Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-17-23 | SV Werder Bremen v. Borussia Monchengladbach OVER 3 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show |
German Bundesliga Friday OVER 3 in Borussia Monchengladbach vs Werder Bremen @ 3:30 ET - The last two meetings between these clubs have each totaled 6 goals! Borussia Monchengladbach is scoring an average of 2 goals per match as a host this season. Also, Werder Bremen is conceding an average of 2 goals per match on the road this season. However, Werder Bremen should also score well here as they have scored 7 goals in the last 2 meetings and have averaged scoring 2 goals in last 3 matches overall. Also, Borussia Monchengladbach has one scoreless draw last 5 matches but, in the other 4, they allowed 3.3 goals per match. OVER 3 in Borussia Monchengladbach |
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03-17-23 | Pittsburgh +5 v. Iowa State | Top | 59-41 | Win | 100 | 6 h 25 m | Show |
NCAA Friday Pittsburgh Panthers +5 vs Iowa State Cyclones @ 3:10 ET - As mentioned in my write-up on Pittsburgh in Tuesday's win over Mississippi State, the Panthers opened the season with a 1-3 mark so they had won 75% of their games (21-7 run) prior to the loss to big bad Duke in the ACC Tourney. I realize the Cyclones also played powerful Kansas in their Big 12 Tourney loss, but the point is simply that Pitt has plenty of confidence here and yet one could argue that Iowa St has become accustomed to mediocrity this season based on their current 6-11 run since their 13-2 start. We have value here with a scrappy ACC team that is going to play very hard in this one and be very difficult for Iowa State to put away. At the same time, I feel the pressure is more on Iowa State here as they advance all the way to the Sweet 16 last year so expectations are high and the pressure is on the Cyclones to avoid an early exit. Conversely, the Panthers are a team on the rise this season playing without fear or pressure after last season's ugly 11-21 disaster. PITTSBURGH +5 |
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03-16-23 | Penn State +2.5 v. Texas A&M | Top | 76-59 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
NCAA Tourney Thursday Penn State Nittany Lions +2.5 or +3 vs Texas A & M Aggies @ 9:55 ET - This is a contrarian play but you can just sense what is about to happen if you are a believer in the contrarian theory like I am. The thing is the Aggies were bitter with the committee last season and then perhaps that resulted in them being under-seeded here this season. But how about what that has set up for them? A win here and they likely would be facing Texas next unless Colgate pulls off a monumental upset. So the point is that it is almost unavoidable that Texas A & M already has one eye on facing big-time in-state rival Longhorns. Yes they do not meet often like they did before the Aggies bolted to the SEC but it is still a big rivalry in Texas. That said, don't be surprised if there is a slight distraction here for the Aggies. That said, all it takes is a little distraction and a solid Big Ten team like Penn State can swoop in and take advantage. The Aggies just got hammered by Alabama by nearly 20 points in the SEC Championship Game while the Nittany Lions lost by only 2 points to the Nittany Lions. Each of last 5 losses by PSU were by only a single digit margin. This line simply looks funny to me and I feel we are getting excellent situation to back the Lions for the mild upset because the odds makers are telling us something here with this very low line on the Aggies in this one. PENN STATE +2.5 or +3 |
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03-16-23 | Stars v. Oilers OVER 6.5 | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -128 | 9 h 26 m | Show |
NHL Thursday OVER 6.5 in Edmonton Oilers vs Dallas Stars @ 9:05 ET - The Oilers 20 of last 27 games have totaled at least 7 goals. Edmonton has scored an average of 4.6 goals per game last 11 on home ice. The Oilers do struggle to stop teams more often than not and have allowed 4 goals per game last 9 games. Edmonton matched up with Dallas should mean plenty of goals as the Stars have had 7 straight games total at least 7 goals! Dallas is off a 5-2 loss but the Stars had scored an average of 4.8 goals per game in their 8 games before that one. Yes, the Oilers have some injury issues here but just can not see anything other than a high-scoring battle happening in Alberta for this Western Conference battle. OVER 6.5 in Edmonton |
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03-16-23 | Colgate v. Texas -13 | Top | 61-81 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show |
NCAA Thursday Texas Longhorns -13 vs Colgate Raiders @ 7:25 ET - I know that Colgate has strong shooters but Texas is so strong defensively and just beat Kansas by 20 points to capture the Big 12 title. The Raiders lost by just 7 in the Big Dance last year but faced a Wisconsin team that certainly was built much differently than this Longhorns team is. Also, the prior year Colgate lost by 17 to Arkansas in the NCAA Tourney. Also, I like the fact that this line has ticked down a little bit. Keep in mind, UT has allowed only 55.5 points last 4 games. Colgate has won 9 straight games but the level of competition different of course plus, in the last 7 victories, the Raiders have allowed an average of 71 ppg! That is much different than the Horns recent average and then when you factor in the difference in level of competition you can see why I am expecting this one to be a blowout in the 20-point range. Fade the line move here. TEXAS -13 |
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03-16-23 | Canadiens v. Panthers OVER 6.5 | Top | 5-9 | Win | 100 | 7 h 51 m | Show |
NHL Thursday OVER 6.5 in Florida Panthers vs Montreal Canadiens @ 7:05 ET - Florida won the first two games in high-scoring fashion by scores of 7 to 2 and 6 to 2. Look for another wild one here as Montreal enters this game with 5 of last 6 games having totaled at least 7 goals. The Canadiens are off a 6-4 win after an 8-4 loss. The Panthers had been on a surprising mini-streak of lower-scoring games but things seem to be quickly returning to normal now as Florida is off B2B high-scoring games. 12 of last 17 Panthers home games have totaled at least 7 goals and this one should too. OVER 6.5 in Florida |
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03-16-23 | Illinois v. Arkansas OVER 144 | Top | 63-73 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 3 m | Show |
NCAA Tourney Thursday OVER 144 in Arkansas Razorbacks vs Illinois Illini @ 4:30 ET - I just do not trust either team defensively here and I like the pacing with which both these teams should play here. Note that Illinois was 3-5 in final 8 games of the season and, not including OT points, allowed at least 69 points in 7 of 8 games. In fact, those 8 games saw the Illini allow an average of 74 points per game. As for the Razorbacks, they lost 4 of their last 5 games and allowed an average of 78 points per game in those 5 games. Also, Arkansas did score at least 76 points in 5 of 6 games before bowing out in the SEC Tourney against Texas A & M. Given all these numbers and this line right around a pick'em, you can see why I am projecting a game in which each team gets into the 75 point range and that pushes this game into the 150s this afternoon. OVER 144 in Arkansas |
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03-16-23 | Sporting Lisbon v. Arsenal OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -140 | 10 h 31 m | Show |
Europa League Thursday OVER 2.5 -140 in Arsenal vs Sporting Lisbon @ 4 ET - The first match between these clubs was a 2-2 draw and that means both clubs are motivated to be on the attack here early on and getting that early goal will be top of mind and force the other club to fight back. The thing is that Arsenal has allowed some goals recently with, prior to the 3-0 win over Fulham, having given up 2 goals apiece against Sporting Lisbon and AFC Bournemouth. As for Sporting Lisbon they will be missing a mid-field and a centre-back here which should make the Arsenal attack even more successful. Sporting Lisbon has averaged 2.4 goals scored last 5 matches and Arsenal is on their home pitch here plus has scored an average of 3 goals last 4 matches. Honestly 3-2 would not surprise me at all here and certainly we should get to at least a 2-1 final in this one. OVER 2.5 -140 in Arsenal |
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03-16-23 | U Craiova 1948 v. Sepsi OVER 2.25 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 107 | 9 h 53 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Thursday OVER 2 -145 in Sepsi vs U Craiova 1948 @ 3 ET - Neither club has been scoring well recently in last few matches but Sepsi is on their home pitch and they have to push hard here. That is because they are 1 point behind U Craiova 1948 so they can not settle for a draw here as then they would remain behind them in the standings. This is the final match of the regular season so it does carry some extra importance in this regard. So Sepsi pushes hard for that first goal but also U Craiova 1948 then will need to push too because they need at least a draw here to remain ahead of Sepsi in the standings. That said, I just can not envision this match not getting to at least a 2-1 final due to the motivational factors here. OVER 2 -145 in Sepsi |
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03-15-23 | Islanders v. Ducks OVER 5.5 | Top | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show |
NHL Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 5.5 in Anaheim Ducks vs New York Islanders @ 10:05 ET - Islanders are in a B2B spot and off a 5-2 loss after also losing their prior game 5-1. Off B2B losses they should respond here but now both Sorokin and Varlamov have struggled in goal in the past two games. So Isles will respond with goals here, especially against a suspect Ducks defense that allows a ton of shots and also has been having some shakiness in goal. However, the Islanders in tough spot defensively and in goal and Anaheim will take advantage too. But as for the Ducks goaltending, Gibson was playing better but then he allowed 4 goals in most recent start and that was 2nd time last 3 starts that he has struggled. As for the other netminder, Dostal, he has allowed 4.5 goals per game in his last 4 starts. So, either way, reason to expect solid scoring from both clubs here no matter the netminders. Also, consider this stat from Isles home games: 9 of last 12 have totaled at least 6 goals and these dozen games have averaged 7.4 goals per game! More of the same here as this one should get to at least 6 without a problem as this looks like one of those games where each club has strong odds of getting to at least 3 goals. 10* OVER 5.5 in Anaheim |
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03-15-23 | Arizona State v. Nevada +2.5 | Top | 98-73 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 21 m | Show |
NCAA Wednesday 10* Top Play Nevada Wolf Pack +2.5 vs Arizona State Sun Devils @ 9:10 ET - The Mountain West was quite solid this season and that is absolutely a factor in this play for me. Yes, Arizona State comes from the perceived tougher conference since they are from the Pac-12. However, the Sun Devils started the season 15-3. That means ASU is entering this game having lost 9 of 16 games. Indeed, Arizona State is on a 7-9 run so it is hard to be excited about this team right now in my opinion. As for Nevada, they have lost 3 straight games but the last two were in OT and one of those was in double-OT! That said, very tight losses for the Wolf Pack and all of this preceded by a a 22-7 start to the season! Of their 10 losses his season, 4 were by a single digit margin in regulation and another 3 were decided in overtime! They are ultra-competitive and match up well with the Sun Devils. That said, I am expecting an outright upset here but a loss by just a 1 or 2 point margin would not shock me either and we would still get the cash. Roll with the underdog Wolf Pack in this one! 10* NEVADA +2.5 |
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03-15-23 | 76ers -140 v. Cavs | Top | 118-109 | Win | 100 | 10 h 1 m | Show |
NBA Wednesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers Money Line -140 @ Cleveland Cavaliers @ 7:40 ET - This line is a -2.5 so I am going to recommend laying a little extra juice to have any SU win by the 76ers also be a win for us at the betting window. The Sixers have had a lot of tight wins this season and I do not want to get burned if they win this game by only a point or two. Philly beat Cleveland by 6 recently but had a huge lead in that game and then relaxed at home. They will not make the same mistake here plus Allen and Mitchell were healthy for that game for the Cavaliers but neither are healthy now. That said, I am expecting them to each play tonight but not to be 100 percent. Couple that with the fact this is a B2B spot for the Cavs and with travel involved and you have a great set-up here for a rested Sixers team! Lay it! 10* PHILADELPHIA -140 |
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03-15-23 | Texas Southern v. Fairleigh Dickinson +2.5 | Top | 61-84 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
NCAA Wednesday 10* Top Play Fairleigh Dickinson Knights +2.5 vs Texas Southern Tigers @ 6:40 ET - The Knights got a new head coach and he has been a winner in his career and brought the winning to Fairleigh Dickinson immediately. It was a big turnaround from last season for the Knights and similar to my successful selection on Pittsburgh yesterday (Panthers also off a turnaround season) I feel Fairleigh Dickinson will follow the same storyline here. They have won 16 of 25 games since a slow start to the season. Conversely, the Tigers are just 14-20 this season and went 7-11 in a weak SWAC and plus lost their 3 final regular season games before getting hot in their conference tourney. Give them credit for making it but this team is so much weaker than the one that went 18-12 last season and then knocked off Texas A & M Corpus Christi the First Four last March. That said, there is a reason this line opened up around a pick'em on Texas Southern. People like them with the experience edge here but I am fading that as I like the coaching of the Knights and they were the stronger overall team winning 64% of their last 25 games and now have built confidence. Grab the points but we should not need them. 10* FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON +2.5 |
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03-15-23 | Liverpool v. Real Madrid OVER 3 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -118 | 10 h 15 m | Show |
Champions League Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 3 in Real Madrid vs Liverpool @ 4 ET - Liverpool has to go for it here. They were up 2-0 in the first match and then lost 5-2 to Real Madrid. Down 3 goals on the aggregate, Liverpool has no choice but to be aggressive here. Of course this will be dangerous as Real Madrid can do damage on the counterattack. This is particularly true with Benzema expected back for this one for the hosts. That said, the result should be plenty of scoring in this match. Remember Liverpool did recently thrash Manchester United 7-0 so there is some sliver of hope here for the Reds though it would take a minor miracle of course to win big on the road here at Real Madrid. That said, I am simply looking for a score-fest here as Liverpool must be aggressive throughout in this one. 10* OVER 3 in Real Madrid |
