Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-22-22 | St Bonaventure v. Virginia -3 | Top | 52-51 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 42 m | Show |
CBB NIT Tourney Smash Tuesday 10* Top Play Virginia Cavaliers -3 vs St Bonaventure Bonnies @ 7 ET - The Bonnies have surprisingly won back to back road games to reach this point in the NIT Tourney. However, entering this tournament, St Bonaventure had averaged scoring only 58 points in last 5 games away from home. Now the Bonnies are on the road taking on a Cavaliers team known for tough defense! Virginia will stifle St Bonaventure here and pull away in the latter stages. The Cavs last 8 wins have come by an average margin of 8 points. Lay the short number here for the big win. 10* VIRGINIA |
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03-21-22 | Blazers v. Pistons OVER 222 | Top | 119-115 | Win | 100 | 8 h 26 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Cash Monday 10* Top Play OVER 222 in Detroit Pistons vs Portland Trail Blazers @ 7:10 ET - The Blazers off a ridiculous under, as I know all too well, as they scored just 16 points in the 4th quarter last night of a game that looked like a sure over. This followed 4 straight overs involving Portland and I expect to get my money back on a Trail Blazers over tonight! We will come right back with Blazers game over the total here. Keep in mind, Portland has allowed 125 points per game last dozen games. The Pistons will score well here as they have gone on a 13-1 ATS tear thanks to playing better of late. Detroit can lean on a huge offensive performance here as they catch the Trail Blazers in the 2nd game of a back to back. 10* OVER 222 in Detroit |
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03-21-22 | Middle Tennessee -4 v. Boston University | Top | 76-46 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show |
CBI Tourney Smash Monday 10* Top Play Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders -4 vs Boston University Terriers @ 6 ET - The Terriers had to play yesterday and they were down by 7 at the half before rallying in the 2nd half for the 3 point win over UNC Greensboro. That said, Middle Tennessee has an advantage because they played Saturday so they have an extra day of rest. Also, the Blue Raiders are the better team defensively in comparison with the Terriers. I also like the fact that Middle Tennessee was the better team ATS in comparison with Boston University this season and feel they are again undervalued here. Lay the short number here with the better team and look for a win by a double digit margin as the more rested team pulls away as this game goes on. 10* MIDDLE TENNESSEE -4 |
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03-20-22 | Texas v. Purdue -3 | Top | 71-81 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show |
NCAA 2nd Rd Game of the Year Sunday 10* Top Play Purdue Boilermakers -3 vs Texas Longhorns @ 8:40 ET - Great line value here in my opinion. Purdue is off a blowout win over Yale. The Boilermakers have now won 12 of 18 games away from home this season and here we are only having to lay 3 points to have the much stronger team in this match-up. The Longhorns managed to get a win over Virginia Tech Friday but entered that game with only 5 wins in 13 games away from home prior to that! The Boilermakers are a much better shooting team in comparison with Texas. The Horns making only 43% from the field in road games this season and overall 33% of threes this season. Purdue is hitting overall 39% of threes this season and 49% from the field overall. Before beating the Hokies, the Longhorns had been held to 63 or less points in 3 straight games. The Boilermakers have averaged 73 points last 3 games. Texas will not be able to keep up in this one. 10* PURDUE -3 |
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03-20-22 | Miami-FL v. Auburn OVER 142.5 | Top | 79-61 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 48 m | Show |
NCAA Total of the Week Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 142.5 in Auburn Tigers vs Miami Hurricanes @ 7:45 ET - The Tigers one of the best teams in the country and just 1 under last 5 times they have been a favorite. Auburn has scored 80 or more in 3 of last 4. Miami will struggle to try to slow down the Tigers and will be forced to score well in this game to keep up. The Hurricanes are off an under but this followed overs in 6 of last 7 games. The Canes off a 68-66 win over USC but this followed scoring an average of 75.4 points the 10 games leading into that one. 10* OVER 142.5 in Auburn |
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03-20-22 | Blazers v. Pacers OVER 233 | Top | 98-129 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 26 m | Show |
NBA Daytime Dominator Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 233 in Indiana Pacers vs Portland Trail Blazers @ 3:40 ET - The over is 4-0 in last 4 Blazers games and they have allowed 125.4 points per game last 10 games! The Pacers are off an under but the game did total 239 points and Indiana has not had B2B unders in a very long time. I do not expect that fact to change here as this one flies over the total! The over is 24-11 in Pacers home games this season. 10* OVER 233 in Indiana |
