Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01-12-23 | Thunder v. 76ers OVER 231.5 | Top | 133-114 | Win | 100 | 10 h 25 m | Show |
NBA Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 231.5 in Philadelphia 76ers vs Oklahoma City Thunder @ 7:10 ET - These teams recently met in Oklahoma City and the game stayed under the total as the Thunder had a very rough shooting night. Look for them to be much better in the rematch. OKC has scored an average of 124.6 ppg since that ugly home loss to Philly. Trouble for Thunder is on the other end of the floor. Indeed OKC has allowed 115.7 ppg last 7 games. Here they face a 76ers team that is favored by nearly double digits for a reason. The Sixers have scored an average of 122.8 ppg last 6 games and will stay red hot here at home but you know the Thunder will get theirs too. This is Sixers last home game for a period of about two weeks as they have a long road trip on deck. Games like his are often dangerous for the home team and I just don't expect Philly's defensive play to be that sharp in a spot like this but they can certainly score a pile of points against this Thunder team. 10* OVER 231.5 in Philadelphia |
|||||||
01-12-23 | Maple Leafs v. Red Wings OVER 6.5 | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 59 m | Show |
NHL Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Detroit Red Wings vs Toronto Maple Leafs @ 7:05 ET - We know that the Maple Leafs are going to get theirs here. Toronto scored 4 last week when they met the Red Wings and Detroit enters this game having allowed 4 goals per game last 11 games. However, the positive for the Red Wings here is more than just the revenge angle. They are catching the Leafs in 2nd game of a B2B plus they get them on home ice in the rematch. Detroit has scored an average of 4 goals per game in their last 6 home games. Toronto has scored an average of 4 goals per game in going 7-3 last 10 games. Before a 2-1 win last night, the Maple Leafs had allowed 3.5 goals per game last 8 games. Also, since Murray played last night this will likely be Samsonov in between the pipes for the Leafs here. He shut down the Red Wings in his last start but he entered that one having allowed 4 goals per game last 4 games. 10* OVER 6.5 in Detroit |
|||||||
01-12-23 | Hurricanes -1.5 v. Blue Jackets | Top | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 19 m | Show |
NHL Thursday 10* Top Play Carolina Hurricanes Puck Line -1.5 -120 @ Columbus Blue Jackets @ 7:05 ET - The Hurricanes are angry right now. They are on a rare losing streak. One of the 4 defeats in this rare tough stretch was against Columbus as the Canes fell short in the shootout despite outshooting them 42 to 18 in that game! That said, this is a payback spot and the Canes will not be denied. The Blue Jackets have just 2 wins last 13 games and one of them was the very fortunate win over Carolina despite being dominated and the other was a win over a punch-less Blackhawks team that just keeps on losing games. The Jackets, in their last 14 losses, have been outscored 60 to 22. That means they lost those games by an average margin of about 3 goals. Look for this to be another ugly one. 10* CAROLINA -1.5 -120 |
|||||||
01-12-23 | Chelsea v. Fulham OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 105 | 7 h 28 m | Show |
EPL Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Fulham vs Chelsea @ 3 ET - This total opened up in the 2 and 3/4 range and then dropped to as low as 2 and 1/4 range and now just came back up this morning into the 2.5 range. I like the way this line has acted. I like this type of line movement. As for the "nuts and bolts" of this one, Fulham does average scoring 2 goals per match when they are a host. However, Chelsea has their backs against the wall and also they are making some changes on the attacking front and I expect them to very aggressive here. Chelsea has defeated Fulham in each of last 7 meetings and, no matter who prevails here I am looking for at least a 2-1 final. Chelsea has scored an average of 2 goals per match in last 5 match-ups with Fulham. The hosts, however, enter this one on a 4-match winning streak across all competitions as Fulham has been hot and won 4 straight matches. 10* OVER 2.5 in Fulham |
|||||||
01-11-23 | Wolves -5.5 v. Pistons | Top | 118-135 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 5 m | Show |
NBA Wednesday 10* Top Play Minnesota Timberwolves -5.5 @ Detroit Pistons @ 7:10 ET - First reaction here might be to play the Pistons even though they are in the 2nd game of a B2B as they got blasted last night at Philly. Teams tend to bounce back off ugly losses like that but the problem for Detroit is that this is a B2B with travel involved to get back home and they are hosting a Timberwolves team that they recently beat in Minnesota. In fact, that is the most recent loss for the Wolves so you know a payback revenge response is likely here. The Timberwolves have won 4 straight since then and all 4 victories by at least 7 points and the average margin of victory was 10 points. Another double digit blowout likely here so very comfortable laying the fair price here. 10* MINNESOTA -5.5 |
|||||||
01-11-23 | Creighton +3.5 v. Xavier | Top | 87-90 | Win | 100 | 11 h 56 m | Show |
CBB Wednesday 10* Top Play Creighton Bluejays +3.5 @ Xavier Musketeers @ 7 ET - Something is very off with this line and that is why, in typical contrarian fashion, I am on the other side of the line move here. This one opened up at around a -2 and is now up to a 3.5 as everyone grabbing Xavier. After all, the Musketeers are ranked #12 in the country, they have won 9 games in a row and they are on their home floor facing a Bluejays team that has struggled on the road. When you consider all these factors, how could Xavier be such a short home favorite? Precisely! That is just it! The odds makers were on to something here with this one and the fact is that this season's Creighton team matches up well with Xavier and this one has the makings of an upset. The Bluejays have been solid defensively and will get the job done here. Don't be fooled by this line. The Jays had won 3 straight by an average margin of 20 points per game before losing to a strong Huskies team at UConn this past weekend. 10* CREIGHTON +3.5 |
|||||||
01-10-23 | Drake v. Illinois-Chicago +10.5 | Top | 76-71 | Win | 100 | 15 h 40 m | Show |
CBB Tuesday 10* Top Play Illinois-Chicago Flames +10.5 vs Drake Bulldogs @ 8 ET - The key here is the home/road dichotomy in addition to revenge in addition to the value of big points being offered. Happy to take a home dog getting double digits given all the key variables here. Drake is off a big home win over Murray State plus has some key games on deck with teams currently ahead of them in the MVC standings. This is a dangerous spot for the Bulldogs as a result. Also, Drake already won at home versus the Flames in early December. UIC wants revenge here and will take advantage of home court too. Illinois-Chicago lost by 13 at Drake last month but the Flames are 5-3 at home this season and only 1 of the 3 losses was by more than 7 points! The Bulldogs are 0-5 on the road this season. Drake is a good team and has won some neutral site games but, still without a win in a true road game this season, the Bulldogs will be challenged just to win this game let alone cover the huge number. 10* ILLINOIS-CHICAGO +10.5 |
|||||||
01-10-23 | Thunder v. Heat -4 | Top | 111-112 | Loss | -112 | 14 h 42 m | Show |
NBA Tuesday 10* Top Play Miami Heat -4 vs Oklahoma City Thunder @ 7:30 ET - I am aware of the injury issues for the Heat. However, it would not surprise me if both Adebayo and Herro end up playing in this game. Yes, Lowry is out for this game but Butler has a way of willing his teams to wins in games like this and he is such a gamer and should go off big time here. Also, the Heat are off a loss and known for bouncing back off defeats. Then look at the home/road dichotomy here as the Thunder have lost 5 straight road games and are 5-13 on the road this season. Miami is a modest 11-9 at home this season but had won 10 of last 15 at home before the loss to Brooklyn Sunday. The Heat bounce back big here as the Thunder see their road woes continue. This line has been adjusted down too low based on the injury situation and we can take advantage here. 10* MIAMI -4 |
|||||||
01-10-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Sabres OVER 6.5 | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 40 m | Show |
NHL Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Buffalo Sabres vs Seattle Kraken @ 7:05 ET - Great set up here as Kraken off a shutout win on the road and Sabres off a shutout loss at home! Those are very unique circumstances for BOTH clubs and then adding to the value of this situation is that this is a back to back spot for BOTH clubs. Jones has been hot in goal for Seattle but since this is a back to back it is unlikely he will play and that means it will be a struggling Grubauer (having tough season) between the pipes. Anderson was in goal for Buffalo last night so this would normally be Luukkonen in the crease tonight but he was sent to minors. Note that each of last 4 games not started by Anderson have resulted in games totaling at least 7 goals! In fact, those 4 games averaged 9 goals per game. Tonight it will likely be Eric Comrie getting the call and he is having a rough season too and is just now coming off injured reserve. Comrie, has not been in the NHL since November 16th and he has posted a 4-7 mark this season with an ugly 3.62 GAA and an unimpressive .887 save percentage in his 11 games. This one should fly over the total given all of the above. 10* OVER 6.5 in Buffalo |
|||||||
01-10-23 | Jets -130 v. Red Wings | Top | 5-7 | Loss | -130 | 11 h 9 m | Show |
NHL Tuesday 10* Top Play Winnipeg Jets Money Line -130 @ Detroit Red Wings @ 7:05 - The final home loss in regulation time that Winnipeg suffered last season came against this team. That is not a huge deal but it is still worth noting as it is the first time the Jets have faced Detroit since then. The big keys here are that this is a classic case of hot versus not. Also, not only are the Red Wings losers of 3 straight and off a loss to Toronto, Detroit again has the division rival Maple Leafs on deck. This is a classic "sandwich spot" as they have a non-conference battle right in the middle of big games versus a divisional foe that also has a revenge aspect to it. So, that said, this is a great spot to ride a Jets team that has won 5 straight games! Plus David Rittich got the last start in goal and with Winnipeg not in action again until Thursday, that means Connor Hellebuyck should get this start for sure. Hellebuyck is one of the best goalies in the league and having another big season and has been particularly red hot of late. The red hot road team should dominate in this one. 10* WINNIPEG JETS -130 |
|||||||
01-09-23 | Oral Roberts v. New Mexico OVER 161.5 | Top | 75-82 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 23 m | Show |
Rotation #881 CBB Monday 10* Top Play OVER 161.5 in New Mexico Lobos vs Oral Roberts Golden Eagles @ 9 ET - This non-conference battle is intriguing and should see plenty of points. Defensive-minded Houston shut down the Golden Eagles early this season but in their other games Oral Roberts is 13-2 and has averaged scoring 87 points per game! That is why should not let the big number scare you away from this total. You know the Lobos are going to get their points here. New Mexico is a ranked team that is angry off B2B losses after starting the season 14-2. The Lobos are averaging 88 points per games this season. This one should be played at a very fast pace with plenty of scoring throughout and I look for it to be "raining threes" in this one! 10* OVER 161.5 in New Mexico |
|||||||
01-09-23 | TCU v. Georgia -12.5 | Top | 7-65 | Win | 100 | 13 h 15 m | Show |
CFB Monday 10* Top Play Georgia Bulldogs -12.5 vs TCU Horned Frogs @ 7:30 ET - My money is on Georgia here as their defense responds after rare sub-par performances recently. The Bulldogs, prior to SEC Championship, had played 12 games in the regular season. Georgia never allowed more than 22 points in a game and their average points allowed was half that at just 11 per game! The Horned Frogs have a solid pass defense but the Bulldogs strength is their ground game on offense and I expect them to run all over TCU in this one. That plus the championship experience edge the Dawgs have gives them a huge edge here. Remember what I said about the Bulldogs defense above? Well the TCU defense has allowed 24 points or more in 10 of their last 12 games. Essentially the opposite of the Georgia defensive performance! In those 10 games, the Horned Frogs allowed an average of 31.6 points per game. I would not be surprised if TCU hangs around early in this one but eventually the strength, power, experience edges for the Bulldogs allow them to pull away in this one. 10* GEORGIA -12.5 |
|||||||
01-09-23 | Bucks -125 v. Knicks | Top | 111-107 | Win | 100 | 11 h 29 m | Show |
NBA Monday 10* Top Play Milwaukee Bucks Money Line -125 @ New York Knicks @ 7:40 ET - If you must lay 2 or 2.5 points here you can but really would recommend taking the money line instead if possible as that is a very reasonable -125 or -130 here. I like the Bucks to win this game. They are off an embarrassing loss to Charlotte and that was at home! Milwaukee gave up 138 points in that one and wants immediate redemption. The Bucks already have beaten the Knicks in both meetings this season as New York can not seem to stop Giannis Antetokounmpo. He has had huge games against the Knicks this season and you know he will be ready to go again her after the ugly loss. Bucks had struggled a bit recently but won 3 of 4 before embarrassing loss to Hornets. Also, the Knicks have won 4 straight but 3 of the victories were against teams that are now a combined 40-80 on the season. Take advantage of the situational value here. 10* MILWAUKEE -125 |
|||||||
01-09-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Canadiens OVER 6.5 | Top | 4-0 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 52 m | Show |
