Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03-06-24 | Atalanta v. Sporting Lisbon OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -130 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
Rotation #224401: Europa League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg: Wednesday OVER 2.5 -130 in Sporting Lisbon vs Atalanta @ 12:45 ET - Portuguese Primeira Liga club hosting an Italian Serie A club in this one. Each of the last two meetings have seen both clubs score. Sporting Lisbon enters this one averaging an incredible 2.7 goals scored per match in their last 38 matches across all competitions. I just do not see Atalanta slowing this freight train down! However, Sporting Lisbon has allowed 7 goals in last 4 matches across all competitions and Atalanta should make the net ripple at least once here as well. Atalanta has scored 2.3 goals per match in their last 11 across all competitions. Atlanta has allowed 1.5 goals per match last 6 matches. Of course, Sporting Lisbon is favored here with good reason and, with the way both these clubs have been both scoring and conceding of late, I expect at least a 2-1 final here and we might even see 2-2 or 3-2 in this one as the goals should fly here. OVER 2.5 -130 in Sporting Lisbon |
|||||||
03-05-24 | Detroit v. Wisc-Milwaukee -11.5 | Top | 79-83 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 13 m | Show |
Rotation #666: CBB Horizon League Tourney Tuesday Milwaukee Panthers -11.5 vs Detroit Titans @ 8 ET - Detroit is getting a little attention in the marketplace and I get it. It is a new opportunity for the Titans after a disgusting 1-30 season. Also, they are off a tight loss to Oakland and the Golden Grizzlies are the top team in the Horizon. However, Oakland had already wrapped up the Horizon League regular season title so they were very lax defensively in that game. Detroit took advantage and shot uncharacteristically well. Now Detroit faces a fired up team in Milwaukee and the Panthers will be intense defensively. The Panthers averaged scoring about 84 ppg when at home this season and the Titans averaged only about 65 ppg when on the road this season. Don't be surprised when the hosts win this by 20+ points! They have the talent edge, the defensive edge, the rebounding edge and home court as well. Before that road loss by just 5 points to Oakland, 14 of last 18 road defeats for Detroit came by at least a dozen points! The Panthers wrapped up the regular season on a 5-1 run and blasted Green Bay 90-69 in their season finale. They carry that moment right into this game. MILWAUKEE -11.5 |
|||||||
03-05-24 | Blues v. Islanders OVER 6 | Top | 2-4 | Push | 0 | 5 h 50 m | Show |
NHL Tuesday OVER 6 in New York Islanders vs St Louis Blues @ 7:35 ET - The Blues off tight 2-1 shootout win at Philly yesterday which means now back-up goalie Joel Hofer likely gets the call here. St Louis gave up 42 shots on goal yesterday so it was Jordan Binnington who saved the day and he is unlikely to get the call again here after that workload yesterday. The Blues have had 3 straight lower-scoring games but had allowed 17 goals in last 4 road games prior to yesterday's 2-1 win. The Islanders have seen 7 of last 10 games total at least 6 goals. Off 3 straight wins and having scored 13 goals, the confidence for New York is surging higher now. This is also revenge for the Isles after a recent 4-0 loss at St Louis. They will score much better on home ice for sure but again will struggle to slow down the Blues in this one. OVER 6 in New York Islanders |
|||||||
03-05-24 | Magic v. Hornets OVER 207.5 | Top | 101-89 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 5 m | Show |
NBA Tuesday OVER 207.5 in Charlotte Hornets vs Orlando Magic @ 7 ET - This total has dropped from its opener and this is a classic case where the long-term history is being given far more credit than the current trending. Yes, the Hornets are certainly known for low-scoring games but they have been playing better of late and scoring better. Also, being on their home floor makes a difference too. At the same time, Orlando enters this game on a 3-game winning streak in which they have averaged 112 points per game. The Magic also are looking to make up for a dud though in their most recent road game. Additionally, the first meeting between these teams totaled 247 points and the Hornets won that one right here in Charlotte. So the Magic, leaders in the SE Division, also have revenge on their minds here. The Hornets are allowing 116.5 ppg last 4 games but also have scored an average of 114 ppg in their last 6 home games. That included facing the Bucks and defensive-minded Memphis and the Lakers too. The point is that Charlotte can score decently at home and they are being under-valued here in that regard. At the same time, revenge-minded Orlando should go off here as well! The Magic have won 8 of 10 and, not including OT points of course, have averaged 114 ppg in the victories. This total is just too low. OVER 207.5 in Charlotte |
|||||||
03-05-24 | Blue Jackets v. Penguins OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 5 h 38 m | Show |
NHL Tuesday OVER 6.5 in Pittsburgh vs Columbus @ 7 ET - The Penguins have allowed 4 goals per game in last 3 games and about 4 goals per game last 7 games. The Blue Jackets have allowed about 4 goals per game last 9 games! Also, Columbus is starting Jet Greaves here in goal because of an injury to their #1 goalie plus their #2 guy started last night. So they are down to option #3 here and Greaves has very little NHL experience and faces and angry Pittsburgh team here. The Pens should score well here given the above but they also will continue to struggle defensively and in goal as that problem does not fix itself overnight and the Penguins have been in a bad pattern. OVER 6.5 in Pittsburgh |
|||||||
03-05-24 | Lazio v. Bayern Munich OVER 3 | Top | 0-3 | Push | 0 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
Rotation #224201: Champions League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg: Tuesday OVER 3 -115 in Bayern Munich vs Lazio @ 3 ET - Bayern lost the first match 1-0 and must respond on their home pitch. They are a different club when at home and have plenty of firepower and will approach this one aggressively considering the circumstances. Bayern have scored 2 goals in each of last 3 matches since losing at Lazio. However, they also have allowed an average of 2 goals in last 5 matches across all competitions and conceded at least once in all 5 of those! Bayern won the two prior meetings with Lazio by an average score of 3 to 1 and that is the type of final I am looking for here. Lazio is off a 1-0 loss in Serie A action but scored at least 1 goal in 6 straight matches across all competitions prior to that one and averaged scoring 1.5 goals in those 6 matches. Of course Bayern Munich is a 1.5 favorite on the goal line for a reason and this match has 3-1 written all over it! OVER 3 -115 in Bayern Munich |
|||||||
03-05-24 | Paris Saint-Germain v. Real Sociedad OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
Rotation #224205: Champions League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg: Tuesday OVER 2.5 -105 in Real Sociedad vs Paris Saint-German @ 3 ET - Real Sociedad lost the first match 2-0 and must respond in a big way on their home pitch. Down 2 goals in this one, the hosts must risk everything to try and get on the level with PSG. I am envisioning a 2-1 type match as a result. Real Sociedad will be aggressive and they will score this time around but the aggressiveness will open things up on the counterattack as well. That said, the goals should fly well in this one. Real Sociedad had a number of high quality chances in the first half of the first meeting between these clubs but they had nothing to show for it. They will get even better chances in the rematch on their home pitch and some of these will be cashed in. Keep in mind, 3 straight Real Sociedad matches in Spanish Liga 1 action have totaled at least 3 goals and 4 straight matches across all competitions have seen them both score and concede. PSG is off a scoreless draw but this followed them scoring at least 1 goal in 26 straight matches across all competitions and these averaged 2.6 goals apiece. I know PSG has a great goalie but this club is facing a desperate host that is averaging 1.5 goals scored per match on home pitch in La Liga action this season and they are going to be on the attack here and throw caution to the wind. OVER 2.5 -105 in Real Sociedad |
|||||||
03-04-24 | Blazers v. Wolves OVER 211.5 | Top | 114-119 | Win | 100 | 13 h 12 m | Show |
NBA Monday OVER 211.5 in Minnesota Timberwolves vs Portland Trailblazers @ 8 ET - The Wolves off the 1-point low-scoring loss last night on their home floor and will go all out here against a defenseless foe. Of course that is why they are such a big favorite here and I like the fact that Minnesota has averaged 122 points per game in their 3 meetings with Portland this season. The line on this one is 14 so that would put this game at 122 to 108 if Minny hits their average against the Blazers and if the odds makers are right (as they so often are) with their assessment of the proper spread here. That would put this game in the 230 range and honestly I would not be surprised to see that and for sure, we have a lot of wiggle room with the total posted on this one as you can see. Look for an up tempo game from the T-wolves at home after that grinder last night. They will take advantage of a weaker foe and this one turns into a free-flowing game with plenty of points - yet again - between these teams. All 3 meetings this season between these teams have totaled at least 209 and given the situation here we should eclipse that for sure, just as the last two meetings have eclipsed that as well. The situation boosted by Wolves off a low-scoring loss and Blazers off a confidence-boosting rare OT road win! OVER 211.5 in Minnesota |
|||||||
03-04-24 | Queens NC v. Florida Gulf Coast -4 | Top | 69-63 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 54 m | Show |
Rotation #306662: ASUN Tourney CBB Monday: Florida Gulf Coast Eagles -4 vs Queens University Royals @ 7 ET - This is a conference tournament where the team with the better record gets it on their home court. But I am going to start with talking about road games. The reason is because you can oftentimes tell the better team by how they perform on the road. In this case, on the surface, you have two very evenly matched teams by looking at records. But if you look at how the Eagles performed on the road (including in losses!) compared to how the Royals performed on the road, you will see that Florida Gulf Coast was the stronger team on the road. Not only that, as noted above, now Queens University has to go on the road for this one while the Eagles are on their home floor. It all adds up to solid line value here as Florida Gulf Coast should take this by 5 or more points. The Eagles last 8 home games, and 11 of 13 this season, all were decided by a margin of 5 or more points. I also like the fact that FGC started 3-9 this season but then went 11-8 the rest of the way. Conversely, Queens started the season 6-5 but have since gone 7-13 the rest of the way. Also, 14 of the Royals 18 losses were by 6 or more points this season. While Queens just became division 1 in the summer of 2022, the Eagles have been Division 1 for more than dozen years and have been to the Big Dance 3 times. I like the home team for all the reasons noted above and I also like them for their better defensive play including key hustle stats like steals and blocks in their most recent match-up. Florida Gulf Coast Eagles -4 |
|||||||
03-04-24 | Arsenal v. Sheffield United OVER 3.5 | Top | 6-0 | Win | 105 | 10 h 22 m | Show |
Rotation #200081: English Premier League: Monday OVER 3.5 +100 in Sheffield United vs Arsenal @ 3 ET - Yes, this is a big total but Arsenal could get this all by themselves. They won the first meeting 5-0 and also are on a current run of incredible form in Premier League action. In their last 7 EPL matches, all 7 have totaled at least 3 goals and gone over the total. Arsenal has averaged an incredible 3.7 goals scored in those 7 matches. Like I said above, they just might get this total all by themselves. Even though Sheffield is off a road loss in which they failed to score, they certainly had some quality chances. I look for them to cash one of those types of opportunities here as Arsenal could get caught being overconfident and make a mistake in the defensive end. But the visitors should be good for at least 3 goals here the way they are going and that puts this one likely to finish at 3-1 at a minimum though I truly expect 5 or more. Note that Sheffield has allowed an average of 4 goals in their last 5 home matches across all competitions including allowing 5 goals in each of the last three! Their over run is 5-0 L5 home matches across all competitions and Arsenal over run is 7-0 L7 matches in EPL action. So we are testing Double 100% Perfect runs here with this one! OVER 3.5 +100 in Sheffield United |
|||||||
03-04-24 | Genoa v. Inter Milan OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 27 m | Show |
Rotation #201289: Italian Serie A: Monday OVER 2.5 -130 in Inter Milan vs Genoa @ 2:45 ET - Inter Milan is a heavy home favorite with good reason of course. But this Genoa club has only lost once in last 11 matches. So I do expect Genoa to keep this interesting with a most likely outcome of 3-2 or 3-1. Note that Inter Milan is favored by 1.5 goals on the goal line in this one but I just can not envision a clean sheet here. By the way, even if it was a clean sheet, note that Inter Milan won the last two home meetings with Genoa by scores of 3-0 and 4-0. Either one of those outcomes would also give us a winning ticket here. But what I like the most in this one is that Genoa has scored at least 1 goal in 9 of last 11 matches so they should get on the board here. They will struggle, however, to try to stop this Inter Milan freight train. Inter Milan has scored 4 goals in each of last 4 matches in Serie A action for a perfect 4-0 run to the over as they are firing on all cylinders right now. Don't be surprised if this match makes it a perfect 5 IN A ROW for over the total. OVER 2.5 -130 in Inter Milan |
|||||||
03-04-24 | Rapid Bucuresti v. CS U Craiova OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -119 | 9 h 22 m | Show |
Rotation #206929: Romania Liga 1: Monday OVER 2.5 -120 in Universitatea Craiova vs Rapid Bucuresti @ 1 ET - Big match between two of the better clubs in this league. Universitatea Craiova is seeking revenge for a 2-0 loss in Bucuresti earlier this season. That one followed 3 straight meetings that each totaled at least 4 goals so you can expect the goals to fly here. Rapid is off a 4-1 win preceded by a 3-1 loss. Speaking of high-scoring matches, Universitatea Craiova has gone over the total in 10 STRAIGHT matches! Those 10 matches have all totaled at least 3 goals and have averaged 3.7 goals apiece. Hosting one of the top clubs in the league, you know the hosts are going to bring an aggressive attacking style here as they have been scoring well for months now and they want revenge here. The goals should fly here and these are two of the highest scoring clubs in the league. OVER 2.5 -120 in Universitatea Craiova |
|||||||
03-04-24 | Voluntari v. Sepsi OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 33 m | Show |