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03-19-22 | Richmond +3 v. Providence | Top | 51-79 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 50 m | Show |
CBB Contrarian Crusher Saturday 10* Top Play Richmond Spiders +3 vs Providence Friars @ 6:10 ET - This line looks funny does it not? Providence only favored by 3 over Richmond? Look at the records...look at the rankings...look at the seedings. You get my point and these are the types of situations I love to look for. I am going to ride this Spiders team as they are red hot and full of confidence. Richmond is on a 15-6 SU run and 4 of those 6 losses by 3 or less points. This Spiders team plays very well defensively and the Friars are going to have their hands full in this one. Give me the points! That was a solid Iowa team playing very well and with a such a potent offense and Richmond got the upset win over the Hawkeyes. That said, they can certainly knock off this Providence team too. We'll grab the points with the Spiders as added insurance. 10* RICHMOND +3 |
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03-19-22 | Bucks v. Wolves +3 | Top | 119-138 | Win | 100 | 7 h 12 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Dominator Saturday 10* Top Play Minnesota Timberwolves +3 vs Milwaukee Bucks @ 5:10 ET - Both teams playing well but the Wolves are not getting enough respect on their home floor here and I am happy to grab them as a home dog in this one. Minnesota has won 9 of last 10 games and also already beat the Bucks earlier this season in Milwaukee. The Bucks are off B2B road covers but this was preceded by a 5-7 ATS stretch overall. The Timberwolves are 23-12 at home while the Bucks are 20-14 on the road this season. But due to long-term reputation of these teams this game is priced this way. We'll take advantage. Give me the points! 10* MINNESOTA |
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03-18-22 | TCU v. Seton Hall | Top | 69-42 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
NCAA 1st Round Game of the Year Friday 10* Top Play Seton Hall Pirates (-) vs TCU Horned Frogs @ 9:57 ET - The Pirates lost to Connecticut in the Big East tourney but won 6 in a row before that defeat. Seton Hall certainly finished the season much hotter than TCU. The Horned Frogs enter this game having lost 8 of 13 games. The Pirates, had a mid-season lull but then got stronger later in the season and I like the way Seton Hall played down the stretch. TCU turned the ball over 15 times per game away from home this season while the Pirates turned it over 11 times per game away from home. I am grabbing the hotter team that takes better care of the ball and I look for the Pirates to pull away strongly in the 2nd half of this game as their winning ways continue while the Horned Frogs, a little beaten up from all the losing, again struggle to find a way to get back to winning as they came slips away from TCU in the second half. 10* SETON HALL |
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03-18-22 | Wright State v. Arizona OVER 156.5 | Top | 70-87 | Win | 100 | 10 h 11 m | Show |
NCAA Top Total Friday 9* Top Play OVER 156.5 in Arizona Wildcats vs Wright State Raiders @ 7:27 ET - The Wildcats have had a huge season and will pile up the points. Arizona's last 10 wins have seen them average 86.7 points per victory. Keep in mind, those victories were against tough Pac-12 competition. Now the Cats can take advantage of facing a weaker foe in Wright State. The Raiders will not be able to slow down Arizona but, at the same time, I do expect they will score well also. Wright State has won 6 straight games and have scored an average of 79.5 points per game. I am looking for a 95 to 75 type game here and that puts this one in the 170 range. 9* OVER 156.5 in Arizona |
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03-18-22 | Mavs v. 76ers OVER 216.5 | Top | 101-111 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 3 m | Show |
NBA Total Blowout Friday 10* Top Play OVER 217.5 in Philadelphia 76ers vs Dallas Mavericks @ 7:10 ET - With Joel Embiid listed as questionable for this game, the posted total has dropped from low 220s to mid 210s and we have excellent value with the over. If Embiid plays we will certainly welcome his offense. If Embiid does not play, the 76ers will still find their points but absolutely will be missing his defense against a dangerous Mavs team. Since Kristaps Porzingis was traded they have seen Spencer Dinwiddie really become a key on offense. The Mavs have won 10 of last 12 with him on the court and he is really playing well. Dallas had two duds offensively last 12 games but averaged 113 points in the other 10 games! The Sixers have won 8 of 11 games and have scored an average of 123 games in the 8 victories. Watch this game fly over the total! 10* OVER 217.5 in Philadelphia |
