Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-11-22 | Indians v. Royals UNDER 8.5 | 10-7 | Loss | -104 | 4 h 10 m | Show | |
Guardians starter Civale is coming off his first winning campaign, finishing 2021 with a 12-5 record and a 3.84 ERA. He had a WHIP of 1.118 a and according to my pitcher vs batting order power ratings matches up well here vs KC. Meanwhile, another under rated Royals pitcher goes to the hill here as Hernandez proved that he belonged with a solid 2021 campaign. when he accumulated a 6-2 record along with a viable 3.68 ERA. Im betting on both these undervalued hurlers and two quality bullpens to keep this combined score on the low side of the Total. Under is 6-0 in Guardians last 6 during game 4 of a series.Under is 5-2 in Guardians last 7 games as an underdog.Under is 7-3 in Guardians last 10 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Under is 5-1 in Royals last 6 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.Under is 4-1-1 in Royals last 6 games as a home favorite.Under is 12-3-1 in Royals last 16 during game 4 of a series.Under is 4-1 in Royals last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.KANSAS CITY is 40-19 UNDER in day games over the last 2 seasons.KANSAS CITY is 26-11 UNDER vs. AL teams allowing 3.9 or less runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Kansas City. Play UNDER |
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04-10-22 | Red Sox v. Yankees UNDER 9 | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 23 m | Show | |
Montgomery the Yankees starter today has had problems with run support after the Yankees scored three runs or fewer in 15 of his starts last season.The left-hander is 1-2 with a 3.72 ERA in 11 career starts against the Red Sox and was 0-2 with a 3.29 ERA in five starts against them last season. A combination of lack of run support and his ability to be competitive on the mound give credence to an under wager especially considering Boston starter Houck is 1-1 with a 1.86 ERA in five career appearances (three starts) against the Yankees and gets my support here. Look for both viable bullpens when called upon to help keep this game on the low side of the offered number. Under is 11-4-1 in the last 16 meetings. MONTGOMERY is 21-8 UNDER when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) MONTGOMERY is 13-4 UNDER in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Under is 4-0-1 in Yankees last 5 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. Under is 11-4-1 in Yankees last 16 during game 3 of a series. Under is 5-1 in Red Sox last 6 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Under is 7-3 in Red Sox last 10 games following a loss. Play UNDER |
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04-09-22 | Marlins v. Giants OVER 7 | 2-1 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 29 m | Show | |
PABLO LOPEZ (R) vs. CARLOS RODON (L) The Giants averaged 4.96 runs per game last season, San Francisco ranked second in the NL in scoring; the Giants also ranked second in the league in runs allowed (3.67 per game) and Im betting on even greater uptick in offensive prowess and a sustained level of defensive issues. This kind of action was on display yesterday as we saw the Giants take a 6-5 decision. Today two viable pitchers with some shoulder injury issues go head to head. Im betting both wont go very long today because of this, and Im also betting on both offenses to keep chugging along as this game gets going and new pitchers come in from the bullpen. MLB Road teams (MIAMI) - first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 9+ losses in last 12 games against opponent first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 26+ wins in last 40 games are 47-16 OVER L/25 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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04-08-22 | Thunder v. Lakers UNDER 227.5 | 101-120 | Win | 100 | 17 h 37 m | Show | |
The Lakers are on tired legs after playing last night as they lost to the Warriors on the road. Note: Under is 9-2 in Lakers last 11 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes on the previous day. Meanwhile, the Thunder usually pay more attention to viable defensive play when they are on the road like they are tonight, and this combined with the Lakers exhaustion will help keep this score to the low side of the number. Under is 6-1 in Thunder last 7 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. LA LAKERS are 34-22 UNDER as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 220.1 ppg scored. OKLAHOMA CITY in 38 games as a road underdog this season have seen a combined average of 213.7 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 OKLAHOMA CITY/(LA LAKERS) - in a game involving two bad teams (25% to 40%), in April games are 28-2 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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04-08-22 | Reds v. Braves UNDER 9 | 6-7 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 16 m | Show | |
Reds will send starter Reiver Sanmartin (2-0, 1.54 in 2021) to the hill today vs the Braves . In two outing spanning four innings in spring training, the 25 year old hurler allowed just one hit and one unearned run, earning a spot in the Cincinnati rotation. Im betting on more of the same top tier action from the young thrower again. Meanwhile, 38-year-old veteran Charlie Morton is coming off one of his best seasons, as he matched his career high with 33 starts and posted an impressive 1.045 WHIP in 2021, and a (14-6, record and 3.34 ERA) and is a viable hurler, that has the ability to slow down the Reds offense. Both bullpens also look solid, based on early season projections giving us an edge on the under. Under is 7-3-2 in Reds last 12 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 9-4 in Reds last 13 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Under is 47-23-5 in Reds last 75 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. Under is 5-2 in Reds last 7 games as an underdog. BELL is 40-19 UNDER as a road underdog of +125 to +175 as the manager of CINCINNATI. MLB Home teams (ATLANTA) - first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 17+ wins in last 25 games, team that had a good record last season (54% to 62%) playing a team that had a winning record are 56-20 L/26 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings. Play UNDER |
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04-08-22 | Marlins v. Giants OVER 7.5 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
The Giants averaged 4.96 runs per game last season, San Francisco ranked second in the NL in scoring; the Giants also ranked second in the league in runs allowed (3.67 per game) and Im betting on even greater uptick in offensive prowess and a sustained level of defensive issues. Today I expect the Giants to put 5+ runs on the board based on my pitching vs offensive matchups projections, and for the Marlins to average 3+ runs, which give us an edge with a over wager. I know Alacantra the Marlins hurler is a viable pitcher, but the Giants bats matchup well against him. Giants starter Webb had a good season in 2021, but he staggered his way to an .829 OPS allowed in April, and has a history of slow starts.
