Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-14-24 | Coyotes v. Red Wings OVER 6.5 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 31 m | Show |
NHL Thursday OVER 6.5 in Detroit vs Arizona @ 7 ET - Red Wings Lyon is 0-5 L5 and has allowed at least 4 goals in all 5 of those! Connor Ingram starts for Coyotes and he has been struggling overall recently except for a strong shutout effort versus...you guessed it...these Red Wings. Detroit is out for revenge and will score well at home but they continue to have issues in the crease in their own zone. OVER 6.5 in Detroit |
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03-14-24 | Sporting Lisbon v. Atalanta OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show |
Rotation #224453: Europa League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg: Thursday OVER 2.5 -135 in Atalanta vs Sporting Lisbon @ 4 ET - The first meeting finished in a 1-1 draw but Atalanta' other 3 recent matches have all totaled 3 or more goals. Sporting Lisbon's other 4 recent matches have all totaled 3 or more goals. The point is that the first meeting was a bit of an outlier and I am looking for at least a 2-1 result in this match-up that is currently tied on the aggregate. Note that Atalanta had numerous shots off the bar in their first meeting - tight misses. Sporting Lisbon averaging scoring 3 goals per match in Portugese Primeira Liga action. Atalanta averaging 2.2 goals scored per match when at home this season in Italian Serie A action. Two confident clubs that score well and you'll see much more scoring in the rematch. OVER 2.5 -135 in Atalanta |
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03-14-24 | Ajax Amsterdam v. Aston Villa OVER 3.25 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 103 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
Rotation #219925: Europa Conference League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg: Thursday OVER 3 -125 in Aston Villa vs Ajax Amsterdam @ 4 ET - The first meeting finished scoreless yet this total opened up at a 3 and even moving toward 3.5 in some books. You know what this generally means, right? A 0-0 1st leg and then a total of 3 goals getting action on the over in the 2nd leg? Exactly! This one should fly over the total after the very surprising 1st leg result! Aston Villa's other 8 recent matches have all totaled at least 3 goals and actually have averaged 4.3 goals apiece. Ajax Amsterdam, other than that scoreless draw, has scored at least 2 goals in 22 of last 26 matches! You can see, given the above, why it would not be surprising at all to see both clubs reach the 2-goal mark in the rematch. Ajax known for scoring well and they are one of the top scoring teams in the Dutch Eredivisie. At the same time, Villa at home will be relentless on the attack here after the disappointing first leg result and now back on their home pitch! OVER 3 -125 in Aston Villa |
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03-14-24 | St. John's v. Seton Hall +4.5 | Top | 91-72 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 59 m | Show |
Rotation #746: CBB Thursday Seton Hall Pirates +4.5 @ St John's Red Storm @ 2:30 ET - I know many might look at this and say it is a home game for St John's and it is true that the Red Storm do play home games at Madison Square Garden too. However, Seton Hall is from the NYC metro area as well and MSG is essentially right between the campuses of these two schools. Also, the Pirates won both regular season meetings so many people will be looking at the double revenge factor as well. The result of all this in my opinion is that St John's is getting too much support in the betting markets and we are getting plenty of value here on the underdog side catching 4.5 points! It is true that the Red Storm wrapped up the season winning 5 in a row. However, 3 of the 5 wins were against the 2 Big East teams that finished the season with a combined 2-38 record in the Big East. I am not saying St John's is a bad team or that Seton Hall is an elite team. I am just saying that these teams are close to equal in my opinion and I would say the Pirates are the slightly better team. The Red Storm are simply over-rated here and I look for the underdogs to make it a rare 3-0 season sweep over St John's but we will grab the points just in case. SETON HALL +4.5 |
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03-14-24 | SC Freiburg v. West Ham United OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show |
Rotation #224443: Europa League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg: Thursday OVER 2.5 -115 in West Ham United vs SC Freiburg @ 1:45 ET - West Ham is on their home pitch and down 1-0 in this one because of losing the 1st Leg. That sets this up well for plenty of goals because Freiburg has a talented attack but West Ham is going to respond on their home pitch. The Hammers are favored here with good reason but I also can not anticipate them delivering a clean sheet. In other words, this situation translates to at least a 2-1 final. West Ham had scored a pair of goals in the last two meetings before the shutout loss at Freiburg. Also, the Hammers come into this one having allowed at least 1 goal in 11 straight matches and have conceded an average of 2 goals per match during this stretch. Freiburg has allowed 2 goals per match in their last 11 matches as well. OVER 2.5 -115 in West Ham |
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03-14-24 | Maccabi Haifa v. Fiorentina OVER 3 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 58 m | Show |
Rotation #219905: Europa Conference League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg: Thursday OVER 3 -110 in Fiorentina vs Maccabi Haifa @ 1:45 ET - The first meeting finished in a 4-3 thriller in favor of Fiorentina. That means Maccabi Haifa has to be aggressive here on the road and will be on the attack as they look to make up for the 1-goal deficit. However, Fiorentina has the firepower - particularly on their home pitch - to make them pay in this one! In Italian Serie A action, Fiorentina has averaged 2 goals scored per match this season when at home. As for Maccabi Haifa, the Israeli Premier League club has scored 2.2 goals per match this season and they are the highest scoring club in the league. Look for the goals to fly again in this one as 4-3 aggregate thus far in favor of the hosts sets this up for another exciting match which the visitors pushing hard on the attack and the hosts taking advantage on the counterattack. Plenty of scoring opportunities in this one. OVER 3 -110 in Fiorentina |
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03-13-24 | Avalanche v. Canucks OVER 6.5 | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 0 m | Show |
NHL Wednesday OVER 6.5 in Vancouver Canucks vs Colorado Avalanche @ 10:35 ET - Tough spot for the goaltending for each team. The Canucks just lost Demko to injury so they are having to use the back-up DeSmith. As for Colorado, they used Annunen between the pipes last night and he has actually been the hotter goalie of last. Georgiev now likely to be in the crease because of this B2B situation and he has been a bit inconsistent of late. That said, look for the goals to fly as the goalie situation is surely helping. Also, the Canucks have won 4 straight and have scored 4 goals per game last two victories. Colorado has won 6 of 8 and, incredibly, the Avs have scored at least 5 goals in 5 of those 6 victories. Considering the above as well as the goaltending situation plus the B2B situation for the Avalanche, look for the goals to fly in this one. OVER 6.5 in Vancouver |
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03-13-24 | Cincinnati v. Kansas OVER 138 | Top | 72-52 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 44 m | Show |
Rotation #659: CBB Wednesday OVER 138 in Kansas Jayhawks vs Cincinnati Bearcats @ 9:30 ET - Both teams have averaged scoring about 75 to 76 points this season and allowed about 68 to 69 points this season. We have good value with the low total posted on this game. The key is that the Jayhawks are without a couple of top players and that will weaken them in the paint some. At the same time however, Kansas is loaded with talent and is going with a "small ball" lineup here. I expect this to result in a high-scoring game. Their defensive presence around the rim is not going to be as strong as usual and now here they face a Cincinnati team that has added confidence from B2B wins in which they scored 90+ points in each game. Granted the games were against a bad West Virginia team but it still helps in terms of confidence on the offensive end. Here the Bearcats will be able to attack more than usual with success against a smaller than usual Kansas lineup. At the same time, the Jayhawks are out to prove they can win without a couple of their top players and I expect a huge effort from Kansas in this one. The Cats, not including OT points of course, averaged 81 points in their final 3 games this season. The Jayhawks, prior to an ugly season-ending loss to Houston (which means even more motivation for Kansas here) had averaged 77 points per game their last 3 games. Cincinnati is a 3 point favorite here which, with a total of 138, would put this game at about 70-67. I feel strongly that both teams are fully capable of topping those numbers in this one. Particularly true given the small ball style that Kansas will be playing in this one. They certainly are going to respond on offense after scoring just 46 points in most recent game. OVER 138 in Kansas |
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03-13-24 | Bulls +150 v. Pacers | Top | 132-129 | Win | 150 | 4 h 26 m | Show |
NBA Wednesday Chicago Bulls +150 @ Indiana Pacers @ 7:40 ET - The Pacers are in a B2B spot and the Bulls are rested but coming off B2B losses including the most recent one at home in UGLY fashion. That set this one up well for a road dog upset in divisional action. I know Indiana has been better in divisional games than Chicago has this season but these two teams are not too far apart in the standings really. Also, before the Bulls lost at LA to the Clippers, they had won 8 of last 10 road games! So Chicago has been sneaky good on the road for many weeks now and is coming off bad home loss and a road loss. So the set up here is truly ideal especially with the Pacers in a back to back. Also, the Bulls have not lost two consecutive road games since late January! Last but certainly not least, Chicago has not lost more than 2 games in a row overall since NOVEMBER! Dating back to that losing streak in November, the Bulls are now a perfect 5-0 the last 5 times when entering a game on a losing streak of 2 or more games. No points needed here, look for the Bulls to win this one outright! Each of last 6 Indiana wins have been by 9 or more points so I really don't think the points would help us anyway here but I do love the plus money on this money line testing that 5-0 streak! Let's win big again with that going for 6 in a row. CHICAGO +150 |
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03-13-24 | OGC Nice v. Paris Saint-Germain OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 3 m | Show |
Rotation #203613: Coupe de France | Quarter-Finals: Wednesday OVER 2.5 -135 in Paris Saint-German vs Nice @ 4:10 ET - PSG just too much for Nice and they have scored 2 goals in 3 straight matches with them. However, Nice has averaged 2 goals in last two meetings in Paris. Nice does enter this match in poor current form and are conceding too many goals which has led to 4 of last 6 totaling at least 3 goals. PSG also has revenge on their mind from a home loss to Nice back in September so they will be relentless on the attack here. PSG has scored at least 2 goals in 13 of last 15 matches. They have also conceded in 8 of last 11 matches. You can see, given all of the above, we should be looking at a 2-1 match here at the very least. OVER 2.5 -135 in Paris Saint-Germain |
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03-13-24 | Inter Milan v. Atletico Madrid OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 110 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
Rotation #224229: Champions League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg: Wednesday OVER 2.5 +110 in Atletico Madrid vs Inter Milan @ 4 ET - Atletico Madrid has struggled recently including losing the first leg of this battle with Inter Milan by a count of 1-0. However, they are a different club when on their home pitch and this will be just their 2nd home match in the past 4 weeks! Their last two home matches have seen them win by an aggregate score of 7 to 1. Also, Atletico Madrid is 13-1 at home this season in Spanish La Liga matches and has averaged scoring 2.5 goals per match! Inter Milan has won 13 straight matches and averaged scoring 2.5 goals per match during this winning streak. The point is both clubs are certainly solid defensively but you can also see their goal scoring prowess in these numbers. That said, I see at least a 2-1 final resulting here as the hosts must push hard here as they are down 1-0 already via that 1st leg result so they must be aggressive on the attack here but Inter Milan has been red hot as well so the goals should fly in this one. OVER 2.5 +110 in Atletico Madrid |
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03-13-24 | Xavier -1.5 v. Butler | Top | 76-72 | Win | 100 | 6 h 20 m | Show |
Rotation #679: CBB Wednesday Xavier Musketeers -1.5 vs Butler Bulldogs @ 4 ET - This line is around a 1.5 and I like the Musketeers to respond in this opportunity at right back revenge. They just lost at Butler in the Bulldogs regular season finale and Xavier can get the best kind of payback right here in the Big East Tourney! Also, the Musketeers did win the first game when the teams met in Cincinnati and that was their 2nd straight win in this series. They bounce back here after the loss at Butler. The Musketeers dominated the glass in both meetings this season and they will cut down on their turnovers here in the rematch of the last season 6-point loss. Also, Xavier does a better job of getting to the free throw line than the Bulldogs. In a potentially tight contest I want the better rebounding team, that also thrives on getting to the rack and creating contact to get to the FT line, and that also has revenge on their minds. Great set up here to lay a short number! XAVIER -1.5 |
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03-13-24 | Luton Town v. AFC Bournemouth OVER 3 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
Rotation #200125: English Premier League: Wednesday OVER 3 -145 in Bournemouth vs Luton Town @ 3:30 ET - These clubs had a match abandoned at the 60' mark earlier this season and it was 1-1 at that point. They appeared on target for at least 3 goals given the way that one was playing out. In terms of their most recently completed matches, those were in League Championship action and the last two of those each totaled at least 3 goals. Luton Town enters this match off a 1-1 draw but this followed 9 straight matches each totaling at least 3 goals. Those 9 matches averaged 5 goals apiece! Each one of these clubs allowing an average of about 2 goals per match in EPL action this season. Also, Bournemouth has seen 10 of last 15 matches overall total at least 3 goals. They have also scored an average of 2 goals per match last 19 matches overall. Given all of the above we should see an entertaining battle here in which it would not surprise to see each club reach the 2-goal mark! OVER 3 -145 in Bournemouth |
