Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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07-07-13 | Colorado Rockies v. Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 | 1-6 | Win | 108 | 14 h 23 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Runline Value* Patrick Corbin has been one of baseball's best pitchers so far this year. Bettors who have backed the Diamondbacks with Corbin on the mound have profited in a big way this year. Corbin has an ERA of less than 2 at home this season. Roy Oswalt starts for the Rockies here. Oswalt isn't even close to the same pitcher he used to be. I have successfully picked against him in his last 2 starts. The Rockies would normally have a lineup advantage in this one, but they don't when Dexter Fowler and Troy Tulowitzki is on the disabled list. Take Arizona -1.5.
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07-07-13 | Houston Astros v. Texas Rangers OVER 9.5 | 4-5 | Loss | -118 | 14 h 59 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The weather is an important factor at Rangers Ballpark in Arlington. The high temperature is expected to be 95 degrees around the start of this game, which should help the ball fly very well. Justin Grimm pitched well in his first few starts for the Rangers, but he has been torched of late. The Astros put up 9 runs against Yu Darvish, and I expect them to put up several here. The Rangers have a strong lineup, and they matchup well against Houston pitcher Erik Bedard. The over is 7-1 in Grimm's last 8 starts overall. The over is 3-1-1 in the Astros last 5 games. The over is 4-0 in the Rangers' last 4 against a left-handed pitcher. Take the over.
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07-07-13 | Detroit Tigers -136 v. Cleveland Indians | 6-9 | Loss | -136 | 12 h 44 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Detroit Tigers fell behind the Cleveland Indians briefly in the AL Central, but they have been taking care of business head to head against the Indians this year. Detroit definitely has more talent on the roster. Doug Fister has a sparkling 2.24 ERA in his career against Cleveland. Corey Kluber has a 7.88 ERA in his career against the Tigers. Miguel Cabrera is hotter than ever right now and this Tigers lineup should put runs on the board here. Fister has had the Indians number in the past. Detroit is 4-0 in their last 4 games. They are 6-0 in their last 6 meetings with Cleveland. The Tigers are 10-1 in their last 11 games with Sam Holbrook behind home plate. Take Detroit.
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07-06-13 | Pittsburgh Pirates -115 v. Chicago Cubs | 1-4 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 2 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Pittsburgh Pirates dominated the Chicago Cubs as a small favorite yesterday at Wrigley and I think they can do the same again on Saturday. Charlie Morton hasn't been healthy much this year, but he isn't a bad pitcher and he'll face a weak Cubs lineup. On the other side, Edwin Jackson has 5.75 ERA and his ERA at Wrigley is well over 6. The Pirates offense has been great of late. Pittsburgh is 7-0 in their last 7 road games. They are 5-0 in their last 5 against the NL Central. They are 6-0 in their last 6 road games against a right-handed pitcher. The Pirates are 6-1 in their last 7 meetings with the Cubs. The Cubs are 1-6 in Jackson's last 7 home starts. Take Pittsburgh.
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07-06-13 | San Diego Padres v. Washington Nationals -1.5 | 4-5 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 54 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Run Line Value* The Washington Nationals are a much better team with Bryce Harper in the middle of the lineup. Harper is the game changer that this team really needs. In addition, the Nationals have a healthy Jayson Werth contributing. Rondon has turned into a solid contributor for the team as well. Jason Marquis isn't a pitcher I trust, and Jordan Zimmerman is completely the opposite. Zimmerman is 9-0 with a 1.50 ERA at home this year, and he has been very good in almost every start this season. Take the Nationals -1.5 here.
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07-06-13 | Detroit: A Sanchez -136 v. Cleveland: C Carrasco | 9-4 | Win | 100 | 14 h 27 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* The Detroit Tigers dominated the Cleveland Indians ace in last night's game, and now they'll face the Indians worst starting pitcher. Carlos Carrasco has been terrible so far this year, and in his career he has a miserable 9.50 ERA in four starts against the Tigers. This lineup has torched him and I don't see that changing. Anibal Sanchez has a career ERA of 1.75 against the Indians. On a normal team, Sanchez would be a number one or two starter. The Tigers lineup is clearly better than the Indians and they have a huge edge on the mound here. Take the Tigers.
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07-06-13 | Minnesota Twins v. Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 | 6-0 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 37 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Minnesota Twins are in a really messy situation right now. Josh Willingham has been the most consistent run producer on this team and he is out of the lineup now. Joe Mauer has been hitting, but the rest of the team hasn't been. Mike Pelfrey has an ERA over 6 on the road this year, and the Blue Jays offense is rounding into form. R.A. Dickey has looked much better in his last two starts, and the Twins haven't seen him much at all in the past. The Twins are 0-6 in their last 6. They are 0-5 in Pelfrey's last 5 starts as an underdog. Toronto is 7-0 in their last 7 as a favorite. They are 4-0 in Dickey's last 4 starts. Take Toronto -1.5.
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07-05-13 | Los Angeles Dodgers +120 v. San Francisco Giants | 10-2 | Win | 120 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Late Night BAILOUT* The Los Angeles Dodgers lineup is getting healthy quickly and that is dangerous for opponents. Carl Crawford will be back tonight and he'll join a red hot lineup with Hanley Ramirez, Matt Kemp, Yasiel Puig, and Adrian Gonzalez. Buster Posey is the Giants only real elite hitter at this point. The Giants offense is struggling badly right now. Ryu has given up more than 3 runs only twice this year, so he does a great job keeping the Dodgers in the game. Matt Cain is a very good pitcher, but he hasn't been nearly as consistent as normal this year. I like the value on the underdog here. Take the Dodgers.
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07-05-13 | Baltimore Orioles -114 v. New York Yankees | 2-3 | Loss | -114 | 17 h 33 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* Miguel Gonzalez has had a lot of success against the New York Yankees in his career. The Yankees offense is a shell of its former self right now, and I expect Gonzalez to pitch well here. He has a 2.70 ERA in his career against the Yankees. Ivan Nova starts for the Yankees, and he has a 5.43 ERA in his career against the Orioles. Baltimore clearly has the better lineup now and their bullpen is steadily improving. The Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 against a team with a winning record. They are 5-0 in their last 5 games against the Yankees. The Yankees are 0-5 in their last 5 against a team with a winning record. The Yankees are 0-5 in Nova's last 5 starts as an underdog. Take Baltimore.
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07-05-13 | Pittsburgh Pirates -122 v. Chicago Cubs | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 58 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Pittsburgh Pirates lost 2 of their last 3 against Philly, but this should be a good spot for them to bounce back. The Cubs aren't a good team to start with, and Chicago will be playing in its first game back after a long road trip. This is one of those spots where the Cubs could easily be very flat. Francisco Liriano has been dominating this season. He has been superb in the past against everyone in this Cubs lineup. The Pirates are 6-0 in their last 6 road games. Pittsburgh is 6-0 in Liriano's last 6 starts against a team with a losing record. The Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 against the NL Central. The Pirates are 5-0 in their last 5 road games against a righty. Take the Pirates.
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07-04-13 | St. Louis Cardinals -130 v. Los Angeles Angels | 5-6 | Loss | -130 | 20 h 24 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The St. Louis Cardinals really beat up on the Los Angeles Angels Wednesday, and I think they'll do it again on Thursday. The pitching mismatch here is too much to overlook. Adam Wainwright has been one of baseball's best pitchers this season. He is 11-5 with a 2.22 ERA. The Cardinals actually have the better offense here, especially when it comes to consistency. Joe Blanton has been terrible this year. He has a 5.07 ERA in 2013. He should struggle against this very good Cardinals lineup. The Cardinals are 13-3 in Wainwright's last 16 road starts. They are 6-0 in his last 6 starts as a -110 to -150 favorite. The Angels are 0-6 in Blanton's last 6 against a team with a winning record. Take the Cardinals.
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07-04-13 | Los Angeles: C Capuano +127 v. Colorado: J Chacin | 5-9 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 28 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Dog of Day* The Los Angeles Dodgers have really been playing great baseball of late. Yasiel Puig got a minor injury last night and he is questionable for this game. Puig has been great, but other guys like Hanley Ramirez, Adrian Gonzalez, and Matt Kemp are hitting the ball great right now as well. The Rockies are without Dexter Fowler and Troy Tulowitzki and that really hurts this lineup. Chris Capuano has been much better on the road than at home, and his 4.20 career ERA at Coors Field is respectable. The Dodgers have the much better lineup. I like the underdog here. Take the Dodgers.
