I like the Niners here in this game.  I think this line continues to go up.  I know people are saying its hard to beat a team twice and that is true.  I just think San Fran is so much better than the Packers in every category.  The Niners defense will have no problem holding Rodgers in check here.  I also think the betting public will look at this game with Rodgers and grab the TD or more simply because it's him.  Niners win fairly easily 

The Rams really showed some heart last week bouncing back from that brutal loss to the Ravens on Monday Night Football.  They dominated Arizona which was very impressive.  I think this is a good spot to go against the Seahawks here. Rams outplayed them in the first meeting, but fell short losing by 1.  They get revenge tomorrow night

This is now a ton of respect for the Titans.  If this game were played two weeks ago the Raiders would easily have been -3.  Now, the Raiders coming off a couple down performances everyone is quickly off them, but they still are well alive for a wildcard spot.  Yes, the Titans have played better, but the win over the Chiefs was fluky and last week was a little mis leading as the blocked FG returned for a TD changed the complexion late.  

The Texans here are simply getting too much respect IMO.  They are coming off a National Televised game in beating the New England Patriots so clearly the books inflate these lines big time when this situation presents itself.  Denver is still playing hard and the evidence was last week in a gutsy win.  Not saying they win here but can cover this big number

I like the Saints here.  Everyone seems to be high on the Niners since they gave Baltimore a great game last week.  Well, a lot of that was because of the weather conditions which kept the game on the ground.  San Fran is a great D, but they also haven't faced this air attack either.  Brees and company have a field day 

Let's take the Bills here as they are the team that won't get any respect.  All season so far we have heard how easy their schedule is.  Do we ever there about the Patriots when people are talking about them?  Give the Bills some credit here.  This is a another huge opportunity here for them and quite frankly I think they rise and play well.  The Ravens are off an emotional big game vs the Niners.  Bills have a legit home field advantage and this is too many points

Does it get any better with Andy Reid off the bye?  The simple answer is no as he is the best in the league off the bye week.  The Raiders last week got gashed by the Jets and you think it will get any better with a healthy Mahomes now?  I think the Chiefs are sitting on a monster offensive game here and have their way

I can't believe this line has flipped so much here.  Odds maker are saying that the Bucs would be nearly a double digit favorite at home while last week alone the Jags were just +3 on the road to to the Titans.  Foles will be back home and should be more comfortable now.  This is a major overreaction here.

Browns are hot right now and responding when their back are against the wall.  I know this is a public side, but with all the injuries and QB switching for Pitt I think they are in trouble. The Browns rush D has been lights out the last 5 weeks and now with Hodges at QB I don't his arm can beat them

This might be the public dog of the week, but I also think this is an overreaction here as well to the Ravens.  They are coming off a Monday night blowout over the Rams where Lamar became the clear front runner for MVP.  I just really think this Niner defense is the real deal here.  I'm not saying they shut Lamar down, but they can contain the overall run game.  Plus, the weather isn't going to be great either and wouldn't be shocked to see this line drop a couple points in the morning

The Bengals don't wanna go winless no team does.  With that being said I think we get major effort from them knowing that for them this is a winnable game.  Dalton is backcourts at QB which will provide a spark no doubt.  Jets getting a ton of respect here, but the Redskins, Giants and Raiders are exactly anything to brag about

I'm going to lay it here with the Cowboys.  The Bills I had last week in an easy winner, but you just have to think the whole schedule part is going to catch up to them.  I also think the line here clearly tells a story.  Cowboys honestly should have won @ the Patriots last week and if you took a quick glance at the box score you probably would have guessed that they would have been on top.  Dallas in a prime spot here to make a statement and I think they respond

This line has crossed some serious numbers.  The Patriots always get a lot of love.  While I'm not a fan of going against them and rarely do, I like the situation here to do so even though they are of their bye week.  The Patriots have faced to easier schedule known to man so far and their toughest opponent shocker they lost on the road SU to the Ravens.  Eagles have all the weapons here and I think are prime for a big win but at least. can cover this number

