Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-19-19 | Brewers -118 v. Braves | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 52 m | Show |
5* MLB Vegas HEAVY HITTER Top Play on Brewers -118 Great value here with Milwaukee as a small road favorite. Atlanta is getting a ton of love right now, as they have won 4 straight and 7 of their last 8 overall, but the Brewers are favored for a reason in this one. Milwaukee will have a massive edge on the mound, as they send out the red-hot Brandon Woodruff against the struggling Mike Foltynewicz. Woodruff has a 1.06 ERA and 1.059 WHIP in his last 3 starts, all of which have ended up in Brewers wins. In fact, Milwaukee has won 7 of Woodruff's 9 starts on the season. As for Foltynewicz, he's 0-3 with a 8.01 ERA and 1.593 WHIP in 4 starts. All 4 of which the Braves have wound up losing. Take Milwaukee! |
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05-18-19 | Cubs +130 v. Nationals | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
3* MLB Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY on Cubs +130 Easy play on the Cubs at this price. Chicago has been one of the hottest teams in the league. Yesterday they roughed up Max Scherzer in a 14-6 win. Washington is just 4-8 in their last 12 as they continue to underperform in 2019. No way I'm passing up on a team as talented as the Cubs when they are playing this well with a guy as hot as Jon Lester on the mound. Lester has a ridiculously good 1.16 ERA and 1.112 WHIP in 7 starts. He hasn't allowed a run in 3 straight starts and is facing a Nationals team that is just 3-7 on the season when up against a left-handed starter. Washington is not hitting for a strong team average and that's worth noting. Lester is 12-2 in his last 14 starts vs a NL team that's hitting .245 or worse as a team. Nationals simply won't be able to keep pace with the Cubs offense in this one. Take Chicago! |
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05-18-19 | Brewers v. Braves -115 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
5* MLB Vegas INSIDER Top Play on Braves -115 Love the value here with the Braves as a small home favorite against the Brewers. Atlanta comes in off a 12-8 win in the series opener and that was after they put up 10 runs on 14 hits in the finale against the Cardinals. I look for that Braves offense to stay hot in this one. Milwaukee is sending out one of the better starters in Chase Anderson, but he's making his first start since 4/26, as he returns from the DL. Atlanta will have Kevin Gausman on the rubber and he's coming off a strong start at Arizona, allowing just 1 run on 5 hits in 6 innings. Gausman comes in with a not so great 4.01 ERA in 4 home starts, but a lot of that is bad luck. Despite an ERA over 4, he's got a WHIP of just 0.892 WHIP. Take Atlanta! |
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05-17-19 | Giants +135 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 0-7 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 40 m | Show |
5* National League HEAVY HITTER of the MONTH on Giants +135 Really like the value here with San Francisco on the money line Friday night. While the Diamondbacks are off a 11-1 blowout win at home against the Pirates, Arizona is still just 4-7 in their last 11 games overall. Diamondbacks might have been dealt a big blow in that loss with David Peralta forced to leave the game prematurely. While it doesn't appear to be serious, I would be shocked if Peralta played in this one and he's a huge part of that Arizona offense. I also think that SF will be able to get their offense going in this one. Diamondbacks will have Merrill Kelly on the mound and he's not been great of late with a 6.06 ERA and 1.531 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Take San Francisco! |
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05-17-19 | Dodgers v. Reds +122 | 6-0 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 10 m | Show | |
3* MLB Vegas Money Line DESTROYER on Reds +122 Give me the Reds as a home dog against the Dodgers in this one. Cincinnati might be last in the NL Central, but they are playing well right now. Reds just won 2 of 3 at home against the re-hot Cubs and are 5-2 in their last 7 overall. I know the Dodgers are playing well, but starter Rich Hill has not been up to par in his first 3 starts. He's got a 4.20 ERA and 1.33 WHIP. He was also really bad in his one road start against the Padres, giving up 3 runs no 7 hits in just 4 innings. He's served up 5 homers in just 15 innings, which really speaks volumes to his struggles right now. Reds will have Anthony Desclafani, who has a strong 3.27 ERA and 1.091 WHIP in 2 home starts. Reds are 5-0 in his last 5 starts and have won 6 of his last 7 starts vs the NL West. Take Cincinnati! |
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05-16-19 | A's -135 v. Tigers | Top | 17-3 | Win | 100 | 2 h 10 m | Show |
5* MLB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on A's -135 I got no problem laying a little juice with Oakland on the road in this one. While the A's are just 5-17 on the road this season, Detroit is one place I'm confident they can win at. In fact, Oakland is 12-1 against the Tigers at any park the last 3 years, which includes a perfect 7-0 record at Comerica Park. Tigers have one of the worst offenses in the big leagues. They come in averaging just 3.4 runs/game and are hitting a mere .223 as a team. That drops down to 2.8 runs/game with a .213 average in games where they face a right-handed starter. Not only will they be up against a righty in this one, they have to face a really good one. Oakland's Chris Bassitt has a 2.55 ERA and 0.973 WHIP in 4 starts this season. Tigers are an awful 13-41 in their last 54 vs a team from the AL West, while the A's are a dominant 39-12 in their last 51 vs a team from the AL Central. Take Oakland! |
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05-15-19 | Rangers v. Royals +122 | Top | 6-1 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 57 m | Show |
5* American League Money Line PLAY OF THE MONTH on Royals +122 Love the value here with Kansas City as a home dog against the Rangers. Royals finally got their offense going in yesterday's 11-5 win. I look for them to stay hot at the plate Against a Texas pitching staff that has allowed 10+ runs in 3 straight games. Rangers have also been a horrible road team. After losing on Tuesday, they are now just 5-15 on the road this season. Texas has gone just 1-7 in their last 8 on the road vs a team with a losing record and have lost 7 of the last 10 starts by Mike Minor. Royals on the other hand are 12-4 in their last 16 home games vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their road games. Take Kansas City! |
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05-15-19 | Cubs +119 v. Reds | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
3* MLB Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY on Cubs +119 No way I'm passing up a chance to play the Cubs as a dog. Chicago won the series opener 3-1 on Tuesday. Cubs have won 3 in a row and are a dominant 21-5 over their last 26 games. I get Yu Darvish hasn't been great, but no way should the Reds be favored with the likes of Sonny Gray on the mound. Gray has a respectable 3.92 ERA, but has not won a single one of his 8 starts and the Reds are just 2-6 in those outings. If he's not on his game, this Cubs offense will make him pay. It's also worth noting that Darvish has owned Cincinnati, with a 1.93 ERA and 1.178 WHIP in 3 starts. When the Cubs come in having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, they are a dominant 16-4 against the money line. Take Chicago! |
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05-14-19 | Padres +142 v. Dodgers | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 38 m | Show |
5* MLB NL West GAME OF THE MONTH on Padres +142 Absolutely love the value here with San Diego at this price. I'm not saying the Dodgers shouldn't be favored at home with Clayton Kershaw on the mound, but they are getting way too much respect in this one. As good as Kershaw has been in his 5 starts, he's not the best starter going in this game. Chris Paddack of the Padres is putting up Cy Young type numbers to start the season. Paddack has a 1.55 ERA and 0.688 WHIP in 7 starts. San Diego has won 6 of his 7 starts, which includes a perfect 3-0 record on the road. Padres were off Monday and this is a team that you want to back after a break. They are 12-3 in their last 15 following an off day. Take San Diego! |
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05-13-19 | Astros v. Tigers +146 | Top | 8-1 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 38 m | Show |
5* MLB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Tigers +146 Big time value here with Detroit as a big home dog against the Astros. No denying that the Astros are the better overall team, but the Tigers will have the better starter going in Monday's series opener. Detroit will turn to Matt Boyd, who is off to a fantastic start to the 2019 season. Boyd has a 2.86 ERA and 0.934 WHIP in 8 starts. He's 3-0 with a 2.42 ERA and 0.846 WHIP in 4 home starts and has a 2.37 ERA and 0.789 WHIP in his last 3 outings. Astros will counter with Brad Peacock. While Peacock was great in his last start, that was at home against a bad Royals offense. Peacock has sub-par 4.59 ERA in 6 starts overall and owns an ugly 6.96 ERA in 2 road starts. Tigers are a dominant 14-3 in Boyd's last 17 home starts. Take Detroit! |
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05-12-19 | Brewers +132 v. Cubs | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
4* Brewers/Cubs Sunday Night Baseball NO-BRAINER on Brewers +132 Give me Milwaukee as a decently priced road dog all day against the Cubs. Chicago squeaked out a 2-1 win in 15-innings on Saturday, but the offense remained ice-cold and the Cubs shaky bullpen now goes into Sunday far from full strength. I know the numbers are great for Brewers starter, Jhoylys Chacin, but he's been trending in the right direction. Chacin has a solid 3.60 ERA and 1.067 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Even more important to note is his past success against these Cubs. Chacin has a 2.81 ERA in 11 career starts against Chicago. In his last 5 starts at Wrigley Field, he's given a whopping 5 earned runs. Take Milwaukee! |
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05-12-19 | Rangers +195 v. Astros | Top | 5-15 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 38 m | Show |
5* MLB Vegas HEAVY HITTER Top Play on Rangers +195 I absolutely love the value here with Texas, as they are almost +200 on the money line in a game I give them a great shot to win. Astros have already secured a series win, as they have taken the first 3 games in the series, so it would be really easy for them to not come to the park 100% locked in today. The other big key here is the Astros have a struggling Collin McCugh on the mound. They have lost 5 of his 8 starts in 2019 and he comes into this one wiht a 9.20 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in his last 3 starts. It's also worth noting that most of his struggles have come at home. No way should Houston be this big a favorite with him starting. Take Texas! |
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05-11-19 | Angels v. Orioles +130 | Top | 7-2 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 33 m | Show |
5* American League HEAVY HITTER of the MONTH on Orioles +130 Big time value here with Baltimore as a home dog on Saturday. I get the Orioles are not a great team, but no way should the Angels be this big of a road favorite with a guy like Matt Harvey on the mound. Harvey is a mere 1-3 with a 6.94 ERA and 1.376 WHIP in 7 starts. In his last start, he gave up 5 runs on 5 hits with just 1 strikeout in 4 2/3 innings. Baltimore on the other hand will have Dylan Bundy on the mound and we know he's got the talent despite the not so great numbers. Key here is Bundy comes in red-hot with a 2.95 ERA and 1.091 WHIP in his last 3 starts. The most recent being an absolute gem at home against the Rays, where he allowed just 3 hits over 7 1/3 shutout innings. Take Baltimore! |
