11-11-18 |
Patriots v. Titans +7 |
Top |
10-34 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 52 m |
Show
|
ohn Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Tennessee (513) NEW ENGLAND (7 - 2) at TENNESSEE (4 - 4) Week 10 Sunday, 11/11/2018 1:00 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Titans, who is currently priced as a 6.5-point home dog. If you are able to get a money line wager, consider placing an 6-Star amount using the line and a 1-Star amount using the money line. SIM Projections and Results Projections call for Tennessee to have at least 125 rushing yards and gain a minimum of 5.5 YPPL. In past games when Tennessee has met or exceeded these performance measures they have gone a nice 27-10 SU winning by an average of 7.5 PPG and 24-11-2 ATS for 69%. Moreover, they are a perfect 6-0 against the money line (+10.6 Units) when they rush for 125 to 150 yards over the last 3 seasons.
This database situational query has produced an impeccable 239-15 record using the money line. Play on any team vs the money line off 1 or more straight overs, a good defensive team allowing between 14 to 18 PPG and is now facing an average defensive team allowing between18 to 23 PPG after 8 or more games.
|
11-10-18 |
Clemson v. Boston College +19 |
Top |
27-7 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 55 m |
Show
|
The Play and the Matchup Boston College (513) Clemson (9 - 0) at Boston College (7 - 2) Week 11 Saturday, 11/10/2018 8:00 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 10-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on Boston College, who is currently priced as a 20-point home dog. If you are able to get a money line wager, consider placing an 8.5-Star amount using the line and a 1.5-Star amount using the money line. The money line will be the range about 900, which means a $900 win for every $100 dollar wager or in this example a return of $1,350 just on the money line portion. SIM Projections and Results This sets up as a very dangerous game for Clemson and reminds us of the 10-Star winner we had on Syracuse earlier this season when they were in Death Valley and nearly shocked the NCAAF world. This is a road game for Clemson in conditions they are not accustomed with that will be very windy and quite cold with wind chills in the 20’s. I normally do not comment on weather conditions, but it is another variable that can only help BC. Projections are for Clemson to have less than 200 rushing yards and that BC will gain more passing yards than Clemson. In past road games installed as a favorite, the Tigers are just 1-6 ATS and failing to cover the number by an average of 11.6 PPG. There is a high probability, NOT certainty’ that Clemson will have more turnovers than BC. If that occurs and BC gains more passing yards, the Tigers are 0-3 ATS losing to the number by an average of 20.1 PPG.
This database situational query has produced an impeccable 24-3 ATS record covering by an average of 8.8 PPG and spanning the last 25 seasons. Play on home underdogs of 14.5 or more points off 2 straight wins against conference rivals, with a winning record on the season.
This database situational query works against Clemson and has produced a 31-9 ATS mark for 77.5% winners spanning the past 25 seasons. Play against road favorites of 10.5 to 21 points off 3 straight wins against conference rivals and is a top-level team sporting a win percentage of at least 80% and now playing a good team winning 60% to 80% of their games.
Take Boston College
|
11-10-18 |
Auburn +14 v. Georgia |
Top |
10-27 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 25 m |
Show
|
The Play and the Matchup Auburn (177) Auburn (6 - 3) at Georgia (8 - 1) Week 11 Saturday, 11/10/2018 7:00 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 10-star wager on the Auburn Tigers which the market has them priced as 14-point road dogs. Also, consider an optional wager betting an 8-Star amount on the line and a 2-Star on the money line.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Tigers to force 2 Georgia turnovers and not get outgained by more than 125 total yards. The Tigers are 28-2 SU achieving these performance measures and when the opponent has 2 or more turnovers, the Tigers are 59-5 SU. When installed as a road dog, they are a near-perfect 7-1 ATS covering by an average of 10.8 PPG.
The following database situation query provides a solid record of 25-6 ATS for 81% since the start of the 2013 season. Play against a home team after outrushing opponent by 150 or more yards last game and is now facing an opponent after gaining 2 or less rushing yards-per-attempt in their last game.
|
11-10-18 |
Mississippi State +24.5 v. Alabama |
Top |
0-24 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 34 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Mississippi State (181) Mississippi St (6 - 3) at Alabama (9 - 0) Week 11 Saturday, 11/10/2018 3:30 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on Mississippi State, who are priced as 23.5-point road dogs.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Mississippi State to gain a minimum of 250 rushing yards. This has not happened to Alabama very often, but when it has, they are 1-4 ATS failing to cover by an average of 9.4 PPG. Even when the RY is 200 or more Alabama is 4-8 ATS.
This database situation query that has produced a 26-8 ATS record good for 77% winners spanning the last 10 seasons. Play on road underdogs that are excellent rushing teams gaining at least 230 RY-game and is now facing a good rushing team gaining between 190 and 230 RY-game, after gaining 6 or more rushing yards-per-attempt in their last game.
|
11-10-18 |
Wisconsin v. Penn State -8 |
Top |
10-22 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 4 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Penn State (180) Wisconsin (6 - 3) at Penn St (6 - 3) Week 11 Saturday, 11/10/2018 12:00 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the PSU Nittany Lions who are priced as 8.5-point home favorites.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Lions to gain at least 7 YPPL (Yards-per-play) and will outgain Wisconsin by a minimum of 1.5 YPPL. Moreover, PSU in home games installed as favorites between 6 and 10 points and outgaining their opponent by a minimum of 1.5 YPPL are a perfect 6-0 ATS covering by an average of 14.6 PPG.
Take Penn State
|
11-10-18 |
TCU +12 v. West Virginia |
Top |
10-47 |
Loss |
-105 |
3 h 4 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup TCU (137) TCU (4 - 5) at West Virginia (7 - 1) Week 11 Saturday, 11/10/2018 12:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 7-star wager on TCU, which the market has priced them as 11.5-point road dogs.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for TCU to gain 50 or more rushing yards and more total yards than West Virginia. WVU is 4-13 ATS when being outrushed by 50 or more yards and having fewer total yards than the opponent.
The following database system query has produced a solid 36-10 ATS for 78% spanning the last 5 seasons. Play on any team after 5 or more consecutive losses against the spread and is now facing an opponent after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread. One of these features a perfect 6-0 ATS situation that has covered by 14.5 PPG.
|
11-09-18 |
Louisville +21 v. Syracuse |
Top |
23-54 |
Loss |
-105 |
8 h 45 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Louisville (513) Louisville (2 - 7) At Syracuse (7 - 2) Week 11 Friday, 11/9/2018 7:00 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on Louisville, who is currently priced as a 21-point road dog. SIM Projections and Results
This database situational query has produced an impeccable 22-4 ATS record covering by an average of 8.8 PPG and spanning the last 10 seasons. Play against home favorites of 10.5 to 21 points after going over the total by 21 or more points total in their last three games and is now facing an opponent after going over the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games.
This database situational query supports Louisville and has produced a 89-42 ATS mark for 68% winners since 2013. Play ON any team after 4 or more consecutive losses against the spread and is now facing an opponent after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread.
Take Louisville
|
11-08-18 |
Celtics v. Suns +10 |
Top |
116-109 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 25 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Phoenix Suns (704) Boston (6 - 4) at Phoenix (2 - 8) Thursday, 11/8/2018 9:05 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Suns, who are priced as 9.5-point home dogs.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Suns to have a assist-to-turnover ratio no less than 2 percentage points than what Boston will end up having and their 3-point shooting percentage will be no less than 2 % lower than Boston and that they will post a 2:1 assist-to-turnover ratio. In past games when the Suns have achieved these performance measures their record is 19-8 SU winning by an average of 7.8 PPG and 22-4-1 ATS for 84.6% winners and covering by an average of 11.5 PPG.
Here is a database situation query that has produced a 33-10 ATS record good for 77% winners spanning the last 5 seasons. Play against road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points in the first half of the season after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games.
Ryan has a 10-Star going in the NFL tonight between the Panthers and the Steelers. His algorithm-based and machine learning tools provide the most interesting game metrics and predictions and features a near-perfect 19-1 ATS situation that has covered the spread by 12.4 PPG.
|
11-08-18 |
Hurricanes -110 v. Blackhawks |
Top |
4-3 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 33 m |
Show
|
Geoffrey Praenuntio Executive Summary The Play and the Matchup Carolina Hurricanes (63) Carolina (6-7-0-2, 14 Pts.) At Chicago (6-6-0-3, 15 Pts.) Thursday, 11/8/2018 8:35 PM #1 Goaltenders: Carolina - Scott Darling, Chicago - Corey Crawford
Executive Overview 10 stars All of Geoffrey’s plays are 10-Stars We could release Geoffrey’s plays with a simple A+ opportunity and confidence grading and done with it. However, we also think that showing you a few supporting DB Queries that support the play illustrates why we are making this recommended play and reinforcing the power of the deep learning applications. So, without further ado.
Carolina is a solid 29-8 against the money line (+21.0 Units) when they allow 2 or less goals over the last 2 seasons. Chicago is just 6-40 against the money line (-39.9 Units) when they score 2 or less goals over the last 2 seasons.
This database system has a strong 76-30 record for 72% since 1996. Play on road favorites against the money line (CAROLINA) and has been a cold team having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games and has a current win percentage between 40% to 49% and playing a losing record team.
|
11-08-18 |
Panthers +3.5 v. Steelers |
Top |
21-52 |
Loss |
-115 |
9 h 36 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Carolina Panthers (107) Carolina (6 - 2) at Pittsburgh (5 - 2 - 1) Week 10 Thursday, 11/8/2018 8:20 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 10-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Carolina Panthers, who are priced as 3.5-point road dogs. With these types of DOGS, we always like suggesting an alternative wager using the line and money line to exploit the upset value. So, consider a 7-Star play using the line and a 3-Star play using the money line.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Panthers to gain between 6 and 6.5 YPPA (Yards-per-pass-attempt) and in this situation they have posted a 29-13 ATS mark. Carolina defense is projected to hold the Steelers ground attack to between 75 and 100 yards and are 6-0 ATS in past games where they have achieved this measure. Panthers are 46-21 ATS (+22.9 Units) when they rush for 125 to 150 yards and 66-19 ATS (+45.1 Units) when they score 22 to 28 points. The Steelers are an imperfect 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games when they allow 22 to 28 points over the last 3 seasons; 13-28 ATS (-17.8 Units) when they gain 300 to 350 net passing yards; 11-26 ATS (-17.6 Units) when they allow 125 to 150 rushing yards. When Carolina has rushed for more than 125 yards and held the opponent ot less than 100 rushing yards and then scored between 22 and 28 points, they have gone 19-1 SUATS winning by an average of 12.9 PPG and covering the number by an average of 12.40 PPG.
Here is a database situation query that has produced a 23-5 ATS record using the line and good for 82.1% winners since the start of the 1980 season. Play against favorites that are excellent offensive teams gaining at least 370 YPG and after outgaining opponents by 100 or more total yards in 3 consecutive games and is now facing a team with a struggling defense allowing 335 to 370 YPG.
Take the Carolina Panthers
|
11-08-18 |
Wake Forest v. NC State -18 |
Top |
27-23 |
Loss |
-105 |
10 h 10 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup NC State (513) Wake Forest (4 - 5) at NC State (6 - 2) Week 11 Thursday, 11/8/2018 7:30 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 10-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on NC State, who is currently priced as an 18-point home favorite. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Wolfpack to outgain the Demon Deacons by a minimum of 1.9 yards-per-play. IN past games where NC State has achieved this single specific performance measure, they have gone 20-3 SY winning by an average of 27.2 PPG and 19-4 ATS for 82.6% winners and covering by an average of 11.15 PPG.
Wake Forest is just 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) when they allow 7 to 7.5 total yards per play and NC State a near-perfect 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when they rush for 150 to 200 yards over the last 3 seasons.
Take North Carolina State
|
11-05-18 |
Grizzlies +14.5 v. Warriors |
Top |
101-117 |
Loss |
-105 |
11 h 43 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Memphis (515)
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Memphis Grizzlies, who are priced as 14-point road dogs. We also like the first half line playing on Memphis for a 5-Star amount.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Warriors to not shoot better than 49% and that the shooting percentage differential will be no more than 4% in favor of the Warriors. In home Warriors games where they have been favored by 10 to 17 points and meeting the projections above, they have been a miserable 10-38 ATS for just 20.8% covers and failing to cover by an average of 8 PPG.
Here is a database situation query that has produced a 22-4 ATS record using the first half line and good for 85% winners since the start of the 2014. Play against home teams vs. the 1rst half line after 3 consecutive covers as a favorite and is a top-level team having a minimum win percentage of 75% and now playing a team with a winning record.
|
11-05-18 |
Celtics v. Nuggets -2 |
Top |
107-115 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 12 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Denver Nuggets (512) Boston (6 - 3) at Denver (8 - 1) Monday, 11/5/2018 9:05 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 7-star wager on the Nuggets, which the market has them priced as 2-point home favorites in this matchup. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Nuggets will score between 105 and 110 points, will shoot between 48 and 51% from the field and will force Boston into 16 or more turnovers. When these performance measures have aligned in Nugget games, they have gone 19-6 SUATS covering by an average of 7.8 PPG.
