I think the Texans are an overrated football team, but given this situation I have no choice but to take them.  They are riding hot here winning 6 straight games and they are also coming off their bye week getting healthier.  The Skins are just dismantled with injuries across the board especially on their OL and that is where the Texans will make it tough for Smith all day long.  Houston wears them down and pulls away 

I'm going to take the Seahawks here even though I know both teams are very desperate.  The Seahwks have played a lot tougher schedule and their losses have came to @ Bears twice to Rams and the Chargers.  All those teams are playoff teams.  They actually had a shot in 3 of those 4 to win outright.  Packers are 0-4 on the road and just aren't very good outside Rodgers.  

I like the Giants here tonight against the Niners.  I think we are seeing an overreaction to the Niners beating the Raiders in a blowout fashion.  The Giants are saying all the right things still coming off their bye week about still making the playoffs.  While it may not happen I like where their heads are at 

To me this is the easiest over reaction of the week.  Bears are coming off a blowout win in a game they didnt get to 200 total yards.  That is about as misleading of a game as you will find in the Pro's  The Lions were less underdogs at a better team in the Vikings last week so we are getting a ton of value I feel.  This is a big game for both teams and Stafford is the better and proven QB getting a TD is very hard to pass up.

To me there is no choice but to take the Bucs here.  They have major cluster injuries on the OL with 3 starters out and possibly 4.  I think they realize that their season is surely over now as well.  The Bucs D isn't great but they will get pressure now with those OL out for the Skins.  Thompson their RB is out so is Richardson their WR with fellow WR Crowder questionable.  I just think the Bucs offense will still be able to put up points and the Skins are so limited they cant play catch up here 

This is just too many points for Dallas to be laying.  Both teams are coming off bye weeks here and are motivated, but how much home field does Dallas really have? We are also seeing an extremely low total here which makes you believe low scoring.  I also trust Vrabel here more as a coach over Garrett.  The Titans have a great defense and I wouldn't be surprised to see an outright upset here.

Well we saw a great effort from the Packers last week coming off their bye week.  I think we get another one here.  I know Dix is gone from their secondary, but normally you dont see the full effects of a trade like that until a few weeks down the road.  I also think Rodgers wont have any problem picking apart this Patriot defense which isnt anything special.  The Patriots have some injuries all way the across the board which is a concern.  Yes, I know New England at home under a full TD is dangerous but give me the more desperate team

I got the worst of this line obviously because of the trade that took place with the Broncos sending Thomas to the Texans.  I'm honestly still not worried here.  I'm not a believer in this Texans team just look at who they have beat in this 5 game winning streak.  Colts, Cowboys, Jags, Bills and Dolphins.  They were actually very lucky in 3 of those games.  I think the Broncos put a max effort here with their bye week next.  

The Steelers are starting to play better football here as of late and the Ravens not so much.  I just think Pitt has big time revenge on their minds here.  Carolina who doesn't have a great offense really put it to the Ravens last week.  

Odds makers are saying that right now on a neutral field that these two teams are even and I'm not buying that all.  I actually expect this line to drop a lot come Sunday 

I know people are going to think this is an overreaction to taking the Bucs but I dont see it that way.  They clearly are way better with Fitzmagic at QB than Winston.  Yes, the Panthers were the right side last week but they were in the underdog role and now they are 7 point favorites against a division rival with a huge Thursday night game on deck?  The Bucs can score with anyone and I believe they keep within the 7 

I'm going to take the Browns here.  I think the general public will view the coaching situation here as a major let down for Cleveland.  I don't see it that way.  With the firing of their 2 coaches there will be a lot of emotion which means maximum effort here. This just seems like the ultimate flat spot here for the Chiefs coming off that Denver game.  Granted they were nearly the same amount of favorites vs the Broncos at home as they are the Browns on the road.  I will take the points here who are 3-1 ATS at home this season 

The Saints burnt me last week and they are getting to much respect here.  They were down 17-7 going into the 4th and had a lucky come back in my eyes.  They will now play back to back road games which is difficult.  I know people will say revenge here, but the Vikings are rolling right now and they can slow down that Saints offense.  Minnesota isn't getting the headlines or respect because most are remembering that Bills loss but that game I feel woke them up.  Prime time game in a tough place to play I will take the Vikings 

