| Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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| 11-02-17 | Lakers +7 v. Blazers | Top | 110-113 | Win | 100 | 13 h 33 m | Show |
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This is a 10* EXPRESS on the LA Lakers. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that the Lakers are already 3-1 ATS this year against good offenses which score 106-plus points per contest, while the Traiblazers are just 16-18 ATS in their last 34 when playing on back-to-back days and only 15-17 ATS in its last 32 following a divisional contest. The bottom line: The Lakers come in off a big win at home against the surging Pistons and will look to keep the momentum rolling here, before a tough game at home against the high-flying Nets toorrow night. The Blazers have lost two straight, including a disheartening ten point OT loss in Utah just last night. Grab the points, play on LA. AAA Sports |
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| 11-01-17 | Pacers v. Cavs -11 | Top | 124-107 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 33 m | Show |
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This is a 10* EAST-COAST EXPRESS on the Cleveland Cavaliers. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based strong/relevant ATS stats and common sense: As note that Indiana is just 12-23 ATS In its last 35 when playing on back-to-back days (enters off a very satisfying 101-83 victory at home over Sacramento last night) and only 6-8 ATS in its last 14 after allowing 85 points or less, while Cleveland is 2-1 ATS in its last three after three or more consecutive losses. The bottom line: After three straight losses, including to the Knicks at home, this has become a “do or die” game for the Cavs. Indiana has looked better than expected, but we think it folds up shop early against what will be an extremely motivated LeBron James and company. Lay the points, play on CLEVELAND. AAA Sports |
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| 10-31-17 | Thunder v. Bucks +2.5 | Top | 110-91 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 22 m | Show |
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This is a 10* SIDE OF THE WEEK on the Milwaukee Bucks. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics and scheduling: As note that OKC is just 3-8 ATS in its last 11 after allowing 85 points or less and still just 1-2 ATS on the road this year, while Milwaukee is 22-17 ATS in its last 39 against good offensive teams which score 106 plus points per contest. The bottom line: The Thunder destroyed the Bulls last time out and this is the finale of their Eastern road swing before a couple of days off an extended home stand. Can anyone say classic letdown spot? The Bucks take advantage here behind another big game from Giannis Antetokounmpo. Play on MILWAUKEE. AAA Sports |
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| 10-28-17 | Celtics v. Heat +1.5 | 96-90 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 29 m | Show | |
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This is an 8* play on the Miami Heat. A great situational play in our opinion, as Boston comes in complacent after three straight wins. Converely, Miami is just 2-2 out of the gates (0-4 ATS) and can’t at all be happy with the way that it’s been playing of late. Note though that Boston is a poor 10-27 ATS in its last 37 after three or more consecutive SU wins, while Miami is 21-12 ATS in its last 33 after a loss by ten points or more. We think the home side protects its own floor and catches the contented Celtics a little “flat footed” tonight. Play on MIAMI. AAA Sports |
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| 10-23-17 | 76ers +3.5 v. Pistons | 97-86 | Win | 100 | 31 h 33 m | Show | |
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This is an 8* ATS BLOOD-BATH on the Philadelphia 76ers. We base most of our picks on situations and which team we feel will be more “motivated” than the other. And in this case, we have no doubt that the 0-3 Philadelphia 76ers are “hungrier” than the 2-1 Pistons. Detroit could easily be caught “looking ahead” here as well with the T-Wolves on deck at home before a lengthy West Coast road trip. Additionally note that Philadelphia is 27-10 ATS in its last 37 against good offensive teams which average 106-plus points per contest, while Detroit is just 16-19 ATS in its last 35 against poor defensive teams which allow 106 PPG. While an outright victory is clearly a possibility, we’re still going to recommend to grab the points. Play on PHILADELPHIA. AAA Sports |
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| 10-18-17 | Nuggets +2.5 v. Jazz | 96-106 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 0 m | Show | |
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This is an 8* play on the Denver Nuggets. Denver was 40-42 last year and missed the playoffs, while the Jazz were 51-31 and eliminated in the second round by Golden State. The Nuggets got off to a slow start and then got hit by the injury bug. The team is expected to make major strides this year though with its core group of players now healthy in Nikola Jokic. The Nuggets also signed Paul Millsap. Denver averaged 111.7 PPG, but gave up 111.2. Utah will take a major step back in our opinion now that Gordon Hayward is gone. Last year the team averaged just 100.7 PPG, so it’s difficult to imagine where the offense is going to come? The defense was excellent though, ranked No. 1 in conceding just 96.8 PPG, led by big man Rudy Gobert in the middle. Note though that Denver is 5-0 ATS in its last five on teh road and 5-1 ATS in its last six against the Western Conference, while Utah is just 1-5-1 ATS in its last seven home games. We think the Nuggets’ offense is a difference maker tonight and while an outright upset isn’t out of the question, we’ll recommend to grab the points. Play on the NUGGETS. AAA Sports |
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| 10-18-17 | Pelicans v. Grizzlies -3 | 91-103 | Win | 100 | 28 h 11 m | Show | |
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This is an 8* play on the Memphis Grizzlies. The Pelicans will try to make the postseason in the tough Western Conference with Anthoy Davis and DeMarcus Cousins ready to go to battle, while the Grizzlies will be looking to move farther into the postseason after getting eliminated by San Antonio in the first round two straight times. Rajon Rondo is also in New Orleans now. Rondo though is out for at least six more weeks with injury. Jrue Holiday averaged 14.5 PPG for the Pelicans. Memphis though is still too deep in our opinion for New Orleans to properly hang with. Marc Gasol can handle the two big men for the most part (certainly he’ll have enough enery on Opening Night, perhaps not next April though), while Mike Conley and Tyreke Evans also help in leading the nightly charge. Note that New Orleans is just 1-4 ATS in its last five on the road, while Memphis is 4-1 ATS in its last five at home. Play on the GRIZZLIES. AAA Sports |
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| 10-18-17 | Bucks +5.5 v. Celtics | 108-100 | Win | 100 | 28 h 41 m | Show | |
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This is an 8* play on the Milwaukee Bucks. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on common sense. The Celtics fought hard and managed a cover in last night’s game in Cleveland, but took a massive blow with the season ending injury to Gordon Hayward. The organization has to be reeling right now. The Bucks will be looking to take advantage. We got down on this one fairly early and have a favorable line, but regardless, we still like Milwaukee to at the very least, take this one right down to the wire. We’re banking on the visitors taking advantage of the Celtics misfortune and the fact that they’re playing the second game of a back-to-back. Play on the BUCKS. AAA Sports |
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| 10-18-17 | 76ers +7 v. Wizards | 115-120 | Win | 100 | 27 h 11 m | Show | |
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This is an 8* play on the Philadelphia 76ers. Philadelphia has been rebuilding for a number of years now and the fruits of its hard labor could pay off finally this season. We think it will on Opening Night anyways. While we’re not going to call for an outright upset, we do think that the undervalued visiting side will keep this one competitive until the final moments. The 76ers averaged 102.4 PPG last year and allowed 108.1. The majority of last year’s team is back, but with more experience and a lot healthier. Finally we’re going to get to see big Joel Embiid in action tonight. You’ll also want to keep your eyes on Jahlil Okafor and Dario Saric for the visiting side this evening. The Wizards averages 109.2 PPG and allowed 107.4. John Wall led the team with 23.1 PPG, while Bradley Beal averaged 23.1. We think the improved visiting side takes this one down to the wire. Grab the points, play on the 76’ERS. AAA Sports |
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| 10-17-17 | Celtics v. Cavs -3 | Top | 99-102 | Push | 0 | 73 h 19 m | Show |
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This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on the Cleveland Cavaliers. Isaiah Thomas won’t be suited up for the Cavs tonight, but Kyrie Irving will be in the lineup for the Celtics. Boston also added All Star Gordon Hayward to its lineup. The Cavs made plenty of moves as well in the offseason, additionally acquiring Dwyane Wade, Derrick Rose, Jeff Green and Jae Crowder. Hayward averaged 21.9 points, 5.4 boards and 3.5 assists in Utah last year. Marcus Smart and Jaylen Brown are expected to fill holes for the C’s this season as well. Wade and Rose are on the tail ends of their careers, but add depth to an already deep Cavaliers team. Whether LeBron James plays or not tonight (injured ankle), we think that the home side has a major advantage. Irving is now the focal point of the C’s offense, which puts a burden both on himself and his teammates as well. It’s going to take some time for the new look Celtic offense to build chemistry and we think that’s going to spell trouble in “The Land.” In our opinion, this is a great situational play. Lay the points, play on the CAVALIERS. AAA Sports |
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| 05-25-17 | Cavs -9.5 v. Celtics | Top | 135-102 | Win | 100 | 36 h 4 m | Show |
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This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Cleveland Cavaliers. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that Cleveland is 15-10 ATS in its last 25 when leading in a playoff series, while Boston is just 17-19 ATS this year against good offensive clubs which score 106 plus points per contest. The bottom line: It’s the end of the road for the Celtics. They played unbelievable in Game 3 without Isaiah Thomas in the line-up and while they looked good for the first half of Game 4, his absence would finally catch up to the team in the second half. The CAVALIERS can smell the blood in the water and have the Warriors in their sights. Lay the points with confidence, play on CLEVELAND. AAA Sports |
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| 05-23-17 | Celtics +15 v. Cavs | Top | 99-112 | Win | 100 | 33 h 10 m | Show |
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This is a 10* ASSASSIN on the Boston Celtics. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that Boston is already 5-3 ATS this year off an upset win as an underdog, while Cleveland is just 4-6 ATS this year in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent and only 8-10 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite. The bottom line: We had a play on Boston in Game 5. So can the Celtics pull of another miracle and win Game 4 outright as well? Anything is possible obviously, but we’re not going to be so bold as to predict back-to-back massive upsets. That said, we do think that the now re-energized C’s can keep this one a lot closer than what Vegas is leading us to believe. It was a big wake up call for Cleveland, who we expect to play with an added focus on the defensive end tonight after the Game 5 collapse. In our opinion, this is just too many points to be giving up. Play on BOSTON. AAA Sports |
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| 05-21-17 | Celtics +14.5 v. Cavs | Top | 111-108 | Win | 100 | 34 h 39 m | Show |
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This is a 10* ASSASSIN on the Boston Celtics. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that Boston is 10-5 ATS this year after a loss by ten points or more, while Cleveland is only 3-4 ATS this season after allowing 90 points or less. The bottom line: With Boston’ star Isaiah Thomas now officially sidelined with injury for the rest of the year, will the Cavs finally take the foot off the gas? That’s the big question. And we think the answer is “yes.” There’s no question that Boston would not have won the Eastern Conference in the regular season without Thomas leading the charge, but the one of the main strengths of of the team has been its overall depth. While we are not of course predicting an outright upset, we do definitely feel this is a few too many points to be giving up. Play on BOSTON. AAA Sports |
