Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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06-04-13 | New York Mets v. Washington Nationals UNDER 7.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 17 h 54 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Jordan Zimmerman in one of the most underrated pitchers in baseball. Zimmerman has a 1.50 ERA at home so far this year. He is coming off a rare poor start at Baltimore, and I expect him to bounce back with a great start against a bad Mets lineup. Jeremy Hefner isn't a terrific pitcher, but he generally keeps his team in the game. The Nationals offense is hurting right now without Bryce Harper and Jayson Werth. Don't expect the Nationals to put up as many runs without Harper in the middle of the lineup. Take the under.
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06-03-13 | Chicago White Sox v. Seattle Mariners -108 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 22 h 36 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Play of the Day* The Chicago White Sox haven't been very good this season, and they are in an awful slump right now. John Danks starts for the White Sox in this one, and he looked very shaky in his last outing. Joe Saunders is a completely different pitcher at home. He seems to know how to pitch in SafeCo Field's pitcher-friendly atmosphere. Seattle isn't a particularly good team, but they do have a winning record at home this year. The White Sox have struggled against lefties for the past couple seasons. White Sox stars Paul Konerko will probably miss this game due to an injury. The White Sox are 0-7 in their last 7 road games. The White Sox are 0-5 in their last 5 as an underdog. Take Seattle.
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06-03-13 | OAK ATHLETICS v. Milwaukee Brewers OVER 9 | 10-2 | Win | 100 | 20 h 36 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Oakland Athletics have been an over machine on the road this year. The over is 19-11 in their 30 road games this season. The Milwaukee Brewers pitching staff isn't very good, but they have a pretty strong lineup. Milwaukee is particularly strong against lefties. The Brewers hit .272 as a team against lefties. Tom Milone has a 5.55 ERA away from home this year, and he is a guy that the Brewers should be able to get to. Marco Estrada has an ERA above 7 at home this year. Estrada isn't a shut down type of pitcher at this point in his career. The over is 10-1 in the A's last 11 road games against a team with a losing record. The over is 9-1-2 in the Brewers last 12 Interleague home games. The over is 4-0 in the Brewers last 4 against a lefty. Take the over.
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06-03-13 | Cleveland Indians +115 v. New York Yankees | 4-7 | Loss | -100 | 19 h 50 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Moneyline Value* The New York Yankees had a late night last night as they lost 3-0 to the Red Sox in a rain-delayed game. Cleveland continues to get less respect than they deserve from the oddsmakers. Justin Masterson has been very good so far this year, and he has a 2.47 ERA in his career against the Yankees. Andy Pettitte will make his first start in several weeks, and I'm not sure he's 100% yet. Cleveland ranks first in the majors in team batting average against lefties. The Yankees' lineup has really been slumping as of late. I like the underdog here. Take Cleveland.
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06-02-13 | Los Angeles Dodgers v. Colorado Rockies UNDER 9.5 | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 15 h 46 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Play of the Day* Jorge DeLarosa has been one of the biggest surprises in baseball so far this year. He is 4-0 with a 2.42 ERA at Coors Field so far in 2013. The Dodgers have hit him well in the past, but this Dodgers' lineup is extremely short handed right now. The Dodgers will be without Matt Kemp, Hanley Ramirez, and A.J. Ellis. Ryu has been excellent for the Dodgers so far this season. He has an ERA under 3, and his past couple games have been his best of the year. This total is too high with two quality pitchers on the hill and so many injuries in the Dodgers' lineup. The under is 8-2 in the Rockies last 10 games as a favorite. The under is 5-2-1 in the Dodgers last 8 games verses a lefty. The under is 5-1 in the Rockies last 6 games following a win. Take the under.
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06-02-13 | Kansas City Royals v. Texas Rangers -1.5 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 31 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Bookie CRUSHER* Ervin Santana has pitched well so far this year, but past history tells us he is unlikely to pitch well in Texas. Santana has a career ERA above 7 when pitching in Arlington. On the other side, Yu Darvish is one of baseball's best pitchers. Darvish is a strike out pitcher, and the Royals have lots of guys who are prone to striking out often. The Royals won in ten innings yesterday against Texas, which makes this play much stronger for me. Texas has been amazing coming off of a loss in the last 2 seasons. The Royals are 0-5 in their last 5 following a win. They are also 0-5 in Santana last 5 starts. The Rangers are 16-4 in Darvish's last 20 starts as a home favorite. Take Texas -1.5.
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06-02-13 | Detroit Tigers v. Baltimore Orioles OVER 10 | 2-4 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 36 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* Betting an over 10 certainly isn't something I like to do on a normal basis, but this number is justified in this particular case. Gausman is a top pitching prospect for the Orioles, but it seems that they've rushed him to the majors. He has given up 11 earned runs in this first 2 starts. Detroit has scored more runs than anyone in baseball so far this year, and this Tigers' lineup is extremely dangerous. Rick Porcello is one of the most inconsistent pitchers in baseball, and his ERA is almost 7 on the road. Baltimore has the second highest scoring team in baseball. The over is 4-0 in Detroit's last 4 road games against a righty. The over is 2-0 in Gausman's first two starts for the Orioles. The over is 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings in Baltimore. Take the over.
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06-01-13 | Detroit Tigers -130 v. Baltimore Orioles | Top | 10-3 | Win | 100 | 15 h 46 m | Show |
*5 Star MLB Moneyline TOP RATED Play* The Detroit Tigers have been struggling a bit of late, but they'll have Justin Verlander on the mound Saturday. Verlander is the perfect guy to stop the Tigers slump. He hasn't pitched great of late, but Verlander is still the best in the game. Verlander has an amazing track record against Baltimore. In 6 starts at Camden, Verlander has a 2.02 ERA. On the other side, Jason Hammel starts for the Orioles. In his career, he has an ERA above 6 against the Detroit Tigers. I like what the Orioles are doing, but this is a definite pitching mismatch. No one has a stronger lineup than the Tigers, and I expect them to get back on track here. Detroit is 6-0 in Verlander's last 6 starts in Baltimore. The Tigers are 10-1 in Verlander's last 11 starts overall against the Orioles. Detroit is 11-2 in their last 13 against the AL East. Take Detroit big here!
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05-31-13 | Toronto Blue Jays v. San Diego Padres OVER 8 | 3-4 | Loss | -109 | 21 h 59 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Late Night BAILOUT* Petco Park isn't quite the pitcher friendly park it was a year ago. The fences have been moved in quite a bit here, and it is making a difference. The over is 14-11 in the Padres home games this year. In the past, it has been an easy under bet for Padres home games. Toronto's offense is good and I don't trust Jason Marquis. Jenkins is a youngster who couldn't dominate at the Double A level, and the Padres should be able to do some work against him. Expect a higher scoring game here. Take the over.
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05-31-13 | Houston Astros v. Los Angeles Angels OVER 8.5 | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 21 h 54 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Dallas Keuchel is one of the worst pitchers in the major league at this time. Keuchel isn't very good at home, and he is horrible on the road. He has a career ERA over 5, and this Angels lineup should be licking their chops to face him on Friday night. Tommy Hanson isn't all that impressive, and the Astros beat him up pretty good earlier this year. The Astros have been a good over team this year because their bullpen is so horrific. The over is 7-0 in Keuchel's last 7 road games. The over is 19-9 in the Angels last 28 home games. Take the over.
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05-31-13 | Seattle Mariners -126 v. Minnesota Twins | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 19 h 59 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Bookie SMASHER* Hisashi Iwakuma has actually been even more reliable than King Felix so far this year for the Mariners. While Iwakuma doesn't have quite the dominating stuff Hernandez has, he is an excellent pitcher who has allowed more than 3 runs in a game only once in his last 14 starts. Mike Pelfrey has just two quality starts in his last 9 starts overall. The Twins are 0-4 in Pelfrey's last 4 starts. Seattle is 16-5 in Iwakuma's last 21 starts. Both lineups are bad, but Seattle has a big pitching edge here. Take the Mariners.
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05-31-13 | Kansas City Royals v. Texas Rangers -1.5 | 2-7 | Win | 104 | 19 h 54 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Kansas City Royals are going to be in a really difficult spot here. As of 3 am EST the Royals were still in a rain delay in the series finale in St. Louis so you can bet that they will arrive in Texas VERY late. This Royals team that has been constantly losing game after game will be exhausted. Wade Davis starts for KC here, and Davis has a poor 5.71 ERA. The Rangers still have one of the best offenses in baseball. Derek Holland is one of the most underrated pitchers in the bigs right now. The Royals are 0-8 in their last 8 against a lefty. They are 0-6 in their last 6 against a team with a winning record. Texas is 21-5 in Holland's last 26 on 5 days of rest. Take Texas -1.5.
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05-31-13 | Washington Nationals v. Atlanta Braves +104 | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 18 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Moneyline Value* Stephen Strasburg is a very good pitcher, but I believe he gets a little bit too much credit from oddsmakers at this point in his career. Strasburg hasn't had much luck in the past against Atlanta, and for the Nationals to be favored on the road here is pretty surprising. Atlanta is one of baseball's top teams, and they clearly have the much better lineup in this contest. Julio Teheran has thrown four straight quality games, and he is a rising star. The Nationals are 2-9 in their last 11 against Atlanta. Atlanta is 5-0 in their last 5 as a home underdog. Take Atlanta.