I like the Niners here to get some revenge here.  CJ has looked a lot better as of late and I think he will be eager as he torched AZ but the 5 turnovers cost them the game the first time around.  San Fran is just flat out the better team and the Cardinals seem to be in shambles.  This offense simply cant do anything.  49ers are a hungry team with revenge I will take them here

This one wont be popular at all but I think everyone is just counting out Oakland when I believe they got rid of some locker room issues.  The Colts beat the Bills easily does that mean we should overreact to anything?  The Raiders are coming off their bye week so we can agree that the effort will be there.  The Raiders just a few weeks ago were favored by 2.5 over a better Browns team than the Colts IMO.  Now the Colts are favored by 3?  Seems like quite the adjustment here I will take a hungry Raiders team. 

I really like the Steelers here as I feel they will be out for some revenge especially Big Ben.  The Steelers dominated the first game but gave up a big lead in large part because of all the turnovers.  That simply won't happen this time around as they are pissed about that tie.  Yes, the Browns have a different QB now in Mayfield, but I think this season is starting to take it's tole on them already.  They have played 3 of their last 4 games in OT.  The Steelers won't be looking past this Browns team 

Getting nearly double digits with the Jets team seems just crazy.  I think both of these teams are pretty similar.  The Bears are getting a lot of hyper because of the Mack trade and the defense upgrade.  I also think this is a difficult spot for the Bears to bounce back from after completing a hail mary against the Patriots and being tackled at the one yard line.  Miami with a back up QB put up over 500 total yards and the Bears defense numbers wise isn't as good as what people make them out to be.  I think this will be a tight game  

So we will have a huge public play I believe here on the Saints here with their offense.  I just don't trust them on being away from home against the best defense in the league.  Baltimore will also have no problem putting up points on this Saints defense either.  I know everyone remembers what happened on Monday night vs the Redskins but that was an emotional game as Brees became the all time passing leader.  The Ravens are coming off 3 straight road games so they will be hungry here.  

We are clearly seeing a Jags team that plays very well at home and just terrible on the road.  The past two games have been flat out awful but that is creating some value here for us.  I would gladly lay -2 with the Jags on a neutral field against the Texans.  I'm not putting much stock into the Texans and their 3 game winning streaking beating the Bills, Cowboys and Colts.  This team still struggles on offense and a pissed off Jags defense will be hungry after last week.  How quick we forget that the Jags handled the Patriots easily on their home field 

I really like what I saw from Wentz and the Eagles last Thursday against the Giants.  I know the Giants are nothing special but it was still a division game and a desperate team.  I think thaat game and the extra time mean a lot here as Wentz is starting to look like his normal self again.  I'm not sold on the Carolina team at all who has won all their games at home. Their defense is terrible giving up 6.2 yards per play.  Mind you this Carolina team needed a 63 yard field goal at home to bet a bad Giants team and they were coming off a bye 

This is such a cheap price here considering if these teams would have played several weeks ago Vikings would have easily been 6-7 point favorites on the road here.  They are starting to click like everyone thought they would.  I'm just not buying the Jets scoring a lot of points the past two games against the Broncos and Colts.  The Vikings are the better team all the way around and I believe they control this from the get go

Let's take the Bucs here as I think they are undervalued in this game.  They have lost 3 straight games but 2 of those came down to the wire and could have gone either way.  The Browns really struggled last week an I think the Mayfield effect is over.  Tampa doesn't have a great defense as we all know but the Browns offense isn't world beaters either.  Winston leads them to a win and gets back too .500 ball

I really like the Patriots here on Sunday night.  They will be more than motivated here for several reasons.  One is simply they are facing an undefeated team in the Chiefs.  Second, is that they want revenge from last season losing at home to them in a ugly game.  Patriots are now healthier and with the addition of Gordon, Brady will pick apart that shaky defense the Chiefs have.  Mahomes has cooled off a little bit since the first 3 games.  When Patriots are this short of price at home you have to take them especially given the situation 

I like the Ravens here to bounce back after losing in OT to the Browns.  I think they had a little hang over from beating the Steelers the week before.  I know most will look at this game and say its the Ravens 3rd straight road game which is hard don't get me wrong, but the matchup here is in their favor and the 2.5 line is very key.  The Titans proved to me last week who they really are losing to the Bills.  I think they are very overrated and their offense won't be able to do a lick against this defense.  

