Weird line here as the look ahead was actually lower than and following last weeks results they actually made the line higher which is the opposite.  Public will still want nothing to do with the Bucs here in this game, but I think we get a big effort and wouldn't be shocked to see another upset

I really like the Panthers here in this spot.  The Falcons I had last week as they pulled a big upset as a 13 point dog and beat the Saints outright.  I think it's tough to follow that up here.  The Panther have two losses the last 7 games and that is at @ SanFran and @ Grenn Bay, two of the better teams in the league.  Let's no hold that against them plus they were in the Packer game with a chance to tie it last week.  Odds makers are saying Carolina is only a 1 point favorite on a neutral? I'm not buying it

I had the Vikings last week in a nice winner +3 over the Cowboys on Sunday night football.  I dont think the motivation will be there today for them in this spot.  I also like that after the QB change for Denver Allen got his first win beating the Browns but then had a bye now and I think the effort will be there for Denver.  They will keep this close

I had the Browns last week -2.5 in a winner over the Bills and like the spot here again tonight.  Maybe they needed a little fire under their ass to get things going.  The betting public seems to be falling a little too hard for the Steelers right now.  I think we see the Browns make serious push as crazy as that seems.

I like the Vikings here and I know most will be scared to back Cousins here in a prime time game and I get it.  I don't think these two teams are equal or Dallas is actually better which is what the line is suggesting.  The Vikings D here will be the difference in the game as they will force Dak to beat them.  The game last week for both teams were misleading and now we get the hook here with the better team

I'm taking the Browns here tomorrow.  Most will look at this line and obviously grab the 6-2 team as a road dog.  I just think the season is finally down to this game here and I believe they respond.  Browns are most definitely better than their record and have played a tougher schedule.  

So we get a home game here for both teams actually and I just think the Giants are that much better.  I know the Giants have some injury concerns but with the Jets laying that egg at Miami last week, I  think their season is toast.  Jones needs to take care of it better and last week was very misleading vs the Cowboys

This line is crazy inflated here.  Yes, both teams are off the bye here and Brees is coming back.  I can't see this game at all here in the blowout fashion. If the Falcons had gave up o their season IMO we would have seen it the week vs Seattle with a back up QB.  I think they would love nothing more to play spoiler so I believe the effort will be there

I love the Bears here tomorrow.  If you have followed me most this season I have been against them a lot and it has worked out in my favor.  I think now is the buy low time on Chicago.  The Bears D won't have any issue getting pressure on Stafford.  Also the Lions are banged up on offense and don't have a running game at the moment.  This is also the Bears season on the line here.  The effort will be here in a huge bounce back performance

This will be one of the most public vs sharp plays of the week.  The betting public will love the Packers here laying a short number on the road with a stadium that will mostly be Green Bay fans. I just think the Chargers will start to turn around their season as last weeks win @ Chicago will be a major boost.  I'm also not a firm believer in the Packers and just really like this spot here to go against them.  They have benefited so far from a pretty easy schedule.

I know the public side here for sure, but this is now a must win game for the Browns if they have postseason hopes.  Sure, the case you can make for Denver is that Allen can't play any worse than Flacco but still this is his first start of his career and with a limited offense this will be difficult.  I think the Browns know they need to strike first here as Denver will struggle to play catch up.  I like Baker to have a nice bounce back here 

Odds makers are telling you that these teams are near equal on a neutral field?  There is absolutely no way I believe that at all.  Sure, the Panthers looked bad last week, but that was against an undefeated Niner team who is very good.  The Titans have looked better with Tannenhill no doubt but they have also been extremely lucky and should have lost their last two games, but since they didn't that is helping this line.  Carolina will control this game in a nice bounce back.

Maybe I am way off here, but how can you possibly like the Bears.  What have they shown with Trubisky under the helm for them?  The Bears have lost 3 straight games and I think players are starting to be comes frustrated especially with the offense.  The Eagles have had their struggles for sure, but they had a coming out party last game and I like to back those teams returning home.  Bears aren't a good team and the books are slow to adjust here

I love the Jags here tomorrow in London.  I think they should actually be favored here given the fact that the Texans took a major blow with Watt being done.  The texans defense wasn't exactly lighting things up to begin with and now lose him.  Also the Jags should have won the first meeting being stopped at the half yard line after going for 2.  Also worth noting that the Jags are the most familiar team traveling to London while this will be the Texans first time and that is a huge advantage.