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| 05-20-17 | Warriors v. Spurs +6.5 | Top | 120-108 | Loss | -105 | 36 h 57 m | Show |
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This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on the San Antonio Spurs. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that Golden State is just 2-4 ATS this year when playing with three or more days rest, while San Antonio is 4-1 ATS in its last five in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent. The bottom line: Clearly this is it for the Spurs, as a 3-0 hole would be just too much to climb out of against the high-powered Warriors. San Antonio gave its best shot in Game 1 and came up short, losing Kawhi Leonard in the process. The Spurs responded in Game 6 of their semi final matchup against the Rockets with a 50 point victory with Leonard sitting, but that same unit was unable to generate much of anything in Game 2. Different set of situational circumstances for each game though. Whether Leonard plays or not tonight, we like SAN ANTONIO to give Golden State everything it can handle tonight. AAA Sports |
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| 05-19-17 | Cavs -5 v. Celtics | Top | 130-86 | Win | 100 | 28 h 43 m | Show |
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This is a 10* BLOWOUT on the Cleveland Cavaliers. We don't normally “flip-flop” back and forth on teams. However, we feel you have to remain flexible with your approach in the playoffs and being able to adjust after a mis-read is what seperates the novice from the pro. We had the C’s in Game 1, but we think that Cleveland builds off its big victory as it looks to take a strangle hold on this series as it heads back home for Game’s 3 and 4. Note that Cleveland is 14-8 ATS in its last 22 when leading in a playoff series (including 3-1 ATS this year) and 15-10 ATS after a win by ten points or more, while Boston is only 8-10 ATS this season after allowing 115 points or more and just 22-27 ATS overall in front of the home town crowd. Isaiah Thomas does not have anyone to help him in this series, as Boston is simply outclassed up and down the lineup. Lay the points and expect a rout, play on the CAVALIERS. AAA Sports |
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| 05-17-17 | Cavs v. Celtics +4 | Top | 117-104 | Loss | -105 | 29 h 56 m | Show |
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This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on the Boston Celtics. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that Cleveland is just 10-13 ATS this year after three or more consecutive SU victories, while Boston is 21-13 ATS this year in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent. The bottom line: The Cavs may have taken three of four in the regular season series, but we are expecting the underdog to come out fighting tonight. Cleveland hasn’t played for ten days and we’re fully expecting “rest” to lead to “rust.” Grab as many points as you can, play on the CELTICS. AAA Sports |
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| 05-16-17 | Spurs v. Warriors -13 | Top | 100-136 | Win | 100 | 35 h 32 m | Show |
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This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on the Golden State Warriors. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that San Antonio is just 1-2 ATS in its last three after allowing 113 points or more, while Golden State is already a perfect 5-1 ATS this season when leading in a playoff series. The bottom line: We know that the Spurs hammered the Rockets in Game 6 of their Western Conference Semi-Final round without Kawhi Leonard in the line-up, but that was then and this is now. The entire situation and dynamic of the series is completely changed. After the way they lost Game 1, we expect the Spurs to come out flat here. And after the near disaster in dropping Game 1, we look for the WARRIORS to push the pace from start to finish. AAA Sports |
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| 05-14-17 | Spurs v. Warriors -10 | Top | 111-113 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 26 m | Show |
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This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on the Golden State Warriors. Many are expecting a complete blowout in Game 1 of this series and you can count us as one of those. The Spurs have looked fantastic at times in the playoffs and really old in others. Tony Parker is out for the remainder of the playoffs and while Kawhi Leonard will return after sitting out the Game 6 victory over Houston, his health is still a minor concern for the already undermanned Spurs. The Warriors are completely rested and 100% healthy. Golden State will be looking to immediately send a message to San Antonito that it has no hope whatsover in this series, so expect the home side to have the foot on the gas from start to finish. Also note that the Spurs are just 5-9 ATS this year when playing with two days rest, while Golden State is 5-1 ATS in its last six following a win by ten points or more. Play on the WARRIORS. AAA Sports |
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| 05-12-17 | Celtics +5 v. Wizards | Top | 91-92 | Win | 100 | 32 h 18 m | Show |
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This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Boston Celtics. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that Boston is 26-18 ATS on the road this year, while Washington is just 1-4 ATS in its last five after a loss by ten points or more. The bottom line: We played the Celtics in Game 5. So far home court advantage has been the difference maker in this series, with each team winning and covering in its own building. But we look for that trend to end tonight. Boston looked refreshed and got significant production from its role players last time out. While we wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can as we expect this one to come down to the wire. Play on the CELTICS. AAA Sports |
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| 05-11-17 | Spurs v. Rockets -6.5 | 114-75 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 44 m | Show | |
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This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Houston Rockets. Neither team has looked like it can compete with the Warriors, but with their backs against the wall, we’re expecting the desperate Rockets to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Note that San Antonio is just 4-8 ATS in its last 12 when leading in a playoff series, while Houston is 20-15 ATS this season in revenging a loss against an opponent. The bottom line: We think that the pressure is on the Spurs, who have not looked great in this series. Houston star James Harden still looks like he has fresh legs, so we’re expecting the home side to put the foot on the gas from start to finish. Looks like we’re heading back to San Antonio for a Game 7, play on the ROCKETS. AAA Sports |
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| 05-10-17 | Wizards v. Celtics -4.5 | Top | 101-123 | Win | 100 | 30 h 26 m | Show |
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This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on the Boston Celtics. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that Washington is just 17-20 ATS as an underdog this year, while Boston is 9-4 ATS following a loss by ten points or more. The bottom line: Boston won the first two games of this series at home and then Washington returned the favor in Game’s 3 and 4 in the nation’s capital. With the series once again shifting to Bean Town, we expect the Celtics to once again find a way to get the job done. Celtics star player Isaiah Thomas looks poised another break out performance after a couple of sub-par performances in Washington. Home floor continues to be the decider in this series, lay the points on the CELTICS. AAA Sports |
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| 05-09-17 | Rockets v. Spurs -5.5 | Top | 107-110 | Loss | -105 | 33 h 57 m | Show |
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This is a 10* BIG TIGER on the San Antonio Spurs. This has been an interesting series so far, with both teams looking good and bad at times. The Rockets come in off a big Game 4 victory at home as this series has now become the best of three. Houston has been one of the higher-scoring teams in the playoffs, but one of the worst on the defensive end. The Spurs have been in the middle of the pack offensively, but one of the best on the defensive end. Pretty much identical to what each did in the regular season as well. One big factor working against the Rockets though is the loss of big man Nene to a torn left adductor. Also note that Houston is just 12-20 ATS this year after a win by ten points or more, while San Antonio is 6-1 ATS in its last seven when tied in a playoff series. Expect Popovich to make the necessary adjustments, play on the SPURS. AAA Sports |
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| 05-07-17 | Spurs v. Rockets -5.5 | 104-125 | Win | 100 | 27 h 31 m | Show | |
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This is an 8* play on the Houston Rockets. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that San Antonio is just 2-3 ATS this year off an upset win as an underdog and only 4-7 ATS in its last 11 when leading in a playoff series, while Houston is 9-3 ATS this season in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent and 11-6 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite. The bottom line: The Spurs are happy with the split. The Rockets are in basically a must-win scenario. All signs do indeed point to HOUSTON as the savvy move in this contest. AAA Sports |
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| 05-07-17 | Celtics +5 v. Wizards | 102-121 | Loss | -115 | 24 h 56 m | Show | |
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This is an 8* play on the Boston Celtics. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that Boston is 9-3 ATS this year after a loss by ten points or more, while Washington is just 22-25 ATS in its last 47 after scoring 115 points or more. The bottom line: Game’s 1 and 2 were much more competitive than Game 3, as Boston seemed to run out of gas. However, with a chance to re-focus, we expect Isaiah Thomas and company to at the very least, take this one down to the wire. Grab the points, play on the CELTICS. AAA Sports |
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| 05-07-17 | Cavs v. Raptors +7 | 109-102 | Push | 0 | 21 h 2 m | Show | |
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This is an 8* play on the Toronto Raptors. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that Cleveland is just 10-13 ATS this year after three or more consecutive SU/ATS victories, while Toronto is 3-1 ATS in its last four after allowing 115 points or more. The bottom line: With or without Lowry, we look for the prideful Raptors to fight tooth and nail today. So far the Cavs have dominated this series, but we think that the desperate home side keeps it competitive down the stretch. Grab the points, play on TORONTO. AAA Sports |
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| 05-06-17 | Warriors -5.5 v. Jazz | Top | 102-91 | Win | 100 | 34 h 27 m | Show |
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This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on the Golden State Warriors. Golden State has won the first two games of this series quite easiy, but it’s come up a single bucket short in each game in actually covering the Las Vegas spread. We think that changes tonight though as we’re expecting the Warriors to play their best game of this entire series as they look to stomp out all remaining hope for the floundering Jazz. Utah owned the No. 1 defense in the league in the regular season, but so far it’s been a disaster against the league’s No. 1 offense. Nothing is going to change because of a venue change in our opinion. Note that the Warriors are now 5-1 ATS in their last six when leading in a playoff series, while Utah is just 3-7 ATS this year after playing three consecutive road games. Play on GOLDEN STATE. AAA Sports |
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| 05-04-17 | Jazz v. Warriors -12.5 | 104-115 | Loss | -105 | 34 h 35 m | Show | |
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This is an 8* play on the Golden State Warriors. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: AAA Sports will have their full analysis for this selection posted shortly. No later than 6 hours before game time. As note that Utah is just 18-20 ATS this year in revenging a loss against an opponent and only 1-6 ATS in its last seven as a road dog of 12.5 points or more, while Golden State is now 6-2 ATS in its last eight when leading in a playoff series. The bottom line: The Warriors were 12.5 point favs in Game 1 and led by 16 with 30 seconds to go, but somehow managed to only win by 12. Suffice it to say, we’re expecting GOLDEN STATE to send a resounding statement tonight as it looks to squash any hopes that Utah could possibly have left. Lay the points. AAA Sports |
