5* MLB - Astros/Yankees ALCS Vegas INSIDER on Astros -140

We cashed in a Top Play on the Astros in Game 4 last night and will fire right back with Houston in Game 5. It's game over for the Yankees. This Astros team is too good and they aren't going to take their foot off the gas until the job is done. 

It certainly helps they got one of the best pitchers in the game on the mound in Justin Verlander, who you know is going to be 100% locked in, knowing he can end New York's season on their home field. 

I just think with how James Paxton has looked in his two postseason starts, the Yankees are going to behind the 8-ball from the get go. Paxton gave up 3 runs on 5 hits in 4 2/3 innings against Minnesota and lasted just 2 1/3 innings in Game 2 of this series. Take Houston! 

5* MLB - Astros/Yankees ALCS G4 VEGAS INSIDER on Astros +121

I like the value here with Houston as a road dog in Game 4 of the ALCS. Astros are up 2-1 in the series and I just don't see them not advancing. I think we are getting value with Houston in Game 4 because of how Zack Greinke has struggled in his first two postseason starts. 

Greinke was really bad in his lone start against the Rays, but he was much better in Game 1 despite the Yankees winning 7-0. I think Greinke is poised for a great outing. I know Masahiro Tanaka was outstanding in Game 1 and has pitched well in the postseason, but with the wind blowing out tonight, I think Houston's lineup will get to him early. 

Note that one of the big problems for Tanaka is how teams are able to adjust to him after seeing his stuff. Tanaka has allowed opposing teams to post a ridiculous .309 average the third time through the order. I know this is a new start, but I think it definitely benefits the Astros having just seen Tanaka a few days ago. Take Houston! 

5* MLB - Astros/Yankees Game 3 NO-BRAINER on Yankees +150

Absolutely love this spot and price with the Yankees as a huge home dog against the Astros. Houston is without a doubt the consensus pick to win it all right now and it has them overvalued. Yankees are every bit as good as the Astros and simply should not be this big a dog at home. 

I know Houston has Gerrit Cole on the mound and he's been unbelievable of late, but this Yankees lineup is not like others. They got power up and down the order and have given Cole trouble in the post. He has a 4.15 ERA in 2 starts against the Yankees. 

It's also not like New York isn't in great shape on the mound. They will send out Luis Severino, who has a 1.50 ERA in his last 3 starts and has a 0.00 ERA and 0.778 WHIP in 2 home starts. In his 2 starts vs Houston last year, he threw a complete game 5-hit shutout and allowed 2 runs in 7 innings in the other. Take New York! 

5* MLB - NL Champ Series PLAY OF THE MONTH on Cardinals +123

St Louis is worth a look here as a road dog against the Nationals in Game 3 of the NLCS. It couldn't have gone much worse for the Cardinals in Games 1 and 2 at home. Now no one is giving them a chance in Game 3 at Washington with the Nats sending out Strasburg. 

As good as Strasburg has been in the postseason, but I'm on the Jack Flaherty bandwagon. Guy has a ridiculous 0.91 ERA since the All-Star break. He was outstanding in both his starts against the Braves in the NLDS and both of those were on the road. Cardinals make this a series and avoid falling behind 3-0. Take St Louis! 

5* MLB - Yankees/Astros NO LIMIT Top Play  on Yankees +148

We cashed in on the Yankees at a similar price in their easy 7-0 win in Game 1 and will fire right back with New York in Game 2. The Yankees got something going right now. They didn't miss a beat after a decent layoff following their sweep of the Twins. I'm betting on more of the same from New York's offense. 

Justin Verlander was not the same guy when he threw on 3 days rest in the ALDS. While he will be on the normal 4 days here, I don't think he will dominant here. New York also has a good starter going in James Paxton, who has a strong 3.24 ERA in 14 career starts against Houston. 

Yankees are 14-1 in their last 15 after allowing 2 runs or less in 3 straight games. They have won 20 of their last 29 against a starter with a WHIP of 1.15 or less. Take New York! 

5* MLB - Yankees/Astros NO LIMIT Top Play on Yankees +145

I really like the value here with New York in Game 1 of the ALCS. Much different series for these two in the ALDS. The Yankees swept the Twins in convincing fashion. They won all 3 games by at least 4 runs and outscored Minnesota 23-7. Astros on the other hand were taken to a winner-take-all Game 5 against the Rays. 

I just think after all the emotion that comes with a winner-take-all matchup, there's got to be a bit of a letdown, especially given the Astros just played that Game 5 against Tampa Bay on Thursday. Let's also not ignore the horrible start by Houston's Zack Greinke in the ALDS, he gave up 6 runs on 5 hits (3 HRs) in 3 2/3 innings. Take New York! 

5* MLB - Nats/Cards NLCS G1 VEGAS INSIDER on Nationals +115

The Nationals are definitely worth a look here as a road dog in Game 1 of the NLCS against the Cardinals. Washington just took out the NL favorites in the Dodgers and I think this team has something special going. They rallied to win the Wild Card game against Milwaukee and had their backs against the wall in Game 5 at Los Angeles. 

Cardinals had that epic 10-run first inning in their Game 5 win over the Braves, but I just don't think St Louis stacks up with Washington. Anibal Sanchez might be the weakest of the Nationals postseason starters, but he pithed really well in his only start against the Dodgers, limiting them to 1 run on 4 hits with 9 K's in 5 innings. 

Cardinals starter Miles Mikolas has given up 8 runs on 27 hits with just 10 K's in his last 3 starts against the Nationals. Look for Washington to get up early and hold on for the win. Take the Nationals! 

5* MLB - Dodgers/Nats Game 5 VEGAS INSIDER on Nationals +142

I love the value here with Washington in the winner take all Game 5 showdown with a lot of teams World Series favorite in the Dodgers. The Nationals came into this series playing with house money after that epic rally against the Brewers in the Wild Card game. 

As good as Max Scherzer is, Washington has to love that this start will go to Stephen Strasburg. The guy has been an absolute machine in the postseason. Strasburg has pitched 28 innings in the playoffs and has posted a 0.64 ERA. He allowed just 1 run on 3 hits with 0 walks and 10 K's in Game 2 at LA, improving his lifetime ERA to 2.57 in 12 career starts against the Dodgers. Take Washington! 

5* MLB - Astros/Rays ALDS Game 3 NO-BRAINER on Rays +138

Way too good a price here on Tampa Bay at home in Game 3 against the Astros. Rays will have their ace Charlie Morton on the mound, who was unable to pitch in Game 1 or 2 because he started the Wild Card win at Oakland. 

Morton was on his game in that outing. He didn't allow an earned run in 5 innings. He's got a 1.04 ERA and 1.039 WHIP in his last 3 outings, so he's in prime form. He also went 8-3 with a 2.59 ERA and 0.958 WHIP in 17 home starts. He seems to love the spotlight, as he's 4-0 with a 2.00 ERA in 5 playoff starts. 

Zack Greinke will go for Houston and he's one of the top starters in the league. However, he just 4-6 in 14 career starts against the Rays. He faced them once in 2019 (late August) and it didn't go well. He allowed 5 runs no 6 hits (2 HRs) in 5 2/3 innings. 

Rays are 14-8 last 22 as a home dog of +125 to +175 and Greinke is a mere 4-18 in his last 22 starts vs a team from the AL East. Take Tampa Bay! 

5* MLB - Cardinals/Braves ML NO-BRAINER on Braves +118

No way I'm passing up on Atlanta as a home dog with them down 0-1 in the series. A loss here and they are basically done for. Jack Flaherty is going for St Louis and that's why they are getting so much love, but Cardinals are just 1-4 in his last 5 road starts vs a team with a winning record. Also, even with yesterday's win, St Louis is just 1-6 last 7 playoff road games. 

Braves will turn to Mike Foltynewicz. It took a little bit for Foltynewicz to get going, but he finished out the year with a 2.00 ERA and 0.722 WHIP in his last 3 starts. That includes 8 shutout innings in his last home start. He's only given up 10 hits in his last 18 innings of work. Braves 7-1 in his last 8 starts vs a team with a winning record and 5-0 in his last 5 at home. Take Atlanta! 

5* MLB - Cards/Braves NLDS Game 1 VEGAS INSIDER on Braves -134

Atlanta is definitely worth a look here as a small home favorite against the Cardinals in Game 1 of their NLDS matchup. Braves were 50-31 at home, while St Louis was just 41-40 on the road. 

Cardinals will start Miles Mikolas, who is just 4-8 with a 5.40 ERA and 1.415 WHIP in 17 road starts this season. Braves will counter with Dallas Keuchel, who has a strong 2.74 ERA and 1.155 WHIP in 10 home starts. 

St Louis is 1-11 in their last 11 road games vs a team that's won between 54% and 62% of their games, losing in this spot by an average of 3.4 runs/game. Braves have won 13 of their last 17 at home vs a right-handed starter. Take Atlanta! 

5* MLB - A's/Rays AL Wild Card VEGAS INSIDER on A's -130

Easy play here for me on the A's to find a way to advance in tonight's AL Wild card game. Oakland will send out Sean Manaea, who has been outstanding since his return to action. Manaea missed almost a year with a ton labrum. Manaea has gone 4-0 with a 1.21 ERA and a sensational 0.78 WHIP in 5 starts.

