Free Pick - Rickenbach CBB Game #846 Sunday - UNDER the total in Nebraska Cornhuskers vs Illinois Illini @ 7:30 ET - The Cornhuskers allowed a ridiculous 88 points at Michigan State Thursday. In what is now a very winnable home, and off of that horrific performance on defense, look for the Huskers to play some D here. Nebraska, when off of a game where they allowed 80 points or more, has gone 5-2 to the under this season, 9-5 to the under the L3 seasons, and 29-13 to the under long-term. Illinois is 10-5 to the under this season as an underdog. Also, in February games the Illini have trended under including 4 of 5 this season and 13-6 to the under the L3 seasons and 70-40 to the under in February games long-term. Illinois has been playing much better defense of late and that helped them get a big win over Northwestern Tuesday. The significance in that is that the under is 14-6 the past 3 seasons combined when the Illini are off of a win in conference action. Overall, look for the under to improve to 9-1 in Illinois' last 10 games with another one falling short of the number Sunday evening. The line move has opened tremendous value here as the total has risen from 133 yesterday to a 138 here on game day. Grab the value! Free Pick on UNDER the total in Nebraska Sunday evening. Best of luck, Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach
10* ECU/Tulsa CBB Free Pick
Play Against - Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (TULSA) - after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team. This system is 62-25 (72%) against the spread since 1997. BET EAST CAROLINA!
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10* Free NCAAB Pick (East Carolina +6.5)
The Pirates are worth a look here as a decently priced road dog against the Golden Hurricane. ECU defeated Tulsa 69-66 back on 1/25 as a 2-point home dog and wouldn't be shocked if they added another win over the Hurricane today. Either way, I see this one coming right down to the wire. The books have been slow to adjust to the Pirates, who are 8-2 ATS in their last 10. At the same time, they keep giving Tulsa too much respect, as they are a mere 1-5 ATS in their last 6. ECU also has a strong history of playing well against teams who like to shoot a lot of 3-pointers, as they are 12-4 ATS over the last 2 seasons against teams that take 21 or more 3-point shots/game. Give me the Pirates +6.5!
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The No. 7 Cardinals (22-6, 10-5 ACC) needed overtime to beat the Orange (17-12, 9-7) at the Carrier Dome a couple of weeks ago. This time around Im betting Cardinals HC Pitino and company will be well prepared to play a complete game here at home, where they have previously won 24 straight games in a rematch of game they played on the road earlier in a season. The Orange are just 2-9 SU on the road this season while the Cardinals are 14-1 SU in the KFC Yum Center.
SYRACUSE is 0-6 ATS in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing a shooting pct defense of 42% or less this season, losing SU by an average of 12.4 ppg.LOUISVILLE is 10-3 ATS versus teams like the Orange who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game, winning SU by an average of 16.5 ppg, behind the best 3-point defense in the nation( allowing treys at just 23.5 percent shooting).
Play on Louisville to cover
1 Unit FREE PLAY on Oklahoma City Thunder -6.5
The Anthony Davis/DeMarcus Cousins experiment has not gone well for the Pelicans. They have both put up big numbers in their two games together, but the results have been blowout losses by 30 at home to the Rockets and by 13 at Dallas. Now they'll be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 days. The lack of practice time and the weak perimeter play on this team give the Pelicans almost zero chance of succeeding today in Oklahoma City. The Thunder had yesterday off following their 17-point home win over the Lakers. The Thunder are 21-8 SU & 19-9 ATS at home this season. The Thunder are 15-3 ATS in their last 18 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
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Oklahoma City -6.5
The Thunder battle the Pelicans on Sunday and it's taken a lot of time for this New Orleans team to clash.
They've dropped back to back games with Cousins now and it's just one of those cases where it will take time to get the chemistry up.
With this being the 2nd leg of a back to back, the Thunder should be able to pick apart this New Orleans team here, given they're still trying to figure things out.
Some trends to note. Thunder are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400 and are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Pelicans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 Sunday games.
Expect Oklahoma City to control the tempo of this game, as they take should be able to handle business at home.
Back Oklahoma City.
Good Luck, Razor Ray.
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2/26 07:30 PM EST CB (845) ILLINOIS VS (846) NEBRASKA.
Take: UNDER THE TOTAL.
Reason: Your free pick for Sunday, February 26, 2017 comes in college hoops as Illinois and Nebraska battle. A pair of defensive teams, with Illinois on a 9-2 under the total run, off 66-50 win over Northwestern. The Under is 45-18 in the Fighting Illini's last 63 road games. Nebraska is at home, just #13 in scoring in Big 10 in scoring, home from two-game trip. That included winning 58-57 at Ohio State, going under the total by 24 points. They prefer a slow pace, and the Under is 3-1-1 in the last five meetings. Play Illionis/Neb Under the total.