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07-04-13 | Philadelphia Phillies v. Pittsburgh Pirates -128 | 6-4 | Loss | -128 | 12 h 59 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* Cole Hamels just hasn't been getting the job done this year. Hamels has been consistently getting hit around pretty good this year. He has a 4.52 ERA for the year. Pittsburgh continues to prove just about everyone wrong with their terrific play of late. Gerrit Cole is the team's top prospect, and he has been brilliant in his first four starts in the majors. The Phillies lineup is inconsistent, and they will likely struggle against someone they've never seen. The Phillies are 0-7 in Hamels' last 7 road starts against a team with a winning record. The Pirates are 4-0 in Cole's 4 starts this year. The Pirates are 9-1 in their last 10. Take Pittsburgh.
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07-03-13 | Cleveland Indians v. Kansas City Royals -115 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 21 h 58 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Bookie Smasher* The Kansas City Royals wasted a lot of chances in last night's game, and they lost a close one to the Indians. Kansas City knows that if they are going to make a run in the season, it needs to be the Indians in this series. Jeremy Guthrie is an underrated pitcher for the Royals. The Royals are 12-2 in Guthrie's last 14 home starts. Kansas City hits the ball better against left-handed pitching, and Scott Kazmir is dealing with a minor back injury. Look for the Royals to put up several runs in this one. I like the value on the home team. Take Kansas City.
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07-03-13 | Chicago Cubs v. Oakland A's UNDER 7.5 | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 20 h 7 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Matt Garza and Bartolo Colon have both been pitching brilliantly of late. Garza has a 0.61 ERA in his last 3 starts. Colon has an ERA well under 3 so far this year. Neither of these offenses are particularly strong. Recent overs by both of these teams have bumped the total up here which gives us more value on the under. Both of these pitchers could pitch deep into the game and save up the bullpen. I have this one pegged at 6.5 runs, so I'll gladly take the under when given an extra run. Take the under.
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07-03-13 | Los Angeles Dodgers -114 v. Colorado Rockies | 10-8 | Win | 100 | 19 h 35 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Los Angeles Dodgers are a totally different team of late. Stanley Ramirez is healthy, and Matt Kemp is getting healthy. Yasiel Puig has been baseball's best player over the last few weeks. Also, Adrian Gonzalez is hitting the ball extremely well right now. The Dodgers fortunes have turned quickly in the last few weeks. On the other side, the Rockies are headed south. With Dexter Fowler and Troy Tulowitzki both of the disabled list. This team just doesn't have the offense to keep up at Coors Field. Zack Greinke has actually pitched well at Coors Field in the past. The Dodgers are 9-1 in their last 10 games. They are 5-1 in Greinke's last 6 as a favorite. The Rockies are 0-7 in their last 7 games after allowing 5 runs or more in the previous game. Take the Dodgers.
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07-03-13 | Seattle Mariners v. Texas Rangers UNDER 8 | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 18 h 38 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB 100% Angle Total* Felix Hernandez is clearly one of baseball's best pitchers, and Derek Holland is quickly becoming an elite pitcher. Hernandez tends to pitch his best against high quality competition. The Mariners scored 9 runs last night, but they have struggled all year against left-handed pitching. Look for the Rangers to bounce back behind a great effort from Holland. The under is 5-0-1 in Hernandez's last 6 Wednesday starts. The under is 3-0-1 in Hernadez's last 4 as an underdog. The under is 7-0 in Holland's last 7 starts against a team with a losing record. The under is 4-0 in the Rangers last 4 as a favorite. The under is 4-0 in Holland's last 4 starts as a favorite. Take the under.
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07-03-13 | Detroit Tigers -110 v. Toronto Blue Jays | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 17 h 29 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Moneyline Cash* Max Scherzer is 12-0 so far this year. He has actually pitched better than Justin Verlander. The Tigers haven't been playing great of late, but they are still one of the World Series favorites for a reason. This is an extremely talented team that could string together a bunch of wins at any time. Josh Johnson will start for the Blue Jays. Johnson isn't the same pitcher he used to be, and he has struggled against good teams so far this year. While the Blue Jays have played well of late, they still don't have as deep as a lineup as the Detroit Tigers. Detroit has the clear pitching advantage here. Take Detroit.
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07-02-13 | Chicago Cubs v. Oakland A's -1.5 | 7-8 | Loss | -100 | 21 h 15 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Oakland Athletics have been an absolute machine at home of late. They have been taking down good teams like the Reds and Cardinals and making it look easy. Now, the Athletics will get to host a bad team in the Chicago Cubs. A.J. Griffin pitched a complete game shutout last time out, and he is a consistent solid pitcher for the A's. Scott Feldman has an ERA of 8.3 in his career at Oakland. Feldman has been torched every single time he has started in Oakland. The A's are 6-0 in their last 6 games following an off day. The A's are 17-4 in their last 21 interleague home games against a righty. Oakland should take care of business here. Take Oakland -1.5.
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07-02-13 | Los Angeles: C Kershaw -1.5 v. Colorado: R Oswalt | 8-0 | Win | 100 | 20 h 50 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Run Line Value* Clayton Kershaw will start for the Dodgers in this one. Kershaw has been amazing again this season. He has a 2.08 ERA on the year. Roy Oswalt will pitch for the Rockies. Oswalt was out of baseball for awhile, but the Rockies took a chance on him, because their starting pitching is so thin. Oswalt used to be a good pitcher, but I'm not convinced that he is still major league material. The Dodgers' lineup is extremely dangerous now with Hanley Ramirez and Matt Kemp both healthy, and Yasiel Puig dominating in his rookie season. The Rockies' lineup is without Troy Tulowitzki and they will probably be without star leadoff hitter Dexter Fowler. All signs point to an easy win for the Dodgers. Take the Dodgers -1.5.
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07-02-13 | Baltimore Orioles -119 v. Chicago White Sox | 2-5 | Loss | -119 | 19 h 29 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB 100% Angle Play* The Baltimore Orioles are chasing after the Boston Red Sox in the AL East. Baltimore is a high quality team with one of the best offenses in baseball. The White Sox are in a horrific slump right now, and they look like they are giving up on the season. Chicago's offense has been shutout 8 times this year, and they are extremely inconsistent. The Orioles are third in the majors in runs scored and first in homers. Baltimore is 4-0 in their last 4 as a favorite. They are 4-0 in Hammel's last 4 Tuesday starts. They are 4-0 in their last 4 games overall. The White Sox are 0-5 in their last 5 home games. They are 0-4 in their last 4 against a team with a winning record. They are 0-5 in their last 5 against a righty. In all, a 26-0 angle backs this play. Take Baltimore.
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07-02-13 | Milwaukee Brewers v. Washington Nationals -1.5 | 4-0 | Loss | -120 | 18 h 25 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Major Mismatch* Wily Peralta has struggled all season for the Brewers. He just can't seem to stream together quality starts. On the other side Stephen Strasburg is finding his form. After a minor rough patch, Strasburg has pitched brilliantly in his last 7 outings. In each of those outings, he has allowed 2 runs or less. Bryce Harper is back in the Nationals' lineup, and that is huge for their offense. The Brewers are without Ryan Braun, and Milwaukee has been playing some miserable baseball of late. The Nationals should play much better in the second half, and I expect them to take advantage of a major mismatch in this one. Take Washington -1.5.
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07-01-13 | San Diego Padres v. Miami Marlins -128 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 18 h 16 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Moneyline Cash* The Miami Marlins have been playing surprisingly good baseball as of late. They are 5-1 in the their current home stand. San Diego has been good at home this year, but they aren't a good road team. The Padres may have a very marginal edge when it comes to hitting in this game, but the Marlins clearly have the better starting pitcher. Jose Fernandez has an ERA of less than 2 at home so far this year. He has dominated mediocre and poor lineups in his young career. The Padres lineup certainly isn't very impressive. Jason Marquis is a streaky pitcher, and he gave up 6 runs in his last outing. The Marlins offense is much better with a healthy Gian Carlo Stanton. Miami is 6-1 in Fernandez's last 7 starts against a team with a losing record. The Padres are 1-4 in their last 5 games in Miami. The Marlins are 5-1 in their last 6 overall. Take Miami.
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06-30-13 | New York Yankees v. Baltimore Orioles OVER 8.5 | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -119 | 20 h 15 m | Show |
*5 Star Sunday Night Baseball TOP Play* The Baltimore Orioles still aren't getting the respect they deserve from the oddsmakers. Baltimore won with their pitching staff last year, but it is their amazing offense that has them winning games this season. Opposing pitchers really don't get a break at any point in the Orioles lineup. Hiroki Kuroda has been good this year, but he allowed five runs in just two innings at Baltimore a few weeks ago. Paul Schreiber will be the home plate umpire, and he is arguably the best over umpire in the business because of his tiny strike zone. Kuroda has a career ERA of 7.6 when Schreiber is behind home plate. On the other side, Chris Tillman has an ERA above 8 in his career against the Yankees. The over is 3-1-1 in the Orioles last 5 Sunday games. The over is 4-1 in Tillman's last 5 games with 4 days of rest. The over is 4-1 in Tillman's last 5 starts during game 3 of a series. The over is 4-0 in Tillman's last 4 starts verses the Yankees. Take the over Big!
