So the Raiders here were flat out embarrassed last week scoring just 3 points and got blown out by the Falcons.  I think this is a great bounce back spot for them here as they are very much alive in the playoff race for the AFC.  The Jets were in a great spot last week getting Darnold back and facing a division rival but flat out laid an egg.  Raiders have been a much better road road team this season with a 4-2 record SU and ATS.  Raiders in a great spot and I think we do see the effort following the horrible performance last week

I like the Dolphins here really to put the hammer down the Cincy.  The Bengals had a kickoff return last week and a late one after Jones went out for the Giants.  The fact that they covered they are getting some respect.  I know book makers wouldn't make Dolphins a 2 touchdown favorite but I don't think we all know how bad this Cincy team is now.  Their season is shot and quite frankly you will see their lines get bigger and bigger.  

I'm taking the Colts here in this game.  I think they will be extra motivated here following an ugly loss to the Titans who clearly had revenge on their mind.  The Colts here have a great advantage of running the ball and also return players from the Covid list last week.  Texans lost some key players in Roby on defense but their biggest player outside of Watson in their WR Fueller.  He meant so much to that offense I dont think they are adjusting enough for his loss.  

This will definetly be a sharp vs public type of game here.  Everyone now has teen Tom Brady in two prime time games simply wet the bed. They will for sure run to grab the Chiefs here based on those. results.   The Chiefs just aren't as good as anyone is making them out to be.  They have now survived back to back close games to the Panthers and Raiders and really could have easily lost both of those.  Chiefs are just 3-2 ATS on the road.  Also the Chiefs don't present a rush defense like the Rams did where Brady will have more time to pick them apart. 

I like the Broncos here in this spot.  They showed me something last week facing a red hot Dolphins team.  Yes, the Saints won and covered as the Falcons and Ryan were an absolute no show. However, I wasn't extremely impressed with Hill at all and just think since they covered this line is inflated.  The Saints only scored 24 on a very bad Falcons defense.  Denver is much better here and also the Saints have the Falcons again next week.  Weird spot for the Saints to be in here, I will take the points with Denver.

yea, the Cardinals haven't looked great the last few weeks and were extremely lucky against the Bills.  I think though we are getting a very cheap price here with them.  Murray is still having a great year and with the Patriots result last week it tells me they have thrown in the towel on the season.  That Texans team is flat out horrible and the Patriots were a no show.  Cardinals have a lot riding on their season and following a Thursday night loss with extra time to prep here I think they win this one and cover the short number.

I am really shocked this opened this low.  Last week the Vikings opened up a 7 point favorite vs the Cowboys and I had Dallas as they won outright.  Well now you're telling me that this Panther team without McCaffrey and possible a backup QB are better than Dallas?  No way I'm buying that at all.  Cook is going to have a field day against one of the worst rushing defenses in the league.  I know Thelin is on the Cover list but it shouldn't matter.  I really love this bounce back spot for Minnesota as they still have a legit chance at the playoffs. 

I had the Colts last week as they won and covered against the Packers in OT.  The Titans also won and covered abasing the Ravens in OT.  I really like these quick division revenge games.  These teams met just two games ago on a Thursday and the Colts really took it to them.  I think everyone will jump back on board them here.  The Titans still put up 157 on the ground vs this good Colts defense so I think the score was pretty misleading.  Tannehill played a horrible game which is what cost them.   This is a FG either way at most and wouldn't be shocked if the Titans won at their place this time around 

Alright the Chargers finally got win and now. lets back them here.  Every single game they have lost has been one possession.  The Chargers you could make the case for here that they are the best 3-7 team ever.   This team has talent across the board and I think will present problems for the Bills and their weak defense.  Buffalo coming off their bye probably feeling pretty fat and happy right now with a 7-3 start.  Their whole division just lost last week so giving them more cushion.  This isn't a Bills team I think should be laying near touchdowns to many teams at all.  They also play a. ton of close games as 6 of their. last 7 have been by one possession.  

I'm taking the Jets here in this game.  If you have watched the Dolphins since Tua has been starting you know they have been pretty lucky since a lot of their touchdowns have came fro their defense.  Tua got benched last week but now are starting again.  There. is plenty of film out and I think with this being a division game the Jets will be motivated.  Jets were also skinned 24-0 in the first meeting which I think provides a little extra edge as well. 