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05-30-13 | Houston Astros v. Colorado Rockies -1.5 | 7-5 | Loss | -106 | 19 h 9 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Colorado Rockies have lost 2 out of 3 against the Houston Astros. The Rockies are trying to hang in the NL West race, but they won't do it losing to lowly teams like the Astros. I like the spot here for Colorado to bounce back big. Juan Nicasio has actually pitched better at home than on the road. Nicasio has a 3.5 ERA at Coors Field this year. Lucas Harrell has struggled this year, and in his only start at Coors Field he allowed 9 runs in five innings. The Astros are 15-64 in their last 79 games against teams with a winning record. The Astros are 1-7 in their last 8 games in Colorado. Expect the Rockies to win comfortably here. Take Colorado -1.5.
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05-30-13 | Cincinnati Reds -125 v. Cleveland Indians | 1-7 | Loss | -125 | 17 h 30 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* The Cincinnati Reds are one of the most complete teams in baseball. The Reds have a very good rotation, a good bullpen, and one of the best lineups in the National League. Joey Votto is a hitting machine and the rest of the lineup is heating up. Homer Bailey has been superb this year against everyone except the Cardinals. Bailey is developing into the pitcher everyone thought he would be. Scott Kazmir has been a nice story, but he is too inconsistent and the Reds hit lefties very well. Cincinnati is 23-10 in their last 33 road games against lefties. The Reds are 20-8 in their last 28 games. Take the Reds.
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05-30-13 | Oakland A's v. San Francisco Giants -104 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 15 h 43 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The San Francisco Giants and Oakland Athletics are bitter rivals, and this game will be hard fought. Barry Zito used to pitch for Oakland, but now he starts for the Giants and he pitches great at home. Zito has a 1.38 ERA at home this year. The A's offense isn't nearly as good as they looked earlier this year. San Francisco's offense is better than last year by quite a bit. With Zito on the mound at home, I expected the Giants to be a bigger favorite here. The Giants are 6-0 in Zito's last 6 home starts against a team with a winning record. They are 10-1 in Zito's last 11 starts on 4 days rest. The Giants are 11-2 in their last 13 home games against Oakland. Take San Francisco.
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05-29-13 | Los Angeles Dodgers v. Los Angeles Angels -1.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 20 h 56 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Late Night BAILOUT* The Los Angeles Dodgers just took two straight against the Angels, but I think this is a great spot for some Angels revenge here. The Dodgers had a big pitching advantage in the last two games, but they definitely won't here. Jered Weaver will start for the Angels. Chris Capuano starts for the Dodgers, and the Angels lineup has a combined average of better than .400 against him in his career. The Angels are definitely hitting the ball better now. The Dodgers lineup is struggling a lot. Mismatch here all around. Take the Angels -1.5.
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05-29-13 | Houston Astros v. Colorado Rockies OVER 10 | 6-3 | Loss | -108 | 18 h 52 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Houston Astros don't have a good offense, but they have a way of pushing games over the posted total. Houston's pitching staff is the worst in baseball, and their bullpen is atrocious. Erik Bedard has an ERA above 8 on the road this year, and it won't get any easier at Coors Field. Tyler Chatwood has a WHIP of 1.62 in his career at Coors Field, which tells me he allows far too many baserunners to be trusted. Marvin Hudson has a small strike zone and will help the over quite a bit. The over is 8-0 in the last 8 meetings between these two in Colorado. Take the over.
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05-29-13 | Washington Nationals v. Baltimore Orioles UNDER 8 | 6-9 | Loss | -106 | 17 h 56 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Play of the Day* The Washington Nationals will start Jordan Zimmerman in this one, and Zimmerman is a pitcher I really like. He gives his team a quality start every time out, and he does it without a ton of flash. He just gets the job done by getting ahead in the count and using his great control. Chris Tillman has been great at home this year, and the Nationals lineup is really hurting without Harper or Espinosa right now. The under is 4-0 in Zimmerman's last 4 against a team with a winning record. The under is 5-0 in Tillman's last 5 home starts against a team with a winning record. The under is 4-0 in Zimmerman's last 4 starts against the Orioles. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two in Baltimore. Take the under.
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05-28-13 | Los Angeles Angels v. Los Angeles Dodgers OVER 7.5 | 0-3 | Loss | -120 | 21 h 52 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Los Angeles Angels got off to a horrible start again this year, but their offense is heating up in a big way of late. When you have guys like Mike Trout, Josh Hamilton, and Albert Pujols your team is going to score a lot of runs. The Dodgers' offense isn't very good, but they'll have a favorable matchup in Angels' starter Joe Blanton. Blanton has a 6.19 ERA this year, and it would be a surprise if they Dodgers didn't put up several runs here. Ryu has been solid for the Dodgers, but I don't think he can completely shut down the Angels' lineup. The over is 37-16 in the Angels' last 53 games following a loss. Take the over.
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05-28-13 | St. Louis Cardinals v. Kansas City Royals OVER 9 | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 10 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Play of the Day* The St. Louis Cardinals have what I believe is the best offense in the National League. St. Louis has a ton of depth in their lineup, which makes them extremely tough to shut down for an entire game. Ervin Santana has pitched well so far this year, but his past tells us that he's a very inconsistent pitcher. Tyler Lyons will make his second Major League start for the Cardinals in this one. Lyons pitched well in his first start, but his 4.4 ERA in AAA tells me he's unlikely to continue to pitch well in the majors. The Royals hit lefties very well, and I expect them to get to Lyons. The over is 4-0 in the Cardinals' last 4 interleague games. The over is 4-0 in the Royals last 4 interleague games. The over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Kansas City. The over is 4-0 in the last 5 meetings overall. Take the over.
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05-28-13 | Minnesota Twins +106 v. Milwaukee Brewers | 6-5 | Win | 106 | 18 h 7 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Bookie CRUSHER* The Milwaukee Brewers are in the middle of a serious tailspin right now. To say that the Brewers have been a streaky team this year is a serious understatement. Right now, the Brewers are in a major downtrend. Starting pitching injuries have left the team with no pitching depth. Alfredo Figaro will make his first major league start since 2010 for Milwaukee in this one. Scott Diamond is a talented young lefty for the Twins, and he gives the Twins a pitching edge in this matchup. The Twins are 5-2 in Diamond's last 7 starts as an underdog. Milwaukee is 1-10 in their last 11 as a favorite. Milwaukee is 0-6 in their last 6 home games against a left-handed pitcher. Take Minnesota.
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05-28-13 | Philadelphia Phillies +115 v. Boston Red Sox | 3-1 | Win | 115 | 17 h 8 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Moneyline Value* Cliff Lee has been one of baseball's best pitchers for several years now. Lee was good last year, but the Phillies offense didn't support him with hardily any runs. This season with only mediocre run support, Lee has been a good guy for bettors to back as an underdog. Though the Red Sox do have the better lineup, they are at a big disadvantage when it comes to starting pitching in this matchup. Ryan Dempster has been a very streaky pitcher his entire career, and he has an ERA above 10 in his last 3 starts. I'll take the better pitcher at plus money. Take the Phillies.
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05-27-13 | St. Louis Cardinals -113 v. Kansas City Royals | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 15 h 42 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Play of Day* The St. Louis Cardinals have the best record in baseball. St. Louis has the single best team ERA of any team in baseball. Adam Wainwright is pitching like he did a couple years ago when he won the NL Cy Young award. Wainwright has good numbers against Kansas City, and the Cardinals as a whole have been very good against KC in the recent past. The Royals have a very good pitcher going here in James Shields, but the Royals offense is struggling in a big way right now. The Royals are 0-4 in Shields last 4 starts. The Royals are 0-8 in their last 8 home games. The Royals are 0-4 in their last 4 as an underdog. The Cardinals are 6-0 in Wainwright's last 6 as a road favorite. The starting pitchers might be even here, but the Cardinals have a much better lineup. Take St. Louis.
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05-26-13 | Atlanta Braves -124 v. New York Mets | 2-4 | Loss | -124 | 19 h 35 m | Show | |
*4 Star Braves/Mets Cash* The New York Mets started the season well, but the Mets are far from a good team. There are just too many weaknesses for this team to win a lot of games. David Wright is generally the only consistent hitter that the Mets have, but even he is slumping right now. Atlanta arguably has one of the top two or three lineups in the National League. The Braves have a lot of different guys who can hurt you on any given day. Julio Teheran has been one of the best prospects in baseball the last couple years, and he seems to be putting it together in his last few starts. The Braves are 6-0 in their last 6 games overall. The Braves are 6-0 in their last 6 as a favorite. Atlanta is 5-1 in Teheran's last 6 starts. The Mets are 3-23 in their last 26 as a home underdog. Take the Braves.
