Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
02-09-24 | Hawks v. 76ers +3.5 | Top | 127-121 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 53 m | Show |
Atlanta Hawks vs Philadelphia 76ers Wells Fargo Arena | 7:30 ET The following NBA betting algorithm has produced a 37-15 ATS mark for 71% winning bets over the past 6 seasons. The requirements are: Ø Bet on dogs between 2.5 and 9.5 points. Ø That do has lost to the spread by 50 or more points spanning their last 7 games. Ø The opponent has seen their last seven games play Over by 50 or more points. If our team is a home under they have gone 14-5 ATS for 74% winning bets since 2018. |
|||||||
02-08-24 | Texas-Arlington v. California Baptist -3 | Top | 63-64 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 20 m | Show |
Texas-Arlington vs Cal Baptist 10 ET 8-Unit Bet on Cal Baptist minus the 3.5 points and is valid to -5 points. Cal Baptists is 35-19 SU and 23-13 ATS for 63% winning bets following a game in which they shot 42% or worse form the field. From the predictive model, Cal Baptists is 14-2 SUATS when scoring 74 or more points and committing 12 or fewer turnovers over the past 5 seasons. |
|||||||
02-08-24 | Queens NC v. Lipscomb UNDER 168 | Top | 88-90 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 19 m | Show |
Queens NC vs Lipscomb 8 ET 8-Unit bet on the Under currently at 168 points and is valid to 165.5 points. The following NCAAB betting algorithm has produced an exception record going 21-5 UNDER for 71% winning bets. The requirements are: Ø Bet the Under in a game with a total of 165 points. Ø One of the teams (Lipscomb) has had 33 or fewer turnovers over their last four games. If that team is favored and the total is 160 or more points the Under has produced a 26-14 record for 65% winning bets. |
|||||||
02-08-24 | Mavs -3.5 v. Knicks | Top | 122-108 | Win | 100 | 4 h 52 m | Show |
Dallas Mavericks vs NY Knicks 7 ET | Madison Square Garden 8-Unit Bet on the Mavs -4.5 points and is valid to -6 points.
For live in-game betting strategy consider betting 70% of your 8-unit betting amount preflop and then look to add the remaining 30% amount at pick-em. The following NBA betting algorithm has produced an exception record going 126-38 SU and 107-54-3 ATS for 67% winning bets since 1995. The requirements are: Ø Bet on road favorites. Ø The opponent has won 67% or fewer of their games on the season. Ø The opponent led by 20 or more points at the half in their previous game. If our road team is playing this game in the second half of the season (after game number 41) they have gone 64-13 SU for 83% and 55-21-1 ATS for 72.4% winning bets since 1995.
|
|||||||
02-08-24 | Warriors +6 v. Pacers | Top | 131-109 | Win | 100 | 4 h 31 m | Show |
Golden State Warriors vs Indiana Pacers 8-Unit Bet on the Warriors +6.5 points and is valid to 5 points. The following NBA betting algorithm has produced an exception record going 19-33 SU and 39-12-1 ATS for 77% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Ø Bet on road underdogs priced between 3.5 and 6.5 points. Ø The road team has had 5 or more double-digit scorers in 75% or more of their games played. Ø The road team has had fewer than five double-digit scorers in two or more of their last three games. If the game occurs in the second half of the regular season, these road teams have gone 9-10 SU and 15-4 ATS for 79% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. |
|||||||
02-07-24 | Pistons +13.5 v. Kings | Top | 133-120 | Win | 100 | 6 h 58 m | Show |
Detroit Pistons vs Sacramento Kings 8-Unit Bet on the Pistons +13 points and is valid if they remain a double-digit underdog. The following NBA betting algorithm has produced an exception record going 33-66 SU and 67-31-1 ATS for 68.4% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Ø Bet on road teams. Ø The road team is coming off a double-digit home loss. Ø The road team is avenging a same-season loss in their previous meeting. Ø The road team has lost the last three previous meetings to the host. If our road team is priced as aq double-digit underdog they have gone 31-10-1 ATS for 76% winning bets and if our dog is playing with two days or more of rest they have gone 8-1-1 STS for 89% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. |
|||||||
02-07-24 | Pelicans +6.5 v. Clippers | Top | 117-106 | Win | 100 | 6 h 56 m | Show |
New Orleans Pelicans vs LA Clippers ESPN | 10 ET | cryto.com Arena 8-Unit Bet on the Pelicans +7 points and is valid down to 5.5 points. The following NBA betting algorithm has produced an exception record going 30-19 SU 32-15-2 ATS for 68% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Ø Bet on road teams playing on the same on 1 or fewer days of rest. Ø That road team is playing on the same amount of rest as the host. Ø The host is coming off a game making 40% or more of their three-point shots Ø The host saw the total play over by 30 or more points in their previous game. From my predictive machine learning model, we are looking for the Pelicans to score 115 or more points and have 12 or fewer turnovers. In past games over the past 5 seasons, the Pelicans are 45-13 SU and 47-10-1 ATS for 83% winning bets since 2019 when meeting these performance measures. When also priced as the underdog, they have gone a highly profitable 20-6 Su and 22-3-1 ATS for 88% winning bets since 2019. |
|||||||
02-07-24 | Bradley v. Evansville UNDER 144 | Top | 70-73 | Win | 100 | 4 h 45 m | Show |
Bradley vs Evansville 8-Unit bet Under the posted total of 143.5 points and is va.id to 141.5 points. The following NCAAB betting algorithm has produced a 90-55 Under record good for 62% winning bets since 2006. The requirements are: Ø Bet the Under in games with a total between 143 and 151 points. Ø The home team has lost to the spread by 50 or more points spanning their last 10 games. Ø The road team, has seen the total play Over by 30 or more points spanning their previous five games. |
|||||||
02-07-24 | Georgia Southern v. South Alabama UNDER 152.5 | Top | 65-78 | Win | 100 | 4 h 43 m | Show |
Georgia Southern vs South Alabama 8 ET | ESPN+ | Mitchell Center, Mobile, AL 8-Unit Bet on the Under 151.5 points and is valid to 149.5 points. Here is a Free glance at type of unique and highly profitable research my subscribers get every day for every play I release. Check it out and then check the special discounted subscription I started offering today for the rest of the College Basketball season covering you through the NCAA Championship game. The following NCAAB betting algorithm has produced a 90-55 Under record good for 62% winning bets since 2006. The requirements are: Ø Bet the Under in games with a total between 143 and 151 points. Ø The home team has lost to the spread by 50 or more points spanning their last 10 games. Ø The road team, has seen the total play Over by 30 or more points spanning their previous five games. If the game is taking place in the second half of the regular season, the Under has produced a 76-43 record good for 64% winning bets. From my predictive mode, we are looking to see South Alabama to shoot 45% or lower from the field and with both teams making fewer than 10 3-point shots. In lined games, the Under has gone 9-2 when South Alabama and GS has seen the Under go 9-0.when they have met or exceeded these performance measures.
|
|||||||
02-07-24 | Spurs +8 v. Heat | Top | 104-116 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 27 m | Show |
San Antonio Spurs vs Miami Heat 8-Unit Bet on the Spurs +7.5 points and is valid to 6.5 points. The following NBA betting algorithm has produced an exception record going 55-86 SU and 91-48-2 ATS for 65.45% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Ø Bet on road teams that are avenging a same-season loss to the host. Ø The road team is coming off a double-digit road loss. Ø The total in the game is 220 or more points. If the game occurs in the second half of the regular season, these road teams have gone 70-30-1 ATS for 70% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. |
|||||||
02-07-24 | Cavs -11.5 v. Wizards | Top | 114-106 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 57 m | Show |
Cleveland Cavaliers vs Washington Wizards Capital One Arena | 7 ET 8-unit bet on the Cavaliers minus the 11.5 points and is valid to 12.5 points. The following NBA betting algorithm has produced an exception record going 126-123 SU and 150-91-8 ATS for 62.2% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Ø Bet on road teams. Ø The road team has had 5 or more double-digit scorers in 75% or more of their games played. Ø The road team has no more than game in their last three played where they had five or more double-digit scorers. If the game occurs in the second half of the season, they have gone 45-22-2 ATS for 67% winning bets and if the game occurs in the second half of the regular season they have gone a highly profitable 16-4-1 ATS for 80% over the past 10 seasons. |
|||||||
02-07-24 | Stars v. Maple Leafs -123 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 3 h 50 m | Show |
Dallas Stars vs Toronto Maple Leafs 7 ET | NHLPP| ESPN+ | ScotiaBank Arena 8-Unit Bet on the Maple Leafs using the money line at -130 and is valid to -145. The following NHL betting algorithm has produced a 91-54 record good for 63% winning bets and earning a highly profitable 32 units per unit bet in profits since 2019. The requirements are: Ø Bet on home teams with a winning record. Ø The road team is on a three game win streak. Ø The road team has won between 60 and 70% of their games on the season. Toronto is 11-2 making 9 units per unit wagered in home games when playing facing a solid team that has won 60 to 75% of their games in the second half of the season over the last three seasons. |
|||||||
02-07-24 | Western Kentucky v. Louisiana Tech -9.5 | Top | 81-76 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 45 m | Show |
Western Kentucky vs Louisiana Tech 7 ET | ESPN+ | Thomas Assembly Center 8-Unit bet on Louisiana Tech minus the 9.5 points and is valid up to -10.5 points. The following NCAAB betting algorithm has produced an exception record going 218-72 SU 162-121-7 ATS for 57.2% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Ø Bet on home favorites of 3 to 10.5 points. Ø The home team is outscoring their opponents by 10 or more PPG. Ø The home led by 20 or more points at the half of their previous game. If our home favorite has posted an assist-to-turnover ratio of not more than 1.00 and the total is between 135 and 150 points they have earned an outstanding 43-18 SU record and 38-21 ATS for 64.4% winning tickets since 2015. From the predictive model we learn that WKY is 35-1 SU since 2006 and 10-3 ATS for 77% winning tickets since 2016 when scoring 77 or more points and with the opponent having committed three or more turnovers than they did. |
|||||||
02-07-24 | Loyola Maryland +9.5 v. American | Top | 44-43 | Win | 100 | 3 h 44 m | Show |
Loyola – Maryland vs American Bender Arena | 7 ET | ESPN+ 8-Unit bet on Loyola- Maryland +9.5 points and is valid to 8.5 points. The following NCAAB betting algorithm has produced an exceptional record going 340-230-5 ATS for 60% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Ø Bet on road teams that are priced at pick-em or as an underdog. Ø The road team is avenging a double-digit home loss. Ø The road team has lost 80% or more of their games on the season. American is just 9-18 ATS in each of the last two seasons after game number 15 and facing a foe that is forcing 14 or fewer turnovers per game. Loyola is 30-10 ATS for 75% in home games in which they seek to avenge a loss where they scored 60 or fewer points. Bet Loyola. |
|||||||
02-06-24 | Michigan State -3 v. Minnesota | Top | 56-59 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 45 m | Show |