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06-30-13 | Cleveland Indians +131 v. Chicago White Sox | 4-0 | Win | 131 | 14 h 36 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Dog of Day* Justin Masterson is an up and down pitcher and he has been his entire career. Interestingly though, Masterson has been awesome against the Chicago White Sox in his career. He has an ERA of just less than 2.5 against the White Sox. While Chris Sale is definitely a good pitcher, I don't like the way the Chicago White Sox are playing right now. The White Sox look like a team that is giving up on their season. Chicago is a horrible 1-11 in their last 12 games as a favorite. The Indians are 4-0 in Masterson's last 4 starts in Chicago. I like the underdog here. Take the Indians.
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06-30-13 | Washington Nationals v. New York Mets UNDER 7.5 | 13-2 | Loss | -120 | 13 h 9 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* Zach Wheeler is one of the top pitching prospects in all of baseball. He pitched a shut out in his first start, but gave up 4 runs in his second league start. The Mets organization realized that Wheeler was tipping his breaking pitches in his last start, and look for Wheeler to have adjusted in time for this start. Gio Gonzalez started the year a little slowly, but he is a very good left-handed pitcher. The Mets lineup has been struggling of late, and I don't expect them to get it going against Gonzalez. Look for a good outing from both pitchers. Take the under.
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06-29-13 | San Diego Padres v. Miami Marlins UNDER 7.5 | 1-7 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 16 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB 100% Angle Total* Jacob Turner was rushed to the majors by Detroit, and he struggled early in his career, but he his starting to look like the same dominant pitcher he was expected to be when he was brought up. Turner has a 1.97 ERA so far this season, and the Padres offense isn't very strong. Eric Stults will start for the Padres. Stults has been quietly raking in the money for under bettors so far this season. He is a quality left-handed pitcher who does a good job controlling all of his pitches. The Marlins arguably have the worst offense in baseball, and they have been particularly bad against left-handed pitching. The under is 7-0 in the Padres last 7 against a team with a winning percentage of less than 40%. The under is 7-0 in Stults' last 7 road starts. The under is 4-0 in Stults' last 4 road starts against a team with a losing record. Take the under.
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06-29-13 | San Francisco Giants v. Colorado Rockies UNDER 9.5 | 1-2 | Win | 106 | 15 h 46 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Matt Cain started the season pitching terribly, but he is beginning to look a lot more like the Matt Cain of old in his last 4 starts. While he hasn't been terrific at Coors Field, he doesn't have a bad history in this hitter-friendly ballpark either. The Rockies are without Troy Tulowitzki, and they may be without Dexter Fowler. Jorge De La Rosa is an underrated starting pitcher for the Rockies. He has an ERA of less than 3.5 at Coors Field this year. Matt Cain has an ERA of less than 2 in his career with Bob Davidson behind home plate. I like the value on the under. Take the under.
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06-29-13 | St. Louis Cardinals -117 v. Oakland A's | 7-1 | Win | 100 | 14 h 27 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* St. Louis had the best record in baseball up until last night. The Cardinals are now only 13-13 in the month of June, but I believe this is a great bounce back spot for St. Louis. Adam Wainwright is one baseball's best pitchers. In more than 116 innings pitched this year, Wainwright has only allowed 10 walks. Wainwright is one of the most consistent pitchers in the game today. Oakland has been playing well of late, but they definitely don't have as strong of a lineup as the Cardinals. Jarrod Parker has been too inconsistent to back this year. The Cardinals are 11-1 in Wainwright's last 12 road starts. They are 8-1 in their last 9 games against a team with a winning record. St. Louis is also 5-0 in Wainwright's last 5 road starts verses a team with a winning record. Take St. Louis.
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06-28-13 | Chicago Cubs v. Seattle Mariners UNDER 7 | 4-5 | Loss | -119 | 8 h 16 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Late Night BAILOUT* The Chicago Cubs and Seattle Mariners both have terrible offenses. In this game, they both have very good pitchers going as well. Travis Woos is 5-6 on the season, but it isn't because he hasn't pitched well. In fact, Wood has a sparkling 2.85 ERA. The Cubs just haven't been hitting for him at all. Hisashi Iwakuma has been the Mariners best pitcher this year. Iwakuma has an ERA of 2.26 on the year, and his ERA is 1.46 at home. These two guys have been great game in and game out and I expect no different here. Take the under.
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06-28-13 | St. Louis Cardinals v. Oakland A's UNDER 7.5 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 20 h 55 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* Shelby Miller and Bartolo Colon have both been awesome this season. Both of these guys have an ERA of less than 3 on the season. Colon has been even more dominant at home and in his career he has pitched better during night games. The Cardinals lineup is very good, but they are in a bit of a slump right now. Colon seems like the type of guy that could keep the Cardinals hitters guessing. Miller has been amazing in his rookie season, and the Athletics' offense has come back down to earth after their red hot start to the season. Expect both of these pitchers to go deep into the game. The under is 7-2 in the Cardinals last 9 games. The under is 5-1 in Miller's last 6 road starts. The under is 10-2 in the A's last 12 home games verses a right handed starter. Take the under.
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06-28-13 | Kansas City Royals v. Minnesota Twins OVER 8 | 9-3 | Win | 100 | 18 h 15 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Kansas City Royals offense hasn't been particularly strong so far, but I expect them to get better as the season progresses. At the same time, the Royals bullpen has been over achieving this season. James Shields is a solid pitcher, but he has struggled against Willingham, Mauer, and Morneau. The heart of this Twins order is still pretty good. The weather conditions should help the ball fly out here as the wind is expected to be out at about 15 mph. P.J. Walters hasn't proven himself as a big league pitcher. He is the type of guy who can give up 5 or 6 runs in an inning. The over is 5-2 in Walters' last 7 home starts. I like the value here. Take the over.
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06-28-13 | Cincinnati Reds -107 v. Texas Rangers | 0-4 | Loss | -107 | 18 h 7 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* The Texas Rangers are coming off an amazing road trip where they dominated both the St. Louis Cardinals and the New York Yankees. While I definitely like this Rangers team, I feel like this is a good spot for a let down from Texas. Martin Perez is very inexperienced, and you never really know what you'll get from him at this point in his career. Johnny Cueto is definitely the Reds' best pitcher, and he has been one of the best pitchers in baseball the last two seasons. Cueto is coming of a rare terrible outing in Arizona, and he should be focused and ready to bounce back in this one. The Reds lineup hasn't been consistent, but they are good. Cincinnati has too much of an advantage in the starting pitching matchup for me to pass this one up. Take the Reds.
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06-28-13 | Toronto Blue Jays v. Boston Red Sox OVER 9.5 | 5-7 | Win | 100 | 5 h 4 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Toronto Blue Jays and Boston Red Sox have two of the best offenses in baseball. Toronto just got back Jose Reyes and I would argue he is the key to their offense. He gets on base and gives Bautista and Encarnacion more RBI opportunities. Webster has struggled a lot early in his career, and shutting down Toronto is a tough task right now. Josh Johnson isn't the same pitcher he was a couple years ago. The Red Sox lead the majors in runs scored, and I expect them to score several here. Take the over in this one.
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06-27-13 | Toronto Blue Jays +150 v. Boston Red Sox | 4-7 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 18 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Dog of the Day* The Toronto Blue Jays may have started slowly, but they are finally playing the way many expected them to play this season. Boston sits on top of the AL East, but I'm not convinced the Red Sox are much better than the Blue Jays. Jon Lester has really been struggling of late. Lester has allowed 5 earned runs or more in 5 of his last 6 starts. The Blue Jays should get a major boost from the return of Jose Reyes. Reyes is the guy that is the real catalyst for this Toronto offense. Toronto is 16-5 in their last 21 games. The Blue Jays are 8-1 in their last 9 games in Boston. This is too big of a price to pass up. Take Toronto.
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06-27-13 | Chicago Cubs v. Milwaukee Brewers UNDER 8.5 | Top | 7-2 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
*5 Star MLB TOP Play of Week* The Chicago Cubs and Milwaukee Brewers are both very short-handed on offense right now. Chicago has a poor lineup to start with and DeJesus was doing a nice job as their leadoff man. Milwaukee is without star Ryan Braun as well as Corey Hart. Carlos Gomez may miss the game as well. Matt Garza had one bad outing this year, but he has been dominant in most of his starts. He has a 2.90 ERA in his career against the Brewers. Wily Peralta took some time to get accustomed to the majors, but he has looked much better of late. He has been great in two starts against the Cubs this year already. The under is 5-1-1 in the Cubs last 7 road games. The under is 4-1 in Peralta's last 5 starts. The under is 7-2-1 in the Cubs last 10. Take the under big!