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03-17-22 | Creighton +2.5 v. San Diego State | Top | 72-69 | Win | 100 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
NCAA Tourney Blowout Thursday 10* Top Play Creighton Bluejays (+) vs San Diego State Aztecs @ 7:27 ET - Bluejays faced a tougher schedule and I also like the fact Creighton won both games against UConn and all 3 games against Marquette and also they did get a 20 point win versus Villanova this season. San Diego State, on the other hand, lost both games against Boise State this season and 2 of 3 against Colorado State. The point is we are looking at how these teams fared against some of the other tourney teams coming from the same conference they are in and you can see that the Bluejays were much better than the Aztecs. Couple that with the fact that Creighton had the tougher overall schedule and you can see why I like having them as a small underdog to San Diego State in this match-up. Having the 2.5 points (current line) could be a bigger value than you think too when you consider the very low posted total on this Bluejays/Aztecs battle. Believe it or not, 6 of San Diego State's last 14 games decided by 2 points or less! 10* CREIGHTON |
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03-17-22 | Pistons v. Magic OVER 218.5 | Top | 134-120 | Win | 100 | 9 h 46 m | Show |
NBA TV Total of the Week Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 218.5 in Orlando Magic vs Detroit Pistons @ 7:10 ET - The Magic and Pistons are two of the worst teams in the league. Orlando and Detroit each allowing 112 points per game on the season. The Magic off back to back losses and the Pistons off 4 straight losses so each team going to bring some extra effort here in a game they definitely each view as a winnable game. That said, I do look for this to lead to plenty of points. 3 of the last 4 meetings between these teams have gone over the total. Detroit has averaged 109 points scored per game during their current 11-1 ATS run entering this game. Magic have averaged 112.5 points scored per game last 8 home games. This one should get well into the 220s given the situation. 10* OVER 218.5 in Orlando |
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03-16-22 | 76ers -4.5 v. Cavs | Top | 118-114 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 54 m | Show |
NBA PA Dominator Wednesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -4.5 @ Cleveland Cavaliers @ 7:10 ET - Yes, Cleveland is a solid team playing with revenge here and they are on their home floor. However, the flip side of that is the fact that Philly being on the road gets a small number for the point spread and I love the fact that the Sixers enter this game off a loss. Philadelphia is a rock solid 10-1 SU last 11 times when off a SU loss. Also, the 76ers have won each of last 3 meetings with the Cavaliers and they won each of the games by at least 6 points and that includes a 20-point win in their last visit to Cleveland. Look for another big win for the Sixers in this one as they face a Cavs team that is off a win but this was after losses in 8 of last 11 games! Look for the road team to get back on track after they blew their game Monday at home against Denver and they will make it 4 in a row over the Cavaliers! 10* PHILADELPHIA -4.5 |
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03-16-22 | Bryant +3.5 v. Wright State | Top | 82-93 | Loss | -106 | 12 h 46 m | Show |
NCAA Tourney Play-in Wednesday 10* Top Play Bryant Bulldogs +3.5 vs Wright State Raiders @ 6:40 ET - Most people have heard of Wright State from the Horizon League but very few know about Bryant University from the Northeast Conference. Of course this is an advantage come tournament time. I like taking underdogs like the Bulldogs in spots like this at this time of the year and will ride with Bryant in this play-in game. The Raiders have played the tougher schedule but only slightly and, keep in mind, confidence builds with wins and this Bryant team has won 18 of 20 games! Wright State has won 10 of 15 games and the Raiders have been playing well but again this Bulldogs team even hotter. Also, Bryant does have the better defensive numbers on the season. 10* BRYANT +3.5 |
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03-15-22 | Nets v. Magic +10 | Top | 150-108 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 30 m | Show |
NBA Situational Slaughter Tuesday 10* Top Play Orlando Magic (+) vs Brooklyn Nets @ 7:10 ET - The Magic have been competitive with covers in 7 of last 9 games! Also, one of those two non-covers was an 8 point loss and, with this spread in the 10-point range, that would be enough for an ATS cover in this case! Certainly I am expecting a game decided by single digits as the Magic have been tough on the Nets with covers in 3 of last 4. Also, 2 of the 3 ATS wins were SU wins and the lone loss by just 2 points. I know Brooklyn should have Kyrie Irving for this one since it is a road game but also note that the Nets are off B2B divisional games including that huge win at Philly and a tight win over the city rival Knicks. Also, Brooklyn has a tougher match-up on deck tomorrow night as they are hosting a solid Mavericks team then. All that said, this is an ideal flat spot for the Nets. Great spot to fade Brooklyn. 10* ORLANDO |