Michigan State vs Minnesota Williams Arena | 9 ET | Peacock 8-Unit Bet on Michigan State -3.5 points and is valid to -4.5 points. Here are a few of the situational trends that are supporting this bet on MSU. MSU is 155-110 ATS after having won four of their last five games. Minnesota is 23-44 ATS after covering the the spread in four of their last five games. MSU is coming off a two-game home stand and under their head coach Tom Izzo they have gone 96-60 ATS when coming off a two home games in which they were priced as the favorite. From my predictive model, MSU is 19-6 SU and 16-5 ATS for 8-% when scoring 75 or more points and committing 12 or fewer turnovers when facing a conference foe under Tom Izzo. |
|||||||
02-06-24 | Wolves -5.5 v. Bulls | Top | 123-129 | Loss | -107 | 5 h 54 m | Show |
Minnesota Timberwolves vs Chicago Bulls The United Center | 8 ET 8-Unit bet on the Timberwolves -5.5 points and is valid up to 6.5 points. The following NBA betting algorithm has produced a 46-10 SU and 43-12-1 ATS record for 78% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Ø Bet on road teams in February. Ø The road team is favored between 3.5 and 9.5 points. Ø The road team has won 60 to 75% of their games on the season. Ø The home team has won between 40 and 49% of their games on the season. From the predictive model, we learn that Minnesota has earned a highly profitable 17-4 SU and 17-3-1 ATS for 85% winning bets when scoring 125 or more points and having 14 or fewer turnovers in games played since 2019. |
|||||||
02-06-24 | Mavs v. Nets +4 | Top | 119-107 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 14 m | Show |
Dallas Mavericks vs Brooklyn Nets Barclays Center | 7:30 PM EST 8-Unit Bet on the Nets plus the 2.5 points and is good down to pick-em. The following NBA betting algorithm has produced a 54-45 SU and 62-30-7 ATS record for 67.4% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Ø Bet on home dogs of five or fewer points. Ø The road team is playing their third game in the last four days (1 day of rest). Ø That road team is coming off a double-digit road win. |
|||||||
02-06-24 | Canucks +138 v. Hurricanes | Top | 3-2 | Win | 138 | 4 h 50 m | Show |
Vancouver Canucks vs Carolina Hurricanes PNC Arena, Raleigh | 7 ET Tuesday 8-Unit Bet on the Canucks +115 on the money line and is valid to -120 favorite. The following NHL betting algorithm has produced a 90-98 record for 48% winning bets, but by averaging a +139 wager has earned a highly profitable 15% ROI over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Ø Bet on road dogs priced between 100 and 180. Ø That dog has allowed 4 or more goal sin each of their last two games. Ø That dog is facing a host that allowed no more than one goal in their previous game. If the game occurs in the second half of the season, these road dogs have gone 30-26 for 54% averaging a 125-dog wager and earning a 20% ROI since 2014. If our dog is playing on 1 or more days of rest, they have gone 27-22 for 55% averaging a 127 wager and earning a 24% ROI. |
|||||||
02-06-24 | Ole Miss v. South Carolina -3 | Top | 65-68 | Push | 0 | 3 h 16 m | Show |
South Carolina vs Mississippi Colonial Life Arena, Columbia 8-Unit bet on South Carolina -3.5 points and is valid to -4.5 points. The following NCAAB betting algorithm has produced a 27-9 SU and 22-13-1 ATS record for 63% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Ø Bet on home favorites between 3 and 6.5 points. Ø The home team has covered the spread by a total of 48 or more points over their last 7 games. Ø The home te4am has won 75% or more of their games on the season. Ø The Total is between 130 and 145 points. |
|||||||
02-05-24 | Warriors v. Nets UNDER 238.5 | Top | 109-98 | Win | 100 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
Golden State Warriors vs Brooklyn Nets Barclays Center | 7:30 ET | NBA TV 8-Unit Best Bet Under the posted total of 237.5 points and is valid down to 235 points. The Warriors Stephen Curry scored 60 points, but that was not enough as they lost to the Atlanta Hawks on the road by a final score of 141-134 Saturday. He outscored the second and third highest scores by teammates by 43 points. Note that the Under is 22-10 for 69% winning bets following a game in which Curry was the high scorer by 21 or more points over the second and third highest teammates scores added together.
The following NBA betting algorithm has gone 59-25-2 for 70% winning Under bets over the past 25 seasons. The requirements are: Ø Bet the Under with a total of 210 or more points. Ø The home team is making 36.5% or more of their 3-point shots. Ø The game takes place in the second half of the season. Ø The Home team made 19 or more 3-point shots in their last game. Ø The foe allows 33 to 36.5% 3-point shooting. If the total is 220 or more points, the Under has gone an impressive 45-17-2 for 73% winning bets. |
|||||||
02-05-24 | Morgan State +8.5 v. North Carolina Central | Top | 79-72 | Win | 100 | 8 h 5 m | Show |
Morgan State vs NC Central McDougal-McLendon Arena, Durham | 7:30 ET 8-Unit bet on Morgan State +7.5 points and is valid to 6.5 points. The following NCAAB betting algorithm has gone 41-20-3 for 67% winning bets over the past 5 seasons. The requirements are: Ø Bet on underdogs between 10 and 19.5 points. Ø The team is a terrible shooting from beyond the arc making 32% or fewer of those shots. Ø The foe allows 32% or lower 3-point shooting. Ø The game takes place after game number 15. Ø The team averages 14.5 to 17 turnovers per game. Ø The guest averages 14.5 or fewer turnovers per game. If the total is 220 or more points, the Under has gone an impressive 45-17-2 for 73% winning bets. |
|||||||
02-05-24 | Mavs v. 76ers +1.5 | Top | 118-102 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 46 m | Show |
Dallas Mavericks vs Philadelphia 76ers 8-Unit Best Bet on the 76ers +1.5 points and is valid to pick-em at which point see if the money line has cheaper vig than the spread.
The following NBA betting algorithm has gone 38-22 SU (63%) and 39-19-2 ATS good for 67.2% winning bets over the past five seasons. The requirements are: Ø Bet on a team that has won 50 to 75% of their games on the season. Ø The game takes place in the second half of the season. Ø The opponent has a winning record on the season. Ø Our team has lost to the spread by 47 or more points over their last seven games. |
|||||||
02-05-24 | Kings v. Cavs -4.5 | Top | 110-136 | Win | 100 | 8 h 46 m | Show |
Sacramento Kings vs Cleveland Cavaliers 8-Unit Best Bet on the Cavaliers -4-points and is valid to -5.5 points.
The following NBA betting algorithm has gone 98-36 SU (73%) and 90-41-3 ATS good for 69% winning bets over the past five seasons. The requirements are: Ø Bet on home teams. Ø The home team has allowed 105 or fewer points in each of their last two games. Ø The opponent scored 120 or more points in their previous game. |
|||||||
02-05-24 | Islanders +145 v. Maple Leafs | Top | 3-2 | Win | 145 | 8 h 44 m | Show |
New York Islanders vs Toronto Maple Leafs Scotia Bank Arena | NHLPP/ESPN+ | 7 ET 8-Unit Bet on the Islanders using the money line priced at +140 and is valid down to +125. The following NHL betting algorithm has gone 42-28 for 59% winning bets averaging a +137 dog bet and earning a 37% ROI over the past five seasons. The requirements are: Ø Bet on road teams in the second half of the season. Ø They are playing their fifth or fewer game in the past 14 days. Ø They have won 40 to 49% of their games on the season. If our road team has had 10 or more days of rest over their last five games they soar to a highly profitable 36-22 record for 62% winning bets averaging a 137 dog wager and earning a 42% ROI over the past five seasons. |
|||||||
02-04-24 | Bucks +3 v. Jazz | Top | 108-123 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 21 m | Show |
Milwaukee vs Utah Delta Center | 8 EST The following betting algorithm has produced a 82-51 ATS record for 62% winning bets over the past five seasons. The requirements are: Ø Bet on road teams. Ø That road team has allowed 115 or more points in each of their last two games and is now facing a foe that allowed 68 or more points in the first half of their last game. From the predictive model we learn that the Bucks are 16-2 SU and 12-4-2 ATS on the road when scoring 127 or more points and scoring 55 or more points in the paint over the past five seasons. |
|||||||
02-04-24 | Nebraska +10 v. Illinois | Top | 84-87 | Win | 100 | 6 h 41 m | Show |
Nebraska vs Illinois 8-Unit bet on Nebraska +9.5 points and is valid down to 7.5 points. Nebraska is a decent 3-popint shooting team and this is something Illinois does struggle defending as evidenced by the fact they are 3-11 ATS when facing a team that is making right or more 3-point shots per game after the 15th game of each of the past three seasons. Illinois is just 6-17 ATS when having lost to the spread in two fo their last three games over the past three seasons; 46-69 ATS following a game in which they committed eight or fewer turnovers. Illinois head coach is 9-19 ATS following a game in which they made 78% or more of their free throws. From the predictive model, Nebraska is 24-4 SU and 20-4-4 ATS for 83% winning bets when they have scored 77 or more points and had 12 or fewer turnovers since 2019. |
|||||||
02-04-24 | Grizzlies +18.5 v. Celtics | Top | 91-131 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 22 m | Show |
Memphis Grizzlies vs Boston Celtics TD Garden | 6 ET 8-Unit Bet on the Grizzlies plus 16.5 points and is va.id if they remain a double-digit underdog. That is likely to happen, of course. Scoring is abundant and rapid in the NBA this season. There are many more lead changes per game then at any time since 1996 at least. Simply allow scoring volatility to work for your favor. My suggestion is to bet 70% on the Grizzlies preflop and then look to add 15% more at 19.5 points and 15% more at 23.5 points during the first half of action. The Celtics lead the Eastern Conference, but they are coming off a truly embarrassing loss to the Lakers, who played without AD and Lebron. So, safe to say the Celtics will start the game with a significant focus and get out to a double-digit lead quickly. If that occurs, then the live game betting strategy will work quite well. This bet is not dependent on garbage time, but if the Celtics get out to a 20-point lead through three quarters, the back door cover will be in play. The following NBA betting algorithm has earned a 115-181 record for 39% and 182-111-3 ATS record good for 62% winning bets since 2016. The requirements are: Ø Bet on road teams that are coming off a double-digit loss at home. Ø The road team is avenging a loss to the current foe. If the total is 220 or more points, these road dogs have produced a 90-45-1 ATS record for 67% winning bets. |
|||||||
02-03-24 | Xavier v. DePaul UNDER 150.5 | Top | 93-68 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 5 m | Show |
Xavier vs DePaul 8-Unit best bet on the UNDER 150.5 points and is valid down to 148.5 points. The following College Basketball betting algorithm has produced impressive results going 32-15-1 Under for 68% winning bets since 2014. The requirements are: Ø Bet the Under in games with a total of 148 or more points. Ø The home team has lost to the spread by 50 or more points spanning their last 10 games. Ø The guest has seen their last 10 games play OVER by 30 or more points. For live betting considerations place 80% of your 8-unit betting amount on the Under preflop and then look to add 20% more on the Under at 157.5 points during the first half of action. Eastern Michigan vs. Northern Illinois 8-Unit best bet on NIU -6 points and is valid to -8 points.