This one really stood out to me and luckily I grabbed the best of the number.  This Rams team is best team in the NFL but this spot here isn't ideal by any means.  They played a hard fought road game @ Seattle last week, so 2nd consecutive road game plus it's going to be cold and possible snow.  Denver is clearly a team that plays better at home and this is a game they will be up for.  I also really like their running game here against the Rams who haven't been as strong as what people might think.  Rams also suffered two concussions to Kupp and Cooks and they are questionable.  Denver keeps this close 

The Cardinals grabbed their first win last week vs San Fran but it wasnt because they tore it up.  They benefited from +5 in turnovers which was the factor.  The Cardinals barely got over 200 yards against them.  Do you see this offense having much success against this Vikings team?  I sure don't  I also think Minnesota wont take them lightly because they already lost at home as a big favorite once.  Vikings jump on them early and roll.

It looks like you could probably wait and maybe get 4 here closer to kick, but it has crossed the key number for me.  I do realize the Dolphins have some injuries to the OL and that is a concern.  I just cant ignore the fact though that this look ahead line was Miami -1 and the Bears didn't even play last week.  Miami controlled 85% of the game last week @ Cincy before not only losing but not covering either which is creating some value.  The Trubisky hyper train is getting too full for me.  I will take Miami now at this price

I get it the Giants haven't looked anything special, but should they really be underdogs here?  They just lost on a 63 yard field goal as time expired and the Panthers were coming off a bye. I think this is the ultimate game here for the Giants as a do or die to the season.  The effort will sure be there beings how no one has ran away with this division yet.

The Eagles are flat out terrible on defense and I'm not sold by any means with them laying points.  Their two wins are against Atlanta and Indy which is nothing worthy of laying 3 against a division rival.  

Giants were 3 point dogs just two weeks ago against a much better team in the Saints

I really like the Texans here this week facing their in state rival in the Cowboys.  They finally got the monkey off their back with an OT win.  The Texans have had a rough schedule here with 3 of the first 4 being on the road.  In fact they have been in every ball game losing 3 games by a combined 15 points.  Dallas is 2-2 with both wins coming at home but they look different on the road and I think they should have lost last week which is keeping this line lower than it should.  Dak has no weapons has everyone has talked about.  I look for the Texans to thrive off that win last week 

I think odds makers are making a big mistake here.  The Vikings are wanting revenge from last season and I wouldn't be a bit surprised if they got it here.  Philly just hasn't looked the same so far this season and their offense is banged up.  Vikings still have a great defense and can hold them in check.  I also love the fact Minnesota is coming off the Thursday game with extra time while Philly is off an OT loss.  Vikings are more the desperate team here with revenge on their minds 

Really like the Steelers here in this spot as it feels like a must win situation.  The biggest difference here is that Pitt will have zero problems moving the ball on a Atlanta team that is extremely banged up right now and cant stop anyone.  Atlanta coming off 3 straight home games and the game they played on road when healthy was @ Eagles on grass in week 1 and boy did they struggle.  Pitt wins easily 

This is a situational spot play at its finest.  The Broncos are coming off a Monday night game against their big time rival in the Chiefs in a game they should have won actually.  Now they travel east coast for an early kick against a hungry Jets team.  Denver could easily be 0-4 as they escaped week 1 and 2 both at home in the final seconds against the Seahawks and Raiders not exactly great teams.  The spot is perfect for the Jets and I believe they get it done 

I'm not a believer at in the Packers this season.  This team should only have 1 win.  I'm also not putting much stock into last week over the Bills.  Lions probably should have won last week @ Dallas but they did cover the number.  Remember two weeks ago when everyone wrote them off and they blew the doors off New England.  The Packers have injuries to the WR position and Rodgers is clearly not 100%.  I think Stafford will torch their defense as well. I think the Lions will go off favored here

I was on the Patriots last weekend as they blew out the Dolphins.  I will back them again here as they are facing a Colts team coming off a heart breaking loss to the Texans.  The main reason though is that the Colts have injuries up and down the board.  Not being 100% when facing Brady is always a scary situation.  Luck still has issues in my mind throwing the deep ball and with no weapons here I think he is in trouble 