NHL Monday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Montreal Canadiens vs Seattle Kraken @ 7:35 ET - The Canadiens have allowed 4 or more goals in 7 straight games. In fact they have allowed an average of 5.4 goals during this rough stretch. However, since Montreal is at home here they should score well too and that is why the play here is the over. The Habs will take advantage of a Kraken team that has a tendency to allow a lot of goals when on the road. Seattle has allowed 4 or more goals in 6 of last 10 road games. Those games have averaged 8.7 goals apiece and almost all of them have gotten to at least 7 goals in total. With Seattle averaging 5.5 goals scored last 4 games - and Kraken scored at least 4 in all 4 - this one should fly over the total. 10* OVER 6.5 in Montreal |
|||||||
01-08-23 | Lions v. Packers -4.5 | Top | 20-16 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 43 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play Green Bay Packers -4.5 vs Detroit Lions @ 8:20 ET - Home field edge. Cold weather edge (Lions are a dome team). QB edge too with the experience of Rodgers over the young Goff who could struggle in hostile environment and cold conditions here. Another hidden factor here, and I like this play either way, is the strong possibility that the Lions will be eliminated from playoff race before this game even kicks off. Even if that indeed happens because Seahawks beat the Rams, one could correctly argue that the Lions will still be motivated to prevent a division rival from making the playoffs. However, no one can argue it will not be the same positive attitude for this game if Seattle wins in the action that will wrap up before this game even kicks off. That said, I like the Packers here and I like them no matter what happens in the earlier action. Keep in mind, the Pack have revenge here too because they lost at Detroit earlier this season despite having a huge yardage edge as Rodgers had a rare bad game against the Lions. Yes Detroit is off a great defensive effort last week but it was against a bad Bears offense. The week prior the Lions allowed nearly 600 yards of offense to the Panthers! The Lions have been hot but the Packers have too with 4 straight wins and GB has the better defense too. This one should get ugly in favor of the revenging home team with everything to play for in this one! 10* GREEN BAY -4.5 |
|||||||
01-08-23 | Blues v. Wild OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 18 m | Show |
NHL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Minnesota Wild vs St Louis Blues @ 7:05 ET - Both teams in a back to back spot and both off very high-scoring games and the same result is expected today. The Wild have a tough goaltending situation because Fleury struggled yesterday and is out for today and Gustavsson has been battling an illness and should go today but it is doubtful he will be 100%. That is why the Wild even called up Zane McIntyre from the AHL and he has not even played in an NHL game in 6 years. So look for St Louis to continue to be very aggressive in putting pressure on the opposing netminder but the problem for the Blues as they have had struggling goaltending too. It was Binnington in goal yesterday so now it likely will be Greiss and he could be rusty here after a long layoff without a start. The Wild should enjoy plenty of scoring success on home ice. Minnesota has scored 4 or more goals in 8 of last 10 games! The Wild will get their fair share of chances against a Blues team that has allowed 4 goals per game last 8 games. The key for St Louis however is their own offensive firepower as they have scored an average of 4 goals per game last 11 games. The Wild off a 6-5 game and the Blues off a 5-4 game and I am expecting something similar here and, at the very least, a 4-3 type game. 10* OVER 6.5 in Minnesota |
|||||||
01-08-23 | Blue Jackets v. Capitals OVER 6.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 40 m | Show |
NHL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Washington Capitals vs Columbus Blue Jackets @ 5:05 ET - The Blue Jackets off 4-3 upset win yesterday over Carolina. Korpisalo was in goal so if he played here it would be a B2B. Anytime Korpisalo has not started Columbus has allowed 4 or more goals in 9 of last 11. They have allowed an average of 4.5 goals in those 11 games. At least Columbus now has won 2 of 4 and they are starting to score a bit again and that sets this one up well for a solid over. That is because the Capitals and a red-hot Ovechkin are off a game in which they got stifled in a 3-2 loss Thursday. Look for a big bounce back here as, prior to that loss, the Caps had won 12 of 15 games and scored an average of 4.3 goals per game during this stretch. This one has all the makings of at least a 4-3 game if not, much more, when you consider all the situational aspects. 10* OVER 6.5 in Washington |
|||||||
01-08-23 | Cardinals +14.5 v. 49ers | Top | 13-38 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 24 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play Arizona Cardinals +14.5 @ San Francisco 49ers @ 4:25 ET - The good news for San Francisco is if they win this game they still have a shot at the #1 seed in the post-season. The bad news? They also need Eagles to lose for that to happen. Philadelphia is creeping up toward being a 17 point favorite over the Giants. The Giants are resting a lot of starters including QB Daniel Jones and their starting QB will be Davis Webb. In other words, the Niners are not stupid and they realize the Eagles are highly unlikely to lose today as they also welcome back Jalen Hurts from injury and, again, New York is essentially tanking for that game as they are locked into playoff position. All that said, the 49ers know they are therefore essentially locked into playoff position too. Sure they will come out to win this game but this is in their psyche and certainly there is no extra motivation to win this game by any kind of massive margin. That said, now that this line has crept all the way up to 14.5 it is absolutely "go time" with the big underdog Cardinals here. David Blough played quite well at QB for the Cards last week. Also, sounds like this will be last game of career for future HOFer JJ Watt so you know the Arizona defense wants to go out strong here too. Just don't see the Niners winning this game by much of a margin. Note that SF has won 9 straight but of the last 8 wins, 4 of them were by 8 or less points. The Cardinals, since getting blown out in Week 1 of the season by KC, has only 1 loss last 16 games by more than 14 points and that was against the 49ers in Mexico City! Payback time here. Grab the generous points in this one! 10* ARIZONA +14.5 |
|||||||
01-08-23 | 76ers -5.5 v. Pistons | Top | 123-111 | Win | 100 | 8 h 17 m | Show |
NBA Sunday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -5.5 @ Detroit @ 3:10 ET - I know the Sixers are still without Embiid and also will be without Tucker in this game. However, Pistons are missing some guys too and Philly hammered Detroit by 20 points the last time these teams met. Philadelphia off a loss in which they allow a lot of points have a been a great ATS moneymaker in their next game. I like them to bounce back here after allowing 126 to the Bulls in an ugly home loss. The Sixers had won 11 of 13 games before that loss! The Pistons have lost 12 of 16 games. The spread should prove inconsequential here as each of Detroit's last 7 losses by a double digit margin. 76ers roll on the road in this one. 10* PHILADELPHIA -5.5 |
|||||||
01-08-23 | Panthers v. Saints OVER 41.5 | Top | 10-7 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 3 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 41.5 in New Orleans Saints vs Carolina Panthers @ 1 ET - Great end of season spot for an over. Both teams eliminated from playoff contention but Saints trying to avoid a 10-loss season and Panthers badly want to win this for coach Wilks. Carolina QB Darnold through for over 340 yards and 3 TDs last week but looks to cut down on turnovers here. New Orleans QB Dalton is a veteran and facing a Panthers secondary dealing with a lot of injuries right now. Keep in mind, there is no playoff pressure here either so both teams want to win but also can play loose and relaxed. In a season finale that has variables like this (plus the fact no weather concerns since game in a dome) you have the perfect set-up for a high-scoring shootout! The Saints last 7 home games (including the one in London as designated host) they have scored at least 21 points in 6 of the games. Those 6 games have seen New Orleans average 27 points scored per game! The Panthers are averaging 26 points per game since Darnold took over at QB the last 5 games. Carolina, however, has also allowed an average of 24 points per game last 4 games. This total is closer to 40 than 50 but you can see why I am expecting the latter as a likely total for points scored and I will grab the excellent line value here in what should shape up as a shootout at the Caesars Superdome. 10* OVER 41.5 in New Orleans |
|||||||
01-08-23 | Iowa v. Rutgers -6.5 | Top | 76-65 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 33 m | Show |
CBB Sunday 10* Top Play Rutgers Scarlet Knights -6.5 vs Iowa Hawkeyes @ Noon ET - This is a great spot for the Knights. The Hawkeyes rose up big in their first game without McCaffery but they were at home and able to rally from a 10-point halftime deficit. The Scarlet Knights have revenge from losing in the Big Ten tourney to Iowa last season. The Hawkeyes are not as strong as last season and Rutgers is much stronger than last season and so the set-up here is perfect for a convincing home win. Note that the Scarlet Knights have won 5 straight and Iowa had lost 3 straight before sneaking by Indiana. The Hawkeyes are allowing 72.5 ppg this season while the Knights are allowing only 54.9 ppg this season. This sets up as a home rout. 10* RUTGERS -6.5 |
|||||||
01-07-23 | Magic v. Warriors OVER 231.5 | Top | 115-101 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 40 m | Show |
NBA Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 231.5 in Golden State Warriors vs Orlando Magic @ 8:40 ET - This is a light spot in the Warriors schedule as they have not played since Wednesday and will not play again until Tuesday. That makes this is an ideal spot for an absolute "run and gun" affair. Warriors love to score big at home and they will look to run the Magic right out of the arena in this one as they seek payback for a loss earlier this season at Orlando. That game totaled 259 points and this should be another wild one here. Golden State's last 3 home games have averaged 238 points per game NOT including the OT points of their recent double OT win. Warriors enter this game off a high-scoring loss and they host a Magic team that has also, unlike earlier this season, been trending toward higher-scoring games. 5 of Orlando's last 8 games have totaled at least 238 points. Another wild one here. 10* OVER 231.5 in Golden State |
|||||||
01-07-23 | Titans +6.5 v. Jaguars | Top | 16-20 | Win | 100 | 15 h 12 m | Show |
NFL Saturday 10* Top Play Tennessee Titans +6.5 @ Jacksonville Jaguars @ 8:15 ET - The Titans have lost 6 straight games and the Jaguars have won 4 straight games. No need to even play this game, right? It's over before it even starts? The division title belongs to the Jags by default? Fortunately for the Titans none of that holds true. Tennessee gets their shot here and I love fading the masses which will give the underdogs no chance here. Keep in mind, this is the Jaguars we are talking about ladies and gentlemen. I know they are better than they use to be but they are no juggernauts and Joshua Dobbs actually played quite well at QB for the Titans last week. He certainly is a major upgrade over the struggling Malik Willis as Tennessee continues to battle without the injured Ryan Tannehill. The key here is that Dobbs can manage the game, Derek Henry can have a huge ground game for the Titans, and I like the Tennessee defense (3 turnovers last week) over the Jags defense. Keep in mind, the Titans only two bad defensive performances on the road this season were against two of the best teams (Bills and Eagles) in the entire league. In their other 6 road games, Jacksonville has allowed just 15.8 ppg in regulation time of those 6 games. Jaguars had rare big win over the Titans when these teams met last month. Note that the Jaguars have won their last two games over a 2-13-1 Texans team and a Jets team that had quit on the season. Certainly there is not quit in the Titans in a "win and you're in" game here. Prior to those two wins the Jags allowed 30 ppg their last 5 games. To put that in proper perspective, prior to allowing 27 points to Dallas last week, the Titans had allowed more than 22 points only TWO times in last 13 games! Give me the big points with a very hungry road dog! 10* TENNESSEE +6.5 |
|||||||
01-07-23 | Blues v. Canadiens OVER 6.5 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 41 m | Show |
NHL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Montreal Canadiens vs St Louis Blues @ 7:05 ET - Granted the Habs have not been scoring a lot of goals in their recent losing streak but the Blues have been giving up piles of goals plus the Canadiens are on home ice for this one. Montreal will get their goals here but they can stop no one. The Canadiens have lost 10 of 11 games and in their last 10 games the 9 losses featured 8 in which Montreal allowed at least 4 goals. The Habs, incredibly, have allowed an average of 5 goals per game in their last 18 losses. As for St Louis, they are 3-2-2 last 7 games but have allowed 4 goals per game during this stretch. The Blues have scored 4 goals per game last 6 games. I like the recent trending of St Louis in the goal-scoring department plus the fact that Binnington is still shaky in almost all of his starts. When these teams met in St Louis earlier this season the game totaled 11 goals! Look for at least 7 in the rematch as the Blues will go hard for revenge here but will continue to have trouble in their own end of the ice as well. 10* OVER 6.5 in Montreal |
|||||||
01-07-23 | Red Wings v. Maple Leafs OVER 6.5 | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
