Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
02-11-17 | Gonzaga v. St. Mary's +3.5 | Top | 74-64 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 7 m | Show |
10* graded play on St. Mary’s (680) as they take on No. 1 Gonzaga in huge WCC matchup set to start at 8:15 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that will win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 5.5* play on the line and a 1.5* play using the money line. However, the one single requirements is that we need a +135 Money line to validate the ROI for the combination wager. If it is not at +135, then simply make a 7* wager using the line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 40-12 ATS mark good for 77% winners since 1997. Play against favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (GONZAGA) off a road blowout win by 20 points or more, in a game involving two top-level teams winning more than 80% of their games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. St. Mary’s is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when they commit 10 to 13 turnovers in a game over the last 2 seasons. St. Mary’s is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of less than 42% over the last 2 seasons. St. Mary’s is 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) off a home win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board St. Mary’s. St. Mary’s has one of the best defenses in the nation. Gonzaga has one of the best offenses in the nation. St. Mary’s offense is very efficient though, ranking and rank 4th with a 1.593 assist-to-turnover ratio. They rank 5th with a 0.645 assist-to-FGM ratio. So, although they score 14 PPG less than Gonzaga they do it in a far more efficient manner than Gonzaga. So, what may be somewhat contrary to what the talking heads on TV are stating, we think it will be the emergence of the St. Mary offense that will be the dominant reason they win this game. Take St. Mary’s |
|||||||
02-11-17 | Heat v. 76ers +4 | Top | 109-117 | Win | 100 | 5 h 54 m | Show |
7* graded play on the Philadelphia 76ers as they take on the Miami Heat in NBA action set to start at 7:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the 76ers will win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case, the optimal combination is to wager a 5.5* play on the line and a 1.5* play using the money line. However, the one single requirements is that we need a +135 Money line to validate the ROI for the combination wager. If it is not at +135, then simply make a 7* wager using the line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 33-11 mark using the money line good for 75% winners and has made 22.3 units/unit wagered since 2011. Play on home teams vs. the money line (PHILADELPHIA) in a game involving two good offensive teams (98-102 PPG) after 42+ games, after allowing 105 points or more 2 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Philadelphia is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 200 this season. Philadelphia is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) after playing a game as a road underdog this season. Miami is just 6-14 against the money line (-11.9 Units) in road games when they allow 99 to 104 points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Take the 76ers.
|
|||||||
02-11-17 | Georgia State v. Appalachian State +5.5 | Top | 72-77 | Win | 100 | 4 h 39 m | Show |
7* graded play on Appalachian State as they take on Georgia State in action set to start at PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that will win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. GS is just 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in road games when they attempt 19 to 24 free throws in a game over the last 3 seasons. GS is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when they make 64% to 71% of their free throws in a game over the last 2 seasons. GS is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) when they grab 9 to 13 offensive rebounds in a game over the last 3 seasons. AS is a solid 25-9 ATS (+15.1 Units) in home games when they make 72% to 78% of their free throws in a game GS is just 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) after playing 3 consecutive games as favorite over the last 2 seasons. GS is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Appalachian State. The Appalachian State Mountaineers host the Georgia State Panthers in a Sun Belt matchup on Saturday. The Panthers come into town looking to make their 8-game winning streak 9 against the struggling mountaineers who have lost 7 straight and 10 of their last 11. Georgia State sits near the top of the Sun Belt while the Mountaineers have essentially been a free win for sun belt teams this season. Georgia State shoots the ball at 48% while Appalachian State shoots at just a 43% rate. However, this is simply a horrible spot for Georgia State. GS is simply winning games with smoke and mirrors. They rank 311th in the nation with a horrid assist-to-FG ranking and 0.872 assist-to-turnover ratio. This reflects very poor ball movement and ball care. Moreover, GS does not attack the offensive glass either ranking 126th with 9.4 per game. They rank 278th averaging just 22 defensive boards per game. This is a matchup where we think AS can exploit these glaring weaknesses in the GS game and would not be surprised to see them win. |
|||||||
02-11-17 | Vanderbilt -7 v. Missouri | Top | 52-72 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 40 m | Show |
7* graded play on Vanderbilt (565) as they take on Missouri in SEC action set to start at 3:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Vanderbilt will win this game by more than 11 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 29-11 ATS mark good for 73% winners since 2011. Play against home teams as an underdog or pick (MISSOURI) after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Vanderbilt is a solid 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when they score 75 to 80 points in a game over the last 3 seasons. Missouri 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) when they attempt 54 to 62 shots in a game over the last 3 seasons. Missouri is an imperfect 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after a loss by 6 points or less this season. Fundamental Discussion Points The Vanderbilt Commodores take on the Missouri Tigers on Saturday in an SEC matchup. The commodores enter the game with a 5-6 conference record while the Tigers come in with a 1-10 record in conference play. In fact, Missouri has just 1 win in its last 15 games. Missouri shoots the ball very inefficiently at just 39.2% on the season and score just 69.4 points per game. Vanderbilt has played solid defense all season allowing just 70.4 points per game. Vanderbilt’s solid defense and the Tigers inefficient offense tells us one thing, take Vanderbilt to win and cover in this SEC matchup. |
|||||||
02-11-17 | NC State +8.5 v. Wake Forest | Top | 58-88 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 6 m | Show |
7* graded play on NC State as they take on Wake Forest in ACC action set to start at 12:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that NC State will w\lose this game by fewer than 7 points and has a great shot to win the game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 5.5* play on the line and a 1.5* play using the money line. However, the one single requirements is that we need a +135 Money line to validate the ROI for the combination wager. If it is not at +135, then simply make a 7* wager using the line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 56-23 ATS mark good for 71% winners and has made 31 units/unit wagered since 2011. Play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NC STATE) revenging a home loss vs opponent, off a road loss by 20 points or more. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Wake Forest is just 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) when their opponents make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons. Wake Forest is 14-29 ATS (-17.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1997. |
|||||||
02-10-17 | Heat v. Nets +6.5 | Top | 108-99 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 4 m | Show |
7* graded play on Brooklynn (852) as they take on Miami in NBA action set to start at 7:0 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that will win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case, the optimal combination is to wager a 5.5* play on the line and a 1.5* play using the money line. However, the one single requirements is that we need a +135 Money line to validate the ROI for the combination wager. If it is not at +135, then simply make a 7* wager using the line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 43-48 record, but has made 44 units/unit wagered since 2011. Play on any team vs the money line (BROOKLYN) terrible team getting outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game, after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games. It has averaged a +214 dog line as well making it a very strong system. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Miami is just 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in road games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 103+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. Miami is 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) off a road win over the last 3 seasons. Miami is 5-14 against the money line (-12.9 Units) in road games when they allow 99 to 104 points in a game over the last 2 seasons. |
|||||||
02-10-17 | Dartmouth v. Yale -15 | Top | 64-73 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 46 m | Show |
7* graded play on Yale as they take on Dartmouth in Ancient Eight action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Yale will win this game by more than 21 points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Yale is 39-16 ATS (+21.4 Units) when they score 75 to 80 points in a game since 1997. Yale is 51-23 ATS (+25.7 Units) when they make 38% to 45% of their three point attempts in a game since 1997. Yale is 58-15 ATS (+41.5 Units) when their opponents make 34% to 39% of their shots in a game since 1997. Dartmouth is just 28-48 ATS (-24.8 Units) in road games when they grab 9 to 13 offensive rebounds in a game since 1997. |
|||||||
02-09-17 | Celtics v. Blazers -1.5 | Top | 120-111 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 50 m | Show |
7* graded play on Portland (710) as they take on Boston in NBA action set to start at 10:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Portland will win this game by more than 5 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 46-20 mark good for 70% winners and has made 31 units/unit wagered since 2011. Play on home teams using the money line (PORTLAND) in a game involving two explosive offensive teams scoring more than 102 PPG after 42+ games, after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Boston is just 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) when they allow 105 or more points in a game this season. Portland is a solid 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) in home games when they make 32% to 38% of their three point attempts in a game over the last 3 seasons. Portland is 30-15 ATS (+13.5 Units) when their opponents make 32% to 38% of their 3 pointers in a game over the last 2 seasons. Portland is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) when they grab 4 to 9 more rebounds than their opponents in a game over the last 2 seasons. |
|||||||
02-09-17 | Oregon v. UCLA -4.5 | Top | 79-82 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 47 m | Show |
10* graded play on UCLA (756) as they take on Oregon in PAC-12 action set to start at 10:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that UCLA will win this game by more than 8 points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Oregon is just 54-106 ATS (-62.6 Units) when their opponents make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game UCLA is a solid 137-57 ATS (+74.3 Units) when they score 81 or more points in a game Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Bruins. Despite being 3-9 ATS over their last 12 games, the Bruins are in the right spot at the right time to make a strong run at the PAC-12 title. UCLA is the top scoring offense in the nation averaging 92.9 PPG. Oregon relies on a stout defense, but they do have trouble against high octane offense that like to move the ball quickly. UCLA ranks best in the nation averaging 22 assists per game and best with an incredible 1.833 assist-to-turnover ratio. With so much on the line and playing in front of the home crowd, we fully expect the Bruins to win this one quite easily. |
|||||||
02-09-17 | Kings v. Panthers -109 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 22 m | Show |
7* graded play on Florida as they take on Los Angeles in NHL action set to start at 7:35 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Florida will win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 48-22 good for 69% winners and has made 27.2 units/unit wagered since 1996. Play on any team against the money line (FLORIDA) off 2 consecutive close home wins by 1 goal, playing with 3 or more days rest. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. LA is a money burning 24-35 against the money line (-21.9 Units) against good offensive teams averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the 2nd half of the year over the last 3 seasons. Florida is a solid 14-4 against the money line (+10.2 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak over the last 2 seasons. |
|||||||
02-09-17 | Hofstra v. Towson -4 | Top | 65-69 | Push | 0 | 9 h 44 m | Show |
(Special Note) We have changed our star rating system to move toward a 10* maximum ranking. First, we feel that providing a 50* release is just filled with too much hype, simply because it is called a 50* plays. We want the focus of you and all of our clients on the ground strokes of what has made the SIM Algorithm methodology hugely profitable for more than 22 seasons. So, nothing changes for you, the breakdowns will be the same and instead of using the 25* as the base play, you now use the 5* play as the base. You will see our wagering strategies will be outlined in a great detail, as always. So, if you wager $500 per SIM TITAN, then you continue to do exactly that. The 10* play will be the former 50* Titans and based on $500, you would wager $1,000., and $300 for a 3* play. 7* graded play on Towson (722) as they take on Hofstra in CAA action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Towson will win this game by more than 9 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 173-108 ATS for 62% winners since 1997. Play against underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (HOFSTRA) off a no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite against opponent off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Hofstra is just 21-43 ATS (-26.3 Units) when they grab 4 to 9 fewer rebounds than their opponents in a game since 1997. Towson State is 28-10 ATS (+17.0 Units) when they grab more than 45 rebounds in a game Towson State is a near-perfect 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when they score 75 to 80 points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Hofstra is an imperfect 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) after playing 2 consecutive games as favorite this season. |
|||||||
02-09-17 | Mercer v. VMI +4.5 | Top | 81-51 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 58 m | Show |
(Special Note) We have changed our star rating system to move toward a 10* maximum ranking. First, we feel that providing a 50* release is just filled with too much hype, simply because it is called a 50* plays. We want the focus of you and all of our clients on the ground strokes of what has made the SIM Algorithm methodology hugely profitable for more than 22 seasons. So, nothing changes for you, the breakdowns will be the same and instead of using the 25* as the base play, you now use the 5* play as the base. You will see our wagering strategies will be outlined in a great detail, as always. So, if you wager $500 per SIM TITAN, then you continue to do exactly that. The 10* play will be the former 50* Titans and based on $500, you would wager $1,000., and $300 for a 3* play. 7* graded play on VMI (782) as they take on Mercer in Southern Conference action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that VMI will win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 5.5* play on the line and a 1.5* play using the money line. However, the one single requirements is that we need a +135 Money line to validate the ROI for the combination wager. If it is not at +135, then simply make a 7* wager using the line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Mercer is just 10-25 ATS (-17.5 Units) facing good ball handling teams committing less than 15 turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. VMI is a perfect 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home games facing good free throw shooting teams making at least 72% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons. Mercer is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) after 4 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers over the last 3 seasons. Hoffman is 5-18 ATS (-14.8 Units) in February games as the coach of Mercer. |
|||||||
02-08-17 | Jazz v. Pelicans +4 | Top | 127-94 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 38 m | Show |
(Special Note) We have changed our star rating system to move toward a 10* maximum ranking. First, we feel that providing a 50* release is just filled with too much hype, simply because it is called a 50* plays. We want the focus of you and all of our clients on the ground strokes of what has made the SIM Algorithm methodology hugely profitable for more than 22 seasons. So, nothing changes for you, the breakdowns will be the same and instead of using the 25* as the base play, you now use the 5* play as the base. You will see our wagering strategies will be outlined in a great detail, as always. So, if you wager $500 per SIM TITAN, then you continue to do exactly that. The 10* play will be the former 50* Titans and based on $500, you would wager $1,000., and $300 for a 3* play. 7* graded play on the Pelicans (516) as they take on the Jazz in NBA action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Pelicans will win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 5.5* play on the line and a 1.5* play using the money line. However, the one single requirements is that we need a +135 Money line to validate the ROI for the combination wager. If it is not at +135, then simply make a 7* wager using the line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 26-10 mark good for 72% winners since 2011. Play against road teams vs. the money line in games played in February (UTAH) after beating the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Utah is a money burning Utah is 136-193 ATS (-76.3 Units) when they commit 3 to 5 more turnovers than their opponents since 1996. Utah is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when they make 32% to 38% of their three point attempts in a game this season. |
