Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-07-23 | Hurricanes v. Flames OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 52 m | Show |
NHL 10* Carolina / Calgary OVER 6.5 - Flames using a young goalie again in Wolf here and he has struggled in his action so far this season at the NHL level ... though Wolf has been solid at the AHL level, the fact he is struggling so far in the NHL means it could really be tough sledding for him tonight ... the Hurricanes are angry off a loss and will be firing plenty of shots on goal ... the issue for the Canes this season is they continue to give up too many goals ... Carolina has allowed an average of 3.5 goals per game in their last 8 ... the Flames are now without top goalie Markstrom due to broken finger and Calgary has allowed 4 goals per game in their last 3 ... strong odds each team gets to 3 goals in this one and that would guarantee us of nothing less than a 4-3 final here |
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12-07-23 | Pelicans +2.5 v. Lakers | Top | 89-133 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 10 m | Show |
NBA Thursday 10* Top Play New Orleans Pelicans (+) vs Los Angeles Lakers in Las Vegas, NV @ 9 ET - The Lakers are such a popular team they tend to get some extra attention in the betting markets and that can put lines out of whack a bit. Lets not forget that this is a neutral site game and they are 4-7 SU away from home this season. Davis should play here but is managing some injuries. James is questionable but I am sure he will play but the point is that neither are likely to be 100% here. Couple that with the fact that the Pelicans have won 8 of 12 games plus they are the healthier team entering this match-up and they have revenge from losing 3 of 4 with LeBron and the Lakers last season. This line is now up to a 2.5 and I like the value with the underdog in this one given all of the above. 10* NEW ORLEANS (+) |
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12-07-23 | Patriots v. Steelers OVER 29.5 | Top | 21-18 | Win | 100 | 8 h 11 m | Show |
NFL Thursday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Pittsburgh Steelers vs New England Patriots @ 8:15 ET - As of about 8 hours before kickoff the dominant number on this total is 30 but there is even some 29.5 starting to show up. I totally understand the low number but am happy to go against it here. Don't be surprised if Trubisky has a big game for Pittsburgh here and if New England surprises pleasantly whether it is Zappe or Jones under center. Note that the Steelers are not nearly good defensively as their points allowed would lead you to believe. Statistically, Pittsburgh ranks poorly against both the run and the pass! New England ranks only in the middle of the pack statistically against the pass. So, even though the Patriots have some low points allowed numbers o late, don't be surprised if things come unraveled here. The Steelers had scored an average of 19 ppg in their last 5 home games prior to struggling versus the Cardinals last week. Also, 6 of their 7 home games have totaled at least 30 points this season. The Patriots, before a 10-7 loss to the Giants in New York, had seen 4 of their last 5 true road games (non-neutral site) had seen each of their last 3 road games total at least 38 points. The point is that recent point totals have caused an over-reaction in the marketplace. This has created on value on the over here. Also, the weather in Pittsburgh will be perfect football weather. Chilly but little wind and no precipitation expected. Also, the overall trending of night games under the total this season is starting to show signs of a reversal. Last week all 3 primetime games went over the total. Getting this one into the 30s is not too much to ask. Each team has quarterbacks and offenses hungry to prove they can get going again. No this will NOT be a shootout but we don't need a shootout to get into the 30s in this one! Look for each offense to enjoy moderate success here and that gets the job done in this one. 10* OVER the total in Pittsburgh |
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12-07-23 | Iowa v. Iowa State OVER 153 | Top | 65-90 | Win | 100 | 6 h 18 m | Show |
CBB Thursday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Iowa State Cyclones vs Iowa Hawkeyes @ 7:30 ET - This is a rivalry game and a revenge match-up for Iowa State as they got hammered at Iowa last season due to poor shooting while the Hawkeyes shot lights out in that one. Look for a strong push from the Cyclones here as they look to get payback for that one. This should lead to a very high-scoring game as Iowa is scoring very well this season but also giving up huge points. Iowa has allowed 80 ppg last 6 games but also is scoring an average of 88 ppg on the year! Iowa State is scoring 83 ppg this season. I realize the Cyclones have a solid number in terms of points allowed but as their schedule has toughened up, they have now allowed 78 ppg last 3 games. This one should fly over the total and I like the drop here as it gone from nearly 160 to the low 150s as of about 6 hours before tipoff! 10* OVER the total in Iowa State |
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12-07-23 | Maple Leafs -122 v. Senators | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 4 h 18 m | Show |
NHL 10* Toronto -125 - the Maple Leafs have revenge against the Senators plus they catch Ottawa off a big upset win ... it is the perfect set up for Toronto to get payback here on the road ... prior to, earlier this season, losing to the Senators (in Toronto no less) the Maple Leafs had dominated this series recently and I look for payback here as Toronto bounces back off a tough loss to Boston in most recent game ... the Leafs also have the rest edge here |
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12-07-23 | Sharks v. Red Wings OVER 6.5 | Top | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 4 h 9 m | Show |
NHL 10* SJ / Detroit OVER 6.5 - the Sharks have been playing much better of late ... the Red Wings could get a boost with Patrick Kane making his debut in Detroit tonight ... San Jose has had 3 straight games total at least 9 goals ... the Red Wings have scored at least 4 goals in 8 of last 10 games ... considering the Sharks are finally playing more competitively, both goalies in this match-up struggling of late, and the fact San Jose will have to score well to keep up with a rejuvenated Detroit team here, I just can not see this one finishing with less than 7 goals |
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12-07-23 | West Ham United v. Tottenham Hotspur OVER 3 | Top | 2-1 | Push | 0 | 6 h 1 m | Show |
Rotation #200117: English Premier League: Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 3 in Tottenham vs West Ham United @ 3:15 ET - Tottenham is entering this one off the 3-3 thrilling draw with Manchester City and the goals should be flying again here. The Hotspur have seen each of last 5 matches total at least 3 goals and these matches have averaged 4 goals apiece. Tottenham has averaged scoring 2 goals in last 5 meetings with West Ham and has scored at least 2 in each of last 4 meetings on their home pitch. West Ham is off a 1-1 draw in EPL action but 5 of their last 6 EPL matches before that all totaled at least 3 goals and actually averaged 4.4 goals apiece. Tottenham matches overall are averaging 3.5 goals apiece this season and West Ham matches averaging 4 goals apiece in their away matches this season. 10* OVER 3 in Tottenham |
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12-07-23 | Newcastle United v. Everton UNDER 2.5 | Top | 0-3 | Loss | -108 | 5 h 23 m | Show |
Rotation #200114: English Premier League: Thursday 10* Top Play UNDER 2.5 in Everton vs Newcastle United @ 2:30 ET - Both clubs dealing with injury issues and with Everton having a big match with Chelsea on deck for Sunday they might wait a little longer to bring Calvert-Lewin back. That means this one sets up to be a low-scoring grinder. Everton has scored only 5 goals in 7 matches on their home pitch this season. They are solid defensively but will struggle to score here. Newcastle has allowed an average of only 1 goal per match on the season. Everton has scored a total of only 3 goals in the last 5 meetings between these clubs but Everton also has allowed an average of only 1 goal in last 8 matches overall heading into this one. Newcastle had a recent 4-1 victory over Chelsea which is what stands out in recent results but note they only have scored a TOTAL of 3 goals in their other 5 recent matches. That means this is a great value spot which I see finishing 1-1 at best or 2-0 type final here. 10* UNDER 2.5 in Everton |
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12-06-23 | Golden Knights v. Blues OVER 6 | Top | 6-3 | Win | 109 | 12 h 30 m | Show |
NHL Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 6 +110 in St Louis Blues vs Vegas Golden Knights @ 9:07 ET - These teams just met and played to a tight low-scoring battle which the Blues won in OT even though the Golden Knights outshot them. Now you know that Vegas is out for revenge and will be relentless on the attack here. However, St Louis will score well on home ice and I am looking for this game to play out much differently than their game Monday. So often this happens in a rematch when teams meet B2B like this. Plus the Golden Knights are currently without their top goalie. The Blues last 9 home games averaged 7 goals and only 3 failed to reach the 6 goal mark! The Golden Knights have scored an average of 3 goals per game in their last 7 away from home. Vegas goalie Thompson has allowed about 3 goals per game in his last 7 road starts. Hill (injured now) is definitely the better #1 option for the Knights. You can see, given all of the above, why I am expecting this one to get to at least 7 goals as I expect each team to score 3 goals in this one and that would mean nothing less than a 4-3 final. 10* OVER 6 +110 in St Louis |
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12-06-23 | San Francisco v. Vanderbilt OVER 138 | Top | 73-60 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 2 m | Show |
Rotation #709: CBB Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Vanderbilt Commodores vs San Francisco Dons @ 8 ET - This total has dropped a little from its opener and is in the 138 range as of early gameday morning. Vanderbilt is off a 78-59 win but against a much weaker foe and, keep in mind, this followed 6 straight Commodores games topping more than 140 points! San Francisco is off a 72-61 loss but this followed averaging 80 ppg in their first 7 games. Even if you eliminate that first huge win of the season when the faced a completely overmatched foe, the Dons had scored at least 70 points in 4 of last 5 games prior to the low-scoring loss at Arizona State. Based on all of the above and what we have seen from these teams so far this season, I just can not see this one ending with anything less than 70 points for each team! The Dons have shot well overall this season and I know the Commodores will get their shooting percentages back up soon and they can build off scoring 78 points in their most recent game even though it was against a weaker foe. Take advantage of the line value here as neither club is particularly strong on defense either. 10* OVER the total in Vanderbilt |
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12-06-23 | 76ers -9.5 v. Wizards | Top | 131-126 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 15 m | Show |
NBA Wednesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers (-) @ Washington Wizards @ 7:10 ET - Normally I do not like to lay 9.5 or 10+ points in NBA games but this Sixers team is finally going to have everyone back and healthy on the floor for this one and they are off B2B losses and they are facing a 3-16 team. Not only that, this 3-16 Wizards team might be without Shamet and Poole. The latter is of particular importance but even Shamet gets some decent minutes. Poole is one of the top scorers. If either or both guys play they are unlikely to be 100% for this one. The Wizards have lost 11 of 12 games. The Sixers are strong when off B2B losses and are 9-2 SU the last 11 times they have entered a game on a losing streak of 2 or more games. This team just not have long losing streaks and they are a much better and more cohesive club this season than last season. Of course a SU win is not the only key here as we also have a big spread to cover. The key with that is the Sixers have had 4 of last 5 wins come by 10+ points and the Wizards most recent loss was by 5 points. However, Washington has lost 6 straight road games and 5 of the 6 have been by more than a dozen points! 10* PHILADELPHIA (-) |
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12-06-23 | Chelsea v. Manchester United OVER 2.75 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 50 | 12 h 48 m | Show |
Rotation #200105: English Premier League: Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 or 3 in Manchester United vs Chelsea @ 3:15 ET - Manchester United will bounce back here off the 1-0 loss to Newcastle United. Prior to that defeat, Man U had scored 3 goals in 3 of last 4 matches. They appeared to be turning the corner in that department and I am sure they will respond off the shutout loss here. Facing Chelsea will help in that regard. Man U won the last meeting with Chelsea 4-1. I am not saying that happens here but I do know that Chelsea has been scoring more goals of late as well and playing a more wide-open style. Chelsea has had 4 straight matches and 6 of last 7 in EPL action total at least 4 goals! Look for that streak to continue here as 5 in a row involving Chelsea total 4 or more goals! 10* OVER 2.5 or 3 in Manchester United |
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12-06-23 | Manchester City v. Aston Villa OVER 3 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 24 m | Show |
Rotation #200109: English Premier League: Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 or 3 in Aston Villa vs Manchester City @ 3:15 ET - These are the two highest scoring clubs in the league so far and each is also allowing 1 goal per match on the season. Now, with a match-up of two attacking threats, I can not see this match ending without at least getting to the 3-goal mark though I am expecting much more. We get line value because City has some injury/suspension issues. That is keeping this total lower than it would otherwise be and Manchester City still has a ton of attacking options even missing a couple players for this one. 4 of the last 5 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 3 goals. Also, Aston Villa has both scored and conceded in 5 straight matches and 9 of last 10 matches. 8 of those last 9 matches across all competitions have totaled at least 3 goals. 10 of last 12 Manchester City matches have totaled at least 3 goals. That is across all competitions and, also 3 of those last 4 have totaled at least 5 goals! City has both scored and conceded in 4 straight matches. These clubs have combined for just 5 draws in 28 EPL matches so the odds of this one getting to at least 2-1 (again, strong odds both score) are very strong. Look for much more than just 3 but this is a solid number to have on this match as well. 10* OVER 2.5 or 3 in Aston Villa |
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12-05-23 | Sharks v. Islanders OVER 5.5 | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 40 m | Show |
