Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-09-24 | Bruins v. Coyotes OVER 6 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
OVER 5.5 or 6 in Arizona Diamondbacks vs Boston Bruins @ 9 ET - The Bruins will be fired up here after a 4-3 loss in OT at Colorado last night. Arizona has struggled recently at home but that means they will also be ready to go here on home ice! They faced some really tough teams and struggled to find the back of the net but I feel the Bruins will prove susceptible in this one on defense in this back to back situation. The Coyotes have allowed 4.4 goals per game in their last 5 home games. 4 of the 5 did total at least 6 goals and I like the odds of that here as well. Boston has scored an average of 5 goals per game last 7 games. The Bruins have only had one strong game in terms of goals allowed in their last 6 games. In the other 5 games Boston allowed an average of 4 goals per game. Look for this one to total plenty of goals given the situation and I look for plenty of attacking from each club as they are each hungry to get back into the win column. OVER 5.5 or 6 in Arizona |
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01-09-24 | Grizzlies v. Mavs -8.5 | Top | 120-103 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 55 m | Show |
NBA Tuesday 10* Top Play Dallas Mavericks (-) vs Portland Trail Blazers @ 8:40 ET - The Mavericks are laying about 8.5 points here as of 10 hours before game time. This is a great value considering the Mavs are rolling and now the Grizzlies just lost Morant for the rest of the season. This is the final match-up between these divisional foes these season. Shockingly, the road team has taken all 3 so far but this one is an entirely different situation with the Mavericks on a power surge and also able to take advantage of a short-handed Memphis team. Dallas has won 3 straight games and Memphis is off B2B wins but is still 10 games below .500 on the season! They really have struggled when Morant has not been available and now that is the case again here and the Grizzlies are 6-3 with Morant this season and went 7-20 without him! Mavs roll huge at home. 10* DALLAS (-) |
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01-09-24 | Oilers v. Blackhawks OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 7 m | Show |
OVER 6.5 in Chicago Blackhawks vs Edmonton Oilers @ 8:37 ET - The Blackhawks do tend to score better at home. Even though they lost Bedard to injury, they scored 2 goals in that loss and that followed that up with a 4-3 win in their first game without him after that defeat in which he got injured. They will push hard here at home and, historically, the Oilers are known for slipups in games like this in which they could look right past a bad team like Chicago. So some goals will be conceded here but ultimately Edmonton - one of the highest scoring teams in the league season after season in recent years - will prove to be too much in the offensive zone. They allowed at least 4 goals in 10 of last 13 games before the 4-3 win. Edmonton has scored an average of nearly 5 goals per game in their 7-game winning streak. So look for a 5-3 type game here and we only need 7 to be a winner. OVER 6.5 in Chicago |
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01-09-24 | Kansas State -120 v. West Virginia | Top | 81-67 | Win | 100 | 7 h 55 m | Show |
Big 12: Rotation #607: CBB Tuesday 10* Top Play Kansas State Wildcats (-) @ West Virginia Mountaineers @ 7 ET - Line value here with this line as low as -1.5 plus there are some pick'em -120 options out there on the money line. This is as of about 7 hours before tipoff. This is a revenge game for the Wildcats as they lost to the Mountaineers in the regular season finale last year. At the time they had a chance at a higher seed in the Big 12 tourney. They went on to lose in their first game of the Big 12 tourney. Here is their first shot at redemption against the Mountaineers and the Cats enter this game 11-1 SU in their last 12 games against unranked foes this season. West Virginia is having a much tougher time so far this season in comparison with Kansas State. The Mountaineers enter this game on a 3-8 run. West Virginia has a reputation of being a tough place play but they already have surprising losses this season with a loss to Radford plus losing by 17 to Pittsburgh here. They also lost to St John's and Monmouth here. This will be payback for the Wildcats and I like them in particular after the line has dropped on this one from its opener. 10* KANSAS STATE (-) |
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01-09-24 | Chelsea v. Middlesbrough OVER 3 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 58 m | Show |
Rotation #200601: EFL Cup Semi-Finals: Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 3 +105 in Middlesbrough vs Chelsea @ 3 ET - Middlesbrough has allowed 2 goals per match last 5 meetings with Chelsea. Also, Chelsea is now an ever more aggressive club since the manager change. They have averaged 2.2 goals last 6 matches and they will want to get a big edge on Middlesbrough in the first leg of this two-leg match-up. Chelsea off a 4-0 win but, prior to this, allowed at least 1 goal in 4 straight matches and gave up an average of 1.5 goals in these 4 matches! Middlesbrough enters this one off a 1-0 loss but this was preceded by them averaging 1.8 goals per match last 11 matches. I look for them to get on the board here given all of the above but, of course, they can not stop Chelsea either and this one looks like a 3-2 or 3-1 type final. Like the value of the plus money in this one at over 3 goals and we'll jump on it. 10* OVER 3 +105 in Middlesbrough |
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01-09-24 | Bologna v. Fiorentina OVER 2 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 44 m | Show |
Rotation #201691: Coppa Italia: Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2 -120 in Fiorentina vs Bologna @ 3 ET - These Coppa Italia meetings can play out differently but 4 of the last 5 meetings, including 3 in a row, between these clubs in Serie A have totaled at least 3 goals. Even though Fiorentina is known for lower-scoring matches, I like them to make the net ripple at least once here at home in this one. However, Bologna has the stronger attacking firepower and will be up for the challenge as well. Bologna has seen 13 of last 15 matches total at least 2 goals and that is the posted total on this match which is a solid value. They have scored an average of 1.6 goals in these 15 matches. I am looking for a 2-1 type battle here and we have the added value of the low total here. 10* OVER 2 -120 in Fiorentina |
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01-08-24 | Washington +5 v. Michigan | Top | 13-34 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 57 m | Show |
CFB Championship Game Monday 10* Top Play Washington Huskies (+) vs Michigan Wolverines @ 7:30 ET - Wow! A pair of 14-0 teams matched up for the Championship Game! The Wolverines and Huskies are both 14-0 now this season. The Wolverines have a great defense but I don't see them shutting down this ultra talented Washington offense. At the same time, the defense of Huskies is NOT their strength yet they have stepped up as needed throughout this season including last week against Texas. Here they do it again and get enough stops to let their offense do the rest to get the outright win in my opinion. We will grab the points just in case but I really do not expect to need them. Currently this line as high as a 5 as of very early game day morning which is a huge value. Alabama, who many felt should not have even made the CFB playoffs, should have beaten Michigan last week no questions asked. Conversely, the Huskies beat a Longhorns team quite handily last week that is the same Texas team that beat the Crimson Tide earlier this season. The point is that all of the above means Wolverines a little overvalued here and Huskies a little undervalued. The value is with the dog in this one. The Huskies did play the tougher schedule this season in comparison with Michigan. Grab the points in this one and look for Pennix to have another massive game as his Huskies outduel McCarthy and the Wolverines in this one. The underdog just has too much offense. 10* WASHINGTON (+) |
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01-08-24 | Celtics v. Pacers +3.5 | Top | 131-133 | Win | 100 | 12 h 14 m | Show |
NBA Monday 10* Top Play Indiana Pacers (+) vs Boston Celtics @ 7:10 ET - The Celtics are dealing with a number of injury concerns entering this one. Boston just hammered the Pacers at Indiana Saturday but look at a key stat from that game and that tells you all you need to know here. The Celtics made 16 of 41 threes while the Pacers made just 8 of 42 threes. bey is very unusual for this high-scoring Indiana team and yet the Celtics won that game by only 17 points. That means if you back out the 24 point edge from beyond the arc, the Pacers win the game OUTRIGHT by 7 points! Considering this plus immediate revenge plus a 2nd chance at home against Boston plus all the Celtics injuries, the home team underdog looks like a great option here. The Pacers will be better on the boards in this one too. It was an all-around embarrassing effort so this is a great opportunity for immediate revenge and they will make the most of it! Grab the points - currently 3.5 as of early game day morning. 10* INDIANA (+) |
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01-08-24 | Penguins v. Flyers +113 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 46 m | Show |
NHL Monday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers Money Line +105 vs Pittsburgh Penguins @ 7:07 ET - The Penguins have lost 2 of 3 and allowed an average of 4 goals per game. The Flyers have already won both meetings with the Pens this season though it took extra time. Also, Philadelphia enters this game having allowed 2 or less goals in regulation time of 10 of last 15 games and allowed an average of only 1.4 goals in those 10 games. The Flyers are healthy right now and they are undervalued in this one based on home ice, solid goaltending of late, and they have added confidence of winning the first two meetings with the Pens this season. Pittsburgh is still a solid club but they are getting a little long in the tooth while the Flyers are up and coming team that is starting to jell. 10* PHILADELPHIA +105 |
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01-08-24 | Northeastern +3.5 v. Monmouth | Top | 62-81 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 7 m | Show |
Rotation #861: CBB Monday 10* Top Play Northeastern Huskies (+) @ Monmouth Hawks @ 7 ET - The Huskies are just 5-9 this season and the Hawks are 8-6 this season plus hosting this game! That being said, how is it that Monmouth is just a 2.5 to 3.5 point favorite in this one even on their home floor? Exactly! Do not let the line fool you! This one has trap written all over it and I expect Northeastern to roll here just like they did in last year's victory by a 15-point margin. The Huskies have played a tougher schedule than the Hawks so far in my opinion and that is part of the reason this game is priced this way. Again, do not let this line fool you. Grab the underdog here! 10* NORTHEASTERN (+) |
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01-08-24 | Manchester United v. Wigan Athletic OVER 3 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
Rotation #200529: English FA Cup: Monday 10* Top Play OVER 3 -105 in Wigan Athletic vs Manchester United @ 3:15 ET - This is a League One club hosting a Premier League club and I look for the hosts to make the net ripple at least once as they battle hard on their home pitch. However, the hosts will not be able to stop their more talented visitors and Man U has shown some signs of turning things around finally though off a loss in most recent match. Manchester United is a heavy favorite for a reason here and I expect them to explode for solid goal-scoring here. Due to their struggles overall, this competition has extra importance for Man U this season so they should have a strong focus for this match and field a strong lineup as well. The result should be at least a 3-1 final here and they have won 3 of the last 4 meetings with Wigan by a count of 4-0 and that will also serve our purposes here just fine as well. 10* OVER 3 -105 in Wigan Athletic |
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01-08-24 | Casa Pia v. Moreirense OVER 2.25 | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show |
Rotation #206769: Portugal Primeira Liga: Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2 -140 in Moreirense vs Casa Pia @ 3:15 ET - This total is available as low as 2 goals with juice on the over. Of course 2 is a key number in totals and I feel we have excellent value here in taking a shot on the over in this one. Casa Pia has seen their road matches averaged 3 goals apiece this season as they are are scoring 1.3 goals but allowing 1.5 goals when away from home. Moreirense has seen their home matches average 3 goals apiece as well and we just need 2 goals for a push but given the above numbers you can see why I am fully expecting 3 or more goals in this one. Moreirense had a 5-2 home win in most recent match as a host. Casa Pia's last 3 matches have all been 3-1 finals. More of the same expected here. 10* OVER 2 -140 in Moreirense |
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01-07-24 | Bills -2.5 v. Dolphins | Top | 21-14 | Win | 100 | 14 h 7 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play Buffalo Bills (-) @ Miami Dolphins @ 8:20 ET - The line is as low as a 2.5 on the Bills here as of early game day morning so it is go time with this one. Buffalo has won 4 straight games and has all the momentum. Not only have the Bills won 4 straight games, they also dominated the Dolphins in their meeting earlier this season. Miami also enters this game after having had their doors blown off by the Ravens last week. It sets up well for continued domination for the Bills in this one as they have won 9 of the last 10 meetings SU. Also, the Bills have a good recent history in the final game of the regular season as they are 5-1 ATS L6 and, with this one for the AFC East title, Buffalo will be fully prepared again. Against possible division winning teams, the Dolphins only have one win and that was against Dallas in a tight game recently. Their other games against these Bills, the Eagles, the Chiefs and the Ravens were all losses. Miami just not quite there yet in terms of their performance in the most pressure-packed games. This is another one here and the Bills have more experience in these types of affairs and that pays off here. 10* BUFFALO (-) |
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01-07-24 | Eagles -4 v. Giants | Top | 10-27 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 52 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Eagles (-) @ New York Giants @ 4:25 ET - Waiting has paid off here as we are now seeing the Eagles available as low as a -4 as of early gameday morning. This is an excellent line value as Philly is motivated to win for more reasons than one. Not only do they still have hopes of the Cowboys losing and opening the door for Eagles to win the division, they also just need to win to get back on track before the playoffs start. Remember they led Arizona 21-6 at the half in last week's loss. That's no excuse but is just a fact and they are capable of winning by a solid margin here against a Giants team they have beaten in 17 of the last 20 meetings. Keep in mind, both teams have struggled on defense this season but the Eagles have the much stronger attack on offense and I don't see New York as being able to keep up in this one. Prior to last week's 1-point loss, 9 of the Giants 10 losses this season have been by 5 or more points. 8 of the Eagles 11 wins this season have been by 5 or more points. The point is that with the drop on this line we now have solid line value here. If you expect the Eagles to win SU which logically most do, then you can also see that the odds favor that SU win also being an ATS cover. Lay it! 10* PHILADELPHIA (-) |
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01-07-24 | Cowboys v. Commanders +13 | Top | 38-10 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 27 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play Washington Commanders (+) vs Dallas Cowboys @ 4:25 ET - The Commanders are getting 13 points here and I feel strongly that it is just too much. I know Washington has struggled but Dallas is their biggest rival. If they can prevent the Cowboys from winning the division, they will certainly go hard in that endeavor. The key here is we don't need Washington to win this game outright to cash our ticket, we just need them to keep the game respectable and I fully expect them to do just that. Keep in mind, Dallas is just 2-5 SU last 7 road games and one of those was a win by just a 3-point margin. The Cowboys enter this game having failed to cover the spread in 4 of their last 5 games. Other than a blowout win over the Eagles, the Cowboys have allowed 27 ppg in their other 4 recent games. Sam Howell has had some big yardage numbers in his starts this season, including 300 against Dallas earlier this season, but he just needs to cut down on his mistakes. Look for Howell to make the most of his 2nd chance in a game that is the Commanders Super Bowl for this season. They will make the most of the chance and I look for this game to be tight throughout. Grab the big points. 10* WASHINGTON (+) |
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01-07-24 | Liverpool v. Arsenal OVER 3 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 27 m | Show |
Rotation #200525: English FA Cup: Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 3 +105 in Arsenal vs Liverpool @ 11:30 AM ET - Liverpool has scored an average of 3 goals in last 4 matches even though one of those was a 1-1 draw with Arsenal. Look for a different match this time around. We are seeing this total held at 3 goals in a lot of spots despite the Reds missing Mohamed Salah for this one. I feel we have strong value here as a result as the books are telling you they expect the same thing we do - plenty of goals - despite the absence of Salah. That said, also note that the two meetings before the 1-1 draw totaled 4 and 5 goals and I expect a similar result here. Others will up their game in the absence of Salah for the Reds and, at the same time, Arsenal will be tough on their home pitch as they enter this one off B2B losses and looking to bounce back strong. They will do so but Liverpool will match them goal for goal in what I anticipate being a 2-2 showdown. 10* OVER 3 +105 in Arsenal |
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01-07-24 | Blackpool v. Nottingham OVER 3 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 115 | 4 h 6 m | Show |
Rotation #200521: English FA Cup: Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 3 +115 in Nottingham Forest vs Blackpool @ 9 AM ET - Nottingham Forest has been a different club since the managerial change and each of their last 3 matches have totaled at least 3 goals and these matches averaged 4 goals apiece! Blackpool plays in English League One and they are outclassed here against a Premier League outfit. That said, they will be giving up goals here but I do expect them to find the back of the net as well. Blackpool is off a 2-0 win but, prior to this, 10 of last 11 matches totaled at least 3 goals! 10* OVER 3 +115 in Nottingham Forest |
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01-06-24 | Islanders v. Golden Knights OVER 6 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 35 m | Show |
NHL Saturday OVER 6 in Vegas Golden Knights vs New York Islanders @ 10:07 ET - This is a bounce back spot for the Knights on home ice. I know they have been struggling and I do not trust them based on their goalie situation but they should score goals here. The issue here is they continue to allow too any goals. The Golden Knights have allowed 4 goals per game last 11 games. The Islanders are off a 5-1 win at Arizona but this followed them allowing nearly 4 goals per game last 11 games as well. With VGK desperate to get back on track at home and the Isles off a confidence-boosting 5-1 win, the goals should fly in this one! 10* OVER 6 in Vegas |
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01-06-24 | Texans v. Colts +2.5 | Top | 23-19 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 11 m | Show |
NFL Saturday Indianapolis Colts (+) vs Houston Texans @ 8:15 ET - This line is mostly a 2 but has moved to as high as a 2.5 on the Texans as of about 9 hours before kickoff and that means it is go time with the Colts in this one! Indianapolis has won 6 of 8 games including 4 in a row in non-road games. 3 of those were at home and one was at Frankfurt. Some of their stats are ugly but, the fact is, Indy keeps finding a way. They have allowed only 15 ppg in those 4 victories. The Texans have not won B2B games since they strung together a 3-game winning streak that lasted until mid-November. Houston is 0-3 SU last 3 times they were off a win. CJ Stroud has been a solid QB for the Texans but his numbers are stronger at home than on the road. Overall, the Texans won their most recent road game in OT but had lost 4 of 6 away from home. The Colts home field edge is the difference maker in this key battle in the AFC South! 10* INDIANAPOLIS (+) |
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01-06-24 | Texas Tech +7 v. Texas | Top | 78-67 | Win | 100 | 6 h 56 m | Show |
Rotation #783: CBB Saturday Texas Tech (+) @ Texas @ 8 ET - This is a rivalry game. Last season the home team did win each game but both games were tight. With this one moving as high as a 7 as of 6 hours before tipoff, we have excellent value with the big dog here. UT is ranked and Texas Tech is not but the Red Raiders are off to a hot start this season with only 2 losses and one of those was in OT. They match up well with Texas and are fully capable of pushing Texas to the limit in this one. UT has played a weaker schedule recently and that could hurt them here. Keep in mind, they have not played as well against stronger teams this season. As a ranked team, all the pressuer ison the Horns here as well. Don't be surprised if they are pushed to the limit here and the Red Raiders take this one to the wire. Tech has some veteran leadership which helps in a tough Big 12 road game like this. The visitors will be ready. 10* Texas Tech (+) |
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01-06-24 | Jazz v. 76ers -11 | Top | 120-109 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 26 m | Show |
NBA Saturday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers (-) vs Utah Jazz @ 7:40 ET - The Sixers have some injury question marks but those are minor and don't be surprised if most, if not all, of those guys play in this one. Also, the Sixers are not just off a home loss, it was the worst loss of the season and it came right here in Philly. The 76ers next game is on the road so don't be surprised if they go all out here in this chance to get right back on track. The Sixers bounce back after almost every loss and the Jazz just got hammered at Boston. Yes, Utah wants to bounce back but they are still on the road. and a lot of their recent wins were over poor teams with bad records. Tonight they face an angry beast on the road and this one gets ugly. This is the type of situation where the Sixers will keep the pedal to the metal all game long! This line has dropped to the 11 range as of about 6.5 hours before tipoff. Lay it! 10* PHILADELPHIA (-) |
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01-06-24 | Steelers v. Ravens OVER 34 | Top | 17-10 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 37 m | Show |
NFL Saturday OVER the total in Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers @ 4:30 ET - Ravens already locked up a spot in the post-season including the #1 seed in the AFC so that means Huntley will be at QB instead of Jackson. However, Baltimore is known for playing well even in meaningless games as their preseason record under Harbaugh has shown for many years. Also, Huntley has plenty of NFL experience including as a starter so he could move this Ravens offense better than many might expect. Additionally, the Steelers offense has been better with Rudolph at QB. Of course the Ravens will want to prevent their long-time rival from earning a playoff berth so I am expecting a solid effort from them here but the Steelers are desperate and will pull out all the stops here - more passing than usual, trick plays, getting the ball downfield quickly, hurry-up offense, etc - and with the drop on this total all the way down to as low as 34 as of about 5 and 1/2 hours before game time, it is go time with this one! 10* OVER the total in Baltimore |
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01-06-24 | Real Madrid v. Arandina OVER 3.75 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 50 | 3 h 12 m | Show |
Rotation #202221: Copa del Rey: Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 3.5 -135 in Arandina vs Real Madrid @ 3:30 ET - Even though Arandina made a good run to get here they are one of the lower tier clubs and now they face one of the best in Spain. Real Madrid, even with resting players here, will be able to lay a beatdown in this one. Perhaps Arandina, buoyed by confidence based on their surprising performance in the Copa del Rey, will make the net ripple at least once here. However, Real Madrid is a heavy 2.5 goal line favorite for a reason. Look for a 4-1 type final in this one and don't let the big number scare you on this total as the depth of attacking talent for Real Madrid will insure there will be a good pace with this match with plenty of goalmouth action. 10* OVER 3.5 -135 |
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01-05-24 | Knicks v. 76ers -6 | Top | 128-92 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 2 m | Show |
NBA Friday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers (-) vs New York Knicks @ 7:40 ET - The Sixers are stronger at home than on the road and their 13 point win in most recent game does not even do it justice. Philly led by as many as 31 points in that game but then took their foot off the gas. Also, they were able to rest guys in that one and no one played more than 31 minutes. They will be rested and ready for this one and this line is currently in the -6 range but that suggests that the Sixers are only 3 points better than the Knicks on a neutral floor and I disagree with that. The Knicks are improving but they are not that close to the Sixers level. Also, New York is 9-11 on the road while Philly is 13-4 at home. Those are SU records of course but 9 of the Knicks last 11 losses have been by at least 9 points. Lay it! 10* PHILADELPHIA (-) |
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01-05-24 | Hurricanes -1.5 v. Capitals | Top | 6-2 | Win | 155 | 5 h 13 m | Show |
NHL Friday 10* Top Play Carolina Hurricanes -1.5 +155 @ Washington Capitals @ 7:07 ET - The Hurricanes have revenge here as they lost their only game with the Capitals this season. Carolina has been playing much better of late and has won 4 straight games. Also, I am not crazy about laying the puck line here rather than the money line but the money line is too pricey. Also, the puck line gives us a great shot at a big plus money return and it is supported by recent results as well. Carolina has had 10 of last 13 wins come by a multi-goal margin. Also, the Capitals have lost 4 of 5 games and the loss of TJ Oshie for a period of time has been a big one for the Caps. They have been a different club without Backstrom as well. Also, the goalie loss of Lindgren has hurt them as he was getting a lot of playing time due to his performance. The performances of Kuemper and Shepard have been a concern for this Washington club which is why Lindgren, now injured, had been playing a lot. 11 of the Capitals 12 losses in regulation time this season have been by 2+ goals and I feel strongly the Hurricanes will be very aggressive in this revenge spot and will not risk OT or SO! In other words, another multi-goal regulation loss for the Capitals. 10* CAROLINA -1.5 +155 |
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01-05-24 | Connecticut -4 v. Butler | Top | 88-81 | Win | 100 | 7 h 31 m | Show |
Friday CBB 10* Top Play Connecticut Huskies (-) @ Butler Bulldogs @ 6:30 ET - Last night this side was 6.5 and now it is in the 4 to 4.5 range as of 6.5 hours before tipoff. This is just too low. Connecticut is such a strong team and even against tough, ranked opponents, they have impressed this season. I know the Bulldogs are looking better this season than last season and they have long been known for a strong homecourt edge, however the Huskies are too tough. Note that UConn won both meetings last season, each in blowout fashion. Also, the Bulldogs have often struggled against tougher competition this season. So it is true that Butler is 10-4 this season and the Huskies are only slightly better at 12-2 in terms of SU records. However, look at the talent level of each team and the performance against high-quality foes and you will see that the Huskies have huge edges. With this number coming down, I have no hesitation in getting involved here. 10* CONNECTICUT (-) |
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01-05-24 | Burnley v. Tottenham Hotspur OVER 3.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 22 m | Show |
Rotation #200417: English FA Cup: Friday 10* Top Play OVER 3.5 +100 in Tottenham vs Burnley @ 3 ET - Even if some Tottenham rests some regulars here it is their style of play and their depth of talent that is plenty of reason to believe this one gets to an over. The total moved from a 3 to a 3.5 which is another reason to expect plenty of scoring here. Tottenham has scored 2.6 goals per match last 7 matches. Tottenham also has allowed 2 goals per match last 10 matches! The last time these clubs met it was a 5-2 win for the Hotspur! Burnley is off a 3-2 loss at Aston Villa and they have now scored 5 goals in last 3 road matches but continue to struggle to stop clubs. That will continue here and the result should be a 3-2 or 3-1 type match in this one. 10* OVER 3.5 +100 in Tottenham |
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01-05-24 | Rotherham United v. Fulham OVER 3 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -130 | 4 h 6 m | Show |
Rotation #200413: English FA Cup: Friday 10* Top Play OVER 3 -130 in Fulham vs Rotherham United @ 2:30 ET - Rotherham last met with Fulham a few years ago and though that one was a 1-0 battle this followed 3 meetings averaging 4 goals per match. Rotherham has only 1 recent victory and in their other 6 matches over the past 4 weeks they have allowed an average of 2 goals per match. Fulham has allowed an average of 2 goals per match last 5 matches and this was preceded by B2B matches that were 5-0 Fulham victories and that was preceded by high-scoring matches as well. Fulham's last 10 matches have averaged 4 goals apiece! You can see why I am expecting a high-scoring battle here given all of the above. 10* OVER 3 -130 in Fulham |
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01-04-24 | Bucks -9.5 v. Spurs | Top | 125-121 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 54 m | Show |
NBA Thursday 10* Top Play Milwaukee Bucks (-) @ San Antonio Spurs @ 7:30 ET - Yes, this line is a big one at 9.5 overnight but the Bucks absolutely should win this one by double digits. Milwaukee is in the 2nd game of a B2B but will still play very well here as they are off B2B losses so they will be fired up for this game against a lesser opponent. The Bucks have not lost 3 straight games all season. As for the Spurs, they are having a very rough season and many of their recent losses, even at home, have come by a big margin. San Antonio has lost 26 of 28 games and each of their last 3 home losses have come by at least a dozen points. The average margin of those 3 home losses was 27 points and another ugly one awaits here as Bucks are fired up to get back on track. 10* MILWAUKEE (-) |
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01-04-24 | Blue Jackets v. Flyers -1.5 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 17 m | Show |
NHL Thursday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers -1.5 +130 vs Columbus Blue Jackets @ 7:07 ET - The Flyers are happy to be back home and they are facing a team they have dominated this season with wins in both meetings this season each coming by multi-goal margins. This is a great spot to back Philly as they are back home after a long road trip and they are on a 3-game losing streak. They have yet to have a 4-game losing streak this season so the odds certainly favor a bounce back here. Philly did lose most recent home game but this was on the heels of a 3-game winning streak and they do tend to play better here at home. The Blue Jackets are having a very rough season and have lost 25 of 35 games! Columbus has lost their two meetings with Philly by a combined 9 to 4 score this season and another ugly loss is likely here given the situation. The Flyers are starting a much-needed homestand and I sense a huge effort here as they right the ship on home ice against a Jackets team dealing with some injury issues as well. 10* PHILADELPHIA -1.5 +130 |
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01-04-24 | NC-Wilmington v. Drexel -120 | Top | 63-78 | Win | 100 | 4 h 4 m | Show |
Rotation #768: CBB Thursday 10* Top Play Drexel Dragons Pick'em -120 vs UNC-Wilmington Seahawks @ 7 ET - The Dragons were favored by about 3 but have dropped to nearly a pick'em in the -120 range in some spots (keep an eye on money lines) with this one. Drexel has been quietly surprising and people in the Philly area see it but many other don't. The fact is that the Dragons recent loss at Bryant was a wake-up call after B2B blowout wins. Drexel has won their other 3 recent games and dominated those by a an average score of 96 to 59! The Dragons face a traditionally tough customer in the form of the Seahawks here. However, in comparison with NC Wilmington this season, Drexel has been the better team defensively and they are strong on the boards. Couple all this with home court edge and the line move creating additional value and I just could not stay away from this one! Last season the Dragons season ended because of a CAA conference tourney loss to UNC Wilmington by just 5 points. They also lost the regular season meeting with Philly by just 1 point in double OT! In other words, the Dragons have revenge on their minds here and also I feel this Seahawks team is a step down from last year's UNC Wilmington team and this year's Dragons team is a step up from last season. The numbers will continue to bear that out as the season goes on and I am backing the home team with double revenge here! 10* DREXEL Pick'em -120 |
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01-04-24 | Everton v. Crystal Palace OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -100 | 1 h 59 m | Show |
Rotation #200405: EFL Cup: Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +105 in Crystal Palace vs Everton @ 3 ET - There is a reason this line is holding at a 2.5 rather than dropping to a 2 after opening at 2.25 in most books. Look for at least a 2-1 final here as Crystal Palace has seen 4 of last 5 matches total at least 3 goals! Crystal Palace has both scored and conceded in 5 straight matches and 8 of last 9. Everton has allowed 9 goals in last 4 matches but also had scored 10 goals in last 6 matches before a shutout loss in most recent match. 4 of the last 5 meetings have totaled at least 3 goals and those 4 meetings that did actually averaged 4 goals per match! This one gets to 3 or more as these clubs battle it out in EFL Cup action. 10* OVER 2.5 +105 in Crystal Palace |
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01-03-24 | Thunder v. Hawks OVER 247 | Top | 138-141 | Win | 100 | 8 h 5 m | Show |
NBA Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Atlanta Hawks vs Oklahoma City Thunder @ 7:40 ET - This total is as low as a 247 as of 8 hours before tipoff and I am fully expecting this one gets into the 250s at least. The Thunder are off the huge home win over Boston last night. I do not expect the defense of OKC to be at its best after such a big win like that. However, this Thunder team continues to pile up points and the Hawks are certainly known for giving up big numbers! Atlanta, well-rested here and at home, will look to run and gun here and drive Oklahoma City right out of the arena. However, OKC has the firepower to keep up. It sets this one up well to have a great pace with very little defense and plenty of stretches in which the teams are simply trading buckets. Note that the Hawks have allowed 124 ppg in their last 16 games. However, Atlanta is also averaging 122 ppg this season. The Thunder have fared well in B2B spots this season with a 3-0 record and averaging 129 ppg. However, OKC has allowed big points this season too...just like the Hawks. The pacing and situational aspects of this one set it up perfectly to get it into the 250s. These are two of the highest-scoring teams in the league plus the Thunder are hot plus the Hawks have revenge here for a loss at OKC earlier this season. 10* OVER the total in Atlanta |
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01-03-24 | St. Joe's -5.5 v. Rhode Island | Top | 74-78 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 36 m | Show |
Rotation #671: CBB Wednesday 10* Top Play St Joseph's Hawks (-) @ Rhode Island Rams @ 7 ET - The Rams started the 2021-22 season with a 12-4 mark. Since then, Rhode Island is 18-41 SU! If you look at their games so far this season their wins have been against weaker foes and St Joe's certainly does not fall into that category! The Hawks are off a huge win by a 41-point margin and have won 7 of last 8 games which included a win over a ranked Villanova team! Also, they took a ranked Kentucky team to OT before losing. This St Joseph's team is very solid this season and this is an absolute bargain line against a still struggling Rams team. Not only is Rhode Island 18-41 SU, they also had lost 5 straight before a win over Northeastern in their most recent game. By the way, 8 of the Rams last 9 losses have been by double digits so the small number here - 5.5 range as of 7 hours before tipoff should not be an issue. 10* ST JOSEPH'S (-) |
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01-03-24 | Atletico Madrid v. Girona OVER 2.75 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 57 m | Show |
Rotation #201993: Spanish La Liga: Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 3 +110 in Girona vs Atletico Madrid @ 3:30 ET - Girona and Atletico Madrid both near the top of the table and Girona is on their home pitch here where they have been particularly dominant. Atletico Madrid is averaging 2 goals per match this season and Girona is averaging 2.3 goals per match this season and this has the makings of a high-scoring affair featuring plenty of attacking. Remember that Girona is off a 1-1 draw in which they tried to sit on a 1-goal lead and paid for it when their opponent got a late equalizer so they will be more aggressive here. Also, in their most recent match against a high-quality opponent, it was a wild 4-2 win over Barcelona. So this Girona club - the highest scoring club in the league - is certainly not afraid to get into a shootout! Also they are without a defender plus Atletico Madrid is down a few defenders as well. Look for a rather wide-open affair in this one. We will go with the over 3 at plus money here for maximum payback value. 10* OVER 3 +110 in Girona |
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01-03-24 | Mallorca v. Real Madrid OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -145 | 4 h 41 m | Show |
Rotation #201985: Spanish La Liga: Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 3 +115 in Real Madrid vs Mallorca @ 1:15 ET - Real Madrid is at the top of the table and they are on their home pitch here where they have been particularly dominant. Real Madrid is averaging 2.6 goals per match this season as a host. Mallorca is averaging a goal per match on the road this season and should make the net ripple at least once here. Real Madrid is a heavy 1.5 goal line favorite here and this one has the makings of at least a 3-1 final. The hosts so tough at home but Mallorca has been competitive of late. Each club has some injuries to defense and that will also help the cause here. We will go with the over 3 at plus money here for maximum payback value. 10* OVER 3 +115 in Real Madrid |
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01-02-24 | Blackhawks v. Predators OVER 6 | Top | 0-3 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 49 m | Show |
NHL Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 6 or 6.5 in Nashville Predators vs Chicago Blackhawks @ 8:07 ET - The Predators Saros has been struggling in goal. Even if they go with a backup here the results may not be great as Nashville has just been in a funk overall defensively. The Preds are off a 3-2 win but they had conceded 5 goals in 4 of their 7 matches before that win. The Blackhawks also are conceding goals like crazy no matter who is between the pipes. Chicago has lost 8 of 10 and they have allowed 5.5 goals in the 8 losses! Given the above, you can see why I am expecting plenty of goals in this one and, prior to an 8-1 loss at Dallas, the Blackhawks had scored at least 4 goals in each of last 2 road games. Nashville is scoring an average of 3 goals this season and they should top that here as they face a Chicago team that has allowed about 4 goals per game this season and particularly struggled of late. 10* OVER 6 or 6.5 in Nashville |
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01-02-24 | Illinois-Chicago +4 v. Murray State | Top | 73-85 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 52 m | Show |
Rotation #627: CBB Tuesday 10* Top Play Illinois-Chicago Flames (+) @ Murray State Racers @ 8 ET - Murray State is off a win but they had lost 9 of 10 before that. The Racers traditionally are strong but this does not look like one of their better teams. I like the fact that this line has gone from nearly a pick'em to now Murray State in the -4 range as of about 9 hours before tipoff. We are getting solid line value here because Illinois-Chicago is off B2B losses. The Flames have not 3 straight games all season long. I am looking for a big response here as this team has been ultra competitive this season. The Flames, before the 62-50 loss at Southern Illinois, had gone 7-4 SU last 11 games and the largest margin of defeat was 5 points and the other 3 losses were by 2 or less points. In other words, exceptional value here with the points and we'll grab them! 10* ILLINOIS-CHICAGO (+) |
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01-02-24 | Bulls v. 76ers -10.5 | Top | 97-110 | Win | 100 | 8 h 25 m | Show |
NBA Tuesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers (-) vs Chicago Bulls @ 7:10 ET - This line is in the 10.5 range as of 8 hours before tipoff and is the final meeting between these teams this season and the Bulls have taken the first two games. This is a double revenge spot for a Philly team that will have Embiid back on the floor for this one as well. Chicago is 15-19 on the season and Philly is 22-10 and there is also strong home/road dichotomy factors here as the Sixers are 12-4 at home and the Bulls are 4-10 on the road. Of course these are all SU records but I see Philadelphia winning this game huge with Embiid back on the floor and the fact this is double revenge including a home loss two weeks ago as well. The Sixers just lost at Chicago on the 30th as well so they enter this game off a loss. Philly is 3-0 L3 times coming off a loss. Blowout alert! 10* PHILADLELPHIA (-) |
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01-02-24 | Brighton & Hove Albion v. West Ham United OVER 3 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 12 m | Show |
Rotation #200117: English Premier League: Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 or 3 in West Ham vs Brighton & Hove @ 2:30 ET - West Ham is off the huge 2-0 win over Arsenal and Brighton is off the massive 4-2 win over Tottenham. I like taking overs when a club is off a huge win and, in this case, you have both clubs off huge victories. West Ham is off a rare strong defensive display so do not expect a repeat of that rare event here. Note that in the entire calendar year of 2023, West Ham failed to score at home only 1 time. Goals are a virtual certainty here as Brighton has allowed at least 1 goal in every single road match this season in EPL action. Also, in each of the last 13 meetings between these clubs, West Ham has allowed at least 1 goal. So the odds certainly favor each club scoring. Couple that with the fact that West Ham has only 3 draws in 19 matches and Brighton has only 2 draws in 9 road matches and you can see why the odds strongly favor at least a 2-1 final here though I am expecting 4 or more goals. Note that Brighton is without a key centre-back in Lewis Dunk for this one. West Ham will take advantage and is averaging 2 goals per match when at home this season. Brighton is also averaging 2 goals scored per match this season. Look for plenty of goal-mouth action in this one as 3 of the last 4 meetings have totaled at least 4 goals. West Ham has scored 2 or more goals in 5 of last 7 matches. Brighton has scored an average of 2.5 goals in the last 4 meetings! 10* OVER 2.5 or 3 in West Ham |
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01-02-24 | Celtic v. St. Mirren OVER 3 | Top | 3-0 | Push | 0 | 4 h 50 m | Show |
Rotation #207013: Scottish Premiership: Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 3 -105 in St Mirren vs Celtic @ Noon ET - Celtic is at the top of the table and is the highest-scoring club in the league. They are averaging 2.5 goals per match this season. I like the fact that St Mirren is hosting this one as they do average 1.4 goals per match at home this season. Celtic has scored 3.6 goals in the last 5 meetings between these clubs. The last meeting was a 2-1 Celtic win but, prior to that, each of the last 4 meetings totaled at least 4 goals and I expect this one will too. St Mirren buoyed by a 3-0 win at Aberdeen in their most recent match. St Mirren has not been giving up many goals but this is the top club in the league that is visiting and they always have troubles against them. However, they have scored at least 1 goal in each of the last 4 meetings with Celtic and I am looking for a 3-1 type match here. Of course Celtic is favored by 1.5 goals on the goal line for a reason. This one should see 4 or more but I like the added value of this total sitting at 3 goals as well. 10* OVER 3 -105 in St Mirren |
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01-01-24 | Heat +7.5 v. Clippers | Top | 104-121 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 4 m | Show |
NBA Monday 10* Top Play Miami Heat (+) @ LA Clippers @ 10:40 ET - A lot of injury issues here on both teams. I am aware of the situation and I know Butler will miss this game for Miami. However, this is too much underdog line value (7.5 as of 9 and 1/2 hours before tipoff) for Miami. The Heat are coming off a loss and a perfect 5-0 SU the last 5 times they were off a loss. Of course a SU win for Miami is a guaranteed ATS win in this one as they are a sizable underdog in this one. We'll grab the points here but we may not even need them. Note that the Clippers are off B2B wins but Kawhi Leonard will not be 100% here even though he is expected to play. LA had lost B2B games before those two wins and the Heat have won 3 straight meetings. Also, the Clippers do not have a win by more than 7 points in any of the past 6 meetings. I am grabbing the points with a hungry Heat team coming off a loss. 10* MIAMI (+) |
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01-01-24 | Texas v. Washington +4 | Top | 31-37 | Win | 100 | 11 h 36 m | Show |
Sugar Bowl Monday 10* Top Play Washington Huskies (+) vs Texas Longhorns @ 8:45 ET - Two great teams of course but I feel the Huskies are under-rated here. A team does not go 13-0 by accident and they had to beat Oregon twice to do that! I respect the Ducks plenty and Oregon is favored by 18 points today on Monday against a fellow 13-0 team, Liberty, which says a lot about how impressive it is that the Huskies beat the Ducks twice this season. Remember too that Washington also has multiple other wins against Top 25 teams as well. The Huskies have a fantastic offensive line and a stellar passing attack and the Horns weakness is pass defense. Look for the Longhorns pass D to be exposed in this game. Texas hammered Oklahoma State in the Big 12 Championship Game but their two games before that against ranked foes featured a loss to Oklahoma and a 3-point win (in OT) over Kansas State. Yes, the Horns beat Alabama this season but they benefitted from a 2-0 turnover edge in that one also. Don't get me wrong, Texas is a high-quality team but they are really going to struggle to stop this dynamic Huskies offense. Washington does not have a great defense but they can get enough stops to let the offense dominate games and that is what I expect again here. Texas has revenge here from losing to the Huskies in last year's bowl but the Longhorns actually have a poor ATS history when playing high-quality teams away from home. The win over Alabama, we talked about it above, was a rare exception. Too much value to pass up here with this line in the +4 range as of about 10 hours before kickoff. 10* WASHINGTON (+) |
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01-01-24 | Alabama +2 v. Michigan | Top | 20-27 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 49 m | Show |
Rose Bowl Monday 10* Top Play Alabama Crimson Tide (+) vs Michigan Wolverines @ 5 ET - Of course these are two of the best teams in the nation or they would not be playing in this game. Now let's look at what top teams have done from the respective conferences of these two teams. Note that other top Big Ten teams including Iowa (great defense, horrible offense) are not as balanced as this Alabama team. In the bowls that have already taken place prior to today, Ohio State lost 14 to 3 to an SEC team and Penn State lost 38 to 25 to an SEC team. As for other top SEC teams that played in the bowls, Georgia just rolled 13-0 Florida State 63 to 3. Now, I fully realize there were other variables in those games but the point is that the top SEC teams have certainly looked a lot better than the top Big Ten teams. That is another key as to why I am taking the Crimson Tide over the Wolverines in this one. Another key is coaching in the biggest of games. Harbaugh has lost 6 straight (both SU and ATS) in bowls and playoff games. Now look at Saban's record in semi-final playoff games like this. He is 6-1 SU! We should not even need the points here but we'll go ahead and grab the 2 points available in this one as of about 7 and 1/2 hours before kickoff. 10* ALABAMA (+) |
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01-01-24 | Golden Knights v. Seattle Kraken +120 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 120 | 3 h 41 m | Show |
NHL Monday 10* Top Play Seattle Kraken +120 vs Vegas Golden Knights @ 3:07 ET - Outdoor game at T-Mobile Park in Seattle. In this Winter Classic I feel we have excellent line value with the home dog. The Golden Knights are the defending champs and they also started the season 11-0-1. However, since then, Vegas has lost 14 of 25 games! Most recently the Knights are off a big 3-2 win over the rival Kings but, prior to that, Vegas lost 4 straight and 5 of 6 and consistently have been allowing too many goals. In an 8-game stretch prior to the win over LA, the Knights allowed an average of 4.5 goals per game! The Kraken have won 4 straight and 6 of last 8 and Seattle has allowed only 11 goals in regulation time of those 8 games. Big edge here based on the way the Kraken have been playing and the goaltending they are getting and the fact this is a home game for them here. 10* SEATTLE +120 |
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01-01-24 | Newcastle United v. Liverpool OVER 3.5 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 110 | 7 h 8 m | Show |
Rotation #200113: English Premier League: Monday 10* Top Play OVER 3.5 +110 in Liverpool vs Newcastle United @ 3 ET - Liverpool averages about 2.5 goals on their home pitch this season. Also, the Reds have had some tough luck lately in terms of great chances but then disallowed goals or missed opportunities. They should certainly make those count against a struggling Newcastle side that continues to ship too many goals. Newcastle has allowed 2.2 goals in last 5 matches in league action. They are getting a little healthier though and should score in this one. Newcastle has scored 13 goals last 10 matches across all competitions. Newcastle is still averaging 2 goals per match on the season. Liverpool had allowed at least 1 goal in 9 of last 13 matches across all competitions before delivering a clean sheet versus Burnley. Newcastle has scored in each of last two matches at Liverpool and the Reds have averaged 2 goals scored in the last 5 meetings between these clubs. This one has 3-2 written all over it the way I see it. Keep in mind, the Reds are favored by 1.5 goals on the goal line for a reason. Even 3-1 gets us the cash here. Look for an entertaining affair here at Anfield. 10* OVER 3.5 +110 in Liverpool |
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01-01-24 | Texas-Arlington v. Texas OVER 146.5 | Top | 62-79 | Loss | -115 | 2 h 13 m | Show |
CBB Monday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Texas Longhorns vs Texas-Arlington Mavericks @ 2 ET - UT Arlington is talented but off an ugly shooting game in which they totaled just 52 points. That sets this one up nice for an over. The Mavericks were averaging 75 ppg this season before the ugly game against North Texas. They will make up for that here but of course they are not going to stop the Longhorns. UT is favored by 18 points in this one for a reason of course. That said, with this total in the 147 range and, if the odds makers are right about the spread, that would put this one at about an 83-65 type game. Given that the Mavs were averaging 75 ppg before the most recent disappointing effort, you can see why we have good value here. Also, the Mavericks recently got Phillip Russell back on the floor and he was a big scorer for SE Missouri each of the last two seasons. Texas will be unstoppable here as they are a strong ranked team but the Mavs are going to hang around in this game for a while too. That sets this up well for plenty of points and the number is 146.5 or 147 as of about 2 hours before tipoff! 10* OVER the total in Texas |
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01-01-24 | Hull City v. Sheffield Wednesday OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 115 | 5 h 54 m | Show |
Rotation #200365: Championship League: Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +115 in Sheffield Wednesday vs Hull City @ 12:15 ET - Sheffield Wednesday is near the bottom of the table but they are off a confidence-boosting 1-0 win and they are on their home pitch here. In other words, don't be surprised if the hosts make the net ripple at least once in this one. However, the issue for the hosts here is, prior to that 1-0 win, they had allowed 2.2 goals per match in their 4 matches prior to that. Hull City is one of the better scoring clubs in the league. Hull City is averaging 1.5 goals per match in road matches this season! They have scored at least 2 goals in 8 of their last 13 matches away from home across all competitions. Hull City has only a 16% draw rate this season in road matches and Sheffield Wednesday has only a 16% draw rate in all matches this season. So if you expect each club to score, logically you can also expect at least a 2-1 final here. Note that Hull City has seen 7 of last 9 matches total at least 3 goals. The hosts have seen 4 of their last 5 matches as a host total at least 3 goals. More of the same expected here and we take advantage of the plus money available on the over in this one at 2.5 goals. 10* OVER 2.5 +115 in Sheffield Wednesday |
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01-01-24 | Birmingham City v. Leeds United OVER 3 | Top | 0-3 | Push | 0 | 3 h 51 m | Show |
Rotation #200357: Championship League: Monday 10* Top Play OVER 3 -130 in Leeds United vs Birmingham City @ 10 AM ET - Leeds United is hungry to get back on track and on their home pitch they should do just that. Leeds has scored an average of 2 goals per match at home where they are undefeated with 8 wins and 4 draws in 12 matches. Birmingham City is in the wrong place at the wrong time and they are off a shocking scoreless draw. Keep in mind this followed a 3-match stretch for Birmingham in which all 3 matches totaled at least 4 goals and the 3 matches averaged 5 goals apiece! 10* OVER 3 -130 in Leeds |
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12-31-23 | Packers v. Vikings | Top | 33-10 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 45 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Minnesota Vikings Pick'em -110 vs Green Bay Packers @ 8:20 ET - The Packers have been so bad defensively in recent games. The Vikings have been doomed by turnovers but this team is talented on both sides of the ball and the QB change this week will pay for Minnesota. At the same time, the Vikings defense is much stronger than the Packers and they are at home here. This is a revenge game for Green Bay and that is keeping this line in the pick'em range when the reality is that the Vikings home field edge and defensive edge should be worth much more than they are being given credit for here. I trust Jaren Hall to have a solid game at QB as he gets his chance after Mullens cost the Vikings game each of the past two weeks due to turnovers. Justin Jefferson will have a huge game at WR for Minnesota and the Packers D continues to struggle. Vikings off a home loss to Detroit but this is after allowing just 16 ppg in their 3 prior home games. Vikes have allowed only 14 ppg in their 7 wins this season and they are solid on D at home. The Packers have allowed 29 ppg the last 3 weeks and they faced teams that are a combined 15-30 this season. Green Bay barely got by a 2-win Panthers team last week at Carolina and this followed a 1-5 run last 6 road games for the Pack. They do not travel well and the Vikings take advantage here. 10* MINNESOTA Pick'em -110 |
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12-31-23 | Flyers +121 v. Flames | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 3 m | Show |
NHL Sunday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers +120 @ Calgary Flames @ 8:07 ET - The Flyers off tough OT loss at Seattle in a game they never trailed. Philly is a perfect 3-0 the last 3 times they were off an OT or SO loss. The Flames have lost 8 of 12 games. Calgary is favored here because they are on home ice but truly this Flames club has been struggling and this is excellent line value with the underdog in this match-up! Calgary has gone just 4-8 last 12 while Philly had actually won 8 of last 11 prior to their OT loss to the Kraken. Markstrom has played well for the Flames but so too has Hart for the Flyers. Also, the Philly goalie is from Alberta so these match-ups in Western Canada are always special for him. Look for another strong game from him here and the Flyers improve to 4-0 L4 times when off an a non-regulation loss. Note that Hart has not lost a start in regulation in the month of December. 10* PHILADELPHIA +120 |
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12-31-23 | Chargers v. Broncos OVER 37.5 | Top | 9-16 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 52 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Denver Broncos vs Los Angeles Chargers @ 4:25 ET - Beautiful football weather in Denver for this one. Chilly but sunshine and light winds. We get value with this total as low as 37.5 as of about 5 hours before kickoff. These teams are not known for offense but look for big upticks from each here. Wilson was benched for a reason and don't be surprised if Jarrett Stidham comes in and has a strong game as the Broncos get a boost to the offense as everyone fired up to make things work and chase a playoff berth. As for the Chargers, Herbert is out of course but I do not care who they use at QB here. LA has been given a boost by the head coaching change that absolutely had needed to happen and they will continue to play hard here and look to play spoiler against a divisional foe. The Chargers have scored more than 20 points each of their last two games but also allowed 24 points or more in their last 3 games. The Broncos have averaged 21 ppg their last 3 games but also have allowed more than 21 points in 3 of last 4. The odds favor each team getting into the 20s in this game and yet we are dealing with a total in the upper 30s. I love the value here because you have two highly motivated teams here as Chargers continue to work hard after the coaching change and Broncos want post-season chance. Also, in the thin air of Denver, the field goals can be kicked from great distance so we could see plenty of field goal chances on a nice weather day here. 10* OVER the total in Denver |
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12-31-23 | Titans +4 v. Texans | Top | 3-26 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 11 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play Tennessee Titans (+) @ Houston Texans @ 1 ET - The Titans are 2-3 last 5 games but two of those losses were in OT and all 3 losses were by exactly a 3 point margin. That is why the +4 being offered here as of 3 hours before kickoff is a solid line value! Tennessee lost to Houston two weeks ago in the most recent meeting between these divisional rivals. The Titans, after another tight loss last week, are relegated to playing the role of spoiler here. Certainly that is not a role they take lightly against bitter rivals. They would love to prevent the Texans from winning the division. Tennessee has not lost by more than 3 points since mid-November. Houston has only 2 wins by more than 3 points in their last 9 games! This is an easy call in terms of value with the points with a highly motivated divisional underdog! 10* TENNESSEE (+) |
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12-31-23 | Cardinals v. Eagles -12.5 | Top | 35-31 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 60 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Eagles (-) vs Arizona Cardinals @ 1 ET - The Eagles are about a 12.5 point favorite as of 3 hours before kickoff in this one. The Cardinals have lost 10 of 12 games and those 10 losses have been by an average margin of 15 ppg. Couple that with the fact that they are on the road for this one and facing one of the top teams in the league and their QB Kyler Murray is dealing with an illness. Remember that same issue (an illness) plagued Eagles QB Jalen Hurts a few weeks ago and it showed in his play on the field in that tough loss. Well now it is Murray that will likely play but not be 100% and he does not have the supporting cast that Hurts has either. In other words, this one will get ugly. After the Cowboys controversial 1-point win in which every key penalty call including a ridiculous one on a 2-point conversion that stole a win from the Lions, the Eagles now are in a key situation in which they must win this game. They will not mess around and will leave no doubt. They have deserved some better results than they have gotten of late and I know the Eagles recent wins have not been by big margins but this Cardinals team is very weak defensively and the Eagles are angry (even coming off a win) as they still are fired up about not having an "A game" effort and they had the undeserved loss to the Seahawks the week before the win over the Giants last week. Philly is favored with good reason here and they have averaged 30 ppg in their 11 wins this season while Cardinals have scored 15 ppg in their last 10 losses. I am looking for a 31-14 type game given all of the above but honestly a margin of 20+ points is likely here. 10* PHILADELPHIA (-) |
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12-31-23 | Arsenal v. Fulham OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 2 h 43 m | Show |
Rotation #200109: English Premier League: Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 -135 in Fulham vs Arsenal @ 9 AM ET - Arsenal is scoring 2 goals per match this season. Fulham is averaging 2 goals per match when at home this season. Arsenal has only a 22% draw rate this season and Fulham has 0 draws in their 9 home matches. Given the likelihood each club scores here and given the unlikely odds that the match would end in a draw at 1-1, you can see why I am expecting at least a 2-1 final here. Given all of the above, plenty goals expected in this one. Fulham off a 3-0 road loss and happy to be back home for this one. Arsenal also off a 2-0 loss and theirs was at home so they take to the road ready to go on the attack here. Situation is perfect for plenty of attacking from both clubs. 10* OVER 2.5 -135 in Fulham |
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12-31-23 | AFC Bournemouth v. Tottenham Hotspur OVER 3.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 2 h 33 m | Show |
Rotation #200105: English Premier League: Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 3.5 in Tottenham vs Bournemouth @ 9 AM ET - Tottenham is averaging 2 goals scored per match this season. Bournemouth is averaging 2 goals scored when on the road this season. Also, based on current form, we should see plenty of goalmouth action in this one! Tottenham has averaged 2.5 goals last 4 matches but also has conceded 1.6 goals per match last 5 matches. Bournemouth is in excellent current form and has scored 2.6 goals per match last 7 matches! Tottenham won the most recent meeting 2-0 but, prior to this, 3 of the last 4 meetings had each totaled at least 4 goals. Look for a very entertaining affair here ending 2-2 or 3-2 as most likely outcomes. These are two very confident clubs meeting in this one and both are aggressive on the attack. 10* OVER 3.5 in Tottenham |
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12-30-23 | Oilers +102 v. Kings | Top | 3-2 | Win | 102 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
NHL Saturday 10* Top Play Edmonton Oilers Money Line +100 @ Los Angeles Kings @ 10:05 ET - The Kings certainly want this game but revenge can only get you so far. Last post-season, just like the playoffs the year before, Los Angeles was eliminated by the Oilers. That said, Edmonton continues to have the number of the Kings and I expect that to continue here. The Oilers come into this game as the hotter team and they ride that momentum here. Edmonton is on a 3-game winning streak and they just had an 8-game winning streak from late-November to mid-December as well. They have scored an average of 5 goals in those 11 wins! The Kings have lost 5 of 9 games and they have scored an average of only 2.7 goals per game in those 9 games! I just don't see LA as being able to keep up with the high-powered Oilers in this one as revenge again proves to be over-rated. Oilers beat the Kings yet again. 10* EDMONTON +100 |
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12-30-23 | USC v. Oregon State +9 | Top | 70-86 | Win | 100 | 7 h 9 m | Show |
Rotation #704 CBB Saturday 10* Top Play Oregon State Beavers (+) vs USC Trojans @ 10 ET - This line is currently in the 8.5 to 9 range as of about 7 hours before tipoff and there is excellent value here with the underdog. The Beavers have not played as tough of a schedule but they are at home for this game and are coming off a loss but had an 8-3 record prior to that. Also, the Trojans have revenge here from a loss here last season. However, USC enters this game just 4-6 last 10 games and only 3 wins by more than 8 points in their last 10 games! Oregon State won 5 straight games before their tough loss to UCLA in most recent game by 7 points. The Beavers last lost by more than 7 points was back on Thanksgiving weekend! The Beavers have played the Trojans tough in each of the last 3 meetings with an outright win and each of the two losses by 3 or less points. Remember that Oregon State went from an ugly 3-win season to an 11-win season last year to now looking lite a 15-win type team this season. People still remember that Beavers team that went 14-49 the past two seasons combined but they truly are looking much better this season and Corvallis is not an easy place to play. We'll gladly grab the generous points being offered here. 10* OREGON STATE (+) |
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12-30-23 | Lions +5.5 v. Cowboys | Top | 19-20 | Win | 100 | 9 h 3 m | Show |
NFL Saturday 10* Top Play Detroit Lions (+) @ Dallas Cowboys @ 8:15 ET - This line is the 5.5 range as of 8 hours before kickoff. Note that both teams have already clinched a post-season berth but there is still some motivation for both teams here. Detroit and Dallas both need to win for playoff positioning reasons but, without a doubt, the pressure is much more on the Cowboys than the Lions in this one. Detroit already clinched the NFC North while Dallas is still chasing the Eagles for the NFC East division title. So the pressure is on Dallas here and they have not been handling it well. They already lost B2B games after finally catching the Eagles at the top of the division. Losses to the Bills and Dolphins the past two weeks and the Cowboys continue their pattern of losing to quality teams. Certainly the Lions are a quality team. Also, statistically Detroit has the much better rush defense in this match-up. Their weakness is pass defense but Prescott has a history of struggling in big games against better teams. Also, another angle I like a lot in this match-up is Lions head coach Dan Campbell is a Texas guy. He played for the Cowboys during his NFL career and was born in Texas and in college he played with the Aggies of Texas A & M. In 2021, he became head coach of the Lions and it was a tough season but he has fully completed the turnaround. By the way, during his time with the Lions, they have met just one time and that was last season and was a 24 to 6 loss for Detroit. You can bet, literally, they have their eyes on payback here as this team has come a long way and this Lions team playing with confidence and without pressure whereas Dallas needs this game to have any reasonable shot in the NFC East race with the Eagles. We'll grab the points here but I do not even expect to need them. As usual, the Cowboys fall on the big stage like they so often do. Against quality teams like the Dolphins, Bills, Eagles and 49ers the Cowboys are 1-4 SU. Give me the points. 10* DETROIT (+) |
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12-30-23 | Lakers v. Wolves OVER 225.5 | Top | 106-108 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 7 m | Show |
NBA Saturday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Minnesota Timberwolves vs Los Angeles Lakers @ 8:10 ET - This total currently in the 225.5 range. I am well aware there are some injury and illness question marks for each team entering this one but I expect most of those guys to play and I feel we have value here with this rather low total. Consider also that if some of the bigger guys are out that opens things up for more of a "small ball" style of game and I would not be surprised to see both teams go off big in this one. 7 of Minnesota's last 10 games have totaled at least 228 points. The Timberwolves are a fantastic 23-7 this season and scoring an average of 116 ppg last 10 games. The Lakers are just 3-6 last 9 games but have scored 120 ppg last 10 games! LA has allowed 121 ppg their last 9 games. As you can see, we have a lot of wiggle room given numbers like this as the Lakers and Wolves both currently trending toward higher-scoring games. Even if one or more of the big guys is out for this one, this total still gets there as it is just too low given all of the above. 10* OVER the total in Minnesota |
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12-30-23 | Toledo v. Wyoming OVER 44 | Top | 15-16 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 38 m | Show |
CFB Saturday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Wyoming Cowboys vs Toledo Rockets @ 4:30 ET in Arizona Bowl - The total on this one is in the 44 range as of about 6 hours before kickoff. The Rockets defense is going to struggle here. Wyoming not known for offensive prowess but they have displayed a better passing game this season which gives them a nice run/pass balance. As for Toledo, they will be using Gleason at QB and certainly he is a step down from Finn and does not give them the dual-threat capability. However, I expect him to surprise here. He has only played in a couple games last season but he was much more active last season and has thrown for 12 touchdowns against just 3 interceptions in his action in the last two seasons combined. In the last 5 appearances where Gleason has taken double digits in snaps, he has thrown for at least 2 TD passes in 4 of those 5 games! He has that respectable 12-3 TD-INT ratio and I expect the Rockets to still move the ball well in this game as this is not some newbie coming in for Finn in this one. As for the Cowboys, they are known for solid defense but always tend to be tougher at home historically. Note that prior to their season ending road blowout win, they allowed over 30 points in all 4 road games and lost all 4 of them! I do not expect Toledo to have that big of an output here but the Rockets have a solid offensive framework and will score some points here but so too will Wyoming against a weak Toledo defense. Asking each team to get into the 20s here for total points is not asking for too much given all of the above. 10* OVER the total in Arizona Bowl |
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12-30-23 | Manchester United v. Nottingham Forest OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 39 m | Show |
Rotation #200101: English Premier League Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 -135 in Nottingham Forest vs Manchester United @ 12:30 ET - Nottingham is off a 3-1 win but has conceded 12 goals last 5 matches. Manchester United is also off a much-needed 3-2 win but other than a recent scoreless draw, has allowed 2 goals per match last 4 matches that included scoring. Both clubs off confidence-boosting wins but both also have struggled in the goals-conceded department. That sets this one up well to be at least a 2-1 final. Manchester United has only 1 draw in 19 matches this season and I do expect both clubs to score given their recent penchant for allowing goals. That said, the odds strongly favor this one getting to at least a 2-1 final as Man U just does not settle for matches in which there is a sharing of the spoils. Look for an aggressive approach from both clubs here. 10* OVER 2.5 -135 in Nottingham Forest |
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12-30-23 | Ole Miss v. Penn State -4 | Top | 38-25 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 34 m | Show |
CFB Saturday 10* Top Play Penn State Nittany Lions (-) vs Ole Miss Rebels @ Noon ET in Peach Bowl - This line in the 4 to 4.5 range as of about 2 and 1/2 hours before kickoff. Two very strong 10-2 teams but Ole Miss head coach Kiffin is 2-4 SU and ATS in bowls while Penn State head coach Franklin is 7-4 ATS in bowls. I also like the fact that the Nittany Lions have the much better defense in this match-up. The Nittany Lions road that defense to a 9-3 ATS mark this season and I expect one more cover from them to close the season out. Even though PSU defensive coordinator Manny Diaz left the program earlier this month as he took the head coaching job at Duke, all his systems are in place and this rock solid defense has seemed to rally around the fact they want to win one more for Diaz even though he has departed the program. Yes, the cohesiveness and bond was that strong. Diaz even came back to speak to the players after taking the job at Duke and that is not something you always see. This is a tight-knit group that this PSU defense has and the co-defensive coordinators calling this game will combine with the players for one last super strong game under the Diaz schemes. Next season Tom Allen (formerly with Indiana) takes over as the DC. In this bowl match-up, as strong as the Ole Miss offense is, they are facing one of the toughest defenses in the nation plus the Rebels defense is not strong enough to slow down a determined Lions bunch that can run the ball very well and remember that this passing attack had 27 TDs against only 1 INT all season long. Yes, that includes games against Michigan and Ohio State! 10* PENN STATE (-) |
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12-30-23 | Sheffield United v. Manchester City OVER 3.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -108 | 1 h 17 m | Show |
Rotation #200089: English Premier League: Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 3.5 in Manchester City vs Sheffield United @ 10 AM ET - Under their new manager, Wilder, Sheffield will likely continue to be more aggressive on the attack and they have scored in 3 of last 4 matches including 2 goals in their most recent match. Adding to the likelihood of the Blades making the net ripple at least once here is the fact that City has been consistently allowing goals in league action. However, Manchester City is favored by 2.5 goals here with good reason. Their attack will prove to be too much for Sheffield. This one has all the makings of at least a 3-1 final. City is averaging 3 goals scored per game when at home this season. City has seen 4 of last 5 matches total at least 4 goals and all signs point to a 3-1 or 4-1 type match here. 10* OVER 3.5 in Manchester City |
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12-29-23 | Arizona v. California OVER 156 | Top | 100-81 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show |
CBB Friday 10* Top Play OVER the total in California Golden Bears vs Arizona Wildcats @ 10:30 ET - The Wildcats are angry off a double-OT loss prior to Christmas. Arizona is one of the top teams in the country and will respond in a huge way here. However, California is on their home floor and they have scored quite well this season so I would not be surprised to see a strong effort from the Golden Bears in this one. The problem for Cal is they are not strong on the defensive end and the Cats are going to run and gun in this one and leave no doubt after that disappointing double-OT loss. Of course that is why Arizona is favored by double digits on the road in this Pac-12 opener and I expect plenty of scoring and pace to this game. Cal averaging 76 ppg this season but Arizona is averaging 92.5 ppg on the year! Given the line on this game is in the 14 range, certainly 91 to 77 sounds about right and, though I expect much more, a total of 168 is double digits in front of this total which is in the 155.5 to 156.5 range as of about 10 hours before tipoff. Looks like a shootout is on the way here! 10* OVER the total in California |
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12-29-23 | Flyers +116 v. Seattle Kraken | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
NHL Friday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers +115 @ Seattle Kraken @ 10:05 ET - Ersson played most of last night's 4-1 win at Vancouver for the Flyers but the goalie exited in the 3rd period with dehydration issues. The fact that Carter Hart took his spot in the 3rd period and stopped all 8 shots he faced is a good sign here. Remember that Hart had just had a RARE bad start right before the Christmas break but he had been great before then. Also, the Flyers have now won 14 of last 21 games and that win yesterday stopped a losing streak. Can they win two straight? Well actually it has been about 6 weeks since they last had a standalone win so I expect them to again build another one here and make it B2B wins on B2B nights. Seattle seems to have really taken a step back and they have now suddenly won 3 straight. However, that followed losing 23 of their first 33 games this season and they have not won 4 straight games since last season. The odds favor another Philly win here and the Kraken have just 6 wins at home this season and no team in the NHL has fewer home wins. So the Flyers as a small dog offer excellent value here especially against a former coach, Dave Hakstol. 10* PHILADELPHIA +115 |
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12-29-23 | 76ers -120 v. Rockets | Top | 131-127 | Win | 100 | 8 h 1 m | Show |
NBA Friday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers Pick -120 @ Houston Rockets @ 8:10 ET - We get line value here because the Sixers are again without Embiid but they did just beat a solid Magic team at Orlando by 20 points. Also, that win was no fluke. They had 17 more shots from the field so, in other words, Philly dominated play in that game and, again, it was sans Embiid. The Rockets have lost 3 of 4 home games and 5 of 7 overall. Houston is a solid respectable team but so is Orlando and we all saw what just happened there. The 76ers have a great clubhouse feel right now and they like to prove they can win without Embiid. They will do so again right here on Friday. 10* Top Play PHILADELPHIA (-) |
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12-29-23 | Missouri v. Ohio State OVER 49.5 | Top | 14-3 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 19 m | Show |
CFB Friday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Cotton Bowl - Missouri Tigers vs Ohio State Buckeyes @ 8 ET - This total is in the 49.5 to 50 range as of about 9 hours before kickoff. I know Ohio State has a great defense but do you think the Buckeyes are excited to be here? They are used to playing for the National Championship or at least playing in a January 1st bowl. This season they are not only NOT playing on New Year's Day or New Year's Eve or even the 30th of December. The Buckeyes are playing on the 29th of December! Ohio State's defense is not going to be at it's greatest in my opinion as this bowl is a letdown by their standards. That opens things up for a solid Missouri offense to take advantage. However, I do not trust this Tigers defense and they will struggle particularly against the pass. Now, of course, Ohio State has opt outs and their top QB is one of them but you know the talent level of Buckeyes recruits. Ohio State has solid fill-ins across the board on offense despite having some opt-outs at the skill positions. That said, the Buckeyes should roll here on offense but I do not expect their defense to be without some trouble in this one. Missouri is bringing a talented slate of weapons for this one on offense and they averaged in the mid-30s on offense this season as did the Buckeyes. Now, of course, given the circumstances I am not expecting the offenses to reach mid-30s here but we do not need to. We only need mid-20s range for each and I fully expect that given all of the above. That puts this one past the 49.5 to 50 number currently posted on this one. 10* OVER the total in Cotton Bowl |
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12-29-23 | Memphis v. Iowa State -10 | Top | 36-26 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 57 m | Show |
CFB Friday 10* Top Play Iowa State Cyclones (-) vs Memphis Tigers @ 3:30 ET in the Liberty Bowl which is played in Memphis. The current line on this one in the 10 to 10.5 range as of about 5 hours before kickoff. Someone knows something. Yes, this is one of those games. The Tigers have the better record, are playing at home for this game, and yet the line has moved toward Iowa State and the Cyclones are now double digit favorites in this game! Don't be surprised when the road team wins this one huge. This one features a Memphis team that did not have to play UTSA in the regular season and lost their games with SMU and Tulane. The reason I mention that is because those are the only 3 teams in the AAC that, besides the Tigers, had a winning record. So the point is Memphis has not even beaten a team in their conference that ended up with a winning record in conference action. Now the Tigers go outside their conference to face a tough Iowa State team from the Big 12. Yes, Memphis has a solid offense that puts up big numbers but their defense is horrible. The Cyclones will move the ball well on the Tigers throughout this game and the flip side is that Iowa State will be able to get some stops on Memphis. Note that, against unranked teams like the Tigers, the Cyclones have won 5 straight games and allowed only 14 ppg in the last 4 victories in that run. Iowa State is on a 6-3 run and the only 3 losses were to ranked teams and the 6 wins saw them average 34.7 ppg. Against this bad Tigers defense they will score at least that and I just do not see Memphis keeping up as the Cyclones defense is a respectable one to say the least. Also, look at what other AAC teams have done in the bowls. Although USF throttled a disinterested Syracuse team, the other 3 AAC teams that have played in bowls were all beaten badly and struggled to score points. Rice lost 45-21, SMU lost 23-14, and Tulane lost 41-20. Also, NONE of those 3 played teams as tough as Iowa State. Look for the Cyclones to roll here as AAC has proven to be even weaker than advertised! 10* IOWA STATE (-) |
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12-29-23 | Queens Park Rangers v. Ipswich Town OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -114 | 5 h 21 m | Show |
Rotation #200305: Championship League: Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 -115 in Ipswich Town vs Queens Park Rangers @ 2:45 ET - Ipswich Town is near the top of the table and their average home match in league action has been 3-2 this season and there is nothing average about that for sure! In other words, lets take advantage of the low total here as Ipswich Town has been struggling and has been giving up goals all season long quite consistently. The strength for them is the attack and the hosts will come out angry and aggressive in this one after some recent disappointing results. That means we should expect plenty of scoring and, of course, they are a 1-goal favorite here on the goal line for a reason. The Queens Park Rangers do not score well but they average 1 goal scored per match on the season. They should make the net ripple at least once. Ipswich Town has allowed 2 goals per match last 4 matches. They will allow at least 1 here but they also have the potency on the attack to turn this into a home rout. Look for a 3-1 or 2-1 type match here. 10* OVER 2.5 -115 in Ipswich Town |
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12-29-23 | Plymouth Argyle v. Southampton OVER 3.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 53 m | Show |
Rotation #200293: Championship League: Friday 10* Top Play OVER 3.5 +100 in Southampton vs Plymouth Argyle @ 1 ET - Southampton rolling and averages scoring 2 goals per match when at home this season. Plymouth Argyle has allowed 2 goals per game on the road when on the road as they have struggled away from home. However, Plymouth Argyle is scoring an average of 1.6 goals per match this season and this one shapes up to be a 3-1 type match as, of course, Southampton is laying 1.5 goals for a reason. So 3-2 or 3-1 at a bare minimum looks like the the likely results in this one as the hosts keep rolling but also give up at least 1 on the counterattack along the way. 10* OVER 3.5 +100 in Southampton |
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12-28-23 | Arizona v. Oklahoma OVER 58.5 | Top | 38-24 | Win | 100 | 8 h 60 m | Show |
Bowl Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 58.5 in Oklahoma Sooners vs Arizona Wildcats @ 9:15 ET in Alamo Bowl in San Antonio, TX - The Sooners will be without Dillon Gabriel as he is transferring to Oregon. However, they have a 5-star recruit who does at least have some game-day experience getting the start in this one. He also is a threat with his legs and OU, even with some guys out on offense, still have an ultra dangerous offensive attack. This Sooners team averaged 43 ppg this season but they are not a very good defense. They are facing a Wildcats team that also piled up points this season. Arizona was particularly potent late in the season and they averaged over 450 yards per game on offense while Oklahoma averaged over 500 yards per game on offense this season. While OU will be missing some guys on offense it looks like the Cats will mostly be intact for this game. That said, I trust this Sooners system to score points on anyone! At the same time, Arizona will be piling up points with their full strength offense ready to roll in this one! The Wildcats finished the season on a 6-game win streak and averaged scoring 39 ppg in these victories. As you can see, both these teams can pile up points in a hurry and OU has depth so despite guys missing they will surprise and I like their QB for this one as well. I expect each team to sneak into the 30s in this one so I feel we have excellent value here with this total in the upper 50s! 10* OVER 58.5 in Alamo Bowl |
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12-28-23 | Jets v. Browns OVER 33.5 | Top | 20-37 | Win | 100 | 8 h 42 m | Show |
NFL Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 33.5 in Cleveland Browns vs New York Jets @ 8:15 ET - This total is just too low when you consider that Siemian has rejuvenated the Jets offense a bit and he is getting the call as starter again this week. Also, the Browns are legitimate one touchdown favorites here and Flacco has revitalized the Browns offense as well. So here you have a Cleveland team that has won 3 in a row and is playing with confidence and they are hosting a Jets team that has won 2 of 3 and is looking to play the role of spoiler. Jets have allowed 29 points per game last two games. However, they have also scored 30 points in their last two wins. Cleveland has seen each of last five games total at least 37 points! The Browns have allowed 26 ppg last 5 games but have also scored 29 ppg last 3 games. Look at the line on this game and this total. That would put this game, given the spread by the oddsmakers, at about 21-14 but I just don't see either team being held below those numbers given the above. Also, definitely decent weather by Cleveland standards for late December for this one. I respect these defenses but the offenses are playing with more confidence of late and this posted total is just too low given the recent level of play of these offensive units. 10* OVER 33.5 in Cleveland |
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12-28-23 | West Ham United v. Arsenal OVER 3 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -108 | 5 h 27 m | Show |
Rotation #200077: English Premier League: Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 3 in Arsenal vs West Ham United @ 3:15 ET - Arsenal and West Ham have totaled 3 or more goals in each of last 4 meetings and each of the last 3 have totaled 4 goals! I fully expect this one will too. Arsenal is off a disappointing 1-1 draw but this followed a 2-0 win and I look for them to get rolling again on the attack. They have not been as goal-happy of late but this is still a club that has averaged 2.5 goals scored in their EPL home matches this season. West Ham has allowed 2.2 goals per match in road matches this season but this is a solid scoring club too as the Hammers average scoring 1.7 goals per match on the season. West Ham has allowed an alarming 5 goals in EACH of their two matches away from home and, of course, these are both London clubs but still this one is in the home of Arsenal. On their home turf, the hosts are going to explode for goals here as West Ham does not have a clean sheet on the road since April! Arsenal, however, has also been conceding as well of late with goals allowed in 5 of last 6 matches and in those 5 they conceded 1.4 goals per match. The hosts do enter this one having scored 2.3 goals per match in their last 7 matches across all competitions. Looking for both teams to score and West Ham has just 1 draw in their 9 road matches this season so very strong odds of at least a 2-1 final here but certainly expecting much, much more. 10* OVER 3 in Arsenal |
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12-28-23 | Tottenham Hotspur v. Brighton & Hove Albion OVER 3.5 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 115 | 5 h 46 m | Show |
Rotation #200073: English Premier League: Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 3 or 3.5 in Brighton & Hove vs Tottenham @ 2:30 ET - Brighton & Hove is averaging very close to 2 goals scored and 2 goals conceded per match. Tottenham is scoring an average of 2 goals per match this season but they are on the road here and Brighton should enjoy some success on their home pitch. Tottenham knows they can breach a Brighton backline that has been struggling so I do expect the Hotspur to be aggressive on the attack here but, of course, this will open things up for Brighton to be aggressive on the counterattack. Tottenham's last 9 matches have seen them both score and concede in 8 of them and these matches have averaged 4 goals so don't let the big total posted on this one keep you away. Brighton has both scored and conceded in 17 of 18 matches this season in EPL action! I know the Albion have had some lower scoring matches of late but Tottenham should have conceded more against Everton last week and they were lucky in that regard and I can not foresee them being so lucky again here. The hosts in this match are desperate to get back on track in the scoring department and I expect an aggressive approach in this one. 10* OVER 3 or 3.5 in Brighton & Hove |
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12-27-23 | Texas A&M v. Oklahoma State OVER 54.5 | Top | 23-31 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 8 m | Show |
Bowl Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Texas A & M vs Oklahoma State in Texas Bowl @ 9 ET - The Aggies lost a lot of key guys heading into this bowl game whether through injury or transfer portal. However, a number of those key players are defensive stars. As a result, Texas A & M is going to have big struggles in this game to stop the Cowboys offense. I expect Oklahoma State to score big in this game but the issue for OSU is their defense can not be trusted. The Aggies are the more talented team in this match-up, even with some replacements on offense this A & M still has plenty of talent at the skill positions and they were buoyed by late season success on offense after Fisher was fired. Overall, the Aggies have scored an average of 37 points over the last 5 games! Oklahoma State finished the season with a 49-21 loss to the Longhorns. However, the Cowboys had scored at least 27 points in 10 of their first 12 games this season! OSU does have a dangerous offense and the Aggies missing key players on the defensive line and in the linebacking group. The Cowboys have the talent on offense and a coaching edge here with veteran Gundy calling the shots and I expect them to move the ball very well here. Their defense allowed 441 yards per game this season and will be exploited here. The current total as of about 9 hours before kickoff is in the 54 to 54.5 range and I am expecting this game to get well into the 60s. 10* OVER the total in Texas Bowl |
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12-27-23 | Manchester City v. Everton OVER 2.5 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 4 h 20 m | Show |
Rotation #200069: English Premier League: Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Everton vs Manchester City @ 3:15 ET - I know some are anticipating a low-scoring grinder here but I expect City to come out strong on the road in this one and Everton to also answer with at least 1 goal here. Note that City has just 1 draw in 9 road matches this season and Everton has just 2 draws in 18 matches this season! That is an 11% draw rate for each club and that means if you expect each team to score here than odds also suggest it finds it way to at least a 2-1 final. The numbers support that theory as well. City has scored 2 goals per match on the road this season and Everton has scored 1 goal per match at home. Everton will try to frustrate City with tight defensive play here but Man City will figure out how to break through. They have too much firepower to be shutdown. They scored 3 goals in the last meeting. City has averaged scoring 3 goals per match in their last 13 across all competitions. Everton has scored at least 1 goal in 10 of last 11 matches and has averaged 1.6 goals scored per match during this stretch. 10* OVER 2.5 in Everton |
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12-27-23 | Wolverhampton Wanderers v. Brentford OVER 2.5 | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 4 h 9 m | Show |
Rotation #200065: English Premier League: Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Brentford vs Wolverhampton @ 2:30 ET - Wolverhampton has extra confidence coming in off the 2-1 win over Chelsea. However, they have allowed 2 goals per match in last 8 played away from home and Brentford is chomping at the bit to get back on track. Brentford is off a 2-1 home loss to Aston Villa but did score 3 goals in their most recent home match prior to that. Brentford has allowed 1.5 goals last 4 matches. Neither team draws frequently and so I do NOT expect a sharing of the spoils here and I also can't foresee either team delivering a clean sheet given the above. That said, looks like a 2-1 final at a bare minimum here. 10* OVER 2.5 in Brentford |
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12-26-23 | Jazz -3 v. Spurs | Top | 130-118 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show |
NBA Tuesday 10* Top Play Utah Jazz (-) @ San Antonio Spurs @ 8:10 ET - The Spurs might be without Wembanyama as he has a sprained ankle and is listed as questionable. I know the Jazz have not been good this season but were it not for the Pistons losing 26 games in a row I feel we would all be hearing much more about just how horrific this Spurs run has been. San Antonio started this season 3-2 but they have since gone 1-22 in an awful run of futility only overshadowed by the Pistons nightmare run. Also, 23 of San Antonio's 24 losses this season have been by at least 3 points so laying the number here (currently 3 as of about 11 hours before tipoff) is no problem either. The Jazz have won 5 of last 7 games so they have won more games the past two weeks than the Spurs have won all season long! Only 1 of Utah's last 11 wins have been by less than a 3 point margin. So excellent value here because of the Jazz being on the road for this one and we'll fade San Antonio again here. 10* UTAH (-) |
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12-26-23 | Texas State v. Rice OVER 59.5 | Top | 45-21 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show |
Bowl Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Rice Owls vs Texas State Bobcats @ 5:30 ET in First Responder Bowl in Dallas, TX - The current total on this one is as low as a 59.5 as of about 9 hours before kickoff. Rice does not have their starting QB for this one but his replacement has some experience. Couple that with the fact that the Texas State defense is so bad and I expect the Owls offense to function just fine in this one. Another big key here is the Rice defense is not great and the Texas State offense is a very aggressive one that has had huge success. The system brought in by the new coach has flourished here and the Bobcats attack will be relentless in this game. Looks like great weather expected for this one as well. So this one checks all the boxes for ending up a high-scoring game that should see plenty of points. Rice closed the season with B2B wins but prior to that they were 4-6 and allowed at least 30 points in 7 of those 10 games. Texas State's last two games EACH totaled at least 96 points! 3 of their last 4 games did total at least 69 points! The Bobcats are scoring an average of 36 ppg this season and are about a 4 point favorite here. That puts this one at a 36-32 final and that is more than a full TD above the current posted total on this one so we'll step in and look to take full advantage. 10* OVER the total in Rice |
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12-26-23 | Aston Villa v. Manchester United OVER 3 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 44 m | Show |
Rotation #200057: English Premier League: Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 3 +100 in Manchester United vs Aston Villa @ 3 ET - This is a contrarian play considering how bad that Manchester United has been playing but I feel sure Manchester United will bounce back at home here after a stretch of unreal futility. There is still too much talent on this club to continue struggling like this. Manchester United won the most recent meeting with Aston Villa 1-0 but each of the 4 most recent meetings prior to that one not only went over the total, they each totaled at least 4 goals! Aston Villa has both scored and conceded in 9 of last 12 matches across all competitions. If that trend continues here, and I fully expect it will given the high-scoring match-up history between these clubs, then what are the odds of just a 1-1 draw? They are actually very slim as Aston Villa has just 3 draws in 18 matches and Man U has just ONE draw in their 18 EPL matches! Excellent value here as the hosts will play with aggressive attacking style as they look to get back on track. 10* OVER 3 +100 in Manchester United |
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12-26-23 | Liverpool v. Burnley OVER 3 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -120 | 6 h 38 m | Show |
Rotation #200053: English Premier League: Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 3 -120 in Burnley vs Liverpool @ 12:30 ET - Burnley confidence is growing here after a 2-0 win last week and the fact they are on their home pitch here! Burnley is running into a buzzsaw here however as Liverpool is off a tough 1-1 draw with Arsenal. The Reds will look to make amends for that here with a huge effort and I expect the goals to fly here as a result. Liverpool, dating all the way back to July across all competitions, has scored an average of 3 goals per match! The Reds are favored by 1.5 goals on the goal line for a reason but Burnley playing with confidence and, at home, they have averaged scoring a goal per game and Liverpool has not exactly been water-tight at the back either. Great spot here to anticipate plenty of goals and look for nothing less than a 3-1 type of final in this one. 10* OVER 3 -120 in Burnley |
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12-26-23 | Fulham v. AFC Bournemouth OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 4 h 40 m | Show |
Rotation #200049: English Premier League: Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 -135 in Bournemouth vs Fulham @ 10 AM ET - Bournemouth has scored at least 1 goal in 10 straight matches and has averaged 2 goals scored per match during this hot run of attacking prowess. Fulham off a 2-0 loss but they also had been scoring well prior to B2B shutouts in EPL action. Fulham had scored an average of 4 goals per match in 4 matches prior to this tough run! Fulham has allowed at least 2 goals in 5 of last 7 matches in EPL action so you can see why I am anticipating a high-scoring battle in this one. Great spot here to anticipate plenty of goals and look for nothing less than a 2-1 final in this one. 10* OVER 2.5 -135 in Bournemouth |
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12-25-23 | Ravens v. 49ers OVER 46 | Top | 33-19 | Win | 100 | 12 h 54 m | Show |
NFL Monday 10* Top Play OVER the total in San Francisco 49ers vs Baltimore Ravens @ 8:15 ET - This total is down to as low as a 46 as of about 11 hours before kickoff on this one. I love going contrarian in this one. Of course you are talking about two solid defenses here but why is this total so high? Exactly! This total is high because we are also talking about two great offenses here and I feel the running ability of Jackson for the Ravens is going to frustrate the Niners in this one. He is a major headaches for defenses and, at the same time, Baltimore will struggle to slow down the Niners in this one as their offense is "off the charts" good. Lets dig into the numbers on this one. The 49ers enter this one having won 6 straight games and they averaged scoring 34.5 points per game during this stretch! So they must of played a bunch of bad teams, right? No, not at all actually! The Niners had 5 of the 6 games against teams that are likely to end up in this year's playoffs! So the point is that San Francisco can move the ball on anyone and will do so again here against the Ravens. Baltimore has won 8 of 9 games and they have scored an average of 26.4 ppg in those 9 games. Note that the spread on this game is right around a 7 and, per the above, a 34-27 final would not be a shock. Now certainly that is not what I am necessarily expecting here but that gives us a lot of wiggle room (about 2 TDs) compared to the posted total on this game! I am definitely looking for 48 to 55 as a likely range on this total. These are two of the top offenses in the NFL and the weather will be great for this one as well. 10* OVER the total in San Francisco |
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12-25-23 | 76ers +3 v. Heat | Top | 113-119 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 3 m | Show |
NBA Monday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers (+) @ Miami Heat @ 8:10 ET - Embiid is out for the Sixers but now they are catching 3 points as of about 9 hours before tip off. Keep in mind, Butler might miss this game for the Heat. Either way, I like the value here of a deep Sixers team catching points because of the absence of Embiid. This is a rare chance to catch Philly as an underdog and, keep in mind, Miami is 0-3 SU the last 3 times they have entered a game on a winning streak of at least 2 games. Including post-season games, the Heat are just 19-19 SU last 38 games. Philly is 29-12 SU last 41 games. The Sixers are 8-1 SU last 9 games overall entering this one and offer exceptional line value here. I know they are without Embiid but the Sixers are so loaded with other talent and depth that they will get the Christmas Day upset here. We'll grab the points just in case but I do not expect to need them. 10* PHILADELPHIA (+) |
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12-25-23 | Giants v. Eagles -13.5 | Top | 25-33 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 29 m | Show |
NFL Monday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Eagles (-) vs New York Giants @ 4:30 ET - The Giants had won 3 straight before a 24-6 loss last week. However, 2 of those 3 wins were at home. In terms of road games, the Giants have lost 3 of 4 and all 3 of those losses were by at least 18 points! Overall, 5 of their last 6 road losses have been by at least 18 points and the average margin of those defeats is 19 points! The Eagles are off 3 straight losses but they faced 3 playoff teams in the 49ers, Cowboys and Seahawks. Those teams have a combined record of 29-15. The Giants, on the other hand, have a 5-9 record. Philly is going to move the ball much better this week as Hurts is now healthy and the Eagles offense does look healthy, for the most part, heading into this one. The defense has some injuries but the Giants offense just does not have the weapons to take advantage. The Eagles so hungry off 3 straight losses, are at home, and they can take advantage of the Cowboys loss yesterday to move back into first place in the division. A lot of positive energy as a result of all of the above is going to see the Eagles win this one in an annihilation. The Giants just do not have the offense to keep up here. The Giants have scored an average of 9 points in their 9 losses this season. The Eagles are averaging 30 points in their 10 victories their season. That puts this game at about 30-9 which is a victory margin of 21 points and we are looking at a line that is just under the 2-TD margin - the current line on this game. The line is 13.5 on this one as of about 8 hours before kickoff. 10* PHILADELPHIA (-) |
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12-24-23 | Nevada -6 v. Georgia Tech | Top | 72-64 | Win | 100 | 12 h 1 m | Show |
CBB Sunday 10* Top Play Nevada Wolf Pack (-) vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets @ 9 ET in Diamond Head Classic in Honolulu, Hawaii - Perfect set up here. The Yellow Jackets blew a huge 20 point 2nd half lead against Hawaii yesterday and barely hung on. That is the kind of game that takes a lot out of a team, especially when it is part of a tournament like this where teams are playing so many games in a short period of time. I look for yesterday's game to be the final good moment for Georgia Tech over in Hawaii as the fresher legs and overall stronger roster belongs to Nevada. The Wolf Pack are coming off a much more comfortable win yesterday as they maintained a big lead for much of the game and cruised to the win over TCU by double digits. The Pack are now 11-1 this season and all 11 wins have been by at least 6 points and that is the number on this game as of about 12 hours before tipoff. 9 of the other 10 Nevada wins have been by double digits. Georgia Tech's last 3 wins have been by an average margin of just 3 points and one of those victories was in OT! In other words, the Jackets have been winning too but not by big margins and there is a lot of value here with a 1-loss team facing a 3-loss team whose 3 losses have, by the way, been by a margin of 17 points on average. Lay the reasonable number here and look for the favorite to roll by double digits in this one. 10* NEVADA (-) |
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12-24-23 | Patriots v. Broncos OVER 36.5 | Top | 26-23 | Win | 100 | 9 h 40 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 36.5 in Denver Broncos vs New England Patriots @ 8:15 ET - We get line value here due to the long-term under trending in NFL this season plus that trend being particularly strong in primetime games plus the fact that these teams each had low-scoring tendencies up until recently. Now, things are starting to change and yet the betting markets have not caught up with that and getting this total in the mid-30's is a bargain to say the least. The Broncos are off a loss but this followed a 6-1 SU run in which Denver averaged 22.6 points scored per game. Also, Denver has allowed an average of 21 ppg in their last 6 games. The Patriots are off a home loss that totaled 44 points. Also, in terms of true road games (not neutral site), the Pats have seen 4 of last 5 total at least 38 points! Those 4 games averaged 41.5 points per game and that is the range I am expecting with this one today as well. Zappe has 4 TD passes for the Patriots the past two weeks. Wilson has 3 TDs the past two weeks. Also he has 13 TDs against only 1 INT in his 7 home games this season. Patriots will surprise on the road here as Zappe continues to work hard to get this offense going and Broncos D has struggled some recently but, also, the Broncos strong play continues at home. 10* OVER 36.5 in Denver |
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12-24-23 | Cowboys v. Dolphins -119 | Top | 20-22 | Win | 100 | 5 h 59 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play Miami Dolphins PK -115 / -120 vs Dallas Cowboys @ 4:25 ET - When the Cowboys prove they can beat a good team on the road I will stop fading them away from home. But as I noted in their game at Buffalo last week when we had the Bills, the Cowboys almost always struggle against good teams and particularly when on the road. As I mentioned in last week's write-up on Buffalo, the Cowboys were off the shocking absolute blowout of the Eagles the prior week. That was a huge divisional win for Dallas but the most shocking aspect was not just the final score and the domination. The most shocking aspect is the Cowboys finally beat a good team. The fact is Dallas almost always fails against good teams. It has been their modus operandi (m.o.) for quite some time now. The Cowboys dominate all the bad teams and plump up their stats in those games and then get everyone excited but then they crumble against quality teams. Give Dallas credit for the big win over Philly but also it looks like something continues to be amiss with the Eagles the past few weeks. That is certainly not the case with Miami. The Dolphins have won 6 of their 7 games played in Miami this season and their only loss was by a single point against Tennessee. That said, I feel we have some solid home value here with the Dolphins in this one. Dallas, including post-season action, is 0-5 both SU and ATS the last 5 times they have been road dogs. Of course when the Cowboys are road dogs it means they are facing a quality team. This goes back to what I was saying above in that Dallas usually struggles against quality opposition and, of course, road games are the toughest. Dolphins are about 1 point favorite here as of about 5 hours before kickoff but they also are available in the -115 to -120 range on the money line which is the better value in my opinion. Look for that play against situation involving Dallas as a road dog to improve to a PERFECT 6-0 the last six. 10* MIAMI (-) |
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12-24-23 | Galatasaray v. Fenerbahce OVER 3 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 19 m | Show |
Rotation #207861: Turkish Super Lig: Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 3 +105 in Fenerbahce vs Galatasaray @ 11 AM ET - Both clubs are solid defensively too but this is a match-up of the top two clubs in the league and Galatasaray is scoring an average of 2 goals per match this season and Fenerbahce is scoring an average of 3 goals per match in matches on their home pitch this season. In other words, the goals should be flying in this one. I am expecting 4 or more goals but keep in mind we just need 3 to get at least a push here and if you expect each team to score - and who wouldn't given their scoring numbers this season - and you do not expect a draw then you would expect at least a 2-1 final here. So what are the odds of a draw? Well, these clubs each have identical 14-1-1 records so the odds of a draw are ultra slim to say the least! Galatasaray has scored 3 goals in each of the last two meetings between these clubs. However, Fenerbahce is at home for this one and has been so impressive on the attack this season. That is a big part of the reason their last 5 matches have averaged 5.4 goals apiece and all 5 totaled at least 4 goals! Look for that trend to make it 6 in a row here! 10* OVER 3 +105 in Fenerbahce |
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12-24-23 | Chelsea v. Wolverhampton Wanderers OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 2 h 36 m | Show |
Rotation #200037: English Premier League: Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 -125 in Wolverhampton vs Chelsea @ 8 AM ET - The Wolves have scored in 15 matches in a row when on their home soil. Chelsea has been playing much better ever since they made the managerial change. Chelsea scoring a lot more goals too under the new regime. Of course they are favored on the road for a reason but note they are facing a Wolverhampton club that has a strong trend of goal-scoring at home. In other words, all signs point to at least a 2-1 final in this one and we have excellent line value with this total at just 2.5 goals. 2 of the last 3 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 3 goals and Wolves have allowed 2 goals per match in their last 5 matches overall. Chelsea has allowed 2 goals per match in their last 5 away from home. 10* OVER 2.5 -125 in Wolverhampton |
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12-23-23 | Sharks v. Canucks OVER 6.5 | Top | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 7 h 38 m | Show |
NHL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Vancouver Canucks vs San Jose Sharks @ 10:07 ET - Vancouver has revenge for a 4-3 loss at San Jose in the most recent meeting between these teams. With this being the last match before the Christmas break and given that each team enters this one off a loss, I am looking for the goals to fly in this one! Vancouver has scored 3.6 goals per game last 10 games! Each of the Canucks last 3 games overall have totaled at least 7 goals and I expect this one to as well. Vancouver has been struggling of late in the goals-conceded department and the Sharks could surprise again here just like they did in the most recent meeting. However, the Canucks will certainly be able to take advantage of a San Jose team that continues to allow too many goals. The Sharks have allowed an average of 5 goals per game last 3 games and also has seen 7 of their last 9 road games total at least 8 goals! Those 7 games averaged 9 goals apiece and this should be another wild one here given the situational aspects. 10* OVER 6.5 in Vancouver |
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12-23-23 | Spurs v. Mavs -7.5 | Top | 119-144 | Win | 100 | 7 h 5 m | Show |
NBA Saturday 10* Top Play Dallas Mavericks (-) vs San Antonio Spurs @ 8:40 ET - The Mavericks are off an ugly 122-96 loss at Houston. They were without so many guys but I expect some back here for this one and Doncic is on track to play! That will be a big boost to the Mavs and they will take advantage of facing a Spurs team that is having a disastrous season. San Antonio started the season 3-2 but has since gone 1-21. This is unreal and the Spurs and 7 of the last 8 losses have been by 8 or more points. The current line on this one is in the 7.5 range and SA likely to get hammered again as Dallas is angry off an embarrassing loss. The Mavericks had won 5 of 6 before tough recent slide but those 5 wins by an average margin of 14.6 points! They can roll this SA team that is an absolute disaster right now. The Mavs already won by 7 against the Spurs earlier this season and that game was at San Antonio and the Spurs were a different team then. They are really lacking in confidence and execution compared to the team we saw early this season. 10* DALLAS (-) |
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12-23-23 | Bills v. Chargers +13 | Top | 24-22 | Win | 100 | 7 h 30 m | Show |
NFL Saturday 10* Top Play LA Chargers (+) vs Buffalo Bills @ 8 ET - As of about 7 and 1/2 hours before kickoff this line is in the 13 range. The Chargers will be a different team this week. Yes they got blown out by Raiders and Broncos the past two weeks but the yardage was not nearly commensurate with the final scores of those games. They were fluke final scores. Now the Chargers have fired their head coach and will be different this week. After getting blasted 63 to 21 at Las Vegas last week on Thursday, Los Angeles is anxious to get back on the field and make up for that embarrassment. Yes, the Bills are a solid team but to be laying nearly two touchdowns here sure seems like a bit much. Buffalo is off 3 straight huge games - Eagles, Chiefs, Cowboys - and has a divisional revenge game on deck versus Patriots. Don't be surprised if this game is decided by a single score margin. The Chargers, prior to B2B losses, were just 5-7 on the season but only 2 losses by more than 3 points in those dozen games! A lot of line value here with the huge points for the home dog in a situation where the road favorite may not be 100% focused. 10* LA Chargers (+) |
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12-23-23 | St. John's v. Connecticut OVER 147.5 | Top | 65-69 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 13 m | Show |
CBB Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 147.5 in Connecticut Huskies vs St John's Red Storm @ 8 ET - The Huskies are off a loss but had won 10 of 11 games prior to that. Connecticut will bounce back here and they averaged 88.5 ppg in their 10 victories. Of course UConn expected to win this game as they are a big favorite for a reason in this one. Look at the Huskies as 11 point favorites here and note they average 88 points in their victories. So, the law of averages says this game ends 88-77 and that means totaling 165 points which is way above the 147.5 total currently posted on this game. That said, you are looking at quite a bit of wiggle room on this one in terms of playing the over. Note that the Red Storm do struggle defensively but they do score well. They had one low-scoring game but in their other 10 games this season they scored an average of 83 points per game. I like the odds of this one being an over easy given all of the above. 10* OVER 147.5 in Connecticut |
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12-23-23 | Utah -6.5 v. Northwestern | Top | 7-14 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 22 m | Show |
CFB Bowls Saturday 10* Top Play Utah Utes (-) vs Northwestern Wildcats @ 7:30 ET - The Utes coach Whittingham is 11-5 SU in bowls! The Wildcats coach Braun is 0-0 SU in bowls! Indeed, this is his first ever bowl and Whittingham has been coaching at Utah as a head coach since 2005. At that time Braun was still PLAYING - not coaching - College Football at Winona State in Minnesota. In fact, Whittingham's coaching career dates all the way back to 1985 when he was a graduate assistant at BYU so he has been coaching since the year Braun was born! I know the Utes had higher hopes this season but they are still coming to Vegas with sights set on winning this bowl. If they did not care about winning it they would not have asked their QB to stay and play in this game even though he will be transferring after this season. By the way, why is he transferring? Is Bryson Barnes disgruntled with the program? No, not at all. He just wants to play and he knows that Cameron Rising, off a huge 2022 season, will be back in 2024 with Utah after missing all of 2023. Barnes does not want to ride the bench behind a star QB like Rising potentially all season long next year. So Barnes will look to go out on top here with the Utes and I like the coaching experience edge and the fact that Whittingham demands the best from his players. The Utes finished 8-4 this season but the 4 losses were all to teams in the top 20 when they faced them. The Wildcats finished the season 7-5 and 3 of their 5 losses were to unranked teams and Northwestern scored an average of only 8 points in those 3 losses to unranked foes! Northwestern faced two ranked teams this season and lost those games by a combined scored of 29 to 7! The Utes also get a boost with the return of RB Micah Bernard for this one. He is a solid running back and he is solid out of the backfield too in the receiving game as well. Utah wants this game and they have won Pac-12 Championships in this stadium in Vegas in recent seasons as well. They are use to playing here, are the stronger team, and we get line value with this one dropping from a 9.5 down to a 6.5 as of about 8 hours before kickoff. 10* UTAH (-) |
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12-23-23 | South Alabama v. Eastern Michigan OVER 44 | Top | 59-10 | Win | 100 | 9 h 49 m | Show |
CFB Bowls Saturday 10* Top Play OVER the total in South Alabama Jaguars vs Eastern Michigan Eagles @ 7 ET - This total has dropped to as low as a 44 as of 9 hours before kickoff and yes I am aware of the opt outs and guys entering the transfer portal as well. The fact is this has resulted in line value on this total as it is far too low in my opinion. For one thing, South Alabama is a huge favorite for a reason and this Bowl game is being played in their home venue as well! That said, if the odds makers are close with the spread here (as they so often are) that means we just need about 14 points from the Eagles and we win this total. That's because, in theory, that would mean a 31-14 final given this spread of the Jaguars as a 17 point favorite. Eastern Michigan has scored more than 20 points in 7 of last 8 games! In those 8 games, the Eagles have averaged scoring 23 ppg! South Alabama played another MAC team, Central Michigan, earlier this season and that was a 34-30 loss. Again, this posted total just too low here as we get line value due to opt outs. Neither team is good against the pass. Both teams will attack through the air regardless of who is under center. The Jaguars have averaged scoring 32 ppg last 11 games. The Jags have allowed 22 ppg last 9 games. Take advantage of the low posted total here and look for an easy over in this one. 10* OVER the total in South Alabama |
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12-23-23 | Arsenal v. Liverpool OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -140 | 4 h 25 m | Show |
Rotation #200033: English Premier League: Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 -140 in Liverpool vs Arsenal @ 12:30 ET - For the first time in 20 years, Liverpool had at least 34 shots on goal without scoring! It was a crazy result against Manchester United and that is helping to give us line value in this match-up with Arsenal in which the goals should fly in this blockbuster battle. Liverpool has seen it's other 3 recent matches across all competitions all total at least 3 goals and those averaged 4 goals apiece. Arsenal has consistently been averaging 2 goals per match and Liverpool is also consistently averaging 2 goals per match plus has scored at least 2 goals in each of last 4 meetings with Arsenal. 2-2 draw here would not surprise me in the least and certainly expecting a 2-1 final here at a bare minimum as this is the perfect set-up for an over. 10* OVER 2.5 -140 in Liverpool |
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12-23-23 | AFC Bournemouth v. Nottingham Forest OVER 2.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 2 h 2 m | Show |
Rotation #200013: English Premier League: Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +100 in Nottingham Forest vs Bournemouth @ 10 AM ET - Look for a strong effort from a Nottingham Forest club on their home pitch and buoyed by a managerial change. The trouble for Forest is they are facing a red hot Bournemouth club and that is why I am expecting the goals to fly here. Forest needs to be more aggressive and start scoring some goals and, hence, the managerial change. As for Bournemouth, they have been in top form and are showing no signs of slowing down. That means they will also keep Forest on their heels a bit in this one too and I look for a lot of attacking and counter-attacking opportunities in this one given the situation. Note that Forest has allowed 2.4 goals per match last 5 matches. Bournemouth has scored 2.4 goals per match last 5 matches. You know Forest is not going to lay down at home given the situation but you can also see why the visitors are projected to have a strong day as well. 2-1 at the very least here the way I see it with this one. 10* OVER 2.5 +100 in Nottingham Forest |
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12-22-23 | Temple -3.5 v. Old Dominion | Top | 63-78 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 16 m | Show |
Rotation #883: Friday CBB 10* Top Play Temple Owls (-) vs Old Dominion Monarchs @ 7:30 ET - Temple will bounce back here in Hawaii - this line 3.5 as of about 6 and 1/2 hours before tipoff - as the Owls take advantage of a struggling Old Dominion team here. The Monarchs have lost 4 straight games and allowed an average of 90 ppg in those 4 defeats! Old Dominion only has two wins in regulation time this season and both were against outclassed foes. The Monarchs certainly do not outclass the Owls! So, in other words, look for their losing skid to continue here. The Owls are off their worst loss of the season to a tough Nevada team but, prior to that defeat, Temple was 6-4 on the season and the average loss was by just 6 points. The Owls have faced a tougher schedule than Old Dominion as well and the Monarchs are just 3-7 SU on the season. So when you factor all this in, this is a solid line value situation to back a short favorite off their worst loss the season. 10* TEMPLE (-) |