Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-06-21 | Arsenal +108 v. Everton | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 45 m | Show |
EPL NBCSN Annihilation - 10* Top Play Arsenal +110 @ Everton @ 3 ET - Until they get Dominic Calvert-Lewin back from injury, Everton's struggle to score goals is likely to continue. Arsenal, except for struggling against the top clubs in the league, has been rolling for quite some time now. After dropping a 3-2 match at Manchester United, Arsenal responds at Everton. Looking at their five most recent matches not played against Man U or Liverpool, Arsenal not only prevailed in all five they won those matches by a combined score of 10 to 1. Everton has not won a match since September! Not only has Everton struggled this is a double revenge spot for Arsenal as Everton did take both meetings last season. It is payback time here and, based on current form, the visitors very likely to get their revenge. 10* ARSENAL +110 |
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12-05-21 | Broncos v. Chiefs -8.5 | Top | 9-22 | Win | 100 | 10 h 21 m | Show |
NFL SNF Blowout - 10* Top Play Kansas City Chiefs -8.5 vs Denver Broncos @ 8:20 ET - This looks like the perfect spot for the Chiefs to put it all together. They are facing a rival they typically dominate. They are coming off a bye week. They have won 4 straight. Speaking of 4 straight wins, Kansas City has won last 4 meetings with Broncos by sweeping them each of past two seasons. The Chiefs beat Denver by an average margin of 19.3 points in those 4 wins. I know the Sunday Night pointspread may seem a little steep but don't let it scare you away. Remember, before last week's Broncos win Denver lost by 17 at home versus the Eagles. Also, the Chiefs have played the tougher schedule this season thusfar in comparison with Denver as KC has had games against Buffalo, Tennessee, and Green Bay. This game is priced high for a season and I expect a huge game from Mahomes with the advantage of the added prep time and I look for the Chiefs defense to really get after Bridgewater in this one. The KC defense will have their ears pinned back and they have allowed 17 or less points in 5 of last 6 games. More of the same here. 10* KANSAS CITY |
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12-05-21 | Lightning v. Flyers +115 | Top | 7-1 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 59 m | Show |
NHL Earliest Blowout - 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers Money Line +115 vs Tampa Bay Lightning @ 6:08 ET - This is a great spot for the Flyers as a home dog on the money line. The Lightning are off a fierce battle with the Bruins which they won in overtime yesterday at Boston. Not only is that the type of game that can leave Tampa Bay flat in their next game, it also means the goalie situation is unique. I do not expect Andrei Vasilevskiy to go again between the pipes after facing nearly 40 shots yesterday and with the game going to OT and, though I have plenty of respect for Brian Elliott, the veteran would be in trouble here. I do expect Elliott to start and he'll be facing his former team and they know the veteran netminder well. They know his strengths and weaknesses well and will take advantage here. No matter who is between the pipes for the Bolts, look for a very hungry and rested Philly team (just one game since last weekend) to take advantage and get a much needed win. Yes the Flyers have been slumping but this is the perfect spot to back them as a home dog and with a huge rest edge and with a massive situational edge with TB off that key win yesterday. 10* PHILADELPHIA +115 |
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12-05-21 | Ravens v. Steelers OVER 44 | Top | 19-20 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 8 m | Show |
NFL AFC North Total of the Year - 10* Top Play OVER 44 in Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens @ 4:25 ET - Decent weather expected in Pittsburgh considering it is December. Even though this is a rivalry game, 3 of the last 4 have gone over the total. I am expecting big games from Roethlisberger and Jackson in this one. Both signal-callers were a part of turnover-filled games last week and both guys are fully capable of huge bounce back efforts here. Ben has a 14-6 TD-INT ratio this season and Lamar is also an NFL MVP. Jackson will bounce back in a key big game here and same for Big Ben. The over is 5-2 in the Steelers last 7 games and I look for that trend to continue here. The Ravens have a dangerous ground game and Pittsburgh struggles to stop the run. Both teams can air it out and I expect that to be the case in this game as well. This is just one of those rare situations where you have two strong QB's both in a bounce back situation and both i a huge game and the way all this fell with this scheduling situation and the solid weather too, all factors came together for a big play here. 10* OVER 44 in Pittsburgh |
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12-05-21 | Leicester v. Aston Villa OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 57 m | Show |
EPL NBCSN Day Game - 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Aston Villa vs Leicester @ 11:30 AM ET - Leicester is the only club, other than Manchester United, to have both scored and conceded at least 22 goals thus far in Premier League competitions. In other words, when Leicester is involved, one can comfortably expect goals to be scored. Aston Villa has played much better under the direction of Steven Gerrard and I expect that to continue here. But I also expect Leicester to give them all they can handle here. Leicester enters this one having scored at least 2 goals in 3 straight matches across all competitions and they have averaged 3 goals per match during this stretch. The visitors also have conceded 2 or more goals in 3 straight matches in Premier League action. The hosts are looking to respond here after a 2-1 defeat and that loss was to a tough Manchester City club. Look for Aston Villa - had scored 2 goals in each of 2 prior matches under Gerrard's direction - to respond big with a huge effort on their home pitch here. On the season their home matches have averaged 3 goals and I expect at least a 2-1 final in this one. Given all of the above a clean sheet is unlikely and with each club expected to get a goal but the 3 points being so critical in this one - Leicester 3 points in front of the hosts in the table entering this one - I expect a huge effort in going for the victory and this one finds it way to 2-1 at a minimum. 10* OVER 2.5 in Aston Villa |
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12-04-21 | USC v. California OVER 57.5 | Top | 14-24 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 59 m | Show |
CFB Total of the Year - 10* Top Play OVER 57.5 in California Golden Bears vs USC Trojans @ 11 PM ET - Both teams are 4-7 now with no shot at bowl eligibility. This a rescheduled game from about a month ago when covid forced a cancellation. It is hard to imagine there being much defensive intensity for this game considering the circumstances. That said, consider that USC is off a high-scoring game with BYU that saw the teams combine for over 900 yards of offense! The Trojans prior game was against UCLA and totaled 95 points. Southern Cal has a lot of talent on offense and skilled players that can do some damage against this California defense in the open field. The issue for USC is their defense has been failing them this season. Since they started the season 3-2 SU the Trojans have since gone 1-5 SU and allowed 39 points per game! They allowed at least 31 points in each game! I know Cal is off an ugly effort on the road at UCLA but they will score better here at home. The Golden Bears had scored 41 at Stanford the prior week and California's last 4 home games saw one clunker against Washington State but the Bears averaged 36 points per game in the other 3 games. Keep in mind, both teams have no pressure here. The offenses can operate with all systems go and playbooks fully open. There is no pressure to win here but you can bet each team will do the best they can to one-up the other on offense. I have a strong feeling this one gets crazy high-scoring because USC has the skill on offense to make some big plays early and often in this one but their sieve-like defense will struggle against a Bears offense determined to get back on track at home. 10* OVER 57.5 in California |
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12-04-21 | Heat v. Bucks -5.5 | Top | 102-124 | Win | 100 | 12 h 56 m | Show |
NBA Game of the Week - 10* Top Play Milwaukee Bucks -5.5 vs Miami Heat @ 8:10 ET - Giannis is likely to be out for this game for the Bucks. However, Butler and Adebayo both likely to miss for the Heat. That said, I love the situational aspect of this game as Milwaukee is seeking revenge for a 137 to 95 loss at Miami early this season. Also, the Bucks are off a loss but this was preceded by 9 straight wins SU and a 4-1 ATS run. Heat are off a win but this was preceded by a 2-4 SU run and 1-5 ATS run. 10* MILWAUKEE -5.5 |
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12-04-21 | Georgia v. Alabama +6.5 | Top | 24-41 | Win | 100 | 6 h 32 m | Show |
CFB SEC Rout - 10* Top Play Alabama Crimson Tide +6.5 vs Georgia Bulldogs @ 4 ET - Getting this many points with a high-quality team like Alabama that is in a rare dog role and 4-1 ATS last 5 as an underdog means I am in! Yes Georgia is having an incredible season but this is now Alabama's Super Bowl for the season per se and I just don't see them being denied here. I am not saying the Tide will indeed win outright but they should keep this close enough to at least get the cash. Two fantastic defenses and the Bulldogs do rate an edge there but, statistically, the Crimson Tide rate a bigger edge on offense. Look for that to be a difference maker in this one in a game that is likely to go down to the wire and that means having the points is a huge edge for us as an outright upset would not surprise me here. Grab the the points for added betting value. 10* ALABAMA +6.5 |
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12-04-21 | Rhode Island +6 v. Providence | Top | 52-66 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 51 m | Show |
CBB Rivalry Rout - 10* Top Play Rhode Island Rams +6 @ Providence Friars @ 2 ET - I really like the scrappy Rams getting points in this rivalry match-up. Rhode Island has shot the ball very well early this season and also defended very well. The Rams are more talented than many realize and they seem to have jelled well early this season which is always important. Rhode Island is catching the Friars off a tight, hard-fought win over Texas Tech so the set-up is perfect here. 3 of Providence's last 5 wins by 5 or less points. The average margin of the Rams two losses just 3.5 points. In a game that should go to the wire and does have potential for an outright upset, I love having the sizable points here. Strong shooting early this season, hitting the boards hard, and playing solid defense. Like what the Rams are doing and they are catching rival Providence at the right time to spring the upset. Grab the points as added insurance. 10* RHODE ISLAND +6 |
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12-04-21 | Manchester City v. Watford OVER 3.5 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 115 | 13 h 18 m | Show |
EPL National TV Blowout - 10* Top Play OVER 3.25 goals in Watford vs Manchester City @ 12:30 ET - Look for plenty of goals here as Manchester City is so dangerous on the attack and now have Grealish and Foden back on the pitch as well. City has been a scoring machine of late including on the road and the fact this match is at Watford makes me like it even more. Manchester City have scored 2 or more goals in 6 straight matches across all competitions and Watford is surely going to do their best to put up a fight here. However, the hosts will have to rely on their attacking abilities because their defense is certainly a major concern. No club, other than winless Newcastle, has shipped more goals on their home pitch than Watford. Overall, the hosts are allowing 2 goals per match on the season but also average scoring nearly 1.5 goals per match. I do not expect the hosts to get blanked and I also expect the visitors to put at least 3 to the back of the net. Manchester City has scored an average of 4.6 goals per match in their last 5 meetings with Watford and all of those were victories as you would expect given those amazing numbers. Also, City enters this match averaging a solid 2.5 goals per match last 6 matches overall and Watford's last 3 matches have averaged a total of 5 goals per match. This is an ideal match-up for the visitors to really put down the hammer and I feel strongly that they will show no mercy and will be on the attack throughout this match. 10* OVER 3.25 in Watford |
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12-03-21 | Oregon +3 v. Utah | Top | 10-38 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 42 m | Show |
CFB Pac-12 Game of the Month - 10* Top Play Oregon Ducks +3 vs Utah Utes @ 8 ET - This is a chance at right back revenge after the Utes got the better of the Ducks two weeks ago in a game played at Utah. That game was at Utah. This one is at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas as it is a neutral site game for the Pac-12 Championship. Oregon is 4-0 SU all time in the Pac-12 Championship while Utah is 0-2 SU all time in this game. All those games occurring since 2014 so this is not ancient history by any means. I look for the Ducks to keep that trend going as they will be much more relaxed in the rematch after playing with "playoff pressure" in the first meetings as they still had hopes, at that time, of making the CFP group of four. Look for the Ducks offense to be much better in this rematch and to do enough for the outright win but we'll grab the points as added insurance. 10* OREGON +3 |
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12-03-21 | 76ers +2.5 v. Hawks | Top | 98-96 | Win | 100 | 7 h 37 m | Show |
NBA ESPN Rout - 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers +2.5 @ Atlanta Hawks @ 7:40 ET - The first thought here might be revenge on the part of the Hawks since they got blasted at Philly earlier this season. However, two key points relating to that. One is that the Sixers, despite that win, still have much to atone for here as they lost in the post-season to the Hawks last season and they are very hungry for a win at Atlanta. Also, the 76ers - in comparison with Atlanta - are now the much healthier team. In the only meeting between these teams this season nearly 40% of Atlanta's points came from Reddish, Bogdanovich, and Hunter. The latter two of those guys are out for tonight and Reddish has been downgraded to doubtful. The Hawks, simply put, are short-handed for this one in a big way while Philly - despite some recent struggles still - is much healthier now than they have been in a long time. That said, a lot of line value here with the road dog. 10* PHILADELPHIA +2.5 |
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12-03-21 | Sharks v. Rangers OVER 5.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 17 m | Show |
