Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-18-22 | Hurricanes +117 v. Bruins | Top | 7-1 | Win | 117 | 7 h 56 m | Show |
NHL Earliest Annihilation Tuesday 10* Top Play Carolina Hurricanes +115 @ Boston Bruins @ 7:05 ET - The Bruins are playing well and are a strong team for sure. But how many times do you get to take a team like the Hurricanes as an underdog? Carolina is one of the best teams in the NHL and they are built well to beat a team like Boston. In fact they already did it earlier this season by a 3-0 count! The Canes are a tough hard-nosed team just like their coach is a tough hard-nosed no-nonsense guy. Rod Brind'Amour again gets the most of out his team here and they win this one on the road. Though the Bruins have won 3 straight home games now, this is still a team that were on a run of 7 losses in 11 home games heading into this hot stretch on home ice. The Hurricanes are 13-4-1 on the road this season for the best road mark in the NHL. I will gladly back them here in the rare underdog role. 10* CAROLINA +115 |
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01-18-22 | Maryland v. Michigan OVER 136 | Top | 64-83 | Win | 100 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
CBB Big Ten Total of the Month Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 136 in Michigan Wolverines vs Maryland Terrapins @ 7 ET - The Wolverines off ugly low-scoring loss but to a tough Illinois team and the over was on a 5-1 run in Michigan games heading into that one. Maryland is off an ugly low-scoring loss to Rutgers but the Terrapins entered that game having had only 1 under last 7 games. Both teams off games where they were held under 60 points. Both teams had been trending over prior to those disappointing losses. Also note that the last 4 meetings between these teams all were overs. It all adds up to a solid opportunity for an over based on situational factors. 10* OVER 136 in Michigan |
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01-18-22 | Baylor -6 v. West Virginia | Top | 77-68 | Win | 100 | 7 h 24 m | Show |
CBB ESPN2 Dominator Monday 10* Top Play Baylor Bears -5.5 @ West Virginia Mountaineers @ 5 ET - Buy low, sell high. It works in the stock market and it works long-term in the sports betting market as well. Does not mean you win every single time but when opportunities like this come around I don't hesitate to get involved. The Bears have lost back to back games so there is an anti-Baylor sentiment right now. This line has dropped already from 6.5 to 5.5 but I look at this situation differently than the markets and hence the value here. The Bears are a very good basketball team off back to back losses and now they are on the road so we get some line value with a manageable spread since they are travelers for this one! Keep in mind, the host Mountaineers are on a 1-3 ATS run which included 2 SU losses. Those 2 SU losses for West Virginia were each by 15 or more points! Look for another double digit margin here as the Bears pull away as this one goes one. 10* BAYLOR -5.5 |
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01-18-22 | Chelsea v. Brighton & Hove Albion OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 9 m | Show |
EPL Afternoon Annihilation Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +110 in Brighton & Hove vs Chelsea @ 3 ET - With Chelsea off a disappointing loss to Manchester City I could see them being a little deflated here at the start of this one. Brighton & Hove should at least be good for one goal in this one and might get more because Chelsea's #1 goalkeeper is currently at the Africa Cup of Nations. So they are down to their #2 defending the net but Chelsea still has plenty of firepower to score some goals of their own here. Prior to the 1-0 defeat versus City, Chelsea had scored an average of 2.5 goals their last 4 matches. Brighton & Hove scoring an average of 1.8 goals per match last 5 matches across all competitions and will bounce back here from a 1-1 draw versus Crystal Palace. Ironically they also had a 1-1 draw versus Chelsea in their first match of this campaign 3 weeks ago. I am looking for at least a 2-1 final in this one and am happy to have the plus money with the over here. 10* OVER 2.5 in Brighton & Hove |
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01-17-22 | Cardinals +4 v. Rams | Top | 11-34 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
NFL Game of the Month Monday 10* Top Play Arizona Cardinals +4 @ Los Angeles Rams @ 8:15 ET - The road team won both meetings in the regular season. Rams on a 2-4 ATS run in home games. Cardinals were 8-1 SU and ATS in road games. Los Angeles known for playoff disappointment. I also like Murray over Stafford at the QB spot as the latter has been a little turnover-prone of late and the former is such a dangerous playmaker. The Cards are offering line value here because there is a lot of anti-Arizona sentiment based on their late season fade but a lot of that had to do with some injury issues that have since improved. Other than the split against Arizona, Los Angeles went just 1-4 SU in games against teams that ended up in the playoffs this season. Also, the Rams had a pair of wins against two other teams (Colts and Ravens) that came by margins of just 3 and 1, respectively. The point is that there is a lot of value with grabbing the points here in my opinion and an outright upset would certainly not surprise me in the least. 10* ARIZONA +4 |
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01-17-22 | Drake v. Southern Illinois OVER 130 | Top | 60-59 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 28 m | Show |
CBB Blowout Rout Monday 10* Top Play OVER 130 in Southern Illinois Salukis vs Drake Bulldogs @ 8 ET - Double revenge spot for the Salukis as they lost both match-ups with the Bulldogs last season. Hard to trust Southern Illinois though here against a Drake team playing well this season. What I can trust is that we have good value with the low total posted on this one. 6 of last 8 Salukis games have totaled at least 130 points. Drake has won 6 of last 7 games and have scored 80 or more points in 4 of last 5 wins. 14 of the 17 Bulldogs games, not including OT points, have totaled more than the posted total on this game. Great value here in my opinion. 10* OVER 130 in Southern Illinois |
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01-17-22 | Flyers +180 v. Islanders | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 16 m | Show |
NHL TOP Annihilation Monday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers Money Line +180 @ New York Islanders @ 7:35 ET - This play is as much about a play against the Islanders as it is a play on the Flyers. We also get line value because Martin Jones is getting the start instead of Carter Hart in goal for Philadelphia. Note that the Flyers had a strong run before this losing streak and Jones was in goal for 3 of the wins and NONE of the losses in the 5-0-1 run! Jones has been a solid back-up this season and the Flyers lost his most recent start in OT. They also enter this game off 3 straight one-goal losses including one in OT. Philly has been right on the cusp of getting into the win column and yet falling just short. Here they will take advantage of facing an Islanders team that struggles to score goals. Both clubs struggle to score goals but it is the Isles that are -200 faves here and that just is not justified in my opinion. The Islanders have won 35% of their home games this season and the Flyers have won 35% of their road games this season and should have Ristolainen back to bolster the defense tonight. I'll take the big plus money here. 10* PHILADELPHIA +180 |
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01-17-22 | Bucks v. Hawks OVER 231.5 | Top | 114-121 | Win | 100 | 6 h 48 m | Show |
NBA Contrarian Dominator Monday 10* Top Play OVER 231.5 in Atlanta Hawks vs Milwaukee Bucks @ 6 ET - The Bucks have been trending under but this total is moving upward. What does that tell you? Exactly! Some sharp money on the over in this one and that includes ours! The Hawks on a 7-3 run to the over and the Bucks had averaged 128 ppg last 3 road games before their last two were duds at Charlotte. Look for Milwaukee to get back on track on the road offensively as they take on an Atlanta team that is happy to push the tempo as well. 10* OVER 231.5 in Atlanta |
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01-16-22 | Steelers v. Chiefs OVER 46 | Top | 21-42 | Win | 100 | 10 h 41 m | Show |
NFL Wild Card Total of the Year Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 46 in Kansas City Chiefs vs Pittsburgh Steelers @ 8:15 ET - Decent football weather expected for this one with no precipitation, temperatures right around freezing and winds around a moderate 10 mph. Both offenses will have the playbooks wide open for this one. Now I know that the Steelers offense has struggled but the way I see this game playing out is the Chiefs getting a big lead and then we're going to see some extra scoring in garbage time for sure. Just like Big Ben had a big game in his final home game of his career two weeks ago, the Steelers also want to give him a good send off here and everyone will likely be doing their part in that regard. That means more points than you would likely expect from the Steelers here. Keep in mind, the Chiefs have allowed at least 24 points in 3 of last 4 games and that is part of the reason the over trend is 5-0 last 5 Kansas City games. Also, about that Steelers defense, it has not traveled well. Pittsburgh has allowed 33.4 points per game in last 5 road games. The Chiefs are favored by about two touchdowns here and given the above numbers and the situation with Roethlisberger airing it out in this game I feel certain, look for a 35-21 or 38-24 type game here. This should fly over as a 6th straight KC game tops the number. 10* OVER 46 in Kansas City |
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01-16-22 | Loyola Maryland v. Lehigh OVER 133 | Top | 69-57 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 42 m | Show |
CBB In the Zone Sunday Top Play 10* OVER 133 in Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs Loyola Maryland Greyhounds @ 6 ET - This total has moved lower than it should be in my opinion and we have excellent line value here as a result. The Greyhounds have won 4 straight and 9 of last 11 so they are playing with a lot of confidence. Loyola Maryland, and not including OT points, has had only 3 games out of last 10 that have totaled less than the posted total on this game. The odds are in our favor to top this total because Lehigh also playing with added confidence from winning 5 of last 6 games. No the Mountain Hawks are not a great team by any stretch of the imagination but winning games and now playing again at home here, it all adds up to confidence and a good pace of play. Lehigh has averaged 78.4 points scored per game in those 5 wins. 10* OVER 133 in Lehigh |
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01-16-22 | 49ers +3 v. Cowboys | Top | 23-17 | Win | 102 | 7 h 57 m | Show |
NFL Contrarian Crusher Sunday 10* Top Play San Francisco 49ers +3 @ Dallas Cowboys @ 4:30 ET - You all likely know the traditional factor of a home team generally having a factor of 3 points in the line in the NFL. That said, this line is saying that these teams are equal even though Dallas finished 12-5 and won their division while the 49ers barely made the playoffs! San Francisco's 10-7 record placed them 3rd in their 4 team division. With all this said, you know where that places me on this game. When something does not look right most will just line up on that side where they feel there is a mistake and now they miraculously have some gift from the odds makers. It just does not work that way folks. Many may be enticed to play Dallas at home -3 here but in typical contrarian fashion I am on the other side of the public in this one. The Cowboys went only 5-3 at home this season and the Niners went 6-3 on the road. Also, SF won 7 of last 9 games and Dallas - other than 2 wins against Eagles in divisional battles - went 1-4 in games against playoff teams. This is another game where all the pressure is on the home favorite. In fact, the expectation is that if Cowboys don't make a run in this post-season there will be some coaching staff shake-ups. This is a lot of pressure on a team and Dallas has never been known for handling pressure well. Upset alert! 10* SAN FRANCISCO +3 |
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01-16-22 | Canucks v. Capitals OVER 5.5 | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 3 h 5 m | Show |
NHL Early Annihilation Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 5.5 in Washington Capitals vs Vancouver Canucks @ 2:05 ET - Both teams off low-scoring efforts yesterday and I feel that has given us excellent line value here with this total dropping to a 5.5 in some of the big books. We'll take it in a non-conference match-up and with the Capitals off a 2-0 win in a very tightly-played physical low-scoring battle with the division rival Islanders yesterday. They now go from that to a non-conference opponent and plus the Canucks have allowed at least 4 goals in each of their last 3 games. Before yesterday's 4-1 loss, each of Vancouver's last 3 games - which did include a 5-2 win - totaled 6 or more goals. The Capitals, before the shutout win yesterday, had lost 4 straight and allowed 4.3 goals per game in those defeats and I feel strongly that we are going to see a game with a lot of open ice and quality scoring chances here given the back to back situation. Also, back to backs tend to test a teams goalie situation and that is another strength here as the shutout was from Vanecek yesterday and plus the Canucks used their #1 netminder, Demko yesterday. 10* OVER 5.5 in Washington |
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01-15-22 | Patriots v. Bills -4.5 | Top | 17-47 | Win | 100 | 8 h 17 m | Show |
