Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-13-23 | Everton v. Liverpool OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -130 | 12 h 33 m | Show |
EPL Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals -130 in Liverpool vs Everton @ 3 ET - This is a contrarian play because neither club has been scoring many goals lately and because the last time these clubs met it was a scoreless draw! That said, why do you think this total is still a 2.5 with heavy juice on the over? Of course it is because the odds makers are expecting the same thing I am here. That is ... it is time! Liverpool is too strong to keep going like this. They are now on their home pitch and hungry for a win and are sure to be relentless here on the attack. Everton is off a 1-0 win but, prior to that victory, they allowed 2.6 goals per match in their last 9 matches across all competitions. Also, Everton has scored at least 1 goal in 6 of last 7 matches. That is why I am expecting at least a 2-1 type of final here. Liverpool has allowed about 1.5 goals per match this season. Also, though they have recently struggled to score goals, this is still a Reds club that has scored about 2.5 goals per match on their home pitch this season. The hosts should take this one at least by a 2-1 count but in my mind, the best value is with the total rather than the heavy juice on the money line in this one. 10* OVER 2.5 goals -130 in Liverpool |
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02-13-23 | Hermannstadt v. Petrolul 52 OVER 2 | Top | 0-2 | Push | 0 | 11 h 36 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in Petrolul Ploiesti vs Hermannstadt @ 1 ET - Petrolul Ploiesti is struggling with 3 straight losses and they have allowed 2.4 goals per match last 5 matches. Petrolul Ploiesti has scored in 5 straight home matches and averaged 1.6 goals per match last 5 matches as a host! As for Hermannstadt, they have allowed at least 1 goal in each of 3 matches since the break as they are struggling too. 5 of last 7 Hermanndstadt matches have totaled at least 2 goals and those 5 actually averaged 3.2 goals scored per match! The last time these clubs met it was a 2-1 final and I expect similar result here. You can see why, per the above, I am expecting each club to score at least once here. At the same time, what are the odds on a 1-1 draw? Not likely as only 2 of last 9 Hermannstadt road matches have ended in a draw. Also, on the season, Petrolul Ploiesti has had only 3 draws in 24 matches! Look for at least a 2-1 final here. 10* OVER 2 in Petrolul Ploiesti |
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02-13-23 | Chindia Targoviste v. Sepsi OVER 2.25 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 106 | 8 h 8 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals -130 in Sepsi vs Chindia Targoviste @ 10 *AM* ET - Of course Sepsi is a favorite here for a reason but Chindia Targoviste has been playing well since play resumed after the winter break. They are 2-0-1 last 3 matches and have scored 5 goals in those 3 matches. Also, 10 of last 11 Chindia Targoviste matches have totaled at least 2 goals. I see the 2.25 totals that are out there at plus money but the safer value is just laying the extra juice to have this over at 2 goals though we certainly are not playing this for a push! The fact is the last two meetings between these clubs did each total 3 goals. Also, the last 6 Sepsi matches have all totaled at least 2 goals and those 6 matches have actually averaged 3.3 goals apiece. Sepsi has scored 5 goals in last 3 home matches and, as noted above, Chindia Targoviste has scored 5 goals in last 3 matches overall. 10* OVER 2 goals -130 in Sepsi |
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02-12-23 | Chiefs v. Eagles -120 | Top | 38-35 | Loss | -120 | 53 h 33 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Eagles Money Line -120 vs Kansas City Chiefs @ 6:30 ET - The Eagles are hearing all the critics for sure and will play this game with a chip on their shoulder and with a little extra fire burning as well. The word on the street is that Sirianni has no chance coaching against Reid in this one. Additionally, the naysayers are saying Hurts has no chance to outduel Mahomes in this one. It is funny because these critics must not be watching the same games I have been watching. The Eagles are a high-quality team that is so strong in the trenches plus has a pair of wide receivers and a tight end that have combined for over 3,400 yards and 21 receiving touchdowns. Yet, per most "experts" out there, Hurts is only a running quarterback that can't beat you with his arm. Really I am not kidding you that some have this belief. Hurts is a gamer. This Eagles team can run on you like crazy too including Hurts of course but the fact is he can - and will - beat teams through the air. Yes the Chiefs are, of course, a high quality team. But the Eagles have a fantastic pass rush and Mahomes' ankle is unlikely to be 100 percent here. He could be having to run around more than he wants to back there as well as the Eagles pass rush is fantastic. Mahomes played in every game this season and the Chiefs lost 3 games in which Mahomes was under center. Conversely, the Eagles had only 1 of their 3 losses happen in a game Hurts played. The Eagles divisional foes were a combined 22-11 in non-divisional games. The Chiefs divisional foes were 15-18 in non-divisional games. The point is the NFC East was much tougher than the AFC West this season and, overall, I feel strongly the Eagles are a bit under-valued in this one especially considering Mahomes high ankle sprain. The line here as of Friday afternoon of Super Bowl weekend is mostly 1.5 everywhere. Considering we can get the money line as low as -120 in this one, the value is definitely with the money line in this situation. 10* PHILADELPHIA -120 |
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02-12-23 | SMU v. Wichita State OVER 136.5 | Top | 89-91 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show |
CBB Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 136.5 in Wichita State Shockers vs SMU Mustangs @ 4 ET - The last time these teams met the Mustangs won 92-67 at SMU. That said, do you think Wichita State will take their foot off the gas here if they have the chance to return the favor and run up the score on their home floor? No, of course not! The Shockers will run and gun here given the chance and the fact is the Mustangs have allowed an average of 79 points last 6 games and have allowed more than 70 points in all 6 of those! As for Wichita State, if you look at their last 8 games and remove the one against Houston (such a strong team), all of the other 7 games totaled at least 140 points! That is more than this total and, not including OT points of course, the average points totaled has been 152 points! I feel we have truly exceptional line value with this total given all the of above variables. Also, the Shockers have allowed at least 66 points in 11 straight games! They are a 7 point favorite here. So if they allow at least 66 which is the LEAST they have allowed in last 11 games plus if the odds makers are correct about the 7 point spread here, you are talking about a game getting to 139 and again, that is at a minimum! The point is you can see why I am expecting at least 140s here and feel we have a better chance of 150s than 130s too given all of the above! 10* OVER 136.5 in Wichita State |
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02-12-23 | Grizzlies +4.5 v. Celtics | Top | 109-119 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 16 m | Show |
Sunday NBA Top Play Memphis Grizzlies +4.5 @ Boston Celtics @ 2:10 ET - Memphis has not been good on the road this season. Boston has been great at home this season. So what gives? Well the fact is this line is priced this way because the Celtics are without Brown and Smart. Those are a pair of key guys that are a big part of the success in Boston. Of course this is still a solid team even without them on the floor. But I am looking for Ja Morant and company to get it done here. Yes the line looks "funny" to most but do not let it fool you. Great upset potential here as the Grizzlies have been getting adjusted to life without Adams for a bit and are off B2B wins and I look for them to keep it rolling here. If they do fall short, look for it to be by just a bucket so the value here is with the points in a big way the way I see it. 10* MEMPHIS +4.5 |
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02-12-23 | Sharks v. Capitals OVER 6.5 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 55 m | Show |
NHL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Washington Capitals vs San Jose Sharks @ 1:35 ET - This is a great spot for an over. The Capitals off a huge win at Boston by a 2-1 count yesterday. A hard-fought win and Kuemper was between the pipes. That means it will likely be Lindgren here. He is off a good start but had been struggling his last 4 appearances prior to that one. Also, I just like the fact that Washington gave so much effort to beat one of the top teams in the East yesterday. Now they face a non-conference foe and could get caught "chasing the game" early on as a result of the situation. So don't be surprised if the Sharks have some early success here. However, San Jose just can not keep the puck out of their own net and so the Caps will come roaring back. That should mean a rather solid over here. The Capitals have been trending more toward unders but that is why we get line value as the key is the Caps situation plus the Sharks trending. Take a look at San Jose as this team is off a 4-1 loss at Florida that stayed under the total but, prior to this, was trending over big-time. San Jose's prior 21 games featured 17 that totaled at least 7 goals. Given their struggling defense and netminding but catching the Capitals in a scheduling spot that favors some Sharks scoring, I look for both teams to score plenty in this one. 10* OVER 6.5 in Washington |
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02-12-23 | Steaua Bucharesti +100 v. Voluntari | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play FCSB Money Line -105 @ FC Voluntari @ 1 ET - FCSB has been playing very well and is nearing the top of the table for the season while FC Voluntari continues to struggle and is near the lower portion of the table. FCSB has won 3 of 4 with the only loss in this stretch to league-leading Farul. The 3 victories all saw FCSB deliver clean sheets. Also, going further back, FCSB has won 8 of 10 matches and the only other loss in that stretch besides the one to Farul was a loss to a solid CFR Cluj club. So, the point is, this FCSB club has been hot and they also have been taking care of business against all but the top teams in the league. That said, FC Voluntari is overmatched here. Voluntari is winless in last 5 matches and that includes losing each of last 3 by a combined score of 7 to 2. Also, when these clubs met earlier this season FCSB was up 1-0 but then had a red card at the 86 minute mark and Voluntari ended up earning a draw with scoring on a penalty kick at the 7 minute mark of extra time. Essentially, on the final play of the match. FCSB wants (and gets!) payback here. 10* FCSB Money Line -105 |
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02-12-23 | Oilers v. Canadiens OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 5 h 20 m | Show |
NHL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Montreal Canadiens vs Edmonton Oilers @ 12:35 ET - The Oilers have won 9 of 11 games and scored an average of 5.4 goals per game in the 9 victories! You can see why I am expecting goals here as Edmonton is just relentless in terms of goal-scoring prowess. Here they face a Montreal club that has scored at least 3 goals in 3 of last 4 games and plus is on home ice here. The issue for the Canadiens is they have allowed 4 goals per game last 7 games. This one has the makings of a 4-3 type game. Both teams in a B2B spot which stresses the defense and the goaltending so the offense will again be free-flowing with both teams off high-scoring wins yesterday too. 10* OVER 6.5 in Montreal |
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02-12-23 | Aston Villa v. Manchester City OVER 3 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 48 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 3 in Manchester City vs Aston Villa @ 11:30 AM ET - What do the players want to do the most when distractions off the pitch have been rampant? They want to get back on the pitch and play the sport they love with passion. That said, everything going on with Manchester City right now is actually going to unite them here. They will play an impassioned style here and they are also hungry to bounce back off a 1-0 loss to Tottenham last week. However, City has been conceding a little more than usual of late plus they are facing an Aston Villa club that has been scoring well too. But the problem for Aston Villa is they can stop no one. They allowed 4 goals in the loss to Leicester last week. Over their last dozen matches across all competitions, Aston Villa has allowed 2 goals per match. Manchester City is averaging scoring 3.5 goals per match on their home pitch this season. So this total is a 3 that has been set on this match but I am looking for a 3-1 or 4-2 type final so don't worry about the big number here. City has allowed 1.2 goals per match last 6 matches across all competitions. They are angry off the loss last week and not happy that the first match this season with Aston Villa was a 1-1 draw. That said, look for Manchester City to be relentless on the attack in this one. Prior to the 1-1 draw in last meeting, City had scored at least 2 goals in each of last 4 meetings with Aston Villa. 10* OVER 3 in Manchester City |
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02-12-23 | Farul Constanta 1920 v. Arges OVER 2 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -113 | 9 h 58 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in FC Arges vs Farul @ 10 AM ET - Farul is the top club in the league and highest-scoring club too as they are averaging 2 goals scored per match. FC Arges is on their home pitch though and Farul has allowed 2.2 goals per match in their last 5 matches. Goals should be plentiful here and the value of the O/U being just a 2 on this match is huge. 18 of last 19 Farul matches have totaled at least 2 goals and those 19 matches have averaged 3.3 goals! 7 of last 8 FC Arges matches have totaled at least 2 goals and those 8 matches have averaged 2.5 goals apiece. Farul has averaged 2 goals scored in winning each of last 3 matches with FC Arges. Look for the hosts to get on the board at least once in this one given the recent penchant Farul has had for allowing goals. But the visitors are favored for a reason and I am looking for a 2-1 type final here at a minimum. 10* OVER 2 in FC Arges |
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02-12-23 | Manchester United v. Leeds United OVER 2.75 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 23 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 or 3 goals in Manchester United @ Leeds United @ 9 *AM* ET - As noted in Wednesday's write-up involving these same clubs in a match at Man U, I an looking for Leeds United to respond after Jesse Marsch has been replaced by interim manager Michael Skubala. Leeds entered that match off a 1-0 shutout loss but will be very aggressive here again just like they were in the 2-2 draw at Man U. They are now at home and will be especially responsive to the positive energy of the crowd as well as Skubala patrolling the sideline. Trouble is they are facing a red hot Manchester United club. The visitors have won 4 of 5 matches plus have scored an average of 2.4 goals per match last 11 matches. Manchester United is 5-0-1 in last 6 matches with Leeds United. 5 of the 6 matches totaled at least 4 goals and averaged 5.6 goals apiece! Leeds needs to get back on track in Premier League action and that 2-2 draw Wednesday could them going plus they also have scored an average of 4 goals in last two matches in the English FA Cup so they have some goal-scoring confidence based on the recent results. 10* OVER 2.5 or 3 in Leeds United |
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02-11-23 | Seton Hall +5.5 v. Villanova | Top | 54-58 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
