Braves v. Pirates OVER 8.5 | Top | 14-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
MLB Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Pittsburgh Pirates vs Atlanta Braves @ 12:35 ET - Action on pitchers. Pirates are off B2B games in which they scored just 1 run. If you look at their season results, Pittsburgh scores quite well when off B2B games in which they were held to 1 run or less. Also, after facing a tough lefty yesterday in Fried, this lefty-laden Pirates lineup should have much more success against Wright. The scheduled starter for the Braves is a righty that has not enjoyed as much success against lefties in his career. Also, though Wright has great numbers this season, he has struggled more in day games where he is getting hit a .290 clip. The scheduled starter for the Pirates is Keller and he is 0-5 with a 4.80 ERA in home starts this season. Opponents are hitting .333 against him this month and he is facing a Braves team that has won 13 of 15 and scored an average of 6 runs per game during this stretch. You can see why, regardless of starting pitching match-up here, I am expecting both teams to score well in this one and sent it over the low total. 10* OVER 8.5 in Pittsburgh |
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08-23-22 | Rangers v. Rockies OVER 11 | Top | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 16 h 27 m | Show |
MLB Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 11 in Colorado Rockies vs Texas Rangers @ 8:40 ET - Action on pitchers. The Rockies last 9 home games have averaged a dozen runs per game. The posted total on this one is currently an 11 and I am confident we'll top that here as Texas has won 7 of last 11 road games and averaged scoring 5 runs per game last 10 on the road and, of course, none of those 10 were here at hitter-friendly Coors. So you can see why I am expecting both teams to get to at least a half-dozen runs here and that puts this game at a 7-6 final at a minimum. Now, about those pitchers - again my play is action - the expected starters are Dunning and Marquez. Note that Rangers Dunning has been great at home but opponents hitting over .300 against him on the road where he is 0-5 with a 5.08 ERA. In other words, he is likely in big trouble at Coors Field. As for Marquez, he has been solid on the road but has been hit at over a .300 clip at home where he is 2-5 with a 5.85 ERA. This one, regardless of pitchers, should get crazy on a warm evening in the most hitter-friendly ballpark in baseball. I trust neither bullpen in this venue either. 10* OVER 11 in Colorado |
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08-23-22 | Diamondbacks v. Royals OVER 8.5 | Top | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 16 h 21 m | Show |
MLB Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Kansas City Royals vs Arizona Diamondbacks @ 8:10 ET - Action on pitchers. Regardless of starting pitchers, I am expecting a lot of runs here. As for Royals hitters, they do tend to hit better at home. The last dozen home games for KC have averaged 10 runs per game and yesterday's reached the double digit mark in a 6-4 win over the White Sox. As for Diamondbacks hitters, they have averaged 4.5 runs scored per game last 20 games. They should get to 5 here given the Royals sub-par overall pitching staff including question marks in the pen. The expected starter for KC here is Heasley and he is 1-7 on the year and has a 6.35 ERA in home games. The expected starter for Arizona is Davies and he is 1-3 in his 10 road starts and has a 4.68 ERA away from home. No matter the pitchers here, this one is going to see plenty of runs as Kauffman Stadium continues to deliver a lot of high-scoring Royals games and I like the way the Diamondbacks have been swinging the bats. 10* OVER 8.5 in Kansas City |
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08-23-22 | Reds v. Phillies -1.5 | Top | 6-7 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 35 m | Show |
MLB Tuesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Run Line -1.5 -100 vs Cincinnati Reds @ 7:05 ET - Action on pitchers as essentially yesterday was a bullpen game for the Reds as I expected even though they were not calling it that. Cincinnati expected to get a lot out of Luis Cessa there but he got hammered in his only start this season and has not pitched that great out of the bullpen this season either. Sure enough he got hammered and lasted just two innings so the pitching-thin Reds already more thin heading into this game in terms of bullpen arms. Philadelphia the better team and at home and tonight is about the situational and overall team factors and lineup strengths rather than the pitching. Will mention that Lodolo is the expected starter for Reds and he is winless with an 8.49 ERA in his 3 road starts this season. Suarez is the expected starter for Phillies and he has allowed a TOTAL of just 4 earned runs over his last 6 starts spanning 35 innings! The Reds entered this series off B2B wins but had lost 8 of 10 prior to that and sure enough got hammered 4-1 yesterday. Also, the B2B wins came against a struggling Pirates team. The Phillies have won 17 of 25 - including 3 of 4 versus Reds - after yesterday's win by a multi-run margin. Lay it again with the run line here. 10* PHILADELPHIA -1.5 -100 |