NHL Earliest Cash - 10* Top Play OVER 5.5 goals New York Rangers vs San Jose Sharks @ 7:08 ET - Sharks in a tough back to back spot. The Rangers will look to take advantage and put on a blitzkrieg display of offense which is something they have been doing often. However, a confident San Jose team fully capable of responding to the barrage of shots the Rangers will bring here. That said, I expect this non-conference match-up to be high-scoring. New York has won 8 of 9 and the Rangers have averaged scoring 4 goals in those 8 victories. The Sharks off the tight 2-1 win in the shootout over the Islanders last night but San Jose did register a solid 35 shots on goal in that game and the Sharks have won 5 of 6 now and averaged 3.5 goals in the first 4 victories in that streak. 10* OVER 5.5 goals in New York Rangers |
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12-03-21 | Notre Dame v. Boston College +5 | Top | 57-73 | Win | 100 | 6 h 6 m | Show |
CBB Early Blowout - 10* Top Play Boston College Eagles +5 vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish @ 6 ET - This Eagles team has new energy in the program based on some new faces on the team as well as a new head coach and he came in with a solid track record too. I like the hard-nosed gritty attitude that Boston College has. They are one of the lesser talented teams in the ACC but they battle so hard and they are known for battling the Irish particularly tough when they face them at Chestnut Hill. This one should go down to the wire as the Eagles are 5-0 SU at home this season and Notre Dame has a 3-3 SU record but the 3 wins were against weaker foes and the Fighting Irish have struggled some when stepping up in terms of level of competition. This will be a fierce battle as a result and is also just the 2nd true road game for Notre Dame this season. An outright upset will not be a total shock but certainly the points provide valuable added insurance I will not pass up on in this one. 10* BOSTON COLLEGE +5 |
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12-02-21 | Cowboys -5.5 v. Saints | Top | 27-17 | Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
NFL Thursday Thrasher - 10* Top Play Dallas Cowboys -5.5 @ New Orleans Saints @ 8:20 ET - Good news for Cowboys fans is that this game is not in Dallas. All kidding aside, the fact is that Dallas was 4-0 ATS in road games this season before that recent ugly loss at Kansas City. The Cowboys have had some recent struggles but this passing attack is averaging nearly 300 yards per game this season and I just don't think the Saints can keep up here. Taysom Hill is back at QB for New Orleans this week but what makes him dangerous is his running ability and he is coming back from a foot injury. I don't 100% trust Hill in the passing game and the Saints are averaging less than 200 yards passing per game on the season. New Orleans also is a poor 1-3 SU and ATS in games played in the Superdome this season. They struggle again here and the Cowboys take out some anger and frustration after suffering back to back losses for the first time this season. Look for the Saints to drop their 5th in a row SU and I am confident that the road favorite can win this by 7 or more for the all important cover. 10* DALLAS -5.5 |
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12-02-21 | Bucks -3.5 v. Raptors | Top | 93-97 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 2 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Cash - 10* Top Play Milwaukee Bucks -3.5 @ Toronto Raptors @ 7:40 ET - I know this is a back to back for the Bucks but they are 2-0 SU L2 times in the 2nd game of a B2B and each win by 9 or more points. Also, the road team 3-0 SU and ATS in last 3 meetings between these teams. Additionally, Milwaukee has won 8 straight games while the Raptors have lost 10 of last 13 games. Toronto has been held to 97 points or less in 3 straight games and the last two of those were at home. Bucks averaging 111.5 points per game on the road this season and they have been hot. 10* MILWAUKEE -3.5 |
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12-02-21 | Avalanche v. Canadiens +174 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 7 m | Show |
NHL Early Dominator - 10* Top Play Montreal Canadiens Money Line +175 vs Colorado Avalanche @ 7:08 ET - The Avalanche lost #1 goalie Kuemper to injury yesterday in pre-game and ended up having to turn to Johansson on short notice. He and the Avs got embarrassed at Toronto last night. Of course they will be hungry to bounce back but this is a very tough spot on the road. They have to use Johansson in 2nd game of a back to back or go with 21-year old rookie Justus Annunen on the road in a very tough situation. Yes it has been a very rough season for Montreal but now after the big management shakeup over the weekend. I fully expect another strong effort in this one. Yes they did have a strong effort versus an equally desperate Vancouver team but fell just short in a 2-1 loss that will only strengthen their resolve here. Canadiens are desperate for wins and need a big one on home ice and are catching the Avalanche at the right time to get it done and I look for a strong game from Jake Allen between the pipes and look for the goaltending to be the difference in this battle. 10* MONTREAL +175 |
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12-02-21 | Northern Kentucky +4 v. Cleveland State | Top | 58-72 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 48 m | Show |
CBB Early Crusher - 10* Top Play Northern Kentucky Norse +4 @ Cleveland State Vikings @ 7 ET - Double revenge spot from last season as the Vikings took B2B meeting in January. The Norse are 1-3 SU this season and 0-4 ATS but have played the tougher competition overall in comparison with Cleveland State so far this season. Yes, the Vikings are 4-2 SU this season and, statistically, look like the better team on paper. But, as the saying goes, the teams do not play the games on paper! Two quality Horizon League programs but I like the value of the revenge-minded underdog that has played the tougher schedule thus far this season. 10* NORTHERN KENTUCKY +4 |
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12-02-21 | Arsenal v. Manchester United OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 11 m | Show |
EPL Afternoon Annihilation - 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Manchester United vs Arsenal @ 3:15 ET - On their home pitch and with interim manager Michael Carrick set to hand the reins over to Ralf Rangnick after this match, I look for Manchester United to be a little more aggressive on the attack. Arsenal is having a solid season thus far but their defense certainly is not impenetrable as evidenced by allowing about 2 goals per match on the road this season. By the way though, Manchester United has allowed about 2 goals per match on their home pitch this season. We only need a 2-1 match here to cash a winning ticket and I am expecting at least that. I know these clubs have a history of low-scoring matches but the key here is the situation and I also expect Cristiano Ronaldo to return to the lineup as if a fire is lit under him for the home club and he will be a playmaker in this one. Manchester United is off a 1-1 draw and, with their slow start to the campaign, they really need to start picking up the full 3 points in their matches and that means a little more aggression on the attack is going to be required. I look for more of an attacking style in this one to set the tone for a high-scoring affair with each club finding the net at least once and neither one being willing to settle for a draw so look for a 2-1 final at a minimum in this one. 10* OVER 2.5 in Manchester United |
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12-01-21 | 76ers +3 v. Celtics | Top | 87-88 | Win | 100 | 7 h 1 m | Show |
NBA TV Rivalry Rout - 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers +3 @ Boston Celtics @ 7:40 ET - The Sixers are finally getting healthy and after a double-OT loss and a narrow win have been how the first two games have played out, look for the third time to be the charm! Yes, barring something unforeseen, this should be the 3rd game with both Joel Embiid and Tobias Harris on the floor together. The 76ers won all 3 games against the Celtics last season after Boston knocked them out of the post-season in 2020. There is a special disdain that Philly has for Boston in the sports world and it certainly carries over to this long-time NBA rivalry. Philadelphia will be hungry for a big win over their rivals as they make up for lost time when they have been without key players like Harris for Embiid for extended stretches this season. It has made them a bit disjointed but they can start to turn the corner now. At the same time, Celtics might rest Jaylen Brown tonight and, either way, he could be somewhat limited with his ongoing hamstring injury. Also, Boston is off a big win and cover at Toronto but they are 0-4 ATS the last 4 times they entered a game off an ATS win. The Sixers won the 3 games last season by average of 10 points and each victory was by 8 or more points. I look for that trend to continue here! 10* PHILADELPHIA +3 |
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12-01-21 | Avalanche +111 v. Maple Leafs | Top | 3-8 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 29 m | Show |
NHL Early Dominator - 10* Top Play Colorado Avalanche +110 @ Toronto Maple Leafs @ 7:38 ET - The Avalanche are expected to have Nathan MacKinnon back tonight. Think about that for a second because he is one of the best players in the NHL and Colorado has been without him for most of this insanely red hot 7-1 run in which they have averaged a ridiculous 5.6 goals per game in the 7 victories! The only team to slow them down was Dallas and the Stars have been slowing down everybody of late as they continue an incredible run. That said, I also certainly do respect Toronto as the Maple Leafs are one of the top teams in the league but how many times are you going to get the Avalanche, when all their top guns are healthy, as an underdog? Exactly! This play is a great value spot for the underdog and I will not hesitate to step in! The Maple Leafs play in the hockey pressure cooker city known as Toronto (Montreal certainly takes the cake but Toronto is up there too) and though the Leafs have been hot, look at their recent home stats. The Maple Leafs have only 2 regulation wins in their current 3-2 run on home ice and have been held to an average of just 1.4 goals per game in regulation time of those 5 games! I am not sure they are going to be able to keep up with this red hot and confident Avalanche offense that also gets a big boost with the return of MacKinnon tonight. 10* COLORADO +110 |
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12-01-21 | Binghamton v. St. Joe's OVER 144 | Top | 57-79 | Loss | -107 | 6 h 44 m | Show |
CBB Earliest Cash - 10* Top Play OVER 144 in Saint Joseph's Hawks vs Binghamton Bearcats @ 7 ET - I know this is a game a bit off the beaten path so to speak but I follow St Joe's rather closely as long-time followers know. As for Binghamton, they are in the America East Conference where they are projected to finish dead last this season. No team in the America East allowed more points per game than the Bearcats did last season. Binghamton can score very well though and has a new coach this season. Certainly still issues on defense as, other than when they faced a non-division I team, the Bearcats allowed an average of 73 points per game. That does not include OT points either. By the way, again not including OT, Binghamton is averaging 76.6 points per game. As for the Hawks, they are fine with a run and gun style of play as, other than when they faced a very tough USC defense, they have averaged 75.2 points per game this season. St Joe's is allowing 77.3 points per game last 4 games however and you can see why I am expecting a free-flowing non-conference match-up here with a ton of scoring. Neither one of these teams is known for focusing on defense! 10* OVER 144 in Saint Joseph's |
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12-01-21 | Liverpool v. Everton OVER 3 | Top | 4-1 | Win | 111 | 4 h 28 m | Show |
EPL - NBCSN Blowout Rout - 10* Top Play OVER 3 in Everton vs Liverpool @ 3:15 ET - We are getting line value here because these rivals have a history of lower-scoring matches when they meet. However, I just do not see this red hot Liverpool club being slowed down. They have revenge from a 2-0 loss in their last match with Everton. Keep in mind the prior meeting was a 2-2 draw so we did see plenty of scoring in that one. As for what to expect in this one, I like the fact that Everton is averaging 1.7 goals per match on their home pitch this season and Liverpool is conceding an average of 1 goal per match on the road this season. Given those stats you can see why it is reasonable to expect Everton to find the back of the net at least once, even in this revenge situation. As for Liverpool however, they are the ones I expect to go absolutely crazy in this one as they get their revenge and they get it in style. Liverpool, within the Premier League matches, has now scored 3.3 goals per match last 10 matches. Also, across all competitions, Liverpool has scored at least 2 goals in 17 straight matches! You have to go back to an August meeting with Chelsea to find the last time Liverpool did not record at least 2 goals. Of course we need 4 or more to be a winner here as 3 will be a push but note that 8 straight Liverpool matches within Premier League competitions have totaled 4 or more goals. That trend continues here as Everton has some defensive shortcomings the visitors can exploit, but again, the hosts should be good for at least one goal here in this one. 10* OVER 3 in Everton |
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11-30-21 | Lightning +103 v. Blues | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 6 m | Show |
NHL Double Perfect Play - 10* Top Play Tampa Bay Lightning +103 @ St Louis Blues @ 8:08 ET - St Louis is a solid team but they had been struggling recently before a win in most recent game. Tampa Bay is the defending two-time Stanley Cup champs and proving they can win even without guys like Point and Kucherov. That is the backdrop here and I love having the Bolts as an underdog as that is a rather rare occurrence. So now as for the double perfect situation. The Lightning are off a loss and are a perfect 4-0 L4 times off a loss. The Blues are a off a win and are an ugly 0-6 the last 6 times they have entered a game off a win. Give me the Lightning in this combined 10-0 spot! 10* TAMPA BAY +103 |
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11-30-21 | Grizzlies v. Raptors OVER 218 | Top | 98-91 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