The following database system query has produced a solid 60-27 ATS for 69% spanning the last 5 seasons. Play on home teams where the line is +3 to -3 after 1 or more consecutive unders and is a solid team outscoring their opponents by a minimum of 3 PPG.
|
11-05-18 |
Titans v. Cowboys -4.5 |
Top |
28-14 |
Loss |
-115 |
10 h 54 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Dallas (474) Tennessee (3 - 4) at Dallas (3 - 4) Week 9 Monday, 11/5/2018 8:15 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Cowboys, who are priced as 5.5-point home favorites. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Cowboys defense to hold the Titans ground attack to fewer than 85 yards, the Cowboys will gain a minimum of 135 rushing yards and will outgain the Titans by a minimum of 0.7 yards-per-play. In home games, where the Cowboys have attained these performance measures, they have gone 32-1 SU winning by an average of 17.4 PPG and 29-3 ATS covering by an average of 12 PPG and goof for 90.6% winners.
The pace of play is expected to be slow and grinding with Dallas running a maximum of 65 and Tennessee a maximum of 60 plays from scrimmage. So, when Dallas met the performance measures above and then combined with the slower paced style of game, they have gone 16-0 winning by an average of 16.9 PPG and 12-3-1 ASTS for 80% and covering the number by an average of 9.3 PPG.
|
11-05-18 |
Rockets v. Pacers +1 |
Top |
98-94 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 13 m |
Show
|
ohn Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Indiana Pacers (502) Houston (3 - 5) at Indiana (7 - 3) Monday, 11/5/2018 7:05 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 5-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Pacers, who are priced as 1-point home favorites.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Pacers to score between 100 and 105 points, will make between 48 and 51% of their shots, and will force a minimum of 16 turnovers. When these three performance measures have aligned in past games, the Pacers have gone 15-2 winning by an average of 7.8 PPG and 14-3 ATS for 82% and covering by an average of 7 PPG.
Here is a database situation query that has produced a 60-27 ATS record good for 69% winners spanning the last 5 seasons. Play on home teams where the line is +3 to -3 after 1 or more consecutive unders and is a good team outscoring their opponents by 3 or more points-per-game.
|
11-05-18 |
Oilers v. Capitals UNDER 6 |
Top |
2-4 |
Push |
0 |
3 h 57 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup UNDER (3-4) Edmonton (8-4-0-1, 17 Pts.) at Washington (5-4-0-3, 13 Pts.) Monday, 11/5/2018 7:05 PM #1 Goaltenders: Edmonton - Cam Talbot, Washington - Phoenix Copley
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 7-star wager on the UNDER which the market has priced at 6u -105. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Oilers to have a minimum of 2 fewer short-handed minutes and that the combined shots on goal of the two teams will not exceed 60 shots and that 1 or zero PP goals will be scored. When these performance measures have been met in Oiler road games, the UNDER has gone 21-9-4 for 70%. In Washington home games and meeting these measures, the UNDER has gone 43-13-3 for 76%.
Of note is that Edmonton is a solid 27-13 UNDER (+13.1 Units) in road games against explosive offensive teams scoring 3 or more goals-per-game over the last 2 seasons and 18-6 UNDER (+11.9 Units) off a road win scoring 4 or more goals over the last 3 seasons.
|
11-04-18 |
Steelers v. Ravens -116 |
Top |
23-16 |
Loss |
-116 |
4 h 59 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Baltimore Ravens (456) Pittsburgh (4 - 2 - 1) at Baltimore (4 - 4) Week 9 Sunday, 11/4/2018 1:00 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Ravens, who are priced as 2-point home favorites. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Ravens defense to hold the Steeler ground attack to fewer than 85 yards and for the Ravens offense to gain a minimum of 375 offensive yards. So, the precedent is a weak 21-53-1 ATS for 28% when the Steelers take to the road an gain less than 85 RY and 6-14 ATS when combined with allowing more than 375 TY. The Ravens are 23-4 SU winning by an average of 16 PPG and 10-7 ATS for 74% and covering by an average of 11 PPG in home games when holding an opponent to fewer than 85 RY and gaining more then 375 TY; 9-3 ATS covering by an average of 13 PPG when this situation is a home game against a divisional opponent.
|
11-04-18 |
Lions +5.5 v. Vikings |
Top |
9-24 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 58 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Detroit (451) Detroit (3 - 4) at Minnesota (4 - 3 - 1) Week 9 Sunday, 11/4/2018 1:00 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Detroit Lions, who are priced as 5.5-point road dogs.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Lions to have a greater yards-per-play ratio than the Vikings. In past road games facing a divisional rival, the Lions have produced a record of 23-9-2 ATS for 72% covering by an average of 6.4 PPG. When the Lions have achieved this and also gained a minimum of 6 YPPL their success soras to a 13-1 ATS mark covering by an average of 11 PPG.
Here is a database situation query that has produced a 59-22 ATS record good for 73% winners since 1980. Play against home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points after a loss by 10 or more points and is now facing an opponent after trailing in their previous game by 14 or more points at the half.
This DB situational query has produced a 58-27 ATS mark good for 68% winners since 1980. Play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points in a game involving two average teams with +/- 3 PPG differential and after scoring 14 points or less last game.
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11-04-18 |
Falcons v. Redskins UNDER 47.5 |
Top |
38-14 |
Loss |
-107 |
4 h 58 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup UNDER Atlanta-Washington
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the UNDER, which is priced at 47.5-points.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for both teams combined to not gain more than 685 total yards. In past home games that the Redskins have been involved with and met this projection, the UNDER has gone an impressive 104-35-1 for 75% and going under the posted total by an average of 5.8 PPG
Here is a database situation query that has produced a 40-15 ‘UNDER’ record good for 73% winners spanning the last 5 seasons. Play Under with any team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points and is an excellent passing team gaining a minimum of 7.3 PYA and is now facing an average passing team gaining between 5.9 and 6.7 PYA and after gaining 8 or more passing yards-per-attempt last game.
|
11-04-18 |
Chiefs v. Browns +9 |
Top |
37-21 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 44 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Cleveland (454) Kansas City (7 - 1) at Cleveland (2 - 5 - 1) Week 9 Sunday, 11/4/2018 1:00 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 10-star wager on the Browns, which the market has them priced as 8.5-point home dogs in this matchup. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Browns to score between 24 and 28 points and gain more rushing yards than the Chiefs and will gain a minimum of 125 RY. The Browns are 35-8-1 ATS in home games when they gain 125 RY or more and outgain their opponent in rushing yards. Adding the projection that they will score 24 to 28 points sees a strong precedent of 7-1 ATS covering by an average of 8.9 PPG.
The following database system query has produced a solid 46-21 ATS for 69% spanning the last 10 seasons. Play on underdogs or pick after being beaten by the spread by 28 or more points total in their last three games and are now facing an opponent after going over the total by 21 or more points total in their last three games.
|
11-03-18 |
Missouri +6.5 v. Florida |
Top |
38-17 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 21 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Week 10 Tuesday, 10/30/2018 8:00 PM Missouri (337) Missouri (4 - 4) at Florida (6 - 2) Week 10 Saturday, 11/3/2018 4:00 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 10-star wager on the Tigers, which the market has them priced as 6-point road dogs in this SEC matchup. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Tigers to score between 31 and 42 points and gain between 430 and 480 total yards. The Tigers are 27-8 ATS in road games when they score between 31 to 42 points and Gators are just 4-19 ATS when they allow an opponent to score between 31 and 42 points in a home tilt failing to cover by an average of 12.8 PPG.
The following database system query has produced a solid 39-21 record using the money line and good for 65% winners over the past 5 seasons. Play on a road team via the money line that is a quick starting team outscoring opponents by 7 or more PPG in the first half and after a loss by 6 or less points.
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11-03-18 |
Penn State +13.5 v. Michigan |
Top |
7-42 |
Loss |
-105 |
1 h 30 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Penn State (405) PENN ST (6 - 2) at MICHIGAN (7 - 1) Week 10 Saturday, 11/3/2018 3:45 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 10-star wager on the PSU which the market has priced as 12-point road dogs
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Lions to score between 28 and 38 points and will average a minimum of 8.0 yards-per-pass play. When the Lions have achieved these measures in a road game they are 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS covering by an average of 15.4 PPG. When Michigan has allowed the aforementioned measures in a home game, they are just 4-7 SU and 3-8 ATS failing to cover by an average of 8 PPG.
The following database situation query provides a solid record playing the ‘UNDER’ of 42-15 for 74% since the start of the 1992 season. Play against home favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (MICHIGAN)with an excellent rushing defense allowing 100 or less rushing yards-per-game, after allowing 1 or less rushing yards-per-attempt last game.
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11-03-18 |
Georgia Southern -6.5 v. UL-Monroe |
Top |
25-44 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 9 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Georgia Southern (377) Ga Southern (7 - 1) at La Monroe (4 - 4) Week 10 Saturday, 11/3/2018 3:00 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on Georgia Southern, who are priced as 7.5-point road favorites.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for Georgia Southern to gain a minimum of 5.5 rushing yards per attempt, score 31 or more points, and have at least 3 times as many running plays than passing plays. In past games where GS met these measures they went an impressive 19-5-1 ATS for 79% covering by an average 12 PPG.
Here is a database situation query that has produced a 27-6 ATS record good for 81.8% winners spanning the last 5 seasons. Play against a home team after being beaten by the spread by more than 28 points in their previous game, in weeks 10 through 13.
This DB situational query has produced a 33-10 ATS mark good for 77% winners spanning the last 25 seasons. Play on road teams (GA SOUTHERN) that possess a solid defense allowing between 16- and 21 PPG and after a win by 17 or more points and is facing a struggling defensive team allowing a minimum of 34 PPG and after 7 or more games have been played.
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11-03-18 |
Texas A&M v. Auburn -3 |
Top |
24-28 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 10 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Auburn (390) Texas A&M (5 - 3) at Auburn (5 - 3) Week 10 Saturday, 11/3/2018 12:00 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Auburn Tigers, who are priced as 3-point home favorites. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Tigers to score 28 or more points, gain a minimum of 8.5 passing yards per attempt, and gain a minimum of 6 yards-per-play. So, when Auburn has played a game where they met or exceeded these performance ratios, they have gone a perfect 7-0 SUATS winning by an average of 13 PPG and covering the spread by 11.57 PPG.
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11-03-18 |
Nebraska +19.5 v. Ohio State |
Top |
31-36 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 9 m |
Show
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John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Nebraska (333) Nebraska (1 - 6) at Ohio St (7 - 1) Week 10 Saturday, 11/3/2018 12:00 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Nebraska Cornhuskers, who are priced as 19-point road dogs.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Nebraska to gain 5.0 to 6.0 rushing yards per attempt and score 31 or more points. Nebraska is a perfect 13-0 ATS when scoring 31 or more points and rushing for 5.0 or more yards-per-carry in road tilts since 2013 covering by an average of 14 PPG.
Here is a database situation query that has produced a 27-6 ATS record good for 81.8% winners spanning the last 5 seasons. Play against a home team after being beaten by the spread by more than 28 points in their previous game, in weeks 10 through 13.
This DB situational query has produced a 74-31 ATS mark good for 71% winners spanning the last five seasons. Play on road underdogs with a struggling defense allowing 5.8 or more yards-per-play and after gaining 525 or more total yards in their previous game.
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11-02-18 |
Colorado +3 v. Arizona |
Top |
34-42 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 26 m |
Show
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John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Week 10 Tuesday, 10/30/2018 8:00 PM Colorado (319) Colorado (5 - 3) at Arizona (4 - 5) Week 10 Friday, 11/2/2018 10:30 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 10-star wager on the Buffalos, which the market has them priced as 3-point road dogs in this PAC-12 matchup. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Buffalos to score between 28 and 35 points and gain between 450 and 500 total yards. The Buffalos are 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in road games when they score 29 to 35 points and Arizona is just 10-33 ATS (-26.3 Units) when they allow 450 to 500 total yards.
The following database system query has produced a solid 55-22 ATS record good for 71.4% winners over the past 10 seasons. Play on a road team with an offense that is averaging between 5.6 to 6.2 Yards-per-Play and is now facing a team with an average defense allowing between 4.8 to 5.6 YPP and after gaining 525 or more total yards in their previous game.
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11-02-18 |
Clippers v. Magic UNDER 217 |
Top |
120-95 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 50 m |
Show
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John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup UNDER LA Clipper-Orlando (701-702) La Clippers (4 - 3) at Orlando (2 - 5) Friday, 11/2/2018 7:05 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the ‘UNDER’ and priced at 216.5-points currently. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Clippers to score between 110 and 105 points and will have 13 to 17 turnovers. When the Magic have achieved these measures defensively, the ‘UNDER’ is a solid 11-5 for 69% since the start of the 2015 season. Both teams are projected to hoot 35% or less from beyond the arc and when this measure has occurred in past Magic home games the ‘UNDER’ is a solid 25-7 for 78% winners and covered the total by an average of 10.52 PPG.
The following DB situational query produces a 42-13 ATS mark good for 73% winners going back to the start of the 1996 season. Play Under with road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (LA CLIPPERS) outscoring their opponents by 3 or points-per-game and after 4 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more.
