Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-08-17 | Cavs v. Suns +9 | Top | 120-116 | Win | 100 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
25* graded play on the Phoenix Suns (512) as they take on the Cleveland Cavaliers (511) in NBA action set to start at 8:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Phoenix will lose this game by fewer than 8 points and has an opportunity to win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. However, the one single requirements is that we need a +135 Money line to validate the ROI for the combination wager. If it is not at +135, then simply make a 25* wager using the line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Cleveland is just 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in road games when they grab 48 to 52 rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons. Cleveland is 11-33 ATS (-25.3 Units) when they allow 105 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Cleveland is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in road games when they grab 48 to 52 rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons. Cleveland is 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) in road games when their opponents make 32% to 38% of their 3 pointers in a game over the last 3 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Suns. |
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01-08-17 | Giants +5.5 v. Packers | Top | 13-38 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 32 m | Show |
25* graded play on the NY Giants (107) as they take on the Green Bay Packers (108) in NFC Wild Card action set to start at 4:40 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Giants will win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. However, the one single requirements is that we need a +135 Money line to validate the ROI for the combination wager. If it is not at +135, then simply make a 25* wager using the line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 41-16 ATS mark good for 72% winners since 2005. Play on road teams (NY GIANTS) after having won 2 out of their last 3 games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) in the second half of the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Giants are a solid 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) when they gain 6 to 6.5 net passing yards/attempt since 1992. Giants are 31-16 ATS (+13.4 Units) in road games when their defense forces 2 turnovers since 1992. Giants are 54-27 ATS (+24.3 Units) after outrushing opponent by 75 or more yards last game since 1992. Giants are 5-1 against the money line (+6.1 Units) when they gain 300 to 350 total yards this season. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Giants. Weather will be a factor with cross winds in the 8 to 12 MPH range throughout the game. Game time temps will start at 12 degrees and steadily move into single digits during the game. However, we strongly believe this will give the Giants an added edge since they are the better rushing team and have a vastly better rushing defense. Giants have won all season with their defense and it will be no different today. Giants rank 3rd in scoring defense, 2nd posting a 0.267 opponent points per play ratio, and third with a 35% opponent third down conversion percentage. Green Bay led by Rogers is an elite offensive unit once again this season. Green Bay ranks 2nd with a 46% third down conversion percentage, BUT we believe that the Giants defense will keep that number under 33% today. Giants will be successful in keeping first down gains to low numbers and forcing Rogers to move the chain on third and long distances. Rogers is one of the best ever, however, this Giants defensive unit has steadily gotten better over the second half of the season and arguably are now the best defensive units left in the playoffs. Further, the Giants are a mistake free team ranking 2nd in the league averaging just 5.5 penalties per game. Packers secondary is a mess right now due to injuries. They have safeties playing corner in dime packages and this is a HUGE advantage for Beckham and Shepard in man coverage. If Beckham gets double teams, then it will open up high percentage pass completions to other WER and the TE. Take the Giants. |
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01-08-17 | Canisius v. Iona -5.5 | Top | 75-98 | Win | 100 | 3 h 27 m | Show |
25* graded play on Iona as they take on Canisuis in NCAAM action set to start at 4:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Iona will win this game by at least 8 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 45-14 ATS mark good for 76% winners since 1997. Play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (IONA) a good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against a horrible defensive team allowing more than 78 PPG. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Canisius is 48-73 ATS (-32.3 Units) when their opponents make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game Iona is a solid 92-52 ATS (+34.8 Units) when they score 81 or more points in a game Canisius 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) after 3 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons. |
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01-08-17 | Dolphins +12 v. Steelers | Top | 12-30 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 32 m | Show |
25* graded play on the Miami Dolphins (105) as they take on the Pittsburgh Steelers (106) in AFC Wild Card action set to start at 1:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Dolphins will lose this game by fewer than 10 points and has an outside shot at getting a shocking upset win. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. However, the one single requirements is that we need a +135 Money line to validate the ROI for the combination wager. If it is not at +135, then simply make a 25* wager using the line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 26-7 ATS mark good for 79% winners since 2005. Play against any team (PITTSBURGH) off 1 or more straight ‘overs’ against opponent off 6 or more consecutive ‘overs’. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Miami is a solid 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) in road games off in 2 straight division games since 1992. Pittsburgh is just 11-25 ATS (-16.5 Units) as a favorite of 10 or more points since 1992. Tomlin is a miserable money losing Tomlin is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) revenging an upset loss against opponent as a road favorite as the coach of Pittsburgh. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Dolphins. Steelers have struggled to stop the run this season. They rank 20th allowing 4.3 YPR while Miami ranks 8th gaining 4.5 YPA. Ajayi has been a major factor and was just named the team MVP. His success will open play action where Moore can target a vastly underrated receiver corp in man coverage. |
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01-07-17 | Raptors v. Bulls +2 | Top | 118-123 | Win | 100 | 5 h 45 m | Show |
25* graded play on the Chicago Bulls as they take on the Toronto Raptors in NBA action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Chicago will win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. However, the one single requirements is that we need a +135 Money line to validate the ROI for the combination wager. If it is not at +135, then simply make a 25* wager using the line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 26-6 mark using the Money Line good for 81% winners and has made 19.6 units/unit wagered since 2010. Play on home teams vs. the money line (CHICAGO) that are off a road win against a division rival, playing with two days of rest. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Chicago is a quite goodToronto is just 14-30 against the money line (-28.1 Units) after a game committing 10+ less turnovers than opponents since 1996. 10-3 against the money line (+15.2 Units) when playing against a good team posting a 60 to 70 win percentage over the last 2 seasons. |
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01-07-17 | Ole Miss v. Auburn -2.5 | Top | 88-85 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 56 m | Show |
25* graded play on Auburn as they take on Mississippi in SEC action set to start at 6:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Auburn will win this game by more than 7 points.. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Auburn is a solid 30-11 ATS (+17.9 Units) when they score 81 to 86 points in a game since 1997. Mississippi is just 19-39 ATS (-23.9 Units) when they allow 81 or more points in a game since 1997. Auburn is a solid 24-8 against the money line (+17.1 Units) in home games after 2 straight games giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds since 1997. Auburn is a stout 22-15 against the money line (+26.6 Units) after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half since 1997. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Auburn Tigers. Mississippi defense is just not good ranking 253rd in scoring defense, 313th in opponent assists per game, 322nd with a 0.611 assists to FG made ratio. Auburn does shoot from beyond the arc more than the average team and Mississippi will have a difficult time defending the arc. Auburn can spread their defense and then look to get the ball inside the paint for high percentage scorig opportunities. Take Auburn. |
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01-07-17 | Raiders +4 v. Texans | Top | 14-27 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 56 m | Show |
25* graded play on Oakland (101) as they take on Houston (102) in AFC Wild Card action set to start at 4:35 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Oakland will win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. However, the one single requirements is that we need a +135 Money line to validate the ROI for the combination wager. If it is not at +135, then simply make a 25* wager using the line. We also have a 10* graded play on the ‘over’ for this matchup. So, in addition to the combination wager, consider playing a 10* amount on the ‘over’ and then a reverse action parlay using the money line and the ‘over’ for a 5* unit play. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 95-48 ATS for 66.4% winners since 1983. Play against home favorites (HOUSTON) off a road loss against opponent off a road blowout loss by 14 points or more. Here is a second system that has gone 34-13 ATS for 72.3% winners since 2005. Play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (OAKLAND) after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games, a good team sporting a 60 to 75 win percentage and now playing a team with a winning record. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Oakland is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when they allow 5.5 to 6 net passing yards/attempt over the last 3 seasons. Oakland is a near-perfect 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games when both teams score 20 or more points over the last 2 seasons. Oakland is a perfect 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in road games when their defense forces 2 turnovers over the last 2 seasons. Oakland is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Raiders. History has been made before this game even starts. Connor Cook will be the first QB in NFL history to make his first career start in a playoff game and we think he will also be the first to win his first start in a playoff game. We performed an 11-game example of rookie quarterbacks playing in playoff action and their record is just 4-7 SU, but the spread record is 8-3 ATS. The first time a rookie was uder center in a playoff game was back in 1976 when Pat Haden played for an injured James Harris in a 14-12 win over Dallas. The last game, was in 2015 when A.J McCarron played for starter Andy Dalton in a 18-16 loss to Pittsburgh. Since 2000, the performance levels have been far more impressive, although just a 5-game sample size. So, these data examples do provide support for Connor Cook to perform well this afternoon. An added reason is that Houston is dealing with their own QB injuries and numerous injuries on the defensive side of the ball. Given the very talented and elite quality of the Oakland WR led by Amari Cooper, we strongly believe that Cook will be able to make plays , move the chains, and score points. . |
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01-07-17 | East Carolina v. Temple -9 | Top | 62-81 | Win | 100 | 2 h 29 m | Show |
25* graded play on Temple (722) as they take on East Carolina (721) in American Conference action set to start at 12:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Temple will win this game by at least 11 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Temple is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when they grab 9 to 13 offensive rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons. Temple is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) when they force 14 to 18 turnovers in a game over the last 3 seasons. Temple is 112-50 ATS (+57.0 Units) when their opponents make 34% to 39% of their shots in a game since 1997. East Carolina is just 38-84 ATS (-54.4 Units) when they make 34% to 39% of their shots in a game since 1997. Temple is 47-20 ATS (+25.0 Units) in home games versus good defensive teams possessing a shooting percentage defense of |
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01-06-17 | Wisc-Milwaukee +10 v. Green Bay | Top | 74-80 | Win | 100 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
25* graded play on Wisconsin-Milwaukee (521) as they take on Wisconsin-Green Bay (522) in Horizon Conference action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that will win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. · WM is a solid 69-39 ATS (+26.1 Units) when they make 31% to 37% of their three point attempts in a game · WM is a strong 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games when they score 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 3 seasons. · WM is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) as a road underdog or pick over the last 2 seasons. · WM id 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) after a game where they failed to cover the spread over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Milwaukee. |
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01-06-17 | Maple Leafs v. Devils +106 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 48 m | Show |
25* graded play on New Jersey as they take on Toronto in NHL action set to start at 7:35 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that New Jersey will win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 59-31 mark good for 66% winners and has made 29.2 units/unit wagered since 1996. Play against any team against the money line (TORONTO) after having won 4 of their last 5 games, in a game involving two marginal losing teams posting win percentages between 40 to 49% with the current game taking place in the first half of the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. · Toronto is just 6-18 against the money line (-15.6 Units) against poor defensive teams allowing 2.85+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons. · Toronto is just 13-24 against the money line (-15.9 Units) against struggling offensive teams scoring Toronto is just5-22 against the money line (-18.2 Units) in January games over the last 3 seasons. · Toronto is an imperfect0-11 against the money line (-11.0 Units) in road games after a road game where both teams score 3 or more goals over the last 3 seasons.
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01-05-17 | Spurs v. Nuggets +7.5 | Top | 127-99 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 27 m | Show |
25* graded play on the Denver Nuggets (716) as they take on the San Antonio Spurs (715) in NBA action set to start at 9:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Denver will lose this game by fewer than 5 points and has a great opportunity to win this game.
Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Systems: This system has gone 38-16 ATS for 70.4% winners since 1996 and supports the SIM Algorithm grading. Play against favorites that are excellent offensive teams scoring more than 102 PPG and is now facing a struggling defensive team allowing more than 102 PPG, after scoring 110 points or more 4 straight games. Here is a second system that has gone 41-12 using the Money Line good for 77.4% winners and has made 29.3 units/unit wagered since 1996. Play against road teams using the money line (SAN ANTONIO) after beating the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games and is now facing an opponent after going over the total by more than 12 points in three consecutive games. Game Situations: San Antonio is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in road games in up-tempo games where they attempt 84 or more shots over the last 2 seasons. San Antonio is 36-102 ATS (-76.2 Units) when they allow 105 to 109 points in a game San Antonio is 2-18 ATS (-17.8 Units) when they allow 105 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Nuggets. |
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01-05-17 | Iowa +2.5 v. Nebraska | Top | 90-93 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 8 m | Show |
25* graded play on Iowa (753) as they take on Nebraska (754) in BIG TEN Conference basketball action set to start at 9:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that will win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Nebraska is just 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. Nebraska is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) when playing against a good team posting a 60% to 80% win percentage over the last 3 seasons. Nebraska is just 3-11 against the money line (-16.8 Units) when they make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons. Nebraska is 15-40 against the money line (-25.9 Units) when they allow 75 to 80 points in a game Fundamental Discussion Points Iowa is a solid offensive team that has struggled at times on the defensive end. Nebraska is one of the worst offensive teams in the nation ranking 223rd at 70.3 PPG, 302nd averaging only 11.0 assists per game, and 333rd with a 0.435 assists-per-FG made. So, we see Iowa looking to still play fast on the offensive end, but making a focused effort to stop the ball on defensive transitions. Take Iowa. |
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01-05-17 | Hurricanes +141 v. Blues | Top | 4-2 | Win | 141 | 13 h 35 m | Show |
25* graded play on Carolina (57) as they take on St. Louis (58) in NHL action set to start at 8:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Carolina will win this game.
Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Game Situations: Carolina is a solid 10-3 against the money line (+10.6 Units) in road games after allowing 3 goals or more 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons. St. Louis is 5-10 against the money line (-10.3 Units) in home games after a blowout win by 3 goals or more over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Carolina. Carolina is off two straight 3-1 losses and will be looking to execute with greater efficiency in the offensive end of the ice. St. Louis is off the Winter Classic win over the Blackhawks and we think there could be a bit of a ‘hangover’ effect on the team. Carolina has significant ‘value’ at money levels above +140, so look to be patient with this wager and look for even more attractive levels later today. |
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01-04-17 | Hawks v. Magic +3.5 | Top | 111-92 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 60 m | Show |
25* graded play on the Orlando Magic as they take on the Atlanta Hawks in NBA action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Orlando will win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. However, the one single requirements is that we need a +135 Money line to validate the ROI for the combination wager. If it is not at +135, then simply make a 25* wager using the line. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations and/or systems match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Systems: Supporting the graded play is a powerful system that has gone 52-26 for 67% winners since 2010. Play against favorites (ATLANTA) after a win by 6 points or less against opponent after a combined score of 205 points or more 3 straight games. Game Situations: Atlanta is just 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in road games in games where they force 13 to 17 turnovers over the last 2 seasons. Orlando is a solid 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in home games after allowing 100 points or more 4 straight games over the last 2 seasons. Orlando is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) after playing 4 consecutive games as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. |
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01-04-17 | Miami (Fla) v. Syracuse +1 | Top | 55-70 | Win | 100 | 11 h 18 m | Show |
35* graded play on Syracuse (520) as they take on Miami (Fla) (519) in NCAA ACC Conference Basketball action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Syracuse will win this game by at least four points.
Technical Discussion Points The following game situations and/or systems match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.
Miami is an imperfect 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games when they commit 3 to 7 more turnovers than their opponents over the last 2 seasons. Syracuse is a solid 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when they attempt 14 to 18 free throws in a game over the last 2 seasons. Syracuse is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Syracuse. Miami is off to a great start to the 2017-17 season, but this is a very difficult matchup for them to overcome. They shoot just 32% from beyond the arc and scoring just 69.4 PPG in three road games. In ten home games, the Orange are 8-2 and scoring 83.7 PPG and hitting 42.4% of their shots from beyond the arc. Moreover, their defense is holding opponent to just 26.8% shooting from beyond the arc. Without hitting the three, Miami is goig to have immense difficulty scorig from the paint. Take Syracuse. |
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01-02-17 | Avalanche +130 v. Canucks | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 49 m | Show |
25* graded play on as they take on action set to start at PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that will win this game. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Vancouver is 8-18 against the money line (-15.1 Units) against poor power play teams - scoring on < 14.5% of their chances over the last 3 seasons. Colorado is a solid 18-11 against the money line (+16.4 Units) in road games after a game where they failed to cover the spread over the last 2 seasons. Colorado is 18-11 against the money line (+16.4 Units) in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. Vancouver is an imperfect 0-12 against the money line (-13.1 Units) after having won 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Canucks. |
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01-02-17 | Auburn +3 v. Oklahoma | Top | 19-35 | Loss | -115 | 28 h 5 m | Show |
50* graded play on Auburn (281) as they take on Oklahoma (282) action set to start at 8:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Auburn will win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. However, the one single requirements is a +135 Money line to validate the ROI for the combination wager. If it is not at +135, then simply make a 25* wager using the line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 32-43 mark for only 43% winners, BUT has made a whopping 52.5 units/unit wagered since 1992. This impressive system has averaged a +299 DOG and underscores the value of applying this system to future qualifying games. Play against neutral field favorites using the money line that is a dominant team outgaining their opponents by 1.5 or more yards/play and after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in their previous game. Here is a second system that has gone 55-25 for 69% winners since 1992 and has made 33 units/unit wagered. Play against all teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (OKLAHOMA) excellent rushing team gaining more than 4.8 YPR and is now facing a team with an average rushing defense allowing between 3.5 to 4.3 YPR and after gaining 225 or more rushing yards in 2 straight games. This system is a perfect 5-0 this season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Auburn 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they score 28 or more points this season. Auburn 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in road games when they gain 6 to 6.5 total yards per play Oklahoma is just 1-13 ATS (-13.3 Units) when they allow 250 to 300 rushing yards since 1992. Oklahoma is just 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games when they allow 5.5 or more rushing yards per attempt. Fundamental Discussion Points Auburn’s ground attack was stopped by Alabama’ defense in their last game, but they will not be stopped by the Sooner defensive edition. Auburn ranks 8th in the nation gaining 263 rushing yards per game and they run the ball 68% of all plays. Sooners rank 49th allowing 161 rushing yards per game and 69th allowing 4.6 YPR. The solid ground attack has opened up easy to complete pass plays in play action or using ball fakes in the read-option scheme. Auburn ranks 18th in the nation completing 63% of their passes and 30th throwing an INT on just 2% of their plays. We just do not see the Sooner defense holding up to this power attack. Take the Auburn Tigers. |
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01-02-17 | Jazz v. Nets +7 | Top | 101-89 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 14 m | Show |
25* graded play on Brooklyn as they take on Utah in NBA action set to start at 7:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Brooklyn will lose this game by fewer than 7 points and has a modest shot to win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. However, the one single requirements is that we need a +135 Money line to validate the ROI for the combination wager. If it is not at +135, then simply make a 25* wager using the line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 51-26 ATS mark good for 66% winners since 1996. Play on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (BROOKLYN) and is a solid offensive team scoring 103+ points/game on the season and after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Brooklyn is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) when playing 4 or less games in 10 days over the last 3 seasons. Utah is just 10-17 against the money line (-16.1 Units) in up-tempo games where they attempt 84 or more shots over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points The Lakers, Phoenix, Brooklyn, and the 76ers are all at the bottom of the barrel in the NBA power rankings. We have Utah as 29th with the 76ers nearly tied with them, but ranked dead last in 30th position. However, Utah is a team that relies on suffocating defense and a slower pace of game. Brooklyn certainly has the capability to make this a much faster game and exploit Utah’s weaknesses. For example, Brooklyn ranks 7th in the NBA scoring 45.4 points in the paint and this is exactly where Brooklyn can have strong success. |
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01-02-17 | Rice -3 v. Charlotte | Top | 89-70 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show |
25* graded play on Rice as they take on Charlotte in NCAAM action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Rice will win this game by at least 6 points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Charlotte is just 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when they force 14 to 18 turnovers in a game over the last 2 seasons. Charlotte is 8-42 ATS (-38.2 Units) when they grab 10+ fewer rebounds than their opponents in a game since 1997. Charlotte is 34-65 ATS (-37.5 Units) when they allow 81 or more points in a game since 1997. Rice is 34-9 ATS (+24.1 Units) when they score 81 or more points in a game since 1997. Rice is 29-9 ATS (+19.1 Units) when they grab 10+ more rebounds than their opponents in a game since 1997. Charlotte is just 6-24 ATS (-20.4 Units) after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half since 1997 Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Rice Owls. |
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01-02-17 | USC v. Penn State +7 | Top | 52-49 | Win | 100 | 21 h 37 m | Show |
25* graded play on Penn State (280) as they take on USC (279) in the Rose Bowl set to start at 5:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that PSU will lose this game by fewer than 4 points and have a great shot to win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. However, the one single requirements is that we need a +135 Money line to validate the ROI for the combination wager. If it is not at +135, then simply make a 25* wager using the line. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. · USC is 1-6 against the money line (-7.7 Units) when they allow 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons. · Penn State is a solid 42-19 against the money line (+19.0 Units) when they gain 200 to 250 net passing yards · Penn State is 14-1 against the money line (+13.2 Units) when they gain 8.5 to 9 net passing yards/attempt · Penn State is 8-1 against the money line (+7.6 Units) when they score 28 or more points this season. · Penn State is 39-4 against the money line (+32.1 Units) when they score 29 to 35 points · USC is an imperfect 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) when they allow 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons. · USC is 9-30 ATS (-24.0 Units) when they allow 29 to 35 points · USC is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when both teams score 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons. · Penn State is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Penn State. From Week 3 on to the end of the season, Penn State was definitely a contender for the Playoff Semifinals, but was hardly given the respect they deserved for that consideration. They rank 22nd in scoring offense, 13th in yards/point, 18th in yards/play, 10th in yards per pass play attempt, and third in interception percentage at just 1.38% of all pass plays run. USC is also a hot team down the stretch having won 8 straight games and if the last week of the regular season in the Pac-12 would have played out their way, then it would have been arguably USC playing Alabama instead of Washington. The difference in this game will be the PSU ground attack and then the ability of QB McSorely to look to the deep vertical routes in play action. If USC takes those deep routes away, the TE #88 will have a huge day for the Lions. McSorely is very smart and rarely ever forces any throw. Take the Lions. |
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01-01-17 | Ohio State +1 v. Illinois | Top | 70-75 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 21 m | Show |
25* graded play on Ohio State (713) as they take on Illinois (714) in Big Ten Conference action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that OSU will win this game by more than 4 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Illinois is a money losing 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) when their opponents make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons. Matta is 33-16 ATS (+15.4 Units) after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread as the coach of OHIO ST. Groce is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) versus very good shooting teams - making >=48% of their shots as the coach of ILLINOIS. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Ohio State. |
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01-01-17 | Chiefs v. Chargers +4.5 | Top | 37-27 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 54 m | Show |
50* graded play on San Diego as they take on Kansas City in NFL action set to start at 4:25 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that SD will lose this game by four or fewer points and has a great opportunity to win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. However, the one single requirements is that we need a +135 Money line to validate the ROI for the combination wager. If it is not at +135, then simply make a 25* wager using the line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 51-21 ATS mark good for 71% winners since 1983. Play on home teams (SAN DIEGO) off 2 or more consecutive ‘unders’, in a game involving two good offensive teams scoring between 23 and 27 PPG. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. KC is just 10-27 ATS (-19.7 Units) in road games after gaining 175 or more rushing yards last game KC is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) in road games after gaining 200 or more rushing yards last game Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Chargers. Even without Melvin Gordon in the lineup, we see San Diego ending the season with a great effort for the home crowd. Rivers is a veteran player, who never gives up and that will be demonstrated in this matchup. We expect him to exceed the SIM projections of 325 passing yards and obviously the higher that total goes, the greater the chances of the upset win too. |
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01-01-17 | Panthers v. Bucs UNDER 46 | Top | 16-17 | Win | 100 | 3 h 38 m | Show |
25* graded play ‘UNDER” Carolina (317) – Tampa Bay (318) in NFL action set to start at 1:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that fewer than 45 points will be scored in this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 45-17 ‘UNDER’ mark good for 73% winners since 1983. Play ‘Under’ with home teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points after covering the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games, winning between 51% and 60% of their games and with the game occurring the second half of the season. Here is a second system that has gone 39-14 ‘under’ for 74% winners since 2010. Play ‘under’ with any team against the total (CAROLINA) off a loss by 10 points or more to a division rival, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Tampa Bay is 9-1 UNDER (+7.9 Units) when they allow 5 to 5.5 total yards per play over the last 3 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points Tampa Bay has had a great season under first year coach Dirk Koetter, but they will fall short of the playoffs. They are technically still in contention, but need SEVEN game outcomes to go their way including the 49ers defeating the Seahawks. However, this is a team that believes in their HC and has played very well recently. They have won five straight until B2B losses at Dallas and at New Orleans. Those are not the type of losses, where the Bucs simply did not play well – it was more that the opponent did more to win the game. The Bucs defense has done well in many different styles of games. They rank 2nd in the NFL allowing opponent to convert on just 35% of third down conversions. Carolina ranks 11th in the same category and as a result we believe this will be a game of field position leading to below average scoring opportunities. Take the ‘UNDER’. |
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12-31-16 | Knicks +11 v. Rockets | Top | 122-129 | Win | 100 | 7 h 24 m | Show |
25* graded play on the NY Knicks as they take on Houston in NBA action set to start at 8:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability the Knicks that will lose this game by fewer than 10 points and has a modest probability to win the game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. However, the one single requirements is that we need a +135 Money line to validate the ROI for the combination wager. If it is not at +135, then simply make a 25* wager using the line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 73-38 ATS mark good for 65.8% winners since 1996. Play on underdogs of 10 or more points (NEW YORK) after a loss by 10 points or more against opponent after 2 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Knicks are a solid 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) when they make 43% to 47% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons. Knicks are 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) when they make 78% to 83% of their free throws in a game over the last 2 seasons. 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) when they score 99 to 104 points in a game over the last 3 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Knicks tonight. |
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12-31-16 | Ohio State -2 v. Clemson | Top | 0-31 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
25* graded play on Ohio State (273) as they take on Clemson (274) in College Playoff action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Ohio State will win this game by at least 6 points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Ohio State is 104-3 against the money line (+112.5 Units) when they score 28 or more points since 1992. Clemson is just 24-56 against the money line (-59.8 Units) when they allow 28 or more points since 1992. Ohio State is a solid 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games when they score 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons. Clemson is just 27-60 ATS (-39.0 Units) when they allow 28 or more points Fundamental Discussion Points Ohio State will score at least 28 points in this game and as the history lessons shown above indicate this is very good news for the Buckeyes. Ohio State has the second-best defense in the nation that ranks 3rd in scoring defense, third in opponent yards-per-game, 2nd with a 0.208 opponent-points-per-play ratio, and third allowing 4.2 yards-per-play. Clemson ranks 24th with a 0.477 points per play ratio and just 64th averaging 4.4 yards per rush. Ohio State can run the ball against the Clemson defense, and in so doing can control the pace of the game to detriment of Clemson’s wishes. Take Ohio State. |
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12-31-16 | Northern Colorado +6 v. Portland State | Top | 73-59 | Win | 100 | 4 h 48 m | Show |
25* graded play on Northern Colorado as they take on Portland State in NCAAM Basketball action set to start at 5:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that NC will win this game by fewer than 5 points and has a great shot at winning the game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. However, the one single requirements is that we need a +135 Money line to validate the ROI for the combination wager. If it is not at +135, then simply make a 25* wager using the line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 31-8 ATS mark good for 80% winners since 2010. Play on a road team (N COLORADO) off an upset win by 10 points or more as a road underdog and with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. NC is a solid 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) in road games when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game PS is just 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) after successfully covering the spread in 4 or more consecutive games |