The line for this game is likely to get cheaper for us, so give this one a bit of patience and monitor it ahead of the tip. The following College Basketball betting algorithm has produced impressive results going 32-15-1 Under for 68% winning bets since 2014. The requirements are: Ø Bet the Under in games with a total of 148 or more points. Ø The home team is the underdog. Ø The home team has lost to the spread by 50 or more points spanning their last 10 games. Ø The guest has seen their last 10 games play OVER by 30 or more points. For live betting considerations place 80% of your 8-unit betting amount NIU preflop and then look to add 20% more on NIU at -1.5 points during the first half of action. |
|||||||
02-03-24 | Iowa State v. Baylor -3.5 | Top | 68-70 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 14 m | Show |
(12) Iowa State vs (18) Baylor Foster Pavilion, Waco, TX Betting on ranked teams that are ranked higher in numeric value in the AP poll (Baylor ranked 18th and Iowa State ranked 12th) and are at home facing a conference foe have gone 294-180 SU (62%) and 176-133-8 ATS (57%) since 2006. If the line is between 3.5 and 6.5 points these home ranked teams have gone 7-1 SUATS since 2018. In a ranked matchup of conference foes where the home team is favored between 1.5 and 10.5 points and the total is between 135 and 145 points, the home team has gone 60-17 SU and 47-27-3 ATS for 64% winning bets since 2006. If the home team has won 75% or more of their games on the season, they improve to 44-11 SU and 36-17-2 ATS for 68% winning bets since 2006. If we drill down a bit further into the matchup and include only games after the 15th one of the regular season, these homers have gone 32-5 SU and 24-11-2 ASTS for 69% winning bets. ISU is just 2-12 ATS in road games facing teams that attempt 21 or more 3-point shots per game on the season over the last two seasons. Baylor is 6-0 ATS when facing teams who are called for 3+ less fouls per game than their opponents over the last three seasons.
From the predictive model we expect Baylor to score 77 or more points and shoot 42% or higher form beyond the arc and have no more than 15 turnovers. In past home games when they met or exceeded these performance hurdles, they have gone on to a highly profitable 102-4 SU record and 53-7 ATS mark good for 88% winning bets since 2006. In games in which ISU allowed these measures has seen them go a terrible 12-56 SU and 5-31-1 ATS for 14% winning bets. |
|||||||
02-03-24 | Nets +3.5 v. 76ers | Top | 136-121 | Win | 100 | 7 h 43 m | Show |
Brooklyn Nets vs 76ers Wells Fargo Arena 6 EST 8-UNIT BET on the Brooklyn Nets plus the points and is valid down to pick-em. Ben Simmons is listed as probable for this game against his former team and you can be sure he will know form the fans that he is playing in the City of Brotherly Love. He returned from a significant lower back neurological injury to nearly record a triple-double against the Utah Jazz in just 20 minutes. So, in games he has played this season he has put up better numbers than last season, for instance. Do not forget, that does rank 31st on the all-time NBA list in triple-doubles and if he does start tonight, making a pizza money bet on him to get that triple-double is an excellent betting opportunity. Embiid is listed as OUT for tonight and with Maxey coming off a 52-point game, the 76ers are prone to regression. The following betting algorithm has gone 114-181 and 181-111-3 ATS for 62% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Ø Bet on road teams avenging a loss to the current foe. Ø That team is coming off a double-digit home loss. If in a divisional matchup, our road team has produced an 81-38 ATS record good for 68% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. |
|||||||
02-03-24 | Eastern Michigan v. Northern Illinois -6 | Top | 66-76 | Win | 100 | 5 h 34 m | Show |
Eastern Michigan vs. Northern Illinois 8-Unit best bet on NIU -6 points and is valid to -8 points.
The line for this game is likely to get cheaper for us, so give this one a bit of patience and monitor it ahead of the tip. NIU is 12-3 ATS when facing teams that average 6 or less steals per game on the season after 15 or more games in each of the past three seasons. EMU is a money-burning 0-8 ATS in road games after two or more consecutive UNDER results over the last three seasons. The following College Basketball betting algorithm has produced impressive results going 32-15-1 Under for 68% winning bets since 2014. The requirements are: Ø Bet the Under in games with a total of 148 or more points. Ø The home team is the underdog. Ø The home team has lost to the spread by 50 or more points spanning their last 10 games. Ø The guest has seen their last 10 games play OVER by 30 or more points. For live betting considerations place 80% of your 8-unit betting amount NIU preflop and then look to add 20% more on NIU at -1.5 points during the first half of action. |
|||||||
02-03-24 | Morehead State v. Tennessee Tech +11 | Top | 67-60 | Win | 100 | 5 h 33 m | Show |
Morehead State vs Tennessee Tech 8-Unit best bet on Tennessee Tech plus 11 points and is valid of the remain a double-digit underdog. TTECH is not a good basketball team. However, there are solid teams ATS in specific situations. They are 9-1 ATS having lost eight or more of their last 10 games over the last three seasons; 6-0 ATS in home games avenging a loss to the current opponent by double-digits over the last two seasons. TTECH head coach Pelphrey is 28-12 ATS in home games when facing low pressure defensive teams that are forcing 14 or fewer turnovers per game after 15 games in all games he has coached. |
|||||||
02-03-24 | Robert Morris v. Detroit UNDER 144.5 | Top | 75-67 | Win | 100 | 2 h 36 m | Show |
Detroit Mercy vs Robert Morris 8-Unit best bet on the UNDER 144.5 points and is valid down to 143.5 points. The following College Basketball betting algorithm has produced impressive results going 39-23 Under for 63% winning bets since 2014. The requirements are: Ø Bet the Under between 143 and 152 points. Ø The home team has lost to the spread by 50 or more points spanning their last 10 games. Ø The guest has seen their last 10 games play OVER by 30 or more points. If the home dog is priced between 3.5 and 9.5 points, the Under has gone 17-8 for 68% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. For live betting considerations place 80% of your 8-unit betting amount on the Under preflop and then look to add 20% more on the Under at 151.5 points during the first half of action. |
|||||||
02-02-24 | Kings -3.5 v. Pacers | Top | 133-122 | Win | 100 | 3 h 30 m | Show |
Sacramento Kings vs Indiana Pacers 7:30 ET | Gainbridge Fieldhouse 10-Unit best bet on the Kings minus the 3.5 points and is valid to 5.5 points. The following NBA betting algorithm has produced impressive results going 231-69 SU and 191-102-7 ATS (65%) winning bets since 2000. The requirements are: Ø Bet on a Western Conference Road team. Ø That road team is favored by 3.5 to 9.5 points. Ø That team is avenging a loss to the current host in their previous meeting. If our road team is playing on less rest than the host the record improves to 67-17 SU for 80% and 55-26-3 ATS for 68% winning bets since 2000. For live betting considerations and knowing that the algo shows an 80% SU record, bet 75% of your 10-Unit betting amount at -3.5 points and then add 25% of that amount at pick-em during the first half of action. From the predictive models we are expecting the Kings to score 127 or more points and have the better and more efficient assist to turnover ratio. In past road games in which the Kings met or exceeded these expectations has produced a 47-9 SU record for 84% and a 42-11-3 ATS record good for 79% winning bets over the past 7 seasons. The Pacers are a horrid 1-32 SU and 7-26 ATS for 21% winning bets when allowing these performance measures. |
|||||||
02-01-24 | 76ers +4.5 v. Jazz | Top | 127-124 | Win | 100 | 7 h 17 m | Show |
Philadelphia 76ers vs Utah Jazz 10:00 ET | The Delta Center 8-Unit best bet on the 76ers getting a plus 4.5 points and is valid down to +3.5 points. The following NBA betting algorithm has produced impressive results going 48-47 SU and 61-32-2 ATS (65.6%) winning bets since 2014 (10 seasons). The requirements are: Ø Bet on road underdogs between 3.5 and 9.5 points. Ø That road team is playing at least their fourth consecutive road game. Ø That road team has lost all of the previous three road games. If our road team is playing on one day of rest exact they improve to 20-13 SU and 23-10 ATS for 70% winning bets since 2014. The 76ers have used 15 different lineups and there have been 3 games in which Maxey and Embiid have not started. In those games they have gone 0-3, but 2-1 ATS and nearly took don the Celtics earlier this year and the Nuggets this past Saturday. The team already knows Embiid will be out for tonight and likely to be out until after the all-star break. That is great news for the 76ers having these injuries happen to several of their players this close to the break. In games played with a different starting five than the previous game, the 76ers are 8-3 SU and 6-5 ATS. Tonight they are the dog and knowing they are 8-3 having a different starting five presents a powerful opportunity. The current market pricing the 76ers as 4.5-point underdogs and a total of 234.5 points reflects a 119-115 Jazz win. My predictive models project an 83% probability that the 76ers will score at least 114 points and have the better and more efficient assist to turnover ratio. So, again, the market pricing and my predictive models is reflecting the expectation that Maxey and Embiid will be out tonight. However, in most cases like this one the market over reacts and presents a solid betting opportunity to get on the dog tonight knowing that the 76ers are 111-12 SU (90%) and 95-28 ATS for 77% winning bets and if on the road as a dog they are 11-3 SU and 13-1 ATS for 93% wining bets over the past five seasons. |
|||||||
02-01-24 | Morehead State v. Tennessee State +4.5 | Top | 68-49 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 15 m | Show |
Morehead State vs Tennessee State TS is a solid 11-2 ATS in home games revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last three seasons; 15-4 ATS in home games after a conference game over the last 3 seasons; 24-9 ATS off 3 straight wins against conference rivals. TS head coach Collis is a perfect in home games after scoring 65 points or less 2 straight games. From the predictive model TS is expected to score 70 or more points and for Morehead to have at least four ore turnovers than TS. In past games in which TS has met these projections has seen them go 25-8 ATS for 76% winning bets. |
|||||||
02-01-24 | Old Dominion +9.5 v. Marshall | Top | 83-76 | Win | 100 | 4 h 15 m | Show |
Old Dominion vs Marshall 7:00 EST | 8-Unit Bet on ODU plus the 9 points and is valid down to 7.5 points. Consider adding a sprinkle on the money line that is not more than 0.5 units. If you like the money line more than just a sprinkle then reduce the spread bet to 7 units and add 1.5 units on the money line to make the combination wager a little more aggressive. ODU is on an 11-3 ATS run when facing teams who are called for 17 or fewer fouls per game after 15+ games spanning the last two seasons. Marshall is 3-18 ATS after 2 straight games attempting 10+ more free throws than opponent in each game. From the predictive model, ODU is a perfect 7-0 ATS when scoring 71 or more points and committing 12 or fewer turnovers over the past five seasons. |
|||||||
01-31-24 | Sharks +161 v. Ducks | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 51 m | Show |
San Jose Sharks vs Anaheim Ducks Honda Center The following NHL betting algorithm has produced a 79-42 record for 65% winning tickets that have averaged a -122 wager and earned a profitable 24% ROI since 2006. A $1000 bettor has made $32,850. The requirements are: Ø Bet on any team off a home shutout win over a divisional rival. Ø The opponent is coming off a road win. If our team is playing on back-to-back nights, they surge to a 10-2 SU record for 83% winning tickets averaging a +145 wager and earning a highly profitable 91% ROI since 2006. |
