Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-17-18 | Marlins v. Yankees OVER 9 | 9-1 | Win | 102 | 6 h 56 m | Show | |
Marlins LH Jarlin Garcia (0-0, 1.13 ERA) vs. Yankees RH Masahiro Tanaka (2-1, 5.19) The Yankees bats are on fire and have won their second straight by getting 15 hits and going 7 for 18 with runners in scoring position during a 12-1 victory on Monday.Miami allowed double-digit runs for the third time and double-digit hits for the sixth time this season, and I won't be surprised of the Yankees explode here again tonight eclipse this Total all by themselves. Note: NY YANKEES are 10-1 OVER vs. NL teams scoring 3.5 or less runs/game on the season like Miami, with the combined average score of 12.6 rpg getting scored.MIAMI is 10-1 OVER in road games after scoring 3 runs or less 3 straight games with a combined average of 11.4 rpg scored. NY YANKEES are 11-1 OVER in home games after scoring 9 runs or more with a combined average of 11.2 rpg scored. MLB Road teams (MIAMI) - cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 15 games, with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 7.00 the last 10 games are 36-7 OVER L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. Over is 8-2-2 in Marlins last 12 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 4-0-1 in Marlins last 5 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 10-1-1 in Yankees last 12 overall.Over is 10-4 in Yankees last 14 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Play OVER |
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04-15-18 | Orioles v. Red Sox OVER 6.5 | 1-3 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 5 m | Show | |
Orioles RH Dylan Bundy (0-1, 1.35 ERA) vs. Red Sox LH Chris Sale (1-0, 1.06) Boston's bats are on fire averaging 8.9 runs while taking six of the last seven and should do just fine today vs a decent pitcher in Bundy and could easily eclipse this number all by themselves. Bundy has not done that well at Fenway and is 3-4 with a 5.01 ERA lifetime against Boston there. I know Chris Sale the Red Sox ace is always hard to face for any team, but I expect the Orioles to do just enough damage to help this combined score eclipse this total. BOSTON is 17-5 OVER L/22 in home games after scoring 10 runs or more over the last few seasons. Over is 5-0 in Orioles last 5 road games.Over is 9-2 in Bundys last 11 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 7-2 in Orioles last 9 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Over is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.Over is 6-0-1 in Red Sox last 7 overall.Over is 4-0 in Sales last 4 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 7-0 in Sales last 7 starts vs. American League East.Over is 7-0 in Sales last 7 starts vs. American League East. MLB Road teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (BALTIMORE) - ice cold hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 15 games against opponent with a slugging percentage of .480 or better over their last 10 games are 31-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER |
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04-14-18 | Spurs v. Warriors OVER 210 | 92-113 | Loss | -110 | 45 h 54 m | Show | |
San Antonio's defense did not look good towards the tail end of the season and allowed 105 or more points in 7 off their L/10 games overall including 122 to New Orleans in their season finale. Over is 5-0 in Spurs last 5 road games.Over is 4-0 in Spurs last 4 Conference Quarterfinals games. Meanwhile, Golden State also struggled on defense for long stretches this season, ranking 18th overall allowing 107.5 ppg . Their saving grace was and always will be their offense , which was ranked first in the league this season (113.5 ppg) , behind the 5th fastest pace ( 99.6). GOLDEN STATE L/20 games when playing against a team with a winning record have seen a combined average of 218.3 ppg go on the board. SAN ANTONIO is 9-0 OVER in road games in April games dating back to last season.GOLDEN STATE is 13-4 OVER L/17 in all playoff games with the total combined average of 225.1 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (GOLDEN STATE) - in a playoff game, in the 1rst game of a playoff series are 24-4 OVER L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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04-14-18 | Avalanche v. Predators UNDER 5.5 | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 35 m | Show | |
Western Conference Quarterfinals - Best of 7 - Game 2 - NAS Leads 1-0 |
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04-13-18 | Rockies v. Nationals UNDER 9 | 2-1 | Win | 107 | 9 h 30 m | Show | |
Rockies LH Kyle Freeland (0-2, 5.56 ERA) vs. Nationals RH Tanner Roark (1-0, 4.50) The Nationals are struggling to score runs, and averaging just 2.7 rpg at home this season, and even against an average pitcher look out of sync at the moment. I'm expecting more of the same ineptness today vs Freeland of the Rockies. Meanwhile, Colorado will go against a right handed pitcher in Roarke . The Rockies bats have struggled against orthodox hurlers, this season, averaging just 4.2 rpg via Mendoza line average hitting ( .248). More of the same struggles look to be on todays agenda according to my cross reference power ranking projections Under is 10-3-1 in Roarks last 14 starts overall.Under is 6-2 in Roarks last 8 home starts.Under is 21-4-3 in Nationals last 28 vs. National League West.Under is 19-8-3 in Freelands last 30 starts overall.Under is 6-2 in Rockies last 8 vs. National League East.Under is 6-1-3 in Freelands last 10 starts with 4 days of rest. FREELAND is 11-2 UNDER with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) with a combined average of 7.7 rpg scored. WASHINGTON is 21-8 UNDER L/29 against NL West opponents dating back to last seasons witch a combined average of 7.7 rpg scored.WASHINGTON is 16-3 UNDER after 6 or more consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 6.2 rpg going on the board. Play UNDER |
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04-12-18 | Rockies v. Nationals UNDER 9 | 5-1 | Win | 102 | 8 h 54 m | Show | |
Rockies RH Chad Bettis (1-0, 2.53 ERA) vs. Nationals LH Gio Gonzalez (1-0, 1.59) Gonzalez (1-0, 1.59) continues to pitch well has picked up where he left off in last year's regular season. He took a no-decision a 3-2 loss to the New York Mets, allowing just one run in 5 1/3 innings on six hits with some solid work.Gonzalez (4-0, 3.58) is unbeaten in five career starts against the Colorado Rockies. I'm betting the Rockies struggle against them here again today. Meanwhile, Right-hander Chad Bettis (1-0, 2.53) was solid for a second straight start, allowing judt one run on just four hits in a no-decision. QUOTE: "There's going to be a consistency to Chad's games," manager Bud Black told the Post. "I suspect Chad's starts, if he makes all 33 or 34, there will be less variability in his outings." END QUOTE: Bettis is 1-0 with a 4.26 ERA in four games -- two starts vs the Nats and should supply stability in this spot.BETTIS is 9-1 UNDER ( vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game like th eNats, with a combined average of 7.2 rpg scored. COLORADO is 20-8 UNDER L/28 in road games vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game over the last couple of seasons with a combined average of 7.4 rpg scored. WASHINGTON is 15-3 UNDER L/18 after 6 or more consecutive home games with a combined average of 6.2 rpg scored. WASHINGTON is 20-8 UNDER L/28 against NL West opponents with a combined average of 7.7 rpg going on the board. Under is 5-0 in Bettis' last 5 starts vs. National League East.Under is 3-1-1 in Rockies last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 8-1 in Bettis' last 9 starts during game 1 of a series.Under is 23-4-5 in Nationals last 32 during game 1 of a series.Under is 20-4-3 in Nationals last 27 vs. National League West.Under is 6-0-1 in Gonzalezs last 7 starts during game 1 of a series.Under is 9-3-2 in Nationals last 14 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Play on the UNDER |
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04-10-18 | Braves v. Nationals OVER 7 | 1-4 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
Braves RH Mike Foltynewicz (1-0, 2.61 ERA) vs. Nationals RH Stephen Strasburg (1-1, 3.65) Foltynewicz the Braves starter has looked good out of the gate this season, but according to my pitcher vs offense power rankings does not matchup well vs the Nationals batting order. Last season the righty thrower recorded a 6.64 ERA in 3 games against them , and has a 3-2 record along with a slightly bloated 5.06 ERA in seven career starts against Washington. I expect the Nationals will do some damage against him here today. Meanwhile, the Nats will return fire with Strasburg who has struggled in his first two trips the hill this season. He has been a slow starter of late, so this comes as no surprise to many. In 28 career starts against the Braves , he owns a 4.06 ERA lifetime and garnered a 2-1 record along with a fairly hefty 5.16 ERA a season ago, and is susceptible to getting lit up again by a side that leads MLB in runs scored. With that said, I'm betting on this tilts combined score eclipsing this weak Total. STRASBURG is 13-3 OVER L/16 in home games in the first half of the season with a combined 10.3 rpg scored. Over is 6-1-3 in Braves last 10 vs. National League East.Over is 5-2 in Foltynewiczs last 7 road starts.Over is 5-1-1 in Nationals last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 5-0 in Strasburgs last 5 home starts vs. Braves.Over is 14-4 in the last 18 meetings in Washington. ATLANTA is 107-79 OVER when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 9 rpg scored. ATLANTA is 31-18 OVER (+11.4 Units) in road games vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season with a combined average of 10.5 rpg scored.
Play OVER |
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04-09-18 | Mariners v. Royals OVER 7.5 | 0-10 | Win | 100 | 8 h 3 m | Show | |
Mariners LH Marco Gonzales (1-0, 4.26 ERA) vs. Royals RH Jakob Junis (1-0, 0.00) Gonzales looked alright in his opening start, but was troubling were a pair of home runs he gave up at AT&T Park, which is troubling considering its reputation for being unfriendly to HR hitters. I know the Royals bats have been struggling, but I'm betting they get things rolling here tonight. Meanwhile, Junus the Royals starter , is a capable hurler, and has faired well at Kaufman Stadium in his young career, but I'm not sold on him, on those limited data starts, and feel he is still susceptible to being lit up vs a batting order that my own pitcher vs batting order power ranking suggest he does matchup well against. Seattle set a season high for runs in an 11-4 win at Minnesota on Saturday and had yesterday off, and will now be ready to reset their attack on fresh legs. Note: Mariners CF Dee Gordon (11-for-30) and 2B Robinson Cano (11-for-25) both are riding seven-game hitting streaks and Seattle SS Jean Segura is 11-for-25 during his six-game hitting streak. SEATTLE is 24-12 OVER when playing with a day off over the last few seasons with a combined average of 10.2 rpg scored. Over is 4-0 in Gonzales' last 4 starts overall. Over is 4-1-2 in Mariners last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Over is 12-3-1 in Mariners last 16 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. Over is 6-1-2 in Mariners last 9 road games.Over is 5-1 in Mariners last 6 overall. MLB teams where the total is 8 to 8.5 (SEATTLE) - good fielding team - turning 1.1 or more DP's/game on the season. against opponent terrible power team - averaging 0.75 or less HR's/game on the season are 51-22 OVER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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04-08-18 | Mets v. Nationals OVER 8 | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
Mets RH Matt Harvey (0-0, 0.00 ERA) vs. Nationals RH Tanner Roark (1-0, 1.29) Roark the Nats starter looked good in his first start, but it must be noted he was sub par at Nationals Park last season garnering a 6-6 record along with a slightly bloated, 5.04 ERA in 17 games (14 starts). Meanwhile, Harvey the NY Mets starter despite of saying he's healthy again , is still a pitcher that has a lot to prove after two dismal seasons where he went 9-17 and recorded a inflated 5.78 ERA. Harvey is 0-3 with a 7.25 ERA in five games against the Nats the last two seasons. Harvery has seen 4 of his L/5 starts vs the Nats go over the total. Over is 4-1 in Mets last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 3-0-2 in Harveys last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.Over is 12-5-3 in Harveys last 20 starts overall. NY METS are 24-9 OVER L/33 vs. a team with a bad bullpen whose ERA is 4.70 or worse with a combined average of 10.5 rpg scored. NY METS are 29-9 OVER on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5 dating back to last season. Play OVER |
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04-08-18 | Diamondbacks v. Cardinals OVER 7.5 | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 40 m | Show | |
Diamondbacks RH Taijuan Walker (0-0, 5.40 ERA) vs. Cardinals RH Luke Weaver (1-0, 1.80) WEAVER is 0-1 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 7.20 and a WHIP of 1.400.WALKER is 0-1 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.500.Over is 6-1 in Walkers last 7 starts with 5 days of rest.Over is 4-1 in Walkers last 5 starts overall.Over is 3-1-1 in Weavers last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record. My own projections estimate this total should be closer to 9, thus giving us value with an over wager. ARIZONA is 12-3 OVER after 2 straight games with no home runs over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 11 rpg being scored.Over is 16-5-1 in umpire Timmons' last 22 games behind home plate vs. St. Louis.Over is 4-1 in umpire Timmons' last 5 games behind home plate vs. Arizona. MLB Home teams (ST LOUIS) - poor NL hitting team (AVG .250) or less against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or better), with a mediocre bullpen whose WHIP is 1.450 to 1.550 on the season are 45-18 OVER L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER
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04-07-18 | Mets v. Nationals OVER 8 | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 33 m | Show | |
Mets LH Steven Matz (0-1, 6.75 ERA) vs. Nationals LH Gio Gonzalez (1-0, 1.50) |
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04-06-18 | Cubs v. Brewers UNDER 9 | 4-5 | Push | 0 | 11 h 14 m | Show | |
