The NHL Totals Play is on the over 5.5 goals in the Chicago at Columbus game. In the series 34 of 50 have played over. Chicago has gone over in their last 7 games and 3 of their first 4 this year have had at least 5 goals scored. Columbus looks for their first win and has flown over in 9 of the last 11 with 3 or more days rest. Look for this game to play over. On Friday on espn the PAC 12 100% Play of the month is up and backed with a big power system and several solid angles. An early 5* for Saturday is also up. Jump on now and start the weekend big. for the free play. Play Chicago and Columbus over the total. RV
Saturday College Football FREE Play
#372 - Memphis @ Navy +2 *3:30 EST
On the Middies for homecoming off a bye week and with a win over Houston under their belt as well. Navy is ranked 25th in the country and this is a huge game for them. Memphis allowed 374 yards rushing last year to Navy and had serious issues beating Tulane last week as well. This is not the same Memphis team that rolls over everyone as in years past under a new coaching staff this year. No protection for the QB for the Tigers with a weak OL, and Navy has a very aggressive defense that kept QB Ward from Houston in check to some degree and we are catching points with a live dog at home here fully capable of winning this game by a TD +.
Navy will allow some points here but has an offense that can put up points (46 on a good Houston D) and QB Worth no joke at throwing the ball which is something new for Navy since all world QB Reynold graduated last year. Memphis 0-2 ATS on the road this year against a rested and prepared Navy team who won this game 45-20 last year on the road, and while it will be closer than that, give me the Middies!
Free Play on Navy +2.5 - Outright Win
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1* Free Play Seattle Seahawks.
Reasoning: We had a play on Seattle last weekend and the Seahawks would let a big lead slip away, only to then somehow find a way to win the game 26-24 SU, unable to cover the six points.
After losing three of its first four, the Cardinals have bounced back with consecutive victories. Last week they handled the toothless Jets 28-3 with Carson Palmer leading the way after he was sidelined with an injury for two weeks.
We think that ‘Hawks QB Russell Wilson is almost back to 100% health, which is going to be trouble for the Cardinals today. Note that Seattle is 9-5 ATS in its last 14 agains the division, while Arizona is just 5-10 ATS in its last 15 against teams with winning records.
We like the Seahawks in this matchup, despite Palmer being back, we think Arizona still has a lot of question marks on the offensive side of the ball, a unit which led the league in scoring last year. Consider a second look at the visitors in this one.
I'm backing Navy plus the points on Saturday. The Middies will look to extend their true home field run to 14 wins in a row and in the process, hold onto first place in the AAC West. Will Worth has proven his worth since taking over as starting QB in the Navy triple-option and will provide the Memphis Tiger defense with their toughest run-based test yet. We aren't firm believers in the Tigers quite yet, beating up on softies SE Missouri State, Kansas, & Bowling Green before conference season began. We give them credit for their come-from-behind win over Temple, after trailing by 13 points and they are in off a win over option-based Tulane. But there's a big difference between Tulane's option in its initial season and Navy's fierce and tough to prepare for attack. We also have a nice scheduling advantage for the Middies. Navy has not traveled since October 1 and had a chance to get a couple players healthy with last week's postponement against ECU. The unexpected week off also allowed the Middies to escape a potential flat spot after beating Houston the previous week. Navy enters on an 18-6 ATS run at home and they're 6-1 ATS in their last seven conference games, overall. Meanwhile, the Tigers have covered just six of their last 25 (3 pushes) on the road against teams with a winning home record. We'll back Navy plus the points on Saturday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
Fresno St. has just one win this season and that was against Sacramento St. of the FCS. The Bulldogs have been competitive a couple of other times however in five of their six FBS games, they have been outgained by 132, 365, 164, 133 and 147 total yards so it has hardly been pretty. They have just one road win over their last 10 trips on the highway and they are coming into a bad situation here. Utah St. was supposed to contend in the Mountain Division of the MWC but it has dropped its first three conference games including a loss as a favorite at Colorado St. in their last game. The Aggies are coming off a bye week so they will be extra motivated to get into the win column and pile it on for that matter. Additionally, they have won and covered six straight games when playing with two weeks of rest. They are 2-1 at home and the lone loss came against Air Force in a game could have won as they outgained the Falcons by 88 yards but lost the turnover battle 2-0. Going back, they are 16-2 in their last 18 home games and covering this number should be a non-issue. Fresno St. is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 road games and going back further, the Bulldogs are 4-16 ATS in their last 20 road games following a home loss. Utah St. meanwhile is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 home games after scoring 24 or more in the first half last game. Play (410) Utah St. Aggies
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I like the draw in this match set for Friday in France. The total is set at 2 so they are expecting a low score and I think it ends 1-1.
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This is a Free play on Texas A&M.
