Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-09-21 | Akron +25.5 v. Western Michigan | Top | 40-45 | Win | 100 | 6 h 13 m | Show |
Akron has just two wins on the season as they head to Western Michigan tonight. The Zips have lost three straight after losing to Ball State last Tuesday, 25-31. The team's only wins have come against FBC Bryant and Bowling Green. Western opened the year with impressive wins over Buffalo and Pittsburgh en route to a 4-1 start. However, the Broncos have dropped three of the last four games. They did win big over Kent State, 64-31. The team's offense is good, ranked 42nd overall with a 432.8 yards per game average. Akron has gone to a freshman QB which has helped a lot of late and made this team better. Add to that fact that Western has covered the spread just one time in their last eight MAC games and I'll take a shot plus the points here tonight. |
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11-09-21 | Towson -2 v. Albany | 77-56 | Win | 100 | 6 h 12 m | Show | |
First meeting ever between these basketball teams. Albany Great Danes are led by Antonio Rizzuto who was the America East All Defensive team player. Albany has a new coaching staff and really a new team with nine new players suiting up for the purple and gold. Not a lot to go with here in opening games but Alabany looks to be a team that will take time for both coaches and players to get used to each other. I'm going to take Towson here on opening night. |
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11-09-21 | Southern Illinois -5.5 v. Arkansas-Little Rock | 66-69 | Loss | -111 | 5 h 12 m | Show | |
Full schedule of action today to tip-off College Hoops season. Tonight, Southern Illinois Salukis take on the Little Rock Arkansas Trojans. SIU was 12-14 last season while Little Rock was 11-15. SIU started 7-0 last year in non-conference games but then faltered once they got into conference. I look for the Salukis to be much improved this year in a conference that is crowded with some good teams. They have 2020 Freshman of the Year Marcus Domask back and a very good backcourt. Look for this version of the SIU team to be a lot better. Play Southern Illinois. |
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11-08-21 | Hawks v. Warriors -3.5 | 113-127 | Win | 100 | 9 h 60 m | Show | |
The Golden State of old looks to have returned after a few down years. The Warriors are 8-1 S/U and 6-3 ATS on the season. They have covered four streak games and blowout out their last four opponents by 13, 41, 21 and 22 points. They have a 5-1 home record and have covered four of those. They are also outscoring opponents on their home floor by a 113.2-97.2 margin. The Atlanta Hawks are just 4-6 overall on the season and 3-7 vs the spread. They are playing the third game of a west coast swing that saw them lose at Utah on the 4th 98-116 and then at Phoenix on Saturday, 117-121. Yet here are the Warriors just a 3.5-point home favorite tonight. I don't understand this line at all. I'm taking the Warriors. |
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11-08-21 | Heat -1.5 v. Nuggets | 96-113 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 59 m | Show | |
The Miami Heat have gotten off to a excellent start at 7-2 S/U and ATS. They are coming off a big win over Utah, 118-115 as a 2-point favorite. The Heat are outscoring opponents 111.7 - 100.2 this season. They are doing well on the road too, 3-1 S/U and ATS and outscoring home teams 112.8 - 102.0. Denver finally back above the .500 mark with their win over Houston last game, 95-94 as a 11.5-point favorite. The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in three straight games. The Heat are now 10-2-1 their last 13 games as a favorite and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 road games. I like Miami here tonight. |
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11-07-21 | Cardinals v. 49ers -3 | Top | 31-17 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 3 m | Show |
The Arizona Cardinals lost last week for the first time season as they saw their 7-0 record drop to 7-1 after losing to Green Bay, 21-24. The offense had their lowest rushing performance of the year, just 74 yards and 334 total yards and three turnovers to Green Bay's no turnovers. QB Kyler Murray injured his ankle in that game and while he is probable today, you have to wonder how this will hinder his ability to scramble and run. WR DeAndre Hopkins missed the Green Bay game and is questionable here today. With WR A.J Green out due to Covid, this could leave the receiving core very limited. With a healthy QB and WR's this Arizona team is arguably the best in the NFL. WIth them hurting, I'll have to take the 49ers here on Sunday. Play San Francisco. |
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11-07-21 | Patriots -3.5 v. Panthers | 24-6 | Win | 102 | 13 h 39 m | Show | |
The New England Patriots have quietly strung together four straight wins after last week's road win at the Chargers, 27-24. The Pats offense has been fair, nothing great but they get the job done. They rank 15th in the league, 22nd rushing and 13th passing. The defense ranks a bit better, 13th overall. The will face the league's 2nd ranked defense in the Carolina Panthers. Carolina has the 13th defense vs the rush and 2nd vs the pass. The offense is not so good, ranked just 25th overall. The Patriots have been a good under team on grass, going 6-20 O/U their last 26. They are also 2-5 O/U in their last seven road games. The Panthers are 2-9 O/U in their last 11 overall games and 1-4 O/U in their last five home games. Both RB Christian McCaffrey (hamstring) and QB Sam Darnold (shoulder) are both listed as questionable for today's contest. Either way, I'm looking at a low scoring game. Play under. |
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11-07-21 | Raiders v. Giants +3 | 16-23 | Win | 100 | 2 h 9 m | Show | |
Raiders continue to add drama to their lives as they now have WR Henry Ruggs released after his DIU fatal crash in Vegas. Plus, another player is having issues now with some legal problems. All this on the heals of Jon Gruden leaving the team. The Giants came oh so close last week to beating the Chiefs in KC. If they would have recovered a Patrick Mahomes fumble late in the game they would have got the win. For me, too many issue with this Raiders team to be on them here today. Despite some Covid issues for the Giants, I'll take them today. |
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11-06-21 | 76ers v. Bulls -3.5 | 114-105 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference clash here today as Philly hits the road to play in Chicago. The Sixers have won five straight games and covered four straight. They are coming off a road win at Detroit last game, 109-98 as a 4.5-point road dog. One of those games included a home win over the Bulls, 103-98, covering the 2.5-point home line. Philly hit 43% from the 3-point arc in that contest and still only won by five points. The Chicago Bulls are 6-2 S/U on the season. Their last game was that loss at Philly. Their only other loss coming at the hands of the Knicks. The Bulls laying just 3 or 3 1/2 points here today. I'll take Chicago in what shouldn't be close. Play Chicago |
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11-06-21 | Texas v. Iowa State -6.5 | 7-30 | Win | 100 | 18 h 20 m | Show | |
Ever since the Longhorns lost that last second game to Oklahoma, 48-55, they just haven't looked the same. They lost at home to Oklahoma, 24-32 and then lost last week at Baylor, 24-31. The offense just hasn't clicked since that OU game. Now they have to travel to Iowa State. The Cyclones had their 3-game win streak snapped last week at West Virginia, 31-38. Iowa State has the 5th best defense in the country and the 45th ranked offense. I think Texas will have trouble getting back to winning against a very good Iowa State team here today. Play Iowa State. |
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11-06-21 | LSU v. Alabama -28.5 | Top | 14-20 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 43 m | Show |
Alabama has rebounded nicely from its loss to Texas A&M back on October 9th, 38-41. They have rebounded with wins at Mississippi State, 49-9 and then last week at home over Tennessee, 52-24. That is four covers in their last five games. LSU will have its hands full here today after losing last week at Ole Miss, 17-31. That makes three losses both S/U and ATS in their last four games for the Tigers. Not sure how LSU will stop or stay with this Alabama team here on Saturday. I look for a big Alabama blowout win. Play the Tide. |
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11-06-21 | Mississippi State +5 v. Arkansas | 28-31 | Win | 100 | 15 h 43 m | Show | |
The Bulldogs of Mississippi State has strung together two very good games, beating Vandy 45-6 and then last week beating Kentucky, 31-17. That makes the dogs 5-3 S/U and 4-3-1 ATS on the season. The offense is 46th overall on the season while the defense is 16th. They face an Arkansas team here today that is 5-3 S/U and ATS. The Hogs started the season in great form, winning and covering their first four games. That was before they ran into a Georgia team that beat them 0-37. Have to take last week with a grain of salt since they beat FBC team, Arkansas-Pine Bluff, 45-3. Miss State getting points here today is too much for me to pass on. We get four points points but I don't think will need any. Play Mississippi State. |
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11-06-21 | Michigan State -3 v. Purdue | 29-40 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 24 m | Show | |
Michigan State showed they are the other team in Michigan and they are just as good. The Spartans came from behind last week at Michigan to win 37-33. That kept the Spartans unbeaten in the nation at 8-0. They now eye one of the four playoff spots, but first they have to get through Purdue, Maryland, Ohio State and Penn State on the schedule. Purdue would like to do nothing more than put a dent in MSU's playoff picture. The Boilermakers rebounded from their loss to Wisconsin two weeks ago with a win last week at Nebraska, 28-23 as a 7.5-point dog. They improved to 5-3 S/U and 4-4 ATS on the season. MSU just a 3-point road favorite here today. I will take them and see if they can stay perfect on the season. Play Michigan State. |
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11-06-21 | Baylor -7 v. TCU | 28-30 | Loss | -108 | 14 h 15 m | Show | |
Baylor Bears look to extend their win streak to four games here today. The Bears are 7-1 S/U and 6-2 ATS on the season. They are coming off a win at home over Texas, 31-24 as a 3-point favorite. The Bears defense has been outstanding, holding ever team they have played under 30-points. They rank 35th overall on defense and 17th on offense. TCU has not been good to bettors this year, covering just one time in their eight games. They are also 3-5 S/U and have lost three straight games. The defense ranks 112th and the offense is 39th. Baylor is laying around 6.5-points here on Saturday on the road. That should be no problem for the Bear. Play Baylor. |
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11-06-21 | California -9 v. Arizona | 3-10 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 46 m | Show | |