Free College Basketball Prediction From Doc’s Sports :
Take Louisville over Syracuse (2 p.m., Sunday, Feb. 26)
The Orange beat the Blue Devils and now they will be in a letdown spot here on the road. Syracuse never plays well against Louisville and has gotten wrecked down in Kentucky on more than one occasion. Louisville is way too big and way too athletic for the Orange to handle. Syracuse has been horrendous on the road this year and has made a habit of falling down double-digits in just about every game. They have been able to pull off some wild comebacks. But not this time. I see wall-to-wall domination from the home team in this one.
Play - New Orleans Pelicans (Game 813).
Edges - Pelicans: 6-1 ATS following a loss in this series; and 6-2 ATS as dogs of 7 or more points following the Mavericks. Thunder: 0-3-1 ATS before facing the Jazz. With the Pelicans 18-8-1 ATS following a loss when playing with same season triple revenge-exact, we recommend a 1* play in New Orleans. Thank you and good luck as always.
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Dave's Sunday Free Play:
1* on Syracuse +10
The Key: The Syracuse Orange are coming on strong at the end of this season just as they did last season when they made a run all the way to the Final Four. The Orange are 6-3 SU & 6-3 ATS in their last 9 games overall, beating the likes of Florida State, Virginia and Duke along the way. Their 3 losses all came by 6 points or less, including a 72-76 (OT) home loss to Louisville on February 13th. Now the Orange get their chance at revenge on the Cardinals less than two weeks later. The Cardinals are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall and should not be double-digit favorites here Sunday. Take Syracuse.
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Tulsa snapped a six-game losing streak with a win over South Florida on Thursday and remains here for its final home game of the season. The Golden Hurricane are 9-5 at home this season which includes a 5-3 record in the AAC. Going back, they are 20-6 at home in the conference and three of the home losses have come against nationally-ranked teams, #23 SMU in 2014-15, #18 SMU in 2015-16 and #14 Cincinnati this season. Tulsa has won 7 of its games against East Carolina in Tulsa at the Reynolds Center, and all of those wins have been by double-figures. The Pirates won at Tulane on Tuesday which was their first road win on the season after starting off with nine consecutive losses. Defeating a Tulane team that is 2-14 in the conference is not saying a lot especially when it came by just three points and on the season, East Carolina is getting outscored by 12.5 ppg on the road. Going back, the Golden Hurricane are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games as a favorite of fewer than seven points while going 7-1 ATS this season as single-digit favorites. Play (838) Tulsa Golden Hurricane
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1* Free Play on Spurs vs Lakers under 210 -108
Jack's Free Pick Sunday: Nebraska -3.5
I like the Nebraska Cornhuskers as short home favorites today against the Illinois Fighting Illini. These are two of the worst teams in the Big Ten, but the Huskers are clearly better than their record would indicate as they have taken some of the best teams in the conference down to the wire.
Indeed, they beat Purdue 83-80 at home and lost in overtime at home to Wisconsin, which are the two best teams in the conference. They also upset Maryland on the road earlier this season, which is the third-best team in the league. The Huskers can clearly play with anyone.
Now they take on an Illinois team that is just 2-5 SU & 2-5 ATS in true road games this season. The Fighting Illini are getting outscored by 9.4 pionts per game on the road this season. The home team has won five of the last six meetings between these teams.
The Fighting Illini are 8-17 ATS in their last 25 games as a road underdog of 0.5-6.5 points. The Cornhuskers are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games as a home favorite of 0.5-6.5 points. Bet Nebraska Sunday.
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Free Pick on Thunder -
It's been two games with Cousins paired alongside Davis in New Orleans and both have resulted in ugly losses. It's just not something that's going to click right away, as there's a lot of learning and adjusting to playing two big men together in today's small ball league. It also doesn't help that the Pelicans have very little talent surrounding these two and no bench. I just don't see it getting any better on the road against the Thunder, who I believe added in two great pieces in Gibson and McDermott from the Bulls.
Another big factor here is the huge homecourt edge the Thunder have. Oklahoma City is 21-8 at home this season, outscoring opponents by nearly 7.0 ppg. New Orleans on the other hand is an awful road team with a 9-20 record. The books are simply inflating the line here on the Pelicans after the big trade. Thunder are 16-5 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 and 15-3 ATS in their last 18 games vs a team with a losing straight up record. Take Oklahoma City!
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Free Sunday Big 10
Courtesy of Tony George
Wisconsin @ Michigan State (+2)
Tom Izzo needs a miracle to beat the Badgers today who have dropped 3 out of 4, lost a lead in the Big 10 race to Purdue and will be dialed in for this game big time. This is where losing Harris for MSU kicks in and despite some late season surging by Sparty, they simply are a year a away from winning big games like this when it counts. Happ and Hayes fro Wisconsin should get the job done in the paint and Koenig found his karma again in the last game and his shooting can be deadly against an MSU team who simply is out manned here despite this being their last regular season home game.
FREE Play on Wisconsin-2
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