I really like this value here with the Giants. It looks like they will be returning some key pieces here in Barkley Shepard Engram which is major upgrade for them.  I also think the Cardinals are being over valued here with back to back late seconds win over the Bengals and Falcons which both could have easily been lost.  The Giants are a much improved team with Jones at QB

I love the Colts here this Sunday coming off their bye week.  I actually think both of these teams are extremely equal and therefore the value lies with the Colts here.  I think the perception here is really with the Texans that they are a lot better team.  Texans defense hasn't traveled very well on the road for the Texans giving up nearly 7 yard per play.  The Colts are also returning some key pieces on defense here which is huge.  I love the Colts here

I will take Denver here as we just need them to win the game.  While I know last weeks game was very mis leading with the Titans as they missed 4 FG's and had a Touchdown called back, this offense is just brutal to watch.  I also think Denver is a lot better than their 1 win shows.  They should have beat the Bears straight up, hung with Green Bay, blew another game against the Jags and last week won an impressive game at Chargers last week.  Denver still hasn't quit and I think this is a must win for them 

Another great spot here for the Chiefs as Mahomes and company dropped the game to the Colts on primetime as double digit favorites.  Mahomes was banged up but he is playing this week and won't have any issues against this Texans defense.  Yes, the Chiefs defense isn't great either, but we are now getting a discount on them for the first time with them failing to cover in 3 straight games.  The Texans are coming off a game scoring 50+ and the betting public loves to back those type of teams.  

I'm still high on this Vikings team and I think the betting public will be on the Eagles as most are remembering the road win at Green Bay, but that Eagles team was a desperate team.  I still think the Vikings are one of the best teams in the NFC and can control the Eagles offense.  The media loves to hate on Cousins and people get scared away when that happens.  The thing is though that the Vikings offense still has a ton of weapons.  I like the Vikings here to control the game and get the win and cover the short number.

I really like the Browns here at this price and feel they should be favored.  This is honestly a perfect storm set up here as the Browns are coming off an ugly showing Monday night on primetime and now the betting public will want nothing to do with them.  I think the Seahawks are extremely overrated here as they were lucky to beat the Rams and in fact they have survived 3 very close games.  The Seahawks have simply done nothing to be favored here in this game.  I love the Browns in this spot

I love the Jaguars also here in this game.  The Saints are simply getting way too much love here now going 3-0 with Teddy under the helm and the betting public will be on them no doubt this week.  I actually think this line will really move closer to game time so grab this line now for the Jags.  The Jags absolutely dominated the Panthers last week but it didn't show on the scoreboard.  This is now the perfect spot to buy the Jags with Minshew who clearly can flat out play. 

This is a great spot here for Dallas now.  The Cowboys lost on prime time @ the Saints and looked ugly in doing so which now I think the public will love Rodgers as a dog.  Well in fact the Packers have been terrible as a dog and on the road over the years.  Green Bay was exposed last Thursday IMO has this so called better defense didn't do much against the Eagles which were the best offense they have played.  Dallas will be able to control the game with Zeke on the ground keep Rodgers off the field.  Also Adams for GB is a game time decision as well which would be a huge loss

This is simply too many points here in this division game.  The Broncos are now a team the betting public wants nothing to do with.  The Broncos were just 7 point dogs two weeks ago at a better Green Bay team.  So the fact they didn't cover the last two but actually should have and they blew the game last week, all that is creating a big over inflated line.  Chargers are banged up pretty bad right now as well which you have to consider.  I don't think the Broncos have totally quit yet and will show up against this division rival

I think the betting public will be on the Bills here, especially given that they took the Patriots down to the wire last week.  I just think that is a tough spot to follow here now.  The Bills also have big time questions with their QB Allen being questionable.  If he is indeed out and Barkely is the starter this line will sky rocket.  I think it's worth the chance here to grab this short number regardless of what happens.  Allen clearly won't be 100% even if he does go.  Titans were impressive last week @ Atlanta in which they controlled that game from start to finish.  Also worth noting that the Bills wins have came against the Jets, Giants and Bengals not exactly world beaters there

I just think there is a ton of value here with the Steelers catching more than a field goal at home in this division rivalry.  I think we are starting to see the true colors of this Ravens team.  Their two wins are against Miami and Arizona.  Pittsburgh played very well Monday night and I think their defense will hold Lamar in check.  It's also important now that Rudolph has a couple games under his belt now.  I'm not a believer in this Ravens team as they need to prove something on defense.  They are giving up 7.3 yards per play which is horrible. 

This is a big time discount here on the Bengals.  So they were 3.5 point dogs last week suggesting that the Bengals would have been -2 vs the Steelers who are way better than the Cardinals.  Now they are only -3 to the Cardinals?  I think the betting public will be off Cincy because of the ugly Monday night performance.  Well the Cardinals have had back to back no shows at home.  Bengals will have some big plays down field as the Cardinals have gave up plenty so far this season.  Kirk the WR for AZ is out which is Murray's big down field threat

The Rams to me are one of if not the most overrated teams in the league following last season and their Super Bowl appearance.  They have been very lucky this season IMO.  First week Carolina was the better team and they got lucky there.  Against the Saints they knocked out Brees which was extremely beneficial.  The Sunday night game @ the Browns that was a coin flip late.  Now their luck finally got up with them getting destroyed by Winston and the Bucs.  I also don't trust Goff to be one of the elite QB's and I think Wilson and company handle their own in this prime time spot and Seattle is a tough spot to play at

I'm going to be a square here I admit it, but this Bears team is no good.  I don't think these teams are equal at all and that is what the line is suggesting here.  The Bears rely so much on that defense which was clearly the case again on Monday night.  The fact they weren't able to pull away and the Skins had a chance to cut the game down to under a TD says a lot about how bad that offense is.  I think the Vikings are one of the most complete teams in the league.  I know the big worry is Cousins, but I trust him a lot more thank Trubisky.  I expect this line to drop big time throughout the week

This is a rally the troops here game for the Broncos before they throw in the towel for the year.  They are 0-3 and clearly desperate and will look to back them here with the motivation edge.  They should have beat the Bears who most are high on so I think they have enough film now on Minshew.  While I love Minshew and what I have seen this, I just think this will be a tall task for him and company here.  Denver was only outgained by the Packers by 2 yards last week and despite being -3 in turnovers they still nearly covered that game and actually should have.  

The Bucs should be 2-1 if it weren't for a missed FG at the end of the game last week.  I also think the Rams are highly overrated right now.  They were lucky week 1 @ Carolina, had the luck of Brees being knocked out week 2 and won in the final seconds against the Browns Sunday night.  I also really like the spot here with the Bucs as the Rams have two big division games on deck.  Simply too many points here with a Tampa team that is clearly improved 

I had the Chiefs last week and got the worst of the number as it dropped throughout the week and they ended up covering the final number at 4.5.  I'm not a firm believer right now in the Lions as they were extremely lucky against the Chargers and also against the Eagles.  Remember week 1 this team tied the Cardinals.  Mahomes is just a whole different animal and I don't see how they can stop this offense.  Also the Chiefs last week should have covered that game as they were up double digits for most of it but of course got back doored.  The Lions defense doesn't present any problems to the Chiefs offense.

I think so far in the 3 games we saw the one outlier game with the Titans and that was week 1 @ the Browns.  The next two games have been ugly for them as Marriota simply isn't the answer at QB anymore.  The Falcons did play a good game against the Colts last week racking up just under 400 total yards.  This team feels due for a major breakout game at home.  With a high scoring team like Atlanta and a challenged offense like the Titans it will be hard for them to keep up.