CBB Saturday 10* Top Play Seton Hall Pirates +5 or +5.5 @ Villanova Wildcats @ 8 ET - I know Seton Hall is on the road for this game but this is still a high-value spot especially after the line move. I have been saying this all season long and it is so true...Villanova is just not the same team they use to be when Jay Wright was patrolling the sideline. The Wildcats have a losing record this season overall plus are just 5-8 in Big East games. Here is the big key with that record too. Villanova's 5 wins in conference action have included St John's (2), Georgetown (2), and DePaul. Those teams have a combined record of 8-34 in Big East games and are the 3 lowest teams in the standings. Even 5-10 (Big East record) Butler beat the Wildcats. Now they are facing an 8-6 (Big East record) Seton Hall team that is off a loss by a double digit margin and has gone 5-1 this season when off a loss by double digits. So the set-up here is perfect, the line move toward Nova is only adding value for us, and the Pirates lost at home to Creighton because the Bluejays made a ridiculous 12 of 20 three pointers! The result is line value in this bounce back spot here. 10* SETON HALL +5 or +5.5 |
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02-11-23 | Jazz v. Knicks -5 | Top | 120-126 | Win | 100 | 13 h 37 m | Show |
NBA Saturday 10* Top Play New York Knicks -5 vs Utah Jazz @ 7:40 ET - Great situational spot in my opinion as both teams are in a B2B but Knicks are at home and played yesterday in nearby Philly while the Jazz are on the road and were in Toronto last night. The big key here is the situational aspect as New York led the Sixers last night going to the 4th quarter but then lost by double digits. Also, the Jazz were down by double digits against the Raptors heading to the 4th quarter last night but then rallied for the win. Love this as a flat spot for Utah and an extremely hungry spot for the Knicks. 10* NEW YORK -5 |
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02-11-23 | Duke +6.5 v. Virginia | Top | 62-69 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 38 m | Show |
CBB Saturday 10* Top Play Duke Blue Devils +6 or +6.5 @ Virginia Cavaliers @ 4 ET - Yes the Cavaliers are off huge win versus NC State but the Wolfpack actually had 10 more field goal attempts in the game plus outrebounded Virginia. We are getting line value here because prior to that win, if you look at the Cavs 7-2 run that preceded, none of those 9 teams have fewer losses on the season. Now certainly the Blue Devils are not the same team this season that they typically are. However, they are definitely still a high-quality program loaded with talent and they are off a bad loss that was not a huge surprise as it was on the heels of a huge win over North Carolina. After that big win over rival Tar Heels, the Blue Devils fell short badly in their next game at Miami. However, Duke is 6-0 this season when off a SU loss. The Blue Devils will respond here again off a loss plus you know they want this game badly as it is Virginia that is currently topping the ACC standings and that is a position the Blue Devils are use to occupying. I have a lot of respect for the Cavs but look at the game they are off of and the game Duke is off of. Look at the situation here and the line value. This will be one of the toughest tests the Cavs will have this season and yet the game is not really priced that way in my opinion. I also like the fact that the move here on this line has gone toward Virginia. That means even more value with the underdog Blue Devils. I am expecting Duke to improve to a perfect 7-0 SU this season when off a loss. I do expect the outright upset here. However, I will grab the points with the road dog as added insurance. The play here is 10* DUKE +6 or +6.5 |
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02-11-23 | CFR Cluj v. CS U Craiova OVER 2 | Top | 0-2 | Push | 0 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals in Universitatea Craiova vs CFR Cluj @ 1 ET - CFR Cluj might be happy they are on the road for this one. The reality is they have 5 wins and 1 draw in last 6 matches away from home and have scored an average of 1.8 goals per match in last 5 road matches. They have struggled recently at home but again stay hot on enemy pitch here. However, though CFR Cluj should score well, they will struggle to stop Universitatea Craiova on own pitch. The hosts enter this match off a 2-1 road loss to a tough Farul club and now face another tough club here with CFR Cluj paying a visit. However, Universitatea Craiova enters this match having scored an average of 1.9 goals per match in last 9 matches. The fact the posted total is a 2 here with no big juice on the over is truly a great value. Universitatea Craiova has only 5 draws in its 24 matches this season and CFR Cluj has the fewest (2) draws of any club in the league this season. So you can see why I am expecting both clubs to score here as well as why I am expecting this match to then find its way to at least a 2-1 final! 10* OVER 2 goals in Universitatea Craiova |
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02-11-23 | Predators v. Flyers +121 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 9 m | Show |
NHL Saturday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers Money Line +120 vs Nashville Predators @ 12:35 ET - If you do not allow the opponent to score it is tough for them to beat you! Indeed the Flyers have been getting great goaltending and are not allowing many goals at all in recent games. The Predators have been winning lately but those games were at home and they are coming off a home loss to the Golden Knights. The key is that the Preds have only had one strong game in the last 5 in terms of goals conceded. In the other 4 games, Nashville has allowed an average of 4.3 goals. Also, the Predators have lost 3 straight road games and allowed 3.7 goals per game in those 3 games. Home ice and stronger goaltending make for solid upset potential here. 10* PHILADELPHIA +120 |
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02-11-23 | Newcastle United v. AFC Bournemouth OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 0 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Bournemouth vs Newcastle United @ 12:30 ET - Love this spot for an over. Bournemouth is on their home pitch where they do score an average of 1 goal per match. The issue for the hosts is they concede more goals than anyone else in the league. I know Newcastle is missing Guimaraes right now but they are angry off a 1-1 draw at home and want get the full 3 points here in the table. Yes Bournemouth allowed only 1 goal to Brighton but they allowed 20 shots in that match and 6 were on target. The point is that Bournemouth was not exactly sharp in their own end and Newcastle is going to exploit their defensive shortcomings here. The visitors are a 1-goal favorite on the goal line for a reason. The hosts attack has looked a little better since their January signings and they will make the net ripple once here on their home pitch. Yes I know the Newcastle defense is rock solid but this is a tough spot for them and they have a home match with Liverpool up next. So perhaps they peek ahead a bit at that match and they do concede at least once here but then they battle back against a weak defense here and pile up some goals. They might, in fact, get this total all by themselves by scoring 3 on their own the way I see it after last week's frustrating draw. However, at the very least, I am expecting a 2-1 type final here. 10* OVER 2.5 in Bournemouth |
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02-11-23 | Canucks v. Red Wings OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 4 h 6 m | Show |
NHL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Detroit Red Wings vs Vancouver Canucks @ 12:05 ET - Canucks have a new head coach in Rick Tocchet but things have remained the same in the goal-scoring department in Vancouver. The Canucks can not stop anybody but also do score very well! That is why each of their last 6 games have totaled at least 7 goals and those 6 have averaged 8 goals per game. But, not only that, 9 STRAIGHT ROAD GAMES for Vancouver have resulted in at least 7 goals scored! Those 9 games have averaged 8.6 goals per game! As for the Red Wings, they should score well at home here and I know that goalie Ville Husso can be strong at times but also he has had a few tougher outings from time to time too. With this being an early start and with the way things are going for Canucks of late, I just can not see this game ending with less than 7 goals. Look for Vancouver to again force the pace of play in this one and don't be surprised if power play goals continue to play a role in yet another over here. 10* OVER 6.5 in Detroit |
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02-11-23 | Tottenham Hotspur v. Leicester OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 4 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Leicester vs Tottenham @ 10 *AM* ET - Love this situation for a lot of goals. Leicester is off a 4-2 win and is on their home pitch and their confidence is sky-high of late as they continue to pile up goals. Tottenham is off delivering a clean sheet against Manchester City. They gave a tremendous defensive effort in that 1-0 win. That said, you can sense what is coming here. It is impossible for Tottenham to again give such a dominating defensive effort as they will get caught still celebrating that huge win over Manchester City. However, at the same time they still have plenty weapons to exploit a very weak defensive club as Leicester definitely does struggle in that regard. Also, the injury to Tottenham goalkeeper Hugo Lloris is certainly noteworthy here as well. 10* OVER 2.5 in Leicester |
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02-11-23 | Botosani v. UTA Arad OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 106 | 3 h 24 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals -130 in UTA vs FC Botosani @ 7:30 AM ET - Botosani has won 3 straight matches and scored an average of 2.7 goals per match. They enter this match with confidence plus seeking revenge for a 2-1 home loss earlier this season to UTA. As for Arad, they will be ready to answer the call on their home pitch here so I look for Botosani to stay hot in the goal-scoring department but Arad has scored at least 1 goal in 4 straight matches. Also, Botosani has no draws last 4 matches and also 3 of the last 4 meetings between these clubs have ended without a draw. So the result here is nothing less than a 2-1 final in my opinion and, if you do your line shopping, there is over 2 goals available at a very price of the -130 range on this one so that would be my top choice for this bet. 10* OVER 2 goals -130 in UTA |
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02-10-23 | Knicks v. 76ers -5 | Top | 108-119 | Win | 100 | 14 h 50 m | Show |
NBA Friday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -5 vs New York Knicks @ 7 ET - The Sixers get their revenge here. I do expect Embiid, seemingly a constant on the injury report, to play in this one tonight but would still make this bet even without him. Philly is off B2B road losses and they are 3-0 the last 3 times this season that they have been at home and off consecutive losses. Not only were both losses on the road, they just faced a tough Celtics team in Boston and this was after blowing a 21 point lead in their prior game which was (you guessed it!) at New York. So here they are seeking revenge on the Knicks and they are at home and they are off B2B losses and they catch the Knicks off B2B wins! When Philly lost at New York it had a lot to do with a rare poor shooting night. The Sixers will bounce back here at home where they have been so hot for so long! As for the Knicks, they are off those B2B wins but had lost 7 of 10 overall before that. Also, New York had lost 3 of last 4 road games before getting the big win at Orlando after knocking off the 76ers at home. The Sixers will be "Raining Threes" tonight and the Knicks luck runs out here. Yes they just beat the Magic by 4 at Orlando but they outscored them by 27 points from three point land! In other words, inside the arc in that game the Magic won it by 23 points! Great spot for Philly revenge here. 10* PHILADELPHIA -5 |
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02-10-23 | Maple Leafs v. Blue Jackets OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -117 | 11 h 36 m | Show |
NHL Friday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Columbus Blue Jackets vs Toronto Maple Leafs @ 7 ET - The Maple Leafs just always seem to plagued by goaltending issues and that is the case again this season. Toronto's Matt Murray is out again so that is not helping matters in net. Ilya Samsonov has been quite inconsistent. He has allowed 5 or more goals in 2 of last 3 starts. The Leafs do continue to score well. Toronto, prior to a 5-2 loss to Boston, had averaged 3.8 goals scored per game last 25 games. As for Columbus, they do tend to score better at home but they also have been one of the worst teams in the league defensively and in goal. That is why 6 of last 7 Blue Jackets home games have totaled at least 7 goals. Also, Columbus has scored 3.7 goals per game last 3 games as a host. More of the same on tap here as I feel this is one of those back and forth match-ups that has a great shot to get to 3-3 which, of course, would mean nothing less than a 4-3 final. Either way, this one finds its way to at least 7 goals. 10* OVER 6.5 in Columbus |
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02-10-23 | Kent State v. Buffalo OVER 150.5 | Top | 72-65 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 49 m | Show |
CBB Friday 10* Top Play OVER 150.5 in Buffalo Bulls vs Kent State Golden Flashes @ 6 ET - The Bulls and Golden Flashes met at Kent State two weeks ago and that game totaled 142 points despite the teams combining to make 12 of 53 from three point land! The point is that, despite poor shooting, thanks to an overall strong pace to the game the teams still totaled over 140 points. We can easily get past the 150 mark with normal shooting in the rematch. In fact the total should get close to a 160 with a normal performance on offense. Both teams recently faced Akron - a strong defensive team - and they each struggled with shooting. However, other than that, Buffalo has scored points like crazy this season. Overall on the year the Bulls are averaging 80 points per game but they also allow 78 points per game! As for Kent State, other than struggling at Akron recently (eliminating that from the equation), they have averaged 78 points per game last 10 games! Also, they have allowed an average of 70 points per game last 4 road games and the Bulls are known for firing away (and connecting!) when on their home floor. Unlike the game played at Kent State, the rematch sees much more normal shooting and - as a result - an absolute shootout expected here! 10* OVER 150.5 in Buffalo |
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02-10-23 | Mioveni v. Universitatea Cluj +100 | Top | 2-2 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 39 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Friday 10* Top Play Universitatea Cluj Money Line +100 vs CS Mioveni - I know this is a bit of a contrarian play considering Universitatea Cluj has been struggling and CS Mioveni has been playing better. However, the fact that the hosts are off a 5-0 beating last week is what has me loving this spot for Universitatea Cluj on their home pitch. Yes, CS Mioveni has played better since returning from the holiday break but 2 of those 3 matches were at home. Now, they are on the road and CS Mioveni still has the lowest win total and highest loss total in the league this season. Universitatea Cluj has only 1 loss in last 9 matches at home and allowed a total of only 6 goals in those matches. I know a lot of those matches ended in draws but I feel this one will not as the fired up hosts respond in a big way off last week's embarrassing loss. 10* Universitatea Cluj Money Line +100 |
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02-10-23 | U Craiova 1948 v. Rapid Bucuresti OVER 2.25 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 107 | 5 h 7 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals -125 in Rapid vs U Craiova 1948 - Rapid is off a 5-0 win last week and U Craiova 1948 is off a 4-1 win last week. Look for the goals to keep flying this week and I like the fact we can get over 2 here are a reasonable price. I would recommend to do your line shopping early in this one. Note that U Craiova 1948 has scored at least 1 goal in 5 straight matches and actually averaged 2 goals per match in those 5. Overall, U Craiova 1948 has scored at least 1 goal in 8 of last 9 matches. As for Rapid, they are seeking revenge for a 1-0 loss in the first meeting this season. They have been involved in one scoreless draw in last 13 matches but in the other dozen matches they averaged scoring 2 goals per match! In other words, each team averaging 2 goals scored per match for quite some time now and yet we have a posted total of only 2 goals to work with here. You can see why 2-2 would not be a shock here at all but certainly we should see at least 2-1. Each club has only a 25% draw rate on the season so don't expect a 1-1 final here. Once this gets to 1-1 it will get to 2-1. No matter how it gets there, the point is we should see solid scoring in this one. 10* OVER 2 goals -125 in Rapid |