Some might see this as a fluke given it usually takes guys some time to get back in the groove of things. However, we are talking about a guy that won 12 games in both 2017 and 2018. No reason not to ride the hot hand, especially pitching at home. 

Rays just 31-66 last 97 on the road vs a team that's won more than 60% of their home games and 4-9 in their last 13 vs a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. A's 13-3 last 16 home games vs a team with a winning record and have won 8 of Manaea's last 10 home starts. Take Oakland! 

5* MLB - Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Mets -105

Mets are worth a look at basically a pick'em at home against the Braves. Atlanta's focus is on the playoffs, not winning the finale. Mets on the other have found some life late even while out of the race because of the record setting home run performance by rookie Pete Alonso. 

I expect New York to be 100% invested in ending their season with a win on Sunday and they got a good guy on the mound to help them do that in Noah Syndergaard. Braves will start Mike Soroka, who has had a great rookie season, but he's not going to go deep at all with a start in the NLDS looming. Take New York! 

4* MLB - Money Line MASSACRE on Phillies -160

Might not seem like there's much at stake for the Phillies in the regular-season finale, but Philadelphia can post their first winning record since 2011 with a win on Sunday. That should be more than enough motivation for them to beat Miami at home. They also got some incentive to finish off the sweep after winning the first two in the series. 

Marlins will send out Sandy Alcantara and they are a mere 1-8 in his last 9 road starts, 1-6 in his last 7 vs a division foe and 0-7 in his last 7 after throwing a Quality Start in his last outing. Take Philadelphia! 

3* MLB - Money Line DESTROYER on Brewers -140

The Brewers finally lost a game, but I don't see them dropping back-to-back contests. They still got a shot here to win the NL Central and avoid that Wild Card game. Offense wasn't the problem in yesterday's loss and they should put up another big number here. 

Rockies will send out Chi Chi Gonzalez, who  has an awful 6.41 ERA and 1.830 WHIP in 5 starts at Coors Field this season. Brewers starter Gio Gonzalez has a 2.25 ERA in his last 3 starts and a 3.07 ERA in 9 road starts. Take Milwaukee! 

5* MLB - Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Padres +149

Love the value here with San Diego as a big road dog against the Diamondbacks. I get Arizona is playing well, but there's nothing at stake here for the Dbacks.

Arizona starter, Robbie Ray is also a guy worth fading right now. Ray has an ugly 7.50 ERA and 1.417 WHIP in his last 3 starts. That includes his last outing, which came against these same Padres. Ray gave up 4 runs in just 5 1/3 innings. He's got a mere 4.15 ERA in 15 career starts against the Padres. 

Ray is also the guy to fade when he's facing a bad team. Arizona is 1-7 in his last 8 starts when facing a team that's won between 38% and 46% of their games. Dbacks are also just 3-7 in his last 10 starts vs a division opponent. Take San Diego!

5* MLB - NL Money Line PLAY OF THE MONTH on Padres +120

The Padres are worth a look here as a decently priced road dog against the Diamondbacks. Arizona just took 2 of 3 at home against St Louis, but there was motivation there to play spoiler against the Cardinals. 

There's zero to play for against the Padres and I could a big lack of focus in this final series of the season. Padres will have Eric Lauer on the mound and he's really enjoyed starting against Arizona. Lauer has a 2.88 ERA in 6 career starts against the Diamondbacks. Padres have won 6 of his last 8 against a division opponent and are 4-0 when he's on 6 days of rest. Take San Diego! 

4* MLB - Money Line MASSACRE on Brewers -154

Milwaukee can't be stopped right now. The Brewers just finished off a sweep of the Reds in Cincinnati with a 5-3 win on Thursday. Milwaukee has now won 7 in a row and I don't see them slowing down against a Rockies team that threw in the towel on 2019 a long time ago. 

Colorado is 2-6 in their last 8 and are not swinging the bats well. Milwaukee's Zach Davies has a 3.01 ERA in 15 road starts and comes in with a 2.70 ERA and 0.975 WHIP in his last 3 outings. Rockies will start Antonio Senzatela. he's got a 6.90 ERA in 24 starts this season. Take Milwaukee! 

5* MLB - NL West PLAY OF THE MONTH on Rockies +122

Love the value here with Colorado as a decently priced road dog against the Giants. San Francisco will send out Tyler Beede, who has gone 5-9 with a 5.19 ERA and 1.463 WHIP in 21 starts. Rockies have won 5 of their last 6 games vs a starter with a WHIP of 1.30 or worse. Plus, Beede gave up 5 runs on 8 hits in just 3 2/3 innings in his only start against Colorado this season. 

Kyle Freeland will go for the Rockies and the numbers aren't great. He's just 3-11 with a 6.84 ERA in 21 starts. However, Freeland has enjoyed facing San Francisco. He's 6-3 with a 3.13 ERA in 11 career starts against the Giants. Colorado has also won 18 of his last 26 starts when he's throwing on the standard 4-days of rest and 14 of his last 20 vs a division opponent. Take Colorado! 

4* MLB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Orioles +150

Baltimore is worth a look here at Toronto. Orioles offense has been on a tear the last two days, scoring 21 runs on 31 hits. They are in a great spot to put up another big number, as Toronto's starter has been struggling. 

Blue Jays will send out Jacob Waguespack, who has an awful 8.31 ERA and 1.769 WHIP in his last 3 starts. He's also just 1-3 with a 5.82 ERA and 1.882 WHIP in 4 home starts. Orioles starter, Gabriel Ynoa has been the exact opposite with a strong 3.78 ERA and 1.200 WHIP in his last 3 starts. 

Blue Jays are 7-14 last 21 at home when revenging a loss as a home favorite and 3-13 in their last 16 at home after a game where the bullpen threw 7+ innings. Take Baltimore! 

5* MLB - Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Reds +135

I know the Brewers are rolling right now with a 16-2 run in their last 18 games, including a current 6-game winning streak, but no way am I passing up on this value with Cincinnati. Reds would love nothing more than to cool off their division rivals and they are in a prime spot to do so. 

Tyler Mahle will start for the Reds and he's coming off a great start at Chicago, where he allowed just 1 run on 1 hit in 6 innings. Mahle has had good fortune against the Brewers, posting a 3.24 ERA in 3 career starts against the Brewers (all 3 have come in the last 2 seasons). 

Teams (Reds) who are average offensively 4.0-4.5 runs/game that have scored 3 or fewer runs in 5 straight games are 38-18 (68%) since 1997 when facing a starter that has an ERA of 3.70 to 4.20. Take Cincinnati! 

4* MLB - Money Line NO-BRAINER on Braves -151

Even though Atlanta is pretty much locked into the No. 2 seed in the NL playoffs, I don't see them just throwing in the towel over the final week of the regular season. I do think we are getting a good price on them because there are those that think they won't show up with no real incentive to win. 

Royals are a team they can beat without their "A" game. KC has lost 8 of their last 10 and I could see them coming out flat after a lengthy 7-game road trip, which concluded with 4 against rival Minnesota. 

Braves are a perfect 9-0 in Teheran's last 9 starts against a team that is getting outscored by 1+ run/game, are 25-9 in their last 34 as a road favorite of -125 to -175 and 15-4 in their last 19 on the road after playing 6 or more in a row at home. Take Atlanta! 

5* MLB - NL Central PLAY OF THE WEEK on Reds -119

As difficult as it may be to bet against the surging Brewers right now, no way am I passing up a play on the Reds at this price with Sonny Gray on the mound. Gray has a 2.75 ERA and 1.086 WHIP in 30 starts. Cincinnati has won 12 of his 15 home starts this season and he's 2-0 with a 1.78 ERA in 5 career starts against the Brewers (5-0 team record). 

Milwaukee will counter with Adrian Houser and he's 1-4 with a 5.64 ERA and 1.565 WHIP in 8 home starts. He's also got an ugly 6.75 ERA and 1.250 WHIP in his last 3 starts. His only start against the Reds came on July 1st and he gave up 3 runs on 6 hits (2 HRs) in 5 innings. 

Gray is on decent rest here and has gone 13-3 on the money line in his last 16 starts when working on 5-6 days of rest. He's also 14-3 in his last 17 home starts with a money line of -100 to -150. Take Cincinnati! 

5* MLB - AL West GAME OF THE MONTH on A's -155

Easy play on Oakland tonight at home against the Rangers. A's have been on fire of late, as they come in having won 10 of 12. Texas on the other hand has lost 5 in a row. Big key to note with the Rangers losing streak is how the offense has struggled to score. Texas has managed just 4 runs in their last 3 games. 

That's a big problem for the Rangers, as the A's will send out Mike Fiers, who has been on a Cy Young level at home this season. Fiers is 8-1 with a 2.66 ERA and 1.073 WHIP in 15 home starts. A's have won 18 of his last 22 home starts overall, 7-1 in his last 8 vs a division opponent and 10-1 in his last 11 vs a team with a losing record. Take Oakland! 

