Free Football Picks

GamePlan

Game Details
Dec 11 '16, 1:00 PM in 12h
NFL | Cardinals vs Dolphins
Play on: Cardinals -2 -110 at 5Dimes
Game Analysis

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Free Pick

ARIZONA CARDINALS (-2) over MIAMI DOLPHINS

Here's an interesting NFL matchup with two teams fighting to make themselves relevant in the playoff chase in their respective Conferences. Arizona has been a disappointment at 5-6-1 so far this year, while the Dolphins have been quite a bit more competitive than expected. But that is where the misleading comparisons end.

Consider this. The Arizona Cardinals rank 9th in the NFL in Total Offense and an amazing 2nd in the NFL in total defense, yet have somehow managed to maintain a losing overall record to this point. The bottom line here has been turnovers and good old-fashioned bad luck. The Cardinals are a MUCH better team than they have shown to this point and should be mentally tough enough to make one last Playoff push before they write off this season.

Arizona is coming off a nice win over a pretty decent Washington Redskins team as it looked like Carson Palmer might finally be getting back some of the form he has shown in recent years. Running back David Johnson remains one of the better offensive weapons in the league, but the real strength here is a vastly underrated defensive unit which remains solid against the run and really good against the pass.

As for the Dolphins, they looked terrible early in the year which was somewhat predictable, but they came on quite a bit at mid-season to sneak into the Playoff chase. But Miami is coming off an embarrassing loss to the Baltimore Ravens where they were thoroughly dominated. The Dolphins still have a VERY shaky offensive line and that's not a good sign when you go up against a defense as fast and smart as Arizona. Miami's crazy 6-game winning streak which began in October included narrow wins over dreadful teams like the 49ers, the Rams and the Jets. And despite the winning record, they still rank just 28th in the league in passing offense as their offensive line simply does not hold up versus speed rushers.

We think the Cardinals get the job done here as a very small road favorite.

Pick Released on Dec 10 at 12:17 pm

Joseph D'Amico

Game Details
Dec 11 '16, 4:25 PM in 16h
NFL | Saints vs Bucs
Play on: Saints +2 -110 at betonline
Game Analysis

My NFL card this Sunday will SWEEP THE BOARD as I have my 9-1 TY(22-3 run) HIGH ROLLER, NFC NORTH GAME OF THE MONTH, and my 21-6 LAS VEGAS STRIP MOVE. So grab a broom cause this Sunday, WE ARE SWEEPING.

Sunday's FREE NFL winner: New Orleans Saints.

Game 121.

1:25 pm pst.

Tampa Bay has won 4 straight to share the top spot in the NFC South along with Atlanta. However, the NFL's most-prolific passing unit and the #2 overall scoring offense is coming to town. New Orleans comes off a loss to Detroit and which tied the team for their lowest scoring output of the season. The Saints will bounce back here against a Bucs team they have dominated, taking 8 of the L9 SU. New Orleans is also getting the bettors paid, covering their L7 on the road, going 7-1 ATS their L8 vs. NFC South foes, and riding a 7-2 ATS overall run. Tampa Bay is 20-44-1 ATS their L65 games played at home, 7-16 ATS their L23 games played in the month of December, and 1-8-1 ATS their L10 games played in Week 14. Take the Saints.

Pick Released on Dec 10 at 07:23 pm

Scott Spreitzer

Game Details
Dec 11 '16, 1:00 PM in 12h
NFL | Cardinals vs Dolphins
Play on: Cardinals -2 -110 at BMaker
Game Analysis

I'm laying the short number with the Arizona Cardinals on Sunday.  This line has jumped favorites, but we feel Arizona is still the right side.  First of all, the Cards are 13 points from four more wins. The offense is playing better of late with the passing game becoming less dependent on the deep route. RB David Johnson is not only running well, but was targeted 12 times in the passing game in last week's win.  Keep defenses honest and the deep passing game begins to open up.  Miami got bombed for 38 points by a pedestrian Baltimore offense last week. The defense struggles against the run and now the pass defense is struggling. Meanwhile, the Dolphin offense is little more than a one-trick pony, ranked 28th in yards passing per contest.  Sharp money was all over Arizona mid-week and we were part of the action.  I'm recommending a play on the Cardinals on Sunday.  Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer. 

