4* MLB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Red Sox -

I like the value here with Boston on the road in Thursday's series opener against the Rangers. The Red Sox have cooled off a bit from their torrid start, but are still playing really good baseball and have racked up 10+ hits in each of their last 3 games and have scored 21 runs during this stretch. Given how Boston is swinging the bats right now, I got no problem laying a little juice on the road against a bad team like the Rangers, especially with this being a hitters' park. 

Red Sox starter David Price has a strong 2.29 ERA and 1.068 WHIP in 3 road starts this season, while Texas' Mike Minor comes in slumping with a 5.51 ERA and 1.347 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Don't be surprised if the Red Sox blow this thing wide-open early. Take Boston! 

3* MLB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Pirates +

I like the value here with Pittsburgh as a massive road dog against the Nationals. This line suggests that Pittsburgh doesn't have much of a chance of winning this game, but I don't see it that way at all. The Pirates will send out Ivan Nova, who has really thrown the ball well so far in 2018. Nova has a 3.32 ERA and 1.026 WHIP in 6 starts overall and is red-hot right now with a 1.74 ERA and 0.822 WHIP in his last 3 starts. 

Washington will counter with Stephen Strasburg, who is a big name and someone the public loves to back. The thing is, Stasburg hasn't been up to his standards so far in 2018. He's got a 3.63 ERA in his 6 starts and a 5.12 ERA over his last 3. He's really struggled with keeping the ball in the park, as he's allowed 7 home runs. Strasburg might end up with better numbers at season end, but Nova is throwing it better right now. Take Pittsburgh! 

3* MLB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Padres +

I like the value here with San Diego as a decently priced road dog against the Giants on Tuesday. The Padres have what I feel is a clear-cut edge on the mound, as they will send out Tyson Ross against Andrew Suarez. 

Ross has a respectable 3.64 ERA and 1.180 WHIP in 5 starts overall, but is trending much better than that. Ross has a 2.55 ERA and 1.188 WHIP over his last 3 starts, which includes two road starts against the Rockies and Diamondbacks. It also includes a start against these Giants, where the only run he allowed in 6 innings of work was unearned. 

As for Suarez, he's making just his second big league start. The first didn't go so well, as Suarez allowed 4 runs in 5 1/3 innings, giving up 2 homers. Look for Suarez to continue to struggle and he's likely not to pitch deep even if he does throw well. Take San Diego! 

4* MLB Situational HEAVY HITTER on Twins -

I like the value here with Minnesota as a short home favorite against the Blue Jays on Tuesday. The Twins have been in a funk of late, but I think the pitching matchup here is going to allow them to get back on track with a win. Minnesota will send out Kyle Gibson against the Blue Jays' Marco Estrada. 

Gibson has a solid 3.33 ERA and 1.260 WHIP in 5 starts this season and is coming off his best outing. Gibson allowed just 1 hit with 10 strikeouts in 6 shutout innings at New York (Yankees). As for Estrada, he's got an ugly 6.00 ERA and 1.444 WHIP in 5 starts and is trending in the wrong direction with a 9.00 ERA and 1.857 WHIP in his last 3 outings. 

Twins are 11-2 in Gibson's last 13 starts overall and are 7-0 in his last 7 off a Quality Start in his last appearance and 6-0 in his last 6 starts at home. Take Minnesota! 

3* MLB Oddsmaker ERROR on Orioles -

I like the value here with Baltimore as a short home favorite against the Tigers on Saturday. The Orioles snapped a 5-game skid with a 6-0 win over Detroit on Friday and it's only a matter of time before this team starts playing up to their potential. They are simply too talented to be sitting at 7-19.

The Tigers on the other hand are in a major rebuild and should be a great team to fade on the road. Even more so right now, with the offense in a major funk. Detroit has been shutout in back-to-back games and are hitting just .218 as a team on the road this season. I look for the offense to continue to struggle here against Orioles starter Andrew Cashner, who has posted a solid 3.32 ERA in his last 3 starts. Take Baltimore! 

3* MLB Late Night BAILOUT on Padres +

I like the value here with the Padres as a huge home dog against the Mets on Friday. New York is simply getting way too much respect here because of the fact that they are sending out one of their top starters in Jacob deGrom. The bigger key here is this is going to be a very difficult series for the Mets, who are a long way from home and have already played 3-games sets at Atlanta and St Louis leading up to this trip out west. 

Keep in mind that New York is just 3-6 over their last 9, as they have really cooled off from that impressive 12-2 start to the season. It won't be easy putting up a big number here on deGrom, but I think the Padres can do just enough here to have a great shot at winning this game. Take San Diego! 

4* MLB Situational HEAVY HITTER on Royals -

I like the value here with the Royals as a short home favorite against the White Sox on Friday. Kansas City has started out a miserable 1-10 at home and they simply can't continue to play this poorly on their home field. I look for the Royals to get back on track at Kauffman Stadium against an equally poor team in the White Sox. 

KC will have their ace Danny Duffy on the mound for this one. Duffy is coming off a poor outing at Detroit, but had pitched well in each of his previous 3 outings and it's worth noting that 4 of his 5 starts so far have come in day games. The one night start that Duffy had was at Toronto and he allowed just 2 hits with 8 strikeouts in  6 shutout innings. Look for Duffy to dominate the White Sox  and the Royals secure a victory. Take Kansas City! 