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03-15-23 | Crystal Palace v. Brighton & Hove Albion -1 | Top | 0-1 | Push | 0 | 9 h 25 m | Show |
EPL Wednesday 10* Top Play Brighton & Hove Goal Line -1 -130 vs Crystal Palace @ 3:30 ET - Crystal Palace has been horrible of late not only in terms of scoring goals but in terms of even registering a shot on goal. That said, just can not see them keeping up with a Brighton & Hove club that is on their home pitch and has had plenty of multi-goal outputs this season. I am looking for a 2-0 type final here. Brighton & Hove still seeking redemption for frustrating 1-1 draw at Crystal Palace in mid-February. This is payback time here and Palace has not scored in 3 straight matches while the hosts in this one have scored 3 goals per match last two matches. 10* BRIGHTON Goal Line -1 -130 |
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03-15-23 | Brentford v. Southampton OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 57 m | Show |
EPL Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +120 in Southampton vs Brentford @ 3:30 ET - I know that Southampton is off a scoreless draw with Manchester United but both clubs had plenty of scoring chances and that one is serving to give us some line value here. The last 3 meetings between these clubs have averaged 3.7 goals per match and all 3 totaled at least 3 goals. Southampton will respond at home here after being delivered a clean sheet last week but Brentford is favored here with good reason. I am looking for the Bees to take this 2-1 but regardless of the winner I feel the best value is the over because I expect both clubs to find the back of the net and neither team to settle for a draw. Southampton can move out of the relegation spots by picking up a full 3 points in the table here and Brentford also pushing hard for a full 3 points after their 12-match unbeaten run came to an end last week with a tough loss. Brentford averaged scoring 2 goals in going 2-0-2 since the start of February and will get back on track here. But the Saints put up a tough fight at home here as they host the Bees. The result should be at least 3 goals. 10* OVER 2.5 in Southampton |
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03-14-23 | Stars v. Canucks OVER 6 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 18 m | Show |
NHL Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 6 in Vancouver Canucks vs Dallas Stars @ 10:05 ET - I know the Canucks are getting better goaltending since Demko came back. However, he was in goal they faced Dallas a few weeks ago and it was his first game back. Yes he could have been rusty but actually he got the chance to shake the rust off in the first period and did. It was 3-1 Vancouver after one period. However, he then allowed 3 goals the rest of the way in the eventual 5-4 OT win for the Canucks. So the point is, don't be surprised if Dallas again scores well here plus the Stars are in a B2B after winning 5-2 at Seattle last night. So the point is that the Stars are in a tough spot for their defense and goaltending. I expect this to result in plenty of goals here. Dallas has won 6 of 7 games and scored an average of 5 goals last 8 games! The Stars have allowed an average of 3.2 goals last 11 games. I just can't see either team failing to get to 3 goals given numbers like this. Note also that the Canucks have won 4 straight games and scored an average of 3.5 goals in these 4 victories. Vancouver has played 33 home games this season and 24 of them have totaled at least 6 goals. That is 73% of Canucks home games getting to the 6-goal mark this season so we have great value here with this total at 6 and considering the situation. 5-4 again? I am saying at least 4-3 here! 10* OVER 6 in Vancouver |
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03-14-23 | Mississippi State v. Pittsburgh +2.5 | Top | 59-60 | Win | 100 | 14 h 29 m | Show |
NCAA Tuesday 10* Top Play Pittsburgh Panthers +2.5 vs Mississippi State Bulldogs @ 9:10 ET - I hesitate to oversimplify things but I can not help myself here so I will. First off, this line was around a pick'em and is now up to Mississippi State favored by 2.5 points. I love fading line moves and now at the risk of oversimplifying here it is. The Bulldogs opened the season 11-0 so we are talking about a team here that is 10-12 their last 22 games. Conversely, the Panthers opened the season with a 1-3 mark so they had won 75% of their games (21-7 run) prior to the loss to big bad Duke in the ACC Tourney. I realize the Bulldogs also played powerful Alabama in their SEC Tourney loss. but the point is simply that Pitt has plenty of confidence here and yet one could argue that Miss St has become accustomed to mediocrity this season their their run since that 11-0 start. I also like the fact that both teams faced a solid Vandy team this season and the Panthers were ahead by 1 when the Commodores sank two free throws with 1 second left to win the game. Conversely, the Bulldogs were down quite big much of the 2nd half in their 5 point loss at Vandy which felt not even as close as that final score shows. We have value here with a scrappy ACC team that is going to play very hard here and be very hard to put away. At the same time, I feel the pressure is more on Mississippi State here as they lost in first round of NIT last year and are desperate to fend off another early exit. Conversely, the Panthers are a team on the rise this season playing without fear or pressure after last season's ugly 11-21 disaster. 10* PITTSBURGH +2.5 |
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03-14-23 | Senators v. Oilers OVER 7 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 44 m | Show |
NHL Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 7 in Edmonton Oilers vs Ottawa Senators @ 9:05 ET - Big number here but just can not see this one finishing without plenty of goals. We need to get to 3-3 to guarantee no worse than a push but I am confident we'll see 8 or more scored here. Edmonton is back home after a long road trip. Oftentimes when back home after a lengthy road trip, Oilers games have seen plenty of scoring. They are coming off a 7-4 loss at Toronto to finish their trip back east so you know they will be fired up to respond big here. They have scored an average of 4.44 goals per game last 25 games! The Oilers also have allowed 4 goals per game last 15 games and no that does not included goals beyond regulation. As for the Senators, they have been dealing with goaltending injuries and it shows in terms of goals allowed but this team can still score well too. Ottawa lost the first meeting between these clubs 6-3 on home ice. Now they are on the road looking to wrap up this road trip with a success tonight but they have been unable to stop anyone of late. Ottawa has allowed 5 goals per game since Talbot got hurt. However, they also have scored an average of 4 goals last 9 games. Though that streak includes some struggles in the most recent games, they can get their top lines rolling strong again here against an Oilers team that certainly is not known for defense and that will be more than willing to play a wide-open game here. 10* OVER 7 in Edmonton |
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03-14-23 | Nuggets +1.5 v. Raptors | Top | 110-125 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 19 m | Show |
NBA Tuesday 10* Top Play Denver Nuggets +1.5 @ Toronto Raptors @ 7:40 ET - These teams recently met in Denver and the Nuggets won that game. However, they have since lost 3 straight games. That has some significance here for sure because Denver has never lost 4 straight games this entire season. Also, the Nuggets have been on the road on a losing streak of at least 2 games just 2 times this entire season. Both times they won the next game and I expect that trend to continue here as they remain perfect in this situation and avoid what would be their first 4-game losing streak of the season. I expect Jamal Murray to play here. I am aware of his injury but feel he did not return in the most recent game more due to precautionary reasoning than anything else. Looking to avoid their longest losing streak of the season, Nuggets likely to put Murray back on the floor tonight. Either way, they should topple a Raptors team that also has struggled of late and, long-term has been struggling much more than this solid Nuggets team. Denver had won 4 straight and 12 of 15 before their current 3-game skid. Toronto, on the other hand, is just 12-12 last 24 games and has essentially been only a mediocre team this season. 10* DENVER +1.5 |
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03-14-23 | Texas A&M Corpus Christi v. SE Missouri State +4 | Top | 75-71 | Push | 0 | 12 h 11 m | Show |
NCAA Tuesday 10* Top Play Southeast Missouri State Redhawks +4 vs Texas A&M Corpus Christi Islanders @ 6:40 ET - Lets face it. This is a match-up involving a pair of teams from a pair of weak conferences. I like a couple things though that sway this match-up in favor of the Redhawks. First off, we are getting 4 points and is nice to have the points on your side in what could be a tight finish. Secondly, speaking of tight finishes, SE Mo St had a 6 point lead with about a minute to go in their conference championship game. That game ended up going to OT and the Redhawks even trailed by 4 at one point in the OT. They rallied to win the game by 7 and punch their ticket to the NCAA Tourney. That kind of game and the finish it had is a huge boost for confidence. Thirdly, and definitely a last but NOT least, all the pressure is on the Islanders here. Texas A&M CC is supposed to win this game. Not only because they are favored but because they were here last year too and lost to Texas Southern in the First Four. Simply put, the Islanders must win this game or it will be a a major disappointment. That, ladies and gentlemen, is huge pressure. Not only that, they lost Terrion Murdix to a season-ending injury in their Conference Championship Game win. He is finished for the season and their season will end tonight most likely anyway. He is their starting point guard and leads the team in assists AND steals AND at the guard position he is the top rebounder. This is a major loss you don't replace so fast. Look for a loose and relaxed Redhawks team to topple a pressure-filled injury-hampered Islanders team in this one. 10* SOUTHEAST MISSOURI STATE +4 |
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03-14-23 | RB Leipzig v. Manchester City OVER 3 | Top | 0-7 | Win | 105 | 12 h 55 m | Show |
Champions League Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 3 goals +105 in Manchester City vs RB Leipzig @ 4 ET - With the first meeting in RB Leipzig ending in a 1-1 draw, I feel certain that Manchester City is going to be relentless here on the attack as they let that match slip away after getting a 1-0 lead and trying to sit on it. Keep in mind, the two meetings between these clubs prior to that one saw an average of 6 goals scored including a wild 6-3 win here for Manchester City the last time they hosted. RB Leipzig is known for being a high-scoring club but, of course, so too is City. Here Manchester City is at home where they are at their best and they are entering this match off a tight 1-0 win at Crystal Palace. They entered that match having scored 3 goals per match in their 3 prior matches so I expect them to respond big here and get back to high-scoring ways considering the current 1-1 aggregate situation with RB Leipzig here too. I just do not see high-scoring RB Leipzig being shut out here and, of course, City is favored by a 1.5 margin on the goal line for a reason. In other words, look for a 3-1 type of match here as both clubs push hard with the pace and aggressiveness on the attack. The result should be a solid over and I love the value of the over 3 available at plus money in this one. 10* OVER 3 goals +105 in Manchester City |
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03-13-23 | Stars v. Seattle Kraken OVER 6 | Top | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
NHL Monday 10* Top Play OVER 6 in Seattle Kraken vs Dallas Stars @ 10:05 ET - The Stars continue to be involved in high-scoring games and I see no reason for that to end at Seattle. Each of the last 7 games have totaled at least 6 goals! Not only that, 6 of the 7 totaled at least 7 goals. Overall, these 7 games averaged 9 goals apiece and there is nothing average about that. The most recent game was a 4-3 OT win here in Seattle for the Stars and another one totaling at least 7 goals is likely here. 12 of last 15 Kraken games have totaled at least 6 goals. 7 straight Kraken home games have totaled at least 6 goals and 9 of last 10 and 10 of last 12. When Seattle is at home, the goals tend to flow. Look for that trend to continue here. 10* OVER 6 in Seattle |
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03-13-23 | Wolves +5.5 v. Hawks | Top | 136-115 | Win | 100 | 8 h 30 m | Show |
NBA Monday 10* Top Play Minnesota Timberwolves +5.5 @ Atlanta Hawks @ 7:40 ET - Bogdan Bogdanovic is questionable with a back injury and will not be 100 percent if he even does play in this game. I know Rudy Gobert is on the report as questionable for the Wolves but I would be very surprised if he did not play here. Either way, I like Minny in this solid scheduling spot. Timberwolves are coming off an OT loss and are 2-0 this season when off an OT loss and they are rested here. Minnesota is also actually 5-0 last 5 times they are entering a game off a loss by 7 or less points. Atlanta is off a loss so you might be thinking bounce back for them here too. But couple things about that. The Hawks gave up 134 points in that loss. Also, they have had very few standalone losses of late. The fact is when Atlanta is off win and then loses a game it has often been followed by a 2nd straight loss. Indeed, this has happened 5 of the last 6 times and I expect it to happen again here but we will grab the points as added insurance too. 10* MINNESOTA +5.5 |
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03-13-23 | Sabres v. Maple Leafs OVER 7 | Top | 4-3 | Push | 0 | 8 h 57 m | Show |
NHL Monday 10* Top Play OVER 7 goals +105 in Toronto Maple Leafs vs Buffalo Sabres @ 7:35 ET - Maple Leafs off a 7-4 win and have now allowed 3.4 goals per game last 5 games. Of course the Toronto attack has been impressive though too more often than not at home and they have scored an average of 4 goals per game last 7 games. 4 of last 6 home games have totaled at least 7 goals and more of the same on the way here. Buffalo's two games so far this season versus the Leafs have averaged 8 goals apiece. The Sabres also enter this game having allowed 4.5 goals per game in their last 16 games! Buffalo is averaging 3.65 goals per game on the season and that is why I have no hesitation in back the over here even though it is posted at a 7 but at least with no juice to lay. 10* OVER 7 goals +105 in Toronto |
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03-13-23 | Salernitana v. AC Milan OVER 3 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 59 m | Show |