Pick Released on Dec 10 at 09:08 am

Tony George

Game Details
Dec 11 '16, 4:25 PM in 16h
NFL | Seahawks vs Packers
Play on: Packers +3 -125 at BMaker
Game Analysis

Sunday NFL Marquee Match-Up 

Courtesy of Tony George Sports

Seattle @ Green Bay 

Yes, the Frozen Tundra lies in wait for the surging Seahawks this Sunday as Green Bay looks to continue their own surge to get to .500 on the record books with a win this Sunday.  The Packers off a big win last week, and an impressive performance the week before, continue to make strides despite injuries that have wreaked havoc on them all season, especially at the RB position and in the secondary.

Seattle is off a win, a blowout win actually against a beat up and reeling Carolina team last week, but the inconsistency of the Seahawks has me concerned in this one against a motivated and quite frankly desperate Packer team at home.  The Ocean Birds are just 2-3-1 on the road this season. The loss of Earl Thomas in the secondary is a huge hit for Seattle's vaunted defense, and I think it will affect their chemistry and performance at least in the short term, and against one of the better QB's in the NFL in Aaron Rodgers, I think it is a huge advantage for Green Bay to exploit this week as a rare home Underdog this weekend.  

Seattle has not won at Green Bay since 1999, and I do not think the Packers will at any point let off the throttle in this game as their very playoff hopes hinge in the balance with the outcome of this game.  The Packer are 6-1 against the spread their last 7 games in December and getting Clay Matthews back this Sunday as well which is a big plus, and despite a sore hamstring, Rodgers is playing near the top of his game.  Home field worth 3 points here, I like the Packers to win the game outright.

Take Green Bay +3 against the Las Vegas Line (make a Great half of a Teaser card at +9 as well) 

 

 

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Pick Released on Dec 10 at 11:15 am

Red Dog Sports

Game Details
Dec 11 '16, 6:00 AM in 5h
Soccer | Mallorca vs UD Almeria
Play on: Draw +200 at Bovada
Game Analysis

DRAW +200

Almeria 1

Mallorca 1

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Pick Released on Dec 10 at 09:46 am

Brandon Lee

Game Details
Dec 11 '16, 1:00 PM in 12h
NFL | Broncos vs Titans
Play on: Titans -2 -110 at betonline
Game Analysis

10* Free NFL Pick (Titans -2)

It's still up in the air if Denver starting quarterback Trevor Siemian will start, but I like the Titans at home regardless. If he plays, he's going to be doing so at less than 100%. If he doesn't, Tennessee could turn this into a blowout at home, much like they did in their last home game against the Packers. There's a lot to like besides the quarterback injury, as the Titans come into this one off their bye week, giving them two full weeks to prepare. Tennessee's offense is built around their running game, which ranks 3rd in the NFL at 141.5 ypg. Marcus Mariota is also playing exceptional football for this only being his second year, as he comes in with 25 TD's to just 8 INT's. He doesn't figure to have a big day against a stingy Denver secondary, but teams have exposed the Broncos defense on the ground, as they are 28th against the run, giving up 122.8 ypg. I also think you have to make note of the Broncos not playing nearly as good on the road as they have at home and this being the biggest home game for Tennessee this late in the season in quite some time. Give me the Titans -2!

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Pick Released on Dec 10 at 04:24 pm

Doc's Sports

Game Details
Dec 11 '16, 1:00 PM in 12h
NFL | Cardinals vs Dolphins
Play on: Dolphins -1 -110 at BMaker
Game Analysis

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. #116 Take Miami Dolphins over Arizona Cardinals (Sunday 1 pm FOX) Miami laid an egg last week against Baltimore but they still have won six of their last seven games and I expect them to bounce back in a big way on Sunday. Arizona is all but out of the playoff picture and teams traveling east for 1 pm games seldom perform well. Arizona has lost three straight road games including two of them by double digits. Arizona is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games. Miami is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports Weekend Card featuring top plays in college basketball and football. Doc collected with his Nonconference Game of the Year last Saturday (Gonzaga over Arizona) and has hit three straight top plays in the NFL. Jump on board this holiday season and let 45 years of handicapping experience work for you. 

Pick Released on Dec 06 at 02:51 pm

Chip Chirimbes

Game Details
Dec 11 '16, 1:00 PM in 12h
NFL | Bengals vs Browns
Play on: Browns +5½ -110 at BMaker
Game Analysis

Chip's AFC Megabucks Game of the Year (Pitt/Bills)

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Cincinnati at Cleveland 1:00 ET

Browns (+) over Bengals- For all of you that have been chasing the Browns) I have fallen to that) now is the time to cash your chips! Look last week was a 'gimme' for the Bengals as the Eagles were vulnerable on the road and Cincy needed it badly. But, guess what they are done and RGIII will be starting for Cleveland and just to have someone that once was a quarterback leading the offense help boost moral of a pathetic winless group that only seems to get worse as the year progresses. WHOO-RAY for Cleveland. Take the BROWNS!