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08-22-22 | Falcons -145 v. Jets | Top | 16-24 | Loss | -145 | 16 h 0 m | Show |
NFLX Monday 10* Top Play Atlanta Falcons Money Line -145 @ New York Jets @ 8 ET - You might remember I lost with Eagles in Week 1 when they lost to these Jets as the blew an early 14-0 lead and got outscored 24-7 rest of the way. I got some money back yesterday by fading the Eagles with the Browns +2.5 after Philly let me down in Week 1. We are going to get some more money back today by fading the Jets team that burned me in the comeback last week. Note that New York is now at home where they are just 1-1-1 L3 NFLX and scored just 6 points in the lone win and gave up 59 points in the loss and tie! Jets have solid chance they are going with 3rd and 4th stringers here at QB. Conversely, the Falcons are approaching this game a little more aggressively with a heavier dose of 1st and 2nd stringers. No we may not see much of, if any, Mariota at QB but I really like the compete level Ridder showed last week at QB for Atlanta. So many close games happen in NFLX and I really do not want to lay the 2.5 points here but am comfortable with the money line given all of the above. Falcons seem to be showing a hungry compete level to win and will have their higher level guys in for longer than the Jets in this one. Falcons had a rough preseason last year and seem more focused on developing a winning attitude this year. Even in preseason this holds true and the road team gets the victory as Ridder again gets it done (just like last week) with his arm (2 TDs) and legs (10 ypc on 6 rushes) and the ability to squeeze out a win late. 10* ATLANTA -145 |
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08-22-22 | Reds v. Phillies -1.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 53 m | Show |
MLB Monday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Run Line -1.5 -115 vs Cincinnati Reds @ 7:05 ET - Action on pitchers as essentially this is a bullpen game for the Reds even though they are not calling it that. Cincinnati expects to get a lot out of Luis Cessa here but he got hammered in his only start this season and has not pitched that great out of the bullpen this season either. Also, prior to his lone start this season, he had not started a game since 2018. Now he faces an angry Phillies team as they just struggled against the Mets including losing the series finale despite scoring 9 runs in that game. Philadelphia the better team and at home and in a good situation given the loss yesterday. Look for payback here as they take on a lesser team. There is a concern about the weather in Philly this evening but as the night goes on they should get this game in and this is another reason I don't even care if Syndergaard starts or not either. Tonight is about the situational and overall team factors and lineup strengths rather than the pitching. Will mention that Syndergaard has been better in his last couple starts and is starting to show glimpses of being quite strong again as he is rounding into form as a Phillie now. The Reds are off B2B wins but had lost 8 of 10 prior to that and winning streaks of 3 or more games have been very rare for Cincy this season. Also, the B2B wins came against a struggling Pirates team. The Phillies had won 16 of 23 - including 2 of 3 versus Reds - before yesterday's loss. 10* PHILADELPHIA -1.5 -115 |
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08-22-22 | Liverpool v. Manchester United OVER 3 | Top | 1-2 | Push | 0 | 12 h 46 m | Show |
EPL Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5, 2.75 or 3 in Manchester United vs Liverpool @ 3 ET - I feel strongly that Manchester United is going to "come to play" here on their home pitch in this one after a very disappointing start to the season. Keep in mind, the loss to Brighton does not look as bad after seeing Brighton jump out to a 2-0-1 start to the season with Man U being the only club to score on them in 3 matches! Also, Brentford has already scored 8 goals this season though, yes, that was one shocking loss that Manchester United suffered already. Still, Brentford has scored 8 goals already and only Manchester City and Arsenal, with 9 apiece, have scored more. The point is that Man U needs to respond but it may not quite be time to push the panic button here. The trouble here is they face a very strong Liverpool club that is also off to a disappointing start off B2B draws to open the campaign. So the Reds will surely be pushing hard in this one. Each of the last 5 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 4 goals and actually have averaged 5 goals. Love the value with the total in this one! A lot of talented striking ability on the pitch for each of these clubs. 10* OVER the total in Manchester United |
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08-22-22 | White Sox v. Royals OVER 8.5 | Top | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 49 m | Show |