I'm going to take the Raiders here in this game.  They are coming off a blowout loss @ Minnesota and the previous week vs Kansas City.  Well both of those teams are playoff teams and super bowl contenders.  I'm not going to hold that against them.  Here is where I think Oakland can take control and that is on the ground here.  The Colts defense is giving up some chunks of yards on the ground and with the rookie RB in Jacobs they love to run the ball.  Indy also isn't an explosive offensive team here.  If the Raiders take care of the ball  I wouldn't be surprised if they won outright

I think we get the max effort here from the Eagles tonight avoiding to go 1-4.  They have lost back to back coin flip games in the final minutes and easily could be 3-0.  Also they haven't covered the spread yet so the betting public wants nothing to do with them.  I think the Packers are overrated here playing two bad teams in Chicago and Denver.  The Denver game last week was a misleading final as well.  Even when they jumped out to a big lead against the Vikings they couldn't put it away and that is a concern.  I wouldn't be shocked if the Eagles won outright tonight

I have to take the Redskins here in this game.  The Bears have shown zero signs of an offense so far and were extremely lucky last week @ Denver who is a bad football team.  I simply don't trust Trubisky on the road at all.  The Skins despite not having big time play makers have shown some offense against the Eagles and Cowboys.  Odds makers are saying that the Bears would be favored by double digits on @ Chicago and no way am I buying that 

Coming Later

We are seeing a big time over reaction here on this game.  last week the look ahead line was Pittsburgh -1.5 and now with Big Ben going out, the line has moved 8 points?  He isn't worth 8 points no way.  People are also forgetting that Mason Rudolph played 70% of the game last week and still almost beat Seattle and would have had a great chance but a bad call at the end cost him the chance.  San Fran goes from small dogs in both first two games to now TD favorites?  Huge over reaction and I think Pitt keeps this very close.

So the betting public will most definitely be off the Chargers here.  The Chargers out played the Lions big time last week, but had some brutal mistakes like missing a couple field goals and a fumble at the 1 yard line that Detroit recovered.  Based on the result though I think we get a really focused SD team that the betting public won't want anything to do with.  The Texans are an overrated team and should have lost last week at home vs the Jags.  The Texans still struggle big time on the OL as they gave up 4 sacks last week and I think the Chargers will get after Watson again here.  

I will take the Chiefs here in their home opener for the season.  Mahomes to me is the best QB in the league and just so dangerous with all the weapons around them.  They are able to score points in a hurry and we saw that last week @ Oakland down 10-0 and then rattle off 28 straight.  I'm also not sold on the Ravens at all here as they have played the Dolphins and Cardinals.  They actually looked very sloppy last week and Murray threw for over 300 yards against them.  I think everyone still remember Lamar lighting up the Dolphins in week 1 and see this @ 6.5 and instantly bet it.  I don't think the Ravens are a come from behind team here and I like the Chiefs to really pour it on

I think the Bills are simply getting way too much respect here because they are 2-0 against an 0-2 team.  The Bengals went on the road week 1 and should have Bearns Seattle, I think people are forgetting about that.  Bills beat the Jets and Giants so which is nothing to impressive.  I wouldn’t be surprised here if the Bengals won outright

I'm not a believer here in the Titans at all and I think the wrong team is favored here.  First, I think we get a big time desperate performance here from the Jags as they are 0-2 and return home.  Minshew has been a great bright spot for the Jags and they should have won last week @ the Texans going for 2 and getting stopped at the half yard line.  Titans are simply getting a ton of respect because of the week 1 performance at the Browns, but the defense rose with touchdowns and that was a misleading final.  Their offense is no good here at all and I expect the jags to feast here.  They held a great Texans offense to 13.   Also the Titans were +2 in turnovers last week and still lost the game at home, that shows you how bad the offense is

I just flat out think the wrong team is favored here in this game.  Odds makers are telling you if going by the lines last week that the Falcons would roughly be -2.5 at home over Minnesota.  Throw this Eagles line in the mix @ Atlanta and they are saying the Eagles would be -6 over the Vikings?  I'm not buying that at all.  The Eagles defense clearly has some issues as the Redskins with zero weapons torched them in the air with 380 yards by Keenum.  I simply think the line is completely off here.  Atlanta will bounce back here at home and put up some point on this Eagles team.  