5* MLB - Vegas Insider TOP PLAY  on Phillies +150

Love the value here with Philadelphia as a big road dog against the Braves. We played and won on the Phillies as a similar priced dog yesterday. Hard to not keep it going with Philly on Thursday, as they got ace Aaron Nola on the mound, who has owned the Braves. 

Nola is 10-4 with a 2.66 ERA and 1.117 WHIP in 17 career starts against Atlanta. Braves will send out Mike Soroka, who has been great in 2019 with a 12-4 record and 2.57 ERA in 27 stats. However, he does own a poor 4.18 ERA and 1.324 WHIP in 12 home starts and a 4.82 ERA and 2.141 WHIP in 2 starts against the Phillies, both of which came this season. 

Phillies are 5-1 in Nola's last 6 road starts vs a team with a winning record and 4-1 in his last 5 after the team lost in his previous start. Take Philadelphia! 

5* MLB - NL East GAME OF THE MONTH on Phillies +141

I really like the value here with the Phillies at this price. Philadelphia needs every win they can get to stay in the Wild Card race and they opened up the series at Atlanta with a 5-4 win on Tuesday. Braves offense has really struggled to get anything going the last couple of games and will be up against the red-hot Zach Eflin. 

In Eflin's last 3 starts he's posted a 1.72 ERA and 1.021 WHIP. That includes a start against Atlanta in his last outing, where he didn't give up an earned run in 3 2/3 innings. 

Julio Teheran will go for the Braves and he's got a 4.50 ERA in his last 3 outings, in large part to his poor showing in his most recent start against the Phillies. Teheran gave up 5 runs on 5 hits (3 HRs) and 3 walks in 4 innings. Take Philadelphia! 

5* MLB - Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Rockies +145

We played and won on the Rockies as our Top Play on Monday and will fire right back with another big bet on Colorado Tuesday. Rockies have found some new life as they close out a disappointing season. Colorado has won 4 straight and 6 of 7 overall. 

The offense has been on point of late. Rockies have scored 9 or more runs in 4 straight games and when this team gets going offensively at home, they are very tough to beat. I look for them to keep it going against Mets starter Marcus Stroman, who has slipped some of late with a 3.86 ERA and 1.653 WHIP in his last 3 starts. 

Rockies are 11-4 last 15 after winning 6 or 7 of their last 8 games and the Mets are 19-31 in their last 50 after giving up 8 or more runs last time out. Take Colorado! 

3* MLB - Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY on Reds +148

This is just too good a price to pass up a play on Cincinnati with ace Sonny Gray on the mound. I know the Cubs have scored a ton of runs during their current 5-game win streak, but a lot of that has come against poor starting pitching. 

Gray is one of the best starters in the game right now. He's got a 2.75 ERA and 1.088 WHIP in 29 starts this season, which is really something given his home park is one of the most hitter-friendly places to play. Gray has a 2.71 ERA in 14 road starts and is on fire at the moment with a 1.89 ERA and 0.842 WHIP in his last 3 starts. 

Darvish has been really good for Chicago in his last 3 starts, but he's not been the same guy at home. Darvish owns a poor 5.14 ERA and 1.257 WHIP in 13 home starts. Take Cincinnati! 

5* MLB - Situational HEAVY HITTER on Rockies +149

I love the value here with Colorado as a decently priced home dog against the Mets. New York is the better team, but should not be favored like this on the road with Steven Matz on the mound. Matz is 3-7 with an awful 6.07 ERA and 1.560 WHIP in 14 road starts. 

The numbers aren't great for Colorado starter Antonio Senzatela, but he was outstanding in his lone start against the Mets this year. Senzatela allowed just 1 run on 4 hits in 6 innings of a 5-1 win over NY with deGrom starting. 

Rockies have won 5 of 6 at home and 6-2 in Senzatela's last 8 home starts (4-1 last 5 at home vs a team with a winning record). Take Colorado! 

3* MLB - Money Line ANNIHILATOR on Tigers +137

I like the value here with Detroit as a decently priced home dog against the Orioles. Baltimore will have ace John Means on the mound, but he's just 1-5 with a 4.79 ERA in 9 road starts (2-7 team record). No way should the Orioles be laying that kind of juice on the road. 

Tyler Anderson has a 5.13 in 5 starts, but 3 of the 5 have come o the road. He's got a respectable 3.97 ERA and 1.236 WHIP in those 2 home starts. Take Detroit! 

4* MLB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on White Sox +117

This is too good a price to pass up with Chicago. White Sox will have Ivan Nova on the mound and after a few shaky outings, he got back on track with a strong outing against the Royals. Nova's been a different guy the 2nd half of the season. He had a 3.16 ERA in 5 July starts and then posted a 1.95 ERA in 6 August starts. 

Seattle got the win on Saturday, but are 1-6 in their last 7 following a win and have dropped 4 straight in Game 3 of a series. White Sox are 7-3 in Nova's last 10 starts and a perfect 5-0 after the offense scored 2 or fewer last time out. Take Chicago! 

5* MLB - NL Central GAME OF THE MONTH on Brewers +123

Love the value here with Milwaukee as a decently priced road dog against the Cardinals. Brewers are on fire right now. They have won 8 of their last 9 and will send out Chase Anderson, who has owned St Louis in his career. Anderson has a 3.07 ERA in 11 starts against the Cardinals. 

Michael Wacha will start for St Louis and he's been better of late, but only made it 2 innings at SF on 9/4 and 4 innings on 9/10. Wacha has a poor 4.98 ERA and 1.522 WHIP in 9 home starts. Cardinals are just 4-12 in their last 16 starts during Game 3 of a series. Take Milwaukee! 

3* MLB - Money Line DESTROYER on Nationals +103

This is just too good a price to pass up on the Nationals at home against the Braves, especially with how Atlanta starter Max Fried has struggled on the road. Fried has an ugly 5.20 ERA and 1.521 WHIP in 14 road starts. 

Washington has won 8 of his last 10 at home against a lefty starter and are 23-10 in their last 33 after losing the first two games of a series. Take Washington! 

4* MLB - Money Line MASSACRE on Rockies +104

Colorado is worth a look here at basically a pick'em at home against the Padres. Rockies are wrapping up a disappointing season. While they don't have anything to play for, they come in having won 3 of their last 4. 

When this team is playing well they are really tough to beat at home with the way they can score runs at Coors Field (averaging 6.1 runs/game at home). I know the numbers aren't great for Rockies starter Lambert, but Padres are a miserable 2-15 in their last 17 road games against an NL team with a starter going that has an ERA of 5.40 or worse. Take Colorado!

5* MLB - Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Diamondbacks -113

I'm confident the Diamondbacks are going to snap their 6-game losing streak with a win at home over the Reds tonight. It feels like do or die time for Arizona, as they need to make a move right now to have any hope of a Wild Card. 

Look for Merril Kelly to play a big part in the victory. Kelly has been throwing the ball great of late with a 3.18 ERA in his last 3 starts. Red will have Anthony Desclafani going and h's got a 4.72 ERA in 15 road starts. Cincinnati has lost 5 of his last 6 starts on the road and 4 straight vs a team with a winning record. Dbacks are 4-1 in Kelly's last 5 home starts vs a team with a losing record. Take Arizona! 

3* MLB - Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY on Dodgers +123

Give me the Dodgers as an underdog all day. LA won the series opener over the Mets 9-2 on Friday and roughed up Syndergaard in the process. I think they keep it rolling against deGrom, who just keeps being overvalued by the books. Guy is great, but Mets are are a mere 3-7 in his last 10 home starts and have lost 7 of 8 at home against a team with a winning record. 

Dodgers will counter with Hyun-Jin Ryu, who is 12-5 with a 2.56 ERA and 1.064 WHIP in 26 starts. LA has gone 15-5 in his last 20 starts and have won 8 of his last 11 after scoring 5 or more runs the previous time out. Take Los Angeles! 

5* MLB - AL Underdog PLAY OF THE MONTH  on Angels +125

Love the Angels at this price at home against the Rays on Friday. Tampa Bay has lost their last two and had to make the long trip out west after finishing up a 3-game series at Texas last night.

Rays will send out Charlie Morton and he's got an ugly 5.87 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Angels will counter with Andrew Heaney and he's posted a sensational 2.65 ERA and 1.118 WHIP in 3 career starts against the Rays. LA has also won 6 of Heaney's last 7 starts and are 12-5 in his last 17 at home. 

Rays are 2-6 in their last 8 road games and 1-4 in Morton's last 5 starts during Game 1 of a series. Take Los Angeles! 

3* MLB - Money Line MASSACRE on Nationals -154

Easy play here on the Nationals at home against the Braves with ace Max Scherzer on the mound. This is now the 5th start back from the IL and he's off his best outing, against none other than these same Braves. Scherzer allowed just 1 run on 2 hits with 9 K's in 6 innings. 

Atlanta will have Mike Soroka on the mound and he's been one of the better starters this season, but he's got a very mediocre 4.76 ERA and 1.353 WHIP in his last 3 starts and a 3.86 ERA in 4 career starts against the Nationals. Braves have lost 5 of his last 7 starts overall. Take Washington! 