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12-31-16 | Washington +14.5 v. Alabama | Top | 7-24 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 56 m | Show |
25* graded play on Washington as they take on Alabama in the Chick-Fil-A Bowl in the College Football playoff set to start at 3:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Washington will lose this game by fewer than 10 points and has a modest shot to win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Washington is a solid 6-2 against the money line (+10.3 Units) when their defense allows 150 to 200 net passing yards over the last 2 seasons. Washington is 7-1 against the money line (+12.8 Units) in road games vs. excellent passing teams with a completion percentage of 62% or better over the last 2 seasons. Washington is 6-1 against the money line (+11.8 Units) in road games facing good offensive teams averaging greater than 5.9 yards/play over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Washington Huskies. No one is giving Washington even a glimmer of hope to defeat Alabama. Only 35% of all bets made, which exceeds 40,000 tickets, that we monitor at 7 different sportsbooks have been on Washington. This line opened at 14 ½ and based on the money flows, the line could be much higher. The fact that it isn’t is a key metric reflecting the larger so-called ‘Smart Money’ is on Washington. Let’s not forget too, that Washington is an elite team. Period. They rank best in the nation posting a 0.645 points per play ratio, third in scoring offense, and 17th in yards-per-rush. No doubt that Alabama defense is the best in the nation, BUT that does not imply that Washington can’t move the ball successfully against them. Washington defense ranks 10th in scoring defense, 8th in points per play allowed, and 5th allowing 4.5 opponent yards per play. We strongly believe that this game will be much tighter than any talking media head will lead you to believe and it just might be Washington winning the game. |
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12-31-16 | LSU -3 v. Louisville | Top | 29-9 | Win | 100 | 3 h 25 m | Show |
25* graded play on LSU as they take on Louisville in the Buffalo Wild Wings Citrus Bowl set to start at 11:00 AM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that LSU will win this game by more than 10 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 31-7 ATS mark good for 82% winners since 2010. Play against all teams where the line is +3 to -3 that are quality teams outscoring opponents by seven or more points/game and after allowing 31 points or more in 2 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. LSU is a solid 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons. LSU is 19-4 ATS (+14.6 Units) when they gain 6 to 6.5 total yards per play Louisville is just 33-74 ATS (-48.4 Units) when they allow 28 or more points Louisville is 12-29 ATS (-19.9 Units) after a game where they committed 4 or more turnovers Fundamental Discussion Points Louisville ranks best in scoring offense, but let’s face it, they have not played the most difficult schedule, especially when compared to LSU. Ohio State was ranked hardest in SOS and Louisville a rather distant 19th. The margin between them is significant and we believe it will quite evident in this matchup. The most glaring advantage for LSU is their defense that ranks 5th in scoring defense, 5th in points per play allowed, and 14th allowing opponents to convert just 33% of their third down conversions. Lamar Jackson is the Heissman Trophy winner, but he was contained and confused by a Houston defense that ranks 39th in scoring defense allowed in the nation and 45th in opponent points per play. Take LSU. |
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12-30-16 | Bucks v. Wolves | Top | 99-116 | Win | 100 | 11 h 30 m | Show |
25* graded play on Minnesota as they take on Milwaukee in NBA action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Minnesota will win this game by at least three points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 172-109 ATS mark good for 61% winners since 2010.Play against all teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MILWAUKEE) off an upset win as a road underdog. Here is a second system that has gone 23-11 using the money line for 68% winners and has made 12.8 units/unit wagered since 1996. All teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (MINNESOTA) - after a close loss by 3 points or less against opponent after scoring 100 points or more 3 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Milwaukee is just 123-191 ATS (-87.1 Units) when they allow 99 to 104 points in a game since 1996. Minnesota is a solid 199-144 ATS (+40.6 Units) when they grab 53 to 57 rebounds in a game since 1996. Minnesota is 190-133 ATS (+43.7 Units) when they grab 4 to 9 more rebounds than their opponents in a game since 1996. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Timberwolves. |
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12-30-16 | Northwestern v. Michigan State -2 | Top | 52-61 | Win | 100 | 4 h 2 m | Show |
25* graded play on Michigan State (728) as they take on Northwestern (727) in BIG TEN Conference Hoops action set to start at 6:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that MSU will win this game by at least 6 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Northwestern is just 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) when they grab 4 to 9 fewer rebounds than their opponents in a game over the last 3 seasons. MSU is a solid 90-56 ATS (+28.4 Units) when they attempt 19 to 24 free throws in a game MSU is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) versus good offensive teams scoring 77+ points/game this season. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Spartans. |
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12-30-16 | South Alabama v. Air Force -14 | Top | 21-45 | Win | 100 | 4 h 56 m | Show |
25* graded play on Air Force as they take on South Alabama in the NOVA Home Loans Arizona Bowl set to start at 5:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that AF will win this game by at least 20 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 36-10 ATS mark good for 78% winners since 1992. Play on any team with an excellent rushing attack gaining more than 4.8 YPR and is now facing a terrible rushing defense allowing more than 4.8 YPR and after 7 or more games, and after outrushing opponent by 150 or more yards in 2 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. South Alabama is an imperfect 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) in road games when they allow 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons. · AF is a solid 29-13 ATS (+14.7 Units) when they allow 50 to 100 rushing yards. · AF is a near-perfect 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when they outgain their opponents by 200 or more yards over the last 3 seasons. · South Alabama is an imperfect 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams averaging more than 425 yards/game over the last 3 seasons. |
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12-30-16 | Valparaiso -8 v. Illinois-Chicago | Top | 70-59 | Win | 100 | 3 h 51 m | Show |
25* graded play on Valparaiso (725) as they take on Illinois-Chicago (726) in NCAAB action set to start at 5:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Valpo will win this game by 14 or more points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. · Valpo is a solid 25-9 ATS (+15.1 Units) when they grab 40 to 44 rebounds in a game · Chicago-Illinois is just 37-62 ATS (-31.2 Units) when they allow 75 to 80 points in a game · Valpo is a solid 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing with one or less days rest over the last 2 seasons. · Valpo is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing their 2nd game in 3 days over the last 2 seasons. · McCalin is just 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) after a game outrebounding opponent by 20 or more in all games he has coached. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Valparaiso. |
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12-30-16 | West Virginia -2.5 v. Oklahoma State | Top | 92-75 | Win | 100 | 2 h 2 m | Show |
25* graded play on West Virginia (723) as they take on Oklahoma State (724) in BIG-12 Conference action set to start at 4:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that WVU will win this game by at least 7 points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. · West Virginia is 16-3 ATS (+12.7 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons. · W VIRGINIA is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) when their opponents make 40% to 46% of their shots in a The · W VIRGINIA is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) when they make 31% to 37% of their three point attempts in a game over the last 3 seasons. · W VIRGINIA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when they attempt 30 or more free throws in a game over the last 2 seasons. · W VIRGINIA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they attempt 4 to 9 more free throws than opponents in a game over the last 2 seasons. · W VIRGINIA is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) when they grab 40 to 44 rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons. |
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12-30-16 | TCU -3.5 v. Georgia | Top | 23-31 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 59 m | Show |
25* graded play on TCU (257) as they take on Georgia (258) in the AutoZone Liberty Bowl set to start at 12:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that TCU will win this game by at least 7 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 26-5 ATS mark good for 84% winners since 2010. Play against all teams in a non-conference matchup where the line is +3 to -3 that is an average offensive team scoring between 21 and 28 PPG and is now facing a good offensive team scoring between 28 and 34 PPG after 7 or more games.in non-conference games The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. · TCU is a strong 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons. · Georgia is just 21-64 ATS (-49.4 Units) when they allow 28 or more points. · TCU is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) facing excellent punt coverage teams that are allowing less than 7.5 yards per return over the last three seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points Both teams fell far short of expectations for this season. TCU is tied with Oklahoma in the Big-12 with a 29-9 overall record over the past three seasons, but won just 6 games this season. However, there are only 13 Seniors on this team, so this is the first audition, if you will, for the underclassman to make a statement to the coaching staff in this Bowl game. The spotlight will certainly be on Texas A&M transfer and Junior QB Kenny Hill. He massed 3,062 passing yards with 15 TDs, but three 13 INTs. He was without his NO. 1 receiver KaVontae Turpin, but that can longer be a reason for Hill not to take another big step forward in leading the offense into next season. So, we expect a huge game from him today that will spill over to the rest pf the team. Take TCU. |
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12-29-16 | Oklahoma State +3 v. Colorado | Top | 38-8 | Win | 100 | 14 h 43 m | Show |
25* graded play on Oklahoma State (255) as they take on (256) Colorado in in the Valero Alamo Bowl set to start at 9:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that OSU will win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 43-41 record for only 51% winners, But has made a whopping 45.3 units/unit wagered since 1992. Play on neutral field underdogs using the money line that are off a road loss against a conference rival and with the current game taking place after November 30. The average play for this system has been a +200 dog, making it one of the most powerful money making systems. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. · Oklahoma State is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games when they score 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons. · Colorado is 44-97 ATS (-62.7 Units) when they allow 28 or more points since 1992. · Colorado is 12-27 ATS (-17.7 Units) when they allow 5.5 to 6 total yards per play. · OSU is a near-perfect 13-1 against the money line (+15.3 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Cowboys tonight. |
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12-28-16 | Raptors v. Warriors -9.5 | Top | 111-121 | Win | 100 | 13 h 14 m | Show |
25* graded play on Golden State (720) as they take on Toronto (719) in NBA action set to start at 10:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that will win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Toronto is 80-200 ATS (-140.0 Units) in road games when they allow 105 or more points in a game Toronto is 40-139 ATS (-112.9 Units) in road games when they allow 110 or more points in a game Golden State is 201-105 ATS (+85.5 Units) when they make 48% to 51% of their shots in a game Golden State is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in home games when they attempt 18 to 22 free throws in a game over the last 3 seasons. Golden State is 43-23 ATS (+17.7 Units) versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 103+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points This will certainly be a game to watch with GS ranked best and Toronto third in our NBA power rankings. In fact, this may very well be an early preview to the NBA Championship too. This is also a matchup of offense versus defense among the best teams in those categories. GS ranks best in scoring offense averaging 117 PPG, 17th in scoring defense (104.2), and best in scoring differential. Toronto ranks third in scoring offense (111.4 PPG), 9th in scoring defense (102.4), and second in scoring differential. The GC fast break will be a dominant force in this game. They rank best in the NBA averaging 20.5 fast break PPG. Another matchup advantage for GS will be in the paint. They rank 3rd averaging 47 PPG from the pain while Toronto has struggled at times allowing 42.8 PPG ranking 14th in the league. After coming off their Christmas Day loss in Cleveland, where the game ended on a horribly bad ‘no-call’ that arguably changed the outcome of the game, we think GS, now with three days of rest, will be completely focused and play one of their best games of the season. |
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12-28-16 | Kansas State +3 v. Texas A&M | Top | 33-28 | Win | 100 | 13 h 5 m | Show |
25* graded play on Kansas State as they take on Texas A&M in the Advocare V100 Texas Bowl set to start at 9:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that K-State will win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. The one caveat is that we need to have a money line of at least 135. If it is not at that level or higher, then simply wager a 25* amount using the available line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 36-7 mark using the money line good for 84% winners and has made 29.6 units/unit wagered since 2010. Play on all teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (KANSAS ST) after outgaining opponent by 125 or more total yards in their previous game and is now facing an opponent after being outgained by 175 or more total yards in their previous game. This system is 7-2 this season an 22-5 over the past three seasons. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. · K-State is a solid 35-14 ATS (+19.6 Units) when they rush for 200 to 250 yards · K-State is 33-9 ATS (+23.1 Units) when they rush for 4.5 to 5 yards per attempt · A&M is just 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) when they allow 200 to 250 rushing yards · A&M is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games when they allow 4.5 to 5 rushing yards per attempt · A&M is 6-25 ATS (-21.5 Units) in road games when they commit 2 turnovers · A&M is 10-27 ATS (-19.7 Units) when they allow 400 to 450 total yards · A&M is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) in road games when they allow 5 to 5.5 total yards per play Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board K-State. These teams are somewhat similar with a strong ground game that has overwhelmed many DLs this season. In this matchup, we believe it will be the K-State groud attack that proves to be the difference maker. K-State ranks 14th in the nation averaging 46.1 rushing plays per game and 12th running the ball on 62% of their plays. K-State had a season low of 110 rushing yards in their 38-17 loss at Oklahoma, but since have gained at least 237 rushing yards and averaged 290 rushing yards over those last 6 games. The A&M defense has been exposed to the ground game havig allowed 298 rushing yards in their last game against LSU and 365 rushing yards on 58 plays at Mississippi State, November 5. We strongly believe K-State OL and pounding run game that will also attack the perimeter will gradually wear down the A&M defense. Take K-State. |
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12-28-16 | UCLA -1.5 v. Oregon | Top | 87-89 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 46 m | Show |
50* graded play on UCLA (761) as they take on Oregon (762) in NCAA Basketball action set to start at 9:00 PM ET. This game will be televised on ESPN2. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that UCLA will win this game by at least 7 points. Key projection is that UCLA will exceed 50% shooting while Oregon may not exceed 45% shooting. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. · Oregon is just 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) when they make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons. · Oregon is 51-106 ATS (-65.6 Units) when their opponents make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game · Oregon is 40-87 ATS (-55.7 Units) when they allow 81 or more points in a game. UCLA is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) versus very good defensive teams shooting percentage defense of |
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12-28-16 | Hurricanes v. Penguins UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 104 | 7 h 25 m | Show |
25* graded play ‘UNDER’ the posted total in the Pittsburgh-Carolina NHL matchup set to start at 7:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that fewer than 6 goals will be scored in this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 108-62 ‘under’ mark good for 64% winners since 2010. Play ‘Under’ with a home team against the total (PITTSBURGH) after having won 3 of their last 4 games and is now facing an opponent after having won 4 of their last 5 games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. · Carolina is a solid 50-25 UNDER (+22.1 Units) against excellent power play teams scoring on > 19% of their chances over the last 3 seasons. · Carolina is 31-16 UNDER (+15.3 Units) in road games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game over the last 2 seasons. · Carolina is 8-1 UNDER (+7.1 Units) in road games when playing with 3 or more days rest over the last 2 seasons. · Carolina is 10-2 UNDER (+8.4 Units) in road games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons. · Carolina is a perfect 6-0 UNDER (+6.1 Units) after allowing 2 goals or less in 2 straight games this season. |
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12-27-16 | Sharks +100 v. Ducks | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 26 m | Show |
25* graded play San Jose on as they take on Anaheim in NHL action set to start at 10:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that San Jose will win this game. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. San Jose is a solid 19-9 against the money line (+13.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. San Jose is 19-8 against the money line (+14.8 Units) as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons. San Jose is 18-8 against the money line (+13.2 Units) as a road underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons. San Jose is a perfect 8-0 against the money line (+8.9 Units) in road games after 2 consecutive division games over the last 2 seasons.
Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the San Jose Sharks . |
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12-27-16 | Rockets v. Mavs +6.5 | Top | 123-107 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 31 m | Show |
25* graded play on Dallas as they take on Houston in NBA action set to start at 8:35 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Dallas will lose this game by fewer than 6 points and has a great shot to win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 65-24 mark using the money line and has made 34.4 units/unit wagered since 2010. Play on home teams using the money line (DALLAS) after beating the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games and now facing division opponents. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Houston is a money losing 25-31 against the money line (-22.7 Units) when they grab 10 to 15 offensive rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons. Houston is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) when the total is 200 to 209.5 over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Dallas Mavericks. |
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12-27-16 | Wake Forest v. Temple -11.5 | Top | 34-26 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 7 m | Show |
25* graded play on Temple as they take on Wake Forest in Military Bowl action set to start at 3:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Temple will win this game by 17 or more points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. · Wake Forest is just 34-91 ATS (-66.1 Units) when they allow 28 or more points · Wake Forest is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) when they're outgained by opponents by 1.5 to 2 yards/play · Temple is a solid 22-5 ATS (+16.5 Units) when they allow 15 to 21 points · Temple is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) when they allow 5 to 5.5 net passing yards/attempt · Temple is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they rush for 150 to 200 yards over the last 2 seasons. · Temple is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) when they score 28 or more points this season. · Temple is 19-3 ATS (+15.7 Units) when they allow 4 to 4.5 total yards per play Fundamental Discussion Points Temple has had a fantastic season given that they had low expectations after losing 19 seniors from last year’s team. However, they have won 12 straight games ATS after losing ATS in Week 1 to Army and that by just one point. They have also won seven straight games and destroyed a then-ranked No. 20 Navy team in the Conference Championship 34-10 as 1.5 point dogs. Back in Week 3 they played Penn State and that game was special for both teams. PSU did not lose a game the rest of the way and Temple also began their 9-1 win streak. Temple also covered against Penn State losing 34-27. WF lost 5 of the last 6 games and the last three games. This team has a new interim coach as well, BUT a win this bowl game would make them the winniest team in Temple history. There is a great article in the Philadelphia Inquirer if you are interested to see how this team was built and how much they grew over the last four seasons. It is a great read. http://www.philly.com/philly/sports/colleges/temple/20161227_Jensen__Temple_is_beating_the_odds_from_start_to_finish.html Take Temple. R |
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12-27-16 | Northwestern v. Penn State +3.5 | Top | 87-77 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 35 m | Show |
25* graded play on Penn State as they take on Northwestern in NCAA Basketball action set to start at 3:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that PSU will win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. The one mandatory requirement is that the Money Lie must be at least 135. If is not +135 or higher, then simply wager a 25* amount using the line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Penn State is a very strong 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) when they score 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Penn State is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. Penn State is 32-12 ATS (+18.8 Units) after scoring 75 points or more 2 straight games Fundamental Discussion Points This is a late breaking release, which is rare, but always strong opportunities. One of the reasons is that more than 78% of all bets wagered have been on Northwestern and anything over 70% becomes a ‘red flag’ parameter. I call it the public’s irrational exuberance to draw upon the famous quote made by former Federal Reserve Chairman Greenspan in 1998 prior to the 2000 bubble busting of the NASADAQ and the ‘Dot Com’ bubbles. When this consensus metric ties into the SIM grading it serves to reinforce the strength and validity of the SIm grading. |
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12-26-16 | Bucks v. Wizards -4.5 | Top | 102-107 | Win | 100 | 8 h 52 m | Show |
25* graded play on The Washington Wizards as they take on Milwaukee Bucks in NBA action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Washington will win this game by more than 8 points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. · Milwaukee is just 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) when they make 43% to 47% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons. · Milwaukee is just 123-191 ATS (-87.1 Units) when they allow 99 to 104 points in a game. · Milwaukee is 7-22 ATS (-17.2 Units) after playing a game as favorite over the last 2 seasons. Take Washington. |
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12-26-16 | Maryland v. Boston College +2.5 | Top | 30-36 | Win | 100 | 6 h 3 m | Show |
25* graded play on Boston College as they take on Maryland in the Quick Lane Bowl set to start at 2:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that BC will win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. However, we have one mandate and that is the money line portion of the combination wager must be at a minimum of +135. If is not there, then simply wager the 25* amount on the line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 83-44 ATS mark good for 65% winners since 2010. Play against any team (MARYLAND) after having lost 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games against opponent after having won 2 out of their last 3 games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Maryland is a money burning 6-22 ATS (-18.2 Units) when they gain 7 to 7.5 net passing yards/attempt Maryland is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons. Bowl favorites under the leadership of first year coaches are 5-16-1 ATS when facing an opponent off a ATS and SU win. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Boston College. Maryland started off 4-0 and then won just more games against an injury riddled Michigan State team and lowly Rutgers. Boston College has a strong defense that is battled tested in the ACC. The Eagles rank 11th in the nation allowing 328 yards per game, 13th allowing opponents 33% third conversion success, and 11th allowing just 3.4 yards per rushing attempt. Maryland relies on the run and we feel strongly BC will dominate the LOS, get penetration, and stop the Maryland ground attack. Without play action and the weapons to attack the BC perimeter defense, it may prove to be a very long afternoon for Maryland. Take BC. |
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12-25-16 | Clippers v. Lakers +7 | Top | 102-111 | Win | 100 | 10 h 19 m | Show |
25* graded play on the Lakers as they take on Clippers in Christmas Day NBA action set to start at 10:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Lakers will lose this game by fewer than 6 points and have a great opportunity to win the game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 5-25 ATS mark good for 67% winners since 1996. Play on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA LAKERS) explosive offensive team scoring 103+ points/game on the season, after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half. The following game situations match the SIM projections and compiled research for this game: Clippers are just 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) as a road favorite of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 2 seasons. Clippers are 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in road games after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 2 seasons. Lakers are a solid 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in home games after 4 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons. Clippers are a horrid 4-6 against the money line (-27.1 Units) after 2 straight games with 10 or less offensive rebounds this season. Take the Lakers |
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12-25-16 | Ravens v. Steelers -6 | Top | 27-31 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
25* graded play on Pittsburgh as they take on Baltimore in AFC North Division action set to start at 4:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Pittsburgh will win this game by more than 11 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 46-22 ATS mark good for 68% winners since 2005. Play on favorites (PITTSBURGH) good team (outgain opp. by 40-100 YPG and is now facing an average team (+/- 40 YPG differential after outgaining opponent by 150 or more total yards in their previous game. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Pittsburgh is a near-perfect 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when they gain 250 to 300 net passing yards over the last 3 seasons. Pittsburgh is a solid 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when they allow 3.5 to 4 rushing yards per attempt over the last 3 seasons. Pittsburgh is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they score 22 to 28 points this season. Pittsburgh is 31-12 ATS (+17.8 Units) in home games when they gain 5.5 to 6 total yards per play Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Pittsburgh Steelers. Normally, our analysis centers on the most common personnel alignment (single back, 3 WR, slot receiver and/or TE), but in this matchup keep your eyes peeled to Baltimore’s fullback Kyle Juszczyk. Baltimore’s use of the FB is unique in this modern-era of spread offenses and it certainly works for them. Without the lead FB blocker, Baltimore averages 3.9 YPR, which ranks 24th in the league in all formations, but with the FB 5.0 YPR. However, Pittsburgh is a divisional rival, who already knows Baltimore’s tendencies better than anyone in the league. Pittsburgh defense ranks third allowing 89.2 rushing yards per game. We strongly believe that Pittsburgh will force Baltimore into third-and-long situations, which all but eliminates the power FB scheme. Take the Steelers. |
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12-25-16 | Ravens v. Steelers UNDER 46.5 | Top | 27-31 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 4 m | Show |
25* graded play ‘UNDER’ the posted total in the Pittsburgh-Baltimore (127-128) showdown set to start at 4:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that fewer than 45 points will be scored in this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 76-34 ‘UNDER’ mark good for 69% winners since 2010. Play ‘under’ with any team against the total (PITTSBURGH) versus division opponents, off a win against a division rival. Here is a second system that has gone 39-12 ‘under’ for 76% winners since 2010. Play ‘under’ with any team against the total (PITTSBURGH) revenging a loss against opponent, off a close wins by 7 points or less over a division rival. The following game situations match the SIM projections and compiled research for this game: · Baltimore is a near-perfect 9-1 UNDER (+7.9 Units) when they score 15 to 21 points over the last 2 seasons. · Pittsburgh is a solid 8-1 UNDER (+6.9 Units) when they score 22 to 28 points over the last 2 seasons. · Pittsburgh is 9-2 UNDER (+6.8 Units) when they gain 350 to 400 total yards over the last 2 seasons. · 7-0 UNDER (+7.0 Units) when they gain 5.5 to 6 total yards per play over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points Normally, our analysis centers on the most common personnel alignment (single back, 3 WR, slot receiver and/or TE), but in this matchup keep your eyes peeled to Baltimore’s fullback Kyle Juszczyk. Baltimore’s use of the FB is unique in this modern-era of spread offenses and it certainly works for them. Without the lead FB blocker, Baltimore averages 3.9 YPR, which ranks 24th in the league in all formations, but with the FB 5.0 YPR. However, Pittsburgh is a divisional rival, who already knows Baltimore’s tendencies better than anyone in the league. Pittsburgh defense ranks third allowing 89.2 rushing yards per game. We strongly believe that Pittsburgh will force Baltimore into third-and-long situations, which all but eliminates the power FB scheme. And if you haven’t figured already, the battle of the power games and control of the LOS will take large chunks of time off the clock leading to a lower scoring game. Take the Steelers. |
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12-25-16 | Celtics v. Knicks +3 | Top | 119-114 | Loss | -108 | 2 h 14 m | Show |
25* graded play on the NY Knicks as they take on the Boston Celtics in Christmas Day action set to start at 12:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Knicks will win this game. If the money lie gets to +135 or higher, which will need to see the line go to Knicks + 3 ½, consider making this wager a combination wager consisting of a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 76-41 ATS mark good for 65% winners since 2010. Play on home underdogs (NEW YORK) revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points and is a well-rested team playing only their 2nd game in 5 days. The following game situations match the SIM projections and compiled research for this game: NY is a solid 27-12 ATS (+13.8 Units) when they make 43% to 47% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons. NY is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when their opponents make 43% to 47% of their shots in a game this season. NY is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) when they score 99 to 104 points in a game over the last 3 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Knicks. |
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12-24-16 | Middle Tennessee State v. Hawaii +7 | Top | 35-52 | Win | 100 | 13 h 51 m | Show |
25* graded play on Hawaii (228) as they take on Middle Tennessee State (227) in the Hawaii Bowl set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Hawaii will lose this game by fewer than 6 points and have a great opportunity to win the game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 29-21 mark using the money line for 58% winners and has made 37 units/unit wagered since 1992. This system has averaged an +200 DOG, which makes it a very powerful tool to use for qualifying games in the future. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. · Hawaii is a solid 36-13 ATS (+21.7 Units) when their defense forces 3 turnovers · Hawaii is 97-42 ATS (+50.8 Units) when they score 28 or more points · Stockstill is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) after 2 straight games where 60 total points or more were scored as the coach of MTST. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Hawaii. Strength of schedule is meaningful for this matchup with Hawaii playing a far more difficult schedule. MDST defense has not been all that good this season and has been largely inconsistent down the stretch. They rank 108th in scoring defense and 107th posting a 0.506 opponent points per play ratio. Hawaii defense ranks 48th posting a 5.4 opponent yards per play and 64th allowing opponents to convert 40% of third down situations. Conversely, MTST ranks a horrid 126th allowing opponents a 51% third down conversion percentage. Take Hawaii. |
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12-24-16 | Vikings +7 v. Packers | Top | 25-38 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 50 m | Show |
25* graded play on Minnesota (11) as they take on Green Bay (12) in NFL action set to start at 1:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Minnesota will lose this game by fewer than 7 points and has a great shot to win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 27-6 ATS mark good for 82% winners since 2005. Play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (MINNESOTA) after a game where they forced one or less turnovers and is now facing an opponent after two consecutive games where they forced three or more turnovers. Here is a second system that has gone 23-4 ATS for 85% winners since 1983. Play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (MINNESOTA) in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG differential.), after scoring 9 points or less last game. The following game situations match the SIM projections and compiled research for this game: · Minnesota is a solid 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) when they allow 6.5 to 7 net passing yards/attempt · Minnesota is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when they score 15 to 21 points over the last 3 seasons. · Minnesota is a near-perfect 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when both teams score 20 or more points over the last 3 seasons. · Minnesota is a perfect 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) when their defense forces 2 turnovers over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points Green Bay defense is just not good and reflects all of the injuries the unit has had to endure this season. Minnesota’s defense remains one of the best in the NFL and they will certainly have the skills to contain Rogers. Vikings rank 2nd in the NFL allowing just 5.9 yards per pass play, third allowing 205.6 yards per game, and fourth overall allowing 5.0 yards per offensive play. Moreover, they are excellent at bringing pressure ranking 7th in sack percentage. Take Minnesota. |
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12-24-16 | Falcons v. Panthers | Top | 33-16 | Win | 105 | 2 h 41 m | Show |
25* graded play on Atlanta as they take on Carolina in NFC action set to start at 1:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Atlanta will win this game by at least 6 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 22-5 ATS mark good for 82% winners since 2010. Play on road teams (ATLANTA) after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games, in the last 2 weeks of the regular season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and compiled research for this game: · Atlanta is 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) when they gain 8.5 to 9 net passing yards/attempt · Atlanta is 21-7 ATS (+13.3 Units) in road games when they rush for 4 to 4.5 yards per attempt · Atlanta is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) when they outgain their opponents by 1 to 1.5 yards/play · Carolina is an imperfect 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) when they allow 8 or more net passing yards/attempt over the last 3 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Falcons. |
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12-23-16 | Warriors v. Pistons +6.5 | Top | 119-113 | Win | 100 | 11 h 29 m | Show |
25* graded play on Detroit as they take on Golden State in NBA action set to start at 7:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Detroit will lose this game by fewer than 6 points and has a great opportunity to win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 22-9 mark using the money line good for 71% winners and has made 26.7 units/unit wagered averaging a +162 DOG play. Play on home teams using the money line (DETROIT) that have been cold shooting teams posting three straight games making less than 42% of their shots and is now facing an opponent after a game making 12 or more 3-point shots. Here is a second system that has gone 84-39 using the money line good for 68% winners and has made 49.5 units/unit wagered averaging a +105 DOG since 2010. Play on any team using the money line (DETROIT) that are off a double-digit loss as a home favorite of 6 or more. Here is a third system that has gone 55-25 ATS good for 69% winners since 2010. Play against any team (GOLDEN STATE) after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite against opponent off a home loss by 10 points or more. The following game situations match the SIM projections and compiled research for this game: Detroit is a solid 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) when they grab 53 to 57 rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons. Detroit is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in home games after having lost 4 of their last 5 games over the last 3 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points Golden State won and covered at Brooklyn last night and now have to play B2B road games before a day –off to then face the Christmas Day matchup in Cleveland. Remarkably, given this lineup, the Warriors have posted NINE straight ‘under’ results. This is evidence that the public has created artificially high betting lines on totals involving the Warriors. Detroit has lost four straight games SU and ATS. Given the matchup, I do believe you will see a possible lie move to as high as 8 points. However, it is very interesting to note this line opened at 8 points and quickly went to 6 ½ adjusting to ‘smart money’ bets. The consensus presently shows 77% of bets are on the Warriors and the line has moved lower; counter to the public consensus, which is powerful combination for us. Even the Warriors get and battle road fatigue and we expect that to be evident on tonight’s game. Detroit may struggle on offense, but they have the third best scoring defense, rank 5th allowing just 10.6 fast break points, and 4th allowing just 39.4 points in the paint. |
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12-22-16 | Spurs v. Clippers +1.5 | Top | 101-106 | Win | 100 | 15 h 51 m | Show |
25* graded play on the LA Clippers (510) as they take on the San Antonio Spurs (509) in NBA action set to start at 10:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that will win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 29-7 ATS mark good for 81% winners since 2010. Play on all teams where the line is +3 to -3 (LA CLIPPERS) that are off a home win by 10 points or more and is now facing an opponent off an upset win as a road underdog. The following game situations match the SIM projections and compiled research for this game: · SA is just 36-101 ATS (-75.1 Units) when they allow 105 to 109 points in a game · SA is 2-16 ATS (-15.6 Units) when they allow 105 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons. · Clippers are a solid 37-23 ATS (+11.7 Units) when they score 105 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Clippers tonight. |
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12-22-16 | Giants -2.5 v. Eagles | Top | 19-24 | Loss | -112 | 14 h 35 m | Show |
25* graded play on the NY Giants (101) as they take on the Philadelphia Eagles (102) in a major NFC East matchup set to start at 8:25 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that NY will win this game by more than 7 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 31-3 mark good for 91% winners using the Money Line since 2010. Play on favorites using the money line in the second half of the season (NY GIANTS) hot team, after having won 8 or more out of their last 10 games, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games. Here is a second amazing system that has gone 22-4 ATS for 85% winners since 2010. Play on road teams (NY GIANTS) after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games, in the last 2 weeks of the regular season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. · NY Giants are a solid 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games when they allow 5.5 to 6 net passing yards/attempt · NY Giants are 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) in road games when they gain 6 to 6.5 net passing yards/attempt · Philadelphia is a near-imperfect 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) when they score 15 to 21 points over the last 3 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the NY Giants. Two teams heading in opposite direction face off tonight on Thursday Night Football. Of note, is the fact that this is the first Thursday Night Game between these two teams in their 84-year history. Giants have won eight of the past nine games and in large part due to a very staunch defense. The Giants ‘D’ ranks third in scoring defense, second in opponent points per play, and third allowing opponents to convert just 35% of third down situations. Eagles offense is really struggling, but head coach Pederson has his team playing all 60 minutes and there is yet to be any ‘give-up’ yet. Doubtful, they will give up in this heated Division rivalry either. However, the Giants defense presents so many very difficult matchups to the Eagles offense, that lacks any significant receiver threat. Over the last 3 games, the Giants defense ranks best in the NFL forcing opponents to gain 26.3 yards to score just 1 equivalent point on the scoreboard. Take the Giants. |
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12-22-16 | Colorado State v. Idaho UNDER 65 | Top | 50-61 | Loss | -103 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
25* graded play ‘UNDER’ the posted total in the Famous Idaho Potato Bowl (219 and 220) set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that fewer than 59 points will be scored in this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 23-4 ‘under’ result good for 85% winners since 2010. Play ‘Under’ with all teams where the total is greater than or equal to 63 (COLORADO ST) after beating the spread by 35 or more points total in their last five games and is now facing an opponent after beating the spread by 49 or more points total in their last seven games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and compiled research for this game: CSU is a solid 11-2 ‘UNDER’ (+8.8 Units) in road games after allowing 24 points or more in the first half last game. Fundamental Discussion Points Idaho has to be the MOST UNLIKELY bowl participant this season. After more than two decades of losing ways and a school admin decision to go to the FCS after being dismissed from the Sun Belt Conference, the Vandals make only their third bowl appearance at the top level of College Football. Both teams have been hot with CSU winning 5 of the last 7 games and covering the spread in all 7 games. Idaho has won 6 of the last 7 games and has covered all 7 games. Idaho is not going to stop the CSU offense, however, they are capable of making stops and making the game a field possession type competition. The Idaho defense limited three of its last four opponents to 14 or fewer points and season-lows in the stats too. Sophomore middle linebacker Tony Lashley recorded a team-best 99 tackles. Although not big in size, they are fast to the ball and are above average making open field tackles. No play on the side, but we do think confidently the ‘under’ is the strong play. |
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12-21-16 | Virginia -3 v. California | Top | 56-52 | Win | 100 | 14 h 53 m | Show |
25* graded play on Virginia (747) as they take on California (748) in NCAA basketball action set to start at 10:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that UVA will win this game by at least 7 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and compiled research for this game: · UVA is a solid 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons · CALIFORNIA is 31-51 ATS (-25.1 Units) in home games when they make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game since 1997. · CALIFORNIA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when their opponents make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons. · CALIFORNIA is 34-62 ATS (-34.2 Units) when they score 61 to 66 points in a game Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board UVA. UVA is once again dominating teams with an amazing defense this season. They rank first in the nation allowing 46.7 PPG, second allowing just 8.7 assists per game, 3rd with a 40% effective opponent FG percentage, and 2nd with a 0.876 opponent shooting percentage. We expect Cal to struggle to score given that they rank 175th scoring 72.5 PPG, 193rd with an average of only 13 assist per game, and 156th posting a 0.993 assist-to-turnover ratio. Take the Cavaliers. |
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12-21-16 | Rockets -6 v. Suns | Top | 125-111 | Win | 100 | 13 h 38 m | Show |
25* graded play on Houston as they take on Phoenix in NBA action set to start at 9:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Houston will win this game by more than 7 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 50-22 ATS mark good for 69% winners since 2010. Play against home underdogs (PHOENIX) that are struggling defensive teams posting a shooting percentage defense that is greater than 46% on the season, averaging 53 or more rebounds/game on the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and compiled research for this game: Houston is a solid 36-19 ATS (+15.1 Units) when they make 71% to 77% of their free throws in a game over the last 3 seasons. Houston is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in games where they force 13 to 17 turnovers this season. Houston is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) when they score 105 or more points in a game this season. Houston is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) when they score 110 or more points in a game this season. Phoenix is just 22-43 ATS (-25.3 Units) when they allow 105 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons. 14-36 ATS (-25.6 Units) when they allow 110 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons. |
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12-21-16 | Capitals -114 v. Flyers | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -114 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
25* graded play on Washington (51) as they take on Philadelphia (52) in NHL action set to start at 8:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Washington will win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 41-13 mark good for 76% winners and has made 23.1 units/unit wagered since 2010. Play against home underdogs of +100 to +150 against the money line (PHILADELPHIA) facing division opponents, off a close home loss by 1 goal. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Washington is a solid 47-20 against the money line (+18.7 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Trotz is a stout 72-39 against the money line (+21.6 Units) after 1 or more consecutive ‘unders’ as the coach of Washington. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Washington Capitals tonight. |
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12-20-16 | Nets v. Raptors -16 | Top | 104-116 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 23 m | Show |
25* graded play on Toronto as they take on Brooklyn in NBA action set to start at 7:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Toronto will win this game by 21 or more points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. · Toronto is a perfect 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) when they make 48% to 51% of their shots in a game this season. · Toronto is a near-perfect 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when they make 39% to 45% of their three point attempts in a game this season. · Toronto is a solid 17-4 ATS (+12.6 Units) when they score 105 or more points in a game this season. · Toronto is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) when they score 110 or more points in a game this season. · Toronto is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in games where they commit 12 or fewer turnovers this season. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Toronto Raptors. Toronto is averaging 112 points-per-game and is now facing the worst scoring defense in Brooklyn, who allows 114.3 PPG. Toronto has posted a solid 1.722 assist-FG ratio ranking 8th best while Brooklyn struggles posting a 1.236 ratio ranking 29th in the league. Logically, there is high probability that Toronto will exceed 105 points as detailed above and win this game going away. |
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12-19-16 | Panthers v. Redskins -7 | Top | 26-15 | Loss | -100 | 24 h 33 m | Show |
50* graded play on Washington as they take on Carolina in NFC action set to start at 8:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Washington will win this game by 11 or more points. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Carolina is just 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when they allow 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons. Carolina is 15-42 ATS (-31.2 Units) when they allow 29 to 35 points Carolina is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) when they allow 8 to 8.5 net passing yards/attempt Carolina is an imperfect 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) when they allow 8 or more net passing yards/attempt over the last 3 seasons. Washington is a solid 14-2 ATS (+11.8 Units) when they gain 8 to 8.5 net passing yards/attempt Washington is a perfect 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) when they gain 8 or more net passing yards/attempt over the last 2 seasons. Washington is a near-perfect 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons. Washington is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when they gain 400 or more total yards over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Washington. It will be the Washington passing game led by Cousins that will be the major difference maker in this game. Washington ranks 2nd in the NFL averaging 303 passing yards per game and 3rd allowing a sack on only 3.50% of passing plays. The OL has done a magnificent job protecting Cousins and giving him extra time and confidence to find the open receiver. Carolina defense is poor ranking 30th allowing 272 passing yards per game. We strongly believe Cousins will shred the Carolina zone and post above average numbers across all major metrics. Take the Washington Redskins. |
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12-19-16 | Hawks +3 v. Thunder | Top | 110-108 | Win | 100 | 13 h 12 m | Show |
25* graded play on the Atlanta Hawks as they take on the Oklahoma City Thunder in NBA action set to start at 8:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Atlanta will win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and compiled research for this game: Atlanta is a solid 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in road games where both teams score 98 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Atlanta is 182-114 ATS (+56.6 Units) when they score 99 to 104 points in a game Atlanta is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons. OKC is just 15-28 ATS (-15.8 Units) when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons. 25* graded play ‘OVER’ in the OKC-ATL NBA game set to start at 8:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that more than 218 points will be scored in this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 99-53 ATS mark good for 65% winners since 2010. Play ‘OVER’ with all teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (ATLANTA) off an upset loss as a home favorite, with a losing record. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to place the following wagers: 25* play on Atlanta 25* play ‘OVER’ 5* reverse action parlay ‘Atlanta’ and ‘OVER’ |
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12-19-16 | Hawks v. Thunder OVER 209 | 110-108 | Win | 100 | 13 h 3 m | Show | |
25* graded play ‘OVER’ in the OKC-ATL NBA game set to start at 8:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that more than 218 points will be scored in this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 99-53 ATS mark good for 65% winners since 2010. Play ‘OVER’ with all teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (ATLANTA) off an upset loss as a home favorite, with a losing record. |
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12-19-16 | South Dakota State +2.5 v. Drake | Top | 83-75 | Win | 100 | 13 h 41 m | Show |
25* graded play on South Dakota State (745) as they take on Drake (746) in NCAA Basketball action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that SDST will win this game. Currently, they are installed as a 1-poit dog and this is not near enough to validate a combination wager. If the line does rise to +3 and you can get +135 money line, then placing a combination wager in a ratio of 4:1 is a solid investment. So, if you play $500 per play, then make the wager two part with a $100 play using the money line and a $400 play using the line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 24-5 ATS mark good for 83% winners since 2010. Play against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (DRAKE) after allowing 80 points or more against opponent after 2 straight wins by 6 points or less. The following game situations match the SIM projections and compiled research for this game: SDST is a solid 42-22 ATS (+17.8 Units) when their opponents make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game. SDST is a solid 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 4+ points/game. SDST is a solid 40-20 ATS (+18.0 Units) after scoring 75 points or more 2 straight games Drake is just 21-39 ATS (-21.9 Units) when playing their 2nd game in 3 days Drake is just 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games after 5 or more consecutive losses |
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12-18-16 | Packers v. Bears +4.5 | Top | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 4 h 15 m | Show |
25* graded play on the Chicago Bears (312) as they take on the Green Bay Packers (311) in NFC North action set to start at 1:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Chicago will lose this game by fewer than 4 points and has a great opportunity to win this game. Given the favorable projections, I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case, the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 29-6 ATS mark good for 83% winners since 2005. Play against favorites (GREEN BAY) off an upset win as a home underdog and with a winning record on the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and compiled research for this game: Bears are a perfect 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - averaging >=5.65 yards/play over the last two seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points |
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12-18-16 | Jaguars +3.5 v. Texans | Top | 20-21 | Win | 100 | 4 h 7 m | Show |
25* graded play on Jacksonville (319) as they take on Houston (320) in AFC South action set to start at 1:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that JAX will win this game. Given the favorable projections, I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 51-21 ATS mark good for 71% winners since 1983. Play on road underdogs or pick after 7 or more consecutive losses. 41% of the plays made based on the criteria of this system covered the spread by more than 7 points. This underscores the upset potential identified by the SIM Algorithm The following game situations match the SIM projections and compiled research for this game: · JAX is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when they allow 15 to 21 points over the last 3 seasons. · JAX is a solid 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games when they allow 5 to 5.5 net passing yards/attempt Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Jaguars. Houston is arguably the worst offensive team to ever be in first place in a Division. They have been outscored by 45 points this season. Of course, JAX is a struggling team having lost eight straight games, but they do have the tools and talent to compete and win this game. JAX passing defense has done very well ranking 5th in opponent passing yards per attempt, 4th allowing 203 passing yards per game and 14th in sacks. Houston is a horrible 29th averaging just 5.8 yards per pass, rank 28th throwing an interception on 2.88% of all plays run, and 28th in completion percentage. JAX surprises everyone, but not you and not us. Take Jacksonville. |
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12-18-16 | Titans +6.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 19-17 | Win | 100 | 4 h 5 m | Show |
25* graded play on Tennessee (317) as they take on Kansas City (318) in AFC action set to start at 1:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Tennessee will lose this game by fewer than 6 points and has a great shot at winning the game. Given the favorable projections, I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case, the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 42-11 SU mark using the money line for 79% winners over the past five seasons. Play against any team using the money line (KANSAS CITY) after a game where they forced no turnovers and is now facing an opponent after four consecutive games where they committed 1 or fewer turnovers. The following game situations match the SIM projections and compiled research for this game: Titans are 32-8 ATS (+23.2 Units) when they rush for 150 to 175 yards Titans are 32-16 ATS (+14.4 Units) when they outgain their opponents by 50-100 yards KC is a money burning 13-30 ATS (-20.0 Units) when they allow 150 to 175 rushing yards KC is also a horrid 25-80 ATS (-63.0 Units) when they allow 150 or more rushing yards Fundamental Discussion Points As the SIM projects and the technical points under score, it will be the Titans ground attack that will be the principle reason they win this road game and take control of the AFC South Division. Tennessee ranks 3rd averaging 4.7 yards per rush, 3rd averaging 144.5 rushing yards per game, and 2nd with 48% of all plays executed on the ground. KC can’t stop the run and rank 25th allowing 4.3 yards per rush, 27th allowing 123 rushing yards per game. Marriota has played extremely well over the last nine games and has done even better taking care of the ball and not forcing throws that can lead to interceptions. Tennessee has gone four straight games without a turnover while creating eight turnovers by their defense. Take Tennessee. |
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12-17-16 | Dolphins -2.5 v. Jets | Top | 34-13 | Win | 100 | 9 h 58 m | Show |
25* graded play on the Miami Dolphins (303) as they take on the NY Jets (304) in NFL Saturday action set to start at 8:25 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that MIAMI will win this game by at least 8 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 28-7 ATS mark good for 80% winners since 2005. Play against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NY JETS) with a poor first half defense allowing 14 or more points per game, after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Jets are a miserable 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when they allow 100 to 125 rushing yards over the last 3 seasons. 20-43 ATS (-27.3 Units) when they allow 5.5 to 6 total yards per play Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Dolphins. Now, I am fully aware that the Dolphins have been a terrible cold weather team, especially in December games; that they now are relying on Matt Moore due to the injury to Tannenhill; that somehow the Jets defeated the 49ers last week; and that Miami has outplayed only 2 of the last 6 opponents in the box score data. But, this is the Jets 2016 edition and having Bryce Petty under center is hardly an asset at this point in his very young career. It is one thing to be prepared to be under center in the NFL and have a strong OL in front of you. It’s vastly different when the QB is not quite ready and the OL and other units are playing largely inconsistent football more evident of an expansion team. Miami is playing to get into the playoffs and the team is centered on taking it one play at a time and not getting caught up in the emotion of any game or situation. The Dolphins also have two excellent WR in Landry and Parker going up against a Jets defense that ranks 24th in the NFL in allowed pass completion percentage and 30th in interceptions. Moore is the most undervalued QB in Draftkings for those folks who are engaged in that competition. Take the Dolphins. |
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12-17-16 | Arkansas State +5.5 v. Central Florida | Top | 31-13 | Win | 100 | 6 h 25 m | Show |
25* graded play on Arkansas State (207) as they take on UCF (208) in the Autonation Cure Bowl set to start at 5:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that ARST will win this game. Given the favorable projections, I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 46-17 ATS mark good for 73% winners since 1992. Play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (ARKANSAS ST) off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival against opponent after a road game where both teams score 31 points or more. The following game situations match the SIM projections and compiled research for this game: ARST is a solid 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) off a road win against a conference rival ARST is a solid 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points Arkansas State has had an excellent defense this season ranking 18th in scoring defense and 23rd in opponent pass completion percentage. Granted, their schedule was significantly easier than the one faced by UCF this season. However, ARST matches up very well against UCF and we see the winning this game outright. Of course, the SIM grading is what first identifies an opportunity, but then we dive deep into our databases and then apply fundamental matchup analyses to complete the vetting process of any game released. All systems are ‘GO’ on Arkansas State. |
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12-17-16 | Houston v. San Diego State OVER 51.5 | Top | 10-34 | Loss | -102 | 5 h 47 m | Show |
25* graded play ‘OVER’ Houston – SD State in the Las Vegas Bowl set to start at 3:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that more than 55 points will be scored in this game. Interesting play here given the large line movement from 60 to the current 51 ½ range, which by itself has generated this opportunity. I have done extensive testing regarding ‘steam’ moves and I can tell you that fading large line moves of 5 points or more under the right situations can offer a fantastic long-term ROI. This is obviously not a steam move, but the public has jumped on the ‘UNDER’ with irrational exuberance. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and compiled research for this game: Houston is 28-13 OVER (+13.7 Units) after gaining 375 or more passing yards in last game Long is 11-3 OVER (+7.7 Units) when playing against a good team having won 60% to 75% of their games as the coach of San Diego State. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the ‘OVER’ for this matchup. Aztecs have had 10 straight weeks with 6 of them on the road playing football games and now in just two weeks must turn around and face a significant step up in competition. Houston has had 3 weeks off to prepare for this matchup and they may score more than 42 points on their own merit. Despite the fatigue, we see the Aztecs being quite successful using the ground attack, which then sets up play action to exploit vertical routes in man coverage. Houston also can play fast and will definitely use the no-huddle scheme at times in this game. Houston runs a balanced attack, but rank 7th in the nation throwing an average of 42 passes per game. This reflects the speed that they can execute on offense and this will expose SDST in the second half of the game. Take the ‘OVER’ |
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12-17-16 | Texas-San Antonio v. New Mexico -7.5 | Top | 20-23 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 33 m | Show |
25* graded play on New Mexico as they take on UT-San Antonio in the Gildan New Mexico Bowl set to start at 2:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that will New Mexico win this game by more than 11 points. Lobos are projected to dominate the LOS and gain more than 350 rushing yards with total output over 500 yards. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and compiled research for this game: · UTSA is a near-imperfect 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games when they allow 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons. · Lobos are a solid 33-14 ATS (+17.6 Units) when they rush for 300 or more yards · Lobos are 73-32 ATS (+37.8 Units) when they score 28 or more point · Lobos are 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) when they score 35 to 41 points · Lobos are a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they gain 500 or more total yards over the last 2 seasons. · Lobos are a perfect 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in home games when they are outgain their opponents by 150-200 yards · Lobos are also 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when they gain 6.5 or more total yards per play over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points The Roadrunners are playing their first bowl game in school history after going 6-6 an 5-3 in C-USA action. The Lobos are bowl eligible for the second straight season and gained a share of the Mountain West Mountain Division title. The Roadrunners feature a balanced attack with not only two rushers over 700 yards, but two receivers, Josh Stewart and Kerry Williams Jr., who have combined for 1,200 yards. On defense, the Roadrunners hold their opponents to 152 yards, but we do not believe they can control the line and stop the Lobos on the ground. Lobos are ranked second in the nation gaining 6.6 yards per rush and third averaging 53.4 rushing plays per game. They rank best in the nation gaining 355 rushing yards per game. SOS is actually fairly equal for the season quotient, however, UTSA has not faced a dominant physical OL with power between the tackles and speed to attack the perimeter on any play. |
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12-16-16 | Pelicans v. Rockets -11.5 | Top | 100-122 | Win | 100 | 12 h 38 m | Show |
25* graded play on Houston (514) as they take on New Orleans (513) in NBA action set to start at 8:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Houston will win this game by more than 14 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 51-15 ATS mark good for 77% winners since 2010. Play against road underdogs (NEW ORLEANS) that are solid offensive teams scoring 99+ points/game on the season and is now facing an opponent after leading their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half. The following game situations match the SIM projections and compiled research for this game: · New Orleans is just 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in road games when their opponents make 48% to 51% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons. · New Orleans is 12-29 ATS (-19.9 Units) when they allow 110 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons. · Houston is a solid 49-26 ATS (+20.4 Units) when their opponents make 43% to 47% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons. · Houston is a solid 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in games where they force 13 to 17 turnovers this season. · Houston is a solid 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) when they score 105 or more points in a game this season. · 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) where both teams score 98 or more points in a game this season. |
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12-16-16 | Kings +180 v. Penguins | Top | 1-0 | Win | 180 | 10 h 1 m | Show |
25* graded play on the Kings (3) as they take on Pittsburgh (4) in NHL action set to start at 7:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Kings will win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 24-13 mark good for 65% winners and has made 32.5 units/unit wagered since 2010. It has averaged a 190 DOG play making this a very powerful money making system. Play against home favorites of -200 to -300 against the money line (PITTSBURGH) revenging a close loss vs opponent of 1 goal or less, off a home win. The following game situations match the SIM projections and compiled research for this game: Pittsburgh is just 10-17 against the money line (-14.3 Units) after a home game where both teams score 3 or more goals over the last 3 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Kings. |
