Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-02-18 | Jazz +11 v. Rockets | 116-108 | Win | 100 | 8 h 23 m | Show | |
Game two of this best of seven series has the Rockets up one game to none after their 110-96 win. The Utah Jazz have a very young team and it really showed in game one of this series as they were beaten pretty easily by the Rockets, 96-110. But don't give up on this Jazz team just yet. You also have to remember that the Jazz had played their second game in 38 hours so they had to be a bit tired and that's not a good thing against an explosvie offensive team like the Rockets. The Jazz were blow out in the first half of game one, but did win the third and fourth quarters as they tried different matchup schemes. Everything improved for the Jazz in the second half of game one and that's what I'm feeding off of for game two here tonight. I look for the Jazz to bounce back here tonight in game two. Play Utah. |
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04-29-18 | Jazz v. Rockets -11 | Top | 96-110 | Win | 100 | 3 h 9 m | Show |
Second round action begins today as the Utah Jazz take on the Houston Rockets. Utah had to go six games to take care of Oklahoma City and they split against the spread. In their three games at OKC, the Jazz were 1-2 both S/U and ATS. Houston went five games to beat Minnesota in their first round matchup. The Rockets covered the last two in the series and saw their offense finally click with 122 and 119 points. The previous three games saw the Rockets scored 104 points or less. During the regular season the Rockets gave the Jazz all kinds of problems. The Rockets beat the Jazz four times in the regular season and the average margin of victory was 17.5 points. The games played in Houston saw the Rockets win by 27 and 21 points. The Rockets have one of the best sixth men in the NBA in Eric Gordon, who averaged 18 ppg. The Jazz will also be without Ricky Rubio who is out todya with a hamstring injury. I'm taking the Rockets here today as I look for them to make this a blowout win. |
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04-29-18 | Pacers +5.5 v. Cavs | 101-105 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show | |
The Indiana Pacers forced a game seven here tonight in Cleveland with the Cavs. The Pacers cruised to a game-six win over the Cavs, 121-87. So far each team has held home court, however, the Pacers have covered four and pushed one of the six games. Unlike the regular season, teams have time to make adjustments from one game to the next against the same opponent. The Pacers adjustment in game six was keeping Lebron James out of the paint and forcing him to shoot from outside, which is just what they did. The Pacers could have already won this series and we have to wonder if a Cavs loss here today is the last we've seen of James in Cleveland. I think Indiana can take this last game, and with that I'm taking the 5 1/2 points with the Pacers. |
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04-28-18 | Pelicans +9 v. Warriors | 101-123 | Loss | -101 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
The New Orleans Pelicans came without a few games of not even making the playoffs. Their head coach, Alvin Gentry, was likely to be fired and a major overhaul of this team was possibly going to happen. However, a four game sweep of the Portland Trailblazers has the Pelicans in the 2nd round of the playoffs to face the Golden State Warriors. As for the Warriors, they got past the Spurs and were without guard Stephen Curry. The Warriors defense came alive in that series with the Spurs, holding San Antonio to just 96.8 ppg. Davis led the Pelicans with 33 points and 12.3 rebounds per game vs the Blazers. Jrue Holiday really stepped up in the Portland series, averaging 27.8 ppg and pretty much shutting down Damian Lillard of Portland. The Pelicans are the Cinderella team of these playoffs and they can stick with this Warriors team if they get the same play out of Davis and Holiday. Take the points here with the Pelicans. |
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04-28-18 | Bucks +5 v. Celtics | 96-112 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 19 m | Show | |
A decisive game seven here tonight with the Bucks taking on the Celtics from Boston. Boston is a 4 1/2 point favorite tonight over the Bucks. An interesting fact in this series, the team that has shot better from three-point line has won each game. I don't see that changing here in game seven. Both teams have struggled to score at times and the team that can win that three point shooting should win here tonight. Milwaukee is also an excellent transition team, in fact they were sixth in the NHL with 14.6 fast break points per game. The Bucks had 34 transition points vs the Celtics in their game six win. I see those two points as the key to a Bucks win here on Saturday. They need those big transition points and they need to win the three point shooting. I fully expect both those to happen. Take the points with the Bucks. |
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04-27-18 | Thunder +6.5 v. Jazz | 91-96 | Win | 100 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
The OKC Thunder need tonight's game in order to stay alive in the playoffs. A loss and their season is over. The Thunder stayed alive with a game five win at home over the Jazz last game, 107-99. The Thunder improved their 3-point shooting from 19.2% in game four to 42.9% in game five. Russel Westbrook will need to play a big role tonight for the Thunder to stay alive. I think the line is just too high on the Jazz, as they are laying 6.5 points. I'm taking the points here tonight with the Thunder who can win outright. |
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04-27-18 | Mets -1.5 v. Padres | 5-1 | Win | 106 | 9 h 47 m | Show | |
The Mets look to snap a two game losing streak as they start a new series tonight at San Diego. The Mets are still doing very well at 15-8 on the season. The will start Jacob DeGrom who is 2-0 on the season with a nifty 2.53 ERA and 1.031 WHIP. DeGrom is coming off his best start of the season where he went seven innings, allowed four hits and no earned runs. DeGrom has also struck out 22 over his last 14 1/3 innings with just three walks. The Padres are 9-17 on the season and have also lost two straight games. Clayton Richard will start tonight with a 1-2 record in his five starts with a 5.67 ERA and 1.630 WHIP. Richard has yet to go past five innings of work and therefore expect the bullpen to play a big role for the Padres. The Padres could also be without their top offseason acquisition in 1B Eric Hosmer, who is questionable for tonight's contest. The Mets are by far the better team and DeGrom has been solid. I'm going to lay the 1.5 runs here with the Mets tonight. |
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04-27-18 | Cavs v. Pacers -1 | 87-121 | Win | 100 | 7 h 43 m | Show | |
Indiana came within a three-point shot by LeBron James of possibly being in the spot of eliminating the Cavs. However, James clutch shot as time expired moved the Cavs to a 3-2 lead in the series as they head back to Indiana tonight. The Pacers split their two games at home vs the Cavs, taking game three 92-90 and then losing game four, 100-104. However, a bit of luck and the Pacers could have already eliminated the Cavs in this series. The Pacers aren't done yet as they force a game seven after tonight. Play the Pacers. |
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04-27-18 | Raptors v. Wizards -1.5 | 102-92 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 42 m | Show | |
Washington in a must win spot here tonight as they face elimination. A win and they force a decisive game seven. Washington lost game five, 98-108 and failed to cover. However, at home it's been different for the Wizards, where they are 2-0 both S/U and ATS. The Wizards shot only 19.2% from three-point last game, a huge departure from their 40%+ rating at home the previous two games. Home has been good to the Wizards and I look for them to even the series here tonight. Play Washington. |
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04-24-18 | Bucks v. Celtics -3 | Top | 87-92 | Win | 100 | 17 h 21 m | Show |
This best of seven series tied at two games apiece. Milwaukee had a huge, 20-point lead in game four and while they held on for the win, they didn't cover the six-point line in a 104-102 win. So far each team has held home court as we return to Boston for game five. The Celtics have covered three of the four in the series. Boston needs to improve its defense, as it has allowed the Bucks to shot over 52% from the field each of the last three games and over 43% from the 3-point line. I don't see any reason to ahem, buck the trends I see taking place in this series and that's play the home team. The Celtics can't go back to Milwaukee down 2-3 so look for a Boston win here on Tuesday. Play Boston. |
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04-23-18 | Thunder +5 v. Jazz | 96-113 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 43 m | Show | |
The Oklahoma City Thunder look to even their best of seven series with the Jazz at two games apiece tonight. The Thunder took game one of this series, 116-108, but then lost game two 95-102 and game three, 102-115. This game has the utmost importance to the Thunder tonight. A loss and they go down 3-1, a win and they regain home court and momentum, 2-2. The Thunder need to find a way to get Russell Westbrook back on track. The Jazz's Ricky Rubio has outplayed his counterpart in Westbrook. Westbrook has been vocal in saying he intends to shut Rubio down in game four. This game tonight really comes down to Westbrook. If he can play well and do as he says he will, the Thunder can cover and maybe win outright. I'm taking the Thunder plus the points here tonight. |
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04-22-18 | Warriors -6.5 v. Spurs | Top | 90-103 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 59 m | Show |
When this series started it looked to be one of the more interesting and equally matched ones. However, that hasn't been the case as the Warriors have dominated this series and can eliminate the Spurs today with a win. The Warriors have been without their star guard Stephen Curry, who has been out this series with a knee injury. That looked to be the great equalizer for the Spurs, who play a good defensive game. The Warriors have had little trouble scoring against this Spurs defense, with 113, 116 and 110 points in the first three games. The Spurs were also dealt a big blow before game three when coach Gregg Popvich's wife passed away and the coach had to miss the game. Popovich will not be on the bench today either. To me, that takes the heart out of this Spurs team. They are down 0-3 in the series, they are without their coach, don't see what positives I can place in the Spurs column here today. Play the Warriors. |
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04-22-18 | Astros -1.5 v. White Sox | 7-1 | Win | 100 | 4 h 50 m | Show | |
After a lull where the Astros struggled to score some runs, they seem to be back to their winning ways. Houston has won five straight games and is now 15-7 on the season. The Astros pitching has been great, allowing two runs or less in each of their last six games. In fact, they have outscored the White Sox 20-1 the last two games. Lance McCullers is 2-1 and will start today for the Astros. McCullers has a 5.57 ERA and 1.429 WHIP. He is coming off his best start of the season, allowing just one run and one hit over seven innings to the Mariners. Meanwhile, it's been a terrible start for the White Sox who are 4-13 and lost six straight games. Reynaldo Lopez starts today for the Sox and is 0-2 with a 1.42 ERA and 1.00 WHIP. Lopez has pitched well, going at least six innings in each of his three starts and allowing two runs or less. Unfortunately, Lopez has received just three total runs of support. I'm going to lay the 1.5 runs here today with the Astros who should roll again on Sunday. |
