Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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06-22-11 | Arizona Diamondbacks -117 v. Kansas City Royals | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 18 h 9 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* The Kansas City Royals have come back to earth in a big way over the last month, while the Diamondbacks continue to outperform expectations. One of the main reasons Arizona has been successful is their young talent at starting pitcher. Ian Kennedy is a very good young starter, and I think he gives Arizona the distinct pitching advantage in this one. In addition, the Diamondbacks lineup has more pop than the Royals. The DBacks are 5-1 in Kennedy's last 6 road starts. The Royals are 2-7 in their last 9 home games. Take Arizona.
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06-22-11 | Houston Astros v. Texas Rangers OVER 9.5 | 5-3 | Loss | -102 | 18 h 4 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* Brett Myers has made one start at Texas and he lasted just two innings while allowing five earned runs. Colby Lewis has been awful in the month of June in his career (6.30 ERA) and he has a 7.44 ERA at home this year. The hot weather generally helps the ball travel well here, and there should be a bit of a wind tunnel effect in this game. The over is 12-5-1 in Myers' last 18 starts. The over is 6-0 in Lewis' last 6 home starts. The over is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings between these teams. I expect a high scoring affair here. Take the over.
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06-22-11 | Seattle Mariners v. Washington Nationals UNDER 7.5 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 17 h 4 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* In this one we get two very good left-handed pitchers, and I like taking the under in those instances. Erik Bedard was giving up the long ball at the beginning of the year, but he has been great in his last ten starts. Bedard hasn't allowed more than three runs in any of his last 10 starts. John Lannan has a stellar 1.77 ERA in his last three starts and he has a 1.84 ERA at home this year. Neither team's lineup is very good against lefties. I think both starting pitchers will pitch well. Take the under.
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06-22-11 | Colorado Rockies v. Cleveland Indians OVER 8.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -117 | 17 h 3 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Totals Terrorizer* Sam Holbrook is the umpire behind the plate in this one, which means the 'over' is worth a hard look. The over is 12-3 in his 15 games behind the dish this year. Holbrook has a tiny strike zone, and I think that will make a difference in this game. Both of these pitchers really try to work the edges (especially Tomlin) and without an umpire that will give them the corners they will likely struggle. Tomlin started out hot this year, but he has been bad of late. Hammel is very inconsistent. The total is set low here, and the wind will be blowing out. Take the over.
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06-22-11 | Detroit Tigers +100 v. Los Angeles Dodgers | 7-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 9 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* Rick Porcello had a terrible start at Coors Field in his last outing, but before that start he had been pitching very well. I'm willing to give him the benefit of the doubt and assume he'll bounce back against a weak Dodgers lineup. The Tigers have a far better lineup, and Detroit is looking to avoid the sweep in this one. Ted Lilly has a 6.03 ERA when pitching during the day this year. The Dodgers are just 5-13 in their last 18 Interleague games. The Tigers are 5-2 in Porcello's last 7 road starts. Take Detroit.
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06-21-11 | Minnesota Twins v. San Francisco Giants UNDER 7 | 9-2 | Loss | -120 | 21 h 30 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Late Night BAILOUT* The Minnesota Twins and the San Francisco Giants have a lot in common right now. The Twins and Giants are both missing several key hitters from their lineup, and both teams are getting great efforts from their pitching staff of late. Carl Pavano has allowed just four runs in his last three starts, and he should do well against the Giants offense in this pitchers ballpark. Madison Bumgarner has a poor record this year, but he has pitched quite well. Bumgarner has a solid 3.21 ERA in 2011. The under is 18-7-1 in the Giants last 26. Take the under.
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06-21-11 | Toronto Blue Jays v. Atlanta Braves OVER 8.5 | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 19 h 41 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB BEST Bet* Mike Minor has an ERA of 5.4 in his major league career so far. The Toronto Blue Jays bats have been cold of late, but they are terrific against lefties. I expect Bautista and company to snap out of their funk in this one. Zach Stewart is pitching in only his second major league game, and this will be his first on the road. The Braves offense hasn't been good of late, but once again I feel like this is a good spot for them. Heyward is healthy and McCann is crushing the ball right now. Angel Campos is behind the dish, and he is one of the best 'over' umpires in the business. The over is 9-2-2 in Minor's last 13 starts. Take the over.
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06-21-11 | Los Angeles Angels -126 v. Florida Marlins | 2-5 | Loss | -126 | 19 h 40 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* The Florida Marlins have lost 18 of their last 19, and they have dropped 11 straight games. The streak obviously has to come to an end at some point, but I don't like their matchup in this one. Javier Vazquez has been terrible this year. Vazquez has an ERA of 8.2 at home, and the Marlins are 0-5 in his last 5 starts. Ervin Santana has been pretty solid this year, and the Angels have been awesome in Interleague play in the past few years. The Angels are 55-25 in their last 80 Interleague Games. Take the Angels ML.
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06-20-11 | Houston Astros v. Texas Rangers OVER 10 | Top | 3-8 | Win | 100 | 20 h 57 m | Show |
*5 Star Top Play Total* The Texas Rangers have a dangerous lineup, and they absolutely thrive on hitting left-handed pitching. J.A. Happ is a flyball pitcher and that isn't a good thing on a hot Texas night in Arlington. This is a park that has a wind tunnel effect at times, which pushes the ball straight out toward center, and Monday's conditions appear ripe for that to happen. I expect a lot of home runs and some difficult conditions for the pitchers. Derek Holland has an ERA over 5 at home in his career, and the over is 6-1 in his last 7 at home. I expect a high scoring affair. Take the over big in this one.
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06-20-11 | Los Angeles Angels v. Florida Marlins UNDER 7 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 19 h 2 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Totals Takedown* Anibal Sanchez is a very good pitcher, who has proven he has no-hit stuff when he is on his game. Jered Weaver has a 2.06 ERA this year and he has been consistently very good. Neither of these teams has a strong offense. Mike Stanton is having eye issues and might miss the game. These are two lineups that struggle to put 3 or 4 runs on the board in a normal situation, and these pitchers are both certified aces. The under is an amazing 38-13-6 in Weaver's last 57 starts overall. Take the under.
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06-20-11 | San Diego Padres v. Boston Red Sox OVER 9.5 | 5-14 | Win | 100 | 19 h 60 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Boston Red Sox have been lighting up virtually every pitcher in sight of late. Wade LeBlanc will start Monday night for the Padres, and he has been terrible on the road in his short career in the majors. LeBlanc has an ERA of 6.24 on the road in his career. Andrew Miller will start for the Red Sox, and Miller has an overall career ERA of 5.84. The Padres offense isn't very good, but they have been better on the road. The wind will be blowing out and I could see Boston putting up 10 by themselves, so I like the over in this one. Take the over.
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06-19-11 | Philadelphia Phillies v. Seattle Mariners +1.5 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 27 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Value Play* The Seattle Mariners have surprised me quite a bit this year. They have split the first two games with the Phillies, and I think they'll put a lot into trying to win this series against Philadelphia. This should be a low scoring affair with two solid lefties pitching. Jason Vargas has been terrific at home in his career, and Cole Hamels is coming off a start where he tweaked his lower back. Seattle is 11-5 in their last 16 home games. I think the Mariners will either win this one or at least keep it very close. Seattle +1.5.
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06-19-11 | Detroit Tigers -135 v. Colorado Rockies | 9-1 | Win | 100 | 14 h 56 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* Justin Verlander is one of the top two pitchers in the majors right now (Halladay being the other). Verlander just isn't letting anyone get on base this year. He has an amazing WHIP of 0.888. Verlander has dominating stuff and he gets better as the game goes on. I unsuccessfully played the Tigers on Saturday as a big underdog. The Tigers lost 5-4 despite outhitting the Rockies 12 to 6. I think the Tigers have the better offense and the much better pitcher. Aaron Cook has four apperances with Cederstrom behind home plate and his ERA is 6.11 in those games. The Tigers are 21-5 in Verlander's last 26 Sunday Starts! Take Detroit.
