4* MLB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Arizona 

I like the value here with the Diamondbacks at basically a pick'em on the road against the Pirates. Arizona is playing extremely well at the moment. They have won 3 straight and are 17-7 in their last 24.

Pittsburgh has lost 4 straight and have gone 5 straight games where they have scored 3 or fewer runs. I don't see the Pirates offense coming to life in this one. The Diamondbacks will send out Clay Buchholz, who has a 2.14 ERA and 1.040 WHIP in 6 starts since joining the rotation. Take Arizona! 

3* MLB Vegas LINE MISTAKE (Cardinals -105) 

I like the value here with St Louis at basically a pick'em on the road against the Pirates. The Cardinals will send out one of the best stories of 2018 in Miles Mikolas, who is 7-2 with a 2.69 ERA in 14 starts.

Milwaukee will counter with Chase Anderson, who is just 5-6 with a 4.54 ERA in 14 starts. Anderson has not been good at home, where he's got a 5.70 ERA and 1.266 WHIP in 8 outings. He also wasn't good at all in his lone start against the Cardinals this season, giving up 4 runs on 8 hits (3 HRs) in just 4 innings of work. Take St Louis! 

3* MLB Money Line ANNIHILATOR on Diamondbacks -

I like the value here with Arizona as a short road favorite against the Pirates on Friday. The Diamondbacks will have Pat Corbin on the mound, who is 6-3 with a 3.39 ERA and 1.032 WHIP in 15 starts. Corbin is also 2-0 with a 2.78 ERA and 1.150 WHIP in 6 road starts. 

Pittsburgh will counter here with Ivan Nova, who is just 4-5 with a 4.42 ERA and 1.323 WHIP in 13 starts. Nova is also 1-3 with a 3.48 ERA in 5 road starts and owns a 4.00 ERA and 1.44 WHIP in 3 career starts against the Diamondbacks. Take Arizona! 

4* MLB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Rockies

I like the value here with Colorado at basically a pick'em at home against the Mets. The Rockies snapped their 8-game home losing streak with a 10-8 win on Tuesday and I see no reason why they won't build on that with another win at home tonight. 

The Mets will send out Seth Lugo, who has a strong 3.00 ERA and 0.933 WHIP in 3 starts since joining the rotation on 5/31. However, Lugo is coming off a miserable start at Arizona, which was the only one of the 3 on the road. Lugo allowed 5 runs on 8 hits in 5 innings. Now he has to make his first ever start at Coors Field, which is arguably the toughest place to pitch in the majors. 

Whether or not the Rockies get a strong outing from starter Chad Bettis, the offense should put up a big enough number here to secure the victory. Take Colorado! 

5* MLB No Limit GAME OF MONTH on Yankees -

I love the value here with New York at home against the Mariners on Tuesday. This might seem like a big price to lay with the Yankees, but they come into this contest with a 26-11 record at home and a 11-3 record in their last 14 vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games.

They have also gone 16-5 this season when facing a left-handed starter and Seattle will send out lefty Marco Gonzales for this one. New York will counter with Domingo German, who has pitched much better than his 5.77 ERA would suggest. That's evident by German's 1.179 WHIP in his 7 starts. He's also got an impressive 19 strikeouts in his last 12 innings of work. Take New York! 

4* MLB Situational HEAVY HITTER on Phillies -

I like the value here with the Phillies at basically a pick'em at home against the Cardinals. I think this is a tough spot for St Louis on the road after playing last night against rival Chicago on Sunday Night Baseball. Even with the win the Cardinals have dropped 4 of 5. 

Philadelphia just took 2 of 3 at Milwaukee and have won each of their last 2 series. I look for them to stay hot at home, where they are 22-12 on the season. Phillies' starter Nick Pivetta has a 3.13 ERA and 1.109 WHIP in 8 home starts. They are 5-1 in his last 6 home starts vs a team with a winning, while the Cardinals are 9-19 in their last 28 road games vs a team that's won more than 60% of their home games. Take Philadelphia! 

4* MLB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Angels -

I like the value here with the Angels as a short road favorite against the A's on Sunday. Oakland was able to snap their 4-game losing streak with a 6-4 win on Saturday, but I look for them to go right back to their losing ways with the struggling Daniel Mengden on the mound. 

Mengden is 6-6 with a 3.90 ERA in 14 starts, but comes into this contest with an awful 8.10 ERA and 1.680 WHIP in his last 3 starts. In his last 2 outings he's given up 12 runs on 13 hits (6 HRs) and 7 walks over just 8 2/3 innings of work. LA will counter with Andrew Heaney, who has a solid 3.68 ERA and 1.178 WHIP in 11 starts and is just 2 outings removed from throwing a complete game shutout. Heaney also owns a 3.79 ERA and 1.053 WHIP in 3 starts against Oakland and Mengden is 0-2 with a 13.49 ERA in 2 starts vs the Angels. Take Los Angeles! 

5* MLB Interleague GAME OF THE MONTH on Rangers 

I love the value here with Texas at basically a pick'em at home against the Rockies in Saturday's interleague action. Colorado is getting way too much respect on the road with Kyle Freeland on the mound. Freeland has an ugly 5.00 ERA and 1.44 WHIP in his last 3 starts and a 4.15 ERA and 1.238 WHIP in 8 road starts this season.

Rangers have hit left-handed starting well, as they are averaging 4.5 runs/game when facing a southpaw. I don't see Freeland going deep in this game and that's important to note, given the Rockies' bullpen owns a 5.28 ERA and 1.432 WHIP. 

The Rangers will counter with Mike Minor, who has pitched much better at home than his 4.17 ERA would suggest. Minor owns a 1.171 WHIP in 7 home starts. Colorado is not the same team offensively on the road as they are at home. Rockies come in hitting just .224 as a team in away games this season. Take Texas! 

3* MLB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Royals +

I like the value here with Kansas City as a massive home dog against the Astros on Saturday. The betting public is going to want absolutely nothing to do with the Royals in this one. KC is one of the worst teams in the league and Houston has won 9 straight. 

The reason the price here is too good to pass up, is Astros starter Dallas Keuchel hasn't been that good. Keuchel is 3-8 with a 4.45 ERA and 1.32 WHIP in 14 starts. He's been really bad of late, giving up 17 runs on 27 hits in his last 3 starts (16 innings). KC will counter with Danny Duffy, who has been much better of late after a poor start. Duffy allowed just 3 hits over 7 shutout innings in his last start and has allowed 1 or fewer runs in 3 of his last 4 starts overall. Take Kansas City! 

4* MLB Situational VEGAS INSIDER  on Rangers +

I like the value here with Texas at basically a pick'em at home against the slumping Rockies. Colorado is just 3-10 in their last 13. The Rangers have lost their last 6 games, but 4 of those came against the Astros and the other 2 were on the road against the Dodgers. Two of the best teams in the league.

I think we see Texas snap that losing streak here. Colorado will start Chad Bettis, who has not been throwing it well. Bettis has given up exactly 5 runs in each of his last 3 starts, a stretch in which he's posted an awful 8.62 ERA and 1.532 WHIP. 

Rookies are also just 17-38 in their last 55 interleague road games and 5-16 in their last 21 interleague road games vs a left-handed starter. The Rangers on the other hand are 9-3 in their last 12 interleague home games. Take Texas! 

4* MLB Situational HEAVY HITTER on Padres +

I like the value here with the Padres as a big road dog against the Braves on Thursday. San Diego has been playing well. The Padres just took 2 of 3 against the Cardinals and have now won each of their last 5 series. That includes a recent series at home against the Braves, where they took 2 of 3. 

San Diego will send out Tyson Ross for this one, who is a respectable 5-3 with a 3.55 ERA and 1.250 WHIP in 13 starts. Ross hasn't faced Atlanta since 2015, but is 9-3 in his last 12 starts against a team who strikes out 7 or more times a game (Braves avg. 7.8). It's also worth noting the Padres are a perfect 6-0 when they are listed as an underdog with Ross on the mound this season. Take San Diego! 

3* MLB Vegas LINE MISTAKE on Royals +

I like the value here with Kansas City as a home dog against the Reds on Wednesday. The Royals will be motivated to salvage a split in this short 2-game series after dropping the opener 5-1 in extra innings on Tuesday. 

I like their chances of doing just that with a red-hot Jason Hammel on the mound. Hammel has a 2.59 ERA over his last 4 starts. A stretch that has seen him lower his ERA from 6.28 to 5.12. I also think we are going to see the Royals offense come to life in this one, as the Reds send out Tyler Mahle, who is just 4-6 with a 4.33 ERA and 1.427 WHIP in 13 starts. Take Kansas City! 

4* MLB Situational HEAVY HITTER on Twins -

I like the value here with the Twins as a decently priced road favorite against the Tigers on Wednesday. Minnesota won the series opener 6-4 on Wednesday and have now won back-to-back games. Detroit has lost 7 of their last 10 and now will have to play the rest of the season without veteran first baseman Miguel Cabrera. 

I just don't think the Tigers have enough offensive fire-power to pull out a win here against Twins' ace Jose Berrios, who is 7-5 with a 3.66 ERA and 0.920 WHIP over 13 starts. Berrios was sensational in his only start so far this season against Detroit, allowing just 2 runs on 3 hits in 8 innings. Matt Boyd will start for the Tigers and he's having a great season, but owns a mere 4.01 ERA in 12 career starts against the Twins and Detroit is an awful 1-11 in Boyd's last 12 starts against division opponents. Take Minnesota! 