|||||||
02-08-17 | Clippers -1.5 v. Knicks | Top | 119-115 | Win | 100 | 12 h 22 m | Show |
7* graded play on the Clippers (519) as they take on the Knicks in NBA action set to start at 8:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Clippers will win this game by more than 7 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Clippers are a solid 45-28 ATS (+14.2 Units) when they score 105 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Knicks are just 23-38 ATS (-18.8 Units) when they make 32% to 38% of their three point attempts in a game over the last 3 seasons. Knicks are 21-39 ATS (-21.9 Units) when they allow 105 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Clippers. |
|||||||
02-08-17 | Baylor v. Oklahoma State -2 | Top | 72-69 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 26 m | Show |
(Special Note) We have changed our star rating system to move toward a 10* maximum ranking. First, we feel that providing a 50* release is just filled with too much hype, simply because it is called a 50* plays. We want the focus of you and all of our clients on the ground strokes of what has made the SIM Algorithm methodology hugely profitable for more than 22 seasons. So, nothing changes for you, the breakdowns will be the same and instead of using the 25* as the base play, you now use the 5* play as the base. You will see our wagering strategies will be outlined in a great detail, as always. So, if you wager $500 per SIM TITAN, then you continue to do exactly that. The 10* play will be the former 50* Titans and based on $500, you would wager $1,000., and $300 for a 3* play. 5* graded play on Oklahoma State as they take on Baylor in Big-12 action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that OSU will win this game by more than 7 points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. OSU is a near-perfect 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when they make 38% to 45% of their three point attempts in a game over the last 2 seasons. OSU has won five straight games ATS by an average of 14.5 PPG ATS. OSU is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games when they commit 3 to 7 fewer turnovers than their opponents over the last 2 seasons. OSU is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when they grab 34 to 39 rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons. Underwood is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival in all games he has coached Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Cowboys. |
|||||||
02-07-17 | Alabama +7 v. South Carolina | Top | 90-86 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show |
(Special Note) We have changed our star rating system to move toward a 10* maximum ranking. First, we feel that providing a 50* release is just filled with too much hype, simply because it is called a 50* plays. We want the focus of you and all of our clients on the ground strokes of what has made the SIM Algorithm methodology hugely profitable for more than 22 seasons. So, nothing changes for you, the breakdowns will be the same and instead of using the 25* as the base play, you now use the 5* play as the base. You will see our wagering strategies will be outlined in a great detail, as always. So, if you wager $500 per SIM TITAN, then you continue to do exactly that. The 10* play will be the former 50* Titans and based on $500, you would wager $1,000., and $300 for a 3* play. 7* graded play on Alabama (707) as they take on South Carolina in SEC action set to start at 6:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Alabama will lose this game by fewer than 6 points and has a great opportunity to win the game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 5.5* play on the line and a 1.55* play using the money line. However, the one single requirements is that we need a +135 Money line to validate the ROI for the combination wager. If it is not at +135, then simply make a 7* wager using the line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 111-93 result good for 54% winners and has made 61 units/unit wagered since 2011. Play on any team (ALABAMA) in a game involving two average offensive teams scoring between 67 and 74 PPG after 15+ games, after allowing 80 points or more 2 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Alabama is a solid 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when they grab 40 to 44 rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Crimson Tide. |
|||||||
02-06-17 | Kansas v. Kansas State +4 | Top | 74-71 | Win | 100 | 5 h 4 m | Show |
25* graded play on K-State as they take on Kansas in BIG-12 Conference action set to start at 9:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that K-State will win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. However, the one single requirements is that we need a +135 Money line to validate the ROI for the combination wager. If it is not at +135, then simply make a 25* wager using the line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 163-79 mark good for 67.4% winners and has made 83.1 units/unit wagered since 1997. Play against a road team vs. the money line (KANSAS) that is an excellent offensive team scoring greater than 76 PPG against a good defensive team allowing between 63 and 67 PPG, after a combined score of 175 points or more. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. K-State is a near-perfect 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons. K-State is 42-24 ATS (+15.6 Units) when they score 75 to 80 points in a game since 1997. Fundamental Discussion Points K-State and their fans catch Kansas at the right time with Kansas coming off an epic and highly emotional home loss. That OT loss to Iowa State ended a 54-game home win streak. Earlier this season, K-State almost was the team to end the Jayhawks home domination in a 90-88 loss. So, K-State can certainly add to their resume for the Tournament with a win tonight and we obviously believe they will in dominant fashion. |
|||||||
02-06-17 | UL-Lafayette v. Georgia Southern -2 | Top | 70-74 | Win | 100 | 3 h 46 m | Show |
25* SIM Algorithm Titan graded play on Georgia Southern as they take on LA - Lafayette in NCAAM basketball action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability Georgia Southern will win this game by at least 5 points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. LL is just 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when they grab 14 or more offensive rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons. LL is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) when they allow 81 or more points in a game over the last 3 seasons. GS is a solid 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons. GS is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) when they commit 10 to 13 turnovers in a game over the last 3 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points The Georgia Southern Eagles play host to the Louisiana Lafayette Ragin Cajuns on Monday evening at the W.S. Hanner Fieldhouse in Statesboro, Georgia. Georgia Southern is on top of the Sun Belt Conference with an 8-2 conference record meanwhile the Ragin Cajuns have just a 4-6 record in Sun Belt play. Georgia Southern has been dominant at home with a 9-1 record. They average 86.2 points per game at home and they only allow 68.6 points per game at W.S Hanner Fieldhouse. Look for Georgia Southern to stay dominant at home and beat Louisiana Lafayette on Monday. Take Georgia Southern as the favorite in this Sun Belt matchup. |
|||||||
02-06-17 | Cavs v. Wizards -105 | Top | 140-135 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 36 m | Show |
25* graded play on Washington (502) as they take on Cleveland in NBA action set to start at 7:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Washington will win this game by more than 5 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Cleveland is just 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) when their opponents make 48% to 51% of their shots in a game this season. Cleveland is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in road games when they make 32% to 38% of their three point attempts in a game over the last 2 seasons. Cleveland is 15-31 ATS (-19.1 Units) in road games when their opponents make 32% to 38% of their 3 pointers in a game over the last 3 seasons. Cleveland is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in road games when they allow 105 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons. CLEVELAND is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in road games when they allow 110 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Washington is a solid 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when they score 110 or more points in a game this season. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Washington WEizards. |
|||||||
02-05-17 | Patriots -3 v. Falcons | Top | 34-28 | Win | 100 | 58 h 25 m | Show |
50* graded play on the New England Patriots as they take on the Atlanta Falcons in 2017 Super Bowl action set to start at 6:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Patriots will win this game by 7 or more points. We also like the adjusted spread of Patriots -10 ½ that currently pays 220/100 and Patriots -14 ½ that pays +450/100. So, make these prop adjusted line wagers no more than 20% of your normal wager on our plays. So, a $500 wager becomes a $100 wager for the prop bets. More prop bets: 1. Will the team that scores first win the game? NO pays +130 Obviously, we are playing for Atlanta to get out fast. 2. Total FG made Over 3 ½ -125 3. Patriots win by 11 to 13 +1100 4. Falcons lead at the Half and Patriots win + 350 5. Who will have more I.Thomas (Celtics) or Patriots total points. Patriots – ½ -105 6. Who will have more Celtics 1H points or L. Blount rushing yards. Blount -1 ½ -120 7. MVP – Chris Hogan at 30:1 Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 36-4 mark good for 90% winners and has made 30.2 units/unit wagered since 2006. Play on favorites vs. the money line (NEW ENGLAND) quick starting team outscoring opponents by 5+ PPG in the first half, after allowing 17 points or less in 4 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Patriots are 41-16 ATS (+23.4 Units) when they rush for 125 to 150 yards Patriots are 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) when they gain 350 to 400 total yards over the last 3 seasons. Patriots are 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when they gain 6 or more total yards per play this season. Patriots are 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) facing below-average defensive teams allowing greater than 5.65 yards/play this season. Patriots are 18-1 against the money line (+14.9 Units) when they gain 6 or more total yards per play over the last 2 seasons. And here is the one major situation that also supported Denver last year in Super Bowl 50. Teams coming off any playoff game that scored 40 or more points are just 11-18 SU and 4-25 ATS in the next game in all playoff and SB games played since 1996. Fine tuning this a bit, we find these high-powered offenses come crashing to earth with a 1-7 SU and 1-7 ATS mark when scoring when scoring more than 40 points, ATS win, and zero TO since 2000. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Patriots. The Falcons were gashed for 208 rushing yards against the Eagles in Week 10 and then allowed more than 99 rushing yards in every game since. These yards were gained between the tackles and the Eagles exploited that weakness. In our opinion, it is very likely that the Patriots game plan will be to establish and dominate the line of scrimmage with a pounding rushing attack led by Blount and augmented by Lewis and others. This will then open up play action for Brady allowing him more than enough time to scan the field and identify the best opportunity and deliver accurately for big gains. This is where Chris Hogan may shine and has a shot at the MVP. He is a strong and big WR, who runs excellent routes on every down and creates space to receive the ball and then gain more yards after the catch. Of all the Patriots WR, he may be the one that creates the most space in his routes and is extremely smart after the catch. The Patriots defense gets hardly any real credit from the TV talking heads. In our opinion, there is no doubt that the Patriots defense will create major read issues for Ryan. Now, the expected game plan is that the mythical Belichick will design a scheme to take away Julio Jones. However, if you look at previous games this season, Antonio Brown and AJ Green had monster games, but their offenses still score less than 20 points. The Patriots rank second in the NFL this season in corner shadowing. This means that they allocate a corner to cover the same WR for the majority of the game. In this scheme, we think the surprise move will be to put Rowe on Jones. Butler has the elite speed, but not the size to cover Jones consistently, but using Rowe and then occasionally Butler will create that unpredictability that eliminates any OC to anticipate matchups in any down situation. The Patriots used the blitz on 25% percent of their opponents’ drop backs this season ranking 26th-highest rate in the league. But Belichick takes ‘not blitzing’ a step further by only rushing three defenders or fewer on 26% of their passing plays this season. That’s far and away an outlier in the NFL today with the Cowboys next closest, at 19%, and the majority of teams are under 10%. On first downs, New England used it 21% of the time and on every single down, except for fourth, they are more likely to rush three players than to blitz. The biggest single advantage in dropping eight into coverage is that it allows for a double team without eliminate the underneath coverage man that is present in a four-man rush. This also allows for one corner (Rowe) to man-up against Jones and the other 7 defenders in zone scheme. Last, this scheme takes away WR and RB screens from Atlanta’s play calling. Patriots allowed all of 77 yards on screen plays this year. The next closest team was the Buccaneers, at 164, and the league average was 315. |
|||||||
02-05-17 | Clippers +5.5 v. Celtics | 102-107 | Win | 100 | 4 h 39 m | Show | |
25* graded play on the Clippers as they take on Boston in NBA action set to start at 2:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Clippers will win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. However, the one single requirements is that we need a +135 Money line to validate the ROI for the combination wager. If it is not at +135, then simply make a 25* wager using the line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 35-4 ATS good for 90% winners since 2011. Road on underdogs (LA CLIPPERS) after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games against opponent after a win by 6 points or less. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Clippers are 45-27 ATS (+15.3 Units) when they score 105 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Boston is just 27-61 ATS (-40.1 Units) when they allow 105 or more points in a game over the last 3 seasons. Boston is a near-imperfect 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) after 4 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Clippers. |
|||||||
02-05-17 | Notre Dame v. North Carolina UNDER 158 | Top | 76-83 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 43 m | Show |
50* graded play ‘UNDER’ the posted total in the Notre Dame – North Carolina ACC showdown set to start at 1:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that fewer than 150 points will be scored in this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 68-28 ‘UNDER’ for 71% winners since 1997. Play ‘Under’ with neutral court teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (NOTRE DAME) that are good 3-Point shooting teams making better than 36.5% and is now facing an average 3-Point defense allowing between 32 to 36.5% shooting, good ball handling team forcing less than 14.5 TOPG against an average pressure defensive team forcing between 14.5 and 17.5 TOPG. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. UNC is a solid 8-2 UNDER (+5.8 Units) when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) this season. ND is a solid 12-3 UNDER (+8.7 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons. Brey is 12-3 UNDER (+8.7 Units) in road games after playing a game as a home underdog as the coach of ND |
|||||||
02-04-17 | Warriors v. Kings +14 | Top | 106-109 | Win | 100 | 10 h 1 m | Show |
25* graded play on the Kings (520) as they take on the Warriors in NBA action set to start at 10:35 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Kings will lose this game by less than 11 points and has only a modest shot to upset the juggernaut Warriors. We will recommend a 22* play using the line and a 3* play using the money line if a ML is available. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 66-27 ATS mark good for 71% winners since 1996. Play against road favorites of 10 or more points (GOLDEN STATE) that are top caliber teams outscoring their opponents by 9+ points/game. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Kerr is 3-16 ATS (-14.6 Units) facing poor teams outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game in games played in the 2nd half of the season as the coach of the Warriors. Kerr is Kerr is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) facing poor defensive teams allowing a shooting percentage defense of higher than 46% in games played in the 2nd half of the season. |
|||||||
02-04-17 | Grizzlies v. Wolves +1.5 | Top | 107-99 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 32 m | Show |