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| 05-04-17 | Celtics v. Wizards -5 | 89-116 | Win | 100 | 31 h 1 m | Show | |
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This is an 8* play on the Washignton Wizards. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: We don’t have to question the Wizards’ focus and determination tonight, this is the team’s biggest game of the entire year, bascially a do-or-die. Boston has been playing unbelievably since its Game 2 loss to Chicago in the opening round, but one has to wonder how much the team has left in the tank at this point? That’s six straight big time victories, having to come back from two different double-digit deficits for the win. Game 3 sets up as trap of sorts for the Celtics, who must surely be starting to feel the drain. Also note that Boston is just 7-8 ATS this year after allowing 115 points or more, while Washington is 3-1 ATS in its last four in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent. Play on the WIZARDS. AAA Sports |
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| 05-02-17 | Jazz +13 v. Warriors | 94-106 | Win | 100 | 36 h 15 m | Show | |
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This is an 8* BLOCKBUSTER on the Utah Jazz. We think that if Utah has any real shot at pulling off an unbelievable upset in this series, that it has to win Game 1. While the Jazz are coming off an exhausting seven game series win over the Clippers, we’re expecting Utah to give the Warriors their best shot tonight. Would it be too hard to imagine the Warriors coming out a bit flat footed after their four-game destruction of the Blazers? We had a play on the Cavaliers last night and stated that we thought the extra time off was a huge advantage for the defending champs at this time of year, after they also beat the Pacers in four games as well. We also noted that we thought that for other clubs, extended time off between series can absolutely have a detrimental effect on team chemistry. Obvouisly the Warriors aren’t going to suddenly forget how to play basketball after a couple of extra days off, but we still think the conditions are right for the hungry JAZZ to keep this one a lot closer than what the bookmakers want us to think. Grab the points. AAA Sports |
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| 05-02-17 | Wizards +5.5 v. Celtics | Top | 119-129 | Loss | -113 | 34 h 31 m | Show |
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This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Washington Wizards. We played the Wizards in Game 1 and felt pretty good after the first few minutes, as Washington jumped out to what looked like to be an early insurmountable 22-5 lead. However, things quickly deteriorated after that and Boston would go on to win in a blowout. We are primarily a situationally based handicapping service and we once again feel that this one sets up very well for the Wizards. This has suddenly become the most important game of the year for Washington. Boston has looked awfully good since Game 3 of its opening round series against the Bulls, but this is a spot in which the C’s have constantly struggled in for bettors all season, going just 9-12 ATS after scoring 115 points or more and a horrible 4-15 ATS after three or more consecutive SU victories. And note, this is a position in which the Wizards have excelled in, going 8-6 ATS this year after allowing 115 points or more and 25-16 ATS in revenging a loss against an opponent. We’re expecting this one to come down to the wire, so grab the points. Play on WASHINGTON. AAA Sports |
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| 05-01-17 | Raptors v. Cavs -6.5 | Top | 105-116 | Win | 100 | 33 h 44 m | Show |
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This is a 10* EASTERN-CONFERNECE SIDE OF THE MONTH on the Cleveland Cavaliers. Toronto will once again look to “get over the hump” and upset the Cavaliers in the playoffs this year. So far the Raptors haven’t been able to solve LeBron James and company in the postseason over the last three years and simply put, we don’t see anything changing in this one either (in Game 1 anyways). Toronto needed six games to get past the Bucks, most recently a 92-89 road win in Game 6 on Thursday night. For some teams we’d say that an extended period of time off between series could be a detriment to chemistry, but for the Cavaliers, a club which has played a ridiculous amount of basketball over the last three years, it is without question a huge advantage. The Pacers were not an easy “out” whatsoever, but James was dominant in the four game series sweep (does anyone think that Toronto would have swept Paul George and the Pacers?). Toronto looked poor offensively against the Bucks and strong on the defensive end, but Milwaukee wasn’t the most dynamic offensive club in the league in the regular season, finishing in the bottom third. Cleveland has big men which are well rested with just as much experience as Toronto’s Serge Ibaka, so we aren’t reading anything into that matchup whatsoever. And note that Toronto is just 6-7 ATS this year after allowing 90 points or less, while Cleveland is a perfect 2-0 ATS when playing with three or more days rest. We’re expecting a complete blowout in Game 1, play on the CAVALIERS. AAA Sports |
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| 04-30-17 | Wizards +4.5 v. Celtics | Top | 111-123 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 3 m | Show |
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This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on the Washington Wizards. The Wizards were 3-0 at home in their round 1 victory over Atlanta and just 1-2 on the road. Washington did though get over the hump in Game 6 and crushed the Hawks behind 41 points from John Wall. The Celtics struggled in Game’s 1 and 2 of their series, but then Isaiah Thomas recovered from the death of his sister and Boston would go on to roll in four straight. Both teams come in hot. Thomas is a decent defender, but we think the duo of Wall and Bradley Beal is one that Boston isn’t completely able to matchup against. At the very least, we think the dynamic guard tandem will give the home side everything it can handle tonight. Clearly these teams are very even, but this matchup discrepancy, along with the fact that the Celtics are just 3-15 ATS this year after three or more consecutive straight-up victories, while the Wizards are 8-3 ATS off an upset win as an underdog, make the visiting side the play here. While we wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset, we will in the end recommending grabbing as many points as you can, play on WASHINGTON. AAA Sports |
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| 04-28-17 | Wizards +3 v. Hawks | Top | 115-99 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
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This is a 10* EAST-COAST EXPRESS on the Washington Wizards. The Wizards are up 3-2 and have an opportunity to end this series right here and now. So far home floor has been the difference in the straight-up win/loss category, but after winning the first two against-the-spread, Washington has now gone 0-3 ATS over the last three. Atlanta has put up a hell of a fight to this point, but we think it’s run out of gas. The dynamic duo of John Wall and Bradley Beal have been huge so far in this series and we don’t think the home side will have an answer for either of them tonight as well. Note that the Wizards are 3-1 ATS in their last four when holding their opponent to under 100 points in their previous game, while ATL is just 1-3 ATS in its last four when failing to top the 100-point mark. We think the WIZARDS’ depth proves to be too much for Atlanta to handle in the end, grab the points. AAA Sports |
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| 04-27-17 | Raptors v. Bucks -1.5 | Top | 92-89 | Loss | -103 | 25 h 58 m | Show |
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This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on the Milwaukee Bucks. It’s do-or-die for the Bucks. We’re expecting the home side to find a way to get the job done and push this series to a decisive Game 7 in what should be a dramatic atmosphere North of the border. Toronto’s 118-93 Game 5 victory was its best performance to date, but we’re not ready to say that the team has completely gotten over its inconsistent ways quite yet. The Raptors have been famous “no shows” in these types of situations as note that they’re a horrible 0-4 ATS the last two years when leading in a playoff series. Conversely, this has been a spot in which the Bucks have excelled in all season, going 5-3 ATS after allowing 115 points or more. Milwaukee is still the second ranked playoff defense in allowing only 98 PPG and we think it returns to form this evening. It should be another exciting one, but we look for MILWAUKEE to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover. AAA Sports |
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| 04-26-17 | Bulls +8 v. Celtics | Top | 97-108 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 30 m | Show |
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This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on the Chicago Bulls. This has been an interesting series to watch and handicap. The day before it started, Celtics’ star guard Isaiah Thomas’ sister was tragically killed in a car accident. The Celtics dropped the first two games of the series at home, which then had many questioning whether they had anything left in the tank. Bulls’ guard Rajon Rondo was injured late in Game 2 and didn’t play in the Games’ 3 and 4 losses at home. Thomas was finally able to get over his immediate grief and focus on basketball and the C’s left the Windy City all tied up at two. Rondo may make an appearance in Game 5, but regardless, we think the advantage has now swung back in favor of the Bulls. Chicago’s back is against the wall, as Boston has stolen all the momentum. Also note that the Bulls are 8-4 ATS this season when playing with two days rest, while the Celtics are just 4-10 ATS in the same position. Grab as many points as you can, play on CHICAGO. AAA Sports |
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| 04-25-17 | Grizzlies v. Spurs -9.5 | 103-116 | Win | 100 | 35 h 32 m | Show | |
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This is an 8* play on the San Antonio Spurs. The Spurs smashed the Grizzlies in Games 1 and 2 at home, a favor returned by Memphis on its own floor in Games 3 and 4. We believe that home floor advantage will continue to be a crucial factor in this series and look for this strong pattern to continue here. Also note that Memphis is just 2-12 ATS this year when playing with two days rest, while San Antonio is 3-1 ATS in its last five in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent. We look for San Antonio to be much more productive on both ends of the court tonight and expect the Grizzlies to fade away down the stretch. Play on the SPURS. AAA Sports |
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| 04-25-17 | Thunder +8 v. Rockets | 99-105 | Win | 100 | 34 h 33 m | Show | |
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This is an 8* play on the Oklahoma City Thunder. We think the Rockets come out a bit complacent and expect the Thunder to at the very least, take this one down to the wire and to comfortably sneak in through the backdoor with the large spread they’ve been afforded. OKC had a big lead in Game 4, but would crumble defensively and allow the Rockets to score 40 points in the fourth quarter. There’s no way that Russell Westbrook is going down without a fight tonight though. Also note that OKC is 7-2 ATS this year in revenging a home loss against an opponent, while Houston is just 2-4 ATS this season off an upset win as an underdog. Grab as many points as you can, play on the THUNDER. AAA Sports |
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| 04-22-17 | Spurs -3.5 v. Grizzlies | 108-110 | Loss | -105 | 24 h 0 m | Show | |
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This is an 8* play on the San Antonio Spurs. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that San Antonio is 12-8 ATS this year in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent and 11-7 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite, while Memphis is just 1-3 ATS in its last four after a win by ten points or more. The bottom line: San Antonio dominated Games 1 and 2, but was never able to get going in Game 3. The Grizzlies needed to play a perfect game and they did. There’s no way that happens in consecutive outings. The Spurs are too well coached and too deep to be held down in back-to-back games. We’re expecting Kawhi Leonard to get back on track and for SAN ANTONIO to head home with a commanding 3-1 series lead. AAA Sports |
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| 04-21-17 | Celtics +2 v. Bulls | Top | 104-87 | Win | 100 | 21 h 56 m | Show |