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11-01-18 |
Raiders v. 49ers -130 |
Top |
3-34 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 52 m |
Show
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John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup San Francisco (308) Oakland (1 - 6) At San Francisco (1 - 7) Week 9 Thursday, 11/1/2018 8:20 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the San Francisco 49ers, which the market has priced them as 2.5-point home favorites. Playing the money line is a valid option given the tight line and that the public is all over Oakland so far this week. If the line drops to 2-points, then the money line will be affordable at a price of -125. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the 49ers to have a major edge running the ball against the Raiders and this will control the game tempo and time of possession. Projections call for the 49ers to have at least 150 RY and will outgain the Raiders by at least 50 rushing yards. IN past games where the 49ers have achieved or exceeded these performance measures they have gone 77-27-2 ATS for 74% and when at home 52-8 SU for 87% winning by an average of 15 PPG and 41-18-1 ATS for 70% and covering by 9.6 PPG.
The 49ers are also projected to outgain the Raiders by a minimum of 1.0 yards-per-play. IN past home games, where the 49ers achieved this measure, they produced a 16-7-1 ATS mark good for 70% and covering by an average of 10.2 PPG.
The following DB situational query produces a 46-17 ATS mark good for 73% winners going back to the start of the 1983 season. Play against road teams (OAKLAND that are struggling rushing teams gaining between 70 and 95 RY-per-game and after being outrushed by 75 or more yards in 2 straight games and now facing a team with an average rushing defense allowing between 95 and 125 RY-per-game.
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11-01-18 |
Temple v. Central Florida -10 |
Top |
40-52 |
Win
|
100 |
51 h 59 m |
Show
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John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup UCF (314) Temple (5 - 3) at UCF (7 - 0) Week 10 Thursday, 11/1/2018 7:30 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 10-star wager on the Central Florida Knights, which the market has them priced as 10-point home favorites.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Knights to control game tempo and will dominate both sides of the line of scrimmage. The Knights are a perfect 10-0 SUATS winning by an average of 32.8 PPG and covering by an average of 16 PPG when gaining 250 or more rushing yards and averaging 7 or more yards-per-pass.
Teams that have won 6 or more straight games ATS and give up the measures to an opponent mentioned above have one 0-6 ATS failing to cover by an average of 18 PPG. When a ranked team is playing at home against a foe, who has won six straight games ATS and not favored by more than 11 points have gone a perfect 5-0 ATS covering the number by an average of 16.5 PPG.
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10-31-18 |
Pistons v. Nets -2.5 |
Top |
119-120 |
Loss |
-105 |
4 h 32 m |
Show
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John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Brooklyn (702) Detroit (4 - 2) at Brooklyn (2 - 5) Wednesday, 10/31/2018 7:35 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 7-star wager on the Brooklyn Nets, which the market has priced them as 2-point home favorites. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Nets to score 111 or more points and Detroit has been a terrible 26-73-1 ATS when allowing more than 111 points in a road game installed as a dog since 2012 and 6-12 ATS failing to cover by an average of 8.81 PPG since 2016. Nets are 8-1 SU winning by an average of 8.33 PPG and 7-2 ATS when at home and scoring 111 or more points. Nets are projected to have a higher 3-point shooting percentage and when this occurs and they score more than 111 points in a home game, they have gone 12-1 SU winning by average of 15.4 PPG and 11-2 ATS covering by an average of 9.6 PPG
The following DB situational query produces a 25-4 ATS mark good for 86% winners going back to the start of the 1996 season. Play against underdogs (DETROIT) off a close road loss of 3 points or less and was an average team from last season that won between 45 and 55% of their games.
Take the Nets.
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10-30-18 |
Blazers v. Rockets UNDER 223.5 |
Top |
104-85 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 26 m |
Show
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John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup UNDER Houston-Portland (511-512) Portland (4 - 2) at Houston (1 - 4) Tuesday, 10/30/2018 8:05 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 7-star wager on the ‘UNDER’ which the market has priced at 224.5 – points. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Rockets to score between 104 and 111 points and when they have done so in past games, the ‘UNDER’ has posted a 14-5-1 mark good for 73.7% winners since 2016.
The following database situation query provides a solid record playing the ‘UNDER’ of 29-13 for 69% over the past five seasons. Play Under with all teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 off a road win by 10 points or more and a team that had a winning record last season.
|
10-30-18 |
Miami-OH +7 v. Buffalo |
Top |
42-51 |
Loss |
-105 |
13 h 5 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Miami (Ohio) 301 Miami Ohio (3 - 5) at Buffalo (7 - 1) Week 10 Tuesday, 10/30/2018 8:00 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 10-star wager on the Red Hawks, which the market has them priced as 7-point road dogs in this MAC matchup. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Red Hawks to control game tempo and have at least 30 minutes of TOP and will contain Buffalo’s offense to less than 28 points. When the Red Hawks have been on the road and have met or exceeded these performance measures they have produced a 14-5-2 ATS mark. Under the same projections and being installed as a dog, the record improves to 12-3-1 for 80% ATS. Of note, is that the UNDER has gone 13-3 in these same games.
The following database system query has produced a solid 55-22 ATS record good for 71.4% winners over the past 10 seasons. Play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (MIAMI OHIO) in a game involving two rushing teams gaining between 3.5 to 4.3 YPR after 7 games have been completed.
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10-28-18 |
Saints v. Vikings +2 |
Top |
30-20 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 31 m |
Show
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John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Minnesota Vikings (274) New Orleans (5 - 1) at Minnesota (4 - 2 - 1) Week 8 Sunday, 10/28/2018 8:20 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 10-star wager on the Vikings using the line, which currently prices them as 2.5-point home dogs.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Vikings to gain a minimum of 1.0 more yards-per-play than the Saints. When the Vikings have been a host and achieved this performance measure, they have produced an incredible 9-1 SUATS record winning by an average of 7.95 PPG against the spread and by 13 points SU. Also, the Saints are just 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) off an extremely close road win by 3 points or less since 1992. The following DB situational query has gone 22-5 using the money line for 82% winners and has made $1,820 per $100 wager since 2014. Play against road teams using the money line (NEW ORLEANS) after covering the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games, in October games.
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10-28-18 |
Packers v. Rams -7.5 |
Top |
27-29 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 29 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Los Angeles Rams (272) Rams (7 - 0) hosting the Packers (3-2-1) Week 8 Saturday, 10/28/2018 4:25 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 10-star wager on the Rams, which is currently lined at -9-points SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Rams to have a minimum of 1.2 yards-per-play advantage over the Packers, will gain a minimum of 8.5 yards-per-pass, and will score at least 28 points. In past games, the Rams have produced an 11-3 ATS mark when scoring 28 or more points, a 55-19-3 ATS mark good for 74% when throwing for a minimum of 8.5 yards-per-pass play, and 10-3-1 ATS for 77% when outgaining an opponent by a minimum of 1.2 yards-per-game. Since 2015, the Packers are just 2-10 ATS when being outgained by a minimum of 1.2 yards-per-play and 6-15 ATS when allowing 28 or more points and when being outgained by 1.1 YPPL and allowing 28 points a miserable 1-8 ATS.
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10-28-18 |
Eagles v. Jaguars +4.5 |
Top |
24-18 |
Loss |
-105 |
2 h 25 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Jacksonville (252) Philadelphia (3 - 4) vs. Jacksonville (3 - 4) Week 8 Sunday, 10/28/2018 9:30 AM Wembley Stadium - London, England
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager (5 to 10-Star grading scale) on Jacksonville using the line, which currently has them priced as 3.5-point dogs. SIM Projections and Results The Jaguars are projected to outgain Philadelphia by a minimum of 0.5 yards-per-play. When teams have achieved this performance measure and gain a minimum of 125 rushing yards, the Eagles have been a miserable 4-23 SU losing by an average of 8.9 PPG and 4-22-1 ATS failing to cover by an average of 9.4 PPG. Under the same scenario, the Jaguars have produced a 28-7 SU record winning by an average of 14.9 PPG and 29-6 ATS covering by an average of 13.2 PPG.
The following database situation query has returned a solid 41-13 ATS mark for 76% winners since the start of the 2009 season and 7-2 ATS since the start of the 2017 season. Play on any team (Jacksonville) after scoring 9 points or less in 2 straight games. This simple query’s results covered the spread by an average of 7 PPG.
|
10-27-18 |
Texas v. Oklahoma State +3.5 |
Top |
35-38 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 47 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Oklahoma State (180) Texas (6 - 1) at Oklahoma St. (4 - 3)
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 10-star wager on the Cowboys using the line, which currently prices them as 3.5-point home dogs.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Cowboys to gain a minimum of 1.0 more yards-per-play than the Longhorns. When the Cowboys have been a host and installed as a dog and achieved this performance measure, they have produced an incredible 3-1 SUATS record winning by an average of 20 PPG against the spread and by 14.75 points SU. When at home against a conference foe they have gone 22-2 SU and 17-6-1 ATS covering by an average of 9.7 PPG
The following DB situational query has gone 18-7 using the money line for 58% winners and has made $3,010 per $100 wager since 2006. Play on home underdogs using the money line (OKLAHOMA ST) and is a solid team that is outscoring opponents by 7 or more PPG and after allowing 3 points or less in the first half last game.
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10-27-18 |
Iowa v. Penn State -5 |
|
24-30 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 25 m |
Show
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John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Penn State (186) Iowa (6 - 1) at Penn St (5 - 2) Week 9 Saturday, 10/27/2018 3:30 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy Place a 10-star wager (5 to 10-Star grading scale) on Penn State using the line, which currently has them priced as 6-point home favorites. SIM Projections and Results The Hawkeyes come into this game on a hot streak and have caught the eyes of the media. Yet, their stats and metrics have been against weaker opponents and have played only 1 team (Wisconsin) that ranks below the Top-60 in our neural net generated rankings. Wisconsin controlled both sides of the line of scrimmage. Iowa’s defense failed to contain a one-dimensional Badger offense as well. PSU ranks fifth nationally with a 11.3 yards-per-point ratio and third overall if you take out Utah State and Toledo since they are not members of the Power-5 conferences. Iowa’s defense has not played against a team that has the vertical speed like PSU has displayed this season. The duel threat of QB McSorely and his read intelligence makes it nearly impossible for any defense to play man coverage on deep routes.
PSU is projected to outgain Iowa by a minimum of 1.1 yards-per-play. When PSU has achieved this performance measure and are installed as home favorites of 4 to 10 points, they have gone a perfect 11-0 SU and 10-1 ATS covering by an average of 12 PPG. The lone loss was against Temple in the beginning of the 2016 season and by just 1.5 points.
|
10-27-18 |
Georgia -6.5 v. Florida |
Top |
36-17 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 51 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Georgia (167) Georgia (6 - 1) versus Florida (6 - 1) Week 9 Friday, 10/26/2018 10:30 PM Everbank Field - Jacksonville, FL
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 10-star wager on the Georgia using the line, which currently prices them as 6.5-point favorites. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Georgia will gain a minimum of 5.5 yards-per-rush and a minimum of 250 total rushing yards. They will also score 28 or more points. In past games, where Georgia met each of these performance measures they have produced a 43-16 ATS mark when scoring 28 or more points and installed as a ‘road’ favorite covering by an average of 9.33 PPG. When they have gained 250 or more rushing yards as ‘road’ favorites they have gone 6-2 ATS covering by an average of 12.7 PPG since 2009; 7-3 ATS when gaining 225 or more RY. When Florida has been installed as a dog and yielded 5.5 RYPA, they have been 0-3 ATS failing to cover by an average of 15 PPG. When allowing 28 or more points and dressed in the DOG, they are a miserable 10-38-1 ATS failing to cover by an average of 9.33 PPG.
The following database query has produced a stout 60-23 mark good for 72% since 2014. Play against any team (FLORIDA) after beating the spread by 49 or more points total in their last five games and is a top-level team having won a minimum of 80% of their games and now playing a team with a winning record. And when we look at only conference games, the record improves to 52-18 ATS for 74% and is a perfect 5-0 ATS in 2018.Ryan’s 10-Star PAC-12 Friday Night Titan; 92.3% situation
|
10-26-18 |
Utah -10.5 v. UCLA |
Top |
41-10 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 48 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Utah (119) UTAH (5 - 2) at UCLA (2 - 5) Week 9 Friday, 10/26/2018 10:30 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 10-star wager on the Utes using the line, which currently prices them as 10.5-point road favorites. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Utes to score at least 28 points and outgain UCLA by at least 200 yards. Utah is 11-0 ATS (+11.0 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons and 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they are outgain their opponents by 200 or more yards over the last 2 seasons. UCLA is just 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) when they allow 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons and 3-19 ATS (-17.9 Units) when they are outgained by their opponents by 200 or more yards since 1992. The following database system query has produced a solid 24-2 ATS record for 92.3% winners since 2008. Play on road favorites (UTAH) after outrushing opponent by 100 or more yards in 3 straight games and is now facing an opponent after being outrushed by 125 or more yards last game. These results covered the spread by an average of 10.11 PPG and underscores the projections that Utah wins this game by at least 20 points.
|
10-25-18 |
Baylor +14 v. West Virginia |
Top |
14-58 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 35 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Baylor University Bears ( Baylor (4 - 3) at W Virginia (5 - 1) Week 9 Thursday, 10/25/2018 7:00 PM SIM grading 7 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Recommended Strategy Place a 7-star wager on Baylor using the money line, which currently shows them installed as a 13.5-point road dog. SIM Matching Game Situations The summary projections call for both teams to score 18 or more points. In past Baylor road games where they were installed as dogs of 10 to 17 points and both teams did score 28 or more points, Baylor has gone a perfect 5-0 ATS covering by an average of 11 points per game. Looks like WVU will need a last minute FG to win this one – or maybe not.