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06-27-13 | Los Angeles Angels +133 v. Detroit Tigers | 3-1 | Win | 133 | 12 h 9 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Los Angeles Angels have struggled in a big way this season, but for some reason they have been able to beat the Detroit Tigers. The Angels are 8-0 in their last 8 games against the Tigers. Jered Weaver has been one of baseball's best pitchers the last few seasons. He hasn't been himself this year due to injuries, but seeing him as such a big underdog was a big surprise. Doug Fister hasn't been impressive as of late, and the Tigers are 1-6 in his last 7 starts. The Angels are 6-2 in Weaver's last 8 road starts versus a team with a winning record. Take the Angels.
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06-26-13 | Cleveland Indians v. Baltimore Orioles OVER 9.5 | 4-3 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 43 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total Value* Jason Hammel started the season well, but he has been struggling in a big way of late. He'll be pitching at home in this one, but that's certainly not an advantage for him. He has an ERA above 7 at home this year. Scott Kazmir is extremely inconsistent at this stage of his career, and the Orioles have one of baseball's best offenses. Ted Barrett will be the home plate umpire here. Kazmir has a 10.06 ERA with Barrett as home plate umpire in his career. Hammel has a 8.53 ERA with Barrett behind the plate. This has all the makings of a high-scoring contest. Take the over.
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06-26-13 | St. Louis Cardinals v. Houston Astros OVER 8.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -108 | 18 h 22 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* Tim McClelland is the best over umpire in all of baseball. So far this season McClelland has called only 61.7% of pitches a strike, which is easily the lowest of any major league umpire. The conditions in this game will be favorable for the over as well with the temperature near 90 and win blowing straight out to center field. Erik Bedard has struggled with McClelland behind the plate because he likes to nibble at the corners, and McClelland doesn't give him those pitches. The over is 4-0 in the Cardinals last 4 games against a team with a winning percentage under 40%. The over is 4-0 in the Cardinals last 4 road games. The over is 4-0-1 in Lance Lynn's last 5 following a quality start. The over is 4-1 in McClelland's last 5 behind the plate. Take the over.
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06-26-13 | Colorado Rockies v. Boston Red Sox -1.5 | 3-5 | Win | 115 | 14 h 22 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Major Mismatch* Roy Oswald has signed with the Colorado Rockies because the Rockies are really desperate for starting pitchers. I just don't see Oswald being the answer for the long term in this stage of his career. He wasn't impressive in his first outing with the Rockies when he allowed 4 runs in 5 innings against Washington. John Lackey has a 1.04 ERA at home this year, and the Rockies aren't the same offense without star Troy Tulowitzki. Boston arguably has the best offense in baseball right now, and they definitely have a big pitching advantage here. Take Boston -1.5.
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06-26-13 | Pittsburgh Pirates v. Seattle Mariners UNDER 6.5 | 4-2 | Win | 102 | 14 h 57 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Bill Miller will be the home plate umpire for this game. Miller is probably my single favorite under umpire in all of baseball. Unlike many umpires, Miller has an extremely consistent large strike zone year in and year out. Felix Hernandez is one of baseball's most dominating pitcher and he has been awesome with Miller is behind the dish. Hernandez has a 1.86 ERA with Miller as the home plate umpire. He also has a 0.56 ERA in his career against the Pirates. The Mariners have one of the worst offenses in baseball, and Gomez has been a solid pitcher for the Pirates this year. Look for a low scoring contest. Take the under.
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06-26-13 | Minnesota Twins v. Miami Marlins UNDER 8 | 3-5 | Push | 0 | 11 h 42 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Minnesota Twins and Miami Marlins played to a 4-2 final last night as I cashed in on the under. I'm going back to the well in this one. Minnesota is notorious for resting key starters in get away day situations like this so don't be surprised if Mauer, Morneau, or Willingham aren't in the lineup. Scott Diamond is a talented young lefty for the Twins and the Marlins are brutally bad (.211 average) against lefties. Koehler had one terrible start for the Marlins, but that was against St. Louis and he should calm a short-handed Twins offense. The under is 4-0 in the Twins last 4 interleague games. The under is 4-0 in Diamond's last 4 Wednesday starts. The under is 4-0 in the Twins last 4 against the AL East. The under is 3-0-1 in the Marlins last 4 against the AL Central. Take the under.
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06-25-13 | Pittsburgh Pirates v. Seattle Mariners UNDER 7 | Top | 9-4 | Loss | -118 | 22 h 35 m | Show |
*5 Star MLB TOP Play Total* The Pittsburgh Pirates and Seattle Mariners both struggle against left-handed pitching. Jeff Locke is a very good young lefty for the Pirates and Joe Saunders is tough at Safeco Field. Pittsburgh hits .220 and Seattle .229 against lefties. Locke has been absolutely amazing of late. He has thrown a shutout in 5 of his last 7 starts. He has a 2.01 ERA on the year overall. Saunders has a 2.53 ERA at home this year. The under is 6-0 in Locke's last 6 road starts against a team with a losing record. The under is 4-0 in Locke's last 4 starts as a favorite. The under is 5-0 in Saunders' last 5 starts. The under is 5-0-1 in the Pirates last 6 games with a total set at 7 to 8.5. The under is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings between these two. In all, a 27-0 angle backs this play. Take the under big.
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06-25-13 | Minnesota Twins v. Miami Marlins UNDER 7 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 18 h 25 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Miami Marlins have the worst offense in all of baseball. In fact, there have been very few bright spots for Miami this season. One of those rare bright spots has been youngster Jose Fernandez. Fernandez has been brilliant at home with an ERA of less than 2 so far in 2013. Kevin Correia isn't a dominating pitcher, but he consistently gives the Twins a quality start. This is one of those games where I expect a lot of quick innings and the starters working deep into the game. Look for a pitchers duel. Take the under.
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06-25-13 | Toronto Blue Jays v. Tampa Bay Rays OVER 8 | 1-5 | Loss | -115 | 18 h 25 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Matt Moore was amazing at the start of 2013, but things have turned quickly for the worse in his last 4 starts. Moore has an ERA above ten in those last four outings. Toronto's bats have been heating up in a big way of late. On the other side, Mark Buehrle starts for the Blue Jays. Tampa Bay has been great all season against left handed pitching. Both of these offenses are capable of putting up a big inning at any time during this contests. The over is 5-0 in Moore's last 5 starts overall. The over is 4-0 in Moore's last 4 starts at home verses Toronto. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Tampa. The over is 4-1 in Tampa's last 5 games verses a lefty. Take the over.
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06-24-13 | San Francisco Giants -102 v. Los Angeles Dodgers | 1-3 | Loss | -102 | 21 h 14 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Giants/Dodgers CASH* The San Francisco Giants and Los Angeles Dodgers don't like each other one bit, and it has been the Giants who have dominated this series of late. Madison Bumgarner has a terrific history against the Dodgers. Bumgarner has a 2.53 ERA against Los Angeles overall, and an even more impressive 1.53 ERA at Dodger Stadium. Ryu is a very good pitcher, but the Giants hit lefties well and he has struggled a bit in two starts against them this year. The Giants are 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these teams. The Dodgers are 0-6 in their last 6 against pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or less. The Dodgers are 0-5 in their last 5 against a lefty. Take the Giants.
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06-23-13 | Texas Rangers v. St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 19 h 40 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Texas Rangers had a lot of luck with young pitchers earlier this year, but some of their youngsters seem to have hit a wall of late. Nick Tepesch has given up 17 earned runs in his last three starts. He will face the best offense in the National League in this one. The Cardinals have the best record in baseball for a good reason. They have a dominant starting rotation and a terrific offense. Adam Wainwright is a Cy Young type pitcher and he has an ERA under 2 at home this year. The Cardinals are 7-0 in Wainwright's last 7 as a favorite of -151 to -200. The Cardinals are 7-1 in Wainwright's last 8 against a team with a winning record. Take the Cardinals -1.5.
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06-23-13 | Pittsburgh Pirates +127 v. Los Angeles Angels | 10-9 | Win | 127 | 14 h 21 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Dog of the Day* The Pittsburgh Pirates have managed to fly under the radar pretty well this year. Pittsburgh has made more money for moneyline bettors than any other team so far this year. They have constantly won games as the underdog. On the other side, no team has been bleeding money for bettors more than the Angels. Joe Blanton has an ERA above 6 on the year, and the Angels are 2-12 in his last 14 starts. The Angels are better on paper, but they aren't proving it on the field. Pittsburgh is too good of a value to pass up. Take the Pirates.
