Dave’s Monday Free Play:
1* on Utah Jazz -12.5
The Key: The Houston Rockets will rest both James Harden and Russell Westbrook tonight in this 2nd of a back-to-back situation. They just lost 110-117 in Denver last night and have chosen to give their 2 stars the night off. Now they face a Jazz juggernaut that is 14-1 SU & 13-2 ATS in their last 15 games overall. They have won 3 of their last 4 all by 22 or more points. The Rockets are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games. The Jazz are 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 home games. Take Utah.
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The Spurs have been very inconsistent and we just don’t trust them laying points on the road to what has been a very scrappy Bulls team. Chicago has covered in three of four games and they have been playing pretty well overall lately. They have been a much safer ATS bet on the season than has San Antonio. Also, the Spurs enter on a back-to-back and playing their third game in four nights and we think this is a bad spot for the road team tonight.
1* Free Play on Mavs -1½ -110
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The Tampa Bay Lightning (29-15-4) take on the Dallas Stars (27-17-4) on Monday night as the NHL returns to action for the second half of the season. The Bolts are currently -128 (Opened at -129) road favorites and the Over/Under is set at 5.5 (Opened at 6). This one faces off at 8pm ET from the American Airlines Arena in Dallas.
We're expecting Ben Bishop (16-10-2 2.28 GAA) in net for Dallas and Andrei Vasilevskiy for the Lightning. (24-9-2 2.54 GAA). Last game out Bishop allowed three goals on 15 shots in relief of Anton Khudobin in Saturday's 7-0 loss to the Wild. For Vasilevskiy last game out he stopped 30 of 31 shots in Friday's 7-1 win over the Jets, and has now won 10 straight starts, and has a .917 save percentage in 35 games.
I just don't see the Stars being able to shut down Killhorn in this one, and he is my X-factor Monday. Killhorn is second on the team with a career high 20 goals thus far, he plays on the first PP unit and his a general thorn in the side of every team that faces him. He just gets it done. At one point he was on pace for 26 goals, 41 assists, and 67 points. All three would shatter his career highs.
Throw in Stamkos (4G last 3 games) and Kucherov who has has now got the team lead with 22G after scoring 5x times in the last 3 games, and his 54 points, and you've got a recipe for success on Monday night. Big D has to stay out of the penalty box or they're cooked.
Some trends to consider. Tampa Bay are 12-2 SU in their last 14 games, are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games against Dallas, and are 8-2 SU in their last 10 games this season. Head to head the favorite is 6-2 in their L8 matchups, and lastly the Lightning are 9-2 in their last 11 games following a win.
Play the Lightning up to -138.
Good Luck, Razor Ray.
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UNDER 5 1/2 -102 Tampa Bay/Dallas
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Mikey Sports FREE NBA play Monday 1-27-20
Dallas -1 -109
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1* Free Pick on Mavs -1½ -110
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1* Free Sharp Play on Jazz -10½ -110
My money is on the Jazz to cash in a win at home against the Rockets as a 10.5-point favorite in Monday's NBA action. Utah should absolutely roll in this one. The Jazz are the hottest team in the league right now and will taking on a struggling Rockets team that will be without both Westbrook and Harden. Not to mention Houston is playing in the second leg of a back-to-back. BET THE JAZZ -10.5!
My free play is on Iowa at 8:30 Et.
The Iowa Hawkeyes opened 2020 by losing Jan 4 to Penn St in Philly and then lost at Nebraska ('Huskers are currently just 7-13). That dropped the Hawkeyes out of the AP poll but FOUR straight wins, THREE vs ranked opponents, has Iowa back in the top-25 (No. 19 and likely to move up in the new poll released Monday afternoon). The 14-5 Hawkeyes are 5-3 in the Big Ten, 1 1/2 games back of co-leaders Illinois and Mich St (7-2), as well as a half-game back of 6-3 Maryland and Rutgers. Visiting Iowa City on Monday will be 12-8 Wisconsin, which has dropped two of its last three games to become one of NINE Big Ten teams to have at least four conference losses.