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06-19-11 | San Diego Padres v. Minnesota Twins UNDER 7.5 | 4-5 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 27 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* The Minnesota Twins are slowly getting healthy, but they have quite a ways to go. Danny Valencia might miss Sunday's game, and they are still without Kubel, Morneau, Thome, and others. San Diego will likely be without Hawpe, and this Padres offense just isn't very good. Francisco Liriano can be dominating when he is on his game, and he has been on it of late. I don't see San Diego putting up many runs. Dustin Mosely has been underrated this year and he has an impressive 3.16 ERA. I like the value on the under.
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06-19-11 | Florida Marlins v. Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 58 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Runline ROUT* The Florida Marlins will have to turn things around at some point, but I don't think this is the game they'll do it. I have successfully played against Florida a couple times in the past week, and I think this pitching mismatch is a good opportunity to do so once again. James Shields has been terrific this year, especially at home (1.99 ERA at home). Chris Volstad has been awful this year (8.51 ERA on the road in 2011). The Rays are 10-3 in Shields' last 13 starts. The Marlins are 0-11 in their last 11 games against a right-handed pitcher. Tampa Bay -1.5.
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06-19-11 | Texas Rangers v. Atlanta Braves -102 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 53 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Hidden GEM* Jair Jurrjens is one of the best pitchers in the National League, and it is rare to be able to get him at just about even money at home. The Braves haven't been playing well of late, but I still think they have a good team. Atlanta has the deepest bullpen in baseball, and they have a great starting staff. Alexi Ogando has been great this year, but he was hit hard by the Yankees last time out. The Braves are 12-3 in Jurrjens last 15 home starts. The Braves are 12-2 in their last 14 during game three of a series. Take Atlanta.
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06-19-11 | Baltimore Orioles v. Washington Nationals -135 | Top | 7-4 | Loss | -135 | 12 h 25 m | Show |
*5 Star Top Play Blowout* The Washington Nationals are red hot right now. Washington has won eight straight games. Baltimore is going the opposite direction. The Orioles have lost six of their last seven games. Baltimore will be without Brian Roberts, Vlad Guerrero, and possibly Luke Scott as well on Sunday. The biggest reason for this pick is I simply don't believe Chris Jakubauskas is a major league starting pitcher. Jakubauskas pitched well against Oakland in his first start this year, but he was very shaky against Toronto last time out. The Nationals bats are hot now, and I don't see him cooling them off. The Orioles struggle badly against lefties and Gorzelanny appears to be healthy now. Take Washington in this one.
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06-19-11 | Pittsburgh Pirates v. Cleveland Indians UNDER 8 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* Both of these pitchers have been underrated this year. Justin Masterson started out extremely hot. He has cooled off a bit of late, but he has still been pretty good. Jeff Karstens has flown under the radar, but he has a stellar 2.66 ERA this year. The wind is expected to be blowing in from center field at about 10 mph in this one. Ron Kulpa is behind the plate in this one, and he has been a solid 'under' umpire for quite some time. The under is 4-0 in Karstens last 4 starts. The under is 5-1 in Masterson's last 6 starts. Take the under.
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06-18-11 | Detroit Tigers +145 v. Colorado Rockies | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 18 m | Show | |
*3 Star Big Dog* The Detroit Tigers are a pretty solid team right now. With Jackson, Martinez, Boesch, Cabrera, etc. they have an impressive lineup. Phil Coke is a decent starter and Ubaldo Jimenez continues to be overrated by the books this year. Jimenez hasn't been even close to as good as he was last year, but they continue to line him as if it is 2010. I think at this point the game deserves to be close to a pick'em and instead the Rockies are big favorites. I like the value on the Tigers moneyline here.
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06-18-11 | Florida Marlins v. Tampa Bay Rays OVER 8.5 | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 16 h 56 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Totals Takedown* Ricky Nolasco has an 8.38 ERA against Tampa Bay in four career starts. The Rays offense is capable of breaking out, and I think this is the perfect opportunity. Alex Cobb won't shut anyone completely down, and the Marlins should be able to put up a few runs here. Tim McClelland is the home plate umpire, and he is one of the best 'over' umpires in the game. McClelland has the lowest called strike percentage of any umpire this year. The over is 8-2 in his last 10 games. Take the over here.
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06-18-11 | Florida Marlins v. Tampa Bay Rays -124 | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 16 h 56 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB BEST Bet* The Florida Marlins are now 1-16 in their last 17 games overall. Ricky Nolasco takes the hill in this one, but I don't think that is a good thing for the Marlins. Nolasco has started four games in his career against Tampa Bay and his ERA is 8.38. Alex Cobb has a solid 3.57 ERA so far this year and I think he can tame this limited Marlins offense pretty well. Tim McClelland is behind the dish in this one and the home team is 36-15 in his last 51 games. I like Tampa Bay in this game.
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06-18-11 | San Diego Padres v. Minnesota Twins -134 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 16 h 36 m | Show | |
*3 Star Hidden GEM* The Minnesota Twins are starting to get healthy, and they have now won 12 of their last 14 games. Joe Mauer makes a huge difference in the middle of the lineup, and some of the young guys like Revere and Casilla are starting to hit much more consistently. I think Scott Baker is an underrated pitcher for the Twins. Baker has an impressive 3.55 ERA for the season, and he is consistently very good. San Diego's offense simply isn't very good at all. The Padres are just 16-35 in their last 51 Interleague Games. Take the Twins.
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06-18-11 | Pittsburgh Pirates v. Cleveland Indians UNDER 8 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 16 h 34 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* Paul Maholm and Carlos Carrasco have both been throwing very well of late. Maholm hasn't gotten much run support all year, but he has an impressive 3.12 ERA in 2011. The under is 11-2 in his 13 starts this year. Carrasco is a young pitcher with a lot of potential, and he has had much better command of late. Neither of these offenses are very strong, and I think the number here is set generously high. I think this will be a low scoring pitchers duel. Take the under in this matchup.
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06-18-11 | Texas Rangers v. Atlanta Braves -114 | 5-4 | Loss | -114 | 13 h 56 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* The Atlanta Braves are typically a very good home team, but they are just 2-5 in their last 7 home games. The Rangers took the first game of the series on Friday, but I look for Atlanta to even the series on Saturday. Matt Harrison is pitching for Texas and he is struggling with kidney stones, which has made it difficult on him to pitch effectively in his last couple starts. Derek Lowe has been solid at home, and the Braves are 5-0 in his last 5 starts at home. Take Atlanta in this one.
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06-18-11 | Baltimore Orioles v. Washington Nationals UNDER 8 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* It would be tough to overstate just how good Jordan Zimmerman has been this year. He has eight straight quality starts, and his ERA in his last three starts is 0.86. Not surprisingly, the under is 5-0 in his last 5 starts. Brian Matusz has very good stuff and I think he is a future star. He pitched poorly last time out, but I think he'll bounce back against a weak Nationals offense. Washington is hitting just .215 against lefties. The under is 18-7-1 in Matusz's last 26 games. Take the under.