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10-23-18 |
Dodgers +145 v. Red Sox |
Top |
4-8 |
Loss |
-100 |
5 h 48 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Los Angeles Dodgers ( ( ) La Dodgers (99 - 75) at Boston (115 - 56) Tuesday, 10/23/2018 8:05 PM Clayton Kershaw (L) vs. Chris Sale (L)
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 10-star wager on the Los Angeles Dodgers
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Dodgers to have a lower, more efficient hits-per-run ratio and have at least 1 MRI. IN past playoff games, where the Dodgers have achieved these performance measures, they have gone a stout 12-2 SU winning by an average of 3.3 RPG and producing a 65% ROI. The following database query has produced a stout 29-14 mark good for 67% since 1997. Play on all underdogs in the month of October with a money line of +125 to +175 (LA DODGERS) where team's hitters draw 4 walks or more per game on the season.
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10-23-18 |
Troy -10.5 v. South Alabama |
Top |
38-17 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 4 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Troy University (101) Troy (5 - 2) at S Alabama (2 - 5) Week 9 Tuesday, 10/23/2018 8:00 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.
Place a 7-star wager on Troy using the line, which currently has them priced as 10.5-point road favorites. SIM Projections and Results The Troy Trojans are projected to gain between 150 and 200 rushing yards and average at least 4.5 yards-per-rush. IN past games, where the Jaguars have allowed these performance measures, they have gone just 1-6 ATS for 14%. This DB situational query has produced a 51-18 ATS mark good for 74% winners since 2013. Play against home underdogs (S ALABAMA) after having lost 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games and is now facing an opponent after having won 3 out of their last 4 games.
|
10-22-18 |
Wizards +5 v. Blazers |
Top |
125-124 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 44 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Washington (513)
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.
Place a 7-star wager on the Wizards using the line, which currently has them priced as 5.5-point road dogs. SIM Projections and Results The Wizards are projected to have the better assist-to-turnover ratio (ATR) and will score between 105 and 115 points. Portland’s precedent is not good when allowing an opponent these performance measures and in home games installed as a favorite are just 20-39 ATS for 33.9% since 1998 and 3-9 ATS losing to the spread by an average of 8.4 PPG since the start of the 2015 season.
This DB situational query has produced a 58-26 ATS mark good for 69% winners since 1996. Play against home favorites that are up-tempo teams averaging from last season 83 or more shots-per-game, after 2 straight games making 9 or more 3 point shots.
|
10-22-18 |
Grizzlies +10.5 v. Jazz |
Top |
92-84 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 43 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Memphis (511) Memphis (1 - 1) at Utah (1 - 1) Monday, 10/22/2018 9:05 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 7-star wager on the Grizzlies using the line, which currently prices them as 10-point road dogs. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Grizzlies to have at least 10 more points scored from within the paint and will score between 95 and 105 points. In past Grizzly road games installed as dogs and meeting or exceeding these performance measures, they have produced a stout 26-12 ATS mark for 68.4% and covering by an average of 6 PPG. The following database system query has produced a solid 25-6 ATS record for 81% winners since 2013. Play on underdogs of 10 or more points (MEMPHIS) after allowing 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games and is now facing an opponent after scoring 120 points or more.
|
10-22-18 |
Giants v. Falcons -3.5 |
Top |
20-23 |
Loss |
-111 |
8 h 5 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Atlanta Falcons (476) Ny Giants (1 - 5) at Atlanta (2 - 4) Week 7 Monday, 10/22/2018 8:15 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 10-star wager on the Falcons using the line, which currently prices them as 5-point home favorites.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Falcons to gain a minimum of 1.0 more yards-per-play than the Giants. When the Falcons have been a host and installed as a favorite and achieved this performance measure, they have produced an incredible 19-1 SU record winning by an average of 12.9 PPG and a 16-3-1 ATS mark 84% covering by an average of 9.5 PPG.
The following DB situational query has gone 43-15 ATS for 74% winners since 1980. Play against underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (NY GIANTS) after a game where they forced no turnovers and now facing an opponent after 4 consecutive games where they committed 1 or less turnovers. The SU record is 54-7 so playing the money line is a reasonable alternative.
|
10-22-18 |
Hornets +9.5 v. Raptors |
Top |
106-127 |
Loss |
-108 |
7 h 14 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Charlotte (501) Charlotte (2 - 1) at Toronto (3 - 0) Monday, 10/22/2018 7:35 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 7-star wager on the Charlotte Hornets.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for Charlotte to score between 105 and 115 points and to attain the better assist-to-turnover ratio (ATR). In past road games installed as dogs and meeting these performance measures, the Hornets have produced a 44-5-1 ATS mark good for 90% and covering by an average of 10.5 PPG.
The following database query has produced a stout 26-6 ATS mark good for 81% since 2013. Play against favorites (TORONTO) team that had a winning record last season and after 3 or more consecutive wins and now playing a team that is coming off a losing season.
|
10-20-18 |
Ohio State v. Purdue +13 |
Top |
20-49 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 39 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Purdue (334) OHIO ST (7 - 0) at PURDUE (3 - 3) Week 8 Saturday, 10/20/2018 7:30 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.
Place a 10-star wager on the Purdue Boilermakers. Consider placing a 5-Star amount on the money line and a 5-Star play on the line to exploit the significant likelihood that Purdue can win this game outright.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for Purdue’s defense to hold Ohio State to 28 or fewer points and the Boilermaker offense will gain a minimum of 6.5 yards-per-play. So, in past games where these performance measures have been attained by any home team against a Top-10 opponent have gone 33-1 ATS. So, this is a play that is certainly deserving of the money line play as well.
|
10-20-18 |
NC State v. Clemson -17 |
Top |
7-41 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 54 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Clemson (390) NC State (5 - 0) at Clemson (6 - 0) Week 8 Saturday, 10/20/2018 3:30 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.
Place a 10-star wager on Clemson using the line, which currently has them priced as 17.5-point home favorites. SIM Projections and Results Clemson is projected to gain more than 250 rushing yards and average more than 6.0 rushing yards-per-carry and score 35 or more points. When doing so the Tigers precedent is a stout 21-0 SU winning by an average of 34 PPG and 16-5 ATS covering by an average of 11.93 PPG In case you wanted to know: When two undefeated teams have played and the home team is the higher ranked team and installed as a favorite of at least 14.5-points, are a very strong 14-1 SU and 11-4 ATS for 73% covering by an average of 7 points and ion the 11 wins covering by an average of 13.4 PPG.
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10-19-18 |
Colorado State v. Boise State -24 |
Top |
28-56 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 52 m |
Show
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John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Boise State (308) Colorado St (3 - 4) at Boise St (4 - 2) Week 8 Friday, 10/19/2018 9:00 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.
Place a 7-star wager on Boise State using the line, which currently has them priced as 23.5-point home favorites. SIM Projections and Results Boise State is projected to hold CSU to less than 200 passing yards and between 50 and 100 rushing yards and in past games where they have achieved these defensive measures they have produced a 12-0 SU mark and a 8-3-1 ATS mark. Moreover, they are projected to gain at least 550 totla offensive yards and are 24-6-1 ATS for 80% when doing so.
Here is a strong DB System Query that has gone 40-17 ATS for 70% winners. Play on home favorites of 21.5 to 31 points off a no-cover where the team won as a favorite and with 4 or more total starters returning than the opponent.
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10-18-18 |
Stanford -2.5 v. Arizona State |
Top |
20-13 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 21 m |
Show
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John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Stanford (305) Stanford (4 - 2) at Arizona State (3 - 3) Week 8 Thursday, 10/18/2018 9:00 PM SIM grading 10-stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.
Recommended Strategy Place a 10-star wager on the Stanford Cardinal using the line, which is currently priced at -2.5-points.
SIM Projections and Results The Cardinal is projected to gain more than 300 passing yards and average better than 10-yards-per-pass play. In past games where the Cardinal have achieved this performance level they have gone an exceptional 11-32 SU and 10-2-1 ATS for 83% and covered by an average of 8.46 PPG. When ASU has allowed these measures and installed as a dog, they have gone a money burning 0-8 SU and 2-6 ATS for 33%. Stanford is also projected to score 28 points and when they do installed as a road favorite, they have produced a 44-12-3 ATS mark good for 79% winners. When scoring 28 or more points as a road favorite in a conference showdown, the Cardinal has gone 30-7-3 ATS for 81% covering by an average of 9.24 PPG.
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10-18-18 |
Broncos v. Cardinals +1.5 |
Top |
45-10 |
Loss |
-105 |
5 h 39 m |
Show
|
The Play and the Matchup Arizona Cardinals (302) Denver (2 - 4) at Arizona (1 - 5) Week 7 Thursday, 10/18/2018 8:20 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.
Place a 7-star wager on the Arizona Cardinals using the line, which currently has them priced as 2-point home dogs. SIM Projections and Results Arizona has not run the ball well in any of their games to this point, but the ‘MATH’ clearly points to Arizona having their first 100+ rushing yard game tonight. When Denver has been installed as a road favorite and have allowed the host to gain 100 or more rushing yards, they have been a money burning 11-37-3 ATS for 23%. When the Cardinals have been home dogs and have gained 100 or kore RY, they have gone on to produce a solid 35-12 ATS mark good for 75% winners and covered by an average of 6.1 PPG.
Here is a strong DB System Query that has gone 32-12 ATS for 73% winners. Play on road teams with a struggling defense allowing 6.0 or more yards-per-play and after allowing 400 or more total yards in 3 consecutive games. The average winning bet covered by an average of 9.5 PPG.
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10-18-18 |
Red Sox v. Astros OVER 8 |
Top |
4-1 |
Loss |
-100 |
4 h 56 m |
Show
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John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup OVER Boston-Houston (955-956) Boston (114 - 56) at Houston (107 - 62) Thursday, 10/18/2018 8:05 PM David Price (L) vs. Justin Verlander (R) AL Championship Series - Best of 7 - Game 5 - Boston leads 3-1
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.
Place a 10-star wager on the OVER using the total line, which is currently priced at 8o +105 for this Game 5 matchup. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for both teams to have 7 or more extra base hits and will combine for 3 or more Multiple Run Innings (MRI). In playoff games dating back to 2000, when these performance measures have been met or exceeded the OVER has been an incredible 23-1-1 for 96% and a 78% ROI. In case you wanted to know, the home team record has been 14-11 and the Run Line home record 11-8.
Of note too, is that when a visiting team has won three straight games in the playoffs and the current game of the series is game-five or later, the OVER has gone 7-1 and went OVER by an average of 2.50 RPG.
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10-16-18 |
Red Sox +122 v. Astros |
Top |
8-2 |
Win
|
122 |
8 h 2 m |
Show
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John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Boston Red Sox (907) Boston (112 - 56) at Houston (107 - 60) Tuesday, 10/16/2018 5:05 PM Nathan Eovaldi (R) vs. Dallas Keuchel (L) AL Championship Series - Best of 7 - Game 3 - Tied 1-1
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.
Place a 10-star wager on the Boston Red Sox using the money line, which currently has the Sox priced as 125 road dogs. SIM Projections and Results Keuchel is 1-1 in 4 starts against Boston with an ERA of 6.20 and a WHIP of 1.581. Eovaldi is 1-1 with a 4-1 team record against Houston with an ERA of 3.19 and a WHIP of 1.065. Keuchel has posted a 4.15 ERA and a 1.615 WHIP over his last three starts. Eovaldi has posted a 1.29 ERA and a 0.714 WHIP over his last three starts. Boston is projected to have a lower, more efficient hits-per-run ratio and will use less pitchers than Houston. In playoffs games, the Red Sox are a perfect 21-0 when achieving these measures and have won these games by an average of 5.71 runs-per-game.
Here is a database system query that has produced a 46-17 record good for 73% winners. Play on road teams with an on base percentage of .350 or better over their last 20 games and starting a well-rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest.
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10-14-18 |
Rams -6.5 v. Broncos |
Top |
23-20 |
Loss |
-102 |
5 h 2 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Los Angeles Rams (160)
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10-stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 10-star wager on the Rams, which the market has them priced as 6.5-point road favorites.
SIM Projections and Results The Rams are projected to score a minimum of 24 points and gain a minimum of 6.0 yards-per-play. The Broncos are just 13-58 SU and 11-59-1 ATS for 16% when allowing 24 or more points and 6.0 or more YPPL. Broncos are just 4-16-1 ATS in this situation when playing at home and when installed as a home dog are just 1-6 ATS.
Here is a DB Situation Query that has produced a 20-2 ATS mark good for 91% over the past 5 seasons. Play on road teams that are excellent passing teams gaining a minimum of 265 passing yards-per-game and after a game allowing 7 or more passing yards-per-attempt in 2 straight games and is now facing a struggling passing defense allowing between 230 and 265 passing yards-per-game.