NHL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Toronto Maple Leafs vs Detroit Red Wings @ 7:05 ET - After coming up just short of the over last night in Detroit, the Red Wings will help us out here. They fought hard for that 3rd goal last night but just could not quite manage it against Florida. They will enjoy better success here against a Toronto team that has been giving up a lot of goals. The key to the over is that the Maple Leafs will be facing a tough goaltending situation for the Red Wings. Since Detroit had Husso in action last night, he must either go again in a B2B or it will be Hellberg in the crease. Hellberg has struggled in recent road outings plus has not been playing much and could be rusty. That is part of the reason Nedeljkovic was sent to AHL is because there was not enough goalie work to go around. So the Leafs should score well here against a Wings club that has given up 4 goals per game in last 6 road games. Before B2B losses to Devils and Florida, the Red Wings had scored at least 3 goals in 6 straight games including each of last 3 road games. But the Maple Leafs are a huge favorite here for a reason and this one has the makings of a 5-3 final. Toronto has allowed at least 4 goals in 4 of last 5 games! The Maple Leafs are off a home loss in which they where held to 1 goal but this was on the heels of the Leafs scoring an average of 4.5 goals per game in 7 preceding home games and they bounce right back here. Trouble for the Maple Leafs is they have been giving up a lot of goals so this should be a barnburner here. 10* OVER 6.5 in Toronto |
|||||||
01-06-23 | Bulls +5 v. 76ers | Top | 126-112 | Win | 100 | 13 h 45 m | Show |
NBA Friday 10* Top Play Chicago Bulls +5 @ Philadelphia 76ers @ 7:10 ET - The Bulls have not beaten Philly since March of 2019. I love fading streaks like that when the time is right and this is the time. Embiid is out for Philadelphia. The 76ers are off a tight, hard-fought win over the Pacers without him. Now they faced a Bulls team determined to end that streak of losses against the Sixers and it is a Chicago team that has been playing better of late. When these teams met earlier this season the 76ers ultimately prevailed by 5 points but the game was tied with under a minute to go and Embiid, out for tonight, played a key role in the win. The Bulls are playing much better of late and so they provide excellent value here. Chicago has won 6 of 9 games and one of the losses was in OT and another loss was by just a single point. Excellent value here with the underdog Bulls. 10* CHICAGO +5 |
|||||||
01-06-23 | Panthers v. Red Wings OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 16 m | Show |
NHL Friday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Detroit Red Wings vs Florida Panthers @ 7:05 ET - The Red Wings continue to give up a lot of goals no matter who has been between the pipes. However, Detroit has been, Wednesday notwithstanding, scoring goals well also. That is why each of the Red Wings last 7 games have totaled at least 6 goals (and 5 of the 7 have totaled at least 7) and these games have averaged about 8 goals apiece! As for Florida, they were able to get their goal-scoring going again thanks to 3 of last 4 games at home. In those home games the Panthers themselves scored an average of 5 goals per game! The problem for Florida continues to be at the other end of the ice! The Panthers enter this game having allowed 4.5 goals per game in their 22 losses this season but they have been scoring quite well too again as some home ice games got them rolling again! This is the type of game that should see each team reach the 3 goal threshold given all the variables and that means the game could finish with nothing less than a 4-3 final. The Red Wings continue to have goalie issues and that includes Husso allowing at least 4 goals in 5 straight starts. No matter who has been in goal for both Florida and Detroit, the goals conceded almost always has been an issue. I look for the Red Wings run to reach 6 of 8 games totaling 7 goals or more. 10* OVER 6.5 in Detroit |
|||||||
01-06-23 | Detroit v. Wright State -3 | Top | 85-90 | Win | 100 | 12 h 9 m | Show |
CBB Friday 10* Wright State Raiders -3 or -3.5 vs Detroit Mercy Titans @ 7 ET - The Raiders are a little better than people realize. Detroit is on the road here and does not shoot as well as Wright State does so the home/road edge is more of a factor here. Both teams known more for scoring prowess rather than defensive ability. However, the Raiders have shown the ability to step up on the defensive end at times and I look for a very strong effort from Wright State here at home. They are known through the years for being a tough team at the Nutter Center. The Titans continue to lose close games and I feel that will take a toll on their psyche now after dropping another tight one at Milwaukee. The Raiders come in fresh off a win at IUPUI but they are well aware that there is work to be done here as Detroit is 2-2 in the Horizon League so far while they are just 1-3. The Raiders are hungry for the league win here and to build momentum as they play their first home game in 3 weeks! They will make the most of it! 10* WRIGHT STATE -3 or -3.5 |
|||||||
01-05-23 | Celtics -130 v. Mavs | Top | 124-95 | Win | 100 | 13 h 54 m | Show |
NBA Thursday 10* Top Play Boston Celtics Money Line -130 @ Dallas Mavericks @ 7:30 ET - The Celtics did not just lose at OKC Tuesday, they got embarrassed as the Thunder seemingly knocked down everything in a 150 to 117 final. Suffice to say Boston is ready to respond as they are off B2B losses and that one was embarrassing. They get a key defensive performer back too with Robert Williams back for this one after he sat out the last game for workload management. They will be ready here and, though I certainly do respect this Mavericks team, the Celtics will prove to be too much. Boston is 3-1 this season when entering a game on a losing streak. The Mavs have won 7 straight games but are an underdog here. Why do you think that is? Exactly! Do note that Dallas has big game on deck versus divisional foe New Orleans! 10* BOSTON Money Line -130 |
|||||||
01-05-23 | Blues v. Devils OVER 6.5 | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 4 m | Show |
NHL Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in New Jersey Devils vs St Louis Blues @ 7:05 ET - Long-time followers know I generally release one play per day in NHL. Tuesday I wanted to play the St Louis over but shied away due to injuries - Tarasenko, O'Reilly, plus Krug still out. Sure enough the Blues game, despite the absences, ended up a 6-5 St Louis win over the Maple Leafs in Toronto which, of course, easily flew over. Fortunately that night ended up okay for us because we had the Panthers over which was 5-3 by the end of the 2nd period. But this time I will not hesitate to back the Blues as their trend for high-scoring games can continue even with some absences on the ice. St Louis is not getting good goaltending because Binnington is struggling. The Devils got a solid start in goal last night from Vanecek but, since this is a back to back, that means it will likely be Blackwood in goal tonight and he'll face a barrage of shots from the Blues. Blackwood has allowed 4 goals in each of last two starts. Devils, prior to last night's win, had allowed 3 or more goals in 8 of last 11 games. Blues have allowed at least 4 goals in 4 of last 5 games. 7 of last 9 St Louis games have totaled at least 7 goals and this should be a high-scoring non-conference battle. 10* OVER 6.5 in New Jersey |
|||||||
01-05-23 | Maryland +6.5 v. Rutgers | Top | 50-64 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 32 m | Show |
CBB Thursday 10* Top Play Maryland Terrapins +6 @ Rutgers Scarlet Knights @ 6:30 ET - Rutgers just knocked off the #1 ranked team in the country when they beat Purdue in a big upset a few days ago. That has led to them being over-valued here in what is a definite flat spot. Keep in mind they did the same thing last season in terms of knocking off the Boilermakers when Purdue was ranked #1 at the time also. What followed was a 14 point loss for the Scarlet Knights in their next game. Now, I am not saying that is what happens here exactly but I am saying this is a tricky spot for Rutgers and they are likely to end up in a dogfight just to win this game let alone cover the spread. The Terrapins just got hammered at Michigan so the set-up could not be much better than this! Yes the Terps also lost big to a ranked UCLA team but they did beat a ranked Illinois team and only lost by 3 to a #7 ranked Tennessee team. So the Terps can play when motivated and ready and they are catching the Scarlet Knights at the perfect time for an upset. We'll grab the points as added insurance here. 10* MARYLAND +6 |
|||||||
01-05-23 | Manchester City v. Chelsea OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -125 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
EPL Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Chelsea vs Manchester City @ 3 ET - The under has been getting attention here and I fully understand that as these teams have a recent history of low-scoring battles when they are matched up. Additionally, Chelsea has been struggling to score overall of late. However, the key here is that Manchester City is getting healthier again. Erling Braut Haaland continues to be a beast now that he is healthy again, and Chelsea is going to have be on the attack some if they want to win this game. That is why, despite a dearth of scoring lately for Chelsea, I love the over in this match-up. Chelsea must focus on scoring more goals here as they are much further down in the table than expected and need to go for the full 3 points in the table here. As for Manchester City, they have conceded at least once in each of their last 4 league matches. The key for City is scoring prowess and they are averaging 2 goals scored per match their last 8 matches across all competitions. Also, in league action, they are scoring an average of 2.8 goals per match! You can see why I am looking for a 2-1 or even 3-1 type match here and I am taking advantage of a lower total that is based too much on recent match-ups. The key here is the situation and I don't see a clean sheet being delivered by EITHER team in this one. That said, how likely is a 1-1 draw? Manchester City has only 3 draws in 16 matches this season and the hosts have only 4 draws in their same number of matches. This one gets to at least 2-1 Thursday! 10* OVER 2.5 in Chelsea |
|||||||
01-04-23 | Belmont -4 v. Illinois-Chicago | Top | 77-71 | Win | 100 | 6 h 7 m | Show |
CBB Wednesday 10* Top Play Belmont Bruins -4 or -4.5 @ Illinois-Chicago Flames @ 8 ET - The Bruins just lost to a solid Southern Illinois team but, prior to that, had won 8 of 10 games and one of those two losses was in overtime! Belmont is vastly superior to this Flames team. Illinois-Chicago has an identical 9-6 record but that is where the similarities stop! UIC has had almost all their victories come against very bad teams and/or weak foes. The Flames have been blasted in recent losses to Bradley and Northwestern. In fact, each of their last 5 losses have been my MORE than a DOZEN points and, on the season, their average margin of defeat in their 6 losses is 20 points per game. Look for another blowout here! 10* BELMONT -4 or -4.5 |
|||||||
01-04-23 | Pacers +7 v. 76ers | Top | 126-129 | Win | 100 | 6 h 53 m | Show |
NBA Wednesday 10* Top Play Indiana Pacers +7 @ Philadelphia 76ers @ 7:10 ET - The Pacers are playing well with 4 straight wins and victories in 6 of last 7. The Sixers may not have Embiid tonight. First off I will be clear here that I like Indiana here even if Embiid does play for Philly. But I do find it interesting that he was a late add to the injury report this time AND it is different reason (left foot) than the prior one (lower back). The Sixers have been playing well too but this is a lot of points to be laying to quality Pacers team that is getting its confidence back and that also has revenge from losing here in Philly in October. In fact, the Pacers last FIFTEEN games have seen them lose by more than 6 points only ONCE! Give us the points here! 10* INDIANA +7 |
|||||||
01-04-23 | Devils v. Red Wings OVER 6.5 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
NHL Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Detroit Red Wings vs New Jersey Devils @ 7:05 ET - The Red Wings continue to give up a lot of goals no matter who has been between the pipes. However, Detroit has been scoring goals well also. That is why each of the Red Wings last 6 games have totaled at least 6 goals (and 5 of the 6 have totaled at least 7) and these games have averaged about 8.5 goals apiece! As for New Jersey, the two times they have met the Red Wings this season the games have each totaled at least 7 goals! Also, the Devils enter this game having allowed 4 goals per game last 9 losses but they have been scoring quite well too again with at least 3 goals scored in 4 of last 5 games and they scored at least 4 in 3 of those 4 higher-scoring games! This is the type of game that should see each team reach the 3 goal threshold given all the variables and that means the game could finish with nothing less than a 4-3 final. The Red Wings continue to have goalie issues and that includes Husso allowing at least 4 goals in 4 straight starts. He could be back from illness here but you can see why I would expect him to struggle and no matter who has been in goal for Detroit, the goals conceded almost always has been an issue. Also, the Devils long-term losing run after a hot start to the season has had a lot to do with too many goals allowed. I look for the Red Wings run to reach 6 of 7 games totaling 7 goals or more. 10* OVER 6.5 in Detroit |
|||||||
01-04-23 | Wolverhampton Wanderers v. Aston Villa OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 36 m | Show |