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05-11-19 | Tigers +148 v. Twins | 5-3 | Win | 148 | 4 h 38 m | Show | |
4* MLB Vegas Money Line MASSACRE on Tigers +148 I'll jump on Detroit in Game 1 of Saturday's double-header with the Twins. I get Minnesota is the better team. There's no arguing that. However, the starting pitching matchup in Game 1 is so heavily in favor of the Tigers, I just can't pass up on a play at this price. Detroit is sending out Spencer Turnbull, who has a 2.31 ERA and 1.179 WHIP in his first 7 starts. He's been even better than that on the road, where he owns a 2.25 ERA. He also has a 1.00 ERA and 1.056 WHIP in his last 3 starts. As for Twins starter, Michael Pineda, he has a 6.09 ERA and 1.529 WHIP in 7 starts. He has a 6.75 ERA in 4 home starts and a 7.05 ERA and 1.892 WHIP in his last 3 outings. Take Detroit! |
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05-10-19 | Braves +126 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 2-1 | Win | 126 | 11 h 8 m | Show |
5* MLB Late Night GAME OF THE MONTH on Braves +126 I just can't pass up a play on Atlanta at this price. The Braves will have Julio Teheran on the mound and have won 12 of his last 14 starts when they go off as a dog of +100 to +150. Atlanta has also gone 10-3 in Teheran's last 13 starts against a NL team scoring 5 or more runs/game. Teheran has a not so great 4.63 ERA and 1.343 WHIP in his last 8 starts, but comes in with a 3.32 ERA and 0.947 WHIP with 19 strikeouts in 19 innings over his last 3 starts. Last time out he gave up just 2 hits over 6 shutout innings. He will be up against a Dbacks offense that has score 3 or fewer in 4 straight. Take Atlanta! |
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05-10-19 | Brewers +118 v. Cubs | 7-0 | Win | 118 | 4 h 48 m | Show | |
4* MLB NL Central PLAY OF THE WEEK on Brewers +118 Really like the value here with Milwaukee as a dog. I know the game is in Chicago and the Cubs are playing well, but Brewers have won 6 straight. While Jose Quintana has been red-hot, he got lit up by this high-powered Milwaukee offense earlier this season. Quintana lasted just 3 innings after serving up 8 runs on 8 hits and 3 walks. Brewers will have veteran Gio Gonzalez on the mound and he's looked sharp in his first two starts of 2019. Gonzalez has only given up 3 runs with 9 K's in 10 1/3 innings. Cubs offense is pretty hit or miss and they come in hitting just .248 over their last 7 and .233 on the season at home. Take Milwaukee! |
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05-09-19 | Marlins +190 v. Cubs | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 48 m | Show | |
4* MLB Money Line NO-BRAINER on Marlins +190 The books have inflated the number here on Chicago to where it's just too good a price to pass up. Cubs have won 9 of their last 10, including each of the last 2 in the series, but Miami did win the opener and then has lost the last two on a walk-off homer. Marlins could just as easily be going for a 4-game sweep here. Either way it's hard to trust Chicago at this price with a starter that has struggled as much as Yu Darvish. In his first 7 starts of 2019, Darvish owns a 5.79 ERA and 1.714 WHIP. He's also been especially bad at home, posting a 7.54 ERA and 1.675 WHIP in 3 starts at Wrigley Field. Marlins have won 12 of their last 18 against a starter who averages fewer than 5 innings/start and are 18-9 in their last 27 road games vs a starter who averages 2.75 or more walks/game. Take Miami! |
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05-09-19 | White Sox +220 v. Indians | Top | 0-5 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 38 m | Show |
5* AL Central Vegas Insider GAME OF THE WEEK on White Sox +220 This is just too good a price to pass up on Chicago. The White Sox had won the first two games of the series before losing a 5-3 on a 2-run homer in the bottom of the 9th yesterday. I get Cleveland is the better team and should be favored at home, but no way should they be this big of a favorite with the struggles they are having scoring runs. Cleveland needed 12 hits to push across 5 runs and had just 3 runs going into the 9th. They had scored a total of 1 run in their previous 3 games combined and 2 or fewer in 5 of their last 6. As bad as the numbers are for Chicago starter Manny Banuelos, similar guys have kept this Indianas offense in check. Chicago has some nice young bats and I think they can get to Indians starter Carlos Carrasco. He's made 7 starts and owns a 5.60 ERA and 1.330 WHIP. He's had a really tough time keeping the ball in the park, as he's already served up 8 homers and the win will be blowing out to center/right center at close to 20 mph. Take Chicago! |
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05-08-19 | Angels +111 v. Tigers | 3-10 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 6 m | Show | |
3* MLB Money Line DESTROYER on Angels +111 I look for the Angles to win here on the road against the Tigers. LA has won 5 of their last 7, while the Tigers are just 3-7 in their last 10. Angels will also have southpaw Tyler Skaggs on the mound and he's got a strong 3.12 ERA and 1.231 WHIP in 5 starts. LA has won 7 of his last 10 vs a team with a losing record and Detroit is a mere 1-6 in their last 7 vs a left-handed starter. Tigers have also had a miserable time against teams from the AL West. They are a pathetic 14-42 in their last 56 vs that division. Angels are 18-3 in their last 21 vs AL team that is averaging 3.9 or less runs/game. Take Los Angeles! |
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05-08-19 | Nationals +180 v. Brewers | Top | 3-7 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 6 m | Show |
5* MLB Vegas HEAVY HITTER Top Play on Nationals +180 No way should Milwaukee be this big of a home favorite on Wednesday. Brewers are simply overvalued due to winning 5 straight. Brandon Woodruff will be starting for Milwaukee and while he's 4-1, he's owns a very sub-par 5.04 ERA and 1.480 WHIP. Very even matchup on the mound with Jeremy Hellickson going for the Nationals. I see some hidden value with the fact that the Brewers have won the first 2 games of this series, as Washington has thrived in this spot. Nationals are 20-7 in their last 27 after losing the first 2 games of the series. Milwaukee has also dropped 6 of their last 8 when playing Game 3 of a series. Also, I know the Washington offense has struggled, but Nationals are 30-13 in their last 43 in games following a 3-game stretch where they hit .200 or worse. Take Washington! |
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05-07-19 | Braves +135 v. Dodgers | Top | 0-9 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 10 m | Show |
5* MLB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Braves +135 I think the books have made a huge mistake here pricing Atlanta as a big road dog against the Dodgers. Both teams will send out a talented left-handed starter, as Max Fried goes for the Braves and Hyun-Jin Ryu toes the rubber for Los Angeles. The key here is the Braves have feasted on south paw starters this season. Atlanta is averaging 5.7 runs/game with a .274 average and .365 OBP in 9 games vs a left-handed starter. Dodgers on the other hand are only hitting .238 as a team in 13 games vs left-handed starters. LA is also a mere 8-18 in Ryu's last 26 starts vs a team with a winning record and 1-4 in his last 5 after scoring 5 or more in their previous game. Take Atlanta! |
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05-07-19 | Giants +114 v. Rockies | 14-4 | Win | 114 | 10 h 40 m | Show | |
3* MLB Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY on Giants +114 Easy play here on San Francisco. Giants will have their ace Madison Bumgarner on the mound, who is coming off a great start at home against the Dodgers. Bumgarner allowed just 1 run on 4 hits with 8 strikeouts. Just like hitters, pitchers are streaky and I think that we could see Bumgarner go on a nice run of quality starts. Hard to not like him here, as he's posted a 2.84 ERA and 1.053 WHIP in 3 road starts this season and owns a strong 3.12 ERA and 1.217 WHIP in 31 career starts against the Rockies. As for Colorado, they will have Antonio Senzatela on the mound and he's an average starter at best. He's got a 4.03 ERA and 1.432 WHIP in 4 starts so far in 2019. Take San Francisco! |
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05-06-19 | Mariners +137 v. Yankees | 3-7 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 29 m | Show | |
3* MLB Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY on Mariners + The Mariners are definitely worth a look here as a big road dog against the Yankees. Seattle's Felix Hernandez has been better than anticipated of late and I like him to out-perform another old ace in C.C. Sabathia. Yankees are still without a bunch of their top guys and have not been producing at the plate of late. Seattle got their offense going in a big way on Sunday, as they put up 10 runs on 12 hits in a blowout win at Cleveland. I look for those bats to stay hot and for the Mariners to win this one going away. Mariners are 14-5 in their last 19 off a win. Take Seattle! |
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05-06-19 | Giants +143 v. Reds | 4-12 | Loss | -100 | 1 h 31 m | Show | |
4* MLB Early Bird NO-BRAINER on Giants + This is just too good a price to pass up on the Giants. San Francisco has rallied late twice to beat the Reds in this series. Yesterday it was Brandon Crawford who hit a 2-run homer in the Top of the 9th to secure a 6-5 win (trailed 4-0 in the 1st inning). Not only will SF be riding a wave of momentum, but losses like that are really tough to bounce back from. I think even more so when teams are forced to play an early game on a travel day (Cincinnati heading to California for a series against Oakland tomorrow). No way should the Giants be this big of a dog, especially with a very even matchup on the mound. Take San Francisco! |
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05-05-19 | Mets +137 v. Brewers | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 41 m | Show |
5* MLB Vegas HEAVY HITTER Top Play on Mets + I just feel like there's too much value here with New York to pass up. These two are coming off a marathon 18-inning game on Saturday. Milwaukee won the contest 4-3 and while it's just one game, it feels a little worse than that in games that go that many extra innings. I think we are going to see New York the more focused of the two in Sunday's game, as I think they will want this one a little more. Milwaukee has already secured the series by taking the first two and could be looking ahead to a bigger series against the Nationals. Zach Davies has been great for the Brewers, but he's not someone that goes deep in games. He's also got a less than stellar 5.77 ERA and 1.483 WHIP in 6 career starts against the Mets. New York also has a hot starter on the mound, as Jason Vargas owns a 1.93 ERA and 1.214 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Take New York! |
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05-04-19 | Red Sox v. White Sox +157 | 15-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
4* MLB Money Line NO-BRAINER on White Sox + The White Sox are definitely worth a look as a huge home underdog on Saturday. Chicago has split the first 2 games of the series and have won 5 of their last 7 overall. No way should the White Sox be this big of a dog on their home turf, especially with how today's two starters are throwing the rock. Boston will send out Eduardo Rodriguez, who has a 6.16 ERA and 1.532 WHIP in 6 starts. It gets even worse on the road, as Rodriguez has a 9.45 ERA and 2.251 WHIP over 3 road outings. Chicago will turn to Manny Banuelos. While he's only made 2 starts, he owns a 1.86 ERA in those two outings, giving up just 2 runs in 9 2/3 innings of work. Red Sox are just a mere 2-8 in their last 10 as a road favorite of -125 or more and have lost 5 of their last 6 vs a left-handed starter. Take Chicago! |
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05-04-19 | Giants +124 v. Reds | Top | 2-9 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