MLB Road teams (MIAMI) - first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 9+ losses in last 12 games against opponent first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 26+ wins in last 40 games are 46-17 OVER L/26 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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04-07-22 | Canucks v. Coyotes OVER 6 | 5-1 | Push | 0 | 14 h 58 m | Show | |
Arizonas D is atrocious as is evident by allowing 4 goals or more in 7 of their L/10 games including a 5-1 loss last time out and nothing will change against a Canucks team that can take advantage of teams like this via a viable offense that showed themselves dangerous in a 5-1 win vs Vegas last time out. ARIZONA is 13-4 OVER L/17 off an embarrassing loss by 4 goals or more to a division rival . VANCOUVER is 22-8 OVER when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. NHL Home teams against the total (ARIZONA) - after 3 or more consecutive unders, slow starting team-outscored by opp by 0.2+ goals/game in first period - 2nd half of the season are 35-7 OVER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate. Play on the OVER |
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04-07-22 | Grizzlies v. Nuggets UNDER 232.5 | 109-122 | Win | 100 | 14 h 51 m | Show | |
This selection is based on my projection of 229 combined output giving us a full possession plus value to the under. Note: Memphis is off a hard fought loss vs Utah last time out, and now on tired legs playing in the high altitudes of the Mile High city Im betting they will be on a more conservative path especially in transition which will help keep this combined score on the low side of the offered total . DENVER in their L/11 home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 227 ppg go on the scoreboard. Under is 16-7 in Nuggets last 23 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. MEMPHIS is 14-4 UNDER versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons.Jenkins is 17-5 UNDER versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots as the coach of MEMPHIS with a combined average of 219.4 ppg scored. Under is 12-4 in Grizzlies last 16 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MEMPHIS) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 30-9 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (DENVER) - off an upset loss as a home favorite, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 27-9 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings. Play UNDER |
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04-05-22 | Blazers v. Thunder UNDER 223.5 | 94-98 | Win | 100 | 15 h 44 m | Show | |
Two teams going through the motions and preparing for next season, take to the floor tonight as the Blazers visit the Thunder. Offensive inconsistencies remain an issue for both sides, and from a projection stand point my number (219) is substantially lower than this offering giving us a two full possession value. Under is 5-1 in Trail Blazers last 6 games as an underdog.Under is 4-1 in Trail Blazers last 5 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Under is 16-5 in Trail Blazers last 21 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. PORTLAND is 21-12 UNDER when playing against a team with a losing record this season with.a combined average of 219.4 ppg scored. PORTLAND is 21-10 UNDER revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season with a combined average of 218 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (PORTLAND/OKLAHOMA CITY) - in a game involving lower tier teams (25% to 40%), in April games are 26-2 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Oklahoma City. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Play UNDER |
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04-04-22 | North Carolina v. Kansas OVER 153 | 69-72 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 28 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. . |
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04-03-22 | Stars v. Seattle Kraken UNDER 5.5 | 1-4 | Win | 105 | 12 h 48 m | Show | |
Dallas is on tired legs and just played last night taking a 5-4 win vs San Jose . Note: Under is 4-1-1 in Stars last 6 games playing on 0 days rest. Under is 7-2 in Kraken last 9 when their opponent scores 5 goals or more in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Stars last 5 vs. Western Conference. Tonight I expect the Kraken will hunker down as they face a top tier opponent, and for Dallas on tired legs to play a more conservative game tonight after last nights run and gun affair. Advantage to the under. DALLAS is 12-4 UNDER after scoring 3 goals or more in 3 straight games this season.DALLAS is 9-2 UNDER after a 3 game unbeaten streak this season. NHL Road teams where the total is 5.5 (DALLAS) - off 3 or more consecutive road wins, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season in the second half of the season are 24-4 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 86% conversion rate. NHL team against the total (SEATTLE) - off a home blowout loss by 3 goals or more, in April games are 44-18 UNDER L/5 years for a 69% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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04-02-22 | North Carolina v. Duke OVER 151 | 81-77 | Win | 100 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. . |
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04-01-22 | Pistons v. Thunder UNDER 220.5 | 110-101 | Win | 100 | 14 h 33 m | Show | |
The Pistons likely will be without forward Marvin Bagley III for the Friday game and this Im betting effects their offensive flow. Meanwhile, the Thunder are short handed and on tired legs and this will also effect their offensive output. Note: The Thunder will have just eight players available for the third consecutive game, with more players listed as out on the injury report (nine) than they'll be able to utilize. Advantage to the under. Under is 4-1 in Pistons last 5 overall. Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Oklahoma City. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (DETROIT) - in a game involving 2 terrible teams - outscored by opponents by 7+ PPG, after allowing 125 points or more are 28-2 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 215.4 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (OKLAHOMA CITY/DETROIT) - in a game involving 2 terrible teams - outscored by opponents by 7+ PPG, after allowing 125 points or more are 33-5 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 216.1 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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04-01-22 | Fresno State v. Coastal Carolina UNDER 126.5 | 85-74 | Loss | -105 | 34 h 6 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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03-31-22 | Penguins v. Wild UNDER 6.5 | 4-3 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 40 m | Show | |
At this time of the season, top tier NHL teams have a tendency to pay attention to playing a strong brand of defensive hoops and Im betting nothing changes tonight in Minnesota . The host Wild have not allowed an opponent to score more than 2 goals in 7 straight games, while the Penguins continue to be defensively consistent allowing 2.7 gpg on the season, and 2.5 gpg on the road. Rinse and repeat situation here as the under looks like. a viable wagering opportunity. Under is 3-0-1 in Penguins last 4 games as a road underdog.Under is 5-1 in Penguins last 6 vs. Central. PITTSBURGH is 10-4 UNDER in road games in non-conference games this season with a combined average of 5.3 gpg scored. MINNESOTA is 14-4 UNDER in home games in March games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5gpg going on the board. Under is 6-0-1 in Wild last 7 home games. NHL Home teams against the total (MINNESOTA) - after successfully covering the spread in 5 or more consecutive games, in March games are 34-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Minnesota. Play UNDER |
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03-31-22 | Bucks v. Nets UNDER 240 | 120-119 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show | |
When top tier teams and conference rivals meet at this time of the season, you can generally depend on seeing a strong brand of defensive basketball. This is what Im betting on here as both teams prepare to drive towards the play offs in disciplined fashion . BROOKLYN is 21-8 UNDER versus teams who make 14 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 225.3 ppg scored.BROOKLYN is 17-7 UNDER in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season with a combined average of 221.4 ppg going on the board. BROOKLYN is 30-18 UNDER when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season with a combined average of 226.5 ppg scored. Under is 8-2-1 in Nets last 11 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. MILWAUKEE is 14-6 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3 this season with a combined average of 221 ppg scored. Under is 9-2-1 in Bucks last 12 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 8-3 in Bucks last 11 games as an underdog. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MILWAUKEE) - well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 68-29 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BROOKLYN) - with a winning record on the season playing another winning team, in March games are 78-36 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. with a combined average of 229.3 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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03-30-22 | Blues v. Canucks OVER 6 | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 15 h 35 m | Show | |
The Blues posted a 4-1 victory last time out, vs the //this same Canucks side, but they have been very inconsistent defensively overall, and have allowed 4 goals or more in 5 of their L/8 games overall. The Blues saving grace is a offense that averages 3.5 gpg this season, and Im betting they will continue to fill the net . Meanwhile, Vancouver has allowed 3 goals or more in 9 of their L/13 and have gone Over the total in 10 of their L/ 12 games as a favorite including 8-2 OVER in their last 10 games as a home favorite. Advantage OVER. \Over is 6-0-1 in Blues last 7 games as a road underdog.Over is 8-1-1 in Blues last 10 games as an underdogST LOUIS is 32-19 OVER against good offensive teams -29 or more shots on goal, convert 17% pp or better - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 6.5 gpg scored. NHL Home teams against the total (VANCOUVER) - after 3 or more consecutive unders, slow starting team-outscored by opp by 0.2+ goals/game in first period - 2nd half of the season are 34-7 OVER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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03-30-22 | Hawks v. Thunder OVER 230 | 136-118 | Win | 100 | 12 h 55 m | Show | |
Atlanta ranks 7th in ppg offense and 23rd in ppg defense, as they push forward with wreck-less run and gun action. Considering the Thunders attention to defense has dropped off a cliff as the season has progressed as is evident by allowing 12 of their L/17 opponents to breach the 120 point plateau and 7 those 12 games have seen 130 or more points go on the board, its an easy decision to back a higher scoring tilt taking place. Over is 7-2 in Hawks last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400 OKLAHOMA CITY is 11-2 OVER in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 231.9 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 230 (ATLANTA) - after a game where both teams scored 120 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 265 points or more are 23-2 OVER L/26 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams where the total is 220 to 230 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a road win against a division rival are 29-7 OVER L/26 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Over is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings. Over is 10-1 in the last 11 meetings in Oklahoma City. Play OVER |
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03-29-22 | Washington State v. Texas A&M OVER 133 | 56-72 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 13 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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03-29-22 | Flyers v. Wild UNDER 6.5 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 29 h 33 m | Show | |
The Wild have ramped up their defensive play of late and have not allowed more than 2 goals in 6 straight games. Im betting nothing changes tonight and this will directly effect the combined score this evening to the under. MINNESOTA is 13-4 UNDER in home games in March games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 4.9 gpg scored. NHL Home teams against the total (MINNESOTA) - after a 5 game unbeaten streak, in March games are 33-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for Bettors. Play UNDER |