Italian Serie A Monday 10* Top Play OVER 3 goals +110 in AC Milan vs Salernitana @ 3:45 ET - AC Milan has scored 2 goals in each of last 3 meetings between these clubs. However Salernitana has scored in each of the last two meetings as well including earning a 2-2 draw in one of those. AC Milan will be fired up here as they played a boring scoreless draw with Tottenham in most recent UEFA Champions League action plus they lost in most recent Italian Serie A action as well. That 2-1 loss to Fiorentina insures proper focus from AC Milan in this one and they get back on track with a big win. I know some of the metrics here will point toward an under but Salernitana has gone undefeated last two matches including a 3-0 win in one of those. They also have scored against AC Milan in each of last two meetings so they have multiple reasons for some extra confidence entering this one. However, the hosts are a large favorite for a reason and fully expected to win this match by a multiple-goal margin. The result should be a solid over and I love the value of the over 3 available at plus money in this one. 10* OVER 3 goals +110 in AC Milan |
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03-13-23 | Universitatea Cluj v. CFR Cluj OVER 2.25 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 105 | 10 h 0 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals -135 in CFR Cluj vs Universitatea Cluj @ 2:30 ET - Of course CFR Cluj is a pricey favorite for a reason here and I do expect them to roll in this one. Either way, looking for a lot of goals because Universitatea Cluj on a 5-game unbeaten run that has seen them average scoring 1.8 goals per match. Not only that, Universitatea Cluj won their most recent road match 1-0 but that was against a Hermannstadt club that struggles to score goals particularly at home. Prior to that 1-0 win, Universitatea Cluj had allowed an average of 2.1 goals per match their last 7 road matches. So you can see why I am expecting them to score well here but also to struggle to stop the opposition. That is particularly true when you when you consider that the opposition is one of the top clubs in the league and has been scoring well. CFR Cluj won the first meeting between these clubs 2-1 and also enters this match on fire in the goal-scoring department in their league matches. CFR Cluj has scored an average of 3 goals per match last 4 matches in league action. Overall, their last 5 matches have all totaled at least 2 goals and actually those averaged 4 goals apiece. Each of last 4 matches totaled at least 3 goals and this one will too. 10* OVER 2 goals -135 in CFR Cluj |
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03-13-23 | Voluntari v. Chindia Targoviste OVER 2 | Top | 1-1 | Push | 0 | 7 h 20 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals in Chindia Targoviste vs FC Voluntari @ 11:30 AM ET - Chindia Targoviste has allowed 2 goals in 4 of last 5 matches. Chindia Targoviste has been shutout in 3 straight matches but this is now their season finale and they are on their home pitch. Prior to the rough goal-less patch, Chindia Targoviste had scored an average of 1.8 goals in last 5 matches and they will get back on track here. Chindia Targoviste won first meeting with FC Voluntari 3-0 earlier this season and that was the 2nd time in last 3 meetings that the match had totaled 3 goals. Also, Chindia Targoviste enters this one with 14 of their last 16 matches having totaled at least 2 goals. FC Voluntari comes into this one on a surprising 3-match streak of clean sheets. That will not continue here. FC Voluntari is off a scoreless draw but this was preceded by 9 of last 11 matches totaling at least 2 goals. Each of last 5 matches for FC Voluntari that made it to the 2-goal mark actually got to the 3-goal mark and this one will too. 10* OVER 2 goals in Chindia Targoviste |
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03-12-23 | Senators v. Flames OVER 6.5 | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 22 m | Show |
NHL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Calgary Flames vs Ottawa Senators @ 9:05 ET - As mentioned in yesterday's write-up involving the Ottawa total at Vancouver, the Senators have injury issues at goaltender position but continue to pile up goals of their own. Ottawa has won 6 of 8 games and scored at least 5 goals in all 6 victories. In fact, in their last 7 victories they have averaged 5.6 goals score per win! Talbot is now out again and that means Sogaard started yesterday and now that means Kevin Mandolese likely to get the start today. He has not played much at the NHL level and has struggled in the AHL so far this season. Calgary is off B2B lower-scoring games but overall Jacob Markstrom has often struggled in goal. He is off B2B stronger outings but had allowed 3 or more goals in 10 of 15 prior to that and that including allowing 4 or more in 7 of those! Considering that coupled with the fact the home-team Flames should score well in this one too against a struggling Sens defense, this one should find it's way at least 7. I would not be surprised, given the above, to see each team score 3 goals in this one and that would mean if would have to end at least at 4-3 at a minimum. 10* OVER 6.5 in Calgary |
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03-12-23 | Thunder v. Spurs OVER 236.5 | Top | 102-90 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 29 m | Show |
NBA Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 236.5 in San Antonio Spurs vs Oklahoma City Thunder @ 7:10 ET - Yes I am aware of the Spurs injury situation but this has precipitated a significant line move here on this total and we have solid value with the over. Remember when the Spurs finally played some defense and seemed to be improving things? It lasted all of about two games! Though off a win versus Denver they allowed 120 points in that game and have now allowed 128 ppg last 3 games. As for OKC, they are not defensive stalwarts either. The Thunder are off a 110-96 win at New Orleans but low-scoring results like that have been the exception rather than the rule of late for this team. Prior to that win over the Pelicans, the Thunder allowed 122 points per game last 8 games. You can see why I am expecting this match-up to get well into the 240s and yet this total has dropped in the mid-230s. I'll take advantage of the added line value. 10* OVER 236.5 in San Antonio |
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03-12-23 | Golden Knights v. Blues OVER 6.5 | Top | 5-3 | Win | 104 | 6 h 37 m | Show |
NHL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in St Louis Blues vs Vegas Golden Knights @ 7 ET - The Golden Knights expected to start Jiri Patera and it will be his NHL debut. Tough spot for him on the road and facing a Blues team known for wild high-scoring games. St Louis likely to have Jordan Binnington between the pipes but no matter who goes I like the over here as it is set up nicely for plenty of goals. 4 of last 6 Blues games have totaled at least 7 goals. St Louis has allowed 3.7 goals last 6 games and I also look for Vegas to allow plenty here too considering the goalie situation and the fact they are coming off a shutout win over Carolina. After a shutout like that against a strong club like the Hurricanes, teams often fall flat defensively in the next game. 10* OVER 6.5 in St Louis |
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03-12-23 | Penn State v. Purdue OVER 134 | Top | 65-67 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 12 m | Show |
CBB Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 134.5 in Purdue Boilermakers vs Penn State Nittany Lions @ 3:30 ET - I wanted to play Penn State here because they are playing with a lot of confidence and want to make up for the two ugly regular season losses to Purdue that were each by double digits. However, though I do expect this confident PSU team to score well as they are playing without pressure (this is Boilermakers game to not lose rather than Nittany Lions game to win), I just feel that they have no one to stop the 7'4 300 lb beast that is Zach Edey. No one really has anyone to stop this guy but the fact is Penn State is built for small ball. Unlike the prior match-ups though, PSU has now learned their lesson and will worry less about stopping him and more about simply looking to get super hot and outscore these guys with speed and quick passing and a killer outside game. It is their only choice here. The result should be plenty of points in this one in my opinion as the Nittany Lions hang around in this one and score very well but fail to stop the red hot and big bad Boilermakers. 10* OVER 134.5 in Purdue |
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03-12-23 | Memphis +6 v. Houston | Top | 75-65 | Win | 100 | 6 h 36 m | Show |
CBB Sunday 10* Top Play Memphis Tigers +6 vs Houston Cougars @ 3:15 ET - Ton of value here with Memphis. The Tigers are 25-8 this season and 2 of the losses came in OT (one was double OT) and overall, Memphis has only 2 loss by more than 6 points this entire season out of 33 games! One of those was by 7 points and one of them was by 8 points. So the point is, getting 6 points here, we are virtually guaranteed of at least having a chance to cover this game in terms of how all 33 of their other 33 games have played out this season! I like the double revenge angle here and the fact that Memphis was able to coast yesterday in a win by a 40-point margin. The Cougars are, of course, one of the best teams in the nation but the Tigers have given them more trouble than anyone else this season and this is one of those situations where third time absolutely could be the charm. Either way, even if the #1 ranked team in the country does not lose this game SU look for them to at least lose it ATS. Grab the points with the underdog in this one. 10* MEMPHIS +6 |
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03-12-23 | Sepsi v. Steaua Bucharesti OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in FCSB vs Sepsi @ 3 ET - This one sets up well for plenty of goals based on the current trending of these two clubs plus current situation with the standings. I expect plenty of push from both clubs here to get points in the table. 5 of last 7 FCSB matches have totaled at least 3 goals and, in fact, those 5 matches averaged 4 goals. 7 of last 12 Sepsi matches have totaled at least 3 goals and each of those dozen matches totaled 2 goals and actually averaged 3 goals apiece. So no matches of just a goal or less since October for Sepsi and these dozen matches averaged 3 goals apiece. That is value here with this total at 2.5 goals and I am looking for plenty of fireworks here. Given the situation now, look for a much different match than we saw in the 1-0 final earlier this season. Sepsi still has another match Thursday and they are pushing hard for points in the table here but you know FCSB is favored for a reason here in their season finale. Look for at least a 2-1 finish here! 10* OVER 2.5 goals in FCSB |
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03-12-23 | Wolverhampton Wanderers v. Newcastle United OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 120 | 6 h 22 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +120 in Newcastle United vs Wolverhampton @ 12:30 ET - This is a contrarian play but Newcastle simply must start winning again and, after facing a tough slate of opposition, they should go all out here at home against Wolverhampton. Note that the Wolves have been scoring more goals since Julen Lopetegui took over. They also have only 5 draws in 25 matches this season. Also, in the last 15 meetings between these clubs in premier league action, only 1 has been a match in which both teams did not score. In other words, history plus the situation here favors both clubs scoring. Newcastle has actually conceded 2 goals in 3 straight matches and has conceded at least 1 goal in 6 straight matches. So I am projecting a 2-1 final here based on the above parameters and we get plus money here. I expect that, given the situation, Newcastle is finally going to be relentless on the attack here but I do expect Wolverhampton, rejuvenated under Lopetegui, to push hard in this one as well. They have scored 7 goals in last 5 matches and 3 in last 3 road matches. Newcastle is projected by most to win this match by a 1 goal margin and I am looking for a 2-1 final and will grab the plus money on this over. 10* OVER 2.5 +120 in Newcastle United |
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03-12-23 | U Craiova 1948 +141 v. Hermannstadt | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 52 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play U Craiova 1948 Money Line +140 @ Hermannstadt @ 12:15 ET - U Craiova 1948 has gone undefeated last 10 matches with 3 draws and 7 wins. The 7 victories by a combined score of 15 to 3 and more domination likely here. Hermannstadt has scored just 1 goal in last 4 matches and that 1 goal did not result in a win either. So yes, a draw is a loss for us here but I love this money line as I fully expect U Craiova 1948 to go for the full 3 points in the table here and go hard for the win. The road club has gone undefeated last 10 overall while the home club is winless last 4 as a host. We'll take it! 10* U Craiova 1948 Money Line +140 |
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03-12-23 | Arsenal v. Fulham OVER 2.5 | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 4 h 22 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Fulham vs Arsenal @ 10 AM ET - Fulham is hurting without Palhinha patrolling the midfield and it has made them more susceptible to opposing attacks as Brentford exposed them last week. This will be the 2nd of his 2-match ban and Arsenal is sure to take advantage. However, the Arsenal backline has not exactly been water-tight of late and Fulham at home should be able to have some success on the attack as well. The result should be solid scoring here. Fulham has scored an average of 1.8 goals their last 6 matches across all competitions. Arsenal has seen 5 of last 6 matches across all competitions total at least 4 goals! We only need 3 here to be a winner and we should get at least that as Arsenal has only 1 draw in 13 road matches this season and odds favor each club scoring at least once here and that low draw rate for Arsenal means the odds also favor at least a 2-1 final here! 10* OVER 2.5 in Fulham |
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03-11-23 | Senators v. Canucks OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 34 m | Show |
NHL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Vancouver Canucks vs Ottawa Senators @ 10:05 ET - The Senators have injury issues at goaltender position but continue to pile up goals of their own. Ottawa has won 6 of 7 games and scored at least 5 goals in all 6 victories. In fact, in their last 7 victories they have averaged 5.6 goals score per win! Talbot is now out again and that means Sogaard likely to start. He allowed 4 goals in most recent start. Vancouver is off a 3-2 OT win versus Anaheim but, prior to this, 13 of last 17 Canucks games had totaled at least 7 goals. This one should too. 10* OVER 6.5 in Vancouver |
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03-11-23 | Celtics -4.5 v. Hawks | Top | 134-125 | Win | 100 | 11 h 43 m | Show |