5* MLB - NL Underdog PLAY OF THE MONTH on Phillies +120

Love the value here with the Phillies as a home dog against Atlanta. Philadelphia will have the red-hot Drew Smyly on the mound. Smyly has a 2.50 ERA in his last 3 starts and is coming off an outing at New York where he held the Mets to just 4 hits over 7 shutout innings. 

Julio Teheran has been good for Atlanta, but is just 4-4 with a 3.72 ERA in 15 road starts. He's also not been great of late against the Phillies. He's faced them 5 times over the last 2 seasons and given up 15 runs in 26 innings. He started one game at Philly earlier this year and the Braves lost that outing 10-4. 

Phillies lost on Wednesday, but are 7-3 in their last 10 following a loss. They have also won 4 straight starts by Smyly against a team with a winning record and are 5-1 in his last 6 outings overall. Take Philadelphia! 

4* MLB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Blue Jays +133

Really like the value here with Toronto as a huge home dog against division rival Boston. No way should the Red Sox be this big of a favorite here. Blue Jays got a lot of young guys who are excited about playing and aren't going to just lay down the final few weeks of the season. 

I don't think the same can be said for Boston. Red Sox were expected to be one of the best teams in the league this year. They head into today's game having lost 4 straight and are now all but out of the playoff race, sitting 10-games back of the A's for the final Wild Card spot. Going to be real hard for this team to get up down the stretch, especially against bad teams like the Blue Jays.

Adding even more value here is the Blue Jays have the edge on the mound with Clay Buchholz going for Toronto and Jhoulys Chacin starting for Boston. Buchholz has a 3.57 ERA in his last 3 starts and Chacin has 11.05 ERA in his last 3. Take Toronto! 

3* MLB - Vegas Money Line MASSACRE on Padres +138

Every year it seems like there's a team that just can't handle the pressure of September. The Cubs feel like that team this year. Chicago has lost 5 of 6 and are now tied with the Brewers for the final Wild Card spot and just 2 ahead of the Phillies and Mets (Dbacks 2.5 back). 

I look for the struggles to continue in the finale against the Padres. San Diego won 4-0 on Wednesday and have now won 4 of 5. I like their chances of coming out on top with Dinelson Lamet on the mound. Lamet is coming off a strong outing, allowing just 1 earned run on 6 hits in 6 innings. 

Yu Darvish goes for the Cubs and Chicago is a mere 1-9 in Darvish's last 10 road starts with a high total of 8.5 to 10 runs. They are also just 4-11 in his last 15 road starts. Take San Diego! 

4* MLB - Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT on Cubs -102

Chicago is worth a look here at basically a pick'em on the road against the Padres. Cubs rolled in the series opener Monday before losing in extra last night. I like them to bounce back in a big way here. 

San Diego had lost 6 straight vs a team with a winning record prior to yesterday's win, while the Cubs had won their previous 6 vs a team with a losing record.

It also helps to have Cole Hamels on the mound, as he has owned the Padres. Hamels is 9-2 with a 2.45 ERA and 0.983 WHIP in 18 career starts vs San Diego. Take Chicago! 

5* MLB - Diamondbacks/Mets HEAVY HITTER on Diamondbacks +102

Love Arizona to cash in a win at New York tonight. Arizona will have Robbie Ray on the mound and he's owned the Mets in his career. Ray has a 0.82 ERA and 1.091 WHIP in 4 starts against New York. 

Mets counter with Steven Matz, who has a 4.76 ERA in 4 starts against the Diamondbacks. That includes an ugly start at Arizona earlier this season (only start versus them in 2019), where he gave up 5 runs on 8 hits (2 HRs) in 6 innings. Matz is 0-9 on the money line in his last 9 starts in the 2nd half of the season vs NL teams averaging 5 or more runs/game. 

Dbacks are 11-4 in their last 15 overall, 4-0 in their last 4 vs a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 and a perfect 8-0 in Ray's last 8 road starts vs a team with a winning record. Take Arizona! 

4* MLB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Braves -132

I got no problem back Atlanta as a decently sized road favorite against the Phillies. Braves will have Dallas Keuchel on the mound and the former Cy Young winner has been dealing of late. Keuchel has allowed a mere 3 earned run over his last 5 starts, pitching at least 6 innings in each outing. 

Phillies will turn to Zach Eflin to try and counter Keuchel. Eflin is just 5-8 with a 5.38 ERA in 16 night starts and he owns a 5.04 ERA over 13 starts against division opponents this season. He's got a 5.02 ERA in 5 career starts vs the Braves. Take Atlanta! 

3* MLB - Undervalued DOG OF THE DAY on Mariners +121

Seattle is worth a look here as a home dog against the Reds. I know the Mariners have not been playing great here of late, but no way should Cincinnati be a road favorite here. Tough spot here for the Reds going from playing 7 straight at home to traveling way out west for this series against a struggling seattle team. 

Speaking of struggling, Cincinnati starter Trevor Bauer has a 12.75 ERA and 2.333 WHIP in his last 3 starts. During this stretch Bauer has allowed a staggering 18 runs on 21 hits in a mere 12 innings of work. Mariners are 7-2 last 9 at home vs a team with a losing record. Reds are 15-42 last 57 interleague road games and 1-10 last 11 following an off day. Take Seattle! 

5* MLB - NL Heavy Hitter PLAY OF THE MONTH on Padres +139

Love the value here with the Padres as a big home dog against the Cubs. Chicago won the opener 10-2 on Monday with 15 hits. The thing is that offense can't be trusted. The Cubs scored 10 runs on 16 hits in last week's series opener at Milwaukee and the very next night scored 1 run on 3 hits. 

Padres will have Ronald Bolanos on the mound and the 23-year-old Cuban rookie was impressive in his first big league start. Bolanos allowed just 2 run on 5 hits in 6 innings at Arizona. Cubs on the other hand will have Jose Quintana on the mound and he's got a mere 4.11 ERA and 1.271 WHIP in 13 road starts. He's also got a poor 4.91 ERA and 1.568 WHIP in his last 3 starts. 

Cubs are just 3-10 in Quintana's last 13 road starts in the 2nd half vs a team that's getting outscored by 0.5+ runs/game. Take San Diego! 

3* MLB - Vegas Money Line DESTROYER on Cardinals -143

Easy play here on the Cardinals in Tuesday's series opener at Colorado. St Louis is one of the hottest teams in the league down the stretch run. Cardinals are 23-7 over their last 30 games. Rockies are the exact opposite. Colorado is a mere 1-11 in their last 12. 

St Louis will have Michael Wacha on the mound and he's been throwing well of late. He's got a 3.29 ERA and 1.170 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Colorado will counter with Chi Chi Gonzalez, who is 0-5 with a 6.86 ERA and 1.643 WHIP in 9 starts. All 9 starts the Rockies have lost. Take St Louis! 

5* MLB - Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Padres +136

I love the value here with San Diego as a decently priced home dog against the Cubs. Padres will be up for a showdown with Chicago, who is fighting for a playoff spot. They are also catching the Cubs in a funk, as they just lost 3 straight to close out their series with the Brewers. 

The offense has gone ice-cold for Chicago at the wrong time. Cubs are hitting just .222 as a team in their last 7 and that's why I'm okay with backing a struggling starter in Cal Quantrill. It's also worth pointing out that while the Cubs have what looks like a good starter in Kyle Hendricks going, he's just 4-7 with a 5.20 ERA and 1.445 WHIP in 14 road starts. Take San Diego! 

4* MLB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Giants -150

Easy play here on the Giants with veteran ace Madison Bumgarner on the mound. San Francisco has won 9 of Bumgarner's last 10 starts and the lone loss came on the road. Bumgarner is 6-2 with a 2.74 ERA and 0.925 WHIP in 16 home starts. 

Pirates were playing decent, but just lost 4 of 6 at home to the Marlins and Cardinals. I think they just want to get this series over with and get ready for a big series at Chicago where they can play spoiler against the Cubs. 

Pittsburgh will send out Trevor Williams. He's pitched well of late against some bad teams, but still has a 5.23 ERA in 22 starts. Take San Francisco! 

4* MLB - Money Line NO-BRAINER on Rockies +150

Really like the value here with Colorado as a big road dog against the Padres. These are two bad teams with not a lot to play for and neither has been playing great. No way should San Diego be this big of a favorite in a toss-up game. 

If anything, I would give a slight edge to the Rockies given the struggles of Padres starter Eric Lauer against Colorado. Lauer is 0-3 with a 11.21 ERA and 2.490 WHIP in 5 career starts against the Rockies. Take Colorado! 

5* MLB - AL Vegas Insider GAME OF THE MONTH on White Sox +114

Love the White Sox at home on Sunday against the Angels. Chicago has been really swinging a hot bat of late. White Sox put up 7 runs on Saturday and have scored 30 over their last 5. I look for Chicago to put up a big number here against LA's Jaime Barria, who is just 2-4 with a 5.45 ERA and 1.342 WHIP in 8 road starts this season. 

