Free Football Picks


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NCAA-F  |  Dec 07
Duke vs. Florida State		 Florida State
-29-110  at  BODOG		 > 3h.
ACC Championship 8:00 ET, Charlotte, NC
Duke vs Florida State 8:00 ET
Seminoles (-) over Blue Devils- One thing about Florida State they can beat you on both sides of the ball (and you can beat your man today with Chipper's PAC-12 Championship Game of the Year winner between Stanford and ASU) as they are 2nd in the nation in scoring, Baylor's is #1. (You can score with the Nation's #1 handicapper with today's late Money Game winner between Utah State and Fresno State) and State gas held half their opponents to seven points or less. The Blue Devils have done a great job and haven't suffered letdowns (Chipper won't let you down with his Big-Ten Power Play winner between Ohio State and Michigan State) after big wins, but this time around they are out-of-their-league'. The Seminoles have scored over 50 points seven times with a high of 80. Duke will also find in difficult to more the ball against this defense that held the Devils to 7 points in their last meeting. Too much too fast (Get a fast start with today's SEC Megabucks winner between Missouri and Auburn) for Duke they are in over their head here. Take FLORIDA STATE!

NBA  |  Dec 07
Dallas Mavericks vs. Portland Trailblazers		 Dallas Mavericks
+6-110  at  SPBOOK		 > 5h.
Free Play for Saturday
Dallas Mavericks +6
Bottom Line: I like this rested Dallas team to keep this one closer than the oddsmakers think. The Mavs are 25-9 ATS in their last 34 road games and 18-6 ATS in road games when playing on 2 days' rest under coach Carlisle. Dallas is also a phenomenal 61-36 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less under Carlisle. The Mavericks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games versus a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600 and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings with Portland. The Mavs have won or lost be fewer than 6 points in each of their last 13 games with the Trail Blazers.

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NCAA-F  |  Dec 07
Duke vs. Florida State		 Florida State
-28½-106  at  5DIMES		 > 3h.
Ryan won easily with Bowling Green as they destroyed Northern Illinois. He also set you up with a huge Money Line and Line Combination wager that paid off big. Now, in a very similar setup, he has another BIG time DOG that is backed by a ML system that has averaged a +230 DOG play and has won huge money. He is an amazing 42-20 ATS for 68% winners.


5* graded play on the Florida State Seminoles as they take on Duke in the ACC Championship game set to start at 8:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that FSU will win this game by 31 or more points. There are few items preventing this from being graded as a Top Rated 10* Titan where I have gone 42-20 ATS for 68% winners. The one is that when FSU gets out to a second-half 28+ lead, the starters will come out of the game, especially Winston, and many members of the defense allowing for a Duke cover down the stretch.Now, 8 weeks ago, I stated that FSU was my pick to win the BCS Championship game. That appeared to be a bit of a reach back then, but now everyone has taken notice of this very special team. The team has incredible chemistry and the team positively is led by the defense. I had FSU as a 10* 'UNDER' play last week in the Swamp and stated that a possible shutout was possible and it nearly happened. FSU ranks second in both offensive and scoring defense. This compares very favorably to a Duke team that ranks 39th in scoring offense and just 42nd in scoring defense. Making matters worse is that the Duke secondary will be targeted early and often. They rank a dismal 72nd in the nation allowing 7.3 yards-per-pass. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 36-11 ATS mark for 77% winners since 2002. Play on favorites of 21.5 to 31 points (FLORIDA ST) after scoring 37 points or more in 4 straight games. Take the Seminoles.

NFL  |  Dec 08
Tennessee Titans vs. Denver Broncos		 Tennessee Titans
+13-115  at  SPBOOK		 > 23h.
FREE PLAY for 12/8/13
Tennessee Titans +13
The Key: It's supposed to be frigid in Denver Sunday afternoon. Given Peyton Manning's track record in the cold, I expect the Broncos to go with a heavy dose of Knowshon Moreno. There's just one problem, Tennessee is pretty darn good defensively. The Titans rank 9th in the NFL in total defense with 326.6 yards per game allowed and should be able to get enough stops to keep this one within the number. There is plenty of history on our side as well. Consider that road underdogs or pickems that check in off a road loss are 169-103 ATS the last 10 seasons. They tighten up to 99-54 ATS during this span if the game takes place in the second half of the season. The Titans are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games and 6-1 ATS in their last seven games following an ATS loss. Take the points.