I was on the Cowboys last week as they beat the Vikings straight up as a 7 point underdog.  The thing here is now Dalton is back healthy and more comfortable.  This  Cowboys team still has a ton of talent and that was on full display.  They beat literally one of the hottest teams in the league and that says something.  This Cowboys team still believes they can win this division and why not. I'm going to ride the momentum here of that win and believe it carries over here.  Dallas had their worst game of the season vs the. Football Team in scoring 3 points.  Cowboys out for some revenge on Thanksgiving.

I really like the Chiefs here in this spot Sunday night.  They have had this game circled on the schedule since they lost to them.  In. fact it has been the only. team to lose as a double digit favorite this season.  We all know Andy Reid is by far the best coach in the league or world for that matter off the bye.  The. Chiefs will be taking big time shot down the field to. expose that Raiders secondary.  I think they build a lead and that changes the Raiders gameplay as they want to control it on the ground again.  Mahomes and company make a statement win.

I like the Colts here in this game.  This is a team I really haven't looked to back much because of Rivers, but I think they are underrated right now.  This defense can flat out play and they are playing with a ton of confidence.  I think the Packers are extremely overrated and it proved last week as they struggled with a horrible Jags team.  Their defense is an issue but in large part it hasn't been shown because of their level of competition.  Indy can control the game on the ground here which I think is the key.  Also give me the way better D ,Colts win this game and cover the short number.

I like the spot here for the Cowboys.  yes, their defense is awful but I believe this is the ultimate sell high spot on the Vikings right now.  They have won and covered 3 straight games and all of these were against division teams.  Cowboys are off the bye now and do have some players healthy on defense.  I could really see the Vikings struggling out of the. gate here on the short week.  This is also one of those games that a lot of people will be picking in survivor pools.  If you follow that closely you know that in recent weeks teams that will be most selected have flat out struggled big time win the game example Packers last week.  Cowboys are a live dog 

I know Darnold is out in this game but I the Chargers laying double digits?  This is simply just too many points here. The Jets have covered 2 of their last 3 games and I have to question where the heads of the Chargers are after yet another single digit loss and essentially being eliminated from the playoffs last week.  Also the Chargers were favored by 8 over the Jags and covered but that was extremely misleading as the Jags lead that game late in the 3rd.  I wouldn't be shocked here if the Jets did something crazy and won this game.  They dont wanna be that team that has zero wins so I still think they will put forth an effort.

I'm adding the Football team here in this game today.  Cincy was in a great spot last week off their bye and flat out failed to show. Yes, the Football team got down. @ Detroit by 21 but clearly there is a lot of fight left in them and that is what you're looking for with these kind of teams. late in the season.  They fought back tied it and had a chance to win.  Also worth noting is the fact that the Football team has such a much better defense and they will be coming at Burrow left and right as he has one of the worst OL in the league

Coming later

So we are seeing the lowest total on the board this week and getting a dog of more than touchdown?  Yes, we. can all agree the.  Patriots are down and they needed a. comeback against the Jets as. everyone witnessed.  Alright, flip this situation and ask yourself. do you like what you. have seen from Baltimore on offense so far? I think it's safe to say that Baltimore can score around mid 20's.  To me if that's the scenario, then worst case that the Patriots are live for a back door even if they only have 14 points.  I trust Bellichick here in a prime time game to have his team ready

I like the Bengals here in this spot.  We all can clearly agree that Pitt is no where. near as good as their undefeated record.  Last week they struggled big time. against a pathetic Cowboys defense.  The Steelers offense has scored over 300 the last 3 games and I think this is difficult here for them coming off three 3 straight road games as well.  Cincy is fresh off their bye and had a big win going into their. bye week.  I look for the momentum to carry them. here.  Burrow is the real deal and he will move the. ball on them.  

Everyone right now seems to love the Dolphins.  Yes, they have been a nice surprise to say the least.  I. just think now we are seeing them in a role that they are use to being in.  This will only be the 2nd time all season that they have been favored and it was against the Jets the first time.  Yes, the Chargers have lost several close games but I think they rise to the occasion here.  Miami has multiple injuries at RB and WR.  I also think the fact that Miami keeps scoring defensive TD's has them inflated.

Alright this is a big time bounce back spot here for Detroit.  They  have lost.  back to back games but right now IMO they are playing the worst team in football in the Football team with the. fact that Alex Smith is now their starting QB.  This offense is just brutal and while. Smith's comeback story is nothing short of phenomenal but he has looked flat out terrible and simply isn't mobile.  Detroit here isn't eliminated from playoff contention yet and I think they bounce back with a big one in a great spot.