Cal Bears look to extend their win streak to three games here on Saturday at Arizona. The Bears are coming off a home win over Oregon State, 39-25 as a 2-point dog. They are now 3-5 after starting the season 1-5. The good news is they face a Arizona team that has now lost eight straight this year and 20-games overall. They are coming off a road cover at USC last week, 34-41. They also covered two weeks ago against Washington, 16-21. Today they get 12-points at home against Cal. Problem is this team has scored more than 19 points just one time this year and that was last week's 34 points at USC. I just don't see them scoring enough points here to cover this line. Play Cal. |
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11-06-21 | Temple v. East Carolina -15 | 3-45 | Win | 100 | 14 h 45 m | Show | |
Temple travels South today to take on the East Carolina Pirates. Temple is coming off a blowout loss last week at home to Central Florida, 7-49. That was the team's third loss both S/U and ATS the last three games. They have been outscored their last three games, 24-135. They have been bad on the road. losing at Rutgers, 14-61, at Cincinnati, 3-52, at South Florida, 14-34. Their only win coming at Akron back in September, 45-24. East Carolina coming off their fifth straight cover last week. They beat South Florida last week at home, 29-14. They are also 4-4 S/U. The Pirates playing at home should score a lot of points vs this Temple team. I'll lay the 15-points. Play E.Carolina |
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11-05-21 | Utah -9.5 v. Stanford | 52-7 | Win | 100 | 10 h 18 m | Show | |
The Utah Utes are 5-3 S/U and 3-5 ATS on the season. The Utes have four more games to close out the regular season and with Stanford, Arizona and Colorado on the schedule they look poised for another Bowl Berth. The Utes are coming off a home win over UCLA, 44-24 after losing at Oregon State, 34-42. The defense is good, ranked at 58th overall. The offense is also decent, ranking at 54th. These teams haven't met since 2018 when Utah won at Stanford, 40-21. Stanford has struggled to a 3-5 record this season. They don't look to be bowl headed with Notre Dame, Cal, Oregon State and Utah on the schedule. They are coming off a loss at home to Washington, 13-20 as a 2.5-point favorite. They have now lost three straight games. Don't expect a win either here tonight against a much better Utah team. Play the Utes. |
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11-05-21 | Pelicans v. Warriors -9.5 | Top | 85-126 | Win | 100 | 10 h 59 m | Show |
The New Orleans Pelicans have struggled greatly thus far, going 1-8 out of the shoot. The Pelicans have lost five straight and are 2-3 vs the number. They are coming off a 99-112 loss at Sacramento on Wednesday. They have been outscored 103.2-111.2 on the season. Their one win came on the road at Minnesota back on Oct 25th, 107-98. They will face a Golden State team that is 6-1 S/U to start the season. They are also 4-3 ATS. The Warriors are coming off a win over Charlotte, 114-92. The Warriors have been very good and New Orleans has struggled. The Pelicans will also be without F Zion Williamson and F Brandon Ingram is questionable. I'll lay the points with the Warriors. |
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11-04-21 | Celtics v. Heat -6.5 | Top | 95-78 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 59 m | Show |
The Boston Celtics play their third game in four nights as they travel to Miami tonight to play the Heat. The Celtics won last night at Orlando, 92-79. That win snapped a three game S/U and ATS losing streak. The Celts haven't done well with no rest between games, evidenced by their 4-9 ATS record that last 13 in that situation. They are also 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall and 2-5 ATS their last seven road games. The Heat are off to a great start, 6-1 S/U and ATS on the season. They have won five straight games and are coming off a blowout of Dallas on Tuesday, 125-110. They have outscored their last three opponents by 15, 26 and 15 points. They are also 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 games when installed as the favorite. The Heat have also covered seven of the last 10 in this series with the Celtics. Everything points to one side in this game, the Heat. |
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11-04-21 | Georgia State +13.5 v. UL-Lafayette | 17-21 | Win | 100 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
Georgia State looks to extend its 3-game win streak here tonight as they take on the Rajun Cajuns of UL Lafayette. They are coming off a win over Georgia Southern, 21-14 as a 6.5 point favorite. They have now covered three straight and five of their last six games. Their best game of the year was a trip to Auburn where they lost 24-34, but covered the 27-point line. The defense is ranked 80th and the offense is defense is 101st. Louisiana Lafayette is coming off a 45-0 win at home over Texas State as a 21-point favorite. They have won seven straight game since their opening week loss to Texas, 18-38. However, they haven't fared as well against the spread, going 3-5 overall. The offense is ranked 47th and the defense is ranked 53rd. The teams met last year at Georgia State with ULL winning 34-31 but failing to cover the 16.5-point line. I believe State is a team that can keep this game close here tonight. I'll take the 2+ TD's. Take Georgia State. |
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11-03-21 | Hawks +5 v. Nets | 108-117 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 15 m | Show | |
The Atlanta Hawks are 4-3 S/U and 3-4 ATS so far this season. They are coming off a win at home over Washington on Monday, 118-111 as a 5.5-point favorite. The Hawks are narrowly outscoring opponents this year, 107.9-106.6 overall. The will face the Brooklyn Nets tonight who are still without star Kyrie Irving. The Nets are coming off a win on Sunday over Detroit, 117-91 as a 12-point favorite. It was the teams second win in row, as they sit at 4-3 S/U and 3-4 ATS on the season. The Nets are about even in scoring as they average 104.6 ppg on offense and in defense. Nets haven't been scoring like they did last year and now they have to cover a 5-point spread against a good Hawks team. I'll take the points in this one. Play Atlanta. |
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11-03-21 | Northern Illinois +3.5 v. Kent State | Top | 47-52 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 36 m | Show |
Northern Illinois is coming off a close win at Central Michigan, 39-38 as a 6-point dog. The Huskies have won five games in a row since their loss to Michigan back on Sept 18th. They are now 6-2 and 4-0 in the MAC. The Huskies are ranked 66th in offense and 96th in defense. They will take on Kent State tonight. Kent is coming off a win at Ohio, 34-27 as a 5-point favorite. Kent is 4-4 overall on the season and 3-1 in the MAC. Kent is ranked 28th in offense, but 123rd in defense. The Huskies are coming off a week off where they have done well, going 7-0 ATS the last seven times after a bye week. They are also 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 games as a road dog and 40-18-2 their last 60 on the road overall. The Golden Flashes are just 1-4 ATS their last five games vs a team with a winning record and 2-5-1 ATS at home their last eight vs a winning team. I'm going to take the visitor here plus the points. Take Northern Illinois. |
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11-02-21 | Eastern Michigan +9 v. Toledo | 52-49 | Win | 100 | 7 h 24 m | Show | |
Both these MAC teams are just 2-2 in a bunched-up conference. Toledo Rockets have won two straight games in this series. Eastern Michigan has not been a good team historically, however they are close to being Bowl eligible this year. They are coming off a big win over Bowling Green last week, 55-24. They played Northern Illinois, the best team in the MAC, to just a 7-point loss. Eastern is also healthy tonight and this for a team that has moved up in the offensive rankings. The defense is about mid-range, which is good news on both sides of the ball. I'm taking the points here tonight with Eastern as both teams look closer to each other than the oddsmaker seems to have been given credit for. Take Eastern Michigan. |
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11-02-21 | Ball State v. Akron +20.5 | 31-25 | Win | 100 | 7 h 55 m | Show | |
Early college football action tonight in the MAC has Ball State taking on Akron. Ball State is 4-4 overall on the season and 2-2 in conference after last week's loss to Miami Ohio, 17-24 as a 3.5-point home favorite. Akron is also coming off a loss, that being at Buffalo 10-45 as a 13.5-point dog. They Zips are now 2-6 overall and 1-3 in the MAC. Ball State is the defending MAC Champion looked to got back on track with three straight wins before their loss last time out to Miami. The Cardinals are now just 3-5 vs the number on the year. The offense has had troubles scoring points, evidenced by their 24.5 ppg while the defense is not good with a 27.9 ppg allowed. The Zips still in a rebuild mode have shown some good signs, but they are still 3-5 vs the spread. The offense averages just 19.9 ppt and the defense is near the bottom of the FBS. Hard for me to lay 20-points with a team that barely scores more than that. I'll take the home dog here and the generous points. Play Akron. |
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11-01-21 | Wizards v. Hawks -5.5 | 111-118 | Win | 100 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
The Washington Wizards hit the road tonight to face the Atlanta Hawks. The Wizards are 5-1 S/U and ATS on the season. The Wizards have won and covered three straight games including their last game at home over Boston, 115-112 as a 2-point chalk. They have outscored opponents 112.7 - 108.5 this season. They also beat Atlanta on the 28th of October, 122-111 at home as a 3-point dog. The Hawks are off to a 3-3 S/U and ATS on the season. They have lost two straight games, including last time out at Philly, 94-122 as a 3.5-point dog. The Hawks are just outscoring opponents, 106.2 - 105.8 overall. Atlanta has been much better at home though where they are 23-8 ATS in their last 31 games. They are also outscoring opponents at home, 117.5 - 95.5 this year. I look for the Hawks to get some payback tonight against the Wizards. Play Atlanta. |
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11-01-21 | Spurs +3 v. Pacers | 118-131 | Loss | -104 | 7 h 29 m | Show | |
The San Antonio Spurs have started the season with a 2-4 S/U and 4-2 ATS record thus far. They are coming off a win at Milwaukee, 102-93 as a 7-point dog that snapped a four game losing streak. The Spurs are 4-0 ATS in their last four road games and 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 games as a road dog. They are also 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games playing on 1 day rest. The Pacers one of the disappointing teams this year at just 1-6 S/U and 2-5 ATS on the season. They are coming off a loss at home to Toronto, 94-97 as a 2.5-point favorite. It's been a rough start for the Pacers. They could be without shooting guard Malcom Brogdon tonight who is questionable with a hamstring injury. Brogdon has averaged 23.4 ppg through five games. With or without Brogdon, they shouldn't be laying points until they can win games outright. Play San Antonio. |
