Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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06-27-19 | A's +145 v. Angels | Top | 3-8 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 43 m | Show |
5* MLB - AL West GAME OF THE MONTH on A's +145 Love the value here with Oakland as a big road dog against the Angels. A's have really been playing well of late. Oakland just swept a short 2-game series at St Louis and are now 7-2 in their last 9 games. Angels are off a couple of wins against Cincinnati, but that's nothing to get excited about. A's are a perfect 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs a team with a winning home record and a dominant 12-4 in their last 16 series openers. I know LA has a strong starter in Canning going, but A's are 7-1 in their last 8 road games vs an AL starter with a WHIP less than 1.200. Take Oakland! |
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06-27-19 | Mariners v. Brewers -170 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 42 m | Show | |
4* MLB - Money Line NO-BRAINER on Brewers -170 I got no problem laying big juice with Milwaukee at home in Thursday's series finale against the Mariners. Seattle has won the first two games of the series, which means we are going to get a highly motivated and focused Milwaukee team in this one. This is also the prime spot for Houston's offense to get back on track. Seattle's Mike Leake is fresh off a miserable outing at home against the Orioles, where he allowed 8 runs on 11 hits in 5 1/3 innings. Brewers are 13-3 in their last 16 when playing at home with double revenge over the last two seasons. Mariners are 1-6 in Leake's last 7 road starts and 1-7 in his last 8 on the road vs a team with a winning record. Take Milwaukee! |
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06-26-19 | Mets +135 v. Phillies | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 57 m | Show |
5* MLB - No Limit GAME OF THE MONTH on Mets +135 Absolutely love the value here with the Mets as a decently priced road dog against the Phillies. Philadelphia has won the first two of the series, but it has them way overvalued in this one. Phillies will send out Nick Pivetta, who has an awful 5.84 ERA and 1.546 WHIP in 6 home starts. Pivetta also owns a 6.23 ERA and 1.648 WHIP in 6 career starts against the Mets. New York will counter with Jason Vargas, who has a strong 3.20 ERA in 12 starts this season. Even more important is how well Vargas has pitched against the Phillies. He's made 4 career starts against them and has a 2.57 era and 1.143 WHIP. Mets are 5-2 in their last 7 after losing the first 2 games of a series. Philadelphia is 2-8 in Pivetta's last 10 starts vs a division opponent. Take New York! |
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06-26-19 | Rockies -136 v. Giants | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 37 m | Show | |
4* MLB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Rockies -136 Easy play here on the Rockies as a small road favorite against the Giants. Colorado is hands down the better team in this matchup and they have the better starter going in this one. Rockies will send out German Marquez, who is 7-3 with a 4.32 ERA in 17 starts. A lot of people see an ERA over 4.00 and assume he's not been very good. A big reason for that is he's basically starting half his games at Coors Field. Marquez has a 3.02 ERA and 0.794 WHIP in 8 road starts. Last time out he started at Dodgers and limited LA to 1 earned run on 5 hits in 8 innings. Giants will turn to Jeff Samardzija, who has a 6.61 ERA and 1.837 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Take Colorado! |
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06-26-19 | Dodgers v. Diamondbacks +130 | 2-8 | Win | 130 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
3* MLB - Undervalued DOG OF THE DAY on Diamondbacks +130 Arizona is worth a look here as a decently priced home dog against the Dodgers. No question who the better team is, but no way should LA be favored on the road with a guy making his first ever big league start. Even with yesterday's win the Dodgers are just 2-5 in their last 7 road games vs a team with a losing record. Dbacks will send out a rookie of their own in Taylor Clarke, whose overall numbers aren't great. However, Clarke pitched well at home against these same Dodgers earlier this month, giving up just 2 earned runs in 5 innings. Take Arizona! |
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06-25-19 | A's v. Cardinals -127 | Top | 7-3 | Loss | -127 | 14 h 15 m | Show |
5* MLB - Interleague PLAY OF THE WEEK on Cardinals -127 Love the value here with St Louis as a relatively small home favorite against the A's. Cardinals are 7-4 in their last 11 and come in having scored 4 or more in 4 straight games. St Louis will send out Jack Flaherty to start this one. If you just look at Flaherty's overall numbers you might miss the value here, as he's just 4-4 with a 4.24 ERA in 15 starts. Flaherty is simply a different pitcher at home compared to on the road, as he's got a 2.49 ERA and sensational 0.830 WHIP with 53 strikeouts in 47 innings over 8 home starts. St Louis is a perfect 10-0 this season at home vs great power teams that are averaging 1.5 or more HR's/game, while A's are 3-13 in their last 16 vs an NL team that is scoring 4.5 or more runs/game. Take St Louis! |
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06-25-19 | Braves v. Cubs +108 | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 41 m | Show | |
3* MLB - Vegas Money Line MASSACRE on Cubs +108 This is just too good a price to pass up with Chicago at home. Cubs won the series opener 8-3 on Monday and are now 28-14 at Wrigley Field this season. Atlanta has been playing well, but are now playing their 5th straight on the road. I also think Braves' starter Max Fried is a little overvalued right now. Fried had a 2.30 ERA at the end of April. It was up to 3.19 after a sluggish May and is up to 4.03 after a miserable month of June, where he's posted a 6.53 ERA in 4 starts. Cubs will have Adbert Alzolay on the mound and there's a ton of excitement surrounding one of the clubs top prospects. He pitched great in 4 innings of relief in his first big league action. He came in the 5th inning and didn't allow a hit until serving up a solo homer in the 9th. I look for him to pitch well. Take Chicago! |
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06-25-19 | Rangers v. Tigers +130 | 5-3 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
3* MLB - Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE on Tigers +130 Solid value here with the Tigers as a home dog against the Rangers. Texas is just 14-21 on the road compared to 28-15 at home. Rangers are being forced here to turn "Opener" Jesse Chavez into a legit starter here. While Chavez has been great in his previous role, it doesn't mean he will perform well here. Texas has dropped 13 of their last 19 series openers and are a miserable 1-6 in their last 7 after a day off. Adding to this is a great system in play on Detroit. Home underdogs that are a poor power team (0.9 or less HR's/game) and facing a pitcher that hasn't started in 7 or more days are 52-37 (58.4%) over the last 5 seasons. Take Detroit! |
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06-24-19 | Rockies v. Giants +125 | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 13 m | Show | |
3* MLB - Undervalued DOG OF THE DAY on Giants +125 San Francisco is worth a look here as a small home dog against division rival Colorado. It's one thing to try and bounce back from a tough loss, it's whole different animal trying to recover from what the Rockies just experienced over the weekend. Colorado was swept in a 3-game series at Los Angeles, where a Dodgers rookie player ended the game on a walk-off homer. Giants took 2 of 3 at Arizona and in that series they won their 6th straight series opener. Take San Francisco! |
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06-24-19 | Dodgers -133 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 5-8 | Loss | -133 | 16 h 40 m | Show |
5* MLB - NL West GAME OF THE MONTH on Dodgers -133 Easy play here on the Dodgers as a small road favorite. LA comes in having won 6 straight and are off a 3-game sweep against the Rockies, where they won all 3 games in walk-off fashion. Arizona is 1-6 in their last 7 and while they won yesterday at SF, they scored just 3 runs in the process. Offense just isn't clicking right now and it's hard to see them snapping out of that funk against Clayton Kershaw, who is 7-1 with a 2.96 ERA and 1.051 WHIP in 12 starts this season. Diamondbacks will have their ace on the mound in Zack Greinke, but he's coming off a start at home where he gave up 5 runs to the Rockies. Greinke also allowed 7 runs on 7 hits in 3 2/3 innings in his only start vs LA this season. Dodgers are 56-13 in Kershaw's last 69 starts vs a division opponent and 43-16 in his last 59 during game 1 of a series. Take Los Angeles! |
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06-23-19 | Giants +131 v. Diamondbacks | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 2 m | Show | |
3* MLB - Undervalued DOG OF THE DAY on Giants +131 Easy play here on San Francisco. The Giants have won the first two games of the series, which both came after the call-up of Alex Dickerson, who has come out of nowhere to carry the San Francisco offense. Dickerson has gone 5 for 9, hitting for the cycle in the process. Giants have scored 18 runs in the two wins. Diamondbacks have lost 6 straight, as they were swept at home in their previous series by the Rockies. Arizona has struggled to get their offense going and I look for that to continue against the Giants Shaun Anderson. He's been solid of late, allowing 3 or fewer runs in 4 straight and 6 of his 7 starts overall. Take San Francisco! |
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06-23-19 | Rockies v. Dodgers -208 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 30 m | Show |
5* MLB - Vegas HEAVY HITTER Top Play on Dodgers -208 I got zero problem laying the big juice with Los Angeles on the road against the Rockies. LA is the best team in the NL and have Kenta Maeda starting at home, where he is 5-1 with a 1.95 ERA and 0.757 WHIP in 6 starts. Maeda has also owned Colorado in his career. He's faced them 9 times as a starter and owns a sensational 2.56 ERA and 1.044 WHIP. Chances are Maeda will hold form, but even if he's not at his best he should get plenty of runs support. Rockies are countering with Antonio Senzatela, who has a ERA over 5.00 in 13 starts and a 7.20 ERA and 2.00 WHIP in his only start against the Dodgers. Take Los Angeles! |
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06-23-19 | Padres -142 v. Pirates | 10-11 | Loss | -142 | 6 h 23 m | Show | |
4* MLB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Padres -142 I'm confident the Padres will avoid the sweep in the series finale at Pittsburgh. San Diego's offense has been held in check the first two games of the series, but are poised to breakout here with Steven Brault on the mound for the Pirates. San Diego will counter with Joey Lucchesi, who is one of the more underrated starters in the league. Lucchesi just keeps getting better. He's got a 3.00 ERA and 1.111 WHIP in his last 3 starts. He was dominant in his most recent out against the Brewers, holding Milwaukee to a mere 3 hits over 7 shutout innings. Pirates are just 2-8 in their last 10 vs a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 and are just 3-8 in their last 11 off a win. Take San Diego! |