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03-12-24 | Bucks v. Kings +120 | Top | 94-129 | Win | 120 | 14 h 19 m | Show |
NBA Tuesday Sacramento Kings +120 vs Milwaukee Bucks @ 10 ET - The Kings are at home and off a home loss in which they were held to 109 points. Sacramento is 5-1 SU the last 6 times they entered a game off a loss in which they were held to 109 points or less. Ironically, the lone loss in that 5-1 run was in OT at Milwaukee. So you have a strong angle here plus you have the revenge angle working in your favor as well. Great spot for the Kings. The Bucks are off a road win but had lost 7 of last 12 road games heading into that one. Milwaukee had been better on defense but now they've allowed 122 ppg L3 games and this is the final game of a 4-game road trip so it is also a bit of a tricky spot as many team historically struggle in a spot like this when wrapping up a road trip. Definitely a strong situational edge for the home dog in this one. We'll forego the points and grab the money line. SACRAMENTO +120 |
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03-12-24 | Gonzaga v. St. Mary's +150 | Top | 60-69 | Win | 150 | 8 h 0 m | Show |
Rotation #634: CBB Tuesday St Mary's Gaels +150 vs Gonzaga Bulldogs @ 9 ET - First off, why am I taking a shot with the +150 money line here instead of grabbing the +3.5 points? Well, the Bulldogs have won 25 games this season and all have been by a margin of at least 4 points! The Gaels only have one loss by less than 4 points this season and that one was by 3 points. So the odds suggest that if Gonzaga wins, they cover. But the fact is St Mary's is primed for an upset here in Las Vegas. They truly have closed the gap on the Bulldogs this season and did split the season series with them. Also, most of the guys that are on this Gaels team were with them last season when they got embarrassed here in Las Vegas and lost to the Bulldogs 77-51 in the WCC Championship Game! Trust me, they have not forgotten. They have the better defense this season and they are ready for payback here and there is a reason the Zags opened up as such a small favorite here. No points needed, the solid D of the Gaels helps lead the way to revenge here. ST MARY'S +150 |
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03-12-24 | Sharks v. Flyers -1.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -125 | 5 h 20 m | Show |
NHL Tuesday: Philadelphia Flyers -1.5 -125 vs San Jose Sharks @ 7 ET - Flyers are off a horrible 7-0 loss and now hosting one of the worst teams in the league. This is a great bounce back spot and Philly is angry and coach Tortorella was so angry about all the power plays conceded in the 7-0 loss that the was ejected when the game was 4-0 and now serving a suspension. This angry Flyers team, as well as goalie Ersson (who had been hot) will be ready to respond here. The Sharks are off a win but this was preceded by 9 straight losses by an average margin of 2.5 goals. Flyers most recent win was by 1 goal but this followed 8 of last 10 wins by 2 or more goals. Philadelphia -1.5 -125 |
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03-12-24 | Red Wings v. Sabres OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 5 h 54 m | Show |
NHL Tuesday OVER 6.5 +100 in Buffalo Sabres vs Detroit Red Wings @ 7 ET - The Sabres have been getting solid goalie work from Luukkonen but this total is at 6.5 for a reason! The fact is Detroit's Lyon has allowed at least 4 goals in 4 straight games. Overall, the Red Wings have allowed 4.7 goals per game last 6 games! But Detroit also is dangerous offensively and has scored at least 3 goals in 12 of last 18 games. They are hungry on a losing streak in which, other than a shocking loss to Arizona, they faced some really tough competition. That said, I am looking for each team to get to the 3-goal mark here which would get us to at least a total of 7 goals in this one. Buffalo is off a 3-2 win in the shootout over the Oilers at home but this followed 4 of last 6 Sabres home games totaling 7 or more goals. OVER 6.5 +100 in Buffalo |
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03-12-24 | FC Porto v. Arsenal OVER 3 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -102 | 11 h 5 m | Show |
Rotation #224221: Champions League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg: Tuesday OVER 3 in Arsenal vs FC Porto @ 4 ET - Down 1-0 in this one, Arsenal need to not only respond at home but respond in a big way. Look for them to do just that as Arsenal has averaged scoring 4 GOALS per match in their last 8 matches in English Premier League action. In other words, the 1-0 loss to FC Porto in the reverse fixture is certainly an outlier! Also, Arsenal has allowed an average of 1 goal in their last 18 matches across all competitions and they are favored by 1.5 on the goal line here with good reason! In other words, look for a 3-1 type final here. Porto has scored at least 1 goal in 11 of last 12 matches and has averaged scoring 2.5 goals per match during this stretch. Many times these 1st and 2nd leg matches are polar opposites. The first one a 1-0 battle, don't be surprised if this one is a high-scoring thriller. Porto also still dealing with injuries to defensive personnel which also helps the cause. OVER 3 in Arsenal |
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03-12-24 | Napoli +0.5 v. Barcelona FC | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
Rotation #224217: Champions League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg: Tuesday Napoli +0.5 goal line +115 @ Barcelona @ 4 ET - Barcelona is on their home pitch and they are expected to be strong here but that has resulted in them being overvalued in this spot. Keep in mind, this one is 1-1 on the aggregate and Napoli is now much stronger than when they met about 3 weeks ago. That meeting was right after a managerial change. Napoli has been a different club ever since and appears rejuvenated. Keep in mind a 1-1 final here again - with the match then decided after the 90 minutes plus injury time - certainly is possible. Napoli just has not been conceding much at all and, in comparison with Barcelona, they are the much healthier team entering this one. Battling for a 1-1 draw on the road that extends their chances into AET (added extra time) in a match decided after 120 minutes would not surprise me in the least. That said, I like the plus plus option here with Napoli on the goal line at plus half a goal and plus money. Napoli has allowed 1 goal or less in 11 of last 12 matches and Barcelona has allowed goals in 10 of last 11 matches outside of La Liga action. In fact they have allowed an average of 1.8 goals in those 10 matches. This is tough competition for Barcelona and this one likely a draw or possibly even an upset win. Grab the dog value. NAPOLI +0.5 goal line +105 |
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03-12-24 | Middlesbrough v. Birmingham City OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -135 | 12 h 43 m | Show |
Rotation #200209: English League Championship | Gameweek 29: Tuesday OVER 2.5 -135 in Birmingham City vs Middlesbrough @ 3:45 ET - Both clubs will push hard for the full 3 points here as Birmingham City is perilously close to the relegation zone and Middlesbrough still has hopes of a top six finish in the league. Birmingham City is a different club when they are at home and 4 of their last 5 matches on their home pitch have totaled at least 3 goals and those 4 matches averaged 4 goals apiece! Middlesbrough has scored in 5 of last 6 road matches in English League Championship action and they averaged scoring 2 goals in those 5 matches! They are favored here on the road for a reason and I can't see this one ending with anything less than a 2-1 final. Middlesbrough averaging 1.8 goals scored per road match and Birmingham City averaging 1.5 goals scored per home match. This one gets to at least 3 goals. OVER 2.5 -135 in Birmingham City |
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03-12-24 | Borussia Monchengladbach v. Saarbrucken OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 53 m | Show |
Rotation #203001: German DFB-Pokal | Quarter-Finals: Tuesday OVER 2.5 -140 in Saarbrucken vs Borussia Monchengladbach @ 3:30 ET - Saarbrucken are a 3rd tier club in Germany but enjoying an impressive run in the DFB-Pokal competition. They are also the host in this match-up and they have scored 2 goals in each of their 3 matches in this competition thus far. At home, I do expect them to put on another strong showing here but Borussia Monchengladbach is in the top flight Bundesliga in Germany. The visitors in this match are having a rather "middling" season in Bundesliga so this competition has become even more important to them in terms of a chance to win some hardware! They are well aware that there is only one other Bundesliga competitor remaining and so they have a solid shot at winning it all. They too will bring a strong effort here as a result and they have allowed an average of 2 goals last 4 matches but also scored an average of 3 goals last 3 matches and those were against top flight competition. You can see why one can anticipate at least a 2-1 final in this one. OVER 2.5 -140 in Saarbrucken |
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03-11-24 | Stony Brook v. Hofstra -7 | Top | 63-59 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 60 m | Show |
Rotation #854 CBB Monday Hofstra Pride -7 vs Stony Brook Seawolves @ 8:30 ET - The Seawolves had to rally multiple times yesterday in an amazing double OT win over Drexel. Not only will this be the 3rd game in 3 days for Stony Brook, their top 5 scorers in yesterday's game scored 87 of their 91 points. Those 5 players averaged 39.4 minutes played. That means you have the guys that scored 96% of their points yesterday and are playing their 3rd game in 3rd days AVERAGED playing a FULL GAME of 40 minutes yesterday. This is a fantastic setup for the more rested Pride team to dominate. Hofstra has won 12 of 15 games and each of their last 6 wins have been by a double digit margin. The Pride did have 4 guys play heavy minutes in yesterday's game but that was their first game in more than a week and they will definitely have the fresher legs here. They pull away as this game goes in and it make it a 7th straight win by a double digit margin. Lay it! HOFSTRA -7 |
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03-11-24 | Hornets +145 v. Pistons | Top | 97-114 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 31 m | Show |
NBA Monday Charlotte Hornets +145 @ Detroit Pistons @ 7 ET - I know we could have the Hornets at 3.5 here but, believe it or not, the Pistons only have 1 win this season in a game decided by 4 or less points this season. Also, Charlotte only has 1 loss this season in a game decided by 4 or less points. So, the point is, if this game is tight at the end, it very likely goes the way of the Hornets and so the points do not even matter. We'll go for the bigger plus money return by utilizing the money line here. Note that the Pistons have defeated the Hornets in both games this season but only have 8 wins the rest of this season. Charlotte, despite no wins against league-worst Detroit, have 16 wins against the rest of the NBA. So, the point is the team with TWICE as many wins against the rest of the NBA, is a dog here. Now, of course it makes sense to the betting markets because Detroit is at home here and most people view these teams are nearly equal. However, I like the double revenge aspect and the aforementioned 16-win vs 8-win angle plus the Hornets are the better team defensively and they enter this game off a win which helps from a confidence standpoint. Speaking of confidence, I am confident in the fact no points needed here. CHARLOTTE +145 |
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03-11-24 | Devils v. Rangers OVER 6.5 | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 60 m | Show |
NHL Monday OVER 6.5 +100 in New York Rangers vs New Jersey Devils @ 7 ET - The Rangers are said to saving Shesterkin for the big battle at Carolina tomorrow. That means Quick getting the start here at the front end of this B2B. He has allowed 4 goals in each of his last two starts. Also, New York's D, even though they certainly have a history with nearby rivals like the Devils and Islanders and Flyers, could get caught thinking ahead to their big showdown with Carolina tomorrow. That's because the Hurricanes are right behind them at 2nd place in Metro as the Rangers keep working hard to stay in the #1 spot. New York has averaged 4 goals per game in going 12-3 last 15 games. So they should score well here for sure again but Quick could prove susceptible to a dangerous Devils attack. New Jersey has had 6 straight games away from home (including outdoor game with Philly) total at least 6 goals! 4 of the last 5 totaled at least 7 goals. These 6 games averaged 7.5 goals and I expect this one to get to 7 or 8 goals as well. Devils have allowed 4 or more goals in 7 of last 10 games. More of the same here. OVER 6.5 +100 in New York Rangers |
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03-11-24 | Newcastle United v. Chelsea OVER 3.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 115 | 12 h 18 m | Show |
Rotation #200121: English Premier League: Monday 10* Top Play OVER 3.5 +115 in Chelsea vs Newcastle United @ 4 ET - These clubs have met 4 times in less than a year across all competitions and there has not been a clean sheet yet. I feel we have strong odds on much more scoring here after many of those matches ended in 1-1 draws. Newcastle is allowing 2.3 goals per match when on the road this season. Chelsea has significant injuries impacting their defensive players. This one should be a high-scoring battle that would not surprise me if we saw each club get to the 2-goal mark. Newcastle is off a 3-0 victory at home and in EPL action this followed 8 straight matches all totaling at least 4 goals! That said, the over is now 8-0 and one push in Newcastle's last 9 EPL matches. The over is also 4-1 in Chelsea's last 5 EPL matches and those 4 overs all totaled at least 4 goals. This one will too as we test that 100% trend involving Newcastle Premier League matches and look for the 100% run to make it 9 in a row! OVER 3.5 +115 in Chelsea |
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03-11-24 | Udinese v. Lazio OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 128 | 12 h 8 m | Show |