MLB Monday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Kansas City Royals vs Chicago White Sox @ 2:10 ET - Action on pitchers. I like the over here regardless of starting pitchers but will mention the expected starters are Kopech and Lynch. Note that Kopech has a high ERA and much higher BAA in road games compared to at home. Also, he started this season fantastic the first two months but has since gone 3-8 with an ERA in the 4.50 range. As for Lynch, he has a 5.22 ERA in home games and is winless in his 6 day game starts this season. The White Sox, though they have not been scoring great do have some added confidence from winning 6 of last 9 prior to yesterday's rainout. They should be able to hit Lynch as though he has pitched well against them this season he got rocked by them last season. As for Royals hitters, they do tend to hit better at home. The last 11 home games for KC have averaged 10 runs per game. I look for another one to reach double digits here. 10* OVER 8.5 in Kansas City |
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08-22-22 | Voluntari v. Farul Constanta OVER 2 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show |
Romania Liga I Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals -110 in Farul vs FC Voluntari @ 12:30 ET - This the 2nd of B2B home matches for Farul as this one is in Constanta also. Last week they played to a scoreless draw but BOTH they and their opponent EACH had a goal disallowed and each had one clank off the bar. There were other opportunities in a match that easily should have totaled 4 goals. The points is we now get line value here as FC Voluntari is also off a scoreless draw last week in a match that also featured solid scoring opportunities. Voluntari has scored a goal in each of their road matches this season and Farul has surprisingly had two scoreless draws this season but they are averaging 1.7 goals scored in their other 3 matches and this is a great spot for them. But the fact they should have allowed 2 goals last week to Hermannstadt has me not trusting them to shut down Voluntari here and I am expecting a 2-1 type of match here. Both clubs hungry for goals after last week's results. 10* OVER 2 goals -110 in Farul |
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08-22-22 | Sepsi v. Universitatea Cluj OVER 2 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -126 | 8 h 6 m | Show |
Romania Liga I Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals -125 in Universitatea Cluj vs Sepsi @ 10 AM ET - I know that Sepsi is off B2B scoreless draws but each of their first 3 matches this season totaled at least 2 goals and averaged 3.3 goals. Things will open up again here as they now face a Universitatea Cluj club that has allowed 1.6 goals per match on the season. Out of all 16 clubs in the league, only Chindia Targoviste (1.8) and CS Mioveni (2.0) in the goals allowed department thus far on the season. Of the first 5 matches this season for Universitatea Cluj only 1 has failed to reach at least 2 goals scored. Like the value here with the over 2 in this one. A lot of golden chances denied in the recent scoreless draw for Sepsi and, after all the bad bounces and crazy missed opportunities, this one will make up for it with plenty of goals. Note that Universitatea Cluj has allowed at least 1 goal in each of their 5 matches this season but also has scored at least 1 goal in all but on of their 5 matches. Solid odds on an over here. 10* OVER 2 goals -125 in Universitatea Cluj |
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08-21-22 | Giants v. Rockies OVER 11 | Top | 9-8 | Win | 100 | 9 h 51 m | Show |
MLB Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 11 in Colorado Rockies vs San Francisco Giants @ 3:10 ET - Action on pitchers. The Rockies left 8 men on base in yesterday's low-scoring win. The Giants went 1 for 6 with runners in scoring position in the loss. I expect both lineups to be much better in this afternoon game at Coors Field Sunday. Colorado normally hits so well at home and San Francisco had averaged 6 runs per game in first 4 games here at Coors Field this season before yesterday's disappointing effort here. Bounce back time for both lineups here regardless of the pitchers. But I will mention them here as these are the expected starters. Jakob Junis has ERA north of 5.50 in his day starts this season. Up until this season he was in the AL with the Royals and I do believe this is his first ever start at Coors Field and, generally speaking, this is NOT a friendly place for road pitchers on their first visits here. As for Rockies Kyle Freeland, he is getting hit at a .313 clip in home start this season and has a 6.00 ERA at Coors Field. This one, regardless of starters, will get crazy and fly over the total on a warm afternoon in Denver. 10* OVER 11 in Colorado |
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08-21-22 | Mets v. Phillies -115 | Top | 10-9 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 44 m | Show |
MLB Sunday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Money Line -115 vs New York Mets @ 1:35 ET - Action on pitchers. Phillies at home and have won 16 of 23 games. Mets have lost 5 of last 9 road games. No matter the pitchers I like Phillies to build momentum off earning the split of yesterday's double-header. Butto is unproven rookie for Mets with unimpressive minor league stats. Gibson is 6-3 at home this season and has a 2.70 ERA so far this month. 10* PHILADELPHIA -115 |