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06-22-19 | White Sox v. Rangers -181 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 15 h 5 m | Show | |
4* MLB - Vegas Money Line NO-BRAINER on Rangers -181 I got no problem laying the big juice here with Texas at home agains the White Sox. Rangers are one of the more underrated teams in the league. Texas will be eager to get back on the field after last night's loss to Chicago and they are in a prime spot to get the win. Rangers will send out veteran Lance Lynn, who has been throwing like an ace of late. Lynn enters with a 2.84 ERA and 1.053 WHIP over his last 3 starts. He's been throwing like this for a while now, as he's pitched at least 6 innings in 10 straight starts and has gone 8 straight giving up 3 or fewer runs. Take Texas! |
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06-22-19 | Astros v. Yankees -154 | 5-7 | Win | 100 | 13 h 55 m | Show | |
3* MLB Money Line DESTROYER on Yankees -154 Easy play here on the Yankees at home against the Astros Saturday. New York handed Houston their sixth straight loss with a 4-1 win on Friday. New York has now won 7 straight and I'm confident the make it 8 in a row. Yankees have a clear edge on the mound with Masahiro Tanaka against the likes of Wade Miley. Tanaka has a strong 3.23 ERA in 15 starts, but owns an even stronger 2.83 ERA an 1.081 WHIP in 9 home starts. Miley has a solid 3.30 ERA in 15 starts, but is just 2-3 with a 4.68 ERA and 1.370 WHIP in 8 road starts. Take New York! |
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06-22-19 | Braves +115 v. Nationals | Top | 13-9 | Win | 115 | 13 h 15 m | Show |
5* MLB - NL East GAME OF THE MONTH on Braves +115 Love the value here with Atlanta as a small road dog against the Nationals. Washington has won 5 straight, but will send out Anibal Sanchez. He's just 3-6 with a 3.84 ERA and 1.355 WHIP in 13 starts. Braves are a solid 21-13 in their last 34 on the road after losing 2 of their previous 3. They are also a dominant 9-1 in their last 10 off a 1-run loss. Braves will have Mike Foltynewiczs will start for Atlanta and he's pitched well against the Nationals in his career and Atlanta is a 6-1 in his last 7 starts vs a division opponent. Take Atlanta! |
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06-21-19 | Twins -145 v. Royals | 8-7 | Win | 100 | 13 h 15 m | Show | |
3* MLB - Money Line MASSACRE on Twins -145 Minnesota is worth a look here on the road against the Royals. This feels like quite the bargain, as we get one of the best teams in baseball at less than -150 against one of the worst teams in the league. Doesn't hurt the Twins will have Martin Perez on the mound, who despite some recent struggles, still comes in at 6-3 with a 3.67 ERA in 12 stats. Perez has a strong 3.08 ERA in 4 career starts against the Royals. KC will send out Jake Junis, who has a not so great 5.34 ERA and 1.464 WHIP in 15 starts. Junis also owns a 5.68 ERA in 8 road starts and a 4.55 ERA and 1.807 WHIP in 6 career starts against the Twins. Take Minnesota! |
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06-21-19 | Angels -108 v. Cardinals | 1-5 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 11 m | Show | |
3* MLB - Vegas ODDSMAKERS ERROR on Angels -108 I like the Angels to win the series opener Friday night in St Louis. It's hard to believe, but this will mark the first time that Albert Pujols will play a game in St Louis since he was a member of the Cardinals way back in 2011. This isn't just another series for LA, especially the opener. They want this to be a memorable return. It helps St Louis will have the struggling Michael Wacha on the mound. Wacha is off another poor outing, as he gave up 6 runs on 7 hits in 4 innings at the Mets. Wacha now has a 5.40 ERA and 1.658 WHIP in 11 starts. He's been downright awful at home, posting a 8.23 ERA and 2.033 WHIP in 4 home starts. Take Los Angeles! |
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06-21-19 | Astros +145 v. Yankees | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 5 m | Show |
5* MLB - Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Astros +145 Really like the value here with Houston as a big road dog against the Yankees. Astros are due for a win to say the least, as they come in having lost 5 straight. New York on the other hand is due for a loss after winning 6 straight. That's not all. Yankees starter, James Paxton, has a 7.42 ERA and 1.874 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Last time he started at home, he gave up 6 runs on 7 hits in 2 2/3 innings. Astros will send out Brad Peacock, who has a strong 3.77 ERA and 1.144 WHIP in 13 starts. Astros are 8-3 in Peacock's last 11 road starts vs a team with a winning record and are 37-14 in their last 51 road games vs a left-handed starter. Take Houston! |
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06-20-19 | Angels v. Blue Jays +140 | Top | 5-7 | Win | 140 | 12 h 43 m | Show |
5* MLB - AL Heavy Hitter GAME OF THE MONTH on Blue Jays +140 Love the Blue Jays here as a home dog against the Angels. I won on the Angels each of the last two days, but now is the time to shift gears and take the other side. Toronto is going to be extremely motivated here to avoid getting swept in this 4-game series with LA. Big flat spot for LA. Angels won 11-6 on Wednesday and Toronto is 12-5 in their last 17 home games after allowing 9 or more runs. LA is also a mere 2-10 in their last 12 vs a starter that is winless after 5 or more starts. Clayton Richard is 0-3 with a 7.52 ERA in 5 starts. However, Richard was outstanding last year against the Angels, giving up just 2 runs on 4 hits in 8 innings. Take Toronto! |
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06-20-19 | Indians v. Rangers +120 | 2-4 | Win | 120 | 7 h 41 m | Show | |
4* MLB - Early Bird VEGAS INSIDER on Rangers +120 Texas is showing big time value here as a home dog to the Indians. Cleveland is coming off a couple of high-scoring wins and are overvalued because of it. No way should the Rangers be a dog at home with the likes of Mike Minor on the mound. Minor has a 2.63 ERA and 1.181 WHIP in 15 starts. He's got a 2.25 ERA over his last 3 starts and a 2.18 ERA in 7 home starts. It's been hit or miss for Indians starter Shane Bieber. He was sharp last time out against a bad Detroit lineup, but prior to that he gave up 5 runs in 1 2/3 innings at home to New York. Indians are a mere 4-19 in their last 23 vs an AL starter with an ERA of 2.90 or better. Take Texas! |
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06-19-19 | Rockies +133 v. Diamondbacks | 6-4 | Win | 133 | 14 h 40 m | Show | |
3* MLB - Late Night ANNIHILATOR on Rockies +133 I love the value here with Colorado. I get the Diamondbacks will have ace Zack Greinke on the mound, but he's facing a Rockies offense, most notably Charlie Blackmon, that's hitting the cover off the ball. Blackmon can tie MLB history with a sixth straight game with 3 or more hits. That's now 56 runs in their last 5 games for Colorado. I also think it helps the Rockies to have already faced Greinke twice this season. The more you see a pitcher the more comfortable you are going to be. Rockies have gone 20-8 in their last 28 after a win where they held a division foe to 1 or fewer runs. Take Colorado! |
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06-19-19 | Mets v. Braves -147 | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 20 m | Show | |
3* MLB - Money Line DESTROYER on Braves -147 Atlanta is worth a play at this price on their home field. Mets won yesterday's matchup by a score of 10-2, but they also had the reigning Cy Young on the mound in deGrom. Prior to that the Braves had gone 10-1 in their previous 11 games. They had also scored 5 or more runs in 9 straight prior to Tuesday. Look for Atlanta's offense to return to form. New York will have Steven Matz on the mound and he's got a 5.79 ERA and 1.530 WHIP in 7 road starts. Atlanta will have Max Fried on the mound. He's struggled a bit of late, but has been consistently strong at home (3.54 ERA and 1.106 WHIP). Take Atlanta! |
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06-19-19 | Astros -166 v. Reds | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -166 | 5 h 5 m | Show |
5* MLB - Early Bird VEGAS INSIDER Top Play on Astros -166 I'm confident the Astros will secure a road win at Cincinnati. Houston enters having lost 3 straight, but they are going to get a huge boost here with the return of Jose Altuve. Anytime you add a MVP-type player back into your lineup, it provides a spark to the other players. It doesn't hurt that Houston will also have the edge on the mound. Astros send out the surging Gerrit Cole, who has a solid but not great 3.67 ERA in 15 starts. However, Cole has been elite here of late. Last two starts he's given up a mere 3 earned runs on 7 hits with 24 strikeouts in 13 innings. Tyler Mahle will start for the Reds and he's headed in the other direction. Mahle has a 5.65 ERA and 1.256 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Take Houston! |
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06-18-19 | Rockies v. Diamondbacks -135 | 8-1 | Loss | -135 | 14 h 40 m | Show | |
3* MLB - Vegas Money Line MASSACRE on Diamondbacks -135 I really like Arizona in Tuesday's series opener against the Rockies. Colorado is coming off quite the 4-game series at home against the Padres. The two teams combined for a ridiculous 92 runs in those 4 games, the most in a 4-game series in 90 years. No need to debate it, Rockies' players have already stated how draining that series was. A flat Colorado team that no longer has the thin air of Coors Field to help them could struggle to get their offense going against Arizona's Merrill Kelly. In his last 3 starts, Kelly has looked like a Cy Young candidate, posting a 0.81 ERA and 0.627 WHIP. Rockies will counter with Antonio Senzatela, who has a mere 5.48 ERA and 1.625 WHIP in 12 starts. Senzatela is also fresh off a bad outing at home against the Cubs, allowing 8 runs on 8 hits in 4 innings of work. Take Arizona! |
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06-18-19 | Red Sox v. Twins +110 | 3-4 | Win | 110 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
3* MLB - Undervalued DOG OF THE DAY on Twins +110 I'll gladly back Minnesota as a home dog against the Red Sox. No way should the Twins be a home dog. Minnesota has the best record in the league at 47-24 and are 23-12 at home this season. Boston is getting love with David Price on the mound, but he's coming off a dreadful outing at home against the Rangers. Price gave up 6 runs on 5 hits, recording just 4 outs before getting pulled. As for Twins starter Michael Pineda, he's got a strong 3.78 ERA and 0.900 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Pineda has allowed 3 or fewer hits in 2 of his last 3 starts. Twins are 21-6 in their last 27 off a loss and 7-1 in their last 8 after scoring 2 or fewer runs. Take Minnesota! |
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06-18-19 | Angels -107 v. Blue Jays | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