NHL Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 5.5 in New York Islanders vs San Jose Sharks @ 7:37 ET - I feel strongly that this total currently at 5.5 in the markets has a lot more to do with long-term history than it does with the current trending of both teams. The Sharks have been playing much better and scoring more goals and their confidence level is up. With a higher confidence level comes stronger odds on success in the offensive zone. The trouble for San Jose has been allowing too many goals at times and that included the 6-5 loss that was their most recent game. Surprisingly, the Islanders also have fallen into the category of high-scoring games as well. New York has seen 7 of last 9 games total at least 7 goals and, keep in mind, we only need 6 to be a winner here! This is a non-conference match-up and the Isles are off a big win over the Panthers plus have a divisional game on deck. The Sharks are 3-2 last 5 games and, other than a shutout loss mixed in there, scored an average of 4 goals per game in the other 4 games. That said, don't forget they are allowing 4 goals per game this season too! Take advantage of the low total here in a game that could (should!) see each team get to at least 3 goals scored. 10* OVER 5.5 in New York Islanders |
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12-05-23 | Knicks v. Bucks -4.5 | Top | 122-146 | Win | 100 | 13 h 54 m | Show |
NBA Tuesday 10* Top Play Milwaukee Bucks (-) vs New York Knicks @ 7:30 ET - The Bucks line is down to 4.5 in this one. After the line move especially there is value on Milwaukee in this one. The Bucks are 9-1 at home this season. 8 of their last 9 wins have been by 6 or more points. Of the Knicks last 6 losses, 5 have been by 5 or more points. Home court is a key factor here as the Bucks are 41-10 since the start of last season. The Knicks are solid on the road but certainly not at 80%+ like Milwaukee is at home. The Bucks have won 7 in a row over New York in their regular season meetings and I am grabbing the extra value here after the line move. The Bucks are without Connaughton and they are certainly better with him on the floor but are these teams really equal on a neutral floor (which is what this line is practically saying) when Bucks don't have him? I say no and I know the hosts want this tourney game and will have a strong crowd behind them. 10* MILWAUKEE (-) |
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12-05-23 | Villanova v. Kansas State OVER 142.5 | Top | 71-72 | Win | 100 | 5 h 27 m | Show |
Rotation #613: CBB Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Kansas State Wildcats vs Villanova Wildcats @ 7 ET - Villanova has too many good shooters to continue struggling from outside. Their outside shots, particularly threes, will start to fall with much more regularity. Don't be surprised if that starts here as Kansas State, not including OT points, has allowed 70 ppg this season. Here they face a very talented Nova team that has underachieved so far. In other words, Kansas State very likely to give up more than their season average in this one. Villanova had been scoring decently this season before that ugly low-scoring loss to Drexel. Villanova's block and steal numbers are not good this season and this shows the level of defensive play has dropped. Kansas State has not been great on the defensive end either but, not including OT points, is averaging scoring in the upper 70s this season. I am looking for both clubs, per the above, to get into the 70s here and that means excellent value with this one in the 142.5 range as about 5 and 1/2 hours before tipoff. 10* OVER the total in Kansas State |
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12-05-23 | Arsenal v. Luton Town OVER 2.75 | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 5 m | Show |
Rotation #200085: English Premier League: Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 or 3 in Luton Town vs Arsenal @ 3:15 ET - Luton Town has defensive injury concerns here and Arsenal is well aware of course and will be on the attack. The visitors are heavy favorites here with good reason. Arsenal has some concerns at the backline as well and they could be susceptible to fatigue as this is 3rd match in a span of a week due to also playing in the Champions League Group Stage. Luton Town will put up a fight and should get on the board at home but Arsenal wins this one and whether it is 2-1 or 3-1, either type of result will suit our purposes here. Arsenal has won 5 straight matches and averaged scoring 3 goals apiece. Luton Town is averaging 1 goal scored per match at home this season but the cluster of injuries in defense make this difficult spot. 10* OVER 2.5 or 3 in Luton Town |
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12-05-23 | Burnley v. Wolverhampton Wanderers OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 36 m | Show |
Rotation #200081: English Premier League: Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +100 in Wolverhampton vs Burnley @ 2:30 ET - Burnley has scored 8 goals in the last 5 meetings between these clubs and I am not worried about Wolverhampton scoring here! The Wolves will take advantage of hosting a club that is allowing 2.3 goals per match this season. Wolverhampton has had defensive challenges of their own though as well as they are allowing an average of 2 goals per match as a host this season. Burnley has some confidence coming off a 5-0 win last week but this is still a club that entered that one having allowed an average of 2.5 goals per match last 4 matches. Amazingly, Wolverhampton has both scored and conceded in 12 straight matches and 11 of those were in EPL action! 11 of their last 13 matches across all competitions have totaled at least 3 goals and that includes 6 in row. Look for that run to make it 7 straight! 10* OVER 2.5 +100 in Wolverhampton |
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12-04-23 | Cal Poly v. Oregon State OVER 132 | Top | 63-70 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show |
CBB Monday 10* Top Play OVER 132 in Oregon State Beavers vs Cal Poly Mustangs @ 10 ET - This total dropped from mid-130s and is offering excellent line value. Cal Poly average games are in the 145 range so far and Oregon State games are in the low 140s so far this season. Look for this one to get past the low 130s as the Beavers are off a 71-59 win but this was preceded by allowing an average of 83 ppg last 3 games! The Mustangs have allowed 67 points or more last 4 games and that trend certainly will continue here as they face a Pac-12 foe in this one. They are a 14 point dog for a reason. Of course, if Cal Poly just gets to 60 and odds makers are right about this line, it gets to the mid-130s. I like our chances! The Mustangs averaging nearly 70 per game this season. 10* OVER 132 in Oregon State |
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12-04-23 | Capitals +111 v. Coyotes | Top | 0-6 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 17 m | Show |
NHL Monday 10* Top Play Washington Capitals +110 @ Arizona Coyotes @ 9:05 ET - The Capitals are off a loss but they are 4-1 the last 5 times they are off a defeat. The Caps had won 7 of 9 before that loss and keep it mind it was the defending champion Vegas they lost to. Now they take on Arizona and they are scrappy team but they certainly are no Vegas. The Coyotes have suddenly won 4 straight games and Ingram has played well between the pipes but he had struggled in recent home ice outings before suddenly catching fire. I just can not see the run continuing here against a fired up Caps team off a loss. Statistically note that Washington has been just as strong on the road as they have been at home. So there is line value with the Capitals at an underdog price in this one. 10* WASHINGTON +110 |
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12-04-23 | Bengals +10 v. Jaguars | Top | 34-31 | Win | 100 | 11 h 42 m | Show |
NFL Monday 10* Top Play Cincinnati Bengals (+) @ Jacksonville Jaguars @ 8:15 ET - This line is currently in the 10 range with even some 10.5 out there as of early game day morning. First off a couple of perfect systems here in this situation involving the Bengals. Cincinnati beat Jacksonville the last time these teams met and it was recent enough that it matters. This one in 2021 and that makes this a revenge game for the Jaguars. That puts the Bengals into a nice system angle here as they have covered 10 times in a row when they are a road dog and the team they are facing is playing with revenge. Also, Cincinnati has covered 8 times in a row when they are in non-divisional action against an AFC foe that is on a SU winning streak of at least 2 games. Now, to the meat and potatoes of this spot, I think the Bengals were still dealing with shock last week as they lost their star QB for the season in the prior game. As a result, they got crushed by the Steelers as it was about more than just Joe Burrow being gone for the season, the overall team morale was just crushed and they could never get it going in that game. Keep in mind, these are still professionals and after an effort at Pittsburgh in which they were outstatted by a big margin, they will bounce back here. The Bengals come to play in this one on primetime TV and I love having big dogs that will give big effort in the NFL. Browning is now expected to have Higgins back at WR for this one after he missed 8 games and having him along with Chase makes the offense a little more dangerous. I liked Browning in College and feel he will be stronger now after getting that first start under his belt. The Jags are having a strong season but in 11 games so far they have only 3 wins by more than 10 points on the season. I think this is a on-score game and we have excellent line value. 10* CINCINNATI (+) |
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12-04-23 | Dinamo Bucuresti v. Sepsi OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 45 m | Show |
Rotation #206905: Romania Liga 1: Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2 -150 in Sepsi vs Dinamo Bucuresti @ 1 ET - 3 of the last 4 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 3 goals and those 3 meetings actually averaged 4 goals apiece. Sepsi is a bit of an "all or nothing" club as sometimes they get involved in 1-0 matches or scoreless draws but other times the goals are flying. This should be one of the latter versions as you know they are hungry to take advantage of facing a foe that is near the very bottom of the table. Though Dinamo has struggled, they truly have often looked much better than their record shows and they have had some undeserved results. This is a nice set up for goals with two clubs hungry to get into the win column and both approaching this as a winnable game in which being on the attack is of paramount importance. I expect Dinamo to get on the board here but also note that they are allowing 2 goals per match when on the road this season. 10* OVER 2 -150 in Sepsi |
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12-04-23 | Sivasspor v. Fenerbahce OVER 3.25 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 104 | 5 h 1 m | Show |
Rotation #207877: Turkish Super Liga: Monday 10* Top Play OVER 3 -135 in Fenerbahce in Sivasspor @ Noon ET - Here you have one of the league's best road clubs battling it out away from home and I like overs in a spot like this as they face a host coming off of an ugly 6-1 loss in Europa Conference League action. Returning to league action should bring out the best in Fenerbahce. As for Sivasspor, they were 3-1-1 in road battles in league action prior to a loss in last match away from home. They will bounce back after that shutout defeat but, at the same time, Fenerbahce is a heavy favorite for a reason. Sivasspor is off a home match that was a draw featuring 6 goals and now they are hungry to resume their road winning ways. Fenerbahce is off that 6-1 loss outside of league action but they have scored 3 goals per match last 8 matches in league action and of course they are favored by about 2 goals on the goal line here for good reason. Look for at least a 3-1 final here and take advantage of the fact we have 3 goals in the marketplace on this one. 10* OVER 3 -135 in Sivasspor |
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12-03-23 | Chiefs v. Packers OVER 43 | Top | 19-27 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
Sunday NFL 10* Top Play OVER the total in Green Bay Packers vs Kansas City Chiefs @ 8:20 ET - There is snow in the area today but it will be mostly gone by kickoff here. Winds will have also died down by kickoff. It will be cold but nothing brutal. The point is I do not expect either offense to be impacted here. We all know the Chiefs can move the ball well but the big key here too is that the Packers offense has been stronger of late too. Green Bay did tally 377 yards last week and they have scored an average of 24 points per game last 3 games. The Packers have allowed at least 20 points in 3 of last 4 games at home and now face the defending champs. Kansas City only scored 17 points in that recent loss with Philly but they should have had a lot more scoring in that one. They dropped too many passes. The Chiefs then scored 31 last week at Vegas and, other than a fluke 9 point performance at Denver, they have scored 24.7 ppg in their other 10 games. There has been a big under trend on primetime NFL this season and this has forced the numbers down further than they should be. Keep in mind, both teams off divisional wins plus the Chiefs have a big game with the Bills on deck. The defenses are unlikely to be at their best in this kind of scheduling situation and I love the fact this total is in the low 40s. 10* OVER the total in Green Bay |
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12-03-23 | Blue Jackets v. Bruins OVER 6 | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 44 m | Show |
NHL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 6 in Boston Bruins vs Columbus Blue Jackets @ 7:07 ET - This is a revenge game for Boston but they just beat Toronto in OT by a 4-3 count last night. That was a big win of course and I think the Bruins will be giving up some goals here off of such a big divisional win like that. The thing is the Blue Jackets have been scoring better of late but you know Boston is hungry to get some payback after losing 5-2 on the road at Columbus just last week. Note that the Bruins last 9 games have seen 7 of them total at least 7 goals. These are not the low-scoring defensive-minded Bruins of recent seasons. That said, there is a lot of value here getting this total at 6 goals. The Blue Jackets are off B2B 4-2 games and this followed 9 of last 12 games totaling at least 7 goals. Great line value here. The Jackets have scored 11 goals last 3 games and confidence is growing with wins in 4 of 6 games. Catching the Bruins over the big win over the Leafs means great spot for the Jackets to catch Boston a little lax (or tired) on defense but the Bruins are a big favorite for a reason and will battle back and the result is plenty of scoring here. 10* OVER 6 in Boston |
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12-03-23 | Minnesota v. Ohio State OVER 140.5 | Top | 74-84 | Win | 100 | 5 h 29 m | Show |
Rotation #847: CBB Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 140.5 in Ohio State Buckeyes vs Minnesota Golden Gophers @ 6:30 ET - This total has come down some from its opener and I am grabbing the value on the other side of the line move. The Buckeyes are 6-1 this season and the Golden Gophers are 5-2 this season and neither team has been involved in any OT games. Now look at their point totals and note that they each have averaged in the 145 point range. Now consider that Minny has won 2 of 3 and scored at least 86 points in each win and the Buckeyes last 3 wins in their 5 game winning streak have seen them total at least 86 points in each game. Granted this is a Big Ten opener for each team and defensive intensity might pick up some but both teams are playing well in the offensive end and playing with a lot of confidence. The point is that we have some healthy wiggle room with this total when you consider that each team is averaging 80 ppg this season. Don't be surprised if each team gets into the 70s here. 10* OVER 140.5 in Ohio State |
