This is a 10* play on the Dallas Mavericks.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based primarily on strong and relevant ATS statistics:

As note that Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last five as a favorite between 14.5 and 18 points, while San Antonio is just 13-15 ATS in its last 28 when playing with two days rest and only 1-2 ATS this season against teams with losing records.

The bottom line: Desperation leads to motivation. While we’ll stop short in calling for an outright upset, we do definitely think that the desperate visitors can keep this one a lot more competitive than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe. Play on DALLAS.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* play on the Detroit Pistons. 

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based primarily on strong and relevant ATS statistics:

As note that Houston is just 1-4 ATS in its last five after three or more consecutive ATS victories, while Detroit is 22-7 ATS in its last 29 off an upset loss as a favorite.

The bottom line: Look for the desperate home side to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Play on DETROIT.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* COAST-TO-COAST EXPRESS on the Milwaukee Bucks.

REASONING: Obviously the Golden State Warriors are an awesome team and barring a major upset, they’ll be back in the finals as the Western Conference representative. Golden State comes to Milwaukee on a five-game win streak, including a 20-point victory in Boston just last night. The Bucks come into this one on the other end of the spectrum, having lost two in a row and four of their last five. Milwaukee will be especially motivated after scoring just 25 second-half points against Miami in its latest setback. A couple of players that continues to shine for the Bucks are Giannis Antetkounmpo and Jabari Parker. Antetokounmpo is averaging career highs in points (21.1), boards (8.7), assists (5.4), blocks (2.2) and steals (1.7) per game, while Parker is averaging 20.8 points in eight games this month. Note that the Warriors are just 33-37 ATS in their last 70 non-conference games, while Milwaukee is already 4-2 ATS this year vs. poor defensive teams which allow 99-plus points per contest. The Bucks upset the Warriors outright last year, but we’re going to recommend grabbing the points. Play on MILWAUKEE.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Miami Heat.

REASONING: Miami is in the midst of its first six-game losing streak since 2008 and will clearly be playing with desperation tonight as it looks to get off the schneid. The Heat are struggling and are injured, but face the perfect opponent to get untracked against as the Bucks come to town tired after last night’s deflating 107-100 loss at home to Atlanta. Miami will be without the services of guard Goran Dragic and of big man Justise Winslow. Milwaukee has struggled with consistency in these spots though, already 0-2 ATS this year when playing on back-to-back days. And note that Miami is 9-6 ATS in its last 15 after three or more consecutive SU losses, including 2-1 ATS this season. A great situational pick, play on the HEAT.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* play on the Oklahoma City Thunder.

REASONING: Desperation breeds motivation. After losing four straight, we’re expecting the hungry Thunder to find a way to get the job done tonight. Most recently OKC fell to Detroit on the second game of a back-to-back. Houston comes in off an easy 115-88 win over the 76ers, but with a game at home against Portland tomorrow night, we think the visitors get caught looking ahead to that one. It’s all hands on deck for OKC tonight as it looks to break the slide and with games at home against Brooklyn and Indiana over the weekend, there won’t be any “looking ahead” for the Thunder. Also note that Houston is just 10-12 ATS in its last 22 as a road dog of three points or less, while OKC is 3-2 ATS this season vs. good offensive teams which score 99-plus points per contest and already 2-0 ATS following a loss by ten points or more. Play on the THUNDER.

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This is a 10* NON-CONFERENCE SIDE OF THE MONTH on the Portland Trailblazers.

REASONING: The Bulls haven’t played since Saturday’s 116-105 win over the Wizards, while Portland edged Denver 112-105 on Sunday night. From a scheduling stand point, this one sets up perfectly for the Blazers, as this is the start of a tough Western Conference road swing for the Bulls, with a game at Utah on Thursday night, before then visiting the Clippers, Lakers and Nuggets over the next week and a half. We think Chicago gets caught looking ahead and comes out a bit flat in this one. Portland on other hand plays the final game of a short three-game home stand before embarking on a long Eastern Conference road swing, putting added emphasis onto this contest. Note that Chicago is 7-9 ATS in its last 16 as a road dog of 3 points or less and just 18-20 ATS in its last 38 after a win by ten points or more, while Portland is 3-1 ATS in its last four as a home fav of 3 point or less. Lay the points, play on the BLAZERS.

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This is an 8* WEST-COAST EXPRESS on the Memphis Grizzlies.

REASONING: Desperation breeds motivation and success often leads to complaceny. It’ll be all hands on deck for Memphis as it looks to break out of a sluggish stretch, while Utah is poised for a big letdown after a recent turnaround in play. The Jazz return home for their first game after a successul eastern road swing with a 4-1 mark, capped off with a very satisfying 102-91 win over the Heat on Saturday. Memphis is averaging just 97 PPG, ranked last in the Western Conference. Most recently Memphis comes in off a 106-96 setback to the Bucks on Saturday. Note though that Memphis is 31-19 ATS in its last 40 after allowing 104 points or more, including 2-1 ATS this season, while Utah is just 2-3 ATS in its last five following a win by ten points or more. Grab the points, play on the GRIZZLIES.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* play on the Houston Rockets.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on strong and relevant ATS statistics and common sense:

As note that San Antonio has struggled in this spot for bettors for a while now, going just 3-8 ATS in its last 11 as a road fav of three points or less, while Houston is 6-2 ATS in its last eight as a home dog of three points or less (it’s also 19-9 ATS in its last 28 when playing with two days of rest).

The bottom line: Houston shocked the Spurs with an outright victory on their own floor just last week, but we think the visitors come in tired this evening after their win at home over the Pistons just last night. Look for HOUSTON to push the pace and find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. 

AAA Sports

This is a 10* play on the Minnesota Timberwolves.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on strong and relevant ATS statistics and common sense:

As note that LA is just 1-4 ATS in its last five after three or more consecutive SU wins, while Minnesota is already 2-1 ATS this year after allowing 105 points or more. 

The bottom line: LA comes to town off a hard-fought 110-108 win in Oklahoma City just last night. The Clippers have been on an absolute tear, they’re 8-1 overall (7-2 ATS), but we think they’re finally set up for a letdown tonight against this energized Wolves team. Minnesota has had two nights off since handling the Magic 123-107, and we’re expecting it to carry that momentum and confidence over into this one. While the outright win isn’t out of the question obviously, we’re going to recommend grabbing the points. Play on MINNESOTA.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the New Orleans Pelicans.

REASONING: New Orleans is going to win a game one day. And today may be the day! While we’ll stop short in calling for the outright upset, we do think that the desperation levels in which the visitors play with today will take this one down to the wire at the very least. Pelicans’ center Anthony Davis is fourth in the NBA with an average of 30.9 PPG and among the leaders in rebounds, steals, blocks and double-doubles. The Pelicans come to town off a 102-94 setback at Sacramento on Tuesday. Milwaukee on the other hand is primed for a letdown here after its three game win streak was snapped in an ugly 86-75 OT loss to Dallas on Sunday. The Bucks have been playing sloppy this year as they’re allowing 18.1 PPG on 16.1 turnovers. Note that the visitors also play with “revenge” tonight after falling 117-113 at home earlier in the month. And note that New Orleans is 20-17 ATS in its last 37 in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent, while Milwaukee is just 7-10 ATS in its last 17 as a home fav in the 3.5 to six points range. Grab as many points as you can, play on NEW ORLEANS.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the New Orleans Pelicans.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on strong and relevant ATS statistics:

As note that New Orleans is 7-4 ATS in its last 11 as a road dog of 12.5 poitns or more and 19-12 ATS in its last 31 following an upset loss as a favorite, while Golden State is just 21-24 ATS in its last 45 as a home fav of 12.5 point or more and already 0-3 ATS against teams with losing records.

The bottom line: The Pelicans are 0-6. Clearly they are going to be in a foul mood today and while we’re not going to predict a crazy outright upset, we do definitely feel that the visitors can keep this one competitive. Grab the points.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* EASTERN-CONFERENCE SIDE OF THE MONTH on the Washington Wizards.

REASONING: We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on common sense: Washington is 0-3 SU/ATS. Atlanta is 3-1 SU/ATS. The Wizards lost to the Hawks in Atlanta 114-99 on Opening Night, so play with the very real “revenge” factor tonight as well. As primarily a “situationally based” handicapping service, these are exactly the types of contests that we’re constantly on the look out for. And note that Atlanta is just 7-9 ATS in its last 16 as a road dog of three points or less, while Washington is 3-1 ATS in its last four after three or more consecutive SU losses. Play on the WIZARDS.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the LA Clippers

REASONING: We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on strong and relevant ATS statistics, as well as common sense:

Note that OKC is just 10-17 ATS in its last 27 when playing with two days rest, while LA is 14-9 ATS in its last 23 as a home fav in the 6.5 to nine points range.

The bottom line: Russell Westbrook has a date in Golden State tomorrow night and we think the Thunder guard gets caught looking ahead to that one. Look for the red hot CLIPPERS to come in focused on the task at hand and to pull away down the stretch for the convincing victory. 

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the Boston Celtics.

REASONING: We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on primarily on strong and relevant ATS statistics, as well as common sense:

Note that Chicago is just 7-14 ATS in its last 21 as a road dog in the 3.5 to 6 points range, while Boston is 57-38 ATS the last two seasons in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent.

The bottom line: These teams played just last week and the Bulls took the home victory. It’s payback time for the Celtics, who continue to get healthier after the first few games of the season. Prime letdown spot for 3-0 Chicago, look for the home side to ride the wave of momentum and to pull away down the stretch. Play on BOSTON.

AAA Sport

This is a 10* SHOCKER OF THE WEEK on the Minnesota Timberwovles.

REASONING: This play is based on a couple of simple factors. The Wolves are winless to start the year and had early double-digit leads evaporate in both setbacks. This is the team’s first home game and clearly Minnesota will be looking to put together a full four quarter effort. The Wolves also play with immediate revenge, as they’d fall in Memphis on Opening Night. The Grizzlies bounced back from a loss in New York to beat the Wizards at home in the second game of the back to back, but the team expended a bunch of energy in securing the OT victory. It’s a perfect set of situational circumstances all coming together for this one selection. Also note that Memphis is just 41-48 ATS in its last 89 on the road, while Minnesota is 3-1 ATS in its last four against teams with winning records. Lay the points, play on MINNESOTA.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the Washington Wizards.

REASONING: We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

Other times we feel a more “common sense” approach is the best way to handicap a contest, and that’s definitely the case here. The Grizzlies come in off a deflating 111-104 loss at New York just last night, while the Wizards have been off for two nights to refocus after falling 114-99 to Atlanta in their opener. It’s a great scheduling and situational scenario to take advantage of and also note that the Wizards are 16-12 ATS in their last 28 when playing with two days of rest, while the Grizzlies are just 28-30 ATS in their last 58 following a non-conference contest. Play on WASHINGTON.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the Oklahoma City Thunder.

REASONING: The Lakers beat the Rockets at home on opening night, but then predictably came out flat in a 96-89 setback to the Jazz two nights later. LA has covered the spread in both games, but we think it’s going to have a hard time matching pace with the surging Thunder. OKC played from behind the entire night, but would end up pulling away in OT to beat the Suns 113-110 last time out. Russell Westbrook scored 51 points, grabbed 13 boards and dished out ten assists. Clearly OKC will be looking to get more people involved:“"Overall, we've gotta get more people involved," Thunder head coach Billy Donovan said. "We've gotta be able to utilize our big guys better and pound the ball inside." OKC has a major size advantage in the paint tonight and we think that this will prove to be the differnce in the end. Note that LA is just 8-12 ATS in its last 20 as a road dog in the 6.5 to 9 points range, while OKC is 3-1 ATS in its last four after scoring 105 points or more. Lay the points, play on the THUNDER.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the Utah Jazz.

REASONING: The Jazz are 1-1 SU and 0-2 ATS to open the year. LA is 1-0 SU/ATS after handling the Blazers on opening night. We think that Utah can catch the Clippers a bit complacent here and keep this one competitive down to the wire. LA plays Phoenix tomorrow night and it has to be feeling content after beating Portland, a team which knocked it out of the first round of the playoffs last year. Utah comes in with momentum after handling the upstart Lakers 96-89 on Friday. George Hill led the way in that one with 23 points. Derrick Favors also had a big game with 15 points and 11 boards in 20 minutes off the bench. Note that Utah is 6-2 ATS in its last eight as a road dog in the 6.5 to nine 9 points range and interestingly, 11-2 ATS in its last 13 games played on a Sunday, while LA is just 41-50 ATS in its last 91 at home and just 12-14 ATS in its last 26 Sunday contests. Play on UTAH.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* EAST-COAST EXPRESS on the Milwaukee Bucks.

Reasoning: We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

Other times though we feel that a more “common sense” approach is the best way to handicap a contest. And that’s the case here as Brooklyn is coming off a game just last night at home against the Pacers, while the Bucks have had two days off to refocus after a 107-96 setback to the Hornets in their opener. Lay the points, play on MILWAUKEE.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* SUPER BLOWOUT on the Houston Rockets.

REASONING: As we saw last night, anything can happen in the NBA on any given night. We had a play on Golden State and it looked completely out of sorts in its blowout loss at home to the San Antonio Spurs. With all of that said though, we’re not expecting a big upset tonight and think the much deeper and talented Rockets will take advantage of this favorable matchup. LA is in a rebuild this year, as Kobe Bryant is gone and Luke Walton is now head coach. Walton will have his hands full with yount talent D’Angelo Russell, Jordan Clarkson, Julius Randle, Larry Nance Jr. and No. 2 pick Brandon Ingram. Walton will be leaning heavily on his vets, Luol Deng, Lou Williams, Timofey Mozgov and Jose Calderon. James Harden leads the Rockets, he was the league’s second-leading scorer at 29 PPG last year. Note that Houston finished 5-2 in the preseason. In addition to Harden, keep your eyes on veterans Ryan Anderson, Eric Gordon and Trevor Ariza. Lay the points, play on HOUSTON.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* ATS DESTRUCTION on the Golden State Warriors. 

REASONING: When it comes to “Against The Spread Sports,” ie: basketball and football, we’ve often found that we need a couple of weeks to really get a “feel” for the team’s and as such, we’ll be playing it a bit conservative to open the 2016/17 NBA campaign. We are primarily a “situationally based” handicapping service, but because the team’s haven’t even played a single game yet, we’re using a more common sense approach on Opening Night. All eyes in the basketball World have been on Golden State after Kevin Durant moved over from OKC and we think the team will be looking to make a statement this evening. The Warriors looked great in the preseason, so chemistry isn’t going to be an issue whatsoever. San Antonio has more chemistry issues to worry about than the talented super stars on Golden State, with veterans like Pau Gasol added into the Spurs’ lineup. We’re dipping our toes into the water to open the season and simply feel that GOLDEN STATE will be playing with a massive chip on its shoulder which we believe will result in a lop-sided final outcome once it’s all said and done.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* SIDE OF THE MONTH on the Cleveland Cavaliers.

Handicapping a series is much like coaching one, you have to make necessary adjustments from game-to-game. We think the Cavaliers are the way to go in Game 1. Can LeBron James, along with a healthy Kevin Love and Kyrie Irving steal this one outright? Obviously it wouldn’t be a complete shocker if the Cavs pulled off the series opening straight-up upset. In fact, James won Games 1 and 3, before succumbing in six to the Warriors in last year’s Finals. We feel this is a great situational play as Golden State comes into the Finals tired and injured, while for the most part it’s been a walk-in-the-park for Cleveland to this point. The Warriors have not been blowing teams out of the water in the postseason and were taken to the wire by the Oklahoma City Thunder, they’d become one of only three teams in NBA playoff history to claw back from a 3-1 deficit. How much gas is left in the tank for the defending champs after that series? And after setting the NBA record for regular season wins? There is no more “aura” of invincibility on their home floor. Cleveland on the other hand has given James plenty of rest throughout the regular season and in the playoffs and now “The King” is ready to do what he does best. Clearly James’ supporting cast is light-years better than it was last season. The Cavs are ready to play “small ball,” and they’re equipped to play in the paint as well. In a contest which we feel will come down to whichever team has the ball in its hands last, we’re going to recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Play on the CAVALIERS.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* ASSASSIN on the Golden State Warriors.

It’s been a back and forth series and here we are in Game 7. Golden State has reeled off two straight victories and now has a clear advantage in playing this decisive contest on its own floor. The Thunder have already won two games in Golden State, but we think Oklahoma City has a letdown here after failing to secure the series victory on its own floor in Game 6. The Thunder had a late collapse in the fourth quarter and Golden State, spurred by 41 total points from Klay Thompson, would use a 19-5 surge to seal the deal. We simply can’t see Golden State faltering here. The Thunder have completely exceeded everyone’s expectations and the combination of Russell Westbrook and Kevin Durant is a formidable one, but the Warriors’ starters are just too good and we believe they’ll have their best game yet of the Western Conference Finals. Note that Oklahoma City is just 6-11 ATS this year off an upset loss as a favorite, while Golden State is 2-1 ATS this year off an upset win as an underdog. The NBA is going to get what it wanted, a rematch between Cleveland and the Warriors. Lay the points.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Toronto Raptors.

We played Toronto in Game 1 and after getting out to a quick 7-0 start, the Raptors would struggle the rest of the way, eventually getting blown out 115-84. Toronto has lost Game 1 of all three rounds to this point and has subsequently bounced back to earn the Game 2 victory in each. Can the Raptors regroup and pull off the massive upset in Game 2? Unlikely, but we think tonight’s affair will be much more competitive and expect the visitors to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch with what we feel to be an ample amount of points afforded to them. After back-to-back grueling seven game series victories, Toronto just couldn’t match pace with the rested Cavaliers in Game 1. The Raptors have responded well in this position, not just in the postseason, but all year long, going 13-8 ATS after allowing 105 points or more, while Cleveland is just 20-27 ATS this season after scoring 105 points or more. DeMar DeRozan and Kyle Lowry have been consistently inconsistent in the playoffs, but look primed for a bounce back effort tonight after the poor showings in Game 1. Grab as many points as you can, play on TORONTO.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on the Oklahoma City Thunder.

We played the UNDER in Game 1, but will focus on the side in Game 2. OKC shocked the world with a stunning outright Game 1 victory and we think the visitors have a legitimate shot at doing it again on Wednesday night. Another upset may be asking too much, but clearly this is a deep Thunder team which comes in with a ton of confidence and momentum. Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook are unstoppable right now and we have a hard time seeing the Warriors slowing them down in Game 2 either. Momentum is a factor that is almost impossible to properly quantify into a line and we think the oddsmakers are way off in setting this one. Note that the Thunder are 6-1 ATS in their last seven road games. The aura of invincibility surrounding the Warriors’ “home court advantage” is over and while we won’t in the end call for the outright upset, we do think OKC keeps this one a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe. Play on the THUNDER.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Toronto Raptors.

Yes, Toronto is coming off a couple of grueling seven game series victories and will be without its starting center for at least a couple more games. Yes, Cleveland is well rested after dispatching its first two opponents in four games each and sports a healthy Kevin Love and Kyrie Irving in its line-up this year. We think this is a great situational wager though as we’re expecting “rest” to lead to “rust” and for the battle tested visitors to keep this one a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe. Cleveland has had nine whole days off between series, while Toronto comes in firing on all cylinders, DeMar DeRozan and Kyle Lowry have finally found their stroke and will be looking to build off that momentum. Jonas Valacuinas is a key part to Toronto’s offense, but Bizmak Biyombo has filled in admirably. Oklahoma City beat the Spurs in six games and not many gave it a chance in Game 1 of the West Conf Finals vs. the Warriors, but we all know how that one finished. We’re not going to call for an outright upset, but all signs do indeed point to the points as the savvy move in this one.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on the Oklahoma City Thunder.

It’s time to face reality, despite having all around specialist Kawhi Leonard and new comer LaMarcus Aldridge, the Spurs are an old team which have run out of gas. San Antonio’s vaunted defense has no answer for the Thunders’ Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook and OKC’s veterans and bench players are dominating their counterparts. Tony Parker and Tim Duncan having nothing left in the tank, while the Thunder are receiving big contributions from the likes of Serge Ibaka and Dion Waiters. Note that San Antonio is just 2-7 ATS this year when playing on one days rest, while Oklahoma City is 4-1 ATS in the same position. Why are the Spurs favored here? This is a horrible matchup as OKC’s athletes are running circles around the plodding and aging Spurs. Play on the THUNDER (and make sure to sprinkle a little on the money line as well!).

AAA Sports

This is an 8* EAST-COAST EXPRESS on the Toronto Raptors.

We think Toronto is going to play its best game of the series and look for it to jump out to an early lead, to keep the foot on the gas throughout and to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover. So far three games in this series have gone to OT. It’s obviously been evenly matched to this point, but as it wears on, we think that home floor will finally start to become a big advantage. Both teams are without their centers, which puts the focus on smaller lineups and guard play, which despite the 94-87 OT loss in Game 4, does in fact favor Toronto. Raptors’ guards DeMar DeRozan and Kyle Lowry have struggled mightily in the playoffs, but there’s no reason not to think that they won’t play significantly better in front of the home town crowd tonight: “They're our two All-Stars and sooner or later they're going to come through or be a part of what we're trying to do. It's not like we're just going to bench Kyle and DeMar, and go away from them. They're our guys. We believe in them," Raptors’ coach Dwane Casey said. Miami got a huge boost from aging super star Dwayne Wade last time out, but surely he’s running out of gas at this point. Note that Miami is already just 1-2 ATS this year when tied in a playoff series, while Toronto is 2-1 ATS in the same position. Everything does indeed point to the RAPTORS as the savvy move in this one.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* EAST-COAST EXPRESS on the Indiana Pacers.

The Pacers will look to push this series to a Game 7 and while they may ultimately fall in Toronto, we look for the home side to take advantage of familiar surroundings and to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. The Pacers led by 15 late in the third quarter but somehow managed to lose 102-99 on Tuesday. It certainly wasn’t because of Paul George though, who had 39 points: “It's a desperation feeling," George said last night. "We'll give everything we have tomorrow night and make sure that that's enough." Toronto’s stars have struggled, Kyle Lowry is averaging 15.2 points and 31.4 percent shooting, while DeMar DeRozan, who had 34 points in Game 5, had averaged just 13.3 and 29.6 percent over the first four games of this series. The Raptors collapsed in a similar situation vs. the Nets two years ago, losing Game 6 on the road and then Game 7 at home. Note that Toronto is a horrible 4-11 ATS in its last 15 in the first round of the playoffs and just 15-18 ATS in its last 33 when playing with two days rest, while Indiana is 12-4 ATS this year when playing with two days of rest and 5-3 ATS in its last eight when trailing in a playoff series. We feel that home floor will prove to be pivotal tonight, play on the PACERS. 

AAA Sports

This is a 10* Opening Round RED DRAGON is on the Portland Trailblazers.

The Clippers may have taken four of the five regular season contests from the Blazers this year, but we think the visitors can at the very least keep this one close enough to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. Portland can score with anyone, it averaged 105.1 points on 45 percent shooting. It’s weakness is clearly on the defensive end where it allowed an average of 104.3. Damian Lillard leads the way for the Blazers with an average of 25.1 points and 6.8 assists, while CJ McCollum is averaging 20.8 points and 3.2 boards. LA averages 104.5 points on 46.5 percent shooting and gives up an average of 100.2 Chris Paul is the heart of the offense, he averages 19.5 points and ten assists, while Blake Griffin posted 21.4 points and 8.4 boards on average. Griffin though is still working his way back into game shape after missing most of the year with injury and suspension. And note that despite dropping four of five to the Clippers, the Blazers were very competitive, they enter this series having gone 4-1 ATS in their last five games played in Los Angeles. We wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset here, play on PORTLAND.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* Opening Round SIDE OF THE YEAR on the Toronto Raptors.

Toronto’s best season in franchise history isn’t going to mean much if it doesn’t contend for the Eastern Conference crown. We’re expecting the home side to make the most of familiar surroundings and to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover. It’s been back-to-back first round disappointment’s for Toronto, so we look for the home side to make Game 1 a statement. The Raptors were injured for most of the season last year, but are at 100% health heading into this year’s playoffs. Note that Toronto hasn’t lost more than two straight since mid-November: “I think we're in a better mental place," Raptors’ coach Dwane Casey assessed. "The confidence level is higher. Guys have accepted their roles much more. That's a huge difference. We're in a much better place defensively." This isn’t a matchup that favors the Pacers, evident by the fact that they dropped three of four in the season series. It’s also interesting to note that the Raptors shot an average of 35.3 free throws per game in four meetings with Indiana. We think there are enough situational factors working in favor of TORONTO to pull the trigger on a play of this magnitude.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on the Golden State Warriors.

Records were made to be broken. The 1995 Chicago Bulls 72 game win streak remains in tact, but the Warriors can match that with a victory tonight. To do that though, they’ll have to battle history, as they’ve lost 32 straight regular season games in San Antonio, which is trying to set some records of its own, including becoming the only team in league history to remain undefeated on its home floor for an entire regular season. Golden State played and won 100-99 in Memphis last night, Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson got caught looking ahead to this one as the two normally sharp outside shooters went a combined 5 of 24 from behind the arc. Suffice it to say, we don’t expect that type of shooting performance to happen two times in a row and in a contest of this magnitude. The Spurs come in off a loss to the Nuggets, but the entire starting line-up was given the night off, so while it’s true that San Antonio comes into this one well rested, we’ll point out that San Antonio has in fact struggled in this spot for bettors this season, going 18-20 ATS vs. teams with winning records and only 11-20 ATS in its last 31 vs. poor defensive teams which allow 99-plus points per contest. Conversely, this is a spot in which the Warriors have dominated in for bettors all year, going 10-6 ATS in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent and 6-2 ATS after playing three consecutive road games. Grab as many points as you can as we look for this one to come down to the wire. Play on GOLDEN STATE.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the Detroit Pistons.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based entirely on strong and relevant ATS statistics:

Note that Washington is just 7-12 ATS this year after a win by ten points or more and just 25-27 ATS vs. good offensive teams which average 99-plus points per contest, while Detroit is 10-7 ATS this season off an upset win as an underdog and 15-8 ATS in its last 23 in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent.

The bottom line: Home court advantage can’t be overlooked in this situation, all signs do indeed point to the PISTONS as the savvy move in this contest.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* ASSASSIN on the Atlanta Hawks.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based entirely on strong and relevant ATS statistics:

Note that Toronto is just just 15-16 ATS in its last 31 vs. good offensive teams which score 99-plus points per contest, while Atlanta is 17-10 ATS following a loss by ten points or more.

The bottom line: Toronto is stuck in the No. 2 spot in the East, while Atlanta is still fighting for playoff position. Atlanta also plays with double revenge. Play on the HAWKS.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* COAST-TO-COAST EXPRESS on the LA Lakers.

We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

For this selection, we’re keeping it simple.

This without a doubt sets up as a classic “letdown” spot for the visitors, who just finished ending Golden State’s 54 game regular season home win streak with a 109-106 stunner on Friday night. And with two whole days off before facing the 28-47 Pelicans at home, it’s not too hard to imagine the Celtics “looking past” LA today as well. Note that five of the first seven teams to beat Golden State would then go on to lose their next game. LA has had a few days off after upsetting the Heat and the Nick Young and Jordan D’Angelo fiasco has finally started to die down. The Lakers would beat the Celtics 112-104 on December 30 and while we won’t be so bold as to call for an outright upset tonight, we do think this one sets up beautfilly for the home side. Grab as many points as you can.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* BIG TIGER on the LA Lakers.

The Heat sit 6.5 games ahead of ninth-place Chicago with nine left in the regular season. Miami comes to town off a 110-99 win over Brooklyn on Monday, the team’s 11th victory out of it last 15. This is the final match-up between Dwayne Wade and Kobe Bryant. The Lakers will be out to avenge seven-straight losses in the series, including a 101-88 setback on November 10th and to also atone for a listless 123-75 loss at Utah on Monday, matching the team’s worst setback in franchise history and most lopsided of Bryant’s career. The Lakers have a lot to play for now too, they’re in danger of finishing with the fewest wins in franchise history, needing to win five of their final eight games to surpass the 19 wins from the 1957-58 team. Note that Miami is just 10-11 ATS this year after a win by ten points or more and only 10-11 ATS after scoring 105 points or more, while LA is 6-3 ATS this year after scoring 85 points or less and 16-12 ATS in all non-conference games. A great situational play, grab as many points as you can with the LAKERS.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Utah Jazz.

Utah is coming together at the right time. It’s been very good defensively all season long, but it’s latest offensive performance has it thinking it could steal this game vs. the defending champions outright. The Jazz would make a franchise-best 17 3-pointers in a 123-75 destruction of the Lakers on Monday. Keep your eyes on Rodney Hood, who was eight of nine from behind the arc. The Jazz have averaged 10.7 3-pointers and have shot 40.4 precent from behind the arc during an 8-2 stretch which has earned it seventh in the Western Conference. Utah also plays with revenge here after dropping all three previous meetings with the Warriors this season. Golden State continues to roll, it’s coming off a 102-94 SU win and ATS loss vs. the Wizards just last night. Golden State’s energy and focus is surely starting to waiver at this point of the season and the weight of expectations continues to grow as the playoffs approach. It’s a perfect spot for the Jazz to take advantage of. All six of the Warriors’ losses this year have come in similar types of situations. And with five of its final eight games at home, it’s not too hard to imagine Golden State in some small way, looking ahead to that favorable season-ending schedule. Also note that Utah has been pretty effective in slowing down Steph Curry, holding him to an 18.0 scoring average and 39.1 field goal percentage for the series, his lowst mark vs. any team from the West. The Jazz have in fact been “lights-out” with their defensive play of late, giving up 88.2 points over their ten-game run, while just limiting the Lakers to just 30.6 percent shooting last time out. We think that UTAH comes to play tonight, grab as many points as you can.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* BIG TIGER on the Chicago Bulls.

These two teams are moving in opposite directions, but as we always say: “desperation breeds motivation!” We think the value has swung back onto the hungry Bulls in this one. Chicago will be looking to avoid a season sweep at the hands of Atlanta, while also delaying the Hawks playoff spot, who would clinch one with a victory tonight. The Bulls are currently on the outside of the playoff picture looking in, sitting in ninth position: “I don't think anybody's quit," Chicago’s star guard Jimmy Butler said last night. "We've just hit adversity at the wrong time and we've got to fix it. It better carry over from in this locker room out to the court. That's the only way to get this thing fixed." And with seven of their next eight game vs. likely playoff bound clubs, tonight’s contest takes on added importance for the home side. For all intents and purposes, this has become a “do-or-die” game for the Bulls tonight. Note that Atlanta is just 3-4 ATS this year off an upset win as an underdog, while Chicago is 5-3 ATS after three or more consecutive SU losses. Play on the BULLS.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the LA Clippers.

Denver has won three of four, while LA has dropped three of four. The Nuggets come in off a 116-105 win over the Lakers on Friday in which their bench scored a road season-high 71 points on 57.4 percent shooting. Suffice it to say, we’re not expecting lightning to strike twice for Denver tonight. Although the teams have split a pair of games this season, LA does play with revenge after a listless 87-81 setback last time out (note that it was the Nuggets first win in the last five in the series). LA does come in with a bit of momentum as well after it broke its three-game slide with a hard-fought 96-94 home win over Portland on Thursday. LA will also be eager to get back on track in front of the home town crowd, the team was 30-11 in friendly confines last year, but is 23-12 so far this season: "I think we've had a nice year on the road," coach Doc Rivers said, "but I don't think we've had a nice year at home.” Note that Denver is just 16-17 ATS this year after scoring 105 points or more, while LA is 8-3 ATS in trying to revenge a home loss vs. an opponent. Lay the points.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* BIG TIGER on the Cleveland Cavaliers.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based entirely on strong and relevant ATS statistics:

Note that Cleveland is 5-1 ATS in its last six after failing to cover the spread in five of its last six games, including in two straight, while New York is just 5-7 ATS this season after a win by ten points or more and only 8-9 ATS in its last 17 vs. teams with winning records.

The bottom line: This line has dropped since we took it (we have -8.5), but regardless, we still love this selection and are predicting a complete blowout. Cleveland comes in off a few shaky efforts, but gets back into the winners circle with a decisive effort over the lowly Knicks. Play on the CAVALIERS.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* EAST-COAST EXPRESS on the Boston Celtics.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based entirely on strong and relevant ATS statistics:

Note that Boston is 27-22 ATS this season vs. poor defensive teams which allow 99-plus points per contest and already 4-2 ATS after playing to three or more consecutive SU losses, while Philadelphia is 0-9 ATS this year as a home dog in the 9.5 to 12 points range, just 4-9 ATS vs. division opponents and only 18-24 ATS after three or more consecutive SU losses.

The bottom line: Here’s the perfect opponent to get untracked against, we look for BOSTON to take advantage of this favorable spot and to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the New Orleans Pelicans.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on scheduling: 

Running out of gas yet?: The Warriors continue to get the job done, they come into this one having won four straight and nine of their last ten, but there’s no question that the team has to be feeling a bit tired at this point of the season. With the playoffs on the horizon, at some point it’s not too hard to imagine the Warriors to start to have a bit of a mental letdown. And with the lowly Knicks on deck after the 24-41 Pelicans tonight, before a grueling road trip which starts next week in Dallas and at San Antonio, it’s definitely not to hard to imagine the team getting caught looking past this “vanilla” stretch to the much more important part of their schedule next week.

The bottom line: We feel it’s a great spot to pull the trigger on this “situational” selection, grab as many points as you can with the PELICANS.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the Dallas Mavericks.

These two teams are moving in opposite directions right now, but as we like to say: desperation breeds motivation. While we wouldn’t be completely shocked by an outright upset, we do think that at the very least that the hungry and revenge minded Mavs will keep this one a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe. The Hornets are primed for a letdown here after winning seven straight, most recently a 125-109 thumping of the Rockets on Saturday. They’ve also won nine-straight at home. Dallas on the other hand has lost five-straight. The Mavs most recently fell 112-105 to visiting Indiana on Saturday, dropping them to .500 for the first time since early November. Dallas though is still in the thick of the playoff race, in a tie with Houston for the Western Conference’s final playoff spot. As mentioned off the top, the Mavs play with the revenge-factor today after falling 108-94 to the Hornets on November 5th. One player to keep your eyes on for the visitors is veteran Dirk Nowitzki, who has averaged 26.8 points and hit 57.1 percent over his past four overall. Grab as many points as you can, play on DALLAS.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* EAST-COAST EXPRESS on the Milwaukee Bucks.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Classic letdown spot: After five straight victories, we think the Heat, who have a back-to-back set starting at Chicago on Thursday and ending in Toronto on Friday, suffer a classic letdown here.

Revenge: Milwaukee plays with revenge after falling 107-103 to Miami on January 29th.

Desperation breeds motivation: The Bucks will not only be hungry to avenge that setback, but they’ll also be risking life and limb in trying to snap a stretch in which they’ve lost five of their last seven. 

ATS statistics: Note that Miami is just 3-6 ATS this year after three or more consecutive SU victories, while Milwaukee is 7-3 ATS after a divisional contest and 12-9 ATS after a loss by ten points or more.

The bottom line: While we obviously wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Play on MILWAUKEE.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Charlotte Hornets.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Home sweet home: The Hornets return to Charlotte for the first time in nearly three weeks, going 4-2 on their road trip. They’re in a heated race for the postseason and will look to now take advantage in playing eight of their next nine in front of the home town crowd. And it all starts tonight.

Phoenix road woes: The Suns are brutal away from friendly confines, they’ve lost 15 straight on the road by an average of 20.1 points. 

Revenge factor: One of Phoenix’s 15 victories this year came against Charlotte on January 6th, the Suns would pull away for a 111-102 win. In fact, Phoenix has won three straight in Charlotte and seven of the last eight in the series (but note, the Suns’ top five scorers from last year’s 111-106 victory there are not even with the team or are injured). 

ATS statistics: Note that Phoenix is just 7-20 ATS on the road and interestingly, just 16-23 ATS this season vs. poor defensive teams which allow 99-plus points per contest, while Charlotte is 19-15 ATS this year in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent and 7-3 ATS following a divisional contest.

The bottom line: We think a motivated Charlotte team, which has dropped two of its last three, comes in focused on the task at hand today and uses these motivational factors to post a convincing victory. Play on the HORNETS.

AAA Sports

This is 10* COAST-TO-COAST EXPRESS on the Indiana Pacers.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Scheduling and motivation levels: No need to overanalyze this one, as good as Damian Lillard has been and despite the Blazers having won 12 of their last 14, Portland comes into this one off a very satisfying 103-95 victory at Chicago just last night. For the Pacers though, this is an ultra-important game as they hit the road tomorrow for a five game trip, starting off in Cleveland. Not only will they be looking to take advantage of home floor, but they’re also out for revenge after falling 123-111 to Portland on December 3rd. It also wouldn’t be too hard to imagine the Blazers getting caught looking ahead to two whole days off after tonight’s game before continuing their marathon road trip at New York, Boston, Toronto and Detroit respectively. 

ATS statistics: Note that Portland is a poor 4-8 ATS this season when playing on back-to-back days, while Indiana is 19-8 ATS vs. teams with winning records and 8-5 ATS this year as a home fav in the 3.5 to six points range.

The bottom line: The situational, motivational and trend based factors all point to the PACERS as the savvy move in this contest.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* Southeast Division GAME OF THE YEAR on the Atlanta Hawks.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

History is against them: There’s no question that the Hornets have been playing great of late, but note that they’ve never posted five wins on a six-game road trip in franchise history. This one definitely sets up as a letdown spot for the home side after its thrilling 96-95 victory over Indiana on Friday, where Kemba Walker scored a layup with just 2.4 seconds left.

If history is any precedence: Atlanta has to be loving its chances for a victory today as it’s gone 15-2 in the series in front of the home town crowd since 2007.

Revenge factor: Charlotte beat the Hawks 107-84 on January 13th. 

ATS statistics: Note that the Hornets are just 17-18 ATS this season vs. good offensive teams which score 99-plus points per contest, while Atlanta is 20-17 ATS in the same position.

The bottom line: Charlotte has been playing extremely well, while the Hawks for the most part have been struggling with offensive consistency. And that’s why we love this selection, it’s a great situational play as we expect the visitors to come in a tiny bit complacent, while the home side will be risking life and limb to try and string a couple wins together. Play on ATLANTA.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the Atlanta Hawks.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Classic letdown spot: The Bulls had lost five straight heading into the All Star break and with Jimmy Butler and Nikola Mirotic sidelined with injury, the team wasn’t expected to make much noise in the second half. However, behind some great play from Derrick Rose, Chicago has won three straight, most recently a full team effort in a 109-104 victory over Washington on Wednesday. So is it time to crown the Bulls after a couple of good games? We’re going to caution in reading too much into this small win skein, remember that they combined to shoot just 40.9 percent while failing to top 95 points in their previous three losses. Also note that Chicago has lost four straight on the road. 

Desperation breeds motivation: The Hawks will be risking life and limb today to try and secure a victory as they’ve come out of the All Star break and lost three straight. They’ll also be eager to snap a four-game home skid.

ATS statistics: Note that Chicago is just 9-11 ATS in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent this season and only 2-4 ATS after playing three consecutive home games, while Atlanta is a perfect 3-0 ATS this year after three or more consecutive SU losses.

The bottom line: The revenge factor gets thrown out the window today as the “hungrier” team finds a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Play on ATLANTA.

AAA Sports 

This is an 8* play on the Philadelphia 76ers.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Revenge: The Sixers fell 106-94 at Washington on February 5th and have lost seven of the last eight in the series.

Classic “look-ahead” spot: With a game vs. Cleveland at home on Sunday, it’s not too hard to imagine the visitors looking past their lowly opponent today. Washington has already done this a few times this season, losing to the Bulls on Wednesday, who were playing without Derrick Rose and Jimmy Butler and also to the Heat earlier in the season without Chris Bosh and Dwayne Wade on the floor.

ATS statistics: Note that Washington is just 15-17 ATS vs. poor defensive teams which allow 99-plus points per contest, while Philadelphia is 9-7 ATS in its last 16 in the same position.

The bottom line: The 76ers are at full health and catch an inconsistent Wizards team looking ahead to its matchup vs. the defending Eastern Conference champions; play on PHILADELPHIA.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the Indiana Pacers.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Momentum: Indiana is finding a groove with a new starting lineup, over the last 12 games the unit has scored 102.2 points per 100 possessions when on the court together, while giving up 85.2. Once momentum is lost though, it’s very difficult to gain it back and that’s the situation that the Hornets find themselves in here as they had their five-game win streak and four-game road winning streak snapped in Wednesday’s 114-103 loss to the Cavaliers.

Revenge: Indiana’s 12-game home win streak in the series was snapped in a 117-95 loss to Charlotte on February 10th. 

ATS statistics: Note that Charlotte is just 16-18 ATS this season vs. good offensive teams which average 99-plus points per contest, while Indiana is 19-7 ATS vs. teams with winning records and 23-15 ATS vs. good offensive teams which score 99-plus per contest.

The bottom line: It’s a classic letdown spot for the visitors, we like the surging home side to take advantage and to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover. Play on INDIANA.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* EXPRESS on the Houston Rockets.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Revenge: The Rockets have already lost twice to the Blazers this season, despite massive efforts from James Harden and Dwight Howard.

Classic letdown spot: There’s no question that Portland has been playing awesome of late, but note that the team hasn’t won seven in a row in over 15 months. Conversely, while the Blazers sit complacent and contented, the Rockets are now on the outside of the playoff picture looking in after falling 117-114 in OT at Utah on Tuesday.

ATS statistics: Note that Houston is 2-1 ATS this season after playing three consecutive road games, also 7-4 ATS in its last 11 vs. poor defensive teams which allow 99-plus points per contest and 6-4 ATS this season as a road dog in the 3.5 to six points range, while Portland is just 3-6 ATS this year after three or more consecutive SU victories.

The bottom line: While we wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can as we expect Harden and Howard to keep this one close enough to at the very least allow the ROCKETS to sneak in through the back door down the stretch.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* ASSASSIN on the Cleveland Cavaliers.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Classic letdown spot: The Hornets have been playing great, but after winning four straight away from friendly confines, we’re definitely expecting a drop-off in production today. Note that Charlotte hasn’t won five straight on the road in more than 14 years. And note that the Hornets were 6-17 away from home prior to this run.

Revenge: The Cavs will be looking to atone for a 106-97 setback to the Hornets on February 3rd.

Injuries: Note that Charlotte will be without Michael Kidd-Gilchrist who was lost to an injury last Wednesday. 

If history is any precedence: Cleveland has to be loving its chances today as the last time Charlotte visited on January 23rd, 2015, the home side would come away with the convincing 129-90 victory.

ATS statistics: Note that Charlotte is just 16-17 ATS this season vs. good offensive teams which score 99-plus points per contest, while Cleveland is 15-9 ATS vs. teams with winning records.

The bottom line: A classic letdown spot, revenge situation, all signs do indeed point to the CAVALIERS as the savvy move in this contest.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* TNT SUPER-BLOWOUT on the Chicago Bulls.

We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Injured legend: The Lakers have looked a lot more competitive of late, especially for bettors as they’ve covered in six straight games. A big reason has been the improved play of Kobe Bryant, who has averaged 24.9 over his last seven. Note though that Bryant would dislocate his right middle finger in Friday’s 119-113 loss to San Antonio and while the aging super star will get the start today, we don’t expect him to be nearly as effective. With their main weapon and offensive focal point relegated as a second or third option tonight, we have a hard time seeing the overachieving visitors keeping pace with this hungry home side.

Rising Bulls?: Chicago stumbled into the break, but looked great on both ends of the floor in a 116-106 home over Toronto on Friday that ended a five-game skid. Pau Gasol, who played 6.5 years with Bryant in LA, would barely miss posting a triple-double with 18 points, 11 boards and nine assists. Gasol dominated his former team on January 28th as well with 21 points, 12 boards and seven assists in the Bulls’ 114-91 victory.

If history is any precedence: The Bulls have to like their chances today in being able to string together a couple of convincing victories as they’ve won seven of the last nine in the series, including the last four on their home floor.

ATS statistics: Note that LA is just 5-7 ATS this season after scoring 105 points or more, while Chicago is 12-9 ATS in all non-conference contests.

The bottom line: With their leader injured, we expect the Lakers to come out flat tonight, it’s a perfect storm of factors working in favor of the BULLS, lay the points.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* ASSASSIN on the Detroit Pistons.

We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Uphill battle: Despite beating the 76er’s 121-114 on Friday and going 10-7 since January 13th, the Pelicans face a daunting task in their quest for a second-straight playoff appearance, right now they’re 12th in the Western Conference, six games behind Houston and Utah for eighth place.

On the cusp: Conversely, despite a brutal stretch in which they’ve lost four straight and seven of their last ten overall, the Pistons still sit just 1.5 games back of Charlotte and Chicago for the final two spots in the East. Detroit got a much needed boost via trades before the deadline, acquiring Tobias Harris from the Magic for Brandon Jennings and Erlan Ilyasova, while also getting Donatas Motiejunas and veteran guard Marcus Thornton from the Rockets: "You're going to have to take some risk in order to get better," Pistons coach Stan Van Gundy said. "There are no deals where there's no risk and we feel like this was a risk we could handle."

Revenge factor: Detroit will be looking to atone for a lacklustre 115-99 setback at New Orleans on January 21st. In fact, the Pelicans have won three straight in Detroit and haven’t lost to the Pistons whatsoever since February 2012.

ATS statistics: Note that New Orleans is just 5-13 ATS in non-conference games this season and only 9-12 ATS after scoring 105 points or more, while Detroit is 4-3 ATS this year as a home fav in the 3.5 to six points range and in 16-9 ATS in all home games.

The bottom line: With a game tomorrow night at Cleveland, it’s going to be all hands on deck for the home side and we expect this determined play to ultimately prove to be the difference in the outcome of this contest. Lay the points on the PISTONS.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on the LA Clippers.

We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Significant injuries: The Spurs will once again be without the services of big man Tim Duncan and veteran Manu Ginobili tonight.

Home court advantage: The Spurs are 28-0 at home, but a mere 17-8 on the road. Obviously that’s still a great record, but it’s definitely been more of an adventure for San Antonio whenever it’s played away from friendly confines. LA is 17-8 at home and with a game vs. the Warriors on deck next, we’re expecting the team to leave everything it has on the floor tonight in trying to secure the upset.

Revenge factor: San Antonio won the first matchup of the year, a 115-107 victory on December 18th. 

ATS statistics: Note that the Spurs are interestingly just 4-5 ATS in their last nine vs. poor defensive teams which allow 99-plus points per contest, while the Clippers are 9-7 ATS in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent and 6-3 ATS in their last nine vs. good offensive teams which score 99-plus points per game.

The bottom line: Even without Blake Griffin in the lineup tonight, we love the CLIPPERS in this spot, there are a bunch of different situational and strong trend based factors working in their favor today and while we obviously wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on the Milwaukee Bucks.

We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Revenge: The Bucks fell 106-101 to Washington on January 13th and will be highly motivated to avoid the season series sweep, losing the first three meetings of the year.

Momentum: Milwaukee played like a desperate team in its 112-111 win over the Celtics on Tuesday, breaking a stretch of five-straight losses. The Bucks would allow the C’s to battle back from 19 down in the fourth quarter, but were able to finally find a way to pull out the victory. If the team had lost that one, we’d likely be going the other way on this selection, but with the victory, we like Milwaukee to come in focused and confident tonight.

ATS statistics: Note that Washington is just 1-3 ATS this year as a road dog of three points or less and only 13-15 ATS vs. poor defensive teams which allow 99-plus points per contest, while Milwaukee is 18-15 ATS this season in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent and 13-9 ATS in front of the home town crowd.

The bottom line: With the All-Star break looming, we think the visitors get caught looking ahead to that time off, while the hungrier BUCKS take advantage and build off their latest victory.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* SUPER-BLOWOUT on the Detroit Pistons.

We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Revenge motivation: The home side will be looking to avoid its first three-game skid since December, while also out to avenge a loss to the Nuggets in Denver just last month.

Letdown/look-ahead spot: Denver has been playing a lot better lately, especially for bettors, covering the spread in eight of its last ten. It had won two in a row SU and seven straight ATS until a 105-104 loss as a 2.5 point favorite in Brooklyn on Monday. It’s hard to gain momentum back after losing it and with eight days off for the All Star break after this contest, there’s no question in our minds that this does indeed set up as a classic letdown/look-ahead spot for the visitors.

ATS statistics: Note that Denver is just 1-2 ATS this year off an upset loss as a favorite, while Detroit is 15-12 ATS this season in revenging a loss vs. an opponent.

The bottom line: We expect the visitors to check out of this one early and for the hungry PISTONS to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Sacramento Kings.

We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

“The Brain” stays: There were reports that coach George Karl was on his way out of Sacramento, but GM Vlade Divac has given him a second chance and with one last opportunity to secure a win after eight losses out of their last nine, we look for the “The Brain” and his team to rise to the occasion. 

Revenge: The hungry Kings will be eager to atone for a particularly low-spot of their season when they fell 110-105 to the 76ers at home on December 30th. 

DeMarcus Cousins: Keep your eyes on the big man, he’s averaging 31.0 points and 17.3 boards in his last three vs. Philadelphia.

ATS statistics: Note that Sacramento is 5-3 ATS this year after three or more consecutive losses and 4-3 ATS after playing three consecutive road games, while Philadelphia is a horrible 11-13 ATS at home this season and only 2-3 ATS this year as a home dog of 3.5 to six points.

The bottom line: We think a motivated and highly focused KINGS team finally comes to play a full four quarters and comfortably pulls away down the stretch for the ATS cover.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the New York Knicks.

We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

New York coaching change: When a struggling team makes a coaching change in the middle of the season, one of two things invariably happens: either the team responds, or nothing changes and it continues to spiral down the proverbial crapper. We think the former will be the case though, at least for tonight as Kurt Rambis will now take the reigns for the first time since the Knicks let go of Derek Fisher. 

Perfect opponent to get untracked against: New York looks to regain the form which saw it dominate the first month and a half of the season and a date vs. the struggling Wizards is just what the doctor ordered, Washington has dropped eight of 11 while allowing 111.4 PPG.

Revenge factor: New York did manage to beat Washington 117-110 on October 31st to snap a seven-game win slide in the series, but the Knicks will still be eager to break a four-game losing streak in the series at Madison Square Garden.

ATS statistics: Note that Washington is already 0-3 ATS this season as a road underdog of three points or less and just 5-6 ATS in trying to revenge a home loss vs. an opponent, while New York is 7-5 ATS this year after three or more consecutive SU losses and 11-8 ATS following a non-conference contest.

The bottom line: The coaching change, the revenge factor, plenty of strong ATS statistics, all signs do indeed point to the KNICKS as the savvy move in this contest.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* EXPRESS on the Milwaukee Bucks.

We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Motivation levels: Boston is rolling, it’s won nine of its last ten, most recently a 128-119 victory over Sacramento on Sunday. That also included a hugely satisfying victory over Cleveland on Friday. The Bucks on the other hand will be playing with extreme desperation as they look to break a season-high five-game slide. Desperation breeds motivation while winning leads to contentedness.

Revenge factor: The Bucks play with revenge today, they fell 99-83 at home to Boston on November 10th. Note that Milwaukee has in fact dropped two straight and seven of their last ten to the C’s in front of the home town crowd.

Getting healthier: The home side expects a big boost today with the return from OJ Mayo, who has been sitting for 11 games with a hamstring injury (one other players to keep your eyes on today is Bucks’ centre Greg Monroe, who is averaging 20.5 points on 56.3 percent shooting over his last eight games).

ATS statistics: Note that Boston is just 3-5 ATS this year after three or more consecutive SU victories, while Milwaukee is 6-1 ATS after three or more consecutive SU losses.

The bottom line: The situational, motivational, personnel and trend based factors do all indeed point to the BUCKS as the sharp move in this contest.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* REVENGE DESTRUCTION on the Chicago Bulls.

We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on a few different basic factors:

Revenge: Charlotte has won two of three over Chicago, most recently a 102-96 victory on December 5th.

Derek Rose: Chicago star Jimmy Butler won’t be playing in this one, but D-Rose has picked up the slack by averaging 19.5 points and 9.5 assists the last two games.

ATS statistics: This is in fact a spot in which the Bulls have dominated in for bettors, going 12-8 ATS last 20 after allowing 105 points or more, while Charlotte has struggled in this spot by going just 14-17 ATS vs. good offensive teams which score 99-plus points per contest and just 6-10 ATS after scoring 105 points or more. 

The bottom line: With a five game road trip which starts on Wednesday, we think the home side comes into this one a bit complacent and despite being down a key player, we ultimately feel that the level of desperation in which the BULLS play with today will prove to be the difference. Play on CHICAGO.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* ASSASSIN on the New York Knicks.

We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Desperation breeds motivation: The home side will be the hungrier team today in our opinion, it’s lost four straight and now sits 11th place in the Eastern Conference. 

Carmelo Anthony: How Melo goes, so go the Knicks. New York is 0-7 in games he’s missed, but he’s expected to be in the lineup today. 

Classic letdown/look-ahead spot: The Nuggets have been trading wins and losses over their last six games and come in off an extremely satisfying come from behind 115-110 victory over Chicago on Friday. With a game tomorrow night in Brooklyn, it’s not too hard to imagine the visitors coming into this one a bit complacent.

ATS statistics: Note that Denver is just 10-11 ATS this season after scoring 105 points or more, while New York is 6-4 ATS after three or more consecutive losses, 5-3 ATS after scoring 85 points or less, 21-14 ATS vs. good offensive teams which average 99-plus points per contest and interestingly, 5-1 ATS vs. the Northwest division.

The bottom line: We feel there are enough situational and trend based factors to pull the trigger on the determined home side, play on the KNICKS.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Milwaukee Bucks.

We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Letdown/look-ahead spot: We feel this sets up as a classic spot bet against the Jazz, they’ve won four straight, but had to hold on for dear life in an 85-81 win over Denver on Wednesday, unable to cover the 8-point spread. And with a three game road trip starting tomorrow night in Phoenix, it’s definitely not too hard to imagine the home side looking past their Eastern Conference opponent this evening.

Revenge: The Bucks have dropped 13 straight in Utah.

Desperation breeds motivation: While the Jazz are flying high, the Bucks come in having lost four straight and five in a row on the road. There’s no question in our minds who will be the more motivated side in this one.

ATS statistics: Note that Milwaukee is 5-1 ATS vs. Northwest division opponents this season and 5-1 ATS after three or more consecutive SU losses, while Utah is only 1-3 ATS after scoring 85 points or less and just 2-4 ATS after playing three consecutive home games.

The bottom line: While we wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can as we look for the BUCKS to risk life and limb to secure a victory today and expect them to at the very least, take this one down to the wire and comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Dallas Mavericks.

We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Revenge factor: Dallas suffered a 106-82 setback to the Heat on New Years Day, a loss which still represents the team’s second lowest point total of the season. The Mavericks have in fact lost eight of the last nine in the series.

Letdown spot: It’s hard to gain back momentum and after having their four-game win streak halted in a 115-102 loss at Houston just last night, suffice it to say we think the Heat come in with “heavy legs” this evening. 

ATS statistics: Note that Miami is just 4-5 ATS in its last nine when playing on back-to-back days and just 2-6 ATS after allowing 105 points or more, while Dallas is 14-7 ATS after allowing 105 points or more and 12-10 ATS this season in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent.

The bottom line: Both teams have injury concerns, so that area is a “wash,” DALLAS though clearly has the situational, motivational and trend based factors all working in its favor today.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Orlando Magic.

We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Classic letdown/look-ahead spot: This is as big as it gets with this angle, the Thunder have won nine of their last ten, including four straight and after playing the lowly Eastern Conference Magic tonight, have a battle at defending champion Golden State on Saturday. Suffice it to say, it’s obviously not too hard to imagine OKC looking past Orlando this evening.

Revenge: The Magic fell 139-136 in double OT at home to the Thunder on November 30th. Orlando has also lost six straight in OKC.

Road warriors: The Magic are 10-7 SU against the Western conference with six of those setbacks decided by six points or less, including three in the extra frame.

ATS statistics: Note that Orlando is 12-4 ATS in non-conference game this year, while OKC is just 8-13 ATS in non-conference contests and only 7-18 ATS vs. teams with losing records.

The bottom line: We won’t be so bold as to call for an outright upset, but with the situational and trend based factors working in their favor, we look for the MAGIC to keep this one a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the Minnesota Timberwolves.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't subscribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Letdown spot: Portland is 22-26 after winning seven of its last nine and with eight of the next ten coming on its home floor, it's very hard for us not to imagine the Blazers coming in a bit complacent in facing the lowly Wolves tonight and with an important two game, back-to-back road trip in LA on the horizon.

Desperation breeds motivation: The Wolves have lost 14 of 15 overall and ten in a row on the road. Not only will they be trying to end that slide, but also to avenge three straight losses to the Blazers, including two close ones this year, a 106-101 setback on November 2nd and a 109-103 effort on December 5th.

ATS statistics: Note that Minnesota is already 5-3 ATS this year as a road dog in the 6.5 to 9 points range, while Portland is 0-3 ATS this season after three or more consecutive SU victories.

The bottom line: The situational factors and the trends do indeed both point to the TIMBERWOLVES as the savvy move in this contest.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the Orlando Magic.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't subscribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Immediate revenge factor: The Magic lost 113-94 in Boston on Friday.

Desperation levels: Orlando will surely be the hungrier team today, it's lost eight straight and 12 of its last 13: "We've got to figure something out. We've got to do it fast or it's just going to keep going south," guard Victor Oladipo said. "We've said it all. We've been saying it all the past couple of weeks, and we've just got to do it. There's nothing more we can say."

If history is any precedence: Then Orlando has to be loving its chances for a bounce-back performance, it's averaged 101.5 in four consecutive home wins over the Celtics while giving up 93.8.

ATS statistics: Note that Boston is already just 2-4 ATS this year after three or more consecutive SU victories, while Orlando is 4-2 ATS after playing three consecutive road games.

The bottom line: While we obviously wouldn't be shocked by an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can as we look for the MAGIC to at the very least, take this one down to the wire and to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the Atlanta Hawks.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't subscribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Classic letdown spot: This is a battle for first spot in the division, but we think the Heat are lined up for a classic letdown today, they salvaged a five-game road trip by winning their final three, all by four points or less.

Desperate visiting side: While Miami comes into this one feeling a lot better about itself, the Hawks will be playing with desperation today as they've gone just 1-4 in their last five.

Revenge factor: Miami beat Atlanta 100-88 on December 14th.

ATS statistics: Note that the Hawks are already 2-1 ATS this year when playing with two days of rest and 21-15 ATS in their last 36 when trying to revenge a home loss vs. an opponent, while the Heat are 1-5 ATS after scoring 105 points or more this season and 0-4 ATS after three or more consecutive SU victories.

The bottom line: The situation and the trends both point to the HAWKS as the savvy move in this contest.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* REVENGE ASSASSIN on the Sacramento Kings.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't subscribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Motivated and revenge minded: Sacramento is likely to be without head coach George Karl for this one, but there won't be any lack of motivation as the visitors desperately try to avoid a fourth straight loss, while also looking to snap a ten-game losing streak in Memphis.

ATS statistics: Note that Sacramento has dominated in this spot for bettors all season long, going 12-10 ATS on the road, 4-2 ATS after three or more consecutive SU losses and 14-7 ATS vs. teams with winning records. And note, despite their recent surge the Grizzlies have been brutal in this position, going just 7-11 ATS following a non-conference game, only 3-6 ATS following a victory by ten points or more and a poor 13-16 ATS this season vs. good offensive teams which score 99-plus points per contest.

The bottom line: From a situational and trend based stand point, all signs do indeed point to the KINGS as the savvy move in this one.

AAA Sport

This is a 10* REVENGE ASSASSIN on the Utah Jazz.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't subscribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

If history is any precedence: Then the home side has to be loving it chances today, Charlotte has lost eight straight in Salt Lake City, while averaging 84.0 points and 40.3 percent shooting.

Motivation: Charlotte has won three straight, while Utah has lost five of seven. We definitely feel this sets up as a natural letdown spot for the contented Hornets, while the Jazz will be risking life and limb as they look to break the slide. And note that home side also plays with revenge after falling 124-119 in double OT to Charlotte just last week.

ATS statistics: Note that Charlotte is just 6-13 ATS after a non-conference game and just 6-8 ATS this year after scoring 105 points or more, while Utah is 6-0 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite and 11-6 ATS this season in revenging a loss vs. an opponent.

The bottom line: The situations and trends do all indeed point to the JAZZ as the sharp wager in this one.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Phoenix Suns.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't subscribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Momentum: These are a couple of horrible teams, the 76ers are just 6-39, while the Suns are 14-31. Phoenix though has a chance to string together back-to-back wins for the first time in seven weeks after snapping a six-game slide in Saturday's convincing 98-95 victory over the Hawks: "It's valuable experience for these guys to be in a game like that and win," assessed Suns' coach Jeff Hornacek afterwards.

Revenge: The Suns fell 111-104 to Philadelphia on December 26th, which snapped a five-game win skein in the series.

Inept home side: The 76ers have been particularly horrible of late, allowing at least 51 boards in four of their last six, while also holding a rebounding disadvantage in seven of their last eight.

ATS statistics: Note that Phoenix is already 2-1 ATS this year as a road dog of three points or less, while Philadelphia is a horrible 7-13 ATS after a loss by ten points or more.

The bottom line: We think there are enough factors working in favor of the visitors to pull the trigger on this one and while we obviously wouldn't be surprised by the outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Play on the SUNS.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* COAST-TO-COAST EXPRESS on the Atlanta Hawks.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't subscribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Hawks healing up: Atlanta is expected to welcome back Paul Millsap to the lineup. Millsap and the Hawks will be especially motivated today to break a two game slide, most recently a 98-95 setback at Phoenix on Saturday. Millsap leads the team with 18.4 points and 8.8 boards, but he's averaging 20.4 points and 53.5 percent shooting over his last eight away from friendly confines (if Millsap doesn't return, we still love this play as the team is expected to move Al Horford from center to fill the void, while placing Tiago Splitter in the middle).

Classic letdown spot: The Nuggets have been playing a bit better of late and come in off a 104-101 win over Detroit on Saturday; but note, Denver is a horrible 9-14 in front of the home town crowd this season.

Injured home side: Jameer Nelson and Kenneth Faried are both listed as doubtful/questionable and if they do play, they will not be at 100% capacity.

ATS statistics: Note that Atlanta is 16-11 ATS in its last 27 vs. poor defensive teams which allow 99-plus points per contest and 7-5 ATS this year following an upset loss as a favorite, while Denver is just 10-12 ATS in front of the home town crowd and only 4-8 ATS off an upset win as an underdog.

The bottom line: We like a focused and determined ATLANTA team to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the Houston Rockets.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Desperation breeds motivation: The Rockets are just 22-22 on the year and will be playing this one without big man Dwight Howard. They've also lost three of their last four. Most recently Houston fell 123-114 to the Pistons, despite 33 points, a career-high 17 boards, to go along with 14 assists from James Harden. Note though that the Rockets are 36-23 without Howard in the lineup since 2013/14: "We have to figure it out," Harden said. "We've been through this situation before. Guys are going to have the opportunity to step up and play extra minutes, so just take advantage of it. Every go on this roster is preparing themselves for a situation like this."

Good news on injury front: Dwight is down, but Patrick Beverly is expected back for the home side, he's missed three of the last five.

Harden: The Rockets' sharp-shooter is hitting 52.1 percent in 11 career games vs. Milwaukee.

Classic letdown/look-ahead spot: After three straight victories at home against the Eastern Conference, the Bucks now hit the road for a late night Western conference affair, there's no question that this one screams letdown spot for the visitors. And with a game tomorrow night in New Orleans against "The Brow," it's not too hard to imagine the Bucks in some small way getting caught looking ahead to that one.

ATS statistics: Note that Milwaukee is just 2-5 ATS after a win by ten points or more this season; it's also a brutal 4-19 ATS in its last 23 after allowing 85 points or less and only 2-8 ATS in its last ten after three or more consecutive SU victories. And note that Houston is 9-6 ATS this season after a non-conference game.

The bottom line: We love the hungry home side to defend its floor and find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Play on the ROCKETS.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the Miami Heat.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

On paper: This one looks like a mismatch, the Raptors are on the verge of their longest win streak in nearly 14 years, while the Heat have fallen on hard times because of injury. But that's why there's a point-spread and in our professional opinion, this is indeed too much to be giving up to the desperate visiting side which has lost six of its last seven. Conversely, the Raptors have won six in a row after a 22-point loss to the Cavaliers on January 4th. We always like to say that desperation breeds motivation and that winning leads to complacency at some point and with the Clippers and Washington on deck next for the home side, we find it hard to imagine the Raptors in some small way not getting caught looking ahead to those more difficult contests.

ATS statistics: Note that Miami is 4-1 ATS this year in revenging a home loss vs. an opponent and 7-5 ATS after a loss by ten points or more, while Toronto is just 5-6 ATS this season after three or more consecutive SU victories.

The bottom line: Despite the injuries, we feel there are many other factors combining to work in favor of MIAMI today and look for it to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch with what we feel to be a very healthy spread afforded to it.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* EAST-COAST ASSASSIN on the Miami Heat.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Home cooking: The Heat return home from a six-game road trip, going just 2-4 in the process. Miami will be extra motivated to take advantage of this opportunity, as the team will then have to gear up for another five game trip starting on Thursday (note that the Heat are 15-8 SU in front of the home town crowd this season).

Revenge: The Bucks took all four games over the Heat last year.

ATS statistics: Note that Milwaukee is just 1-5 ATS this year after a victory by ten points or more and just 3-4 ATS when playing with two days of rest, while Miami is 6-3 ATS this season following a loss by ten points or more and 2-1 ATS after scoring 85 points or less.

The bottom line: Miami is banged up, but what team isn't at this point of the season? After a lacklustre trip and with another big one on the horizon, we think the HEAT come into this one focused, put the foot on the gas and don't let up until the final horn; lay the points.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Cleveland Cavaliers.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Revenge: This is an obvious one and is what this pick is almost 100% based upon. The last time the Warriors were in Cleveland, they'd leave the city with the Larry O'Brien Trophy. Golden State also beat the Cavs at at home on Christmas day.

Coming back down to Earth: After starting the season 24-0, the Warriors have lost two of their last three.

Momentum: The Cavs come in hot, their only loss in the last three weeks was Thursday's 99-95 loss at San Antonio, Cleveland had won eight straight prior to that and would follow up the setback with a commanding 91-77 victory at Houston to wrap up a 5-1 road trip.

Home court advantage: Cleveland has to be liking its chances today, it plays five of its next six at Quicken Loans Arena, where it's won six straight and is 15-1 overall.

ATS statistics: Note that Golden State is just 5-9 ATS in non-conference games this year, while Cleveland is 4-1 ATS after playing three consecutive road games and 11-4 ATS vs. teams with winning records.

The bottom line: This is personal. This is their home turf. We expect an all out war, but look for the CAVALIERS to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* ASSASSIN on the Chicago Bulls.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Revenge: One month after playing the longest game in four years, the Bulls are back to avenge that 147-144 four OT setback.

Classic letdown spot: Detroit became just the NBA's fourth team to beat the Warriors in Saturday's 113-95 effort.

Motivation: After a season-best six-game win streak, the Bulls have lost four of their last five. This is an ultra-important stretch for the Bulls, who open a stretch with ten of 12 on the road, where they've dropped six of their last nine.

ATS statistics: Note that Chicago is 2-1 ATS already this year in revenging a home loss vs. an opponent and 26-14 ATS in the same position over the last three, while Detroit is just 4-6 ATS this season after a win by ten points or more and just 20-24 ATS in the same position over the last three.

The bottom line: We think the home side comes in a bit complacent and the hungry BULLS find a way to get the job done at the end of the night.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the Detroit Pistons.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Revenge: These teams played on November 9th and the Warriors would pull away for the 109-95 victory.

Scheduling: It's almost impossible not to imagine the Warriors getting caught "looking ahead" to their game at Cleveland on Monday and then at Chicago on Wednesday.

Home court domination: Detroit is 13-6 at home and had won four straight there prior to Tuesday's 109-99 setback to San Antonio. The Pistons rank in the league's Top 10 with 97.4 points allowed per home game.

ATS statistics: Note that the Warriors are just 5-8 ATS in non-conference games this year and only 7-8 ATS vs. teams with winning records, while Detroit is 9-5 ATS in its last 14 as a home dog in the 3.5 to 9 points range and 6-1 ATS this season off an upset loss as a favorite.

The bottom line: While we wouldn't be completely shocked by an outright upset, we think the home side will at the very least take this one down to the wire and comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Miami Heat.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Classic "letdown" spot for the Nuggets: No need to overanalyze this play in our opinion, overachieving Denver has won three of its last four, including a 112-110 victory over Golden State on Wednesday.

Desperation factor for Miami: The Heat have been playing sloppily of late, they'd open their six-game road trip with a win in Phoenix, but have since lost three-straight. But desperation breeds motivation and the ATS stats are backing us up today as well.

ATS statistics: Note that Miami is 9-6 ATS in non-conference games this year and 5-3 ATS after a loss by ten points or more, while Denver is 3-7 ATS this season off an upset win as an underdog and 5-10 ATS after scoring 105 points or more.

The bottom line: Both teams are dealing with injuries, but one is coming off an epic win, while the other will be playing with desperation. Lay the short points with confidence on the hungry, hungry HEAT.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Brooklyn Nets.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Scheduling: No need to overanalyze this angle, the Nets have had a day off to prepare, while the Knicks come in off a hard-fought 120-114 win over the Celtics just last night. Advantage Brooklyn.

Desperation breeds motivation: The Nets have lost ten straight at home.

Carmelo Anthony status: Anthony suffered a sprained right ankle in last night's win, his status is uncertain for this evening and if he does happen to play, clearly he won't be functioning at 100% capacity (It's hard to imagine the Knicks playing their super-star in the second game of a back-to-back vs. the lowly Nets though if he is in fact injured even in the slightest).

Revenge factor: Anthony played a key part in his team's 108-91 home win vs. Brooklyn on December 4th, scoring 28.

ATS statistics: Note that New York is just 6-7 ATS this year after scoring 105 points or more, while Brooklyn is 8-6 ATS after allowing 105 points or more.

The bottom line: Off a big win just last night, a victory which likely cost them the services of their best player for a while and facing a desperate and revenge minded home side, all signs do indeed point to a classic letdown spot for the visitors; grab as many points as you can with the NETS.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Charlotte Hornets.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Revenge factor: Charlotte has dropped both meetings to Atlanta already this year (note that neither was a blowout, a 97-94 on October 30th and 94-92 two days later).

Letdown spot: This is a classic letdown spot for the visitors after they ended Chicago's six-game win streak with a 120-105 victory on Saturday.

Desperation leads to motivation: Despite being down big man Al Jefferson, the Hornets will be risking life and limb today in trying to snap a seven-game slide: "It's the defense, obviously," coach Steve Clifford said. "We've got to get back to, in the games 12 through 23, we were the second-best defensive team in the league against a good schedule so we're capable of much better."

ATS statistics: Note that Atlanta has in fact struggled in this spot for bettors, just 4-5 ATS after a victory by ten points or more, only 6-9 ATS after scoring 105 points or more and 7-9 ATS vs. teams with losing records. And not that this is a position in which Charlotte has performed extremely well in, going 3-1 ATS this season as a home dog of three points or less and 4-2 ATS when playing with two days of rest.

The bottom line: With a game tomorrow night in Milwaukee, we think the Hawks come in a bit distracted, leaving the door open for CHARLOTTE to finally break its slide.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* EXPRESS on the Minnesota Timberwolves.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Cracks in the armour: The Thunder are 26-12, but have shown some signs of fatigue of late, they'd have to hold on for a 117-113 win over the Lakers on Friday and then fell 115-110 to the Blazers on Sunday, allowing Portland to hit 19 3-pointers.

Defense slipping: OKC has given up 108.6 PPG over its last eight.

Desperation breeds motivation: Minnesota has lost six-straight: "We're trying not to let a losing mentality set in," Wolve's veteran Andre Miller assessed. "It's tough. We have a lot of young guys, a lot of inexperienced guys, and we're just trying to go out there and put a good 48 minutes together on both ends of the court. ... We've gotta figure out how we're gonna get the monkey off our back."

Revenge: To say this is a revenge game would be a bit of an understatement, as the Thunder have won seven straight in the series and 16 of the last 18 overall.

ATS statistics: Note that OKC is just 4-13 ATS this year vs. teams with losing records and only 1-7 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite, while Minnesota is 30-27 ATS in its last 57 after playing to three or more consecutive SU losses.

The bottom line: With a game tomorrow night at home vs. Dallas, it's certainly not too hard to imagine the Thunder "looking past" the lowly Wolves today and when taking into account the rest of the above factors listed above, all signs do indeed point to MINNESOTA as the savvy move in this contest.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* EXPRESS on the Boston Celtics.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Desperation breeds motivation: The Celtics defeated the Knicks 100-91 on December 27th, but have since lost five of six since. New York has won five of seven since that setback to Boston. This is one of those circumstances in which we feel the "revenge" factor is going to be over-rated, as Boston will be playing with utter desperation as it looks to break the slide, therefore negating any "revenge" advantages that the Knicks may have normally had in this spot.

ATS statistics: Note that Boston is 11-7 ATS on the road this year and 2-0 ATS after three or more consecutive SU losses, while New York is just 2-4 ATS following a victory by ten points or more this season and only 3-4 ATS as a home fav of three points or less.

The bottom line: Sometimes we keep it simple and for us, it simply comes down to these two factors: we ultimately feel that New York is set up for a classic letdown after the recent surge, while Boston's desperation level will turn out to be the difference in the end; play on the CELTICS.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the Brooklyn Nets.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

New coach for Brooklyn: When a team fires a head coach in the middle of a season to shake things up, it can have one of two effects: either the team responds and dominates, or it continues to slide as if nothing happened. While we won't be so bold as to call for an outright upset, we do think the firing of Lionel Hollins and the assigning of GM Billy King will light enough of a fire under the home side to keep this one a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe.

ATS statistics: And the stats back up our line of reasoning as well as note that San Antonio has in fact struggled in this spot over the last few seasons, going just 13-18 ATS in its last 31 when playing with two days of rest, while Brooklyn has excelled in this spot for bettors already this year, going 9-4 ATS in all non-conference games, 13-9 ATS vs. teams with winning records, 16-12 ATS vs. good offensive clubs which average 99-plus points per contest, interestingly it's also 4-1 ATS vs. the Southwest division (the entire Southwest just can't help itself in "looking past" the lowly Nets it would seem), and 9-7 ATS in revenging a loss vs. an opponent.

Look ahead spot: It's not like the Spurs will have it marked down on their calendar, but this does indeed set up as a bit of a look ahead spot for the visitors with a game in Detroit tomorrow night.

The bottom line: A new coach, a new direction. Strong ATS stats backed by an equally as important "spot" circumstance. This is a lot of points, too many in our opinion, grab as many as you can with the NETS.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Minnesota Timberwolves.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Recent poor road play: Dallas has dropped four of its last six away from friendly confines.

Classic "look ahead" spot: The Mavs host the Cavaliers on Tuesday, before returning to the road to face OKC, Chicago and San Antonio.

Desperation breeds motivation: The Wolves have dropped five straight after getting blown out 125-99 at home by Cleveland on Friday.

Revenge factor: Minnesota lost both games to Dallas last year.

ATS statistics: Note that Dallas is just 6-8 ATS in its last 14 as a road favorite of 3.5 to six points, while Minnesota is 5-4 ATS this season after three or more consecutive SU losses.

The bottom line: A perfect combination of factors collide and while we wouldn't be shocked by an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can as we look for the WOLVES to take full advantage of this situation and to at the very least, take this one down to the wire and to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the LA Kings.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based entirely on strong and relevant ATS statistics:

Note that St. Louis is just 2-7 (-6.7 units) this year in revenging a home loss vs. an opponent and only 3-4 (-2.4 units) when playing on back-to-back days.

And note that LA is 9-2 (+6.4 units) vs. teams with winning records this season.

Play on the KINGS.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the Milwaukee Bucks.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Revenge: Milwaukee has lost six straight in this series, including a 103-93 setback in Dallas just last week.

Fatigue/letdown spot: Dallas is coming off a couple of back-to-back victories, including an exhausting 117-116 double OT win over Sacramento on Tuesday, followed by a 100-91 win over New Orleans on Wednesday. Now they hit the road for an East Coast game vs. the lowly Bucks, suffice it to say, it's not too hard to imagine the Mavs coming in a bit complacent here and that's exactly what we're banking on with this play.

Desperation levels: Milwaukee on the other hand will be extra motivated to avoid a third straight loss after falling 117-106 at Chicago on Tuesday.

ATS statistics: Note that Milwaukee is in fact 10-3-1 ATS in its last 14 at home vs. Dallas.

The bottom line: Desperation vs. contentedness. While we obviously wouldn't be shocked by the outright victory, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can with the BUCKS.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the Washington Wizards.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Motivation: We definitely feel that the Wizards have the upper hand in the "motivation department" today, they have lost three of their last four to Toronto, Miami and Cleveland, all of whom rank in the top four in fewest points allowed per game. There's no question that the "revenge" factor comes in to play here as well. Also note that the Wizards looked pretty damn good in defeat to the Cavs last time out, eventually succumbing 121-115 on Wednesday, but posting season bests in field-goal (55.3) and 3-point (58.3) percentage, assisting on 31 of 42 field goals and setting the pace with a 22-5 edge on fast-break points.

Getting healthier: Part of the Wizards recent issues have been because of injuries, but Nene returned to play against Cleveland along with Gary Neal. Both looked good and will now be back up to speed. Kris Humphries is also expected to play tonight after sitting vs. the Cavaliers.

Raptors D is slipping: It's true that Toronto dominated the lowly Nets 91-74 on Wednesday, but note that it had given up an average of 118.5 points in losses to Chicago and Cleveland previous.

ATS statistics: Note that Toronto is just 2-4 ATS in its last six overall, while Washington is 5-3 ATS in its last eight when revenging a road loss vs. an opponent.

The bottom line: Desperation breeds motivation, we think the home side is hungrier and that fact will prove to be the difference once the final horn blares; play on the WIZARDS.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* ASSASSIN on the Houston Rockets.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

James Harden: The Rockets super star is finally starting to fire on all cylinders, he's averaging 28.1 PPG, which is second best in the league. Harden had 30 points in a 93-91 win at Utah on Monday.

Motivation: Houston has started to play much better of late, but there's no question it still has a long way to go and something to prove today as it looks to avoid a third straight home loss (following a seven-game win streak there). The Rockets play the next seven at home: "It's a great opportunity for us to take care of home-court advantage," Harden assessed last night. "We gotta focus on things we can control; our defensive togetherness, rebounding the basketball and limiting the turnovers."

If history is any precedence: Then Houston has to be loving its chances to continue its surge, it's won nine of the last 11 meetings with Utah and has swept all five at home by an average of almost 19 points.

Trending the other way: The Jazz's vaunted defense is starting to come unravelled, they're most recently coming off a 123-98 setback at San Antonio on Wednesday, the most points the team has allowed all year. They'd go on to allow the Spurs to shoot a massive 60.5 percent from the floor.

Injuries: Utah has been hit by a rash of injuries and will once again be without the services of Rudy Gobert, Dante Exum, Derrick Favors and Alec Burks.

ATS statistics: Note that Utah is just 11-12 ATS this season vs. good offensive teams which score 99-plus points per contest, while Houston is 20-9 ATS in its last 29 when playing with two days of rest.

The bottom line: The Rockets are getting healthier and have found their swagger, while the Jazz are reeling from injury and loss of identity. When taking into account all of the factors listed above, there's no question in our minds that a lop-sided destruction is in the cards tonight; play on HOUSTON.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the Charlotte Hornets.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Stephen Curry: Is injured, he'll be a game time decision, but if he does play, he won't be at 100% and we don't expect him to play a pivotal role in the outcome of this one. Curry returned from a two-game absence on Saturday, but left after playing 14 minutes when he injured his leg again in a 111-108 OT win over Denver.

Motivation for the Hornets: Charlotte will be desperate here, and despite having to deal with some key injuries, we think the passion and focus in which the team plays with today will be the difference, the Hornets are looking to avoid their first four-game losing streak of the season, while trying to start a four-game road trip off on the "right foot." "Obviously we're missing some guys but our energy level is good but it's just our defense and our rebounding," Hornets coach Steve Clifford said. "When we start to get our defense going again, then we'll win again."

Look ahead spot: While it's only the lowly Lakers, it's still not too hard to imagine the Warriors looking ahead to their game vs. Kobe Bryant and the much improve Lake-Show on Tuesday.

Strong and relevant ATS statistics: Charlotte is 5-1 ATS this year after a loss by ten points or more and 2-0 ATS after playing to three or more consecutive SU losses, while Golden State is just 5-6 ATS in non-conference game this year.

The bottom line: A plethora of different factors do all indeed point to the points as the savvy move in this contest, grab as many as you can with CHARLOTTE tonight.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the Boston Celtics.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Major Injury: Brooklyn has lost the services of veteran guard Jarrett Jack, who tore an ACL as well as a meniscus on Saturday; Jack has been pivotal in the Nets taking two of three from the Celtics this season.

Revenge factor: Boston does indeed play with revenge here, the C's took the first game 120-95 at home, but have since dropped two straight to Brooklyn, including a 100-97 setback at home on Saturday.

Motivation: We definitely feel that the visitors will be the more motivated team today, they'll desperately be trying to avoid a second three-game losing streak in the last three weeks.

Strong and relevant ATS statistics: note that Boston is 10-5 ATS on the road this year, 5-3 ATS up off an upset loss as a favorite and 9-7 ATS in revenging a loss vs. an opponent, while Brooklyn is a poor 8-9 ATS in front of the home town crowd this season.

The bottom line: Revenge is a powerful motivating factor and it is one which we feel will ultimately prove to be the difference today; play on the CELTICS.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on the LA Lakers.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

- Scheduling: The Suns have lost eight straight and are coming off a 142-119 setback at Sacramento just last night.

- Brutal defensive play: Phoenix was allowed opponents to average 109.3 points per game shoot 48.6 percent, both league worsts in that span.

- LA trending in opposite direction: Lakers just yielded their fewest points this year, limiting Philadelphia to 36.9 percent shooting in Friday's 93-84 victory: "We're starting to play off each other, and guys are just being comfortable in their own skin," guard Lou Williams said. "These past few games we've played with a lot of confidence and played at a better pace."

- Revenge: LA plays with revenge after falling 120-101 in Phoenix in mid November.

- Strong and relevant ATS statistics: note that Phoenix is just 5-10 ATS this year after scoring 105 points or more, while LA is 9-7 ATS this season vs. teams with losing records.

The bottom line: We feel the home side should be a much bigger favorite, the LAKERS have improved dramatically over the last few weeks, while the Suns are spiralling down the proverbial crapper due to injury.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* ASSASSIN on the Sacramento Kings.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a couple of different factors:

- Motivation: we like the Kings to come out fired up here, after losing 122-103 at Golden State, the team would then be humbled in a 110-105 home loss to the lowly 76ers.

- DeMarcus Cousins: The Kings' big man has been playing really well of late, he had 21 points, 11 boards and three blocks before fouling out in the setback to Philadelphia. Note that Cousins averages 27.9 PPG at home as well. And finally note that Cousins has dominated the Suns throughout his career with averages of 23.2 points and 13.8 boards in his last nine vs. them.

- Revenge Factor: Cousins did not play in a 118-97 road loss to Phoenix back on November 4th.

- Poor defense: The Suns have lost seven straight and have given up an average of 108 points on 49.2 percent shooting in that span.

- ATS Stats: Note that Phoenix is just 5-9 ATS after scoring 105 points or more, while Sacramento is already 4-2 ATS this year after three or more consecutive SU losses.

Play on SACRAMENTO.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the Philadelphia 76ers.

While we won't be so bold as to call for an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can as we look for the lowly 76ers to keep this one a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe. Memphis hasn't been playing great the last few weeks, after back to back road losses at Chicago and Dallas, the Grizzlies would rebound with a decent 96-84 win at Indiana on Saturday. Memphis is on the road over Christmas, a game tomorrow night in Washington is followed with a game at Charlotte on Boxing day; it's definitely not too hard to imagine the visitors looking past their cellar dweller opponent this evening (also note that Memphis is just 6-8 SU on the road this season). Philadelphia also plays a game tomorrow night in Milwaukee, but the 76ers won't be looking past their opponent, in fact the team plays with revenge after falling 92-84 in Memphis back on November 29th. This is also Philadelphia's last home game until January 4th, which without question puts added importance into trying to secure a victory at all costs tonight. And while it's true that the Grizzlies have won five straight in the City of Brotherly Love, note that four of those victories came by five points or fewer, last season's win went to OT where Memphis needed to rally from 18 down over the final seven minutes. And finally note, this is not the same defensive minded Grizzlies clubs from years past as the team is allowing an average of 100.2 PPG this season. Grab as many points as you can with PHILADELPHIA.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* EXPRESS on the Indiana Pacers.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single handicapping methodology and believe that being flexible with one's approach is the best way to secure profits over the long-term. We routinely look at many factors, including motivation, scheduling, other external factors along with line price/movement and one thing we always take into consideration are strong and relevant Against The Spread statistics and they're what we're basing this pick on entirely, as note: the Pacers are 10-2 ATS this year vs. teams with winning records and 10-3 ATS vs. good offensive teams which score 99-plus points per contest, while San Antonio is already 6-7 ATS this season after three or more consecutive SU wins and just 11-18 ATS in its last 29 when playing with two days of rest. Play on INDIANA.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Boston Celtics.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single handicapping methodology and believe that being flexible with one's approach is the best way to secure profits over the long-term. We routinely look at many factors, including motivation, scheduling, other external factors along with line price/movement and one thing we always take into consideration are strong and relevant Against The Spread statistics and they're what we're basing this pick on entirely, as note: Minnesota is a poor 16-28 ATS the last three seasons when playing on back-to-back days and just 4-6 ATS in its last ten after allowing 85 points or less, while Boston is already 5-2 ATS in non-conference contests this season and 9-7 ATS vs. poor defensive teams which allow 99-plus points per contest. Play on Boston.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* ASSASSIN on the Philadelphia 76ers.

We think this is a few too many points to be giving up as we look for the lowly visitors to catch the defending Eastern Conference Champs a little flat-footed and disinterested and while we won't be so bold as to predict an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Cleveland will welcome back Kyrie Irving into the fold and suffice it to say, we don't think the transition for the new point guard and his team will go off seamlessly right out of the gates. This also definitely sets up as a classic "letdown/look ahead" spot for the home side, after four straight victories the Cavs now face the 76ers, before a game vs. New York on the 23rd and the much anticipated Christmas Day matchup in Golden State. Also note that Philadelphia is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 as a road dog in the 15.5 to 18 points range, while Cleveland is 0-2 ATS in its last two as a home fav in the same points range. Play on the 76'ERs!

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the Washington Wizards.

We look for the hungry home side to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Washington is chasing the Hornets in the Southeast Division and has been hit hard by the injury bug, the team will be without the services of Bradley Beal and Nene once again: "We can't use (injuries) as an excuse," coach Randy Wittman said. "We just haven't been consistent in terms of night in and night out. Night in and night out, your shooting can change. You take shots and miss shots, but defensively, and effort-wise putting the commitment into it has to be every night." Charlotte also has a bunch of injuries to contend with though, including to big man Al Jefferson and guard Nicolas Batum. The Hornets would stop a two-game slide with a 109-99 OT win over the Raptors on Thursday, but the extended absence of Jefferson will prove to be too much in our opinion tonight, note that he's averaged 18.8 points and 10.9 boards in helping his team win six of the last eight in this series, including a 101-87 home decision on November 25th. So not only do the desperate Wizards play with revenge, but they can also actually play with confidence, because if history is any precedence, then the team has to be loving its chances here as Washington is 8-2 in its last ten division games dating back to last season and has won five straight at home vs. Southeast foes. Note that Charlotte is just 4-6 ATS on the road this year and only 2-4 ATS vs. division opponents, while Washington is 59-44 ATS the last three seasons in front of the home town crowd and 3-2 ATS vs. its division this year. Play on WASHINGTON.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the Utah Jazz.

We are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, which means we look at things like motivation and scheduling to base a lot of our selections, but that said, we don't prescribe to any one single handicapping methodology and instead believe that being flexible with one's approach is the best way to secure profit over the long-term. One set of factors that we always take into consideration when making a selection are relevant and strong "Against The Spread" statistics, and it's what we're basing this entire 5-game report on: note that Denver is already just 2-4 ATS this year off an upset win as an underdog and just 3-7 ATS after scoring 105 points or more, while Utah is a perfect 4-0 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite and 2-1 ATS off a loss by ten points or more. Play on the JAZZ.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* play on the Brooklyn Nets.

We are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, which means we look at things like motivation and scheduling to base a lot of our selections, but that said, we don't prescribe to any one single handicapping methodology and instead believe that being flexible with one's approach is the best way to secure profit over the long-term. One set of factors that we always take into consideration when making a selection are relevant and strong "Against The Spread" statistics, and it's what we're basing this entire 5-game report on: note that Brooklyn is already 2-0 ATS this year as a road dog between 9.5 and 12 points, as well sat 11-6 ATS vs. good offensive teams which average 99-plus points per contest, while Indiana is just 4-5 ATS this year vs. teams with losing records and only 4-5 ATS following a non-conference contest (also note, that it's not too hard to imagine the Pacers "looking ahead" to their tough two game Western road swing, which starts tomorrow night at Memphis and ends at San Antonio on Sunday). Play on the NETS.

AAA Sports