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Pick Released on Dec 10 at 10:26 pm

Dave Price

Game Details
Dec 11 '16, 1:00 PM in 12h
NFL | Vikings vs Jaguars
Play on: UNDER 39.5 -110
Game Analysis

Dave's Sunday Free Play:

1* on Vikings/Jaguars UNDER 39.5

The Key: This one is pretty self-explanatory when you look at the numbers.  The Vikings have one of the best defenses in the NFL, but one of the worst offenses.  They rank 3rd in the NFL in total defense (303.4 YPG) and 4th in scoring defense (17.4 PPG).  But the Vikings are just 31st in total offense (296.8 YPG) and 26th in scoring offense (19.4 PPG).  Most would be shocked by this, but the Jaguars actually have the NFL's best defense over the last five weeks, giving up just 258.2 yards per game.  But the Jaguars rank just 27th in the league in scoring offense (18.7 PPG).  This may be the lowest total of the week, but it's not low enough.  The UNDER is 21-8-1 in Vikings last 30 games overall.  The UNDER is 16-5-1 in Vikings last 22 road games.  Take the UNDER.

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Pick Released on Dec 09 at 07:36 pm

Bryan Leonard

Game Details
Dec 11 '16, 1:00 PM in 12h
NFL | Texans vs Colts
Play on: Texans +6½ +100 at betonline
Game Analysis

109 Houston at Indianapolis

We are well aware of the Houston offensive struggles this year, but what about the Indy defensive problems. Sure QB Luck is the superior signal caller in this game but Houston is the better all-around team. Our rating show that this line is a good 2 1/2 points higher than it should be. On the season Houston has a +15 explosive play advantage over the Colts. 

Don't read too much into the Indy win last week over the Jets. Simply put New York quit in that game. The Jets would have made anyone look good last week. Let's take the generous points in this battle for the playoffs.

PLAY HOUSTON

Pick Released on Dec 10 at 03:10 pm

Jesse Schule

Game Details
Dec 11 '16, 4:25 PM in 16h
NFL | Saints vs Bucs
Play on: UNDER 51 -110
Game Analysis


The Saints will be on the road at Tampa this Sunday, and the bookmakers are expecting plenty of scoring in this one. The total is over 50, which is much higher than it was in the previous six meetings between the two teams. They failed to reach the total in four of those six games, and the two games that went over were both played at the Super Dome in New Orleans. Drew Brees leads the NFL in passing, but he's coming off his worst game of the season, throwing for 326 yards and three INTs in a home loss to Detroit. The Saints have lost three of their last four games, going under the total in all three of those losses. The Bucs on the other hand have won four in a row, and have allowed opponents to average just 13 points during that span. The Saints seem to score most of their points against the league's weaker teams, which is part of the reason they've failed to reach the total in six straight against teams with a winning record. The under is 7-1 in their last eight games at Tampa Bay, and they've gone under in six of their last eight road games.

Take UNDER.

GL,

Jesse Schule

Pick Released on Dec 10 at 02:18 am

Mikey Sports

Game Details
Dec 11 '16, 4:25 PM in 16h
NFL | Seahawks vs Packers
Play on: Packers +3 -120 at BMaker
Game Analysis

**37-20 65% LAST 57 OVERALL FOOTBALL PLAYS**

**#2 Ranked NFL in 2011-12**
**#9 Ranked NFL in 2008-09**
**#1 Ranked Overall in 2008**
**#8 Ranked Overall in 2009**

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Pick Released on Dec 06 at 05:35 pm

Pure Lock

Game Details
Dec 11 '16, 1:00 PM in 12h
NFL | Broncos vs Titans
Play on: Broncos +1 -110 at 5Dimes
Game Analysis

**9-3 75% LAST 12 REG SEASON NFL TOPS**

**16-5 76% LAST 21 OVERALL NFL TOPS**

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Pick Released on Dec 06 at 05:07 pm

R&R Totals

Game Details
Dec 11 '16, 1:00 PM in 12h
NFL | Chargers vs Panthers
Play on: UNDER 48.5 -110
Game Analysis

**#10 Ranked NFL in 2008-09**

**#4 Ranked Overall in 2015**

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Pick Released on Dec 06 at 05:20 pm