5* National League Vegas Insider GAME OF THE MONTH on Giants + This is just too good a price to pass up with San Francisco. The Giants are coming off a thrilling 7-6 win on Friday, as they trailed 11-7 going into the 8th inning. They scored 3 in the 8th, 1 in the 9th and eventually the game-winning run in the 11th. That's going to be a tough loss for the Reds to bounce back from. San Francisco will turn to Dereck Rodriguez and he's a perfect 3-0 with a 2.87 ERA and 1.021 WHIP in 3 road starts. Cincinnati will counter with Tanner Roark, who has struggled with 4.08 ERA and 1.675 WHIP in 6 starts. Roark has really struggled with his command, walking 9 guys in his last 3 starts. Giants are 7-1 in Rodriguez's last 8 road starts with a total set between 7 and 8.5, 4 of his last 5 vs a team with a losing record and 7 of his last 9 road starts overall. Take San Francisco! |
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05-03-19 | Dodgers v. Padres +148 | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 23 m | Show | |
4* MLB NL West PLAY OF THE WEEK on Padres + Love the value here with the Padres as a big home underdog against the Dodgers. I know LA has Kershaw on the mound and he's looked good in his first 3 starts, but it's never easy winning on the road inside your own division. The Padres will have a pretty good starter of their own going, as they turn to Eric Lauer. He's got a strong 3.37 ERA in 3 home starts and even more important is that he's owned the Dodgers. Lauer is perfect 3-0 with a 0.92 ERA and 1.017 WHIP in 3 career starts against LA (all last year). Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 at home vs a left-handed starter and have won 8 of their last 11 vs a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Take San Diego! |
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05-03-19 | Giants +147 v. Reds | 12-11 | Win | 147 | 12 h 21 m | Show | |
3* MLB Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY on Giants + This is just too good a price to pass up with San Francisco. The Giants enter this series having just won 2 of 3 at home against the Dodgers and with the way the Reds are struggling to score it's hard to not like them in Friday's series opener. Cincinnati has scored 3 or fewer runs in 5 of their last 6 games. They had just 1 run on 4 hits Wednesday and were shutout with another 4 hits on Thursday. San Francisco will turn to Tyler Beede, who has an impressive 1.99 ERA with 34 strikeouts in 22 2/3 innings in the minors. Beede got 2 starts last year at the big league level, so the nerves won't be a big issue this time around. Reds are just 10-28 in their last 38 after scoring 1 run or less in their last game and 5-18 in their last 23 when coming in having hit .175 or worse over their last 3 games. Take San Francisco! |
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05-02-19 | Reds +168 v. Mets | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 41 m | Show | |
3* MLB Early Bird Money Line DESTROYER on Reds + Yesterday we cashed in on the Reds +180 as our free pick and will not hesitate to fire back with Cincinnati as another big underdog on Thursday. It's a very similar scenario where we have the Mets getting a ton of love for the name they have on the mound and not the production that they are getting from that guy. Noah Syndergaard is viewed as a top tier starter and is coming off a great 2018 season. However, he's not been good in 2019. Syndergaard has a 6.35 ERA and 1.471 WHIP in 6 starts and is trending in the wrong direction with a 8.40 ERA and 2.33 WHIP in his last 3 outings. He's also given up 4+ runs in 4 straight starts. Take Cincinnati! |
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05-01-19 | Indians v. Marlins +135 | 2-4 | Win | 135 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
4* MLB Money Line NO-BRAINER on Marlins + If you only got to look at the numbers of the two starters in this game, almost everyone would be taking the Marlins. Instead, most will just see the Indians playing a bad team with their ace Corey Kluber on the mound and back Cleveland. Kluber has not been good. He's got a 5.81 ERA and 1.677 WHIP in 6 starts and is not trending in the right direction. Last 3 starts, Kluber has a 7.98 ERA and 1.909 WHIP. On the flip side of this, Marlins' starter Caleb Smith has a 2.17 ERA and 0.828 WHIP in 5 starts overall with a 1.00 ERA and 0.722 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Take Miami! |
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05-01-19 | Yankees -115 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 47 m | Show |
5* MLB Vegas Insider PLAY OF THE MONTH on Yankees - Arizona was able to take yesterday's series opener 3-1 behind a great outing from their ace Zack Greinke. It was a rare loss for New York, as they are 9-2 in their last 11. I look for the Yankees to have no problem bouncing back and securing a split of this short 2-game series. New York will have the edge on the mound this time around, as they send out Masahiro Tanaka against Arizona's Merrill Kelly. Tanaka has a strong 3.60 ERA and 1.285 WHIP in 6 starts. Kelly has a solid 3.94 ERA, but an ugly 1.382 WHIP (walked 9 guys in his last 2 starts). In just his last 3 starts he owns a 5.17 ERA and 1.914 WHIP. Yankees are 27-9 over the last 2 seasons on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 and a perfect 7-0 (home or away) when priced in that range this season. Take New York! |
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04-30-19 | Reds v. Mets +106 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 106 | 7 h 49 m | Show |
5* NL Heavy Hitter PLAY OF THE MONTH on Mets + I think it's worth going big on New York tonight. No way should the Mets be a home dog against a team like Cincinnati. I get the Reds have a promising young starter on the mound in Luis Castillo, but he's got a bad offense behind him. The Reds as a team have a pathetic .213 batting average and a .280 on-base percentage. It gets even worse when they are matched up against a left-handed starter. Cincinnati is scoring just 3.2 run/game and hitting .197 as a team vs south paw starters. Mets will have lefty Jason Vargas on the mound and he's off back-to-back strong outings. Reds are also a mere 19-40 (32%) in their last 59 road games when listed anywhere from +125 to -125. Take New York! |
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04-29-19 | Orioles +122 v. White Sox | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 46 m | Show | |
4* MLB Vegas Insider PLAY OF THE WEEK on Orioles + Baltimore is an easy play for me on Monday. I get the Orioles aren't a very good team, but neither are the White Sox. Chicago has just 1 more win than Baltimore on the season. It's been all or nothing for the White Sox offense. They come in averaging 6.0 runs/game over their last 7, but that's because they put up 12 runs twice during this stretch. In their last 6 they have scored 4 or fewer 4 times. I'm confident this won't be one of those outbursts for Chicago, as Baltimroe sends out one of the more underrated starters in the league right now in Jon Means. In 3 starts, Means has posted a sensational 2.08 ERA and 1.154 WHIP. That includes a start against these same White Sox, where he held Chicago to just 1 run on 4 hits with 6 K's in 5 innings of a 4-3 win. Take Baltimore! |
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04-28-19 | A's -111 v. Blue Jays | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -111 | 4 h 49 m | Show |
5* MLB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Oakland - Easy play on Oakland at this price. The A's are going to be highly motivated after losing the first two games of the series and needing a win to avoid the sweep. First two games of the series the A's faced two of Toronto's better starters in Stroman and Sanchez. This time they are up against Trent Thornton, who is 0-3 with a 5.78 ERA and 1.371 WHIP in 5 starts and is trending with a 9.23 ERA and 1.973 WHIP in his last 3 outings. On the flip side of this, Oakland will send out Chris Bassitt, who was outstanding in his first start on 4/22. Bassitt allowed just 2 hits and struck out 7 over 5 shutout innings. A's have won each of Bassitt's last 5 starts, while the Blue Jays have lost each of Thornton's last 5 starts. Take Oakland! |
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04-26-19 | Rangers +155 v. Mariners | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
4* MLB AL West GAME OF THE WEEK on Rangers + Absolutely love the value here with the Rangers as a big road underdog against the Mariners. Seattle will have starter Yusei Kikuchi on the mound, but only for an inning or two, as they are going to make him an "opener" every now and then to help keep him fresh. No way should the Mariners be priced like this. It all adds up to an ideal spot for Texas to snap their 4-game skid. Rangers have a lot of fire-power on the offensive side of the ball and Seattle's bullpen leaves a lot to be desired, even with likely top prospect Justus Sheffield ready to spell Kikuchi. Seattle is just 1-6 over their last 7 home games and have lost 5 straight at home vs a right-handed starter. Take Texas! |
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04-25-19 | Indians +145 v. Astros | 2-1 | Win | 145 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
4* MLB Underdog PLAY OF THE WEEK on Indians + This is just too good a price to pass up on Cleveland. The Indians will Trevor Bauer on the mound for this one and he's been sensational to start out 2019. Bauer comes into this start with a 2.20 ERA and 0.979 WHIP in 5 outings. Houston has a big name on the mound in Gerrit Cole, but he's been off his game early. Cole is 1-3 and has a 5.22 ERA over 5 starts. Last time out he was torched for 9 runs on 9 hits and 3 walks in a mere 4 1/3 innings of work at the Rangers. Indians bats have started to come alive and Jose Ramirez is coming off a big game, which just might snap a massive slump he's been in to start the year. Indians are 6-2 in Bauers last 8 road starts, 4-1 in his last 5 series openers and 4-1 in his last 5 vs a team from the AL West. Take Cleveland! |
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04-24-19 | Dodgers v. Cubs +112 | 6-7 | Win | 112 | 9 h 22 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Cubs + This is a great price to get Chicago at home. The Dodgers are perceived to be the team to beat in the NL and are simply overpriced because of it. No way should LA be favored on the road with how much the starting pitching matchup favors the Cubs. Chicago will send out veteran Cole Hamels, who is 3-0 with a 2.77 ERA and 0.846 WHIP in 4 starts. Hamels was outstanding in his last start, giving up just 3 hits with 0 walks and 8 strikeouts over 7 shutout innings. Dodgers will turn to Walker Buehler, who has struggled to build on a promising rookie season. Buehler has a 2-0 record, but owns an ugly 5.40 ERA. He's also got a 6.00 ERA and 1.333 WHIP in 2 road starts. Take Chicago! |
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04-23-19 | Mariners v. Padres -130 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 14 h 39 m | Show | |
3* MLB Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Padres - I think it's worth a shot here to back the Padres as a small home favorite. San Diego snapped their 6-game losing streak with a 4-3 win on Sunday and are going to be extremely motivated to carry over that success and close out this 8-game homestand on a positive. Padres will have a decent arm on the mound, as they send out Nick Margevicius for his 5th start of 2019. While Margevicius has a 1-2 record, he's got a strong 3.60 ERA and 0.900 WHIP. He's really just had one poor outing, as he has given up 3 runs on 9 hits in 3 of his starts. Padres had Monday off and that's worth noting, as they are 10-2 on the money line following an off day. Mariners are just 2-7 last 9 interleague road games and are 0-4 in their last 4 vs a tstarter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Take San Diego! |
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04-22-19 | Twins +173 v. Astros | 9-5 | Win | 173 | 11 h 53 m | Show | |
