Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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08-03-22 | Dodgers v. Giants OVER 7.5 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 14 m | Show |
MLB Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 7.5 in San Francisco Giants vs Los Angeles Dodgers @ 9:45 ET - Action on pitchers. This is a contrarian play because Julio Urias is on the mound for the Dodgers and he has solid numbers this season and has been strong against the Giants. What I like about San Francisco here is they have scored at least 4 runs in 4 of last 6 games. Similar to yesterday's 9-5 LA win I feel we will see plenty of runs scored here. The Giants last 6 games with the Dodgers have totaled an average of 10.3 runs per game. San Francisco has scored an average of 5 runs per game last dozen home games. The Dodgers have been swinging hot bats and averaging 6.5 runs per game last 19 games! That is why I don't care who the pitchers are here but I will mention that the Giants are expected to go with Alex Cobb. He has some good numbers recently but does struggle when facing more potent lineups. The Dodgers are a case in point as Cobb just allowed 4 earned runs in less than 6 innings in his most recent start against them. 10* OVER 7.5 in San Francisco |
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08-03-22 | Tigers v. Twins OVER 8.5 | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
MLB Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers @ 1:10 ET - Decent winds in Minneapolis expected for this one and I feel that will help the ball carry a little better than usual too. Alexander the expected starter for the Tigers and he has not fared well as a starter, has struggled more on the road, and struggled in day games. It all adds up to a huge game at the plate for the Twins. As for Minnesota starter Ryan, the problem is that he just got destroyed and allowed 5 homers in his most recent start. Yes he was previously throwing quite well but I know that all the long balls just have to be in the back of his mind entering this one and the Tigers have been hitting decently of late. In fact, that is why I like the over here regardless of who the starting pitchers end up being. Detroit averaging 4.3 runs per game last 9 games but allowing 5 runs per game in going 3-8 last 11 games prior to yesterday's win. The Twins had seen 8 straight games total at least 9 runs prior to the last 3 games not reaching that number. Still 2 of those 3 got to 8 and I like this one to get to double digits as Minny has scored an average of 6.5 runs per game last 4 times they were off a loss in which they were held to 3 or less runs scored. 10* OVER 8.5 in Minnesota |
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08-03-22 | Phillies +123 v. Braves | Top | 3-1 | Win | 123 | 8 h 22 m | Show |
MLB Wednesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies +123 @ Atlanta Braves @ 12:20 ET - The Phillies got destroyed 13 to 1 yesterday. Now they hand the ball to staff ace Zack Wheeler who is 9-2 with a 2.05 ERA his last 16 starts after he began the season in early April with a rare rough patch. He has dominated practically ever since. As for Charlie Morton, the veteran has great long-term numbers but the Phillies have hit him hard this season and it continues here. Regardless of the pitchers, I like Philly here as they had won 5 straight before that loss yesterday and will bounce back off the destruction. 10* PHILADELPHIA +123 |
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08-02-22 | Orioles v. Rangers OVER 8.5 | Top | 8-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 1 m | Show |
MLB Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Texas Rangers vs Baltimore Orioles @ 8:05 ET - Spencer Howard off a decent start for the Rangers but he entered that start with a 7.11 ERA and getting hit at a .306 clip on the season. Jordan Lyles got hammered in his most recent road start and that was the 5th time he has been hammered in his last 7 away from home. Lyles allowed 4 or more earned runs in 4 of last 6 away from home. Regardless of the pitching match-up here, I do like the over as the Orioles are off a 7-2 win yesterday and, other than a shutout loss to the Yankees, have averaged 4.6 runs per game in their other 10 games since returning from the break. Also, keep in mind, Baltimore had average 5.2 runs per game in going 11-2 in their final 13 games before the break as well. The Rangers had won 3 of 4 overall and scored an average of 5.3 runs per game before yesterday's ugly loss. Also, yesterday's 7-2 home loss was the 9th time last 12 home games that a Texas home game totaled at least 9 runs. The Rangers averaged 5.4 runs in their last 10 home games prior to scoring just 2 runs yesterday. Like the value with this low total no matter who is on the mound as I expect the high-scoring trends noted above to continue. 10* OVER 8.5 in Texas |
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08-02-22 | Phillies +1.5 v. Braves | Top | 1-13 | Loss | -103 | 15 h 21 m | Show |
MLB Tuesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Run Line +1.5 -105 @ Atlanta Braves @ 7:20 ET - A lot of value here with Phillies +1.5 runs. Philadelphia is on a 34-18 run overall and plus 5 of their 10 most recent losses have been by just a single run! In fact, 21 of the Phillies last 26 games have been either outright wins or a loss by a single run. Good value here with the +1.5 as this is a match up of two hot teams but the Braves appear to be a little over-priced here. PHI has won 5 straight games and ATL has won 3 in a row. Philadelphia has averaged 5.4 runs per game last 7 games. Atlanta has averaged scoring just 3.4 runs per game last 7 games. I will challenge the hosts to win this game by more than a single run as I envision a tight battle all the way. The Phillies just faced Strider and should enjoy more success in the quick second look at him. Nelson has allowed only 1 earned run in the 6.1 innings spanning his last 3 road appearances for the Phillies. 10* PHILADELPHIA +1.5 -105 |
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08-01-22 | Royals v. White Sox OVER 8.5 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 56 m | Show |
MLB Monday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Chicago White Sox vs Kansas City Royals @ 8:10 ET - Action on pitchers. The expected starers are Michael Kopech versus Brad Keller. More on them in a minute. What I like about this play is the fact the Royals last 13 road games have featured 9 that have totaled at least 9 runs. In fact, those 9 games averaged totaling 12.3 runs per game so it is not like they are just squeaking over the total. As for the White Sox, they are off B2B low-scoring wins over an A's team that is just not known for much scoring. However, prior to Chicago's last 2 games totaling just 5 runs apiece, the White Sox saw 9 of 11 games total at least 9 runs. In fact, those 9 games averaged 10.4 runs per game. You can see why multiple signs point to an over here regardless of the pitchers. The expected pitching match-up is Kopech versus Keller as noted above. Kopech has good overall numbers on the season but has been walking too many of late and this led to a 1.82 WHIP in July. Overall his last 7 starts have seen him go 2-4 and he has a 6.19 ERA last 3 home starts. As for Keller, he has also has been struggling with walks allowed in last 2 starts and, overall, has been hit hard in 3 of his last 4 starts. Keller is 3-7 with a 4.83 ERA in night starts this season. Both teams should have plenty of scoring opportunities in this one and, like so often of late with these clubs, look for a total of at least 9 runs in this one but really double digits quite likely. 10* OVER 8.5 in Chicago White Sox |
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08-01-22 | Botosani v. Hermannstadt OVER 2 | Top | 1-1 | Push | 0 | 11 h 35 m | Show |
Romania Liga I Soccer Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in Hermannstadt vs Botosani @ 1:30 ET - Of course a push is not a desired result but the fact that 18 of the first 23 matches this season in the SuperLiga in Romania have totaled at least 2 goals shows you the value in having the 2 goals with a play on the over. Also, having watched the matches last week involving these two clubs, the scoring opportunities were certainly there for much more than what rippled the net in Hermannstadt's 1-1 draw and Botosani's 1-0 win. Remember too that each one of these clubs scored 3 goals in their victories in week 1. Now, in the final match of the week 3 slate, this is a battle for first place. If these clubs avoid a draw then the winner of this one will get the full 3 points in the standings and move into first place. That said, I am fully expecting each team to again get on the scoresheet as they have done so far this season and I look for both teams to push hard for the extra points in the table and that means nothing less than a 2-1 final in my opinion. Remember Hermannstadt scored 3 goals in their only match this season and I remember Botosani's 3-2 week 1 win versus Chindia Targoviste was a wild match with so many scoring opportunities. Don't let last week's 1-0 Botosani victory fool you. They have not fixed all their defensive shortcomings but, at the same time, they can attack newly promoted Hermannstadt and do some damage here on the road. Prior to that 1-0 Botosani win their last 4 matches in league action averaged totaling 4 goals! 10* OVER 2 in Hermannstadt |
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07-31-22 | Ottawa v. Toronto OVER 47.5 | Top | 23-13 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
CFL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 47.5 in Toronto Argonauts vs Ottawa Redblacks @ 5 ET - The Redblacks will keep going hard here as they remain the only winless team in the CFL. In fact, every other team has at least 2 wins this season! As for Ottawa, a big problem is a defense that has allowed 32 points per game in their 4 games since they had a bye in Week 3. As for Toronto, they have scored at least 30 points each of their last two games but have allowed 28 points per game last 4 games. You can see, given these numbers, why I am expecting this game to get into the 50s. 10* OVER 47.5 in Toronto |
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07-31-22 | A's v. White Sox -1.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 57 m | Show |
MLB Sunday 10* Top Play Chicago White Sox -1.5 -125 vs Oakland A's @ 2:10 ET - Action on pitchers because the White Sox just so much better than the A's and I am comfortable backing Chicago no matter what here. However, the expected starting pitching match-up certainly does not hurt us! Dylan Cease and Adam Oller at different ends of the spectrum from sure. Cease has gone 6-1 with one no decision in his last 8 starts. Incredibly, Cease has allowed a TOTAL of ONLY 3 runs in these 8 starts and he went at least 5 innings in each start and averaged 6 innings per start. As for Oller, he has been okay out of the bullpen this season but has been back in the rotation again this month and the struggles have continued. Oller is 1-3 with a 9.75 ERA in his 6 starts this season! Better team, better lineup, home field edge, and the expected starting pitching match-up features two guys at opposite ends of the spectrum right now. 10* CHICAGO WHITE SOX -1.5 -125 |
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07-31-22 | Mets v. Marlins OVER 7 | Top | 9-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 24 m | Show |
MLB Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 7 in Miami Marlins vs New York Mets @ 1:40 ET - Being a contrarian is something that has served me well through the years and I expect that to be the case again here. Action on pitchers. The expected pitchers are Walker and Lopez. No matter who pitches I like the over after the Marlins got shutout yesterday. The Marlins Lopez had trade rumors flying around him and certainly this could have taken a toll on him. Though off a quality start it was his first since early this month and he did get hammered by the Mets in mid-June. I know he had success against him since then in a start but New York enters this game having won 5 straight games and scoring an average of 5.4 runs per game. The Marlins have averaged 5 runs per game this season when off a shutout loss and they respond big here. Taijuan Walker has been solid for the Mets but he did allow 8 hits in 6 innings in his only start at Miami this season. More of the same here and, regardless of pitchers, Mets stay hot at the plate as they go for 6 straight wins and the Marlins respond off the home shutout. 10* OVER 7 in Miami |
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07-31-22 | Tigers v. Blue Jays OVER 9 | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 16 m | Show |
MLB Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 9 in Toronto Blue Jays vs Detroit Tigers @ 12:05 ET - Action on pitchers. Expected starters Hill and Berrios. Note that Hills is unproven at the MLB level and the inexperienced hurler has a 7.20 ERA last 3 starts. I know Berrios is a rock solid pitcher overall but he has allowed 28 hits in 23 innings in home starts in July. Also, Berrios has a 6.02 ERA in day games this season. The Tigers actually had 10 hits in yesterday's loss and have been swinging the bats better overall of late. The Blue Jays are a very dangerous lineup and this is particularly true at home. After some games falling just short of the over so far in this series look for this one to fly over the total. Toronto has a breakout game and the Tigers scratch more runs than many are expecting here. Detroit has scored an average of 5 runs per game last 6 games. 10* OVER 9 in Toronto |
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07-31-22 | Sepsi v. Petrolul 52 OVER 2 | Top | 1-1 | Push | 0 | 7 h 1 m | Show |
Romania Liga I Sunday Soccer 10* Top Play OVER 2 -124 in Petrolul Ploiesti vs Sepsi @ 11 AM ET - There are 16 clubs in the SuperLiga. Of those 16, entering Sunday, half of them have played 3 matches and the other half have played 2 matches thus far. Plenty of opportunities to score at least 1 goal. The only team that has yet to make the net ripple is Petrolul Ploiesti. Now, at home and hosting a Sepsi club that allowed 2 goals in its only road match this season, look for the hosts to finally get on the board. However, also note that this Sepsi club is off a 4-0 victory last week and scored 2 goals in its opening week draw. The visitors are piling up goals and the hosts are very hungry here. That said, and with this total available at 2 goals, I will not hesitate to step out with a top play on this one. 10* OVER 2 -124 in Petrolul Ploiesti |
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07-30-22 | A's v. White Sox OVER 8.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 43 m | Show |
MLB Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Chicago White Sox vs Oakland A's @ 7:15 ET - The White Sox have seen 8 of last 9 games total at least 9 runs and that includes 6 of 7 since the All-Star break. The A's won yesterday's match-up 7-3 and have now won 7 of 8 games and scored an average of 5.5 runs per game. Oakland has putrid numbers on offense for the season but they actually have been hitting better since even before the All-Star break when they won 3 of last 5 games before the break plus averaged scoring 5.5 runs per game the final 6 games before the break. That is why, regardless of the pitchers here, I like the over in this match-up. However, I will mention the expected starters are Cueto versus Blackburn. Note that Cueto has been solid overall but does have an ERA two runs higher at home compared to on the road this season. Also, Blackburn is enduring a very rough stretch with 6 of his last 7 starts being tough. Blackburn gave up 8 hits in 5.1 innings back in a mid-June start but was fortunate to escape major damage in that one. Since then though his poor form is reflecting in an ERA climb from a 2.26 on the season to a 4.35 ERA now with getting clobbered in 5 of last 6 starts. More of the same expected here but, again, action on pitchers here for me. 10* OVER 8.5 in Chicago White Sox |
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07-30-22 | Winnipeg v. Calgary OVER 46 | Top | 35-28 | Win | 100 | 14 h 37 m | Show |
CFL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 46 in Calgary Stampeders vs Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ 7 ET - The Stampeders ran the ball for over 100 yards but QB Bo Levi Mitchell had a rare bad performance at Winnipeg two weeks ago after starting the season strong. That said, coming off a bye week and now back home, Calgary will get much stronger QB play here. However, there also is no slowing down a Winnipeg team that is undefeated on the season and had over 300 yards through the air in the big win two weeks ago. The Blue Bombers are off a bit of a ho-hum 24-10 victory at Edmonton last week but know they must do much more on offense against this talented Calgary team this week. That was a "sandwich game" for the Bombers after beating the Stamps at home the prior week and then knowing they had this game on deck to again face the Stampeders. The set up is a good one for plenty of points and the Stamps are averaging 32 points per game this season. Winnipeg has averaged 28 points per game last 5 games. This one should get well into the 50s given all of the above. 10* OVER 46 in Calgary |