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10-31-21 | Bucs v. Saints +4.5 | 27-36 | Win | 100 | 15 h 2 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay has won four straight since losing in week three to the Rams, 24-34. Since then they are 4-0 S/U and 2-2 ATS. They are coming off a win last week at home against Chicago, 38-3 as a 12-point favorite. QB Tom Brady has the offense ranked 2nd overall, 1st in passing and 21st in rushing. They will face a good Saints defense here today that is ranked 9th overall, 3rd vs the rush and 20th vs the pass. The Saints are now 3-3 S/U and ATS on the season. They are coming off a win last week at Seattle, 113-10, though they failed to cover the spread. The Bucs covered the last meeting, a 30-20 win last year in New Orleans. Before that though the Saints have covered the last five games in the series. I'll take the points here at home with a good defensive team. Play New Orleans. |
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10-31-21 | Patriots +4.5 v. Chargers | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 15 h 41 m | Show | |
The Patriots head out West for their game with the LA Chargers here on Sunday. The Patriots coming of their best offensive game of the season, although it was against the Jets, in a 54-13 final. They improved to 3-4 S/U and and ATS on the season. The offense improved a few spots to 15th overall and the defense is 12th. The Chargers had last week off after their worst offensive performance the week before in a rod loss to the Ravens, 6-34. They could muster just 208 total yards of offense in that loss. The setback dropped them to 4-2 S/U and ATS on the season. The defense is ranked 19th overall while the offense dropped to 8th after that performance two weeks ago. The Patriots have won and covered the last three meetings in this series, including last year's 45-0 win at LA. The Chargers running game has not been good as they have to rely on QB Justin Herbert most of the time. I'll take the points on the road here today with the Patriots. |
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10-31-21 | Titans v. Colts -2.5 | Top | 34-31 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 36 m | Show |
The Indianapolis Colts are coming off a win last week at San Francisco, 30-18. They held the 49ers to just 280 total yards and had a +2 in the turnover ratio. The Colts are 3-4 S/U and 5-2 ATS on the season. The Titans come into today's contest off two huge wins at home over Buffalo (34-31) and last week over Kansas City, 27-3. They held the Chiefs to just 334 total yards and sacked Patrick Mahomes four times, once putting him out of the game. The Titans are now 5-2 S/U and ATS on the season. They have the 11th ranked offense, 3rd rushing, 24th passing and the league's top rusher in Derrick Henry. What concerns me here with the Titans is that they might be in for a letdown this week after beating two of the top AFC teams in a row. I'll take the Colts at home here on Sunday. |
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10-30-21 | Duke v. Wake Forest -16 | 7-45 | Win | 100 | 15 h 4 m | Show | |
No 13 Wake Forest tied the 1944 team for their longest win streak ever in school history with their win last week over Army, 70-56. The Demon Deacons are now 7-0 S/U and 3-3-1 ATS on the season. They have scored at least 35 points in every game this year and have the nation's 16th ranked offense. Meanwhile, Duke is coming off a loss two weeks ago at Virginia, 0-48. They have had last week off to stew about that pummeling. The Duke defense has allowed 31 or more points in four straight games and five of their seven games this year. They are ranked 111th in defense overall. Wake has won and covered three of the last four meetings with Duke, including 2019 in a home win, 39-27. Wake could score a huge amount again here today. I'll just the lay the points with them. |
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10-30-21 | Texas Tech v. Oklahoma -19 | Top | 21-52 | Win | 100 | 15 h 41 m | Show |
Big 12 Battle here on Sunday has Texas Tech taking on No 4 Oklahoma in Norman. Texas Tech is coming off a loss at home to Kansas State, 24-25. The Red Raiders are now 5-3 S/U and 4-4 ATS on the year. OU is 7-0 S/U and 3-4 ATS on the season. They are coming off a win at Kansas last week, 35-23, but failed to cover the 38-point line. The Sooners are ranked 17th in offense, while Texas Tech is ranked 37th. On defense, Tech is 70th overall while the Sooners are 69th. Feeling here is that Oklahoma will be able to name their score in this one against a poor Tech defense. Take the host here. Play Oklahoma. |
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10-30-21 | Michigan v. Michigan State +4.5 | 33-37 | Win | 100 | 11 h 6 m | Show | |
Great rivalry matchup here as Michigan heads to Lansing to take on Michigan State. Both these teams are 7-0 S/U this season and both coming off horrible 2020 campaigns. Michigan was 2-4 last year, but HC Jim Harbaugh made over his staff and the results have been clear this season. The Spartans were also 2-4 last season and it has been transfers that have lifted the program this year. Michigan has the 11th ranked defense this year while Michigan State is 87th. Michigan State has the 26th ranked offense with Michigan coming in at 35th. Both teams looking at this game to improve to 8-0. I'm taking the host here in what should be a great game. Play Michigan State. |
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10-30-21 | Bowling Green v. Buffalo -13.5 | 56-44 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
Bowling Green may be just 2-6 S/U on the season, however, they have covered six of their eight games. They are coming off a loss both S/U and ATS last week at home to Eastern Michigan, 24-55. BG gave up 455 yards of offense to E.Michigan and 325 yards through the air. The offense isn't very good either, ranked 118th overall in the FBS. Buffalo is 4-4 S/U and 3-5 ATS on the season. They are coming off a win at Akron, 45-10 as a 13-point road favorite. Buffalo is 4-1 S/U and ATS in their last five games vs Bowling Green. I'll take the host here today. Play Buffalo. |
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10-30-21 | Iowa +3 v. Wisconsin | 7-27 | Loss | -101 | 1 h 23 m | Show | |
Iowa looks to rebound after losing two weeks ago at home to Purdue, 7-24. The Hawkeyes had last week off to prepare for this game today at Wisconsin. This will be a battle of top defenses as Wisconsin ranks 2nd overall in FBS and Iowa comes in at 13th. Where we see some changes is on offense as Iowa ranks 120th overall and Wisconsin is 90th. Iowa has covered the last two in this series, including last year's win at home, 28-7. Looks to be a low scoring battle here so I'll take the points with the visitor. Play Iowa. |
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10-29-21 | Clippers v. Blazers -2.5 | 92-111 | Win | 100 | 12 h 38 m | Show | |
The LA Clippers are just 1-3 S/U and 2-2 ATS to start the season. They are coming off a loss at home to Cleveland, 79-92 as a 8-point favorite. It was also their season low in scoring, just 79 points. They had season lows in shot percentage, 35.6% and 22% from 3-point. Portland is 2-2 S/U and ATS after winning at home against Memphis on Friday, 116-96. The Blazers have a +4 point differential thus far, but that number goes up to +15 in their home games. The Clippers are +2 in point differential and -2 on the road. Short line here tonight with the Blazers at home. I'll lay the points with the host in this one. Play Portland. |
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10-29-21 | Kings -2 v. Pelicans | 113-109 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
The Sacramento Kings are 2-2 after winning on Wednesday at Phoenix, 110-107 as a 8-point dog. The Kings opened the season with a win at Portland, 124-121 and then lost their next two home games between last night's win. The New Orleans Pelican are just 1-4 S/U and 3-2 ATS to start the season. The Pelican lost their first three games before they won at Minnesota, 107-98. They are coming off at loss at home to the Hawks, 99-102, but covered the 5-point dog spread. The Kings are now 10-1 ATS in their last 11 road games. The Kings seem to be playing better on the road right now. I'll take the Kings tonight. |
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10-28-21 | Packers +6.5 v. Cardinals | Top | 24-21 | Win | 100 | 8 h 17 m | Show |
The two hottest teams in the NFL meet here tonight as the Arizona Cardinals host the Green Bay Packers. Green opened with that loss to the New Orleans Saints, 3-38. Since then they are 6-0 both S/U and ATS. They are coming off a home win over Washington, 24-10. The Packers defense has gotten better and better as the season has progressed, now ranked 7th overall and 22nd vs the rush and 6th vs the rush. Arizona is a perfect 7-0 on the season and 6-1 ATS. So something has to give tonight with these two hot teams. The Cardinals are coming off a 31-5 win at home against Houston. They have scored at least 30 points in six of their seven games this year. The defense is also excellent, ranked 5th overall on the season. Despite the high scoring average, they are ranked just 7th overall on offense, 5th rushing and 11th passing. The defense will be without JJ Watt tonight who is nursing a shoulder injury. The Packers could be without WR Davante Adams who is going through a Covid protocol. Still, for me, the 6.5-points looks to much to pass on with Aaron Rodgers and company. I'll take the dog here tonight. |
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10-28-21 | Knicks +1.5 v. Bulls | 104-103 | Win | 100 | 8 h 8 m | Show | |
The NY Knicks look to improve on their 3-1 record here tonight as they travel to Chicago to take on the Bulls. The Knicks are coming off a win at home over Philadelphia, 112-99. The Knicks have a +9.0 point differential thus far on the young season. The Bulls are a perfect 4-0 S/U and ATS on the season as they enter play tonight. However, two of those wins came against Detroit and one against Toronto, both those teams having terrible seasons last year. Tonight will be their first true test of the young season. Some may read more into this 4-0 Bulls start then I think it's worth. Sure they are holding teams to just over 95 ppg, but again, look at the quality of those teams. I think the Knicks are the better team and they prove it here tonight. Play New York. |
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10-28-21 | Troy +17 v. Coastal Carolina | 28-35 | Win | 100 | 7 h 27 m | Show | |
Sun Belt conference action tonight has the Troy Trojans taking on Coastal Carolina Chaticleers tonight. Troy is 4-3 S/U overall and 2-5 ATS on the season. They had a off week last week so they have had a few weeks to prepare for this contest. Coastal is 6-1 S/U and 5-2 ATS on the season and coming off its first loss of the year last week at Appalachian State, 27-30 as a 4.5-point favorite. Coastal has a offense that is ranked 6th overall in FBS as they average 524 yards per game. Troy is ranked 99th in the nation on offense. Troy will have the edge here on defense, as they are ranked 7th in the nation while Coastal is 19th. Troy has covered the last four meetings between these teams, including last year's shootout at Troy, 38-42 as a 12-point dog. Coastal the better team overall, but 17-points look like a lot against a good defensive team. I'll take the points here tonight. Play Troy. |
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10-28-21 | Hawks -2.5 v. Wizards | 111-122 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 8 m | Show | |
