Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-26-22 | Royals v. White Sox OVER 8.5 | Top | 6-0 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 59 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Early Dominator Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Chicago White Sox vs Kansas City Royals @ 7:10 ET - Over is 5-2 in last 7 White Sox games and Royals now off B2B overs. Lynch has a horrible history against Chicago including 16.19 ERA in 3 starts last season. Keuchel has struggled in 2 of his last 3 starts versus Kansas City. Chilly weather in Chicago tonight but expected breezes out of northwest could actually help our over as well. Either way, no matter the pitchers here (play it with action), we should see plenty of runs as White Sox starters and relievers have combined to give up 6 or more runs in 5 of last 7 games. Both lineups should get going here as Royals have hit well here in past and ChiSox happy to be back home for sure. 10* OVER 8.5 in Chicago White Sox |
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04-26-22 | Blue Jackets v. Lightning OVER 6.5 | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 37 m | Show |
NHL Earliest Punisher Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Tampa Bay Lightning vs Columbus Blue Jackets @ 7:05 ET - The Lightning just blasted three straight teams including the Maple Leafs and they prefer to meet Toronto in the post-season so they will keep going hard so they don't fall into a wild-card sport. That said, Tampa Bay should again score extremely well here. TB has won 5 of 6 games and scored 6.4 goals per game in those 5 victories! As for the Blue Jackets, they are off a 5-2 home win and 2 of their last 4 road games totaled at least 9 goals. Look for another high-scoring game here. 10* OVER 6.5 in Tampa Bay |
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04-26-22 | Hawks +7.5 v. Heat | Top | 94-97 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Cash Tuesday 10* Top Play Atlanta Hawks +7.5 @ Miami Heat @ 7 ET - The Hawks just got embarrassed on their home floor in a 24 point loss on Sunday. This is now their season right here. I am not saying they will win this game outright but I do like the odds of at least a cover here. Since mid-February, Atlanta has gone 10-1 SU when entering a game off a non-OT loss! The only time they lost back to back was in Games 1 and 2 of that series and in that one that Game 2 loss they were down by just 3 points with 2 and 1/2 minutes to go and missed a game-tying 3 at that juncture in the game. The point is that the eventual 10 point loss was a closer finish than you think and that game was here in Miami too. Big value with the big points here given the situation and the 10-1 / 91% angle. 10* ATLANTA HAWKS +7.5 |
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04-25-22 | Raptors v. 76ers -7.5 | Top | 103-88 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 9 m | Show |
NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Month Monday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -7.5 vs Toronto Raptors @ 8 ET - Look for the Sixers to respond off the Game 4 loss at Toronto. Even though the 76ers are still very much in control of this series they last thing they want to do is let this series go back to Toronto for Game 6. That is for two key reasons. Not only would that then give the Raptors a chance to tie the series up on their home floor and force an "anything can happen" Game 7, it also would lead to more tired legs for Philly if they do advance. Philadelphia wants this series to end right here right now and to let guys like Joel Embiid get some rest for the next round. Similar to the huge energy and motivation we saw from the Sixers in the opening game of the series, I am expecting a similar effort here. Philadelphia in a big home rout is my expectation here. The 76ers are on a 5-0 run in home games and the average margin of victory was 18 points in those 5 games. More of the same expected here. 10* PHILADELPHIA -7.5 |
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04-25-22 | Flyers v. Blackhawks OVER 6.5 | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 29 m | Show |
NHL Total of the Week Monday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 goals in Chicago Blackhawks vs Philadelphia Flyers @ 8:05 ET - This is the perfect spot to fade the Flyers off their huge upset win over the in-state rival Penguins yesterday. However, while I do expect the Blackhawks to catch a sleepy and unmotivated defense here (plus goalie likely to be a very young Felix Sandstrom in this one) I just do not trust the Blackhawks defense and netminding either. Hence, a play on the over in this one. Chicago has allowed at least 4 goals in 7 of last 8 games. Blackhawks home games have totaled at least 7 goals in 4 straight contests and, in fact, those games averaged 8 goals per game. As for the Flyers, before yesterday's 4-1 win stayed under the total, 6 of 7 Philly games totaled at least 7 goals. As a matter of fact, those 6 games averaged 8.3 goals per game. Look for at least 7 goals in this one as well with two teams just playing out the string on tough seasons so there will be little defensive intensity here particularly with Flyers off win over their biggest rival yesterday. 10* OVER 6.5 in Chicago |
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04-25-22 | Rockies v. Phillies -1.5 | Top | 2-8 | Win | 106 | 6 h 52 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB RL Dominator Game of the Month Monday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 +105 vs Colorado Rockies @ 6:45 ET - So the Rockies are off to a great start this season and the Phillies are struggling and yet the home team opened up as nearly a 2 to 1 favorite here on the money line. What happened? Well for one thing, just playing the home team in Colorado game last season netted you a 102-59 record. Notoriously a solid home team but the Rockies are known for struggling on the road. Here they face a Phillies team that will be poised to bounce back big at home. Philadelphia is off a shutout loss to the Brewers last night in a frustrating game as Angel Hernandez was behind the plate and the man is the worst umpire in the game. Sickening calls that went both ways but sure did not help the flow of the game. The Phillies bats will get going tonight regardless of the pitchers. This season Philadelphia has been held to 1 run or less 5 times, including last night's game. After the first 4, the Phillies have scored an average of 6.5 runs per game. Freeland has struggled this season on the mound for the Rockies and Gibson has overall been solid for the Phillies on the mound and he also delivered an absolute gem in his only home start this season. Again, no matter who pitches here, the Phillies bounce back big at home and win this one in a rout. 5 of the Phillies 6 wins by at least 2 runs this season and all 5 Colorado losses this season by at least 2 runs. 10* PHILADELPHIA -1.5 +105 |
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04-25-22 | Leeds United v. Crystal Palace OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 26 m | Show |
EPL USA Network Rout Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Crystal Palace vs Leeds United @ 3 ET - Crystal Palace and Leeds United each are battling hard to avoid relegation. Both will be going strong for the full 3 points in the table here. Leeds allows piles of goals and this is particularly true on the road this season. However, Leeds also has been scoring a lot of goals recently as they have been on the attack in looking to earn big points in the table and avoid relegation. With how well Crystal Palace has been playing when on their home pitch, I am looking for plenty of scoring here. Leeds concedes a lot on the road but also will be on the attack and is capable of getting great scoring chances even though Crystal Palace known for being solid defensively on their home pitch. The current trending for Leeds has me envisioning at least a 2-1 final in this one. 10* OVER 2.5 in Crystal Palace |
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04-24-22 | Brewers v. Phillies -144 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -144 | 5 h 43 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* ESPN Blowout Sunday 9* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies -140 vs Milwaukee Brewers @ 7:08 ET - This line has come down some and it is go time with the Phillies. Price is now as low as the -140 range after being as high as the -175 range. There is value here at the lower price after the move. When the Phillies were up 3-0 yesterday and Wheeler was cruising on the mound, it looked like they were well on their way to their 3rd straight win. Unfortunately - for Philly at least - one bad inning things came unraveled and suddenly they were down 4-3 and went on to lose 5-3. Regardless of who pitchers here I like the Phillies as they are at home and available at a reasonable price and they have the better overall lineup. The pitchers are expected to be Nola vs Lauer and through his many years in Philly Nola has been much better when on the home mound than on the road. Considering that plus the fact that Lauer gave up 3 homers in 6 innings in his only career start here (last season), I do like the home team to get it done here. Action on pitchers and look for a huge game at the plate from the home team. 9* PHILADELPHIA -140 |
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04-24-22 | Maple Leafs v. Capitals OVER 7 | Top | 4-3 | Push | 0 | 6 h 7 m | Show |
NHL Situational Dominator Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 7 in Washington Capitals vs Toronto Maple Leafs @ 7:05 ET - The Capitals have lost each of the two prior meetings with the Leafs by a combined score of 12 to 6 - an average total of 9 goals scored per game. Washington comes in seeking revenge but Toronto also comes into this one angry off B2B losses after a loss at Florida yesterday. The Maple Leafs have averaged scoring 4.3 goals per game the last 6 times they have entered a game off 2 or more losses. At the same time, note that the Caps have been scoring plenty of goals and have been particularly high-scoring in home games. Now, finally back in DC after a lengthy road trip, this one should see a pile of goals scored. I know this total is a big one posted at 7 goals but it should not be a problem here given the situational edges pointing toward goals in this one. 10* OVER 7 in Washington |
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04-24-22 | Mets v. Diamondbacks +1.5 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -106 | 2 h 12 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Run Line Rout Sunday 10* Top Play Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5 -105 vs New York Mets @ 4:10 ET - Regardless of who pitches here I like the Diamondbacks as a home dog getting the +1.5 runs. Not only has Arizona won 3 of 4, none of their last 5 games have resulted in a loss by more than a single run. The Diamondbacks have been scrappy, they are at home, and Bumgarner has been solid so far this season. Megill started off great for Mets but did give up 4 earned runs in most recent start. Bumgarner has given up a total of only 2 earned runs in his 3 starts this season! Like the home dog to get it done here but will grab the run line in case they fall one run short in this one. 10* ARIZONA +1.5 -105 |
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04-24-22 | Penguins v. Flyers OVER 6.5 | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -120 | 4 h 46 m | Show |
NHL PA Dominator Sunday 9* Top Play OVER 6.5 goals in Philadelphia Flyers vs Pittsburgh Penguins @ 4:05 ET - You know Philly is going to bring a strong effort on their home ice here against the rival Penguins. However, this does not change the fact that this team can stop no one! The Flyers continue to struggle defensively and in goal and Pittsburgh should score plenty here. But Philadelphia has been scoring well and continues to get involved in one high-scoring game after another and I expect that trend to continue here. The result is a game in which I expect each team to get to 3 goals and, of course, this guarantees of nothing less than a 4-3 final in this one. 9* OVER 6.5 in Philadelphia |
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04-24-22 | Warriors v. Nuggets +170 | Top | 121-126 | Win | 170 | 4 h 33 m | Show |
NBA Money Line Dominator Sunday 10* Top Play Denver Nuggets +170 vs Golden State Warriors @ 3:30 ET - Sweeps are not easy to come by. There are 8 series going and only 2 of them still have a shot at being a sweep and this is one of them. I do not see an angry Denver team being denied here on their home floor. They have outrebounded the Warriors heavily in each of the last two games plus shot much better from the free throw line. Golden State has simply shot lights out from the field, including downtown, so far in this series but that can not go on forever. This is the game the Nuggets bring their absolute best game of this series as they will be relentless in refusing to let GS take this series on their home court. 10* DENVER +170 |
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04-23-22 | Maple Leafs v. Panthers OVER 7 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -135 | 8 h 32 m | Show |
NHL Divisional Dominator Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 7 -130 in Florida Panthers vs Toronto Maple Leafs @ 7:05 ET - The Leafs could get Auston Matthews back for this one. Either way I am looking for plenty of goals. Toronto just got destroyed at Tampa Bay and gave up a ton of goals so they need to bounce back after that embarrassing loss. The Maple Leafs should bounce back here and score plenty against a Panthers team known for having some issues defensively and in front of their own net. Of course the difference is that Florida also scores goals like crazy. This one sets up nicely to be a barnburner just like the 7-6 final these guys played to in their last meeting. This one of course may not get that crazy but a 5-4 type game would not surprise me in the least. Just so much firepower for these two clubs and the Leafs have consistently been involved in high-scoring games and the Panthers will put up a pile of goals here at home too. Toronto needs to bounce back after embarrassing loss to Lightning but the hosts here make this one turn into a wild goal-filled contest. 10* OVER 7 goals -130 in Florida |
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04-23-22 | Brewers v. Phillies -134 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -134 | 5 h 13 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Game of the Week Saturday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Money Line -135 vs Milwaukee Brewers @ 4:05 ET - The Phillies are favored by a moderate margin here and that may surprise some when you consider their tough start this season and the Brewers hotter start. However, regardless of the pitching match-up here, I like Philadelphia at home as they have the stronger lineup and they can build off a high-scoring win at Colorado Wednesday which got their bats going and helped lead the way to rallying for yesterday's 4-2 win over Milwaukee to open up this series. Also, in terms of the projected pitchers, note that Wheeler was fantastic last season and he was much better in his home start this season and will put a rough road start behind him here. Also, Wheeler has been fantastic facing the Brewers in recent starts against them. As for the Brewers, their expected starter is Houser and he has struggled a bit in each of his first two starts this season and, unlike Wheeler, he struggled recently against the opponent he is facing today. Regardless of pitching match-up I do like the Phillies at a reasonable price at home to get the win again here and make it 2 straight over the Brewers and 3 in a row overall as the home/road dichotomy makes a difference here as well. 10* PHILADELPHIA -135 |