Cubs RH Kyle Hendricks (0-0, 1.50 ERA) vs. Brewers RH Brandon Woodruff (0-0, 5.40) |
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04-06-18 | Heat v. Knicks UNDER 211 | 98-122 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
Miami is play off bound, and will want to sharpen up on their top tier brand of defensive basketball. I expect they will be very focused on being defensively responsible here this evening and for them not to be interested in a run and gun style of play, as they look to stay fresh for the post season. The Heat are 4th in in the league in points allowed and 27th in PACE. Meanwhile, NYK, despite of wanting to push for a more wide open attack tonight after suffering a ugly 97-73 set back last time out, will still have to contend with very good D, in a game I'm betting stays on the low side of the number. |
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04-05-18 | Diamondbacks v. Cardinals OVER 7.5 | 3-1 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 16 m | Show | |
MATCHUP: Diamondbacks LH Robbie Ray (1-0, 10.80 ERA) vs. Cardinals RH Adam Wainwright (2017: 12-5, 5.11) ST LOUIS is 25-12 OVER vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game with an average of 10.6 rpg sored. |
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04-03-18 | Nationals v. Braves OVER 9 | 6-13 | Win | 100 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
Nationals RH A.J. Cole (2017: 3-5, 3.81 ERA) vs. Braves RH Julio Teheran (0-0, 6.35) |
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04-01-18 | Pirates v. Tigers OVER 8.5 | 1-0 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 17 m | Show | |
Pirates RH Trevor Williams (2017: 7-9, 4.07 ERA) vs. Tigers RH Michael Fulmer (2017: 10-12, 3.83) WNW 8 mphGusts: 14 mph but conditions are suitable for a 9+ point output. |
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03-30-18 | Pirates v. Tigers OVER 9 | 13-10 | Win | 110 | 2 h 31 m | Show | |
Pirates RH Ivan Nova (2017: 11-14, 4.14 ERA) vs. Tigers RH Jordan Zimmermann (2017: 8-13, 6.08) Zimmermann has struggled during his first two seasons in Detroit . He recorded a 8-13 record and 6.08 ERA last season and in his last spring training outing gave up four runs on nine hits in five innings against Philadelphia . I'm betting the Pirates knock him around again this afternoon. Meanwhile, Pirates starter today Ivan Nova, went 11-14 with a 4.14 ERA last season and did not fair well vs Motown going 0-3 and in his career NOVA is 0-4 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 7.63 and a WHIP of 1.859. Once again, in retaliatory fashion I'm betting that Nova also gets lit up in a game that is projected by me to go over the number. ZIMMERMANN team when he starts is 22-9 OVER when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 11 rpg scored.ZIMMERMANN is 15-3 OVER at home when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 12.3 rpg going on the score board. Over is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings in Detroit.Over is 10-1 in the last 11 meetings.Over is 9-1 in Pirates last 10 vs. American League Central. Temps in Detroit today are supposed to be 45 degrees, and partly sunny. It should be comfortable and conducive to batters being loose enough to rev things up. Play OVER |
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03-25-18 | Bruins v. Wild UNDER 5.5 | 2-1 | Win | 105 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
As the play offs approach teams headed for post season like Minnesota and Boston are being more conservative and defensive minded . Today that's the type of hockey I expect to be witnessed which will see the combined score remain on the low side of the number. Add to that both teams are on tired legs as Boston prepares to play their 3rd road game in 5 days, and Minnesota off a grueling game against a very physical Nashville team last time out and you have a recipe for very little offensive production. Under is 4-0 in Bruins last 4 road games.Under is 6-1 in Bruins last 7 vs. Central.Under is 3-1-1 in Bruins last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 8-2 in Wild last 10 games playing on 0 days rest. BOSTON is 7-1 UNDER L/8 in road games after playing 2 consecutive road games this season.MINNESOTA is 10-3 UNDER when playing on back-to-back days this season. BOSTON is 15-5 UNDER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) this season. NHL Home teams where the total is 5.5 (MINNESOTA) - off a home win, playing on back-to-back days are 101-45 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play UNDER |
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03-24-18 | Wolves v. 76ers UNDER 222.5 | 108-120 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
Both Minnesota and Philadelphia are playing quality hoops at the moment, and with the play offs approaching will be concentrating on being a little more diligent in the defensive end of the court and in transition. I know both these teams can light up the scoreboard in a hurry , but with Jimmy Butler on the sidelines with an injury for the Wolves, and this being their 5th game in 8 days, I'm betting Minnesota won't be as fluid as the linesmakers expect vs staunch Philly D . It must also be noted that the 76ers are also in tired legs as they play their 3rd game in 5 night. These scheduling anomalies I'm betting effect both sides offensive output here today, making this a viable under wager. Minnesota is 24th in the league in PACE. Philadelphia is ranked 4th in PACE but are ranked 4th in defensive rating and are a highly under rated defensive side. PHILADELPHIA is 22-13 UNDER L/35 versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts this season with a combined average score of 211.1 ppg scored.PHILADELPHIA is 14-4 UNDER L/18 when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) - 2nd half of the season dating back to last season with a combined average of 204.6 ppg scored. HC Brown is 10-1 UNDER versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots - 2nd half of the season as the coach of the Sixer's with a combined average of 202 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHILADELPHIA) - after 4 or more consecutive wins, in March games are 40-11 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (MINNESOTA/PHILADELPHIA) - after 1 or more consecutive wins against opponent after 2 or more consecutive wins are 140-50 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (MINNESOTA) - after 2 or more consecutive wins against opponent after 3 or more consecutive win are 44-12 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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03-19-18 | Blue Jackets v. Bruins OVER 5.5 | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 2 h 11 m | Show | |
I'm betting on this tilt between these teams to eclipse the total. The Bruins and the Blue Jackets in their games this season, saw the Beantown crew win a 4-3 shootout decision on Oct. 30 in Columbus and then come back by hammering the Jackets 7-2 on Dec. 18 in Boston. I'm betting on more offensive fireworks here tonight as a revenge minded Columbus group on a7 game win streak will look to mercilessly attack their foes and make them pay for that last above mentioned loss they suffered. I know the Bruins are a bit banged up, but they have done well vs Columbus offensively in the recent past as Jackets G Bobrovsky has struggled against Boston, going just 2-5-2 with 3.70/.895, and backup Joonas Korpisalo is 1-0-2 with 2.59/.915 GAA/SVP%. COLUMBUS is 7-1 OVER L/8 against good possession teams-averaging 3+ more shots on goal than opp in the 2nd half of the year over the last few seasons. Over is 4-0 in Blue Jackets last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Over is 6-1 in Bruins last 7 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game ( the Bruins SO TB last time out in a 3-0 win)Over is 10-2-1 in Bruins last 13 vs. Metropolitan. Over is 6-0 L/6 meetings. NHL Road teams where the total is 5.5 (COLUMBUS) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 5 or more goals, off a close home win by 1 goal are 29-6 OVER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 7.2 gpg scored. Play OVER |
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03-18-18 | Syracuse v. Michigan State OVER 129 | 55-53 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 54 m | Show | |
NCAA Tournament - Second Round - Little Caesars Arena - Detroit, MI
Michigan States offense is explosive averaging more than 81 ppg this season, and will force Syracuse in responding with some offensive fireworks of their own or get blown of the court. This will lead to a combined score that eclipses this number. Recently North Carolina scored 78 against Syracuse the Boston College 85 , and I'm betting Michigan State puts a similar of points on the board here. MICHIGAN ST is 7-0 OVERL/7 versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of with a combined average score of 149.3 ppg going on the board. SYRACUSE is 15-4 OVER L/19in road games after a game where they made 78% of their free throws or better with a combined average of 143 ppg going on the board.SYRACUSE is 10-1 OVER L/11 after 3 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers dating back to last season with a combined average score of 1ith a combined average of 153.8 ppg scored. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is 129.5 or less (SYRACUSE) - after 2 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers against opponent after 2 straight games forcing opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers are 44-16 OVER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. CBB teams where the total is between 120 and 129.5 points (MICHIGAN ST) - after being beaten by the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games, in March games. are 61-25 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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03-17-18 | Rhode Island v. Duke OVER 148.5 | 62-87 | Win | 100 | 5 h 15 m | Show | |
NCAA Tournament - Second Round - PPG Paints Arena - Pittsburgh, PA Look for Dukes powerful inside-outside game to go head to head in a back forth affair against the dynamic guard play of the Rams in a game I have projected to go over the total. DUKE is 11-1 OVER L/12 after a non-conference game this season with a combined average score of 169.7 ppg scored.DUKE is 10-2 OVER in non-conference games this season with a combined average score of 164.8 ppg scored. Over is 6-2 in Blue Devils last 8 neutral site games. Over is 7-3 in Rams last 10 neutral site games. CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (RHODE ISLAND/DUKE) - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (60 shots/game or more) after 15+ games are 160-88 OVER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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03-16-18 | Clippers v. Thunder UNDER 223.5 | 113-121 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 27 m | Show | |
Both these sides have played some fairly high scoring back and forth games of late, but the Clippers still key on defense to get where they need to go, and have seen 3 of their L/4 stay under the total . The average combined score of the Clippers road games clicks in at around 216 ppg. Meanwhile, Oklahoma City also has been running and gunning on a consistent basis, but because of this the lines makers are attaching some slightly bloated Totals to their tilts which makes for value when looking at the under as is evident by 4 of their L/5 home tilts failing to eclipse the number. The Thunders home games have seen a combined average score of 209.6 ppg scored behind the 20th ranked pace in the league and the 8th best defensive rating. My projections make this Total closer to 219 which gives us value on the under. OKLAHOMA CITY is 41-27 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record dating back to last season with a combined average score of 211.3 ppg scored.OKLAHOMA CITY is 22-11 UNDER L/33 against Pacific division opponents with a combined average score of 213.1 ppg scored. The Thunder are 0-20 UNDER at home with more than one day of rest when they won as a favorite in each of their last two games with the highest score in those games coming in at 218 total points with the average combined score clicking in at 193.7 ppg. The Thunder are 0-19 UNDER at home with more than one day of rest off a double-digit win as a favorite with the highest score in those games not eclipsing the 216 point plateau. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after 4 or more consecutive wins, in March games are 38-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate with the combined average score of 211.6 ppg scored. Play on the UNDER |
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03-12-18 | Bucks v. Grizzlies UNDER 207 | 121-103 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 25 m | Show | |
The Grizzlies are in full tank mode, and are using a lot of young players . and partly because of this have not been fluid offensively for long time and have failed to score more than 98 points in 10 of their L/15 games . Memphis because of their lack of scoring and key injuries have seen 6 of their L/7 stay below the Total and here against Milwaukee tonight, I'm expecting another combined score to fail to eclipse the number. It must also be noted that their opponents tonight Milwaukee have been playing a more conservative style of hoops, of late and have failed to score more than 99 points in 6 of their L/8 games. Everything points to this being a viable under wager. MEMPHIS is 21-9 UNDER versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or better this season with a combined average score of 200.9 ppg going on the board.MEMPHIS is 12-4 UNDER in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average score of 198.7 ppg going on the board. MEMPHIS is 7-0 UNDER L/7 in home games after 7 or more consecutive losses this season with a combined average score of 191.8 ppg scored. Under is 6-1 in Grizzlies last 7 overall.Under is 6-0 in Grizzlies last 6 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.MILWAUKEE is 22-11 UNDER L/33 in road games after 1 or more consecutive wins with a a combined average score of 204.3 ppg.Under is 10-2 in Bucks last 12 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 11-3 in Bucks last 14 road games.Under is 21-8 in Bucks last 29 overall.Under is 6-2 in Bucks last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Under is 10-3-1 in the last 14 meetings.