Well, we all know who the betting public will be all over here and that is the high powered offense of the Chiefs.  In this prime time game @ Denver this is simply too many points.  The Denver defense will be all over Mahomes here.  I also dont trust the Cheifs defense as they have gave up their fair share of yards so far.  I think Denver can really control the clock here with some long drives and keep Mahomes off the field.  Not calling for the upset, but I think Denver keeps it very close 

This is a circle the wagons game for the Giants here after winning their first game last weekend.  While it may not look that impressive right now beating the Texans the confidence it gave them will be huge.  Remember this is the same line the Giants were week 1 against the Jags who are better than the Saints.  Also with the Saints coming off that big division win over Atlanta leads to a little let down.  Saints defense simply cant be trusted.  I think OBJ has a huge game

I was on the Browns last week as a winner as Baker saved the day, but now will fade them even though they have extra time to prepare.  The Raiders are a very very desperate football team right now and this is a absolute must win.  The Raiders have been in every game so far this season, but the ball hasn't bounced their way yet.  With what Baker came in and did was impressive no doubt but I also think this leads the public to their side.  

I think now the betting public will back off the Patriots after what they saw on Monday night football against the Lions.  There is no doubt Miami could actually be 0-3 but since they have won and covered every game they are being over hyped.  The fact that they haven't blown anyone out besides being +6 in turnovers so far says a lot.  The Patriots have owned Miami at their place over the last several seasons and I think they do so again 

The Titans are getting to much respect from last weeks win over the Jags as they caught them in the perfect spot after the Jags beat the Patriots.  Titans still have QB issues as neither is 100% healthy.  I also like that the Colts got Wentz back but didnt cover even though they should have sine they actually dominated them in yards.  Let's be honest in today's game how many teams win a game let alone not get blown out after only passing for 83 yards?  Eagles win easily

Let's go ahead and grab the Vikings here.  These are still the two best teams in the NFC and I think Minnesota was clearly caught looking ahead and before they knew it they couldn't come back.  The public based on those results will be all over the Rams since they have covered every game.  Mind you the Rams were just favored by this much against a lesser team in the Chargers.  Here is the main key and that is the Rams are battling so many injuries.  Talib is out for sure and sounds like Peters isn't going to play.  They lost other key players as well on that defense and that will be the main difference.  I wouldn't be surprised if the Vikings bounced back and won

Here is one of the classic situations as we have a 0-2 home team giving points.  This Seattle team is desperate as they know you simply cant fall to 0-3 as you have a very very slim chance of making the playoffs.  Wilson is their leader and I think he steps up in a must win game.  Also Dallas looked good on national TV against the Giants and so did their defense but Eli is absolutely terrible right now so how much stock do you put in that.  Sounds like Seattle will get some of their starters back and a huge effort will follow

Odds makers are still giving the Saints a lot of respect because so many were extremely high on this team to begin the season.  Falcons didn't struggle at all last week in the red zone against a much better defense in the Panthers.  The Saints so far lost to the Bucs and should have lost to the Browns last week.  Clealry they are thinking a big bounce back, but I'm not sold that the Saints are that good.  I like what the Falcons found on offense last week and to keep that going 

I like Carolina here in this spot after losing to the Falcons.  They hung in there really tough despite some key injuries.  They are now healthier while the Bengals lost a key piece in RB Mixon who I think meant a lot to that team than what people realize.  The Panthers have a stout defense and I believe they will hold Cincy in check.

This is one of those fishy lines that we all know the public will jump all over.  I think Washington responds here with a better effort even though last week didn't look very well.  The Packers played their you know whats off and ended in a tie with the Vikings.  Rodgers is clearly not 100% and I don't think the Packers D is anything special.  Also throw in the fact this is their first road game of the season.   This has upset written all over it

This line to me is the biggest over reaction of the week.  The look ahead line was Chiefs -4 and since Mahomes is rolling right now putting up crazy numbers their line is moving up.  San Fran last week was a very misleading final as they were up 17 with under 9 minutes left and gave up two TD's to win by 3.  San Fran was everyone's darling team this year and now it seems everyone is writing them off since they haven't covered yet.  I totally expect Jimmy G to have a field day with a Chiefs secondary I think is suspect at best

This is a great spot to fade the Broncos here who are 2-0, but could clearly be 0-2.  They beat a down Seahawks team and Raiders in the final seconds.  Keenum is going to get ate alive against this nasty Ravens defense.  Throw in the fact the Ravens have had extra time here as well.  This may seem high but I think the Ravens are legit a top team in the AFC especially.  