I love the Bucs here Sunday night.  They clearly had this game circled as we saw their no show performance on Monday night against the Giants.  I love this spot for the Bucs because they have this game circled as. they lost week 1 and it was Brady's fault as he threw. the pick 6 that sealed the game.  I also think the betting public will love that. Thomas and Sanders will be back this week so they think the Saints will score well I dont it see it that way.  The Saints O and Brees check downs dont scare the Bucs.  I trust Bucs in the revenge game 

I like the Cardinals here in this game.  I like people are going to big time overreact to what they saw vs the Rams last week.  The Dolphins were very lucky having multiple defensive/special teams touchdowns.  The offense couldn't get over 200 total yards for the game.  Now, they dont have a running game at all with cluster injuries at that position.  AZ coming off the bye week and the look ahead line last week was 6.  There is no reason to downgrade the Cardinals for not playing.  I think they roll here in this spot.  

I think the betting public will love them some Raiders here this week.  Yes the Raiders have surprised a lot of people this season but I also think they are over valued here as the look ahead line was the Chargers -3 last week.  So with Vegas winning and Chargers losing in horrific fashion no one will want the Chargers who could easily be above 500 here.  I think this is the ultimate rally the troops game as the coaches will be preaching they still have a chance at the playoffs if they win this game which they do.  A loss here would mean season over.  max effort here for the Chargers. 

I like the Panthers here in this game.  First, they return their stud CMC and he clearly matches up very well against the Chiefs here as they struggle against the run.  The Chiefs I doubt are that interested here as their bye week is looming.  Carolina and Teddy will take. care of the ball which is. why he covers. so well as a dog.  They have the longer week to prepare here coming off Thursday night.  I see Carolina scoring in the 20's which will be enough to cover here easily.  

I like the Titans here which won't be a popular pick by any means.  Let's look at it as the Bears are 5-3 and 5-3 ATS and everyone loves their defense as it keeps them in games.  I think oddsmakers are clearly tilting their hand here to what they feel about the Bears.  The Bears also have big time cluster injuries on their OL that is already one of the worst in the league.  Titans are undervalued here and they do score 30 ppg.  With the Titans losing to the Bengals last week everyone will write them off.  I love them this week.  Bears also off an OT loss which is more difficult 

I know this is an ugly one here but I will take the Bears.   First, no one will want anything to do with. them after the Monday showing where they didn't score a TD on offense.  Well, this line is clearly inflated here and the Saints are no good.  What the Saints love to do the Bears D will be able to control in Karmara.  I also think worth noting that the Bears were pinned deep a handful of times inside their own 5 which is difficult for any team.  Great bounce back spot and I think the Bears really put forth a big effort.

I will take Seattle here in a nice bounce back spot.  I was against them last week on the Sunday night game and they lost in OT.  The thing is though they could have easily covered if it weren't for the personal foul on the field goal that resulted in a first down.  They also had a TD called back in OT.  So they had several things go against them in covering and off a loss I trust Wilson.  I think San Fran is getting a ton of respect here for the last two weeks beating the Rams and Patriots.  San Fran still has a ton of injuries and I like Seattle in this spot.

This line here is one of the biggest knee jerk reactions we are seeing.  So I had Denver and lost last week but the Chiefs have 3 defensive/special teams TD which is super lucky.  In fact Denver out gained KC for the game.  The Chargers were 8.5 point favorites over the Jags last week and Jacksonville was actually leading late in the third so with the Chargers covering it was misleading on their end.  So they are saying that if this game were played in @ LA that the Chargers would be favored by nearly the same as the Jags?  No way not buying it.  Denver bounces back here.  Herbert is good but being a road favorite now against a division rival?  Denver is the play here

The Titans. just suffered their first lost to the Steelers but this team is vastly overrated IMO.  Let's look at their first 3 wins.  They beat the Broncos by 2, Jags by 3 and Vikings. by 1.   I mean these are bottom team who they barely beat.  Also they were favored by 3 @ Minnesota and I think this Bengals team is better than them right now.  The Bengals should have won last week as the Browns scored with just seconds left in the game.  Burrow is the real deal and the Titans D isn't anything special.  This is simply way too many points here

This will clearly be a sharp/square game here.  Everyone and their mother will be all over the Steelers here as they are undefeated.  I just love this situation for the Ravens coming off the bye week.  It's interesting to me how really not many are talking about this team at all right now.  I'm not taking anything away from Pitt but lets look at the lines.  The Titans were favored by 1.5 over them and you are telling me that the Ravens are. only 2 points better than Tennessee?  I dont buy that clearly.  I think Ravens win this easily

