Free Football Picks

Cavaliers vs Magic

1 ET | Kia Center

5-Unit Bet on the Over currently priced at 201.5 points.

The following NBA betting algorithm has produced a 22-10-1 Over record good for 69% winning bets since 2006. The requirements are:

·      Bet the Over.

·      The home team priced between a 3.5-point favorite and a 3.5-point underdog.

·      The game occurs in the playoffs.

·      The home team is coming off a home win.

·      The road team shot less than 25% from beyond the arc.

Consider betting 75% preflop and then look to add the remaining 25% of your 8-Unit best bet at 196.5 points during the first half of action.

My predictive model shows an 82% probability that the Magic have an 85% probability that they will score 111 or more points and have the same or fewer turnovers. In home games over the last five seasons the Magic have seen the Over go 31-11 for 74% winning bets when they have met these performance measures in games that had a posted total of 200 or more points.

1*

Ricky's 1* play on CIN.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- Cincinnati are 5-3-3 in their last 11 home matches.

- Cincinnati are 3-2-1 in their last 6 matches.

- Colorado has conceded 16 goals in their last 10 matches.

Verdict: The Value is on the home favorite.

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#25 NHL Free Play Carolina Hurricanes -178 over NY Islanders, Saturday 2 ET - The Hurricanes are already up 3-0 and we see this series ending today on Saturday. The Islanders had an unfortunate draw here in terms of the playoff seeding and are simply out-classed here. The Canes are ready to move on and rest up for the next series and will not let up here. The Islanders lost the first two games by a multi-goal margin and though the next one was only a 3-2 loss, the Isles trailed all the way. The fact they fell just short in a tight one-goal loss is a tough defeat to come back from. Had they got back into the series we might see this one differently but now down 3 games to none, the Isles won't quit of course but their confidence level is shot and the Canes want to end this now. Carolina has had some recent playoff disappointment and they appear to be on a mission. This one is a bit too pricey to make our premium pick listing for Saturday but the Hurricanes are absolutely worth a look here in Game 4 per the above. Lay it! 

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Cleveland at Orlando 1:00 ET

Cavaliers/Magic (UNDER)- The Orlando Magic hope for more home-court dominance in their Eastern Conference first-round playoff series. After being limited to 83 and 86 points in series-opening losses at Cleveland, the Magic regained their offensive footing on their home floor Thursday night, shooting 51.1 percent in a 121-83 romp that narrowed their series deficit to 2-1. Orlando also dominated the visitors on the boards, earning a 51-32 overall advantage while also retrieving 14 of their own misses, turning the offensive rebounds into an additional 22 points. The losing team has yet to score more than 86 points in the series....

Play UNDER!