Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-08-22 | Rider -1 v. Manhattan | Top | 79-67 | Win | 100 | 3 h 14 m | Show |
Rider vs Manhattan 4% best bet on the Rider Broncos at pick-em or better This is a first-round matchup in the Metro Atlantic Tournament being contested on the Boardwalk in Atlantic City. Rider is 7-1 ATS after three straight games in which they forced the opponents to commit 14 or fewer turnovers in games played this season. Manhattan is 6-18 ATS after three consecutive conference games have been played in each of the last three seasons. Rider is 17-6-1 ATS After playing two consecutive games. Installed as an underdog in games played over the last three seasons. |
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03-08-22 | NC State +5 v. Clemson | Top | 64-70 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 42 m | Show |
NC State vs Clemson Here is a highly profitable betting system that has earned a 62-25-2 ATS record good for 71% winning bets over the last 25 seasons. The requirements are to bet on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are revenging a straight up loss to the current opponent and werepriced as a favorite and with that opponent coming off two consecutive wins by five or fewer points to conference rivals. Clemson is 3-14 ATS in road games in road games after three consecutive games where the opponent grabbed 31 or fewer rebounds. |
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02-28-22 | Wolves -1.5 v. Cavs | Top | 127-122 | Win | 100 | 13 h 31 m | Show |
Minnesota vs Cleveland 7:10 PM EST 5% best bet on the Minnesota Timberwolves The Minnesota Timberwolves will look to continue their climb in the Western Conference standings with a win over the Eastern Conference Cleveland Cavaliers set to tip-off at 7:10 PM EST at the Rocket Mortgage Field House. Cleveland has relied on their defense that ranks best in the Association allowing an average of 102.3 points per game. The Wolves have the 6th best scoring offense in the league averaging 113.1 points per game. The problem I have with the Cleveland defense is that it is based on slowing the pace of play to a crawl. They rank 30th in the league averaging 84.8 shot attempts per game so the defensive points allowed per game would be higher based on 100 possessions per game. They rank 4th in the NBA allowing 106.4 points per game per 100 possessions per game. Cleveland is an average defensive rebounding team and this is where the Wolves have a major advantage and will have many more second chance scoring opportunities than the Cavaliers. The Wolves rank 4th in offensive rebounding percentage at 25.2% on the season. Cavaliers are just 33-50 ATS when facing good teams like the Wolves that are averaging at least 23 assists per game and 12-28 ATS when facing teams shooting 24 or fewer free throws per game in the second half of each of the last two seasons. Plus, they are a dismal 3-16 ATS after failing to cover four or more consecutive games over the past two seasons and 0-8 ATS following a game in which they were called for 10 or fewer fouls than their opponent. From my predictive models, I am expecting the Wolves to attempt 90 or more shots and will overcome the Cavaliers attempts to slow the pace of the game. As road favorites including pick-em, the Wolves are 11-3 ATS for 79% winning bets when attempt 90 or more shots. Take the Minnesota Wolves for a 5% best bet. |
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02-27-22 | Mavs +4 v. Warriors | Top | 107-101 | Win | 100 | 9 h 46 m | Show |
Dallas vs Golden State 7:30 ET 4% best bet on the Dallas Mavericks plus the points The Warriors had limped into last week's All-Star break having lost four of five games to fall 6 1/2 behind first-place Phoenix. But Golden State returned to action in top form Thursday with a 132-95 road win over the Portland Trail Blazers. Mavs are on a 9-1 ATS win streak when coming off a loss. The Warriors Thompson is listed as questionable, and it appears he will not be in this game tonight. If he does suit up the line may move by as much as three points. I like the Mavs no matter what Thompson’s status becomes. So, a suggested strategy is to bet 50% of your 4% bet size now and then wait till the game is within 30-minutes of tip-off and add the remaining 50% amount. Mavs are 21-9 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last two seasons. Here is an excellent betting system that has earned a 26-8 ATS record for 77% winning bets over the last five seasons. Bet on road underdogs in the second half of the season (after game number 41) that are making 33 to 37% of their three-point shots, are coming off back-to-backgames in which they made at least 15 3-pointers and now taking on an opponent that allows 33 to 37% 3-point shooting. |
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02-27-22 | Nebraska v. Penn State UNDER 137.5 | Top | 93-70 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 9 m | Show |
Nebraska vs Penn State 7 ET 4% Best Bet on the Under the posted total PSU is 31-14 Under when playing a game in the second half of the season (after game number 15) and taking on a team with a losing record and 23-9 Under when playing a struggling team with a win percentage between 20 and 40% on the season. They are 16-3 Under as a double-digit home favorite and 12-3 Under in the month of February, 11-3 Under after allowing 30 or fewer points in the first half of each of the last two games, and 7-1 Under following four consecutive games committing 14 or fewer turnovers and 6-0 Under following five games. |
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02-27-22 | 76ers v. Knicks OVER 219 | Top | 125-109 | Win | 100 | 2 h 29 m | Show |
Philadelphia vs New York 4% best bet OVER the posted total RJ Barrett will look to build off a career-high performance when the Knicks host James Harden and the Philadelphia 76ers on Sunday at Madison Square Garden set to tip at 1:00 EST. RJ Barrett's career-high 46 points weren't enough on Friday for the host Knicks, who dropped a 115-100 decision to the Miami Heat. Having him back in the lineup does make the Knicks a much better offensive team. The presence of James Harden has been impressive despite being just a 1-game sample size. Still, I think the 76ers are a team that is one of the best offensive ones in the NBA and are capable of averaging 120+ points when Jarden is in the lineup. Betting the Over in a game lined between 210 and 219.5 points after going over the total by 35 or more points in their last five games (Knicks), and has a losing record on the season has earned a 85-39 Over record for 68% winning bets over the last five seasons. 76ers are 43-242 Over for 64% in road games and coming off a 20+ point blowout win over the past 25 seasons, and when priced as a road favorite are 21-11-1 Over for 66% winners. |
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02-25-22 | Blue Jackets +1.5 v. Hurricanes | Top | 0-4 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
Columbus vs Carolina 4% best bet on the Puck Line This play is an opportunity to sprinkle the money line with a 0.5%-unit amount. The Puck Line is currently at +100 at most sportsbooks and few +110’s appearing. The bet is reinforced by a super sensational betting system that has produced an exceptional 20% ROI since the 2015 season and 37% ROI for the current season while going 7-9 SU for 44% winning bets. Obviously, we are playing on significant underdogs and these dogs have averaged +155 this season and a +135 since 2017. Bet on underdogs that have a winning record on the season and is facing an opponent that is coming off a road win against a divisional foe and sports a winning record of at least 55% on the season. When the puck line for our beloved road team is getting plus money (underdog on the +1.5 Puck Line) they have gone an incredible 12-3 for 80% winners. |
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02-23-22 | Sabres -101 v. Canadiens | Top | 0-4 | Loss | -101 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
Buffalo vs Montreal 4% (8-Unit) best bet on the Buffalo Sabres using the money line Montreal is 3-17 using the money line when facing a team with a losing record and 0-7 using the money line when playing against a team with a win percentage between 25 and 40% this season. |
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02-21-22 | West Virginia v. TCU UNDER 134 | Top | 67-77 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 37 m | Show |
West Virginia vs TCU TCU is 82-48 Under for 63% winners coming off a double-digit loss to a conference foe and if suffering this double-digit loss on the road they are 52-30 Under for 64% winners. Even just coming off a double-digit loss regardless if a conference foe or not or site location, they have produced a 91-60 Under record for 60% winning bets. Over the last three season, TCU is 16-6 Under for 73% winners after losing by double-digits to a conference for in their previous game. The month of February is when the contenders seperate themselves form the pretenders and head coaches look to start coaching more aggressively and with more inspiration for his players. West Virginia’s skipper Huggins is this type of coach and his teams have a tendency every season to play their best in the month of February – and that starts on the defensive end. Huggins is 31-19 Under in games played in February and 77-53 Under when facing a team on the road that is forcing 14 or fewer turnovers on the seasons. |
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02-16-22 | Nets +4.5 v. Knicks | Top | 111-106 | Win | 100 | 11 h 60 m | Show |
Brooklyn vs New York 7:30 PM EST, February 16, 2022 5% 10- UNIT best Bet on the Nets plus the points and is valid bet if the Nets are at least a 3-point underdog. 0.5% (0.5 units) As hard as it is to believe, the Nets have not had two consecutive wins in over a month. I obviously believe that sickening trend will end tonight is MSG. There is always the chance for an ATS win, but SU loss when the bet is on a dog, but when the dog is 4.5 or fewer points, an ATS win generally translates to a SU win. In the Nets 109-85 win over the Sacramento Kings as a 2.5-point home underdog they never trailed in the game. The highlights of the postgame press conference comments were about how the chemistry in the locker room radically changed to “Everyone likes each other”. Whether intentionally stated or not, this change in culture is a major positive factor that has the potential to propel the Nets to the World Championship. Anyway, this research is about this game and the 5% grading. So, let’s get to it right now. The following is a highly profitable betting algorithm that has produced consistent results for many seasons. It has earned a 17-9-1 ATS record over the last three seasons and 36-15-2 ATS record for 70% winning bets over the last five seasons. The requirements are to bet on road teams that have lost five or six of their last six games, has a winning record on the season, and is taking on a losing record team. Plus, if that team (Nets) played a home game in their previous game, their record soars to 20-5 ATS for 80% winning bets over the last five seasons. 5% 5-UNIT NBA Game of the Month JR is nailing the NBA and is on a 73% ATS win streak and his last 5% was a Big-Time winner when the 76ers favored by 6.5 points defeated the Spurs 119-100 and that was his only 5% release in the NBA. This one is reinforced by a highly profitable betting system that has hit 70% winners and includes a subset that is a remarkable 20-5 ATS for 80% winners spanning the last five seasons. Brooklyn vs New York 7:30 PM EST, February 16, 2022 5% best Bet on the Nets plus the points and is valid bet if the Nets are at least a 3-point underdog. 0.5% (0.5 units) As hard as it is to believe, the Nets have not had two consecutive wins in over a month. I obviously believe that sickening trend will end tonight is MSG. There is always the chance for an ATS win, but SU loss when the bet is on a dog, but when the dog is 4.5 or fewer points, an ATS win generally translates to a SU win. In the Nets 109-85 win over the Sacramento Kings as a 2.5-point home underdog they never trailed in the game. The highlights of the postgame press conference comments were about how the chemistry in the locker room radically changed to “Everyone likes each other”. Whether intentionally stated or not, this change in culture is a major positive factor that has the potential to propel the Nets to the World Championship. Anyway, this research is about this game and the 5% grading. So, let’s get to it right now. The following is a highly profitable betting algorithm that has produced consistent results for many seasons. It has earned a 17-9-1 ATS record over the last three seasons and 36-15-2 ATS record for 70% winning bets over the last five seasons. The requirements are to bet on road teams that have lost five or six of their last six games, has a winning record on the season, and is taking on a losing record team. Plus, if that team (Nets) played a home game in their previous game, their record soars to 20-5 ATS for 80% winning bets over the last five seasons. |
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02-13-22 | Rams v. Bengals +4.5 | Top | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 36 h 57 m | Show |