AFC East Game of the Year Saturday 10* Top Play Buffalo Bills -4.5 vs New England Patriots @ 8:15 ET - The Patriots could be hosting this game but they instead went 1-3 their last 4 games. The Bills could be on the road for this game but instead they got the job done and went 4-0 last 4 games. Also, the experience of last year's post-season run for Buffalo and QB Josh Allen is huge. Allen had a 5-1 TD-INT ratio in last year's playoff run and that included a 3-0 ratio at home. Now he and the Bills take on a rookie QB Mac Jones making his first ever playoff start and it is on the road and it is in frigid conditions for a QB who played his college ball at Alabama. As for Allen, he played his college ball in Wyoming and certainly is no stranger to cold weather games. It will be frigid at Orchard Park Saturday and Allen and the Bills stay hot and make it 5 straight SU wins and, along the way, they get the cover too! 10* BUFFALO -4.5 |
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01-15-22 | Raptors v. Bucks OVER 220 | Top | 103-96 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 8 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Cash Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 221 in Milwaukee Bucks vs Toronto Raptors @ 6:35 ET - I lost with the over in Milwaukee Thursday. The Bucks had 77 points at the half but then proceeded to score only 41 more the rest of the way after nearly reaching the 41 point mark in each of the first two quarters. The problem in that game was the Warriors could not get anything going and the game had a massive margin and so Milwaukee was able to empty the bench and slow the game down and cruise to the victory. That scenario is not being repeated here! That said, look for Toronto to be ultra competitive here off B2B losses. The Raptors have had 3 straight unders but this was preceded by 10 straight overs. The Bucks have averaged 119 points per game last 6 home games and they are about a 7 point favorite here. 119 to 112 sounds about right in this one and that is 10 points clear of the posted total on this game. I'll take it! 10* OVER 221 in Milwaukee |
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01-15-22 | Blue Jackets v. Panthers OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-9 | Win | 100 | 5 h 1 m | Show |
NHL Early Annihilation Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Florida Panthers vs Columbus Blue Jackets @ 6:05 ET - Even though Elvis Merzlikins is expected in goal for the Jackets tonight and he is off a shutout win over Carolina Thursday on national TV, this Florida team continues to be one of the most dangerous in the NHL in terms of offensive zone production. The Panthers have won 7 of 8 games and scored a ridiculous average of 5.6 goals per game during this red hot run. The Blue Jackets used to be known as a defensive-minded grinding team but that has not been the case of late. Columbus, prior to their shocking shutout win over the Hurricanes, had allowed 4.2 goals per game last 12 games. The Blue Jackets have scored an average of 4 goals last 3 games. I like the fact Florida was in action last night which means a goalie, Spencer Knight, coming off the covid list makes the start tonight or if he ends up unable to go it will be Evan Fitzpatrick making his first ever NHL start or Sergei Bobrovsky having to start the 2nd game of a B2B. I am looking for a barn-burner between these teams considering the situation heading into this one. 8 STRAIGHT Panthers teams have totaled at least 7 goals and I am not bucking that trend here! 10* OVER 6.5 in Florida |
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01-15-22 | Texas v. Iowa State OVER 121 | Top | 70-79 | Win | 100 | 4 h 10 m | Show |
CBB Total of the Week Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 121 in Iowa State Cyclones vs Texas Longhorns @ 2 ET - This total just too low and putting too much emphasis on the solid defensive numbers these teams have and not enough on their respectable production on offense. Both teams average 70 to 71 points per game and shoot 45 to 47 percent from the field. Also the history of this series shows 24-9 run to the over including 13-2 run to the over in games played at Iowa State. Yes some of that history is older history but the numbers impress nonetheless and looking at shorter term the over is 4-0 in last 4 meetings! I look for the Cyclones, off B2B losses following their grinder win over Texas Tech, to absolutely push a little harder here in this one and that means a better pace. They can't afford to just sit back in this one as they need a win. As for the Longhorns, they have scored 66 or more points in 5 of last 6 games. Texas helps push this game into the 130s the way my numbers see this playing out. 10* OVER 121 in Texas |
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01-15-22 | Manchester United v. Aston Villa OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 3 m | Show |
EPL National TV Rout Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Aston Villa vs Manchester United @ 12:30 ET - I know these clubs just played to a 1-0 final in Manchester United's win in the FA Cup Monday but I am looking for more goals in the rematch. Note that Manchester United has allowed at least 1 goal in 3 straight EPL matches and Aston Villa's recent low-scoring ways had a lot to do with the opponents they faced. Even with that Aston Villa's last 3 matches in EPL action averaged 3 goals per match. If the visitors concede at least once here - and the odds favor that happening - but if they still find a way to win (they are favored with good reason here) then we are looking at a 2-1 final at a minimum in this one. That said, a total at 2.5 goals and about a pick'em price either side of the total is an excellent value in my opinion. Manchester United still has a lot of doubters and is out to prove they can make a march up the table. The hosts here also with plenty to prove as they have lost 3 straight matches. The point is both clubs very hungry for the full 3 points in the table! So, as an example, if this match gets knotted up at 1 apiece it is simply highly unlikely that either club sits back and plays for a draw. That is just happening here. So look for at least a 2-1 result here. 10* OVER 2.5 in Aston Villa |
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01-14-22 | Stars v. Panthers OVER 6.5 | Top | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 7 h 43 m | Show |
NHL Early Annihilation Friday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Florida Panthers vs Dallas Stars @ 7:05 ET - The Panthers are seeking revenge for a 6-5 shootout loss at Dallas last Thursday. Even though Jake Oettinger is expected in goal for the Stars tonight and he has been playing well, this Florida team continues to be one of the most dangerous in the NHL in terms of offensive zone production. The Panthers have won 6 of 7 games and scored a ridiculous average of 5.4 goals per game during this red hot run. The Stars used to be known as a defensive-minded grinding team but that has not been the case of late. Dallas has allowed 3.4 goals per game last 11 games but scored 4 or more goals in 4 of last 6 games. Just like last week's game look for another barn-burner between these teams in this one. 10* OVER 6.5 in Florida |
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01-14-22 | Celtics v. 76ers -3 | Top | 99-111 | Win | 100 | 6 h 29 m | Show |
NBA PA Dominator Friday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -3 vs Boston Celtics @ 7 ET - Yes the Sixers off a loss but they clearly got caught looking ahead to this showdown with the rival Celtics. Philadelphia had won 7 straight games before that loss. Also, the 76ers have won 4 of last 5 versus Boston. The Celtics are off a win and cover but this was preceded by ATS losses in 6 of last 8 games. The better team at home and laying a manageable price and they had been the hotter team. I'll take it as the Sixers bounce back off a loss. 10* PHILADELPHIA -3 |
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01-14-22 | Buffalo v. Ball State OVER 161 | Top | 74-68 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 46 m | Show |
CBB Earliest Cash Friday 10* Top Play OVER 161 in Ball State Cardinals vs Buffalo Bulls @ 6 ET - I know this is a big total but it is fully justified because both teams very comfortable playing at a high pace and the home team is a big dog for a reason here. The point is that the Cards can run and gun all they want because they think they have a shot on their home floor but the reality is this Buffalo team is just too much. So I look for the Bulls to win by the spread posted on this game - right around it so no play - but I expect the result to be a ton of points. Ball State has allowed 80 or more points in 5 of last 9 games. Buffalo is off a win in which they held their opponent to 64 points but this was preceded by the Bulls allowing 88 points or more in 3 straight games! Buffalo has scored at least 76 points in 6 of last 7 games. So they consistently score well but consistently allow a lot of points too. Ball State has scored an average of 84 points in their last 6 wins but allowed 83 points in their last 8 losses. Per the above you can see that no matter which way this game goes as to the side, we should see a ton of points and I look for a frenetic pace in this one. 10* OVER 161 in Ball State |
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01-14-22 | Crystal Palace v. Brighton & Hove Albion -0.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 1 m | Show |
EPL Game of the Week Friday 10* Top Play Brighton & Hove Albion +110 vs Crystal Palace @ 3 ET - We are getting some line value here because Crystal Palace has played a little better of late. The better results had a lot to do with scheduling and so I don't expect it to continue here. Now Palace is on the road where they have won just 1 match all season. Also, Crystal Palace is without a few players who are playing in the Africa Cup of Nations and this includes Zaha who is one of their top scorers. Also, Brighton & Hove has revenge on their minds here from losing most recent match versus Palace. The hosts do come into this match hot as they have been winning and playing well on both ends of the pitch and the only draw in their 4 game unbeaten streak was versus Chelsea and there certainly is no shame in playing out to a draw against those guys. Considering all these factors look for the club on its home pitch to get the full 3 points in the table by notching a key victory in this one. 10* BRIGHTON & HOVE +110 |
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01-13-22 | Warriors v. Bucks OVER 223.5 | Top | 99-118 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 50 m | Show |
NBA Non-Conf Total of the Month Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 223.5 in Milwaukee Bucks vs Golden State Warriors @ 7:35 ET - The last two meetings between these teams each totaled 237 points and averaged 240 points. I know there are some injury issues at play here but I like the fact the Bucks are off a game in which they did not reach the century mark in points. Prior to back to back low-scoring losses at Charlotte, Milwaukee had won 7 of 10 games and scored an average of 118.8 points per game. The Warriors have been involved with some surprisingly low-scoring results of late but this is still a team averaging 110 points per game on the season. Golden State's loss at Memphis totaled 224 Tuesday and is a sign that the point totals in Warriors games are going to start going back up and I look for this one to soar into the 230s just like the last two meetings between these non-conference foes. 10* OVER 223.5 in Milwaukee |
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01-13-22 | Blue Jackets v. Hurricanes OVER 6 | Top | 6-0 | Push | 0 | 6 h 47 m | Show |
NHL Early Annihilation Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 6 in Carolina Hurricanes vs Columbus Blue Jackets @ 7:05 ET - The Hurricanes fired up off an OT loss to Florida Saturday and because they then flew to Philly for a game against the Flyers only to find out it ended up being postponed. No doubt in my mind the Canes are angry and going to take out their frustration on the Blue Jackets here. Prior to the 4-3 OT loss, Carolina had won 5 straight games and scored an average of 5.4 goals per game. The Blue Jackets have allowed an average of 4.3 goals per game last 16 games. Columbus will struggle again here in their own zone but the key to the over is them having success at the other end and they will. The Blue Jackets have averaged scoring 3 goals per game last dozen games and will be competitive enough here to send this flying over the total. 10* OVER 6 in Carolina |
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01-13-22 | Stanford +7.5 v. Washington State | Top | 62-57 | Win | 100 | 5 h 50 m | Show |
CBB Earliest Cash Thursday 10* Top Play Stanford Cardinal +7.5 @ Washington State Cougars @ 5 ET - There has been a line move toward the Cougars here and it is likely due to the fact that the Cardinal are in a perceived flat spot coming off their big upset win versus USC Tuesday. So I get it. I understand it. But I feel we have value here as the line is just too much. Stanford is 9-4 SU this season and their last two losses were by 7 or less points. They won't be too tired from Tuesday's game because it was their first game since prior to Christmas. Keep in mind too that Washington State is off a bit of a big win too as Saturday they got their first win at Utah in 75 years. The Cougars have not won back to back games since November. Also, the Cardinal had won 3 straight in this series before a loss in the most recent meeting between these teams so some payback is on order here. Even if they fall short SU look for the points to be enough for the ATS cover for the road dog in this one. 10* STANFORD +7.5 |
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01-12-22 | Hornets +5.5 v. 76ers | Top | 109-98 | Win | 100 | 7 h 11 m | Show |
NBA PA Dominator Wednesday 10* Top Play Charlotte Hornets +5.5 @ Philadelphia 76ers @ 7:10 ET - Not only does Charlotte have revenge here from the Sixers having dominated recent meetings in this series, the Hornets also catch Philly with a big game against rival Boston on deck. I love this game for the situational aspects and Charlotte comes into this one hot with wins in 6 of last 8 games and 1 of those 2 losses was by just 3 points. The Hornets are on a 7-2 ATS run last 9 games and I am fully expecting at least another cover here and an outright win would truly not be a shock by any stretch of the imagination! There is a reason the 76ers, even though at home and on a 7-game winning streak, are priced so low here. In other words, don't let the line fool you! Grab the points with the underdog. 10* CHARLOTTE +5.5 |