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10-14-18 |
Cardinals +10.5 v. Vikings |
Top |
17-27 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 42 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Arizona Cardinals (251) Arizona (1 - 4) at Minnesota (2 - 2 - 1) Week 6 Sunday, 10/14/2018 1:00 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7-stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 7-star wager on the Arizona Cardinals, which the market has them priced as 10-point road dogs.
We also have a 7-Star graded play on the ‘OVER’. So, play each as 7-Star plays and then consider adding a 3-Star reverse action parlay using the total and the line. Also, a 1-Star amount using the Money Line and the total.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Cardinals to play much better defense today and will hold the Vikings to less than 21 points and less than 100 rushing yards. When the Cardinals have achieved both performance measures, they have gone 39-15 SU and 47-6-1 ATS for 88.7% winners and when installed as road dogs they improve to 22-13 SU and a remarkable 32-2-1 ATS. The following DB situational query has produced a solid record of 33-9 ATS for 79% winners and 10-2-1 ATS for 83% since 2008 and covering by an average of 5.77 PPG. Play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points with a terrible offense averaging 260 or less total yards-per-game, after allowing 400 or more total yards in their previous game.
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10-14-18 |
Cardinals v. Vikings OVER 44 |
Top |
17-27 |
Push |
0 |
4 h 37 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Arizona Cardinals (251) Arizona (1 - 4) at Minnesota (2 - 2 - 1) Week 6 Sunday, 10/14/2018 1:00 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7-stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 7-star wager on the Arizona Cardinals, which the market has them priced as 10-point road dogs.
We also have a 7-Star graded play on the ‘OVER’. So, play each as 7-Star plays and then consider adding a 3-Star reverse action parlay using the total and the line. Also, a 1-Star amount using the Money Line and the total.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Cardinals to play much better defense today and will hold the Vikings to less than 21 points and less than 100 rushing yards. When the Cardinals have achieved both performance measures, they have gone 39-15 SU and 47-6-1 ATS for 88.7% winners and when installed as road dogs they improve to 22-13 SU and a remarkable 32-2-1 ATS. The following DB situational query has produced a solid record of 33-9 ATS for 79% winners and 10-2-1 ATS for 83% since 2008 and covering by an average of 5.77 PPG. Play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points with a terrible offense averaging 260 or less total yards-per-game, after allowing 400 or more total yards in their previous game.
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10-13-18 |
Michigan State v. Penn State -13.5 |
Top |
21-17 |
Loss |
-109 |
53 h 2 m |
Show
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John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Penn State (202) Michigan State (3 - 2) at Penn State (4 - 1) Week 7 Saturday, 10/13/2018 3:30 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7-stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.
Place a 7-star wager on the Penn State Nittany Lions, which the market has them priced as 13-point home favorites. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Lions to contain the MSU ground attack to between 100 and 150 yards and force them into more third down situations than themselves. So, PSU is 8-1 ATS when holding an opponent to between 100 and 150 RY over the L3 seasons. The Lions are also expected to gain 1.1 or more yards-per-play (not necessarily run more plays, but far more efficient than MSU) and are 9-0 SU and 8-1 ATS when installed as a home favorite between 7 and 14 points in this role. Of the overall 1.1 YPPL advantage it is all in the passing game with the Lions expected to enjoy at least a 1.5 yards-per-pass advantage over MSU. IN games where the Lions have attained or exceeded this measure, they have gone 40-0 SU and 30-8-2 ATS for 79% winning wagers.
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10-13-18 |
Georgia -8 v. LSU |
Top |
16-36 |
Loss |
-109 |
53 h 44 m |
Show
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John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Georgia (197) Georgia (6-0) at LSU (5-1) Week 7 Saturday, 10/13/2018 3:30 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7-stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 7-star wager on the Georgia Bulldogs, which the market has them priced as 7.5-point home favorites. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Dawgs to control game tempo and both sides of the ball. The number 28, as in points scored or allowed, is the biggest pivot number in NCAA football, and especially the SEC with their high scoring offenses. Georgia is projected to score 28 points rather easily and will most likely have 35 or more in this road game. Georgia is 56-3 SU and 43-16 ATS for 73% winning wagers when scoring 28 or more points installed as a road favorite. When scoring 28 or more points in SEC conference action, the Dawgs are 44-2 SU and 34-12 for 74% covering the number by an average of 9.47 PPG. Now, when LSU has allowed an opponent 28 or more points in home tilts they have struggled to a horrid 11-36 SU and 3-43-1 ATS record dating back to 1983. Since the start of the 2011 season, they are 0-4 ATS. Tigers are a money burning 2-13 SY and 3-12 ATS for 20% when allowing 28 points installed as a home dog in SEC action since 1980.
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10-13-18 |
Washington v. Oregon +3 |
Top |
27-30 |
Win
|
100 |
52 h 26 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Oregon (160) Washington (5 - 1) at Oregon (4 - 1) Week 7 Saturday, 10/13/2018 3:30 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7-stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 7-star wager on the Oregon Ducks, which the market has them priced as 3.5-point home dogs. We like making this a combination wager placing a 2.5-Star amount on the money line at +145 and a 5.5-Star amount on the line to take advantage of the expected Duck’s SU upset win.
SIM Projections and Results Oregon is projected to score a minimum of 31 points and will run at least 10 more plays than Washington. When playing at home and achieving these KPI, the Ducks have gone 22-2 SU and 16-7 ATS for 70%. When achieving these KPI against a conference foe, the record improves to 14-1 SU winning by an average of 29.8 points per game and 12-3 ATS for 80% covering the number by an average of 9.33 PPG.
Here is a DB Situation Query that has produced a 36-9 ATS mark good for 75%. Play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points in a game involving two dominant teams outgaining opponents by 1.2 or more yards-per-play, after gaining 450 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games.
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10-13-18 |
Florida v. Vanderbilt +7.5 |
Top |
37-27 |
Loss |
-110 |
21 h 30 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Vanderbilt (192) Florida (5 - 1) At Vanderbilt (3 - 3) Week 7 Saturday, 10/13/2018 12:00 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 10-star wager on the Vanderbilt using the line, which currently prices them as 7.5-point home dogs. Consider this alternative wager strategy combining the money line and the line to exploit the significant chance that Vanderbilt wins this game. The combination wager consists of a 7-Star wager on the line and a 3-Star wager on the money line. The money line is currently priced at 240, which for a $100 wager returns $240 plus the $100 wager for $340. So, the 3-star wager at a $100 per star returns $720 if Vanderbilt wins. If Vanderbilt loses by less than 7 points, then the line bet wins for $700 net profit and the money line wager loses for a net loss of $300. Overall, still making a nice $400 net profit in the final margin is between Florida winning by 1 and less than 8-points.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Commodores to post greater yards per play in both the ground and passing attacks. So, for any home dog, who attains these measures of offensive advantages over a visiting opponent has made tons of money in the form of a 267-90 SU record winning by an average of 10.2 PPG and a 315-33-9 ATS 90.5% record covering the number by an average of 16 PPG. Slicing the data set to include just games played in the SEC Conference reveals a remarkable 30-0 ATS record covering by an average of 16.57 PPG and a 26-4 SU record winning outright by 10.93 PPG. The following database system query has produced a solid 22-3 ATS record for 88% winners since 1992. Play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points off 3 straight wins against conference rivals and now facing an opponent off a road blowout loss by 28 points or more.
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10-12-18 |
Air Force v. San Diego State UNDER 44 |
Top |
17-21 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 6 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup UNDER Air Force – San Diego State (113-114) Air Force (2 - 3) At SAN DIEGO ST (4 - 1) Week 7 Friday, 10/12/2018 9:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 10-star wager on the UNDER using the total line, which is currently priced at 44.5-points. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for SDST to gain at least 2.0 yards per play more than Airforce. In past situations matching this performance level, SDST has produced a 18-9 ‘UNDER’ mark. And when at home in this situation the ‘UNDER’ is 13-4. Air Force is projected to gain less than 200 RY and less than 100 passing yards and have been a perfect 4-0 ‘under’ in this scenario. Following is a database situational query has produced an exception 40-14 record good for 74% winners since 1992. Play ‘Under’ with any team against the total that is coming off an upset win as an underdog and is now facing an opponent off an upset win as a road underdog of 10 or more.
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10-10-18 |
Coyotes v. Ducks -150 |
|
3-2 |
Loss |
-150 |
7 h 51 m |
Show
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John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1 The Play and the Matchup Anaheim (56) Arizona (0-2-0-0, 0 pts.) at Anaheim (3-0-0-0, 6 pts.) Wednesday, 10/10/2018 10:05 PM #1 Goaltenders: Arizona - Antti Raanta, Anaheim - John Gibson SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. So, place a 7-star wager on the Anaheim Ducks using the money line, which currently shows them installed as 150 home favorites. SIM Matching Game Situations Anaheim projected to have at least one power play goal and will keep Arizona’s PP production to zero goals. When Anaheim is at home installed as a -150 or stronger favorite and have at least 1 PP goal while holding their visitor to zero PP goals has produced a 58-14 record for 81% winners and winning by an average of 1.83 goals per game. Arizona is projected to have no more than two goals and when Anaheim has held a visitor to 2 or fewer goals they have produced a 259-29 record for 90% winners and since the start of the 2017 season a 20-2 record for 91% winners.
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10-09-18 |
Red Sox +115 v. Yankees |
Top |
4-3 |
Win
|
115 |
7 h 35 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report
@JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup
Boston Red Sox (921)
Boston (110 - 55) at NY Yankees (102 - 64)
Tuesday, 10/9/2018 8:05 PM
Rick Porcello (R) vs. C.C. Sabathia (L)
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy
10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. So, place a 10-star wager on the Red Sox using the money line, which currently shows them installed as a 115 road dog.
SIM Matching Game Situations
Boston projected to have more hits and to use less pitchers in this Gme-4 matchup with the Yankees. In past road games where the Red Sox have met or exceeded these KPI and with a line ranging from -125 to 125, have produced a 126-28 record for 81.8% winners and a nice 61% ROI; over the last 3 seasons a record of 16-6 for 73% and a 43% ROI and in playoff games only a record of 5-0!
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10-09-18 |
Sharks +100 v. Flyers |
Top |
8-2 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 33 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup San Jose (3) San Jose (1-2-0-0, 2 pts.) at Philadelphia (1-1-0-0, 2 pts.) Tuesday, 10/9/2018 7:05 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.
Place a 7-star wager on the San Jose Sharks, which the market has them priced as -110 road favorites. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Sharks to score 3 or more goals, have at least 10 minutes of power plays and that they will have at least 4 more minutes of power play ice time than short-handed ice time. IN past games where the Sharks have met or exceeded these KP{I, they have gone 172-50 for 78% and a nice 48% ROI. Slicing the data set further to include road games where the line was between 135 and -135 shos the Sharks to have posted a 85-26 record good for 77% winners and a 53% ROI and since the start of the 2015 season the Sharks are an impressive 26-7 with a 58% ROI.
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10-08-18 |
Edmonton v. Saskatchewan -3.5 |
Top |
12-19 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 33 m |
Show
|
ohn Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Saskatchewan (658) Edmonton (7 - 7) at Saskatchewan (9 - 5) Week 17 Monday, 10/8/2018 4:00 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.
Place a 10-star wager on the Saskatchewan Roughriders which the market has them riced as 3-point home favorites. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Roughriders to score more than 28 points and to contain the Eskimos to fewer than 85 rushing yards and fewer than 200 net passing yards, and will gain more than 150 rushing yards. In past games when the SAS has held an opponent to less than 85 RY and less than 200 net PY, they have gone 19-6 ATS for 77%. On the other hand, when the Eskimos have failed to get the offense going based on the previous stated KPI, they have gone 3-10 ATS for 23%. When the Roughriders have gained 150 or RY and scored 28 or more points they have produced a 24-5-2 ATS mark and 83% winners and slicing the data to include only home games sees them with a highly successful 14-3-1 ATS for 82.4% winners.
Here is a DB situation query that has produced a handsome money making record of 22-4 ATS for 85% winners and has made $1,760 per $100 wagered over the past five seasons. Play against any team in the month of October after being beaten by the spread by 21 or more points total in their last three games.
|
10-07-18 |
Ravens v. Browns +3 |
|
9-12 |
Win
|
105 |
3 h 20 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Cleveland (452) Baltimore (3 - 1) at Cleveland (1 - 2 - 1) Week 5 Sunday, 10/7/2018 1:00 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7 stars on the Cleveland Browns on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. The current market has the Browns priced as a 3-point home dog after opening at pick-em.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for Cleveland to gain 1.4 or more yards play than he Ravens will gain. In past home games where NFL teams have been installed as dogs and then meeting or exceeding the YPPL KPI, has produced a 148-54 SU and 165-43-3 ATS mark good for 82.9% winners since 1989; 30-5 SU and 31-4 ATS for 88.6% winners covering by an average of 14.10 PPG since the start of the 2015 season.
Here is a Database Situational Query that has gone 32-9 ATS for 78% success over the past 10 seasons. Play against favorites that have been a dominant team by outscoring opponents by 10 or more points-per-game and after allowing 14 points or less in 2 straight games. When installed as a road favorite, these dominant teams have gone just 1-7 ATS since 2013.