The LA Rams vs Cincinnati Bengals 5% Best Bet on the Cincinnati Bengals plus the points. I also like. Placing a 1% or one unit. Wager on the Bengals using the money line. Take advantage of the Super Bowl to Super Bowl special for just $699 that saves you $600 over the regular 365-day subscription. This gives you All Access to Every pick I release in every sports including the 5% (5-Unit MAX Bets). There is a terrific and highly profitable betting angle or algorithm if you will that has earned a 30-6-1 ATS since 1980. This algorithm has also gone undefeated at 7-0 ATS over the last ten seasons. The requirements are to bet on underdogs of 3 1/2 to 10 points after posting four consecutive games with a turnover margin off +1 or better and are now facing an opponent coming off a game where they committed one or fewer turnovers. Remember too, that is NOT the game to “Go For It” - nor is any game. I am betting my 5% amount and a 1% on the money line and then 0.5% (0.25-units) on the 10 prop bets that follow below. It is a fact that I am 18-5 ATS for 77% winning bets over my career and there were 4 Super Bowls that I did not wager on the side or the total. The thrill of winning is terrific, but the agony of waking up Monday with the thoughts of “why in the world did I do that” is far worse. The first prop that I like here on the DraftKings sportsbook betting odds board is Cincinnati Bengals total field goal yardage. DraftKings has it lined at over 60.5 yards paying minus 115 vig if you like the under 65 yards you're getting minus 110 vig. I'm taking the over in this prop bet. The Cincinnati Bengals has an excellent rookie kicker in Evan McPherson who is 5 foot 10 and weighs 195 pounds and played for the University of Florida. In his rookie NFL season, he played in 16 games made 28 of 33 field goal attempts and made 46 of 48 extra point attempts. In road games this season he was spectacular, and the Bengals were 5-2 in those road games. He converted 20 of 21 extra points for 95% and made 100% going 14 for 14 in field goal attempts. In the seven road games he accounted for 62 points. From long range, those field goals of 50 or more yards McPherson made 11 of 13 attempts on the season. So, let's see what other prop bets are attractive for this Super Bowl. McPherson OVER 7.5 pts -135 Mcpherson is lined at 7 1/2 points. Betting the over in the number of points he will be accountable for does cost minus 135 vig but I think he will kick at least two field goals and make two extra points that right there is eight points in total, so I like over 7 1/2 points coming from Evan McPherson of the Cincinnati Bengals. Ja’Marr Chase +900 to score first TD of the game Another player prop is involving touchdowns scored. I like Ja’Marr Chase wide receiver for Cincinnati at plus 900 to be the first player to score a touchdown. I also like him at plus 900 to score the last touchdown of the game. Odell Beckham, Jr. is a wide receiver and one of the many weapons on the Rams offense. He is lined at plus 600 to be the first scorer of a touchdown by the Rams offense. Game Alternative Line Prop Bets Kupp and Higgins anytime TD + under 54.5 points +725 Kupp, Chase, Mixon, and Beckham, Jr. All score anytime TD +1250 Joe Mixon Rushing yards greater than the 4th Round score of the Winner of PGA Waste Management Phoenix Open Event –110 From the predictive models, we are expecting the Bengals to score 24 or more points and have the same or fewer number of turnovers. In past games over the last three seasons, the Bengals are 16-3 ATS for 84.2% winning bets and when they have been the dog they are 8-2 SU, 10-0 ATS for 100% winners. Good Luck and TY for a terrific season on the NCAAF + NFL gridiron. |
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02-12-22 | Arkansas v. Alabama -4.5 | Top | 67-68 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 17 m | Show |
Arkansas vs Alabama 4% Best Bet on Alabama minus the points This is a matchup in which the market has overvalued Arkansas and undervalued Alabama. Arkansas has won 9 straight games and are 8-2 ATS over the last 10 games. The Tide is 156-9 on the season and have covered 9 of those games while losing 14 and are just 2-8 ATS over their last 10. Arkansas is coming off a program hallmark in defeating then No.1 Auburn 80-76 on their home floor as 1.5-point underdogs. So, an overall performance regression is likely for Arkansas. Tide was ranked 14th in the preseason polls and as high as No. 6 in the poll released the week of December 13. They have not been ranked in the past 4 weeks and are a team that has all the strengths and talent to regain a ranking in the polls in the weeks ahead. Arkansas is 5-16 ATS off an upset win installed as a home underdog. |
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02-12-22 | St. Joe's +3 v. Massachusetts | Top | 67-69 | Win | 100 | 3 h 17 m | Show |
St. Joes vs UMASS Noon EST SJU is 7-0 ATS in the second half of each of the last two seasons when facing an opponent that is forcing an average of 14 or fewer turnovers per game. They are 11-3 ATS when facing teams that are committing an average of 12 or fewer turnovers per game this season. SJU head coach Lange is 9-1 ATS following a game in which his Hawks had two or fewer steals. |
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02-12-22 | Texas +6.5 v. Baylor | Top | 63-80 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 17 m | Show |
Texas vs Baylor Noon 4% best bet on Texas plus the points Texas is 8-1 ATS in road games following a game in which they made at least 78% of their free throws in games played over the last three seasons. They are also 13-3-1 ATS in road games off a win against a conference rival in games played over the last three seasons. Baylor head coach Drew is just 26-42 ATS after winning 15 or more of his Bears last 20 games. Texas skipper Beard is 13-3 ATS in road games in the second half of the season (After Game number 15) facing opponents averaging 16 or more assist per game. |
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02-07-22 | Northern Arizona v. Northern Colorado -10 | Top | 60-82 | Win | 100 | 13 h 52 m | Show |
Northern Arizona vs Northern Colorado NCU is 14-3 ATS when taking on an opponent that is averaging 14 or fewer forced turnovers per game in games played in the second half of each of the last three seasons; 27-14 ATS for full seasons. NAU is just 1-7 ATS this season in games lined between 140 and 149.5 points and 80-112 ATS over the last 25 seasons when playing their second game in three days. NAU head coach Burcar is a money-burning 9-18 ATS with the total between 140 and 149.5 points and just 12-22 ATS playing with revenge. This past Saturday NCU took to the road and defeated NAU 74-71, but failed to cover the number as 5.5 point-favorites. |
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02-07-22 | Arizona -13 v. Arizona State | Top | 91-79 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 24 m | Show |
Arizona vs Arizona State 4% best bet on Arizona minus the points. I believe the market is more likely to see bets being placed on ASU getting double digits following their shocking triple overtime win over then-No.3 UCLA Saturday. So, consider betting 50% of your normal bet size right away and then look at the market after 5 EST and add the remaining 50%, hopefully at a lower price tag. ASU is 8-21 ATS when taking on an excellent ball handling team that is averaging 14 or fewer turnovers per game over the last two seasons. ASU is 5-14 ATS in games lined with a total between 140 and 149.5 points. Arizona is 8-1 ATS in games lined with a total between 140 and 149 points this season. ASU is 25-44 ATS when priced as a double-digit underdog over the last 25 seasons. |
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02-07-22 | Suns v. Bulls +7.5 | Top | 127-124 | Win | 100 | 11 h 8 m | Show |
Phoenix vs Chicago Bulls are coming off a 119-108 home loss to the 76ers, in which Embiid scored 40 points. He was not the high scorer in the game as DeMar DeRozan scored 45 points including 9 rebounds and 7 assists. The Bull have been playing without forward Zach Levine, who is suffering from back spasms. I do expect the Bulls to bounce back from the loss Sunday and get the ATS win tonight. They are 19-7 SU, 17-9 ATS for 65% winning bets in their home games this season. Here is a highly profitable and consistent NBA betting system that has earned a 74-40 ATS record for 65% winning bets over the last 25 seasons. Bet on teams that have exceeded the total by at least 6 points in each of their last five games and now facing a conference opponent. Plus, if our team (Bulls) is playing on back-to-back nights, they improve to 13-6 ATS for 68.4% winning bets. |
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02-07-22 | Heat v. Wizards +6.5 | Top | 121-100 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
Miami vs Washington Wizards are 43-22 ATS 67% in home games taking on a guest that is averaging at least 23 assists per game in games played over the last three seasons. Wizards are a perfect 8-0 ATS after allowing 95 or fewer points in their previous game in games played over the last two seasons. On Saturday, the Wizards lost badly 95-80 as 8-point dogs to the juggernaut Phoenix Suns. From the predictive models there is a high probability that the Wizards will get at least 48 rebounds. In past games, the Wizards are 7-2 ATS this season and 31-13 ATS the last three seasons when they have had 48 or more boards. |
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02-07-22 | Raptors v. Hornets OVER 225.5 | Top | 116-101 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 7 m | Show |
Toronto vs Charlotte 4% best bet OVER the Total Raptors are 29-18 OVER when facing teams that are averaging fewer than 21 free throws per game this season. Betting the OVER with a team that is coming off two or more consecutive OVER games, is a solid defensive team allowing 104 to 108 PPG and now facing an opponent that is a poor defensive team allowing 114 to 119 PPG has earned a 57-29 OVER record for 67% winning bets over the last five seasons. |
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02-07-22 | NC-Wilmington v. Hofstra -7.5 | Top | 71-73 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
UNC-Wilmington vs Hofstra Hofstra is 25-12 ATS for 68% winning bets when taking on an opponent with a winning record in games played over the last three seasons. They are 26-12 ATS following a game in which they made at least 78% of their free throw attempts and 33-16 ATS coming off a home win and scoring 85 or more points. |
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02-06-22 | Bucks -4.5 v. Clippers | Top | 137-113 | Win | 100 | 11 h 54 m | Show |
Milwaukee vs LA Clippers 4% Best Bet on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points This simple to use NBA betting system has earned an outstanding 37-12 for 77% winning bets ATS record over the last 25 seasons and has not lost ATS over the past five seasons. Bet on road favorites in a non-conference matchup that is facing a host that is coming off a win of not more than three points over a divisional foe. Over the last 10 seasons, this betting angle has produced an incredible 13-2 ATS record good for 87% winning bets. |
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02-06-22 | Hawks +2.5 v. Mavs | Top | 94-103 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 55 m | Show |
Atlanta vs Dallas 4% bet on the Atlanta Hawks plus the points. The following is a money-making betting system that has earned a 55-28 ATS record good for 66% winning bets over the last five seasons. Bet on losing record teams that have won five or six of their past seven games and in a matchup with the line between the 3’s. Plus, if our team involved in this matchup is the road team, they improve to 11-2 SU and ATS for 85% winning tickets. Here is a second supporting algorithm that has done quite well over the last five seasons sporting a 50-30 ATS record and 64% winning tickets. Bet on teams that are lined within the 3’s and are coming off a double-digit road loss and now taking on a host that they defeated in their last matchup. |
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02-06-22 | Monmouth -3.5 v. Quinnipiac | Top | 76-63 | Win | 100 | 4 h 45 m | Show |
Monmouth vs Quinnipiac Betting on road favorites including pick-em that are coming off win of three or fewer points and facing a shot that has allowed 75 or more points in three consecutive games has earned a 42-19 ATS record for 69% winning bets over the last five seasons. Monmouth is 7-1 ATS when playing a team with a winning record this season. Quinnipiac is 5-17 ATS in the second half of each of the last 10 seasons when facing an opponent with a win percentage between 60 and 80%. Quinnipiac’s defense has fallen completely apart over their last three games. They allowed 87 points in a 94-87 win over Marist, then lost their two previous games on the road 85-76 to Sienna and then 83-74 at St. Peters. |
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02-05-22 | UCLA v. Arizona State OVER 129.5 | Top | 84-87 | Win | 100 | 9 h 22 m | Show |
UCLA vs Arizona State 4% best bet OVER the posted total Betting the OVER involving a home team that allowed 33% or worse opponent shooting in their last two games and in a matchup of two teams average at least 60 shots per game has earned a highly profitable 31-7 OVER record good for 82% winning bets over the last 25 seasons, 16-4 OVER for 80% winners the last five seasons, and 12-3 OVER for 80% over the last three seasons. UCLA is 8-1 OVER when facing an opponent that is making 42% or fewer of their shots. From the predictive models, UCLA is projected to score at least 75 points and in past games over the last three seasons when they have scored 75 or more points has seen the OVER go 14-2 for 78% winning bets. When ASU has allowed 75 or more points, the OVER has gone 15-5 for 75% winning bets spanning the last 3 seasons. |
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02-05-22 | Nebraska-Omaha +3.5 v. North Dakota | Top | 85-92 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 42 m | Show |
Nebraska- Omaha vs North Dakota Nebraska is 6-0 ATS over the last two seasons facing solid free throw shooting teams making 72% or more and when the game occurred after game number 15. Nebraska is 15-5 ATS facing a suspect defense allowing opponents a 48% or higher shooting percentage. North Dakota is 0-6 ATS when facing a team with a losing record this season and 1-8 ATS the past two seasons facing a foe that is allowing 77 or more PPG. |
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02-05-22 | Towson v. Northeastern +5.5 | Top | 53-58 | Win | 100 | 3 h 41 m | Show |
Towson State vs Northeastern 2:00 EST 4% on Northeastern plus the points Betting on home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that have been beaten by the spread by 42 points in total spanning their last seven games and taking on a host that has been beaten by the spread by 18 or more points in total over their last three games has earned a 63-25 ATS record good for 72% winning bets over the last 25 seasons, 22-9 ATS over the last five seasons, and 10-5 over the last three seasons. Take the Northeastern Huskies |
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02-05-22 | Fordham +5.5 v. St. Joe's | Top | 69-72 | Win | 100 | 2 h 42 m | Show |
Fordham vs St. Joes 1:00 EST Betting on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that has seen their last seven games play under by a total of 48 or more points and is now facing an opponent after their last three games went over the posted totals by a combined 30 points has earned a 74-41 ATS record for 64% winners over the last five seasons. Fordham is also 7-0 ATS in the second half of each of the last three seasons facing a team that averages 12 or fewer forced turnovers per game. |
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01-30-22 | Bengals +7.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 30 h 17 m | Show |