Rotation #201237: Italian Serie A: Monday OVER 2.5 +120 in Lazio vs Udinese @ 3:45 ET - Lazio has only a 15% draw rate, 2nd lowest among the 20 clubs in Serie A, so if you like both clubs to score it stands to reason you like at least a 2-1 final. That is the case for me in this one too as Lazio is not in a good mood and will respond big at home but I also don't see Udinese being held off the scoresheet here. Both clubs are dealing with injury and/or suspension issues effecting the rearguard. The defensive stability of each club could be impacted here as a result. The first meeting this season was a 2-1 final two months ago and I expect a similar result here. Udinese is scoring an average of 1 goal per match this season. Lazio will be ready to respond after a 3-0 loss in Champions League followed a 1-0 home loss in Serie A action! Lazio had scored 9 goals and scored at least once in all 6 matches leading into this rare tough stretch of futility in front of the goalmouth. They now will take advantage of facing a lower-tier club that has allowed 1.5 goals per match this season. Look for at least a 2-1 final in this one given all of the above as you will see a spirited effort from the home side forcing a faster tempo filled with attacking in this match. Both clubs look to take advantage of the defensive absences as well. OVER 2.5 +120 in Lazio |
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03-11-24 | CSMS Iasi v. Otelul OVER 2 | Top | 1-1 | Push | 0 | 11 h 40 m | Show |
Rotation #206953: Romania Liga 1: Monday OVER 2 -125 in Otelul Galati vs Poli Iasi @ 2 ET - The value of this over available at 2 goals is a big one. 4 straight Galati matches have totaled at least 2 goals and these 4 matches have averaged 4 goals apiece! Poli Iasi is off a scoreless draw at home but 5 straight matches for Poli Iasi away from home have totaled at least 2 goals! These 5 matches averaged 3.6 goals apiece. So both these teams have UNBEATEN trends going here and, within those trends, there are 100% PERFECT records. 4-0 on the road for Poli Iasi to the over 2 goals and 3-0 to the over 2 goals overall matches for Galati. Take advantage of the solid line value here as both teams preparing for the playout phase of the season and 3 points is a critical step in the right direction as they are right next to each other in the table right now. So look for a big push for the victory here rather than a sharing of the spoils so we should see at least a 2-1 final as a result. OVER 2 -125 in Otelul Galati |
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03-10-24 | Pacers +115 v. Magic | Top | 111-97 | Win | 115 | 7 h 26 m | Show |
NBA Sunday Indiana Pacers Money Line +115 @ Orlando Magic @ 6 ET - Someone knows something. Yes, this is one of those games! This line opened around a pick'em and sure enough the Magic are now as high as 2.5 point favorite. Ask yourself this. Why was this line set this way? Exactly! It was an open invite to take the Magic which is why we are doing the exact opposite, of course, and grabbing the Pacers! Note that Orlando is off a loss and had won 13 of 16 games prior to that plus they are at home for this one. Conversely, Indiana has lost 4 of 6 games! All this yet this line was a pick'em? Indeed this is a trap line for the betting public and I am going on the other side of the move and we do not even need the points. Outright win for Indiana here. The Pacers have double revenge here from losing both games this season with the Magic and those two games were in Indiana. The road team has now won 3 straight in this match-up as the final meeting last season was a Pacers road win at Orlando as well. Look for the road team to make it 4 in a row and grab the money line road dog in this one! This line was set at a pick'em originally for a reason. Now we take advantage here and grab the underdog value. INDIANA +115 |
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03-10-24 | Coyotes v. Blackhawks OVER 5.5 | Top | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 6 h 56 m | Show |
NHL Sunday OVER 5.5 in Chicago Blackhawks vs Arizona Coyotes @ 6 ET - This total has dropped from a 6 to a 5.5 and this has opened up solid line value here. Neither team is known as an offensive juggernaut but Arizona is off a rare shutout win. Prior to that 4-0 win, 11 straight Coyotes games had totaled at least 6 goals as Arizona - just like Chicago - is known for giving up goals. Those 11 games averaged 7 goals per game! The Blackhawks last 13 games have featured just 2 wins and in the 11 losses they allowed an average of 4 goals per game. Chicago did beat Arizona 5-2 the last time these teams met and that was earlier this week. The goals should fly again in the rematch as Connor Ingram struggled against the Hawks in that 5-2 loss and had allowed 3.5 goals per match last 4 matches before that shutout win. The Blackhawks had Mrazek in goal last night so this will probably be Soderblom tonight and he had allowed 4 goals per game in last 4 games prior to holding these Coyotes to 2 goals in Arizona. Based on all of the above, I look for both teams to enjoy a lot of success on offense in this one. OVER 5.5 in Chicago |
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03-10-24 | Stony Brook v. Drexel -3.5 | Top | 91-88 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 36 m | Show |
Rotation #822: CBB Sunday Drexel Dragons -3.5 vs Stony Brook Seawolves @ 6 ET - Stony Brook had to play yesterday so this is a big scheduling edge for Drexel as they have been off for a week. Also, the Dragons have won 20 games this season. Compare that to the Northeastern team that the Seawolves beat yesterday - that team now has 20 losses this season. Also, Stony Brook was 20 of 22 from the FT line while Northeastern was 12 of 21 from the FT line. That was the difference in the game which is not saying a whole helluva lot about the Seawolves. This Dragons team has veteran leadership and a deep rotation and they will take advantage of facing Stony Brook in a B2B. Yes this is a neutral site game in DC but this is a bargain line that has moved down on the favorite and I am happy to take advantage of this Dragons team is the stronger team and will advance to the next round of the CAA tourney. They take advantage of having had a double bye heading into this one. DREXEL -3.5 |
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03-10-24 | Flames v. Hurricanes OVER 6 | Top | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 5 h 13 m | Show |
NHL Sunday OVER 6 -115 in Carolina Hurricanes vs Calgary Flames @ 5 ET - This total dropping from 6.5 to a 6 in some spots as of 5 hours before drop of the puck has opened up some great line value. The Hurricanes have seen their games total at least 6 goals in 3 of last 4. The Flames have had 6 straight games total at least 6 goals. Grab the value here as Calgary had scored an average of 4 goals in their last 7 games prior to an ugly 5-1 loss in most recent game. The Flames will be aggressive on the attack here after a game like that but they will struggle to slow down a strong Hurricanes team on their home ice. I expect both teams to get to the 3-goal mark in this one and so we'd be looking at 7 goals at least as final result. OVER 6 -115 in Carolina |
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03-10-24 | CS U Craiova v. U Craiova 1948 OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 25 m | Show |
Rotation #206973: Romania Liga 1: Sunday OVER 2.5 -120 in FCU 1948 Craiova vs Universitatea Craiova @ 2:45 ET - FCU 1948 Craiova has played 8 matches in the new calendar year and these have averaged 8 goals apiece Universitatea Craiova has played 11 matches since early December and 10 in a row had totaled at least 3 goals before last week's 1-1 draw. That was the 6th straight match that Universitatea Craiova has both scored and conceded. Considering that, plus the fact that FCU 1948 Craiova has only a 14% draw rate this season - lowest in the league - look for at least a 2-1 final here. Note that we are testing the 10-1 run to the over involving Universitatea Craiova in this one. That's a 91% run. 10* OVER 2.5 -120 in FCU 1948 Craiova |
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03-10-24 | Ohio State -110 v. Rutgers | Top | 73-51 | Win | 100 | 5 h 9 m | Show |
Rotation #805: CBB Sunday Ohio State PK -110 @ Rutgers Scarlet Knights @ 2 ET - The Buckeyes have been a different team ever since they fired their head coach. Yes, this is Senior Day at Rutgers but the Scarlet Knights have been on the fade with losses in 5 of 6 games. Ohio State, on the other hand, has won 5 of 7 games. Clearly a case of two teams going in opposite directions. Also, Ohio State has 18 wins on the season and they have won 3 straight. They are motivated here to stay hot and get that 19th win and then look to make a little noise in the Big Ten Tourney and get to the 20-win mark at least. They did beat the Scarlet Knights in the first meeting but revenge is not enough to get it done for Rutgers in this one. They are simply slumping too much. The Buckeyes are the much better shooting team and are much more of a threat offensively than the Scarlet Knights. Also, Ohio State has been playing better defense since the coaching change. This is simply a new team right now in terms of morale, etc and the Buckeyes will get it done here. OHIO STATE Pick -110 |
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03-10-24 | Manchester City v. Liverpool OVER 3 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -118 | 5 h 34 m | Show |
Rotation #200117: English Premier League: Sunday OVER 3 -120 in Liverpool vs Manchester City @ 11:45 AM ET - The last meeting was a 1-1 draw but this followed 7 of last 8 meetings having totaled at least 4 goals and this one should get there as well considering the way these two clubs are rolling right now! Manchester City has scored an average of 2.7 goals over last 20 matches across all competitions. City has also conceded at least 1 goal in 7 of last 10 matches across all competitions. Liverpool has scored an average of 3 goals per match last 7 matches overall and they have Mohamed Salah now back as well. The over is a perfect 4-0 L4 Liverpool matches on their home pitch and these have averaged 5 goals apiece. Look for a 3-2 type final here in what is the final time that Jurgen Klopp will meet Pep Guardiola in a Premier League battle with the former moving on after this season. That said, no holding back here and plenty of fireworks expected. OVER 3 -120 in Liverpool |
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03-10-24 | Burnley v. West Ham United -0.75 | Top | 2-2 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 49 m | Show |
Rotation #200110: English Premier League Sunday West Ham United Goal Line vs Burnley @ 10 AM ET - Burnley is now in the cellar of the 20-club Premier League after Sheffield United moved out of the basement via a 2-2 draw yesterday. Unlike Sheffield United, Burnley has shown no signs of goal-scoring life of late. Burnley has lost 3 straight matches by a combined score of 10 to 0 and overall has been outscored 13 to 1 in losing 4 straight matches. The most concerning aspect is the last two defeats have come against clubs that only have a combined 7 wins in 55 EPL matches this season! Indeed, Burnley in horrific form right now and getting ready to take on a West Ham club that is threatening for a Top Six finish in the league! Also, West Ham is off B2B wins in EPL action by a combined score of 7 to 3. West Ham undefeated the last 5 meetings between these clubs and won 3 of those and the way they are scoring goals (and Burnley is not) of late, this looks like a home blowout. West Ham United Goal Line |
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03-10-24 | Tottenham Hotspur v. Aston Villa OVER 3.5 | Top | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 3 h 12 m | Show |
Rotation #200105: English Premier League Sunday OVER 3.5 -117 in Aston Villa vs Tottenham @ 9 AM ET - In EPL action, Aston Villa's last 6 matches have averaged 4.3 goals apiece. 6 of their last 9 matches overall have totaled at least 4 goals so don't let this big total scare you away from backing the over in this one. Tottenham has seen it's last 8 EPL matches average 4.1 goals apiece and 6 of the 8 totaled at least 4 goals. Don't be surprised if each club gets to the 2-goal mark in this one and I anticipate a 3-2 or 2-2 type match in this one given the recent trending of both clubs in English Premier League matches. OVER 3.5 -117 in Aston Villa |
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03-09-24 | Raptors v. Blazers +130 | Top | 118-128 | Win | 130 | 9 h 49 m | Show |
NBA Saturday Portland Trail Blazers +130 vs Toronto Raptors @ 10:10 ET - The Blazers are in a B2B spot but they are 9-10 SU against Eastern Conference teams. Toronto is only 7-17 SU against Western Conference foes! So the point is, even though you are talking about two teams having rough seasons, the Blazers have favored much better in non-conference action than the Raptors. Also, Portland has the homecourt edge in this one. The Trail Blazers have won twice in last five games. Toronto has lost 7 straight road games against Western Conference foes. Look for that run to reach 8 in a row in this one! Grab the home dog value here. No points needed! PORTLAND +130 |
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03-09-24 | San Diego v. Santa Clara -11.5 | Top | 79-104 | Win | 100 | 9 h 16 m | Show |
Rotation #774: CBB Saturday Santa Clara Broncos -11.5 vs San Diego Toreros @ 10 ET - Won here with San Diego yesterday but that was more of a play against Pepperdine than a play on the Toreros. The fact is that San Diego won ugly but they will struggle to win ugly here. The Toreros face a Broncos team that has the huge rest edge plus Santa Clara dominated them on the glass in the regular season meetings. The Broncos just have too much and the Toreros will not be able to keep up as the rebounding edge plus points in the paint edge as well as turnover differential should all go in favor of the rested Broncos in this one. I don't often lay big points in hoops or football but sometimes a double digit favorite is screaming for a bet and this is one of those. All the edges belong to the Broncos and they pull away as this game goes on. Lay it! SANTA CLARA -11.5 |
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03-09-24 | Connecticut v. Providence OVER 140.5 | Top | 74-60 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 26 m | Show |
Rotation #705: Saturday College Basketball: OVER 140.5 in Providence Friars vs Connecticut Huskies @ 8 ET - Providence needs a big upset win here to boost their chances of a shot in the Big Dance this season. The Friars will absolutely go all out here but the defending champ Huskies are again one of the top teams in the country and they will be tough to stop. UConn has averaged 81 ppg this season and they are about a 9 point favorite in this one. So that would put this game in the 81-72 range so we have quite a bit of flexibility compared to this posted total. Also, the Friars are off a dominating win over Georgetown but the Hoyas are horrible. This followed Providence, not including OT points of course, allowing an average of 75 points over their 10 games leading into that one. They are just not that strong defensively. I look for big points here as they are averaging 73 points per game this season and must go all out here at home in this season finale. The Friars will do just that but the Huskies scoring onslaught continues. UConn, in their last 11 games, has 10 wins and just 1 loss and averaged 84 ppg in the 10 victories! OVER 140.5 in Providence |