5* MLB - Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Angels -107 Easy play here on the Angels as a small favorite at Toronto. Los Angeles is a team to watch out for right now. Angels just got back Justin Upton and not that long ago Ohtani was added to the mix. Upton homered in his first at-bat back and Ohtani has been red-hot of late. I look for that offense to be able to get to Blue Jays starter Marcus Stroman. Not only do I see the Angels putting up a big number, Toronto's offense is one of the worst in the league. Especially at home. Blue Jays are only averaging 3.7 runs/game and hitting .209 as a team on their home field this season. Tyler Skaggs of LA hasn't been great, but Toronto is just 17-43 in their last 16 vs a left-handed starter and are 3-7 in Stroman's last 10 home starts. Take Los Angeles! |
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06-17-19 | Brewers +115 v. Padres | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 26 m | Show | |
4* MLB - Vegas Money Line HEAVY HITTER on Brewers +115 Absolutely love the value here with Milwaukee as an underdog against the Padres. Brewers avoided getting swept at San Francisco with a 5-3 win on Sunday. Milwaukee is getting no lover here because of how bad starter Jhoulys Chacin has been in 2019. The key here is Chacin's is healthy coming off the IL and is a guy that we know can perform at a high level. Padres put on an offensive show with the Rockies at Coors Field over the weekend (two combined for 92 runs in 4 games). I know they are returning home after a road trip and that should be a positive, but I think it's a big flat spot off that series with Colorado. Let's also not forget that San Diego has struggled at home this season. Take Milwaukee! |
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06-17-19 | Astros v. Reds -110 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 26 m | Show |
5* MLB - Interleague PLAY OF THE WEEK on Reds -110 I got no problem backing the Reds as a small home favorite against the Astros. Not very often you see Houston as a dog, especially against a team with a losing record. That speaks volumes to the respect the books have for Cincinnati starter Luis Castillo and rightfully so. Castillo is 6-1 with a 2.31 ERA and 1.090 WHIP over 14 starts and has a 2.08 ERA and 0.923 WHIP in 7 home starts. He's definitely catching a break in this one, as Houston is minus 3 of their best players in Altuve, Correa and Springer (all on IL). Also got to love the Reds coming into this game off a big offensive performance, as they scored 11 runs in yesterday's 8-run win over the Rangers. Astros starter, Wade Miley, has a mediocre 4.50 ERA and 1.316 WHIP in 7 road starts. Take Cincinnati! |
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06-16-19 | Cubs v. Dodgers -162 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 23 m | Show |
5* MLB - Sunday Night GAME OF THE MONTH on Dodgers -162 The Dodgers are an easy play for me on Sunday Night Baseball against the Cubs. Chicago won on Saturday, barely squeaking out a 2-1 win. LA had won the first two in the series behind strong offensive showings. Look for them to get back on track agains the struggling Jose Quintana. It's been a big struggle for Quintana when he's not starting at Wrigley Field. He's a mere 1-3 with a 5.83 ERA and 1.466 WHIP in 6 road starts. Dodgers counter with Hyun-Jin Ryu, who has to be your early Cy Young favorite. Ryu is 9-1 with a 1.36 ERA and 0.802 WHIP over 13 starts. He's a perfect 6-0 with a 1.01 ERA and 0.649 WHIP in 6 home starts. Take Los Angeles! |
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06-16-19 | Rangers v. Reds -156 | 3-11 | Win | 100 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
4* MLB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Reds -156 Really like Cincinnati in this spot. Reds are going to be highly motivated to get a win after dropping the first two games in the series. They have just the guy on the mound to make sure they secure the win. Reds will turn to Sonny Gray, who comes in great form with a 3.24 ERA and 1.200 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Gray has enjoyed every chance he gets at facing the Rangers. He's 8-3 with a 2.55 ERA and 1.132 WHIP over 13 starts. Reds are 10-4 in their last 14 off a loss and 4-0 in Gray's last 4 starts vs a team with a winning record. Take Cincinnati! |
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06-16-19 | Indians v. Tigers +144 | 8-0 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 26 m | Show | |
3* MLB - Undervalued DOG OF THE DAY on Tigers +144 I really like the value we are getting with Detroit as a home division dog against the Indians. Cleveland has won the first two games in the series, but it has them way overvalued in the finale. I also think there's a bit of an overreaction with Trevor Bauer's last start. Bauer allowed just 1 run in 7 2/3 innings at home against the Reds. However, he walked 5 guys in that outing and was 0-5 with a 5.52 ERA in his previous 7 starts. Tigers will have one of their top starters going in Spencer Turnbull. He's quietly sitting there with a 2.78 ERA over his 14 starts of 2019 and has a 2.12 ERA in his last 3 outings. Take Detroit! |
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06-15-19 | Cardinals v. Mets -137 | 7-8 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show | |
4* MLB - Vegas Money Line NO-BRAINER on Mets -137 I got no problem laying a little juice with the Mets at home against the Cardinals on Saturday. St Louis comes in having won 4 of 5, including the first two in this series, but it has them getting too much respect in a very favorable matchup for New York. St Louis will be turning to Michael Wacha, who has 4.95 ERA and 1.632 WHIP in 10 starts. Wacha just hasn't been himself in 2019 and has walked 31 guys in 52 2/3 innings. He was so bad early on he had to be removed from the rotation. Mets will counter with Noah Syndergaard, who after a slow start of his own has really come alive. Syndergaard has a 2.75 ERA and 1.017 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Note Cards won 9-5 on Friday and are 0-7 this season in road games after a win by 4 or more runs. Take New York! |
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06-15-19 | Rangers +110 v. Reds | Top | 4-3 | Win | 110 | 11 h 22 m | Show |
5* MLB - Vegas Insider GAME OF THE WEEK on Rangers +110 Easy play here on Texas as a road dog against the slumping Reds. Not sure what the books are seeing in Cincinnati in this one. Reds lost 7-1 in the series opener last night and are just 3-7 in their last 10 overall. Biggest problem for Cincinnati is the offense. Reds have scored 2 or fewer runs in 7 of those 10 games. Hard to see them snapping out of their slump against the likes of the Rangers Mike Minor. In 14 starts so far in 2019, Minor has posted a 2.52 ERA and 1.175 WHIP and he's stayed true to form of late with a 2.41 ERA in his last 3 starts. Key here is the Rangers can score. Texas has put up 4 or more in 5 of their last 6 games. Red starter Tanner Roark has a not so great 4.50 ERA and 1.375 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Take Texas! |
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06-15-19 | Brewers v. Giants -104 | 7-8 | Win | 100 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
3* MLB - Sharp Money Vegas LINE MISTAKE on Giants -104 I think the books have made a huge mistake here with the line for Saturday's MLB action between the Giants and Brewers. Milwaukee is the better team and the Giants are not a public team, making them way undervalued in this spot. Brewers are a long way from home with a guy on the mound that was really bad in his last start. Jimmy Nelson missed more than a full season and in his first start back gave up 5 runs in 3 innings to the Marlins of all teams. Chances are he's going to take a minute to get into form. While he figures to get hit hard, San Fran will have veteran ace Madison Bumgarner on the mound to keep the Brewers offense in check. Bumgarner has underachieved to this point, but does have a strong 2.84 ERA and 1.053 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Take San Francisco! |
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06-14-19 | Cardinals v. Mets -125 | 9-5 | Loss | -125 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
4* MLB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Mets -125 My money is on the Mets to take down the Cardinals after the two teams finish up last night's suspended game. New York has Steven Matz on the mound and the Mets are a perfect 5-0 in his 5 home starts this year. Matz owns a 1.80 ERA in those 5 starts, as he has allowed just 6 earned runs in 30 innings. Cardinals will counter here with Daniel Poncedeleon, who is making just his second start of 2019. Poncedeleon has been hit or miss in his 5 career starts. The biggest problem he has had is he doesn't go deep in games and that could be a major problem here, especially if the suspended game drags on. Either way I like the Mets in this spot. Take New York! |
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06-14-19 | Indians -137 v. Tigers | 13-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
4* MLB - Vegas Money Line NO-BRAINER on Indians -137 Absolutely love the value here with Cleveland in Friday's series opener against the Tigers. Detroit is not a very good team and bad teams are often the ones that struggle in tough spots. Tigers are playing their 3rd game in 3 nights in a different city. They played Wednesday at Kansas City, last night they were in Omaha and tonight they are at home. Indians will have Adam Plutko on the mound, who is coming off a great start against the Yankees. Plutko allowed just 2 runs on 3 hits in 6 innings. That's the second time in 3 starts this year that he's lasted 6 innings and gave up 2 or fewer. Detroit has scored 3 or fewer runs in 4 straight and 7 of 8 overall. Take Cleveland! |
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06-14-19 | Diamondbacks v. Nationals -165 | Top | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
5* MLB - Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Nationals -165 I got no problem here laying the big juice with the Nationals at home on Friday. Washington will have ace and 3x Cy Young winner, Max Scherzer on the mound. Scherzer had a bit of a slow start to 2019, but it's safe to say he's back to his elite form. Scherzer has a 0.86 ERA and 0.905 WHIP in his last 3 starts, lowering his season ERA down to 2.83. Scherzer has also tormented the team that drafted him way back in 2006. He's 6-0 with a 2.89 ERA in six stars against the Diamondbacks. It's the exact opposite for Arizona starter Robbie Ray, who was drafted by the Nationals, but is 0-4 with a 6.26 ERA in 5 starts against Washington. Take the Nationals! |
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06-13-19 | Tigers -122 v. Royals | Top | 3-7 | Loss | -122 | 12 h 21 m | Show |
