Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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06-28-22 | Braves v. Phillies -110 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 41 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Tuesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Money Line -110 vs Atlanta Braves @ 7:05 ET - I like the Phillies no matter the pitchers here as they have the home field edge and I love the contrarian factor as, sure enough, they have already won the first couple games since Harper suffered the hand fracture. As for the Braves, they have cooled off and are 5-5 last 10 games and are not as strong on the road as they are at home. Now, about those expected starters Wheeler has dominated at home (1.49 ERA) and in night games (1.79 ERA) while Morton has struggled on the road (5.63 ERA) and in night games (6.03 ERA). Morton also was hit very hard when he faced the Phillies earlier this season and that was at home. It is unlikely to be any easier facing them in Philly. The price is very low on the home team because Bryce Harper is now out and everyone is writing off the Phillies but there is a lot to like in this one and we'll grab the favorable line. 10* PHILADELPHIA -110 |
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06-27-22 | Twins -125 v. Guardians | Top | 11-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 25 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Monday 10* Top Play Minnesota Twins Money Line -125 @ Cleveland Guardians @ 7:10 ET - I trust the Twins more than the Guardians here and I like Sonny Gray over Tristan Mckenzie. These pitchers each struggled in their last start and that was against the same teams they will be facing in this rematch today. I do expect Gray has the much better chance to bounce back than Mckenzie but just will say that I do like this play regardless of the pitching match-up. But Gray had a 2.09 ERA and a .184 opponents batting average on the season prior to struggling against the Guardians in last start. He had not allowed more than 2 earned runs in any start this season and had allowed a total of just 1 earned run in each of 3 prior starts. Conversely, McKenzie now has a 5.40 ERA this month. Also, the Twins have won 3 of 4 games and allowed an average of only 1 run per game. The Guardians are just 10-17 this season against teams with a winning record. Also, Cleveland has scored an average of only 2 runs per game last 4 games and lost all 4 of them. Just don't see the Guardians scoring enough to keep up with the Twins here. 10* MINNESOTA -125 |
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06-27-22 | Red Sox v. Blue Jays OVER 9 | Top | 2-7 | Push | 0 | 14 h 23 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Monday 10* Top Play OVER 9 in Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox @ 7:07 ET - I know that the Blue Jays Gausman carries a certain reputation with the betting markets but there is a reason this total opened up at a 9.5 in most books. Gausman has struggled at home this season and the Red Sox have been one of the hottest teams in the league and have been hot at the plate. The Jays are also such a strong hitting team and particularly at home and that is why I love this total no matter the starting pitchers. Make this play with action as the Red Sox are starting Seabold and, though he has been good at the AAA level this season, pitching in the bigs and on the road is an entirely different situation. Seabold has only one MLB start in his career and will have his hands full with a Toronto team that has averaged scoring 6 runs per game last 14 games. The Red Sox have won 11 of 13 games and scored an average of 6 runs last 10 victories. The bats rule the day in this one. 10* OVER 9 in Toronto |
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06-26-22 | Avalanche -114 v. Lightning | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 17 h 9 m | Show |
NHL Sunday 10* Top Play Colorado Avalanche Money Line -114 @ Tampa Bay Lightning @ 8:15 ET - The Avalanche are 4-0 last 4 times when entering a game off a loss. Also, the Avs are 8-1 in road games in this post-season. Colorado has dominated shots on goal in this series and that continues here. The Avalanche just too much for a Lightning team that doesn't have the same level of talent on offense. Vasilevskiy fantastic in goal for the Bolts but Avs also have been getting good goaltending and the better team in terms of offensive output will prove to be too much here. 10* COLORADO -114 |
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06-26-22 | Dodgers -115 v. Braves | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 7 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Sunday 10* Top Play Los Angeles Dodgers Money Line -115 @ Atlanta Braves @ 7:08 ET - The Dodgers lost yesterday's game 5-3 but this followed a run of 4 straight wins and 7 of last 9 games. That is why, regardless of who the starting pitchers end up being, I love LA in this match-up. The Dodgers are expected to start Tony Gonsolin here and he is having a phenomenal season and has proven very tough to hit time and time again. He is 7-0 with a 1.61 ERA in his 10 night game starts and he is 19-5 overall in his career and opponents are hitting just .150 against him this season. The Braves did get the win yesterday but his was on the heels of a mediocre 4-4 stretch. Yes, Atlanta is having a solid season but the Dodgers still the better team. Also, the expected starter here for the Braves is Spencer Strider. He struggled in his most recent start at home and he has a 4.84 ERA in his outings at home this season. Overall he has struggled at times since moving from the bullpen to the starters role and now he faces one of the best teams in the league. The road team takes this one. 10* LA DODGERS -115 |
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06-26-22 | Blue Jays v. Brewers OVER 9.5 | Top | 3-10 | Win | 100 | 11 h 32 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 9.5 in Milwaukee Brewers vs Toronto Blue Jays @ 2:10 ET - I am going with, as usual, action on the pitchers. But I will mention that Jose Berrios is a big name pitcher but so often he struggles on the road. That has been a problem for much of his career and this season has been no different. In four of his last six starts including his most recent one, he allowed at least 5 earned runs. He is likely to struggle here more than you might expect even though the Brewers are not known for scoring big runs. Note that the Brewers are expected to start Chi Chi Gonzalez here and he is 9-24 with a 5.71 ERA in his career. He has not been good in his limited action this season either as he has a 7.36 ERA so far. Brewers got the 5-4 win yesterday and, even with that loss, the road team has averaged scoring 6 runs per game last 13 games. No matter the pitchers I expect Toronto to resume high-scoring ways and the Brewers have produced an average of 5 runs per game last 11 games. Don't be surprised if each team gets to 5 runs in a wild one today. 10* OVER 9.5 in Milwaukee |
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06-25-22 | Toronto +5.5 v. BC | Top | 3-44 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 46 m | Show |
CFL Saturday 10* Top Play Toronto Argonauts +5.5 @ BC Lions @ 10 ET - The Lions are off a bye week and they rolled 59 to 15 in Week 1 but are they really that good? Or is Edmonton just that bad? The Elks were plagued by turnovers in that game and BC will face a much tougher test this week with the Argonauts in town. Toronto had a bye in Week 1 so that negates some of the Lions rest edge here. There is truly not a big edge in terms of rest as a result. That said, like getting the points here with a scrappy Argos team that is facing a bit of an over-rated BC team in this one. Lions are going to be better this season than last season but this line has gone from around a 3 to a 5.5 and this is excellent line value on the under-valued road dog in this one. 10* TORONTO +5.5 |
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06-25-22 | Edmonton Elks v. Calgary OVER 48.5 | Top | 23-30 | Win | 100 | 15 h 10 m | Show |
CFL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 48.5 in Calgary Stampeders vs Edmonton Elks @ 7 ET - The Elks are so bad defensively and then you look at all the points the Stampeders have given up this season and you can see how this one should play out. This should be an absolutely shootout with both offensive units on full display and we get some added value because Edmonton's game last week stayed under the total. Lets not forget the Elks are allowing 42.5 points per game this season and the Stampeders first two games both have gone over the total. More of the same expected here. 10* OVER 48.5 in Calgary |
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06-25-22 | Blue Jays v. Brewers OVER 8 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 3 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 8 in Milwaukee Brewers vs Toronto Blue Jays @ 4:10 ET - We get a low total here because of the pitchers in this match-up. Particularly Burnes of the Brewers carries a lot of respect. However, the key to this play is the Blue Jays have been so hot at the plate I feel strongly that they can hit anyone right now. I am going with, as usual, action on the pitchers. But I will mention that before Burnes last start, which was a good one at home, he actually had allowed 12 runs (10 earned) in the 14 innings spanning his last 3 home starts. He will struggle here more than you might expect. So we take advantage of the low total of 8 in this one. Note that the Blue Jays are expected to start Kikuchi here and he has not been great this season plus is winless with a 7.11 ERA in his 4 day game starts this season. Brewers look to bounce back off a 9-4 loss yesterday to these same Jays but the road team stays red hot. 10* OVER 8 in Milwaukee |
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06-25-22 | Orioles v. White Sox OVER 9 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 40 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 9 in Chicago White Sox vs Baltimore Orioles @ 2:10 ET - Watkins has a 6.00 ERA and Lynn has a 5.79 ERA so far this season. I know has been limited action for each so far but the fact is I don't expect either to be at 100% just yet plus this play has a lot to do with the lineups and they will bounce back after yesterday's low-scoring game let us down. 10 of last 15 White Sox games have totaled 11 or more runs! 9 of last 12 Orioles road games have totaled 10 or more runs. Slugfest time on a mild afternoon at Guaranteed Rate Field. Just like 7 of Chicago's last 9 home games, we again should see double digits in runs scored here. 10* OVER 9 in Chicago White Sox |
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06-24-22 | Phillies -120 v. Padres | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -120 | 11 h 33 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Friday 10* Philadelphia Phillies Money Line -120 @ San Diego Padres @ 9:40 ET - The Padres have lost 4 of 7 and are mediocre 16-14 last 30 games. The Phillies 16-5 last 21 games. Regardless of starting pitchers, I like the hotter team at a great price in this match-up. Will mention that the expected starters are Nola and Gore. Note that Gore has allowed 14 earned runs in his last two starts spanning just 6 and 1/3 innings. As for Nola, he has been charged with a total of just 3 earned runs in 31 and 1/3 innings spanning his last 4 road starts. Overall he has off to a great start this season and Nola rates the edge over Gore here. The key though is not the pitchers, rather it is the fact we have the hotter team that has also been scoring a pile of runs last 20 games! Also, the Phils have had Bryce Harper back in the lineup last two games. 10* PHILADELPHIA -120 |
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06-24-22 | Hamilton +4.5 v. Winnipeg | Top | 12-26 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 2 m | Show |
Friday CFL 10* Top Play Hamilton Tiger-Cats +4.5 or +5 @ Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ 8:30 ET - Revenge game for the Tiger-Cats as they lost the Grey Cup to Winnipeg last year. Not only that, Hamilton also lost the Grey Cup in the prior season played (2019) and that makes this a double-revenge spot for the Ti-Cats. Yes it is now Dane Evans at QB rather than Jeremiah Masoli for Hamilton but I do feel he is settling in nicely. Also, this is similar situation to last night's play on Montreal which won 37 to 13. Here we have an 0-2 underdog against a 2-0 favorite and I like the extra hunger that will mean for this highly motivated Tiger-Cats team. Also, the Blue Bombers are indeed 2-0 this season but they were outgained in both games and are down big in the yardage differential department so far this year. In other words, though Winnipeg is indeed a good team, they have been fortunate, to say the least, early this season and we take advantage with the substantial value being offered to the underdog. 10* HAMILTON +4.5 or +5 |
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06-24-22 | Lightning +163 v. Avalanche | Top | 3-2 | Win | 163 | 13 h 19 m | Show |
NHL Friday 10* Top Play Tampa Bay Lightning +163 @ Colorado Avalanche @ 8:15 ET - Pretty amazing that Tampa Bay could be up 3-1 in this series and yet are down 3-1 but are now catching a big underdog price in this one. Lightning lost Game 1 in OT and now Game 4 in OT and that is the only reason this series is 3-1 Avs instead of 3-1 Bolts. Colorado is a strong team for sure but they are very over-valued here and the play of Andrei Vasilveskiy in goal has been huge for them in the past two games. Truly the Avs goals on him in Game 4 including some fortunate bounces. That said, I am sure the stellar netminder, when he is in the zone like he has been now, can come into Denver and help the Bolts steal this game on the road. Tampa Bay is 9-2 the last 11 times they entered a game off a loss. With the Avs win at TB Wednesday, the road team has taken 8 of the last 13 Colorado games. Also, though Brayden Point is likely again out for the Lightning, they are 11-2 in the last 13 games he has missed in this post-season. The value is off the charts here and I look for the defending champs to get up off the mat, at least one more time, to live to fight another day as they stay alive with a big upset in Game 5 Friday. 10* TAMPA BAY +163 |