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03-09-24 | Flyers +131 v. Lightning | Top | 0-7 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 10 m | Show |
NHL Philadelphia Flyers +130 @ Tampa Bay Lightning @ 7 ET - The Bolts remain over-rated. They are still a solid team but Vasilevskiy having a tough season and the Lightning overall have lost 8 of 14 games. The Flyers have won 8 of 14 games and continue to have a surprisingly strong season. So the value in this line clearly lies with Philly. Both the first two meetings were high-scoring and the teams did split these games but the Flyers have been the team getting the better goalie work of late and that will be the difference here. They have allowed 2 or less goals in 6 of last 8 games. The Lightning have allowed an average of 4 goals in last 9 games. PHILADELPHIA +130 |
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03-09-24 | Maple Leafs v. Canadiens OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 56 m | Show |
NHL Saturday OVER 6.5 in Montreal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs @ 7 ET - The Maple Leafs are in a bounce back spot and I expect them to respond big but I do not trust their goaltending. Toronto has allowed 4 goals in 2 of last 3 games and at least 3 goals in 7 of last 9 games. The Leafs have scored an average of 4 goals last 15 games. The Canadiens are off a 4-1 loss but this followed Montreal scoring at least 3 goals in 5 straight games. Montreal has allowed 3.7 goals per game last 10 games. This one has 4-3 (at least) written all over it! OVER 6.5 in Montreal |
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03-09-24 | Creighton v. Villanova +1.5 | Top | 69-67 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 32 m | Show |
Rotation #638: CBB Saturday Villanova Wildcats +1.5 vs Creighton Bluejays @ 2:30 ET - Creighton is a tough team but, for years (and this season is no different) they are much tougher at home than on the road. Now they face a Villanova team that has been playing great defense and is desperate for a win after a road loss at Seton Hall. Back home where they have been playing particularly well, I don't see the Wildcats being denied here. I know the Bluejays have revenge from a home loss to Nova earlier this season but the Cats are still going to prove to be the hungrier team here as their chances at getting into the Big Dance are truly dependent on winning this game. Another key is the defensive play for sure as Villanova, other than a loss at #1 UConn, has allowed only 56 points per game in their other 8 games since the end of January! Creighton is allowing 73.6 points per game since late January. Yes, the Bluejays are the better team offensively but defense and home court matters a lot in this match-up and Creighton is known for struggling with their shooting away from home and this Wildcats team has been playing solid perimeter defense as well. The desperate home club gets it done in this one! VILLANOVA +1.5 |
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03-09-24 | Steaua Bucharesti v. Rapid Bucuresti OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 31 m | Show |
Rotation #206969: Romania Liga 1: Saturday OVER 2.5 in Rapid Bucuresti vs FSCB @ 1 ET - 3 of the last 4 meetings (75%) have totaled at least 3 goals and those 3 matches averaged 4 goals apiece. 5 of last 6 Rapid matches (83%) when they are at home have totaled at least 3 goals and those matches averaged 4 goals apiece. As for FCSB, this match is in their home city but NOT their home venue as they are the road club here. 3 of their last 4 road matches (75%) have totaled at least 3 goals and those 3 matches averaged 3.3 goals apiece. These are two of the highest scoring teams in the league and FSCB has only a 24% draw rate this season. So the odds favor each team scoring plus the match NOT being a draw and that means at least a 2-1 final in what should be a fantastic match in Romania's capital Saturday. OVER 2.5 in Rapid Bucuresti |
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03-09-24 | Brentford v. Arsenal OVER 3.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 42 m | Show |
Rotation #200101: English Premier League: Saturday OVER 3.5 +115 in Brentford vs Arsenal @ 12:30 PM ET - Arsenal is scoring goals like crazy and that is why I am fully expecting 4 or more goals here! Arsenal has had 5 straight matches in EPL action total 4 or more goals and these matches actually averaged 5 goals apiece! Now they visit Brentford and when the Bees are on their home pitch in EPL action, they have also seen 5 straight matches total at least 4 goals and these matches have averaged 4.6 goals apiece. So here we are testing 5-0 / 100% Double Perfect runs and, the way each of these clubs has been attacking of late, I fully expect the goals to fly in this one. Each of those runs improving to PERFECT 6-0 as a result! OVER 3.5 +115 in Brentford |
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03-09-24 | Luton Town v. Crystal Palace OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -120 | 5 h 13 m | Show |
Rotation #200093: English Premier League: Saturday OVER 2.5 -120 in Crystal Palace vs Luton Town @ 10 AM ET - Crystal Palace is a different club under Glasner as they are a little more aggressive on the attack and have already scored 4 goals in 2 matches since he took over. However, they still are not watertight at the back for sure and this has also played a role in 10 of their last 12 matches in Premier League action totaling at least 3 goals. Also, Luton Town has scored at least 1 goal in 10 straight matches across all competitions. The last 9 of those have all totaled at least 3 goals and actually have averaged 5 goals apiece. Looking for at least a 2-1 final here given all of the above as that streak should make it 10 in a row here. OVER 2.5 -120 in Crystal Palace |
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03-09-24 | Everton v. Manchester United OVER 2.75 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 31 m | Show |
Rotation #200085: English Premier League: Saturday OVER 2.5 or 2.75 in Manchester United vs Everton @ 7:30 AM ET - Manchester United has some injury issues so that is keeping this total a little lower than it would otherwise be. I see a high-scoring match resulting in this one as the wounded dog often bites the hardest and Man U is a little angry right now after recent results as they have lost B2B premier league games. Note that 9 straight Man U matches in EPL action have totaled at least 3 goals! That means we are testing a 9-0 run here going for 10 IN A ROW! I like our chances here as 3 of the last 4 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 3 goals. Also, Everton has allowed 1.8 goals last 5 matches. Look for the aforementioned run to make it 10 in a row as we cash in on the line value with this one available at less than 3 goals in the market place. OVER 2.5 or 2.75 in Manchester United |
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03-08-24 | Wild v. Avalanche OVER 6.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
NHL Friday OVER 6.5 in Colorado Avalanche vs Minnesota Wild @ 9 ET - The Wild are in the 2nd game of a B2B and Fleury was between the pipes last night so this will likely be Gustavsson between the pipes tonight. Gustavvson has struggled over his last 6 starts with an ugly .863 save percentage and allowing 22 goals! Now he faces a red-hot Avalanche team. Colorado is 7-4 last 11 games and has scored an average of 4 goals per game during this stretch. Minnesota has won 9 of 14 games and scored an average of 3.5 goals per game during this stretch. The Wild are off B2B games against weaker foes but still they should stay hot here as confidence builds when you are scoring 4+ goals per night! The Avalanche certainly know all about that type of confidence as well. Colorado has scored at least 5 goals in 4 of last 5 games! They have had some strong goalie performances in this stretch but I just don't see them shutting down a relatively hot Wild team here as Minny is going for 10th win last 15 games! Look for each team to get to 3 goals here which would, of course, guarantee us of no less than a 4-3 final. OVER 6.5 in Colorado |
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03-08-24 | Pepperdine v. San Diego +3 | Top | 52-57 | Win | 100 | 13 h 46 m | Show |
Rotation #892: CBB Friday WCC Tourney San Diego Toreros +3 vs Pepperdine Waves @ 9 ET in Las Vegas - The Waves just blasted hapless Pacific last night. Not only is this a B2B spot for Pepperdine but they are just 1-5 SU the last 6 times they are off a win in which they allowed 63 points or less. Note that Lorenzo Romar is out as coach after this season for Pepperdine. Last night they faced a Pacific team that was also without its head coach (and was already released from the program) and so the Tigers used an associate head coach. It was a disaster for Pacific and it looked like they did not know what they were doing and they did not even challenge things defensively. It was an embarrassment. So the Waves now going from facing a Pacific team that was 0-16 in WCC action this season and did not even want to be in the tournament (apparently) to now facing a San Diego team that will come to play here. This will be Romar's final game in my opinion. He enjoyed the demolition last night but now reality sets back in. San Diego is not a great team but they are solid and the Toreros won 7 of their last 11 games. 3 of those 4 losses were against 3 of the top teams in the conference. Certainly Pepperdine does not fall into that category. That said, take advantage of the line value being offered here as the Waves won 102 to 43 last night and that has inflated this line. SAN DIEGO +3 |
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03-08-24 | Hornets +130 v. Wizards | Top | 100-112 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 25 m | Show |
NBA Friday Charlotte Hornets +130 @ Washington Wizards @ 7 ET - I know the Hornets have issues of their own but this is more about a play against Washington. Many people know that the Wizards are on an 0-16 SU losing streak but many may not realize that Washington has not won a home game in 2024! Indeed the Wizards last win at home was back in late December and they have since lost 16 home games in a row as well! So this pick is testing dual 16-0 runs in terms of play against angles. Washington is only favored here because they are at home but they actually have won only 3 home games all season! Conversely, the Hornets have won 7 road games this season including 4 since the calendar flipped the page to 2024. The point is that we are talking about solid line value here and in terms of solid SU trending so no points needed. We'll again grab the money line in this one and look for another outright upset. Charlotte has lost 5 straight but they faced a rather tough schedule and this followed a solid 5-1 SU run L6 games! I am going to challenge the Wizards to finally win a game and note that the Hornets are the better team defensively and they have gone 4-7 in divisional games while the Wizards are 2-11 in divisional games this season. Road dog is the play here and no points needed! CHARLOTTE +130 |
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03-08-24 | PSV Eindhoven v. Go Ahead Eagles OVER 3.5 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 4 m | Show |
Rotation #203941: Dutch Eredivisie Friday OVER 3.5 +103 in Go Ahead Eagles vs PSV Eindhoven @ 2 ET - PSV Eindhoven is the top club in the league and averaging an insane 3.7 goals scored per match on the road this season! As for the Go Ahead Eagles, they do have the home pitch edge here and they are averaging 2.2 goals scored per match when at home this season. Yes, this has a big total on it but you can see why. Don't be surprised if this turns into a 3-2 battle filled with goals as you have the best club in the league on the road facing a solid club trying to maintain a top 6 position in the table. The set-up is perfect for an entertaining affair here with plenty of scoring. OVER 3.5 +103 in Go Ahead Eagles |
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03-08-24 | FC Porto v. Portimonense OVER 3 | Top | 3-0 | Push | 0 | 10 h 26 m | Show |
Rotation #206649: Portugese Primeira Liga: Friday OVER 3 +100 in Portimonense vs FC Porto @ 1:45 ET - Porto is one of the top clubs in the league and scores and average of about 2 goals per match. They are favored by 2 goals here on the goal line. I anticipate a 3-1 type match as, even though Portimonense has been struggling, they should be good for at least 1 goal on their home pitch. They are scoring an average of 1 goal per match on the season but also allowing 2 goals per match on the season. Portimonense is off a scoreless draw at home but this was preceded by them scoring at least 1 goal in 10 of first 11 home matches this season! Porto has been red hot and has scored 2.5 goals per match last 11 matches across all competitions. They have averaged 2.8 goals scored in last 5 versus Portimonense. More of the same here. OVER 3 +100 in Portimonense |
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03-08-24 | Hermannstadt v. CFR Cluj OVER 2.25 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -119 | 9 h 14 m | Show |
Rotation #206961: Romania Liga 1: Friday OVER 2.5 +115 in CFR Cluj vs Hermannstadt @ 1 ET - Off B2B draws, CFR Cluj wants to finish the regular season right with a strong win on their home pitch. They have scored 2.5 goals per match last 4 matches but also allowed 8 goals last 8 matches. Look for a 2-1 type final here as CFR Cluj is one of the best clubs in the league and the highest scoring. They should get the win here but also allow at least 1 goal. Hermannstadt had been struggling to score goals but they are off a momentum-boosting 4-1 win versus Galati last week. They remain motivated for the full 3 points in the table here based on their current position so the goals should fly here. No one is sitting back on their heels for this match. OVER 2.5 +115 in CFR Cluj |
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03-08-24 | Universitatea Cluj v. Voluntari OVER 2.25 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -104 | 8 h 9 m | Show |
Rotation #206965: Romania Liga 1: Friday OVER 2.5 +110 in FC Voluntari vs Universitatea Cluj @ 1 ET - This is a huge match for Universitatea Cluj as they are trying to earn a spot in the top 6 and that gets them in the playoff round instead of the playout round which is coming up after this week's action. All they have to do is take care of business and they do control their own destiny. So they will be pushing hard for for the full 3 points in the table here. Facing Voluntari should help them! Voluntari has given up multiple goal totals in each of last 3 matches and allowed 2.7 goals per match during this stretch. I know Universitatea Cluj has been involved in some low-scoring matches of late but the situation here is the key and is also the reason the total on this one is set at 2.5 goals. Also, each of the last 3 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 3 goals! Voluntari has been struggling to score goals but they are on their home pitch for this one and every point in the table counts as they are getting ready to battle in the playout round of the post-season. They are averaging a goal per match this season and I am envisioning a 2-1 type match here in what should be a battle played with an attacking mindset. OVER 2.5 +110 in FC Voluntari |