Rotation #206941: Romania Liga 1: Monday OVER 2.5 +100 in Sepsi vs Voluntari @ 10 AM ET - This line has ticked up a bit from 2.25 to 2.5 and is an indication of what to expect here in terms of goals. Sepsi got back on track with a 2-1 road win and now carries that momentum back home. Voluntari seeks revenge for a 2-0 home loss the last time these clubs met. Voluntari is off B2B 2-1 losses and I look for another result like that here. The odds favor both clubs scoring at least once and the odds favor a result here rather than a draw as only 2 of Sepsi's last 12 matches and just 3 of Voluntari's last 10 matches have resulted in a draw. Both clubs, for differing reasons, are in need of the full 3 points in the table available from this match. Look for at least a 2-1 final as the end result here. OVER 2.5 +100 in Sepsi |
|||||||
03-03-24 | Penguins v. Oilers OVER 6.5 | Top | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show |
NHL Sunday OVER 6.5 in Edmonton Oilers vs Pittsburgh Penguins @ 9:05 ET - The Oilers are going with backup goalie Calvin Pickard here. He has allowed 3 goals in each of his last 3 starts. The Penguins will likely get 3 here but Oilers are favored on home ice for a reason of course. Edmonton will take advantage of a Pittsburgh team that has allowed an average of 4 goals per game last 4 games. The Oilers have actually allowed 4 goals per game last 6 home games as their strong defense and goalie work has cooled a bit since that epic 16-game winning streak. However, they have also scored 4 goals per game last 10 games overall. The point is you can see why I am expecting plenty of scoring both ways in this one and I look for at least a 4-3 final in this one. Non-conference match-ups tend to be a little higher-scoring and less defensively intense and you also have the nice goalie situation setup here plus strong recent trending. OVER 6.5 in Edmonton |
|||||||
03-03-24 | Stanford v. Colorado -13 | Top | 71-81 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 50 m | Show |
Rotation #852: CBB Sunday Colorado Buffaloes -13 vs Stanford Cardinal @ 9 ET - Colorado has been rolling offensively heading into this game and they are 15-1 SU at home this season. Stanford enters this game off 5 straight losses and with the Cardinal offense quite sluggish. The Cardinal just will not be able to keep up here. The Buffaloes know they are on the bubble and this is also their final home game of the season. You know that kind of effort that will result in for Colorado ... it will absolutely be an intense effort from the hosts here and they pull away for a win by about 20. One of Stanford's better shooters dealing with a wrist injury so that is not helping matters either as the Cardinal slide toward an ugly finish to the season. Not including OT points of course, the Buffaloes have averaged 83 ppg last 3 games - all wins. The Cardinal have averaged just 66 points in their last 5 games - all losses. I do not normally lay big points but this one is screaming blowout rout! Lay it! COLORADO -13 |
|||||||
03-03-24 | Canucks v. Ducks OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -102 | 7 h 17 m | Show |
NHL Sunday OVER 6.5 in Anaheim Ducks vs Vancouver Canucks @ 8 ET - Ducks have won last two games by a combined score of 10 to 7. Prior to that, 3 straight losses by combined score of 14 to 8. Overall, Anaheim's last 10 games have averaged 7.5 goals apiece and I am expecting at least 7 tonight. Vancouver comes into town angry after a rare tough stretch at home. The Canucks have allowed about 5 goals per game last 7 games! Hard to trust them to slow down a Ducks team that has been scoring well. But absolutely Vancouver needed to get on the road and they will be rejuvenated and they will score goals against an Anaheim team that has been allowing too many goals of late and, truly, all season long. OVER 6.5 in Anaheim |
|||||||
03-03-24 | Hornets v. Raptors OVER 221.5 | Top | 106-111 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 51 m | Show |
NBA Saturday OVER 221.5 in Toronto Raptors vs Charlotte Hornets @ 6 ET - The Hornets are off loss in which they scored 114 points and they have been much more competitive recently. That said, look for them to score plenty and hang close with this Raptors team favored by 8 points in this one. Toronto should score very well here but is not known for defense. Toronto has allowed at least 119 points in 7 of last 8 games! They allowed 124 ppg in those 7 games. You can see why I am expecting an improving Charlotte team to score well given those numbers. Also, 2 of the 3 meetings between these teams totaled at least 235 points this season. Toronto has averaged 121.5 ppg scoring last 6 games. Given all of these numbers you can see why I am expecting at least 230s in this one. We get a low total here because of Charlotte's long-term reputation but look at their short-term plus look at the long-term of these Raptors. This game will be wide-open! OVER 221.5 in Toronto |
|||||||
03-03-24 | Toronto FC v. New England OVER 3 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 3 m | Show |
Rotation #209913: Major League Soccer: Sunday OVER 2.75 -120 or OVER 3 +100 in New England vs Toronto @ 2 ET - The NE defense was dreadful in their 3-1 loss last week. Toronto is amped up to end a long road losing streak. That said, look for the visitor to push hard on the attack here as new manager, Herdman, knows this team needs to get some offense going and this is the perfect spot to do it given the struggles of New England along the backline. Toronto gained a bit of a "victory" with a 0-0 draw last week but they face NE off a loss and the hosts will be on the attack early and often. It is not like Toronto was not conceding chances last week but their goalie bailed them out. New England scored 2 goals per match at home last season! Toronto allowed 2 goals per match on the road last season. But the hosts are not a huge favorite here with good reason. Their defense can not be trusted. Don't be surprised if we see a 3-2 final here or even a 2-2 draw. OVER 2.75 -120 or OVER 3 +100 in New England |
|||||||
03-03-24 | Petrolul 52 v. Steaua Bucharesti OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -112 | 10 h 39 m | Show |
Rotation #206949: Romania Liga 1: Sunday OVER 2.5 -110 in FCSB vs Petrolul Ploiesti @ 1:30 ET - Petrolul Ploiesti put up a valiant effort in their 3-2 home loss to Universitatea Craiova in their most recent match. I liked the aggression I saw from them in this match and now they face FCSB in Bucuresti. FCSB is at the top of the table in the league and off wins by counts of 2-1 and 3-2. Also, each of the last two meeting with Petrolul Ploiesti have totaled at least 4 goals. FCSB continues to battle strong and show their depth even with some players out with injury or due to red card suspension. Petrolul Ploiesti is still mathematically alive to get into the playoff rounds rather than the playout positions so don't be surprised if you see another valiant effort here and the goals should fly in this one as a result. The visitors going strong for the full 3 points in the table and the league leaders will surely score well at home. OVER 2.5 -110 in FCSB |
|||||||
03-03-24 | Seton Hall v. Connecticut OVER 138.5 | Top | 61-91 | Win | 100 | 4 h 42 m | Show |
Rotation #815: CBB Sunday OVER 138.5 in Connecticut Huskies vs Seton Hall Pirates @ Noon ET - The Huskies will be relentless in this game. They lost at Seton Hall again this season, just like last season. Now they get revenge at home as a win here locks up the Big East regular season title for them. Connecticut then does not even have to worry about next week's game at Marquette. Of course the Huskies are pretty well locked into winning the title thanks to the Golden Eagles loss yesterday but why not make it official now? Of course the Huskies want to do that and, of course, they are about a 15-point favorite here with good reason. Connecticut shot very poorly against the Pirates earlier this season. That is not happening here at home! The Huskies will score very well here but the Pirates have enough scoring to hang around in this game. Let say Seton Hall only gets to 65, that still puts this game at about 80-65 per the spread on this game and that is mid-140s and we have a posted total that has come down to the upper 130s. Lets take advantage! Seton Hall is off a loss at Creighton but this followed wins in 5 of 6 games and the Pirates scored an average of 76 points in the 5 wins. The Huskies are averaging 81 ppg this season. I like the odds on them getting their average in a revenge spot in which they will be relentless in attacking on the offensive end. The Huskies have averaged 84 points scored in last 8 wins. More of the same here. OVER 138.5 in Connecticut |
|||||||
03-03-24 | Manchester United v. Manchester City OVER 3.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 47 m | Show |
Rotation #200077: English Premier League Sunday OVER 3.5 -115 in Manchester City vs Manchester United @ 10:30 AM ET - The last 2 meetings in EPL have each totaled 3 goals but the last 4 meetings in EPL action have averaged 5 goals apiece. I am looking for at least 4 here as City is scoring an average of 2.4 goals per match at home this season. United is scoring 1.4 goals per match this season. The key about Man U though is they flipped a switch after Christmas. Since then, in their 11 matches across all competitions, United has averaged 2.3 goals scored per match. They will get theirs here but City is a heavy favorite with good reason of course. City is coming off a 6-2 thrashing of Luton Town in FA Cup action and Haaland scored 5 goals in that amazing performance! Man U comes in with confidence too as they have won their 6 road fixtures across all competitions since the calendar turned the page to 2024! Man City is favored by as much as 2 goals on the goal line here and I am forecasting at least a 3-1 final here. City will show no mercy against their rivals but also they had conceded at least once in 12 of last 14 matches in EPL action prior to B2B 1-0 wins in their last two in league action. Look for the goals to fly in this one! OVER 3.5 -115 in Manchester City |
|||||||
03-03-24 | AFC Bournemouth v. Burnley OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -140 | 3 h 59 m | Show |
Rotation #200073: English Premier League Sunday OVER 2.5 -145 in Burnley vs Bournemouth @ 8 AM ET - Bournemouth could get a boost with the return of Dominic Solanke for this one. If nothing else, they get a morale boost based on his MRI coming back negative. There is still much work to be done for Bournemouth as they are 13th in the table but 7 points away from 12th position. Speaking of work to do, Burnley is in the relegation zone and has its work cut out in terms of trying to get out of this hole they've put themselves into. That said, I look for a strong push from both clubs here as they each need the full 3 points in the table. On that note Bournemouth has only 3 draws in 13 matches on the road this season and Burnley has just 4 draws in 26 matches on the season! Chances of a draw are slim and odds on both teams scoring are strong so at least a 2-1 final has a great shot here! Bournemouth allowing 2.2 goals per match when traveling. Burnley allowing 2.5 goals as a host this season. Look for the goals to fly in this one! OVER 2.5 -145 in Burnley |
|||||||
03-03-24 | Botosani v. Universitatea Cluj OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 55 m | Show |
Rotation #206937: Romania Liga 1: Sunday OVER 2.5 +100 in Universitatea Cluj vs FC Botosani @ 7:30 AM ET - Universitatea Cluj won the first meeting this season 3-0 at Botosani. Also, the last time they hosted Botosani they won 2-0. They are going to get their goals again here but they will not shutout Botosani this time around. The visitors have been playing a much more aggressive style ever since the winter break. This has led to them both scoring and conceding in all 5 matches last month! All 5 of those matches went over the total and totaled at least 3 goals. Look for this perfect totals run to make it 6 IN A ROW here on Sunday. OVER 2.5 +100 in Universitatea Cluj |
|||||||
03-02-24 | Gonzaga +2.5 v. St. Mary's | Top | 70-57 | Win | 100 | 11 h 35 m | Show |
Rotation #801: CBB Saturday Gonzaga Bulldogs +2.5 @ St Mary's Gaels @ 10 ET - The Gaels already wrapped up the #1 seed for the WCC Tourney that is coming up. They should also have locked up a spot in the NCAA Tourney as well. That said, this game is not nearly as important to St Mary's as it is to Gonzaga. The Bulldogs have not been quite as strong as they usually are but they still showed what they can do in their most recent game with a blowout win courtesy of a huge 2nd half and that was on the road also. Now here they are out for revenge after losing at home 64-62 to the Gaels earlier this season. One of the big keys that night for St Mary's was Joshua Jefferson as he had 25% of their points with 16 points plus had 11 rebounds. He is now out for the season. Further limiting their depth in the paint is 7-footer Harry Wessels is out. The Bulldogs will take advantage here in the paint and they have big-time scorers all over the floor. Yes, the Gaels will try to slow them down but this game belongs to Gonzaga. I love the fact moved from the Bulldogs being a small favorite to now being an underdog of more than a bucket. There is a reason the line was originally set the way it was and the Bulldogs are all set for revenge here. GONZAGA +2.5 |
|||||||
03-02-24 | Nuggets v. Lakers | Top | 124-114 | Win | 100 | 9 h 53 m | Show |
NBA Saturday Denver Nuggets Pick -110 @ Los Angeles Lakers @ 8:40 ET - The Lakers have been playing well at home this season including 4 straight wins. However, the Nuggets have won 5 straight overall and are the much stronger team in this match-up. They just beat Miami in most recent game even though Murray was only able to play 14 minutes. Even if he does not play tonight I still like Denver in this spot. But don't be surprised if he does suit up for facing the Lakers here. The Nuggets have 3 straight wins over solid teams in their 5-game run. Although the Lakers have won 4 straight at home, the last 3 wins were against the Wizards, Pistons and Spurs. Those are the 3 worst teams in the NBA with a combined record of 30-149 on the season! Now they face a 40-19 Denver team that is one of the top teams in the NBA and the defending champs. The Nuggets have beaten the Lakers 3 straight time and in both match-ups this season and now they make it 4 in a row and get the season 3-game sweep over this over-rated LA bunch. DENVER Pick -110 |
|||||||
03-02-24 | Blue Jackets v. Blackhawks OVER 6 | Top | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 39 m | Show |
NHL Saturday OVER 6 -115 in Chicago Blackhawks vs Columbus Blue Jackets @ 8 ET - This total being held at a 6 because Chicago is involved. But don't be surprised if the Blackhawks finally break out and have a rare stronger scoring game. Keep in mind, they have faced a tough schedule of late and that has impacted their scoring too. But they can score on Merzlikins and an overall weak Blue Jackets defense. At the same time, Chicago will have trouble slowing down the Blue Jackets here as Columbus also ready to have a breakout game offensively against a weaker foe. The key here is that little-used Arvid Soderblom was in the starters crease this morning and will likely get the start tonight. He has a 3.97 GAA this season and has allowed 39 goals in his last 9 starts! Both clubs score better, as you would expect, when facing weaker opposition and this is a match-up of two of the worst teams in the league. Couple that with the goalie situation and I expect plenty of back and forth in this non-conference battle. Look for each team to get to 3 here and that would translate, of course, to nothing less than a 4-3 final in this one. OVER 6 -115 in Chicago |