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01-12-22 | Canadiens +1.5 v. Bruins | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 16 m | Show |
NHL Puck Line Punisher 10* Top Play Montreal Canadiens Puck Line +1.5 goals +130 @ Boston Bruins @ 7:05 ET - Yes the Bruins are the much better team and much hotter team and the Canadiens are coming back from a long layoff due to covid issues. However, this is an Original Six rivalry match-up and Montreal is anxious and excited to finally be taking the ice again. The Habs energy is going to be a difference maker in this one and Boston is off a big win at Washington where they fell behind 2-0 but then went on to win 7-3. This is a flat spot situation for the Bruins after the big win over Alex Ovechkin and Company plus with having a perceived tougher game versus Flyers on deck. No team has fewer wins (7) on the season than Montreal so it is hard to blame Boston for overlooking them here but it will prove to be a mistake. The road dog surprises here and I don't see them losing by more than a 1-goal margin. 10* MONTREAL +1.5 +130 |
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01-12-22 | Villanova v. Xavier UNDER 139.5 | Top | 64-60 | Win | 100 | 8 h 54 m | Show |
CBB Earliest Cash Wednesday 10* Top Play UNDER 139.5 in Xavier Musketeers vs Villanova Wildcats @ 6:30 ET - Look for Xavier to be very focused on the defensive end here. Revenge game from a 71-58 loss at Villanova just two games back. Also, the only other time the Musketeers were off a loss this season they won their next 59-58 in a grinder. Now I know Xavier has played one game since the loss to the Wildcats but you get the point - the Musketeers know how to turn the heat up on defense when necessary. Speaking of turning up heat when on D, the Wildcats have allowed just 57.3 points per game last ten games. Look for a grinder in Cincinnati tonight. 10* UNDER 139.5 in Xavier |
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01-12-22 | Norwich City +1.5 v. West Ham United | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 32 m | Show |
EPL Goal Line Rout Wednesday 10* Top Play Norwich City +1.5 -115 @ West Ham United @ 2:45 ET - Of course it goes without saying that West Ham is the much stronger club this season. However, ironically the original match was postponed because Norwich had covid and injury concerns but now it is West Ham that has the issues and yet this match will be played. As hungry as Norwich is to taste victory and with the hosts being the more short-handed club, I like our chances here with the road dog on the goal line. We can get +1.5 goals at a reasonable price and I look for Norwich to build off their 1-0 win in English FA Cup action over the weekend. That was a confidence boost this club needed and remember a few games back in English Premier League action they lost by only a 1-0 count to a tough Manchester United club! Note that West Ham has won only 4 of 9 home matches this season and has a positive goal differential of only +3 in their 9 home matches. The point is that this match is likely to be much closer and more hard-fought than many are expecting. 10* NORWICH CITY +1.5 -115 |
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01-11-22 | Thunder v. Wizards OVER 214.5 | Top | 118-122 | Win | 100 | 7 h 40 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Cash Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 214.5 in Washington Wizards vs Oklahoma City Thunder @ 7:10 ET - This is another one where waiting has paid off as this total has ticked downward a little bit this morning. I know that Oklahoma City has been trending under and that has resulted in some movement here with this total. However, Washington is at home for this one and will dictate the flow of this game and the over is 4-1 the last 5 times Wizards were off a win. The only under in those 5 games was a game that totaled 225 points! Also, Washington is off an under and they have not had back to back unders since November! Lot of things pointing to an over here. I'll take it! 10* OVER 214.5 in Washington |
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01-11-22 | Canucks v. Panthers OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 6 h 15 m | Show |
NHL Earliest Dominator Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Florida Panthers vs Vancouver Canucks @ 7:05 ET - When teams are off long layoffs it tends to lead to some rust on the ice for the skaters and this in turn seems to create more odd man rushes and good scoring opportunities as guys miss assignments or end up out of position. That is why we have seen some extra high-scoring games when teams are off layoffs and here is a case where Vancouver has not played a game since New Year's Day and they have to do battle with a high-flying Panthers team! Florida has won 5 of 6 games and here they are off a big OT win at Carolina. That was their 6th straight game totaling at least 7 goals since the NHL returned from the pause and those games have averaged 8 goals in regulation time! Also, in home games Florida has seen 8 of their last 9 total 7 or more goals. They are such a dangerous team and I just don't see the Canucks, especially after a long layoff, being able to slow them down. At the same time, however, that was a big win for the Panthers over the Hurricanes over the weekend Florida could get caught a little flat-footed in their own zone after an emotional win like that. Don't be surprised if the Canucks score quite well in this one too. Panthers goalie Sergei Bobrvosky has seen the over go 11-4 in his home starts this season and he has allowed an average of 3 goals in his 5 starts since the NHL pause. Look for a 4-3 or 5-3 type game here per all of the above. 10* OVER 6.5 in Florida |
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01-11-22 | Hofstra v. Towson OVER 144.5 | Top | 66-78 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 29 m | Show |
CBB CBS Sports Network Rout Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 144.5 in Towson Tigers vs Hofstra Pride @ 5 ET - Similarity to yesterday's play in CBB here I am fading a line move as this one went from upper 140s to mid 140s and I love the value here. Towson struggled on the defensive end last season and it has continued this season but the Tigers at least are shooting a little better this season. As for Hofstra, their head coach has been out on medical leave so they have a co-head coach now in Speedy Claxton. If you recognize the name he was a star for Hofstra back in the day plus he played in the NBA including winning a title with the Spurs in 2003. The key here is hat Hofstra has played like his name "Speedy" for the most part this season! That said, and even moreso after the line move in this one, we should have another solid totals winner here! The Pride are averaging 79.3 ppg this season! The Tigers are averaging 71.8 ppg this season and, other than an "outlier" result versus Navy, have allowed 71 ppg last 5 games and you know Hofstra will push the pace in this one. Towson has big game at Elon, knocked them out of CAA tourney by 20+ point margin last season, on deck. The Tigers could get caught looking ahead here and the Pride will be trying to run them right of their own arena in this one. The result is a ton of points. 10* OVER 144.5 in Towson |
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01-11-22 | Brentford v. Southampton OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 52 m | Show |
EPL USA Network TV Rout Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Southampton vs Brentford @ 2:45 ET - Southampton carries high-scoring momentum into this match after 3-2 win over Swansea City in the English FA Cup featured a lot of late scoring. Brentford also rolling with scoring confidence after a 4-1 win over Port Vale which was also an English FA Cup match. Although Brentford recently had some struggles with scoring goals in recent matches that had a lot do with a stretch of matches against Chelsea, Brighton & Hove, and Manchester City. If you average what those clubs are allowing per match this season it is 0.80 goals. As for Southampton, also dealing with injury issues at right-back at the present time, the Saints are allowing about double that at 1.5 goals per match. The point is that Brentford is going to have an opportunity to build off momentum here as they also did win most recent Premier League match 2-1 over Aston Villa after the aforementioned tough 3-match stretch. As for Southampton, prior to high-scoring victory over Swansea, the had played to a 1-1 draw against Tottenham but the was preceded by a 7-match stretch in which 6 of the matches totaled at least 3 goals. In fact those 6 matches averaged 4 goals apiece. Looking for a similar result here! 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Southampton |
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01-10-22 | Georgia v. Alabama +132 | Top | 33-18 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 9 m | Show |
CFB Money Line Game of the Month Monday 10* Top Play Alabama Crimson Tide Money Line +132 vs Georgia Bulldogs @ 8 ET - There are multiple ways to look at the line in this game of course and I am going to talk to you about my angle on the ATS side but then grab the extra value here by utilizing the money line. Georgia is a helluva strong team of course. The Bulldogs were nearly 7 point favorites in the SEC Championship Game between these teams 5 weeks ago. The Georgia defense got embarrassed in that game and you know they will want to respond here. However, the odds makers know this too yet they priced Georgia as only a 2.5 point favorite. They knew the markets would back the revenge-minded Bulldogs and so they had to shade the line some. Sure enough an already-shaded line has been driven by the markets to a -3. Long-time followers know I love fading line moves and fading public perception. There is a reason this line was priced so low even though Georgia has revenge from SEC Championship Game as well as from losing the last National Championship Game 4 years ago in OT after rallying from a 13-0 halftime deficit. Don't fall for the trap line here folks. Not only is the Crimson Tide the play, we don't need any points. Money line top play here. 10* ALABAMA +132 |
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01-10-22 | Spurs +6.5 v. Knicks | Top | 96-111 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 38 m | Show |
NBA Situational Slaughter Monday 10* Top Play San Antonio Spurs +6.5 @ New York Knicks @ 7:40 ET - Yes the Knicks might get Kemba Walker back tonight but that is a question mark and he has played only 6 games since around Thanksgiving. He has quite a ways to get in getting back in to top form if he even plays tonight. I love the Spurs in this revenge spot. They lost at home to New York earlier this season by a double digit margin. They are hungry from a win after coming up just short in overtime at Brooklyn yesterday. Even though this is a back to back spot the game yesterday was an ultra early one and San Antonio is actually in pretty good shape for this one. New York has only 3 wins by more than a 3 point margin in their last 9 home games! The Spurs last two road trips ended with tough match-ups at Phoenix and at LA (versus Lakers) but they got the job done ATS in both games and actually blew out the Lakers in a SU win there. Another upset here would not surprise me in the least but we should get a least the ATS cover at a minimum. 10* SAN ANTONIO +6.5 |
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01-10-22 | Bruins v. Capitals -101 | Top | 7-3 | Loss | -101 | 6 h 48 m | Show |
NHL Earliest Cash Monday 10* Top Play Washington Capitals Money Line -101 vs Boston Bruins @ 7:05 ET - Washington could get both Oshie and Backstrom back for this one. Based on morning skate looks like Oshie will for sure be back on the top line with Ovechkin for tonight's game. I love the Capitals in this spot. Washington has lost 3 straight but 2 were after regulation time including a SO loss at Minnesota Saturday in which the Caps allowed the tying goal with under a minute to go in the game. They will bounce back here and Washington has not lost 4 straight all season long! Also they have revenge against the Bruins from being knocked out of the post-season by Boston in May. This is a payback spot and the Capitals are catching the Bruins off a big win versus the rival Lightning Saturday. Off that 5-2 revenging win over the defending Stanley Cup Champs, Boston falls flat here. 10* WASHINGTON -101 |
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01-10-22 | Campbell v. Winthrop OVER 135 | Top | 72-74 | Win | 100 | 2 h 29 m | Show |
CBB Contrarian Crusher Monday 10* Top Play OVER 135 in Winthrop Eagles vs Campbell Fighting Camels @ 5 ET - I am aware that Campbell likes to play at a slower and more deliberate pace and they are highly functional based on strong offensive efficiency. However, the Fighting Camels are not going to march into Winthrop and dictate the game pace here. That said, the Eagles have scored well in all their games as a host this season expect for when they faced an SEC team. Winthrop was outclassed in that game but they are certainly not outclassed here against a Big South rival. That said, note that the Eagles have scored 78 points or more in all of their games as a host this season except the loss to an SEC foe. Also, last season Winthrop faced Campbell three times and went a perfect 3-0 and scored an average of 86 points per game! Considering the Fighting Camels returned the majority of their key scoring from last season and the Eagles, even with Prosser now as head coach, have been scoring well and will not allow this to turn into a grinder; I love the over in this match-up. The total dropped from upper 130s to mid 130s and that means even more value here. 10* OVER 135 in Winthrop |
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01-09-22 | Chargers -2.5 v. Raiders | Top | 32-35 | Loss | -125 | 8 h 21 m | Show |