NBA Saturday 10* Top Play Boston Celtics -4.5 @ Atlanta Hawks @ 7:40 ET - So the Celtics are off a big home win Wednesday that ended a 3-games losing streak and now need to start another winning streak and they have had two days off prior to this game and start a 7-game road trip. They are fully focused, given the situation, on a very successful road trip and that should begin with taking advantage of a fatigued - mentally and physically - Hawks team. Atlanta not only is in a B2B spot but they are playing 3rd game in 4 days and those 2 wins were over a Wizards team that was right behind them in the division standings. Put another way, if Wizards had won both those games instead of Hawks, Washington would now be in front of Atlanta in the standings instead of it being the other way around. That said, the series in over the Wiz not only fatigued the Hawks physically but perhaps mentally too. 10* BOSTON -4.5 |
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03-11-23 | Texas v. Kansas -125 | Top | 76-56 | Loss | -125 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
CBB Saturday 10* Top Play Kansas Jayhawks Money Line -125 vs Texas Longhorns @ 6 ET - Yes Texas has been hot and yes the Longhorns won the most recent meeting. However, Kansas had already won the Big 12 regular season title. Now this game is different. The Jayhawks are fully motivated and they are out for revenge! In that season-ending meeting, Dajuan Harris shot just 2 of 12 from the field. How unusual was this? Well, in his other 4 recent games he has made 23 of 36 from the field. In other words, that was absolutely an outlier for Harris and you know he will be ready to respond here. Also, Jalen Wilson was again a beast in that match-up for the Jayhawks and he is the Big 12 scoring leader and rebounding leader. Kansas just knocked off Iowa State yesterday despite hitting only 6 of 19 threes. The Jayhawks have been doing a great job of getting to the free throw line and this is going to be another physical battle with the Longhorns. This time Kansas is 100% focused and also they know what the Longhorns brought to the floor in terms of how they matched up and the way they played. Jayhawks perhaps even are rallying around the fact head coach Bill Self missing the tourney after a health issue. Like Texas, they are currently being coached by an assistant coach. Definitely have to like what we've seen from Jayhawks in this tourney thus far even without coach Self. At the same time, ton of respect for what Longhorns have been doing too. But the Jayhawks are just too talented and driven here and remember that in the first meeting between these teams this season, Texas lost by 8 even though Kansas made just 2 of 10 three pointers in that one. I feel, given all of the above, we have a lot of value here being able to take the Jayhawks at a very small price just to win this game without any concern for the spread. 10* KANSAS -125 |
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03-11-23 | Flyers +1.5 v. Penguins | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -103 | 6 h 49 m | Show |
NHL Saturday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers Puck Line +1.5 -105 @ Pittsburgh Penguins @ 3:35 ET - This is a rivalry game and the Flyers seem to lead the universe when it comes to 1-goal losses. That said, ton of value with the puck line here as Philly looks to make up for a 4-1 loss to the Pens in their meeting earlier this season. Not only do the Flyers have a knack for 1-goal losses, Pittsburgh just has not been overly impressive this season and blowout wins for them have been few and far between. In fact, the Penguins have lost 20 of last 34 games. Of those 34 games, only 6 have been Pittsburgh wins by more than a 1-goal margin. So that means if you took +1.5 goals against the Pens their last 34 games you have a glowing 28-6 record! Considering the rivalry situation and the upper office firing the Flyers organization just delivered to send a message, there is a ton of value with this puck line at +1.5 goals! We'll take it! 10* PHILADELPHIA +1.5 -105 |
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03-11-23 | Vanderbilt +6 v. Texas A&M | Top | 75-87 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 14 m | Show |
CBB Saturday 10* Top Play Vanderbilt +6 vs Texas A & M Aggies @ 3:30 ET - The Commodores are starting to believe they can do this! This Vanderbilt team has been red hot for a long-time and has carried that into this tournament and they will not let up here! Vandy has won 10 of 11 games and now just knocked off Kentucky. Also, unlike A & M, they did not have to rally back in yesterday's action like the Aggies did. Certainly there is a chance that the Texas A & M rally yesterday took a little something out of them for today. The Aggies were down double digits in the 2nd half of their win over Arkansas. Remember they were also losing to Alabama with under 5 minutes to go in their prior game in this SEC tourney. So the point is, how much will the Aggies have left here PLUS it is the Aggies that are laying 6 points in this match-up. I love having the points with this scrappy underdog Vandy. The Commodores led yesterday's 2nd half throughout in the eventual 7 point win over Kentucky. That was also the case in their win over LSU. This team is truly the definition of a "live dog" in a match-up like this with the Aggies. Yes, Texas A & M won the regular season meeting but they were at home for that. Also, that 6-point loss was a tie game with less than 2 minutes to go. 10* VANDERBILT +6 |
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03-11-23 | Rapid Bucuresti v. Farul Constanta 1920 OVER 2 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 18 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals -120 in Farul vs Rapid @ 1:30 ET - These are two of the top clubs in the league yet both are off shutout losses. That sets this one up well for goals from both clubs and an eventual 2-1 final at a minimum in my opinion. Rapid, prior to last week, had been shutout 5 times this season. After those 5 matches they responded every single team and scored an average of 2.2 goals! As for Farul, they also had been shutout 5 times prior to last week's action. After those 5 matches they also responded in their very next match and averaged 1.8 goals in those 5. As you can see, the situational history here shows us a match that should get to 4 goals and we only need 3 to be a winner and if it lands on 2 it is still a push. A lot of value here and we will not pass up the investment opportunity here. 10* OVER 2 goals -120 in Farul |
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03-11-23 | Manchester City v. Crystal Palace OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -119 | 6 h 18 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Crystal Palace vs Manchester City @ 12:30 ET - We get line value here because Crystal Palace is not expected to score much, if at all, in this one. However, I do expect them to find the back of the net at least once as they are on their home pitch and I am expecting Manchester City to be aggressive on the attack which could give the hosts some opportunities on the counterattack as well. So all factors considered, this one shapes up for a 3-1 final the way I see it. That said, even if City wins but only by a goal (2-1) or if Palace fails to score but City still rolls 3-0 you can see that we cash our ticket here courtesy of the low total. The fact is City has their attack rolling again and has averaged 3 goals per match last 3 matches. As for Palace, they are averaging 1 goal scored per home match. Also, the last meeting between these clubs was a 4-2 final. Even if we only get half of that here we cash in. I like our chances in that regard. 10* OVER 2.5 in Crystal Palace |
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03-11-23 | Petrolul 52 v. Arges OVER 2 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -139 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals -130 in FC Arges vs Petrolul Ploiesti @ 10:30 AM ET - We have to lay some extra juice here but having the over at 2 goals is an exceptional value. Petrolul Ploiesti off 1-0 loss but, prior to that, their last 21 matches averaged 3 goals apiece! Only 3 of the 21 matches failed to get to the 2-goal mark. As for FC Arges, their two matches in March have been low-scoring but, prior to this, their last 11 matches averaged 2.5 goals apiece and only 2 of the 11 matches failed to reach the 2-goal mark. Excellent value here and you can see why I am expecting each club to score at least once here and, by the way, no team has fewer draws (3) than Petrolul Ploiesti this season and that means look for at least a 2-1 final here as the visitors also are inclined to go for the full 3 points in the table due to their current positioning there. This is the final week of the regular season. 10* OVER 2 goals -130 in FC Arges |
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03-11-23 | Nottingham Forest v. Tottenham Hotspur -1.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 125 | 4 h 17 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play Tottenham -1.5 goals +125 vs Nottingham Forest @ 10 AM ET - Tottenham has played horribly of late so this is the perfect spot for them to bounce back in a big way. The Hotspur are at home and hosting a Nottingham Forest club that has won only one road match all season and been outscored by an aggregate of 29 to 3 in away matches on the season! I know they have been more competitive of late but you still can not ignore their road struggles. Tottenham has struggled badly in non-league action but within the league and in home matches they have been solid. The Hotspur have won 9 of 13 home matches and scored an average of 2 goals per match. So in this one they should get a multi-goal win the way I see it. History is on their side with each of the last 4 meetings (including two recent ones in 2022) featuring multi-goal wins for Tottenham. The aggregate score of the victories was 10 to 1 and this shapes up to be another blowout. 10* TOTTENHAM -1.5 goals +125 |
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03-10-23 | TCU v. Texas -130 | Top | 60-66 | Win | 100 | 14 h 11 m | Show |
CBB Friday 10* Top Play Texas Longhorns Money Line -130 vs TCU Horned Frogs @ 9:30 ET - First off, I am recommending playing the money line here rather than laying 2 points with the Longhorns. I really like Texas here but do not want to get burned if they win the game by 2 (push) or 1 (loss). If we lay the 2 we have to win by 3, here any win cashes for us and I have been too frequently burned on tight games of late. Lets make sure a Horns win is a win we cash at the counter too! This is a revenge game for Texas because they lost by 2 points to TCU in most recent meeting. In that one the Longhorns had 8 more shots from the field but they shot poorly in that game. So they lost to the Horned Frogs despite TCU having twice as many turnovers in the game as that factor was 22 to 11. Additionally, the Horns Timmy Allen did not play yesterday and I truly feel that was more precautionary than anything else and he should be back out there today. The Horns felt they could save him for this game is what I truly feel. He will have fresh legs as a result but, even if he does not play, note that he only had 6 points and was limited by foul trouble in that 2-point loss to the Frogs. In other words, he is just a bonus here but I do expect the senior leader and leading rebounder of this team to indeed be back tonight. Even if Allen does not play, the other factors will lead to a win. The Longhorns off another strong defensive effort and throughout this season they have proven more often than TCU that they are build well to win grinders. They grind out another win here. Horned Frogs off big win versus Kansas State yesterday but had lost 6 of last 9 games heading into that one. The Longhorns have allowed 59 points or less in 3 of last 5 games. The Horned Frogs have allowed at least 63 points in 12 straight games and only allowed less than 70 ONCE in TEN games prior to yesterday 80 to 67 win. The better and more disciplined defensive team prevails here. 10* TEXAS -130 |
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03-10-23 | Connecticut v. Marquette +4 | Top | 68-70 | Win | 100 | 13 h 42 m | Show |
CBB Friday 10* Top Play Marquette Golden Eagles +4 vs Connecticut Huskies @ 6:30 ET - Marquette won in overtime yesterday so they have no chance to win this game. Seriously that is what the betting markets seem to think with the Huskies now a 4 point favorite in this one. Both Connecticut and the Golden Eagles had scares yesterday and certainly Marquette had the tougher time. However, the fact the Huskies nearly blew all of a 26 point lead is a bit of a concern. Yes they won the game by 7 but they outscored the Friars by 21 points from three-point land. In other words, that was certainly a factor in the final margin. Also, I like the fact that the shooting edge helped mask the fact they had twice as many turnovers as Providence did. The point is that UConn is now over-valued here. I like the fact that the Golden Eagles did not shoot well from beyond the arc yesterday and yet still hung on for the win. All of this has led to line value here as this is a team that relies on its outside shot and odds suggest they will shoot better here today and the Huskies will regress. That is simply a regression to the mean today on Friday. 10* MARQUETTE +4 |
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03-10-23 | UTA Arad v. CS U Craiova OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 3 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals +120 in Universitatea Craiova vs UTA @ 1:30 ET - Universitatea Craiova won the last meeting between these clubs 2-1. Universitatea Craiova has won 4 straight home matches and has scored an average of 2 goals per match in those. However, I do not expect them to shutdown UTA here. Note that UTA's last 7 matches have seen 5 of them total at least 3 goals and UTA has scored at least 1 goal in 18 of last 23 matches. Of course, the fact that Universitatea Craiova is favored here on the money line is with a good reason as it is the most probable outcome. Considering that plus the strong odds that UTA will find the back of the net at least once, you can see why I am expecting at least a 2-1 final in this one. That means the over 2.5 goals at +120 is offering sizable line value and I will not pass this up. 10* OVER 2.5 goals +120 in Universitatea Craiova |
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03-09-23 | Warriors -2.5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 110-131 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 23 m | Show |
NBA Thursday 10* Top Play Golden State Warriors -2.5 @ Memphis Grizzlies @ 7:30 ET - These teams do not like each other. This insures that both teams are certainly motivated to win this game and you absolutely can not say that about many NBA regular season games especially in today's NBA of guys sitting out games or even taking games off, so to speak, when they are actually playing in those games! So the point is we have the motivation factor working for both teams in this one. What does that all mean here? It means Warriors should win this game in a road rout. They are the healthier team and the Grizzlies are a mess right now because of the combined injury situation and then the Ja Morant situation off the court. The fact Morant is still out and this team has been distracted by everything going on plus the fact this team is still without a couple key contributors (Adams still out and role player Clarke lost for the season Friday), this Memphis team could get blown out here even though they are at home. Steph Curry now back for the Warriors but Golden State is fired up coming off B2B losses. The Grizzlies have lost 13 of 20 games overall. The Warriors are 8-2 the last 10 times they have entered a game on a losing streak of 2 or more games. Lay the short number here. 10* GOLDEN STATE -2.5 |