|||||||
03-02-24 | Senators v. Flyers OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -120 | 5 h 18 m | Show |
NHL Saturday OVER 6.5 -120 in Philadelphia Flyers vs Ottawa Senators @ 7 ET - The Senators are starting Mads Sogaard in goal for this one and he has struggled in his limited action thus far. The Flyers are likely starting Felix Sandstrom and his numbers are not impressive either. The Flyers Carter Hart has been out for quite awhile and now Cal Peterson got waived so that means the only other option for Philly is starting Sam Ersson in the 2nd night of a B2B but that is not a good option generally speaking. So little used backup goalies rule the story in this one. Plus you have two teams that have been scoring quite well. The Flyers have scored an average of 3.6 goals per game last 10 games. The Senators have scored 3 goals per game last 11 games. Look for each team to get to 3 here and that would translate, of course, to nothing less than a 4-3 final in this one. OVER 6.5 -120 in Philadelphia |
|||||||
03-02-24 | Virginia +9.5 v. Duke | Top | 48-73 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 11 m | Show |
Rotation #733: CBB Saturday Virginia Cavaliers (+) @ Duke Blue Devils @ 6 ET - This is a revenge spot for Virginia. The last time they met Duke it was not just any game, it was the ACC Championship Game last March. They lost the game by 10 but it was a 4-point game with under a minute to go. The Cavaliers had a rough shooting effort in that game and that was the difference but they proved once again that they are capable of slowing down the Blue Devils offensive production. Duke comes into this one hot but look at what they have done against other strong ACC teams, like Virginia, this season. The Blue Devils lost to North Carolina, they went 1-1 against Wake Forest (and the win was by 8 points) and they did beat Clemson but only by 1 point. They did crush Syracuse but split against Pitt including losing here at home to the Panthers. This Cavaliers team has not forgotten the ACC Final from a year ago and they play solid defense and the offense, led by playmaker Reece Beekman, looked really strong earlier this week in winning on the road at Boston College. Don't be surprised if this one goes to the wire and I feel we have exceptional value here with such a strong defense getting huge points in this revenge match. Remember too that North Carolina already beat Duke this season and that is the same UNC team that Virginia lost too by 10 but trailed by only 5 with under a minute to go. I just feel this line is absolutely inflated when you consider the Blue Devils performance against solid ACC teams this season. VIRGINIA (+) |
|||||||
03-02-24 | Columbus v. Minnesota United OVER 3 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 29 m | Show |
Rotation #209865: Major League Soccer: Saturday OVER 2.5 -160 or 3 -105 in Minnesota United vs Columbus @ 2 ET - Both clubs like to play aggressive on the attack. Minnesota has some injury issues but you know the place is going to be jumping for the home opener and the fact they are hosting the defending champs. However, Columbus is certainly still favored for a reason. I would not be surprised to see a 3-2 type match here given the propensity of each club to attack. However, even a 2-1 final at least avoids a loss for us here and that is an added insurance value for sure. Note that Minnesota won their first match 2-1 on the road. Columbus off a tight 1-0 win at home but allowed 38 goals in 23 road matches last season yet still won the title! Columbus was the leading scoring club in the league last season with an average of 2 goals scored per match. Minnesota scored 1.4 goals per match as a host last season and they fired their coach 4 months ago as this team looks to be more aggressive and improve on the attack. Though their new head coach is not yet on the sideline they did respond well under the interim manager last week and I look for another solid performance here after netting twice last week on the road. The result should be a high-scoring entertaining affair. OVER 2.5 -160 or 3 -105 in Minnesota |
|||||||
03-02-24 | Aston Villa v. Luton Town OVER 3 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
Rotation #200069: English Premier League: Saturday OVER 3 -135 in Luton Town vs Aston Villa @ 12:30 ET - Each of the last 3 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 3 goals and the last two meetings totaled 4 goals! Luton Town has been scoring better but still can not stop anyone and Aston Villa will breach these weak back-line early and often in this one. Aston Villa has seen 6 straight matches total at least 3 goals and 4 of the 6 totaled at least 4 goals. Luton Town has had 8 straight matches total at least 3 goals and 5 of last 6 have all totaled at least 4 goals. OVER 3 -135 in Luton Town |
|||||||
03-02-24 | Villanova +2.5 v. Providence | Top | 71-60 | Win | 100 | 4 h 36 m | Show |
Rotation #601: CBB Saturday Villanova Wildcats +2.5 @ Providence Friars @ Noon ET - This one has made a big move toward Providence as Villanova opened as the small favorite here. I understand the move because the Friars have the home court edge here but also feel the odds makers had this one right. The Wildcats have been playing great defense. Other than a loss to a UConn team that is one of the best teams in the nation, Nova has allowed only 54 ppg in their other 6 games since the beginning of February. Villanova won 5 of those 6 games. They'll win this one too! Providence has lost 4 of last 8 games and allowed 77 points per game in their last 6 games since losing 68 to 50 at Villanova. Grab the better defense and the points here in a key game for Big Dance hopes. VILLANOVA +2.5 |
|||||||
03-02-24 | Crystal Palace v. Tottenham Hotspur OVER 3 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 54 m | Show |
Rotation #200065: English Premier League: Saturday OVER 3 -115 in Tottenham vs Crystal Palace @ 3 ET - 4 of the last 5 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 3 goals. Tottenham continues to concede goals even when on their home pitch. They do have plenty of dangerous attacking assets however and they are well-rested after having a break of 2 weeks off prior to this one. I look for the Hotspur to be relentless on the attack here as a result. Each of their last 4 matches have totaled at least 3 goals and these matches averaged 4 goals apiece. 5 of last 6 Crystal Palace matches have all totaled at least 3 goals. Palace has been scoring better with an average of 1.8 goals per match last 5 matches. But they still struggle to stop the opposition and prior to their shutout of a struggling Burnley club, had allowed an average of 3 goals per match last 5 matches. The goals should fly in this one as well! OVER 3 -115 in Tottenham |
|||||||
03-02-24 | U Craiova 1948 v. UTA Arad OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 4 h 40 m | Show |
Rotation #206925: Romania Liga 1: Saturday OVER 2.5 -105 in UTA vs FCU 1948 Craiova @ 7 AM ET - This total has ticked up some in the market place from 2.25 to a 2.5 and it is a good sign of what to expect here. UTA took the first meeting at FCU 1948 Craiova by a count of 3-2 so now the visitors come into this one looking for a little road revenge. They will be aggressive from the outset but the hosts are not going to be held quiet either! UTA has actually scored at least 1 goal in 6 straight matches and averaged 1.7 goals per match during this run. The issue for UTA is they are conceding far too many goals as well. They have allowed 14 goals in last 8 matches for an average of 1.8 goals per match. FCU 1948 Craiova has scored at least 1 goal in 14 of last 17 matches and averaged 1.5 goals scored in those 14 matches. Each club scores at least once here and FCU 1948 Craiova has only a 14% draw rate this season - lowest in the league - so look for at least a 2-1 final here. OVER 2.5 -105 in UTA |
|||||||
03-01-24 | Dayton -110 v. Loyola-Chicago | Top | 72-77 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 42 m | Show |
Rotation #887 CBB Friday Top Play Dayton Flyers Pick -110 @ Loyola-Chicago Ramblers @ 9 ET - This is a huge game and we get line value because the Flyers are on the road. Certainly the Ramblers are a solid team and deserve respect but it is with good reason that Dayton is already more of a consideration for the NCAA Tourney than Loyola in the most up to date projections provided for the Big Dance. In a key game like this I like to have the more seasoned team and the more veteran coach. Dayton certainly is the better program long-term and their coach is Anthony Grant. In the last 5 seasons (including this one) he has a combined record of 108-39! That is a helluva strong record and he will be turning 58 next month. As for the Ramblers Drew Valentine, he is just 32 and is one of the youngest head coaches in Division 1 basketball. Valentine had success in his first season here but a lot of that could be contributed to the Porter Moser regime that immediately preceded him. The true test begins after that first year and some of the prior coach's players are gone. Valentine, in the two seasons (including this one) since his rookie campaign as head coach, has led Loyola-Chicago to a 29-28 record. So the point is that, despite these teams being neck and neck in the A-10 standings this season, I would still argue that the Flyers are absolutely the superior team and have the coaching edge here too which is huge in big games like this. Dayton won both meetings last season including by 16 points here in Chicago despite making just 4 of 18 threes in that game. Certainly Loyola has improved this season but they are 0-3 against solid teams like Richmond, VCU and St Bonaventure. The Flyers opened up as a 2 point favorite here on the road with good reason and I like them even more now that the early line movement has taken this one down to a pick'em. DAYTON Pick -110 |
|||||||
03-01-24 | Hornets v. 76ers OVER 212.5 | Top | 114-121 | Win | 100 | 9 h 52 m | Show |
NBA Friday Top Play OVER 212.5 in Philadelphia 76ers vs Charlotte Hornets @ 7:10 ET - Tough break for those had the over, like we did, in last night's Hornets vs Bucks match-up. That game had 121 points at the half but then a ridiculous 89 points the rest of the way for a tough loss for those holding over tickets. Tonight should make up for that. I know Charlotte has a lot of low-scoring results but this Philly team has 2 road games on deck and they are coming off an ugly road loss at Boston. The 76ers will be ready to run plenty here at home as they continue play a different type of basketball with Embiid sidelined. As mentioned in prior write-ups, the Sixers traded away defense and grit for more offense and shooting when they were recently active before the trade deadline. Of course in a tough divisional game like they just had against the Celtics the results of that don't necessarily show up. But in a game like this hosting a Hornets team with one of the worst records in the NBA, you will see plenty of attacking from the Sixers offense here. Tobias Harris snaps his scoring slump with a big game against a road-adverse Hornets team. Charlotte had allowed 120.5 ppg L6 road games prior to rare low-scoring games at Portland and Golden State. That was followed by a home and home set with Bucks in which the allowed an average of 117 ppg. The Sixers have allowed 118 ppg since Embiid has been out with the injury after the Warriors game in late January. Sixers will play fast tonight and force the tempo as they look for a big home blowout. Take advantage of the line value as this total has dropped from its opener. OVER 212.5 in Philadelphia |
|||||||
03-01-24 | Flyers -132 v. Capitals | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -132 | 7 h 13 m | Show |
NHL Friday Top Play Philadelphia Flyers -135 @ Washington Capitals @ 7 ET - Probably it will be Ersson between the pipes here for Philly but even if it is Sandstrom I still like this play. Philly has won 6 of 10 games since the All-Star break and is coming off a huge 6-2 win versus Tampa Bay. Conversely, Washington is coming off a loss to Detroit by a count of 8-3. Even though the Capitals were playing a little better they now are without TJ Oshie and it continues to be a challenging season. They will have Wilson back tonight but the Flyers have an enforcer to match him and Wilson's presence will just spur on the Flyers even more as this is a solid divisional rivalry match-up and he is an agitator. Philly has been plenty motivated on their own anyway as they have really responded well this season and grown well as a team this season. They are a legitimate threat for making the post-season and currently are in a playoff position. The same can not be said for Washington and the Capitals are also still without Nic Dowd for this one too as they have had injury issues for much of this season. The Flyers have a +5.6 shot differential this season while the Capitals have a -3.3 shot differential on the season. These per game averages further reflect how the Flyers have been the stronger team this season and that continues in this match-up tonight. Lay it! Philadelphia -135 |
|||||||
03-01-24 | Dinamo Bucuresti v. CSMS Iasi OVER 2.25 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -111 | 8 h 57 m | Show |
Rotation #206933: Romania Liga 1: Friday Top Play OVER 2.5 +120 in Poli Iasi vs Dinamo Bucuresti @ 1 ET - These clubs had a scoreless draw the last time these teams met. It is the only time this season that Dinamo had a scoreless draw and I look for a much different outcome this time. Iasi has had 3 other scoreless draws in their other matches this season and note what happened the other time they met those same 3 opponents - each match totaled 3 or more goals! Look for this 4th and final such situation to improve that angle to a perfect 4-0 on the season for Iasi matches. Iasi has scored at least 1 goal in 8 of last 9 home matches and averaged scoring 2 goals in those 9 matches! They are a stronger club at home! As for Dinamo, they have scored at least 1 goal in 7 of last 9 matches as they have been much more competitive in recent matches and are showing signs they can escape the relegation zone. Dinamo has scored at least 1 goal in 6 of last 8 matches so the odds of each team scoring here are strong. Also, Dinamo has only 4 draws in 28 matches this season for the lowest draw rate (14%) of any club in the league! So this one should find its way to at least a 2-1 final. Dinamo off a 1-0 win over Hermannstadt but this was preceded by 4 of last 5 matches totaling at least 3 goals. Those 5 matches averaged 3 goals apiece and this one will get there as well as both clubs pushing hard for the full 3 points in the table. Neither benefits enough from a draw here so look for a lot of scoring just like we saw in yesterday's Liga 1 matches. OVER 2.5 +120 in Poli Iasi |
|||||||
03-01-24 | Sivasspor v. Kasimpasa OVER 2.75 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