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03-29-22 | Bucks v. 76ers UNDER 229 | 118-116 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 60 m | Show | |
The Sixers rank 26th in pace and 8th in ppg defense in the NBA and tonight, Im betting they try to grind this game down to a snails pace in an attempt to be competitive vs an explosive offensive side in the Bucks. At this time of the season, top tier teams like these two sides prepare for the play offs by paying alot more attention to defensive play especially in transition, and Im betting thats what we see tonight with these Eastern Conference rivals.Note: Under is 4-0 in Bucks last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Under is 5-0 in 76ers last 5 games as a home favorite. MILWAUKEE is 11-3 UNDER in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average of 223.5 ppg going on the board. MILWAUKEE is 14-5 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3 this season with a combined average of 220.2 ppg scored. PHILADELPHIA is 22-11 UNDER versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots this season with a combined average of 214.2 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (MILWAUKEE) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 115-47 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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03-29-22 | St Bonaventure v. Xavier UNDER 139.5 | 77-84 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 43 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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03-28-22 | Southern Utah v. Fresno State OVER 136.5 | 48-67 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 21 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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03-28-22 | Warriors v. Grizzlies OVER 221 | 95-123 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
The Grizzlies offense has been hitting on cylinders of late scoring eclipsing the 122 point plateau 7 of 9 times and scoring more than 130 points 4 times during that explosive 9 game run. Considering the Golden State Warriors current sub par defensive performances allowing 121 and 123 points in their L/2 games Im betting the Grizzlies unload again and score more than 122 points here according to my projections with the Warriors chasing and hitting at least +101 points in a tilt that very much favors an over wager. Note: Memphis ranks 3rd in ppg offense and 3rd in pace and will dictate the speed of this game here tonight.MEMPHIS is 23-13 OVER when the total is 220 to 229.5 this season with the average combined score of those tilts ringing in at 227.3 ppg, GOLDEN STATE is 12-4 OVER in road games after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread this season with the combined average of 225.7 ppg scored.MEMPHIS is 15-2 OVER versus good defensive teams - allowing 108 or less points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 233.3 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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03-27-22 | Wolves v. Celtics UNDER 230 | 112-134 | Loss | -112 | 5 h 48 m | Show | |
When these teams played back in December the Wolves took a 108-103 win and Im betting on a similar style of play here and a combined score that has rinse and repeat written all over it. Note: Celtics rank No.1 in the NBA in ppg allowed and defensive efficiency behind the 24th ranked pace. Here at home they will dictate the speed of this game. BOSTON is 26-17 UNDER versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game this season with a combined average of 213.2 ppg scored. BOSTON is 25-11 UNDER as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season with a combined average of 208.4 ppg scored. Under is 8-3 in Celtics last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BOSTON) - after having covered 3 of their last 4 against the spread, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 33-6 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (MINNESOTA) - after a blowout win by 15 points or more against opponent after a blowout win by 20 points or more are 37-14 L/26 seasons for a 73% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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03-27-22 | Avalanche v. Wild UNDER 6.5 | 2-3 | Win | 102 | 4 h 27 m | Show | |
Both these teams are ramping into play off form as the post season approaches. Play top tier defensive hockey is a priority this time of the campaign , and today in a game featuring top tier teams Im betting on a conservative style of transitional hockey that gives value on a under wager. COLORADO is 9-1 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season. Minnesota has not allowed more than 2 goals in 5 straight games , resulting in the Under going 4-0-1 . NHL Home teams against the total (MINNESOTA) - after successfully covering the spread in 5 or more consecutive games, in March games are 32-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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03-26-22 | Rockets v. Blazers UNDER 232 | 115-98 | Win | 100 | 14 h 0 m | Show | |
My own numbers suggest this total should be closer to 229 giving us value on a under wager with a full possession advantage. Under is 4-1-1 in Rockets last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Under is 8-1 in Trail Blazers last 9 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Under is 14-2 in Trail Blazers last 16 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Portland has seen their L/ 5 straight games go under the set total and Im betting this number is hefty enough to go under the set total. HOUSTON is 18-7 UNDER after a blowout win by 15 points or more over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 221.9 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PORTLAND) - in a game involving 2 terrible teams - outscored by opponents by 7+ PPG, after allowing 125 points or more are 27-2 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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03-25-22 | Rockets v. Blazers UNDER 235.5 | 125-106 | Win | 100 | 15 h 14 m | Show | |
My numbers have made this Total closer to 232 , thus giving us value to the under by more than a full possession. Under is 4-0 in Rockets last 4 overall. Under is 3-1-1 in Rockets last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Under is 4-0 in Trail Blazers last 4 games following a double-digit loss at home.Under is 7-1 in Trail Blazers last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Under is 7-1 in Trail Blazers last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .4 NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PORTLAND) - in a game involving 2 terrible teams - outscored by opponents by 7+ PPG, after allowing 125 points or more are 26-2 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 93% conversion rate. Under is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings. Play UNDER |
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03-25-22 | North Carolina v. UCLA OVER 141 | 73-66 | Loss | -111 | 39 h 19 m | Show | |
03-23-22 | Magic v. Thunder UNDER 219.5 | 102-118 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 33 m | Show | |
These teams just a met a couple of days ago in Orlando with the Magic taking a 90-85 victory.Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here tonight from a offensive output perspective. Under is 11-4 in Magic last 15 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - in a game involving 2 terrible teams - outscored by opponents by 7+ PPG, after allowing 125 points or more are 30-5 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 219.5 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - in a game involving 2 terrible teams - outscored by opponents by 7+ PPG, after allowing 125 points or more are 26-2 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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03-22-22 | Predators v. Kings OVER 5.5 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 56 m | Show | |
Nashville plays an exciting brand of all out offensive hockey and Im betting they drag the usually conservative Kings into a wide open offensive slugfest. NASHVILLE is 8-0 OVER in road games against mistake free teams - opponents average 4 or less power plays/game in the 2nd half of the year this season with a combined average of 8.3 gpg scored. NASHVILLE is 6-0 OVER in road games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the 2nd half of the year this season with a combined average of 8.5 gpg scored. NHL Home teams against the total (LOS ANGELES) - after 3 or more consecutive unders, slow starting team-outscored by opp by 0.2+ goals/game in first period - 2nd half of the season are 33-7 OVER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (NASHVILLE) - explosive offensive team - scoring 3+ goals/game on the season - 2nd half of the season, after scoring 3 goals or more in 5 straight games are 68-33 L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate. Play OVER |
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03-22-22 | Bulls v. Bucks UNDER 234.5 | 98-126 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
Bucks key cog Middleton is expected out tonight vs the Bulls and Giannis Antetokounmpo is also less than 100% with some knee issues and is expected to play but Im betting the Bucks may not be as cohesive as usual , which will effect their output. Meanwhile, the Bulls are going under the set totals of their tilts consistently of late, with 7 of their L/8 going under as the lines-makers are over estimating the combined outputs. Im betting their number is once again off base and should be closer to 229, giving us more than a full possession of value to the under. .Under is 4-1 in Bulls last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 4-1 in Bulls last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Under is 3-1-1 in Bulls last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 4-1 in Bulls last 5 road games. Under is 5-0 in Bucks last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Donovan is 20-8 UNDER versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts - 2nd half of the season as the coach of CHICAGO with a combined average of 220 ppg scored.CHICAGO is 18-7 UNDER vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 209.2 ppg scored. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Milwaukee. Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MILWAUKEE) - after having covered 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 36-11 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (CHICAGO) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, in March games are 33-10 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 77% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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03-20-22 | Thunder v. Magic UNDER 225.5 | 85-90 | Win | 100 | 8 h 20 m | Show | |
Both these sides have been running and gunning with wreck-less abandon of late, but from a matchup perspective my totals number comes in short of this offering giving us value with an under wager. OKLAHOMA CITY is 16-4 UNDER after 5 or more consecutive overs and in 25 non conference games this season the average combined score has clicked in at 217.3 ppg. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (ORLANDO) - in a game involving 2 terrible teams - outscored by opponents by 7+ PPG, after allowing 125 points or more are 25-2 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after 7 or more consecutive losses, in a game involving two bad teams (25% to 40%) are 37-13 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 74% conversion rate. Play on Orlando to cover |
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03-19-22 | Bucks v. Wolves UNDER 244.5 | 119-138 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 36 m | Show | |
Both these sides can light up the board with consistency and frequency, but at this time in the season, when top tier sides face each other their is a tendency for both sides to play a more physical deliberate type of hoops, that often results in much lower combined scores than some current dichotomies may assert through data coverage. Advantage to the UNDER. Under is 6-1 in Bucks last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Under is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in Minnesota. MILWAUKEE is 8-0 UNDER versus teams who make 14 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season with a combined average of 219.8 ppg scored.MILWAUKEE is 7-0 UNDER versus teams who attempt 39 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season with a combined average of 220.3 ppg scored. MILWAUKEE is 10-2 UNDER in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. with a combined average of 220.4 ppg scored. MILWAUKEE is 13-5 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3 this season with the combined average score of those tilts ringing in at 219.7 ppg.
NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MILWAUKEE) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 51-17 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MILWAUKEE) - a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record, in March games are 44-14 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MINNESOTA/MILWAUKEE ) - with a winning record on the season playing another winning team, in March games. are 68-24 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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03-17-22 | Pistons v. Magic UNDER 219.5 | 134-120 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 28 m | Show | |
Orlando ranks 28th in the NBA in offensive overall output and 29th in offensive efficiency while, Motown ranks 29th in offensive output and 28th in offensive rating . Its obvious prduction numbers are low, and Im betting nothing changes tonight. ORLANDO is 15-6 UNDER when playing 6 or more games in 10 days this season with a combined average of 208.9 ppg scored.Under is 4-0 in Magic last 4 games following a double-digit loss at home.Under is 5-1-1 in Magic last 7 games as a favorite. Under is 6-1 in Pistons last 7 overall. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (ORLANDO) - in a game involving 2 terrible teams - outscored by opponents by 7+ PPG, after allowing 125 points or more are 29-4 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (ORLANDO) - in a game involving 2 terrible teams - outscored by opponents by 7+ PPG, after allowing 125 points or more are 27-5 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (ORLANDO) - poor offensive team (104-108 PPG) against a horrible offensive team (104 or less PPG) after 42+ games, after a blowout loss by 20 points or more are 34-9 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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03-16-22 | Dayton v. Toledo OVER 143 | 74-55 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 1 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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03-15-22 | Penguins v. Predators OVER 6 | 1-4 | Loss | -102 | 14 h 44 m | Show | |
Pittsburghs offense has been clicking on all cylinders, and are scoring 3.3 goals per game, while ranking 7th in shots per game on goal (34.5). Meanwhile, the Nashville Predators are playing a top tier brand of offensive hockey right now and are averaging 3.2 goals per game behind a consistent attack. Considering both sides output momentum, Im betting we eclipse this total. NASHVILLE is 18-9 OVER against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game this season with an average of 6.7 gpg scored. Over is 6-2 in Predators last 8 games as an underdog.Over is 15-7 in Predators last 22 vs. a team with a winning record. NHL Road teams against the total (PITTSBURGH) - in non-conference games, off 2 consecutive home wins by 2 goals or more are 34-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. Play OVER |
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03-13-22 | Iowa v. Purdue UNDER 151.5 | 75-66 | Win | 100 | 5 h 7 m | Show | |
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03-13-22 | Clippers v. Pistons OVER 218 | 106-102 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 34 m | Show | |
Detroit has been playing very competitive ball of late behind a much more cohesive faster paced attack and today Im betting they drag the Clippers into a take. no prisoners offensive slugfest. Motown is playing with little or no pressure, as the play offs are but a dream for this young team , so playing with wreck-less abandon wont be an issue. DETROIT is 10-2 OVER in home games in non-conference games this season with a combined average of 229.1 ppg scored. Over is 7-3 in Clippers last 10 games as a favorite. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (LA CLIPPERS /DETROIT PISTONS) - in a game involving two good FT shooting teams (76-79%) after 42+ games, in a game involving two poor rebounding teams (-3 to -5.5 reb/game) are 24-2 OVER L/5 seasons with a combined average of 250.2 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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03-12-22 | UCLA v. Arizona UNDER 143.5 | 76-84 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 28 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. . |
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03-12-22 | Bucks v. Warriors UNDER 233 | 109-122 | Win | 100 | 12 h 22 m | Show | |
As we enter the stretch drive towards the NBA play offs many top tier teams realize the importance of playing two way hoops and tonight Im betting on some pre post season action, as defensive ball will be on full display. Note: Golden State ranks first in the NBA in defensive rating . MILWAUKEE is 24-7 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 218.3 ppg scored. MILWAUKEE is 18-7 UNDER versus teams who make 14 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 221.6 ppg scored. Budenholzer is 34-18 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) - 2nd half of the season as the coach of MILWAUKEE are 219.5 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE is 32-18 UNDER after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 219.5 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MILWAUKEE) - after 3 or more consecutive wins, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 30-5 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 86% conversion rate with a combined average of 221.6 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (GOLDEN STATE) - off a road win, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 34-4 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 89% conversion rate with the a combined average 221 ppg going on the board. Play UNDER |
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03-12-22 | Louisiana Tech v. UAB UNDER 135.5 | 73-82 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. . |
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03-12-22 | Virginia Tech v. Duke UNDER 137.5 | 82-67 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 58 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. . |
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03-12-22 | Akron v. Kent State UNDER 124.5 | 75-55 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 49 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. . |
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03-12-22 | Blackhawks v. Senators UNDER 6 | 6-3 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 30 m | Show | |
Ottawa blew a 3 goal lead last time out , and were forced into OT vs the Kraken,, finally settling with a 4-3 win. Now after that effort Im sure the coaching staff will have the Senators paying special attention to D which will see them more conservative out of transition. OTTAWA is 16-2 UNDER after playing a game where 7 or more total goals were scored this season.OTTAWA is 6-0 UNDER off a close home win by 1 goal this season. Also the Sens have revenge on board to the Blackhawks last time they played which was an ugly 5-1 loss back in November. OTTAWA is 5-0 UNDER revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 3 goals or more this season. OTTAWA is 9-3 UNDER against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal in the 2nd half of the year this season. .NHL Home teams against the total (OTTAWA) - after allowing 2 goals or more in the third period last game against opponent after 3 straight games where both teams scored 3 goals or more are 31-11 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
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03-12-22 | Coyotes v. Bruins OVER 6 | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 24 m | Show | |
Arizona has recent high-scoring wins over Ottawa (8-5) and Detroit (9-2) followed by a 5-4 overtime win at Toronto on Thursday and will Im betting they will continue to be aggressive here with no post season hopes. Essentially playing with a nothing to lose attitude , which Im betting results in a wide open game that will result in a combined score that eclipses this total. BOSTON is 8-0 OVER in home games against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal in the 2nd half of the year over the last 2 seasons. ARIZONA is 7-1 OVER after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons. Play OVER |
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03-12-22 | Creighton v. Villanova UNDER 129.5 | 48-54 | Win | 100 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. . |
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03-12-22 | Texas Tech v. Kansas UNDER 135 | 65-74 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 30 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. . |
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03-12-22 | Cornell v. Princeton UNDER 153.5 | 73-77 | Win | 100 | 2 h 51 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. . |
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03-10-22 | Washington v. USC OVER 141.5 | 61-65 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 15 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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03-10-22 | Massachusetts v. George Washington UNDER 147.5 | 99-88 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
03-09-22 | Celtics v. Hornets UNDER 227.5 | 115-101 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
When these teams played in Boston earlier this season they combined for 220 points in a Celtics 113-017 win. My numbers suggest a similar output here as my estimates configure at reaching the low 220s giving us a solid under advantage based on those projections. Note: Boston Ranks 3rd in defense ppg and 2nd in defensive rating and 24th in pace, and have the ability to control this tempo even in a road environment on rested legs as they have not played since the 6th of March. Under is 16-5 in Hornets last 21 games as an underdog. BOSTON is 22-10 UNDER as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season with a combined average of 208 ppg scored. CHARLOTTE is 14-5 UNDER revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season with a combined average 220.8 ppg scored.CHARLOTTE is 8-1 UNDER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 217.1 ppg scored. CHARLOTTE is 11-1 UNDER versus good defensive teams - allowing 108 or less points/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 211.8 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (CHARLOTTE) - with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season, in March games are 42-29 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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03-06-22 | Pelicans v. Nuggets UNDER 228.5 | 130-138 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 42 m | Show | |