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10-07-18 |
Packers v. Lions +1 |
Top |
23-31 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 17 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Detroit Lions (464) Green Bay (2 - 1 - 1) at Detroit (1 - 3) Week 5 Sunday, 10/7/2018 1:00 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7-stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 7-star wager on the Lions, which the market has them priced as 1-point home favorites.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Lions to out gain the Packers by a minimum of 1.4 yards-per-play. When they have been playing at home and have met this KPI they are 45-6 SU and 41-10 ATS for 80.4%; since the start of the 2013 season, the Lions are 10-0 SUATS
Here is a nice DB System query that has produced a solid 32-7 record good for 82.1% winners and has made $2,430 per $100 wagered since 1983. Play against all teams where the line is +3 to -3 after allowing 6 points or less last game and is now facing an opponent coming off a loss by 3 or less points.
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10-07-18 |
Titans -5 v. Bills |
|
12-13 |
Loss |
-110 |
3 h 15 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Tennessee Titans (455) Tennessee (3 - 1) at Buffalo (1 - 3) Week 5 Sunday, 10/7/2018 1:00 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 7-star wager on the Titans which the market has them priced as 5.5-point road favorites. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Titans to The Titans are projected to outgain the Bills by a margin of 1.4 yards-per-play and will have a more efficient yards-per-point offense by a minimum of 1.5. When these two KPI have collided in past games, the Titans are 24-0 SUATS.
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10-07-18 |
Dolphins v. Bengals -6 |
Top |
17-27 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 51 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Cincinnati (466) Miami(3 - 1) at Cincinnati (3 - 1) Week 5 Sunday, 10/7/2018 1:00 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10-stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 10-star wager on the Bengals, which the market has them priced as 6-point home favorites.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Bengals to enjoy a margin of at least 1.4 yards-per-play and will have a more efficient yards-per-point offense by a minimum of 1.5. When these two KPI have collided in past games, the Bengals are 29-1 SUATS and has covered by an average of 16 points.
|
10-06-18 |
Notre Dame v. Virginia Tech +7 |
Top |
45-23 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 33 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Virginia Tech (350) NOTRE DAME (5 - 0) at VIRGINIA TECH (3 - 1) Week 6 Saturday, 10/6/2018 8:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 7-star wager on the Hokies which the market has them priced as 7-point home dogs in this marquee matchup.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Hokies to control game tempo with a time of possession advantage of at least 5 minutes, will gain a minimum of 4.5 yards per rush, and will outgain the Irish by 50 to 100 total yards. Hokies are a perfect 5-0 SUATS when averaging at least 4.5 RYPC and enjoying a minimum of 5 minutes advantage in TOP. Here is a solid database system query that has produced a solid 44-14 record good for 76% winners over the past 25 seasons. Play against road favorites good offensive team averaging between 5.6 to 6.2 yards-per-play and after gaining 450 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games and is now facing a team with an average defense allowing 4.8 to 5.6 YPP.
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10-06-18 |
Auburn -3.5 v. Mississippi State |
Top |
9-23 |
Loss |
-105 |
8 h 20 m |
Show
|
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Auburn (391) AUBURN (4 - 1) at MISSISSIPPI ST (3 - 2) Week 6 Saturday, 10/6/2018 7:30 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 10-star wager on the Auburn Tigers which the market has them priced as 3-point road favorites in this SEC show down.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Tigers to control game tempo and will dominate both sides of the line of scrimmage. Tigers are 9-0 SU and 8-1 ATS when passing for at least 7.5 passing yards per attempt and gaining more than 200 passing yards in road games. When allowing these performance measures to an opponent installed as a home dog Miss. State is just 5-9 ATS. State is coming off back-to-back horrid offensive games losing at Kentucky 28-7 and losing at home to Florida 13-6. Traveling ranked teams in the top-25 playing a team that scored 10 or less points in two straight games are 26-8 ASYS for 77% winners and 33-1 SU. Here is a great database system query that has produced a 29-5 record good for 85% winners since 1992. Play on road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points off 3 or more consecutive ‘unders’, with a great scoring defense allowing 14 or less points/game.
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10-06-18 |
Syracuse v. Pittsburgh +4 |
Top |
37-44 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 26 m |
Show
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ohn Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Pittsburgh (324) Syracuse (4-1) at Pittsburgh 2-3) Week 6 Saturday, 10/6/2018 12:20 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 7-star wager on Pittsburgh, which the market has them priced as 3.5-point road dogs. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for Pittsburgh to gain 1.4 or more yards play than he Orange will gain. In past home games where Pitt has attained or exceeded this YPPL metric, they have gone 26-1 SU and 19-6 ATS for 76%. Pitt is projected to score at least 28 points and are 12-6 ATS when installed as a home dog.
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10-06-18 |
Kansas +28 v. West Virginia |
Top |
22-38 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 6 m |
Show
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John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Kansas (375) Kansas (2 - 3) at West Virginia (4 - 0) Week 6 Saturday, 10/6/2018 12:00 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7-stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 7-star wager on the Jayhawks, which the market has them priced as 28.5-point road dogs.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Mountaineers to out gain Kansas, but by less than 2.0 yards-per-play. When they have been installed as home favorites of 27.5 or more points and have not outgained their opponent by more than 2 YPPL they are just 1-5 ATS.
Here is a nice DB System query that has produced a solid 96-49 record good for 66.2% winners and has made $4,210 per $100 wagered since 1992. Play on road underdogs of 21.5 or more points after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games, and has a current win percentage of 25% to 40% and is now facing a team with a winning record.
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10-06-18 |
Northwestern v. Michigan State -10 |
Top |
29-19 |
Loss |
-102 |
5 h 5 m |
Show
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John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Michigan State (374) Northwestern (1 - 3) at Michigan St (3 - 1) Week 6 Saturday, 10/6/2018 12:00 PM Friday, 10/5/2018 4:15 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 7-star wager on the Spartans which the market has them priced as 10-point home favorites in this BIG_TEN show down. SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Spartans to control game tempo and will dominate both sides of the line of scrimmage. Spartans are 25-1 SU and 18-9 ATS when passing for at least 8.5 passing yards per attempt in home games. Spartans are 32-1 SU and 23-10 ATS for 70% when holding an opponent to fewer than 4 yards per play in home games.
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10-05-18 |
Utah State +3 v. BYU |
Top |
45-20 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 59 m |
Show
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John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Utah State (311) Utah State (3 - 1) at BYU (3 - 2) Week 6 Friday, 10/5/2018 9:00 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 10-star wager on Utah State, which the market has them priced as 3-point road dogs. The Algoroithm also came up with a 5-Star graded play on the OVER. So, place a 5-Star wager on the OVER, which is currently priced at 53.5-points. Also, consider adding a reverse parlay not to exceed a 3-start amount using Utah State plus the points and the OVER. A reverse bet is similar to a parlay bet but is actually a set of if bets where action goes in both forward and reverse order. For example, we are looking at the Utah State game on the board and see Utah Stat installed as 3-point dog and the total at 53.5-points. We decide we want to bet UTST +3 and also want to bet the ‘OVER’ If we did so in a $100 2-team parlay we’ll be paid $264.64 if both plays win, and we will lose our full $100 stake if we go 1-1 or 0-2. If we instead made a reverse bet our wager would be:
Bet #1 UTST +3 -110 $50 to win $45.4545. If win, push, tie, or cancelled –Then: OVER 53.5 -110 $50 to win $45.4545 Bet #2 OVER 53.5 -110 $50 to win $45.4545. If win, push, tie, or cancelled – Then: UTST +3 -110 $50 to win $45.4545
The two bets above are placed together on the same ticket using the reverse bet wagering option of an online bookmaker. As you can see this is a “double if bet” using the same selections. Bet $50 on UTST and if they win, push, tie or cancel rebet my $50 stake on the ‘OVER’. Also bet $50 on the ‘OVER’ and if that wins, push, tie or cancel rebet my $50 stake on the UTST +3.
The potential outcomes for a $50 reverse action wager:
If both teams lose your $100 stake is lost= -$100 If both teams win you win $45.4545 four times = +$181.82 If one team wins and the other loses you win $45.45, but you moved your $50 return of stake to the team that lost which you had another $50 stake on that also lost. So (+$45.45)+(-$50)+(-$50)= -$54.55.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for Utah State to gain 1.1 or more yards play than the BYU Cougars will gain. In past road games where Utah State has attained or exceeded this YPPL metric, they have gone 14-5 SU and 13-6 ATS for 68.4%. And when installed as a road dog, Utah State is a quite strong 5-1 ATS and 5-0-1 OVER.
Utah State is projected to score at least 28 points and are 9-1 ATS when they do score 28 points over the last 2 seasons.
Here is a reliable money-making DB situational query that has produced a 113-59 record for 65.7% winners over the past five seasons. Play on road underdogs after gaining 475 or more total yards in their previous game, with 8 or more offensive starters including the QB returning.
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10-05-18 |
Yankees v. Red Sox -168 |
Top |
4-5 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 36 m |
Show
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John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Boston Red Sox (906) Friday, 10/5/2018 7:35 PM J.A. HAPP (L) vs. CHRIS SALE (L)
AL Division Series - Best of 5 - Game 1 SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10-stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 10-star wager on the Red Sox, which the market has them priced as 170 home favorites.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Red Sox to have a lower, more efficient hits-per-run ratio and use less pitchers than the NY Yankees. In past games, where the SOX have met these performance measures and installed as home favorites of 150 and higher they have gone 228-28 for 89% and a nice 41% ROI averaging a -171 favorite wager. Slicing the data set to include only playoff games at Fenway, they are a perfect 11-0 winning by an average of 6 runs..
DB Situational Query Play against road underdogs with a money line of +150 or more with a hot starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.000 or less over his last 5 starts, with a tired bullpen throwing 9 or more innings over the last 2 games. 53-9 since 1997 for 85.5%, +3530 per $100 wagered.
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10-05-18 |
Rockies +151 v. Brewers |
Top |
0-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
3 h 37 m |
Show
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John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Colorado (909)
Friday, 10/5/2018 4:15 PM TYLER ANDERSON (L) vs. JHOULYS CHACIN (R)
NL Division Series - Best of 5 - Game 2 - MIL leads 1-0 SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 7-star wager on the Rockies which the market has them priced as 145 road dogs.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Rockies starter to complete more innings of work than Milwaukee’s counterpart. In past road Rockies regular season and playoff games where their starter completed more innings than the visiting opponent start, they have gone 274-118 for 70% averaging a 135 dog line. When the Rockies have had the lower, more efficient Hits-per-run ratio in road games they have gone 363-81 for 82%. Further, Milwaukee is on a nine-game winning streak and when the next game is a playoff game, these teams are just 1-5 SU.
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10-05-18 |
Indians +141 v. Astros |
Top |
2-7 |
Loss |
-100 |
3 h 24 m |
Show
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John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Cleveland Indians (907)
CLEVELAND (91 - 71) at HOUSTON (103 - 59) Friday, 10/5/2018 2:05 PM COREY KLUBER (R) vs. JUSTIN VERLANDER (R)
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7-stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 7-star wager on the Indians, which the market has them priced as 140 road dogs.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Indians to have a lower, more efficient hits-per-run ratio. In all playoff games dating back to 2004, home teams that had the better HRP ratio have produced a 195-22 record for 90% winners while road teams have gone 150-22 for 82.4% winners and a nice 77% ROI. When the road dog has been installed with a line of 150 or less, they have gone 78-14 for 85% and 68-5 using the Run Line. The better bet though is playing the money line, which returned a 89% ROI versus a 47% ROI using the Run Line due to the change in lines when getting 1.5 runs as the dog.
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10-04-18 |
Braves v. Dodgers -175 |
Top |
0-6 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 17 m |
Show
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John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup LA Dodgers (904) Atlanta (90 - 72) at LA Dodgers (92 - 71) Thursday, 10/4/2018 8:35 PM MIKE FOLTYNEWICZ (R) vs. HYUN-JIN RYU (L)
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 7-star wager on the Dodgers which the market has them priced as -170 home favorites
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Dodgers starter to complete more innings of work than Atlanta’s counterpart. In past home Dodger playoff games where their starter completed more innings than the visiting opponent start, they have gone 13-3 for 81% winners
Here is a reliable money-making DB situational query that has produced a 75-14 record good for 84% winners and has made $4,850 per $100 wagered over the past five seasons. Play against all NL underdogs with a money line of +150 or more and is scoring 4.5 or more runs-per-game on the season and after scoring 3 runs or less 2 straight games.
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10-04-18 |
Colts v. Patriots -10 |
Top |
24-38 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 45 m |
Show
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John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup New England (302) Colts (1 - 3) at Patriots (2 - 2) Week 5 Thursday, 10/4/2018 8:20 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 10-star wager on the Patriots, which the market has them priced as 10-point home favorites.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Patriots to gain 1.4 or more yards play than the Colts will gain. In past home games where the Patriots attained or exceeded the YPPL metric, they have gone 34-1 SU and 32-3 ATS for 91.4% winners.