NBA Total of the Month - 10* Top Play OVER 218 in Toronto Raptors vs Memphis Grizzlies @ 7:40 ET - The over is 7-0 in Grizzlies last 7 games. The over is 7-2 in Raptors last 9 games. I know long-term the games between these teams at Toronto have trended under but the over is 2-1 in 3 most recent meetings between these clubs and the way they are going right now I expect plenty of scoring. Memphis has allowed 117 points per game in road games this season. Toronto allowing 108 per game at home this season and overall has had held only one opponent under 109 points in last 9 games! In the other 8 games, the Raptors allowed average of 116 points per game! You can see why I am projecting this game to get well into the 220s if not 230s as neither one of these teams has been showing a ton of commitment on the defensive end and plus this is a non-conference match-up and those generally tend to have less intensity defensively. Both teams have games on deck that are in-conference games that will garner more intensity defensively. As a result, look for tonight to be a free-flowing game with plenty of points. Yes, Ja Morant is now out for the Grizzlies but they scored 128 in first game without him and it was not a fluke. They only hit 13 of 39 threes but it was simply a fast-paced game and I look for another one here. 10* OVER 218 in Toronto |
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11-30-21 | Minnesota v. Pittsburgh +2.5 | Top | 54-53 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show |
CBB Game of the Month - 10* Top Play Pittsburgh Panthers +3 vs Minnesota Golden Gophers @ 7 ET - Part of the ACC-Big Ten Challenge. I know that Pittsburgh has disappointed early this season but there were some foul trouble factors in their most recent loss to UMBC and the Retrievers also were insanely hot from 3-point land in that game. The Panthers will bounce back here and as I mentioned in my November 14th write-up about Minnesota: "The Golden Gophers are in rebuild mode. Yes Minnesota is a Big Ten school and is commanding more respect from the betting markets than an Ivy League school does but this is merely serving to give us some extra line value here with a solid Princeton team." Ultimately I lost that pick with the underdog Tigers in double OT but my feelings are the same and this Minny team now facing its first true road game tough test. Pitt is normally a tough place to play and I know that has not been the case early this season but this Panthers team can turn the tables in a hurry and I know they will come out highly motivated in this one and I expecting a massive effort. Love the fact that the betting markets saw this line open up at 2.5 with an undefeated Minnesota team taking on a 2-4 Panthers team. You know the world is going to be lining up on the Gophers here. In typical contrarian fashion, give me the home dog no one will want in this one. 10* PITTSBURGH |
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11-30-21 | Crystal Palace v. Leeds United OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
EPL Total of the Month - 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Leeds United vs Crystal Palace @ 3:15 ET - Crystal Palace used to be known for their low-scoring ways and getting involved in many defensive low-scoring matches but that just has not been as prevalent this season. In fact, Crystal Palace is averaging 1.5 goals per match on the road this season. Trouble is they are allowing 2 goals per match away on enemy pitch this season. Leeds United will be ready to take full advantage of that as they need a victory on their home pitch. I look for them to respond off a disappointing result as Leeds is just above the relegation zone at this 1/3 point in the season and coming off a goal-less stalemate against Brighton & Hove. Crystal Palace has conceded 5 times in last two matches but also has scored an average of 2 goals last 4 matches! There were 7 goals scored in the two matches between these clubs last season. More of the same expected here as Leeds responds after being held scoreless last week but the visitors continue their attacking high-scoring push. 10* OVER 2.5 in Leeds United |
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11-29-21 | Seahawks +1 v. Washington Football Team | Top | 15-17 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 34 m | Show |
NFL Primetime Punisher - 10* Top Play Seattle Seahawks +1 @ Washington Football Team @ 8:15 ET - Russell Wilson was not great but he was better in his 2nd start back from the finger injury. Keep in mind that was against an Arizona team with a solid pass defense that is now 9-2 on the season. Yes, Taylor Heinicke is off a strong start last week but it was against his former team and that Panthers team dropped to 5-7 on the year with an embarrassing performance yesterday at Miami. I know that Washington's win at Carolina did follow a huge home dog upset over the Bucs but upsets do happen from time to time. The fact is that Washington was 0-4 ATS at home this season before knocking off Tampa Bay. I will take Wilson and a hungry Seahawks team off B2B losses against Washington (plays in the NFC Least Division!) team led by Heinicke that is off rare B2B wins any time any place. Wilson and the fired up Seahawks make a statement on the road in a Monday Night game with all their NFL peers watching. 10* SEATTLE +1 |
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11-29-21 | Magic v. 76ers OVER 208.5 | Top | 96-101 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 48 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Punisher - 10* Top Play OVER 208.5 in Philadelphia 76ers vs Orlando Magic @ 7:10 ET - We are getting line value here with a low total because the Magic have such bad scoring numbers as Orlando has been a depleted team all season long. However, this has led to value here because the way I see this one playing out is the Sixers rolling to a blowout win but I just don't trust laying 15 points really in any situation. But the key is Philadelphia is not going to take the foot off their gas at least in the first 3 quarters of this game. This team is getting healthier but they are angry off B2B losses including one in double-OT against the Timberwolves on Saturday. Philly will take advantage of facing an Orlando team that has allowed 115 points per game last 6 games. The 76ers have a road trip on deck so this game carries extra importance for them. They will not be stopped in this game but I would not be surprised if they let the Magic creep back into the range of the spread late in this game. That is another reason to like the over here as a lot as Philadelphia should score a ton and then we see a loosely played game in the latter stages with plenty of easy buckets for both teams during "mop-up" time. 10* OVER 208.5 in Philadelphia |
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11-29-21 | Seattle Kraken v. Sabres +130 | Top | 7-4 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
NHL Perfection Play - 10* Top Play Buffalo Sabres Money Line +130 vs Seattle Kraken @ 7:08 ET - Yes the Kraken have won 3 of 4 but two of those wins were on home ice. Seattle is coming off a road upset win at Florida which was just their 2nd win in 10 away games this season. Also, Driedger started in goal in that game and the Panthers are his former team and it was just one of those nights when everything "clicked" for the Kraken. That said, this is still a team that has won only 20% of its road games and is now laying a -150 price here. I am not buying it. I know Buffalo has some issues of their own for sure but the Sabres are hungry off an OT loss and a respectable 6-5-1 on home ice so far this season. Buffalo is off that OT loss on the road at Detroit but won their prior game by a 4-1 count on home ice. They also have a win at Pittsburgh plus a home win over a strong Edmonton team in the past couple weeks. When the situation is right, this Sabres team can bring a strong effort and get it done. This is certainly the case again tonight as, they have a tough 2-game road trip coming up and won't be home again until next Tuesday. This games is very important for Buffalo and, as added motivation, they did lose 5-2 at Seattle early this month in a game that was tied at 2 heading to the 3rd period. Payback tonight. 10* BUFFALO +130 |
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11-29-21 | Iowa v. Virginia OVER 130.5 | Top | 75-74 | Win | 100 | 8 h 12 m | Show |
CBB Early Dominator - 10* Top Play OVER 130.5 in Virginia Cavaliers vs Iowa Hawkeyes @ 7 ET - Virginia, year in and year out, is one of the best defensive teams in College Basketball. Trust me, the odds makers are well aware of this too. Yet we saw this line in the mid-130s as an opener and now it is down to the 130 range as of mid-morning Monday. I will grab the value on the other side of this move. Iowa is smart enough to know they have no chance if they let this game turn into a half-court defensive-minded struggle. I feel strongly that the Hawkeyes - averaging 97 points per game this season but against weak competition - are going to force the pace here. Iowa is going to look to get quick outside shots and/or quick points in transition and this is a team that has knocked down nearly 40% of its three pointers this season. Virginia is allowing 32% from three point land at home this season and not only is that not exactly spectacular, it also was against much weaker teams with lesser shooters than this Hawkeyes team has. At the same time, this will be the toughest team, by far, that Iowa has faced this season and the Cavs are going to score quite well here. The Cavaliers had an ugly game versus Houston not too long ago but that was the only rough performance in a 6-game stretch that saw them average 65 points per game in the 5 wins. So consider that average and the fact Iowa is going to force some tempo in this game. This should get into the 140s in my opinion. 10* OVER 130.5 in Virginia |
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11-28-21 | Villanova v. La Salle OVER 139 | Top | 72-46 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 36 m | Show |
CBB Philly Special - 10* Top Play OVER 139 in La Salle Explorers vs Villanova Wildcats @ 6 ET - The Wildcats ready to make amends for what happened against Purdue. The over is 4-1 in Villanova's games this season and their defense has not been what we are use to seeing from a typical Wildcats team. However, the Cats offense is phenomenal and averaging 82.6 points so far this season and will have no trouble against an over-matched Explorers team here. La Salle also can score well though and I feel the Wildcats will force a fast tempo here as they can't wait to "let loose" for a big win after what happened against he Boilermakers. That means we have a lot of line value here with this rather low total because I just don't see La Salle as being able to slow down Villanova. But also, the Wildcats will get such a huge lead in this game that there is no reason for intense focus on defense and the Explorers, as an example, had only 28 points in the first half of the last meeting between these teams but then scored 44 in the 2nd half and that game totaled 155 points. I feel we have good value with this low total as Nova will be pushing to score a ton of points here. 10* OVER 139 in La Salle |
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11-28-21 | Calgary +3 v. Saskatchewan | Top | 30-33 | Push | 0 | 7 h 11 m | Show |
CFL Game of the Month - 10* Top Play Calgary Stampeders +3 @ Saskatchewan Roughriders @ 4:30 ET - The Roughriders are at home, have the better record on the season, and they did beat the Stampeders the last time they faced them. Yet they are a very small favorite here as low as 2.5 in most books as of game day morning. Why is that? You know why! Don't let the line fool you. This game has upset written all over it. Keep in mind, the Riders did lose each of the first two games against the Stamps this season plus they lost both games against Winnipeg. The Blue Bombers and Stampeders are the other two top teams in the West and the Roughriders went a combined 1-4 against those two teams this season. Calgary did go 5-2 on the road this season and will not be intimidated at all in this venue. The Stampeders seemed to get stronger as the season went on and, unlike Saskatchewan, also had some big margin wins in the latter stages of the season. I like the way this road team has been playing and sense a first round upset in this one but will grab the points for added insurance. 10* CALGARY +3 |
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11-28-21 | Rams -1 v. Packers | Top | 28-36 | Loss | -122 | 6 h 29 m | Show |
NFL Game of the Month - 10* Top Play Los Angeles Rams -1 vs Green Bay Packers @ 4:25 ET - Green Bay QB Aaron Rodgers will play through a broken toe here in the freezing cold in Green Bay. Does not sound like fun. This is particularly true against a tough Rams defense. Additionally, that LA defense is angry and rested as the Rams are off their bye week. That was preceded by B2B losses but Los Angeles has only failed to cover the spread twice the last nine times they were off a bye week. In other words, look for the Rams to get the win and cover here. They have plenty of motivation too because they lost at Green Bay 32 to 18 last season. Los Angeles is in dire need of a win here, has revenge, and they have a rest edge. The Packers have lost 2 of 3 and are off a road loss at Minnesota last week. This one is all Rams and, trust me, there is a reason the Packers are a dog here even though they are at home and have the better record on the season. Don't let the line fool you. 10* LOS ANGELES RAMS -1 |
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11-28-21 | Manchester United v. Chelsea OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -121 | 4 h 14 m | Show |
EPL Total of the Week - 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Chelsea vs Manchester United @ 11:30 AM ET - Manchester United is known for having strong attackers but this club also has a mediocre midfield and a defense that has been a bit depleted. Rest assured, the #1 club in the table is going to take advantage of this and score well here. Chelsea has scored an average of 3 goals per game when on their home pitch this season! We are getting line value here with this total set rather low because of recent meetings between these clubs trending to low-scoring matches. This one looks different for sure. Manchester United is in the midst of a managerial switch and will be a rejuvenated club looking to make a statement by being ultra-competitive in this match. To do so they will have to emphasize their top talent on the pitch and the strength of this club is, no doubt, up front. Manchester United is averaging 1.7 goals per match thus far on the campaign and they could surprise Chelsea early here but I expect the hosts to come roaring back against visitors known to struggle to protect their own goal. That is why I foresee at least a 2-1 final in this one! 10* OVER 2.5 in Chelsea |
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11-27-21 | Oklahoma +4.5 v. Oklahoma State | Top | 33-37 | Win | 100 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
CFB Bedlam Blowout - 10* Top Play Oklahoma Sooners +4.5 @ Oklahoma State Cowboys @ 7:30 ET - I know the Cowboys defense has been incredible this season but the Sooners offense can be special and that is particularly true in this rivalry game that always seems to bring out the best in Oklahoma. The Sooners have actually won each of the last 6 meetings and need a win here to make sure they make the Big 12 title game! Of course Oklahoma State has no shortage of motivation either but can the Cowboys not only win but also cover this spread? I do not think so and an outright upset would not surprise me in the least but seeing this line up to +4.5 means even more value with the underdog in this one. The Sooners just always seem to find a way to ruin everything for the Cowboys in this match-up. Keep in mind, Oklahoma State was a dog of an average of 10 points in the past two meetings but lost those games by an average margin of 23 points! The Sooners do it again as they have the better passing attack in this match-up and that will end up being the difference here. Oklahoma State has ended up over-valued in this game because they are on a miracle 9-0 ATS run. That run ends here! 10* OKLAHOMA +4.5 |