I grabbed a bad number here, but lets lay it anyway.  The Bengals made the switch to Finley last week at QB and well they got the doors blown off them by the Ravens.  I think this team is in give up mode now.  Oakland has been the nice surprise this season and I think they put their foot down here and roll the Bengals 

Weird line here as the look ahead was actually lower than and following last weeks results they actually made the line higher which is the opposite.  Public will still want nothing to do with the Bucs here in this game, but I think we get a big effort and wouldn't be shocked to see another upset

I really like the Panthers here in this spot.  The Falcons I had last week as they pulled a big upset as a 13 point dog and beat the Saints outright.  I think it's tough to follow that up here.  The Panther have two losses the last 7 games and that is at @ SanFran and @ Grenn Bay, two of the better teams in the league.  Let's no hold that against them plus they were in the Packer game with a chance to tie it last week.  Odds makers are saying Carolina is only a 1 point favorite on a neutral? I'm not buying it

I had the Vikings last week in a nice winner +3 over the Cowboys on Sunday night football.  I dont think the motivation will be there today for them in this spot.  I also like that after the QB change for Denver Allen got his first win beating the Browns but then had a bye now and I think the effort will be there for Denver.  They will keep this close

I had the Browns last week -2.5 in a winner over the Bills and like the spot here again tonight.  Maybe they needed a little fire under their ass to get things going.  The betting public seems to be falling a little too hard for the Steelers right now.  I think we see the Browns make serious push as crazy as that seems.

I like the Vikings here and I know most will be scared to back Cousins here in a prime time game and I get it.  I don't think these two teams are equal or Dallas is actually better which is what the line is suggesting.  The Vikings D here will be the difference in the game as they will force Dak to beat them.  The game last week for both teams were misleading and now we get the hook here with the better team

I'm taking the Browns here tomorrow.  Most will look at this line and obviously grab the 6-2 team as a road dog.  I just think the season is finally down to this game here and I believe they respond.  Browns are most definitely better than their record and have played a tougher schedule.  

So we get a home game here for both teams actually and I just think the Giants are that much better.  I know the Giants have some injury concerns but with the Jets laying that egg at Miami last week, I  think their season is toast.  Jones needs to take care of it better and last week was very misleading vs the Cowboys

This line is crazy inflated here.  Yes, both teams are off the bye here and Brees is coming back.  I can't see this game at all here in the blowout fashion. If the Falcons had gave up o their season IMO we would have seen it the week vs Seattle with a back up QB.  I think they would love nothing more to play spoiler so I believe the effort will be there

I love the Bears here tomorrow.  If you have followed me most this season I have been against them a lot and it has worked out in my favor.  I think now is the buy low time on Chicago.  The Bears D won't have any issue getting pressure on Stafford.  Also the Lions are banged up on offense and don't have a running game at the moment.  This is also the Bears season on the line here.  The effort will be here in a huge bounce back performance

This will be one of the most public vs sharp plays of the week.  The betting public will love the Packers here laying a short number on the road with a stadium that will mostly be Green Bay fans. I just think the Chargers will start to turn around their season as last weeks win @ Chicago will be a major boost.  I'm also not a firm believer in the Packers and just really like this spot here to go against them.  They have benefited so far from a pretty easy schedule.

I know the public side here for sure, but this is now a must win game for the Browns if they have postseason hopes.  Sure, the case you can make for Denver is that Allen can't play any worse than Flacco but still this is his first start of his career and with a limited offense this will be difficult.  I think the Browns know they need to strike first here as Denver will struggle to play catch up.  I like Baker to have a nice bounce back here 

Odds makers are telling you that these teams are near equal on a neutral field?  There is absolutely no way I believe that at all.  Sure, the Panthers looked bad last week, but that was against an undefeated Niner team who is very good.  The Titans have looked better with Tannenhill no doubt but they have also been extremely lucky and should have lost their last two games, but since they didn't that is helping this line.  Carolina will control this game in a nice bounce back.