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06-23-13 | Minnesota Twins v. Cleveland Indians OVER 9 | 5-3 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 50 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* Mike Pelfrey has an ERA over 6 so far this year. Pelfrey is one of those guys that regularly allows 4 or 5 runs and doesn't get out of the 6th inning. Carlos Carrasco has never been consistent in his big league pitching career, and the Twins have hit the ball well against him in the past. The over is 12-5 in the last 17 games between these two teams at Cleveland. The over is 19-8-2 in the last 29 meetings between these teams overall. Look for both pitchers to give up several here. Take the over.
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06-22-13 | Miami Marlins v. San Francisco Giants -143 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 18 h 19 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* The line here is just too juicy for me to pass up. Jacob Turner is a good young pitcher, but he is pitching for the worst team in baseball. The Marlins hit .209 against lefties and Barry Zito has been splendid at home so far this year. The Giants are still the defending World Champs, and their offense is better this year than it was last season. The Giants are 16-5 in Zito's last 21 games as a favorite. The Giants are 6-2 in Zito's last 8 starts against the Marlins. The Marlins are 13-40 in their last 53 games on the road. Take San Francisco here.
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06-22-13 | New York Mets v. Philadelphia Phillies -117 | 7-8 | Win | 100 | 18 h 19 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* Dillon Gee has been pitching well of late for the New York Mets, but I'm expecting that to change on Saturday. His history against the Philadelphia Phillies is absolutely terrible. Gee has a 7.49 ERA in 8 games against the Phillies in his career. He also has an ERA above 10 in his career in games played at Citizens Bank Ballpark in Philly. Pettibone is coming off a bad start at Colorado, but he has been solid at home this year. The Mets are 0-8 in their last 8 Saturday games. The Mets are 0-4 in their last 4 road games against a team with a losing record. The Mets are 0-5 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams. Take the Phillies.
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06-20-13 | Boston: J Lackey v. Detroit: J Alvarez OVER 9 | 3-4 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 43 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Boston Red Sox and the Detroit Tigers arguably have the two best offenses in the majors. Detroit is averaging 4.94 runs and I expect them to have success against John Lackey. Lackey struggles on the road and I don't consider him a dominating pitcher at this stage in his career. Jose Alvarez will make his second career start for Detroit. Alvarez is a nice prospect, but it is a lot to ask of him to shut down this Red Sox lineup. Boston is averaging 5.08 runs per game this year, which is first in the majors. The over is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings between these two teams. Look for a high scoring contest. Take the over.
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06-19-13 | Chicago Cubs v. St. Louis Cardinals OVER 8 | 1-4 | Loss | -111 | 22 h 51 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB 100% Angle Total* The Chicago Cubs and St. Louis Cardinals have a history of playing some high scoring games against each other. Jake Westbrook just came back from an injury and he didn't look sharp in his first start back. Edwin Jackson has a 4.58 ERA in his career against the Cardinals, and most of the guys in this St. Louis lineup have great numbers against him. This number isn't set very high, so I like the value. The over is 6-0 in Westbrook's last 6. The over is 6-0-1 in Westbrook's last 7 as a -151 to -200 favorite. The over is 4-0 in Westbrook's last 4 against the Cubs. Take the over.
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06-19-13 | Chicago White Sox -134 v. Minnesota Twins | 4-7 | Loss | -134 | 22 h 46 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Moneyline Value* Chris Sale is a dominating pitcher and the Minnesota Twins haven't been able to hit him at all in the past. How good has Sale been against the Twins? He has a sparkling 0.93 ERA in 29 innings against the Twins. The White Sox aren't a particularly good team, but neither are the Twins. Minnesota's lineup isn't anything special, and Sale should mow them down as he has in the past. The White Sox are 24-9 in their last 33 games against the Twins. Take the White Sox with their Ace on the mound.
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06-19-13 | Pittsburgh Pirates v. Cincinnati Reds UNDER 8 | 1-2 | Win | 109 | 21 h 46 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Play of the Day* Bronson Arroyo has a nice history against his old team (the Pittsburgh Pirates) and he also has pitched great with Jerry Meals as the home plate umpire. Meals will be behind the plate here. Arroyo has a 1.73 ERA in 7 starts with Meals as the home plate umpire. Jeff Locke has been a great young lefty for the Pirates. In two starts against the Reds, he has a 1.86 ERA. Neither of these offenses are hitting it well right now. The under is 5-0 in the Reds last 5 games. The under is 6-0-2 in the last 8 meetings between these two teams in Cincinnati. The under is 7-1 in Locke's last 8 starts. Take the under.
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06-19-13 | Baltimore Orioles +140 v. Detroit Tigers | 13-3 | Win | 140 | 15 h 41 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Detroit Tigers are not an easy team to beat at home, but this is a good setup for the underdog. Chris Tillman has a 1.25 ERA in his career with Mark Wegner as the home plate umpire. Tillman has also been great as a road underdog. Baltimore is 9-0 in Tillman's last 9 starts as a road underdog. Rick Porcello has struggled against the Orioles. The Tigers are 1-4 in Porcello's last 5 against Baltimore. This price is too much to pass up on the underdog. Take the Orioles here.
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06-18-13 | Pittsburgh Pirates v. Cincinnati Reds UNDER 8.5 | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 21 h 33 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Cincinnati Reds and Pittsburgh Pirates have a history of playing some very low scoring games against each other. In Mat Latos' career against the Pirates he has a 2.3 ERA. Pittsburgh's lineup isn't very strong from top to bottom this year. Charlie Morton has been very good against the Reds in the past. No one in the Reds lineup sees the ball well against him. The breeze will be blowing in slightly which should help keep it in the yard more than normal. These are two of the best bullpens in baseball. The under is 4-0 in the Reds last 4 as a home favorite. The under is 4-0 in Morton's last 4 starts following a loss for his team. The under is 7-1 in Latos' last 8 as a home favorite of -151 to -200. The under is 5-0-2 in the last 7 meetings between these two teams in Cincinnati. Take the under.
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06-16-13 | Seattle Mariners v. Oakland A's UNDER 7 | 2-10 | Loss | -116 | 15 h 56 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* Oakland and Seattle both have a weak lineup from top to bottom. Hisashi Iwakuma has been one of the most underrated pitchers in baseball all year. Dating back to last season he has allowed more than three runs only once in last 16 starts. Bartolo Colon has been dominant of late, and he has great career numbers against Seattle. This is a pitcher's ballpark, and both of these pitchers are good at staying out of the big inning. This is the type of game where I expect to see both starters pitching very deep into the contest. This should be a very low scoring game. Take the under.
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06-15-13 | Chicago White Sox v. Houston Astros UNDER 8 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 18 h 42 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The single best 'under' umpire in baseball is Doug Eddings. He'll be behind the dish in this one. Eddings has the biggest strike zone in the league and he loves ringing up batters. Both of these pitchers should benefit from an expanded strike zone, because they are nibblers to start with. These offenses have been in a real funk of late. The under is 5-0 in Houston's last 5. The under is 6-0 in Danks' last 6 starts on 6 days of rest. The under is 4-0 in Danks' last 4 starts against the AL West. The under is 6-1 in the Astros last 7 home games. Take the under.
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06-15-13 | Washington Nationals -131 v. Cleveland Indians | 7-6 | Win | 100 | 17 h 27 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* The Washington Nationals and Cleveland Indians have very similar records heading into this game. If we assume that both lineups are pretty similar at this point (and I do), then we can break down the game based on starting pitching and the bullpens. There is absolutely no doubt that Washington has a huge edge here with Zimmerman starting. Zimmerman is one of the most consistent starters in baseball. Kazmir has an ERA over 5 this year. The Nats bullpen is solid while the Indians are in the bottom 5 of the majors. Take Washington.
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06-15-13 | Philadelphia Phillies +135 v. Colorado Rockies | 5-10 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 32 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Dog of Day* The Philadelphia Phillies beat the Colorado Rockies as a decent underdog last night, and I love the value here again. Tyler Chatwood isn't the kind of pitcher that should be -150 against anyone, especially when his offense will be without Troy Tulowitzki (their best hitter in my opinion), and probably Dexter Fowler as well. The Phillies aren't great, but they are too good to be this big of an underdog against Chatwood and a short-handed Rockies team. Take the Phillies.
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06-15-13 | St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 v. Miami Marlins | 13-7 | Win | 100 | 14 h 18 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Run Line Revenge* I picked the St. Louis Cardinals last night in Game One of this series. They would have won the game if it weren't for key error that scored two runs, but I expect them to bounce back big in this one. Koehler hasn't faced a lineup this good so far this year. Lance Lynn has been a money maker for Cardinals bettors for quite some time. The Cardinals are 21-7 in Lynn's last 28 starts. The Marlins are 17-40 in their last 57 against a righty. It's the best team in the league against the worst here. Take St. Louis -1.5.