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06-24-22 | Blue Jays -133 v. Brewers | Top | 9-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Friday 10* Top Play Toronto Blue Jays Money Line -135 @ Milwaukee Brewers @ 8:10 ET - I like the road team here no matter the starting pitchers so this is a play either way. However, I will mention that the Blue Jays are 10-4 last 14 road games while the Brewers are just 2-8 last 10 home games. As for the expected starting pitchers here, we'll start with the Blue Jays Manoah. He is now an incredible 17-4 in his career and he has a 2.00 ERA this season and he is 3-0 with a 0.90 ERA in his night game starts this season. The Brewers expected starter is Adrian Houser and he is off a win in most recent start but this followed losing 5 straight decisions in a 7 start stretch. Also, even with victory in most recent start, Houser has allowed 12 earned runs in less than 15 innings spanning his last 3 starts. Look for the road team to get it done here. 10* TORONTO -135 |
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06-24-22 | Orioles v. White Sox OVER 8.5 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 56 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Friday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Chicago White Sox vs Baltimore Orioles @ 8:10 ET - The potency of these two lineups is why I like this play regardless of the pitchers but I will mention that Michael Kopech has great numbers this season but actually is off a bit of a rough start which followed him leaving his prior start in the 1st inning with knee discomfort. In other words, he may not be 100% and it sure appears that way. The White Sox right-hander has been hit hard in recent road starts and now he just does not seem to be 100% and I feel the Orioles will take full advantage. The issue for Baltimore is that Austin Voth is struggling and this has been out of the bullpen. In his career he has been a starter and a reliever but not much success at either with a 5.61 ERA in his career. Voth getting hit at a .372 clip this season and and now faces a White Sox team that had 9 hits yesterday but went 1 of 9 with runners in scoring position and left 11 men on base as they were shutout. The Sox had their chances for sure and that will again be the case here and, by the way, the Orioles did pound out 10 hits in yesterday's win. 10 of last 14 White Sox games have totaled 11 or more runs! 9 of last 11 Orioles road games have totaled 10 or more runs. Slugfest time on a mild evening at Guaranteed Rate Field. Just like 7 of Chicago's last 8 home games, we again should see double digits in runs scored here. 10* OVER 8.5 in Chicago White Sox |
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06-23-22 | Orioles v. White Sox OVER 9 | Top | 4-0 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 29 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 9 in Chicago White Sox vs Baltimore Orioles @ 8:10 ET - The potency of these two lineups is why I like this play regardless of the pitchers but I will mention that Johnny Cueto has struggled in his 3 home appearances and is winless with a 5.60 ERA at home. The White Sox right-hander has been hit hard overall at home and I feel the Orioles will take full advantage. The issue for Baltimore is that even though Dean Kremer has surprisingly good numbers early this season it has been in limited action and lets not forget 2021. Last season, Kremer went 0-7 with a 7.55 ERA in 13 starts and that sample size of 13 certainly carries more weight than his 3 starts this season. I know his overall numbers are good in limited action this season but lets not forget that he is 2-9 with a 6.06 ERA in his career. 10 of last 13 White Sox games have totaled 11 or more runs! 9 of last 10 Orioles road games have totaled 10 or more runs. Slugfest time on a mild evening at Guaranteed Rate Field. Just like each of Chicago's last 7 home games, we again should see double digits in runs scored here. 10* OVER 9 in Chicago White Sox |
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06-23-22 | Saskatchewan v. Montreal +3.5 | Top | 13-37 | Win | 100 | 16 h 19 m | Show |
CFL Thursday 10* Top Play Montreal Alouettes +3.5 vs Saskatchewan Roughriders @ 7:30 ET - The Alouettes have a two day rest edge here compared to the Roughriders. Also, the Als have the home field edge. Montreal is off B2B tight losses to start the season. Extra hunger here for the 0-2 host facing a 2-0 Saskatchewan team. We get line value with as many as 3.5 points available for this one and looking at statistical factors, these teams are much more evenly matched than their records would suggest. Turnovers have been the difference early this season and now we take advantage of the added line value as a result of those factors. 10* MONTREAL +3.5 |
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06-23-22 | Cardinals v. Brewers OVER 9.5 | Top | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Thursday 9* Top Play OVER 9 or 9.5 in Milwaukee Brewers vs St Louis Cardinals @ 2:10 ET - This is a classic contrarian play as the total looked funny to me right away. The Cardinals Hudson has a 3.31 ERA and Alexander has a 2.42 ERA for the Brewers and yet this total is as high as a 9.5 this morning. This one jumped off the page at me and I will not hesitate to get involved and do not care who the starting pitchers end up being for this one. The Cardinals Hudson has a higher ERA on the road and in day games. The Brewers Alexander has a 2.42 ERA but opponents are hitting .330 against him in his 4 starts this season. The last 2 games of this series hit 8 and 9 runs respectively after a pitchers duel in the first game. However, prior to this series, 7 of last 8 Cardinals games had reached double digits in runs. Also, the Brewers bullpen has not been as strong this season and they have allowed 5 or more runs in 6 of last 9 home games. Given all of the above, and the fact Brewers need a bounce back win here in order to move back into a first place tie in the division, I am looking for a 6-5 type game here. 9* OVER 9 or 9.5 in Milwaukee |
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06-22-22 | Avalanche v. Lightning -103 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 32 m | Show |
NHL Wednesday 10* Top Play Tampa Bay Lightning Money Line -105 vs Colorado Avalanche @ 8:15 ET - After the Lightning got destroyed 7-0 in Game 2 of this series following a tight OT loss in Game 1, they responded with a huge 6-2 win in Game 3. Tampa Bay is now 7-0 / 100% PERFECT L7 home games in this post-season. Indeed, the Bolts have won 8 straight games this post-season on home ice. The combined score of those 8 home ice playoff wins is 33-13. In other words they have not just been squeaking by in these home victories, they have been dominating. I have no hesitation in now testing a perfect situation here. I like our chances in this spot for the defending champs to stand up strong here once again as Vasilevskiy continues to be so strong on home ice and they now climb all the way back into this series by making it 2-2 after Wednesday's game is in the books. 10* Tampa Bay -105 |
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06-22-22 | Phillies -130 v. Rangers | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -130 | 10 h 0 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Wednesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies -130 @ Texas Rangers @ 4:05 ET - This is a case of hot versus not so make this bet with "action" on pitchers. Even off Tuesday's surprising shutout loss, the Phillies have won 15 of 19 games. The Rangers, prior to Tuesday's shocking shutout win, had lost 4 of 6 games and 11 of 18 games. Wheeler is the expected starter for Phillies here and he has been dominating ever since late April. Wheeler is 6-0 in his last 9 starts and has allowed a total of just 9 earned runs in those 9 starts. Wheeler is going to bring his A game here and that should be too much for this Rangers team that just is not on the same level as the Phillies. I know that Jon Gray, the expected starter for Texas here has some decent numbers on the season. However, he has been rocked in 2 of his last 3 starts against Philadelphia and that includes one this season. Also, the Phillies are 21-13 against teams with a losing record. The Rangers are still just 15-18 at home and only 14-19 against teams with a winning record this season. Better team with a highly exceptional pitcher and fading a weaker team that has not been nearly as hot of late...it all adds up to an excellent value spot in my opinion. 10* PHILADELPHIA -130 |
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06-22-22 | Blue Jays v. White Sox OVER 9.5 | Top | 9-5 | Win | 105 | 9 h 30 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 9.5 in Chicago White Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays @ 2:10 ET - The potency of these two lineups is why I like this play regardless of the pitchers but I will mention that Lucas Giolito has struggled in his last 4 starts and is having a rough June. The White Sox right-hander has been hit very hard overall in recent starts and I feel the Blue Jays will take full advantage. Giolito has allowed 23 runs (20 earned) over his last 20 and 2/3 innings. The issue for Toronto is that Ross Stripling has a 4.97 ERA in day games this season and I know his overall numbers are good but lets not forget that he also went 5-7 with a 4.80 ERA last season and 3-3 with a 5.84 ERA the year before. 8 of Blue Jays last 9 games have totaled 11 or more runs! 9 of last 12 White Sox games have totaled 11 or more runs! Slugfest time on a warm afternoon at Guaranteed Rate Field. Just like yesterday's game, we again should see double digits in runs scored here. 10* OVER 9.5 in Chicago White Sox |
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06-22-22 | Mets v. Astros OVER 8.5 | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 57 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Houston Astros vs New York Mets @ 2:10 ET - The Astros are heating up again and starting to hit better during this stretch as well. Houston has scored an average of nearly 8 runs per victory in the 6-2 run their last 8 games. The Mets also are a very solid hitting club and had been quite hot at the plate before getting shutdown in yesterday's 8-2 loss. They are hitting .261 on the season and only the Rockies have a higher team batting average and Colorado plays their home games at Coors Field so, without that factor, New York would surely be topping the majors in this category. Solid hitting team and scoring an average of 5 runs per game this season. The pitchers are NOT the most important factor here as this is a play no matter the starting pitchers but I will mention that Carlos Carrasco has a 5.18 ERA on the road this season and opponents are hitting almost .300 against him away from home. Also, Luis Garcia has a 5.14 ERA in home games. 10* OVER 8.5 in Houston |
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06-21-22 | Blue Jays v. White Sox OVER 8.5 | Top | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 54 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Chicago White Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays @ 8:10 ET - The potency of these two lineups is why I like this play regardless of the pitchers but I will mention that Dylan Cease has struggled in night games and has not been as sharp in a number of home starts this season. The White Sox right-hander has also been hit quite hard overall in recent starts and I feel the Blue Jays will take full advantage. The issue for Toronto is that Kevin Gausman has been getting hit very hard of late and essentially has been roughed up in 3 of his last 4 starts and one of those was against these White Sox. 7 of Blue Jays last 8 games have totaled 11 or more runs! 8 of last 11 White Sox games have totaled 11 or more runs! Slugfest time on a warm evening at Guaranteed Rate Field. Just like yesterday's game, we again should see double digits in runs scored here. 10* OVER 8.5 in Chicago White Sox |
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06-21-22 | Phillies +108 v. Rangers | Top | 0-7 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 4 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Tuesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies +110 @ Texas Rangers @ 8:05 ET - Feel we have the starting pitching edge here too but the pitchers are not the most relevant factor here. This is a case of hot versus not so make this bet with "action" on pitchers. Even off Sunday's surprising loss, the Phillies have won 15 of 18 games. The Rangers have now lost 4 of last 6 games and 11 of last 18 games. Gibson is the expected starter for Phillies here and he is going against a former team for the first time since he left Texas in mid-season last year. You know the veteran hurler is going to bring his A game here and that should be too much for this Rangers team that just is not on the same level as the Phillies. I know that Perez, the expected starter for Texas here has great numbers on the season. However, he has been rocked for 27 hits in 18 innings so far in the month of June. Also, the Phillies are 13-8 against southpaws and 7-4 in interleague games and 21-12 against teams with a losing record. The Rangers are just 14-18 at home and 13-19 against teams with a winning record this season. Better team with a highly motivated pitcher and fading a pitcher who has been very hittable this month and fading a weaker team that has not been nearly as hot of late...it all adds up to an excellent underdog spot in my opinion. 10* PHILADELPHIA +110 |
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06-20-22 | Avalanche v. Lightning -106 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 17 h 17 m | Show |
NHL Monday 10* Top Play Tampa Bay Lightning Money Line -105 vs Colorado Avalanche @ 8:15 ET - The Lightning just got destroyed 7-0 in Game 2 of this series after a tight OT loss in Game 1. Tampa Bay is 4-0 / 100% PERFECT this season when off a shutout loss. Also, the Bolts have won 7 straight games this post-season on home ice. The combined score of those 7 wins is 27-11. In other words we are testing a double perfect situation here and one of those situations is one that has not lost all season for TB. I like our chances here for the defending champs to stand up strong here to climb back into the series and make it 2-1 after Monday's game is in the books. 10* Tampa Bay -105 |
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06-20-22 | Blue Jays v. White Sox OVER 9 | Top | 7-8 | Win | 100 | 16 h 36 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Monday 10* Top Play OVER 9 in Chicago White Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays @ 8:10 ET - The potency of these two lineups is why I like this play regardless of the pitches but I will mention that Lance Lynn got hit very hard in his season debut last week. The White Sox right-hander also compiled a 9.00 ERA in his minor league rehab starts so my point is that he is just not ready yet and I feel the Blue Jays will take full advantage. The issue for Toronto is that Jose Berrios is known for struggling more on the road than at home. That has been the case again this season as he has a 5.97 ERA in his 7 road starts. Year after year this is a pattern for Berrios quite consistently throughout his career. 6 of Blue Jays last 7 games have totaled 11 or more runs! 7 of last 10 White Sox games have totaled 11 or more runs! Slugfest time on a warm evening at Guaranteed Rate Field. 10* OVER 9 in Chicago White Sox |