4* MLB Situational HEAVY HITTER on Oakland -

I like the value here with the A's as a short road favorite against the Rangers on Monday. Oakland is one of the hottest teams in the league, as they have won 6 of their last 7, including 2 of 3 against the red-hot Red Sox over the weekend to improve to 11-11 on the season. Texas on the other hand is a mere 4-9 in their last 13 and I look for those struggles to continue. 

I see a clear edge on the mound here for Oakland with Trevor Cahill facing off against the Rangers' Matt Moore. Cahill was sensational in first start back with the A's, allowing just 5 hits with 8 strikeouts over 7 shutout innings at Chicago last Tuesday. Moore was strong in his last outing at Tampa, but still comes in with a 1-3 record and 5.59 ERA and 1.707 WHIP in 4 starts. He's been especially poor at home, where he's 0-3 with a 8.76 ERA and 2.109 WHIP in 3 starts. Take Oakland! 

4* MLB Money Line ANNIHILATOR on Diamondbacks - 

The Diamondbacks should have no problem securing a win at home in Sunday's series finale against the Padres. Arizona will send out Pat Corbin, who has been a pleasant surprise early on in 2018. Corbin is 3-0 with a 1.65 ERA and 0.695 WHIP in 4 starts and is fresh off a complete game shutout in his last outing. Corbin has made 3 starts at home this season and in those 3 outings have allowed a mere 2 runs on 9 hits with 28 strikeouts over 22 innings of work. 

Adding to this is a great system in play backing a fade of the Padres. Road underdogs who are a poor hitting team (team avg. of .255 or worse) are just 16-61 (21%) against the money line when facing an NL team with a starter with a ERA of 2.70 or better and a bullpen that has converted at least 75% of their save opportunities. Take Arizona! 

3* MLB  Money Line DESTROYER on Cubs -

I like the value here with the Cubs at this small price on the road in Sunday's series finale against the Rockies. Chicago's offense managed just 2 runs on Saturday after putting up 16 in the series opener on Friday. I look for the Cubs offense to bounce back in a big way here against Rockies' start German Marquez. In 4 starts this season, Marquez has a poor 4.34 ERA and 1.393 WHIP and has really struggled at home, posting a 8.21 ERA and 1.825 WHIP in his 2 outings at Coors Field. 

Chicago will counter with Jose Quintana, who has had an up and down start to the season. The key here is that Quintana should have his best stuff, as he's had a full 7 days off since his last start. Quintana has also pitched twice at Coors and faired well, posting a solid 3.65 ERA, allowing just 5 runs on 12 1/3 innings of work. 

Cubs are 14-2 in their last 16 road games with a total of 10 to 10.5 and have won these contests by an average score of 7.4 to 3.9 (+3.5 runs/game). Take Chicago!

4* MLB Prime Time HEAVY HITTER on Cubs -

I like the value here with the Cubs as a small road favorite against the Rockies on Saturday. Chicago's offense exploded for 16 runs in an 11-run win in the series opener Friday and I look for the offense to lay it on Colorado again. 

The Cubs will send out You Darvish who is coming off a less than impressive start at Atlanta. Darvish also struggled in his first outing, but fired back with an outstanding performance in his next start, allowing just 1 run on 2 hits in 9 innings at Milwaukee. I look for another strong bounce back here against the Rockies. 

The bigger key is the Cubs offense, which will be facing Tyler Anderson, who has a 4.74 ERA and 1.579 WHIP in his 4 starts to open the season. Any time the Chicago gets in a a game that's expected to be high-scoring away from home, more times than not they prevail. Cubs are 13-2 over the last 2 seasons on the road with a total of 10 to 10.5 and have won these contests by an average score of 6.9 to 3.8. Take Chicago! 

3* MLB Money Line DESTROYER on Mets - 

I like the value here with the Mets as a short road favorite against division rival Atlanta on Saturday. New York scored 2 runs in the top of the 12th to take down the Braves 5-3 on Friday. That should give them a lot of momentum going into the 3rd game of the series and making matters even better is they will have one of their best starters on the mound in Jacob deGrom. 

The Mets have won 3 of his 4 starts this season, as he's 2-0 with a 3.24 ERA and 1.080 WHIP. He was really on top of his game in his last start, as he struck out 12 batters in 7 1/3 innings against a good Nationals lineup.

I also like his chances of getting some run support, as the Braves will send out Julio Teheran, who has a 5.40 ERA and 1.650 WHIP in 4 starts. It's also worth noting that 3 of Teheran's 4 starts have came at home and he's got an even worse 6.43 ERA and 1.714 WHIP in those outings. Take New York! 

3* MLB Late Night DIAMOND DESTROYER on Giants +

I like the value here with the Giants as a decently priced road dog against the Angels on Friday. The momentum the Angels had going after their 13-3 start was put to rest by an even hotter Red Sox team, who came into LA and left with a 3-game sweep. I think we could see the Angels struggle to snap out of their funk tonight. 