5* MLB - AL Vegas Insider GAME OF THE MONTH on Tigers -122 Easy play here on Detroit in a rare neutral site game in the MLB. These will kickoff the festivities at the 2019 College World Series with a game at Omaha's TD Ameritrade Park. Some might find it tough betting on a matchup of two bad teams, but there's too much value here to pass up with the Tigers. Detroit has one of the better starters that people don't know about on the mound. Matt Boyd's 5-4 record and 3.08 ERA might not seem like anything special, but this guy has elite swing and miss stuff. Boyd has 105 strikeouts in 84.7 innings. What makes him special is he doesn't walk people with just 15 free passes on the season. In his last 3 starts he has a ridiculous 25/1 K/BB ratio. Royals aren't a great offensive team, so Boyd should be able to keep them well in check. All we need is for the Tigers offense to put up some runs. They should be able to do just that, as KC will send out Homer Bailey and his 5.90 ERA and 1.508 WHIP in 13 starts. Take Detroit! |
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06-13-19 | Blue Jays -136 v. Orioles | 12-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
3* MLB - Vegas Money Line MASSACRE on Blue Jays -136 I really like Toronto as a relatively small road favorite against the Orioles. Blue Jays snapped a 5-game losing streak with a 8-6 win over Baltimore on Wednesday. Hard to not like Toronto's chances with Marcus Stroman on the mound. Stroman has a 3.56 ERA and 1.253 WHIP in 5 road starts. He also has a strong 3.68 ERA in 12 career starts against the Orioles. Baltimore is a pathetic 17-42 in their last 59 home games and are a mere 1-6 in their last 7 at home against a team that's won fewer than 40% of their road games. Simply put, this is too good a price with a top tier starter to pass up. Take Toronto! |
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06-12-19 | Rangers +135 v. Red Sox | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 21 m | Show | |
4* MLB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Rangers +135 I really like the value here with Texas as a decently priced road dog against the Red Sox. Boston is struggling to get this thing figured out. Red Sox have started out their 8-game homestand a mere 1-5 after losing the first two in the series to the Rangers. No doubt Boston isn't playing up their potential. They got too much talent to be a sub-.500 team. However, they are pressing right now and I'll look to keep fading them. Red Sox will have a struggling Rick Porcello on the mound, who has a 6.23 ERA and 1.730 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Texas on the other hand has a surging Lance Lynn, who owns a 3.44 ERA and 1.255 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Take Texas! |
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06-12-19 | Reds v. Indians -117 | Top | 7-2 | Loss | -117 | 5 h 26 m | Show |
5* MLB - Interleague GAME OF THE MONTH on Indians -117 Easy play here on Cleveland as a small home favorite. Indians will have little known Zach Plesac on the mound and that's where the value stems from in this one. Plesac has only made 3 big league starts, all 3 since joining the rotation in late May. He's been outstanding, posting a 1.86 ERA and 0.879 WHIP in 3 starts, which includes a road start at Boston and a start at home against the Yankees. Plesac will be up against a Reds offense that would struggle to hit a ball off a tee right now. Cincinnati scored just 1 run in yesterday's loss and have scored 2 or fewer in 4 of their last 5 with a 4 run outburst being their best during this stretch. Phillies are scoring 5.6 runs/game over their last 7 and will be up against Anthony Desclafani. He's got a 4.70 ERA and 1.348 WHIP in 12 starts and a 5.02 ERA and 1.674 over his last 3 outings. Take Cleveland! |
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06-11-19 | Tigers v. Royals -130 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 47 m | Show | |
3* MLB - AL Central PLAY of the DAY on Royals -130 Kansas City is worth a look as a small home favorite against the Tigers with Jake Junis on the mound. That's because Junis has owned Detroit. Junis is 5-1 with a 3.50 ERA and 1.093 WHIP in 8 career starts against the Tigers. That's with 6 of the 8 starts coming in Detroit. In his 2 home starts against the Tigers, he's given up a mere 4 runs with 15 K's on 16 innings of work. Tigers will counter with Spencer Turnbull, who has a solid 3.01 ERA in 13 starts, but is trending in the wrong direction with an ERA at 4.00 over his last 3. Detroit has lost 4 of his last 5 starts. Tigers are also just 4-13 in their last 17 following a loss and 3-7 in their last 10 series openers. Take Kansas City! |
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06-11-19 | Mariners v. Twins -170 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
3* MLB - Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE on Twins -170 Easy play here for me on the Twins at home in Tuesday's series opener against the Mariners. Seattle may have taken over the season home run lead from Minnesota (Twins played fewer games), but this is a rebuilding Mariners team that has been among the worst in baseball of late. Seattle is a mere 15-39 since starting the year out 13-2. Another key here is the starting pitching matchup, which I think heavily favors Minnesota. Seattle's Mike Leake threw a complete game last time out against the Astros, but that was at home. Leake is a mere 1-4 with a 5.57 ERA and 1.357 WHIP in 7 road starts. Twins will have Martin Perez on the rubber. Perez has a 7.29 ERA and 2.107 WHIP in his last 3 starts, but all 3 were on the road. Perez is 2-1 with a 1.80 ERA and 1.080 WHIP in 4 home starts. Take Minnesota! |
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06-11-19 | Diamondbacks +122 v. Phillies | Top | 4-7 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
5* MLB - NL Heavy Hitter GAME OF THE MONTH on Diamondbacks +122 I'm all over the Diamondbacks as a road dog against the Phillies on Tuesday. Arizona is playing too well to not take a shot on them at this price. Diamondbacks defeated the Phillies 13-8 on Monday for their 5th straight win. Arizona has 4 straight games with 10 or more hits and at least 6 runs. That offense will be up against a struggling Jake Arrieta, who has 6.11 ERA and 1.641 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Arrieta has given up 10 runs on 17 hits (5 HRs) and 6 walks in his last 2 starts. While Arizona's offense figures to stay hot, I think Jon Duplantier has the stuff to keep the Phillies in check, at least enough to get the win. Dbacks have won 7 straight on the road against a team with a winning percentage of 60% or better at home. Phillies are just 1-5 in their last 6 off a loss and have lost 4 straight at home against a team with a winning record. Take Arizona! |
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06-10-19 | Dodgers -162 v. Angels | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -162 | 15 h 39 m | Show |
5* MLB - Interleague GAME OF THE WEEK on Dodgers -162 I got no problem laying a little juice with Dodgers in Monday's series opener against their cross-town rivals. Not only are the Dodgers the better team, but they got arguably the Cy Young frontrunner on the mound in Hyun-Jin Ryu. He's 9-1 with a 1.35 ERA and 0.775 WHIP in 12 starts. He's also coming into this one in prime form, as he hasn't allowed a run in either of his last two starts. Angels have not hit left handed starters well this season. They have gone just 9-16 in games where they face a left-handed starter and are scoring just 4.4 runs/game and hitting .249 as a team. Angels are also 0-11 in their last 11 vs a NL starting pitcher with an WHIP of 1.15 or better. LA is also 4-14 in their last 18 vs a team that's outscoring opponents by 1 or more runs/game. Dodgers are 41-14 in Ryu's last 58 starts vs a team with a losing record. Take the Dodgers! |
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06-10-19 | Pirates +147 v. Braves | 7-13 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
3* MLB - Situational DOG OF THE DAY on Pirates +147 Pittsburgh is worth a look here as a decently priced road dog against the Braves. Pirates were just swept over the weekend in a 3-game series at Milwaukee. They are going to be 100% locked in for this one. Braves on the other hand are off a 3-game sweep at Miami and could easily come out flat in this one. The bigger factor here is who the Braves are sending to the mound. Kevin Gausman is going to get a start and it figures to be one of his last. Gausman is expected to be the guy to get the boot in the rotation when newly signed Dallas Keuchel is ready to go. Gausman only has himself to blame, as he's posted a 6.15 ERA and 1.467 WHIP in 12 starts and is trending in the wrong direction with a 13.50 ERA and 2.333 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Take Pittsburgh! |
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06-09-19 | White Sox v. Royals -119 | 5-2 | Loss | -119 | 7 h 47 m | Show | |
4* MLB Money Line NO-BRAINER on Royals -119 Have to pick your spots when backing a poor team like Kansas City and this is definitely one where you want to be on the Royals. Kansas City has such a massive edge on the mound that this is too good a price to pass up. Royals will send out Glenn Sparkman, who has made 2 starts at home and owns 0.73 ERA and 0.649 WHIP. Chicago on the other hand will turn to Reynaldo Lopez and he's 0-4 with a 8.75 ERA and 1.901 WHIP. Lopez also owns an atrocious 12.82 ERA in his last 3 starts and a 5.05 ERA in 10 starts vs the Royals. Take Kansas City! |
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06-09-19 | Twins -223 v. Tigers | 12-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 42 m | Show | |
4* MLB - AL Central PLAY OF THE WEEK on Twins -223 I'm confident the Twins will take care of business on the road in Sunday's series finale against the Tigers. Not only do we have a massive mismatch in terms of talent, but Minnesota will have a huge edge on the mound in this one with Jake Odorizzi facing off against Ryan Carpenter. Odorizzi has been Cy Young material in 2019. He's 8-2 with a 1.96 ERA and 0.964 WHIP in 12 starts. He's not allowed a run in 3 straight start starts, a stretch in which he's posted a 0.674 WHIP. Odorizzi has also made 9 starts against the Tigers and his team has won 7 of them. Carpenter has made 5 starts and owns a 6.23 ERA and 1.385 WHIP. Out of those 5 starts, 3 have come at home and it's not been pretty in those 3. Carpenter has allowed 16 runs on 24 hits (5 HRs) in 16 innings pitched at home. Take Minnesota! |
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06-09-19 | Reds +123 v. Phillies | Top | 4-3 | Win | 123 | 6 h 37 m | Show |
5* MLB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER Top Play on Reds +123 I absolutely love the value here with Cincinnati as a road dog on Sunday. Phillies have won the first two games of the series and 4 in a row overall. Most will look to take Philadelphia, especially with ace Aaron Nola on the mound. However, Nola hasn't been anything close to an elite starter in 2019, despite a solid 6-1 record. Nola owns a 4.63 ERA and atrocious 1.529 WHIP in 13 starts. In his last start he was just rocked for 6 runs on 8 hits and 3 walks in 5 1/3 innings of work at San Diego. While the Phillies will send out one of the more overrated right now, Reds will have one of the more underrated arms on the mound in Sonny Gray. In 12 starts, Gray owns a strong 3.39 ERA and 1.213 WHIP. Gray also has a sizzling 2.89 ERA in 5 road starts and a 1.59 ERA in his last 3 outings. Take Cincinnati! |
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06-08-19 | Nationals -148 v. Padres | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 14 h 58 m | Show | |