Rotation #207945: Turkish Super Lig: Friday Top Play OVER 3 +110 in Kasimpasa vs Silvasspor @ Noon ET - Both clubs have been playing well of late so confidence is running very high for both squads. That means there will be no hesitation in terms of taking on an attacking mindset in this battle. Kasimpasa has both scored and conceded in 6 straight matches. Good odds of this getting to at least 1-1 with numbers like that so what about making sure we at least get to 3 goals here? Well, Kasimpasa has just 3 draws in 13 home matches and Silvasspor has just 3 draws in 14 road matches this season. Odds favor this one getting to at least a 2-1 final. Silvasspor has extra confidence coming in off a 4-1 win. They have scored 10 goals in last 7 matches and are unbeaten in last 5 matches. They are out for revenge in this one after a rare home shutout loss (1-0) to Kasimpasa earlier this season. That means an aggressive attack and note the road team has won 5 straight meetings between these clubs. Speaking of 5 straight, prior to that 1-0 result, 5 straight meetings between these clubs totaled at least 3 goals! Strong odds on that again here as Kasimpasa has seen 15 of last 18 matches total at least 3 goals! Those matches averaged 4 goals apiece and I am expecting this one to get to 4 as well. Nice line value here wit the over 3 available at plus money. OVER 3 +110 in Kasimpasa |
|||||||
02-29-24 | Gonzaga -3.5 v. San Francisco | Top | 86-68 | Win | 100 | 12 h 32 m | Show |
Rotation #843: CBB Thursday Gonzaga Bulldogs -3.5 @ San Francisco Dons @ 11 PM ET - Unless I missed something, Gonzaga has now beaten San Francisco 28 games in a row in regular season and WCC Tourney action combined. February of 2012 is the last time the Dons knocked off the Bulldogs! Yes, second-placed Gonzaga has season finale with first-placed St Mary's (14-0 in WCC) on deck but this game against 3rd placed San Francisco is more important! Wait a second...how can that be? Well the Bulldogs are not going to catch the Gaels for 1st place in the division but they could lose out on 2nd place to the Dons should they lose this game! Also, of those 28 consecutive wins, only ONE was by less than FOUR points and the current line on this game is 3.5 points. Yes, San Francisco has had a great season but they have 3 losses in the WCC but guess who beat them? St Mary's TWICE and Gonzaga ONCE already this season. The point is that the Dons have not yet proven they can beat the best of the best in this conference! That said, I am happy to put these streaks to the test because the Bulldogs are also on the road here which will help insure the proper focus. They need this game. They know they slip into a tie with the Dons in the WCC should they lose this game. I also like the fact this line opened up in the -5 range but has dropped since then. Lay the short number and know you are taking a team that has absolutely dominated this series for a dozen years! GONZAGA -3.5 |
|||||||
02-29-24 | Ducks v. Sharks OVER 6 | Top | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show |
NHL Thursday OVER 6 -115 in San Jose Sharks vs Anaheim Ducks @ 10 ET - The Sharks and Ducks are the weakest teams in the division and two of the weakest teams in the league. However, a big reason for this is conceding too many goals and I feel we have excellent value here with this total at just 6 goals. Note that the Sharks will have to use Kahkonen in goal because Blackwood is out with an injury which is why the Sharks also called up Chrona from the minors. Note that Kahkonen had a 3.65 GAA last month and has a 4.09 GAA this month. The Ducks have allowed 3.55 goals this season and the Sharks have allowed 3.83 goals this season. Also, San Jose has allowed 4.4 goals last 5 games. The Ducks have allowed 4.5 goals last 8 games. Anaheim has scored 3 goals per game last 6 games but Sharks can answer them goal for goal here at home as neither team is strong defensively. OVER 6 -115 in San Jose |
|||||||
02-29-24 | Kings v. Canucks OVER 6 | Top | 5-1 | Push | 0 | 7 h 22 m | Show |
NHL Thursday OVER 6 -115 in Vancouver Canucks vs Los Angeles Kings @ 10 ET - The Kings are off B2B 4-2 losses but this was on the heels of a 7-2 run in which they averaged scoring 3 goals in those 9 games. Also, they should be able to take advantage of a Canucks team here that has allowed 4.5 goals per game last 6 games. Vancouver has scored an average of 3.6 goals per game this season and in their last 10 home games as well. The issue right now for the Canucks is they continue to allow too many goals but they are scoring well on home ice and this one has the looks of a true back and forth barn-burner so we take advantage of the manageable total in this one posted at an even 6 goals. OVER 6 -115 in Vancouver |
|||||||
02-29-24 | Bucks v. Hornets OVER 216 | Top | 111-99 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 45 m | Show |
NBA Thursday OVER 216 in Charlotte Hornets vs Milwaukee Bucks @ 7 ET - The Hornets just got destroyed by the Bucks in Milwaukee by a score of 123 to 85. Now the rematch is in Charlotte and I fully expect the Hornets to score much better in this one on their home floor. However, they will again struggle to stop Milwaukee here as the Bucks are showing signs of finally getting it going under new head coach Doc Rivers. The Bucks have won 3 straight and scored an average of 118 points per game last 3 games. The Hornets also had been looking better prior to that ultra ugly shooting performance at Milwaukee. Prior to that, Charlotte had won 5 of 6 games. Also, the Hornets are happy to be back home after a 3 game road trip. Note that the Hornets have scored an average of 116.8 ppg last 5 home games. You can see, based on the Hornets better play of late and scoring numbers at home coupled with the Bucks recent win streak and better scoring as well, this total is just far too low in the 216 range. The Bucks are a 12-point favorite so 216 total means a final in the 114 to 102 range but, based on all of the above, both teams should top that number. In fact, Milwaukee has scored an average of 124 points in their 3 meetings with the Hornets this season. OVER 216 in Charlotte |
|||||||
02-29-24 | Rennes v. Le Puy F43 Auvergne OVER 3 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 15 m | Show |
Rotation #203609: Coupe de France | Quarter-Finals: Thursday OVER 3 -115 in Le Puy F43 Auvergne vs Rennes @ 2:45 ET -Le Puy F43 Auvergne is a 4th tier level club in France while Rennes is from the strongest league, Ligue 1, in France! Making matters worse for Le Puy is that they are facing Rennes when the visitors will not be in a good mood. They were knocked out of the Europa League via a loss to AC Milan. That makes this match even more important for one of the strongest Ligue 1 clubs. That translates to a relentless attack being likely here. Rennes is a heavy 2-goal favorite in this one and I love overs in situations like this. You know Rennes should be bringing an A game effort in a spot like this but also you know the hosts are fired up about this rare opportunity on their home pitch. Look for the hosts to scratch a goal but the Ligue 1 club dominates as expected and that translates to at least a 3-1 final here as Rennes is projected to win this by a 2-goal margin. LePuy has been playing well and is loaded with confidence right now as a result. They also have scored at least 2 goals in all their victories on their match through the Coupe de France. They should get 1 by Rennes here as they are going with their #2 goalie here. Some of the top players from Rennes could be rested here but they still have far too much talent and should score at least 3 goals on their own in this one. OVER 3 -115 in Le Puy F43 Auvergne |
|||||||
02-29-24 | Steaua Bucharesti v. Voluntari OVER 2.25 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 51 m | Show |
Rotation #206901: Romania Liga 1: Thursday OVER 2.5 +110 in FC Voluntari vs FCSB @ 2 ET - FCSB got back on track after a rare scoreless draw by notching a big 3-2 win versus Botosani last week. Speaking of scoreless draws, they had one with Voluntari earlier this season. Both clubs will make up for that here. FCSB has scored an average of 2 goals per match this season on the road. Their scoreless draw at Universitatea Cluj in their most recent road match was the first time they scored away from home. Even though this match is in Voluntari, a suburb of Bucuresti, it is technically still an away match for FCSB. Look for their high-scoring ways on the road to quickly resume. They are such a strong club and sometimes they seem to be more focused when they are away from their home venue. Hence, the higher scoring results we consistently see when they travel. As for Voluntari, they have struggled to score goals lately but are coming off a 2-1 road loss after being shutout in their most recent home match. They will be amped to face their "big brother" in the league and I look for them to make the net ripple at least once and, of course, FCSB is favored for a reason. This one has 2-1 written all over it. OVER 2.5 +110 in FC Voluntari |
|||||||
02-29-24 | CS U Craiova v. Petrolul 52 OVER 2.25 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 45 m | Show |
Rotation #206913: Romania Liga 1: Thursday OVER 2.5 +110 in Petrolul Ploiesti vs Universitatea Craiova @ 11:30 AM ET - Petro is a different club when they are at home and they also have the rest edge over Universitatea Craiova in this one. Petro has struggled on the road lately but on their home pitch they have scored at least 1 goal in 5 of last 6 matches. In fact, they have averaged scoring 1.6 goals per match in those 5 matches. That bodes well for an entertaining match here as the Universitatea Craiova manager is preaching to his players they must go hard for the full 3 points in the table in this one. 2 of the last 3 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 3 goals. Also, Universitatea Craiova enters this one on an incredible 9-match streak of high-scoring matches that all have totaled 3 or more goals! Look for this one to make it 10 in a row! OVER 2.5 +110 in Petrolul Ploiesti |
|||||||
02-29-24 | Sepsi v. Botosani OVER 2.25 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 114 | 3 h 27 m | Show |
Rotation #206905: Romania Liga 1: Thursday OVER 2 -125 in FC Botosani vs Sepsi @ 9:15 AM ET - Botosani is in better current form but Sepsi is favored on the road for a reason. This is why I am anticipating goals here. Sepsi, of course, must score to win and they are a decent favorite as a visitor in this one. But when you look at this Botosani club, they have scored 2 goals in each of their 4 matches this month! This included 2 wins and a draw so they have been picking up points in the table. All 4 of their matches this month totaled at least 3 goals and this one should too. 2 of the last 3 meetings between these clubs each got to the 7-goal mark! Tremendous value with this total posted at only 2 goals. I know that Sepsi has struggled for goals lately but the style this host has been playing is going to open things up for both clubs to have plenty of scoring chances. OVER 2 -125 in FC Botosani |
|||||||
02-28-24 | Virginia +1.5 v. Boston College | Top | 72-68 | Win | 100 | 9 h 32 m | Show |
Rotation #747 CBB Wednesday Virginia Cavaliers +1.5 @ Boston College Eagles @ 9 ET - The Cavaliers enter this game off B2B losses. Virginia's most recent road game was a disaster at Virginia Tech as the Hokies took that one by a 75-41 final! Those are the kind of losses you don't forget and this is the Cavs first opportunity on the road since that ugly loss in Blacksburg. The Cavaliers enter this one off B2B losses and that is is certainly noteworthy as they have not lost 3 straight games in 3 years! Virginia is on a 5-0 / 100% PERFECT RUN the last 5 times they have entered a game on a losing streak of 2 or more games since that instance in Feb of 2021. You know Tony Bennett is going to have his guys ready for this game and we get line value because it is at Chestnut Hill. Yes, Boston College is solid at home but they have also lost to stronger ACC teams here and Virginia is one of the top teams in this conference. Also, the Cavs lost their most recent visit here so they want payback here. While the Eagles are the much stronger team offensively, the defense of Virginia is one of the best in the nation year in and year out under Bennett. The low total posted on this game by the odds makers tells you they expect the same thing I do. That is the fact that Virginia will be able to control the tempo here. If the Cavs get that type of low-scoring game they want they come out on top more often than not. Look for that to be the case again here as they bounce back off rare B2B losing games to take that aforementioned multi-year run to a perfect 6-0! VIRGINIA +1.5 |
|||||||
02-28-24 | Blues v. Oilers OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 31 m | Show |
NHL Wednesday OVER 6.5 in Edmonton Oilers vs St Louis Blues @ 8:35 ET - These teams just met two weeks ago and it was a 6-3 Blues win. Edmonton will be looking for revenge on home ice and I expect a strong effort from the hosts. However, I do not trust their goaltending and defensive play based on the last few weeks of slipping up again. I know Skinner just had a strong start for the Oilers but had allowed 4.6 goals per games in his 5 starts leading into that one! As for the Blues, Binnington is expected to get the call here in this B2B spot for St Louis. Binnington got pulled after 20 minutes in his most recent start and it was the 4th time in 5 starts that he has allowed at least 3 goals. I am expecting each team to get to 3 goals here which would get this game to at least a 4-3 final. St Louis has allowed 4 goals per game last 7 games. The Blues have scored about 4 goals per game last 6 games before this 2-game losing streak they are on. They will get the scoring again here in what should be another wide-open affair between these teams. 8 straight Oilers games have totaled at least 6 goals and 6 of those totaled at least 7 goals. The average of these 8 games is 8.6 goals per game. Look for another wild one here! OVER 6.5 in Edmonton |
|||||||
02-28-24 | Grizzlies v. Wolves OVER 209.5 | Top | 101-110 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show |
NBA Wednesday OVER 209.5 in Minnesota Timberwolves vs Memphis Grizzlies @ 8:10 ET - This total has been dropping and, simply put, it has become too low. We only need 210 to be a winner here. Lets say the oddsmakers are correct, as they so often are, about the spread of 12 in this game. In that case, a total of 210 would mean a final of 111 to 99. Do you really think the Wolves are only to score 111 at home here? I sure don't! Memphis has allowed 121 ppg in going 0-4 L4 road games. But also look for the Grizzlies to bounce back after an ultra lousy home performance in most recent game in which they scored only 86 points. Prior to that one, Memphis had enjoyed a 3-game stretch in which they averaged 110 ppg. So you can see my 121 to 110 range with a Minny win would make sense here given those numbers. I do feel we have a lot of wiggle room here given this low total in the 210 range here. Just how much defense is Minny going to play here when they have tougher games against Sacramento and the Clippers on deck? Also, the Timberwolves have already won all 3 match-ups with Memphis this season. I just don't expect their defensive intensity to be at it's greatest here. Also, those 3 games in the season series have all totaled at least 216 points and averaged 222 points per game. We have got some solid line value here with this low total. Take advantage! OVER 209.5 in Minnesota |
|||||||
02-28-24 | Leeds United v. Chelsea OVER 3 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 105 | 8 h 26 m | Show |