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12-03-23 | Browns v. Rams -4 | Top | 19-36 | Win | 100 | 6 h 9 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Los Angeles Rams (-) vs Cleveland Browns @ 4:25 ET - The dominant number on this one is a 4 as of about 6 hours before kickoff. The Browns have struggled to score points in their past two games and now they have to go with Joe Flacco at QB in this one. He is a veteran but is entering this game off the practice squad and has not seen live action in a long time. I expect Cleveland's offense to continue to struggle here and they are facing a Rams team that has been much better since their bye week. The confidence of B2B wins for this LA team was much needed and, though the Rams are not spectacular in any one facet, they have solid overall teams stats in terms of the run and the pass numbers on offense and defense. The Browns are very weak on the passing attack and that will be the difference in this one! Don't be surprised if Flacco struggles in his first action in a long time in this one and this is a new team for him as well. The Rams barely snuck by the Seahawks and also just beat a Cardinals team that is having a tough season but the confidence and the locker room atmosphere that is now present in LA is getting contagious. These guys believe they can make a run at the post-season yet and I am expecting another strong effort here to result in the home win and cover in this one! 10* LOS ANGELES RAMS (-) |
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12-03-23 | Otelul v. Steaua Bucharesti OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -101 | 9 h 45 m | Show |
Rotation #206917: Romania Liga 1: Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +100 in FCSB vs Otelul Galati @ 2 ET - The last meeting totaled only 2 goals as FCSB prevailed on the road at Galati by a count of 2-0. However, Otelul Galati has seen their last two matches each total at least 4 goals and these two matches have averaged 5 goals apiece. Otelul Galati has scored at least 1 goal in 4 straight matches but, of course, FCSB is a big favorite here with good reason. Look for at least a 2-1 final here. FCSB is off a 1-0 win but each of their 3 prior matches totaled at least 3 goals. In fact, before that win over Dinamo, 9 of last 12 matches had totaled at least 3 goals. 10* OVER 2.5 +100 in FCSB |
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12-03-23 | Cardinals +6.5 v. Steelers | Top | 24-10 | Win | 100 | 4 h 25 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play Arizona Cardinals (+) @ Pittsburgh Steelers @ 1 ET - This line is a solid 6.5 as of 5 hours before kickoff and this is unchartered territory for the Steelers this season. Look for that to be the difference in this one. Every line in Steelers games this season has been in the 4 range or less (whether dog or fave) and this is a rare bigger favorite situation for Pittsburgh. Yes they put up some big yardage (finally!) last week but this team has been outgained in almost every single game this season and is one of the most fortunate 7-4 NFL teams the league has ever seen at this later stage in the season. This is the perfect spot for a letdown. The Cardinals have a bye on deck. The Steelers are facing a non-conference opponent that has one of the worst records in the league. This game and this line is Trap City for the Steel City! Don't let the line fool you. I was hoping for +7 but there is a reason this line is holding at 6.5 across the board. The ugly dog Cards are the play. The Bengals are really a mess because the entire team morale plummeted after the Joe Burrow injury. The reason I am talking about Cincinnati here is because that is the team the Steelers just piled up all those yards against last week. The Bengals have issues now with Burrow out for the season. The defense of the Cards, though not great, is going to at least bring an effort here. These guys not happy at all about their record and will be going all out for an upset road win before their bye week. 10* ARIZONA +6.5 |
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12-03-23 | Tottenham Hotspur v. Manchester City OVER 3.5 | Top | 3-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 33 m | Show |
Rotation #200077: English Premier League: Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 3.5 in Manchester City vs Tottenham @ 11:30 ET - The last 4 meetings here in league matches have averaged 4.5 goals apiece. City is also angry off B2B draws in league action including one on their home pitch! Manchester City needs to respond and they will here. Tottenham also has lost 3 straight matches and allowed 2.7 goals per match last 3 matches. Manchester City is averaging 3 goals scored per match at home and Tottenham averaging 2 goals per match on the road this season. This sets up well to be a high-scoring match as City in need of a bounce back and Tottenham is as well. Both clubs aggressive on the attack here and will not be denied. The goals fly in this one just like the other 4 recent meetings here in league action. 10* OVER 3.5 in Manchester City |
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12-03-23 | U Craiova 1948 v. Universitatea Cluj OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 52 m | Show |
Rotation #206897: Romania Liga 1: Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +100 in Universitatea Cluj vs FCU 1948 Craiova @ 9 AM ET - The last 3 meetings have all totaled at least 4 goals and have averaged 5 goals apiece. 3 of last 4 Universitatea Cluj matches have totaled at least 3 goals. 3 of last 4 FCU 1948 Craiova matches have totaled at least 3 goals. All signs point to another high-scoring match here. 10* OVER 2.5 +100 in Universitatea Cluj |
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12-03-23 | Crystal Palace v. West Ham United OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 21 m | Show |
Rotation #200065: English Premier League: Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +105 in West Ham United vs Crystal Palace @ 9 AM ET - The last 5 meetings between these clubs have all totaled at least 3 goals and have averaged 5 goals. The last 5 Crystal Palace matches have seen 4 total at least 3 goals. CP not known for high-scoring matches generally but they have been trending that way plus the match-up history here is 5 in a row. Also, 10 of last 12 West Ham matches in EPL action have totaled at least 3 goals. Those 10 matches have averaged 4 goals apiece. This one should get there as well. Expecting 4 but 3 will suit us just fine as the run between these clubs reaches 6 in a row totaling at least 3 goals! 10* OVER 2.5 +105 in West Ham United |
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12-02-23 | Nuggets v. Kings -4.5 | Top | 117-123 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show |
NBA Saturday 10* Top Play Sacramento -4.5 vs Denver Nuggets @ 10:10 ET - Tough spot for Nuggets off the big win over Phoenix last night. B2B spot for Denver and, this is the 3rd time they have entered a game on a 4-game winning streak. Both times thus far they lost the 5th game each time. This is a solid Kings team they face here and Sacramento is angry off a loss. The Kings just lost to the Clippers but Sacramento was off a big win over the Warriors. Remember that Golden State had won each of the first two meetings this season plus knocked Sacramento out of the playoffs last season. Not only that, the Kings had to rally and practically won that game in miracle fashion. So it was a definite flat spot. They bounce back here and take advantage of catching the defending champs in a tough scheduling spot. 10* SACRAMENTO -4.5 |
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12-02-23 | St. Joe's v. Temple OVER 147.5 | Top | 74-65 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 6 m | Show |
Rotation #715: CBB Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 147.5 in Temple Owls vs St Joseph's Hawks @ 7:30 ET - The type of games each of these teams if off of entering this Big 5 match-up make it the perfect spot for an over. The Owls off a triple-OT win over fellow Philly foe LaSalle. St Joe's off the huge upset win over Villanova in their Big 5 match-up. That sets this one up well for plenty of points. Keep in mind it was not the triple-OT that forced Temple's game over. It did have a good pace in regulation. As for St Joe's, they have been scoring well and that is even with recent games against Villanova and Kentucky. This one projects to get into the 150s the way these teams have been going and of course both of them comfortable playing here in Philly. Look of another exciting high-scoring battle between two teams not afraid to play at a brisk pace. 10* OVER 147.5 in Temple |
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12-02-23 | Flyers +155 v. Penguins | Top | 4-3 | Win | 155 | 5 h 20 m | Show |
NHL Saturday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers Money Line +155 @ Pittsburgh Penguins @ 7:07 ET - The Flyers are having a solid start to the season, in part, because they have been able to avoid a lengthy losing streak. In fact, their longest streak is 3 games and they are 4-1 this season when entering a game on a losing streak of 2 or more games. That is the case here and this is a big rivalry game with the Penguins and Philly's road record is actually slightly better than the Pens home record so far this season. Also, the Flyers will have Ersson between the pipes instead of Hart but he just had a fantastic November. He allowed only 8 goals in his last 5 starts. Also, Pittsburgh is off a win but had lost 5 of 7 prior to that. Off the big win over the Bolts and now catching the rival Flyers off B2B losses, the set up here is perfect for an upset. 10* PHILADELPHIA +155 |
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12-02-23 | SMU +3 v. Tulane | Top | 26-14 | Win | 100 | 8 h 52 m | Show |
CFB Saturday SMU Mustangs (+) @ Tulane Green Wave @ 4 ET - This line is a around a 3 and certainly presents as a head-scratcher, right? Think about it. Tulane has won 11 straight AAC games and it all began with the last time these teams met. Tulane smashed SMU 59-24 last season as party of a huge campaign they had. They then won 2 more AAC games and are perfect 8-0 in the conference this season too. So now notice this line is around a field even though the Green Wave are at home, won the last meeting by 35 points, have won 11 conference match-ups in a row, AND (here is the kicker) the Mustangs just lost their starting QB for the season. All of those factors and this line is a -3. This is a trap line if I have ever seen one and the key for me is that, even though Stone is out, Jennings is a solid option at QB. Not only that, the Mustangs do rate a slight edge on defense and a strong edge on offense. Now, with Stone out, one could dispute that latter fact but the odds makers certainly are not! This game is priced this way for a reason! Grab the underdog here as Jennings will have a big game here. He does have some experience and has a lot of talent all around him to work with. I am fading the 11-0 SU run of Tulane but even if they sneak out a win we could still get the cover with having the points on our side. Great spot to fade an 11-0 run and I expect an outright upset. 10* SMU (+) |
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12-02-23 | Boise State -2.5 v. UNLV | Top | 44-20 | Win | 100 | 6 h 55 m | Show |
CFB Saturday 10* Boise State Broncos (-) @ UNLV @ 3 ET - This is another one of those funny line scenarios as UNLV is at home and has the better record yet Boise State is favored by about a field goal in this one. The line is holding around a -2.5 as of about 6 hours before kickoff. I like the fact that Boise State was left for dead not too long ago and then their head coach was fired and they could have just packed it in. Instead these team has shown incredible fortitude and fought their way through the battles and somehow ended up in the MWC Championship Game. Hats off to the Broncos for this performance and I expect their momentum to carry them all the way through this game. Certainly the amazing turnaround at UNLV was impressive this season but they had a couple of tight wins and some losses late in the season and I feel some cracks are starting to show here. Keep in mind, the Rebels have a 10-2 ATS record this season but that was also the case with Oregon and New Mexico State last night and both lost their games SU and ATS. I have Boise State rated better on each side of the ball plus they are used to playing this MWC Champ games while the same can certainly not be said for the UNLV Football program. At this time of the year, I like taking teams playing their best football of the season and that is the case with the Broncos. Solid season for the Rebels but they face a surging team with a lot of dangerous playmaking options on offense in this one. 10* BOISE STATE (-) |
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12-02-23 | Manchester United v. Newcastle United OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -135 | 8 h 11 m | Show |
Rotation #200057: English Premier League: Saturday EPL 10* OVER 2.5 -135 in Newcastle United vs Manchester United @ 3 ET - Historically speaking, I like overs when Newcastle is on their home pitch. They are a different club here. They play more aggressive and even if some of their players are out and others are being rotated in, they play an attacking style here. We have seen Manchester United be very susceptible at the back. They just blew a 3-1 lead against Galatasaray in Champions action this week in a match that ended 3-3. One thing for sure though, Man U is starting to score much better and has so many big playmakers like Garnacho and Fernandes and Rashford. Two clubs with strong attacking capabilities here and we should see at least 2-1 here. I see both clubs scoring and Man U has not had a draw this season and Newcastle has not had a draw at home this season. Therefore, perfect odds favor that a 1-1 match would eventually get to at least a 2-1 final here. 10* OVER 2.5 -135 in Newcastle United |
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12-02-23 | CFR Cluj v. CS U Craiova OVER 2.25 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 13 m | Show |
Rotation #206913: Romania Liga 1: Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2 -145 in Universitatea Craiova vs CFR Cluj @ 1:30 ET - Excellent line value with this total available at just a 2 in this one. Yes, we must lay some juice for the over but the fact is each of the last 5 meetings have totaled at least 2 goals. Also, Universitatea Craiova has scored at least 1 goal in 7 of last 9 matches and averaged scoring 2 goals per match in those 7 matches. CFR Cluj is off a scoreless draw but 9 of 12 matches before that totaled at least 2 goals. Those dozen matches averaged 3.3 goals apiece and I look for another one getting to at least 3 goals here. Neither club has a high draw rate so if each club expected to score (see above for that reasoning) then also expecting it end up at least 2-1 is not asking too much as the statistical odds favor that. Again, the value of a 2 is big here as well. 10* OVER 2 -145 in Universitatea Craiova |
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12-02-23 | Everton v. Nottingham Forest OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 9 m | Show |