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12-16-16 | Drexel v. Rider -3.5 | Top | 82-90 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show |
25* graded play on Rider as they take on Drexel in NCAA basketball action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Rider will win this game by at least 7 points.. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Drexel is just 34-73 ATS (-46.3 Units) when they make 34% to 39% of their shots in a game Drexel is just 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) when they grab 4 to 9 fewer rebounds than their opponents in a game over the last 3 seasons. Rider is a solid 63-23 ATS (+37.7 Units) when their opponents make 34% to 39% of their shots in a game Rider is a stout 25-10 ATS (+14.0 Units) when they grab more than 45 rebounds in a game Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Rider . |
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12-15-16 | Rams +16 v. Seahawks | Top | 3-24 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 8 m | Show |
25* graded play on the Rams (301) as they take on Seattle (302) in Thursday Night NFL action set to start at 8:25 PM ET. PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Rams will lose this game by fewer than 13 points and has only a modest opportunity to post a remarkable upset win. Given the favorable projections, I like normally make these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case, the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. However, in this case, we are suggesting adding a 3* play to the 25* line wager. . Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 55-22 ATS mark good for 71.4% winners since 2005. Play on a road teams after being beaten by the spread by 49 or more points total in their last five games. Here is a second system that has gone 23-5 ATS for 82% winners since 2005. Play on road teams (LA RAMS) that are struggling offensive teams scoring 17 or less points/game, and after allowing 25 points or more in 3 straight games. Here is a third system working against Seattle and has gone 32-10 ATS for 76% winners since 2005. Play against favorites (SEATTLE) after a game where they committed 3 or more turnovers and is now facing an opponent after a game where they committed 4 or more turnovers. The following game situations match the SIM projections and compiled research for this game: · Seattle is just 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games against teams who force 1 or less turnovers/game on the season Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Rams tonight. The Rams defense is the key to this cover. They are playing well despite being backed by the worst NFL offense. That unit ranks 5th allowing just 35% third-down conversions and rank 8th allowing 7.2 yards-per-pass. Wilson had a horrific last game and the team, in our opinion, is not nearly as good as the media talking heads would lead you to believe. Hence, that is why the line is inflated to these lofty levels and then lifted even higher by an irrational public sentiment. Take the Rams. |
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12-14-16 | Western Kentucky +21.5 v. St. Mary's | Top | 51-73 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 3 m | Show |
25* graded play on Western Kentucky as they take on St. Mary’s in NCAA action set to start at 10:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that WKU will lose this game by fewer than 17 points. There is no shot for the WKU SU upset win, however, if there is an ML available, we do recommend placing an additional 2* amount on the ML. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 30-8 ATS mark good for 79% ATS winners since 2010. Play on a road team (W KENTUCKY) that is off an upset win by 10 points or more as a road underdog and has a winning percentage of between 40 and 49% on the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and compiled research for this game: · WKU is a near-perfect 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in a road game where the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 3 seasons. · 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after having lost 3 of their last 4 games over the last 3 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points
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12-14-16 | Bruins v. Penguins -160 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 5 m | Show |
25* graded play on Pittsburgh (4) as they take on Boston (3) in NHL action set to start at 7:35 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Pittsburgh will win this game. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 36-9 mark good for 80% winners and has made 24.5 units/unit wagered since 2010. Play on any team against the money line (PITTSBURGH) after 5 or more consecutive ‘overs’, good team that is posting a 0.4 goals/game differential or better and is now facing an average team posting a scoring differential between -0.4 to +0.4. The following game situations match the SIM projections and compiled research for this game: · Pittsburgh is a solid 37-13 against the money line (+19.4 Units) after 5 straight games with 30 or more shots on goal over the last 2 seasons. · Pittsburgh is 33-7 against the money line (+20.9 Units) in home games after a 5 game unbeaten streak since 1996. · Claude Julien is 42-49 against the money line (-23.6 Units) after winning their previous game in overtime as the coach of Boston. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Penguins tonight. |
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12-14-16 | Raptors v. 76ers +9.5 | Top | 123-114 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
25* graded play on Philadelphia (504) as they take on Toronto (503) in NBA action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Philadelphia will lose this game by fewer than 8 points and has a great shot to win this game. Given the favorable projections, I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case, the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven money line system posting a 21-7 mark for 75% winners and has made 22.8 units/unit wagered averaging a +141 DOG play since 2010. Play on home teams vs. the money line (PHILADELPHIA) after going under the total by more than 6 points in four consecutive games, with a losing record. The following game situations match the SIM projections and compiled research for this game: · Toronto is a horrid 35-50 against the money line (-38.3 Units) after a blowout win by 20 points or more since 1996. · Philadelphia is a solid 26-9 against the money line (+14.6 Units) in home games after three straight games allowing a shooting pct. of 42% or less since 1996. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Philadelphia 76ers. Toronto is certainly playing well and has launched themselves in second place in the Eastern Conference just 1-game behind Cleveland. The 76ers have improved on recent losing seasons, but are tied for last in the Conference with Brooklyn. However, they have shown a steady improvement and have won two straight games, and it has been led by a strong defensive presence. They are rebounding well and rank 4th in the NBA in blocked shots per game. We expect the 76ers to take Toronto to the wire and don’t be surprised fi they come away with a win. |
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12-12-16 | Ravens v. Patriots -6 | Top | 23-30 | Win | 100 | 13 h 24 m | Show |
50* graded play on New England (134) as they take on Baltimore (133) in MNF action set to start at 8:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Patriots will win this game by at least 11 points. I also have money flow data to believe this line, now at NE -7 points can drift lower to 6 points by game time. There has been a surge in public betting support on Baltimore and it has been enough to move the line lower. I would recommend waiting till later this afternoon or even after 6:00 PM ET to place the wager for the game. Although the projections show that the extra point benefit in the line will not be necessary, it NEVER hurts shopping and working for the best possible line available. Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and compiled research for this game: · Patriots are a solid 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when their defense allows 200 to 250 net passing yards over the last 3 seasons. · Patriots are 30-14 ATS (+14.6 Units) in home games when they allow 75 to 100 rushing · Patriots are 60-35 ATS (+21.5 Units) when they score 22 to 28 points · Patriots are 42-18 ATS (+22.2 Units) when they outgain their opponents by 0.5 to 1 yard/play · TOM BRADY is a perfect 6-0 ATS in his career at home when facing the current No.1 ranked defense. Fundamental Discussion Points Baltimore ranks first in scoring defense, yards per game allowed, third-down conversions allowed, and yards per rush allowed. The Patriots are tied with Baltimore in scoring defense, 9th in total yards allowed, 11th in rushing yards per attempt, 8th in rushing yards per game, and 11th in passing yards per game allowed. So, with Baltimore’s inconsistent offense, it may be the Patriots defense that creates turnovers and gets stops on third downs and gives the offense short field scoring opportunities. Take the Patriots. |
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12-11-16 | Saints +2 v. Bucs | Top | 11-16 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 15 m | Show |
25* graded play on New Orleans as they take on Tampa Bay in NFC action set to start at 4:25 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that New Orleans will win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 84-41 ATS mark good for 67% winners since 1983. Play ON underdogs or pick (NEW ORLEANS) in a game involving two average teams posting a +/- 3 PPG differential after 8 or more games, and after scoring 14 points or less scored in their last game. The following game situations match the SIM projections and compiled research for this game: · TB is just 27-54 ATS (-32.4 Units) when they allow 22 to 28 points · TB a miserable 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in home games when their defense allows 300 to 350 net passing yards. · TB is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) in home games when their defense allows 300 or more net passing yards. · 13-38 ATS (-28.8 Units) when they're outgained by opponents by 0.5 to 1 yards/play. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Saints. Saints are second in offensive scoring and will be matched against a rather suspect TB defense that ranks 19th in scoring defense. Granted, the Saints defense does rank 30th in scoring defense, but that stat is a bit manipulated due to the scoring barrage of their offense. The Saints offense is just too powerful with Brees for the Bucs to contain enough to allow Winston and his unit to keep pace. Brees ranks first in the NFL converting 50% of their third-down situations this season. Take the Saints. |
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12-11-16 | Cardinals v. Dolphins +2.5 | Top | 23-26 | Win | 100 | 4 h 19 m | Show |
25* graded play on Miami (116) as they take on Arizona (115) in NFL action set to start at 1:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Miami will win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 35-10 ATS mark good for 78% winners since 1983. Play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (ARIZONA) off 2 or more consecutive ‘overs’ and is a good offensive team scoring between 23 and 27 PPG and is now facing a matchup against a poor defensive team allowing between 23 and 27 PPG. The following game situations match the SIM projections and compiled research for this game: Arizona is an imperfect 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when they score 15 to 21 points over the last 2 seasons. Miami is a solid 41-14 ATS (+25.6 Units) when their defense forces 3 turnovers since 1992. Arizona is a money burning 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Dolphins. If you read even a little bit of the media coverages for this game, you already know that Miami has not covered a December game in the last 3 seasons. That’s all about to change this afternoon. We fully expect Ryan Tannenhill to have a monster game throwing the ball to Jarvis Landry and DeVante Parker, who will have favorable matchups against the Arizona secondary. The reason is the emergence of the Dolphins ground attack, which has opened up far more play action opportunities to exploit vertical routes. Take Miami. |
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12-11-16 | Texans v. Colts -6.5 | Top | 22-17 | Loss | -103 | 4 h 53 m | Show |
25* graded play on Indianapolis as they take on Houston in AFC South action set to start at 1:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Colts will win this game by at least 11 points. Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 44-18 ATS mark good for 71% winners since 2005. Play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (HOUSTON) after scoring 14 points or less last game against opponent after scoring 30 points or more last game. Of the 62 qualifying plays made by the criteria detailed in the system, 29 of them or 47% covered the spread by at least 7 points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and compiled research for this game: · Houston is an imperfect 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) when they allow 22 to 28 points over the last 2 seasons. · Houston is a money losing 4-17 ATS (-14.7 Units) in road games when they rush for 100 to 125 yards · Indianapolis is a solid 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when they score 22 to 28 points over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points |
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12-10-16 | UC-Davis v. California -17.5 | Top | 61-86 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show |
25* graded play on California as they take on Cal-Davis in NCAA Basketball action set to start at 10:30PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that California will win this game by more than 21 points. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 112-60 ATS mark good for 65% winners since 2010. Play on home favorites of 10 or more points in December (CALIFORNIA) playing only their 3rd game in a week. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. CAL is a solid 86-37 ATS (+45.3 Units) when their opponents make 34% to 39% of their shots in a game; 76-36 ATS (+36.4 Units) when they allow 61 to 66 points in a game; 30-13 ATS (+15.7 Units) when they grab more than 45 rebounds; 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) when they grab 10+ more rebounds than their opponents in a game over the last 3 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board California tonight . |
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12-10-16 | Nets v. Spurs -14.5 | Top | 101-130 | Win | 100 | 8 h 8 m | Show |
25* graded play on San Antonio as they take on Brooklyn in NBA action set to start at 8:35 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Spurs will win this game by more than 17 points. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 69-38 ATS mark good for 65% winners since 2010. Play on any team (SAN ANTONIO) off an upset loss as a favorite against opponent off an upset win as a home underdog. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. San Antonio is a solid 32-16 ATS (+14.4 Units) when they make 39% to 45% of their three point attempts in a game over the last 3 seasons; 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) when they grab 4 to 9 more rebounds than their opponents in a game over the last 2 seasons; 23-5 ATS (+17.5 Units) when they score 110 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons. |
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12-10-16 | Penguins v. Lightning +130 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 22 m | Show |
25* graded play on Tampa Bay as they take on Pittsburgh in NHL action set to start at 7:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Tampa Bay will win this game. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 42-14 mark good for 75% winners and has made 30 units/unit wagered since 2010. Home teams against the money line (TAMPA BAY) - after scoring 2 goals or less in 3 straight games against opponent after scoring 4 goals or more in 2 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Lightning are a solid 28-11 against the money line (+15.2 Units) off a home loss over the last 3 seasons; 10-1 against the money line (+8.2 Units) after scoring 2 goals or less in 3 straight games over the last 3 seasons; 25-7 against the money line (+15.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Tampa Bay Lightning. |
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12-10-16 | Nebraska v. Kansas UNDER 142.5 | Top | 72-89 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 14 m | Show |