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04-22-18 | Celtics +6 v. Bucks | 102-104 | Win | 100 | 3 h 59 m | Show | |
The Boston Celtics look to take a 3-1 lead in their best of seven series with the the Milwaukee Bucks. Boston lost game three at Milwaukee, 92-116. The Celtics saw their hot shooting from three-point stripe drop from over 40% to just 33% and their overall FG percentage dropped to just 40%. Meanwhile, the Bucks ht 57% from the field and 48.5% from three-point stripe. The key to the Celtics win and cover here today is to not get out to the slow start that plagued them in game three, where they were out of it at halftime, trailing 35-58. The good news is that the starters should be well rested as they did not play for most of the late rout against Milwaukee. I like the Celtics to rebound here today and show up, not like they did in game three three. Play Boston. |
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04-21-18 | Blazers v. Pelicans -7 | 123-131 | Win | 100 | 8 h 55 m | Show | |
The New Orleans Pelicans took a commanding three game lead in this best of seven series with the Portland Trailblazers. The Pelicans took game three, 119-102. No team in NBA history has ever come back from an 0-3 deficit and I don't see these Blazers even getting game four here on Saturday. Anthony Davis was dominant again, putting in 28 points and grabbing 11 rebounds. Rajon Rondo chipped-in 16 points and dished-out 11 assist. Portland knows they are done, they needed game three badly and were blown out. Now the Pelicans want to put this series to end so they can get some needed rest. I'm taking the Pelicans here minus the points |
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04-21-18 | Indians -1.5 v. Orioles | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 6 h 2 m | Show | |
Cleveland Indians look to snap a two game losing streak tonight at a reeling Baltimore. The Indians haven't scored well, but they aren't giving up much either. Cleveland averages just 3.4 rpg while allowing just 3.0 rpg. Baltimore did win last game, but they are still just 6-14 on the season. This is in thanks to a terrible pitching staff that has allowed an average of 5.5 runs per game. Mike Clevinger starts today for the Tribe. Clevinger is 1-0 in his three starts with a 2.70 ERA and 1.381 WHIP. Chris Tillman looks for his first win for the O's in four starts. Tillman has allowed 15 runs in just 11 2/3 innings this year. Tillman has a 11.92 ERA with a 2.824 WHIP. I'm going to lay the run line here today with the Indians as I go against Tillman who has been horrible. The O's are not supporting their pitchers either, so don't expect them to get much here tonight. Play Cleveland -1.5 runs. |
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04-21-18 | 76ers -3 v. Heat | Top | 106-102 | Win | 100 | 5 h 25 m | Show |
No doubt in my mind that the Philadelphia 76ers are the best team in this matchup. We saw the 76ers in game three that we had seen for their 16 game win streak at the end of the regular season where they were blowing out opponents and scoring tons of points. There was a question whether or not Joel Embiid would play in game three and not only did he, but he was the difference in the Sixers win, 128-108. Embiid scored 23 points, grabbed seven rebounds and had four assists in just 30 minutes of play. Embiid had missed the previous three weeks with a concussion suffered and orbital fractures. Sure, the Heat won game two, but it took a perfect game by the Heat and a performance by Dwayne Wade that frankly looked like he had turned back the close 10 years. I can't see that happening again, especially against this young, hungry Sixers team that has Embiid back at center. This is the perfect spot for another blowout win today. Play Philadelphia. |
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04-20-18 | Celtics +5 v. Bucks | 92-116 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
Boston looks to take a commanding 3-0 lead with a win today in game three at Milwaukee. The Celtics took game one 113-107 and then game two in a blowout, 120-106, covering both and going over. The Celtics have done this despite being without star guard Kyrie Irving for the season. The Bucks really haven't played well of late, losing both playoff games and the game before to the Sixers, 95-130. That makes three losses in a row for the Bucks. The Bucks likely were happy with this matchup initially because of Irving being out. Now, the Bucks have learned to be careful for what they wish for. The Celtics have capitalized on Milwaukee turnovers, generating 20% of their scoring on Bucks miscues. I expect a fast start here tonight by the Bucks, but I'm still taking the points with Boston as I believe they weather the initial onslaught and cover this game. Play Boston. |
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04-20-18 | Raptors +1.5 v. Wizards | 103-122 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 2 m | Show | |
Toronto took both home games to start this series 2-0 and now move to Washington for game three. The Raptors exploded for 44 points in the first quarter of Tuesday's game, pretty much sealing the fate of the Wizards for game two. The Wizards might have to replace 6-foot-11 Marcin Gortat here today who has struggled both offensively and on defense. They can go to the smaller 6-foot-8 Scott Brooks. The Wizards were not all that good at home this year either, going just 23-18. I'm not convinced that Washington can make the moves that can beat this very good Toronto team. Play the Raptors in game three. |
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04-19-18 | 76ers v. Heat +2 | Top | 128-108 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 18 m | Show |
The Miami Heat evened their best of seven series with the 76ers by steeling game two in Philly. The Heat played about as perfect a game as they could to get the win. They almost lost it though as a huge lead evaporated to just two points at 98-96 before Dwayne Wade took over and held off the Sixers for the win, 113-103. Wade looked like his younger self, pouring in 28 points and coming up with big plays down the stretch. The Sixers how to get back their big man, Joel Embiid, who is questionable for tonight's game with a concussion. Embiid averages 22.94 ppg and 10.95 rebounds. The Sixers are hoping to recapture the momentum they had at the end of the regular season that saw them win 16 straight games. The loss of Embiid tonight is huge though. The Heat must once again control the pace and keep Philly from going wild scoring points. If Embiid were playing this might be a different play, but without him I'm taking the points at home with Miami. |
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04-17-18 | Pelicans +6.5 v. Blazers | Top | 111-102 | Win | 100 | 21 h 47 m | Show |
The New Orleans Pelicans stole game one of this series from the Blazers, 97-95. Anthony Davis was the leader for the Pelicans, scoring 35 points and grabbing 14 rebounds. Davis controlled the paint for the Pelicans. The Pelicans did see a 19-point lead virtually evaporate when the Blazers pulled to within one point in the final minute of the game. Portland's backcourt of Damian Lillard and C.J McCollum combined for just 13 of 41 field goals. The Pelicans are ready for another win here on Tuesday as they look to go up 2-0 in this series. The Blazers haven't really showed me anything of late and the 6 1/2 point dog here is just too much to pass on. I'm taking the Pelicans plus the 6 1/2 points. |
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04-17-18 | Wizards +6.5 v. Raptors | 119-130 | Loss | -101 | 17 h 12 m | Show | |
The East best team, Toronto had little trouble dispatching Washington in game one of this series, 114-106, covering the 7.5 points line and going over the 213.5 total. The Raptors were on fire from the field, hitting 53.2% from the field and 53.3% from the 3-point stripe. Washington needs to change this game plan if they want a chance to win here on Tuesday. The Wizards need to keep this game lower scoring and not let the Raptors shoot so many 3-pointers. The Wizards also need to find a way to contain Raptors Serge Ibaka. Ibaka had 23-points in game one and the Wizards just don't seem to have an answer for him. When Ibaka scored at least 17 points this season, the Raptors were 16-2. Washington can take solace in the fact that they led at half in game one, showing they can matchup against this Raptors team. NBA stars can take a bit of a backseat in the regular season, but the playoffs have proven that teams rely on their star players. The Wizards have the edge here I believe. If Washington can stop Ibaka, then I look for them to steal game two. Still, I'll take the points here with the Wizards. |
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04-15-18 | Wolves v. Rockets -11 | 101-104 | Loss | -108 | 20 h 24 m | Show | |
The Houston Rockets had the best record in the NBA this season and have home court advantage throughout the playoffs. The Rockets were led by James Harden who averaged 30.4 ppg and 8.8 assists per game. The Rockets had the 2nd highest scoring team in the NBA (112.4 ppg). The Timberwolves had to go down to the last game of the season against the Nuggets for a win and your in or lose and you go home. And of course, the game had to go to OT before the Wolves pulled out the win and the final playoff spot. The Wolves are just 6-16 ATS in their last 22 road games. The Rockets have covered the last four meetings in this series and I look for them to win game one here on Sunday easily over the Wolves. Play Houston. |
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04-14-18 | Pelicans +5.5 v. Blazers | 97-95 | Win | 100 | 21 h 53 m | Show | |
Game one has the Pelicans playing at the Blazers. The Pelicans hope the mid-season trade for Nikola Mirotic will be just the answer that New Orleans will need this postseason. But the main man for the Pelicans is Davis. Davis is the key to New Orleans winning and conversely to Portland winning. If the Blazers can't contain Davis and at the same time hit their three point shots, then New Orleans will have a great shot here. Of course the Pelicans would much rather have DeMarcus Cousins playing, but with his loss that means Davis plays an even bigger role. I believe this matchup is one of the best at matching each teams top 5 vs each other. That means we are likely to see a good defensive series and lower scoring games. With that being said, I'm taking the points here tonight and would be surprised by a New Orleans outright win. Play New Orleans. |
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04-13-18 | Rangers v. Astros -1.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -118 | 9 h 43 m | Show |
The Texas Rangers hope they wake up from the nightmare that is currently the 2018 season. The Rangers are last in the AL West with a 4-10 record and have lost four straight and seven of the last 10. They have allowed 77 runs (worst in AL and 2nd worst in MLB). Now they have lost shorstop Elvis Andrus with a broken right elbow who will be out six to eight weeks. The pitching staff is horrible, 27th in ERA (4.94), 30th in WHIP (1.54) and 30th in BAA (.285). The Astros are 9-4 and have dropped to 2nd in the AL West, 1.5 games back of the Angels. Cole Hamels will make his fourth start, posting a 1-2 record with a 1.63 WHIP and 5.06 ERA. Gerrit Cole will toe the rubber for the Astros. Cole has been excellent in his two starts,going 7 innings in each start, allowing just one earned run and seven hits. Cole is 1-0 with a 0.64 ERA and 0.71 WHIP. SO much difference in these teams here tonight. Astros should have very little issue with their instate rivals. Lay the 1.5 runs with the Astros. |