5* MLB Vegas Insider TOP PLAY on Phillies -

I like the value here with the Phillies at home against the Rockies on Wednesday. Philadelphia won the series opener 5-4 on Tuesday and are now 21-11 at Citizens Bank Park this season. While the Phillies are starting to heat up, Colorado comes in having lost 5 straight and are just 2-9 in their last 11 overall. 

Philadelphia will turn to Nick Pivetta for game two and he's been outstanding at home. Pivetta has a 2.20 ERA and 0.976 WHIP in 7 home starts. Colorado on the other hand will send out Tyler Anderson, who has a mere 4.81 ERA and 1.352 WHIP in 13 starts this season and comes in with a 5.00 ERA and 1.389 WHIP in his last 3 outings. Take Philadelphia! 

4* MLB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Twins -

I like the value here with Minnesota at basically a pick'em on the road against the Tigers. Detroit has started out better than most expected, but this is not a good team and will likely keep regressing as the season wears on. The Tigers come in having lost 6 of their last 9. Minnesota is the exact opposite, as the Twins have underperformed early in 2018. 

I like Minnesota's chances in this one with Jake Odorizzi on the mound against converted reliever Blaine Hardy, who just gave up 5 runs on 8 hits in his last start at Boston. Hardy lasted just 5 innings in a 2-4 loss to the Twins back on 5/21 and Odorizzi has a 2.28 ERA and 1.141 WHIP in 4 career starts against the Tigers. Take Minnesota! 

3* MLB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Orioles +

I like the value here with Baltimore as a massive home dog against the Red Sox on Tuesday. The Orioles had their chances against Boston in the series opener, but ended up losing 2-0 in extra innings. Baltimore has now dropped 5 straight and I think we are getting a great price here because of it. 

I think they have an excellent shot at snapping their losing streak with David Hess on the mound. The rookie has been throwing the ball extremely well since joining the rotation. He's got a 3.07 ERA and 1.193 WHIP in 5 starts and a 0.93 ERA and 1.018 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Boston's offense is one of the best in the game, but they are in a major funk right now. The Red Sox have scored just 8 runs in their last 5 games, scoring 2 or fewer in 4 of the 5 contests. Look for Hess to keep them in check, while the offense provides enough run-support for the victory. Take Baltimore! 

3* MLB Undervalued UNDERDOG Marlins +

I like the value here with Miami as a massive home dog against the Giants on Monday. I just think the price here is too good to pass up with the Marlins. San Francisco will have their ace Madison Bumgarner on the mound, but this is only his second start of 2018, as he missed the first two months recovering from a broken pinky finger on his pitching hand. Bumgarner pitched well in his first start back, but did give up 8 hits in 6 innings and only struck out 3. 

What is getting overlooked in this matchup is how well Miami starter Wei-Yin Chen has been when he takes the mound at Marlins Park. Chen has a 1.06 ERA and 1.001 WHIP in 3 home starts and is catching the Giants at a great time, as this is a big letdown series after taking 2 of 3 agains the Nationals, including yesterday's 2-0 win against Washington ace Max Scherzer. Take Miami! 

5* MLB Heavy Hitter GAME OF THE MONTH on Orioles + 

I love the value here with Baltimore as a home dog against the Red Sox on Monday. This is a huge game for the Orioles, who were just swept in a 4-game series at Toronto over the weekend, including an embarrassing 13-3 loss on Sunday. 

The good news for Baltimore is they are catching the Red Sox at an ideal time. Mookie Betts isn't quite ready to return from the DL and the offense isn't quite the same without him in it. Boston comes in having lost 3 of 4 against the Tigers and White Sox. 

Orioles starter Dylan Bundy is hot at the moment, as he's got a 2.45 ERA and 0.909 WHIP in his last 3 starts and has pitched effectively in his 2 outings against Boston this season. Red Sox will counter with Steven Wright, who pitched well in his first start of 2018, but owns an ugly 7.17 ERA in 4 career starts against the Orioles. Take Baltimore! 

5* MLB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Dodgers -

I like the value here with the Dodgers at home against the Braves on Sunday. LA ended up on the short end of a 5-3 loss on Saturday, but are still a red-hot 6-2 in their last 8 games. The 3 runs scored on Saturday was the low-point offensively during this impressive run, as the Dodgers had scored 5 or more in each of their previous 7 games, a stretch in which they have averaged 7.7 runs/game. 

I look for LA to stay hot at the plate and come away with a win here behind another strong effort from starter Ross Stripling, who is 4-1 with a 1.89 ERA and 1.079 WHIP in 7 starts. It's also worth noting that Stripling is 2-0 at home with a 1.42 ERA and 3-0 with a 0.48 ERA in his last 3 starts. Take Los Angeles! 

5* AL Vegas Insider GAME OF THE MONTH on Angels -

I love the value here with the Angels at basically a pick'em on the road against the Twins. LA is on a roll right now, as they have won 5 straight. They won 4-2 over Minnesota on Friday and the Twins have now lost 3 of 4. I'll gladly take my chances with the team playing the better baseball at this price, especially with the starting pitching matchup we have going. 

LA will send out Tyler Skaggs, who is just 4-4 with a 3.27 ERA in 12 starts, but it's all about pitching away from home for Skaggs. He's 3-1 with a 2.94 ERA and 1.159 WHIP in 6 road starts. Minnesota will send out Kyle Gibson, who is 1-3 with a 3.54 ERA in 12 starts. Gibson would also rather be on the road, as he's 0-2 with a 5.28 ERA and 1.598 WHIP in 6 home starts. Take Los Angeles! 

4* MLB Situational HEAVY HITTER on Reds +

I like the value here with the Reds as a home dog against division rival St Louis on Saturday. Cincinnati is just 1-5 in their last 6 games, but a lot of that has been a result of poor pitching. The Reds are hitting .298 with a .369 OBP over their last 7 games. They have recorded 10 or more hits in 5 straight games. 

I know the history isn't great for Cincinnati against Cardinals' starter Michael Wacha, but I think they are poised to break through against him. Keep in mind Wacha isn't nearly as effective on the road as he is at home. Wacha has a 1.85 ERA in 8 home starts and a mere 3.63 ERA in 4 road starts. Take Cincinnati! 

3* MLB Vegas LINE MISTAKE on Pirates +

I like the value here with Pittsburgh as a massive road dog against the Cubs on Saturday. This line is simply inflated to the point, where it's just too much value to pass up on with the Pirates. Pittsburgh has been struggling of late, but are starting to heat up at the plate with 28 hits over their last 3 games. 

I know the Cubs will have Jon Lester on the mound, but they have actually hit him pretty well the two times they have faced him this season. Pittsburgh has scored 8 runs on 15 hits in 11 innings against Lester this season. Look for the Pirates offense to be the difference in this one. Take Pittsburgh! 

3* MLB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Rangers +

I like the value here with Texas as a massive home dog against the Astros on Friday. Houston will have Justin Verlander on the mound and while the Astros should be favored given the starting pitching matchup, the price here on the Rangers is simply too good to pass up. 

Texas will counter Verlander with veteran Doug Fister, who is coming off back-to-back strong outings on the road against the Mariners and Angels. Fister held Seattle to just 2 runs on 6 hits in 6 innings and allowed just 3 runs on 4 hits in 6 innings against the Angels. I like his chances of keeping it going and getting just enough run-support to pull out the victory. Take Texas! 

4* MLB Money Line HEAVY HITTER on Mets +

I like the value here with the Mets at basically a pick'em at home against the Yankees on Friday. The Yankees are clearly the better of the two teams, but any time you have a rivalry like this, you can throw the records out the window. 

It certainly doesn't hurt that the Mets will send out Jacob deGrom, who has been putting up Cy Young like numbers to start the season. deGrom is 4-0 with a 1.49 ERA and 1.037 WHIP in 12 starts and comes in with a 0.86 ERA over his last 3 outings. 

Yankees will counter with Masahiro Tanaka, who hasn't quite pitched as good as his 7-2 record would lead you to believe. Tanaka has a mere 4.88 ERA in his 11 starts this season, including an ugly 5.13 ERA in 6 road starts. I know the Mets offense has been slumping of late, but I like their chances of breaking out and doing just enough here to get a win behind a strong outing from deGrom. Take the Mets! 

3* MLB Early Bird Money Line MASSACRE on Dodgers +

I like the value here with the Dodgers as a decently priced road dog against the Pirates on Thursday. Most will hesitate to back Los Angeles with Dennis Santana taking the mound for his first big league start, especially after how bad it went for Caleb Ferguson in his MLB debut yesterday. Unlike Ferguson, Santana has already got his feet wet, as he came on in relief last Friday. 

While Pittsburgh scored 11 runs in yesterday's win, they had been shutout in their previous two games and it wouldn't come as a surprise if they struggled to get going in this one. As for the Dodgers' offense, they continued their recent onslaught with 9 more runs on Wednesday. LA has now scored 47 runs in their last 5 games. They'll be up against Jameson Taillon, who despite a couple strong outings, is still just 3-4 with a 3.97 ERA in 12 starts. Taillon also owns an ugly 9.00 ERA and 2.11 WHIP in 2 career starts against the Dodgers. Take Los Angeles! 