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11-27-21 | Oilers v. Golden Knights OVER 6 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 23 m | Show |
NHL Total of the Week - 10* Top Play OVER 6 in Vegas Golden Knights vs Edmonton Oilers @ 7:08 ET - The Oilers are dealing with a cluster of injuries impacting the left side of the blue line. All the injury issues for their corps of defensemen is going to be particularly detrimental here. Keep in mind, Edmonton just allowed 3 goals at Arizona and now face a much tougher test here. The Golden Knights are hell bent on revenge for a 5-3 home loss to the Oilers last month. They are welcoming back Marchessault to the line up tonight and the Golden Knights also have Stone and he was not available in the first meeting between these teams. Vegas can score a lot of goals when healthy but, by the way, Edmonton is one of the highest-scoring most dangerous teams in the league. That will be the key the Oilers rely on tonight, is all that offense, since they are so banged up on defense. Note that Edmonton is averaging 4 goals per game this season. The Golden Knights are averaging 4 goals per game their last 11 games. Could we see a 5-4 game here? Honestly it would not surprise me and, at the very least, I do see at least a 4-3 game here as each team is allowing 3 goals per game this season and I do not see either team being held below 3 goals in this one. 10* OVER 6 in Vegas |
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11-27-21 | Delaware v. Temple OVER 139 | Top | 74-75 | Win | 100 | 8 h 52 m | Show |
CBB Philly Special - 10* Top Play OVER 139 in Temple Owls vs Delaware Fightin Blue Hens @ 7 ET - The Owls are happy to be at home in Philly and will score plenty here. Temple has scored more than 70 in each of their two home games this season and one of those was against USC. Delaware has been very weak on defense early this season and certainly will not put up much resistance. The over is a perfect 6-0 in Fightin' Blue Hens games this season. Delaware has been shooting the ball very well early this season but can stop no one. The Owls are off a dominating win over an over-matched Elon team but Delaware will be much more of a test, hence the low line on this game in terms of the small spread. Prior to the win over Elon, Temple allowed 78 points per game over 3 prior games. With this total also moving down from low 140s to upper 130s, we have even more value to work with in this one. I'll take it. 10* OVER 139 in Temple |
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11-27-21 | Wolves v. 76ers -4.5 | Top | 121-120 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 42 m | Show |
NBA Early Annihilation - 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -4.5 vs Minnesota Timberwolves @ 6:10 ET - The Sixers have a huge rest edge here as they were off Thursday and Friday. Not only did the Timberwolves play yesterday on Friday, they also were in action on Wednesday which makes this a back to back and 3rd game in 4 days scenario. The Sixers could get Embiid and Harris both back for this one. Either way, the 76ers get it done in this one! Philly is off an ugly loss at Golden State but had won 2 of 3 before that and is ready to turn the tide back east after a rough trip out west. Getting healthier and back on the east coast will get the Sixers going again. Minnesota is 2-4 last 6 road games and has allowed 123 points or more in all 4 of those defeats away from home. More of the same expected here. 10* PHILADELPHIA -4.5 |
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11-27-21 | Virginia Tech v. Virginia OVER 63 | Top | 29-24 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 13 m | Show |
CFB Daytime Dominator - 10* Top Play OVER 63 in Virginia Cavaliers vs Virginia Tech Hokies @ 3:45 ET - I know this is a rivalry game and that tends to raise defensive intensity. However, the last meeting here between these teams totaled 69 points and I am expecting at least that here. Virginia has a potent offense but can not stop anyone, expect Duke in that shutout win last month. The Cavaliers other 8 games since mid-September, so not including the Blue Devils game, saw Virginia allow 42.5 points per game! The Hokies definitely have the better defense in this match-up but, keep in mind, Virginia Tech is facing a Cavs offense that has helped lead the way to them scoring at least 30 in 9 of 11 games this season. In fact, in those 9 games Virginia has scored an average of 41.2 points per game! The Hokies have scored 37 points per game past two games and will enjoy success here against a struggling Cavs defense. The Cavaliers are particularly bad (5.7 ypc) against the run and once Virginia Tech establishes the ground attack here that opens things up through the air. This one turns into quite the back and forth shootout as a result. 10* OVER 63 in Virginia |
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11-27-21 | Southampton v. Liverpool OVER 3.5 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 105 | 12 h 5 m | Show |
EPL Early TV Rout - 10* OVER 3.5 goals in Liverpool vs Southampton @ 10 AM ET - Liverpool has scored at least 2 goals in 16 straight matches across all competitions. Southampton is averaging a goal per match this season. You can already see why I am expecting this match to get to 2-1 at a minimum. But we need a little more to cash this ticket. Can we get that 4th goal at least? You bet! Liverpool has been an incredible tear and each of their last 7 matches within premier league competition have totaled at least 4 goals! The average score of those matches 3.4 to 1.3 or an average of 4.7 goals per match which is, of course, anything but average! Look for a 3 to 1 type final here as the high-scoring trend continues. 10* OVER 3.5 in Liverpool |
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11-26-21 | St. Joe's v. Georgetown OVER 145 | Top | 77-74 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
Total of the Week - CBB 10* Top Play OVER 145 in Georgetown Hoyas vs St Joseph's Hawks @ 9 ET in Anaheim, CA - Yesterday both these teams has games that stayed under the total but the Hoyas made just 4 of 20 from beyond the arc. The Hawks also shot poorly as they made just 6 of 31 from downtown. Georgetown faced San Diego State and St Joseph's faced USC. Even with facing tougher defensive teams yesterday the poor three point shooting was the difference maker. Now, these two teams that are certainly not known for defense are matched up and I expect a lot more points from each as a result. Both will shoot much better from 3-point land plus the overall flow of the game will be conducive to a high-scoring result as well. 10* OVER 145 in Georgetown |
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11-26-21 | Avalanche -120 v. Stars | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 58 m | Show |
Game of the Month - NHL 10* Top Play Colorado Avalanche Money Line -120 @ Dallas Stars @ 7:30 ET - The Avalanche have won 6 straight games and, incredibly, have scored an average of 6 goals per game in these victories! Not only that, Colorado might be getting Nathan MacKinnon back on the ice soon too. This Avalanche team continues to look like a Stanley Cup contender but last season Dallas ended those hopes and dreams with knocking the Avs out of the post-season in early September. This is their first meeting since and is a big-time revenge spot for Colorado. Since the Avalanche are on the road we get line value here as they are small favorite. This is a very manageable price and I know how hungry the Avs are for this game and they have been red hot on the ice. Dallas is hot too with wins in 4 of 5 games but lets not forget this is a Stars team that began the season with losses in 8 of 12 before this hot run. I think the road team is the vastly superior team this season and they get it done at a great price here. 10* COLORADO -120 |
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11-26-21 | Suns -3 v. Knicks | Top | 118-97 | Win | 100 | 9 h 43 m | Show |
Early Dominator - NBA 10* Top Play Phoenix Suns -3 @ New York Knicks @ 7:10 ET - The Suns have won 14 straight games but are on the road and facing a Knicks team that just beat the Lakers and so they are getting a little extra respect from the betting markets here. I feel New York is getting a little too much respect though! The Knicks are off a win but have not won back to back games since October! In fact, prior to beating LA, New York had lost 7 of 11 games. Now they host a Phoenix team whose 14 straight wins feature only one by less than 4 points and that was a 3 point win. The Suns are 3-0 against the East and 7-1 on the road this season. Knicks are only 5-5 at home this season and were on an overall 3-9 ATS run before getting the cover versus Lakers. Lay the points with short road favorite. 10* PHOENIX -3 |
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11-26-21 | North Carolina v. NC State OVER 61.5 | Top | 30-34 | Win | 100 | 11 h 31 m | Show |
ACC Total of the Month - CFB 10* OVER 61.5 in NC State Wolfpack vs North Carolina Tar Heels @ 7 ET - This total has been dropping and now is offering solid line value on the over as weather conditions in Raleigh will be excellent this evening as well. The Wolfpack are averaging 37 points at home this season. I know NC State has a solid defense but the Tar Heels offense is a rock solid one with Sam Howell under center. Howell missed last week's game versus Wofford but is expected back for this one. North Carolina has averaged 40 points per game last 10 games. So you can see why I am expecting both teams to score well here because this Tar Heels offense is one of the top units in the country. But this UNC defense, in looking at last 8 games against FBS opponents (Wofford is FCS) the Tar Heels had one good effort - allowed 7 points versus Duke. In the other 7 games the Heels allowed an average of 41.4 points per game! The over is 6-3 in North Carolina's last 9 games against FBS schools. The over is 4-1 in last 5 home games for Wolfpack. Those trends continue here. 10* OVER 61.5 in NC State |
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11-26-21 | Cincinnati v. East Carolina +14 | Top | 35-13 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 60 m | Show |
AAC Game of the Year - CFB 10* Top Play East Carolina Pirates +14 vs Cincinnati Bearcats @ 3:30 ET - The Pirates opened this season with a loss by 14 points. Since then, East Carolina has not had a loss by more than 7 points. Overall, the Pirates have won 7 of last 9 games SU and had covered 6 in a row before last week's 3-point SU win fell just short of the cover. East Carolina is catching the Bearcats off a huge 48-14 win over SMU last week. Cincinnati finally had that dominating win everyone was waiting for as their perfect season (11-0 SU) continues. However, the Bearcats entered that game on an 0-4 ATS run and I expect this road game against a confident Pirates team to be one of their toughest games of this season. This looks like a very tricky spot on the schedule to wrap up the regular season. 10* EAST CAROLINA +14 |
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11-25-21 | USC v. St. Joe's OVER 150 | Top | 70-55 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 19 m | Show |
CBB Philly Special - 10* Top Play OVER 150 in St Joe's vs USC @ 9:30 ET (game played in Anaheim) - The Hawks can't stop anybody and have allowed 82.5 points per game now that they have stepped up to a little stronger competition last two games. St Joseph's does score well though as they are never afraid of playing at a fast pace and the Hawks have averaged 77 points per game last 3 games. The key here is USC can run and gun all over them but the Trojans also lost some length from last season's team that was so good defensively. So Southern Cal has allowed 71 points in 2 of their last 3 games but the Trojans also are averaging a stellar 85 points per game this season. Look for plenty of points in this one as it should play out with a lot of quick shots and plenty of points in transition too. 10* OVER 150 in St Joseph's |
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11-25-21 | Bills -6 v. Saints | Top | 31-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 18 m | Show |
NFL Primetime Punisher - 10* Top Play Buffalo Bills -6 @ New Orleans Saints @ 8:20 ET - After getting completely embarrassed on their home field by the Colts last week, the Bills bounce back strong here. The Saints have struggled without starting QB Winston and have dealt with other injury issues as well. New Orleans now has lost 3 straight games and an angry Buffalo team is surely going to show no mercy here either. The Bills have a solid passing attack and the Saints struggle to stop the pass. On the flip side, the Saints struggle to move the ball through the air and Buffalo, overall, has one of the best defensive units in the league. The Bills are 3-0 SU/ATS this season when off a loss and, in all 10 of their games this season the SU winner has also been the ATS winner. Look for those patterns to continue here in this one. Bills also on an 8-1 ATS run in non-conference match-ups and, keep in mind, they did not just lose last week...they got blasted. That is the kind of defeat strong teams bounce back from in a strong way! 10* BUFFALO -6 |
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11-25-21 | Ole Miss +2.5 v. Mississippi State | Top | 31-21 | Win | 100 | 8 h 3 m | Show |
CFB Rivalry Dominator - 10* Top Play Ole Miss Rebels +2.5 @ Mississippi State Bulldogs @ 7:30 ET - The Rebels defense has improved some over original expectations and actually allowing only 16.8 points per game last 3 games. On the other side of the ball, Ole Miss is averaging over 515 yards of offense per game and that includes 232 yards on the ground! Compare that to a Bulldogs offense that is averaging only 61 yards per game on the ground on the season! So you have an underdog that should dominate the ground game in this one and whose defense has played better in recent games. I like my chances with the points here as I also point back to the recent crazy game with the Aggies where the Rebels had about 400 yards of offense in the first half but less than 20 points to show for it. I know what this offense is capable of doing and, in a rivalry game that is the final game of the regular season, I look for Ole Miss to bring it. Yes this will be their 9th straight week with a game but the situation for Mississippi State is not much different as this is their 7th straight week with a game. Also, in a rivalry game with so much at stake for each team, neither will be flat or playing tired here. Give me the points with an underdog that can run all over the favorite. 10* OLE MISS +2.5 |
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11-25-21 | Raiders v. Cowboys OVER 51.5 | Top | 36-33 | Win | 102 | 8 h 18 m | Show |