Both these sides are off DD wins and now Im expecting a reversion to the mean in what Im betting will be a lower scoring affair. Im especially looking for a more muted effort from the Pelicans who played in Utah last time out and notched a DD victory in a game that they played hard in and exerted alot of effort right until the very end. Under is 7-0 in Pelicans last 7 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 9-1-1 in Pelicans last 11 road games.Under is 6-1-1 in Pelicans last 8 games following a straight up win. NEW ORLEANS is 10-0 UNDER as a road underdog of 6 points or less this season with a combined average of 209. 2 ppg going on the score board. NEW ORLEANS is 20-6 UNDER as a road underdog this season with a combined average of 211.1 ppg scored. NEW ORLEANS is 10-2 UNDER in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots this season with a combined average of 212.1 ppg scored. Under is 3-0-1 in Nuggets last 4 games as a favorite.Under is 9-1 in Nuggets last 10 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Under is 3-1-1 in Nuggets last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Over is 9-3-2 in Nuggets last 14 home games. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (DENVER) - after a blowout win by 15 points or more against opponent after a blowout win by 20 points or more are 72-26 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 72% conversion rate. The last 4 meetings here in Denver have gone under the total. Play on the UNDER |
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03-06-22 | Rangers v. Jets OVER 5.5 | 4-1 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
Winnipeg offense is hitting on all cylinders at the moment, scoring a combined 13 goals in recent wins over the Arizona Coyotes and Montreal Canadiens and tonight against a good defensive Rangers team Im estimating an output of at least 3 goals. Meanwhile, the Rangers, Im betting get dragged into a more wide open game than then they would like here on the road, against a side that uses a wide open style of play and lacks a consistent defense. This will result in a combined score that eclipses this offered total. Over is 4-0 in Jets last 4 games as a favorite. Over is 7-1-3 in Jets last 11 games as a home favorite. WINNIPEG is 9-1 OVER in home games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days this season with a combined average of 7.1 gog scored. WINNIPEG is 9-1 OVER in home games after allowing 3 goals or more 2 straight games this season with a combined average of 7.2 gpg scored. NY RANGERS are 8-1 OVER in road games against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game this season with a combined average of 6.9 gpg scored. NHL Road teams against the total (NY RANGERS) - in non-conference games, off 2 consecutive home wins by 2 goals or more are 33-8 OVER L.5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER |
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03-06-22 | Suns v. Bucks OVER 231 | 122-132 | Win | 100 | 5 h 29 m | Show | |
Phoenix and Milwaukee are explosive offensive sides. The Suns rank 3rd in offensive rating in the league behind the 9th ranked pace. Suns have takes part in 6 straight games with 230 or more combined points scored. Meanwhile, the Bucks rank 4th in offensive output in the NBA behind the 8th ranked offense. Over is 4-1 in Suns last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600The Suns are 6-0 OVER L6 vs .500 or better opposition and 5-0 OVER L/5 after a 3 or more game home stand Meanwhile, the Bucks have gone over in 8 straight non conference tilts and have gone over in 5 straight vs the Suns with a combined average of (250.0) ppg going on the scoreboard and have gone over in 10 of their L/11 vs Pacific division sides with a total of 225 or more. Over is 5-1 in Bucks last 6 home games.Over is 9-2 in Bucks last 11 overall. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (MILWAUKEE) - revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days are 55-27 OVER L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate. Play OVER |
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03-05-22 | Warriors v. Lakers OVER 223.5 | 116-124 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
Two teams struggling to hold position in the Western Conference playoff race do battle at Staples Center tonight . Im expecting a real battle here today despite of Golden State holding a big road fav stance here. Im not willing to pull the trigger on the side, but this total looks vulnerable. The Lakers lost to the Warriors 121-114 at home in the season opener and a similar type score is not out of the question. Over is 6-2 in Lakers last 8 games as an underdog. Note: The Lakers are ranked 4th in pace and 26th in ppg allowed and tonight with James expected in the lineup Im betting on a aggressive Lakers side to show up and show some life vs a equally aggressive side that is expected to ratchet up their attack in desperation mode. Golden State has seen 7 of their L/8 games eclipse the total. Over is 6-0-1 in Warriors last 7 games following a ATS loss.Over is 5-0-1 in Warriors last 6 games following a straight up loss.Over is 5-0 in Warriors last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.Over is 3-0-1 in Warriors last 4 road games. GOLDEN STATE is 11-2 OVER versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 228.8 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (LA LAKERS) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against a good defensive team (104-108 PPG) after 42+ games, after allowing 130 points or more are 33-8 OVER L/26 seasons for a 81% conversion rate with the combined average of 236.9 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (GOLDEN STATE) - after having lost 3 of their last 4 games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 30-9 L/26 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 232.9 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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03-05-22 | Predators v. Sharks OVER 5.5 | 8-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 50 m | Show | |
GOALTENDERS: NASHVILLE - JUUSE SAROS, SAN JOSE - ALEX STALOCK Nashville has allowed 4 goals or more in 5 of their L/7 games, and even the offensively challenged Sharks should score above their season average of 2.6 gpg. Meanwhile, Nashville Im betting will also eclipse their season to date average goal production of 3.1 gpg vs a Sharks side that allows an average of 3.3 goals per game at home. NASHVILLE is 5-0 OVER off a close road loss by 1 goal this season with a combined average of 6.8 gpg scored. NASHVILLE is 7-1 OVER against struggling defensive teams - allowing 3+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 6.8 gpg scored. NHL Home teams against the total (SAN JOSE) - after 3 or more consecutive unders, slow starting team-outscored by opp by 0.2+ goals/game in first period - 2nd half of the season are 31-7 OVER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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03-05-22 | Loyola-Chicago v. Northern Iowa UNDER 141 | 66-43 | Win | 100 | 7 h 55 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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03-04-22 | SE Missouri State v. Murray State UNDER 151.5 | 74-88 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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03-04-22 | Bucks v. Bulls UNDER 241.5 | 118-112 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
When these teams went head to head back in late January a final score recorded as 94-90 and while I expect a higher scoring affair this time around my projections still estimate a combined score that fails to eclipse this offered number. Under is 4-0 in Bucks last 4 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Under is 4-1 in Bulls last 5 home games. MILWAUKEE is 23-10 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 219.4 ppg scored. CHICAGO is 18-7 UNDER versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 218.6 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MILWAUKEE) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 32-3 L/26 seasons for a 91% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (CHICAGO) - excellent shooting team (47.5% or better ) against a good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) after 42+ games, after a game where a team made 55% of their shots or better are 29-6 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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03-04-22 | The Citadel v. East Tennessee State UNDER 152.5 | 84-76 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 40 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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03-04-22 | Charleston Southern v. USC Upstate UNDER 145.5 | 62-72 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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03-02-22 | UAB v. Southern Miss OVER 143 | 81-68 | Win | 100 | 13 h 6 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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03-01-22 | Nets v. Raptors OVER 219.5 | 108-109 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 6 m | Show | |