I believe this is the buy low spot on the Bills.  They didn't look good at all last week vs the Jets but that game was extremely misleading as the Bills outgained them by over 200 yards but couldn't find the end zone.  I just think the Patriots had the perfect situation last week and quite simply failed to respond.  They were coming off a bad loss to the Broncos at home and had the chance to respond vs the Niners and failed to. against all the. injuries. they have.  Buffalo I believe shows this division is now theirs in a big way

This is just a great spot here to back the Dolphins.  I know many will have questions about why make this. move to Tua so early considering the Dolphins have a legit chance to make the playoffs.  To me it shows the confidence they have in him.  I also think this is the worst spot for the Rams here.  First, they are on a short week coming off the MNF win over the Bears, but their travel schedule has just been brutal as this is their 5th time on the east coast of the season which is a ton. They have their bye week following and I think this is the ultimate let. down spot here.  Miami will be more motivated coming off their bye.

I will take the Cardinals here as they were flexed to the Sunday night game.  Seattle is getting way too much respect here for me.  So oddsmakers are saying that the Cardinals would be 6.5 or more point dogs @ Seattle suggesting that AZ is worse than the Vikings?  No way that is the case.  Seattle has been very very lucky to say the least.  Murray will expose this very bad defense with some big time plays. This is way too many points here.  This game will easily be one of sharp vs square games 

I really like the Broncos here in this game.  This team showed me a lot last week going into New England and winning outright.  In fact the game wasn't even as close as the final score might indicate.  They have the injury bug but are now getting some pieces back on defense which is key vs the Chiefs.  This is a short week for KC against a division rival and throw in the fact it's suppose to snow a lot, I think Denver can really keep this close.

I'm going to lay it here with the Patriots in a great bounce back spot.  This team was simply flat last week and you can blame a lot of that on not being able to practice and prepare and it clearly showed.  This Niners team is coming off a big win over the Rams but exactly how good are the Rams?  There is no one that Belichick can prepare more for than a QB that he use to have.  Both teams are battling some injuries but I do trust Cam and Belichick more here

Coming later

I like the Browns here in this spot.  I think most will be scared to back the Browns here as they were blown out against the Steelers last week.  I think this is the perfect spot and match up for them here.  The Browns love to establish the run and no better team to do so than against the Bengals.  The Bengals did cover in the first meeting with a gross and meaningless backdoor.  Bengals are banged up right now and I like the bounce back spot here for the Cleveland 

I like Carolina here as the Saints are still getting way too much respect for me.  Yes, they are off their bye week but laying over a TD against a division rival seems crazy.  I was against the Panthers last week as the Bears came in and won outright.  Well the Saints dont present that much of a problem on defense and Teddy should have no issue moving the ball.  I think we get an all out effort here from Carolina give me the points.

I like the Bucs here.  I know most will be in love with the Packers here sitting undefeated and coming off their bye week.  Throw in the fact Tampa lost in the prime time game Thursday against the Bears and most people lost money with them. But, the biggest thing here is that last week Tampa was -3 in this game now just based on one game we are seeing near a 6 point move?! That's crazy to me.  Packers have beat the Lions, Vikings, Saints and Falcons.  Which one of those wins impress you?  Exactly none of them

I will go back with the Bengals here.  I lost last week with them but if you told me Baltimore would score 27 I would have bet Cincy covers that game easily.  Well, they failed to show up on offense here. Rivers shouldn't be laying more than a TD against anyone right now.  I just really like the bounce back spot here for Cincy.  Colts have faced a very easy schedule so far and I think that has inflated their defensive numbers.  Burrow bounces back with a solid game here

The Lions season here isn't lost quite. yet.  They know this is the game that they have to win if they have any hopes here and with coming off the bye week I expect a big effort.  The Jags defense is in for a long day here against Stafford.  You just have to wonder where the Jags heads are after losing back to back road games to winless teams at that time in Cincy and Houston.  It's a long up hill battle for the Jags and give me the desperate team

I like the Bears here in this matchup.  I think Carolina is now riding a little too hot as they have won 3 straight games as an underdog and now they are favored and begging for action.  I just worry about this Carolina offense against a very good D and that is exactly what the Bears bring in here.  Chicago might have their issue on offense but Carolina doesn't have a good D and I think Foles will take care of that.  Bears win this game outright

This line is just too high.  I get it the Eagles haven't looked by any means but I think they will be big time motivated here.  First, they actually gained new life with the Dak injury as now the Eagles are the front runner for the division.   Throw in the the fact the Ravens are coming to town and the Eagles know the importance of this game.  They are getting healthier as well. Ravens offense just isn't clicking right now this year ranking 24th in the league.  I think its smart to look the opposite way here getting more than a TD at home.