NFL Non-Conf Total of the Month - 10* Top Play OVER 51.5 in Dallas Cowboys vs Las Vegas Raiders @ 4:30 ET - Both teams hungry to get back on track. The Cowboys and Raiders are each off very disappointing low-scoring losses and each will be better for it this week. Dallas scored 43 points in their most recent home game. I know Las Vegas has been struggling to score much for an extended stretch but the Cowboys are not a great pass defense and Carr and the Raiders will take advantage. Prescott-led Dallas will take advantage of facing a Raiders defense that struggles against the run. Getting the Cowboys ground game going will open up the ability to attack through the air and Dallas has one of the top offensive units in the league and Prescott has the ability to pick them apart when he is on like he was in most recent home game. More of the same here and, with the Cowboys offense being very aggressive off a loss and scoring plenty of points here, it will force the Raiders to have to pass a ton to try and score enough to keep up here. The end result will be plenty of points. 10* OVER 51.5 in Dallas |
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11-24-21 | Nets v. Celtics +1 | Top | 123-104 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 7 m | Show |
NBA Game of the Month - 10* Top Play Boston Celtics +1 vs Brooklyn Nets @ 7:40 ET - The Celtics are seeking revenge for the playoff exit (in 5 games) to the Nets that ended their season last year. Brown and Richardson both listed as questionable for this game. I expect both will end up playing but even if the they did not (Brown being the bigger key), note that Celtics have been playing well even in games he has recently missed. Brown just came back from injury on Monday so he had a day off heading into this game and has a day off after this game too so, in terms of minutes management, I do expect him to be a go in this big game tonight. The key about big games is also the key to this play by the way. So often this season the Nets have struggled in the biggest of games while Boston has been much better in the big games against tough competition. I look for that trend to continue on Wednesday night. The Celtics enter this game having won 3 straight and 8 of 11 games and the Nets have been piling up wins lately too but against bad teams. Keep in mind they lost games against the Warriors, Bucks, and Heat and those were all double digit losses this season. Look for the hungry Celtics to get their revenge here. 10* BOSTON +1 |
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11-24-21 | Rangers -119 v. Islanders | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 26 m | Show |
NHL Divisional Dominator - 10* Top Play New York Rangers -120 @ New York Islanders @ 7:38 ET - In recent seasons, including last season, the Islanders have gotten the best of the Rangers more often than not. That said, this rivalry is set up perfectly Wednesday for the Rangers to get some much wanted revenge. The Islanders have been hurt badly by injuries and covid-19 protocols. As a result, even if some players come back, this team is just a bit disjointed right now. The Isles are not playing Isles hockey and just can't get anything going and they are definitely not going to get any sympathy here from an angry revenge-minded rival. The Rangers lost the last 4 meetings between the teams last season and the last 3 were by a combined score of 13 to 1. Suffice to say, a little payback is on order here in this one! The Islanders, by the way, have lost 6 straight games and allowed 4.5 goals per game in those 6 contests! The Rangers, on the other hand, have won 5 of last 6 games and this will be just their 2nd game since Thursday so they are well rested while the short-handed Islanders, though off so far this week, played games on both Saturday and Sunday. 10* NEW YORK RANGERS -120 |
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11-24-21 | Wisconsin v. St. Mary's +1.5 | Top | 61-55 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 27 m | Show |
Situational Slaughter - 10* Top Play St Mary's Gaels +1.5 vs Wisconsin Badgers @ 5 ET - The Badgers off huge upset win over Oregon. Johnny Davis scored 30 points in that game but the rest of the team scored only 35 points. Also, the Ducks did a great job on him in the 2nd half and held Wisconsin to only 25 points total in the 2nd half of the near comeback win. That said, you can bet the Gaels will have some defensive focus centered around slowing Davis down. St Mary's has a veteran team and the Badgers are the much younger team in this match-up and the Gaels just knocked off Oregon by double digits yesterday. Keep in mind the Gaels are the #2 team in their conference but that #1 team is Gonzaga and, of course, the Bulldogs are the best team in the nation as they continue to prove on a game by game basis. That said, this Gaels team is flying a bit under the radar but they are really good and, after a poor shooting season last year, the shots have been falling much better for them this season and they keep that going here! 10* ST MARY'S +1.5 |
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11-23-21 | Heat v. Pistons +10 | Top | 100-92 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Cash - 10* Top Play Detroit Pistons +10 vs Miami Heat @ 7 ET - The Pistons have covered 6 of last 8 games (compared to opening number). They continue to fight hard and, as a result, have only 2 losses by more than 5 points out of their last 8 games. With Miami laying double digits on the road here in the front end of a back to back, we have excellent line value with a motivated home dog still a bit steamed from blowing game versus Lakers Sunday and with the whole LeBron James - Isaiah Stewart incident. Stewart is out for this game as a result but these Pistons continue to battle hard and this game is decided by single digits. 10* DETROIT +10 |
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11-23-21 | Flyers +150 v. Lightning | Top | 0-4 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 24 m | Show |
NHL Early Annihilation - 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers Money Line +150 @ Tampa Bay Lightning @ 7 ET - This play is all about value. Of course the Lightning are a great team and the 2x defending Stanley Cup Champs but these teams met in Philly last week and the Flyers had a 2-0 lead in the game. Yes, Tampa Bay came back and eventually won the game 4-3 in the shootout but there is not much that separates these teams right now. Certainly not enough to warrant this big of a price on the Bolts in this one. Note that Tampa also was already without Kucherov and Cernak and now they lost Point to injury. Point is a fantastic player and his absence will be felt. Maybe he comes back here but he is dealing with an upper body injury and may not be 100% and he did not play against Minnesota on Sunday. The Bolts snuck by the Wild in a game that, like the Philly game, also required the shootout. In fact, TB has won 5 of last 8 games but of those 8 contests only 2 were Lightning wins in regulation. That said, this team is just over-valued right now and especially in this spot and, keep in mind, hunger matters in games like this. The Flyers are seeking revenge and are off B2B losses for the first time this season. The Bolts are still relishing their B2B Cup victories and have not been overly dominant so far this season. 10* PHILADELPHIA +150 |
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11-23-21 | Buffalo v. Ball State OVER 58.5 | Top | 3-20 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 5 m | Show |
CFB Tuesday Crusher - 10* OVER 58.5 in Ball State Cardinals vs Buffalo Bulls @ 7 ET - The Bulls lost QB Kyle Vantrease to season-ending injury and he did not play last week's game. But that allowed Matt Myers to get action last week. He actually has a TD-INT ratio of 4-1 this season and also has scored 4 TDs on the ground! Myers is leading a Bulls team that will play without pressure this week because their OT loss to Northern Illinois last week ended their hopes of becoming bowl eligible. As for Ball State, the hosts in this one need one more win for bowl eligibility. The Cardinals should have no trouble scoring plenty against a Buffalo defense that has allowed 45 points per game last 3 games. Also, on the road this season - other than a dominating win at Akron against a bad Zips team - the Bulls allowed 39 points per game in 4 road games. With the Cards having scored at least 28 points in 5 of 6 games before last week's tough game against Central Michigan, I fully expect a huge bounce back for the Cardinals offense in this one. 10* OVER 58.5 in Ball State |
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11-23-21 | Wisconsin +8 v. Houston | Top | 65-63 | Win | 100 | 7 h 17 m | Show |
CBB Tourney Dominator - 10* Top Play Wisconsin Badgers +8 vs Houston Cougars @ 5 ET - The Cougars are highly ranked and off a dominating win over Butler yesterday. However, Wisconsin is a solid team that is 4-1 this season and off a solid win over Texas A & M yesterday. The Badgers only loss this season was to Providence. Not only are the Friars a very deep and veteran team, Wisconsin was without Johnny Davis in that game. He is currently the Badgers leading scorer and combines in the backcourt with Brad Davison to give Wisconsin a solid 1-2 punch. Those guys are the top two scorers for the Badgers and they combined for 40 points in yesterday's win over the Aggies in the Maui Invitational being held here in Vegas where I live. I am following the tournament action and feel we have strong value here in a game projected to be very low-scoring and yet where were are getting significant points with a solid underdog. I'll take it! Yes the Cougars have been playing very well but this is a challenging match-up for them. 10* WISCONSIN +8 |
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11-22-21 | Giants +11.5 v. Bucs | Top | 10-30 | Loss | -113 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
Primetime Punisher - 10* Top Play NEW YORK GIANTS +11.5 - The Bucs are off B2B losses. Yes I know TB is back home and those two losses were on the road. However, Tampa Bay is 4-0 at home but lets take a closer look. The biggest win was actually the smallest margin win as the Buccaneers did beat the Cowboys by 2 points to open up the season. However, the other 3 wins were against teams that are now a combined 11-20 this season. Now of course I know the Giants are only 3-6 on the season but 2 of their SU wins have come in the last 3 games and, overall, they are on a 3-0 ATS run. Giants are also a solid 3-1 ATS in road games this season and the points should prove well worth the taking here. The Bucs are starting to question themselves after the B2B losses and Brady INT's, etc. Don't be surprised if this one ends up being tight as a result. 10* NEW YORK GIANTS +11.5 |
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11-22-21 | Rockets v. Celtics OVER 212.5 | Top | 90-108 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 20 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Cash - 10* OVER 212.5 in Boston - Celtics getting back Jaylen Brown and Robert Williams and Boston has been heating up even without Brown so I am expecting plenty of points with his return tonight. As for Rockets, they showed a lot of fight in their loss at New York Saturday and I expect this Houston team to keep battling as they look to end their long losing streak. To be competitive in this game the Rockets will have to score plenty of points and I am fully expecting that as they hang around in this one. That will help send this one way over the total in my opinion. Celtics averaging 112 points in regulation time of last 6 home games. Boston has allowed 107 points in regulation time of last 3 home games. 10* OVER 212.5 in Boston |
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11-22-21 | Blue Jackets v. Sabres OVER 5.5 | Top | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 1 m | Show |
NHL Earliest Dominator - 10* Top Play OVER 5.5 in Buffalo - The Blue Jackets are not the same team they were under Tortorella plus there was some roster turnover coming into this season too. Though they are off a 3-2 loss at Vegas Saturday that stayed just under this total, this team has been trending toward higher scoring games for quite some time now. That includes 7 straight games totaling 6 or more goals before that loss to the Golden Knights. Also, in the loss to VGK, you know CBJ is now kicking themselves for sitting back a bit after they got a 2-0 lead early. They can not make the same mistake tonight and so I look for extra push from a Columbus team that has been scoring quite a few goals of late. Korpisalo is expected to start for the Blue Jackets to give #1 goalie Merzlikins a break after 4 straight starts. Also, the Sabres are in 2nd game of a back to back so Tokarski is likely to be the starting goalie. He has been struggling often and Dell struggled last night in a 5-4 loss for Buffalo. The Sabres have lost 8 of 10 and have allowed an average of 5 goals per game in the last 7 losses. So with a total of 5.5 and considering the situation this looks like a high value situation on this total. 10* OVER 5.5 in Buffalo |
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11-22-21 | Butler v. Houston OVER 123 | Top | 52-70 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 1 m | Show |
CBB Afternoon Annihilation - 10* OVER 123 in Houston - I fully understand the reputation of Houston and Butler as grinders when it comes to pace of play and looking to grind out victories in lower-scoring games. However, I feel this total has been adjusted too far low. Especially with Houston shooting the 3-ball well early this season and with Butler, off a rare down season in terms of offensive efficiency, likely to ratchet things right back up to normal this season. The Cougars are scoring an average of 72 points per game in regulation time of their games this season. The Bulldogs are averaging 66 points per game this season. This game is part of the Maui Invitational but it was moved to Las Vegas for this year due to covid effecting travel requirements for entry into Hawaii. In this neutral site tourney action I am looking for strong outside shooting to carry both these teams and I expect it to be a close enough game late that we will get plenty of late points too based on one team fouling and the other jacking up quick threes to stay alive in the game. 10* OVER 123 in Houston |
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11-21-21 | Steelers +6 v. Chargers | Top | 37-41 | Win | 100 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
NFL Primetime Punisher - 10* Top Play Pittsburgh Steelers +6 - The Steelers will have Roethlisberger back under center and I look for Pittsburgh to take advantage of facing a Chargers team that has allowed an average of 31 points per game last 5 games. Yes the Steelers are off disappointing tie last week versus Detroit but I look for having Big Ben back to make a big difference in this game. The Steelers had averaged 23.5 points per game in winning 4 straight games prior to that tie. Also, Pittsburgh has allowed only 18.4 points per game last 5 games. Keep in mind we don't need them to win this game outright either, rather we just need them to at least stay within the number and I like our changes of that. I feel this Chargers team is over-rated and they have lost 3 of games and also only have one win by more than 6 points this entire season! Lot of value with the points here. 10* PITTSBURGH +6 |