San Francisco will be sending out Jeff Samardzija, who will be making his first start of 2018. Samardzija definitely has the stuff to tame this LA offense and he couldn't be getting them at a better time, as the Angels have scored a whopping 3 runs in their last 3 games. As for the Giants offense, I like their chances of getting to LA starter Andrew Heaney, who was hit hard in his first start, allowing 4 runs on 7 hits in just 5 innings. Take San Francisco! 

5* MLB Heavy Hitter GAME OF THE MONTH on Rays -

I love the value here with the Rays as a small home favorite against the Twins on Friday. Minnesota has won 4 of their last 5, but have also played just twice in the last 7 days. Both of those coming in a short 2-game set against the Indians in Puerto Rico, where they scored just 3 runs combined in those two contests. 

It's really hard on hitters to not be out there every day and I think the lack of games will have the Twins offense struggling to score again tonight. Making matters worse for Minnesota is they will go up against Chris Archer, who has absolutely owned them in his career. Archer has made 7 starts against the Twins and has gone 6-1 with a 1.84 ERA and 0.932 WHIP. 

The even bigger key here is we should get some production offensively from Tampa, as they will be going up against the struggling Lance Lynn, who has really struggled with his command in his two starts this season. Lynn has only pitched 9 innings and has walked 10 batters. With the Rays trending in the right direction offensively right now, they should be able to secure the win in this one. Take Tampa! 

5* American League GAME OF THE MONTH  on Orioles -

I love the value here with Baltimore as a short road favorite against the Tigers on Wednesday. It's only a matter of time before the Orioles get on track, but they have won each of the last two starts by Kevin Gausman, who has really pitched well after a poor showing in his first outing of the season against the Twins. Gausman faced Detroit once last season and held them to just 1 run on 3 hits with 8 strikeouts. 

Tigers will send out Matt Boyd, who has surprised with a 1.38 ERA and 0.615 WHIP in his first two starts. I'm not a buying it. His first outing came against a bad Royals offense and the other against a struggling Indians offense in poor playing conditions. Boyd made two starts against the Orioles last year and it wasn't pretty, as he allowed 10 runs on 13 hits and 6 walks in a mere 7 innings of work.

Detroit is just 1-11 in Boyd's last 12 starts and 6-21 in their last 27 after holding their previous opponent to 2 or fewer runs. Take Baltimore! 

3* MLB Money Line ANNIHILATOR on Angels - 

As good as Shohei Ohtani has been threw his first two starts, the betting public will have a hard time passing up on getting the Red Sox at this big of an underdog. That tells me the books are confident Ohtani is going to come out strong here and LA will pull out the win at home. 

Ohtani has just 3 runs on a mere 4 hits in 13 innings over his first two starts. What really stands out is he's got 18 strikeouts and just 2 walks over this stretch. As good as Boston's lineup is, my money is on Ohtani getting the job done. I also look for the Angel's offense to put up a decent number here against David Price. LA is averaging 6.4 runs/game on the season and 6.7 when facing a lefty starter. Price completed just 1 inning in his last start and has now walked 5 over his last 8 innings of work. He also faced the Angels twice last year and gave up 9 runs on 13 hits and 4 walks in 11 innings. Take Los Angeles! 

4* MLB Situational HEAVY HITTER on Nationals -

I really like the value here with Washington at basically a pick'em against the Mets on Tuesday. The Nationals stole the series opener, rallying from a 5-run deficit in the final 2 innings to pull out a 8-6 win. That's the kind of win that can propel a great team like Washington on a run. It's also a very difficult loss to bounce back from. 

On top of that the Nationals have to like their chances against New York with Gio Gonzalez on the mound. Gonzalez has gone 14-5 with a 2.88 ERA in 24 career starts against the Mets and what stands out even more is his 10-1 record with a 1.69 ERA in 15 career starts at Citi Field. 

Mets are just 5-14 in their last 19 home games off a loss by 2 runs or less, while the Nationals are 20-8 in their last 28 road games after a win by 2 runs or less. Take Washington! 

3* LATE INFO INSIDER

No Analysis on late releases

4* MLB Situational HEAVY HITTER on Angels -

I'm recommending laying the juice here and backing the Angels as a road favorite against the Royals on Saturday. LA has been even better than anticipated to start out the 2018 season. The Angels are 12-3 with an impressive 8-1 record on the road. That includes last night's 5-4 win over these Royals. 

I could see a lot of people considering taking KC at this price given how well today's starter, Jake Junis, has looked early on. Junis hasn't allowed a run in either of his first 2 starts. Those came against the Mariners and Tigers. LA is averaging 6.5 runs/game and are hitting .294 as a team with a .341 OBP. Note Junis faced these Angels once last year and allowed 5 runs on 8 hits in just 5 1/3 innings. 

I just think that given how bad the Royals are offensively, Garrett Richards will be able to keep them in check and the offense will do just enough to secure a victory. Take Los Angeles! 

4* MLB Situational HEAVY HITTER  on White Sox +

We are getting too much value here to pass up a play on the White Sox Thursday. Minnesota won the final two games of their series at home against the Astros to take the series. Teams really get excited about their first crack at playing the defending champs and I think we could see the Twins come out a bit flat here, as they now face a bottom feeder in the White Sox. 