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04-11-18 | Jazz +4 v. Blazers | Top | 93-102 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 50 m | Show |
It's the last day of the NBA regular season and there's still a lot at stake for the NBA Western Conference teams numbers 3 through 9. The third-place Utah Jazz are tied with the Portland Trail Blazers and they just one game ahead of the Pelicans, Spurs and Thunder. There's a lot of room for jockeying of position for the playoffs here and tonight's game between the Jazz and the Trailblazers will determine the third and fourth place seeds. The Trailblazers will finish third and host the first round game if they win tonight versus the Jazz. If they lose to the Jazz then they will play the winner of the Spurs and the Pelicans matchup and that will feature the 4th against the 5th Place teams. I do like the Jazz here tonight mainly because they are on a six-game winning streak and have been very impressive during that stretch. The Jazz are also 15-1 S/U and 12-4 against the spread in their last 16 road games. Getting points is just too much to pass on here tonight. Play the Jazz |
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04-11-18 | Nuggets v. Wolves -3.5 | 106-112 | Win | 100 | 8 h 20 m | Show | |
The biggest game on the NBA schedule for today is the Minnesota Timberwolves against the Denver Nuggets. Both teams tied for the last place Spot in the Western Conference playoffs. The winner of this game moves on and the loser is going home for the summer. The Guggets have won six straight and eight of their last 10, while the Timberwolves have won two straight and six of their last 10. Timberwolves look to get back in the playoffs for the first time since 2004. Wolves Center Karl-Anthony Towns is playing amazing and looks lead the Wolves back to the playoffs. Towns is averaging 21.2 points per game this year with 12.3 rebounds, 2.4 assists and 1.4 block shots per game. As for the Denver Nuggets they've beaten five playoff bound teams in a row that includes the Oklahoma City Thunder, Milwaukee Bucks, Indiana Pacers, Minnesota Timberwolves and the Portland Trail Blazers. A must-win scenario here tonight but a short line on the home team Minnesota Timberwolves and that's what I like most. I'm going to take the Timberwolves minus the three points. |
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04-10-18 | Mets -1.5 v. Marlins | 8-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 46 m | Show | |
The New York Mets are one of the hottest teams in baseball, out to an 8-1 start on the season - they've also won six straight games and they are perfect 4-0 on the road. They just recently swept a very good Washington Nationals team, 4-0. Now, they take on the last-place Miami Marlins, who are 3-7 on the season. The Mets will start Jacob deGrom. deGrom is 2-0 with a 1.54 era and a 1.03 whip. In his 2 starts, deGrom has allowed just eight total hits over 11 and 2/3 Innings and two earned runs. The Marlins will counter with Caleb Smith. Smith has two starts and he's coming off of a loss at Philadelphia where he went just three innings, allowing three runs and walking six. In fact walks have been tough on Smith this year as he's allowed nine free passes. The Mets are 9-3 in deGrom's last 12 Road starts. I like the red hot Mets here minus the run and a half over the Miami Marlins. |
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04-09-18 | Blazers v. Nuggets -4 | 82-88 | Win | 100 | 10 h 25 m | Show | |
What a crazy finish to the NBA Western Conference race for the playoffs. With just a few games left in the regular season we still have one, two, three, four, five playoff positions up for grabs between 5th Place New Orleans and 9th Place Denver - with only one game separating those five teams. That makes today's game between the 9th place Denver Nuggets and the 3rd Place Portland Trail Blazers even more important for the host club here, as a loss pretty much eliminates the Nuggets from playoff contention. This game doesn't have as much meaning to the Portland Trail Blazers they sit in third-place, one game ahead of Utah and two games ahead of the Pelicans and a group of three teams. While the Trail Blazers would like to hold onto 3rd place, Denver is fighting for their playoff lives. Denver always a tough place to play for teams with the high altitude. The Nuggets have not been very good to betters, however I did have them the other day at the Clippers as a very big play, my NBA TV Game of the Year and they did come through for me. The home team has covered three of the last five in this series and the favorite is 4-0-1 against the spread the last 5 meetings. I like the Nuggets here tonight playing for their playoff lives, take Denver. |
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04-09-18 | Astros -1.5 v. Twins | 2-0 | Win | 105 | 5 h 51 m | Show | |
A couple of first-place division teams match up here on Monday as the Central leading Minnesota Twins face the West leading Houston Astros. The Twins are 4-3 to start the season while the Houston Astros are a nice 8-2. World Series MVP Justin Verlander makes his third start of the season today. Verlander is 1-0 on the season with a 2.31 era and a 1.11 WHIP. In addition Verlander has struck out 14 and walked just three on the season. Lance Lynn will make the start tonight for the Twins, Lynn has just one start this season for the Twins and that was jus four Innings where he allowed five runs, walked 6 batters and struck out just three. Lynn had lots of control problems in his first outing and that resulted in a 2.25 WHIP and 11.25 ERA. The Astros looked to be one of the best teams again this year in the major leagues and tonight I'm going to take Verlander minus the run and a half over the Twins. |
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04-08-18 | Pistons -5.5 v. Grizzlies | 117-130 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 16 m | Show | |
Two NBA teams that look forward to next season and won't play in this year's playoffs are in today's game between the Detroit Pistons and the Memphis Grizzlies. The Grizzlies have had a rough year with a 21 - 58 record, losing four straight and eight of their last 10 games. The Detroit Pistons are going to finish in 9th Place in the East, just a few games back of the playoffs. They have been fairly hot, winning 8 of their last 10 games. The Pistons have also been good to bettors of late, going 9-1 against the spread in their last 10 overall, 5-0 against the spread in their last five Road games, and 5-0 against the spread in their last five verses the Western Conference. Meanwhile, Memphis has struggled, especially against the East, going just 1-6 versus the number the last 7. The road team has had a pretty good advantage in this series going 8-2 ATS last 10 meetings. I like the road team here today, take Detroit. |
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04-07-18 | Nuggets -2 v. Clippers | 134-115 | Win | 100 | 4 h 20 m | Show | |
The Denver Nuggets and the LA Clippers play the early game today in the NBA on national TV on the NBA TV network. While the Clippers are not eliminated, for the most part they are not going to make the playoffs as they trail 9th Place Denver by two games and eighth-place Minnesota by two and a half games. Right now the Clippers have too many teams to jump over to make the playoffs. Not so for the Denver Nuggets, who sit currently in 9th Place in the Western Conference just a half-game back of the Minnesota Timberwolves and one game back of the New Orleans Pelicans, San Antonio Spurs and the Oklahoma City Thunder. Any of those teams could be eliminated from the playoffs, which makes this a huge game for the Denver Nuggets. The Nuggets have won four straight games after defeating the Minnesota Timberwolves 102-96 their last game out. The key to a Denver win today is their big man Nikola Jokic, the 6-foot 10 Center is averaging 27 points a game his last five outings and dominates in the middle. Momentum in this game is definitely on the side of the Nuggets who have been winning, while the Clippers have been losing. A loss today by the Clippers and they are out, but a win today by the Nuggets keeps them in the thick of the playoff race. Take the Nuggets. |
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04-06-18 | Mavs v. Pistons -6.5 | Top | 106-113 | Win | 100 | 7 h 12 m | Show |
The Detroit Pistons and the Dallas Mavericks play for just a little pride today, seeing as both of these clubs have been eliminated from the NBA playoffs. The Pistons have been hot, winning seven of their last 10 games. Meanwhile, the Mavericks have won only 24 and lost 55 games this year and they are 2-8 their last 10 games. In addition, Dirk Nowitzki is out for the remainder of the games this season as he is having ankle surgery. The Pistons are 8-1 ATS in the last nine games overall, 4-0 ATS in the last four vs the Western Conference and 7-0 ATS in their last seven games versus a team with a losing straight-up record. The Mavericks are just 1-5 ATS in their last six road games and 0-4 ATS their last four vs the East. Take the Pistons. |
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04-05-18 | Wolves v. Nuggets -5 | 96-100 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
Big game tonight in the NBA Western Conference as the Denver Nuggets host the Minnesota Timberwolves. Denver sits in 9th Place in the Western Conference just one game back of Minnesota and New Orleans and just one and a half games back of San Antonio and Oklahoma City. As we can see there's not much difference between 9th Place Denver and all the way up to 4th place Utah, with just two games separating those six teams. That makes this game between number 7 and number 9 even bigger tonight. Minnesota comes into this game with a five and five record their last 10 games. The Timberwolves have a losing record on the road at 16-23 S/U. Minnesota has not been very good to bettors of late, going just 5 - 16 - 1 ATS in the last 22 games. Moreover, they are 5-17 ATS in a their last 22 road games. This game means a lot more to Denver right now then Minnesota. Take Denver. |
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04-05-18 | Wizards v. Cavs -5.5 | Top | 115-119 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 36 m | Show |
The NBA playoff picture in the Eastern Conference is pretty much set, all eight teams are locked-in with the other teams already eliminated. However, there is still plenty of room to jockey for position within that top eight. One such game is the game on national television tonight between the Washington Wizards and the Cleveland Cavaliers. Washington sits currently tied for the 7th and 8th position with Milwaukee, just a half-game back of number 6 Miami. The Cleveland Cavaliers currently are in third position tied with the Philadelphia 76ers and two games ahead of 5th Place Indiana. For the Cavaliers this game has more implications as far as home court goes in the early rounds they don't want to drop below that number four spot here in the East or they face the possibility of not getting home court in the first round. The Wizards have not been very good for bettors lately, going 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games overall and they are 0-6 ATS in their last six away games. The Cavaliers who were horrible against the spread earlier this year have improved lately. Cleveland is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games and 4-0 ATS in their last four overall. I like the Cavaliers today to take this game and solidify their hold on the number three position. |
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04-03-18 | Orioles v. Astros -1.5 | Top | 6-10 | Win | 100 | 9 h 32 m | Show |