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06-17-11 | San Francisco Giants -1.5 v. Oakland A's | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 29 m | Show | |
*3 Star Late Night BAILOUT* Tim Lincecum hasn't been very good in his last couple starts, but he loves pitching against the Oakland Athletics. Oakland's lineup is one of the weakest in all of baseball. Lincecum is 5-0 with a 1.17 ERA in his six career starts against Oakland. Graham Godfrey will start for Oakland in this one. Godfrey was hit hard in his first outing against the White Sox. I think he has decent stuff, but I don't think he is quite ready for a duel with Lincecum. The Giants offense has received a significant boost with a healthy Pablo Sandoval in it. The Giants have the much better pitching staff and they are at least equal on offense with Oakland. I like the Giants to win easily here. Giants -1.5.
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06-17-11 | Chicago White Sox v. Arizona Diamondbacks OVER 9.5 | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 19 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Totals Terrorizer* Chase Field should be a real hitters ballpark tonight as the roof is open with a temperature of about 100 degrees at first pitch. Daniel Hudson will likely be trying to prove a point to the White Sox tonight, but that is liable to make him wild. Edwin Jackson is a fly ball pitcher and that doesn't bode well for him with the conditions expected tonight. I think both offenses will have a solid output in this one. Look for a high scoring affair to start this series. Take the over!
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06-17-11 | Detroit Tigers +117 v. Colorado Rockies | 6-13 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 44 m | Show | |
*3 Star Hidden GEM* The Detroit Tigers have been playing solid baseball of late. With Victor Martinez, Miguel Cabrera, Brennan Boesch, Austin Jackson, and Alex Avila they have several guys who are contributing well offensively. Rick Porcello has been pitching extremely well of late. Jason Hammel has lost five straight starts for the Rockies, and the Rockies have only beaten the bottom-feeders in the National League of late. I think the Tigers have the better pitching staff and the better lineup. I like the Tigers here.
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06-17-11 | Texas Rangers v. Atlanta Braves OVER 7.5 | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 18 h 2 m | Show | |
*3 Star Total Knockout* Colby Lewis is an extremely streaky pitcher, and right now he is pitching horribly. How bad has he been of late? Lewis has allowed 15 earned runs in his last 4 and 2/3 innings pitched! The Braves lineup hasn't been good of late, but they are starting to get healthy and they should be able to score some runs on Lewis. Randall Delgado makes his Major League Debut for the Braves here. Delgado is a good prospect, but I'm not sure he's ready for a lineup like the Rangers have. Delgado has a decent 3.54 ERA in AA this year, but he hasn't even pitched at the AAA level. I think Texas gets to him here. Take the over.
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06-17-11 | Toronto Blue Jays v. Cincinnati Reds OVER 9.5 | 3-2 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 39 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Cincinnati Reds can really hit left-handed pitchers. The Reds average 6.13 runs per game against lefties. JoJo Reyes has pitched better of late, but he is still far from dominating. Reyes has a poor WHIP of 1.51 in 2011. Mike Leake has been pretty good of late for the Reds, but he'll face a very good Toronto lineup in this one. This is the time of the year where the ball starts traveling well at GABP in Cincinnati. The over is 18-7-3 in the Reds last 28 home games. The over is 7-2-1 in the Jays last 10 road games. Take the over.
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06-17-11 | Milwaukee Brewers +123 v. Boston Red Sox | 4-10 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 18 m | Show | |
*3 Star Dog of the Day* Shaun Marcum has an ERA of less than 2 on the road this year. John Lackey has an ERA of 7 this year, and his ERA at home is over 8. The Brewers have been red hot of late as well, and Milwaukee's offense is very good. Lackey has been pitching terribly, and I just don't think he'll be able to handle this tough lineup of the Brewers. Marcum generally does a good job staying out of the big inning, and that should help Milwaukee win this one. Take the Brewers ML.
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06-17-11 | New York Yankees -139 v. Chicago Cubs | 1-3 | Loss | -139 | 13 h 4 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The New York Yankees have a far superior lineup compared to the Chicago Cubs. Darwin Barney is out of the lineup for the Cubs right now, and they are still without Marlon Byrd. Freddy Garcia isn't terrific at this stage in his career, but he still battles. Doug Davis is a soft-tossing left-hander that doesn't have any overpowering pitches. The Yankees crush lefties and I think they'll hit Davis hard in this one. The Cubs are 0-6 in Davis' last 6 starts. I expect the Yankees offense to carry them to victory here.
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06-17-11 | New York Yankees v. Chicago Cubs OVER 9.5 | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 55 m | Show | |
A pitching matchup of Doug Davis and Freddy Garcia makes me want the over to start with, and the Yankees bats are red hot right now. The Cubs have also been hitting the ball extremely well of late. Both teams are capable of putting up a big number in this one and I think the value is with the over. The Yankees average about 6 runs per game against lefties, and Doug Davis just isn't a very good pitcher at this stage in his career. I expect a high scoring affair at Wrigley Field this afternoon. Take the over
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06-16-11 | San Francisco Giants v. Arizona Diamondbacks OVER 8 | 2-3 | Loss | -106 | 20 h 10 m | Show | |
*3 Star Late Night BAILOUT* Chase Field may well be the best hitters ballpark in the majors when the roof is open, especially when there is some dry heat. On Thursday night it is expected to be 100 degrees with almost no humidity in the desert. The roof is expected to be open. Ian Kennedy and Ryan Vogelsong will likely find the going tough with these conditions. Vogelsong has an ERA under one at home in San Francisco, but I expect him to get hit around more on Thursday. The Giants offense is slightly stronger with Sandoval, and the DBacks are strong offensely. Take the over.
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06-16-11 | Boston Red Sox v. Tampa Bay Rays UNDER 8 | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 17 h 22 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB BEST Bet* This pitching matchup should be a very good one. Clay Buchholz has thrown 44 and 2/3 innings against the Rays in his career and his ERA is just 1.81. David Price has been dominating at home in his career. Price has a career ERA of over 4 on the road, but his ERA is 2.50 at home. The Red Sox have a terrific lineup, but Price has a very solid 3.18 ERA against them in his career. Buchholz has been better on the road, and Price has been great at home. The under is 10-1 in Buchholz's last 11 road starts. The under is 22-7-1 in Price's last 30 home starts. Take the under.
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06-16-11 | Milwaukee Brewers -122 v. Chicago Cubs | 7-12 | Loss | -122 | 13 h 49 m | Show | |
*3 Star Moneyline CASH* The Milwaukee Brewers are the National League Central Division leader, but they have dropped two of the first three with the Cubs. It will be Zack Grienke against Matt Garza in this one. Garza was hit hard by the Brewers earlier this year, while the Cubs haven't seen Greinke. Fielder and Braun are a combined 5 for 5 in their career against Garza. Darwin Barney has just gone on the DL, and Soriano, and Byrd aren't healthy. This Cubs offense is short-handed right now, while the Brewers have one of the best offenses in baseball. I think the Brewers will win this one. Take Milwaukee.
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06-16-11 | Florida Marlins v. Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 | 0-3 | Win | 101 | 12 h 40 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* Javier Vazquez has been terrible all year long, and I just don't see things getting better for him against this Phillies team. Philadelphia has gotten healthy of late. With Rollins, Victorino, Utley, Howard, Polanco, and others the Phillies may have the best offense in the National League. Vazquez has an ERA of 7.09 for the year and 11.09 in his last three starts. Cliff Lee has pitched two solid games in a row, and it's hard to see the Marlins being able to keep up. Take the Phillies -1.5.
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06-16-11 | Florida Marlins v. Philadelphia Phillies OVER 8 | 0-3 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 28 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Cliff Lee has an ERA of just above 4 against Florida, and several of the Marlins have hit him pretty well in the past. Javier Vazquez has been hit hard in Philadelphia and he has an ERA of 7.09 this year. I have to think that Vazquez's time in the majors will be coming to an end soon, and I don't think he can consistently get out guys like Utley, Rollins, Howard, etc. I wouldn't be surprised to see the Phillies get to 8 by themselves, but I also think the Marlins will put up at least a couple runs in this one. Take the over.