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07-30-22 | Tigers v. Blue Jays -1.5 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 6 m | Show |
MLB Saturday 10* Top Play Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 -130 vs Detroit Tigers @ 3:07 ET - The Tigers are off the big upset win of the Jays 4-2 yesterday. However, Detroit is 0-5 the last 5 times they were off a win and every single loss in that run was by at least a 2-run margin. In fact, the combined score of those 5 games was 29 to 9. Look for the Tigers to again get blasted in that situation here as, prior to yesterday's win, Detroit was 4-13 last 17 games! The Blue Jays are 3-0 last 3 times when off a loss. Prior to yesterday's loss, Toronto was 10-2 last 12 games. Toronto so strong against bad teams while Tigers so bad on the road. Also, 50 of Detroit's 60 losses this season by 2 or more runs. The expected pitching match-up is Stripling (5-2 last 7 decisions) versus Hutchison (1-4 this season) but, no matter the pitchers, this is simply a case the home team should roll huge in a bounce back spot! Action on pitchers. 10* TORONTO -1.5 -130 |
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07-29-22 | BC v. Saskatchewan +115 | Top | 32-17 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 1 m | Show |
CFL Friday 10* Top Play Saskatchewan Roughriders +115 vs BC Lions @ 9 ET - The Lions are still over-rated in my opinion. Yes they are 4-1 on the season but they have played only one road game so far. Also, in their last divisional game they allowed 43 points. In the only road game BC has had they allowed 31 points and that was at Ottawa and the Redblacks remain the only winless team in the league. Every other team now has at least two wins. As for the Roughriders, they are traditionally one of the best home teams in the league but coming off a home loss last week in a game that got away from them late versus Toronto. They had been 3-0 at home on the season and Saskatchewan should bounce back here with the expected return of QB Cody Fajardo also. Love the long-term home records of the Riders and the fact that the Lions have been a pleasant surprise this season and are a bit over-rated as a result and so we get line value here as a result. You can grab the 1 and 1/2 points or 2 points if you want but I really do not think we'll need any points and I am going with the money line here. 10* SASKATCHEWAN +115 |
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07-29-22 | Dodgers v. Rockies OVER 11.5 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 22 m | Show |
MLB Friday 10* Top Play OVER 11.5 in Colorado Rockies vs Los Angeles Dodgers @ 8:40 ET - Action on pitchers. Coming right back with the same play I successfully used yesterday. As noted yesterday, the Dodgers bullpen has not been as strong as this season and the Rockies are known for hitting very well at home. After getting shutout at home yesterday, Colorado bounces back at the plate today while the Dodgers again pile up big runs like they did in yesterday's 13-0 outburst. At hitter friendly Coors Field, regardless of the pitching match-up here, the ball is going to be carrying well and both these teams can mash the ball. Colorado averaging about 6 runs per game at home this season. Dodgers averaging 5.3 runs per game on the road this season. Now, at Coors Field, the LA lineup delivers an especially huge road effort here. They got shutout by Chad Kuhl here at the end of last month. Now it is time for payback. Kuhl has been struggling badly ever since that start. Likewise, Julio Urias is off a surprisingly good start the last time he pitched at Coors Field but this followed a lot of struggles in recent starts at Coors Field including one this season and multiple ones last season. No matter the pitchers, the Dodgers bats stay hot and the Rockies bats bounce right back on their home field. 10* OVER 11.5 in Colorado |
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07-29-22 | Diamondbacks v. Braves OVER 8.5 | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -120 | 13 h 53 m | Show |
MLB Friday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies @ 7:20 ET - Action on pitchers because the key here is two hot lineups. Bumgarner has struggled all season on the road and now faces a red hot Braves lineup in this one. Wright has been pitching very well for the Braves but he has been hit harder in a number of starts the past 6 weeks as has been fortunate he got out of a number of jams. Wright had one start in his last 7 where he pitched more than 4 innings and allowed 3 or less hits. However, in his other 6 starts since mid-June, Wright has given up 46 hits in 34 and 1/3 innings. I feel we have good value here with this low total. The Braves have seen EACH of their last ELEVEN games total at least 9 runs so here we are testing a streak that is 11 in a row! The Diamondbacks have scored an average of 6.5 runs per game in going 5-1 in their 6 games since the All-Star break. The Braves have scored an average of 5 runs per game last 10 games. More of the same here. 10* OVER 8.5 in Atlanta |
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07-29-22 | Chindia Targoviste v. Farul Constanta OVER 2 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 23 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Soccer Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in Farul Constanta vs Chindia Targoviste @ 2:30 ET - Lot of scoring opportunities for each club in their matches last week that were not cashed in and that is why each club was involved in matches that ended with 2 goals rather than 3 or more. Look for this week to make up for that. Farul is playing this match with double revenge and hell bent on putting some goals on the board after they were handed a clean sheet by Chindia in each match last season! Keep in mind, Chindia only won 6 of their other 28 matches last season while Farul only lost 8 of their other 28 matches last season. The point is that those results last season were a bit of an anomaly to say the least. Farul is already 2-0 this season and has a solid shot at getting the job done on their home pitch here in week 3 of the new season. However, I would not be surprised to see Chindia answer them goal for goal. The visitors scored 3 goals in the two meetings last season. Also, Chindia enters this match having scored an average of 2 goals per match their last 3 regular season matches. However, they also allowed 3 goals in their only road match so far this season. I am looking for a 2-1 or even 2-2 type match here though a 3-2 final also would not surprise me in the least. A lot of scoring opportunities generated and conceded by these two clubs so far this season. More of the same here. 10* OVER 2 in Farul Constanta |
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07-28-22 | Dodgers v. Rockies OVER 12 | Top | 13-0 | Win | 100 | 14 h 1 m | Show |
MLB Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 12 runs in Colorado Rockies vs Los Angeles Dodgers @ 8:40 ET - Someone knows something. You have, I am sure, heard that expression before and it definitely applies here. This total opened up at an 11.5 and is up to a solid 12 across the board. This is even though Urena has a 3.13 ERA for the Rockies and Anderson is 10-1 with a 2.79 ERA. In other words, don't let the numbers fool you. This game is going over the total. So, if you look deeper, Urena is fortunate to have that low ERA and starting to show signs he is about to get crushed and I am sure the potent Dodgers lineup can be the one to inflict the damage here. As for Anderson his only loss this season was at Coors Field and he gave up 4 earned runs in 6 innings in that one. The damage could have been worse for Anderson in that one as he got two double plays and one was a line drive double play. He got hit hard and I expect more of the same here and the Dodgers bullpen has not been as strong as this season and the Rockies are known for hitting very well at home. At hitter friendly Coors Field, regardless of the pitching match-up here, the ball is going to be carrying well and both these teams can mash the ball. Colorado averaging about 6 runs per game at home this season. Dodgers averaging 5.3 runs per game on the road this season. Now, at Coors Field, the LA lineup delivers an especially huge road effort here. 10* OVER 12 in Colorado |
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07-28-22 | Montreal v. Hamilton -3 | Top | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 15 h 1 m | Show |
CFL 10* Top Play Hamilton Tiger-Cats -3 vs Montreal Alouettes @ 7:30 ET - The Tiger-Cats are the much better team defensively and deserved a better fate last week at BC. Montreal rallied late to win at Ottawa last week but their defense continues to struggle. Hamilton has allowed an average of 24 points last 4 games. The Alouettes have allowed an average of 35 points last 3 games. Also, Ti-Cats are 15-4 SU in home games dating back to 2019 season. The Alouettes, even with last week's rare road win, are on a 12-26 run in road games the past 4+ seasons. Home field edge and situational edge (hungry off loss and facing opponent off win) and the better defense. As a result, I have no hesitation in challenging the Als to win two straight road games! 10* HAMILTON -3 |
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07-28-22 | Tigers v. Blue Jays OVER 8.5 | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -120 | 13 h 47 m | Show |
MLB Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Toronto Blue Jays vs Detroit Tigers @ 7:07 ET - The Tigers Alexander is getting hit at over a .300 clip on the season in road games and has hardly started this season as he has mostly worked out of the pen. The Blue Jays Kikuchi has been hit at a .300 clip since late May as he just has not been right and I expect his struggles to continue here. The Tigers have seen 3 of last 4 road games total at least 9 runs. Detroit enters this game having scored an average of 6.7 runs last 3 games and, prior to a 4-3 win yesterday, the Tigers had seen 4 straight games total at least 10 runs. The Blue Jays had won 7 straight games before yesterday's 6-1 loss. Toronto has scored at least 6 runs in 6 of last 8 victories. More of the same on tap here and both teams score well regardless of the pitching match-up. 10* OVER 8.5 in Toronto |
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07-26-22 | White Sox v. Rockies OVER 10.5 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -120 | 15 h 55 m | Show |
MLB 10* Top Play OVER 10.5 in Colorado Rockies vs Chicago White Sox @ 8:40 ET - Action on pitchers. The Rockies are 6-4 last 10 games and had averaged 6.3 runs per game prior to yesterday's low-scoring 2-0 win at Milwaukee. Colorado is known for hitting better at home and should dominate at the plate in this one. The issue is that Rockies pitchers are known for struggling at home too. Regardless of the pitchers I like the over here but will mention that the expected match-up is Marquez versus Kopech. Note that Marquez has a 6.63 ERA at home this season and opponents have hit .311 against him there. Kopech has a WHIP of nearly 2 baserunners per inning this month because he has been hit quite hard in his 3 starts plus he is walking too many guys. Now he makes his first ever start at hitter-friendly Coors Field and this place has a reputation of being very tough on first-time starters here. No matter the pitchers, I also like the fact that White Sox have averaged 5.8 runs per game in going 6-4 last 10 games. Should see plenty of runs in this one given the hot bats and confidence in each lineup. 10* OVER 10.5 in Colorado |
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07-26-22 | Angels v. Royals OVER 8 | Top | 6-0 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 60 m | Show |
MLB Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 8 in Kansas City Royals vs Los Angeles Angels @ 8:10 ET - Action on pitchers. The Angels every once in awhile have breakout games at the plate and this looks like one of those spots. Action on pitchers because if Zerpa does not start for Royals it would be no one special in this spot. Zerpa is very inexperience and he was fortunate in his most recent start as he gave up a lot of hard hit balls that ended up being outs. That is helping to give us value here. As for the Angels Suarez is the expected starter and he has been struggling. Overall, the pitching does not matter that much for LA either because they continue to give up a lot of runs in almost every game. Angels have allowed 7 runs per game on average in the 8 losses in their current 2-8 run. If we can keep the rain away from KC long enough to get this one in, we should cash an easy ticket as the low total is a bargain considering no top starting pitchers are available to start this one for either team. So no matter who is on the mound, the hitters should enjoy success here. 10* OVER 8 in Kansas City |
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07-26-22 | Braves v. Phillies +110 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 21 m | Show |
MLB Tuesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Money Line +110 vs Atlanta Braves @ 7:05 ET - Action on pitchers. Philly has played Atlanta tough this season and it continued yesterday with rallying for the 6-4 win which gives them momentum entering this game. Braves have just a .500 record against teams with a winning record this season and have not been great on the road this season against winning teams. That said, I love the home dog value here regardless of the pitching match-up. However, will mention that the expected starters are Nola versus Strider. Phillies Nola known for being so strong at home through the years and he also is 2-0 this season versus Atlanta. The Braves Strider is off a tough start and, overall, he has not been as strong in his last two outings. 10* PHILADELPHIA +110 |
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07-25-22 | Nationals v. Dodgers -1.5 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -140 | 20 h 27 m | Show |
MLB Monday 10* Top Play Los Angeles Dodgers Run Line -1.5 -145 vs Washington Naitonals @ 10:10 ET - Action on pitchers. You see the money line of -290 for the Dodgers on this game? What if I told you that you could play the Dodgers money line at HALF that price today? The fact is that you just about are! The reason I say that is that LA has won 64 games this season and, amazingly, despite playing their home games in a pitchers park generally known for tighter and lower-scoring games the Dodgers actually have 57 wins by 2 or more runs! That is right, effectively 8 out of every 9 Dodgers wins is by a multi-run margin and I certainly expect a win today and I definitely do not expect it be an outlier. Look for another win by a multi-run margin. Regardless of pitching match-up we have the more dominant team and they are at home! Not only that, in terms of the pitchers (again, I want action) the Dodgers Gonsolin has been absolutely dominant including 11-0 on the season and a 1.13 ERA and a .130 BAA in home games. Nationals Espino starting to falter after pitching "over his head" earlier this season as he has been roughed up in 4 straight starts and hit quite hard in each of last 6 starts. So we have the better lineup, home field, and a starting pitching edge based on the expected starters. Also, LA has won 8 straight while Washington had lost 17 of 19 before yesterday's win. 10* LA Dodgers -1.5 -145 |
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07-25-22 | Astros v. A's OVER 8 | Top | 5-7 | Win | 100 | 18 h 30 m | Show |
MLB Monday 10* Top Play OVER 8 in Oakland A's vs Houston Astros @ 9:40 ET - Action on pitchers. The Astros have won 5 straight games coming out of the All Star break and scored an average of 6 runs per game last 4 games. Oakland is known for having a decrepit offense but they erupted late in yesterday 11-8 loss to Texas and, overall, the Athletics have been scoring better recently. That is why I like the over here regardless of the starting pitchers and I will note that the A's have scored an average of 5 runs per game last 4 games. Now, about those expected pitchers. Jake Odorizzi will be facing the A's for a 3rd straight start. That is never easy for a starter and he did get hit harder in the 2nd than the 1st. Also, in his start prior to these two he was rocked by Kansas City. That said, this is the right time to expect Odorizzi to again get hit hard. As for Adam Oller, he has been respectable out of the bullpen this season but struggled badly as a starter for Oakland this season. The A's right-hander is 0-3 with a 10.89 in his 5 starts this season. Two confident teams squaring off tonight - based on results since the break - and the lineups will key a solid over here in my strong opinion. 10* OVER 8 in Oakland |