Cincinnati Vs. Kansas City 5-UNIT (5%) Best Bet on the Bengals plus the points Yep, after poring through mountains of analytics, fundamental matchup analysis, and the projections produced from my machine learning models, the pick is on the Bengals. Moreover, they have an excellent opportunity to extend their post season for one more game, Super Bowl LVI. A sprinkle of not more than 1-UNIT on the money line is recommended. At BetMGM, I like the alternative spread and total parlay betting the Bengals +3.5 and UNDER 55.5 points returning +375 for 0.5-Units. Plus, a second one., which is obviously a bit bolder taking the Bengals –3.5 and UNDER 55.5 points returning +850 for 0.5 Units. The Bengals placekicker, McPherson, has made 11 of 13 field goals from beyond 50 yards this season. He is lined at extra points made 2.5 over-under and the over is +105. The Bengals team total is 23.5 points. OVER 2.5 extra points reflects the fact that the Bengals score three or more TD’s and is a much alternative to bet on, then to bet OVER the Bengals team total. So, put me down for 0.5 units OVER 2.5 extra points made by McPherson. The Benglas have significant advantages with their receiver corps going up against an underwhelming cornerback group and the backend of the Chiefs defense is below average and that is being kind. Plus, safety Tyrann Mathieu remains listed as questionable and must get through the concussion protocol to be eligible for this game. Burrow is three years removed from taking the LSU Tigers to the National Championship, so the bright lights of this AFC Championship game is not in any way going to be an overwhelming one for him. This season on 1st and 10 situations, he has completed 73.3% of his 170 pass attempts gaining 1557 yards including 9 TDs. On third and needing more than 10+ yards to move the chains he completed 77.8% of his passes for 475 yards. His bets situation this season has been on second and needing 7 to 9 yards to move the chains in which he completed 73.6% of his passes for 484 yards including 5 TDs and a sky-high 132 quarterback rating. Burrow ranked best in the NFL throwing 82.8% of his passes on target. Surprisingly, the 49ers Garoppolo was second-best at 81.5% accuracy. Burrow led the NFL with a 10.7% bad throw percentage while Mahomes ranked sixth-worst throwing 18.8% bad throws. The Chiefs ran the third-most play action pass plays on the NFL with 147. The Bengals do not need to use play action because of the elite group of receivers and with Burrows being the most accurate ball thrower in the NFL. They ran almost half as many play action plays, with 75, then the Chiefs did, and they have the more mobile quarterback. Over the last three games the Chiefs averaged 37.3 PPG while the Bengals have been in slugfests and averaging 20.3 PPG. Playoff favorites that are averaging 15 or more PPG on offense over their last three games than their opponent is just 7-6 SU, 3-10 ATS for 23%. Reid is 1-10 ATS after gaining 450 or more total yards over his last three games as the coach of the Chiefs. The Bengals have covered the spread in 6 consecutive games and teams on a 5+ ats win streak in the playoffs are 19-8 SU and 16-11 ATS for 59% and if the DOG the UNDER is 8-2. |
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01-29-22 | Kentucky v. Kansas -4.5 | Top | 80-62 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 22 m | Show |
Kentucky vs Kansas 10-UNIT game of the Month on the Kansas Jayhawks minus the points. There are monumental traditions in this matchup starting with the head coaches. Calipari got his start in NCAA coaching at Kansas under Larry Brown, even met his wife at Kansas. Bill Self has been the head coach of Kansas for 19 seasons and got his start as a graduate assistant the year after Calipari left Kansas. How fate sometimes knows exactly what IT is doing. Now, the two winningest programs in Division-1 history face off with only a three-game deficit separating Kentucky (2,343-732) and Kansas (2,340-873) Jayhawk OchaiAgbaji has established himself as one of the nation's top threats and is coming off a career-high 37 points in a double-overtime win Monday against No. 13 Texas Tech. He presents all sorts of matchup problems for the Wildcats tonight. Agbaji averages 21.3 points, and Christian Braun chips in 15.3. No other Jayhawks average double figures, which reflects their significant depth, a strength Self taps using different combinations. The many different combinations that Self uses throughout any game is impossible for an opposing coach to match even if they do have a strong bench. Wildcats are just 7-22 ATS in road games with a posted total ranging between 150 and 159.5 points and 5-15 ATS following three consecutive conference games. Jayhawks are 32-15-1 ATS after failing to cover the spread in six or seven of their last eight games and 68-36 ATS following a game in which they allowed 80 or more points and 33-16-1 ATS after allowing 85 or more points. Moreover, they are 42-24-2 ATS following a game in which both teams scored 80 or more points. In their previous game Kansas needed overtime to defeat Texas Tech 94-91. From my predictive models the following angles represent the projections for this game. Kentucky is just 24-55 ATS in road games allowing the host 47% or better shooting; 4-30 ATS 12% in road games allowing 80 to 86 points and 9-48 ATS 16% allowing 80 or more points in a road game. Kansas is 18-4-1 ATS 82% when scoring 80 or more points. |
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01-23-22 | Rams v. Bucs -2.5 | Top | 30-27 | Loss | -117 | 6 h 44 m | Show |
LA Rams vs Tampa Bay Bucs 3:00 EST, Divisional Playoff Round 10-UNIT best bet on the Tampa Bay Bucs minus the points I do believe there is one tremendous fact that provides the ultimate motivation for any team led by Tom Brady, who is 44 years old and is older than the three other NFC teams head coaches. Brady still has a year left on his contract, however, there is reason to believe that he would retire with another Super Bowl win. Imagine being a teammate knowing you can be part of that history. Bucs are 11-2-1 ATS in the second half of each of the last two seasons when facing a team that has completed 64% or more of their past attempts and 10-2 ATS facing teams averaging at least 250 passing yards per game and 7-0 ATS facing a team gaining at least 7.5 or more yards per pass attempt. Rams are 1-7 ATS after having won five or six of their last seven games over the last three seasons; 2-11 ATS in road games after allowing 200 or fewer total yards in their previous game. Bucs head coach Arians is 9-2 ATS when facing the elite NFL offenses that are gaining at least six yards per play in the second half of each season. From my predictive models, the Bucs are expected to score 27 or more points and have fewer turnovers than the Rams. In past games since Brady arrived in Tampa, the Bucs are 21-1, 20-1-1 ATS, and 11-10-1 over-under when scoring 27 or more points and winning the turnover battle. |
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01-22-22 | Pacers v. Suns -12 | Top | 103-113 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 8 m | Show |
Indiana vs Phoenix This is the 4th road game of their scheduled 5-game travel through the Western Conference. They defeated the Lakers 111-104 as 5.5-point dogs on Wednesday and then defeated the Warriors, who had almost all starters given the night off, 121-117 as 13.5-point dogs. The status of those starters was announced just prior to the tip and the market had a very small window of time to adjust. I think Phoenix will not bench any starters and will not overlook the Pacers tonight. Pacers are just 20-35 ATS facing teams that are making at least 37% of their three-point shot attempts spanning the last three seasons. Also, betting against underdogs that are coming off back-to-back upset wins has earned a 196-133-6 ATS record for 60% winning bets over the last 25 seasons and if the dog is playing their third or more consecutive road game installed as a double-digit underdog has seen our favorite earn a highly profitable 22-10 ATS record good for 69% winning bets. |
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01-22-22 | 49ers +6 v. Packers | Top | 13-10 | Win | 100 | 12 h 51 m | Show |
San Francisco vs Packers 8:15 PM EST, January 22, 2022 5% Best Bet on the 49ers plus the points and a 3-UNIT bet UNDER the posted total. The 49ers and the Bucs are the two highest rated teams in my current power ratings. Despite being the first playoff team to ever play a game with 6-days of rest and having to face a team coming off the BYE, the 49ers are playing so extraordinarily well it just will not matter in thi matchup. I also think the media and others are over hyping the game-time temperatures. All of these professional players have played several games in their college and pro careers in even worse conditions then they will experience tomorrow night. In recent weeks, the Packers defense cannot stop the run and are being gashed period. In fact, they are allowing more than 5.0 yards per rush in their home games this season. Did you know that playoff home teams that allowed 5 or more rushing yards per attempt are 5-10 SU, 6-8-1 ATS, and the UNDER is 10-5. So, this works in favor in the UNDER and modestly against the Packers. Over the last 10 regular and playoff seasons, betting the UNDER in road games with the #6 seed has earned an amazing 25-6 UNDER record good for 81% winning bets with 58% of the bets going UNDER the total by at least 7 points. SF is 15-3-1 UNDER for 83% winning bets when facing teams that average 32 or more minutes in time of possession in games played after the halfway point of the season and includes the playoffs. From my predictive model, the 49ers are expected to pass for a minimum of at least 8 yards per pass attempt and will gain at least 380 total yards. In past road games in which the 49ers met or exceeded these performance measures they have gone on to 32-14-2 ATS record for 69% winning bets. Playoff road teams that gain 380 or more yards and pass for 8 or more yards per pass attempt have earned a 17-5 ATS record good for 77% winning bets. |
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01-22-22 | Bengals +4 v. Titans | Top | 19-16 | Win | 100 | 6 h 27 m | Show |
Cincinnati vs Tennessee 4-Unit Best Bet on the Bengals and 1.0-Unit Best Bet parlay using the Bengals money line and the OVER. 0.5-unit alternative line parlay Bengals –3.5 and OVER 50.5 points I am on the Bengals in this matchup and believe they all the pieces in place to earn a historic franchise road win for their frenzied fans. Let’s look at a betting angle that has been highly profitable over the last five seasons. The requirements are to be on the OVER involving a game in which a team is coming off a win but failed to cover the spread (they were favored) and now facing an opponent that is coming off a home win. That simple set of parameters has earned an outstanding 46-13 OVER record good for 78% winning bets. Tennessee is the team coming off the no-cover home win and if that team is coming off BYE or the is the first seed in the playoffs earning the week off has led to a terrible 3-3 SU and 1-5 ATS mark for 17% winners. Betting on underdogs that had no more than one turnover in each of their last two games and facing an opponent coming off a game in which they forced zero turnovers has earned a 65-40 ATS record good for 62% winning bets over the last 10 seasons including playoffs. Over the last 20 playoff seasons, teams that come into the game on a four-game turnover streak committing not one turnover are 5-1 SU and ATS. |
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01-17-22 | Cardinals v. Rams -3.5 | Top | 11-34 | Win | 100 | 6 h 29 m | Show |
Arizona vs LA Rams 4% best bet on the Rams minus the points. My models give the Rams the second-highest power rating of the 14 playoff teams and only the Bucs are higher – not the Packers. The models also project that the Rams will gain at least 6.2 yards per play and score at least 27 points. In past games in which the Rams scored 27 or more points and gained at least 6.2 YPPL, they went on to an 83-20 SU record and 67-31-5 ATS mark for 68.4% winners over the last 15 seasons. |
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01-11-22 | Rutgers v. Penn State -126 | 49-66 | Win | 100 | 3 h 32 m | Show | |
Rutgers vs PSU However, the Nittany Lions may have had the more impressive of the two performances, both of which took place Saturday. Penn State rallied from a 13-point second-half deficit at home against No. 3 Purdue to take a one-point lead with 3:42 left only to falter in the final stages of the game in a 74-67 loss. Rutgers, which has won four consecutive games since returning from a COVID-19 pause, blew out conference doormat Nebraska at home, 93-65. But this will be the Scarlet Knights' first foray on the road since Dec. 12, when they lost to Seton Hall, 77-63. Rutgers is 0-4 this season away from its cozy, on-campus arena. Betting on any team in a game lined between the 3’s in a matchup two solid rebounding teams that are outrebounding their opponent by 3 or more boards per game, with our team a solid shooting team making between 45 and 47.5% of their shots on the season and taking on a defensive-minded foe that is allowing between 40 and 42.5% on the season has made a 55-24 record good for 70% winners and $30K for the Dime Bettor. |
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01-10-22 | Georgia -3 v. Alabama | Top | 33-18 | Win | 100 | 6 h 52 m | Show |
The College Football Championship 2021 5% Best Bet on Georgia minus the points over Alabama The Georgia defense ranks among the all-time best units in over two decades. Yes, they allowed 41 points in the SEC Championship loss to Alabama, but they still managed to post a 26.9 yards per point allowed ratio for the season. Only seven teams in the past 20 seasons have ever finished a season at 25 or higher and prior to the Tide loss sat at 32 yards per point. By comparison, there were three other teams at 20 or higher and they were Clemson (20.6), Texas A&M (20.5), and Penn State (20.5). The difference between Georgia’s 26.7 YPPT ratio and the next three-best teams is monumental and cannot be underestimated. What is underestimated is the fact that Georgia, despite their plodding, sometimes boring, offensive schemes evolved into one of the most efficient units in the nation. They rank 5th in the nation of 130 teams with a 11.4 yards per point offensive ratio. The differential between Georgia’s offensive and defensive yards per point ratio is the widest by any team since at least 1980 and one of the dominant reasons I see Georgia winning this game and potentially by double digits. Bet OVER Georgia SACKS of the Alabama quarterback Here is a great betting system sporting a 48-21-2 ATS record for 70% winning bets over the last five seasons, 27-10-3 ATS for 73% winning bets over the past three seasons and is 11-2 ATS for 85% winning bets over the past season. Bet on any team from Week 8 on out including bowl games and the CFP that is averaging 200 to 249.9 rushing yards per game, allowed fewer than 100 rushing yards in their previous game, and facing an opponent that averages 150 to 200 rushing yards per game on the season. OVER is well supporting by the fact that Alabama is 11-1 OVER following a game in which they allowed three or fewer points spanning the last three seasons and 9-1 OVER following a game in which they allowed nine or fewer points. From my predictive models Georgia is 8-4 ATS this season, 15-8 ATS the past three seasons and 137-63 ATS since 2000 when they scored 28 or more points. The OVER is 114-50 since 2000 in games that Georgia scored 28 or more points. Alabama is 1-3 ATS this season, 1-6 ATS the past three seasons, and 12-27 ATS the past 20 seasons when they have allowed 9 or more yards per pass attempt and the OVER in these games has gone 4-0 this season and 7-0 the past three seasons. |