EPL Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals +120 in Aston Villa vs Wolverhampton @ 3 ET - This is a contrarian play because Wolverhampton has struggled in the goal-scoring department this season. The key here is the Wolves were on the attack against Manchester United last week but just did not have anything to show for it. They will bring another strong effort here though and this time is pays dividends as they catch Aston Villa off a huge 2-0 win over Tottenham. That will leave Villa a bit flat defensively here after working so hard against the Hotspur and now still celebrating the spoils of delivering a clean sheet versus Tottenham. I think the Wolves could really surprise here but the safest bet is the over. That's because the Wolves do allow about 1.5 goals per match and Aston Villa does score 1.5 goals per match at home. I see a 2-1 final result here as neither team has shown a strong propensity for draws this season and, as noted above, I expect each team to get on the scoresheet here so this one finds its way to at least a 2-1 final. 10* OVER 2.5 goals +120 in Aston Villa |
|||||||
01-04-23 | Tottenham Hotspur v. Crystal Palace OVER 2.5 | Top | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 7 h 54 m | Show |
EPL Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Crystal Palace vs Tottenham Hotspur @ 3 ET - The Hotspur are off a 2-0 loss and it was the 7th straight they have allowed at least 2 goals in a Premier League match. I look for that problem of allowing too many goals to continue here against a determined Crystal Palace club. However, I also expect Tottenham to be much more aggressive on the attack here after being delivered a clean sheet last week by Aston Villa. Each of the last 3 meetings between Palace and the Hotspur have totaled at least 3 goals and Crystal Palace did score 3 goals in the last meeting here on their home pitch. In matches across all competitions (including recent club friendlies), Crystal Palace had seen 4 straight matches total at least 3 goals before their 2-0 win over Bournemouth did not. However, the hosts here will not be able to deliver another clean sheet in this situation that is desperate for Tottenham and, of course, the Hotspur are a much stronger club than Bournemouth. All the variables add up to an entertaining match here and neither club has shown a propensity to settle for draws this season with any great regularity so I look for this one to work its way to at least a 2-1 final. 10* OVER 2.5 in Crystal Palace |
|||||||
01-03-23 | Kansas v. Texas Tech +2.5 | Top | 75-72 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 59 m | Show |
CBB Tuesday 10* Top Play Texas Tech Red Raiders +2.5 vs Kansas Jayhawks @ 9 ET - Home court means a lot in this match-up. Texas Tech beat the Jayhawks in Lubbock last season but then lost the regular season match-up and Big Tournament match-up in Kansas. That means double revenge on order here for the Red Raiders and they are a dangerous home dog in this spot. Texas Tech is coming off a loss here and should respond and there is a reason that a highly-ranked one-loss Kansas team is laying such a short number here. Don't let the line fool you here. The home dog is the play. The Red Raiders are 8-0 SU at home this season and I look for another win here as they bounce back off a loss and are catching the Jayhawks off a tight 2-point hard-fought win versus Oklahoma State. 10* TEXAS TECH +2.5 |
|||||||
01-03-23 | Celtics -8.5 v. Thunder | Top | 117-150 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 31 m | Show |
NBA Tuesday 10* Top Play Boston Celtics -8.5 @ Oklahoma City Thunder @ 8:10 ET - Normally I do not like to lay big points in the NBA and this is particularly true with road teams. However, the key word there is "normally" and this is not a normal situation. The Celtics are angry off a loss and will be in blowout mode here. They are vastly superior to this Thunder team even if OKC was healthy. But therein lies another key in this one. Oklahoma City is not healthy and they have been ravaged by injuries particularly at the forward position. The Celtics are going to dominate the frontcourt in this game and they will ultimately pull away and win this game comfortably by a double digit margin. 10* BOSTON -8.5 |
|||||||
01-03-23 | Coyotes v. Panthers OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show |
NHL Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Florida Panthers vs Arizona Coyotes @ 7:07 ET - Non-conference match-up should be free-flowing without a lot of defensive intensity and both these teams have been giving up a lot of goals and have had sub-par goaltending. 9 of Arizona's last 12 games have totaled at least 7 goals. The Coyotes have scored decently but also allowed plenty with giving up an average of 4 goals per game during this stretch. Likewise, the Panthers have been trending over as well. Florida has allowed 4 or more goals in 8 of last 11 games. Also, Florida does score well at home where they have averaged about 4 goals per game last 15 games. So all signs point to at least a 4-3 type game in this one. 10* OVER 6.5 in Florida |
|||||||
01-03-23 | Newcastle United v. Arsenal OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -118 | 9 h 56 m | Show |
EPL Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Arsenal vs Newcastle United @ 2:45 ET - Perfect set-up for an over here as Arsenal is 7-0 at home this season but hardly ever delivers a clean sheet. They are averaging about 3 goals scored at home but allowing a goal per game. Newcastle is off a scoreless draw with Leeds but they had register 16 shots including 5 on goal but were surprisingly held goalless by stellar goalkeeping. That said, both of these clubs are attacking teams and Arsenal has had only 1 draw in 16 matches this season and this is why I am looking for at least a 2-1 final here. Newcastle scores an average of 2 goals per match and this is a key battle in the table as the visitors are right behind Manchester City in chasing Arsenal at the top. Don't be surprised if this one gets to 2-2 or 3-2 as the attacking style of each club prevails. 10* OVER 2.5 in Arsenal |
|||||||
01-03-23 | Fulham v. Leicester OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -125 | 9 h 35 m | Show |
EPL Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Leicester vs Fulham @ 2:45 ET - Each of these clubs has seen their 17 matches thus far total 56 goals. This is an average of 3.3 goals per match and I like the value here with this total at 2.5 goals. Leicester has had a disappointing return to play since the break for the World Cup action but being back on their home pitch again should trigger a positive response here. Trouble is they are facing a Fulham club playing well and whose confidence is growing. That said, the visitors are going to be on the attack and look to continue their surge of momentum. Leicester has scored an average of 2 goals per match over their last 9 matches across all competitions. 4 of Leicester's last 5 matches across all competitions have totaled at least 3 goals. Fulham has seen 15 of their 17 matches in league action this season total at least 3 goals! This includes 14 of last 15 so I love the odds on this one getting to at least 3 goals. Leicester has had only 2 draws in 17 matches this season. Fulham has had just 1 draw in 8 road matches this season. That said, you can see why I am looking for at least a 2-1 final here. 10* OVER 2.5 in Leicester |
|||||||
01-02-23 | Golden Knights v. Avalanche OVER 6 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 10 m | Show |
NHL Monday 10* Top Play OVER 6 in Colorado Avalanche vs Vegas Golden Knights @ 9:05 ET - I feel we are getting a lower total to work with than we should here because the Avalanche have not been scoring a lot of goals. The key here is they are facing a Golden Knights team that has been giving up a lot of goals and Colorado is on home ice so they should be able to get back on track in terms of scoring well. As for the Avalanche goals allowed situation it has been a consistent issue now so I am happy to take the over here as Vegas should have a big day with plenty of goal-scoring production. The Avs have allowed an average of 5 goals in last 3 games and two of those were at home. Colorado did score an average of 3 goals per game but Georgiev has struggled between the pipes for the Avalanche. Vegas is also having goaltending issues with Thompson. Note that the Golden Knights have allowed 3.5 goals per game in regulation time of their last 4 games. You can see why I am expecting each to get to at least 3 goals here and that would lead us to a situation where the game must end at least 4-3 for a final. In 5 of last 9 games Vegas has allowed at least 4 goals! The Knights last two road games have finished with 5 and 6 goals respectively but this followed a stretch in which 9 of last 12 Vegas road games totaled at least 7 goals. 10* OVER 6 in Colorado |
|||||||
01-02-23 | Pelicans v. 76ers -3.5 | Top | 111-120 | Win | 100 | 7 h 29 m | Show |
NBA Monday 10* Top Philadelphia 76ers -3.5 vs New Orleans Pelicans @ 7:10 ET - We are getting line value here because Embiid is listed as questionable for the 76ers due to lower back soreness. I do expect him to play here but, even if he did not, keep in mind that the 76ers actually have had some hot streaks even when he misses. What I like here is the revenge angle with Philly. They just lost at New Orleans last week but that is one of just two losses the Sixers have in their current 9-2 run. This is their only shot at revenge against the Pelicans this season. Philly only has one win by less than 4 points in that 9-2 run and the average margin of victory was 13 points. New Orleans is facing a Philly team that is 9-0 SU in last 9 home games. Pelicans have lost 8 of last 12 road games. Blowout time here. 10* PHILADELPHIA -3.5 |
|||||||
01-02-23 | West Virginia +3 v. Oklahoma State | Top | 60-67 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 51 m | Show |
CBB Monday 10* Top Play West Virginia Mountaineers +3 @ Oklahoma State Cowboys @ 7 ET - Yes, Oklahoma State is at home for this game but if you look at this one closely you have to ask yourself why are they even favored here. You can not find a win over a truly impressive opponent when you look at their 8-5 record on the season. Yes, both teams off losses but I like the fact this ranked West Virginia team is off an OT loss and they are 10-3 this season and ready to respond here after letting one slip away in overtime. The Mountaineers are the better team yet we are getting line value here because they are on the road. Catching points with the better team when both teams are off losses is a situation that always has me take a deeper look and I like what I am seeing here. The Cowboys do not have a signature win yet this season and this does not look like the spot to get it either. 10* WEST VIRGINIA +3 |
|||||||
01-02-23 | Utah v. Penn State +1.5 | Top | 21-35 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show |
CFB Monday 10* Top Play Penn State Nittany Lions +1.5 vs Utah Utes @ 5 ET - The Big Ten was particularly tough this season and sent 9 teams to bowl games. Entering Monday's action, 6 had already played and they went 4-2 SU with the one of those two losses being Ohio State losing to the defending national champion Georgia Bulldogs by 1 point. by the way, the other Big Team that played in a CFP Semi-Final game was Michigan and they fell just short against TCU. The reason I emphasize this is because the Buckeyes and Wolverines were the only two teams to beat Penn State this season. Keep in mind those two schools had a chance to advance to the National Championship and each fell only just short against the best quality in all of CFB. The Pac-12, on the other hand, had more teams ranked but their quality was not as high as the teams like Michigan and Ohio State. Utah lost to Florida this season and the Gators did not even end up with a winning record. The Utes also lost to UCLA and Oregon. Note that UCLA just got upset by Pittsburgh in the bowls and Oregon barely snuck by a North Carolina team that has a bad defense. The Utes are a high quality program for sure but the point is that the two losses PSU had to Michigan and Ohio State should serve them well here and those were two of the top four programs in the nation this season. Utah has been hit harder by opt-outs than the Lions heading into this one and also the edge in special teams play goes to the Nittany Lions. 10* PENN STATE +1.5 |
|||||||
01-02-23 | Purdue v. LSU OVER 54 | Top | 7-63 | Win | 100 | 6 h 59 m | Show |
CFB Monday 10* Top Play OVER 54 in LSU Tigers vs Purdue Boilermakers @ 1 ET - The number on this total has dropped out due to key opt-outs for Purdue. However, LSU is still a two TD favorite and supposed to win this game in blowout fashion. This is still a Boilermakers team that will have plenty of weapons at hand. This is still a Tigers defense that proved susceptible at times. This is still a pair of offenses that average over 400 yards of offense per game. The interim head coach for the Boilermakers is the QB coach and don't be surprised if back-up QB Burton has a big game as the Boilers look to make up for the absence of QB O'Connell. The point is that the fact the interim HC is the QB coach means you know he has already been working closely with Burton and all the extra prep time for this game he'll be good to go. As noted above, the Tigers defense had some bad moments this season. The point is that I am looking for a lot of fireworks on offense in this one. In typical contrarian fashion, I am fading the line move on the total here. 5 of last 7 Tigers games totaled more than 60 points. This one should too! 10* OVER 54 in LSU |
|||||||
01-02-23 | Liverpool v. Brentford OVER 3 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 42 m | Show |
EPL Monday 10* Top Play OVER 3 in Brentford vs Liverpool @ 12:30 ET - Reds matches this season have averaged 3.3 goals apiece. Bees matches this season have averaged 3.2 goals apiece. Liverpool scored 3 goals in each of the two meetings last season and Brentford equaled them in a 3-3 draw in the lone meeting here. In other words, expecting plenty of scoring in this one. Current trending also supports that theory. Brentford has scored at least 2 goals in 4 straight matches across all competitions but, of course, Liverpool is a 1 goal favorite here for a reason. The Reds last 6 matches across all competitions have all totaled at least 3 goals and these matches have averaged 4 goals apiece! 10* OVER 3 goals in Brentford |
|||||||