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11-21-21 | Maple Leafs v. Islanders OVER 5.5 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -112 | 9 h 56 m | Show |
Total of the Week - 10* OVER 5.5 in NY Islanders - The Islanders are dealing with a covid outbreak and some injury issues. The team is missing some key personnel but they still fought hard in their loss in the opening of their new arena by Belmont Park last night. The fact is that after a short-handed team expended a lot of energy in a hard-fought loss to the Flames they will not have much left in the tank for this game. That is bad news as they face a Maple Leafs team that is angry off a home loss to the Penguins last night in which they were shutout! That said, my first thought here was a play on Toronto but I think the better play is the over especially at just 5.5 goals. We are getting a low total because of the long-term reputation of the Islanders but keep in mind this has not been your typical Isles team early this season. Also, the key to the over here is Toronto starting Joseph Woll between the pipes as he recently had a rough NHL debut and allowed 4 goals. The Islanders are smart enough to know they need to pepper him with shots here but the key is that on the other end of the ice the short-handed Isles will struggle to slow down an angry Leafs lineup full of solid attackers. The Islanders have lost 5 straight games and allowed an average of 4.8 goals per game. The Leafs are a different team when Jack Campbell is not between the pipes. He started last night so Woll gets the call tonight and the last 3 games not started by Campbell all have totaled at least 8 goals! Look for that pattern to continue here. 10* OVER 5.5 in New York Islanders |
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11-21-21 | St Bonaventure v. Marquette OVER 136.5 | Top | 70-54 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 53 m | Show |
CBB Total of the Week - 10* Top Play OVER 136.5 in Marquette - This is a tourney game being played in South Carolina. Both St Bonaventure and Marquette are hot to start the season as they each have perfect SU records. The Bonnies have averaged 70 points in their 5 wins and the Golden Eagles have averaged 78 points in their 4 wins. I look for plenty of points here as Marquette's strength is certainly NOT defense but this team can score well and is going to challenge St Bonaventure. The over is 4-1 this season because the Golden Eagles have allowed 70 points or more in 4 of 5 games. Look for that trend to continue here as the Bonnies struggle to slow them down but also have plenty of success at the other end. I feel the Golden Eagles are going to force a good tempo with this game as they don't want St Bonaventure to be able to slow it down into a half-court grinder. 10* OVER 136.5 in Marquette |
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11-21-21 | Lakers v. Pistons +7.5 | Top | 121-116 | Win | 100 | 7 h 56 m | Show |
NBA Contrarian Crusher - 10* Top Play Detroit Pistons +7.5 - There is a chance LeBron James won't play for LA tonight and, even if he does, he is not 100% just yet as he recovers from oblique injury. The Lakers have lost 3 straight and the Pistons showed a lot of heart at home against Golden State on Friday when they battled to what ultimately ended up being a 3-point defeat. That said, I like the home dog value with a scrappy Detroit team that certainly has been showing they will not quit on games. Prior to the 3 point loss to the Warriors, the Pistons had covered 4 of 6 games and I feel strongly they will bring a highly motivated effort hosting the Lakers tonight. 10* DETROIT +7.5 |
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11-21-21 | Bengals v. Raiders OVER 50.5 | Top | 32-13 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 57 m | Show |
NFL The Total of the Year - 10* Top Play OVER 50.5 in Las Vegas - The Raiders have run into major issues this season but this is still a team that can score a lot of points. Particularly this is true when taking on a Bengals team that has allowed a total of 75 points last two games. Also, electric environment for Vegas home games and the over is 4-1 when Raiders have hosted this season. The over is 3-0 in Cincinnati's last 3 games overall. Look for these over trends to continue here. Both teams strength on offense is the passing game so that helps overs too. This is particularly true when dealing with a Bengals pass defense that ranks in the bottom 25% of the league. Also, the Raiders pass defense got torched for over 400 yards last week by a Chiefs offense that had been struggling. That does not bode well for the LV defense Sunday as they face a Bengals offense that has had two weeks to prepare for this game and certainly paid attention to how the Chiefs torched the Raiders defense last week. Yes, Cincinnati got hammered and scored just 16 points in the loss to Cleveland before their bye week but the Bengals had scored an average of 35 points the 3 prior games. Raiders had scored more than 30 points in 3 of 4 games before last week's dismal effort versus the Chiefs and they will bounce back here. 10* OVER 50.5 in Las Vegas |
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11-21-21 | Leeds United v. Tottenham Hotspur OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 7 m | Show |
EPL Total of the Week - 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Tottenham - The first premier league match under new manager Antonio Conte was a scoreless draw two weeks ago. After that result, look for the Spurs to emphasize the attack a little more in in this one. Each of the last five meetings between Tottenham and Leeds have totaled at least 3 goals and that includes both matches last season. Leeds also has had trouble finding the back of the net of late and is further down the table then they would like to be and know they must start scoring more and increase their shots at earning the much-needed full 3 points in the table. Look for the strategy employed here by each club to be more conducive to scoring. I know these have been two of the lower-scoring clubs in the league thus far but also, looking at their goals allowed totals for the season, you can see why I am expecting this one to get to the 3-goal mark and I will take advantage of the low total posted on this one. 10* OVER 2.5 in Tottenham |
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11-20-21 | Oklahoma State v. Texas Tech OVER 55.5 | Top | 23-0 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 2 m | Show |
CFB Big 12 Total of the Month - OVER 55.5 in Texas Tech - Yes the Oklahoma State defense has been playing very well but lets not forget two things. One is that the Cowboys have huge game with Oklahoma on deck. Secondly, this Red Raiders team just put up 41 points against a very solid Iowa State defense here in Lubbock. The fact is that Texas Tech is known for scoring well at home and they will build momentum off that huge upset win last week too. The Red Raiders have seen the over go 3-1 in last 4 home games and those 3 overs each totaled at least 75 points. Also, the last two times the Cowboys faced Texas Tech, the games both went over an each totaled at least 80 points. Yes I understand the total posted here based strictly on defensive numbers for OSU but could some of their defensive intensity be held back for the Bedlam game versus rival Oklahoma next week? At the same time the Cowboys offense is off a 62-point outburst and should have no problem easily rolling through a Red Raiders defense that has allowed an average of 39 points last 7 games. Texas Tech QB Donovan Smith played very well last week and that continues here as this Red Raiders offense continues to build up confidence. By the way high temperatures near 80 Saturday afternoon in Lubbock and the winds subsiding by kick-off so no factor there either. 10* OVER 55.5 in Texas Tech |
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11-20-21 | Oregon v. Utah -3 | Top | 7-38 | Win | 100 | 10 h 23 m | Show |
Pac-12 Game of the Year - 10* Top Play UTAH -3 - Love the set up here. All the pressure is on Oregon as they are trying to retain their top four positioning in the CFP rankings. Not only that the Ducks are on the road here and facing a Utah team hell bent on revenge after losing the 2019 Pac-12 Championship Game to Oregon by double digits. Look for the Utes to take advantage of home field here and playing more pressure-free than the Ducks. Of course there is a reason that Utah is favored by 3 even though the Ducks are ranked much higher in the top 25 than they are. Not going to say the odds makers are setting a trap intentionally but will say this line is set this way with good reason. Note Ducks are on a 4-8 ATS run as a dog away from home and the Utes have covered 68% of their last 25 games in Pac-12 action. The Utes were done in by turnovers the last time these teams met but the first downs were nearly equal in that match-up. Ducks averaging 28 points per game their last 3 on the road. Utes averaging 41 points per game last 6 games. Look for the hosts and their brand of physical football to wear down Oregon as this game goes on and they will pull away in the latter stages of this one for a solid home victory. 10* UTAH -3 |
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11-20-21 | Bruins v. Flyers +125 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
NHL Situational Slaughter - 10* Top Play PHILADELPHIA +125 - The Flyers are off a tough loss in the shootout versus Tampa Bay. Philly blew a 2-goal lead in that game and then actually had to rally to tie it on a late goal but still the missed opportunity motivates them greatly here. This is a team that has gone a perfect 6-0 this season when off a loss. They are hosting a Bruins team they already beat 6-3 earlier this season. Boston is a solid team but Philly has bested them in each of their last two meetings. Also, Bruins enter this game off B2B wins but have not won 3 straight all season. Boston also has struggled on the road this season. Prior to winning their most recent road game at New Jersey, the Bruins had lost 4 of 5 road games this season. Flyers known for being tough to beat on home ice and they bounce back to improve to 7-0 this season when off a loss. Great value with the Flyers as a home dog here. 10* PHILADELPHIA +125 |
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11-20-21 | Rockets +11.5 v. Knicks | Top | 99-106 | Win | 100 | 6 h 58 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Cash - 10* Top Play HOUSTON +11.5 - The Rockets are having a very rough season and have lost 13 straight games. You know they are hungry to end that streak and they catch a Knicks team that is in the front end of a B2B as they are at Chicago tomorrow night. That said, I feel we have great line value here with with big points. New York is only 3-6 SU last 9 games. The Knicks last five wins have featured only one by a margin of more than 8 points. Right or not the Rockets view this as a winnable game and they are desperate to stop their streak. That said, even if they do fall short, you can see why the loss is likely to be a margin in the single digits. 10* HOUSTON +11.5 |
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11-20-21 | Detroit v. Louisville OVER 142.5 | Top | 67-73 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 23 m | Show |
CBB TWD Top Play - 10* Top Play OVER 142.5 in Louisville - The Cardinals want to play faster this season on offense. They made some changes in terms of assistant coaches and strategy and that is why they are scoring well even though they have made only 30% of three this season. Louisville is off B2B overs and averaging 74 points per game and will take advantage of facing a team that is allowing high shooting percentages so far this season. Detroit is allowing 81 points per game and the over is 2-0 in their last two games also. They have some scoring talent and should score well here as, like the Cardinals, they are also due to start shooting better from outside. The key here is the pace and I except the hosts to really run and gun in this game based on their strategic initiative and that should make for a game that gets into the 150s. 10* OVER 142.5 in Louisville |
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11-20-21 | Arsenal v. Liverpool OVER 3 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 40 m | Show |
EPL National TV Blowout - OVER in Liverpool - This is the big one Saturday. Taking center stage as Arsenal has surprised early this season and now pays a visit to league heavyweight Liverpool. The issue I have here with Arsenal is they always tend to struggle with Liverpool plus the hosts come in angry off a loss to West Ham. That 3-2 defeat marked the 6th straight time in a Premier League match that a fixture involving Liverpool totaled at least 4 goals. I am expecting that streak to reach 7 in a row here. Liverpool wants to respond off defeat but also note that the hosts have surrendered 2 or more goal in 4 of last 6 matches in league action. Arsenal is on an 8-match unbeaten run and have averaged 2 goals per match their last 8 fixtures across all competitions. So the hosts are favored by 2 to 1 odds for a reason here but the visitors are poised to get on the scoresheet once if not twice and you can see why I am expecting a high-scoring match in this one. OVER in Liverpool |
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11-19-21 | Edmonton Elks v. BC OVER 46.5 | Top | 10-43 | Win | 100 | 12 h 31 m | Show |
Total of the Week - 10* OVER 46.5 in BC Lions - I know the Lions are starting Rourke here at QB but it is with good reason and he has already gained some experience this season and I expect the 23 year old to fare very well here. Keep in mind, the Elks are playing their 3rd game in 7 days in a scheduling quirk to close out the regular season. Edmonton is off an upset win at Toronto Tuesday. Look for BC to throw all over a tired Elks defense and stretch them out here. However, the Elks will have some success when they have the ball too. Edmonton had averaged 21 points per game last 3 games before the low-scoring win over the Argos. Keep in mind neither of these teams in tonight's match-up will be going to the post-season so this should be played as a rather wide-open affair. Note that Elks Cornelius has been gaining confidence at QB and they can attack a Lions defense allowing 33.3 points per game last 4 home games. 10* OVER 46.5 in BC Lions |
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11-19-21 | Jets v. Canucks -105 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 25 m | Show |