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03-15-22 | Texas A&M Corpus Christi v. Texas Southern -3.5 | Top | 67-76 | Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show |
NCAA Tourney Opener Tuesday 10* Top Play Texas Southern Tigers (-) vs Texas A & M Corpus Christi Islanders @ 6:40 ET - Both teams considered 16 seeds in this play-in game yet the team with the lesser record favored by 3.5 points. Head scratcher? Not really! The fact is the Tigers have been the hotter team in comparison with the Islanders for quite some time now. Texas Southern enters this game having gone 18-5 since starting the season 0-7. The Tigers also have won 13 of last 15 games and their last two wins each by 19 or more points in conference tourney action. Texas A & M Corpus Christi is just 8-7 since starting the season 15-4. For the Islanders, 6 of those 7 losses were by 6 or more points and I fully expect this one will be too! 10* TEXAS SOUTHERN |
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03-14-22 | Nuggets +2.5 v. 76ers | Top | 114-110 | Win | 100 | 9 h 10 m | Show |
NBA Situational Slaughter 10* Top Play Denver Nuggets (+) @ Philadelphia 76ers @ 7:40 ET - The 76ers are in the 2nd game of a B2B and it was a hard-fought OT win yesterday and it was on the road at Orlando. That said, this is a tough spot for Philadelphia and the situation is made even tougher because they are now hosting a Nuggets team that is angry off B2B losses. Denver, dating back to late November, is 4-1 SU when they enter a game off B2B SU losses. Also, prior to the B2B defeats, the Nuggets had won 12 of 14 games. Consider that plus the fact Philly could have some key star players resting or on minutes restrictions here and this is a great spot for a road dog! Strong upset possibility but will grab the points (currently 2.5) here as additional insurance. 10* DENVER + |
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03-13-22 | 76ers -11.5 v. Magic | Top | 116-114 | Loss | -113 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
NBA Situational Slaughter Sunday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers (-) @ Orlando Magic @ 6:10 ET - This play all about the situational value as Philadelphia has had two days off since a blowout home loss to the Nets as a favorite. The 76ers also had two days offs heading into that one. That said, it has been almost a week since Philly tasted victory and they can't wait to erase the bitter taste of an ugly home loss to Brooklyn Thursday. As for the Magic, they are actually off 3 straight covers, and 2 straight outright upsets, as underdogs! As a result, they are a little over-valued here. The Sixers don't just want to win this game, they want to come out with a vengeance...a huge blowout win. Look for a no-doubt blowout rout for the road team in this one. The 76ers want to do to the Magic in Orlando what just happened to them in Philly versus the Nets. 10* PHILADELPHIA - |
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03-13-22 | Iowa +2.5 v. Purdue | Top | 75-66 | Win | 100 | 7 h 33 m | Show |
CBB Contrarian Crusher Sunday 10* Top Play Iowa Hawkeyes +2.5 @ Purdue Boilermakers @ 3:30 ET - The Hawkeyes lost both regular season meetings with Purdue this season. The Boilermakers also are the higher-ranked team. Consider all of that and yet this line opened up at a -1 and, of course, everyone is now fading Iowa and the line has jumped up to a 2.5 in this one. In typical contrarian fashion, I am fading the line move here and grabbing the points with Iowa. The Hawkeyes barely snuck by Indiana yesterday but will carry momentum from that last-second buzzer-beating half-court 3 winner that allowed them to avoid OT versus the Hoosiers. The Hawkeyes had been on an ATS hot streak before yesterday's non-covering win. The Boilermakers have continued an ATS losing streak. More of the same here! 10* IOWA |
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03-12-22 | Wolves v. Heat OVER 226.5 | Top | 113-104 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Cash Saturday 10* Top Play OVER in Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves @ 8:10 ET - This total in the 226.5 range. Last night the Timberwolves were at Orlando and the game had 190 points through 3 quarters. Then a horrific 4th quarter doomed my play on the over right here. After a strong candidate for bad beat of the year, I will come right back with the over involving Minnesota in this 2nd game of a back to back. The Wolves are still 26-8 to the over this season. The T-wolves also are 4-1 to the over the last 5 times when playing 2nd game of a back to back. The Heat are off a strong scoring effort at home versus Cleveland last night and Miami has now scored well in 11 of last 14 games. In those 11 games, the Heat have averaged 117.4 points per game. Minny loves to play an uptempo game and after their horrific 4th quarter last night led the way to ending their 6-game winning streak (averaged scoring 131 points in the 6 victories), there will be no quit in the road dog in this one Saturday! 10* OVER the total in Miami |