4* MLB AL Money Line PLAY OF THE WEEK on Twins + I just can't pass up on a play here with Minnesota at this price. You know there's going to be value fading the Astros with how big a public team they are and this is no exception. Just no way Houston should be laying this much juice in this specific matchup. Astros will have Brad Peacock on the mound, who after a strong first start at Texas, was rocked for 5 runs on 7 hits in 5 inning at home by the A's. With the Twins swinging a pretty hot bat, I like Minnesota to put up a decent number here. Twins will counter with Jake Odorizzi, who is coming off a great start against the Blue Jays and is 3-1 with a 2.12 ERA and 1.112 WHIP in 5 career starts against the Astros. Take Minnesota! |
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04-21-19 | Diamondbacks -103 v. Cubs | 1-2 | Loss | -103 | 5 h 40 m | Show | |
3* MLB Money Line DESTROYER on Arizona Arizona snapped the Cubs 4-game winning streak with a 6-0 win on Saturday and I really like their chances of winning the series finale on Sunday. Cubs have been streaky this season and could see the offense struggling to snap out of their funk from yesterday's game. Arizona's Robbie Ray has owned Chicago in his brief career. Ray has a 1.88 ERA and 1.042 WHIP in 4 starts against the Cubs. He faced them twice last year and gave up just 1 run on 5 hits with 14 K's in 13 innings. Chicago is turning to back to Tyler Chatwood, who is making his first start since getting the boot from the starting rotation last August. I'm just not convinced it's going to be any better for Chatwood, who finished up last year with a 5.30 ERA and 1.80 WHIP in 24 appearance (20 starts). He's came out of the bullpen 4 times this year and owns a 6.00 ERA and 1.83 WHIP. Take Arizona! |
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04-20-19 | Blue Jays +132 v. A's | 10-1 | Win | 132 | 8 h 7 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Blue Jays + Toronto took the series opener 5-1 on Friday and I like them to carry over that momentum to another win on Saturday. This is also an outstanding price to get the Blue Jays off a win with a hot starter like Matt Shoemaker on the mound. Shoemaker is 3-0 with a 1.75 ERA and 0.857 WHIP in 4 starts. He will be facing an A's offense that is in quite the slump, scoring just 4 runs in their last 3 games combined. A stretch where they have only managed 14 hits. On top of that, Oakland will be starting Michael Fiers, who has a 7.06 ERA and 1.569 WHIP in 5 starts. Last two outings, Fiers has given up 12 runs on 14 hits and 5 walks in 6 2/3 innings of work. Shoemaker is 13-3 against the money line in his last 16 starts vs an AL team with a batting average of .255 or worse and the A's are 1-5 in their last 6 vs a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Take Toronto! |
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04-19-19 | Mets +139 v. Cardinals | 5-4 | Win | 139 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Mets + Really like the value here with New York at this price. I get the starting pitching matchup looks to favor St Louis with Adam Wainwright throwing well early and Mets' starter Jason Vargas having really struggled in his first two outings. I just don't trust Wainwright at this point in his career and the Cardinals have not fared well against left-handed starters. St Louis is only averaging 3.7 runs/game and hitting .209 as a team vs a south paw starter. Take New York! |
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04-18-19 | Reds +150 v. Padres | 4-1 | Win | 150 | 14 h 21 m | Show | |
3* MLB Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY on Reds + This is just too good a price to pass up on the Reds. San Diego is simply overpriced because of how lopsided this pitching matchup looks, as well as the Reds having one of the worst records in the game at 5-12 and have lost 4 straight. Padres Chris Paddack has a 1.29 ERA and 0.857 WHIP, but he's yet to earn a win and has not completed more than 5 1/3 innings. Cincinnati's Tanner Roark has a 4.30 ERA and 1.705 WHIP in 3 starts, but has gotten better with each start. Last time out he only gave up 1 run in 5 1/3 innings. He's made 4 career starts against the Padres and is 3-1 with a 2.89 ERA and 0.786 WHIP. Take Cincinnati! |
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04-16-19 | Pirates v. Tigers +105 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 10 m | Show |
5* MLB Interleague GAME OF THE MONTH on Tigers + No way should Detroit be an underdog at home against the Pirates. I get Pittsburgh is off to a solid 8-6 start, but this is not a playoff caliber team. Neither are the Tigers, but I think we are seeing the Pirates overvalued here in Game 1 due to the Pirates coming off a series win at Washington. This is the third straight series on the road for Pittsburgh and it wouldn't surprise me at all if they lost both games at Detroit. I really like the Tigers in the opener, as they send out Matt Boyd, who has been sensational to start the year. Boyd has 29 strikeouts in just over 17 innings of work and has two games already where he's finished with double-digit K's. Pirates have scored 2 or fewer 5 of their last 10, so it's an offense that can easily be held in check. Pittsburgh is also a mere 9-25 in their last 34 road games vs a left-handed starter and have lost 6 straight road starts with Joe Musgrove on the mound. Take Detroit! |
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04-15-19 | Rockies +153 v. Padres | Top | 5-2 | Win | 153 | 12 h 7 m | Show |
5* MLB NL West GAME OF THE MONTH on Rockies + Big time value here with Colorado in Monday's series opener against the Padres. The Rockies are simply not as bad as their 4-12 record and I believe yesterday's 4-0 win against San Francisco could light a fire under this team. That victory snapped a 8-game losing streak. Not exactly an easy spot here for San Diego, who just finished up a lengthy 10-game road trip with a loss to the Diamondbacks. Padres have just 1 win in their last 6 at home following a road trip of 7 or more days. Another thing is the Padres will send out Joey Lucchesi, who is coming off a miserable start at SF. He gave up 7 runs on 7 hits and 2 walks in just 4 innings. Lucchesi is a mere 3-12 in his last 15 starts vs a division opponent. Take Colorado! |
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04-14-19 | Phillies v. Marlins +159 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 47 m | Show |
5* MLB NL East GAME OF THE MONTH on Marlins + I absolutely love the value here with the Marlins in this one. Miami snapped a 5-game losing streak in a 10-3 win on Saturday. They had a season-high 18 hits, which is more than they had in their last 4 games combined. Usually when a team snaps out of a slump like what the Marlins were in, they keep it going, at least for a few more games. With Vincent Velasquez on the mound for Philadelphia, I like their chances of staying hot that much more. Phillies are just 7-20 in Velasquez's last 27 road starts, including a mere 1-7 record in his last 8 road starts vs a team with a losing record. Marlins have won 5 of Jose Urena's last 6 starts vs a division opponent. Take Miami! |
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04-13-19 | Cardinals v. Reds +118 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 118 | 13 h 37 m | Show |
5* NL Vegas Insider GAME OF THE MONTH on Reds + I really like the value here with Cincinnati. While both teams are riding winning streaks, I really think the series against Miami lit a fire under this Reds team. Cincinnati outscored the Marlins 21-1 and will now be playing with a swagger. The offensive breakthrough was huge and I like their chances of staying hot in Mexico against veteran Adam Wainwright. Once one of the best arms in the big leagues, Wainwright has really fallen off in the latter stage of his career. He's made 2 starts in 2019 and has given up 5 runs on 9 hits and 4 walks. He just doesn't pitch well away from Busch Stadium. Coming into this season, Wainwright had a 6.45 ERA in 32 road starts and a 3.35 ERA in 32 home starts. So far 2019 has held true to those numbers. He lasted just 4 innings, giving up 4 runs on 4 hits and 4 walks at Pittsburgh then shutdown the Padres at home. Look for the Reds to do some damage at the plate. Take Cincinnati! |
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04-13-19 | White Sox +157 v. Yankees | 0-4 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 30 m | Show | |
3* MLB Early Bird Money Line SMASH on White Sox + Chicago snapped a 5-game losing streak with a 9-6 win in yesterday's series opener against the Yankees, bringing home quite the payday for their backers, as they were close to a +200 dog. I like them to carry over that success with another win as a decently priced dog on Saturday. Yankees have been decimated by injuries and the latest to join the list is catcher Gary Sanchez. I also have little to no trust in veteran starter C.C. Sabathia in his first start of 2019. White Sox have some really nice young talent at the plate and starter Ivan Nova has a 1.29 ERA on the road in 2019. Take Chicago! |
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04-12-19 | Brewers +135 v. Dodgers | Top | 8-5 | Win | 135 | 14 h 5 m | Show |
5* MLB Heavy Hitter GAME OF THE MONTH on Brewers + Love the value here with Milwaukee as a decently priced road dog against the Dodgers. It's been a rough start to the season for Brewers starter Corbin Burnes, but it's really only the long ball that's hurt him. He's not going to keep giving up 3 HRs per outing and I think the team confirming their commitment to him as a starter, might just be the confidence boost he needs to start pitching to his potential. The Dodgers scored 7 runs in a loss on Thursday, but prior to that had scored 3 or fewer in each of their previous 3 games. Let's also not ignore just how potent this Brewers offense is. Even if Burnes isn't at his best, there's still a great chance Milwaukee ends up on top. Brewers had yesterday off to get their minds right after being swept by the Angels and are an impressive 20-7 in their last 27 after an off day. They are also 23-9 in their last 32 off a loss and 11-4 in their last 15 vs a team with a winning record. Take Milwaukee! |
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04-11-19 | Indians -128 v. Tigers | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 1 h 20 m | Show | |
3* MLB Early Bird Money Line SMASH on Indians - Cleveland should have no problem leaving Detroit with a win on Thursday. Indians ran into a bit of a buzz-saw in Tigers starter Matt Boyd on Wednesday, but had won 5 straight prior to that loss and I look for them to return right back to form. Cleveland will send out Shane Bieber, who was impressive in his first start of 2019. Bieber allowed just 2 runs on 2 hits with 9 strikeouts in 6 innings of work. I think he's a guy to watch out for this season and should have no problem keeping this Tigers offense in check. On the flip side of this, I look for the Indians to be able to get on the board early against Detroit starter Spencer Turnbull. Take Cleveland! |
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04-10-19 | Mariners -140 v. Royals | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
4* MLB Money Line NO-BRAINER on Mariners - I got no problem laying a little juice with the red-hot Mariners on the road against a bad team like the Royals, especially with the way Seattle is swinging the bats. The Mariners have scored 104 runs in 13 games. The next best is the Dodgers at 87 thru 12 games. Seattle has scored 6 or more runs in all but 1 game this season and have a ridiculous 56 hits in their last 4 games. I don't see the offense cooling off in this one, as today's game should heavily favor the offenses. Temps will be in the high 70's with the wind blowing out to left field at 15-20 mph. On top of that, KC is sending out spot starter Heath Fillmyer, who doesn't figure to go too long and will be turning over things to a Royals bullpen that has an awful 8.07 ERA and 2.041 WHIP in 32 1/3 innings of work. Take Seattle! |
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04-09-19 | Brewers -121 v. Angels | 8-11 | Loss | -121 | 12 h 42 m | Show | |