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NCAA-F  |  Dec 07
Ohio State vs. Michigan State		 Michigan State
+6-110  at  BETONLINE		 > 3h.
FREE PLAY for 12/7/13
Michigan State +6
The Key: Michigan State is showing value catching points because of its stop unit, which leads the nation with 237.3 yards allowed per game. The Spartans defeated Ohio State 10-7 on the road in 2011 and then played the Buckeyes to a one-point game (17-16) at home last year. I expect another close contest here. Michigan State is an impressive 6-0 ATS when playing away from home against teams that have a winning record over the last two seasons. The Spartans concluded the regular season with back-to-back double-digit wins over Northwestern and Minnesota. These victories are significant because Michigan State is 6-0 ATS under coach Dantonio when playing away from home off two consecutive double-digit victories over conference foes. The Spartans have certainly proven to be a sound investment outside East Lansing late in the season as they are 7-0 ATS in road/neutral field games in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Ohio State is very reliant on its running game. However, it will have a tough time running on a Michigan State defense that leads the nation with 64.4 rushing yards per game allowed. The Buckeyes complete 66.7% of their passes, but the majority of their aerial opportunities are set up by the running game. In addition, the Spartans have gone 6-0 ATS this season versus team that complete 58% or more of their passes. Take the points.

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NFL  |  Dec 08
Tennessee Titans vs. Denver Broncos		 Tennessee Titans
+13-115  at  BODOG		 > 23h.
This is a 1* Free Play on Tennessee.

Obviously, the Broncos are a very good team. That doesn't mean that they can't be over-valued though.

In this case, I believe the number will prove to be a little too high.

Let's check it out.

The Titans have been at their best on the road. In six games away from Tennessee this season, they're 5-1 ATS.

They won outright at Pittsburgh, St. Louis and Oakland. They lost at Indianapolis, Seattle and Houston.

A closer look at those three road losses reveals that none of them came by more than eight points. The Titans lost by six at Houton, by seven at Seattle and by eight at Indianapolis.

The only time that the Titans were double-digit underdogs was at Seattle, a game where they covered the spread.

As for the Broncos, they've now seen four straight games decided by 10 or fewer points.

With three of the Broncos' last four games coming against divisional opponents - and the other a primetime thriller vs. the Patriots - it may be a little hard to "get up" for the Titans.

Despite their 5-7 overall record, the Titans remain in the hunt in the AFC Wildcard race. They know they desperately need this game though, if they want to keep their hopes alive. I won't be surprised to see them keep things much closer than many will be expecting. Consider taking the points.

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NCAA-F  |  Dec 07
Ohio State vs. Michigan State		 Ohio State
-5-110  at  BMAKER		 > 3h.
Ohio State's offense trumps Michigan State's defense plus the Buckeyes' defense is underrated. The Buckeyes have played with big leads in many of their games so their defensive numbers are somewhat skewed.



Michigan State hasn't faced an offense nearly this good, nor a quarterback anywhere near the caliber of Braxton Miller, nor a running back as good as Carlos Hyde. The Buckeyes are No. 3 in the nation in scoring at 48.2 points a game and rank sixth in total yards at 531.



Ohio State's win streak nearly ended at 23 this past week against Michigan. The Buckeyes held on, 42-41. I like Urban Meyer off a big scare. I see the Buckeyes coming in with their A game. Michigan State is incapable of playing from behind.

(Editor's note: Vegas wise guy Stephen Nover has his College Football Game of the Year going Saturday. It can be purchased individually, or as part of a special customer appreciation package along with his Friday MAC title game play and his Saturday Pac-12 title game selection.)












NCAA-F  |  Dec 07
UL-Lafayette vs. South Alabama		 South Alabama
-3-108  at  5DIMES		 > 3h.
S. Alabama -3 1.1* Free Play
UL Lafayette is the under dog here despite being the best out of the Sun Belt? The reason why is Lafayette has clinched the Sun Belt and have already accepted their bowl game. Their head coach has already admitted they will be experimenting with some things for their bowl game. Meanwhile South Alabama has a ton of upper classmen playing in their final game trying to become bowl eligible with their 6th win. I don't think they'll go to a bowl game, but the motivation should still be there and 3 of their 5 losses were by a combined 3 points.

NFL  |  Dec 08
Minnesota Vikings vs. Baltimore Ravens		 Baltimore Ravens
-6½-115  at  SIA		 > 20h.
This is a 1* Free Play on the Baltimore Ravens. (@1PM EST)

The Minnesota Vikings sit at 3-8 SU and 6-6 ATS after a 23-20 win over the Chicago Bears in OT at home. Adrian Peterson had 211 yards rushing while Matt Cassel threw for 243 yards and a TD. Greg Jennings had 78 yards and one TD as the top receiving option. The Baltimore Ravens come off a hard fought 22-20 win at home over the Pittsburgh Steelers on Thanksgiving. Joe Flacco completed 24 of 35 passes for 251 yards and one TD. Torrey Smith had 93 yards receiving on six receptions, including a TD score. Justin Tucker kicked five FG’s in this game. Lost in the Mike Tomlin controversy is the fact that the Ravens have been playing some good football and especially at home. Baltimore has won three straight home games and is now 4-1 ATS in friendly confines. The Vikings have admittedly played better of late but the team is still just 0-5 SU on the road. Don’t over think this one and lay the points with the home team Ravens while expecting them to cover the spread along the way.