Houston -1.5 Runs. The Houston Astros are already out to a good season at 4-1 winning three straight games. After losing their second game of the season to the Rangers the Astros have won three straight scoring 23 runs and allowing just six. World Series MVP Justin Verlander makes his second start of the season. Verlander went six innings in his opening start, allowing four hits and no earned runs for the win. Baltimore counters with righthander Mike Wright. Wright has a career 5.86 ERA and 1.45 WHIP in 21 starts and 43 games. This will be Wright's first start of the season. I don't see the O's getting much here today against Verlander, who looks like he's already in the same form we saw from him last year. I'l lay the run and a half with the Astros. |
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04-03-18 | Warriors v. Thunder -4 | 111-107 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 27 m | Show | |
Golden State and Oklahoma City play on national TV tonight as the first end of a TNT double-header. The Warriors are currently in second place in the Western Conference, six games back of Houston and eight games ahead of Portland. That means today's game has no value to Golden State as they cannot improve or make worse their current position in the West. Oklahoma City is fifth in the Western Conference, however they are just one and a half games separating them from a 8th place New Orleans and just two-and-a-half games separating them from 9th Place Denver. That makes this game much more important for the host team Oklahoma City than it does for the visitor Golden State. That being said the Thunder need a win here to continue to hold on to their place number five spot in the standings and they even have a chance to overtake San Antonio for fourth in the West. My play in this game is on the Oklahoma City Thunder |
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04-03-18 | Nets v. 76ers -7.5 | 95-121 | Win | 100 | 7 h 28 m | Show | |
The Philadelphia 76ers are red hot, winning 10 games in a row and going 8-0 ATS in their last eight games. The Sixers are also 5-0 ATS in their last 5 verses the Eastern Conference and they are 6-0 ATS in their last six games playing on one day's rest. Today they will play the Brooklyn Nets. The Nets have been eliminated from the playoffs and they have only won four of their last six games including losing their last time at Detroit 108 - 96. In addition to being red-hot, the 76ers have won by at least 10 points in their last nine games. The 76ers also lead the NBA in rebounds per game and are second in assists per game. Philadelphia still has some incentive in this contest, they are just a half-game behind third-place Cleveland and they lead fifth-place Indiana by just a half-game. As hot as the 76ers have been I'm going to lay the points here with them on Tuesday. |
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04-02-18 | Orioles v. Astros -1.5 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 5 h 48 m | Show | |
Astros -1.5 Runs. I am not confident that i will see much from Tillman here vs the Astro's. He did not show very well in spring training and i dont see him holding up well vs the Astro's Big bats in their first home game off becoming THE CHAMPS last year. Should be an emotional envirorment tonight. Morton is not one of the top Astro's hurlers but he should show well for 4 or five innings and the bullpen will be glad to shut down the O's. Take Houston -1.5 runs. |
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03-31-18 | Loyola-Chicago +5.5 v. Michigan | 57-69 | Loss | -105 | 89 h 60 m | Show | |
Number 11 Loyola Chicago has done the improbable, advancing to the final four to take on Michigan. Loyola is definitely the Cinderella team in this field of four tournament veterans. Loyola last won a national championship in 1963. The Ramblers also have a 14-game win streak, longest among the four remaining teams. Both these teams will be very similar. They both boast very good defenses and efficient offenses. Both of these teams will be more than happy to play a half court, deliberate game and not turn this into a track meet. Loyola ranks fifth in effective field goal percentage while Michigan ranks 47th. Loyola is also 11th in the country in three-point percentage and ninth in overall field goal percentage. This will not be a high scoring game with both these defenses on the floor. I think the 5 or 5 1/2 we can get with Loyola is just too much to pass on here. This is a very good Loyola team that deserves to be here by virtue of their play and the points just look good to me. Play Loyola Chicago. |
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03-30-18 | Cubs v. Marlins +1.5 | 1-2 | Win | 120 | 2 h 6 m | Show | |
Cubs -1.5 Runs : Cubs took the season opener over the Marlins on Thursday, 8-4. Anthony Rizzo and Ian Happ both homered in the win. Jon Lester struggled, but got plenty of support from the powerful Cubs lineup. The Cubs lineup is loaded this season and they showed it on Thursday. The bullpen also looked good in relief of a struggling Lester. Miami saw the loss of Giancarlo Stanton to the Yankees and that's a lot of power gone from the lineup. Stanton made his new team happy on Thursday with a home run for the Yankees. Kyle Hendricks will face Caleb Smith. Hendricks looked very good in spring with a 2.37 ERA and 23 KO's. Smith has just two career starts and 18.2 innings in the big leagues with a 7.71 ERA. I'm going to lay the run and half here with a very strong Cubs team against a Miami team in rebuild mode. |
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03-28-18 | San Francisco v. North Texas -3 | Top | 55-69 | Win | 100 | 19 h 25 m | Show |
Game 2 of the Best of 3 CBI Championship moves to North Texas. San Franciso took game one of this series on their home court, 72-62. The Dons pretty much had the game in control the entire way. North Texas saw it's offense get cut down after scoring over 90 points in their previous three games. The Green Machine scored just 62 points at San Francisco. The Dons his 12 of 18 from the three point line in Monday's game. This was not the norm for the Dons this year, as they were ranked 109th in three-pointers on the season. Despite their loss, the Mean Green get games two and a possible game three on their own home court. North Texas is 12-6 S/U at home compared to just 6-11 on the road. San Francisco is just 4-7 away from home. And, North Texas can take the momentum they had in the second half of game one and build on that, where they won 32-26. I like North Texas to rebound here at home. They can score in bunches and the Dons are just not that good a road team. Play North Texas. |
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03-27-18 | Mississippi State +2.5 v. Penn State | 60-75 | Loss | -106 | 99 h 15 m | Show | |
NIT semifinal action from Madison Square garden has Mississippi State taking on Penn State for the right to play in the Championship game. Mississippi State got her with road wins at Baylor, 78-77 and at Louisville, 79-56. The Bulldogs have covered five straight games and 13 of their last 16. Penn State got here with road wins at Notre Dame, 73-63 and at Marquette, 85-80. The Nittany Lions have covered two of three and five of eight. The rest will be good for this defensive Mississippi State team that has been on the road for a while. Their stingy defense held Louisville to just 35% from the field and 29.2% of three-point shots. I like defensive teams at this stage and that edge goes to the Bulldogs. I'm taking Mississippi State here on Tuesday. |
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03-27-18 | Western Kentucky -1 v. Utah | Top | 64-69 | Loss | -105 | 97 h 48 m | Show |
The NIT Semifinals move from the team's home court to Madison Square Garden in New York. This will help level the playing field and take away that home court value some teams enjoyed. Western Kentucky played their last two NIT games on the road, winning at USC, 79-75 and then at Oklahoma State, 92-84. The Hilltoppers had little problems scoring points, in fact they have scored at least 79 points in each of their three NIT contest. They are also covering well, evidenced by their 5-1 ATS the last six games and 9-3 ATS mark their last 12. Utah had to go to OT to beat St Mary's their last game, winning 67-58 in the extra period. The Utes had an early exit in the PAC-12 tourney, losing their first game to Oregon, 66-68. They played their first two NIT games at home before traveling to St Marys for their last game. Both these teams are playing very well. Western is very efficient, as they have the 8th best field goal percent in the nation (49.7%) to go with their 35.3% from the three-point stripe and 71.6% from the free throw line. I'm taking Western Kentucky here today because they have shown they can win on the road in the NIT. They also have this excellent offense. Take Western Kentucky |
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03-26-18 | North Texas +3.5 v. San Francisco | 62-72 | Loss | -104 | 22 h 54 m | Show | |
The CBI Tourney Championship best of three starts tonight with San Francisco hosting North Texas. North Texas is an unlikely team to make is this far, they don't even have a .500 record on the season despite winning two straight in this tourney. They have been scoring big points though with 90 at South Dakota, 96 at home over Mercer and then 90 at home over Jacksoville State. All three games were blowout wins for North Texas. Now they play at a San Francisco. The Dons have also won three straight in the CBI, all at home. They beat Colgate, 72-68, then Utah Valley, 78-73, and Campbell, 65-62. All three games were close, unlike North Texas three. Still, the Dons are just 1-5 ATS in their last six games. In my opinion, North Texas has been the best team in this tournament. I can easily see North Texas winning this one outright. I'll take the points though with the Mean Green. Play North Texas. |
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03-25-18 | Duke -3 v. Kansas | 81-85 | Loss | -103 | 15 h 37 m | Show | |
Unlike yesterday's 11 vs 9 matchup between Loyola and Kansas State, today's matchup is s storied one between two schools that have been here many times. No 2 Duke takes on No 1 Kansas here in the Elite 8. Duke has used a very stingy defense in the tournament, holding their opponents to just 64.6 ppg and 53.6% shooting. Duke will also have the advantage on the boards. Kansas holds a slight shooting edge, but I see Duke staying with them in that category. Duke has done well in neutral site games, going 9-3 ATS their last 11 tries. They have also done well against the Big 12, going 8-3 ATS their last 11. I have never been a fan of Kansas HC Bill Self. He has had great success with this team, but I also believe he is their biggest liability at this point. I like defensive teams at this juncture and that's Duke. Play Duke on Sunday. |
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03-24-18 | Florida State v. Michigan -4.5 | 54-58 | Loss | -107 | 19 h 22 m | Show | |
Elite 8 action here on Saturday has Florida State playing Michigan. Florida State pulled two straight upset wins, first over Xavier, 75-70 as a 5.5-point dog and then over Gonzaga, 75-60 as a 6-point dog. After an early exit from the ACC tournament, Florida State has moved into the final 8 of the NCAA tourney. They will likely face their toughest opponent today in a red-hot Michigan team. Michigan won their Big-10 Tournament with a convincing win over Purdue, 75-66. Now the Wolverines go for their fourth straight win in the NCAA tournament. The Wolverines have now won 12 straight games and are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games. Michigan destroyed Texas A&M in the Sweet 16, raining down 3-point shots on the Aggies all day for the 99-72 win. Even with their 99 points, it's their defense that Michigan is known for. And if they score anywhere like they did against A&M, then this team will win it all. Michigan has lots of fresh legs for this game and right now will be considered an upset if they aren't playing for the National Championship come April 2nd. With Michigan being fresh here tonight, their defense will shut down Florida State and their offense will get it done. Play Michigan. |