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03-12-22 | Akron v. Kent State OVER 123.5 | Top | 75-55 | Win | 100 | 11 h 51 m | Show |
CBB ESPN Smash Pass Saturday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Akron Zips vs Kent State Golden Flashes @ 7:30 ET - I understand the under trending in this series as well as the fact each of these teams comes into this game trending to the under. However, this total seems too low as it has dropped into the 123.5 range as of early Saturday morning. The Zips and Golden Flashes last 4 meetings all stayed under the total. However, 3 of those 4 unders totaled at least 128 points! Also, Akron enters this game having scored 70 or more points in 5 of last 6 games! Kent State enters this game having won 14 games in a row and they scored 70 or more points in 11 of 14 games. Keep in mind, we are talking 70 points! If each team just gets to 60 we have a shot at winning this play and I feel strongly that the winning team is going to score at least 70 in this one and, as a result, this one should fly over the total. I lost here with the over in Akron's game yesterday but sure felt like it should have got there for us. This one will not let us down and we get immediate payback. 10* OVER the total in MAC Championship |
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03-11-22 | Wolves v. Magic OVER 235.5 | Top | 110-118 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 2 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Cash Friday 10* Top Play OVER in Orlando Magic vs Minnesota Timberwolves @ 7:10 ET - This total in the 235 range but it is a deserved big number and I am expecting this one to fly over the total. The Timberwolves have won 6 straight games and scored an average of 131 points per game during this streak. Also, Minnesota has trended over in road games all season long with a 26-7 record to the over away from home. The Magic are not known for being a high-scoring team but they do tend to score better at home. Orlando's most recent home game was a tough match-up with a strong Suns team but, prior to that loss, the Magic had won 5 of last 10 home games and, other than one ugly game last 8 games as a host, scored an average of 115 points per game in the other 7 home games. Considering that plus the fact Minnesota likes to play so fast and you have the ideal set-up for a high-scoring non-conference game in this match-up. 10* OVER in Orlando |
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03-11-22 | Akron v. Toledo OVER 138 | Top | 70-62 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 49 m | Show |
CBB MAC Total of the Month Friday 10* Top Play OVER in Toledo Rockets vs Akron Zips @ 5 ET - This total opened up in the 141 range and has dropped to the 138 range. We have excellent line value here because the over is 4-0 in last 4 meetings between these teams but each team is coming off a game which stayed just under the total yesterday. Each of last 3 Zips games have stayed under the total and 5 of last 7 Rockets games have stayed under the total. However, when Toledo and Akron meet the results have been nuts including 160 points scored in the meeting earlier this season. Also, before back to back lower-scoring wins, the Zips had averaged 84 points last 3 wins. Overall they have won 6 straight and are feeling it right now! As for the Rockets, they are averaging 81.2 ppg on the season and enter this game red hot with wins in 6 straight and 17 of last 19 games. Plenty of points in another great battle between these two on Friday in the MAC Tourney. 10* OVER |
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03-11-22 | Iowa -6 v. Rutgers | Top | 84-74 | Win | 100 | 6 h 34 m | Show |
CBB Big Ten Game of the Year Friday 10* Top Play Iowa Hawkeyes (-) vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights @ 2 ET - This line is in the 6.5 range and Iowa's 23 wins have included 21 by a double digit margin this season! The Hawkeyes are rolling right now and they have revenge from an ugly 48-46 loss at Rutgers in the regular season. Iowa enters this game with wins in 9 of last 11 games and all 9 wins were by a double digit margin. Rutgers has lost 3 of 5 games and scored an average of 62 points last 4 games. The Hawkeyes have averaged 88.4 points per game last 10 games. Revenge will be sweet here and it will be in the form of a blowout. 10* IOWA |
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03-10-22 | Nets v. 76ers -4 | Top | 129-100 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 60 m | Show |