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02-09-23 | USC +4.5 v. Oregon | Top | 60-78 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 27 m | Show |
NCAA Thursday 10* Top Play USC Trojans +4.5 @ Oregon Ducks @ 11 PM ET - The Trojans have won 4 straight and 13 of 16 games. Also 2 of those 3 losses were to ranked teams. Not only is Oregon unranked, the Ducks are just 7-5 last 12 games and the first 4 of those 5 losses were to unranked teams. Of course Oregon gets some line shading here for home court but this is just too much here. USC is too strong a team to be getting 4.5 points here in this one. Southern Cal has a great shot at the outright upset here and if they do fall short I would expect it to be by only a bucket or two. Note that the road team won both meetings between these teams last season. Also, the most recent meeting prior to that actually was in the Big Dance in 2021 and USC won that match-up by double digits. The Trojans are playing with a lot of confidence right now and Oregon is off a win but is 2-5 SU the last 7 times when off a win. The Ducks just have not been as consistent this season plus they have Pac-12 leaders UCLA on deck and the Bruins already beat Oregon this season too. So the point is that this is not necessarily a great scheduling spot for the Ducks. As for the Trojans, love their confidence level right now plus the fact they have been off since Saturday. That minimizes the travel aspect to this game and, once again, for the 3rd straight time in regular season action, look for the road team to prevail. I will grab the points here just in case and if Trojans do fall short I would expect it to be by only a bucket or two. 10* USC +4.5 |
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02-09-23 | Suns v. Hawks -4 | Top | 107-116 | Win | 100 | 16 h 51 m | Show |
NBA Thursday 10* Top Play Atlanta Hawks -4 vs Phoenix Suns @ 7:40 ET - As a result of the blockbuster trade between Nets and Suns with Phoenix acquiring Kevin Durant in the deal but losing Johnson and Bridges, the Suns are going to be very short-handed for this game tonight. That is why a line that opened up around a pick'em has shot up to the -4 range and even as high as the -6 range as of very early gameday morning. I am looking for the Hawks to roll big here as the Suns just do not have enough talent to put on the floor in this game to match Trae Young and Atlanta. Keep in mind, the Suns barely beat the Nets at Brooklyn earlier this week and that was with Ayton scoring 35 plus Booker was back and plus they had Johnson and Bridges on the floor. Booker is expected to miss this game as it is front end of B2B and he is recovering from injuries. Johnson and Bridges are on their way to Brooklyn. Newly acquired Durant is injured plus the add-on in the trade was Warren but he will not play tonight. So Suns are super short-handed and Atlanta recently beat them 132 to 100 in Phoenix so you know what is likely here. 10* ATLANTA -4 |
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02-09-23 | Canucks v. Islanders OVER 6 | Top | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 29 m | Show |
NHL Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 6 in New York Islanders vs Vancouver Canucks @ 7:35 ET - I know the Islanders have been trending under of late and getting solid goaltending. However, this is a very unique match-up. The Islanders just made the huge move to get Bo Harvat from Vancouver. Now the Canucks are in town for this game. The situation keeps getting bigger and bigger for Horvat and this will be an especially electric atmosphere for this game as a result. First it was Horvat's debut with the Isles and that was on enemy ice in a division rivalry game. Then it was his home ice debut and he scored a goal in that one too. Now in his 3rd game with his new team he is facing his old team and this game is again on Long Island. So the atmosphere will be great and the Isles are off of a 4-goal outburst in their most recent game. They certainly should score plenty here against the Canucks. Vancouver enters this one having allowed 4 goals per game on the season. However, the Canucks have been even worse of late on the road with 5 goals allowed per game in last 8 away from home. However, they also have scored at least 3 goals in 7 of last 8 road games. This one should end up at least a 4-3 final based on all of the above. 10* OVER 6 in New York Islanders |
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02-08-23 | Canucks v. Rangers OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 14 h 9 m | Show |
NHL Wednesday 10* OVER 6.5 in New York Rangers vs Vancouver Canucks @ 8:05 ET - The Canucks fired their head coach on the 22nd. Since then they have scored at least 4 goals in 3 of 4 games. However, Vancouver continues to have trouble keeping the puck out of their own net. The Canucks have lost 12 of 16 games and allowed 4 goals per game during this stretch. Shesterkin is a great goalie and likely to get the start here for Rangers but he could be rusty after the time off and he only played in the All Star game over the weekend. Other than this will be the first action for him tonight in two weeks. He could be a little rusty here and the Canucks only hope to steal a road win here is to outscore the Rangers because you know Vancouver is going to be giving up goals here. The Rangers have plenty of high-scoring capability and have scored at least 3 goals in 9 of last 13 games. Many of those games saw New York get to 4 goals and I fully expect at least that here in what should be a highly entertaining non-conference battle. 10* OVER 6.5 in New York Rangers |
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02-08-23 | Illinois-Chicago +12.5 v. Southern Illinois | Top | 66-68 | Win | 100 | 11 h 20 m | Show |
CBB Wednesday 10* Top Play Illinois-Chicago Flames +12.5 @ Southern Illinois Salukis @ 8 ET - This is a very bad scheduling spot for Southern Illinois. Yes the Salukis are at home but they have a huge game on deck at Drake. Yes they already did beat the Bulldogs earlier this season but right now Drake is in first place in the Missouri Valley Conference and the Salukis know that is a big game that is awaiting them Saturday. Not only that, the Salukis lost all 3 games to Drake last season including in the MVC Tournament. That said, the Salukis could look right past this Flames team. Illinois-Chicago is certainly having a rough season but they are off a win and also have been much more competitive for a long time now! That is the key here is the line value with this large number when you consider this is a clear lookahead spot for Southern Illinois. Note that the Flames are just 2-10 last 12 games but only 3 of those losses by more than 10 points and here we are catching a dozen points plus the hook. Also, the last 5 losses for UIC all by 10 or less points and an average margin of defeat of only 6.6 points and one of those was in OT! So none of last 6 Flames games were losses by more than 10 points and this team, off a confidence-boosting win, will be tough to put away in this game. Look for UIC to hang around throughout this game! 10* ILLINOIS-CHICAGO +12.5 |
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02-08-23 | 76ers +4.5 v. Celtics | Top | 99-106 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 51 m | Show |
NBA Wednesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers +4.5 @ Boston Celtics @ 7:35 ET - I do not think it is a mere coincidence that the Celtics are 3-4 since losing Marcus Smart to injury and the fact that those 3 wins came against below .500 teams (Pistons and Lakers) and a team (Nets) that is currently a dumpster fire. So Boston has not really beaten a quality team in this 7-game run and now faces a very tough test here. Celtics without Smart and taking on a red hot Sixers team that had won 22 of 27 games before loss in most recent game. Definitely Philly was looking ahead to this game when they fell apart in the 4th quarter and lost by double digits at New York. Here at Boston they will be fully motivated and ready to prove the Celtics don't have this division locked up just yet! Also, though Embiid is on the injury report, that has been the case for multiple weeks now and he continues to play through his injury and has been plenty effective plus there has been plenty of time between games recently for Embiid too. The 76ers are 4-0 L4 times when off a loss and also 5-0 L5 times when off a loss by 9 or more points. Boston, without Smart, has recent losses to Phoenix, New York, and Miami teams that all have a winning record on the season. Those 3 teams are a combined 12 games over .500 on the season. But this Philly team is 16 games over .500 by themselves and, once again, the Celtics without Smart struggle and fall short here. I am expecting an outright upset for Philly here but, at the very least, a cover in a loss by the slimmest of margins. 10* PHILADELPHIA +4.5 |
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02-08-23 | Leeds United v. Manchester United OVER 3 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 102 | 10 h 16 m | Show |
EPL Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 3 goals in Manchester United vs Leeds United @ 3 ET - Look for Leeds United to respond after Jesse Marsch has been replaced by interim manager Michael Skubala. Leeds off a 1-0 shutout loss but will be very aggressive here in response. Trouble is they are facing a red hot Manchester United club. The hosts have won 4 straight matches plus have scored an average of 2.4 goals per match last 10 matches. Manchester United is 4-0-1 in last 5 matches with Leeds United. Those 4 matches that were Man U victories all totaled at least 4 goals and averaged 6 goals apiece! Leeds needs to get back on track in Premier League action but has scored an average of 4 goals in last two matches in the English FA Cup so they have some goal-scoring confidence based on those recent results. 10* OVER 3 in Manchester United |
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02-07-23 | Ducks v. Blackhawks OVER 6 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -113 | 13 h 44 m | Show |
NHL Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 6 in Chicago Blackhawks vs Anaheim Ducks @ 8:35 ET - Like the fact that Ducks played last night but lost in shootout at Dallas. Anaheim shoot skate well here in the B2B but will have a rusty Stolarz between the net most likely since Gibson played last night. Speaking of rusty, the Blackhawks coming back from the All-Star break so I don't expect either of their goalies to be sharp here. The Ducks are off B2B lower-scoring games but this followed 10 straight games that totaled 7 goals or more and those 10 averaged 8 goals apiece! Chicago has averaged 3.5 goals scored per game last 10 games but also has a goalie issue here. Stalock has been out because of a concussion. Stauber is young and unproven so don't put too much stock into his first couple of NHL games. Mrazek likely to get most of the starts and he has allowed 11 goals in his last two starts. 10* OVER 6 in Chicago |
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02-07-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Islanders OVER 5.5 | Top | 0-4 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
NHL Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 5.5 in NY Islanders vs Seattle Kraken @ 7:35 ET - We get a very low total to work with here because the Islanders are involved. However, they are in a B2B spot here and Varlamov played last night which means it will likely be Sorokin in goal tonight. Sorokin played in the All Star game and did have a shutout in his most recent start prior to the break. However, prior to this he allowed an average of 4 goals per game over his 3 prior starts. He has not been as strong as Varlamov. Also, this will be the home ice debut for New York's big-name addition with Bo Harvat coming on board. The Isles have needed to have some offensive production and I am looking for a strong effort tonight after the divisional win at Philly last night. Islanders will see a higher-scoring game here as having a game under their belt after the break should allow them the early edge over the Kraken but I do expect Seattle to come roaring back in this one too. The Kraken have won 11 of 15 games and scored an average of 4 goals per game during this 15-game stretch. Seattle has allowed 5 goals in each of last two road games and also just allowed 5 goals in most recent home loss too! Take advantage of the low number here as this one has strong odds of getting to at least 6 goals. 10* OVER 5.5 in New York Islanders |
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02-07-23 | Knicks v. Magic +1.5 | Top | 102-98 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 20 m | Show |
NBA Tuesday 10* Top Play Orlando Magic +1.5 or +2 vs New York Knicks @ 7:10 ET - This is a great spot to fade the Knicks. Look for the defensive intensity for the Knicks to be lacking in this one. New York is off that huge comeback win over division rival Philly on Sunday. The Knicks held them to just 18 points in the 4th quarter as they rallied for the win. On deck for New York is a trip to that same division rival, in Philadelphia this time. That said, this is a horrible scheduling spot for the Knicks and let us not forget they had lost 7 of 10 games before the shocking win over the 76ers. As for the Magic, they are rested and at home and have won 6 of last 10 games overall. Also, they had won 9 of last 12 home games prior to losing the most recent one so look for a big bounce back effort from the hosts in this one! 10* ORLANDO +1.5 or +2 |
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02-07-23 | Rutgers v. Indiana -4 | Top | 60-66 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
CBB Tuesday 10* Top Play Indiana Hoosiers -4 vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights @ 6:30 ET - As the saying goes, if it was too easy everyone would be doing it! That theory applies here. The Hoosiers were a 5 point favorite and are already down to a -4 in early market movement. Why? Because everyone knows they just knocked off the best team in the country when they beat Purdue this past weekend. So that's it, right? It is that easy? Just fade Hoosiers because they beat the #1 team in the country and the fans stormed the court after the game? Ladies and gentlemen, nothing is automatic in this business and nothing is truly easy. The fact here is a quote from Indiana star Trayce Jackson-Davis tells you the key info you really need to know here. What did he reference after the big win over the Boilermakers? Rutgers! Why? Because he was saying that ever since they got drilled by the Scarlet Knights early this season in their Big Ten opener they have toughened up and been a different team. All that said, and this revenge game being at home, you know Jackson-Davis and the Hoosiers are going to bring it in this game! They want payback for being held to just 48 points in the first match-up at Rutgers earlier this season. So this is a classic case where the public views this game in a certain way and the market moves it in the same way and we get line value fading the movement! I love spots like this and feel the Hoosiers get their revenge in a big way on their home court here. The Scarlet Knights have gone 2-4 in road games this season and the Hoosiers are 12-1 in home games! Rutgers last 3 Big Ten losses all by double digits and that includes 0-2 in last two road games. Hoosiers get payback for having one of their worst games of the season against these guys earlier this year. 10* INDIANA -4 |
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02-07-23 | SC Freiburg v. Sandhausen OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -135 | 8 h 51 m | Show |
2022-23 German DFB Pokal, Round of 16, Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals -130 in Sandhausen vs Freiburg @ Noon ET - Should see plenty of goals in this one. Freiburg is both scoring and allowing 1.6 goals per match in Bundesliga action. Sandhausen is the 2nd level of Bundesliga and is allowing 1.8 goals per match this season but is scoring an average of 1.3 goals per match as a host. I also like the fact that Freiburg has seen 5 of last 6 matches total at least 4 goals. Again, we only need 3 goals to be a winner here. As for Sandhausen, 8 of last 9 matches have totaled at least 3 goals! I know Freiburg is the better team and off a loss in which they played a man short and ended up getting throttled. So, from that perspective, they will want to be much better in their own end of the pitch here. However, they have consistently allowed quite a few goals this season and plus this one has Sandhausen as the host. That said, the home club will get on the board but I would certainly expect the higher quality team to get at least 2 or 3 of their own in this one as well. Freiburg likely to get to 3 by themselves but, if not, at least a 2-1 final here the way I see it. 10* OVER 2.5 goals -130 in Sandhausen |