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04-23-22 | 76ers v. Raptors OVER 212.5 | Top | 102-110 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 5 m | Show |
NBA Total of the Week Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 212.5 in Toronto Raptors vs Philadelphia 76ers @ 2 PM ET - The Raptors will do anything to extend this series as they are down 3-0 and do not want to get eliminated on their home floor. To extend their series they are likely going to have to extend this game. What I mean by that is even if they are down 7 to 10 points late they will be fouling plenty and looking to send Philly to the line and climb back into the game. I love the fact that after B2B unders, even if an game that went to OT in Game 3, most will be looking under here. Keep in mind, Game 1 of this series flew over the total. I am expecting much better shooting like we saw in the first game and I look for Toronto to put up a valiant effort here. However, as has been a problem all series long, the Raptors will struggle to stop all the weapons the Sixers have. I am not confident of who will win this game but I am confident of plenty of points being scored! 10* OVER 212.5 in Toronto |
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04-23-22 | Islanders v. Sabres OVER 6 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 109 | 3 h 50 m | Show |
NHL Earliest Cash Saturday 9* Top Play OVER 6 in Buffalo Sabres vs New York Islanders @ 12:35 ET - The Islanders are known as a defensive-minded team but this is a late season match-up between two teams out of the playoff race. The Isles have been playing a different style recently and the Sabres enter this game off 3 straight wins. Buffalo is scoring a lot of goals and this will be an up-tempo game on their home ice. The Sabres have seen 14 of their last 16 games total at least 6 goals so I feel we have fantastic value here with this posted total at 6 goals. In fact, of those 14 games, 13 of them totaled at least 7 goals. I fully expect this one will too as the Sabres continue to score well but the Islanders come to play in this one too as they are off 3 straight losses including a 6-3 loss to the Rangers. 9* OVER 6 in Buffalo |
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04-23-22 | Aston Villa v. Leicester OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 55 m | Show |
EPL King Power Blowout Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Leicester vs Aston Villa @ 10 AM ET - With Leicester the hosts in this one, this match is taking place at King Power Stadium. I am looking for enough fire "power" from each side to send this one over the total. I love the fact that Leicester will be pushing hard for the full 3 points in the table and Aston Villa has never had a draw this season in 16 road matches and a clean sheet here is unlikely. In other words, this match has high likelihood of being at least a 2-1 final given all those factors and the posted total here is 2.5 goals so we have solid value here. Leicester could be a little worn out because they have had some extra matches lately and that will put Aston Villa on the attack even more in this one as they look to take advantage. That said, you also know the hosts are going to put up a strong fight at King Power Stadium in this one so the result should be at least a 2-1 final. Solid line value here. 10* OVER 2.5 in Leicester |
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04-22-22 | Heat v. Hawks +1.5 | Top | 110-111 | Win | 100 | 10 h 43 m | Show |
NBA Payback Special Friday 10* Top Play Atlanta Hawks +1.5 vs Miami Heat @ 7 ET - After 3 straight games for us all slipping away in the 4th quarter in the NBA after cashing 8 in a row in NBA - most all of them easy no doubt winners without drama - I have no doubt we are getting back on track starting today. One thing is for sure, if a break is involved it most certainly should go our way here! The home team has won 6 of the last 7 meetings between these teams and the Heat won each of the first two games of this series at home. The home team dominance in this series continues here. The Hawks have won 28 of 42 home games this season and the Heat are 21-16 SU last 37 road games. You can see why, given those numbers, we have some line value here with the desperate and hungrier team available as a home underdog. 10* ATLANTA +1.5 |
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04-22-22 | Brewers v. Phillies -119 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 6 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Early Dominator Friday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Money Line -120 vs Milwaukee Brewers @ 7:05 ET - The Phillies are favored here and that may surprise some when you consider their tough start this season and the Brewers hotter start. However, regardless of the pitching match-up here, I like Philadelphia at home as they have the stronger lineup and they can build off a high-scoring win at Colorado Wednesday which got their bats going. Also, in terms of the projected pitchers, note that Suarez was rock solid last season and he was much better in his 2nd start this season after a rough first start where he was done in on some flukiness in terms of defense behind him. As for the Brewers, their expected starter is Peralta and he has struggled in each of his first two starts this season and, unlike Suarez, his 2nd start was worse than his 1st. Regardless of pitching match-up I do like the Phillies at a great price at home to get the win here. 10* PHILADELPHIA -120 |
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04-22-22 | Senators v. Blue Jackets OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 8 m | Show |
NHL Earliest Cash Friday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Columbus Blue Jackets vs Ottawa Senators @ 7:05 ET - This follows the same late-season logic I have used in cashing other overs recently. This match-up features two teams long out of the playoff race and playing out the string on the season. You tend to see less defensive intensity in match-ups like this and more open ice. There should be plenty of solid goal-scoring opportunities just like we saw in last night's game involving the struggling Flyers and struggling Canadiens. In this case we are talking about a Senators team that has allowed 3.7 goals last 3 games but also scored 3.6 goals per game last 11 games. Ottawa will score well here against the struggling Blue Jackets but of course Columbus will do some damage on home ice too! Jackets home games have totaled 7 or more goals in 12 of last 17 contests. Look for another wild one here. 10* OVER 6.5 in Columbus |
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04-21-22 | Grizzlies v. Wolves +2 | Top | 104-95 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
NBA Game of the Month Thursday 10* Top Play Minnesota Timberwolves +2 vs Memphis Grizzlies @ 7:30 ET - The Wolves had turnover problems in the two games at Memphis but look for them to clean that up now that the series has shifted home to Minneapolis for them. As disappointing as the 124-96 annihilation was for the T-wolves in Game 2, they are still feeling very good about their situation in this series as they earned the all-important split at Memphis. Ja Morant suffered a quad injury in Game 2 and though it is not serious at all could it get sore on him as Game 3 marches on into the later stages and effect him a little bit? Certainly is not impossible but either way I love the Wolves here in a key game for them to respond after a 28-point drubbing. Keep in mind, before that big win, Memphis had lost 4 of 5 games and Minnesota had won 5 of 7 games before the blowout defeat. Hungry home team will get it done here in my opinion as they are buoyed by the confidence they gained by getting the big Game 1 win at Memphis and they draw on that here to take a 2-1 lead in this series. We'll grab the bucket being offered in case this one ends up decided by the slimmest of margins but I do sense a big home team win here! 10* MINNESOTA +2 |
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04-21-22 | Flyers v. Canadiens OVER 6.5 | Top | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 16 m | Show |
NHL Total of the Week Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Montreal Canadiens vs Philadelphia Flyers @ 7:05 ET - Yes, Carey Price has played well for the Habs since he came back but he has only made two starts and in his first home start he did not face many shots. I expect him to face a barrage of shots from the Flyers tonight. Philly has been losing a lot of games lately too just like the Canadiens have been. Philadelphia games have been played a bit helter-skelter with a lot of open ice and and turnovers and great scoring chances, etc. Flyers so weak defensively right now and they also have goalie Carter Hart now shutdown for the remainder of the season. Their back-ups have had some issues along the way defending the cage. Philly has lost 6 straight games and allowed an average of 5.3 goals in this horrible stretch! The Habs have lost 10 of 12 games and have allowed an average of 4.3 goals per game in their last 11 games! This one should get crazy as these are not the most highly skilled teams offensively but their recent poor defensive play more than makes up for that in terms of a high-scoring affair being likely here! 10* OVER 6.5 in Montreal |
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04-21-22 | Orioles v. A's OVER 7 | Top | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 5 h 14 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Daytime Dominator Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 7 in Oakland A's vs Baltimore Orioles @ 3:37 ET - This is a contrarian play all the way as the O/U in Orioles games is 0-11-1 so far this season. However, Blackburn struggled last season with Oakland and with the AAA club in Vegas. He was hit hard in both places and I am just not sold on him yet. Yes, he has a low ERA so far this season but it is still early and I expect him to struggle in his first home start of the season. The Orioles send Wells to the mound and he got rocked in his only road start his season. That said, Oakland was averaging 5 runs scored per game before yesterday's shutout loss and I expect a bounce back at the plate here. No matter who pitches here, this is a play for me, I love taking overs off a 1-0 game and that was the final score in yesterday's Baltimore win. The bats will wake up this afternoon and this one flies over the low total in my opinion. Finally, an over in an Orioles game. It happens this afternoon. 10* OVER 7 in Oakland |
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04-21-22 | Southampton v. Burnley OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -101 | 5 h 14 m | Show |
EPL Total of the Week Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Burnley vs Southampton @ 2:45 ET - Burnley is off a 1-1 draw in their first match without manager Sean Dyche in nearly a decade. That was solid effort considering it was against a tough West Ham club. However, Burnley needs the full 3 points in the table as they are desperate to escape the relegation zone. That said, they will be going all out in this match but I do not see a clean sheet for either club in this one. The match gets to 1-1 and we should see at least a 2-1 final. Southampton is expected to go to a formation in this one that will emphasize the attack more than defense. Southampton is off a 1-0 match but this was after conceding 6 times to Chelsea. Of course Burnley is no Chelsea but they do seem a bit rejuvenated after the managerial change and I expect plenty of attacking from both clubs in this one and the final result to get to a 2-1 final at a minimum here. 10* OVER 2.5 in Burnley |
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04-20-22 | Stars v. Oilers UNDER 6 | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 4 m | Show |
NHL Earliest Blowout Wednesday 10* Top Play UNDER 6.5 in Edmonton Oilers vs Dallas Stars @ 8:30 ET - After Oettinger got pulled from last start against the Canucks, look for the Stars to respond big here no matter who is between the pipes. Dallas had 9 of 12 games heading into that one total 5 or less goals. In fact their 3 games just before the ugly loss at Vancouver averaged only 3 goals totaled per game! This a key playoff-intense battle taking place at Edmonton and the Oilers are playing well and have gotten fantastic goaltending in all but one recent game. One bad game last 7 and in the other 6 games Edmonton has allowed an average of 0.83 goals per game! Yes just 5 goals conceded in regulation time in those 6 games. This one featuring Oilers hosting Dallas should be a tight low-scoring battle as the game also is so key within the different aspects of the playoff picture! 10* UNDER 6.5 in Edmonton |
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04-20-22 | Nets +3.5 v. Celtics | Top | 107-114 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Cash Wednesday 10* Top Play Brooklyn Nets +3.5 @ Boston Celtics @ 7 ET - The Nets fell just short on a last second buzzer beater in Game 1. I actually expect a bounce back win here for Brooklyn after falling just short but I am still going to grab the points here just in case the visitors again fall just short. We can get 3.5 points with the road dog here and I will take it as the Nets showed me a lot in Game 1 and the fact they fell short on a last second shot only serves to give us even more line value here in Game 2. You know Brooklyn is going to be extremely hungry here in Game 2. The Nets have great shot at outright win which also means superb extra value with getting more than a 3-pointer's worth as the dog in this one again in Game 2. I'll take it as the impact of Boston not having Robert Williams available showed up already as they Celtics barely survived Game 1 and I feel they will not be so fortunate here. 10* BROOKLYN +3.5 |
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04-20-22 | Phillies -109 v. Rockies | Top | 9-6 | Win | 100 | 5 h 13 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Daytime Dominator Wednesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies -110 @ Colorado Rockies @ 3:10 ET - The odds makers are some of the sharpest people around. The Phillies opened up as high as a -125 favorite in this game. This is even though they have one of the worst records in baseball right now while the Rockies have one of the best. Do you think this is a mistake? I like to side with the odds makers more often than the betting masses that is for sure and now this line has dropped into the pick'em range and I am going against the move and grabbing the road team here. I do not care who the starting pitchers are but will say that Marquez gave up 10 hits in his first start while Eflin gave up only 6 and I do expect a big Phillies bounce back here after 3 straight losses. Payback after falling just short in yesterday's 1-run loss and outhitting Colorado yesterday. 10* PHILADELPHIA |
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04-20-22 | Crystal Palace v. Newcastle United OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 12 m | Show |
EPL Day Game Rout Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals +125 in Newcastle United vs Crystal Palace @ 2:45 ET - Newcastle off B2B wins including a 2-1 victory in last match. They are a different team when on their home pitch and I trust them to keep the momentum going here. However, Palace is off a 2-0 loss to Chelsea in English FA Cup action and will be hungry to bounce back here. Each of Crystal's 3 matches heading into that one totaled 3 or more goals. Palace had scored 2.7 goals per match in those 3. That said, and with consideration to the situation for both clubs heading into this one, I see excellent value here with going to over the 2.5 goals and getting solid plus money on it. 10* OVER 2.5 +125 in Newcastle United |