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06-15-11 | Kansas City Royals v. Oakland A's OVER 8 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -113 | 21 h 18 m | Show |
*5 Star Top Play* Looking at the splits for Luke Hochevar is pretty amazing for this one. Hochevar has always struggled on the road, but he has been absolutely awful at Oakland. In three career starts at Oakland Hochevar has an ERA of 15.00. This Oakland offense isn't good, but they have all hit Hochevar well. Josh Outman pitches for the Athletics, and he is a soft-tossing left who tries to hit the corners. Tim Tschida is behind the plate here and he is a solid 'over' umpire. Tschida doesn't give pitchers the edges often, and the over is 6-2 in his last 8 games behind home plate. Take the over.
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06-15-11 | Pittsburgh Pirates +106 v. Houston Astros | 7-3 | Win | 106 | 18 h 23 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Dog of the Day* Charlie Morton is 6-3 with a 3.08 ERA this year. The Houston Astros have Hunter Pence and Brett Wallace in the middle of the order, but overall this is a very weak offense. J.A. Happ has been extremely inconsistent and you could argue the Astros have the worst bullpen in baseball. The Pirates sit at 33-33 and they have been a big surprise this year. Pittsburgh should relish its chance to get above .500 against the team with the worst record in baseball. The Pirates are 5-1 in their last 6 against Houston. Take the Pirates.
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06-15-11 | New York Mets v. Atlanta Braves UNDER 7 | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 19 h 31 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Atlanta Braves are short-handed offensively right now. Jason Heyward, Martin Prado, and Nate McClouth are all injured. Freddie Freeman is questionable for this one with a hamstring injury. Tim Hudson will face Dillon Gee in this one. Hudson has been lights out against the Mets in the last few years. The under is 7-1 in his last 8 starts against the Mets. Gee has a 1.64 ERA in his last three starts overall. Bill Miller is behind the dish here, and Miller may be the best under umpire in all of baseball. The under is a stunning 61-28-6 in his last 95 games behind home plate. Take the under.
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06-15-11 | Cleveland Indians v. Detroit Tigers UNDER 9 | 6-4 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 25 m | Show | |
*3 Star Hidden Gem Total* Fausto Carmona and Brad Penny are both pitchers who are quite inconsistent. At times they have great stuff and at other times they get hit hard. Both Penny and Carmona need an umpire to give them the corners, and that should happen with Brian Runge behind the plate. Runge is calling 65.3% of pitches a strike in 2011, which is the highest percentage in all of baseball. The under is 35-17-4 in Runge's last 56 games behind home plate. The under is also 9-4 in the last 13 meetings between these two. Take the under.
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06-15-11 | Texas Rangers v. New York Yankees OVER 9.5 | 4-12 | Win | 100 | 18 h 25 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Totals Terrorizer* The Yankees have one of the best offenses in baseball, and they hit left-handers extremely well. Derek Holland has struggled against New York in the past, and I think that will continue Wednesday. Holland has an ERA of 8.61 in his three starts against the Yankees. Ivan Nova starts for the Yankees, and he is inconsistent. The Rangers lineup is a very good one, and I expect them to put up several runs as well. The over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two. I expect a high-scoring affair. Take the over.
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06-15-11 | Florida Marlins v. Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 14 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Runline ROUT* Roy Halladay has been solid as always this year. Halladay has a 2.39 ERA in 2011. Anibal Sanchez has been pitching well this year also, but he struggles badly in Philadelphia. In his career, Sanchez has an ERA of 7.85 at Citizens Bank Ballpark. The Marlins offense is not very good, and there is a solid chance that Hanley Ramirez will only play one of the two doubleheader games on Wednesday. The Phillies have a big edge offensively as well as on the mound. Take the Phillies -1.5 in this one.
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06-15-11 | Cincinnati Reds v. Los Angeles Dodgers OVER 7.5 | 7-2 | Win | 111 | 14 h 9 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Cincinnati Reds have one of the best offenses in the National League. With Phillips, Votto, and Bruce in the middle of the order the Reds are difficult to handle. Travis Wood gave up eight runs against the Dodgers last time out. Dodger Stadium is a pitchers park at night, but during the daytime the ball carries much better. Gerry Davis is behind the dish here, and Davis has a very small strike zone. The over is 5-0 in Davis' last 5 games behind the plate. The wind will be blowing out tomorrow afternoon. I like the over in this one.
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06-14-11 | San Francisco Giants v. Arizona Diamondbacks UNDER 7.5 | 6-5 | Loss | -108 | 21 h 45 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Totals Terrorizer* The San Francisco Giants are severely short-handed on offense right now. Pablo Sandoval will be in the lineup Tuesday, but I have to think he'll be a little rusty. The Giants are missing Posey, Sanchez, DeRosa, and possibly Rowand (questionable). Not surprisingly, the under is 5-1 in the Giants last 6. Josh Collmenter has been absolutely amazing this year. He has yet to allow more than two earned runs in a game, and he has pitched a shutout in four of his six starts. Matt Cain looked great last time out and he has an ERA of just about 3 against the DBacks in his career. The under is 9-1 in the last 10 meetings. Take the under.
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06-14-11 | New York Mets v. Atlanta Braves UNDER 7 | 4-3 | Push | 0 | 18 h 54 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Jon Niese has turned into a solid left-handed pitcher. The Atlanta Braves are very short-handed on offense right now. The top and bottom of the Braves order are quite vulnerable. Jair Jurrjens has been one of the best pitchers in baseball this year, and the under is 5-0-2 in his last 7 starts overall. The Braves are averaging just above 3 runs per game against lefties this year, and Niese has an ERA of just 1.25 in his last three games. The under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings at Atlanta between these teams. Take the under.
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06-14-11 | Boston Red Sox +117 v. Tampa Bay Rays | 0-4 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 24 m | Show | |
*3 Star Dog of the Day* The Boston Red Sox probably shouldn't be an underdog to anyone right now. Tampa Bay is a decent team, but the odds appear to be stacked against them in this one. Tampa Bay played an extra innings game in Detroit late last night so they will arrive early Tuesday morning in Tampa. Boston is well-rested and ready to keep hitting. The Red Sox have scored a stunning 54 runs in their last 5 games. Tim Wakefield isn't spectacular, but he keeps the team in the game and with an offense like this, that should do the job. Take the Red Sox.
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06-14-11 | Boston Red Sox v. Tampa Bay Rays OVER 9 | 0-4 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 23 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Top Total* The Boston Red Sox have scored 54 runs in their last 5 games. James Shields started the year brilliantly, but he has an ERA above 6 in his last three starts. Tim Wakefield is hittable and this Tampa Bay team should be able to put up a few runs against him. I think there is a good chance both teams will put up at least 4 or 5 runs. The over is 9-1-2 in the Red Sox last 11 games. The over is 5-0 in Wakfield's last 5 starts against Tampa Bay. The over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams. Take the over.
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06-14-11 | Baltimore Orioles v. Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 60 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Runline ROUT* The Toronto Blue Jays were just waxed by the Boston Red Sox this past weekend, but I think this is a great spot for them to bounce back in a big way. Chris Jaukabauskas starts for the Orioles and I like to fade him. He has no business being a starter in this league, and even in pitcher-friendly SafeCo Field in Seattle he had an ERA well over 5 as a starter in 2009. He had one good start against a terrible Oakland offense, but Toronto's offense is very good. Expect Bautista and crew to score a bunch in this one. The Orioles are 12-39 in their last 51 in Toronto. Take Toronto -1.5.