01-01-23 | Steelers v. Ravens OVER 35 | Top | 16-13 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 30 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 35 in Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers @ 8:20 ET - Both these teams, and particularly Baltimore, have been trending under. However, there is more than meets the eye here and sometimes you'll just end up with situations like this where it is a "value in the number" type of situation. That is what we have here! This total would normally be in the low 40s but is currently in the mid-30s because of the situation with each team right now. Jackson is out at QB for the Ravens and Pittsburgh is known for struggling quite often on offense but still has a respectable defense. That said though, look at the number on this total compared to some key numbers for each team this season and you'll see why this total is too low. Steelers playing their 9th road game of the season and 7 of the first 8 totaled at least 35 points! Ravens home games have trended under recently but their first 4 home games this season totaled an average of 50.5 ppg! Overall, Baltimore's last 4 games have totaled 30 or less points but this followed a stretch in which 9 of 10 prior games had totaled at least 35 points. This total is just too low and unseasonably mild and pleasant weather with light winds expected in Baltimore for this one as well. 10* OVER 35 in Baltimore |
|||||||
01-01-23 | Wizards +7 v. Bucks | Top | 118-95 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
NBA Sunday 10* Top Play Washington Wizards +6.5 @ Milwaukee Bucks @ 8:10 ET - The Wizards are hot with 4 straight wins and could even get Beal back for this game. While he is listed as questionable for Washington, the Bucks have a pair of key guys out with both Middleton and Holiday out for this game. That sets this one up well for a potential upset so I certainly like having the half-dozen points on our side as well. The Wizards have won 4 in a row. The Bucks are off a win but, prior to that, Milwaukee had lost 4 straight games. Excellent underdog line value here. 10* WASHINGTON +6.5 |
|||||||
01-01-23 | Sabres v. Senators OVER 6.5 | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
NHL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Ottawa Senators vs Buffalo Sabres @ 7:05 ET - A loss with Ottawa's total actually ended the streak of 12 straight winners for me in NHL but I won't hesitate to come right back with the over involving the Senators here on the very next day. Ottawa had a 2-0 lead after one period yesterday but did not score the rest of the way and the Sens paid the price for that in the eventual 4-2 loss. So tonight you know Ottawa will be focused on carrying some scoring all the way through this one. The Senators game also was unique last night in that it was 4-2 within the first 3 minutes of the 3rd period but then there was no more scoring over the final 16 minutes of the final period. Tough beat for us but we should get it back tonight. Since it is a back to back for both these teams note that Sens likely to go with Forsberg in goal and Sabres likely to go with Anderson in goal. Neither guy has started in about 2 weeks and both the Christmas and New Years Eve holidays have been a part of this time frame. Each goalie could be rusty for sure. That said, also note that the Sabres have scored 4.5 goals per game last 13 games! Look for at least a 4-3 type game here. 10* OVER 6.5 in Ottawa |
|||||||
01-01-23 | Butler v. Georgetown OVER 144 | Top | 80-51 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 14 m | Show |
CBB Sunday 10* OVER 144 in Georgetown Hoyas vs Butler Bulldogs @ 6:30 ET - The two teams currently at the bottom of the Big East are matched up here. Though Butler is a respectable defensive team, I feel certain the Hoyas are going to score very well on their home floor here. The problem for Georgetown is they can stop no one! The Bulldogs enter this game on a 3-game losing streak and have allowed 73 ppg last 3 games. The Hoyas enter this game on a 4-game losing streak and have allowed 88 ppg last 4 games! Georgetown known for scoring very well at home but they just do not play good defense and the Bulldogs will take advantage and this flies over the total as a result. 10* OVER 144 in Georgetown |
|||||||
01-01-23 | Vikings v. Packers -3 | Top | 17-41 | Win | 100 | 9 h 13 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play Green Bay Packers -3 vs Minnesota Vikings @ 4:25 ET - First off some line analysis will tell you why, from a contrarian standpoint, I absolutely love this play. The Packers are a 3-point home favorite here and, as we know, the average home team allotment for home field edge is 3 points. So this line is telling us these teams are equal. Yet when you look at the records, the Vikings are 12-3 and the Packers are 7-8 which is hardly equal of course! That said, many will be lining up on Minnesota to take advantage of this "mistake" here. In typical contrarian fashion, I am on the Packers! The Vikings are a quality team for sure but they have been so fortunate in tight games this season too plus Green Bay has revenge here from losing at Minnesota earlier this season. Also, the Packers have covered 14 of 22 in divisional games and are on a solid 9-4 ATS run as a home favorite. The Vikings are on a 1-7 ATS run in divisional games in which they are a road dog. Look for the Pack to get their revenge and Minnesota's incredible string of luck finally runs out as they get hammered on the road here. 10* GREEN BAY -3 |
|||||||
01-01-23 | Chelsea -155 v. Nottingham Forest | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -155 | 7 h 23 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play Chelsea -155 @ Nottingham Forest @ 11:30 AM ET - This is a value spot. I know that Chelsea has not been great on the road and Nottingham Forest has been respectable at home. However, consider that overall on the season the newly promoted home side here has been outscored by an aggregate score of 33 to 11. Also, Chelsea has beaten them in each of last 4 meetings and by a combined score of 12 to 1 which works out to an average of 3-0 which would not surprise me here as a possible final in favor of the visitors. Chelsea is just too strong and they are well aware that they need to get things going on the road. Just like they hammered Bournemouth 2-0 in most recent game, though at home, they should hammer another weaker fore here in this one and I am going to take advantage of the lower price that is afforded here because of the visitors being on the road. 10* CHELSEA -155 |
|||||||
01-01-23 | Aston Villa v. Tottenham Hotspur OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -135 | 5 h 26 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Tottenham vs Aston Villa @ 9 AM ET - Tottenham has been rock solid on their home pitch and averaged 2.6 goals scored per match. However, the Hotspur also enter this match having allowed at least 2 goals in 6 straight matches in league action! That said, Aston Villa should find the back of the net at least once here but Tottenham, of course, is favored for a reason. By the way, the Hotspur have had zero draws in their 8 home matches this season and Aston Villa has had only 3 draws in their 16 matches this season. Also, the visitors in this match have allowed an average of 2 goals per match as travelers this season. This one seems to have 2-1 written all "over" it and I am grabbing the value here with this total posted at 2.5 goals. 10* OVER 2.5 in Tottenham |
|||||||
12-31-22 | Heat +4.5 v. Jazz | Top | 126-123 | Win | 100 | 8 h 33 m | Show |
NBA Saturday 10* Top Play Miami Heat +4.5 @ Utah Jazz @ 9:10 ET - Both teams in a back to back but like the fact the Heat, a strong defensive team, are off a loss in which the Nuggets shot lights out. Note that Miami is 5-0 SU the last 5 times they were off a loss in which they scored 107 or more points. The Jazz were 12-6 earlier this season and were a big surprise. However, reality is setting in now and they have lost 13 of 20 and I am happy to fade them here plus to be getting more points, 4.5, than the opener of 3.5 in this one. Utah has lost 3 straight and I see no reason for that to change here. 10* MIAMI +4.5 |
|||||||
12-31-22 | Ohio State v. Georgia -5.5 | Top | 41-42 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 60 m | Show |
CFB Saturday 10* Top Play Georgia Bulldogs -5.5 vs Ohio State Buckeyes @ 8 ET - The Buckeyes have had a great season but they were losing to Penn State with 9 minutes to go, then got outgained by Northwestern even though they won the game by 14 points, and were only ahead of Maryland by 3 points until a late explosion in the final MINUTE of the game. They then got hammered by Michigan in their final regular season game. So the point is that 4 of the last 5 games involving Ohio State were not so impressive. The Buckeyes were not the same dominating force we saw in the first 7 games of the season. Now they face the defending champions and the Bulldogs are going to pull away as this game goes on. Georgia allowing only 12.8 ppg this season and their strong ground game on offense as well as their fantastic rush defense on the other side of the ball will prove to be the difference in the trenches as this game goes along. The Bulldogs won and covered both games in last year's post-season and both wins were by double digits. The Buckeyes are just 3-3 SU/ATS last 6 games in the CFB playoff match-ups. Ohio State is a high-quality team ot say the least but I just do not see the Dawgs being denied here and like them to win this game by at least a touchdown. 10* GEORGIA -5.5 |
|||||||
12-31-22 | Senators v. Red Wings OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 59 m | Show |
NHL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Detroit Red Wings vs Ottawa Senators @ 7:05 ET - The Red Wings continue to give up a lot of goals no matter who has been between the pipes. However, Detroit has been scoring goals well also. That is why each of the Red Wings last 5 games have totaled at least 7 goals and these games have averaged 9 goals apiece! As for Ottawa, the last time they met the Red Wings the game totaled 9 goals! Also, the Senators enter this game having allowed 4 goals per game last 3 losses but they have been scoring quite well too with a 10-6 run seeing them produce an average of 3 goals scored per game. This is the type of game that should see each team reach the 3 goal threshold given all the variables and that means the game could finish with nothing less than a 4-3 final. The Red Wings continue to have goalie issues and that includes Husso allowing at least 4 goals in 4 straight starts. He could be back from illness here but you can see why I would expect him to struggle. Also, the Sens have allowed 3 goals per game last 6 games and I look for the Red Wings streak to reach 6 straight games totaling 7 or more. 10* OVER 6.5 in Detroit |
|||||||
12-31-22 | West Virginia v. Kansas State | Top | 76-82 | Win | 100 | 5 h 4 m | Show |
CBB Saturday 10* Top Play Kansas State Wildcats Pick'em vs West Virginia Mountaineers @ 7 ET - The home team opened up as the favorite here but the ranked road team getting plenty of attention as I expected. That said, this game was priced this way for a reason and I love the Wildcats at home here. The home team won both games in regular season last year and then the kicker is what happened in the Big 12 tourney as that is where the Mountaineers eliminated the Cats. So I love the revenge factor here plus the line and market reaction. The home team gets it done big time in this one and gets their payback. 10* KANSAS STATE WILDCATS Pick'em |
|||||||
12-31-22 | Arsenal v. Brighton & Hove Albion OVER 2.5 | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 48 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Brighton & Hove vs Arsenal @ 12:30 ET - We get some line value here on this total because Brighton is missing a few guys and that is holding the number down to a 2.5 and the over at about even money at that number. This is excellent line value because Brighton is still going to put up a helluva fight at home and yet Arsenal is favored here for a reason. In other words, every reason to believe we'll see at least a 2-1 final here. These clubs have totaled only 4 draws in 30 matches this season so the likelihood of a draw is very slim here. Also, Arsenal has allowed about 1 goal per match this season and Brighton is scoring about 2 goals per match on the season. The point is that Brighton should get at least 1 here but you know the top team in the league this season is also likely to get on the scoresheet as well. With a 1-1 draw highly unlikely this is simply one of those matches that seems destined for at least a 2-1 final rather than any share of the spoils. Arsenal has settled for only 1 draw in its 15 matches this season and the hosts have only 3 draws in their 15 matches. Arsenal scoring 2.4 goals per match on the season. Each of Brighton's last 5 matches in league action have totaled at least 3 goals and these 5 matches have averaged 4 goals apiece! Also, Arsenal wants revenge for losing their last meeting 2-1 and Arsenal's last 10 matches have seen 8 total 3 or more goals. 10* OVER 2.5 in Brighton & Hove |
|||||||
12-31-22 | Leeds United v. Newcastle United OVER 3 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 35 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 3 in Newcastle United vs Leeds United @ 10 AM ET - Newcastle having a huge season and known for scoring well at home historically and this season as well. They are averaging 2 goals per game as a host this season. Leeds road matches are averaging 4 goals per match this season. This one should get to at least 4 as well. Leeds has a leaky defense but is scoring an average of 1.5 goals per game this season so look for plenty of scoring here. 10* OVER 3 in Newcastle |
|||||||
12-30-22 | Oilers v. Seattle Kraken OVER 6.5 | Top | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