NBA teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (MEMPHIS) - after being beaten by the spread by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, in March games are 34-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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03-09-18 | SMU v. Cincinnati OVER 126.5 | 51-61 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 56 m | Show | |
AAC Conference Tournament - Quarterfinals - Orlando, FL The linesmkaers are expecting Cincinnati to take out the SMU Mustangs by a DD margin of victory, which translates to the Bearcats putting up 72+ plus points here according to my own projections with the Mustangs reciprocating with 58+ points in a game that I have pegged to go OVER the total. The meetings between the programs this season have seen 127 and 132 points go on the scoreboard. I'm expecting a score of around 130+ here in a neutral court environment giving us an edge for an over wager. SMU HC Jankovich in 23 i neutral court games in his career has seen an a combined average of 130.4 ppg scored. Jankovich in all 33 tournament games he has coached have seen a combined average score of 131.6 ppg scored. HC Cronin of Cincinnati in 203 games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game has seen a combined average of 130.2 ppg go on the board. Neutral court teams where the total is 129.5 or less (SMU/CINCINNATI) - after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games, on Fridays are 26-2 OVER L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 137.2 ppg. Play OVER |
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03-08-18 | Boston College v. Clemson OVER 139.5 | 82-90 | Win | 100 | 5 h 38 m | Show | |
ACC Conference Tournament - Quarterfinals - Brooklyn, NY BC has gotten better as this season has progressed because of their ability to punch it out offensively with anyone in this conference behind the talented backcourt duo of Robinson and Bowman and I'm betting this group will force a defensive minded Clemson into responding with some offensive fireworks of their own in this conflict. Yesterday Boston took out NC State by a 91-87 count and scored a 88-77 opening round win vs Georgia Tech . This BC team knows only one way to play and that is fast transitional basketball, and nothing will change here today. When these teams played earlier this season Clemson took a 74-70 win and my own projections estimate a combined score of the 145+ points range to be scored here which makes for a viable over wager. BOSTON COLLEGE is 12-2 OVER L/14 versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games dating back to last season with a combined average score of 160.4 ppg going on the board. BOSTON COLLEGE is 10-2 OVER L/12 versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game with a combined average score of 157.3 ppg going on the board.BOSTON COLLEGE is 8-1 OVER L/9 after 2 or more consecutive overs this season with a combined average score of 158.9 ppg scored. BOSTON COLLEGE is 6-0 OVER L/6 vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more of their attempts with a combined average of 157.7 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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03-04-18 | Suns v. Hawks UNDER 224 | 112-113 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 38 m | Show | |
These two rebuilding programs have gone through a lot of struggles this season, and both have looked a little winded here late in the campaign. A team that is particular tired are the young Suns, as was evident against Oklahoma City Thunder on Friday, falling 124-116 despite 39 points from emerging star Devin Booker. QUOTE: "I think we probably fatigued a little bit," Phoenix interim coach Jay Triano told reporters afterward. "I don't know if our guys are used to playing at that level for that long of a period of time, but that's what we'll get to." END QUOTE. Today here in Atlanta I'm expecting their tired legs to effect the Suns, and they won't be up to taking part in a run and gun affair, which is just fine for a Atlanta side that prefers a slower pace behind a 26th ranked offensive effecnicy rating. With that said, I'm betting we see the combined score of this affair to stay below the number. Under is 11-2 in Suns last 13 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Under is 4-1 in Suns last 5 road games. Under is 20-9 in Suns last 29 games following a straight up loss. Under is 17-8 in Suns last 25 games playing on 1 days rest. Under is 7-1 in Hawks last 8 vs. Western Conference. Under is 21-7 in Hawks last 28 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. ATLANTA is 21-7 UNDER L/28 when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season dating back to last season with a combined average of 207.6 ppg scored. ATLANTA is 9-0 UNDER versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season dating back to last season with a combined average of 196.8 ppg scored . PHOENIX is 16-7 UNDER L/23 after a combined score of 225 points or more this season with a combined average of 213.2 ppg scored. NBA All teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (ATLANTA/PHOENIX) - in a game involving two struggling teams (25% to 40%), second half of the season are 38-10 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 216.5 ppg going on the scoreboard. Play on the UNDER |
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03-03-18 | Kentucky v. Florida OVER 143 | 67-80 | Win | 100 | 2 h 46 m | Show | |
Kentucky and Florida enter this game both playing top tier hoops at the moment. I'm expecting like the linesmkaers for this to be a closely contested 2 possession game that will see both teams according to my own projections putting 72+ points on the board, which gives me justification in call for an over wager here in this spot. Note: Florida has averaged 76.4 ppg at home this season, and Kentucky has averaged 73.3 ppg away. The total combined score according to my projections and systems analysis could easily eclipse this number by 5 points , making this a viable over wager. FLORIDA is 11-2 OVER L/13 in home games versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season with a combined average of 148.7 ppg going on the board.KENTUCKY is 11-1 OVER after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games with a combined average score of 168.7 ppg going on the board. KENTUCKY is 6-0 OVER in road games off 2 consecutive wins by 10 points or more against conference rivals with a combined average of 163.5 ppg going on the board. KENTUCKY is 6-0 OVER after scoring 40 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games this season with a combine average score of 168.2 ppg scored.
Play OVER |
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03-02-18 | Youngstown State v. Cleveland State UNDER 152 | 71-72 | Win | 100 | 12 h 12 m | Show | |
Horizon Conference Tournament - First Round - Detroit, MI These teams just took part in a back and forth game on Feb 24 that saw Cleveland State grab a 99-94 victory. However, now in the rematch I expect a more tempered approach by both sides, and a reversion to the norm from a offensive output standpoint. Tourney play tends to be more tactical, and physically grueling which should aid this score to stay on the low side of the number. CLEVELAND ST is 12-2 UNDER off a win against a conference rival with a combined average of 128.8 ppg scored and is 6-0 UNDER off an upset win as a road underdog with a combined average of 129.3 ppg going on the board.CLEVELAND ST is 8-1 UNDER after scoring 80 points or more dating back to last season with the combined average score of 132.3 ppg scored. CBB Neutral court teams against the total (CLEVELAND ST) - off an upset win as a road underdog, a struggling/losing team (20% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record are 27-4 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors with the total combined score of those tilts clicking in at 126.7 ppg. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (YOUNGSTOWN ST) - in a conference tournament game, a struggling/losing team, winning 20% to 40% of their games on the season are 36-12 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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03-02-18 | Chattanooga v. Samford UNDER 154 | 89-79 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 16 m | Show | |
Southern Conference Tournament - First Round - Asheville, NC In both meetings this season, the total combined score did not exceed this posted number. UT Chatanooga 78 Samford 71 - Samford 73 Chatanooga 56. My own projections expect both sides to not exceed the 75 point offensive plateau, which makes for a viable under wager according to these estimates. UT-CHATTANOOGA is 14-3 UNDER L/17 in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game with a combined average of 145.8 ppg scored.UT-CHATTANOOGA is 8-1 UNDER after scoring 25 points or less in the first half last game over the last few seasons with a combined average score of 143.4 ppg scored. CBB Neutral court teams against the total (SAMFORD) - after going over the total by more than 12 points in three consecutive games, on Friday nights are 27-6 UNDER L/21 seasons for 82% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 128.4 pgg scored. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (SAMFORD) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, a struggling team, winning 20% to 40% of their games on the season are 32-9 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 146.4 ppg scored. CBB Neutral court teams against the total (UT-CHATTANOOGA) - cold team - failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, in a game involving two struggling teams (20% to 40%) are 38-12 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 132.2 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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03-01-18 | Marist v. Fairfield UNDER 154 | 57-71 | Win | 100 | 11 h 14 m | Show | |
Metro Atlantic Conference Tournament - First Round - Albany, NY Marist road games have seen a combined average of 151.7 ppg scored. Meanwhile, Fairfield has seen a combined average of 152.6 ppg scored. My own projections estimate that in this neutral court environment, that the combined score will be closer to 149, which gives us a two possession advantage to the under in what will be a tighter more grueling post season affair than their last regular season matchup that saw Fairfield beat Marist 83-79. FAIRFIELD in their L/25 games as a favorite over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average score of 146.8 ppg scored.FAIRFIELD is 9-1 UNDER after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last few seasons with a combined average of 136.7 ppg scored. HC of Fairfield Johnson is 18-5 UNDER L/23 off 2 straight wins against conference rivals with a combined average score of 131 ppg going on the board. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (FAIRFIELD) - average 3PT shooting team (32-36.5%) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or better ) are 46-18 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. CBB Play Under - Neutral court teams against the total (MARIST) - after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 55% or higher are 32-9 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average score of 132.8 ppg scored. CBB Neutral court teams against the total (MARIST) - poor defensive team - shooting pct defense of 45% or better on the season, after a game - allowing a shooting pct. of 60% or higher are 53-19 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors with the combine average score of 136.9 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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02-28-18 | SIU-Edwardsville v. Tennessee Tech UNDER 150 | 51-60 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show | |
Ohio Valley Conference Tournament - First Round - Evansville, IN When Tennessee Tech and SIU Edwardsville met earlier this season, they took part in a grueling physical game that Tennessee Tech Tech won 68-67, and I'm betting on a similar style game this time around and a combined score that is also similar , which makes this a viable under wager according to my own projections. TENNESSEE TECH is 9-0 UNDER L/9 versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season with a combined average of 133.8 ppg scored.TENNESSEE TECH is 10-1 UNDER L/11 versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game of 134.3 ppg scored.TENNESSEE TECH is 6-0 UNDER L/6 versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 4+ points/game this season with a combined average of 145.3 ppg scored. TENNESSEE TECH is 8-0 UNDER when the total is 150 to 159.5 this season of 135.9 ppg going on the board. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (SIU EDWARDSVL) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, a bad team (20% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record are 24-6 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (TENNESSEE TECH) - average 3PT shooting team (32-36.5%) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or better) are 46-17 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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02-28-18 | LSU v. South Carolina OVER 142.5 | 74-83 | Win | 100 | 10 h 13 m | Show | |
It is no secret that LSU struggles with grind it out teams like South Carolina. Last time out the Bayou Bengals allowed 90+ points to Georgia to a team that struggles to score 60 points most nights. Tonight against a South Carolina I'm betting the home side scores above its season average of 71.2 ppg, vs a Tigers side that has allowed an average 78.8 ppg on the road, and for LSU to hit in the 75point range ( LSU averages 77.7 ppg overall in off) . Those projections suggest a Total that will be eclipsed. LSU HC Wade is 9-1 OVER in road games versus poor shooting teams - making 42% or less of their shots in all games with a combined score of 145.9 ppg scored.LSU is 8-1 OVER L/9 in road games after allowing 90 points or more with a combined average of 159.2 ppg scored. LSU is 14-5 OVER as a road underdog or pick with a combined average of 158 ppg scored. LSU is 8-0 OVER L/8 when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) after 15 or more games dating back to last season with a combined average of 165.4 ppg scored. S CAROLINA is 6-0 OVER L/6 in home games versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots this season with a combined average score of 149.7 ppg scored. CBB Road teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (LSU) - an good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after a combined score of 155 points or more are 131-71 OVER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. CBB Home teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (S CAROLINA) - after allowing 25 points or less in the first half last game against opponent after playing a game where both teams score 80 points or more are 97-59 OVER L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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02-27-18 | Ball State v. Central Michigan OVER 147.5 | 51-75 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
BSU has won the past three meetings vs Central Michigan, including an 82-76 victory earlier this year in Muncie, all three combined scores easily eclipsed this Totals number, and I'm expecting another fairly high scoring tilt here today. Central Michigan is averaging just under 80 ppg at home this season, while BSU has averaged 76.6 ppg overall, and have picked up their offensive attack of late with 87,90,99, 77, 80 point outputs in their L/5 respectively. Everything points to this total getting eclipsed. Central Michigan is off 89-76 loss vs Toledo last time out, which sets us up well for an OVER wager to cash, as C MICHIGAN is 11-1 OVER L/12 off a road loss against a conference rival dating back to last season, with a combined average score of 176.1 ppg scored.C MICHIGAN is 6-0 OVER as a home underdog or pick over the last few seasons with a combined average score of 180.5 ppg going on the board.C MICHIGAN is 7-1 OVER versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots with a combined average score of 157.6 ppg scored. C MICHIGAN is 17-3 OVER versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games dating back to last season with a combined average score of 176.6 ppg registered on the scoreboard. C MICHIGAN is 6-0 OVER L/6 when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) with a combined average score of 163.3 ppg scored. BALL ST is 22-9 OVER L/31 versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season of 156.7 ppg scored. BALL ST is 6-0 OVER vs. excellent free throw shooting teams - making 77% or better of their shots ( Note: The Chippewas lead the league in free throw shooting at 80 percent ) CBB Road teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (BALL ST) - an good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after scoring 75 points or more 4 straight games are 29-8 OVER L/5 seasons for a79% conversion rate for bettors. CBB Home teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (C MICHIGAN) - after going over the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 71-39 OVER L/21 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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02-26-18 | USC Upstate v. Florida Gulf Coast UNDER 163 | 76-96 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
Atlantic Sun Conference Tournament - Quarterfinals
My own projections estimate that the Total posted by the lines-makers is slightly bloated here, considering this is a tournament game, and should be played a little differently than regular season action. I expect UC Upstate to try to slow down their explosive opponents with gritty physical hoops, and for FGCU a top tier defense to comply in unison. Yes, Gulf State can light the board up in a hurry, and USC Upstate owns a porous D, but as was the case in their two previous meetings this season, the scoreboard was not short circuiting, as both total combined scores failed to eclipse this posted number. On Jan 11 Fl Gulf State won 75-58 at home and on Feb10 won 88-71 on the road. Note: FGCU held six ASUN opponents to 60 points or less during the regular season. In the other 42 league games played, there were only five total occurrences of a team being held to 60 or less. FGCU's 68.4 points per game allowed in league play was more than five points better than any other team (Jacksonville, 73.6). FLA GULF COAST is 6-0 UNDER L/6 in home lined games with a total combined score of 136.3 ppg scored. FLA GULF COAST is 12-3 UNDER L/15 in home games against conference opponents with a combined average score of 138.3 ppg scored. FLA GULF COAST is 13-3 UNDER L/16 versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season with a combined average of 145.2 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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02-25-18 | Rockets v. Nuggets UNDER 228 | 119-114 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
Houston enters this game against Denver having won 11 straight games and have notched victories in 18 of their last 20 games. But will play without Eric Gordon (18.5ppg) which I'm betting effects their offensive flow here in the high altitude of the Rockies this evening. Meanwhile, Denver has won 10 of 13 and are 7-1 SU in February and could find the sledding tough behind their 17th ranked PACE vs a Houston team that can also play some solid D, as is evident by holding 4 of their L/9 opponents to under 99 points and ranked 9th in the league in defensive rating. Despite both teams current explosive forms , this line according to my own projections is slightly bloated to the upside and gives us a viable opportunity to cash taking an under stance. Under is 11-2 in Rockets last 13 vs. Western Conference.Under is 10-4-1 in Rockets last 15 road games. HOUSTON is 22-10 UNDER L/32 versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts - 2nd half of the season dating back to last season with a combined average score of 217 ppg going on the board. HOUSTON is 16-5 UNDER L/21 in road games after playing 2 consecutive home games with a combined average score of 216.2 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (DENVER /HOUSTON) - after 2 or more consecutive wins against opponent after 3 or more consecutive wins are 37-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 214 ppg going on the board. Play UNDER |
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02-24-18 | Grizzlies v. Heat OVER 195.5 | 89-115 | Win | 100 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
The Heat, are off a loss to the New Orleans Pelicans 124-123 in overtime on Friday night, and have lost eight of their past nine games. Needless to say the Heat will be exhausted here, and will not be able to play their usual physical brand of defensive basketball on tired legs. Note Miami as allowed 6 of their L/7 opponents to score 104 more points, allowing an average of 112.33 ppg in those tilts.Over is 6-0 in Heat last 6 games playing on 0 days rest. Meanwhile, Memphis also on tired legs after paying last night continues down an ugly path, especially with their defensive play allowing 12 of their L/13 opponents to score 101 or more points, something I'm betting happens again in a more wide open game than the lines-makers expect. Over is 8-2 in Grizzlies last 10 games playing on 0 days rest.