Rocky Atkinson

Game Details
Dec 11 '16, 1:00 PM in 12h
NFL | Chargers vs Panthers
Play on: Panthers -1 -115 at BMaker
Game Analysis

Rocketman Sports FREE NFL play Sunday 12-11-16 San Diego @ Carolina  1:00 PM EST
Play On:  Carolina -1 The San Diego Chargers travel to Carolina to take on the Panthers on Sunday afternoon.  San Diego is 5-7 SU overall this year while Carolina comes in with a 4-8 SU overall record on the season.  Carolina is 80-48 ATS last 128 games when playing against a team with a losing record.  Carolina is 54-28 ATS last 82 games when playing against a team with a losing record in the 2nd half of the season.  San Diego is allowing 26.6 points per game overall this year, 27.2 points per game on the road this season and 26.3 points per game on grass this year.  Carolina is 4-1 SU and ATS last 5 games overall vs San Diego.  Looking for the Panthers to finish strong the rest of the season.  We'll recommend a small play on Carolina today!  Thanks and good luck, Rocky Rocketman Sports has his 6* NFL Game of the Week going on Sunday!  Rocketman is documented 8-0 100% last 8 NFL plays after Kansas City wins outright as an underdog last week!  Rocketman is documented 72% with all of his NFL picks this year!  Going for our 9th straight NFL winner here Sunday!  Get on board now and WIN BIG again!
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Pick Released on Dec 07 at 06:55 pm

Marc Lawrence

Game Details
Dec 11 '16, 1:00 PM in 12h
NFL | Broncos vs Titans
Play on: Broncos +1 -110 at 5Dimes
Game Analysis

Play - Denver Broncos.

Edges - Broncos: 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS all-time in this series; and 11-2 ATS away off an away game. Titans: 1-11 ATS home vs. AFC West opponents; and 1-7 ATS in 2nd to last home games when facing a non-division foe when off a non-division game. With Tennessee in a huge ’step-up’ game and a puny 2-10 SU and 0-10-2 ATS during the final four games of the season since 2013, we recommend a 1* play on Denver.  Thank you and good luck as always. 

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Pick Released on Dec 09 at 04:39 pm

Jack Jones

Game Details
Dec 11 '16, 1:00 PM in 12h
NFL | Cardinals vs Dolphins
Play on: Cardinals -2 -110 at BMaker
Game Analysis

Jack's Free Pick Sunday: Arizona Cardinals -2

The Arizona Cardinals were on life support heading into last week.  But they gutted out a huge 31-23 home win over the Washington Redskins to get them right back in contention for the playoffs.  At 5-6-1, they are now 1.5 games back for the wild card spot and have head-to-head tiebreakers over two teams they are chasing in the Bucs and Redskins.

You could tell by the scene in the locker room how much that win meant to the players.  And now I look for an inspired effort from them this week in Miami as they look to continue their push to make the postseason.  And I totally agree with this line move in favor of the Cardinals as they opened as underdogs this week and now have been tabbed the betting favorite.

The biggest reason I agree is because there might not be a more underrated team in the NFL than the Cardinals.  Their raw numbers stack up as well as anyone's, and I still believe this is a borderline Top 5 team because of it.  The Cardinals actually lead the league in yardage differential, outgaining teams by 71.8 yards per game.  They are 6th in yards per play differential, outgaining teams by 0.5 yards per play.

The Cardinals boast the league's No. 2 ranked defense, allowing just 297.2 yards per game.  They have arguably the best running back in the NFL in David Johnson, who has rushed for 1,005 yards and 11 touchdowns, while also catching 64 balls for 704 yards and four more scores.  If there record was better, Johnson would be the clear-cut favorite to win the MVP.  And Carson Palmer is coming off one of his best games of the season against Washington.

Miami is one of the most overrated teams in the NFL.  The Dolphins are 7-5 this season, but the raw numbers show that they're not as good as their record.  They rank 29th in the NFL in yardage differential, getting outgained by 45.3 yards per game.  Only the Rams, Browns and 49ers have been worse in that department, so they're in some pretty bad company.

And we saw last week how badly Miami struggled against the No. 1 defense in the NFL, which was the Baltimore Ravens.  The Dolphins lost that game 6-38 while getting held to just 277 yards of offense.  Ryan Tannehill threw three interceptions in the loss.  Now the Dolphins have to face the No. 2 defense in the NFL this week in the Cardinals, and the No. 3 pass defense, which is allowing just 199.3 yards per game through the air.  Miami's offense really missed center Mike Pouncey, who was lost to injury a few weeks back and remains out.