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06-14-11 | Baltimore Orioles v. Toronto Blue Jays OVER 9 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 18 h 45 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Both of these starting pitchers are fully capable of giving up six or seven runs by themself so I really like the value on this over. Baltimore's offense has been slowly coming around as Hardy and Reynolds start producing. Toronto has one of the top five offenses in the league and against Jakabauskas I expect them to put up a lot of runs. The over is 7-1 in Toronto's last 8 home games. The over is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two. The over is 4-0 in Villaneuva's last 4 starts. Take the over!
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06-14-11 | St. Louis Cardinals -138 v. Washington Nationals | 6-8 | Loss | -138 | 18 h 42 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB BEST Bet* The tremendous pitching advantage for the Cardinals in this one is enough to make this a big play for me. Jaime Garcia has had one bad outing this year and that was at Coors Field. The Washington Nationals lineup is weak, and the Nationals are hitting just .240 against lefties this year. The Cardinals are short-handed offensively, but they still have Pujols, Berkman, Jay, Rasmus, and others. St. Louis has a definite offensive edge and a huge pitching mismatch in this one. Maya has proven incapable of shutting anyone down in the last year or so, and the Cardinals should put up quite a few runs. Take St. Louis here.
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06-13-11 | Los Angeles Angels v. Seattle Mariners UNDER 6.5 | 6-3 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 47 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB BEST Bet* Both Jason Vargas and Dan Haren are fully capable of pitching a gem. Both of them have terrific numbers against the opponent in this matchup. Vargas has a career ERA of just 2.12 in eight games against the Angels. Haren has seven starts in Seattle in his career, and he has a spectacular ERA of just 1.99. Seattle and Los Angeles are both very weak offensive teams. The Angels were shutout for the ninth time this year yesterday, and Seattle has a team batting average of just .228. I really like the under in this one.
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06-13-11 | Atlanta Braves v. Houston Astros UNDER 7.5 | 3-8 | Loss | -113 | 20 h 41 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* Wandy Rodriguez is expected to come off the DL and start for the Astros in this one. When he is healthy, Rodriguez is definitely the Astros best pitcher. He is particularly great when pitching at home. Derek Lowe is a streaky pitcher and he pitched a gem in his last outing. Earlier this year these two had a great pitching duel, and I think a similarly well-pitched game is highly likely. Hunter Pence is questionable for this one and Heyward and McLouth are still out for Atlanta. The under is 12-5-1 in Lowe's last 18 starts. The under is 7-0 in Rodriguez's last 7 starts overall. Take the under.
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06-13-11 | Tampa Bay Rays v. Detroit Tigers OVER 8.5 | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 19 h 43 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total Value* The Detroit Tigers have a pretty impressive lineup. With Miguel Caberera, Brennan Boesch, and Victor Martinez they have a strong middle of the order. Monday night they'll add a healthy Magglio Ordonez to the lineup. Tampa Bay's bats have heated up of late as well. The wind is expected to be blowing out at 10-15 mph in this game. Phil Coke is inconsistent on the mound for Detroit, and Alex Cobb is a youngster with just one start on the road in his short MLB career. The over is 7-1 in Coke's last 8 starts. Take the over.
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06-12-11 | Cincinnati Reds +110 v. San Francisco Giants | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 19 h 42 m | Show | |
*3 Star Sunday Night Baseball Winner* The San Francisco Giants are short-handed in a big way offensively right now. Freddy Sanchez went down on Friday night, adding to their pain. The lineup is now missing Sanchez, Posey, Sandoval, and others. Johnathan Sanchez is a solid pitcher, but the Reds absolutely crush lefties, and they have fared well against him in the past. Edinson Volquez hasn't been good this year, but I think he stands a solid chance of holding down this weak Giants offense. I like the Reds here.
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06-12-11 | Texas Rangers -122 v. Minnesota Twins | 1-6 | Loss | -122 | 13 h 47 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB BEST Bet* The Minnesota Twins managed to beat the Texas Rangers last night, but I don't think it will happen two days in a row. The Twins will be without Mauer, Morneau, Thome, Kubel, and Span. You could argue they are without their five best offensive players right now. Francisco Liriano has been inconsistent this year, and the Rangers crush left-handed pitchers. The Twins are 0-6 in Liriano's last 6 home starts. The Rangers have a huge lineup advantage in this one, and I think they'll win the rubber match of this series. Take the Rangers.
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06-12-11 | Oakland A's v. Chicago White Sox -1.5 | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 46 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Runline Rout* The Oakland Athletics have lost 10 of their last 11 games overall. Guillermo Moscoso will pitch for them on Sunday, and I don't think he is the guy to stop the streak. Moscoso has just two starts in the majors, and both were against the fairly light-hitting Orioles. The White Sox are hitting the ball very well right now, and I think they'll get to him early and often. On the other side, Phillip Humber has been good all year and the books continue to underrate him. I think the Sox win this comfortably. White Sox -1.5.
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06-12-11 | Cleveland Indians v. New York Yankees -1.5 | 1-9 | Win | 140 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB MISMATCH* The Cleveland Indians are starting to fall apart. This was a team that was cruising along for the first 50 games of the season or so, but their weaknesses are showing up in a big way right now. Cleveland isn't a team that is likely to win many slugfests, and the Yankees will likely put up several runs against a struggling Josh Tomlin in this game. Freddy Garcia has been decent this year, and I think he can tame this weak Indians lineup. The Yankees have crushed the Tribe in the first two games of this series, and I think they'll do it again here. Yankees -1.5.
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06-12-11 | Seattle Mariners v. Detroit Tigers UNDER 7.5 | 7-3 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Seattle Mariners have been a big surprise this year, but there is no doubt they have a weak offense. Rick Porcello has been very good of late, and he has shut down the Mariners in the past. In four career starts, Porcello has a 2.96 ERA against Seattle. Felix Hernandez is dominating just about wherever he pitches, and he has a stellar 2.71 ERA in 10 starts against Detroit. The under is 25-11-2 in Hernandez's last 38 starts. I think this is a good value on the under at 7.5. Take the under.
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06-11-11 | St. Louis Cardinals v. Milwaukee Brewers -119 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 17 h 29 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Moneyline Value* The Milwaukee Brewers are 20-6 in their last 26 home games. Chris Carpenter is on the mound for the Cardinals. Carpenter hasn't quite been himself this year, and he has actually been poor on the road. The Cardinals are 2-10 in his last 12 road starts. Zack Grienke is starting to get comfortable in the Brewers rotation. The Brewers are 4-0 in his last 4 home starts. I like Milwaukee's lineup a lot and I think the Brewers as a short favorite at home is a good value here. Take the Brewers.
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06-11-11 | Oakland A's v. Chicago White Sox -115 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 17 h 29 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Hidden GEM* John Danks picked up his first win of the season in his last outing. Danks has been a streaky pitcher in the past, and it wouldn't surprise me if he went on a nice hot streak now. Gio Gonzalez is a solid pitcher, but his numbers on the road are mediocre. The Athletics finally broke their nine-game losing streak with a comeback win last night over the Sox. I don't expect them to make it back-to-back wins. The White Sox have a much better lineup and Chicago is playing very well right now. Take the White Sox.
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06-11-11 | Arizona Diamondbacks v. Florida Marlins UNDER 8 | 9-5 | Loss | -107 | 17 h 27 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Bill Miller is the umpire behind the plate in this one, and that means the 'under' is certainly worth a long look. The stats that Miller has put up toward the under are quite amazing. No umpire has called a higher percentage of strikes than Miller in 2011. The under is 61-27-6 in his last 94 games behind home plate. Ian Kennedy has an ERA of less than two on the road, and the DBacks offense has been slumping a bit of late. The wind is expected to be blowing in at gametime. Take the under.