3* MLB Situational HEAVY HITTER on Twins -

I like the price here with Minnesota at home against the White Sox. There's really not a bad time to fade Chicago on the road. The White Sox are a mere 9-20 away from home this season, where they are getting outscored by an average of 1.6 runs/game. The Twins lost Game 2 of yesterday's double-header, but are 4-1 in their last 5 and will have a big edge on the mound in this on. 

Minnesota will send out Jake Odorizzi against Hector Santiago of the White Sox. Odorizzi owns a solid 3.29 ERA in 5 home starts and a respectable 3.86 ERA in 4 career outings against Chicago. Santiago on the other hand has a 6.59 ERA and 1.829 WHIP in 6 starts this season and a 6.54 ERA and 1.863 WHIP in 7 career starts against the Twins. Take Minnesota! 

3* MLB Money Line ANNIHILATOR on Astro’s -

I got no problem laying the big juice with the Astros at home against the Mariners on Wednesday. Houston will be all business when they take the field in this one, as they aren't a team that takes kindly to losing and have dropped their last 3. 

They have just the guy on the mound to get them out of their funk, as they will send out Lance McCullers, who is 3-1 with a 1.97 ERA and 0.906 WHIP in 5 home starts this season. McCullers is also 7-2 with a 2.75 ERA and 1.078 WHIP in 10 career starts against the Mariners. Take Houston! 

3* MLB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Phillies +

I like the value here with the Phillies as a short road dog against the Cubs on Wednesday. Philadelphia bounced back in a big way after getting swept in a 3-game series at San Fransisco over the weekend with a 6-1 win in their series opener against the Cubs on Tuesday. The win snapped Chicago's 4-game winning streak and I think the pitching matchup sets up well for another Phillies win. 

Philadelphia will send out Aaron Nola, who is 7-2 with a 2.18 ERA and 0.932 WHIP in 12 starts. Chicago will counter with Jose Quintana, who has been a major disappointment so far. Quintana was expected to pitch like an ace, but instead has a 4.30 ERA and 1.415 WHIP in 11 starts. He's also been miserable at Wrigley Field, posting a 6.66 ERA and 1.644 WHIP in 5 home starts. Take Philadelphia! 

5* AL East GAME OF THE MONTH on Yankees -

I like the value here with New York as a short road favorite against the Blue Jays on Wednesday. The Yankees won the series opener 7-2 on Tuesday, as they continue to dominate the opposition. Playing on the road hasn't been a problem for New York. The Yankees are 17-9 away from home and have started out their current 9-game road trip by winning 4 of 5. 

The 7 runs scored on Tuesday was the third time in the last 4 games that New York has scored 7 or more runs and I like their chances of laying another big number on Toronto in this one. The Yankees will counter with Sonny Gray, who is starting to heat up. Gray has a mere 5.50 ERA in 11 starts, but owns a 3.57 ERA and 1.075 WHIP in his last 3 starts. In his last 2 road starts, he's given up just 2 runs on 8 hits in 14 innings of work. Take New York! 

4* MLB Afternoon Money Line NO-BRAINER on Giants -

I like the value here with San Francisco as a short home favorite against the Diamondbacks on Wednesday. The Giants came up short in a 2-3 loss on Tuesday, but had won their previous 5 games and I look for them to get right back to their winning ways in this one. 

It's been a great first 3 starts for Arizona starter Clay Buchholz, but those 3 outings have come against the likes of the Mets, A's and Marlins. While the Giants aren't a great offensive team, they are red-hot at the plate right now. San Francisco is averaging 5 runs/game and hitting .295 as a team over their last 7. They also average 5 runs/game and are hitting .275 as a team at home this season. 

Giants will send out Chris Stratton and they have won each of his last 3 starts and 5 of his 6 starts at home this season. Stratton also owns a strong 2.63 ERA in 4 career starts against Arizona. Take San Francisco! 

3* MLB Undervalued UNDERDOG  on Marlins +

I think the value here is too good to pass up with Miami as a massive road dog against the Cardinals. St Louis will be sending out one of their better starters in Carlos Martinez, but he hasn't pitched in 4 weeks, as he will make his first start off the DL. More times than not, guys who haven't pitched in this long have to shake off some rust and aren't in top form that first start back. 

Not only do I think Miami can put up some runs, but I also like who they have on the mound. Jose Urena has been much better than the 0-7 record and 4.41 ERA he has through 12 starts. That's evident by Urena's solid 1.168 WHIP. He was sharp in his most recent outing, giving up just 1 run on 3 hits in 6 innings and has given Miami 6 solid innings in each of his last 4 starts. He'll face a St Louis offense that has managed just 15 hits in their last 5 games. Take Miami! 

4* MLB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Toronto +

I like the value here with Toronto as a big home dog against the Yankees on Tuesday. The Blue Jays snapped their 5-game losing streak on Sunday with a 8-4 win against the Tigers to conclude a 9-game road trip. Toronto not only will be riding some momentum off that win, but they also got a breather with an off day on Monday. 

New York on the other hand had to play a make-up doubleheader at Detroit on Monday. While they didn't play Sunday due to a rain out against the Orioles, they have had to travel from Baltimore to Detroit to Toronto in the last 3 days. I think that's a big edge here for the Blue Jays, who should be able to keep their offense going against the struggling C.C. Sabathia, who has a 7.54 ERA and 1.884 WHIP in his last 3 starts and a mere 4.64 ERA and 1.406 WHIP in 4 road starts this season. Take Toronto! 

5* NL Vegas Insider GAME OF THE MONTH on Padres -

I like the value here with the Padres as a short home favorite against the Braves on Monday. Atlanta just took 3 of 4 at home against the Nationals after taking the series finale 4-2 on Sunday. They are certainly going to be feeling good about themselves after that big series against Washington and I could see them coming out flat here against the Padres after having to travel clear across the country for this one. 

San Diego is also playing some of their best baseball of the season right now. The Padres just took 2 of 3 against the Reds and are 5-1 in their last 6 overall. A big reason for their success has been their offense coming to life. Padres are averaging 5.4 runs/game over their last 7 and I like their chances of staying hot here against struggling Braves starter Julio Teheran, who is 0-2 with a 5.50 ERA and 1.389 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Take San Diego! 

5* MLB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Marlins +

I love the value here with the Marlins as an underdog on the road here against the Diamondbacks. Miami is the worst team, but have a big time edge on the mound in this one. The Marlins will send out Daniel Straily, who has a 2.78 ERA and 1.191 WHIP in 4 road starts and a 2.41 ERA in his last 3 outings. Arizona will counter with Matt Koch, who has a 5.19 ERA and 1.356 WHIP in 6 home starts and a ugly 8.59 ERA and 1.910 WHIP in his last 3 outings. Take Miami! 

3* MLB Situational DESTROYER  on a Angels

I like the value here with the Angles even at this big price at home against the Rangers on Sunday. LA will send out Tyler Skaggs, who has a solid 3.60 ERA and 1.284 WHIP in 11 starts. Texas will counter with Doug Fister, who is a mere 1-5 with a 4.09 ERA and 1.455 WHIP in 10 starts. Rangers won on Saturday, but are just 7-19 in their last 26 following a win. They are also 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs a left-handed starter and 1-4 in Fister's last 5 road starts. Take Los Angeles! 

4* MLB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Dodgers -

I like the value here with the Dodgers as a short road favorite against division rival Colorado on Sunday. LA's offense has enjoyed the thin air at Coors Field. They scored 11 runs on Friday and 12 more on Saturday. I look for them to stay hot in this one against Rockies starter Chad Bettis, who has a 5.29 ERA and 1.353 WHIP in his last 3 starts and a 7.06 ERA and 1.661 WHIP in 4 home starts. Take Los Angeles! 

3* MLB Money Line ANNIHILATOR on Brewers -

I like the value here with Milwaukee at this price on the road agains the White Sox on Sunday. On paper it might look like Chicago has the edge on the mound in this one, but the Brewers are clicking offensively right now. Milwaukee is scoring 6.4 runs/game and hitting .288 as a team over their last 7 games. The Brewers are also 14-3 in their last 17 against bad teams who have won less than 40% of their games and are 11-4 in their last 15 road games. Take Milwaukee! 

4* MLB Money Line NO-BRAINER on Braves +

I like the value here with Atlanta as a short home dog against the Nationals on Sunday. Washington is getting way too much respect here on the road. The Braves have taken 2 of the first 3 in the series and will send out Animal Sanchez, who is 9-1 with a 2.16 ERA and 1.155 WHIP in 22 career starts against the Nationals. Washington will send out Jeremy Hellickson, who has pitched well in 2018 with a 2.30 ERA and 0.930 WHIP in 8 starts, but the Braves are 6-1 in their last 7 against a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 and 5-1 in their last 6 vs a team with a winning record on their home field. Take Atlanta! 

5* NL East GAME OF THE MONTH on Nationals -

I love the value here with Washington as a short road favorite against the Braves on Saturday. The Nationals will be all business here after losing the first 2 games of the series and they definitely have the edge on the mound to win this one going away. 