Rotation #200417: English FA Cup | Fifth Round: Wednesday OVER 3 +105 in Chelsea vs Leeds United @ 2:30 ET - Chelsea lost to Liverpool 1-0 late in extra time to lose a shot at earning some hardware with the Carabao Cup at Wembley Stadium. Now Chelsea returns home with much to be fired up about. They were far too conservative in the match with Liverpool and ultimately paid for it. Also, they lost had a tough 1-1 draw with Manchester City in their most recent Premier League match. This is Chelsea's first home match in over 3 weeks so I know they are going to be fired up for a big performance at home. Also, prior to these B2B disappointing results, Chelsea had 4 straight matches across all competitions all total at least 4 goals! Those matches averaged 5 goals apiece and I expect a return to that type of action here as they face a confident Leeds United group! Leeds is currently a level below the Premier League as they are in the English League Championship this season. But the fact is they are on fire right now so they are playing with a ton of confidence. Leeds United is undefeated in their dozen matches this season with 11 wins and 1 draw and has scored an average of 2.5 goals per match during this run. We'll see aggressiveness from both sides here given all of the above. The result should be 4 goals or more here! OVER 3 +105 in Chelsea |
|||||||
02-28-24 | UTA Arad v. Rapid Bucuresti OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 17 m | Show |
Rotation #206889: Romania Liga 1: Wednesday OVER 2.5 -123 in Rapid Bucuresti vs UTA @ 2 ET - Rapid ready to respond on their home pitch off a 3-1 road loss last week. However, since returning from the winter break, Rapid has allowed 8 goals in 6 matches and I look for the trend to continue here. Rapid is favored by 1 goal on the goal line with good reason here. In other words, look for at least a 2-1 final here and that is why you see this one, rare for a Romanian match, actually has a bit of a price on the over. Don't let that keep you away from this great spot. Rapid has scored 2 goals per match since coming back from the break and Bucuresti will be rocking for this home match tonight. The last meeting was a 2-2 draw and UTA is a talented club that can be tough to shut down. UTA has scored 1.8 goals per match in last 5 matches and 5 straight UTA matches had totaled at least 4 goals before the last two have been 1-0 UTA wins. UTA has gotten on the scoresheet in 5 straight matches and that should continue here. However, they are not slowing down a determined Rapid club on their home pitch either! 2-1 ... at least ... is my call in this one. OVER 2.5 -123 in Rapid Bucuresti |
|||||||
02-28-24 | Napoli v. Sassuolo Calcio OVER 2.5 | Top | 6-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 38 m | Show |
Rotation #201245: Italian Serie A: Wednesday OVER 2.5 -135 in Sassuolo vs Napoli @ Noon ET - Sassuolo is allowing an average of 2 goals per match this season. Napoli has scored an average of 3 goals in the last 5 meetings between these clubs. Sassuolo has scored at least 1 goal in 7 straight home matches and I do not see that trend ending here. However, of course Napoli is favored for a reason here and I am projecting at least a 2-1 final here as a result. Napoli has not been scoring as well of late but this is still a club with a shot at moving into a top six spot in the table and ready for a breakout match against an opponent that has been giving up goals in bunches this month. Look for a relentless attack from the visitors in this one as they look to maintain their long-term success against this host. OVER 2.5 -135 in Sassuolo |
|||||||
02-28-24 | Farul Constanta 1920 v. Universitatea Cluj OVER 2.25 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 56 m | Show |
Rotation #206909: Romania Liga 1: Wednesday OVER 2 -133 in Universitatea Cluj vs Farul @ 11:30 AM ET - This total is moving lower as it is down to a 2 and available at a very fair price. Each of the last 3 meetings have totaled 2 goals so getting a 2 here is a key value. Why will this one get to 3 or more though? Universitatea Cluj is at home and off ridiculous B2B scoreless draws. Note that this season, when off 2 or more consecutive matches totaling 2 or less goals, their next match has totaled at least 2 goals ALL 5 times and that includes 4 of the 5 totaling 3 or more. In fact, these 5 matches averaged 4 goals apiece! Farul typically was known for scoring better at home than on the road but the opposite is true this season and they have scored 1.4 goals per match last 9 matches on the road. More of the same here and this one gets to at least a 2-1 final as Farul continues to battle to secure a top 6 spot in the table while Universitatea Cluj has not yet secured avoiding the dreaded bottom 4 area of the table. Both clubs attack for the full 3 points in this one. OVER 2 -133 in Universitatea Cluj |
|||||||
02-27-24 | 76ers v. Celtics OVER 230.5 | Top | 99-117 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
NBA Tuesday OVER 230.5 in Boston Celtics vs Philadelphia 76ers @ 7:30 ET - The 76ers lost a lot of defense and grit in the recent trades. But Philly is still a very talented team, even with Embiid out, and they can pile up points in the right situation. This is the right situation! The Sixers are facing a division rival they will struggle to stop and this game should turn into a "track meet" up and down the court with quick scoring opportunities. Philadelphia will bounce back from a tough shooting performance in most recent game for some of their bigger scorers. Boston is going to be aggressive on their home floor as they have won 8 straight games and 10 of 11 and they have done it with a lot of offense. Boston averaged 124.5 ppg in those 10 games. The line on this game is currently a -12. That would put this final at about 125 to 113 and honestly I am expecting even a little more as this one gets into the 240s just like the most recent meeting game. In that one the Sixers were without Embiid then too plus Maxey missed with an illness. That game still got into the mid-240s. That was even with Tatum getting ejected late in the 3rd quarter of that game. Boston still scored 125 in that game. Look for plenty of points again in this one as Maxey now available for the Sixers in the rematch. OVER 230.5 in Boston |
|||||||
02-27-24 | Lightning v. Flyers +121 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 121 | 6 h 55 m | Show |
NHL Tuesday Philadelphia Flyers +120 vs Tampa Bay Lightning @ 7 ET - The Flyers Ersson has been better in goal than Vasilevskiy this season and that includes recent action as well. The Flyers are off an ugly 7-6 loss but Cal Petersen was in goal for that one. With Ersson back between the pipes and with Philly a solid home dog here, the value is strong in this one. The Flyers also have revenge from a 6-3 home loss when these teams met last month. Yes the Bolts are off B2B wins but this was preceded by losses in 5 of last 8 games. The Flyers, on the other hand, off B2B losses but had won 5 of 7 prior that. Also, Philly had won 3 straight on home ice prior to loss in most recent home game against a tough Rangers team. This Lightning team is over-rated right now especially because Vasilevskiy just has not been himself. Grab the home dog in this one! PHILADELPHIA +120 |
|||||||
02-27-24 | Golden Knights v. Maple Leafs OVER 6.5 | Top | 6-2 | Win | 102 | 6 h 38 m | Show |
NHL Tuesday OVER 6.5 in Toronto Maple Leafs vs Vegas Golden Knights @ 7 ET - Adin Hill slated to get the start between the pipes for Vegas. He would like to get revenge for an ugly loss versus Toronto last time he faced them. However, it is not just about the Maple Leafs when it comes to Hill. He is just plain struggling with 4 straight losses and allowing 3 goals in each one. At the same time, as much as I like the Leafs for offensive productivity, I still do not trust their defensive play or netminding. This one should fly over the total. Toronto has scored 5 goals per game last 9 games. However, they also have allowed at least 3 goals in 7 of last 10 matches. 7 of last 9 Toronto matches have totaled at least 7 goals. Vegas has lost 5 of 6 games and allowed 4.6 goals per game in those 5 losses. Vegas has scored at least 3 goals in 13 of last 15 matches. It is just hard to imagine either team failing to get to the 3-goal mark here and that, of course, would mean at least a 4-3 final here. Look for 7 or more here after they just met and totaled 10 goals. OVER 6.5 in Toronto |
|||||||
02-27-24 | Pittsburgh +7.5 v. Clemson | Top | 62-69 | Win | 100 | 7 h 57 m | Show |
Rotation #631: Tuesday 10* Pittsburgh Panthers (+) @ Clemson Tigers @ 7 ET - Though the Panthers are off a win, they lost their prior road game badly so they will be looking to make up for that here. Also, prior to that road loss, they were on a 6-2 SU run in road games. Also, the Tigers are off a home win versus Florida State but were just 3-4 SU prior to this in their 7 most recent home games. The point is that home court is always baked into the lines but, in this case, neither one of these teams has met the traditional home/road dichotomy factors. So we get a little extra value here with the big points available for Pittsburgh. Also the Panthers lost at home to Pittsburgh earlier this season so this is a revenge game for Pitt as well. This is a huge game in terms of the Big Dance hopes for each and I am looking for a very tight game decided by a slim margin. Possible Panthers upset here given their road success this year so having the big points - currently 7.5 as of 7 hours before tipoff is certainly a huge value as well. The Panthers are the better team defensively and they will be fired up after losing their most recent road game by 33 points at Wake Forest. Good teams don't forget defeats like that and this Pitt team is strong. Their other two road losses before that were by an average margin of just 6 points apiece. PITTSBURGH (+) |
|||||||
02-27-24 | Manchester City v. Luton Town OVER 3 | Top | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 56 m | Show |
Rotation #200413: English FA Cup | Fifth Round: Tuesday OVER 3 -130 in Luton Town vs Manchester City @ 3 ET - Both clubs expected to start back-up goalkeepers here. Not only that but scrappy Luton Town is usually good for a goal when they are on their home pitch. Manchester City is favored by 1.5 goals on the goal line with good reason. In other words, you can see why I am anticipating a 3-1 type match here. Also, City has played some low-scoring matches of late but Luton Town is known for conceding in bunches and I look for the visitors to really open things up with an aggressive attack on display throughout this one. Note that Luton Town has had 7 straight matches across all competitions total at least 3 goals and 4 of those totaled at least 4 goals. Look for this one to do the same as City goes ballistic here and the energy at Luton Town also spurs on a great effort from the hosts here in a high-scoring affair. OVER 3 -130 in Luton Town |
|||||||
02-27-24 | CFR Cluj -148 v. Otelul | Top | 2-2 | Loss | -148 | 8 h 32 m | Show |
Rotation #206897: Romania Liga 1: Tuesday CFR Cluj Money Line -148 @ Otelul Galati @ 2 ET - CFR Cluj is running hot with wins in 4 of last 5 matches. They have scored an amazing 17 goals in last 5 victories for an average of 3.4 goals scored per victory. Galati just does not have the offensive production to keep up here. Galati has scored just 6 goals in their last 8 matches! Not only that, their manager is suspended for this match and will not be on the sidelines for this one. On the season Galati has been draw specialists but they also have just two wins on their home pitch this season. CFR Cluj is the much better club and they are fighting for position near the top of the table and will be fully focused on earning the full 3 points with a win in this match. They take advantage of a team without their manager that also has been struggling of late. CFR Cluj -148 |
|||||||
02-27-24 | Hermannstadt v. Dinamo Bucuresti OVER 2 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 24 m | Show |
Rotation #206917: Romania Liga 1: Tuesday OVER 2 -110 in Dinamo Bucuresti vs Hermanndstadt @ 11:30 AM ET - Excellent value on the over here considering the total on this one is two goals. Hermannstadt is hungry for the full 3 points in the table as they are trying to remain in the top 6 in the table. Dinamo is trying to avoid a potential slip to the bottom of the table and they had a lot of momentum before losing most recent match. They will bounce back here and certainly are also going for the full 3 points in the table rather than being willing to settle for a draw. Note that Dinamo has had 5 straight matches total at least 2 goals and those 5 matches averaged 3 goals apiece. Before getting throttled 4-0 last week, Dinamo had scored 7 goals in the 4 matches leading into that one. They are fully capable of a bounce back here on their home pitch where they get a lot of fan support. Hermannstadt is known for lower-scoring matches but they have allowed at least 1 goal in 8 straight road matches and conceded an average of 1.6 goals in those 8 matches. All 8 of those matches totaled at least 2 goals and this one will too and I look for the extra push to help result in a 2-1 final here as both clubs hungry for the full 3 points in the table as noted above. Also, Dinamo has one of the lowest draw rates in the league with just a 15% draw rate! OVER 2 -110 in Dinamo Bucuresti |
|||||||
02-27-24 | CSMS Iasi v. U Craiova 1948 OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 19 m | Show |
Rotation #206893: Romania Liga 1: Tuesday OVER 2.5 -105 in FCU 1948 Craiova vs Poli Iasi @ 9:15 AM ET - FCU 1948 Craiova has the fewest draws in the league with just an 11% draw rate! This match is also critical for each club to get the full 3 points in the table as each club looking to avoid being dropped into the final 4 spots in the table. That said a strong effort for the victory here coupled with that low draw rate means that if each club can be expected to score here then logically at least a 2-1 final can be expected as well! FCU 1948 Craiova has scored at least 1 goal in 8 straight home matches and averaged 1.6 goals scored during this stretch. They also have conceded at least 1 goal in 6 straight matches and allowed 1.8 goals per match during this stretch. Poli Iasi has seen 6 of last 8 matches total at least 3 goals and these 6 matches averaged 4 goals apiece. We only need 3 to be a winner here and I expect at least a 2-1 battle given all of the above. OVER 2.5 -105 in FCU 1948 Craiova |
|||||||
02-26-24 | Heat v. Kings -7 | Top | 121-110 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 10 m | Show |
NBA Monday Sacramento Kings (-) vs Miami Heat @ 10:10 ET - This is a revenge game for the Kings after they lost at Miami 115 to 106 on the final day of January. In that game, Butler and Richardson scored nearly half the points (55) and neither are playing tonight. Also, two other starters - Herro and Rozier - are questionable tonight. Herro had 14 points (plus 8 rebounds and 8 assists) and Rozier had 10 assists in that game. With a much more winnable game tomorrow at Portland and Butler coming back tomorrow, one has to wonder if the Heat might be very conservative with their injury situation here rest Herro and Rozier too. Even if those guys play they are for sure missing Butler and Richardson. I just don't think Miami has enough to hang around here despite the favorable scheduling situation. Yes the Heat have been off and Kings in a B2B after the big divisional win over the Clippers down in LA. However, prior to a 4 point loss in most recent game, 11 of last 12 Miami losses have come by 8 or more points! Those dozen losses by an average of 14 points! So unless you think the very short-handed Heat win this outright, is there really any value in the points? In this case the odds say no and I expect Kings to roll by double digits as they have just too much offense for Miami in this one. The number is currently as low as a 7 as of 16 hours before tipoff! SACRAMENTO (-) |
|||||||