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02-06-23 | Texas v. Kansas -3.5 | Top | 80-88 | Win | 100 | 16 h 7 m | Show |
CBB Monday 10* Top Play Kansas Jayhawks -3.5 vs Texas Longhorns @ 9 ET - Great spot for Kansas in this one. They are off a sloppy road loss at Iowa State but perhaps got caught looking ahead to this showdown with the team leading the Big 12. Texas is having a great season, even surviving the situation head coach Beard and now having an interim head coach on the sidelines. I did have the Longhorns here as one of my two plays Saturday but it was not an easy win for them at Kansas State. The Horns were down big to the Wildcats at halftime and had to rally back and it was a physical game and it used a lot of energy for UT in the eventual 3-point win. That makes this is a very tough spot for Texas and their win at Kansas State was their first win over a ranked foe that was not a home game for UT. Prior to defeating the Wildcats, the Longhorns other 3 non-home games versus ranked foes had seen them lose in a neutral site game against Illinois plus the Horns lost by double digits at Iowa State and at Tennessee. I feel sure the Jayhawks are going to bounce back strong here Monday after their ugly loss at Iowa State. Also note that the last 8 times Kansas has been off a loss in which they allowed 79 points or less, they have gone a perfect 8-0 in their next game. The Jayhawks get it done again here coming off a loss as the guys surrounding Wilson do a much better job in this home game than they did against the Cyclones Saturday. Home court matters in this key Big 12 battle and KU gets it done at home! 10* KANSAS -3.5 |
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02-06-23 | Clippers -6.5 v. Nets | Top | 124-116 | Win | 100 | 14 h 14 m | Show |
NBA Monday 10* Top Play LA Clippers -6.5 @ Brooklyn Nets @ 7:40 ET - The Clippers won in overtime Saturday night. The guys that led them are who you would expect - Leonard, George, Powell. The Nets are off a win over Washington in which they rallied from a 23 point deficit in the eventual 2-point win. Brooklyn had 2 guys have career-best scoring games in that one and their output was ridiculous and will not be repeated here. Not even close. That said, we have a lot of value here because this Nets team is still without Durant and it sounds like Irving has been traded to Dallas. Also, Brooklyn has a lot of other banged up guys, including Curry who will miss tonight's game. Curry and Durant were the only two guys to score more than 13 points when the Nets upset the Clippers in LA by 15 points earlier this season. So this is a revenge game plus the situation is perfect. Normally I do not laying points on the road but I just can not see the Nets as being able to hang in this game. They are too depleted and guys will not repeat the magic they did on the floor against Washington this past weekend. This is a defensive and revenge-minded Clippers team that Brooklyn has to deal with tonight. 10* LA CLIPPERS -6.5 |
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02-06-23 | Islanders v. Flyers +120 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 1 m | Show |
NHL Monday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers Money Line +120 vs New York Islanders @ 7:05 ET - The Islanders are off B2B wins but had lost 10 of 11 games prior to that. Also, both those wins were on home ice. On the road, the Isles have lost 5 straight games and 10 of last 12. The home team is 2-0 in the two games between these divisional foes this season. The Flyers have been opposite of the Islanders this season. New York started hot than cooled. Philly had a very rough stretch earlier in the season for an extended period. However, they have since won 10 of 16 games. They did lose their most recent home game however in OT to the Kings. Philly either led or was tied with LA throughout the entirety of that game. They will make up for that home ice loss here and get back into the win column as they continue to exceed expectations of late while the Islanders have truly been mired in a long slump. Yes they acquired Bo Harvat from the Canucks and he is a great player but it could take him some time to "get on the same page" with his teammates and they could be a bit sloppy on the ice coming out of the All Star break. Don't be surprised if the Flyers are the more cohesive group on home ice here and I look for a huge game from Carter Hart in goal as he has allowed a total of only 6 goals in regulation time of his last 4 starts. 10* PHILADELPHIA +120 |
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02-06-23 | CS U Craiova v. Farul Constanta 1920 OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 109 | 10 h 37 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals -130 in Farul vs Universitatea Craiova @ 1 ET - The ability to get a 2 here even at slightly higher juice is well worth it. I feel strongly we see at least 3 goals in this one but just can not imagine anyway possible that it does not get to at least 2 goals which, in this case, would give us a push here. The fact is the last 3 meetings between these clubs have all totaled at least 3 goals and, in fact, have averaged 5 goals apiece! Universitatea Craiova has won 3 of last 4 matches overall and averaged scoring 2 goals per match in those 3 victories. Farul is one of the top clubs in the league and is the highest scoring club in the league and is averaging 2 goals scored per match on the season! The sudden problem for Farul however is that they are allowing too many goals and, in fact, have conceded an average of 2.5 goals per match in their last 4 matches. 17 of Farul's last 18 matches have totaled at least 2 goals so you can see the value in this number here! 10* OVER 2 goals -130 in Farul |
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02-06-23 | Petrolul 52 v. Botosani OVER 2 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 6 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in FC Botosani vs Petrolul Ploiesti @ 10 AM ET - I am fading the line move here and grabbing the over 2 goals as this one has moved down from a 2.5 as of matchday morning. FC Botosani has played better since the winter break and is off B2B victories. They scored 3 goals in those 2 victories. Also, FC Botosani has scored 4 goals in their last 3 home matches and has notched at least one goal in each of those 3 as a host. However, they did lose at Petrolul Ploiesti 2-1 earlier this season and I am looking for a similar final score here regardless of the victor. Petrolul Ploiesti has scored at least 1 goal in 16 of last 21 matches. 13 of last 16 Petrolul Ploiesti matches have totaled at least 2 goals. In fact, those 13 matches have averaged 3 goals per match! Of course we are not playing this looking for the push and, as you can see per that stat, strong odds on this one getting to 3 goals for the win. Petrolul Ploiesti has had only 3 draws in 23 matches and they are angry off a slow start after the winter break so look for them to fight hard for the full 3 points in the table in this one. 10* OVER 2 in FC Botosani |
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02-05-23 | 76ers -5.5 v. Knicks | Top | 97-108 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 39 m | Show |
NBA Sunday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -5.5 @ New York Knicks @ 7:05 ET - As per usual, Embiid is on the injury report. As per usual, I am expect him to play. Even if he does not, look for the Sixers to roll any way in this one. But Embiid keeps showing up on the report with left foot soreness but he has played 5 straight games. A key here to why he is likely to play too is Philly was off yesterday and they then have Monday and Tuesday off before facing the Celtics Wednesday. There really is no reason to rest Embiid here. He rested yesterday and can rest Monday and Tuesday too! As for this scheduling situation, it definitely favors the Sixers as the Knicks are off an OT loss to the Clippers last night. That leaves them spent here both emotionally and physically as it was 7th loss in last 10 games for New York also. By the way, each of Knicks last 6 losses have been by at least 6 points. As for Philly, they enter this one on a 22-5 run! They have been one of the hottest teams in the league for months now and 15 of last 22 wins by at least 7 points! They should roll here on the road as they beat the Knicks by 7 the last time they met and that was despite New York having a rare 14-rebound edge over the 76ers in that one. Lay it! 10* PHILADELPHIA -5.5 |
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02-05-23 | Wichita State -5.5 v. Tulsa | Top | 86-75 | Win | 100 | 8 h 36 m | Show |
CBB Sunday 10* Top Play Wichita State Shockers -5.5 @ Tulsa Golden Hurricane @ 3 ET - Tulsa is the worst team in the AAC. The Golden Hurricane have lost 10 of last 11 games and the average margin of defeat has been 14 points. Yes, Tulsa almost beat the Shockers at Wichita State but would you believe the Golden Hurricane were up huge in that game and yet still lost despite a crazy stat. The Shockers were 2 of 17 from three point land in that game and Tulsa was 10 of 22 from downtown. That means the Golden Hurricane outscored Wichita State by 24 points from beyond the arc and yet still lost the game by 4 points! I am sure that the Shockers are going to play much better here even though they are on the road and I am projecting a win by a double digit margin. A big key here is Wichita State enters this game angry off a loss. Believe it or not the Shockers are actually a fantastic 4-1 when they are on the road and coming off a loss! The most recent one was a big 13 point win at East Carolina and Tulsa is worse than the Pirates. Also, the only loss for Wichita State when in this situation was at Kansas State and, of course the Wildcats are a ranked Big 12 team that is having an excellent season. There is just a big disparity in these programs right now and I do not see the Shockers being denied off a loss and I look for Tulsa's knack for blowout losses to add another one to the list Sunday. 10* WICHITA STATE -5.5 |
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02-05-23 | Steaua Bucharesti v. CFR Cluj OVER 2 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -118 | 10 h 39 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in CFR Cluj vs FCSB @ 2 ET - Just now early this morning eastern time and even still before noon here in Romania, this total dropped to a 2 which is a huge value. I can see why some people are looking under here. The first match between these teams ended 1-0 in December. However, there were a number of quality chances in that one and these clubs are so strong. Really like what FCSB has been doing but of course have plenty of respect for the top club in the league CFR Cluj, especially on their home pitch. That said, also note that only Farul has scored more goals than either one of these two clubs. Indeed, FCSB and CFR Cluj are two of the top clubs in the league in terms of scoring talent. FCSB has scored at least 1 goal in 8 straight road matches and averaged scoring 1.8 goals per match in that stretch! CFR Cluj has scored at least 1 goal in 10 of last 11 matches. They have averaged scoring 1.7 goals per match in those 10 matches. You can see why I am looking for this one to get to at least 1-1 and keep in mind these clubs do not settle for draws! Odds would suggest there is only a 15% chance of a draw here as they have combined for just 7 draws in their 46 matches! I am looking for at least a 2-1 final here. 10* OVER 2 in CFR Cluj |
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02-05-23 | Manchester City v. Tottenham Hotspur OVER 2.75 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 11 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Tottenham vs Manchester City @ 11:30 AM ET - This is The Big Ticket Event Sunday as Tottenham hosts Manchester City. Note that City averages scoring 1.7 goals per match when on the road and the Hotspur average scoring 2.1 goals per match when at home this season! These clubs have met twice in the last 12 months and there have been at least 5 goals scored in each match. Tottenham, other than manager Conte (Stellini may fill in here), is getting healthier and should get some scoring going here at home. But Manchester City back on track with Haaland ending his scoring drought in a big way with his hat trick performance in recent EPL action. Overall, Manchester City so dangerous and they have been known to give Tottenham fits in recent meetings. I do expect each club to score at least once given their current trending as well as results in recent battles against each other. That said, I also envision the match would get to at least 2-1 as Manchester City has only 3 draws in 20 matches this season for a 15% draw rate! As for the Hotspur, their 10 home matches have featured 0 draws! Look for at least a 2-1 final but truly I am expecting much more. 10* OVER 2.5 in Tottenham |
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02-05-23 | Leeds United v. Nottingham Forest | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 9 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play Leeds United Goal Line Pick -105 @ Nottingham Forest @ 9 AM ET - When you look at this line I feel it says a lot about this match-up. There is a reason this match is priced as a pick'em even though Leeds has won only 1 of 9 road matches in the league and Nottingham Forest has lost only 3 of 10 matches in league action. I do feel Leeds will draw momentum from recent successes in the English FA Cup. Meanwhile, Nottingham Forest has been getting throttled in the English Carabao Cup. They also are currently without their top goalie Dean Henderson so it will likely be Keylor Navas between the pipes since Wayne Hennessey has been struggling. However, will Navas prove to be an upgrade? At least at first I think that is absolutely a no. Navas has not been playing much at all and will be rusty here. 10* LEEDS Goal Line Pick -105 |
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02-05-23 | Sepsi v. Mioveni OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -50 | 5 h 43 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals -135 in CS Mioveni vs Sepsi @ 8:30 AM ET - Sepsi lost 3-0 last week but faced a Rapid club that has been red hot and giving a lot of clubs trouble. Prior to that loss, Sepsi was on a 4-0-1 run in which they scored an average of 2.8 goals per match! In their last 4 matches, Sepsi has conceded an average of 1.5 goals per match. CS Mioveni is at the bottom of the table and having a tough season but they have been better of late and gone 2-0-1 since the winter break. CS Mioveni won the most recent meeting with Sepsi 1-0 but each of the 3 meetings before that totaled at least 2 goals and averaged 3 goals per match. CS Mioveni has scored an average of 1.7 goals in 3 matches since winter break. However, they also have conceded an average of 1.8 goals per match in their last 5 matches. The weather is still cold in Romania but the sun is out today and no snow expected. Will be pleasant conditions for this match and we are going to see goals in this one with good field conditions. 10* OVER 2 goals -135 in CS Mioveni |
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02-04-23 | Villanova +10 v. Creighton | Top | 61-66 | Win | 100 | 13 h 33 m | Show |
CBB Saturday 10* Top Play Villanova Wildcats +10 @ Creighton Bluejays @ 7:30 ET - The Wildcats recently got Justin Moore back and he is a senior guard who is a key player for them. Villanova also has been a better team since Cam Whitmore joined the playing rotation at the start of the season. What is happening with this line here is that Creighton is over-valued. Yes, the Bluejays are known for playing well at home and have revenge from last year's Big East title loss. But the key here with Creighton is that they are laying double digits against a Nova team that is getting stronger and more confident and healthier. Yes they just lost at Marquette but they had key guys in foul trouble plus it was just the 2nd game for Moore since he came back. He'll be even better here. Note that Villanova is only 10-12 this season but the average margin of defeat is 6.5 points per loss and only one defeat was by more than 10 points. The Wildcats are 0-4 against ranked teams but no loss was by a double digit margin. This is just too many points here. The revenge angle for Creighton is making this line higher than it should be. The Bluejays only scored 63 against a bad Georgetown team in most recent game and, again, the Cats likely would have won at Marquette if not for foul trouble "slowing their roll" in that game. They will be very strong in this game as they are off B2B tight losses but have their team together again with Moore back in the lineup and it is showing in how competitive they have been against ranked foes in the last two games. That continues here and the points are just too much here for the Bluejays to be laying. 10* VILLANOVA +10 |