Wisconsin has been to the "Big Dance" in 20 of the last 21 seasons and while the Badgers lost the 6-10 Happ (17.3 & 10.1) and a solid guard in Iverson (6.9 & 4.5) from last season's 23-win NCAA team, the Badgers have a solid returning core. The 6-11 Reuvers (13.8 & 5.2) may not be Happ but he's a quality man. Joining him front is the 6-8 Ford (7.7 & 3.6) and 6-10 Ohio St transfer Micah Potter, who became eligible in December and has averaged 9.5 & 5.4 in 10 (Badgers are 7-3 since he joined the team). Wisconsin has a deep backcourt in King (10.0), Trice (9.1-4.1-3.4), Davison (8.9 & 4.6) and Pritzel (7.4 & 3.3). Trice and Potter each scored 11 points vs Purdue but is was nowhere near enough as the Badgers lost their fourth straight in Mackey Arena under head coach Greg Gard, 70-41. Reuvers added 10 points and Brevin Pritzl had eight, but no player finished with more than four rebounds as Wisconsin lost the battle of the boards 42-16,
Head coach Fran McCaffrey came to Iowa back in the 2010-11 season (off three straight NCAA trips with Siena). His 2013 team was the NIT runner-up and he then led the Hawkeyes to three straight NCAAs. Iowa missed the "Big Dance" the next two years but last year's 23-win team was back in. The Hawkeyes opened 1-3 in Big Ten play but have won FOUR in a row. The 6-11 Luka Garza (23.2 & 10.3) scored a team-high 28 points to go along with 13 rebounds and four blocked shots to record his 11th double-double of the season as the Hawkeyes shot 52.7 percent from the floor in an 85-80 win against Rutgers. The 6-10 Ryan Kriener (8.0 & 4.2) joins Garza up front and Iowa will have NO problem matching Wisconsin's depth on the perimeter. Sophomore guard Joe Wieskamp (15.0 & 6.0) and freshman PG Fredrick (10.9 & 3.1 APG) lead the way but Toussaint (6.9) and Connor McCaffrey (6.5-4.6-3.6) are quality performers (note: McCaffery is ranked third nationally in assist-to-turnover ratio at 3.83).
Wisconsin has won EIGHT of the last 10 meetings with Iowa but the Badgers are playing back-to-back road games for the FIRST time this season. Take a close look at Iowa, as the Hawkeyes are 7-1-2 ATS their last 10 games. Lay the points.
The set-up: It was this time last year that Jordan Binnington and the Blues "upped their game" and then plowed their way to a Stanley Cup trophy. This season St. Louis has been the "cream of the crop" from the "get go" and I believe it'll come in focussed on the task at hand tonight. Vancouver is atop the weak Pacific Division and all signs point to it have its hands full tonight.
The pick: While Vancouver went into the break with a 4-1 win over the Sharks, the Blues went into the All Star game with a 5-3 loss to the Avs. Both teams are dealing with injuries, so that area is a "wash" in my opinion. Note though that St. Louis is 7-2 in its last nine Western Conference road games after three or more days of rest, while Vancouver is just 3-6 in its last nine home games as an underdog in the +105 to +125 range. I like Jordan Binnington to out-play Jacob Markstrom in net. Look for the defending champs to post a win to open up the second half. Consider the visitors in this one.
1* FREE PLAY on the St. Louis Blues.
The Cowboys typically play Kansas tough here. In fact, the Jayhawks haven't beaten the Cowboys by more than five, when OSU was listed as the home team, since way back in 2012. The Cowboys gained some confidence with a much-needed win at Texas A&M last game. Obviously, a win tonight would be huge. They're 7-3 ATS the last 10 times that they were home underdogs in the 6.5 to 12 point range. I expect them to leave it all on the floor in this one. Consider grabbing the points.