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04-19-22 | Hawks +7.5 v. Heat | Top | 105-115 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 40 m | Show |
NBA TNT Annihilation Tuesday 10* Top Play Atlanta Hawks +7.5 @ Miami Heat @ 7:30 ET - The Hawks and Heat nearly the exact same number of 3-point attempts in Game 1 of this series. The difference in Sunday's game? Miami made 8 more of theirs than Atlanta did. The Heat won the game by exactly a 24 point margin. You see my point? Even with Trae Young having the horrible game he did that was the difference in the final margin of the game was just 3-pointers. Of course Miami's Duncan Robinson is not going 8 of 9 again from downtown just like Young is not going 0 for 7 from beyond the arc. In fact, now that I mentioned that, note that this is your 24 point margin right there! The fact is Atlanta got to the line for 50% more free throw attempts in the game. Essentially the Heat won the game from the outside not the inside. Possible impact to that inside game is the fact that Bam Adebayo is dealing with a quad injury entering this one. I know the Hawks struggled on the road in the regular season but they were 5-2 SU last 7 road games that were NOT the second game of a B2B before that loss at Miami Sunday. They get back on track here as Young and Company are out for payback. The visitors may fall short of the outright upset but they will do enough for the all-important cover here. 10* ATLANTA +7.5 |
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04-19-22 | Flyers v. Maple Leafs OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 56 m | Show |
NHL Earliest Cash Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 goals -130 in Toronto Maple Leafs vs Philadelphia Flyers @ 7:05 ET - Even if Auston Matthews still is out, the Maple Leafs should roll big here and that means plenty of goals. Toronto has won 10 of 12 games and has scored an average of FIVE goals per game in those dozen games! Even if Leafs "only" hit their recent "average" of 5 goals can we expect at least 2 from Philadelphia here? The Flyers have lost 11 of 14 games but have scored at least 2 goals in 12 of those 14 games. In fact, Philly has averaged scoring nearly 3 goals per game during this stretch. The big problem for a Flyers team playing a lot of young guys and missing some key veterans and also without #1 goalie Carter Hart is the fact that they have allowed 5 goals per game in those 11 losses in this rough 3-11 stretch. This one gets crazy in my opinion. 10* OVER 6.5 in Toronto |
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04-19-22 | Cardinals v. Marlins OVER 7.5 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 7 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Early Dominator Tuesday MLB 10* Top Play OVER 7.5 in Miami Marlins vs St Louis Cardinals @ 6:40 ET - Regardless of the starting pitchers in this match-up, I do like the over. The over is 6-2 in Cardinals games so far this season. Also, the Marlins have won 3 of 4 games and confidence is building as they have scored an average of 6 runs per game in these 4 games. The scheduled pitchers are Wainwright and Luzardo. The Cardinals veteran right-hander Wainwright has a history of pitching brilliantly at home and struggling on the road and that has continued this season. The Marlins lefty just struck out a dozen in only 5 innings in his first start this season. Watch him come back down to earth here. St Louis is scoring an average of 5.4 runs per game this season and even though each of these teams have good bullpen numbers too, this total is just too low and I love the fact we were seeing lines as high as 8.5 runs before now seeing this drop a full run from the earliest openers. 10* OVER 7.5 in Miami |
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04-19-22 | Manchester United v. Liverpool -1.5 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 102 | 4 h 10 m | Show |
EPL Day Game Rout Tuesday 10* Top Play Liverpool -1.5 goals +102 vs Manchester United @ 3 ET - Ronaldo will miss this game for Man U plus Fernandes was involved in a car accident Monday. Unfortunately for the visitors there have been some distractions heading into this huge match-up Tuesday. Liverpool has been so strong for many weeks now plus they are one of the best clubs on their home pitch this season. The hosts have a goal differential of +32 in their 15 matches on home soil this season. Manchester United has won just 6 of 15 matches away from home and will get dominated here as the absence of Ronaldo hurts this club both emotionally and in terms of personnel on the field for this one. It has the makings of a rout. Liverpool is off a draw versus Manchester City in most recent match within league action. This followed 10 straight wins in league action and all but 2 of the wins were by at least a 2-goal margin. Liverpool blasted Man U by a 5-0 count earlier this season. Amazingly, Manchester United had only 3 victories in last 12 matches across all competitions prior to a victory Saturday over Norwich City. I just don't see the visitors as being able to keep up here against a host that has an aggregate score of 39 to 7 in home matches this season. 10* LIVERPOOL -1.5 +102 |
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04-18-22 | Flames v. Blackhawks OVER 6.5 | Top | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
NHL Western Conference Total of the Year 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Chicago Blackhawks vs Calgary Flames @ 8:05 ET - The Blackhawks are mired in a losing stretch but are still scoring plenty of goals. Chicago has averaged 3.3 goals per game in regulation time of last 4 games. The Blackhawks have lost 9 of 10 games and allowed an average of 4 goals per game in regulation time of last 13 games. Chicago will not be able to stop this surging Flames team that is looking to secure the top spot in the Pacific Division. Calgary has won 6 of 7 games. In the Flames last 10 wins they have scored an average of 5.3 goals per game. They are a -300 favorite here for a reason. They are fully expected to win and the value way to play this one in my opinion is the over. Calgary wins, they score plenty, but Blackhawks get a few goals too. Rather than lay the 1.5 goals with the Flames and worry about if the game ends 4-3 rather than 5-2 I am simply playing the over here as I do fully expect 7 or more goals here no matter what the final score. Note that the fact the Flames have a big game at Nashville on deck could impact their goalie situation here as well as their focus defensively. That is another thing I like about this one seeing more scoring than most might expect. 10* OVER 6.5 in Chicago |
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04-18-22 | Pirates v. Brewers OVER 8.5 | Top | 1-6 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Divisional Rout Monday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates @ 7:40 ET - Brewers expected to start Lauer and he allowed 3 earned runs in 4 and 1/3 innings in his first start this season. Pirates expected to start Thompson here and he took a comebacker off his throwing shoulder in most recent start. Also, he allowed 5 hits in 4 innings in that outing. Regardless of the starting pitchers here, note that the Pirates bullpen has a 5.14 ERA on the road this season and the Brewers, known for pitching, actually have a rather unimpressive bullpen ERA of 3.93 at home so far this season. Now, about the bats in this one, the Pirates have actually won back to back games and 5 of their last 7 games. Pittsburgh has averaged 7 runs per game in those 5 victories! The Brewers are off a much-needed win and have now won 5 of 8 games and scored an average of 5 runs per game in those 5 victories. I know this is a bit of a contrarian play as neither lineup is crushing the ball early this season but I look for each club to build off their respective wins yesterday and the lineups will enjoy success in a game in which I expect the roof will be closed there and teams playing in a controlled environment as it is actually snowing in Milwaukee this morning. 10* OVER 8.5 in Milwaukee |
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04-18-22 | Raptors v. 76ers -7 | Top | 97-112 | Win | 100 | 11 h 40 m | Show |
NBA TNT Annihilation Monday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -7 vs Toronto Raptors @ 7:30 ET - The Raptors lost by 20 in the first game and Tyrese Maxey had a ridiculous game for the Sixers scoring 38 points. So now everyone is saying Toronto will bounce back because no way Maxey plays like that again. This might be true about Maxey but it is not necessarily true about the Raptors bouncing back. The 76ers have a pair of stars you might have heard about before...guys by the names of Joel Embiid and James Harden. Those two guys combined for 11 of 32 shooting in the game Saturday and yet Philly still won the game by 20 points! Now you understand why Toronto is absolutely in trouble here. They may get a boost when the series shifts to north of the border and the Sixers Matisse Thybulle can not travel with the team due to his covid status. However, until then Raptors still in trouble and this is particularly true with injuries piling up for them. Scottie Barnes, Gary Trent Jr. and Thaddeus Young all listed as doubtful for this game! 76ers roll again in this one! 10* PHILADELPHIA -7 |
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04-17-22 | Bulls +11 v. Bucks | Top | 86-93 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show |
NBA TNT Annihilation Sunday 10* Top Play Chicago Bulls +11 @ Milwaukee Bucks @ 6:30 ET - With the Bulls late season fade, we are getting extra line value here. Chicago is fully capable of turning things up a notch now that the post-season has arrived. Of course, the same can be said for the Bucks and that would absolutely be a true statement. However, lets not forget that Milwaukee is the defending NBA champion. Everyone is gunning for them in this post-season and this is particularly true of a nearby rival (Chicago only about 90 miles away). Additionally, the hunger factor is a question. Sure the Bucks want to win but will they be as hungry as other teams in this post-season? Honestly I doubt that. I am not saying the Bucks will not win this series nor am I saying that will not win Game 1. However, I am quite confident this Game 1 match-up will be decided by only a single digit margin. That said, big value with the big points here! Milwaukee won all 4 regular season meetings but the Bulls had at least 10 more field goal attempts in each of the last two defeats even though they were blowout losses. The problem was that the Bucks shot lights out. We are getting line value because of this here. The Grayson Allen with Alex Caruso further adds spice to this match-up and you are going to see a hungry underdog giving its strongest effort in a long time in this one and I just do not see them getting blown out here and an outright upset in Game 1 would not surprise me but a loss by a range of 5 to 9 points is the more likely result and that gets us the cash here! 10* CHICAGO +11 |
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04-17-22 | Sabres v. Flyers OVER 6.5 | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 36 m | Show |
NHL Contrarian Crusher Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 goals in Philadelphia Flyers vs Buffalo Sabres @ 5:05 ET - As mentioned in yesterday's write-up on this match-up (yesterday the teams met in Buffalo): at first glance, with two non-playoff teams matched up you might expect a lackluster under here. However, in typical contrarian fashion, there is more than meets the eye here at first glance and I like the over a lot in this one. Neither one of these teams has been able to stop anyone lately. The Flyers lost goalie Carter Hart to injury and Martin Jones got the start yesterday so that means Felix Sandstrom likely to start here and he has only made 2 career NHL starts and allowed 3 goals in each start. If we get this game to 3-3 we can not do any worse than a 4-3 final and so now lets talk about the Sabres goalie. Craig Anderson started yesterday so it is likely to be Dustin Tokarski today. He has been lit up in each of his last four starts and allowed 4 or more goals in each of his last 3 starts. The Flyers did not generate many shots on goal yesterday and I expect them to be much better in that regard as they look for payback today after blowing a 2-0 lead in yesterday's loss. However, the Philly defense has been atrocious in their own zone and they are playing a lot of young guys too which leads to mistakes as there is always a learning curve. That said, look for a bit of a wide-open game with plenty of open ice. The Sabres have seen 11 of their last 14 games total 7 or more goals. Flyers games have totaled at least 7 goals in 9 of last 13 games! 10* OVER 6.5 in Philadelphia |
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04-17-22 | Phillies -136 v. Marlins | Top | 3-11 | Loss | -136 | 3 h 55 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB ML Game of the Week Sunday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies -135 @ Miami Marlins @ 1:40 ET - Regardless of who pitches the Phillies are the better overall team, have been getting solid bullpen work this season, and got their bats going yesterday. Philadelphia has a potent lineup and this is a classic case where that old adage "sometimes it only takes one" will prove true. The Phillies needed a breakout game at the plate to get their confidence back. Yesterday's 10-2 win, including scoring 8 runs in the first two innings, did just that! They will carry momentum into today's game and the Phillies will roll again. Wheeler is the expected starter and he pitched well in his first start after settling in and he will go even deeper in his 2nd start and is 9-3 with a 1.97 ERA in his career starts against the Marlins. Hernandez starts for Miami and struggled and gave up 2 homers in his first start this season and also allowed 2 homers in his last start against the Phillies. Dating back to how he wrapped up last season, Hernandez has now allowed 6 homers in his last 3 starts overall and Philadelphia is loaded with power hitters. I think this is a very bad match-up for Miami and the line is low enough on Philly - thanks to being on the road for this one - that I am comfortable elevating to my highest rating for this one. Regardless of who the starting pitchers are, the Phils build off the momentum of yesterday's game and get back to .500 here while the Marlins drop to 3-6 on the season with another loss here. 10* PHILADELPHIA -135 |
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04-17-22 | Leicester v. Newcastle United OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 59 m | Show |
EPL Ultra Early Rout Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Newcastle United vs Leicester @ 9:15 AM ET - Newcastle United has been playing so much better and they are on their home pitch for this one plus have revenge from allowing 4 goals to Leicester in the reverse fixture this season. However, I do not see a clean sheet in the offing for either club in this one and I also do not expect a draw as Newcastle is out for revenge and does not want to share the spoils. That said, if each team does get on the board as I fully expect they will, look for at least a 2-1 final here. Leicester is averaging about 1.6 goals per match this season but on the road they have conceded an average of 2 goals per match. Newcastle scores decently but also allows a few too many as a host and that is why their home matches have totaled a solid average of 3 goals apiece this season. With the hosts having shown improved form for quite some time now and Leicester off a huge momentum-boosting victory in the Europa Conference League in midweek, this one sees two confident clubs squaring off. As a result, neither backs down and this one gets to at least 2-1. Each of the last 5 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 3 goals and those matches actually have averaged 4.2 goals apiece. That high-scoring trend continues here. 10* OVER 2.5 in Newcastle |