Washington will send out Gio Gonzalez, who is 6-2 with a 1.97 ERA in 10 starts. He's also got a 2.10 ERA in 5 road outings and 2-0 with a 1.31 ERA and 1.016 WHIP in his last 3 home starts. Atlanta will counter with Brandon McCarthy, who has an ugly 5.02 ERA and 1.588 WHIP in 11 starts and has a 6.04 ERA and 1.777 WHIP in 5 home starts. Take Washington! 

4* MLB Money Line NO-BRAINER on Oakland -

I like the value here with the A's on the road against the Royals Saturday. Oakland laid it on KC Friday in a 16-0 win and have now scored 23 runs on 24 hits in their last 2 games. They should have no problem staying hot here against Jason Hammel of the Royals. 

Hammel is 2-5 with a 5.23 ERA and 1.423 WHIP in 11 starts. He's also 0-3 with a 4.74 ERA and 1.459 WHIP in 4 home starts. A's will counter with Trevor Cahill, who has been a big addition to their rotation in 2018. Cahill has a 2.25 ERA and 0.886 WHIP in 7 starts and a 2.25 ERA in his last 3 overall. Take Oakland! 

3* MLB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Rangers +

I like the value here with Texas as a massive road dog against the Angels on Friday. While the Rangers lost the series finale yesterday at Seattle, they split their 4-games against a red-hot Mariners squad. Texas has won 6 of their last 9 overall and are simply not getting enough respect in this one. 

The Angels lost 6-2 at Detroit yesterday and have now dropped 4 of their last 5. A big reason for the slump is the lack of production offensively. That's now 4 out of 5 games where LA has failed to score more than 3 runs. I look for them to continue to struggle here against veteran Bartolo Colon, who is still dealing at 45. Colon has a 3.70 ERA and 0.960 WHIP in 9 starts. He's also been at his best away from home, as he owns a 1.59 ERA and 0.706 WHIP in 4 road starts. Take Texas! 

3* MLB Vegas LINE MISTAKE on Royals +

I like the value here with Kansas City as a home dog against the A's. The Royals took the final two games at home against the Twins in their previous series and are a solid 6-3 in their last 9 overall. I look for them to stay hot here at home. 

Oakland is also simply a team that shouldn't be favored on the road, especially when they don't have a decisive edge on the mound. While the A's won 7-3 against Tampa yesterday, runs have been hard to come by. That was the first time in their last 10 games that they scored more than 4 runs and have scored 2 or fewer 6 times during this stretch. 

There's also an edge here for the KC in terms of rest. The Royals got the day off yesterday, while the A's had to play. Oakland is also going on the road for the first time since they ended a series in Toronto back on 5/20. Take Kansas City! 

4* MLB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Braves +

I like the value here with Atlanta as a decently priced home dog against division rival Washington on Friday. The Braves cooled off the Nationals' bats and snapped their 6-game winning streak with a 4-2 win in the series opener on Thursday. 

Washington only managed to rack up 5 hits in the loss and I look for Atlanta starter Mike Foltynewicz to do the same. Foltynewicz has been a big surprise early on. While he's just 4-3, he owns a strong 2.55 ERA. He's also been trending up, as he's got a 1.00 ERA and 1.22 WHIP in his last 3 starts. 

I know the Nationals have been great on the road and will send out Strasburg, but the Braves are 5-1 in their last 6 at home vs a team that's won more than 60% of their road games and 6-1 in their last  vs a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Take Atlanta! 

3* MLB Early Bird Money Line DESTROYER on Rays +

I like the value here with Tampa Bay as a decently priced road dog against the A's on Thursday. The Rays come in having won 5 straight and have done it with an unconventional approach with their pitching. Whatever they are doing is working right now, as Tampa has only allowed 7 runs during their 5 game win streak. 

Today they will send out Ryan Stanek who started this past Saturday against the Orioles. Stanek didn't allow a hit or a walk in 1 2/3 shutout innings, but was pulled after that. I expect another short outing here with the bullpen finishing this thing out. 

It's also worth noting that while the Rays are surging, Oakland has lost 3 straight and have gone ice-cold at the plate. The A's have scored 2 or fewer runs in 6 of their last 9 games, getting shutout on 3 separate occasions. When you can't score runs it's extremely hard to win games and that's why I think Oakland is way over-priced here even with a quality starter like Daniel Mengden on the mound. Take Tampa Bay! 

3* MLB Vegas LINE MISTAKE  on Mets +

I really like the value here with New York as a big road dog against division rival Atlanta on Wednesday. The Mets stayed hot at the plate in yesterday's 6-7 defeat to the Braves and have now scored 30 runs in their last 5 games, scoring 6 or more in 4 of the 5. 

I'll take my chances with the Mets hot offense against the struggling Julio Teheran of Atlanta. Teheran has a mere 4.20 ERA and 1.233 WHIP in 11 starts overall, a 5.54 ERA in 5 home starts an a ugly 6.88 ERA and 1.412 WHIP in his last 3 outings. Take New York! 

3* MLB Underdog HEAVY HITTER on Pirates +

I like the value here with the Pirates as a home dog against the Cubs on Tuesday. Big bounce back game for Pittsburgh, after getting embarrassed in the series opener on Monday 7-0. Even with the win the Cubs are still just 2-6 in their last 8 vs a team with a winning record and they are 2-5 in their last 7 following a win. 

Chicago will have veteran Jon Lester on the mound, who has been throwing it well, but the Cubs are just 1-5 in Lester's last 6 road starts vs a team with a winning record. Pirates will counter with Nick Kingham, who has a 2.08 ERA and 0.538 WHIP in his two home starts and I look for him to keep this inconsistent Cubs offense in check. Take Pittsburgh! 

3* MLB Money Line ANNIHILATOR on Yankees +

I like the value here with the Yankees as a home dog against the Astros on Tuesday. This is simply too good a price to pass up on with New York at home, where they have gone 20-9 so far this season. 

Houston will send out Charlie Morton, who is overdue for a bad outing. Morton is 7-0 with a 2.04 ERA and 0.973 WHIP in 10 starts. While he got the win at Cleveland in his last outing, he only struck out 5 in 6 innings, while walking 3 hitters. In his previous 2 starts he had struck out 22 and walked just 1 hitter over 14 innings. Yankees will counter with C.C. Sabathia, who has a 2.59 ERA and 0.986 WHIP at home. Take New York! 

4* MLB Situational HEAVY HITTER on Pirates +

I like the value here with Pittsburgh at basically a pick'em at home against the Cubs on Monday.  Chicago is simply getting way too much respect here on the road. The Cubs are being forced to pull Mike Montgomery out of the bullpen for a spot start. Montgomery has experience as a starter, but isn't going to be able to pitch deep in this one. He's also coming off a miserable outing, where he gave up 6 runs in 2 1/3 innings against the Indians. 

Pittsburgh will counter with Chad Kuhl, who is coming off a strong start at Cincinnati, where he allowed just 1 run on 5 hits in 6 innings. Kuhl's last start against the Cubs came at home back in September of last year and he allowed just 4 hits over 7 scoreless innings. Look for another good showing from Kuhl and for the Pirates offense to provide more than enough run support. Take Pittsburgh! 

3* MLB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Toronto +

I like the value here with the Blue Jays as a huge road dog against the Red Sox on Monday. Toronto just took 2 of 3 on the road against the Phillies and I like their chances of keeping it going here. The Blue Jays will send out Aaron Sanchez against Boston's David Price. The books are suggesting that the Red Sox have a massive edge on the mound here with this line and I'm not buying it. 

Sanchez has a respectable 3.80 ERA in 4 road starts this season and is 3-1 with a 3.63 ERA and 1.231 WHIP in 9 career starts against Boston. Price has pitched well in his last two starts, but is still just 4-4 with a 4.08 ERA overall and has a 4.37 ERA in 4 home starts. Another big key here is the Red Sox aren't expected to have Mookie Betts for this contest. Take Toronto! 

4* MLB Situational HEAVY HITTER on Rangers -

I like the value here with the Rangers at home against the Royals on Sunday. Texas is playing some of their best baseball right now. The Rangers have won 4 of 5 and are locked in at the plate, averaging 6.2 runs/game over their last 6. 

Texas should have no problem keeping the offense going, as KC will send out Jason Hammel for the start in this one. Hammel is just 1-5 with a 5.70 ERA and 1.450 WHIP in 10 starts. He's also got an ugly 6.37 ERA in 6 road starts and a 8.10 ERA in his last 3 outings. Rangers will counter with Cole Hamels, who has been sensational of late with a 1.89 ERA and 0.895 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Take Texas! 

3* MLB Vegas LINE MISTAKE on Cardinals +

I like the value here with St. Louis at basically a pick'em on the road against Milwaukee on Sunday. The Cardinals snapped a 3-game skid with a 4-1 win on Saturday and are in great shape here to build off of that victory.

St Louis will send out one of the most underrated starters in the game in Miles Mikolas, who is 6-0 with a 2.24 ERA and 0.978 WHIP in 9 starts. He's throwing like a legit Cy Young contender, but still isn't getting the respect of the books. Pittsburgh will counter with Jameson Taillon, who I think is overrated. Taillon is just 2-4 with a 4.56 ERA and 1.286 WHIP in 10 starts and was just rocked for 6 runs on 8 hits in 6 innings at Cincinnati in his last start. Take St. Louis! 