Really like the Broncos here in this game.  The perfect storm happened on Monday night as they lost to the Raiders and everyone has the Raiders pegged as a bad team, but they actually looked pretty decent.  Denver had a hard time getting after the QB, but that won't be the case here in this game as we saw a Packer defense really get after Chicago.  The Bears are one of the most over hyped teams coming into the season and I am completely shocked they are favored by this given what we saw from them.  Now part of that I do realize is the fact Bears are on a longer week and the Broncos are on a shorter week, but I'm not worried.  This Broncos D will eat up Trubisky and company 

I really like the Bengals here and was on the right side of this move.  Last week the Bengals went into a tough place @ Seattle and took them down to the wire.  You can actually make the case that they were the better team out gaining them by over 200 yards, but the dreaded turnovers got the best of them losing that battle 3-1.  

The Niners weren't that impressive at all to me and benefited from Winston who still continues to throw picks.  The Niners had two touchdowns off 2 pick sixes.  You simply can't rely on that throughout the season in order to get things done.  I wasn't impresses at all bother offense either.  

I definitely think the betting public will want nothing to do with the Steelers here given the fact they looked awful on prime time.  This is easily a get right game for Pitt here and they will bounce back.  We saw how much Seattle gave up in the air to the Bengals and the Steelers have better weapons overall.  I also don't trust this Seattle team much away from home especially playing early on the east coast.  This is another line that will go up as the week goes on.

This to me is a huge overreaction here due to the fact that the Jags lost their QB Foles for quite some time now.  This is now giving us some serious value here with the Jags as the look ahead line here was +3 and now a full TD adjustment?  I was beyond impressed with backup QB Garner Minshew when he came in against the Chiefs and actually started 10/10.  The Texans will be on a short week now after the Monday game which I think they have a hangover from losing that tough game.  The Jags still have a tough defense and I expect them to play better against someone not named Mahomes 

With this line now now hitting 3 this is a big time overreaction here.  They are saying the Denver is nearly a double digit favorite @ Denver?  I'm not buying into that at all.  Sure, Oakland has had their distractions, but I think now that AB is gone this time will rise to the occasion and ball out tonight.  I think they win this game outright

I think the Steelers are being undervalued here.  Yes, they lost Brown but I think that was for the better of the team.  I know Tomlin has had his struggles against the Patriots but I think they can easily keep it within this number here.  There are a lot of questions with the Patriots team with the loss of Gronk this season and Edelman another year older.  Both teams have solid defenses and I think Big Ben will be playing with a chip on his shoulder this season and wouldn't be surprised if the Steelers won outright

I just really like the hire here of Bruce Arians and believe he will make a ton of difference as we saw first hand in Arizona.  He can and will handle Winston and make him a better QB by cutting down on those turnovers.  I t the Bucs wi be a competitive team and it’s not like they don’t have any weapons around him.  49ers are a team that seems to get love with Jimmy under the helm but I’m just not sold.  He hasnt looked anything special this preseason.  I definitely think this line rises.  The only thing the Niners really have going for them in this situation is the later start.  I just believe we see a much improved Bucs team 

This is my favorite NFL play of the week.  If you have listened to my NFL win totals podcast you know I am down on the Rams this season.  I just don't think the Rams can repeat the season they had and I think Carolina will have a major bounce back.  The Panthers were rolling last season before Newton went down.  The defense for the Rams will take a step back this season and Carolina's offense will be even better now all healthy.  I think the wrong team is favored here in this game

Here is another game where I think the public will be all over the dog.  The Rams werent a great team ATS this season, but they were 7-1 at home.  The Cowboys were terrible on the road with a 3-5 record and that is counting a lucky comeback against the Giants in the final game.  The Rams defense will have their way with Dak and shut Zeke down.  