NFL GAME OF THE YEAR Sunday 10* Top Play Los Angeles Chargers -2.5 @ Las Vegas Raiders @ 8:20 ET - Win and you are in! So this one pretty clear cut in terms of its magnitude for the post-season. That said, the winner is going to be the road team in my opinion and don't be fooled by the fact that the home team is an underdog here. Yes the Raiders have won 3 straight games but we will take a closer look at that 3-game win streak right after I remind you that Las Vegas had lost 5 of 6 before that 3-game run! So about those 3 wins, they faced a Colts team that got QB Wentz out of covid protocol essentially right before the game and it showed as Indy had their lowest yardage output of the season but clearly they were not ready for the game. The week before that the Raiders beat a Broncos team without QB Bridgewater and Denver was struggling on offense without him. The week before that LV beat a Browns team that was down to 3rd string QB and dealing with a covid mess. The point is that the Raiders got a ton of breaks during this 3-game winning streak and they had lost 5 of 6 before the string of good luck. Their luck runs out here as they face a QB that picked them apart in first meeting and is raring to go for the rematch as well. The Raiders finally face a healthy #1 QB and a rather healthy team overall that also is playing with a ton of motivation. The Chargers last 3 ROAD games against teams that are all now going to the playoffs were all wins and came by a combined score of 98 to 70. I look for another big road win here as the Raiders have had a season marred by off the field issues and problems and simply got lucky to even be in this spot. This is the week their luck has run out as this Las Vegas team - take a close look at them - simply does not have the look of a playoff team. The road favorite proves that on the field tonight! 10* LOS ANGELES CHARGERS -2.5 |
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01-09-22 | Red Wings v. Ducks OVER 5.5 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 34 m | Show |
NHL Total of the Week Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 5.5 in Anaheim Ducks vs Detroit Red Wings @ 8:05 ET - This is tough spot for both teams in terms of the goalie situation because it is a back to back spot. In terms of the skaters though, they should do just fine here. In fact, I am expecting big games from both teams offensively because both clubs were extremely outplayed yesterday and the Red Wings ended up suffering a shutout loss and the Ducks managed only 1 goal in loss to Rangers. Both clubs hungry to bounce back and will look to test the goalies they will face because Anaheim as both clubs have goalie concerns. The Ducks are without Gibson (covid) and Stolarz started yesterday. So that means Stolarz starts again in a back to back after facing about 40 shots yesterday and that is not appealing at all. Or it could be 21-year old Lukas Dostal making his NHL debut! Either way the Red Wings know they need to be peppering the goalie with shots in this one. The Ducks will also test the Detroit netminder here and since Nedeljkovic started yesterday that means it likely will be Thomas Greiss between the pipes for this one. He has struggled badly with a 1-6 mark on the road this season and that has helped lead the way to 6 of 7 overs in his road starts this season. Look for another one here and, regardless of who is between the pipes for the clubs in this one, there should be plenty of scoring in this back-to-back spot as both teams will be aggressive after yesterday's results and given the situation tonight. 10* OVER 5.5 in Anaheim |
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01-09-22 | Seahawks v. Cardinals OVER 48 | Top | 38-30 | Win | 100 | 5 h 49 m | Show |
NFC West Total of the Year Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 48 in Arizona Cardinals vs Seattle Seahawks @ 4:25 ET - The Seahawks and Cardinals each off huge wins. Seattle, of course, eliminated from playoffs but they are out to prove things with Russell Wilson at the controls and it showed in their 51-29 win over Detroit last week. They can prevent Arizona from even having a chance at the NFC West title by knocking them off here so you know they are going to pull out all the stops in that regard. However, the Cards are going to be tough to stop on their home turf and coming off the key 25-22 win over the Cowboys last week. That sets this one up nicely as far as turning into a high-scoring shootout! Arizona will take advantage of a Seahawks team that has allowed an average of 27 points per game last two weeks even though they faced bad teams from NFC North and the games were in Seattle! At the same time, the Seahawks will enjoy success as this is an offense that has had just one bad game the last five games and averaged 34.5 points in the other 4 games. The over is 4-1 in Seattle's last 5 games and I expect another one here. 10* OVER 48 in Arizona |
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01-09-22 | Spurs +11 v. Nets | Top | 119-121 | Win | 100 | 3 h 17 m | Show |
NBA Game of the Week Sunday 10* Top Play San Antonio Spurs +11 @ Brooklyn Nets @ 12:10 ET - Home game for Brooklyn means no Kyrie Irving. Nets struggling too as they are 1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS last 5 games. I know San Antonio also struggling but they are not the ones laying double digits here! The point is that Brooklyn has been struggling to win games let alone cover big double digit spreads like this. I know the Spurs are down some guys but they hung around against the 76ers for much of that game Thursday until Philadelphia pulled away late. The way the Nets are going, I just don't see them as being capable of pulling away like that in this game. 10* SAN ANTONIO |
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01-09-22 | Minnesota +12 v. Indiana | Top | 60-73 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 49 m | Show |
CBB Daytime Dominator Sunday 10* Top Play Minnesota Golden Gophers +12 @ Indiana Hoosiers @ Noon ET - Indiana is off a big win over Ohio State. Keep in mind though, that 16-point victory was a 4-point game with about 6 minutes left in the game. The Hoosiers, coming off a big win over ranked Big Ten foe, could absolutely be a little flat here. At the very least, their a little over-valued in this spot as a result in my opinion. Note that Indiana was only 4-3 SU last 7 games heading into that win over the Buckeyes. Minnesota just got blasted by Illinois by 23 points so the set up here in terms of line value is perfect. The Golden Gophers had entered that game against the Illini with an overall 10-1 record this season and the lone loss was by 8 points to a ranked Michigan State team. I feel the Gophers better than they are being given credit for here and we have big value with the big line. 10* MINNNESOTA +12 |
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01-08-22 | St. Mary's +3.5 v. BYU | Top | 43-52 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 10 m | Show |
CBB ESPN Smash Pass Saturday 10* Top Play St Mary's Gaels +3.5 @ Brigham Young Cougars @ 10 PM ET - In a game projected to be a tight low-scoring game there is extra value with having the points on your side. Both teams are strong defensively but what I like about St Mary's is their big trouble last season was poor shooting but they have better in that regard so far this season. The Gaels getting 3.5 points here because they are on the road but also I like the double revenge angle here as St Mary's returned most everybody from last season's team and they lost both games to BYU last season. Look for the Gaels to get some measure of revenge here against the Cougars and the best kind of revenge is payback for a home loss by handing that team a home loss. I expect an outright road win for the revenge-minded Gaels here at Brigham Young but will grab the point in case they fall just short. 10* ST MARY'S +3.5 |
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01-08-22 | Jazz -3.5 v. Pacers | Top | 113-125 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
NBA Hoops Annihilation Saturday 10* Top Play Utah Jazz -3.5 @ Indiana Pacers @ 7:10 ET - I am aware of the injury issues / covid issues (at least as of 9 AM ET game day) but the fact is I just love the situational edges here. Yes I know that Utah is in a back to back but the fact they are off a loss and it was a game in which they led by double digits at the half has me liking the Jazz a ton here. They will clean things up after a defeat in which they turned it over 21 times in comparison to an opponent that turned it over only 7 times. Also, the Pacers are struggling badly. Indiana has lost 6 straight games and 9 of its last 11. Adding to the value here is Indiana won at Utah earlier this season in November. The Jazz want payback and they'll get it here! 10* UTAH -3.5 |
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01-08-22 | Panthers v. Hurricanes OVER 6.5 | Top | 4-3 | Win | 104 | 8 h 6 m | Show |
NHL Earliest Cash Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Carolina Hurricanes vs Florida Panthers @ 7:05 ET - Both these teams, just like much of the NHL, trending over in recent weeks. Look for that to continue here. The Hurricanes off a 6-2 win over the Flames last night but Calgary easily could have had more than two goals and certainly the Panthers will get more than that tonight. Florida is one of the highest scoring teams in the leagues and they match-up with a Carolina team that also has been finding the back of the net with great regularity! The Canes have won 5 straight games and scored an average of 5.6 goals in those five victories! The Panthers have won 4 of 5 games and scored an average of 5.8 goals per game in those 5 games. Florida also has allowed an average of 4 goals last 7 games. 10* OVER 6.5 in Carolina |
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01-08-22 | Iowa State v. Oklahoma OVER 128 | Top | 66-79 | Win | 100 | 6 h 46 m | Show |
CBB Total of the Week Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 128 in Oklahoma Sooners vs Iowa State Cyclones @ 6 ET - This total just too low. It has been greatly impacted by the grinder of a win that the Cyclones just had over Texas Tech earlier this week. The Sooners will dictate the pace here at home and favored by 6.5 points with good reason. The point is that Oklahoma hosting Iowa State plays out much differently than the Cyclones hosting the Red Raiders and this total is just far too low. Note that the Sooners have scored 70 or more points in 11 of 14 games this season. The Cyclones had scored 68 or more points in 10 of 13 games this season before the low-scoring win over Texas Tech. This game has high odds of finishing in the upper 130s given those numbers and yet we're dealing with a total in the upper 120s. I'll take it! 10* OVER 128 in Oklahoma |
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01-08-22 | Chiefs v. Broncos +11 | Top | 28-24 | Win | 100 | 8 h 18 m | Show |
NFL Daytime Dominator Saturday 10* Top Play Denver Broncos +11 vs Kansas City Chiefs @ 4:30 ET - The Chiefs can still get to the #1 seed in the AFC if they simply win this game and the Titans lose Sunday. While the former has a good chance (though I expect a tight game) the latter is highly improbable as Tennessee is also a double digit favorite this weekend since they are facing the Texans. Mentally, the Chiefs are not in the right frame of mind for a blowout win here. They blew their chance at the #1 seed by losing to the Bengals last week. There will be some carryover effect from that loss into this game. Also, KC's biggest concern here has to be staying healthy. The Broncos, on the other hand, have no such concerns here and I expect them to be flying all over the field with aggression as they host a long-time division rival that has had their number for about 5 or 6 seasons in a row now. Yes, the Broncos have a tough QB situation but this team is highly motivated here, will be going hard at home in this one, and can throw caution to the wind in an all-out effort to finish the season with a win over a hated division rival. I will grab the big points here as I expect this game to be decided by just a single score. Chiefs need to stay healthy. They know their chances of the #1 seed are very slim and it is better to avoid injury here. 10* DENVER +11 |
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01-07-22 | Spurs v. 76ers -7.5 | Top | 100-119 | Win | 100 | 6 h 60 m | Show |
NBA PA Dominator Friday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers (-) vs San Antonio Spurs @ 7:10 ET - Spurs are on the road again and playing for 3rd time in 4 nights. Also, San Antonio off a huge upset win at Boston. The 76ers crushed SA by 35 points the last time they hosted them. After tonight, the Sixers next game not until Monday and that one is back on the road and Philly enters this game off a road win at Orlando. In other words, the 76ers will be fully focused and want to make the most of this opportunity at home. As for the Spurs, they have two more tough games while on this long road trip as they have the Nets and Knicks up next for Sunday and Monday. Look for this one to be all Philly as the home team is the healthier team too plus will be up for this one and this looks like a flat spot for the travelers in this match-up. 10* PHILADELPHIA -7.5 |
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01-07-22 | Flames v. Hurricanes OVER 6 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 5 h 27 m | Show |
NHL Earliest Cash Friday 10* Top Play OVER 6 in Carolina Hurricanes vs Calgary Flames @ 7:05 ET – The Flames should have Markstrom back between the pipes tonight but he has struggled recently. Overall, Calgary has allowed 4 or more goals in 4 of last 5 games. However, the Flames also had scored 4.3 goals per game in last 3 games before an ugly 4-1 loss at Tampa Bay. Now the Flames take on a red hot Canes team and I am expecting plenty of goals in this non-conference affair as a result. The Hurricanes have won 4 straight games and have scored an average of 5.3 goals per game in the 4 wins. Carolina has won 8 of 9 games and is playing with a lot of confidence but the Flames solid offensive production will test them here too and as a result we should see a high-scoring affair in this one. 10* OVER 6 in Carolina |
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01-07-22 | Marquette -2 v. Georgetown | Top | 92-64 | Win | 100 | 6 h 47 m | Show |