Rotation #200053: English Premier League: Saturday EPL 10* OVER 2.5 +110/+120 in Nottingham Forest vs Everton @ 12:30 ET - Nottingham has struggled and is desperate for points in the table. They have defensive deficiencies just like Everton but at least they should finally score well again here at home. Nottingham Forest has averaged 1.7 goals scored per home match this season but also Everton has scored 1.5 goals per road match this season! Not much likelihood of a draw here and with the way both these clubs allow goals and the fact they each need to fight hard for the full 3 points in the table here...I expect at least a 2-1 final to result. Everton had that 10-point penalty for legal violation and that has hurt them in the table which means even more aggression and attacking here from them. Everton desperate to start moving back up the table and they enter this one off a loss so they will look to make the most of a vulnerable Nottingham Forest backline here. Everton off a 3-0 loss to Manchester United and brings a strong effort here. 10* OVER 2.5 +110/+120 in Nottingham Forest |
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12-02-23 | Oklahoma State +15.5 v. Texas | Top | 21-49 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 27 m | Show |
CFB Saturday 10* Top Play Oklahoma State Cowboys (+) vs Texas Longhorns @ Noon ET - This line is up to 15.5 and it is just too much the way I see it. Yes, Texas has revenge and is the better overall team but we saw that last night also with Oregon when they faced Washington and the Huskies ended up winning outright! I am not expecting an outright win here but I am expecting a solid underdog cover. The Cowboys have been tough as underdogs under head coach Mike Gundy and has covered 4 of 5 as a big 12 dog this season and 15 of 21 long-term when installed as a big 12 dog. As for Texas, they have not been great ATS away from home. Remember that, prior to barely covering at Iowa State, the last 3 Longhorns games played away from Austin were all ATS losses. The Cowboys did beat Oklahoma this year. The Horns lost to that same Sooners team. Don't get me wrong though, I am not saying Okla St is better than UT because of something like this. I am just telling you that this is a quality 9-3 team that plays well as an underdog and is well-coached and is getting too many points here. 10* OKLAHOMA STATE + |
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12-02-23 | Rapid Bucuresti v. Botosani OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -111 | 5 h 12 m | Show |
Rotation #206901: Romania Liga 1: Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 -115 in FC Botosani vs Rapid Bucuresti @ 10 AM ET - Goals should fly here. Rapid angry off a 3-2 loss in which they led 2-0 and then took their foot off the gas and lost! They will be relentless here and Botosani is the worst club in the league. As bad as they have been, at least Botosani starting to show some life in the goal-scoring department and they have scored 5 goals in their last 3 matches. They should get on the board here at home and put up a good fight but, of course, Rapid is a sizable favorite with good reason and I am looking for at least a 2-1 final here. Rapid is also fired up because their last road match was a scoreless draw. Rapid has averaged 2 goals scored in the last 4 meetings between these teams and Botosani has scored at least 1 goal in 9 of last 11 matches. Again, another reason to expect at least a 2-1 final here. 10* OVER 2.5 -115 in FC Botosani |
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12-01-23 | St. Mary's v. Boise State OVER 129.5 | Top | 60-63 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 7 m | Show |
CBB Friday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Boise State Broncos vs St Mary's Gaels @ 10:30 ET - This total in the 129.5 range. The Broncos and Gaels average around 70 points per game this season but I can see why this total is lower than that. The fact is that each have been involved in some low-scoring grinders this season but I like the value here on this lower total in this game played in Idaho Falls. The fact is that St Mary's has faced some tough defensive-minded competition. The Broncos are just not on the same level as those teams St Mary's struggled to score against and I expect things to open up here. Boise State definitely has the edge here in terms of this game being played in their home state and they were scoring an average of 72 points per game their first 5 games prior to a low-scoring loss to Butler. Look for them to bounce back in the offensive end after scoring just 56 against the Bulldogs. The Gaels are also off a loss and will bounce back and they have their confidence back in the offensive end after averaging 80 points last two games! More of the same here! 10* OVER the total in Boise State |
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12-01-23 | Oregon v. Washington +10 | Top | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 12 h 56 m | Show |
CFB Friday 10* Top Play Washington Huskies (+) vs Oregon Ducks Friday at 8 ET - Current line around 10 as of early game day morning. I have tremendous respect for Dan Lanning and the Ducks but feel strongly that they are over-valued here. Kalen DeBoer and the Huskies have some edges in my opinion here and I am expecting a 1-score game as a result. Don't be surprised if Oregon gets their revenge but the win comes by just a FG or TD the way I see it. The big key here is that this is a pair of 2nd year coaches and Lanning is 21-2 with the Ducks against teams not named Washington and DeBoer is 23-2 with the Huskies overall. The key point here is Lanning is 0-2 against DeBoer so far. All the pressure is on him and the Ducks here. I know the Huskies have unbeaten pressure if you will but I feel this is a game in which Oregon has all the pressure to prove they can finally beat Washington again and you know DeBoer and the Huskies have extra confidence from winning the meetings both last season and this season. Also, notice that these teams played the exact same conference schedule expect the Ducks played the Pac-12 worst Buffaloes while the Huskies had to play a top tier Pac-12 team as they faced the Wildcats. Arizona is 10-2 ATS this season also and so is Oregon. Washington did get straight-up wins over both these 10-2 ATS teams and the Huskies are 12-0 SU on the season. Also, consider that the Ducks non-conference schedule included an 81-7 win over an FCS school which certainly padded stats. The Huskies non-conference schedule included, instead of an FCS school in that slot, a Boise State team that is now playing for the Mountain West Championship title tomorrow. The point is that the Huskies are 12-0, played the tougher non-conf schedule, played the tougher conference schedule, have won both meetings that featured these two head coaches, and are getting double digits in points here. This is a lot of line value. Ducks are a great team but this Huskies team is not undefeated by accident. They might lose this game but I expect an epic finish if that is the case. Lanning wants this game bad but, as the line shows, all the pressure is on him here. Lose a 3rd straight to the Huskies (and this one as a double digit fave) and that tarnishes what he has done with this Ducks program so far. This is a pressure game for Oregon. I'll take the big points as the Huskies schedule to end the season was a tough one with 3 straight ranked teams and then rival Washington State so they are better than some of their late season stats would lead you to believe and, keep in mind, they still found a way to win all 4 of those games. These guys are winners. Two very strong teams...I am taking the big points. 10* WASHINGTON (+) |
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12-01-23 | 76ers +7 v. Celtics | Top | 119-125 | Win | 100 | 7 h 28 m | Show |
NBA Friday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers (+) @ Boston Celtics @ 7:40 ET - This line is as high as 7 as of about 7 hours before tipoff. Embiid missed the morning shootaround so now speculation is rampant that he will miss tonight's game. Don't be surprised when Embiid plays tonight. I just do not see him missing this contest as the Sixers seek revenge here. They probably wanted to let him rest as much as possible this morning rather than force him for the shootaround. Either way this is a lot of points in a rivalry game and I like Philly here. Before the loss to the Pelicans, in which it was a surprise that Embiid did not play, the Sixers were 5-2 SU on the road this season and one of those losses was by just 1 point. We have great line value here with this line possibly now even going higher. You are going to see a huge effort here in this revenge spot from the Sixers no matter who is on the floor. 10* PHILADELPHIA (+) |
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12-01-23 | Senators v. Blue Jackets OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -122 | 5 h 25 m | Show |
NHL Friday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 -125 in Columbus Blue Jackets vs Ottawa Senators @ 7:07 ET - The Blue Jackets Merzlikins has been better of late in goal but it still hard to trust him and the Senators are heavy favorites here with good reason. Merzlikins has struggled quite often this season and the Sens will pressure him with a lot of shots. The Blue Jackets should also enjoy success on home ice where, long-term, they do tend to score better. Columbus will take advantage of facing a struggling goalie in the form of former Jacket Korpisalo. The fact he was with the Blue Jackets before just puts even more pressure on him and he has a lofty GAA. Both teams do for that matter and I am expecting goals to fly here. Ottawa is off a 5-0 loss and prior to that 12 of 16 games totaled at least 7 goals! Columbus off a 4-2 loss but 9 of 12 games before that totaled at least 7 goals. More of the same here. 10* OVER 6.5 -125 in Columbus |
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12-01-23 | Farul Constanta 1920 v. CSMS Iasi OVER 2.25 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
Rotation #206921: Romania Liga 1: Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2 -150 in Poli Iasi vs Farul @ 1 PM ET - Getting a 2 here is a fantastic value. Poli Iasi is off a scoreless draw on the road but their last 3 matches at home all totaled at least 2 goals and averaged 3 goals apiece. Farul is seeking revenge for a home loss to Iasi and that was a 3-1 beating and I expect the goals to fly again here. Farul, dating all the way back to mid-July, has seen 20 of last 23 matches across all competitions total at least 2 goals. These matches have averaged 3 goals apiece and more of the same on tap here. Specific to league matches, 14 of last 16 Farul matches have totaled at least 2 goals. 10* OVER 2 -150 in Poli Iasi |
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12-01-23 | Petrolul 52 v. Voluntari OVER 2 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -127 | 4 h 20 m | Show |
Rotation #206925: Romania Liga 1: Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2 -125 in FC Voluntari vs Petrolul Ploiesti @ 10 AM ET - Getting a 2 here is a fantastic value. FC Voluntari has had 4 straight matches total at least 2 goals and the last 3 have totaled at least 3 goals and actually averaged 5 goals apiece! Petrolul Ploiesti has had a number of scoreless draws the last two months but 3 of their last 5 matches have totaled at least 3 goals and those 3 matches averaged 4 goals apiece. Their matches have been "all or nothing" in terms of goal scoring. That said, matching up with an FC Voluntari club that has been pushing the pace in recent matches means this will be more of an "all" match than a "nothing" match! This is particularly true because Petrolul Ploiesti has only one home loss this season and it came against FC Voluntari so this is a revenge match where they would like to return the favor on their opponent's home pitch. This is an important match in terms of positioning in the table. Look for a 2-1 type match as both clubs push hard for the full 3 points here. 10* OVER 2 -125 in FC Voluntari |
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11-30-23 | Clippers v. Warriors -5 | Top | 114-120 | Win | 100 | 12 h 53 m | Show |
NBA Thursday 10* Top Play Golden State Warriors -5 vs Los Angeles Clippers @ 10:10 ET - Last night the Clippers caught the Kings off a dramatic huge-deficit come from behind victory the night before. LA took advantage and got the win at Sacramento but the situation was a good one for the Clips and a horrible one for the Kings plus LA hit 14 of 28 three-points in the game! They will not do that again tonight. Now it is the Clippers that are in a B2B situation and they are facing the very team (Warriors) that had blown a massive lead in a gut-wrenching loss at Sacramento! That said, Golden State is rested and ready and angry and this is a very reasonable line to lay here. I would not be surprised to see Leonard and Harden be less effective in the 2nd game of a B2B plus Powell got hurt last night and will not play here. Yes I am aware of the Chris Paul injury for the Warriors but the rest of the team in good shape entering this one and now Draymond Green is back from his suspension too. The Warriors are ready to go tonight and I am expecting them to have one of their best games of the season thus far in this one. They led by as many as 24 points in that loss at Sacramento and did lead by 17 at the half. GSW can not wait to get back on the floor. 10* GOLDEN STATE -5 |
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11-30-23 | Golden Knights v. Canucks -116 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -116 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
VANCOUVER - The Canucks have been great on home ice all season long and here they catch a slumping Golden Knights team. Vegas has lost 8 of 11 games and I know some of the defeats were tight too but the losing is taking a toll and no let up is in sight. They are off a high-scoring loss at Edmonton but they were fortunate to even get that game to OT as they had to rally to do so. The trouble too is that, before that game, they only scored 7 goals in their last 7 losses. All is not well in Vegas right now and, now wrapping up a long road trip, the Golden Knights are not likely to see things get better until their home ice match-up this weekend. This is just a typical scenario here where it is so hard to pull it together on the road when 7 of your last 8 games have been on the road and you just can't get any consistency going. Being the defending champs plus the fact this is a divisional game, you know the Canucks want to take down the champs here. VANCOUVER -120 |
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11-30-23 | Stars -130 v. Flames | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -130 | 10 h 37 m | Show |
DALLAS - The road team has won both meetings this season and the Stars lost at home to the Flames 7-4 last week so this is a shot at right back revenge. Calgary off the huge upset win over Vegas. Not only are they just 2-6 this season when off a win, the Flames just knocked off the defending champs so the set up here is great. DALLAS -130 |
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11-30-23 | Avalanche v. Coyotes OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 102 | 9 h 9 m | Show |
OVER 6.5 in Ariz vs Colo - Both teams have had some recent lower-scoring games but both are winning too. Confidence running high right now for both these clubs and the Coyotes have scored 10 goals in their last 3 games. The Avalanche have won 7 of 8 games and averaged 5 goals per game in the 7 victories. The Avs have seen 8 of last 12 games total at least 7 goals. The Coyotes most recent home game was a low-scoring win but this followed a stretch in which 5 of last 7 games totaled at least 7 goals and those games actually averaged 8 goals apiece. This is a small but special venue that the Coyotes are currently playing in down in Arizona and the atmosphere lends itself to some crazy games at Mullett Arena with a raucous crowd. More of the same expected here with a nearby foe in town. OVER 6.5 in Arizona |
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11-30-23 | Seahawks +9.5 v. Cowboys | Top | 35-41 | Win | 100 | 12 h 11 m | Show |