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05-26-13 | Los Angeles Angels -119 v. Kansas City Royals | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 50 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB 100% Angle* The Los Angeles Angels have under performed this year, but they appear to be hitting their stride in their last few games.Mike Trout was the catalyst for the Angels' offensive explosion in the past week. Now it seems the whole line up is hitting the ball the way everyone had expected them to. Josh Hamilton has looked much better in the last couple games, and Hamilton has torched Royals' starter Wade Davis in his career. The Royals are slumping badly right now, and Davis is the team's worst pitcher. Look for the Angels' offense to keep swinging the bats well. The Angels are 7-0 in their last 7 games. The Angels are 6-0 in their last 6 as a favorite. The Angels are 6-0 in their last 6 games against a right-handed pitcher. The Royals are 0-6 in their last 6 home games. The Royals are 0-6 in their last 6 after losing the first 3 games of a series. In all, a 31-0 angle backs this play! Take the Angels.
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05-26-13 | New York Yankees v. Tampa Bay Rays -126 | 3-8 | Win | 100 | 12 h 11 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The New York Yankees stole a game against the Tampa Bay Rays on Saturday afternoon. The Rays entered the ninth with a 3-1 lead before the Yankees ended up winning 4-3 in extra innings. Tampa Bay is 13-4 in their last 17 home games against the Yankees, and I like their chances of bouncing back in this one. C.C. Sabathia is a very good pitcher, but he hasn't have any luck when pitching at Tampa Bay. Alex Cobb is turning into a reliable starter for the Rays. Cobb has a 2.22 ERA in his career against the Yankees. The Yankees are 0-4 in Sabathia's last 4 against the Rays. The Yankees are 0-6 in Sabathia's last 6 starts at Tampa Bay. The Rays are 7-1 in Cobb's last 8 home starts. Take Tampa Bay.
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05-25-13 | Colorado Rockies v. San Francisco Giants -126 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 15 h 35 m | Show |
*5 Star MLB TOP Play Moneyline CASH* The San Francisco Giants have had the Colorado Rockies number over the last few years. The Giants are 36-16 in their last 52 against the Rockies and 20-6 in their last 26 at home against Colorado. Barry Zito will pitch on Saturday for the Giants. Zito has some of the strangest splits you will ever see from a pitcher. Zito has a brilliant 0.55 ERA in 33 innings at home this year, but a horrible 10.19 ERA on the road. Fortunately, he'll be pitching at home in this one. The Rockies don't hit lefties as well as righties. The Giants lost 5-0 last night, and I think this is a great spot for them to bounce back big.
The Giants are 8-0 in Zito's last 8 starts as a home favorite. They are 4-0 in his last 4 as a favorite of -110 to -150. The Giants are 9-1 in Zito's last 10 starts against a team with a winning record. San Francisco is 7-1 in Zito's last 8 home starts against Colorado. Take San Francisco big. |
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05-24-13 | Colorado Rockies v. San Francisco Giants OVER 7.5 | 5-0 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 19 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Colorado Rockies have gotten to Tim Lincecum twice this year. Lincecum has allowed 12 runs in just two starts against the Rockies in 2013. Colorado's lineup has been scoring runs wherever they go this year. Lincecum isn't the same pitcher he was a few years ago. Tyler Chatwood will pitch for the Rockies, and he isn't someone I like to back. Chatwood allows a ton of baserunners and is constantly trying to work out of a jam. The Giants offense is much better than it was a year ago, and they have been a solid over team of late. The over is 4-0 in Lincecum's last 4 starts against Colorado. The over is 6-0 in Colorado's last 6 as an underdog. The over is 4-0 in the Rockies last 4 road games. Take the over.
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05-24-13 | St. Louis Cardinals -115 v. Los Angeles Dodgers | 7-0 | Win | 100 | 20 h 22 m | Show | |
*4 MLB Play of Day* The St. Louis Cardinals have the best record in the National League for good reason. St. Louis has the best lineup in the NL, and they also have the best team ERA in the majors. This team doesn't have many weaknesses. They have guys like Molina and Freese batting sixth and seventh in the order, so you know this is a lineup that can put up the runs in bunches. Chris Capuano isn't a dominating pitcher, and I like the Cardinals chances against him. The Dodgers lineup hasn't been good against top pitchers. Lance Lynn has been consistently very good for the Cardinals in the past year. The Cardinals are 13-4 in Lynn's last 17 starts. The Dodgers are 1-7 in their last 8 as a dog. Take the Cardinals.
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05-24-13 | Los Angeles Angels v. Kansas City Royals OVER 9 | 5-2 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 44 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total Value* The Los Angeles Angels offense appears to have woken up. It was a sleeping giant, and Mike Trout has once again been the main man behind waking this lineup up. He did it last year around this time, and he is doing it again this year. The Angels are very dangerous offensively, but they still have weaknesses in the pitching department. The Royals hit lefties very well and Jason Vargas is bad on the road. In his career he has a 5.22 road ERA. He has an ERA of 6.93 in KC in his career. Look for these offenses to duke it out in this one. Take the over.
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05-22-13 | St. Louis Cardinals v. San Diego Padres OVER 7.5 | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 20 h 2 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The St. Louis Cardinals have the best offense in the National League right now. Burch Smith has looked like he is over his head in his first two starts in the majors. It won't get any easier here. The Cardinals are giving the ball to Tyler Lyons. Lyons had an ERA over 4 in AAA and I can't imagine him coming to the majors and having much success at the beginning of his career. This number is set far too low given the pitchers who are starting this one. Take the over.
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05-22-13 | New York Yankees -108 v. Baltimore Orioles | 3-6 | Loss | -108 | 17 h 58 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Moneyline Value* The New York Yankees are in first place in the AL East, but the oddsmakers still aren't respecting them all that much. It is strange to see a team like the Yankees not getting respect, because they are usually overvalued. New York has a second Ace in Kuroda right now. He has a stellar 1.99 ERA and the Yankees are 7-1 in his last 8 starts. The Orioles are slumping of late. Baltimore is 1-7 in their last 8 home games. Look for Kuroda to be the difference here. Take the Yankees.
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05-22-13 | Arizona Diamondbacks v. Colorado Rockies -121 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 14 h 37 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* Jorge De La Rosa has been a major moneymaker at home for quite some time. I've backed him a lot at Coors Field, and he almost always cashes in. Arizona has been playing pretty well of late, but the DBacks offense just isn't very good. The Rockies can really put up the runs, and afternoon games at Coors Field can yield some high run totals. The Rockies are a perfect 8-0 in De La Rosa's last 8 home starts against the DBacks. The Rockies are 27-4 in De La Rosa's last 31 home starts overall. Take Colorado here.
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05-22-13 | Cincinnati Reds +100 v. New York Mets | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Cincinnati Reds are probably one of the top four teams in baseball right now. The Mets are in my bottom five or six. Matt Harvey is a tremendous pitcher, but if I can get the Reds with Mat Latos pitching against the Mets at even money, I'm not going to pass that price up. Cincinnati has the better lineup by a mile and they certainly have the better bullpen. If Harvey doesn't finish what he started, the Mets are liable to blow it. Take the Reds here.
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05-21-13 | Chicago Cubs v. Pittsburgh Pirates -132 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 18 h 10 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* Wandy Rodriguez has had some amazing home/road splits all throughout his career. At home, he is one of the best pitchers in baseball. On the road, he is usually pretty mediocre. Rodriguez is at home in this one against a poor Cubs offense. Pittsburgh is quietly putting together a great season. The Pirates have a lot of young talent and they are hitting the ball much better of late. Matt Garza makes his first start since July of last year in this one for the Cubs. Garza has struggled against the Pirates in the past. Pittsburgh is 6-0 in Rodriguez's last 6 starts against a team with a losing record. Pittsburgh is 5-0 in their last 5 games following a day off. The Cubs are 1-8 in Garza's last 9 road starts. Take Pittsburgh.
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05-21-13 | Tampa Bay Rays -127 v. Toronto Blue Jays | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 17 h 57 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* The Tampa Bay Rays are really rolling of late. R.A. Dickey slowed them down with his knuckeball yesterday, but they won't face nearly as tough of a test here. Ramon Ortiz, who turns 40 years old in two days, will start for the Blue Jays. Ortiz had an ERA above 5 every year for his past several years in the majors, and now the Blue Jays want to give him another chance after he hasn't been in the majors since 2011. I just can't see it working out in the long run this season. Alex Cobb has matured into a nice pitcher, and the Rays bats are on fire. Tampa is 50-24 in their last 74 meetings with Toronto. Take Tampa Bay.
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05-21-13 | New York Yankees v. Baltimore Orioles OVER 9 | 2-3 | Loss | -102 | 17 h 52 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The New York Yankees offense has held it together pretty well this year while many of their key hitters are hurt. Granderson is now back and Gardner is looking better in his last few at bats. The Orioles bullpen has imploded of late, and Baltimore's pitching staff has been giving up some big numbers. Phil Hughes has been absolutely demolished in his last two starts. He was knocked out of the game after just 2/3 of an inning pitched in his last outing. Hughes has a career ERA of 6.58 at Baltimore. The weather should help as it will be hot with the wind blowing out. Take the over.