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01-09-22 | Bulls -1.5 v. Mavs | Top | 99-113 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 52 m | Show |
Chicago Bulls vs Dallas Mavericks Bet on road favorites that are taking on a host that led at the half of their last game by 20 or more points. This simple set of parameters has earned an outstanding 98-46-2 ATS record good for 69% winning bets over the last 25 NBA seasons and is 12-6 ATS for 767% winners over the last five seasons. Dallas has been a money-losing 9-22 ATS in home games after winning their previous game on the road spanning the past three seasons. They are also a weak 4-15 ATS in home games and have covered the spread in five or six of their last seven games in games played over the last three seasons. |
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01-09-22 | Patriots -6 v. Dolphins | Top | 24-33 | Loss | -106 | 5 h 58 m | Show |
New England vs Miami Here is a sensational betting algorithm that has systematically earned a 49-19 ATS record for 72% winning bets over the last 10 seasons. The requirements are to bet on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that allows 95 to 125 rushing yards per game and is facing an opponent that averages only 75 to 99 RYPG and with that opponent coming off two consecutive games rushing the ball for less than 100 yards in each game. This angle has earned an 18-6-1 ATS record for 75% winning bets over the last three seasons. Under Belichick the Patriots are 14-3 ATS in road games and revenging a same loss of three or fewer points. |
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01-09-22 | Saints v. Falcons +4 | Top | 30-20 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 55 m | Show |
New Orleans vs Atlanta 4% bet on the Falcons plus the points Here is terrific betting algorithm that has produced consistent winning bets on a home team using the money line that is coming off two or more UNDERS and now facing an opponent that is also coming two or more unders has produced a 26-12 record for 68.4% winning bets over the past five seasons and is 48-23 for 69% winning bets over the last 10 seasons. If home team is an underdog of not more than 6.5 points, they start really barking to the tune of an 11-5 ATS record for 69% winning bets over the last 10 seasons. The Saints committed no turnovers while forcing two turnovers in their 18-10 win over Carolina last week. They are 0-4 SU following a game in which they had a +2 or better turnover margin this season. |
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01-09-22 | Colts v. Jaguars +14.5 | Top | 11-26 | Win | 100 | 2 h 32 m | Show |
Indianapolis vs Jacksonville 4% bet on the UNDER Betting on these ugly dogs have been solid money-making opportunities over the last 30 seasons. This ugly dog betting angle has produced an 11-4 ATS record over the last three seasons, 11-4 ATS over the past five seasons, and 24-11 ATS over the last 10 seasons. The requirements are to bet on underdogs that are getting outscored by 10 or more points per game and allowed 40 or more points in their previous game. Supporting the UNDER wager is an outstanding betting system that has earned a 63-26 record for 72% winners over the last 10 seasons. Bet the UNDER with a team that is coming off a road blowout loss of at least 21 or more points and has a losing record for the season and the game is taking place in the second half of the regular season. |
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01-09-22 | Colts v. Jaguars UNDER 43.5 | Top | 11-26 | Win | 100 | 2 h 31 m | Show |
Indianapolis vs Jacksonville 4% bet on the UNDER Betting on these ugly dogs have been solid money-making opportunities over the last 30 seasons. This ugly dog betting angle has produced an 11-4 ATS record over the last three seasons, 11-4 ATS over the past five seasons, and 24-11 ATS over the last 10 seasons. The requirements are to bet on underdogs that are getting outscored by 10 or more points per game and allowed 40 or more points in their previous game. Supporting the UNDER wager is an outstanding betting system that has earned a 63-26 record for 72% winners over the last 10 seasons. Bet the UNDER with a team that is coming off a road blowout loss of at least 21 or more points and has a losing record for the season and the game is taking place in the second half of the regular season. |
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01-07-22 | Spurs v. 76ers -6.5 | Top | 100-119 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
Spurs vs 76ers The 76ers are back to full strength and appear to have the COVID-19 problems that inflicted the team a month ago in their rearview mirrors. They have won five consecutive games and will looking to make it six straight tonight against the Spurs at the Wells Fargo Arena. Embiid, who recently was named the Eastern Conference Player of the Month, has at least 30 points in all five wins. The Spurs are one of the fastest paced teams in the NBA, but this style works against them in a big way having to defend Embiid in the paint or out beyond the arc. Embiid has a complete all-around game going for him and his teammates and is simply unstoppable. The Spurs, Dejounte Murray came off the COVID-19 list and produced 22 points in the Spurs' 99-97 win over the Boston Celtics on Wednesday. Murray had been out for 10 days, including five games. The Spurs lost four consecutive games and failed to cover the spread in three of the four losses, while Murray was out. With Murray back in action, the market is giving us the opportunity to ’buy’ the 76ers at a cheap price and I see them winning this game by double-digits. From my predictive models, the 76ers are expected to score at least 110 points and have 14 or fewer turnovers. In past games in which the 76ers met or exceeded these measures, they went on to earn a 72-26 ATS record for 74% winning bets over the past five seasons and when installed as a 4.5 to 9.5 point home favorite has produced a 37-1 SU record and 30-8 ATS record for 79% winning bets. Take the 76ers. |
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01-04-22 | LSU v. Kansas State -7.5 | Top | 20-42 | Win | 100 | 3 h 22 m | Show |
LSU vs Kansas State I do not see how in the world the Tigers will be able to be competitive after all of the players that have entered the transfer portal. The Tigers (6-6) have an interim head coach, offensive line coach Brad Davis, and they're still not sure who will play quarterback against the Wildcats (7-5) in the final bowl game of this season. After Tuesday, only the CFP National Championship Game remains. Starting quarterback Max Johnson has transferred to Texas A&M, and LSU has yet to reveal the NCAA's ruling on the team's appeal for freshman Garrett Nussmeier to not lose his redshirt season if he plays in the bowl game. LSU also will be without two of its top defensive players, who opted out to focus on the NFL draft in linebacker Damone Clark and defensive lineman Neil Farrell Jr. From my predictive models that account for all the missing players on the LSU roster, there is a high probability that K-State will score at least 28 points in this game. In past games in which K-State scored at least 28 points they are 5-1 ATS this season, 15-3 ATS the past three seasons, and 142-60 ATS over the past 25 seasons. |
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01-02-22 | Raiders v. Colts -8 | Top | 23-20 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 24 m | Show |
Las Vegas vs Indianapolis 4% (4-UNIT) best Bet on the Colts minus the points. The Colts started out this season losing four of the first five games and looked as dysfunctional as that AFC team located in NYC. However, they more than got their acts together on both sides of the ball and are not in thick of the muddled AFC playoff chase. For the first time since 1991, the Raiders won back-to-back games scoring 17 or fewer points in each win. This is not good news for the Raider Nation this week. Teams of two consecutive wins scoring no more than 17 points in each win are just 39-50-2 ATS for 44% wins since 1989. If that team is a dog of 3.5 or more points, they fall flat with a 8-14 ATS record for 36% wins. Betting against teams coming off an upset win as a home underdog over a divisional foe and has a winning record for the season has earned a 74-36-6 record for 67.3% winning bets since 1989, and 8-1-1 ATS for 89% winners over the last 3 seasons. |
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01-02-22 | Dolphins +3 v. Titans | Top | 3-34 | Loss | -111 | 1 h 23 m | Show |
Miami vs Tennessee The Dolphins became the first team in NFL history to have a 7-game losing streak and a 7-game winning streak in the same season after they defeated the Saints 20-3 Monday. They are on a 7-game win streak and have covered the spread in six of the games. Tennessee earned a massive win over the 49ers to keep their playoff hopes alive knowing the surging Colts are right on their heels. Tannehill has struggled under pressure this season, ranking 23rd in Total QBR (10.9), 31st in touchdown-to-interception ratio and last in yards per drop backs at 1.2 yards per play. The Dolphins' defense leads the NFL with a 37% pressure rate. The #Finsup will bring pressure more than 50% of the offensive plays the Titans run and without Henry’s pounding ground attack the Titans will struggle to move the chains. The Titans trailed at the half in their 20-17 comeback win over the 49ers Sunday. Teams that trailed at the half by 8 or more points and came back to win the game and are now playing at home are a money-burning 17-42-2 ATS for 29% wins over the last 10 seasons. Miami makes it 8 wins in a row. |
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01-02-22 | Eagles v. Washington Football Team +6.5 | Top | 20-16 | Win | 100 | 1 h 23 m | Show |
Philadelphia vs Washington 4% (4-UNIT) best bet on the Washington Football Team This is just a horrid situational matchup for the playoff-hopeful Eagles and their fans. What appears to be an ‘easy’ win somehow has the potential to be a disaster for the City of Brotherly Love faithful. Recency bias could not be at higher extremes with WFT getting destroyed and humiliated by the NFC East Champion Dallas Cowboys and the Eagles taking care of business against the hapless NY Giants. Underdogs, like the Washington Iron Condors (They need a real mascot) that have been beaten by the spread by 27 or more points spanning their last three games and are playing in Week 15 on out have gone 58-110 34% SU, 96-68-4 ATS for 59%, UNDER 90-77 for 54% winners since 2000. |
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01-02-22 | Falcons v. Bills OVER 46 | 15-29 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 23 m | Show | |
Falcons vs Bills 4% (4-UNIT) best bet OVER the posted total Over the past two seasons the Bills are 8-0 OVER when facing a team, whose defense allows 64% or higher pass completions. Bills are 12-3-1 OVER coming off a double digit win in games played over the last two seasons. |
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01-02-22 | Rams v. Ravens +6.5 | Top | 20-19 | Win | 102 | 1 h 22 m | Show |
Rams vs Ravens Bet on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are coming off a game committing no more than a single turnover and facing an opponent that is coming off a game having lost the turnover battle by 2 or more has earned a 32-11-1 ATS record for 73% winning bets over the last five seasons. Rams have won 4 straight games and cover the spread in all those games. They defeated Minnesota 30-23 last week but had three turnovers and forced Minnesota to just one. Harbaugh is 12-3 ATS off three or more consecutive OVERS as the coach of the Ravens. |
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01-01-22 | Baylor v. Ole Miss -1 | Top | 21-7 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 10 m | Show |
Baylor vs Mississippi 4% best bet on Mississippi Betting the UNDER in a game with both teams playing well and having won four of more of their last five games and taking on a foe that has won at least 8 of their last 10 games and a total ranging from 52 to 60 points has earned a solid 124-88 record for 59% winning bets over the last 15 seasons and 32-18 UNDER for 64% winners over the last three seasons. If the game is a Bowl Game or CFP, the UNDER has earned a 47-22 UNDER record good for 68% winners since 2006 and 12-5 UNDER for 71% winning bets over the last three seasons. Lane Kiffin is a perfect 7-0 UNDER following five consecutive games in which his team did not commit more than one turnover. He is also Kiffin is 17-6 ATS off a road win against a conference rival in all games he has coached. |
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01-01-22 | Utah v. Ohio State -3.5 | Top | 45-48 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 29 m | Show |
Utah vs Ohio State 4% (4-UNIT Best bet) on Ohio State minus the points So, four important players are OUT for OSU with WR Garrett Wilson, WR Chris Olave, DT Haskell Garrett, and T Nicholas Petit-Frer being the names. Now, on most any other team not named Alabama; this would be a major loss of talent few teams could overcome. Well, Ohio State’s second unit of players would be a ranked team in my opinion, and you will see these replacements for this foursome of NFL-bound starters showcase their skills on a national stage. This game has also a showcase from head coach Brian Day’s offseason recruiting efforts too, so do not think for a second that they will just go through the motions. Starting at WR will be freshman Marvin Harrison, Jr. Harrison hails from Philadelphia and played for St. Joseph's Prep and who was the No. 1 ranked WR prospect out of Pennsylvania and graded as a 4-star prospect and ranked 91st in the nation. His father, Marvin Harrison Sr. was an eight-time NFL All-Pro selection who spent his entire 13-year career with the Indianapolis Colts. TreVeyon Henderson hails from Hopewell, Virginia and played for the Hopewell High School. Set Ohio State’s freshman rushing record with a 270-yard performance versus Tulsa, breaking a 49-year record held by Archie Griffin, is just the fourth true freshman RB in school history to surpass 1,000 rushing yards, was a Semifinalist for Walter Camp Player of the Year, scored 17 total touchdowns through 10 games to rank tied for fourth nationally, was one of 10 semifinalists (and the only freshman) for the Doak Walker Award, which is presented annually to college football’s best running back. Need more convincing about the OSU depth at the skill positions? I didn’t think so. Henderson’s backup is a tremendous running back in his own right. Miyan Williams is 5-8 and 225 pounds of steel-like muscle and is extraordinarily quick and elusive and extremely hard to bring down. I expect him to see a lot more action in this game and he and the OSU offensive line will pound the Utah defense into submission by the second half. From my predictive models, OSU is expected to score 27 or more points and force Utah into two or more turnovers. In past games in which OSU met or exceeded these performance measures, OSU has earned an outstanding 99-1 SU record and went 75-24-1 ATS for 76% winning bets over the last 15 seasons; 19-0 SU, 15-4 ATS for 79% winning bets over the past three seasons. |