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06-20-22 | Marlins v. Mets OVER 7.5 | Top | 0-6 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 19 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* Monday MLB 10* Top Play OVER 7.5 or 8 in New York Mets vs Miami Marlins @ 1:10 ET - No matter the pitchers here I am expecting good run-scoring from two very capable lineups on a warm afternoon in New York. The Mets are off a loss in which they scored just two runs but they had won 15 of 21 games before that defeat and scored an average of 7 runs per game in the 7 victories. The total on this game has dropped into the 7.5 or 8 range and 15 of the Marlins last 23 games have totaled at least 8 runs. Like the total regardless of starting pitchers but will mention that the Marlins Rogers continues to struggle and he has allowed 19 earned runs in 21 and 1/3 innings over his last 5 starts. The Mets Peterson has allowed 11 earned runs in 13 and 2/3 innings over his last 3 home starts. 10* OVER 7.5 or 8 in New York Mets |
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06-19-22 | White Sox +162 v. Astros | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 11 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Sunday 10* Top Play Chicago White Sox +160 @ Houston Astros @ 7:08 ET - This play is all about the line value regardless of starting pitchers here. I will mention that Javier has strong numbers for Astros but he has faced a lot of weak lineups - more on strength of schedule in a minute. As for Kopech, he will be fresh and ready to go after exiting his last start for precautionary reasons (knee). He was pronounced fine and did fine in his bullpen session Thursday and he has absolutely dominated hitters this season. So, about the value here, the Astros have played so few games (15) against teams with a winning record this season that it is phenomenal. To put that in proper perspective, every other team in the AL West Division has at least 32 games against winning teams and the White Sox have 35 games against winning teams. The point is that Houston is a solid team for sure but they are over-rated right now. There is simply too much value to pass up on here. With yesterday's 7-0 win, Chicago has won 4 of 5 and 8 of 13. Also, in last 9 games they have averaged 6.7 runs scored per game! Houston has lost 7 of 13 games. Houston has been held to 4 runs scored or less in 8 of last 11 games. Road upset time here. 10* CHICAGO WHITE SOX +160 |
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06-19-22 | Padres v. Rockies OVER 12.5 | Top | 3-8 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 12.5 in Colorado Rockies vs San Diego Padres @ 3:10 ET - Regardless of pitchers (I will mention them below), I am taking the over in this spot no matter who starts. That's because we have ideal conditions on a warm afternoon in Denver and with the wind blowing out. The Rockies got a narrow win yesterday and the game stayed under the total but the Padres bats have been so hot - including coming alive at Wrigley Field earlier this week in conditions similar to this - that I am expecting an explosion at the plate today. Colorado starter Senzatela has a .382 batting average against in home games. The Rockies right-hander has been hit a crazy .453 batting average against in day games. San Diego should be crushing the ball here but don't be surprised if the Rockies do also. Padres starter just faced Colorado but that was at home. Now he faces them at Coors Field where he got destroyed in most recent road start against this Rockies team. All factors pointing to a wild one here as it is a hitter-friendly day game at the most hitter-friendly ballpark in the majors. 10* OVER 12.5 in Colorado |
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06-18-22 | Saskatchewan v. Edmonton Elks OVER 49.5 | Top | 26-16 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 33 m | Show |
CFL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 49.5 in Edmonton Elks vs Saskatchewan Roughriders @ 9:30 ET - These are the perfect type of set-ups I like to look for when it comes to an over. Edmonton has a leaky defense and allowed 59 points last week at BC. The Elks are back home and their offense will respond after moving the ball but having too many turnovers last week. As for Saskatchewan, they are on the road now and coming off a huge win over a Hamilton team that was playing for the Grey Cup in November! In other words, that was a huge win for the Riders and their defense gave a massive effort at home and now they go on the road to face an Elks team that is off to a horrific start and had a horrible season last year too. In other words, this is the perfect set-up for a flat-footed performance from the Riders defense. So Elks offense bounces back and Riders offense responds against a bad defense as the game goes on and "Voila" the perfect set up for a high-scoring game comes to fruition. 10* OVER 49.5 in Edmonton |
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06-18-22 | Lightning +138 v. Avalanche | Top | 0-7 | Loss | -100 | 39 h 25 m | Show |
NHL Saturday 10* Top Play Tampa Bay Lightning Money Line +135 @ Colorado Avalanche @ 8 ET - The Lightning are 8-0 the last 8 times they were off a loss in which they allowed 5 or less goals. Keep in mind, the 4-3 OT loss saw the Bolts dig out of an early 3-1 hole. I liked the response from Tampa Bay after falling behind early and I like the fact they played more their style of game the final two periods of the hockey game before losing in overtime. I know the Avalanche are a great team and have been red hot but Tampa has won B2B cups for a reason! Look for their streak to make it 9 in a row here when in this situation! 10* TAMPA BAY +135 |
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06-18-22 | Calgary v. Hamilton -115 | Top | 33-30 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 23 m | Show |
CFL Saturday 10* Top Play Hamilton Tiger-Cats Money Line -115 vs Calgary Stampeders @ 6:30 ET - Love the setup here with Calgary off a hard-fought time win over Montreal and Hamilton off an ugly loss at Saskatchewan. Now the Ti-Cats are at home and the Stamps are on the road. Hamilton went 4-2 against the West last season and Calgary went just 2-2 against the East last season. Also, the Tiger-Cats did go 5-2 in home games last season. With this line coming down to a -1 we can get the money line in nearly a pick'em range so that is the way to play this one in my opinion. 10* HAMILTON -115 |
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06-18-22 | Phillies v. Nationals OVER 8.5 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 33 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies @ 4:35 ET - Historically Nola has been a better pitchers at home than on the road. He is a rock solid pitcher for sure and I know he is capable of dominating a team in any given outing. However, I think this Nationals team is going to be tough on him on their home field. They hit him hard in both meetings here last season. As for Washington's Gray, he held the Phillies in check the first time he faced them last year but then they pounded him in the 2nd meeting. Also, just as Nola has had some struggles in this venue, Gray is struggling at home this season with a 2-4 mark and 7.14 ERA. Yesterday's game two flew over the total and game one arguably should have gone over the total as well. The fact the teams played a double header yesterday also weakens the bullpens. That said, I like the over in this match-up regardless of the starting pitching match-up. The Phillies have been red hot and scoring well during their on fire streak. The Nats have scored an average of 5.4 runs per game last 13 home games. Philadelphia has won 14 of 16 games and scored 6.5 runs per game in this stretch. 10* OVER 8.5 in Washington |
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06-18-22 | Rays v. Orioles OVER 8 | Top | 7-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 59 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 8 in Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays @ 4:05 ET - Rays lost 1-0 yesterday but Tampa Bay had scored at least 5 runs in each of last 5 games versus the Orioles and had actually averaged scoring 6 runs in those games. Also, the Baltimore had been red hot at the plate before getting shut down (but winning the game 1-0) yesterday. In fact, the over is still 14-3-1 their last 18 games even after yesterday's surprising. Baltimore has scored an average of 5.3 runs per game last 15 games. The Rays just got shut down by the Yankees in a series in the Bronx but will bounce back here against much weaker pitching. Yes they did not happen yesterday but they will get to Kyle Bradish today. In fact, I don't care who the starting pitchers are here as I like the way these teams had been swinging the bats (the series in New York will prove to be an aberration for Tampa Bay) plus the Orioles bullpen has had its share of struggles. I will mention however that the expected starter for Tampa Bay here is Jeffrey Springs and he has been hot but the Orioles getting another look at him in a starting situation will help and their lineup has been hot. Bradish is the scheduled starter for the Orioles and he is 1-4 with a 6.86 ERA this season and the Rays should pound the rookie at the plate as he has struggled over his last 5 starts and that included an outing versus TB. No matter the starting pitching match-up here, the lineups are the story in this afternoon match-up. 10* OVER 8 in Baltimore |
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06-17-22 | Winnipeg v. Ottawa OVER 45.5 | Top | 19-12 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 51 m | Show |
CFL Friday 10* Top Play OVER 45.5 in Ottawa Redblacks vs Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ 7:30 ET - These teams just met last week in the season opener and Ottawa gave Winnipeg all they could handle. However, the Redblacks managed just 17 points despite new QB Masoli throwing for 380 yards. The way I see the rematch playing out in Ottawa is that the hosts will again pile up big yardage but this time the points will match it. However, can you really doubt the defending champion Blue Bombers here? I don't think so and I absolutely feel this one turns into a back and forth high-scoring affair. Instead of a 19-17 final look for a 30-27 type game but as to who the winner is it looks like another tight finish in my book. That said, over is the play. 10* OVER 45.5 in Ottawa |
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06-17-22 | Rays v. Orioles OVER 8.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -114 | 9 h 26 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Friday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays @ 6:05 ET - After getting shut down by Manoah of the Blue Jays Monday, Baltimore bounced right back in a 6-5 win Tuesday and a 7-6 extra innings hit-fest loss Wednesday was followed by a 10-2 win yesterday at Toronto. This comes as no surprise as they have been feeling it right now at the plate. As we have seen with the Phillies recent hot streak, hitting is contagious. The Orioles won 10-7 Sunday at Kansas City too and the over is now 14-2-1 their last 17 games after yesterday's blowout win flew over the total. Baltimore has scored an average of 5.6 runs per game last 14 games. The Rays just got shut down by the Yankees in a series in the Bronx but will bounce back here against much weaker pitching. I don't care who the starting pitchers are here as I like the way these teams are swinging the bats (the series in New York will prove to be an aberration for Tampa Bay) plus the Orioles bullpen has had its share of struggles. I will mention however that the expected starter for Tampa Bay here is Shane Baz and he struggled in his first start of 2022 last week. Dean Kremer is the scheduled starter for the Orioles and he is 2-9 with a 6.50 ERA in his MLB career. He has decent ERA in limited action this season but the damage could easily be worse based on how he actually performed on the mound and the Rays should pound him at the plate. No matter the starting pitching match-up here, the lineups are the story in this early evening match-up. 10* OVER 8.5 in Baltimore |
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06-16-22 | Warriors v. Celtics OVER 210 | Top | 103-90 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 40 m | Show |
NBA Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 210 in Boston Celtics vs Golden State Warriors @ 9 ET - The Warriors are now one step away from winning it all but you also know the Celtics are going to respond off B2B losses and now being back on their home floor. That said, I see no way this game does not find its way over the total. Golden State playing with so much confidence right now but Boston will ride a wave of emotion at home and score a ton of points in this one. Celtics had averaged 106.7 points per game at home in this playoffs before the Game 4 home loss in this series. Golden State averaging 112.3 points per game in the post-season. 10* OVER 210 in Boston |
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06-16-22 | Montreal v. Toronto OVER 49.5 | Top | 19-20 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 10 m | Show |
CFL Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 49.5 in Toronto Argonauts vs Montreal Alouettes @ 7:30 ET - Both meetings between these teams last season reached at least 53 points and now we have a total in the upper 40s for first match-up this season between these rivals. Keep in mind, scoring is expected to be up this season so this is a strong value. Montreal scored 27 points in week 1 despite 2 interceptions and turning the ball over 1 time on downs too. The Als issue this season, especially early on in my opinion, will be a defense with a lot of new faces. Toronto is also in the same boat in terms of a leaky defense in my opinion and though this is their first game of the new season I do expect the offense to do just fine. Rule changes are designed to help the offense this season and a match-up like this is conducive to offense. As we saw in Week 1 with two overs and two unders, you can not just blindly play overs that is for sure. But the scoring is expected to be up overall and this is the right match-up for another high-scoring game. 10* OVER 49.5 in Toronto |
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06-16-22 | Orioles v. Blue Jays OVER 8.5 | Top | 10-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles @ 3:07 ET - After getting shut down by Manoah of the Blue Jays Monday, Baltimore bounced right back in a 6-5 win Tuesday and a 7-6 extra inning loss Wednesday. This comes as no surprise as they have been feeling it right now at the plate. As we have seen with the Phillies recent hot streak, hitting is contagious. The Orioles won 10-7 Sunday at Kansas City and the over is now 13-2-1 their last 16 games after yesterday's tight loss went over the total. Baltimore has scored an average of 5.3 runs per game last 13 games. The Blue Jays, after yesterday's one-run win, have gone over the total in 13 of last 17 games and Toronto did score 6 runs on 11 hits in Sunday's big win that stayed under the total. I don't care who the starting pitchers are here as I like the way these teams are swinging the bats (Monday having proven to be an aberration for Baltimore) plus the Orioles bullpen has been worse on the road than at home and the Blue Jays bullpen has an ugly ERA north of 4.50 at home. I will mention however that the expected starter for Toronto here is Kevin Gausman. I know he has a solid starter and has some good numbers this season but he has been hit hard particularly at home (.305 BAA) and in day games (.292 BAA) and plus he may be guilty here of trying to overdo it against his former team and that will lead to overthrowing and missed location with pitchers. He spent many seasons with Baltimore and could be trying to do "too much" here. By the way, there have only been 9 unders in the last 32 meetings between these AL East foes. Tyler Wells is the scheduled starter for the Orioles. He has solid overall numbers but struggled badly in day games and also in away games so the red hot Blue Jays should pound him at the plate. Wells has a 4.80 ERA in away games and a 5.63 ERA in day games. No matter the starting pitching match-up here, the lineups are the story again this afternoon. 10* OVER 8.5 in Toronto |
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06-16-22 | Padres v. Cubs OVER 10.5 | Top | 6-4 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 31 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 10.5 in Chicago Cubs vs San Diego Padres @ 2:20 ET - Yes Joe Musgrove has fantastic numbers this season. Truly phenomenal numbers for Musgrove on the year for the Padres. However, wind blowing out and another wild game expected at Wrigley Field. Action on pitchers as this one is all about the weather and the recent hot hitting but will also mention that the starter for the Cubs is expected to be Matt Swarmer. In 3 starts spanning 17 innings, Swarmer has allowed 9 homers! Whoever is on the mound for Chicago will be facing a Padres team that has erupted for 31 runs the past two games in this series! The Cubs have scored 5 runs in each of past two games! In other words look for a wild and crazy afternoon affair at Wrigley today with the wind blowing out plus hot temperatures! 10* OVER 10.5 in Chicago Cubs |
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06-15-22 | Lightning +150 v. Avalanche | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 79 h 21 m | Show |
NHL Wednesday 10* Top Play Tampa Bay Lightning +150 @ Colorado Avalanche @ 8 ET - This one falls into the rest versus rust factor. You might be thinking it is great that the Avalanche swept the Oilers and are so well-rested here. However, this will be their first live game action in over a week and that will be tough on Colorado. Conversely, the Bolts have an ideal amount of rest entering this game. Yes Tampa Bay had to battle hard to get by the Rangers in 6 games after dropping the first two games of the series. However, the Lighting will enter this game having full off days Sunday and Monday and Tuesday. That, unlike what the Avs had, is an ideal amount of rest. It is enough to rest up but not so much that a team is rusty. Also, TB has more recently been in intense game action and winning all those tight low-scoring games could serve the Lightning well right off the bat here. These are two great teams here and I am certainly not saying that TB is going to get a 3-peat. Lets not get ahead of ourselves. We have to see how things play out as the series gets going. But the points is I do feel this is a huge situational edge for the Lightning entering this series and I feel they have a great shot to steal game one on the road. Getting a +150 price on a dog that is the 2x defending champ and enters this game having won 10 of 12 games...yes, I'll take it! 10* TAMPA BAY +150 |
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06-15-22 | Orioles v. Blue Jays OVER 9.5 | Top | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 15 h 38 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 9.5 in Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles @ 7:07 ET - After getting shut down by Manoah of the Blue Jays Monday, Baltimore bounced right back in a 6-5 win Tuesday which comes as no surprise as they have been feeling it right now at the plate. As we have seen with the Phillies recent hot streak, hitting is contagious. The Orioles won 10-7 Sunday at Kansas City and the over is now 12-2-1 their last 15 games after yesterday's tight win went over the total. Baltimore has scored an average of 5.3 runs per game last 12 games. The Blue Jays, after yesterday's one-run loss, have gone over the total in 12 of last 16 games and Toronto did score 6 runs on 11 hits in Sunday's big win that stayed under the total. I don't care who the starting pitchers are here as I like the way these teams are swinging the bats (Monday having proven to be an aberration for Baltimore) plus the Orioles bullpen has been worse on the road than at home and the Blue Jays bullpen has an ugly ERA north of 4.50 at home. I will mention however that the expected starter for Toronto here is Jose Berrios. I know he has some good numbers this season but he has struggled against left-handed hitters and he likely faces 4 of them in the Orioles lineup. Berrios also did struggle a bit the last time he hosted Baltimore. By the way, there have only been 9 unders in the last 31 meetings between these AL East foes. Bruce Zimmerman is the scheduled starter for the Orioles. He has struggled badly and so the Blue Jays should pound him at the plate. Zimmerman has a 6.89 ERA in away games and a 6.51 ERA in night games. No matter the starting pitching match-up here, the lineups are the story again tonight. 10* OVER 9.5 in Toronto |
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06-15-22 | Marlins v. Phillies -130 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 19 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Wednesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies -130 vs Miami Marlins @ 1:05 ET - Looks like Gibson is going to start for the Phillies and Lopez will be scratched for the Marlins with a wrist issue. Regardless of the starters here, I like the Phillies to bounce back after blowing an 8-4 lead in yesterday's game. After then regaining the lead at 9-8, the Phillies imploded in the top of the 9th and lost. They will bounce back here. They are at home where Gibson has been strong this season but, again, regardless of pitchers, I like Philadelphia here. The Marlins are still just 13-18 in road games this season. Also, the Phillies are 10-2 last dozen games. 10* PHILADELPHIA -130 |
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06-14-22 | Orioles v. Blue Jays OVER 9.5 | Top | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 15 h 2 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 9.5 in Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles @ 7:07 ET - Prior to getting shut down by Manoah of the Blue Jays yesterday, Baltimore had been feeling it right now at the plate. As we have seen with the Phillies recent hot streak, hitting is contagious. The Orioles won 10-7 Sunday at Kansas City and the over is now 11-2-1 their last 14 games after yesterday's blowout loss flew over the total. Baltimore has scored an average of 5.2 runs per game last 11 games. The Blue Jays, after yesterday's blowout win, have gone over the total in 11 of last 15 games and Toronto did score 6 runs on 11 hits in Sunday's big win that stayed under the total. I don't care who the starting pitchers are here as I like the way these teams are swinging the bats (yesterday will prove to be an aberration for Baltimore) plus the Orioles bullpen has been worse on the road than at home and the Blue Jays bullpen has an ugly ERA north of 4.50 at home. I will mention however that the expected starter for Toronto here is Jordan Lyles. The over is 2-0 in his last 2 starts and he has an 8.16 ERA in his last 3 outings and an ugly 6.69 ERA in his 7 road starts this season. There have only been 9 unders in the last 30 meetings between these AL East foes. Yusei Kikuchi is the scheduled starter for the Blue Jays. He has struggled badly and so the Orioles should bounce right back at the plate. Kikuchi has a 7.83 ERA last 3 starts and all have resulted in an over. No matter the starting pitching match-up here, the lineups are the story tonight. 10* OVER 9.5 in Toronto |
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06-14-22 | Pirates v. Cardinals OVER 9.5 | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 46 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 9.5 in St Louis Cardinals vs Pittsburgh Pirates @ 1:15 ET (Game 1 of 2) - This is first game of doubleheader and will be a hot afternoon game in St Louis with wind likely blowing out toward left center and I like the over no matter who the starting pitchers are in this game. Make this bet with action on the pitchers. The Pirates are expected to start Brubaker and he is 0-6 with a 4.60 ERA in his dozen starts this season. The Cardinals are expected to start Liberatore and he has been hit hard in 2 of his 3 starts this season and allowed 3 homers in most recent outing. None of his three starts have resulted in an under and the last two have been overs. I know that the Pirates are not known for offense but yesterday's 7-5 Cardinals win is a sign of things to come in this series. Neither team's bullpen has been particularly strong and the Cards have allowed 5.3 runs per game last 3 games and Pirates have allowed 7.3 runs per game last 3 games. 10* OVER 9.5 in St Louis (Game 1 of 2) |
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06-13-22 | Celtics +150 v. Warriors | Top | 94-104 | Loss | -100 | 33 h 47 m | Show |
NBA Monday 10* Top Play Boston Celtics Money Line +150 @ Golden State Warriors @ 9 ET - This is perfect spot for Celtics to grab another game in this series on the road. The Celtics are 8-3 SU in road games in the post-season plus are 7-3 SU last 10 versus the Warriors including a rock solid 4-1 SU last 5 at Golden State and you have the perfect set up for an upset here. No points needed. No team has won B2B games yet in this series and this should not be a huge surprise because both teams are so good at bouncing back off losses. The Warriors are now 8-0 SU when off a loss after bouncing back in the Game 4 win. As for the Celtics, they enter this game on a 9-0 / 100% SU run when entering a game off a loss. I know the Warriors were the better team in the 4th quarter of Game 4 but overall the Celtics have been an amazing 4th quarter team of late and I expect a big response here from Boston on the road. As noted above, they have been so strong on the road overall in this post-season and, again, they have also been phenomenal when off a loss. 9-0 last 9 and I am expecting the streak to reach 10 in a row so will go with the money line here. 10* BOSTON +150 |
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06-13-22 | Orioles v. Blue Jays OVER 8.5 | Top | 1-11 | Win | 100 | 16 h 43 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Monday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles @ 7:07 ET - I am upset with myself that I chose an NL total for my big play yesterday instead of again riding the Orioles as they continue to trend over. That turned what could have been a 2-1 day into a 1-2 day and I will not make the same mistake today. I know Manoah has pitched very well for the Blue Jays but Baltimore is feeling it right now at the plate. As we have seen with the Phillies recent hot streak, hitting is contagious. The Orioles won 10-7 yesterday and the over is now 10-2-1 their last 13 games. Baltimore has scored an average of 5.6 runs per game last 10 games. The Blue Jays, despite an under yesterday, have gone over the total in 10 of last 14 games and Toronto did score 6 runs on 11 hits in yesterday's big win. I don't care who the starting pitchers are here as I like the way these teams are swinging the bats plus the Orioles bullpen has been worse on the road than at home and the Blue Jays bullpen has an ugly 4.68 ERA at home. I will mention however that the expected starter for Toronto here is Kyle Bradish. The over is 3-0 in his last 3 starts and he has an 8.17 ERA in those outings and an ugly 6.45 ERA in his 8 starts this season. There have only been 9 unders in the last 29 meetings between these AL East foes. We get a low total because Mahoah is the scheduled starter for the Blue Jays. Over his last 3 starts he had one with a 1.50 WHIP, one at home in which he allowed 3 earned runs, and his start before that he allowed 2 homers. In other words, he has been solid but not unhittable. No matter the starting pitching match-up here, the lineups stay red hot. 10* OVER 8.5 in Toronto |
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06-12-22 | Brewers v. Nationals OVER 9.5 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 2 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 9.5 in Washington Nationals vs Milwaukee Brewers @ 1:35 ET - The Nationals won 8-6 yesterday. It was yet another high-scoring game for Washington and the over is now 6-2 last 8 in Nats games. Milwaukee is expected to start Jason Alexander here. I know he has solid numbers in limited action thus far this season but he was very fortunate last start as he walked 2 and gave up 7 hits for 9 baserunners in 5 innings yet he allowed only 1 earned run. Alexander's good fortune runs out here as the Nationals have scored an average of 8 runs per game last 6 home games! Overall the over is 14-6 last 20 Washington games. The Brewers are not known for high-scoring games yet the over is on an 11-4 run last 15 games after yet another high-scoring loss yesterday. Milwaukee should enjoy plenty of success at the plate as whether it is Lee who gets the start or Espino, neither has been a starter long-term this season. Espino has been working out of the pen and Evan Lee is a rookie. No matter the starting pitchers here, I am playing the over as both bullpens have been shaky of late and the recent over trending for both these clubs fully supports this play as well. 10* OVER 9.5 in Washington |
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06-12-22 | A's v. Guardians OVER 7.5 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 44 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 7.5 in Cleveland Guardians vs Oakland A's @ 11:35 AM ET - Sometimes all it takes is one to get a team going. The A's had been struggling to score runs and had been mired in a losing streak but I look for yesterday's 10-5 win to give them a jolt and get them going again at the plate. At the same time, I do expect the Guardians to respond here at home. That is why I like the over here no matter who the pitchers are. Cleveland is 9-3 last 12 games and has scored an average of 5 runs in these dozen games. The A's are expected to start lefty Cole Irvin and the Guardians have had just 6 unders in last 18 games versus a southpaw starter. Oakland enters this game with just 2 unders last 9 games. Cleveland expected to start Cal Quantrill and he allowed 2 homers in most recent start as did Irvin. Regardless of starting pitchers here I like taking advantage of the low total here in this early day game Sunday given the situation being absolutely conducive to a high-scoring game in my opinion. 10* OVER 7.5 in Cleveland |
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06-11-22 | Edmonton Elks v. BC OVER 48 | Top | 15-59 | Win | 100 | 19 h 41 m | Show |
CFL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 48 in BC Lions vs Edmonton Elks @ 10 ET - These teams are both coming off rough seasons and it had a lot to do with not being able to stop the opposition. Note that the BC Lions allowed 25 points per game last season and Elks allowed 27 points per game! Couple that with the fact that some rule changes were made coming into this season that are supposed to improve point production plus the fact that Edmonton wants to play fast and you have a great set up for an over here. The Elks and Lions both want to be very aggressive in the passing attack and that emphasis should help lead to a shootout here. Each team has some unproven areas defensively and I expect the quarterbacks to be successful in attacking those weaknesses. Look for an absolute shootout with a raucous atmosphere at BC Place in Vancouver for this one. Huge crowd expected and an electric atmosphere. Big scoring rules the night in this one. 10* OVER 48 in BC |
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06-11-22 | Rangers +167 v. Lightning | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 14 m | Show |
NHL Saturday 10* Top Play New York Rangers Money Line +167 @ Tampa Bay Lightning @ 8 ET - As long-time followers know I am a contrarian. Everyone will be lining up on Tampa Bay here to close this series out. However, the Rangers have been "right there" with the Lightning throughout this series and this is a tremendous value spot for New York getting huge plus money on the money line. Yes the home team had dominated this series but that ended when the Bolts scored late in Game 5 to steal a game on the road. Look for a similar result here as now it is the Rangers turn to steal one and that will set us up for an incredible Game 7 which is exactly what this hard-fought series deserves. New York has been a fantastic team all season long when off B2B losses and now they've lost 3 straight for just the 3rd time this season. Note: the Rangers have NOT lost 4 straight this entire season! That trend continues here as the big road dog staves off elimination. 10* NEW YORK RANGERS +167 |
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06-11-22 | Orioles v. Royals OVER 9.5 | Top | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 33 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Friday 10* Top Play OVER 9.5 in Kansas City Royals vs Baltimore Orioles @ 4:10 ET - The Orioles have gone over the total to the tune of 8-2-1 last 11 games despite yesterday's 8-1 loss staying just under the total of 9.5 runs! Regardless of who the starting pitchers are here on Saturday I like the over. The fact each team reached double digits in hits Thursday is a good sign the lineups are in sync right now. The Orioles struggled at the plate yesterday but will bounce right back today. The Royals now have scored at least 7 runs in 3 straight games to get back on track and the Orioles have one shutout win last 11 games but have allowed an average of 6 runs per game the other 10 games. Baltimore has one shutout loss the last 10 games but has averaged scoring 5 runs per game the other 9 games. The Orioles are expected to start Tyler Wells here and he is off a road win but Baltimore was 0-5 in his road starts prior to that one this season and he had an ERA of 5+ on the road prior to that rare strong effort! Kansas City is expected to start Daniel Lynch and the Royals are 1-3 in his 4 home starts this season. Lynch has struggled and has an unimpressive 1.54 WHIP as a starter this season plus an 8.40 ERA last 3 starts. The Orioles bullpen has been worse on the road than at home. The Royals bullpen has a 5.38 ERA in home games this season. 10* OVER 9.5 in Kansas City |
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06-10-22 | Warriors +4 v. Celtics | Top | 107-97 | Win | 100 | 19 h 23 m | Show |
NBA Friday 10* Top Play Golden State Warriors +4 @ Boston Celtics @ 9 ET - The Warriors are 6-0 the last 6 times when off a loss. That is 6-0 SU / 100% PERFECT! That said, the fact we get an added 4 points here with underdog Golden State is simply a bonus! I do expect GS to win outright but will grab the points as added insurance. The Warriors led the first game by 12 after 3 quarters and the second game by 21 after 3 quarters and they only trailed the third game by 4 after 3 quarters. The point is that the Warriors could just as easy be up 3-0 in this series rather than down 2-1. Give credit to the Celtics for their resilience and their ability to come up strong in 4th quarters. However, I look for the Warriors - with their backs against the wall - to absolutely come up big in this one. They should improve to 7-0 SU / 100% PERFECT last 7 times when off a loss but I will grab the points here as I feel this is an excellent line value that could prove well worth it in the event Boston prevails by a very slim margin. 10* GOLDEN STATE +4 |
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06-10-22 | Ottawa +9.5 v. Winnipeg | Top | 17-19 | Win | 100 | 18 h 56 m | Show |
CFL Friday 10* Top Play Ottawa Redblacks +9.5 @ Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ 8:30 ET - Early in the season it is tough to just come in and right away start blowing out teams by a double digit margin. That task becomes even tougher when you are the defending champs and everyone is gunning for you. That tasks becomes even tougher yet when you are facing a star QB that has revenge against you. Yes, Jeremiah Masoli is formerly with Hamilton and now with Ottawa. The Redblacks are off a 3-11 season but are totally rebuilt team and that includes much more than just Masoli. A stronger offensive line, good weapons on offense, a rebuilt defense. Ottawa is not going to be a dominant force this season but they are much better than they were last season and Winnipeg will have its hands full here. Yes the Blue Bombers are a great team but they will struggle to win this game by more than a margin of one possession. The Redblacks are hungry and Masoli wants revenge and, as you know, the QB position is key in the pass-happy CFL. Look for the big dogs to stay inside the number here. 10* OTTAWA +9.5 |
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06-10-22 | Orioles v. Royals OVER 9.5 | Top | 1-8 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 53 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Friday 10* Top Play OVER 9.5 in Kansas City Royals vs Baltimore Orioles @ 8:10 ET - The Orioles have gone over the total to the tune of 8-1-1 last 10 games! Regardless of who the starting pitchers are here I like the over. The fact each team reached double digits in hits yesterday is a good sign the lineups are in sync right now. The Royals now have scored at least 7 runs in B2B games to get back on track and the Orioles have one shutout win last 10 games but have allowed an average of 6 runs per game the other 9 games. Baltimore has one shutout loss the last 9 games but has averaged scoring 6 runs per game the other 8 games. The Orioles are expected to start Bruce Zimmermann here and he has an 8.44 ERA last 3 starts and has allowed an incredible 9 homers in his last 2 road starts! Kansas City is expected to start Jon Heasley and the Royals are 0-5 in his 5 starts this season. Heasley has been okay but has an unimpressive 1.70 WHIP and 4.62 ERA as a starter this season. The Orioles bullpen has been worse on the road than at home. The Royals bullpen has a 5.52 ERA in home games this season. 10* OVER 9.5 in Kansas City |
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06-09-22 | Montreal v. Calgary -3.5 | Top | 27-30 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 59 m | Show |
CFL Thursday 10* Top Play Calgary Stampeders -3.5 vs Montreal Alouettes @ 9 ET - The Alouettes are off a 7-7 season but were the only team to get bounced by a double digit margin in any of the post-season games last year. Montreal also went just 2-4 against West Division opponents last season and that means they are now 8-18 the last 3 seasons combined when facing teams from the West. I know the Stampeders disappointed last season but they lost in OT in first round of the playoffs and this Calgary team is hell-bent on a much stronger performance this season. Look for them to come into the new year and, especially this season opener at home, with a chip on their shoulder. The Stamps were 98-26-2 the last 7 seasons prior to last year's disappointing 8-6 result. This has been the class of the CFL for the past decade in terms of consistent results year in and year out and I do not trust the Montreal defense early in the season as they have a lot of question marks there in my opinion. That said, the better D, the long-term more consistent team, the motivational edge, and the home field edge - all of this adds up to a solid home win and cover in my opinion. 10* CALGARY -3.5 |
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06-09-22 | Lightning v. Rangers +113 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 53 m | Show |
NHL Thursday 10* Top Play New York Rangers Money Line +115 vs Tampa Bay Lightning @ 8:15 ET - The Rangers are 8-0 last 8 home games in this post-season. The home team is a perfect 4-0 so far in this series after Tampa Bay won both games on their home ice to even this series up at 2 games apiece. New York is a different team and Shesterkin seemingly a different goalie when at Madison Square Garden. The home team is 6-0 in Tampa Bay's last 6 games in this post-season. Look for all these 100% perfect home team streaks to continue here. There is just too much value to pass up on here given these streaks and the fact that it is hard to win the Stanley Cup two times in a row...let alone 3 times! That said, I still feel the Rangers are going to find a way to win this series and to do so tonight's game is critical. I just don't see the Lightning getting a shot at the 3-peat and so, again, this Game 5 is critical and the hosts prevail. 10* NEW YORK RANGERS +115 |
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06-09-22 | Rockies v. Giants OVER 8 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 25 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 8 in San Francisco Giants vs Colorado Rockies @ 3:45 ET - I know yesterday's game was tight and low-scoring and decided in extra innings but that is merely serving to give us even more line value here. This one should fly over the total regardless of the starting pitchers. The Rockies bullpen has struggled on the road this season. The Giants bullpen has struggled at home this season. I will mention that Colorado is expected to start Austin Gomber here and he is 0-3 with a 12.83 ERA last 3 starts. Also, in his career against the Giants, Gomber is 0-4 with a 10.91 ERA. San Francisco is expected to start Logan Webb in this one. He gave up 4 earned runs in less than 5 innings in most recent start. Also, prior to that outing he allowed 3 homers in the preceding start. The over is 14-8 in Rockies day games this season and 16-9 in Giants home games this season. More of the same expected here. 10* OVER 8 in San Francisco |
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06-09-22 | Diamondbacks v. Reds OVER 9.5 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -117 | 4 h 20 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Thursday 9* Top Play OVER 9.5 in Cincinnati Reds vs Arizona Diamondbacks @ 12:35 ET - The Reds got shutout yesterday but were on a 7-5 run prior to that and scored an average of 6.8 runs per game during this stretch. The Diamondbacks got the 7-0 win yesterday and have now scored 6 or more runs in 5 of last 9 games. The above is the reason I like the over no matter who pitches here and that is particularly true because Arizona's bullpen has struggled on the road and the Reds bullpen has struggled at home. As for the expected starting pitchers here, note that the over is 10-2 in the dozen starts made my Cincinnati's Tyler Mahle. Also, the Diamondbacks Zach Davies is off a strong start but that came against the low-scoring Pirates and he had a 7.00 ERA over two starts heading into that one versus Pittsburgh. 10* OVER 9.5 in Cincinnati |
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06-08-22 | Warriors v. Celtics OVER 212 | Top | 100-116 | Win | 100 | 19 h 11 m | Show |
NBA Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 212 in Boston Celtics vs Golden State Warriors @ 9 ET - The Warriors have scored an average of 113 points per game last 8 games. The Celtics have scored an average of 116 points per game the last 8 times they have entered a game off a loss. I feel certain that Boston is going to respond on their home floor after an embarrassing effort on the road Sunday in which they scored just 88 points. However, I also feel certain that Golden State is going to continue piling up points. The result should be an easy over here and I like the fact that this total dropped a little from its opener which is serving to give us even more line value here. Each of the last two meetings between these teams in Boston have gone over the total and the games averaged 225.5 points apiece. That said, it comes as no surprise that my forecast models are reflecting this one getting to at least 220 points just like saw in Game 1 of this series which totaled 228 points. A ton of line value here. 10* OVER 212 in Boston |
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06-08-22 | Tigers v. Pirates OVER 8 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 29 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 8 in Pittsburgh Pirates vs Detroit Tigers @ 12:35 ET - Regardless of pitchers I like the over here on a warm afternoon in Pittsburgh with a light southerly breeze expected. Yesterday's game went over the total and I look for today's to do the same. The Pirates are expected to start Mitch Keller and he has struggled badly with a 6.21 ERA on the season and only 1 of his 4 home starts have resulted in an under this season. Keller allowed 10 hits in just 5 innings when he most recently faced Detroit in September. The Tigers are expected to start Alex Faedo and he does have good numbers this season. However, coming into this year most of all his experience was at the AA level of the minors or lower. That said, I feel he might struggle in this spot as this is the first time a team is hosting him in his 2nd appearance against them. He gave up 8 hits in 5 innings versus the Pirates earlier this season and that was at Detroit. Now they get a second look at him and it is in Pittsburgh too! Regardless of pitchers, again my play is action, look for the sticks to get it done here. The Pirates have won 7 of 11 and scored an average of 4.7 runs per game during this stretch. The Tigers struggled recently against the Yankees but in their 7 games since late May against teams not named the Yankees they have gone 6-1 and averaged scoring 4 runs per game. This is just one of those games I would not be surprised to see each team get to at least 4 runs and that means we get to at least a 5-4 ball game! 10* OVER 8 in Pittsburgh |
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06-07-22 | Rangers +156 v. Lightning | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 21 m | Show |
NHL Tuesday 10* Top Play New York Rangers +155 @ Tampa Bay Lightning @ 8 ET - This is just too much value to pass up on. The Rangers are 5-2 the last 7 times when off a loss. Yes the Lightning did outshoot them heavily in the Game 3 win but New York still had plenty of chances to win that game and fell just short when Tampa Bay scored a goal in the final minute. That said, when you can take a scrappy team like the Rangers off a loss and knowing they had more than a punchers chance Sunday in a must-win game for the Bolts...I will take it every single time. The defending champs simply over-valued here. Keep in mind, Rangers had won 6 of last 7 meetings between these teams before coming up short in Game 3. I will grab the big dog here without hesitation. 10* NEW YORK RANGERS money line +155 |
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06-07-22 | Rangers v. Guardians OVER 8 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 14 h 44 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 8 in Cleveland Guardians vs Texas Rangers @ 3:10 ET (Game 1 of 2) - This play is on game one of the double header and is regardless of who the pitchers are. Yesterday's game was rained out and the hope is that the rain has moved out of the area by the time this one is scheduled to go. There have only been 2 unders in 6 road starts for Jon Gray this season. He has a 5.40 ERA away from home. Cal Quantrill has some solid numbers this season but now is facing a Rangers team that has won 4 of last 5 road games and scored an average of 7 runs per game during that hot streak away from home. The Guardians have won 6 of 8 games and have scored an average of 6 runs per victory and certainly will have plenty of confidence here against Texas. This total simply too low given all of the above. 10* OVER 8 in Cleveland (Game 1 of 2) |
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06-06-22 | Blue Jays v. Royals OVER 9 | Top | 8-0 | Loss | -120 | 19 h 1 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Monday 10* Top Play OVER 9 or 9.5 in Kansas City Royals vs Toronto Blue Jays @ 8:10 ET - The Blue Jays and Royals are each off high-scoring defeats yesterday. This continued recent trending for these teams as the over is on an 11-1 run in Toronto's games including 8 in a row! I am happy to test that 8-0 run right here. Also, the Royals are on a 3-13 run in large part due to poor pitching and their bullpen continues to struggle. That is why regardless of who pitches here I like the over as Kansas City is on a 12-4 run to the over. So both teams trending over and both teams battling hard here after high-scoring losses yesterday. Keep in mind the Jays had won 9 of 10 and scored an average of 7.1 runs per game in the 10-game stretch prior to yesterday's loss. Toronto sends Stripling to the mound and he has struggled in his two road starts this season. The Royals send Lynch to the mound and he is winless with an 8.31 ERA in his last 3 starts. Look for he and the KC bullpen to struggle and the over in Toronto games improves to 9-0 / 100% perfect last 9 games. 10* OVER 9 or 9.5 in Kansas City |
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06-05-22 | Celtics +4.5 v. Warriors | Top | 88-107 | Loss | -110 | 67 h 17 m | Show |
NBA Sunday 10* Top Play Boston Celtics +4.5 @ Golden State Warriors Sunday @ 8 PM ET - The whole world will likely line up on Golden State here. In fact this line could drive up even higher but I am getting the early jump here with a solid 4.5 soon after Game 1 of this series finished. I know the expectation is that the Warriors bounce back but that is hard to trust. They just outscored 40-16 in the 4th quarter of a game on their home floor in which they also were the more rested team. The news gets even worse for Golden State. Steph Curry had a huge Game 1 with 34 points and nailing 7 of 14 threes while Celtics start Jayson Tatum had just 12 points on 3 for 17 shooting. Stop and think about that for a minute. Should be easy GS win given those numbers. Yet the Celtics won the game by double digits. Not only that, the two days off in between games also means that Boston can hit the reset button and comfortably relax. All the pressure here is on the Warriors and they wish they could take the floor right away on Friday to make up for the debacle. This situation is perfect for a rested and relaxed Celtics team to steal Game 2 as well but will grab the points this time just in case the Warriors find a way to steal it late. Took the money line in Game 1 but more points are available in Game 2 and given the situation that is the best value as I will gladly challenge a Golden State team questioning itself to win this game by at least 5 points. The road dogs loaded with confidence now. 10* BOSTON +4.5 |
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06-05-22 | Rangers v. Lightning OVER 5.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 30 m | Show |
NHL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 5.5 in Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Rangers @ 3 ET - The Rangers have scored 9 goals so far in this series. The first game totaled 8 goals and the second game finished a 3-2 Rangers win that was very close to going over the total of 5.5 goals. I feel we'll get it here as the Bolts respond at home and NY goalie Shesterkin known for being stronger at home than on the road. As good as TB goalie Vasilevskiy is, he has had some struggles with this Rangers team and New York continues coming in waves. The Rangers will be very aggressive here as they are already up 2-0 in the series so getting a win down in Tampa Bay will simply be a bonus at this point. Especially here in Game 3, the Rangers will be loose and relaxed but I look for the Bolts to be in full on attack mode too in this one as it is a must win and they will be aggressive on home ice. 10* OVER 5.5 in Tampa Bay |
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06-05-22 | Tigers v. Yankees OVER 8.5 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in New York Yankees vs Detroit Tigers @ 11:35 AM ET - This is a contrarian play because the Tigers have been scoring so poorly this season and are off B2B shutout losses to the Yankees and managed just 1 hit in yesterday's loss! Regardless of the pitching match-up here I like the over as I have a gut feeling Detroit gets their sticks going in this day game situation at hitter-friendly Yankee Stadium. Also I am fully expecting the streaking Yankees to stay hot but now I will also mention the starting pitchers that are expected for this one. Note that Jordan Montgomery is off to a great start this season but it is not even the mid-way point of this season yet. Last year he went 0-4 with a 5.25 ERA in his dozen day game starts! As for Rony Garcia, he has an 8.00 ERA in his two starts thus far and will be facing a Yankees team that has won 9 of 11 games and scored an average of 5.8 runs per game in those 9 victories. The Tigers are 3-1 the last 4 times they have been on the road entering a game on a losing streak of at least 2 games. Detroit scored an average of 4.7 runs per game in those 3 victories. More of the same expected here but the Yankees stay hot. The result? Plenty of runs. 10* OVER 8.5 in New York Yankees |
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06-04-22 | Avalanche v. Oilers +116 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 37 m | Show |
NHL Saturday 10* Edmonton Oilers Money Line +115 vs Colorado Avalanche @ 8 ET - The Oilers just got trounced 4-0 in game two of this series after a valiant comeback effort in game one of this series fell short in an 8-6 loss. The home team has now won each of the last 3 meetings between these teams and I look for that trend to continue here. The home loss before these 3 straight wins was an Oilers 2-1 loss in Edmonton but the hosts outshot the Avalanche 50 to 34 in that game. Edmonton is 6-1 the last 7 times they have entered a game off B2B losses. I just don't see the Oilers laying down and especially on home ice where they have won 18 of last 21 games! 10* EDMONTON |
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06-03-22 | Lightning v. Rangers +116 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 116 | 18 h 30 m | Show |
NHL Friday 10* Top Play New York Rangers Money Line +115 vs Tampa Bay Lightning @ 8 ET - As mentioned in my Game 1 write-up on this series, this is another nice home dog situation here. Yes the Bolts are the 2x defending cup champs but they also have now lost 5 of last 6 versus Rangers. This New York team is better than many realize and they also will take advantage of a Lightning team still likely to be without Brayden Point. The Rangers getting such strong goaltending and that is what is needed to counteract a TB team that also gets such great goalie work from Vasilevskiy who also faltered a bit in Game 1 as it was a 6-2 loss for the Bolts. Look for Shesterkin to again help lead the way to an upset win here. As I mentioned before, heading into this series, just more impressed with the Rangers knocking off the Pens and the Canes moreso than Tampa beating Leafs and Panthers teams known for playoff failures. Also, the Rangers have won 7 straight home games and I am happy to test that 7-0 run with an undervalued home dog once again Friday. 10* NEW YORK RANGERS +115 |
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06-03-22 | Twins v. Blue Jays OVER 9.5 | Top | 9-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 2 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Friday 10* Top Play OVER 9.5 in Toronto Blue Jays vs Minnesota Twins @ 7:07 ET - The Twins are expected to start Chi Chi Gonzalez. He is being called up from the minors for this start. Gonzalez is an MLB veteran whom has a 5.64 ERA at the MLB level. I think he will struggle here against a Blue Jays lineup that has been tearing it up as Toronto has won 8 straight games and scored an average of 7 runs per game in the 8 victories. The Twins had been on an 11-2 run to the over before 3 straight losses. Minnesota scored an average of 6 runs per game during that 13-game stretch and I expect them to get back on track here. The Twins should enjoy success against Kikuchi as the Jays southpaw allowed 9 hits in just 5 innings in most recent start. The over is on an 8-1 run in last 9 Blue Jays games and no matter who the pitchers are in this one it looks like it should be a solid over. The Twins bats bounce back and the hosts sticks stay red hot. 10* OVER 9.5 in Toronto |
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06-02-22 | Celtics +145 v. Warriors | Top | 120-108 | Win | 145 | 43 h 1 m | Show |
NBA Thursday 10* Top Play Boston Celtics Money Line +145 @ Golden State Warriors @ 9 ET - This is perfect spot for Celtics to steal one of the first two games of this series on the road. The rest versus rust factor is a key. Boston has had a little bit of rest since their hard-fought series win over Miami. I feel the amount of rest is ideal and Celtics will still have good game flow here. As for the Warriors, they have been off for about a week. That is certainly at the point of being too much rest and when the rest can turn into rust as noted above. Couple that with the fact that the Celtics are 7-2 SU in road games in the post-season plus are 5-1 SU last 6 versus the Warriors including a perfect 3-0 SU last 3 at Golden State and you have the perfect set up for an upset here. No points needed. 10* BOSTON +145 |
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06-02-22 | Oilers +165 v. Avalanche | Top | 0-4 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 11 m | Show |
NHL Thursday 10* Top Play Edmonton Oilers +165 @ Colorado Avalanche @ 8 ET - The Oilers got down huge early in Game 1 but rallied back and also got strong goaltending from Koskinen when he came in for Smith. Conversely, the Avalanche had some soft goaltending from Francouz when he relieved Kuemper. Also, Kuemper may be out for this game. Either way I like Edmonton here. I have all the respect in the world for the Avalanche but this Oilers team continues to be undervalued. Remember that in the prior round against the Flames, the Oilers were getting hammered but rallied for a tight loss to Calgary. That ended up being their only loss in the series. Now I am absolutely not saying that is happening here. But what I am saying is that I do expect Edmonton to again carry momentum from a Game 1 loss in which they rallied right into a Game 2 victory. This Oilers team turned the tables on the Avs as Tuesday's game went on and they can do it again here. Too much big money line value to pass up on in this one. 10* EDMONTON +165 |
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06-02-22 | Nationals v. Reds OVER 9.5 | Top | 1-8 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 4 m | Show |