CBB Big East Game of the Month Friday 10* Top Play Marquette Golden Eagles -2 @ Georgetown Hoyas @ 6:30 ET - The Golden Eagles will take advantage of a rusty Hoyas team here. Georgetown has not played in 3 weeks and they certainly are not invincible on their home floor either. Not only have the lost a couple at home already this season they also have lost to Marquette in each of the last two times they have hosted them. However, the Hoyas did beat the Golden Eagles in the Big East tourney last season and it is payback time here. Marquette did not just lose that game, they got embarrassed as they scored just 14 first-half points on their way to a 19 points loss. The Golden Eagles are a young team but have already grown as the season has gone on and have covered each of their last two road games plus enter this game off a big home win over Providence. 10* MARQUETTE -2 |
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01-07-22 | Northwestern State v. Incarnate Word OVER 147.5 | Top | 83-80 | Win | 100 | 4 h 55 m | Show |
CBB Daytime Dominator Friday 10* Top Play OVER 147.5 in Incarnate Word Cardinals vs Northwestern State Demons @ 2:30 ET - Both teams off losses in which they did not shoot well yesterday in tournament action in Katy, TX. As a result, the betting markets are attracted to the under in this match-up. However, both these teams are horrible defensively, allow opponents to play at a fast pace, and in a meaningless tournament game (both lost yesterday) that means it is unlikely we are going to see a sudden uptick in defensive performance here. Also, against fellow Division I schools, these teams both have consistently given up a ton of points all season long. Look for that trending to continue here and, as a result, this one flies over the total. 10* OVER 147.5 in Incarnate Word |
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01-06-22 | Celtics v. Knicks OVER 207 | Top | 105-108 | Win | 100 | 8 h 0 m | Show |
NBA Atlantic Div Total of the Month Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 207 in New York Knicks vs Boston Celtics @ 7:35 ET - I lost with the over in Boston yesterday as a high-scoring 1st half ended up fading into a low-scoring 2nd half. We'll get payback today. This total has dropped from the 211 range to the 207 range and, keep in mind, the over is 3-0 the last 3 times the Celtics have played the 2nd game of a back to back. The Knicks are known for lower scoring games generally speaking but they have averaged 107 points last 4 home games and Boston is averaging 113.4 points per game last 7 road games. 10* OVER 207 in New York |
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01-06-22 | Blue Jackets v. Devils OVER 6.5 | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 17 m | Show |
NHL Earliest Cash Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in New Jersey Devils vs Columbus Blue Jackets @ 7:05 ET - Both teams have been involved in plenty of high-scoring games of late with no end in site based on goaltending and other key factors. The Devils have seen 7 of their last 8 games total at least 7 goals! New Jersey has lost 7 of 10 games thanks in large part to allowing 4.2 goals per game during this stretch. As for Columbus, 8 of their last 9 games have totaled at least 7 goals. The Blue Jackets have lost 10 of 13 games and allowed 4.5 goals per game during this stretch. This is a big total posted on this game but, as you can see, it is absolutely justified. 10* OVER 6.5 in New Jersey |
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01-06-22 | Maryland +11 v. Illinois | Top | 64-76 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 42 m | Show |
CBB Early Dominator Thursday 10* Top Play Maryland Terrapins +11 @ Illinois Illini @ 7 ET - The Illini just are not the same team without point guard Andre Curbelo and his return is unlikely for tonight's game yet this line is priced as if he would be playing. Maryland is a talented team that has been bolstered this season with solid play from newcomers (transfers) Qudus Wahab and Fatts Russell. They have joined Eric Ayala to give this team a solid trio at the top and the Terrapins have not lost a game by more than 8 points this season. They are getting double digits here and, the point is, Maryland getting double digits as a dog would equate to a 13-0 record this season! I know Illinois, even with Curbelo hurting, is still a high-quality team but only 4 of their last 11 games have been victories by more than 10 points! I look for this game to be decided by a single digit margin given all of the above. 10* MARYLAND +11 |
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01-05-22 | Spurs v. Celtics OVER 222 | Top | 99-97 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 20 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Cash Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 222 in Boston Celtics vs San Antonio Spurs @ 7:40 ET - The Celtics Jayson Tatum and the Spurs Dejounte Murray both expected to play in this one tonight. Boston has already been getting healthier and it has translated to higher-scoring action on the floor. The Celtics last two games both flew over the total. San Antonio also enters this one off B2B overs and on an overall run of 10-4 to the over last 14 games. Spurs in a back to back and unlikely to be at their best defensively in this match-up plus non-conference match-ups have a tendency to have less defensive intensity. 10* OVER 222 in Boston |
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01-05-22 | Oilers v. Maple Leafs OVER 6 | Top | 2-4 | Push | 0 | 7 h 5 m | Show |
NHL Contrarian Crusher Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 6 in Toronto Maple Leafs vs Edmonton Oilers @ 7:05 ET - I am aware that, although Auston Matthews has been cleared for tonight's game for the Leafs, Connor McDavid did not clear protocols for tonight's game for the Oilers. That has resulted in this total settling in at a 6 instead of a 6.5 and I am happy to grab the additional value here on the over in this one. Look for Edmonton's other skaters to pick up their game knowing McDavid is out tonight. That said, the Oilers should score their fair share of goals in this one. The big issue for Edmonton has been keeping the puck out of their own net. The Oilers have lost 10 of last 12 games thanks in large part to allowing an average of about 4 goals per game during this stretch. Edmonton is off a 4-1 loss to the Rangers but did score an average of about 4 goals per game in the 5 games before that ugly defeat. The Maple Leafs have won 9 of 12 games and, incredibly, they have scored an average of about 5 goals per game their last 11 games! You can see why a 5-4 game here would not be shocking at all and also why a 4-3 type game appears likely at the least. Look for a 4-3 or 5-3 final in this one. 10* OVER 6 in Toronto |
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01-05-22 | Alabama +2 v. Florida | Top | 83-70 | Win | 100 | 8 h 35 m | Show |
SEC Game of the Month Wednesday CBB 10* Top Play Alabama Crimson Tide +2 @ Florida Gators @ 7 ET - We are getting line value here because the Crimson Tide are on the road. Alabama is ranked and is the better team in this match-up and Florida is not as strong as Gators teams we have seen in recent seasons. So long-term approach here is bettors see Florida as a small home favorite and are induced to jump all over it but Bama is really the stronger team this season and could contend for the SEC Title. Also, the Gators game at Ole Miss for last week was cancelled so this will be Florida's first game in two weeks. They are likely to be rusty here as a result. The Tide, on the other hand, are off a win versus Tennessee last week and that gives them an edge here as at least they have seen some recent action. I know the Crimson Tide have slipped up lately in terms of ATS results but that is merely serving to give us line value in this spot. Keep in mind Florida's last game was a big win but over an out-classed Stony Brook foe. Prior to that the Gators were on a 1-4 ATS run. The Tide has played the tougher schedule so far this season too. 10* ALABAMA +2 |
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01-04-22 | LSU +7 v. Kansas State | Top | 20-42 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 27 m | Show |
CFB Situational Slaughter Tuesday 10* Top Play LSU Tigers +7 vs Kansas State Wildcats @ 9 ET - The Wildcats scored a COMBINED total of just 27 points in their last two games of the season and that included one against a Longhorns team that had a bad season. The Tigers scored 27 points in EACH of their last two games of the season and that included an outright upset win over a solid Texas A & M team which made sure LSU got their 6th win and is the reason they are playing in a bowl game. I look for them to make the most of the opportunity. Kansas State has gone from being a -2.5 favorite to now being favored at a full -7 as of game day. Yes there are reasons for the line move but long-time followers know I love to fade line moves and grab the value on the other side. Certainly the Cats played a respectable schedule as they play in the Big 12 but the Tigers and the SEC schedule was even tougher. Too much value to pass up on with the big points being offered here. 10* LSU +7 |
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01-04-22 | Spurs v. Raptors OVER 222.5 | Top | 104-129 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Cash Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 222.5 in Toronto Raptors vs San Antonio Spurs @ 7:10 ET - The Spurs most recent game only went over the total because of overtime. However, high-scoring games have been the norm for San Antonio for quite some time now as they are on a run of 9-4 to the over. That is strong enough for sure but how about the Raptors torrid streak of overs? They are on an incredible run of 7 straight overs! The Spurs enter this game off B2B off days and fired up to respond after the OT loss at Detroit while the Raptors also enter this game rested as they were off yesterday. Fresh legs and trending toward high-scoring action means I will not pass up on this one. 10* OVER 222.5 in Toronto |
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01-04-22 | Flames v. Panthers OVER 6 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 4 m | Show |
NHL Earliest Annihilation Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 6 in Florida Panthers vs Calgary Flames @ 7:05 ET - There has been a high-scoring trend in the NHL since the season resumed after a break due to the holidays as well as covid. Certainly these two clubs have been a part of the high-scoring trend and it extends further back as well. As for the Flames, they have won back to back games and scored at least 5 goals in their last two games and both were wins. Calgary enters this game with confidence after the B2B high-scoring wins but before the 5-1 win at Chicago Sunday, the Flames did allow 4 goals in each of last two games. The Panthers know plenty about allowing too many goals too. Florida is off a 5-2 win but this was preceded by allowing 4.5 goals in last 4 games. The Panthers have scored an average of 6 goals per game in their 3 games since returning from the time off. They are one of the highest scoring teams in the league but Calgary will give them a run for their money in this one and that has me looking for a 4-3 type game here. 10* OVER 6 in Florida |
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01-04-22 | Ohio +1.5 v. Akron | Top | 69-63 | Win | 100 | 9 h 9 m | Show |
CBB Earliest Dominator Tuesday 10* Top Play Ohio University Bobcats +1.5 @ Akron Zips @ 6 ET - Akron is off a huge win over Buffalo. That was big for the Zips because the Bulls had knocked them out of the MAC Tournament last season. As for the Bobcats, they lost by 20 points in their visit to Akron last season so they will be looking to make up for that Tuesday. I expect Ohio University to do just that as they are a fantastic 10-2 this season and their only two losses were to LSU (12-1 this season) and Kentucky (a ranked team) and both those teams are solid SEC programs. The fact Bobcats are on the road here is the only reason they are a small dog and I won't hesitate to grab them given the above factors. They catch the Zips a little flat off their revenging win. 10* OHIO UNIVERSITY +1.5 |
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01-03-22 | Browns +3 v. Steelers | Top | 14-26 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 17 m | Show |
AFC North Game of the Year Monday NFL 10* Top Play Cleveland Browns +3 @ Pittsburgh Steelers @ 8:15 ET - The Browns are eliminated from playoff contention while the Steelers remain alive with a win tonight though they would also have to win plus get unlikely help next week. The point is that Pittsburgh is playing with playoff pressure while Cleveland is not. The Browns have now gone from being a 3-point favorite to a 3-point dog in this one. The line swing of about a full TD is simply too much. Keep in mind, the Steelers are a rival for Cleveland. Just as their playoff hopes were squelched yesterday, the Browns would love nothing more than to end Pittsburgh's playoff hopes tonight. There is no pressure to do so but they would love to do it. So you have a road team playing loose and relaxed and hungry for an elimination win over a rival. You have a host that has not even scored a first-half touchdown in ANY of their last FIVE games and is playing with playoff pressure here. The Steelers are a bit lucky they are even 2-3 SU in their last five games and I look for them to struggle to score points again in this one. The Browns will deliver a "shocker" tonight as Pittsburgh is the team that needs to win but, to this day, the betting markets have just never fully gotten a grasp on this. The reaction is that if a team needs to win it will win and that is just not how this stuff works. This is particularly true in a rivalry game. I'll happily take the points in this one! 10* CLEVELAND +3 |
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01-03-22 | Rockets v. 76ers OVER 217 | Top | 113-133 | Win | 100 | 7 h 24 m | Show |
NBA Situational Slaughter Monday 10* Top Play OVER 217 in Philadelphia 76ers vs Houston Rockets @ 7:10 ET - Philly could have some defensive letdown after big win over Brooklyn. As for Houston, they hardly ever pay attention to defense no matter the situation. The over is on a 17-4 run in Rockets games. The over is 3-1 in last 4 meetings between these teams and both match-ups last season flew over the total. Non-conference match-ups generally not known for much defensive intensity. Also, the line move from low 220s down to mid 210s is offering solid line value here! 10* OVER 217 in Philadelphia |
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01-03-22 | Oilers -117 v. Rangers | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -117 | 7 h 4 m | Show |
