My selection is on Minnesota plus the points over Arizona at 4:05 pm et on Sunday.

We missed with the Vikings on the moneyline last week in Cincinnati but probably deserved a better fate as they were driving for the winning score in overtime before a costly turnover from RB Dalvin Cook. Noting that they've played consecutive road games four times in the last two seasons and didn't drop both of those games on any of those occasions, I look for them to bounce back here on Sunday in Arizona. The Cardinals couldn't have looked any better in last week's rout of the highly-touted Titans in Tennessee. Everything clicked for the Cards in that game but now they're in a much different situation, favored by more than a field goal back at home against an opponent that will be desperate to avoid an 0-2 start to the season. Minnesota certainly didn't play its best game against the Bengals last week but was still right there with a shot to win it in overtime. Yes, the Vikes have numerous injuries on the defensive side of the football, but I think we see the offense bounce back and at the very least keep pace with the Cards on Sunday. Take Minnesota (8*).

My selection is on Detroit +1.5 runs over Tampa Bay at 1:10 pm et on Sunday.

In a game that projects to be relatively low-scoring with a total of just 7.5 runs, we'll grab the insurance run with the Tigers at a plus-money return. Detroit dropped the first two games of this series but responded with a 4-3 victory in yesterday's game. That actually puts the Rays in a poor spot here, noting that Tampa Bay has gone 7-14 when coming off a one-run loss this season, outscored by 1.4 runs on average in that spot. Meanwhile, the Tigers check in a highly-profitable 10-8 when playing on the road after scoring four runs or less in five consecutive games over the last three seasons, as is the case here, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 0.2 runs. Rays starter Shane McClanahan is no sure thing here at home, where he averages less than five innings per start and has posted a 1.38 WHIP in 54 1/3 innings of work this season. Meanwhile, Tigers starter Wily Peralta has posted a 1.28 WHIP in 46 innings pitched on the road this season and has allowed only five earned runs over his last 20 innings of work, covering a span of four starts. Take Detroit +1.5 runs (5*).

NFL Non-Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Chicago minus the points over Cincinnati at 1 pm et on Sunday.

The Bears couldn't have looked much worse in last Sunday night's blowout loss against the Rams in Los Angeles. That was a brutal spot for the Bears and we took advantage, fading them in the first half. Highly-touted rookie QB Justin Fields' time is coming and perhaps sooner rather than later after he saw the field for a number of plays in last week's game. I do expect him to play a factor in this contest as the Bears look to give their home faithful some hope for the future. The Bengals were a popular fade last week but got some favorable bounces and ultimately prevailed over the Vikings in overtime. I don't believe they'll be so fortunate this week, however. Cincinnati still boasts a subpar defense, not the type of unit we trust to back in a hostile environment on the road. Note that the Bengals won only one road game all of last year, that coming against the hapless Texans in Week 16 (they did pick up a tie in Philadelphia in Week 3. The Bears didn't lose their second game last season until Week 7. Anything other than a victory on Sunday could only be seen as a massive disappointment in Chicago. There are so many areas the Bears can improve on off last week's awful performance - sometimes it's actually easier for a team to rally off a season-opening loss than it is to follow a win. Take Chicago (10*).

Sunday NFL Free play. My selection is on New England minus the points over New York at 1 pm et on Sunday.

Lost in the Patriots narrow loss to the Dolphins in a low-scoring home-opener last week was the fact that rookie QB Mac Jones was just fine in his first career NFL start. Jones took care of the football and made all the plays that were asked of him against a challenging opponent in the Miami Dolphins. Here, Jones takes a step down in class against the Jets, who boast one of the league's weakest pass defenses that certainly doesn't get any better after losing a key cog in FS LaMarcus Joyner to injury last week. That wasn't the only key injury suffered by the Jets last Sunday. They'll also have to make do without one of their best players in LT Mekhi Becton. An already weak offensive line gets exponentially worse without Becton. As usual, injuries on the offensive line don't warrant nearly the headlines as those to skill position players. Often, they're equally if not more important, however, and I believe that's the case with Becton. Look for the Pats to make life difficult on rookie QB Zach Wilson who comes off an absolute beatdown at the hands of the Panthers last Sunday. Wilson will make a few splash plays downfield while running for his life in this one, but it won't be enough to keep the Jets competitive. Take New England.

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AFC East Game of the Year. My selection is on Buffalo minus the points over Miami at 1 pm et on Sunday.

I have a lot of faith in the Bills coaching staff to come up with the right gameplan and for the players to execute that gameplan as they look to avoid an 0-2 start in Miami this Sunday. Let's face it; Buffalo got out-coached and out-gameplanned in its opener against Pittsburgh. The Bills came out expecting the Steelers to play a certain way - particularly on defense where they're known for their blitz-happy nature - and instead they got thrown a screwball and ultimately were unable to prevail in a surprisingly low-scoring affair. While this doesn't look like an ideal bounce-back matchup on paper - certainly not after the Dolphins 'upset' the Patriots in Foxboro last week - I think it's actually an ideal rebound spot for Buffalo. Bills QB Josh Allen is coming off a terrible performance against the Steelers last week - but again, that had more to do with Pittsburgh's improbable scheme than anything else. Here, Allen will be facing perhaps his favorite opponent in the Miami Dolphins. He's faced the Fins four times in the last two seasons, flaming them for nearly 1,000 passing yards (good for over nine yards per pass attempt), 12 touchdowns and just one interception. That's not to mention the fact he's run all over them for over 100 rushing yards and a score on just 17 attempts. Miami executed its own gameplan flawlessly against the Patriots last week. The problem is, this is an offense (and team) that's built for playing with a lead. Should they fall behind in this one, I don't have a lot of trust in QB Tua Tagovailoa or an average ground attack to lead them back, or even sneak in the backdoor. IT seems to me that a lot of bettors are backing the Dolphins thinking they're getting a 'gift' catching a field goal at home. I expect the Bills to put the Fins back in their place. Take Buffalo (10*).

My selection is on Cleveland minus the points over Houston at 1 pm et on Sunday.

The fact that the Texans not only beat the Jaguars but completely annihilated them while the Browns gave up 30+ points in a blown opportunity on the road against the Chiefs is helping keep this line under a touchdown on Sunday afternoon. I don't think the oddsmakers can set the line high enough. Let's keep Houston's Week 1 blowout win in perspective. The Texans jumped ahead early in that game and the questionably-coached Jags essentially threw their offensive gameplan out the window. It's not as if the Houston defense was dominant - in fact, it recorded just one sack and four QB hurries against rookie Trevor Lawrence, who was making his first NFL start and was bombing away playing from behind all afternoon long. Offensively, the Texans torched what we knew would be a bad Jags defense - we saw it throughout the preseason and it carried over into Week 1. Here, Houston will be up against an elite Browns defense. Forget the fact that Cleveland gave up 30+ points against the Chiefs - that was obviously an extremely difficult matchup. Here, we can expect the Browns 'D' to take its frustrations out on a Texans offense that boasts below-average talent at all of the skill positions. However, it's actually the Houston defense that I'm most concerned about in this one. We've seen the Browns evolve into a more aggressive offense compared to the early stages of last season. I mentioned the lack of pressure the Texans were able to put on Trevor Lawrence last week, with that in mind, Cleveland QB Baker Mayfield should absolutely feast on Sunday while the backfield tandem of Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt takes care of the rest. The Browns run away and hide in this one. Take Cleveland (9*).