25* graded play ‘UNDER’ Kansas 544 – Nebraska 543 in NCAA action set to start at 3:15 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that fewer than 140 points will be scored in this game. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 52-16 mark ‘UNDER’ for 77% winners since 2010. Play ‘under’ with home teams against the total after 6 or more consecutive wins and is a top-level team winning 80% or more of their games and now playing a marginal winning team sporting a record between 51% to 60%.The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Nebraska is a solid 8-1 UNDER (+6.9 Units) when they make 34% to 39% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons. Kansas is a solid 16-6 UNDER (+9.4 Units) when their opponents make 34% to 39% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons. |
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12-10-16 | Army +4.5 v. Navy | Top | 21-17 | Win | 100 | 6 h 3 m | Show |
25* graded play on ARMY as they take on Navy in NCAA football action set to start at 3:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Army will lose this game by fewer than 5 points and has a great shot at winning the game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 32-9 ATS mark good for 78% winners since 2010. Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (ARMY) outrushing their opponents by 1.25 or more yards/carry on the season, after allowing 75 or less rushing yards last game. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Army is a solid 43-23 ATS (+17.7 Units) when they rush for 300 or more yards since 1992; 47-23 ATS (+21.7 Units) when they score 28 or more points since 1992; 17-4 ATS (+12.6 Units) when they're outgained by opponents by =230 rushing yards/game over the last 3 seasons. |
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12-10-16 | Arizona v. Missouri +7 | Top | 79-60 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 47 m | Show |
25* graded play on Missouri as they take on Arizona un NCAA Hoops action set to start at 12:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Missouri will lose this game by fewer than 7 points and has a great opportunity to win the game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Arizona is just 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when they make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons; 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road games when they allow 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 3 seasons. Arizona is also just 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing |
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12-09-16 | Rockets v. Thunder +1 | Top | 102-99 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 30 m | Show |
25* graded play on the Thunder (712) as they take on the Rockets (711) in NBA action set to start at 8: 30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that OKC will win this game by 3 or more points. This line opened with OKC installed as a 1-point favorite. The line has since moved to Houston favored by 1 to 1 ½ points. If the line money line reaches +135, which would require a line move to Houston -3 or higher, then the combination wager is validated. That combo wager would be a 20* play using the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion PointsThe following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Houston is just 23-40 ATS (-21.0 Units) when they allow 105 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons; 14-29 ATS (-17.9 Units) when they allow 110 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons; 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) when they grab 4 to 9 fewer rebounds than their opponents in a game over the last 2 seasons; OKC is a solid 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) in home games when they grab 10 to 15 offensive rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Thunder. The Thunder are an excellent rebounding team led by 6-3 Westbrook, who is averaging an amazing 10.9 boards per game. When he gets a defensive board, the break starts immediately. With the ball already in his hands, it allows his taller teammates to get out on the break and put immediate pressure on the opponent. The Rockets are coming off a 134-95 trouncing of the Lakers. Gordon drained a career-best eight 3-pointers as the Rockets continues to put up long distance shots with no conscience. They are first in the league at 37 attempts from 3-point range per game and have set an NBA record by making 10 or more 3-pointers in 21 consecutive games. And you thought it might be Golden State in that role. The rebounding edge still goes to the Thunder and 3-point shots generate long range rebounds that will allow Westbrook to go get while his teammates box out their opponent. The key is that the Thunder will minimize Houston’s second chance scoring opportunities with their team rebounding and this will be the principle reason the Thunder win this game. |
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12-09-16 | Wake Forest v. NC-Greensboro +9 | Top | 78-75 | Win | 100 | 12 h 54 m | Show |
25* graded play on UBC Greensboro (722) as they take on Wake Forest (721) in NCAA basketball action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Greensboro will lose this game by fewer than eight points and has a reasonable opportunity at getting a significant upset win too. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case, the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 29-17 mark good for 63% winners using the Money Line and has made 26.4 units/unit wagered since 1997. Play on home underdogs using the money line (UNC-GREENSBORO) after leading their last two games by 10+ points at the half against an opponent after a combined score of 165 points or more. It has averaged a +150 DOG play, which makes this a very powerful system.The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Wake is just 2-9 against the money line (-8.0 Units) when they commit 3 to 7 more turnovers than their opponents over the last two seasons. Greensboro is a near-perfect 13-1 against the money line (+12.0 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1997. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board UNC Greensboro. |
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12-08-16 | Spurs v. Bulls +3.5 | Top | 91-95 | Win | 100 | 14 h 54 m | Show |
25* graded play on the Chicago Bulls (512) as they take on the San Antonio Spurs (511) in NBA action set to start at 9:35 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Bulls will win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 129-70 ATS mark good for 65% winners since 1996. Play on all teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CHICAGO) extremely tired team playing their 5th game in 7 days,and with the game occurring in the first half of the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Spurs are 118-195 ATS (-96.5 Units) when they grab 4 to 9 fewer rebounds than their opponents in a game since 1996. Bulls are a solid 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) after having lost 4 of their last 5 games over the last 3 seasons. |
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12-08-16 | Raiders +3 v. Chiefs | Top | 13-21 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 54 m | Show |
25* graded play on Oakland as they take on Kansas City in Thursday Night NFL action set to start at 8:25 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Oakland will win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case, the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Make certain you get a minimum Money Line of +135. If it is below +35, then simply make this a 25* play using the line only. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 25-6 ATS mark good for 81% winners since 2005. Play against any team (KANSAS CITY) off 1 or more straight ‘overs’ against opponent off 6 or more consecutive ‘overs.' The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Oakland is a solid 27-11 ATS (+14.9 Units) when they gain 7 to 7.5 net passing yards/attempt; 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games when both teams score 20 or more points over the last 2 seasons; 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games when their defense forces 2 turnovers over the last 2 seasons; 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when they gain 400 or more total yards over the last 2 seasons; 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when they gain 6 or more total yards per play over the last 2 seasons. KC is an imperfect 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games facing defensive teams who give up 24 or more points/game over the last two seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Raiders. KC has been out gained for the season, and Alex Smith has had seven straight games throwing less than 300 passing yards. Oakland’s defense leads the NFL with 25 takeaways and a +14 turnover margin that has propelled to a tie with New England for the best record in the conference. The key matchup tonight involves KC’s abilities to convert on 3rd down situations. Oakland’s defense ranks 8th best in the NFL allowing opponents to convert 3rd down situations 37.6% of the time. KC ranks a dismal 28th converting 34.6% of their third down conversions. Oakland’s defense will be a principal reason they win this critical AFC West showdown. |
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12-07-16 | Warriors v. Clippers +4.5 | Top | 115-98 | Loss | -107 | 15 h 43 m | Show |
50* graded play on the LA Clippers as they take on the Golden State Warriors in NBA Western Conference action set to start at 10:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Clippers will win this game. Given the favorable projections, I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 30-26 mark for 54% winners and has made a whopping 41 units/unit wagered averaging an eye-popping +222 line. Play against favorites vs. the money line (GOLDEN STATE) that is a solid team outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game, after a combined score of 215 points or more 3 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Clippers are a solid 35-20 ATS (+13.0 Units) when they score 105 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Golden State is just 11-26 ATS (-17.6 Units) after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. |
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12-06-16 | Miami (OH) v. Missouri -9.5 | Top | 55-81 | Win | 100 | 12 h 7 m | Show |
25* graded play on Missouri as they take on Miami (Ohio) in NCAA action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Missouri will win this game by at least 11 points. Technical Discussion PointsThe following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Miami is just 18-35 ATS (-20.5 Units) in road games when they make 23% to 30% of their three-point attempts in a game; 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they grab 4 to 9 more rebounds than their opponents in a game over the last two seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points We se this game as a significant mismatch with Missouri having matchup advantages at every major c=facet of the game. Missouri ranks 27th in the nation averaging 41.1 rebounds per game while Miami ranks 153rd getting 36.3 boards per game. More glaring is that Miami ranks 334th with a 0.415 assists/FG made ratio. In case you were wondering there are 351 D-1 basketball programs in the database. Missouri defense is excellent and contests all shots and generate a turnover of 18% of their opponent possessions. |
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12-06-16 | Purdue -11.5 v. Arizona State | Top | 97-64 | Win | 100 | 11 h 58 m | Show |
25* graded play on Purdue (555) as they take on Arizona State (556) in NCAAB action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Purdue will win this game by at least 15 points. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 115-66 ATS mark good for 64% winners since 2010. Play on favorites in the month of December of 10 or more points (PURDUE) playing only their 3rd game in a week. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Purdue is a perfect 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when they make 54% to 59% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons; 12-1 ATS (+10.9 Units) when they attempt 4 to 9 more free throws than opponents in a game over the last 3 seasons; 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) when they score 87 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons. ASU is an imperfect 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) when they allow 87 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Boilermakers. |
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12-06-16 | Northeastern +5 v. Harvard | Top | 80-86 | Loss | -102 | 11 h 52 m | Show |
25* graded play on Northeastern as they take on Harvard in NCAAB action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Northeastern will win this game. Given the line currently installing Northeastern as a 5-point dog, I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 86-46 ATS mark good for 65% winners since 2010. Play against home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (HARVARD) after playing a game where both teams score 65 points or less against opponent after scoring 75 points or more 2 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Harvard is just 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when their opponents make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons. |
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12-05-16 | Colts v. Jets | Top | 41-10 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 25 m | Show |
25* graded play on the NY Jets (378) as they take on the Indianapolis Colts (377) in AFC action set to start at 8:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Jets will win this game. If this line, currently showing the Jets installed as 1.5 point dog, moves to 3 and you can get a money line of at least +130, then a combination wager is validated using a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion PointsThe following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. The Jets are a stout 63-25 ATS (+35.5 Units) when they score 22 to 28 points. Moreover, they are an impressive 19-5 ATS (+13.5 Units) in home games off a home loss dating back to 1992. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Jets. |
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12-05-16 | Spurs v. Bucks +6 | Top | 97-96 | Win | 100 | 3 h 52 m | Show |
25* graded play on Milwaukee (714) as they host San Antonio (713) in NBA action set to start at 8:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Milwaukee will win this game. Given the favorable projections I like making these opportunistic DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 20* play on the line and a 5* play using the money line. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 101-45 mark good for 69% winners using the money line and has made 45 units/unit wagered since 1996. Road teams vs. the money line (SAN ANTONIO) off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite against opponent off an home win scoring 110 or more points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Milwaukee is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in home games when their opponents make 32% to 38% of their 3 pointers in a game over the last 2 seasons. |
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12-05-16 | Panthers v. Bruins -140 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 2 h 46 m | Show |
25* graded play on Boston (58) as they host Florida (57) in NHL action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Boston will win this game. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 61-24 mark good for 72% winners and has made 32 units/unit wagered since 2010. Play against road teams using the money line (FLORIDA) and is a tired team playing 6 or more games in 10 days, in December games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Florida is just 1-9 against the money line (-10.4 Units) after playing 4 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons. Fundamental Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision tress and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Bruins . |
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12-05-16 | Siena -3.5 v. Rider | Top | 69-71 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 50 m | Show |
25* graded play on Siena as they take on Rider in MAAC action set to start at PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that will win this game. Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Rider has been a miserable money burning 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) when they attempt 54 to 62 shots in a game over the last 2 seasons; 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when their opponents make 31% to 37% of their 3 pointers in a game over the last 2 seasons; 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when they grab 9 to 13 offensive rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons. Siena is a stout 53-23 ATS (+27.7 Units) when their opponents make 23% to 30% of their 3 pointers in a game. Fundamental Discussion Points The Siena Saints will be in Lawrenceville New Jersey to take on the Rider Broncs Monday night at 7. Siena’s offense likes to get out and run and they have no trouble scoring the basketball averaging 75 points per game, unlike Rider who struggles to score ranking last in the MAAC in scoring (69 points per game). Rider shoots just 22% from 3 and only average 10.7 assists per game, again last in the MAAC. Look for the Siena offense to score quite a bit and for Riders slow offense not be able to keep up with them. Take Siena -4.5. |