NFL Thursday 10* Top Play Seattle Seahawks (+) @ Dallas Cowboys @ 8:15 ET - The current number as of early game day morning is 9.5 or 9 in most books. I was hoping we might see 10 points popping up but, either way, based on this current line we are essentially challenging the Cowboys to win this game by double digits. I love this spot as a spot to fade Dallas. They are off a big home win but when you look close at what the Cowboys have done this season, it has been a typical Dallas season. They beat up on bad teams (other than when they fell short at Arizona) and they lose to stronger teams (Niners, Eagles). Now I am certainly not saying the Seahawks are in the category of a San Fran or Philly. But I they do have a winning record this season and were 6-3 before suffering B2B tough losses. The Cowboys are 8-3 this season and taking away the two games against the only two teams they have faced that currently have a winning record, the other 8 teams they have faced have a combined record of 26-55 this season! So the Cowboys 8 wins (including twice beating Giants) plus the lone loss to a bad team (Arizona) means that Dallas is 8-1 against teams with a losing record. Those teams current combined losing record is 26-55. Seattle is not SF or Philly but they also are better than all the teams that Dallas has made a living feasting off of this season. This is going to be a much tougher game than most are expecting. Carroll will have his team ready on the road coming off B2B losses and to top it off, the Cowboys have Philly on deck! This is a huge lookahead situation because Eagles are playing SF this week. Dallas knows that Philly could lose that game which means if the Cowboys win this plus beat Philly next week then both teams would be 10-3 and tied at the top of the NFC East! Trust me Dallas has this in their head too and all this in their head means this "cakewalk game" turns into a "lookahead situation" and traditionally these are the types of games Dallas struggles in. Seattle has beaten Detroit and Cleveland this season and those two teams have a combined 15-7 record this season. The Seahawks are 11-2 ATS when they face a non-divisional opponent that has a winning record. Also, coach Carroll's teams have produced a 20-5 ATS record when entering a game off B2B SU losses and this their first losing streak of the season! Even with the big win over Washington on Thanksgiving, the Cowboys are still just 2-9 ATS as a home favorite in Thursday games. Seahawks bounce back here and might even pull off the shocker. Grab the big points. 10* SEATTLE (+) |
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11-30-23 | Illinois State v. Illinois-Chicago -5.5 | Top | 69-64 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 53 m | Show |
Rotation #752: CBB Sunday 10* Top Play Illinois-Chicago Flames (-) vs Illinois State Redbirds @ 8 ET - As I mentioned in Sunday's write-up on UIC - an underdog cover as they lost by just one point - the Flames have been developing well in recent years. They are well-coached and now the coach has been able to assemble the type of roster he wants here. It has been a process for sure but this Flames team looks stronger this season than they have been in a long time. Now Illinois-Chicago is 5-2 on the season and with Illinois State, this is not the right kind of team roster to take advantage of the Flames guard-heavy style. This is an MVC opener for these teams and the Flames will fare well in this match-up. I like laying a very reasonable number of points in this one with a team that is undefeated at home and hosting a team that has lost 3 in a row in games played away from home. Note that UIC is hitting 48% from the field this season and the Redbirds are hitting just 39% from the field. Also, the Flames are averaging much higher blocked shots numbers. This is no surprise as, in this match-up too, UIC has some height and length edges in guard play as well. Illinois-Chicago lost the most recent meeting between these teams in a game played at Illinois State and that was in OT last season. This will be payback at home and they bounce back from a 1-point loss. Keep in mind the Flames only other loss this season was to Cincinnati! Lay it! Illinois-Chicago (+) |
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11-30-23 | LASK Linz v. Liverpool OVER 3.5 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 36 m | Show |
Rotation #224485: Europa League | Group Stage: Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 3.5 -110 in Liverpool vs LASK Linz @ 3 ET - LASK Linz has to go for it here and so I am expecting an aggressive attacking style from the visitors in this one. They have no choice if they want to stay alive in this competition. That should open this up to plenty of goals as Liverpool is favored by 2.5 goals on the goal line and it is a justified number. Considering the aggressive approach LASK Linz must take plus the fact that the Reds have some issues on the back line I do not expect a clean sheet here. That said, the big dog visitors make the net ripple at least once. The final score likely in the 4-1 range or at least 3-1. Liverpool lost their most recent match in this competition 3-2 at Toulouse so the Reds come out hungry and aggressive here and should be relentless. This is particularly true after the 1-1 draw with Manchester City over the weekend. The reverse fixture between these clubs was 3-1 and LASK Linz had scored 3 goals in 3 straight matches before splitting their last two matches in low-scoring affairs. The high-scoring ways resume here. 10* OVER 3.5 -110 in Liverpool |
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11-30-23 | West Ham United v. Backa Topola OVER 3.5 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 52 m | Show |
Rotation #224461: Europa League | Group Stage: Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 3.5 +115 in Backa Topola vs West Ham United @ 12:45 ET - A victory here in Serbia on Thursday will guarantee a place for West Ham in the Europa League knockout rounds. They are favored by 1.5 goals with heavy juice for a reason. I do look for the Hammers to come up with a strong effort but Backa Topola on home soil for this one and coming off a win over the weekend that is a confidence boost as well. The lost the reverse fixture 3-1 and a similar result is likely here. Yes, this total is a big one but each of Backa Topola's last 5 matches in continental action like Europa League and Champions League Qualifying have all totaled at least 4 goals. That means this spot is testing a 5-0 run! Not only that, the Hammers are off a 2-1 win and 5 of last 8 matches across all competitions had totaled at least 4 goals. We'll see goals here! 10* OVER 3.5 +115 in Backa Topola |
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11-29-23 | 76ers v. Pelicans | Top | 114-124 | Loss | -112 | 12 h 16 m | Show |
NBA Wednesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers Pick'em @ New Orleans Pelicans @ 8:10 ET - As of very early game day morning this line is showing some movement toward the Pelicans and the Sixers have gone from being a small favorite to right around a pick'em. The 76ers might even end up being the dog here but we are getting in on this now at the pick'em price. Yes, the 76ers have a revenge game on deck at Boston and are 1-1 this season when they have the Celtics on deck. However, the win was by 18 points while the loss was a game in which they were in the 2nd leg of a B2B with a Pacers team they had just beaten. This is a different situation. Philly going on the road off a blowout win over the Lakers and they know they do not want to make the same mistake they made against the Pacers. In other words, the fact this is a road game might even help the Sixers in the focus department and they know they can not overlook these Pelicans. New Orleans is at home and that is why this game is priced this way but they have lost B2B games and another reason for the pricing is that CJ McCollum could be back tonight. But if you are the Pelicans, wouldn't you rather wait and bring him back Friday against a bad Spurs team? Also, if he does play here, he would likely not be 100% plus he would be on a minutes restriction. The Sixers are 5-1 last 6 road games and a PERFECT 5-0 L5 road games when Embiid plays. He is playing tonight and the lone road game he missed was a loss he sat out of due to a b2b situation and playing with a sore hip. So this is a non-B2B and it is a road games streak I expect Philly to take to a PERFECT 6-0 RUN! 10* PHILADELPHIA pick'em |
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11-29-23 | Red Wings v. Rangers OVER 6 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 54 m | Show |
NHL Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 6 in New York Rangers vs Detroit Red Wings @ 7:37 ET - This is a great spot for goals! The Rangers are off a 5-1 loss and ready to respond. However, the Red Wings have won 3 straight games and have scored at least 4 goals in all 3 wins! Detroit also has revenge from a 5-3 loss here in New York in the first meeting this season. The Rangers have seen 7 of last 10 games total at least 6 goals and all 6 of the first 7 that did before last night's 5-1 loss had each totaled at least 7 goals. The Red Wings have now actually scored at least 4 goals in 5 of last 6 games and the Rangers have given up at least 4 goals in each of last two games. So this has the makings of another high-scoring affair between these teams. New York has yet to lose B2B games this season and will come out flying here but there is no way I am fading this Detroit team the way they are scoring goals coupled with the fact the Rangers D and netminding has recently faded. 10* OVER 6 in New York Rangers |
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11-29-23 | La Salle v. Temple OVER 142.5 | Top | 99-106 | Win | 100 | 10 h 59 m | Show |
Rotation #657 CBB Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Temple Owls vs La Salle Explorers @ 7 ET - This is part of the Philly Big 5 tourney and I love the fact that this total has gone from the upper 140s to the low 140s. The current number is in the 143 range as of early game day morning. The Explorers and Owls both play at a decent pace. Both shoot a lot of threes. Both are comfortable, of course, playing here in Philly. La Salle is the road team here but it is no big deal as Fran Dunphy just got his 600th career win and the Explorers coach was the head coach here at Temple for many years too. I like the fact that LaSalle has seen 4 different leading scorers in its last 5 games. It shows you they do not have to rely on just one guy. The Explorers have averaged 75 ppg in the 5 wins in their 5-1 start to the season and they even scored 66 in their loss to DUKE! La Salle should score very well here but I am on crazy about their defensive capabilities. Though the Owls rely more heavily on their top scorer Hysier Miller. They have other solid scoring options too and will make their way through this defense without a problem, especially with confidence in their own arena! The Owls have been held below 73 points just once this season and are allowing 70 ppg but averaging 75. This one should get into the 150s given all of the above and so I do feel we have solid line value in a game that should be back and forth and reach at least the 150 mark. These guys push hard in this Philly Big 5 games and I expect exciting game here! 10* OVER the total in Temple |
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11-29-23 | FC Copenhagen v. Bayern Munich OVER 3.5 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 29 m | Show |
Rotation #224249: Champions League | Group Stage: Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 3.5 -105 in Bayern Munich vs FC Copenhagen @ 3 ET - This one sets up well for goals from both clubs and I love the over here. It says something for sure in the fact that the books are holding the total on this one at a solid 3.5 across the board. Indeed, I am projecting a 3-1 type match here at a minimum. FC Copenhagen is in a dogfight for 2nd place in this group with Galatasaray and Manchester United. As such, they will need to push hard for the full 3 points in this one but, of course, the odds are heavily stacked against them as they face one of the top clubs in the world and in Munich no less! Even with that however, the point is that Copenhagen must throw caution to the wind and go for it here! That will of course expose them in their own end of the pitch on the counterattack and Bayern Munich has the attackers to make life miserable for the visitors here. The hosts have easily locked up the #1 spot in this group already but they still want to put on a strong show at home here plus have so much club depth that is so talented. They will be scoring well again on Copenhagen here but I also love that the visitors are off some recent high-scoring matches! 4 of their last 5 matches have totaled at least 3 goals and those 4 matches averaged 5 goals apiece. Consider that plus an inability to stop Bayern Munich on their own pitch here and the goals are sure to fly in this one. 10* OVER 3.5 -105 in Bayern Munich |
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11-29-23 | Manchester United v. Galatasaray OVER 3 | Top | 3-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 39 m | Show |
Rotation #224233: Champions League | Group Stage: Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 3 -105 in Galatasaray vs Manchester United @ 12:45 ET - Important match for both clubs and I love the over here. It says something for sure in the fact that the books are holding the total on this one at a solid 3. Indeed, I am projecting a 2-2 type match here. Galatasaray has plenty of attacking power but they have some concerns regarding defensive personnel entering this one. Also, Manchester United has revenge from losing the reverse fixture on home soil. Couple that with the fact that Man U is starting to score goals and regain confidence plus enter this one off an exciting 3-0 win in EPL action, there is plenty of reason to expect an exciting affair here in Istanbul. 10* OVER 3 -105 in Galatasaray |
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11-28-23 | Ducks v. Canucks OVER 6.5 | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -120 | 11 h 10 m | Show |
NHL - OVER 6.5 -120 in Vancouver Canucks vs Anaheim Ducks @ 10:07 ET - The Ducks are mired in a losing streak but this Anaheim team has some talent up front. Problem is that they have been a sieve in their own end of the rink. In their current 6-game losing streak they are allowing 5 goals per game! I know Anaheim has not been scoring well of late but Vancouver enters this one having some struggles of their own in terms of goals conceded. The Canucks have allowed 3.3 goals per game in a 4-5 stretch their last 9 games. Vancouver has scored an average of 4 goals per game this season and is a heavy favorite here with good reason. Look for a 5-3 type game! OVER 6.5 - 120 in Vancouver |
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11-28-23 | Golden Knights v. Oilers -140 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show |
NHL - Edmonton Oilers -140 vs Vegas Golden Knights @ 9:07 ET - This line has been moving strongly toward Edmonton. Keep in mind Edmonton started the season very poorly and the Golden Knights started the season on fire plus they are the defending champs. Yet, look at what this line is doing here. What does that tell you? Exactly...there is some sharp money coming in on the Oilers here. This is a playoff revenge situation plus Vegas is in the 2nd game of a B2B and has struggled to score goals of late. The Oilers are playing a fresh brand of hockey under their new head coach and off B2B high-scoring wins plus going for a 4th straight home ice win. Oilers want this game bad against the defending champs that eliminated them last season! Lay it! EDMONTON -140 |