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07-25-22 | Petrolul 52 +341 v. UTA Arad | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 8 m | Show |
Romania Liga I Soccer 10* Top Play Petrolul Money Line +341 @ UTA Arad @ 2:30 ET - I am taking a shot on the big dog here but it is with good reason. Newly promoted Petrolul played well at home last week but one mistake late cost them the match on a penalty shot. Now they go on the road and the visitors are hungry and will look to return the favor by ruining another club's home opener. In this case it is UTA Arad as they are excited about a new stadium. The issue for the hosts here is they do not look good at all last week and that was a 2-0 loss to an FC Arges team than then lost 4-0 this weekend at Sepsi! That makes Arad look even worse and this is simply a great opportunity to take a road club at a great comeback price as I am predicting the shocker here from the hungry visitors. 10* PETROLUL +341 |
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07-25-22 | Hermannstadt v. Chindia Targoviste OVER 1.75 | Top | 1-1 | Win | 50 | 11 h 39 m | Show |
Romania Liga I Soccer 10* Top Play OVER 1.75 -120 or OVER 2 +110 in Chindia Tarogviste vs Hermannstadt @ 11:30 AM ET - Chindia Targoviste was one of only two clubs to allow 3 goals last week. Hermannstadt was one of only two clubs to score 3 goals last week. The defensive deficiencies were on display for Chindia Targoviste last week and now Hermannstadt enters this match with plenty of confidence. However, the club Hermannstadt defeated last week in a shutout was again delivered a clean sheet by their opponent this week. In other words, the defense of the visitors has not really been tested yet this season while Chindia Targoviste's defense already showing signs of weakness and the club they lost to 3-2 last week then got a 1-0 win this week. This points to the issue having been with Chindia Targoviste rather than the alternative. As a result, expect plenty of goals here and note that there is comfort with the low total here considering that only 3 of 14 matches so far in the new campaign have failed to total at least 2 goals. 10* OVER 1.75 or 2 in Chindia Targoviste |
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07-24-22 | Toronto v. Saskatchewan | Top | 31-21 | Loss | -107 | 31 h 53 m | Show |
CFL Sunday 10* Top Play Saskatchewan Roughriders PK -110 vs Toronto Argonauts @ 7 ET - This line would have been around a full TD but has dropped to a pick'em because of the covid issues, injury issues, and suspension issues surrounding this game. Long-time followers know I am a contrarian and this one sets up perfectly to fade the huge move from a team being a TD favorite to being a pick'em even though they are at home. Saskatchewan loves its team and has the most passionate fanbase in the league and is known for being a very tough place for opponents to travel to and face them. That said, lets talk some facts, the Argonauts are 0-1 on the road so far this season and the past 5 seasons went a combined 10-33 on the road! This is also a revenge game since the Roughriders lost to Toronto last week in the Touchdown Atlantic game in Nova Scotia. Saskatchewan is 3-0 at home this season and entered this season having gone 19-6 at home the past 3 seasons. Watch all the Riders step up here to make up for the guys that are out and they get the big win here. 22-6 run at home versus a 10-34 run on the road. Yes I will take pick'em odds on this plus let us not forget the West has dominated the East this season in interdivisional match-ups. More of the same here as last week's Riders loss to the Argos proves to be an aberration in the way the East-West battles have gone this season. 10* SASKATCHEWAN Pick -110 |
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07-24-22 | Giants v. Dodgers -1.5 | Top | 4-7 | Win | 105 | 11 h 22 m | Show |
MLB Sunday 10* Top Play Los Angeles Dodgers Run Line -1.5 +105 vs San Francisco Giants @ 4:10 ET - Action on pitchers. You see the money line of -200 for the Dodgers on this game? What if I told you that you could play the Dodgers money line at even money today? The fact is that you just about are! The reason I say that is that LA has won 63 games this season and, amazingly, despite playing their home games in a pitchers park generally known for tighter and lower-scoring games the Dodgers actually have 56 wins by 2 or more runs! That is right, effectively 8 out of every 9 Dodgers wins is by a multi-run margin and I certainly expect a win today and I definitely do not expect it be an outlier. Regardless of pitching match-up we have the more dominant team and they are at home! Not only that, in terms of the pitchers (again, I want action) the Dodgers Kershaw has been absolutely dominant while Cobb is starting to falter after pitching "over his head" earlier this season. So we have the better lineup, home field, and a starting pitching edge based on the expected starters. That is why LA is a 2 to 1 favorite and I will gladly grab the even money on the run line in this one. 10* LA Dodgers -1.5 +105 |
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07-24-22 | Rangers v. A's OVER 7.5 | Top | 11-8 | Win | 100 | 13 h 17 m | Show |
MLB Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 7.5 in Oakland Athletics vs Texas Rangers @ 4:07 ET - Action on pitchers. I lost a very big play yesterday involving this match-up and am not happy about it at all but we'll get some payback today. Crazy things happening all in one game are part of the business and why there is never a sure thing in sports betting but, over the long haul, the right handicaps can produce more winners than not. Yesterday's game ended with a 1-2-3 top of the 9th inning for the Rangers. However in the first 8 innings of the game - so a total of 16 half-innings - the teams only had ONE 1-2-3 inning each the entire time. That means in 14 of the 16 half-innings the teams had at least one runner on base. It was a disgusting thing to watch unfold when you have an over and so many opportunities get wasted but you must press forward and shake off nonsense like yesterday's final result. So I mentioned yesterday this series has been trending over and we have another low total to work with here and we saw again yesterday that both bullpens were shaky and got into trouble frequently. That said, I again like the over here no matter who pitches plus I like the fact this one is a day game and that is a little better for scoring runs in terms of games played by the bay. That said, will touch on the pitchers here. Expected starting pitching match-up is Perez vs Blackburn. Note that Perez has a 5.09 ERA in his 3 starts this month and opponents hit .315 against him in his 5 starts last month. Also his ERA is nearly 3 runs higher in day games compared to night games. As for Blackburn, he has a 6.06 ERA in his 3 starts this month and he had a 5.13 ERA while being hit at a .306 clip last month. He also has an ERA nearly 5 runs higher at home compared to on the road! This is a play regardless of starting pitchers but you can see why I like it so much. Revenge payback here will be SWEET! 10* OVER 7.5 in Oakland |
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07-24-22 | Steaua Bucharesti v. Rapid Bucuresti OVER 2.25 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -56.5 | 25 h 3 m | Show |
Romania Liga I Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Rapid Bucuresti vs Steaua Bucuresti @ 2:30 ET - Perfect set up to expect plenty of goals in this rivalry match in Bucharest. FCSB is off a disappointing 1-1 draw against a Universitatea Cluj club they know they should have buried. FCSB will be going hard here as a result and will be on the attack early and often and lets not forget they scored an average of 1.8 goals per match last season. Each club can be counted on for at least 1 goal here and then I don't foresee either club in this rivalry match being content with a draw. Rapid is off a 1-0 loss last week but they were at Cluj and CFR Cluj was the top club in the league standings last season and will again be one of the best this season most likely. That said both clubs are looking strongly at creating quality scoring chances in this one and scoring plenty of goals. I feel certain we will see just that! 10* OVER 2.5 in Rapid Bucuresti |
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07-24-22 | Cubs v. Phillies -130 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -130 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
MLB Sunday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies -130 vs Chicago Cubs @ 12:05 ET - Action on pitchers. Cubs have taken first two games of this series and are on a 3-game winning streak. However, Chicago has only managed a 4-game winning streak this entire season. Also, the Cubs are still only 3-9 last dozen games and 22-37 against teams with a winning record while Phillies have won 24 of 40 versus teams with a losing record this season. Also, the Phillies Bailey Falter has been piling up the strikeouts and is poised for a win here. The Cubs Drew Smyly has struggled since returning to the rotation this month and, keep in mind, he has a 5.26 ERA since late April. No matter the pitchers here I see the Phillies saving face here and avoiding the sweep and we get a bargain price because of Falter being the scheduled starter here for the hosts. He and the Phils will not "falter" here and get the home win at a great price. Also, the Phillies have never been swept at home in a series of at least 3 games this entire season. I don't see that changing here! 10* PHILADELPHIA -130 |
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07-24-22 | CS U Craiova +103 v. Universitatea Cluj | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -100 | 22 h 24 m | Show |
Romania SuperLiga 10* Top Play Sunday Universitatea Craiova Money Line +100 @ Universitatea Cluj @ 11:30 AM ET - With Universitatea Craiova on the road for this one we are getting excellent line value. They are the superior club compared to this host club and Universitatea Cluj was fortunate to get the draw at FCSB last week. They will not be so fortunate here as Universitatea Craiova is off a draw versus Sepsi and will be fired up for the victory here. Keep in mind they only lost 8 of 30 matches last season and had an impressive +26 goal differential. As for the hosts here, Universitatea Cluj is newly promoted and don't let last week's draw fool you. FCSB gave a disappointing effort in that one and that will not the case with the club that Universitatea Cluj is tasked with facing this week. 10* Universitatea Craiova |
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07-23-22 | Rangers v. A's OVER 7.5 | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 4 m | Show |
MLB Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 7.5 in Oakland A's vs Texas Rangers @ 9:07 ET - Action on the pitchers. Love the way the series has been playing out between these teams in terms of overs. 6 of the last 7 games between these teams have totaled at least 9 runs and, in fact, have averaged 13.4 runs per game! These teams are very familiar with each others bullpen arms but we get a low total to work with here because Oakland is known as a low-scoring team. Keep in mind, the Rangers have scored 5.3 runs per game last 14 games. The A's have scored 5 runs per game last 9 games. In terms of the starters here, which again are NOT the key factors here, it is expected to be Hearn versus Kaprielian but it would not shock me if Texas went with Bush as an opener. In any event, Hearn will be sent back to AAA Round Rock after this start because Dunning is due back from the DL for the Rangers. That is not exactly motivating for Hearn as his fate is sealed. This is a spot start for a guy who has a 5.78 ERA on the season including an awful 8.61 ERA in his 5 road starts! The A's have seen him this year and the Rangers also just saw Kaprielian. The Oakland right-hander is winless with a 5.40 ERA in his 6 home starts this season and also has a 5.31 ERA in night games this season. Look for the runs to keep flowing here no matter who is on the mound for either team and this one should get a solid win for us. 10* OVER 7.5 in Oakland |
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07-23-22 | Nationals v. Diamondbacks -141 | Top | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 13 h 21 m | Show |
MLB Saturday 10* Top Play Arizona Diamondbacks -145 vs Washington Nationals @ 8:10 ET - Action on pitchers. Why? Because the match-up could be Daffy Duck vs Mickey Mouse and I would still take the home team based on the key statistical TEAM factors but I will note that I do like Bumgarner over Sanchez for sure. As for the teams, the Nationals are just in a horrible funk and have lost 16 of 18 games after getting hammered by the Diamondbacks yesterday. As for Arizona, they are actually 10-3 against NL teams this season and have won 6 of last 11 home games. Now back to the pitchers again, Sanchez is 4-6 with a 6.67 ERA in his last dozen starts at the MLB level. He also struggled at AAA level and walked too many in his 3 starts there this season. Bumgarner has had his share of struggles this season for sure but he has been better of late and the big key with him is he is a different pitcher when he is at home. The big lefty has a 3.15 ERA in his 10 home starts this season and that would be under a 3.00 were it not for one bad start he had in Arizona this season. In other words, the odds favor a strong start from here. But, regardless of the pitchers, the home team should prove well worth the juice in this one. Lay it! 10* ARIZONA -145 |
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07-23-22 | Botosani v. Voluntari OVER 2 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 47 m | Show |
Romanian SuperLiga Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in Voluntari vs Botosani @ 1:30 ET - I won with Botosani last week but they were a bit sloppy defensively and barely hung on for the 3-2 win. That said, I expect Voluntari to have plenty of scoring chances here. However, I lost with the over in Voluntari's match last week as there were a number of missed opportunities and also overturned goals. I feel the the fact Voluntari is off a 1-0 victory last week is absolutely helping to give us some extra value here with the over in this week's match. Botosani's last 5 matches - their 1st this season and final 4 last season - all totaled at least 2 goals and actually averaged a total of 3.6 goals. More of the same expected here. 10* OVER 2 in Voluntari |
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07-23-22 | Guardians v. White Sox UNDER 9 | Top | 7-4 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 1 m | Show |
MLB Saturday MLB 10* Top Play UNDER 9 in Chicago White Sox vs Cleveland Guardians @ 1:10 ET (Gm 1 of DH) - Action on pitchers. I like the fact this is an early game coming off last night's game having been the first action for each of these clubs since the All Star break. Look for the bats to be a little sleepy in this early start and I expect an under no matter who the pitchers are. However, I will say that the expected pitchers are McKenzie for the Guardians and Cueto for the White Sox. McKenzie has not allowed a run this entire month while allowing just 9 hits but striking out 23 in 21 innings! Cueto is 2-0 with a 1.35 ERA in his 3 July starts this month. Also, Cueto has a 1.69 ERA in his 5 games (4 starts) in daytime action this season. The bats struggle here after yesterday's game was a rare, surprisingly easy over. This one plays out much differently early Saturday. 10* UNDER 9 in Chicago White Sox (Game 1) |
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07-22-22 | Winnipeg v. Edmonton Elks OVER 48 | Top | 24-10 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 11 m | Show |
CFL Friday 10* Top Play OVER 48 in Edmonton Elks vs Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ 9 ET - This is a tough scheduling spot for the Blue Bombers so I do expect the Elks to come up with a big effort here and be able to score plenty. Winnipeg is the only undefeated team left in the league and off a win against the previously unbeaten Stampeders. That was huge win last week for the Bombers and now next week they face Calgary again! That said, a game at Edmonton in a sandwich spot is the perfect letdown spot for the Winnipeg defense. They will give up plenty of points here as a result as the rejuvenated Elks have won 2 of last 3 games and scored at least 29 points in each win. The problem for Edmonton is they are allowing 36.7 points per game. 10* OVER 48 in Edmonton |