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05-20-13 | Washington Nationals v. San Francisco Giants OVER 8 | 0-8 | Push | 0 | 21 h 9 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Washington Nationals will start Zach Duke in this one. Duke hasn't started a game since 2011, and he has an 8.40 ERA out of the bullpen this year. San Francisco's lineup is much better this year than it was in 2012. Ryan Vogelsong was great in 2011 and 2012, but he has been awful of late. Vogelsong has given up at least 6 runs in each of his last 4 starts. Washington's lineup is much better than it has shown of late, and I think they could break out in this game. The over is 6-0 in Vogelsong's last 6 home games. The over is 5-0 in Vogelsong's last 6 Monday starts. The over is 10-1-1 in Vogelsong's last 12 as a home favorite. The over is 6-0 in the last 6 games between these two teams. Take the over.
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05-20-13 | Kansas City Royals -1.5 v. Houston Astros | 5-6 | Loss | -102 | 19 h 51 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Runline Value* The Kansas City Royals continue to prove they are a completely different team than they were a year ago. Kansas City has a strong lineup and a much improved pitching staff. Jeremy Guthrie has been excellent for the Royals. The Royals are 16-5 in Guthrie's last 21 starts. I believe Houston is the worst team in baseball. The Astros have a horrific starting rotation and a terrible bullpen. The lineup doesn't have any premier hitters. Kansas City hits lefties well and the Astros start Keuchel in this one. Big mismatch here. Take the Royals -1.5.
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05-20-13 | Seattle Mariners v. Cleveland Indians UNDER 8 | Top | 8-10 | Loss | -112 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
*5 Star MLB Early Bird TOP Play* The Seattle Mariners are once again a very poor offense last year. They struggled all year last year against lefties, and they have been bad against south paws again this year. Scott Kazmir is a remarkable comeback story this year. Kazmir has upped his velocity again, and his control seems to be improving. Hisashi Iwakuma has been one of baseball's best pitchers this year. Iwakuma is 5-1 with a 1.84 ERA so far this year. Iwakuma hasn't given up more than 3 runs in any of his last 13 starts. That's some amazing consistency. It's get away day for these teams, and that should mean some key guys are out of the lineup in this contest. The under is 7-0 in the Mariners last 7 as a road favorite of -110 to -150. The under is 3-0-1 in their last 4 against a lefty. The under is 4-0 in Iwakuma's last 4 against the AL Central. The under is 4-0 in the Indians last 4 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in the previous game. The under is 4-0-1 in the Indians last 5 against a righty. Take the under big!
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05-19-13 | Washington Nationals +116 v. San Diego Padres | 4-13 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 23 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Moneyline Value* The Washington Nationals are probably one of the top three teams in the National League. Washington hasn't played great so far this year, but I'm confident they'll end up just fine in 2013. The San Diego Padres are one of the worst teams in the National League. I'm really not a big fan of Dan Haren, and Cashner is a pretty good young pitcher, but the Nationals being underdogs in this one is too much value for me to pass up. Washington has the far superior lineup and the better bullpen. The Nationals are 8-3 in the last 11 meetings between these teams. Take Washington.
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05-19-13 | Milwaukee Brewers v. St. Louis Cardinals OVER 8.5 | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 17 m | Show |
*5 Star MLB TOP Play Total Domination* The Milwaukee Brewers don't have a very good pitching staff, but with most of their guys healthy they definitely do have a good lineup now. Ryan Braun, Aramis Ramirez, Corey Hart, Carlos Gomez, etc make it difficult on the opposing pitcher. Milwaukee is better against lefties. John Gast will make his 2nd career major league start for the Cardinals here. Gast gave up 4 runs in 6 innings against the Mets in his first start, and this is a much better lineup than the Mets lineup.
Kyle Lohse is a pretty good pitcher, but he has been awful against the Cardinals in his career. Carlos Beltran is 23 for 45 against him. Yadier Molina is 6 for 10. Matt Holliday is 8 for 15. Clearly the Cardinals see the ball well against Lohse. The over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these teams. The over is 4-0 in the Cardinals last 4 Sunday games. The over is 4-0 in the Cardinals last 4 after allowing 5 runs or more in the previous game. Take the over big! |
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05-19-13 | Cincinnati Reds -129 v. Philadelphia Phillies | 2-3 | Loss | -129 | 13 h 46 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Cincinnati Reds have the second best record in the National League, and they haven't really been that good offensively so far this year. Finally, the offense is starting to come around of late. Jay Bruce is hitting the ball much better, and Joey Votto is absolutely locked in. The Phillies offense continues to rank in the bottom five in the majors. Pettibone has been pretty good this year, but this is the best offense he has faced yet. Homer Bailey has come into his own and he is now a reliable quality starter for the Reds. The Reds are 7-0 in their last 7 road games against a righty. The Reds are 7-1 in their last 8 games overall. The Phillies are 0-4 in their last 4 home games against a righty. Take the Reds.
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05-18-13 | Washington Nationals v. San Diego Padres UNDER 7 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 19 h 41 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Washington Nationals are a good team, but they can't hit left-handed pitching. Washington is hitting .192 as a team against lefties this year. They are averaging less than 3 runs per game against left-handed starters. Eric Stults certainly isn't a great pitcher, but he pitches pretty well in Petco Park. Jordan Zimmerman is one of the best pitchers in baseball, and people are finally starting to see that. Zimmerman gives the Nationals a very good start every single time out there. Expect a low scoring game here. Take the under.
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05-18-13 | Detroit Tigers v. Texas Rangers OVER 9.5 | 2-7 | Loss | -115 | 18 h 6 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Detroit Tigers and Texas Rangers have two of the best offenses in all of baseball. Both of these teams are going to score a ton of runs this year. Detroit is averaging 5.30 runs per game and Texas is averaging 4.62 runs per game. This is the time of the year when the Rangers park starts playing like a hitter friendly park. The wind is blowing out here and it will be nice and warm. Expect the ball to be flying well. Sanchez is a good pitcher, but he has a 7.45 ERA against Texas in his career. Grimm is still a youngster with lots left to prove. Take the over.
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05-18-13 | Chicago White Sox +125 v. Los Angeles Angels | 9-12 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 2 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* What have the Los Angeles Angels done to be such a big favorite here? After all, the Angels have one of the worst records in baseball. The Angels are also starting Joe Blanton, who has been an absolute disaster this year. The Angels are 0-8 in Blanton's 8 starts this year. The White Sox aren't a great team right now, but it's hard to imagine Blanton laying this kind of number against any team right now. The White Sox are 4-0 in their last 5 games. Take the underdog here. Take the White Sox.
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05-17-13 | Toronto Blue Jays v. New York Yankees -140 | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 16 h 7 m | Show | |
*3 Star TGIF Play of Day* The Toronto Blue Jays come into this game as winners of four straight games, but Hiroki Kuroda will be the best pitcher they have seen in quite some time. Kuroda hasn't given up more than 3 runs in any game this year. He has a 1.9 ERA at home this year. Mark Buehrle has an ERA above 6 this year, and in his career he has a 4.76 ERA at Yankee Stadium. Several Yankees have torched him in his career (Vernon Wells is at the top of the list). Buehrle has allowed at least 5 runs in 5 of his 8 starts this year. Big pitching mismatch here, and the Yankees lineup is better than most believe right now. The Yankees are 6-1 against the Blue Jays so far this year. Take the Yankees.
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05-16-13 | San Francisco Giants -102 v. Colorado Rockies | 8-6 | Win | 100 | 19 h 32 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Play of Day* The San Francisco Giants are coming off a disappointing trip to Toronto. The Blue Jays scored 21 runs on San Francisco in the brief two game series. The Giants have one of the better pitching staffs in baseball, and this kind of thing doesn't happen to them very often. Matt Cain has served as the stopper for the Giants for the past few years. Cain is consistently very good no matter where he pitches. Coors Field has been bad to a lot of pitchers, but Cain has success there. The Giants are 5-0 in Cain's last 5 starts at Coors. San Francisco is the more complete team here and they have a major edge at starting pitcher here. Take the Giants.
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05-15-13 | Kansas City Royals v. Los Angeles Angels OVER 9 | 9-5 | Win | 100 | 21 h 3 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Late Night BAILOUT* Wade Davis and Barry Enright aren't guys that I would ever trust. Enright had an ERA over 7 in Arizona a couple years ago and he has been a disaster ever since a decent rookie season in 2010. Davis has a 5.86 ERA this year, and he gives up runs in bunches. The Angels offense is starting to look better of late, and they should feast on his mistakes. The Royals offense is very good as well, and Enright hasn't given me any reason to believe he'll slow them down. Take the over.