25* graded play on Minnesota (512) as they take on Memphis in NBA action set to start at 9:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Minnesota will win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. However, the one single requirements is that we need a +135 Money line to validate the ROI for the combination wager. If it is not at +135, then simply make a 25* wager using the line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 82-46 mark using the Money Line and has made 41 units/unit wagered since 2011. Play against road teams using the money line (MEMPHIS) after allowing 105 points or more against opponent after allowing 110 points or more 2 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Memphis is just 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) after playing a game as favorite this season. Memphis is 88-149 against the money line (-70.0 Units) when they grab 4 to 9 fewer rebounds than their opponents in a game since 1996. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Timberwolves. |
|||||||
02-04-17 | Nuggets v. Spurs UNDER 222.5 | Top | 97-121 | Win | 100 | 9 h 31 m | Show |
25* graded play ‘UNDER” the posted total in the San Antonio (514) Denver matchup set to start at 9:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that there will be fewer than 217 points scored in this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 38-13 mark good for 75% winners since 1996. Play ‘UNDER’ with home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (SAN ANTONIO) after going under the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games, on Saturday games. Here is a second system that has gone 39-15 ‘under’ good for 72% winners since 2011. Play ‘under’ with home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (SAN ANTONIO) after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 205 points or more 2 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Spurs are 44-29 UNDER (+12.1 Units) in games where they force 13 to 17 turnovers over the last 2 seasons. Spurs are 15-5 UNDER (+9.5 Units) in home games versus up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots/game in the 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Spurs are 21-8 UNDER (+12.2 Units) off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite over the last 3 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the ‘UNDER’. |
|||||||
02-04-17 | Utah v. Stanford +3 | 75-81 | Win | 100 | 5 h 7 m | Show | |
25* graded play on Stanford as they take on Utah in PAC-12 action set to start at 4:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Stanford will win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. However, the one single requirements is that we need a +135 Money line to validate the ROI for the combination wager. If it is not at +135, then simply make a 25* wager using the line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 30-9 ATS mark good for 77% winners since 1997. Play against a favorite (UTAH) after going over the total by more than 6 points in four consecutive games against opponent after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Stanford is a near-perfect 7-1 against the money line (+8.4 Units) in home games when they allow 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Utah is a money burning 6-11 against the money line (-18.2 Units) when they commit 14 to 18 turnovers in a game over the last 3 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Stanford Cardinal. Stanford is challenged on the offensive end in nearly every game. However, they are facing a Utah team that does defend well and does not play well in slow-tempo style games. Further, Stanford has underperformed severely to their season averages over the L3 games. These are troughs in performance levels that all teams go through. When these 3 games spans show a significant (2 standard deviations from the mean) differential to the season team averages, it is a very good time to expect the team to reverse course. In this situation, we believe facing Utah will create the right situation for Stanford to play far above their season averages. For example, Stanford is a 70% free throw shooting team and they have shot a horrid 59% over the last three games. Their overall shooting efficiency metric is 11% lower than season average. So, take Stanford and look for a big effort. |
|||||||
02-04-17 | Northeastern -1.5 v. James Madison | Top | 69-73 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 36 m | Show |
25* graded play on Northeastern (595) as they take on James Madison in Colonial Athletic Conference action set to start at 4:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Northeastern will win this game by at least 7 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Northeastern is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they allow 61 to 66 points in a game over the last 2 seasons. JMU is an imperfect 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in home games when they attempt 14 to 18 free throws in a game over the last 3 seasons. JMU is 21-39 ATS (-21.9 Units) in home games when they allow 67 to 74 points in a game since 1997. JMU is just 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in home games facing slow-tempo teams averaging 53 or less shots/game after 15+ games in all seasons since 1997. Fundamental Discussion Points Northeastern may not be in a hurry to score points and rank 182nd in scoring offense, but they execute very well. They rank 30th in the nation in overall shooting efficiency, , 24th in effective FG percentage, and 43rd in 3-point shooting percentage. JMU defense does not match up well ranking 225th in opponent shooting percentage allowed and 178th in effective shooting percentage allowed. Take Northeastern. |
|||||||
02-04-17 | Kings v. Flyers OVER 5 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -125 | 3 h 46 m | Show |
25* graded play ‘OVER’ the posted total in the Philadelphia Flyers (54) – Los Angeles Kings NHL match set to start at 1:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that more than 5 goals will be scored in this game. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Flyers are 17-10 OVER (+7.2 Units) against excellent power play teams scoring on better than 17.5% of their chances this season. Flyers are 13-4 OVER (+9.4 Units) in non-conference games this season. Kings are 12-3 OVER (+8.9 Units) after playing a home game over the last 2 seasons. Philadelphia is 9-1 ‘OVER’ off a SU win installed as favorite. |
|||||||
02-04-17 | Purdue -2 v. Maryland | Top | 73-72 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 26 m | Show |
25* graded play on Purdue as they take on Maryland in BIG TEN Conference action set to start at 12:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Purdue will win this game by more than 7 points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Purdue is a solid 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) when they make 38% to 45% of their three point attempts in a game over the last 3 seasons. Purdue is a solid 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) when they force 10 to 13 turnovers in a game over the last 3 seasons. Purdue is 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) when they grab 40 to 44 rebounds in a game over the last 3 seasons. Purdue is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when facing good 3-point shooting teams making better than 37% of their attempts this season. Fundamental Discussion Points Purdue is projected to shoot better than Maryland from field by at least 3%, will have an 3 or more edge in made 3-point shots, will have at least a 10% advantage fro the foul line, and will lead the rebounding by a margin of 6 or more. |
|||||||
02-03-17 | Rhode Island +2 v. Davidson | Top | 70-59 | Win | 100 | 12 h 17 m | Show |
25* graded play on Rhode Island (869) as they take on Davidson in A-10 Conference action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Rhode Island will win this game by more than three points. They are installed as 2 point underdogs and we need a +135 level to validate a combination wager. Generally, that means we need to see the spread move to 3 or 3 ½ to g4t this level. If the line does move and you can get a +135 Money line then take your normal wager you make on these Titan release and split in a 5:1 ratio. By way of example, this means if you wager $500 per Titan release, then the combination wager would be a $400 wager on the line and a $100 wager on the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Rhode Island is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they grab 40 to 44 rebounds in a game this season. Rhode Island is 12-3 against the money line (+8.6 Units) when their opponents make 31% to 37% of their 3 pointers in a game over the last 3 seasons. Davidson is just 1-4 against the money line (-11.1 Units) after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Rhode Island in this matchup. Rhode Island has a vastly better defense than Davidson. Rhode Island ranks 48th in the nation allowing 66.7 PPG, 10th allowing just 10.3 APG, and 18th with a 0.752 assist-to-turnover ratio. Rhode Island is the much better rebounding team as well. They rank 27th getting 11.2 offensive boards per game and that will show with Rhode Island getting at least 10 more multi-shot possessions than Davidson. Take Rhode Island. |
|||||||
02-02-17 | 76ers +15.5 v. Spurs | Top | 86-102 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 56 m | Show |
25* graded play on Philadelphia 76ers as they take on San Antonio in NBA action set to start at 8:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that 76ers will lose this game by fewer than 15 points. Throw-in an extra 3* amount on the money line if you have access to one. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 49-21 ATS good for 70% winners since 2011. Play on road underdogs (PHILADELPHIA) extremely tired team playing their 5th game in 7 days, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Philadelphia is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in games where they force 13 to 17 turnovers this season. Philadelphia is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) after playing a road game this season. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the 76ers. |
|||||||
02-02-17 | Michigan State v. Nebraska +1.5 | Top | 72-61 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 30 m | Show |
25* graded play on Nebraska (724) as they take on Michigan State in BIG TEN Conference action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Nebraska will win this game by more than 5 points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. MSU is an imperfect 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when they commit 3 to 7 more turnovers than their opponents this season. Nebraska is a solid 46-27 ATS (+16.3 Units) in home games when they commit 3 to 7 fewer turnovers than their opponents Nebraska is 137-15 ATS (+20.5 Units) in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams forcing less than 15 turnovers/game after 15+ games since 1997. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Cornhuskers. |
|||||||
02-01-17 | South Carolina v. LSU +9 | Top | 88-63 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 20 m | Show |
25* graded play on LSU (566) as they take on South Carolina in SEC action set to start at 9:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that LSU will lose this game by fewer than 7 points and has a great shot win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. However, the one single requirements is that we need a +135 Money line to validate the ROI for the combination wager. If it is not at +135, then simply make a 25* wager using the line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. SC is a money burning 4-17 ATS (-14.7 Units) when their opponents make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons. LSU is a solid 33-13 ATS (+18.7 Units) in home games when they grab 40 to 44 rebounds in a game since 1997. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the LSU Tigers. |
|||||||
02-01-17 | Raptors +6 v. Celtics | Top | 104-109 | Win | 100 | 5 h 25 m | Show |
25* graded play on Toronto (511) as they take on Boston in NBA action set to start at 7:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Toronto will lose this game by fewer than 6 points and has a great shot to win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. However, the one single requirements is that we need a +135 Money line to validate the ROI for the combination wager. If it is not at +135, then simply make a 25* wager using the line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 24-9 record goo for 73% winners using the Money Line and has made 25.7 units/unit wagered since 2011. Play against any team vs the money line (TORONTO) after allowing 60 points or more in the first half last game against opponent after 2 straight wins by 6 points or less. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. · Toronto is a solid 121-61 ATS (+53.9 Units) when they score 105 to 109 points in a game. · Toronto is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) when they score 105 or more points in a game this season. · Toronto is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in road games where both teams score 98 or more points in a game this season. · Boston is 27-60 ATS (-39.0 Units) when they allow 105 or more points in a game over the last 3 seasons. |
|||||||
02-01-17 | Penn State +6.5 v. Indiana | Top | 102-110 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 5 m | Show |
25* graded play on Penn State (525) as they take on Indiana in BIG TEN action set to start at 6:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that PSU will lose this game by fewer than 6 points and has a great shot at winning the game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. However, the one single requirements is that we need a +135 Money line to validate the ROI for the combination wager. If it is not at +135, then simply make a 25* wager using the line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. PSU is a near-perfect 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when they score 67 to 74 points in a game this season. PSU is 11-5 against the money line (+8.8 Units) when they score 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 2 seasons. PSU is also 21-20 against the money line (+22.0 Units) versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games since 1997. Now, that last situation is just 1-game over 0.500, but look at the units won to date. When dealing with ML data, it is imperative that you eliminate win % from your thought process and focus squarely on units won. The ML will be in the +235 area and offers a great opportunity to maximize your ROI. Our teams’ focus is not just one single DOG that wins SU, but knowing full well that over time, these dogs will add at least 15% more profits to the season tally. |
|||||||
01-31-17 | Central Michigan v. Buffalo -7 | Top | 91-101 | Win | 100 | 12 h 24 m | Show |
25* graded play on Buffalo (720) as they take on Central Michigan in MAC action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Buffalo will win this game by more than 7 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 29-6 ATS mark good for 83% winners since 2011. Play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (BUFFALO) that are solid offensive teams scoring between 74 and 78 PPG and is now facing a horrible defensive team allowing greater than 78 PPG, after a loss by 6 points or less. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. CMU is just 19-51 ATS (-37.1 Units) when they allow 81 to 86 points in a game CMU is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) when they allow 81 or more points in a game over the last 3 seasons. CMU is a near-imperfect 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) when they grab 10+ fewer rebounds than their opponents in a game over the last 2 seasons. Buffalo is a solid 39-12 ATS (+25.8 Units) when they score 81 to 86 points in a game since 1997. Buffalo is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when they score 81 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Buffalo. I am definitely a man that sees nearly everything (actually everything) that the glass is more than half full. However, when looking at the CMU defense, I find it difficult to say that their defense is even a challenged one. They are one of the worst defenses in the nation ranking 349th in the nation allowing more than 86 PPG. In their defense though, they do play a hectic pace on the offensive end and this leads to the faster pace generating pinball machine type scoring. Even on the offensive end, though CMU is a horrible passing team that ranks 262nd averaging 12.0 assists per game. Take Buffalo. |
|||||||
01-31-17 | Iowa -2 v. Rutgers | Top | 83-63 | Win | 100 | 12 h 46 m | Show |
25* graded play on IOWA as they take on Rutgers in Big TEN Conference action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Iowa will win this game by more than 6 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 38-11 ATS mark good for 78% winners since 2011. Play against a home team (RUTGERS) that is a poor offensive team scoring between 63 and 67 PPG and is now a struggling defensive team allowing between 74 and 78 PPG after 15+ games, after scoring 60 points or less. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Rutgers is just 20-44 ATS (-28.4 Units) in home games when they make 64% to 71% of their free throws in a game since 1997. Rutgers is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) when they commit 14 to 18 turnovers in a game over the last 3 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points Iowa is the superior team in this matchup across many aspects of the game of basketball. We will point just one of them and is ball control and protection. Iowa ranks 11th in the nation averaging 11 assists per game and 53rd with a 1.245 assist-to-turnover ratio. By comparison, Rutgers ranks 304th in assists per game and 31th with a horrid 0.781 assist/turnover ratio. Tae Iowa. |
|||||||
01-30-17 | Duke v. Notre Dame | Top | 84-74 | Win | 100 | 12 h 51 m | Show |
25* graded play on Duke (511) as they take on Notre Dame in marquee ACC action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Duke will win this game by more than 7 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 32-10 ATS mark good for 76% winners since 1997. Play on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (DUKE) after being beaten by the spread by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, in a game involving two good teams winning between 60% to 80% of their games in the current season.