4* MLB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Nationals -148 Easy play here on the Nationals. Washington is 9-4 in their last 13 games and 3 of the 4 losses have been by a mere 1-run, which includes each of the first two games in this series. I don't even expect this one to be close, as the Nationals will have Max Scherzer on the mound. Scherzer has had quite the unfortunate start to 2019. He's just 3-5, despite a strong 3.06 ERA and 1.125 WHIP over his 13 starts. He's taking matter into his owns hands. Last time out he allowed 1 run on 3 hits with 15 K's in 8 innings of a 4-1 win at Cincinnati. Scherzer has a 2.37 ERA in 10 career starts against the Padres and my money is on him to dominate in this one. Take Washington! |
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06-08-19 | Yankees v. Indians +118 | 4-8 | Win | 118 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
3* MLB Undervalued DOG OF THE DAY on Indians +118 Love the value here with Cleveland as a home dog against the Yankees. New York is overpriced more times than not and that's especially the case here. Betting public will want nothing to do with Indians starter Adam Plutko after seeing he gave up 7 runs on 12 hits in his last start. However, the start prior to that he only gave up 1 run on 1 hit in 6 innings. With the Yankees not exactly swinging a hot bat, I think he will do just fine in this one. As for the Indians' offense, I think they are going to have success against Yankees starter C.C. Sabathia. While Sabathia owns a very respectable 3.61 ERA and 1.247 WHIP in 9 starts overall, he's got sub-par 5.31 ERA and 1.377 WHIP in 4 road outings. Indians are also swinging a hot bat with 23 runs in their last 4 games. Take Cleveland! |
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06-08-19 | White Sox v. Royals +119 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 3 m | Show |
5* MLB - Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Royals +119 Kansas City snapped a 6-game losing streak with a 6-4 win at home against the White Sox on Friday. Royals have struggled to score runs this season, but have now scored 11 on 24 hits in their last 2 games. I look for KC to stay hot and find a way to get to Chicago starter Lucas Giolito. I know Giolito is coming off a strong May, but I'm not convinced he's completely turned the corner into elite status. He's due for a bad outing. White Sox have also now lost 6 straight on the road and are a mere 8-21 in their last 29 vs a starter with a WHIP worse than 1.30. Royals' Brad Keller has a strong 3.46 ERA in 7 starts against the White Sox, including a 3.00 ERA in 4 starts versus them this season. KC is 15-7 in their last 22 at home vs a team with a losing record. Take Kansas City! |
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06-07-19 | Pirates +233 v. Brewers | 4-10 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 58 m | Show | |
4* MLB - Money Line MASSACRE on Pirates +233 I can't believe the price we are getting on the Pirates Friday night in Milwaukee. I get the Brewers being favored at home with a no name starting for Pittsburgh, but this line is ridiculous. Pirates can easily win this one. I get that Milwaukee's Brandon Woodruff has a 7-1 record, but he owns a very mediocre 3.82 ERA in 12 starts and actually has a 4.05 ERA in his last 3. Not to mention he gave up 6 runs on 10 hits in just 4 innings in his only start this season against Pittsburgh. Pirates also come in swinging a hot bat, as they just put up 18 runs on 34 hits in a 3-game series against Atlanta and are averaging 6.3 runs/game and hitting .312 as a team over their last 7. Take Pittsburgh! |
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06-07-19 | Diamondbacks +130 v. Blue Jays | 8-2 | Win | 130 | 11 h 55 m | Show | |
4* MLB - Money Line NO-BRAINER on Diamondbacks +130 I really like the value here with Arizona as a decently priced road dog against the Blue Jays. The only teams with fewer wins than Toronto are the Orioles and Royals. Blue Jays come in having won just 2 times in their last 9 games. Toronto starter Marcus Stroman has a very strong 2.84 ERA in 13 starts this season, but also owns a sub-par 1.303 WHIP and 3-7 record. Stroman isn't as good as his ERA suggest and it's hard to win games when your offense struggles to score runs. Blue Jays have surpassed 4 runs in just 2 of their last 9 games and average a mere 3.8 runs/game on the season. Arizona's averages 5.1 runs/game. Diamondbacks are a rock-solid 26-19 in their last 45 as a road dog of +100 to +150, while Blue Jays are 8-27 in their last 35 after a 5-game stretch where they had a team batting average of .225 or worse. Take Arizona! |
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06-06-19 | A's v. Angels -123 | 7-4 | Loss | -123 | 14 h 55 m | Show | |
3* MLB - Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT on Angels -123 The Angels are worth a look late on Thursday, as they should have no problem winning at home against the A's. Oakland has been struggling to win games of late, as they are just 1-6 in their last 7. LA is headed in the other direction, as the Angels are 8-4 in their last 12. A's starter Michael Fiers threw a no hitter earlier this season and I think it has him overvalued. He's 0-2 with a 7.76 ERA and 1.575 WHIP in 6 road starts (1-5 team record). Angels will counter with Tyler Skaggs, who has a 2.28 ERA and 1.098 WHIP in 4 home starts. Take Los Angeles! |
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06-06-19 | Yankees v. Blue Jays +178 | 6-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 55 m | Show | |
3* MLB - Undervalued DOG OF THE DAY on Blue Jays +178 We cashed in a huge profit on Toronto yesterday (5* AL East play of the month) and will roll the dice on the Blue Jays as they go for the 3-game sweep of New York. Toronto is getting no love from the books, because it's not been pretty of late for starter Edwin Jackson. However, Jackson is a veteran pitcher and one little tweak can put him right back on track. In fact, Jackson is 14-2 over the last 2 seasons against a team that is hitting .265 or worse. Also, Yankees starter, J.A. Happ, isn't exactly pitching lights out. Happ has an ugly 6.13 ERA in his last 3 starts. Take Toronto! |
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06-05-19 | Red Sox -200 v. Royals | 8-0 | Win | 100 | 12 h 3 m | Show | |
4* MLB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Red Sox -200 No need to overthink this one. Lay double the juice with Boston and cash in an easy winner on the diamond tonight. Red Sox defeated the Royals 8-3 on Tuesday. KC has lost 4 straight and 7 of 8 overall. They got no shot tonight with Boston sending out ace Chris Sale against the likes of Jake Junis. Sale has been throwing it much better of late and owns a 2.90 ERA and 1.233 WHIP in 23 career starts against the Royals. Junis is not very good. He's got a 5.35 ERA and 1.441 WHIP in 12 starts. Take Boston! |
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06-05-19 | Yankees v. Blue Jays +185 | Top | 7-11 | Win | 185 | 11 h 55 m | Show |
5* MLB - AL East GAME OF THE MONTH on Blue Jays +185 I really like the value here with Toronto as a massive home dog against the Yankees on Wednesday. Blue Jays snapped a 6-game losing streak with a 4-3 win over New York on Tuesday. Toronto took down Tanaka in that one and now they are ready to take aim at James Paxton. While Paxton owns a sensational 2.81 ERA and 1.128 WHIP in 8 starts, he's got an ugly 7.20 ERA and 1.867 WHIP in 3 road starts. Toronto will counter with Trent Thornton, who has been a lot better than the numbers would suggest. Adding even more value is a great system in play to fade New York. Favorites of -150 or more that are averaging 1.5 or more homers/game are just 72-102 against the money line over the last 5 seasons. That's a hefty 59% system on an underdog to win outright. Take Toronto! |
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06-04-19 | Phillies +145 v. Padres | 9-6 | Win | 145 | 14 h 58 m | Show | |
3* MLB - Vegas Line MISTAKE on Phillies +145 Big time value here with the Phillies in Tuesday's matchup with the Padres. I just think San Diego is a little overpriced after yesterday's win, which we had as our top play. A lot of people are quick to back the Padres with Chris Paddack on the mound, as he was outstanding to start the year and still has a very strong 2.40 ERA and 0.816 WHIP. However, Paddack has struggled of late and has a 4.59 ERA in his last 3 starts. He served up 3 homers in his last start at New York and has now given up 5 home runs in his last 3 starts (only gave up 2 in his first 7 starts). I look for his struggles to continue here. Take Philadelphia! |
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06-04-19 | Orioles +111 v. Rangers | 12-11 | Win | 111 | 12 h 53 m | Show | |
4* MLB - Money Line NO-BRAINER on Orioles +111 I really like the value here with Baltimore as a dog in Tuesday's series opener against the Rangers. Key here is who the Orioles have on the mound. Baltimore will send out the red-hot Dylan Bundy, who has a 2.94 ERA and 1.091 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Bundy is also fresh off a great outing at home against the Tigers, where he gave up just 3 runs in 7 innings. While the Orioles will have Bundy on the rubber, the Rangers will counter with Drew Smyly and his 5.90 ERA and 1.690 WHIP in 7 starts. Texas is also a mere 3-10 in their last 13 series openers and 1-5 in their last 6 following an off day. Take Baltimore! |
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06-04-19 | Marlins v. Brewers -168 | Top | 16-0 | Loss | -168 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
5* MLB - NL Vegas Insider PLAY OF THE MONTH on Brewers -168 Easy play here on Milwaukee as a big home favorite against the Marlins. Brewers won each of their final 2 games against the Padres by a score of 9-3. Milwaukee is averaging 5.6 runs/game and hitting .285 as a team over their last 7 games. That red-hot offense will be up against the likes of Pablo Lopez, who is an atrocious 1-4 with a 8.26 ERA and 1.623 WHIP in 6 road starts. Brewers will counter with Chase Anderson, who has returned from injury in prime form. While Anderson has struggled to go deep in games, he has a strong 2.78 ERA in 5 starts. Not going deep in games is also not a problem with Milwaukee and their strong bullpen, which should be close to full strength after a day off on Monday. Brewers are 7-2 in Anderson's last 9 home starts vs a team with a losing record, 20-7 as a team in their last 27 vs an opponent that's won fewer than 40% of their games and 21-6 in their last 27 games following an off day. Take Milwaukee! |
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06-03-19 | Phillies v. Padres +126 | Top | 2-8 | Win | 126 | 14 h 54 m | Show |
5* MLB - Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Padres +126 Easy play on the Padres as a home dog against the Phillies in Monday's series opener. Philadelphia is getting way too much love in this spot because of the perceived edge on the mound with ace Aaron Nola starting. Nola has a perfect 6-0 record, but owns a very mediocre 4.18 ERA and 1.484 WHIP. That incldues an awful 5.85 ERA in 4 road starts. Phillies as a team also come in having lost 4 straight and a big reason for their recent struggles is the offense isn't producing. Philadelphia scored 3 or fewer in all 4 losses and were shutout on Sunday. Padres will counter here with Eric Lauer, who I really like in this spot. Lauer has been outstanding at home with a 2.67 ERA and 1.188 WHIP in 6 starts. He's also trending in the right direction with a 1.50 ERA and 0.833 WHIP in his last 3 outings. Take San Diego! |