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This is a 10* UNDERDOG OF THE YEAR on the Boston Celtics. We believe that Isaiah Thomas will finally show up in a big way tonight. Boston fought hard all year and earned the No. 1 spot in the East. That was no fluke. The C’s are more than just Thomas, but there’s no question that he’s the engine that drives the machine. Thomas though suffered major heartbreak a day before Game 1 when his sister was tragically killed in a car accident. Thomas has courageously played through the first two games and has been decent, but not dominant. Now that he’s had a few more days to process his grief and get a handle on the situation, we’re expecting a monster game from him tonight. He will be refocused and ready to take out some hatred on someone and that unfortunate someone is the Bulls. Chicago has looked great to this point, but we’re expecting it to come in a tiny bit complacent here. Those first two victories were just too easy. Also note that the Celtics are 8-3 ATS this season after a loss by ten points or more, while Chicago is 10-12 ATS this year off an upset win as an underdog. BOSTON gets right back into this series with a blowout win. AAA Sports |
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| 04-20-17 | Raptors +1.5 v. Bucks | Top | 77-104 | Loss | -109 | 33 h 9 m | Show |
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This is a 10* ASSASSIN is on the Toronto Raptors. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that Toronto is 5-3 in its last eight when tied in a playoff series, while Milwaukee is just 19-22 ATS at home this year. The bottom line: Toronto averages 106.9 PPG and allows 102.6. Milwaukee averages 103.6 PPG and allows 103.8. The Raptors have dominated this series over the last two years and have to be feeling confident here. The Bucks have put up a great fight over the first two games, but we think the visitors’ experience in these types of contests proves to be too much. Play on TORONTO. AAA Sports |
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| 04-19-17 | Thunder +7.5 v. Rockets | 111-115 | Win | 100 | 25 h 27 m | Show | |
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This is an 8* play on the Oklahoma City Thunder. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that the Thunder are already 13-8 ATS this year after a loss by ten points or more, 11-7 ATS after allowing 115 pointsor more and 19-15 ATS in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent, while the Rockets are just 4-6 ATS this season when playing on two days rest and only 12-18 ATS after a victory by ten points or more. The bottom line: Also note that Houston is just 1-2 ATS this season after allowing 90 points or less. It’s do-or-die for Russell Westbrook and OKC and while we wouldn’t be completely shocked by an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can as we look for the hungry visiting side to keep this one competitive until the final moments. Play on the THUNDER. AAA Sports |
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| 04-07-17 | Knicks v. Grizzlies -11 | Top | 88-101 | Win | 100 | 10 h 50 m | Show |
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This is a 10* NON-CONFERENCE SIDE OF THE YEAR on the Memphis Grizzlies. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that New York is a poor 6-8 ATS this year when playing on back-to-back days, while Memphis is 23-16 ATS this season in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent. The bottom line: The Knicks are playing out the tail end of a disastrous season. They have nothing to play for. Derrick Rose is out and Kristaps Porzingis is questionable. Memphis on the other hand comes in desperate here, it’s lost three straight and is trying to maintain its seventh spot in the West, while also gaining some type of momentum heading into the playoffs with a tilt against the Spurs in the first round. The Grizzlies also play with revenge. It’s a perfect set of situational and motivational factors working in favors of MEMPHIS. AAA Sports |
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| 04-06-17 | Celtics v. Hawks +1.5 | Top | 116-123 | Win | 100 | 29 h 58 m | Show |
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This is a 10* BIG TIGER on the Atlanta Hawks. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that Boston is just 6-7 ATS this year off an upset loss as a favorite, while ATL is 15-10 ATS this season when playing the role of underdog. The bottom line: This one sets up beautifully for Atlanta. Boston comes in off a deflating loss at home just last night to the Cavaliers, a setback which drops it into second in the Eastern Conference race. Atlanta on the other hand still has an opportunity to overtake Milwaukee for fifth spot in the East, which if the playoffs started today, would see it facing Washington instead of Toronto. ATL has lost two straight and has a tough home-and-home set with the Cavaliers, starting tomorrow night in Cleveland. That makes tonight’s game an almost “must win” for the Hawks in our opinion. For all of the reasons listed above, play on ATLANTA. AAA Sports |
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| 04-05-17 | Nuggets v. Rockets -8.5 | Top | 104-110 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 50 m | Show |
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This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the Houston Rockets. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that Denver is just 1-3 ATS in its last four when playing on back-to-back days, only 20-22 ATS in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent and just 6-9 ATS off an upset win as an underdog, while Houston is 16-9 ATS this year against poor defensive teams which allow 106 plus points per contest and 18-8 ATS after allowing 115 points or more. The bottom line: Denver comes in off a tiring 134-131 win in New Orleans just last night and we think it’s primed for a predictable letdown here. Conversely, the Rockets got two whole days rest to prepare for the final push of the season and we expect them to make the most of it. Lay the points with confidence, play on HOUSTON. AAA Sports |
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| 04-04-17 | Hornets v. Wizards -6 | Top | 111-118 | Win | 100 | 28 h 22 m | Show |
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This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Washington Wizards. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that Charlotte is just 1-2 ATS in its last three after three or more consecutive SU/ATS victories, while Washington is 2-1 ATS in its last three after three or more consecutive SU/ATS losses. The bottom line: Not only will Washington be desperate to break the string of futility, but it also plays with revenge here after fallling 98-93 to Charlotte on March 18th. The Hornets have been playing better, but we think they finally have a letdown as they still sit behind Indiana right now in tenth in the East with just three more games to go. All signs point to a blowout for the WIZARDS, lay the points. AAA Sports |
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| 04-02-17 | Hornets v. Thunder -5.5 | Top | 113-101 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 30 m | Show |
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This is a 10* ASSASSIN on the Oklahoma City Thunder. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that Charlotte is just 12-14 ATS this year following a non-conference game and only 9-15 ATS this year against weak defensive clubs which allow 106 plus points per contest, while OKC is 25-12 ATS at home, 16-11 ATS in non-conference games and 17-12 ATS in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent. The bottom line: Charlotte won for the sixth time in eight games in a 122-114 win over Denver at home on Friday, while OKC looks to bounce back after a 100-95 home defeat to the Spurs later that same night (after it had won seven of its previous nine). The Hornets are running out of time and we think the pressure results in a letdown here. Note that Charlotte averages 105.4 PPG and allows 104.5. The Thunder average 106.9 PPG and allow 106. OKC star Russell Westbrook is on a mission right now, needing only three more triple doubles to surpass Oscar Robertson for the most all time in that department. We’re expecting Westbrook to push the pace of this one and look for the home side to comfortably pull away down the stretch for the ATS cover. Play on the THUNDER. AAA Sports |
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| 03-29-17 | Pacers v. Grizzlies -5 | Top | 97-110 | Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show |
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This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Memphis Grizzlies. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that Indiana is just 1-3 in its last four non-conference games, while Memphis is 7-2 ATS this year after playing three consecutive road games and 20-14 ATS in revenging a loss against an opponent. The bottom line: With a game in Minnesota on Tuesday night, expect the Pacers to come into this one with “heavy legs.” This is a revenge game for the Grizzlies after falling 102-92 in the first meeting earlier in the year. Memphis is out to atone for a 91-90 road loss to Sacramento on Monday. The Grizzlies have in fact lost four straight, so it’s going to be “all hands on deck” tonight as the team desperately tries to break the slide. Indiana averages only 91 points per game over its last seven on the road and is 0-5 ATS its last five away from friendly confines. Despite the losing streak, MEMPHIS has still allowed 97 points or fewer in six of its last seven. Play on the GRIZZLIES. AAA Sports |
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| 03-28-17 | Wolves +5 v. Pacers | Top | 115-114 | Win | 100 | 25 h 45 m | Show |
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This is a 10* COAST-TO-COAST EXPRESS on the Minnesota Timberwolves. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that Minnesota is already 8-5 ATS this year after three or more consecutive losses, while Indiana is just 7-11 ATS after a win by ten points or more and 15-23 ATS against a team with a losing record. The bottom line: After six straight losses, it’s do-or-die time for the Wolves. Note that this is a revenge game as well for Minnesota after falling 109-103 to Indiana at home on January 26th. Minnesota ranks in the middle of the pack on both the offensive and defensive end. So too does Indiana. The Pacers start a tough road trip tomorrow night in Memphis, followed by games at Toronto and Cleveland, before another game at home against the Raptors. There’s no question that this also sets up as a “trap” for the home side as it gets caught “looking ahead” to the upcoming grind. Are the T-Wolves going to win all of their remaining games and make the playoffs? Nope. But we’re expecting this young team to come out and play with some heart tonight as it looks to get off the schneid and end the losing streak. While we obviously wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can, play on the WOLVES. AAA Sports |
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| 03-27-17 | Thunder v. Mavs +1.5 | Top | 92-91 | Win | 100 | 13 h 21 m | Show |
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This is a 10* SUPER-BLOWOUT on the Dallas Mavericks. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that OKC is in fact just 1-4 ATS this year against poor offensive teams which average 98 plus points per contest, while Dallas is 3-1 ATS in its last four at home and 3-1 ATS in its last four against clubs with winning records. The bottom line: OKC comes in off an exhausting 137-125 loss in Houston just last night. Dallas enters off a 94-86 home loss to Toronto on Saturday. These teams have split a pair of games this year, each winning on its own court. OKC ranks tenth overall in scoring, but in the bottom third defensively. The Mavs have played a lot better over the last two months, but still own the league’s worst offense. Dallas makes up for it though on the defensive end with the third ranked defense. But this play is based mainly on the situation, as OKC comes to town dead tired. Look for the hungry MAVERICKS to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. AAA Sports |
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| 03-23-17 | Suns +3.5 v. Nets | 98-126 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 34 m | Show | |
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This is an 8* NON-CONFERENCE ASSASSIN on the Phoenix Suns. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that Phoenix is 17-9 ATS in non-conference games this year, 16-9 ATS after a loss of ten points or more and 12-9 ATS in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent, while Brooklyn is just 11-17 ATS in non-conference contests and only 5-12 ATS against poor defensive teams which allow 106 plus points per contest. The bottom line: Phoenix was never going to make the playoffs and comes in having lost five straight. The Nets had dropped five of seven before beating Detroit at home on Tuesday. We think the home side has a predictable letdown here after the rare victory. This is a revenge game for the Suns after they lost 122-104 to Brooklyn at home on November 12th. We think the Suns are the “hungrier” of these two bottom feeders tonight and while we obviously wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can, play on PHOENIX. AAA Sports |