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03-07-24 | Islanders v. Sharks OVER 6 | Top | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 21 m | Show |
NHL Thursday OVER 6 in San Jose Sharks vs New York Islanders @ 10:35 ET - Getting this total at a 6 is a great value. The Islanders have won 4 straight and averaged scoring 4 goals per match during this hot streak. However, the Sharks have been scoring better of late too and that is why I am expecting this to be a high-scoring non-conference shootout as San Jose can not stop anyone. San Jose has scored an average of 4 goals last 4 games but they have allowed 4.5 goals last 9 games! The Islanders have had 8 of last 11 games total at least 6 goals. This one will too as I expect both teams to get to 3 goals which would guarantee us of nothing less than 4-3 final. The Islanders on the first game of a long road trip and the defense may not be at its best against a non-conference foe after the Isles just notched a big win to wrap up a successful run at home. The Sharks will score well here on home ice but they continue to struggle to stop anyone! OVER 6 in San Jose |
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03-07-24 | Colorado +3 v. Oregon | Top | 79-75 | Win | 100 | 10 h 16 m | Show |
Rotation #751: College Basketball Thursday Colorado Buffaloes +3 @ Oregon Ducks @ 9 ET - This line opened up at a pick'em and now the Ducks, unsurprisingly, are all the way up to a 3 point favorite. For one thing, the Buffaloes might have Cody Williams and Julian Hammond back for this one. Additionally, even if they do not, Colorado has been winning without Hammond the last 3 games and Williams the last 2 games. They have won 4 straight games and have plenty of momentum here. I know about the home/road difference for the Buffaloes but so do the oddsmakers and this line was set this way for a reason! Now we get exceptional value after the line move. Note that Jermaine Couisnard just scored 39 for the Ducks but Oregon still lost by 20. Yes that was against Arizona but it still says a lot about this team. When the Ducks faced Colorado earlier this season Couisnard had only 11 points and the Ducks lost by 16 points! The point is that the Buffaloes, even though on the road for this rematch, have proven they match up well with this Ducks team. Additionally, Colorado has won 2 of last 5 road games including most recent one so they are starting to get a little confidence going even when traveling. The overall 4-game winning streak also helps in that regard. The Ducks loss at Colorado started an overall slide for them that they have really not bounced back from. Oregon started this season 13-3 and, ever since, has a record of 6-7. Also, the Ducks have only split (2-2) in their last 4 home games. Grab the road dog in this one! COLORADO +3 |
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03-07-24 | Nets v. Pistons +120 | Top | 112-118 | Win | 120 | 10 h 30 m | Show |
NBA Thursday Detroit Pistons +115 vs Brooklyn Nets @ 7 ET - This is a great set-up. No points needed in my opinion and we'll grab the plus money on the money line here. The Nets are without Cam Thomas and Cameron Johnson for this game. Also, Ben Simmons - as per usual - is also out for this game. Though Simmons hardly plays, Brooklyn sure could use him tonight with Thomas and Johnson being out. Another key here is the set up as the Nets are off a big divisional win over the 76ers. Though Brooklyn has won 3 of 4, the victories came against the Sixers without Embiid and Maxey and the Hawks without Trae Young. The Pistons have had a very rough season but there is a reason this line is priced this way. Don't let the number fool you. The home dog is the play here for the reasons above and I am expecting the outright upset. We'll grab the money line. DETROIT +115 |
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03-07-24 | Flyers +206 v. Panthers | Top | 2-1 | Win | 206 | 6 h 12 m | Show |
NHL Thursday Philadelphia Flyers +205 @ Florida Panthers @ 7 ET - The Flyers match up well with the Panthers. Since losing in their first meeting last season, Philadelphia has now beaten Florida 3 straight times including earlier this season as well. The point is that Florida certainly deserves being a large favorite here on an overall basis as they are one of the top teams in the NHL but this Flyers team is offering huge underdog line value here as a result. They deserve a look as a big +200 dog in this one. Philly has won 5 of last 9 road games and Florida has lost 5 of last 12 home games. Don't be surprised if the 2 to 1 DOG gets the big upset here. The Flyers are off a loss and will be in bounce back mode here while the Panthers have won 6 straight games but only have 1 streak longer than that this season. In other words, this streak is reaching its breaking point and Florida is playing the first game back home after a 3-game road trip. That also makes this a tricky spot for the hosts. PHILADELPHIA +205 |
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03-07-24 | West Ham United v. SC Freiburg OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
Rotation #224425: Europa League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg: Thursday OVER 2.5 +100 in Freiburg vs West Ham @ 3 ET - West Ham has scored 2 goals in each of the 2 recent meetings between these clubs but Freiburg will answer on the attacking front on their home pitch as well. Note that Freiburg has both scored and conceded in 4 straight matches and those matches averaged 4.5 goals apiece and all 4 totaled at least 3 goals so we are testing a 4-0 run to the over here. As for West Ham, they have scored at least 3 goals in B2B matches plus have the recent success against Freiburg plus 4 of their last 5 matches have totaled at least 3 goals. A lot of signs pointing to an entertaining match-up here. OVER 2.5 +100 in Freiburg |
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03-07-24 | Aston Villa v. Ajax Amsterdam OVER 3.25 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 11 m | Show |
Rotation #219809: Europa Conference League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg: Thursday OVER 3 -120 in Ajax Amsterdam vs Aston Villa @ 12:45 ET - Aston Villa has had 7 straight matches total at least 3 goals and 4 of the 7 totaled 4 or more so this is testing a 4-0 run in terms of matches totaling more than the 3-goal total posted on this match. Those 7 matches have averaged 4.3 goals apiece and Aston Villa has scored an average of 2.7 goals per match in their last 6 matches. So I look for the goals to fly here as Ajax will be tough on their home pitch too. Ajax is known for high-scoring matches as theirs are the highest scoring in the Dutch Eredivisie with a crazy average of 4 goals per match in their two dozen matches this season! Don't be surprised when this one also gets to at least the 4-goal mark here on their home pitch. OVER 3 -120 in Ajax Amsterdam |
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03-07-24 | Liverpool v. AC Sparta Prague OVER 3 | Top | 5-1 | Win | 110 | 7 h 45 m | Show |
Rotation #224413: Europa League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg: Thursday OVER 3 +110 in Sparta Prague vs Liverpool @ 12:45 ET - I know Liverpool has a huge match against Manchester City on deck this weekend but this club is still loaded with attacking depth and Sparta Prague are dealing with some injuries effecting the back line. That said, the Reds could surprise with a bigger than usual effort on the road in this one. However, Sparta Prague is no pushover on their home pitch and they have averaged 2.2 goals in scored in last 5 matches in Europa League action. Each of their last 3 have gone over the total and totaled at least 4 goals. I know Liverpool has produced a clean sheet in 3 straight matches but this followed a 6-match stretch in which their games were crazy and averaged 5 goals apiece. Sparta Prague can breach this backline and, at the same time, even if the Reds go with some substitute players here, these guys will be looking to impress and this one finishes with at least 3 but, even more likely, 4 or more goals! Take advantage of the over being offered at plus money in this one. OVER 3 +110 in Sparta Prague |
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03-06-24 | Kings +125 v. Lakers | Top | 130-120 | Win | 125 | 12 h 60 m | Show |
NBA Wednesday Sacramento Kings Money Line +125 @ Los Angeles Lakers @ 10:40 ET - Great set-up here. The Lakers are off a big home win versus Thunder. The Kings are off a frustrating home loss to the Bulls. As a result, Sacramento is not in a good mood here and they are the healthier team heading into this match-up also. Additionally, the Kings have won 6 of the last 7 meetings including 3 straight at LA. These teams are right next to each other in the standings and I love the situational aspect here. Sacramento is 8-2 SU this season when off a home loss. One of those 2 losses was at Denver when in this situation. The Nuggets are 24-6 at home this season and the defending champs. So in the other 9 games, including a big when hosting Denver in this situation, the Kings have gone 8-1 SU! The Lakers are certainly not the Nuggets and don't have a home court edge like Denver. LA has been strong at home this season but the Kings have not been phased in this building in the least. In fact they also just beat the Clippers in the same venue about a week ago. The Kings long-term success over the Lakers continues and we do not even need the points here. SACRAMENTO +125 |
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03-06-24 | Senators v. Ducks OVER 6.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -125 | 10 h 23 m | Show |
NHL Wednesday OVER 6.5 -125 in Anaheim Ducks vs Ottawa Senators @ 10:05 ET - The Ducks could have John Gibson (illness) back in goal for this one but he has allowed an average of 4 goals per game last 5 games. If it is Luke Dostal between the pipes, he allowed only 2 goals in most recent start but this followed him allowing at least 3 goals in 4 straight starts and he allowed an average of 4 goals per start in that stretch. He had a 3.78 GAA last season and has a 3.61 GAA this season. Both clubs likely to get to 3 goals here which would then guarantee us of at least a 4-3 final. The Senators have allowed an average of 4.4 goals last 5 games. They also had scored at least 3 goals in 5 of last 7 matches before a 4-2 loss in most recent game. In terms of GAA this season, both these clubs rank in the bottom 5 teams in the NHL! Considering all this plus the fact it is a non-conference match-up and the goals should fly in this one! OVER 6 -125 in Anaheim |
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03-06-24 | Villanova +1.5 v. Seton Hall | Top | 56-66 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
Rotation #671: CBB Wednesday 10* Top Play Villanova Wildcats +1.5 @ Seton Hall Pirates @ 6:30 ET - The Wildcats are off a win at Providence and are playing their best basketball of the season. Their defense has been fantastic. Villanova has won 5 of 6 games and, other than a loss at #1 ranked UConn, has allowed only 55 points per game in their other 7 games since then end of January. They blasted Seton Hall in that stretch so, of course, the Pirates want revenge. However, the Wildcats had great defense from Moore on the top player for Seton Hall and I expect a repeat of that here. Moore is known for his defense and he seems much healthier now than he was early this season. Also, the team as a whole is playing their best D of the season. The Pirates are at home here but are only 3-2 SU L5 home games and 2 of the wins were against the Hoyas and Blue Demons. Note that Georgetown and DePaul are a combined 2-36 SU in Big East action this season. Don't get me wrong, Seton Hall is a solid club but this game Wednesday is huge in terms of Big Dance scenarios for each of these teams and I am backing the team playing better defense that also has some match-up edges. Those match-up edges are so important in basketball. Seton Hall has allowed about 75 ppg their last 7 games. Even if you take out the B2B bad losses to Creighton and UConn, the Pirates have allowed 69 ppg their other 5 games since the end of January. We are into March and it is the time of year when defense is a key to making a big run. Tourney time is not quite yet here for the major conferences but it already feels like it is here and that will be the type of pressure involved in this game. That said, give me the better defense and the team with more confidence entering this match-up based on recent results. This one is all Wildcats. VILLANOVA +1.5 |
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03-06-24 | RB Leipzig v. Real Madrid OVER 3 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -120 | 13 h 35 m | Show |
Rotation #224213: Champions League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg: Wednesday OVER 3 -120 in Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig @ 3 ET - This is a great spot for goals. RB Leipzig completely outplayed Real Madrid in the first meeting yet they are down 1-0 after that 1st leg match. RB Leipzig knows they can create chances against this club and this time they will be cashing in on those chances. At the same time, Real Madrid is on their home pitch and they will have their scoring boots on for this one as well. Note that Real Madrid has scored at least 1 goal in 23 straight matches and has averaged scoring 2 goals per match during this stretch! As for RB Leipzig, other than the 1-0 loss to Real Madrid, they have scored at least 1 goal in 16 of last 17 matches and they scored an average of 2 goals per match in that 17-match stretch. We could see a 2-2 final here and the total available at 3 is a good value in case this match ends at 2-1 but look for both teams to score multiple goals in another match filled with a lot of chances. Real Madrid because they are at home and will be challenged by an RB Leipzig club that is fired up after an undeserved 1-nill loss and so the visitors push on the attack strong here. 2-2 or 3-2 the most likely outcomes the way I see it. OVER 3 -120 in Real Madrid |
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03-06-24 | Atalanta v. Sporting Lisbon OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -130 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