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04-16-22 | Flyers v. Sabres OVER 6 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 49 m | Show |
NHL Contrarian Crusher Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 6 goals -120 in Buffalo Sabres vs Philadelphia Flyers @ 7:05 ET - At first glance, with two non-playoff teams matched up you might expect a lackluster under here. However, in typical contrarian fashion, there is more than meets the eye here at first glance and I like the over a lot in this one. Neither one of these teams has been able to stop anyone lately. The Flyers lost goalie Carter Hart to injury and Martin Jones will be getting the start. He has been lit up in each of his last two starts and allowed 4 or more goals in 4 of his last 6 starts. However, it is not all on the goalies for Philly, the defense has been atrocious in their own zone and they are playing a lot of young guys too which leads to mistakes as there is always a learning curve. That said, look for a bit of a wide-open game with plenty of open ice. The Sabres will score plenty here on home ice but Buffalo also will conceded plenty as their opponents continue to pile up goals. The Sabres have seen 10 of their last 13 games total 7 or more goals. Philadelphia is off a 4-0 loss to the Rangers but they will bounce back with some scoring here as that game as on the heels of a stretch that saw Flyers games total at least 7 goals in 8 of last 11 games! 10* OVER 6 in Buffalo |
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04-16-22 | Raptors v. 76ers -4.5 | Top | 111-131 | Win | 100 | 9 h 54 m | Show |
NBA ESPN Blowout Saturday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -4.5 vs Toronto Raptors @ 6 ET - The 76ers are undervalued here because of past playoff disappointments. In my opinion the Sixers will keep things up a notch now that the post-season is here and they have a guy by the name of James Harden to help lift them rather than a guy named Ben Simmons that was weighing them down. I know that the Raptors won the regular season series between these teams but this is playoff time and the Wells Fargo Center will be rocking for this one. Each of the last 7 meetings between these teams was decided by at least 5 points and I expect that that trend to continue here. Philly get gets it done on their home floor and opens the series with a big win and cover as Raptors drop to 1-3 SU/ATS last 4 road games (only win was against bad Magic team at Orlando). The hosts roll here. 10* PHILADELPHIA -4.5 |
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04-16-22 | Phillies +105 v. Marlins | Top | 10-3 | Win | 105 | 7 h 33 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Divisional Dominator Saturday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Money Line +105 @ Miami Marlins @ 6:10 ET - The Phillies have lost 4 straight. The Marlins have won 2 straight. Suarez outpitched Rogers when these teams met September 4th last season but Miami still won that game. Suarez then got the win for Philadelphia when he faced the Marlins again 4 weeks later and he did not allow a run in either start against Miami! The point of all the above is Suarez and the Phillies poised well for a bounce back here and Rogers and the Marlins are set for coming back down to reality in this one. Philly is better than Miami and the Suarez we saw last season is much better than what we saw from him in his first start when the D behind him let him down and things unraveled from there. Suarez was great last season and he outduels Rogers here. But, regardless of the pitchers, I really like the road team for the bounce back here at a small dog price. They will get their sticks going against Rogers as they got to him for 6 hits in 4 and 1/3 innings the last time they faced him and he has a 4.91 ERA in his career starts versus Philly. Suarez has hurled 12 scoreless innings in his two career starts against the Marlins. The road team rolls here. 10* PHILADELPHIA +105 |
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04-16-22 | Golden Knights v. Oilers -120 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 3 h 16 m | Show |
NHL Afternoon Annihilation Saturday 10* Top Play Edmonton Oilers Money Line -120 vs Vegas Golden Knights @ 4:05 ET - The Oilers are on home ice and facing back-up goalie Thompson for the Golden Knights because Lehner had a personal matter to tend to here in Vegas. The home of the Golden Knights is also my home and his decision to return here (certainly hope all is okay for Lehner) certainly hurts his team in the middle of chasing down a playoff spot. The Oilers playoff positioning is much better than the Knights but they still have not clinched one so there will be no backing down here. Also, this is a revenge game for Edmonton after they got embarrassed on home ice in a 4-0 loss to the Knights the last time these teams met. The Oilers had won each of the 2 meetings (by an 8-5 final) before that one this season. I look for them to dominate here given the above situational aspects. 10* EDMONTON -120 |
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04-16-22 | Wolves v. Grizzlies OVER 236 | Top | 130-117 | Win | 100 | 7 h 44 m | Show |
NBA Playoff Perfection Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 236 in Memphis Grizzlies vs Minnesota Timberwolves @ 3:30 ET - Two teams that like to play fast and I am expecting plenty of points in the opener of this series as a result. The over is 5-1 last 6 Timberwolves games. The over is 4-1 last 5 Grizzlies games. In Minnesota road games this season the over went 30-11. Memphis has seen the over go 7-2 in last 9 home games. The tempo and situation is perfect. The Grizzlies have fresh legs here from being off since Sunday and the Timberwolves allowed only 104 points to the Clippers in the Wolves play-in game Tuesday but allowed 128 points per game in their final 7 games of the regular season. 10* OVER 236 in Memphis |
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04-16-22 | A's v. Blue Jays -1.5 | Top | 7-5 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 1 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Daytime Dominator Saturday 10* Top Play Toronto Blue Jays Run Line -1.5 runs -110 @ 3:07 ET - The Blue Jays are 5-3 on the season after yesterday's 4-1 win over the A's and only 1 of their 8 games this season was a 1-run game. The Athletics are 4-4 on the season and, like Toronto, only 1 Oakland game this season has been a 1-run game. That said, if you like the Jays here the odds are in your favor for a win by 2+ runs. The Blue Jays are a big money line favorite for a reason but we will utilize the run line for max value here. Toronto's Ryu had a bad first start this season but we know what he is about long-term. Oakland's Blackburn had a good first star this season but we know what he is about long-term. Regardless of who pitches, note that the A's went 30-51 last season when facing teams that had at least a .500 record. The Jays are 3-1 at home this season and win big again here. 10* TORONTO -1.5 -110 |
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04-16-22 | Brentford v. Watford OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 110 | 10 h 55 m | Show |
EPL Ultra Early Rout Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals +110 in Watford vs Brentford @ 10 AM ET - Brentford is hot right now off B2B wins and having scored an average of 3 goals in the process. Watford is desperate to avoid relegation and will put up a fight on their home pitch. The issue for Watford is they are allowing 2.5 goals per match when a host this season. Note that Brentford is conceding an average of nearly 2 goals per match when a visitor this season. Given consideration to this I see a wild one unfolding here. The visitors are a club that is simply "feeling it" right now and firing on all cylinders but the hosts are capable of finding the back of the net a time or two on home soil. We should see at least a 2-1 final here but should see much more and we have excellent line value with plus money available on the over in this one. 10* OVER 2.5 goals +110 in Watford |
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04-15-22 | Hawks -130 v. Cavs | Top | 107-101 | Win | 100 | 9 h 13 m | Show |
NBA Money Line Rout Friday 10* Top Play Atlanta Hawks -130 @ Cleveland Cavaliers @ 7:35 ET - Just do not want to get burned if the Hawks win this game by only a point or two so, in this case, happy to lay a little bit of an extra price to have the money line in this match-up. The Hawks are the much hotter team with wins in 13 of last 18 games. Conversely, not only did the Cavaliers lose at Brooklyn, they were getting dominated for long stretches in that game. Also, over the last four weeks entering the post-season, Cleveland had a standalone loss only one time but had a pair of 3-game losing streaks and a pair of 2-game losing streaks and here is the next 2-gamer which also will mark the end of their season. Hawks loaded with confidence while Cavs have lost 9 of 12 games and, going further back, 12 of 18 games. 10* ATLANTA -130 |
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04-15-22 | A's v. Blue Jays OVER 9.5 | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -103 | 5 h 20 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Early Dominator Friday 10* Top Play OVER 9.5 in Toronto Blue Jays vs Oakland A's @ 7:07 ET - Look for the Blue Jays to bounce back at home here after a shutout loss in the Bronx yesterday to wrap up their series with the Yankees. Toronto has looked like a different team when at home early this season with the way they are swinging the bats at Rogers Centre. That said, I look for a ton of runs in this one because Oakland also has been a surprise at the plate early this season. The A's confidence at the plate is up right now as a result and I expect them to pound the ball here. Like both of these lineups no matter who the pitchers are they are facing but I will mention the expected starters are Jefferies and Stripling. The Athletics Jefferies has made only 3 MLB starts and is not a strikeout guy so the Jays will be putting the ball in play here! The Blue Jays Stripling has struggled each of the last two seasons and this would be his first start this season but already he has 3 walks and no strikeouts in his 2 appearances out of the pen this season. No matter the pitchers they are facing a confident A's lineup and a Jays lineup already impressing at home early this season and hungry to bounce back off a road shutout loss. 10* OVER 9.5 in Toronto |
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04-15-22 | Jets +1.5 v. Panthers | Top | 1-6 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 5 m | Show |
NHL Puck Line Punisher Friday 10* Top Play Winnipeg Jets +1.5 -110 @ Florida Panthers @ 7:05 ET - The Jets are battling hard to stay alive in the playoff race in the West. Florida is looking to lock things down for the top spot in the league heading into the post-season. The key here is the value with the +1.5 goals. Even without Scheifele for the entirety of the last game and most of the game before that, Winnipeg won both games. Overall only 6 of their last 22 games have been a loss by more than a single goal. As for the Panthers, as strong as they are they have only 5 wins by more than a 1-goal margin in their last 15 games. Florida wants to win and earn top spot in the league as they look for that home ice edge for entirety of playoffs or at least for the entire Eastern Conference post-season - as they may not top Avalanche out West in regular season points in the standings. However, one can not argue the fact that the Jets are even hungrier here. Winnipeg is desperate to earn points in the standings and still alive in the post-season chase but chasing two teams (Dallas and Nashville) makes it more difficult. With both those teams losing last night, the Jets got an added boost as their slim chances are still very much alive. Also, the Jets game getting canceled Wednesday at home (blizzard in Winnipeg) allowed them to stay in USA and they are well rested mentally and physically for this huge game Friday. They may ultimately still fell short but, if they do, I expect it would be by just a 1-goal margin as they have received solid netminding in 7 of last 9 games and arguably have the goalie edge here over Florida. 10* WINNIPEG Puck Line +1.5 goals -110 |
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04-15-22 | Yankees v. Orioles OVER 9 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 38 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Divisional Dominator Friday 9* Top Play OVER 9 in Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees @ 7:05 ET - As always the starting pitchers are not the only key. I will mention however that Montgomery is the slated starter for the Yankees and he struggled a bit in his first start this season plus took a comebacker off the left leg which, as a southpaw, is the leg he pushes off with. He did get hit quite hard in his outings at Baltimore last season. The Orioles are expected to start Lyles here and he had a tough first outing and this is nothing new as he has not impressed in recent years with an 11-20 combined mark since start of 2020 and a very high ERA. Yankees can take advantage of facing an Orioles pitching staff that is overall not that strong but took advantage of facing a slumping Rays lineup and a sub-par Brewers lineup to open up the season with some success. Look for the potent Yankees lineup to do some damage here. The Orioles faced some tough pitching to open the season but they now take advantage of a team and pitching staff they are more familiar with as this series gets underway Friday and the weather will be good here for this one too. 9* OVER 9 in Baltimore |
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04-14-22 | Blue Jays v. Yankees OVER 8.5 | Top | 0-3 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 26 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Network Dominator Thursday 10* OVER 8.5 in New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays @ 7:05 ET - Many books, including the BIG ones here in Vegas where I live will NOT even let you list pitchers on a game. My preference is that for sure. In other words, try to always place your wagers at books that are all action whether money line, run line, or total. My write-ups often include information about the scheduled pitchers but, the fact is my plays are based on much more than just the starting pitchers. In this case, the Jays are expected to start Kevin Gausman and the Yankees are expected to start Luis Severino. Both these guys are quality starters but both guys combined stats from there first starts make for an unimpressive stat line as they combined for 5 earned runs allowed on 13 hits in 8 innings. I know some rain and cooler air moving into the Bronx tonight and could even delay the start of this contest. However, I still expect plenty of pop from the bats in this one after they combined for a lot of extra base hits and 10 runs in yesterday's game. If we get each team to 4 runs in this one it guarantees us at least a 5-4 final and each of these teams has scored at least 4 runs in 4 of their 6 games. You can see why I like the odds for this one to get over the low total of 8.5 runs. Lets keep the rain away and look for another huge game from Vladimir Guerrero as he proved the finger injury yesterday was no big deal with a huge performance at the plate. Getting his stick going a great sign for Toronto and the Yankees should get to at least 4 runs for a 3rd straight game! 10* OVER 8.5 in New York Yankees |
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04-14-22 | Oilers +109 v. Predators | Top | 4-0 | Win | 109 | 7 h 38 m | Show |