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05-15-13 | Boston Red Sox v. Tampa Bay Rays -115 | 9-2 | Loss | -115 | 18 h 9 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Boston Red Sox are hitting the skids a bit of late, while the Tampa Bay Rays are flying high after a terrible start. History tells us that Joe Maddon's Tampa Bay Rays will be in contention at the end of the season, and they have always been great at home. David Price has been subpar this year, but he has a 2.99 career ERA against Boston. The Red Sox have been terrible against lefties all year. On the other side, Tampa Bay excels against lefties. Tampa Bay is 6-0 in their last 6 games. Boston is 0-5 in their last 5 against a lefty. They are 0-4 in their last 4 road games. Take Tampa Bay.
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05-15-13 | Atlanta Braves v. Arizona Diamondbacks UNDER 8.5 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 14 h 15 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* It's get away day for these two teams and both of these managers often take starters out of the lineup in these situations. Ian Kennedy and Tim Hudson have proven over the years to be very high quality pitchers who give you a very good effort each time out to the hill. John Hirschbeck is one of the better under umpires in the game because of his large strike zone. The roof will be closed here which definitely helps the under. Take the under in this one.
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05-15-13 | Cleveland Indians +158 v. Philadelphia Phillies | 10-4 | Win | 158 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Big Dog* The Philadelphia Phillies are 1-7 in Cole Hamels' last 8 starts. Hamels struggles during the daytime at home because Citizens Bank ballpark doesn't hold many fly balls when it's warm during the day. Cleveland hits left-handers very well and the Indians are above .500 on the road this year. While Kluber hasn't proven himself in the majors just yet, there is no way the Indians should be this big of an underdog. The value is on the underdog. Take the Indians.
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05-15-13 | Houston Astros v. Detroit Tigers OVER 8 | 7-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Houston Astros have the worst team ERA in all of baseball. This entire pitching staff is a disaster. Dallas Keuchel gets the start in this one and to say he has been horrible in the road in his young career is a major understatement. Keuchel has given up more than 5 runs in almost every road start he has made in his career. Detroit averages 6 runs per game against lefties. The Houston bullpen is the worst in baseball, so if he gets chased early it won't help the Astros at all either. Detroit could put up a big number here. The over is 7-1 in Detroit's last 8 home games when Scherzer starts. The over is 6-0 in Keuchel's last 6 road starts. The over is 9-1-1 in the Astros last 11 games in game three of the series. Take the over.
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05-14-13 | Kansas City Royals +115 v. Los Angeles Angels | 2-6 | Loss | -100 | 20 h 43 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Kansas City Royals are a much improved team from a year ago. The Los Angeles Angels just can't get things going in the right direction. One of the main reasons KC is so much better this year is their starting pitching. Jeremy Guthrie has been their best starter. Guthrie's has been a huge moneymaker for bettors from the end of 2012 to early 2013. The Royals are 10-2 in Guthrie's last 12 starts as an underdog. Kansas City is 9-0 in Guthrie's last 9 starts on 4 days of rest. The Royals are batting .291 against lefties this year and Jason Vargas has been disappointing for the Angels. The wrong team is favored here. Take the Royals.
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05-14-13 | San Diego Padres v. Baltimore Orioles -127 | 3-2 | Loss | -127 | 17 h 30 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* The San Diego Padres are 6-13 on the road this year, and they are one of the worst teams in baseball this season. Baltimore continues to be undervalued by the oddsmakers. The Orioles have what it takes to contend all year. Baltimore's great bullpen helps them win a lot of close games. Andrew Cashner has pitched pretty well of late, but this is a very good Orioles lineup. The Padres lineup is weak, and Chris Tillman has a solid 3.79 ERA this year. Too short of a price on a good home team here. Take Baltimore.
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05-14-13 | Seattle Mariners v. New York Yankees UNDER 7 | 3-4 | Push | 0 | 17 h 25 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Seattle Mariners aren't a good offensive team. Seattle does have one of the best pitchers in baseball in King Felix though. Felix Hernandez will start in this one, and he has an ERA of less than 2 in his last 5 starts at Yankee Stadium. The Yankees lineup isn't nearly as strong as normal right now, and Hernandez is really on a roll of late. CC Sabathia has pitched very well this year and the Mariners struggle against lefties. The under is 4-0 in the Yankees last 4 games. The under is 9-1-1 in the last 11 meetings between these teams. The under is 6-1-1 in Hernandez's last 8 starts. Take the under.
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05-13-13 | Washington Nationals -124 v. Los Angeles Dodgers | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 20 h 48 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Play of Day* Jordan Zimmerman is one of baseball's best pitchers. Zimmerman doesn't get the publicity that a Stephen Strasburg gets, but he has been a much better pitcher especially when you consider how consistent he is. Zimmerman gives the Nationals a quality start almost every time out. The Dodgers lineup isn't particularly scary right now. To say the Dodgers have been scuffling would be a major understatement. Josh Beckett has an ERA over 5 this year, and he just isn't locating his pitches well at all. Washington has the better lineup and the much better starter here. We're getting too nice of a price to pass up. The Nationals are 10-1 in Zimmerman's last 11 road starts against a team with a losing record. The Dodgers are 1-6 in Beckett's last 7 starts. They are 0-7 in their last 7 games against a team with a winning record. Take Washington.
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05-12-13 | Oakland A's v. Seattle Mariners UNDER 8 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 14 h 58 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Oakland Athletics offense looked amazing at the start of the year, but it was too good to be true. If you look at the A's lineup it doesn't take long to figure out that this team can't lead the majors in runs scored as they did for almost the entire first month. Oakland's offense has started coming back down to earth fast of late. The A's are now 21st in the majors in team batting average at just .243. Joe Saunders has a career 1.75 ERA in 12 starts at Safeco, so he's a tough matchup for the A's. Tom Milone has been very good against the Mariners in the past as well. Dan Bellino is one of baseball's best 'under' umpires. The under is 33-15-3 in Bellino's last 51 games behind the dish. The under is 22-4-1 in Seattle's last 27 Sunday games. Take the under.
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05-11-13 | Cleveland Indians v. Detroit Tigers -1.5 | 7-6 | Loss | -104 | 16 h 27 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Play of the Day* The Detroit Tigers are the class of the AL Central, and this series with the red hot Cleveland Indians is a great time for Detroit to prove it. Cleveland came into this series winning 10 of their last 11 games. Detroit won 10-4 in the series opener last night, and I think Saturday's game is another mismatch. Justin Verlander is the best pitcher in baseball and Ubaldo Jimenez is extremely inconsistent. Jimenez has an ERA over 7 in his career when pitching at Comerica Park in Detroit. The Tigers lineup is even better than last year, and they are going to do a lot of damage this year. Detroit has the advantage in every aspect of this game. The Tigers are 45-13 in Verlander's last 58 home starts. They are 5-0 in Verlander's last 5 starts at home against Cleveland. Take Detroit -1.5.
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05-10-13 | New York Yankees +105 v. Kansas City Royals | 11-6 | Win | 105 | 18 h 8 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Moneyline Value* The New York Yankees are such a heavy public team that I don't often find value on them, but this year that has been a little different. The betting public thinks this team is no good since they have so many injuries, but the Yankees are still a good team. The pitching staff has been better than expected. Phil Hughes has thrown 4 quality games in a row, and he has a good past against the Royals. Wade Davis has been terrible this year, and I don't understand him being favored against the Yankees. Take New York in this one.
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05-10-13 | Baltimore Orioles -112 v. Minnesota Twins | 9-6 | Win | 100 | 18 h 53 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Baltimore Orioles are once again one of the most underrated teams in the majors. Baltimore is right in the thick of the AL East race, yet we almost never hear about them. That is a good thing for bettors, because it means we'll continue to get value on them. Jason Hammel has really turned himself into a consistently solid starting pitcher for Baltimore. Mike Pelfrey has been anything but consistent this year. Pelfrey has been hit hard in most of his starts this year, and this Orioles lineup is very good. The Twins are feeling good about themselves after winning their last three games in Boston. The first game back after a long road trip is a very tough one. The Twins are 1-10 in their last 11 home games following a road trip of 7 days or more! Minnesota is 0-4 in their last 4 Friday games. Baltimore is 5-0 in Hammel's last 5 starts. They are 4-0 in their last 4 road games against teams with a winning home record. Take Baltimore.
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05-10-13 | Pittsburgh Pirates -113 v. New York Mets | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 17 h 24 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Bookie SMASHER* The Pittsburgh Pirates lost a tough one last night and I was on them in that game. I'll back them again Friday night in what I believe is a very good spot for them. Wandy Rodriguez is a good left-handed pitcher who is very dangerous when he is on a roll. Rodriguez is rolling right now. He has only given up more than 3 runs once this year. The Mets are terrible against left-handed pitching. They are 8-19 in their last 27 home games against lefties and 11-22 in their last 33 against lefties overall. The Mets are 5-21 in their last 26 as a home underdog. Take Pittsburgh.