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02-04-23 | Suns v. Pistons OVER 226 | Top | 116-100 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 22 m | Show |
NBA Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 226 in Detroit Pistons vs Phoenix Suns @ 7 ET - Yesterday's Pistons game had 137 points at halftime and yet stayed under the total. Yesterday's Suns game at Boston totaled just 200 points and stayed way under the total. Both Detroit and Phoenix won those games too. Also, as noted above, both those games were yesterday on Friday so this is a B2B spot for both clubs. All of these factors are situations where I like to take an over and they are all lining up right here on the same game so I am all over this over! The Pistons game was ridiculous in not going over the total yesterday. The Suns are off a very strong defensive effort in an upset win of Celtics on the road. Both teams off wins here so could let up on intensity on the defensive end. Last but not least, is back to back spot for both teams so could be some tired legs taking plays off on the defensive end too. Add it all up and you can see why I am going big on this one. 10* OVER 226 in Detroit |
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02-04-23 | Texas -120 v. Kansas State | Top | 69-66 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
CBB Saturday 10* Top Play Texas Longhorns Money Line -115 @ Kansas State Wildcats @ 4 ET - The Wildcats are ranked higher. Kansas State also is undefeated at home this season. The Cats also already beat the Longhorns at Texas earlier this season. All that and yet this line is right around a pick'em even though KSU is at home. Must be a mistake, right? No, not at all! The road team has won 4 straight meetings in this series. Also, UT is the better team defensively and you would never know that considering they allowed the Wildcats to put up 116 on them in Austin in the prior meeting this season. You think the Horns have forgotten that? Of course not! UT comes up huge on the defensive end in this one and gets a convincing win! Kansas State is a solid team for sure but the Longhorns are even better. The Wildcats have lost 3 of last 4 games against ranked teams. Texas has won 4 of 7 against ranked teams and they catch KSU off a disappointing big game loss to their biggest rival as they just lost to the Jayhawks. 10* TEXAS -115 |
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02-04-23 | Voluntari v. Rapid Bucuresti OVER 2 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 41 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in Rapid Bucuresti vs FC Voluntari @ 1 ET - Voluntari has scored at least 1 goal in 9 of their 11 road matches this season. So the good news for them is they are away from home for this one. The better news about that too is this is really no road trip either as Voluntari is a suburb of Bucuresti. That said, even though Voluntari is down in the table, you know they will push hard against their "big brothers" Rapid in this one. That is why I am projecting an over here as I do expect Voluntari to make the net ripple at least once and, at the same time, they will struggle to slow down a Rapid team that has been marching its way back up the table for a long time now. 8 of Voluntari's last 10 road matches have totaled at least 2 goals and they have allowed an average of 1.4 goals per match in those. As for Rapid, they are off a scoreless draw but this followed 12 straight games that totaled at least 2 goals and those dozen matches averaged 3 goals apiece. I am looking for a 2-1 type final here. 10* OVER 2 in Rapid |
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02-04-23 | West Ham United v. Newcastle United OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 19 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Newcastle United vs West Ham United @ 12:30 ET - I know that the Hammers have not been scoring well this season but they are starting to score better of late with at least 1 goal in 4 of last 5 matches across all competitions and this includes 2 goals scored for West Ham in 3 of those 4 matches! Also, against Newcastle, the Hammers have scored at least 1 goal in 8 of 9 matches and, amazingly, scored at least 2 goals in 7 of those 8 matches! That said, the Hammers have a little extra confidence entering this one! The trouble for them is they are running into a red hot Newcastle club that has been particularly tough at St James' Park! Here they are averaging 1.8 goals scored per match in league action. Also, overall, Newcastle United enters this one having suffered one home shutout in last 6 league matches as a host but scoring an average of 2.4 goals in the other 5 home matches in league action dating back to early October. I am looking for a 2-1 match here at the very least but I expect the Hammers to open things up here and that helps lead the way to a match that could surprise many by being very high-scoring. Keep in mind, Newcastle's match with Southampton had 3 goals by the 29 minute mark earlier this week in tournament action. 10* OVER 2.5 in Newcastle United |
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02-04-23 | AFC Bournemouth v. Brighton & Hove Albion OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -140 | 5 h 1 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Brighton & Hove vs Bournemouth @ 10 AM ET - Brighton has scored at least 2 goals in 7 straight matches across all competitions and averaged scoring 3 goals per match during this stretch. Brighton is in fine form and Bournemouth continues to struggle in giving up a ton of goals. That said, it would not surprise me if Brighton gets us this win all by themselves as they have been scoring an average of 3 goals against competition that is much tougher than this Bournemouth team. However, don't be surprised if the hosts get caught looking ahead to upcoming bigger matches and that allows the visitors to find the back of the net once. In that case, this match should end at least 2-1 but, however it manages to get there, the key is I am fully expecting 3 goals in this one given the above. 10* OVER 2.5 in Brighton |
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02-03-23 | Kent State +2.5 v. Akron | Top | 55-67 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 2 m | Show |
CBB Friday 10* Top Play Kent State Golden Flashes +2.5 @ Akron Zips @ 9 ET - Love this play a ton because the "deeper dive" here reveals key factors that the markets are likely missing here. The markets will look and see that these two teams are tied at the top of the MAC and have identical records in MAC games and then they will look at Akron being at home for this one where they are 11-0 this season. You don't think the odds makers know all these facts too? Yet they set the line at right around a pick'em on this game and, of course, everyone jumping in on the Zips here. Now the line is as high as a 2.5 as of early gameday morning. Now the key factors the odds makers (and yours truly) are considering here! The fact is that Akron lost to Ball State and has yet to play Toledo! Those are the 2 other top teams out of the 4 top teams in the league (with Zips and Golden Flashes being the other 2). As for Kent State, unlike the Zips, they beat Ball State and also they have played the Rockets and they beat them too! So the point is that the records may be identical in the MAC but the Zips have played the weaker in-conference schedule. Also, in terms of overall records, Akron has 6 losses and the average margin of defeat was 12.5 points and they did NOT play the tough non-conference schedule that Kent State did! The Golden Flashes faced both Gonzaga AND Houston and they nearly beat both of them outright! Overall, Kent State only has 2 other losses this season and one was by 2 points in non-conference action and the other was an upset at hands of Northern Illinois but the Huskies shot a ridiculously high percentage in that game including from 3-point land. So the point is all the boxes are checked that this is a HIGH VALUE spot for grabbing the points with Kent State and then you have the final "kicker" that pushes this over the top! The Golden Flashes lost to Akron in the Championship Game of the MAC Tourney and that sent the Zips to the Big Dance where they got to face UCLA in the NCAA Tourney while it sent the Golden Flashes to play in The Basketball Classic and to ponder "what could have been". So all these factors considered plus the rivalry aspect with these two teams and I love the underdog in this spot. 10* KENT STATE +2.5 |
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02-03-23 | Kings v. Pacers +3.5 | Top | 104-107 | Win | 100 | 13 h 40 m | Show |
NBA Friday 10* Top Play Indiana Pacers +3.5 vs Sacramento Kings @ 7 ET - I know the Pacers are in a back to back but I love this spot. Indiana is finally getting healthy. They blew a 14 point 4th quarter lead last night to lose by just a single point. They felt completely ripped off on their home floor in terms of free throw attempts as the Lakers were on the line all night long and Indiana could not buy a trip to the free throw line. Additionally, they are catching a west coast team that has been on the road for a bit already and also will be without their leading scorer tonight as Fox is out for personal reasons. He is a key contributor all over the floor so this is a big deal. Last but, certainly not least, this is a revenge game for the Pacers. They recently lost by 23 points to the Nuggets about a week and a half ago. That tied their biggest margin of defeat this season as the only other time they also lost that big this season was at Sacramento when they fell short by 23 and lost 137 to 114. This will be a payback game for Pacers as their head coach and players are very fired up about the way they lost to the Lakers last night and could not get calls plus they want payback here against the Kings. They should get it but will grab the points here in case Pacers again fall just short of an outright win! 10* INDIANA +3.5 |
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02-03-23 | Fulham v. Chelsea OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 29 m | Show |
EPL Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Chelsea vs Fulham @ 3 ET - Chelsea is a sizable money line favorite with good reason. This is a revenge match for them and it is also "put up or shut up" time Chelsea. It has been a disappointing campaign for them and they have spent a ridiculous amount of money including the January transfer window. That said, they must get rolling again in league action but do you really expect them to deliver a clean sheet here? No...me either! Fulham fears no one and already beat Chelsea 2-1 earlier this season. They will be aggressive on the attack here and score at least once but then I do feel certain that the hosts are going to give a very strong effort here and that means we see this match get to at least a 2-1 final. Keep in mind, Fulham matches have averaged 3 goals this season and they do score decently even when on the road. As for Chelsea, they have poor goal-scoring numbers on the campaign but have been better at home plus they are cognizant this is something they must turn around immediately. So look for quite an entertaining high-scoring affair here. 10* OVER 2.5 in Chelsea |
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02-03-23 | Universitatea Cluj v. U Craiova 1948 OVER 2 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 15 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals in U Craiova 1948 vs Universitatea Cluj @ 1 ET - Two teams near the bottom of the table but part of the reason for these clubs being low is they have a knack for allowing too many goals. Universitatea Cluj is off a rare scoreless draw with Rapid. Prior to this they had only one scoreless draw in last 9 matches and in the other 8 matches Universitatea Cluj allowed an average of 1.5 goals per match! Also, 6 of those 8 matches did total at least 2 goals. We have value here with this total at just 2 goals because I just do not foresee either team managing a clean sheet in this one. Note that U Craiova 1948 has allowed at least 1 goal in 10 of last 12 matches. Overall, 7 of last 8 matches for these hosts have totaled at least 2 goals. U Craiova 1948 has seen their last 2 matches result in draws but, prior to that, only 4 of their first 20 matches were draws. That is another reason I expect a winner here as I look for this one to get at least a 2-1 final. 10* OVER 2 goals in U Craiova 1948 |
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02-02-23 | Lakers v. Pacers +1.5 | Top | 112-111 | Win | 100 | 14 h 22 m | Show |
NBA Thursday 10* Top Play Indiana Pacers +1.5 vs Los Angeles Lakers @ 7 ET - Long-time followers know I am a contrarian so often and that is the case again here. The Pacers have lost 10 of 11 games. This line is about a pick'em on a Lakers team that has won 10 of 17 games. Looks easy right. You know that usually means! Also, though LeBron James and Anthony Davis are expected to play, neither are 100 percent and LA off that OT win over the Knicks. As for the Pacers, though Haliburton is listed as questionable, he is expected to make his return as the Indiana star player has been practicing fully and is ready to go here. What a great spot for his return. Home game versus LeBron and Company. This is a big game for the Pacers and I had them in their lone win in these last 11 games and am 2-0 with picks involving them in 2023. I feel strongly that this is the perfect spot to back them again and I just do not seem them being denied here in this bounce back spot at home. Look for them to rally around the imminent return of Haliburton as he should hit the floor tonight but, even if he did not, this Pacers team ready for a huge run. 10* INDIANA +1.5 |
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02-02-23 | Wright State +6.5 v. Youngstown State | Top | 89-91 | Win | 100 | 13 h 42 m | Show |
CBB Thursday 10* Top Play Wright State Raiders +6.5 @ Youngstown State Penguins @ 7 ET - The Raiders are well-coached and they are use to being at the top of the Horizon League. Youngstown State is having an uncharacteristically strong season thus far. The result is exceptional line value here because the Penguins also have hit threes at a crazy high rate in last two wins and can not maintain that clip. You can bet Wright State will be guarding tight on the perimeter in this one. Youngstown State is tied at the top of the conference for the top spot but one of their 3 losses was to Northern Kentucky and that is who they have on deck next game and the Norse are tied with Penguins in a 3-way tie atop the league standings. Wright State is off B2B wins. Yes, those were home games but the Raiders also have won 3 straight road games and 4 of last 5 away from home. This is a high-quality well-coached team that still has sights set on making a major move up the standings. Keep in mind, this is one of 8 remaining conference games so there is still plenty of time to make a big move before the conference tourney starts at the end of this month. I am looking for a big push from this Raiders team and would not be surprised if they make it 3 straight league wins here but, at the very least, they stay inside this inflated number. The Penguins won at Wright State earlier this season by 11 points but they outscored them by 21 points from 3-point land. That is not happening again here. The Raiders get revenge and, if they don't win outright, they at least stay within a bucket or two in my opinion. Note that Youngstown State, other than the first win over the Raiders, is currently 4-3 SU against teams that currently have a .500 or better record in the Horizon League. The Penguins are over-rated right now. We take advantage. 10* WRIGHT STATE +6.5 |
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02-02-23 | Valencia v. Real Madrid OVER 3 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 60 m | Show |
La Liga Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 3 in Real Madrid vs Valencia @ 3 ET - Real Madrid facing a Valencia club with an interim manager. The hosts will certainly show no mercy here and should pile up the goals. Real Madrid is off a frustrating scoreless draw with Real Sociedad in most recent match. Keep in mind, this is one of the top teams in the league and they had scored at least 1 goal in 31 straight matches across all competitions. In fact, they averaged 2.2 goals per match in those 31 matches! Valencia, like Real Madrid, is also off a rare scoreless result for them in their 1-0 loss in most recent match. They had scored in 17 of 18 matches heading into that one and averaged about 2 goals scored per match in those 17 matches which they found the back of the net. The fact is Valencia may struggle to score multiple goals here but you can see why I expect them to get at least 1 but Real Madrid a big favorite with good reason. So, in other words, look for at least a 2-1 final here but I am expecting much more. 3 to 1 or 3 to 2. Something in this range. The hosts are off a frustrating 0-0 result and will show no mercy here. 10* OVER 3 in Real Madrid |