AAA

NFL  |  Dec 08
St Louis Rams vs. Arizona Cardinals		 Arizona Cardinals
-6-110  at  SPBOOK		 > 23h.
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Sunday's Free NFL Winner is Arizona over St. Louis. The NFC West is owned by Seattle at 11-1, but they have a showdown today with 2nd place, San Francisco, who is 8-4. Arizona is 7-5. And St. Louis is 5-7. Outside of the NFC South's, Saints and Panthers, the NFC is up for grabs. St. Louis beat Arizona, 27-24 back in September. However, over the last month and a half, the Cardinals are 4-1 both SU and ATS while the Rams are 2-4 SU, going 3-3 ATS. Arizona won 4 straight before a heartbreaking 24-21, loss to Philly last week. 'Zona has Carson Palmer's 3189 YP and 19 TDs. Unfortunately they also have his 17 INTs as well. The backfield of Mendenhall and (expected to play) Ellington, have 908 YR and 7 scores. Wideouts, Floyd and Fitzgerald will tear up St. Louis' 19th ranked Passing Defense. The Rams are a mess on offense, ranking 26th in Passing and 25th in Overall Yards. Center, Scott Wells broke his leg last week and is out, leaving poor QB, Kellen Clemons in the lurch. The workload falls upon RB, Zac Stacy. But he must face the 4th best Rush "D" in the NFL, who is also the 7th best in Yards Allowed, and 8th in Overall Points Allowed. Take Arizona here with a small lean. But to ensure a profit this weekend, get all my winners right here. This is Joe D'Amico. Thank you.

NCAA-F  |  Dec 07
Utah State vs. Fresno State		 Utah State
+3-115  at  SPBOOK		 > 5h.
*3 Star NCAA FB Free Pick* The Utah State Aggies have the best defense in the Mountain West by a mile. Defense wins title games, and I think that is exactly what will happen here. Fresno State was beaten last week, which ruined their chance at a BCS bowl. The Bulldogs are in a letdown spot here. Utah State will be ready to play here. I think the Aggies have a great chance at winning, but I really like getting three points. Take Utah State.

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NFL  |  Dec 08
Carolina Panthers vs. New Orleans Saints		 Carolina Panthers
+3-105  at  SPBOOK		 > 1d.
Free Pick on Carolina Panthers +

The Panthers are easily the hottest team in the NFL right now. They have won eight consecutive games, with five of those wins coming by a double-digit margin. They have held seven of those eight opponents to 16 points or less. Carolina is playing for a chance to take sole possession of the NFC South, so motivation will not be an issue.

The Saints are playing beat up on a short week after getting crushed by Seattle on Monday. They have scored over 20 points just once in their last three games, and it seems unlikely they will put up any decent offensive numbers this week against arguably the best defense in the NFL. Carolina is allowing an average of just 13.1 points per game, while scoring 23.7 points per game. They have a dual threat quarterback with Cam Newton, and he figures to be a matchup nightmare for the New Orleans defense.

NBA  |  Dec 07
Sacramento Kings vs. Utah Jazz		 Utah Jazz
-2-105  at  5DIMES		 > 4h.
NBA FREE PICK ON UTAH JAZZ -2 (#3 HANDICAPPER OVERALL 2013)

NCAA-F  |  Dec 07
Ohio State vs. Michigan State		 Michigan State
+6-110  at  BETONLINE		 > 3h.
Jack's Free Pick Saturday: Michigan State +6

The Michigan State Spartans are a couple of blown pass interference calls by the refs against Notre Dame away from being 12-0 this season. They have rallied behind one of the most underrated head coaches in the country in Mike Dantonio, who just gives his players the belief that they can beat anyone they play. This team certainly feels like it can beat Ohio State, especially after losing by a single point to the Buckeyes last year. The Spartans weren’t nearly as good last season as they are in 2013.

Michigan State has been winning behind the best defense in the entire country. The Spartans are giving up just 11.7 points and 237.3 yards per game to rank 1st in the FBS in total defense. They have been much better on this side of the ball than Ohio State, which is giving up 355.8 yards per game on the season. That includes 603 yards to Michigan last week in a game the Buckeyes really should have lost, but won 42-41 in Ann Arbor. That’s the same Wolverines’ offense that didn’t managed 600 total yards in their previous two games combined coming in.