NHL Contrarian Crusher Monday 10* Top Play Edmonton Oilers Money Line -120 @ New York Rangers @ 7:05 ET - I know that the Rangers have been the hotter team and are having the stronger overall season thus far plus are on home ice here. However, in typical contrarian fashion, I am on the Oilers in this one but, also in typical fashion, it is not without good reasoning! The fact is that the loss of Artemi Panarin really hurts the production of the Rangers forwards. Also, the fact that goalie Alexandar Georgiev is back and likely to start here is also a negative for the Rangers in my book. Igor Shesterkin has been so strong that he would likely be the best option in goal here but I expect the Rangers to want a rusty Georgiev to get some work now that he is back from covid protocols. Look for an angry Oilers team loaded with talent up front to take advantage. Edmonton is on a losing streak but each of the last two defeats were after regulation time and the Oilers are ultra hungry to push over the top here and finally get back into the win column. They dominated earlier this season in terms of shots on goal when these teams met out west and now they get it done again here in the rematch back east. 10* EDMONTON -120 |
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01-03-22 | Alabama State -8 v. Mississippi Valley State | Top | 84-75 | Win | 100 | 7 h 12 m | Show |
CBB Daytime Dominator Monday 10* Top Play Rotation #306051 Alabama State Hornets -8 @ Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils @ 5 ET - The Hornets are only 2-11 this season and yet opened up as 10 point favorites here on the road at Mississippi Valley State. Big mistake, right? After all the line already dropped to a -8 because the sharps must be lining up on the Delta Devils here. Long-time followers know how I feel about supposed mistakes by the odds makers. The fact is that Alabama State at least has a couple wins on the season and also the Hornets are coming off back to back ATS covers against Texas Tech and Texas! They have certainly been a lot more competitive than a Mississippi Valley State team that is 0-10 this season and losing by an average margin of 29.5 points per game! The Delta Devils have one loss by a 4-point margin but all the other 9 defeats hae been by 14 or more points and I feel strongly this one will too! The Hornets are the better shooting team and the much better team on the defensive end also and one of just two wins that Mississippi State had season was on the road against this team. Now payback will be delivered on the road in their first meeting since then! 10* Alabama State -8 |
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01-03-22 | Wolverhampton Wanderers v. Manchester United OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 23 m | Show |
EPL USA Network Rout Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +115 in Manchester United vs Wolverhampton @ 12:30 ET - Manchester United builds off their 3-1 win over Burnley. They finally seem to be responding well to Ralf Rangnick as their interim manager has now had more time at the helm and the players are starting to get comfortable in their roles. Wolverhampton's struggles continue as they have not played in two weeks and could be rusty here. The reason I feel this will translate to an over here is because the hosts are going to force the pace of play in this one. I am well aware of the fact that Wolverhampton is known for playing low-scoring matches but Manchester United, on their home pitch, will be dictating the flow of this game. The hosts were aggressive in their 3-1 win over Burnley. In their prior match, a 1-1 draw with Newcastle, both clubs had a lot of quality scoring chances and saw good opportunities for a much higher-scoring game. Now, after the breakthrough versus Burnley and taking on a rusty Wolverhampton club here, look for a very aggressive attack from Rangnick's club. The result should be plenty of goals. 10* OVER 2.5 +115 in Manchester United |
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01-02-22 | Vikings +13 v. Packers | Top | 10-37 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 45 m | Show |
NFL Game of the Week Sunday 10* Top Play Minnesota Vikings +13 @ Green Bay Packers @ 8:20 PM ET - Frigid temperatures expected for this one and it is a divisional battle and it is just too many points in my opinion. Even though Vikings are with their #2 QB, Mannion can be a good game manager and I am expecting a huge game from RB Cook in this one. The Packers should still win this game but I expect it to be by a margin closer to the original 1 TD line on this game not two TDs! The home team has won just twice in last five meetings between these divisional foes and the two wins by the host were each by 5 or less points! Green Bay has won 4 in a row but all but 1 were by 8 or less points! The Vikings have played 15 games this season and not one of them have been a loss by more than 8 points! That means if you had the Vikes +13 in all games this season you would be a perfect 15-0! Happy to test that edge here! 10* MINNESOTA +13 |
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01-02-22 | Flames v. Blackhawks OVER 5.5 | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 30 m | Show |
NHL Situational Slaughter Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 5.5 goals in Chicago Blackhawks vs Calgary Flames @ 7:05 ET - I certainly do not claim to be the sharpest guy around but this is a rare case where a total is a head-scratcher to me. Marc Andre Fleury did clear covid protocols but he has to get game ready and will not play tonight. Also, Kevin Lankinen just recently entered covid protocols. That said, the Blackhawks are expected to start the inexperienced Arvid Soderblom in goal tonight with a struggling Collin Delia as his back-up. Now certainly the Flames goalie situation is much better with Jacob Markstrom likely starting tonight but even he is off back to back starts in which he has allowed 4 goals in each. That said, and considering the plethora of high-scoring games since the NHL return from the Covid/Christmas break, I just can not see how the total on this game is only 5.5 goals! Calgary is off a 6-4 win at Seattle and that was preceded by a 4-2 loss versus Boston before the break. Chicago is off a 6-1 loss at Nashville and 4 of their last 5 games have totaled 7 or more goals and we only need 6 to be a winner with this bet. I like our chances given all of the above! 10* OVER 5.5 in Chicago |
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01-02-22 | Lions v. Seahawks OVER 41 | Top | 29-51 | Win | 100 | 6 h 40 m | Show |
NFC Total of the Year Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 41 in Seattle Seahawks vs Detroit Lions @ 4:25 ET - Late in the season I like to look for overs in games involving teams going nowhere. When you have teams eliminated from playoff contention you generally have teams disinterested in terms of having a lot of defensive intensity on the field. I am also a contrarian and with somewhat ugly weather expected in Seattle Sunday afternoon I will gladly go against public perception and take the over with the low total being offered. Yes I know that Stafford is out at QB for the Lions in this one but that means Boyle gets a 2nd straight start and that will help him here. Also, Russell Wilson still would like to go out with a bang this season and I expect a big game here in the 2nd to last week of the regular season. No holding back here for either QB as neither team has anything to worry about as there is no playoff pressure. Note that Detroit had scored 29 or more in 2 of last 3 games before their 20-16 loss last week. The Seahawks have scored 24 or more in 3 of last 4 games and all 3 of those efforts resulted in an over. Look for another one here! 10* OVER 41 in Seattle |
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01-02-22 | Liverpool v. Chelsea OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 3 h 4 m | Show |
EPL USA Network Rout Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Chelsea vs Liverpool @ 11:30 AM ET - Liverpool is off a 1-0 defeat and Chelsea off a 1-1 draw. After those low-scoring matches, and knowing Chelsea is a bit depleted defensively on the injury/covid front, I like the over in this one. Liverpool's road matches have averaged totaling nearly 3.8 goals apiece this season while Chelsea's matches on their home pitch averaging 3.1 goals each. Liverpool scores 2.8 per match on the road and Chelsea scores 2.3 per match on their home pitch. I know Chelsea tends to play lower-scoring matches but Liverpool is going to force the issue here. The visitors will be particularly aggressive coming off a 1-0 loss and knowing the hosts are a bit depleted defensively. Liverpool will be on the attack here which should lead to good opportunities on the counter-attack as well in this one! 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Chelsea |
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01-01-22 | Baylor v. Ole Miss -1 | Top | 21-7 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
CFB Game of the Year Saturday 10* Top Play Ole Miss Rebels -1 vs Baylor Bears @ 8:45 ET - Ole Miss has the more dynamic offense in this match-up. Also, could Baylor QB Gerry Bohanon be impacted by the fact he has missed some recent game action with a hamstring injury? I believe the answer to that will prove to be yes. Keep in mind, the Rebels allowed an average of only 18 points per game over their last 4 games. The Bears are off a tight 21-16 win over Oklahoma State in the Big 12 Championship Game but did allow 24 or more points in 6 of 9 games heading into that one. Also, in their win over the Cowboys they actually were outgained by nearly 100 yards but were the beneficiary of 4 Oklahoma State interceptions in that game. That is not happening again here as Mississippi QB Matt Corral threw only 4 all year and plus threw for 20 touchdowns. Also, the Rebels have an excellent ground attack so they have a balanced offense and a tremendously solid defense! The Bears are in trouble here and are over-rated in my opinion and the SEC foe how had only 2 losses this season will get it done. One of their only two losses was to mighty Alabama and the other one was to a very solid Auburn team that had almost beaten the Crimson Tide this season. 10* OLE MISS -1 |
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01-01-22 | Blues v. Wild OVER 6 | Top | 6-4 | Win | 106 | 8 h 52 m | Show |
NHL Winter Classic Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 6 in Minnesota Wild vs St Louis Blues @ 7:05 ET - This game is outdoors and the conditions will be frigid. As a skater you can stay warm on the bench and also all the skating on the ice warms your body in a hurry. As for the goalies however, they are out there in the cold and not moving around as much and their situation is much different. That is just part of the situation here. The big key too is that the Wild have not played since the Christmas break which also started early due to the covid breakout. A lot of these first games for teams after the layoff have been a bit messy with extra goals scored due to some rust from the long layoff leading to good quality scoring chances. Also, St Louis is off a 4-2 win versus Edmonton in their only game since the break. The Blues have not been the Blues of old this season as they have been a much higher scoring team and a little less emphasis in the defensive zone. The Wild have allowed an average of 5 goals per game last 3 games. That was part of a stretch of 4 straight losses but all of this followed a 9-2 stretch in which Minnesota scored an average of 4.6 goals per game. St Louis has won 8 of 12 games and scored an average of 3.6 goals per game in these dozen games. 10* OVER 6 in Minnesota |
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01-01-22 | Utah v. Ohio State -3.5 | Top | 45-48 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 34 m | Show |
CFB Contrarian Crusher Saturday 9* Top Play Ohio State Buckeyes -3.5 vs Utah Utes @ 5 ET - This is a contrarian play here. The common viewpoint on this game is that Ohio State is disappointed to be here. Lets not forget this is the Rose Bowl! Yes the Buckeyes were playing for the national championship last year and this year they will not be. However, this is an Ohio State team that is angry after losing badly at Michigan to finish their regular season off. The Buckeyes want to erase the bitter taste of defeat from their mouths here and they also want to get some redemption against a Pac-12 foe as their only other loss this season came at the hands of Oregon. That is the same Ducks team that the Utes manhandled twice this season. However, Ohio State is coming to play here and Utah does not have the explosive offense that the Buckeyes have. Look for that to be a key difference maker here and the favorite pulls away as this game goes on. They are far more motivated for this game than most realize. 9* OHIO STATE -3.5 |
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01-01-22 | Providence v. DePaul +1.5 | Top | 70-53 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 22 m | Show |
CBB Game of the Week Saturday 10* Top Play DePaul Blue Demons +1.5 vs Providence Friars @ 3 ET - The Friars are off a big win versus Seton Hall but the Pirates were down 5 players, including 1 starter, and this resulted in a limited rotation as the bench was much shorter than usual. Now Providence faces a tough DePaul team and this is a rare road game for the Friars. Look for home court and health to be big difference makers here. Keep in mind Providence had just one player shoot well from 3-point land in the win over Seton Hall as the rest of the team made just 1 of 11 three pointers! Look for the Friars to struggle on the road here and the Blue Demons take advantage with a big home court win as they get revenge for a pair of tight losses last season versus Providence including one in double OT! 10* DEPAUL +1.5 |
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01-01-22 | West Ham United v. Crystal Palace OVER 2.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 110 | 5 h 58 m | Show |