MEMPHIS is 12-1 OVER L/13 in road games on Saturday games with a combined average score of 215.8 ppg scored. The over is 4-1 in the Grizzlies last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Over is 8-3 in Grizzlies last 11 road games.Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Miami. MIAMI is 26-12 OVER in home games after allowing 115 points or more with a combined average of 200.9 ppg scored. NBA Road teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (MEMPHIS) - after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after a combined score of 235 points or more are 33-5 OVER L/21 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 207.4 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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02-24-18 | Magic v. 76ers UNDER 217.5 | 105-116 | Loss | -102 | 6 h 19 m | Show | |
Philadelphia plays their best defensive basketball at home this season , and in recent action have not allowed 5 of their L/8 opponents to score more than 98 points when playing as hosts. Overall leading up to the all star break the Sixers allowed an average of just 94.8 ppg in 5 games all wins and are currently ranked 4th in the league in Defensive effecnicy . They did take part in a high scoring affair in their first game after the break, but will now be prepared to clamp down defensively vs a inconsistent Orlando offense ( Ranked 19th in Off Effecnicy). I'm betting on a total combined score to remain on the low side of the total. PHILADELPHIA is 11-1 UNDER L/12 in home games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) with a combined average of 203.7 ppg scored. ORLANDO is 20-11 UNDER revenging a road loss vs opponent this season with a combined average of 213 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (ORLANDO) - after 4 or more consecutive losses against opponent after 4 or more consecutive wins are 41-11 and 6-0 this season UNDER L/21 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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02-24-18 | Baylor v. TCU OVER 147 | 72-82 | Win | 100 | 3 h 34 m | Show | |
My own projections for this game suggest both teams will score at least 75 points each here today. BAYLOR is 9-0 OVER in games where both teams score 75 or more points over the last few seasons with a combined average of 174.5 ppg scored. .TCU is 11-1 OVER in games where both teams score 75 or more points this season with a combined average of 169.5 ppg going on the board. Both these teams play contrasting styles of basketball. TCU is a run and gun group, while Baylor likes to slow things down. But from a matchup perspective, Baylor is going to have to pick up their pace on offense if they want to keep up here in an environment where the home team should be able to make the speed of this tilt more to their liking. With that said, I'm expecting a total combined score that eclipses this number. TCU is 16-5 OVER L/21 versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season with a combined average of 163.3 ppg scored.TCU is 7-1 OVER L/8 when the total is 140 to 149.5 this season.TCU is 6-0 OVER in home games against conference opponents this season with a combined average of 163.9 ppg. Dixon is 12-1 OVER after 4 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers as the coach of TCU with a combined average of 159.9 ppg scored. Play on the OVER |
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02-22-18 | Wizards v. Cavs OVER 220.5 | 110-103 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 38 m | Show | |
After almost a weeks rest both these very capable offensive sides will be fresh and ready to run and gun here as they prepare to start the stretch drive towards the play offs in a game that my projections suggest will eclipse this number. Cleveland Ranks 5th in offensive output in the NBA and 27th in points allowed and 29th in defensive effecnicy . Leading up to the all star game the Cavs registered 140,123, 121, 120 in offensive production 4 straight games. Washington ranks 9th in offensive effecnicy and 15th in points allowed. Washington has scored 101 or more ppg in 10 straight games and have allowed 11 of their L/13 opponents to put 100 or more points on the board.
NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (CLEVELAND/WASHINGTON) - in a game involving two good three point shooting teams (36.5% or better) after 42+ games, in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game) are 28-4 OVER L/5 seasons and a 6-0 so far this season for dual 88% and 100% conversion rates for bettors. Play OVER |
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02-20-18 | NC-Greensboro v. Wofford OVER 136.5 | 76-66 | Win | 100 | 8 h 1 m | Show | |
Wofford averages 82.1 ppg at home this season on offense, while Greensboro averages 72.4 ppg on the road.Note: UNCG overall is averaging 74.0 points per game while shooting 44.8 percent (737-of-1646) from the field and 36.3 percent (273-of-752) from 3-point land and according to my projections should be on pace for a similar offensive output. Greensboro plays the better defensive ball, but I'm betting their dragged into a faster affair than they like by a revenge minded Wofford team that plays their best basketball at home, which I'm betting results in a higher scoring game than the lines-makers anticipate. Wofford’s only loss at home in conference play came at the hands of ETSU by a 75-62 margin.In their L/meeting on Dec 30 of this season, Greensboro on their own home court dictated the pace and came away with a 71-67 win, but here on the road Wofford will up the speed of this game , which is more to their liking which will result in this tilt eclipsing the number. These teams have gone over the Total in 9 straight meetings here at Wofford. UNC-GREENSBORO is 8-1 OVER L/9 in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or more of their attempts after 15+ games dating back to last season, with a combined average of 156.8 ppg scored. UNC-GREENSBORO is 9-1 OVER in road games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more of their attempts after 15+ games over the last couple of seasons with a combined average score of 154.8 ppg clicking in on the board.WOFFORD is 6-0 OVER L/6 in home games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game over the last few seasons with a combined average of 151.2 ppg scored. WOFFORD is 12-2 OVER L/14 in home games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last few seasons with a combined average of 158.8 ppg going on the scoreboard. WOFFORD is 10-1 OVER L/11 revenging a same season loss vs opponent with a combined average of 162.6 ppg getting scored. WOFFORD is 15-3 OVER L/18 after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games of 157.9 ppg scored. Play on the OVER |
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02-19-18 | Minnesota v. Wisconsin OVER 140 | 63-73 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 31 m | Show | |
Minnesota enters this game struggling on defense, allowing 94,76,91,80,87 points respectively in their L/5 strips to the hardwood for an average of 85.6 ppg. The Gophers have struggled a bit of late on offense against some top tier competition, but their overall ability to put points up on the board (76.5ppg),has been their saving grace this season, and made them competitive for the most part in Big 10 play and according to my projections should score in the 65-69 point range here in this spot. Meanwhile, Wisconsin has done their best offensive work at home this season, averaging 72 ppg, and I'm betting on them upping their average offensive output here by 5 to 8 points vs a pylon D. With that said, according to my own prognostication system, this total should be easily eclipsed. Minnesota in 15 conference games this season, has seen a combined average score of 148.4 ppg go on the board. MINNESOTA is 8-0 OVER L/8 versus teams who average 33 or less rebounds/game on the season with a combined average of 151.2 ppg going on the board. CBB Road teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (MINNESOTA) - after trailing their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half against opponent after scoring 25 points or less in the first half last game are 40-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 82%conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 152.4 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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02-19-18 | Wild v. Islanders OVER 6 | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 42 m | Show | |
The NY Islanders are off back to back shutout wins by identical 3-0 scores. But in those games they allowed 50 and 45 shots for a whopping 95 shots on goal. The Isles D, has been atrocious for much of this season, and I'm now expecting they revert back to their average mean of allowing 3.6 gpg according to my projections. On offense the Isles are chalk full of talent, ie Barzal, Tavares, Lee, Bailey, Eberle, and should light up the lamp today vs a Minnesota side, that allowed an average 3.6 gpg on the road this season. The three most recent meetings in this series have seen a combined average score 9.66 gpg clicking in on the board. |
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02-17-18 | Villanova v. Xavier UNDER 165.5 | 95-79 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 46 m | Show | |
Villanova easily dispatched Xavier in the first meeting this season, an 89-65 smash down at the Wells Fargo Center back on Jan. 10 and now I'm expecting a slower pace from Xavier as they try to mess with Novas flow. Meanwhile, Villanova in a mini slump after having lost 2 of their L/3 , will be concentrating on playing a complete game . The coaching staff wants the Cats to be more physical, which I'm betting they will be today and this will translate into a grinding war, that makes for a lower scoring game then the lines-makers expect. After Nova lost to Providence last time out, Villanovas Coach made this statement "We weren't physical enough to get open," Wright said. "So then we couldn't run the offense. We were forced to drive the ball and they were more physical than us in that area also." END QUOTE: With this game being so late in the season, and with playing solid D, a very important factor at this time of the season, I expect a total combined score that remains on the low side of the number. |
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02-15-18 | Nuggets v. Bucks OVER 212 | 134-123 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
With this being the last game before both sides launch their mini vacations during the all star break, I expect both will feel energized and ready to run and gun tonight, as they also know an extended rest is on the way. Denver enters this game having won 5 of their L/6 behind an offense that is clicking on all cylinders, averaging more than 117.8 ppg during that stretch. The Bucks also rank 6th (110.6) in the league in offensive efficiency and 22nd ( 109.7) in defensive efficiency Meanwhile, Milwaukee despite of being inconsistent, are ranked 12th in the league in offensive effecnicy rating (108.9 ppg) and 16th in defensive efficiency ( 108.7 ) and in this type of matchup vs an explosive offense will have to speed up their pace, which in turn will have them go above their current ratings, which will translate in to a higher scoring game than the lines-makers expect. DENVER is 38-21 OVER L/59 when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 223.7 ppg scored.DENVER is 22-8 OVER L/30 in road games after a combined score of 225 points with a combined average of score of 222 ppg scored. DENVER is 31-18 OVER L/49 in non-conference games with a combined average of 222.4 ppg scored.Malone is 40-19 OVER when the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of DENVER with a combined average of 218.4 ppg scored. Over is 9-2 in Nuggets last 11 vs. NBA Central.Over is 14-4 in Bucks last 18 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (DENVER) - after going over the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games are 33-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 223.9 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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02-15-18 | Hurricanes v. Devils UNDER 5.5 | 2-5 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 48 m | Show | |
The Carolina Hurricanes uncharacteristically exploded for 7 goals last time out in a win vs the shocked looking LA Kings. It must be noted that the Canes have gone under in 7 of their L/8 games after scoring 5 goals more and are usually a less than explosive team especially in division games, where they score and average of 2.4 gpg, while allowing just 2.8 pgg. Prior to the above mentioned output the Canes, had gone under in 7 straight games, holding opponents to 2 gaols ore less. With NJ embarking on 4th game in 7 nights, I expect they won't have much in the tank to run and gun and instead rely on their ability to score in transition, which is not a good option according to my numbers. With that said, I'm betting on the visitors and their hosts playing a low scoring affair. Under is 4-0-2 in the last 6 meetings in New Jersey.Under is 9-1-4 in the last 14 meetings. CAROLINA is 9-1 UNDER after playing a game where 9 or more total goals were scored this season with a combined average of 4.1 gpg scored.NEW JERSEY is 6-0 UNDER L/6 in home games after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last few seasons, with a combined average of 4.4 gpg going on the board. CAROLINA is 8-1 UNDER L/9 against struggling defensive teams - allowing 2.85+ goals/game this season with a combined average of 4.6 gpg scored. NHL Road teams where the total is 5.5 (CAROLINA) - after 3 straight wins by 2 goals or more against opponent after scoring 3 goals or more in 2 straight games are 50-19 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. NHL Road teams where the total is 5.5 (CAROLINA) - poor defensive team - allowing 2.85+ goals/game on the season, after scoring 6 goals or more in their previous game are 52-27 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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02-14-18 | Warriors v. Blazers OVER 225.5 | 117-123 | Win | 100 | 12 h 6 m | Show | |
The Warriors have gone 3-0 in a recent home stand in which they shot 55.3 percent from the field and 45.1 from beyond the arc while averaging 124 points ppg.