The Atlanta Hawks off to a nice start to the season at 3-1 S/U and 2-2 ATS. The defense has played well, allowing just 97.8 ppg thus far. They are coming off a win at New Orleans, 102-99, though they failed to cover the 5-point favorite line. The Washington Wizards also 3-1 S/U and ATS on the season. The Wizards lone loss coming at Brooklyn, 90-104. They bounced back last game with a win at Boston last night, 116-107. They now have to play their second of a back-to-back spot here tonight. That's always tough in the NBA. Not happy about laying 2 or 3 points on the road with the Hawks, but they are good enough to cover that, especially with the Wizards playing a tough road game last night. Play Atlanta. |
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10-24-21 | Magic v. Knicks -11.5 | 110-104 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
Orlando off to another bad start to a season after just two games. The Magic are 0-2 both S/U and ATS. They lost their opener to the Spurs, 97-123 and then played the Knicks on Friday and lost 96-121. Now they turn right around and face the Knicks again, this time in New York. The Knicks are off to a 2-0 start both S/U and ATS. In addition to their win over Orlando, they started the season with a 138-134 road win at Boston and covered the two-point chalk line. The Magic are just 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 overall games. The Knicks are 22-8 ATS in their last 30 games as a home favorite. I look for a New York blowout here tonight. |
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10-24-21 | Eagles +3 v. Raiders | Top | 22-33 | Loss | -120 | 15 h 42 m | Show |
The post Jon Gruden era began on a positive note last week for the Las Vegas Raiders. The Raiders went to Denver and beat the Broncos, 34-24. They also did something they hadn't done all season under Gruden, scored a first quarter touchdown and a TD on their first drive of the game. The Raiders were also a +4 in the turnover game and sacked Teddy Bridgewater five times. Overall it was a very good day for Vegas. They will host the Philadelphia Eagles here today. The Eagles are coming off home loss to the Tampa Bay Bucs, 22-28, covering the 7-point dog line. They are now 2-4 S/U and 3-3 ATS on the season. The Las Vegas offense was ranked first in the NFL after three weeks, now has dropped to 10th overall, 30th in rushing and third in passing. Philadelphia is 20th in offense, 15th rushing and 22nd passing. Both teams possess excellent QB's and potent passing games. The defenses are mid-pack, nothing to brag much about. For me, I'll take the points here today with the Eagles. |
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10-24-21 | Jets v. Patriots -7 | 13-54 | Win | 100 | 2 h 42 m | Show | |
The NY Jets looking to rebound from last week's loss at Atlanta, 20-27. The Jets are now 1-4 S/U and ATS on the Season. The Jets have not been a good road team, just 7-19 their last 26 away. They are also 5-15 ATS in their last 20 vs the AFC and 1-6 ATS their last seven overall games. Tough loss last week for the Pats who went back and forth with the Cowboys before losing 29-35. Last time they had this kind of loss (week 1 vs Miami, 16-17) they rebounded nicely with a win over the Jets, 25-6. The Pats usually do well vs bad teams, going 12-3 ATS their last 15 vs losing road teams and 25-10 ATS vs all losing teams. The Pats are 6-2 ATS in their last eight meetings with the Jets at Foxboro. I'll take NE here today. |
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10-23-21 | San Diego State v. Air Force -3 | 20-14 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 17 m | Show | |
San Diego State had their issues on offense last week against a poor San Jose State team. Yes, they won the game, but only by 19-13 and they not only struggled most of the game but failed to cover the 7.5-point line. It doesn't come as a surprise that the Aztecs are just 106th ranked on offense. The defense is still solid though at 8th ranked. The Aztecs are now 6-0 S/U and 3-2 ATS on the season. Air Force is 6-1 S/U and 5-2 ATS. They have covered four straight games, including last week's win at Boise State, 24-17 as a 4.5 point road dog. Air Force has the 56th ranked offense, but most of that is on the ground where they average 336 yards per game. Expect a lower scoring, hard fought battle in this contest. I expect the Falcons though to use that potent ground game to keep the Aztecs offense off the field tonight. Play Air Force. |
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10-23-21 | Clemson v. Pittsburgh -3 | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 13 h 51 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh continues to flex their muscles, coming off a win at Virginia Tech, 28-7. That make the Panther 5-1 S/U and 4-1 ATS on the season. The defense has been very good, ranked 27th overall in the country. The offense has been even better, ranked 5th overall in the country. Clemson is 4-2 S/U and 0-6 ATS on the season. The defense has been solid as usual, but the offense has struggled, scoring over 21 points just once this year and that was against non-FBS opponent South Carolina State, 49-3. The defense is ranked 24th overall while the offense is a poor 115th. Pitt laying around a Field goal here today and with their excellent defense they should be able to keep this Clemson offense in check. Play Pittsburgh. |
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10-23-21 | Oklahoma State +7 v. Iowa State | Top | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 13 h 48 m | Show |
Huge game for both these Big 12 teams if one of them wants to win the conference title. Oklahoma State is 6-0 S/U and 3-0 in conference play. The Pokes have covered their last four games, including last week's win at Texas, 32-24 as a 5.5-point dog. This club has the 19th ranked defense in the FBS and the 81st ranked offense. Iowa State is coming off a win last week at Kansas State, 33-20 as a 6.5-point favorite. They have covered three of their last four games and are 4-2 S/U and 3-3 ATS on the season. Tough game to call here today, but getting a touchdown with a 6-0 team that has a very good defense is enough for me. Play Oklahoma State. |
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10-22-21 | Spurs +7.5 v. Nuggets | 96-102 | Win | 100 | 8 h 16 m | Show | |
Both these teams opened the season with wins. The Spurs opened with an easy win at home over Orlando, 123-97 while Denver won at Phoenix, 110-98. The Spurs have been a very good road team dating back to last season, 14-6-1 ATS in their last 21 road games. The Nuggets are 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall. Not a lot to go on this early, but after watching the Spurs win the other night, I'll take them here plus the points. Take San Antonio. |
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10-21-21 | Clippers v. Warriors -3 | 113-115 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 25 m | Show | |
The Golden State Warriors opened their season at the Lakers a few nights ago and while they trailed for three quarters they made a huge run in the 4th quarter to pull away for the win. The Warriors outscored the Lakers in the 4th quarter 38-29 en route to their win, 121-114 and the cover. This just kept up where they left off last year. The Warriors are now 7-0 ATS over their last seven games. The Clippers have played well too, finishing last year on a 7-3 ATS run their last 10 games. This series is usually high scoring with 16 of the last 27 going over the total. I really liked the way the Warriors looked in their win over the Lakers. They may be showing they are a team to contend with once again in the Pacific division. Take Golden State here tonight. |
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10-21-21 | UL-Lafayette -18 v. Arkansas State | 28-27 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 45 m | Show | |
UL Lafayette Rajun Cajuns opened the season with a loss at Texas. Since then, they are 5-0 S/U and 2-3 ATS. That includes last week's win over Appalachian State, 41-13. Now they get to feast on the worst ranked defense in the FBS, Arkansas State. The Arkansas State Red Wolves have allowed an average of 584 yards per game, that's 81 more the next worst team (South Florida, 503). It's no wonder then that the Wolves have allowed 52 or more points in four of their six games. The are coming off a loss at home to Coastal Carolina, 20-52 as a 19.5-point dog. This one has the markings of a ULL blowout win here tonight. Lay the points with the road team. |
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10-21-21 | Tulane v. SMU -13.5 | 26-55 | Win | 100 | 7 h 44 m | Show | |
SMU Mustangs are once again a high scoring team as they have at least 31 points in every game this season with a 6-0 S/U and 4-2 ATS mark on the year. They had a less than normal effort last week at Navy as they won 31-24, but failed to cover the 13.5-point line. Now they return home here tonight to play Tulane Green Wave. Tulane got pummeled last week at home against Houston, 22-40 as a 5.5-point dog. It was the team's fourth straight loss both S/U and ATS. In addition, they have allowed 61, 28, 52 and 40 point in their last four games. They best effort was a 21-28 loss at home to UAB as a 4-point favorite. Now they face an SMU team that is 7th ranked in the nation in offense. SMU has also won the last five meetings with TULANE, going 3-2 vs the number. Not sure how Tulane will stop this SMU club here tonight. I'll lay the 14-points with the Mustangs. |
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10-20-21 | Wizards v. Raptors -2.5 | 98-83 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 60 m | Show | |
The Washington Wizards open the season on the road as they travel to Toronto to take on the Raptors. The Wizards were beaten in the playoffs in five games to the Philadelphia 76ers. Meanwhile, Toronto finished out of the playoff picture last year in 12th place. The Raptors have won nine of the last 10 in this matchup. Both teams going through changes from last year's version of their club. Washington dumped most of their veteran players for younger ones. Early in the season it's hard to get a handle on teams, but I like the Raptors here in this spot tonight. Play Toronto. |
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10-20-21 | Coastal Carolina v. Appalachian State +5.5 | Top | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 9 h 22 m | Show |
App State would like to forget last week, as they were pummeled at UL Lafayette, 13-41. That snapped their three game win streak in which they scored at least 31 points in each game. App State's offense was non-existent last week with just 211 total yards to 455 by the Rajun Cajuns. App State also had four turnovers in that game. The Mountaineers will need to be much better tonight as they take on 6-0 Coastal Carolina. Carolina has scored 49 points or more in 5-games. Carolina has the nation's #2 ranked offense with 554 yards per game. Only Ohio State is better. These teams have split the last four meetings with the home team winning. Should be another shootout here today, but I believe App State is better then they showed last week. Play App State plus the points. |
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10-18-21 | Bills v. Titans +6 | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 20 h 6 m | Show | |
The Buffalo Bills lost their opening game of the season to Pittsburgh, 16-23. Since then they have rattled-off four straight wins both S/U and ATS. The offense is ranked 8th in the NFL, 5th in rushing and 9th in passing. The Bills are coming off a revenge win over the Kansas City Chiefs last week, 38-20. The Tennessee Titans are 3-2 S/U and ATS on the season. They are coming off a road win over Jacksonville, 37-19. Tennessee has the league's 10th ranked offense but they have the league's 3rd best rushing attack. The Titans have rushed for at least 177 yards in four straight games. Derrick Henry is the work horse of this team. Henry leads the NFL in rushing yards with 640. The Titans are a 6 to 7 point dog here tonight. Expect the Titans to look to control this game on the ground and keep the ball out of the Bills hands. I'll take the points at home with the Titans. |
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10-17-21 | Cowboys v. Patriots +3.5 | 35-29 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 39 m | Show | |
Dallas lost their opening game of the season to the Bucs. Since then, they are 4-0 S/U and ATS. They have been hitting on all cylinders with the offense scoring 36 or more points in each of their last three games. Dallas has the NFL's 2nd ranked offense with 440 yards per game. They are ranked 2nd in rushing and 11th in passing. The Patriots are ranked 26th in offense, 27th in rushing and 20th in passing. The Patriots do have a good defense, ranked 5th overall, 15th vs rush and 7th vs pass. While Dallas as the 24h ranked defense. The Pats snapped their 2-game losing streak with a win at Houston, 25-22. This game comes down to the Dallas offense vs the Patriots defense. I'm going to take the dog points at home with the defense in this one. Play New England. |
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10-17-21 | Raiders v. Broncos -4 | Top | 34-24 | Loss | -102 | 16 h 39 m | Show |
Both of these teams started the season 3-0, only to lose their last two games. Now one of these teams will drop to 3-3 with three straight losses. It's been a rough week for the Raiders. The Raiders lost at home on Sunday to the Bears, 9-20. Then on Monday their head coach, Jon Gruden stepped down as the coach. Rich Bisaccia will be the interim coach for the rest of the season. It will remain to be seen how this whole series of events effects this Raiders team. Denver lost at Pittsburgh after losing the week before at home to Baltimore, 7-23. The offense has just 26 points in the last two games. I'm going to take the Broncos here today. I want to see what effect Gruden's departure has on the Raiders. Play Denver. |
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10-17-21 | Cardinals v. Browns -3.5 | 37-14 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 19 m | Show | |
The Arizona Cardinals are the last undefeated team in the NFL as they hit the road for their game at Cleveland on Sunday. Arizona is coming off its worst offensive effort of the season in their win last week at home over the 49ers, 17-10. They had scored at least 31 points in each of their previous four games. Always hard on the West teams when they have to travel East in the time difference. One issue today is a Covid outbreak that will have HC Kliff Kingsbury and LB Chandler Jones out for today. DC Vance Joseph and Assistant HC Jeff Rodgers will split the head coaching duties here on Sunday. Cleveland plays their next three games at home. The Browns are 4-1 S/U and 3-1 ATS after losing their first game of the season last week at the Chargers, 42-47. The 47 points by the Chargers were more then the last three Browns opponents scored combined (34 points). Another possible factor here could be the wind, as sustained winds could be from 13-17 Mph on Sunday. Lots of intangibles here to decode on Sunday. I'll take the points with the Browns at home on what could be a windy day for passers. Play Cleveland. |
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10-17-21 | Mercury v. Sky -4.5 | 74-80 | Win | 100 | 3 h 46 m | Show | |
The Chicago Sky have taken a 2-1 lead in the WNBA Finals after a decisive win in game three at home. I had the Sky in game three and they didn't disappoint me. In fact, I believe the Sky have been the best team in all of the WNBA playoffs and if not for that OT they would have won all three games. Still, it's 2-1 Sky and they are at home will they will get that great support again here on Sunday. If it ain't broke, don't fix it. I'm sticking with the Sky here in game four. Play Chicago Sky. |
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10-16-21 | NC State v. Boston College +3 | 33-7 | Loss | -104 | 20 h 52 m | Show | |
Boston College enters this game with a 4-1 S/U and ATS record. The Eagles lost their first game of the season last week at Clemson, 13-19, covering the 15.5-game dog line. They will host a NC State team here on Saturday that is also 4-1 S/U and 3-2 ATS. The Wolfpack are coming off a win at home over La Tech, 34-27. Boston College has the 62nd ranked offense while NC State has the 47th ranked offense. NC State has a top flight defense, ranked 13th overall in the FBS while Boston College is a respectable 28th. These teams didn't meet last year, but BC has covered the last four in this series. I like getting the points at home in this contest. Play Boston College. |
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10-16-21 | Ole Miss v. Tennessee +2 | 31-26 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 33 m | Show | |
SEC action today has Tennessee hosting Ole Miss. Tennessee is 4-2 S/U and 3-3 ATS on the season. They are 2-1 in SEC action after last week's win at home over South Carolina, 45-20 as a 10.5-point favorite. The Volunteers have scored 107 points over their last two games. The offense ranks 19th overall. Ole Miss also has a excellent offense, scoring 43 or more points in four of their five games this year. They are 4-1 S/U and 2-2-1 ATS on the season. They are coming off a shootout win over Arkansas, 52-51, though they failed to cover the 5.5-point favorite line. Ole Miss has the nation's 2nd ranked offense with 562 yards per game. Only Ohio State is better with 563 yards. The defense is another story, ranked 102nd in the nation. This is where Tennessee has the edge as they rank 46th. Tennessee is the dog here and I disagree with that. I expected them to be the small 1-2 point favorite. I'll take a shot as this looks to be a SEC Shootout. Play Tennessee. |
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10-16-21 | Purdue +11.5 v. Iowa | 24-7 | Win | 100 | 16 h 53 m | Show | |
Big 10 action here on Saturday as Purdue takes on Iowa. Iowa has jumped to No 2 in the AP rankings with their 6-0 record. That is up from last week's 3rd ranking. Iowa is also 5-1 ATS on the season. Iowa came from behind last week to beat Penn State, 23-20, covering the 2-point home spread. The Hawkeyes have that very good defense, ranked 9th overall in FBS. They actually will face another top ranked defense today in Purdue, which comes in at 14th overall. The Boilermakers are 3-2 S/U and 2-3 ATS. However, they have not allowed more than 27 points in a game and four of their five games at 21 or fewer points. Two very good defenses on tap here today. Purdue getting double digits might be more than Iowa can cover. I'll take that bet. Play Purdue plus the big points. |
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10-16-21 | Kent State +7 v. Western Michigan | 31-64 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 53 m | Show | |
Kent State looks to improve to 3-0 in the MAC with a win today at Western Michigan. Kent State is 3-3 overall on the season and 2-4 ATS. They have won their last two games over Bowling Green, 27-20 and then last week at home over Buffalo, 48-38. Western Michigan is 4-2 S/U and ATS overall, 1-1 in MAC play. The Broncos are coming off a loss last week at home to Ball State, 20-45 as a 11-point favorite. The clubs haven't met since 2017 when Western won at home, 48-20. Kent has a very good offense, ranked 24th in the country. Western is ranked 64th in offense. Kent suffers on defense where they are ranked 110th with Western coming in at 25th. Getting a TD here on Saturday with a very good Kent offense is too much to pass on. Play Kent State. |
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10-16-21 | Pittsburgh -6 v. Virginia Tech | 28-7 | Win | 100 | 6 h 33 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh looks to build on their win last week at Georgia Teach, 52-21. The Panthers are now 5-0 S/U and 3-1 ATS on the season. They have been an offensive machine, scoring 41 or more points in every game thus far. That ranks them 3rd in the country in total offense. The defense is good, ranked 40th overall. Virginia Tech is coming off a home loss to Notre Dame last week, 29-32. That makes them 3-2 S/U and 2-2 ATS on the season. What disturbs me is that they barely beat FCS team Richmond, 21-10. The offense has not been good, ranked 116th overall. The defense is good, ranked 44th. But they will have their hands full today with the 3rd ranked Panthers offense. I'll take Pittsburgh in this one. |
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10-16-21 | Oklahoma State +3.5 v. Texas | Top | 32-24 | Win | 100 | 13 h 2 m | Show |
Not sure if Texas will be able to get that staggering loss to Oklahoma out of its mouth for this week's contest. Texas comes into this game 4-2 overall and 2-1 in the Big 12. Oklahoma had last week off to prepare for this game and comes in 5-0 overall and 2-0 in conference. Ok State has the nation's 85th ranked offense while Texas is 18th. Problem for Texas is the defense, which ranks 107th overall. They will have to deal with an Ok State team that is 19th overall on offense. With Ok State being rested and Texas maybe not in the right frame of mind, I'll take the undefeated Pokes in this one. Play Oklahoma State and look for an outright win. |
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10-15-21 | California +13.5 v. Oregon | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
California looking to rebound after its trip to Washington State. The Bears lost to the Huskies, 24-31 and then lost to the Cougars, 6-21. That makes them 1-4 S/U and 2-3 ATS on the season. Oregon also coming off a loss last week at Stanford, 24-31. The loss was the first of the season for the Ducks who are now 4-1 S/U but only 1-4 ATS. Cal upset the Ducks last season in Oregon, 21-17 as a 10-point road dog. Oregon has the 54th ranked offense while Cal comes in at 61st. Cal is 80th on defense while Oregon is 87th. Despite the difference in records, Cal is really just as good as Oregon. I'm taking the points in this one. Take Cal. |
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10-14-21 | Bucs v. Eagles +7 | 28-22 | Win | 100 | 8 h 59 m | Show | |
Week 6 of the NFL starts tonight from Philadelphia as the Eagles host the Bucs. Tampa Bay coming off a historic Tom Brady performance where he threw for over 400 yards and 5 TD's, first time in his storied career he has done both of those in the same game. The Bucs won their second game in a row after dropping that game at the Rams back on Sept 26th, 24-34. The Bucs are now 4-1 S/U and 2-3 ATS on the season. Philadelphia rebounded from their loss at home to Kansas City two weeks ago with a win at Carolina last week, 21-18. The Eagles are 2-3 S/U and ATS on the season. Tampa has the league's 3rd top offense while Philly has the 14th ranked offensive unit. Tampa has the 15th ranked defense while Philly comes in at 9th. Tom Brady is nursing a thumb injury on his thrown hand, but it didn't seem to bother him much last week. TE Rob Gronkowski is still out and he's a top target in the red zone. I'm going to take the TD here at home with the Eagles. |