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03-09-23 | Flyers v. Hurricanes OVER 6 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 13 m | Show |
NHL Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 6 goals in Carolina Hurricanes vs Philadelphia Flyers @ 7:05 ET - The Hurricanes are likely to start Kochetkov between the pipes for this one. He has not started in nearly two months and I feel the Flyers will take advantage here. However, I also give Philly little chance of slowing down the Canes here no matter who Philadelphia has between the pipes. That said, look for an over here. Carolina has won 15 of 18 games and scored an average of 4.2 goals per game during this stretch! The Flyers last 10 games have seen 8 total at least 6 goals and 7 total at least 7 goals. That high-scoring trend continues here. 10* OVER 6 in Carolina |
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03-09-23 | Devils v. Capitals OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 40 m | Show |
NHL Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Washington Capitals vs New Jersey Devils @ 7:05 ET - The Devils last 10 games ALL have totaled at least 6 goals. I know we need 7 to win here but the point is that New Jersey has not had any grinders of late and, in fact, those 10 games averaged 7.5 goals apiece. Also, each of the last 7 games have indeed totaled at least 7 goals! Additionally, normal starter Vanecek (since Blackwood is out) is likely to get a rest tonigth and Schmid is likely to be in the crease. He does have strong numbers this season but has not been playing a whole lot of late and his career numbers are still mediocre overall. Plus he has allowed at least 3 goals in 3 of last 4 starts so Washington should score okay here but will also struggled to stop the high-flying Devils. The Capitals have lost 8 of 11 games and allowed 4 goals per game during this stretch. However, they also scored 4.6 goals last 5 games and are starting to come on strong of late. This one, and considering the game is in DC, has all the right ingredients to be a solid over. 10* OVER 6.5 in Washington |
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03-09-23 | Oklahoma State v. Texas -6 | Top | 47-60 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
CBB Thursday 10* Top Play Texas Longhorns -6 vs Oklahoma State Cowboys @ 7 ET - The Cowboys knocked off the rival Sooners yesterday to advance to face the Longhorns today. Texas has the rest edge here and also a confidence edge since they knocked off Kansas to close out the regular season. The Horns also loaded with confidence as it pertains to this match-up thanks to knocking off Oklahoma State by a double digit margin in each of their two regular season meetings. Texas is having a fantastic season and only has 2 losses to unranked foes this season. The Longhorns performed well against ranked teams too but the point is they were practically unbeatable (16-2) in games against unranked foes. As for the Cowboys, they were 3-9 against ranked teams this season. Also, Oklahoma State had lost 5 straight games before winning their regular season finale and then opening the Big 12 tourney with a win over Oklahoma. Yes, we have the matter of covering the spread here but first key to that is getting a SU win and, based on the numbers above and the situation, you can see why I am confident of that. Each of the Cowboys last 5 road losses was by 8 or more points. 10* TEXAS -6 |
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03-09-23 | Betis v. Manchester United -1.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 120 | 8 h 43 m | Show |
UEFA Europa League, Round of 16 Thursday 10* Top Play Manchester United -1.5 goals +120 vs Real Betis @ 3 ET - Manchester United beat Barcelona 2-1 to advance to this state. Barcelona's only goal in that match came on a penalty kick. The point is that Barcelona is at the top of La Liga and vastly superior to Real Betis. If Man U was able to knock off the top team 2-1 they can definitely beat Real Betis by a multi-goal margin here at home. Manchester United has scored at least 2 goals in 14 straight home matches and has a long unbeaten run here too. They also enter this match off a humiliating 7-0 loss to Liverpool so you know the hosts are going to bring a very strong effort to this match as they look to get right back on track by dominating on their home pitch. Considering the embarrassing outcome against Liverpool, the hosts will be relentless here and should win comfortably by a multi-goal margin. 10* MANCHESTER UNITED -1.5 goals +120 |
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03-09-23 | Ohio State v. Iowa -3 | Top | 73-69 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 52 m | Show |
CBB Thursday 10* Top Play Iowa Hawkeyes -3 or -3.5 vs Ohio State Buckeyes @ 2:30 ET - Iowa is off a loss and they have been great off a loss this season including a tightener that has them nearly perfect in this role this season. The Hawkeyes are 7-1 this season when off a loss by a margin of 14 or less points. They are rested here and taking on a Buckeyes team that had to battle it out with the Badgers yesterday. Keep in mind, Ohio State had lost 15 of 18 games before getting the win over Wisconsin yesterday. They take a big step up in level of opponent now as they face the high-scoring Hawkeyes after facing the slow-paced Badgers. Look for Iowa to be aggressive and look to run the Buckeyes right out of the arena as they catch them in the 2nd game of a B2B spot. Ohio State had a recent 9-game losing streak and then also had another loss in their regular season finale. All 10 of those losses by 4 or more points and I am confident this will be an 11th straight loss by 4 or more points. 10* IOWA -3 or -3.5 |
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03-08-23 | Ducks v. Canucks OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -111 | 13 h 12 m | Show |
NHL Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Vancouver Canucks vs Anaheim Ducks @ 10 ET - The Canucks beat the Ducks 8-5 in the only meeting between these teams this season. Though we will not see that many goals again tonight it does show that we can reasonably expect some fireworks between these teams here. Note that 6 of last 9 Canucks home games have totaled at least 7 goals. I know Demko has been solid between the pipes since coming back but this is still a Vancouver club that has questionable defense at times and has allowed 3.3 goals in last 7 home games. The Canucks should score well again here though. Vancouver will take advantage of facing a Ducks team that used top goalie Gibson last night. Also, Anaheim likely to go with Dostal in the crease tonight and the back-up netminder has a 4.00 GAA on the season plus has allowed 5 goals per game last 3 games. 10* OVER 6.5 in Vancouver |
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03-08-23 | Hawks -3 v. Wizards | Top | 122-120 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
NBA Wednesday 10* Top Play Atlanta Hawks -3 @ Washington Wizards @ 7:10 ET - The Wizards are off a win yesterday but it was at Detroit. Not only are the Pistons a bad team, it was also a road game for Washington and then they had to travel back to DC for this game. Prior to that win, the Wizards had lost 8 of 14 games. Now they face a Hawks team in the first of B2B games here versus Atlanta. The set-up for this first game certainly favors the Hawks as they have the rest edge and I like the fact they are off B2B losses. Note that Atlanta is 5-0 SU the last 5 times they have entered a game on a losing streak and all 5 of those wins by at least 3 points and, in fact, the games averaged 13 point margin of victory. The Hawks also lost to the Wizards about a week ago in Snyder's first game as head coach and Atlanta blew a 4th quarter lead in that one. In other words, there is plenty of extra motivation in this revenge divisional game. 10* ATLANTA -3 |
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03-08-23 | Ohio State v. Wisconsin +2.5 | Top | 65-57 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 10 m | Show |
CBB Wednesday 10* Top Play Wisconsin Badgers +2.5 vs Ohio State Buckeyes @ 6:30 ET - The Buckeyes won 1 road game all season long! This is a neutral site game but the fact is that means both teams are traveling and it was the Badgers that were better on the road this season. In fact, Wisconsin won 3 of their last 5 road games this season and that included a win at Ohio State. Not only that, both losses were in OT and one of those was a loss at Michigan that only went to OT because of a 3-pointer at the buzzer of regulation. The fact is the Badgers did lose in regulation time of any of their final 5 road games and very easily could have a 5-game road winning streak heading into this one. Again, compare this to an Ohio State team that has ONE WIN on the road this ENTIRE SEASON. The Badgers are the better defensive team in this match-up. I feel Ohio State is getting some attention from the betting masses here because of the revenge angle and the fact the Buckeyes are the higher-scoring team. But this one sets up to be another grinder and the Buckeyes don't have a key inside player, Zed Key, like they did for the first meeting with the Badgers when they dominated the glass. That said, I feel we have exceptional line value here as this line was around a pick'em but now has Badgers getting 2.5 points here. 10* WISCONSIN +2.5 |
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03-08-23 | AC Milan v. Tottenham Hotspur OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 45 m | Show |
UEFA Champions League, Round of 16 Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +105 in Tottenham vs AC Milan @ 3 ET - Tottenham has their manager back from his medical leave and they also are on their home pitch. Good combo to expect renewed scoring here as they are also needing a big win considering they are down 1-0 to Milan so far on the aggregate. Tottenham has scored a pair of goal in each of last two home matches. Milan has allowed an average of 2 goals in last 9 matches away from home across all competitions. However, Milan has also scored at least 1 goal in 5 straight matches. You can see why I am looking for at least a 2-1 final here and we get an added boost as AC Milan gets some key players back too including an attacker and a midfielder. Look for an entertaining battle here that totals 3 or more goals. 10* OVER 2.5 in Tottenham |
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03-08-23 | Butler v. St. John's -6 | Top | 63-76 | Win | 100 | 6 h 36 m | Show |
CBB Wednesday 10* Top Play St John's Red Storm -6 vs Butler Bulldogs @ 3 ET - So this is the Big East tourney so it is a neutral site game yet it is really not neutral for the Red Storm as they split their home games each season between Carnesecca Arena and here at Madison Square Garden. That said, this is a significant edge here for St John's and they already beat the Bulldogs by double digits at Carnesecca Arena earlier this season. Also, 4 of the last 6 regular season home games for the Red Storm were here at Madison Square Garden so big edge here. Not only was St John's 11-6 at home and Butler 3-9 on the road this season, the Bulldogs were frequently blown out of games. This is just not a very good Butler team this season and their 3 wins in their season-ending 3-9 run were all by a margin of 2 or less points. Conversely, their 17 losses this season were by an average margin of defeat of 18 points and all the losses were by 6 or more points! Look for the Red Storm to take advantage of the home court edge here and pull away for a big-margin win in the 2nd half. 10* ST JOHN'S -6 |
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03-07-23 | 76ers v. Wolves +1.5 | Top | 117-94 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
NBA Tuesday 10* Top Play Minnesota Timberwolves +1.5 vs Philadelphia 76ers @ 7:30 ET - Both Tobias Harris and PJ Tucker could be back for this game after missing last night's game at Indiana. But, overall, how much can the Sixers have left in the tank after going all out in a 147 to 143 win over the Pacers last night. This is a tough back to back spot for Philly and prior to B2B high-scoring wins over the Bucks (miracle comeback win in 4th quarter) and Pacers, the 76ers had lost 3 of 5 overall and also 3 of 5 road games. So this B2B road spot is sure to be a tough one for Philadelphia and they are facing a Timberwolves team that has won 3 straight games. Those 3 Wolves wins were on the road too and now they are back home and have a rest edge over the Sixers. Minny did lose their last 2 home games so you know they want to make this one count! They get it done here! 10* MINNESOTA +1.5 |
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03-07-23 | Maple Leafs v. Devils OVER 6.5 | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 47 m | Show |
NHL Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in New Jersey Devils vs Toronto Maple Leafs @ 7 ET - The Devils 7 of last 8 games have totaled at least 7 goals. I know the Maple Leafs have been better defensively and in goal of late but they will struggle to stop a New Jersey team that has been scoring plenty of goals. The Devils have scored an average of about 4 and 1/2 goals per game last 8 games. New Jersey has also allowed 3 or more goals in 5 of last 6 games and allowed an average of 4 goals per game during this stretch. The Maple Leafs had been getting solid goaltending but now have allowed at least 4 goals in 2 of last 3 games. Toronto enters this game off a tough loss in which they scored only 1 goal. They have averaged 4 goals per game the last 8 times they were off a loss. Considering all of the above I would not be surprised to see a 5-4 game here but certainly I do expect at least a 4-3 final. The Leafs have had only 1 low-scoring game in last 6 road games and the other 5 have averaged 7 goals and we should see at least that here as well. The first two meetings between these clubs were lower-scoring but this one is set up, based on situational parameters, to play out much differently and we get line value here too. 10* OVER 6.5 in New Jersey |
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03-07-23 | Northern Kentucky v. Cleveland State OVER 126.5 | Top | 63-61 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 49 m | Show |