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06-11-11 | Arizona Diamondbacks -122 v. Florida Marlins | 9-5 | Win | 100 | 17 h 27 m | Show | |
*3 Star Moneyline CASH* Ian Kennedy is an underrated pitcher at this point in his career. Kennedy has been great on the road this year. He has an ERA of 1.62 on the road, and he is 3-0. The DBacks are 4-1 in his last 5 road starts. Javier Vazquez has been terrible all year for Florida. Vazquez has an ERA of 6.50 and the Marlins are 1-5 in his last 6 starts overall. The Marlins started the year hot, but with their weak lineup they have come back to earth in a big way. Florida is 1-8 in their last 9 games. Take Arizona here.
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06-11-11 | Cleveland Indians v. New York Yankees -1.5 | 0-4 | Win | 110 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The New York Yankees were swept by the Boston Red Sox, but they took out their frustration on the Indians last night. Cleveland had the best record in baseball for most of the year, but the Tribe is starting to fall apart. Cleveland's lineup simply doesn't have the pop necessary to continue to win all year long. Mitch Talbot isn't a very good pitcher, and the Yankees have the bats to make him pay for his mistakes. I think this one could get ugly. Take the Yankees -1.5.
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06-10-11 | Los Angeles Dodgers v. Colorado Rockies UNDER 8 | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 19 h 53 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* Brian Runge will be the home plate umpire in this one, and that is usually good news for 'under' bettors. Runge has called more than 65% of pitches a strike this year. The under is 9-3 in his 12 games behind the plate this season. In fact, the under is 35-16-4 in his last 55 games behind home plate. Chacin is very good at home and against the Dodgers. Billingsley is facing a Rockies offense that is without their leadoff hitter in Dexter Fowler. Both lineups have been quite inconsistent this year. The under is 6-1 in Chacin's last 7 home games. The under is 6-1 in the Rockies last 7 games. The Dodgers are missing Furcal at the top of their lineup as well. I like this one to stay low scoring. Take the under.
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06-09-11 | Oakland A's v. Chicago White Sox -105 | 4-9 | Win | 100 | 20 h 57 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB BEST Bet* Trevor Cahill is a very good young pitcher, and I don't like going against him too often, but I think this is a great spot for the White Sox. Chicago has been playing solid baseball of late, and the Oakland Athletics have lost nine straight games! The White Sox have already beaten Cahill twice this year, and Cahill isn't nearly as good on the road. Mark Buerhle has been pitching very well of late, and it is rare to see the White Sox at essentially even money at home with him on the mound. The White Sox have the better lineup by a bunch. The A's are just 1-4 in Cahill's last 5 against Chicago. The White Sox are 37-17 in Buerhle's last 54 home starts. Take the White Sox.
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06-09-11 | St. Louis Cardinals v. Houston Astros OVER 8.5 | 9-2 | Win | 102 | 20 h 45 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Lance Lynn will make his second start in his young MLB career. Lynn has good, but not terrific stuff. I think we'll continue to see some jitters from him in this one. JA Happ has struggled against the Cardinals this year. St. Louis was nearly no hit last night, but I think this top rated offense in the majors will bounce back in this game. The over is 20-8-1 in the Cardinals last 29 road games. The over is 11-5 in Happ's last 16 starts overall. I think this one will be a high scoring affair. Take the over.
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06-09-11 | Toronto Blue Jays -130 v. Kansas City Royals | 2-3 | Loss | -130 | 16 h 38 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* There is little doubt in my mind that the Toronto Blue Jays are a better team than the Kansas City Royals. The Royals started fast, but they have come back down to earth. Toronto has a very good lineup anchored by Jose Bautista. Ricky Romero will start for Toronto here and he is a very talented young lefty. Romero has quality starts in six of his last eight outings. Luke Hochevar has three straight poor starts, and he is very inconsistent. The Jays have the advantage all around in this one. Take Toronto.
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06-08-11 | New York Mets v. Milwaukee Brewers OVER 8.5 | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 19 h 21 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB BEST Bet* Mike Pelfrey is an extremely inconsistent pitcher. Pelfrey has been terrible on the road in his career, and this Brewers offense is extremely good. Pelfrey has an ERA over 5 in his career away from home, and after a quiet night last night, I expect Milwaukee to hit the ball hard in this one. Randy Wolf is pitching for the Brewers, and he doesn't have dominating stuff. The over is 12-3-1 in the Mets last 16. The over is 18-6-2 in the last 26 meetings between these two in Milwaukee. Take the over in this game.
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06-08-11 | Detroit Tigers v. Texas Rangers -1.5 | 3-7 | Win | 121 | 19 h 1 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Revenge Special* The Texas Rangers have been blasted two nights in a row by the Detroit Tigers. I think Texas will be amped up to get some revenge, and they have a good matchup to do so. Phil Coke is coming off the DL to pitch for the Tigers. The Rangers average 5 runs per game against left-handeers and I think they'll get to Coke early. Alexi Ogando has been amazing all year, and he shutdown the Tigers in Detroit earlier this year. The Rangers have the better pitcher and the better lineup. I think they'll get revenge. Texas -1.5.
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06-08-11 | Atlanta Braves +106 v. Florida Marlins | 3-2 | Win | 106 | 18 h 56 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Hidden GEM* Both of these teams are short-handed offensively right now. The Braves are missing Heyward and McLouth and the Marlins are missing Hanley Ramirez. The Marlins have dropped six games in a row. Florida is coming back to earth after a terrific start. The Braves have an edge in the bullpen and they have a slightly better offense than the Marlins. Ricky Nolasco isn't good at home, and the Marlins are 0-4 in his last 4 home starts. The Braves are 5-1 in Lowe's last 6 starts against Florida. Take the Braves.
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06-08-11 | Oakland A's v. Baltimore Orioles -1.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 20 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Runline ROUT* The Oakland Athletics are in a serious tailspin right now. They turn to Josh Outman to try to get going in the right direction Wednesday night, but I don't think they'll pick up a win here. Zach Britton is a very talented young pitcher for the Orioles. Britton has had two bad starts in a row, but the youngster has a 2.60 ERA at home this year, and I think he'll pitch well against a poor Oakland offense. Baltimore's offense is slowly coming around a bit. Derrek Lee is back and healthy and Josh Outman is not a dominating left-hander. He struggles with control and I think the Orioles will get to him some. Take the Orioles -1.5.
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06-08-11 | Boston Red Sox +113 v. New York Yankees | 11-6 | Win | 113 | 18 h 18 m | Show | |
*3 Star Red Sox/Yankees Guaranteed Winner* The Boston Red Sox took the first game of the series last night and I think they'll win the second game of the set as well. Mark Teixeira will likely miss this game and without Tex in the middle of the order I think the Red Sox have a slightly better lineup than the Yankees. Burnett and Wakefield have both struggled against their rivals of late, but getting plus money with this Boston team seems like a great deal to me at this point. Boston is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings with the Yankees. Take the Red Sox.
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06-07-11 | Washington Nationals v. San Francisco Giants UNDER 6.5 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 21 h 53 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Late Night BAILOUT* Johnathan Sanchez started the season a little slowly, but he has been solid overall this year. He has given up three earned runs or less in 9 of his last 10 starts. The Nationals hit just .210 against left-handers and I think they'll struggle against Sanchez. Jordan Zimmerman is much better than most people give him credit for. Zimmerman has six straight quality starts and four of those starts have come on the road. The Giants lineup is extremely weak right now without Posey or Sandoval. The under is 12-3 in the Giants last 15 home games. Take the under.