NHL Friday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Edmonton Oilers @ Seattle Kraken @ 10:05 ET - The Oilers off tight, hard-fought 2-1 win over rival Calgary. That sets this one up perfectly for an over and Edmonton had been trending over prior to that game. Not only that, they have been a solid over team all season long as the Oilers 35 games this season had featured 25 that totaled 7 or more goals. Now after a rare low-scoring grinder, but against their biggest rival, things will return to "normal" against Seattle and I am looking for 7 or more goals here. The Kraken, ironically, also are off a game against Calgary that was an under as they lost 3-2 to the Flames. Prior to that, Seattle was 8-6 last 14 games and those games averaged 8 goals apiece. Don't be surprised if this one gets in the 8 range as well and certainly all signs point to at least 7 in this one. 10* OVER 6.5 in Edmonton |
|||||||
12-30-22 | USC v. Washington +2 | Top | 80-67 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
CBB Friday 10* Top Play Washington Huskies +2 vs USC Trojans @ 10 ET - This is a fantastic spot for the Huskies. They just got rocked in a loss to Auburn by more than 20 points and will be ready to respond here. They have not lost B2B games this season! They also have struggled against USC in recent years including getting knocked out of the Pac-12 Tourney by the Trojans last season. So that makes this a revenge spot as payback is on order here for the Huskies and neither meeting with Southern Cal last season was in Washington but this one is at American Airlines Arena in Seattle! USC has been red hot but why do you think a team on a 6-game winning streak that has owned the other team resulted in an opening line in the pick'em range for this one? Exactly! Don't be fooled by the opening number. Grab the value now too as Huskies are a small dog in this one and I see them getting revenge! 10* WASHINGTON +2 |
|||||||
12-30-22 | Clemson v. Tennessee OVER 61 | Top | 14-31 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 35 m | Show |
CFB Friday 10* Top Play OVER 61 in Tennessee Volunteers vs Clemson Tigers @ 8 ET - Because the starting QB's are out for each team this total is lower than it would otherwise be. The key here is that each of these teams has back-up quarterbacks that are very capable of carrying solid offensive units that have surrounded them with great weapons. So the point is we are still likely to see plenty of points here and we can take advantage of a total that is lower than it should be. The Volunteers average over 500 yards of offense per game and the Tigers defense can certainly be tough but this is a Tennessee team that averaged 47 ppg this season! As for Clemson, they have a very talented offense that will be attacking a Volunteers that struggled badly against the pass this season. Tigers will thrown all over the Vols and Tennessee will want (and is fully capable) to do the same in return. In true road games, Clemson D had one strong one at Boston College but allowed 36 ppg in the other 3 games. This is a neutral site game of course but you get the point. Tigers D not as impressive when not on their own turf and I like this Volunteers offense but, again, their defense gets shredded here. 10* OVER 61 in Tennessee |
|||||||
12-30-22 | South Carolina +4 v. Notre Dame | Top | 38-45 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 28 m | Show |
CFB Friday 10* Top Play South Carolina Gamecocks +4 vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish @ 3:30 ET - I really like the way Spencer Rattler played late in the season and, overall, the way the Gamecocks played in earning a couple of upset wins late in the year as well. This South Carolina team has a ton of momentum plus they have their starting quarterback here. Conversely, the Fighting Irish closed the season with a disappointing loss plus they lost QB Drew Pyne so they will be using little-used Buchner in this match-up as he has been out much of the season. The Gamecocks enter this one on a 7-2 SU / ATS run. The Fighting Irish enter this game on a 5-2 SU run but 1 of those wins by just 3 points so only 4 of last 7 games were wins by more than the margin on this game and, again, this is a tough spot facing an SEC team that has the QB edge in a big way. I like the momentum of Rattler and the Gamecocks and the fact we are getting more than a field goal here. 10* SOUTH CAROLINA +4 |
|||||||
12-30-22 | Leicester v. Liverpool -1.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -125 | 8 h 2 m | Show |
EPL Friday 10* Top Play Liverpool Goal Line -1.5 -125 vs Leicester @ 3 ET - Home blowout likely here. Liverpool allowing just 1 goal per match on average at home and known for scoring well when on their home pitch. The Reds will prove to be too much for a Leicester club still licking their wounds from getting drilled 3-0 by Newcastle in their most recent match. Leicester is allowing 2 goals per match when on the road this season and now face a match in one of the tougher venues to visit so I am looking for a 3-0 or 3-1 type affair here which will get us the cash on the goal line with the hosts in this one. 10* LIVERPOOL -1.5 -125 |
|||||||
12-29-22 | Flyers v. Sharks OVER 6 | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 16 h 46 m | Show |
NHL Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 6 in San Jose Sharks vs Philadelphia Flyers @ 10:35 ET - With goalie Carter Hart in concussion protocol, the Flyers are really in trouble here. Sandstrom is the normal back-up but has been dealing with an illness plus he his struggling this season anyway. That brings us to Ersson and he was very shaky in his NHL debut recently versus the Hurricanes. That said, look for plenty of goals here because the Sharks should enjoy plenty of success. The issue for San Jose is that they are also likely to surrender plenty of goals. The Sharks have allowed an average of 4 goals per game in going 3-8 last 11 games. San Jose has scored an average of 3.5 goals per game last 8 games. The Flyers last 4 games have averaged 9 goals apiece as they have scored well but can't stop anyone. The Sharks have had 8 of last 10 games total at least 7 goals and those games averaged 8 goals. More of the same here. 10* OVER 6 in San Jose |
|||||||
12-29-22 | Washington v. Texas OVER 67.5 | Top | 27-20 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 12 m | Show |
Bowl Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 67.5 in Texas Longhorns vs Washington Huskies @ 9 ET - The Longhorns will be without their two top running backs here. QB Quinn Ewers is due for a bounce back game after some last season struggles and I expect a heavy dose of the passing attack as the Horns running back choices will be their #3 and #4 guys. I still look for UT to be able to move the ball well on the ground here but look for the key to be Ewers taking advantage of a weak Huskies pass defense. As for the Washington offense, they should enjoy plenty of success as well. QB Michael Penix leads a Huskies offense that ranks among the best in the nation. Even though Texas has a solid defense, they are without a top linebacker here plus the Huskies offense is just too good and the Longhorns have struggled to stop high-quality offenses at times this season. Note that UT, before a big revenging win late in the season at Kansas, did allow 35 points per game in their 3 prior road games at Texas Tech, Oklahoma State, and Kansas State. The Huskies also allowed an average of 35 points per game in their 5 road games this season. So, the point is, there is plenty of reason to expect both teams to move the ball very well throughout this game in the controlled environment of the Alamodome in San Antonio in this Alamo Bowl battle Thursday. 10* OVER 67.5 in Texas |
|||||||
12-29-22 | Cowboys v. Titans +13 | Top | 27-13 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 45 m | Show |
NFL Thursday 10* Top Play Tennessee Titans +12.5 vs Dallas Cowboys @ 8:15 ET - The Cowboys rallied for the win last week versus Eagles but the key in the game was 4 Philly turnovers and they were a bit banged up including missing starting QB Hurts yet Philadelphia still should have won the game. As for the Titans, they are also without their starting QB but I expect the back-up Willis to be better here after playing all of last week's game. That playing time and experience will serve him well here. Tennessee did have about the same yardage as Houston in the loss last week but they were done in by turnovers. So the set up here, in terms of value, is very nice as the Titans off a turnover-fueled loss and the Cowboys off a turnover-fueled win. Also, that was such a big win for Dallas last week over a division rival that is having an NFL-best season this year. That said, this is a flat spot for Dallas and the Cowboys have certainly been known for playing down to the level of competition. Prior to the fortunate win and cover over Philly, the Cowboys were mired in a 2-4 ATS stretch and 3 of the 4 ATS losses were to teams with a losing record. The current combined record of those teams is 16-28-1. Now Dallas takes on a 7-8 Tennessee team that has lost 5 straight so I can see the Cowboys again underestimating a team and playing flat here. Note that Titans are on a 5-1 ATS run as a home dog and 5 of their 8 losses by 5 or less points this season. 10* TENNESSEE +12.5 |
|||||||
12-29-22 | Providence +2 v. Butler | Top | 72-52 | Win | 100 | 12 h 14 m | Show |
CBB Thursday 10* Top Play Providence Friars +2.5 @ Butler Bulldogs @ 6:30 ET - This line jumped off the page at me because Butler is known for being strong at home yet this line is down near a pick'em. So, how to interpret this? Do not let the line fool you! Yes the Bulldogs have a great history at home but they are not as strong this season and, so far this season, the Friars are the better rebounding team and higher-scoring team. Providence enters having won 5 straight and Butler enters having lost two straight including one at home. Granted, the one home loss was to a red hot Connecticut team but note the Bulldogs lost that one by 22 and this followed up by again losing by 22 at Creighton. So things are not going well for Butler right now and confidence is running high for Providence. Remember the Friars were 3-0 against the Bulldogs last season and also were a Sweet 16 team in the tourney. Butler was just 14-19 last season including 6-14 in Big East action and the Bulldogs are already 0-2 in Big East action this season as well. 10* PROVIDENCE +2.5 |
|||||||
12-29-22 | Minnesota -10.5 v. Syracuse | Top | 28-20 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
Bowl Thursday 10* Minnesota Golden Gophers -10.5 vs Syracuse in Pinstripe Bowl in Bronx, NY @ 2 ET - The Orange rallied late for a win over BC in their season finale but this followed 5 straight losses. Boston College had a bad season too so this is not much to be proud of. The fact is Syracuse faded badly in the 2nd half of the season and they will be no match here for this tough Minnesota team. The Golden Gophers are too strong with their running game and will push the Orange defense all over the field throughout this game. Syracuse does not have the weapons on offense to keep up here. Note that Minnesota allowed 16 points or less in all 5 of its final games and won 4 of those 5 games. Conversely, the Orange defense allowed 34 points per game in its 5 game losing streak plus did allow 23 to a bad Eagles team in its season finale. This one gets ugly. Lay it! 10* MINNESOTA -10.5 |
|||||||
12-28-22 | Ole Miss v. Texas Tech OVER 71.5 | Top | 25-42 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 49 m | Show |
Bowl Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 71.5 in Texas Tech vs Ole Miss @ 9 ET - This one features two strong offenses and some rather weak defenses. The Red Raiders defense struggled more and more as the season went on and also will be without a top defensive lineman in this game. That won't help matters and they are facing an ultra-dangerous Ole Miss offense that averages nearly 500 yards per game. Texas Tech also has an ever-dangerous offensive attack and they like to play fast. Ole Miss allowed 33 ppg last 7 games. Red Raiders allowed at least 34 points in 6 of last 9 games. Couple those facts with the fact these are two very solid offenses and you have the makings of a shootout here. This SEC offense will not be denied going against a Pac-12 defense. The fact this game is in Texas also helps the home state Red Raiders and I look for a big game from them here. 10* OVER 71.5 in Texas Tech |
|||||||
12-28-22 | Illinois State v. Illinois-Chicago -118 | Top | 51-55 | Win | 100 | 8 h 8 m | Show |
CBB Wednesday 10* Top Play Illinois-Chicago Flames -118 vs Illinois State Redbirds @ 8 ET - UIC just recently joined the MVC. Conversely, Northern Iowa and Illinois State have been clashing for many years. Why does that matter here? Because on Friday the Redbirds are hosting the Panthers and that is who eliminated the Redbirds from the MVC Tourney in the quarterfinals last season. In other words, this is a lookahead situation for Northern Iowa and they are on the road. As for UIC, they are at home and coming off an ugly loss at Northwestern in most recent game. For sure the Flames can not wait to get back on the floor and they are happy to be on their home floor. Prior to the loss to the Wildcats, Illinois-Chicago had won 3 straight and 6 of last 8. This line has dropped from its opener as, on paper, Illinois State looks like the better team. However, this is proof of why the situational factors are so important. 10* ILLINOIS-CHICAGO -118 |
|||||||
12-28-22 | Suns -2 v. Wizards | Top | 102-127 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
Wednesday NBA 10* Phoenix Suns -2 @ Washington Wizards @ 7 ET - Because the Suns have some injury issues we are getting some line value here on the road against a rather weak team. I know the Wizards have won 2 straight but they have only had one winning streak this season that lasted more than 2 games. Also, both teams in a B2B but that Washington win over a red hot Philly team likely meant more emotionally. As for the Suns, no one had to play more than 27 minutes in last night's win at Memphis so that shows the depth of this Phoenix team and that will pay dividends again tonight. 10* PHOENIX -2 |
|||||||
12-28-22 | Manchester City v. Leeds United OVER 3.5 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 110 | 6 h 50 m | Show |