Rotation #224401: Europa League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg: Wednesday OVER 2.5 -130 in Sporting Lisbon vs Atalanta @ 12:45 ET - Portuguese Primeira Liga club hosting an Italian Serie A club in this one. Each of the last two meetings have seen both clubs score. Sporting Lisbon enters this one averaging an incredible 2.7 goals scored per match in their last 38 matches across all competitions. I just do not see Atalanta slowing this freight train down! However, Sporting Lisbon has allowed 7 goals in last 4 matches across all competitions and Atalanta should make the net ripple at least once here as well. Atalanta has scored 2.3 goals per match in their last 11 across all competitions. Atlanta has allowed 1.5 goals per match last 6 matches. Of course, Sporting Lisbon is favored here with good reason and, with the way both these clubs have been both scoring and conceding of late, I expect at least a 2-1 final here and we might even see 2-2 or 3-2 in this one as the goals should fly here. OVER 2.5 -130 in Sporting Lisbon |
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03-05-24 | Detroit v. Wisc-Milwaukee -11.5 | Top | 79-83 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 13 m | Show |
Rotation #666: CBB Horizon League Tourney Tuesday Milwaukee Panthers -11.5 vs Detroit Titans @ 8 ET - Detroit is getting a little attention in the marketplace and I get it. It is a new opportunity for the Titans after a disgusting 1-30 season. Also, they are off a tight loss to Oakland and the Golden Grizzlies are the top team in the Horizon. However, Oakland had already wrapped up the Horizon League regular season title so they were very lax defensively in that game. Detroit took advantage and shot uncharacteristically well. Now Detroit faces a fired up team in Milwaukee and the Panthers will be intense defensively. The Panthers averaged scoring about 84 ppg when at home this season and the Titans averaged only about 65 ppg when on the road this season. Don't be surprised when the hosts win this by 20+ points! They have the talent edge, the defensive edge, the rebounding edge and home court as well. Before that road loss by just 5 points to Oakland, 14 of last 18 road defeats for Detroit came by at least a dozen points! The Panthers wrapped up the regular season on a 5-1 run and blasted Green Bay 90-69 in their season finale. They carry that moment right into this game. MILWAUKEE -11.5 |
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03-05-24 | Blues v. Islanders OVER 6 | Top | 2-4 | Push | 0 | 5 h 50 m | Show |
NHL Tuesday OVER 6 in New York Islanders vs St Louis Blues @ 7:35 ET - The Blues off tight 2-1 shootout win at Philly yesterday which means now back-up goalie Joel Hofer likely gets the call here. St Louis gave up 42 shots on goal yesterday so it was Jordan Binnington who saved the day and he is unlikely to get the call again here after that workload yesterday. The Blues have had 3 straight lower-scoring games but had allowed 17 goals in last 4 road games prior to yesterday's 2-1 win. The Islanders have seen 7 of last 10 games total at least 6 goals. Off 3 straight wins and having scored 13 goals, the confidence for New York is surging higher now. This is also revenge for the Isles after a recent 4-0 loss at St Louis. They will score much better on home ice for sure but again will struggle to slow down the Blues in this one. OVER 6 in New York Islanders |
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03-05-24 | Magic v. Hornets OVER 207.5 | Top | 101-89 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 5 m | Show |
NBA Tuesday OVER 207.5 in Charlotte Hornets vs Orlando Magic @ 7 ET - This total has dropped from its opener and this is a classic case where the long-term history is being given far more credit than the current trending. Yes, the Hornets are certainly known for low-scoring games but they have been playing better of late and scoring better. Also, being on their home floor makes a difference too. At the same time, Orlando enters this game on a 3-game winning streak in which they have averaged 112 points per game. The Magic also are looking to make up for a dud though in their most recent road game. Additionally, the first meeting between these teams totaled 247 points and the Hornets won that one right here in Charlotte. So the Magic, leaders in the SE Division, also have revenge on their minds here. The Hornets are allowing 116.5 ppg last 4 games but also have scored an average of 114 ppg in their last 6 home games. That included facing the Bucks and defensive-minded Memphis and the Lakers too. The point is that Charlotte can score decently at home and they are being under-valued here in that regard. At the same time, revenge-minded Orlando should go off here as well! The Magic have won 8 of 10 and, not including OT points of course, have averaged 114 ppg in the victories. This total is just too low. OVER 207.5 in Charlotte |
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03-05-24 | Blue Jackets v. Penguins OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 5 h 38 m | Show |
NHL Tuesday OVER 6.5 in Pittsburgh vs Columbus @ 7 ET - The Penguins have allowed 4 goals per game in last 3 games and about 4 goals per game last 7 games. The Blue Jackets have allowed about 4 goals per game last 9 games! Also, Columbus is starting Jet Greaves here in goal because of an injury to their #1 goalie plus their #2 guy started last night. So they are down to option #3 here and Greaves has very little NHL experience and faces and angry Pittsburgh team here. The Pens should score well here given the above but they also will continue to struggle defensively and in goal as that problem does not fix itself overnight and the Penguins have been in a bad pattern. OVER 6.5 in Pittsburgh |
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03-05-24 | Lazio v. Bayern Munich OVER 3 | Top | 0-3 | Push | 0 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
Rotation #224201: Champions League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg: Tuesday OVER 3 -115 in Bayern Munich vs Lazio @ 3 ET - Bayern lost the first match 1-0 and must respond on their home pitch. They are a different club when at home and have plenty of firepower and will approach this one aggressively considering the circumstances. Bayern have scored 2 goals in each of last 3 matches since losing at Lazio. However, they also have allowed an average of 2 goals in last 5 matches across all competitions and conceded at least once in all 5 of those! Bayern won the two prior meetings with Lazio by an average score of 3 to 1 and that is the type of final I am looking for here. Lazio is off a 1-0 loss in Serie A action but scored at least 1 goal in 6 straight matches across all competitions prior to that one and averaged scoring 1.5 goals in those 6 matches. Of course Bayern Munich is a 1.5 favorite on the goal line for a reason and this match has 3-1 written all over it! OVER 3 -115 in Bayern Munich |
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03-05-24 | Paris Saint-Germain v. Real Sociedad OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
Rotation #224205: Champions League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg: Tuesday OVER 2.5 -105 in Real Sociedad vs Paris Saint-German @ 3 ET - Real Sociedad lost the first match 2-0 and must respond in a big way on their home pitch. Down 2 goals in this one, the hosts must risk everything to try and get on the level with PSG. I am envisioning a 2-1 type match as a result. Real Sociedad will be aggressive and they will score this time around but the aggressiveness will open things up on the counterattack as well. That said, the goals should fly well in this one. Real Sociedad had a number of high quality chances in the first half of the first meeting between these clubs but they had nothing to show for it. They will get even better chances in the rematch on their home pitch and some of these will be cashed in. Keep in mind, 3 straight Real Sociedad matches in Spanish Liga 1 action have totaled at least 3 goals and 4 straight matches across all competitions have seen them both score and concede. PSG is off a scoreless draw but this followed them scoring at least 1 goal in 26 straight matches across all competitions and these averaged 2.6 goals apiece. I know PSG has a great goalie but this club is facing a desperate host that is averaging 1.5 goals scored per match on home pitch in La Liga action this season and they are going to be on the attack here and throw caution to the wind. OVER 2.5 -105 in Real Sociedad |
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03-04-24 | Blazers v. Wolves OVER 211.5 | Top | 114-119 | Win | 100 | 13 h 12 m | Show |
NBA Monday OVER 211.5 in Minnesota Timberwolves vs Portland Trailblazers @ 8 ET - The Wolves off the 1-point low-scoring loss last night on their home floor and will go all out here against a defenseless foe. Of course that is why they are such a big favorite here and I like the fact that Minnesota has averaged 122 points per game in their 3 meetings with Portland this season. The line on this one is 14 so that would put this game at 122 to 108 if Minny hits their average against the Blazers and if the odds makers are right (as they so often are) with their assessment of the proper spread here. That would put this game in the 230 range and honestly I would not be surprised to see that and for sure, we have a lot of wiggle room with the total posted on this one as you can see. Look for an up tempo game from the T-wolves at home after that grinder last night. They will take advantage of a weaker foe and this one turns into a free-flowing game with plenty of points - yet again - between these teams. All 3 meetings this season between these teams have totaled at least 209 and given the situation here we should eclipse that for sure, just as the last two meetings have eclipsed that as well. The situation boosted by Wolves off a low-scoring loss and Blazers off a confidence-boosting rare OT road win! OVER 211.5 in Minnesota |
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03-04-24 | Queens NC v. Florida Gulf Coast -4 | Top | 69-63 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 54 m | Show |
Rotation #306662: ASUN Tourney CBB Monday: Florida Gulf Coast Eagles -4 vs Queens University Royals @ 7 ET - This is a conference tournament where the team with the better record gets it on their home court. But I am going to start with talking about road games. The reason is because you can oftentimes tell the better team by how they perform on the road. In this case, on the surface, you have two very evenly matched teams by looking at records. But if you look at how the Eagles performed on the road (including in losses!) compared to how the Royals performed on the road, you will see that Florida Gulf Coast was the stronger team on the road. Not only that, as noted above, now Queens University has to go on the road for this one while the Eagles are on their home floor. It all adds up to solid line value here as Florida Gulf Coast should take this by 5 or more points. The Eagles last 8 home games, and 11 of 13 this season, all were decided by a margin of 5 or more points. I also like the fact that FGC started 3-9 this season but then went 11-8 the rest of the way. Conversely, Queens started the season 6-5 but have since gone 7-13 the rest of the way. Also, 14 of the Royals 18 losses were by 6 or more points this season. While Queens just became division 1 in the summer of 2022, the Eagles have been Division 1 for more than dozen years and have been to the Big Dance 3 times. I like the home team for all the reasons noted above and I also like them for their better defensive play including key hustle stats like steals and blocks in their most recent match-up. Florida Gulf Coast Eagles -4 |
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03-04-24 | Arsenal v. Sheffield United OVER 3.5 | Top | 6-0 | Win | 105 | 10 h 22 m | Show |
Rotation #200081: English Premier League: Monday OVER 3.5 +100 in Sheffield United vs Arsenal @ 3 ET - Yes, this is a big total but Arsenal could get this all by themselves. They won the first meeting 5-0 and also are on a current run of incredible form in Premier League action. In their last 7 EPL matches, all 7 have totaled at least 3 goals and gone over the total. Arsenal has averaged an incredible 3.7 goals scored in those 7 matches. Like I said above, they just might get this total all by themselves. Even though Sheffield is off a road loss in which they failed to score, they certainly had some quality chances. I look for them to cash one of those types of opportunities here as Arsenal could get caught being overconfident and make a mistake in the defensive end. But the visitors should be good for at least 3 goals here the way they are going and that puts this one likely to finish at 3-1 at a minimum though I truly expect 5 or more. Note that Sheffield has allowed an average of 4 goals in their last 5 home matches across all competitions including allowing 5 goals in each of the last three! Their over run is 5-0 L5 home matches across all competitions and Arsenal over run is 7-0 L7 matches in EPL action. So we are testing Double 100% Perfect runs here with this one! OVER 3.5 +100 in Sheffield United |
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03-04-24 | Genoa v. Inter Milan OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 27 m | Show |
Rotation #201289: Italian Serie A: Monday OVER 2.5 -130 in Inter Milan vs Genoa @ 2:45 ET - Inter Milan is a heavy home favorite with good reason of course. But this Genoa club has only lost once in last 11 matches. So I do expect Genoa to keep this interesting with a most likely outcome of 3-2 or 3-1. Note that Inter Milan is favored by 1.5 goals on the goal line in this one but I just can not envision a clean sheet here. By the way, even if it was a clean sheet, note that Inter Milan won the last two home meetings with Genoa by scores of 3-0 and 4-0. Either one of those outcomes would also give us a winning ticket here. But what I like the most in this one is that Genoa has scored at least 1 goal in 9 of last 11 matches so they should get on the board here. They will struggle, however, to try to stop this Inter Milan freight train. Inter Milan has scored 4 goals in each of last 4 matches in Serie A action for a perfect 4-0 run to the over as they are firing on all cylinders right now. Don't be surprised if this match makes it a perfect 5 IN A ROW for over the total. OVER 2.5 -130 in Inter Milan |
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03-04-24 | Rapid Bucuresti v. CS U Craiova OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -119 | 9 h 22 m | Show |
Rotation #206929: Romania Liga 1: Monday OVER 2.5 -120 in Universitatea Craiova vs Rapid Bucuresti @ 1 ET - Big match between two of the better clubs in this league. Universitatea Craiova is seeking revenge for a 2-0 loss in Bucuresti earlier this season. That one followed 3 straight meetings that each totaled at least 4 goals so you can expect the goals to fly here. Rapid is off a 4-1 win preceded by a 3-1 loss. Speaking of high-scoring matches, Universitatea Craiova has gone over the total in 10 STRAIGHT matches! Those 10 matches have all totaled at least 3 goals and have averaged 3.7 goals apiece. Hosting one of the top clubs in the league, you know the hosts are going to bring an aggressive attacking style here as they have been scoring well for months now and they want revenge here. The goals should fly here and these are two of the highest scoring clubs in the league. OVER 2.5 -120 in Universitatea Craiova |