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12-30-21 | Arizona State +7 v. Wisconsin | Top | 13-20 | Push | 0 | 10 h 52 m | Show |
ASU vs Wisconsin My predictive model shows a high probability that ASU will score at least 21 points in this game. Wisconsin is 0-2 ATS this season, 1-8 ATS the past three seasons, and 20-44 ATS over the last 15 seasons in games in which they allowed 21 or more points. Here is one of the best money line betting systems you will ever see and has earned a 22-12 record for 65% winners over the last 10 seasons. The magic is that the system has averaged a +150-underdog wager and subsequently making the Dime Bettor $41,000 in profits on just 34 bets for a monster 150% ROI. Bet on neutral field favorites using the money line in non-conference games that have won two of their last three games and with both teams from the Power-5 conferences. |
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12-30-21 | 76ers +5.5 v. Nets | Top | 110-102 | Win | 100 | 4 h 41 m | Show |
76ers vs Nets The Nets got James Harden back on the roster late last week and his first two games were dominating and reminded me of his days with the Houston Rockets. However, the story now shifts with the probable return of KD to the lineup and how he and more importantly he and James will play together on the same court tonight. The Nets also got rotation players DeAndre' Bembry, Bruce Brown and James Johnson back over the weekend and LaMarcus Aldridge is also expected to play Thursday. The 76ers have been more at full strength in the past week then at any time over the past month. The line opened with the Nets priced as a 3.5-point home favorite and the news of KD’s return has seen a steam move to –5.5 points. The total opened at 217 and the news has since forced the market to move higher now at 222.5 points. Betting on teams fresh off a road win over a divisional foe and playing their third game in five days has produced a solid 23-10-1 ATS record for 70% winners over the last five seasons and 17-6 ATS over the last three seasons for 74% winners. |
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12-30-21 | Pittsburgh v. Michigan State -160 | Top | 21-31 | Win | 100 | 7 h 42 m | Show |
Pittsburgh vs Michigan State The loss of MSU RB and recipient of the Doak Walker and Walter Camp Player of the Year awards, Kenneth Walker III, is not nearly as great as Pittsburgh’s loss of quarterback Kenny Picket, who will more than likely be the top quarterback taken in the upcoming NFL draft. Walker finished second nationally gaining 1,636 rushing yards, but there is a stable of strong skilled running backs on the Spartans roster, including sophomore Jordon Simmons. From my predictive models, MSU is 8-1 ATS this season, 12-3 ATS the past three seasons when scoring 28 or more points and 5-1 ATS this season and 9-1 ATS the past three seasons when rushing for at least 150 yards. |
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12-30-21 | Purdue +7.5 v. Tennessee | Top | 48-45 | Win | 100 | 3 h 41 m | Show |
Purdue vs Tennessee Tennessee is 7-5 and scored 38 or more points in each of their seven wins, won three of their last four games with the only loss to then-No.1 Georgia and did score 45 or more points in their last six wins. However, Purdue has a defense that shut down some of the best offenses in the Big Ten and they were undoubtedly the giant slayer in Big Ten action. Purdue’s defense is led by linebacker Jeremy Banks, who takes great angles to tackle ball carriers and is just never out of position. He led Purdue by a huge margin recording 108 tackles including 4.5 sacks. Defensive back Alontae Taylor had been recovering from a significant foot injury and opted out for this bowl game considering the NFL draft. Even with the NFL draft, I highly doubt he would have been anywhere close to full strength for this game. The Boilermakers also have WR and first-team All-American David Bell, who caught 93 balls for 1,286 receiving yards, which was only 21 yards short of the program record held by John Standeford back in the 2002 season. My predictive models show that Purdue will score at least 27 points and have more than 150 passing yards than Tennessee will generate. In past games, in which Purdue met or exceeded these measures they have earned an outstanding 9-2 ATS for 82% winners over the last five seasons. |
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12-29-21 | Oregon v. Oklahoma -6.5 | Top | 32-47 | Win | 100 | 6 h 39 m | Show |
Oregon vs Oklahoma Betting the OVER in games with a total between 56.5 and 63 points from Week 8 on out to the end of the Bowl season and CFP games, in a matchup of teams that are both allowing 21 to 27.5 yards per game has earned a remarkable 29-8-2 OVER record for 78% winning bets over the last 10 seasons. My predictive models expect the Sooners to win this game by double-digits. They also project that the Sooners will score 31 or more points and gain at least 6.5 yards per play. In previous games in which the Sooners met or exceeded these performance measures they went on to earn a 79-31-1 ATS record for 72% winning bets over the last 15 seasons and 3-0 ATS in Bowl Games. |
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12-29-21 | Predators v. Capitals UNDER 6 | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -114 | 4 h 32 m | Show |
Washington vs Nashville 4-Unit Bet UNDER the posted total |
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12-28-21 | Louisville v. Air Force UNDER 54.5 | Top | 28-31 | Loss | -107 | 4 h 58 m | Show |
Air Force vs Louisville First Responder Bowl Betting the UNDER in Bowl Games held in the month of December with a total ranging between 49.5 and 56 points that is coming off an upset loss as a favorite has earned an outstanding 42-15-2 UNDER record for 75% winning bets over the last 30 seasons and is 22-5 for 82% winning bets over the last 10 seasons. Over the last 10 seasons, if our bowler lost the last game prior to the bowl game by double digits, then they have earned an 8-2 ATS for 80% winners. How the Cardinals prepare and then during the game how they react to the Falcons' triple-option ground game will go a long way to be determining the outcome of this game – both side and total. The Falcons lead FBS in rushing yards per game with 341.4, while Louisville allows 156.7, but rarely faces the option. So, from published reports and press conferences and I expecting to see a Louisville defense that will begin the game looking to NOT give up the big play from the option offense. As the game wears on, then Louisville, especially with the lead, will change things up and give them different looks to cause confusion in the highly decisive option scheme. Brad Roberts paces Air Force's rushing attack with 1,279 yards and 13 touchdowns, averaging 4.6 yards a carry. Quarterback Hazziq Daniels has gained 705 yards and nine scores on 5.0 yards per carry, while Deandre Hughes has contributed 471 (8.6 ypc) and Emmanuel Michel 421 (6.1 ypc). The Cardinals' offense revolves around quarterback Malik Cunningham. He has thrown for 2,734 yards and 18 touchdowns and needs just 32 yards to reach 1,000 rushing. Having rushed for 19 touchdowns, he has been responsible for 37 scores. He is the only player in the country who has both rushed and passed for more than 15 touchdowns, which is quite impressive considering being on a 6-6 rebuilding squad. Bet the UNDER |
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12-27-21 | Dolphins v. Saints +3 | Top | 20-3 | Loss | -103 | 6 h 17 m | Show |
Miami vs New Orleans 10-Unit Best Bet on the Saints plus the points. Love the Saints if they remain an underdog. Check out this money line betting angle-system that has earned an incredible 38-10 for 79% winning bets over the last 35 seasons, 64-31 for 69% winning bets over the last 10 seasons and is 7-2 this season. Bet on any team using the money line in a non-conference matchup and also coming off a road win over a divisional opponent. Talk about letdown for the Dolphins in this matchup in New Orleans. Since the 1994 season, teams playing in Week 15 on out to the end of the regular season priced as the favorite have gone just 8-14-1 ATS for 36% winning bets Iam Book will be the quarterback for the Saints in this matchup because Trevor Siemian is OUT, Taysom Hill is doubtful due to COVID-19. Let’s not forget this is one of the better defenses in the NFC. The Saints offensive coordinator Pete Carmichael Jr. said all QBs on the roster are preparing and studying virtually or at the Dolphins practice facility for the Dolphins and didn't commit to officially starting Book being the starter. Do not be fooled here with a rookie quarterback, who has been inactive for all 14 of the Saints games this season. He reminds of Nick Mullins in that he makes smart decisions, is highly accurate, and is mobile – at least mobile enough to extend plays. Note that the Dolphins were having better results with returning starters. Sixth overall draft choice Jaylen Waddle was re-activated from COVID-19 health and safety protocols and is set to continue his pursuit of an NFL rookie record for catches. He has 86 catches this season. However, the betting line moved only a single point after that news, and I would have thought that he was worth at least 2 to 3 points. So, selling into this near-frenzy wave of Dolphins bets makes perfect logic to me. The Dolphins are 3-11 and 4-10 ATS for 29% when playing on Mondays dating back to the 2006 season. That is the worst record on Mondays of any team in that span and includes a 38-17 loss at New Orleans in 2013. So, here we go with an upset alert and let’ cash this 5-Unit Best Bet. Good Luck to US! |
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12-23-21 | Central Florida v. Florida -7 | Top | 29-17 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 35 m | Show |
UCF vs Florida 4% (4-UNIT) Best Bet on Florida minus the points Let’s get right to it. Betting on any team, like Florida, that has been beaten by the spread by 49 or more points over their last five games and the game taking pace in December has earned a highly profitable 56-21-1 ATS record good for 74% winning bets over the last 25 seasons and is 14-4 ATS and 78% winning bets over the last five seasons. My predictive models project that Florida will score at least 31 points and will gain an average of 6.5 or more yards per play. In past games in which they met or exceeded these performance measures they have gone to earn a 20-3 SU record and 16-5-2 ATS for 76% winning bets over the last 10 seasons. |
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12-21-21 | Lightning v. Golden Knights UNDER 5.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 6 m | Show |
Tampa Bay vs Vegas Some noteworthy trends that support my predictive models grading for this UNDER bet. Lightning are 15-5 UNDER in road games when playing their fifth or fewer game in the past two weeks in games played over the last three seasons. When on the road the Lightning are on an impressive 8-1 UNDER run when coming off a home win versus a divisional foe over the past two seasons. Vegas is 11-2 UNDER coming off a road game in which both teams score three or more goals over the last three seasons of games played. |
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12-21-21 | Seahawks v. Rams OVER 46.5 | Top | 10-20 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 3 m | Show |
Seattle vs Rams 4-Unit Bet on the OVER Seattle is 22-9 OVER in road games occurring after week 8 of the regular season when playing against an opponent that has won at least 65% of their games on the season and 42-19-1 OVER in road games when playing against an opponent with a winning record under Pete Carroll. Seattle is 78-43 OVER as a dog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 20 years and under Pete Carroll, the OVER is a solid 22-7 for 76% winning bets. From the predictive models, the Rams are expected to gain 350 or more passing yards and Seattle is 21-6 OVER in games in which they allowed 350 or more passing yards. The Rams are 26-8 OVER when they have gained at least 350 passing yards. |
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12-19-21 | Packers v. Ravens +9.5 | Top | 31-30 | Win | 100 | 4 h 16 m | Show |
Green Bay vs Baltimore 4-UNIT Best Bet on the Ravens plus the points. The NFL season has reached Week 15 and every team is dealing with a multitude of injuries and made worse by the surge in COVID positive test results across the league. The Ravens have lost two straight games and standings have tightened up considerably with 4th place Steelers just 1.5-games behind and Bengals and Browns just one-game behind with four games to play. The Ravens past two losses have been by a combined three points. Tyler Huntley is a capable backup quarterback should Lamar not be able to make the start nursing a sprained ankle. You may remember we bet on the Ravens when he first started this season and they won outright. So, I am not basing this pick on the quarterback situation. Packers scored 45 points in their laugher against the Bears, however the Packers are just 3-7 ATS after scoring 44 or more points. Betting on teams using the money line that are coming off two consecutive tough defeats of fewer than seven points each to a divisional foe and taking on an opponent coming off a home win are 22-12 for 65%, but has averaged a sensational +150 underdog bet and has made the Dime Bettor a $22,000 profit. Betting on winning record dogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points after Week 13 and facing a foe with a win percentage 75% or better and has covered the spread by at least 35 points over their last seven games has earned a 13-5 ATS record for 72% winning bets over the last seven seasons. |
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12-19-21 | Bengals v. Broncos -3 | Top | 15-10 | Loss | -103 | 4 h 57 m | Show |