NBA Atlantic Div Game of the Year Thursday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers (-) vs Brooklyn Nets @ 7:30 ET - The 76ers have won 8 of 10 games and still have not lost a game with James Harden on the floor. Now he faces his former team as the Nets are in Philly and this line is very manageable in the -4 range. Brooklyn unlike the Sixers, has been trending the wrong direction. The Nets are off a win, albeit versus a slumping Charlotte team, and this followed losses in 6 of 7 for Brooklyn. Yes they have Kyrie Irving and Kevin Durant but this 76ers team is loaded with weapons and plus the absence of LaMarcus Aldridge tonight gives them one less big body to try and stop Joel Embiid. Look for huge games from Harden, Embiid, Tobias Harris, and Tyrese Maxey to lead the way for the home team tonight. Thybulle and Niang also have been contributing well for this surging Philly team. The Nets, even with win over Hornets, are just just 3-10 SU last 13 road games. This is a very fair line on the 76ers to roll big at home and they have added motivation of blowing a 7-point halftime lead and losing to Nets in the only other game in which they hosted Brooklyn this season. Payback time and the Wells Fargo Center will be jumping tonight! 10* PHILADELPHIA |
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03-10-22 | St. John's v. Villanova -5.5 | Top | 65-66 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
CBB Big East Beast Thursday 10* Top Play Villanova Wildcats (-) vs St John's Red Storm @ 7 ET - The Red Storm are 0-6 this season when facing a ranked team. The average margin of those losses is 9 points and they lost twice to Villanova this season and the line on this game is the 5.5 to 6 point range. In the most recent game, Big East Player of the Year Collin Gillespie was dealing with an injury and scored ZERO points and yet the Wildcats still won that game by 6 points! The 5th year senior is averaging 16.3 ppg this season. You know he will be in line for a huge game here after being held scoreless in the most recent meeting. It is now tourney time and this rested Wildcats team taking on a St John's team that was in action yesterday. I like the Red Storm overall as they are scrappy team that can be difficult to play against. However, the numbers speak for themselves here and we get line value because this is essentially a home game for St John's so that keeps the line lower than it should be. Given the situation here this game should be a double digit blowout win for the Wildcats in this one as the Red Storm drop to 0-7 on the season in games against ranked teams. 10* VILLANOVA |
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03-09-22 | Bulls -5 v. Pistons | Top | 114-108 | Win | 100 | 10 h 15 m | Show |
NBA Central Division Game of the Year Wednesday 10* Top Play Chicago Bulls -5 @ Detroit Pistons @ 7:10 ET - The Pistons enter this game on an 8-0 ATS run but the Bulls are 8-0 ATS last 8 meetings with Detroit. So which trend stays alive here? The latter as Chicago rolls in this one. Love the fact that the line came down already from 6.5 to a 5 and we have good value here with the road favorite. The Bulls have lost 5 straight games (and 0-5 ATS) but have faced a truly brutal schedule during this time. The Pistons have won 6 of 8 games SU (and 8-0 ATS) but faced more favorable scheduling and match-ups in this stretch. Now, coming off a hard-fought OT win versus Atlanta, the Pistons host an angry Bulls team ready to get back on track. Chicago just lost at Philadelphia but the 76ers, when James Harden is on the floor, have looked like the best team in the NBA in recent weeks. This also was the 2nd game of a B2B for the Bulls and they also have recently had to face the Bucks and Grizzlies plus they visited the Heat. I expect Nikola Vucevic to play tonight (questionable with hamstring injury) but even if he did not, this is ideal spot for the Bulls to get back on track. They have gone 8-0 ATS last 8 versus Pistons and each of last 5 wins by 6 or more points with an average margin of victory of 18.6 points per game during this stretch. Road rout by double digits here. 10* CHICAGO -5 |
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03-09-22 | Butler +6.5 v. Xavier | Top | 89-82 | Win | 100 | 5 h 30 m | Show |
CBB Big East Game of the Month Wednesday 10* Top Play Butler Bulldogs +6.5 vs Xavier Musketeers @ 4:30 ET - Xavier won both regular season meetings. The Musketeers, however, did the same thing last season too and then got beat by Butler in the Big East tourney. Not only that, the Bulldogs were down by 14 points at the half in that one and yet rallied for the win. This team still has that confidence and see the Big East tourney as a fresh start. I know Butler struggled late this season but so too did Xavier! In comparing the two teams what I like the most heading into this tourney is that the Bulldogs, not including OT, had allowed 66 or less points in 3 straight games before losing bad to Villanova in the season finale. The Musketeers, on the other hand, allowed 77.7 points (not including OT of course) over their final 6 games of the season and went 1-5 SU with their only win against a Georgetown team that lost 20 straight games after starting the season 6-4. Per the above, excellent line value with a scrappy underdog playing the better defense and that has tourney confidence facing this over-rated favorite that had a disappointing finish to the season as expectations were much higher at Xavier. 10* BUTLER +6.5 |