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08-21-22 | Eagles v. Browns +2.5 | Top | 21-20 | Win | 100 | 9 h 11 m | Show |
NFLX Sunday 10* Top Play Cleveland Browns +2.5 vs Philadelphia Eagles @ 1 ET - The weather is a concern in Cleveland for this one Sunday but hopefully they get this one in even if the start time of the game is delayed. Really like the Browns a lot here as the Eagles recent history of preseason ineptitude continued last week at home when they blew an early 14-0 lead by getting blown out 24-7 the rest of the way. Philly is now just 1-6-1 SU last 8 preseason games. The Browns, on the other hand, are off another preseason win last week and are now 7-1 SU last 8 preseason games. That one loss was by just a single point so, at the current line of +2.5 on this game...Cleveland would be 8-0 ATS last 8 preseason games. Dobbs and Rosen combined for 16 of 20 passing in last week's win for the Browns so the news about QB Watson really does not have any bearing on how a preseason game like this plays out anyway. Also, the Browns defense played well last week with QB pressure (and multiple sacks) plus notching two interceptions. In a potentially ugly-weather game I am happy to back the home dog here. 10* CLEVELAND +2.5 |
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08-21-22 | Manchester City v. Newcastle United OVER 3 | Top | 3-3 | Win | 110 | 9 h 21 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 or 3 in Newcastle United vs Manchester City @ 11:30 AM ET - If you can find over 2.5 or 2.75, even if have to lay a little extra juice, that is the way I would recommend playing this one. Of course the over 3 at plus money is still a nice option as well but there is a chance this match could land on exactly 3 goals and then you push instead of win. I like the fact that the only two clubs in the league that have yet to allow a goal in first two matches are matched up here. In typical contrarian fashion, I am looking for plenty of goals here but, of course, is not without reason. Manchester City is again looking like the top club in the league and is off a 4-0 win last week. Newcastle is off a scoreless draw last week but did win their first match 2-0 and they are known for playing well at home. I look for the hosts to score at least 1 goal here but they are big dogs for a reason here and the visitors will likely prevail. That put this match at a 2-1 final at the very least but 3-1 or 3-2 would also not surprise me in the least. 10* OVER the total in Newcastle United |
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08-21-22 | Brighton & Hove Albion v. West Ham United +140 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 58 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play West Ham United +140 vs Brighton & Hove Albion @ 9 AM ET - West Ham is the only club in the league thus far that has yet to score a goal. Granted we are only two matches into the new season (some clubs played their 3rd match yesterday) but the point is there is some extra value here. That's because people see a West Ham club with no goals and not even a point in the table taking on a Brighton club that has a win and a draw in its first two matches. Some will view West Ham having had a match on Thursday as negative here. However, that win in UEFA Europa Conference League Qualifying action actually helps West Ham United because they won 3-1 and got some goal scoring going. They will now build on that here at home against a Brighton club that won only 12 matches out of 38 last season. West Ham won 9 of their home matches last season and this looks like a great spot for them to go for the kill. Look for them to get revenge for a 3-1 loss to Brighton in the most recent meeting. Yes we must avoid the draw here and there is some risk of a draw but I feel strongly that the hosts are going to earn the full 3 points in the table with this one. 10* WEST HAM UNITED +140 |
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08-20-22 | Giants v. Rockies OVER 11 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 33 m | Show |
MLB Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 11 in Colorado Rockies vs San Francisco Giants @ 8:10 ET - This match-up just missed going over the total yesterday as it stalled at 11 runs. Look for today's to make up for that. Action on pitchers. Regardless of pitchers, and hopefully we keep the rain away in this one, it should be a blowout winner on the over. Will mention the pitchers here briefly. Cobb has been great at home this season but has a 5.94 ERA in his 7 road starts and Coors Field the toughest venue in the league to pitch in. This is the 2nd straight year that his ERA is 3 full runs higher on the road than at home. As for Feltner, he is 2-5 with a 6.95 ERA and opponents hitting nearly .300 against him in his young MLB career. Look for him to get pounded here. The Giants allowing an average of 6 runs per game last 13 road games. The Rockies last 7 home games have averaged a dozen runs per game. This one gets to at least 12 as well. 10* OVER 11 in Colorado |
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08-20-22 | Calgary -130 v. Toronto | Top | 22-19 | Win | 100 | 12 h 7 m | Show |