|||||||
01-31-24 | Bucks -10 v. Blazers | Top | 116-119 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
Milwaukee Bucks vs Portland Trailblazers Moda Center, Portland, Oregon | 10:00 ET | ESPN 8-Unit Bet on the Bucks -9.5 points and is valid to -11 points. The following betting algorithm has produced a 103-15 SU record and a 76-39-3 ATS mark for 66% winning bets since 1996. The requirements are: Ø Bet on winning record road favorites of 7.5 or more points. Ø Game is being played in the second half of the season. Ø The foe is on no more than two game win streak. Ø The foe has won between 25 and 40% of their games on the season. |
|||||||
01-31-24 | Vanderbilt v. Auburn UNDER 143 | Top | 54-81 | Win | 100 | 7 h 15 m | Show |
Vanderbilt vs Auburn Neville Arena, Auburn, AL 8-Unit bet Under the posted total of 142.5 points and is valid to 142.5 points. The following betting algorithm has produced a 62-34 Under record for 65% winning bets since 2014. The requirements are: Ø Bet Under the total between 140 and 150. Ø The road team is coming off a double-digit loss. Ø The host is coming off a road upset loss. If our road team is the underdog, the Under improves to a 56-27 record for 68% winning bets over the past five seasons. Consider betting 70% preflop at 142.5 points and then at 15% more at 146.5 points and 15% more at 149.5 points during the first half of action. |
|||||||
01-31-24 | Kings +1.5 v. Heat | Top | 106-115 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 58 m | Show |
Sacramento Kings vs. Miami Heat 7:30 ET | Kaseya Center 8-Unit best bet on the Kings getting a point and remains valid to -2.5-point favorites. The following NBA betting algorithm has produced impressive results going 55-48 SU and 72-30-1 ATS (71%) winning bets since 2016. From 2016 to the current game scoring has been on a historic rise lead wide and is the reason this season is selected as the starting point for the algorithm. The requirements are: Ø Bet on road teams. Ø That road team lost to the host in their previous meeting by 3 or fewer points. Ø The host is coming off an upset loss. If our road team is priced as a dog of not more than 6.5 points, they have soared to a highly profitable 19-12 SU and 25-6 ATS (81%) winning bets record since 2016. Also, road teams that lost by three or fewer points in the previous meeting with the host and playing on one day of rest exact facing that host who is coming off an upset loss have gone an impressive 38-25 SU and 46-16-1 ATS for 75% winning bets since 2016. The base algorithm has had 10 consecutive seasons producing profits with winning ATS records. Over these years the worst losing streak was 4 straight games that overlapped the 2021 and 2022 seasons. The longest losing streak in a specific season has been three games ATS. Looking at the first derivative when this system lost the previous bet has bounced back with an 18-10 ATS 64% winning record. The last active game for this algorithm lost SU and ATS when the San Antonio Spurs lost to the Atlanta Hawks 109-99 as 8-point underdogs. For the 2023 season, this algorithm is 5-2 ATS for 71.4% winning bets. |
|||||||
01-31-24 | Pistons v. Cavs -12.5 | Top | 121-128 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 28 m | Show |
Detroit Pistons vs Cleveland Cavaliers Rocket Mortgage Field House, Cleveland | 7 ET 8-Unit Bet on the Cavaliers minus the 12.5 points and is valid up to 14.5 points. The following NBA betting algorithm has done very well posting a 32-16 ATS record for 67% winning bets over the past five seasons. The requirements are: Ø Bet on any team facing a foe coming off a home win of 8 or more points. Ø In that win they had 8 fewer fouls called on them than their season-to-date average. If our team has a winning record and the game takes place in the second half of the regular season they improve to a 10-4 ATS mark good for 71.4% winning bets over the past five seasons. |
|||||||
01-31-24 | Wichita State v. Tulsa -115 | Top | 68-79 | Win | 100 | 5 h 16 m | Show |
Wichita State vs Tulsa 7 EST | Donald W. Reynolds Center, Tulsa, OK The following betting algorithm has produced a 50-21 SU record and a 38-21-5 ATS mark for 64% winning bets since 2014. The requirements are: Ø Bet on any team that is outscoring their opponents by 3.5 to 8 points per game. Ø Game occurs after the 15th one of the season. Ø Our team is coming off five consecutive games in which they allowed 75 or more points in each one. Ø That team is facing a foe that has a scoring differential between -3.5 and +3.5 PPG. If our team has recorded an effective field goal percentage of 50% or better over their last five games, their record improves to 28-6 SU and 18-9-3 ATS for 67% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. |
|||||||
01-31-24 | Richmond v. Fordham +2 | Top | 83-69 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 14 m | Show |
Richmond at Fordham 8-Unit Bet on the Fordham Rams getting 2 points. If this line drops to 1.5 dog and at most 1.5-point favorite use the money line. So, this bet is valid to -1.5-point favorite. The following betting algorithm has produced a 42-19 SU record and a 43-17-1 ATS mark good for 71% winning bets since 2019. The requirements are: Ø Bet on home teams priced between a 3-point favorite and a 3-point dog. Ø That home team has earned a win percentage between 40 and 50%. Ø That home team has played Under the total by 30 or more points over their last five games. |
|||||||
01-30-24 | Seattle Kraken v. Sharks +182 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 182 | 32 h 52 m | Show |
Seattle Kraken vs San Jose Sharks The following NHL algorithm has produced a 144-133, averaging a +144 underdog and earning 77 units per unit wagered over the past 25 seasons and a highly profitable 25% ROI. The requirements are: Ø Bet on underdogs using the money line. Ø That dog has played two consecutive home games. Ø That dog is facing a foe having played four consecutive home games. If our underdog is playing at home, their improves to 58-42 for 58% winning bets averaging a +133 wager and earning a 32% Roi over the past 25 seasons. From the predictive model, we learn that Seattle is 2-13 losing 12.5 units per unit wagered when they have allowed 27 or more shots on goal this season. |
|||||||
01-30-24 | 76ers +3.5 v. Warriors | Top | 107-119 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 45 m | Show |
Philadelphia 76ers vs. Golden State Warriors 10:00 ET | Chase Center 8-Unit best bet on the 76ers plus the 3.5 points and is valid if they remain the underdog. Keep in mind that Joel Embiid and Maxey have not played in the last two games and it is unknown currently if either will be suiting up tonight. The 76ers have lost three consecutive road games and they would like nothing more than to end this streak tonight, but the health of both players is paramount first and foremost. We saw the line jump from a 5.5 point dog to 13.5 points when it was announced close to the tip of the game that they 76ers two studs were not playing in the game. Still, the 76ers easily covered and nearly defeated the Nuggets, who were at full strength. I would bet no more than 50% of your normal bet size now and then look for the news to surface declaring either player starting or is OUT. I do think there is a lean on this line that Maxey will play and Embiid will be out. However, if Embiid and Maxey are both good to go in this game, the line will will move toward pick-em in a NY second. The following betting algorithm has produced a 28-40 SU record, but a solid 45-22-1 ATS record good for 67% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: Ø Bet on a road team that is playing the second game of back-to-backs. Ø That team has lost their last three games all on the road. If the game is not a conference matchup, our road team improves to an highly profitable 19-24 SU and 30-12-1 ATS for 71.4 % winning bets over the past 10 seasons. |
|||||||
01-30-24 | Northern Illinois +3.5 v. Central Michigan | Top | 77-84 | Loss | -109 | 4 h 44 m | Show |
Northern Illinois vs Central Michigan If you like NIU to win this game outright then consider placing 6.5 units on the line and 1.5 units on the money line. The following Money Line College Basketball betting system has gone 99-115 for 46% winners, but by averaging a +158-money line wager has earned 45 units per unit wagered over the past 25 seasons. The requirements are: Ø Bet on any team that has allowed 47% or higher shooting in three consecutive games. Ø That team is facing a foe that has allowed 40% or lower shooting in each of their last three games. |
|||||||
01-29-24 | Magic v. Mavs -4 | Top | 129-131 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 56 m | Show |
Orlando Magic vs Dallas Mavericks 8:30 ET | American Airlines Center, Dallas, Texas. 8-Unit best bet on the Mavericks minus the four points and is valid up to -5.5 points. The following betting algorithm has produced a 115-126 SU record, but a solid 141-98-2 ATS record good for 59% winning bets over the past five seasons. The requirements are: Ø Bet on any team that has lost five or six of their last 7 games. Ø That team has a winning record on the season. Ø The opponent has a winning record on the season. If our team is playing at home and priced as the favorite, they have improved to a highly profitable 51-17 SU (75%) and 45-23 ATS mark good for 66% winning bets over the past five seasons. Last, if our home favorite has posted a 1.8 or higher assist-to-turnover ratio they soar to an 18-6 SUATS mark for 75% winning bets over the past 5 seasons. Consider betting 70% of your 8-unit betting amount on the Mavericks preflop and then look to add 30% more at Mavericks priced at pick-em. |
|||||||
01-29-24 | Suns v. Heat -3 | Top | 118-105 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 57 m | Show |
Phoenix Suns vs Miami Heat 7:30 ET | NBA TV 8-Unit Bet on the Heat -3.5 points and is valid up to 4.5 points. The following betting algorithm has produced a 115-126 SU record, but a solid 141-98-2 ATS record good for 59% winning bets over the past five seasons. The requirements are: Ø Bet on any team that has lost five or six of their last 7 games. Ø That team has a winning record on the season. Ø The opponent has a winning record on the season. If our team is playing at home and priced as the favorite, they have improved to a highly profitable 51-17 SU (75%) and 45-23 ATS mark good for 66% winning bets over the past five seasons. Last, if our home favorite has posted a 1.8 or higher assist-to-turnover ratio they soar to an 18-6 SUATS mark for 75% winning bets over the past 5 seasons. Consider betting 70% of your 8-unit betting amount on the Heat preflop and then look to add 30% more at pick-em. |
|||||||
01-29-24 | Boston University v. Holy Cross +3.5 | Top | 63-65 | Win | 100 | 4 h 15 m | Show |
Boston University vs Holy Cross 7 ET | Hart Center, Worcester, MA 8-Unit bet on Holy Cross +3.5 points and is valid if they remain the underdog. Let’s get right to the predictive model that projects Holy Cross will score 69 or more points and commit 12 or fewer turnovers. In past games over the past five seasons when Holy Cross has met or exceeded these performance measures in home games has led to a 4-4 SU record and a 6-1 ATS record good for 86% winning bets over the past two seasons. Boston University is 10-26 ATS for 28% when allowing 69 or more points and forcing 12 or fewer turnovers over the past five seasons. Holy Cross has not been lined to all games over the lifetime as a Division-1 Basketball program. |
|||||||
01-28-24 | Lions v. 49ers -7 | Top | 31-34 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 47 m | Show |