The Dolphins are 0-10 ATS in December games over the last three seasons.  Miami is 2-14 ATS in its last 16 home games after having won six or seven of its last eight games coming in.  The Dolphins are 14-43-1 ATS in their last 58 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.  Arizona is 5-1 ATS in its last six December games.  Bruce Arians is 6-0 ATS in December road games as the coach of Arizona.  Bet the Cardinals Sunday.

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Pick Released on Dec 09 at 07:19 pm

Jimmy Boyd

Game Details
Dec 11 '16, 1:00 PM in 12h
NFL | Texans vs Colts
Play on: Colts -6½ -110 at 5Dimes
Game Analysis

Free Pick on Colts -

Hard to not like Indianapolis laying less than a touchdown at home against the Texans. The Colts seemed to have figured things out and are playing their best football at this time. Houston on the other hand is trending in the wrong direction. So while they are sitting here in Week 14 with the same record, I think it’s clear who the better team is.

On top of that, this is a huge revenge game for the Colts, who still have be sick about how they lost that first meeting. Playing at home is a big advantage for Indianapolis. Houston is just 1-5 on the road this season with the only win coming against the Jaguars. On top of that, all 5 losses have come by at least 8 points.

While the Colts are averaging just 22.5 ppg at home, one of those came without Andrew Luck in the lineup. When Luck has played at home, the Indy is putting up 25.6 ppg. Given the success they had at Houston and the Texans allowing 25.7 ppg on the road, they should get to that mark here.

I just don’t see Houston being able to score enough here to keep pace. Brock Osweiler has been a major bust coming over from the Broncos. He’s got just 14 touchdowns to 13 interceptions. His 5.77 average per completion really tells the story.

While Luck and the Colts offense is going to get a lot of the attention, it’s the improved play on defense that has them going in the right direction. They are certainly capable of shutting down this Texans offense. Houston had just 235 total yards before racking up 179 in the final 7 minutes of regulation and overtime. Keep in mind the Texans come in only averaging 13.2 ppg and 284 ypg on the road this season.

Houston is 3-13 ATS in their last 16 road games in the 2nd half against teams who average 5.65 or more yards/play. The Texans are also just 6-17 ATS in their last 23 games played in a dome. Colts on the other hand are 13-2 off a road win by 21 points or more. Take Indianapolis!

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Pick Released on Dec 10 at 03:28 pm

Brandon Shively

Game Details
Dec 11 '16, 1:00 PM in 12h
NFL | Vikings vs Jaguars
Play on: Jaguars +3 +105 at betonline
Game Analysis

This is a 1* Free Pick on the Jacksonville Jaguars

This is by far more of a play against the Vikings than it is on the Jaguars. The Jaguars are a team who have outgained their opponents this season by an average of 23 yards a game but are 2-10 in the record book. It’s hard to handicap turnovers in the NFL or predict them, but the Jaguars rank last in the NFL with a -18 mark in the give/take away department. On the other hand, the Vikings are +13 in the same department. Given that stat, one will say the play is on the Vikings here, but I am going on a limb and advising a small play on the Jaguars here.

 

If Blake Bortles continues to throw pick 6’s, then the Jaguars are going to have a hard time covering, but the team is in desperate need of a home win.

 

Jacksonville has an underrated defense ranked 4th in the NFL. Their pass defense ranks 2nd in fewest yards per game. Minnesota isn’t going to scare Jacksonville with their offense that is easy to predict where the ball is going. While Bortles has been interception prone, Sam Bradford has to throw the ball short part because his offensive line can’t protect him and the other part because his arm strength is weak.

 

Minnesota has the worst rushing attack in the NFL. Jacksonville will look to make the Vikings one-dimensional and they will look to force some turnovers. It starts with a pass rush against the Vikings vulnerable line.

 

The Vikings are 3-10 ATS their L13 as a road favorite. They are 0-4 ATS their last 4 when laying 3 points or more. They are 0-2 SU and ATS this year as a road favorite facing a team off a loss. The Vikings only scored 10 points in these 2 games against the Bears and Eagles. Now, the clincher for me is that when the Vikings are a road favorite off a loss against a team off a loss also, they are 1-15 ATS since 1989! I wouldn’t be surprised to see this line climb to +3.5 before kickoff, which is even better. (1* Jacksonville)

 

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Pick Released on Dec 10 at 08:24 pm