White Sox will send out Dylan Cease. I know the numbers don't look great for Cease, but he's coming off a really strong start at Cleveland. He gave up just 4 runs on 6 2/3 innings. He only gave up 4 hits and had 11 strikeouts in the performance. 

Angels are 5-16 in their last 21 road games and have lost 5 straight on the road with Barria listed as the starter. Take Chicago! 

3* MLB - Money Line MASSACRE on Braves +120

Even with Max Scherzer taking the mound for Washington, I really like the value we are getting here with Atlanta as a home dog on Sunday. Braves have already won the first 3 games of the series and now have their winning streak up to 9 games.

Washington on the other hand has lost 4 straight. Scherzer has also been limited a bit since returning to the rotation on 8/22. He's got a mere 4.40 ERA and 1.256 WHIP in those 3 starts. 

Atlanta will have Mike Soroka on the mound and he's definitely capable of going toe-to-toe with Scherzer. Soroka is 11-3 with a 2.53 ERA and 1.100 WHIP in 25 starts this season. In his last start for the Nats, he limited them to just 1 run on 3 hits in 7 innings. Take Atlanta! 

3* MLB Money Line MASSACRE on Padres -159

Easy play here on San Diego to cash in a win at home against the Rockies. Padres have a huge edge on the mound with them sending out Joey Lucchesi and Colorado turning to Jeff Hochman. 

Lucchesi has been really good of late with a 2.12 ERA and 1.118 WHIP in his last 3 starts. He's been great all season at home, where he's got a 2.84 ERA and 1.071 WHIP in 14 starts. Hochman has a 9.00 ERA and 2.083 WHIP in his last 3 starts and a 7.34 ERA and 1.698 WHIP in 10 starts overall. Take San Diego! 

3* MLB - Money Line DESTROYER on Twins -160

Twins should have no problem coming away with a win at home over the Indians on Saturday. While Minnesota lost the opener last night, that's a rare loss of late. Twins are still 15-6 over their last 21, including a 10-3 run in their last 13. 

Twins will have Jake Odorizzi on the mound and he's gone 7-2 with a 3.44 ERA and 1.241 WHIP in 13 home starts. Odorizzi has really enjoyed pitching against the other teams in the AL East. He's 7-2 with a 2.79 ERA in 11 starts vs a division opponent this season. 

Twins also just don't lose often with him on the mound. They are 22-8 in his last 30 starts. They have won 8 of his last 11 vs a team with a winning record, 16-5 in his last 21 at home and 8-2 in his last 10 vs the AL Central. Take Minnesota! 

5* MLB - NL No Limit PLAY OF THE MONTH on Mets -154

Love the Mets to come away with a win on Saturday. New York won a thriller 5-4 over the Phillies last night and have won 5 of 7. Philadelphia has lost 3 straight and may not have Bryce Harper for this one. 

More than anything the Mets have a big edge on the mound with Marcus Stroman facing off against Drew Smyly. Stroman just held these same Phillies to a mere 2 runs in 6 innings on the road. Smyly is 3-5 with an awful 6.06 ERA and 1.602 WHIP in 17 starts. 

Phillies are 6-20 in their last 26 as a dog of +125 to +175  and the Mets are 15-5 last 20 after scoring 5 or more and 9-3 last 12 at home vs a team with a winning road record. Take New York! 

5* MLB - Nats/Braves NL East GAME OF THE WEEK on Braves +102

Love the value here with Atlanta, as the Braves should have no problem winning at home an extending their winning streak to 8-games. Atlanta will have Dallas Keuchel on the mound and he's been dealing. Keuchel has a 1.42 ERA in his last 3 starts. He's also got a strong 2.38 ERA and 1.037 WHIP in 7 home starts. 

Speaking of home/away splits, National's Pat Corbin has not been the same guy when he's pitching outside of Washington. Corbin is 7-2 with a 2.00 ERA in 14 home starts and is just 4-4 with a 4.61 ERA in 14 road starts. No surprise given these numbers the Nats are just 3-7 in his last 10 road starts. Braves are 6-1 last 7 at home vs a team with a winning record and 6-0 in their last 6 vs a left-handed starter. Take Atlanta! 

3* MLB - Money Line MASSACRE on Royals +118

Kansas City should have no problem winning on the road against the Marlins. Royals have feasted off similar NL teams, as they are 10-4 in their last 14 interleague road games against an opponent that gives up 4.5 or more runs/game. 

Not to mention that while the Royals are completely out of it, they come in having won 4 of their last 5. Marlins are coming off a win, but that's almost an automatic fade, as they are 7-20 in their last 27 off a win. Take Kansas City! 

3* MLB - Money Line DESTROYER on Reds +112

Cincinnati is worth a look here as a home dog. Reds just took the last two in their series with the Phillies and I like them to win the opener tonight against Arizona. Cincinnati will have Tyler Mahle on the mound and he's coming off a great start at St Louis. Mahle held the Cardinals to just 1 earned run on 2 hits with 0 walks and 5 strikeouts in 6 1/3 innings of work. 

While Mahle will be throwing with confidence, Diamondbacks Robbie Ray is off a poor showing, giving up 4 runs on 8 hits and 3 walks in just 5 innings. Ray also owns a mere 4.09 ERA in 4 career starts against the Reds (Cinc 3-1 in those starts). 

Arizona has lost 4 straight starts by Ray on the road against a team with a losing record. Take Cincinnati! 

4* MLB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Twins +135

I love the value here with the Twins as a decently priced road dog against the Red Sox. This line should be closer to a pick'em with the starting pitching matchup. If anything, I would trust Minnesota's Martin Perez a little more. 

Perez was rocked in his last start for 7 runs at Detroit, but prior to that outing had allowed just 4 earned runs over his previous 3 starts. Nathan Eovaldi will go for Boston and he's got a 8.00 ERA and 1.667 WHIP in his 3 starts since returning ton the rotation in the middle of August. 

Twins are 50-17 in their last 67 vs a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Boston won yesterday, but Twins are 38-16 last 54 off a loss and a dominant 20-6 in their last 26 after scoring 2 runs or less. Take Minnesota! 

5* MLB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Reds -155

Easy play here on Cincinnati at home Thursday. Reds will send out arguably the best pitcher going in the game right now. In Gray's last 6 starts he's allowed just 3 earned runs on 18 hits and has racked up 44 strikeouts in 36 2/3 innings. That includes two starts against the Cardinals, 1 against the Cubs and 1 against the Braves, so he's not just doing this against bad teams. 

While Gray is on a different level right now, Phillies starter Jason Vargas is in bad form. Vargas has a 6.32 ERA and 1.787 WHIP in his last 3 starts. He's also got a poor 5.23 ERA and 1.331 WHIP in 11 road starts this season. 

Reds are 13-3 in Gray's last 16 starts vs a team with a winning record and a perfect 7-0 in his last 7 starts at home. Take Cincinnati! 

3* MLB - Money Line MASSACRE on Twins +125

I like the value here with Minnesota as a decently priced road dog against the Red Sox. After struggling for most of August, Twins starter Jose Berrios finally put the pieces back together in his last start. I look for him to build off that outing tonight. 

Berrios has a strong 3.20 ERA in 4 career starts against the Red Sox. He pitched into the 7th inning in 3 of the 4 starts. In his lone start against Boston in 2019, he was dominant, allowing just 1 run on 5 hits with 10 K's in 8 innings. 

Minnesota took the opener last night and the Red Sox are now 2-8 in their last 10 at home vs a team that's won more than 60% of their road games. Twins have won 4 straight road starts by Berrios and are 38-16 in their last 54 road games overall. Take Minnesota! 

5* MLB - NL Vegas Insider GAME OF THE MONTH on Giants +113

I love the Giants to secure a win at St Louis tonight. San Francisco comes in having lost 4 straight, but will have their ace Madison Bumgarner on the mound to stop the bleeding. Giants have won 8 of Bumgarner's last 9 starts. He was dominant last time out, limiting the Padres to just 1 run on 4 hits in 7 innings. 

Cardinals will counter with Michael Wacha. While he's coming off a couple of decent outings, he's still a mere 5-6 with a 4.99 ERA in 19 starts this season. He's also got an awful 5.22 ERA and 1.524 WHIP in 8 starts at home. 

St Louis is 1-6 in their last 7 vs a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Giants 4-0 in Bumgarner's last 4 starts vs a team with a winning record. Take San Francisco! 

5* MLB - Astros/Brewers VEGAS INSIDER on Astros -155

Love the Astros to secure another win on the road against the Brewers. We were on Houston Monday and they delivered a 3-2 win. I don't expect it to be that close tonight. Astros will have Zack Greinke on the mound and he'll be up against Milwaukee's Jordan Lyles. 

Needless to say this is quite the pitching mismatch. Greinke is 14-4 with a 3.15 ERA and 1.014 WHIP in 28 starts. Lyles is 9-8 with a 4.55 ERA and 1.360 WHIP in 23 starts. Greinke faced Milwaukee earlier this season and held them to a mere 2 runs on 6 hits with 9 strikeouts in 7 innings. 

Astros are 36-17 in their last 53 interleague road games and have won 4 of Greinke's 5 starts since he came over in that big trade. Take Houston! 