Here is a reliable money-making DB situational query that has produced a 45-17 record for 73% winners since 1983 and has gone 18-1 ATS over the past 10 seasons. Play against road teams that are not strong rushing teams averaging between 70 and 95 RY-per-game and after being outrushed by 75 or more yards in 2 straight games, and is now facing a team with an average rushing defense allowing between 95 and 125 RY-per-game.
Colts are passing 67% of the time and the entire scheme is get the ball out of Luck’s hands quickly. This plays right into the teeth of the Patriots defense, who rank 3rd overall and based on the predictive metrics will be a top-5 defensive unit over the course of the season. As we enter Week 5 action the Patriots pass defense ranks 20th, but 6th in coverage metrics. Their loss at Detroit allowing them 26 points was not attributed to poor pass coverage, but to the superior execution of the Detroit offense. The Colts under Manning and Luck have done well using play action to allow both QBs enough time to identify vertical ‘chunk’ route opportunities that have very high completion percentages. Without the presence of a ground attack and having to throw on 67% of the plays to date, will make it nearly impossible to catch the Patriots defense in a man coverage scheme while using play action. Simply, the Patriots defense is expected to give the underneath route and occasionally jump the slant route to the slot receiver looking for the interception.
Scary thing right now for defensive coordinators facing the Patriots is that they are executing pass plays 52% of the time. The emergence of Michel and the convoy of RBs and a much better than expected OL has reduced pressure on Brady in pass plays and has allowed for play action on nearly every pass play called. Gordon gives Brady a vertical threat that the Colts cannot defend with one CB. Gordon has to be bracketed and that all but eliminates the safety blitz. If the safeties are forced to come to the LOS to help stop the Patriots run game, then Brady will have man coverage on the perimeter with Hogan or Gordon.
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10-04-18 |
Rockies +156 v. Brewers |
Top |
2-3 |
Loss |
-100 |
2 h 23 m |
Show
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John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Colorado Rockies (901) Colorado (92 - 72) at Milwaukee (96 - 67) Thursday, 10/4/2018 5:05 PM ANTONIO SENZATELA (R) vs. BRANDON WOODRUFF (R)
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7-stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 7-star wager on the Rockies, which the market has them priced as 145 road dogs.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Rockies to have a lower, more efficient hits-per-run ratio. In all playoff games dating back to 2004, home teams that had the better HRP ratio have produced a 195-22 record for 90% winners while road teams have gone 150-22 for 82.4% winners and a nice 77% ROI. When the road dog has been installed with a line of 150 or less, they have gone 78-14 for 85% and 68-5 using the Run Line. The better bet though is paying the money line, which returned a 89% ROI versus a 47% ROI using the Run Line due to the change in lines when getting 1.5 runs as the dog.
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10-03-18 |
A's +163 v. Yankees |
Top |
2-7 |
Loss |
-100 |
11 h 49 m |
Show
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John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Oakland Athletics (939) OAKLAND (97 - 65) at NY YANKEES (100 - 62) Wednesday, 10/3/2018 8:05 PM LIAM HENDRIKS (R) vs. LUIS SEVERINO (R)
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10 stars on the Oakland A’s on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 10-star wager on the A’s using the money line, which currently prices them as 165 road dogs. You can opt to play a combination wager using a 6-Star play on the line and a 4-Star play on the Run Line, which is currently priced at -125 to get the +1.5 runs added to Oakland’s score.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the A’s to have a lower, more efficient, hits-per-run ratio, and use more pitchers. IN past road tilts where the A’s have achieved this standard, they have gone 109-24 for 82% and a strong 74% ROI winning the game by an average off 2-runs or more. Slicing this data to include only opponents with Win Percentages over 60%, the A’s have gone 15-3 for 83% and a 101% ROI; 4-1 after the All-Star break.
The A’s will be using the opener pitching strategy with Hendricks getting the start. He will pitch no more than 2 innings and will then give way to 10 other active pitchers on the staff. Since Hendricks was demoted on June 25 he pitched well in Triple-A Nashville and posted a 1.38 ERA in 12 appearances after being called back up to the Majors. The A’s also have the near-hitless closer in Blake Treinen who went 9-2 with 38 saves and an incredible 0.78 ERA. The movie Money Ball starts out with the A’s losing in 5-games in the 2001 ALDS to these Yankees after winning the first two games of that series. However, this is a vastly different and much deeper team than that edition and based on the ‘Math’ intelligence, I fully expect the A’s to win this game tonight.
Let’s not forget Severino went 1 OUT in last years’ Play-in game against Minnesota and although he has been solid down the stretch, he did have very poor outings in July. The A’s lineup is equal to the Yankees and they have greater plate discipline. The A’s will be looking to put pressure and keep pressure on Severino and the defense as often as possible.
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10-02-18 |
Rockies +126 v. Cubs |
Top |
2-1 |
Win
|
126 |
13 h 18 m |
Show
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John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Colorado Rockies Colorado (91 - 72) at Chicago Cubs (95 - 68) Tuesday, 10/2/2018 8:00 PM Kyle Freeland (LHP versus Jon Lester (LHP) SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10 stars on the Rockies on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 10-star wager on the Rockies using the money line, which currently prices them as 135 road dogs for this play-in game.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Rockies to have a lower, more efficient hits-per-run ratio and have fewer strikeouts than the Cubs, and will use more pitchers than the Cubs. In past road games where the Rockies have met or exceeded these KPIs, they have gone 47-7 for 87% and 6-0 in 2018.
Unlike the media consensus, I do not see the travel to three different cities to be an issue for the Rockies. They are playing extremely well having won 9 of the last 11 and faced an extremely great young Dodger arm yesterday in Walker Beuhler. Jon Lester is a great pitcher and one with immense and successful playoff experience in elimination games. However, as much as we have enjoyed watching him in this role over the years, he is not the same as he once was and the Rockies have a very strong hitting lineup from top to bottom.
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09-30-18 |
Ravens +3 v. Steelers |
Top |
26-14 |
Win
|
103 |
8 h 45 m |
Show
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John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Baltimore (275) Baltimore (2 - 1) at Pittsburgh (1 - 1 - 1) Week 4 Sunday, 9/30/2018 8:20 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 10-star wager on the Ravens which the market has them priced as 3.5-point road dogs.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Ravens to to gain at least 7 passing yards per attempt, will score at least 24 points and that Pittsburgh will gain over 100 rushing yards. In past road games where the Ravens have met this trio of metrics, they have gone 13-2-1 ATS for 87% winners. The Steelers in this situation have been a money burning 1-24 ATS and 4-21 SU.
Here is a reliable money-making DB situational query. Play against home favorites after a game where they forced 4 or more turnovers and is now facing an opponent after a game where they committed no turnovers has produced a 86-47 record since 1983 for 64.7%, +3430 per $100 wagered.
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09-30-18 |
Bengals v. Falcons -3.5 |
Top |
37-36 |
Loss |
-100 |
1 h 14 m |
Show
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John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Atlanta (256) Cincinnati (2 - 1) at Atlanta (1 - 2) Week 4 Sunday, 9/30/2018 1:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7 stars on the Falcons on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 7-star wager on the Falcons using the line, which currently prices them as 3.5-point home favorites.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Falcons to gain more then 35 more RY and 75 more passing yards than the Bengals. When the Falcons have achieved this tandem of KPI, they have gone 18-0 SU and 17-1 ATS. That lone ATS loss occurred back in 1998.
Playing on home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points after a game where the team committed no turnovers and is now facing an opponent after a game with a turnover margin of -3 or worse has produced a solid 24-5 mark over the last 10 seasons for 82.8%, +1850 per $%100 wagered Take the Falcons.
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09-30-18 |
Jets +7.5 v. Jaguars |
Top |
12-31 |
Loss |
-115 |
1 h 14 m |
Show
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John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup NY Jets (261) NY Jets (1 - 2) at Jacksonville (2 - 1) Week 4 Sunday, 9/30/2018 1:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 7-star wager on the Jets, which the market has them priced as 7.5-point road dogs.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Jets to gain more than 100 rushing yards and will hold JAX to less than 21 points. In past games where the Jets were installed as road dogs and attained that tandem of metrics they have gone 36-16 SU and 44-4-4 ATS for 92% winners.
Here is a reliable money-making DB situational query. Play against favorites with a poor turnover defense forcing 1 or less turnovers-per-game, after a game where they forced no turnovers. 53-22 over the last 5 seasons for 70.7%, +2880
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09-30-18 |
Eagles v. Titans OVER 41 |
Top |
23-26 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 13 m |
Show
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John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup OVER PHL-TENN (265-266) PHILADELPHIA (2 - 1) at TENNESSEE (2 - 1) Week 4 Sunday, 9/30/2018 1:00 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7-stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 7-star wager on the OVER, which the market has priced at 41-points.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Titans to gain at least 125 rushing yards and that the Eagles and Titans will combine for at least 9 red zone scoring opportunities. In past Eagles games when they have met these KPI, the OVER is a near-perfect 15-1. The Titans record in this situation is 9-2 OVER.
DB Situational Query Play Over with any team where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points that is a slow starting offensive team scoring 7 or less PPG in the first half, after allowing 14 points or less last game. 25-4 over the last 10 seasons for 86.2%, +2060 per $100 wagered.
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09-29-18 |
Ohio State v. Penn State +4 |
Top |
27-26 |
Win
|
100 |
105 h 45 m |
Show
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John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Penn State (162) OHIO ST (4 - 0) at PENN ST (4 - 0) Week 5 Saturday, 9/29/2018 7:30 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.
Place a 10-star wager on the Penn State Nittany Lions using the line, which currently prices the them as 3.5 home dogs.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Lions to have at least 30 more rushing yards than the Buckeyes, score at least 32 points, and average at least 7.5 yards per pass attempt or a minimum of 6.5 yards per play. In past games where two teams ranked in the Top-10 have met on the lesser ranked teams’ home venue and the home team was installed as a dog and is coming of two straight games scoring 42 or more points have gone an impressive 6-2 SU and 7-1 ATS with the average margin of victory 3.75 points and average ATS margin 8.75 points. Slicing the data bit further to show only those games where the home dog scored 32 or more points produces a perfect 14-0 ATS result and an average margin of victory of 14 points and ATS margin of 19 points.
Following is a database situational query where playing on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after scoring 42 points or more in 2 straight games has produced an exceptional mark of 40-11 ATS for 78.4% winners. Here is a second database situational query where playing on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points in a game involving two dominant teams outgaining opponents by 100 or more YPG and after gaining 450 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games has produced a 35-11 over the last 5 seasons for 76.1%, +2290 per $100 wagered.
This game is at Happy Valley and it will be a White Out event held at night on National TV with close to 111,000 in attendance and 110,500 PSU fans. They had the White Out last year when they played Michigan in what was a complete blowout and home field advantage, especially at the PSU student end zone was significant. The crowd noise will be a factor whenever OSU gets into the red zone at that end of the field. Tailgating at PSU is arguably the best in the nation and covers more than 200 acres of rolling farmland and will start Thursday morning.
The Penn State defense has made its’ share of mistakes in the young season and it starts with only 3 returning starters from last year’s unit. However, the depth chart released Monday morning reflects just how deep and talented the defense has become. The promotion of freshman Jonathan Sutherland is noteworthy as he is now listed as the backup to starter Nick Scott. Sutherland had eight tackles and had a TFL in the 63-24 win over Illinois.
Although young, the PSU wideouts are excellent route runners with elite athleticism. In watching game films, they can blow by corners near effortlessly and appear to be cruising downfield for wide open receptions. The duo of KJ Hamler and Juwan Johnson lead the receiving corps. Hamler is the team leader in yards (170) and TDs (three) while Johnson has 12 catches for 141 yards and one score. Hamler has emerged as the big play machine and he certainly will have a significant impact in this game.
PSU has a great running back in 24 Miles Sanders (5-11, 215, Jr./Jr.), who has the quickness of his mentor Barkley, but doesn’t have the physical size. However, he has yet to be showcased in any game, especially out of the backfield. Last year, Barkley would get short high percentage receptions in space where he then could make the first defender miss. Sanders will be a nightmare for OSU linebackers to cover in space and he will have be targeted far more often in this game.
All of this then sets up the play action ‘read option’ plays sending the speedsters in vertical routes where QB McSorley elite arm strength will be on display. At only 6-0 and 201 pounds, he is the heart and soul of this year’s team and is a ferocious competitor when the games are on the line.
Ohio State is an elite team too and there is absolutely no debating that point. The Lions have a huge advantage playing a home Nationally televised night game that will go along way to determining the Big-10 Champion and also a potential spot in the playoffs. At the end of the day, it is always the data and what the results of the neural net metrics inform us with that is the dominant reason for this play to be made with the winning confidence of a 10-Star.
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09-29-18 |
Pittsburgh +13.5 v. Central Florida |
Top |
14-45 |
Loss |
-110 |
25 h 40 m |
Show
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John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Pittsburgh (139) PITTSBURGH (2 - 2) at UCF (3 - 0) Week 5 Saturday, 9/29/2018 3:30 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.
Place a 7-star wager on the Pittsburgh, which the market has them priced as 13.5 point road dogs.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Panthers to have a better (higher value) defensive yards per point allowed ratio by a margin of 1.5 yards allowed per point. In past games where the Panthers have achieved this KPI, they have gone 60-9 SU and 52-13-3 ASTS covering by an average of 9.10 PPG.
