I love the Chiefs here and grabbed a great early number.  Cowboys will be the public dog of the week there is no doubt about it.  When Mahomes takes care of the ball this team is simply hard to beat.  The main reason honestly for the Chiefs is because they rank near last in turnovers in the league.  The Cowboys defense still isn't anything special and they have proven to keep given up chunk plays.  Last night Sunday night vs the Raiders was the turning point for me in the Chiefs season and I think they beat Dallas easily.  Also the Chiefs D has big time improved the last month.

I know this will be a public play here with the Bengals but I simply believe in them more currently than the Raiders.  I had the Chiefs last week over the Raiders in a easy winner simply because I feel like the Raiders and all the distractions will be catching up to them.  The Raiders have overachieved to start the season and now is the time to fade them.  Burrow off the bye week and the Bengals have a sour taste in their mouths losing to the Jets and getting destroyed by their rival in the Browns.  I love the spot.

I grabbed an early number on the Niners here in this game.  I think this team has underachieved and we finally saw what can happen when healthy especially on offense.  They destroyed the Rams and yes they will be on a short week I get it.  I also believe that too much love is being given to the Jags because they have been covering and they still have that win over the Bills from a few weeks back.  I think the Niners absolutely own them this week on both sides of the ball

The Bills somehow have managed to have one of the easiest schedules you could have asked for.  They shouldn't be laying more than a TD to anyone with a pulse.  This team struggled with Miami a few weeks back and lost outright to the Jags.  Now, they blew out the Jets and I am supposed to be impressed?  Bills numbers are also inflated because of how weak their schedule has been.  Weather is also an issue this week and the Colts D I do trust.  If Went keeps things in control I see this game coming down to the wire.

I really like the Texans here.  They are coming in off their bye week and and have Tyrod back in the lineup with plenty of extra prep time.  No one should like the Titans here as favorites.  This team was succeeding in the underdog role for over a month and now laying double digits.  Last week they were extremely lucky to beat the Saints as they were outgained in that game.  Give the spot and situation I really like the Texans here in this game

This will be the public vs sharp game of the week.  The betting public simply can't get enough of the Packers as they continue to cover week in and week out.  The fact that they keep covering and Vegas doesn't inflate their lines tells you what you need to know about this team.  I think we will see a true regression and it starts this week.  Last week Wilson couldn't do anything and Rodgers still struggled vs the Seahawks.  The loss of Jones at RB hurts big time.  Vikings are the desperate team here and I think they win outright

I will take laying the 3 here with Miami.  The Dolphins showed me a lot in that win over Baltimore on  Thursday night.  This team you could make the case for has been the most disappointing when it comes to win season totals for the year.  The Jets I believe have thrown in the towel now after last weeks terrible effort.  The Jets are starting Flacco and I dont need to elaborate much on this besides he will be a statue and expect several turnovers. 

I will take the 49ers here.  This team had two huge fumbles last week from their TE and WR that really flipped the game vs the Cardinals.  The Rams I know dominated the stats against the Titans but their OL has me worried here.  Stafford hardly had anytime and I also wonder if the OBJ situation will serve as a distraction.  The Rams will be one of the most public plays of the week and the books know it.  This game goes down to the wire. 

I love the Chiefs here in this game.  I was against the Raiders last week as I felt that everything going on within the team would be a distraction and I believe that was true.  I think they are a play against for the remainder of the season.  Yes, the Raiders have played the Chiefs hard in the past but also remember that those lines were a lot bigger.  We are getting a discount simply because once against the. Chiefs don't cover the game.  Mahomes in Prime Time I think we get a big effort

I will take the 3.5 here with Seattle.  You better believe that the Seahawks will be the most motivated team here as they still feel there is a chance for them to make the playoffs.  Their all everyone in Russell Wilson returns and the Packers are still facing questions regarding Rodgers. The Packers to me simply dont pass the eye test.  I think they are very much overrated and a large part of their numbers is because of how easy their schedule has been so far. 

I was hoping for a 3 and got it here with the Vikings.  No one in the NFL this season has played more close games than the Minnesota Vikings.  I still believe this is a good team and trust that they can get back on the right path.  The Chargers still have major issues against the run and I believe Cook won't have an issue.  The Chargers were laying a short number to Philly and were in a dog fight as they kicked the game winner as time expired.  Vikings just took a very good Ravens team to OT and in fact should have won blowing a 24 pt lead in the 2nd half.  Overall the better team is the Vikings give me the points.

Let's take the Colts here this weekend against the Jags.  So the Jags shocked everyone last week and upset the Bills.  I do think that was very fluky as the final score was 6-9.  The Colts are literally one of the hottest teams in the league that no one is talking about.  They have won 4 of their last 6 games while the two losses both came in OT.  They aren't being priced high enough simply because of their record.  I think this is a blowout 

Now that the Cowboy had their mouths punched I think this week is a great bounce back spot.  I'm really not scared laying this number.  The Falcons are extremely one dimensional and that will be the difference here.  I dont think the Falcons beating a 3rd string QB does anything or should mean much here.  Cowboys offense bounces back in a big effort, mind you they are still #1 overall offense in the league.  

The dreaded team without a win.  Yes, the Lions here are a play off the bye week.  I firmly believe this is a let down spot here for the Steelers following a Monday night win over the Bears.  The Steelers were outplayed big time by the Bears and the reason they didn't lose was honestly because of the refs plain and simple.  The Steelers have a huge slate of game coming up and this type of team shouldn't be laying more than a TD.  In fact they haven't covered a game yet when being favored this year.  Love the spot for the Lions expect a big effort.

I will lay the number here what most people might think will be square.  Here is the thing though that the oddsmakers simply aren't going to make a team as hot as the Titans a huge dog.  Henry I would argue means more to their team than anyone else.   Throw in the fact the Titans secondary is very banged up and with Stafford he will have an air day.  Also, the Titans WR group isn't 100% healthy and with Ramsey on Brown there is anther advantage for the Rams.  I think the Rams will put it on them as the Titans simply won't bring enough to the table on offense 

I like the Niners here this week.  I backed them in the first meeting in a losing effort but that was with trey Lance at QB.  The Niners offense did show some things that had been missing last week. The thing about the Cardinals is obviously the health of Kyler Murray but their defense right now doesn't look great.  Also remember two weeks ago they were 3 point dogs @ the Browns and now are laying points against a similar team and division rival.

I was already leaning the Giants here and yes I know they are on a short week and yes I know the Giants are generally a team you play away from home.  I just dont buy into all the Raiders right now and given the situation with what took place with Ruggs following the Gruden thing I think we are seeing a big distraction here from the Raiders.  I know the Raiders are off their bye week but I think in this case this is a bad bye week given everything.  Giants win this game outright.

The Vikings aren't getting any respect here following that loss to the Cowboys and a backup QB.  The narrative now is that the Vikings are no good and the season is over.  I think this is a prime bounce back spot for the Vikings here.  The Ravens are off their bye week and that is playing into its also.  Here is the main thing though the Ravens, yes Ravens are the worst team in the NFL against the Pass.  The Vikings know that and will make that a priority with their two stud WR's.

I love the Bengals here this week.  Yes, they lost to the Jets and I get it's a terrible loss.  I also think we are getting a discount with them here.  The Bengals blew an 11 point lead in that game in the in the final 5 minutes.  The Browns are a team that seem to have a lot going on right now inside in the franchise.  The Browns really are struggling on offense right now failing to score over 20 points in three consecutive home games.  Bengals will be motivated and they want to enter their bye week the following week on a very high note. 

I love the Vikings here on Sunday night.  Both teams are off the bye here and the notion is that Dallas is great and the Vikings have under achieved.  Well, the Vikings had two coin flip losses to the Cardinals and Bengals both on the road.  How good do those losses look now and in fact they should have won both.  The betting public can't get enough of Dallas here since they have covered every game.  Cousins is playing awesome and Dak is banged up.  This Cowboys secondary I believe will get torched and not create the fluky turnovers that have saved them so far.

I love the buy low spot here with Denver.  They started the season the 3-0 but now have dropped 4 straight games which is why we are getting a discount here.  So trust two weeks ago the Broncos were -5 again the Raiders.  So you're telling me Washington is better than the Raiders?   Jeduy also returns for Denver which is a major upgrade for them as they had cluster injuries to the WR position.  This Washington team is no good.

I think this is the ultimate flat spot here for the Seahawks.  They are off two primetime games in the underdog role which were both big efforts and they lost both but did cover.  I just wonder now where their heads could be sitting at 2-5.  The Jags I believe are hungry after coming out of their bye week with their first win of the season in London.  Seahawks defense is no good here and Lawrence will move the ball.  

I love the Chargers here in this game coming off their bye week after they got punched in the mouth entering it bye the Ravens.  I think that was a wake up call for them and a great time to get things right.  The notion here is that the Patriots are still an average football team and I simply dont buy it. They have 3 wins and 2 are against the Jets and the other one was very lucky beating the Texans another rookie QB after they made a big comeback.  I think Herbert and company blow the doors off them here

I like the Colts here in the rematch game.  I'm honestly not surprised they are favored now with they have been playing.  The Colts had a tough start going 0-3 but since have been really good and actually should be 4-0.  They blew a huge lead on Monday night football two weeks back to the Ravens.   This is the week I think the Titans injuries do catch up with them especially in the secondary.  They are off two all out games in the beating the Bills and Chiefs.  Throw in the revenge factor and I think it's a perfect recipe for the Colts to win

Give me the Bears here.  So San Fran was projected by most to be a playoff team.  Well, they started 2-0 by beating the Lions and Eagles well how good do those look now?  Exactly those wins mean nothing but here they are still favored on the road.  The Bears got beat by the Packers and Bucs their last two games so what they are both playoff teams.  Do people forget they went into Vegas and beat the Raiders?  Jimmy G brings nothing to the to table and the Bears D will be fine here.  Bears had 5 turnovers and I love the bounce back spot for them here

I really like the direction the Colts are heading right now.  Went seems to be al to healthier now than the beginning of the season and TY Hilton being back is a huge upgrade for them.  I love the way the defense is playing.  I dont understand the respect for the Niners here maybe it's because they are coming off a bye.  They have shown nothing this season and to be laying more than a FG with zero home field suggests they are clearly better and I dont buy it.  

I will gladly back the Texans here in this game.  It's pretty wild to get a team getting 17 in the NFL but it does happen every year.  I just literally hate the spot for AZ here.  That was an all out effort as a dog to remain undefeated last week @ the Browns.  The Cardinals were +3 in turnovers last week and the Texans were -3 in turnovers.  In the NFL you just simply can't overcome that.  The Cardinals though have a huge and I mean huge look ahead on deck here with the Packers the next game.  I also don't think that the Cardinals defense will be getting after Mills like the desperate Colts did.  Also, let's say the Cardinals are dominating up 33-10 that means the back door is still wide open.  I see the Cardinals starting slow here.

This is a good matchup here for the Eagles.  The Raiders who I backed last week were extra motivated and it showed as they handled their division rival.  I think it's fair to say that Denver is clearly overrated from their 3-0 start.  I believe you back the Raiders as dogs as 3 of their 4 wins have came in the dog role and fade as favorites as they haven't covered in two games in that role.  The Raiders secondary is really banged up and Hurts with weapons on the outside can expose them. The DL for Philly is where they are good and the Raiders OL quite frankly is under par.  This game will be very competitive.

 I will take the Titans here.  I was really hoping they would lose on Monday night because that would add more value with them here in this game.  This is more of a play against the Chiefs though.  I have had a great read on Kansas City this year not missing a side for or against them in any game that I have taken.  The Chiefs defense is just bad and last week in a must win game they were trailing at halftime vs Washington.  Mahomes is also making some very careless turnovers right now but it isn't being talked about.  I'm no fan of the Titans secondary but they did enough against Josh Allen and see no reason why they can't against Mahomes. 

I will take the Bengals here in this division matchup.  This team is very much improved especially on the OL and defense.  I dont think anyone had the Bengals D ranking in the top 10 through the first 6 weeks.  I have the Ravens last week and I thought it was simply to take them because the Chargers are so bad on the ground.  Well Baltimore punched first then the Chargers failed multiple 4th down conversions and it really set them behind all game.  let's go back two game to the Monday night game as the Ravens should have lost to the Colts.  Went through for nearly 400 yards and I believe that Burrow will be doing the same.  The Bengals are 4-2 with their two combined losses being by 3 points each.

Grab the 3!  I can't believe the Falcons are favored here at all.  First, the look ahead line here was -2.5 for the Dolphins so what changed?  Well the Falcons had a bye and the Jags hit two 50+ yard FG's to beat them.  It was also the first game back for Too last week.  I think we are seeing a big time overreaction here to the Dolphins losing.  Mind you they were missing their 2 best pieces in the secondary and they are back this week. 

I will take the 7.5 with the Jets here.  This line not moving at all tells me all I need to know about this side.  This will probably be the #1 pubic play of the week in the Patriots.  I think the Jets have actually improved a little.  Heres the thing in the first meeting though the Jets out gained the Patriots but the biggest thing was the 4 turnovers for Wilson.   I believe he cleans that up the 2nd time around.  The Patriots I think are in a bad spot here with the way they lost to Dallas in OT last week. 

I will gladly take the Raiders here in this game.  I am actually shocked at this line. Two weeks ago the Raiders were +3 at the Chargers on MNF and now are +4 @ Denver?  So you're telling me Denver is better than the Chargers?  I think this is a big time overreaction here to the Gruden situation.  I actually think this fires up the Raider team as well.  Denver was 3-0 because of their easy schedule and actually won on the road at Pitt which Denver didn't do.  I think the Raiders win this outright

I will take the Patriots here.  Yes, the Patriots played bad and maybe weren't so focused last week but it was a hard spot for them coming off that Sunday night performance vs the Bucs.  The Patriots have a great defense and we have seen it in effect this season.  Here is the things the Cowboys have a horrible defense but they are forcing turnovers making it look like they are well, but they are giving  up plenty of yards.  This has upset of the week written all over it

I love the Browns here this week.  The Browns are the only team in football with an offense and defense in the top 5.  I think the Browns are literally the perfect matchup here against the Cardinals.  The Browns are the #1 ranked rushing team in the league while the Cardinals are ranked 28th against the rush.  I think this is the perfect combo to leave Murray and company of the field.  Browns win by 7

I love the Chiefs here.  I have had a pretty good feeling on this Chiefs team and had them in their only cover @ the Eagles a couple weeks.  What people are forgetting here is how hard the Chiefs schedule has been to start the season.  Let's back them here against a bad team in the league with one of the worst secondaries in football.  I think we get a very pissed off Mahomes and company and they look to get right here this week

I will gladly take the Texans here in this game.  First the Colts are coming off a big time devistating loss on Monday night blowing a double digit lead against the Ravens.  This is a division game here and I just dont see how the Colts really blow them out.  The Texans may not be great but they play hard and actually should have won last week vs the Patriots.  At this big number I will take the Texans.

I think the Chargers will be the public dog of the week.  The Chargers now are everyone's kind of sexy team and yes they are playing the part very well.  Also everyone saw Monday night the Ravens struggle with the Colts and had a crazy comeback OT win.  Well here is the thing.  You wanna know who the worst team is in the league against the rush?  Yup, it's the Chargers.  I think the Ravens style and gameplan here they will march up and down the field here.  Give me the Ravens

I will take the Eagles here and the points.  We all know the Bucs are really banged up here in the secondary and I backed the Dolphins last week in a losing effort.  I think here though where the Eagles have the edge is that they have a QB that can move the ball down field with Hurts.  I fully believe they will score points here and keep it within this key number of 7.  

I will take the 49ers here in this game.  So the Cardinals had a great performance last week vs the Rams and props to them.  However, lets not overreact to just that one game.  They were very sluggish against the Jags and should have lost to the Vikings.  I just think with a week to prepare for Shanahan and I believe his guy in Lance I think the Niners are live here.  This team will expose the Cardinals on the ground as their rush defense is pretty bad.  

I will gladly take the points here with the G Men.  This team made a crazy comeback and won in OT. I love the fact that they didn't give up and came away with a win giving them some extra confidence.  The Cowboys on offense are very good no doubt.  Everyone thinks their defense is much improved but it's only because of turnovers.  Their D is still very bad and in fact one of the worst in the league.  They give yup a ton of yards and with the Giants getting back some healthy WR's, I expect Jones and company to move the ball down the field.  This is a division game and love getting touchdowns with the dog.

I am honestly shocked this line didn't open hire.  Now I know the look ahead was a pick em in most spot but to me this Chargers team is underrated.  I had them Monday night vs the Raiders and they were in full control of that game.  Their only loss was against the Cowboys in week 2 in which they controlled that game but had two offensive touchdowns taken off the board.  To me this Chargers team is just really really good. They pass the eye test and I love both sides of the ball.  Losing Flynn as their coach is clearly and upgrade.  Lay the short price with the Chargers 

The Eagles are one of the best teams in the league in the classic yards per play differential averaging +1.2 more per play.  I think that has the Eagles extremely undervalued here.  Also the Eagles have lost to the Cowboys, Chiefs and Niners all 3 of those teams are good and most likely 2 will be playoff teams.  I was against Philly last week but I actually was impressed with their offense.  Also the Eagles and Panthers both have played at Dallas.  The Eagles were 3.5 point dogs and Panthers last week were 4.5.  Neither team covered but that is saying the Eagles on a neutral would be -1 just based on the closing lines.  Well if so then adjust for Carolina at home should be -1 or -1.5.  Hmm we are getting +4.  Give me the Eagles

I really like the Dolphins here this week.  Yes, the Dolphins have looked pretty bad and it's clear to say that they will be one of the biggest under achievers for this season.  I know their offense has looked bad but I do expect them to have success here.  The main reason is because the Bucs secondary has all new face and they have cluster injuries everywhere.  Also, the spot here isn't great for Tamps coming off that Brady homecoming game @ New England.  This is a let down spot.  The Bucs ardent a covering team either just 1-3 ATS this season and the only one they covered they were very lucky against the Falcons with two pick sixes in the 2nd half.  I think the Dolphins can take care of the ball and move it here.  

I really like the Bengals here this week.  To me the Packers dont pass the eye test at all and they most certainly aren't a top 10 team.  Their best CB is out this week and now their 2nd best LB is out.  I think this injures are big for a defense that isn't very good.  This Packers team should be 2-2 if it weren't for a absolute miracle win @ San Fran.  The Bengals are vastly improved and it starts on defense as they bring in a top 10 ranked unit.  Tee Higgins returns for the Bengals and Burrow is the real deal.  I think the Bengals win this game outright, I love them

The Saints have no business at all being favored on the road.  They currently have the 2nd worst rated passing offense in the league.  Well, the worst part of the Washington D has been their pass defense but clearly the Saints won't be prime to expose that here.  I just think the wrong team is favored.  Yes, most had higher hopes for Washington but I think now is the time to back them.  

I'm going to lay it with the Chargers.  They went on the road to Washington in week 1 and handled their own then actually outplayed Dallas big time lost by 3 but had two offensive touchdowns taken off the board and you have to upgrade that performance based on what we have seen from Dallas.  Last week they went o the road and beat KC.  This Chargers team is really good IMO.  Raiders are undefeated with 2 wins coming in OT.  I think their luck runs out here

Love the 49ers here this week.  The 49ers were -3.5 to the Packers last week and now laying less to Seattle and we all know that Green Bay is better than the Seahawks.  49ers should have won that game and if they did I firmly believe this line is 4 or 4.5.  This is great value here under the key number of 3.  The Seattle defense is the worst in the league right now and that is playing the Colts, Titans and Vikings not exactly world beaters on offense. 

I really like the Giants here in this game.  They are the desperate team here sitting 0-3.  You could make the case though that they should be 2-1 losing two close games back to back weeks.  I just dont believe the Saints and company deserve to be laying more than a TD to anyone.  We haven't seen anything special on offense from the Saints as Winston doesn't even have over 400 passing yards this season.  Way too many here, give me the G Men

I have been pretty spot on with this Chiefs team so far in the early on.  I really like them here though to get the job done.  The Eagles on a short week and just flat out looked horrible.  Sure, I maybe overreacting some but the offense has really done nothing so far with Hurts outside of Atlanta week 1.  I think we get a pissed off Chiefs team and really focused here and I fully expect them to score in the 30's which should cover this number easily

I like the Vikings here in this game.  We could easily make the case that this team should be 3-0 and at worst 2-1.  Now I know that this line is suggesting that the Browns and Seahawks are equal based on last week but I think the Vikings finally had their outbreak game.  Cousins is playing great right now and Cook should be back.  The Browns were down to Tyrod Taylor and the Texans before he got hurt and had to leave the game.  Last week they destroyed a horrible Bears team.  Minnesota wins outright

I really like the Colts here in this game.  Indy just 2 weeks ago was getting 3.5 to the Rams and they lost by 3.  Granted I know that was at home but that is also the best team in football.  Since the Colts haven't won a game yet that is why they are dogs.  I believe this Dolphins team has serious issues on offense. Last week the Raiders spotted them 14-0 in the first and Miami went flat.  The importance of this game for Indy to avoid 0-4 is huge.  I think they win outright

I like the Rams here in this game.  Everyone will be all over the Bucs here in this game especially with Brady laying a short number.  What the Rams do really well is throw the ball and where the Bucs are very weak is their secondary.  The difference will be the Rams pass rush here to put some pressure on Brady.  Bucs will be without Brown at WR also.

We have a unique one here.  First, the Broncos were -3 @ Giants then -7 @ Jags.  Yes, they won and covered both of those games.  Well now they are favored by 10.5 vs the Jets.  I mean are the Jets Jags and Giants any different and if so more than 3?  I dont think so.  Clearly this is inflated big time here.  The Broncos have key inures losing Jewell and Chubb here two stud LB's.  Denver also isn't high scoring so I think 21-13 type of win

I like Washington here.  Yes, their defense hasnt played up to par so far based on what most thought.  I still believe they are a good unit and the fact that Buffalo is so pass happy make me think that DL just pushes their ears back and go all game long. The Bills game last week was very misleading despite winning 35-0. Josh Allen hasnt looked the part at all so far this season.  Simply too many points for this Bills team to be laying

I wil take the Saints here as I dont think the Patriots deserve to be a FG favorite.  I know this will be the Saints third straight road game.  The Patriots lost to the Dolphins and beat a Jets team who Wilson handed it to them throwing 4 picks.  The Patriots defense might be really good who knows but facing Tua and Wilson a rookie QB isn't the same as Jamies who can move the ball down field.  

Do I wish the Chiefs would have still won Sunday night against the Ravens...yes.  I do like the Chargers here though and it's pretty simple.  First, this is a division dog and this early I the season this angle has been extremely profitable over the years.  Also the Chargers can move the ball with Herbert against what looks like so far easily the worst defense in the whole league.  If this does hold up any team with an above average offense getting more than 6 points is a play vs the Chiefs.  

I didn't get the best of the number but I still the Chargers are worth it here.  Dallas had every chance vs the Bucs to win that game being +3 in turnovers.  Their offense was impressive yes but also the Bucs secondary is by far their worst part of the team.  The Cowboys now suffered a huge blow to an already bad defense in losing Lawrence their DE who is a stud.  Herbert should have a field day again this bad D and I see them covering fairly easily.

I will take the Vikings here this week.  First, the Cardinals go from a 3 point dog to the Titans and now a 3.5 point favorite vs the Cards.  Which team is better?  To me the Vikings are clearly better than the Titans but yet the Cardinals are laying more than a FG?  The line is way off here and I think in large part because of the Vikings loss to the Bengals.  The Titans secondary is very very bad this matchup favors the Vikings. 

Last week was line was available at -8.  Now, the line has passed several key numbers and shot up to 13.  The Falcons fall into a crazy dog role here after being favored by 3.5 last week.  I know the Bucs have extra time but these teams are familiar with each other being in the same division.  I also wasn't impressed with the Bucs secondary against Dallas as Dak and company lit them up.  They also lost a starter now back there as well.  This is a classic overreaction to me grab the points.

I really like the Panthers here this weekend getting 3.5.  The Panthers last week didn't do anything sexy but simply took are of business against a bad Jets team.  They were in full control of that game as the Jets scored both touchdowns in the 2nd half.  The Saints will be a sexy pick here in large part because of the blowout win over the Packers.  While that win was good yes I'm just not sure they deserve to be laying 3.5 on the road. 

I like the Bears here.  The Bears actually impressed me Sunday night against the Rams.  They ran the ball for 135 yard against a very good Rams DL.  With their success on the ground there they won't have an issue here against the Bengals.  I also believe the Bengals will be a sexy underdog pick here since they beat the Vikings in OT.  I'm not ready to crown the Bengals here at all as they have much more to prove.  

I will happily take the Eagles here.  I know the Eagles beat a probably below average team in the Falcons but they really dominated the game.  The Niners did control the game against the Lions but I think the injuries for the Niners will play a part.  They have cluster injuries to the RB's and just lost their best CB in Verrett.  The Eagles have a great and OL and DL and they are healthy this season.  

Yes, I know plug your nose but this line is a crazy overreaction to week 1.  Last week the Broncos were favored by 2.5 in this game and now it's up to 6?!  The Jags looked bad yes but wow really the Broncos beating the Giants is that impressive? I expect major improvement here from the Jags.  Also Broncos lost a huge weapon in Jeudy their WR.  

I will gladly take the Washington Football team here in this game.  So Fitzgerald is out of this game and it is always tough to throw a back up in then and get things going.  However Washington had their fair share of chances but literally couldn't get stop on defense and gave up a huge 3rd and 14 that gave the Chargers a big drive.  The Giants are horrible and literally IMO are top 5 worst team in the league.  The Washington Defense here will be the difference because you can rely on them to cause a few turnovers with Danny dimes at QB

I will take the Browns here who has revenge on their mind after losing to the Chiefs last season in the playoffs.  The Chiefs are great and Mahomes is everything you want no doubt.  I just think the Chiefs OL and their lack there of chemistry here vs a very good D line in the Browns.  Browns have weapon across the board and I just think they can have long drives and keep Mahomes in company off the field which is the key here to beat them.  

I will take the Steelers here getting all these points.  I think the Steelers are very undervalued here with all the weapons they have on offense and they do have a deathly roster.  I also think the Bilss are the most overrated team in league right now.  Allen has his coming out party last year but can he back it up?  I think the Bills will be good but are they really going to blow out a playoff caliber team here week 1?  I dont think so

I like the Vikings here on a bounce back season.  The Vikings last year were banged up and banged up bad especially on D.  I have zero doubts about them bouncing back.  This team has Cook, Jefferson & Theilin and there is nothing not to love about them.  I do love Burrow going forward but they are getting a lot of respect and I do think it will take Burrow some time to get his feet under him following the surgery from last season.  

I'm going to take the Cardinals here.  I think they have improved their defense and while it may not be great per say I defiantly believe it's better.  I also think the betting public will love the Titans here as everyone knows the Julio trade by now.  The thing is though that the Titans secondary IMO is just flat out bad and I fully expect Murray to carve them up big time.  

I love the Chiefs here in the Super Bowl.  Mahomes is just something really special and yes I know it's hard to repeat I just don't see how the Bucs can slow them down.  I will give Brady and the Bucs credit for getting here as they had to do so with 3 straight road games.  Brady if you're being honest though hasn't looked great by any stretch though.  Also these teams already met in the regular season in Tampa btw where the Super Bowl is being played and KC had their way with them.  So the final score was 27-24 but the Chiefs were up 27-3 and it felt they really just let up as they had the game in hand.  Tampa scored 2 meaningless TD's in the fourth and that's how they covered. 

We are locking this in early.  I absolutely the Packers here in this game.  Tampa was extremely lucky if you. watched any. part of the Saints game.  The turnovers left Brady with a short field and it was very misleading.  Not many times in the NFL do you see a team -4 in turnovers with still a chance to win.  Tampa and Brady dont impress me at all.  Rodgers brings something totally different to the table here this week.  The Packers defense is good enough here IMO to keep Brady and the offense in check.  They key in fact will be slowing down the running game which opens everything up for them.  I love the Packers here!!!

I just love the Saints here in this game.  Yes people will say its hard to beat a team 3 games in a row  and I understand it but its not like these series were close.  Yes, they were a while ago but were you really impressed with the Bucs last week?  I mean Washington signed a QB off the street and nearly won the game.  The Bucs defense has issues and that was shown last week.  Saints are now fully healthy which they haven't been all season.  I think we are getting a discount here. 

I will take the Packers here today.  I think too much hyper is being made from the Rams and their defense.  Yes, I know Ramsey is a stud and probably will hold Adams in check.  The only way to Rams can win or hang around is if it's low scoring and I dont that with how explosive this Packers team is.  Rams do have injury issues with Donald and Kupp who are obviously huge names to both sides of the ball.  Pack pull away here

I think we are seeing a major overreaction in the line here.  This was Steelers favored by 3.5 and. now it's 6. because of the coaching situation.  While its not ideal I get it, but you dont think the Browns would love nothing more here?  Also people are looking at last week and thinking the Steelers rested a bunch of guys and still almost beat the Browns.  Look the Browns were favored by nearly double digits and now Pitt is favored by 6?  Give me the Browns 

I love the. Ravens in a great revenge spot from last season.  Yes, I know the narrative here is that Lamar hasn't won a playoff game but I like the way the Ravens are trending here winning 5 straight and covering 6 straight.  Also I love the matchup for Lamar as the Titans have a horrible defense and he should have a hay day moving the ball.  Titans will have to. get out of their game plan which is pound Henry and I dont think that bold well.

I just have a funny feeling here in this game.  Is there a team that is more excited or motivated to be in the playoffs than Washington?  This Washington defense is nasty and I think they will cause Brady a ton of problems and force him to make some bad throws.  Alex Smith is 5-1 as a starter so that's a plus and they are catching more than a TD? The Bucs are just 4-4 ATS on the road and sure they are 5-2 SU their last 7 but all 5 wins against non  playofff teams and. 2 losses against playoff teams.

Something is wrong with this Seahawks team you can't ignore it.  They have only scored over 30 points once in the last 8 games and that was against the Jets.  I also trust Mcvay and company here and this line smells as we see a backup QB against a former Super Bowl winner only getting a FG.  the betting public will be all over the Seahawks here.  To me it's all about the defense here and with that you have to take the Rams. 

I'm going to take the Colts here in this game.  Dont get me wrong I like what Buffalo has done and they deserve credit, however now they are favored by 6.5 in a playoff game and this it totally different waters.  Both defenses are actually pretty similar but numbers. wise the edge belongs to the Colts. Rivers has also been in plenty of playoff games. so I trust the experience factor.  I'm not saying Colts win but I dont see a blowout 

It seems like the Titans are getting a ton of love because Henry and crew have gone off the last couple games.  Well those games were against the Lions and Jags two teams who are clearly done for the year.  The main thing here is that the Packers are playing for the #1 overall seed and that means a huge deal to Rodgers and them.  The Titans defense is average at best and to me I dont see how they slow down Aaron and company. 

I get that Hurts has really provided a spark to this Eagles team especially with his legs but now al of the sudden they are laying points to a division rival who is also playing well?  The Cowboys have found new life here and now all of the sudden find themselves staring down the playoffs. Cowboys D is flying around making plays creating turnovers.  I think the wrong team is favored here. 

I will lay it with the Chargers.  There is no doubt the Chargers have been one of the most frustrating teams to watch in the league this season.  They are clearly so much better than their record indicates.  Throw in the fact that the Chargers blew a huge lead @ Denver in a very gross comeback victory I think will Ladd fuel to them here.  I thought this line would be 5 or so actually so will gladly lay the short price here 

The Football is now a public team as crazy as that it to say.  Honestly though with them starting Haskins there is no way I want anything to do with him. I know the line is reflecting that he is starting but give me Teddy as the dog here.  Sharp money has came in on Carolina moving this line down.  The Panthers have lost 3 straight games by a total of just 14 points.  They have been in every game.  I think they win this one outright here.

I think too much is being made of the Giants and what they have to play for.  They were in a great spot last week and failed to show against the Browns.  Jones is a big time question as well and it doesn't matter to me if he goes or not.  The Giants offense is struggling big time as they haven't scored over 20 points in each of the last 4 games.  Baltimore on the other hand is starting to click right now scoring 37,47,40 their last 3 games.  I think they put it on the Giants here. 

I will take the points here with the Raiders.  This Miami team does have a lot to play for yes but the love they are getting is simply too much here.  The look ahead line last week here was Raiders -2 and now it has flipped 5 points.  There is no reason for that big of adjustment here.  Raiders dont have a great defense but the Miami offense isn't exactly anything to brag about.  Carr is playing and I trust Gruden here not letting this team totally collapse down the stretch. 

I just dont understand this line at all.  We have a 3rd string QB starting for the Niners who are one of the most injured teams in the league that literally have nothing to play for and the Cardinals on the other hand have everything to play for.  Clearly this line doesn't make much sense as it should be higher.  Cards offense lead by Murray I think will have a field day while I see the Niners really struggling on the offensive end.

I just dont get the love for the Bucs.  This team quite frankly doesn't pass the eye test at all.  They were very lucky last week as the refs gave them a couple huge calls and yet they still couldn't pull away from the Vikings.  The Bucs are laying the same number the road as they were. last. week and this is a division rival.  Falcons would love. nothing more than to spoil the Bucs season.  I know Atlanta hasn't been great but they clearly better than their record indicates.  Also Jones their RB is out for the game as well 

There is zero reason right now for the Niners to be favored especially on the road.  They have had two great spots back to back and came up short big time.  The Niners season is now lost following those two bad losses hard to imagine where their head is.  I think all the injury issues as well is a huge concern.  The Cowboys here I will take my chances as they are. coming off a win on the road.  Dallas losing to Washington and Baltimore recently doesn't look quite so bad now either.  I think there is still some fight left in this team.  

I really like the Seahawks here in this spot for several reason.  First, the love for Washington is pretty high right now as they have won 4 straight games.  The thing is though Smith is banged up and probably won't play and Haskins is clearly a guy that no one trusts at all.  Seattle still can win their division and definitely wont be looking past this red hot team.  I really feel like we are getting a good discount here with them because of Washington's success.  

I will take the Texans here in this game.  Colts off a big road win over Raiders and Texans off an ugly loss vs Bears.  2 weeks ago though people are quick to forget that the Texans should have won the game outright if it wasn't for a fumble on 1st and goal inside the 5 yard line.  Texans get Cooks back at WR so that is a big help.  I think they still have a sour taste in their mouth from that game and this is too many points.  The Colts also missing some defensive players including Slay their best corner and Leonard their best all around player on defense who really makes them go.

I think this is a discount here with the Vikings.  Yes, they didn't cover last week but their kicker was 0-4 in the game which had a huge part to do with it.  Also the refs really cost them twice on crucial plays in the game giving the Bucs points both times.  Bears getting a lot of love for their performance last week.  I had them over the Texans but that game in an outlier as it was their best showing all season.  I like to fade teams off their best effort.  Vikings much better overall team 

I really like Denver here in this spot.  The Bills are going to be extremely popular here and are getting a little too much love for my liking right now.  Buffalo is off a huge home run win over Pitt and now a big travel spot.  This Denver team clearly hasn't quit at all on the season and it showed again last week with a nice road win as a dog.  I think they will be able to run the ball here muck it up a little.  I also think Bills D is overrated and I see Lock playing a very good game. 

This series for whatever reason has always been close.  I think the Lions are definitely live here.  They will get back Swift and Golliday who are crucial for this team.  Prior to the Packers covering earlier this season Detroit has covered every game going back to 2017.  This series is just close like mentioned and this is too many points.  Detroit can hang some points here now with Stafford and a healthier squad.  

I'm going against the grain here for sure with the Eagles.  Simple here for me as I think Hurts will provide a spark to this team in general.  Wentz has flat out put this team in horrible positions with all his turnovers.  I know the Saints D is good but I also wonder how much interest they have here with the Chiefs on deck.  Philly's D is underrated and Im still not blown away with Hill at  QB.   I like the Eagles to keep it close here

I will take the Chiefs here in this game.   I think the betting public will now be writing them off since they. haven't covered for over a month.  Yes, they have a huge game next week but with their red zone performance. last week I think they will get it right.  Miami has been on a hot run sure but most of that is because of their defense.  I don't see Mahomes giving them any gifts like they have been getting.  Miami has struggled on offense, look last week playing a horrible defense in Cincy and can't get to 20 points.  I think this is a statement game and the Chiefs are back in the hunt to claim the 1 seed for the AFC

I will take Denver here.  I think both of these teams are very equal and Carolina has been a favorite twice this season and both of those meeting they lost outright.  Carolina is dealing with players being out like McCaffrey, Samuel, Moore.  They are thin at RB and WR.  They are getting respect because of their bye week.  Denver I had last week vs the Chiefs and they covered.  The week before you throw out because they didn't have a QB.  But 2 games ago they beat the red hot Miami Dolphins.  I think this team is still playing hard.  

A little too much love here on the Patriots.  So yes they embarrassed the Chargers but should we really upgrade them for that?  Cam is really struggling right now and lets face it the Patriots offense is going to struggle against maybe right now the best defense in the league.  I trust Mcvay and company here to get it done.  This team is looking to win their division so they have plenty of motivation.  

I like Denver here in this spot Sunday night.  First, I could make the case they they are the most motivated team in the league following what took place with with them and the league last week with their QB situation.  I think that really fires them up for this especially against a division rival.  Also worth noting last week when the Broncos faced the Saints with a WR at QB the line was just a couple more points than now.  Chiefs are clearly a public team and I would make the case this is a let down spot for them following two big road game vs Raiders and Tampa now with two big ones on deck with Miami and Saints.  The total here is also 50.5 which everyone will be betting the over giving me more confidence the books know the low score here providing extra value with Denver 

I like the Cardinals here as now they opinion of them has changed here.  The look ahead line here was a PK and now both teams lose but the Rams get the love and are favored by 3?  I'm not buying this type of reaction.  I think Murray is healthy this week and the Cardinals were pretty unlucky last week @ New England or else I think they are favored here.  This game matters to the Cardinals more here as both teams would have the same record if AZ won.  I know both teams are motivated but to me these teams are equal and I will take AZ