The Dubs now lead the NBA in scoring (115.8), field goal percentage (51.1), 3-point percentage (39.3), free throw percentage (80.9), assists per game (44.4) and blocks per game (7.95). Needless to say their offensive juggernaut, and have said, they want to finish off strong heading into the All star break which should see them running and gunning against the Portland Blazers here again tonight. How will the Blazers deal with what's coming their way. Here's a quote fro Blazers star D.Liiliard that tells me the game plan for this meeting. QUOTE: "You can play great defense and they're still going to make shots, they're that good. You have to be able to put points up. You have to score with them. You have to have some resistance, and you have to make them work for everything they get. You have to attack them back -- use your offense as defense." END QUOTE: With that said, I'm betting on a back forth offensive slugfest here this evening in a tilt that flys over the Total. PORTLAND is 16-4 OVER L/20 versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game - 2nd half of the season during the last few seasons with a combined average score of 228 ppg getting scored.GOLDEN STATE is 11-0 OVER after game where they allowed a shooting pct. of 35% or less over the last few seasons with a combined average of 233.4 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (PORTLAND/GOLDEN STATE) - in a game involving two good three point shooting teams (36.5% or more ), in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game) after 42+ games are 26-4 OVER L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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02-14-18 | Dayton v. George Mason OVER 146.5 | 67-85 | Win | 100 | 11 h 42 m | Show | |
The Flyers have scored 80-plus points in all three February games.Dayton's offense ranks third in the country in 2-point field-goal percentage (.595).In conference play, Dayton leads the A-10 in field goal percentage (.506) and assists (18.0). Meanwhile, George Mason recently shot 41.2 percent (7-17) from 3-point range. The Patriots are 17-of-42 (.402) from deep over the past two contests and primed to light up the scoreboard again via the trey,, which gives credence to what I'm betting will be a fairly high scoring game. Note: Mason gave up 82.0 points per game and allowed opponents to shoot 46.6 percent over the first 10 games of the A-10 schedule. GEORGE MASON is 11-2 OVER L/13 versus teams who average 33 or less rebounds/game on the season after 15+games with a combined average of 152.2 ppg .DAYTON is 7-0 OVER L/7 in road games versus bad pressure defensive teams - forcing 12 or les turnovers/game after 15+ games with a combined average of 161 ppg scored. DAYTON is 10-0 OVER L/10 in February games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 156 ppg going on the scoreboard. DAYTON is 7-0 OVER after playing a road game this season with a combined average of 160. ppg scored. The two most recent meetings in this series have seen a combined average of 153 and 162 ppg scored. George Mason has gone OVER in 7 of their L/9, while Dayton has gone over in 4 straight games. CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (DAYTON) - after going over the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 58-25 OVER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (GEORGE MASON) - after going over the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 38-17 OVER L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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02-13-18 | Spurs v. Nuggets UNDER 207 | 109-117 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
Two banged up teams the San Antonio Spurs and Denver Nuggets go head to head tonight in the Mile High City. The Spurs after playing last night in Utah wont; have the legs to run and gun tonight, and with key offensive weapons Leonard and Aldridge sidelined don't have as much scoring punch as usual. Meanwhile, the Denver Nuggets , continue to play without Paul Milsap, and have a bevy of walking wounded that are playing at less than 100%, and welcome the all star break that is on the horizon. This above combination of circumstances I'm betting will result in a much lower combined score than the lines-makers expect. SAN ANTONIO is 15-7 UNDER versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season with a combined average of 200.6 ppg scored.SAN ANTONIO is 17-6 UNDER versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season with a combined average of 198.2 ppg scored. SAN ANTONIO is 21-7 UNDER when the total is 200 to 209.5 this season of 194.7 ppg scored and 13-2 UNDER in a road game where the total is 200 to 209.5 this season with a combined average of 191.7 ppg going on the board. NBA Road teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (SAN ANTONIO) - extremely tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 4 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 50-17 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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02-13-18 | Cavs v. Thunder UNDER 222 | 120-112 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
The last time these teams played they took part in wild 148-124 shootout, that saw the Thunder shoot 58%+ FG, and the Cavs 51%.. However, it seems both coaches were not happy with their own defenses, especially the Cavs Lue, and now I expect he makes sure his team is ready to be more physical, and more defensively responsible in transition, which I'm betting makes this a slower game than many expect. CLEVELAND in their L/21 in road games revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more have seen a combined average score of 217.2 ppg scored. OKLAHOMA CITY is 21-8 L/29 UNDER against Central division opponents with a combined average of 204.2 ppg scored.OKLAHOMA CITY is 18-8 UNDER when the total is greater than or equal to 220. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more are 34-7 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 217.6 ppg scored. NBA Road teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (CLEVELAND) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off a road win are 42-14 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 755 conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 215.7 ppg. Play UNDER |
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02-13-18 | Rockets v. Wolves UNDER 222.5 | 126-108 | Loss | -101 | 4 h 50 m | Show | |
We all now how explosive Houston's offense is, but many do not notice that they are defensively efficient , as they rank 9th in the NBA in defensive efficiency. ie Defensive Rating (available since the 1973-74 season in the NBA); for players and teams it is points allowed per 100 possessions. Recently the Rockets have been tough on opposing offenses holding 3 of their L/6 opponents to 97 points or less. Meanwhile, Minnesota despite of taking part in a lot of higher scoring affairs this season, remarkably owns the 23rd ranked pace, and tonight, I expect they will be even more deliberate in their approach, vs a powerful offense. With that said, and according to both teams expected style of play, and road vs home scenarios I'm betting on a total score that does not eclipse this total. Rockets are 5-0-1 UNDER last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 9-1 in Rockets last 10 vs. Western Conference.Under is 10-3-1 in Rockets last 14 road games.Under is 34-15-2 in Rockets last 51 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 5-2 in Timberwolves last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. HOUSTON is 8-0 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3 this season and 7-0 on the road with a combined average score of the away games clicking in at 206.2 ppg. HC' DAntoni is 25-4 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3 with a combined average score of 213.9 ppg on the board. HOUSTON is 16-4 UNDER in road games after playing 2 consecutive home games with a combined average of 215.3 ppg scored. HOUSTON is 32-11 UNDER L/43 versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (MINNESOTA) - excellent FT shooting team (79% or over ) against a good FT shooting team (76-79%) after 42+ games 27-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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02-12-18 | Spurs v. Jazz OVER 196.5 | 99-101 | Win | 100 | 4 h 13 m | Show | |
San Antonio is banged up with some key injuries but still have enough talent to put some points on the board here and keep track with the red hot Utah Jazz a team that is averaging 117.6 ppg in offense over the L/7 games during their 9 game win streak. Considering the Jazz played last night I doubt they will be prepared to play a lot of defense here and I'm anticipating a much more wide open game because of this. With that said, I'm recommending we take an over stance in this spot. UTAH is 21-7 OVER L/28 against Southwest division opponents with a combined average of 204.5 ppg on the scoreboard. SAN ANTONIO is 13-4 OVER L/19 with a combined average of 200.1 ppg scored in a road game where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points. NBA teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (UTAH) - hot team - having won 8 or more of their last 10 games, playing on back-to-back days are 37-10 OVER L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 201 ppg going on the board. Play OVER |
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02-11-18 | Cincinnati v. SMU UNDER 128 | 76-51 | Win | 100 | 6 h 58 m | Show | |
The SMU Mustangs enter this key game at home missing junior guard Shake Milton (hand injury), who is averaging 18.0 points and was named conference preseason player of the year by the AAC's coaches. Facing the stifling D of the Cincinnati Bearcats without him will be extremely difficult, and their offensive flow will be effected and mute the Mustangs ability to score consistently. Even if Milton plays he won't be 100% and less effective than usual. No matter what the case is , I also expect this to be a very physical game, which will also effect the combined score of this tilt to low side of the Total. Note: SMU is also down to only seven available scholarship players after junior guard Jarrey Foster (knee) and freshman forward Everett Ray (foot) were lost for the season to injuries. CINCINNATI is 10-2 UNDER L/12 in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season of 125.2 ppg scored.CINCINNATI is 8-1 UNDER L/9 in road games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less after 15+ games with a combined average of 117.8 ppg scored. CINCINNATI is 15-4 UNDER L/19 versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game are with a combined average of 122 ppg scored.CINCINNATI is 7-0 UNDER L/7 as a road favorite of 6.5 to 12 points with a combined average of 110.6 ppg going on the board. CBB All teams where the total is between 120 and 129.5 points (CINCINNATI) - off 3 straight wins against conference rivals, a top-level team (80% or better ) playing a team with a winning record are 81-34 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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02-10-18 | Miami-FL v. Boston College OVER 144.5 | 70-72 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 17 m | Show | |
My projections make this total closer to 149, and thus I am recommending a OVER wager here. Boton College has really upped their offensive output of late pouring down 80 points or more in 3 straight games and are averaging 81+ ppg at home this season, and despite of Miami Fl have a viable D, they will be hard pressed to hold BC to under 75 points here which bodes well for this score eclipsing the number. Note: The Canes have scored 80 or more points in back to back games, and can run and gun with the best of teams in this conference if need be, something I'm betting they will need to today to keep up here. MIAMI is 6-0 OVER when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season with a combined average of 161.5 ppg scored.MIAMI is 7-0 OVER (+7.0 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games this season with a combined average of 162.4 ppg scored. BOSTON COLLEGE is 15-4 OVER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games with a combined average of 157.9 ppg going on the board. BOSTON COLLEGE is 10-2 OVER (+7.8 Units) in home games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or better with a combined average of 152.7 ppg scored. BOSTON COLLEGE is 14-2 OVER L/16 as a home underdog or pick with a combined average of 155.7 ppg going on the board. BOSTON COLLEGE is 18-4 OVER in all home games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 151.8 ppg scored. CBB Road teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (MIAMI) - an good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after a combined score of 165 points or more are 66-27 OVER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 151.7 ppg scored. CBB Home teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (BOSTON COLLEGE) - after going over the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 68-35 OVER L/21 seasons for a 66% conversion rate with a combined average of 149.7 ppg scored. CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (BOSTON COLLEGE) - in a game involving two good offensive teams (74-78 PPG), after a combined score of 175 points or more are 31-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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02-08-18 | Mavs v. Warriors UNDER 221 | 103-121 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 2 m | Show | |
The Dallas Mavericks visit a tired looking Golden State Warriors team on Thursday night that has lost 3 of their L/4 overall. The last time the Mavs came to town the Warriors took a 112-97 win and I'm expecting a similar output tonight. Note: Dallas has gone under in 7 of their L/8 while, the Dubs have gone under in 3 straight tilts. GOLDEN STATE is 9-1 UNDER L/10 when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) - 2nd half of the season dating back to last season with a combined average of 217.4 ppg scored.DALLAS is 15-7 UNDER versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season with a combined average of 207.2 ppg going on the board. DALLAS is 21-11 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average of 204 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE is 19-7 UNDER L/26 after 3 or more consecutive unders dating back to last season with the combined average score of 215.3 ppg going on the board. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (GOLDEN STATE) - excellent FT shooting team (79% or better) against a good FT shooting team (76-79%) after 42+ games are 27-5 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 210.9 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (GOLDEN STATE) - excellent free throw shooting team - making 80% or more of their free throws, in February games are 43-14 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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02-08-18 | Hornets v. Blazers OVER 213 | 103-109 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
Portland as the season has progressed has reverted back to their old run and gun style of play and has improved its offensive production now ranking 15th in the NBA in offensive rating (105.2). The Blazers' defense has also gotten progressively worse and after being in the top 10 for a long time and are now ranked 11th at 104.9. ppg. Meanwhile, Charlotte ranks 18th in points allowed, and 14th in offense, with a combined average of 212.8 ppg scored. (106.4 ppg in both categories). From matchup perspective and a projections system I have used for 14 years, I'm expecting both sides to play a faster paced game then usual, and for the this combined score to eclipse the number. My projection has both sides scoring more than 105 points each- Note: PORTLAND is 20-0 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 230 ppg going on the board.CHARLOTTE is 49-2 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game with a combined average of 230.3 ppg scored. PORTLAND is 23-11 OVER L/34 versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last few seasons with a combined average score of 226.4 ppg clicking in on the board. PORTLAND is 12-2 OVER L/14 after 2 straight games where they attempted 90 or more shots with a combined average score of 223.3 ppg being registered. Over is 4-0 in Trail Blazers last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Over is 4-1 in Hornets last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. PORTLAND is 23-11 OVER (+10.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons HC Stotts is 8-0 OVER L/8 vs. dominant rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 5+ per game - 2nd half of the season with a combined average score of 219.8 ppg scored.