Notre Dame is 27-56 ATS (-34.6 Units) when they allow 75 to 80 points in a game since 1997. Notre Dane is 39-88 ATS (-57.8 Units) when their opponents make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game since 1997. Krzyzewski is a solid 32-13 ATS (+17.7 Units) after a road game where both teams scored 75 points or more as the coach of DUKE. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Duke. Krzyzewski called for a meeting at his house following the home loss last week to NC State, in which he banished the players from their locker room Duke (16-5, 4-4) had just lost a home game to Tobacco Road rival North Carolina State, which won in Cameron Indoor Stadium for the first time since 1995. With no pure point guard to settle everything down, no set rotation, no direction with head coach Mike Krzyzewski still sidelined after back surgery, the Blue Devils were a mess. Not so much now. Duke ranks 24th in the nation in overall shooting efficiency. While ND can match that ranking with their own 27th ranking, Duke’s defense is the major reason we see Duke winning this game easily. ND relies on the ‘3’ ranking 19th with 9.5 ‘3s’ made per game. However, Duke’s defense is excellent at defending the arc and rank 12th allowing just 5.4 per game. ND ranks 11th hitting 40.2% of the 3-point shot attempts, BUT a horrid 115th making 50.8% of their 2-point shot attempts. So, look for Duke to be very focused defending the 3 and use defensive rotation on any ball movement attempting to set up the 3. Take Duke. Ryan’s ACC ‘Best Bet’ Sim Algorithm Titan Ryan is coming off a bruising weekend, but this 21-year veteran has solid longer term profit trends solidly in place with FOUR straight profitable months (All Sports). |
|||||||
01-29-17 | 76ers v. Bulls -6 | Top | 108-121 | Win | 100 | 8 h 54 m | Show |
25* graded play on the Chicago Bulls (844) as they take on the Philadelphia 76ers in NBA action set to start at 7:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Bulls will win this game by at least 9 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 27-7 ATS mark good for 80% winners since 2011. Play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CHICAGO) in a game involving two good offensive teams scoring between 98 and 102 PPG after 42+ games, after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. 76ers are just 14-30 ATS (-19.0 Units) when they grab 48 to 52 rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons. Chicago is a solid 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) in home games after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons. 76ers are just 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) after a combined score of 205 points or more 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Chicago Bulls. |
|||||||
01-29-17 | Green Bay v. Detroit +5 | Top | 92-93 | Win | 100 | 4 h 58 m | Show |
25* graded play on Detroit Mercy University as they take on Wisconsin-GB in Horizon Conference action set to start at 2:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that will Detroit will lose this game by fewer than 5 points and has a great shot at winning the game SU. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. However, the one single requirements is that we need a +135 Money line to validate the ROI for the combination wager. If it is not at +135, then simply make a 25* wager using the line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Wisconsin- GB is just 24-43 ATS (-23.3 Units) in road games after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games since 1997. Wisconsin is 16-48 against the money line (-38.1 Units) when they allow 75 to 80 points in a game Wisconsin is 2-5 against the money line (-14.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. |
|||||||
01-29-17 | Washington State v. Arizona State -9.5 | Top | 91-83 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 20 m | Show |
25* graded play on Arizona State (858) as they take on Washington State in PAC-12 Conference action set to start at 2:00PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that ASU will win this game by at least 14 points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. WSU is just 22-41 ATS (-23.1 Units) in road games when their opponents make 38% to 45% of their 3 pointers in a game WSU is 16-41 ATS (-29.1 Units) when they allow 81 to 86 points in a game WSU is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) when they allow 81 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons. ASU is a near-perfect 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games when they allow 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Arizona State. |
|||||||
01-29-17 | Virginia v. Villanova -5 | Top | 59-61 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 10 m | Show |
25* graded play on Villanova (850) as they take on Virginia in NCAAM action set to start at 1:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Villanova will win this game by more than 10 points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Villanova is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when they attempt 4 to 9 more free throws than opponents in a game over the last 2 seasons. Villanova is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) when they make 79% or more of their free throws in a game over the last 2 seasons. Villanova is 26-9 ATS (+16.1 Units) versus excellent ball handling teams committing |
|||||||
01-28-17 | St. Mary's v. Santa Clara +10 | Top | 72-59 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 49 m | Show |
25* graded play on Santa Clara as they take on St. Mary’s in West Coast Conference action set to start at 11:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that SC will lose this game by fewer than 10 points and has a shot to upset No. 21 STM and win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. However, the one single requirements is that we need a +135 Money line to validate the ROI for the combination wager. If it is not at +135, then simply make a 25* wager using the line. The money line currently is in the +435 neighborhood, so this does offer a great opportunity. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 24-13 mark good for 65% winners and has made 26.3 units/unit wagered averaging a +164 DOG wager. Play on home underdogs vs. the money line (SANTA CLARA) off a home win against a conference rival and is now facing an opponent off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. SC is a solid 5-1 against the money line (+7.5 Units) when they commit 3 to 7 fewer turnovers than their opponents this season. STM is just 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) after a game with 5 or less offensive rebounds STM is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) after having won 18 or more of their last 20 games Fundamental Discussion Points Santa Clara essentially lives and dies by the three. They rank 10th in the nation making an average of 10 3’s per game and we believe they will have a very big game from beyond the arc in front of a raucous crowd. St. Mary’s has one of the best defensive units in the nation, but their one weakness is defending the ‘three’ ball. Moreover, they do not put much pressure on ball movement either ranking 125th with a 0.938 opponent assist-to-turnover ratio. |
|||||||
01-28-17 | Clippers v. Warriors UNDER 223 | Top | 98-144 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 29 m | Show |
25* graded play on the ‘UNDER’ in the Clippers-Warriors (507) matchup set to start at 8:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Clippers will lose this game by fewer than 10 points and that there will be fewer than 220 points scored. The play on the Clippers grades as 25* play as well representing a very rare side and total at TITAN grades. So, following is an outline of various combination wagers and parlays you can engage in designed to optimize the opportunity presented here in this matchup. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Clippers are 20-9 UNDER (+10.1 Units) when they attempt 18 to 22 free throws in a game over the last 2 seasons. Warriors are 10-2 UNDER (+7.8 Units) when they make 39% to 45% of their three point attempts in a game this season. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the ‘UNDER’ and the Clippers. So, Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. However, the one single requirements is that we need a +135 Money line to validate the ROI for the combination wager. If it is not at +135, then simply make a 25* wager using the line. Now, there is a wager that many of you may be familiar with already called a ‘reverse’ parlay. These types of parlays can be very dangerous to your bank account if not used with immense discipline and only in the correct spots. Over time, these situations will generate very nice income, BUT it does not mean that this specific situation will win. Our methods and wagering design are built to sustain profitability over the long-term and not one hyped promotional day. The reverse parlay pays 4:1 and would be comprised in two different manners, BUT not both. The first is a 5* play using the Clippers on the line and the ‘UNDER’ The second that offers even greater return, but with increased losing risk is to wager the Clippers using the money line and the ‘under’. WE highly recommend using the straight reverse using the line as the probability is significantly less than +600 given to the Clippers money line, that the Clippers will win. If you use the combination wager you already benefit from the upset potential and there is truly no reason to stretch the risk to include the reverse parlay wager too. |
|||||||
01-28-17 | UTEP v. Marshall -13 | Top | 91-68 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 14 m | Show |
25* graded play on Marshall (618) as they take on UTEP in C-USA action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Marshall will win this game by 21 or more points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Marshall is a near-perfect 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game this season. Marshall is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when their opponents make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons. Marshall 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) when they make 38% to 45% of their three point attempts in a game over the last 3 seasons. Marshall is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) when they make 79% or more of their free throws in a game over the last 2 seasons. Marshall is a near-perfect 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when they force 14 to 18 turnovers in a game this season. Marshall is 13-1 ATS (+11.9 Units) when they score 81 or more points in a game this season. Fundamental Discussion Points The Marshall thundering Herd get a visit from the UTEP Miners on Saturday in a Conference USA matchup. The reason for Marshalls success this season has been offense, offense, and more offense. They put up 88 points per game and shoot the ball at 47%. Their offense is not only effective but also very efficient. UTEP averages just 68 points a game 20 less than Marshall. Look for UTEP to not be able to score with Marshall in this matchup. Take Marshall in this Conference USA matchup on Saturday. |
|||||||
01-28-17 | Oregon State +21 v. Utah | Top | 78-86 | Win | 100 | 8 h 19 m | Show |
25* graded play on Oregon State (625) as they take on Utah in PAC-12 Conference action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that OSU will lose this game by fewer than 17 points. Normally, these dogs are immediate combination wagers, but there is a low probability that OSU can actually win the game too. However, if you can get a money line on the game, place a 1* amount on a money line wager in addition to the 25* play using the line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 37-10 ATS mark good for 79% winners since 1997. Play against favorites of 20 or more points (UTAH) hot team having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a team with a losing record. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Beavers. |
|||||||
01-28-17 | Duke -5 v. Wake Forest | Top | 85-83 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 24 m | Show |
25* graded play on Duke (561) as they take on Wake Forest in ACC action set to start at 3:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Duke will win this game by more than 7 points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Duke is a solid 211-101 ATS (+99.9 Units) when they score 81 or more points in a game since 1997. Wake Forest is just 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) when their opponents make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons. Wake Forest is just 21-48 ATS (-31.8 Units) when they allow 81 to 86 points in a game since 1997. Wake Forest is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) when they allow 81 or more points in a game over the last 3 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Duke Blue Devils. This Matchup takes us to North Carolina as the Wake Forest Demon Deacons take on the Duke Blue Devils in an ACC matchup. There has been a lot of attention surrounding Duke this past week but this is a perfect opportunity for Duke to show everyone that they are still a top 25 basketball team and are still a solid basketball team. Wake Forest gives up 76 points per game while Duke scores 83 per game and shoots the ball at 48%. Look for the Blue Devils to score effectively against the demon deacons. Take the Blue Devils in this ACC matchup on Saturday. |
|||||||
01-28-17 | Maryland v. Minnesota -4.5 | Top | 85-78 | Loss | -103 | 5 h 8 m | Show |
25* graded play on Minnesota (538) as they take on Maryland in Big Ten Conference action set to start at 2:15 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Minnesota will win this game by more than 7 points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Minnesota is a solid 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when they commit 3 to 7 fewer turnovers than their opponents over the last 2 seasons. Minnesota is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing against a top-level team winning 80% of more of their games in games played in each of the last 2 seasons. Minnesota is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game this season. Maryland is just 3-16 ATS (-14.6 Units) after 2 straight games attempting 10+ less shots than opponent since 1997. Fundamental Discussion Points Minnesota has a strong defensive presence ranking 10th in the nation in opponent effective shooting percentage, 10th allowing 30% shooting from beyond the arc, and 14th in overall opponent shooting percentage. Maryland does move the ball well on offense ranking 232rd with a 0.923 assist-to-turnover ratio. Contrasting that weakness is the fact that Minnesota does have much better ball movement with their offense where they rank 56th with a 1.24 assist-to-turnover ratio. Minnesota is the play. |
|||||||
01-28-17 | Western Michigan v. Ball State -6.5 | Top | 78-84 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 35 m | Show |
25* graded play on Ball State (532) as they take on Western Michigan in MAC action set to start at 1:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Ball State will win this game by more than 10 points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. WMU is just 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games when their opponents make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons. WMU is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road games in games attempting around the same number of free throws (+-4) as opponents over the last 3 seasons. WMU is 13-40 ATS (-31.0 Units) when they allow 81 to 86 points in a game Ball State is a solid 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) when they score 81 to 86 points in a game Ball State is 63-19 ATS (+42.1 Units) when they score 81 or more points in a game Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Ball State. The Ball State Cardinals host the Western Michigan Broncos in a Saturday afternoon MAC conference matchup. Western Michigan comes into this one losing 3 of their last 4 games while Ball State comes in very hot winning 4 of 5. The Broncos have yet to win on the road with an 0-11 record this season while playing not on their home floor. Ball State averages 79 points per game 5 better than the broncos at 74. Also, the Cardinals average 73 points per game compared to the Broncos allowing 79 per contest. Look for Ball State to stay on top on the MAC West conference with a win at home against a bad Western Michigan team. Take Ball State in this MAC matchup. |
|||||||
01-27-17 | Dayton +4 v. VCU | Top | 68-73 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 52 m | Show |
50* graded play on Dayton (885) as they take on VCU in A-10 action set to start at 9:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Dayton will win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. However, the one single requirements is that we need a +135 Money line to validate the ROI for the combination wager. If it is not at +135, then simply make a 25* wager using the line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Dayton is a stout 6-1 against the money line (+7.1 Units) when they make 31% to 37% of their three point attempts in a game over the last 2 seasons. VCU is 18-13 against the money line, but has lost a whopping -21.7 Units when their opponents make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons. VCU is 5-8 against the money line (-17.7 Units) when they score 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 2 seasons. VCU is 10-12 against the money line (-28.1 Units) after having won 15 or more of their last 20 games over the last 3 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Dayton. Both teams have solid defenses, but Dayton’s is significantly better and the matchups in this game favor them even more. Dayton ranks 29th in opponent shooting percentage and 14th in opponent made FG per game. They grind the pace by having excellent help rotation within a highly disciplined scheme. The same can said of their offense as well that features solid ball movement featured by a 1.228 assist-to-turnover ratio. Over the course of the game, we expect Dayton’s style of basketball to gradually wear down and frustrate VCU. Take Dayton. |
|||||||
01-26-17 | Jets v. Blackhawks OVER 5.5 | Top | 5-3 | Win | 105 | 13 h 38 m | Show |
25* graded play on ‘OVER’ Winnipeg-Chicago (19) in NHL action set to start at 8:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that more than 6 goals will be scored in this game. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. CHI is a solid 13-4 OVER (+9.6 Units) against poor defensive teams allowing more than 29 shots on goal, converting better than 17% pp in the 2nd half of the year over the last 2 seasons. CHI is 15-6 OVER (+9.1 Units) against poor defensive teams opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal in the 2nd half of the year over the last 2 seasons. CHI is 17-6 OVER (+11.5 Units) against poor power play killing teams where opponents score on greater than 17.5% of chances in the 2nd half of the year over the last 2 seasons. Winnipeg is 10-2 OVER (+8.7 Units) off a close home loss by 1 goal over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the ‘OVER’ in this match. |
|||||||
01-25-17 | 76ers v. Bucks -10.5 | Top | 114-109 | Loss | -107 | 3 h 53 m | Show |