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03-04-24 | Voluntari v. Sepsi OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 33 m | Show |
Rotation #206941: Romania Liga 1: Monday OVER 2.5 +100 in Sepsi vs Voluntari @ 10 AM ET - This line has ticked up a bit from 2.25 to 2.5 and is an indication of what to expect here in terms of goals. Sepsi got back on track with a 2-1 road win and now carries that momentum back home. Voluntari seeks revenge for a 2-0 home loss the last time these clubs met. Voluntari is off B2B 2-1 losses and I look for another result like that here. The odds favor both clubs scoring at least once and the odds favor a result here rather than a draw as only 2 of Sepsi's last 12 matches and just 3 of Voluntari's last 10 matches have resulted in a draw. Both clubs, for differing reasons, are in need of the full 3 points in the table available from this match. Look for at least a 2-1 final as the end result here. OVER 2.5 +100 in Sepsi |
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03-03-24 | Penguins v. Oilers OVER 6.5 | Top | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show |
NHL Sunday OVER 6.5 in Edmonton Oilers vs Pittsburgh Penguins @ 9:05 ET - The Oilers are going with backup goalie Calvin Pickard here. He has allowed 3 goals in each of his last 3 starts. The Penguins will likely get 3 here but Oilers are favored on home ice for a reason of course. Edmonton will take advantage of a Pittsburgh team that has allowed an average of 4 goals per game last 4 games. The Oilers have actually allowed 4 goals per game last 6 home games as their strong defense and goalie work has cooled a bit since that epic 16-game winning streak. However, they have also scored 4 goals per game last 10 games overall. The point is you can see why I am expecting plenty of scoring both ways in this one and I look for at least a 4-3 final in this one. Non-conference match-ups tend to be a little higher-scoring and less defensively intense and you also have the nice goalie situation setup here plus strong recent trending. OVER 6.5 in Edmonton |
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03-03-24 | Stanford v. Colorado -13 | Top | 71-81 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 50 m | Show |
Rotation #852: CBB Sunday Colorado Buffaloes -13 vs Stanford Cardinal @ 9 ET - Colorado has been rolling offensively heading into this game and they are 15-1 SU at home this season. Stanford enters this game off 5 straight losses and with the Cardinal offense quite sluggish. The Cardinal just will not be able to keep up here. The Buffaloes know they are on the bubble and this is also their final home game of the season. You know that kind of effort that will result in for Colorado ... it will absolutely be an intense effort from the hosts here and they pull away for a win by about 20. One of Stanford's better shooters dealing with a wrist injury so that is not helping matters either as the Cardinal slide toward an ugly finish to the season. Not including OT points of course, the Buffaloes have averaged 83 ppg last 3 games - all wins. The Cardinal have averaged just 66 points in their last 5 games - all losses. I do not normally lay big points but this one is screaming blowout rout! Lay it! COLORADO -13 |
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03-03-24 | Canucks v. Ducks OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -102 | 7 h 17 m | Show |
NHL Sunday OVER 6.5 in Anaheim Ducks vs Vancouver Canucks @ 8 ET - Ducks have won last two games by a combined score of 10 to 7. Prior to that, 3 straight losses by combined score of 14 to 8. Overall, Anaheim's last 10 games have averaged 7.5 goals apiece and I am expecting at least 7 tonight. Vancouver comes into town angry after a rare tough stretch at home. The Canucks have allowed about 5 goals per game last 7 games! Hard to trust them to slow down a Ducks team that has been scoring well. But absolutely Vancouver needed to get on the road and they will be rejuvenated and they will score goals against an Anaheim team that has been allowing too many goals of late and, truly, all season long. OVER 6.5 in Anaheim |
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03-03-24 | Hornets v. Raptors OVER 221.5 | Top | 106-111 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 51 m | Show |
NBA Saturday OVER 221.5 in Toronto Raptors vs Charlotte Hornets @ 6 ET - The Hornets are off loss in which they scored 114 points and they have been much more competitive recently. That said, look for them to score plenty and hang close with this Raptors team favored by 8 points in this one. Toronto should score very well here but is not known for defense. Toronto has allowed at least 119 points in 7 of last 8 games! They allowed 124 ppg in those 7 games. You can see why I am expecting an improving Charlotte team to score well given those numbers. Also, 2 of the 3 meetings between these teams totaled at least 235 points this season. Toronto has averaged 121.5 ppg scoring last 6 games. Given all of these numbers you can see why I am expecting at least 230s in this one. We get a low total here because of Charlotte's long-term reputation but look at their short-term plus look at the long-term of these Raptors. This game will be wide-open! OVER 221.5 in Toronto |
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03-03-24 | Toronto FC v. New England OVER 3 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 3 m | Show |
Rotation #209913: Major League Soccer: Sunday OVER 2.75 -120 or OVER 3 +100 in New England vs Toronto @ 2 ET - The NE defense was dreadful in their 3-1 loss last week. Toronto is amped up to end a long road losing streak. That said, look for the visitor to push hard on the attack here as new manager, Herdman, knows this team needs to get some offense going and this is the perfect spot to do it given the struggles of New England along the backline. Toronto gained a bit of a "victory" with a 0-0 draw last week but they face NE off a loss and the hosts will be on the attack early and often. It is not like Toronto was not conceding chances last week but their goalie bailed them out. New England scored 2 goals per match at home last season! Toronto allowed 2 goals per match on the road last season. But the hosts are not a huge favorite here with good reason. Their defense can not be trusted. Don't be surprised if we see a 3-2 final here or even a 2-2 draw. OVER 2.75 -120 or OVER 3 +100 in New England |
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03-03-24 | Petrolul 52 v. Steaua Bucharesti OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -112 | 10 h 39 m | Show |
Rotation #206949: Romania Liga 1: Sunday OVER 2.5 -110 in FCSB vs Petrolul Ploiesti @ 1:30 ET - Petrolul Ploiesti put up a valiant effort in their 3-2 home loss to Universitatea Craiova in their most recent match. I liked the aggression I saw from them in this match and now they face FCSB in Bucuresti. FCSB is at the top of the table in the league and off wins by counts of 2-1 and 3-2. Also, each of the last two meeting with Petrolul Ploiesti have totaled at least 4 goals. FCSB continues to battle strong and show their depth even with some players out with injury or due to red card suspension. Petrolul Ploiesti is still mathematically alive to get into the playoff rounds rather than the playout positions so don't be surprised if you see another valiant effort here and the goals should fly in this one as a result. The visitors going strong for the full 3 points in the table and the league leaders will surely score well at home. OVER 2.5 -110 in FCSB |
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03-03-24 | Seton Hall v. Connecticut OVER 138.5 | Top | 61-91 | Win | 100 | 4 h 42 m | Show |
Rotation #815: CBB Sunday OVER 138.5 in Connecticut Huskies vs Seton Hall Pirates @ Noon ET - The Huskies will be relentless in this game. They lost at Seton Hall again this season, just like last season. Now they get revenge at home as a win here locks up the Big East regular season title for them. Connecticut then does not even have to worry about next week's game at Marquette. Of course the Huskies are pretty well locked into winning the title thanks to the Golden Eagles loss yesterday but why not make it official now? Of course the Huskies want to do that and, of course, they are about a 15-point favorite here with good reason. Connecticut shot very poorly against the Pirates earlier this season. That is not happening here at home! The Huskies will score very well here but the Pirates have enough scoring to hang around in this game. Let say Seton Hall only gets to 65, that still puts this game at about 80-65 per the spread on this game and that is mid-140s and we have a posted total that has come down to the upper 130s. Lets take advantage! Seton Hall is off a loss at Creighton but this followed wins in 5 of 6 games and the Pirates scored an average of 76 points in the 5 wins. The Huskies are averaging 81 ppg this season. I like the odds on them getting their average in a revenge spot in which they will be relentless in attacking on the offensive end. The Huskies have averaged 84 points scored in last 8 wins. More of the same here. OVER 138.5 in Connecticut |
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03-03-24 | Manchester United v. Manchester City OVER 3.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 47 m | Show |
Rotation #200077: English Premier League Sunday OVER 3.5 -115 in Manchester City vs Manchester United @ 10:30 AM ET - The last 2 meetings in EPL have each totaled 3 goals but the last 4 meetings in EPL action have averaged 5 goals apiece. I am looking for at least 4 here as City is scoring an average of 2.4 goals per match at home this season. United is scoring 1.4 goals per match this season. The key about Man U though is they flipped a switch after Christmas. Since then, in their 11 matches across all competitions, United has averaged 2.3 goals scored per match. They will get theirs here but City is a heavy favorite with good reason of course. City is coming off a 6-2 thrashing of Luton Town in FA Cup action and Haaland scored 5 goals in that amazing performance! Man U comes in with confidence too as they have won their 6 road fixtures across all competitions since the calendar turned the page to 2024! Man City is favored by as much as 2 goals on the goal line here and I am forecasting at least a 3-1 final here. City will show no mercy against their rivals but also they had conceded at least once in 12 of last 14 matches in EPL action prior to B2B 1-0 wins in their last two in league action. Look for the goals to fly in this one! OVER 3.5 -115 in Manchester City |
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03-03-24 | AFC Bournemouth v. Burnley OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -140 | 3 h 59 m | Show |
Rotation #200073: English Premier League Sunday OVER 2.5 -145 in Burnley vs Bournemouth @ 8 AM ET - Bournemouth could get a boost with the return of Dominic Solanke for this one. If nothing else, they get a morale boost based on his MRI coming back negative. There is still much work to be done for Bournemouth as they are 13th in the table but 7 points away from 12th position. Speaking of work to do, Burnley is in the relegation zone and has its work cut out in terms of trying to get out of this hole they've put themselves into. That said, I look for a strong push from both clubs here as they each need the full 3 points in the table. On that note Bournemouth has only 3 draws in 13 matches on the road this season and Burnley has just 4 draws in 26 matches on the season! Chances of a draw are slim and odds on both teams scoring are strong so at least a 2-1 final has a great shot here! Bournemouth allowing 2.2 goals per match when traveling. Burnley allowing 2.5 goals as a host this season. Look for the goals to fly in this one! OVER 2.5 -145 in Burnley |
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03-03-24 | Botosani v. Universitatea Cluj OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 55 m | Show |
Rotation #206937: Romania Liga 1: Sunday OVER 2.5 +100 in Universitatea Cluj vs FC Botosani @ 7:30 AM ET - Universitatea Cluj won the first meeting this season 3-0 at Botosani. Also, the last time they hosted Botosani they won 2-0. They are going to get their goals again here but they will not shutout Botosani this time around. The visitors have been playing a much more aggressive style ever since the winter break. This has led to them both scoring and conceding in all 5 matches last month! All 5 of those matches went over the total and totaled at least 3 goals. Look for this perfect totals run to make it 6 IN A ROW here on Sunday. OVER 2.5 +100 in Universitatea Cluj |
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03-02-24 | Gonzaga +2.5 v. St. Mary's | Top | 70-57 | Win | 100 | 11 h 35 m | Show |
Rotation #801: CBB Saturday Gonzaga Bulldogs +2.5 @ St Mary's Gaels @ 10 ET - The Gaels already wrapped up the #1 seed for the WCC Tourney that is coming up. They should also have locked up a spot in the NCAA Tourney as well. That said, this game is not nearly as important to St Mary's as it is to Gonzaga. The Bulldogs have not been quite as strong as they usually are but they still showed what they can do in their most recent game with a blowout win courtesy of a huge 2nd half and that was on the road also. Now here they are out for revenge after losing at home 64-62 to the Gaels earlier this season. One of the big keys that night for St Mary's was Joshua Jefferson as he had 25% of their points with 16 points plus had 11 rebounds. He is now out for the season. Further limiting their depth in the paint is 7-footer Harry Wessels is out. The Bulldogs will take advantage here in the paint and they have big-time scorers all over the floor. Yes, the Gaels will try to slow them down but this game belongs to Gonzaga. I love the fact moved from the Bulldogs being a small favorite to now being an underdog of more than a bucket. There is a reason the line was originally set the way it was and the Bulldogs are all set for revenge here. GONZAGA +2.5 |
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03-02-24 | Nuggets v. Lakers | Top | 124-114 | Win | 100 | 9 h 53 m | Show |
NBA Saturday Denver Nuggets Pick -110 @ Los Angeles Lakers @ 8:40 ET - The Lakers have been playing well at home this season including 4 straight wins. However, the Nuggets have won 5 straight overall and are the much stronger team in this match-up. They just beat Miami in most recent game even though Murray was only able to play 14 minutes. Even if he does not play tonight I still like Denver in this spot. But don't be surprised if he does suit up for facing the Lakers here. The Nuggets have 3 straight wins over solid teams in their 5-game run. Although the Lakers have won 4 straight at home, the last 3 wins were against the Wizards, Pistons and Spurs. Those are the 3 worst teams in the NBA with a combined record of 30-149 on the season! Now they face a 40-19 Denver team that is one of the top teams in the NBA and the defending champs. The Nuggets have beaten the Lakers 3 straight time and in both match-ups this season and now they make it 4 in a row and get the season 3-game sweep over this over-rated LA bunch. DENVER Pick -110 |