The Raptors score 133 points last night in a DD win vs Brooklyn and Im betting they continue to attack tonight and for the revenge minded Nets to fire back with some explosive offense of their own. The Raptors have gone over in 8 of their L/9 and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here. BROOKLYN is 14-4 OVER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) this season with a combined average of 226.1 ppg scored. TORONTO is 9-1 OVER as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points this season with a combined average of 224.2 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (BROOKLYN) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against a good defensive team (104-108 PPG) after 42+ games, after allowing 130 points or more are 42-15 OVER L/26 seasons for a 74% conversion rate with the average of 231.1 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (TORONTO) - up-tempo team averaging 83 or more shots/game on the season against opponent after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher are 35-16 OVER L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate with a combined average of 221.7 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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02-26-22 | Grizzlies v. Bulls UNDER 237 | 116-110 | Win | 100 | 11 h 30 m | Show | |
These teams are obviously trending towards what would be estimated to be a higher scoring affair , but according to my personal matchup indicators this game will not cross the offered totals number. My projections estimate a combined score of 232. Giving us a full possession plus advantage. MEMPHIS is 13-3 UNDER versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or better of their shots over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 218.2 ppg scored. CHICAGO is 13-4 UNDER in home games after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 216.1 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (CHICAGO/MEMPHIS) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 30-3 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 91% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 3-1-2 in the last 6 meetings. Play UNDER |
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02-26-22 | Furman v. The Citadel OVER 153 | 94-59 | Push | 0 | 5 h 59 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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02-25-22 | Harvard v. Princeton OVER 142 | 67-74 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 43 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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02-24-22 | Gonzaga v. San Francisco UNDER 157 | 89-73 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 36 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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02-24-22 | Cavs v. Pistons OVER 208.5 | 103-106 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
Im betting these two well rested teams will play above their usual paces, and easily eclipse this number which I have projected to be 210+. Over is 6-0 in Cavaliers last 6 games as a road favorite. Over is 5-0 in Cavaliers last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Bickerstaff is 11-1 OVER in road games versus terrible teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game - 2nd half of the season in all games he has coached with a combined average of 221.1 ppg scored. Casey is 21-9 OVER in home games when playing 6 or less games in 14 days as the coach of DETROIT with a combined average of 217.2 ppg scored.Casey is 18-6 OVER in home games when playing with 3 or more days rest in all games he has coached with a combined average of 209.9 ppg scored.Casey is 13-3 OVER in home games off a road win as the coach of DETROIT with a combined average of 226.8 ppg scored.DETROIT is 14-3 OVER in home games when playing 4 or less games in 10 days over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 221.7 ppg scored. Over is 4-1 in Pistons last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (CLEVELAND) - after having lost 2 of their last 3 games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a terrible team (25% or less) are 45-22 OVER L/26 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. Over is 5-0-1 in the last 6 meetings in Detroit. Play OVER |
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02-23-22 | Sabres v. Canadiens UNDER 6 | 0-4 | Win | 106 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
GOALTENDERS: BUFFALO - CRAIG ANDERSON, MONTREAL - SAMUEL MONTEMBEAULT Montreal has allowed no more than 2 goals in 4 of their L/5 trips to the ice as they concentrate on disciplined defensive play to try to get out of their season long funk. They have registered three goals or less in eight of their last nine games and Im betting on a repeat scenario here, which Im betting results in a lower scoring affair,. Note: Under is 9-4-1 in Sabres last 14 road games. MONTREAL is 19-9 UNDER in home games against struggling teams like Buffalo - outscored by their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game over the last 3 seasons. MONTREAL is 17-4 UNDER in home games revenging a home loss versus opponent of 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons. NHL team against the total (MONTREAL) - poor offensive team - scoring 2.55 or less goals/game on the season - 2nd half of the season, after a blowout win by 3 goals or more are 30-7 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.Under is 7-3 in Canadiens last 10 after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game which was he case last time out. Play on the UNDER |
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02-22-22 | Buffalo v. Miami-OH UNDER 155.5 | 86-84 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 24 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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02-20-22 | New Mexico v. San Jose State UNDER 149.5 | 55-71 | Win | 100 | 7 h 52 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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02-19-22 | Blues v. Maple Leafs OVER 6 | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 9 m | Show | |
GOALTENDERS: ST LOUIS - VILLE HUSSO, TORONTO - JACK CAMPBELL When these sides met on Jan 15 this season, Toronto to a 6-5 decision on the road. Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here and a total that gets eclipsed. Over is 4-0-1 in Blues last 5 games as an underdog. Over is 10-3-1 in Blues last 14 vs. Eastern Conference. Over is 7-2-1 in Maple Leafs last 10 games as a home favorite. ST LOUIS is 9-1 OVER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) this season with an average of 8 gpg going on the board. TORONTO is 9-3 OVER versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.5+ goals/game this season with a combined average of 7 gpg scored. Play OVER |
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02-16-22 | Mississippi State v. Alabama UNDER 151 | 75-80 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 31 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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02-14-22 | Spurs v. Bulls OVER 234.5 | 109-120 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
San Antonio as this season has progressed has turned into a run and gun group, that pays very little attention to defense ranking 5th in pace in the league while ranking 21st in ppg allowed while also ranking 8th in ppg offense. Meanwhile, Chicago ranks 7th in ppg offense, and are more than capable of offensive fireworks of their own, something that Im betting they will be pushed into . End result of tonights tilt will see the combined score eclipse this total. CHICAGO is 12-0 OVER in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season with a combined average of 245.7 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (CHICAGO) - off 2 or more consecutive home wins, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) a 27-3 L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate with a combined average of 239.9 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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02-11-22 | Lightning v. Coyotes UNDER 6 | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
As the play offs get closer teams like Tampa Bay begin to pay special attention to their defensive responsibilities and tonight that will effect this total to the under as the Bolts stay conservative vs a side that has problems scoring. Under is 4-0 in Lightning last 4 overall. Under is 3-0-1 in Coyotes last 4 games as a home underdog.Under is 5-1 in Coyotes last 6 vs. Atlantic.Under is 4-1-1 in Coyotes last 6 home games NHL team against the total (ARIZONA) - poor offensive team - scoring 2.55 or less goals/game on the season - 2nd half of the season, after a blowout win by 3 goals or more are 29-6 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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02-11-22 | Wolves v. Bulls UNDER 241 | 122-134 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 40 m | Show | |
It's not that I don't believe this game is going to be high scoring, because in all likely hood it will be. However, Im betting the number is slightly bloated and should be closer to 235 , giving us a full 2 possession edge to the under if my projections are correct. Under is 5-1 in Timberwolves last 6 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.CHICAGO is 15-4 UNDER in home games after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 208.7 ppg scored. Donovan is 33-17 UNDER versus teams who attempt 39 or more 3 point shots/game on the season in all games he has coached with a combined average of 219.2 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (CHICAGO) - off a road win, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 52-15 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (CHICAGO) - after having covered 3 of their last 4 against the spread, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 29-5 L/26 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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02-09-22 | Warriors v. Jazz UNDER 221.5 | 85-111 | Win | 100 | 12 h 34 m | Show | |
The Jazz Im betting come right after the Warriors tonight in the high altitudes of Salt Lake City in effort to wind their opponents. That Im also betting will see a much higher up-tempo tilt than some might expect. Utah after a bit of a slump have really picked up their efforts of late, and have taken 3 straight wins. Note: UTAH is 8-1 OVER in home games after 2 or more consecutive wins this season with a combined average of 237.5 ppg scored. Over is 6-1 in Warriors last 7 games as a road underdog. Over is 4-1 in Jazz last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. The over is 8-1 L/9 games in this series with a combined average of (226.9 ppg ) going on the board and my projections estimate a similar output giving us value on this light totals number. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (GOLDEN STATE) - in a game involving two average offensive teams (108-114 PPG) after 42+ games, after leading their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half are 29-7 OVER L/26 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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02-09-22 | Golden Knights v. Flames UNDER 6 | 0-6 | Push | 0 | 15 h 3 m | Show | |