I actually think the betting public is on the Colts here.  The Chiefs haven't been covering recently and a large part was because of the Hunt situation.  I just think Mahomes and company with an extra week will get it done.  I know Reid hasn't been great in the playoffs but this is also his first time with a QB like Mahomes.  The betting public loved the Colts last week and cashed and will be on them again.  I think KC wins easily

I like the Texans here.  I think the public love the Colts more because they remember them beating the Texans @ Houston.  I just think the Texans will shut down the Colts run game and force Luck with throw 35+ times which means a couple turnovers will likely happen.  Texans will make them pay and at this price we aren't covering a number just winning the game 

I see no interest whatsoever from the Bears in this spot.  They already will host a home playoff game next week and it will be against the Vikings.  Their main concern will be keeping Trubisky healthy which means a very conservative game plan and I wouldn't be surprised to see him being pulled.  Vikings have all the motivation here with a win and their in.  I think they roll Chicago

I think the betting public will be all over the Browns here.  While, I do love Baker and the Browns next year I just think they are in over their heads here.  During this nice run by the Browns they have only played 2 playoff teams and lost both by double digits.  Baltimore defense is just nasty as we saw them shut down the Chargers.  I think they get to Baker cause some turnovers and control the clock.

I grabbed this line early and no surprise it has climbed a lot.  Buffalo is a team that is still playing very hard evidence last week even though they aren't in the mix for anything.  Josh Allen provides a spark for them and their defense at home is flat out nasty. They also for sure have revenge on their minds here as they let one slip away in Miami just a few weeks ago in which they dominated the stats.

I think the odds makers have made a mistake here in this game.  This game still means something for the Texans as they want to win the division.  Also at risk is a first round home game which they want so the effort level will be at an all time high.  Jags are done plain and simple and I dont think they show up even with Bortles who lead them to a win last week

This is just too many points here for the Patriots especially given the fact that the total is 46.  If the Jets can score 14 which I think they will they can cover this number.  The Patriots just want to get the game over with a come away with a win.  The division is wrapped up.  Darnold is playing well for the Jets I still think we get a good effort from them

I like the Raiders here tonight to get the job done.  This is a unique situation where this could be the last game ever in their stadium that has a very passionate fan base.  With that being on everyone's mind I think we get the max effort here.  The Raiders are playing tough covering 4 of their last 5 games.  With revenge on their mind here from a 1 point loss earlier I think Oakland gets it done tonight.  

I really like the Seahawks here are can clinch a spot in the playoffs for sure even though they will be in either way.  Seattle and Wilson have been a great home dog over the years and in a prime time game you have to take them.  Ever since the hunt issue came along the Chiefs haven't covered a game without him and in fact the Chiefs haven't covered since the first week of November.  Say what you want about KC being up a lot and teams racking up yards, but this defense doesnt pass the eye test at all.  Seattle will control the game with long drives and scores and will win this game

Yes, I know the 49ers line has been adjusted here from the previous weeks, but they are playing with a ton of confidence right now.  While the Bears have been a surprise this season I think they come in this game with no care in the world after they just won their division for the first time in a while.  This is a perfect flat spot for them coming off that hard fought division game vs the Packers with another division game on deck @ Minnesota.  I know the Niners will play hard and at this home dog price again will take them

I will take the Dolphins here as I just think odds makers are off on this one.  I think last week was a pretty big indication of were the Jags players heads are.  They laid an egg to a team that had to sign a 4th QB and he hadn't played in the NFL for quite some time.  The Dolphins have been a very good home team and are still in playoff contention.  I think they show up against a Jags team that has packed it in

Maybe I am a prisoner of the moment here with the Eagles, but this team is clearly better with Foles at QB as a hurt Wentz literally hurt this team by playing.  Eagles now have all the motivation in the world here coming off that big win.  I know people will say the Texans are motivated but they are basically in the playoffs.  They will be without Miller tomorrow which is a huge loss for their running game. Eagles defense is playing well and they have a major home field advantage.

I will admit I took a flyer on this game based on I thought it was a high chance that Rodgers doesn't play.  Well, he is playing and thats fine.  I got a bad price but do you really want the Packers here who haven't won a road game all season?  The Jets could have beat the Texans last week who had a lot of motivation.  Why can't they beat an overrated Packer team?  

All I have heard all week long is everything regarding the Patriots. It seriously has been Patriots this Patriots that.  I also think people are forgetting how bad New England has looked on the road this season.  I know last week was a weird loss but they got torched by Miami.  While Pitt isn't world beaters I get it, but New England isn't the same team we are custom to seeing either.  This is the Patriots 4th road game in 5 weeks.  They still have their division wrapped up and the Steelers season is on the line.  They wont have a problem scoring

How much interest do the Seahawks really have in this game?  They all but locked up a spot in the playoffs and are coming off an hard fought game even though the final score may not indicate that.  I just think last weeks results for San Fran transfer over here as they just lost to this Seahawk team a couple weeks ago.  That game was also misleading in the fact San Fran put up over 400 yards but the 3 turnovers were the difference.

This is just a great spot here to back the Colts.  Dallas is coming off a very emotional win in OT against the Eagles giving them the division win.  Dallas won't be getting a first round bye so throw that motivation out.  Also this game means a ton to Indy as they are fighting for their playoff lives.  Indy has won 6 of their last 7 but since Dallas has covered 5 straight and are a public team the squares will be all over them.  Luck has an O line that protects and will pick apart an overrated Cowboy secondary 

I like this Bills team here.  Last week they dominated the Jets but not in the final score.  They have had several misleading game like that over the season.  This team is just so much better with Allen at QB.  Buffalo has only allowed one team in the last 6 weeks rush for over 100 yards.  Lions will struggle in that area with Johnson out.  Stafford I also dont trust here going across country now to the cold having to throw it a lot this game.  Buffalo will create turnovers and put Detroit away 

I will take my chances here with the Giants who believe it or not still have a shot at the playoffs.  This team hasn't gave up on the season winning 4 of their last 5 games.  The Titans have struggled on the road with a 2-5 record.  While the loss of OBJ does hurt in some ways I think its relieve for the Giants as he can be a major distraction if things arent his way from the get go. 

I really like the Niners here catching 4.  Last weeks result was very misleading as they actually out gained Seattle in that despite losing by double digits.  They will also get back Garcon and Goodwin who are their 2 best WR's.  Denver had a cupcake game beating a terrible Cincy team who has gave up on the year.  Denver lost Sanders their best WR this week and also Harris their best secondary player.  I think Niners are a live dog 

I will roll with the Ravens here.  I just think the betting public will still be all over KC, but are failing to realize how important Hunt was to that dynamic offense.  The Chiefs clearly missed him last week as they struggled against Oakland.  The Chiefs defense isn't great and Jackson now at QB can control the game with his legs.  The Ravens number 1 defense is something special and I expect a few turnovers from Mahomes.

This Bills team has been very undervalued here as of late.  This team simply has got a bad rap because they had maybe the worst QB ever in Peterman for several weeks.  Well, now they have their rookie QB Allen healthy and are playing well.  Darnold is coming back but is he 100% healthy here against a very good defense.  I just think Buaffalo is very undervalued 

I like Miami here in this division rival game.  They have beat the Patriots 4 of the last 5 years.  I also think New England has been pretty fortunate on the road.  So they had two very lucky covers against the Bills and Jets both who are worse than Miami.  The Dolphins will be motivated as they are battling for a wild card spot.  I just think the Dolphins D can keep it within double digits here

To me its been pretty clear that Rodgers hasn't really tried much and got the wish he wanted which was the firing of their coach.  Now, I think we see Rodgers give a good effort with him gone.  Throw in the fact that the Falcons are just bad and their defense is really bad.  This is also a dome/warm weather team playing in some tough conditions.  I think Rodgers rallies the rest of the guys and they win easily

It’s fair to say that both teams season is on the line tonight.  I just really like the spot here for Washington who has had a ton of time of not playing since Thanksgiving.  That loss @ Dallas doesn’t look so bad and they were in that game.  The Eagles aecondsry isn’t getting any healthier and this team struggles to score more than 20 points.  With those two things in a division rivalry I will take the points

I will take the Steelers here as just a field goal.  Pitt was a part of one of the most misleading games of the year last week as they dominated the Broncos every way possible but the scoreboard.  They were down 4-0 in turnovers and still had a chance to take the game into OT. While the Chargers are a good football team I think their record is a little inflated because they have played a pretty soft schedule.  Also this is a warm weather team traveling north which is a spot I always look for.

Anytime in December you can lay less than a TD at home with Brady and company you have to take it.  With that being said this line does smell a little bit as they know a lot of people will be jumping on board New England here.  Odds Makers are saying that the Patriots are only 1 to 1.5 point favorite on a neutral?  I'm not buying that.

I'm going to take the Browns here as this team isn't throwing in the towel even though they likely aren't making the playoffs.  They have won back to back games now and I believe they match up very well with the Texans.  

The Texans were lucky last week IMO as Vrabel made a bad decision to go for it on 4th and 1 on at 3 and get stopped.  The next play Houston scores on a 97 yard TD run.  That took all the wind out of their sails as a huge momentum shift.  I also think this is a different spot here for Houston on a short week and they have the Colts on deck which ultimately will decide the division winner.   

I will take the Titans here as I think the Texans are simply the luckiest team in the league right now.  I won't go through every game but this team could easily be below .500 and for those who have watched them you know what I'm talking about.  Yes, they have the revenge angle here, but the Titans are a legit team under Vrabel.  I think the Titans defense will create some pressure and turnovers and I wouldn't be surprised if they won this game outright

I really believe this is the perfect spot to back the Vikings following last weeks game @ Chicago.  Odds makers are suggesting that these two teams are even on a neutral field and no way I am buying that.  I think the defense on Minnesota really steps up here.  Remember earlier in the season this games ended in a tie but the Vikings were 1.5 point favorites saying that then they were 7.5 point at home so this is an extreme discount here

I had the Colts last week as an easy winner, but now odds makers are adjusting way too much here.  The Dolphins still have a ton to play for as well as they are fighting for the playoffs.  They also are coming off their bye week which only helps.  I do this Colts team but the number itself has gotten out of hand.  

I know this one might be hard to swallow but I really like Buffalo tomorrow.  I think the Bills are getting a bad rap here because of the Peterman playing and boy was he awful.   Well Josh Allen returns here and remember this Bills team with him won @ the Vikings.  I think after the crushing lost last week to Pitt blowing that game the Jags season is over as they are a mess.  Bills have the 2nd ranked defense in the league as well

Well I know the Giants have only beat the Bucs and Niners off their bye week, but that only gives them confidence to continue this run and make the post season since no one is running away with this division.  The Eagles just aren't what everyone thought they would be coming off the Super Bowl win.  Their defense especially their secondary has really struggled and that is where I see the Giants exposing them with their play makers.  Division game and season on the line this is too many points

Let me say I know Oakland is bad.  I just think this is way too many points for a Ravens team to be laying who really struggles to score in the 20's.  They have only scored more than 24 once in the past 6 weeks.  I think can score at least a couple times and keep it within the number here.  We saw a Raider team most had written off go on the road and win so they are't throwing in the towel quite yet

I'm going to go with the Lions here on Thanksgiving.  I think the Bears are in a very difficult situation here playing a national televised game against the Vikings in a big win.  Now they are without their QB here.  I think the Lions believe they can still salvage their season evident last weekend beating the Panthers.  Lions will miss their RB Johnson dont get me wrong, but I think they have enough to get by facing Chase Daniel now 

This line really smells but have to take KC here.  I know that since the game was switched to LA it actually didn't go up high enough considering it was 2.5 3 for a neutral field game.  KC has the explosive offense here that will tear apart the Rams IMO.  The Rams have really struggled here a lot on defense lately.  This game feels like a coin flip either way so will gladly take the 4

Odds makers are telling you that these two teams are the same on a neutral field.  I'm just not buying that.  The Bears have had a nice season and are winning games I just think they are extremely overrated right now.  This Vikings team is a lot healthier now and are coming off their bye week which helps.  Lets also be honest about how easy the Bears scheudle has been so far as well.  This could be a PK by game time 

This is just too many points to pass up on here with the Eagles.  The Saints are now the hottest team in football especially with the blowout last week.  While they may be the best team in the league we are getting a huge effort here from the Eagles after a poor showing on national tv against the Cowboys.  This game will for sure be a Pro's vs Joe's