Late add info coming 

I really think this Chargers team is a lot better than most want to believe or give credit for.  They should have beaten the Chiefs and Bucs letting leads slip away in both games.  I’m not impressed at all with the Saints and Brees.  They can sure put up points still but they don’t look the same when you watch them. 

I think the Browns here are the right side.  I'm not overreacting to last weeks big win over Dallas as their offense came alive.  The Colts have played one of the weakest schedules in the league and lets not forget they did lose to the Jaguars. The Browns are playing with some major confidence right now winning 3 straight.  I know the Colts D is ranked #1 but I think that is a fluke because of who they have played.  Big statement win coming from the Browns this week

I had the Dolphins last week in a losing effort but they were clearly the fight side vs Seattle.  They covered 90% of the game but a mistake late cost them the cover.  This 49ers team is just really messed up right now.  They looked flat out horrible Sunday night vs the Eagles.  While I know jimmy G is back, I know he isn't 100%.  The Dolphins will move the ball and score here against the banged up defense of San Fran.  

I'm taking the Falcons here in this game.  Yes, they are 0-4 but they should be an was 2-2 right now and because of that we are getting good value.  Falcons last week were 3.5-4 point favorites and now this line has dropped big time.  Carolina has won back to back games as a dog and no one wants any piece of the Falcons right now.  Atlanta has won 4 straight in this series.  

I'm taking the Redskins here in this game for several reasons.  The Rams are in one of the toughest travel spots you could ask for.  They are currently playing their 3rd game on the East Coast in 4 weeks.  That is extremely hard for a team. Throw in the fact that I dont think they will be that motivated here as well.  I actually think the Redskins will be motivated because they switched QB's finally and are starting Kyle Allen who will be an upgrade.  This Washington defense is the real deal and can contain the Rams. 

The Bengals here are being very much under valued.  Burrorw has made this team a competitive team and while they may not win a lot of games they will be in a lot of games.  I love the Cincy is coming off their first win of the season giving them plenty of confidence.  Lamar Jackson is also a little banged up right now and definitely isn't 100% here.  Jackson also hasn't covered at home vs the Bengals either.  

Grab this one now as well.  I had the Bills last week in a winner and will. back them again here.  They were just dominating the Rams up 28-3 then some. questionable calls and the Bills pulling their foot off the pedal lead to a crazy comeback but the Bills ended up covering.  The main thing is here is that the Raiders are banged up pretty bad with injuries on defense which they were already weak but losing several OL is a huge concern.  Buffalo is the real deal 

I'm doing this game early here.  I had the Panthers last week in a winner as they won SU as a 6.5 point dog vs the Chargers.   I think now they are getting too much respect.  They were +4 in turnovers and still couldn't pull away which is a concern on offense.  The Cardinals lost to the Lions but. the Cards were -3 in turnovers and still had a chance to win.  I just think this line makes zero sense based on the fact that the Raiders were -3 @ Carolina and won and covered and that was with a healthy McCaffrey.  You're telling me that the Cardinals are actually worse than Oakland considering that McCaffrey is out.  I'm not buying it.

I simply don't believe the Bucs are a TD good over a quality opponent especially with a quality defense like the Chargers have.  Tampa is getting some respect now because they have covered back to back games.  Well, last week they covered against the Broncos who are so banged up.  The week before was extremely lucky as Fournette housed a long run for them to cover against Carolina.  People are quick to forget that SD took the Chiefs down to the wire two weeks ago.  I simply dont think we have seen enough from Brady and company to be laying this amount.  Chargers are live here

I'm taking the Texans here in this game.  I think most will be scared as both teams here are 0-3.  The Texans however have played the toughest schedule in the league losing to the Ravens, Chiefs and Steelers.  Vikings have lost to Packers, Colts and Titans.  Vikings defense is so banged up right now and with the whole practice issue this week due to the cover I think that is a big red flag for them here.  This is a get right game for the Texans 

Let's take the Dolphins here tomorrow.  First, Seattle is in a tough spot here with the travel situation and also coming off back to back tough games  against Dallas and Patriots.  The Seahawks are just so injured especially on the defensive side of the ball you can't. trust them.  They weren't even good with the healthy players.  Miami and Fitzpatrick can move the ball on these guys and I like the extra time they have had here playing Thursday the previous week.  