CBB Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 126.5 in Cleveland State Vikings vs Northern Kentucky Norse @ 7 ET - This is the Horizon League Championship Game and there was some very ugly shooting in the two regular season meetings between these clubs. However, that is simply serving to keep this total lower than it should be. The first meeting saw the Vikings make just 10% of their three pointers plus both clubs struggled at the free throw line. Then the 2nd meeting got to 127 points even though there was more unimpressive shooting in that one. The key to the value though is the first very low-scoring game saw some unreal shooting numbers at the free throw line. So the opportunity was there for each of the two regular season meetings to get well into the 130s and yet the fact those games did not has led to line value here because both of these teams are coming into this game with plenty of confidence on the offensive end. The Norse have won 6 of 7 games and scored an average of 73 ppg during this stretch. The Vikings have won 10 of 13 and, not including OT points of course, have averaged 74.6 during this stretch. That would put this game into the 140s but yes is a conference championship game and should feature some solid defense too but that still only pushes this one down into the 130s in my opinion. Both teams loaded with confidence right now. 10* OVER 126.5 in Cleveland State |
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03-07-23 | Borussia Dortmund v. Chelsea OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 25 m | Show |
UEFA Champions League, Round of 16 Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Chelsea vs Borussia Dortmund @ 3 ET - Chelsea has been struggling to score goals so this is a contrarian play so to speak. However, the play has certainly been made with good reasoning behind why this is a great match in which to be a contrarian. Dortmund won the first meeting 1-0 so Chelsea must win here to avoid being knocked out. Look for them to be aggressive on their home pitch as a result. I look for Chelsea to be on the attack and score early in this one and that will force Dortmund to respond. In turn, Chelsea again pushes hard for a deciding goal here. So the point is, more scoring than one would expect normally as the team that has been in lower-scoring of mode here simply can not afford to sit back in this game, they need to be aggressive. Then, as for Dortmund, they have been the higher scoring club of late and will respond from behind if needed. Note that Dortmund has scored at least 2 goals in 8 of last 10 matches across all competitions. One of the only two exceptions was the 1-0 victory over Chelsea in the first meeting between these clubs. The rematch likely to play out in much different fashion per all the key factors above! 10* OVER 2.5 in Chelsea |
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03-06-23 | Cleveland State -2.5 v. Wisc-Milwaukee | Top | 93-80 | Win | 100 | 15 h 48 m | Show |
CBB Monday 10* Top Play Cleveland State Vikings -2.5 vs Wisconsin-Milwaukee Panthers @ 9:30 ET - This is a neutral site game and I love the fact that the Vikings are favored here even though they lost both the regular season meetings. This is certainly no mistake by the odds makers. The fact is that this is a double revenge spot for Cleveland State and the Vikings have won 12 of 16 games. The Panthers have lost each of last two road games and even lost at home to a very bad Green Bay team last month. Milwaukee won the first meeting in OT thanks to scoring 15 more points from 3-point land in that game. They then won the 2nd game thanks to the Vikings having one of the worst shooting days you can imagine. The Vikes had 74 shots from the field compared to just 57 for the Panthers but made just 3 of 20 three pointers plus they only hit 13 of 25 at free throw line. Despite all this, Cleveland State still only lost the game by a single digit margin. That says a lot for sure. This is a big part of the reason the Vikings are now favored here and they had plenty of opportunities to win each of the first two games and will make up for all that here in tourney action. The third time will be the charm and I look for them to get the SU win and also cover the short number along the way! 10* CLEVELAND STATE -2.5 |
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03-06-23 | Oilers v. Sabres OVER 7 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 11 m | Show |
NHL Monday 10* Top Play OVER 7 in Buffalo Sabres vs Edmonton Oilers @ 7:35 ET - When you see a total of 7 - and this one even up to 7.5 in some spots - many will start thinking under. But, in typical contrarian fashion, I am all over the over in this match-up. Note that the Oilers and Sabres both are consistently involved in ultra high scoring games of late. Also, Buffalo does tend to score better when they are at home. As for Edmonton, they score well everywhere these days - as per usual. Right now, in fact, both teams are scoring tons of goals but also have had struggles keeping the puck out of their own net. Of course I would love to see a total of 6.5 posted on this one but we will not see that. However, getting the total at 7 is still a real positive. That's because we only have to get each team to 3 goals and then we can not lose. We can not do any worse than 7 goals and a push in that case and I do expect each team to get to 3 goals for sure. The Oilers 12 of last 15 games have totaled at least 7 goals and those dozen games averaged 9.6 goals apiece! Edmonton has scored 3 or more goals in 19 of last 23 games. The Sabres have scored at least 3 goals in 8 of last 9 games. Buffalo has allowed 4.4 goals per game last dozen games. The Sabres 9 of last 11 games totaled at least 7 goals and those 9 games averaged 9 goals. Based on all the above numbers you can see why I am expecting a 5-4 type game here! 10* OVER 7 in Buffalo |
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03-06-23 | Celtics v. Cavs -3.5 | Top | 114-118 | Win | 100 | 14 h 8 m | Show |
NBA Monday 10* Top Play Cleveland Cavaliers -3.5 vs Boston Celtics @ 7:10 ET - This is a very tough spot for Boston. The Celtics are off a loss in double OT versus the Knicks yesterday. They had 4 guys play 44 minutes or more. This was the equivalent roughly of 4 guys playing a full normal regulation game of 48 minutes. Then Boston struggled with a couple of reserves in that played fewer minutes. Hauser had a +/- of -16 in 20 minutes and Muscala was -9 in 12 minutes on the floor. The point is that, considering tired legs here and some unimpressive bench play, the Celtics likely to struggle badly at Cleveland here. The Cavaliers are hosting a Boston team that is now 4-4 last 8 games. Cleveland has revenge for a 4 point loss at Boston last week. The Cavaliers have won 11 of last 14 home games and are 27-7 as a host on the season. Each of last 15 Cavs wins have been by 8 or more points so there is no hesitation in laying the big points here. Average margin of win was 16 points in these 15 wins. This one, considering Boston's double OT back to back situation, sets up well to be another home blowout for the Cavaliers. 10* CLEVELAND -3.5 |
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03-06-23 | Fulham v. Brentford OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 102 | 11 h 32 m | Show |
EPL Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Brentford vs Fulham @ 3 ET - These clubs are both on long unbeaten runs so they are playing with quite a bit of confidence here. I look for that to lead to plenty of goals in this one. I expect each club to score at least once and then both clubs to push for that second goal and this one to end 2-1 at a minimum. Fulham has scored an average of 1.8 goals last 5 matches across all competitions. Brentford has scored an average of 2.2 goals in last 5 home matches in premier league action. Each of last 3 meetings between these clubs across all competitions have totaled at least 3 goals and the one earlier this season totaled 5 goals. More of the same expected here. 10* OVER 2.5 in Brentford |
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03-06-23 | CFR Cluj v. Sepsi OVER 2.25 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 103 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2 -140 in Sepsi vs CFR Cluj @ 1:30 ET - These are 2 of the top 4 scoring clubs in the league this season. There is over 2 goals available if willing to lay a bit of a higher price and certainly I would recommend that in case this match lands on 2 goals. I am expecting 3 or more though. Sepsi's last 11 matches all have totaled at least 2 goals and these 11 matches have averaged 3 goals apiece! The last 4 CFR Cluj matches in league action all have totaled at least 2 goals and have averaged 4 goals. Also, CFR Cluj has scored at least 1 goal in all but 1 of their 14 league road matches so far this season. They have averaged scoring 1.64 goals per match on the road in league matches this season. Sepsi off a shutout loss at Farul but will bounce back at home and they had averaged scoring 2 goals per match last 10 matches prior to that shutout loss. The high-scoring ways resume for both clubs here. 10* OVER 2 -140 in Sepsi |
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03-05-23 | Bucks -4.5 v. Wizards | Top | 117-111 | Win | 100 | 8 h 56 m | Show |
NBA Sunday 10* Top Play Milwaukee Bucks -4.5 @ Washington Wizards @ 7:40 ET - Playing a strong team off a loss is always something worth looking at. But not all situations merit a play nor are all situations created equal. That said, this is a great one and I will not hesitate to get involved here. The Bucks just saw their 16-game losing streak come to an end last night. However, the key is how it happened. Milwaukee was up by 14 heading to the 4th quarter and then got outscored 48 to 31 in the final stanza. The 76ers just could not miss in that fourth quarter as they were seemingly making everything. Giannis Antetokounmpo and company are fired up now and want to bounce right back after letting a 4th quarter double digit lead slip away. Also, 17 of the last 19 Bucks wins have been by 6 or more points. Washington is off a home OT loss and actually has lost 7 of last 12 home games. So the fact Wizards are at home here is not a big help necessarily and plus they are in a B2B spot just like the Bucks. That said, I am backing the angry road favorite here. 10* MILWAUKEE -4.5 |
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03-05-23 | Northwestern +5.5 v. Rutgers | Top | 65-53 | Win | 100 | 9 h 33 m | Show |
CBB Sunday 10* Top Play Northwestern Wildcats +5.5 @ Rutgers Scarlet Knights @ 7:30 ET - Scarlet Knights off devastating road loss at Minnesota as Rutgers led that game by 10 points with under a minute and a half to go and ended up losing the game. That is a hard defeat to bounce back from. Now they host a Northwestern team that is off a tough OT loss to Penn State. That is a tough loss to bounce back from too but the Wildcats are getting a handful of points here and are a scrappy defensive-minded team and that Rutgers loss was truly of the devastating variety. With the Cats having lost 3 straight games for the first time this season, they will be fully focused on getting back into the win column here in the regular season finale. The Scarlet Knights have lost each of their last two games so their home has hardly been a fortress for them of late and I feel we have great line value with the sizable points here considering the key factors with this one. 10* NORTHWESTERN +5.5 |
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03-05-23 | Devils v. Coyotes OVER 6 | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 33 m | Show |
NHL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 6 or 6.5 in Arizona Coyotes vs New Jersey Devils @ 7:05 ET - The Coyotes have allowed 4.4 goals last 7 games. Arizona had scored 3.2 goals last 6 games before a 6-1 loss versus Carolina in most recent game and that was on the road. Generally speaking, the Coyotes score better on home ice but their problem of late is they so often struggle to stop teams. That is likely to be the case again tonight as they face a Devils team scoring a lot of goals lately. However, New Jersey also has allowed big goals in last two games and that was with each of their netminders. So, no matter who is in goal here I expect the Devils to struggle again in that regard but they should score well too against Arizona. New Jersey's last 8 games all have totaled at least 6 goals and all but 2 of them totaled at least 7 goals! The Devils have averaged 4.6 goals per game last 7 games. 10* OVER 6 or 6.5 in Arizona |
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03-05-23 | Red Wings v. Flyers -120 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 21 m | Show |
NHL Sunday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers Money Line -125 vs Detroit Red Wings @ 6:05 ET - Red Wings got hammered yesterday in a 5th straight loss. With Husso out and Hellberg in goal yesterday, it probably means Nedeljkovic and he has struggled in the starting role so far this season at the NHL level. He was called up from AHL because of the Husso situation. Flyers have also been struggling but they enter this game with rest and are on home ice and are expected to have Hart between the pipes and he is known for being stronger on home ice than on the road. He is off a solid start in most recent outing. The scheduling situation, home ice edge, and goalie edge all in favor of the Flyers here. 10* PHILADELPHIA -125 |
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03-05-23 | Steaua Bucharesti v. UTA Arad OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals in UTA vs FCSB @ 2 ET - You have to lay some extra juice to have the over 2 goals here but is a nice safety net per se should this game land on exactly 2 goals. I am expecting 3 or more but having the over 2 is a good value. FCSB has been red hot and scoring plenty of goals. FCSB has scored 2 goals per match last 6 matches and is undefeated last 5 matches with 4 wins and a draw. Last 6 matches have averaged 3 goals apiece and 5 of the 6 totaled at least 3 goals. 4 of last 5 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 2 goals and the last 2 have each totaled 3 goals. UTA is off a 2-1 loss on the road. Prior to that they did go scoreless in most recent home match but that was preceded by 12 of first 13 home matches this season totaling at least 2 goals. In fact, those 12 matches averaged 3 goals apiece. UTA does tend to score better at home than on the road so they will put up a fight here for sure. However, FCSB is favored for a reason and that is why I am looking for a 2-1 type final here. 10* OVER 2 in UTA |
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03-05-23 | Manchester United v. Liverpool OVER 2.75 | Top | 0-7 | Win | 100 | 5 h 19 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Liverpool vs Manchester United @ 11:30 AM ET - I know Liverpool has not been scoring well of late but they do average 2.3 goals scored per match on their home pitch in league action. Also, Manchester United has been on a recent run where they are scoring 2 or more goals on a consistent basis. If you look at their history for months now, almost every match across all competitions, Manchester United scores multiple goals. In this case, they will bring their A game for sure against Liverpool. This is a clash of titans so to speak but I expect it to be rather wide open because this has been the nature of Manchester United matches for some time now. More of the same here. The last 5 matches between these have averaged 4.4 goals apiece and all 5 of them totaled 5 goals and 4 straight had totaled 4 goals before the Manchester United 2-1 win earlier this season at home. Now the reverse fixture at Liverpool should be another high-scoring match-up as their solid scoring ways at home resume here. Like I said, I know the Reds have been a little quieter of late in the goal-scoring department but this one will bring out the best in them. 10* OVER 2.5 in Liverpool |
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03-05-23 | Everton v. Nottingham Forest OVER 2 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 53 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in Nottingham Forest vs Everton @ 9 AM ET - I am not surprised at all to see a 2 on this game as the total as Nottingham Forest has been strong defensively at home and Everton has struggled so badly to score goals on enemy soil this season. However, this is rare to get a 2 as the total on a Premier League match and I will not hesitate to grab the value here with this total. Keep in mind, Everton has conceded 1.7 goals per match this season when on the road. Also, Nottingham Forest has seen their matches on their home pitch average 2.3 goals apiece. We should get to at least 2 goals here but truly expecting a 2-1 final because this is a battle involving two relegation-threatened teams so picking up the full 3 points in the table is critical. Both teams combine for an average draw rate of 25% but just can't see this one ending 1-1 but, even if it did, we get our money back and move on. But truly expecting 3 or more goals here as both teams pushing so hard for the victory here. 10* OVER 2 in Nottingham Forest |
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03-05-23 | CS U Craiova v. Petrolul 52 OVER 2 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -125 | 4 h 28 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in Petrolul Ploiesti vs Universitatea Craiova @ 8:30 AM ET - 18 of last 21 Petrolul Ploiesti matches have totaled at least 2 goals. In fact, those 21 matches averaged 3 goals apiece and I am looking for at least that here. Petrolul Ploiesti has, in fact, allowed 3 goals per match last 6 games. Universitatea Craiova won the first meeting 2-1. They enter this match off B2B 1-0 matches but this followed 8 of 10 matches totaling at least 2 goals and those 8 matches averaged 2.5 goals apiece. Petrolul Ploiesti has only 3 draws in 28 matches this season so if you like each club to score here you can also expect that match will not end 1-1 either! By the way, Petrolul Ploiesti has allowed at least 1 goal in 8 of last 9 matches. Universitatea Craiova has allowed at least 1 goal in 15 of last 17 matches. 10* OVER 2 in Petrolul Ploiesti |
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03-04-23 | Hawks +2.5 v. Heat | Top | 109-117 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 45 m | Show |
NBA Saturday 10* Top Play Atlanta Hawks +2.5 @ Miami Heat @ 8:10 ET - Both teams in a B2B but like a few key factors with Hawks here. Atlanta had a solid win and got to rest guys some as the game went on. Also, the Hawks have revenge here from a loss to Miami in most recent game. The Heat, on the other hand, really pushed hard in last night's game and it was a tight finish that also had a rough ending for them. Miami gave up a last second 3 pointer to lose the game and that is a tough one to bounce back from especially in a B2B and facing a revenge-minded division rival. The Hawks got their first win since the coaching change after losing the first game with coach Snyder. Look for them to build off that here after knocking off the Trail Blazers convincingly last night. 10* ATLANTA +2.5 |
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03-04-23 | Davidson v. Rhode Island +3.5 | Top | 68-54 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
CBB Saturday 10* Top Play Rhode Island Rams +3.5 vs Davidson Wildcats @ 8 ET - The Rams are 7-7 SU at home this season. The Wildcats are 4-6 on the road this season. So, on the surface with Davidson having a much better record overall and opening up at nearly a pick'em, they look like the play here. Sure enough everyone jumped all over them and the line is up to a 3.5 on the Wildcats in this one. Davidson, however, has not been very strong on the road and Rams have been a rather strong home team this season plus they have been done in by some tighter losses this season that has impacted their record. Rhode Island is only 6-5 SU in their last 11 home games but 2 of those losses by just 1 point and another loss was in OT. Davidson will have their hands full here as Rams will show up big here in their home finale. Rhode Island is almost always very tough to beat on their home floor and that should be the case again here as the Rams are off a road win but had lost 3 straight at home and want to make up for that here. One loss by 1 point and another loss in OT at home. Here the Rams get it done in their home finale. 10* RHODE ISLAND +3.5 |
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03-04-23 | Maple Leafs v. Canucks OVER 6.5 | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 58 m | Show |
NHL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Vancouver Canucks vs Toronto Maple Leafs @ 7:07 ET - The Canucks have lost 16 of 23 games and before a 2-1 loss to Minnesota in most recent game, 18 of last 22 Vancouver games had totaled at least 7 goals. Now the Canucks host a Maple Leafs team that is also off a tight 2-1 game. Prior to that 2-1 win, all but 2 of last 12 Toronto games were higher-scoring games. Those 10 Leafs games averaged 7 goals apiece. In fact, before the win over the Flames, 6 of the last 7 Maple Leafs games saw either Toronto or their opponent total at least 5 goals in the game. The point is we should see plenty of goals here as both the Canucks and Leafs are off games that were outliers because they were 2-1 results. Look for things to get back to normal here for each club. 10* OVER 6.5 in Vancouver |
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03-04-23 | Kansas v. Texas -3 | Top | 59-75 | Win | 100 | 5 h 5 m | Show |
CBB Saturday 10* Top Play Texas Longhorns -3 vs Kansas Jayhawks @ 4 ET - Kansas already wrapped up the #1 spot in the Big 12 Conference for the regular season. This could be a tough spot for the Jayhawks to match the intensity of the Longhorns. Texas enters this one in a 3-way tie for the #2 spot in the Big 12 but, even more importantly, this is their home finale and they enter this game off B2B losses. That means an extra intense effort from the Horns in this one and adding to the intensity is that this is a revenge game from an 88-80 loss at Kansas earlier this season. That was the most points that UT allowed in a road game all season long. The Horns are 16-1 at home this season and, even though the Jayhawks have won 7 straight games you can see why Texas is favored here per all the key factors in this one. Lay it with the Longhorns. 10* TEXAS -3 |
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03-04-23 | Hermannstadt v. Rapid Bucuresti OVER 2 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 6 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in Rapid Bucuresti vs Hermannstadt @ 1 ET - I know Hermannstadt has been struggling to score goals but they have been particularly bad on their home pitch. I look for them to scratch for a goal here on the road. As for Rapid, they have been one of the hotter clubs around for quite some time now. They have been scoring goals quite well and that should continue here. 16 of last 18 Rapid matches have totaled at least 2 goals and, in fact, those 16 matches have averaged 3 goals apiece. 7 of last 10 Hermannstadt matches have totaled at least 2 goals. This one should too and I do expect 3 or more given the circumstances. Usually when off a home shutout, Hermannstadt's next match totals at least two goals. This one should too as the strong push for Rapid up the table continues in the penultimate match for them. 10* OVER 2 in Rapid Bucuresti |
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03-04-23 | Leicester v. Southampton OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 16 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Southampton vs Leicester @ 12:30 ET - Leicester road matches have averaged 4 goals per match on the season. As you would expect, that is the highest average in the Premier League this season. As for Southampton, 5 of last 7 matches across all competitions have totaled at least 3 goals. So this match should see at least a 2-1 final given the above trending plus the fact both clubs are desperate for the full 3 points in the table. Southampton is at the very bottom of the table but will see this match as a great opportunity to pick up a full 3 points in the table because they are hosting a Leicester club that is relegation threatened and not far above the drop zone. 10* OVER 2.5 in Southampton |
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03-03-23 | Suns -5.5 v. Bulls | Top | 125-104 | Win | 100 | 13 h 44 m | Show |
NBA Friday 10* Top Play Phoenix Suns -5.5 @ Chicago Bulls @ 8:10 ET - It has only just begun. Kevin Durant made his debut for the Suns and now look for things to continue to build off that victory by a double digit margin at Charlotte. This Suns team is stacked and they take on a Bulls team that is off a win but that had lost 7 of 9 games before that victory. Also, that Chicago win came against a very bad Pistons team. Also, the other two wins were against another team (Wizards) with a losing record plus a Nets team that has been an absolute train wreck of late. All that said, the Bulls likely in trouble here against a very strong Suns team. Phoenix is ready to make a major move now with a revamped roster while Chicago is an ugly 6-13 this season in games against teams from the Western Conference. Also this line has moved down to a 5.5 and 6 of last 7 Bulls losses have been by a margin of 6 or more points. Look for another one here to fall into that category. 10* PHOENIX -5.5 |
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03-03-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Blue Jackets OVER 6.5 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 39 m | Show |
NHL Friday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Columbus Blue Jackets vs Seattle Kraken @ 7:05 ET - The Blue Jackets hosting a Kraken team that has allowed 4.4 goals per game last 5 games. Also, Seattle has scored 4 or more goals in 5 of last 7 games! You can see why I am expecting goals aplenty here! As for Columbus, they have scored 5 or more goals in 2 of last 3 games. As for the goaltending, the Blue Jackets Merzlikins consistently allows at least 3 goals in every start and has a 4.10 GAA on the season. Korpisalo allowed 5 goals in most recent start and he had a 3.68 GAA in January. Look for the tough start to wrap February to possible send him back into another stretch as that has been his pattern in the past too. He runs very hot and cold. Either way, plenty of goals expected here based on the current trending of both these clubs as well as the current situation. 10* OVER 6.5 in Columbus |
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03-03-23 | Dayton -120 v. St. Louis | Top | 61-65 | Loss | -120 | 13 h 30 m | Show |
CBB Friday 10* Top Play Dayton Flyers -120 @ St Louis Billikens @ 7 ET - Dayton has won 7 of 9 games and the Flyers beat the Billikens by double digits during this hot run as well. Of course we are not quite yet into tourney time but St Louis is not nearly as strong as Dayton is defensively. That said, March is the time of year - above all others - where defensive intensity picks up and it is crunch time for teams. I like the fact that Dayton allows only 60.7 ppg while St Louis allows 71.4 ppg. This is a great spot for the road team at a great price. The Flyers did lose at St Louis last season and these guys do not lose often. They remember that defeat and want to get it done on the Billikens home floor this time around. The Billikens have lost 6 of last 10 games and simply are not in a groove in the same way the Flyers are right now. This is the A-10 finale for these teams and Dayton is off a win that followed a loss. The fact is that in Dec, Jan, and Feb the Flyers only had one time in which they had a standalone win. In other words, the odds favor that Dayton gets another win here. The Flyers wrap the regular season on a 2-game winning streak and solidify their spot in the standings above the Billikens. 10* DAYTON -120 |
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03-03-23 | RB Leipzig v. Borussia Dortmund OVER 3 | Top | 1-2 | Push | 0 | 9 h 18 m | Show |
German Bundesliga Friday 10* Top Play OVER 3 goals +105 in Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig @ 2:30 ET - This is a match-up of two of the top six clubs in the Bundesliga and I am expecting plenty of goals. Each club has averaged scoring 2 goals per match this season. Also, Borussia Dortmund has been particularly lethal at home where they are scoring an average of 3 goals per match. RB Leipzig is allowing 1.5 goals per match on enemy soil this season. The visitors are very hungry for the full 3 points in the table in this one as they look to close the gap on Borussia Dortmund. Also, I would say the likelihood of a draw is slim as only 1 of 22 matches this season for Borussia Dortmund has ended in a draw. So with each high-scoring club likely to get on the board at least once here plus the fact that odds on a draw are slim, you have excellent odds of this match getting to at least 3 goals though I am expecting 4+ for sure. Each of the last 5 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 3 goals and 3 of the last 5 totaled 5 goals including each of the last two matches here. More of the same on tap in this one at Signal Iduna Park. 10* OVER 3 goals +105 in Borussia Dortmund |
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03-03-23 | Farul Constanta 1920 v. Universitatea Cluj OVER 2 | Top | 0-2 | Push | 0 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in Universitatea Cluj vs Farul @ 1 ET - Farul is at the top of the table with 2 weeks left in the regular season but CFR Cluj is right behind them and keeping the pressure on after winning again yesterday versus UTA. That said, Farul can not afford to settle for a draw here and I do look for them to have a challenging match with Universitatea Cluj in this one. Note that Farul did win the first match-up between these clubs 2-0 but that one was at Constanta. Now the clubs meet at Universitatea Cluj where these hosts have scored 2 goals in 3 of their last 4 matches since the winter break. Overall, Universitatea Cluj has been trending toward higher-scoring matches. They are off a low-scoring win but that had a lot to do with facing the punchless attack of Hermannstadt. Prior to that, 6 of last 7 Universitatea Cluj totaled 2 or more goals and 5 of the 6 totaled 3 or more goals. In fact, those 6 matches averaged 3.5 goals apiece! As for Farul, they are the highest-scoring club in the league and 20 of their last 23 matches have totaled at least 2 goals. I know Farul has not been allowing many goals of late but they will struggle to shutdown this Universitatea Cluj club which has been so strong recently on its home pitch. 10* OVER 2 in Universitatea Cluj |
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03-02-23 | Blues v. Sharks OVER 6.5 | Top | 6-3 | Win | 104 | 12 h 20 m | Show |