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02-01-23 | Hurricanes v. Sabres OVER 6.5 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 25 m | Show |
NHL Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Buffalo Sabres vs Carolina Hurricanes @ 7:35 ET - As mentioned in yesterday's write-up on the Hurricanes OVER - a 5-4 winner - this Carolina team has been so strong in the offensive zone. The Canes, before the 4-1 win over Boston that preceded the win over the Kings last night, had seen 10 of their last 12 games total at least 7 goals! Incredibly, Carolina has averaged scoring 4 goals per game last 21 games! The Sabres also have been solid in the goal-scoring department on home ice with 3.8 goals scored per game in their 25 games as a host this season! Also, 15 of last 22 Buffalo home games have totaled at least 7 goals so excellent line value with this rather favorable posted total given the trending of these teams. The Hurricanes are in a back to back and used #1 goalie Andersen last night so it is likely to be Raanta tonight. Note that Raanta has allowed at least 3 goals in 3 of last 4 games. The Sabres have been struggling in the goaltending department so they are likely to give up at least 3 here too. This is one of those games - Canes offense so hot, Sabres strong on home ice - that has a great shot at both teams getting to at least 3 goals and of course that would allow this game to get to nothing less than a 4-3 final. 10* OVER 6.5 in Buffalo |
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02-01-23 | Magic v. 76ers -8.5 | Top | 94-105 | Win | 100 | 13 h 21 m | Show |
NBA Wednesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -8.5 vs Orlando Magic @ 7 ET - Even if Embiid, listed as questionable, does not play here I do like Philly to bounce back after losing to the Magic by double digits Monday. The Sixers blew an early 21 point lead there and were still up double digits at halftime in the eventual 10-point loss. They were sloppy, turnover-prone, and out of sorts as that game went on. This will be a payback game for them and they will get their revenge. This is the 6th time this season that Philly has had one of these situations where you facing the same team in consecutive games. Of the first five, they have NEVER lost both games. Also, in four of the five B2B sets like this, the 76ers have won the 2nd game 4 times and they have all been blowouts too! The average margin of victory for the Sixers in those games was 24 points! Philly had won 7 straight games before the loss to Orlando Monday. They are not happy at all about how that one played out and will make adjustments in the 2nd game of this B2B set just as they have done in other ones, including at Orlando, earlier this season! The result is a blowout home win by a double digit margin! 10* PHILADELPHIA -8.5 |
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02-01-23 | Penn State v. Purdue OVER 134.5 | Top | 60-80 | Win | 100 | 12 h 38 m | Show |
CBB Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 134.5 in Purdue Boilermakers vs Penn State Nittany Lions @ 6:30 ET - The Boilermakers are the #1 team in the country and at home and do have some lower-scoring grinder type games on occasion. However, there is no need for that here. They already beat the Nittany Lions when these teams met in a game played in Philly earlier this season. So Penn State was not in their true home for that game and yet they still scored a respectable 63 points despite unimpressive shooting. Purdue scored 76 points in that one and now are at home where they have scored at least 73 points in 8 of last 10 victories. In fact, in those 10 home wins the Boilermakers have averaged 76 points per game. So based on the current line on this game of 10 points that would put this game at 76-66 if Purdue just hits their typical home victory average and that totals 142 points. Not only is that already above the 135 we need for a win here, I do not expect this to be an "average" home game for Purdue. The Boilermakers can score a pile of points on the rather unimpressive defense Penn State plays plus the Nittany Lions come into this game with some confidence on the offensive end so they will be will be willing to play with tempo here. Even though that will prove to be a mistake as the Boilersmakers are so superior to the Lions but the point is PSU will get caught up in a bit of an uptempo game. To their credit, Penn State has scored big in games against Indiana, Iowa and Illinois and won all 3 and the latter was a road game. Even lumping that in with other tough Big Ten they have faced (this Purdue team) it means those 4 games (only 2 of which were played at State College) saw the Nittany Lions score an average of 76 points per game! Also, Penn State enters this game off a win versus Michigan in which they scored 83 points. This Nittany Lions team is playing with some confidence right now and will hang around long enough in this game to make sure it gets over the total in my opinion. I am projecting at least a 75-65 type game though I expect to get well into the 140s actually. 10* OVER 134.5 in Purdue |
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02-01-23 | Nottingham v. Manchester United OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -130 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
English Carabao Cup, Semifinals, Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Manchester United vs Nottingham Forest @ 3 ET - These clubs met last Wednesday at Nottingham and Manchester United prevailed 3-0 in that match. Though Nottingham Forest was held without a goal they actually produced quite a few rushes on the attack and had a fair amount of shots including a handful that were on target. They missed one glorious scoring opportunity plus had another goal disallowed by VAR. The fact is I liked the chances that both clubs had on the attack and I expect more of the same here and it again leads to a total of at least 3 goals. This time Nottingham Forest should contribute to the total with at least 1 goal. I feel Manchester United could inadvertently let up a bit here and this will open things up even more for scoring chances for the big underdog here. Manchester United realizes they have effectively already punched their ticket to the finals against Newcastle United and so this one could be more of a relaxed affair for the hosts here. Manchester United is scoring an average of 2.4 goals per match their last 11 across all competitions. They have also hung a 3-spot on Nottingham Forest each of their two meetings the past two months. Nottingham Forest had their chances in the meeting last week and, prior to that one, had scored at least 1 goal in 10 of last 11 matches across all competitions! In fact, they averaged 1.6 goals per match in those 10 matches. Look for at least a 2-1 type final here. 10* OVER 2.5 in Manchester United |
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01-31-23 | Clippers -3 v. Bulls | Top | 108-103 | Win | 100 | 12 h 20 m | Show |
NBA Tuesday 10* Top Play Los Angeles Clippers -3 @ Chicago Bulls @ 8 ET - The Bulls are off a win but had lost 5 of 8 games before that win. Also, each of last 8 games for Chicago came against teams that currently have a losing record entering Tuesday's action. This will be the Bulls toughest test in awhile and, making matters even tougher, the Clippers enter this game fired up off a loss. LA had been hot before the loss and they also are a perfect 3-0 the last 3 times they have been off a defeat in which they scored less than 110 points. In this case, Los Angeles off an ugly loss in which they were held to just 99 points and I fully expect a huge response here as a result. The Clippers had won 5 in a row before that loss and get right back on track here. 10* LA CLIPPERS -3 |
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01-31-23 | Kings v. Hurricanes OVER 6 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 102 | 13 h 36 m | Show |
NHL Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 6 in Carolina Hurricanes vs Los Angeles Kings @ 7 ET - I know the Hurricanes are a strong team that generally gets good goalie work and does not allow a lot of goals. However, this could be a bit of a flat spot for them off of the hard-fought win over the Bruins. That was a key 1-2 battle in the Eastern Conference and could leave the Canes perhaps still celebrating here. So don't be surprised if the Kings put Carolina on their heels a bit here early and get some goals but then the Hurricanes should come roaring back of course. This Carolina team has been so strong in the offensive zone. The Canes, before the 4-1 win over Boston, had seen 10 of their last 12 games total at least 7 goals! Incredibly, Carolina has averaged scoring 4 goals per game last 20 games! The Kings also have been solid in the goal-scoring department with 3.2 goals scored per game last 15 games! Also, 12 of last 15 Los Angeles games have totaled at least 6 goals so excellent line value with this rather favorable posted total given the recent trending. 10* OVER 6 in Carolina |
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01-31-23 | Virginia Tech v. Miami-FL -4 | Top | 83-92 | Win | 100 | 10 h 18 m | Show |
CBB Tuesday 10* Top Play Miami Hurricanes -4 @ Virginia Tech Hokies @ 7 ET - The Hokies are off B2B wins but they were at home. One of the wins was an upset of Duke so now this Virginia Tech team getting a little too much respect on the road here. Not only have they struggled in true road games all season long, the Hokies had lost 7 straight games overall prior to those B2B wins. So, yes, they started the season 11-1 but a lot has changed since then. Now they face a Miami team that is angry off a home loss to Pittsburgh in which the Panthers scored the final 11 points in the 3 point defeat! Ironically, the Hurricanes also blew their home game against the Hokies late last season in a game in which Virginia Tech rallied from a big 2nd half deficit. So the point is that this is a great spot to back a very angry Canes team! Also, Miami has gone 4-0 this season when off a loss. They will respond here and the point spread is small enough at 4 points that this is a very manageable number. The Hurricanes will be very determined off a loss and they catch Virginia Tech at the right time as Hokies on the road after B2B home wins following a 7-game slide. This one gets ugly. 10* MIAMI -4 |
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01-31-23 | Southampton v. Newcastle United OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show |
English Carabao Cup, Semifinals, Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Newcastle United vs Southampton @ 3 ET - These clubs met last Tuesday at Southampton and Newcastle United prevailed 1-0 in that match. Though that was low-scoring, there were numerous big saves plus a goal disallowed by VAR. The fact is I liked the chances that both clubs had on the attack and I expect more of the same here and this time it leads to a total of at least 3 goals. Southampton is at the bottom of the table in Premier League action this season but outside of the EPL they continue to perform well. Look for another strong effort here but Newcastle is a large favorite with good reason. I look for Southampton to score at least once here but the home club to prevail and win this at least 2-1. Note that Southampton, in EPL action, have 0 draws in 10 matches. So if they get at least 1 goal here and you know the hosts should ultimately prevail in this one, then we are talking about at least a 2-1 final. Again, I like the way Southampton played in the last match plus they have averaged scoring 1.3 goals per match in last 6 matches across all competitions. Southampton's last 4 matches away from home across all competitions all have totaled 3 or more goals! Newcastle, generally speaking, is not a high-scoring club but they know they should have had much more than 1 in last Tuesday's match-up at Southampton and with this one now at St James' Park in Newcastle-upon-Tyne, England, they will be relentless on the attack! 10* OVER 2.5 in Newcastle |
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01-30-23 | Iowa State v. Texas Tech +1.5 | Top | 77-80 | Win | 100 | 14 h 33 m | Show |
CBB Monday 10* Top Play Texas Tech Red Raiders +1.5 vs Iowa State Cyclones @ 9 ET - I have been betting for 3 decades already. I have been a handicapper releasing plays to the public for 2 decades already. Possibly another decade to go with the handicapping and, as for sports betting, that will likely be a part of my life until I am laid to rest. Why the long intro? What is this all about? Well, I have always been a contrarian and will always be a contrarian as long as I am betting. Of course you can't be contrarian on every single game but the point is there are match-ups where it pays to scratch your head a bit and say "Wait, what is going on here?" and this is one of those. Now, of course, nothing is 100% in anything but being contrarian in the right spots pays off more than not long-term. This is one of those spots in my opinion. Just look at this match-up once! Iowa State is ranked #12 in the country and blasted the Red Raiders by 34 points in their meeting earlier this season and the Cyclones are 15-5 this season. They are basically a PICK'EM yes indeed a PICK'EM here against a Texas Tech team that is 0-8 in Big 12 games this season! So the odds makers must have really messed up here, eh? Of course not! This game is priced this way for a reason and I sense the Red Raiders will come up huge on their home floor and get a much-needed conference win! Texas Tech is off a non-conference win and Cyclones are off a loss so many will look at that and point to a play on ISU here. But note Iowa State has been struggling on the road recently and this Red Raiders team is VERY hungry to get that first conference win. Don't let the line lead you astray here, the home team is the bet! 10* TEXAS TECH +1.5 |
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01-30-23 | Blues v. Jets -1.5 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 130 | 14 h 13 m | Show |
NHL Monday 10* Top Play Winnipeg Jets Puck Line -1.5 goals +130 vs St Louis Blues @ 8 ET - Blues have lost 4 straight games and 6 of last 8. St Louis allowed 4.5 goals per game in those 6 defeats. They are struggling on defense and in goal and all 6 of the losses by at least 2 goals! That is why I am comfortable laying the puck line here with the Jets at home. Look for a huge bounce back from Winnipeg who surely have the goalie edge here in addition to the home ice edge. Winnipeg already beat St Louis by a combined score of 9 to 2 in the first two meetings this season and another bloodbath is likely here. The Blues just can not get right. Even though the Jets are also off some recent losses, they have not lost 4 straight games all season. Also, prior to the 4-0 loss to the Flyers - a rare shutout loss for the Jets - Winnipeg had allowed average of just 2.3 goals per game last 9 games. They are the much better defensively and in goal in this match-up and they bounce back huge here in what is the final game for each club before the All Star break. Yes we must win this game by 2 or more goals to win our bet but we get plus money related to that PLUS 15 of the Jets last 19 victories have been by a multi-goal margin. 10* WINNIPEG -1.5 +130 |
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01-30-23 | Magic v. 76ers -9.5 | Top | 119-109 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 33 m | Show |
NBA Monday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -9.5 vs Orlando Magic @ 7 ET - Normally I do not lay big points in the NBA but this is not a normal situation. The 76ers already beat the Magic twice in Orlando. The average margin of those two victories was 19 points and again this was at Orlando! But that is not all. The Sixers were without Embiid, Harden, and Maxey in those 3 games! Those are 3 key players and most likely all 3 will be on the floor here. The only one who might miss is Embiid as he is questionable again with his foot issue. But again, I just do not think he will be rested in a spot like this where no back to back is involved. Also, the Sixers will have Harden and Maxey and those two guys missed the first two games and those games were still big wins and those were both at Orlando. Note that Philly has won 20 of 24 games. The Magic have lost 10 of 16 games and the average margin of defeat is 14.2 points in those 10 losses. Another blowout defeat for Orlando here as the Sixers roll continues! 10* PHILADELPHIA -9.5 |