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05-09-13 | Atlanta Braves v. San Francisco Giants OVER 7.5 | 6-3 | Win | 106 | 21 h 54 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB 100% Angle Total Domination* The Atlanta Braves offense may have slumped for a brief time a couple weeks ago, but they are hitting it very well again right now. The Braves have one of the deepest lineups in baseball, and I expect their offense to be very good in 2013. The Giants offense is much improved from last year, and that has meant a lot of overs. Ryan Vogelsong and Julio Tehran have been struggling to find their best stuff this year, so it seems strange to see such a low number. The over is 8-0 in the Braves last 8 road games. The over is 5-0 in the Braves last 5 games overall. The over is 3-0-1 in the Giants last 4 games. The over is 5-0 in Vogelsong's last 5 home starts. In all, a 21-0 angle backs this play. Take the over.
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05-09-13 | Pittsburgh Pirates +104 v. New York Mets | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 49 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* The Pittsburgh Pirates have some nasty long-term records when playing in New York, but this isn't the same Pittsburgh team from a few years ago. The Pirates are on the rise thanks to a strong pitching staff. Jeff Locke is a youngster, but he is really coming into his own. Locke is a talented lefty who has been throwing the ball really well of late. New York really struggles against left-handed pitching. The Mets are 10-22 in their last 32 against a lefty. They are 7-19 in their last 26 home games against a lefty. Dillon Gee has an ERA over 6 this year for the Mets. The Mets are 4-10 in Gee's last 14 starts. A lot of value on Pittsburgh here. Take the Pirates.
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05-09-13 | Oakland: B Colon -110 v. Cleveland: S Kazmir | 2-9 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* I backed the Oakland A's last night and lost a game I really feel I should have won. Oakland was robbed in the 9th inning of a game tying home run. The A's also committed errors that led to runs scored earlier in the game. Oakland has lost the first three games in this series. Before this series, they had won 8 straight games in a row against Cleveland. The A's are the better team here, and you have to think they'll be fighting really hard to avoid a 4 game sweep. The fact that they lost in such a tough way yesterday actually makes this a stronger play for me. Bartolo Colon has been great this year, while Scott Kazmir isn't even close to trustworthy. Oakland is 8-0 in their last 8 as a -110 to -150 road favorite. The A's are 7-0 in Colon's last 7 starts when the team loses in its previous game. The A's are 5-0 in Colon's last 5 starts as a favorite. Take Oakland.
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05-08-13 | Toronto Blue Jays v. Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 | 4-10 | Win | 120 | 16 h 22 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Runline Value* The Toronto Blue Jays have completed two huge comebacks in the last two games to beat the Tampa Bay Rays. Tampa Bay is normally a very good home team, and I really like this spot for a bounce back by the Rays. The Rays have won every game Matt Moore has started so far this year. Tampa Bay hits left-handed pitching really well and Ricky Romero has been in a major funk of late. Huge pitching mismatch here. Take Tampa Bay -1.5 and expect a comfortable bounce back win.
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05-08-13 | Oakland: A Griffin +115 v. Cleveland: Masterson | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 54 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* The Oakland Athletics have some very good young pitchers on their staff. One of those talented young pitchers is A.J. Griffin. Griffin is one of those guys who doesn't have any terribly dominating pitches, but he just knows how to get guys out. He is absolutely a gamer. He pitched a gem at Yankee Stadium in his last outing. Justin Masterson has an ERA above 8 in his career against Oakland. The A's lost a really tough one yesterday, and this is a nice spot for them to get back on track. Oakland is 9-2 in Griffin's last 11 starts as an underdog. That really is an amazing stat. Oakland is 8-2 in their last 10 against the Indians. Take Oakland here.
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05-08-13 | Atlanta Braves v. Cincinnati Reds OVER 8 | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* Mike Leake isn't an overpowering pitcher, and I think he is the type of guy that this improved Atlanta Braves lineup can put up a bunch of runs against. Mike Minor is an inconsistent lefty who has struggled on the road in his young career. The Cincinnati Reds have been one of the best teams when it comes to hitting lefties in the past couple years. Cincinnati is plenty capable of putting up a big number themselves. The over is 7-0 in Leake's last 7 starts. The over is 7-0 in the Braves last 7 road games. The over is 8-0 in the Reds last 8 home games against a team with a winning record. The over is 5-0 in umpire Tim Timmons last 5 games behind home plate. Take the over.
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05-07-13 | St. Louis Cardinals -125 v. Chicago Cubs | 1-2 | Loss | -125 | 19 h 3 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The St. Louis Cardinals have been winning a lot of games on the road of late. In fact, the Cardinals are 7-0 in their last 7 road games. They'll be in Wrigley taking on their hated rivals on Tuesday night. Chicago was swept by the Reds in a series where the Cubs really gift wrapped at least 2 of the 3 games to the Reds. The Cubs have some major issues, and they can't be trusted against good teams. Lance Lynn has been a major moneymaker. Lynn is 18-1 in his last 19 starts against the NL Central. The Cardinals are 6-0 in their last 6 against the NL Central. The Cubs are 0-8 in Wood's last 8 as a home underdog. The Cardinals are 4-0 in Lynn's last 4 starts against the Cubs. In all, a 43-1 angle backs this play. Take St. Louis.
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05-07-13 | Toronto Blue Jays v. Tampa Bay Rays OVER 8 | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 17 h 38 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Toronto Blue Jays are a very streaky offense and they've put up 18 runs in the past two days. I successfully played the 'over' in yesterday's game between these teams and the game went well over the posted total. Tampa Bay crushes left-handed pitching, and the Rays should hit well against JA Happ here. Both teams should put up several runs in this one. Take the over.
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05-06-13 | Toronto Blue Jays v. Tampa Bay Rays OVER 7.5 | 8-7 | Win | 105 | 18 h 3 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Play of the Day* The Toronto Blue Jays lineup should be far better than they have shown of late, but their 10 run output yesterday may be a springboard for better things. Many of the hitters on this team are very streaky, and I think they are very capable of getting on a roll. Tampa Bay isn't a great offense overall, but they have hit left-handers extremely well this year. The Rays are scoring 5.06 runs per game against lefties this season. Mark Buerhle hasn't been very good this year. He has a 6.43 ERA and has given up 44 hits in just 35 innings pitched. The over is 8-1-2 in the Rays last 11 games. This one is set too low. I like the value here. Take the over.
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05-05-13 | Arizona Diamondbacks -120 v. San Diego Padres | 1-5 | Loss | -120 | 14 h 18 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* The Arizona Diamondbacks dominated the San Diego Padres yesterday thanks to a huge mismatch on the mound. I backed the Diamondbacks in that win, and I'll back them again here. Ian Kennedy continues to be underrated by the oddsmakers, while Edinson Volquez has been terrible this year. Volquez is too wild to be consistent even inside a game. He often gives up big innings. Kennedy is the type of guy who gets ahead and minimizes the damage well. Arizona is 6-1 in Kennedy's last 7 road starts. They are 7-2 in his last 9 starts against San Diego. Take Arizona.
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05-05-13 | St. Louis Cardinals v. Milwaukee Brewers OVER 8.5 | 10-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Total Domination* The St. Louis Cardinals and Milwaukee Brewers both have the ability to score runs in bunches. It was a 7-6 final even when the team's two Aces pitched on Saturday. On Sunday, both teams start pitchers who don't have a very good track record against their oppponent. Jaime Garcia often struggles on the road, and he has a 5.55 ERA at Miller Park. The Brewers average almost 6 runs per game so far this year against lefties. Miguel Estrada has an ERA of 4.58 and this Cardinals lineup is one of the best in the National League. With Jon Jay and Allen Craig coming on, the Cardinals can really put up the runs in bunches. The over is 4-0 in Garcia's last 4 starts in Milwaukee. The over is 4-0 in Estrada's last 4 home starts. The over is 17-5-1 in Garcia's last 23 starts as a road favorite. This total is set too low. Take the over.
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05-04-13 | Arizona Diamondbacks -121 v. San Diego Padres | 8-1 | Win | 100 | 19 h 42 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* The Arizona Diamondbacks have a very good young pitching staff. The best of the youngsters on their staff is Patrick Corbin, and he'll start for them in this game. Corbin is unbeaten with a 1.91 ERA this year. The DBacks are 15-13 this year despite having a lot of offensive injuries. San Diego is one of the worst teams in the NL this year, and Clayton Richard has had four terrible starts already this year. The Diamondbacks are 6-0 in Corbin's last 6 starts. The Padres are 1-6 in Richard's last 7 starts. Too big of a pitching mismatch for me to overlook. Take Arizona.
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05-04-13 | St. Louis Cardinals -116 v. Milwaukee Brewers | Top | 7-6 | Win | 100 | 15 h 41 m | Show |
*5 Star MLB TOP Play of the Week* The St. Louis Cardinals are 18-11 so far this year, and they have a very solid team. Adam Wainwright is back to pitching like the CY Young winner like he did a few years ago. Wainwright has an ERA of 2.02 so far this year. Yovani Gallardo starts in this one for Milwaukee and to say that he has struggled against the Cardinals is a huge understatement. Gallardo is 1-10 with a ridiculous 6.84 ERA against the Cardinals in his career. Everyone on this Cardinals roster has very good numbers against him. On the other side, Wainwright has a brilliant 1.93 ERA against the Brewers in 25 career appearances. The Cardinals are 5-0 in their last 5 road games. They are 6-1 in Wainwright's last 7 road starts. The Brewers are 3-13 in Gallardo's last 16 against St. Louis. They are 0-5 in his last 5 home starts against the Cardinals. Take St. Louis big!