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10-14-21 | Navy +11 v. Memphis | 17-35 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
Navy started the season with a pair of bad losses. They lost their opener at home to Marshall, 7-49 and then at home another bad loss to Air Force, 3-23. They were outscored in those two games, 10-72. However, they seem to have gotten better since. They lost their third game at Houston, 20-28, but covered the 20.5 point line. Then they beat Central Florida, 34-30, against cover a double digit dog line. Last week they gave SMU all they could handle in a 24-31 loss as another double digit dog. That's three decent opponents they have hung tough against and covered the spread. They go to Memphis here tonight. Memphis has gone the other way. After opening the season with a 3-0 and 2-0-1 ATS records, they have lost three straight games. That includes a 31-34 loss at Temple as a 11-point favorite. The problem has been their defense, they have allowed 29 or more points in each of their last five games. The defense ranks 117th in the country. Navy has the 58th ranked defense in the country. Yet, here they are getting double digits again tonight. I'll take the points tonight with Navy. |
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10-13-21 | Sky v. Mercury -4.5 | 86-91 | Win | 100 | 5 h 5 m | Show | |
WNBA finals took a few days off after game one which saw the Chicago Sky take a 1-0 lead over the Phoenix Mercury after a 91-77 win. The Sky got hot at the end of the season and beat the WNBA best regular season team in Connecticut to advance to the finals. The Sky are averaging 83.3 ppg and allowing 81.9 ppg. Kehleah Cooper is leading the way for the Sky averaging 14.4 ppg. The Phoenix Mercury beat the WNBA's 2nd best regular season team in Las Vegas to advance. They average 82.1 ppg and allow 79.5 ppg. Chicago has impressed these entire playoffs. However, the Suns have too and I look for them to even this series here tonight. Phoenix has a 0-5-1 O/U record in their last six home games. Play Phoenix and the UNDER. |
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10-11-21 | Colts v. Ravens -7 | 25-31 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
Colts making their return to their old stomping grounds in Baltimore here tonight. Colts started season 0-3 but finally got a win last week at Miami, 27-17. The defense held the Dolphins to just 203 total yards, though the offense didn't light it up either with 349 yards. Problem is today they have to face a much better team in the Ravens and on the road. The Ravens started the season with a OT loss at Las Vegas. Since then they are 3-0 S/U and 2-1 ATS. They are coming off a road win at Denver, 23-7 where they sacked Denver QB's five times. The Colts have had numerous injury issues including QB Carson Wentz who has battled a pair of ankle injuries. Their offensive line has also been hurting and they are without WR TY Hilton. The Ravens have lots of new faces at running back with Latavius Murray getting the bulk of the action. This means we'll see more passing from QB Lamar Jackson to go along with his running ability. I'll take the Ravens here today as they look to have gotten back on track while the Colts I'm not so sure about. Play Baltimore. |
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10-10-21 | Bills +3 v. Chiefs | 38-20 | Win | 100 | 23 h 39 m | Show | |
This promises to be one of the best games for Sunday as the Buffalo Bills travel to Kansas City to take on the Chiefs. Buffalo is 3-1 S/U and ATS after last week's win at home over the Texans, 40-0. The Bills have scored 35 or more points in three of their four games this year. Their only blip was a 16-23 loss in the opening week's contest at Pittsburgh. Kansas City hasn't looked their normal selves all season, but we saw that magic last week as they came from behind at home to beat Philly, 42-30. The Chiefs are now 2-2 S/U and 1-3 vs the number. They are also 3-1 O/U on the year. This will be a matchup of top 6 offenses as Buffalo ranks 6th overall and KC is ranked 2nd overall. Buffalo's top ranked defense will be put to the test here today. Surprisingly, the Chiefs have the 31st ranked offense. Last season, the Chiefs won this game at home, 38-24 getting the cover and the over as a 3-point favorite. Chiefs about the same favorite here on Sunday night, around 3-points. I'm going to take the Bills in this one. They have too good of an offense against a poor Chiefs defense. I'm pretty sure Buffalo won't have the top ranked defense when this one is said and done. Take Buffalo. |
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10-10-21 | Giants +7 v. Cowboys | 20-44 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 44 m | Show | |
The Ny Giants look to build on their road win at New Orleans last week, 27-21. The Giants are 1-3 S/U and 2-2 ATS. They had lost two of their prior three games by three-points or fewer. Dallas is coming off their big home win last week over Carolina, 36-28. The Cowboys are now 3-1 S/U and 4-0 ATS. Ezekiel Elliot and Pollard led the way rushing last week as part of a 245 yard rushing performance. The Giants have been an excellent road covering team, going 20-6 ATS in their last 26 away contests. They are also 10-4 ATS overall in their last 14 games as a dog. Dallas plays better in the dog role, evidenced by their 4-10 ATS mark their last 14 games as a favorite. Dallas has a 6-2 ATS mark the last eight meetings, but the Giants have covered the last two in the series. Dallas has the third ranked offense and the Giants the 14th ranked offense. RB Elliot is nursing a knee injury, while this has limited his practice he is expected to play Sunday. I'm going to take the points here with the Giants as they just seem to keep covering in the role of a dog. |
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10-10-21 | 49ers +5.5 v. Cardinals | Top | 10-17 | Loss | -101 | 15 h 27 m | Show |
NFC West clash here between the 4-0 Arizona Cardinals and the 2-2 SF 49ers. The NFC West looks to be one of the best divisions of football this year. The 49ers look to get back to winning after a loss last week at home to Seattle, 21-28. Rookie QB Trey Lance got extended play after Jimmy Garoppolo was injured with a calf injury. Looks like Lance will get the start here on Sunday. Lance brings that duel threat of running and passing to this offense. The Cardinals are coming off a dominating performance last week at the LA Rams, 37-20. QB Kyler Murray was 24-of-32 for 268 yards and two TD's. Arizona now has the NFL's top offense with 441 yards per game average. This looks to be a great afternoon game. I'm going to take the points here on Sunday as I like Lance at QB for the Niners as he brings a new and fresh dimension to this offense. Take San Francisco. |
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10-09-21 | Wyoming v. Air Force -5 | 14-24 | Win | 100 | 20 h 37 m | Show | |
The Wyoming Cowboys make the short trek South here today to Colorado Springs to take on Air Force. Wyoming is 3-1 S/U and 2-2 ATS after last week's win over Connecticut, 24-22 as a 30-point favorite. That's right, they won by just two points as more than a 4-TD favorite. Won't get any easier here today. The Air Force is 4-1 S/U and 3-2 ATS on the season. The Falcons are coming off a win at New Mexico, 38-10 as a 11-point favorite. The defense, with the exception of 49-points to Utah State, has been very good. They haven't allowed more than 14 points in four of their five games. The defense ranks 15th overall in the FBS. Wyoming has the 48th ranked defense. Air Force has the 32nd ranked offense and most of that is on the ground as they average 367 yard per game rushing. Wyoming has the 90th ranked offense. The Falcons laying only 5-points at home is too much for me to pass up on. Take Air Force. |
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10-09-21 | UTSA +3.5 v. Western Kentucky | 52-46 | Win | 100 | 20 h 36 m | Show | |
Texas San Antonio (UTSA) is 5-0 S/U and 4-1 ATS on the season after beating UNLV at home last week, 24-17. Though they did fail to cover the 21-point line, their first non-cover of the season. Western Kentucky is 1-3 S/U and 3-1 ATS on the season. The Hill Toppers have had a great offense, scoring at least 31 points in every game. However, the defense has been equally as bad, allowing 33 or more in three of their four games. Western ranks 114th in overall defense, but 8th in overall offense. UTSA has the 46th ranked offense and the 22nd ranked defense. Should be lots of points in this contest. However, getting points with a undefeated team against a team with a terrible defense is right up my alley. Play Texas San Antonio. |
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10-09-21 | Penn State +2 v. Iowa | 20-23 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 42 m | Show | |
Great Big 10 matchup here on Saturday as No 4 Penn State takes on the No 3 Hawkeyes in Iowa. Iowa is 5-0 S/U and 2-0 in the Big Ten while Penn State is also 5-0 S/U and 2-0 in the Big 10. That makes this a monster matchup on Saturday. This promises to be a good old fashioned defensive contest on Saturday. Iowa ranks 8th overall in defense while Penn State is 33rd. Penn State has had a very good redzone defense, allowing just 5-TD's in 15 redzone trips for a very good 41.9% redzone efficiency. Penn State has covered two of the last three meetings with Iowa. The teams met last year in Penn State with Iowa winning 41-21. Penn State has a bit of revenge on their mind after that home beating they took last year. I'll take Penn State and the points here today. |
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10-09-21 | Georgia -14.5 v. Auburn | 34-10 | Win | 100 | 16 h 6 m | Show | |
The nations best defense will be on display here in Saturday's matchup between Georgia and Auburn. Georgia ranks #1 overall in total defense allowing a mere 181 total yards per game. They have also not allowed a single TD in the redzone this year and just three field goals in five total trips. That ranks as the nation's top redzone efficiency of 25.7%. Auburn is no defensive slouch themselves, ranking 22nd overall with 299 yards allowed per game. Auburn is 4-1 overall and coming off a come-from-behind win over LSU last week, 24-19. The 2nd ranked Georgia Bulldogs won't give Auburn anytime to relax though. Georgia has allowed ONE touchdown all season. Not sure if Auburn cracks the TD zone here on Saturday. Play Georgia. |
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10-08-21 | Temple +30 v. Cincinnati | 3-52 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 44 m | Show | |
The Temple Owns are big dogs here tonight as they face one of the best in the nation in Cincinnati. Cincinnati is 4-0 on the season and coming off a huge win at No 10 Notre Dame last week. Temple had to come from a 17-point deficit last week to get a win against Memphis, 34-17. Cincinnati is led by Senior QB Desmond Ridder who was 19-of-32 last week for 297 yards. Ridder has now been having his name thrown around the Heisman hunt. Cincy also has a great defense, allowing just 14.5 ppg this year and that ranks 8th in the FBS. Obviously Cincinnati has the winner here tonight. My questions is this, will they have a let down after last week and how much do they care about this Temple team? With the Owls being around 29-point dogs, I can see them squeezing inside that number. Cincinnati might play more younger players here tonight. I'm going to take a shot with the points in this one. Play Temple. |
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10-07-21 | Rams v. Seahawks +2.5 | Top | 26-17 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 33 m | Show |
Seattle Seahawks coming off a road loss last week at Minnesota, 17-30. That makes the Hawks 2-2 S/U and 2-2 ATS on the season. They return home here for Thursday night to face the Rams. The Rams had that big win two weeks ago at home over Tampa Bay, 34-24 and then had a let down last week at home to the Cardinals, 20-37. The Rams were outgained 401-465, had eight fewer plays and three fewer first downs. The biggest difference were in turnovers where the Rams had two and Arizona had none. Seattle's offense not as good as in year's past, they rank just 19th overall and 17th in passing. The Rams are 11th overall and 4th in passing. The Rams defense is loaded with stars, however they haven't played that way as they rank 27th overall. Seattle is even worse, ranking dead last in the NFL in total defense. Neither team looks to be the defensive units they once were. I'll take the points though tonight as it's not often you get the Hawks and points at home. Play Seattle. |
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10-04-21 | Raiders +3 v. Chargers | 14-28 | Loss | -100 | 23 h 19 m | Show | |
The Raiders are 3-0 to start a season for the first time since 1982 when they were the LA Raiders. This is thanks to the NFL's top ranked offense. The Raiders average 471 yards per game this year and have the top passing offense (380 ypg) and the 25th running offense. The rushing game will get back their top back in Josh Jacobs who has been battling a ankle and toe injury. Vegas has had to go to OT in two of their three games thus far, beating Miami last week at home in OT, 31-28. The opened the season with an OT win over Baltimore, 33-27 and then beat Pittsburgh on the road, 26-17. Now they travel to LA to take on the Chargers. The Chargers are 2-1 S/U and ATS after beating Kansas City on the road last week, 30-24. Their lone loss was at home to Dallas, 17-20. The Chargers have the league's 9th ranked offense and 4th ranked passing offense. The Raiders find themselves three-point dogs here on Monday. The Raiders are 5-1 ATS in their last six games as a road dog. The dog has covered 18 of the last 24 in this series. I'll take the points here with the Raiders. |
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10-03-21 | Bucs -6.5 v. Patriots | Top | 19-17 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 29 m | Show |
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers looks to rebound from their loss at the Rams last week, 24-34. The rushing game couldn't get anything going as they totaled just 35 yards on the ground. Tom Brady had another excellent game with over 400 yards passing (his top this year). Tampa Bay had more yards, more offensive plays and more first downs then the Rams. Yet, they lost by 10 points with 7 points coming late in the 4th quarter. New England also lost week as they lost at home to the Saints, 13-28. Another example of the stats not panning out to the score. The Patriots had 48 more yards, nine more offensive plays and just three fewer first downs than New Orleans. That Pats were also +1 in the turnover ratio. Tampa Bay has the 8th best offense in the NFL (2nd in passing) while New England comes in at 21st. New England has the better defense, ranked 5th overall while Tampa Bay is 27th. This game highlights Tom Brady's return to Foxboro since his Free agent signing with the Bucs. Should be plenty of excitement in the Stadium for this one. For me, Brady is still at the top of his game and I think he will want to send a statement to the Patriots today. Take Tampa Bay. |
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10-03-21 | Cardinals +4.5 v. Rams | 37-20 | Win | 100 | 16 h 15 m | Show | |
This game should be interesting today. The Arizona Cardinals have NFL's 2nd ranked offense with 432 yards per game. They are 3rd in passing and 10th in rushing. The Rams offense is ranked 22nd (11th vs rush and 25th vs pass), but we know they are much better then the number show. The Rams are 3-0 S/U and 2-1 ATS after beating Tampa Bay last week, 34-24. The Rams have the 6th ranked passing attack as Mathew Stafford has looked very good since coming over from Detroit. Arizona mounted a big 2nd half comeback last week to beat Jacksonville, 31-19. They had four takeaways and 407 yards of offense. Arizona is 3-0 S/U and 2-1 ATS on the season. They will be playing their third road game in four total games this week. Arizona getting 4 or 4 1/2 points here today is just too much to pass on with such a good offense. Play Arizona. |
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10-02-21 | UL-Lafayette -12 v. South Alabama | 20-18 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 47 m | Show | |
UL Lafayette is 3-1 after dropping their first game of the season to Texas, 18-38. Since then they have beaten Nicholls State, Ohio U and last week over Georgia Southern. South Alabama is 3-0 after beating Southern Miss in their opening games and then Bowling Green and Alcorn State. They didn't cover either of those last two games however. Lafayette has won the last five meetings in this series, though they have covered just three of those. Lafayette has the 50th ranked offense in the country. South Alabama is ranked 97th in the country despite playing Bowling Green and Alcorn State. I am going to lay the price here with the visitor. Play UL Lafayette. |
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10-02-21 | Western Kentucky v. Michigan State -10.5 | 31-48 | Win | 100 | 22 h 18 m | Show | |
Western Kentucky travels to East Lansing, MI here today to face its second Big 10 opponent this season. Last week W Ky faced off against Indiana, but came up 2-points short, 31-33. The Hilltoppers have covered their first three games of the season. Meanwhile, Michigan State is 4-0 on the season and was lucky to get by Nebraska last week, 23-20. MSU had just 71 rushing yards and 183 passing yards. They were not only outgained by 176 yards, but had 33 fewer offensive plays then the Huskers. I look for Michigan State to bounce back this week against this Western Kentucky club and make up for their lackluster performance last week. Play Michigan State. |
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10-02-21 | Army -10 v. Ball State | Top | 16-28 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 47 m | Show |
Army comes into today's contest a perfect 4-0 S/U and 2-2 ATS. They are coming off a win over Miami Ohio, 23-10 as a 7.5-point favorite. Can't say the same for Ball State who after winning their opening season game vs Western Illinois, they have since lost three straight games. The Cardinals are also 0-4 ATS on the season and have scored more than 13 points just once and that was the opener. Ball State is ranked 107th defensively in the country while Army is ranked 15th. Army ranks 60th on offense and averages a nation leading 345 yards per game on the ground. Ball State is 117th on offense. Ball State won't have an answer for the Army rushing game here on Saturday. Look for Army to control the game on the ground and win this one going away. Play Army. |
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10-02-21 | Arkansas State +2 v. Georgia Southern | 33-59 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 49 m | Show | |
Arkansas State is 1-3 S/U and 2-1-1 ATS on the season. Two teams with defensive liabilities meet here on Saturday. Arkansas State can't seem to stop the run and Georgia Southern can't seem to stop the pass. Arkansas State did cover last week at Tulsa, losing 34-41 as a 14-point dog. They gave up 308 yards rushing to Tulsa. Georgia Southern lost at home to UL Lafayette last week, 20-28. The loss dropped Ga Southern to 1-3 S/U and ATS on the year. This looks to me like a game where the last team to have the ball might win it all. I do like the visitor a bit more in this one though. Play Arkansas State. |
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10-02-21 | Pittsburgh v. Georgia Tech +3.5 | 52-21 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 49 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh is 3-1 S/U and 2-1 ATS on the season. Can't really count last week though as they beat up on New Hampshire to the tune of 77-7. That can skew their offensive and defensive numbers. The only real team they played was at home against Tennessee which they won and covered, 41-34. Georgia Tech is 2-2 S/U and 3-1 ATS on the season. Tech is coming off it's most impressive win of the season, a 45-22 win over North Carolina as a 11.5-point dog. I like the competition that Tech has played thus far in NCU and Clemson, compared to the relative cream puffs the Panthers have faced. I'll take Georgia Tech here on Saturday. |
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10-01-21 | BYU v. Utah State +9.5 | 34-20 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 25 m | Show | |
Reason: The Battle for the Old Wagon Wheel takes place tonight in Login Utah when No 13 BYU faces off against Utah State. BYU is 4-0 on the season and looks to make a statement as to why they need to be considered for the CFB Playoff finals. They are coming off a win over South Florida, 35-27. Utah State is 3-1 on the season but is coming off a loss to Boise State, 3-27 last week. The teams have split covering the last four meetings with no matchup in 2020. Aggies getting almost 10 points here tonight. This rivalry game usually brings out the best in Utah State, though BYU is the more talented team. I'll take the points and see if the Aggies can rebound from lst week's poor performance. Play Utah State. |
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10-01-21 | Iowa v. Maryland +3 | 51-14 | Loss | -101 | 20 h 26 m | Show | |
Iowa brings its perfect 4-0 record into today's game at Maryland. The Hawkeyes are off a 24-14 win over Colorado State, though they failed to cover the spread. It was their first cover fail of the season. The defense has been the biggest part of this team. Iowa has the 13th ranked overall defense. They will have a big test here tonight against one of the more dynamic offenses in the country. Maryland is ranked 13th overall in offense in the country. Maryland is 4-0 on the season and has scored 30 points or more in three of their four games. That includes 30 points against a very good West Virginia defense to start the season. The Iowa offense will need to rely on their defense. The offense ranks 122nd in the country and average 293 yards per game. This game really comes down to the Iowa defense against the Maryland offense. For me, I'm getting points at home with a very good offense, I'll take that. Play Maryland. |
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10-01-21 | Houston v. Tulsa -3 | 45-10 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 60 m | Show | |
The Houston Cougars look to improve to 4-1 here tonight as they visit Tulsa. The Cougars lost their season opener to Texas Tech, 21-38. Since then they have beaten Rice, Grambling and then last week 28-20 over Navy. Meanwhile, Tulsa is 1-3 on the season as they won their first game of the year last week at home over Arkansas State, 41-34. The Golden Hurricane did lose to UC Davis in their opener, 17-19. They then went to Oklahoma State and played well, covering but losing outright 23-28. They also covered against Ohio state, 20-41. Big difference in competition these teams have played. While Tulsa has just one win they have played the better opponents. Tulsa has covered three of the last four in this series, though they didn't play last year due to Covid. I'm going to take the home team here tonight. Play Tulsa. |