Detroit Lions vs San Francisco 49ers 8-Unit bet on the 49ers minus the 7 points and is valid up 7.5 points. Consider betting 75% of your 8-unit bet preflop and then look to add the remaining 25% on two parts consisting of 15% on the 49ers -4.5 points and 10% more at -1.5 points during the first half of action. Home teams in the conference championship that failed to cover the spread in their divisional win and had fewer than 30 minutes of time of possession are 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS. The only loss was when the team was on the road. The Green Bay packers traveled to Seattle to take on the Seahawks as 8.5-point underdogs and enjoyed a 16-point half time lead. How, the Seahawks stormed back with 22 second-half points (15 of them scored in the fourth quarter) and won 28-22. So, home teams in this role are undefeated and in any round of the playoffs have gone 17-12-1 ATS for 59% and Supporting this bet on the 49ers is the following algorithm that has gone 25-13 (66%) SU and 25-12-1 ATS for 68% winning bets since 2004. The requirements are: · Bet on home favorites in the playoffs. · Facing an opponent that won 5 or more games, but were outgained in the stats. · That opponent is coming off a home win. If in the Conference Championship Game Ø 11-3 SU | 12-2 86% ATS | 8-6 O-U |
|||||||
01-28-24 | Raptors +6.5 v. Hawks | Top | 125-126 | Win | 100 | 7 h 2 m | Show |
Toronto Raptors vs Atlanta Hawks 8-Unit bet on the Raptors +6.5 points and is a valid bet down to 5 points. The following betting algorithm has earned an 48-72 SU record, but an impressive 77-41-2 ATS record good for 65% winning bets since 2018. The requirements are: Ø Bet on road teams playing with same season revenge. Ø The road team is coming off a home loss by double-digits. Ø The Total in the game is 220 or more points. |
|||||||
01-28-24 | Chiefs +4.5 v. Ravens | Top | 17-10 | Win | 100 | 6 h 12 m | Show |
Kansas City Chiefs vs Baltimore Ravens 10-Unit bet on the Chiefs plus 3 or more points. Consider betting 60% of your 8-unit bet preflop and then look to add the remaining 20% on the Chiefs at +6.5 and then 20% more at +9.5 points during the first half of action. 5-Unit Bet OVER 44.5 points. Consider betting just 40% preflop on the total because the first quarter scoring in these Championship games sees the least amount of points scored. Then if the game does go accoding to plan, you will be able to add 30% more at 41.5 points and 30% more at 39.5 points at some point during the first half of action. The downside is that if the game starts out fast, you are likely to only have 40% bet on the Over preflop, but that also implies that bet will be winning by margin at the half. CBS Sports noted that Kyle Shanahan of the 49ers was 0-31 SU when trailing by five or more points entering the fourth quarter and last week’s comeback against the Packer’s was the first time he and the 49ers overcame that type of deficit to win a game. However, this type of stat is a bit misleading starting with the fact that all NFL coaches and their teams have had few wins when trailing by 5 or more points entering the fourth. In 49ers history Mike Nolan went 0-27 and Dennis Erickson went 0-27, for instance. Bill Belichick went 19-102, Jeff Fisher went 12-108, Tom Coughlin went 15-94, and Andy Reid went 20-80 to round out the top-4 coaches records with 100 or more trailing by 5+ entering the fourth quarter. Speaking of Reid, he is tops on the coaching list with 20 come from behind fourth quarter wins trailing by 5+ points. In case you were wondering Jay Gruden went 0-34 for his career when trailing by 5+ points entering the fourth quarter. In week 16 on Monday Night Football, the Chiefs were priced as 11.5-point favorites and trailed by 20-7 entering the fourth and lost 20-14 to the AFC West Division rival Raiders. Ten of the 20 wins in this situation for coach Reid have occurred with the Chiefs and prior to that with the Eagles. With the Chiefs he is 7-3 ATS in those 10 games, so keep that in mind too if they are trailing entering the fourth. Since 2019, the Chiefs have played in a league-high 32 games in which they and their opponents enjoyed 6 or more-point leads at some point during these games. What is remarkable is Reid has won 26 of these 32 games and went 17-9 ATS and 18-8 OVER. So, I do see many lead changes in this AFC Championship game against the Ravens. Supporting this bet on the Chiefs is the following algorithm that has gone 31-39 SU and 49-21-3 ATS for 70% winning bets since 2014. The requirements are: · Bet on road underdogs between 3.5 and 9.5 points. · Our dog has committed no more than one turnover in each of their last two games. · The host forced zero turnovers in their previous game. if the game occurs in the playoffs our dogs have gone 4-5 SU and 7-2 ATS for 78% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. Although just two games, these dogs have gone 1-1 and 2-0 ATS in the Conference Championship. Player Prop bets for Both games today: 1) Bet Mahomes OVER 1.5 passing TDs -110 2) Bet Mahomes OVER 25.5 completions +115 3) Bet Kelce OVER 63.5 receiving yards -110 4) Bet Pacheco OVER 15.5 longest rush -105 5) Bet Pacheco Over 63.5 rushing yards -115 6) Bet Goff OVER 2.5 passing TDs +300 7) Bet George Kittle most receiving yards +550 Analysts will say that Kyle Hamilton will take away Kelce. Maybe. The fact that TEs have done well against this defense bodes well for Kelce. He’s had 71+ yards in each playoff game. The Chiefs will need him if they want to have a chance to score 20+ points. |
|||||||
01-28-24 | Kings v. Blues UNDER 6.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 59 m | Show |
LA Kings vs St. Louis Blues Bet the under with a total of 6 or more goals. Our road team has allowed three or more goals in each of their last three games. The opponent has scored three or more goals in each of their last three games. These parameters have combined to produce a 174-136-7 record for 56% winning bets and earning a solid 16% ROI since 2017. If the road team has a win percentage above .500 the Under has gone 69-48-4 for 59% and earning a 21% ROI. |
|||||||
01-27-24 | Kings v. Mavs +3.5 | Top | 120-115 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks 8-Unit bet on the Mavericks plus the three points and is valid if they remain the dog. Consider betting 70% of your 8-unit bet preflop and then look to add the remaining 30% on the Mavericks at +6.5 or better during the first half of action. Supporting this bet on the Mavericks is the following algorithm that has gone 24-22 (52%) SU and 30-15-1 ATS for 67% winning bets since 2019. The requirements are: · Bet on underdogs between pick and 7.5 points. · Our dog has allowed 115 or more points in five consecutive games. · The favorite has scored 115 or more points in each of their two previous games. |
|||||||
01-27-24 | Pelicans v. Bucks -5 | Top | 117-141 | Win | 100 | 9 h 43 m | Show |
New Orleans Pelicans vs Milwaukee Bucks 8-Unit bet on the Bucks minus 5 points and is valid up 6.5 points. Consider betting 70% of your 8-unit bet preflop and then look to add the remaining 30% on the Bucks at -1.5 or better during the first half of action. Supporting this bet on the Bucks is the following algorithm that has gone 38-22 SU and 39-19-2 ATS for 67% winning bets since 2019. The requirements are: · Bet on home teams in the second half of the regular season. · The home team has won 60 to 75% of their games. · The home team has lost to the spread by 47 or more points spanning their last 7 games. · The opponent has posted a winning record. If our home team is playing the second game of a back-to-back schedule they soar to 7-3 SU and 8-2 ATS for 80% winning bets since 2019. |
|||||||
01-27-24 | Tulsa +3.5 v. Rice | Top | 85-83 | Win | 100 | 8 h 30 m | Show |
Tulsa vs Rice 8-Unit bet on Tulsa plus the 3 points and is valid if they remain the underdog. Consider betting 80% of your 8-unit bet preflop and then look to add the remaining 20% on Tulsa at +7.5 or better during the first half of action. Rice is 2-9 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season; 1-8 ATS when facing a foe that is outscoring their opponents by four or more PPG this season; 8-18-1 ATS when facing a conference foe spanning the last two seasons; 0-6 ATS following three consecutive games in which they committed no more than 14 turnovers in each of the three games. From the predictive models we learn that Tulsa is 15-6 SU and 12-6-1 ATS for 67% winning bets when scoring 74 or more points and have the same or fewer turnovers in games played over the past five seasons. |
|||||||
01-27-24 | Jazz -9.5 v. Hornets | Top | 134-122 | Win | 100 | 8 h 43 m | Show |
Charlotte Hornets vs Utah Jazz 8-Unit bet on the Jazz minus 10 points and is valid up 11.5 points. Consider betting 70% of your 8-unit bet preflop and then look to add the remaining 30% on the Jazz at -6.5 or better during the first half of action. Supporting this bet on the Jazz is the following algorithm that has gone 257-60 (81%) SU and 191-119-7 ATS for 62% winning bets since 2004. The requirements are: · Bet on road favorites between -5.5 and -10.5 points. · Our road team has scored 5 or more points above the league average scoring level in their last three games. If the host is playing on back-to-back nights our road favorite soars to a highly profitable 45-7 (87%) SU and 36-16-1 ATS for 69% winning bets since 2004. |
|||||||
01-27-24 | Kentucky v. Arkansas +7 | Top | 63-57 | Win | 100 | 7 h 31 m | Show |
Arkansas vs Kentucky 8-Unit bet on the Razorbacks plus 7.5 points and is valid to 6 points Consider betting 70% of your 8-unit bet preflop and then look to add the remaining 30% on the Razorbacks at +11.5 or better during the first half of action. Supporting this bet on the Razorbacks is the following algorithm that has gone 15-100 SU and 70-44-1 ATS for 61.4% winning bets since 2019. The requirements are: · Bet on underdogs of 6 or more points. · Our dog is coming off a double-digit loss to a conference foe. · The opponent is coming off an road upset loss. If our dog is playing at home and their average points plus the foe’s average points per game is more than the posted total, our dog’s record improves to a highly profitable 5-18 SU and 17-6 ATS record for 74% winning bets over the past five seasons. |
|||||||
01-27-24 | Bruins v. Flyers +145 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -100 | 1 h 7 m | Show |
Boston Bruins vs Philadelphia Flyers Betting on underdogs that have won fewer games than their opponent. The favorite has won 60% or more their games on the season and is coming off a road win. This set of simple to use parameters has earned a highly profitable 77-67 record for 55% winning bets that have averaged a +135 wager and earned an amazing 21% ROI since 2015. |
|||||||
01-26-24 | Rockets -5 v. Hornets | Top | 138-104 | Win | 100 | 3 h 17 m | Show |
Houston Rockets vs Charlotte Hornets 8-Unit bet on the Rockets minus the 5.5 points and is valid up 6.5 points. Consider betting 70% of your 8-unit bet preflop and then look to add the remaining 30% on two parts consisting of 15% on the Rockets -2.5 15% more at pick-em points during the first half of action. Supporting this bet on the Rockets is the following algorithm that has gone 341-117 SU and 275-166-17 ATS for 63% winning bets since 1995. The requirements are: · Bet on road favorites of not more than 12 points · Facing a host that is getting outscored by 6 or more PPG. · Our favorite has held their previous five opponents to 9 or fewer points less than the league scoring average. · The game takes place in the second half of the season. |
|||||||
01-25-24 | Pacific +27.5 v. St. Mary's | Top | 28-76 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 48 m | Show |
Pacific vs St. Mary’s
Consider betting 80% of your 8-unit bet preflop and then look to add the remaining 20% on Pacific at +34.5 points during the first half of action. This is a monster dog and upon occasion the models do identify a great opportunity with these horrible playing teams going up against a top-level conference foe. Supporting this bet on Pacific is the following algorithm that has gone 11-113 SU, bnut a hioghly profitable 81-43 ATS for 65.3% winning bets since 1995. The requirements are: · Bet on double-digit underdogs. · The dog is coming off three consecutive losses to conference foes. · The favorite is coming off an upset win on the road. If the foe is not ranked in the latest Top-25 AP poll our dogs improve to a 64-36 ATS record for 64% winning bets since 1995. |
|||||||
01-25-24 | San Francisco v. Gonzaga -9 | Top | 72-77 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 43 m | Show |