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03-24-18 | Loyola-Chicago +1 v. Kansas State | 78-62 | Win | 100 | 7 h 40 m | Show | |
I'm sure there weren't many people with this matchup in their Elite 8 bracket. Loyola Chicago has used defense and timely scoring to advance to this point. Their three wins have been by a combined four points and maybe some divine intervention by Sister Jean. Loyola continues to find ways to win. The Ramblers have now won 13 games in a row and covered five straight and 10 of their last 13. Kansas State had some rough patches in the Big 12, losing to Kansas in their tournament, 67-83 and going 3-2 ATS in the tournaments. The Ramblers have been very good against good teams, going 20-7-1 ATS their last 28 gams vs a team with a win percentage above 60%. Kansas State has not done so well vs non-conference teams, going just 3-9 ATS their last 12. This game should be close as most of Loyola's games have been lately. But I will stick with the Ramblers here. Play Loyola Chicago. |
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03-24-18 | Central Michigan +3.5 v. Liberty | 71-84 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 43 m | Show | |
CBI Quarterfinals has Central Michigan facing Liberty. Central Michigan has been scoring like crazy in the CBI, beating IUPU Fort Wayne 94-89 and then Wofford, 98-94. They have covered four of their last six games. Liberty has had just one game in the CBI and that was a home winner over North Carolina A&T, 65-52. Big difference between the MAC and Big South conferences. Liberty steps up in talent today and runs into a scoring machine in Central Michigan. I like a team that can score big and is getting points. That's just what we have here today. Play Central Michigan. |
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03-23-18 | Texas Tech +2 v. Purdue | 78-65 | Win | 100 | 11 h 30 m | Show | |
NCAA Semis from Boston, MA has Texas Tech playing Purdue. Texas Tech lost to West Virginia in the Big 12 tournament, 63-66. The Red Raiders then opened NCAA tournament play with a win over Stephen Austin, 70-60 and then beat Florida, 69-66. Purdue lost to Michigan in the Big 10 tournament but beat Cal Fullerton and Butler in the NCAA tourney. Tech is one of the best teams in the nation in turnovers, averaging 15 per game. Their key to victory tonight is to limit Purdue's chances and add to theirs through turnovers. Texas Tech will have to take over here defensively and keep Purdue from running away with this game. The Raiders allowed the fewest points in the Big 12 and was 15th best in the country. I like Tech tonight to play solid defense and take Purdue out of their game. I'm taking Texas Tech. |
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03-23-18 | Syracuse +11.5 v. Duke | 65-69 | Win | 100 | 76 h 59 m | Show | |
NCAA Midwest Regional from Omaha, NE pits ACC foes Syracuse and Duke against each other. These teams know each other well though they didn't meet in the ACC tournament. Their one meeting this year, in Duke, resulted in a Blue Devil's win, 44-60. They totaled just 104 points in that game. Syracuse is 3-0 in the NCAA tournament, playing a solid zone defense that has help opponents to 53, 52 and 56 points respectively. The Orangemen have covered three straight and five of the last six. The Orange have also done well in NCAA tournaments, covering seven of their last eight NCAA games. Duke also plays a zone defense and while they haven't been as stingy as the Orange, they are still solid. The issue I have in this game is the line. Duke is laying 11 1/2 points to a good defensive team that keeps scores low. That being said, I don't think Duke can score enough points to cover this double digit line. The Blue Devils will have to work for their scoring opportunities against this Syracuse zone. Take the points with Syracuse here on Friday. |
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03-23-18 | West Virginia v. Villanova -5 | 78-90 | Win | 100 | 32 h 51 m | Show | |
The loss of so many top seeds has really opened up the field for just about any team to win this year's NCAA Championship. However, the favorite now has to be Villanova. Villanova has 32 wins and won the Big East Tourmament. They opened NCAA with wins over Radford by 26 points and Alabama by 23 points. They have covered four of their five games in the tournaments, despite being double digit favorites in four of the five. West Virginia lost to Kansas in the Big 12 Tourney, 70-81. The Mountaineers then beat Murray State and Marshall in the NCAA tourney. Now they face arguably the best team left of the 16 in the tournament. Villanova has a very balanced scoring team, with six players averaging in double figures. It just follows that the Wildcats are the nation's top scoring team with such talent on their club. West Virginia has to hope their defense can contain the nation's top offense, because they can't get into a scoring match with Villanova. Personally, I don't see West Virginia containing this club and with Villanova laying just five points, that to me is a bargain. I'm playing Villanova. |
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03-23-18 | Clemson v. Kansas -5 | 76-80 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 29 m | Show | |
Clemson was ousted by then No 1 Virginia in the ACC tournament, 58-64. Since then, Clemson has beaten New Mexico State and then buried Auburn, 84-53, in their two NCAA tourney games. Today will be the Tigers toughest matchup against a 29-win Kansas team. Kansas won their Big 12 conference tourney and then beat Penn and Seton Hall in their two NCAA tourney games. The Jayhawks are 4-1 ATS in their five tourney games and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games. Clemson makes the Sweet 16 for the first time since 1997 and they did it without No 2 scorer Donte Grantham who they lost in January to a ACL tear. Kansas is used to this spot, this is the seventh time in 10 years the Jayhawks have been to the Sweet 16. Kansas has won five straight games and 10 of the last 11. Kansas relies on their 3-point shots, though they were last in the Big 12 in free throw attempts. I like Kansas here today as they have all the experience behind coach Bill Self at this stage of the tournament. Take Kansas. |
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03-22-18 | Kansas State v. Kentucky -5.5 | Top | 61-58 | Loss | -102 | 53 h 10 m | Show |
NCAA semifinal action from Atlanta, GA here on Thursday has Kansas State playing Kentucky. Kansas State has won two straight in the NCAA with a win over Creighton and then over Maryland Baltimore County, 50-43. UMBC had that historical win over No 1 seed Virginia and that likely made their entire season. Kansas State really runs into its first rocky spot here on Thursday against a very hot Kentucky club. Kentucky won the SEC Tournament and then in the NCAA's beat Davidson 78-73 and followed that up with a win over a very good Buffalo team, 95-75. The Wildcats of Kentucky have covered five straight games and nine of their last 10 games. Kentucky has historically been a very good tourney team, evidenced by their 31-15-5 ATS record on neutral courts. The Wildcats of Kansas State have not done well against good teams, covering just three of their last 10 when playing a team with a win percentage above 60%. They are also 2-6 ATS in their last eight neutral site games and 2-5 ATS their last seven NCAA tourney games. Kentucky playing well too good right now in a wide open field and has to be one of the teams to beat in this tournament. Lay the 5 1/2 points in what I look for another Kentucky blowout. |
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03-22-18 | Loyola-Chicago +2 v. Nevada | 69-68 | Win | 100 | 8 h 26 m | Show | |
Loyola Chicago was the Missouri Valley champion and the Tournament champion. They will face Nevada here today in the Sweet 16. Nevada was the regular season winner of the Mountain West but lost to San Diego State in the tournament. They beat Texas in OT for their first win and then came from way back to beat Cincinnati in the quarterfinals, 75-73. Nevada has only been mediocre vs the number, going 2-2-2 ATS in their last six games and 3-4-2 ATS in their last nine. Meanwhile, Loyola has covered four straight and nine of their last 12. Loyola's defense has been solid, holing seven consecutive opponents to 62 or fewer points. They also rank first in scoring defense among the remaining 16 teams. Nevada likes to play a faster paced, transition game, which will be tough today against the Ramblers. This should be close today with Loyola taking it with their defense. Play Loyola Chicago. |
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03-21-18 | Utah +7 v. St. Mary's | 67-58 | Win | 100 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
NIT Quarterfinals on Wednesday has Utah playing at St Marys. Utah was a quick exit in the PAC-12 tournament, losing to Oregon, 66-68. They are 2-0 in the NIT, beating UC-Davis and then LSU, 95-71. The Utes have covered three of their last four games and seven of their last 10. St Marys has 30 wins, ended their tournament with 28 wins and still got passed over for the NCAA tourney. Mainly that was because of their poor performance in the WCC tournament where they beat Pepperdine by just three as a 15 1/2 point favorite and then lost to BYU as a 5.5 point favorite. In the NIT, St Mary's opened with a win over SE Louisiana 89-45 and then a close win over Washington, 85-81 as an 11-point favorite. The Gaels are 1-2 vs the PAC-12 this year both S/U and ATS. In addition, St Marys hasn't been good to bettors, going just 2-7 ATS their last nine games. I like the road team here tonight plus the points. Take UTAH. |
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03-19-18 | Western Kentucky +5 v. USC | Top | 79-75 | Win | 100 | 12 h 20 m | Show |
NIT 2nd round action here tonight has Western Kentucky playing at USC. Unlike the NCAA's, these teams still playing at home until they move to Madison Sq Garden. Western Kentucky won its first two games in the Conference USA tournament before losing to eventual title winner Marshal. The Hilltoppers won their opener in the NIT over Boston College, 79-62 as a small favorite. Western Kentucky has now covered seven of the last 10 games. USC won two games in the PAC-12 tourney before bowing out at the hands of Arizona, 61-75. The Trojans won their NIT opener with a Double OT victory over UNC Ashevill, 103-98. The Trojans struggled against Charlotte, despite being a 14.5 point home favorite. USC might not be too happy being passed over for the NCAA despite winning 23 games and finishing second in the PAC-12 with an RPI of 34. Western Kentucky had a few good days of rest between their NIT win and tonight. Both these teams could have easily made the NCAA tournament, but I have to think USC is the more disappointed, especially after it took two OT's to dispatch UNC Asheville. I'm taking the points here tonight with Western Kentucky. |
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03-18-18 | Clemson +1.5 v. Auburn | Top | 84-53 | Win | 100 | 8 h 58 m | Show |
The ACC meets the SEC here in the 2nd round of the NCAA tournament. Back before conference play, Clemson beat both SEC opponents, winning over Florida 71-69 and South Carolina, 64-48. Clemson opened NCAA play with a win over New Mexico State, 79-68 and have now covered three straight games. Auburn lost in their SEC tourney opener to Alabama, 63-81. Auburn did open NCAA play with a win over College of Charleston, 62-58, but did not cover the 9.5 point line. In fact, the Tigers have lost five straight to the number and six of the last seven. My numbers clearly show Clemson should be the favorite here, both in recent form and overall. On paper, these teams evenly matched, but I like Clemson to come out on top. Play Clemson. |