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06-02-19 | Marlins v. Padres -175 | 9-3 | Loss | -175 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
4* MLB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Padres -175 I got no problem laying a little extra juice on the Padres at home against the lowly Marlins. While San Diego lost yesterday's matchup, they have won 7 of their last 11 overall. Miami is also the team you want to be fading, especially on the road. Even with the win the Marlins are a mere 9-18 on the road this season. Padres will have Matt Strahm on the rubber and he's got a strong 3.21 ERA and 1.107 WHIP in 10 starts. He should have no problem shutting down a Miami offense that is only averaging 3 runs/game and hitting .227 as a team on the road. Take San Diego! |
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06-02-19 | Mets v. Diamondbacks -110 | Top | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 8 h 54 m | Show |
5* MLB - Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Diamondbacks -110 It took a couple extra innings, but Arizona pulled out a 6-5 win in 11 innings on Saturday to snap a 5-game losing streak. I'm confident the Diamondbacks will ride the momentum from yesterday's win to a victory on Sunday. Arizona will have Merrill Kelly on the mound and while he's coming off a poor start at Colorado, he's got a sensational 2.64 ERA and 1.142 WHIP in 5 home starts. Mets will counter with Steven Matz, who has an ugly 5.40 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in 6 road starts. Also, don't be fooled by his 2.87 ERA in his last 3 starts. He's got an atrocious 1.659 WHIP during that stretch. New York is just 6-20 in their last 26 road games, 3-11 in their last 14 during Game 3 of a series and 1-6 in Matz's last 7 road starts vs a team with a losing record. Take Arizona! |
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06-02-19 | Nationals v. Reds +113 | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 54 m | Show | |
4* MLB - Early Money Line NO-BRAINER on Reds +113 This might seem like a great price to back the Nationals with Scherzer on the mound, but I really like this spot for Cincinnati. Reds have been playing well of late and Washington just keeps finding ways to lose when Scherzer gets the start. Nationals have won a mere 2 times in the 12 starts that Scherzer has made this season. Reds also have a pretty good starter of their own going in this one. Cincinnati turns to Sonny Gray, who has a strong 3.37 ERA and 1.214 WHIP in 11 starts overall. Gray has been really good in his last 2 starts, allowing just 1 run on 10 hits with 16 strikeouts in 12 innings of work. Nationals are 2-9 on the season when playing in road games against a team with a losing record and Gray is 14-4 on the money line when listed as a favorite of -125 to a dog of +125. Take Cincinnati! |
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06-01-19 | Mets v. Diamondbacks -103 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 14 h 54 m | Show |
5* MLB - Vegas Insider TOP PLAY on Diamondbacks -103 I love the matchup and value we are getting with Arizona at basically a pick'em at home with ace Zack Greinke on the mound. Greinke is 6-2 with a 2.78 ERA and 0.875 WHIP in 12 starts overall. As good as that is, and that's really good, he's even better at home. Greinke is 3-0 with a 1.75 ERA and 0.778 WHIP in 5 home starts. I get the Mets have reigning Cy Young winner Jacob deGrom on the mound, but he's not been the same guy in 2019. New York is a mere 4-7 in his last 11 starts and he comes in with a 5.06 ERA and 1.375 WHIP over his last 3 starts. Mets have also lost each of his last 4 road starts. Take Arizona! |
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06-01-19 | Nationals +130 v. Reds | 5-2 | Win | 130 | 8 h 54 m | Show | |
3* MLB - Money Line ANNIHILATOR on Nationals +130 This is just too good a price to pass up on the Nationals. The Reds did win the series opener 9-3 on Friday, but Washington is a very respectable 5-2 in their last 7 and a team I think could go on a run now that Trea Turner is back healthy. Either way, no reason for Cincinnati to be this big of a favorite. Nationals are sending out little known Erick Fedde, who has allowed just 1 run in 10 innings over his first two starts of 2019. Reds counter with Tanner Roark and they have lost 4 of his 5 home starts this season. Reds are also a mere 1-6 in their last 7 off a win. Take Washington! |
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06-01-19 | Royals v. Rangers -149 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 49 m | Show | |
3* MLB - Money Line DESTROYER on Rangers -149 Easy play here on the Rangers. Texas has won 3 of their last 4 and have scored at least 6 runs in all 3 wins. They are averaging 5.9 runs/game at home and should eclipse that mark in this one. Kansas City will have Homer Bailey on the mound and he's got a 6.16 ERA and 1.579 WHIP in 5 road starts and a 9.58 ERA and 2.130 WHIP in his last 3 overall. On the flip side of this, Texas will send out veteran Lance Lynn, who turned a corner in the month of May. Lynn comes in with a 2.70 ERA and 1.150 WHIP in his last 3 starts. One of those was against these same Royals and he allowed just 1 run in 7 innings of a 16-1 blowout win. Just so happens it was Bailey on the other side in that game as well. Take Texas! |
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05-31-19 | Tigers +155 v. Braves | Top | 8-2 | Win | 155 | 11 h 4 m | Show |
5* MLB - Interleague 'No Limit' PLAY OF THE MONTH on Tigers +155 Absolutely love the value here with Detroit as a huge road dog against the Braves. It's all about the edge on the mound in this one. Tigers will turn to Spencer Turnbull, who is one of the most underrated starters in the game because he not only has a mere 2-4 record, but because he's on a bad team. Turnbull owns a sensational 2.97 ERA and 1.286 WHIP in 11 starts. He will be up against Mike Foltynewicz, who has a 5.67 ERA in 6 starts overall and a 6.75 ERA and 1.312 WHIP in 4 home starts. Braves have lost 7 of his last 8 starts and are a miserable 6-24 in their last 30 home games vs a right-handed starter. Take Detroit! |
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05-31-19 | Nationals v. Reds +111 | 3-9 | Win | 111 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
3* MLB -Undervalued DOG OF THE DAY on Reds +111 I really like the value here with Cincinnati as a home dog against the Nationals. A lot of people are going to be quick to jump on Washington as a small road favorite, but the Reds have been playing well here of late and starter Tyler Mahle has been outstanding in his two starts at Great American Ballpark. Mahle has allowed just 1 runs on 6 hits in 11 innings in those 2 home starts and one of those was against the Dodgers, where he limited LA to 0 runs in 6 innings. Reds did lose last time out, but are a perfect 6-0 in their last 6 off a loss. Nationals have also gone just 2-8 in their last 10 road games vs a right-handed starter and are just 1-10 in their last 11 following an off day. Take Cincinnati! |
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05-31-19 | Brewers -109 v. Pirates | 4-9 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
3* MLB - Vegas Money Line DESTROYER on Brewers -109 I'm all over Milwaukee here as a small road favorite against the Pirates. Brewers won the series opener 11-5 and it could have been a lot worse for Pittsburgh, as Milwaukee left 12 guys on base. Brewers are 3-1 in their last 4 and in prime spot here to add another victory. Jhoulys Chacin will take the mound for Milwaukee and he's not quite pitched up to his potential, yet still is throwing well enough to get the win here behind a red-hot offense. One that should score early and often against the struggle Chris Archer, who is 1-5 with a 5.75 ERA and 1.549 WHIP in 8 starts. Archer's last 3 starts have been especially bad, as he's 0-3 with a 8.56 ERA and 2.048 WHIP. Take Milwaukee! |
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05-30-19 | Brewers -116 v. Pirates | Top | 11-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show |
5* MLB - NL Central PLAY OF THE WEEK on Brewers -116 Milwaukee is worth a look here as a small road favorite at Pittsburgh on Thursday. Pirates have really cooled off here of late. Pittsburgh is just 3-7 in their last 10, which includes a 1-5 mark in their last 6 at home. Hard to not like the Brewers in this one with Chase Anderson facing off against Joe Musgrove. Anderson has a 2.55 ERA in 4 starts, while Musgrove owns a 4.74 ERA in 10 outings overall and a 6.10 ERA in 4 road outings. Musgrove also has a poor 6.94 ERA and 1.457 WHIP in 2 career starts against the Brewers. Brewers weren't in action on Wednesday and are a dominant 20-6 in their last 26 following an off day. They are also 36-16 in their last 52 series openers. Take Milwaukee! |
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05-30-19 | Cardinals -106 v. Phillies | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 49 m | Show | |
4* MLB - Early Bird HEAVY HITTER on Cardinals -106 I'll take my chances with St Louis on the money line in Thursday's series finale at Philadelphia. The fact that the Cardinals are favored really says it all. Public will be all over a Phillies team that is 9-3 in their last 12, won the first two of this series and own a 20-10 record at home. Why is St Louis favored? It all comes down to the starting pitching matchup. The Cardinals will send out the red-hot Dakota Hudson, who has a 3.07 ERA in his last 5 starts and has delivered a Quality Start in each of his last 3 outings. Phillies will counter with the struggling Jerad Eickhoff, who has an awful 9.75 ERA in his last 3 starts. Cardinals offense hasn't been there of late, but now is the time to jump on, as they are 20-4 in their last 24 after scoring 4 or fewer runs in 3 straight games. Take St Louis! |
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05-29-19 | Mets +185 v. Dodgers | Top | 8-9 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 54 m | Show |
5* MLB - Vegas Insider GAME OF THE MONTH on Mets +185 I can't believe we are getting the same value as yesterday with the Mets. We cashed in an easy winner on New York Tuesday at +185. The Mets got no respect at all yesterday against Rich Hill and now are getting zero love against Walker Buehler with Noah Syndergaard going for them. While Syndergaard hasn't exactly lived up to expectations in 2019, the guy has thrown a complete game shutout and mixed in several other great outings. You just don't get a pitcher of this kind talent at this price often. The even bigger factor here is the Mets are swinging a hot bat. New York has scored at least 4 runs in 9 straight games and have hit 5 or more in 8 of those 9. That kind of offense can win any game. Take New York! |
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05-29-19 | Pirates +142 v. Reds | 7-2 | Win | 142 | 6 h 29 m | Show | |