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09-30-21 | Padres v. Dodgers -1.5 | 3-8 | Win | 100 | 6 h 51 m | Show | |
The Dodgers looked dead in the water last night as they trailed the Padres. 9-6 heading into the bottom of the 8th inning. But four home runs and five runs lead them to another win, 11-9 to keep them 2-games back of the Giants. Tonight, they start Tony Gonsolin who is 3-1 in his 12 starts with a 2.56 ERA. Gonsolin has a 2-1 home record with a 2.13 ERA. He has allowed more than two runs just one time in his 12 starts and that was only three runs. The Padres start Vincent Velasquez who is 3-8 on the season wwith a 6.19 ERA. He's been much worse of late, going 0-5 in his last seven starts with a 12.36 ERA. The Dodgers can't afford any losses and I'll lay the Run Line here tonight. Play LA -1.5 Runs. |
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09-30-21 | Jaguars v. Bengals -7.5 | 21-24 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 1 m | Show | |
Jacksonville is 0-3 both S/U and ATS after three games. They are coming off a loss at home to Arizona last week. They led Arizona at the half, but fell apart in the 2nd half. The defense has been bad, ranking 29th overall while the offense ranks 27th. They will face the 2-1 Bengals today. Cincinnati opened their season with a win over the Vikings, 27-24, then lost to Chicago, 17-20. Last week they beat Pittsburgh, 24-10. They won by 14 points despite being outgained 268-343 and allowing a whipping 29 more offensive plays. They also had just 12 fist downs to the Steelers 21. If you only looked at the stats, you would swear that the Steelers won this game 24-10. The way Jacksonville has allowed points this year I expect Cincinnati to get there share also here today. Jags still looking for that first win and cover, will still be that way after tonight's game. Play Cincinnati. |
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09-29-21 | Diamondbacks v. Giants -1.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -130 | 7 h 35 m | Show |
The Giants are driving toward that NL West title. They lead the Dodgers by 2-games and don't look to give up that lead. They are hosting the last place Diamondbacks and then welcome the Padres. Looks like they should easily hold that division lead. The Diamondbacks right now look to play spoiler and came close last night, losing just 1-2. The D'backs start Merrill Kelly here tonight. Kelly is 7-11 with a 4.59 ERA. He has allowed 15 runs over his last three starts (15 2/3 innings). The Giants will start Alex Wood. Wood is 10-4 with a 4.00 ERA and a slightly better 3.86 ERA at home. Wood hadn't allowed more than two runs in any of his last five starts. I'll lay the Run Line here tonight with the Giants. |
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09-27-21 | Eagles +3.5 v. Cowboys | Top | 21-41 | Loss | -120 | 22 h 35 m | Show |
It's already come down to this game to see who is first to take the lead in the AL East. With the NY Giants at 0-3 and Washington at 1-2, the winner of this game between 1-1 teams will take the lead in the division. Philly opened the season with a win over Atlanta, 32-6 followed by a loss at home to San Francisco, 11-17. Dallas opened with a narrow loss to the Bucs, 29-31, followed by a win at home over the Chargers, 20-17. Dallas is 4th in the NFL in total offense with 435 yards while the Eagles are 15th with 381. Philly has the better defense, ranked 4th overall while the Cowboys are 28th defensively. The Cowboys are just 1-7 ATS in their last eight as a favorite. They are also 1-5 ATS their last six vs the NFC East. For me, I'll take the better defensive team here tonight plus the points. Play Philadelphia. |
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09-26-21 | Dodgers -1.5 v. Diamondbacks | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 5 h 38 m | Show | |
Dodgers should not be losing to this poor Arizona club, but that's just what happened yesterday as Clayton Kershaw couldn't get the win and LA lost 2-7. That drops LA back to 2-games from the leading Giants. Only two series left after this D'backs so they need wins and can't afford losses to this kind of club. Good news is one of their best on the mound today in Julio Urias who is 18-3 on the season with a 3.10 ERA. He's been even better of late, going 5-0 with a 2.04 ERA over his last seven starts. The D'backs start Humberto Mejia who is 0-2 in his three starts with a 7.20 ERA. Dodgers win this one going away, lay the Run Line. |
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09-26-21 | Chargers +7 v. Chiefs | 30-24 | Win | 100 | 15 h 34 m | Show | |
Two of the most dynamic young QB's matchup here on Sunday as Justin Herbert of the Chargers meets Patrick Mahomes of the Chiefs. The Chargers look to overcome their loss last week at home to Dallas, 17-20. The Chargers and Cowboys were almost identical in stats with LA having one more turnover. Last year the Chargers won and covered the game in Kansas City, 38-21 as a 7-point dog. The Chargers have covered five of their last six games and are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 10 away games. The Chiefs lost last week in an exciting finish at Baltimore, 35-36. Despite leading late the Ravens mounted a big comeback for the win. KC had 405 yards in the game compared to 485 by Baltimore. The Ravens did have 18 more offensive plays. The Chiefs are only 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games as a favorite. They are also 1-5 ATS in their last six games as a home favorite. I'm going to take the points here today with the Chargers. |
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09-25-21 | Indiana v. Western Kentucky +9.5 | 33-31 | Win | 100 | 19 h 39 m | Show | |
Indiana looks to get back to winning today after losing at home last week to Cincinnati, 24-38. The Illini turned the ball over four times in that loss compared to just two take aways. Despite losing by 14, they had 42 more yards, 5 more plays and the same amount of first downs. Turnovers played the key role. Indiana is 1-2 both S/U and ATS on the season. The Illini play their last non-con game here today before getting solely into Big 10 play. Western Kentucky had last week off after losing to Army the previous week. 25-28. Indiana has just the 116th ranked offense in country after three games with just 316 yards per game. Compare that to W.Ky that is ranked 12th in offense with 532 yards per game. Indiana is a 9 point road dog and for me that's too many points to give a good offensive team. Play Western Kentucky. |
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09-25-21 | Clemson v. NC State +10.5 | 21-27 | Win | 100 | 14 h 12 m | Show | |
ACC matchup here today has NC State hosting Clemson. Clemson might be one of the biggest disappointments of the season thus far. Clemson had a lackluster win at home last week to Georgia Tech, 14-8. The Tigers had only 284 yards of offense to Tech's 318 yards. They had six fewer plays and just 126 yards passing. The Tigers offense also sputtered in their opening game loss to Georgia, 3-10. Their only good game came against South Carolina State, 49-3. NC State is 2-1 both S/U and ATS as they are coming off win over Furman, 45-7. The Wolfpack opened the season with a nice win over South Florida, 45-0 and then lost at home to Mississippi State, 10-24. Clemson is ranked 114th in the country in offense while NC State is ranked 31st. Both teams have under performed, but Clemson has look pretty bad thus far. I'll take NC State at home today. |
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09-25-21 | Texas A&M v. Arkansas +5.5 | 10-20 | Win | 100 | 14 h 11 m | Show | |
A Top 25 matchup here on Sunday pits No 7 Ranked Texas A&M against No 16 ranked Arkansas. Both teams are coming into this game 3-0. A&M is coming off an easy win over New Mexico last week, 34-0. The Aggies had 429 yards of offense to just 122 for the Lobos. Arkansas also had little issue last week with Georgia Southern. The Hogs had 633 yards to just 233 for Ga Southern. Arkansas is ranked 22nd in the nation in offense with 492 yards per game. Texas A&M is 33rd with 446 yards. Arkansas is 4-1 ATS in their last five game. Arkansas is getting 5-points here at home today. I think they can win this game outright, but I'll take the points. Play Arkansas. |
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09-25-21 | LSU v. Mississippi State +2.5 | 28-25 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
If there was already a big game in the SEC, this could be it. The Miss State Bulldogs are 2-1 and are coming off a loss at Memphis, 29-31 for their first loss. They opened the season with win over La Tech, 35-34 and then a win over NC State, 24-10. LSU is also 2-1, opening the season with a loss at home to UCLA, 27-38. They came back and beat McNeese State, 34-07 and then won at home vs Central Michigan last week, 49-21. The LSU rushing game has struggled, gaining just 84 yards vs Central Michigan and now ranks 120th in the county. Miss State has also struggled offensively, ranking 72nd in offense with 4-6 yards per game. The Bulldogs defense has been the strength of this team, ranking 46th nationally as they allow jut 317 yards. In addition, they have one of the lowest red zone efficiencies in the nation at just 37%. Only one TD has been scored against them in five red zone trips by the opposition. I look for Miss State's defense to be the difference here today. Play Miss State. |
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09-25-21 | Notre Dame +6.5 v. Wisconsin | 41-13 | Win | 100 | 11 h 40 m | Show | |
One of the last few Independent teams, Notre Dame, takes on the Big 10's Wisconsin here today from Madison. The Irish are 3-0, but it hasn't been an easy stretch. The Irish opened with a 3-point win over Florida State, then a 3-point win over Toledo before a more easy game last week in a win over Purdue, 27-13. Notre Dame's offense is ranked only 70th in the country with 408 yards per game. Wisconsin had last week off after beating Eastern Michigan the week before that, 34-7. They opened the season with a loss against Penn State, 10-16. Wisconsin has the 35th ranked offense with 442 yards average in teir two games. Have to wonder if the Badgers are looking a next week's Big 10 game at home vs Michigan. No one should ever look past the Irish though. Irish are a dog here on Saturday and I like taking dogs who I believe can win outright. I'll take the points here today. Play Notre Dame. |
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09-24-21 | Dodgers -1.5 v. Diamondbacks | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 43 m | Show | |
The Wild Wild NL West has just gotten closer with the Dodgers closing to one game of the division leading Giants. The loser of this division will get the top NL Wild card and host that game, but neither want that one and done position. The Dodgers begin a 3-game set here tonight at Arizona before returning home for their last games of the regular season against San Diego and then Milwaukee. LA Starts Tony Gonsolin tonight who is 2-1 in his 11 starts with a 2.43 ERA. Gonsolin has been very good, allowing two runs or fewer in 10 of his 11 starts. He will face Humberto Castellanos tonight who is 2-0 in his five starts with a 4.63 ERA. Gonsolin just too dominating for me to pass on him here tonight. I'll take the Dodgers and lay the Run Line. |