5* MLB Big Favorite PLAY OF THE MONTH on Yankees - 

I love the value here with New York at home on Sunday. The Yankees are one of the best teams in baseball at 32-16 and are going to be motivated here to take the rubber match against the Angels. New York will send out Masahiro Tanaka, who is also due for a strong outing. Given his history against LA, it's hard to not like Tanaka's chances of throwing a gem, as he's got a 1.60 ERA and 0.950 WHIP in 5 starts against the Angels. All 5 of those starts resulting in wins for the Yankees. 

It's the exact opposite story for Los Angeles starter Garrett Richards. He has had zero success against New York, posting a 8.46 ERA and 1.611 WHIP in 5 career starts against them. All 5 of those starts resulting a loss. The most recent came on 4/28, where he allowing 9 runs (5 earned) in just 1 2/3 innings before getting pulled. Take New York!

3* MLB Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT on Twins +

I like the value here with Minnesota as a decently priced road dog against the Mariners on Saturday. The Twins offense has struggled in their last two against the Tigers Michael Fulmer and Seattle's James Paxton, but I like their chances of breaking out of that slump tonight. 

I also think the Marines offense is going to continue to struggle here against Jake Odorizzi. Seattle has scored 3 or fewer runs in 5 straight games, yet are 4-1 in this stretch. You just can't keep winning without scoring and Odorizzi comes in red-hot with a 1.08 ERA and 0.960 WHIP in his last 3 outings. Take Minnesota! 

3* MLB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Mets +

I like the value here with New York as a decently priced road dog against the Brewers on Saturday. Milwaukee is simply getting way too much respect here from the books. The Brewers will send out Chase Anderson, who has an ugly 5.40 ERA and 1.275 WHIP in 5 home starts and a 5.94 ERA in his last 3 outings. 

The Mets will counter with Jason Vargas, who finally got on track in his 4th start of the season. Vargas allowed just 2 hits with 7 strikeouts over 5 scoreless innings in his last start against the Marlins. While Milwaukee has won 4 of 5, the offense hasn't been great of late. The Brewers are averaging just 3.4 runs/game over their last 7 and are hitting a mere .216 against left-handed starters this season. Take New York! 

4* MLB Early Bird HEAVY HITTER on Red Sox -

I like the value here with Boston as a short home favorite against the Braves on Saturday. Boston owns the best record in the big leagues at 35-16 and have won 7 of their last 9 after taking the series opener against Atlanta 6-2 on Friday. This is simply too good a price to pass up regardless of the pitching matchup. 

That's definitely where we are getting the value here. Atlanta will send out Sean Newcomb, who is 5-1 with a 2.39 ERA in 9 starts. Boston will send out Drew Pomeranz, who is 1-2 with a 5.96 ERA in 6 starts. I just think it's only a matter of time for Pomeranz to get this turned around and he's facing an Atlanta offense that has been shutout twice in their last 4 games and scored just 5 runs during this stretch. Take Boston! 

4* MLB Situational HEAVY HITTER on White Sox +

I like the value here with the White Sox as a short road dog against the Tigers. While Chicago comes in off a loss at home to the Orioles, they split the series 2-2 with Baltimore and are 4-2 in their last 6 overall. Detroit comes in off a win, but are a mere 1-5 in their last 6. 

Chicago has what I feel is a big edge on the mound. The White Sox send out Reynaldo Lopez, who has thrown much better than his 1-3 record would suggest. Lopez owns a 2.98 ERA and 1.160 WHIP in 9 starts. The Tigers will send out Michael Fiers, who hasn't pitched as well as his 4-3 record. Fiers owns a mere 4.57 ERA in 8 starts and just gave up 4 runs in 5 innings in his last start at Seattle. Take Chicago! 

5* MLB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Astros +

I like the value here with the Astros as a decently priced road dog against the Indians. Houston has the second best record in the major behind only the Red Sox at 33-18. I know Cleveland has one of the best starters in the game on the mound in Corey Kluber, but the price is simply too good to pass up. 

It's not like the Astros are throwing out a scrub here. They are sending a former Cy Young winner of their own to the mound in Dallas Keuchel, who has a 3.43 ERA and 1.143 WHIP in 10 starts. Keuchel is also dealing of late with a 2.25 ERA and 0.950 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Not to mention he's 4-1 with a 2.30 ERA in 6 career starts against the Indians.

The other big key is the Astros have a lot more offensive fire-power than Cleveland and are swinging the bat much better than the Indians of late. Houston is averaging 5.1 runs and hitting .279 as a team over their last 7. The Indians are averaging 3.7 runs and hitting .237 as a team. Take Houston! 

5* MLB Underdog GAME OF THE MONTH on Royals +

I like the value here with Kansas City as a short road dog against the Rangers on Thursday. The Royals just took the final 2 games of their 3-game set at St Louis, so they are coming into this one confident and I think they could catch the Rangers a bit flat after their big series against the Yankees, which saw them rally late for a 12-10 win on Wednesday. 

Kansas City will send out Danny Duffy, who has been a major disappointment in 2018. Duffy is just 1-6 with a 6.88 ERA in 10 starts. Duffy is too good to keep pitching this poorly and given how well he threw against the Rangers last season, this could be his time to breakout. Duffy faced Texas twice last year and allowed just 1 run on 9 hits in 15 2/3 innings of work. 

Texas will send out Austin Bibens-Dirkx, who will be making his first start of 2018. Bibens-Dirx was called up from the minors and I just don't expect a lot from him. He was just okay in his stint with Triple-A and had a 4.67 ERA and 1.36 WHIP in 24 appears (6 starts) last year. Take Kansas City! 

4* MLB Money Line HEAVY HITTER on Oakland -

I like the value here with Oakland as a short home favorite against the Mariners on Thursday. The A's will be extra motivated to avoid getting swept after dropping the first two games of the series in painful fashion. Oakland lost the series opener on Tuesday 2-3 in extra innings and lost by a final of 1-0 on Wednesday. 

Most will look to back Seattle here with veteran Felix Hernandez on the mound against Josh Lucas, who will be making his first career big league start. The thing is, Hernandez gets way too much respect for what he's done in the past. He's got an ugly 5.53 ERA and 1.428 WHIP in 10 starts this season, which includes an ugly 7.27 ERA in 5 road starts. Lucas has pitched well in relief and the Seattle offense is in a funk, scoring just 3.1 runs/game and hitting .203 as a team in their last 7. Take Oakland! 

5* AL East GAME OF THE MONTH on Red Sox -

I love the value here with Boston as a short road favorite against Tampa Bay on Wednesday. The Red Sox come in having won 3 straight after a 4-2 victory in yesterday's series opener against the Rays. I like their chances of keeping it going here with what looks like a very favorable pitching matchup. 

Boston will send out David Price. While Price hasn't lived up to expectations so far in 2018, he's coming in off his best start of the season. Price threw a complete game against the Orioles, allowing just 2 runs on 5 hits, while striking out 8.

He'll be up against his Chris Archer, who has had an even worse start to the season. Archer is 3-3 with a 5.01 ERA and 1.348 WHIP in 10 starts. He pitched well in his last start, but has been extremely inconsistent. He's also had a miserable time when facing the Red Sox, going a mere 2-12 with a 5.49 ERA and 1.647 WHIP in 20 career starts. Take Boston! 

4* MLB Situational HEAVY HITTER on Angels -

I like the value here with the Angels as a short road favorite against the Blue Jays on Wednesday. Toronto won the series opener yesterday being another strong outing from veteran starter J.A. Happ. The thing is the Blue Jays haven't had much success of late without Happ on the mound. Toronto is 2-7 in their last 9 games and both wins have come with Happ on the mound. 

Great spot here for Los Angeles to bounce back an even up the series, as they will have a clear edge on the mound in this one. The Angels will send out the red-hot Tyler Skaggs against the struggling Aaron Sanchez. Skaggs has a strong 2.88 ERA in 9 starts and has saved his best for the road, where he's 3-0 with a 1.14 ERA and 1.014 WHIP in 4 starts. Sanchez is 2-4 with a 4.47 ERA in 9 starts and owns a miserable 5.06 ERA in 5 home starts (1-4 team record). Take Los Angeles! 

5* MLB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Angels - 

I like the value here with the Angels at basically a pick'em on the road against the Blue Jays. LA snapped their 5-game losing streak with a 5-2 win behind a dominant performance from Ohtani on the mound. I like the Angels chance of carrying over that momentum and securing a win on Tuesday. 

A big reason for that is Los Angeles will send out the red-hot Garrett Richards, who has a 1.42 ERA and 0.789 WHIP in his last 3 starts. In his most recent outing he held the loaded Astros lineup to just 4 hits and 0 earned runs over 7 innings. 

Toronto will counter here with J.A. Happ, who is coming off a strong showing against the Mets, but has been a disappointment overall. Happ owns a mediocre 4.15 ERA in 9 starts and owns a 5.40 ERA in 6 road outings. On top of that, Happ has a poor history against the Angels. He's 1-6 with a 6.17 ERA and 1.572 WHIP in 7 starts. Look for LA to have a big day at the plate and bring home the win. Take Los Angeles! 