Maybe I am way off here, but how can you possibly like the Bears.  What have they shown with Trubisky under the helm for them?  The Bears have lost 3 straight games and I think players are starting to be comes frustrated especially with the offense.  The Eagles have had their struggles for sure, but they had a coming out party last game and I like to back those teams returning home.  Bears aren't a good team and the books are slow to adjust here

I love the Jags here tomorrow in London.  I think they should actually be favored here given the fact that the Texans took a major blow with Watt being done.  The texans defense wasn't exactly lighting things up to begin with and now lose him.  Also the Jags should have won the first meeting being stopped at the half yard line after going for 2.  Also worth noting that the Jags are the most familiar team traveling to London while this will be the Texans first time and that is a huge advantage.

I really like this value here with the Giants. It looks like they will be returning some key pieces here in Barkley Shepard Engram which is major upgrade for them.  I also think the Cardinals are being over valued here with back to back late seconds win over the Bengals and Falcons which both could have easily been lost.  The Giants are a much improved team with Jones at QB

I love the Colts here this Sunday coming off their bye week.  I actually think both of these teams are extremely equal and therefore the value lies with the Colts here.  I think the perception here is really with the Texans that they are a lot better team.  Texans defense hasn't traveled very well on the road for the Texans giving up nearly 7 yard per play.  The Colts are also returning some key pieces on defense here which is huge.  I love the Colts here

I will take Denver here as we just need them to win the game.  While I know last weeks game was very mis leading with the Titans as they missed 4 FG's and had a Touchdown called back, this offense is just brutal to watch.  I also think Denver is a lot better than their 1 win shows.  They should have beat the Bears straight up, hung with Green Bay, blew another game against the Jags and last week won an impressive game at Chargers last week.  Denver still hasn't quit and I think this is a must win for them 

Another great spot here for the Chiefs as Mahomes and company dropped the game to the Colts on primetime as double digit favorites.  Mahomes was banged up but he is playing this week and won't have any issues against this Texans defense.  Yes, the Chiefs defense isn't great either, but we are now getting a discount on them for the first time with them failing to cover in 3 straight games.  The Texans are coming off a game scoring 50+ and the betting public loves to back those type of teams.  

I'm still high on this Vikings team and I think the betting public will be on the Eagles as most are remembering the road win at Green Bay, but that Eagles team was a desperate team.  I still think the Vikings are one of the best teams in the NFC and can control the Eagles offense.  The media loves to hate on Cousins and people get scared away when that happens.  The thing is though that the Vikings offense still has a ton of weapons.  I like the Vikings here to control the game and get the win and cover the short number.

I really like the Browns here at this price and feel they should be favored.  This is honestly a perfect storm set up here as the Browns are coming off an ugly showing Monday night on primetime and now the betting public will want nothing to do with them.  I think the Seahawks are extremely overrated here as they were lucky to beat the Rams and in fact they have survived 3 very close games.  The Seahawks have simply done nothing to be favored here in this game.  I love the Browns in this spot

I love the Jaguars also here in this game.  The Saints are simply getting way too much love here now going 3-0 with Teddy under the helm and the betting public will be on them no doubt this week.  I actually think this line will really move closer to game time so grab this line now for the Jags.  The Jags absolutely dominated the Panthers last week but it didn't show on the scoreboard.  This is now the perfect spot to buy the Jags with Minshew who clearly can flat out play. 

This is a great spot here for Dallas now.  The Cowboys lost on prime time @ the Saints and looked ugly in doing so which now I think the public will love Rodgers as a dog.  Well in fact the Packers have been terrible as a dog and on the road over the years.  Green Bay was exposed last Thursday IMO has this so called better defense didn't do much against the Eagles which were the best offense they have played.  Dallas will be able to control the game with Zeke on the ground keep Rodgers off the field.  Also Adams for GB is a game time decision as well which would be a huge loss

This is simply too many points here in this division game.  The Broncos are now a team the betting public wants nothing to do with.  The Broncos were just 7 point dogs two weeks ago at a better Green Bay team.  So the fact they didn't cover the last two but actually should have and they blew the game last week, all that is creating a big over inflated line.  Chargers are banged up pretty bad right now as well which you have to consider.  I don't think the Broncos have totally quit yet and will show up against this division rival