The defending champions are rolling, coming off back-to-back blowout wins on the road versus Arkansas and Tennessee. With their "air of invincibility" firmly intact, I think they are due to suffer a let down here against the Aggies. Texas A&M is coming off a bye week, allowing them to put everything they've got into preparing for this game.
Alabama is asked to cover an enormous spread here at home, even greater than the 18-point margin they defeated the Aggies by last year. Texas A&M is a far better team since the addition of Trevor Knight at quarterback, and the former Oklahoma Sooner has accounted for 12 touchdowns in four games in conference play.
The best game of Trevor Knight's career came in the 2014 Sugar Bowl, throwing for 348 yards and four touchdowns in a 45-31 win over Alabama. He's got a talented group of wide receivers here at A&M, and one of the best defenses in the country behind him. Don't be surprised if history repeats itself here in Tuscaloosa.
355 UL Monroe at New Mexico
The Warhawks enter play at 1-4 on the season against FBS opposition. Last week the team got its first win by beating Texas State. While the final scores show a 1-4 team when looking at yards per play ULM should be 2-3 on the season. Against Idaho the team beat the Vandals 6.9 ypp to 5.8 but a negative four turnover margin cost them the win.
This is a major sandwich game for the Lobos after knocking off fellow option offense Air Force last week in Dallas, and flying to the islands to take on Hawaii next week. While New Mexico 2-3 on the season against FBS opposition, it’s also 2-3 in yards per play. And take a look at the schedule this team has faced. New Mexico State, Rutgers, San Jose State, Boise State and Air Force. The first three opponents could be considered the very bottom 10 of a lot of peoples power ratings. Boise State is the only very good team the Lobos have played and it lost by 28 at home in that contest. ULM on the other hand has faced both Oklahoma and Auburn on the road. Simply put these two teams are much closer to even than this line dictates. In fact, when analyzing explosive plays per game the Warhawks are the better club. We are aware of the quarterback situation for the Warhawks and it has been figured into our handicap. This one is decided late.
PLAY UL MONROE
Free Play from Doc’s Sports. #345 Take Hawaii Warriors over Air Force Falcons (Saturday 2 pm the MWC) I just do not believe Air Force is good enough to be laying this big of a number against conference foes. The Falcons are coming off back to back losses against fringe bowl teams (New Mexico & Wyoming) and now they are set to take on another fringe bowl team in Hawaii. The Warriors were on their way to becoming bowl eligible before taking a step back last week blowing a late lead to UNLV in the fourth quarter. That being said Hawaii has won two of their last three games including a road win at San Jose State. This team has been rejuvenated under a new coach and I do not see them getting blown out in too many games this season. Take the points as we expect this game to go down to the wire. Do not miss Doc’s Sports Weekend Football card featuring top plays on Saturday and Sunday. Jump on board now and let 45 years of handicapping experience work for you.
6-0 RUN IN COLLEGE FOOTBALL (9-1) AND LOOKING TO GO 3-0 THURSDAY
Play on: LSU (400) over Ole Miss @ 9:00 Eastern
SEC GAME OF THE WEEK
Not oblivious to the fact, the Tigers are off back-to-back wins versus struggling Missouri and Southern Miss. We will point out that LSU had just one more first down than the Golden Eagles. And, that QB Etling threw an interception, but was fairly-consistent in the short range. Therefore, we are counting on the LSU defense to come up with the game changing plays against talented QB Kelly, and the Mississippi offense that is ranked #44 scoring 39.7 points per game. While possessing the #21 passing offense nationally. Remember, though, the Tigers defense is ranked #10 in the country holding the opposition to just 312 yards per game. Just as critical from the emotional standpoint, this is a major revenge game for LSU after pasted last season 38-17 after falling behind early. Also, the other emotional angle for the Tigers brings their current interim coach Ed Orgeron to the forefront as he coached the Ole Miss for three seasons, but was let go. There is one game that you can count on for sheer emotion, it will be Saturday night in Death Valley. Granted recent series techs point to Mississippi, but the home team is 6-1 SU. In addition, the Tigers have covered 5 straight in the month of October.
#NFL Free Pick from Mike Lundin
Play: Minnesota Vikings
The Minnesota Vikings are on an insane 19-3 ATS run, and they're the only team in the league with a perfect straight up and ATS record this season. They'll visit the Philadelphia Eagles Sunday afternoon, and this looks like a good spot to give the points to back the visitors.
Philly has been road favorites in each of its last two games, at Detroit and Washington, and lost both outright. The Eagles were outgained by a total of 254 yards in last week's 27-20 loss to the Redskins while the Vikings were at home practicing during their bye week. Minnesota is such a disciplined and solid team as it is, so one can only imagine how they'll play here coming off an extra week of preparations.