EPL Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 3.5 in Manchester City @ Leeds United @ 3 ET - The last two times these teams met - both last season - Manchester City won 4-0 and 7-0. With Haaland now back and healthy again, this dangerous city offense should be firing on all cylinders again. Keep in mind the average score of their league games this season is 3-1 in favor of city while the average for Leeds United works out to about a 2-2 final. Indeed, I am expecting at least 4 goals in this one. Leeds does have a leaky defense and Haaland was born here as his father played for Leeds. The point is that this is an extra special match for him and he will be pushing hard to put on a show in this one. I would not be surprised to see Man City get this total all by themselves with a 4-0 type win but 3-1 or 3-2 or 4-1 also seem like logical endings here as we have seen a lot of high-scoring matches in the EPL return from the break for the World Cup. Also, across all competitions, Manchester City has scored 2 or more goals in 5 of last 6 matches. Keep in mind, they are now facing one of the weaker defenses in the league plus Leeds has some injury and other personnel issues complicating their situation. Manchester City should win huge here but the hosts should make the net ripple at least once as well. Note that 3 of last 4 EPL matches for Leeds have totaled at least 5 goals! 10* OVER 3.5 in Manchester City |
|||||||
12-27-22 | Sharks v. Canucks OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 5 m | Show |
NHL Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 goals in Vancouver Canucks vs San Jose Sharks @ 10:07 ET - The Sharks and Canucks have already played a pair of high-scoring games this season. Overall, San Jose games continue to trend toward being higher scoring. The Sharks 7 of last 9 games have totaled at least 7 goals. The Canucks have allowed an average of 4 goals per game last 11 games. Vancouver, not including OT or SO of course, have averaged scoring 5 goals in last 5 wins. Canucks are favored here for a reason and truly plenty of reason to expect a lot of goals from both sides in this one. 10* OVER 6.5 in Vancouver |
|||||||
12-27-22 | 76ers -4 v. Wizards | Top | 111-116 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 40 m | Show |
NBA Tuesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -4 or -4.5 @ Washington Wizards @ 7:10 ET - Philly has won 8 straight games and is one of the hottest teams in the NBA right now. Washington is off a win but had lost 14 of 16 games coming into that one. Just simply do not see them winning another game here against one of the hottest teams around and the 76ers last 8 wins featured only one by less than a 5 point margin. 6 of Wizards last 7 games have been losses by at least a 7 point margin. Lay the points with red hot Philly here. 10* PHILADELPHIA -4 or -4.5 |
|||||||
12-27-22 | Utah State v. Memphis OVER 58.5 | Top | 10-38 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 54 m | Show |
CFB Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 58.5 in Memphis Tigers vs Utah State Aggies @ 3:15 ET - I like the fact this total has dropped a lot and Aggies allowing 30.6 ppg this season and Tigers also allowed big points in all but 1 of their games away from home this season. Memphis 8 of last 10 games totaled at least 59 points. Utah State each of last 3 games totaled at least 65 points. Both teams should enjoy success here against rather weak defenses they are facing in this one. The Aggies big problem on offense this season was pass protection but the Tigers struggled in terms of pass rush this season. So this match-up favors the Utah State offense but also the Memphis offense is very strong and will enjoy success against the Aggies struggling defense here. Take advantage of the line value that has followed the downward line move. 10* OVER 58.5 in Memphis |
|||||||
12-27-22 | Nottingham Forest v. Manchester United OVER 3 | Top | 0-3 | Push | 0 | 7 h 53 m | Show |
EPL Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 3 goals in Manchester United vs Nottingham Forest @ 3 ET - Manchester United dealing with some absences on defense so Nottingham Forest can take advantage here. However, the visitors have had major struggles this season at times in terms of keeping the ball out of their own net. That means a rather high-scoring match is likely in this one. 10* OVER 3 in Manchester United |
|||||||
12-26-22 | Chargers v. Colts +4 | Top | 20-3 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 54 m | Show |
NFL Monday 10* Top Play Indianapolis Colts +4 vs Los Angeles Chargers @ 8:15 ET - The Colts are turning to Nick Foles at QB. He is a veteran QB with a Super Bowl ring and Indy head coach Jeff Saturday is turning to him because he wants to do the best he can to give this Colts team the best chance to win the final 3 games of the season. That is the message he has conveyed to his team and the defense does not need any extra motivation either after the Colts blew a 33-0 lead last week in an embarrassing loss. This is the type of game where professional pride kicks in on the defensive side of the ball. As for the offense they get a "kick in the pants" with the move to Foles at QB. So there will be some extra sparks on both sides of the ball here and I like having the home dog at +4 in this one. In the Chargers last 10 games they have only ONE WIN by more than 3 points! I am going to challenge this bad LA defense to get the job done here and think it will be hard for the Chargers to pull away in this one. Possible upset and, if not, yet another tight LA win by 3 or less points. 10* INDIANAPOLIS +4 |
|||||||
12-26-22 | Liverpool v. Aston Villa OVER 2.75 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 5 h 49 m | Show |
EPL Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.75 or 3 in Aston Villa vs Liverpool @ 12:30 ET - Aston Villa scores an average of 1.6 goals per match when at home. Liverpool scores an average of 2 goals per match on the season. This one should get to at least 3 goals. I look for at least club to score at least once and then Aston Villa has only one draw in 7 home matches this season so we have strong odds that this one at least gets to 2-1. However, even 4 or 5 goals is not out of the question here. Each of Liverpool's last 4 matches across all competitions have totaled at least 4 goals. Specific to league action, each of Liverpool's last 3 matches have totaled at least 3 goals. Also, the hosts have goalkeeper concerns here. Each of Aston Villa's last 5 matches within league action have totaled at least 3 goals and those 5 averaged 3.6 goals apiece. Look for at least 4 in this one as Liverpool pushes hard for a strong, attacking performance on the road but the hosts will surely not go down without a fight on their home pitch. 10* OVER 2.75 or 3 in Liverpool |
|||||||
12-26-22 | Brighton & Hove Albion v. Southampton OVER 2.5 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 3 h 36 m | Show |
EPL Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Southampton vs Brighton & Hove @ 10 ET - Brighton & Hove off a scoreless draw in English Carabao Cup action which they lost on penalty kicks Wednesday. However, prior to that, their last 6 matches across all competitions had totaled at least 3 goals. They are a different club since the managerial change when Graham Potter departed. As for Southampton, they are just now going through a managerial change and all these changes are going to lead to solid goal-scoring chances here. Southampton off a 2-1 win in English Carabao Cup action Tuesday. Also, each of their last two league matches have totaled at least 4 goals. More of the same here. 10* OVER 2.5 in Southampton |
|||||||
12-25-22 | Bucs v. Cardinals +7.5 | Top | 19-16 | Win | 100 | 12 h 40 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play Arizona Cardinals +7.5 vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ 8:20 ET - Getting 7.5 points here is just too much. Yes, the Cardinals will have McSorley at QB but he played his college football at Penn State and will not be fazed by any type of 'big game atmosphere' or because of facing the Bucs in this rare start for him with his teammates Murray and McCoy both out. Yes the Cardinals have had a disappointing campaign but this is their home finale and a chance to diminish the fading, but still active, playoff hopes of the Buccaneers in this one. That said, look for a strong home finale effort from Arizona here. Note that the Cardinals, when a home dog and facing a team outside of their division, have covered 15 of last 22 games. As for Tampa Bay, they have just one ATS cover in their last dozen games! I am not saying the Cards will win this game, though that would not shock me, but the fact it that TB has ZERO wins by more than 6 points in their last dozen games. Look for McSorley and the Cardinals to surprise here. 10* ARIZONA +7.5 |
|||||||
12-25-22 | Grizzlies -6.5 v. Warriors | Top | 109-123 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
NBA Sunday 10* Top Play Memphis Grizzlies -6.5 @ Golden State Warriors @ 8:10 ET - Big time revenge factors here as the Grizzlies want payback for getting knocked out of the playoffs by Golden State in the spring. Right now the Warriors are "wounded warriors" and also have been struggling overall. That makes this a great spot to lay the points and 6.5 is a very fair line here. Memphis has won 8 of 10 games and all 8 of them by at least points. Golden State has lost 7 of 9 and 5 of the 7 losses by at least 8 points! Each of the Warriors last two losses by at least 30 points. Another blowout happening here. This will be a double digits loss for GSW as they are just missing too many guys here and the Grizzlies will avenge the post-season series loss. 10* MEMPHIS -6.5 |
|||||||
12-25-22 | Utah State -3.5 v. Washington State | Top | 82-73 | Win | 100 | 9 h 1 m | Show |
NCAAB Sunday 10* Top Play Utah State Aggies -3.5 vs Washington State Cougars @ 6:30 ET - The Aggies are off a loss but that was just their 2nd defeat of the season. Both losses by just a 3 point margin. Of their 10 wins this season, all were by a margin of at least 5 points expect for one of them. As for the Cougars, they certainly have an interesting pattern going. Washington State is off a loss and so far this season they have not had a single stand alone loss. Indeed, the Cougars have three 2-game losing streaks already. Look for this to make it four 2-game losing streaks and drop Washington State to 5-8 on the season. The Cougars are not the confident and hot-shooting team that Utah State is. The Aggies are averaging 85 points per game this season while Washington State is averaging only 68 ppg on the season and just 62 ppg in regulation time of their last 7 games. 10* UTAH STATE -3.5 |
|||||||
12-24-22 | Middle Tennessee State +7 v. San Diego State | Top | 25-23 | Win | 100 | 12 h 54 m | Show |
Bowl Saturday 10* Top Play Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders +7 vs San Diego State Aztecs @ 8 ET - Just going to challenge the Aztecs to score enough to cover the full TD here. I just don't see that happening. San Diego State has not run the ball as well as they have in recent seasons. They made a switch at QB during the season that helped the team some but also I have to question their motivation here. Last season the Aztecs had a strong year and finished with a dozen wins on the year including their bowl victory over UTSA. This season they are just 7-5 on the year and they face a Middle Tennessee team that could be the hungrier team with this rare trip to Hawaii for them. MTSU wants to make the most of this rare opportunity and, though they have the weaker defense in this match-up, they do have the stronger offense. 3 of the 7 Aztecs wins this season were by 4 or less points. If you look at this match-up "on paper" as they saying goes you may think that San Diego State should dominate and, indeed, the line movement has followed that assumption. I like to fade line moves when the situation is right and this is one of those. Look for the more motivated team - the underdog in this case - to stay inside a 1-score margin in this one and possibly even pull of the upset. 10* MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE +7 |
|||||||
12-24-22 | Eagles +4.5 v. Cowboys | Top | 34-40 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 38 m | Show |
NFL Saturday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Eagles +4.5 @ Dallas Cowboys @ 4:25 ET - The Eagles lost here by 20 last year. Also, when they met in Philly in a meaningless late season game last year, the Eagles lost by 25 and Minshew was also at QB for that one. Minshew starting here because Hurts is out with an injury. The Eagles did beat the Cowboys 26-17 earlier this season. So who gets revenge here? Minshew in another shot against the Cowboys (met them late last season) and the Eagles getting revenge at Dallas for laying an egg here earlier in last year's season? Or are the Cowboys getting revenge for the loss at Philly earlier this season? My money is on the Eagles. Minshew actually played quite well in his couple starts last season. Philadelphia will have the edge in the trenches here and they continue to pile up impressive sack totals on defense and their offense has continued to be able to produce impressive running totals too. Now, because of Hurts out and Minshew in, a team with only 1 loss on the season is getting 4.5 points and there is just too much line value to pass up on here. The Eagles need this game. It locks up up everything for them as a win gives them the NFC East title plus the #1 seed for the entire post-season. You know they will go hard here. The Eagles are going all out for this game. Right now the Cowboys are questioning a lot of things. They gave up over 500 yards at Jacksonville last week and the confidence of Dallas is not nearly on the level of that of the Eagles! Philly gets revenge for what happened in their last visit to Dallas. 10* PHILADELPHIA +4.5 |
|||||||
12-24-22 | Seahawks v. Chiefs OVER 49 | Top | 10-24 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 51 m | Show |