San Francisco vs Gonzaga Consider betting 80% of your 8-unit bet preflop and then look to add the remaining 20% on two parts consisting of 10% on the Zags at -6.5 and 10% on the Zags at -3.5 points during the first half of action. Supporting this bet on the Zags is the following algorithm that has gone 70-20 SU and 52-36-2 ATS for 59% winning bets since 2014. The requirements are: · Bet on home favorites between 3.5 and 9.5 points. · The favorite is outscoring their foes by an average 10 or more PPG. · The favorite is playing on four or more days of rest. · The favorite led by 20 or more points at the half of their previous game. If the game is after the 13th game of the regular season our favorites have gone an impressive 24-2 SU and 16-8-2 ATS for 67% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. |
|||||||
01-25-24 | Nuggets -2 v. Knicks | Top | 84-122 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 24 m | Show |
Denver Nuggets vs New York Knicks Consider betting 70% of your 8-unit bet preflop and then look to add the remaining 30% on two parts consisting of 15% on the Nuggets at +1.5 and 15% on the Nuggets at +4.5 points during the first half of action. Supporting this bet on the Jazz is the following algorithm that has gone 366-135 SU and 309-182-10 ATS for 63% winning bets since 1995. The requirements are: · Bet on road favorites between -1.5 and -11 points. · The game is a non-conference matchup. · The road team is a member of the Western Conference. · The road team lost the last time they faced this host. If the favorite is averaging 25 or more assists per game, they soar to a 93-27 SU record and an 80-46-3 ATS record good for 64% winning bets since 1995 and
|
|||||||
01-25-24 | Wolves v. Nets +3.5 | Top | 96-94 | Win | 100 | 4 h 24 m | Show |
Minnesota Timberwolves vs Brooklyn Nets Consider betting 70% of your 8-unit bet preflop and then look to add the remaining 30% on two parts consisting of 15% on the Nets at +6.5 and 15% on the Nets at +9.5 points during the first half of action. Supporting this bet on the Nets is the following algorithm that has gone 53-42 SU and 60-28-7 ATS for 68% winning bets since 2015. The requirements are: · Bet on home dogs of 5 or fewer points. · The visitor is playing the second game of back-to-back nights. · The visitor played on the road previous night and won by double-digits. If the total in the game is 220 or fewer points our home dog goes to earn a highly profitable 30-18 SU mark and 32-13-3 ATS for 71% winning bets since 2015. |
|||||||
01-25-24 | Jazz -7.5 v. Wizards | Top | 123-108 | Win | 100 | 4 h 55 m | Show |
Utah Jazz vs Washington Wizards 8-Unit bet on the Jazz minus the 7.5 points and is valid up 9.5 points. Consider betting 70% of your 8-unit bet preflop and then look to add the remaining 30% on two parts consisting of 15% on the Jazz at -4.5 and 15% on the Jazz at -1.5 points during the first half of action. Supporting this bet on the Jazz is the following algorithm that has gone 149-38 SU and 120-64-3 ATS for 65% winning bets since 1995. The requirements are: · Bet on favorites between 3 and 14 points. · The opponent had 13 more turnovers than their previous opponent. If the underdog is playing the second of back-to-back nights, our favorite’s record improves to 33-9 SU and 29-13 ATS for 69% winning bets since 1995. |
|||||||
01-25-24 | Islanders v. Canadiens +132 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 132 | 4 h 50 m | Show |
NY Islanders vs Montreal Canadiens Supporting this bet on the Canadiens is the following algorithm that has gone 60-36 for 63% winning bets and has averaged a +112 wager and earned a highly profitable 25% ROI over the past five seasons. The requirements are: · Bet on home teams using the money line. · The home team is coming off a humiliating home loss by three or more goals to a divisional rival. · The game takes place in January. If our home team is an underdog their record improves to 25-23 averaging a +1255 wager and earning a 33% ROI over the past five seasons. |
|||||||
01-25-24 | Flyers v. Red Wings -104 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 4 h 49 m | Show |
Philadelphia Flyers vs Detroit Red Wings Supporting this bet on the Red Wings is the following algorithm that has gone 50-18 for 74% winning bets and has averaged a -122 wager and earned a highly profitable 37% ROI over the past five seasons. The requirements are: · Bet on any team that allowed five or more goals in their previous game. · The opponent has lost three consecutive games by two or more goals in each game. If our team is playing at home they have gone 22-6 for 79% winning bets averaging a -145 bet and earning a 40% ROI over the past five seasons. |
|||||||
01-24-24 | Illinois v. Northwestern +3 | Top | 91-96 | Win | 100 | 5 h 52 m | Show |
Illinois vs Northwestern The following college basketball betting algorithm has produced a 158-91 ATS record for 64% winning bets over the past 27 seasons. The requirements are: · Bet on home teams from pick-em to any size underdog. · Game is after the 15th game of the season. · The home team allows an average of 67 to 74 PPG. · Facing a foe that is averaging 78 or more PPG. · That foe is coming off two straight Over results. Northwestern plays a bit slower style of game than Illinois and having the home court advantage will allow NWU to control the tempo of the game to their advantage. This is a critical game for Northwestern and with a win puts them into the coference champion conversation and off the NCAA bubble chat. |
|||||||
01-24-24 | Suns v. Mavs +2.5 | Top | 132-109 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 29 m | Show |
Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks Consider betting 70% of your 8-unit bet preflop and then look to add the remaining 30% on two parts consisting of 15% on Dallas at +5.5 and 15% on Dallas at 9.5 points during the first half of action. Supporting this bet on the Mavericks is the following algorithm that has gone 30-14-1 for 68% winning bets since 2019. The requirements are: · Bet on underdogs between pick and 7.5 points. · That dog has allowed 115 or more points in each of their last five games. · The opponent has scored 115 or more points in each of their last two games. |
|||||||
01-24-24 | Cavs v. Bucks -6.5 | Top | 116-126 | Win | 100 | 4 h 60 m | Show |
Milwaukee Bucks vs Cleveland Cavaliers 8-Unit bet on the Bucks minus the 6.5 points and is valid to 7.5 points. After firing Adrian Griffin, the Milwaukee Bucks have reached out to Doc Rivers and are engaging him in conversations about the franchise's head-coaching job, sources told ESPN on Tuesday. Griffin had a 30-13 (.698) record, but the Bucks had dropped from fourth to 22nd in defensive efficiency from a season ago, although some of that can be attributed to the loss of All-Star guard Jrue Holiday. So, a breath of fresh air and the removal of the uncertain status of their head coach has been removed from the team culture and many times this lends itself to an outstanding first game under the new head coach or even an interim coach. The following betting algorithm has produced a 54-29 SU record and a 55-26-2 ATS mark for 68% winning bets over the past five seasons. The requirements are: · Bet on a team that has lost to the spread by a total of 47 or more points over their last seven games. · That team has won 60 to 75% of their games on the season. · The guest has a winning record. If the game takes place in the second half of the season these teams have earned a 38-22 SU mark and 29-19-2 ATS mark good for 67.2% winning bets since 2019. The following betting algorithm has produced a 33-19 SU record and a 34-17-1 ATS mark for 67% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: · Bet on a home team that has lost three or more games to the spread. · The visitor has covered the spread in 7 or more of their last 8 games. Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks Consider betting 70% of your 8-unit bet preflop and then look to add the remaining 30% on two parts consisting of 15% on Dallas at +5.5 and 15% on Dallas at 9.5 points during the first half of action. Supporting this bet on the Mavericks is the following algorithm that has gone 30-14-1 for 68% winning bets since 2019. The requirements are: · Bet on underdogs between pick and 7.5 points. · That dog has allowed 115 or more points in each of their last five games. · The opponent has scored 115 or more points in each of their last two games. |
|||||||
01-24-24 | Grizzlies +11 v. Heat | Top | 105-96 | Win | 100 | 4 h 31 m | Show |
Memphis Grizzlies vs Miami Heat 8-Unit bet on the Grizzlies +10 points and is valid to 9.5 points. Consider betting 70% of your 8-unit bet preflop and then look to add the remaining 30% on two parts consisting of 15% on the Grizzlies at +13.5 and 15% on the Grizzlies at +16.5 points during the first half of action. Supporting this bet on the Grizzlies is the following algorithm that has gone 70-40-2 for 64% winning bets since 2016. The requirements are: · Bet on road underdogs with a win percentage between 25 and 40% on the season. · Our road dog is coming off a road win. · The host has a winning record on the season. · The game occurs after the 21st game of the regular season (25% of the season). If our dog is priced at 9 or more points they have earned a 37-13-1 ATS record for 74% winning bets since 2016. The Heat are playing with two days of rest and coming off a terrible 18-point drubbing to the Orlando Magic and failed to cover the spread priced as 1-point favorites. The Grizzlies are playing with one day of rest and coming off an 8-point win over the Toronto Raptors and covered the spread by 15.5 points priced as 7.5-[point unde4dogs. |
|||||||
01-24-24 | Hurricanes +122 v. Bruins | Top | 3-2 | Win | 122 | 3 h 23 m | Show |
Carolina vs Boston The following NHL betting algorithm has produced an exceptional 52-30 record for 64% winners and has made 31 Units earning a 40% ROI in each of the past five seasons. The requirements are: · Bet on road teams using the money line. · That road team has played their two previous games at home. · The home team is playing their fifth consecutive home game. |
|||||||
01-24-24 | Jacksonville State v. Middle Tennessee | Top | 67-75 | Win | 100 | 3 h 18 m | Show |
Jax State vs Middle Tennessee State MTST is 40-19 ATS in home games versus good shooting teams making at least 45% of their shots after the 15th game of the regular since 1997; 24-11 ATS when facing solid defensive teams allowing 64 or fewer points per game; 15-4 ATS in home games following a conference game spanning the past three seasons; 26-12 ATS when coming off two or more consecutive road losses. JAX State head coach Harper is just 4-13 ATS when the total has been fewer than 130 points. MTST head coach McDevitt is 12-3 ATS after the 15th game of the season playing at home and facing a foe that is shooting 45% or better from the field. |
|||||||
01-24-24 | Auburn +4 v. Alabama | Top | 75-79 | Push | 0 | 3 h 16 m | Show |
Auburn vs Alabama
The line and total for this game conveys an 83-79 Alabama win. My predictive models show an 84% probability that Auburn will score 78 or more points and have the same or fewer turnovers in this game. In past games in which Auburn met or exceeded these performance measures in their road games has seen them go 22-3 SU and 19-4-1 ATS for 83% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. Alabama is 7-9 SU and 2-14 ATS for 13% winners in home games when they allowed 78 or more points and had the same or more turnovers in games played over the past 10 seasons. |
|||||||
01-24-24 | Hornets v. Pistons OVER 230.5 | Top | 106-113 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 1 m | Show |
Charlotte Hornets vs Detroit Pistons 5-Unit Bet on the Pistons -3 points and is valid up to -4.5 points. Consider betting 70% of your 8-unit bet preflop and then look to add the remaining 30% on two parts consisting of 15% Over 230.5 and 15% Under at 227.5 points during the first half of action. Supporting this bet on the Over is the following algorithm that has gone 31-18-1 Over for 63% winning bets since 2018. The requirements are: · Bet the Over · The home team is coming off three excellent games posting a 2.5 or better assists to turnover ratio. · The guest has posted a season-to-date assists to turnover ratio below 2.