4* MLB - Situational DOG OF THE WEEK on Blue Jays +200

This is just too good a price to pass up with Toronto. I know the Blue Jays have been struggling and the Braves come in having won 5 straight, but it's hard to not fade Atlanta's Mike Foltynewicz as a huge favorite. 

Folynewicz has been a little better of late, but is still 4-5 with a 5.59 ERA and 1.437 WHIP in 16 starts this season. He's really been disappointing at home, where he's 1-3 with a 6.00 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in 8 starts. 

Wilmer Font will start for Toronto and he's got a strong 3.90 ERA and 1.265 WHIP in 12 starts as the opener. He was the starter in the Blue Jays 3-1 win over Atlanta last week in Toronto. Blue Jays are 10-4 in Font's last 14 as a dog of +100 or more and 7-2 in his last 9 as a dog of +150 or more. Take Toronto! 

3* MLB  - Money Line DESTROYER on Nationals -126

Washington is worth a look here as a small home favorite against the Mets. Nationals come into this series on quite the roll. Washington is 9-2 in their last 11 overall. They will have ace Max Scherzer on the mound, who will be making his 3rd start back from the IL. 

While Scherzer only completed 4 1/3 inning in start number two, he increased his pitch count by almost 20 to 89. I think he will be real close to full go in this one (100 pitches). He's 10-5 with a sensational 2.51 ERA and 0.891 WHIP in 19 starts against the Mets. 

Washington is 9-1 in his last 10 starts and the Nationals are 20-8 in their last 28 after losing the last time out. Mets are a mere 8-17 in deGrom's last 25 starts and have gone a staggering 8-23 in his last 31 starts vs a team with a winning record. Take Washington! 

5* MLB - Interleague GAME OF THE MONTH on Astros -173

I got no problem laying the big number here with Houston on the road. The Astros will be riding a wave of momentum into Milwaukee, as Justin Verlander threw a no-hitter in Sunday's series finale at Toronto. 

Now they turn to the potential AL Cy Young winner in Gerrit Cole, who enters this contest at 15-5 with a 2.85 ERA and 0.957 WHIP in 27 starts. He's been on top of his game of late, striking out a ridiculous 36 hitters over his last 19 2/3 innings (36 of the 59 outs recorded were via K's)

Brewers will have Adrian Houser on the mound and he's pitched well of late, but he's due for a bad outing. Houser is a mere 2-5 with a 4.63 ERA and 1.456 WHIP in 12 starts. Milwaukee is 2-6 in his last 8 starts vs a team with a winning record and 1-4 in his last 5 to open a series. Take Houston! 

3* MLB - Undervalued DOG OF THE DAY on Tigers +200

I just can't pass up on the Tigers as a +200 dog against the Twins on Monday. Veteran Jordan Zimmermann will take the mound for Detroit and he's been outstanding of late. Zimmermann has a 2.25 ERA and 0.625 WHIP over his last 3 starts. All 3 against potential playoff teams (Rays, Astros, Indians). 

Twins will turn to Jake Odorizzi, who has a strong 3.55 ERA in 26 starts, but he does own a very mediocre 4.32 ERA and 1.380 WHIP in his last 3 starts. I also think this is a potential flat spot for Minnesota with the early start time and them heading to Boston for a big series against the Red Sox right after this one is over. Take Detroit! 

5* MLB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Angels +101

Love the Angels to win here at home against the Red Sox in Sunday's series finale. Boston will have David Price on the mound and he's been struggling. Price has a 9.69 ERA and 2.154 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Last time out he was torched for 7 runs on 9 hits in 2 2/3 innings. 

Angels will counter with Andrew Heaney, who has been lights out in his last 3 starts. Heaney has a 1.71 ERA and 0.714 WHIP in his last 3 starts. During this stretch he's given up a mere 4 earned runs on 12 hits with 30 strikeouts in 21 innings. 

Boston is 0-5 in Price's last 5 starts and 1-4 in their last 5 on the road vs a left-handed starter. Angeles are 5-0 in Heaney's last 5 starts and 9-2 in his last 11 starts after scoring 5 or more runs in their previous game. Take Los Angeles! 

3* MLB - Money Line MASSACRE on Pirates -102

Really like the value here with the Pirates. While neither of these teams have a lot to play for right now, Pittsburgh has caught fire of late. Pirates have won 3 straight and are 7-2 in their last 9. They have scored an impressive 31 runs on 48 hits in their last 3 games. 

Rockies are the exact opposite. Colorado has lost 5 straight and 9 of 10 overall. Rockies will have Jeff Hochman on the mound for this one and he's got a 7.81 ERA in 9 starts and a 10.24 ERA and 2.275 WHIP in his last 3 starts. 

Steven Brault will go for Pittsburgh and he's got a strong 3.00 ERA and 1.111 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Pirates are 6-1 last 7 vs a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 and a perfect 5-0 in Brault's last 5 starts vs a team with a losing record. Take Pittsburgh! 

3* MLB - Early Bird ANNIHILATOR on Twins -199

Easy play here on Minnesota in Sunday's showdown with Detroit. Tigers will have Spencer Turnbull on the mound and he's given up 12 runs on 19 hits and 7 walks in his last 3 starts, which only span 13 innings of work. 

He's also got a 5.17 ERA in 3 career starts against the Twins. Look for Minnesota to put up a big number here and for Michael Pineda to keep the Tigers' bats in check. Pineda is coming in off a great start at Chicago, where he allowed just 1 run on 4 hits with 8 Ks in 5 innings. 

Twins have won 5 of Pineda's last 6 starts and are 8-3 in his last 11 vs a team with a losing record. Tigers are 1-11 in Turnbulls last 12 home starts and 0-8 in his last 8 vs a division opponent. Take Minnesota! 

3* MLB - Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY on Giants +106

San Francisco cruised to a 8-3 win over the Padres on Friday and I look for the home side to stay hot at the plate and ride that offense to another win on Saturday. 

Padres will be sending out Joey Lucchesi and he's just a different guy at home compared to on the road. Lucchesi has a 5.83 ERA and 1.313 WHIP in 11 road starts (7-3, 2.84 ERA 14 home starts) Lucchesi is also a mere 7-18 last 25 vs a division opponent. 

SF is 11-5 last 16 at home vs a team with a losing road record and 17-8 last 25 after scoring 8 or more runs. Take San Francisco! 

4* MLB - Money Line NO-BRAINER on Royals +110

Kansas City is worth a look here as a home dog against the Orioles. No way should Baltimore be a road favorite here. Royals will send out Jorge Lopez, who is coming off a strong outing at Baltimore, where he held the Orioles to just 1 run on 2 hits in 5 innings. He's now faced Baltimore twince in his career and given up a mere 2 runs in 12 innings. 

Orioles will turn to Dylan Bundy and you would think he would be a decent guy to back against a bad team, but Baltimore is 3-12 in his last 15 starts vs a team with a losing record, which includes a 1-6 record when on the road. 

Orioles are 2-10 last 12 as a road favorite of -125 or more. Take Kansas City! 

5* MLB - Vegas Insider TOP PLAY on Tigers +135

I love the value here with Detroit, as I think they are in a prime position to snag a win on Saturday. Tigers will have one of their best starters going in Matt Boyd and while he's fallen off a bit since his amazing start, he's got the good to tame any lineup. He's got 208 strikeouts in 159 innings. 

Martin Perez only has a 4.00 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in his 10 road starts this season, plus has a poor 4.54 ERA in 6 career starts against the Tigers. He's given up 5 runs on 9 hits in 11 innings in 2 starts vs Detroit this year and both of those were at home. 

Big key here is that we are getting a fresh Boyd for this start, as he last took the mound on Aug. 25. That means he will be on 5 days of rest. Tigers are 10-1 in Boyd's last 11 home starts when he's working on 5 or 6 days of rest. Take Detroit! 

3* MLB - Money Line MASSACRE on Padres +113

I think it's worth fading the Giants here. Books are begging you to take SF as a small home favorite with Madison Bumgarner on the mound. That tells me they really like the Padres to win. I would agree. 

I think the Giants are in a really bad spot right now. SF has lost 3 straight and just 2-7 in their last 9. They are now 7-games back of the final NL Wild Card spot and have multiple teams to jump to get that spot. Anything is possible, but they know their chances of making the postseason are slim to none. That makes it hard to show up to the ballpark excited to play. 

Padres have been out of it awhile and would love nothing more to add to the Giants misery. I like San Diego's Dinelson Lamet and he's got a strong 3.12 ERA and 1.192 WHIP in 5 road starts. Take San Diego! 

5* MLB - AL West No Limit TOP PLAY on Rangers -118

Absolutely love the value here with Texas as a small home favorite against the Mariners. Rangers will send out Kolby Allard, who is off a sensational start at Chicago. Allard held the White Sox to just 6 hits and didn't walk a batter over 6 1/3 scoreless innings.

I like his chances of building off that strong outing against a bad Seattle offense that has not hit left-handed starters well. Mariners are hitting just .232 as a team vs left-handed starters and are 12-25 in their last 37 vs a southpaw starter. 