EPL Daytime Dominator Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Crystal Palace vs West Ham United @ 12:30 ET - Crystal Palace has been strong as a host this season and is scoring an average of 1.8 goals on their home pitch. West Ham averages a respectable 1.6 goals scored per match on enemy soil. I feel we have excellent line value here with the low total posted on this one. This is particularly true when you consider that each of West Ham's last 3 matches across all competitions have totaled 3 or more goals including the last two, each in Premier League matches, each totaling 5 goals. Each of Crystal Palace's last 4 matches have totaled 3 or more goals. 4 of the last 5 meetings between these clubs have totaled 3 or more goals. More of the same expected here on New Year's Day! 10* OVER 2.5 in Crystal Palace |
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12-31-21 | Georgia -7.5 v. Michigan | Top | 34-11 | Win | 100 | 8 h 26 m | Show |
CFB Game of the Month Sunday 10* Top Play Georgia Bulldogs -7.5 vs Michigan Wolverines @ 7:30 ET - The Wolverines are known for struggling in big games. I know Michigan finally came up big in their big game versus Ohio State and also won the Big Ten Championship over Iowa. However, that does not change the fact that the Wolverines have lost 4 straight bowl games both SU and ATS and now they face a team that might be the best team in the country. I know Georgia lost to Alabama but this Bulldogs team is really something else. They had allowed only 7 points per game in 12 straight wins before the loss to Alabama in the SEC Championship Game. Now we get a chance to take one of the best teams in the country off a loss and laying only about a TD and we can fade a team with a poor recent bowl history under Harbaugh...I'll take it! Lay the points for a big play here. The Bulldogs defense will be the difference in this one. The Wolverines allowed 23.6 in their 5 games away from home before the Big Ten Championship. The Bulldogs never allowed more than 17 points this season until the loss to Crimson Tide. Michigan allowed 17 points or more in all 5 of those games away from before beating Iowa. The Dawgs D rules the day here. 10* GEORGIA -7.5 |
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12-31-21 | Rangers v. Lightning OVER 6 | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
NHL Situational Slaughter Friday 10* Top Play OVER 6 goals in Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Rangers @ 7:05 ET - The Lightning are back home after a 9-3 loss at Florida last night. The Bolts will be hungry to bounce back and they did have over 40 shots on goal against the Panthers yesterday. However, they have serious goaltending issues with Vasilevskiy and Elliott dealing with covid protocols. Both Lagace and Alnefelt seeing action between the pipes last night at Florida. TB does have tremendous scoring ability and that is why I again like the over tonight even though I certainly respect Rangers goalie Shesterkin. He is going to see a barrage of shots tonight from a Lightning club determined to get back on track. That means the Bolts should get some goals again tonight but, once again, I expect trouble for them in their own end. 10* OVER 6 goals in Tampa Bay |
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12-31-21 | Cincinnati v. Alabama -13.5 | Top | 6-27 | Win | 100 | 5 h 6 m | Show |
CFB Contrarian Crusher Friday 9* Top Play Alabama Crimson Tide -13.5 vs Cincinnati Bearcats @ 3:30 ET - The Bearcats are undefeated and yet nearly a two TD underdog against a Crimson Tide team that has one loss on the season. Big mistake by the odds makers, right? Hardly! In typical contrarian fashion, laying the big points in this one! Look for Alabama to crush Cincinnati here. The Tide played a tougher schedule, have the much better passing attack and the much better run defense. All signs pointing to a blowout here as the Bearcats finally find out what it is like to take a major step up in class in terms of the high level of opponent they are now facing. They finally got their wish of being a part of the national title discussion and having that chance to prove that a smaller program can get it done on the big stage. Unfortunately for Cincinnati though, this story does not have a good ending. 9* ALABAMA -13.5 |
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12-31-21 | Suns -4.5 v. Celtics | Top | 108-123 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 24 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Cash Friday 10* Top Play Phoenix Suns -4.5 @ Boston Celtics @ 1:10 ET - The Celtics are without leading scorer Jayson Tatum. The Suns have struggled recently and that has led to line value in this spot as it has kept the line lower than it should be. Boston has struggled and lost 3 straight games SU and now has lost 8 of last 11 games. Phoenix has won 11 of 14 road games SU this season and they get the win and cover in this one as home team struggles without Tatum and plus without Dennis Schroder and also Marcus Smart still dealing with a hand injury. 10* PHOENIX -4.5 |
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12-30-21 | Lightning v. Panthers OVER 6 | Top | 3-9 | Win | 100 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
NHL Total of the Month Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 6 in Florida Panthers vs Tampa Bay Lightning @ 7:05 ET - The Lightning have goalie issues with Vasilevskiy and Elliott both in covid protocols. That means Maxime Lagace likely to start again and he has struggled badly at the NHL level. The Lightning off a 5-4 OT win Tuesday and I am looking for plenty of goals again tonight. The Panthers started Sergei Bobrovsky last night in their 4-3 win over the Rangers and that means Spencer Knight likely to get the start in the 2nd game of a back to back. Also, in his last 3 starts Knight has allowed a total of 15 goals - 5 per game. He could be rusty too as he has not played in 2 and 1/2 weeks and there is a lot of scoring firepower for the Bolts so Knight is going to face a barrage of shots here. But the Panthers are one of the highest scoring teams in the league so you can see why I am expecting plenty of goals in this one. 10* OVER 6 in Florida |
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12-30-21 | Pittsburgh +3.5 v. Michigan State | Top | 21-31 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 11 m | Show |
Peach Bowl Blowout Thursday 10* Top Play Pittsburgh Panthers +3.5 vs Michigan State Spartans @ 7 ET - The Panthers have the better numbers overall this season and I definitely like their edge on defense in this match-up in particular. Yes there are some opt-outs for this game but that is effecting both teams. I also know the Spartans have the better recent bowl history but feel we have value with the defensive-minded physical underdog in this match-up. The Panthers hold the edges in pass defense and I like their ground game too. Strong rushing team and with a solid defense and they are an underdog. This one has all the right ingredients that equate to value. Also, Pat Narduzzi is Pittsburgh's head coach and he was the defensive coordinator at Michigan State from 2007 to 2014. The Spartans are coached by Mel Tucker and this is the first ever bowl game he has coached in. Grab the points! 10* PITTSBURGH |
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12-30-21 | Burnley v. Manchester United OVER 2.75 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 15 m | Show |
EPL Daytime Dominator Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Manchester United vs Burnley @ 3:15 ET - Manchester United's home matches have averaged 3.4 goals this season. Their recent matches have been lower scoring but they are ready to bounce back large after a disappointing draw against Newcastle United Monday. Burnley is known for lower-scoring matches but they have not played in 2 and 1/2 weeks and that rust is something the hosts will exploit and attack and that leads to plenty of goals in this one. 10* OVER 2.5 in Manchester United |
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12-29-21 | Oregon v. Oklahoma -6.5 | Top | 32-47 | Win | 100 | 10 h 60 m | Show |
CFB Bowl Insider Wednesday 10* Top Play Oklahoma Sooners -6.5 vs Oregon Ducks @ 9:15 ET - The Sooners are the much better overall team in my opinion. Yes they have lost a couple games recently but they only trailed Baylor by 3 entering 4th quarter of the defeat that ended a 17-game winning streak for Oklahoma. Also, the Sooners other loss was by just 4 points to another strong team, Oklahoma State. That said, take a look now at the Ducks losses: lost to a Stanford team that has since lost 7 straight games and finished the season 3-9. Also, Oregon lost twice to Utah by a combined score of 76 to 17. The fact we can still get Oklahoma in the TD range for this game has me rating this play with my top play rating as I feel we have the much stronger team here at a bargain price and the Ducks have shown on 3 different occasions this season that they are fully capable of really disappointing in a game. They do it again here and the Sooners roll. 10* OKLAHOMA -6.5 |
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12-29-21 | Rangers v. Panthers OVER 6 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 30 m | Show |
NHL Earliest Cash Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 6 in Florida Panthers vs New York Rangers @ 7:05 ET - Some key offensive production listed as probable for each team here and I like our chances of a high-scoring game. Panarin is back for Rangers and Barkov back for Panthers. Also, Georgiev is on the covid list now for Rangers and that means Shesterkin will be back between the pipes. Both are solid goalies but Shesterkin has not played since the very beginning of the month and could have rust here. That said, and with the Panthers being a high-scoring team but allowing a lot of goals too, I am comfortably expecting 7 or more goals here. 10* OVER 6 in Florida |
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12-29-21 | Arkansas v. Mississippi State -2.5 | Top | 68-81 | Win | 100 | 5 h 1 m | Show |
CBB Contrarian Crusher Wednesday 10* Top Play Mississippi State Bulldogs -2.5 vs Arkansas Razorbacks @ 5 ET - Bulldogs got blasted at Arkansas by double digits last season. That takes the run to 32-12 SU for the home team in match-ups between these foes. Mississippi State should keep that home trend going here and they are 15-4-1 ATS in the last 20 meetings as a host against the Razorbacks. I look for a big key here to be that home court edge and also how it impacts the shooting of these two teams. Arkansas has been horrible both inside and outside the 3-point line in terms of shooting percentages away from home this season. The Bulldogs have been rock solid in terms of the shooting percentages at home this season with 50.2% and 40.6% overall and outside the arc, respectively. Lay the short number here. 10* MISSISSIPPI STATE -2.5 |
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12-29-21 | Manchester City v. Brentford OVER 3 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -125 | 5 h 56 m | Show |
EPL NBCSN Blowout Rout Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 3 or 3.5 in Brentford vs Manchester City @ 3:15 ET - City is on fire scoring a ton of goals as they have won 3 straight matches and scored an average of 5.7 goals per match. Manchester City can certainly get this total all by themselves based on the way they have been playing but Brentford should contribute as well. The hosts are off a loss in which a clean sheet was delivered to them but they had scored 2 goals in each of their two prior matches in league action. Look for 1 to 2 from the hosts here and look for the visitors and front-runners in the league to continue their torrid scoring pace here. 10* OVER 3 or 3.5 in Brentford |
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12-28-21 | 76ers -6.5 v. Raptors | Top | 114-109 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 37 m | Show |
NBA PA Dominator Monday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -6.5 @ Toronto Raptors @ 7:40 ET - The Raptors roster is severely depleted by covid right now. Even though Pascal Siakam and Gary Trent Jr should return tonight they could be on minutes restrictions and this is still a team expected to be without its top two scorers. Both Fred VanVleet and OG Anunoby are expected to still be out for this one. Keep in mind the #3 and #4 scorers are Siakam and Trent so this team is far from 100 percent right now. Also, the road team has won and covered each of the last two meetings between these teams and that includes a road win for the Raptors at Philly last month which makes this a revenge game for the Sixers. With revenge on their side, including the playoff loss a few years ago in a season that ended in Toronto for Embiid and Philly, I am expecting the 76ers to come up big here and take advantage of a short-handed Raptors team. Lay it! 10* PHILADELPHIA -6.5 |
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12-28-21 | Canadiens v. Lightning OVER 6 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
NHL Total Blowout Monday 10* Top Play OVER 6 in Tampa Bay Lightning vs Montreal Canadiens @ 7:05 ET - First off, these games right after the little NHL break due to Christmas and covid are going to be a little tricky. Secondly, my first thought here was actually Montreal as Tampa Bay currently has the worst of the covid outbreak in terms of comparing these two teams right now. Also, the Habs have revenge from losing in the playoffs to the Lightning last season and also losing the first meeting between these teams this season. However, I can't trust the goalie situation here for the Canadiens as Jake Allen has entered virus protocols. That means Samuel Montembeault likely to get the start here and he has struggled this season. Lightning also have issues too. Andrei Vasilevskiy and Brian Elliott are their top two goalies and both are out for this one so Maxime Lagace likely to get the start here and he has struggled at the NHL level. More of the same expected here. 10* OVER 6 in Tampa Bay |
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12-28-21 | Texas Tech v. Mississippi State OVER 57.5 | Top | 34-7 | Loss | -114 | 9 h 7 m | Show |