Cincinnati vs Denver 4-UNIT Bet on the Denver Broncos The last four times these teams collided the results were decided by a total of just nine points. The Bengals defeated the Broncos in their last trip to Mile High Stadium, but had lost the previous 10 games. Both teams are 7-6 and the winner takes a huge forward to securing a playoff spot while the loser takes a plunge into the depths of playoff pretenders. Shout out to Ralph Michaels, who has been giving me some cool shoutouts on the Bet On It show almost weekly now, for the following angle. In a game lined within the 3’s, with one team coming off an ATS win and SU win and with the opponent coming off an ATS loss and SU loss has earned a solid 53-30 ATS record for 64% winning bets over the last three seasons. Denver is coming off a home 38-10 scrimmage against the Lions, which was their largest home win in seven seasons. The Bengals lost 26-23 as a 1-point dog hosting the 49ers. Denver is the bet. |
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12-19-21 | Texans v. Jaguars -5 | Top | 30-16 | Loss | -115 | 1 h 50 m | Show |
Houston vs Jacksonville 4-UNIT best bet on the Jaguars minus the points The dismissal of head coach Urban Meyer gives the Jaguars a deep exhale and can now focus more on the game of football. When a horrid coaching situation is removed from his coach responsibilities the team often finds greater motivation and finds ways to play far better than previous games. I think this is the Jaguars situation and they do have a solid defensive unit that gets after the quarterback. In fact, first game coaches in weeks 11 through the end of the regular season and facing an opponent that has four or fewer wins are 14-9 ATS for 61% and when favored an even better 11-6 ATS for 65% winning bets last five seasons. |
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12-19-21 | Titans v. Steelers OVER 43 | Top | 13-19 | Loss | -116 | 1 h 49 m | Show |
Houston vs Jacksonville 8-Unit Bet OVER 2-Unit OVER team total JAX 2-UNIT OVER team total HOU Betting OVER the total lined between 35.5 and 42 points with one of teams getting outrushed by 75 or more yards in their previous game and are getting outrushed by one or more-yards per carry for the season has earned an outstanding 38-28 record for 58% winners and if this team, Houston currently, is on the road, the OVER is 24-11 OVER good for 69% winners over the last 15 seasons and if a road dog, the OVER is 20-10 for 67% winners. |
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12-19-21 | Texans v. Jaguars OVER 39.5 | 30-16 | Win | 100 | 1 h 47 m | Show | |
Titans vs Steelers 4-Unit OVER full game 1-Unit OVER team total Steelers Here are the quick-hitting bullet points. Tomlin is 11-3 OVER in home games facing an elite team that averages 32 or more minutes of possessions in games played after Week 8. Vrable is 23-9 OVER in the second half of each season he has been the head coach of the Titans. He is also 12-2-1 ATS coming off a game in which he had a turnover margin of +2 or better. JR is running hot and is already 3-1 ATS in the Bowl Games. For the current NFL season his totals have been a highly profitable 68% 19-9-1 with NFL Totals for the season. Plus, you get TWO prop bets as a free bonus. From my predictive models, the OVER is 12-2 when the Titans gain 125 or more rushing yards in games played over the last two seasons. Henry is out and my models did not have Henry in today’s game and there is an 85% they exceed 125 rushing yards. The models also project that both teams will score 20 or more points and the Titans are 14-0 OVER in that situation. |
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12-18-21 | UTEP v. Fresno State UNDER 52.5 | Top | 24-31 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 50 m | Show |
New Mexico Bowl 8-UNIT best bet UNDER the posted total Betting the UNDER in matchup being played on a neutral field with a total ranging between 49.5 to 56 points and both teams are averaging a solid 8.25 or more yards per pass has produced a highly profitable 24-2-1 record for 92.4% winning bets over the last 30 college football seasons and has NOT lost in the last 10 seasons posting a perfect 10-0 UNDER record. Bet the UNDER |
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12-17-21 | Toledo v. Middle Tennessee State +10.5 | Top | 24-31 | Win | 100 | 16 h 22 m | Show |
Middle Tennessee State vs Toledo Noon EST, December 16, 2021 4-Unit Best Bet on Middle Tennessee State plus the points MTST has had immense difficulty retaining quarterbacks this season losing two that left the team and another, whose season ended due to a leg injury. They had to turn to true-freshman Nicholas Vattiato, who is from Plantation, Florida. He is an excellent quarterback and making the most of his opportunity to step in and run the offense. Played in five games and had four starts He Ended the regular season by completing 92 of 136 passes (67.6%) for 777 yards and five touchdowns while rushing for 18 yards He was in on 256 total snaps and graded out a winner three times and voted to the C-USA All-Freshman Team. Completed 20 of 24 passes for 147 yards and two touchdowns in win over FIU to earn the team’s offensive player of the game award. Set an MTST true freshman record in completions (34), attempts (49) and passing yards (304) against Old Dominion. Toledo head coach Candle is just 3-12 ATS for 20% when coming off a home win over a conference rival. Toledo is 9-22 ATS in road games after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins. Bet MTST plus the points and sprinkle a 0.5 unit on the money line as well. |
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12-16-21 | Flyers v. Canadiens +125 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 125 | 26 h 54 m | Show |
PHILADELPHIA VS MONTREAL 7:08 EST 12-15 4-Unit bet on the Montreal Canadiens using the money line Betting on home teams that have scored two or fewer goals in three consecutive games and is now facing an opponent that has won each of their last two games by two or more goals has earned a 144-96 record for 60% winning bets over the last 25 seasons and by averaging a +115 wager has made the dime bettor a $60K profit. The system has made the Dime bettor a 6.5K profit over the last three seasons. |
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12-15-21 | Wizards -2.5 v. Kings | Top | 105-119 | Loss | -107 | 5 h 55 m | Show |
Wizards vs Kings 10:00 EST 12-15 4-Unit best bet on the Wizards minus the points Kings opened as 1-point favorites and now the market has moved three points through pick to make Wizards a 2-point favorite. I fully agree with the market movement and so do my predictive models. Betting on road teams that have lost five or more of their last seven games with a winning record on the season and facing a losing record team has done well earning a 33-9 ATS record good for 79% winning bets over the last five seasons. Wizards have lost five of the last six games and failed to cover in all but one of them. That lone game was a push in a 116-110 road loss at Indiana. Kings have lost three straight games and have a losing 11-17 record for the season. |
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12-15-21 | Nebraska-Omaha +20 v. UNLV | Top | 71-84 | Win | 100 | 5 h 43 m | Show |
Nebraska – Omaha vs UNLV 10:00 EST 12-15 4-Unit best bet on Nebraska – Omaha plus 19.5 points. The bet is valid if Nebraska-Omaha (NOU) is a 17.5-point or greater underdog. When is a nine-game losing streak a good thing? When the team we are betting is in a nine-game slide and there is a 77% ATS 25-year money-making machine supporting them. This angle has hit 77% ATS winners for the last 25 seasons on a 31-10 ATS record over the last 25 seasons and is 14-4 ATS over the last five seasons and is 4-0 ATS the past three seasons. Bet on road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points that have lost their last nine games in the month of December. The losing streak start in November, but the current game must be played in December. |
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12-15-21 | Marshall +4 v. Ohio | 65-75 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 44 m | Show | |
Marshall vs Ohio University 7 EST 12-15 4-UNIT best bet on Marshall +3.5 points Ohio is 1-8 ATS after scoring 60 or fewer points in their previous game spanning the last three seasons. Ohio is 19-44 ATS as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6.5 points. Marshall head coach D’Antoni is 12-4 ATS coming off a double-digit road win. Take Marshall plus the points |
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12-13-21 | Rams +3 v. Cardinals | Top | 30-23 | Win | 100 | 2 h 54 m | Show |
LA Rams vs Arizona Cardinals 10-Unit best bet on the Rams plus the points The Cardinals have won all 7 of their road games by double-digits and covered the spread. At home, though, 3-2 SU and 2-3 ATS. Plus, only the Packers had a winning record in these five home games, which the Cardinals lost 24-21 as a 6.5-point home favorite in week 8. The Rams are looking more and more like a NFC Conference finalist. They had lost three games to the spread by a combined total of 53.5 points. They first lost at home to the Tennessee Titans, who are in the thick of the AFC playoff’s top-seed, then back-to-back road losses to divisional foe San Francisco and then the Packers. Granted, it was against the offensively challenged Jacksonville Jaguars, but last week, they righted their ship and won 37-7 and covered as 13-point favorites. My models rank the Rams and New England tied for the best overall team in the NFL. The Rams are fifth overall in total offense, while Arizona is 13th. Arizona ranks 6th in passing while the Rams come in a 11th. The Rams rank 11th with their ground attack, but the Cardinals are a miserable 27th and this is where the monumental advantages are for the Rams tonight. The Rams defense is incredibly good and in my opinion, monumentally underrated. They rank best against the run and pass rush per my models. The Rams will not need to bring any safeties to the line of scrimmage to stop the run and that puts immense pressure on the Arizona passing attack. Aaron Donald (709 snaps) , Jordan Fuller (774 snaps), and Jalen Ramsey (776 snaps) have all played incredibly well and consistent this season. They have the experience too knowing the meaning of this game and their drive to the NFC Championship. Rams head coach McVay is 10-2 ATS in road games after having failed to covered the number in two of his last three games. Plus, he is 21-10-1 ATS in road games against NFC conference foes. Betting on road underdogs that have failed to cover the number in 3 of their last four games and is now facing an opponent hat has covered the number in three of their last four games has earned an incredible 27-5-1 ATS record for 84% winning bets over the last five seasons and is 19-5 ATS over the last three seasons. |
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12-06-21 | Presbyterian v. Morehead State OVER 121.5 | Top | 66-71 | Win | 100 | 1 h 8 m | Show |
Presbyterian vs Morehead State 7:00 PM EST, December 6, 2021 4-UNIT Best Bet on the OVER My predictive models are suggesting that 130 or more points will be scored in this game. They also project that Morehead State will shoot at least 47% from the field and Presbyterian will have fewer turnovers than Morehead State and make at least seven 3-pointers. Presbyterian is 6-0 OVER in games where they made 6 or more 3-point shots. Morehead State is 19-7 OVER the past three seasons and 75-52 OVER the past 20 seasons when they have shot 47% or better from the field. Love the OVER |
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12-05-21 | 49ers -3 v. Seahawks | Top | 23-30 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 31 m | Show |
San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks 4:25 PM EST, December 5, 2021 Betting on teams that are in a conference matchup lined between the 3s and is facing an opponent, like Seattle, who has gone UNDER the posted total by a combined 35 or more points in total over their previous five games has earned a 70-33 ATS record for 68% winning bets over the last 10 seasons. Bettin on road favorites with a winning record that are facing a host that have lost four of their last five games has earned a 38-16 ATS mark good for 72% winning bets over the last 10 seasons. Eli Mitchell had 133 rushing yards last week, his fourth 100+ yard rushing game this year. Ricky Waters back in the 1992 season is last 49er rookies to turn that trick. The ground game for the 49ers has improved monumentally over the recent weeks and I believe it will only continue to get better. The 49wers also sports the best red zone efficiency in the NFL at 77% success rate. They have scored a 24 TDs on 31 trips into the red zone. Deebo Samuel, who has emerged as one of the bigger offensive weapons from multiple positions on the field in the NFL, is expected to be out with a groin injury. Although a significant loss to the dynamic of the 49ers offense, it does not change my opinion on this game in the least. The last time Deebo was out for a game, several players stepped up their contributions. For instance, Trent Sherfield will certainly see more snaps. Seahawks cannot run the ball with any success. For instance, they had five consecutive three-and-out possessions in Week 12 against Washington. A game they should have won, but how could they when they had just 10 first downs and less than 20 minutes of possession. |
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12-01-21 | Rockets v. Thunder UNDER 216.5 | Top | 114-110 | Loss | -107 | 5 h 38 m | Show |
Houston vs Oklahoma City 8:00 PM EST, December 1, 2021 4-UNIT Best Bet UNDER the posted total Here is an NBA betting angle with specific parameters that has been extraordinarily consistent over 25 seasons. Bet the UNDER in a game lined between 210 and 219.5 points in a matchup of teams that struggle from long range and make no better than 33% of those shots and with both teams in the matchup having average rebound differentials between -3 and +3 for the season. Over the last 25 seasons this set of parameters has earned a 47-11 ATS record for 81% winning bets and is a perfect 16-0 over the last five seasons. |
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11-29-21 | Seahawks -1 v. Washington Football Team | Top | 15-17 | Loss | -116 | 2 h 37 m | Show |