If the total in the game is between 225.5 and 239.5 points the Over has gone 16-7 for 70% winning bets since 2018. If the team on with three straight games posting an excellent 2.5 or more assist to turnover ratio has lost their last two games has seen them go 10-3 SU and ATS for 77% wins and if on a three-game losing streak they have gone 5-1 SUATS. Milwaukee Bucks vs Cleveland Cavaliers 8-Unit bet on the Bucks minus the 6.5 points and is valid to 7.5 points. After firing Adrian Griffin, the Milwaukee Bucks have reached out to Doc Rivers and are engaging him in conversations about the franchise's head-coaching job, sources told ESPN on Tuesday. Griffin had a 30-13 (.698) record, but the Bucks had dropped from fourth to 22nd in defensive efficiency from a season ago, although some of that can be attributed to the loss of All-Star guard Jrue Holiday. So, a breath of fresh air and the removal of the uncertain status of their head coach has been removed from the team culture and many times this lends itself to an outstanding first game under the new head coach or even an interim coach. The following betting algorithm has produced a 54-29 SU record and a 55-26-2 ATS mark for 68% winning bets over the past five seasons. The requirements are: · Bet on a team that has lost to the spread by a total of 47 or more points over their last seven games. · That team has won 60 to 75% of their games on the season. · The guest has a winning record. If the game takes place in the second half of the season these teams have earned a 38-22 SU mark and 29-19-2 ATS mark good for 67.2% winning bets since 2019. The following betting algorithm has produced a 33-19 SU record and a 34-17-1 ATS mark for 67% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: · Bet on a home team that has lost three or more games to the spread. · The visitor has covered the spread in 7 or more of their last 8 games. Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks Consider betting 70% of your 8-unit bet preflop and then look to add the remaining 30% on two parts consisting of 15% on Dallas at +5.5 and 15% on Dallas at 9.5 points during the first half of action. Supporting this bet on the Mavericks is the following algorithm that has gone 30-14-1 for 68% winning bets since 2019. The requirements are: · Bet on underdogs between pick and 7.5 points. · That dog has allowed 115 or more points in each of their last five games. · The opponent has scored 115 or more points in each of their last two games. OKC Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs The following betting algorithm has produced a 70-91 SU record and a 95-65-1 ATS mark good for 60% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are: · Bet on road teams playing the second game of back-to-backs. · The road team has played Under by 48 or more points spanning their 10 previous games. · The host that has covered the spread by 54 or more points over their 10 previous games. If our road team is playing on the second of back-to-back games they improve to 16-20 SU and 25-10-1 ATS for 71% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. Jax State vs Middle Tennessee State MTST is 40-19 ATS in home games versus good shooting teams making at least 45% of their shots after the 15th game of the regular since 1997; 24-11 ATS when facing solid defensive teams allowing 64 or fewer points per game; 15-4 ATS in home games following a conference game spanning the past three seasons; 26-12 ATS when coming off two or more consecutive road losses. JAX State head coach Harper is just 4-13 ATS when the total has been fewer than 130 points. MTST head coach McDevitt is 12-3 ATS after the 15th game of the season playing at home and facing a foe that is shooting 45% or better from the field. Illinois vs Northwestern The following college basketball betting algorithm has produced a 158-91 ATS record for 64% winning bets over the past 27 seasons. The requirements are: · Bet on home teams from pick-em to any size underdog. · Game is after the 15th game of the season. · The home team allows an average of 67 to 74 PPG. · Facing a foe that is averaging 78 or more PPG. · That foe is coming off two straight Over results. Northwestern plays a bit slower style of game than Illinois and having the home court advantage will allow NWU to control the tempo of the game to their advantage. This is a critical game for Northwestern and with a win puts them into the coference champion conversation and off the NCAA bubble chat. Auburn vs Alabama
The line and total for this game conveys an 83-79 Alabama win. My predictive models show an 84% probability that Auburn will score 78 or more points and have the same or fewer turnovers in this game. In past games in which Auburn met or exceeded these performance measures in their road games has seen them go 22-3 SU and 19-4-1 ATS for 83% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. Alabama is 7-9 SU and 2-14 ATS for 13% winners in home games when they allowed 78 or more points and had the same or more turnovers in games played over the past 10 seasons. Carolina vs Boston The following NHL betting algorithm has produced an exceptional 52-30 record for 64% winners and has made 31 Units earning a 40% ROI in each of the past five seasons. The requirements are: · Bet on road teams using the money line. · That road team has played their two previous games at home. · The home team is playing their fifth consecutive home game. |
|||||||
01-23-24 | Sabres v. Ducks +145 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 145 | 8 h 45 m | Show |
Buffalo vs Anaheim 10:07 PM EST
The following betting algorithm has gone 135-95 for 59% averaging a +121 wager and earning a 24% ROI over the past five seasons. The requirements are to bet on any team coming off a home loss by two or more goals in the second half of the season. It’s that simple and we have a live dog here. |
|||||||
01-23-24 | Evansville +13.5 v. Northern Iowa | Top | 63-70 | Win | 100 | 6 h 40 m | Show |
Evansville vs Northern Iowa The following college basketball betting algorithm has gone 27-46 SU, but a highly profitable 45-26-2 ATS for 63.4% winning bets since 2015. The requirements are: · Betting on underdogs. · The Dog has failed to cover the spread by 42 or more points over their last five games. · The opponent has seen their last five games play Under by 55 or more points spanning their last five games. If the total in the game is posted at 140 or more points, these dogs improve to 20-23 SU and 29-13-1 ATS for 69% winning bets since 2015.
|
|||||||
01-23-24 | Toledo v. Northern Illinois +5.5 | Top | 89-73 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 39 m | Show |
Toledo vs Northern Illinois 8 EST Here are a few of the situational betting angles supporting NIU in this game. Toledo is 2-9 ATS when facing a team whose defense averages 14 or fewer turnovers per game. NIU is 37-16 AYTS when facing an elite ball handling team committing an average of 12 or fewer turnovers per game after the 15 game the regular season spanning the past 20 seasons. Toledo is 1-11 ATS after having won three of their last four games spanning the past two seasons; 26-13 ATS after two games facing conference foes spanning the past three seasons. NIU is 31-13 ATS following a game in which they scored 75+ points spanning the past 20 seasons. The current lines convey an 82-77 Toledo win and my predictive model project that NIU has an 85% probability of scoring 85 or more points. In past home games in which NIU scored 75 or more points has led them to a highly profitable 84-8 SU record and 41-14 ATS mark good for 75% winning bets over the past 20 seasons and 10-4 ASTS for 71.4% winning bets over the past three seasons. |
|||||||
01-23-24 | Nuggets v. Pacers +5 | Top | 114-109 | Push | 0 | 5 h 50 m | Show |
Denver Nuggets vs Indiana Pacers 8-Unit best bet on the Pacers plus 4.5 points and is valid to 3.5 points. Consider betting 70% of your 8-unit bet preflop and then look to add the remaining 30% on two parts consisting of 15% at Pacers +7.5 and 15% at Pacers +9.5 points. Supporting this bet on the Pacers is the following algorithm that has gone 69-76 straight-up (SU) and 93-49-3 ATS for 65.5% winning bets since 2016. The requirements are: · Bet on dogs of 2.5 to 6.5 points. · Our dog had a losing record in the previous season. · Total is 220 or more points. · The opponent had a winning record in the previous season. · The opponent is coming off a road win. This algorithm had hardly any plays prior to the 2017 season, since it was that season that saw the steady increase in scoring in each year since. So, it has not had a losing record since 2016. There is a subset too that if our home dog has a 1.80 or greater season-to-date assist to turnover ratio the overall ATS record improves to 44-18-1 ATS for 71% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. |
|||||||
01-23-24 | Wisconsin -3 v. Minnesota | Top | 61-59 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 39 m | Show |
Wisconsin vs Minnesota 7 EST Wisconsin is 16-5-1 ATS when facing teams averaging 16 or more assists per game in games played over the past three seasons; 8-1 ATS when facing teams that are outscoring their foes by 8+ PPG in games played this season; 14-4-1 ATS following a game in which both teasm scored 75 or more points over the past 15 seasons. From the predictive models, there is an 85% probability that Wisconsin will score 78 or more points and have 12 or fewer turnovers. In past games in which Wisconsin met or exceeded these performance measures they went on to an outstanding 28-1 SU and 20-6 ATS for 77% winning bets over the past five seasons. When Minnesota has allowed these measures they have gone on to a 2-21 SU record and 5-17-1 ATS mark for 22% winning bets over the past five seasons. |
|||||||
01-22-24 | Hawks +8.5 v. Kings | Top | 107-122 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 48 m | Show |
Hawks vs Kings 8-Unit best bet on the Hawks plus 8 points and is valid to 7.5 points. Betting on a road team coming off an Under result and is now facing a foe that returned home from a four or more-game win streak and lost at home in their previous game has gone 306-201-34 ATS for 69% winning bets since 1995. If our team is coming off an under result priced as the underdog they have soared to a 36-17-1 ATS record good for 68% winning bets since 1995. |
|||||||
01-22-24 | Cincinnati v. Kansas -8 | Top | 69-74 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 44 m | Show |
Cincinnati vs Kansas Cincinnati is 9-19 ATS when facing an elite team shooting 45% or better and allowing 42% or lower in games played over the past three seasons. Kansas is 120-74 ATS when playing only their third game in a week; 70-40 ATS after allowing 80+ points in their previous game; 85-57 ATS following a loss. |
|||||||
01-22-24 | Nicholls State -2.5 v. Incarnate Word | Top | 78-74 | Win | 100 | 2 h 7 m | Show |
Nicholls State vs Incarnate Word Betting on road teams after game number 15 where the line is priced between the 3’s that are averaging 14 or fewer forced turnovers per game and facing a host that is averaging 14.5 to 18 turnovers per game and in matchup where both teams defenses are allowing 42.5 to 45% shooting has earned a 27-7-1 ATS record fot 79% winning bets over the past five seasons. |
|||||||
01-22-24 | Cavs v. Magic +2.5 | Top | 126-99 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 48 m | Show |
Cavaliers vs Magic 8-Unit Bet on the Magic +1.5 points and use the money line if the line is between 1.5 and -1.5 for this game. Bet on winning record home teams that have are facing a winning record foe that has covered the spread in each of their last three home games priced as the favorite has earned a highly profitable 94-53 ATS for 64% winning bets since 2015. I four team is playing on the secod of back to back nights they have gone 13-6 ATS for 68% winning bets.
|
|||||||
01-21-24 | Pacers v. Suns -4.5 | Top | 110-117 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
Indiana vs Phoenix Betting on winning record home teams that are priced as 3.5 to 9.5-point favorites that are facing a foe that has played Under by 42 or more points spanning their last seven games and also has posted a win record on the season has earned an highly profitable 84-49 ATS for 63% winning bets over the past five seasons. If our team has a 1.75 or greater assist to turnover ratio they soar to an outstanding 67-36 ATS record good for 65% winning bets over the past five seasons. From the predictive models, the Suns are 27-2 SU and 24-5 ATS when scoring 125 or more points and having 15 or fewer turnovers in home games played since 2019. |
|||||||
01-21-24 | Bucs +6.5 v. Lions | Top | 23-31 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 45 m | Show |
Tampa Bay vs Detroit 3:00 PM EST | NBC 10-Unit Bet on the Tampa Bay Bucs +6 points and is valid to 4.5 points although a drop in the line at this point would be rare. Please remember to bet with your heads and ne er over it on every bet I provide, especially these 10-UNIT max bets which have hit 68% on a 76-35 record across all sports and over 4 years of betting action. This also means they LOSE 32% of the time abd to be completely honest, there is no way I nor anyone else knows with any degree of certainty that this play will win this afternoon. So, a reminder that is a marathon and that I have proven for many years that profits are achieved not in one day or one week or even a month, but over 12 months or a full season.