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07-22-22 | Cubs v. Phillies -125 | Top | 15-2 | Loss | -125 | 14 h 54 m | Show |
MLB Friday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies -125 vs Chicago Cubs @ 7:05 ET - Action on pitchers. The Phillies are offering solid line value here regardless of the pitchers. The Phillies are 24-14 this season against teams with a losing record. The Cubs are 21-40 this season against teams with a winning record. Philly has the better lineup and Chicago is giving up a full run more per game than Philadelphia is on the season. Also, Justin Steele is the expected starter for Cubs and has been respectable at home but his winless with a 5.86 ERA in his 6 road starts this season. For the Phillies, Kyle Gibson has 1 win in his 9 road starts this seasons but he is a solid 4-1 in his 9 home starts this season. Again, this play is action on pitchers but I do like the expected match-up. The key here is Phillies have won 28 of last 42 games for 67% while Cubs have won just 3 of 14 games for only 21% recently. 10* PHILADELPHIA -125 |
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07-22-22 | Cardinals v. Reds OVER 10 | Top | 5-9 | Win | 100 | 13 h 35 m | Show |
MLB Friday 10* Top Play OVER 10 in Cincinnati Reds vs St Louis Cardinals @ 6:40 ET - Action on pitchers. Plenty of runs here on a hot evening at a hitter-friendly ballpark regardless of the starting pitchers. I will mention them here right away though and say that Adam Wainwright has been known for a very long time for struggling on the road and excelling at home and this season has been no different. Wainwright's road ERA is a full 2 runs higher and his BAA is 55 points higher on the road compared to at home. As for the Reds Graham Ashcraft, he has solid numbers at home on the season but his current form has been rough and that included getting hit hard in each of his two most recent home starts too. Overall, Ashcraft has been hit hard in 5 of his last 6 starts and his ERA has climbed a full 3 runs as a result. Now, about those lineups...the Cardinals are 5-2 last 7 games and have scored an average of 6 runs per game during this stretch. The Reds are 6-3 last 9 games and have scored 5 runs per game on average during this stretch. 6-5 type game sounds about right here but I am expecting much more honestly and this one should fly over the total and get past the dozen mark in runs. 10* OVER 10 in Cincinnati |
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07-22-22 | Farul Constanta v. Mioveni OVER 2 | Top | 2-0 | Push | 0 | 9 h 14 m | Show |
Romania Liga I - Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals in Mioveni vs Farul Constanta @ 1:30 ET - Mioveni got destroyed 3-0 by a new promoted, but determined, Hermannstadt club last week to open up the new campaign. I do expect Mioveni to respond on their home pitch now after getting demolished on the road. So look for the hosts to at least get on the score sheet here. The trouble is they are facing a very strong Farul Constanta club that scored twice in their 2-1 home pitch victory over U Craiova 1948 last week. Farul did average 1.4 goals scored per game last season and certainly they should be able to get on the scoresheet here and, once this match gets to 1-1, I do not seeing it ending that way. There were only 2 draws in the 8 matches last week. Also, Farul only had 6 draws in 30 matches last season. The visitors will be gunning hard for the victory here and they added so much transfer talent coming into this season. I have a strong feeling that Mioveni going to be very competitive here and that is why I am not playing the side here. I simply look for this to equate to goals and feel strongly about this total getting to at least 2 goals but certainly with a great shot at 3 or more when all is said and done. 10* OVER 2 goals in Mioveni |
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07-21-22 | Hamilton v. BC OVER 51.5 | Top | 12-17 | Loss | -110 | 42 h 32 m | Show |
CFL Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 51.5 in BC Lions vs Hamilton Tiger-Cats @ 10 ET - BC has allowed 37 points per game last two games. They are off their bye week and have scored points like crazy this season. Lions averaging 40 points per game. Hamilton is allowing 28 points per game this season but, on the other side of the ball, the Tiger-Cats did pile up yardage in last week's tight 25-23 win versus the Redblacks. That said, I love the over here. Hamilton is on a short week and traveling and their defense will struggle to slow down a Lions team determined to get back on track after suffering their first loss of the season. However, at the same time, BC defense just can not be trusted in my opinion. As I mentioned earlier this season, they were a little over-rated after first two games. Their true colors are starting to show now their past two games and the Ti-Cats have the firepower to take advantage. Lions score well but Hamilton answers throughout this contest and this should be another high-scoring match-up involving a home game at BC Place in Vancouver. 10* OVER 51.5 in BC Lions |
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07-21-22 | Montreal v. Ottawa +3 | Top | 40-33 | Loss | -110 | 40 h 55 m | Show |
Thursday CFL 10* Top Play Ottawa Redblacks +3 vs Montreal Alouettes @ 7 ET - Both teams off tight losses last week but the Redblacks remain the only winless team in the league. Ottawa is very hungry for that first win here, they are at home, they put forth a very strong effort against a quality opponent last week and they should have recently acquired Nick Arbuckle available at QB for this one. The change of scenery will serve Arbuckle well plus the Redblacks showed against the Tiger-Cats that they absolutely are not ready to throw in the towel on the season just because they lost starting QB Jeremiah Masoli to injury. That said, look for a huge effort from the home team here and note that Montreal is on an 11-26 run in road games the past 4+ seasons. I do look for the Redblacks to get their first win of the season but will grab the 3 points in case they fall just short. 10* OTTAWA +3 |
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07-21-22 | Tigers v. A's OVER 7.5 | Top | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 20 m | Show |
MLB Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 7.5 in Oakland A's vs Detroit Tigers @ 3:37 ET (Game 1 of 2) - Action on pitchers. Oakland is not known for scoring many runs yet they have averaged 5.5 runs per game last 6 games. They also have allowed an average of 5.3 runs per game last 7 games. Tigers, prior to shutout in final game before break, did score an average of 4 runs per game last dozen games. Detroit allowed an average of 5.9 runs per game final 10 games before the All-Star break. Given all these numbers you can understand why I like the over here regardless of the starting pitchers but I will touch on the expected starters here. The Tigers Skubal has allowed 29 earned runs in 35 innings spanning his last 7 starts. That is a 7.46 ERA his last 7 starts. The A's Zach Logue has allowed 13 earned runs in 12 innings over his last 3 starts and has given up 5 homers in those 3 outings. Given all of the above and nice afternoon weather by the bay, this one should more scoring than most are expecting! 10* OVER 7.5 in Oakland |
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07-21-22 | Rangers +108 v. Marlins | Top | 8-0 | Win | 108 | 11 h 39 m | Show |
MLB Thursday 10* Top Play Texas Rangers +108 @ Miami Marlins @ 1:10 ET - Action on pitchers. Both Gray and Lopez are solid pitchers. The key here is grabbing the better hitting team and a team that is poised for a rebound of good fortune in the 2nd half of the season. The Rangers and Marlins are the only two teams that have lost at least 20 games by just a single run this season. The difference though is Miami has 16 one-run wins while the Rangers have the fewest in the majors with just 5. That means Texas is a respectable 36-29 in games decided by 2+ runs. They could be in for a turnaround in the 2nd half based on numbers like this. In this particular match-up I like the fact that the Marlins are on a 4-8 run and have only one NON-extra inning win in those 12 games! Miami has scored an average of just 1.3 runs per game last 8 losses. Amazingly, the Marlins last 13 home games have seen Miami score more than 3 runs in regulation time (9 innings) NOT once! 0 for 13 in terms of scoring more than 3 in 9 innings at home! As for the Rangers, they did enter the All-Star break on a frustrating home losing streak but have scored an average of 5.7 runs per game last 15 road games. The better lineup is the key to a road win in this one. 10* TEXAS +108 |
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07-20-22 | Storm +130 v. Sky | Top | 74-78 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 55 m | Show |
WNBA 10* Top Play Seattle Storm Money Line +130 @ Chicago Sky @ Noon ET - The Sky is falling in this one! They are going to again be without guard Courtney Vandersloot for this game. They managed to rally from a 6 point deficit entering the 4th quarter at Dallas for a road win. However, the Wings are just 5-8 at home this season. Chicago has the best record in the league but is facing a much tougher challenge sans Vandersloot in this one! The Sky now face a Storm team that has won 4 straight games and 12 of 15 and is one of the best teams defensively in the league. Considering all those factors plus the Vandersloot concussion, the road team is the play here but I don't even think we'll need the 3 points here. I am going money line for maximum value and will be personally betting this play. It might be my only bet of the WNBA season but I took some time to research this with it being one of the only things going in our sports world on Wednesday and am very comfortable making the investment here. MLB and CFL will be back in action tomorrow. Today we'll look to cash with this WNBA 10* SEATTLE +130 |
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07-19-22 | American League v. National League -110 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 39 m | Show |
MLB Tuesday 10* Top Play National League -110 vs American League @ 7:30 ET - Long-time followers know I am a contrarian. I am well aware of the fact that the AL has won 8 straight All-Star Games. However, prior to last year's AL win at Coors Field by a 5-2 count, each of the 4 last victories for the AL had been by 2 or less runs and that included 2 that went 10 innings. Enough is enough and I like the NL (a lot!) here at home in this one. Looking at the pitching I feel the NL has the right guys peaking at the right times and I just do not see the AL doing much at the plate in this one and the NL will do enough for the win. I also prefer the NL roster in terms of hitters heading into this one. The AL pitching roster includes guys who have been a bit more hittable of late and I like the NL to find a way at home and finally put the streak to an end. Even though this game does not carry any real weight in terms of motivation, trust me, there is some extra motivation from the NL side to put an end to the streak. Couple the motivation factor with the home field edge and I feel this is a bargain price on the senior circuit. 10* NATIONAL LEAGUE -110 |
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07-18-22 | Voluntari v. Petrolul 52 OVER 2 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -102 | 11 h 24 m | Show |
Rickenbach Monday Soccer 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals in Petrolul vs Voluntari @ 2:30 ET - So many changes for both clubs entering the new season. We have seen so far this season that a lot of clubs have had a lot of personnel changes and the result has been solid goal-scoring early. I feel this has a lot to do with some players being caught out of position and this then leading to solid scoring chances as a result. The match last night between FCSB and U Cluj should have ended with a lot more than just 2 goals in the 1-1 draw and it stayed under the 2.5 total as a bad beat result for that one. However, it also marked the 5th time in 6 matches thus far in week 1 that we have seen at least 2 goals scored. That said, getting this over at 2 is a solid value. Last season Voluntari's matches averaged 2 goals. Both teams come in hungry as Ploiesti is so happy to have Liga 1 football back and there will be plenty of enthusiasm from the home side here. However, the road club is the more experienced club and will keep Petrolul on its heels in this one too. This one shapes up to see plenty of goals as a result as hosts are scoring an average of 1.8 goals per match thus far on the season and none have been shutout. But the reason this match is priced nearly with equal odds for the w-l-d result is because the visitors have the experience edge and will answer the hosts goal for goal. Look for this one to possibly end 2-2 but I see at least a 2-1 final here and nothing less than a 1-1 but certainly a push on our best is not what we want. Still, value in the 2 in a match that should have plenty of scoring. 10* OVER 2 in Petrolul |
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07-18-22 | Chindia Targoviste v. Botosani +115 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 115 | 9 h 36 m | Show |
Rickenbach Monday Soccer 10* Top Play Botosani Money Line +115 vs Chindia Targoviste @ 11:30 AM ET - This is a long trip for Targoviste as Botosani in the far northeastern corner of Romania. In league action last season Botosani lost just 6 times in 30 matches. Targoviste won just 8 times in 30 matches. Of course we run the risk of losing our bet if this one ends in a draw but I don't see that happening. The hosts are well prepared here after their time in Austria and playing this one with that edge and the advantage of being on their home pitch will prove to be too much for the visitors from Targoviste. Keep in mind, the hosts found the back of the net 10 more times than the visitors last season in league action and I just don't see the travelers having enough firepower to get the job done here. 10* BOTOSANI +115 |
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07-17-22 | Phillies -145 v. Marlins | Top | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 8 m | Show |
MLB Sunday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Money Line -145 @ Miami Marlins @ 1:40 ET - Action on pitchers. Of course I like the fact that Nola gives the Phillies a big edge over Rogers and the Marlins. However, there is much more than the starting pitching to like here and this play is action on the pitchers. Philadelphia has won 5 of last 7 meetings between these teams. The Phillies overall have won 27 of their last 41 games and scored an average of 6 runs per game in their last 7 games versus Miami. The Marlins are on a 4-7 run and have only one non-extra inning win in those 11 games! Miami has scored an average of just 1.4 runs per game last 7 losses. Amazingly, the Marlins last dozen have games have seen Miami score more than 3 runs in regulation time (9 innings) NOT once! 0 for 12 in terms of scoring more than 3 in 9 innings at home! That said, and knowing Phillies can score plenty here, I love the road team in this one. Will mention that the expected starters are Nola and Rogers and Nola has a solid ERA, particularly on the road this season, while Rogers has a high ERA and has been struggling lately and has had rough times in his two starts versus Phillies this season. 10* PHILADELPHIA -145 |
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07-17-22 | Orioles v. Rays OVER 7.5 | Top | 5-7 | Win | 105 | 10 h 56 m | Show |
MLB Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 7.5 in Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles @ 1:40 ET - Action on the pitchers. This one is about two hot teams and two hot lineups that have plenty of confidence right now at the plate. Yes, yesterday's game took extra innings to get over the total but I do not expect to need that here and this total just too low (at 7.5) in my opinion. First off, will mention that I know Jordan Lyles has been better of late but he still has a 5.52 ERA this season in road starts and this is nothing new as he is 8-19 in road starts the last 3 seasons combined. His ERA away from home during this 3-year stretch is a 5.82 ERA. Corey Kluber certainly has been rock solid lately for the Rays but a closer look shows he got some key breaks in the start versus Boston in his last home start. Before back to back solid starts versus Red Sox, Kluber had a 5.65 ERA in his 3 prior starts. Also, his last two home starts before the one against Boston, he allowed 11 hits in 10 and 1/3 innings. The Orioles have won 11 of 12 games and have scored an average of 5.4 runs per game last 11 games. The total on this game is just 7.5 runs and the Rays 14 of last 19 games have totaled at least 8 runs. Tampa Bay had won 10 of 14 games before yesterday's loss and TB scored an average of 6.6 runs per game in those 10 victories. Again, two hot teams with confident lineups at the plate and the runs will come here and we take advantage of the low total. 10* OVER 7.5 in Tampa Bay |