25* graded play on Milwaukee (508) as they take on Philadelphia in NBA action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Milwaukee will win this game by 14 or more points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 25-5 ATS mark good for 83% winners since 2011. Play on favorites of 10 or more points (MILWAUKEE) revenging a same season loss vs opponent against opponent off a home win. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. 76ers are an imperfect 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games when their opponents make 48% to 51% of their shots in a game this season. 76ers are just76ers are 22-48 ATS (-30.8 Units) when they allow 105 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons. 76ers are just 14-30 ATS (-19.0 Units) when their opponents make 39% to 45% of their 3 pointers in a game over the last 3 seasons. Milwaukee is a solid 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in home games when their opponents make 32% to 38% of their 3 pointers in a game over the last 2 seasons. Milwaukee is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) when they score 105 to 109 points in a game over the last 3 seasons. Milwaukee is 36-14 ATS (+20.6 Units) when they score 105 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points The 76ers are off a very impressive home win against the Clippers where they won by 11 points after being down by 19 points. However, they had to board a flight after that game travel to Milwaukee, who had the night off. 76ers have now won 6 straight home games and have won 7 of the past 9 games. However, they now take to the road where they have not done well this season. The 76ers are a good feel story in Philadelphia, but with a 24-year old Nerlens Noelle being the elder statesman, they will have a very tough assignment tonight and one we obviously think will not go well. |
|||||||
01-25-17 | Warriors v. Hornets +10.5 | Top | 113-103 | Win | 100 | 3 h 41 m | Show |
25* graded play on Charlotte (514) as they take on Golden State in NBA action set to start at 8:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Charlotte will lose this game by fewer than 7 points and has a shot to win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. However, the one single requirements is that we need a +135 Money line to validate the ROI for the combination wager. If it is not at +135, then simply make a 25* wager using the line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 26-22 mark using the money line and has made 31.2 units/unit wagered averaging a whopping +205 DOG since 2011. Play on home underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (CHARLOTTE) after 4 or more consecutive unders, poor defensive team allowing 99+ points/game on the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Warriors are a money burning 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) when they allow 105 or more points in a game this season. |
|||||||
01-25-17 | St. John's v. Providence -8 | Top | 91-86 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
25* graded play on Providence (526) as they take on St. Johns in Big East Conference action set to start at 6:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that will win this game by at least 11 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. STJ is just 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when they allow 75 to 80 points in a game over the last 3 seasons. STJ is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when they force 10 to 13 turnovers in a game over the last 2 seasons. Providence is a solid 61-37 ATS (+20.3 Units) when they grab 40 to 44 rebounds in a game Fundamental Discussion Points Providence is challenged offensively, but STJ has essentially a Swiss cheese defense that ranks 221st in scoring defense and 298th in total rebounding. Moreover, STJ ranks 156th in shooting efficiency with a 1.081 ratio. Providence is expected to be in total control of this game from start to finish. |
|||||||
01-25-17 | SMU v. UCF +4.5 | Top | 65-60 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 34 m | Show |
25* graded play Central Florida on as they take on SMU in NCAAM basketball action set to start at 6:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that CFU will win this game. They are currently installed as 4-point home dogs. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. However, the one single requirements is that we need a +135 Money line to validate the ROI for the combination wager. If it is not at +135, then simply make a 25* wager using the line. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. SMU is just 8-26 against the money line (-23.5 Units) vs. dominant rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 7+ per game UCF is a solid 29-9 against the money line (+19.6 Units) in home games after having won 2 of their last 3 games Fundamental Discussion Points Public betting flows are all over SMU since the line opened with better than 77% of the wagers placed on SMU. However, more than 65% of the money is on UCF as the ‘smart-money’ has been significant and has matched the small public wagers. I believe as the day wears on, though, the line may start to creep lower towards 3 or 3 1/2. Make certain you get this combination wager play with at least the +135 money line mandate. If the lie collapses, simply make the wager on the line. |
|||||||
01-24-17 | San Diego State -6 v. Air Force | Top | 57-60 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 60 m | Show |
25* graded play on San Diego State (761) as they take on Air Force in Mountain West action set to start at 9:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that SDST will win this game by more than 11 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 62-26 ATS mark good for 71% winners since 1997. Play on road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SAN DIEGO ST) after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, playing with 5 or 6 days rest. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Air Force is just 17-31 ATS (-17.1 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing |
|||||||
01-24-17 | Akron -3.5 v. Western Michigan | Top | 90-80 | Win | 100 | 12 h 6 m | Show |
25* graded play on Akron (717) as they take on Western Michigan in NCAAM MAC Conference action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Akron will win this game by more than 7 points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Akron is a solid 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when they force 10 to 13 turnovers in a game over the last 2 seasons. Akron is 41-15 ATS (+24.5 Units) when they score 81 to 86 points in a game Akron is 78-32 ATS (+42.8 Units) when they score 81 or more points in a game WMU is just 13-40 ATS (-31.0 Units) when they allow 81 to 86 points in a game WMU is 25-78 ATS (-60.8 Units) when they allow 81 or more points in a game Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Akron Zips. The Akron Zips take on the Western Michigan Broncos in a MAC matchup on Tuesday evening. Akron comes into this game with a perfect 6-0 record in the MAC conference while western Michigan is just 2-4 in conference play. The Zips score about 79 points a game while the Broncos put up about 74 a game. The difference maker in this one is Akron's defense which allows just 68 points per game which is 10 less than the broncos 78. Look for the Zips solid defense and offensive efficiency help them get their 10th straight win on Tuesday evening. Take the Zips in this MAC matchup. |
|||||||
01-23-17 | Cavs v. Pelicans +7.5 | Top | 122-124 | Win | 100 | 5 h 47 m | Show |
25* graded play on the New Orleans Pelicans (514) as they take on the Cleveland Cavaliers in NBA action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Pelicans will lose this game by fewer than 5 points and has a great shot to win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. However, the one single requirements is that we need a +135 Money line to validate the ROI for the combination wager. If it is not at +135, then simply make a 25* wager using the line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Cavs are just 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in road games when their opponents make 43% to 47% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons. Cavs are 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in road games when they make 32% to 38% of their three point attempts in a game over the last 2 seasons. Cavs are just 2-14 ATS (-13.4 Units) in road games when they allow 99 to 104 points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Cavs are 10-26 ATS (-18.6 Units) in road games after scoring 105 points or more 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. Take the Pelicans. |
|||||||
01-23-17 | Rider v. St. Peter's -4 | Top | 51-56 | Win | 100 | 4 h 42 m | Show |
25* graded play on St. Peters (542) as they take on Rider in NCAAM MAAC Conference action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that STP will win this game by more than 9 points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Rider is just 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) when they attempt 54 to 62 shots in a game over the last 2 seasons. Rider is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) when their opponents make 31% to 37% of their 3 pointers in a game over the last 2 seasons Rider is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) when they grab 9 to 13 offensive rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons. Rider is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games when they allow 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 3 seasons. STP is 40-15 ATS (+23.5 Units) when their opponents make 23% to 30% of their 3 pointers in a game STP is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) when they make 72% to 78% of their free throws in a game over the last 3 seasons. STP is a stout 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) when they score 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board St. Peters. |
|||||||
01-22-17 | Steelers v. Patriots -6 | Top | 17-36 | Win | 100 | 6 h 20 m | Show |
50* graded play on the New England Patriots (314) as they take on the Pittsburgh Steelers in AFC Conference Championship action set to start at 6:40 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Patriots will win this game by 10 or more points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 40-8 mark good for 83% winners and has made 37.3 units/unit wagered since 2005. Play against road teams using the money line (PITTSBURGH) that are good passing teams averaging 6.7 to 7.3 PY/Attempt and is now facing an average passing defense allowing 5.9 to 6.7 PY/Attempt, after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game. This is a money line system and I see no road blocks preventing anyone from playing a straight money line wager on the Patriots. The SIM projections essentially show that if the Patriots win the game they will also cover the spread. So, you could consider a combination wager using a 14* amount on the line and a 7* amount using the money line for a total of 21* amount. The reason it is 4* less, is to account for the increase vig using the money line and to optimize the ROI for the combination wager. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Pittsburgh is just 11-29 ATS (-20.9 Units) in road games when they allow 22 to 28 points NE is a near-perfect 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when their defense allows 200 to 250 net passing yards over the last 2 seasons. NE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when they rush for 3.5 to 4 yards per attempt over the last 2 seasons. NE is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) when they gain 350 to 400 total yards over the last 3 seasons. NE is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) racing good offensive teams averaging >=5.65 yards/play over the last 3 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Patriots. Patriots’ defense ranks best in the NFL in scoring defense and best with a 0.25 points per play allowed ratio. They rank 9th in yards per play allowed, which reflects a bend and don’t break motif. This style of defense has served the Patriots quite well over the years. I do think they will bring more pressure on Roethlisberger early in this game to minimize the chances that Brown can execute vertical routes. Moreover, we believe that the Patriots defense will contain Bell and LB Hightower’s name is expected to be heard quite a bit from the announcers. We don’t need to get into the Patriots offensive scheme as they will have a great game plan in place that will attack all areas of the Steeler defense. We expect the Patriots to attack the perimeter early and often to loosen up the middle of the field. Once that occurs, Brady will look to his RB and WR in slants and crossing routes getting the ball to receivers in stride so that yards after the catch will be optimal. EXTRA Wagers: Play ‘NO’ that there will be three straight scores by the same team. -180 Shortest TD scored ‘OVER’ 1 ½ yards -105 Logan Ryan will intercept a pass +475 Total FG made 3 ½ ‘OVER’ -140 Longest FG made ‘UNDER’ 45 ½ -100 Patriots defense scores first +1800 (just have to play that one) |
|||||||
01-21-17 | Bucks +2 v. Heat | Top | 97-109 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 49 m | Show |
25* graded play on the Milwaukee Bucks as they take on Miami Heat in NBA action set to start at 7:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Milwaukee will win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. However, the one single requirements is that we need a +135 Money line to validate the ROI for the combination wager. If it is not at +135, then simply make a 25* wager using the line. The line is Milwaukee installed as a 1 ½ point dog. It is not likely that we do see a line move to 3. However, if it does, then the Combination Eager would be validated. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 33-4 ATS mark good for 89.2% winners since 2010. Play on road underdogs (MILWAUKEE) after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games against opponent after a win by 6 points or less. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Miami is just 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in home games when they make 43% to 47% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons. Miami is an imperfect 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games when their opponents make 48% to 51% of their shots in a game this season. Kidd is 16-2 ATS (+13.8 Units) after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more in all games he has coached |
|||||||
01-21-17 | Suns +200 v. Knicks | 107-105 | Win | 200 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
25* graded play on Phoenix (511) as they take on the NY Knicks in NBA action set to start at 7:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Phoenix will lose this game by fewer than 6 points and has a shot to win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. However, the one single requirements is that we need a +135 Money line to validate the ROI for the combination wager. If it is not at +135, then simply make a 25* wager using the line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 51-20 using the money line and has made 29 units/unit wagered since 1996. Play on any team vs the money line (PHOENIX) excellent offensive team scoring more than 102 PPG against a horrible defensive team allowing more than 102 PPG after 42+ games, after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Knicks are a miserable 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) when playing their 5th game in 7 days over the last 3 seasons. Phoenix is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) after a blowout loss by 15 points or more over the last 2 seasons. |
|||||||
01-21-17 | South Carolina v. Kentucky -13.5 | Top | 69-85 | Win | 100 | 9 h 60 m | Show |
50* graded play on Kentucky (584) as they take on South Carolina (583) in SEC action set to start at 6:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Kentucky will win this game by more than 16 points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. SC is just 11-40 ATS (-33.0 Units) in road games when they allow 81 or more points in a game Kentucky is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games when they make 72% to 78% of their free throws in a game over the last 3 seasons. Kentucky is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) when they commit 3 to 7 fewer turnovers than their opponents over the last 2 seasons. Kentucky is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when they score 81 to 86 points in a game over the last 3 seasons. Kentucky is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) when they score 81 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Wildcats. Kentucky The Kentucky Wildcats play host to the South Carolina Gamecocks Saturday afternoon in an SEC matchup. The wildcats have been running through this conference with a 6-0 record. The Wildcats offense has been firing on all cylinders as they score 93 points per game. The Gamecocks are also undefeated in conference play at 5-0 and but have been averaging just 71 points per game. The Wildcats offense will be too much to handle for them Saturday despite South Carolina's good defense. Look for the Gamecocks to get worn down and not score enough to keep up with Kentucky’s multi-dimensional offense. Take the Wildcats as the favorite. |
|||||||
01-21-17 | Rhode Island v. Duquesne +9 | Top | 90-69 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 7 m | Show |
25* graded play on Duquesne (568) as they take on Rhode Island in A-10 Conference action set to start at 2:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Duquesne will lose this game by fewer than five points and has a great shot to win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. However, the one single requirements is that we need a +135 Money line to validate the ROI for the combination wager. If it is not at +135, then simply make a 25* wager using the line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 76-69 mark good for 52.4% winners, BUT has made a whopping 49 units/unit wagered since 1997. Play against a road team vs. the money line (RHODE ISLAND) - a very good team (>=+8 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3.5 PPG differential) after 15 or more games and after allowing 75 points or more 2 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Rhode Island is just 1-7 against the money line (-7.4 Units) in road games when they attempt 14 to 18 free throws in a game over the last 3 seasons. Rhode Island is 2-9 against the money line (-8.2 Units) in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. Rhode Island is 3-13 against the money line (-12.4 Units) off a home win over the last 2 seasons. |
|||||||
01-21-17 | Butler v. DePaul +11.5 | Top | 70-69 | Win | 100 | 4 h 17 m | Show |
25* graded play on DePaul as they take on Butler in Big East Conference action set to start at 2:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that DePaul will lose this game by fewer than 6 points and has a great shot to win the game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. However, the one single requirements is that we need a +135 Money line to validate the ROI for the combination wager. If it is not at +135, then simply make a 25* wager using the line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 76-69 mark good for 52.4% winners and has made 49 units/unit wagered since 1997. It has averaged a very nice +155 DOG play. Play against a road team using the money line (BUTLER) that is aa very good team posting a +8 PPG differential and is now facing an average team posting a +/- 3.5 PPG differential after 15 or more games and after allowing 75 points or more 2 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Butler is BUTLER is 1-8 against the money line (-14.4 Units) in road games when they attempt 54 to 62 shots in a game over the last 2 seasons. Butler is 3-8 against the money line (-12.4 Units) in road games when they commit 10 to 13 turnovers in a game over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board DePaul. |