CFB Bowl Annihilation Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 57.5 in Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Texas Tech Red Raiders @ 6:45 ET - The Red Raiders defense struggled down the stretch. The Bulldogs should be able to score plenty in this one against Texas Tech and, of course, Mississippi State is a big favorite here with good reason. However, don't be surprised if the big dog in this match-up also moves the ball quite well. Texas Tech has a solid aerial attack and, other than a shutout loss to Oklahoma State, note that the Red Raiders scored an average of 33 points per game this season! That was their average in the other 11 games. The Bulldogs had one bad game - 9 points against Alabama - but averaged 33 points in the other 11 games this season! Don't be surprised if we see a 42 to 31 type game here which pushes this one well over the total. 10* OVER 57.5 in Mississippi State |
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12-28-21 | Liverpool v. Leicester OVER 3.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 52 m | Show |
EPL Total of the Month Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 3.5 in Leicester vs Liverpool @ 3 ET - Liverpool averaging 3 goals scored and 1 goal allowed per road match this season. Leicester will struggle to stop the aggressive Liverpool attack. However, Leicester is on their home pitch and they themselves have averaged 2 goals per match when on home soil this season. This one could get quite crazy as Leicester is off a 6-3 loss and their last 4 matches have averaged a total of 6 goals apiece! Liverpool's last 2 matches have averaged a total of 5 goals apiece and I just can't see this one today finishing with anything less than 4 goals. 10* OVER 3.5 goals in Leicester |
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12-27-21 | Dolphins v. Saints +3.5 | Top | 20-3 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
NFL Primetime Thrasher Monday NFL 10* Top Play New Orleans Saints +3.5 vs Miami Dolphins @ 8:15 ET - Ian Book of the Saints is scheduled to make his first ever NFL start and, in the eyes of the betting marketplace, that means the Dolphins win this game. I disagree. It is not as if Book has never played on the big stage as he played his College Football at Notre Dame! This guy is use to big game settings and also this game is at home. Having the support of the home fans will certainly help Book. Also, New Orleans is a solid team battling to stay alive in the playoff race and they are catching value here because the Dolphins have been on a winning streak. Keep in mind, two of those six Miami wins were over a Jets team that is 4-11 and another one was over a Giants team that is 4-11 and also Houston is 4-11 and Carolina is 5-10. So of the 6 wins in their win streak, 5 were against combined current records of 21-54 (counting Jets record twice). I am just not sold on this Miami team and only one of those 6 wins was on the road and prior to that road win the Dolphins had lost 4 straight games when away from home. 10* NEW ORLEANS +3.5 |
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12-27-21 | Rockets +6.5 v. Hornets | Top | 99-123 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 46 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Cash Monday 10* Top Play Houston Rockets +6.5 @ Charlotte Hornets @ 7:10 ET - The Hornets are missing a few key players. The Rockets are getting a little healthier and could have a few key guys back on the floor for this one. That said, I like the value with the under-valued underdog in this one. Charlotte is off a win but has not won back to back games since before Thanksgiving. Don't be surprised if the road dogs get the outright upset here but, of course, I am grabbing the points as added insurance. Charlotte was only 3-9 last 12 before most recent win and 2 of those 3 wins were by a margin of just 3 or less points! Tremendous underdog value here especially considering the current covid/injury issues for each club. 10* HOUSTON +6.5 |
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12-27-21 | Brown +10 v. Syracuse | Top | 62-93 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 28 m | Show |
CBB ACC Network Blowout Monday 10* Top Play Brown Bears +10 @ Syracuse Orange @ 6 ET - With all the time off between games for these teams I feel it strongly favors a double-digit dog. That's because it could be a bit of a sloppy game with a tough flow to it. That equates to a game in which it is hard to establish a big lead and maintain it. Yes Syracuse is the better team from the bigger conference. However, the Orange playing for the first time since over two weeks ago. Also, that was a loss that wrapped up a 2-5 stretch for Syracuse and one of those two wins was by just two points in double overtime. The Bears off a loss versus Vermont but it was by only a 5-point margin and Brown entered that game having won 4 straight. Two Bears losses that immediately preceded the 4-game winning streak were by 6 or less points. Tremendous value with the points here as I look for it to be tough for Syracuse to pull away as both teams show some rust in this game after the long layoff. 10* BROWN +10 |
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12-27-21 | Manchester United v. Newcastle United OVER 3 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 17 m | Show |
EPL USA Network Rout Monday 10* Top Play OVER 3 in Newcastle United vs Manchester United @ 3 ET - Manchester United is now back and healthy and that is bad news for Newcastle United. That should translate to plenty of goals here as Newcastle matches, particularly on home soil, have been trending to very high scores this season. We get some line value here because Manchester United off some tighter lower-scoring games but this situation has the makings of being very high-scoring. Newcastle's home matches have averaged 3.7 goals this season. Manchester United matches averaging 3.1 goals this season. Each of the last 4 matches between these clubs have totaled 4 or more goals. The hosts also enter this one having surrendered 3 or more goals in 3 straight matches. More of the same expected in this game as do note that the visitors have been unable to produce a clean sheet against these hosts in each of last 4 meetings. The home team finds the back of the net at least once in this one but the visitors run wild here! 10* OVER 3 in Newcastle United |
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12-27-21 | Western Michigan v. Nevada +7 | Top | 52-24 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 58 m | Show |
CFB Earliest Blowout Monday 10* Top Play Nevada Wolf Pack +7 vs Western Michigan @ 11 AM ET - In the regular season the situation here for Nevada would be devastating. But, in bowl time, when a team has extra time to prepare for a game things can be managed much better. Nevada has a number of opt outs for this game but nearly the entire defense is intact and it is made up of veteran players. On offense yes they are starting an inexperienced QB but the 6'9 signal-caller has had extra time to prep with this team and they are going against a MAC defense. The MAC has not performed well overall in these bowls thus far. So, what about the MWC? They are a perfect 4-0 and that includes beating a Pac-12 team (Ore St) and a team (UTSA) that nearly finished with a perfect record in the regular season. This line has gone from Nevada -3 or -4 to now the Wolf Pack being a +7 underdog. More times than not these line moves never work out like the betting masses think they will. A 10 point swing here? A MAC team favored by 7 over an MWC school? I know that Nevada also has an interim head coach for this one but he has this team believing and viewing this is as their "one game season" together. Practices have been spirited and you are going to see a spirited effort from the Wolf Pack come game time too. Look for the defense, mostly intact other than being without one top player, to absolutely be the dominant force in this game! 10* NEVADA +7 |
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12-26-21 | Washington Football Team +9.5 v. Cowboys | Top | 14-56 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 55 m | Show |
NFL Primetime Punisher Sunday 10* Top Play Washington Football Team +9.5 @ Dallas Cowboys @ 8:20 ET - Washington gets Taylor Heinicke back at QB for this game. This is a rivalry game. Washington swept the Cowboys last season but now has revenge from a loss at home versus Dallas two weeks ago. The Football Team now in a little better shape from the covid that had impacted their roster recently. Also, the road team is a perfect 4-0 SU and ATS in the last 4 Cowboys games. Also, Dallas is 1-2 SU and ATS last 3 home games. The road team gets the money in this one. The set up is perfect, everyone is on the Dallas bandwagon now after their big road trip and now, as per usual, the Cowboys return to Jerry's World and disappoint. Look for the Cowboys to win but not cover as I expect this to be a tight game decided by a one-score margin. Look for a huge game from Heinicke in this one and the Cowboys get caught looking ahead to Arizona in a tough match-up in this one. 10* WASHINGTON +9.5 |
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12-26-21 | 76ers -3 v. Wizards | Top | 117-96 | Win | 100 | 9 h 35 m | Show |
NBA PA Dominator Sunday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -3 or -3.5 @ Washington Wizards @ 6:10 ET - The Wizards are expected to be without one of their top scorers as Bradley Beal likely to miss due to covid protocols. The Sixers will take advantage with fresh legs for both Joel Embiid and Tobias Harris and I expect each of them to play in this game. Either way, I like Philly in this match-up as the Sixers have won 9 of last 11 meetings between these teams and this is a small number to lay so a SU win should equate to an ATS win as well. I know the Sixers have been struggling but this looks like an ideal bounce back spot as Washington will be short-handed and is also just 1-3 SU and ATS last 3 home games. That trend continues here. 10* PHILADELPHIA -3 or -3.5 |
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12-26-21 | Steelers v. Chiefs UNDER 45.5 | Top | 10-36 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 39 m | Show |
NFL AFC Total of the Month Sunday 10* Top Play UNDER 45.5 in Kansas City Chiefs vs Pittsburgh Steelers @ 4:25 ET - Mild weather in Kansas City for this one but driven by strong south winds. That said, the wind should be enough to limit the passing attacks here and I expect a bit of a low-scoring grinder in this one. The Chiefs on a 7-game winning streak and off a high-scoring win at LA against the Chargers but had allowed only 11 points per game in the first 6 victories in the streak. The Steelers have allowed 19 points or less in 2 of last 3 games. Pittsburgh's defense has had some issues at times this season but considering the magnitude of this game in the playoff race I look for the D to deliver another strong game here and the Chiefs defense resumes their recent domination as well. Couple those factors with the potential wind issue here and we should see a bit of a grinders. 10* UNDER 45.5 in Kansas City |
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12-26-21 | Brentford v. Brighton & Hove Albion OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 11 m | Show |
EPL NBCSN Blowout Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +130 in Brighton & Hove vs Brentford @ 3 ET - I like the extra value we can get here with the plus money on the over 2.5 available as high as a +130 in this one as of about 6 hours before it gets underway on Sunday. Yes I know Brighton & Hove has endured a long winless drought but they get some guys back here and I look for them to make a big push for the full 3 points in the table in this one. That said, I also do not see a clean sheet being delivered in this match so this is another one of those instances where I can comfortably forecast at least a 2-1 final here. Brentford's matches away from home have averaged totaling 3 goals apiece as they score an average of about 1.5 goals but also allow an average of 1.5 goals when on enemy soil. The hosts are the favorite in this one for a reason and given Brentford's history can you really expect Brighton to deliver a clean sheet here? Exactly! You can not! So we should see at least a 2-1 final here as each club works hard to get on the board and then works even harder to get the full 3 points and pull a little farther away from the relegation zone. 10* OVER 2.5 +130 in Brighton & Hove |
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12-25-21 | Colts +2.5 v. Cardinals | Top | 22-16 | Win | 100 | 24 h 0 m | Show |
NFL Primetime Punisher NFL 10* Top Play Indianapolis Colts +2.5 @ Arizona Cardinals @ 8:15 ET - The Cardinals have lost back to back games and 3 straight home games! Not much home field edge here for Arizona. As for the Colts, they are one of the hottest teams around with going 8-3 last 11 games! Indianapolis is off a key win over the Patriots but they will not let up here and the key is they also had a bye week before facing New England. The Colts are the fresher team and hotter and they are still chasing the Titans for the top spot in the division so, again, no letdown here! The Colts have covered 9 of last 11 road games and I will take the points here but don't expect to need them as Arizona is starting to doubt themselves. B2B losses and 3 straight defeats at home...the doubts are creeping in on this team and this Colts team is even better than their full season record indicates. Keep in mind they started the season a poor 0-3 so they have come a long way since then. 10* INDIANAPOLIS +2.5 |
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12-25-21 | Ball State +6 v. Georgia State | Top | 20-51 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 47 m | Show |
CFB Perfection Play Saturday 10* Top Play Ball State Cardinals +6 vs Georgia State Panthers @ 2:30 ET - Value with the points here. Feel we are getting extra value in this line simply based on the fact that the Panthers went 8-4 ATS this season while the Cardinals went 4-8 ATS this season. There is really not a lot that separates these two teams and yet Ball State is getting about 6 points in this one. Yes, they come from the MAC and that conference has struggled in these bowls but Georgia State is from the Sun Belt Conference and that is certainly not a powerhouse conference. The Cards have had extra bowl prep time to prepare for a Panthers offense that is rather ground-heavy while I feel strongly that the Cardinals have the better passing attack and that will ultimately prove to be the difference in this one. 10* BALL STATE +6 |