I had the Colts last weekend at the Skins catching a TD and they won out right.  Indy was driving week 1 with a chance to score against the Bengals and could easily be 2-0.  It goes to show what Luck does mean to this team.  

The Eagles so far have had some defensive issues to say the least and Luck and put up the yards.  Also I think the fact that Wentz returns this week is inflating this line.  I dont think he is 100% healthy and not sure how in sink everyone will be with him.

I will take my chances with the Colts catching a TD

This Browns team is could easily be 2-0 if they had a kicker.  They took the Steeler down to the wire in week 1 tying the game and lost last week blowing lead against the Saints.  

I think the Jets are still getting some respect because of week 1 Monday Night Football against the Lions scoring all those points.  The Browns defense is legit and I believe they will cause all sorts of problems for Darnold here.  The Browns know this is the game they can win and ultimately will win.  

Neither one of these teams covered last week but I actually felt the Giants had a real shot at winning the game as the Cowboys were dominated by the Panthers.  Dallas was clearly hurting last week as they have a lack of weapon.  I also think their defense is up to a bigger task facing a team with a lot more play makers.  Giants win this game outright

This one here surprises me as the Redskins are getting that much respect for drumming the Cardinals.  I'm not high at all on the Cardinals this season this is an overreaction especially since the Skins have some injuries which are their WR's.  The Colts blew the game last week in the 4th quarter but really controlled a majority of that game.  They also out gained the Bengals by 50 yards.  

Really like the Falcons here to get the job done.  They struggled in the red zone @ Philly but I think that gets cleaned up as the Panthers are hurting on defense right now with some key injuries.  They will also miss Olson their TE for a few weeks.  Atlanta has had extra time to prepare here since they played on Thursday and that will show.  Also I'm not high on the  Cowboys this year and Carolina couldn't pull away from them last week

This to me is a bit of a stretch especially after game.  The Jets were 6.5 to 7 point underdogs and now they are favored by a field goal at home?  That seems like an overreactio.  I was impressed with Miami last week as I did have them.  They are a much better team with Tannehill running the show.  I believe this game is a coin flip so I will take a full field goal

The Chiefs were very very impressive last week @ the Chargers.  I just think this will easily be the public play of the week based on last weeks results alone.  The Steelers couldn't have looked much worse as they had 6 turnovers.  When doing that in the NFL you normally lose the game and by a blowout.  So yea, it was the Browns but give them credit as they still has a 21-7 lead with 8 minutes left in the game.  Big Ben will clean up his act and Pitt responds with a big effort 

I had the Bengals last week in a winner and will back them again here.  I think this team is a playoff team no doubt about it.  I also think the betting public will fall in love with the Ravens since they did blow out the Bills who are the worst team in football.  I just think they are being underrated here at home in this division game and I will take them catching a point. 

I'm not high on the Cowboys at all this season.  Some might argue they are tired of hearing how bad they will be, but the players they have surrounding Dak just aren't capable. Their WR's are possible the worst in the league and I'm not sure how good that defense will be.  I think Carolina isn't getting enough respect here and at 2.5 I will gladly take them

This is honestly more of a play against the Titans.  I don't think they should be favored.  IMO both of these team are 7 or 8 win teams therefore the home team should get a little nod.  Tannehill is returning and that is a bright spot or at least a lot better than Cutler.  I don't trust the Titans and I think they are a play against this season 

So all the hyper and talk is about Jimmy g and company.  Sure he hasn't lost as a starter and yes the team played different last year, but some of those late games were meaningless for the Niners.  I think the Vikings have the best balanced team in the league on both sides of the ball.  The Niners will have zero chance of running the ball against the Minnesota.  I like the upgrade with Cousins at QB as he will have something to prove.  Minnesota gets up early and San Fran cant play catch up

Andrew Luck is really getting some serious respect here in this game.  Maybe he does come out and light it on fire, but I will be willing to go against and have him prove me wrong here.  Cincy will be an improved team here and I think AJ Green gets back to his normal ways.  The Colts still have a lot of questions on defense and with that I will take the points with Cincy 

I love the Giants here this week catching 3 at home.  I think this game should be a PK at the very least.  Giants are coming off their worst season in a long time, but I think they are due for a huge bounce back.  I'm not buying that the Jags can repeat this season and I dont trust Bortles.  Giatns have added big time improvment to the offensive line and I love the draft pick of Barkley at RB.  I think the Giants win outright tomorrow. 