Ben Burns was 9-4 Fri/Sat/Sun and he's looking to "break out the broom" on Monday. Ben's 3-game card is headlined by his NHL TOTAL OF THE MONTH. Including his Jan. GOM winner, Ben is 17-5 his last 22 GOW/GOM/TOW/TOM selections. Make sure you're on board.
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MIKE'S MAVS @ THUNDER FREE PICK
The Dallas Mavericks have one of the best road records in the league at 15-6, and I like their chances to win and cover the small number when visiting Oklahoma City Monday night.
The Thunder have admittedly played pretty well of late, coming off five straight wins with underdog wins against Houston, Orlando, and Minnesota during that stretch.
This is a tough spot though as they'll be playing their third game in four nights and note that the Mavs are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games as a road favorite and 6-2 ATS in the last eight head-to-head meetings with OKC.
Free pick on Dallas Mavericks.
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Free Total Annihilator On Lightning vs Stars under 6 -120
1* on Stars +120
Monday CBB Free play. My selection is on Eastern Washington over Northern Colorado at 9:05 pm et on Monday.
These two teams own identical 12-6 overall records this season but I believe Eastern Washington has a little more upside as it hosts Northern Colorado on Monday night. The Eagles have reeled off three straight wins keyed by a hard-fought overtime victory against Southern Utah on Saturday. The Eagles have lost just once at home this season and that came against a good Montana squad that currently sits first in the Big Sky Conference. Northern Colorado is fresh off a blowout win at Idaho on Saturday but keep in mind, the Vandals are a 5-13 team. The Bears other road win this month came against Weber State, a team that has gone 7-13 this season and sits ninth place in the Big Sky Conference. Eastern Washington took the most recent meeting between these two teams by 10 points last February. While the personnel and circumstances have obviously changed, I like the Eagles to repeat that effort here. Take Eastern Washington (8*).
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Jack’s Free Pick Monday: San Antonio Spurs -2
The Chicago Bulls haven’t won two straight games since December 21st. They are just 5-10 SU & 5-10 ATS in their last 15 games overall. They are coming off a win at lowly Cleveland, but they are just 0-6 SU & 1-5 ATS in their last six games off a win.
The Spurs come in highly motivated for a victory after losing two straight to Phoenix and Toronto by 4 points each. They had won three straight games in upset fashion prior to those two losses with wins over Miami, New Orleans and Phoenix. Look for the Spurs to get back in the win column tonight.
It’s very hard to trust the Bulls right now because they are without two of their best players in Lauri Markkanen and Wendell Carter Jr. They have a laundry list of injuries as a whole, while the Spurs are fully healthy coming into this matchup.
The Spurs have won four of their last five meetings with the Bulls. San Antonio is 9-2-1 ATS in its last 12 games following a loss. The Spurs are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 road games. The Bulls are 17-36 ATS in their last 53 home games. Chicago is 6-20 ATS in its last 26 games as a home underdog. Bet the Spurs Monday.
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1* NBA - Free Pick on Chicago Bulls +2½
I really like the value here with Chicago as a small home dog against the Spurs. This is just a brutal scheduling spot for San Antonio playing in the second leg of a back-to-back.
Spurs have been all over the place this past week. SA was at Phoenix last Monday, had to travel to New Orleans (Zion's debut) on Wednesday, then had to host the Suns and Raptors Friday and Sunday.
Not only do the Spurs have to be physically drained , but they also have to be hurting from an emotional after playing yesterday following the news of Kobe's death. I just think it's asking a lot for the Spurs to show up with the kind of energy needed to win a game on the road.
Chicago has been a disappointment overall, but the Bulls have shown some positive signs of late. Chicago has won 5 of their last 9 games with 3 of those losses being road games against 3 of the top teams in the East in the 76ers, Bucks and Celtics.
SA has also had their troubles against bad teams. Spurs are 10-21-1 ATS L32 games vs a team with a losing record and 2-8 in their L10 if the team has won fewer than 40% of their games. SA has also failed to cover each of their last 5 visits to the United Center. Take Chicago!
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Free Play on Blues -125