1* Free Pick on Bradley PK -110
Dave’s Saturday Free Play:
1* on Rutgers +11.5
The Key: The Rutgers Scarlet Knights are a team on the rise in the Big Ten now that Greg Schiano is back where he started. He actually had a lot of experience and talent to work with coming in and he is getting the most out of it in his first year back. The Scarlet Knights are just 2-4 SU but 4-2 ATS and have been competitive in every game. They covered against Ohio State, lost by 16 to Indiana, lost by 3 to Illinois and lost in triple overtime to Michigan. They also upset Michigan State on the road as 9-point dogs and upset Purdue on the road as 13-point dogs. And now they will give Penn State a run for its money Saturday. The Nittany Lions are in a lost season after their 0-5 start this year. They were able to get up for Michigan last week and finally get their first win, and I think they will relax after that victory. The Scarlet Knights will be the hungrier team here wanting to prove that they are no longer the little brother to Penn State. And this is their best chance to get it done. The Scarlet Knights are 3-0 ATS in the last 3 matchups. The Nittany Lions are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games off an ATS win. The Scarlet Knights are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as underdogs. Penn State is 0-7 ATS in its last 7 games after playing its last game on the road. Take Rutgers.
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1* Free Pick on Ath Bilbao +125
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
1* Free Sharp Play on Loyola Marymount -7 -108
Friday's free college hoops play is on Loyola Marymount -7 at home against Long Beach State. Really got spot to jump on the Lions, who have been off since Monday. Each of Marymounts last two games were against Big Ten foe Minnesota on the road. The Lions showed well in both games. They only lost by 15 in the first meeting and then nearly won the rematch in a 3-point setback. Getting reps in against a quality team like the Gophers should pay off big for the Lions, especially against a Long Beach State team that will be playing it's first game of the season. Play Loyola Marymount -7!
1* Free Play on Union Berlin +194
1* on Eastern Michigan +3 -108
R&R Totals FREE CFB Over-Under Friday 12-4-20
UNDER 51 1/2 Louisiana Lafayette/Appalachian State
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Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #389 Fresno State Bulldogs over Nevada Wolf Pack (10:30p.m., Saturday, December 5 FS1) Nevada has never been a strong team as a big favorite evident by their straight-up loss to Hawaii last week on the Island. Now they must make a long trip back to Reno and face a rested Fresno State team that has not played a game since November 14. The metrics do not line up with Nevada’s 5-1 record, as they have yet to face a strong offense this entire season. We will grab the points in this game that will likely go down to the wire. Fresno State is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings with Nevada. The road team is also 8-1 in the last 9 meetings. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports weekend football card. Get in on the football and basketball winners now and let 49 years of handicapping experience work for you.
1 Unit FREE PLAY on Colorado -7
The Colorado Buffaloes are 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS this season against three quality opponents in UCLA, Stanford and San Diego State. There has been nothing fluky about this start either as the Buffaloes are outgaining those three teams by 66.4 yards per game. Their defense has been really solid in yielding only 343.3 yards per game. And now they face the 0-3 SU & 1-2 ATS Arizona Wildcats. The struggles for the Wildcats extend back to last year too as they are now 0-10 SU & 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall. And things just got worse when starting QB Grant Gunnell went out with a shoulder injury against UCLA last week. It was all over from there as backup QB Will Plumber looked like a deer in headlights. He completed only 17 of 35 passes for 151 yards with zero touchdowns and two interceptions. Gunnell has an injury to his throwing shoulder and is unlikely to play this week. The Buffaloes are 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall. The Wildcats are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as underdogs. The road team is 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings. Give me Colorado.
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PICK - Wisconsin Badgers -4
I'll take my chances here with Wisconsin going on the road and securing a win and cover as a slim 4-point favorite against Marquette. The Badgers returned 4 starters from a team that finished last season 9-1 to earn a share of the Big Ten regular-season title and No. 1 seed in the Big Ten Tournament that never happened. I think this team's a little ticked off that it was Iowa and Illinois that was getting all the preseason hype.