CFL Saturday 10* Top Play Calgary Stampeders -130 @ Toronto Argonauts @ 7 ET - Toronto is off a loss at Hamilton last week. The Tiger-Cats are their biggest rival. They will get caught looking ahead to their game hosting the Ti-Cats next week. That said, the Argos could be in trouble here against the Stampeders. I know Calgary has first place Winnipeg on deck but the Blue Bombers only have 1 loss on the season and the Stamps have 3 already. Calgary is focused on the task at hand here and is a perfect 3-0 SU this season against teams from the East Division. Overall, we have seen the West dominate the East throughout this season. The West is 17-4 SU this season in games with the East and I look for Calgary to improve their part of that record to 4-0 on the year. I will also recommend the money line here because we are seeing it as low as -130 in some places and that is a great value compared to laying 2.5 points. 10* CALGARY -130 |
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08-20-22 | 49ers v. Vikings OVER 39 | Top | 17-7 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 41 m | Show |
NFLX Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 39 in Minnesota Vikings vs San Francisco 49ers @ 7 ET - The Vikings 6-2 to the over last 8 NFLX games after last week's 26-20 loss to the Raiders. Vikings have allowed 25 points per game last 4 preseason games. On the others side of the ball I do like the fact that Minnesota picked up over 100 yards on the ground last week at Las Vegas plus had two touchdown passes and no turnovers in the game. The Vikes offense should continue to fare well here against a 49ers defense that was bailed out by some turnovers generated last week because, overall, San Francisco did allow a lot of yardage. In terms of offensive production though, the Niners are looking good with 3 different quarterbacks throwing for a TD last week! Off that 28-21 win, note that SF has now averaged 23 ppg last 8 NFLX games. You can see, given all of the above, why I am expecting this game to get well into the 40s. 10* OVER 39 in Minnesota |
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08-20-22 | Red Sox v. Orioles OVER 8.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 53 m | Show |
MLB Friday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox @ 4:05 ET - Action on pitchers but we'll start there with the expected starters. The Red Sox are expected to start Michael Wacha here. I know he is off a great start but it was his first start back after a long layoff and sometimes when guys have an outing like that in first start back they suddenly struggle badly in the second one. They had a lot in the reserve in the first tart back but then have a little less in the reserve for the second start as they are still trying to get back in to their routine on the season. Baltimore expected to start Kyle Bradish here. The right-hander is winless with a 6.52 ERA and a .325 BAA in his 8 home outings. Yesterday's huge 15-10 Baltimore win followed an Orioles make-up game against the Cubs was squeezed into the schedule and was a tough scheduling spot for the Orioles and they did lose 3-2 at home. However, prior to that the O's won 8 of last 11 home games and each of last 4 games as a host had totaled at least 9 runs and I feel certain this one will too. The Red Sox last 8 road games have averaged 12.8 runs per game and only 1 of the 8 have totaled less than 9 runs and even that one got to 8. Day after day Boston seems to be involved in rather high-scoring games when on the road in recent weeks and I look for that trend to continue here. 10* OVER 8.5 in Baltimore |
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08-20-22 | Hamilton v. Montreal -125 | Top | 28-29 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
CFL Saturday 10* Top Play Montreal Alouettes -125 vs Hamilton Tiger-Cats @ 4 ET - This one is all about the big situational edges here. Montreal catches Hamilton off huge rivalry win over Argonauts and with another big game against them at Toronto on deck. That is a major rivalry. Arguably the biggest in the CFL. That said, this is a great spot for the Alouettes to pick up a home win. The Tiger-Cats are 0-4 SU on the road this season and the money line is available in the -125 range on this game so I will lay it rather than risk laying any points here. 10* MONTREAL -125 |
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08-20-22 | UTA Arad v. Rapid Bucuresti -111 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 58 m | Show |
Romania Liga I Saturday 10* Top Play Rapid Bucuresti -111 vs UTA Arad @ 2:30 ET - Great situational spot. Rapid is off a 1-0 loss last week which was their first since a 1-0 loss to CFR Cluj in Week 1. In between, Rapid Bucuresti rattled off 3 straight wins by a combined score of 5 to 1. I love the situational edge here with Rapid off a loss and UTA Arad off a win. Even though Arad won last week, they had won just once in 4 prior weeks and the 2 defeats in this stretch were by a combined score of 5-0. Arad has yet to win back to back matches this season and I do not see that changing on the road at Bucuresti either. Rapid has not lost back to back matches this season so this is a very solid double perfect YTD situation here. Rapid Bucuresti won the most recent meeting 2-0 and I expect another solid victory here given the situation. 10* RAPID BUCURESTI -111 |