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07-17-22 | Royals v. Blue Jays OVER 9 | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 19 m | Show |
MLB Sunday 9* Top Play OVER 9 in Toronto Blue Jays vs Kansas City Royals @ 12:05 ET - Action on pitchers. Well aware of the fact that Jose Berrios is off a 13-strikeout performance versus Phillies in last start. However, he has a 6.62 ERA in his 7 day game starts this season and this is a particularly early one. As for the Royals Kris Bubic, he is having a tough season and it includes 0-3 with a 6.64 ERA in his 7 day game starts. Kansas City's last 8 road games have featured 6 that totaled at least 9 runs. The Royals have scored an average of 5 runs in these 8 games. The Blue Jays, since June 1st, have played 26 home games and 21 of them have totaled at least 9 runs. You can see why this match-up is about much more than just the starting pitching - again, my play here is action - but you can also see, per the above, why we might see some struggles from each of the expected starters in this match-up too. Look for double digits in runs scored and, unlike yesterday's game, this one will not need extra innings to get there! 9* OVER 9 in Toronto |
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07-16-22 | Ottawa v. Hamilton OVER 44.5 | Top | 23-25 | Win | 100 | 15 h 20 m | Show |
CFL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 44.5 in Hamilton Tiger-Cats vs Ottawa Redblacks @ 5 ET - Long-time followers know I am a contrarian and that goes for all sports. That said, the fact that Ottawa just loss QB Masoli to injury and then acquired Arbuckle (but unavailable for this game) is even more reason I like the over here. We get a low number because Evans will be under center for the Redblacks. Now in his 2nd CFL season and getting his first significant work of the season Saturday, don't be surprised if Caleb Evans has a big game both through the air and with his legs in this one - as he is a running threat too. The Tiger-Cats also have a QB by the name of Evans and Dane Evans gets the start here. He is off to a shaky start this season but the Redblacks have some injuries in the secondary and we've seen Evans average 270 yards per game through the air this season but he has been done in by interceptions. This is a match-up of two very hungry teams each seeking their first win of the season and also each dealing with some injuries on the defensive side of the ball. The weather is going to be good for this one too and all signs point to a higher-scoring game than many expect here. Take advantage of the low total here and don't be surprised when this one gets into the 50s for total points scored. 10* OVER 44.5 in Hamilton |
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07-16-22 | Mariners v. Rangers OVER 8.5 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 8 m | Show |
MLB Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Texas Rangers vs Seattle Mariners @ 4:05 ET - Action on pitchers. Even against a struggling A's offense, Howard allowed 6 hits in 5 innings in his most recent start. He only allowed 1 earned run but only struck out 1 and remains very hittable and has an 8.04 ERA on the season. Gilbert has a fantastic ERA on the season for the Mariners but he allowed 2 homers for the 3rd time in his last 4 starts when he gave up a pair against the Blue Jays in his most recent start. No matter the starting pitchers here (my play is action), note that Seattle has won 12 straight games and score an average of 5.7 runs per game last 10 games. The Rangers have scored an average of 6.3 runs per game in the first 8 games of this 10-game homestand and yesterday was the first time they have been held below 5 runs in any of these games! 10* OVER 8.5 in Texas |
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07-16-22 | Pirates v. Rockies OVER 11.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
MLB Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 11.5 in Colorado Rockies vs Pittsburgh Pirates @ 3:10 ET - Action on pitchers. Love this situation regardless of the pitchers but will mention that the expected starters include a righty for Rockies and that does hold some significance here though it is not the only factor. Pittsburgh is a lineup dominated by left-handed bats. Not only is Jose Urena a right-handed pitcher, he has been absolutely crushed in recent years against left-handed hitting. Urena also was hit hard by the Pirates earlier this season. As for Pirates right-hander Keller, he has been getting hit hard this month and really has struggled for much of his MLB career. Keller is 10-23 with a 5.65 ERA in his MLB career. So even if these pitchers do not go it still could end up a lefty-righty match-up but either way I like the over here. Note that Pirates, before B2B losses to close series with Marlins, had won 9 of 14 games and scored an average of 6 runs per game in the 9 wins and had allowed an average of 5.7 runs per game last 15 games! As for Rockies, 10 of last 11 home games have all totaled 11 or more runs. Yesterday's game was a huge 13-2 Rockies win and this after an 8-5 Colorado win which followed a 10-6 Rockies win. The teams - faced Padres - combined for 29 hits in that one. Colorado tends to hit very well at home and that has continued of late in a huge way as you can see above. 10* OVER 11.5 in Colorado |
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07-16-22 | White Sox +108 v. Twins | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
MLB Saturday 10* Top Play Chicago White Sox Money Line +110 @ Minnesota Twins @ 2:10 ET - Action on pitchers. The expected starters are Lynn vs Bundy. But, regardless of who actually starts, I like the fact that the White Sox have won 4 straight games and allowed an average of only 1.8 runs per game last 5 games. The Twins have lost 4 of last 5 home games and have averaged only 2.7 runs per game last 7 home games! Minnesota is struggling at the plate while Chicago has exploded for 6.3 runs scored per game last 8 road games and has won 7 of last 9 road games. Action on pitchers because riding the hot team here but will mention that the White Sox will start Lynn and he should respond here as he had given up 19 hits over 22 and 2/3 innings in 4 preceding starts prior to getting roughed up in his most recent outing. As for Bundy, his first 3 starts of the year way back in April were solid but since then the numbers are ugly. 2-4 with a 5.73 ERA. He is in trouble here the way the White Sox are hitting. No matter the pitchers, riding the road team to continue to close the gap in the AL Central standings. 10* CHICAGO WHITE SOX +110 |
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07-16-22 | Saskatchewan v. Toronto +3 | Top | 24-30 | Win | 100 | 13 h 52 m | Show |
CFL Saturday 10* Top Play Toronto Argonauts +2.5 or +3 vs Saskatchewan Roughriders @ 2 ET - The location of this Touchdown Atlantic game in Halifax certainly favors the Argonauts. The fact Toronto has fresh legs and has only played 3 games this season, compared to Saskatchewan having played 5 games already, certainly favors the Argos as well. I know the Riders are 4-1 this season and the Argos are just 1-2. However, other than 1 blowout loss Toronto has played quite well and their only other loss was by 1 point to a Winnipeg team that remains undefeated on the season after last night's win over the only other team, Calgary, that was also undefeated on the year. In other words, this Argonauts team deserves some credit plus note that the Roughriders historically do not play as well when they are away from home. Situational edges and I will grab the home dog in this one. Again, is not a true home game for them but certainly the location in Atlantic Canada favors the Argos over the Riders. 10* TORONTO +2.5 or +3 |
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07-15-22 | Pirates v. Rockies OVER 10.5 | Top | 2-13 | Win | 100 | 16 h 40 m | Show |
MLB Friday 10* Top Play OVER 10.5 in Colorado Rockies vs Pittsburgh Pirates @ 8:40 ET - Action on pitchers. Love this situation regardless of the pitchers but will mention that the expected starters are a righty for Rockies and a lefty for Pirates and that does hold some significance here though it is not the only factor. Pittsburgh is a lineup dominated by left-handed bats. Not only is Marquez a right-handed pitcher, he has struggled at home this season and also has struggled in recent years against left-handed hitting. As for Pirates Quintana, he has been getting hit hard this month plus in recent seasons the lefty has been pounded by right-handed bats and the Rockies are a lineup that is dominated by right-handed sticks. So even if these pitchers do not go it still could end up a lefty-righty match-up but either way I like the over here. Note that Pirates, before B2B losses to close series with Marlins, had won 9 of 14 games and scored an average of 6 runs per game in the 9 wins and had allowed an average of 5.7 runs per game last 15 games! As for Rockies, 9 of last 10 home games have all totaled 11 or more runs. Yesterday's game was a huge 8-5 Colorado win and this followed a 10-6 Rockies win and the teams combined for 29 hits. Colorado tends to hit very well at home and that has continued of late. 10* OVER 10.5 in Colorado |
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07-15-22 | Calgary +4 v. Winnipeg | Top | 19-26 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 12 m | Show |
CFL Friday 10* Top Play Calgary Stampeders +4 @ Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ 8:30 ET - Just too many points here. Match-up of unbeatens and Blue Bombers have home field edge and are the 2x defending champs. However, it was not that long ago that Calgary was in the Grey Cup championship 3 straight years and 5 of 7 years. The Stampeders appear to be back this season and also have a dual rest edge here. Not only did they play earlier in the week last week than Winnipeg did, they also had their bye week the week before. The Blue Bombers have yet to have a bye week and will be playing on short rest and a 6th straight week. Also, Winnipeg off the blowout win over a previously unbeaten BC team. The Lions were a bit over-rated in my opinion and yet that big Bombers win last week is giving us extra line value this week. 10* CALGARY +4 |
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07-15-22 | Braves v. Nationals OVER 9.5 | Top | 8-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 48 m | Show |
MLB Friday 10* Top Play OVER 9.5 in Washington Nationals vs Atlanta Braves @ 7:05 ET - Action on pitchers. These teams just met in a series so there is familiarity with the starting pitchers and the bullpen guys. That is a big part of the reason I don't care who the starting pitchers are here either but I will mention them. This play is action. Corbin is having a rough season and he sprinkled in a couple of good starts recently but overall it has been a disaster and he struggled against the Braves recently too. As for Anderson, he had too many walks but held the Nationals in check in most recent start. Now he gives them a quick 2nd look however and, in the 3 starts prior to facing Washington, he allowed 21 hits in 11 innings! The big key here is hot hitting and confidence of a Braves team that is on a 31-10 run. Atlanta has averaged 6 runs per game in the 10 victories in their current 10-4 run last 14 games. Washington has lost 13 of 14 games and allowed 6 runs per game in those 13 defeats. Their bullpen has had major struggles but their lineup does tend to produce a little better when at home and they have averaged 4 runs per game last 11 home games. This one gets to double digits. 10* OVER 9.5 in Washington |
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07-14-22 | Edmonton Elks v. Montreal OVER 49 | Top | 32-31 | Win | 100 | 17 h 9 m | Show |
CFL Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 49 in Montreal Alouettes vs Edmonton Elks @ 7:30 ET - The Elks are changing things up at QB and that will be a good thing as they are off a 49-6 loss last week. Ford is listed as out for this week and Arbuckle was traded to Ottawa. That means Edmonton wanted change and they got it. Most likely Taylor Cornelius under center for this one and remember he averaged, before a dismal final game of the season last year, about 250 yards per game with a 6-1 TD-INT ratio over a 4-game stretch. No matter who is under center for the Elks, they will enjoy success against an Als defense that has allowed 26 points per game game this season. The key here though is Montreal is off a bye week which followed their own blowout loss, 41-20, at Saskatchewan. That said, the Alouettes are primed for a huge bounce back effort and they are scoring an average of 26 points per game this season and facing an Elks team that is giving up 38 points per game this season. So worst defense in CFL against highest scoring team from the East Division. Perfect set-up too considering each team off an embarrassing loss. Focused efforts here and solid offensive production with Edmonton buoyed by the QB change as well. 10* OVER 49 in Montreal |
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07-14-22 | Padres v. Rockies OVER 11.5 | Top | 5-8 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show |
MLB Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 11.5 in Colorado Rockies vs San Diego Padres @ 3:10 ET - Action on pitchers. Monday's game saw both starting pitchers work at least 6 innings yet the bullpens combined to allow 7 runs in the final 3 innings of the game. Again this is why you have seen some of the biggest sportsbooks in the world do "action only" as mandatory on their sports bets. The starting pitchers play a role for sure but baseball also is so much more including fielding, baserunning, hitting, bullpens, etc. I digress but, as always, will touch on the starting pitchers here but just remember this play is a go regardless of pitchers. The Rockies 8 of last 9 home games have all totaled 11 or more runs. Yesterday's game was a huge 10-6 Rockies win and the teams combined for 29 hits. Colorado tends to hit very well at home and it will be hot weather in Denver for this afternoon game. Perfect conditions for the ball to carry very well. The Padres, when in hitter-friendly parks away from home, are known to get involving in crazy high-scoring games. Their last 10 games played at Coors Field or Wrigley Field have seen an average of 13 runs per game! I know Snell has been rounding into form for the Padres but Coors Field is not an easy place to pitch. Snell has been rocked in his 3 starts here in 2021 and 2022. Also, his name on the mound for tonight is what is helping to keep this total low. As for Rockies Freeland, he has had a rough start to July plus the Padres will be facing him for the 3rd time since mid-June. Familiarity like this often leads to success for the hitters particularly when a guy is currently struggling. 10* OVER 11.5 in Colorado |
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07-14-22 | Pirates v. Marlins OVER 7.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 37 m | Show |
MLB Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 7.5 in Miami Marlins vs Pittsburgh Pirates @ 12:10 ET - Action on this play. Yesterday's game was 1-0 heading to bottom of 8th and then ended up being a game that totaled 9 runs thanks to extra innings. However, that also goes to show that even if two starting pitchers have great starts it does not always equate to an under. I don't care who the pitchers are here but will touch on them below. I feel both bullpens will again have some issues here and note also that the Pirates had won 9 of 14 games before yesterday's loss and have scored an average of 6 runs per game in the 9 wins and allowed an average of 5.7 runs per game last 15 games! The Marlins have won 9 of 14 games also and so you have a pair of unpopular teams but that are confident teams right now and have extra confidence at the plate as a result. Now, about those expected starters. Garrett off couple good starts on the road but he had been getting hit hard throughout June, his first month of the season, and this was particularly true at home. As for Thompson, he has struggled in away games (5.27 ERA) and day games (.283 BAA). Taking advantage of the low total here. 10* OVER 7.5 in Miami |
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07-13-22 | A's v. Rangers OVER 7.5 | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 38 m | Show |