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| 03-21-17 | Bucks +4 v. Blazers | Top | 93-90 | Win | 100 | 12 h 8 m | Show |
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This is a 10* NON-CONFERENCE SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Milwaukee Bucks. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that Milwaukee is 4-2 ATS this year after playing three consecutive road games and 2-1 ATS in its last three after allowing 115 points or more, while Portland is just 4-5 ATS this season off an upset win as an underdog and only 1-4 ATS after three or more consecutive SU victories. The bottom line: These are two evenly matched teams battling for a playoff spot in their respective conferences, but we think the situation favors the visitors. Milwaukee is coming off a blowout loss in Golden State, but still comes in having won eight of its last ten. This sets up as a classic letdown spot for Portland, which won four of its final five on the road, only to now return home for the first time in two weeks. We’re banking on the just as hungry visitors to at the very least, keep this one competitive until the final moments. Grab the points, play on MILWAUKEE. AAA Sports |
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| 03-17-17 | Wolves +4.5 v. Heat | 105-123 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 56 m | Show | |
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This is an 8* NON-CONFERENCE ASSASSIN on the Minnesota Timberwolves. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that the Wolves are already 12-8 ATS this year in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent and 12-5 ATS after allowign 115 points or more, while Miami is interestingly just 3-4 ATS against the Northwest division this year. The bottom line: Minnesota comes in hungry after a 117-104 setback at Boston on Wednesday. The Heat continued their hot run with a 120-112 home win over the Pelicans on Wednesday. The Wolves average 104.9 PPG and allow 104.9. The Heat average 102.6 PPG and allow 101.8. The Wolves aren’t going to be rolling over today, this one means just as much to them as it does to the Heat. The revenge factor is working in our favor, we’re expecting a back and forth battle which is decided in the closing momemts. Grab the points, play on MINNESOTA. AAA Sports |
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| 03-16-17 | Jazz v. Cavs -7 | Top | 83-91 | Win | 100 | 12 h 21 m | Show |
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This is a 10* NON-CONF SUPER-BLOWOUT on the Cleveland Cavaliers. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that Utah is just 12-17 ATS this year against teams with winning records and only 11-15 ATS against good offensive teams which average 106 PPG, while Cleveland is 12-8 ATS this year after a win by ten points or more and 15-12 ATS this season against teams with winning records. The bottom line: No need to overthink this one, not only do the CAVALIERS play with revenge, but Utah comes in having played in Detroit just last night. We’re expecting a rout from start to finish, lay the points. AAA Sports |
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| 03-14-17 | 76ers v. Warriors -16.5 | Top | 104-106 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 37 m | Show |
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This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the Golden State Warriors. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. The bottom line: The Warriors enter this one having lost three straight. Philadelphia enters off a hugely satisfying 118-116 road win over LA in its latest action. We’re expecting the struggling Warriors to put on a clinic today as they look to get off the schneid with a resounding victory. At the same time, this does definitely also set up as a classic letdown spot for Philadelphia, which has little to play for other than pride at this point. This has also been an arena in which the 76ers have struggled in for a while now, going just 4-11 ATS in their last 15 at Golden State. Conversely, this is a spot in which the Warriors have excelled in for bettors, going 4-1-1 ATS in their last six against a team with a losing road record. Over their last ten game the 76ers have allowed an average of a whopping 116 points. We’re laying the points with confidence, play on GOLDEN STATE. AAA Sports |
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| 03-13-17 | Bucks v. Grizzlies -4 | Top | 93-113 | Win | 100 | 25 h 12 m | Show |
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This is a 10* SIDE OF THE WEEK on the Memphis Grizzlies. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that Milwaukee is just 8-9 ATS in its last 17 after playing three consecutive home games and only 6-14 ATS after three or more consecutive SU victories (also just 11-18 ATS on the road), while Memphis is 18-12 ATS this seaosn in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent. The bottom line: Milwaukee averages 105.1 PPG and allows 104.3. Memphis averages 101.2 points and allows just 100.8. This is the start of a tough Western road swing for the Bucks, with games against the Clippers and Warriors next week. It’s obviously not too hard to imagine the visitors getting caught looking ahead to this rough part of their schedule and they could also be caught flat-footed with complacency off six-straight victories. The Grizzlies on the other hand have lost five straight and will be risking life and limb today in trying to get off the scheid. Lay the points, play on MEMPHIS. AAA Sports |
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| 03-13-17 | Wizards v. Wolves -1 | Top | 104-119 | Win | 100 | 25 h 59 m | Show |
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This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on the Minnesota Timberwolves. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based on a few different factors: As note that Washington is just 7-9 ATS so far in the second half of the season and only 1-2 ATS in its last three on the road, while Minnesota is 4-1 ATS this month overall and 17-9 ATS this season against good offensive teams which score 106 points per game. The bottom line: Not only do we think this one sets up great for the Wolves from a trend based stand point, but we also think the situation favors them as well. Washington has won five straight, including four straight on the road and two straight in overtime. This is the final game of the trip and all signs point to a classic letdown here. Minnesota is playing its best ball of the year, having won six of its last ten, but it comes in off a tough 102-95 loss in Milwaukee. All signs point to a comfortable cover for MINNESOTA. AAA Sports |
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| 03-09-17 | Lakers +7 v. Suns | 122-110 | Win | 100 | 29 h 22 m | Show | |
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This is an 8* play on the LA Lakers. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that LA is 3-1 ATS in its last four against good offensive teams which score 106-plus points per contest, while Phoenix is just 7-9 ATS this season after scoring 115 points or more. The bottom line: The Suns have covered the spread in four straight, but after a three game win streak, they’d fall short for the straight up victory in their 131-127 setback to Washington last time out. We think this sets up as a natural letdown spot after that near miss. LA is in full rebuilding mode, but has four players which average double figures. The LAKERS won’t be rolling over, grab as many points as you can. AAA Sports |
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| 03-09-17 | Clippers v. Grizzlies -2.5 | 114-98 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 47 m | Show | |
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This is an 8* play on the Memphis Grizzlies. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that LA is just 16-17 ATS on the road this year and just 1-2 ATS in its last three as an underdog, while Memphis is 17-10 ATS in revenging a loss against an opponent and 3-1 ATS after a loss by ten points or more. The bottom line: We think the Clippers are poised for a letdown and we’re expecting the Grizzlies to risk life and limb here after a third straight loss, this time at home to the league worst Brooklyn Nets 122-109 on Monday. LA has a game in Minnesota on Wednesday night and we think will have a tough time against this revenge-minded and desperate home side. Play on the GRIZZLIES. AAA Sports |
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| 03-09-17 | Cavs -4.5 v. Pistons | 101-106 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 17 m | Show | |
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This is an 8* play on the Cleveland Cavaliers. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and some great situational factors: As note that Cleveland is already 8-4 ATS this year when playing with two days rest, while Detroit is just 4-7 ATS against divisional opponents. The bottom line: This is a great “situational” play in our opinion. The defending champs have lost four of their last six, including two straight. They also play with revenge here after falling to Detroit 106-90 on Boxing Day. Detroit plays in Indiana on Wednesday and clearly the second game of the back-to-back is going to be tough at this time of year, despite it taking place on its own floor. The trends and the situation favor the visitors, play on CLEVELAND. AAA Sports |
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| 03-04-17 | Hornets +5 v. Nuggets | Top | 112-102 | Win | 100 | 27 h 11 m | Show |
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This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Charlotte Hornets. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and scheduling factors: As note that Charlotte is already 5-2 ATS this year against the Northwest division and 2-1 ATS after allowing 115 points or more, while Denver is just 4-5 ATS this year when playing with two days rest and only 3-7 ATS off an upset win as an underdog. The bottom line: We think this one also sets up great from a “situational” stand point. This is the finale of a tough seven-game road trip for the Hornets, one which has seen them go just 2-4. Clearly they’d love nothing more than to get off the schneid and finish strong. Denver on the other hand looks poised for a letdown, it’s a classic spot bet as the team returns to the comforts of home after two big road victories over Chicago and Milwaukee. All signs point to a letdown here for the home side, play on CHARLOTTE. AAA Sports |
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| 03-02-17 | Thunder v. Blazers -1.5 | Top | 109-114 | Win | 100 | 32 h 33 m | Show |
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This is a 10* WEST-COAST EXPRESS on the Portland Trailblazers. We think the Thunder are poised for a letdown here after winning four straight, most recently a 109-106 win over Utah on Tuesday. Russell Westbrook finished with his 30th triple-double of the season with 43 points, 11 boards and ten assists. Note that it was the third straight game that the Thunder would play without guard Victor Oladipo, who is dealing with a back injury. Portland will be especially motivated after a 1-3 road trip. The Blazers though are still just 2.5 games out of the final playoff sot. Keep your eyes on Damian Lillard, he’s tied for 13th in the NBA with 41 games of 20-plus points this season. Note though that from an ATS trend stand point, they don’t get much stronger than this as the Thunder are just 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games against teams with a winning home record, while the Blazers are 4-1 ATS in thier last five home games following a road trip of seven or more days. PORTLAND has won five straight at home over OKC and we expect that strong trend to continue here. AAA Sports |
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| 02-28-17 | Warriors v. Wizards +6.5 | 108-112 | Win | 100 | 25 h 27 m | Show | |
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This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Washington Wizards. REASONING: The Warriors beat the 76ers in Philadelphia just last night, unable to secure the ATS victory for bettors. We think the team will also struggle to cover this evening and do in fact feel that the home side has a legitimate shot at taking this one outright. Clearly the Warriors are the better overall team. But by 6.5 to 7 points on the road in the second game of a back to back better? We don’t think so. Golden State is the league’s No. 1 offense with an average of 118.2 PPG. It ranks 13th in scoring defense at 105.4 PPG. Washington averages 107.9 PPG and allows 105.5. Note though that Golden State is just 4-7 ATS this year when playing the second game of the back to back, while Washington is 6-4 ATS this year after a loss by ten points or more. Grab the points, play on the WIZARDS. AAA Sports |
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| 02-26-17 | Spurs v. Lakers +10 | Top | 119-98 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 37 m | Show |