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06-15-13 | Kansas City Royals v. Tampa Bay Rays UNDER 8 | 3-5 | Push | 0 | 14 h 18 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB 100% Angle Total* The Kansas City Royals pitching staff has shocked a lot of people this year (myself included). The Royals rank first in the American League in team ERA. Kansas City has gotten great work from Jeremy Guthrie all year, and he has been great in Tampa Bay in the past. Alex Cobb is one of the most underrated young pitchers in the league. The under is 5-0 in Guthrie's last 5 on 4 days of rest. The under is 4-0 in Guthrie's last 4 starts. The under is 4-0 in Cobb's last 4 starts when his team scored 2 runs or less in the previous game. The under is 4-0 in the Royals last 4 against a starter with a WHIP of 1.15 or less. Take the under.
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06-14-13 | New York Yankees +130 v. Los Angeles Angels | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 21 h 22 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Late Night Bailout* The Yankees are a much bigger underdog here than they would have been because of their 18 inning loss in Oakland yesterday. Even though the Yankees had a long day yesterday, this is too large of a price for me to pass up. The Angels may be the better team on paper, but they haven't been the better team on the field this year. Los Angeles has struggled against lefties all year, and Andy Pettitte is still a solid lefty. C.J. Wilson isn't the pitcher he once was, and the Angels are 1-6 in his last 7 starts. The Angels are also 1-6 in their last 7 as a favorite. Take the Yankees.
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06-14-13 | Detroit Tigers v. Minnesota Twins +1.5 | 4-0 | Loss | -130 | 20 h 57 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Run Line Value* Scott Diamond is a talented but inconsistent young pitcher for the Twins. Interestingly Diamond has been great against the Tigers in his career. He has a 2.98 ERA in 7 starts in his career against Detroit. The Tigers are a very good team, but they aren't very good on the road. They are just 14-18 on the road so far this year, and the Tigers are 6-21 in their last 27 road games against a left-handed pitcher. Rick Porcello is extremely inconsistent especially on the road. I like the home underdog here. Take Minnesota +1.5.
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06-14-13 | Philadelphia Phillies +125 v. Colorado Rockies | Top | 8-7 | Win | 125 | 21 h 32 m | Show |
*5 Star MLB Top Play Value* The Colorado Rockies took a huge hit yesterday when their best three players all went down due to injury. Troy Tulowitzki is out several weeks with a broken rib. Dexter Fowler is doubtful for this game due to a hand injury. Carlos Gonzalez is questionable due to foot and ankle swelling after being hit by a batted ball while in the on-deck circle. The Rockies lineup is normally great, but subtracting these three guys leaves a huge void. The Phillies aren't great, but they aren't a bad team either. Kyle Kendrick is having his best season as a pro, and he has a solid ERA of just about 4 in his career at Coors Field. The Phillies are 13-3 in their last 16 in Colorado. Take Philadelphia big.
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06-14-13 | St. Louis Cardinals -139 v. Miami Marlins | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -139 | 19 h 34 m | Show |
*5 Star Top Play Moneyline CASH* Jose Fernandez is an extremely talented young pitcher, but I think he may be over his head in this match up. Fernandez is only 20 years old, and he has thrown the ball well against subpar lineups, but he has struggled against the best offenses he has faced. The Cardinals have the best record in baseball at 43-23, and they have the best lineup in the National League. A pitcher just doesn't get a break when trying to get through this Cardinals batting order. Jake Westbrook is coming back from an injury, which is probably why this line isn't any steeper. Still, the Cardinals are the best team in baseball right now and the Marlins are the worst. The Cardinals are 6-0 in their last 6 Friday games. The Marlins are 0-5 in Fernandez's last 5 starts against a team with a winning record. The Cardinals are 10-2 in their last 12 meetings with Miami. Take St. Louis big.
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06-14-13 | Washington Nationals v. Cleveland Indians UNDER 7.5 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 18 h 29 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Justin Masterson has had a couple hiccups this year, but for the most part, he has pitched like an Ace. Masterson has been brilliant at home this season, and the Nationals lineup isn't the same without Bryce Harper. Gio Gonzalez has been rounding into form of late, and he has been spectacular in his career when pitching in Cleveland. In four career starts at Cleveland, Gonzalez has an amazing 0.68 ERA. Neither of these offenses are terrific right now, and I expect a great game from both starting pitchers. Take the under.
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06-13-13 | San Francisco: M Cain v. Pittsburgh: C Morton OVER 7.5 | 10-0 | Win | 100 | 18 h 10 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The San Francisco Giants have a much better offense than they did a year ago. Charlie Morton hasn't pitched in more than a year and he'll make his return in this one after Tommy John surgery. Matt Cain hasn't been himself this year. He has an ERA above 6 on the road this year. Tim McClelland may well be the best 'over' umpire in the business, and he'll be behind the dish in this one. He has had one of the smallest strike zones for many years, and he'll squeeze both pitchers in this one. I like the value here. Take the over.
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06-13-13 | New York Yankees v. Oakland A's UNDER 7.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 15 h 34 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB 100% Angle Total* The New York Yankees and Oakland Athletics offenses have both been struggling of late. Hiroki Kuroda has been the Yankees best pitcher all year. Jarrod Parker started the year slowly, but he has six straight quality starts. The A's offense was on fire earlier this year, which made oddsmakers overadjust their totals for this team. Now, the under is a nice value with Oakland playing more like the team from last year. The under is 6-0-1 in the Yankees last 7 Thursday games. The under is 4-0-1 in Kuroda's last 5 against a team with a winning record. The under is 6-0 in Oakland's last 6 home games against a righty. Take the under.
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06-13-13 | Washington Nationals v. Colorado Rockies OVER 10.5 | 5-4 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 18 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* Coors Field is still the best park in the majors for hitters when the conditions are right, and they'll be great on Thursday afternoon. The ball really flies well in the afternoon here, and temperatures are expected to be in the upper 80's for this one. Ross Detwiler and Jeff Francis are two lefties who have been struggling of late. Francis has an ERA over 6 this year. Detwiler will have trouble getting through a Rockies lineup that is stacked from top to bottom. The over is 17-7-1 in Francis' last 25 starts at home. The over is 5-1-1 in the Rockies last 7. Take the over.
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06-12-13 | Washington Nationals v. Colorado Rockies -1.5 | 5-1 | Loss | -100 | 19 h 23 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Major Mismatch* Ross Ohlendorf is making his Washington Nationals debut in this one. Ohlendorf has had some terrible seasons of late. In fact, his ERA was 7 or higher in each of his last two seasons. It's hard to imagine him having any luck at Coors Field against a very good Rockies lineup. The Nationals are very short handed offensively right now, and Jorge De La Rosa is an underrated pitcher for Colorado. The Rockies are 29-4 in De La Rosa's last 33 home starts as a favorite. I'll take the better pitcher and a much better lineup in a mismatch here. Take the Rockies -1.5.
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06-12-13 | Philadelphia Phillies v. Minnesota Twins OVER 8.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -111 | 19 h 31 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total Value* Mike Pelfery has an ERA of 6.3 so far this year. It's very rare that he can get through a start without giving up a big inning. The Phillies offense has been much better of late thanks to a surge in production from Domonic Brown. Brown has turned into the star hitting outfielder that many thought he would be a couple years ago. Tyler Cloyd is very inconsistent, and the Twins offense has been good at home this season. The wind will be blowing out center field and with these two pitchers, I think this number is too low. Take the over.
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06-12-13 | Cleveland Indians v. Texas Rangers -131 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -131 | 19 h 58 m | Show |
*5 Star MLB Top Play of the Week* The Texas Rangers dropped a game last night to Cleveland, but that loss only makes me feel better about their chances in this game. In the past 2 years the Rangers are winning at a 70% clip when coming off of a loss. Nick Tepesch has been a good young starter for the Rangers. He has an ERA of just 2.89 at home this year. Ubaldo Jimenez is among the most inconsistent pitchers in baseball. The Rangers have had a ton of success against him at home. Laz Diaz will be behind home plate in this one, and Jimenez has a 10.1 ERA with Diaz behind home plate. Cleveland is 1-11 in their last 12 road games against a team with a winning record. Cleveland is 0-5 in their last 5 games verses a right handed pitcher. Take Texas big!
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06-12-13 | Detroit Tigers -125 v. Kansas City Royals | 2-3 | Loss | -125 | 13 h 44 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* Justin Verlander went through a brief period where he struggled a few weeks ago, but he is still the most dominating pitcher in the American League. Verlander has a 2.49 ERA in 14 career starts in Kansas City. James Shields is a quality pitcher as well, but the Royals haven't given him much run support all year, and I don't see it starting in this game. This is the rubber match of this three game set, and I believe the Tigers are the much better team. Look for them to win with their Ace on the mound. The Tigers are 5-1 in Verlander's last 6 starts at Kansas City. Detroit is 55-23 in Verlander's last 78 starts overall. Take Detroit.