4* MLB Late Night NO-BRAINER on Brewers - I'm not concerned at all with Milwaukee dropping the first game of the series to the Angels on Monday. Brewers had to travel way out west after just finishing up a huge home series with the Cubs the day before. I'm confident they bounce back with an easy win here. Brewers clearly have the better offense and will benefit from the DH in this series. I look for that offense to have a big day at the plate against Matt Harvey. Harvey was torched for 8 runs on 10 hits in his last start at home against the Rangers. Milwaukee counters with Freddy Peralta, who is coming off a masterful start at Cincinnati. Peralta allowed just 2 hits and struck out 11 over 8 scoreless innings of work. I expect more of the same against the struggling Angels offense. Take Milwaukee! |
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04-09-19 | A's v. Orioles +165 | 13-2 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 41 m | Show | |
3* MLB Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY on Orioles + Big time value here with Baltimore as a huge home dog against the A's. The Orioles responded in a big way after getting swept in a 3-game series by New York, taking the series opener against Oakland 12-4 on Monday. A's have now lost 4 straight and are simply getting too much love here in the middle of a lengthy road trip on the complete other side of the country. Brett Anderson has pitched well for the A's, posting a 2.38 ERA in his first 2 starts. However, both those starts came at home and he wasn't nearly as sharp in his second start. Anderson has made 3 starts against the Orioles and his team has lost all 3, while he's posted a 7.54 ERA. John Means will be making his first start for the Orioles after being used as a reliever early on. I've been impressed with what I have seen and expect Means to fair well in this one. Take Baltimore! |
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04-08-19 | A's -129 v. Orioles | 4-12 | Loss | -129 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
3* MLB Vegas Oddsmakers ERROR on A's - This is just too good a price to pass up with Oakland as a small road favorite against the Orioles. Baltimore was just swept at home by rival New York and have lost 4 straight overall. A's were also swept over the weekend, but that was at Houston and two of those defeats came by a single run. I got a lot more confidence in Oakland bouncing back in the series opener on Monday. A's will send out Marco Estrada, who has a 2.76 ERA and 0.796 WHIP in 3 starts. He's also 9-3 with a 3.41 ERA in 17 starts vs the Orioles. Oakland has gone 40-14 in their last 54 vs a team with a losing record, 25-10 in their last 35 off a SU loss and 47-22 in their last 69 vs a starter with a WHIP great than 1.30. Orioles are 11-42 last 53 during Game 1 of a series, including a 1-7 mark in their last 8 series openers with Andrew Cashner on the mound. Take Oakland! |
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04-07-19 | Yankees v. Orioles +173 | 15-3 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 3 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Orioles + Big time value with Baltimore as a massive home dog against division rival New York. Yankees have won the first two in the series, so we should get a big effort here from the Orioles to avoid the sweep. The even bigger key here is the guy Baltimore has on the mound. David Hess was really good in his first start of 2019. He had 8 strikeouts over 6 1/3 scoreless innings and didn't allow a single hit while he was out there. If the Orioles weren't so bad last year and Hess was a little bigger name, no way would the Orioles be priced like this. Have to take a shot here with the home team. Take Baltimore! |
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04-06-19 | Cubs v. Brewers -115 | Top | 14-8 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 43 m | Show |
5* MLB NL Central GAME OF THE MONTH on Brewers - I can't believe how much respect the Cubs are still getting from the books with how bad they have been to start out 2019. Chicago is 1-6 and while the offense is producing at a decent level, the pitching has been atrocious. After giving up 13 runs on 15 hits in yesterday's series opening loss, the Cubs now own a 7.85 ERA and opposing teams are hitting a ridiculous .321 against them. Hard to see it getting any better against this loaded Brewers lineup. Lefty Cole Hamels will get the start for Chicago and he was not good in his first outing. Hamels gave up 5 runs on 6 hits and 3 walks in just 5 innings of work at Texas. Milwaukee will turn to Corbin Burnes, who while giving up 4 runs in 5 innings, showed some promise with 12 strikeouts to just 1 walk. Cubs are a team that will swing and miss a lot. Brewers are 20-6 in their last 26 at home vs a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.3, 22-7 in their last 29 vs the NL Central and 7-1 in their last 8 home games vs a left-handed starter. Take Milwaukee! |
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04-05-19 | A's v. Astros -151 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 36 m | Show |
5* MLB AL West GAME OF THE MONTH on Astros - Now is the time to jump on the Astros. Houston has gotten off to a slow start, as they are just 2-5 in their first 7 games. and have just one win since beating the Rays on Opening Day. A big reason they struggled is because they opened the season with 7 straight on the road. This will be their home opener and I could see them lighting up the scoreboard in their home park. They also have a strong starter going in Collin McHugh. He had 9 strikeouts in 5 innings in start No. 1 and only gave up 2 runs on 3 hits. A's have won 5 of 6, but 4 of those came against lefty starters, which they are better equipped to face. Oakland only scoring 3.2 runs/game and hitting .213 vs right-handed starters. McHugh also owns a strong 3.02 ERA and 1.157 WHIP in 11 career starts against the A's (9-2 team record). Take Houston! |
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04-04-19 | Nationals +118 v. Mets | 4-0 | Win | 118 | 7 h 31 m | Show | |
4* NL Vegas Insider GAME OF THE WEEK on Nationals + Most will be quick to back the red-hot Mets as a small home favorite with Thor (Noah Syndergaard) on the mound, but I think the value here is clearly with the Nationals. These two teams actually opened up the season against one another. New York won 2 of 3. The Nationals will be out for some payback, including starter Stephen Strasburg, who faced Syndergaard in Game 2 of that previous series. Both gave up 4 runs on 7 hits in 6 innings. Strasburg owns a 3.00 ERA and 1.090 WHIP in 18 starts vs the Mets. New York has only won 5 of Thor's 13 starts against Washington and Syndergaard has a career ERA of 3.65 in the series. Nationals are 13-3 in Strasburg's last 16 road starts against a team with a winning record and are a perfect 7-0 in his last 7 road starts against the Mets. Take Washington! |
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04-03-19 | Astros v. Rangers +183 | 0-4 | Win | 183 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
4* MLB Money Line VEGAS INSIDER on Rangers + This is just too good a price to pass up with a division dog. Houston is considered one of the best teams in the league, but are off to just a 2-4 start, as the offense is not producing at the level expected. Astros are scoring just 2.5 runs/game and have been held to 2 or fewer in 4 of their 6 games. So while they will have one of their better starters in Gerrit Cole on the mound, no way should they be this big of a favorite with how they are swinging the bats. Texas is 3-2 to start the year and just won 6-4 yesterday with Houston starting Verlander. Rangers offense has carried them, as they are scoring 6.0 runs/game. I know Mike Minor wasn't very good in his first start, but in his last 3 starts against the Astros he he completed at least 6 innings and gave up 3 or fewer earned runs. Take Texas! |
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04-02-19 | Mets v. Marlins +120 | 6-5 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
3* MLB Underdog PLAY OF THE WEEK on Marlins + We came up short with the Marlins on Monday, but will go right back to them on Tuesday. Miami ended up losing 7-3, but had a 3-2 advantage going into the 7th and were tied 3-3 going into the 9th. I just don't trust this hot start by New York and I certainly wouldn't want to be laying this much juice with Mets starter Jason Vargas. He was just 7-9 with a 5.77 ERA and 1.41 WHIP in 20 starts last year. I just don't see him getting a whole lot better, as he's now 36 and on the final straw of his big league career. Jose Urena struggled in his first start against the Rockies, but I like his potential and he has posted a strong 3.17 ERA and 1.106 WHIP in 10 career starts against the Mets. Take Miami! |
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04-01-19 | Mets v. Marlins +130 | 7-3 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational DOG OF THE WEEK on Marlins + Really like the value here with Miami as a home dog against division rival New York. The Mets just took 2 of 3 at Washington and I just think it has them overpriced in the opener against the Marlins. Miami just split their 4-game series with the Rockies by winning the final two. Everyone expects the Marlins to be bad and chances are they will be, but everyone is playing hard this early in the season. For me, I really like the potential of today's starter Caleb Smith. He was having a strong rookie season before needing left shoulder surgery. He's got swing and miss stuff, as he had 88 strikeouts in 77 1/3 innings of work. He is coming off a dazzling spring, where he had 19 strikeouts to just 1 walk in 13 1/3 innings. Take Miami! |
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03-31-19 | Rockies -150 v. Marlins | Top | 0-3 | Loss | -150 | 4 h 31 m | Show |
5* NL West GAME OF THE MONTH on Rockies - Colorado should have no problem bouncing back from Saturday's loss with another win over the Marlins. Rockies had won the first two in the series by a combined score of 12-4 and simply are the better team. Colorado will at worst be in the Wild Card race and could push the Dodgers in the NL West. Miami on the other hand is going to be one of the worst teams in the league and likely the worst in the NL. I know Jon Gray didn't have the best season a year ago, but he's just a year removed from going 10-4 with a 3.67 ERA in 20 starts. He's 32-23 over their last 3 seasons. He's pitched well in his 2 starts at Marlins Park (3.86 ERA) and I could see him completely shutting down this Miami offense. On the flip side, even with the loss of Murphy, this is still a very potent Colorado offense an one that should be able to take advantage of starter Sandy Alcantara. Alcantara had major control problems last year (13 walks in his last 3 starts of 2018) and those same control problems were there this spring. Even with yesterday's loss the Rockies are 20-7 in their last 27 against a team from the NL East. They have also gone 12-4 over Gray's last 16 starts. Marlins are 3-8 last 11 off a win and 5-16 in their last 21 in Game 4 of a series. Take Colorado! |
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03-30-19 | Cardinals +122 v. Brewers | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
3* Cards/Brewers NL Central PLAY OF THE DAY on Cardinals + St Louis rebounded from a loss on Opening Day with a 9-5 win on the back of 3 home runs from their new slugger Paul Goldschmidt. It could have been a lot worse, as the Cardinals left 13 guys on base. I just like their offense to stay hot in this one. Not to mention the Cardinals have a very under the radar starter going in Dakota Hudson, who posted a 2.63 ERA over 26 appearances last year out of the pen and is fresh off a big spring in which he posted a 1.25 ERA and 0.97 WHIP. Take St Louis! |
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03-30-19 | Braves v. Phillies -131 | Top | 6-8 | Win | 100 | 8 h 59 m | Show |