Let’s look at some of the betting systems supporting the pick from the predictive models. Betting on underdogs between 3.5 and 10 points that committed no more than one turnover in each of their last two games and facing a foe coming off a game without recording a forced turnover has gone 41-57 SU (42%) and 65-33 ATS for 66% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. Making this system even better is that it has had NO seasons in which it lost money and if the game has taken place in any round of the playoffs it has recorded an insanely great 4-4 SU and 7-1 ATS record for 88% winning bets. If you have watched any my show appearances on ESPN Syracuse, SportsMap Radio, and Rotowire, you already know who important the metric called yards per points is to my predictive models. So, in the divisional round, road teams that have posted a defensive yards per point ratio of 20 or more over their last three games have gone 10-13 SU, but a healthy and profitable 15-8 ATS for 65% winning bets over the past 20 years. A YPPT defensive ratio of 20 or more simply means that the team’s defense I playing at a high level and forcing their last three opponents to gain 20 yards on average to just 1 single point on the scoreboard. If the dog in this situation is priced at 4 or more points they have gone 10-3 ATS for 77% winning bets in the divisional round of the NFL playoffs. Teams playing the divisional round of the NFL playoffs that won their Wild card game by 21 or more points have gone 23-12 SU and 21-14 ATS for 60% winning bets over the past 20 seasons. They have gone 12-5 ATS for 71% winning bets with a total of 45 or more points. If our team is facing a foe that is allowing an average of 21 or more points over their last three games has produced an amazing 7-2 SU and 7-1-1 ATS mark for 88% winning bets.
|
|||||||
01-21-24 | Bucs v. Lions OVER 49.5 | Top | 23-31 | Win | 100 | 5 h 45 m | Show |
Tampa Bay vs Detroit 3:00 PM EST | NBC Consider betting 50% preflop on the Over at the current price available and then look for a bit slower start to the game and add 25% more at 46.5 points and 44.5 points to complete the 7-Unit bet during the first half of action. To be clear you are making full game bet on the Over during the first half of action only. If you do not execute either of the 25% betting amounts at the prescribed numbers, then at the half if the price is 50.5 or fewer points add the 50% at that time. In the divisional round of the playoffs teams that have played Under the posted total in four consecutive games has seen the Over go 6-1. In the divisional round of the playoffs teams that have played Under the posted total in three consecutive games and is the dog has seen the Over go 12-4 for 75% winning bets. Teams playing the divisional round of the NFL playoffs that won their Wild card game by 21 or more points have seen the Over go 24-12 for 67% winning bets averaging an ou margin of 7.3 PPG over the posted total last 20 seasons. If our team has allowed an average of 17 or fewer points over their last three games, the OVER has gone 14-4 for 78% winning bets.
|
|||||||
01-21-24 | Fairfield v. Manhattan UNDER 148.5 | Top | 82-75 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 44 m | Show |
Fairfield vs Manhattan
Consider betting 7 units Under preflop and then look to add 1-Unit at 155.5 points during the first half of action. Betting the Under in a game with a total between 143 and 152 and the home team has failed to cover the spread by 50 or more points over their previous 10 games and facing a foe that has seen the total play OVER by 35 or more points over their previous five games has earned a 56-28 Under record good for 67% winning bets since 2016. |
|||||||
01-20-24 | Packers +10.5 v. 49ers | Top | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 8 h 19 m | Show |
Green Bay vs San Francisco Levi’s Stadium, Santa Clara, CA 8:15 PM EST | FOX 8-Unit bet on the Packers plus the 9.5 points 1-Unit optional bet on the Packers using the money line Supporting the play on the Packers is a terrific betting system where betting on underdogs in the divisional round that are on a three or more-game win streak has earned a highly profitable 24-15 ATS record for 62% winning bets over the past 20 seasons. Moreover, if our underdog is priced between 4.5 and 10 points they improve to a highly profitable 16-7 ATS for 70% winning tickets. If the total is 50 or more points, these dogs have been near-perfect going 6-1 ATS for 86% winning bets. Betting on underdogs between 3.5 and 10 points that have gone four consecutive games with no more than one committed turnover and facing a foe that is coming off a game where they forced no more than one turnover have gone 23-14-1 ATS for 62% winning bets. In games with a posted total of 47 or more points they have gone 14-5-1 ATS for 74% winning bets. Betting the Over with any team coming off an upset win, which is Green Bay, and now facing a foe that lost their previous game by three or fewer points to a divisional rival has earned a solid 27-9 Over record for 75% winning bets over the past 10 seasons and if the total is 45 or more points the Over has gone an exceptional 14-4 for 78% winning bets. |
|||||||
01-20-24 | Cavs v. Hawks +2.5 | Top | 116-95 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 43 m | Show |
Cleveland Cavaliers vs Atlanta Hawks 8-UNIT bet on the Hawks plus 2.5 points and is valid if they remain the underdog. Betting on underdogs that are solid offensive teams scoring an average of 114 or more PPG and facing a foe that scored 135 or more point sin their previous games has earned a 56-27-2 ATS record for 68% winners over the past five seasons. If our dog has a losing record on the season they have gone 22-8 ATS for 73% winning bets. |
|||||||
01-20-24 | Mercer +13.5 v. Samford | 80-87 | Win | 100 | 6 h 4 m | Show | |
Mercer vs Samford Betting on road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points on a three game losing streak against conference foes and facing a host that is coming off an upset road win and with a posted total of 147 or more points has earned a 26-11 ATS mark good for 70% winning bets over the past 20 seasons. |
|||||||
01-20-24 | Texans +10 v. Ravens | Top | 10-34 | Loss | -114 | 5 h 35 m | Show |
Houston Texans vs Baltimore Ravens 4:30 PM EST | ESPN/ABC/ESPN+ 8-Unit Bet on the Texans +9.5 points and is valid to 8.5 points. The line is not likely to move and if it does I do not see it going more than ½ point in either direction barring some major breaking news of a star player being ruled out. Live Betting StrategyConsider betting 6 units on the Texans preflop and then look to add the remaining 2 units if the Ravens score the first TD of the game or when the Ravens retake the lead during the first half of action. Another strategy is to bet 5 units on the spread and 1-unit on the money line preflop and then look to add the remaining 2-units if the Ravens attain a 7 or more-point first lead. The negative part of these strategies is that the Texans score first and never give up that lead. Situational Betting AlgorithmThis one is a jaw dropper for sure. Betting on teams in the divisional round that lose the same-season previous meeting by double digits and is now facing that foe on the rod and with a game total of 48 or fewer points has gone 5-6 SU and 10-1 ATS for 91% winning bets over the past 20 seasons. Three of these matchups went into overtime. On January 15, 2005 of the 2004 season, the Pittsburgh Steelers hosted the NY Jets as 8.5 point favorites and needed overtime to secure a 20-17 win. On January 14th, 2007, the Chicago Bears hosted the Seattle Seahawks priced as 8.5-point home favorites and needed overtime to win the game 27-24. The Baltimore Ravens hosted the Denver Broncos on January 12, 2013 priced as 9.5-point favorites and needed overtime to win 38-35. Notice that each of these games had a significant favorite matching the line for today’s game between the Ravens and the Texans. The Texans lost to the Ravens on the road in the opening week of the season by the final score of 25-9 and failed to cover the spread as a 9.5-point road dog. Rookie QB CJ Stroud took that loss and used it to greatly improve over the course of the season and is now playing at an elite level. He finished the regular season ranked 8th with 4,108 passing yards and threw for 25 TDs with just 5 interceptions. He ranked 6th best with a 100.8 QBR and posted three game winning drives. The weather will be in the mid-20’s and winds will be at 15 MPH at the start of the game, but will be decreasing throughout the game. So, I do not see this being a disadvantage for either of these teams. The Stadium is a bowl and the wind will be blowing from end zone to end zone, so there may be an added advantage for field Goal attempts with the wind. The wind can swirl in this stadium, but nothing like how unpredictable the wins are in the NY Met Life Stadium in the Meadowlands. Teams that are on a three or more-game win streak coming into the divisional round of the playoffs and are priced as underdogs of 4.5 to 10 points have produced an 8-14-1 SU mark and a 16-7 ATS record good for 70% winning bets over the past 20 seasons. |
|||||||
01-20-24 | Northwestern v. Nebraska -2.5 | Top | 69-75 | Win | 100 | 2 h 20 m | Show |
Northwestern vs Nebraska Nebraska is 13-4 ATS in home games when facing a good ball handling teams committing 14 or fewer turnovers per game in games played over the past two seasons; 17-6 ATS in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons; 8-1 ATS in home games off 2 straight losses against conference rivals over the last 3 seasons. Northwestern is an imperfect 0-7 ATS when allowing 75 or more points and the predictive models show an 82% probability that Nebraska will score at least 75 points today. |
|||||||
01-20-24 | Hampton +12.5 v. Monmouth | Top | 77-85 | Win | 100 | 2 h 4 m | Show |
Hampton vs Monmouth 8-Unit bet on Hampton +11.5 points and is valid to +10 points Betting on double-digit road underdogs that have forced 14 or fewer turnovers in five consecutive games and now facing a host that has played three consecutive games facing 11 or fewer turnovers has earned a 114-73-3 ATS record for 61% winning bets over the past 25 seasons. If the total is 145 or more points, these dogs have gone 34-17 ATS for 67% over the past 25 seasons. |
|||||||
01-20-24 | Lightning -114 v. Sabres | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 1 h 38 m | Show |
Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Betting on road favorites using the money line that has scored three or more goals in five straight games and facing a foe that has scored three or more goals in each of their last two games has earned a highly profitable 69-35 record for 66% wines averaging a =146 wager and earning a 20% ROI since 2015. |
|||||||
01-18-24 | Bulls -2 v. Raptors | Top | 116-110 | Win | 100 | 2 h 6 m | Show |
Chicago Bulls vs Toronto Raptors Obviously, the trade has diminished the Raptors team immensely and I do believe the Bulls will win this game by a comfortable margin. |
|||||||
01-17-24 | Nets v. Blazers UNDER 221.5 | Top | 103-105 | Win | 100 | 7 h 48 m | Show |
New Jersey Nets vs Portland Trailblazers Portland is 9-1 Under when on the road and having failed to cover the spread in 6 or 7 of their last 8 games spanning the past two seasons. Portland is 27-13-1 Under in non-conference games over the past two seasons. Nets head coach Vaughn is 28-12 Under in road games and having lost four of their last five games for his career. From the predictive models, we are expecting Portland to score 108 or fewer points and in past games when they have has seen the Under go 50-9-1 for 85% winning bets in home games over the past five seasons. |
|||||||
01-17-24 | Texas-San Antonio v. Tulsa -6.5 | Top | 78-107 | Win | 100 | 5 h 37 m | Show |
TX-San Antonio vs Tulsa Tulsa is on a 56-31 ATS run when facing offensive-minded teams averaging 77 or more PPG. TXSA is just 4-13 ATS in road games after covering five or six of the past seven games. TXSA head coach Henson is just 13-24 ATS in road games when playing a winning record team after the 15th game of the season. From the predictive model, Tulsa is projected to score 80 or more points and commit no more than 12 turnovers. In past home games when Tulsa has met or e3xceeded these performance measures has led them to a 48-7 SU record and 28-6-3 ATS mark good for 82% winning bets. |
|||||||
01-17-24 | Wolves v. Pistons UNDER 222 | Top | 124-117 | Loss | -108 | 4 h 49 m | Show |
Timberwolves vs Pistons
Bet UNDER where Team A is the road team, and seeking revenge, and the average road points by Team A + average points at home by Team B is greater than the total plus 2.5%, and where the host's home games has seen the UNDER win 40% or more of games played, spanning the last three seasons. This algorithm has earned a 144-92-8 Under record for 61% winning bets and if our team is the road favorite in the matchup, the Under has gone 66-33-5 for 67% winning bets and our team has gone 64-37-3 ATS for 63% winning bets since 2017. One strategy would be to bet 75% of you 8-Unit bet size on the Under preflop and then look to get the remaining 25% booked at a price of 229.5 points during the first half of action. The side strategy would be not bet 2.5-Unit amount preflop and look to get the Timberwolves at -7.5 points for the remaining 2.5 units during the first half of action. |