I also like going against Mariners starter Marco Gonzales on the road. He's got a 4.02 ERA and 1.401 WHIP in 14 road starts. Seattle has lost 4 of his last 5 on the road and are just 9-27 as a team in their last 36 on the road vs a team with a winning home record. Take Texas! 

4* MLB - Underdog PLAY OF THE WEEK on Blue Jays +190

This is just too good a price to pass up on the Blue Jays. Houston just went 8-2 over a 10-game homestand and are now a full 9-games up on Oakland in the AL West. While they are still in a race for the top spot in the American League, I think this is a bit of a flat spot after coming up just short in a 9-8 loss to the Rays on Thursday. 

I also feel like Wade Miley is one of the few Houston starters you can feel pretty good about fading, especially on the road. Miley is not in great form with a 4.50 ERA and 1.847 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Trent Thorton will go for Toronto and he's been solid of late with a 3.97 ERA in his last 3 and threw 6 2/3 scoreless innings in his first career start against the Astros earlier this year. Take Toronto! 

3* MLB - Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT on Dodgers -184

Easy play here on the Dodgers as big road favorites against the Diamondbacks. LA will have ace Hyun-Jin Ryu on the mound and he's absolutely owned Arizona this season. Ryu has faced Arizona 3 times and has allowed a whopping 1 run on 12 hits and 1 walk in 20 innings of work. 

While Ryu does his thing against the Dbacks lineup, look for the potent Dodgers' offense to put up a big number against the struggling Merrill Kelly. In his last 3 starts, Kelly has a 7.80 ERA and 2.067 WHIP. Arizona has lost 8 of his last 10 starts while the Dodgers are 14-4 in Ryu's last 18 outings. Take Los Angeles! 

5* MLB AL Vegas Insider GAME OF THE MONTH on White Sox +180

This is simply too good a price to pass up with Chicago. No question who the better team is, but with the way Jose Berrios has been throwing of late, no way should Minnesota be this big of a road dog against a division foe. 

Berrios has completely lost his touch on the mound. After throwing 7 shutout innings in his final start of July, things have gone downhill. Berrios has a 8.44 ERA in 4 starts this August, rising his ERA from 2.80 to 3.53. He's allowed 20 runs on 32 hits and 10 walks over his last 21 1/3 innings. He's also given up 6 HRs in this stretch, which is as many as he had allowed in his previous 10 starts. 

Dylan Cease starts for Chicago and while the numbers aren't great, he was sharp in his last start, which came at home against the Rangers. Cease held Texas to just 3 runs on 4 hits in 6 innings. His previous home start he held the Astros to just 2 earned runs on 5 hits in 6 innings. Take Chicago! 

4* MLB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Tigers +175

I like the value we are getting with the Tigers as a massive home dog against the Indians. There's plenty of motivation here for Detroit, as they were embarrassed by Cleveland in the series opener on Tuesday 10-1 and bad teams love playing spoiler against teams fighting for playoff spots. 

The bigger key here is the starting pitching matchup. I like veteran Jordan Zimmermann to give the Tigers a real shot here. Zimmermann has a 3.37 ERA and 0.750 WHIP in his last 3 starts. 

Indians are a mere 2-8 in their last 10 games after scoring 10 or more runs and 4-12 in their last 16 road games after holding a division foe to 1 run or less. Take Detroit! 

3* MLB - Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE on Pirates +134

Pittsburgh is worth a look here as a big road dog against the Phillies. Pirates seem to have finally snapped out of that ridiculous funk they were in after the All-Star break.

Pittsburgh has won 4 of their last 5 and are swinging a hot bat. Pirates have scored 5 or more runs and recorded 10 or more hits in each of their last 4 games. That offense will be up against the struggling Vincent Velasquez, who has a 9.24 ERA and 1.343 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Pirates are 4-0 last 4 vs a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Take Pittsburgh! 

5* MLB - NL Central - GAME OF THE MONTH on Brewers +121

I love the value here with Milwaukee as a home dog in the series finale against the Cardinals. This is a big one for Milwaukee, who after losing the first two in this series are now 6.5-games back of St Louis in the NL Central and 3.5-games back of the Cubs for the final Wild Card spot. A loss here and things could spiral out of control. 

Cardinals have Jack Flaherty going and he's 3-0 with a 0.50 ERA and 0.778 WHIP in his last 3 starts. That's great, but he's also got a mere 4.06 ERA and 1.354 WHIP in 13 road starts. He's also got a 4.79 ERA in 8 career starts against the Brewers. He's faced them 3 times in 2019 and has given up 13 runs on 19 hits (6 HRs) over a span of 13 innings. 

Brewers are 35-17 in their last 52 after losing the first 2 games of a series. Cardinals are 1-4 in Flaherty's last 5 road starts vs a team with a winning record and 1-5 in his last 6 starts in Game 3 of a series. Take Milwaukee! 

3* MLB - Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY on Mariners +180

Seattle is definitely worth a look as a massive home dog against the Yankees. No denying that New York is the better team and should be favored, but this line is inflated quite a bit. It's created a ton of value on the Mariners, especially when you factor in the starting pitching matchup. 

Yankees will have Masahiro Tanaka on the mound and he's a mere 2-5 with a 6.58 ERA and 1.446 WHIP in 12 road starts this season. Seattle counters with Yusiei Kikuchi, who you know is going to want to show off against a fellow Japanese starter and he's been sharp of late with a 3.12 ERA and 1.154 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Take Seattle! 

4* MLB - Money Line NO-BRAINER on Marlins +141

I really like the value here with Miami as a decently priced home dog against the Reds. Cincinnati getting way too much love in this one. Reds will have their ace Luis Castillo on the mound, but he's got an ugly 6.35 ERA over his last 3 starts. 

The Marlins will also have one of their best starters going in Caleb Smith, who is 8-7 with a 3.67 ERA and 1.096 WHIP in 21 starts. Smith has pitched like an ace at home, where he's 6-2 with a 3.00 ERA and 1.070 WHIP in 10 starts (7-3 team record). 

Miami has won 7 of his last 8 starts when he's extra working on 5 or 6 days of rest and are 9-1 in his last 10 vs a team with a losing record. Reds are 1-6 in Castillo's last 7 road starts. Take Miami! 

5* MLB - Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Phillies -136

This is just too good a price to pass up with Philadelphia at home. Phillies took the series opener on Monday by a final of 6-5. That's now 4 times in their last 5 games that they have put at least 5 runs on the board. 

That offense will be up against Steven Brault of the Pirates, who has a respectable 3.41 ERA in 13 starts, but also owns a not so great 1.364 WHIP. That WHIP is worth noting, as the Phillies have gone a dominant 40-17 in their last 57 games vs a starter with a WHIP of 1.30 or more. Phillies are also 33-15 in their 48 at home vs a left-handed starter. 

Drew Smyly will be making his 7th start for the Phillies and while he has a very mediocre 4.73 in those 6 starts, that's a heck of improvement over the 8.42 ERA he had with the Rangers earlier this season. Even more important, Phillies are 5-1 in those 6 starts. Take Philadelphia! 

5* MLB - NL West Value PLAY OF THE MONTH on Padres +152

This is just too good a price to pass up given the dominance of Padres starter Eric Lauer against the Dodgers. As hard as it is to believe, Lauer has gone 4-0 with a 1.72 ERA in six career starts against the Dodgers. The even more impressive stat, all 6 of those starts have come over the last two seasons.

The other huge thing here is that while Dodgers starter Dustin May has been impressive in limited action, he's the guy you want to be facing out of that loaded rotation. Also, May did face these Padres earlier this month and he wasn't sharp. He gave up 4 runs on 9 hits in 5 2/3 innings of a 5-2 Padres win. Take San Diego! 

4* MLB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Phillies -127

Easy play here on the Phillies as a small home favorite. Philadelphia will excited to get back on their home field after a rough series at Miami where they lost 2 of 3. It was a definite flat spot after starting out the 5-game road trip with a 2-game sweep at Boston. 

Phillies lost the finale on Sunday and are 12-5 in their last 17 off a loss. Pirates are getting some love off a 3-game sweep of Cincinnati at home, but it's not warranted. Pittsburgh can't be trusted against a good team. They are 16-41 in their last 57 vs a team with a winning record. Pirates have also lost 25 of their last 34 on the road and will have Joe Musgrove on the mound, who has a 5.10 ERA in his last 3 starts. 

Jason Vargas goes for the Phillies and he's guy you want to back in this spot. Vargas has been a home favorite of -150 or less 58 times and his team has gone 39-19. He's got a 2.43 ERA between 11 home starts with the Phillies and Mets. Take Philadelphia! 

5* MLB - AL Central GAME OF THE WEEK on Twins -174

I got no problem laying the big juice here with Minnesota at home against the Tigers. Detroit is really bad and while they cashed in as big dog in the opener of this series, they are just 14-49 in their last 63 games. 

They have given up 5 or more runs in 6 of their last 7 games and today's starter, Matt Boyd, has a 7.20 ERA and 1.467 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Detroit has lost 5 straight road starts by Boyd against a team with a winning record

Twins are 4-1 in their last 5 at home vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their games and 39-16 in their last 55 after scoring 5 or more runs in their previous game. Take Minnesota! 