The following DB situation underscores the strength of this play and the potential for Pitt to attain a major upset victory. Play on road underdogs in a game involving two excellent rushing teams averaging 4.8 or more YPR and after gaining 6 or more rushing yards-per-attempt last game. 56-23 over the last 5 seasons for 70.9%, +3070 per $100 wagered.
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09-29-18 |
Syracuse +25.5 v. Clemson |
Top |
23-27 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 11 m |
Show
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The Play and the Matchup Syracuse (129) SYRACUSE (4 - 0) at CLEMSON (4 - 0) Week 5 Saturday, 9/29/2018 12:00 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.
Place a 7-star wager on the Orange of Syracuse, which the market has them priced as 25.5-point road dogs. Our metrics indicate that this game could be a very close one that is decided late in the fourth quarter, so if you are able to get a money line, take Syracuse as an added 2-Star amount.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Orange defense to keep Clemson to less than 7 yards per pass play and that they will score at least 21 points. In previous road tilts where Syracuse has met these measures, they have gone a perfect 11-0 ATS covering by an average of 14 points.
Here is a reliable money-making DB situational query. Play on a road team that is an excellent offensive team gaining 6.2 more yards-per-play after gaining 525 or more total yards in their previous game and is now facing team with an excellent defense allowing 4.2 or fewer yards-per-play. 34-9 over the last 10 seasons for 79.1%, +2410 per $100 wagered
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09-29-18 |
West Virginia v. Texas Tech +4 |
Top |
42-34 |
Loss |
-115 |
21 h 10 m |
Show
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John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Texas Tech (184) W VIRGINIA (3 - 0) at TEXAS TECH (3 - 1) Week 5 Saturday, 9/29/2018 12:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7-stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 7-star wager on the Red Raiders, which the market has them priced as 3.5-point road dogs.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Red Raiders to have more efficient, lower offensive yards-per-point ratio than WVU and the margin will be at least 1.5 yards per point in this game. IN past home tilts when the Red Raiders have accomplished this performance level they have produced a 47-11-1 ATS record for 81%.
DB Situational Query The following query goes like this. Play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points in a game involving two dominant teams outgaining their respective opponents by 100 or more YPG and after gaining 475 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games. 28-6 over the last 5 seasons for 82.4%, +2140 per $100 wagered
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09-28-18 |
Dodgers -180 v. Giants |
Top |
3-1 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 41 m |
Show
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John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Los Angeles Dodgers LA DODGERS (88 - 71) at SAN FRANCISCO (73 - 86) Friday, 9/28/2018 10:15 PM HYUN-JIN RYU (L) vs. MADISON BUMGARNER (L) SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.
Place a 10-star wager on the Dodgers using the money line, which currently prices the Dodgers as 165 road favorites.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Dodgers to have more Multiple run innings than the Giants and that Giants starter will pitch less innings than Dodgers starter HYUN-JIN RYU. In past games where the Dodgers have achieved these KPI, they have gone an incredible 611-13 for 98% and a 64% ROI. Slicing the data down including road games installed as a -150 favorite or higher, they have gone 70-0! Play against all underdogs with a money line of +150 or more batting 255 or less and batting .230 or worse over their last 10 games and facing a very good NL starting pitcher sporting an ERA of 3.00 or less. 116-32 over the last 5 seasons for 78.4%, +5320 per $100 wagered.
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09-28-18 |
Memphis v. Tulane +15 |
Top |
24-40 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 36 m |
Show
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John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
Be sure to get on board Ryan’s 10-Star NCAA Upset Alert Game of the Year that goes Saturday. The 10-Star play has gone 3-1 ATS in NCAAF this season and in 2017 they hit 77% ATS NFL+NCAA combined.
The Play and the Matchup Tulane (106) MEMPHIS (3 - 1) at TULANE (1 - 3) Week 5 Friday, 9/28/2018 8:00 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7 stars on the Tigers on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 7-star wager on the Tulane Green Wave using the line, which currently prices them as 15-point home dogs. I also like the idea of a combination wager placing a 5-star wager on the line and a 2-Star amount on the money line. The money line is priced at 500, which simply means a 1-star play of $100 would return $500 if Tulane pulls off the magical upset. So, in the recommended combination wager, it would return $1,000 and then add in the 6-Star or $600 winner using the line and you get a total return of $1600.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Wave to gain at least 9 yards per pass attempt and score 28 or more points. In past home Wave games where they have attained these KPI, they have gone a resounding 12-2 ATS for 78% covering the number by an average of 7 PPG. They are 14-4 SATS in home games when they pass for 9 or more yards per attempt by itself.
In road Memphis games when they have allowed 28 or more points and an opponent to pass for at least 9 yards per attempt they have been a money burning 3-15-3 ATS for just 17% winners.
Here is a DB situational query that has done quite well and supports the SIM grading for this play. Play against road favorites of 10.5 to 21 points that has been dominating opponents outgaining them by 125 or more YPG and after gaining 525 or more total yards per game over their last 2 games. 46-14 over the last 10 seasons for 76.7%, +3060 per $100 wagered.
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09-27-18 |
Vikings v. Rams -7 |
Top |
31-38 |
Push |
0 |
4 h 23 m |
Show
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John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Los Angeles Rams (102) MINNESOTA (1 - 1 - 1) at LA RAMS (3 - 0) Week 4 Thursday, 9/27/2018 8:20 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7-stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 7-star wager on the Rams, which the market has them priced as 7-point home favorites.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Rams to have a minimum of 125 rushing yards and will keep Minnesota to less than 95 rushing yards. Rams will post a minimum of 8 yards per pass attempt and will score a minimum of 27 points. In past games, where the Rams have met or exceeded these KPI, they have gone a perfect 16-0 SU and 16-0 ATS covering the spread by 14.5 points-per-game. When at home, they have gone 8-0 ATS covering by 13.81 points-per-game.
DB Situational Query The following query goes like this. Play against road underdogs using the money line off a home blowout loss by 21 points or more against opponent off a home win. It is not a bad option either if you are a Money Line player and wish to use that wager method. However, we would only caution you to reduce the wager amount to 3.5-Stars given the -285 money line currently prevailing in the market. 47-3 since 1983 for 94%, +3840 per $100 wagered.
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09-25-18 |
Dodgers -1.5 v. Diamondbacks |
Top |
3-4 |
Loss |
-125 |
10 h 11 m |
Show
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John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup LA Dodgers using the Run Line (961) LA DODGERS (88 - 69) at ARIZONA (79 - 78) Tuesday, 9/25/2018 9:40 PM WALKER BUEHLER (R) vs. MATT KOCH (R) SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.
Place a 10-star wager on the Dodgers using the RUN line, which is currently pricing them as -220 ML and -1.5 -140 Run Line road favorites.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Dodgers to have a lower, more efficient hits-to-run ratio and have at least 1 multiple run inning. In previous road games where the Dodgers have met or exceeded these KPIs, they have gone 415-58 for 88% and a 65% ROI. When installed as a road favorite including these measures they have gone 234-30 for 89% and 49% ROI and 75-9 for 89% and a 44% ROI since the start of the 2016 season. Finally, slicing it further to include games where they were favored by at least -185, they have gone 21-2 for 91% and a 32% ROI. Under these same measures, when the Diamondbacks have been home, they have gone a dismal 7-27 for 21% and a horrid -54% ROI.
Database Situational Query Play against all underdogs with a money line of +150 or more that are batting 255 or less on the season and batting .225 or worse over their last 10 games and now facing against a solid NL starting pitcher with an ERA of 3.00 or less. 99-20 over the last 5 seasons for 83.2%, +6120 per $100 wagered.
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09-23-18 |
Saints v. Falcons -1.5 |
Top |
43-37 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 37 m |
Show
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John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Falcons (468) NEW ORLEANS (1 - 1) at ATLANTA (1 - 1) Week 3 Sunday, 9/23/2018 1:00 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.
Place a 10-star wager on the Atlanta Falcons, which the market has them priced as 3-point home favorites.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Falcons to score 28 or more points, gain at least 375 total offensive yards, and average 7 or better yards-per-play. In home Falcon games installed as a favorite and meeting these KPI they have gone an impressive 14-0 SU winning by an average 16 points and 11-2-1 ATS for 85% and covering the number by 8.50 points.
Here is a reliable money-making DB situational query. Play on home teams that are off a win against a division rival, in a game involving two teams that had winning records last season. 36-12 since 1983 for 75%, +228o per $100 wager. This situational query has not lost in 10 years and is a perfect 8-0 over that span.
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09-22-18 |
Kansas +7.5 v. Baylor |
Top |
7-26 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 16 m |
Show
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John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Kansas (385) KANSAS (2 - 1) at BAYLOR (2 - 1) Week 4 Saturday, 9/22/2018 3:30 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.
Place a 7-star wager on the Kansas Jayhawks, which the market has them priced as 7.5-point road dogs. You recall the 10-Star monster winner last week as Kansas smoked Rutgers and covered by 42 points. Kansas is known for the basketball program but this team is building towards a very special season and arguably the best of he last two decades.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Jayhawks to have a minimum of 175 rushing yards and will have fewer turnovers than Baylor. In past road games, where Kansas has met these KPIs, they are a perfect 6-0 ATS.
Here is a reliable money-making DB situational query. Play on road underdogs using the money line that is a solid rushing team gaining between 190 to 230 RY-per-game and is facing an average rushing team gaining between 140 to 190 RY-per-game, after outrushing opponent by 125 or more yards last game. 25-19 over the last 10 seasons for 56.8%, +5240 per $100 wager and averaging a 285 dog wager.
And another one using the line supports the fantastic team chemistry Kansas possesses this season. Play on road underdogs after gaining 525 or more total yards in their previous game, with 8 or more offensive starters including the QB returning.
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09-22-18 |
Texas A&M +26.5 v. Alabama |
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23-45 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 11 m |
Show
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John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Texas A&M (405) SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7-stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 7-star wager on the Aggies from Texas A&M, which the market has them priced as 25.5-point road dogs.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for the Aggies to have fewer turnovers than Alabama. In past road games where they have been installed as 10 point or more dogs and won the turnover battle, they have gone a perfect 5-0 ATS.
DB Situational Query Here is a reliable money-making DB situational query. Play on road underdogs after gaining 525 or more total yards in their previous game. 186-98 over the last 5 seasons for 65.5%, +7820 per $100 wagered. If we slice the data further to include opponents ranked in the top-5 at the time of the game, the results are 41-25-2 ATS mark for 62%. And adding in games where the traveler was installed as a 24 or more point dog, they have gone 15-8 for 65% winners.
John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
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09-22-18 |
Georgia -14 v. Missouri |
Top |
43-29 |
Push |
0 |
6 h 40 m |
Show
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The Play and the Matchup Georgia (403) GEORGIA (3 - 0) at MISSOURI (3 - 0) Week 4 Saturday, 9/22/2018 12:00 PM SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 7 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.
Place a 7-star wager on the Georgia Bulldogs, who are priced currently as 14-point road favorites in this SEC matchup. Georgia is ranked number one overall by are machine learning programs and we just don’t see how Missouri can sustain competitive equality for all four quarters. Georgia’ OL will wear down the Tigers over the course of the game and open up big play opportunities in both ground and passing games.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for Georgia to have a minimum of 9 yards per pass attempt, gain a minimum of 6.5 yards per play, and will outgain Missouri by at least 0.5 yards-per-play. Georgia is 61-35 ATS (+22.5 Units) when they gain 9 or more net passing yards-per-attempt and 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons. Moreover, they are 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when they gain 6.5 or more total yards per play over the last 2 seasons. Missouri on the other hand is a money losing 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) in home games when they're outgained by opponents by 0.5 to 1 yards-per-play and 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) when they allow 6.5 or more total yards per play over the last 3 seasons.
Here is a reliable money-making DB situational query. Play on road favorites after allowing 17 points or less in 2 straight games and is now facing an opponent after allowing 37 points or more last game. 36-11 over the last 5 seasons for 76.6%, +2390 units
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09-21-18 |
Florida Atlantic +14 v. Central Florida |
Top |
36-56 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 52 m |
Show
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John Ryan Sports Research Report @JohnRyanSports1
The Play and the Matchup Florida Atlantic (305) FLA ATLANTIC (2 - 1) at UCF (2 - 0) Week 4 Friday, 9/21/2018 7:00 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy 10 stars on the Tigers on a 3 to 10-star grading scale. Place a 10-star wager on FAU using the line, which currently prices them 14-point road dogs.
SIM Projections and Results Projection summary calls for FAU to score 28 or more points and have a minimum of 500 total offensive yards. In past games where the FAU has met or exceeded these KPIs, they have gone 8-2 ATS and when installed as 10 or more point road dogs they are 5-1 ATS. When CFU has allowed an opponent the aforementioned projections, they are 1-4 ATS. When CFU has allowed 28 or more points and were installed as double digit favorites they are an imperfect 0-5 ATS.
Here is a supporting DB situational query. Play on road underdogs with a struggling defense allowing 6.1 or more yards-per-play, after gaining 525 or more total offensive yards in their previous game. 52-16 over the last 5 seasons and 76.5%, $3,440.
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