Flames goalie Markstrom , leads the NHL with seven shutouts, and is almost always a threat for a big stopper performance. ( The Flames goal keeper also ranks fourth in the league with a 2.20 goals-against average. Meanwhile, Vegas Backup goalie Laurent Brossoit picked up his first shutout of the season against an explosive Edmonton offense last time out and is currently looking confident. With that said, Im betting on solid D, and top tier goaltending to keep this combined score on the low side of the total. Under is 4-1 in Golden Knights last 5 road games. Under is 4-1 in Golden Knights last 5 road games. VEGAS is 7-1 UNDER in road games against excellent power play teams - scoring on 19% or better of their chances in the 2nd half of the year over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 4.9 gpg scored. NHL Home teams where the total is 6 or more (CALGARY) - off 2 or more consecutive road wins, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season in the second half of the season are 23-2 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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02-08-22 | Pistons v. Mavs UNDER 213 | 86-116 | Win | 100 | 10 h 13 m | Show | |
Dallas behind their 3rd rank ppg defense and 28th ranked pace and 25th ranked offense, obviously depend on top tier conservative transitional hoops for their successes. Nothing will change tonight against a Detroit side that averages just over 101 ppg on the road this season while ranking 29th in ppg offensive output. Advantage to the under. Under is 4-0 in Pistons last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Under is 10-2 in Mavericks last 12 games as a home favorite. DALLAS is 10-0 UNDER L/10 in home games versus struggling teams - shooting 43% or less with a defense of 46% or worse - 2nd half of the season with a combined average of 176.8 ppg scored.DALLAS is 8-1 UNDER in home games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or worse this season with a combined averag eof 203.4 ppg scored.DALLAS is 18-4 UNDER (+13.6 Units) after 2 or more consecutive unders this season with a combined average of 2041. ppg scored .DALLAS is 9-0 UNDER in home games after allowing 95 points or less over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 208.4 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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02-08-22 | Suns v. 76ers OVER 217.5 | 114-109 | Win | 100 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
Im betting the Suns explosive offense (ranked 3rd in the NBA) will be forced into opening up against a aggressive opponent playing at home. From there the Suns will force the speed of the game upward behind the 9th ranked pace in the league. Over is 6-0 in Suns last 6 vs. a team with a winning straight up record like the 76ers. Over is 5-1-1 in 76ers last 7 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. The Series between the Suns and Sixers has been high scoring - going 7-0 OVER L7 with a combined average of (236.4) scored. PHOENIX is 33-17 OVER when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 225.7 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHOENIX) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against a good defensive team (104-108 PPG) after 42+ games, after a combined score of 245 points or more were scored are 66-33 OVER L/26 seasons for a 66% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (PHILADELPHIA) - in a game involving two average three point shooting teams (33%-36.5%) after 42+ games, in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game) after 42+ games are 158-94 OVER L/5 seasons for a 63% conversion rate. Over is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings in Philadelphia. Play OVER |
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02-07-22 | Charlotte v. Florida International UNDER 138 | 81-68 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 25 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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02-06-22 | Celtics v. Magic OVER 215 | 116-83 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
Orlando has really picked up their pace lately and are playing run and gun hoops as is evident by 8 of their L/9 games going over the total. Today Im betting they force the Celtics to have to open up in a tilt Im betting eclipses the number. Over is 5-0-1 in Magic last 6 overall. ORLANDO is 10-1 OVER after a game being out-rebounded by opponent by 15 or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 230.7 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (ORLANDO) - after going over the total by more than 12 points in three consecutive games, in February games are 29-4 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings. Play OVER |
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02-05-22 | Montana v. Idaho State UNDER 131 | 63-86 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 57 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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02-05-22 | Alabama A&M v. Southern UNDER 132 | 64-73 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 28 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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02-02-22 | Thunder v. Mavs UNDER 209.5 | 120-114 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 14 m | Show | |
Oklahoma City ranks last in the NBA in ppg offensive output and 17th in pace and 12th in ppg defense while their opponents Dallas rank 25th in ppg offense and 3rd in ppg defense behind 27th ranked pace. According to the data and style of play both teams initiate its obvious that this generally would be a lower scoring affair, which has me leaning strongly to the under based on my own projections which estimate a combined score that sits closer to 206 , which is a full possession advantage. OKLAHOMA CITY is 14-5 UNDER versus good defensive teams - allowing 108 or less points/game this season with a combined average of 201.9 ppg scored. DALLAS is 18-6 UNDER in home games this season with a combined average of 207.2 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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02-02-22 | Seattle Kraken v. Islanders UNDER 5.5 | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
The Isles played last night so now on tired legs will revert to a even more defensive stance than usual if that is possible. This Im betting results in a combined score that remains on the low side of the offered Totals number. Note: Seattle has score 2 goals or less in 5 of their L/6 and Im betting nothing changes tonight on Long Island. 'NHL team against the total (NY ISLANDERS) - poor offensive team - scoring 2.55 or less goals/game on the season, after a blowout win by 3 goals or more are 75-33 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. ( Isles took out Ottawa 4-1 last night) NY ISLANDERS are 22-9 UNDER L/31 in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 4.8 gpg. Under is 6-1 in Islanders last 7 games following a win. Under is 4-0 in Kraken last 4 games as a road underdog. Play on the UNDER |
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02-01-22 | Nuggets v. Wolves UNDER 232 | 115-130 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 17 m | Show | |
Both these sides are off big run and gun DD wins vs top tier sides , as Minnesota flattened Utah and Denver smashed the defending champion Bucks and now Im betting on a regression on offense in a natural letdown situation. This will effect the combined score which favors the under. Under is 8-3 in Nuggets last 11 road games. Under is 5-1 in Timberwolves last 6 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MINNESOTA /DENVER) - after a blowout win by 15 points or more against opponent after a blowout win by 20 points or more are 22-3 UNDER L/5 seasons last 26 seasons for a 88% conversion rate. Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Minnesota. Play on the UNDER |
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02-01-22 | Boston College v. Virginia UNDER 119.5 | 55-67 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-31-22 | Warriors v. Rockets OVER 229 | 122-108 | Win | 100 | 11 h 5 m | Show | |
Houston as this season has progressed has turned into a run and gun type team that plays little or no defense ranking 1st in pace and 30th in ppg allowed . Tonight against a top tier opponent Im betting they leave everything on the floor as they are expected to lose anyway vs Golden State. This Im betting sees a very uptempo game and alot of offensive fireworks and a combined score that eclipses this total. HOUSTON is 13-3 OVER versus below average foul drawing teams - attempting 21 or less free throws/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 239.7 ppg scored. Over is 12-2 in Rockets last 14 games as a home underdog. Over is 13-3 in Rockets last 16 home games NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (GOLDEN STATE) - off 2 or more consecutive home wins, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 26-3 OVER L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 240.3 ppg scored. Play OVER |
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01-30-22 | Bengals v. Chiefs UNDER 55 | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 104 h 40 m | Show | |
AFC Playoffs - Championship The KC Chiefs exploded offensively in a a back in forth game against the Buffalo Bills last week pulling off the over time win. Now Im betting they will be in an emotional letdown spot vs the visiting Bengals and their offense could easily be a little more muted this Saturday which Im betting will directly effect this total to the under. CINCINNATI is 24-8 L/32 UNDER in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) in the second half of the season with a combined average of 36.2 ppg scored. CINCINNATI is 15-1 L/16 UNDER in road games versus excellent offensive teams - averaging 375 or more yards/game in the second half of the season with a combined average of 39.5 ppg scored. CINCINNATI is 7-0 UNDER after gaining 99 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games this season with a combined average of 39.9 ppg scored. KANSAS CITY is 38-20 UNDER as a home favorite of 7.5 to 14 points since 1992 with the average ppg with a combined average of 40.2 ppg scored. NFL eam where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 (KANSAS CITY) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 0.4 YPP) after 8+ games, after gaining 375 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games are 31-8 UNDER L/10 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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01-30-22 | Cleveland State v. Northern Kentucky OVER 133.5 | 72-78 | Win | 100 | 3 h 33 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-29-22 | Devils v. Hurricanes OVER 6 | 1-2 | Loss | -123 | 9 h 47 m | Show | |
The Devils have lost six of their last seven games, with the one win coming in a back forth tilt last Saturday in a 7-4 home victory against Carolina and Im betting on a repeat type of output this week but most probably not a win. I expect the Canes with revenge on their minds to really be aggressive on offense which will help this game edge over the total as the Devils will be forced into opening up with an attempt of some offensive fireworks of their own. Over is 11-2 in Devils last 13 road games.Over is 10-2 in Devils last 12 games as a road underdog. NEW JERSEY is 7-1 OVER in road games after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games this season with a combined average of 7.2 gpg scored. Over is 7-3 in Hurricanes last 10 home games. Over is 9-4 in Hurricanes last 13 games as a favorite.CAROLINA is 7-1 OVER vs. division opponents this season with a combined average of 7.8 gpg scored.' NHL Home teams where the total is 6 or more (CAROLINA) - top caliber team - outscoring their opponents by 0.65+ goals/game, after a close win by 1 goal in their previous game are 67-30 OVER L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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01-28-22 | Canisius v. Monmouth OVER 141.5 | 67-72 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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01-27-22 | Wolves v. Warriors UNDER 228.5 | 115-124 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 4 m | Show | |
Golden State ranks 1st in the NBA in defensive rating and 1st in ppg allowed and rank 12th in pace. At home they are almost always able to dictate the tempo of a game and nothing will change tonight against a offensively aggressive Minnesota side that is ranked 18th in offensive rating and 10th in overall defensive rating. Under is 5-1 in Warriors last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. GOLDEN STATE home games this season have seen a combined average of 211.6 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE is 16-3 UNDER as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season with a combined average of 205.4 ppg scored this season.GOLDEN STATE is 17-6 UNDER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 214.4 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE is 16-7 UNDER versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game this season with the combined average of 209.4 ppg scored. MINNESOTA L/155 road games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 70% or better ) has seen a combined average of 201.4 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (GOLDEN STATE) - an average offensive team (108-114 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG), after a blowout win by 20 points or more are 45-17 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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01-25-22 | Nuggets v. Pistons OVER 218 | 110-105 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 9 m | Show | |
Over is 6-0 in Nuggets last 6 overall and Im betting on another fairly high scoring affair here today based on my projections which estimate a combined score in the low 220s. Over is 7-2 in Nuggets last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Meanwhile, the Detroit Pistons are 5-1 OVER in the Pistons last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Over is 10-3-1 in Pistons last 14 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. DENVER is 15-2 OVER after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 233.3 ppg scored. Malone is 14-3 OVER (+10.7 Units) versus pathetic teams - shooting 43% or less with a defense of 46% or less as the coach of DENVER with a combined average of 221.6 ppg scored. DETROIT is 14-6 OVER in non-conference games this season with a combined average of 222.3 ppg scored, NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (DENVER) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or more ), after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher are 29-6 L/5 over for a 83% conversion rate with a combined average of 233.6 ppg scored. Over is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings. Play on the OVER |
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01-24-22 | Jazz v. Suns UNDER 222 | 109-115 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 37 m | Show | |
Utah played last night in a very physical grinding game against the Warriors losing 94-92 and will be on tired legs tonight and not prepared to run and will once again formulate a tough defensive transitional game plan vs a dangerous opponent. Meanwhile, the Suns behind the 1st ranked defensive rating in the league, will once again be prepared to grind their opponents down, in what Im betting will be a lower scoring affair. Under is 4-0 in Jazz last 4 overall. Under is 5-1 in Suns last 6 games as a favorite. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (UTAH/ PHOENIX) - in a game involving 2 very good teams - outscoring opponents by 7+ PPG in the 2nd half of the season are 25-2 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 94% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (UTAH) - a good offensive team (114-118 PPG) against an avg. offensive team (108-114 PPG) after 42+ games, after a loss by 6 points or less are 44-17UNDER L/26 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. NBA team (PHOENIX) - after having covered 2 of their last 3 against the spread, a top-level team (75% or more ) playing a good team (60% to 75%) are 43-18 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Under is 11-5 in the last 16 meetings in Phoenix. Under is 17-7 in Suns last 24 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Play UNDER |
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01-23-22 | Jazz v. Warriors UNDER 222 | 92-94 | Win | 100 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
These teams in their previous few meetings have combined for some very high scores, but the Jazz and their hosts current form suggests a ,ore conservative transitional affair . When considering the type of defensive hoops the Warriors (No 1 ppg allowed) have embraced this totals offering give us value on an under wager tonight as my projections estimate a combined score that fails to eclipse the number . GOLDEN STATE is 7-0 UNDER in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots this season with a combined average of 205.5 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE 18 games this season when playing against a team with a winning record has seen a combined average of 215.5 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE is 15-4 UNDER after a game where they failed to cover the spread this season with a combined average of 207.2 ppg scored. GOLDEN STATE in 23 games as a home favorite this season have seen a combined average of 212.2 ppg scored. Golden State ranks 11th in pace and Utah ranks 15th in pace. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (UTAH/GOLDEN STATE) - in a game involving 2 very good teams - outscoring opponents by 7+ PPG in the 2nd half of the season are 24-2 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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01-23-22 | Nets v. Wolves UNDER 236.5 | 125-136 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
Im not expecting this combined score to eclipse the total. Under is 8-3 in Nets last 11 games as a road underdog and are 10-4-1 in Nets last 15 games as an underdog. Meanwhile, the Under is 23-9 in Timberwolves last 32 games as a home favorite and when they are well rested with 3 or more days rest like they have tonight are 7-3 UNDER. NBA BROOKLYN is 13-0 UNDER versus teams who make 14 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 214.3 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MINNESOTA) - after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games, on Sunday games are 38-17 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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01-21-22 | Nets v. Spurs OVER 233 | 117-102 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
The Celtics enter this tilt with a 3-7 ATS mark in their last 10 games overall and are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games as well as 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite. The Celtics have also been negative output bets in their L/6 at home vs below .500 opposition failing to cover 5 of their L/6 attempts. Meanwhile, the Blazers have won and covered 4 of their L/6 and are playing mostly competitive hoops. and must not be underestimated as underdogs. Key : Center Jusuf Nurkic, who has recorded three successive double-doubles will be key to the Blazers ability to compete here in revenge mode for a loss to the Celtics earlier this season. NBA Home teams (BOSTON) - a struggling offensive team (104-108 PPG) against an avg. defensive team (108-114 PPG), after scoring 105 points or less 2 straight games are 54-92 L/26 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors. Trail Blazers are 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Boston. Play on the Portland Blazers to cover |