I think the betting public will be on the Bills here, especially given that they took the Patriots down to the wire last week.  I just think that is a tough spot to follow here now.  The Bills also have big time questions with their QB Allen being questionable.  If he is indeed out and Barkely is the starter this line will sky rocket.  I think it's worth the chance here to grab this short number regardless of what happens.  Allen clearly won't be 100% even if he does go.  Titans were impressive last week @ Atlanta in which they controlled that game from start to finish.  Also worth noting that the Bills wins have came against the Jets, Giants and Bengals not exactly world beaters there

I just think there is a ton of value here with the Steelers catching more than a field goal at home in this division rivalry.  I think we are starting to see the true colors of this Ravens team.  Their two wins are against Miami and Arizona.  Pittsburgh played very well Monday night and I think their defense will hold Lamar in check.  It's also important now that Rudolph has a couple games under his belt now.  I'm not a believer in this Ravens team as they need to prove something on defense.  They are giving up 7.3 yards per play which is horrible. 

This is a big time discount here on the Bengals.  So they were 3.5 point dogs last week suggesting that the Bengals would have been -2 vs the Steelers who are way better than the Cardinals.  Now they are only -3 to the Cardinals?  I think the betting public will be off Cincy because of the ugly Monday night performance.  Well the Cardinals have had back to back no shows at home.  Bengals will have some big plays down field as the Cardinals have gave up plenty so far this season.  Kirk the WR for AZ is out which is Murray's big down field threat

The Rams to me are one of if not the most overrated teams in the league following last season and their Super Bowl appearance.  They have been very lucky this season IMO.  First week Carolina was the better team and they got lucky there.  Against the Saints they knocked out Brees which was extremely beneficial.  The Sunday night game @ the Browns that was a coin flip late.  Now their luck finally got up with them getting destroyed by Winston and the Bucs.  I also don't trust Goff to be one of the elite QB's and I think Wilson and company handle their own in this prime time spot and Seattle is a tough spot to play at

I'm going to be a square here I admit it, but this Bears team is no good.  I don't think these teams are equal at all and that is what the line is suggesting here.  The Bears rely so much on that defense which was clearly the case again on Monday night.  The fact they weren't able to pull away and the Skins had a chance to cut the game down to under a TD says a lot about how bad that offense is.  I think the Vikings are one of the most complete teams in the league.  I know the big worry is Cousins, but I trust him a lot more thank Trubisky.  I expect this line to drop big time throughout the week

This is a rally the troops here game for the Broncos before they throw in the towel for the year.  They are 0-3 and clearly desperate and will look to back them here with the motivation edge.  They should have beat the Bears who most are high on so I think they have enough film now on Minshew.  While I love Minshew and what I have seen this, I just think this will be a tall task for him and company here.  Denver was only outgained by the Packers by 2 yards last week and despite being -3 in turnovers they still nearly covered that game and actually should have.  

The Bucs should be 2-1 if it weren't for a missed FG at the end of the game last week.  I also think the Rams are highly overrated right now.  They were lucky week 1 @ Carolina, had the luck of Brees being knocked out week 2 and won in the final seconds against the Browns Sunday night.  I also really like the spot here with the Bucs as the Rams have two big division games on deck.  Simply too many points here with a Tampa team that is clearly improved 

I had the Chiefs last week and got the worst of the number as it dropped throughout the week and they ended up covering the final number at 4.5.  I'm not a firm believer right now in the Lions as they were extremely lucky against the Chargers and also against the Eagles.  Remember week 1 this team tied the Cardinals.  Mahomes is just a whole different animal and I don't see how they can stop this offense.  Also the Chiefs last week should have covered that game as they were up double digits for most of it but of course got back doored.  The Lions defense doesn't present any problems to the Chiefs offense.

I think so far in the 3 games we saw the one outlier game with the Titans and that was week 1 @ the Browns.  The next two games have been ugly for them as Marriota simply isn't the answer at QB anymore.  The Falcons did play a good game against the Colts last week racking up just under 400 total yards.  This team feels due for a major breakout game at home.  With a high scoring team like Atlanta and a challenged offense like the Titans it will be hard for them to keep up.