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03-18-18 | Syracuse +9.5 v. Michigan State | 55-53 | Win | 100 | 4 h 43 m | Show | |
NCAA 2nd round action has Syracuse taking on Michigan State. Syracuse lost in the 2nd round of the ACC tournament to North Carolina, 59-78. The Orangemen by virtue of their 22 wins in a tough conference go the NCAA invite and have won two straight. They opened with a win over Arizona State, 60-56 and then beat TCU, 57-52. Now they face 30 win Michigan State. Michigan State lost in their Big 10 tournament to Michigan, 64-75. The Spartans opened NCAA tourney play with a win over Bucknell, 82-78. The Spartans are 0-4 ATS in their last four games and 2-9-2 ATS in their last 13 games. Spartans not a big scoring team, though they did put up 82 vs Bucknell. They only scored 64, 63 and 68 in their three previous games. That's not a good sign for a team laying 9.5 points here today. That lack of scoring is a big reason the Spartans have only two covers in their last 13 games. My recent form number has this game even with my highest number on Michigan State around seven. I think this line is too high for a Spartans team that has issues scoring big numbers to cover big spreads. Take Syracuse. |
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03-17-18 | Ohio State v. Gonzaga -3.5 | 84-90 | Win | 100 | 8 h 8 m | Show | |
Not that I put a lot of weight on these teams first matchup back in November in one of the preseason tourneys, but Gonzaga trounced Ohio State in that matchup, 86-59. Too long ago to rely on that result though. Gonzaga cruised through their conference tourney, easily beating BYU for the crown, 74-54. The Zags then opened NCAA play with a lackluster win over UNC Greensboro, 68-64. Gonzaga has now won 16 straight games. Ohio State was an early out in the Big 10 tourney, losing to Penn State, 68-69. It was the team's third loss in five games before beating South Dakota State in round one of the NCAA, 81-73. Still, Ohio State is 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games. Gonzaga laying 3.5-points here today and while I'll discount that blowout in their first meeting, I still like this team to advance on and cover today's game. Play Gonzaga. |
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03-17-18 | Seton Hall +5 v. Kansas | 79-83 | Win | 100 | 8 h 33 m | Show | |
Seton Hall may have bowed out early in their own tournament, but they survived round one of the NCAA tourney with a win over NC State, 94-83. The Pirates have covered five games in a row. Kansas won the Big 12 tourney with a big win over West Virginia, 81-70. They won their opener over Penn, 76-60 and have now covered four in a row. This one for me comes down to coaching. I do not like or trust Bill Self of Kansas. Especially in big games like this. Never have, never will. Plus Kansas is now up to a 5 or 5.5 point favorite and my own numbers show this game as closer to two points in recent form. I'm taking the points here and counting on Self to do what he does best, screw things up. Take Seton Hall. |
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03-17-18 | Buffalo v. Kentucky -5.5 | Top | 75-95 | Win | 100 | 21 h 18 m | Show |
What a season this Buffalo team has had. They won 27 games and the MAC Championship over Toledo, 76-66. They opened the first round of the NCAA with a big upset win over Arizona, 89-68. However, here is my problem with both these things. First, Buffalo is a very good team, for a MAC team. If we look back to their pre-MAC schedule, we see they lost to Cincinnati by 10, South Dakota by 14, Syracuse by 7 and Texas A&M by 16. My point being, there is a big difference in the athlete that goes to Buffalo to play basketball vs someone who goes to a Basketball powerhouse like Kentucky. In addition, you have to take that Arizona win with a grain of salt. Sure, they beat the Wildcats easily. However, the Wildcats gave up. Arizona was riddled with off court allegations of game fixing and their coach came under scrutiny for other issues. And right after the game was over, the Wildcats two best players announced their availability for the NBA draft. This was a Arizona team that just had no heart left to play. Meanwhile, Kentucky is peaking. They have won four straight and nine of their last 10 games. they have also covered nine of their last 10. In their opening win over Davidson, they had the game by double digits in the last minute, but some three's by Davidson made the score closer then it really was. I really like this Kentucky team here today. Lay the short price today with Kentucky. |
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03-16-18 | College of Charleston +9.5 v. Auburn | Top | 58-62 | Win | 100 | 18 h 2 m | Show |
A pair of 25-win teams meet up in San Diego tonight for the NCAA 1st round. College of Charleston won their conference tournament by beating Northeastern, 83-76. The Charleston Cougars won 13 of their 14 games. They also covered five of their last seven games. Auburn lost three of their last four games in including their first SEC tournament game to Alabama, 63-81. The Tigers also failed to cover any of their last four games. Auburn lost a key player, F Anfernee McLemore back in February and since then they have lost four of their six games. Auburn is a 9-point favorite here, but I look for Charleston to give them all they can handle. Play College of Charleston. |
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03-16-18 | Kansas State +1 v. Creighton | 69-59 | Win | 100 | 17 h 23 m | Show | |
NCAA first round action from Charlotte, NC today finds Kansas State taking on Creighton. Kansas State lost in the Big 12 conference tournament to Kansas, 67-83. The Wildcats were 5-2 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up loss. The Creighton Blue Jays were an early exit in the Big East tournament losing to Providence, 68-72. The Jayhawks lost four of their last six games and were a terrible 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games. In addition, Creighton was 8-20 ATS their last 28 games vs a team with a win percentage above 60%. Also, the Blue Jays have not done well in the NCAA tournament, going 1-9-1 ATS their last 10 attempts. Creighton a 1-point favorite here, but I look for Kansas State to take this one and advance to the next round. Play Kansas State. |
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03-16-18 | Marshall +12 v. Wichita State | 81-75 | Win | 100 | 12 h 2 m | Show | |
NCAA first round action continues here on Friday with Marshall taking on Wichita State. Marshall won the Conference USA tournament by beating Western Kentucky, 67-66. The Herd won and covered all three of their tournament games. The are now 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games. Wichita State lost in the American Athletic semifinals to Houston, 74-77. The Shockers finished poorly from a bettor's perspective. They were 0-6 ATS down the stretch. Today the Shockers are laying 12 points to Marshall. My recent play numbers have this game closer to a two-point line and as high as six on Wichita. With Marshall covering spread and Wichita not, I'm taking the points here on Friday. Play Marshall. |
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03-15-18 | San Diego State +4 v. Houston | 65-67 | Win | 100 | 7 h 22 m | Show | |
NCAA first round action has San Diego State taking on Houston. San Diego State won the Mountain West tournament with a victory over New Mexico, 82-75 in the championship game. The Aztecs covered their last five games and eight of the last nine. Houston put up a good fight in the American Athletic tournament, but lost to Cincinnati, 55-56. The Cougars finished the season winning five of the last six games. Houston is laying four points. My numbers show them closer to two points overall and in recent form I have San Diego State the favorite. This is a great matchup, one of the best in the first round, but I like the points here with San Diego State. |
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03-15-18 | Stephen F Austin +11.5 v. Texas Tech | 60-70 | Win | 100 | 54 h 2 m | Show | |
NCAA tourney action here on Thursday has Stephen Austin taking on Texas Tech. SFA had an excellent Southland Conference run, beating Central Arkansas, Nicholls State and then SE Louisiana for the title. Their defense has been solid, holding six of their last seven opponents to 66 or less points. Texas Tech opened Big 12 tourney action with a win over Texas, then lost to West Virginia, 63-66. Tech has not been good to bettors, going 0-6-1 ATS in their last seven games. Stephen Austin played good teams early in the season, losing by one to Missouri as a 14-point dog and beating LSU as a 8.5 point dog. Too many points here with Tech laying 11.5 on a neutral court. I'm taking SF Austin plus the points. |
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03-15-18 | Davidson v. Kentucky -4.5 | 73-78 | Win | 100 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
Kentucky has been a very good over bet this year. The Wildcats were 8-0 O/U in their last eight non-conference games and 7-1 O/U in their last eight overall. On a neutral site, the Wildcats were 4-1 O/U their last five games. Davidson went over in two of their three conference tournament games. I look for this game to go over today. |
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03-15-18 | Loyola-Chicago +1.5 v. Miami-FL | 64-62 | Win | 100 | 68 h 3 m | Show | |
NCAA first round action from Dallas has Loyola Chicago taking on Miami Florida. The Ramblers of Loyola had an excellent season, winning 28 games and their own tournament title. They cruised through the Missouri Valley tourney, finishing with a nice 65-49 win over Illinois State. Miami finished with 22 wins and lost to North Carolina in their ACC opener, 65-82. The Hurricanes were just 3-10 ATS their last 13 games. Meanwhile, Loyola was much kinder to bettors, going 7-3 ATS their last 10 down the stretch. Miami installed as the small favorite here, though I think Loyola wins this game. I'm taking the dog here in Loyola Chicago. |
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03-15-18 | Oklahoma v. Rhode Island -2 | 78-83 | Win | 100 | 65 h 8 m | Show | |
NCAA first round action has Oklahoma taking on Rhode Island. Big surprise that Oklahoma made the big dance with just 18 wins. Even Louisville had more wins and didn't make the NCAA. Have to wonder what the selection committee is thinking here. Oklahoma didn't finish the season well, losing eight of their last 10 games both S/U and ATS. Rhode Island might have lost in their tournament to Davidson, but that doesn't take away from a nice 25 win season for the Rams. Rhode Island is the team that should be here and not Oklahoma. I look for the Sooners to bow out today. Play Rhode Island. |
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03-14-18 | Arizona State v. Syracuse +1.5 | 56-60 | Win | 100 | 20 h 42 m | Show | |
NCAA first round action has Arizona State playing Syracuse. ASU was a quick exist in the PAC-12 tournament, losing to Colorado, 85-97. The Sun Devils lost five of their last six games and still made the NCAA's. They were equally bad vs the number, going 1-5 ATS their last six games. Syracuse won their ACC opener over Wake Forest and then lost to North Carolina, 59-78. This game is basically a pick'em. All of my numbers have Syracuse a favorite, from three to four points. I like the Orange here tonight. Play Syracuse. |
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03-14-18 | Nebraska +4 v. Mississippi State | 59-66 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 32 m | Show | |