NHL Game of the Week Thursday 10* Top Play Edmonton Oilers Money Line +105 @ Nashville Predators @ 8:05 ET - This line jumped off the page at me because it opened up at a pick'em even though Nashville was on home ice. Keep in mind the Predators have won 23 of 35 home games and the Oilers have won 19 of 38 road games. In other words, the line looked funny. Why? Exactly! Sure enough the markets jumping on the Preds on home ice and driving the line from the 110 range to the 125 range. In my opinion though, and as per usual, the odds makers had this one right. Here are the keys to this one: The Predators are off a win but lost 5 of 9 games before that victory. Also, 5 of the last 6 wins that Nashville has came against bad teams that are not going to make the playoffs. Now take a look at Edmonton heading into this match-up. The Oilers are off B2B losses to strong teams heading to the post-season but had won 12 of 15 games before these B2B defeats. 5 of those 12 Edmonton victories were against teams that are in playoff position. The Oilers were priced this way for a reason by the odds makers on the road and so don't be fooled in this one. The visitors have been playing the better overall hockey and will get the job done here. 10* EDMONTON +105 |
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04-14-22 | Blues v. Sabres OVER 6.5 | Top | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 0 m | Show |
NHL Earliest Dominator Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Buffalo Sabres vs St Louis Blues @ 7:05 ET - The Sabres are off a huge 5-2 win at rival Toronto. I could easily see the Sabres coming out flat here at home and the Blues taking it to them early in this one. After all, Buffalo had lost 3 straight and allowed 4.7 goals per game in the 3 games before the win over the Maple Leafs. The key however is that this Buffalo team has been scrappy late in the season and will bounce back even if they do get down early. I say this with confidence because the Sabres have won 5 of last 8 home games and scored 3.4 goals per game in regulation time of those 8 match-ups. St Louis enters this game having won 8 of 9 games and having averaged 4.6 goals per game during this red hot run! The Blues have allowed 3.6 goals per game last 7 road games. Look for plenty of goals here in this non-conference battle. 10* OVER 6.5 in Buffalo |
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04-14-22 | Phillies +105 v. Marlins | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 6 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* No Doubt Blowout Rout Thursday 10* Philadelphia Phillies Money Line +105 @ Miami Marlins @ 6:40 ET - Many books, including the BIG ones here in Vegas where I live will NOT even let you list pitchers on a game. My preference is that for sure. In other words, try to always place your wagers at books that are all action whether money line, run line, or total. My write-ups often include information about the scheduled pitchers but, the fact is my plays are based on much more than just the starting pitchers. In this case, the Phillies are scheduled to start Kyle Gibson and he totally dominated in his first start with allowing just 2 hits in 7 scoreless inning and striking out 7 while walking none. Conversely, the Marlins starter is expected to be Sandy Alcantara and he had more walks than strikeouts in his first start of the season with 5 free passes and 4 punch-outs. He also has lost each of his last 3 starts against the Phillies and has allowed 7 earned runs in 8 innings spanning his last 2 starts against them. Again, the starting pitching is not the key here though. Regardless of who starts, the key is that Miami has been held to an average of just 2.25 runs per game last 3 games. Conversely, the Phillies have scored 4 or more runs in 4 of their 6 games and the Marlins have not exceeded 3 runs in any of their last 4 games and were held to just 2 runs in 3 of those games. 10* PHILADELPHIA +105 |
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04-13-22 | Rangers v. Flyers OVER 6 | Top | 4-0 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 36 m | Show |
NHL Divisional Dominator Wednesday 9* Top Play OVER 6 in Philadelphia Flyers vs New York Rangers @ 7:05 ET - Rangers want to bounce back from a 4-2 loss to Carolina yesterday. They also have revenge from a 4-3 OT loss to the Flyers recently. This is a rivalry so that is keeping this total lower than it should be in my opinion. Right now Philadelphia is struggling to stop anyone but they still score some goals (particularly at home) and here they catch New York in a back to back. The Rangers used their top goalie, Shesterkin, last night so that sets this one up well for value on a high-scoring game. The Rangers are off a 3-1 win at New Jersey in most recent road game but that was preceded by 3 road games for NYR that average 8 goals apiece! As for Philly, 8 of last 11 games have totaled at least 7 goals! In fast those 11 games have averaged nearly 8 goals apiece. Flyers are also in a B2B spot here and used both Jones and Hart in goal in yesterday's embarrassing loss to the Capitals. 9* OVER 6 in Philadelphia |
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04-13-22 | Canadiens v. Blue Jackets OVER 6.5 | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 50 m | Show |
NHL Eastern Conf Total of the Month Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Columbus Blue Jackets vs Montreal Canadiens @ 7:05 ET - The Blue Jackets are well-rested here and the fresh legs - off since Saturday's 5-4 OT win at Detroit - should help to continue the high-scoring surge being seen in Columbus' games. The Blue Jackets 23 of last 34 games have totaled 7 or more goals. The Canadiens are off a 4-2 home loss to Winnipeg Monday so they also were off yesterday and, after B2B Habs games failed to reach the 7-goal mark, I look for plenty of goals here. Heading into last weekend, Montreal had seen 13 of 18 games total 7 or more goals. With two non-playoff teams matched up in a late-season game that is a non-divisional match-up, we should see plenty of open ice and a lot of scoring opportunities. Also, as you can see from the numbers above, neither team has been getting stellar goaltending very often either! This one flies over the total! 10* OVER 6.5 in Columbus |
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04-13-22 | Hornets v. Hawks -5 | Top | 103-132 | Win | 100 | 9 h 24 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Dominator Wednesday 10* Top Play Atlanta Hawks -5 vs Charlotte Hornets @ 7 ET - The home team went 52-30 SU in Hawks games this season. Atlanta was 27-14 at home this season. Of all the teams that either made the post-season or play-in tournament, the Hawks are the team with the worst road record. That said, home court carried them. It is the reason they are here today and it is the reason they will advance to play Cleveland. Note that Charlotte lost 2 of its last 3 road games this season and the two defeats were each by at least 29 points. The Hawks have won 19 of last 22 home games and only 2 of those 19 wins were by less than a 6 point margin. You can see why I am backing the hosts for the win and cover in this one! 10* ATLANTA -5 |
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04-13-22 | A's v. Rays -1.5 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 44 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Game of the Week Wednesday 10* Top Play Tampa Bay Rays Run Line -1.5 +120 vs Oakland A's @ 6:40 ET - Many books, including the BIG ones here in Vegas where I live will NOT even let you list pitchers on a game. My preference is that for sure. In other words, try to always place your wagers at books that are all action whether money line, run line, or total. My write-ups often include information about the scheduled pitchers but, the fact is my plays are based on much more than just the starting pitchers. The A's lost by just a single run yesterday but I sense a blowout here. Last season Oakland went 30-51 against teams with a winning record. The Rays last season went 52-20 against teams with a losing record. TB generally does not falter against bad teams and Oakland is going to be down this season and I look for Mcclanahan to dominate the Athletics in this one. The A's are expected to start Montas and he normally is solid but he struggled against the Phillies in his first start. Considering how Philadelphia has struggled at the plate so far this season that is a bad sign for Montas. Now he faces a TB team that is 4-1 so far this season and has scored an average of 6 runs per game last 4 games. No matter who is on the mound as starting pitchers in this one, Tampa is the better team with the better overall team including lineup and bullpen. Look for a strong home win by 2 or more runs in this one. 10* TAMPA BAY -1.5 +120 |
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04-12-22 | Flyers +1.5 v. Capitals | Top | 2-9 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 24 m | Show |
NHL ESPN Blowout Tuesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers Puck Line +1.5 goals -105 @ Washington Capitals @ 7:05 - The ability to get the full goal and a half with a scrappy Flyers team playing without any pressure and with Bobby Brink now added to the roster is too much to pass up on here. The Capitals are a rival of Philly and Washington is the team that still has not clinched a playoff spot. Yes the Caps are as good as in but they have not clinched so the pressure on them to perform here while game means nothing to Philly in the standings and they will simply go hard and look to be a spoiler. Though Washington has won 3 in a row, they have lost 20 of 38 games on home ice this season. All kidding aside, they might wish this game was in Philly! Also though the Capitals have won 12 of 20, the 18 games before B2B multi-goal wins featured only THREE wins by a multi-goal margin in an 18-GAME stretch! There is a lot of value with the puck line here as Flyers angry off a horrible performance in a 5-3 loss to Anaheim in which they blew a 2-0 lead after one period. It was the first time this season the Ducks won a game in which they trailed by a 2-goal margin. In the past two months dating back to mid-February, only 2 times have the Flyers lost consecutive games by a multi-goal margin. They bounce back here against the rival Capitals for at least the puck line cover. 10* PHILADELPHIA +1.5 goals |
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04-12-22 | Sabres v. Maple Leafs OVER 7 | Top | 5-2 | Push | 0 | 8 h 5 m | Show |
NHL Atlantic Div Total of the Month Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 7 in Toronto Maple Leafs vs Buffalo Sabres @ 7:05 ET - Toronto out for revenge from a 5-2 loss at Buffalo last month. Since that defeat, the Maple Leafs have won 10 of 13 games and score an average of 4.4 goals per game. In this revenge spot the Leafs most certainly will not take their foot off the gas and I expect them to score plenty here. But Toronto also gives up goals in bunches and that is why 29 of 39 Maple Leafs games totaled at least 7 goals prior to Saturday's 3-2 win over Montreal. The Sabres are off a 5-0 loss to a determined Tampa Bay team as Buffalo continues to struggle defensively and with goaltending. However, the goose egg on the board for the Sabres has certainly not been the norm of late. Buffalo actually average scoring nearly 4 goals per game in their 9 games before that shutout loss. In fact, Sabres 8 of 10 games before the loss to TB had totaled at least 7 goals and this one will too! 10* OVER 7 in Toronto |
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04-12-22 | Cavs +8.5 v. Nets | Top | 108-115 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Dominator Tuesday 10* Top Play Cleveland Cavaliers +8.5 @ Brooklyn Nets @ 7 ET - The Cavaliers are expected to again be without Allen but that is keeping this line higher than it should be. Mobley has returned from a recent 5-game absence and is coming off a double-double performance. Look for Mobley to continue to fill the shoes of Allen and look for he and Love to carry the load in this match-up. The Cavs might fall short on the scoreboard but only by a bucket or two in my opinion. In the 118-107 loss at Brooklyn last week, the Cavaliers actually led that game by 5 heading to the 4th quarter after trailing by 15 after 1 quarter of play. Now it is payback time when it matters most after the Cavs were done in by a poor 4th quarter last week against the Nets. 10* CLEVELAND +8.5 |
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04-11-22 | Jets v. Canadiens OVER 6.5 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 39 m | Show |
NHL Network Rout Monday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Montreal Canadiens vs Winnipeg Jets @ 7:05 ET - Jets in a back to back spot and off a 4-3 win at Ottawa last night. Look for at least 7 goals in their game again tonight. Here is an updated excerpt from yesterday's write-up on the Winnipeg Over: Consider that the Jets road games have been higher scoring and perhaps they feel a little less pressure not being in front of their home fans. 7 of the last 9 Winnipeg road games have totaled 7 or more goals. In fact those 7 games averaged 8 goals per game! As for the Canadiens, they are off a 3-2 loss in which the game totaled just 5 goals scored but this followed a stretch in which 4 of 5 Montreal games totaled at least 9 goals! That loss was on the road but now they are back on home ice where 12 of last 18 Habs games have totaled 7 or more goals! Look for another wild one here as Jets fighting hard to stay alive in playoff race but Canadiens would love to play role of spoiler and the B2B spot for Winnipeg takes on toll on their defensemen and goaltending for this one. 10* OVER 6.5 in Montreal |
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04-10-22 | Jets v. Senators OVER 6 | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 29 m | Show |
NHL Contrarian Crusher Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 6 in Ottawa Senators vs Winnipeg Jets @ 7:35 ET - This is a contrarian play because many will look at this match-up and see a Senators team that has had a bad season and scored just 1 goal in most recent game and they will also see a Jets team that is battling hard to stay relevant in the playoff picture and has been involved in lower scoring games recently. The way I see this one playing out is a huge push from Winnipeg but also seeing Ottawa respond well because they are on home ice. Consider that the Jets road games have been higher scoring and perhaps they feel a little less pressure not being in front of their home fans. 6 of the last 8 Winnipeg road games have totaled 7 or more goals. In fact those 6 games averaged 8.5 goals per game! As for the Sens, they are off B2B losses in which they totaled just 3 goals scored but this followed a stretch in which 5 of 6 Ottawa games totaled at least 7 goals. Those 6 games averaged 7 goals and I look for this one to get to at least that mark as well! 10* OVER 6 in Ottawa |
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04-10-22 | Pistons +12.5 v. 76ers | Top | 106-118 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show |
NBA PA Dominator Sunday 10* Top Play Detroit Pistons +12.5 @ Philadelphia 76ers @ 7:10 ET - We had a tough loss with Philly yesterday when they dribbled out the shot clock late for a 24 second violation intentionally because they led the game by 16 points at the time and then the Pacers subsequently jacked up a 3 and hit it with just few seconds left on clock. Indiana then only lost by 13 and Philly was a 13.5 or 14 point favorite when we released that selection. Tough beat but now the situation Sunday is much different and favors the big dog strongly in my opinion. The Sixers need to stay healthy going into post-season. Yes their big guns are likely to see plenty of floor time here but not into the latter portion of the game if 76ers have a big lead. Also, the Pistons are off B2B ugly losses but had been one of the best ATS teams around for many weeks before those two big defeats. Dating back to March 1st, Pistons were on a 13-3 ATS run before the losses to Mavericks and Bucks. The Sixers know Boston is likely to also win Sunday and that means Philly is likely locked into the #4 seed and facing Toronto in first round. That said, giving too much effort here and ending up getting somebody hurt would be the worst thing the 76ers could do heading into the playoffs. Grab all the points you can and look for the Pistons to hang around throughout this contest! 10* DETROIT +12.5 |
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04-10-22 | Astros v. Angels OVER 9.5 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 51 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Total of the Week Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 9.5 in Los Angeles Angels vs Houston Astros @ 4:07 ET - Many books, including the BIG ones here in Vegas where I live will NOT even let you list pitchers on a game. My preference is that for sure. In other words, try to always place your wagers at books that are all action whether money line, run line, or total. I will talk about the scheduled pitchers but, the fact is my plays are based on much more than just the pitchers. Two low-scoring grinders in this series including Saturday's pitchers duel but in between was a wild 13-6 Astros win. Scoring is down early this season as is so often the case as it takes awhile for the bats to wake up and weather can be bad in some MLB cities. However, weather will be just fine in Anaheim and this total was set as high as a 10 in some books with good reason. Urquidy scheduled to start for Astros here and he got roughed up in his last September start in Anaheim and this Angels team certainly has a potent lineup. LA starts Suarez here and his team is 1-4 in his career starts against the Astros which comes as no surprise given his 5.95 ERA and 1.83 WHIP in starts against Houston in his career. 4th straight game for these teams against each other to open the season so they are familiar with the relievers too and the bats are going to be the story this afternoon like they were on Friday. 10* OVER 9.5 in LA Angels |
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04-10-22 | Predators v. Penguins OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -101 | 4 h 25 m | Show |
NHL TNT Annihilation Sunday 9* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Pittsburgh Penguins vs Nashville Predators @ 4:05 ET - Both teams in a back to back. Both teams off losses. The Pens off a 6-3 defeat and there were a TON of missed opportunities and shots off iron in the Preds 4-1 home loss to Florida yesterday. That game, just like Pittsburgh's game did, could have easily also totaled 9 goals. That said, I feel we do have some solid line value here with the over as the B2B situation tends to be tough on a teams defensemen plus it taxes the goaltending situation. Look for plenty of goals here in this one as both teams push hard to bounce back off losses as this game important to each. Playoff implications for Nashville and playoff seeding for the Penguins. 9* OVER 6.5 in Pittsburgh |
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04-10-22 | Liverpool +0.5 v. Manchester City | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 36 m | Show |
EPL USA Network Rout Sunday 9* Top Play Liverpool +1/2 goal -120 @ Manchester City @ 11:30 AM ET - Very short write-up here. There is no way to bash Manchester City of course. This a match-up of the top two clubs in the league. What I like about the dog here though is the fantastic price. In fact, I almost took Liverpool in the +250 range on the money line but instead we'll go ahead and utilize the goal line here and grab the +1/2 goal at a -120 price range on the underdog here. Liverpool has been the hottest team in the league. Yes, Manchester City is having a great season but they are at home here and all the pressure is on them and the road dogs come in playing with a ton of confidence as they have just looked so strong for months now! 9* Liverpool +1/2 goal -120 |
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04-10-22 | Crystal Palace v. Leicester OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 34 m | Show |
EPL Earliest Cash Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Leicester vs Crystal Palace @ 9 AM ET - Leicester will do some damage here at home. Crystal Palace has been red hot so being on the road is not going to phase them at all. The visitors enter this match having scored at least 2 goals in 4 of last 5 matches across all competitions. Crystal Palace off B2B wins in which they have scored a total of 7 goals. Leicester will put up a fight here at home and that means plenty of goals in this one. The hosts off a scoreless draw in UEFA Europa Conference League competition but this followed a long-term run of 13 matches across all competitions averaging 3 goals apiece. I see at least a 2-1 final in this one as both teams hungry for the full 3 points in the table and neither club likely to deliver a clean sheet. So this one sees each club score at least once and a 2-1 final at the very least as these clubs tightly packed in the table and don't want to settle for a draw here. Quite a wide open match in this one as a result. 10* OVER 2.5 in Leicester |
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04-09-22 | Ducks v. Flyers -108 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 6 m | Show |
NHL PA Dominator Saturday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers Money Line -105 vs Anaheim Ducks @ 7:35 ET - The Flyers have won 2 of 3 games but they had a home loss in there. That was their 2nd straight home loss but this followed a stretch of 4 wins in last 5 games on home ice for Philadelphia. Unlike the Ducks, the Flyers are still playing with a lot of heart and passion here late in the season. That said, Philly is offering a lot of line value here at home at a pick'em price. With both these clubs being non-playoff teams this game is off the radar of most bettors but sometimes these hidden games are actually hidden gems offering the best line value late in a season. That is absolutely my strong sense here and I expect Philly to get it done on home ice in a big way in this one. Note that the Ducks have lost 13 of 14 games! This is excellent line value in a spot where Anaheim should be faded. By the way 6 of last 8 losses for Ducks were by a multi-goal margin. They simply are not playing that well right now and the Flyers have been looking better in recent games and take advantage of home ice here too. 10* PHILADELPHIA -105 |
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04-09-22 | Panthers v. Predators OVER 7 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 53 m | Show |
NHL Annihilation Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 7 in Nashville Predators vs Florida Panthers @ 6:05 ET - Yesterday the Panthers were in Buffalo and the game was 3-3 entering the 3rd period and was also an over 7 and, miraculously, the over ended up a push in a 4-3 Florida win. Over players can get the win they deserved yesterday by again backing the over in this one today! The Panthers are the highest scoring team in the NHL and continue to pile up goals. Their speed will create problems for the Predators in what is a tougher game today at Nashville but don't be surprised if the Preds pile up goals too as the Panthers struggle defensively and in goal in this back to back spot after the hard-fought win last night. So the point is that both teams are in a spot that favors an over too. Nashville was off yesterday so they are rested here and, prior to the 3-2 Preds win Thursday over Ottawa, 10 of last 12 Predators games had totaled 7 or more goals. The Panthers 8 of last 9 games have totaled at least 7 goals. More of the same expected here. 10* OVER 7 in Nashville |
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04-09-22 | A's v. Phillies -1.5 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 14 m | Show |
MLB Daytime Dominator Saturday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Run Line -1.5 runs -105 vs Oakland A's @ 4:05 ET - Many books, including the BIG ones here in Vegas where I live will NOT even let you list pitchers on a game. My preference is that for sure. In other words, try to always place your wagers at books that are all action whether money line, run line, or total. I will talk about the scheduled pitchers but, the fact is my plays are based on much more than just the pitchers. In this case, Kyle Gibson starts for Phillies and last year he split his time with Texas and Philly and went a rock solid 7-3 with a 2.81 ERA in home games and a superb 4-1 with a 2.77 ERA in day games. In his starts at Citizens Bank Park he dominated in terms of hits allowed except for one bad start versus the ultra-potent Dodgers. In his other 5 starts at CBP he allowed just 15 hits in 23 innings! Now he faces an Oakland team that only had 6 hits yesterday and were it not for a 3-run bomb, would have had a very dismal effort at the plate yesterday. This A's team is just not very good and now former Phillie Cole Irvin is scheduled to take the mound for the Athletics. He led the American League in losses last season with 15! No disrespect as he is a solid young arm but I expect him to struggle here as he tries to overdo it against his former team and this Phillies lineup is stacked as they showed yesterday in the 9-5 win. The Phillies do have a lot of lefty lumber but the lefty Irvin actually hit just as hard by lefties as righties last year. Also, Oakland was very bad last season against teams with a winning record and this A's team is nowhere close to the level of last year's team so this looks like another ugly road loss for them and we'll take the run line this team with Philly as the money line just too high today in the -200 range. But Phils should win big again! 10* PHILADELPHIA -1.5 runs -105 |
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04-09-22 | Pacers v. 76ers -13.5 | Top | 120-133 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 5 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Dominator Saturday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -13.5 vs Indiana Pacers @ 1:10 ET - Normally I do not lay big points but this is a rare exception. I love this spot for the Sixers. I successfully played against the 76ers with the Raptors on Thursday. But that situation was different as Philly was on the road and Toronto wanted that game just as bad as they did. Now the Sixers are back home where they won their most recent game by 30 points over a Charlotte team that is certainly better than this short-handed Pacers team. Indiana has been dealing with a myriad of injuries and they have lost 8 straight games! They are simply playing out the string on a disappointing season and here they run into a motivated Philly team that had won 3 straight before the loss at Toronto. The Pacers last 7 losses by an average margin of 15 points and I expect this one to be by 20+ as an angry 76ers team at home will show no mercy here. 10* PHILADELPHIA -13.5 |
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04-09-22 | Tottenham Hotspur v. Aston Villa OVER 2.5 | Top | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 4 h 11 m | Show |
EPL Total of the Week Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Aston Villa vs Tottenham @ 12:30 ET - This is another pick where we are using logic to arrive at a wagering decision. There are 20 teams in the premier league. They are all sitting around the 30-match mark in term of matches played this season. The lowest number of draws clubs have had on the season is 3 and there are only 3 clubs like that and 2 of them are matched up right here Saturday. The point is that with just 3 draws in 30 matches for both Tottenham and Aston Villa these clubs have absolutely shown a propensity for avoiding draws. That said, if you think each club will also get at least 1 goal - and most certainly that should be expected - then with logic we know the odds are in our favor for at least a 2-1 final here as both clubs want the full 3 points in the table here and do not want to settle for a sharing of the spoils! 4 of Aston Villa's last 5 matches have totaled at least 3 goals. Tottenham, in premier league matches, have seen 5 of their last 6 total at least 4 goals! In fact, they have scored an average of 3.5 goals in those 6 matches so they are in top form right now to say the least. As a result, look for this one to soar over the total as well. 10* OVER 2.5 in Aston Villa |
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04-08-22 | Wild v. Blues OVER 6 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 2 m | Show |
NHL Annihilation Friday 10* Top Play OVER 6 in St Louis Blues vs Minnesota Wild @ 8:05 ET - This is a big battle for playoff positioning in the Central Division so defense and goaltending will be important. However, both these teams have been more offensively-driven this season and I expect plenty of goals in a fierce battle. Note that 6 of the last 8 meetings have totaled 7 or more goals and 4 of those 6 totaled at least 9 goals! In other words these are not just sneaking over the totals, they are crushing it. So the recent history between these teams bodes well for an over and, also, the Blues have won 5 of 6 games and have scored an average of 4.7 goals per game during this stretch. St Louis is off a 4-1 win that stayed under the total but this was preceded by 11 of 13 Blues games totaling at least 7 goals. Minnesota has played lower scoring games of late but is off a 6-2 loss at Nashville in which Fleury finally faltered in a Wild uniform after a good couple starts to begin his Minny tenure. Talbot expected to start here and he is off a strong start at Washington. However, prior to that he allowed an average of 4 goals per game in last 8 road starts including 4 or more in each of 4 preceding road starts and all 4 of those non-playoff teams! In other words, he will have his hands full trying to stop the Blues here but I do look for the Wild to have some success getting pucks past Husso. The STL netminder is off B2B strong starts against non-playoff teams but has definitely had some struggles against quality foes in recent starts before that with 4 or more allowed against Calgary, Carolina, Columbus, and Nashville. All those efforts since mid-March too. Look for a "Wild" one here! 10* OVER 6 in St Louis |
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04-08-22 | Knicks v. Wizards OVER 222.5 | Top | 114-92 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 14 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Dominator Friday 10* Top Play OVER 222.5 in Washington Wizards vs New York Knicks @ 7:10 ET - The Wizards home finale and this is a team that has played with a lot of energy at home for quite some time now. It is still a bad team defensively but, without a doubt, Washington can put up big points! The O/U is 8-1 in the 9 home games the Wiz have had since March 1st. The Knicks are more of a defensive-minded slow-paced team but lets take this game for what it is. This is clearly a late-season match-up between two teams just playing out the string on the season and the Knicks will simply run right along with the Wizards. I simply do not expect a lot of defense to be played here. The Knicks have averaged 113 points the last 3 times they were off a game in which they were held under 105 and they just were held to 98 by Brooklyn - a playoff team. Last game against a non-playoff team, New York exploded for 118 points. Couple that with the fact Wizards have been scoring like crazy at home and you can see where I am going with this one. 10* OVER 222.5 in Washington |
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04-08-22 | Wolverhampton Wanderers v. Newcastle United OVER 2 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -119 | 3 h 49 m | Show |
EPL Day Game Rout Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in Newcastle United vs Wolverhampton @ 3 ET - I fully realize Wolverhampton matches averaging just 2 goals apiece this season. However, the Wolves are one of the best road clubs in the league and have already won 8 matches on enemy turf this season! Of course to win you have to score! That said, I do look for them to find the back of the net at least once. But note that Newcastle has lost only 4 of 14 matches on their home pitch this season. Newcastle's home matches have averaged 3 goals apiece this season. I am looking for a 2-1 final at the very least here. Keep in mind we have the added cushion since this total has dropped to 2 goals in that even just getting this match to 1-1 or 2-0 gets us a push. These clubs had a 2-1 final in the reverse fixture earlier this season and also that was preceded by 5 straight 1-1 draws in the 5 meetings between these teams preceding that one. The hosts have conceded at least one goal in 5 straight matches overall and are coming off a 5-1 loss. The visitors have scored an average of 2.2 goals last 4 matches and 7 of their last 9 matches have totaled at least 2 goals. I love the line value here. 10* OVER 2 in Newcastle United |
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04-07-22 | Seattle Kraken v. Blackhawks OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 25 m | Show |
NHL Annihilation Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Chicago Blackhawks vs Seattle Kraken @ 8:35 ET - The Kraken are in a B2B spot here and they scored a measly 1 goal last night. Seattle will bounce back and score more at Chicago but they will not be able to stop the Blackhawks. Entering yesterday (4-1 loss at St Louis) the Kraken had trended toward higher-scoring games the past 5 weeks. Seattle had one 3-0 loss during this stretch but in the other 13 games since then they had gone 6-6-1 and the games averaged 6.5 goals per game. So after yesterday's game stayed under, look for things to return to normal for Seattle here. Note that Chicago is off a 3-2 OT loss to Arizona and that was on home ice! The Blackhawks will be angry to respond big here and will take advantage of tired Seattle defensemen and a Kraken team known for shaky goaltending in a back to back. Chicago, prior to the 3-2 OT loss to the Coyotes, had seen 13 of 18 games total 7 or more goals and I fully expect this one will too. 10* OVER 6.5 in Chicago |
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04-07-22 | Mets -115 v. Nationals | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 17 m | Show |
*action on pitchers* MLB Opening Day Dominator Thursday 10* Top Play New York Mets Money Line -115 @ Washington Nationals @ 7:05 ET - Great line value here as the Mets are on the road so we get a better price. Also, New York is expected to use 2nd-year big leaguer Tyler Megill as their starting pitcher for this one and that is keeping the line down. Patrick Corbin expected to start for the Nationals and he is coming off a rough season that was even rougher in home games and rougher in night games. His ERA was north of 6.00 in both those scenarios and, of course, both are in play tonight. No matter who the starting pitchers are, the Mets are the better overall team with the better lineup and the better bullpen. Yes they struggled on the road last season but I am sure that is going to prove to be an aberration and this quality team bounces back overall with a better road record this season. As for the Nationals, they lost nearly 100 games last season and what have they done to improve for last year? Exactly! Not enough! I love fading line moves and this one has come down from the -135 range to the -115 range. Great value here. 10* NEW YORK METS -115 |
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04-07-22 | 76ers v. Raptors +1.5 | Top | 114-119 | Win | 100 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
NBA Early Dominator Thursday 10* Top Play Toronto Raptors +1.5 vs Philadelphia 76ers @ 7:30 ET - Long-time followers know I love fading line moves and this one has moved a full 5 points as yesterday it opened up with the Raptors at -3.5 and now the 76ers are at -1.5 this morning. This game has importance for both teams in the playoff picture so lets dive into some other factors I like a lot here. The 76ers have won 3 straight games but are on a 1-7-1 ATS run against the closing number last 9 road games. The Raptors are off a win and are fantastic 12-3 SU last 15 games. Toronto is 5-1 SU L6 home games. The Raptors have covered 4 of last 5 games as a host to the Sixers. For all the hype Philly has had because of the big move for Harden, this is a team that has covered only 5 of its last 18 games. I know the spread here is very small but even SU Philadelphia was on a 7-7 SU run before this little 3-game winning streak they are currently on. These teams could meet in the playoffs and I look for the Raptors to make a statement about that on their home floor tonight. 10* TORONTO +1.5 |
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04-07-22 | Penguins v. Rangers -104 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 48 m | Show |
NHL Contrarian Crusher Thursday 10* Top Play New York Rangers Money Line -105 vs Pittsburgh Penguins @ 7:05 ET - The NHL is not as popular for sports betting as NFL, NBA, and even MLB. However, just as in those sports there are "public teams" when it comes to betting. Just like the Cowboys in the NFL or the Lakers in the NBA or the Yankees in MLB, the Penguins in the NHL tend to be one of the more heavily bet teams. This to me is a classic value spot as a result of that. The Rangers opened up as a -120 favorite and now the line has moved to a pick'em and even to the point of the Penguins being a -115 favorite in some spots. The Pens are certainly a quality team but so too are the Rangers and they are on home ice for this one. For those of you that like trends, the Rangers have not had a standalone win since January 8th. In other words, a New York win when coming off a loss usually leads to a win streak of at least 2 games. The Rangers bounced back from a SO loss to the Flyers Sunday by notching a 3-1 win over the Devils Tuesday. They will make it 2 straight wins here! 10* NEW YORK RANGERS -105 |
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04-06-22 | Lightning v. Capitals +135 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 135 | 8 h 55 m | Show |
NHL Contrarian Crusher Wednesday 10* Top Play Washington Capitals Money Line +135 vs Tampa Bay Lightning @ 7:35 ET - These clubs have met twice this season and the Bolts took both games but each by just a single goal including an OT win here in DC very early this season. The Caps outshot TB in both games and it is time for some payback here. The Capitals have not won a game since March 26th but they enter tonight having played only 2 games since then. In other words, this Washington team is rested and ready and angry! I know that the Caps have struggled recently but so too has Tampa Bay. That said, this play is all about the value. The whole world is seeming to line up on the Lightning here but that gives us a great price on a home dog that is going to come out firing on all cylinders in this game in my opinion. Note that Tampa is off B2B losses and playing 4th game in 6 days. Yes the Lightning were off yesterday but this is still a tough spot for them and they are on enemy ice and facing an angry foe. 10* WASHINGTON +135 |
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04-06-22 | Red Wings v. Jets OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 34 m | Show |
NHL Total of the Week Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 +105 in Winnipeg Jets vs Detroit Red Wings @ 7:35 ET - The Jets tend to play lower-scoring games at times but the young, scrappy Red Wings are going to push the pace in this game and help it to play out as a high-scoring game. Plus Winnipeg's goaltending has been a bit up and down of late to say the least. Note that the Jets had seen 12 of 18 games total at least 7 goals prior to a 3-2 loss to Los Angeles Saturday. Winnipeg has had a few days to think about the opportunity they let slip away in that game against the Kings so I also feel sure they will be more aggressive here in the offensive zone against Detroit. The Red Wings have seen 7 of last 8 games total at least 7 goals and I fully expect another wild one here. Detroit is off a 5-3 upset win over the Bruins which will give them some confidence heading into this one and I expect them to score well here as a result but they will not be able to stop the Jets. Prior to the win over Boston, the Red Wings lost 7 of 8 games and allowed an average of 5 goals per game during this stretch! 10* OVER 6.5 +105 in Winnipeg |
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04-06-22 | Mavs v. Pistons +8.5 | Top | 131-113 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 5 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Cash Wednesday 10* Top Play Detroit Pistons +8.5 vs Dallas Mavericks @ 7:10 ET - The Mavericks need to win for playoff reasons. But just like we used the Wizards over the Timberwolves last night for another easy outright underdog win, we roll with the Pistons here. It is practically the same situation except even better because Detroit is at home for this one. But, just like Washington, the Pistons currently are playing some of their best basketball of the season because they are fully relaxed and any pressure to make the playoffs is long gone for them. Detroit enters this game having won 3 in a row SU and also 5 in a row ATS and, in fact, the Pistons are on an incredible 17-3 ATS run last 20 games. So you have a Mavs team that is certainly high-quality but on the road and playing with all the pressure to try and move up to the #3 seed or at least make sure they hang onto the #4 seed and Dallas has B2B home games coming up to close the season. If there was a spot for the Mavericks to get tripped up late this season, this is it. The Pistons confidence is very high right now with 3 straight wins, 2 on the road, and they also have home wins over Sixers and Hawks recently so it is not like these victories were only over chumps. The hosts will not necessarily win this game outright but I absolutely expect them to be in it all the way to the final buzzer and that means they lose this by a half dozen points or less if they even do fall short! 10* DETROIT +8.5 |
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04-06-22 | Everton v. Burnley OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 125 | 4 h 8 m | Show |
EPL Day Game Rout Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +135 in Burnley vs Everton @ 2:30 ET - Yes these are two of the lower-scoring clubs but they are battling it out at the bottom of the table and getting the full 3 points here with a win will be of the utmost importance. I also do not foresee either club getting a clean sheet here either. That means we should see at least a 2-1 final in this one. Note that Everton's road matches have averaged totaling 3 goals this season. Also, each of its last five road matches have seen them concede at least two goals! Burnley lost the first match-up with Everton this season by a final score of 3-1. The meeting prior to that was a 2-1 Burnley win. The hosts have allowed an average of 2.5 goals per match in their last 4 matches but they have been struggling to score goals. They will do better in the goal-scoring department here as they take advantage of a short-handed Everton club so look for at least a 2-1 final in this one given all of the above. 10* OVER 2.5 +135 in Burnley |
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04-05-22 | Wizards +12.5 v. Wolves | Top | 132-114 | Win | 100 | 9 h 27 m | Show |
NBA Dominator Game of the Week Tuesday 10* Top Play Washington Wizards +12.5 @ Minnesota Timberwolves @ 8:10 ET - The Wizards just got their doors blown off at Boston Sunday. However, these Wolves are not those Celtics! It is the perfect time to back a Washington team that entered Sunday having won 4 of 5 both SU and ATS. By the way, the Wizards also have won 3 in a row over Minnesota. All the pressure here is on the Timberwolves. With the Wiz eliminated from the post-season they have been playing without pressure and really were playing well before running into a Boston team that was determined to put on a killing display in their final regular season home game. The Wolves are coming off a 4-game road trip and have 2 more home games after this one to close out the regular season. All these factors make this the perfect spot to fade them. Yes I see Minny finding a way to win this game but I absolutely see this one being decided by single digits. That said, I also love the fact that the line has gone from 10.5 to 12.5 as of early Tuesday morning. Grab the extra value! 10* WASHINGTON +12.5 |
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04-05-22 | Blue Jackets v. Flyers -130 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -130 | 6 h 25 m | Show |
NHL Situational Slaughter Tuesday 9* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers Money Line -130 vs Columbus Blue Jackets @ 7:05 ET - The Blue Jackets gave a huge effort last night against the Bruins but ended up losing the game 3-2 in OT. After that very physical, grueling game against Boston, Columbus could quite possibly "mail it in" against the Flyers here. I look for Philadelphia to roll on home ice here given the huge situational edge. Philly is off a confidence-boosting road win over the Rangers Sunday. So they were resting yesterday for this one and they did lose most recent home game to Maple Leafs but this followed earning points in 5 straight games here! Indeed, Philly was on a 4-0-1 run in home ice games prior to the loss to Toronto. As for the Jackets, they have lost 7 straight games! 9* PHILADELPHIA -130 |
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04-05-22 | Senators v. Canadiens OVER 6 | Top | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 42 m | Show |
NHL Blowout Rout Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 6 in Montreal Canadiens vs Ottawa Senators @ 7:05 ET - These teams have both been trending toward higher scoring games and neither team has been getting stellar goaltending so another high-scoring game likely here. Both teams long gone from the playoff picture and can play loose, free-wheeling, pressure-free hockey here. Note that the Habs have allowed at least 4 goals in 3 straight games. The Canadiens have been scoring well too and that has played a key role in why 12 of their last 16 games have totaled 7 or more goals. Also, the posted total on this game is 6 goals and 2 of the only 4 games in that 16-game stretch that did not total at least 7 did total 6 goals! As for the Senators, they have seen 4 of their last 5 games total 7 or more goals. Also, Ottawa is off B2B wins so a team that is use to losing actually comes in with some extra confidence and you know Montreal will feel good too about having this match-up on their home ice. That said, look for plenty of scoring from both the Habs and Sens in this one! 10* OVER 6 in Montreal |
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04-04-22 | North Carolina +175 v. Kansas | Top | 69-72 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
NCAA Money Line Champ. Monday 10* Top Play North Carolina Tar Heels Money Line +175 vs Kansas Jayhawks @ 9:20 ET - Why the money line here? For one thing 4 points is not much. If I can only get a win ATS with a game landing on 1 or 2 or 3 why not give the risk for the extra payout! Particularly in this case because the line was in the 4.5 to 5 range yet has dropped to mostly a solid painted 4. At the same time though, the money line has actually crept a little higher. This is a heavily pubic wagered game but public bettors get nervous about laying points so many on Kansas roll in and load up on the money line. The result is even more value for sharps if you like the underdog and certainly I do here and we are able to get into the +175 range on this one which is huge. Keep in mind, Kansas faced a Villanova team without its 2nd leading scorer. After the huge 2nd half against Miami and then blowing out the Wildcats, the public is in love with the Jayhawks. I love being anti-public and I am happy to take a team that has won 11 of 12 games on a neutral floor and to be getting a +175 payback. Last year I won with Baylor +175 over Gonzaga in this spot. The world was on the Bulldogs there. Look for same thing this year and the underdog wins outright! 10* NORTH CAROLINA +175 |