02-26-24 | Kings v. Oilers OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -111 | 9 h 28 m | Show |
NHL Monday OVER 6.5 in Edmonton Oilers vs Los Angeles Kings @ 9:35 ET - It is not often the Oilers get shutout but that happened two weeks ago in LA. Now, Edmonton gets a shot at revenge on home ice after that 4-0 defeat. I fully expect the Oilers to make the most of this opportunity and score well. However, the issue for Edmonton is, unlike that ultra-impressive 16-game winning streak they had end not too long ago, the Oilers have resumed their old habit of allowing too many goals! Also, the last two games here in Edmonton were part of the 3 final games in last year's playoff series and 2 of the 3 games totaled at least 7 goals. Also, each of the final 3 games in that series totaled 9 goals. With the first two games in LA this season the scores totaled just 5 and 4 goals, respectively. But now this meeting north of the border and with the Oilers on a losing streak is going to bring out the best in the Edmonton offensive attack! The Kings have averaged 3 goals scored per game this season. The Oilers enter this one averaging 3.5 goals scored per game this season. They have a great power play but struggle on the penalty kill. Edmonton's last 10 games since their 16-game winning streak ended have seen them allow 4 goals per game! They have score an average of 4.5 goals per game last 7 game so the scoring is still there but the defense and netminding are a concern. This one should fly over the total and we get value on the total because of the Kings long-term reputation and solid defense. The Oilers will dictate the flow of this game on home ice. OVER 6.5 in Edmonton |
|||||||
02-26-24 | Baylor +2.5 v. TCU | Top | 62-54 | Win | 100 | 14 h 15 m | Show |
Rotation #889: CBB Monday Baylor Bears (+) @ TCU Horned Frogs @ 9 ET - The road team has won each of the last 3 meetings. That includes a road win for the Frogs at Baylor in TRIPLE OT four weeks ago. The Bears are out for revenge here and they have won 3 in a row at TCU so being on the road for the rematch is not a big deal. These campuses are less than 100 miles apart. The Horned Frogs have lost 3 of 6 and the 3 wins have come against teams that are a combined 15-27 in Big 12 action this season. Baylor is off an OT loss to a Houston team that is one of the top teams in the country. The Bears are now off tough B2B losses but against tough teams and Baylor had won 5 of 6 prior to that. Also, 3 of those 5 wins were against teams that all are now at least .500 on the season in Big 12 action. In fact, those 3 teams are a combined 59-22 on the season overall. Those 3 wins TCU had were against teams with a combined overall record that is currently 41-40 on the season. I respect the Horned Frogs but love the road trending in these match-ups and the hunger of Baylor coming off that OT loss Saturday! TCU has home losses to Iowa State and Texas already this season and you can add this determined Bears squad to the list after this game goes final. But we will grab the available points - currently 2.5 as of 14 hours before tipoff - just in case though I do not expect to need them. BAYLOR (+) |
|||||||
02-26-24 | Rayo Vallecano v. Girona OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 42 m | Show |
Rotation #201913: Spanish La Liga: Monday OVER 2.5 -135 in Girona vs Rayo Vallecano @ 3 ET - Girona is the highest scoring club in the league with an average of 2.2 goals scored per match. A lot of value here with this total at 2.5 goals. Yes Rayo Vallecano is not known for scoring big but each of the last 5 meetings between these clubs have seen them both score and concede! These meetings averaged 3.6 goals apiece and all 5 matches totaled at least 3 goals and I am happy to test this 5-0 RUN to the over here with a solid shot for at least a 3-goal result here. Rayo Vallecano has both scored an conceded in 4 straight matches and the first 3 of those all totaled at least 3 goals. You can see why both teams expected to score here plus Girona has only a 16% draw rate in home matches this season which increases the odds of this one getting to at least a 2-1 final. In matches across all competitions, Girona matches have seen 5 of last 7 total at least 4 goals. Those 5 averaged 5 goals apiece. Coming off B2B road losses and with most recent match on home pitch a rare scoreless draw, Girona is primed for an offensive onslaught here but Girona hangs around which helps force this one over the total. OVER 2.5 -135 in Girona |
|||||||
02-26-24 | Brentford v. West Ham United OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 13 m | Show |
Rotation #200041: English Premier League: Monday OVER 2.5 -135 in West Ham United vs Brentford @ 3 ET - West Ham and Brentford both have seen their matches average 3 goals apiece this season and with strong odds each team scores here plus the fact Brentford has only an 8% draw rate in road matches this season, this one is destined for at least a 2-1 final. Both clubs hungry to get back on track after some tough recent results and I like the fact Brentford has scored at least 2 goals on West Ham in 4 of the last 5 meetings. West Ham has faced some tough recent competition but certainly should be able to get back on track offensively against a Bees club allowing 1.8 goals per match this season! The problem for West Ham is they continue to see their backline breached. West Ham has allowed 3 goals per match in their last 5 matches across all competitions. OVER 2.5 -135 in West Ham United |
|||||||
02-26-24 | Voluntari v. CS U Craiova OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 21 m | Show |
Rotation #206857: Romania Liga 1: Monday OVER 2.5 -105 in Universitatea Craiova vs FC Voluntari @ 1 ET - This total is moving up even though the last 4 meetings between these clubs have averaged just 1 goal apiece! The reason for the movement is sharp money on the over and we are getting in on this as well! Universitatea Craiova had meetings with players and management and coaching staff all involved and they are at home here and desperate to turn around a disappointing stretch. That means goals here as they push hard for the full 3 points in the table and take advantage of an also struggling FC Voluntari side. Note that 8 straight Universitatea Craiova matches have gone over the total. They will be relentless on the attack which will open things up for FC Voluntari opportunities as well and the visitors are trying to escape the lower reaches of the table. This all translates to at least a 2-1 final and I look for that 8-0 over trend to make it 9 in a row here! OVER 2.5 -105 in Universitatea Craiova |
|||||||
02-26-24 | Torino v. Roma OVER 2 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 35 m | Show |
Rotation #201237: Italian Serie A: Monday OVER 2 -130 in Roma vs Torino @ 12:30 ET - This total is offering exceptional value on the over at just 2 goals. Roma just played Thursday so Torino has the rest edge and will push the pace a little bit here as a result. Torino will be more aggressive than usual on the attack. However, Roma can certainly counter at home where they have been so strong this season. Roma is averaging 2.3 goals scored at home this season while conceding an average of 1 goal per match. Torino is known for lower-scoring matches but, again, given the situation here goals can be expected. Also, Torino is both scoring and conceding at a rate of 1 goal scored and 1 goal allowed per match on the season. Roma has only a 20% draw rate in home matches this season. That is why the odds are favoring a 2-1 final here but we also have added value of this total available at 2 goals. Roma has had 6 straight Serie A matches total at least 3 goals and these matches have averaged 4 goals apiece. No hesitation for me in testing this 6-0 RUN to the over with a solid situation here. OVER 2 -130 in Roma |
|||||||
02-25-24 | Predators v. Ducks OVER 6 | Top | 4-2 | Push | 0 | 9 h 35 m | Show |
NHL Sunday OVER 6 in Anaheim Ducks vs Nashville Predators @ 8 ET - The value of this total holding at a 6 is huge. Anaheim used their top goalie Gibson yesterday and so did the Predators with Saros. That means this match-up is likely to be Dostal versus Lankinen. A match-up of two back-up goalies and note that Dostal has allowed at least 4 goals in 4 of last 5 starts! As for Lankinen, he has allowed 3.5 goals per match last 7 starts. Also he has allowed 5 goals in hist last 60 minutes of ice time off the bench. There is a big dropoff for each of these clubs when their #2 goalie is used and I expect each club to get to at least 3 goals here and this one ends with at least a 4-3 final as a result. OVER 6 in Anaheim |
|||||||
02-25-24 | Magic v. Hawks OVER 225.5 | Top | 92-109 | Loss | -111 | 9 h 46 m | Show |
NBA Sunday OVER the total in Atlanta Hawks vs Orlando Magic @ 7:10 ET - I know Trae Young is out for the Hawks but that is why this total is down to as low as a 225.5 as of 9 hours before tipoff. However, did you know that of the 5 games Young has missed this season those games totaled at least 229 four times! The fact is this Hawks team knows only one way to play no matter who is on the floor. This Atlanta team not known for defense and they try to win games with a lethal and quick-strike offensive attack. They know they are catching division rival Orlando here not only in a B2B spot but playing the 3rd game in 4 nights. I look for the Hawks to try and run them right out of of the arena in this one! Yes, Orlando is known for lower-scoring games but they have still allowed an average of 111 points per game last 7 games not including OT scoring of course. Now they face one of the teams in the NBA that tends to get into the highest-scoring games. That said you should be able to safely count on the 120 range here and this line is around a pick'em. In other words this one getting into the 240 range should certainly not be a shock. Hawks games have averaged 245 this season and, as noted above, even when Trae Young is out, the points have still piled up and results have been similar. OVER the total in Atlanta |
|||||||
02-25-24 | Rangers v. Blue Jackets OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 49 m | Show |
NHL Sunday OVER 6.5 in Columbus Blue Jackets vs New York Rangers @ 6 ET - This will probably be Quick in goal for the Rangers because Shesterkin was in goal versus the Flyers yesterday. Quick has not played in over a week and he allowed 4 goals in that start, a 7-4 Rangers win. Look for another high-scoring one here as Quick struggles again with long rest plus the Blue Jackets tougher on home ice. As for the Columbus goalie, Merzlikins likely to get the start here and he has allowed 13 goals in his last 180 minutes on the ice. Rangers off a low-scoring win but had been scoring goals like crazy of late leading into that one. Jackets off a 2-1 loss but had been involved in a stretch of high-scoring games leading into that one with 8 of last 9 totaling at least 6 goals. Yes we need 7 for a win here but those 8 games average 8 goals apiece. More of the same here. OVER 6.5 in Columbus |
|||||||
02-25-24 | Toronto FC v. FC Cincinnati OVER 3 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 44 m | Show |
Rotation #209849: Major League Soccer: Sunday OVER 3 -125 in FC Cincinnati vs Toronto FC @ 2:30 ET - Toronto was bottom of the league last season and gave up 2 goals per match on the road. Cincinnati was top of the league and scored 2 goals when at home. Toronto did outshoot their opponent 12-5 in their season finale last year which is only significant because it was the first under new head coach John Herdman. He had been coaching the men's national team and is now ready to begin his first full season at the helm for Toronto. The point is that, though shots actually on goal were 3-3 in that game, the emphasis on attack was there and that was evidenced by that 12-5 statistic. In this match there will be plenty of attacking as Cincy so dangerous and wants to utilize that at home after a disappointing playoff exit last season to eventual champion Columbus. That said, the goals should fly here as Cincinnati does have some defensive injuries and Toronto also still has plenty of defensive liability. Couple that with Toronto's emphasis being on improving from being the lowest-scoring club in the league last season and you have a great match for expecting big goals. It is with good reason that Cincy is favored by 1.5 goals on the goal line here. Look for a 3-1 type final in this one! OVER 3 -125 in Cincinnati |
|||||||
02-25-24 | Purdue v. Michigan OVER 151.5 | Top | 84-76 | Win | 100 | 6 h 54 m | Show |
Rotation #831: CBB Sunday OVER the total in Michigan Wolverines vs Purdue Boilermakers @ 2 ET - This total in the 151.5 range as of 6 hours before tipoff. The Wolverines will have point guard McDaniel back for this one. Also, they do not have the interior defense to stop Edey. No one does really but the Wolverines are particularly lacking inside. That means he can have a huge day plus when the defense collapses inside to Edey, the phenomenal outside shooting game of Purdue is opened up as well. I could see the Boilermakers defense being a bit lax here. Remember they were off a loss before they faced Rutgers so they gave a little more effort there defensively. But now with Michigan State on deck and with Boilers off a huge bounce back win and now facing the worst team in the Big Ten, this one could be a bit relaxed. The Wolverines will score decently at home but not be able to stop this juggernaut offense. Keep in mind, the Boilers are favored by 14 points. They have averaged in mid-80s this season and why would they not get there against the worst team in the Big Ten. My expectation is they get to 90 which puts this in the 90-75 range. Coincidentally, the Wolverines are scoring 75 ppg this season and so this one getting to mid-160s is certainly possible and we only need to top low 150s to get a winner here! I like our chances! OVER the total in Michigan |
|||||||
02-25-24 | Botosani v. Steaua Bucharesti OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 1 m | Show |
Rotation #206861: Romania Liga 1 Sunday OVER 2.5 in FCSB vs Botosani @ 1 ET - This is a match-up of the top club with the bottom club in the table. However, don't look for a snooze-fest here because of that. FSCB has some injury issues which has impacted their depth defensively. Botosani will take advantage as, despite their poor season record, their current level of play has exceeded that by a solid margin. They are scoring goals well but still have trouble preventing goals on the counterattack. That means this should be a back and forth shootout, truly. Botosani has scored 2 goals in each of last 3 matches! However, Botosani has also conceded 7 goals in last 4 matches. FCSB will take advantage and is at home and looking to bounce back after scoring just 2 goals total in last 3 matches after they had enjoyed a red hot scoring run. Facing a Botosani club on a run of 3 straight overs increases the odds of FSCB returning to their high-scoring ways. OVER 2.5 in FCSB |
|||||||
02-25-24 | Maryland +2.5 v. Rutgers | Top | 63-46 | Win | 100 | 5 h 34 m | Show |
Rotation#815: CBB Sunday Maryland Terrapins (+) @ Rutgers Scarlet Knights @ Noon ET - This line opened up around a pick'em but is now up to as high as a 2.5 as of 4 and 1/2 hours before tipoff. Of course the markets are all over Rutgers here at home at the low number but why do you think this line was set near a pick'em? Were the odds makers unaware that the Scarlet Knights were at home for this game where they have been strong this season? Of course not! The point is that the odds makers look at this one the same way I do. Maryland is the better team even though they are behind them in the Big Ten standings. This is a revenge game and the Terps get payback for a horrific shooting effort from beyond the arc in the first meeting. Yes Rutgers has a solid defense but so do the Terrapins! Payback game in a chance to move up the Big Ten standings and leapfrog the Scarlet Knights. 10* MARYLAND (+) |