Situational Slaughter - NHL 10* VANCOUVER -105 - The Canucks off a tough loss to the Avalanche Wednesday in which the only 3 goals that Colorado had were on the power play. Vancouver did play hard and they are playing hard because they want to put the tough start to the season behind them. They are catching the Jets at the right time to do that. Winnipeg is off B2B big games against the Oilers and that includes, after winning the first one, a tough shootout loss (they lost in the shootout period) at Edmonton last night. That defeat could leave the Jets a little worn out both physically and mentally here and also Hellebuyck was between the pipes. That means it is likely that little used Comrie gets the call here. Though he has solid numbers this season, he has not played in nearly two weeks. I expect the rust to show in this one and, keep in mind, he entered this season with sub-par career numbers in his limited NHL action. 10* VANCOUVER -105 |
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11-19-21 | Southern Miss v. Louisiana Tech OVER 48.5 | Top | 35-19 | Win | 100 | 9 h 22 m | Show |
Earliest Cash - 10* OVER 48.5 in Louisiana Tech - I know Southern Mississippi has trended under and wants to slow games down but this total is just too low especially after moving lower. Louisiana Tech scores well and they are at home and they will dictate the pace in this game. The over is 7-3 in Bulldogs games this season. The last two meetings between these teams also have gone over and the most recent game here in Ruston totaled 75 points. 10* OVER 48.5 in Louisiana Tech |
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11-19-21 | Warriors v. Pistons +7 | Top | 105-102 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show |
Early Punisher - NBA 10* DETROIT +7 - The Warriors might rest Stephen Curry here. 2nd game of a back to back and 3rd game in 4 days. Even if he plays this Golden State team has to be running out of gas here. It actually will be their 8th game in 12 days during what has been a brutal scheduling stretch. I know the Warriors found a way last night but what a miracle cover it was. They outscored the Cavaliers 36 to 8 in the 4th quarter. Suffice to say they used a lot of energy in coming back for that win and unreal cover as a big favorite. They will struggle to put away a rested Detroit team. The Pistons are playing just their 6th game in 15 days. Also, Detroit is off a home win versus Indiana and are now on a 4-2 ATS run. They have been playing much more competitive and will be up for this game at home and a chance to knock off Curry and Company - whether he plays or not. 10* DETROIT +7 |
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11-19-21 | Oklahoma v. Indiana State OVER 135.5 | Top | 87-63 | Win | 100 | 5 h 55 m | Show |
TWD Top Play - CBB 10* OVER 135.5 in Indiana State - Yesterday the Sycamores allowed only 36 points to Old Dominion. Oklahoma is most definitely not Old Dominion. The shooting numbers for the Monarchs were absolutely atrocious from everywhere on the floor including only 11 of 24 free throws. That said, these Sooners are going to put up plenty of points on Indiana State and this game should fly over the total. Oklahoma is a double digit favorite for a reason and, keep in mind, the Sooners did allow 74 points in yesterday's win. The key for Oklahoma is their offense is averaging 84 points per game this season. By the way, Indiana State is averaging 79 points per game this season and lets not forget that in their first two games this season they allowed an average of 84.5 points per game. This one should fly over the total in this B2B tourney game situation for these clubs. Like the fact that we saw plenty of free throw attempts for the opponents in yesterday's games involving these teams as well. 10* OVER 135.5 in Indiana State |
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11-18-21 | Patriots v. Falcons +7 | Top | 25-0 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 47 m | Show |
Thursday Thrasher - Rickenbach NFL Rotation #312 Thursday 10* Top Play Atlanta Falcons +7 vs New England Patriots @ 8:20 ET - Look for Falcons to bounce back off ugly loss at Dallas. Atlanta has covered 6 of last 7 against AFC opponents. I know the Patriots are hot but they are on a 3-5 ATS run in non-conference games and just laying too many points on the road in this one. New England is now over-valued because of their winning streak and Falcons undervalued because of ugly loss to Cowboys last week. Patriots last week caught Browns when Cleveland was off huge divisional win over Bengals at Cincinnati the prior week. Other teams faced during the NE win streak include a Panthers team that entered the game losers in 4 of 5 and a Chargers team that has now lost 3 of 4 and a Jets team that is 2-7 on the season. Now they face a Falcons team that had won 4 of 6 prior to the loss at Dallas last week. That said, we are not asking Atlanta to win this game but just to cover the TD spread and I fully expect they will do at least that here. 10* ATLANTA +7 |
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11-18-21 | Warriors v. Cavs +8.5 | Top | 104-89 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 55 m | Show |
Situational Slaughter - Rickenbach NBA Rotation #504 Thursday 10* Top Play Cleveland Cavaliers +8.5 vs Golden State Warriors @ 7:40 ET - Yes, this is the 2nd game of B2B for Cavaliers but at least they are at home and they did put up a good fight at Brooklyn. This Cleveland team is not showing any quit. That is why the Cavs entered last night's game on a 10-2-1 ATS run. As for the Warriors, everyone knows they have been red hot. But now this is the 1st game of a B2B and it is after the big marquee game win at Brooklyn Tuesday and Steph Curry is dealing with a sore hip. That means even if Curry plays he could be limited and also it means the red Warriors will need to hold a little something back for Friday's game at Detroit. That said, Golden State has played a home heavy schedule and though they are now 4-1 SU in road game this season, the Warriors had only 1 road win by more than 8 points prior to Tuesday's big win at Brooklyn. Considering the full situation here, I see GS in a battle just to win this game let alone cover the big road number. The value is with the home team that has been quite hot ATS for multiple weeks now. 10* CLEVELAND +8.5 |
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11-18-21 | Louisville v. Duke OVER 60 | Top | 62-22 | Win | 100 | 10 h 18 m | Show |
ESPN Smash Pass - Rickenbach CFB Rotation #313 Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 60 in Duke Blue Devils vs Louisville Cardinals @ 7:30 ET - The Blue Devils defense has been atrocious this season but at home the offense has performed well as Duke has averaged 36.6 points per game. Whether or not Gunnar Holmberg is back this week, both the #2 and #3 Blue Devils quarterbacks got some work last week and I expect Duke's success scoring points at home to continue here. The issue for the Blue Devils however is their defense can stop no one. Duke has allowed 42.4 points per game last 7 games. Louisville comes into this one averaging 30 points per game this season and they will enjoy special success greater than that against a bad Blue Devils defense tonight. The key here is the hosts should score well also and note that the Cardinals are allowing 32.8 points per game away from home this season. More of the same here and plenty of points in this one as a result. 10* OVER 60 in Duke |
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11-18-21 | Lightning v. Flyers +115 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 13 m | Show |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach NHL Rotation #10 Thursday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers Money Line +115 vs Tampa Bay Lightning @ 7:08 ET - This is all about the line value. The Lightning are the 2x defending Stanley Cup Champs. This is the first visit for the Bolts to Philly in quite some time. You know the Flyers will be highly motivated here. Philadelphia has won 4 of last 6 home games and coming off a confidence boosting win in OT over a Flames team that has been playing solid hockey. As good as Tampa Bay has been, it is definitely hard to 3-peat and this is especially true when you have a target on your backs all the time. The Flyers will be up for this game. The Bolts are going to lose some games this season. That is most likely to occur on the road and facing a quality team. This game, as a result, checks all those boxes and indeed Tampa has lost 2 of its last 4 road games. The last time these teams met was in the bubble in August of last year and the Carter Hart, playing very well right now by the way, outplayed Andrei Vasilevskiy, the best goalie in the league, in that one. I look for more of the same here as the home ice makes the big difference here. Hart known for being tougher on home ice and the Bolts have allowed 3 goals per game when on the road this season and without Kucherov again and the loss of Cernak to injury also hurts them. 10* PHILADELPHIA +115 |
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11-18-21 | Clemson v. Temple +5.5 | Top | 75-48 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 15 m | Show |
Philly Special - Rickenbach CBB Rotation #758 Thursday 10* Top Play Temple Owls +5.5 vs Clemson Tigers @ 4:30 ET - The Tigers have yet to play a strong team. Also, this Clemson team is going to really be hurting after the loss of some key players from last season and, in particular, that includes Aamir Simms. As for Temple, they already became battle-tested by having to battle USC in their most recent game. The Owls lost but it was good they had to battle with a solid Pac-12 team like the Trojans. Temple returns most of their key players from last season and they were heavily impacted by Covid last season so don't judge them too quickly on those results. This Owls team is highly talented and has experience and I look for them to surprise here. Yes the location of this game favors the Tigers but there is a reason this game for the Owls against an ACC school was priced this way. I look for them to surprise here and if they do fall short of the upset look for it only to be by a bucket or two. 10* TEMPLE +5.5 |
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11-17-21 | Avalanche v. Canucks +150 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 4 m | Show |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach NHL Rotation #68 Wednesday 10* Top Play Vancouver Canucks Money Line +150 vs Colorado Avalanche @ 9:08 ET - The Canucks have their backs against the wall and the Avalanche have been rolling. That said, there is much more than meets the eye here. Vancouver actually is 2-0 the last 2 times they have been on home ice and coming off a loss. Also, the Canucks have only 1 regulation loss in their last 4 games played at home. The Avalanche have won just 2 of 5 road games this season and one of those wins was in the shootout. In fact, in regulation time in road games this season, Colorado has been outscored 20 to 13. I know coach Travis Green is on the the hot seat for Vancouver right now but his team is off a strong practice Tuesday and is ready to respond big after a road trip that wrapped up on Sunday. The Canucks have had a chance to regroup and hit the reset button and I expect them to start this 3-game homestand with a big upset win over an Avs team that is without Nathan MacKinnon now too. Look for the Canucks to get some revenge for last week's embarrassing 7 to 1 loss at Colorado. It is payback time here. 10* VANCOUVER +150 |
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11-17-21 | Cavs v. Nets -9 | Top | 99-109 | Win | 100 | 9 h 43 m | Show |
Situational Slaughter - Rickenbach NBA Rotation #566 Wednesday 10* Top Play Brooklyn Nets -9 vs Cleveland Cavaliers @ 7:40 ET - The Nets off embarrassing home loss to Warriors last night. They will respond here. Brooklyn is 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS this season when off a loss. Also, this is their 3rd back to back this season. So far each one featured a double digit win and a double digit loss. That pattern continues here. After getting blown out last night, the Nets are on the right end of the blowout tonight. I know Cleveland has been a pleasant surprise this season thus far but the Cavaliers, between injury and illness, are missing too many guys right now. 10* BROOKLYN -9 |
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11-17-21 | Wizards v. Hornets OVER 218.5 | Top | 87-97 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 53 m | Show |
Contrarian Crusher - Rickenbach NBA Rotation #559 Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 218.5 in Charlotte Hornets vs Washington Wizards @ 7:10 ET - Wizards games have stayed under the total in 6 straight and Hornets games have stayed under the total in 3 straight and each of the last 3 meetings between these teams has resulted in an under. In typical contrarian fashion, given those stats, I will take the over here! Of course it is not blindly though. The fact is that Charlotte is comfortable playing fast and they are going to force the pace of this game to be the way they want it at home. They had a low-scoring 4th quarter versus Golden State Sunday that looked like a sure over. Following that ridiculous result, we get some payback here as I come right back with a Hornets over knowing that Washington averaging 108.4 points per game game this season and Hornets averaging 116.2 points in home games this season. 10* OVER 218.5 in Charlotte |
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11-17-21 | Northern Illinois v. Buffalo +1.5 | Top | 33-27 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 32 m | Show |
Primetime Punisher - Rickenbach CFB Rotation #310 Wednesday 10* Top Play Buffalo Bulls +1.5 vs Northern Illinois Huskies @ 7 ET - Huskies off another tight win and that has been the key for them this season but their luck runs out here. I know Northern Illinois needs just one more win to clinch the MAC West but I also know this is the home finale for Buffalo plus the Bulls need to win this game and their season finale next week to get to 6 wins to be bowl eligible. You also know the Bulls would love to play role of spoiler here against the Huskies. Buffalo does not want them clinching MAC West on their field! The Bulls averaged 36.4 ppg at home and allowing 28.2 ppg while Northern Illinois averaging 28.0 ppg and allowing 38.8 ppg on the road this season. 10* BUFFALO +1.5 |
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11-17-21 | Drexel v. St. Joe's OVER 144.5 | Top | 78-75 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
Philly Special - Rickenbach CBB Rotation #659 Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 144.5 in St Joseph's Hawks vs Drexel Dragons @ 7 ET - Big match-up for bragging honors in the city as these two Philly rivals match up. I expect the result to be plenty of points. Yes Drexel's most recent game stayed under but that was at Syracuse so not a big surprise the Dragons did not score well there. Now they are matched up with a team that likes to play fast and they will play the same way as well and both teams have shot well early this season. Both teams having trouble defending the 3-point arc early this season too. 10* OVER 144.5 in St Joseph's |
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11-16-21 | Warriors v. Nets -2.5 | Top | 117-99 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