NHL Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in San Jose Sharks vs St Louis Blues @ 10:35 ET - I know the Sharks have not been scoring that well for awhile now but this match-up features two teams that are losing a lot of games because they are allowing a ton of goals. That means both teams should enjoy success in the offensive zone in this one. St Louis, if you look at last 15 games, has scored at least 4 goals in all 4 wins but allowed 4.5 goals per game in the 11 losses. The Blues have allowed 5 goals per game in last 5 road games! You can see why I am expecting the Sharks to enjoy some success in the offensive zone in this one based on those numbers and the same holds true for St Louis. The Blues will take advantage of a Sharks club that is constantly allowing too many goals. Amazingly, Sharks have allowed 4 goals per game last 29 games. There are no signs of that changing anytime soon either. This one should get to at least 4-3 the way I handicap it and 5-4 would certainly not shock and the last meeting was 5-3. Grab the value here because the way these teams are giving up goals we should see a shootout despite their lower goal-scoring numbers of late. 10* OVER 6.5 in San Jose |
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03-02-23 | 76ers v. Mavs -2.5 | Top | 126-133 | Win | 100 | 12 h 24 m | Show |
NBA Thursday 10* Top Play Dallas Mavericks -2.5 vs Philadelphia 76ers @ 7:30 ET - This line has moved toward Philly from its opener and I do understand that for sure because Dallas has lost B2B games and 5 of 6 and is still trying to adjust since the trade for Irving. However, the 76ers are in a very tough B2B spot here as they just a big revenging win at Miami last night. Look for Philly to fall flat here in the 2nd game of the B2B. I know Embiid missed last night so he will play tonight most likely but I still like the Mavericks here to get back on track. Dallas off B2B tight losses including one in which they blew a 27 point lead to the Lakers. There will be no quit in the rested Mavericks tonight as they play for just the 2nd time this week. For the Sixers, this is 2nd game of B2B and 3rd game in 4 nights situation. 10* DALLAS -2.5 |
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03-02-23 | Senators v. Rangers OVER 6.5 | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show |
NHL Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in New York Rangers vs Ottawa Senators @ 7:05 ET - The Rangers are in a B2B and it was a hard-fought divisional win over the Flyers and they had to rally to tie it in the 3rd and then win in OT. That should set this one up well to be a higher-scoring game. Rangers used up a lot of defensive energy plus had top goalie Shesterkin between the pipes last night. Prior to that game, New York had allowed 3.5 goals last 11 games and 8 of the 11 games totaled at least 7 goals. As for the Senators, they have won 3 straight games and scored an average of 5.7 goals in those 3 victories. So Ottawa is certainly hot in the goal-scoring department but do note they also have allowed 3.5 goals per game in last 14 games. That said, Rangers should score well here on home ice but they are facing a red-hot Senators club too. The Sens will also be lighting the lamp often tonight too. 10* OVER 6.5 in New York Rangers |
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03-02-23 | Valparaiso +2.5 v. Murray State | Top | 50-78 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 43 m | Show |
CBB Thursday 10* Top Play Valparaiso Beacons +2.5 vs Murray State Racers @ 7 ET in MVC Tournament 1st Round in St Louis, MO - Why is this line 2.5 is the million dollar question here? This makes absolutely no sense. The Racers were just favored by 6.5 at home and and also favored by 3.5 when they faced the Beacons at Valparaiso earlier this season. Yes the most recent win came in OT for the Racers in the final game of the regular season as they defeated these same Beacons by just 1 point. But this line really looks funny to me. Valparaiso has lost 4 straight games and 7 of last 8 and they are 5-15 in conference action while Murray State is 11-9 in conference action and has won 3 of last 4 games. So the fact is this is a trap line. Many will be looking at the Racers here but a sharp book I follow also has this line down at a 2 which also says a lot. This looks like a great spot for Valparaiso to score the upset. Do not let the line fool you. Yes, the Beacons have struggled to get wins but they have been on the cusp and 3 of last 7 losses have been in OT and another regulation loss was by just a single point. In the most recent loss to Murray State, Valparaiso actually had 9 more field goal attempts in the game but were outscored by 11 at the free throw line and that certainly impacted the final outcome. On a neutral court, the Beacons should shoot better than they did in that game plus Murray State won't have such a big free throw edge either. 10* VALPARAISO +2.5 |
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03-02-23 | Barcelona FC v. Real Madrid OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 2 m | Show |
2022-23 Spanish Copa del Rey, Semifinals Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Real Madrid vs Barcelona @ 3 ET - The last 4 matches between these clubs that were not a club friendly all have totaled at least 4 goals and this one certainly is not a club friendly! This is a big match between two heavyweights from La Liga and I am expecting an intense battle that will end up at least a 2-1 final. I am aware of the personnel issues with each club. This total is just a little on the low side in my opinion as we are getting some extra line value from those personnel issues. Note that Barcelona is off a 1-0 loss but had scored an average of 2 goals per match in their 6 matches prior to that defeat. Both these clubs have scored an average of 2 goals per match in La Liga action this season. Note that Real Madrid has scored an average of 3.5 goals in last 6 matches across all competitions! We are going to see an entertaining match here with plenty of attacking in my opinion. I feel these clubs will not want to let it come down so much to the 2nd leg of this. Look for Real Madrid to be aggressive in trying to establish the upper hand in the 1st of leg of this as they take advantage of their home pitch and that aggression will mean some opportunities for a dangerous Barcelona team on the counterattack as well. 10* OVER 2.5 in Real Madrid |
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03-02-23 | Petrolul 52 v. Steaua Bucharesti OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 19 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in FCSB vs Petrolul Ploiesti @ 1 ET - Petrolul Ploiesti does struggle to score goals at times but they should get at least 1 here. FCSB has allowed at least 1 goal in 3 straight matches and in 4 of last 5 matches. In fact, in those 5 matches FCSB has allowed an average of 1.2 goals. The key here is FCSB is a huge favorite with good reasoning. They are likely to win this by a multiple goal margin. But also, lets say Petrolul Ploiesti does get that one goal, is there a chance of a 1-1 draw? Sure there is a chance but actually they have had only 3 draws in 27 matches this season so the odds on that are slim. The fact is this one should get to at least 2-1 but honestly expecting FCSB to get this total for us all by themselves is note necessarily expecting too much. The goal line on this match is 1.5 goals for a reason. Also, FCSB has averaged 2 goals scored per match last 13 matches and now they face a Petrolul Ploiesti club that has allowed 2.5 goals per match last 8 matches! 10* OVER 2.5 in FCSB |
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03-02-23 | UTA Arad v. CFR Cluj OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 103 | 4 h 40 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals -135 in CFR Cluj vs Arad @ 10 AM ET - Arad is off B2B matches in which they did not score. I know we are talking about a bad club here. However, prior to those two matches, 17 of the last 19 Arad matches had totaled at least 2 goals. There is over 2 available on this match and that is how I would recommend to play it. Arad has NEVER gone 3 straight matches without scoring a goal this ENTIRE season and that is in 27 matches! So the odds favor them scoring a goal here but also the odds strongly favor CFR Cluj scoring well too as they are a heavy favorite for a reason. I am looking for at least a 2-1 win for the host but they could also score 3 on their own here. They will be relentless on the attack after settling for a 1-1 draw in the first meeting. That is one of only two draws that CFR Cluj has had in 27 matches this season. So the point is, if Arad gets at least 1, look for the hosts to get at least 2 goals! Looking for CFR Cluj to score plenty here as they are looking to make a run at Farul for top spot in the league and have now scored 8 goals in their past two league matches! 10* OVER 2 in CFR Cluj |
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03-01-23 | Texas +2.5 v. TCU | Top | 73-75 | Win | 100 | 10 h 57 m | Show |
CBB Wednesday 10* Top Play Texas Longhorns +2.5 @ TCU Horned Frogs @ 9 ET - This line opened up around a pick'em. This is despite TCU being 12-4 at home this season and Texas having a losing record on the road for the season. As I expected, the betting markets are jumping on the Horned Frogs and so now we can get +2.5 with the Longhorns in this one. Texas is coming off a loss to Baylor. That sets this up perfect (literally!) as UT has not lost B2B game this entire season. Texas is 6-0 when coming off a loss this season and now takes on a Horned Frogs team off a 1-point win. TCU, prior to that win, had lost 6 of 8 games. Also, if you look at TCU's last 8 games, they were solid defensively against Kansas but allowed an average of 76 points in the other 7 games. The Longhorns are not only 6-0 SU when off a loss this season, they have allowed an average (not including OT points of course) of only 59 points in those 6 games. As you can see, Texas responds well off a loss and definitely tends to D up when off a defeat! Overall, the Longhorns have allowed just 65.5 ppg last 6 games. Love the situation and fading the line move. Yes this is a revenge game for the Horned Frogs because they lost in Austin earlier this season but revenge tends to be over-played. Horns aren't going to lay down here after losing to the Bears. 10* TEXAS +2.5 |
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03-01-23 | Maple Leafs v. Oilers OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 10 m | Show |
NHL Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Edmonton Oilers vs Toronto Maple Leafs @ 8:05 ET - The Maple Leafs 5-1 win was the 8th time last 11 games that either Toronto or the opponent scored 5 or more goals. Overall, the Leafs last 11 games have featured only 2 grinders and the other 9 have featured an average of 7 goals! With this being Leafs/Oilers - a non-conference match-up featuring another dangerous offense - we should see plenty of scoring here. Edmonton is off a low-scoring loss but, prior to this, 15 of last 19 games totaled at least 7 goals. Oilers saw those 15 games average 8.7 goals each! When you look at Edmonton's recent stats, certainly this game has the makings of one where it is simply VERY hard to not envision each club getting to at least 3 goals and that means at least a 4-3 final here. 10* OVER 6.5 in Edmonton |
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03-01-23 | 76ers -130 v. Heat | Top | 119-96 | Win | 100 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
NBA Wednesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers Money Line -130 @ Miami Heat @ 7:40 ET - The 76ers are 2 point favorites in most books as of gameday morning and I do not want to get burned here if they win the game by a margin of just 2 or particularly just 1. That said, I will suggest a money line play here and the dominant line on this one is -130. The 76ers are getting a shot at right back revenge as they just lost at home to Miami by 2 points in a game in which the Heat made 5 more 3-pointers for a 15 point variance. That plus the Sixers being sloppy in the turnover department certainly were the key differences in the game. Note that Philly now enters this one off B2B losses. That is notable as the 76ers are 5-1 (83%) last 6 times they have entered a game off 2 or more consecutive losses. As for the Heat, they had lost 4 straight by sneaking out the win in Philly and now both Strus and Love are banged up entering this game. I respect Miami at home but the Sixers had been the hotter team and are very hungry in this revenge spot. Also, the 76ers have had 6 of these B2B spots this season where they face the same team in B2B games and they have NEVER lost both of the games. I do not expect that to change here. 10* PHILADELPHIA -130 |
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03-01-23 | Rangers v. Flyers +1.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 11 m | Show |
NHL Wednesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers +1.5 -125 vs New York Rangers @ 7:35 ET - This is when professional pride kicks in for team. Philly just got embarrassed 7-0 by the Devils. Now they take on another rival as the Rangers are in town. Philadelphia actually has had a ton of 1-goal losses this season so the value of having the 1.5 goals on their side is big here. Rangers are off a win but New York lost 4 straight games before that. Hart is known for being stronger in goal at home and Shesterkin has not been as strong as usual between the pipes of late for New York. That said, this one has the makings of being a very tight battle. Flyers, before this recent 3-game skid of uglier losses, had only 8 multi-goal losses last 34 games! Yes, at +1.5 goals Philly was on a 26-8 run and they get back on track here with an ultra-competitive effort after getting embarrassed by New Jersey in most recent game. 10* PHILADELPHIA +1.5 -125 |
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03-01-23 | Wolverhampton Wanderers v. Liverpool OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -135 | 6 h 14 m | Show |
EPL Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals -135 in Liverpool vs Wolverhampton @ 3 ET - So this could be considered a contrarian play but I love this situation. Everyone sees Liverpool off a scoreless draw and hosting a Wolverhampton team known for struggling to score goals so the first thought that would come to mind, naturally, is under. However, the Reds were off a 5-2 loss to Real Madrid in which they had led 2-0 early. So Liverpool was a bit shell-shocked before their most recent EPL match and it showed in the 0-0 battle. They will bounce back here and they seek revenge against the Wolves from a 3-0 loss earlier this season at Wolverhampton. I do expect Liverpool to respond here and they are a 1-goal favorite on the goal line for a reason. The key to the over is I just do not see them delivering a clean sheet here but they also should score very well. Wolverhampton has averaged 1.5 goals in last 4 meetings with the Reds. However Liverpool has scored at least 2 goals in last two home meetings with the Wolves. Also, Liverpool had scored at least 2 goals in 3 straight matches overall before the scoreless draw with Crystal Palace. Prior to that match, the last 5 Liverpool matches had averaged 3.4 goals. Also, Wolverhampton is known for lower-scoring matches overall but do note that their last 12 road matches across all competitions have averaged 3 goals apiece. Considering that fact plus the situation here, this one has over written all over it. 10* OVER 2.5 goals -135 in Liverpool |