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11-28-23 | NC State +2 v. Ole Miss | Top | 52-72 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 54 m | Show |
Rotation #629 CBB Tuesday 10* Top Play NC State Wolfpack (+) @ Ole Miss Rebels @ 9 ET - The Wolfpack are a 2 or 2.5 dog in this one as of about 11 hours before tipoff. This line actually opened with NC State as a small favorite in some spots. I love fading line moves like this. First off, Ole Miss is undefeated. Secondly, the Rebels are at home. Thirdly, the line is moving toward the undefeated home team on their home floor. I will grab the dog often in spots like this and particularly when are 1-loss team is coming off that very first loss of the season. The Wolfpack are a solid team loaded with upperclassmen. This is part of the ACC/SEC annual battle and I like the fact the Rebels last 3 wins have all come by slim margins - an average margin of victory of just 1.7 points - and now they face the toughest test yet! This will be the toughest team they have faced and the Wolfpack not in a good mood coming off that loss. Give me the motivated ACC dog that won nearly TWICE as many games as Ole Miss last season! 10* NC State (+) |
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11-28-23 | Raptors +1.5 v. Nets | Top | 103-115 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 14 m | Show |
NBA Tuesday 10* Top Play Toronto Raptors (+) @ Brooklyn Nets @ 7:40 ET - First off this line looks funny with Brooklyn only a 1.5 point favorite as of about 10 hours before tipoff. Why are the Nets such a small home favorite here? Glad you asked! The fact is Brooklyn is dealing with some injury concerns entering this one and that will impact both their effectiveness and team depth in this one. Also, they are off B2B wins here and not going to be as hungry as a Toronto team that is off a loss and has gone 5-0 the last 5 times this season in which they are off a defeat in which they scored 107 points or less. Look for this hungry Raptors to make it 6 in a row in this situation. Do not let the line fool you here! 10* TORONTO +1.5 |
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11-28-23 | Hurricanes v. Flyers +144 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 1 m | Show |
NHL - Philadelphia Flyers +145 vs Carolina Hurricanes @ 7:35 ET - Carolina is certainly a strong club but they have had some issues this season and the Flyers have been a scrappy team that has played well early this season and really surprised a lot of people in the NHL. They will have Carter Hart in goal for this one and he has been strong early this season and the underdog Flyers are a great value pick in this one. PHILADELPHIA +145 |
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11-28-23 | RB Leipzig v. Manchester City OVER 3 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 27 m | Show |
Rotation #224229: Champions League | Group Stage: Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 3 -130 in Manchester City vs RB Leipzig @ 3 ET - I am looking for a wide open affair. Both clubs are already set to advance as City beat Leipzig 3-1 in the reverse fixture and that is what has them 1-2 in their group in the standings. That said Leipzig can go all out here and try to pull off a miracle big win on the road as they have nothing to lose. However, City come into this one a bit angry plus could get Grealish back. That said, they will be very aggressive here because they are off B2B draws in EPL action including a 1-1 match versus Liverpool in which they know they made a mistake getting far too conservative with a 1-0 lead. They will be very aggressive here at home and remember their prior match was a 4-4 draw with Chelsea. They have averaged scoring 3 goals per match last 7 matches and only the most recent one stayed under 3 goals so we have solid value with the total on this one! 16 of last 20 RB Leipzig matches across all competitions have totaled at least 3 goals. City favored by 1.5 goals on the goal line but RB Leipzig is talented and will play freely here given the situation so that means a 3-1 or 4-2 or 3-2 type final appears to be in the cards here. Plenty of scoring here as both clubs go all out in attack mode here. 10* OVER 3 -130 in Manchester City |
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11-28-23 | Celtic v. Lazio OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -135 | 5 h 52 m | Show |
Rotation #224205: Champions League | Group Stage: Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 -135 in Lazio vs Celtic @ 12:45 ET - Lazio at home is favored by 1 goal on the goal line and I agree with that assessment. I also do not feel Celtic will be shutout here. That puts this match up to at least a 2-1 final the way I see it. Both clubs have motivation here so there will be aggression on the attack. Also, each of the last 3 meetings between these clubs have finished 2-1. Celtic has seen 9 of last 10 matches across all competitions total at least 3 goals and those averaged 4 goals apiece. Lazio tends to be lower scoring but they are off a 2-1 loss in Serie A action and will take advantage of facing a weaker foe in this one. Lazio's most recent match in Champions League was a 1-0 win but they both scored and conceded in the 4 matches before that. More of the same expected here and the hosts get a 1-goal win and that means 2-1 at a minimum here the way I see it! 10* OVER 2.5 -135 in Lazio |
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11-27-23 | Utah v. St. Mary's OVER 133.5 | Top | 78-71 | Win | 100 | 10 h 60 m | Show |
Rotation #867: CBB Monday 10* Top Play OVER 133.5 in St Mary's Gaels vs Utah Utes @ 11 PM ET - The Gaels are off an 89-55 win and will carry momentum after scoring big on their home floor. The Utes continue to score big early this season but have not been great on the defensive end so I am expecting plenty of scoring here. Utah is off a game in which they scored 82 points but lost as they gave up 91 to St John's. However, they also faced a tough Houston team, known for defense, and they managed to score 66 points in that loss. They are averaging 82 points per game this season but have allowed 71 per game. All their games have totaled at least 135 points and the Gaels have scored well in 2 of their 3 home games and enter this one with confidence after a hot shooting effort. That carries over into this one plus the Utes continue their high-scoring style. 10* OVER 133.5 in St Mary's |
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11-27-23 | Bears v. Vikings OVER 44 | Top | 12-10 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 16 m | Show |
NFL Monday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Minnesota Vikings vs Chicago Bears @ 8:15 ET - This total is a 44 as of early gameday morning. Considering all the unders cashing consistently in the NFL this season and all the primetime unders as well, this total seems too high, does it not? Exactly! Do not let the line fool you. This divisional showdown between two teams generally known for defense more than offense might surprise people to see a total posted in the mid-40s. It is no mistake! Note that the Bears will have Justin Fields back at QB for this one. The Vikings Josh Dobbs has been solid at QB so far since being acquired from the Cardinals. Now, look at some recent numbers for these teams. The Bears have given up piles of points when away from Soldier Field this season. Chicago is allowing 29 ppg this season when they are away from home. The Vikings defense has been solid overall this season but even they are allowing 22 ppg at home this season. The Bears offensive production can ramp up again with Fields under center and the Vikings low points allowed numbers hides the fact that their pass defense has been mediocre. Chicago has a decent ground game that can open things up through the air as the ground attack of Herbert and Foreman (plus Fields dangerous legs) keeps the defense honest as they must respect the ground game. As for the Bears defense, they have struggled against the pass this season and the Vikings have good overall numbers through the air this season. Dobbs is not Kirk Cousins but he has looked solid and should be especially strong at home in this one. The first meeting was just 19-13 (Vikes win) and the posted total was also 44. Now the rematch has the same total despite the first one staying under by double digits and the Vikings having only one offensive TD in that game. Head-scratcher? No...just another solid sign from the books that the play here is the over! I expect 50+ in this one! 10* OVER the total in Minnesota |
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11-27-23 | Lakers v. 76ers -5.5 | Top | 94-138 | Win | 100 | 7 h 59 m | Show |
NBA Monday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers (-) vs Los Angeles Lakers @ 7:10 ET - This line is around a 5.5 or 6 and that is saying the Sixers might only be about a bucket better than the Lakers on a neutral floor. I am just not buying that argument. The Lakers have won 3 straight road games but they lost 5 straight road games prior to that. Also, the Sixers have surprisingly lost each of their last 3 home games so you know they have this one circled on their calendar. This is particularly true because Philly has a couple road games on deck. Also, their most recent win was only by 4 points but this followed the first 9 of 10 Philly wins coming by a margin of at least 7 points and I feel certain this one will too! Lakers have some banged up players and I expect Davis and James to play but neither is likely to be 100% here. 10* PHILADELPHIA (-) |
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11-27-23 | Bruins -1.5 v. Blue Jackets | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 27 m | Show |
NHL Monday 10* Top Play Boston Bruins Puck Line -1.5 +100 @ Columbus Blue Jackets @ 7:07 ET - The Blue Jackets just blew a 2-0 third period lead and lost at Carolina. They were heavily outshot in that game. Columbus is not a very good hockey club plus they used their red hot goalie Merzlikins in that one. He had helped steal a couple wins for them. Now in the 2nd day of a B2B, look for Martin to be in goal here and he has struggled and allowed at least 4 goals in 3 straight appearances! The Bruins have played a tough schedule recently and off B2B losses and defeats in 3 of last 4. After this game they will not play again until Thursday so I fully expect them to take advantage of facing a weaker foe and go all out here in a blowout road win. 6 of the 7 Bruins road wins this season by a multi-goal margin. The Blue Jackets, loss to Hurricanes yesterday notwithstanding, have mostly come by 2 or more goals this season. More of the same here. 10* BOSTON -1.5 +100 |
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11-27-23 | Wolverhampton Wanderers v. Fulham OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 115 | 8 h 59 m | Show |
Rotation #200037: English Premier League: Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +115 in Fulham vs Wolverhampton @ 3 ET - We get line value here because Fulham is one of the lowest scoring clubs in the league. On their home pitch, and catching Wolverhampton off he upset win over Tottenham, don't be surprised when Fulham finds some goal-scoring success in this one. Wolverhampton has both scored and conceded in 10 straight matches across all competitions. Their last 11 matches have averaged 3.5 goals apiece! The Wolves are scoring 2 goals per match last 11 matches and Fulham will get on the board here. Look for this match to find its way to at least a 2-1 final. I know this series has a history of low-scoring matches but the set up for this one is different and Fulham is so hungry for a win in league action. You are going to see them attack a vulnerable Wolves back line in this one but Wolverhampton will, of course, be dangerous on the counter-attack. 10* OVER 2.5 +115 in Fulham |
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11-27-23 | Universitatea Cluj v. Rapid Bucuresti OVER 2.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 107 | 7 h 49 m | Show |
Rotation #206873: Romania Liga 1: Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +105 in Rapid Bucuresti vs Universitatea Cluj @ 1:30 ET - Universitatea Cluj is off a scoreless draw but each of their two prior matches totaled at least 3 goals and that included a 3-0 victory for them in their most recent match away from home. Monday they are in the capital of Romania and I expect the goals to fly here in Bucuresti. Rapid is off a rare scoreless draw also but they had scored at least 2 goals in 4 straight matches and averaged scoring 2.2 goals per match in their last 6 matches before that ugly result with Sepsi. Rapid has scored 3 goals per match in their last 5 home matches and will surely bounce back here at home after that ugly draw. That is why I expect the goals to be flying in this one as we also see Universitatea Cluj bouncing back and getting on the board after a scoreless draw. 10* OVER 2.5 +105 in Rapid Bucuresti |
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11-27-23 | Sepsi v. U Craiova 1948 OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 54 m | Show |
Rotation #206889: Romania Liga 1: Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +105 in FCU 1948 Craiova vs Sepsi @ 10:30 AM ET - FCU 1948 Craiova has both scored and conceded in 5 straight matches. Their 8 home matches this season have averaged 4.5 goals apiece! Sepsi off rare B2B scoreless matches but did score 2 goals in most recent road match. We'll see goals here! This is revenge for a 1-0 loss for FCU 1948 Craiova in the first meeting and 3 of 4 meetings prior to that totaled at least 3 goals and those 3 matches averaged 4 goals apiece! 10* OVER 2.5 +105 in FCU 1948 Craiova |
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11-26-23 | Bulls +4.5 v. Nets | Top | 109-118 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 2 m | Show |
NBA Sunday 10* Top Play Chicago Bulls (+) @ Brooklyn Nets @ 7:40 ET - The Bulls are hungry for a win. They have revenge here against the Nets from a loss earlier this season too. Also, Chicago is catching Brooklyn in the 2nd night of a B2B and off a revenge win over the own. The Nets had revenge against Miami and they got it. Don't be surprised if, based on scheduling dynamics and situational advantage, the Bulls are the more aggressive and fresh team here. I know Caruso and LaVine are each listed as questionable for this one but I expect them to play. Either way, I like the underdog Bulls here in this one and will grab the points, currently around a 4 or 4.5 as of mid-day Sunday. 10* CHICAGO (+) |
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11-26-23 | Illinois-Chicago +3.5 v. NC-Greensboro | Top | 57-58 | Win | 100 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
Rotation #751: CBB Sunday 10* Top Play Illinois-Chicago Flames (+) vs UNC Greensboro Spartans @ 7 ET -As I mentioned in yesterday's write-up on UIC, the Flames were off a blowout win Friday so they were able to rest guys and only 2 guys exceeded 27 minutes and neither one of those topped the 31 minute mark. UIC is well-coached and now the coach has been able to assemble the type of roster he wants here. It has been process for sure but this Flames team looks stronger this season than they have been in a long time. Now Illinois-Chicago is 5-1 on the season and that was a solid George Washington team they beat yesterday. Now they face UNC Greensboro. The Spartans are 4-1 on the season and have looked strong but they have hit a very high percentage of 3's recently and now face tough tourney situation in that it is a B2B2B and the hot shooting fades. Couple that with the fact they've been giving up too many offensive boards and this is not the right kind of team to take advantage of the Flames guard-heavy style. The Flames will fare well in this match-up and I like having the sizable points in this one. Also UIC has some height and length edges in guard play as well. Grab the points! Illinois-Chicago (+) |