Rookie QB Carson Wentz has been a great find for the Eagles, but now he'll come up against arguably the toughest D in the league. Minny gave up 16 points in its season opening 11-point victory at Tennessee, and it has held each of its four opponents since to even fewer points.
Mike Lundin has a total of four premium NFL winners lined up for Sunday. The action starts early with his Top Rated 10* Super Early NFL *Giants/Rams at London* selection followed by a NFL 3-pack, covering Redskins vs. Lions, Chargers vs. Falcons and Patriots vs. Steelers.
Jack's Free Pick Friday: California -3
I simply trust the Cal Golden Bears more here. They have shown me enough to know that they are the better team in this matchup. With wins over the likes of Utah and Texas at home, they certainly have proven they are capable of beating quality teams on their home turf.
I think California comes in undervalued due to its 44-47 loss at Oregon State as 13.5-point favorites. But the Golden Bears caught a bad break when Davis Webb hurt his hand early in that contest, and finished just 23 of 44 passing for 113 yards with an interception. The injury clearly had an effect on him, but he’s fully healthy now that he’s had nearly two weeks off in between games.
I’m also certain that Oregon has its worst team in a long time in 2016. The Ducks are just 2-4 with their only wins coming at home against UC Davis and Virginia. But when they have taken a step up in competition in their last four games, they have been overmatched.
They did suffer a narrow road loss 32-35 at Nebraska and a slim 38-41 home loss to Colorado, but their last two games have really shown their true colors. The Ducks were outgained by 235 yards in a 33-51 loss at Washington State and by 273 yards in an ugly 21-70 home loss to Washington.
This four-game losing streak has forced head coach Mark Helfrich, who is clearly on his hot seat, to question his quarterback play. He switched from Dakota Prukop to Justin Herbert for the Washington game. It was an interesting move considering Prukop was completing 66.2 percent of his passes with eight touchdowns and two interceptions before getting demoted. Either way, having a QB controversy is not good for the program.
The real problem for the Ducks is on defense, where they just can’t stop anyone. They are giving up 41.8 points, 522.7 yards per game and 6.5 yards per play this season. The Golden Bears have only been slightly better on that side of the ball, but I trust them to get more stops than Oregon in this game.
Back to Davis Webb, who is having an excellent season and is clearly an NFL-caliber starter. He is completing 60.8 percent of his passes for 2,256 yards with 22 touchdowns and seven interceptions. But the Golden Bears are far from one-dimensional as they’re averaging 152 rushing yards and 4.8 per carry. This balance has led to the offense putting up 42.3 points and 530.2 yards per game against opponents that only allow 29.3 points and 415 yards per game.
Cal is going to be highly motivated to end a seven-game losing streak to Oregon in this series. This is its best chance to beat the Ducks in quite some time, and just like Washington ended its 12-game skid to Oregon, I expect the Golden Bears to do the same at home Friday night. Cal has won both of its home games this season while Oregon has lost both of its road contests.
Plays against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (OREGON) – off a home loss by 14 or more points are 33-11 (75%) ATS over the last five seasons. The Ducks are the only winless team ATS this season and are 0-7-1 ATS in their last eight games overall. The Golden Bears are 7-1 ATS after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game. The home team is 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings. Bet California Friday.
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Jack is at it again this year as he's currently the #7 CFB Capper in 2016-17! He is off to a solid 36-25 Start this season to add to his HUGE 336-261 CFB Run long-term! He is also on a 217-151 Run on CFB top plays rated 20* or higher!
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Uconn / Central Florida Under 48 1.1% Free Play (Now 7-1 ATS This Year on Free Play)
I like the under in this game between UCF and Connecticut. The under is 33-16-2 in UCF’s last 51 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. That’s the key as Central Florida is a run first team running it 61% of the time and 65% on the road. Central Florida does not trust their group of QB’s who have 1 TD and 2 INT’s on the road and that’s where Uconn has issues on their defense. If you can pass the ball well then you are a threat to score a lot of points against Uconn.
I think this sets up well for the under as well looking at the fact that both teams come off misleading totals in their last game. Uconn played South Florida and the score was 14-3 at the half, but the final ended up being 42-27 with a ton of points scored in the second half. Central Florida meanwhile played Temple last week and had 25 points despite only 296 yards of offense while going 2-12 on third down.
Both teams are very good in third down defense, and red zone defense which makes me feel comfortable that there will be a lot of field goals. Central Florida struggles to score points when they can’t run the ball. Sure they scored 53 and 47 on East Carolina and Florida International on the road, but both of those teams struggle stopping the run while Uconn is ranked 55th in adjusted run defense. Uconn has really only given up big rushing games to Navy, a challenge in itself and South Florida who has a top 10 rushing attack with a dual threat QB. Uconn even kept Houston’s attack in check.