I'm going to take the Raiders here in this game.  They are coming off a blowout loss @ Minnesota and the previous week vs Kansas City.  Well both of those teams are playoff teams and super bowl contenders.  I'm not going to hold that against them.  Here is where I think Oakland can take control and that is on the ground here.  The Colts defense is giving up some chunks of yards on the ground and with the rookie RB in Jacobs they love to run the ball.  Indy also isn't an explosive offensive team here.  If the Raiders take care of the ball  I wouldn't be surprised if they won outright

I think we get the max effort here from the Eagles tonight avoiding to go 1-4.  They have lost back to back coin flip games in the final minutes and easily could be 3-0.  Also they haven't covered the spread yet so the betting public wants nothing to do with them.  I think the Packers are overrated here playing two bad teams in Chicago and Denver.  The Denver game last week was a misleading final as well.  Even when they jumped out to a big lead against the Vikings they couldn't put it away and that is a concern.  I wouldn't be shocked if the Eagles won outright tonight

I have to take the Redskins here in this game.  The Bears have shown zero signs of an offense so far and were extremely lucky last week @ Denver who is a bad football team.  I simply don't trust Trubisky on the road at all.  The Skins despite not having big time play makers have shown some offense against the Eagles and Cowboys.  Odds makers are saying that the Bears would be favored by double digits on @ Chicago and no way am I buying that 

Coming Later

We are seeing a big time over reaction here on this game.  last week the look ahead line was Pittsburgh -1.5 and now with Big Ben going out, the line has moved 8 points?  He isn't worth 8 points no way.  People are also forgetting that Mason Rudolph played 70% of the game last week and still almost beat Seattle and would have had a great chance but a bad call at the end cost him the chance.  San Fran goes from small dogs in both first two games to now TD favorites?  Huge over reaction and I think Pitt keeps this very close.

So the betting public will most definitely be off the Chargers here.  The Chargers out played the Lions big time last week, but had some brutal mistakes like missing a couple field goals and a fumble at the 1 yard line that Detroit recovered.  Based on the result though I think we get a really focused SD team that the betting public won't want anything to do with.  The Texans are an overrated team and should have lost last week at home vs the Jags.  The Texans still struggle big time on the OL as they gave up 4 sacks last week and I think the Chargers will get after Watson again here.  

I will take the Chiefs here in their home opener for the season.  Mahomes to me is the best QB in the league and just so dangerous with all the weapons around them.  They are able to score points in a hurry and we saw that last week @ Oakland down 10-0 and then rattle off 28 straight.  I'm also not sold on the Ravens at all here as they have played the Dolphins and Cardinals.  They actually looked very sloppy last week and Murray threw for over 300 yards against them.  I think everyone still remember Lamar lighting up the Dolphins in week 1 and see this @ 6.5 and instantly bet it.  I don't think the Ravens are a come from behind team here and I like the Chiefs to really pour it on

I think the Bills are simply getting way too much respect here because they are 2-0 against an 0-2 team.  The Bengals went on the road week 1 and should have Bearns Seattle, I think people are forgetting about that.  Bills beat the Jets and Giants so which is nothing to impressive.  I wouldn’t be surprised here if the Bengals won outright

I'm not a believer here in the Titans at all and I think the wrong team is favored here.  First, I think we get a big time desperate performance here from the Jags as they are 0-2 and return home.  Minshew has been a great bright spot for the Jags and they should have won last week @ the Texans going for 2 and getting stopped at the half yard line.  Titans are simply getting a ton of respect because of the week 1 performance at the Browns, but the defense rose with touchdowns and that was a misleading final.  Their offense is no good here at all and I expect the jags to feast here.  They held a great Texans offense to 13.   Also the Titans were +2 in turnovers last week and still lost the game at home, that shows you how bad the offense is

I just flat out think the wrong team is favored here in this game.  Odds makers are telling you if going by the lines last week that the Falcons would roughly be -2.5 at home over Minnesota.  Throw this Eagles line in the mix @ Atlanta and they are saying the Eagles would be -6 over the Vikings?  I'm not buying that at all.  The Eagles defense clearly has some issues as the Redskins with zero weapons torched them in the air with 380 yards by Keenum.  I simply think the line is completely off here.  Atlanta will bounce back here at home and put up some point on this Eagles team.  