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05-04-13 | Minnesota Twins -107 v. Cleveland Indians | 3-7 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 8 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* Scott Kazmir is a nice a story as he tries to get back into the majors, but I can't back him. He pitched for the Sugarland Skeeters of the Independent Atlantic League last year. The worst part was he had an ERA of 5.2 there. He was terrible in his first start this year and decent in his second. Minnesota has hit him well in the past, and that was when he had much better form than he does now. The Twins are averaging 6 runs per game this year against lefties. Kevin Correia has yet to give up more than 3 runs in a game this year. Minnesota is 12-4 in the last 16 meetings between these teams. Take Minnesota.
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05-03-13 | Los Angeles Dodgers -136 v. San Francisco Giants | 1-2 | Loss | -136 | 20 h 52 m | Show | |
*3 Star Dodgers/Giants Moneyline Cash* The Los Angeles Dodgers haven't been playing very well this year, but they have Clayton Kershaw on the mound in this one against the San Francisco Giants. Kershaw is arguably the most dominant pitcher in baseball now. He has been at his absolute best against the Giants in the past. How good has he been? Current Giants hitters have a career .183 batting average against him. Even more impressive is that they collectively have one home run against Kershaw in 265 career at bats! Barry Zito has been pretty good this year, but I'm taking Kershaw at a reasonable price here. Take the Dodgers.
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05-03-13 | Tampa Bay Rays -129 v. Colorado Rockies | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 19 h 47 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Moneyline Value* The Tampa Bay Rays haven't played particularly well so far this year, but I still think they will right the ship. Joe Maddon's teams have always finished as contenders in the AL East, and this team should get it going as well. Despite their poor play, Matt Moore has stepped up and dominated. Moore has probably been baseball's best pitcher so far this year. His stuff is absolutely brilliant. He has an ERA of 1.12 so far this season. Jeff Francis has a horrific 7.29 ERA this year. The pitching mismatch here is too much for me to ignore. The Rays are 7-0 in Moore's last 7 starts. The Rockies are 1-8 in Francis' last 9 as an underdog. Take the Rays.
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05-03-13 | Boston Red Sox v. Texas Rangers -131 | 0-7 | Win | 100 | 18 h 10 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Play of the Day* The Boston Red Sox have the best record in baseball, but they'll face a very tough test in Texas. The Rangers are still one of the best teams in baseball, and they have a tremendous pitching staff. Derek Holland has turned into a very high quality lefty for this team. No one in the Red Sox lineup has had that much success against him. The Rangers are 20-8 in Holland's last 28 starts overall. Felix Doubront has an ERA of above 10 in his career when pitching in Arlington. Texas' lineup is very deep and they'll make him work. The Rangers are 4-0 in Holland's last 4 starts against Boston. Boston is 3-9 in their last 12 road games against a lefty. Take Texas here.
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05-02-13 | Baltimore Orioles v. Los Angeles Angels OVER 9 | 5-1 | Loss | -106 | 20 h 16 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Play of Day* Chris Tillman and Joe Blanton are both guys who are capable of giving up a lot of runs in a start. These guys put a lot of guys on base and they have both struggled this year. Blanton has an ERA above 7 and this Orioles offense is no longer a weakness. In fact, Baltimore is 5th in the majors in runs scored per game at more than 5 runs per contest. The Angels scored 19 runs in three games in Oakland, and their bats seem to be waking up. This lineup is too good to not hit at some point, and I like this matchup with Tillman. Two good offenses and two shaky starting pitchers here equals some nice value on the over.
The over is 5-0 in the Orioles last 5 games. The over is 6-0 in Baltimore's last 6 against a right-handed pitcher. The over is 4-0-1 in the Angels last 5 home games against a team with a winning road record. Take the over. |
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05-01-13 | Boston Red Sox -134 v. Toronto Blue Jays | Top | 10-1 | Win | 100 | 18 h 42 m | Show |
*5 Star MLB TOP Play CRUSHER* I backed the Boston Red Sox last night and lost as Toronto's bats really woke up in that one. I'll back Boston again as I like this matchup even more than last night's. Clay Buchholz has some of the best stuff in baseball, and his history against the Blue Jays is tremendous. Buchholz has a stellar 1.67 ERA in 9 starts at Rogers Center in Toronto. Buchholz has a 1.19 ERA this year. Mark Buehrle has never fared that well against Boston (4.56 ERA in his career) and I believe he is past the peak of his career. He has a WHIO of 1.52, which means he is allowing far too many base runners. The Red Sox have a huge edge on the mound here, and the Sox offense has been more consistent than Toronto's.
Boston is 4-0 in their last 4 against a lefty. They are 5-0 in Buchholz's last 5 starts. Boston is 7-0 in Buchholz's last 7 starts in Toronto. The Blue Jays are 0-5 in their last 5 games following a win. Take Boston big! |
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05-01-13 | Cincinnati Reds v. St. Louis Cardinals UNDER 7.5 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 55 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Cincinnati Reds and St. Louis Cardinals have had two low scoring games already in this series (both 2-1 finals), and I think this will be a third straight. Homer Bailey has turned into the pitcher the Reds organization thought he would be years ago, and he is arguably the team's number two starter right now. Bailey has a 1.29 ERA in his last 3 starts. Lance Lynn has been great for the Cardinals, and he has been amazing at home. Lynn has a 1.38 ERA at home this year, and no one on the Reds roster has hit him very well. Doug Eddings is behind the plate here and you won't find a better 'under' umpire than him. The under is an amazing 25-4 in Eddings last 29 day games. The under is 5-1 in Bailey's last 6 road starts. Take the under.
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05-01-13 | Minnesota Twins v. Detroit Tigers UNDER 8.5 | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 15 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Minnesota Twins have been much worse offensively than expected this year, but their starting pitching staff has been much better than expected. Scott Diamond is arguably the team's best young pitcher. Diamond has 3 starts at Comerica Park in Detroit and he has a 2.25 ERA in those games. Anibal Sanchez is pitching extremely well for the Tigers right now. He struck out 17 in his last appearance, and he has a brilliant 1.34 ERA this year. The under is 4-0-1 in the Twins last 5 road games. The under is 4-0-1 in Diamond's last 5 starts. The under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these teams. Take the under.
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04-30-13 | Colorado Rockies v. Los Angeles Dodgers -130 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 21 h 28 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* The Colorado Rockies romped to a huge win over the Dodgers last night, but I like the Dodgers chances of bouncing back with a win in this one. Colorado has struggled against lefties for quite some time, and they'll be facing a lefty they've never seen before in this one. Ryu looked very sharp in his last start. The Rockies counter with Jorge De La Rosa who has been good this year, but he has struggled badly against the Dodgers in the past. De La Rosa has a 6.22 ERA in 13 career appearances against the Dodgers. The Rockies are 0-9 in De La Rosa's last 9 starts against the Dodgers. They are 0-5 in his last 5 at Los Angeles. Take the Dodgers.
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04-30-13 | Philadelphia Phillies -118 v. Cleveland Indians | 2-14 | Loss | -118 | 17 h 22 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Moneyline Value* Roy Halladay isn't quite the same pitcher he was a couple years ago, but oddsmakers and a lot of bettors jumped ship on him a little too quickly this season. After a rough start to the season, Halladay has given up just 4 runs in his last 21 innings pitched. Even more impressive, in his last 3 starts he has a WHIP of just 0.62. No one is getting on base against him of late. Zach McAllister is a mediocre pitcher and this Phillies lineup got a lot better now with Carlos Ruiz back from his suspension. The middle of the order is now very good. Philadelphia is 22-8 in Halladay's last 30 as a road favorite. Take the Phillies.
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04-30-13 | Boston Red Sox -121 v. Toronto Blue Jays | 7-9 | Loss | -121 | 17 h 18 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Boston Red Sox have the bets record in baseball at 18-7. Boston has done it mainly because of a much improved pitching staff. Jon Lester is the Ace of the staff, and he has been brilliant this year. His control is so much better than it was last year at this time. The Red Sox are 5-0 in Lester's 5 starts this year and he has a stellar 2.27 ERA. No one on the Blue Jays roster has hit Lester well in the past, and he is at his best right now. Brandon Morrow has a 5.27 ERA this year, and he has allowed at least 4 runs in three of his last four starts.
The Red Sox are 5-0 in Lester's 5 starts this year. Boston is 8-0 in their last 8 in the opening game of the series. They are 6-0 in their last 6 road games against a righty. The Blue Jays are 0-8 in Morrow's last 8 Tuesday starts. They are 0-4 in their last 4 overall. Take Boston. |
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04-29-13 | San Francisco Giants v. Arizona Diamondbacks -103 | 6-4 | Loss | -103 | 20 h 31 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Moneyline Value* The Arizona Diamondbacks are being overlooked by the oddsmakers of late. Arizona has one of the best pitching rotations in the league and they have been great of late. Ian Kennedy still flies under the radar quite a bit despite his great stuff and consistent performances. Kennedy has an amazing history against the Giants. Arizona is 8-0 in Kennedy's last 8 starts against the Giants. Matt Cain has an ERA over 6 so far this year, and he hasn't been that good at Chase Field. I like the value on the home team. Take Arizona.