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01-30-23 | West Ham United v. Derby OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
English FA Cup, Fourth Round, Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Derby County vs West Ham United @ 2:45 ET - West Ham is the "big brother" in this match-up as they are in currently in the premier league. However, Derby has been on fire overall and also has the benefit of having this match on their home pitch as well. This should be a very entertaining affair as a result because Derby has been scoring a lot of goals but will also struggle to stop a West Ham club that is the more talented club and should find a way to prevail. This is why I am looking for a 2-1 type match here. West Ham is known for lower scoring matches but Derby is going to "force the issue" here on their home pitch. It has been a decade since these clubs have met but each of the last 5 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 3 goals. That may not seem relevant but it does point to what happens when two teams with a talent disparity meet. The fact is that Derby has gone 19 straight matches without losing by the 90 minute mark in any of those matches. They are playing with a lot of confidence and that will have them on the attack here on their home pitch. Derby has scored an average of 2 goals per match during this 19-match streak! West Ham has scored at least 1 goal in 8 of last 11 matches and they averaged scoring 1.6 goals in those 8 matches. Derby will struggle to stop them but will be so aggressive on the attack that I would not be surprised to see a 2-2 type battle here but we should at least see this get to 2-1. 10* OVER 2.5 in Derby County |
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01-30-23 | CFR Cluj v. Voluntari OVER 2 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 44 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in FC Voluntari vs CFR Cluj @ 1 ET - Voluntari is, essentially, a suburb of the city of Bucuresti which is where I am located currently. The weather here as of mid-day is beautiful sunshine. We still have snow on the ground here but the weather is improving for sure and the field should be just fine for this match-up this evening on the pitch in Voluntari. Considering the favorable weather and the way CFR Cluj has been scoring goals of late, I love the value we are getting here with this total at 2 goals. CFR Cluj has scored an average of 1.8 goals per match in last 16 matches in league action! That streak started way back in late August when they hammered this FC Voluntari 4-0 up in Cluj-Napoca. CFR Cluj has scored at least 1 goals in 15 of last 16 matches! FC Voluntari has scored at least 1 goal in 6 straight matches and has averaged 2 goals scored in last 2 home matches! CFR Cluj has had just 2 draws in 22 matches this season so the odds of a draw are not likely here so I am not expecting a 1-1 final but rather that this match finds its way to 2-1. Per the above, you can see why many factors favor at least 3 goals being scored in this one and I am happy to have the added insurance on our side that 2 goals is a push here. 10* OVER 2 in FC Voluntari |
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01-29-23 | Pelicans v. Bucks OVER 233.5 | Top | 110-135 | Win | 100 | 13 h 22 m | Show |
NBA Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 233.5 in Milwaukee Bucks vs New Orleans Pelicans @ 8:10 ET - The Pelicans have not been scoring as much lately and are without Zion Williamson but this is a non-conference match-up that should play out with a wide-open style. Not only that, New Orleans most recent game saw them have the pace to score plenty of points but they had a poor shooting night from deep. The Bucks have scored 130 points or more in 4 of last 6 games! Milwaukee home games, prior to a low-scoring win over Denver, saw 4 straight total at least 236 points and those games averaged 246.5 points. Ironically, the last time these teams met earlier this season the game totaled 247 points. We are going to be in that range tonight in my opinion as I just do not expect to see much hunger from either team in terms of generating defensive intensity in this non-conference affair. 10* OVER 233.5 in Milwaukee |
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01-29-23 | Bengals v. Chiefs | Top | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 12 h 26 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play Kansas City Chiefs Money Line -120 vs Cincinnati Bengals @ 6:30 ET - Just do not want to get burned here if the Chiefs win by just 1 point because the dominant line right now on this game is 1.5 but the money line is available as low as -120 on KC as of very early game day morning. Finally the offensive line issue of Cincinnati will finally become too much in this one. The Chiefs are too smart and too well coached to not take advantage of this. I know that the Bengals beat them in the regular season in Cincy and that they beat them last year in the OT thriller in the playoffs but if I am a Chiefs player I would be saying "enough is enough" here. I mean this has been very surprising to me how for Cincinnati has come but I just can not see them making the Super Bowl again this season. It is so hard to do. So many things have to fall into place. Like I said, this is the game where the offensive line issues for the Bengals finally become too much. Mahomes is feeling better than he thought he would with the high ankle sprain. Kelce will be fine with his back spasms back under control. The end result is a well-coached KC team is going to the Super Bowl as Mahomes will outduel Joe Burrow here. Enough is enough! The Chiefs were aware they were even a DOG in this match-up for a period of time even though they are at home for this. These guys feel a bit a disrespected and this could be Chiefs dominance here in my opinion. 10* KANSAS CITY -120 |
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01-29-23 | Bruins v. Hurricanes OVER 6 | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 36 m | Show |
NHL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 6 in Carolina Hurricanes vs Boston Bruins @ 5 ET - Revenge game for the Hurricanes after they lost at Boston earlier this season. Carolina has scored an average of 4 goals per game in last 19 games! The Hurricanes have allowed an average of 3.5 goals last 6 homes games. Andersen dealing with upper body injury so this could be Raanta again here in goal. The Bruins, like the Canes, have been one of the top teams in the NHL so far this season. Boston off a 4-3 loss in OT at Florida last night and both Swayman and Ullmark off rather mediocre starts in goal as Bruins have lost 2 straight. But this Boston team can score like crazy and the Bruins have averaged 3.7 goals per game last 20 games. I feel we have strong odds of each team getting to 3 goals here and that means nothing less than a 4-3 final would result. 10* OVER 6 in Carolina |
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01-29-23 | 49ers v. Eagles -2 | Top | 7-31 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Eagles -2.5 vs San Francicsco 49ers @ 3 ET - You might be fortunate enough to still find a -2 out there or perhaps even at heavy juice but, of course, would be preferable to lay 2 rather than 2.5 or 3 here. Another option here is the money line available as low as -145 instead of laying juice in the -125 range on the spread anyway! No matter which you choose, I do like the Eagles a lot in this spot and expect them to win by a double digit margin. Philadelphia sleep-walked a bit late in the season but then they showed what they can do when they are motivated as they destroyed the Giants last week. Yes the 49ers are better than the Giants but keep in mind that there is another edge here in that the Eagles entered the game against the Giants off a bye week. So Philly will be playing just the 2nd time in 3 weeks and it is amazing what time off can do for a team both mentally and physically at this late juncture in the season (including playoffs). Keep in mind the 49ers had a very tough game with Dallas last week but the Cowboys Dak Prescott gifted San Francisco the game on a silver platter by turning the ball over. It was pathetic to see that again but, oh well, this is the way of Dallas! Jalen Hurts and the Eagles are NOT the same as Prescott and the Cowboys that is for sure. Also, 49ers rookie QB Brock Purdy will be facing a tough test in a hostile environment here. Keep in mind, the Eagles will take advantage of a Niners team playing just its third true road game since late October. Since the end of October they had a neutral site game versus Arizona and two road games against Seahawks and Raiders. Those two teams finished the season a combined 15-20 including post-season and that pales in comparison to facing the Eagles in hostile Philly as they are now 15-3 including post-season this season. Because of all the hype about Purdy, this line has been kept lower than it should be. Here we take advantage! Purdy has never faced an NFL situation like this ever and the games at Seattle and Las Vegas will be nothing like how this one will be for the rookie quarterback. 10* PHILADELPHIA -2.5 |
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01-29-23 | Farul Constanta 1920 v. Steaua Bucharesti OVER 2.25 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals +110 in FCSB vs Farul @ Noon ET - Look for plenty of goals in this one. The snow is finally letting up here in Bucuresti and the weather should be decent for this one Sunday evening. Cold weather but decent field conditions expected for this one. FCSB has scored 7 goals in last 3 meetings with Farul but it was Farul who came up with the 3-1 win earlier this season. FCSB will be looking for revenge here and should get it but Farul also scores plenty of goals. Farul the highest scoring team in the league with 42 goals but FCSB right behind them with 37 on the season. Considering each team has played 22 matches this season that translates to a final score in the 3 to 4 goal range here and I am expecting that. Farul has conceded 8 times in last 3 matches and you know that FCSB will be pressuring them here at home in search of revenge. However, lets not forget this is a very dangerous Farul club capable of exposing FCSB on the counterattack. This one should be a wildly entertaining affair with plenty of intensity and high-quality scoring chances. 10* OVER 2.5 goals +110 in FCSB |
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01-29-23 | Providence -1 v. Villanova | Top | 70-65 | Win | 100 | 5 h 54 m | Show |
CBB Sunday 10* Top Play Providence Friars -120 @ Villanova Wildcats @ Noon ET - The Wildcats are 4-5 in Big East games. They are not the same team they were when they were coached by Jay Wright. Also, their 4 wins are against two of the worst teams in the conference as they have a pair of victories against both Georgetown and St John's. Those two teams are a combined 4-16 in Big East action! Now Villanova is facing a Providence team that is 8-2 this season and we can get the Friars at right around a pick'em price! I will take it! Keep in mind this is also a double revenge game for the Friars as they lost both meetings last season and they were very close games. I know Villanova has played a lot of close games this season but close loss does not mean a win and the fact is the Cats keep falling just short against the better teams in the conference. That should continue here against a very determined visitor in this one. 10* PROVIDENCE -120 |
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01-29-23 | Liverpool v. Brighton & Hove Albion OVER 3 | Top | 1-2 | Push | 0 | 4 h 34 m | Show |
English FA Cup, Fourth Round, Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 3 in Brighton & Hove vs Liverpool @ 8:30 AM ET - Brighton & Hove has been scoring goals at a fantastic rate with Roberto De Zerbi as manager. They enter this match having scored an average of 3.2 goals per match last 6 matches across all competitions. However, one of those was a 3-0 victory over Liverpool in league action two weeks ago. You know the visitors will be out for payback here and certainly I am expect them to respond after being delivered a clean sheet courtesy of Brighton & Hove in that meeting two weeks ago. Brighton has allowed 1.6 goals per match last 5 matches so don't be surprised if Liverpool is on the attack early and often in this one. The issue for Liverpool is, prior to a 1-0 victory at Wolverhampton, they allowed an average of 2.5 goals per match in their last 4 away from home. 3 of the last 4 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 3 goals and they have actually averaged 4 goals per match. Liverpool has been a little quiet lately but we know what this club is capable of and they will be more aggressive here I am sure. With the attacking prowess of each of these clubs I can just not envision this match ending with less than 3 goals and am expecting 4 or more goals here. 10* OVER 3 in Brighton & Hove |
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01-28-23 | Canadiens v. Senators OVER 6.5 | Top | 0-5 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 1 m | Show |
OVER 6.5 in Montreal vs Ottawa @ 7 ET - Tough spot for Senators. They are off a big 6-2 win at Toronto but this is 2nd game of a B2B and Talbot is out. That means Forsberg is expected to start again here in goal for the Sens even though it is 2nd night of a B2B. Montembeault expected to start for Canadiens and he has allowed 10 goals last 3 starts and has a 3.14 GAA on the season. Habs have scored an average of 3 goals last 6 home games but Ottawa comes rolling in with confidence off the 6-2 win last night. Look for plenty of goals here. 10* OVER 6.5 in Montreal |
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01-28-23 | Sharks v. Penguins OVER 6.5 | Top | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 48 m | Show |
OVER 6.5 in Pittsburgh vs San Jose @ 7 ET - I love the value here with the over 6.5 because the Sharks over trending resumed with a 5-4 loss in most recent game after they had a couple lower-scoring games. Remember those two RARE unders for SJ had followed 15 straight San Jose games totaling at least 6 goals. The Sharks are so bad defensively and in goal and note that the Penguins are fired up off a 3-2 loss at Washington Thursday. The Penguins had scored at least 4 goals in 6 of last 9 games before scoring just 2 in the loss to the Capitals. The Sharks have averaged scoring 3 goals per game last 18 games. San Jose should score well here because Pittsburgh is without top goalie Jarry. However, don't be surprised when the Penguins are lighting the lamp early and often against this porous Sharks defense as San Jose also continues to struggle to get good goaltending too. 10* OVER 6.5 in Pittsburgh |
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01-28-23 | Texas v. Tennessee -5 | Top | 71-82 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show |
CBB Saturday 10* Top Play Tennessee Volunteers -5 vs Texas Longhorns @ 6 ET - The Volunteers were as high as a -7.5 favorite here and have dropped to a -5 and I love the line value here. Tennessee is a very strong team and home court can mean an awful lot in College Basketball to a team that is firing on all cylinders. The Vols are hot and they are at home here. Give credit to the Longhorns too as they are having a very strong season. However, they have lost 2 of last 3 games against ranked teams and this is a tough road venue for this Big 12/SEC Challenge match-up! The one game they did win in those last 3 against ranked teams came when they rallied from 18 down against TCU but the Horns were at home for that one. This is a whole other situation here and Tennessee has won 8 of 9 games and the only loss was when they shot a ridiculous 3 of 21 from three point land against Kentucky plus the Wildcats had a 25 to 10 edge in free throw attempts and yet the Volunteers only lost that game by 7 points. That says a lot right here and, as I have mentioned often in the past, I have a ton of respect for the odds makers. The Vols opened up as a bigger favorite with good season. The home team rolls big here! 10* TENNESSEE -5 |
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01-28-23 | Seton Hall -2 v. Butler | Top | 70-49 | Win | 100 | 8 h 47 m | Show |
CBB Saturday 10* Top Play Seton Hall Pirates -2 @ Butler Bulldogs @ 4 ET - Butler wants revenge for a 25 point loss at Seton Hall 3 weeks ago. However, the Pirates are off a beatdown at home at the hands of Marquette. After losing that one by 21 points, it is certainly noteworthy that Seton Hall is a PERFECT 4-0 this season when off a loss by a margin of 14 points or more. By the way, all 4 of the Pirates wins in this situation have come by more than 21 points! This included a blowout win over the Bulldogs. Yes, Butler is at home and they have been known for being tough at home traditionally. However, that was then and this is now. The Bulldogs have lost 3 straight games overall and have lost 8 of 11 - all in Big East action. They have 3 home losses this season - all in Big East action - and all by a margin of at least 20 points. Considering all of the above and the fact this line is only a -2, this is a great spot for the Pirates! 10* SETON HALL |