3* MLB - Early Bird Money Line DESTROYER on Pirates +142 Easy play here on the Pirates as a decently priced road dog at Cincinnati. Pittsburgh getting no love here because starter Steven Brault has a 9.39 ERA and 2.086 WHIP. However, he's only made two starts and his last outing was way back on the 12th. He's lot better than that. In fact, Brault has owned the Reds in his career. He's made 8 appearances against them and is 3-0 with a 1.27 ERA. Home favorites of -125 to -175 that are off a win by 4 or more in a game that had 17 or more combined runs are just 26-47 (36%) on the money line over the last 5 seasons. That's the exact spot we find the Reds. Take Pittsburgh! |
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05-28-19 | Mets +185 v. Dodgers | 7-3 | Win | 185 | 14 h 54 m | Show | |
4* MLB - Late Night VEGAS INSIDER on Mets +185 Unbelievable value here with New York as a massive road dog against the Dodgers on Tuesday. While the Mets come in off a 9-5 loss to Kershaw and the Dodgers Monday, New York is 6-2 in their last 8 games and a big reason for that is the offense. Despite coming in a losing effort this time, Mets have now scored 4 or more runs in 8 straight games. They are slugging .508 as a team over their last 7 (slugging .411 on the season). At this price, this is just too good to pass up. Dodgers will have Rich Hill on the mound, but that's actually a positive for NY. Hill owns an awful 7.31 ERA and 1.694 WHIP in 6 starts against the Mets. LA comes in red-hot, but are just 7-13 over the last 2 seasons when riding a winning streak of 4 or more. Mets are also 14-5 in Matz last 19 starts off a loss. Take New York! |
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05-28-19 | Tigers -109 v. Orioles | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show |
5* MLB - Vegas HEAVY HITTER Top Play on Tigers -109 Easy play here on Detroit as a small road favorite at Baltimore Tuesday. Tigers have been a lot more competitive than their recent record would suggest. They are averaging 4.0 runs and hitting .259 as a team over their last 7, yet are 1-6. I believe that offense will be able to produce more than enough runs to get the win behind starter Matt Boyd. In 11 starts this season, Boyd has a 3.11 ERA and 1.005 WHIP with 80 strikeouts in 66 2/3 innings of work. Baltimore will have Dylan Bundy on the mound. Bundy has a 4.68 ERA in 6 home starts and the Orioles as a team are just 1-5 in those 6 outings. Baltimore is also a mere 3-13 in their last 16 vs a left-handed starter and 0-9 in Bundy's last 9 starts vs a team with a losing record. Take Detroit! |
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05-27-19 | Rangers +110 v. Mariners | 2-6 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 54 m | Show | |
4* MLB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Rangers +110 Rangers are worth a look here at pretty much even money on the road against the Mariners. While Texas just lost 2 of 3 at the Angels, they are 8-3 in their last 11 overall. While the Rangers are surging, Seattle has completely fallen off the map. Mariners have lost 6 straight and 9 of 10 overall. Not only are the Mariners struggling to keep their opponents from scoring a bunch of runs, they just aren't producing at the plate. Hard to not like the Rangers chances in this one with a red-hot Lance Lynn on the mound. Lynn has a 2.57 ERA and 0.952 WHIP in his last 3 starts, all of which he completed 7 innings. Take Texas! |
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05-27-19 | Pirates v. Reds -200 | Top | 8-5 | Loss | -200 | 5 h 54 m | Show |
5* MLB - Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Reds -200 I got no problem laying the big number with Cincinnati at home in Game 1 of their double-header against the Pirates. Reds will have one of the best starters in the game going in Luis Castillo. The guy is 5-1 with a 2.38 ERA and 1.041 WHIP in 11 starts. He's even tougher to score against at home, as he owns a 1.89 ERA and 0.789 WHIP in 6 home starts. While Cincinnati has a legit ace on the mound, Pittsburgh will be counting on the likes of Nick Kingham and his 10.12 ERA and 2.125 WHIP. Last time out Kingham gave up 7 runs on 10 hits in 4 innings. I just don't see a struggling Pirates offense being able to score enough in this one. Take Cincinnati! |
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05-26-19 | Mariners +130 v. A's | 1-7 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
3* MLB - Money Line DESTROYER on Mariners +130 Mariners are worth a look here as a decently priced road dog at Oakland. No doubt we are getting some great value here on the money line with Seattle. A's have won 8 straight and the Mariners have lost 5 in a row. Oakland is going to have Brett Anderson on the mound and he's not exactly been great in 2019. Anderson owns a 4.14 ERA and an ugly 1.362 WHIP in 10 starts. In his last 2 starts against the Mariners, he's given up 9 runs on 13 hits (5 HRs) in just 8 1/3 innings of work. Seattle will have Mike Leake on the mound and they lost his last start. That's worth noting, as the Mariners are 12-3 in Leake's last 15 starts following a loss in his last outing. Take Seattle! |
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05-26-19 | Red Sox +158 v. Astros | 4-1 | Win | 158 | 6 h 54 m | Show | |
4* MLB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Red Sox +158 Red Sox are worth a look here as a big dog against the Astros on Sunday. Not very often will you see Boston at this price, but the Astros are playing well and appear to have a massive edge on the mound with Justin Verlander against the struggling Eduardo Rodriguez. While Rodriguez has struggled in his last 2 starts, we know the guy has good stuff and Houston has cooled off considerable at the plate. In fact, Astros have scored 4 or fewer runs in 4 straight and 6 of their last 7 overall. I just think at this price, it's worth a shot on the Red Sox in this one. Take Boston! |
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05-26-19 | White Sox +220 v. Twins | Top | 0-7 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 54 m | Show |
5* MLB - AL Central GAME of the MONTH on White Sox +220 I absolutely love the value here with Chicago at more than a 2 to 1 dog Sunday. Minnesota is simply way overpriced due to them coming into this game having won 5 straight and 10 of their last 11 overall. Note that lone loss came in a flat spot last Sunday, as they had already won the first 3 games of their series against Seattle. They have outscored the White Sox 19-5 in the first two of this series and I think they will have a tough time showing up to the park motivated for this early game against a bad team. Take Chicago! |
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05-25-19 | Dodgers v. Pirates +165 | Top | 7-2 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 44 m | Show |
5* MLB Vegas Heavy Hitter TOP PLAY on Pirates +165 Absolutely love the value here with Pittsburgh as a massive home dog against the Dodgers. LA is a massive public team and with them playing well and having a strong starter on the mound, no doubt the books inflated the line here. Pittsburgh will have a capable starter on the mound in Joe Musgrove, and he's coming off back-to-back strong starts. Pirates have won 4 of his last 5 starts at home against a team with a winning record. Dodgers will have lefty Hyun-Jin Ryu on the mound. While he's been great, the Dodgers are just 2-14 in his last 16 road starts vs a team with a winning record and the Pirates are 6-2 in their last 8 at home vs a left-handed starter. Take Pittsburgh! |
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05-25-19 | Braves v. Cardinals +100 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Cardinals +100 St Louis is worth a look here at even money on Saturday. Just too good a price to pass up with the Cardinals at home. Atlanta is simply getting too much love with Mike Soroka on the mound. St Louis has a very capable starter of their own in Dakota Hudson, who has a strong 3.76 ERA in 5 home starts. While the Braves are playing well, Atlanta is just 14-24 in their last 38 when they go into a contest having won 6 of 8. Cardinals on the other hand are 9-2 in their last 11 at home with a money line of -125 to +125. Take St Louis! |
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05-25-19 | Rays +122 v. Indians | 6-2 | Win | 122 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
4* MLB Money Line NO-BRAINER on Rays +122 Tampa Bay is worth a look here as a road dog. This is a great price to back the Rays with Charlie Morton on the mound. Morton is 4-0 with a 2.65 ERA and 1.196 WHIP in 10 starts. He's 3-0 with a 1.95 ERA in 6 road starts, which the Rays have gone 5-1. Cleveland will have Carlos Carrasco on the mound and he's just 4-4 with a 4.30 ERA in 10 starts. He has been better of late, but is coming off a poor outing at home against the A's and in his last 2 starts vs the Rays, he's allowed 8 runs on 15 hits and 4 walks in 13 1/3 innings. Indians are also a mere 3-16 over the last 2 seasons against an AL starter with a ERA of 2.90 or better. Take Tampa Bay! |
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05-24-19 | Braves +142 v. Cardinals | Top | 5-2 | Win | 142 | 12 h 59 m | Show |
5* MLB No Limit PLAY OF THE MONTH on Braves +142 Love the value here with Atlanta in Friday's series opener against the Cardinals. I'm not so sure St Louis should be favored. Cardinals have not been playing well. St Louis is just 5-14 in their last 19. It's also a weird spot for them, as they have been off 3 of the last 4 days and the one day they did play they had to play a double-header. Cardinals will have Miles Mikolas on the mound and he's got a mere 4.88 ERA in 10 starts. Last time out Mikolas couldn't even complete 2 innings, as he was pulled after giving up 7 runs on 9 hits. He's just not been the same guy that we saw in 2018. Atlanta will turn to Mike Foltynewicz. When he's on and healthy, he's one of the better starters the Braves have. He had to miss some time and has not looked great in 5 starts, but was sharp last time out against the Brewers, holding a potent Milwaukee offense to just 2 runs on 3 hits in 6 innings. Take Atlanta! |
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05-24-19 | White Sox +190 v. Twins | 4-11 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 54 m | Show | |
4* MLB Underdog PLAY OF THE WEEK on White Sox +190 I think this is a great spot and price to back Chicago. The White Sox are going to come into this series with a ton of confidence, as they just took the final 2 games of their series with the Astros, which featured a complete-game shutout by Giolito on Thursday. No doubt Chicago is going to want to keep it going against a red-hot Twins team that has a 8-game lead in the AL Central. As for Minnesota, I just feel like this is a flat spot for them. Twins just capped off a 7-game road trip out west with a 16-7 win on Thursday, which featured an impressive 8 homers. Believe it or not, it's a feat they have already accomplished once this season. Really easy for them to not take this series seriously against a team like Chicago. Overall numbers for today's two starters favor Minnesota, but recent form is in favor of Chicago. White Sox Reynaldo Lopez has a 2.29 ERA and 1.017 WHIP in his last 3 starts, while Twins starter Jose Berrios has a 4.67 ERA and 1.557 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Take Chicago! |