Now that this line has dropped down to me there is no choice but only to take the Patriots.  Let's look at how much love the Eagles are getting now.  They were home dogs in both of their playoff wins and now on a neutral field and are nearly the same amount as a dog as they were at home.  There is one thing that is the biggest factor to me and that is the fact that the Patriots are familiar with this territory and Brady just wins plain and simple.  There is just to much hype for me surrounding the Eagles defense right now.  I also think that Foles will come back down to reality here and the pressure will get to him on this stage. 

I actually shocked at this line when it came out.  I did have the Vikings last week as they won on maybe the craziest last play we have ever seen for the fact it wasn't a hailmary.  They were not only very lucky to win, but to also even cover the 4 I had them at.  Now they are favored by over a field goal on the road in a game for the Super Bowl?  

Nick Foles isn't getting enough credit here plain and simple.  He is more than a capable QB here and the fact he has a great defense behind him at home.  I honestly thought the Eagles would be -1 here or so.  I really expect this line to drop a lot closer to game time 

I think the Vikings have a huge home field advantage here in this game.  The Saints are a fast team that play indoor on the turf.  The conditions here dont favor them at all and especially Brees for that matter.  Vikings to me have the best defense in football.  They were 6-1 ATS at home this season as well. Saints just an average football team on the road with a 4-4 record 

I will take the Eagles here at this price.  I just think we are seeing a huge over reaction to from last week with the Falcons.  Nick Foles is more than capable starter here as he went 2-0 when taking over for the Wentz injury.  I say 2-0 because I don't count their last regular season game against the Cowboys as they were resting guys and nothing to play for there.  Eagles have the better defense and will gladly take the 3 points here with the home team

The Titans have everything to play for here as if they win the game they are in the playoffs.  I don't think the Jags will be that motivated as they are locked in the 3 spot for the playoffs.  Jags are also banged up especially on offense right now which doesn't serve well for Bortles who is hit and miss anyways.  When it comes to this point of the season you have to look for the motivation edges

The Chargers are on the outside right now looking in, but the fact they have hope I give them the edge.  I think the Raiders will have called it a season now after last week.  I know this is a division game, but Oakland will have a very hard time stopping the high powered Chargers offense.  

So Seattle goes on the road as 4.5 point dogs last week and wins at Dallas and are now 9 point favorites?  That seems like a huge over reaction to last weeks results.  This is a huge rivalry here that goes unnoticed as well.  Also Seattle is still extremely banged up especially on defense.  I like what I have seen from the Cardinals down the stretch beating the Titans and Jags.  Seattle probably wins but not by double digits

Pretty upset I missed a good number on this game, but either way I still like the 49ers here.  The Rams are obviously content where they are and why wouldn't they be.  I have backed San Fran the last 4 weeks ever since Jimmy G has taken over and am 4-0 in doing so.   The 49ers clearly have new life and are excited about it. With Goff, Gurley out on offense and practically all the key starters out on defense I think San Fran wins going away 

This is another game here that I do give more of a motivation edge to Atlanta as they need this game to make the playoffs. Carolina is already in and granted they could move up but even they realize that the Saints losing to the Bucs is unlikely.  I think the Falcons get revenge here and remember Atlanta was -3 at Carolina so big adjustment has been made.  

The Giants I totally see throwing in the towel here.  They are coming off back to back division games and gave everything they had last week vs the Giants and came up short.  I don't think they will have any interest here.  The Cardinals have actually been playing hard despite not making the playoffs.  They have beat two playoff teams in the Titans and Jags in the last few weeks

I have cashed on the 49ers the last 3 weeks ever since Jimmy G took over.  They have been a underdog in 2 of those games and just beat a playoff team in the Titans last week.  I think the Jags are being overrated here.  I know Bortles has played better, but traveling across country here I don't trust him.  The 49ers have a solid defense as well and can keep Bortles in check.  I wouldn't be shocked if Jimmy won another one

I know I know the Browns.  You have to realize who they are playing as well here.  The Bears are nothing special especially on offense.  The weather is another factor here that will keep the scoring at a premium.  The Browns will be the more motivated team here trying to get their first win of the season

I'm not buying into the Lions here at all.  This game should be a lot closer to a PK, but is over reacting to the Bengals 3 straight losses.  The Lions have benefited from turnovers that is the only way they win games just like at the beginning of season.  Wouldn't be shocked in Cincy wins SU

Like the Saints here in this rivalry.  First, they will want revenge from a couple weeks ago as they had a chance to win the game SU, but Brees through a pick in the end zone late.  The Saints are just a different animal at home.  The Falcons are on a short week also coming off Monday night division rival against the Bucs in a game they just looked pathetic in. 