I also think we are seeing Minnesota's Jose Berrios get a little too much love here. He got everyone's attention by throwing a complete game shutout in his first start, but in his very next start he allowed 5 runs on 6 hits before getting pulled in the 5th inning. I like the chances here of Chicago's Lucas Giolito keeping the White Sox in it and allowing them to do enough offensively to win this game. Take Chicago! 

4* MLB Situational HEAVY HITTER on Mets -

I like the value here with the Mets as a relatively short road favorite against the Marlins. New York is 9-1 over their first 10 games and are clearly a team on a mission early. Hard to not like their chances here against Miami, who doesn't exactly have a home field advantage. 

Especially with what looks to be a pretty clear edge on the mound for New York, who will send out Zach Wheeler. After failing to make the big league roster on Opening Day, Wheeler has continued to pitch well in the minors and is going to come out firing to earn himself a spot long-term. On the flip side, the Marlins are giving the ball to Jarlin Garcia for his first ever big league start. Garcia has thrown quite a few innings in relief, but that's a whole different situation than starting. I look him to struggle here against a Mets offense that is averaging 5.8 runs/game away from home. Take New York! 

5* AL East GAME OF THE MONTH on Orioles -

I love the value here with Baltimore as a short home favorite against the Blue Jays on Wednesday. The Orioles are going to come out extremely motivated here to avoid getting swept on their home field by a division rival. We are getting a great price here due to how lopsided the starting pitching matchup looks on paper. 

Baltimore Kevin Gausman has a 8.00 ERA and 1.667 WHIP in 2 starts, while Toronto's Marco Estrada has a 2.77 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in 2 starts. The key here is that Gausman's poor numbers primarily come from his first outing. He was much better in his second start and owns a 3.12 ERA over 13 career starts against the Blue Jays. As for Estrada, last time he made a start on the road against the Orioles, he gave up 6 runs on 10 hits in just 5 innings of work. Take Baltimore! 

4* MLB Situational HEAVY HITTER on Rays -

I like the value here with Tampa Bay as a short road favorite against the White Sox. The Rays will send out their ace Chris Archer, who has had a tough go of things to start out 2018. A big reason for that is he's had to go up against the Red Sox and Yankees in his first 2 starts. Archer has struck out 14 in 11 innings, so the stuff is definitely there. I think he comes out and gets that first dominant start of the season against a White Sox offense that has scored just 1 run in their last 2 games combined. 

It's been an equally poor start to the season for Chicago starter Miguel Gonzalez, who allowed 6 runs on 8 hits and 2 walks in just 5 innings at Toronto in his only start. I a lot more confident in Gonzalez's struggles carrying over to this outing, as the Rays should win here without much problem. Take Tampa Bay! 

3* MLB Undervalued UNDERDOG on San Francisco Giants +

I like the value here with the Giants as a massive home dog against the Dodgers on Sunday. San Francisco is riding a huge wave of momentum after Andrew McCutchen hit a 3-run walk-off home run in last night's 7-5 win in 14-innings. The Dodgers will have Clayton Kershaw on the mound, but LA has lost each of his first two starts, including a home game against these Giants. 

San Francisco will send out Ty Blach, who was roughed up for 6 runs on 10 hits in his last outing. However, Blach was sensational in an earlier start against these Dodgers, holding LA to just 3 hits over 5 shutout innings. That wasn't a fluke, as Blach now owns a 1.41 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in 5 career starts against the Dodgers. Take San Francisco! 

5* NL Central GAME OF THE MONTH on Cubs -

I love the value here with the Cubs, as I look for them to have no problem getting a win on the road against the Brewers Saturday. Chicago will send out their prized free agent pickup in starter You Darvish. While Darvish struggled in his first start at Miami, he's poised for a big bounce back effort here. 

I also think the Cubs are going to put up a big number here offensively against Milwaukee starter Zach Davies. Davies was hit hard at home in his last start against the Cardinals, giving up 7 runs on 8 hits in just 5 2/3 innings of work. Cubs are 35-16 in their last 51 off a loss and 26-7 in their last 33 road games vs a right-handed starter. Take Chicago! 

4* MLB Situational HEAVY HITTER on Blue Jays -

I like the value here with the Blue Jays as a short road favorite against the Rangers on Friday. This one comes down to the starting pitching matchup for me and I give a big edge here to Toronto in that department.

The Blue Jays will send out Marco Estrada, who will look to build on a strong first outing, where he allowed just 3 runs on 4 hits in 7 innings against a potent Yankees offense. Texas counters with Matt Moore, who was rocked for 4 runs on 7 hits in just 4 innings of work at home against the Astros in his first start of 2018.

Moore has really struggled in nigh games, as his teams' are a mere 9-29 when he toes the rubber in a night game over the last 3 seasons. The Blue Jays on the other hand are 4-1 in their last 5 vs a left-handed starter and 7-1 in Estrada's last 8 starts vs the AL West. Take Toronto! 

5* MLB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Cardinals -

I love the value here with St Louis as a short home favorite against the Diamondbacks. The Cardinals got off to a slow start, losing their first two games, but a lot of that had to do with those two coming against two of the NL's best starters in Syndergaard and deGrom. Since then they have won 3 of 4, including a 6-0 win yesterday against division rival Milwaukee. 