5* MLB NL East GAME OF THE MONTH on Phillies - This is just too good a price to pass up on Philadelphia at home with Nick Pivetta on the mound against the Braves. That's because Pivetta has simply owned Atlanta in his career to this point. He's 4-1 with a 2.72 ERA in 8 starts. On top of that, the Braves are sending out Bryse Wilson, who has made just 1 big league start. I just think this is a tall task for the 21-year-old on the road, especially with how talented this Phillies lineup is. Philadelphia put up 10 runs in the opener and that was with their new price free agent Bryce Harper going 0-3 with 2 strikeouts. I look for Harper to have a big day here and for the Phillies to win this one going away. Take Philadelphia! |
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03-29-19 | Giants v. Padres -148 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 8 m | Show | |
3* MLB Late Night Money Line SMASH on Padres - Padres took the season opener against the Giants on Thursday and I see no reason why they don't improve to 2-0 with another win on Friday. San Francisco has really fallen off the map the past couple seasons, while there's a renewed hope in San Diego with the addition of Manny Machado. Giants might just have one of the worst offenses in the league and it showed in Game 1, as they were shutout and managed just 5 hits. I look for them to struggle to score again against Joey Lucchesi, who made 2 starts against the Giants last year and gave up just 4 runs in 11 innings with 17 strikeouts and just 1 walk. Derek Holland will go for SF and he faced the Padres 5 times last year, never making it past the 5th inning. He allowed 15 runs and walked 9 in just 24 2/3 innings. Take San Diego! |
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03-28-19 | Braves v. Phillies -174 | Top | 4-10 | Win | 100 | 7 h 12 m | Show |
5* MLB Opening Day GAME OF THE YEAR on Phillies - There was going to be a ton of excitement surrounding this season for the Phillies even before they landed Bryce Harper. Philadelphia is all-in for 2019 and I'm expecting a playoff-like atmosphere at Citizens Bank Park on Thursday. Keep in mind Atlanta is the defending champs, so they come in as the team to beat in the NL East. You also have to love that the Phillies will have Aaron Nola on the mound, who is a legit Cy Young contender. Nola has owned the Braves, going 7-3 with a 2.09 ERA and 1.022 WHIP in 12 starts. That includes a 5-1 record in 6 home starts against Atlanta. Phillies as a team are 22-6 in Nola's last 28 home starts and 12-4 in his last 16 vs a division opponent. Julio Teheran will take the mound for the Braves and he's got just a 3.67 ERA in 22 career starts vs the Phillies. In his last 3 starts at Citizens Bank Park, he's given up 12 runs on 14 hits in 14 2/3 innings of work. Take Philadelphia! |
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10-28-18 | Red Sox v. Dodgers -135 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -135 | 6 h 18 m | Show |
5* LATE INFO INSIDER on Dodgers No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in announced lineups and weather conditions. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers. |
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10-24-18 | Dodgers +135 v. Red Sox | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 26 m | Show | |
4* Dodgers/Red Sox World Series VEGAS INSIDER on Dodgers + I'm confident we are going to be handicapping Friday's Game 3 with this series tied 1-1. The Dodgers let one get away from them in Game 1 and will not make that same mistake in Game 2. Kershaw just didn't show up in Game 1, but this time it will be LA's offense that steals the show. David Price takes the mound for Boston and while he pitched great in his last start of the ALCS against the Astros, his previous two outings, both at home, were not good. In those two starts he gave up 7 runs on 8 hits, failing to complete 5 innings in either outing. Price is just 2-10 against the money line in his last 12 playoff starts, while the Dodgers are 7-1 in Ryu's last 8 starts on normal rest, 4-1 in his last 5 off a loss and a perfect 8-0 in their last 8 after allowing 5 or more runs. Take Los Angeles! |
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10-23-18 | Dodgers +139 v. Red Sox | 4-8 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 12 m | Show | |
4* Dodgers/Red Sox World Seres VEGAS INSIDER on Dodgers + The public is all over the Red Sox in this series and it's created some exceptional value here on the Dodgers in Game 1. Los Angeles will have their ace, Clayton Kershaw on the mound against Boston's ace Chris Sale. Kershaw was brilliant in Game 5 against the Brewers in the NLCS and I just trust him a lot more than I do Sale, who hasn't pitched great in either of his two starts in the playoffs. Sale lasted just 5 1/3 innings in his start against the Yankees and a mere 4 innings in his only start against the Astros. In those 9 1/3 innings, he walked 6 and you just can't give free passes to this Dodgers lineup, especially with them getting to use the DH while the series is in Boston. Dodgers are 42-12 in Kershaw's last 54 starts against a team with a winning record, 37-14 in his last 51 during Game 1 of a series and 20-8 in his last 28 interleague starts. Take Los Angeles! |
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10-20-18 | Dodgers -107 v. Brewers | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 49 m | Show | |
4* Dodgers/Brewers Game 7 VEGAS INSIDER on Dodgers - I'm confident the Dodgers are going to take Game 7 on the road and punch their ticket to the World Series. I just think the fact that LA has been in this type of game several times over the last few seasons in the playoffs is going to pay off big time. Not to mention, I have a lot more confidence in Dodgers starters Walker Buehler than I do Milwaukee's Jhoulys Chacin. Buehler has a 2.67 ERA and 0.924 WHIP in 25 starts and has really pitched well in each of his two starts against the Brewers this season. Both starts he held Milwaukee to just 5 hits in 7 innings and had 15 total strikeouts. Chacin only had a 3.55 ERA dand 1.297 WHIP in 14 home starts and I think the pressure will get the best of him in this one. Dodgers are 10-1 in their last 11 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game, 12-2 in their last 14 off a loss and a perfect 7-0 in their last 7 after allowing 5+ runs. Take Los Angeles! |
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10-19-18 | Dodgers v. Brewers +110 | 2-7 | Win | 110 | 33 h 7 m | Show | |
3* Dodgers/Brewers NLCS GAME 6 ANNIHILATOR on Brewers + I look for the Brewers to have no problem evening up the series with the Dodgers at 3-3 and taking this to a Game 7. When it's mattered the most this season, Milwaukee has stepped up to the challenge and delivered. I expect the same thing here in Game 6. Dodgers will send out Wade Miley , who wasn't all that sharp in his earlier start int he series. He only pitched 4 1/3 innings, giving up 2 runs on 6 hits, including a home run. It's been a quiet last couple games for Milwaukee's offense, which has me expecting a big time showing in this one. Wade Miley had the wacky start in Game 5, where he was pulled after walking the first batter, in an attempt to take advantage of LA's lineup that had been set to face the southpaw. Miley was sharp in Game 2 at home, giving up only 2 hits over 5 2/3 scoreless innings. Expect more of the same and for the Brewers bullpen to seal the deal. Take Milwaukee +110! |
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10-17-18 | Red Sox v. Astros -140 | 8-6 | Loss | -140 | 12 h 24 m | Show | |
3* Red Sox/Astros Money Line ANNIHILATOR on Houston - I look for the Astros to have no problem here evening up the series 2-2 with Boston. Houston's offense simply didn't produce in Game 3, but I'm confident they will revert back to the form that saw them score 12 runs over the first two games, as they will be up against Red Sox starter Rick Porcello, who has a 5.19 ERA and 1.384 WHIP in 6 career starts against the Astros. He made two starts against Houston this season and allowed 7 runs on 12 hits (3 HRs) in just 12 innings of work. Astros will counter with Carlie Morton, who they have been being cautious with after he dealt with shoulder problems in the final month of the regular-season. Morton was great when healthy, as he was 15-3 with a 3.18 Era and 1.162 WHIP in 30 starts. I expect him to come out and pitch a gem before handing it over to that dominant bullpen of the Astros. Take Houston! |
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10-13-18 | Dodgers -110 v. Brewers | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 8 m | Show |
5* Dodgers/Brewers NLDS (G2) PLAY OF THE YEAR on Dodgers - I'm confident the Dodgers will even up the series with a win in Game 2. I think the 4 runs that LA was able to push across in the final 2 innings was a big confidence builder for that offense and I expect them to get off to a strong start here against Milwaukee's Wade Miley. The Brewers went to their bullpen early and their go-to reliever, Josh Hader, threw 3 innings last night. Dodgers will send out Hyun-Jin Ryu, who was sensational in his start against Atlanta in the NLDS. Ryu allowed just 4 hits and struck out 8 in 7 shutout innings. Ryu should be in great form having not pitched since last Oct. 4. There's also a great system in play, Road teams who have an OBP of .350 or better in their last 20 games and starting a pitcher on 7 or more days of rest are 45-17 (73%) against the money line over the last 5 seasons. Take Los Angeles! |
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10-03-18 | A's +163 v. Yankees | 2-7 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
3* A's/Yankees AL Wild Card Winner on Oakland + We saw the Cubs lose at home in the NL Wild Card on Tuesday and I look for the road team to reign supreme again in Wednesday's AL Wild Card showdown between the A's and Yankees. I just don't trust New York starter Luis Severino in this spot. While he got back on track over his final few starts, he allowed 6 runs on 6 hits in just 2 1/3 innings against these A's less than a month ago (9/5). You also can't ignore how shaky Severino was in last season's playoffs. He started New York's 8-4 win over the Twins in the Wild Card game, but recorded just 1 out before he had to be pulled. He allowed just 3 runs in 7 innings of his next start against the Indians, but was fortunate to only give up 3 runs allowing 2 homers. Then in his two starts against the Astros he failed to complete 5 innings in either start. Oakland was the better team in the 2nd half and this A's offense is built for postseason success. I also don't have any concerns with Oakland going with "Opener" Liam Hendricks here. The A's used an "Opener" 9 times in September and posted a 1.86 ERA in those 9 games. Take Oakland! |
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09-26-18 | Dodgers -115 v. Diamondbacks | 2-7 | Loss | -115 | 22 h 19 m | Show | |
4* NL West PLAY OF THE WEEK on Dodgers - This is simply too good a price to pass up on the Dodgers. LA loss 4-3 on a walk-off home run in the bottom of the 9th on Tuesday. The Dodgers are still 10-3 over their last 13 and are definitely a team you want to back off a defeat, as they are 8-1 in their last 9 when coming off a loss. Arizona is getting some love from the books because they have their ace Zack Greinke on the mound, but LA has enjoyed going up against top notch starters. In fact, the Dodgers are 22-8 in their last 30 games against a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Arizona has lost 6 straight off a win, are just 8-20 in their last 28 overall and a mere 1-4 in Greinke's last 5 home starts. Take Los Angeles! |
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09-25-18 | Brewers +104 v. Cardinals | 12-4 | Win | 104 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
4* NL Central PLAY OF THE WEEK on Brewers + Milwaukee went into St Louis and took the series opener 6-4 on Monday and should have no problem taking game 2. With the Brewers win and the Cubs losing to the Pirates, Milwaukee is now just 1.5-games back of Chicago for 1st place in the NL Central. Hard to not like the Brewers chances on Tuesday, as they send out the red-hot Gio Gonzalez against the struggling Ausin Gomber of St Louis. Gonzalez has a 1.65 ERA and 0.918 WHIP in his last 3 starts, all 3 of which have come after Gonzalez came over from the Nationals. As for Gomber, he's got a 7.07 ERA and 2.00 WHIP in his last 3 starts and a 5.06 ERA and 1.687 WHIP in 3 home starts. Brewers are 9-3 in their last 12 against a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30, while St Louis is a mere 1-5 in their last 6 at home vs a team with a winning record. Take Milwaukee! |