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06-12-13 | Los Angeles Angels v. Baltimore Orioles OVER 9.5 | 9-5 | Win | 104 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Los Angeles Angels offense has shown signs of life lately. I still believe the Angels are going to score a ton of runs at some point this year. Jason Hammel has an ERA above 7 at home this year, and he is a guy that the Angels should be able to put up a bunch of runs against. Jerome Williams has been good so far this year, but he has struggled during the day time in his career. This Orioles lineup is much better than most people realize. It'll be a hot day in Baltimore which should help the ball carry well in this contest. The over is 7-0 in Hammel's last 7 starts against a team with a losing record. Take the over.
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06-11-13 | Washington Nationals v. Colorado Rockies OVER 10 | 3-8 | Win | 100 | 17 h 50 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Colorado Rockies have one of the best offenses in baseball, and they also have a poor pitching staff. Dan Haren is one of the weak links on the Nationals staff at this point. Coors Field is still the best hitters ballpark when the conditions are right. They can't be more right than they are on Tuesday. A temperature in the upper 80's and a wind blowing straight out to center at 20 miles per hour will really make it rough on these pitchers. Chacin has an ERA above 5 at home. Expect lots of runs in this one. Take the over.
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06-11-13 | Detroit Tigers v. Kansas City Royals OVER 8.5 | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 27 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Detroit Tigers have the best offense in baseball. Detroit averages 5.15 runs per game, and they'll get to face Wade Davis in this one. Davis is a very inconsistent pitcher who gives up big innings quite often. Against such a strong offense, I don't expect him to pitch well. The wind is expected to be blowing out 15-20 mph in this one and the temperature will be in the upper 80's. This is perfect conditions for the ball to really travel well here. I like the value here. Take the over.
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06-11-13 | Cleveland Indians v. Texas Rangers -1.5 | 5-2 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 21 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Major MISMATCH* The Cleveland Indians are 0-11 in their last 11 road games against a team with a winning record. Texas may be the best team in the American League, and Derek Holland is a very underrated starting pitcher. The Rangers are 39-16 in Holland's last 53 starts. Holland has a stellar 2.31 ERA in his career against Cleveland. Kluber starts for Cleveland and I suspect he'll struggle in this hitter-friendly ballpark. The Indians are sliding fast right now. I like Texas to win big. Take Texas -1.5.
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06-10-13 | Atlanta Braves -133 v. San Diego Padres | 6-7 | Loss | -133 | 20 h 22 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Late Night BAILOUT* The San Diego Padres have been playing pretty well lately, but they aren't in the same class at the Atlanta Braves. Atlanta is much better than San Diego in every aspect of the game. The Braves have the better starting pitcher here, a better lineup, and a much better bullpen. Julio Teheran is turning into the dominant starter that many scouts thought he could be. He nearly pitched a no hitter in his last game, and he should shut down this weak Padres lineup. Jason Marquis is past his prime, and the Braves lineup should be able to do some damage against him. Take Atlanta.
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06-10-13 | Cincinnati Reds -127 v. Chicago Cubs | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 18 h 29 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Moneyline Cash* The Cincinnati Reds are coming off a very tough home loss against the St. Louis Cardinals last night. I think they found the perfect opponent to bounce back with a win on Monday night. The Reds are 40-15 in their last 55 games against the Cubs. They are 19-7 in their last 26 games at Wrigley Field. Scott Feldman has pitched well this year, but he doesn't have a good track record against the Reds. Homer Bailey is a much better pitcher than he was a couple years ago, and he's had great success against the Cubs. The Reds are 7-0 in Bailey's last 7 starts against he Cubs. Take the Reds.
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06-10-13 | Boston Red Sox v. Tampa Bay Rays -126 | 10-8 | Loss | -126 | 17 h 19 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Tampa Bay Rays started the season slowly, but this is a team that just knows how to win. They consistently end up near or at the top of the AL East standings. Alex Cobb has been the Rays most consistent pitcher this season, and most people don't realize just how good Cobb really is. He has great command of all of his pitches, and that allows him to stay out of big innings. John Lackey has pitched well at home this year, but his numbers on the road aren't impressive. I expect the Red Sox to come back down to earth a little bit, and the Rays are always a very tough team to beat at home. The Rays are 6-1 in Cobb's last 7 home starts. The Rays are 8-1 in Cobb's last 9 starts as a favorite. The Red Sox are 1-4 in Lackey's last 5 road starts. Take Tampa Bay.
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06-09-13 | Pittsburgh Pirates -117 v. Chicago Cubs | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -117 | 12 h 4 m | Show |
*5 Star MLB TOP PLAY Crusher* The Pittsburgh Pirates continue to be a massive moneymaker for bettors this year. Pittsburgh is 37-25 on the year, and they have been surprisingly great on the road. The Chicago Cubs simply aren't a very good team this year, and they aren't playing well of late. Jeff Locke is a nice young lefty for the Pirates, and the Cubs hit just .232 against lefties. Edwin Jackson has a career ERA of a little over 7 at Wrigley Field. The Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 road games against a team with a losing record. The Pirates are 4-0 in Locke's last 4 against the NL Central. The Cubs are 0-6 in Jackson's last 6 home starts. The Cubs are 0-4 in their last 4 home games. The Pirates are 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams. Take Pittsburgh big!
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06-09-13 | Oakland A's -130 v. Chicago White Sox | 2-4 | Loss | -130 | 12 h 44 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* The Oakland Athletics are much better against lefties than righties, and Hector Santiago isn't exactly a top notch lefty. Santiago walks far too many people, and the A's have the type of team that can manufacture runs off of those walks. They will make him pay for the free passes. A.J. Griffin has been great since coming to the majors for Oakland, and I think he is still underrated by the oddsmakers. Oakland is 41-10 in their last 51 against a team with a losing record. The White Sox are 2-10 in their last 12. Take Oakland.
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06-09-13 | Miami Marlins v. New York Mets UNDER 7.5 | 8-4 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 44 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Miami Marlins and New York Mets just played a ridiculous 20 inning game on Saturday. Generally, the thought is a long game like this would help the over in the following game because of the worn down bullpen. In this case, both Jon Niese and Tom Kohler have a good chance of going deep into the game and saving the bullpen because of their strong pitching. The Marlins average 2.34 runs per game against lefties, which is worst in the majors. The Mets offense isn't good, and Kohler is an underrated youngster. The under is the play here. Take the under.
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06-08-13 | San Francisco Giants v. Arizona Diamondbacks UNDER 8 | 10-5 | Loss | -100 | 22 h 58 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Play of the Day* The San Francisco Giants and Arizona Diamondbacks have two of the best pitching staffs in the National League, and they don't have particularly good offenses. Madison Bumgarner doesn't have good numbers of late, but his starts have been against very good offenses. Trevor Cahill has a 2.66 ERA at home this year, and his career numbers against the Giants are very good. Last night's game finished at 3-1 and I see a similar type of game here. The starters should go deep into the game as both lineups struggle to string hits together. The under is 5-0 in Cahill's last 5 starts as a home favorite. The under is 6-1 in his last 7 home starts. The under is 6-1 in Bumgarner's last 7 starts as an underdog. Take the under.
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06-08-13 | Philadelphia Phillies +104 v. Milwaukee Brewers | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 19 h 9 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* The Philadelphia Phillies sit at .500 coming into this game. The Phillies have been playing much better baseball of late. Domonic Brown's emergence as a real offensive threat has been huge for this lineup. Milwaukee has been one of the biggest disappointments in baseball all year. The Brewers haven't been able to win as favorites. Milwaukee is 1-12 in their last 13 games as a home favorite. The Brewers are favorites again here despite Tom Gorzelanny being thrown in as a spot starter here. Gorzelanny has never had much success as a starter. Kyle Kendrick is having his best season as a major leaguer. Kendrick is 6-3 with a 3.12 ERA so far this year. The Phillies are 10-3 in their last 13 games in Milwaukee. Take Philadelphia.
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06-08-13 | Cleveland Indians v. Detroit Tigers -125 | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 16 h 49 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Detroit Tigers haven't ran away with the AL Central division just yet, but I think they will. Detroit is clearly far more talented from top to bottom than any other team in this division. Rick Porcello has been up and down this year, but he has been pretty good at home. Justin Masterson has a career ERA above 6 against the Tigers in Comerica Park. Detroit has a much better lineup from top to bottom than the Indians, and the Tigers have been heating up of late. Cleveland started the season well, but the Indians have been slumping of late. The Indians are 0-9 in their last 9 road games against a team with a winning record. Cleveland is 0-5 in their last 5 overall. Take Detroit.