4* Sunday Night Baseball HEAVY HITTER  on Indians +

The value here is too good to pass up on Cleveland with ace Carlos Carrasco on the mound. Carrasco has 2.78 ERA and 0.925 WHIP over 5 road starts and is 3-1 with a 2.76 ERA and 0.980 WHIP in 5 career starts against the Astros.   

Houston will send out Lance McCullers, who has thrown the ball well so far in 2018, but there is some concern with his command. McCullers has walked 9 over his last 18 innings of work. His only work against the Indians came in Cleveland last year and it wasn't pretty. McCullers lasted just 5 innings after giving up 5 runs on 7 hits and 3 walks. 

Astros are an elite team, but are just a mere 1-7 this season at home when faced against a starting pitcher that is allowing 5.5 or fewer hits/start. Cleveland has also gone 23-8 in Carrasco's last 31 road against an AL team that has a team average of .255 or worse. Take Cleveland! 

4* MLB Situational VEGAS INSIDER  on Pirates -

I like the value here with Pittsburgh as a short home favorite in Sunday's series finale against the Padres. The Pirates weren't expected to do anything this year, yet they are sitting 1.5-games back of the NL Central lead at 26-19 (4th best record in NL). Needless to say Pittsburgh has been a huge value play early on and I still think they aren't getting the respect the deserve. 

The Pirates will send out one of the most underrated starters so far in 2018. You don't hear much about Trevor Williams in the media, but he's 5-2 with a 2.72 ERA and 1.132 WHIP in 9 starts. He's got an even better 2.22 ERA in 4 home starts. 

San Diego will counter with Jordan Lyles, who has created a bit of a buzz after his first 2 starts of 2018. Lyles has allowed just 1 earned run in 12 1/3 innings with an impressive 16-2 walk/strikeout ratio. However, both starts for Lyles came at home at spacious Petco Park. I think there's a good chance he takes at least a minor step back here. Take Pittsburgh! 

3* MLB  Situational HEAVY HITTER on Diamondbacks -

I like the value here with Arizona as a short road favorite against the Mets. Both offenses come into this one struggling, so I'm taking the team with the much better starter. The Diamondbacks will give the rock to one of the big surprises this season in Pat Corbin. He's 4-1 with a 2.53 ERA and 0.860 WHIP in 9 starts. The most impressive stat is the strikeouts, as he's fanned 75 hitters in just 57 innings of work. He should have no problem here keeping the Mets in check. 

Arizona's offense is due to breakout and today could be that day, as the Mets send out Steven Matz, who is just 1-3 with a 3.86 ERA and 1.255 WHIP in 7 starts. Matz also has been worse at home, where he's got an ugly 4.66 ERA in 4 starts. 

New York as a team is a mere 1-12 in their last 13 games against NL starters with a ERA of 2.70 or better. Take Arizona!

5* MLB Late Night GAME OF THE MONTH on Angels -

I love the value here with the Angels at home against the Rays on Friday. Los Angeles is going to be extremely motivated here after losing their last 3, including yesterday's ugly 7-1 loss to Tampa in the series opener. 

Hard to not like their chances at home in this one. LA will give the rock to Nick Tropeano, who is coming off back-to-back strong starts at home. He threw 6 1/3 scoreless at home against the Orioles on 5/1 and followed that up by allowing just 3 runs on 5 hits in 6 innings in his most recent outing against the Twins. 

Tampa Bay will send out Blake Snell, who is coming off a poor outing at Baltimore. Snell gave up 5 runs on 6 hits (3 HRs) in just 3 1/3 innings of work. He's now got an ugly 5.06 ERA in 5 road starts and a 4.41 ERA in his last 3 outings. Take Los Angeles! 

3* MLB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Phillies +

I like the value here with Philadelphia as a decently priced road dog against the Cardinals on Thursday. These two teams are headed in different directions. The Phillies come in having won 6 of their last 7, while St Louis is just 3-5 in their last 8. Keep in mind this poor stretch started when Yadier Molina went to the DL and the Cardinals simply aren't the same team without him on the field. 

The other key here is I just don't trust St Louis starter Luke Weaver, who has really disappointment so far in 2018 with a 4.91 ERA and 1.364 WHIP. Weaver did pitch well in his last start, going 5 scoreless against the Padres, but that was in San Diego. That's now 5 straight starts where Weaver has failed to complete 6 innings. He's also got a mere 5.40 ERA and 1.267 WHIP in 3 home starts. Phillies are 9-3 in their last 12 vs a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 and 10-1 in their last 11 vs the NL Central. Take Philadelphia! 

3* MLB Vegas LINE MISTAKE on Orioles +

I like the value here with Baltimore as a huge dog on the road against division rival Boston. There's no arguing that the Red Sox should be favored at home against the Orioles, but this line is way too much given the starting pitching matchup. 

Boston will send out David Price, who is simply overvalued. Price often gets treated like an elite ace, despite the fact that he's not pitched well. He's a mere 3-4 with a 4.89 ERA and 1.417 WHIP in 8 starts this season. He had one of his better starts last time out and gave up 2 runs on 5 hits and 3 walks in just 5 2/3 innings. He's also 0-2 with a  5.93 ERA and 1.683 in 3 starts at Fenway this season. 

Baltimore will give the rock to Kevin Gausman, who is really throwing the ball well right now. Gausman has a 1.23 ERA and 1.045 over his last 3 starts and a 1.80 ERA and 0.950 WHIP in 3 road outings. It's also worth noting that in his last 2 starts against the Red Sox last year, Gausman didn't allow in 15 2/3 innings. Take Baltimore! 

4* MLB Situational HEAVY HITTER on Padres +

I really like the value here with the Padres as a big road dog Thursday against the Pirates. Pittsburgh is red-hot having won 7 of 8, but 4 of those wins came against the awful White Sox. At the same time, San Diego has won 3 of 4 and will be motivated here to get their road trip started out with a win. 

It's been hit or miss for Padres starter Eric Lauer, but I've liked what I have seen in his limited action. More than anything, I don't feel there's a big enough gap here between Lauer and Pirates starter Chad Kuhl for the line to be what it is. Kuhl has a 4-2 record, but owns a not so great 4.17 ERA and 1.345 WHIP in his 8 starts. He's also got an ugly 5.57 ERA and 1.577 WHIP in 6 starts at night. Take San Diego! 

4* MLB Situational HEAVY HITTER on Angels +

I like the value here with the Angels as a decently priced home dog against the Astros on Wednesday. I know Houston will have Justin Verlander on the mound, but they have lost each of his last 3 starts. Not that Verlander is responsible for the losses, but the offense just isn't producing with him on the mound. The Astros have scored a whopping 1 run in his last 3 starts. 

I think we could see this trend continue here. The Angels will send out a capable starter here in Garrett Richards. Richards is coming off back to back strong outings against the Mariners and Twins and has a 2.81 ERA in 3 starts against division opponents. He also has a strong history against Houston. He's got a 3.28 ERA in 11 career starts against them. Last year he faced them twice and allowed just 1 run on 5 hits with 1 walk and 10 strikeouts in 11 innings of work. Take Los Angeles! 

3* MLB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Braves +

This is simply too much value to pass up on the Braves at basically a pick'em at home. Atlanta wasn't suppose to be a contender this season, yet they come into this game with the best record in the NL at 25-16. They are still flying under the radar and will continue to show big time value against some of the top public teams like the Cubs. 

Chicago won yesterday 3-2, but only managed 6 hits and have not been swinging it all that well over their last few games. This is a make or break start for Atlanta's Brandon McCarthy and I think he steps up to the challenge. At the same time, I look for the Braves offense to put up a number here on Cubs' starter Tyler Chatwood. In 7 starts Chatwood owns a solid 3.34 ERA, but his 1.540 WHIP (1.687 on the road) suggest he's been much worse than that ERA would lead on. Take Atlanta! 

5* MLB Vegas No Limit GAME OF THE MONTH on Royals +

I love the value here with the Royals as a home dog against the Rays on Wednesday. Tampa Bay has won 3 of 4 and are way over-priced here. Kansas City has lost 4 straight, but finally got the offense going with 5 runs on 11 hits Tuesday.

I look for that offense to carry over and have a big day against Rays starter Jacob Faria, who is just 1-2 with a 8.55 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in 4 road starts. 

The Royals will send out Jason Hammel, who is coming off a bad start at Cleveland, but has been a different pitcher at home. Hammel owns a 6.13 ERA in 8 starts overall, but a mere 3.86 ERA in 3 outings at home. Look for him to keep Tampa in check and for the Rays to leave here a winner. Take Tampa Bay! 

3* MLB Early Bird ANNIHILATOR on Cards -

I like the value here with St Louis as a short road favorite against the Twins on Wednesday. The Cardinals come in having lost 3 straight, so the fact that they are favored speaks to the edge they have on the mound. 

St Louis will give the ball to Miles Mikolas, who has pitched better than anyone expected. Mikolas is 5-0 with a 2.51 ERA and 0.964 WHIP in 7 starts. He's also trending up, as he's got a 1.31 ERA and 0.919 WHIP in his last 3 outings. 

Twins are countering with Lance Lynn. The former Cardinal has been a mess so far in 2018. Lynn is 1-3 with a 7.34 ERA and 1.980 WHIP in 7 starts. It's been getting any better, as Lynn owns a 6.89 ERA and 1.914 WHIP in his last 3 outings. Take St Louis! 