Really like the Broncos here in this game.  The perfect storm happened on Monday night as they lost to the Raiders and everyone has the Raiders pegged as a bad team, but they actually looked pretty decent.  Denver had a hard time getting after the QB, but that won't be the case here in this game as we saw a Packer defense really get after Chicago.  The Bears are one of the most over hyped teams coming into the season and I am completely shocked they are favored by this given what we saw from them.  Now part of that I do realize is the fact Bears are on a longer week and the Broncos are on a shorter week, but I'm not worried.  This Broncos D will eat up Trubisky and company 

I really like the Bengals here and was on the right side of this move.  Last week the Bengals went into a tough place @ Seattle and took them down to the wire.  You can actually make the case that they were the better team out gaining them by over 200 yards, but the dreaded turnovers got the best of them losing that battle 3-1.  

The Niners weren't that impressive at all to me and benefited from Winston who still continues to throw picks.  The Niners had two touchdowns off 2 pick sixes.  You simply can't rely on that throughout the season in order to get things done.  I wasn't impresses at all bother offense either.  

I definitely think the betting public will want nothing to do with the Steelers here given the fact they looked awful on prime time.  This is easily a get right game for Pitt here and they will bounce back.  We saw how much Seattle gave up in the air to the Bengals and the Steelers have better weapons overall.  I also don't trust this Seattle team much away from home especially playing early on the east coast.  This is another line that will go up as the week goes on.

This to me is a huge overreaction here due to the fact that the Jags lost their QB Foles for quite some time now.  This is now giving us some serious value here with the Jags as the look ahead line here was +3 and now a full TD adjustment?  I was beyond impressed with backup QB Garner Minshew when he came in against the Chiefs and actually started 10/10.  The Texans will be on a short week now after the Monday game which I think they have a hangover from losing that tough game.  The Jags still have a tough defense and I expect them to play better against someone not named Mahomes 

With this line now now hitting 3 this is a big time overreaction here.  They are saying the Denver is nearly a double digit favorite @ Denver?  I'm not buying into that at all.  Sure, Oakland has had their distractions, but I think now that AB is gone this time will rise to the occasion and ball out tonight.  I think they win this game outright

I think the Steelers are being undervalued here.  Yes, they lost Brown but I think that was for the better of the team.  I know Tomlin has had his struggles against the Patriots but I think they can easily keep it within this number here.  There are a lot of questions with the Patriots team with the loss of Gronk this season and Edelman another year older.  Both teams have solid defenses and I think Big Ben will be playing with a chip on his shoulder this season and wouldn't be surprised if the Steelers won outright

I just really like the hire here of Bruce Arians and believe he will make a ton of difference as we saw first hand in Arizona.  He can and will handle Winston and make him a better QB by cutting down on those turnovers.  I t the Bucs wi be a competitive team and it’s not like they don’t have any weapons around him.  49ers are a team that seems to get love with Jimmy under the helm but I’m just not sold.  He hasnt looked anything special this preseason.  I definitely think this line rises.  The only thing the Niners really have going for them in this situation is the later start.  I just believe we see a much improved Bucs team 

This is my favorite NFL play of the week.  If you have listened to my NFL win totals podcast you know I am down on the Rams this season.  I just don't think the Rams can repeat the season they had and I think Carolina will have a major bounce back.  The Panthers were rolling last season before Newton went down.  The defense for the Rams will take a step back this season and Carolina's offense will be even better now all healthy.  I think the wrong team is favored here in this game

Here is another game where I think the public will be all over the dog.  The Rams werent a great team ATS this season, but they were 7-1 at home.  The Cowboys were terrible on the road with a 3-5 record and that is counting a lucky comeback against the Giants in the final game.  The Rams defense will have their way with Dak and shut Zeke down.  