MLB Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 7.5 in Texas Rangers vs Oakland A's @ 8:05 ET - Action on pitchers. This is all about high-scoring trending. Yes, I know the Athletics got a pile of runs in the top of the 12th but they had a decent day at the plate up until that point also. Plus you must note that the Rangers 8 of last 10 games have totaled double digits in runs. Texas has been scoring well but also giving up piles of runs. The A's are not a high-scoring team by any stretch of the imagination but they have scored at least 5 runs in 4 of last 8 games overall. Also, on the road, Oakland has scored at least 5 runs in 6 of last 11 road games. No matter who pitches I like the over here as both bullpens have been roughed up in this series too. But I will mention that the expected starters here each give me reason to believe they will struggle. Gray getting hit at a .300 clip this month and has given up a pair of homers in each start. Blackburn off a rough start versus Astros and has been hit hard in 4 of last 5 starts! The low number here is because of the A's long-term reputation and the decent long-term ERA of these two starting pitchers but you can see very clearly, per the above, that there is reason to believe this one comfortably gets over the low total. 10* OVER 7.5 in Texas |
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07-13-22 | Phillies -110 v. Blue Jays | Top | 2-8 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 0 m | Show |
MLB Wednesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Money Line -110 @ Toronto Blue Jays @ 7:07 ET - Action on pitchers. The Blue Jays won 4-3 yesterday but had lost 9 of 10 entering that game. The Phillies now have lost 3 straight but had won 25 of 35 games before that. Wheeler is the expected starter for the Phillies and he has won 8 of his last 9 decisions! The Phillies have prevailed in 5 of his last 6 road starts. Stripling is the expected starter for Toronto and he is getting hammered at a .341 clip this month by opposing hitters. The Blue Jays scoring an average of just 2.8 runs per game last 11 games. Phillies, before rare tough 3-game stretch of losses, had gone 7-2 and averaged scoring 5.6 runs per game. They should bounce back strong here regardless of the starting pitchers. Action on the pitchers and look for big road win as the Phillies outhit the Jays in this one after the opposite held true yesterday. 10* PHILADELPHIA -110 |
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07-12-22 | Padres v. Rockies OVER 11 | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -120 | 17 h 9 m | Show |
MLB Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 11 in San Diego Padres vs Colorado Rockies @ 8:40 ET - Action on pitchers. Yesterday's game saw both starting pitchers work at least 6 innings yet the bullpens combined to allow 7 runs in the final 3 innings of the game. Again this is why you have seen some of the biggest sportsbooks in the world do "action only" as mandatory on their sports bets. The starting pitchers play a role for sure but baseball also is so much more inlcuding fielding, baserunning, hitting, bullpens, etc. I digress but, as always, will touch on the starting pitchers here but just remember this play is a go regardless of pitchers. The Rockies last 6 home games have all totaled 11 or more runs. Colorado tends to hit very well at home and it will be hot weather in Denver for this one. Perfect conditions for the ball to carry very well. The Padres, when in hitter-friendly parks away from home, are known to get involving in crazy high-scoring games. Their last 7 games played at Coors Field or Wrigley Field have seen an average of nearly 14 runs per game! Favorable wind tonight too. I know Clevinger has been rounding into form for the Padres but Coors Field is not an easy place to pitch. Also, his name on the mound for tonight is what is helping to keep this total low. As for Rockies Gomber, he hit a tough patch late last season and has not been the same ever since. He has a 6.46 ERA this season and opponents hitting nearly .300 against him. 10* OVER 11 in Colorado |
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07-12-22 | Reds v. Yankees OVER 8 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -113 | 17 h 22 m | Show |
MLB Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 8 in New York Yankees vs Cincinnati Reds @ 7:05 ET - Action on pitchers. This is another one of those "sneaky" totals where we get some extra line value on an over because one team has an "ace" going. Most definitely Cole is one of the top pitchers in the league but he has allowed 5 homers in his last 3 starts and 10 homers in his last 6 starts. The Reds have been playing better and also have been scoring particularly well on the road too. Cincinnati will surprise by contributing to this total quite well in my opinions. It will be the -300 odds Yankees that do most of the damage of course and I love fading Ashcraft here. He had a great start to the season but is now coming back down to reality and has allowed 21 earned runs on 40 hits in 26 innings spanning his last 5 starts. The Yankees have scored an average of 9 runs per game last 5 games and stay hot at the plate here. They will be "dialed in" I am certain as they are off B2B losses to the Red Sox to wrap the weekend. The Reds have won 6 of last 10 road games and averaged scoring 5.2 runs per game during this stretch. Cincinnati enters this game having won 4 straight games overall and has averaged scoring 5.5 runs per victory. This one should fly over the low number. 10* OVER 8 in New York Yankees |
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07-11-22 | A's v. Rangers OVER 9 | Top | 8-10 | Win | 100 | 16 h 34 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Monday 10* Top Play OVER 9 in Texas Rangers vs Oakland Athletics @ 8:05 ET - We get line value here because the A's generally struggle to score runs. However, Oakland has a little extra confidence thanks to having won 3 of 6 games on their just-completed homestand versus solid teams, Blue Jays and Astros. Also, the A's have averaged scoring about 4 runs per game last 9 road games. They take on a Rangers team that has scored an average of 6 runs per game last 6 games but also allow an average of 6 runs per game last 6 games! That is why, regardless of the starting pitchers here, I like the over in this match-up but I will touch on the starting pitchers here. Martinez and Howard both are struggling! Martinez had a 5.63 ERA with AAA Vegas this season and now has a 6.00 ERA with the big club in Oakland. As for Texas starter, Spencer Howard, he is now 1-8 with a 7.44 ERA in his career. The Rangers right-hander is getting hit at a .340 clip this season. Take advantage of the low total because the A's will hit some in this one I am sure but I am also looking for the Rangers high-scoring ways - both runs scored and allowed - to continue their recent trend as 5 of last 6 games have featured plenty of offense. 10* OVER 9 in Texas |
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07-11-22 | Phillies -105 v. Cardinals | Top | 1-6 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 15 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Monday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies -105 @ St Louis Cardinals @ 7:15 ET - I like the Phillies here regardless of starting pitchers because all signs point to them bouncing back from the 4-3 loss yesterday at St Louis. The Cardinals are 2-7 last 9 times when off a win. Also, STL had lost 8 of 10 games prior to yesterday's win. Philadelphia is 8-3 last 11 times when off a loss. Overall, the Phils had won 25 of 35 games prior to yesterday's loss. The Phillies bats have been much hotter than the Cards bats. Now will touch on the starting pitching here but, again, that is not the key factor. The Phillies Aaron Nola has an edge in that the Cardinals have not faced him this season. He dominated them last season and also enters this start in top notch form! As for Miles Mikolas, the Cardinals right-hander is also having a strong season but the Phillies have a number of hitters that have enjoyed success against him and they just faced him (and pounded him) in Philly less than 2 weeks ago. Take advantage of a very favorable line and favorable situation here. 10* PHILADELPHIA -105 |
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07-10-22 | Yankees v. Red Sox OVER 9 | Top | 6-11 | Win | 100 | 15 h 9 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 9 in Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees @ 7:08 ET - We were fortunate we got extra innings yesterday to cash the over for us. While certainly grateful for such a break, we will not need such good fortune here as this one appears like perfect set-up for plenty of runs. No matter the pitchers, I am riding the over here. The Yankees have been scoring runs like crazy and the Red Sox are known for scoring well at Fenway Park. New York is 9-4 last 13 games and has scored an average of 6.4 runs per game during this stretch. Boston is averaging 5.8 runs per game last 29 home games. Will mention the pitchers here but, again, is definitely a play here regardless of starting pitchers. Both Taillon and Pivetta have solid numbers on the season but both have been fading of late. Taillon has allowed 14 earned runs in 16 innings spanning his last 3 starts. Pivetta has allowed 11 earned runs on 22 hits in less than 19 innings spanning his last 3 starts. The hot hitting for Yankees continues here no matter the pitcher and, as for the Red Sox sticks, they have scored at least 4 runs in 16 of last 19 games and I am looking for solid double digits from these teams combined in another wild one Sunday evening at Fenway Park. 10* OVER 9 in Boston |
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07-10-22 | Phillies +100 v. Cardinals | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* Sunday MLB 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Money Line +100 @ St Louis Cardinals @ 2:15 ET - I am taking action on pitchers because I love this situation with the Cardinals having lost 8 of 10 games including 4 of 5 to the Phillies. The Cards have scored an average of only 1 run per game last 7 games. The Phils have won 7 of 9 games and have scored an average of 5.4 runs per game in these 9 games. Hotter team with hotter bats so regardless of the pitchers I am riding the road team here. I will now touch on the expected starting pitchers here. Pallante has been a much stronger pitcher out of the bullpen then as a starter. The right-hander is 1-3 with a 4.26 ERA in his 6 starts. As for Philadelphia, Nick Nelson expected to make his first start of the season after working out of the bullpen. Nelson did have plenty of success in the minors as a starter and is facing the right team at the right time for his first start of the season. The Cardinals bats continue to stay quiet while the Phillies roll again on the road. Grab the bargain pick'em price with the road team in this one. 10* PHILADELPHIA +100 |
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07-09-22 | Yankees v. Red Sox OVER 9.5 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 14 h 42 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 9.5 in Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees @ 7:15 ET - No matter the pitchers, I am riding the over here. The Yankees have been scoring runs like crazy and the Red Sox are known for scoring well at Fenway Park. New York is 9-3 last 12 games and has scored an average of 6.5 runs per game during this stretch. Boston is averaging 5.8 runs per game last 28 home games. Will mention the pitchers here but, again, is definitely a play here regardless of starting pitchers. The Yankees Montgomery has great numbers this season but the Red Sox have a number of hitters that have enjoyed solid success against the southpaw and they are very familiar with him. As for Boston, the expected starter is Kutter Crawford. The young right-hander has a 6.33 ERA in his 12 games (3 starts) at the MLB level. Crawford has given up 5 hits in 2 innings of work versus the Yankees this season. The hot hitting for Yankees continues here no matter the pitcher as Crawford unlikely to be in this game very long anyway and the Yanks pound the pen. As for the Red Sox sticks, they have scored at least 4 runs in 15 of last 18 games and I am looking for solid double digits from these teams combined in a wild one Saturday evening at Fenway Park. 10* OVER 9.5 in Boston |
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07-09-22 | Winnipeg v. BC OVER 50 | Top | 43-22 | Win | 100 | 16 h 59 m | Show |
CFL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 50 in BC Lions vs Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ 7 ET - I know the Blue Bombers defense has been solid in the red zone and in terms of takeaways this season. However, Winnipeg has still given up a pile of yardage and this includes through the air where they have been particularly weak. That does not bode well for now facing a BC team that has been lighting up opposing defenses so far this season. In fact, it should mean a ton of points here because the Lions are likely to move the ball very well at home in this match-up as they look to take down the defending champs. BC is out to prove their hot start this season is no fluke and I do expect them to achieve that goal with offensive production here as they have been the offensive juggernaut of the CFL so far this season. However, I do not trust this Lions defense. They have faced some weak offensive units so far this season. I know the Blue Bombers have not put up big points on offense so far this season but the 2x defending champs are more than capable on that side of the ball and they will need to (and can) score plenty to keep up with high-flying Lions. A match-up of unbeatens in a Week 5 game might have you thinking under and certainly intensity will be high here. But the offenses are going to be the story here. BC dictates flow of game at home and this will be another shootout at BC Place in Vancouver! 10* OVER 50 in BC |
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07-09-22 | Astros v. A's OVER 8.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 9 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Oakland A's vs Houston Astros @ 4:07 ET - Regardless of starting pitchers here, I look for the Athletics to score some runs here and for the Astros to remain red hot at the plate. So make this bet with action on the pitchers. The Astros have won 10 of 11 games and scored an average of 6 runs per game during this stretch. The Athletics have average about 4 runs per game last 13 games. So they can get us some runs here at home. I like contrarian plays like this because the Astros are scheduled to start Valdez on the mound and he has great numbers on the season and is coming off a 13-strikeout performance. Note that he did walk 5 in that game, threw over 100 pitches, and so don't be surprised if he labors a bit in this one. Yes he was successful at Oakland earlier this season but they have some hitters who have enjoyed success against him plus he struggled in some starts against the A's just last season. Of course the big key here is the Astros scoring plenty and that should not be a problem. Not only are their bats hot but the expected starter is Logue for Oakland. The southpaw was demoted to the minors back in May. That was a result of struggling with the big club and then things really did not get any better with AAA Vegas as he was hit hard. The reason for the call-up is because Montas must miss a turn in the rotation. That said, plenty of runs from the visiting team likely in this one. 10* OVER 8.5 in Oakland |
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07-08-22 | Ottawa +6 v. Saskatchewan | Top | 13-28 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 59 m | Show |
CFL Friday 10* Top Play Ottawa Redblacks +6 @ Saskatchewan Roughriders @ 9:30 ET - The Redblacks had been playing well, despite their record, but were then severely out-statted by BC in last week's 3-point loss. Ottawa should bounce back here and is a much better team their winless record on the season would lead you to believe. I know that Saskatchewan is off big win last week but Redblacks have the rest edge here as they played earlier last week and were coming off a bye entering that one. Additionally, the Riders off a very satisfying and dominating win. They could be a little complacent here as a result. There will be nothing complacent about this Redblacks team as they are very hungry with an 0-3 SU record on the season and an average margin of defeat of only 4 points. An outright win here would not shock me at all but I am, of course, even more confident with having the points on our side. Let's grab them for a big play here. 10* OTTAWA +6 |
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07-08-22 | Phillies -110 v. Cardinals | Top | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 16 h 59 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* Friday MLB 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Money Line -110 @ St Louis Cardinals @ 8:15 ET - I am taking action on pitchers because I love this situation with the Cardinals off a hard-fought extra-innings win at Atlanta last night. St Louis had lost 6 of 7 games before that including 2 of 3 to the Phillies. The Cards have scored an average of only 1.4 runs per game last 5 games. The Phils have won 5 of 7 games and have scored an average of 6.7 runs per game in these 7 games. Hotter team with hotter bats so regardless of the pitchers I am riding the road team here. I will now touch on the expected starting pitchers here. Wainwright is certainly solid for the Cardinals and has been known, through the years, for being a stronger pitcher when at home. However, the right-hander got hit at a .302 clip in his 5 June starts and then opened up July with a rough effort versus these same Phillies. As for Philadelphia, staff ace Wheeler expected to get the start here. Wheeler is 5-1 with a 1.84 ERA in his 10 night game starts this season. He also has allowed just 1 earned run in 15 innings spanning his last two starts versus the Cardinals. Grab the bargain pick'em price with the road team in this one. 10* PHILADELPHIA -110 |
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07-08-22 | Guardians v. Royals OVER 8.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 2 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Friday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Kansas City Royals vs Cleveland Guardians @ 8:10 ET - No matter who the starting pitchers are I like the way the fact both teams have trended toward higher scoring games of late. The Royals off a 5-2 loss at Houston but this was preceded by a stretch of 4 wins in 7 games and Kansas City had scored 7 runs in 4 straight games before being held to just 2 runs by Verlander yesterday. KC is known for hitting well at home through the years. Also, the Guardians enter this one on a tough 3-6 run but they scored 4.8 runs in the 3 victories and allowed 7.8 runs in the 6 losses! We'll see some runs here regardless of who the starting pitchers are but I will mention they are expected to be Civale and Singer. Note that Civale is 2-5 with a 7.04 ERA this season and also has an ugly 9.90 ERA in his 5 road starts this season. Singer was able to get strikeouts but also allowed 6 hits in less than 5 innings in his only July start. In his 5 June starts he had a 5.97 ERA. He has a 4.58 ERA in home starts this season including getting hit hard by Cleveland here earlier this season. Look for the bats to rule the night in this one no matter who is on the mound for either team. 10* OVER 8.5 in Kansas City |
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07-07-22 | Rockies v. Diamondbacks OVER 9.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -115 | 17 h 24 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 9.5 in Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado Rockies @ 9:40 ET - I especially want action on this match-up because I like the Diamondbacks lineup to stay hot and I like the Rockies to bounce back in a more hitter-friendly venue after struggling at Dodger Stadium. Due to strength of lineup performance here I want action on pitchers because there is a possibility Keuchel will not get this start. Supposedly his most recent start was a good chance to be his last in the rotation for awhile but the Davies DL situation could have impacted that thinking. I do expect the match-up to be Gomber versus Keuchel but, regardless of the pitchers, note that Arizona has scored an average of 6.4 runs per game last 9 games. In fact, one shutout loss in there but an average of 7.3 runs scored in the other 8 games for the Dbacks. As for the Rockies, they had gone 10-10 last 20 games prior to getting swept by the Dodgers. Also, those 20 games were a good mixture of road and home so it wasn't just home field hitting that led to the Rockies scoring an average of 4.8 runs per game during this 20 game stretch. Again, regardless of pitchers, I want this play on the over but I will mention that Keuchel is 2-6 with an 8.27 ERA this season. Gomber is 4-7 with a 6.53 ERA this season. Also, he has a 7.20 ERA in night games and his home/road splits are nearly identical. In other words, his inflated numbers this season are NOT because of Coors Field. This one, regardless of starting pitchers, gets ugly as these teams both giving up piles of runs this season. 10* OVER 9.5 in Arizona |
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07-07-22 | Calgary v. Edmonton Elks UNDER 52 | Top | 49-6 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 28 m | Show |
CFL Thursday 10* Top Play UNDER 52 in Edmonton Elks vs Calgary Stampeders @ 9 ET - This total opened up at a 50.5 and has risen to a 52. That gives us some line value here because actually the yardage stats were way down in the Elks upset win at Hamilton last week even though the game found its way over the total. Also, when the Elks visited Calgary a few weeks ago that game had late scoring as a key in getting to a total of 53 points. That said, we really have some solid line value here with this total at a 52 as I feel strongly that it will prove to be too high. Edmonton has the confidence in going toe to toe with the Stampeders earlier this season and nearly getting the upset. The Stamps come into this one with fresh legs off a bye week and will put the clamps down defensively on the Elks in this one. Calgary looks to grind out a road win and control the clock and I look for that to help key a low-scoring battle here. 10* UNDER 52 in Edmonton |
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07-07-22 | Yankees v. Red Sox OVER 8.5 | Top | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 16 h 41 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees @ 7:10 ET - We get a low total because Cole is the scheduled starter for the Yankees and because Winckowski has a low ERA for the Red Sox. First off, I like this play regardless of the starting pitchers. Boston known for hitting well at home and the Yankees the top run-producing in MLB this season and coming off a 16-0 win yesterday. That said, I will still of course touch on the pitchers here and the fact is that Cole, despite all his accolades, does have a recent history of struggling in outings at Boston. The Red Sox have given him some trouble when they face him at Fenway Park and it will be a hitter-friendly night there for this one. As for Boston starter Winckowski, he has faced a lot of lower-tier teams so far in his limited MLB career. Orioles, Cubs, Tigers, A's, Guardians. 4 of 5 have a losing record and, though Cleveland is at .500 on the season, the Guardians one of the weaker hitting teams in terms of run production among teams that do not currently have a losing record on the season. Considering these factors I feel we have excellent line value where with the low posted total and the fact Red Sox have averaged scoring 5 runs per game last 13 home games and Yankees scoring an average of 5 runs per game on the full season and tend to hit well at Fenway Park too. 10* OVER 8.5 in Boston |
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07-06-22 | Blue Jays v. A's OVER 8 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 39 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 8 in Oakland A's vs Toronto Blue Jays @ 3:37 ET - This play is more about the lineups than the pitchers so select action on pitchers. I know the A's are not known for hitting but they have at least been a little better of late and now have won 5 of 11 games and scored an average of 4 runs per game during this stretch. That said, we may not need much from them here to get this game over the total anyway because I am expecting an offensive explosion from the Blue Jays in this one. Toronto was held to just 3 run in yesterday's loss but did have 10 hits in the game. Also before being held to 1 run in Monday's loss the Jays previously over a 15-game stretch averaged scoring 6 runs per game dating back to June 19th. Will touch on the pitchers here but again this play is action. Kaprielian and is 0-3 with a 6.45 ERA at home this season. He is coming off a good start but that has been a rarity for him as he had an ERA near 6 in both the months of May and June after missing April. Berrios expected to start for the Blue Jays and he has been hit harder on the road than at home throughout his career. That pattern has continued this season and he is coming off a rough June (6.28 ERA) and had a rough May (7.01 ERA). Berrios has 7.92 ERA on the road and a 7.71 ERA in day games this season. Both lineups have big days under the sun today no matter the starting pitchers here. Blue Jays 10 hits yesterday, A's 5 runs, and today both teams put it all together at the plate. Take advantage of the low total here. 10* OVER 8 in Oakland |
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07-05-22 | Blue Jays v. A's OVER 8 | Top | 3-5 | Push | 0 | 18 h 42 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 8 in Oakland A's versus Toronto Blue Jays @ 9:40 ET - This play is more about the lineups than the pitchers so select action on pitchers. I know the A's are not known for hitting but they have at least been a little better of late and now have won 4 of 10 games and scored an average of 4 runs per game during this stretch. That said, we may not need much from them here to get this game over the total anyway because I am expecting an offensive explosion from the Blue Jays in this one. Toronto was held to just 1 run in yesterday's loss but previously, though only 7-8 over a 15-game stretch, averaged scoring 6 runs per game dating back to June 19th. The Jays have also scored an average of 6 runs per game the last 4 times they were off a game in which they were held to 2 or less runs scored. Will touch on the pitchers here but again this play is action. Martinez expected to start for the Athletics and has very little MLB experience and does not have overly impressive in numbers in the minors. Kikuchi expected to start for the Blue Jays and he has been hit harder on the road than at home throughout his career. That pattern has continued this season plus the southpaw has historically had some tough outings at Oakland and he is coming off a rough June. Take advantage of the low total here. 10* OVER 8 in Oakland |
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07-04-22 | Twins v. White Sox OVER 9 | Top | 6-3 | Push | 0 | 14 h 1 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Monday 10* Top Play OVER 9.5 in Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota Twins @ 8:10 ET - The White Sox hosting a Twins team that has scored an average of 6 runs in last 7 road games. Chicago comes into this game hot at the plate with wins in 4 of last 5 games and scoring an average of 6 runs during this stretch. Regardless of the starting pitchers, you can see why I am looking for plenty of runs here. However, I will mention that the expected starters here will only help our cause in my strong opinion. Johnny Cueto 0-3 with a 5.48 ERA at home this season and 1-3 with a 4.20 ERA in night games. Dylan Bundy had a great April but has struggled ever since. Also, Bundy has a 6.41 ERA in road games and a 5.09 ERA in night games. The White Sox have a number of hitters that have enjoyed success against him. Both bullpens rank in the middle of the pack this season in terms of bullpen ERA. White Sox carry momentum from huge 13-4 win at San Francisco yesterday. Like taking the Twins lineup to bounce back here after disappointing recent stretch as they now bounce back in divisional action in a venue they are very familiar with. 10* OVER 9.5 in Chicago White Sox |
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07-04-22 | Winnipeg v. Toronto +5.5 | Top | 23-22 | Win | 100 | 18 h 51 m | Show |
CFL Monday 10* Top Play Toronto Argonauts +5.5 vs Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ 7:30 ET - This is a contrarian play all the way but, as per usual, it is not without good reasoning either. The Blue Bombers are undefeated on the season and, overall, the West has absolutely dominated the East so far this season. However, Winnipeg is 3-0 but the only two teams they have played are a combined 0-7 on the season. They are the only two teams in the league that remain winless after Week 4 action is in the books. Not only that, the Blue Bombers off huge win versus Hamilton in a Grey Cup rematch game. On deck for Winnipeg is a huge game versus fellow undefeated foe BC next week. That said, this is absolutely a tricky spot for the Blue Bombers and they are facing an Argos team that has another bye week on deck and that is coming off a 44-3 thrashing at the hands of the Lions last week. Simply put it is the ideal set-up for a huge effort from Toronto here. The Argonauts are very fresh as they have played only 2 games this season and, by the way, one was against a BC team that remains undefeated and the other was an Argos win over a Montreal team that is the other East Division team, besides Argonauts, that also has a win this season. Based on all of the above we have a lot of line value here with a big home dog. Keep in mind, it is hard to cover 5 points on the road when you are in a tough scheduling situation plus have averaged scoring only 21 points per game this season. By the way the Blue Bombers vaunted defense did give up big yardage to the now 0-3 Redblacks in the first two games of this season. Of course the defending champs are strong team but they are simply over-rated here! 10* TORONTO +5.5 |
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07-04-22 | Royals v. Astros OVER 8.5 | Top | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Monday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Houston Astros vs Kansas City Royals @ 4:10 ET - Regardless of pitchers here I like the fact that the Astros have won 15 of 19 games and scored an average of 6 runs scored per victory. As for the Royals, they have won 3 of 4 overall and 7 of last 10 road games. That said, you have a couple of confident lineups stepping into the batters box for this one. Now I will touch on the starting pitchers but, again, this is a play regardless of which pitchers get the start here. Odorizzi expected to get the start for the Astros here and he has great numbers but is coming back from injury and has not been with Houston since May. He last faced Kansas City last season and the Royals hit him hard. They have quite a few hitters who have had success against him. As for the red hot Astros lineup, they will tee off on whoever the Royals send to the mound but it is expected to be Heasley and he is 2-5 with a 5.13 ERA at the MLB level. He comes into this outing having been hammered hard in his last two starts with 11 earned runs allowed in less than 9 innings of work! Heasley has allowed 18 hits in 12.2 innings in his last 3 starts. This one flies over the total! 10* OVER 8.5 in Houston |
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07-03-22 | Cardinals v. Phillies -130 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 14 h 43 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Sunday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Money Line -130 vs St Louis Cardinals @ 7:08 ET - No matter who pitches here, I like the Phillies to bounce back off yesterday's 1-run loss. Philadelphia had won 20 of 28 games and 10 of 14 homes games before the loss yesterday. The Cardinals, as solid as they are, still are just a .500 team on the road and they are 18-21 this season against teams with a winning record. St Louis also is just 7-8 against teams from the NL East this season. The Phillies had won 71% of games against teams from the NL Central this season before yesterday's loss. The Cards had lost 9 of last 15 games before the victory yesterday. St Louis has won B2B games only twice since mid-June. The odds favor a Philly bounce back here regardless of the starting pitchers but now I will touch on them. The fact is the Cardinals Wainwright is notorious, through the years, for being a very strong pitcher in home games but struggling on the road. Overall from 2016 through this season there is a big ERA variance for him. As for Wheeler, he has been fantastic since coming to Philly from the Mets and he has been particularly dominant at home. Wheeler is 4-2 with a 1.85 ERA at home this season and last season had a 2.38 ERA at home and had a 2.29 ERA at home in his first season in Philly. As you can see, Wheeler's 3 seasons in Philadelphia have shown he likes pitching at Citizens Bank Park. Phillies get it done here and respond at home off a tight 1-run loss. They have still been playing well even since the Harper injury. 10* PHILADELPHIA -130 |