Seattle vs Washington 8:20 PM EST, November 29, 2021 The following betting system has earned an insanely profitable 25-5 ATS record good for 83.3% winning bets over the last 10 seasons. Bet on losing record road teams after week 8 that are facing a host after having won two of their three games and has won between 40 and 49% of their games on the season. This system is 14-2 ATS over the last five seasons. Pete Carroll is Carroll is 9-1 ATS after scoring 17 or fewer points in two straight games as the coach of Seattle. He is also 16-2 ATS after two or more consecutive losses as the coach of Seattle. Last, he is 18-5 ATS when facing struggling passing defenses allowing seven or more passing yards per attempt in the second half of the season as the coach of Seattle. Seattle has scored 13 points in their last two games, both double-digit losses to the NFC West divisional rivals Arizona Cardinals (23-13) and the Green Bay Packers (17-0). The last time Seattle lost back-to-back games by double digits was in Weeks 8-9 of the 2011 season. Since returning from a finger injury, Russell Wilson has not thrown a touchdown pass for only the second time in his career. He went three consecutive games without a touchdown pass in the 2016 season. In the 2016 season following those three games that Wilson failed to connect on a scoring touchdown, they defeated the Buffalo Bills 31-25 and pushed the line as 6-point home favorites. Going back to the 2000 season, the Seahawks regardless of who was the QB have earned a 7-3-1 ATS record for 70% winning bets. Seattle’s defense has been playing well and ranks second in the NFL with a 19.2 yards per point allowed ratio. This ratio means that an opponent needs to gain 19.2 yards to get one point on the scoreboard. The higher the value the better the defense with numbers approaching and exceeding 20 yards per point representing elite defenses and those ratios approaching 12 or lower representing struggling defensive units. Washington ranks 28th in the NFL with a 13.8 yards per point allowed and I do see the Seattle offense having a big night. The opposite is true on the offensive side of the ball. Seattle ranks 16th with a 15.4 yards per point and Washington is at 23rd with a 16.4 yards per point ratio. Seattle is the better team on both sides of the ball and we are getting a very cheap price at pick-em. |
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11-27-21 | Tulane +6 v. Memphis | Top | 28-33 | Win | 100 | 8 h 7 m | Show |
Tulane vs Memphis 7:30 PM EST, November 27, 2021 5-UNIT Best Bet on Tulane plus the [points and sprinkle 0.75 UNITS on the money line I will get right to it and start with this terrific money line betting angle that has systematically earned a 38-28 record for 58% winning bets and by averaging a whopping +200 underdog bet, the Dime Bettor has made a $47,000 profit over the last 25 seasons and earned $24,000 on a 32-35 losing record. This is the strength and value of identifying underdogs in college football that can win the game too. From my predictive models I expect Tulane to gain a minimum of 5.0 YPPL and score 28 or more points. In past games in which they met or exceeded these measures they have gone on to a 46-15 SU record and a 50-10 ATS mark for 83.3% winners since 2013. Bet Tulane as a 5% Best Bet |
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11-27-21 | Penn State -3.5 v. Michigan State | Top | 27-30 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 48 m | Show |
Penn State vs Michigan State 3:30 PM EST, November 26, 2021 4% Best bet on Penn State minus the points When conference foes look to upset an alite power house program like Ohio State and fail miserably the hangover can be massive and in some games season-low performances have happened. Home dogs that played Ohio State in their previous game have gone 32-45-3 ATS for 42% wins. If our home dog lost to Ohio State in the previous game our home pup is a money-burning 12-45-3 ATS for 21% wins OR playing against these emotionally wounded home dogs have hit 79% winning bets since 1980. Over the last 10 season, these dogs are 2-14-1 ATS for just 12.5% wins and 0-11 ATS if also off an ATS double-digit loss. |
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11-27-21 | UTSA v. North Texas +10 | Top | 23-45 | Win | 100 | 5 h 16 m | Show |
UTSA vs North Texas 2:00 PM EST, November 27, 2021 4-Unit Best bet on North Texas North Texas is 16-5 ATS off three straight wins against conference rivals. Both of these teams are running hot and it would be a shame to see UTSA’s perfect season go to the trash bin. I think they will get the win in possibly a last minute game winning score, but will not win the game by double digits. Betting on teams that are on a three or more-game win streak and are facing a team that is on a five or more game win streak has earned a 140-116-10 ATS for 5% winning bets over the last 10 seasons. If our team is hosting the game, they improve to 58-39-3 for 60% winners. If our host is the dog they have earned a 25-16 record for 61% ATS winners and if our homer is a double-digit underdog they have gone 8-3 ATS for 73% winners. |
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11-27-21 | Maryland -1.5 v. Rutgers | Top | 40-16 | Win | 100 | 3 h 18 m | Show |
Maryland vs Rutgers Noon EST, November 27, 2021 4% Best Bet on Maryland Maryland and Rutgers need a win to become bowl eligible. So, how do 5 win teams in the final game of the regular season perform ? Road teams sporting 5-6 records and coming off a loss are 39-21-4 ATS for 65% winning bets over the last 10 seasons. 5-6 record hosts that are coming off a loss are a money-burning 29-34-1 for 46% ATS last10 seasons. Both Rutgers and Maryland qualify as must-win to be bowl eligible teams. Rutgers is 1-7 ATS for 12% wins when the current game is at home in games spanning the last 10 seasons; 3-15 ATS in home games after scoring 6 or fewer points in the previous game; 13-30 ATS in home games after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games. Maryland is a money-making 39-20 ATS (+17.0 Units) off a blowout loss by 21 points or more to a conference rival. |
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11-27-21 | Florida State v. Florida OVER 58.5 | Top | 21-24 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 17 m | Show |
Florida State vs Florida Noon ET 11/27/2021 4-UNIT Best Bet OVER 3-UNIT Florida State Florida and FSU need a win to become bowl eligible. Road teams sporting 5-6 records and coming off a loss are 39-21-4 ATS for 65% winning bets over the last 10 seasons. 5-6 record hosts that are coming off a loss are a money-burning 29-34-1 for 46% ATS last10 seasons. Florida fired their head coach Dan Mullin last Sunday and these two long-time in-state Florida rivals are heading in opposite directions. Make no mistake about it, the winner of this game, especially FSU takes the lead in on the recruiting landscape. FSU second-year head coach Mike Norvell stated "I know what this game means, and, if you don't get up for this one, then go somewhere else, go do something else, because it is not for you." About the OVER bet now. Betting the OVER in games from week 8 on out that have a total between 56.5 and 63 points and both teams defenses are allowing between 21 and 27.5 PPG and the matchup is in a Power-5 Conference has earned an incredible 30-4 record for 88% winning bets over the last 10 seasons. |
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11-27-21 | Georgia -35 v. Georgia Tech | Top | 45-0 | Win | 100 | 3 h 17 m | Show |
Georgia vs Georgia Tech Noon ET, November 27, 2021 4-Unit Best Bet on Georgia First half line minus the points I do not remember the last time I wagered on a favorite of more than -31 points, but trust me it is rare and there are strong reasons I am betting on the Georgia Bulldogs. However, we are looking at the first half line here because of the risk that Georgia gets out to a huge lead and then looks to get their starters out of the game knowing the SEC Championship game is on deck. Betting on the first half line with favorites of 17.5 or more points competing against a foe that scored fewer than 10 points has earned a sensational 35-11 ATS record using the first half line in games played over the last 10 seasons. With a current first half line of 20.5 points this is a great opportunity with a team that is historically one of the best over the last 2 decades at least. Georgia’s defense has attained an incredible 31.4 defensive yards-per-point measure. That means that opponents have had to gain 31 yards to get a single point on the scoreboard. The second-best defensive unit in the nation is Penn State and they are light years behind Georgia sporting a 21.5 YPPT measure. |
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11-25-21 | Bills v. Saints OVER 45 | Top | 31-6 | Loss | -104 | 13 h 46 m | Show |
Buffalo vs New Orleans 8:20 PM EST, November 25, 2021 4-UNIT Best Bet OVER The Buffalo Bills have been one of the most inconsistent teams in the NFL. The Bills have lost two of three games, including a shocking 9-6 defeat against the Jacksonville Jaguars and a surprisingly uncompetitive 41-15 drubbing at home to the Indianapolis Colts last week. QB Josh Allen has looked superb noting two games in which he averaged better than 11 yards per pass attempt and four others in which he did not gain more than 6.5 yards per pass attempt this season. The Saints have numerous injuries, especially at the running back position. Alvin Kamara will miss his third straight game and replacement Mark Ingram has been solid in his absence, but now is listed as questionable for tonight’s game. Trevor Simien has been superb in replacing starting QB Jameis Winston and has thrown seven TDs over his last three games. During their three-game losing streak, the Saints have not started well scoring just 13 first half points and have scored zero points in the first quarter. I fully expect the Saints to get off to a fast start in this matchup against the Bills, who will still be hungover from the stunning and horrid defensive performance last week. Saints are 6-0 ATS when facing a team that is averaging 27 or more points over the last two seasons and 6-0 ATS when competing against a foe that has a solid ground attack gaining an average of 4.5 yards-per-rush in games played over the last two seasons. Buffalo is 70-40 OVER when installed as a 3.5 to 9.5 point favorite and the Saints are 40-16 OVER when installed as a underdog of not more than 7 points. From my predictive models I expect both teams to score 20 or more points in this game. Buffalo is 12-0 OVER in games played over the last two seasons in which both teams score 20 or more points. |
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11-22-21 | Giants v. Bucs UNDER 50 | Top | 10-30 | Win | 100 | 13 h 42 m | Show |
NY Giants vs Tampa Bay Bucs 8:20 PM EST, 11-22-2021 10-UNIT Best Bet UNDER the posted total Well coached NFL teams that were upset in their previous game refocus on the defensive side of the game. Usually, an upset loss is caused by defensive breakdowns in coverage schemes and missed assignments plain and simple. The following NFL betting angle confirms these tendencies. Betting the UNDER in a game between conference foes with one of the teams coming off a double-digit upset loss (team was lined as the favorite) has earned a 166-104-3 record for 62% winning bets. If the double-digit loss occurred on the road the UNDER has earned a 78-29-2 record good for 73% winning bets. Drilling down through the data and adding that the current game is at home and total is not greater than 50.5 points has earned a 42-17 record for 71.2% winning bets over the last ten seasons. Further, if our home team has the better record in the current matchup, then the UNDER is 16-6 for 73% winners. The Giants are on a 7-0 UNDER streak when facing a defense that is allowing a minimum of 61% pass completions in games played in the second-half of each of the last two seasons. Giants are 8-0 UNDER in the second half of the season over the last two seasons. |
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11-20-21 | Illinois +13 v. Iowa | Top | 23-33 | Win | 100 | 5 h 5 m | Show |
ILLINOIS (4 - 6) at IOWA (8 - 2) Week 12 Saturday, 11/20/2021 2:00 PM EST 4-UNIT Best Bet on Illinois plus the points 9-1 ATS in road games off 3 or more consecutive UNDERS and 6-0 ATS in road games off 2 or more consecutive UNDERS over the last three seasons. Ferentz is 3-12 ATS as a home favorite of 10.5 to 14 points as the coach of Iowa. Double digit underdogs of 11.5 or more points in a game with a posted total of less than 40-points are 26-12-3 ATS for 68.4% winners. If the game occurs in the Power-5 Conferences, our pup is a near-perfect 11-1 ATS. |
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11-20-21 | Michigan State v. Ohio State -18 | Top | 7-56 | Win | 100 | 3 h 5 m | Show |
Michigan State vs Ohio State Noon ET, 11-20-2021 4-UNIT Best Bet on Ohio State minus the points Ohio State (9-1, 7-0 Big Ten) is coming off its most efficient offensive performance of the season and that is just not the news that the overachieving Spartans wanted to hear. OSU had scoring touchdowns on its first six possessions in a 59-31 win against Purdue last week. MSU does have the nation’s best runner of the football in Kenneth Walker, who has gained 1,473 rushing yards including 17 TDs, and their QB Payton Thorne, who is second in the conference to OSU’s sensational CJ Stroud with 21 touchdown passes. Stroud has had three games in which he threw for five touchdowns without throwing an interception. OSU leads the nation scoring an average of 46.3 PPG and the MSU defense has a nearly impossible task of containing this explosive offense. In Week 11 and on during the regular season, teams that are ranked higher in the AP poll and are favored by 14.5 or more points are 29-1 SU and 17-11-2 ATS for 61% winners and if the game is in Week 11 and beyond, they are 26-1 SU and 17-9-1 for 67% winners. From the predictive models I have developed over more than two decades there is a high probability that OSU will score at least 28 points and/or gain at least 7.5 yards per play and/or gain 500 or more total offensive yards. Over the past ten seasons, OSU is 62-1 SU and 44-17-1 ATS for 72% winners when scoring 28 or more and gaining 500 or more yards. |
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11-20-21 | Iowa State +3.5 v. Oklahoma | Top | 21-28 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 4 m | Show |
Iowa State vs Oklahoma Noon EST, November 20, 2021 4-UNIT best bet on Iowa State plus the points Campbell is 12-2 ATS off a close loss of seven or fewer points to a conference rival as the coach of ISU. Betting on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points in Weeks 10 through end of the regular season that are off an upset road loss have earned a 86-44 ATS record for 65% winning bets over the last 25 seasons and 31-16-1 ATS over the last ten seasons. |
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11-14-21 | Eagles v. Broncos OVER 44.5 | Top | 30-13 | Loss | -107 | 5 h 32 m | Show |
Philadelphia vs Denver 4:25 PM EST, November 14, 2021 4-UNIT Best Bet OVER Denver is 10-4 OVER when playing a team with a losing record over the last three seasons. The OVER is 7-1 last three seasons when Denver has faced a terrible passing defense that is allowing 64% or higher pass completions in games played after Week 8. From my predictive models we are expecting both teams to score 20 or more points. Eagles are 15-5 OVER where both teams score 20+ points and Denver is a perfect 7-0 in home games where they and their opponent both score 20 or more points. Eagles are 25-11 OVER in road games and averaging between 5.5 and 6.0 yards per play over the last three seasons. |
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11-14-21 | Panthers +8.5 v. Cardinals | Top | 34-10 | Win | 100 | 4 h 13 m | Show |