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11-26-23 | Blue Jackets v. Hurricanes -1.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -120 | 4 h 14 m | Show |
NHL 10* Top Play Carolina Hurricanes Puck Line -1.5 -120 vs Columbus Blue Jackets @ 5:07 ET - This is a great spot because the Jackets are off B2B wins and have NOT won 3 straight games yet this season and now they are in the wrong place at the wrong time. The Hurricanes are off an 8-2 loss to Tampa Bay. It was the night the Lightning got goalie Vasilevskiy back and it was in Carolina! It was an ugly loss despite the fact the Hurricanes allowed only 14 shots on goal in that game. Truly and unheard of type of loss and this Carolina team is too good to not bounce back after a game like that. In fact, they are already 5-0 this season when off a loss in which they were held to 3 or less goals. They will again bounce back here. The Blue Jackets are 0-8 the last 8 times they have entered a game on a winning streak of 2 games dating back to when they ended a 3-game winning streak the season BEFORE last season! Also, of those 8 losses, ALL 5 of the defeats against an Eastern Conference foe were by a multi-goal margin. So we are testing 100% multi-year spot with this puck line play. Lay it! 10* CAROLINA -1.5 -120 |
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11-26-23 | Bills +3 v. Eagles | Top | 34-37 | Push | 0 | 6 h 13 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play Buffalo Bills (+) @ Philadelphia Eagles @ 4:25 ET - This is a very tough spot for the Eagles. They are off two of their biggest wins of the season as they beat their biggest division rival threat, the Cowboys, and then went out and got Super Bowl revenge at Kansas City Monday night. Short week, traveling, B2B huge wins...and now hosting a Bills team that is off a huge win after firing their offensive coordinator. Before you say it was only the Jets last week, the fact is the New York defense is respectable and the Bills really did a number on them last week. I look for the Eagles to be emotionally spent for this one and I expect Buffalo to take advantage. The Bills have a bye week on deck so they will go all out here. The Eagles did have a bye week between the Cowboys and Chiefs game but I still think this Philly team is going to be out of gas here. Keep in mind, if that pass was not dropped last week, KC wins that game over the Eagles. In my mind, the current Bills, after the OC change, are truly a much better team than their 6-5 record while the Eagles are a very strong team but truly not a 9-1 team. Just look at this line for validation of that. The odds makers are saying this 6-5 team is equal to this 9-1 team and that is why Philly favored by only 3 even though this game is on their home field! That said, the public likely to look hard at the Eagles here but the sharp money - including ours - will be on the Bills. 10* BUFFALO |
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11-26-23 | Browns v. Broncos -114 | Top | 12-29 | Win | 100 | 8 h 5 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play Denver Broncos (-) vs Cleveland Browns @ 4:05 ET - This line is -1 as of about 8 hours before kickoff but why even lay -1 -110 when there is access to -120 or -115 on the money line. The latter is my recommendation on this one and I do look for Denver to come up with a dominating win but, just in case it is tight, would be nice to have a pick'em rather than laying even 1 point. The Browns got a tight win last week but that was at home and now their rookie QB is going on the road for the first time and the Broncos come into this one surging. Also, Cleveland's win with the rookie at QB was over a Steelers team that entered the game 6-3 on the season but has now been outgained in all 10 games this season. The point is that this is going to be a tough spot for Dorian Thompson-Robinson (DTR) as Denver is at home and has won 4 straight games. Even the defense is gaining some confidence as the Broncos have allowed only 17.4 ppg last 5 games and that included facing Chiefs twice plus Bills and Vikings! Both the Browns and Broncos have been winning tight games of late but, again, this is first NFL road game for a rookie QB and if we have another tight game on our hands I will take the now-rejuvenated veteran Russell Wilson over an NFL rookie making his first ever start every time. Look for Wilson and the Broncos to stay red hot. Cleveland might be out of gas off B2B tight, hard-fought late wins over divisional opponents. 10* DENVER (-) |
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11-26-23 | Steaua Bucharesti v. Dinamo Bucuresti OVER 2.75 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -116 | 11 h 40 m | Show |
Rotation #206885: Romania Liga 1: Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 3 +110 in Dinamo Bucuresti vs FCSB @ 1:30 ET - There is snow here in Romania this morning but it is a little heavier in the Galati area in comparison with the Bucuresti area where I live. This match is the one today that is in my city and by game time for this one it is expected to have moved out of the area and I expect decent field conditions in Bucuresti for this one. Even with cold weather, you can see the odds makers are holding this total at a 3. This is not a mistake. We should see plenty of fireworks here for this one. There is no love lost between these two Bucuresti clubs and this is a rivalry match that should bring out the best in Dinamo. However, they are near the bottom of the table and FCSB is at the top and the reality is Dinamo will push hard here on the attack but their weak defense will be exploited. 4 of the last 5 meetings between these rivals in Liga 1 action have totaled at least 3 goals and those 4 matches averaged 4 goals apiece. FCSB enters this match with each of last 3 matches totaling at least 3 goals. Dinamo often struggles to score but they are allowing an average of 2 goals per match this season and plus, with nothing to lose, will go all out on the attack and be aggressive in that end of the pitch. 10* OVER 3 +110 in Dinamo Bucuresti |
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11-26-23 | Steelers v. Bengals +2.5 | Top | 16-10 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 20 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play Cincinnati Bengals (+) vs Pittsburgh Steelers @ 1 ET - This line is currently as high as +2.5 as of about 6 hours before kickoff and I have been waiting but, of course can't wait too long, hoping we might even see +3 start to pop up. Either way, I don't think we'll even need the points. In my opinion, the Steelers are the worst 6-4 football team in the history of the NFL. They have been outgained in every single game this season. Yes, 10 straight games to start the season Pittsburgh has NEVER won the stats battle. It will catch up with them. They lost to the Browns in OT last week and now this week I expect them to lose to the Bengals. We get line value here with a nice home dog spot on Cincy because of Burrow being out. Don't be surprised if Browning plays well here. It is good he got some action last week and now he's been able to work with the first team offense and prepare all week for this game. He is ready and so is Cincinnati. This is a big game for them. The Steelers have revenge here as they suffered a home loss in the most recent meeting between these division rivals. However, Pittsburgh entered this season 1-6 ATS when playing with revenge and facing a team off a SU loss. The Bengals off tough B2B SU/ATS losses and will bounce back here. In fact, Cincinnati is a PERFECT 7-0 ATS the last 7 times they have entered a game off B2B SU/ATS losses. 10* CINCINNATI + |
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11-26-23 | Manchester United v. Everton OVER 2.5 | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 7 h 59 m | Show |
Rotation #200033: English Premier League Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 -115 in Everton vs Manchester United @ 11:30 AM ET - Everton just handed a 10-point deduction in the table for rules violations so I expect them to respond in a big way here as they are fired up and have been playing well on the pitch but now are in the relegation zone because of the penalty. Manchester United also has been dealing with off the field distractions and needs to respond here. That said, they are sure to bring their A game here as well. I know they have not been scoring well in EPL action but this Man U club has the attackers necessary to close out scoring chances in the final third. I look for them to finally get untracked in this one as I expect an aggressive approach from both clubs given the recent events that transpired. Both want (and need) the full 3 points as Man U even has Championship League place aspirations again this season as they have responded after a slow start to the campaign. That said, a 1-1 type battle here will eventually find its way to at least 2-1 given the incentive of each club in this one. Neither will just settle for a draw here. Man U actually does not have a draw yet in their dozen matches this season and I can not envision either club being held scoreless here. Hence, strong odds that 1-1 becomes 2-1 eventually. Man U off a 1-0 win but that was against Luton Town and Man United had allowed 2.5 goals per match last 4 matches across all competitions prior to that 1-0 win. Everton, across all competitions, has seen 8 of last 12 matches total at least 3 goals. More of the same in store here. 10* OVER 2.5 -115 |
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11-26-23 | CS U Craiova v. Otelul OVER 2 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 54 m | Show |
Rotation #206877: Romania Liga 1: Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2 -120 in Otelul Galati vs Universitatea Craiova @ 10:30 AM ET - There is snow here in Romania this morning and it is a little heavier in the Galati area in comparison with the Bucuresti area where I live. However, by game time for this one it is expected to have moved out of the area and I expect decent field conditions in Galati for this one. The fact this total is down to a 2 makes it a must play for me. Galati has gone 5 straight matches across all competitions without a defeat and they are playing with added confidence plus off a big 4-2 win over UTA Arad. As for Universitatea Craiova, they are off a win in the debut of coach Ivaylo Petev and, across all competitions, have gone 3 straight matches undefeated. So you have a couple clubs playing with confidence and the fact the first match was a scoreless meeting way back early in the season in July is keeping this total lower than it should be. I know Galati are the draw specialists in the league (11 in 16 matches) and we could see 1-1 here but Universitatea Craiova has only a 31% draw rate this season and I am banking on a 2-1 type match here. 10* OVER 2 -120 in Otelul Galati |
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11-26-23 | Aston Villa v. Tottenham Hotspur OVER 3 | Top | 2-1 | Push | 0 | 5 h 47 m | Show |
Rotation #200029: English Premier League Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 3 -125 in Tottenham vs Aston Villa @ 9 AM ET - Tottenham does have injury issues but this includes to their defense which was a big issue in their most recent matches. That said, Aston Villa is a goal-happy club that is certain to take advantage and be aggressive on the attack in this one. The issue for the visitors is this Hotspur club still has solid attacking options and they are so tough at home and will be able to get some scoring going as well. This one has the makings of a 2-2 type battle. Note that 4 of the last 5 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 3 goals. Also, across all competitions, Aston Villa has scored at least 2 goals in 5 of last 6 matches! They averaged scoring 3 goals per match in those 5 matches and are playing with a lot of confidence. Tottenham is averaging scoring 2 goals per match on the season. Don't be surprised if each club reaches the multi-goal mark in this one. 10* OVER 3 -125 |
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11-25-23 | Flyers +137 v. Islanders | Top | 1-0 | Win | 137 | 6 h 57 m | Show |
NHL Saturday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers Money Line +135 @ New York Islanders @ 7:37 ET - This is a great spot for the underdog Flyers. They lost at home to the Rangers yesterday but outshot New York by nearly a 2 to 1 ratio! Even though Hart was in goal yesterday and that means this will likely be Ersson between the pipes, the latter has been playing quite well in recent starts. Also, Sorokin likely in goal for the Islanders here in this B2B spot and the Isles are off a win yesterday and were at Ottawa. The travel situation actually favors the Flyers here. Also, they have revenge and plus Sorokin, before that start against Philly, has struggled this season. The Flyers are off B2B losses but are already 2-0 this season when they enter a road game on a losing streak of 2 or more games. Look for that record to improve to 3-0 here as before B2B losses they won 5 straight. The Isles have won 3 straight but that included tight wins and, prior to this, they had enduring a long overall losing stretch all the way back to mid-October. Great underdog value here and payback revenge for the Flyers. 10* PHILADELPHIA +135 |
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11-25-23 | Illinois-Chicago -118 v. George Washington | Top | 89-79 | Win | 100 | 6 h 10 m | Show |
Rotation #655: CBB Saturday 10* Top Play Illinois-Chicago Flames Pick -115 vs George Washington Revolutionaries @ 7 ET - GW is off a double-OT game and that will be tough on them here in this tourney being played in the Bahamas. Also, while they had 4 guys top the 40 minute mark and 1 total 34 minutes, the Flames are off a blowout win so they were able to rest guys and only 2 guys exceeded 27 minutes and neither one of those topped the 31 minute mark. UIC is well-coached and now the coach has been able to assemble the type of roster he wants here. It has been process for sure but this Flames team looks stronger this season than they have been in a long time. There is a reason the 4-1 team is a small favorite over the 5-0 undefeated George Washington team. Don't let the line fool you. Lay it! Illinois-Chicago -115 |
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11-25-23 | 76ers -115 v. Thunder | Top | 127-123 | Win | 100 | 5 h 56 m | Show |
NBA Saturday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -115 @ Oklahoma City Thunder @ 5:10 ET - The Sixers off B2B losses including a bad one at Minnesota in which Embiid missed because it was a back to back and he needed to rest his hip. However, he is expected back here and we get nice value because the Sixers are on the road and facing a tough team. I do respect this Thunder team and they are playing solid basketball. However, the Sixers rarely get on losing streaks and I expect them to put a stop to this one here. Last season and into this season they have been very strong when entering a game off B2B losses or 3 losses in a row (rare) and they have not lost 4 straight last season or this season. I like the Sixers team chemistry this season and they will respond here tonight. The road team won both meetings between these teams last season and that included the Thunder winning the most recent game which was at Philly. So the Sixers can also get some payback in this one tonight. The Thunder are tied with Minnesota at the top of the NW Division and they have the Wolves on deck so this is also a lookahead spot for OKC. The Thunder are 6-1 on the road this season but 5-3 at home. Sixers bounce back here. 10* PHILADELPHIA -115 |