NFL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 49.5 in Kansas City Chiefs vs Seattle Seahawks @ 1 ET - It will be cold in Kansas City but no precipitation expected and the winds are not strong enough to be expected to be a factor either. That said, the offenses are the key in this match-up of two teams with potent offensive production but question marks on the other side of the ball. Chiefs have number 1 passing offense in the league but rank in the bottom third of the league for pass defense. Seattle has a solid passing offense but ranks as one of the worst defenses in the league overall on the other side of the ball. Seahawks off a loss at San Francisco (strong D) in which their offense struggled but they entered that game averaging 29.5 ppg last 10 games! Seattle can, and will, score well here in this one. The Chiefs just piled up big yardage at Houston in a game that never should have had to have OT to decided it. Huge yardage edge for KC as they piled up over 500 yards! That said, there is good value with this game to go over the total when you consider the potency of these two offenses. This one should get well into the 50s. The Chiefs are averaging 30 ppg last 11 games. 10* OVER 49.5 in Kansas City |
|||||||
12-23-22 | Canucks v. Oilers OVER 6.5 | Top | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 31 m | Show |
NHL Friday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Edmonton Oilers vs Vancouver Canucks @ 9:05 ET - The Canucks off a 6-5 OT win yesterday. That was the 3rd straight game in which they have allowed at least 5 goals. Vancouver has actually allowed at least 5 goals in 7 of last 10 games. The Oilers have seen 19 of their last 25 games total at least 7 goals! That means this game, based on pure statistics for Edmonton, has a 76% chance of going over the total of 6.5 goals posted on this one. You can see why I like the over here quite a lot and also the Oilers have allowed at least 3 goals in 5 straight games. Edmonton also scores plenty though too and so if you think both they and their opponent each reach the 3-goal mark here, you know there is no way the game does not end with anything less than 7 goals! It has to be at least a 4-3 final in that case. Keep in mind here that another key is the Canucks are in a B2B spot here and Vancouver had Martin between the pipes yesterday plus Demko is still out with injury. That means they are down to a #3 goalie here or using Martin again in 2nd game of B2B. Neither option is a good one and this shapes up to be yet another high-scoring Canucks game. 10* OVER 6.5 in Edmonton |
|||||||
12-23-22 | Clippers v. 76ers OVER 214.5 | Top | 114-119 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show |
NBA Friday 10* Top Play OVER 214.5 in Philadelphia 76ers vs Los Angeles Clippers @ 7:10 ET - The Sixers game was on pace for 227 points Wednesday heading to the 4th quarter but then an ugly 4th quarter resulted in an easy under as the Pistons in particular did not score well at all and Philly pulled away for the easy win. This one will not be so easy as the Clippers hang around in this game and it should fly over the total. The over/under has dropped from near 220 to the 215 range so there is extra value with the over. The Clippers have won 5 of 6 games and have averaged 111 points per game in the 5 victories. The 76ers are also hot and scoring well. Prior to scoring only 103 in the game against Detroit that finished so ugly, Philadelphia did have a low-scoring OT win versus the Raptors but the 4 games before that in this current 6-game winning streak saw the Sixers average 123 points per game. This one should well into the 220s given the above. 10* OVER 214.5 in Philadelphia |
|||||||
12-23-22 | Wake Forest v. Missouri +2.5 | Top | 27-17 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 48 m | Show |
Bowl Friday 10* Top Play Missouri Tigers +2.5 vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons @ 6:30 ET - The Tigers are facing a Demon Deacons team that had a lead in all 12 of their games this season yet lost 5 of the 12. They also wrapped up the season losing 4 of their last 5 games. The point is that no lead is safe with Wake Forest and the Tigers are the much better team on defense. The Demon Deacons have allowed at least 30 points in 5 straight games. Missouri allowed 27 points or less in ALL but TWO of their DOZEN games this season. The Tigers started the season only 2-4 but they have 3 close losses to solid SEC foes like Auburn, Georgia, and Florida. Now Missouri very focused on getting a bowl win after falling just short last year versus Army. The Tigers won their final two games this season to get to 6-6 and become bowl eligible. Now Missouri wants to get that 7th win to get to their first winning season in 4 years. Like the motivation factor here while Wake Forest had an 11-3 season last year and went 7-1 in the ACC and played in a New Year's Eve bowl. Will they be motivated enough here? That is a legitimate question for sure and I feel the hungrier team with the far superior defense gets the win here. 10* MISSOURI +2.5 |
|||||||
12-23-22 | Houston v. UL-Lafayette UNDER 57 | Top | 23-16 | Win | 100 | 7 h 57 m | Show |
Bowl Friday 10* Top Play UNDER 57 in UL Lafayette Ragin Cajuns vs Houston Cougars @ 3 ET - The Cougars are known for high-scoring games but the weather will be cold and breezy for this bowl in Shreveport and also ULL is quite solid defensively. Louisiana also has a tendency to not score a lot of points. Looking at this one, Louisiana will wan to temper the Houston offense and try to win the game with possession of the ball and running clock to make the game go by faster. The Cougars were an over team this season but this total will prove to be too high as the Ragin Cajuns play a solid game and keep this game close and tight throughout. The 7 point line is probably right but the total is where the value is in this one as ULL plays well in this one in their home state. So often they have been held to 24 points or less this season but also so often they have allowed 21 points or less. Look for this game to land in the 40s. 10* UNDER 57 in Louisiana |
|||||||
12-22-22 | Wild v. Sharks OVER 6 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 25 m | Show |
NHL Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 6 in San Jose Sharks vs Minnesota Wild @ 10:35 ET - The Wild are on a winning streak and getting great goaltending but this is a back to back spot for Minnesota and I expect goals in this one. Yes, Gustavsson has been playing well - just as Fleury has and did again last night - but the Sharks already beat Gustavsson and the Sharks earlier this season. Plus the Wild are scoring plenty of goals as they have scored 4 in each of last 4 games in current 6-game winning streak. In fact, the Wild have scored at least 4 goals in 9 of last 11 wins. They are favored here for a reason so look for a road team win and at least 4 goals but the key to the over is the Sharks here. At over 6, San Jose would be 18-6-1 to the over last 25 games. 14 of the Sharks last 16 home games have totaled at least 6 goals. This one should too and 7 or more is likely! 10* OVER 6 in San Jose |
|||||||
12-22-22 | George Washington v. Washington State OVER 136.5 | Top | 64-66 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 57 m | Show |
CBB Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 136.5 in Washington State Cougars vs George Washington Colonials @ 9 ET - This is part of the Hawaiian Airlines Diamond Head Classic being played in Honolulu, Hawaii. The Cougars are off a tough loss in a defensive-minded game against Baylor but this one should play out much differently with a more open style as they take on the Colonials. Note that George Washington has allowed 75 ppg last 3 games. The Colonials also have averaged scoring 75.4 ppg last 5 games so you can see why I am expecting this game to get into at least the 140s here. Washington State had scored an average of 74 points last 6 games before the low-scoring loss to the Bears. Also, the Cougars are known for scoring big against teams from weaker conferences. George Washington is certainly on powerhouse and the Cougars scored more than 80 against Texas State, Eastern Washington, and Detroit Mercy. Look for a breakout game here from WSU after losing B2B games. GW averaging 76.6 ppg this season but will not be able to stop the Cougars here. 10* OVER 136.5 in Washington State |
|||||||
12-22-22 | Jaguars v. Jets -2 | Top | 19-3 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 32 m | Show |
NFL Thursday 10* Top Play New York Jets -2 vs Jacksonville Jaguars @ 8:15 ET - Jets are off loss to Lions at home but are 5-0 / 100% ATS this season when off an ATS loss. Love the fact the weather will be ugly which lessens the Jaguars QB edge. Also, like the fact that Jacksonville off the huge upset win of the Cowboys in OT. Everything is aligned perfectly for New York to move to 6-0 ATS on the season when off an ATS loss. I know the Jets have lost 3 straight games SU overall but this is the perfect spot for them to bounce back and end that streak. They are favored here for a reason. 10* NEW YORK JETS -2 |
|||||||
12-22-22 | Air Force +3.5 v. Baylor | Top | 30-15 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show |
CFB Thursday 10* Top Play Air Force Falcons +3.5 vs Baylor Bears @ 7:30 ET - Brutal weather in Fort Worth, TX expected for this one. Temperatures in the teens with wind chills possibly in the teens below zero. I would be the first one to tell you that Air Force is a bit over-rated based on their strength of schedule but there are some key factors here supporting the underdog Falcons. First off the weather is going to help the run-based Falcons offense. Also, Air Force is more used to playing in bad weather games because they play in the mountain west conference. Also, how motivated will Baylor be for this game? Yes it is just up the road from Waco in Fort Worth but the Bears can't be too thrilled about playing in this game after winning the Big 12 title last season. Baylor only ended up 6-6 this season and they recently fired defensive coordinator. This is the Armed Forces Bowl and so you know that the Falcons will come to this game motivated and ready as service academy schools are certainly known for being fully prepared for the biggest of games. Discipline and structure on one side in this one and even if they are the weaker side the fact that motivation and weather go in their favor here plus the fact we are getting 3.5 points to work with as well means that the underdog is the play here. 10* AIR FORCE +3.5 |
|||||||
12-21-22 | South Alabama v. Western Kentucky +4 | Top | 23-44 | Win | 100 | 13 h 40 m | Show |
CFB Wednesday 10* Top Play Western Kentucky Hilltoppers +4 vs South Alabama Jaguars @ 9 ET - With QB Austin Reed deciding NOT to enter the transfer portal and the fact he WILL play in this game means the Hilltoppers offense is going to be operating at full efficiency for this one. Western Kentucky's passing offense will key this one. South Alabama has lost and failed to cover each of their last two bowl appearances. Now here the Jaguars are favored because of their 10-2 record but the 8-5 Hilltoppers are the play! Don't let the records fool you. The Jags just don't have a potent enough offense to keep up with the underdog in this one. 10* WESTERN KENTUCKY +4 |
|||||||
12-21-22 | Pistons v. 76ers OVER 223 | Top | 93-113 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 14 m | Show |
NBA Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 223 in Philadelphia 76ers vs Detroit Pistons @ 7:10 ET - The Pistons have an OT win and 6 losses last 7 games. The last 6 games for Detroit, not including OT points, have seen them allow an average of 123 points! They are an 11 point dog here. That would put this final at 123-112 if the oddsmakers are right and if Pistons keep allowing a lot of points as they have been. Considering this is a back to back and Detroit has tired legs on defense, we should see this game get into the mid 230s rather than just low 220s and that means value with this total to go over. The 76ers are off a tight low-scoring OT win but this was preceded by 4 straight wins in which, not including OT points, the Sixers did average 123 points per game. 10* OVER 223 in Philadelphia |
|||||||
12-21-22 | Lightning v. Red Wings OVER 6.5 | Top | 4-7 | Win | 103 | 9 h 37 m | Show |
NHL Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 in Detroit Red Wings vs Tampa Bay Lightning @ 7:05 ET - The Lightning are off a loss and should bounce back here but are in a B2B spot. I would expect the Bolts to start Elliott here in goal since Vasilevskiy started last night's game. No matter who starts I like the over. I expect the Red Wings to score well on home ice in a divisional battle. Detroit beat them in a 4-2 win two weeks ago and now take another shot at the Lightning here. But Tampa Bay is off a 4-1 loss at Toronto last night and had been red hot winning big and then the Bolts lost to Maple Leafs. The Lightning had won 13 of 16 games and scored an average of 4 goals per game prior to that loss to the Leafs. Tampa Bay should score well here as Detroit, other than 1-0 loss to Carolina, allowed 4 goals per game in the other 5 games in their current 6-game winning streak. Looking at last 8 home games, one was the 1-0 loss to Hurricanes but the other 7 games averaged 7 goals apiece and this one should get there as well. At least 7 goals as Red Wings respond on home ice as they catch TB in 2nd game of B2B but Lightning also respond off a low-scoring loss. 10* OVER 6.5 in Detroit |
|||||||
12-21-22 | St. John's +5.5 v. Villanova | Top | 63-78 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 59 m | Show |
CBB Wednesday 10* Top Play St John's Red Storm +5.5 @ Villanova Wildcats @ 6:30 ET - The Wildcats enter this game on a winning streak but they still are not the same team they use to be under coach Jay Wright. That is a big reason they are only 6-5 this season. As for St John's, they are now in 4th season under coach Mike Anderson and the improvement year over year continues. He is building this program the way he has wanted it and they are now 11-1 this season. With this line moving higher on Villanova, we get extra line value here. Blocks, steals, rebounds, field goal percentage on offense, etc. all these factors go in favor of the underdog here. Grab the Red Storm as they continue to develop strongly under Anderson. This is their chance after blowing a 17 point lead in the Big East tournament last season versus Nova and losing the game by a single point. 10* ST JOHN'S +5.5 |