Both of St Louis' first two series were on the road, so there's going to be some added excitement and motivation here in the home opener. It's the exact opposite for Arizona, who got to play their first two series at home and now have to go on the road for the first time. This is also a big letdown spot for the Diamondbacks, who are fresh off a sweep against division rival Los Angeles. 

I also like the pitching matchup here, as the Cardinals send out veteran Adam Wainwright, who I believe will be much better than what we saw last year. Arizona counters with Robbie Ray, who was one of last year's breakout starters. However, Ray wasn't sharp at all in his first outing, giving up 7 runs on 7 hits (3 HRs) and 3 walks in 5 innings at home against the Rockies. Take St Louis! 

5* MLB Interleague GAME OF THE MONTH on Giants -

I love the value here with San Francisco as a small home favorite against the Mariners. The Giants will be extremely motivated here to get back in the win column after dropping their last 3 and they have just the guy on the mound to get the job done. San Francisco will send out veteran Johnny Cueto, who is looks poised for a big bounce back season after an injury-plagued 2017 campaign. 

Cueto was sensational in his first start of the season against the Dodgers. Cueto allowed just 1 hit over 7 shutout innings and took a perfect game into the 7th. While Seattle's Felix Hernandez also had a strong first start, he lasted just 5 1/3 innings and could see him struggling here. 

Mariners won the series opener 6-4 on Tuesday and that's worth noting as the Giants are 13-4 in their last 17 home games off a loss by 2 runs or less. Take San Francisco! 

3* MLB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Orioles +

I like the value here with the Orioles as a huge road dog against the Astros on Wednesday. The fact that Baltimore has lost 4 straight, while Houston has won 4 straight is definitely playing into the value here with the Orioles. 

The Astros will have one of their top starters in Dallas Keuchel on the mound, but I actually like Baltimore's Dylan Bundy in this one. Bundy was sharp in his first start, allowing just 5 hits with 7 strikeouts in 7 scoreless innings of a 3-2 win over the Twins. Keuchel wasn't horrible in his first start, but he also wasn't at his best, giving up 3 runs on 7 hits with just 4 strikeouts in 6 innings against the Rangers. 

Adding to this is a great system backing a play on the Orioles. AL underdogs that are allowing 5.4 or more runs/game are a rock solid 30-15 (67%) against the money line in the month of April over the last 5 seasons. Take Baltimore! 

3* MLB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Rays +

I like the value here with Tampa Bay as a decently priced road dog against the Yankees on Tuesday. This is simply a great price to back the Rays with their ace, Chris Archer, on the mound. Archer didn't have his best stuff in his first start, but did finish with six strikeouts and just one walk in 6 innings of a no decision against the Red Sox. Facing off against New York always seems to bring the best out of Archer, as he's got a 2.96 ERA and 1.033 WHIP in 17 career starts against the Yankees. 

Tampa Bay ended up defeating the Red Sox and Chris Sale on Opening Day, but followed that up with 3 straight losses. This has been an ideal bounce back spot for the Rays, as they are 14-5 in their last 19 off 3 straight division losses. Take Tampa Bay! 

4* MLB Situational MONEY LINE SMASH on Angels +

I like the value here with the Angeles as a decently priced home dog against the Indians on Monday. Los Angeles opened the season by going on the road and taking 3 of 4 from the A's, winning the final 3 games of the series after losing the opener 5-6. The offense put 22 runs on 44 hits. In comparison the Indians offense managed just 11 runs on 18 hits in their 3-game series at Seattle. 

There's no denying that Cleveland is one of the elite teams in the AL, but I believe it has them overvalued to start to the season, especially on the road. This is an Angels team that has the talent to take that next step and I'll gladly ride them here with how they are swinging the bats. Take Los Angeles! 

4* MLB Situational HEAVY HITTER on Blue Jays +

I like the value here with the Blue Jays as a decently priced home dog against the Yankees. New York has won the first two games of the series behind two really strong outings from starters Severino and Tanaka. While C.C. Sabathia got his career back on track in 2017, going 15-6 with a 3.54 ERA in 31 starts, he's going to be 38 in July and could fall apart at a moments notice. 

Toronto will counter here with Marco Estrada, who I think is a prime candidate for a bounce back season. Estrada posted a 4.98 ERA in 33 starts in 2017. Prior to that he had posted a 3.48 ERA in 2016 and 3.13 ERA in 2015. One reason to like Estrada and the Blue Jays in this one, is the success that Estrada has had in his career against the Yankees. He's 6-3 with a 3.86 ERA in 14 starts (Blue Jays are 10-4 in those 14 starts). 

This is also a spot in which it's been very profitable to back the Blue Jays, as they are 20-8 in their last 28 after losing the first two games of a series. They also own a 20-9 record in the 29 starts Estrada has made in Game 3 of a series. Take Toronto! 

3* MLB Money Line MASSACRE on Cardinals +

I like the value here with St. Louis as a decently priced road dog against the Mets on Saturday. New York won the opener 9-4. The Cardinals got a bad start from their ace Carlos Martinez, as he lasted just 4 1/3 and walked 6. Most will just look to back the Mets here with deGrom on the mound, but I have my concerns with him early on after dealing with a back injury in spring training. 