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This is a 10* SUPER SHOCKER on the LA Lakers. The Spurs came out of the All Star Break and held on for a 105-97 win over the Clippers on Friday. LA though will be eager to get off the schneid today and break a three-game losing slide. We think that this sets up as a “trap” for the Spurs, who are wrapping up an exhausting eight-game road trip with the annual rodeo having taken over San Antonio’s AT&T Center this month. The Lakers will be especially motivated though as they’ve lost by a combined 53 points over their last two games. Clearly the Spurs are a great team, while the Lakers are one of the worst in the league. We’re not here to try and convince you otherwise, we simply feel that the overall “situation” favors the home side. And note that San Antonio is in fact just 4-5 ATS this year after playing three or more consecutive road games, while LA is 23-19 ATS this season in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent. Grab as many points as you can, play on the LAKERS. AAA Sports |
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| 02-25-17 | Hornets -2 v. Kings | Top | 99-85 | Win | 100 | 25 h 33 m | Show |
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This is a 10* REVENGE GAME OF THE YEAR on the Charlotte Hornets. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based on a couple of different factors, “revenge” being the most important: These teams played on January 28th and the Kings somehow managed a 109-106 road victory. So the “revenge” factor definitely comes into play here. Charlotte is also going to be desperate tonight as it looks to break a string of five straight losses, most recently a 114-108 OT heartbreaker in Detroit in its first game back from the break, a game which it led for almost the entire way in regulation. The Hornets are simply the “better” team anyways, averaging 104.5 PPG and allowing 104.4. Compare that to the Kings who average 103.2 PPG and allow 105.6. Also note that Charlotte is 6-3 ATS in its last nine in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent, while Sacramento is already just 1-5 ATS after a win by ten points or more this year and only 2-7 ATS after scoring 115 points or more. The Kings played great without DeMarcus Cousins in their first game without the big man in the line-up, but all signs point to immediate regression in the second game. Play on the HORNETS. AAA Sports |
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| 02-13-17 | 76ers v. Hornets -8.5 | 105-99 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 38 m | Show | |
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This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Charlotte Hornets (7:05 EST). REASONING: We think Philly is poised for a letdown here after winning its second straight, most recently a 117-109 victory at home over the Heat on Saturday. The Hornets on the other hand come in desperate, they lost for a ninth time in ten games with a 107-102 home loss to the Clippers on Saturday. They’ve split a pair of games this year, but Charlotte does play with revenge after dropping the most recent 102-93 in Philadelphia back on January 13th. Note that despite the recent uptick in play, the 76ers still rank just 26th overall on the offensive end in averaging 101 PPG. Philadelphia is also terrible on the defensive end, allowing 106.8 PPG. The Hornets average 104.9 PPG and allow 104.5. Note though that Philadelphia is just 8-11 ATS this year after scoring 105 points or more, while Charlotte is 2-1 ATS in its last three at home. Desperation breeds motivation. All signs point to the vistors coming into this one complacent and the hungry home side taking advantage. Lay the points, play on the HORNETS. AAA Sports |
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| 02-12-17 | Spurs v. Knicks +8 | Top | 90-94 | Win | 100 | 21 h 18 m | Show |
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This is a 10* ASSASSIN on the New York Knicks. REASONING: The Spurs are great and the Knicks are terrible. This is a great situational play though as New York has several factors working in its favor and while we won’t be so bold as to predict an outright upset, we do think that the hungry home side can at the very least, keep this one competitive until the final moments. San Antonio won its second straight on the road in Friday’s 103-92 victory in Detroit, while New York lost its fourth straight and sixth in its last seven with a 131-123 setback at home to the Nuggets on Friday. Not surprisingly, this one sets up as a revenge game for the Knicks, who lost the only matchup last year, 100-99. With a game tomorrow night in Indiana though, the stage is now finally set for the Spurs to have a small mental lapse as they get caught “looking ahead” to that one. Note that San Antonio is just 2-3 ATS this year after playing three consecutive road games, while New York is 20-13 ATS after allowing 105 points or more, 5-2 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite and 16-11 ATS against teams with winning records. Grab the points, play on the KNICKS. AAA Sports |
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| 02-10-17 | Heat v. Nets +6.5 | Top | 108-99 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 18 m | Show |
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This is a 10* ASSASSIN on the Brooklyn Nets. REASONING: Miami continues to roll along, having won 12 in a row. The Heat have gone 11-0-1 ATS in that span. But with a game tomorrow night in Philadelphia, followed by another “cream puff” at home against Orlando, we think the Heat finally come in a bit complacent. Clearly the Nets are a horrible team, they’re just 9-44. Brooklyn is the worst defensive club in the league in allowing 114 PPG. The Nets are decent offensively though, averaging right around 105 PPG. And note, despite the recent surge, the Heat are still ranked just 25th in the league in scoring at 100.8 PPG. Granted, Miami’s defense is pretty good (ranked 6th overall in allowing 101.9 per game), but as mentioned off the top, we feel this sets up as a letdown/look-ahead spot for the visitors. And note, the Heat are interestingly just 4-5 ATS against the Atlantic division this year, while the Nets are 3-1 ATS in their last four against the Southeast. Miami may manage a victory here, but we think the hungry home side takes it down to the wire. Grab the points, play on the NETS. AAA Sports |
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| 02-06-17 | Heat v. Wolves -1 | Top | 115-113 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 19 m | Show |
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This is a 10* ASSASSIN on the Minnesota Timberwolves. REASONING: We primarily base our picks on “situations.” After ten straight victories, including five straight at home, we think the Miami Heat finally come out flat in the opener of their extended road trip. The Wolves though have lost three straight and will be risking life and limb today in trying to secure a victory. Despite the recent win streak, Miami still comes in averaging just 100.4 PPG (while allowing 101.9). The Wolves average 104 PPG (and allow 105.4). Note though that Miami ist just 1-2 ATS in it last three after playing three consecutive home games, while Minnesota is already a near-perfect 7-1 ATS this year after three or more consecutive losses. After losing Zach LaVine to injury, the Wolves are going to be even more motivated today as they look to rally and stop the slide. Play on MINNESOTA. AAA Sports |
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| 02-03-17 | Pacers v. Nets +7 | Top | 106-97 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 54 m | Show |
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This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Brooklyn Nets. REASONING: As primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we think this one sets up beautifully for the lowly Nets. Indiana has won four straight, most recently downing the Magic 98-88 on the road on Wednesday. The Nets come in off seven straight losses after falling 95-90 at home to the Knicks on Wednesday. It’s no big surprise that this sets up as a revenge game for Brooklyn, as Indiana has already taken two of three this year, including a 121-109 home win in the most recent back on January 5th. With a game tomorrow night against Detroit, followed by OKC and Cavaliers, it’s obviously not too hard to imagine the Pacers looking past bottom feeder Brooklyn. Note that Indiana is just 8-15 ATS on the road this year and only 10-16 ATS against teams with losing records, while Brooklyn is 2-1 ATS in its last three against clubs with winning records. Clearly Indiana is the better team, but the NETS and the points is the correct call tonight. AAA Sports |
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| 01-31-17 | Nuggets v. Lakers +3.5 | Top | 116-120 | Win | 100 | 29 h 43 m | Show |
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This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the LA Lakers. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Denver is already 0-2 ATS this year after three or more consecutive SU wins and just 2-4 ATS off an upset win as an underdog,w hile LA is 10-7 ATS this season in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent. The bottom line: Looks like Denver’s big run comes to an end tonight, we think these strong ATS trends carry over. Play on LA. AAA Sports |
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| 01-28-17 | Kings v. Hornets -7 | Top | 109-106 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 39 m | Show |
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This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the Charlotte Hornets. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: Note that Sacramento is already just 5-10 ATS this year after scoring 105 points or more and just 4-5 ATS when playing on back-to-back days, while Charlotte is 10-7 ATS in its last 17 non-conference games and 2-1 ATS in its last three after scoring 105 points or more. The bottom line: The Kings came up just short last night and I think will once again struggle in the finale of their road-trip. Charlotte came up just short in New York last night and will be the hungrier side. Play on the HORNETS. AAA Sports |
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| 01-27-17 | Spurs v. Pelicans +6 | Top | 103-119 | Win | 100 | 9 h 23 m | Show |
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This is a 10* EXPRESS on the New Orleans Pelicans. REASONING: We look at “situations” and scheduling a lot when making our selections and we think this one sets up really well for the home side today. San Antonio is poised for a letdown here in our opinion, it’s won five straight, including three straight on the road over the Cavaliers, the Nets and the Raptors. This is the final game of the Spurs five-game trip, before an extended home stand. Also note though that New Orleans plays with revenge today as well after a 113-100 loss back on December 18th. The Pelicans still have a shot at grabbing the eighth seed in the West and a win today would be huge after splitting their last five games. We think NEW ORLEANS keeps this one competitive until the final moments, grab the points. AAA Sports |
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| 01-23-17 | Rockets v. Bucks +4.5 | 114-127 | Win | 100 | 26 h 27 m | Show | |
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This is an 8* EXPRESS on the Milwaukee Bucks. REASONING: Both teams come in struggling. The Rockets had lost four of six before beating Memphis 119-95 on the road on Saturday. Milwaukee though is going to the more motivated side tonight in our opinion as the team looks to snap a five game slide, most recently a 109-97 setback to the Heat on Saturday. Note that this is a revenge game for Milwaukee as well after it fell 111-92 in Houston back on January 18th. From a situational stand point, this one definitely sets up nice for Milwaukee, but it’s also great from a trend based stand point, as note that the Rockets are just 1-3 ATS this year off an upset win as an underdog and only 7-10 ATS after a win by ten points or more, while Milwaukee is 12-6 ATS in its last 18 after playing three consecutive road games and 8-4 ATS in all non-conference contests this season. Grab as many points as you can, play on the BUCKS. AAA Sports |
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| 01-23-17 | Spurs v. Nets +12 | Top | 112-86 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 59 m | Show |
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This is a 10* NON-CONFERENCE SIDE OF THE WEEK on the Brooklyn Nets. REASONING: As primarily a situationally based handicapping service, these are exactly the types of contests which we are constantly on the look out for. Off an epic 118-115 OT win in Cleveland against the defending champs, the Spurs now have to “get up” for a game against lowly Brooklyn, before then travelling to Toronto for a game tomorrow night against the No. 2 team in the Eastern Conference. The Nets have been all over the map as far as their game-to-game consistency is concerned, blowing out New Orleans 143-114 on the road, before then falling 112-105 at Charlotte after that. Brooklyn though does play with revenge after a blowout loss to San Antonio in December. Note that the Spurs are just 1-3 ATS in their last four after three or more consecutive SU victories, while Brooklyn is 2-1 ATS in its last three in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent. Grab as many points as you can, play on the NETS. AAA Sports |