Play OVER |
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02-08-18 | Knicks v. Raptors UNDER 213 | 88-113 | Win | 100 | 3 h 19 m | Show | |
The Knicks enter this game having lost four games in a row and seven of their last nine and are obviously in bad form, and to make matters worse they have to play without a key offensive cog because of an injury to Porzingis and also to guard Ron Baker (right shoulder surgery) and center Enes Kanter (oral surgery). If Tim Hardaway Jr. plays for NYK he has been fairly unproductive and rusty and won't help their offensive cause much. This will of course effect the Knicks offensive flow tonight vs one of the leagues top teams the Toronto Raptors , which in turn will effect the total combined score of this tilt in downward fashion. The Knicks know they have to find a way to slow this game down and make it physical, and that's what I'm betting they will do which will aid us in cashing an under bet here. The Four most recent meetings in this series have all not eclipsed this Total. Under is 6-0 in Knicks last 6 overall.Under is 8-2 in Knicks last 10 vs. NBA Atlantic.Under is 8-2 in Knicks last 10 vs. NBA Atlantic. TORONTO is 16-7 UNDER versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts this season with a combined average of 207.4 ppg scored. TORONTO is 8-1 UNDER after a division game this season with a combined average of 198.7 ppg going on the board. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (TORONTO) - revenging a loss vs opponent, off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more are 34-8 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors . Play UNDER |
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02-08-18 | Marist v. St. Peter's UNDER 133 | 66-70 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
My own number ( total ) on this game is closer to 127.5 thus giving us value on a under wager in this spot. St.Peters in their 5 most recent games have not scored more than 60 points with their average offensive output during that time clicking in at 58 ppg. St.Peter's sets a deliberate pace, and once again will dictate the speed of this game, which I'm betting will be slow and grinding. ST PETERS is 11-2 UNDER L/13 versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season after 15+ games dating back to last season with a combined average of 123.8 ppg scored. CBB teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points (MARIST) - after allowing 45 points or more in the first half last game against opponent after scoring 65 points or less 5 straight games are 59-25 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors with the combined average score of 128.3 ppg scored. CBB teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points (MARIST) - after a blowout loss by 20 points or more against opponent after scoring 65 points or less 5 straight games are 25-7 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 126.5 ppg scored. Play on the UNDER |
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02-07-18 | UNLV v. Nevada UNDER 163.5 | 86-78 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 44 m | Show | |
UNLV is coming in to this tilt vs instate rival Nevada off a heartbreaking overtime loss at Boise State (93-91) on Saturday and will be in a letdown spot at the worst possible time. This situation I'm betting will see the Rebels offensive production curtailed and effect their offensive flow which in effect will slow this game down a bit for both sides, which in turn will result in a lower scoring tilt then the lines-makers expect. UNLV is 41-22 UNDER L/63 in road games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more of their attempts.UNLV is 18-5 UNDER L/23 in road games after scoring 75 points or more 3 straight games with a combined average score of 144.7 ppg scored. UNLV in their L/14 road games dating back to last season have seen a combined average of 152.4 ppg go on the board. NEVADA in their L/7 i home games in February games over the last few seasons have seen a combined average score of 152.4 ppg scored. NEVADA in their L/24 as a home favorite or pick over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average score of 155 ppg. NEVADA in their L/9 versus good foul drawing teams - attempting 25 or more free throws/game have seen a combined average of 156.6 ppg go on the board. CBB teams where the total is between 160 and 169.5 points (NEVADA) - hot team - having won 15 or more of their last 20 games, top level team, winning 80% or more of their games on the season are 39-12 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. CBB teams where the total is between 160 and 169.5 points (UNLV) - after 2 straight games making 50% of their shots or better are 171-97 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play UNDER |
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02-07-18 | Rockets v. Heat UNDER 211.5 | 109-101 | Win | 100 | 9 h 60 m | Show | |
The Rockets are off a win in Brooklyn last night by a 123-113 count and now prepare to visit the Miami Heat on Wednesday night at AmericanAirlines Arena . The Rockets now on tired legs just won't have as much energy to run and gun as they usually do . Add to that they will play a very physical defensive side, lead by Hassan Whiteside, that are well equipped to slow the Rockets down. With that said, I won't be surprised if the visitors produce below their season offensive average in this spot. On the flipside, the Heat ranked 28th in pace and 5th in defensive efficiency, and off a couple of dubious lackluster defensive performances, will be primed to bounce back and play solid D, in a building where they have held 3 of their L/4 opponents to 91 point or less. Houston must also not be underestimated in their ability to play solid D, as they have held 5 of their L/10 opponents to 99 or less points and rank 9th in the league in defensive rating. The above combinations bode well for this score staying on the low side of the Total. Note: Miami in 7 of their L/15 overall have seen them and their opponents fail to eclipse the 99 point plateau in a game. MIAMI is 8-0 UNDER versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game this season with a combined average of 193.2 ppg scored. The last two meetings between these teams here in Miami have remained on the low side of the number. Under is 10-2 in Rockets last 12 overall.Under is 6-1 in Rockets last 7 road games.Under is 35-15-2 in Rockets last 52 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Under is 5-1 in Heat last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (MIAMI) - after 4 or more consecutive losses against opponent after 4 or more consecutive wins are 40-11 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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02-06-18 | UCF v. Cincinnati UNDER 122.5 | 40-77 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
When these two teams squared off earlier this season, Cincinnati won 49-38 at CFE Arena.UCF is third in the nation, holding opponents to 60.6 points per game. Meanwhile, Cincinnati is ranked 2ne holding teams to 56.8 ppg and just 55.8 ppg at home. I'm expecting more points from both teams this time around , but I'm betting this tilt still falls below the Total. I know that UCF is without 7'6 Tacko Fall, after getting injured but the Knights D, is still viable enough to turn this into a physical battle in the paint and slow transitional affair. UCF is 10-0 UNDER \L/10 when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 80% or better ) dating back to last season with a combined average of 115.8 ppg scored.UCF is 10-1 UNDER L/11 versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game with a combined average score of 111.1 ppg scored.CINCINNATI is 14-4 UNDER L/18 versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game with a combined average of 122.7 ppg scored. These teams have a history of slow physical low scoring games with 8 of the L/9 meetings remaining on the low side of the Total with the 3 most recent meetings seeing a combined average score of 100 ppg scored ( 49-38 , 53-49, 60-50) . Rinse and repeat on the under. CBB Home teams where the total is between 120 and 129.5 points (CINCINNATI) - after 3 or more consecutive wins, a top-level team (80% or more ) playing a team with a winning record are 60-24 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average score of 121.7 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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02-05-18 | West Virginia v. Oklahoma UNDER 169 | 75-73 | Win | 100 | 13 h 19 m | Show | |
HC Huggins and his West Virginia group finally played the defense their capable of playing last time out in a lopsided 89-51 weekend defeat of Kansas State. The Mountaineers played hard in that game and exerted a lot of energy and will now approach this dangerous offensive opponent with a conservative mind set on tired legs and in a defensive posture , which will result in both team outputs being curtailed. Meanwhile, Oklahoma high paced attack is also off a hard fought physical loss to Texas last time out, and will also be in tired legs, which I'm also betting will effect their overall flow and output in this spot, despite of playing with revenge tonight. With that said, I'm expecting a grueling affair, that won't have the offensive fireworks that the public expects thanks to the hype associated with media darlings like Trae Young in this spot. The Mountaineers edged the Sooners, 89-76, in the season’s first meeting on Jan. 6 in Morgantown with a total of 167 points scored. I won't be surprised by a similar total output this time around in a rinse and repeat situation. W VIRGINIA is 7-0 UNDER L/7 versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 84+ points/game with a combined average of 154.4 ppg.W VIRGINIA is 16-6 UNDER as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick with a combined average of 130 ppg scored. W VIRGINIA is 10-2 UNDER versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots this season with a combined average of 144.8 ppg scored. W VIRGINIA is 6-0 UNDER when the total is 160 or more over the last few seasons with a combined average of 151.1 ppg scored. OKLAHOMA is 9-1 UNDER L/10 off a road loss against a conference rival with a combined average of 139 ppg going on the board.OKLAHOMA is 26-9 UNDER L/35 at home when the line is +3 to -3 with a combined average score of 133.8 ppg going on the board.W VIRGINIA is 26-9 UNDER L/35 after a blowout win by 30 points or more with a combined average of 141.1 ppg scored. CBB teams where the total is between 160 and 169.5 points (OKLAHOMA) - after 2 straight games making 50% of their shots or better are 170-97 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. CBB teams where the total is between 160 and 169.5 points (OKLAHOMA) - playing with one or less days rest are 384-244 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play UNDER |
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02-05-18 | Jazz v. Pelicans UNDER 215.5 | 133-109 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 20 m | Show | |
Utah is suddenly playing top tier hoops again as is evident by 5 straight wins. Their current top form must be attributed to their ability to play a very strong brand of defensive basketball that has resulted in allowing 4 of their L/5 opponents to score less than 99 points. This type of D, has been a mainstay of Jazz basketball for a while, and their now in a groove and closely following their regiment. I know that the Pelicans have continued to play fairly high scoring games, despite of losing DeMarcus Cousns to an injury, but their flow I'm betting will be inhibited tonight by a side that knows exactly how to slow opponents down, behind a 25th ranked pace and the 4th best D in the league. Utah HC Snyder is 28-15 UNDER L/43 versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game - 2nd half of the season with a combined average of 194.6 ppg scored. NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (UTAH) - after beating the spread by more than 6 points in three consecutive games are 45-17 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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02-05-18 | Wizards v. Pacers UNDER 213.5 | 111-102 | Win | 100 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
Washington enters this game starting to shore up their defensive play and have held 3 of their L/6 opponents under the 98 point mark and overall rank in the upper half of the NBA defensive numbers . Meanwhile, Indiana ha held 8 of their L/16 opponents to 99 points or less behind the 17th ranked pace. With that said, and considering my own power ranking matchup projections the lines-makers are slightly over weighted on the Total and thus I'm betting we have value with an under wager in this spot. Indiana has gone under 17 of their L/28 home games this season. Washington has gone under in 17 of their 26 road games during this campaign. The combined average score of Wizards road games clicks in at a combined average of 210 ppg, while Indiana's home games have seen a combined average of 211.3 ppg. The two most recent games these teams have played here in Indiana have not eclipsed this total, and I'm once again betting on this Number not being breached. WASHINGTON is 16-7 UNDER L/23 after a game where they covered the spread this season with a combined average of 209.2 ppg scored. r INDIANA is 25-9 UNDER L/34 in home games when playing against a team with a winning record with a combined average 205.3 ppg scored. INDIANA is 11-3 UNDER in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season with a combined average of 202.2 ppg scored.INDIANA is 19-8 UNDER L/27 at home when the line is +3 to -3 with a combined average of 208 ppg scored. NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (WASHINGTON) - after beating the spread by more than 6 points in three consecutive games are 45-17 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (WASHINGTON) - after beating the spread by more than 6 points in three consecutive games are 55-20 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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02-03-18 | Pelicans v. Wolves UNDER 221 | 107-118 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
New Orleans after losing DeMarcus Cousins for the seasons with a Achilles injury are now Short-handed going in to this tilt against the Wolves . The Pelicans did manage to shore up their bench by acquiring Forward Nikola Mirotic from the Bulls and is expected to make his debut for New Orleans tonight. But his presence I'm betting slows down the offensive flow of the Pelicans that they had with Anthony and Cousins patrolling the hardwood. From my own projections which considers the new personnel I'm estimating that the Pelicans will score in the 100 point range , and attempt between 81 and 87 shots, which has resulted in them combining with their opponents to average 206.8 ppg in the recent past. Meanwhile, Minnesota despite of being able to put points on the board in bunches, have shown that they have the flashes of having the ability to play solid defense as well, behind the 24th ranked pace in the league, which has resulted in them going under in 4 straight games, allowing two of their L/4 opponents to 97 and 87 points respectively. The combination of Minnesota's concerted focus on playing better D, and the Pelicans getting acclimated to playing without key cogs and new pieces will culminate in tilt that stays under the total. NEW ORLEANS is 9-1 UNDER L/10 in road games versus teams - allowing an overall shooting pct defense of 46% or worse - 2nd half of the season dating back to their last campaign, with the combined average score of 207.9 ppg scored.NEW ORLEANS is 10-1 UNDER in road games off an upset win as a road underdog with a combined average of 199.6 ppg scored. ( The Pelicans upset Thunder 114-110 L/time out) MINNESOTA is 13-3 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive unders this season. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (MINNESOTA) - excellent FT shooting team (79% or more ) against a good FT shooting team (76-79%) after 42+ games are 26-4 OVER L/21 seasons, for a 87% conversion rate for bettors ( with a combined average of 210.6 ppg going on the board). Play UNDER |
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02-03-18 | Rockets v. Cavs UNDER 231 | 120-88 | Win | 100 | 6 h 38 m | Show | |
When we think of the Houston Rockets we get the image of a run and gun offensive team that plays with one way reckless abandon. While their are times when they do look like this kind of side, overall this is not a true picture of what they have been trying to achieve or the way they play . Overall the Rockets are ranked 10th in the league in defensive efficiency, and on the road of late have held 5 of their L/9 opponents to under 99 points or less. Overall thanks to a decent defensive posture they have also seen 8 of their L/10 games remain on the low side of the number. On the road this season the Rockets have seen a combined average of 209.6 ppg scored. Now we enter this game against a Cleveland team, playing for the most part aggressive offensive ball while looking like pylons on defense. The Cavs did however, come out last time out, and show us some metal in a 91-89 win vs Miami, and now on a couple of days rest, should be well prepared to use that winning formula for this top tier non conference showdown in a game I have pegged at staying under the slightly bloated public total.