It's also not like the Cardinals aren't sending out a capable starter, as they give the rock to Michael Wacha. He made one start against the Mets in 2017 and it was sensational, as he allowed just 3 hits in a complete game shutout. He improved to 4-1 with a 1.97 ERA and 1.031 WHIP in his career against New York. Take St Louis! 

4* MLB Situational HEAVY HITTER on Rangers +

I like the value here with Texas as massive home dog against the Astros on Friday. There's no question that Houston is one of the most talented teams in the league, but they are way overvalued to start the year after winning the World Series last season. While the Rangers aren't expected to be a serious contender in the AL, they aren't as bad as the line here would suggest.

The Cubs are almost an identical priced road favorite as the Astros are, yet Chicago is taking on by far the worst team in baseball in the Marlins. Unlike Miami, Texas has an above-average lineup that can put up runs and are certainly capable of getting to Houston starter Dallas Keuchel. The problem with Texas is their starting pitching and today's starter, Doug Fister, isn't anything to write home about. However, Fister is a crafty veteran that knows how to keep his team in the game. I look for him to pitch well here and for the Rangers to get their revenge from yesterday's loss. Take Texas! 

3* MLB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Toronto +

I like the value here with the Blue Jays as a decently priced home dog against the Yankees on Friday. Toronto lost the opener on Thursday 1-6. The Blue Jays offense couldn't get anything going against Severino and ended up totaling just 2 hits on the game.

Look for a much more productive day at the plate in Game 2 for Toronto, as this time they will be going up against Masahiro Tanaka, who went 0-3 with a 7.24 ERA in 4 spring starts. Tanaka was also not nearly as good on the road as he was at home in 2017. He had a 4.36 ERA overall with a 6.25 ERA and 1.455 WHIP in 16 road starts. 

The Yankees offense is loaded, but they got 2 homers from Stanton yesterday and only managed 6 runs. I look for some regression here for the Bronx Bombers against Aaron Sanchez, who showed well this spring and looked a lot more like the guy who led the AL in ERA in 2016. Sanchez also has a strong history against the Yankees, posting a 2.40 ERA in 13 outings against them. Take Toronto! 

5* MLB Opening Day GAME OF THE YEAR on Brewers

I love the value here with Milwaukee as a short road favorite against the Padres on Opening Day. The Brewers were one of the big surprises of last year, as they gave the Cubs all they nearly dethroned the Cubs in the NL Central. Milwaukee got even better in the offseason, especially on offense, where they added the likes of Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain. This should be an explosive offense and I just don't think they are getting near enough respect here against a mediocre Padres team. 

Not only do the Brewers have the more potent lineup, but they should have the edge on the mound in this one. Milwaukee will send out Chase Anderson, who quietly had a great 2017 season. Anderson went 12-4 with a 2.74 ERA and 1.090 WHIP in 25 starts. Those are Cy Young worthy numbers, yet no one talks about him being one of the top NL starters. San Diego counters with Clayton Richard, who was 8-15 with a 4.79 ERA and 1.515 WHIP in 32 starts. Richard is also just 3-4 with a 5.79 ERA in 9 career starts against the Brewers. Take Milwaukee! 

3* LATE INFO INSIDER

No Analysis on late releases

3* LATE INFO INSIDER

No Analysis on late releases

4* Astros/Dodgers Game 7 NO BRAINER on Houston +

Last year we saw the Cubs win Game 7 on the road in Cleveland and I think we see Houston pull off the same feat tonight in Los Angeles. That day off between Game 5 and Game 6 really helped the Dodgers bullpen, but just about all of their top guns out of the pen pitched, including a 6 out save by closer Kenley Jansen. 

The big concern here is they have to send out Yu Darvish for the start in Game 7 and many will remember how poorly he threw in Game 3, giving up 4 runs before being pulled with 2 outs in the 2nd inning. I know Kershaw is available out of the pen and will likely pitch, but I'm not so sure that's a good thing after his struggles in Game 5. 

I just think this game is going to come down to which offense can produce and I trust the Astros young hitters a lot more, especially after a bad showing like they had in Game 6. Astros are 16-5 in their last 21 road games after scoring 1 run or less, as they have come back with just over 5 runs/game in this spot. Take Houston! 

3* Astros/Dodgers Game 6 BEST BET on Dodgers -

4* Dodgers/Astros Game 4 HEAVY HITTER on Dodgers +

I'm firing back with the Dodgers to even up the series in Game 4 after losing Game 3 last night. LA just couldn't recover from a bad start by Darvish, who failed to complete 2 innings. The bullpen did their part allowing just 1 run (unearned) over the final 7 1/3 innings. They should get a much better performance from today's starter Alex Wood, who is going to be fresh having made just one postseason start to this point. Wood was sensational on the road this season, posting a 2.44 ERA and 0.975 WHIP in 14 road starts. 

Houston will counter here with Charlie Morton, who has just a 6.23 ERA and 1.538 WHIP over his last 3 starts, all of which have come in the postseason. I think we see the Dodgers offense come to life in this one, much like Houston's offense did in Game 3. 

Dodgers are 18-5 in Wood's last 23 starts overall and 8-3 in his last 11 road starts. LA is also 4-1 in their last 5 after allowing 5 or more runs and 8-3 in their last 11 playoff games. Take the DODGERS!

3* Dodgers/Astros 'Game 3' World Series HEAVY HITTER  on Dodgers +

I like the value here with Los Angeles in Game 3 of the World Series. The Dodgers were 3 outs from having a 2-0 lead, but the usually reliable bullpen had an off night. I still think LA is the better team and will bounce back with a win to take control of the series. 

It all comes down to the pitching matchup, which I feel favors the Dodgers quite a bit. LA will send out Yu Darvish, who has been lights out in the postseason, allowing just 2 runs on 8 hits with only 1 walk and 14 strikeouts over 11 1/3 innings (2 starts). Both outings came on the road, so no concern with him not being able to handle the atmosphere away from home. 

Houston counters with Lance McCullers and he too has made 2 starts in the playoffs. He's giving up 6 runs on 8 hits and 4 walks with 9 strikeouts in 10 1/3 innings. While McCullers pitched well in his ALCS start against the Yankees, he was rocked in the ALDS by the Red Sox. The most concerning thing is how the Astros struggle to win when he is on the mound. They have lost 3 straight and 8 of his last 9 starts overall. Take Los Angeles! 

3* Astros/Dodgers 'Game 2' World Series ANNIHILATOR  on Astros +

I'm taking Houston in Game 2 of the World Series on Wednesday. The Astros couldn't get the offense going in Game 1 against Kershaw, which is to be expected. Now the roles will be reversed, as Houston sends out their ace and postseason star in Justin Verlander.

Since Verlander arrived in Houston he's taken his game to a whole different level and it's carried over into the postseason. He's made 3 starts and 1 appearance out of the pen in the playoffs this year and has posted a 1.46 ERA with 24 strikeouts in 23 2/3 innings. The most important stat is that the Astros have won every game he's pitched and I don't see that trend ending tonight.

Keep in mind Verlander got a shot at these Dodgers during the regular season this year and was able to limit them to just 1 run on 2 hits with 9 strikeouts in 8 innings of work. Hill has been good for LA, but this Houston offense is loaded and should be able to push across a few runs to secure the win. Take Houston! 

3* Yankees/Astros Game 6 HEAVY HITTER on Houston -

It's hard to go against a team that's won 3 straight, but I just see too much value here in the Astros at home with Verlander on the mound. Verlander has been lights out down the stretch and was incredible in Game 2 against these Yankees, giving up just 1 run with 13 K's, while going the distance. 

Yankees send out Luis Severino, who I'm not convinced can shoulder the load of this game. All I can recall is that Wild Card start against the Twins, where he gave up 3 runs while recording just 1 out in the Top of the 1st before getting pulled. He also wasn't great in Game 2 opposite of Verlander, lasting just 4 innings without a single strikeout. I think Houston's offense comes to life here and they send this to a Game 7. Take Houston! 

3* Dodgers/Cubs NLCS Game 3 ANNIHILATOR on Cubs -

I like the value here with Chicago to take care business at home and get back into this series after losing each of the first two in LA. The Cubs aren't a team to panic and seem to relish having their backs against the wall. The offense struggled in Los Angeles, but will return home, where they averaged 5.3 runs/game on the season. 

Chicago will give the rock to Kyle Hendricks, who I expect to dominate this Dodgers, much like he has in the past. Hendricks has a 2.20 ERA and 0.704 WHIP in 5 career starts against LA. He faced them twice in last year's NLCS and limited the Dodgers to just 1 run on 5 hits with 11 strikeouts in 12 2/3 inning of work. 

LA's bullpen has been great, but the Dodgers are just 4-13 ATS in their last 17 road games after 3 straight games where the bullpen didn't allow a run. Dodgers are just 6-13 in their last 19 playoff road games and 1-10 in their last 11 road games in the NLCS. Cubs are 31-12 in their last 43 off a loss and 20-8 in Hendricks last 28 starts after scoring 2 or less in their previous game. Take Chicago! 

3* LATE INFO INSIDER on Yankees -

No Analysis on LATE INFO INSIDERS

3* Yankees/Astros Game 1 BEST BEST on Yankees +

I think the long layoff for Houston hurts them against a Yankees team that couldn't be playing with more confidence after taking 3 straight to overcome a 0-2 deficit in the ALDS agains the Indians. I know Keuchel has owned the Yankees, but he hasn't been going deep in games. Only went 5 2/3 in his only start against Boston and had allowed just 1 run and 3 hits. His control has also been off, as he walked 3 Red Sox hitters. I think New York can sneak a couple runs against him. 

The key here is Yankees starter Masahiro Tanaka and can he keep the Astros lineup in check. I think the can. He's been throwing well of late and was sensational in the pivotal Game 3 against Cleveland, allowing just 3 hits over 7 shutout innings. I also think the longer than normal rest between games is also a disadvantage for the hitters. Add in the value we are getting with these odds and I think it's a no brainer what side you should be playing in Game 1. Take New York!

3* MLB Division Series 'HEAVY HITTER' on Cubs +

I like the value here with the Cubs in Game 1 as a big road dog against the Nationals. The Cubs really turned it on in the 2nd half to take control of the NL Central. They really turned it on down the stretch, going 15-4 in their last 19 games. I like teams that are riding momentum going into the postseason and this stage won't be too much for the defending champs to handle.