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04-29-13 | Cincinnati Reds v. St. Louis Cardinals -130 | 2-1 | Loss | -130 | 18 h 23 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Cincinnati Reds have the worst road record in the majors at 2-8 this year. The Reds are a pretty good team, but their offense has been struggling against top competition of late. Adam Wainwright looks like the CY Young winner from a few years ago again this year. Wainwright has an ERA of less than 2, and he has been even better at home. Wainwright has been excellent against the Reds top hitters (Votto, Bruce, and Frazier). The Cardinals have hit Mat Latos well in the past, and the Cardinals have dominated this series in St. Louis. The Reds are 0-6 in their last 6 road games vs. a right-handed pitcher. The Cardinals are 5-0 in their last during Game 1 of a series. The Cardinals are 4-0 in Wainwright's last 4 starts. Take St. Louis.
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04-29-13 | Pittsburgh Pirates v. Milwaukee Brewers -130 | 4-10 | Win | 100 | 18 h 46 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* The Pittsburgh Pirates have been playing good baseball of late, but to say that they have struggled in Milwaukee is a major understatement. Pittsburgh is 7-44 in their last 51 games in Milwaukee. Yovani Gallardo is the Brewers Ace and he has completely dominated the Pirates in his career. Gallardo has a 2.59 ERA in 14 starts against Pittsburgh. Wandy Rodriguez has a 5.88 ERA at Miller Park. Ryan Braun has amazing numbers against Rodriguez. The Brewers are 8-0 in Gallardo's last 8 starts against Pittsburgh. They are 13-1 in Gallardo's last 14 starts overall against Pittsburgh. Take Milwaukee.
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04-29-13 | Houston Astros v. New York Yankees -1.5 | 9-1 | Loss | -115 | 17 h 23 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Runline Value* The New York Yankees rank ninth in the majors in runs scored and batting average. Though they don't have several stars, the Yankees are still putting up some solid offensive production. Houston's offense is one of the worst in baseball. The Astros were destroyed in four straight games at Fenway Park, and I won't be surprised if they get swept out of Yankee Stadium either. Andy Pettitte is extremely consistent at allowing only a couple runs each game. Lucas Harrell has been good at home, but he struggles on the road. The Yankees are 52-12 in their last 64 games as a home favorite of -201 or greater. This one looks like a mismatch. Take the Yankees -1.5.
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04-28-13 | Los Angeles Angels v. Seattle Mariners -114 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 16 h 31 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Moneyline Cash* The Los Angeles Angels have a lot of talent, but they haven't put it together yet this season. Jason Vargas has been putting far too many runners on base this year. Vargas has a terrible WHIP of 2.03 so far this year. When you're letting that many runners on base each inning, bad things are bound to happen. On the other side, Hisashi Iwakuma has been brilliant this year. He hasn't allowed more than 3 runs in his last 8 starts dating back to last season. In 2013, he has a spectacular 1.99 ERA. We are getting the much better pitcher at a short price here. The Angels are 1-5 in their last 6 road games. The Angels are 1-7 in their last 8 games against a right-handed pitcher. Seattle is 4-0 in Iwakuma's last 4 home starts. The Mariners are also 4-0 in Iwakuma's last 4 starts against the Angels. Take Seattle.
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04-28-13 | Colorado Rockies v. Arizona Diamondbacks UNDER 9 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 15 h 17 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Arizona Diamondbacks offense was one of the weaker offenses in the National League at the beginning of the year, and it is much weaker now that they are so short-handed. Arizona is without Kubel, Eaton, Hill, and Bloomquist. Jon Garland isn't a dominating pitcher for Colorado, but he should be able to hold this DBacks lineup down. Patrick Corbin is one of the most impressive young pitchers in the game. Corbin has a spectacular 1.71 ERA so far this year, and I expect big things from him moving forward. Chase Field isn't nearly as big of a hitters ballpark with the roof closed (and it will be closed on Sunday). The under is 7-0-1 in the last 8 meetings between these two teams. The under is 3-0-1 in Arizona's last 4 games. The under is 3-0-1 in Colorado's last 4 games. Take the under here.
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04-28-13 | Cincinnati Reds v. Washington Nationals -119 | 5-2 | Loss | -119 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Cincinnati Reds won their first road game of the year, but they have since dropped 8 in a row away from home. Washington started the season slowly, but the Nationals came into the year as a World Series favorite for a reason. Washington has a tremendous pitching staff and bullpen. The Nationals' lineup has also improved quite a bit in the past year. Ross Detwiler has an ERA under 2.5 in his career against the Reds. Anthony Cingrani will be his making his first Major League start on the road in this one. The Nationals aren't an easy lineup to face, and the Reds' hitters definitely haven't been giving their pitching staff much support as of late. The Nationals are 8-0 in their last 8 games in game 4 of a four game series. The Reds are 0-8 in their last 8 road games. Take Washington.
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04-27-13 | Tampa Bay Rays -109 v. Chicago White Sox | 10-4 | Win | 100 | 15 h 40 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* The Tampa Bay Rays have a budding star in pitcher Matt Moore. Moore may have the best stuff on their pitching staff and this is a staff that includes David Price and Jeremy Hellickson. Moore has dominated so far this year. He comes into this one with a 1.04 ERA this season. The White Sox offense has been terrible this year, and I don't see them figuring out Moore here. Gavin Floyd is struggling with his control, and the Rays offense should scrape across a few runs. The Rays are 6-0 in Moore's last 6 starts. The White Sox are 0-4 in Floyd's last 4 starts. Take Tampa Bay.
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04-27-13 | Cincinnati Reds v. Washington Nationals OVER 8 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 37 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Cincinnati Reds should finish the season with some of the best offensive numbers in the National League. Having said that, the Reds have totaled just one hit in each of their last two games in Washington. Dan Haren isn't the same pitcher he used to be, and I fully expect the Reds to be much better against him in this one. Mike Leake has a terrible history against Washington, and Leake lacks that dominating pitch to strike batters out. The over is 5-0-1 in Leake's last 6 starts against Washington. The over is 6-0 in the Reds last 6 against a team with a winning record. Take the over.
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04-26-13 | Pittsburgh Pirates v. St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 | 1-9 | Win | 100 | 19 h 32 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Play of the Day* Jonathan Sanchez is one of the worst starting pitchers in the majors and as long as he is starting games in the majors I'll be looking for chances to fade him. Sanchez comes into this one with an ERA above 10. Sanchez walks a ton of hitters, and the Cardinals are a very patient team. Lance Lynn has been a big moneymaker for bettors over the past year or so. The Cardinals are 26-10 in Lynn's last 36 starts. They are 15-1 in Lynn's last 16 starts against the NL Central. St. Louis has a much better lineup and a much better pitcher here. It looks like a mismatch all around. Take St. Louis -1.5.
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04-26-13 | Philadelphia Phillies +105 v. New York Mets | 4-0 | Win | 105 | 17 h 46 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Underdog Value* The New York Mets aren't as good as they have been playing of late, and the Philadelphia Phillies aren't as bad as they have played of late. Kyle Kendrick is a streaky pitcher, but he has pitched very well against the Mets in his career. At Citi Field, Kendrick has a stellar 2.6 ERA in his career. Dillon Gee has an ERA above 6 in his career against the Phillies. The Phillies are 6-2 in Kendrick's last 8 starts against the Mets. At plus money, I'll take the Phillies here. Take Philadelphia.
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04-26-13 | Atlanta Braves +117 v. Detroit Tigers | 0-10 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 47 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* The Atlanta Braves look to be the best team in baseball right now. Getting the Braves at plus money doesn't happen very often, and when I see them at this big of a number I have to consider them. The Braves actually have several guys with very good career numbers against Anibal Sanchez. Dan Uggla has 6 RBI's against him in just 10 at bats. Paul Maholm has completed dominated Prince Fielder (7 for 51 career against Maholm) and Austin Jackson (0 for 9 career). Atlanta is 7-0 in their last 7 in the first game of the series. The Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 as a road underdog. The Tigers are 0-4 in their last 4 Interleague Games. Take Atlanta.
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04-26-13 | Toronto Blue Jays v. New York Yankees OVER 9 | 4-6 | Win | 102 | 16 h 25 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Ivan Nova and Josh Johnson have both been struggling in a big way this year. Both of them come into this one with an ERA above 6 and a WHIP higher than 1.8. That tells me that these guys are constantly working with runners on base. They are fighting hard to avoid the big inning. Both of these offenses are better than the average MLB offense and big innings in this one shouldn't be a surprise. The Blue Jays hitters have some great career numbers against Nova. Recent unders have given us line value on this play. Take the over.
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