|||||||
01-21-17 | Tulsa -6 v. South Florida | Top | 79-67 | Win | 100 | 4 h 53 m | Show |
25* graded play on Tulsa (593) as they take on South Florida (540) in NCAAM Basketball action set to start at 1:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Tulsa will win this game by more than 11 points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Tulsa is a solid 61-31 ATS (+26.9 Units) when they allow 61 to 66 points in a game Tulsa is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) when they force 14 to 18 turnovers in a game over the last 3 seasons. South Florida is just 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) in home games when they attempt 4 to 9 less free throws than opponents in a game South Florida is 66-101 ATS (-45.1 Units) when they force 14 to 18 turnovers in a game Tulsa is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) off a home win this season. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Golden Hurricanes. The Tulsa Golden Hurricanes head to south Florida to take on the South Florida Bulls in an American Athletic Conference matchup on Saturday. These two teams are headed in opposite directions this season as Tulsa has won 3 straight games and are 4-1 in conference play. Meanwhile, the Bulls have dropped 6 straight games and are 0-6 in conference play. Look for Tulsa to stay hot and continue to score against the Bulls as they average 70 points per game this season. Take Tulsa as the road favorite in this matchup. |
|||||||
01-21-17 | Fordham v. Massachusetts -9 | Top | 71-68 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 8 m | Show |
25* graded play on UMASS as they take on Fordham in A-10 action set to start at 12:30PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that UMASS will win this game by 14 or more points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Fordham is just 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) when they make 34% to 39% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons. Fordham is 46-106 ATS (-70.6 Units) when their opponents make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game UMASS is a solid 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) when their opponents make 34% to 39% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons. UMASS is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) off a home win this season. Fundamental Discussion Points The Massachusetts Minutemen square off against the Fordham Rams on Saturday afternoon in an Atlantic 10 conference matchup. The Minutemen have taking advantage of home court advantage all season long as they have a 10-2 record at the William D. Mullins Center. Meanwhile Fordham has struggled on the road with a 1-5 record. Umass averages 73 points per game compared to the rams 66. Fordham is a very bad rebounding team averaging 29 per game compared to Massachusetts 37. Look for Umass to continue their domination at home against Fordham. Take Massachusetts as the home favorite in this Atlantic 10 matchup. |
|||||||
01-20-17 | Cleveland State +2 v. Wisc-Milwaukee | Top | 62-63 | Win | 100 | 12 h 44 m | Show |
25* graded play on Cleveland State (875) as they take on Wisconsin-Milwaukee in NCAAM action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that CS will win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. However, the one single requirements is that we need a +135 Money line to validate the ROI for the combination wager. If it is not at +135, then simply make a 25* wager using the line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 129-70 mark using the money line and has made 80 units/unit wagered averaging a +116 DOG play since 1997. Play against any team (WI-MILWAUKEE) off 2 straight losses against conference rivals against opponent off an upset win as an underdog of 10 or more. This system has gone 4-0 making 6.5 units/unit wagered this season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Wisconsin-MLW is just 4-10 against the money line (-14.4 Units) after playing a game as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Cleveland State tonight. Although CS has not won a road game this season and won just three road games last season, this is truly an opportunity get one facing a struggling WM basketball team. |
|||||||
01-19-17 | Rangers +108 v. Maple Leafs | Top | 5-2 | Win | 108 | 12 h 51 m | Show |
25* graded play on the NY Rangers (55) as they take on the Toronto Maple Leafs in NHL action set to start at 7:35 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Rangers will win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 58-37 mark good for 61% winners and has made a whopping 36.5 units/unit wagered averaging a +127 Dog play. Play on an underdog against the money line (NY RANGERS) good power play team scoring on more than 17.5% of their chances, hot offensive team with 3 straight games with 33 or more shots on goal. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Rangers are a solid 7-2 against the money line (+6.4 Units) in road games against good offensive teams averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game this season. Toronto is a money losing 16-43 against the money line (-22.7 Units) against poor power play killing teams where opponents score on more than 17.5% of their chances and with the game taking place in the 2nd half of the year over the last 3 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points The Rangers are currently installed as +105/+110 DOGS. So, the system outlied above has a dog qualifier. If the line moves to making the Rangers a slight favorite, the system may not qualify, but the SIM Algorithm generated release is still 100% valid. |
|||||||
01-19-17 | Suns +12 v. Cavs | Top | 103-118 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 45 m | Show |
25* graded play on the Phoenix Suns (701) as they take on the Cleveland Cavaliers in NBA action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Suns will lose this game by fewer than 10 points and has a modest shot to win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. However, the one single requirements is that we need a +135 Money line to validate the ROI for the combination wager. If it is not at +135, then simply make a 25* wager using the line. For this game, we obviously will have a money line above +135 so enjoy the opportunity. I never know when these live dogs are going to be the shocking headline news on ESPN. What I do know and have experienced over my 22 years of sports handicapping and deep learning computer predictive analytics is that over the course of a month and a season these combination wagers add a significant amount to the season ROI. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 38-16 ATS mark good for 70.4% ATS winners since 1996. Play against home favorites (CLEVELAND) after allowing 100 points or more 4 straight games and now facing an opponent after 3 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Suns. I rarely mention injuries in any game release as those news items are presumed to be already baked into the number. However, Kevin Love hurt his back – again – and is listed as questionable for this game. My hunch is that he will not play and will be rested. Should this be announced at any point today, I do think the lie will drop to possibly 9 ½. So, I suggest getting on this play right away. |
|||||||
01-19-17 | Northeastern -8.5 v. Delaware | Top | 62-69 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 55 m | Show |
25* graded play on Northeastern (713) as they take on Delaware in action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that NE will win this game by at least 11 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 26-5 ATS mark good for 84% winners since 2010. Play against home teams as an underdog or pick (DELAWARE) after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games and now facing an opponent after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Delaware is just 1-15 ATS (-15.5 Units) when their opponents make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons. Delaware is 11-27 ATS (-18.7 Units) in home games when they attempt 14 to 18 free throws in a game since 1997. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Huskies. The Northeastern Huskies will face off against the Delaware Blue Hens Thursday evening. The Huskies enter this one 5-1 in conference play while the Blue Hens sit at the very bottom of the Colonial Athletic Conference at 0-6 in conference play. Northeastern will be too much for Delaware to handle just like in the first meeting between these two teams this season. The Huskies average 75 points per game which is 11 better than Delaware’s 64 and against the same SOS. Northeastern also shoots the ball at a high rate of 48% while Delaware shoots the ball at 41%. Look for Northeastern to win this one easy just like the first time these two met this season. Take Northeastern. |
|||||||
01-18-17 | Thunder +13 v. Warriors | Top | 100-121 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 35 m | Show |
25* graded play on the Oklahoma City Thunder (517) as they take on Golden State in NBA action set to start at 10:30PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that OKC will lose this game by fewer than 10 points and does have a shot win this game. We recommend adding a 3* amount using the money line to the 25* play using the line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 29-9 ATS mark good for 76% winners since 1996. Play on road underdogs of 10 or more points (OKLAHOMA CITY) after a blowout loss by 15 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. OKC is a solid 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when their opponents make 32% to 38% of their 3 pointers in a game this season. OKC is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) when they score 105 or more points in a game this season. OKC is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) versus teams who average 53 or more rebounds/game on the season this season. OKC is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons. OKC is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after playing 2 consecutive road games this season. GS is just 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Thunder. Even with the elite Warriors there is always a tendency for a below average effort following a highly emotional win like they had over Cleveland. OKC is a solid team and their defensive strength matches up quite well against GS offensive strengths. OKC ranks best in the NBA allowing opponents just 10.6 fast break points per game. OKC ranks second in the NBA scoring 50.2 points in the paint while GS defense ranks 18th allowing 43.5 points in the paint per game. This one is expected to go down to the final minutes. |
|||||||
01-18-17 | UC-Irvine -5.5 v. Cal Poly | Top | 70-48 | Win | 100 | 14 h 50 m | Show |
25* graded play on UC-Irvine (565) as they take on Cal Poly-SLO action set to start at 10:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that will win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 35-12 ATS mark good for 75% winners since 1997. Play on road teams as an favorite or pick (UC-IRVINE) in a game involving two 3 point shooting teams attempting 20 or more per game, after a game shooting 57% or higher, allowing 43% or lower. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. UCI is a robust 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons. UCI is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) when their opponents make 34% to 39% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons. UCI is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when they allow 61 to 66 points in a game over the last 2 seasons. UCI is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) when they force 9 or fewer turnovers in a game over the last 3 seasons. UCI is 31-13 ATS (+16.7 Units) when they grab more than 45 rebounds in a game since 1997. UCI is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when they grab 10+ more rebounds than their opponents in a game over the last 2 seasons. CPS is just 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) when they attempt 54 to 62 shots in a game over the last 2 seasons. CPS is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) when their opponents make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points We head out to San Luis Obispo, California for this next Wednesday night matchup between the Cal Poly Mustangs and the UC Irvine Anteaters. UC Irvine enters this one at the top of the Big West Conference at 4-0 as the Mustangs are at the bottom at 0-3. The Anteaters average just 4 more points than the mustangs but only allow 66 per game which is 6 better than Cal Poly’s 72 per game. UC Irvine shoots the ball at 45% compared to Cal Poly’s 40% shooting. Most importantly the Anteaters average 39 rebounds per game compared to the Mustangs 31 per game. Look for UC Irvine to play solid defense, gather rebounds, and control the pace of this game. Take UC Irvine as the favorite. |
|||||||
01-18-17 | Duquesne +9 v. George Washington | Top | 63-65 | Win | 100 | 11 h 5 m | Show |
25* graded play on Duquesne (527) as they take on George Washington in A-10 action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Duquesne will lose this game by fewer than 5 points and has a great shot to win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. However, the one single requirements is that we need a +135 Money line to validate the ROI for the combination wager. If it is not at +135, then simply make a 25* wager using the line. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Duquesne is a perfect 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when they allow 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Duquesne is 6-1 against the money line (+9.8 Units) when they allow 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Duquesne is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points For this matchup, we head to the nation’s Capital as the visiting Duquesne Dukes take on the George Washington Colonials. Both teams enter the contest with the same record at 9-9. Duquesne 2-3 in conference play and George Washington just 1-4. We look for a close game in this one as both teams score just about 70 points a game and both shoot around 42% from the field. Expect a close game from these two Atlantic 10 conference foes. Take Duquesne as the live underdog. |
|||||||
01-18-17 | VCU -11 v. Fordham | Top | 67-69 | Loss | -104 | 11 h 55 m | Show |
25* graded play on VCU (523) as they take on Fordham in A-10 Conference action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that VCU will win this game by more than 15 points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. VCU is 16-3 ATS (+12.7 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons. VCU is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when their opponents make 34% to 39% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons. VCU is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when they grab 10+ more rebounds than their opponents in a game over the last 2 seasons. Fordham is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) when they make 34% to 39% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons. Fordham is 45-106 ATS (-71.6 Units) when their opponents make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game since 1997. Fordham is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when they grab 10+ fewer rebounds than their opponents in a game over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board VCU. We see two Rams go head to head in this one as The Virginia Commonwealth Rams take on the Fordham Rams in an Atlantic 10 matchup Wednesday evening. VCU enters the game 4-1 in conference play while Fordham has struggled at just 1-4. VCU 75 points per game compared to Fordham’s 66. VCU shoots a solid 47% from the field while Fordham shoots just 41%. VCU also averages 36 rebounds per game compared to Fordham’s 26. VCU is the more experienced team and have proven themselves yet again this year with another hot start in conference play. Look for VCU to dominate this game against Fordham. Take VCU as the favorite. |
|||||||
01-17-17 | Wichita State -11 v. Evansville | Top | 82-65 | Win | 100 | 14 h 40 m | Show |
50* graded play on Wichita State (747) in NCAAM action set to start at 9:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Wichita State will win this game by more than 15 points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. WS is a solid 16-2 ATS (+13.8 Units) in games attempting around the same number of free throws (+-3) as opponents over the last 3 seasons. WS is 72-41 ATS (+26.9 Units) when they grab 40 to 44 rebounds in a game Evansville is just 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when their opponents make 31% to 37% of their 3 pointers in a game over the last 2 seasons. WS is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) versus slow-down teams averaging 53 or less shots/game over the last 3 seasons. WS is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. WS is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) as a favorite of 10 or more points over the last 2 seasons. WS is a near-perfect 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as a road favorite of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 3 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Shockers. The Evansville Aces host the Wichita St. Shockers in a Missouri Valley Conference matchup. Wichita St. enters this one 5-1 in conference play which is 2nd in the MVC. Meanwhile the Aces are struggling this season with a 1-5 record in the conference. The Shockers are a much better scoring team averaging 82 points per game compared to the Aces 68. Evansville is a young team with not a lot of experience and it's showing here in conference play. Their lack of chemistry and experience will hurt them especially against an experienced team like Wichita St. Take Wichita St in this one. |
|||||||
01-17-17 | Raptors -11.5 v. Nets | Top | 119-109 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 1 m | Show |
25* graded play on Toronto (701) as they take on Brooklyn in NBA action set to start at 7:35 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Toronto will win this game by 15 or more points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 48-16 ATS mark good for 75% winners since 1996. Play on road favorites (TORONTO) off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival against opponent off a home loss by 10 points or more. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Brooklyn is just 16-31 ATS (-18.1 Units) when they make 43% to 47% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons. Brooklyn is 16-33 ATS (-20.3 Units) when their opponents make 48% to 51% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons. Brooklyn is just 17-30 ATS (-16.0 Units) in games where they force 12 or fewer turnovers over the last 2 seasons. Toronto is a near-perfect 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) after a home game where both teams score 100 or more points this season.
Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Toronto Raptors. |
|||||||
01-16-17 | Cavs v. Warriors -7.5 | Top | 91-126 | Win | 100 | 12 h 11 m | Show |
25* graded play on Golden State as they take on Cleveland in NBA action set to start at 8:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Golden State will win this game by more than 11 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Warriors are a solid 34-17 ATS (+15.3 Units) when they make 39% to 45% of their three point attempts in a game over the last 3 seasons. Cavs are a money losing 101-307 ATS (-236.7 Units) when they allow 105 or more points in a game Warriors are 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) versus good 3-point shooting teams making >=36% of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. Warriors are 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. Warriors are 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) off a home blowout win by 20 points or more over the last 3 seasons. |
|||||||
01-16-17 | Blazers +4 v. Wizards | Top | 101-120 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 32 m | Show |
25* graded play on Portland as they take on Washington in NBA action set to start at 2:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Portland will lose this game by fewer than four points and has an excellent chance to win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. However, the one single requirements is that we need a +135 Money line to validate the ROI for the combination wager. If it is not at +135, then simply make a 25* wager using the line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 54-25 ATS mark good for 68.4% winners since 2010. Play against favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (WASHINGTON) off a home win by 10 points or more, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Washington is a money losing 17-34 ATS (-20.4 Units) when they grab 10 to 15 offensive rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons. Washington is just 75-140 ATS (-79.0 Units) when they allow 105 to 109 points in a game Washington is 19-46 ATS (-31.6 Units) when they allow 105 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Portland is a solid 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons. |
|||||||
01-15-17 | Thunder v. Kings +1.5 | Top | 122-118 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
25* graded play on the Kings (862) as they take on the Thunder in NBA action set to start at 9:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Kings will win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. OKC is just 27-44 ATS (-21.4 Units) in road games in up-tempo games where they attempt 84 or more shots over the last 3 seasons. OKC is 17-42 ATS (-29.2 Units) when they allow 105 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Kings are a near-perfect 12-1 ATS (+10.9 Units) when they score 105 or more points in a game this season. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Sacramento Kings. |
|||||||
01-15-17 | Steelers +2.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 18-16 | Win | 100 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
25* graded play on Pittsburgh (305) as they take on Kansas City (306) in AFC Divisional Playoff action set to start at 1:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Pittsburgh will win this game by more than four points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 34-12 ATS mark good for 74% winners since 2005. Play against favorites (KANSAS CITY) revenging a loss against opponent, after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Pittsburgh is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they score 22 to 28 points this season. Pittsburgh is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) when their defense forces 2 turnovers over the last 3 seasons. Pittsburgh is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) facing inconsistent defensive teams allowing more than 350 yards/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Pittsburgh is a near-perfect 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) after gaining 6.5 or more yards/play in their previous game over the last 2 seasons. Roethlisberger is 20-11 ATS in all games played over the last five seasons with lines ranging between -2.5 to 4.5. Fundamental Discussion Points This is a rematch of the Week 4 blowout Steeler win at Pittsburgh in Week 4. The teams are significantly different than that Week 4 game and most dominant change has been the development of Le’Veon Bell, who now can take over a game. The KC defense will face a monumental challenge to contain all of the Steeler weapons. Their ability to stop the best running back in the game will be a lot more difficult without the services of future Hall of Fame linebacker Derrick Johnson and starting interior defenders Jaye Howard and Allen Bailey, all of whom have been placed on IR since the first meeting. Pittsburgh running back Le’Veon Bell has been outrageous of late, generating 78, 139, 60, 88 and 110 yards after contact in his last five games, forcing 24 missed tackles during that time. On offense, KC has their own big-gun version Kelce, who is certainly a playmaker and game changer. He has accumulated 652 yards after the catch, which is more than all but 12 TE have in total receiving yards in the NFL. The Steelers defense has done extremely well in underneath man coverage situations, which would have a LB on Kelce. Further, the transition in ‘over-under’ coverages has been disguised pre-snap and Alex Smith will have to make incredibly fast reads downfield to locate the safety and if that safety is providing deep help in Kelce vertical routes. That hand-off in coverage between LB and safety occurs at 20 yards downfield and it is that precise timing that Smith will have the best opportunity to deliver the ball to Kelce in space. However, if Smith has to rely on this type of minutia detail to move the chains, it will be a very long day at Arrowhead. Take the Steelers. |
|||||||
01-15-17 | Packers v. Cowboys -5 | Top | 34-31 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 9 m | Show |
50* graded play on Dallas (308) as they take on Green Bay (307) in NFC Divisional Round Playoff action set to start at 4:40PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Dallas will win this game by more than 7 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a a 44-18 ATS mark good for 71% winners since 2010. Play on favorites (DALLAS) after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games, with a winning record and with the game taking place in the second half of the season. Here is a money line system that has gone 34-2 for 94.4% winners and has made 30.4 units/unit wagered since 2010. Play on home favorites of -160 to -475 using the money line (DALLAS) after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread and with a winning record on the season playing another winning record team. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. · Dallas is a solid 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when they rush for 125 or more yards over the last 3 seasons. · Dallas is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when they gain 6 or more total yards per play this season. · Dallas is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) when they gain 6.5 to 7 total yards per play Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Dallas Cowboys. If you play Fantasy Football, definitely add Elliott to your team. It is not secret that the Cowboys front office and recent coaching and GM interviews have made it a point to say this is Elliotts’ time and he will be the dominant force in their offensive schemes and game plans. Ok, so if the Packers look to stop and contain Elliott, then they are exposed to the likes of Dez Bryant, Cole Beasely, Williams, and other weapons. Dak Prescott is a duel threat too, and with a make shift secondary, we do not see the Packers being able to stop the Cowboys. If Jordy Nelson was playing, then this matchup discussion would be a bit more evenly matched. However, what most observers do not know, is that the Cowboys have the number 1 ranked secondary in the NFL and this despite having a mediocre pass rush. So, the dominant edge goes to the expectations that a relatively-clean Aaron Rodgers cannot keep up with a Cowboys’ offense that is averaging the fifth-most yards per carry before contact facing a Green Bay defense surrendering the seventh-most yards per carry before contact. Take the Cowboys. |
|||||||
01-15-17 | George Washington +6.5 v. La Salle | Top | 69-79 | Loss | -103 | 6 h 45 m | Show |
25* graded play on George Washington (875) as they take on LaSalle (876) in A_10 Conference action set to start at 4:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that GW will lose this game by fewer than 5 points and has a great opportunity to win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. However, the one single requirements is that we need a +135 Money line to validate the ROI for the combination wager. If it is not at +135, then simply make a 25* wager using the line. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. GW is a solid 72-35 ATS (+33.5 Units) when they make 38% to 45% of their three point attempts in a game GW is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when they grab 9 to 13 offensive rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons. LaSalle is an imperfect 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when they make 79% or more of their free throws in a game over the last 2 seasons. |
|||||||
01-14-17 | UCLA -3 v. Utah | Top | 83-82 | Loss | -103 | 6 h 45 m | Show |
25* graded play on UCLA as they take on Utah in PAC-12 action set to start at 6:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that UCLA will win this game by at least 7 points.
Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. · UCLA is a solid 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when they make 46% or more of their three point attempts in a game this season. · UCLA is 135-54 ATS (+75.6 Units) when they score 81 or more points in a game · UCLA is 75-18 ATS (+55.2 Units) when they score 87 or more points in a game · Utah is just 39-83 ATS (-52.3 Units) when their opponents make 47% to 53% of their shots in a gam · Utah is just 11-28 ATS (-19.8 Units) when they allow 81 or more points in a game Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Bruins. |
|||||||
01-14-17 | Seahawks v. Falcons -5 | Top | 20-36 | Win | 100 | 8 h 12 m | Show |
25* graded play on the Atlanta Falcons (302) as they take on the Seattle Seahawks (301) in the NFC Divisional Round of playoff action set to start at 4:25 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that will win this game.
Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Atlanta is 76-19 ATS (+55.1 Units) when they gain 8 or more net passing yards/attempt Atlanta is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) when they gain 8.5 to 9 net passing yards/attempt Seattle is 3-16 ATS (-14.6 Units) when they allow 8.5 to 9 net passing yards/attempt Seattle is 17-58 ATS (-46.8 Units) when they allow 8 or more net passing yards/attempt. Here are the supporting systems for this Titan release on Atlanta. Play on any team vs the money line (ATLANTA) mistake-free team with less than 1.25 TO/game committed and is now facing a team averaging less than 1.25 TO/game forced, after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better.
Slicing this system to include only favorites produces a 62-9 record for 87% winners since 2005 good for 87% winners making 45.6 units/unit wagered averaging a -181 ML favorite wager. SIX Point TEASER Opportunity: Atlanta and Louisville in CBB
Play on any team in a 6-point teaser (ATLANTA) that is a mistake-free team averaging less than 1.25 TO/G committed and is now facing a team averaging less than 1.25 TO/G forced after 8+ games, after 4 consecutive games where they committed 1 or less turnovers.
The Falcons have the 6th best OL in the league supporting the 2nd best overall offense and best scoring offense at 33. . Moreover, they are playing at home with the week of rest. Matt Ryan is remarkably accurate and makes solid decisions under pressure. He is averaging a league-best 8.8 yards per pass attempt while the Seattle defense ranks 15th allowing 6.7 yards per pass attempt. Further, the Seattle defense is missing Earl Thomas and his replacement Terrell is simply making too many coverage mistakes. The Falcons feature Julio, but you will see two TE sets, where both TE run vertical routes and then send Jones underneath to vast open areas in the middle of the field. Seattle may be able to take that underneath route away, but then Ryan will know he has either TE in man coverage without safety help. Sounds like a perfect situation for big scoring plays. |
|||||||
01-14-17 | Florida State v. North Carolina -8.5 | Top | 83-96 | Win | 100 | 2 h 59 m | Show |
25* graded play on North Carolina (566) as they take on Florida State (565) in ACC action set to start at 2:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that UNC will win this game by more than 10 points.
Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. UNC is a solid 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when they make 31% to 37% of their three point attempts in a game over the last 2 seasons. UNC is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) when they grab more than 45 rebounds in a game over the last 3 seasons. UNC is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) when they score 81 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board North Carolina . |
|||||||
01-14-17 | Duke v. Louisville -4.5 | Top | 69-78 | Win | 100 | 3 h 6 m | Show |
50* graded play on Louisville (514) as they take on Duke (513) in ACC Conference action set to start at 12:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Louisville will win this game by at least 8 points.
Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Louisville 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games when they make 31% to 37% of their three point attempts in a game over the last 2 seasons. Duke 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) versus excellent ball handling teams committing less than 12 turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. Louisville is a solid 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) versus explosive offensive teams scoring 84+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Louisville Cardinal. Duke does not possess a true point guard and you be assured that Louisville will look to bring immense pressure on any Duke ball handler to generate poor decisions and create turnovers leading to fast break scores. So, the key is for Louisville to make this a fast game and force Duke players into a near panic playing style. Tae Louisville. |
|||||||
01-13-17 | Heat v. Bucks UNDER 204.5 | Top | 108-116 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 9 m | Show |
25* graded play ‘UNDER’ Miami-Milwaukee in NBA action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that fewer than 200 points will be scored in this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Miami is 29-17 UNDER (+10.3 Units) when they make 43% to 47% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons. Miami is solid 23-11 UNDER (+10.9 Units) when they make 65% to 70% of their free throws in a game over the last 2 seasons. Miami is 40-18 UNDER (+20.2 Units) when they grab 10 to 15 offensive rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons. Miami is 23-10 UNDER (+12.0 Units) in road games when they grab 48 to 52 rebounds in a game over the last 3 seasons. Miami is 9-1 UNDER (+7.9 Units) when they score 93 to 98 points in a game this season. Miami is 24-8 UNDER (+15.2 Units) when they allow 93 to 98 points in a game over the last 3 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the ‘UNDER” for this matchup. |
|||||||
01-13-17 | Hornets -5 v. 76ers | Top | 93-102 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 17 m | Show |
25* graded play on Charlotte as they take on Philadelphia in NBA action set to start at 7:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Charlotte will win this game by more than 7 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 111-59 ATS mark good for 65% winners since 1996. Play against home underdogs (PHILADELPHIA) off a close home win by 3 points or less, with a losing record. Here is a second system that has gone 93-45 ATS for 67.4% winners since 1996. Play against home underdogs (PHILADELPHIA) after a close win by 3 points or less against opponent after a combined score of 205 points or more. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Charlotte is a solid 38-19 ATS (+17.1 Units) when they score 105 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Philadelphia is just 61-134 ATS (-86.4 Units) when they allow 105 to 109 points in a game Philadelphia is 21-46 ATS (-29.6 Units) when they allow 105 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Philadelphia is a money burning 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) when playing against a marginal winning team posting a win percentage between 51% to 60% in games played over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points Charlotte is simply a better team across many statistical metrics. They rank 2nd in the NBA with an impressive 1.981 assist-to-turnover ratio while the 76ers rank 26th with a 1.361 ratio. Further, Charlotte does a great job getting to the foul line ranking 2nd making 20 free throws per game. Here again, the 76ers rank 26th making 15.5 FT per game. We could go on and on, but it is clear that Charlotte can dominate at both ends of the court and cruise to an easy ATS win. |
|||||||
01-13-17 | Maple Leafs +125 v. Rangers | Top | 4-2 | Win | 125 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
25* graded play on Toronto as they take on the NY Rangers in NHL action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Toronto will win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 31-13 mark good for 71% winners since 1996. Play against home teams when the money line is -100 to -150 (NY RANGERS) off a road win against a division rival, well rested team playing 3 or less games in 10 days. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Rangers are just 1-9 against the money line (-12.2 Units) in home games after 2 consecutive division games over the last 2 seasons. Rangers are 8-15 against the money line (-16.8 Units) in home games after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
Take the Maple Leafs
|
|||||||
01-12-17 | UCLA -5.5 v. Colorado | Top | 104-89 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show |
25* graded play on UCLA as they take on Colorado in PAC-12 action set to start at 11:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that UCLA will win this game by at least 10 points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. UCLA is a solid 60-36 ATS (+20.4 Units) when they score 81 to 86 points in a game since 1997. Colorado is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in games attempting around the same number of free throws (+-3) as opponents over the last 3 seasons. Colorado is just 38-90 ATS (-61.0 Units) when they allow 81 or more points in a game since 1997. UCLA is 34-17 ATS (+15.3 Units) in road games off a home win against a conference rival since 1997. UCLA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins this season. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Bruins. The UCLA Bruins take on the Colorado Buffaloes in PAC-12 action on Thursday evening. Colorado enters this game 0-3 in PAC-12 action and have proved they haven't been able to play with any PAC-12 team so far this season. Meanwhile UCLA has been very solid this season averaging 93 points per game, 19 points better than Colorado who averages just 74 a game. The Bruins shoot the ball at a rate of 53% and average 22 assists per game to the Buffaloes 43% shooting and just 13 assists per game. UCLA has proven that their offense can score at a high rate. Colorado won't be able to keep up with the Bruins offense in this matchup. Take UCLA in this PAC-12 matchup. |
|||||||
01-12-17 | Pistons +13 v. Warriors | Top | 107-127 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 9 m | Show |
25* graded play on the Detroit Pistons as they take on the Golden State Warriors in NBA action set to start at 10:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Detroit will lose this game by fewer than 10 points. If you have access to a money line, we recommend adding a 3* amount juts in case we catch lightning in a bottle tonight. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Detroit is a solid 45-29 ATS (+13.1 Units) when they make 43% to 47% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons. Warriors are a money losing 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season. Detroit is a solid 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in road games revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points over the last 3 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Detroit Pistons. |
|||||||
01-12-17 | Drexel v. Northeastern -10 | Top | 75-92 | Win | 100 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
25* graded play on Northeastern as they take on Drexel in NCAAM basketball action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Northeastern will win this game by more than 14 points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Drexel is just 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when they allow 81 or more points in a game over the last 3 seasons. Northeastern is a solid 55-27 ATS (+25.3 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game Northeastern is a perfect 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) when they grab 40 to 44 rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons. Northeastern is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) when they score 81 to 86 points in a game Northeastern is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when they score 81 or more points in a game over the last 3 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Northeastern. It’s simple. Drexel defense ranks 284th in scoring defense allowing 78.5 PPG and 226th with a 1.076 assists-to-turnover ratio, and allow opponents to shoot 38.4% from beyond the arc that ranks 297th in the nation. Northeastern will exceed 81 points and that is very good news pointing toward an easy cover as documented above. Take Northeastern. |
|||||||
01-11-17 | Knicks v. 76ers +2.5 | Top | 97-98 | Win | 100 | 11 h 55 m | Show |
25* graded play on the Philadelphia 76ers as they take on the New York Knicks in NBA action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the 76ers will win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. However, the one single requirements is that we need a +135 Money line to validate the ROI for the combination wager. If it is not at +135, then simply make a 25* wager using the line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. NY is just 20-37 ATS (-20.7 Units) when they make 32% to 38% of their three point attempts in a game over the last 3 seasons. Philadelphia is a solid 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) facing poor foul drawing teams attempting less than 24 free throws/game this season. Philadelphia is 30-15 ATS (+13.5 Units) versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 103+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points The 76ers are playing some of the best basketball of this season and arguably in the past five seasons. They have won 3-of4 games and covered all four. They are coming off a game where they defeated the lowly Nets 105-95 and shot just 39.4% from the field. Now, in games following a poor shooting night the 76ers are an extremely resilient 8-1 ATS this season. The Knicks are essentially falling apart having lost 8 of the last 9 games and covered just 3 of those games. Their defense has been horrid during this losing streak and the youthful 76ers will have far more energy and excitement playing in front of a sell-out enthusiastic crowd. |
|||||||
01-11-17 | Panthers v. Islanders -121 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -121 | 11 h 43 m | Show |
25* graded play on the Islanders (52) as they take on Panthers (51) in NHL action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Islanders will win this game. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Panthers are just 7-18 against the money line (-12.8 Units) against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game this season. Panthers are 2-9 against the money line (-8.9 Units) against terrible defensive teams - allowing 3+ goals/game this season. Islanders are a near-perfect 10-1 against the money line (+9.3 Units) after playing 4 consecutive road games over the last 3 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Islanders tonight. |
|||||||
01-11-17 | Dayton v. Massachusetts +6 | Top | 55-67 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
25* graded play on UMASS (730) as they take on Dayton (729) in A-10 action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability UMASS that will win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. However, the one single requirements is that we need a +135 Money line to validate the ROI for the combination wager. If it is not at +135, then simply make a 25* wager using the line. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. UMASS is a solid 10-5 against the money line (+8.9 Units) when they score 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Dayton is a money losing 12-22 against the money line (-20.4 Units) facing good passing teams, averaging more than 16 assists/game after 15+ games Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Minutemen. |
|||||||
01-11-17 | South Carolina v. Tennessee +1 | Top | 70-60 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 33 m | Show |
50* graded play on Tennessee (718) as they take on South Carolina (717) in SEC action set to start at 6:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Tennessee will win this game by four or more points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. SC is just 4-17 ATS (-14.7 Units) when their opponents make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons. SC is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) when they attempt 4 to 9 less free throws than opponents in a game over the last 3 seasons. Tennessee is a solid 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) when their opponents make 31% to 37% of their 3 pointers in a game over the last 3 seasons. Tennessee is 35-11 ATS (+22.9 Units) as a home underdog or pick since 1997. Tennessee HC Martin is a money burning 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) when playing against a marginal winning team posting a win percentage between 51% to 60% after 15 or more games. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Volunteers. SC is essentially the UVA of the SEC Conference dependent and focused on the defensive end and using that defense to score points in transition. However, Tennessee plays at a faster pace and we believe they will look to take quality shots early in possessions before SC can set up their zone-man defense. Further, SC can really struggle during long stretches of time on the offensive end. Tey rank 236th in effective FG percentage. Tennessee gets a very important win. |
|||||||
01-11-17 | George Washington +10.5 v. VCU | Top | 55-85 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 60 m | Show |
25* graded play on George Washington (713) as they take on VCU (714) in Colonial Athletic Conference action set to start at 6:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that GW will lose this game by fewer than 10 points and has a modest shot at winning SU. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. However, the one single requirements is that we need a +135 Money line to validate the ROI for the combination wager. If it is not at +135, then simply make a 25* wager using the line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 91-46 ATS mark good for 66.4% winners and has made 40.4 units/unit wagered since 2010. Play on road underdogs of 10 or more points (GEORGE WASHINGTON) off a home loss against a conference rival against opponent off a home win by 10 points or more. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. GW is a solid 59-33 ATS (+22.7 Units) when they make 79% or more of their free throws in a game. GW is a stout 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when they grab 9 to 13 offensive rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons. VCU is a near-imperfect 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games facing good free throw shooting teams making better than 72% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points GW is the vastly better rebounding team and the greater the differential of offensive boards, the greater the chances that GW could get a big-time upset win. |
|||||||
01-10-17 | Canisius v. Fairfield -4 | Top | 86-72 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 11 m | Show |
25* graded play on Fairfield (564) as they take on Canisius (563) in NCAAM Basketball action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Fairfield will win this game by at least 7 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 46-14 ATS mark good for 77% winners since 2010. Play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (FAIRFIELD) that are solid offensive teams scoring between 74 and 78 PPG and is now facing a horrible defensive team allowing 78 PPG. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. · Fairfield is a solid 73-34 ATS (+35.6 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game · Fairfield is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when their opponents make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons. · Fairfield is 22-6 ATS (+15.4 Units) when they score 81 to 86 points in a game · Fairfield is a perfect 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) when they score 81 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Fairfield Stags. The Fairfield Stags play host to the Canisius Golden Griffins Tuesday Night. The Stags enter the game 3-1 in MAAC play (2nd in the conference) and Canisius 3-2 in MAAC play (4th in the conference). Fairfield has played just one home conference game and have won. Meanwhile Canisius isn’t a great road team as they are 1-2 on the road in MAAC play. Canisius gives up 81.2 points per game while Fairfield scores 78 points per contest. Canisius will struggle to stop the Stags efficient offense who shoot 46% from the field and hit 52% of their 2-point shot attempts. Canisius has great ball movement as evidenced by posting a 0.671 assist-FG made ratio that ranks second-best in the nation. However, Fairfield’s defense does a great job in defensive rotation and rank 28th in the nation with a 0.452 opponent assist-FG made ratio. Look for Fairfield to win this one and stay at the top of the MAAC division. Take the Stags as a favorite at home. |
|||||||
01-09-17 | Clemson +6.5 v. Alabama | Top | 35-31 | Win | 100 | 13 h 34 m | Show |
50* graded play on Clemson (151) as they take on Alabama (152) in the CFP National Championship set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Clemson will win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. However, the one single requirements is that we need a +135 Money line to validate the ROI for the combination wager. If it is not at +135, then simply make a 25* wager using the line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 43-15 ATS mark good for 74% winners since 1992. Play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (ALABAMA) with a great scoring defense allowing 14 or less points/game, after allowing 17 points or less in 5 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Clemson is a solid 17-6 against the money line (+12.7 Units) in road games when they gain 250 to 300 net passing yards Clemson is 28-9 against the money line (+24.7 Units) when they gain 5 to 5.5 total yards per play Alabama is just 16-22 against the money line (-20.4 Units) when they allow 22 to 28 points Clemson is 12-1 against the money line (+11.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. Clemson is a near-perfect 10-1 against the money line (+9.7 Units) vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. over the last 2 seasons. Clemson is 11-1 against the money line (+10.7 Units) vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game over the last 2 seasons. Clemson is 12-1 against the money line (+11.7 Units) vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season over the last 2 seasons. Clemson is 16-10 against the money line (+22.3 Units) versus excellent defensive teams - allowing =5.9 yards/play over the last 3 seasons. Clemson is 15-1 against the money line (+14.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons. Swinney is 17-3 against the money line (+14.1 Units) after having won 4 out of their last 5 games as the coach of Clemson. Swinney is 27-9 against the money line (+21.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - averaging >=5.9 yards/play as the coach of Clemson. Clemson installed as a road dog has won four straight games and is 27-11 L38 situations. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Clemson Tigers. Clemson shutout Ohio State in their last game, which was a monumental feat and one that the media has not emphasized nearly enough in this matchup. Alabama is ranked best defensive team in the nation, but Clemson has narrowed the gap. Clemson ranks 8th in scoring defense, 7th with a 0.257 opponent points per play ratio, 6th allowing 4.5 YPP, and 7th allowing just 5.9 YP pass. This last metric is the one that will win the game for Clemson tonight. Alabama ranks 35th allowing 7.8 Yards per pass and have allowed a sack on 5.71% of pass plays. Clemson’s defense ranks 7th in the nation recording a sack on 9.36% of pas plays. It will be the elite speed and athleticism of the Clemson front seven that will pressure the Alabama OL and will get penetration and containment on that unit. This will contain Hurts and also reduce the amount of time he has to scan the field to make plays down field. Watson is bar none the most athletic and talented QB that the Alabama defense will face this season. You can be guaranteed that HC Swinney, with his track record outlined above, will have a tremendous game plan in place tonight. Last, I also think the dismissal of Kiffin, whether for good or bad reasons, has had an impact on the players. As a side show, it will be quite interesting to see how Sarkisian reacts to Saban’s verbal attacks on him after Bama goes a 3-and-out possession. |