The betting public will be all over the Chiefs here.  When you can grab points with someone like Mahomes and the reigning Super Bowl champs.  KC was extremely lucky to come away with a win Sunday afternoon against the Chargers and their rookie QB in Herbert.  Chargers outgunned the Chiefs by over 50 yards for the game.  I think the Ravens defense will be able to get after Mahomes just like the Chargers did.  I also have a lot of concerns regarding the. Chiefs defense as they are giving up 6.4 yards per play.  They have yet to face an offense like Lamar and company.  I think Baltimore runs up and down the field on them.

The Cowboys are worth a look here as now a lot of momentum has shifted with their crazy comeback against the Falcons. I know, their defense isn't very good at all and they are missing some key players but so is Seattle.  I had Seattle last week in a winner but had to sweat it out as New England and Cam had no problem moving it up and down the field.  Well, this Cowboys team has a ton of firepower on offense.  If all else fails this will set up for a perfect back door situation if we even need it.  I think Dallas is a live dog here.

Interesting game here.  The Panthers suffered a major blow losing their all everything in McCaffrey.  While you can't simply replace a player like that I do think we are getting some extreme value here.  The Panthers had the Bucs on the ropes and actually should have covered as Tampa housed a 50 yard run while just running out the clock.  Carolina also had a rough game with 4 turnovers so the fact they were even in it tells me they are better than people are giving them credit for.  I also think the betting public will be all over the Chargers because of last week as they took the Chiefs down to the wire.  I see this game being played a ton on the ground which means less possessions less big plays and ultimately a lower score keeping the dog alive here.  

This is just one of those weird lines to most.  The Bears are 2-0 and the Falcons are 0-2 yet Atlanta is favored by more than a FG.  Clearly they are telling you they don't believe at all in the Bears and their record.  I clearly dont either.  Bears should have lost week 1 to the Lions as Swift dropped a wide open TD with just seconds left.  Then the Bears get lucky and face the Giants as Barkley tore his ACL in the 2nd quarter yet they could barely pull away.  I think Atlanta has faced two of the best offenses in Seattle and Dallas in the NFC and the Bears won't pose as big of threat.  Atlanta really gave that game away @ Dallas as they were by far the better team.  If the Falcons have any chance at the post season they quite frankly can't lose this game.  I think Atlanta exposes this fraud team in the Bears

I'm going to take the Bills here in what I feel is a big discount.  This Buffalo team isn't getting any respect at all plain and simple.  Their offense with Allen right now is just lighting it up going for over 500 and 400 total yards in both games.  I'm not taking anything away from the Rams as they look improved and I did back them in week 1 against Dallas.  The Bills defense is legit here and will create plenty of pressure.  This is also back to back east coast road games for the Rams which is a difficult task for West coast teams.  

So we have the classic 2-0 team here vs the 0-2 team.  So many will hate on the. Texans and their coach in O'Brien and while I'm not a fan of him either I do think you can semi excuse them.  Look, they lost to the Chiefs and Ravens who IMO are the two best teams in the league so can you really fault them?  Also the Texans held Mahomes and Jackson to 380 yards passing combined.  Thats extremely impressive.  Throw in the fact that this team is desperate and I think we get a huge effort and the relief of competition should help them as well.  Steelers lets face it have faced the Giants and a banged up Bronco team.  

I really like the Raiders here tonight.  I'm just not sold on the Saints here at all especially seeing how the Bucs have looked which was their week 1 opponent.  Brady threw a pick 6 which ultimately was the deciding factor.  Brees IMO has a noodle arm now and just can't throw the ball down the field like he use too.  Throw now in the mix that Thomas is out tonight.  I also think the Raiders playing in Vegas is big even though no fans I still the energy will be high.  