3* MLB Vegas ODDSMAKERS ERROR on Rays +

I like the value here with Tampa Bay as a decently priced road dog against the Royals. The Rays have the momentum after taking the series opener in a hard fought 2-1 win on Monday. Tampa has now won 2 of the 3 coming off that 5-game losing streak. As for Kansas City, they have dropped 3 straight and 5 of their last 6.

The Royals' offense has managed just 5 runs over their last 3 games, which is a good sign for Rays starter Anthony Banda. The 24-year-old prospect will be making his Tampa debut and is coming off a great final start in the minors, where he allowed just 4 hits in 6 2/3 scoreless innings of work. 

Kansas City will counter with Ian Kennedy, who is just 1-4 with a 4.61 ERA and 1.488 WHIP in 8 starts. Kennedy won't be taking the mound with a lot of confidence, as he gave up 9 runs on 8 hits (2 HRs) in just innings of his last start at Baltimore. Kennedy is also just 1-5 with a 5.76 ERA and 1.588 WHIP in 9 career starts against the Rays. Take Tampa Bay!

3* MLB Undervalued UNDERDOG on White Sox +

I like the value here with the White Sox. Chicago is widely considered to be the worst team in the big leagues, which means there is going to be value with them when they have an edge on the mound like they do today. The White Sox will send out Reynaldo Lopez against Pittsburgh's Trevor Williams. 

This is a rematch from last Wednesday when the two teams met in Chicago. The Pirates won the game 6-5, but Lopez was by far the better of the two starters. He allowed just 2 runs on 3 hits over 7 1/3 innings. He left with a 4-2 lead. The White Sox would extend the lead to 5-2, before giving up 4 runs in the top of the 9th. Williams only lasted 5 innings, as he allowed 4 runs on 7 hits (2 HRs) and 2 walks. 

That wasn't a fluke start by Lopez, who is flying under the radar because of how bad the White Sox are playing. Lopez comes in with a 2.44 ERA and 1.128 WHIP over 7 starts. Clearly much better numbers than his 0-2 record would lead on. I think he gets the elusive first win of 2018 tonight. Take Chicago! 

4* MLB Situational HEAVY HITTER on Rockies -

I like the value here with the Rockies at basically a pick'em on the road against the Padres. Colorado took the series opener 6-4 on Monday and I look for them to carry over that momentum to the finale of this short 2-game series. 

The Rockies will send out German Marquez, who has shined away from home this season. Marquez is 2-1 with a 2.35 ERA and 1.174 WHIP in 4 road starts. Colorado is 3-1 in those outings and I like their chances of improving to 4-1. San Diego will send out Jordan Lyles, who will be making just his second start of 2018.

The first one went well against the Cardinals, but I wouldn't read to much into that outing. Lyles has a career 5.36 ERA and 1.47 WHIP. He's also made two starts at the end of last season against the Rockies and allowed 11 runs on 13 hits and 5 walks in just 10 innings of work. Take Colorado! 

4* MLB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Angels +

I like the value here with the Angles as a home dog against division rival Houston on Monday. Los Angeles will come into the series opener against the defending champs riding a wave of momentum after Sunday's walk-off 2-1 win over the Twins. 

I also like the pitching matchup for the Angels in this one. LA is sending out Andrew Heaney, who is red-hot with a 2.12 ERA and 1.176 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Houston will counter with Lance McCullers, who is 5-1 with a respectable 3.76 ERA in 8 starts, but does have an ugly 4.67 ERA and 1.407 WHIP in 5 road outings this season. It's also worth adding that the Astros have lost each of the last 4 games where McCullers started a series opener. Take Los Angeles! 

5* MLB Heavy Hitter GAME OF THE MONTH on Pirates -

I love the value here with Pittsburgh at home at this price. The Pirates have started playing great baseball again and have won 5 straight after Saturday's thrilling 6-5 win, where they gave up the lead in the top of 8th, only to take it back in the bottom half of the inning.

As for the Giants, they are headed in the opposite direction. San Francisco has lost 6 straight and it hasn't exactly been pretty. The Giants are averaging 2.7 runs/game over their last 7 and are giving up an average of 7.4 runs/game during this stretch. 

The other big key here is the starting pitching matchup, which I feel heavily favors the home team. Pittsburgh will send out Ivan Nova, who is coming off a couple of poor road outings, but has a 3.38 ERA and sensational 0.900 WHIP at home this season. In his last home start he threw 8 scoreless innings. Giants will send out Derek Holland, who is a mere 1-4 with a 5.66 ERA and 1.257 WHIP in 7 starts. San Francisco is also 0-4 in his 4 road starts this season. Take Pittsburgh! 

3* MLB Vegas Money Line DESTROYER on Mariners -

I have no problem laying heavy juice on the money line with Seattle in Sunday's matchup with the Tigers. The Mariners simply have a massive edge on the mound in this one, as they send out James Paxton, who is coming off a no-hitter, against 31-year-old Blaine Hardy, who is making his first ever career start. 

Paxton has been throwing at an elite level of late. Last time out he threw a no-hitter on the road against the Blue Jays. The start before that he struck out 16 batters in 7 shutout innings against the A's. Even if he's not on top of his game, he should be able to keep this mediocre Tigers' offense in check. 

I also think there's a good chance the Mariners provide Paxton with a bunch of run support. Hardy isn't likely too pitch deep in this game and he's well past being a promising prospect at 31. Keep in mind these two teams played a double-header yesterday and Detroit's bullpen had to work 8 2/3 innings. Take Seattle! 

5* MLB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Twins +

I'm recommending a play here on Minnesota, as we are simply getting too good of a price to pass up on with the red-hot Twins. Minnesota defeated the Angels 5-4 on Friday and are now 6-1 in their last 7. The surge offensively has been a big reason for their success, as they are scoring 5.9 runs/game during this run. It's not all offense, as they are only giving up 3.3 runs/game. 

With the way the Twins are swinging the bats, it's hard to not like their chances here with one of their top starters, Kyle Gibson, on the mound. Gibson has only been a part of 2 decisions, but owns a strong 3.49 ERA and 1.216 WHIP in 7 starts. He's also pitched his best on the road, where he has a 2.52 ERA and 0.840 WHIP in 4 outings. Take Minnesota!

4* MLB Situational HEAVY HITTER on Yankees - 

I'm recommending laying the big juice here and backing the Yankees to win at home over Oakland on Saturday. The A's laid it on New York in the series opener last night in a convincing 10-5 win. I expect a much more focused Yankees team to take the field this afternoon. Keep in mind yesterday's matchup was a prime letdown spot for New York, coming off that big 3-game series against hated rival Boston.  

The Yankees manages 5 runs yesterday despite only registering 7 hits. That's how potent this offense can be and they come in averaging 6.4 runs/game. I think the offense is poised for a big day. At the same time, I think it's worth riding New York's starter Domingo German. In his MLB debut the past Sunday he didn't allow a hit, let alone a run in 6 innings, striking out 9. Take New York! 

3* MLB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Marlins +

I like the value here with Miami as a decently priced home dog against division rival Atlanta. So little is expected of the Marlins that they are routinely undervalued and I just feel the price here at home is too good to pass up. 

The first two starts for Miami's Dan Straily haven't been great, but he did show some improvement in his second outing and I think he's going to continue to trend in the right direction. On the flip side of this the Braves will give the rock to Brandon McCarthy, who has to be second-guessing himself after his most recent outing. In his last start McCarthy gave up 8 runs on 12 hits in just 3 1/3 innings tat home against the Giants. This is a good time for the Marlins offense to produce and they should be able to push across enough runs here to get the win. Take Miami! 

4* MLB Situational HEAVY HITTER on Blue Jays +

I like the value here with the Blue Jays as a massive home dog against division rival Boston. I know the Red Sox will have their ace Chris Sale on the mound, but they were fortunate to win with him on the mound a few starts back at Toronto.

Not only do I think the Blue Jays can get to Sale here, but I think this is a great spot to fade Boston coming off their emotional 3-game series against their biggest rivals in the Yankees. Keep in mind this will be the Red Sox's 8th straight game on the road, which I think increases the likelihood of them coming out flat here. 

Boston is just 1-4 in their last 5 during game 1 of a new series and are 1-4 in Sale's last 5 starts vs a team with a winning record. Take Toronto!

5* MLB Vegas Insider GAME OF THE MONTH on Mets +

I like the value here with the Mets as a big road dog in Friday's NL East action against the Phillies. Most won't hesitate here to back Philadelphia given the Phillies are 15-5 at home and will have veteran Jake Arrieta on the mound. I just don't think there's that big of an edge here on the mound.

New York will send out Steven Matz, who is coming off a great start against the Rockies, where he allowed just 1 run on 3 hits in 6 innings. Matz is 1-3 with a 4.23 ERA, but has pitched much better than his ERA and that's evident by his 1.157 WHIP. I think the Mets have an excellent shot at winning this game and the price here is too good to pass up.  Take New York! 

3* MLB Late Night ANNIHILATOR on Padres +

I like the value here with San Diego as a decently priced home dog against the Cardinals. St Louis just got swept in their short 2-game series at home against the Twins and it wasn't pretty. Minnesota outscored the Cardinals 13-1 and I just have big concerns with St Louis going forward without their rock behind the plate in Yadier Molina. 