|||||||
02-25-24 | Liverpool v. Chelsea OVER 3 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 24 m | Show |
Rotation #200601: EFL Cup | Final: Sunday OVER 3 in Chelsea vs Liverpool @ Wembley Stadium in London @ 10 AM ET - This is a huge match as it is a chance to win some hardware. This is helping keeping this total low as, of course, a match like this would not be expected to be as free-flowing as a regular season match. We take advantage of this over 3 available at even money. The fact is the Chelsea backline has looked great recently but is still missing some players and Liverpool has the firepower to take advantage. This is particularly true with a few players likely back for this match as well after being rested in mid-week action. The problem for the Reds is not the scoring aspect however, it is a very leaky backline as they continue to concede goals consistently in each match. 6 straight Liverpool matches - across all competitions - have totaled at least 4 goals! Chelsea has allowed 11 goals last 5 matches. They also have scored 10 goals during this 5-match stretch. This included a 4-1 loss to Liverpool. Look for another high-scoring but more evenly played match this time around and a 2-2 draw decided on penalty kicks would not surprise me in the least. Either way, look for the over run of 6-0 in Liverpool matches to make it 7 STRAIGHT overs with another wild one here. OVER 3 in Chelsea |
|||||||
02-25-24 | Sheffield United v. Wolverhampton Wanderers OVER 3 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 49 m | Show |
Rotation #200037: English Premier League Sunday OVER 2.5 or OVER 3 in Wolverhampton vs Sheffield United @ 8:30 AM ET - The over is a PERFECT 7-0 this YEAR, in 2024, in Sheffield United matches as all 7 - across all competitions - have totaled at least 4 goals! Yes, Sheffield has been known for a long time for allowing goals at an alarming rate but the most impressive aspect of this high-scoring match streak from the perspective of Sheffield, is they have actually averaged 3 goals scored per match in the 3 matches away from home in 2024. That said, the goals should fly here as the Wolves are at home and are dangerous on the attack. They suffered a rare shutout in most recent home match but this followed a stretch of scoring at least 1 goal in 14 straight home matches and they averaged scoring 2 goals per match during this streak. Couple that with facing the weak defense of Sheffield and you have the perfect setup for a goal-fest here. OVER 2.5 or 3 in Wolverhampton |
|||||||
02-24-24 | Villanova +12 v. Connecticut | Top | 54-78 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 56 m | Show |
Rotation #769: College Basketball Saturday Villanova Wildcats (+) @ Connecticut Huskies @ 8 ET - As I mentioned in prior write-ups on the Wildcats, they have truly bought into improved defensive play and are doing key aspects of the game well like rebounding well and hustling and forcing turnovers. That, of course, does not mean they beat the #1 team in the nation and defending champion Huskies at Connecticut. But it does mean they hang around in this game and we get key line value here because this line is up near a DOZEN points but when these teams met at Villanova - a 1 point win for Huskies - UConn was a very small favorite. Now they are a little inflated here in my opinion because of coming off the loss. Keep in mind, the Huskies are off a loss which will have many thinking bounce back here but sometimes a team that is so use to winning does not respond as aggressively off a rare loss. After their other two losses this season the Huskies did win their next game each time but by an average of just 7.5 points as a victory margin. The Wildcats have allowed just 55 ppg in their last 5 games! That is not an accident folks, they really have emphasized defense and that won't stop here. Now, of course, the Huskies are a great team but they are over-valued here in a game that will be tight because the Wildcats will continue their tenacious D and they have older players that know how to rise to the occasion in a big game like this. They will not be intimidated. VILLANOVA (+) |
|||||||
02-24-24 | Maple Leafs v. Avalanche OVER 6.5 | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 9 m | Show |
NHL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 -140 in Colorado Avalanche vs Toronto Maple Leafs @ 7 ET - The Leafs have won 7 of 8 games and these have totaled at least 7 goals in all but 2 of them plus the 8 games have averaged 8 goals apiece! Toronto is scoring an average of 5 goals per game during this red-hot 8 game stretch of high-scoring games. The Avalanche certainly know a thing or two about barn-burners as well! Colorado is off a rare low-scoring loss but had scored an average of 4 goals per game in their 4 games prior to that. Also, the Avalanche are a different team on home ice! They have won 12 of last 13 as a host! In those 13 matches, the Avs have scored an average of 5 goals in those 13 games! Remember we talked about the Leafs and their current 5-goal scoring average last 8 games too. This one has all the makings of a back and forth thriller and 5-4 would not be a shock at all and certainly each team more than capable of getting 3 goals apiece to force a 4-3 final here. OVER 6.5 -140 in Colorado |
|||||||
02-24-24 | Virginia Tech v. Pittsburgh -2.5 | Top | 64-79 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show |
Rotation #718: College Basketball: Saturday Pittsburgh Panthers (-) vs Virginia Tech Hokies @ 5:30 ET - The Panthers are in a great spot here. Not only are they off that ugly loss at Wake Forest after winning 5 straight games and 7 of last 8, Pittsburgh also has revenge on their minds here for added motivation. While it may seem like a meaningless game from year ago it is not forgotten. The Panthers were 12-3 and in first place in the ACC at the time and Virginia Tech was just 5-10 but the Hokies got the victory that day. Now Pittsburgh can bounce back at home off the ugly loss plus get revenge for that defeat last year in Blacksburg. Virginia Tech is just 1-7 on the road this season. We get line value here with the Panthers because Wake Forest was on fire with their shooting when they blasted Pitt earlier this week. Take advantage of the value here. PITTSBURGH (-) |
|||||||
02-24-24 | Rangers v. Flyers +120 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 20 m | Show |
NHL Saturday Philadelphia Flyers Money Line +120 vs New York Rangers @ 3 ET - Looks too easy, right? The Rangers have won 9 straight games but are laying a very short price on the road here. Don't be fooled in this one. Note that the Central Division leading Stars have lost 4 straight and the Pacific Division leading Canucks have lost 4 straight. The point is that even the top teams hit some speed bumps. Now certainly the Rangers have been red hot but there is a reason this game is priced this way. The Flyers have been playing very solid hockey and have won 5 of 7 games and that included wins over the Jets and Panthers. Philly has won 3 straight on home ice and this is their first game on home ice in nearly two weeks. They will make the most of it. The Rangers are off a win at New Jersey but, prior to this, the only other road wins in their streak were against bad teams that are at the bottom of their divisions - Ottawa and Chicago. Prior to this, since the calendar hit 2024, the Rangers were 1-6 in road games this year. Grab the home dog value here. PHILADELPHIA +120 |
|||||||
02-24-24 | Newcastle United v. Arsenal OVER 3 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 48 m | Show |
Rotation #200033: English Premier League: Saturday OVER 3 -135 in Arsenal vs Newcastle United @ 3 ET - Newcastle is getting healthier and should have both Isak and Willock back for this one. Also, Arsenal will not be in a good mood after losing 1-0 at FC Porto in Champions League action. As a result, they will be aggressive on the attack on their home pitch here but a Newcastle side rejuvenated by returning players, including their leading scorer, is also going to be ready to attack as well. This one sets up perfectly to be an entertaining affair with solid scoring from each club. Note that Arsenal has gone 6-0 to the over in their last 6 Premier League matches and they have scored 4.2 goals per match in their last 5 in EPL action! Also, Newcastle has seen 7 straight Premier League matches go over the total and these have averaged 5 goals apiece! We should see plenty of goals here but I will grab the over 3 just to be safe but certainly expecting 4 or more. Given the situation and all of the above, plenty of scoring likely in this one. OVER 3 -135 in Arsenal |
|||||||
02-24-24 | Atlanta United v. Columbus OVER 3 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -116 | 9 h 4 m | Show |
Rotation #209805: Major League Soccer: Saturday OVER 3 in Columbus vs Atlanta United @ 2 ET - These were the two highest scoring clubs in the league last season. Atlanta United has revenge here from losing to Columbus in the post-season last year on the way to the latter eventually winning their 3rd MLS Cup. The average score of Columbus home matches last season was 3-1 and certainly there is nothing average about that! Both of these clubs like to attack but it also leaves them open to getting burned on the counterattack. Atlanta United scored an average of 2 goals per match last season but also allowed an average of 2 goals per match when on the road. Columbus also allowed an average of 2 goals per match when on the road. Again, Columbus is at home for this one but it just goes to show you how frequently both these clubs get burned for goals even though they themselves also score goals aplenty. Per all of the above I am expecting a 3-2 type final here and we only need 4 to be a winner in this one. OVER 3 in Columbus |
|||||||
02-24-24 | BYU -115 v. Kansas State | Top | 74-84 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 46 m | Show |
Rotation #639: College Basketball Saturday BYU Cougars (-) @ Kansas State Wildcats @ 2 ET - This line is all the way down to -1 as of about 5 hours before tipoff and this has opened up great line value on the Cougars. BYU is even available as low as -115 on the money line which is the way to play this one as we don't need to worry about covering a spread. The fact is BYU is off a win and they have not had a single standalone win this season. They have won 5 of last 7 games and the Cougars will take advantage of facing a Kansas State team that has lost 7 of 8 games. Yes the Wildcats have the home court edge here but the Cougars are the stronger team and dominated the prior meeting at BYU more than the final margin even indicated. The Cougars are the better shooting team, better rebounding team and also average 5 more assists per game than the Wildcats. The Cougars are the stronger more well-rounded team and we get line value because this game is at Kansas State. We will not hesitate to take advantage. BYU (-) |
|||||||
02-24-24 | Manchester City v. AFC Bournemouth OVER 3 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -130 | 7 h 21 m | Show |
Rotation #200029: English Premier League: Saturday OVER 3 -130 in Bournemouth vs Manchester City @ 12:30 ET - City had been scoring like crazy, as per usual, but then scored only 1 goal in their 1-nil victory over Brentford. I believe they coasted there at home and also there were certainly missed scoring opportunities in that match. Going on the road, in my opinion, is going to force City to get back into that attacking mindset. Keep in mind, even on the road they average 2.3. goals scored per game. However, away from home City is also conceding 1.3 goals per game. City has now scored 1 goal in B2B matches as they had the tough 1-1 draw with Chelsea prior to the win over the Bees. They need to, and will, wake up here and they will score like crazy against this Bournemouth club. The hosts have allowed an average of 2 goals per match this season. Also, each of the last 5 meetings have totaled at least 3 goals and City has actually scored at least 4 goals in each of the last 3 meetings! Bournemouth has scored at least 1 goal in 17 of last 18 matches across all competitions and actually averaged 2 goals scored per match during this stretch. That is why I fully expect 4 or more goals here and certainly we have extra value with this total available at 3 goals. OVER 3 -130 in Bournemouth |
|||||||
02-24-24 | Fulham v. Manchester United OVER 3 | Top | 2-1 | Push | 0 | 6 h 27 m | Show |
Rotation #200017: English Premier League Saturday OVER 3 in Manchester United vs Fulham @ 10 AM ET - I was involved with the Manchester United match over 3 last week and would you believe it was Man U up 2-1 after just 14 minutes and YET no one scored the rest of the way? Brutal push to say the least but I expect to get the win this week that we so much deserved last week. The fact is Man U has had their scoring boots on again and they continue to pile up goals but they also have some concerns defensively in terms of absentees for this one. Fulham will take advantage of that and should score at least once. Fulham is scoring 1.4 goals per match this season but also allowing 2.2 goals per match away from home. Man U has only 2 draws this season so the odds of a draw are just 8% the way their matches have played out this season. In other words, strong odds this one gets to at least 2-1 though I am certainly expecting much more. Since Christmas, Man U has flipped a switch and they have scored an average of 2.6 goals per match since then. More of the same here. Also, all 7 of their Premier League matches since Christmas have totaled at least 3 goals and those averaged 4 goals apiece! At over 3 goals here, we are testing a 7-0 unbeaten run. No hesitation in doing just that! OVER 3 in Manchester United |
|||||||
02-24-24 | Petrolul 52 v. UTA Arad OVER 2 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -129 | 4 h 44 m | Show |
Rotation #206877: Romania Liga 1: Saturday OVER 2 -125 in UTA vs Petrolul Ploiesti @ 7 AM ET - UTA is off a 1-0 win. That was a rare low-scoring match for them. The 5 most recent matches for UTA prior to that had all totaled at least 3 goals and averaged 3.6 goals apiece. Petrolul Ploiesti finally got back into the win column with a 2-1 win over Poli Iasi in most recent match. Look for them to use that as a springboard here as, with the Hermannstadt win yesterday, Petrolul Ploiesti needs a win here to get back in front of them for the #6 spot in the table! Being top 6 is a key in this league. UTA is not far behind either so, what you will see here is two clubs pushing hard for the full 3 points in the table and I see this one getting to at least 2-1 as a result. We have the added insurance of the over at 2 goals which makes a 1-1 final a push here though I am certainly getting involved here with the expectation of 3 or more goals. The fact each club is buoyed with confidence off a win last week will also result in an attacking mindset here as well. OVER 2 -125 in UTA |
|||||||
02-23-24 | Hornets v. Warriors OVER 229.5 | Top | 84-97 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 49 m | Show |