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07-03-22 | White Sox v. Giants OVER 8.5 | Top | 13-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 41 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in San Francisco Giants vs Chicago White Sox @ 4:05 ET - Action on pitchers here as per usual and is especially important here because Giants are just using an opener, John Brebbia, in this one. Then 6'11 Sean Hjelle likely to get the ball after him. Either way, and no matter if White Sox starter Lucas Giolito get the ball here, I like the over based on some team angles. Chicago has seen each of last 3 road games total 8 or less runs but this followed a stretch in which 9 of 14 road games totaled at least 9 runs. During that 14 game stretch the White Sox allowed about 5 runs per game. Chicago has scored an average of about 5.5 runs per game last 22 games. The Giants have lost 3 straight home games but this followed a 7-3 stretch of home games in which SF did average 4.2 runs per game. Certainly not powerhouse numbers but you can see why I am expecting at least a 5-4 type game here. In terms of the starting pitchers, Giolito is finally off a better start but he allowed the leadoff batter to get on in each of the first 4 innings of that start and the damage easily could have been worse. Prior to that outing he allowed 30 runs (27 earned) over 25 and 2/3 innings spanning rough 5-start stretch. Brebbia has not gone more than 2 innings in any start and Hjelle has only 2 games at the MLB level and has unimpressive numbers at the minor league level. After neither of the first two games topped 8 runs I feel there is good reason this total still holding at 8.5 runs! 10* OVER 8.5 in San Francisco |
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07-02-22 | Montreal v. Saskatchewan -4.5 | Top | 20-41 | Win | 100 | 17 h 57 m | Show |
CFL Saturday 10* Top Play Saskatchewan Roughriders -4.5 vs Montreal Alouettes @ 7 ET - Special teams and turnovers were the difference in last week's Als blowout win in their home opener. Now the Riders are back at home and angry and will get their revenge. Note that yardage was roughly equal in last week's game so the 37-13 final was deceiving. Certainly Montreal deserved the win and they got it but now it is time for Saskatchewan payback! The West has dominated the East so far this season as the Riders loss to the Als is actually the only such loss for a West team versus an East team. We'll lay the points here. I know Sask is without Evans at WR but they still have Williams and many other weapons at the WR position. Additionally, I like the fact that the Roughriders went 5-2 at home last season and 4-1 against teams from the East. The Riders already won their first home game this season and are now 14-3 SU last 17 home games. We'll lay the very fair number here and look for immediate payback from the hosts this week. 10* SASKATCHEWAN -4.5 |
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07-02-22 | Braves -1.5 v. Reds | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 55 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Saturday 10* Top Play Atlanta Braves -1.5 -110 @ Cincinnati Reds @ 4:10 ET - Same play as yesterday's 9-1 win so much of the the write-up the same as yesterday. This game has blowout written all over it and is a play for me regardless of the starting pitchers. I will mention them below but this is all about taking one of the best teams in the league against a team that has been slumping badly in home games and catching all this in the perfect situation. The Braves just got destroyed by the Phillies at Philly Thursday and will respond huge throughout this series. The Reds got destroyed by the Cubs at Chicago Thursday but don't have what it takes to respond in a series against one of the best teams in the league. Note that Cincinnati is outclassed here. The Braves have won 12 of 15 games after yesterday's blowout win. The Reds have now lost 9 straight home games. Mahle is expected started for Cincinnati and he is 0-4 with 5.13 ERA in his 9 home starts this season. Strider the expected starter for the Braves and he has been piling up strikeouts and pitching very well since moving into the rotation! Road rout here regardless of starting pitching as this is a case of road warriors versus a team on a 9-game home losing streak. Lay it! By the way Reds last 6 home losses all by 2+ runs and Braves last 6 road games all decided by 2 or more runs. Love the run line here. 10* ATLANTA -1.5 -110 |
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07-02-22 | A's v. Mariners OVER 7.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 40 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 7.5 in Seattle Mariners vs Oakland Athletics @ 4:10 ET - We fell short with this play yesterday because the Mariners had a rare bad game at the plate as opposing starting pitcher Kaprielian got his first win of the season. Oakland actually pounded out double digits in hits but struggled with runners in scoring position. That said I will come right back with this play here as Athletics get more clutch hitting today and the M's bounce back at the plate. As noted yesterday, yes the A's are known as one of the weaker hitting teams in the majors. However, they are hitting better again and have hit well at Seattle this season which continue yesterday despite scoring just 3 runs in the victory yesterday. After the 3-1, Oakland has now scored an average of 5.6 runs in their 5 games at Seattle this season. Also, overall, the Athletics have scored an average of nearly 5 runs last 7 road games. That said, I expect them to hit Blackburn like they did the last time they faced him just last month. He comes into this start having gone 1-2 with a 5.13 ERA last 5 starts and was hit at a .306 clip in those games. As for the Mariners starter George Kirby, he gave up 4 earned runs in 5 innings the last time he hosted the A's. Also, the Mariners righty has been hit very hard overall in his last 4 starts at home. 29 hits in 20 innings for Kirby in his last 4 home starts this season. Regardless of starting pitchers I like the fact the A's have been scoring better of late plus scoring well at Seattle this season. I also like the fact the Mariners have won 8 of 11 games and scored an average of 4.6 runs during this stretch. Take action on the pitchers and look for plenty of runs here no matter who the starting pitchers are. The games between these teams at T-Mobile Park this season have averaged 9.6 runs per game. More of the same expected here. 10* OVER 7.5 in Seattle |
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07-02-22 | Rays +125 v. Blue Jays | Top | 6-2 | Win | 125 | 8 h 20 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Saturday 10* Top Play Tampa Bay Rays Money Line +125 @ Toronto Blue Jays @ 12:07 ET (Game 1 of 2) - Action on pitchers as I simply like a strong Rays team to bounce back here after an embarrassing 9-2 loss yesterday. Tampa Bay is off 4 straight losses which has only happened to them twice this season and each time they bounced back in the 5th game to put an end to the losing streak. Rays improve to 3-0 on the season when in this situation. I will mention that McClanahan is the expected starter for TB here and he has been phenomenal again this season. 8-3 with a 1.77 ERA and holding opponents to a .183 batting average. The Blue Jays are expected to start Gausman here and he is off a strong home start but, prior to that, he had been rocked in recent home starts. In fact, he is lucky his ERA is not even higher on the season. Gausman actually has been hit at a .300 clip in home games and a .310 clip in day games. Toronto has won first two games of this series but entered this series having lost 7 of last 13 games at home. The Blue Jays are over-valued here and actually are 0-4 the last 4 times they entered a game off B2B wins. As noted above, Rays going for 3-0 this season when they enter a game on a 4-game losing streak. So we are testing a pair of 100% trends here regardless of the starting pitchers. 10* TAMPA BAY +125 |
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07-01-22 | A's v. Mariners OVER 8 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 4 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Friday 10* Top Play OVER 8 in Seattle Mariners vs Oakland Athletics @ 10:10 ET - Yes the A's are known as one of the weaker hitting teams in the majors. However, they are hitting better again and have hit well at Seattle this season. After yesterday's 8-6 loss, Oakland has now scored an average of 6 runs in their 4 games at Seattle this season. Also, overall, the Athletics have scored an average of 5 runs last 6 road games. That said, I expect them to hit Gonzales like they did the last time they faced him at Seattle. He comes into this start having had success in his most recent home start but that was preceded by 7 walks against just 6 strikeouts in his 2 prior home starts. The home start before those 2? Gonzales allowed 5 earned runs to this same Oakland team. As for the A's starter Kaprielian he is winless in his 11 starts with a 5.88 ERA. Also, he allowed 5 earned runs in 5 innings in his most recent start at Seattle. Overall, Kaprielian has 10 walks against 4 strikeouts in his last two road starts. Regardless of starting pitchers I like the fact the A's have been scoring better of late plus scoring well at Seattle this season. I also like the fact the Mariners have won 8 of 10 games and scored an average of 5 runs during this stretch. Take action on the pitchers and look for plenty of runs here no matter who the starting pitchers are. The games between these teams at T-Mobile Park this season have averaged 11 runs per game. More of the same expected here. 10* OVER 8 in Seattle |
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07-01-22 | Edmonton Elks v. Hamilton OVER 46 | Top | 29-25 | Win | 100 | 17 h 6 m | Show |
CFL Friday 10* Top Play OVER 46 in Hamilton Tiger-Cats vs Edmonton Elks @ 7:30 ET - We are getting some line value here because this total is being held lower due to the treat of rain in the forecast for this game. The key here is I do not expect it to be full-on rain event. Rather look for some scattered storms which means it may or may not happen during the game. Additionally, the winds are not expected to be too bad. That said, I love the over here. Edmonton allowing 38 points per game this season and Hamilton allowing 30 points per game this season. Each team has allowed at least 26 points in all 3 of their games. Given those numbers you can see why I am fully expecting this non-divisional match-up to get into the 50s for total points. 10* OVER 46 in Hamilton |
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06-30-22 | BC v. Ottawa +2.5 | Top | 34-31 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 35 m | Show |
CFL Thursday 10* Top Play Ottawa Redblacks +2.5 vs BC Lions @ 7:30 ET - Yes the Lions are 2-0 this season and the Redblacks are 0-2. However, a ton of edges for the home team in this one. First off BC playing their first road game of the season. The Lions also are on short rest and will be without wide receiver Burnham. Conversely, Ottawa is coming off a bye week. The Redblacks are 0-2 on the season but they outgained Winnipeg in each of the first two games of the season. Keep in mind, this Blue Bombers team is a very strong team and now 3-0 on the season after beating a strong Hamilton team last week. The point is that Ottawa is playing much better than their record indicates and this includes against strong competition too. As for the Lions, they are 2-0 this season but played a bad Edmonton team and a Toronto team known for inconsistency. The Argonauts seemed to not show up last weekend at BC. You can bet (literally) the Redblacks are going to show up here and I expect the hosts to hand the Lions their first loss of the season but will grab the added insurance of the points here. 10* OTTAWA +2.5 |
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06-30-22 | Brewers v. Pirates OVER 8.5 | Top | 7-8 | Win | 105 | 14 h 9 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers @ 7:05 ET - This play more about the sticks than the pitchers so I am going action on the pitchers as per usual. Brubaker is the expected starter for the Pirates and he has struggled badly on the season with a 1-7 record and 4.14 ERA. Also, in the month of June, opponents are hitting .294 against him! The way the Brewers are swinging the bats right now (won 5-3 yesterday and hit some more homers) I expect Brubaker's struggles to continue! Speaking of struggling, the Brewers Houser has not pitched well this season since a solid April. His May and June have been rough and the biggest key of all here is that Houser has consistently struggled each of the last 4 years against left-handed hitters! The Pirates had nearly every single hitter stepping in on that side of the batters box in yesterday's huge 8-7 win at Washington. I expect a parade of lefties to the plate for Pittsburgh tonight and this will be tough on Houser. Again, regardless of starting pitchers, the Brewers have been playing well and with a lot of confidence and scoring runs. Also, the Pirates off a high-scoring road win and now back home where they have scored well. Pittsburgh is 4-1 last 5 home games and has scored an average of 7 runs per game last 6 home games! Neither bullpen overly impressive this season (as Milwaukee seems down a notch in that department and Pirates struggling with relievers as usual). Also, the Brewers have won 11 of 16 games and scored an average of 6 runs per game in the 11 victories. In their last 9 losses, Milwaukee has allowed an average of 7 runs per game. You can see, given those numbers, why I am anticipating at least 9 runs scored for these teams combined. 10* OVER 8.5 in Pittsburgh |
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06-30-22 | Braves v. Phillies -148 | Top | 4-14 | Win | 100 | 14 h 31 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Thursday 9* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Money Line -150 vs Atlanta Braves @ 6:05 ET - The expected starters are Nola versus Anderson but, either way, I like the Phillies here. Regardless of starting pitching this is a play on the Phillies to bounce back off yesterday's 4-1 loss. Philadelphia is 3-1 last 4 times when off a home loss. The Braves are 0-3 last 3 times they entered a game on a winning streak of 2 or more games. As for the pitchers, Anderson continues to struggle for the Braves and has allowed at least 4 runs in 5 of last 7 starts. Also, he keeps getting hit at a higher batting average month by month as April to May to June the averages keep getting uglier. Conversely, Nola has been throwing extremely well for the Phillies and he is known for pitching particularly well at home where he has compiled a fantastic won-loss record through the years. More of the same expected here. 9* PHILADELPHIA -150 |
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06-29-22 | Red Sox v. Blue Jays UNDER 8.5 | Top | 6-5 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 6 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Wednesday 10* Top Play UNDER 8.5 in Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox @ 7:07 ET - Yesterday's game snuck over the total late but this has the look of a pitchers duel and, even if these pitchers do not go, I like the under in this game. Took some late-inning magic for yesterday's game to sneak over the total and I feel we now have value here on the under as a result. Pivetta had a rough April for Boston but he has been a different pitcher ever since. The right-hander has allowed a TOTAL of just 14 runs in his 10 starts dating back to early May. He averaged 6.8 innings in those two starts also. Pivetta is 8-1 in his last 9 starts. Manoah is 9-2 this season with a 2.05 ERA. Keep in mind, he also went 9-2 last season! In home starts he has a 1.94 ERA and in night games he is 4-0 with a 1.23 ERA. Runs will be at a premium in this one. Red Sox had been held to 2 or less runs scored in 5 of last 11 road games before getting late runs yesterday in a wild 6-5 loss. 10* UNDER 8.5 in Toronto |
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06-29-22 | Padres -132 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 15 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Wednesday 10* Top Play San Diego Padres Money Line -130 @ Arizona Diamondbacks @ 3:40 ET - No matter who the starting pitchers end up being in this one, I love the road favorite. San Diego blew a 6-0 lead late in yesterday's game and went on to lose the game 7-6. They are sure to bounce back here! The expected starters are an improving Clevinger against a struggling Bumgarner. Also, Clevinger and Bumgarner just squared off at San Diego and the Padres hurler was definitely the sharper of the two. Clevinger appears to be getting strong since his return from Tommy John surgery. Conversely, Bumgarner has allowed 32 hits in the 20 innings spanning his last 4 starts on the mound. Again these are the expected starters and like this play no matter what. But some other notes about this one are that San Diego is 17-8 versus left-handed starters and Arizona is 6-16 in divisional games. Padres 24-15 in road games and 26-12 against teams with a losing record on the season. Diamondbacks are below .500 at home this season and are 14-26 this season against teams with a winning record. 10* SAN DIEGO -130 |