Let's go with the Cowboys here tonight.  I think they are starting to heat up here being back in playoff contention and cant afford any slip ups.  They will give everything they have here knowing that Zeke is coming back next week.  Cowboys were impressive last week and the Raiders have nothing to slow them down

For me simply you cant ignore the situation here for the Patriots.  First, they are coming off a bye and they are great in that role.  Also last week they didnt have Gronk for Monday night and now he returns.  The Steelers defense has major flaws now as we saw what the Ravens were able to do and a large part of that is because of the Shazier injury

Really like San Fran here today against the Titans who are one of the most overrated teams in the league.  San Fran has been a whole different team since Jimmy G took over and I have backed them on both occasions.  The key here why I know San Fran hasnt quit is the fact that they have won two consecutive road games  

This seems obvious here which is always scary, but I think the Rams respond here.  I do like this Eagles team a lot but I think their schedule has helped them out a lot.  Last week against the Seahawks was the first game in their last 6 games they played a team with a winning record.  Well they lost that battle.  Rams are behind them here for home field advantage which I think plays a role here as well

I dont believe that this Jets team deserves to be favored over anyone.  They have won one road game and that was against the Browns.  I know Denver has had a rough go at it, but I think they give a good effort here in a game they believe they can win.  

Like the Panthers here because it seems like they have been over adjusted.  The Vikings were 3 point dogs @ the Falcons last week and are now 3 point favorites against a very similar team.  This game is Carolina's season IMO we get huge effort. 

I backed the Niners last week as a underdog and they won SU.  I think this is great value because the Niners are't tanking.  They want to play well now with Jimmy G under the helmet.  I also think he is so much better than Savage for Texans

Let's take Dallas here as I think after last weeks win over the Redskins gives them the confidence to still believe they can make the playoffs.  The Giants are a mess right now firing their coach last week.  I think Dak has a breakout game here against a pretty poor Giants defense 

This to me is just pure over reaction.  The eagles are currently the hottest team around covering in blowout fashion.  They now have to travel to maybe the toughest Home field in Football to win at.  The Seahawks have a lot to play for still while the Eagles pretty much have things locked up.  We get a big effort from Wilson here

Love the Saints here as I’m not a believer in this panther team.  I think the Saints have it figured out here and will just pour the points on.  Carolina really struggles on offense so any empty possessions will only put them further behind the 8 ball.  Saints win in a blowout

The Vikings are now the hottest team in the league right now.  I know the Falcons have had a couple lucky breaks playing teams when they aren't at their best, but I like them here in this spot.  Their yards per play are the best in the NFL again.  Getting this team at home under a field goal I think is a steal and too hard to pass up

I'm not a fan of this Lions team as I think they are extremely overrated.  They benefited earlier in the season because they had the best turnover differential for the first few weeks.  I just think Baltimore has the defense here to get shut down Stafford and company.  Also the Lions recent wins you can't be excited about, Browns, Bears and Packers.  

I think we are seeing two different directions for the teams in this game.  Jimmy G is finally starting for the Niners and obviously that is an upgrade and I think the Niners will be excited here to have some new blood in their lineup.  I think the Bears are throwing in the towel now losing and not covering 4 straight.  This should be a PK will gladly take the FG 

Like Oakland here laying st short number.  They will bounce back from a bad performance last weekend against the Patriots.  The broncos are still trying to find a QB and their season is over.  If they were in a so called bounce back spot it would have been a few games ago.  

Last week the Jaga seemed like they pulled away as they covered the number but the Browns had plenty of chances to tie that game.  The Browns do what they normally do in giving the other team a defensive TD.  The cardinals season is on the line here today.  They have enough on defense here to shut the Jags down as their offense relies heavily on Fournette.  We will see a huge effort from them today.  This is a one score game either way