I also think the Nationals aren't the same caliber a team with Bryce Harper still working his way back from injury. He played in the final 6 games after missing more than two months and had just 3 hits in 18 at bats (no extra base hits and 6 strikeouts).

Washington has gone just 1-5 in their last 6 playoff home games, while the Cubs are 13-3 in their last 16 during Game 1 of a series, 5-1 in their last 6 playoff road games and 7-3 in Hendricks last 10 starts when he's throwing with 7 or more days of rest. Take Chicago! 

3* MLB Situational Money Line 'HEAVY HITTER' on Mets +

I like the value here with New York in basically a pick'em at home against division rival Atlanta. The Mets showed they aren't going to just lay down with nothing to play for, as they rallied from a 3 run deficit to knock off the Braves 4-3 on Tuesday and I look for them to build on that momentum with another win here. 

New York will send out Robert Gsellman, who was sensational two starts ago in Atlanta, limiting the Braves to 0 earned runs (1 unearned) on just 3 hits over 7 innings of a 5-1 win. That was Gsellman's second straight dominant outing, as he threw 6 2/3 shutout innings against the Braves back in early June. 

We also find a strong system in playing favoring a fade of Atlanta. Road teams off a division loss by 1-run are just 16-36 over the last 5 seasons in games involving two bad teams that have won between 38% and 46% of their games. That's a 69% system in favor of the Mets. Take New York! 

3* Cubs/Cardinals MLB 'ANNIHILATOR' on Cardinals -

I like the value here with St Louis as a short home division favorite against the Cubs on Tuesday. Chicago won the opener yesterday in blowout fashion and that's not going to sit well with the Cardinals. The key here is with that win the Cubs have all but won the NL Central, as they need just 1 more win or Brewers loss to secure the top spot in the division. 

I look for the Cubs to have a tough time here against the Cardinals' Carlos Martinez, who has been at his best at home this season and that includes two home starts against the Cubs. Martinez owns a 3.18 ER and 1.104 WHIP in 14 home starts and allowed just 3 runs over 14 innings in his two home outings against the Cubs. 

Even with yesterday's loss the Cardinals are 7-3 in their last 10 home games against a team with a winning record and are 16-6 in their last 22 during Game 2 of a series. They are also 11-4 in Martinez's last 15 starts after giving up 5+ runs in their last game. Take St Louis! 

4* MLB Early Bird 'VEGAS INSIDER' on Yankees - 

New York needs a win here to clinch home field for the Wild Card game and I expect them to do just that against the struggling Royals who are all but out of the playoff picture. Tough spot here for KC, as this is a make-up game, which has them taking a quick flight from Chicago, where they concluded a series yesterday, to New York for an early game. I just don't see the Royals being on of their game here. 

I also like the pitching matchup for the Yankees. New York sends out C.C. Sabathia, who is coming off a strong showing at home last time out against the Twins, allowing just 2 runs in 6 innings of work. Sabathia also has a strong track record against the Royals with a 3.11 ERA in his career. He's faced them once this season and allowed just 5 hits over 6 2/3 shutout innings.

KC counters with Jake Junis, who has a not so great 4.70 ERA in 8 road starts. While Junis pitched well in his last outing, he's just 1-4 against the money line following a Quality Start. KC is also 0-5 ATS in their last 5 series openers and 3-9 in their last 12 road games games against a team with a winning record! Take New York! 

3* MLB Situational 'HEAVY HITTER' on Brewers +

I like the value here with Milwaukee as a decently priced home dog against the Cubs on Saturday afternoon. The Brewers have lost the first two in this huge 4-game series in extra innings and simply can't afford to lose here. While it's now a long-shot they catch Chicago for the NL Central title, they are now 2-back of the Rockies for the final Wild Card spot. 

Milwaukee will send out Brent Suter, who is coming off a strong start at Pittsburgh, where he tossed 5 shutout innings. He's now in his 4th start back from the DL and will have that pitch count up today to where he can be even more effective. 

Good spot to fade the Cubs, who are just 2-8 in their last 10 road games off 2 straight road wins over a division rival. It's also a good situation to fade Cubs starter Kyle Hendricks, who is a mere 3-8 in his last 11 day starts. Take Milwaukee! 

3* MLB Situational Money Line 'DESTROYER' on Red Sox -

I like the value here with Boston as a short road favorite against the Reds. The Red Sox clinched a playoff spot Wednesday, but still have a lot of work to do with a mere 3-game lead against the Yankees for the AL East title. This is a big time series for Boston and I at least expect them to secure a win in the opener.

Red Sox come in playing some of their best baseball, as they are 11-3 over their last and 6-1 in their last 7.  They send out Rick Porcello, who has had one of the least memorable seasons for a reigning Cy Young winner. Porcello is a miserable 10-17 with a 4.46 ERA in 31 starts. However, he's been much better in the 2nd half, as he owns a 3.76 ERA in his last 14 starts, giving up 3 or less runs in 10 of those 14 outings. 

Cincinnati owns the worst interleague record of any club and are just 5-12 against the AL this season. The Reds are just 4-12 in their last 16 interleague home games against a team with a winning record. Red Sox are 10-1 in Porcello's last 11 interleague starts, 6-1 in their last 7 against at team with a losing record and a perfect 4-0 in their last 4 series openers. Take Boston!