Both of these 22 win teams can't be happy being passed over for the NCAA tourney when teams like Arizona State and Syracuse both got in with 20 wins. Still, who will be the more motivated team tonight? Nebraska had an excellent run at the end f the season, going 8-2 down the stretch. They also covered 14 of their last 17 games. Mississippi State lost to Tennessee in the SEC tournament, 59-62. It was their third loss in four games. Miss State is a four point favorite here tonight. My numbers have them closer to two points and in recent form I have Nebraska the favorite. I have done well with the Huskers, especially late in the season. I'm taking Nebraska here tonight. |
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03-14-18 | North Carolina Central v. Texas Southern -5.5 | 46-64 | Win | 100 | 6 h 10 m | Show | |
NCAA First Four play-in game has NC Central taking on Texas Southern. NC Central had to win four games to win their Mid-Eastern Conference tournament. They beat Hampton in the champ game, 71-63. They also covered all four games. Texas Southern got here with just 15 wins by winning the Southwestern Athletic Conference title over Arkansas Pine Bluff, 84-67. Tex Southern has had seven games with lines this year and they have covered six. This team hasn't been afraid of competition, playing their first 13 games of the season on the road. They played Gonzaga, Washington State, Ohio State, Syracuse, Kansas, Clemson, Oregon, Baylor, Wyoming, TCU and BYU during that stretch. Those games gave them valuable experience against top notch opponents on the road. Tex Southern also won its last seven games of the season. Whoever wins will be fodder for a No 1 seed, but I like Texas Southern because they have proven they can play with anyone in the country. Take Texas Southern. |
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03-13-18 | Rider v. Oregon -11.5 | Top | 86-99 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
Rider having to make the long trip from New Jersey to the Northwest to play Oregon. From all accounts it was a rough trip too, considering the weather in the East coast. That will make this game even tougher for Rider, a Metro Atlantic team stepping way up in class to play a PAC-12 squad today. Rider lost its opener in the Metro Atlantic tournament to St Peters, 55-66. Won't get any easier tonight against this Oregon squad. The Ducks won their first two games of the PAC-12 tourney before losing to USC, 54-74. I like Oregon a lot here, mainly because this Rider team has to be exhausted after their plane ride and the fact that is in all likelihood a one-and-done tournament for them. Play Oregon. |
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03-13-18 | Northern Kentucky +9 v. Louisville | 58-66 | Win | 100 | 25 h 55 m | Show | |
NIT action here on Tuesday has Northern Kentucky playing at Louisville. Northern Ky had a nice run at the end of the season, winning three of their last four games and eight of their last 10. Louisville was a victim of No 1 Virginia in the ACC tournament, losing 58-75. The Cardinals didn't play all that great at the end of the regular season, going 4-8 in their last 12 games. In addition, bettors lost money on them as they went just 5-6 their last 11 vs the number. No.KY won more games than Louisville did this year. Have to wonder why Louisville is even here. They got passed up for the NCAA by a team like Oklahoma that had fewer wins and then the players voted not to go to the NIT, but they are going anyways. I don't see Louisville's heart in this one. I like Northern Kentucky in what I see as a possible upset win here on Tuesday. Play Northern Kentucky. |
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03-13-18 | Wagner v. Baylor -13 | 59-80 | Win | 100 | 2 h 27 m | Show | |
Wagner charted as one of the smallest teams in the nation this year, 351 in effective height. Meanwhile, Baylor comes in at a bruising #13, and it isn't just that the Bears are tall, they are also athletic. Wagner struggled to score near the basket against weak competition (#270 in 2-point%), and now will find nothing easy near the rim, while also having to hit 3-point shots from further out. Note that there was one other Wagner game against a KenPom Top 200, a short trip to play Seton Hall, where they fell down big early and lost by 21. This will be a mismatch today in the NIT. Take Baylor. |
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03-12-18 | Heat v. Blazers -7 | Top | 99-115 | Win | 100 | 11 h 14 m | Show |
Portland has been one of the hotter teams of late, especially at home where they are 13-2-1 ATS in their last 16 games and 16-5-1 ATS their last 22 overall. The Blazers are also on a nine game win streak after beating Golden State easily, 125-108. In fact, in their last nine wins, the lowest margin of victory has been eight points. Miami is coming off a two game home streak. The Heat have lost their last three away games, two in OT. The Blazers have covered four of the last five vs the Heat in Portland. In addition, the home team is 5-2 ATS the last seven. Portland just playing too well right now. I'm taking the Trailblazers tonight. |
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03-11-18 | Houston +4.5 v. Cincinnati | 55-56 | Win | 100 | 4 h 4 m | Show | |
American Athletic Conference Championship today with Houston taking on Cincinnati. Both these teams will make the NCAA tournament, despite what happens here on Sunday. Houston has been one of my favorite teams and they pulled the minor upset on Saturday with the win over Wichita State, 77-74 as a small dog. The Cougars have now won five straight games and 10 of their last 11. They are also 8-2-1 ATS their last 11. Cincinnati can hit the 30 win mark with a win today. The Bearcats beat SMU in their opener. It wasn't so easy for the Bearcats yesterday, as they trailed Memphis by 13 points at the half. However, a big defensive stand in the second half couple with some scoring pulled out the 70-60 win. Still, the |
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03-11-18 | Davidson +2 v. Rhode Island | 58-57 | Win | 100 | 2 h 34 m | Show | |
Atlantic 10 championship has Davidson taking on Rhode Island for the automatic bid to the NCAA tournament. Rhode Island has 25 wins and win or lose today, they should get in the NCAA tourney. Davidson is another matter, with 20 wins they likely will be bypassed for the NCAA unless they win today. That gives Davidson extra incentive after winning their first two games of the tourney. Davidson opened with a win over St Louis then beat St Bonny's yesterday, 82-70. Rhode Island struggled in their win on Saturday over St Joe's, trailing at the half before rallying late for the narrow win, 90-87. The Rams failed to cover and are now 2-5 ATS in their last seven attempts. My numbers favor Davidson here on Sunday, plus they need to win to get in. Take Davidson. |
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03-10-18 | North Carolina v. Virginia -4.5 | 63-71 | Win | 100 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
Win or lose today, top ranked Virginia will get a one seed in the NCAA tournament. Still the Cavaliers would like to put the finishing touches on a great season. Virginia hit the 30 win mark yesterday with their win over Clemson, 64-58. The defense was once again stellar, holding an opponent to under 60 points - the ninth time in the last 10 games they have done so. North Carolina will play its fourth game in four days today after beating Duke on Friday, 74-69. The Tar Heels lost at Virginia in their one meeting this year, 69-61. North Carolina has been playing well in this tournament, but I look for them to run out of gas today against this top defensive unit of Virginia. I'm laying the points with Virginia today. |
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03-10-18 | San Diego State -4 v. New Mexico | 82-75 | Win | 100 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
San Diego State jumped out to a huge first half lead over Nevada on Friday and never looked back. The Aztecs return to the Mountain West Championship game today to face New Mexico. The Aztecs are on a eight game win streak and have covered seven of the last eight games. New Mexico struggled early on Friday against Utah State, but used a huge 23-2 rally in the late first half to open things up and cruised to a 83-68 win. The Lobos have been scoring points, putting at least 83 on the board in each of their last six games and topping 100 in two of the last six. This looks to be a great game between two hot teams. I'm taking the Aztecs though who have been much more impressive so far in the tournament. Take San Diego State. |
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03-10-18 | Houston +3.5 v. Wichita State | 77-74 | Win | 100 | 5 h 8 m | Show | |
American Athletic Semifinal action today has Houston taking on Wichita State. Houston has been one of those "Under the Radar" teams this year, quietly winning 25 games. The Cougars have won four straight and nine of the last 10. They have also covered seven of the last 10 with one push. They opened tourney play yesterday with an easy win over Central Florida, 84-56. Wichita State opened tourney play with a win over Temple, 89-81. The Shockers have not covered a game in their last five tries. The teams have split their two meetings this year with each winning on their own home court. Wichita State is a three point favorite here today. My numbers actually favor Houston in recent play and in road value. I'm taking Houston today! |
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03-10-18 | Alabama v. Kentucky -4 | Top | 63-86 | Win | 100 | 3 h 24 m | Show |
SEC Tourney Game of the Year: Alabama opened tourney play with a narrow win over Texas A&M, 71-70. Then followed that win with another on Friday over Auburn, 81-63. The two wins snapped a five game losing streak by the Crimson Tide. The Tide now play a Kentucky team they lost to back in February, 71-81. Kentucky had just one game in tourney action so far, a easy win over Georgia on Friday, 62-49. The Cats had little trouble with Georgia, which should be good for them going into today's contest. The win was the fifth in their last six games both S/U and ATS. Definitely a fresher Kentucky team here today as Alabama has had two games and Kentucky just the one. Good spot here for the Cats, take Kentucky. |
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03-09-18 | Oregon v. USC -2 | Top | 54-74 | Win | 100 | 11 h 12 m | Show |
Semifinals Bailout Game of the Month : Late PAC-12 action tonight has Oregon playing USC from Las Vegas. Oregon trailed by nine points to Utah last night with under 10 minutes in the game, but rallied late to take a two point win, 68-66. The Ducks failed to cover the 2.5 point line, making them 1-3 ATS their last four. The night before, Oregon had to go to OT to beat Washington State, 64-62 as a 12-point chalk. USC had a much easier time last night against Oregon State, winning 61-48. The Trojans have now covered four of their last five games. USC is also the much fresher team at this point with just one game played in five days. Meanwhile Oregon has had two straight rough games including an OT. I'm taking USC here on Friday. |
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03-09-18 | Mississippi State v. Tennessee -6 | 59-62 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 31 m | Show | |
latinum Play : SEC quarterfinal action has Mississippi State taking on Tennessee. Miss State won their opener last night, defeating LSU 80-77 as a 2.5-point favorite. The Bulldogs now play a Tennessee team that they lost at home to on Feb 27th, 57-76. Tennessee plays their opener tonight after five days off. The Vols have a four-game winning streak heading into tonight's contest. Tennessee is a 7-point favorite here tonight. My numbers have the Vols as high as 20 points in recent form. Lay the points with a well rested Tennessee team. |
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03-09-18 | Clemson v. Virginia -7.5 | 58-64 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 31 m | Show | |