NBA Friday OVER the total in Golden State Warriors vs Charlotte Hornets @ 10:10 ET - This total is in the 229.5 range as of very early game day morning. We get some value because of the Hornets low-scoring ways long-term. This Charlotte team is playing much better of late and is off a road win at Utah to jump start their 2nd half of the season. The Warriors also off a big win versus the Lakers last night. What I like about the line value with this total here is that both teams scored big last night yet each game stayed under the total. Now they are matched up, loaded with confidence, and it is a non-conference match-up in the 2nd day of a B2B where defensive intensity will not be at its greatest! Note that the Hornets have now won 4 straight games and averaged 116 ppg in this 4-game stretch. Charlotte is about a 14 point dog here so that would put this game at 130-116 if they hit their recent scoring average. But can Warriors really get to 130 here? Yes, it is is not beyond the realm of reality for sure! Golden State is averaging 124 ppg L7 home games - not including OT points of course - and now they face one of the overall weaker teams in the league. Overall, GS is averaging 128 points scored per game last 7 games - home or away. Given all of these numbers you can see why I am expecting 240s here and certainly we should see at least 230s. The Hornets will not want to play fast necessarily but the Warriors, on their home floor, will absolutely force them too. But with Hornets playing with more confidence than usual on the offensive end, they will surprise with scoring well here. OVER the total in Golden State |
|||||||
02-23-24 | Wild v. Oilers OVER 6.5 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -125 | 9 h 8 m | Show |
NHL Friday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 -125 in Edmonton Oilers vs Minnesota Wild @ 9 ET - The goals should fly in this one. The first two meetings averaged 9 goals apiece. Also, Minnesota enters this one off a 6-3 loss preceded by a 10-7 win. 7 of last 9 Minnesota road games have totaled at least 7 goals! Those 9 games have averaged 8 goals apiece! More of the same on tap here as Edmonton has seen each of last 5 games total at least 7 goals and these have averaged 9.6 goals apiece! The Oilers had that amazing winning streak because of solid goaltending. But, since their long winning streak, Edmonton is just 4-4 and has allowed 8 goals per game. The Oilers still have that amazing offensive production but the defense and goalie work has lapsed again. More of the same here and this one gets to 7 or more goals as each team highly likely to get to at least 3 goals! 10* OVER 6.5 -125 in Edmonton |
|||||||
02-23-24 | Kent State v. Akron -7 | Top | 70-83 | Win | 100 | 8 h 7 m | Show |
CBB Friday 10* Top Play Akron Zips (-) vs Kent State Golden Flashes @ 6 ET - These are nearby rivals and this is always a big game as a result. That said, you might think Kent State is the revenge play here because they lost the most recent meeting at home this season. However, last season Akron had lost its final regular season game (in OT) at Kent State and then also had their season end just a week later when the Golden Flashes knocked the Zips out of the conference tourney! In other words, Akron still views this match-up as including some unfinished business. Also, the Zips are coming off a loss at Toledo which makes this home game extra important in the battle that Akron is in with the Rockets - also playing tonight - for the top spot in the MAC! Kent State is only a .500 team this season and they are a game under .500 in the MAC. Akron is definitely the stronger team and the much better defense and they improve on their 11-2 MAC season record. The Zips have gone a PERFECT 4-0 off a loss ever since that early season 3-game losing streak. Not only that, Akron won all 4 of those games by double digits. Look for the Zips to take that run to 5-0 here with another double digit victory. This line, as of 8 hours before tipoff, is in the 7.5 range and is a strong value here. 10* AKRON (-) |
|||||||
02-23-24 | Mainz v. Bayer Leverkusen OVER 3 | Top | 1-2 | Push | 0 | 8 h 36 m | Show |
Rotation #202469: German Bundesliga Friday 10* Top Play OVER 3 +105 in Bayer Leverkusen vs Mainz @ 2:30 ET - Bayer Leverkusen is trying to work on winning the Bundesliga this season and they are currently at the top of the table and scoring an average of 3 goals per match as a host in league action! Mainz is really struggling but they are battling in the relegation zone so they will go all out here. They should get at least a goal - as they are averaging that in road matches this season - and must be aggressive here. However, they are allowing 2 goals per match this season when away from home and should give up 3 or more as they face the best team in Germany! Incredible undefeated run is intact for Bayer Leverkusen and this one looks like a 3-1 final! Either way we see 4 or more goals here the way I see this one playing out. 10* OVER 3 +105 in Bayer Leverkusen |
|||||||
02-23-24 | Dinamo Bucuresti v. CFR Cluj OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 33 m | Show |
Rotation #206881: Romania Liga 1: Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +100 in CFR Cluj vs Dinamo Bucuresti @ 1 ET - Dinamo is playing much better but, of course, is not a mistake that CFR Cluj is favored by 1 goal on the goal line. That said, we have excellent line value here given the way both of these clubs have been trending. Dinamo has scored 7 goals in its last 4 matches. 3 of the 4 totaled at least 3 goals. CFR Cluj has scored 9 goals in its last 4 matches. 3 of the 4 matches totaled at least 3 goals! CFR Cluj was shutout in most recent match at home but they faced a tough Rapid Bucuresti club. Now they face another Bucuresti club but this time it is a Dinamo club that has more defensive liability. CFR Cluj had scored 2 goals per match so far in home matches this season prior to that home shutout loss to Rapid. In other words, this match has 2-1 written all over it as Dinamo is improving but they won't be able to stop a determined host here either! 10* OVER 2.5 +100 in CFR Cluj |
|||||||
02-23-24 | Caykur Rizespor v. Samsunspor OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 31 m | Show |
Rotation #207897: Turkish Super Lig: Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 -110 in Samsunspor vs Caykur Rizespor @ Noon ET - Caykur Rizespor is allowing 2 goals per match in road games this season. Samsunspor should get their two goals here but also note that the hosts are allowing 1.4 goals per match this season. This one shapes up to be a 2-1 battle as Samsunspor is unbeaten in 6 of last 7 matches with the only loss to league-leader Galatasaray. In the other 6 matches, Samsunspor did average 1.5 goals scored per match. Also, though they have been tough at home this season, I can not forecast a shutout here against a Caykur Rizespor club that is much higher in the table with good reason. Off a 3-1 loss to 2nd place Fenerbahce, Caykur Rizespor will take advantage here of facing a club in the lower half of the table. The result is an entertaining battle with scoring from both clubs. So what about the odds of a 1-1 draw here? Well, Caykur Rizespor has only a 23% draw rate this season and Samsunspor has only a 15% draw rate at home this season. In other words, strong odds on at least a 2-1 battle here. 10* OVER 2.5 -110 in Samsunspor |
|||||||
02-23-24 | U Craiova 1948 v. Hermannstadt OVER 2 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -126 | 5 h 53 m | Show |
Rotation #206885: Romania Liga 1: Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2 -120 in Hermannstadt vs FCU 1948 Craiova @ 10 AM ET - The value of a 2 is big here. 8 of last 9 Hermannstadt matches have totaled at least 2 goals. Those matches averaged 2.4 goals apiece and with Hermannstadt off a rare scoreless draw in their most recent home match I know they should bring an aggressive effort to the pitch on Friday. As for FCU 1948 Craiova, 20 of their 26 matches this season have totaled at least 2 goals. They are off a 3-1 loss at home and also off a 1-0 loss in their most recent road match. So, like Hermannstadt, FCU 1948 Craiova will put an emphasis on the attacking side of things after being shutout on their most recent travels. Their last 10 matches that have totaled at least 2 goals did average 3.4 goals apiece so expecting 3 or more here is well within reason and we'll take advantage of the low total here. 10* OVER 2 -120 in Hermannstadt |
|||||||
02-22-24 | Canucks -120 v. Seattle Kraken | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 10 m | Show |
NHL Thursday Vancouver Canucks -120 @ Seattle Kraken @ 10:05 ET - Road team has won both meetings between these nearby rivals this season. The Canucks have lost 3 straight games for the first time this season but have faced some tough games. Prior to this, Vancouver had won 13 of 17 games and now face a Seattle team that is not so tough! The Kraken have lost 9 of 13 games and the Canucks come into this one angry. Look for Vancouver to be the more aggressive team from the get-go and they average a goal more per game than Seattle on the season. Their production leads the way to a road win here. VANCOUVER -120 |
|||||||
02-22-24 | Maple Leafs v. Golden Knights OVER 6 | Top | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 51 m | Show |
NHL Thursday OVER 6 in Vegas Golden Knights vs Toronto Maple Leafs @ 10:05 ET - The Maple Leafs off yet another high-scoring win and tonight Vegas is expected to start Hill in goal. He actually has allowed at least 3 goals in 4 straight games! The Leafs are red hot and off a 6-3 win at Arizona last night. Toronto now has scored an average of 5 goals per game in their last 7 games and won 6 of those games. Vegas is tough at home however and that is why the play here is the over. The Golden Knights will put up a fight here but they have to fight fire with fire. In other words, look for plenty of offense here. The Leafs have allowed 3 goals per game their last 7 games. With Hill also allowing at least 3 per game of late, I do expect each team to get to 3 here and that would mean this one can not end with less than 7 goals. Vegas has allowed 4.3 goals per game last 3 home games. However, the Golden Knights also have averaged scoring 3 goals per game last 10 home games. This one gets to 7 or more. OVER 6 in Vegas |
|||||||
02-22-24 | Ohio State +3.5 v. Minnesota | Top | 79-88 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 32 m | Show |
Rotation #769: CBB Thursday Ohio State Buckeyes (+) @ Minnesota Golden Gophers @ 8 ET - Off the upset of the Boilermakers, under normal circumstances, Ohio State should be faded here. However, this is anything but normal circumstances! The Buckeyes have had a down season and so they made a rare late-season coaching change. The assistant that took over here had already been at OSU for a few years plus is a long-time guy in terms of Ohio roots both for him and his entire family. The Buckeyes are showing they want to rally around this and are playing hard. There is a reason this line opened up low and then shot up to 4 but is already back to a 3.5 as of about 9 hours before tipoff. The sharps see the same thing I am seeing here too. The fact is the Golden Gophers had lost 6 of 9 before their win by double digits over Rutgers and now lets take a look at that victory. The Scarlet Knights actually had 13 more field goal attempts than Minny but they were done in by poor shooting that night while the Gophers were on fire both inside and outside the arc. Rutgers had more points in the paint plus the Golden Gophers had nearly twice as many turnovers. The point is that the box score proves it was a phony final. It is helping to give us some market value here as there was nothing phony about the Buckeyes win over Purdue! Love the fact that OSU had just 6 turnovers in that game too while the Boilermakers had 14. We get solid line value here as many will be playing Minny and the revenge angle here but this Buckeyes team is rejuvenated. OHIO STATE (+) |
|||||||
02-22-24 | Knicks v. 76ers -115 | Top | 110-96 | Loss | -115 | 17 h 43 m | Show |
NBA Thursday Philadelphia 76ers -115 vs New York Knicks @ 7 ET - The Knicks are still without Anunoby and Randle. The Sixers are without Embiid of course but New York down two key players. Unsurprisingly, New York is starting to struggle not having these two guys. The Knicks lost 4 straight before the All-Star break. The Sixers lost at home to Miami before the break but had won 2 straight games - both on the road - prior to that. Now veteran Lowry expected to make his debut in hometown Philly for the 76ers and don't be surprised if the veteran outperforms expectations as he is rejuvenated by being back home and now playing for the Sixers. This is a bargain price on the Sixers as, until the Knicks get healthy again, they are just not the same team that had been streaking red hot. Philly takes advantage of catching rival NY at the right time in the right place! PHILADELPHIA -115 |
|||||||
02-22-24 | Rutgers v. Purdue OVER 138.5 | Top | 68-96 | Win | 100 | 8 h 46 m | Show |
Rotation #747 CBB Thursday OVER the total in Purdue Boilermakers vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights @ 7 ET - This total is in the 138.5 range as of about 8 hours before tipoff. Note that this total is kept lower because of Rutgers being a strong defensive team. However, the game at Rutgers still totaled 128 when these teams met even though combined for just 9 of 35 from 3-point land. Now, at Purdue and with the Boilermakers angry off a loss, guess who controls the tempo in this one? Exactly! The home team is going to push hard here after the loss at Ohio State. Note that Purdue has scored an average of 91 points this season when off a loss. Those two games were big wins and, overall, the Boilermakers have been scoring big at home all season long. Purdue is averaging 89 ppg (not including OT of course) in their 13 home games this season. Also, Rutgers is expected to lose SU here of course and even though they are strong defensively, look at the numbers they have allowed in losses this season. They have allowed 77 ppg in losses away from home this season. Now they are going to lose away from home to the best team in the country! Of course the Boilers, given all of the above, should get into the 80s here and this line is around 15. Even if it is only an 80-65 type game that puts this in the mid-140s but truly I expect much more given all of the above and this one should blow away the total as the Boilers respond at home! OVER the total in Purdue |
|||||||
02-22-24 | Galatasaray v. AC Sparta Prague OVER 3 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 115 | 7 h 42 m | Show |
Rotation #224449: Europa League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 2nd Leg: Thursday OVER 3 +115 in AC Sparta Prague vs Galatasaray @ 3 ET - Down 3-2 based on the 1st Leg result, Sparta Prague must be aggressive from the onset here. While I am expect that to result in some scoring from the home side here, it also opens things up for the red hot attacking side of Galatasaray on the counter. Note that Galatasary enters this one having scored an average of 3 goals per match in their last 8 matches across all competitions. 8 straight Galatasaray matches have seen them score at least 2 goals. 4 straight Sparta Prague matches have totaled at least 3 goals! Also, they have scored at least 2 goals in 11 straight matches! So you have two red hot attacks matched up here and I see at least a 2-1 final here as the hosts battle hard, and must be aggressive, to try and stave off elimination. Look for another 3-2 final or perhaps 2-2 draw here. OVER 3 +115 in AC Sparta Prague |