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03-08-22 | Nets -2.5 v. Hornets | Top | 132-121 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show |
NBA Eastern Conf Game of the Month Tuesday 10* Top Play Brooklyn Nets -2.5 @ Charlotte Hornets @ 7:10 ET - This line keeps coming down and yet I feel strongly that Brooklyn was made a sizable road favorite here by the odds makers with good reason. Look for the Nets to roll in this one. Brooklyn has lost 4 straight and 6 of 7 but now comes in as a road favorite over a team that has won back to back games. Fishy, right? Well we are not going fishing today, we are winning sports bets! Lets get this one as the Nets get revenge for a home loss to Charlotte much earlier this season. The Hornets are off home win versus Spurs but his followed losses in 8 of last 9 games on their home floor. More of the same expected here! 10* BROOKLYN -2.5 |
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03-08-22 | Georgia Tech v. Louisville OVER 134.5 | Top | 74-84 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
CBB ACC Total of the Year Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 134.5 in Louisville Cardinals vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets @ 7 ET - Not including OT points, the Yellow Jackets have allowed 71 points per game their last dozen games - a 3-9 stretch. The Cardinals have allowed 75 points per game their last dozen games - a 1-11 stretch. So this match-up features a pair of struggling teams but a lot of their struggles have been due to ineptitude on the defensive end of the floor. With mid-140s a very reasonable total of points to expect here given the above coupled with the fact this posted total is only in the mid-130s we have excellent line value here in this ACC Tourney match-up. 10* OVER 134.5 in Louisville |
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03-07-22 | Bulls v. 76ers -7 | Top | 106-121 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
NBA Situational Slaughter Monday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -7 vs Chicago Bulls @ 7:10 ET - The Bulls Nikola Vucevic is likely to play here but is also unlikely to be 100% as he missed practice yesterday due to hamstring tightness. This could hurt the Bulls some and Chicago enters this game off 4 straight losses. Now they take on an angry Philly team that just lost at Miami in a game James Harden missed. He should be back here and I am expecting huge games from Tobias Harris, Joel Embiid, Tyrese Maxey and Harden as the Sixers get right back on track here. Philadelphia has dominated the series with the Bulls in recent years and I see no reason for that to change here. Most recent win for the 76ers against them came in Chicago recently and was by 11 points and the average margin of the last 6 wins is 11 points also! Look for another win by double digits here as the Sixers get right back on track here. 10* PHILADELPHIA -7 |
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03-07-22 | Delaware v. Towson OVER 137.5 | Top | 69-56 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 22 m | Show |
CBB CAA Total of the Month Monday 10* Top Play OVER 137.5 in Towson Tigers vs Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens @ 6 ET - Total dropped from opener after both these teams involved in low-scoring grinding wins yesterday. Also, both meetings between these teams in regular season were also grinders as well. So, of course, that means odds makers blew it with the high total set on this game, right? You know how I feel about odds makers being "off the mark" as usually their numbers are the best around. So, we'll take advantage of the added line value here as the markets are a bit fooled on this one and it is actually going to prove to be high-scoring with a good pace just as the odds makers are projecting here. Both these teams have averaged scoring in the mid-70s this season and this one should fly over the total in this neutral-site meeting in the CAA Tourney. 10* OVER 137.5 in Towson |
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03-06-22 | Pacers v. Wizards OVER 228.5 | Top | 123-133 | Win | 100 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
NBA Eastern Conf Total of the Year Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 228.5 in Washington Wizards vs Indiana Pacers @ 6:10 ET - The most recent game between these teams stayed just under the total but the pacing was there. The problem was that the Wizards made just 22 of 54 from INSIDE the arc and the Pacers made just 4 of 20 from OUTSIDE the arc. Prior to this one, 6 of last 8 games between these teams flew over the total and this one will resume that trend. Indiana is on a 13-4 run to the over and yet is coming off a rare under. The over is on a 6-1 run in Wizards home games and these teams have had many crazy high-scoring games in recent meetings. More of the same expected here. 10* OVER 228.5 in Washington |