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09-21-18 | Brewers -123 v. Pirates | Top | 8-3 | Win | 100 | 20 h 30 m | Show |
5* NL Central GAME OF THE MONTH on Brewers - Milwaukee should have no problem securing a win on the road against the Pirates and are showing great value here as a short favorite. The Brewers will be out for revenge after dropping the final 2 games of a 3-game set at Milwaukee against these Pirates last week. Jhoulys Chacin will take the mound for the Brewers and he's 9-3 with a 3.36 ERA and 1.112 WHIP in 19 road starts. He's also pitched extremely well against Pittsburgh this season. Chacin has made 5 starts against the Pirates in 2018 and has allowed a mere 8 runs in 28 2/3 innings of work, never giving up more than 3 runs in any of the 5 starts. He's also allowed just 2 runs on 7 hits in the 2 starts that came at Pittsburgh. Brewers have won 6 of their last 8 on the road and 4 straight series openers with Chacin on the mound. Pirates are just 2-7 in their last 9 home games vs a team with a winning record and 3-3 in Ivan Nova's last 16 starts when he's facing a team that scored 5 or more runs in their previous game. Take Milwaukee! |
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09-18-18 | Twins v. Tigers -102 | 5-3 | Loss | -102 | 20 h 22 m | Show | |
4* AL Central PLAY OF THE WEEK on Tigers - Detroit is worth a look here at basically a pick'em at home against the Twins. Minnesota has dropped 26 of their 36 road games in the second half and are just 7-16 on the season when listed as a road favorite of -150 to -100. Jake Odorizzi will take the mound for the Twins in this one and he's just 6-10 with a 4.41 ERA and 1.323 WHIP in 30 starts. That's good news for Detroit, who have won 5 straight against a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Minnesota has also lost each of Odorizzi's last 6 starts on the road. The Tigers will counter with lefty Daniel Norris and the southpaw will have an edge here against the Twins, who have lost 7 straight against a left-handed starter. Minnesota did win the series opener on Monday, but are just 2-9 in their last 11 following a win. Tigers have also won 9 of Norris' last 13 starts against division opponents. Take Detroit! |
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09-17-18 | Cubs v. Diamondbacks -125 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -125 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
5* National League GAME OF THE MONTH on Diamondbacks - The Diamondbacks should have no problem here securing a win at home against the Cubs on Monday. Arizona will have one of the best pitchers in the NL on the mound for this one in Pat Corbin and he comes in lights out of late. He's made 7 quality starts in his last 8 outings and enters with a 2.08 ERA and 1.096 WHIP over his last 3 starts. Corbin has owned the Cubs in his career, going 5-1 with a 3.78 ERA and 1.205 WHIP in 6 starts. He was sensational in his lone start vs Chicago this year, allowing just 1 run on 6 hits with 9 strikeouts in 7 innings of work. He's also catching the Cubs offense in a bit of a slump. Chicago won 2 of 3 at home against the Reds over the weekend, but managed to score just 5 runs on 16 hits in the series. Kyle Hendricks will take the mound for the Cubs and he's been hit or miss all season, which is why he's just 11-11 with a 3.71 ERA in 30 starts. Most of those struggles have come on the road, where he's got a 3.89 ERA and 1.374 WHIP in 14 starts. Hendricks lasted just 5 innings after giving up 3 runs on 7 hits and 2 walks in his only start against Chicago this season. Take Arizona! |
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09-12-18 | Rangers +163 v. Angels | 1-8 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
3* MLB AL WEST PLAY OF THE DAY on Rangers + This is just too good a price to pass up on the Rangers in a division showdown with the Angeles. LA is simply getting way too much respect with Felix Pena on the mound. While Pena does have an impressive 2.70 ERA and 0.950 WHIP in his last 3 starts, he's been awful at home. He's got a 5.85 ERA and 1.392 WHIP in 7 home starts. LA has lost 7 of his last 9 home starts and 7 of his last 10 starts overall. Texas will counter with veteran Yovani Gallardo, who was very effective in a recent start against the Angels. Gallardo faced LA on Aug. 19 and held the Angeles to just 2 runs on 6 hits in a 4-2 win. The Rangers are 7-1 in Gallardo's last 8 starts vs a team with a losing record and 8-3 in his last 11 starts on the road. Take Texas! |
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09-09-18 | Giants v. Brewers -135 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 13 h 53 m | Show | |
4* MLB Money Line MASSACRE on Brewers - Milwaukee has already won the first two games of the series and are a red-hot 8-2 in their last 10. I look for them to have no problem finishing off the sweep of San Francisco on Sunday. While the Brewers are surging down the stretch, the Giants have lost 6 straight. SF will have their ace Madison Bumgarner on the mound, but he's just 2-3 with an ugly 4.73 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in 9 road starts. Last time out he gave up 7 runs on 8 hits at Colorado. Look for Zach Davies to be the better starter in this one, in large part because he's going up against a struggling Giants offense that has scored 3 or fewer runs in 9 of their last 11 games. Brewers have won 9 of Davies' last 12 home starts against a team with a losing record, while the Giants have dropped 13 of Bumgarner's last 18 road starts. Take Milwaukee! |
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09-08-18 | Rangers +159 v. A's | 6-8 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 41 m | Show | |
4* MLB Money Line DESTROYER on Rangers + Great price here on Texas as a big road dog against the A's on Saturday. The Rangers are going to be highly motivated off a loss in yesterday's opener and I think they have a great shot here at getting a win. Oakland's Edwin Jackson has a 2.91 ERA on the season, but is trending in the wrong direction. Jackson has a 4.20 ERA and 1.40 WHIP in his last 3 starts. The Rangers have hit Jackson hard the two times they have faced him this season, scoring 9 runs on 14 hits in 8 2/3 innings. Rangers will have lefty Yohander Mendez on the mound for this one and Oakland has lost 4 of their last 5 vs a left-handed starter. Take Texas! |
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09-07-18 | Padres +150 v. Reds | 6-12 | Loss | -100 | 1 h 15 m | Show | |
3* LATE INFO INSIDER on Padres
No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in announced lineups and weather conditions. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers. |
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09-06-18 | Cubs +104 v. Nationals | 6-4 | Win | 104 | 19 h 53 m | Show | |
4* National League GAME OF THE WEEK on Cubs + This is too good a price to pass up on Chicago in Thursday's series opener against the Nationals. The Cubs recently acquired Daniel Murphy in a trade from Washington. He's going to want to show out against the team that shipped him away and I look for the entire Cubs team to be a little extra focused in this one. Chicago was able to avoid getting swept at Milwaukee with a 6-4 win on Wednesday and are 7-3 in their last 10 off a win. The Cubs will have Kyle Hendricks on the mound. He's got a 1.35 ERA and 1.100 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Chicago has won 6 of his last 7 starts and Hendricks is 5-0 in his last 5 starts off a Quality Start in his last outing. Washington will have Stephen Strasburg on the mound, but he's been pretty mediocre this season. Strasburg is just 7-7 with a 4.09 ERA in 17 starts. He's got a 5.40 ERA in 10 home starts and a 5.06 ERA over his last 3. Cubs have also won 20 of their last 28 games against a right-handed starter. Take Chicago! |
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09-05-18 | Tigers v. White Sox -148 | 10-2 | Loss | -148 | 14 h 42 m | Show | |
4* AL Central GAME OF THE WEEK on White Sox - Chicago should have no problem bouncing back from yesterday's 8-3 loss to the Tigers. While the White Sox come in with an overall record of just 56-83, they have been playing like a playoff contender since the middle of August. Chicago is 14-7 over their last 21 games and not once during this stretch have they lost back-to-back games. Detroit on the other hand is a mere 6-14 over their last 20 and have not won back-to-back during this stretch. Hard to not like the White Sox coming away with a win given the starting pitching matchup on Wednesday. The Tigers will turn to veteran Jordan Zimmermann, who is just 2-3 with a 4.59 ERA and 1.306 WHIP in 10 road starts. Zimmermann also owns an ugly 6.40 ERA and 1.484 WHIP in 12 career starts against Chicago. The White Sox will counter with highly touted prospect Michael Kopech, who has posted a 0.82 ERA in his first 3 starts. The best of those outings coming against these Tigers, where he allowed just 1 run over 6 innings in a 7-2 win. Detroit is a mere 19-49 in their last 68 road games, 21-49 in their last 70 coming off a win and 0-4 in Zimmermann's last 4 road starts. Take Chicago! |
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09-03-18 | Phillies v. Marlins +140 | 1-3 | Win | 140 | 4 h 53 m | Show | |
3* MLB Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY on Marlins + This is too good a price to pass up on Miami at home against the slumping Phillies. Philadelphia just lost 2 of 3 at home to the Cubs and are just 4-10 in their last 14 overall. Not to mention, Phillies starter Vincent Velasquez isn't exactly the kind of starter that you can count on. He's a mere 8-9 with a 4.08 ERA in 25 starts and comes in with a 4.77 ERA and 1.589 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Miami will counter with Jose Urena, who hasn't pitched up to his potential this season, but does enter this game with a solid 3.00 ERA and sensational 0.867 WHIP in his last 3 starts. We also see that the Phillies are a mere 1-6 in Velasquez's last 7 road starts, and 1-7 in their last 8 as a team in a series opener. Take Miami! |
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09-02-18 | Diamondbacks v. Dodgers -153 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 19 m | Show | |
3* MLB Money Line PLAY OF THE DAY on Dodgers - This is an easy play on the Dodgers for me. LA has won each of the last two games in the series and are 7-1 over their last 8 games. While the Dodgers are streaking in the right direction, Arizona has dropped 6 of their last 9. The Diamondbacks struggles of late are a direct result of the offense not producing. Arizona has scored 3 or fewer runs in 6 straight games and have totaled 6 or fewer hits in 5 of those. I don't see the offense coming to life against Dodgers starter Walker Buehler, who is now 6-3 with a 2.59 ERA and 0.986 WHIP in 17 starts. Buehler also has a 1.65 ERA in 9 starts at home and a 1.59 ERA in his last 3 outings overall. Take Los Angeles! |
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09-01-18 | Reds +142 v. Cardinals | 4-0 | Win | 142 | 21 h 34 m | Show | |
3* MLB Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY on Reds + This is just too good a price to pass up on Cincinnati in game 2 of their 3 games series with the Cardinals. No surprise here that St Louis is being overvalued here after they won easily 12-5 on Friday, but it's simply not justified. Cincinnati has the offensive fire-power to go off in any game. I know Cardinals starter Daniel Poncedeleon has been great in his first two career starts, but it's only a matter a time before he slips up. A key thing here that I think will get overlooked is one of those two starts came against the Reds. Look for Cincinnati to have a much better approach against Poncedeleon this time around. Reds' starter Luis Castillo hasn't been great in 2018, but I like his chances of delivering a strong outing here. It's exactly what he's done in each of his last two starts against the Cardinals this season. He held them to 2 runs in 5 innings in a 8-2 Reds win on 7/14 and was even better the next time, allowing just 1 run in 5 1/3 innings of a 2-1 win. Take Cincinnati! |