Executive : ACC Semifinal action today has top ranked Virginia taking on Clemson. Clemson won its first game on Thursday against Boston College, 90-82. The Tigers have had fairly good play, going 3-1 in their last four games. They will have some issues tonight scoring against this tough Virginia defense. The Cavs easily defeated Louisville on Thursday, 75-58. The Cavs had an offensive breakout, hitting past 70 points for the first time in nine games. The Cavs have let just opponent score more than 59 against them in their last six games and no one has scored more than 64 points in conference play. This Virginia team looks like the team to beat right now in the NCAA's. I'll lay the price with there here tonight. Take Virginia |
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03-09-18 | Western Kentucky +1 v. Old Dominion | 57-49 | Win | 100 | 4 h 32 m | Show | |
Conference USA semifinals tonight have Western Kentucky playing Old Dominion. WKY opened play with a win last night over UAB, 98-70. The team bounced back after losing bad at UAB a few nights earlier, 73-101. WKY now is 5-2 ATS in their last seven games. Old Dominion also opened with a win last night over La Tech, 62-58. It was the team's ninth win in their last 10 games. Their one loss, to Western Ky on Feb 24th, 66-88. While this game is basically a pick'em, my numbers all have Western Kentucky as a favorite, from 2 to eight points. Take Western Kentucky. |
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03-09-18 | Texas State v. UL-Lafayette -12 | 54-80 | Win | 100 | 3 h 46 m | Show | |
Early Friday Sun Belt action has Texas State taking on UL Lafayette. Texas State opened with a win on Thursday over Coastal Carolina, 73-66. The win actually snapped a nine game losing streak for the team. They have covered two straight after losing three in a row vs the number. They will take on a much better team today in UL Lafayette. ULL has won six of its last seven games and in conference was 16-2. Lafayette laying 12 today and they are well worth it and more. I have them at least 14 points in all my key numbers here today. I expect an early blowout win for Friday. Take UL Lafayette. |
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03-08-18 | North Carolina -5.5 v. Miami-FL | Top | 82-65 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
Late action this evening in the ACC as North Carolina takes on Miami Florida. North Carolina opened tourney action yesterday with a nice win over Syracuse, 78-59. The Tar Heels need that win after finishing the regular season with two straight losses. Miami plays their first game of the tourney after finishing regular play with a four game win streak. Both teams will likely make the NCAA tournament, but a higher seed may be at stake here today. I'm laying the points with the Tar Heels who looked good yesterday and have some momentum after playing on this floor one game. Take North Carolina. |
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03-08-18 | Texas v. Texas Tech -6.5 | 69-73 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
Big 12 tourney action has Texas and Texas Tech facing off today. Texas opened tourney play with a win over Iowa State yesterday, 68-64. The Longhorns failed to cover the 5.5 point line though. Texas Tech got a bye the first night and plays its first game tonight. The Red Raiders finished the regular season with a win over TCU, 79-75. Texas Tech likely will earn a NCAA spot with their 23 wins. However, Texas will not with just 19 wins and 13 losses. The Longhorns can't win this tournament so in reality they are waiting for the NIT tournament. Tech is the better team and my number show me that they should be a bigger favorite here this evening. Lay the points with Tech here today. |
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03-08-18 | Boston College +5.5 v. Clemson | 82-90 | Loss | -102 | 3 h 57 m | Show | |
Boston College blew a huge lead on Wednesday vs NC State, but held on for the win and cover, 91-87. The Eagles were up by 14 points mid way through the second half before they were tied up around the five minute mark. A late surge got the win and now the team plays Clemson today in the quarterfinals. The Eagles have now gone 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games and 6-1-1 in their last eight. Clemson plays its first game of the conference tournament. The Tigers finished the regular season with a loss to Syracuse, 52-55. In addition they were just 1-3 ATS down the stretch. Clemson has not been good at covering away from home, going jut 2-7 ATS in their last nine attempts. I feel this is just too many points today to lay to a confident Boston College club. I'm taking the dog here in Boston College. |
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03-08-18 | Louisville +6.5 v. Virginia | 58-75 | Loss | -109 | 2 h 35 m | Show | |
Early action today in the ACC between Louisville and top ranked Virginia. Louisville won their opener yesterday over Florida State, 82-74. Now they face a Virginia team they played one week ago. In that contest, Louisville came up one point short in a 66-67 loss to the Cavaliers. Virginia plays its opener in conference tourney action today. The Cavs have that great defense and they need it because they just don't score a lot on the offensive side of the ball. That being said, they have trouble covering the bigger lines, evidenced by their 1-3 ATS mark their last four games and 2-4 mark the last six. Today, Virginia has to lay 6.5 to a very good offensive Louisville team. My recent form numbers have this game under four points. I like Louisville here this morning as they get 6.5 points in what should be another close game. |
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03-07-18 | Magic v. Lakers -7 | 107-108 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 22 m | Show | |
The Lakers have been a hot team, especially at home where they have covered nine of their last 10 games. LA did hit one bump last time out against an equally hot Portland team, losing 103-108. Still, the club has won five of their last six overall and covered seven of their last 10 games. Orlando is 2-8 S/U their last 10 games and 5-5 ATS. The Magic scored just 80 points at Utah a few nights ago. The Lakers have covered the last four meetings with the Magic in LA. In addition, the favorite is 10-4 ATS the last 14 meetings and the home team is 4-0 the last four meetings. I like the Lakers a lot tonight, enjoy the win with LA. |
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03-07-18 | Ole Miss v. South Carolina -2.5 | 84-85 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 16 m | Show | |
Ole Miss likely looking forward to a merciful end to their season here today. The Rebels unlikely to even make the NIT with their 12-19 record. Ole Miss has lost three straight games and 10 of their last 11 games. The Rebels haven't fared any better vs the number, where they are 1-10 ATS their last 11 games. South Carolina is 3-2 in their last five games. But more important is that the Gamecocks have covered six straight games. South Carolina a small favorite here tonight at just three points. Not sure how Ole Miss can cover this one at such a short number. Play South Carolina. |
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03-07-18 | Fordham v. George Washington -6 | 72-78 | Push | 0 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
Atlantic 10 opening round action has Fordham playing against George Washington. Fordham brings a six game losing streak into today's contest. In addition, the Rams are just 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games. They played GW just a few days ago and were blown out at George Washington, 56-72. George Washington lost last time out at Dayton, 78-88. It was only the team's second loss in the last six games. GW is also 5-3 ATS in their last eight games. The line has George Washington 6.5 tonight. My recent numbers have GW as anywhere from eight to 20 points depending on the situation. Fordham just not playing well enough to back here tonight. I'm taking George Washington to move on to the next round. |
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03-06-18 | Southern Utah v. Idaho State -2 | 76-68 | Loss | -102 | 7 h 36 m | Show | |
Big Sky First round action today has Idaho State and Southern Utah meeting. Southern Utah has won just once in their last six games. In addition, they are just 1-4 ATS in their last five games. Idaho State has been much kinder to bettors, going 3-1 ATS their last four and 6-2 ATS their last eight games. Idaho State just two point favorites tonight, while my numbers bring them in at 10 points in recent play. Idaho State has been the much more consistent team covering this year. Play Idaho State. |
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03-06-18 | Wake Forest v. Syracuse -4.5 | Top | 64-73 | Win | 100 | 5 h 7 m | Show |
ACC first round action tonight has Wake Forest playing Syracuse. Syracuse gets to play much closer to home with this tournament being played in Brooklyn, NY. Wake Forest has struggled, losing two straight and six of their last eight. In addition, the Demon Deacons have covered just one time in their last six tries. Syracuse is coming off a home win vs Clemson, 55-52. The Orangemen are 3-2 ATS in their last five games and 5-3 ATS in their last eight. Should be a close game, but Syracuse get the play tonight by virtue of this being in their backyard. Play Syracuse. |
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03-06-18 | Stony Brook +13.5 v. Vermont | 51-70 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 6 m | Show | |
American East action has two teams that don't get board betting time much during the season. Stony Brook had covered this year vs Michigan State and then covered in last game vs Albany, winning 69-60 as a 9.5-point dog. Vermont had more chances vs the number this year and ended up at 3-3 ATS. They are coming off a win vs Maine, but failed to cover the 20.5-point line. Stony Brook and Vermont have already met twice this year with Stony Brook coming in under today's 13 point line. Don't expect a full out tonight from Vermont who will want to conserve energy for tomorrow's Championship game. Take Stony Brook. |
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03-06-18 | Long Island +8 v. Wagner | 71-61 | Win | 100 | 5 h 6 m | Show | |
Northeast tourney action today has LIU Brooklyn playing against Wagner in the Championship game. Brooklyn has wins over St Francis NY and Fairleigh Dickinson to get here tonight. Wagner beat Central Conn and Robert Morris to make tonight's contest. I have to rely on my lines a lot in these type of games, but that's also where I find some gems. Tonight I have Wagner as just a two-point favorite and as high as a 5 point chalk. With Wagner laying eight points here my numbers put me solidly on the dog. Play Brooklyn. |
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03-05-18 | Blazers -2 v. Lakers | 108-103 | Win | 100 | 14 h 26 m | Show | |
Portland comes into tonight's game riding a six game win streak and has won eight of the last nine games. In addition, the Blazers are 7-2 ATS their last nine games. Portland has moved into 3rd place in the West Conference and now will have to contend with six teams below them that are all within 2 1/2 games. That means the Blazers need to win games like tonight, against a Lakers team that is just 28-34 and 6 1/2 games back of 8th place in the West. The Lakers have also been hot, winning five straight and six vs the number. Still, the difference here today is in the head to head matchups. The Blazers are 22-8 ATS in their last 30 trips to LA. In addition, they have covered 43 of the last 60 in this series and the road team has covered the last five. The Lakers are playing well, just not well enough. Take Portland. |