HOUSTON is 23-11 UNDER L/34 versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season with a combined average of 219.8 ppg scored. CLEVELAND in their L/42 versus teams - allowing 106+ points/game have seen an average of 224.7 ppg scored. Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (CLEVELAND) - excellent FT shooting team (79% or more ) against a good FT shooting team (76-79%) after 42+ games are 26-4 L/21 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 201.6 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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02-03-18 | Tennessee Tech v. Eastern Illinois UNDER 135 | 71-79 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. CBB Home teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points (E ILLINOIS) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (67-74 PPG), after scoring 60 points or less 3 straight games are 31-7 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors, with a combined average of 124 ppg going on the board. CBB teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points (E ILLINOIS) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after scoring 60 points or less 3 straight games 48-16 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 126.5 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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02-03-18 | Montana State v. Northern Colorado OVER 149 | 63-86 | Push | 0 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. N COLORADO is 8-1 OVER L/9 in home games when playing against a team with a winning record with a combined average of 156 ppg going on the board. MONTANA ST is 10-1 OVER L/11 when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 157.9 ppg scored.N COLORADO is 6-0 OVER in home games against conference opponents this season with a combined average of 166.6 ppg scored. CBB All teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points MONTANA ST/(N COLORADO) - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (60 or more shots/game) after 15+ games are 126-66 OVER dating back 5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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02-03-18 | Oklahoma State v. Kansas OVER 148.5 | 84-79 | Win | 100 | 4 h 57 m | Show | |
My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.
OKLAHOMA ST is 6-0 OVER L/6 versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 18 or less free throws/game with a combined average score of 172.8 ppg scored. KANSAS is 29-11 OVER L/40 in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games going back over multiple seasons with a combined average of 159.2 ppg scored. The last two meetings in this series have seen 175 , and 167 total combined points go on the scoreboard. CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (OKLAHOMA ST) - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (60 or more shots/game) after 15+ games are 126-66 OVER L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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02-01-18 | Middle Tennessee v. Old Dominion UNDER 130 | 66-59 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
The Blue Raiders and Monarchs prepare to meet in a game that I have pegged for a defensive battle on Thursday.These are the two best statistical defenses in the conference this season, ODU giving up just 62.9 points per game and MT 64.9 |
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01-31-18 | West Virginia v. Iowa State OVER 147.5 | 77-93 | Win | 100 | 9 h 22 m | Show | |
My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. |
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01-31-18 | Louisville v. Virginia UNDER 123.5 | 64-74 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. Louisville enters this game off a 97 point out and win vs Wake Forest last time out, but now go against a staunch physical Virginia D, that will be out to ruin their flow and make them more manageable to control. Meanwhile, Virginia will be in a letdown spot , and on tired legs after taking out Duke on the weekend in a grueling 65-63 win , which should see them even more methodical than usual. VIRGINIA is 9-1 UNDER versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots this season and is 12-2 UNDER L/14 versus excellent teams - shooting 45% or mote with a defense of 42% or better .LOUISVILLE is 6-0 UNDER L/6 versus very good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 39% or better. Note: Louisville has not scored more than 60 points in any of their six meetings with the Cavaliers since joining the ACC. Virginia currently leads the country in scoring defense, allowing (52.1). Rinse and repeat are on tonight's agenda in what I'm betting is a combined total that remains on the low side of the number. VIRGINIA is 10-0 UNDER L/10 after a win by 6 points or less and is 8-0 UNDER off a road win against a conference rival with both combined totals well below this offered number. Play on the UNDER Play UNDER |
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01-30-18 | Thunder v. Wizards UNDER 219.5 | 96-102 | Win | 100 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
The Washington Wizards tried to run and gun with the red hot Oklahoma City Thunder on the road last week and lost by a 121-111 count. Now in the rematch, I'm betting the Wizards slow things down a little bit, as they play without star guard John Wall in the lineup. This combination of expected strategy and key cog missing will see their flow curtailed, which will also effect their offensive output here , which in turn will effect the total combined score falling on the low side of the number. OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-0 UNDER L/8 in road games on Tuesday nights. ( This could just be an anomaly but still worth noting) OKLAHOMA CITY is also 19-5 UNDER after 3 straight games where they made 47% of their shots or better with a combined average of 204 ppg scored. OKLAHOMA CITY is 12-2 UNDER L/14 after 5 or more consecutive overs with a combined average of 192.1 ppg scored. Under is 25-12 in Thunder last 37 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 11-5-1 in Wizards last 17 vs. Western Conference. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 219.5/ 220 (WASHINGTON) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more are 34-7 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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01-29-18 | East Tennessee State v. The Citadel UNDER 164 | 73-71 | Win | 100 | 12 h 1 m | Show | |
E.Tenn State is a fine all around team, but their defense is particuallary tough, as is evident by allowing just 65 ppg on average. I know Citadel is a wide open run and gun team, but I'm betting E.Tennessee will slow them down , and conservatively and systematically wear them down as the game progresses( something they do very well). This type of game plan should lead to much lower scoring game than the lines-makers anticipate. E TENN ST is 10-1 UNDER L/11 in road games after scoring 75 points or more 2 straight games with a combined average of 140.2 ppg scored. E TENN ST is 6-0 UNDER L/6 versus struggling defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game and is 7-0 UNDER L/7 versus struggling teams - outscored by their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games .THE CITADEL is 6-0 UNDER L/6 off a win against a conference rival with a combined average of 154 ppg scored. CBB teams where the total is between 160 and 169.5 points (THE CITADEL) - poor team - outscored by their opponents by 4+ points/game, after trailing their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half are 33-13 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. CBB teams where the total is greater than or equal to 160 (E TENN ST) - hot team - having won 15 or more of their last 20 games, top level team, winning 80% or more of their games on the season are 43-14 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for Totals bettors. Play UNDER |
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01-28-18 | Washington State v. Washington OVER 148 | 62-80 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 36 m | Show | |
My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.
CBB Road teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (WASHINGTON ST) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3.5 PPG differential.), after allowing 40 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 30-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 152.3 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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01-28-18 | Northern Iowa v. Loyola-Chicago UNDER 127.5 | 47-70 | Win | 100 | 7 h 60 m | Show | |
My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. When these teams played back on Jan 7 they combined for 107 points in a Loyola Chicago win by a 57-50 count. I'm expecting another physical affair, that results in a rinse and repeat situation. N IOWA is 11-3 UNDER L/14 when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 80% or better ) with a combined average score of 122.8 ppg going on the scoreboard. N IOWA is 8-1 UNDER versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game after 15+ games with a combined average score of 114 ppg scored. N IOWA is 9-1 UNDER L/10 in road games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game with a combined average score of 120.1 ppg scored. LOYOLA-IL is 10-2 UNDER L/12 in home games versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game after 15+ games with a combined average of 123.1 ppg scored. N IOWA is 17-4 UNDER L/21 in road games revenging a same season loss vs opponent with a combined average of 125.5 ppg scored. N IOWA is 7-0 UNDER L/7 in road games after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread with a combined average of 117.2 ppg. CBB Home teams where the total is 129.5 or less (LOYOLA-IL) - after 4 or more consecutive wins, a top-level team ( 80% or better ) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are 23-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for totals bettors with a combined average score of 116.9 ppg scored. CBB teams where the total is between 120 and 129.5 points (N IOWA) - off a home win against a conference rival against opponent off a road win by 10 points or more are 75-40 UNDER L/5 seasons with the combined average score of 121.7 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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01-28-18 | Seton Hall v. DePaul OVER 147.5 | 86-70 | Win | 100 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.