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| 01-22-17 | Lakers +5.5 v. Mavs | 73-122 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 59 m | Show | |
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This is an 8* BEATDOWN on the LA Lakers. REASONING: The Lakers broke a five-game skid with a convincing 108-96 win over the Pacers on Friday night. We had LA in that one. The Mavs enter off two straight losses, most recently a deflating 112-107 setback in OT at home to the Jazz on Friday. To say this is a revenge game would be a big understatement as Dallas has taken 12 straight in the series, including a 101-89 victory on the road back on December 29th. LA shot 47.1 percent from the floor in the win over Indiana. Note the Lakers are ranked 17th in scoring at 104.7 PPPG. LA though allows 110.2 per night. Dallas’ offense though is atrocious in averaging a league worst 96 PPG. The Mavs are also last in rebounding. Note though that Dallas is pretty good defensively in allowing 100.7 PPG. We’re expecting LA to build off its last performance and while we wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset, we definitely feel there are enough factors working in favor of the visitors to pull the trigger. Play on the LAKERS. AAA Sports |
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| 01-21-17 | Blazers v. Celtics -7.5 | Top | 127-123 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 3 m | Show |
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This is a 10* ATS BLOOD-BATH on the Boston Celtics. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: Portland played and lost in Philadelphia just last night. We had the Blazers in that one and while we don’t normally “flip-flop” on a team, we also realize that each contest must be looked at individually. This has just been a bad spot for Portland this year, as it’s only 3-6 ATS when playing on back-to-back days and a horrible 6-10 ATS in all non-conference contests. Conversely, this is a spot in which the C’s have excelled, going 19-11 ATS this season as the favorite, 2-1 ATS after a loss by ten points or more and 14-6 ATS after allowing 105 points or more. The bottom line: With two whole days off to refocus, we’re expecting the home to take full advantage of this opportunity. Lay the points, play on BOSTON. AAA Sports |
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| 01-20-17 | Pacers v. Lakers +3 | 96-108 | Win | 100 | 31 h 36 m | Show | |
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This is an 8* play on the LA Lakers. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Indiana is just 1-5 ATS this year off an upset win as an underdog and only 7-9 ATS in non-conference games, while LA is 10-8 ATS in non-conference games and 3-1 ATS in its last four in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent. The bottom line: With a much tougher game in Utah tomorrow night, it’s not too hard to imagine the Pacers getting caught looking past the lowly Lakers today. Play on LA. AAA Sports |
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| 01-20-17 | Nets +10 v. Pelicans | 143-114 | Win | 100 | 10 h 46 m | Show | |
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This is an 8* play on the Brooklyn Nets. REASONING: Brooklyn will be desperate to get off the schneid after losing its 11th straight, most recently a 119-109 home loss to Toronto on Tuesday. New Orleans most recently snapped a two-game slide with a 118-98 victory over Orlando on Wednesday. To say this is a “revenge” game would be an understatement, as New Orleans has taken the last six straight in the series, including a 104-95 road win in the first matchup this year back on January 12th. The Nets have no issues scoring, averaging 105.3 PPG, but are the worst on the defensive end in conceding 115 PPG. Brooklyn catches a break though as New Orleans averages just 102.6 PPG, ranked 22nd overall. The Pelicans aren’t overly special defensively either in allowing 104.8 PPG. Note that Brooklyn is 3-1 ATS in its last four against clubs with losing records, while New Orleans is just 1-3 ATS in its last four in the same position. With two whole nights off before a home game against the defending champions, it’s not too hard to imagine the Pelicans getting caught looking ahead. Grab the points, play on BROOKLYN. AAA Sports |
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| 01-20-17 | Blazers v. 76ers | 92-93 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 7 m | Show | |
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This is an 8* plays on the Portland Trailblazers. REASONING: Desperation breeds motivation. The Trailblazers come in having lost three straight, most recently a 107-85 setback at Charlotte on Wednesday. Philadelphia enters on the other end of the spectrum, having won five of its last six after upsetting the Raptors 94-89 on Wednesday. Portland averages 107.4 PPG, but allows 110.6. Despite the recent turnaround in play of late, note that Philadelphia still averages just 99.3 PPG, while conceding 104.9. From a trend based stand point, they simply don’t get much better than this as Portland is 5-2 ATS this year after three or more consecutive losses, while Philadelphia is just 3-5 ATS after a dvisional contest. We think the hungrier team finds a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Play on the BLAZERS. AAA Sports |
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| 01-17-17 | Rockets v. Heat +8 | 103-109 | Win | 100 | 26 h 26 m | Show | |
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This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Miami Heat. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Houston is just 7-8 ATS this year after a win by ten points or more and just 4-5 ATS in its last nine as a road fav in the 6.5 to nine points range, while Miami is already 11-9 ATS in non-conference contests this season and 8-5 ATS after three or more consecutive SU losses. The bottom line: With a home game against the Bucks tomorrow night and a date against the red hot Warriors on Friday, it’s not too hard to imagine the visitors getting caught “looking ahead” to those ones and past the lowly Heat. Grab the points, play on MIAMI. AAA Sports |
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| 01-16-17 | Jazz v. Suns +5.5 | 106-101 | Win | 100 | 24 h 40 m | Show | |
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This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Phoenix Suns. REASONING: We think this sets up as a bit of a trap for the Jazz, who come to Talking Stick Resort Arena on a four-game win streak. Conversely, the Suns will be looking to continue to build momentum after they halted a two-game skid by upsetting the Spurs in Mexico City on Saturday. From a trend based stand point though, they simply don’t set up much better for the underdog home side, as Utah is 0-4 ATS in its last four on the road and interestingly 0-6 ATS against the Western conference, while Phoenix is 5-1 ATS in its last six at home and 4-1 ATS in its last five against teams with winning records. With three whole nights off before a game at lowly Dallas on the weekend, it’s not too hard to imagine the visitors getting caught looking past their cellar dweller opponent tonight. Grab the the points, play on the SUNS. AAA Sports |
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| 01-14-17 | Lakers +10.5 v. Clippers | 97-113 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 43 m | Show | |
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This is an 8* THROWDOWN on the LA Lakers. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that the Lakers are 10-6 ATS in their last 16 following a loss by ten points or more, while the Clippers are just 5-8 ATS after a non-conference game and just 5-7 ATS this season after three or more consecutive SU wins. The bottom line: With Oklahoma City on deck on Monday, it’s not too hard to imagine the Clippers getting caught “looking ahead” to that one. Grab the points, play on the LAKERS. AAA Sports |
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| 01-13-17 | Hornets -4.5 v. 76ers | Top | 93-102 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 38 m | Show |
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This is a 10* EXPRESS on the Charlotte Hornets. REASONING: The Hornets are going to be the much “hungrier” team today as they’ve lost three straight and five of their last six, most recently a 121-114 road defeat to Houston on Tuesday. Conversely, this sets up as a letdown spot for suddenly over-acheiving Philadelphia, which has won two straight and four of its last five. From a motivational stand point, this one sets up fantastically for Charlotte. From a trend based stand point, it becomes an even stronger play on the Hornets, as they’re 6-2 ATS in their last eight after allowing 100 points or more and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games against teams with a losing home record, while Philadelphia is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven at home and only 2-5 ATS in its last seven home games against teams with a losing road record. As primiarly a situationally based handicapping service, these are exactly the types of scenarios that we’re always on the look out for, play on CHARLOTTE. AAA Sports |
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| 01-11-17 | Magic +9.5 v. Clippers | 96-105 | Win | 100 | 13 h 26 m | Show | |
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This is an 8* EXPRESS on the Orlando Magic. REASONING: Orlando was competitive in a 100-93 setback at Houston to open their Western road swing, but then came out flat in a 111-95 setback to the Lakers on Sunday. The Magic benefit in not having to change hotels for this road game as they get ready to face the Clippers, who we think could be caught a little complacent here after winning four straight. Note that LA will once again be without the services of Blake Griffin. LA gets caught looking ahead to a couple nights off after this one, while it’s going to be all hands on deck for the visiting side as it tries to bounce back after the poor performance against the lowly Lakers. Note that Orlando is already 4-2 ATS this year after three or more consecutive losses and 4-3 ATS in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent, while LA is just 4-9 ATS in non-conference games this season and only 11-12 ATS against clubs with losing records. While we’ll stop short in predicting an outright upset, all signs point to a much tighter affair than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe. Play on the MAGIC. AAA Sports |
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| 01-08-17 | 76ers v. Nets -2.5 | 105-95 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 50 m | Show | |
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This is an 8* EAST-COAST EXPRESS on the Brooklyn Nets. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS trends and the “revenge factor.” Not only does Brooklyn play with revenge after falling 108-107 to Philadelphia back on December 18th, but note that the 76ers are 0-4 ATS this year following a divisional contest and just 4-6 ATS after scoring 105 points or more. And note that the Nets are 10-7 ATS at home this year 7-5 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record. The bottom line: Looks like a great spot for the NETS to score a solid win at home, lay the points. AAA Sports |
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| 01-03-17 | Grizzlies v. Lakers +3 | Top | 102-116 | Win | 100 | 13 h 48 m | Show |
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This is a 10* play on the LA Lakers. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Memphis is 0-3 ATS this year when playing with two days rest and just 4-7 ATS in its last 11 after scoring 105 points or more, while LA is 12-8 ATS in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent. The bottom line: We think the surging Grizz finally have a letdown here and the “hungrier” team finds a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Play on the LAKERS. AAA Sports |
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| 01-02-17 | Hornets v. Bulls | Top | 111-118 | Win | 100 | 29 h 45 m | Show |
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his is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Chicago Bulls. REASONING: The Hornets had won two straight and five of six before falling 121-109 at home to the Cavs on Saturday. The Bulls come in off their second straight loss and fifth in their last sixth after an embarrassing 116-96 setback at home to Milwaukee on Saturday. The Bulls play with revenge though today, as the Hornets have won three straight in the series, including a 103-91 victory at home in the first matchup this year on December 23rd, 2016. Charlotte is ranked 16th in the league in scoring at 104.9 PPG and ranked eighth in scoring in allowing 102.6. Chicago is ranked 23rd in the league in scoring with an average of 100.5 PPG. Note that the Bulls are first in rebounding with 47.7 PPG. The Bulls are tough defensively as well, ranked sixth in allowing 100.6 PPG. Note that Charlotte is just 1-3 ATS this year after a loss by ten points or more, while Chicago is 3-1 ATS as a home fav of three points or less. We think the home side is much “hungrier” today and look for this determination to pay dividends once it’s all said and done. Play on CHICAGO. AAA Sports |