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08-31-18 | Rockies v. Padres +125 | 0-7 | Win | 125 | 23 h 3 m | Show | |
4* MLB Late Night VEGAS INSIDER on Padres + The Padres come into this game having won 3 straight, including a thrilling 3-2 win in extra innings last night in the series opener against the Rockies. While San Diego will take the field with a ton of confidence, Colorado is in a bit of a rut, as they have lost 3 of 4 and scored 3 or fewer runs in all 3 losses. With the way the offense is struggling, I think the Rockies are going to have a difficult time coming away with a win here, as the Padres figure to score early and often against the struggling Antonio Senzatela who has a 5.24 ERA in 4 road starts and a 5.87 ERA and 1.631 WHIP in his last 3 outings. Colorado is 2-8 in Senzatela's last 10 road starts and 0-4 in his last 4 outings vs a team with a losing record. Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 vs a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 and 4-1 in their last 5 at home vs a team with a winning record. Take San Diego! |
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08-29-18 | Blue Jays v. Orioles +104 | Top | 5-10 | Win | 104 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
5* AL East GAME OF THE MONTH on Orioles + The Orioles have absolutely dominated the first two games of their series with the Blue Jays. Baltimore won 7-0 on Monday and followed that up with a 12-5 win on Tuesday. There will be no let off from the Orioles, who will try to complete their first 3-game series sweep of the season. I see no reason for that not to happen. Not only is Baltimore swinging a hot bat, but they will have the edge on the mound in this one. The Orioles will send out Alex Cobb, who has really been sharp since the All-Star break and comes in having allowed 2 or fewer earned runs in 5 of his last 7 starts. Toronto will counter with Ryan Borucki, who has an ugly 5.85 ERA and 1.771 WHIP in 6 road starts and a miserable 9.82 ERA and 2.182 WHIP over his last 3 starts. Orioles are now 6-1 in their last 7 home games vs a team with a losing record, while the Blue Jays have lost 6 straight on the road. Take Baltimore! |
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08-28-18 | Brewers v. Reds +116 | 7-9 | Win | 116 | 11 h 15 m | Show | |
4* NL Central GAME OF THE WEEK on Reds + Cincinnati is a prime bounce back spot at home against the Brewers after getting swept in their 4-game series at the Cubs over the weekend. What makes the Reds such a strong play today is who they have on the mound. Cincinnati will send out Anthony Desclafani, who has easily been the Red's best pitcher in the second half. Despite a very mediocre outing in his last start, Desclafani has a sensational 1.95 ERA in 4 starts in the month of August and I'm confident we get a strong outing out of him here. The same can't be said for Milwuakee starter Junior Guerra, who has an ugly 5.76 ERA and 1.544 WHIP in 9 road starts this season and comes in with a 6.00 ERA and 2.133 WHIP in his last 3 starts. His most recent outing actually came against the Reds on 8/21 and he gave up 7 runs on 10 hits in 5 2/3 innings. Brewers are just 3-7 in their last 10 road games, 2-6 in their last 8 following a win, 1-7 in their last 8 road games vs a team with a losing record and 1-5 in Guerra's last 6 road starts. Take Cincinnati! |
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08-27-18 | Blue Jays v. Orioles +130 | 0-7 | Win | 130 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
4* AL East GAME OF THE WEEK on Orioles + I'm confident Baltimore is going to snap their 8-game losing streak in tonight's series opener against the Blue Jays. The Orioles will have a big time edge on the mound in this one, as they send out the red-hot David Hess, who has a 2.89 ERA and 1.018 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Hess also has a 1.38 ERA and 0.769 WHIP in 2 starts against the Blue Jays this season. Toronto will counter with Sam Gaviglio, who has a mere 5.08 ERA and 1.450 WHIP in 18 starts overall and is a mere 1-5 with an ugly 8.36 ERA and 1.752 WHIP in 9 road starts. Blue Jays are also just 9-24 in their last 33 road games when they come into the contest having won 4 or 5 of their last 6. Take Baltimore! |
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08-26-18 | Cardinals v. Rockies -128 | Top | 12-3 | Loss | -128 | 6 h 25 m | Show |
5* MLB Vegas Insider GAME OF THE MONTH on Rockies - Colorado should have no problem here securing a win at home against the Cardinals. The Rockies will send out Tyler Anderson, who has actually been better at home than on the road, which is rare for Colorado pitchers. Anderson has a 4.45 ERA in 26 starts overall, but a solid 3.65 ERA in 13 starts at home. St Louis will send out lefty Austin Gomber, who has a solid 2.73 ERA in 5 starts, but a not so great 1.329 WHIP. He's also not been as strong on the road, where his ERA jumps to 3.54. I look for Gomber to struggle in his first ever start at Coors Field. Note the Rockies are 13-3 in their last 16 home games vs a left-handed starter, including a 6-1 in their last 7 at home vs a southpaw starter. Rockies have also won 5 of their last 6 against a team with a winning record and are 4-1 in their last 5 doing game 3 of a series. Take Colorado! |
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08-25-18 | White Sox +112 v. Tigers | Top | 6-1 | Win | 112 | 10 h 5 m | Show |
5* MLB American League GAME OF THE MONTH on White Sox + Chicago should have no problem here securing a win against the Tigers on Saturday. While the White Sox have been out of the playoff race for quite some time, they are trying to build for the future and are playing some of their best baseball of the season right now. Chicago won 6-3 yesterday over Detroit and are now 7-3 in their last 10 overall. A big reason for the White Sox surge is the offense has been producing at a much higher level. They should be able to put up another big number here against the Tigers Ryan Carpenter, who has not been all that impressive in his first 4 starts. Carpenter has a 6.23 ERA and 1.558 WHIP. Lucas Giolito will take the mound for Chicago and he was sharp in a recent outing at Detroit back on Aug. 14th. Giolito allowed just 3 runs on 8 hits in 6 innings and I look for another strong outing here as the White Sox are a perfect 6-0 in his last 6 road starts against a team with a losing record. Take Chicago! |
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08-24-18 | Mariners +150 v. Diamondbacks | 6-3 | Win | 150 | 12 h 22 m | Show | |
3* MLB Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Mariners + This is a great spot and price to back Seattle on the road against the Diamondbacks. Arizona is getting way too much respect here with Zack Godley on the mound. While he's got a solid 13-6 record, he owns a very average to below-average 4.47 ERA and 1.447 WHIP in 25 starts overall and a 4.26 ERA and 1.316 WHIP over his lsat 3. Mariners are also 6-2 in their last 8 road games against a team with a winning home record and have won 5 of Ramirez's last 7 starts in a series opener. Arizona on the other hand is just 3-10 in their last 13 home games vs a team with a winning road record and 2-6 in Godley's last 8 starts vs a team with a winning record. Take Seattle! |
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08-22-18 | Cubs v. Tigers +180 | 8-2 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
4* MLB Situational Vegas Insider on Tigers + The Cubs come into this one losers of 2 straight and are in a massive slump at the plate right now. Chicago managed to push across just 1 run in yesterday's series opening loss to the Tigers and have now gone 4 straight games where they have managed to score just 1 run. People will bet on the Cubs no matter what, but it doesn't matter how much talent you have if you can't score runs. You also have to factor in the recent struggles of Chicago's scheduled starter Jon Lester. While he is coming off a decent outing against the Pirates, he was really bad in his previous 3 straight and still owns an ugly 7.98 ERA and 1.772 WHIP over his last 3 outings. Cubs are just 2-8 in their last 10 on the road after scoring 4 runs or less in 3 straight games, while the Tigers are an impressive 16-11 this season as a home dog of +125 or more. Take Detroit! |
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08-22-18 | Rangers +149 v. A's | Top | 4-2 | Win | 149 | 5 h 21 m | Show |
5* MLB Underdog PLAY OF THE MONTH on Rangers + Texas doesn't have a whole lot to play for at this point in the season, but I expect the best the Rangers have to offer in Wednesday's series finale against the A's. Texas has been embarrassed in each of the first two games of the series, losing 9-0 on Monday and 6-0 last night. They key here is the Rangers have a guy on the mound in Mike Minor who can keep Oakland's offense in check and I expect Texas' offense to come to life in this one. Minor is 3-0 with a 3.37 ERA and 0.857 WHIP in his last 3 starts. He was sharp in his only start against the A's this season and owns a 3.00 lifetime ERA against Oakland. Edwin Jackson will toe the rubber for the A's and while he's been better than they could have ever imagined, he did not pitch well in a recent start against these Rangers. Jackson lasted just 4 1/3 innings after giving up 5 runs on 7 hits and 2 walk. Take Texas! |
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08-22-18 | Orioles +167 v. Blue Jays | 0-6 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 59 m | Show | |
3* MLB Early Bird PLAY OF THE DAY on Orioles + With the Blue Jays sending out Thomas Pannone for his first career big league start, there's simply too much value here to pass up on the Orioles at this price. While Baltimore has little to play for at this point in the season, they have plenty of incentive to show up in this one, as the Orioles are 0-9 at the Rogers Centre this season and this will be their last chance to beat Toronto at their home park. Pannone has pitched just 4 1/3 innings of relief this season with the Blue Jays and chances are he will struggle here. He's also unlikely to go very deep in this game, as the just threw 1 1/3 innings of relief on Sunday. This is also a good time to fade the Blue Jays after they just put up a big offensive showing. Toronto scored 8 runs in yesterday's win over the Orioles. They are just 13-30 in their last 43 after scoring 5 or more runs in a game and a mere 4-13 in their last 17 after a game in which they scored 8 or more runs. Take Baltimore! |
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08-18-18 | Rockies v. Braves -153 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -153 | 11 h 25 m | Show |
5* MLB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Braves - Atlanta should have no problem here securing a win at home against the Rockies. The Braves are certainly going to be up for this one after dropping the first two games of the series. The key here is Atlanta has a big edge on the mound with Mike Foltynewicz facing off against Antonio Senzatela. Foltynewicz is coming into this one a perfect 3-0 with a 1.83 ERA and 1.118 WHIP in his last 3 starts. His most recent outing was one of his best all season, as he allowed just 1 run on 5 hits in 8 innings at home against the Marlins. That impressive start lowered his ERA to 2.91 in 11 starts at SunTrust Park this season. As for Senzatela, he's making his first start off the DL and this is always a tough spot for any starter. I think it could be especially tough for him, given he's 0-2 with a 5.71 ERA in 3 road starts. Colorado's dropped each of his last 4 road starts vs a team with a winning record and the Braves are 20-8 in their last 28 at home against a right-handed starter. Take Atlanta! |