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03-02-24 | Blue Jackets v. Blackhawks OVER 6 | Top | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 39 m | Show |
NHL Saturday OVER 6 -115 in Chicago Blackhawks vs Columbus Blue Jackets @ 8 ET - This total being held at a 6 because Chicago is involved. But don't be surprised if the Blackhawks finally break out and have a rare stronger scoring game. Keep in mind, they have faced a tough schedule of late and that has impacted their scoring too. But they can score on Merzlikins and an overall weak Blue Jackets defense. At the same time, Chicago will have trouble slowing down the Blue Jackets here as Columbus also ready to have a breakout game offensively against a weaker foe. The key here is that little-used Arvid Soderblom was in the starters crease this morning and will likely get the start tonight. He has a 3.97 GAA this season and has allowed 39 goals in his last 9 starts! Both clubs score better, as you would expect, when facing weaker opposition and this is a match-up of two of the worst teams in the league. Couple that with the goalie situation and I expect plenty of back and forth in this non-conference battle. Look for each team to get to 3 here and that would translate, of course, to nothing less than a 4-3 final in this one. OVER 6 -115 in Chicago |
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03-02-24 | Senators v. Flyers OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -120 | 5 h 18 m | Show |
NHL Saturday OVER 6.5 -120 in Philadelphia Flyers vs Ottawa Senators @ 7 ET - The Senators are starting Mads Sogaard in goal for this one and he has struggled in his limited action thus far. The Flyers are likely starting Felix Sandstrom and his numbers are not impressive either. The Flyers Carter Hart has been out for quite awhile and now Cal Peterson got waived so that means the only other option for Philly is starting Sam Ersson in the 2nd night of a B2B but that is not a good option generally speaking. So little used backup goalies rule the story in this one. Plus you have two teams that have been scoring quite well. The Flyers have scored an average of 3.6 goals per game last 10 games. The Senators have scored 3 goals per game last 11 games. Look for each team to get to 3 here and that would translate, of course, to nothing less than a 4-3 final in this one. OVER 6.5 -120 in Philadelphia |
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03-02-24 | Virginia +9.5 v. Duke | Top | 48-73 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 11 m | Show |
Rotation #733: CBB Saturday Virginia Cavaliers (+) @ Duke Blue Devils @ 6 ET - This is a revenge spot for Virginia. The last time they met Duke it was not just any game, it was the ACC Championship Game last March. They lost the game by 10 but it was a 4-point game with under a minute to go. The Cavaliers had a rough shooting effort in that game and that was the difference but they proved once again that they are capable of slowing down the Blue Devils offensive production. Duke comes into this one hot but look at what they have done against other strong ACC teams, like Virginia, this season. The Blue Devils lost to North Carolina, they went 1-1 against Wake Forest (and the win was by 8 points) and they did beat Clemson but only by 1 point. They did crush Syracuse but split against Pitt including losing here at home to the Panthers. This Cavaliers team has not forgotten the ACC Final from a year ago and they play solid defense and the offense, led by playmaker Reece Beekman, looked really strong earlier this week in winning on the road at Boston College. Don't be surprised if this one goes to the wire and I feel we have exceptional value here with such a strong defense getting huge points in this revenge match. Remember too that North Carolina already beat Duke this season and that is the same UNC team that Virginia lost too by 10 but trailed by only 5 with under a minute to go. I just feel this line is absolutely inflated when you consider the Blue Devils performance against solid ACC teams this season. VIRGINIA (+) |
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03-02-24 | Columbus v. Minnesota United OVER 3 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 29 m | Show |
Rotation #209865: Major League Soccer: Saturday OVER 2.5 -160 or 3 -105 in Minnesota United vs Columbus @ 2 ET - Both clubs like to play aggressive on the attack. Minnesota has some injury issues but you know the place is going to be jumping for the home opener and the fact they are hosting the defending champs. However, Columbus is certainly still favored for a reason. I would not be surprised to see a 3-2 type match here given the propensity of each club to attack. However, even a 2-1 final at least avoids a loss for us here and that is an added insurance value for sure. Note that Minnesota won their first match 2-1 on the road. Columbus off a tight 1-0 win at home but allowed 38 goals in 23 road matches last season yet still won the title! Columbus was the leading scoring club in the league last season with an average of 2 goals scored per match. Minnesota scored 1.4 goals per match as a host last season and they fired their coach 4 months ago as this team looks to be more aggressive and improve on the attack. Though their new head coach is not yet on the sideline they did respond well under the interim manager last week and I look for another solid performance here after netting twice last week on the road. The result should be a high-scoring entertaining affair. OVER 2.5 -160 or 3 -105 in Minnesota |
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03-02-24 | Aston Villa v. Luton Town OVER 3 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
Rotation #200069: English Premier League: Saturday OVER 3 -135 in Luton Town vs Aston Villa @ 12:30 ET - Each of the last 3 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 3 goals and the last two meetings totaled 4 goals! Luton Town has been scoring better but still can not stop anyone and Aston Villa will breach these weak back-line early and often in this one. Aston Villa has seen 6 straight matches total at least 3 goals and 4 of the 6 totaled at least 4 goals. Luton Town has had 8 straight matches total at least 3 goals and 5 of last 6 have all totaled at least 4 goals. OVER 3 -135 in Luton Town |
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03-02-24 | Villanova +2.5 v. Providence | Top | 71-60 | Win | 100 | 4 h 36 m | Show |
Rotation #601: CBB Saturday Villanova Wildcats +2.5 @ Providence Friars @ Noon ET - This one has made a big move toward Providence as Villanova opened as the small favorite here. I understand the move because the Friars have the home court edge here but also feel the odds makers had this one right. The Wildcats have been playing great defense. Other than a loss to a UConn team that is one of the best teams in the nation, Nova has allowed only 54 ppg in their other 6 games since the beginning of February. Villanova won 5 of those 6 games. They'll win this one too! Providence has lost 4 of last 8 games and allowed 77 points per game in their last 6 games since losing 68 to 50 at Villanova. Grab the better defense and the points here in a key game for Big Dance hopes. VILLANOVA +2.5 |
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03-02-24 | Crystal Palace v. Tottenham Hotspur OVER 3 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 54 m | Show |
Rotation #200065: English Premier League: Saturday OVER 3 -115 in Tottenham vs Crystal Palace @ 3 ET - 4 of the last 5 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 3 goals. Tottenham continues to concede goals even when on their home pitch. They do have plenty of dangerous attacking assets however and they are well-rested after having a break of 2 weeks off prior to this one. I look for the Hotspur to be relentless on the attack here as a result. Each of their last 4 matches have totaled at least 3 goals and these matches averaged 4 goals apiece. 5 of last 6 Crystal Palace matches have all totaled at least 3 goals. Palace has been scoring better with an average of 1.8 goals per match last 5 matches. But they still struggle to stop the opposition and prior to their shutout of a struggling Burnley club, had allowed an average of 3 goals per match last 5 matches. The goals should fly in this one as well! OVER 3 -115 in Tottenham |
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03-02-24 | U Craiova 1948 v. UTA Arad OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 4 h 40 m | Show |
Rotation #206925: Romania Liga 1: Saturday OVER 2.5 -105 in UTA vs FCU 1948 Craiova @ 7 AM ET - This total has ticked up some in the market place from 2.25 to a 2.5 and it is a good sign of what to expect here. UTA took the first meeting at FCU 1948 Craiova by a count of 3-2 so now the visitors come into this one looking for a little road revenge. They will be aggressive from the outset but the hosts are not going to be held quiet either! UTA has actually scored at least 1 goal in 6 straight matches and averaged 1.7 goals per match during this run. The issue for UTA is they are conceding far too many goals as well. They have allowed 14 goals in last 8 matches for an average of 1.8 goals per match. FCU 1948 Craiova has scored at least 1 goal in 14 of last 17 matches and averaged 1.5 goals scored in those 14 matches. Each club scores at least once here and FCU 1948 Craiova has only a 14% draw rate this season - lowest in the league - so look for at least a 2-1 final here. OVER 2.5 -105 in UTA |
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03-01-24 | Dayton -110 v. Loyola-Chicago | Top | 72-77 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 42 m | Show |
Rotation #887 CBB Friday Top Play Dayton Flyers Pick -110 @ Loyola-Chicago Ramblers @ 9 ET - This is a huge game and we get line value because the Flyers are on the road. Certainly the Ramblers are a solid team and deserve respect but it is with good reason that Dayton is already more of a consideration for the NCAA Tourney than Loyola in the most up to date projections provided for the Big Dance. In a key game like this I like to have the more seasoned team and the more veteran coach. Dayton certainly is the better program long-term and their coach is Anthony Grant. In the last 5 seasons (including this one) he has a combined record of 108-39! That is a helluva strong record and he will be turning 58 next month. As for the Ramblers Drew Valentine, he is just 32 and is one of the youngest head coaches in Division 1 basketball. Valentine had success in his first season here but a lot of that could be contributed to the Porter Moser regime that immediately preceded him. The true test begins after that first year and some of the prior coach's players are gone. Valentine, in the two seasons (including this one) since his rookie campaign as head coach, has led Loyola-Chicago to a 29-28 record. So the point is that, despite these teams being neck and neck in the A-10 standings this season, I would still argue that the Flyers are absolutely the superior team and have the coaching edge here too which is huge in big games like this. Dayton won both meetings last season including by 16 points here in Chicago despite making just 4 of 18 threes in that game. Certainly Loyola has improved this season but they are 0-3 against solid teams like Richmond, VCU and St Bonaventure. The Flyers opened up as a 2 point favorite here on the road with good reason and I like them even more now that the early line movement has taken this one down to a pick'em. DAYTON Pick -110 |
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03-01-24 | Hornets v. 76ers OVER 212.5 | Top | 114-121 | Win | 100 | 9 h 52 m | Show |
NBA Friday Top Play OVER 212.5 in Philadelphia 76ers vs Charlotte Hornets @ 7:10 ET - Tough break for those had the over, like we did, in last night's Hornets vs Bucks match-up. That game had 121 points at the half but then a ridiculous 89 points the rest of the way for a tough loss for those holding over tickets. Tonight should make up for that. I know Charlotte has a lot of low-scoring results but this Philly team has 2 road games on deck and they are coming off an ugly road loss at Boston. The 76ers will be ready to run plenty here at home as they continue play a different type of basketball with Embiid sidelined. As mentioned in prior write-ups, the Sixers traded away defense and grit for more offense and shooting when they were recently active before the trade deadline. Of course in a tough divisional game like they just had against the Celtics the results of that don't necessarily show up. But in a game like this hosting a Hornets team with one of the worst records in the NBA, you will see plenty of attacking from the Sixers offense here. Tobias Harris snaps his scoring slump with a big game against a road-adverse Hornets team. Charlotte had allowed 120.5 ppg L6 road games prior to rare low-scoring games at Portland and Golden State. That was followed by a home and home set with Bucks in which the allowed an average of 117 ppg. The Sixers have allowed 118 ppg since Embiid has been out with the injury after the Warriors game in late January. Sixers will play fast tonight and force the tempo as they look for a big home blowout. Take advantage of the line value as this total has dropped from its opener. OVER 212.5 in Philadelphia |
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03-01-24 | Flyers -132 v. Capitals | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -132 | 7 h 13 m | Show |
NHL Friday Top Play Philadelphia Flyers -135 @ Washington Capitals @ 7 ET - Probably it will be Ersson between the pipes here for Philly but even if it is Sandstrom I still like this play. Philly has won 6 of 10 games since the All-Star break and is coming off a huge 6-2 win versus Tampa Bay. Conversely, Washington is coming off a loss to Detroit by a count of 8-3. Even though the Capitals were playing a little better they now are without TJ Oshie and it continues to be a challenging season. They will have Wilson back tonight but the Flyers have an enforcer to match him and Wilson's presence will just spur on the Flyers even more as this is a solid divisional rivalry match-up and he is an agitator. Philly has been plenty motivated on their own anyway as they have really responded well this season and grown well as a team this season. They are a legitimate threat for making the post-season and currently are in a playoff position. The same can not be said for Washington and the Capitals are also still without Nic Dowd for this one too as they have had injury issues for much of this season. The Flyers have a +5.6 shot differential this season while the Capitals have a -3.3 shot differential on the season. These per game averages further reflect how the Flyers have been the stronger team this season and that continues in this match-up tonight. Lay it! Philadelphia -135 |