I actually think the betting public is on the Colts here.  The Chiefs haven't been covering recently and a large part was because of the Hunt situation.  I just think Mahomes and company with an extra week will get it done.  I know Reid hasn't been great in the playoffs but this is also his first time with a QB like Mahomes.  The betting public loved the Colts last week and cashed and will be on them again.  I think KC wins easily

I like the Texans here.  I think the public love the Colts more because they remember them beating the Texans @ Houston.  I just think the Texans will shut down the Colts run game and force Luck with throw 35+ times which means a couple turnovers will likely happen.  Texans will make them pay and at this price we aren't covering a number just winning the game 

I see no interest whatsoever from the Bears in this spot.  They already will host a home playoff game next week and it will be against the Vikings.  Their main concern will be keeping Trubisky healthy which means a very conservative game plan and I wouldn't be surprised to see him being pulled.  Vikings have all the motivation here with a win and their in.  I think they roll Chicago

I think the betting public will be all over the Browns here.  While, I do love Baker and the Browns next year I just think they are in over their heads here.  During this nice run by the Browns they have only played 2 playoff teams and lost both by double digits.  Baltimore defense is just nasty as we saw them shut down the Chargers.  I think they get to Baker cause some turnovers and control the clock.

I grabbed this line early and no surprise it has climbed a lot.  Buffalo is a team that is still playing very hard evidence last week even though they aren't in the mix for anything.  Josh Allen provides a spark for them and their defense at home is flat out nasty. They also for sure have revenge on their minds here as they let one slip away in Miami just a few weeks ago in which they dominated the stats.

I think the odds makers have made a mistake here in this game.  This game still means something for the Texans as they want to win the division.  Also at risk is a first round home game which they want so the effort level will be at an all time high.  Jags are done plain and simple and I dont think they show up even with Bortles who lead them to a win last week

This is just too many points here for the Patriots especially given the fact that the total is 46.  If the Jets can score 14 which I think they will they can cover this number.  The Patriots just want to get the game over with a come away with a win.  The division is wrapped up.  Darnold is playing well for the Jets I still think we get a good effort from them

I like the Raiders here tonight to get the job done.  This is a unique situation where this could be the last game ever in their stadium that has a very passionate fan base.  With that being on everyone's mind I think we get the max effort here.  The Raiders are playing tough covering 4 of their last 5 games.  With revenge on their mind here from a 1 point loss earlier I think Oakland gets it done tonight.  

I really like the Seahawks here are can clinch a spot in the playoffs for sure even though they will be in either way.  Seattle and Wilson have been a great home dog over the years and in a prime time game you have to take them.  Ever since the hunt issue came along the Chiefs haven't covered a game without him and in fact the Chiefs haven't covered since the first week of November.  Say what you want about KC being up a lot and teams racking up yards, but this defense doesnt pass the eye test at all.  Seattle will control the game with long drives and scores and will win this game

Yes, I know the 49ers line has been adjusted here from the previous weeks, but they are playing with a ton of confidence right now.  While the Bears have been a surprise this season I think they come in this game with no care in the world after they just won their division for the first time in a while.  This is a perfect flat spot for them coming off that hard fought division game vs the Packers with another division game on deck @ Minnesota.  I know the Niners will play hard and at this home dog price again will take them

I will take the Dolphins here as I just think odds makers are off on this one.  I think last week was a pretty big indication of were the Jags players heads are.  They laid an egg to a team that had to sign a 4th QB and he hadn't played in the NFL for quite some time.  The Dolphins have been a very good home team and are still in playoff contention.  I think they show up against a Jags team that has packed it in

Maybe I am a prisoner of the moment here with the Eagles, but this team is clearly better with Foles at QB as a hurt Wentz literally hurt this team by playing.  Eagles now have all the motivation in the world here coming off that big win.  I know people will say the Texans are motivated but they are basically in the playoffs.  They will be without Miller tomorrow which is a huge loss for their running game. Eagles defense is playing well and they have a major home field advantage.

I will admit I took a flyer on this game based on I thought it was a high chance that Rodgers doesn't play.  Well, he is playing and thats fine.  I got a bad price but do you really want the Packers here who haven't won a road game all season?  The Jets could have beat the Texans last week who had a lot of motivation.  Why can't they beat an overrated Packer team?