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01-28-23 | Nuggets v. 76ers -4 | Top | 119-126 | Win | 100 | 8 h 4 m | Show |
NBA Saturday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -4 vs Denver Nuggets @ 3:10 ET - The Sixers have Joel Embiid on the injury report but I can not see him missing this game. The 76ers have not played since Wednesday and they do not play again until Monday. This is not a situation where it would make sense to sit Embiid for what is really best defined as a nagging injury. As for the Nuggets injury report, many of their guys will likely play tonight but they have a long list of players on the report and this includes guys who could miss or who are unlikely to be 100%. That said, I do like the Sixers here even if Embiid does not play. The Nuggets are banged up and have lost 2 of 3. Philly is hot and has won 6 straight and 19 of 23 games! The situation plus home court edge means plenty of value with a rather low number here. 10* PHILADELPHIA -4 |
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01-28-23 | Hermannstadt v. CS U Craiova OVER 2 | Top | 0-2 | Push | 0 | 6 h 22 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in Universitatea Craiova vs Hermannstadt @ 1 ET - I know this is a bit of a contrarian play but I really like this situation a lot. The weather could feature some snow and the field could be a little sloppy but I just can not ignore some of the solid angles here and I like the fact this total was in the 2 and 1/4 range before dropping to a solid 2 and we get line value here at this number. Both these clubs are off losses in which they failed to score a goal. Note that Hermannstadt had scored an average of 1.8 goals in their 4 matches prior to this. Also, the average score of the last 4 matches for Hermannstadt was a total of 3.3 goals prior to their 1-0 loss last week. Universitatea Craiova is also off a 1-0 loss last week. However, prior to that, they were shutout only once in last 9 matches and in the other 8 they scored an average of 1.6 goals per match! 10 of 14 matches before the 1-0 loss last week had totaled at least 2 goals! Those 14 matches averaged 2.5 goals and this one should get to 3. Universitatea Craiova has never been shutout in B2B games this season but I also expect Hermannstadt to bounce back and get at least 1 goal here. So what are the odds of a 1-1 match? Well these teams have a combined average draw rate of 25%. Odds favor this one getting to a 2-1 type final 10* OVER 2 in Universitatea Craiova |
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01-28-23 | Chindia Targoviste v. Petrolul 52 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 102 | 4 h 22 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Saturday 10* Top Play Chindia Targoviste Goal Line Pick +102 @ Petrolul Ploiesti @ 10 AM ET - Winter weather is here in the Bucuresti area where I am currently residing and this means extra value with the underdog in a match-up like this. Ploiesti is just north of Bucuresti and we continue to get a lot of snow here today. We saw a scoreless draw in the first match of the weekend last night in inclement weather. This one should be another tight low-scoring battle and I like the fact that Chindia Targoviste had to settle for a draw instead of a win in their most recent match only because of a "fluke play" that resulted in a collision between a goalie and his teammate and the opposition. The opponent then was kicking the ball into a wide-open empty net on a breakaway. It was a one in a million type play you rarely see. They were the better team throughout the game and deserved to win. Suffice to say Chindia Targoviste hungry for the full 3 points in the table here after that frustrating result. But even if the visitors settle for a draw that still gives us a push here with this goal line available at Pick +102 so that is the play here. 10* Chindia Targoviste Goal Line Pick +102 |
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01-27-23 | Grizzlies -3 v. Wolves | Top | 100-111 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 27 m | Show |
NBA Friday 10* Top Play Memphis Grizzlies -3 @ Minnesota Timberwolves @ 7:40 ET - The last time these teams played the Wolves had both Towns and Gobert on the floor and yet still lost by double digits. I know the Grizzlies are now without Adams but the point is that Towns is going to miss tonight for sure as he has been out for two months. As for Gobert, he is dealing with a groin injury and may not play or might be limited. It adds up to a great to back a road team very hungry to get back to winning ways. The Grizzlies have lost 4 straight and will hit the floor running hard tonight and the Timberwolves just do not have the horses to keep up here. Minnesota has a number of injury issues and the road team is favored here for a reason. Don't let the line fool you. Lay it! 10* MEMPHIS -3 |
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01-27-23 | Senators v. Maple Leafs OVER 6.5 | Top | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show |
NHL Friday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators @ 7:05 ET - Ottawa is going to be without goalie Cam Talbot until after the All Star break most likely. Anton Forsberg came in for him versus the Islanders and played well in that game but in his last 4 starts he has allowed 18 goals and he is facing a tough Maple Leafs team here. Toronto should certainly score plenty here but the issue for the Leafs is they do have stretches where they do allow too many goals. This has been some case overall in some recent home games plus has been a prevailing trend in recent divisional games. Now they face another divisional foe and the Maple Leafs have allowed about 4 goals per game in last 4 divisional games. 10* OVER 6.5 in Ottawa |
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01-27-23 | Sharks v. Hurricanes OVER 6 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show |
NHL Friday 10* Top Play OVER 6 in Carolina Hurricanes vs San Jose Sharks @ 7 ET - Even if Frederik Andersen plays for the Hurricanes he may not be 100% here as he left his last start with an upper body injury. That game ended up being a 3-2 Carolina win that stayed under the total. But, prior to that, the Hurricanes 9 of last 10 games totaled at least 7 goals! I love the value here with the over 6 because the Sharks are off a couple lower-scoring games but this followed 15 straight San Jose games totaling at least 6 goals. The Sharks are so bad defensively and in goal and note that the Canes have scored an average of nearly 4 goals per game last 18 games. The Sharks have averaged 3 goals per game last 17 games. This one should be a 5-3 Canes win or at least 4-3 and I like the long-term scoring trending of each team that has taken place but the fact we get line value with SJ off B2B unders and the Canes off an under. 10* OVER 6 in Carolina |
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01-27-23 | St. Louis -125 v. Davidson | Top | 74-70 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
CBB Friday 10* Top Play St Louis Billikens -120 @ Davidson Wildcats @ 7 ET - This is a revenge spot for St Louis as they lost in the A-10 Tourney to Davidson by 15 last season plus the Wildcats beat the Billikens by 21 points in the regular season meeting too. St Louis is a 1 or 1.5 point favorite here in this game so the best value is with the money line which is in the -120 range on this one. The Billikens come into this one red hot and rolling with confidence as they have won 5 straight. The Wildcats are off a win but this followed 4 straight losses. We get line value here because many will be looking at Davidson as a home dog here but the Billikens are not 14-6 on the season thus far by pure accident. The road team is the better team in this match-up and the revenge angle helps push this one over the top for me as the motivation angle is a key here too. 10* ST LOUIS Money Line -120 |
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01-27-23 | Arsenal v. Manchester City OVER 2.75 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -104 | 8 h 37 m | Show |
English FA Cup, Fourth Round, Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Manchester City vs Arsenal @ 3 ET - These two teams are topping the table in the Premier League this season and now this should be a thrilling encounter in the Fourth Round of the English FA Cup. Manchester City averages 3.5 goals scored per game on their home pitch this season in EPL action. Arsenal averages 2 goals scored per game on enemy turf this season in EPL action. These clubs are two of the best on the attack and each has had some defensive deficiencies at times as Manchester City is off a match in which they delivered a clean sheet but this followed 3 straight in which they allowed 2 goals in each match! Arsenal has allowed a pair of goals in 2 of last 4 matches in EPL action. With the attacking prowess of each of these clubs I can just not envision this match ending with less than 3 goals. 10* OVER 2.5 in Manchester City |
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01-27-23 | Rapid Bucuresti v. Universitatea Cluj | Top | 0-0 | Push | 0 | 5 h 17 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Friday 10* Top Play Rapid Goal Line Pick -115 @ Universitatea Cluj @ 1 ET - Rapid is offering a lot of line value here with this goal line at a pick'em. In their last 10 matches Rapid has only one loss as they have had wins or draws in the other 9 matches. Universitatea Cluj is off a win but, prior to that, had only 1 win in last 8 matches! The value of the pick'em goal line is big here. The line is not a mistake as it is simply priced this way because Rapid is on the road. What I like here though this they have been the much hotter club and have a great shot at the win plus we have the added bonus that any draw is a push rather than a loss for our bet. Rapid has been on a "mission" for some time now and that has catapulted them up the table. They continue that rise with picking up another victory here. 10* RAPID Goal Line Pick -115 |
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01-26-23 | Blues v. Coyotes OVER 6.5 | Top | 0-5 | Loss | -102 | 15 h 6 m | Show |
NHL Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Arizona Coyotes vs St Louis Blues @ 9:05 ET - Tarasenko is now back for the Blues but they are off a 5-3 loss as their defense and goaltending continues to be an issue. Ditto for the Coyotes as Arizona is off a 5-2 loss for the same reasons. Overall, I like Arizona when they are at their temporary home which is a small 5,000 seat arena. The Coyotes have averaged scoring 3 goals per game in their last 15 games here. The problem for Arizona is they have allowed an average of 4 goals per game in the 12 losses in their current 2-12 run. The good news for Coyotes fans tonight is they should see plenty of scoring tonight. Arizona will join the "goal party" here as the Blues have allowed 4.6 goals per game in last 9 losses! St Louis has scored an average of 4 goals per game in last 9 victories! No wonder 13 of last 19 Blues games have totaled at least 7 goals and all signs point to this one taking that run to 14 of 20 for St Louis. 10* OVER 6.5 in Arizona |
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01-26-23 | Flyers +1.5 v. Wild | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 15 h 32 m | Show |
Thursday NHL 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers +1.5 -125 @ Minnesota Wild @ 8:05 ET - The Wild have lost 6 of 9 games. Yes a lot of those games were on the road but the fact is Minnesota is only 2-2 last 4 games on home ice and one of those wins was by just a single goal. That said, there is a lot of value here with the Flyers at +1.5 goals. Philadelphia has won a modest 13 of last 27 games but the key within that is the value of the +1.5 goals here. The Flyers 14 losses in that stretch included 7 by a single goal. That means the Flyers, at +1.5 goals, would produce a 20-7 record last 27 games. Not bad, eh? The fact is Philly is a live dog in this spot as they are coming off a loss and have been playing better of late when off a loss. They enter this game off B2B losses but, prior to the OT loss to the Kings, they had gone 6-1 last 7 times when off a loss. The Wild just back from a long road trip and have a revenge game versus Sabres on deck too. Neither of those are key angles here but still worth noting. 10* PHILADELPHIA +1.5 -125 |
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01-26-23 | Pistons v. Nets OVER 231.5 | Top | 130-122 | Win | 100 | 16 h 46 m | Show |
NBA Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 231.5 in Brooklyn Nets vs Detroit Pistons @ 7:40 ET - I look for the Pistons to put up a fight here as they catch the Nets in a tough back to back spot after that intense battle with Philly last night. However, I just can not trust the defensive play of Detroit and that is why I am expecting this one to turn into a shootout with plenty of points. The Nets are 2-5 since Durant got hurt and they have allowed 115 points per game. Brooklyn has scored 120.5 ppg last 4 games and will feast on a Detroit team willing to play uptempo but with constantly getting blown out of games. The Pistons have allowed 127.5 ppg last 10 games. However, they also have scored 116 points per game last 9 games. 10* OVER 231.5 in Brooklyn |
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01-26-23 | Iowa +3 v. Michigan State | Top | 61-63 | Win | 100 | 14 h 9 m | Show |
CBB Thursday 10* Top Play Iowa Hawkeyes +3 @ Michigan State Spartans @ 7 ET - Uh oh...the odds makers did it again and made a massive "mistake" here, right? After all this line opened up at nearly a pick'em even though Michigan State is 8-2 at home this season and the Hawkeyes are 3-5 in games played away from their home in Iowa. Wow...what a "gift" from the odds makers, right? Long-time followers know the respect I have for the odds makers and the fact is this game was priced this way for a reason. Now that we are able to get as much as +3 on this one with the Hawkeyes, it is absolutely "go time" for me. Iowa could get Patrick McCaffery back tonight. Already he is back with the team and this is providing an emotional boost for him and for the team. They are going to rally around this even if he is not on the floor tonight. A big key here is the play of Kris Murray and he could do what his brother Keegan did against Michigan State last season as he dominated in the 26 point win for the Hawkeyes. The fact is Kris Murray is "in the zone" right now and I love the fact Iowa enters this game off a loss in which Ohio State simply shot "lights out" against them. The Buckeyes won the game on ridiculously hot shooting but the Spartans have not been playing like that very often at all this season. Michigan State has lost 3 of 4 while the Hawkeyes had won 4 straight before the loss to the Buckeyes. By the way, the Spartans only win last 4 games was against Rutgers by 13 points but it was a game in which they outscored the Scarlet Knights by 30 points from three point land. Statistical anomaly for sure as it was a classic case of hot versus not for one game on the floor. That is not happening here against the Hawkeyes. 10* IOWA +3 |
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01-26-23 | Atletico Madrid v. Real Madrid OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 6 m | Show |
Spanish Copa del Rey, Quarterfinals, Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid @ 3 ET - If you look at the current trending of these two clubs plus how their season has been playing out in league action as well, I believe that is a good indicator we are going to see plenty of goals here. Real Madrid scores an average of 2.2 goals per match in league action but, when at home, they have allowed at least 1 goal in 9 of last 10 matches! Atletico Madrid is allowing about 1 goal per match this season but also has scored a respectable 1.5 goals per match. Real Madrid won this match 2-1 when Atletico Madrid was the host back in September. Now they meet at Santiago Bernabéu where Real Madrid has scored at least 2 goals in each of the last two meetings. Considering Real Madrid has given up at least 1 goal so frequently as a host but yet is the superior team here with plenty of firepower on the attack, I am looking for at least a 2-1 final in this one. Sure this is a tough match for Atletico Madrid but their confidence has grown with recent successes and they have scored an average of 2 goals per match last 8 matches across all competitions. 10* OVER 2.5 in Real Madrid |