TNT Punisher - Rickenbach NBA Rotation #552 Tuesday 10* Top Play Brooklyn Nets -2.5 vs Golden State Warriors @ 7:35 ET - Two strong teams matched up here but I feel the home team is offering excellent value. Brooklyn will make the most of this opportunity as it is their first home game since nearly two weeks ago. The edge the Nets have here is catching the Warriors playing the 2nd road game of a 4-game trip and Golden State will be playing those 4 games in just a 6 day span. Yes GS has a great record early this season but they also were helped by the fact that 10 of their first 13 games were at home to start this season. In fact, their loss at Charlotte Sunday was the Warriors first road game since the 26th of October. The Nets blew out the Warriors in both meetings last season and, while I do expect this one to be a much closer game, I still expect the hosts to prevail and easily cover this low number along the way to the victory circle in this one. 10* BROOKLYN -2.5 |
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11-16-21 | Western Michigan -5.5 v. Eastern Michigan | Top | 21-22 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 34 m | Show |
MAC Game of the Year - Rickenbach CFB Rotation #301 Tuesday 10* Top Play Western Michigan Broncos (-) @ Eastern Michigan Eagles @ 7:30 ET - Why is Western Michigan favored by nearly a full TD over a team that shares identical records (overall and MAC) with them? Particularly one can ask that question when you consider that the Broncos are on the road for this one too! Well the fact is that Eastern Michigan is the much weaker team defensively. This includes the Eagles struggling against the run and the Broncos offense is the much better ground game in this match-up. Indeed there is a match-up issue here for Eastern Michigan and I look for Western Michigan to take full advantage! The Broncos seek revenge here for losing to the Eagles each of the last two seasons as well. Do not let the line fool you here. It is set this way with good reason and the road team has the edges on both sides of the ball in this one. As a result, look for a road rout here. 10* WESTERN MICHIGAN -5.5 |
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11-16-21 | Flames v. Flyers +103 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 103 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach NHL Rotation #54 Tuesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers Money Line +105 vs Calgary Flames @ 7:08 ET - The Flyers are off a loss at Dallas Saturday. Philadelphia is 5-0 this season when off a loss! The combined score of those 5 victories is 18 to 6. Look for angry Flyers team to take to the ice Tuesday in Philly and keep in mind they most definitely will not overlook the Flames. I say that because the Flyers lost at Calgary last month 4-0 in what is their biggest margin of defeat this season. Philadelphia was in the final game of a 3-game road trip to Western Canada and had won the first two at Edmonton and Vancouver and simply did not have it for the finale of the 3-game trip. That said, a little extra motivation for the hosts here and they catch the Flames off a win but that was at Ottawa. The Senators have been decimated by covid-19 issues and in fact are now having their next 3 games as a result. The Flames face a much bigger challenge here as the Flyers are mostly healthy and will prove to be a much tougher test. Also, Calgary had lost 5 of 6 games prior to the win over the Sens. Look for Philly to improve to 6-0 this season when off a loss as they get some revenge in this one and get right back into the win column. 10* PHILADELPHIA +105 |
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11-16-21 | Howard v. Villanova -25.5 | Top | 81-100 | Loss | -112 | 8 h 44 m | Show |
Early Dominator - Rickenbach CBB Rotation #688 Tuesday 10* Top Play Villanova Wildcats -25.5 vs Howard Bison @ 6:30 ET - It is not often that I lay big points but this spot is too good to pass up! The Wildcats are off a loss at UCLA Friday night and need a big bounce back. The Cats already proved in their season opener they will show no mercy on a team as they blew out Mount St. Mary's by 40 points. By the way, that team is in the Northeast Conference and expected to contend for the league title in a conference that certainly is a little tougher than the Mid-Eastern Conference that Howard resides in. Also, the Bison are expected to finish in the lower half of the conference and the Mid-Eastern is arguably the weakest in Division 1 basketball. Keep in mind, Howard is off the upset win at Bradley Saturday but the Braves missed half of their 26 free throws and shot horribly from 3-point land while the Bison lit it up from outside. Bradley outrebounded Howard by a big margin too. So the fact Howard, first two games were non-lined, is 3-0 this season is merely helping to give us line value here because the Wildcats are vastly superior and at home and are angry off a loss. Considering all these factors, another win in the 40-point range would not surprise me in the least. Either way big blowout by 30+ is likely. 10* VILLANOVA -25.5 |
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11-15-21 | Rams -3.5 v. 49ers | Top | 10-31 | Loss | -103 | 12 h 59 m | Show |
MNF Blowout - Rickenbach NFL Rotation #265 Monday 10* Top Play Los Angeles Rams -3.5 @ San Francisco 49ers @ 8:15 ET - The Rams are off an ugly home loss to the Titans but outgained Tennessee by a substantial margin so it was a deceiving final score. Prior to that loss, Los Angeles was 7-1 on the season and only 1 of the wins was by less than 9 points! That is why I am fully comfortable laying the short number on the road here. I like taking good teams off losses. Yes, the Niners are off a loss too but San Francisco has now lost 5 of last 6 games and each of their last 4 losses were by 7 or more points. Look for this one to be by at least that margin as well. 10* LOS ANGELES RAMS -3.5 |
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11-15-21 | Magic v. Hawks OVER 213.5 | Top | 111-129 | Win | 100 | 10 h 19 m | Show |
Early Punisher - Rickenbach NBA Rotation #537 Monday 10* Top Play OVER 213.5 in Atlanta Hawks vs Orlando Magic @ 7:40 ET - Hawks head coach had been wanting his team to up the tempo and they finally did it yesterday and it led to a 120-100 win versus Milwaukee. I love the fact that Atlanta scored 120 but the game still stayed under the total. That gives us value here as we have a lower total to work with courtesy of the Hawks facing a bad Orlando team. Couple keys here as to why this will go over even though the Magic such a bad team right now and still without some players. The Hawks defensive intensity likely to drop off after being up for the big game versus the NBA champs last night. Also, Atlanta is without Hunter (wrist surgery) and he is one of their best defenders. Additionally, the Magic have scored an average of 109 points last 3 road games but are a double digit dog here with good reason. In other words, look for this one to crush the rather low total as the Trae Young and the Hawks run and gun again in this one. 10* OVER 213.5 in Atlanta |
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11-15-21 | Islanders +117 v. Lightning | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 56 m | Show |
Situational Slaughter - Rickenbach NHL Rotation #39 Monday 10* Top Play New York Islanders Money Line +115 @ Tampa Bay Lightning @ 7:08 ET - I have tremendous respect for the two time defending champion Lightning and their goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy. The Bolts are a fantastic team. However, there is a reason they are priced so low for this match-up. The Islanders are a much stronger team than their recent results have showed and the set-up here, TB off huge win, is a perfect one for backing the road dog. While Tampa Bay is off an OT win over Florida, the Isles are off B2B losses for just the 2nd time this season. The Islanders also are the much more rested team as tonight's game will be just their 2nd one in the past 8 days! Prior to the B2B losses, New York had won 4 of 5 and all 4 wins were by 2 or more goals and the lone loss was in the shootout. As for the Lightning, they are off huge win over a Panthers team that has been great early this season and that game was on Saturday. Prior to that the Bolts had lost 2 of 3 and this a challenging spot for them. Keep in mind, the Lightning have played 13 games this season and only 4 of them have resulted in a win in regulation time. This Tampa Bay team, as good as they still are (for sure high quality), do seem to be having a bit of a 2x Stanley Cup Champ hangover so far this season. Considering that plus the big win over the Panthers Saturday, this is an ideal spot to take a hungry dog and fade the Bolts. 10* NEW YORK ISLANDERS +115 |
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11-15-21 | Bowling Green +16.5 v. Ohio State | Top | 58-89 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 47 m | Show |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach CBB Rotation #803 Monday 10* Top Play Bowling Green Falcons +16.5 @ Ohio State Buckeyes @ 6:30 ET - You might remember I faded the Buckeyes with another MAC team, Akron, last week in their season opener and the Zips very nearly upset Ohio State. This Falcons team is just as good as Akron. Also, Bowling Green already had their "wake up call" early this season as they lost their opener to Western Carolina. The Falcons responded by winning their most recent game by 41 points. Granted it was an over-matched team they faced but BG did return 4 starters from last season's team plus they added a bevy of Division 1 transfers and I expect this Falcons team to give OSU plenty of trouble here. Keep in mind, Ohio State was fortunate to even beat Akron and they were a huge favorite in that game and won by a point on a late bucket. The Buckeyes then "responded" by beating MAAC school Niagara by only 10 even though they were a 20-point favorite. That said, a lot of value with the big MAC dog again in this one. 10* BOWLING GREEN +16.5 |
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11-14-21 | Chiefs -2.5 v. Raiders | Top | 41-14 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show |
AFC West Game of the Year - Rickenbach NFL Rotation #263 Sunday 10* Top Play Kansas City Chiefs -2.5 @ Las Vegas Raiders @ 8:20 ET - There are 4 teams the Raiders have faced this season that the Chiefs have not faced and those teams entered this week's action with a combined record of 14-20. There are 5 teams Kansas City has faced that Las Vegas has not faced and those teams have a combined record of 26-17. The other 4 teams each has faced are common opponents on the schedule thus far. The point is that the Chiefs have faced the tougher schedule thus far. I know KC continues to underachieve at the betting window as they are on a long-term ugly ATS run. However, this line is a 2.5 and all 5 of the Kansas City wins this season have been by 3 or more points. I highly doubt the spread is going to come into play in this game. The SU winner will very likely be the ATS winner. The Raiders have dealt with a lot (Gruden, Ruggs) this season and it is starting to catch up with them. Las Vegas has lost 3 of 5 games SU and is on a 2-4 ATS run. The Raiders only two wins during this stretch were over a bad Eagles team that has lost 6 of 9 this season and over a Broncos team that was slumping at the time and ended up with a 4-game losing streak. The Chiefs have underachieved so far this season but this is after huge success in recent years and I really expect them to raise things to another level down the stretch run of the season. Certainly this KC team has the pedigree to do just that. This is the time of year that separates the contenders from the pretenders and with the Chiefs a 1/2 game back in the standings (one more loss than the Raiders) they need this game and I feel strongly they will rise to the occasion here behind a huge game from Mahomes as he puts this team on his back and gets it done in primetime. 10* KANSAS CITY -2.5 |
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11-14-21 | Minnesota v. Princeton +2.5 | Top | 87-80 | Loss | -114 | 9 h 5 m | Show |
ESPN2 Smash Pass - Rickenbach CBB Rotation #696 Sunday 10* Top Play Princeton Tigers +2.5 vs Minnesota Golden Gophers @ 7:30 ET - The Golden Gophers are in rebuild mode. Yes Minnesota is a Big Ten school and is commanding more respect from the betting markets than an Ivy League school does but this is merely serving to give us some extra line value here with a solid Princeton team. The Tigers have outside shooters, have a solid system in place, and are the more cohesive team in comparison with Minny early this season. Yes the Gophers just upset Western Kentucky but the Tigers got an upset win of their own over South Carolina. Give me the points here as I look for the more veteran team to make the key decisions down the stretch that turn this game for them and so with them pulling away for the win we should not need the points. But I will grab them for extra value should they lose on a late bucket. 10* PRINCETON +2.5 |
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11-14-21 | Warriors v. Hornets OVER 227 | Top | 102-106 | Loss | -101 | 9 h 6 m | Show |
Total of the Week - Rickenbach NBA Rotation #519 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 227 in Charlotte Hornets vs Golden State Warriors @ 7:10 ET - Warriors have averaged 123 points last 5 games. Hornets have averaged 118 points in home games this season. Both teams hitting 37% of their threes this season. Charlotte off B2B unders but over was 9-3 on the season before that two game stretch. Golden State off an under but this followed 3 straight overs. Non-conference match-up, both teams off wins, and this the type of situation I like to look for softer defense and a run and gun type affair. 10* OVER 227 in Charlotte |
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11-14-21 | Oilers -105 v. Blues | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 17 m | Show |
Contrarian Crusher - Rickenbach NHL Rotation #31 Sunday 10* Top Play Edmonton Oilers Money Line -105 @ St Louis Blues @ 7:08 ET - The knee-jerk reaction here from most will be to take the home team off a loss with Jordan Binnington between the pipes and on home ice. However, in typical contrarian fashion, I am on the other side of that. I really like this Oilers team this season and they are off a loss also. Key factor Edmonton is their loss was Friday while the Blues loss was yesterday. St Louis is in a back to back and has lost 5 of 8 games. Edmonton has yet to lose back to back games and I love the resiliency of this club. When the Oilers faced the Bruins in Boston on Thursday they fell behind 1-0 and 2-1 and 3-2 but kept battling back immediately each time in the eventual 5-3 win. Also, Mikko Koskinen is likely to be between the pipes since he did not play Friday and he is 8-1 with a 2.59 GAA and a .918 save percentage this season. He has played very well and looked very comfortable between the pipes. This will not be an easy game for the Oilers as the Blues are at home and hungry off B2B losses but I think the B2B situation here will be too much for them. That said, when you want to play strong teams like Edmonton you have to be willing to take them on the road and against quality opponents if you want to get the most manageable lines. So just like grabbing the Oilers as a dog at Boston Thursday now we get them in a pick'em price Sunday at St Louis and this is a solid value worth taking! 10* EDMONTON -105 |