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04-04-22 | Bruins v. Blue Jackets OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 59 m | Show |
NHL Blowout Rout Monday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Columbus Blue Jackets vs Boston Bruins @ 7:05 ET - The Blue Jackets are on home ice here so they certainly will put up a fight as they have double revenge against the Bruins from falling short in each of the two meetings this season including 5-2 at Boston Saturday. The issue for Columbus is they will be unable to stop the Bruins here and, so though they should put up a valiant effort, the Jackets ultimately lose a high-scoring battle. That is how I see this one playing out and, of course, that is why Boston is such a huge money line favorite here. Where we have the value here, in my opinion, is with the over. The Bruins have had 4 straight games total 7 or more goals and in fact these games have averaged 8.75 goals per game. The two games against Columbus have seen Boston and the Blue Jackets combine for an average of 7.5 goals in regulation time. The Jackets have had 21 of last 29 games total 7 or more goals! More of the same expected here. 10* OVER 6.5 in Columbus |
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04-04-22 | Arsenal v. Crystal Palace OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 115 | 5 h 25 m | Show |
EPL USA Network Rout Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +115 in Crystal Palace vs Arsenal @ 3 ET - Of course Arsenal is the favorite on enemy pitch here for a reason but, at the same time, I do not see a surging Crystal Palace team being held without a goal on their home pitch. In fact, the hosts could even score twice but lets say they score once but lose the match as forecast by odds makers. That still puts this one at least 2-1 as a final. As we dive into the numbers here, note that Palace is off a 4-0 win that was their 3rd win last 4 matches across all competitions. The only non-victory was a scoreless draw but that came against league-leading Manchester City! In each of the wins in this 4-match stretch, Crystal Palace has scored at least 2 goals in all 3 of them! As for Arsenal, they have won 4 of 5 matches - all in EPL matches - and the only defeat in this stretch was against a scorching hot Liverpool club. In the 4 victories, Arsenal has averaged scoring 2 goals per match! These clubs have met twice in the last 11 months and each match totaled 4 goals. We may not get to that lofty number here but I certainly do expect at least 3 goals in this one! 10* OVER 2.5 +115 in Crystal Palace |
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04-03-22 | Wild v. Capitals OVER 6 | Top | 5-1 | Push | 0 | 8 h 39 m | Show |
NHL Blowout Rout Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 6 in Washington Capitals vs Minnesota Wild @ 7:05 ET - Minnesota off a huge 3-1 win at Carolina as Fleury dominated between the pipes again. Talbot now gets the start after taking the loss in a 4-3 defeat in his last start. So this is a back to back for Minny and will Talbot be the same guy now that Fleury is in town and supplanting him as the #1 guy? Seems Talbot could be a little shaky now and the Wild are facing an angry Capitals team off a 6-1 loss. I am sure Washington is going to score well on home ice here. The issue for the Caps will be in trying to stop a solid Minnesota offense that has been piling up goals. As for the Capitals, they had won 9 of 12 before the loss and 11 of last 12 Washington games have totaled 7 or more goals! As for the Wild, their games have trended toward lower-scoring of late but they have been winning because they score enough to get the job done. Here if Minny gets to their typical 3 goals I absolutely expect the Caps to match them goal for goal and that sends this one over the total. Great situation with Wild in a B2B and Capitals off a rare ugly loss in which they scored only 1 goal and the Caps get their offense going again on home ice. 10* OVER 6 in Washington |
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04-03-22 | Islanders v. Devils OVER 5.5 | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 38 m | Show |
NHL Afternoon Annihilation Sunday 9* Top Play OVER 5.5 in New Jersey Devils vs New York Islanders @ 4:05 ET - The Devils off a 7-6 SO loss versus Panthers yesterday and this followed an 8-1 loss as pucks keep flying in the net in New Jersey games. NJ crazy high-scoring loss to Florida Saturday was the 17th time last 25 games in which a New Jersey game has totaled 7 or more goals. Now the Devils remain on home ice and catch Islanders off huge shutout win at the Rangers Friday. New Jersey will score some goals here again but the Devils problems will be at the other end of the ice in this one. NJ will be unable to stop a surging Islanders team that has won 3 straight games. The Isles have won 10 of 14 and higher-scoring games have been the norm of late for NYI. Prior to 3-0 win over the rival Rangers, the Islanders 10 of last 14 games totaled 6 or more goals and I fully expect this one will too as the Devils go hard to play the role of spoiler in this one. 9* OVER 5.5 in New Jersey |
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04-03-22 | Nuggets -2 v. Lakers | Top | 129-118 | Win | 100 | 7 h 40 m | Show |
NBA Dominator Game of the Week Sunday 10* Top Play Denver Nuggets -2 @ Los Angeles Lakers @ 3:40 ET - The Lakers are still a public team when it comes to betting and they also are a team desperate for wins right now to keep playoff hopes alive. Also, the Lakers are at home here and have revenge against a Nuggets team that blasted them by 37 points in first meeting this season. However, in spite of all that both James and Davis are banged up right now and the fact is the confidence of LA is shaken as their hopes of earning a play-in spot for the post-season are fading. The Nuggets fully capable of blasting this Lakers team and we get line value because Denver is on the road! That is keeping this line low and yet Denver actually has won 9 of last 10 road games! Each of last 7 road wins by 4 or more points and I expect this one will fall into that category as well! The Lakers have lost 27 of 37 games. Incredible value here in fading LA! Adding to the value is the fact the Nuggets are off a tight, high-scoring home loss to Minnesota Friday. 10* DENVER -2 |
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04-03-22 | Newcastle United v. Tottenham Hotspur OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 4 h 55 m | Show |
EPL Total of the Week Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Tottenham vs Newcastle @ 11:30 AM ET - Newcastle is off a loss but actually outplayed Everton. Newcastle lost 1-0 but won the possession battle and actually outshot Everton by a 2 to 1 ratio. It was a frustrating loss after a defeat by the same score against a powerful Chelsea club. That said, prior to the B2B defeats Newcastle had scored 2 goals in 3 straight matches - all were victories. The visitor in this one fully capable of putting a scare into a Tottenham club working hard for a top four spot in the table. That being said, I am expecting plenty of goals here. Tottenham has won 3 of last 4 matches and 3 of the 4 totaled at least 4 goals. Tottenham has averaged scoring 3 goals during this strong stretch of play. Newcastle scored a pair of goals in each of the 2021 meetings between these clubs and 3 of the last 4 meetings have totaled at least 4 goals. More of the same here. 10* OVER 2.5 in Tottenham |
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04-02-22 | Kings v. Jets -120 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
NHL Game of the Week Saturday 10* Top Play Winnipeg Jets Money Line -120 vs Los Angeles Kings @ 7:05 ET - Kings in a playoff spot and this game is important to them for sure but I feel we have excellent line value with the Jets given the situation here and the fact the hosts are desperate for points in the standings to keep their playoff hopes alive. Winnipeg is on home ice and off a bad 7-3 loss at Toronto. That is noteworthy because the Jets have not lost back to back games in 4 weeks. Winnipeg had won 9 of 12 before the ugly loss to the Maple Leafs and I expect them to bounce right back here. The situation is perfect because the Kings are off a tight road win at Calgary Thursday. Hellebuyck is likely to be back between the pipes for this one after Comrie started, and struggled, against the Leafs because it was the 2nd game of a B2B for Winnipeg. This situation much better for the Jets and note that Los Angeles has not won B2B games since early March. The Kings had lost 7 of 11 before the shootout win over the Flames. Perfect set up here. 10* WINNIPEG -120 |
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04-02-22 | Maple Leafs v. Flyers OVER 6.5 | Top | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 55 m | Show |
NHL Annihilation Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Philadelphia Flyers vs Toronto Maple Leafs @ 7:05 ET - The Maple Leafs are off a 7-3 win versus Winnipeg Thursday and are one of the highest scoring teams in the league. The Flyers continue playing competitive hockey and will put up a fight here on home ice. However, Philadelphia continues to struggle in the D zone and, when you add all this up, it equates to what should be a highly competitive and high-scoring battle. Toronto's last 35 games have seen 25 of them total 7 or more goals. We have solid line value with this total at a 6.5 as the Flyers are off a 4-1 loss at Minnesota Tuesday but had been involved in a stretch of high-scoring battles before that. Prior to the loss to the Wild, Philly's last 13 games had seen 9 of them total 7 or more goals. The Flyers most recent home game was a tight 2-1 win over the division rival Islanders but this was preceded by 4 of last 5 Philly games on home ice totaling at least 7 goals. In fact, those 4 games averaged 8 goals per game. Look for a wild one involving the Leafs in this one. 10* OVER 6.5 in Philadelphia |
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04-02-22 | Villanova +4.5 v. Kansas | Top | 65-81 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 36 m | Show |
NCAA Game of the Month Saturday 10* Top Play Villanova Wildcats +4.5 vs Kansas Jayhawks @ 6:09 ET - It is no surprise that the masses are lining up on Kansas here. The Jayhawks coming off that colossal 2nd half performance against Miami and they are the highest ranked team left in the tournament. Also, Villanova is without 2nd leading scorer Justin Moore after he got hurt at the end of the Michigan game. Well, as long-time followers know, I love being a contrarian and I am on the Wildcats here and with good reason. One of the keys is Caleb Daniels is the guy taking Moore's place in the lineup. He is from Louisiana. This game is at the Superdome in New Orleans. Daniels is back home again. In fact his college career started at Tulane. He is a redshirt senior and 22 years old. He has a lot of experience and has been the 6th man for Nova this season but will embrace his new starting role and, though his shooting stats were not good, he did score 12 of Villanova's 50 points in the win over Houston in the Elite 8 round to help the Cats to get here! Also, the Wildcats are known for a certain style and pedigree in College Basketball just like Kansas is. Well, through the years even though the players change it is still noteworthy how these two powerhouses have fared when matched up against each other because their style of play is often similar year to year. Well, the Wildcats are 7-1 ATS in last 8 meetings with Kansas and the Jayhawks have won only 3 of those 8 meetings SU. Look for Collin Gillespie and Daniels to have huge games and look for Kansas to struggle just to win this game let alone cover the spread in this one! 10* VILLANOVA +4.5 |
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04-02-22 | Hornets v. 76ers -5 | Top | 114-144 | Win | 100 | 4 h 58 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Dominator Saturday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -5 vs Charlotte Hornets @ 12:30 ET - The 76ers have lost 3 straight and the Hornets have been playing well so is it any surprise that a line that opened up as high as an 8 is down to a 5? Not really, no! But, in typical contrarian fashion I am going against the line move and grabbing the extra value here! The Sixers are very hungry and at home and they also have revenge here! After a long winning streak against Charlotte, Philadelphia got beat in mid-January by the Hornets in a rare double-digit home loss. Philly is out for revenge here and remember they were on a 30-11 run since Christmas before this current 3-game losing streak. Time for the 76ers to get back on track here and they will not be at home again until they wrap up the season here in Philly next weekend. So this game is ultra important for them and they catch the Hornets off a road win at New York. The set up is ideal for the hungry home team to do what the odds makers said they would do and yet what the betting markets are doubting here. Look for the Sixers to roll big at home. 10* PHILADELPHIA -5 |
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04-02-22 | Leicester v. Manchester United OVER 3 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 16 m | Show |
EPL USA Network Rout Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 3 in Manchester United vs Leicester @ 12:30 ET - Leicester is allowing an average of 2 goals per match on the road this season. They will struggle to slow the attack of Manchester United here. Leicester's last 10 matches across all competitions saw them on the wrong end of a clean sheet once but they scored an average of 2 goals per match in the other 9 matches! Indeed the visitor in this one is a solid scoring club that can also find the back of the net against the hosts in this one. Manchester United has seen one scoreless draw in their last four matches within Premier League action but the other 3 matches within league competition all totaled at least 5 goals! In those 3, they scored 8 times but also conceded 8 times. Look for a wild one at Old Trafford in this one Saturday! 10* OVER 3 goals in Manchester United |
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04-01-22 | Mavs v. Wizards +8.5 | Top | 103-135 | Win | 100 | 6 h 53 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Dominator Friday 10* Top Play Washington Wizards +8.5 vs Dallas Mavericks @ 7:10 ET - Interesting late-season match-up here because one has to wonder...does Dallas even know what it wants here? In actuality, the West is a jumbled mess from spots 3 through 6 in the playoff picture. So yes Dallas will want to win but it is not even as critical as you think just yet because there is so much uncertainty who will finish in the 5 and 6 spots and then of course that impacts the match-ups for the 3 and 4 spots. Conversely, the Wizards are eliminated from the playoff picture and playing loose, relaxed basketball as a result. That makes for a dangerous underdog the way I see it and note that Washington is 20-19 SU at home this season and in terms of current trending, the Wizards have covered 5 of last 7 games at home. In terms of all games, home and away, Washington is on a 3-1 SU/ATS run. Look for the Wizards to hang around in this game on their home floor. 10* WASHINGTON +8.5 |