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11-25-23 | Alabama -13 v. Auburn | Top | 27-24 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 24 m | Show |
CFB Saturday 10* Top Play Alabama Crimson Tide (-) @ Auburn Tigers @ 3:30 ET - This line keeps dropping and is now down to a 13 as for about 7 hours before kickoff. The fact is the Crimson Tide are already locked into the SEC title game next week BUT there is no way they will come out flat in this rivalry game. Coach Nick Saban knows that coach Hugh Freeze has led his teams to a few wins over him in SEC action and no one else has won more than one over him. Not only that, Saban knows his team can not afford come out flat here and have an ugly performance and then expect to be at their best against Georgia next week. So the Tide will be well prepared and roll here as they have been rolling for quite some time now after a slow start this season. They are now 7-0 SU in SEC action on the season while the Tigers are 3-4 SU in SEC games and here is a huge key. The 3 wins for Auburn have come against Arkansas, Vanderbilt, and Mississippi State. Those 3 teams are a combined 2-21 in SEC action this season and are easily the 3 worst teams in the league. Now the Tigers face one of the leagues best and the Crimson Tide have won 4 straight games each by 14 or more points. This line dropping to 13 make this one particularly attractive. The Tigers off that ugly loss last week which completely deflated their confidence. Auburn got hammered by New Mexico State last week! The Tide will bring their A game and are firing on all cylinders right now and win by a multi-TD margin! Mismatch! 10* ALABAMA (-) |
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11-25-23 | Colorado v. Utah -20.5 | Top | 17-23 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 52 m | Show |
CFB Saturday 10* Top Play Utah Utes (-) vs Colorado Buffaloes @ 3 ET - This line is around a 20.5 as of 7 hours before kickoff. As long-time followers know, I do not normally lay big points. However, when the situation calls for it, I have no hesitation. This Colorado team is really bad. They are so weak in the trenches on both sides of the ball. So no matter how much talent you have at the skill positions, you struggle as a team. Now, even more concerning for the Buffaloes here is the most key skill position of them all (QB) is an issue heading into this one as Sanders got hurt in most recent game and may not be able to go here. Even if he is under center for this one, he will not be 100% and will be running for his life most of this game. The Utes come into this one angry off a bad loss at Arizona. Utah has lost 3 of 4 but the other two losses were to Oregon and Washington. Those are two very strong teams of course. Also, they did cover against the Huskies and, after the ugly loss to the Ducks, they responded as they so often do. They thrashed Arizona State 55 to 3! Now, after an ugly loss to the Wildcats, I am sure we will see a response here! The Utes are often so strong in the trenches and that is particularly true off a bad loss. Utah is known for toughening up and pounding teams after they themselves suffer a rare beatdown. Whittingham has coached the Utes for nearly two decades and he is the exact opposite of flashy Buffaloes coach Deion Sanders who is in his first year at Colorado and getting a baptism by fire in the Pac-12. The Buffaloes are 4-7 but could just as easily be 1-10 on the season. They get exposed again by a superior team and the Utes will not let up here. 10* UTAH UTES (-) |
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11-25-23 | UTA Arad v. CFR Cluj OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -118 | 8 h 34 m | Show |
Rotation #206865: Romania Liga 1: Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in CFR Cluj vs UTA Arad @ 1:30 ET - It will be cold in Cluj-Napoca for this one with temperatures near freezing. However, no snow expected until Sunday. I am expecting decent field conditions for this one and note that CFR Cluj has been one of the best clubs in the league again this season. They will want to prove something here as the manager will have his team fired up about some rumors involving another Romanian manager replacing him. Keep in mind, CFR Cluj has been playing well overall so I think they are going to play very strong here after all this "noise" in particular. Also, they are off a 3-3 draw on the road plus won their most recent home match 3-1. So the goals will be flying here. Arad did lose the first meeting this season between these clubs by an identical 3-1 score. Arad enters this one having scored at least 2 goals in 5 straight matches and these matches have averaged 4.4 goals apiece! 10* OVER 2.5 in CFR Cluj |
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11-25-23 | Arsenal v. Brentford OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 21 m | Show |
Rotation #200020: English Premier League: Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 -115 in Brentford vs Arsenal @ 12:30 ET - Brentford screwed up in their most recent match and tried to go to 5 men on defense and it backfired. It hurt their firepower and they still could not stop Liverpool anyway and lost the match 3 to 0. Prior to that match, Brentford had won 3 straight matches and scored an average of 2.7 goals per match. The Bees will bounce back here in terms of taking a more aggressive approach on the attack. However, Arsenal is having a rock solid season and is near the top of the table and has scored an average of 2 goals per match on the season. Couple that with the Bees in bounceback mode on their home pitch and off a shutout loss, I am looking for at least a 2-1 final in this one but expecting even more. 10* OVER 2.5 -115 in Brentford |
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11-25-23 | Ohio State +3.5 v. Michigan | Top | 24-30 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 31 m | Show |
CFB Saturday 10* Top Play Ohio State Buckeyes (+) @ Michigan Wolverines @ Noon ET - Michigan has won the last two meetings but this was after many years of domination for Ohio State. The Buckeyes should resume their winning ways in this rivalry this season as this will be the game that the Wolverines being without coach Harbaugh is finally going to come back to bite them. These two teams are quite evenly matched and for me the key angle here is the revenge factor and the coaching factor. It is not often that Ohio State is a dog and, when they are in a range of +3.5 (the line here) to +7.5 it shows you they are playing a quality team but also means the situation is not such a disadvantage that they are a heavy dog. Sure enough the Buckeyes - this includes bowl games - have excelled in this situation of being a dog of more than a FG but less than 8 points. In other words, not a 2-possession line. They have actually gotten the upset on a number of occasions when priced between 3.5 and 7.5 as an underdog but the key is they are a perfect 7-0 ATS last 7 times and no this is not ancient data. It is all since the 2014 season. I like the Buckeyes again in this spot as it makes sense this angle works as you have one of the best teams in the nation getting points. I respect Michigan but they have not looked as sharp past two games and again being without Harbaugh will hurt them as they now face a dominant team that has continued to roll here late in the season. Grab the points, 3.5, as of about 4 and 1/2 hours before kick-off. 10* OHIO STATE + |
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11-25-23 | Farul Constanta 1920 v. Voluntari OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 46 m | Show |
Rotation #206881: Romania Liga 1: Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in FC Voluntari vs Farul Constanta @ 10:30 AM ET - Hagi, the manager of Farul, will have to be in the stands for this one due to suspension. Though Farul has been playing better of late and they will have to be aggressive here against a Voluntari, this could effect some tactical matters without the tactician on the sideline and that means some extra scoring chances in a wide-open affair. One thing for sure is the weather is nasty here in Bucuresti today (Voluntari a suburb of the city I am currently in) but the slick field could even maximize scoring chances with some defensive slip-ups. One key is that this is a rather new stadium and has one of the better fields in the league. So the rain will not have as much of an impact here as it would in an older venue with a bad field for example. Both clubs are seeing their matches average 3 goals apiece this season and Voluntari has scored well recently but also allowed 2 goals per match last 3. Farul won the last meeting 4-1 but also has allowed 1.5 goals per match last 4 matches as they enter this one. So we should see at least a 2-1 final here. Farul has both scored and conceded in 5 straight matches. 10* OVER 2.5 in FC Voluntari |
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11-25-23 | Chelsea v. Newcastle United OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 5 m | Show |
Rotation #2000091: English Premier League: Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 -120 in Newcastle United vs Chelsea @ 10 AM ET - Chelsea is a different club under Mauricio Pochettino and have been scoring goals like crazy. Couple that with the fact Newcastle United is on their home pitch and known for scoring much better here than on the road and you have a great set-up for an over. Also, the international break was a much-wanted recovery period for the hosts in this one and they should get some get players back for this one. The result should be at least a 2-1 final in an entertaining affair here. 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 -120 in Newcastle United |
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11-24-23 | Pistons +7.5 v. Pacers | Top | 113-136 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 17 m | Show |
NBA Friday 10* Top Play Detroit Pistons (+) @ Indiana Pacers @ 8:10 ET - As of about 8 hours before tipoff this line is in the 7.5 range and the Pacers are hurting with some injuries including top scorer Haliburton. Even if he plays, he is dealing with right wrist pain. That will not help in the scoring department. That said, the Pacers have to score a ton to win games because this team just not play defense. There is a reason this line is coming down even though we are talking about a Detroit team (2-13) that has the worst record in the league. Pacers allowing 126.4 ppg and this is the worst mark in the league. If you look at Indiana's last 6 games, none were Pacers wins by more than 6 points and they have gone just 3-3 in those games. There is a reason some action is coming in on a team that has lost 12 straight games, 5 of the last 7 defeats have been by a single digit margin. Look for another very tight game here as the Pistons are very hungry for a win and will take advantage of shoddy defensive play of the Pacers. 10* DETROIT (+) |
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11-24-23 | Jets +123 v. Panthers | Top | 3-0 | Win | 123 | 5 h 5 m | Show |
NHL Friday Winnipeg Jets Money Line +125 @ Florida Panthers @ 8:05 ET - The Jets have been hot with wins in 9 of 11. Also, Winnipeg welcomes back coach Bowness for this one after a leave of absence tending to his wife (illness). That said, I look for the Jets to rally around him and him being back and Hellebuyck certainly rates the goalie edge over the Panthers Bobrovsky. The latter has been very inconsistent this season with a number of bad starts. The Panthers also lost the first meeting at Winnipeg this season. This Jets team is just too hot and this is a great underdog price on them. Florida has lost 2 of 4 and this is another tough match-up for them. 10* WINNIPEG +125 |
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11-24-23 | Texas Tech +14 v. Texas | Top | 7-57 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 37 m | Show |
CFB Friday 10* Top Play Texas Tech Red Raiders (+) @ Texas Longhorns @ 7:30 ET - The Red Raiders are catching +14 here as of early game day morning. This is a big rivalry. These schools definitely do like each other. Even though Texas has revenge and should find a way to win this, I feel the line is far too big. The Red Raiders clinched bowl eligibility last week so you might think they would be flat here. On the contrary though, I feel this will allow Texas Tech to play loose and relaxed and confident here and that makes for a dangerous underdog. The Red Raiders would love nothing more than to prevent Texas from getting to the Big 12 Championship. The Longhorns lost to Oklahoma earlier this season so an OU win, Okla St win and Texas loss would leave Horns out of the picture. I am not saying an upset happens here but I am saying all the pressure is on UT. The Horns are 5-1 SU last 6 games but only one of those wins was by more than 10 points. Also, the Red Raiders are 5-2 SU last 7 games and on a 3-game winning streak SU and their first 3 losses this season were by 8 or less points. They only have 1 loss (17 points) by more than a 13-point margin this entire season. Given all these numbers, a 2-touchdown line here is substantial. Grab the big points. 10* TEXAS TECH (+) |
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11-24-23 | Penn State -22 v. Michigan State | Top | 42-0 | Win | 100 | 13 h 20 m | Show |
CFB Friday 10* Penn State Nittany Lions (-) at Michigan State Spartans @ 7:30 ET in Detroit - This is a neutral site venue but of course if favors the Spartans as the game is at Ford Field in Detroit. However, the fact the Nittany Lions are traveling actually is good news for their backers. Penn State lost on the road at Ohio State (as usual) this season but their other 3 road games have all been wins and by a combined score of 122-41. The Nittany Lions only two losses this season are to the Buckeyes and the Wolverines. They are just not quite at the level of OSU or Michigan just yet but they are close. Michigan State is not and that is why this is a play for me even with the Nittany Lions a 22-point road favorite as of early game day morning. The Spartans are a mess with the in-season coaching change and player departures and player injuries. Yes they snuck by Indiana last week but they lost by a combined 87 to 3 to Ohio State and Michigan. The Nittany Lions are not far from the level of those two teams as I noted above. That said, the average margin of those two Michigan State defeats was 42 points and we only need to win this by about half that. Penn State is going for a New Year's Day bowl so they will still be focused here. With no concerns about a Big Ten Championship they can play loose and relaxed here and I expect their season-long trend of pounding the bad teams (especially away from home) to continue here with a win by at least a 4 TD margin! 10* PENN STATE (-) |
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11-24-23 | Seton Hall +1.5 v. Iowa | Top | 72-85 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 55 m | Show |
CBB Friday 10* Top Play Seton Hall (+) vs Iowa Hawkeyes @ 6 ET - Iowa might rate as a slightly better overall team and Seton Hall is only +1 or +1.5 as of about 5 hours before tipoff. However, the better defense belongs to the Pirates. Iowa certainly has some key seniors too but the overall rotation for Seton Hall is loaded with seniors. They are coming off their first loss off the season. Conversely the Hawkeyes have lost 2 of 3 games now. They are a very good team and score well but they are not good on the defensive end. That said, the defensive edges for the Pirates and the fact this is a veteran-laden team early in the season coming off their first loss has me siding with the small dog here. 10* SETON HALL (+) |