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06-07-13 | San Francisco Giants v. Arizona Diamondbacks -125 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 20 h 10 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* Patrick Corbin is one of the best young pitchers in baseball. Corbin has had a couple shaky games of late, but he pitches very well at home, and I expect him to bounce back big in this one. Matt Cain has been an elite pitcher in the past, but it seems like something is wrong with Cain this year. His ERA on the road is 6.27, and his overall ERA is well above 5. The Diamondbacks are 7-0 in Corbin's last 7 home starts. Cain has struggled at Chase Field in the past, and I don't expect him to turn it around here. Take the Diamondbacks.
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06-07-13 | Oakland A's v. Chicago White Sox UNDER 7.5 | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 19 h 55 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* Jarrod Parker and Chris Sale are both pitching extremely well right now. These two squared off against each other just 5 days a go, and the score was 2-0. Parker started the season slowly, but he has been pitching much like he did last year lately. Parker has a brilliant 0.93 ERA in his career against the White Sox. Sale had one bad start this year, but he has been completely dominant of late. Oakland's offense is overrated at this point, and the White Sox lineup is very weak. The under is 3-0-1 in Sale's last 4 starts. The under is 4-0-2 in the White Sox last 6 games as a home favorite. The under is 5-0-1 in Sale's last 6 starts following a quality start. The under is 4-1 in Parker's last 5 starts. Take the under.
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06-07-13 | Baltimore Orioles v. Tampa Bay Rays OVER 8.5 | 1-2 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 8 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB 100% Angle Total* Chris Archer is a highly touted prospect for the Rays, but he seems to be struggle to make the transition to the major leagues. The Orioles have a much better lineup than most people realize, and I think the over is a great value in many of their games right now. Jason Hammel has been winning games of late, but only because he has been getting great run support. Hammel has really struggled in his last 4 games, and the Rays offense is red hot right now. The over is 5-0 in Hammel's last 5 road starts. The over 4-0-1 in Hammel's last 5 starts as an underdog. The over is 7-0 in the Orioles last 7 games as a road underdog. The over is 7-0 in the Rays last 7 Friday games. The over is 7-0-1 in the Rays last 8 home games verses a righty. In all, a 30-0 angle backs this play. Take the over.
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06-06-13 | Philadelphia Phillies +134 v. Milwaukee Brewers | 5-1 | Win | 134 | 20 h 51 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Bookie CRUSHER* The Philadelphia Phillies sit at 30-30 on the season. With a win here the Phillies could go above .500 in the first time in months. Domonic Brown has been hotter than anyone else in baseball over the past week and a half, and it has really made a difference for this Phillies offense. Milwaukee is struggling badly right now. Ryan Braun is dealing with a minor injury and may miss this game. The Brewers lineup hasn't produced up to expectations this season. Peralta starts for the Brewers here, and his ERA at home is slightly above 7. The Brewers are 1-11 in their last 12 games as as home favorite. Milwaukee is 1-4 in Peralta's last 5 starts. The Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 games overall. Take the Phillies.
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06-06-13 | Minnesota Twins +136 v. Kansas City Royals | 3-7 | Loss | -100 | 20 h 50 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Dog of the Day* The Kansas City Royals have been playing some terrible baseball lately. How they could be such a huge favorite in this game is a real mystery to me. Kansas City is 0-11 in their last 11 home games, and yet the oddsmakers install them as a big favorite. The Twins have been playing surprisingly well of late. Minnesota's bullpen is one the best in baseball so far this year. Wade Davis is a pitcher I like to fade, because he simply allows too many base runners. Several Twins have great career numbers against Davis. The Twins are 7-1 in their last 8 games. Minnesota is 5-1 in their last 6 games as an underdog. The Royals are 0-8 in their last 8 games as a home favorite. Kansas City is 0-7 in their last 7 home games against a right-handed pitcher. In all, a 38-2 angle backs this play. Take Minnesota.
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06-06-13 | Oakland A's -128 v. Chicago White Sox | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 19 h 56 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Chicago White Sox broke an 8 game losing streak with a ridiculous 7-5 win in 16 innings at Seattle yesterday. The White Sox bullpen is used up so they need Quintana to go deep into the game in this contest. Oakland has been great against lefties all year, and I don't see Quintana getting past the 6th inning. Dan Straily is one of the top pitching prospects in baseball. Staily has thrown three brilliant games in a row coming into this one. The Athletics are 6-0 in their last 6 against the AL Central. Oakland is 7-0 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series. The White Sox are 0-7 in their last 7 against the AL West. Chicago is 0-6 in their last 6 games verses a right-handed pitcher. The White Sox are 0-4 in their last 4 verses a team with a winning record. Take Oakland.
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06-06-13 | Texas Rangers +130 v. Boston Red Sox | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 19 h 50 m | Show | |
*3 Star Rangers/Red Sox CASH* Derek Holland is an underrated starter for Texas. Holland has improved his control a great deal in the past couple seasons. His history against the Red Sox is strong. The Rangers are 5-0 in Holland's last 5 starts against Boston. The Red Sox have a good offense, but they aren't nearly as dominant against left-handed pitching. Jon Lester started the season well, but he has given up 6, 4, 4 runs in his last 3 starts. I believe Texas is the best team in the American League right now. So getting them at this price is something I can't pass up. Take Texas.
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06-05-13 | Texas Rangers +111 v. Boston Red Sox | 3-2 | Win | 111 | 17 h 8 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Dog of the Day* The Texas Rangers were embarrassed last night by the Boston Red Sox. That actually makes me like this play quite a bit more. Texas is a resilient bunch. Ron Washington's team is 75-30 in their last 105 games following a loss. Alexi Ogando will be back from an injury for them in this one, and Ogando is a guy I like quite a bit. He has the stuff to pile up the strikeouts. John Lackey starts for the Red Sox. While he has had success at home this year, he hasn't faced a team like the Rangers yet. Texas has a good and very deep lineup. I like the price on the underdog here. Take Texas.
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06-05-13 | Tampa Bay Rays v. Detroit Tigers -136 | 3-0 | Loss | -136 | 17 h 48 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* The Detroit Tigers are a totally different team on their home field. The Tigers are 55-22 in their last 77 home games. Doug Fister is on the mound for this one and the Tigers are 20-5 in his last 25 home games. Fister has a stellar 2.77 ERA in his career against Tampa Bay. Alex Cobb is a good young starter for the Rays, but he isn't completely over a finger injury and I think that could hurt him in this game. The Tigers lineup is much better than the Rays lineup. Tampa Bay's offense has been overperforming of late. The Rays are 1-7 in their last 8 at Detroit. Take Detroit here.
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06-05-13 | Chicago White Sox v. Seattle Mariners UNDER 7 | 7-5 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 30 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Chicago White Sox and Seattle Mariners both have extremely weak lineups. These are teams that can score one or two runs in a game and no one will bat an eyelash. Dylan Axelrod is still developing as a pitcher, but he has good stuff. Hisashi Iwakuma is dominating for the Mariners so far this year. Iwakuma has actually been even better than King Felix for most of the year. Iwakuma has given up more than 3 runs only once in last 15 starts. The under is 4-1-1 in the White Sox last 6. The under is 5-1 in Iwakuma's last 6 against the AL Central. DJ Reyburn is the umpire here and he has a big strike zone. The under is 6-0 in Reyburn's last 6 Wednesday games. Take the under.
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06-04-13 | Toronto Blue Jays v. San Francisco Giants OVER 7.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 25 m | Show |
*5 Star MLB TOP Play Total* Josh Johnson is coming back form an injury for the Blue Jays in this one. Johnson has been bad so far this year, and he was bad in his minor league rehab starts as well. He pitched 4 and 2/3 and gave up 6 runs in his most recent minor league tuneup. Tim Lincecum hasn't been himself again this year. Lincecum has given up at least 4 runs in 7 of his 10 starts this year. He has allowed 6 runs in two of his last 3 outings. Both of these offenses are pretty good this year, and neither of these pitchers have proven themselves at all this season. This is too low of a number. The over is 13-3 in the Blue Jays last 16 following a win. The over is 12-4-1 in Lincecum's last 17 starts. The over is 7-1 in the Blue Jays last 8 against a team with a winning record. Take the over big.
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06-04-13 | Tampa Bay Rays v. Detroit Tigers UNDER 8 | 1-10 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 54 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Matt Moore is having a break out season for the Tampa Bay Rays. Moore has an ERA just above 2, and the Rays are 12-1 in his last 13 starts this year. Moore pitched well in his only outing against Detroit last season. Anibal Sanchez has been spectacular at home this year with an ERA under 2. Even though both offenses are solid, I think the value is with the under because of the two elite pitchers. The under is 4-0 in Detroit's last 4 Tuesday games. The under is 19-6-2 in the last 27 meetings between these teams. Take the under.
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