Seton Hall has averaged 78.3 ppg on offense this season, and matchup well enough against DePaul to stay in that range here today according to my own projections. Note: SETON HALL is 50-13 OVER L/63 when they score 75 to 80 points. SETON HALL is 16-6 OVER L/22 in road games versus up-tempo teams averaging 62 or more shots/game with a combined average of 150.1 ppg scored. CBB All teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (SETON HALL) - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (60 shots/game or more) after 15+ games are 116-60 OVER L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate with a combined average of 152.2 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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01-28-18 | Suns v. Rockets OVER 226.5 | 102-113 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 38 m | Show | |
The Rockets have no problem scoring points in bunches behind an explosive offense that averages 116.8 ppg at home this season, but its their defensive performances that are most troubling, as is evident by allowing 108.8 ppg as hosts. Needless to say, the Rockets are a one way offensive juggernaut and nothing will change today vs the visiting Phoenix Suns. The Suns are allowing more than 112 ppg this season, while the offense, has averaged 106.8 ppg on the road ranking last in the NBA overall and also own the 4th fastest pace . This according to my own projections results in a high scoring affair that eclipses this fairly high but beatable Total. My own estimates suggest that the Rockets will meet their season average offensive output of around 117 points today, which is a good omen for a over wager cashing as the Rockets 46-13 OVER when they score 117 or more points in a game with the combined average score clicking in at 236 ppg scored. PHOENIX is 9-1 OVER L/10 as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points wit a combined average score of 236.4 ppg scored. HOUSTON is 11-1 OVER as a home favorite of 12.5 to 18 points with a combined average of 145.3 ppg going on the board. PHOENIX is 14-3 OVER L/17 versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game of 130.6 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (HOUSTON) - in a game involving two good FT shooting teams (76-79%) after 42+ games, in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game) are 34-8 OVER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 234.4 ppg scored. Play on the OVER |
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01-27-18 | Colorado State v. New Mexico OVER 148.5 | 65-80 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 21 m | Show | |
My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. |
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01-27-18 | Celtics v. Warriors UNDER 220 | 105-109 | Win | 100 | 7 h 16 m | Show | |
The Celtics in a grueling physical game took out the Golden State Warriors 92-88 in a home win in November. With that template having proven successful last time out, I'm betting on the Celtics preparing to play a similar type conservative affair. Boston's guards limited Golden State's super star backcourt duo of Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson to a total of 22 points on 8-for-32 shooting in that game. I'm betting on a rinse and repeat situation here tonight in a much lower scoring game than the pundits might expect. BOSTON is 10-1 UNDER L/11 when the total is greater than or equal to 220 and is 9-1 UNDER when the total is 220 to 229.5. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (BOSTON) - after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more are 33-7 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (GOLDEN STATE) - excellent FT shooting team (79% or more ) against a good FT shooting team (76-79%) after 42+ games are 25-4 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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01-27-18 | St. Joe's v. Pennsylvania OVER 143 | 56-67 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 23 m | Show | |
My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. |
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01-27-18 | Texas-Arlington v. Georgia Southern OVER 149 | 59-74 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 26 m | Show | |
My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. |
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01-27-18 | Northern Illinois v. Western Michigan OVER 143 | 72-79 | Win | 100 | 16 h 26 m | Show | |
My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. |
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01-27-18 | Fairfield v. Quinnipiac UNDER 147.5 | 70-75 | Win | 100 | 15 h 19 m | Show | |
My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. |
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01-26-18 | Knicks v. Suns OVER 217 | 107-85 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
This game between the visiting NY Knicks and their hosts the Phoenix Suns has the makings of a run and gun all out offensive affair. The Suns behind the 4th ranked pace in the NBA are lead by explosive offensive guard Devin Booker who is averaging 24.8 points a game but also own a lackluster D allowing 112.2 ppg the worst mark in the league. With this their first game home after an extended road trip, I'm betting they will be ready to take off here in their own digs. Note: Over is 19-7-1 in Suns last 27 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.Meanwhile, the Knicks are allowing 110.3 ppg on the road this season, and are consistently taking part in back and forth wide open tilts as is evident by going over the Total in 9 straight and 11 of their L/12 games overall with the average combined score clicking in at 223.5 ppg . The Knicks are also on tired legs as they played last night, and won't have the energy to play physically in what should be a loosely played game. Over is 18-5 in Knicks last 23 games playing on no rest. NEW YORK is 10-1 OVER L/11 after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games this season with a combined average score of 224 ppg scored. NEW YORK is 7-0 OVER versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average score of 228.8 ppg scored. PHOENIX is 23-11 OVER L/34 versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or less assists/game with a combined average of 225.5 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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01-26-18 | Oakland v. Northern Kentucky UNDER 157.5 | 83-70 | Win | 100 | 14 h 47 m | Show | |
Northern Kentucky can score in bunches, but what makes them such a strong team is their ability to play shutdown defense , especially at home where they have allowed an average of just 58 ppg. I'm betting Oakland despite of owning a solid attack, will find their flow curtailed here, which will effect their output which in turn will influence the Total combined score of this tilt to a lower combined score than the lines-makers are estimating. N KENTUCKY is 17-8 UNDER L/25 versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game with a combined average score of 141.3 ppg scored.OAKLAND is 10-2 UNDER in road games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game with a combined average score of 146.7 ppg scored. CBB Home teams against the total (N KENTUCKY) - a very good team (+8 PPG diff. or more ) against an average team (+/- 3.5 PPG diff.) after 15 or more games, after scoring 40 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are 82-45 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 65\% conversion rate for totals bettors on the blind. CBB Road teams against the total (OAKLAND) - off a road no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 80%) 66-31 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the UNDER |
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01-25-18 | Troy State v. Louisiana-Monroe UNDER 139.5 | 71-76 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
LA Monroe is struggling to score, as is evident by a 48,52, and 55 point offensive outputs in their \L/3games. LA Monroe 's saving grace to some extent has been a decent D, that allows just 61.3 ppg on home this season . With that said, I'm expecting LA Monroe to try to slow this game down to grind, in an effort to control Troy's more aggressive offense, which I'm betting effects this total combined score to stay under. LA-MONROE is 13-5 UNDER versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games. Home teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points (LA-MONROE) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (67-74 PPG), after scoring 60 points or less 3 straight games are 31-6 UNDER L/5 seasons 84% conversion rate for Totals bettors. Play UNDER |
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01-24-18 | Colorado State v. San Diego State OVER 144 | 78-97 | Win | 100 | 13 h 38 m | Show | |
My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. COLORADO ST is 6-0 OVER as a road underdog or pick this season with combined average of 156 ppg scored Colorado State HC .Eustachy is 12-1 OVER in his career after playing a game as a home underdog with a combined average of 158.8 ppg scored and is 12-3 OVER in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game with a combined average score of 153.7 ppg scored. All teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (SAN DIEGO ST/Colorado State ) - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (60 or more shots/game) after 15+ games are 114-60 OVER L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for Totals bettors on the blind. ( the combined average score of these tilts was 151.9 ppg. Play OVER
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01-24-18 | Air Force v. Utah State OVER 141 | 49-71 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 50 m | Show | |
My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. AIR FORCE is 9-1 OVER in January games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 153 ppg scored. The L/7 meetings in this series have gone OVER. CBB teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (AIR FORCE) - after going over the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team. are 52-19 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for Totals bettors. Play OVER |
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01-24-18 | South Dakota State v. South Dakota UNDER 158 | 68-87 | Win | 100 | 10 h 31 m | Show | |
My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. CBB teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (S DAKOTA ST) - off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival against opponent off a road win by 10 points or more are 51-19 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for totals bettors. Play UNDER
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01-24-18 | Louisville v. Miami-FL UNDER 138.5 | 75-78 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. MIAMI is 14-5 UNDER L/19 versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season with a combined average score of 132 ppg scored. MIAMI is 8-0 UNDER L/8 in home games after a combined score of 165 points or more vs NC State last time out in a 86-81 road win and 12-1 UNDER off a road win with a combined average of 132.8 ppg scored.LOUISVILLE is 8-1 UNDER after 4 or more consecutive wins dating back to last seasons with a combined average score of 132.6 ppg scored. Play UNDER
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01-24-18 | Pelicans v. Hornets UNDER 224 | 101-96 | Win | 100 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
The Pelicans enter this game having seen a combined average of 217.4 ppg scored on the road this season. Meanwhile, Charlotte has seen a combined average score of 211.5 ppg go on the board in their home games this season. These averages and a head to head matchup systems analysis has me projecting a total closer to 218.5 to 220, which gives us value on making a UNDER wager in this spot. The discrepancy between my numbers in the offered total is partially based on series history which has seen both sides take part in a high scoring affairs. But the lines-makers have stretched this number to its outer limits and there is value on the under considering my projections. NEW ORLEANS is 21-8 UNDER L/29 in road games when playing against a team with a losing record with the combined average of 207.9 ppg scored.CHARLOTTE is 23-12 UNDER L/35 versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game with t a combined average of 210 ppg scored. HC Clifford of Charlotte is Clifford is 21-9 UNDER in home games after a win by 6 points or less ( beat Sacramento 112-107 last time out) the combined average score of 195.1 ppg. Under is 5-1 in Pelicans last 6 vs. NBA Southeast.Under is 6-2 in Pelicans last 8 road games.Under is 10-4 in Hornets last 14 vs. Western Conference. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (CHARLOTTE) - after 1 or more consecutive wins against opponent after 2 or more consecutive wins are 37-84 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. ( The combined average score of those games was 218.7 ppg) Play UNDER |
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01-24-18 | Marquette v. Xavier UNDER 164.5 | 70-89 | Win | 100 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. CBB teams where the total is between 160 and 169.5 points (XAVIER) - hot team - having won 15 or more of their last 20 games, a top-level team (80% or better) playing a team with a winning record are 32-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for Totals bettors. Play UNDER
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01-23-18 | Duke v. Wake Forest UNDER 162.5 | 84-70 | Win | 100 | 10 h 13 m | Show | |
Wakes Forests only chance to be competitive here today vs visiting Duke, is to make this a slow precise game. I expect plenty of clock time to be burned as the Deacons look to keep the Blue Devils from running and gunning. This I'm betting leads to a lower scoring game than the lines-makers might anticipate. WAKE FOREST is 11-2 UNDER versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season with a combined average of 141 ppg going on the board. DUKE is 24-8 UNDER L/32 when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games with a combined average of 143.9 ppg scored.WAKE FOREST is 6-0 UNDER L/6 as an underdog this season with a combined average of 140.7 ppg going on the board. CBB teams where the total is between 160 and 169.5 points (DUKE) - after 2 straight games making 50% of their shots or better are 167-96 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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01-23-18 | Creighton v. St. John's UNDER 157 | 68-63 | Win | 100 | 10 h 8 m | Show | |
My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. ST JOHNS is 6-0 UNDER L/6 in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game after 15+ games over the last few seasons with a combined average of 139.1 ppg scored and is 10-2 UNDER ) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game with a combined average with a combined average of 142.3 ppg scored.CREIGHTON is 11-3 UNDER (+7.7 Units) in January games dating back to last season with a combined average of 152.2 ppg scored.ST JOHNS is 19-6 L25 UNDER as a home underdog of 3.5 to 6 points with a combined average of just 128.8 ppg going on the board. ST JOHNS is 24-8 UNDER after a combined score of 165 points or more were scored, with a combined average of 137.9 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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01-23-18 | Rider v. Fairfield UNDER 157 | 90-88 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. FAIRFIELD is 11-1 UNDER L/12 in home games versus sub par defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game with a combined average of 151.5 ppg scored.RIDER is 11-3 UNDER L/14 in road games when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 20% to 40%) with a combined average of 140.9 ppg going on the board.
CBB Home teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (FAIRFIELD) - off a home win against a conference rival against opponent off a close win by 3 points or less over a conference rival are 29-5 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for Totals bettors. Play on the UNDER Play UNDER |
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01-22-18 | West Virginia v. TCU UNDER 159 | 73-82 | Win | 100 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals .TCU wants to run and gun and Bill Huggins and company could comply, but I'm betting they won't as they choose to slow this game down and take TCU out of their comfort zone. This I'm betting leads to a score that fails to eclipse the totals number. W VIRGINIA is 9-1 UNDER L/10 versus good shooting teams - making 45%or more of their shots this season with a combined average score of 143.1 ppg going on the board.W VIRGINIA is 7-0 UNDER L/7 versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 84+ points/game with a combined average of 154.2 ppg scored.W VIRGINIA is 6-0 UNDER L/6 when the total is 159.5 160 over the last few seasons with a combined average of 153 ppg scored. ( key on the set total as the lines makers know these facts/stats as well) Still plenty of value at 159 . Home teams where the total is between 159 and 169.5 points (TCU) - up-tempo team averaging 62 or more shots/game on the season, after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher are 23-4 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 154.6 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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01-22-18 | North Carolina v. Virginia Tech UNDER 164 | 69-80 | Win | 100 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals
N CAROLINA is 7-1 UNDER in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or more of their attempts this season with a combined average of 144.9 ppg scored. CBB teams where the total is between 160 and 169.5 points (N CAROLINA) - hot team - having won 15 or more of their last 20 games, a top-level team (80% or more ) playing a team with a winning record are 31-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for totals bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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01-21-18 | Pacers v. Spurs OVER 199 | 94-86 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
Indiana is on tired legs, as they are on the tail end of a 5 game western conference road trip. Their ability to play physical defense, I'm betting will be hampered by fatigue. Meanwhile, the Spurs anxious to get back on a winning run and inflict payback for a previous loss to the Pacers earlier this season, will see the Spurs playing aggressively, and pushing the tempo of the game. This will force the Pacers to chase, and reciprocate with some offense of their own in game that I have pegged to over the set total. Note: INDIANA is 9-1 OVER L/10 in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) with a combined average of 224.8 ppg scored. Pacers offense averages 106.5 ppg this season and on the road have also averaged 105.9 ppg on average , while the defense has allowed 105.7 ppg overall and 106.5 ppg. San Antonio has scored 107 ppg at home this season, and overall have seen a combined average of 204.6 ppg. SAN ANTONIO is 18-7 OVER L/25 revenging a same season loss vs opponent with a combined average of 208.7 ppg scored. NDIANA is 22-11 OVER L/33 as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points with a combined average of 216.7 ppg going on the board. NBA Home teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (SAN ANTONIO) - a good offensive team (98-102 PPG) against a horrible defensive team (102 PPG or more ), after a game where both teams scored 90 points or less are 23-4 OVER L/21 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for totals bettors. Play OVER |
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01-21-18 | Northern Iowa v. Southern Illinois OVER 125 | 53-64 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 38 m | Show | |
My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals. S ILLINOIS is 7-0 OVER L/7 after a game where they made 20% of their 3 point shots or worse ith a combined average of 153 ppg going on the board.N IOWA is 11-3 OVER L/14 at road when the line is +3 to -3 with a combined average of 133.1 ppg scored. CBB teams where the total is between 120 and 129.5 points (S ILLINOIS) - after going over the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) 30-9 OVER L/21 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |