Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-30-21 | USC +9 v. Gonzaga | Top | 66-85 | Loss | -115 | 17 h 59 m | Show |
USC/Gonzaga 7:15: Gonzaga is surely a talented team loaded with scorers. Kispert, Suggs, Timme and Ayayi can light it up on any given evening; however, the athletic Mobley brothers don't have to take a backseat to anybody. Evan has been a beast most of the season and his brother - Isaiah- elevated his game in the NCAA Tournament; moreover, Trojans getting great backcourt play from Eddy and White. PAC 12 continues to be a money maker in this tournament - a testament to how strong this conference is. For Gonzaga, they're toying with the lightweights for most of the regular season and it could cost them here. These PAC 12 teams are underrated in their defense and USC is one of those. The 64.1 PPG the Trojans allow - good for 38th in the nation - doesn't reflect how good defensively USC is. We'll take the points with the Trojans! |
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03-29-21 | Arkansas v. Baylor -7.5 | 72-81 | Win | 100 | 19 h 25 m | Show | |
Arkansas/Baylor 9:57: Arkansas has been fortunate to come back from double-digits in a number of games including its 12 point second half deficit to Oral Roberts on Saturday. The Hogs utilized their size by going to the paint and cleaned up the glass on the smaller Golden Eagles in the second half. This time, however, the Hogs will have their work cut out for them vs the long, athletic Bears. Bears, the #1 three point shooting team in the nation (42.9%), had an extreme off day vs a very well coached and disciplined Villanova team. Bears shot a miserable 15.5% from beyond the arc yet won and covered! Coach Drew had the Bears attack the rim in the second half and despite a sluggish outing from leading scorer Jared Butler, Mitchell and Flagler elevated their game to deliver the goods. In addition, the Bears turned up the defensive intensity to force turnovers and get out and run. Baylor not only can ring up points (#3 in nation), they can lock down in critical moments defensively. Arkansas should have trouble finding their rhythm attacking the glass vs the swift Bears' defense. Baylor the call. |
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03-29-21 | Oregon State +8 v. Houston | 61-67 | Win | 100 | 17 h 25 m | Show | |
Oregon State/Houston 7:15: Oregon State is having the most impressive run of the year. A team predicted to finish 12th in their league has beaten or avenged every loss in their conference, including USC, UCLA, Oregon! Given that the PAC 12 has established itself as the premier NCAA Tournament conference, that's impressive! Houston is pretty dominant itself and Sampson is an excellent teacher; however, the Cougars are expending tremendous energy each game to fight to stay alive; meanwhile, the Beavers displayed patience and a brilliant combination of zone/man defense to dismantle a very good Loyola-Chicago team. Now they face the #2 defense in the nation and I'm not betting against them. Oregon State's compiled a 6-0 ATS mark as a dog and 13-3-1 ATS vs teams above .500. Ethan Thompson is getting great support from clutch shooting of Lucas and the monster inside game of Alatishe. I'm grabbing the points. |
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03-28-21 | Oregon +2 v. USC | Top | 68-82 | Loss | -106 | 18 h 29 m | Show |
Oregon/USC 9:45: PAC 12 turning out to be the strongest conference in this tournament and both of these teams capable of being a Final Four team. And both head coaches are excellent tournament coaches; however, we'll roll with Oregon and Dana Altman. The Ducks were throttled by USC 72-58 in Southern California on February 22nd. The Ducks have avenged every conference loss (*only played WSU once this season) including Colorado and Oregon State. Ducks have a well balanced team and solid perimeter shooters (38%). Richardson, Figueroa are great in supporting leading scorer Duarte. And Rutgers transfer Omoruyi delivers the physicality they need. They'll need to be at their best for Evan Mobley is dangerous and his brother Isaiah is stepping up his game. We'll bet the Ducks deliver. They're 5-0 as a neutral court dog and 10-1 ATS as an NCAA Tournament dog! |
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03-28-21 | UCLA +6.5 v. Alabama | 88-78 | Win | 102 | 15 h 24 m | Show | |
UCLA/Alabama 7:15: Good defensive teams that slowed down Alabama had success against them this season. Clemson, Missouri, Oklahoma instituted a winning formula in slowing down the Tide. UCLA's HC Cronin is a good defensive coach and surely will have his men slow down the Tide and force them to play from the half court to allow the Bruins to lock in defensively. Juzang and company have been a scrappy bunch - coming from double-digits behind in the First Four game vs Michigan State and easily dispatching BYU and ACU. UCLA a good momentum team under Cronin while Alabama a dud as an NCAA Tournament favorite 1-5 ATS. UCLA the call. |
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03-28-21 | Florida State v. Michigan -2 | 58-76 | Win | 100 | 14 h 27 m | Show | |
Florida State/Michigan 5:00: Despite the loss of Livers, I still like Michigan here. They still have what it takes to be a Final Four team. Brooks is stepping up his game to fill the void Livers left. Dickinson has been a beast in the paint all season, while Wagner and Smith and, at times - Brown, serve great in the supporting role on both ends of the court. Wolves with a strong 12-4-2 ATS mark as an NCAA Tournament favorite, and Juwan Howard should help continue to add to that strong trend. |
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03-28-21 | Creighton v. Gonzaga -13 | 65-83 | Win | 100 | 12 h 50 m | Show | |
Creighton/Gonzaga 2:10: Sure, pressure on Gonzaga - which is the overall favorite to win this tournament. And they've surely disappointed in previous NCAAs; however, not today. This Gonzaga team is the most talented ever. They drop nearly 93 PPG and should overwhelm a good but not great Creighton team. Bulldogs 5-1 ATS on a neutral floor and 2-0 SU/ATS in this series with double digit wins in 2017 and 2018. Gonzaga should be focused here and roll. |
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03-28-21 | Mississippi State +4 v. Memphis | 64-77 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 35 m | Show | |
Mississippi State/Memphis Noon: Like the value with the Bulldogs. Miss State - not a great shooting team but gelling under well schooled veteran tournament coach Ben Howland. Molinar and Stewart stepped up their game yesterday scoring 25 and 23 points, respectively. And they did it against a good LA Tech team. The Bulldogs, 4-1 ATS as a dog, are battle tested having three wins over NCAA Tournament teams - North Texas, Missouri and Florida. Memphis, which blew out a good Colorado State team yesterday, yet I'm still not sold. Tigers did have one win over a NCAA Tournament team - Wichita State; however, they failed twice to close out Elite 8 - Houston - not an easy task, but nevertheless not a closer. And getting a few buckets with the tough defense and strong rebounding Bulldogs which will try hard to slow this game down to a methodical half court game, we'll take. |
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03-27-21 | Syracuse v. Houston UNDER 141 | 46-62 | Win | 100 | 19 h 29 m | Show | |
Syracuse/Houston 9:55: Both of these teams are in great defensive rhythm. The Orangemen finally got their zone rotation in sync late; as a matter of fact, they've limited opponents to 72 points or less over their last 6 games. The Houston Cougars, however, control the #2 defense in the nation - allowing 57.6 PPG. Sampson will surely find ways to disrupt red hot coach's son- Buddy Boheim by meeting him half-court to disrupt timing. Grimes, one of Sampson's top defenders could get the task. Nevertheless, two brilliant defensive minds - Boheim vs Sampson should result in a defensive battle. |
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03-27-21 | Oral Roberts v. Arkansas -11 | Top | 70-72 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 20 m | Show |
Oral Roberts/Arkansas 7:25: No #15 seed has ever advanced to the Elite 8 and I don't see it happening here. These teams met earlier this season. Oral Roberts surprisingly jumped all over the Hogs before Justin Smith and Moody elevated their game significantly. The Hogs ended up dominating the glass to the tune of a 58-32 advantage. We'll look for Musselman to work a similar strategy in the low post but earlier this time. The Golden Eagles managed to cover the 19' point spread back on December 20th but now get a measly 11 points. Arkansas clearly the more talented team and should demonstrate that tonight. |
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03-27-21 | Villanova v. Baylor -7.5 | 51-62 | Win | 100 | 15 h 31 m | Show | |
Villanova/Baylor 5:15: Villanova doing a bang up job but now face a very talented and deep Bears team. Without Gillespie (season ending injury), Bears have the significant edge. Winthrop and North Texas are good teams the Wildcats dispatched but the Bears are a different animal. And Baylor is showing signs of elevated tournament basketball. Baylor the call. |
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03-27-21 | Oregon State +7 v. Loyola-Chicago | 65-58 | Win | 100 | 48 h 18 m | Show | |
Oregon State/Loyola-Chicago 2:40: Prior to the season, Oregon State was expected to finish last in the PAC 12 by most experts. Only Wayne Tinkle and his Beavers believed they could be a tournament team; consequently, Oregon State rolled to the Sweet 16 with an impressive 20-9 ATS mark! They're disrespected here vs Loyola-Chicago. Sure, the Ramblers rolled through #1 seed Illinois and Porter Moser will surely have his boys prepared for this matchup. Illinois Chicago's offense works through 6'9" Krutwig. He's a beast and his surrounding cast is unselfish and relentless; however, Oregon State plays is an underrated defensive team with an offense that is clicking in the post-season. Silva is an underrated center and Ethan Thompson is a consistent double-digit scorer with a good supporting cast. We'll take the points. |
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03-25-21 | Louisiana Tech v. Western Kentucky +1 | 72-65 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 14 m | Show | |
Louisiana Tech/Western Kentucky 10:00: These teams played on January 8th and 9th with both teams splitting wins in tight games. Rick Stansberry, who coaches WKY, molded some really good Mississippi State teams from 1998 to 2012 in which he took the Bulldogs to 12 post-season trips including 5 NCAA Tournaments. He has a veteran group that's played together a few seasons now. 6'11" Bassey is a dominant big man with a solid group of perimeter shooters and a good floor leader in McKnight. Stansberry's prep should decide the winner here. Western Kentucky the call. |
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03-24-21 | Cavs v. Bulls -5.5 | 103-94 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 6 m | Show | |
Cavaliers/Bulls 8:10: Bulls bounce off losses well under Donovan at 8-2 ATS. And they play the favorite role well at 6-2 ATS. Bulls were blown out at home vs Utah on Monday - the second of back-to-back games. However, Cavaliers pale in comparison with the Jazz. Cavaliers sport the 30th ranked offense, poor on the road - 5-16 ATS, and lost 5 of their last 7 dog roles. Bulls 11-4 ATS at home vs a team under .500. Donovan doing a solid job bringing Bulls back to respectability and we'll roll with them here. |
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03-22-21 | Maryland v. Alabama -5.5 | 77-96 | Win | 100 | 18 h 5 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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03-22-21 | Colorado +1.5 v. Florida State | 53-71 | Loss | -109 | 17 h 16 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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03-22-21 | LSU v. Michigan -4.5 | 78-86 | Win | 100 | 17 h 32 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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03-22-21 | Oregon +5.5 v. Iowa | Top | 95-80 | Win | 100 | 10 h 13 m | Show |
Oregon/Iowa 12:10: PAC 12 now undefeated in NCAA Tournament. Oregon is clearly a contender and a solid tournament team; as a matter of fact, Ducks 5-0-1 ATS last 6 in NCAAs. They're 13-3 ATS on a neutral floor and covered last 6 as a dog. Sure, the Ducks snuck in by virtue of default on VCU (Covid19). I'm sure well versed tournament coach Dana Altman made the best use of the Ducks extended time. The Ducks have some veteran players, including Rutgers transfer Omoruyi and Duarte. Also NCAA Tournament experience with G Richardson and St. John's transfer Figueroa. Sure Garza is a force and the Hawkeyes are offensively prolific; however, defensively, give up too many points and just 0-3-2 ATS on a neutral floor. We'll grab the points with the red hot PAC 12. |
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03-21-21 | North Texas v. Villanova -5 | 61-84 | Win | 100 | 17 h 21 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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03-21-21 | Rutgers v. Houston -8 | 60-63 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 47 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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03-21-21 | Wisconsin v. Baylor -6.5 | 63-76 | Win | 100 | 14 h 33 m | Show | |
Wisconsin/Baylor 2:40: Baylor just too potent for Wisconsin to stay with. Badgers' Davidson, who averages just around 9 PPG on the year, went off for 29 vs North Carolina. Highly unlikely he's on against Baylor. Badgers' Trice is the only consistent scorer for Wisconsin. Baylor, however, has a handful of players scoring double digits yet play solid defense too (allow 65.6 PPG). Baylor the call. |
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03-20-21 | Missouri v. Oklahoma -104 | 68-72 | Win | 100 | 18 h 41 m | Show | |
Missouri/Oklahoma 7:25: Both teams did not finish season well. And Sooners second leading scorer Harmon will be out (Covid19). Nevertheless, Sooners are the call here. Oklahoma was sizzling in January - beating four Top 10 teams. We'll look for them to regain some of their magic here. Austin Reaves is their top gun and he'll need help from other double-digit scorers in Gibson and Manek. And Harkless will have to step up his game in extra minutes to fill the void. Mizzou 0-5 ATS in NCAA Tournament action and nowhere near what HC Martin wants defensively. Oklahoma the call. |
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03-20-21 | Iona +17 v. Alabama | 55-68 | Win | 100 | 15 h 40 m | Show | |
Iona/Alabama 4:00: If any coach can do the impossible, Rick Pitino may be a guy to bet on. Pitino, who is taking his 5th different team to the NCAA Tournament, came off a Greek Cup Championship before taking his #9 Gaels to victory in the Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference Championship for the automatic NCAA entry. He has some talent that can run the floor; after all, he'll need it against an athletic and talented Crimson Tide team. Gaels are 9-0-1 ATS when it scores more than 69.8 points in a game. They're 5-0-1 ATS on a neutral floor and 8-1 ATS as a dog. Given extra Pitino prep time, don't count the legendary coach out. We'll roll with Isaiah Ross and company and the points. |
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03-20-21 | UC-Santa Barbara +7.5 v. Creighton | Top | 62-63 | Win | 100 | 13 h 19 m | Show |
UCSB/Creighton 3:30: Gauchos another veteran tournament team with 3 seniors and 2 juniors including Big West Player of the Year - McLaughlin. Gauchos' HC Pasternack has his men playing great defense and running an efficient offense. They're 13-3 ATS vs teams above .500 and 5-1 ATS vs teams above .600. Blue Jays a disappointing 1-10-1 ATS in the NCAA Tournament and 1-5 ATS as an NCAA Tournament favorite. UCSB the call. |
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03-20-21 | St Bonaventure +2 v. LSU | Top | 61-76 | Loss | -112 | 13 h 8 m | Show |
Bonnies/Tigers 1:45: Bonnies a veteran team that's played together for years and finally reaping the rewards. St. Bonaventure won the Atlantic 10 regular season title and conference tournament title - first time ever in history of program. Mark Schmidt is an excellent coach and a solid tournament coach as evidenced by his 10-1 ATS mark on a neutral floor. Bonnies play great defense, rebound and take care of the ball well. They have solid perimeter shooters and Lofton and defensive stopper Osunniyi are a dangerous outside in combination. LSU can score but defensively flawed. And just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 NCAAs. |
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03-19-21 | Winthrop +6.5 v. Villanova | 63-73 | Loss | -100 | 19 h 4 m | Show | |
Winthrop/Villanova 9:57: Trouble spot for three time NCAA Champion Villanova. Wildcats, without Gillespie (ACL), should have trouble with a dangerous Winthrop squad. Winthrop spreads the floor and can deliver with matchup nightmare 6'7" Vaudrin who is Big South P.O.Y. and tournament MVP. Take the points. |
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03-19-21 | Syracuse v. San Diego State -3 | 78-62 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 59 m | Show | |
Syracuse/San Diego State/Syracuse 9:40: SDS the real deal. Beat UCLA early in the season and nearly swept through the MWC if it weren't for a defensively stout Utah State team and a tournament bound Colorado State team. The Aztecs did manage to avenge both losses and consistent in their solid play on both ends of the floor. Syracuse zone won't have great answers for a dominant inside out Aztecs' game with Mountain West P.O.Y. Mitchell and sharp shooter Schakel who knocks it down from the perimeter at a staggering 46.7%. San Diego State the call. |
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03-19-21 | Wisconsin v. North Carolina -1.5 | 85-62 | Loss | -108 | 17 h 40 m | Show | |
Wisconsin/North Carolina 7:10: Not sold on Wisconsin which goes into offensive lapses because of no big time playmaker. Badgers lost 4 of their last 5 games down stretch. North Carolina, however, playing a good stretch of basketball and has shooters - 6 players average 8+ PPG including top scorer Bacot, and a deep bench. NC 4-0-1 ATS on a neutral floor as a favorite whereas the Badgers 0-3-1 ATS on a neutral floor and just 1-6 ATS vs teams above .600. Roy Williams, a veteran tournament coach, will have them ready and rolling. |
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03-19-21 | Colgate +9 v. Arkansas | 68-85 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
Colgate/Arkansas 12:45: Colgate averages nearly 86 PPG yet respectable defensively. Of course, they'll need to make stops against Moses Moody and company. They Raiders have a star of their own in Jordan Burns who can scorch the net from the perimeter and a big man in Keegan Records who can run the floor. Colgate has a shooters chance in this one and we'll take the points. |
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03-18-21 | UCLA v. Michigan State -2 | 86-80 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
UCLA/Michigan State 9:57: PAC 12 appears to be down a notch this year and UCLA should have trouble here. Bruins failed to beat OSU back on Dec 19th and finished on an 0-3 SU slide. Cronin is a good coach and has the program going in the right direction; however, Michigan State, which is having a bad year, is battle tested banging in the Big 10 and winning some notable games (Illinois & Michigan). The Spartans struggle offensively vs good defensive teams and I can't give UCLA that distinction. Aaron Henry is their playmaker and we'll look for the Spartans to deliver. |
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03-18-21 | Drake v. Wichita State +2.5 | 53-52 | Win | 100 | 5 h 11 m | Show | |
Drake/Wichita State 6:27: Both teams are solid and capable of making a run in this tournament; however, we'll go with the gritty Shockers. Shockers' first year head coach - Isaac Brown - did a great job keeping this team playing at a high level after the firing of their legendary coach - Marshall. Shockers won the AAC Title including knocking off #7 Houston. Shockers know their roll and execute well. Gilbert does a nice job as the floor leader, Etienne (AAC Co-P.O.Y.) great at finding ways to score, and Dexter Dennis a key defensive stopper lead a determined team. Shockers are 9-2 ATS in games decided by 5 points or less, and 5-0-1 ATS vs teams above .600. The Bulldogs are equally dangerous. Play great defense and find ways to score. They did, however, lose their top two scorers Hemphill (questionable) and Penn (out) with foot injuries. With Wichita State at 15-5-1 ATS as a dog, we'll grab the points. |
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03-17-21 | Heat -2 v. Grizzlies | 85-89 | Loss | -100 | 20 h 43 m | Show | |
Heat/Grizzlies 9:05: Heat playing well (11-1 SU/9-3 ATS) and healthy; consequently, they're gelling on both ends of the floor. Adebayo (knee) looked solid last night vs Cleveland after his long layoff. And defensively, they're locking down - allowing a league low 44.3% from the floor. Heat play well unrested at 5-1 ATS and covered 5 of last 6 in series. Grizzlies off two straight losses will have a rough night. |
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03-15-21 | Lakers v. Warriors +3 | 128-97 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 45 m | Show | |
Lakers/Warriors 10:35: This series has alternated spread wins and losses over the last 10 games. Most recent, Lakers avenged their 115-113 January 18th loss with a convincing 117-91 route at Los Angeles on February 28th. Tonight, the Lakers, short handed without Gasol, A.D. and Caruso, head back to Golden State where the Warriors polished off the Jazz on Sunday. Lakers 0-4 ATS in their last 4 on the road vs a team with home winning % above .600. Warriors covered the last 4 at home and should deliver here. |
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03-14-21 | VCU v. St Bonaventure -2.5 | 65-74 | Win | 100 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
VCU/St. Bonaventure 1:00: This season, these teams split games each winning on their home floor; Bonnies however, covered both games. St. Bonaventure has the #7 defense in the nation and they're living up that. Yesterday, they shut down a pretty good offensive team (SLU) in holding them to 23 points below their season average. Bonnies play well on a neutral floor (6-0 ATS) and 4-0 ATS as a neutral floor favorite. Moreover, they run a productive four guard offense with Adaway, Holmes, Welch and Lofton. And they have a dominant big man in 6'10" Osunniyi who's a force on both ends of the floor. Well schooled Bonnies' HC Schmidt will surely have a good plan on how to limit "Bones" Hyland. Bonnies lost this conference championship in 2019 but that experience will carry over to a win and cover today. |
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03-13-21 | Memphis +7.5 v. Houston | Top | 74-76 | Win | 100 | 16 h 2 m | Show |
Memphis/Houston 5:30: After an underachieving start of the season, Memphis found their rhythm in late January going on a 9-1 ATS tear. They're still 0-2 in Quad 1 games so they're on the bubble and will need a win here to secure an NCAA Tournament invite. Tigers gave #7 Houston a major run for their money in Houston on March 7th - losing on a half court buzzer beater. The Tigers will get a second chance and I think they'll make the best of it. Memphis is deep in talent with Jeffries, Williams, Ellis, Quinones and may even have Lomax (ankle) back today. We'll grab the points with the Tigers. |
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03-13-21 | LSU v. Arkansas -3 | 78-71 | Loss | -108 | 14 h 5 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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03-12-21 | Missouri v. Arkansas -3 | 64-70 | Win | 100 | 17 h 15 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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03-12-21 | Oklahoma State +9 v. Baylor | 83-74 | Win | 100 | 3 h 51 m | Show | |
Oklahoma State/Baylor 6:30: Oklahoma State on a nice roll (7-0 ATS run) and can create a better seeding position in the NCAAs with a win here. As for Baylor, a red hot roll is now simmering to a lukewarm underwhelming 3-5 ATS slide. Baylor, the #2 team in the NCAA, is locked in a #1 seeding position for the NCAAs and focused on winning the bigger prize - NCAAs. The Cowboys did lose both games to the Bears this year; however, covered most recent one and was clearly in the game in the first matchup despite the absence of their superstar - Cade Cunningham. Baylor finished them off with a late run in that game. With Cunningham back and good support from his mates, we'll grab the generous amount of points with the Cowboys - who have that extra incentive to improve NCAA Tournament seeding. |
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03-12-21 | Georgetown v. Seton Hall -2.5 | 66-58 | Loss | -109 | 17 h 29 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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03-12-21 | Iona -6 v. Niagara | 70-64 | Push | 0 | 16 h 43 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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03-11-21 | Bowling Green v. Akron -1 | 67-74 | Win | 100 | 18 h 19 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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03-11-21 | Mississippi State +3.5 v. Kentucky | 74-73 | Win | 100 | 12 h 11 m | Show | |
Mississippi State/Kentucky Noon: Heavy action on Kentucky; after all, Kentucky has been a perennial Big Dance team and dominated the SEC Tournament under Calipari; however, this is not one of Kentucky's usual NBA loaded one and done teams. The Wildcats are not much better offensive team (70.3 PPG) than the Bulldogs (69.4 PPG). Moreover, Ben Howland's bunch is better defensively and on the boards than Kentucky. Both teams will need to win this tournament to advance and we'll grab Miss State. Ben Howland is looking to avenge January 2nd 75-73 Double OT loss. And remember, Howland is a very good tournament coach taking four teams to the NCAA Tournament. His old Pitt teams to a pair of Sweet 16s and his old UCLA teams to two Final Fours and the Runner Up in 05-06. Rebounding, defense and toughness is how he built those teams and this Mississippi State team resembles that pattern. Stewart Jr. and Tolu Smith are a good outside in combination with energetic supporting players. Miss State the call. |
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03-11-21 | Michigan State +1.5 v. Maryland | 57-68 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 29 m | Show | |
Michigan State/Maryland 11:30: Michigan State should be more prepared to deal with the stifling defense of Maryland. February 28th, the Terrapins flustered Langford (3 of 13/2 of 8) and Henry (4 of 16/ 0 of 4) into their worst games of the season. We'll look for well schooled Michigan State Head Coach - Izzo to make the needed adjustments to spring his top guns into open looks. The Spartans got revenge on Michigan and should deliver vs Maryland to strengthen their seeding in the NCAA Tournament. Offensively challenged MD is on an 0-2 slide since their win over Michigan State. Spartans the call. |
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03-10-21 | Texas A&M +1.5 v. Vanderbilt | 68-79 | Loss | -109 | 17 h 6 m | Show | |
Texas A&M/Vanderbilt 7:00: Offensively challenged A&M gradually getting better under Buzz Williams. Jackson, Miller and Flagg not ready to go home yet. As for Vanderbilt, do all Pippen Jr. left with limited supporting help now that Disu (15 PPG/9.2 RPG) is out. We'll grab A&M. |
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03-10-21 | Iona -1.5 v. Siena | 55-52 | Win | 100 | 16 h 59 m | Show | |
Iona/Sienna 5:00: Sienna is 0-10 in this tournament vs Iona and we'll stay on Iona. The Gaels choked out Quinnipiac, holding the Bobcats to 28% from the field. Of course Maciariello has turned Sienna around into the class of the league. Pickett and Camper are a dangerous veteran duo. Nevertheless, Pitino has Iona playing like a serious contender and his tournament experience will have them well prepared. |
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03-09-21 | Iona -6 v. Quinnipiac | 72-48 | Win | 100 | 16 h 8 m | Show | |
Iona/Quinnipiac 5:00: Quinnipiac got the best of Iona back on February 17th 74-70. The difference maker was the Bobcats' Tyrese Williams got to the free throw line 11 times converting on 10 en-route to a 21 point game. Tonight, look for Pitino have his boys shut down lanes and force the Bobcats to beat them from the perimeter where they shoot just 32.7%. The Gaels need better support for Isaiah Ross. Gist needs to step up his game to add to strong backcourt play. We'll bet on that. Iona the call. |
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03-09-21 | Miami-FL +4 v. Pittsburgh | 79-73 | Win | 100 | 12 h 58 m | Show | |
Miami-Fla/Pittsburgh 2:00: Both teams have lost 6 of the last 7 games but we'll take the points with the Hurricanes. Not buying in to Pittsburgh which has a few key cogs in the transfer portal; as a matter of fact, Toney and Johnson (2 of Pitt's top 3 scorers) were an integral part of defeating the Hurricanes 70-55 on December 16th. The Panthers are left with a big time player in 6'6" F Champagnie; however, his supporting cast is limited. On the other hand, Larranaga is equipped with a pretty good backcourt in Wong and McGusty and some interior size. Never underestimate the genius of Coach Larranaga who took an under the radar George Mason team in 2005-06 to the Final Four. We'll take the points here. |
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03-07-21 | Texas Tech +8 v. Baylor | 73-88 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 58 m | Show | |
Texas Tech/Baylor 4:00: Both teams locked in their seeding for the conference tournament so no major incentive; however, TT, short on talent, may be eager to keep winning momentum (3 game win streak) and exact revenge from January 16th home loss; at the same time, a win for the Red Raiders could give them more leverage on higher seeding in the NCAA Tournament. Bears 0-5 ATS at home vs team with winning road record. With on of the best coaches in the Big 12 (Beard) and a clutch shooter in McClung, Tech has a fighting chance. |
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03-06-21 | Xavier v. Marquette -1.5 | 59-66 | Win | 100 | 20 h 55 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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03-06-21 | Duke +3 v. North Carolina | Top | 73-91 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 3 m | Show |
Analysis to follow... |
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03-06-21 | Villanova -4 v. Providence | 52-54 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 2 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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03-05-21 | Kent State +5.5 v. Buffalo | 67-81 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 5 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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03-04-21 | Rhode Island v. Dayton -3.5 | 72-84 | Win | 100 | 2 h 37 m | Show | |
03-04-21 | St. Joe's +3 v. Massachusetts | 66-100 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
St. Joe's/U Mass 1:00: Staying on St. Joseph's after delivering their 4th straight win SU/ATS. Yesterday, got it done the A-10 First Round over LaSalle. Of course, they'll need to run the table to draw an automatic to The Big Dance. Don't count the Hawks out yet. They're a scrappy bunch and well coached. They've made dramatic progress since November. On the other hand, Minutemen are falling flat on a 1-4 ATS slide. They've had Covid19 issues throughout the season and limited in games with delays, etc. We'll take the hot Hawks. |
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03-04-21 | Duquesne +5.5 v. Richmond | 67-62 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
Duquesne/Richmond 11:00: Dukes on a nice 7-1 ATS run and we're riding them here. HC Dambrot overdue to get his first A-10 post-season win. At Akron, he went 27-10 in the MAC Tournament and went to 9 MAC Championships. He has one of his better Duquesne teams as Tavian Dunn-Martin and Marcus Weathers lead the charge. Richmond struggled down the stretch as 6'10" Golden broke his finger and leading scorer Francis had back issues. Duquesne played Richmond tough (covered) at The Robins Center and should do well at the Stuart C. Siegel Center this morning. Dukes comfortable playing the morning because they've practicing all season in the mornings. Duquesne the call. |
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03-03-21 | St. Joe's -1.5 v. La Salle | 72-66 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
03-02-21 | Wisconsin v. Purdue -1.5 | Top | 69-73 | Win | 100 | 6 h 6 m | Show |
Wisconsin/Purdue 9:00: Wisconsin on a 1-3 SU/ATS slide while Purdue closing down the stretch strong (3-0 SU/ATS run). Badgers have struggled on the offensive end most of the season while Trice and Potter struggle to find the needed offensive support. Sure, their defense is solid but will have a tough time manufacturing an offense as Painter has Purdue tightening the bolts defensively. The Boilermakers allowed just 58.3 PPG over their last 3 conference games. Purdue, 9-1 at home, should deliver the goods here. |
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03-02-21 | Duke +1.5 v. Georgia Tech | 77-81 | Loss | -103 | 5 h 21 m | Show | |
Duke/Georgia Tech 8:00: Duke dangerous in this role: 10-1 ATS on the road following 3 or more home games; moreover, getting Duke as a dog off a loss is a 72% play over the last decade under Coach K. We'll look for Hurt to get the needed support here and play with a frenetic intensity that a Coach K team plays with following a loss. |
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03-02-21 | Illinois v. Michigan -6.5 | 76-53 | Loss | -103 | 5 h 45 m | Show | |
Illinois/Michigan 7:00: One of the keys to Michigan's success this year is freshman matchup nightmare - Dickinson. He is as dominant of a big man as anyone in the NCAA. If you dispute that, ask Luka Garza of Iowa who was the reigning king of big men of the Big 10 until taking on Michigan - where he struggled in perhaps his worst full game of the season. And Michigan's guards Wagner and Livers make it extremely difficult on foes to stop the Wolverines' machine when it gets rolling. Moreover, they're defense is improving as the season progresses. Illinois' HC Underwood will most likely sit top gun Dosunmu (nose) to get him ready for tourneys. Michigan the call. |
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03-02-21 | Baylor v. West Virginia +4 | 94-89 | Loss | -108 | 4 h 47 m | Show | |
Baylor/West Virginia 5:00: West Virginia taking on Baylor at a good time. The Mountaineers played a very good stretch of basketball in February on a 5-1 SU/ATS run; only loss - in OT to Oklahoma. Mounties are 4-1 ATS vs AP Top 25 ranked teams. As for Baylor, they appeared unstoppable until a sluggish performance on 2/23 vs lightweight ISU in which they snuck by 77-72 as a big chalk. They followed that up on the 27th with a blowout 71-58 loss at Kansas. Huggins has tightened the bolts defensively for his team and has McBride and Culver feeling comfortable offensively. WV the call. |
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03-01-21 | Jazz -6.5 v. Pelicans | 124-129 | Loss | -107 | 19 h 30 m | Show | |
Jazz/Pelicans 8:05: Jazz bringing it every night while Van Gundy's boys bring it now and then. Van Gundy preaches defense then complains about it; as a result, Pelicans allow 115.7 PPG - bottom tier in the NBA. Snyder teaches defense and reinforces; as a result, Utah one of the top defensive teams in the NBA. Offensively, Pelicans try to outscore opponents but usually run out of gas while Snyder's bunch is ramped up to 116.2 PPG (#3 in NBA). Chemistry great on both sides of the court as Mitchell, Gobert are a tough combo to stop. And even if Mike Conley can't go, Jazz confident in Ingles to deliver. Jazz well organized and all on same page. That's why the Jazz are on a 22-4 ATS run and 2-0 SU/ATS in this series this season. Make that 3-0 SU/ATS. |
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02-28-21 | Michigan State +2.5 v. Maryland | 55-73 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
Michigan State/Maryland 2:00: Both teams establishing momentum for what was deemed an improbable birth to the NCAA Tournament about a week ago. Michigan State turned in its best week of basketball by starting off Saturday with a road win at Indiana, then Tuesday at home upsetting #5 Illinois, and Thursday knocking off #4 Ohio State. In the process, MSU vaulted to #69 with a legitimate opportunity to make the NCAA Tourney with a win today. In the meantime, MD also on the cusp of making the tourney with a win here. They've won 4 straight but haven't played since last Sunday. MD, a consistent very good defensive team for much of the season yet offensively challenged. Michigan State's resurrection had much to do with the emergence of Aaron Henry (21.7 PPG during win streak). We'll grab the momentum of the Spartans, which were underachieving for most of the season, as Izzo carries his boys to the tournament. |
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02-27-21 | Rhode Island v. Duquesne -1 | 75-86 | Win | 100 | 17 h 55 m | Show | |
Rhode Island/Duquesne 7:00: Rhode Island not the team they were a year ago and not playing that well on the road. They already lost to the Dukes 71-69 at home Jan 20th. Duquesne on a 6-1 ATS run - playing pretty good basketball. Former University of Akron HC Dambrot a good coach and has his team improving every year. Duquesne the call. |
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02-27-21 | Alabama v. Mississippi State +6 | 64-59 | Win | 100 | 16 h 13 m | Show | |
Alabama/Miss State 6:00: Crimson Tide was blazing hot in January but has gotten sluggish in February on a 1-4 ATS slide. Poor defense, turnovers costing them. They step in to a pretty strong venue to take on the vengeful Bulldogs who gave them a run for their money January 23rd with cover as a 9' point dog (81-73). Tonight, we're getting three buckets with a shaping up Miss State team. Ben Howland is all about defense and rebounding and the Bulldogs are showing signs of those strong Pittsburgh teams Howland coached in the 90s. Bulldogs 4-0 ATS after allowing 50 point or less previously. They're not going to entirely stop the offensive minded 'Tide but capable of competing with them on this floor. 'Tide has lost its last 4 ATS on the road. |
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02-27-21 | LSU v. Arkansas -4.5 | Top | 75-83 | Win | 100 | 13 h 0 m | Show |
LSU/Arkansas 2:00: Arkansas playing a great stretch of basketball on a 5-0 ATS run. They're coming off a successful revenge demolition win over #6 Alabama which destroyed them 90-59 in January. Today, the Hogs have LSU in a similar situation. LSU pounded them 92-76 back in mid January and the Hogs, which are a much better team now, will have a revenge opportunity on their strong home floor where they've won and covered their last 4 SEC matchups in impressive fashion. Go Hogs! |
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02-26-21 | Pacers v. Celtics -2.5 | 112-118 | Win | 100 | 3 h 4 m | Show | |
Indiana/Boston 7:35: Celtics in a funk yet should bounce back nice here; after all, they're 8-3 ATS off a loss of 10+ points. Boston has their pride and in a good spot to pick up a convincing win. Boston does miss hustle guy - Marcus Smart (injured) but Walker, Brown and Tatum, sluggish as of late but should turn it up a notch here. They are elite players and no excuse for sluggishness. Indiana not playing their best basketball (3-6 ATS slide) and haven't had a whole lot of success in this series (2-5-2 ATS) including 0-2 SU/ATS in Boston. Pacers 3-8 ATS on the road vs teams with a home winning % above .600. Celtics the call. |
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02-25-21 | Iowa +4.5 v. Michigan | 57-79 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 58 m | Show | |
Iowa/Michigan 7:00: Interesting matchup of big men: Garza vs Dickinson. Dickinson is a beast and nearly unstoppable near the rim. The freshman is growing every week on both ends of the court. Iowa's Garza is an already established big man who has the better touch on the perimeter and a matchup nightmare. And although Michigan is a legitimate top tier contender, still not entirely in rhythm on both ends of the court after that extended layoff from Jan 22nd to Feb 14th. Meanwhile, Iowa is getting their defense in order as they've held their last 5 opponents under 70 points. Iowa a dangerous dog here. |
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02-24-21 | Wolves v. Bulls -4 | 126-133 | Win | 100 | 19 h 34 m | Show | |
02-24-21 | Celtics -1.5 v. Hawks | 112-127 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 40 m | Show | |
02-23-21 | Kansas +2.5 v. Texas | 72-75 | Loss | -107 | 21 h 53 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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02-22-21 | Bulls +1 v. Rockets | 120-100 | Win | 100 | 20 h 47 m | Show | |
Bulls/Rockets 8:05: Bulls' HC Donovan getting the best out of limited talent. Lavine has elevated his game while making supporting players better. Chicago a solid 7-1 ATS as a road dog and should be able to deliver an outright over a collapsing Houston team. HC Silas losing the locker room and he's not equipped with the best mix of locker room guys. Rockets' offensive identity out the window when D'Antoni left. Rockets now 23rd in the NBA offensively. Houston 1-9 ATS on Mondays and failed to cover in 6 of last 7 home games. Chicago has not had success in Houston but that should change. |
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02-21-21 | Wisconsin v. Northwestern +6.5 | 68-51 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 58 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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02-21-21 | Michigan v. Ohio State -1 | 92-87 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 13 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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02-20-21 | Virginia -1.5 v. Duke | 65-66 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 53 m | Show | |
Virginia/Duke 8:00: Virginia the more complete team here. Defensively, #6 in the nation - allowing 59.9 PPG. They're coming off a blowout loss at Florida State after a 4 game win streak. Good wakeup call for the Cavaliers. They're 8-0-1 ATS off a loss and covered 3 of the last 4 vs Duke. Duke 0-7 ATS off a SU win of 20+. Two blowout wins of lightweights - WF and NC State doesn't mean Coach K's team is back. And the Blue Devils aren't a better team without Jalen Johnson (opted out). With the road team 21-6-1 ATS in this series, we'll grab the Cav's here. |
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02-20-21 | Auburn +5 v. LSU | 80-104 | Loss | -116 | 14 h 58 m | Show | |
Auburn/LSU 4:00: Both of these teams aren't known for their defensive prowess this season. LSU can score but don't rule Auburn out. Since Sharife Cooper has been inserted in the lineup, Auburn has been in virtually every game. They're 4-0 ATS on the road vs teams with a home win % above .600. Cooper is not only a great scorer (19.6 PPG) but the key facilitator who makes his teammates better. LSU just 1-4 ATS at home. Road team 8-2 ATS in this series and we'll be glad to take the points with Pearl's competitive bunch. |
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02-20-21 | West Virginia +3.5 v. Texas | Top | 84-82 | Win | 100 | 13 h 25 m | Show |
West Virginia/Texas 3:00: WV no longer deep enough to go full "Press Virginia" but now have some offensively weaponry that can outshoot opponents; of course, that wasn't the case in their last game on the 13th when they missed multiple one footers and free throw attempts. We'll look for Huggins to have cleaned up their game since and get it together today. The Mounties, which lost Tshiewbe (departure) and Cottrell (Achilles) now go to a smaller lineup to space the floor and allow 6'10" big man -Derek Culver to do his thing. And that smaller lineup can shoot! Sherman, McNeil, Bridges, McBride and Matthews Jr. can ring it up. Texas, on a 1-6 ATS slide, just 8-20 ATS at home vs a team with a road win % above .600. We'll look for sweet revenge for the Mountaineers. |
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02-20-21 | Kentucky v. Tennessee -7 | 70-55 | Loss | -106 | 12 h 16 m | Show | |
Kentucky/Tennessee 1:00: Kentucky struggling to find an offense this season scoring just 69.9 PPG at 41.6% from field and 32.6% from perimeter - all in bottom tier of NCAA. Not a good mix going into a strong Tennessee venue. Tennessee controls the #17th ranked defense in the nation allowing just 62.3 PPG. Tennessee already knocked off the Wildcats at Rupp Arena earlier this season 82-71. Johnson and Springer were dominant in that game and now Bailey and Fulkerson are stepping up their game. Tennessee's HC Barnes would love another win over Calipari to establish his presence in the SEC recruiting war. Kentucky 0-5 ATS vs Top 25 and 0-4 ATS on the road against teams with home winning % above .600. Tennessee the call. |
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02-19-21 | Monmouth v. Iona -2 | 86-91 | Win | 100 | 19 h 51 m | Show | |
02-18-21 | Iowa +1 v. Wisconsin | Top | 77-62 | Win | 100 | 16 h 3 m | Show |
Iowa/Wisconsin 7:00: Iowa stepping up its game with a blowout at Michigan State 88-58 on Saturday. The Hawkeyes last two wins pretty impressive because HC McCaffery finally has his guys playing defense. The #3 offense in the nation, that averages an impressive 87.4 PPG, has held its last three foes to a combined 38.3% from the floor and 25.7% from the perimeter - much better than the season average of 42%/34.6%, respectively. Wisconsin, devoid of athletes, will attempt to turn this game into an ugly half court game; however, Iowa has shooters in Weiskamp, Bohannon, Nunge and even the coach's son - Connor McCaffery who team well with one of the top big men in the conference - Luke Garza - who dominates the boards and improving defensively as the season progresses. Wisconsin's Trice tries hard but doesn't have a whole lot of offensive support - as evidenced on Sunday vs a Michigan team that didn't play in nearly three weeks yet managed to shut the Badgers down in the second half (starters 2 of 16). Road team in this series 7-3-1 ATS. We'll grab a point with the better shooting team. |
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02-17-21 | Kentucky v. Vanderbilt +4 | 82-78 | Push | 0 | 18 h 7 m | Show | |
Kentucky/Vanderbilt 7:00: Kentucky continues to be overvalued at 5-13-1 ATS on the season and one of Calipari's worst teams at Kentucky. The Wildcats got the best of Vandy in the first game of this series this season but Vandy easily covered as an 11' point road dog. The Commodores are 2-0 ATS in same season revenge under Stackhouse and should deliver at home tonight. Scottie Pippen Jr. has been a consistent scorer and all around facilitator. Disu has been good on the boards and inside threat. If either Evans, Wright or Harvey can give good support tonight, Vanderbilt should deliver. We'll bet they do. |
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02-15-21 | Virginia +1.5 v. Florida State | Top | 60-81 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 3 m | Show |
Virginia/Florida State 7:00: Virginia poised to knock off Florida State in their dominant venue. The Seminoles struggled at GT in a loss and then took WF to OT before finally pulling it off in a shootout. I can assure you that they won't get those great looks at the basket like they did Saturday. Virginia in a lock down mode defensively controlling the #4 defense in the nation. On the other hand, Florida State has been lax on the perimeter (34.4% allowed - 230th nationally) and that won't cut it vs the dangerous perimeter game of Virginia (39.9%). Cavs 4-1-1 ATS in last 6 on the road and 4-1 ATS after allowing less than 50 points. Virginia 4-1 ATS in this series and we'll roll with them. |
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02-14-21 | Michigan v. Wisconsin +1 | 67-59 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
Michigan/Wisconsin 1:00: Wisconsin hasn't beaten a notable opponent in the Big 10 yet but has a good chance here; after all, Michigan hasn't played since January 22nd (Covid19 related issues). The Badgers are eager to avenge their earlier season 77-54 loss. The score wasn't indicative on how bad the loss was; as a matter of fact, the Wolverines went on a 43-6 run before the Badgers made it respectable in garbage time. Currently, Wolverines haven't had much practice time during layoff and out of rhythm. Badgers a good defensive team (21st nationally) and should exact revenge. Badgers 6-1 ATS on Sundays and we'll grab them here. |
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02-13-21 | Northwestern +8 v. Rutgers | 50-64 | Loss | -107 | 16 h 26 m | Show | |
Northwestern/Rutgers 5:00: Northwestern started respectably with a few impressive Big 10 wins and then collapsed on an 0-10 SU slide; however, value coming back to the Wildcats on a 3-1 ATS run. They're looking to avenge January 31st home loss and have a good shot here. They've covered the last two times visiting Rutgers and took the Scarlett Knights to OT in 2 games there in the last 3 trips. Chase Audige needs more help and he should get it here. The Wildcats can spread the floor and hit 3s; after all, they're 2nd in the Big 10 in making perimeter shots. Rutgers not exactly a fortress guarding the perimeter. Rutgers 1-4 ATS off a SU loss and 0-4 ATS vs teams under .400. NW 5-0 ATS on Saturday. With the road team at 4-0 ATS in this series, we'll grab the points with NW. |
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02-13-21 | Villanova -2.5 v. Creighton | 70-86 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 44 m | Show | |
Villanova/Creighton 5:00: Villanova off an impressive 32 point demolition over Marquette is poised to deliver at Creighton. Wildcats distributing the ball well and playing selfless basketball. Villanova had success at Creighton. Villanova is 10-2 ATS on the road vs winning home teams. Creighton off two wins themselves against Marquette and Georgetown as well. Creighton had 17 turnovers vs Georgetown. They can get away with that vs the mediocre Hoyas but not against the well disciplined Wildcats. Road team has covered 4 straight in this series. Blue Jays 0-4 ATS on Saturdays and we'll grab Villanova. |
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02-13-21 | Colgate -4 v. Army | 84-74 | Win | 100 | 14 h 31 m | Show | |
Colgate/Army 4:00: Colgate clearly the better team here. Interesting series in which the Red Raiders destroyed Army 101-57 on January 2nd only to lose to them the next day 75-73. Colgate plays better on road and Richardson, Burns and Cummings should be focused here. Black Knights 1-4 ATS at home vs winning road teams. |
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02-13-21 | Oklahoma v. West Virginia -2.5 | 91-90 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 60 m | Show | |
Oklahoma/West Virginia 1:00: Realize Oklahoma a dangerous team and giant killer; however, West Virginia in good shape to exact revenge from January 2nd loss. A few days prior to that loss, WV HC Huggins found out that his highest rated prospect Oscar Tshiebwe was transferring to Kentucky. The 6'9" potential star, made Huggins retool his team with a 4 guard lineup. They lost 75-71 to Oklahoma but showed promise. They've been on a 6-2 SU/5-3 ATS run since with Miles McBride and Derek Culver taking control while the supporting cast is buying in. WV on a 3-0 SU/ATS tear and we'll look for another winner here. |
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02-10-21 | Connecticut -1.5 v. Providence | 59-70 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 12 m | Show | |
U Conn/Providence 4:00: U Conn at 9-3 ATS this season as Hurley doing a good job building the Huskies in his third season. They're coming off a poor defensive effort against Seton Hall and struggled offensively without a go-to-guy to spark the offense. That should change tonight, as the Huskies welcome back leading scorer Bouknight (elbow) who should ignite the sputtering offense. U Conn averages just 67.3 PPG without him and a healthy 75.5 PPG with him. Huskies playing better on road too, as their 7-0 ATS road mark vs teams with home winning records. They're catching the Friars on an 0-3 SU slide and ripe to get worked here. U Conn sports a 3-1 SU/ATS mark in the last 4 in this series and should deliver. |
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02-08-21 | Gonzaga v. BYU +11.5 | 82-71 | Win | 100 | 21 h 33 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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02-07-21 | Chiefs v. Bucs +3 | Top | 9-31 | Win | 100 | 15 h 35 m | Show |
Chiefs/Bucs 6:30: Both teams equipped with the best QBs in the NFL, top of the line skill personnel, and defensive playmakers. What separates TB from KC is the fact that the Chiefs have to shuffle offensive linemen on account of T Eric Fisher (Achilles); consequently, Martinas Rankin, who started one game this season, gets the starting assignment to guard Mahomes back. TB's front 7 is playing at a high level including Top 5 pass rush bookends Pierre-Paul and Shaq Barrett; moreover, TBs' outstanding linebackers Lavonte David and Devin White are menacing not only against the run but are extremely effective and disruptive blitzing as exhibited in two games against Aaron Rodgers. No other team came close to stopping him for the low numbers he posted. The fact is that the Bucs defense was impressive in the playoffs and also got their revenge against Drew Brees. Sure, Tyreek Hill was incredibly effective carving up TB's secondary to the tune of 3 TDs including explosive play 75 and 45 yard scores in the earlier year matchup. TB's DC Bowles has been effective in making the right adjustments and we'll look for him to do so here. He will have outstanding rookie S Winfield Jr. back in center field. Bucs speed at linebacker and emergence of Murphy-Bunting (3 consecutive post-season games with interception) give TB a fighting chance in the red zone to keep Kelce and Hill and Edwards-Helaire at bay. On the other hand, KC defense in red zone not good; as a matter of fact, they've allowed a generous 76.6% scoring there. Of 5 other Super Bowl defenses that had a red zone efficiency rating at or over 60%, those Super Bowl teams went a collective 0-5 in the big game. With Evans (2 TD's first matchup), Gronk (106 yards first game), Brate + Antonio Brown (both probable), and Ronald Jones - overdue to be utilized out of the backfield, Brady should be able to distribute the ball effectively. And lets not forget that Tom Brady is an amazing 41-17-1 as an underdog. We'll grab the points. |
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02-06-21 | Texas Tech -16 v. Kansas State | Top | 73-62 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 14 m | Show |
Texas Tech/Kansas State 4:00: Last time these teams played this season, Tech won but failed to cover at home 82-71. It wasn't a satisfying win for Coach Beard; after all, Tech underachieved on the defensive end allowing K State to score nearly 5 points above their season average. Kansas State is a pathetic 334th in the nation in scoring while Tech is 15th in the nation defensively -giving up just 61.7 PPG. K State is young, ravaged by injuries. We'll look for McClung and company to open up on the perimeter where the Wildcats are most vulnerable - allowing a generous 38.4% from perimeter. Tech, a solid road team covering their last 4 road tilts, should be much more focused here. We'll lay the wood. |
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02-06-21 | Kansas +2 v. West Virginia | 79-91 | Loss | -103 | 12 h 40 m | Show | |
Kansas/West Virginia 2:00: West Virginia struggling to finish games. They almost got upset at home by Big 12 doormat Iowa State. Culver the most consistent player on the team as others unpredictable. Sure, they'll be up for this revenge game against an always tough Kansas team. Kansas lost 4 of 6 to then Top 11 teams. Jayhawks 11-2 ATS on the road vs a team with a home win % above .500. Kansas the call. |
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02-06-21 | Seton Hall v. Connecticut -1 | 80-73 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 28 m | Show | |
Seton Hall/U Conn Noon: Hurley doing a solid job in rebuilding U Conn into a Big East contender. Now 9-2 ATS - virtually competitive in every game. Hurley is now in his third season with U Conn and has improved every year with the Huskies. He has his men playing well despite losing their leading scorer Bouknight on January 5th; since then, U Conn has gone 5-1 ATS by clamping down defensively. U Conn is allowing 63 PPG (29th nationally) and #1 in the conference defending the perimeter. Huskies have gotten consistent scoring from Cole and Martin while Whaley and Polley have been good supporting players. Seton Hall hasn't played U Conn since 2013 and never had good success at U Conn. We'll look for that tradition to stay true here. |
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02-06-21 | Alabama -2 v. Missouri | 65-68 | Loss | -112 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
Alabama/Missouri Noon: Alabama was on a big roll until 'giant killer' Oklahoma knocked them off in Norman. Alabama bounced back strong against a vengeful LSU team February 3rd. Today, we'll look for Shackelford and company to be too much for the Tigers. Alabama a good road team (4-1 ATS). |
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02-04-21 | Nuggets +5 v. Lakers | 93-114 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 46 m | Show | |
Nuggets/Lakers 10:05: Nuggets playing at a high level and HC Malone using talented bench well. Jokic playing at an MVP level leading the Nuggets on a 6-1 ATS run. Denver competitive in this series and have played well in Los Angeles. They've had a few extra days off with the postponement of the Pistons' game. Well rested Nuggets should be ready. Lakers coming off an extended road trip and haven't done well in this role; as a matter of fact, Lakers 0-4 ATS at home following a road trip of 7 or more days. Lakers AD and LeBron dealing with minor injuries, good opportunity for Denver to sneak in a cover. |
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02-02-21 | West Virginia -11.5 v. Iowa State | 76-72 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 48 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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02-02-21 | Baylor v. Texas +5.5 | 83-69 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 47 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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02-02-21 | Purdue +2.5 v. Maryland | 60-61 | Win | 100 | 6 h 39 m | Show | |
Purdue/Maryland 6:30: Purdue, one of the youngest teams in the Big 10, growing up as they rattled off a 5-1 ATS run. The Boilermakers own 5 wins over Top 25 teams. Newman and Trevion Williams becoming a strong outside-in combination. Terrapins have shown their vulnerability in the paint and also on the perimeter vs good teams. Sure, MD played Purdue tough on Christmas in a 73-70 SU loss at Purdue; since then, Purdue has gotten better while MD has stumbled on a 2-5 ATS slide. Purdue is 2-0 in their last 2 trips to Maryland and we'll grab the points here with the better team. |
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02-01-21 | Georgia Tech +4 v. Louisville | 58-74 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 53 m | Show | |
Georgia Tech/Louisville 2:00: Louisville not playing well on a 1-3 SU/ATS slide while Georgia Tech turning it up a few notches. Cardinals got choked out by a mediocre Clemson team scoring just 50 points. Meanwhile, the Engineers upset a very talented Florida State team 76-65. HC Pastner has done a masterful job in teaching GT how to win. Prior to Florida State, the Yellow Jackets lead incumbent champ Virginia by 11 before falling in OT. And a late surge by Duke cost them a win. We'll look for the surging momentum to carry over here vs a declining Cardinals team. Moses Wright and Jose Alvarado a dangerous inside and out combination; moreover, Michael Devoe, who dropped 19 points on Florida State, a major third option threat. Jackets are now 5-0 ATS vs winning teams. Grab the points. |
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01-31-21 | NC State v. Syracuse -5 | 73-76 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 3 m | Show | |
analysis to follow... |
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01-30-21 | Kansas +2.5 v. Tennessee | 61-80 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 34 m | Show | |
Kansas/Tennessee 6:00: Kansas came off three straight losses with a rather unconvincing win at home vs TCU; nevertheless, got it done and the team should be focused here despite what HC Bill Self said regarding facing non-conference Tennessee with conference foe Kansas State on deck. Come on, Kansas can use their second team to dismantle this year's version of lightweight Kansas State. We'll look for Self's bunch to be laser focused here. Tennessee is pretty good defensively but when stepping up to top tier teams, they have yet to shine. Volunteers an underachieving 1-5 ATS vs teams above .500 and has not covered 5 of last 6 at home. Kansas 11-2 ATS on the road vs home teams above .600. With Agbaji, Wilson and McCormack finally establishing a nice rhythm offensively, we'll grab the points with the better team and coach. |