I love the Seahawks here in this game.  I was on them last week vs Atlanta and they came through really controlling the whole game.  I think they are a legit Super Bowl contender especially coming from the NFC.  Wilson has weapons and that is a scary thing with him.  Atlanta did have some big plays but they also do that to a lot of teams with their stud WR's.  I am not putting anything into stock with what the Patriots did.  They covered vs Miami but Fitzpatrick was absolutely horrible and the fact Miami still had a chance to cover before another interception late in the end zone.  Cam's success came on the ground and that won't happen here against Seattle.  His days of making plays with his arm are over.  I think Seattle. rolls here

I like the Falcons here in this matchup.  First, I was against Dallas last Sunday night in a winner and McCarthy just doesn't do it for me.  The offense failed to do anything given all the talent they have.  Falcons came up short against Seattle but they did put up 500 yards of offense.  I think Ryan will expose their secondary here with Ridley and Jones.  Also Dallas suffered some big injuries here as well. Jarwin their TE done for the year, Vander Esch is out and so is starting OL Erving.  Simply to many points for Dallas to be laying here

I'm sorry but Pittsburgh has no business being more than TD favorite here over Denver.  So Denver played the team that was extremely hot and went to the AFC Championship last season and took them down to the wire with injuries on offense.  Pitt played a horrible Giants team and are getting too much respect from that performance.  Hamler and Sutton will be a go for Denver which they clearly missed at the WR position.  Pitt did nothing special but did cover so they will be getting some respect only because of that.

I had the Packers last weekend in a. winner vs this Vikings team.  The thing is though we are seeing a major over reaction in this line based on 1 week.  Vikings didn't look great and their defense had issues, but that was also Rodgers who they were facing.  Also, Vikings were the favorite in that game and now they are a dog to a worse team?  Did anyone else not see the Colts lose to the Jags?  I know boxscore wise the Colts should have won that game but now they lost Mack at RB which is huge. Vikings are the overall better team and I look for a bounce back game here. If Minshew can complete every pass but 1 surely Counsins can do pretty well

I believe this is simply the biggest overreaction to week 1 results.  The Eagles were up 17-0 on Washington and blew that lead and lost the game.  The look ahead line had the Eagles favored by a FG or a little more.  Based on one game they are now underdogs because the Rams beat Dallas which I do have the Rams.  Teams that go from the home underdog role to the road favorite really scare me when it's not really based on anything.

I'm grabbing the Niners here.  I simply think the Jets could quite frankly be the worst team in the league.  They just lost Bell at RB for now a few weeks and will have to rely on Darnold throwing the ball 40+ times especially here since they won't be able to run on this San Fran D at all.  I think that spells for a disaster here.   San Fran will also be extremely hungry here coming off a loss as a big favorite to the Cardinals who have their number.  I think this price is a bargain

I really like the Browns here tonight for a big bounce back tonight.  You honestly can't fault the Browns in week 1 as they lost to a very good team in the Ravens.  Many think they are the Super Bowl winner.  Well now the Benglas who also lost a heartbreaker because of the FG kicker now on a short road week with a rookie QB.  The Bengals have no where near the secondary that the Ravens did.  OBJ should have a big game.  I think the Browns can really create pressure and make it hard for the rookie QB to play from behind.

A lot of Cowboy love right now going on.  I just dont see it all honestly.  I think people are just hoping that McCarthy can turn it around but can he really?  Also why is Dallas favored here are they really that much better than the Rams?  Rams had a down year following a Super Bowl loss and that was to be expected.  Even though no fans they do open in their new stadium on prime time and I expect them to bring it and actually pull of the upset

I will take the Browns here this week.  I just think what happened last season to them was extremely humbling and they would love nothing more to come out and make a statement against one of the best teams in the league.  I do expect big things from Baker here in a bounce back season.  The Browns have major pieces across the board here and will be able to score no doubt about it.  Browns are 3-1 ATS last 4 meetings so clearly they get up for this meeting.  Ravens getting way too much respect here

The Dolphins have made quite the splash this off season with some moves.  I think they are going to be vastly improved especially in a division that is wide open IMO.  The Patriots have Cam now who really doesn't fit the system.  They just have so many question marks here with really no weapons and a lot of key players on defense choosing to sit out.  Patriots lay 7 in this spot is crazy to me

Lets go with the Packers here in this game.  Vikings have a very weak secondary which is never a good thing when facing one of the best QB's in the league.  Was the Packers 13-3 record last year a little fluky sure, but you you have to give them credit.  Vikings also lost Diggs and replace him with a rookie WR which is a lot to ask.  Vikings also have a huge home crowd advantage but that has been taking away 

I'm very high on this Seahakws team this season lead by Wilson.  This team was road warrior last year.  I love the addition of Adams to help their secondary big time.  Ryan is a QB that just continues to come up short.  I also think the addition of Gurley is a little overrated.  Wilson last 5 seasons as a road favorite is 20-8 SU.  He clearly shows up in this spot. 

I like the Niners here in this game.  I think this line continues to go up.  I know people are saying its hard to beat a team twice and that is true.  I just think San Fran is so much better than the Packers in every category.  The Niners defense will have no problem holding Rodgers in check here.  I also think the betting public will look at this game with Rodgers and grab the TD or more simply because it's him.  Niners win fairly easily 

The Rams really showed some heart last week bouncing back from that brutal loss to the Ravens on Monday Night Football.  They dominated Arizona which was very impressive.  I think this is a good spot to go against the Seahawks here. Rams outplayed them in the first meeting, but fell short losing by 1.  They get revenge tomorrow night

This is now a ton of respect for the Titans.  If this game were played two weeks ago the Raiders would easily have been -3.  Now, the Raiders coming off a couple down performances everyone is quickly off them, but they still are well alive for a wildcard spot.  Yes, the Titans have played better, but the win over the Chiefs was fluky and last week was a little mis leading as the blocked FG returned for a TD changed the complexion late.  

The Texans here are simply getting too much respect IMO.  They are coming off a National Televised game in beating the New England Patriots so clearly the books inflate these lines big time when this situation presents itself.  Denver is still playing hard and the evidence was last week in a gutsy win.  Not saying they win here but can cover this big number

I like the Saints here.  Everyone seems to be high on the Niners since they gave Baltimore a great game last week.  Well, a lot of that was because of the weather conditions which kept the game on the ground.  San Fran is a great D, but they also haven't faced this air attack either.  Brees and company have a field day 

Let's take the Bills here as they are the team that won't get any respect.  All season so far we have heard how easy their schedule is.  Do we ever there about the Patriots when people are talking about them?  Give the Bills some credit here.  This is a another huge opportunity here for them and quite frankly I think they rise and play well.  The Ravens are off an emotional big game vs the Niners.  Bills have a legit home field advantage and this is too many points

Does it get any better with Andy Reid off the bye?  The simple answer is no as he is the best in the league off the bye week.  The Raiders last week got gashed by the Jets and you think it will get any better with a healthy Mahomes now?  I think the Chiefs are sitting on a monster offensive game here and have their way

I can't believe this line has flipped so much here.  Odds maker are saying that the Bucs would be nearly a double digit favorite at home while last week alone the Jags were just +3 on the road to to the Titans.  Foles will be back home and should be more comfortable now.  This is a major overreaction here.

Browns are hot right now and responding when their back are against the wall.  I know this is a public side, but with all the injuries and QB switching for Pitt I think they are in trouble. The Browns rush D has been lights out the last 5 weeks and now with Hodges at QB I don't his arm can beat them

This might be the public dog of the week, but I also think this is an overreaction here as well to the Ravens.  They are coming off a Monday night blowout over the Rams where Lamar became the clear front runner for MVP.  I just really think this Niner defense is the real deal here.  I'm not saying they shut Lamar down, but they can contain the overall run game.  Plus, the weather isn't going to be great either and wouldn't be shocked to see this line drop a couple points in the morning

The Bengals don't wanna go winless no team does.  With that being said I think we get major effort from them knowing that for them this is a winnable game.  Dalton is backcourts at QB which will provide a spark no doubt.  Jets getting a ton of respect here, but the Redskins, Giants and Raiders are exactly anything to brag about

I'm going to lay it here with the Cowboys.  The Bills I had last week in an easy winner, but you just have to think the whole schedule part is going to catch up to them.  I also think the line here clearly tells a story.  Cowboys honestly should have won @ the Patriots last week and if you took a quick glance at the box score you probably would have guessed that they would have been on top.  Dallas in a prime spot here to make a statement and I think they respond

This line has crossed some serious numbers.  The Patriots always get a lot of love.  While I'm not a fan of going against them and rarely do, I like the situation here to do so even though they are of their bye week.  The Patriots have faced to easier schedule known to man so far and their toughest opponent shocker they lost on the road SU to the Ravens.  Eagles have all the weapons here and I think are prime for a big win but at least. can cover this number

I grabbed a bad number here, but lets lay it anyway.  The Bengals made the switch to Finley last week at QB and well they got the doors blown off them by the Ravens.  I think this team is in give up mode now.  Oakland has been the nice surprise this season and I think they put their foot down here and roll the Bengals 

Weird line here as the look ahead was actually lower than and following last weeks results they actually made the line higher which is the opposite.  Public will still want nothing to do with the Bucs here in this game, but I think we get a big effort and wouldn't be shocked to see another upset