4* MLB - Situational NO-BRAINER on Rockies +168

The price is right to take a shot on the Rockies Saturday. As bad as Colorado has been, I like their chances in this one. Chi Chi Rodriguez will get the start for the Rockies and while he's not been great, he has allowed 3 or fewer runs in all but one of his 6 starts. 

Dakota Hudson has been lights out for St Louis, not giving up a run in each of his last two starts. A starter that still has a 3.64 ERA and 1.507 WHIP after those two outings can't be trusted and I wouldn't be shocked if the Rockies put up a big number here. 

Cardinals are just 6-12 on the season as a home favorite of -150 to -200 and a mere 4-13 in their last 17 after scoring 8 or more runs (won 8-3 Friday). Take St Louis! 

3* MLB - Yankees/Dodgers Money Line WINNER on Yankees +139

I like the value here with New York in Game 2 of this highly anticipated series with the Dodgers. Yankees made a statement in the opener, cruising to a 10-2 win, as they lit up NL Cy Young frontrunner Hyun-Jin Ryu. 

The focus here will be on the starters and will likely lead to a lot of people taking the Dodgers. However, I'll take the hot offense vs the struggling one. Los Angeles is not swinging the bat well. Dodgers have now scored 3 or fewer runs in 3 straight and 5 of their last 6 overall. Take New York! 

5* MLB - NL Early Bird GAME OF THE MONTH on Nationals +138

I'll gladly take the Nationals as a big road dog on Saturday. Washington cashed in an easy 8-0 win over the Cubs on Friday. Nationals have won 3 in a row and 10 of their last 12 overall. When the offense goes off they tend to build on that, as they are 7-1 in their last 8 after scoring 5 or more runs. 

Jose Quintana has been solid for the Cubs of late, but he's still got a very mediocre 4.02 ERA and 1.233 WHIP in 24 starts. He's got an extra day of rest here and that's been a bit of a curse for him, as Chicago is just 1-4 in his last 5 when working on 5 days of rest. 

Nationals will start Tyson Ross and he's been great. He's got a 1.35 ERA and 1.163 WHIP in 5 starts. Nats have won each of his last 4 starts and are 11-2 in their last 13 vs a team from the NL Central. Take Washington! 

3* MLB - Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT on Dodgers -140

Really like the Dodgers to take the opener at home against the Yankees. This is a big time series, as a lot of people think these two will be meeting up in the World Series later on this year. This might seem like a great price to back New York, but I love the value with LA. 

James Paxton will start for the Yankees and he's not been what they were hoping for. He's got a 4.53 ERA and 1.429 WHIP in 22 starts and owns an even worse 5.21 ERA and 1.572 WHIP in 9 road starts. 

Dodgers counter with the likely NL Cy Young winner in Hyun-Jin Ryu, who is 12-3 with a 1.76 ERA and 0.950 WHIP in 23 starts. Ryu is a perfect 9-0 with a 0.81 ERA and 0.798 WHIP in 11 home starts. Take Los Angeles! 

5* MLB - AL Underdog PLAY OF THE MONTH on White Sox +140

I absolutely love the value with Chicago as a big home dog against the Rangers. I get the Rangers have a decent starter going in Lance Lynn, but he's facing a surging White Sox offense that just got back one of their best hitters in Yoan Moncada.

Lynn has also failed to make it past the 5th inning in each of his last 2 starts. Lynn also gave up 5 runs in his only start against Chicago this season. 

Texas only managed 1 run on 3 hits in the series opener last night and have scored 3 or fewer in 5 of their last 8 games. Rangers are now 2-7 in their last 9 road games and have gone 8-20 in their last 28 after giving up 5 or more in their previous game. No way should Texas be this big of a favorite. Take Chicago! 

3* MLB - Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE on Marlins +165

Simply too much value to pass up with Miami as a massive home dog against division rival Philadelphia. As bad as the Marlins have been here of late, great spot here to fade the Phillies. Philadelphia is poised for a letdown after a 2-game sweep of the Red Sox at Fenway Park. 

Phillies will also have a pretty average starter going in Vincent Velasquez, who is just 4-6 with a 4.35 ERA and 1.246 WHIP in 16 starts. Velasquez is just 3-14 as a starter when starting on the road after a win. Velasquez is also a mere 4-10 in this last 14 starts vs a team with a losing record. 

Marlins have lost 6 straight, but are a dominant 6-1 over the last 2 seasons when riding a 6-game losing streak or more. Take Miami! 

4* MLB - Money Line NO-BRAINER on Indians +130

Cleveland is worth a look here as a decently priced road dog in the finale against the Mets. Simply too good a price with how good Indians starter Aaron Civale has been . He's made 3 starts in August and owns a 2.00 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in those outings. The last two were on the road against two of the best offenses in the league in the Twins and Yankees. 

Indians have won 19 of 26 off a loss and 29-9 in their last 38 when off a loss by just 1-run. They are also a ridiculous 35-17 in their last 52 after losing the first 2 games of the series. Take Cleveland! 

5* MLB - Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Cubs -159

I'm confident the Cubs cashing in a win and finishing off the 3-game sweep of the Giants. Chicago is coming off a thrilling 12-11 win over SF on Wednesday. A victory that had Cubs' players calling it a "season-defining win."

That's now 4 straight win for Chicago and it's hard to see them losing here. Cubs will have ace Kyle Hendricks on the mound, who has looked like a Cy Young front-runner when he pitches at Wrigley. Hendricks has a 1.98 ERA and 0.849 WHIP in 10 home starts. 

Jeff Samardzija goes for the Giants and SF is just 16-36 in his last 52 starts vs a team with a winning record. Cubs have accounted for some of that, as Samardzija is 0-3 with a 7.58 ERA and 1.737 WHIP in 4 career starts. Take the Cubs -159! 

3* MLB - Vegas Money Line MASSACRE on Marlins +180

This is just too good a price to pass up with Miami. As bad as the Marlins might be, you have to consider backing them when Caleb Smith is on the mound. They have won 11 of his 20 starts, as he's posted a strong 3.47 ERA and 1.093 WHIP on the season. 

This also is a good time to be fading Atlanta starter Julio Teheran. He was just rocked at home by the Mets, giving up 6 runs on 8 hits and was pulled after recording just 4 outs. Marlins are 6-2 in Smith's last 8 starts and are 4-1 in his last 5 when he's on a full 5 days of rest. Take Miami! 

3* MLB Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY on Pirates +143

We played and won on Pittsburgh yesterday and a big reason why was the difficultly for Washington to bring their "A" game on the road against a bad team like the Pirates. Even with starter Chris Archer leaving early, Pittsburgh's staff held a red-hot Washington (had scored 43 runs in their last 3 combined) team to just 1 run. 

I think this entire series is going to be really tough on Washington. Bad teams like to play spoiler, so the effort should only be stronger after a win. I also think it's worth fading Nationals starter Pat Corbin on the road. Corbin has been filthy at home, but is just 3-4 with a 5.12 ERA and 1.431 WHIP in 13 road starts. That includes a 6-12 mark the last 2 years as a road favorite of -110 or more. Take Pittsburgh! 

5* MLB - AL Heavy Hitter GAME OF THE MONTH on Orioles +105

Love the Orioles in Wednesday's home game against the Royals. Baltimore lost a heartbreaker in the opener 5-4, but battled back with a 4-1 win on Tuesday. It's just a real struggle for KC to score runs. Royals haven't had 6 or fewer hits for the game in 6 of their last 7 contests. 

It's a big reason why I'm not worried about the poor numbers for Orioles starter Aaron Brooks. KC is just 17-48 in their last 65 road games vs a right-handed starter and 2-9 in their last 11 vs an AL starter with a ERA of 5.90 or worse. Take Baltimore! 

3* MLB - Money Line KNOCKOUT on Indians -150

Easy play here on the Indians as a road favorite against the Mets. New York has been playing great, but so much of their success has come against bad teams. I don't see Cleveland losing here with Shane Bieber on the mound. Bieber has a 3.26 ERA and 0.998 WHIP in 25 starts and is an even stronger 8-2 with a 2.72 ERA and 0.803 WHIP in 11 road starts. 

Steven Matz will start for New York and the Mets are just 3-7 in his last 10 starts. They have 5 of his last 6 starts vs a team with a winning record. Indians are 40-18 in their last 58 overall, have won 7 of 8 on the road in interleague games, 16-5 in their last 21 on the road and 16-5 in their last 21 series openers. Take Cleveland! 

4* MLB - Money Line NO-BRAINER on Red Sox +105

Boston is worth a look here as a home dog against the Phillies. I think the assumption by a lot of people is that the Red Sox are toast, but this team isn't going to throw in the towel until they are officially out of the mix. 

It won't be easy, but they are just 6-games back of the Rays for the final Wild Card spot and are 7.5-games back of Cleveland for the top Wild Card spot. A sweep here could make things real interesting.

I get the Phillies have their top starter in Aaron Nola on the mound, but no way should they be favored on the road vs a team as talented as Boston. Red Sox have won 5 straight. Take Boston!