While Ohio State does have the edge offensively, Michigan State has been playing very well on this side of the ball of late. It has found its running game, averaging 186 yards per game and 4.5 per carry on the ground this season. Most of that can be attributed to Jeremy Langford, who has rushed for over 100 yards in seven straight games coming in.

Ohio State relies heavily on its running game, but Michigan State has the perfect antidote. The Spartans are giving up just 64.8 rushing yards per game and 2.2 per carry to rank 1st in the country against the run. I believe their ability to stop the run will be the difference in this game Saturday.

Michigan State is 6-0 against the spread in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the past two seasons. The Spartans are 9-1 against the number in their last 10 Saturday road games. Michigan State is 7-1-1 against the spread in its last nine vs. a team with a winning record. The last two meetings between Ohio State and Michigan State over the past two seasons were decided by a combined four points. Bet Michigan State Saturday.

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NCAA-F  |  Dec 07
Duke vs. Florida State		 Total
62 ov-110  at  BETONLINE		 > 3h.

12/07 8:00 PM EST CF (123) DUKE VS (124) FLORIDA STATE
Take: over the total.
Reason: Your free pick for Saturday, December 7th, 2013, comes in the ACC title game as Duke and Florida State battle. Duke has a fine offense (33.7 ppg) though the defense gave up 58 to Pitt and 30 to Miami....and Florida State is far better than those two on offense! The over is 12-5-1 in the Blue Devils last 18 conference games. Florida State features the nation's second-ranked scoring offense, averaging 53.7 points per game. Florida State's roster is full of elite players who possess elite size, strength and speed. This team has taken down the three ranked teams it faced (Maryland, Clemson and Miami) by a combined score of 155-28. The over is 7-1 in the Seminoles last eight conference games, a 10-2 run over the total overall. Play Duke/Florida State Over the Total.

NFL  |  Dec 08
Minnesota Vikings vs. Baltimore Ravens		 Baltimore Ravens
-6-110  at  BMAKER		 > 20h.
Minnesota at Baltimore

By Tony George Sports

Minny @ Baltimore -7

A team at 6-6 is laying a full TD in December with allot on the line? Usually that is a fade for me, but this Sunday the Ravens try and keep pace with the Bengals and stay in the playoff hunt, and the Vikings are the PERFECT opponent for them. When your offense is struggling, which the Ravens is, what a perfect defense to go up against. The Ravens home field is worth 4 points here, where they are a cover machine at home, and this is a dream matchup for them when they need it most.

Minnesota is banged up at QB again, word is a Matt Cassel sighting is near for Sunday, who is not going to do any favors for the offense for the Vikings, and AD at running back faces a defense built for stopping the run at allowing just 3.7 yards per carry. If the Vikings get the run stuffed and we already know they do not have anything near a prolific passing game, and their QB stinks, then how do they contend in this game? In my humble opinion they do not, I see a solid double digit win here for the Ravens.

The Ravens are highly motivated, playing at home in no doubt some rough weather with the better QB, better coach, and better overall team who has something to play for. The Vikes have a lame duck coach, injury issues and quite frankly are a bad football team. The Ravens are also 7-1 ATS at home their last 8.

Raven 28 Vikings 10 – Lay the Points in this one

NCAA-B  |  Dec 07
NC-Greensboro vs. North Carolina		 NC-Greensboro
+27½-106  at  5DIMES		 > 2h.
One of the biggest lines of the day is UNC Greensboro at UNC being played in Chapel Hill. UNC is off a big win at Michigan State and they play Kentucky next week. UNC-G is coached by former UNC player Wes Miller. They are 4-4 and did lose at Louisiana Tech by over 30 points but did stay within one point of ECU (also coached by a former Tar Heel named Jeff Lebo).

UNCG does have five players scoring over 9 ppg:

Cain 16.9
Saddler 14
Potts 10.8
Paulus 10.4
Locke 9

UNC is well coached by Roy Williams but they don't shoot free throws well and struggle to make 3-pointers, excpet for Marcus Paige. PJ Hairston and Leslie McDonald will probably miss this game as well.

The Tar heels do have some talent, with most being underclassmen. Guys like Nate Britt, JP Tokoto, Luke Davis, Brice Johnson, Desmond Hubert, James Michael McAdoo and Kennedy Meeks.

UNC did blow out Oakland in their opener but jumped ahead at the half but allowed their opponent to easily outscore them in the second half.

Look for UNC to win by 20 to 25 points on Saturday so take UNC Greensboro getting 27.5 points.

10* UNCG +27.5