MLB Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 9.5 in Cincinnati Reds vs Washington Nationals @ 6:40 ET - The Reds starting Ashcraft. I know he has some decent numbers but he is not getting many strikeouts. That said, balls put into play in Cincinnati can certainly be dangerous! In fact, that is a big reason the over is 15-6 in Reds home games this season. By the way the over is 15-7 in Nationals road games this season. Washington will be starting Adon here and he is 1-8 with a 6.08 ERA on the season. Cincinnati is averaging scoring 6 runs per game when at home this season. Nationals averaging scoring 5 runs per game when on the road this season. Both teams off low-scoring losses yesterday but this is now the perfect situation for the bats to come right back to life. The Nats off B2B shutout losses but this was after scoring an average of 6.6 runs per game the 5 prior games. The Reds scored an average of 6.3 runs per game on their last homestand - 7 games. 10* OVER 9.5 in Cincinnati |
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06-01-22 | Lightning v. Rangers +118 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 118 | 17 h 6 m | Show |
NHL Wednesday 10* Top Play New York Rangers Money Line +115 vs Tampa Bay Lightning @ 8 ET - Another nice home dog situation here. Yes the Bolts are the 2x defending cup champs but they are also have lost 4 of last 5 versus Rangers. This New York team is better than many realize and they also will take advantage of a Lightning team still likely to be without Brayden Point. The Rangers getting such strong goaltending and that is what is needed to counteract a TB team that also gets such great goalie work from Vasilevskiy. Look for Shesterkin to help lead the way to an upset win here. Just more impressed with the Rangers knocking off the Pens and the Canes moreso than Tampa beating Leafs and Panthers teams so known for playoff failures. Also, the Rangers have won 6 straight home games and I also feel the long layoff for Tampa Bay will hurt them here as thsi will be their first game in over a week. 10* NEW YORK RANGERS +115 |
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06-01-22 | Mariners v. Orioles OVER 8.5 | Top | 2-9 | Win | 100 | 14 h 40 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Baltimore Orioles vs Seattle Mariners @ 7:05 ET - We get line value here because the Mariners have Ray on the mound for this one. The Seattle southpaw has been piling up strikeouts but the carries a certain reputation with the betting markets due to long-term success through the years but he has a 6.00 ERA in his last 3 starts and has a 5.64 ERA on the road this season. As for Baltimore starter Bradish, it does not get much worse than his current run of form. Bradish has a 7.31 ERA in his 6 starts this season plus he has an 11.92 ERA in his last 3 starts overall. The Mariners are off a 10-0 win and have scored at least 5 runs in 5 of last 7 games. The over is on a 4-1 run last 5 Orioles games and they scored 10 runs in the game before yesterday's 10-0 loss. Baltimore averaged 5.7 runs per game last dozen games before the shutout loss yesterday. The O's get their sticks going in this one but can't stop the Mariners either as Seattle's surge continues against Bradish or anyone else that the Orioles have on the mound in this one. 10* OVER 8.5 in Baltimore |
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06-01-22 | Giants v. Phillies -115 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 14 h 38 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Wednesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Money Line -115 vs San Francisco Giants @ 6:05 ET - The Phillies are in a losing stretch but that is helping to keep this line lower than it should be. The fact is the pitching match-up is likely to be Nola versus Rodon and that gives the Phillies a huge edge here. Nola is known for being so strong at home. No matter who pitches here I like the Phillies to bounce back off 3 straight extra innings losses! As for the pitchers, Rodon has struggled in his last 3 starts overall and has been particularly hit hard in the road outings. As for Nola, he has a 3.05 ERA last 3 starts and has been piling up the strikeouts. Value with the under-valued home favorite in this match-up. Lay the small price. 10* PHILADELPHIA -115 |
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05-31-22 | Oilers +163 v. Avalanche | Top | 6-8 | Loss | -100 | 20 h 35 m | Show |
NHL Tuesday 10* Top Play Edmonton Oilers Money Line +160 @ Colorado Avalanche @ 8 ET - I have a ton of respect for Colorado but feel the Oilers could steal game one of this series on the road before some adjustments are made. Edmonton has shown a lot of resilience to get here. Remember they suffered the OT heart-breaker versus the Kings in Alberta to fall behind 3-2 in the series and then had to go on the road to win Game 6 before winning Game 7 again home ice. Then they dropped Game 1 of their series at Calgary only to battle back and win 4 straight games over a very strong Flames team. That said, I am more impressed with the Oilers than the fact the Avs got by the Predators and then a Blues team that I think they should have destroyed but they did not. The key point being that the value is off the charts here as Edmonton is much stronger than many realize while everyone knows the Avalanche are so talented and hence we have seen a line move in a strong way toward Colorado in the opener. I am happy to invest in the value on the other side as the Oilers are 4-2 on enemy ice in this post-season and the road team has won 7 of last 8 Avs games! 10* EDMONTON +160 |
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05-31-22 | Angels v. Yankees OVER 8.5 | Top | 1-9 | Win | 100 | 16 h 14 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in New York Yankees vs Los Angeles Angels @ 7:05 ET - Yankees have trended under recently but they still have a hitter-friendly home park for sure. The runs will start coming again and we have a low total to work with here. Keep in mind, the Angels Syndergaard has a 5.93 ERA in his 3 road starts this season. Overall, his last 3 outings have featured 2 overs and a push. The over is also 2-0 in the last 2 starts for the Yankees Montgomery. The southpaw has his hands full here with a solid Angels lineup. The issue for Los Angeles will be a pitching staff that has allowed an average of 7 runs per game during their 5-game losing streak. That said, regardless of the pitchers here, look for both teams to score well in this one as the under has cashed in only 7 times in Angels 21 road games this season. 10* OVER 8.5 in New York Yankees |
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05-31-22 | Giants v. Phillies -122 | Top | 7-4 | Loss | -122 | 17 h 12 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Tuesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies -125 vs San Francisco Giants @ 6:45 ET - The Phillies are off frustrating B2B losses in extra innings and have now lost 4 straight games. That is noteworthy as Philadelphia is in this position now for the 3rd time this season. They have ended the losing streak each time so far and make it 3-0 today in my opinion. Regardless of who pitches I fully expect the Phillies to bounce back here so this is a play no matter what. I will however mention that Suarez gives us the edge over Junis. Suarez piling up the strikeouts again and should work deeper here against a Giants team that has not seen as much of him as other teams. As for Junis, his lone start against the Phillies was an ugly one and he certainly is not piling up the strikeouts like Suarez is. 10* PHILADELPHIA -125 |
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05-30-22 | Rangers +136 v. Hurricanes | Top | 6-2 | Win | 136 | 42 h 51 m | Show |
NHL Monday 10* Top Play New York Rangers Money Line +135 @ Carolina Hurricanes @ 8 ET - With the home team having won all 6 games in this series, there is certain to be favoritism from the betting markets toward the Hurricanes in this one. However, I feel strongly that that the fact the Rangers have taken 3 of the last 4 games in this series has much less to do with the home ice factor and much more to do with a goalie edge. New York has the edge between the pipes and that is particularly huge in a Game 7. That said, I am backing the road dog that is loaded with momentum and coming off another huge win in Game 6 Saturday. 10* NEW YORK RANGERS +135 |
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05-30-22 | Royals v. Guardians OVER 9 | Top | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 15 h 9 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Monday 10* Top Play OVER 9 in Cleveland Guardians vs Kansas City Royals @ 6:10 ET - The Royals got hammered 7-3 yesterday and that over brings the O/U run to 9-1 last 10 Kansas City games. The Guardians are off a 2-1 loss yesterday and have been trending toward unders. However, I like the over a ton here regardless of the starting pitchers as Cleveland bounces back at home and takes advantage of facing a Royals pitching staff that has allowed 6 or more runs in 8 of last 10 games. Kansas City also should hit well here no matter who is on the mound but I will mention that the expected starters here are Plesac and Heasley. Note that Cleveland's Plesac has a 6.88 ERA last 3 starts and all 3 of those outings resulted in overs. The O/U is 6-2 in Plesac starts this season. Heasley has 13 walks compared to 7 strikeouts in his 3 starts this season. He has a command issue to say the least. Again, regardless of pitchers, look for recent over trending in Royals games to continue here. 10* OVER 9 in Cleveland |
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05-30-22 | Brewers -110 v. Cubs | Top | 7-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 56 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Monday 10* Top Play Milwaukee Brewers Money Line -110 @ Chicago Cubs @ 1:05 ET (Game 1 of 2) - This match-up expected to feature a pair of rookie starters on the mound. I like this play regardless of who the pitchers are as the Cubs are just 7-15 at home this season. Chicago coming off a disappointing loss to White Sox as they gave up a run in the bottom of the 9th which forced extra innings and they lost in extra innings. The Brewers, on the other hand, are off a momentum-boosting 8-0 win at St Louis. Milwaukee has won 9 of 14 games while Cubs have lost 7 of 11. Also, as noted above, home field has been unkind so far this season for Chicago. Look for Brewers to get the road win and improve to 4-1 last 5 games versus the Cubs. 10* MILWAUKEE -110 |
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05-29-22 | Celtics v. Heat +123 | Top | 100-96 | Loss | -100 | 39 h 26 m | Show |
NBA Sunday 10* Top Play Miami Heat Money Line +125 vs Boston Celtics @ 8:30 ET - The Celtics continue to get a lot more respect than the Heat and this has resulted in line value here. Miami has been getting a lot of shots from the field but just was not shooting well at all and that allowed Boston to take a stranglehold on the series. However, with the Heat bouncing back in Game 6 thanks to Jimmy Butler proving to be Mr Clutch as he so often is, the value is with Miami on their home floor here. The Heat are getting healthier including Butler certainly looking 100 percent again and couple that with the home court and momentum edge here and I just do not see Miami being denied in this one. Tatum is a beast for the Celtics of course and they are a very strong team just like Miami and that is why this series is going 7 games. However, just can not see the ultra-competitive Butler being denied here as he and his teammates put it all together again for a big win on their home floor. Their confidence is back and better shooting will follow and they are at home here and, keep in mind, the Heat averaged 19 more shots from the field than the Celtics in the 3 games that preceded their big Game 6 road win. 10* MIAMI +125 |
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05-29-22 | Phillies +102 v. Mets | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 54 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Sunday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Money Line +102 @ New York Mets @ 7:08 ET - The Phillies are off B2B losses and the last 5 times they have entered a game off 2 or more consecutive losses they have gone 4-1. So I like the Phillies here to avoid the sweep no matter who the pitchers are. However, the expected starters are Wheeler and Bassitt and this gives the Phillies an edge. Wheeler is a former Met and has been very strong in his starts against them since going from New York to Philadelphia. Also, Bassitt is off a start in which he allowed 8 earned runs in 4 and 1 / 3 innings. He has now allowed 5 homers in his last two starts. To put that in perspective compared to Wheeler, note that the Phillies starter has allowed only 2 homers in 8 starts this season! In this divisional rivalry match-up look for the Phillies to get the road win and avoid the dreaded sweep at the hands of the first place team in the division. Note this is the 4th series between these teams already this season and neither has swept the other thus far. Look for that trend to remain intact when the final result rolls in on this game as well. 10* PHILADELPHIA +102 |
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05-29-22 | Giants v. Reds OVER 9 | Top | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 32 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 9 in Cincinnati Reds vs San Francisco Giants @ 11:35 AM ET - The Giants pounded out 12 hits yesterday but scored only 2 runs. Today they will make up for that. I like this play no matter who the pitchers are as the over is 14-6 in Reds games this season. However, I will mention the expected starting pitchers are Cobb and Mahle. That is noteworthy because the over is 6-1 in Cobb's starts and 8-2 in Mahle's starts this season. The fact Cobb has a 6.25 ERA on the season and Mahle has a 6.35 ERA in home starts this season only helps our cause here. Cincinnati has won 4 straight games and scored an average of 8 runs per game. The Giants are off B2B unders but this was after an 8-2 run to the over and I do like the fact they pounded out a dozen hits in yesterday's loss. 10* OVER 9 in Cincinnati |
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05-28-22 | Hurricanes v. Rangers -106 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 16 h 6 m | Show |