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05-24-19 | Reds +151 v. Cubs | 6-5 | Win | 151 | 6 h 4 m | Show | |
4* MLB Early Bird VEGAS INSIDER on Reds +151 Big time value here with Cincinnati as a big road dog against the Cubs. Chicago's Kyle Hendricks has a 2.53 ERA in his last 6 starts and was on quite a run up until his last start. Hendricks had a no-hitter going thru 4 innings, but blew up and allowed 4 runs in the 5th and was forced out of the game. Hendricks needs to be on top of his game to be effective and I think we could see him struggle in this one. Cubs are also coming off a huge 4-game series against the Phillies and I could see them being a little flat here with an early start. Reds on the other hand have really been playing good baseball over the last month and will be highly motivated to show what they got against a team like the Cubs. Numbers aren't great for Reds starter Anthony Desclafani, but he's pitched well against the Cubs in his career and the Reds have won 5 of his last 6 starts. That includes 4 straight wins on the road. Take Cincinnati! |
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05-23-19 | Braves v. Giants +100 | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 29 m | Show | |
3* MLB Money Line ANNIHILATOR on Giants +100 Easy play here on San Francisco even money at home with ace Madison Bumgarner on the mound. Giants have won each of Bumgarner's last 4 straight and it's important to note the early start with this game. Bumgarner has a 2.70 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in 3 day starts this season. Atlanta is going to counter with Kevin Gausman, who has just not lived up to the hype. Gausman is 2-3 with a 4.31 ERA and 1.250 WHIP. However, I'm more focused on the ugly 5.19 ERA and 1.731 WHIP in 4 road starts. Gausman has made only one start in a day game and it wasn't pretty, as he gave up 5 runs on 5 hits and 2 walks in 5 innings. Take San Francisco! |
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05-23-19 | Marlins +148 v. Tigers | Top | 5-2 | Win | 148 | 5 h 54 m | Show |
5* MLB Vegas HEAVY HITTER Top Play on Marlins +148 This is just too good a price to pass up on the Marlins. Miami is playing as well as they have all season, as they come in on a 5-game winning streak, which includes wins over Detroit in the first two games of this series. As for the Tigers, they have lost 8 in a row. Detroit is getting love because they have a strong starter going in Matt Boyd, but the problem with the Tigers is they can't score runs. Detroit is scoring just 3.3 runs/game on the season and it's been even worse than that of late, as they are averaging just 2.6 runs/game over their last 7 games. Tigers are a mere 1-10 in their last 11 home games, 0-7 in their last 7 off a loss, 0-4 in their last 4 during game 3 of a series and 0-8 in their last 8 at home vs a right-handed starter. Take Miami! |
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05-22-19 | Phillies +144 v. Cubs | 4-8 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 37 m | Show | |
3* MLB Vegas Money Line DESTROYER on Phillies +144 Philadelphia is worth a look here as a decently priced dog at Chicago. Despite blowing yesterday's game in the bottom of the 9th, the Phillies are 4-1 in their last 5 and I look for them to take the series with a win tonight. Cole Irvin will take the mound for Philadelphia and he's been lights out in his first two big league starts. Irvin is 2-0 with a 2.77 ERA and 0.923 WHIP. He'll be facing a Cubs offense that has scored 3 or fewer runs in 4 of their last 6. Phillies are 18-4 in their last 22 when revenging a one run loss and 12-2 in their last 14 in game 3 of a series. Take Philadelphia! |
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05-22-19 | Marlins +107 v. Tigers | Top | 6-3 | Win | 107 | 11 h 42 m | Show |
5* MLB Interleague GAME OF THE MONTH on Marlins +107 This is a great price to jump on Miami. Marlins might be one of the worst teams in the league, but they aren't playing like it. Miami has won 4 straight and will be facing a Tigers team that has lost 7 straight. Key here is the Marlins have a big edge on the mound. Jose Urena doesn't look great with a 1-6 record and 4.27 ERA in 9 starts. However, those numbers are misleading. He's gone at least 6 innings in each of his last 6 starts and allowed 2 or fewer run 5 times during this run. He's facing a Tigers offense that is one of the worst in the league, averaging 3.3 runs/game and hitting .217 as a team. While Detroit figures to struggle to score, Marlins should score early and often. Tigers will turn to Daniel Norris and he's got a 4.55 ERA in 6 starts overall and a 5.94 ERA in his last 3 outings. When he is out, he will turn it over to a Tigers bullpen that has a 5.56 ERA. Take Miami! |
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05-22-19 | Yankees v. Orioles +220 | 7-5 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
3* MLB Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY on Orioles +220 Simply too much value here with Baltimore as a massive home division dog. While the Yankees have won the first two in the series, Orioles have put up 11 runs on 21 hits. I think that offense is more than capable of putting up a big number here against C.C. Sabathia. While Sabathia comes in with a sharp 2.97 ERA and 1.211 WHIP in 7 starts, there's going to be some regression going forward. Sabathia has also not been nearly as good on the road, where he owns a 4.70 ERA and 1.305 WHIP. Baltimore's Daniel Staily has really picked up his game against division opponents, going 24-10 in his last 34 starts against a division rival. It's also worth mentioning that the home plate umpire will be David Rackley. Home team has won 7 of his last 10 games behind the plate including a 5-1 record when the Yankees are the road team. Take Baltimore! |
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05-22-19 | A's v. Indians +120 | 7-2 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 34 m | Show | |
4* MLB Early Bird Money Line SMASH on Indians +120 Big game here for Cleveland and I expect them to get the job done. Indians will be highly motivated to avoid getting swept after dropping the first two to the A's. Oakland on the other hand has secured a winning record on their current 8-game road trip and could get caught looking ahead to their flight back home, especially with a day off on Thursday. Indians will have Jefry Rodriguez on the mound and he's been a heck of a lot better than his 1-3 record would suggest. Rodriguez has a very strong 3.45 ERA and 1.181 WHIP. He also just faced the A's in Oakland a couple starts back and limited them to 3 runs in 6 innings of a Indians win. No way should Cleveland be a home dog here. Indians are a dominant 16-5 in their last 21 after losing the first two games of a series. Take Cleveland! |
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05-21-19 | Reds +130 v. Brewers | Top | 3-0 | Win | 130 | 11 h 12 m | Show |
5* MLB NL Central GAME of the MONTH on Reds +130 I think the Reds are worth a look in Tuesdays's series opener against the Brewers. Cincinnati has been playing better than .500 ball since their dreadful 1-8 start to the season and will be up for another shot at the defending NL Central champs, especially after Milwaukee swept the Reds in Cincinnati earlier this season (all 3 wins were by exactly 1-run). Brewers are just 4-4 over their last 8, so they aren't exactly playing their best. I also think this is a bit of a flat spot for Milwaukee, as they just finished up a lengthy 10-game road trip on Sunday. Gio Gonzalez has pitched well in his first 4 starts for the Brewers, but he doesn't go deep in games and is due for a poor outing. Reds are 9-3 in their last 12 vs a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15, 6-2 in their last 8 on the road vs a team with a winning record and 10-4 in their last 14 off a SU loss. Take Cincinnati! |
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05-21-19 | Red Sox v. Blue Jays +140 | 3-10 | Win | 140 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
3* MLB Undervalued DOG OF THE DAY on Blue Jays +140 I'm confident the Blue Jays will come out with a win and cash in a nice ticket as a decently priced home dog against the Red Sox. No denying that Boston is the better team, but it's the Blue Jays who will have a massive edge on the mound in this one. Toronto will send out Marcus Stroman, who has a 2.95 ERA and 1.293 WHIP in 10 starts. Most of that success has come at home, where he has a 2.60 ERA in 6 starts. Boston will counter with Eduardo Rodriguez, who has a mere 4.89 ERA and 1.429 WHIP in 9 starts and a awful 6.98 ERA and 1.966 WHIP in 4 road starts. Take Toronto! |
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05-20-19 | Diamondbacks +130 v. Padres | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 42 m | Show | |
3* MLB Money Line DESTROYER on Diamondbacks +130 Arizona is worth a look here as a decently priced road dog against the Padres. This looks like quite the pitching matchup with Luke Weaver of Arizona going up against Chris Paddack of San Diego. Paddack has the better numbers and the Padres are at home, but he was not sharp at all in his last start and he's due for some regression. Weaver on the other hand comes in with a 2.25 ERA and 0.900 WHIP in his last 3 starts. He's also 3-0 with a strong 2.38 ERA and 1.059 WHIP in 4 road starts and owns a 2.28 ERA and 1.014 WHIP in 4 career starts vs San Diego. Another thing is the Dbacks have a big edge offensively. Arizona is averaging 5.6 runs/game on the road, while the Padres are scoring a mere 3.4 runs/game at home. Take Arizona! |
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05-20-19 | Yankees v. Orioles +180 | Top | 10-7 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 37 m | Show |
5* MLB AL East GAME OF THE MONTH on Orioles +180 Big time value with Baltimore in Monday's series opener against the Yankees. While New York is the better team, no way should they be this big of a favorite on the road against a division rival. Easy spot here for the Yankees to come out flat, as they just closed a 4-1 homestand and swept two games at home against Baltimore last week. Runs have been tough to come by for the Orioles, but I look for them to get the offense going. Yankees will have J.A. Happ on the mound and he's got a 4.44 ERA in 9 starts. Baltimore on the flip side of this will have Andrew Cashner on the mound. Cashner has a very strong 2.45 ERA and 1.146 WHIP in 3 home starts. My money is on him keeping the Yankees in check. Take Baltimore! |
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05-19-19 | Giants +154 v. Diamondbacks | 3-2 | Win | 154 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
3* MLB NL West PLAY OF THE DAY on Giants +154 This is just too good a price to pass up with San Francisco. The Giants are fresh off a 8-5 win on Saturday and I look for them to carry that momentum over to Sunday. Arizona has lost 8 of their last 13 and have been absolutely dreadful on Sunday. Diamondbacks are 1-11 in their last 12 games played on Sunday. I don't know if they are staying out to late or what, but this team is not performing in this spot. Same goes for starter Robbie Ray, who is 0-5 in his last 5 starts on Sunday. Arizona is also just 1-4 in their last 5 after scoring 5 or more in their previous game. Giants have won 9 of their last 13 in the series. Take San Francisco! |