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| 12-30-16 | Bulls v. Pacers -4 | Top | 101-111 | Win | 100 | 24 h 50 m | Show |
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This is a 10* BIG TIGER on the Indiana Pacers. REASONING: We think the Bulls have a letdown here after winning their second straight, most recently a narrow 101-99 victory over the lowly Nets at home on Wednesday. Conversely, the hungry Pacers will be eager to return to form after dropping their fourth in a row, a 111-105 setback in the nation’s capital on Wednesday. The Pacers beat the Bulls 111-94 at home back on November 5th and we’re expecting a similar final outcome here. Chicago is ranked 23rd in the league in scoring with 100.7 PPG and fifth on the defensive end in allowing 99.8. The Bulls are led by Jimmy Butler, who averages 24.5 points and 6.6 boards per game. Note that Chicago is last in the league from behind the arc, shooting 30.6 percent. Indiana got 34 points from Paul George in the loss to the Wizards. Note that the Pacers are 18th in the league in scoring with 103.9 per night and 20th on the defensive end, allowing 106 per contest. Note that Indian is 12th in the league from behind the arc, hitting 35.6 percent. Note that Chicago is just 1-4 ATS this year as a road dog in the 3.5 to six points range and just 6-10 ATS against teams with losing records, while Indiana is 16-12 ATS in its last 28 after three or more consecutive losses. We like the desperate PACERS to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover. AAA Sports |
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| 12-29-16 | Thunder v. Grizzlies -1.5 | Top | 80-114 | Win | 100 | 29 h 34 m | Show |
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This is a 10* WEST-COAST EXPRESS on the Memphis Grizzlies. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that the Thunder are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 as a road dog of three points or less (including 0-2 this year) and just 3-5 ATS against teams with winning records, while Memphis is 5-3 ATS this year after a loss by ten points or more and 7-5 ATS after allowing 105 points or more. The bottom line: After some recent suspect play, we expect the home side to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night and for the strong trends listed above to continue. Play on MEMPHIS. AAA Sports |
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| 12-28-16 | Pacers +4 v. Wizards | 105-111 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 48 m | Show | |
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This is an 8* EAST-COAST EXPRESS on the Indiana Pacers. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Indiana has been money in the bank in this spot for bettors, going 10-4 ATS in its last 14 after scoring 85 points or less and 14-11 ATS in its last 25 after three or more consecutive losses, while Washington has struggled in this spot, going just 5-7 ATS this season against clubs with losing records and just 50-56 ATS in its last 106 when playing the role of favorite. The bottom line: After three straight losses, we’re expecting the visitors to risk life and limb today and while the outright win is obviously not out of the question, we’re going to grab the points in the end. Play on the PACERS. AAA Sports |
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| 12-22-16 | Celtics v. Pacers +1 | Top | 109-102 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 50 m | Show |
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This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Indiana Pacers. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and common sense: As note that Boston is just 6-11 ATS on the road this year and just 3-8 ATS in its last 11 after allowing 105 points or more, while Indiana is 4-2 ATS this season already in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent and 8-6 ATS when playing the role of underdog. The bottom line: This is Indiana’s final game before the Christmas break, but the Celtics have one more game tomorrow night against the Thunder. We’re expecting the visitors to get caught looking ahead and expect the revenge minded home side to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night Play on the PACERS. AAA Sports |
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| 12-21-16 | Wolves v. Hawks -4.5 | Top | 92-84 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 6 m | Show |
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This is a 10* NON-CONFERENCE BLOWOUT SIDE OF THE MONTH on the Atlanta Hawks. REASONING: Both teams come into this one off a victory. The Wolves are poised for a letdown here though in our opinion after winning for the second time in three games in getting the better of Phoenix 115-108 at home on Monday. The Wolves are in the middles of the pack on the offensive end, averaging 104.3 PPG, which ranks them 14th overall. Defensively though the team has been a big disappoinment in allowing 106.9 PPG, ranking it 23rd. The Hawks returned to form in a big road win over the Thunder to push them back over the .500 mark and we’re expecting them to keep the momentum rolling. ATL would shoot 54.7 percent from the floor and go 9 of 20 from behind the arc. So far the Hawks are 20th in the league in scoring at 102.6 PPG and 16th on the defensive end in allowing 104.4 PPG. Note though that Minnesota is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven against the Eastern Conference, while ATL is already 3-1 ATS this year as a home fav of 3.5 to six points. Play on ATLANTA. AAA Sports |
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| 12-09-16 | Hawks +2.5 v. Bucks | Top | 114-110 | Win | 100 | 28 h 34 m | Show |
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This is a 10* BIG TIGER on the Atlanta Hawks. REASONING: The Hawks snapped a seven game slide in a 103-95 victory over the Heat on Wednesday and they’ll clearly be looking to keep the momentum rolling. Milwaukee on the other hand is poised for a letdown here in our opinion after winning five of its last six, most recently a 115-107 home victory over the Blazers on Wednesday. Atlanta has already beaten the Bucks this year, prevailing 107-100 back on November 16th. Atlanta held a 47-34 advantage on the boards over the Heat last time out, big man Dwight Howard would led the way with 23 points, 17 boards, four assists and two blocks. Note that ATL is ranked 24th in scoring at 100.3, but makes up for it on the defensive end in allowing 102 PPG, ranked 12th. Milwaukee owns the 18th ranked offense at 103.8 PPG. The Bucks also have an above average defense, conceding 101.8 PPG, ranked 10th. Note though that Atlanta is 6-3 ATS against winning teams this year and 3-1 ATS following a divisional contest, while Milwaukee is just 3-4 ATS after a non-conference game and only 4-5 ATS against clubs with losing records. We think the home side gets caught looking ahead to its road trip, which starts tomorrow night in Washington, followed by a game in Toronto on Monday. Grab the points, play on ATLANTA. AAA Sports |
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| 12-05-16 | Hornets -5 v. Mavs | Top | 109-101 | Win | 100 | 29 h 17 m | Show |
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This is a 10* play on the Charlotte Hornets. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Charlotte is 5-3 ATS in its last eight on the road and 6-3 ATS in its last nine as a road fav in the 3.5 to six points range, while Dallas is just 7-11 ATS as an underdog this season and only 4-5 ATS in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent. The bottom line: Charlotte looks to take advantage of this favorable matchup after a recent stretch of shoddy play. We’re expecting the home side to have a letdown and for these strong ATS trends to continue. Play on the HORNETS. AAA Sports |
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| 12-05-16 | Spurs -5 v. Bucks | Top | 97-96 | Loss | -115 | 29 h 48 m | Show |
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This is a 10* play on the San Antonio Spurs. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that San Antonio is 8-2 ATS on the road this year and 5-3 ATS against teams with winning records, while Milwaukee is just 5-6 ATS at home and already 0-2 ATS this year after three or more consecutive SU wins. The bottom line: We think the Bucks will get caught off guard by this high-powered West Coast team and expect the deeper Spurs to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Play on SAN ANTONIO. AAA Sports |
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| 12-05-16 | Cavs +1 v. Raptors | Top | 116-112 | Win | 100 | 28 h 18 m | Show |
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This is a 10* play on the Cleveland Cavaliers. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Cleveland is 3-1 ATS in its last four following a divisional contest and 25-18 ATS in its last 43 when playing with two days rest, while Toronto is just 4-6 ATS in its last ten after allowing 85 points or less. The bottom line: The Raptors have been on quite the role, having won five straight and they’ve already lost the Cavs this year. But that said, we think CLEVELAND, which has scuffeled a bit of late, will once again find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. AAA Sports |
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| 12-04-16 | Magic +7 v. Pistons | Top | 98-92 | Win | 100 | 27 h 34 m | Show |
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This is a 10* EAST-COAST EXPRESS on the Orlando Magic. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and the “revenge factor:” Orlando played and lost to Detroit 108-82 back on November 28th. Clearly the Magic will be out to atone for that lacklustre effort. Detroit has won five of its last six and we think will come in a bit complacent here. The bottom line: Note that Orlando is already 5-2 ATS this year against teams with winning records, while Detroit is 0-2 ATS after three or more consecutive SU victories. Play the MAGIC. AAA Sports |
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| 12-03-16 | Nets +10.5 v. Bucks | 103-112 | Win | 100 | 27 h 11 m | Show | |
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This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Brooklyn Nets. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics and the “revenge factor:” Brooklyn lost at home to Milwaukee just last week so is out to avenge that setback and note that it’s 2-0 ATS in revenging a home loss vs. an opponent thi sseason and 14-10 ATS in its last 24 as a road dog of 9 1/2 to 12 points. And note that Milwaukee is just 2-11 ATS in its last 13 after three or more consecutive SU victories and just 3-4 ATS in its last seven when playing the role of favorite. The bottom line: Great situational and trend based factors make the NETS the correct call in this one. AAA Sports |
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| 12-02-16 | Pistons v. Hawks -3.5 | 121-85 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
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This is an 8* EAST-COAST EXPRESS on the Atlanta Hawks. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics: As note that Detroit is just 3-8 ATS in its last 11 on the road and only 6-9 ATS vs. good offensive teams which score 99-plus points per contest, while Atlanta is 7-3 ATS in its last ten after three or more consecutive SU losses, 4-2 ATS in its last six after allowing 105 points or more and already a perfect 4-0 ATS against the Central Division (also 6-2 ATS in front of the home town crowd). The bottom line: Desperation breeds motivation. Play on ATLANTA. AAA Sports |
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| 11-25-16 | Pelicans v. Blazers -4 | Top | 104-119 | Win | 100 | 29 h 59 m | Show |
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This is a 10* play on the Portland Trailblazers. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. This particular play is based primarily on strong and relevant ATS statistics: As note that New Orleans is just 4-6 ATS in its last ten after three or more consecutive SU victories and only 11-13 ATS in its last 24 as a road dog of 3.5 to six points, while Portland is 13-7 ATS in its last 20 as a home fav of 3.5 to six points. The bottom line: This is a “revenge” game for the struggling Blazers. The Pelicans have turned things around of late, but we think this one sets up as a classic letdown spot for the visitors today. Combined with what should be a superhuman effort from the home side tonight as it looks to get off the schneid and back to its winning ways, all signs do indeed point to PORTLAND as the savvy move in this contest. AAA Sports |
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