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06-07-11 | Detroit Tigers v. Texas Rangers OVER 9.5 | 8-1 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 25 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB BEST Bet* Rick Porcello has faced the Texas Rangers just one time in his career, but it didn't go well for Porcello. The Rangers bounced him after four innings and he allowed six runs. Matt Harrison is scheduled to start, but he is dealing with multiple injury issues and he won't be 100% if he does start. The temperature won't be far from 100 degrees when this game starts and I expect the ball to be traveling well as it did last night. There were six home runs last night. The over is 6-0-2 in the last 8 meetings in Texas between these teams. Take the over.
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06-07-11 | Chicago Cubs v. Cincinnati Reds -1.5 | 2-8 | Win | 125 | 18 h 49 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB MISMATCH* Edinson Volquez is back in the Reds rotation. Volquez started twice in AAA and he was very good (1.88 ERA). Volquez has all the tools to be a very good starter in the majors, but he has had mechanics problems this year. Volquez is coming back against a Cubs team that he has dominated in the past, and they are certainly short-handed offensively right now. Doug Davis is a soft-throwing left-hander that the Reds should be able to hit hard. Davis walks almost one batter per inning and I don't think that will work against the Reds, who average more than 7 runs per game against lefties. I think this one could get ugly. Take the Reds -1.5!
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06-07-11 | Chicago Cubs v. Cincinnati Reds OVER 9.5 | 2-8 | Win | 100 | 16 h 20 m | Show | |
*3 Star Hidden GEM Total* The Cincinnati Reds have been hitting the ball very well of late, but their bullpen is absolutely exhausted. Edinson Volquez has a history of being done after five innings or so because of his high pitch count, and that means we'll see a lot of an overworked bullpen. At the same time, the Reds will be facing Doug Davis. Davis is a soft tossing left-hander who doesn't have any overpowering pitches. The Reds are hitting .294 against left-handers this year, and Davis will be one of the worst lefties they have faced. It will be a hot day at GABP, and the ball should fly well. Take the over.
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06-07-11 | Minnesota Twins +126 v. Cleveland Indians | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 44 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Dog of the Day* The Minnesota Twins have won five straight and the Cleveland Indians have lost five straight games. Minnesota isn't as bad as their record and the Indians aren't as good as their record. The Indians have lost five straight against left-handed pitching. In fact, they haven't scored a run in their last 18 innings against left-handed pitching! Carlos Carrasco has been terrible at home, and the Twins lineup has been heating up of late. The Indians are 2-8 in Carrasco's last 10 home starts. The Twins are 7-0 in the last 7 meetings between these teams. I'll take the Twins ML here.
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06-07-11 | Oakland A's v. Baltimore Orioles OVER 9.5 | 0-4 | Loss | -102 | 17 h 49 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* When I see a pitching matchup of Moscosco vs. Jakubauskas it is hard for me to not like the 'over'. Jakubauskas hasn't made a start this year, but he has been getting tagged out of the bullpen. He has an ERA of 6.39 and a WHIP of 1.89 this year. Moscoso wasn't very good in AAA and now they've brought him up to start in the majors, and I don't think it will work for long. The Orioles scored four runs in five innings off him a couple weeks ago, and I think they'll do at least that well here. Take the over!
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06-06-11 | Toronto Blue Jays -124 v. Kansas City Royals | 2-3 | Loss | -124 | 19 h 25 m | Show | |
*3 Star Moneyline Cash* Brandon Morrow was beaten up last time out by the Cleveland Indians, but I expect him to bounce back in this one. Morrow has electric stuff and I think he could overpower this scuffling Kansas City team. The Royals started the year hot, but they have come back to earth of late. The Royals have lost four straight, and they simply don't have the lineup that Toronto has. With Lind hitting well and Bautista absolutely crushing the ball again this year, Toronto has a solid middle of the order. I like the Jays in this ones. Blue Jays ML.
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06-06-11 | Detroit Tigers v. Texas Rangers OVER 9.5 | 13-7 | Win | 100 | 18 h 24 m | Show | |
*3 Star Hidden Gem Total* Colby Lewis has been pitching well of late, but that was on the road. Lewis has struggled quite a bit at the Ballpark in Arlington over his career. He has an ERA of 5.18 at his home park in his career. Detroit has a pretty good lineup with Cabrera and Martinez at the heart of the order. The Rangers have been scoring runs in bunches of late, and they have one of the best offenses in baseball. Max Scherzer is a streaky pitcher, and he has given up seven earned runs in each of his last two starts. The over is 5-0 in Scherzer's last 10 road starts. The over is 5-0 in Lewis' last 10 home starts. Take the over.
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06-06-11 | Los Angeles Dodgers v. Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 | 1-3 | Win | 129 | 18 h 21 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Runline ROUT* Cliff Lee hasn't been terrific this year, but I expect him to be good enough against the Dodgers on Monday night. The Dodgers don't have a very strong lineup, and I suspect they'll have a hard time keeping up with the Phillies lineup. Victorino is back and healthy and this Phillies offense is hitting the ball now. The Dodgers are 11-28 in their last 39 games at Philadelphia. Ted Lilly has an ERA of 7.16 at Citizens Bank Ballpark. I think the Phillies win handily here. Phillies -1.5.
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06-06-11 | Oakland A's v. Baltimore Orioles UNDER 7.5 | 2-4 | Win | 105 | 18 h 49 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* Gio Gonzalez and Brian Matusz are two very good young left-handed pitchers. The Orioles have a decent lineup, but they average less than 3.5 runs per game against lefties so far this year. The Athletics have one of the weaker lineups in baseball. The books have never really caught up with how good Matusz is. The under is 20-8 in his last 28 starts overall. He looked great in his first start of the year last week and I expect him to fare well again. The under is also 9-4-1 in Gonzalez's last 14 road starts. Take the under.
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06-06-11 | Minnesota Twins v. Cleveland Indians UNDER 9 | 6-4 | Loss | -118 | 18 h 49 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Josh Tomlin has been an underrated pitcher this year. Tomlin has had two subpar starts in a row prior to this game, but those were both on the road. For the year, Tomlin has an ERA of just 3.27. The Twins lineup is extremely weak right now with Mauer, Morneau, Kubel, Thome and others out with injuries. Cleveland's offense is slumping badly right now. Scott Baker is a pretty good pitcher and he has a solid record against the Tribe in the past. I think this number is too high. Take the under here.
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06-05-11 | Houston Astros v. San Diego Padres OVER 7 | 2-7 | Win | 115 | 16 h 44 m | Show | |
*3 Star Totals TKO* Sam Holbrook is the umpire behind the plate in this one. Holbrook is probably the best 'over' umpire in all of baseball right now. The over is 10-1 in his 11 games behind the plate so far this year. He calls only 61% of pitches a strike, which is two or three percent lower than many other umpires. Jordan Lyles is a good young pitcher, but he is bound to struggle at some point and Holbrook will squeeze the zone. Latos has been decent this year, but he has been far from dominating. Take the over.
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06-05-11 | Washington Nationals v. Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 | 9-4 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 15 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Runline ROUT* This is the type of game that I could easily see Ian Kennedy showing his dominating stuff. In three different games this year he has allowed one run or less in at least 8 innings of work. Washington's lineup is extremely weak, and the Diamondbacks are playing very solid baseball right now. The biggest surprise for me has been the Arizona bullpen, which is actually quite good. The Diamondbacks are 18-4 in their last 22. I like the DBacks to win this one comfortably.
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06-05-11 | Washington Nationals v. Arizona Diamondbacks UNDER 9 | 9-4 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 55 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* The Washington Nationals have a very weak lineup and Ian Kennedy has proven he can be lights out this year. Kennedy has a 6-2 record and a 3.16 ERA this year. He also has a very impressive WHIP of 1.08. Jason Marquis has pitched well most of this year as well. Chase Field's roof will be closed Sunday and that should help Marquis keep his sinker ball in the park a little better. This is the type of total I would expect with the roof open, but with it closed it seems too high. Take the under.
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06-05-11 | Colorado Rockies v. San Francisco Giants -114 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 9 m | Show | |
*3 Star Hidden GEM* The Giants have a weak lineup right now, but they have been doing a solid job of continuing to find ways to win. The Giants still believe and they still have a great pitching staff and defense. Ryan Vogelsong just continues to dominate and I think it's about time I give him his due. Jason Hammel hasn't been good on the road, and the Rockies are playing bad baseball right now. Muchlinksi is the umpire behind the plate and the home team is 38-15 in his last 53 behind the dish. Take the Giants.
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06-05-11 | Texas Rangers -135 v. Cleveland Indians | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 10 h 16 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB BEST Bet* Mitch Talbot simply isn't a very good starting pitcher, and the Texas Rangers aren't the type of lineup to mess around with. Texas may have the best lineup in baseball with Hamilton, Cruz, Young, Kinsler, etc. Since Hamilton and Cruz have returned from the DL this team is scoring more than six runs per game. C.J. Wilson is pitching very well this year and the Indians are struggling badly against lefties of late. The Indians are 0-4 against their last 4 lefties, and they are 2-8 in Talbot's last 10 starts. Take the Rangers here!
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06-04-11 | Milwaukee Brewers -134 v. Florida Marlins | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 17 h 30 m | Show | |
*3 Star Moneyline Cash* Yovani Gallardo is pitching brilliantly of late. In fact, he has allowed just five earned runs in his last five starts overall. Chris Volstad has allowed four runs or more in five or his last nine contests. The Brewers have one of the best lineups in baseball, and the Marlins are missing Hanley Ramirez right now. I think the Brewers have a significant advantage in both the pitching and lineup departments here. The Brewers are 10-3 in their last 13 overall. The Brewers are 5-0 in Gallardo's last 5 starts.
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06-04-11 | Atlanta Braves -122 v. New York Mets | 0-5 | Loss | -122 | 17 h 28 m | Show | |
*3 Star Moneyline Value Play* Dillon Gee has pitched well this year, but he has yet to face a team with a winning record. The Braves are short-handed offensively, but they still have guys like Jones, McCann, and others who can hit the ball well. Jair Jurrjens is on the hill for the Braves and he has the best ERA in the National League so far this year. Jurrjens has been consistently great. He has not allowed more than two earned runs in any of his starts this year. The Braves are 22-8 in their last 30 meetings against the Mets. Take Atlanta.
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06-04-11 | Toronto Blue Jays v. Baltimore Orioles UNDER 8.5 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 18 h 33 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Hidden GEM* Doug Eddings is the umpire behind the dish in this one and he is one of the best in the business for an 'under' bettor. Eddings has a wide strike zone and he likes to ring up the batter. Ricky Romero is one of the best young pitchers in the league and he has an ERA of just 1.7 in his last three starts. The Orioles have been terrible against lefties all year and I think Romero will be very hard on them. Jake Arrieta has been bad of late, but a lot of that has been due to walks. I think Eddings will give him the corners here and he'll fare well. The under is 23-7-1 in Eddings last 31 Saturday games behind the plate. Take the under.
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06-04-11 | Texas Rangers v. Cleveland Indians OVER 9 | 4-0 | Loss | -108 | 17 h 27 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* Fausto Carmona is an extremely streaky pitcher. He is either on or he isn't, and of late he has not been on his game. Carmona has an ERA of 10.06 over his last three starts. Carmona can't be happy to see the heavy-hitting Texas lineup on Saturday, and his career ERA against them is 5.55. Derek Holland hasn't been very good this year, and Cleveland has hit the ball extremely well at home this year. The over is 7-1 in the Rangers last 8. The over is 16-5 in the Indians last 21 home games. Take the over.
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06-04-11 | Chicago Cubs v. St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 35 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Chicago Cubs offense has gotten runners on base this year, but they haven't been able to drive them in. Right now they are without Soriano, Byrd, and Ramirez. That is three of their top hitters. St. Louis is without Holliday, but they still have five other guys hitting .300 or better. This is a Cardinals team that is playing very good baseball over the last few weeks. Kyle Lohse has had just one bad start all year. I think the Cardinals will take advantage of a short-handed Cubs team. St Louis -1.5.
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06-03-11 | New York Yankees +149 v. Los Angeles Angels | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 21 h 6 m | Show | |
*3 Star BIG Dog Winner* The New York Yankees are one of the best teams in baseball and I don't think they should be this big of an underdog at any point. Ivan Nova isn't a terrific pitcher, but he generally keeps his team in the game. Jered Weaver is very good, but he has been terrible against the Yankees in the past. Weaver has an ERA of 5.55 against the Yankees, largely because he gives up far too many home runs. Granderson and Rodriguez have combined to hit 8 homers off Weaver in just 29 at bats. I think this game should be a pick em game, and I love the value on the Yankees here.
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06-03-11 | Washington Nationals v. Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 | 0-4 | Win | 125 | 20 h 34 m | Show | |
*3 Star Late Night Mismatch* The Arizona Diamondbacks dropped the series opener to the Washington Nationals 6-1. I think this is a good chance for them to bounce back and get back on their winning streak. Collmenter has been terrific so far this year and the Nationals don't have a very good offense. Maya hasn't proven to be a capable starter in the big leagues and with Chase Field's roof open I think the Diamondbacks are liable to take him deep several times. I think this is the type of game that could get ugly. Take the DBacks -1.5.
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06-03-11 | Detroit Tigers v. Chicago White Sox -1.5 | 4-6 | Win | 145 | 19 h 59 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Moneymaker* The Chicago White Sox were never as bad as their record showed early this year, and this was a team that was bound to get red hot. They have proven in the past few years that once they get red hot they can be very tough to slow down. The Tigers embarrassed the White Sox in three straight games earlier this year in Detroit. I think Chicago will give them some payback this weekend. Oliver is a decent young pitcher for the Tigers, but this is a tough matchup for him. Buerhle has great numbers against the Tigers key hitters including Miguel Cabrera who is just 2 for 20 off him. I like the White Sox to win this one comfortably. White Sox -1.5 here.
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06-03-11 | Oakland A's v. Boston Red Sox -1.5 | 6-8 | Win | 115 | 17 h 24 m | Show | |
*3 Star Run line ROUT* The Oakland Athletics simply don't have the lineup to keep up with the Red Sox, and in this game they don't have the pitcher to matchup with the Sox either. Clay Buchholz has been stellar at home in his career, and the Red Sox are 10-4 in his last 14 starts at home. Josh Outman is pitching for the Athletics and he struggles badly with control problems. I think the Red Sox are the type of team that will make him pay for walking too many batters. The Red Sox have a big advantage everywhere here. Take Boston -1.5.
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06-03-11 | Atlanta Braves -103 v. New York Mets | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 18 h 36 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Moneyline Cash* The New York Mets came back from a 7-0 deficit to beat the Pittsburgh Pirates yesterday. One might think that would help them carry momentum into Friday night's game, but the Mets have been the type of team that has been wildly inconsistent all year long. The Braves have had the Mets number for a while now. Atlanta is 21-8 in the last 29 meetings between these two teams. The Mets are 5-16 in their last 21 at home against a team with a winning record. The Braves tend to play more fundamentally sound baseball than the Mets, and I'll take them at even money here. Braves ML is the play.
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