Wisconsin has started out 3-0 with all 3 wins coming by double-digits. Marquette is 2-1 after losing at home in their last game to Oklahoma State. Golden Eagles could only manage 62 points against the Cowboys and now face one of the best defenses in the country in Wisconsin, who is currently No. 4 in defensive efficiency at KenPom.
This is also a Marquette team that lost a lot from last year's team, most notably one of the best players in the country in Markus Howard. Golden Eagles also lost by 16 at Wisconsin a year ago and while Wisconsin surged down the stretch of last season, Marquette went 1-6. I just think this is a much bigger gap in talent than the number here leads on. Give me the Badgers -4!
Free Pick on Wisconsin
FREE PLAY on Ath Bilbao +125
The free soccer play takes place on Saturday. They are expecting a low score and I think we see a 1-1 score.
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The set-up: LBSU was 11-21 last year. This is its first game of the current season. Loyola Marymount opened with an 85-83 win over Southern Utah to open its season, before then falling to Minnesota twice. Note though that Loyola Marymount lost the second game by just three points, taking the Golden Gophers right down to the final moments.
The picks: LBSU returns nearly all of its scoring from last season, but I still don't think it'll be enough vs. this already tested home side. Teams which have been affected by COVID-19 issues have struggled to start the season and I think that's the case here for LBSU. Consider laying the points with Loyola Marymount on Friday night.
This is a 1* FREE PLAY on Loyola Marymount.
Jack’s Free Pick Saturday: BYU -10
The BYU Cougars (9-0) came out in the 13th position in the playoff rankings this week. But now they have a chance to make a statement against unbeaten Coastal Carolina (9-0) and move up even further. I expect them to take full advantage of this opportunity after Liberty had to back out of their game with the Chanticleers due to Covid-19 reasons.
The Cougars are just better everywhere here and should roll to victory. They are 4th in the country in scoring (47.6 PPG) and total offense (538.3 YPG) this season. They are led by Heisman hopeful Zach Wilson at quarterback. He is completing 74.3% of his passes for 2,724 yards with a 26-to-2 TD/INT ratio. He has also rushed for eight scores on the ground.
This BYU defense is also legit. The Cougars rank 4th in the country in scoring defense (13.9 PPG) and 6th in total defense (292.7 YPG). They will be the bigger, more physical team on both sides of the line of scrimmage, which will allow them to control the game.
Coastal Carolina has been a great story this season and will be going to the Sun Belt Championship Game with the work they have done thus far. But they are in over their heads here. They would have been way better off facing Liberty and were favored to improve to 10-0. But this is a much tougher challenge here against a BYU team hungry to make their case for the four-team playoff. The Chanticleers were preparing to face Liberty all week, and now they only have a couple days to get ready for BYU. That’s a very tall task.
The Cougars are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 road games. BYU is 6-2-1 ATS in its last nine games overall. The Chanticleers are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games as home underdogs. The Cougars come in rested having last played on November 21st and they’ll be ready to roll. Bet BYU Saturday.
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1* Free Wiseguy Play on UL-Lafayette/Appalachian State over 51 -110
*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*
[1%] Free Play on Tulsa -6½
1 Dimer on Virginia -20 -110
Free Total Annihilator On Valparaiso vs Purdue under 141 -110
Saturday CFB Free play. My selection is on Bowling Green plus the points over Akron at 2 pm et on Saturday.
I'm not sure that Akron has any business laying points, regardless the opponent. We actually cashed a ticket with Bowling Green against Buffalo earlier this season. The Falcons are certainly mired in a tough MAC campaign but I believe their defense has enough upside to rise to the occasion against a bad Zips squad on Saturday afternoon. Note that Akron QB Zach Gibson has thrown five interceptions and been sacked a whopping 18 times through four games this season. RB Teon Dollard went off for 200+ yards rushing and four touchdowns against Kent State two weeks ago but then disappeared completely against Miami-Ohio last Saturday. Bowling Green QB Matt McDonald was banged up in his last game but is probable to start against the Zips. As I noted in my analysis of the Falcons against Buffalo earlier this season, McDonald does have familiarity with the offense from his days with coach Scot Loeffler at Boston College. In what should be an ugly Saturday affair, I'll grab the points with BGSU. Take Bowling Green (8*).
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