NHL Saturday 10* Top Play New York Rangers Money Line -105 vs Carolina Hurricanes @ 8 ET - The home team has won all 5 games in this series and long-term history is on our side here too as the Rangers have won 37 of 51 meetings between these franchises when they are a host. Not only is the home team 5-0 in this series, the Rangers are a perfect 4-0 the last 4 times they were on home ice and coming off a loss in prior game. That means we have a double perfect situation here and I am happy to test it! 10* NEW YORK RANGERS -105 |
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05-28-22 | Rangers v. A's OVER 7.5 | Top | 11-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 30 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 7.5 in Oakland Athletics vs Texas Rangers @ 4:07 ET - The Rangers are hot right now and have won 8 of 12 and are scoring well in those victories. I understand the low O/U here based on the fact that Texas has trended under on the road this season and the A's have trended under overall this season. However, this total seems far too low given the way Texas has been swinging the bats of late. Also, the A's should score well again here at home just like they did yesterday. I like this play regardless of the pitchers but I will mention that the Rangers Taylor Hearn has been hammered in each of his last two starts. Also, the same holds true for the Athletics Zach Logue. That said, we have plenty of value here with this one and I will go to my highest level on this play. 10* OVER 7.5 in Oakland |
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05-27-22 | Heat v. Celtics OVER 200.5 | Top | 111-103 | Win | 100 | 20 h 24 m | Show |
NBA Friday 10* Top Play OVER 200.5 in Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat @ 8:30 ET - Back to back unders but the Heat actually have averaged 92 shots from the field the last 3 games. The only reason the last two games have stayed under is because of horrible shooting from Miami which is highly improbable to continue here. At the same time, you know Boston is likely to stay hot. Celtics are at home where they are loaded with confidence. Boston has only had one poor game offensively in their last 8 home games. In the other 7 games, the Celtics have averaged 108.4 points per game as a host. Considering that plus the Heat facing elimination and likely to finally shoot at least a halfway respectable rate in this one we have great line value with this ultra low total. 10* OVER 200.5 in Boston |
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05-27-22 | Avalanche v. Blues OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -115 | 19 h 17 m | Show |
NHL Friday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in St Louis Blues vs Colorado Avalanche @ 8 ET - The Blues are down to their last chance here at home after surviving the same situation (a must win) Wednesday on the road at Colorado. As a result, I expect them to bring a huge effort on home ice. The problem for St Louis is that ever since they lost Binnington to injury, the goaltending has really taken a hit. The Blues can not seem to stop the Avalanche and Colorado, prior to the 5-4 Game 5 loss, had outscored St Louis 11 to 5 since Binnington got hurt early in Game 3. Keep in mind, those two high-scoring Avs wins were at St Louis and now, on the road where they have played so well, the Avalanche are even more likely to pile up goals in this one as they come off a high-scoring loss. The Blues have scored an average of 3.5 goals per game the last 4 games but the Avalanche are a big favorite for a reason here. In other words, a 4-3 or 5-3 type game would not be surprising in the least. Only 2 unders in last 11 meetings between these teams in St Louis and that trend involving Blues and Avs continues here. 10* OVER 6.5 in St Louis |
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05-27-22 | Phillies +126 v. Mets | Top | 6-8 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 38 m | Show |
*Action on Pitchers* MLB Friday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies +126 @ New York Mets @ 7:10 ET - Regardless of who pitches here I like the Phillies as they continue to hit much better on the road than at home and will ride the momentum of a big win at Atlanta last night. The Mets were off yesterday but the Phillies are likely to go with lefty Falter here and the young hurler has been pitching extremely well at the AAA level. Falter also has a good amount of MLB experience though most of it out of the bullpen. The key about New York facing a lefty here is that the Mets are just 5-8 this season versus southpaws including losses in 4 of the last 5 versus left-handers. As for the Mets Carrasco, he has been giving up a lot of hits in recent games and the Phillies have won 3 of last 5 games and scored at least 4 runs in 6 straight games. Note that the Mets have been feast or famine at the plate of late and have been held to 3 or less runs in 3 of last 5 games and 5 of last 10 games. The Mets have allowed 6 or more runs in 4 of last 7 games. So, again, no matter who is on the mound today for either team, I like the road team at a nice come back price to get the underdog win. The big line move toward the Mets means extra line value here as well. 10* PHILADELPHIA +125 |
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05-26-22 | Mavs +7 v. Warriors | Top | 110-120 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 6 m | Show |
NBA Thursday 10* Top Play Dallas Mavericks +7 @ Golden State Warriors @ 9 ET - Amazingly, the Mavericks have not had a standalone win in 4 months. You have to go all the way back to January 24th to find the last time that the Mavericks were off a loss, had a win, and then lost their very next game. Since that time, the Mavs are 12-0 / 100% perfect in this situation. That is a SU record. 12 straight times the Mavericks have managed to avoid the dreaded standalone win. That said, I definitely like our chances here of getting at least a cover as the Mavericks look to keep their season alive with one big upset. Once again, when off a win that was preceded by a loss, the Mavericks are 12-0 / 100% perfect SU. Give me the points here. 10* DALLAS +7 |
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05-26-22 | Rangers +140 v. Hurricanes | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 19 h 55 m | Show |
NHL Thursday 10* Top Play New York Rangers Money Line +140 @ Carolina Hurricanes @ 7 ET - Just too much value to pass up on here in my opinion. The line keeps climbing on the Canes but the Rangers have the hot goalie in Shesterkin and have all the momentum after B2B wins. I know one could argue the home team has won all the games in this series and their argument is correct. However, I think the biggest key in this series is the goalie edge that New York has. That said, and with momentum on their side, I will ride the road dog in this one. 10* NEW YORK RANGERS +140 |
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05-26-22 | Rockies v. Nationals OVER 8.5 | Top | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 18 h 34 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Washington Nationals vs Colorado Rockies @ 7:05 ET - The Rockies and Nationals each have a struggling starting pitcher on the mound for this one. But, regardless of the starting pitchers, the Rockies off a 10-5 loss yesterday and they are likely to see bullpen lit up again today. As for the Nationals, they are off a 1-0 shutout win and that ended a stretch of 3 straight overs and I look for the high-scoring trending to immediately resume. The Nats were allowing an average of 6.5 runs per game last 11 games prior to the shutout win. Colorado allowing 5.8 runs per game last dozen games. Plenty of offense likely in this one no matter the starters but also note Marquez has a 6.14 ERA this season and Corbin has 6.59 ERA this season. Look for a wild one here. 10* OVER 8.5 in Washington |
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05-25-22 | Celtics v. Heat +1.5 | Top | 93-80 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 1 m | Show |
NBA Wednesday 10* Top Play Miami Heat +1.5 @ Boston Celtics @ 8:30 ET - The Heat are off a loss and have been so strong off a defeat. The Celtics got the key Game 4 win to even this series up but now are over-valued on the road. Boston has been alternating wins and losses frequently in this post-season in the last two series and I look for that trend to continue here. The Celtics will have their hands full here with a Heat team that had won 10 straight home games prior to losing to 25 points as a host versus Boston in Game 2 of this series. Not only payback for that but Miami enters this game off a 20 point road loss in Game 4 at Boston. The Heat take back series lead with a key revenging win over the Celtics in this one. 10* MIAMI +1.5 |
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05-25-22 | Blues v. Avalanche OVER 6.5 | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 16 h 5 m | Show |
NHL Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Colorado Avalanche vs St Louis Blues @ 8 ET - The Blues are down to their last chance here. As a result, I expect them to bring a huge effort on the road. The problem for St Louis is that ever since they lost Binnington to injury, the goaltending has really taken a hit. The Blues can not seem to stop the Avalanche and Colorado has outscored St Louis 11 to 5 since Binnington got hurt early in Game 3. Keep in mind, those two high-scoring Avs wins were at St Louis and now, at home with a chance to close the series out, the Avalanche are ever more likely to pile up goals in this one. The Blues have scored an average of 3 goals per game the last 3 games but the Avalanche are a big favorite for a reason here. In other words, a 4-3 or 5-3 type game would not be surprising in the least. 10* OVER 6.5 in Colorado |
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05-25-22 | Orioles v. Yankees OVER 8.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -102 | 14 h 23 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles @ 7:05 ET - The Yankees and Orioles continue their high-scoring ways in this one. Baltimore has had just 2 unders last 9 games. The Orioles have scored at least 6 runs in 5 of last 6 games. The Yankees have won 11 of last 16 games and have scored an average of 5.5 runs per game last 7 games. JP Sears expected to make first ever MLB start for Yankees here and a struggling Tyler Wells likely to start for the Orioles here. Wells has a 7.62 ERA on the road this season and Baltimore is 0-4 in those starts. Considering that plus the fact that the Sears making first ever start and will feel pressure to perform well for the home fans in first ever start in the Bronx, this one sets up well for an over. Regardless of the starting pitchers, the over is the play here as both teams keep piling up the runs and only 1 of last 7 meetings between these teams has resulted in an under. 10* OVER 8.5 in New York Yankees |
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05-23-22 | Heat +6.5 v. Celtics | Top | 82-102 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 19 m | Show |
NBA Monday 10* Top Play Miami Heat +6.5 @ Boston Celtics @ 8:30 ET - The Heat could get Butler back for this game and I do expect that plus they are loaded with confidence after the big Game 3 win on the road. Miami does not have to win this game to get the money for us either. A loss by 6 or less points also cashes our ticket and 5 of Boston's 9 post-season wins have been by a margin of 4.8 points. All the pressure on Boston here to avoid a 3-1 series hole before heading to Miami for Game 5. As for the Heat, they already have accomplished the success of insuring they have home court edge for this series no matter what happens in Game 4. That said, they can play loose and relaxed basketball. With all the pressure on the Celtics, the Heat are going to be tough to put away in this one. Huge value with the points. 10* MIAMI +6.5 |
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05-23-22 | Panthers v. Lightning -122 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show |
NHL Monday 10* Top Play Tampa Bay Lightning Money Line -125 vs Florida Panthers @ 7:05 ET - Vasilevskiy has allowed only 1 goal in each of his last 4 starts. Tampa Bay has won 5 straight games. The Lightning are on home ice here and are the two-time defending champs. TB continues to get too little respect and Florida continues to get too much respect. The ability to get the Bolts at a small money line here on home ice just because the Panthers are in a 3-0 hole is too good to pass up on. Brayden Point likely to be out again for this one and yet though he keeps missing the games the Lightning have a 3-0 series lead. They are so strong defensively and in goal and know how to win playoff hockey and I expect them to get the sweep here as Florida continues to struggle to score goals and their power play numbers have been on a horrific run even after yesterday's goal! 10* TAMPA BAY -125 |
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05-23-22 | Cubs v. Reds OVER 9 | Top | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 29 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB 10* Top Play OVER 9 in Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs @ 6:40 ET - The Cubs have been better on the road than at home this season and the Reds have been better at home than on the road. This one set up well for plenty of runs no matter who is on the mound. The over is on a 3-0 run in Cubs games and they have scored an average of 5.7 runs per game during this win streak. The Reds are scoring an average of 5.6 runs per game as a host this season and the over is 11-3 in their 14 home games this season. Smyly the expected starter for Chicago and he is 0-3 with a 5.53 ERA in his last 3 starts and the damage could be even much worse as he has been hit hard. Gutierrez is 0-5 with an 8.65 ERA in his starts this season and the over is 3-0 in his last 3 starts as he has been particularly roughed up in these outings. 10* OVER 9 in Cincinnati |
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05-22-22 | Warriors v. Mavs UNDER 218 | Top | 109-100 | Win | 100 | 9 h 3 m | Show |
NBA 10* UNDER 218 in Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors @ 9 ET - Barring another absolutely ludicrous finish like the 24 points we saw scored in the final minute and 20 seconds of last night's game between the Celtics and Heat, we should finally seen an under here. The Mavericks will dial up the defense here as they look to avoid an 0-3 hole here and the Warriors are known for struggling with their shooting on the road at times. Golden State fully capable of more solid defense here though just like they showed in the 2nd half of their Game 2 win. The result is a game that should fall well short of the total tonight unless we again see another absolutely preposterous final 81 seconds of basketball like we saw last night. 10* UNDER 218 in Dallas |