Carolina vs Arizona 4:05 PM EST, November 14, 2021 4-UNIT Best Bet on the Carolina Panthers plus the points Betting on road teams that are facing a host that is completing 64% or more of their passes and is coming off a game in which they gained 7 or more yards per pass attempt has earned a 52-25 ATS record for 68% winning bets over the last five seasons. This angle works against Arizona and underscores the probability that Arizona will have some form of regression on offense. Betting on road dogs that have failed to cover the number in 3 out of their last four games and facing a host that has covered the number in 3 of their last four games has earned a 38-19 ATS record good for 65.5% winners since 2014 and 10-5 ATS if our highway traveler is a double-digit underdog. From the predictive models, we are looking for the Carolina offense to gain 125 or more rushing yards and for the Carolina defense to force two or more turnovers. In past games when the Panthers have met or exceeded these performance measures they have earned a 38-10-1 SU record and a 42-7 ATS mark good for 88% winning bets. Perfect 4-0 ATS when installed as a road double-digit underdog. |
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11-14-21 | Vikings +3.5 v. Chargers | Top | 27-20 | Win | 100 | 4 h 12 m | Show |
Minnesota vs LA Chargers 4:05 PM EST, November 14, 2021 4-UNIT Best Bet on the Minnesota Vikings Betting on teams after Week 8 and in a game that is priced within 3 points on either side of pick and is coming off a SU loss, but did cover the number has earned a 122-95 ATS record for 56.2% winners. Drilling down further, if our team is on the road, the record improves to 47-20- ATS for 70% winners since 2014. Also, teams like the Vikings that are averaging 1.25 or fewer turnovers per game and coming off a game in which they did not commit a turnovers and facing a host that is forcing 1.25 or fewer turnovers per game after week 8 has earned a 14-4 ATS record for 78% winners since 2017. |
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11-14-21 | Bucs -9.5 v. Washington Football Team | Top | 19-29 | Loss | -110 | 45 h 41 m | Show |
Tampa Bay vs Washington 1:00 PM EST, November 14, 2011 10-UNIT Best Bet on Tampa Bay minus the points The Bucs are rolling and with a veteran GOAT Tom Brady at the lead, they will not go into Landover, Md thinking the game is won before it is played. Since Brady arrived the Bucs are 5-1 ATS with the average margin of victory 15.7 points. Once again the Bucs defense is playing well and this is not good news for the Football Team, who has not had multiple touchdowns in each of the last three games, and have had four on the season. Only Houston is worse with give games scoring one or fewer touchdowns. Brady said, "I don't think there's one area we can't be better," and his teammates are focused on responding to that 36-27 loss to the Saints. "Come in and continue to put the work in every day regardless of what the outcome was in the Saints game," safety Antoine Winfield Jr. said. "Just to come back here and continue to work because we have a nice stretch ahead of us. Come out here and continue to be better and go out there and win games." When I see statements in the press like these, it immediately reflects the focus the team has to get better – not to win the Super Bowl – the Super Bowl win occurs because the focus all season has been to get better each week. The Bucs lead the NFL in passing offense gaining 327.5 yards per game and scoring at 32.5 PPG. Brady has thrown throwing for 2,650 yards and a league-high 25 touchdowns through eight games. The 44-year-old GOAT, for the first time in his career, has a plethora of playmakers to connect with on the field. Receiver Mike Evans, will be the third-fastest to 70 TDs in NFL history with his next TD catch. Chris Godwin and Antonio Brown and tight ends Rob Gronkowski, O.J. Howard and Cameron Brate round out the incredible depth the Bucs possess. Betting on road favorites that allow 18 to 23 PPG and is now facing a horrid defense allowing at least 27 PPG on the season has earned a 39-16-3 ATS record for 71% winning bets over the last five season. If our favorite is lined between 4.5 and 11.5 points the record soars to an incredible 21-4 ATS mark for 84% winning bets. From my predictive models one projection stands out and has a high probability of being achieved in the game. Football team is 2-12 ATS in when they have allowed 400 or more total yards in games played over the last three seasons. |
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11-13-21 | South Carolina v. Missouri OVER 54.5 | Top | 28-31 | Win | 100 | 8 h 2 m | Show |
South Carolina vs Missouri 4:00 PM EST, November 13, 2021 4-UNIT Best Bet OVER SC is coming off a dramatic upset 40-17 win over SEC foe Florida installed as a 20.5-point underdog. The OVER is 16-8 for 67% winners in games where the road team is coming off a game in which they covered the spread by 40 or more points and were installed as a double digit dog and 10-3 OVER if they were 20 or greater dogs in the previous game. From the predictive models we learn that the OVER is 12-4 over the last three seasons and 67-10 over the last 20 seasons in games in which SC allows 28 or more points. SC is also 65-17 OVER in games in which they score 28 or more points. Missouri is 5-1 OVER this seasons, 11-4 OVER the past three seasons and 83-33 OVER the past 20 seasons when they have scored 28 or more points. |
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11-13-21 | Rutgers +7 v. Indiana | Top | 38-3 | Win | 100 | 4 h 3 m | Show |
Rutgers vs Indiana Noon EST, November 13, 2021 4% (4-UNIT) Bet on Rutgers Indiana is on a five-game losing streak and the magic of last season seems like it was decades ago. Coach Allen is a master motivator and one of the most respected teachers and mentors in the College ranks, but sometimes there is just too many mountains to climb over. In their last game, they were dominated on both sides of the ball in a 29-7 loss to Michigan. The loss also removed them from any chance of being bowl eligible making it even more difficult for ANY team to respond with a massive performance. Rutgers (4-5, 1-5) is coming off a 52-3 home beat down to Wisconsin, BUT remain bowl eligible if they win two more games. During the Wisconsin loss, the team lost wide receiver and kick returner Aron Cruickshank to a season-ending injury. QB Noah Vedral, who sustained an undisclosed injury in the third quarter and did not return, will be starting in this game from all that I have read. Moreover, Vedral starting is not a condition for this play to be valid as Rutgers does possess many backups at the position that are more than ready to step and take advantage of the audition for next year. The players are Cole Snyder, Evan Simon or true freshman Gavin Wimsatt. Betting on road teams after scoring 3 or fewer points in the first half last game and that are facing a host, who scored 9 or fewer points in their last game has produced a highly profitable 25-5-1 ATS record good for 80% winning bets over the last five seasons and is 13-3 ATS over the last three seasons. |
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11-13-21 | Michigan v. Penn State +2.5 | Top | 21-17 | Loss | -113 | 4 h 2 m | Show |
Michigan vs Penn State Noon EST, November 13, 2021 4-UNIT Best Bet on PSU plus the points. Michigan is just 10-23 ATS in road games and coming off a cover by double digits. PDSU head coach Franklin is 14-3 ATS coming off a road conference win and 12-4 ATS coming off a win of 17 or more points and 15-3 ATS off a road win. PSU is also 16-4 ATS coming off a game in which they committed no turnovers. This matchup is all about the vastly under rated PSU defense that ranks in the top-5 in many of the meaningful advanced analytics. They rank 3rd nationally with a defensive 20.8 yards per point allowed, for instance, and I believe Michigan’s offense is going to have a nightmare trying to move the chains in Happy Valley, which has the best home field advantage of 6-points. From the predictive models, Michigan is 1-7 ATS the last three seasons when committing 2 or more turnovers and 9-25 ATS when allowing 250 or more passing yards. Dotson and QB Clifford are expected to connect on deep vertical routes where the Michigan defense is the most vulnerable. |
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11-09-21 | Ohio v. Eastern Michigan -3 | Top | 34-26 | Loss | -107 | 4 h 56 m | Show |
Ohio U vs Eastern Michigan 8:00 PM EST, November 9, 2021 4-UNIT Best Bet on EMU EMU is 21-6 ATS (+14.4 Units) against teams who force one or fewer turnovers per game. Ohio has not been a strong finishing team to the regular season and are just 10-22 ATS in road games in weeks 10 through 13. Ohio head coach Solich is 7-17 ATS in road games after being out gained by opponent by 125 or more total yards last game. From the predictive models qwe learn that Ohio is a money-burning 25 ATS this season, 3-10 ATS the past three seasons, and 40-85 ATS the last 20 seasons when allowing 28 or more points in game. EWMU is 3-3 ATS this season, 13-5 ATS the past three seasons, and 54-24 ATS over the last 20 seasons when scoring 28 or more points. |
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11-07-21 | Patriots v. Panthers +3.5 | Top | 24-6 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 34 m | Show |
New England vs Carolina 1:00 PM EST, November 7, 2021 5-UNIT Best Bet on the Carolina Panthers plus the points Christian McCaffrey is expected to return from injured reserve this week and is eligible to play in this game. He has missed the last five games with a hamstring injury and Carolina is just 1-4 in those games. McCaffrey has missed 18 of the team's past 24 games with injuries, but he is back for this game, and he is rested and healed. I expect him to be on a snap count with Chuba Hubbard, Royce Freeman and Ameer Abdullah to be actively involved in the game plan. Carolina can run different formations with and without McCaffery in the game and I do believe that alone will keep the Patriots guessing and off balance. Zane Gonzalez, who has made 13 of 15 field-goal attempts and 13 of 14 extra points. He was 4 of 4 on field goals last week vs. Atlanta, including a career-long of 57 yards to earn NFC Special Teams Player of the Week honors. I like this bet as a 5- UNIT wager even if McCaffery is OUT for this game should there be a mishap in the warmup sessions. This play is far more about the Carolina defense matching up quite well against Mac Jones and the Patriots offense. Carolina ran 47 rushing plays gaining 203 yards in their win against the Falcons in Week 8. The 47 rushing attempts was the fourth-highest single-game total in Panthers history and their highest since 2009. So, with McCaffery back in action, the Panthers will establish the ground attack against the Patriots run defense that ranks 16th in the league. The Panthers have a tremendous pass rush and recorded three sacks last week and shut down a very good statistical QB in Matt Ryan. The Panthers defense ranks 2nd allowing 295.6 yards per game and their secondary is among the best. They rank third allowing just 5.9 yards per pass attempt, 2nd allowing 188.8 passing yards per game, and 4th with a 7.6% sack percentage. This is a highly profitable money line betting angle that has posted a 35-9 record good for 80% winning bets over the last five seasons and has made the dime bettor a profit of $26,000. Bet on a team using the money line in a non-conference matchup and is coming off a road win over a divisional rival. If our team is playing at home, the record has been 23-6 for 79% winning bets. From the predictive model, we learn that the Panthers are an incredible 54-9-2 ATS for 86% winning bets and 61-4 SU in home games scoring 24 or more points and winning the turnover battle (having fewer turnovers than the opponent) and 7-1 ATS over the last three seasons. Bet the Carolina Panthers as a 5- UNIT Best Bet |
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11-06-21 | Indiana +20.5 v. Michigan | Top | 7-29 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 16 m | Show |
Indiana vs Michigan 7:30 PM EST, November 6, 2021 4- UNIT Best Bet on the Indiana Hoosiers plus the points. Now, that you purchased this 3-pack, I like taken a flyer on these three dogs that I just like quite a bit and doing a 0.25 unit round robin parlay. As I have stated on so many CFB shows as a host or guest over the past several weeks there have been 17 underdogs of 17.5 or more points that have WON the game this season. There were seven such dogs in 2020 and much lower number because COVID-19 eliminated so many games. In the 2018 season there were 24 of these dogs that won outright. Top-20 ranked favorites of 17.5 or more points that is coming off a disheartening loss as a road favorite to a ranked opponent are 2-9 ATS in their next game since the 2012 season (5-1 ATS are these dogs if their current opponent lost in a matchup of Top-10 ranked teams). Michigan is just 5-20 ATS (-17.0 Units) after scoring 31 points or more in 3 straight games. Master coaching motivator Allen is Allen is 10-2 ATS after allowing 475 or more total yards in their previous game as the coach of IU. |
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11-06-21 | Baylor v. TCU +7 | Top | 28-30 | Win | 100 | 4 h 13 m | Show |
Baylor vs TCU 3:30 PM EST, November 6, 2021 4-Unit best Bet on TCU plus the points and sprinkle the money line too. Here is a terrific betting angle that is bet using the money line and has made the Dime Bettor a $36,000 profit averaging a +210 underdog bet over the last five seasons. Bet on home teams after losing to the spread by 28 or more points over their last three games, is a losing team not winning more than 40% of their games on the season and now facing a winning record team. This angle is 3-3 this season and has made that dime bettor $2,750, 12-6 making the dime bettor $25,000 over the last three seasons. |
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11-06-21 | Auburn +4.5 v. Texas A&M | Top | 3-20 | Loss | -102 | 4 h 12 m | Show |
Auburn vs Texas A&M 3:30 PM EST, November 6, 2021 4-Unit best Bet on Auburn plus the points and a little extra sprinkle on the money line. Aggies are a money-burning 2-10 ATS off the BYE since joining the SEC is 2012. Betting on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points in a game involving two teams averaging 1.25 or fewer turnovers per game forced, and with the dog coming off two consecutive games where they forced one or fewer turnovers has earned an outstanding 55-20 ATS record good for 73^ winning bets over the last ten seasons. This angle is a solid 8-3 ATS this season. From my predictive models, Auburn is expected to score at least 28 points in this game and when they have scored 28 or more points in past games has earned a 4-1 ATS mark this season, 14-2 ATS 88% wins, and 125-48 ATS for 72% winning bets over the past 25 seasons. |