St Louis will send out Miles Mikolas, who has pitched very well for the Cardinals this season. However, I think the emotions for Mikolas will be running high in this game, as he was traded by the Padres back in 2013. Not to mention the extra pressure on him to pitch well with how poorly St Louis is swinging the bat. This is simply too good of a price to pass up on the home team. Take San Diego!

4* MLB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Red Sox +

I like the value here with Boston as a decently priced road dog in Thursday's series finale against rival New York. The Red Sox had their chances in a 3-2 loss in the series opener on Tuesday. They then blew a 6-5 lead in the 8th of yesterday's 9-6 defeat. I look for Boston to come out here and do whatever it takes to avoid getting swept. 

On paper the pitching matchup looks to favor the Yankees, who send out veteran C.C. Sabathia and his 1.39 ERA in 6 starts against Eduardo Rodriguez and his ugly 5.29 ERA. The thing is Rodriguez has pitched much better than his ERA would suggest, as he's got a 1.27 WHIP. Boston has also found a way to win all 6 of his starts regardless of how he performs. I look for the offense to stay hot here and propel the Red Sox to the win. Take Boston! 

4* MLB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Rays -

I like the value here with the Rays at basically a pick'em at home against the Braves. Tampa Bay has really been playing well over the last 3 weeks or so. The Rays started out 4-13 in their first 17 games, but have since gone 11-5 with all 5 those losses coming by 1 run or less. I like their chances here against Atlanta, who was fortunate to win the series opener 1-0, as they recorded just 4 hits. 

I look for the Rays offense to come to life here against Julio Teheran, who has been hit or miss this season. Teheran threw 7 shutout innings in his last start, but couldn't make it out of the 3rd inning in his previous start and owns a modest 3.65 ERA and 1.243 WHIP in 7 starts overall. I'll also take my chances on Rays starter Ryan Yarbrough keeping Atlanta's slumping offense in check. The Braves have scored a total of 6 runs over their last 3 games are are hitting just .218 as at team in their last 7. Take Tampa Bay! 

5* American League GAME OF THE MONTH  on Rangers -

I like the value here with the Rangers at home against the Tigers on Wednesday. While Texas ended up on the losing end of yesterday's game against Detroit, the Rangers got a big boost offensively from veteran Adrian Beltre and I look for his return to the lineup to really get this team going. 

Most are going to look at this pitching matchup in favor of the Tigers, as Detroit sends out Francisco Liriano against the 44-year-old Bartlolo Colon. Both have been sharp early on, but I think Liriano is due for some major regression. He's yet to allow more than 3 runs in a single start. A streak I see coming to an end. In Liriano's last two starts at Texas, he's given up 10 runs on 13 hits (4 HRs) and 6 walks in just 10 2/3 innings of work. Take Texas! 

3* MLB Money Line HEAVY HITTER on Nationals - 

I like the value here with Washington as a short road favorite against the Padres on Tuesday. Hard to pass up on the Nationals at this price with how well they are playing. Washington has won their last 2 and are 8-1 in their last 9 games. San Diego has won a mere 13-games all season and are just 6-13 at home. 

On top of all that, the Nationals have what looks like a clear edge on the mound with Jeremy Hellickson facing off against Clayton Richard. Hellickson will be making his 5th start and has gotten better with each outing. In his last 3 starts he's allowed just 5 runs on 11 hits and 3 walks in 16 1/3 innings. Note that those 3 starts came against quality opponents in the Pirates, Diamondbacks and Dodgers. Richard on the other hand is 1-4 with a 6.21 ERA and 1.726 WHIP in 7 starts and has been even worse of late with a 6.89 ERA and 1.851 WHIP in his last 3 outings. Take Washington! 

5* National League GAME OF THE MONTH on Reds -

I love the value here with the Reds at home against the Mets on Tuesday. New York is trending in the wrong direction. Even with yesterday's 7-6 win over Cincinnati, the Mets are just 1-6 in their last 7 games. This is every bit a play on the Reds as it is a fade of New York starter Jason Vargas. 

In his first two starts after missing the first month, Vargas has been downright awful. He's given up 15 runs on 20 hits and 5 walks (5 HRs) in 8 1/3 innings. I just don't see him figuring it out on the road in one of the more hitter-friendly parks in the majors. 

I also think we are about to Cincinnati starter Luis Castillo start to pitch up to his potential. He showed some great signs of turning things around in his last outing, as he allowed just 2 runs over 6 innings against a good Brewers lineup. If Castillo pitches anywhere close to that, this should turn into a blowout rather quickly. Take Cincinnati! 

3* MLB Undervalued UNDERDOG  on Twins +

I really like the value here with Minnesota as a big road dog against the Cardinals on Monday. This is a big time letdown spot for St Louis, who is coming off back-to-back extra inning games against their biggest rivals in the Cubs, with last night's contest going 14-innings. St Louis won both of those games, which only increases the likelihood they struggle to show up with the right mindset for this one. 

I also think we are going to see the Cardinals start to fall off without their rock behind the plate in Yadier Molina. He's especially going to be missed here with a bullpen that's had to put in a lot of work the last couple of days and starter Jon Gant making his big-league debut. With the Twins offense having come to life and starter Fernando Rombero looking sharp in his first outing, I think they get the win here. Take Minnesota! 

3* MLB No Doubt Money Line BLOWOUT on Reds -

I like the value here with the Reds as a short home favorite in Sunday's rubber match against the Marlins. Both starting pitchers have struggled, so this one is likely to which team can put the most runs on the board. While Miami won 6-0 on Saturday, there's little doubt which of these two teams is more potent on offense. I look for the Reds to put up a big number here and help Brandon Finnegan secure his first win of the season. 

Reds are 6-1 in their last 7 home games vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their road games and the Marlins are 1-6 in Straily's last 7 rad starts and 1-7 in their last 8 road games vs a left-handed starter. Take Cincinnati! 

4* MLB Situational HEAVY HITTER on Oakland -

I like the value here with the A's as a small home favorite against the Orioles on Saturday. Oakland won the series opener 6-4 last night and I look for them to build off that victory here. The A's will send out Trevor Cahill, who has been a pleasant surprise so far. Cahill has a 3.00 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in 3 starts and was sensational in his only outing so far at home, giving up just 5 hits with 8 strikeouts over 7 shutout innings. 

Baltimore just hasn't been playing well at all. The Orioles have lost 4 straight and are now 8-24 on the season. Baltimore will send out Kevin Gausman, who has a 4.15 ERA and 1.327 WHIP in 6 starts and has give up 7 runs on 15 hits and 4 walks in 10 innings over 2 career starts at Oakland. A's are 6-1 in their last 7 at home and 8-2 in their last 10 vs a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Take Oakland! 

5* NL East GAME OF THE MONTH  on Phillies +

I like the value here with the Phillies as a decently priced dog in Saturday's contest at Washington. The Nationals are simply getting too much respect here and the price is too good to pass up on Philadelphia. Washington comes in red-hot, having won 6 straight, including a 7-3 win last night in the series opener. This is talented Phillies team that is going to come out extremely motivated to get a win here and I expect them to do just that. 

Washington will send out Tanner Roark and have gone just 6-11 when he takes the mound as a favorite of -125 to -175. The Nationals are also just 1-7 in Roark's last 8 starts on 4 days of rest, 1-4 in his last 5 vs a division opponent and 1-4 in his last 5 at home vs a team with a winning record. Take Philadelphia! 

3* MLB Late Night BAILOUT  on Mariners +

I like the value here with the Mariners as a decently priced division home dog against the Angels. There's been plenty of hype early on with the Angels because of Ohtani. Now the media is all over this team with Pujols needing just 1-hit to reach 3,000 for his career. The Angels are coming off a sweep of the Orioles, but Baltimore isn't exactly playing well.

Seattle has almost an identical record as the Angels and are playing some of their best baseball right now. The Mariners are 7-2 over their last 9 games and are clicking both at the plate and on the mound. Seattle is scoring 6.3 runs/game over their last 7, while giving up only 3.6 runs/game during this stretch. Take Seattle! 

5* AL Central GAME OF THE MONTH on Royals -

I love the value here with Kansas City as a short home favorite against the Tigers on Friday. The Royals have won 4 of their last 6, while Detroit is just 3-6 in their last 9. Kansas City's offense is rolling right now.

The Royals have scored at least 4 runs in 6 straight games and have combined for 38 hits over their last 3 games. The Tigers had a decent offensive night last night, but have scored 3 or fewer in 7 of their last 9 games. With no advantage in the starting pitching department, this is an easy play for me at this price on the home team. Take Kansas City! 

3* MLB Vegas LINE MISTAKE on Reds -

I like the value here with the Reds as a short home favorite against the Marlins on Friday. Cincinnati is going to be fired up to get this series started off on the right foot. The Reds were just swept in a 3-game series at home against the Brewers. I know Miami has been playing better, but most of that success has come at home. The Marlins have just 4 wins away from home this season. 

The bright side for Cincinnati is the offense has been producing of late. The Reds are averaging 5.7 runs/game and hitting .275 as a team over their last 7 games I look for that offense to be the difference here, as starter Sal Romano is trending in the right direction with a 2.87 ERA and 1.213 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Take Cincinnati!