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03-06-22 | South Florida v. Temple OVER 123 | Top | 47-75 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 55 m | Show |
CBB Daytime Dominator Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 123 in Temple Owls vs South Florida Bulls @ 2 ET - The last time these teams met the game totaled only 101 points in a ridiculous display of shooting ineptitude. That will not be repeated here and I am taking advantage of the low total here. The Owls have allowed at least 70 points in 5 of 6 games since the tight 52-49 loss at South Florida last month. In fact, in those 5 Temple games, the Owls allowed an average of 79 points! The Bulls come in to this one having allowed 64 points or more in 7 of 8 games since the win over Temple. USF allowed an average of 70 points per game in those 7 games. This game is going to have much stronger flow and much better shooting than the first meeting and I am taking advantage of the low total here. The last two times these teams met away from South Florida, each game flew over the total and this one will too. 10* OVER 123 in Temple |
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03-05-22 | 76ers +1.5 v. Heat | Top | 82-99 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 53 m | Show |
NBA PA Dominator Saturday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers +1.5 @ Miami Heat @ 8:10 ET - The road team is a perfect 2-0 in this series this season. The 76ers have not lost since James Harden has this the floor in a Sixers uniform. Yes, this is a back to back for Philadelphia but it is also a great value spot for them because you don't have to lay any points to back a team that looks absolutely like an NBA title contender. The Heat are certainly a strong team in their own right but they are also a banged up team right now and the healthier and hungrier team right now is the roadie in this one. Also, both teams are playing 3rd game in 4 days so is really not a huge rest edge one way or other. The travelers get it done and remain perfect with Harden on the floor. 10* PHILADELPHIA +1.5 |
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03-05-22 | Texas v. Kansas -6.5 | Top | 63-70 | Win | 100 | 7 h 2 m | Show |
CBB Big 12 Game of the Year Saturday 10* Top Play Kansas Jayhawks -6.5 vs Texas Longhorns @ 4 ET - Triple revenge spot for the Jayhawks as they have lost 3 straight to the Longhorns including earlier this season at Austin. The fact Kansas is the host in this one is certainly a big edge. The Jayhawks are 15-1 at home this season while Texas is 5-6 in road games. Also, the Horns off a disappointing 7 point loss to Baylor and that was at home! The last 3 road losses for the Longhorns have come by an average margin of 13 points per loss! The Jayhawks last 5 home wins by an average margin of victory of 13 points! With this line around a half-dozen points coupled with the home court edge and the triple revenge factor, this one offering superb line value. 10* KANSAS -6.5 |
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03-04-22 | Pacers v. Pistons OVER 227.5 | Top | 106-111 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 15 m | Show |
NBA Central Division Total of the Month Friday 10* Top Play OVER 227.5 in Detroit Pistons @ 7:10 ET - A lot of value here in my opinion. The Pistons are off a road loss in which they had scored 91 points through 3 quarters but then fell apart and scored just 17 points in the 4th quarter. That will not happen again here on their home floor. Also, Detroit is hosting a Pacers team that has been an over machine of late! Indiana is on a 14-3 run to the over. The last time these teams met they combined for 235 points. Look for a similar result here. The Pistons are off that under last night but it was due to a fluke 4th quarter and followed a 7-1 run to the over in their last 8 games. The over trending resumes in this one. 10* OVER 227.5 in Detroit |
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03-04-22 | Ball State v. Western Michigan +3.5 | Top | 64-63 | Win | 100 | 7 h 50 m | Show |
CBB MAC Game of the Year Friday 10* Top Play Western Michigan Broncos +3.5 vs Ball State Cardinals @ 6 ET - Love this spot for the Broncos. Western Michigan has lost 3 straight games to the Cardinals but they enter this game on a bit of a roll. Indeed the Broncos have won B2B games outright as underdogs and have won 4 of last 6 games overall and are on a 7-1 ATS run. That said, and playing their home finale with triple revenge, Western Michigan is in a great spot for another upset win. Ball State is actually in a tough stretch that has seen them lose 6 of 9 since defeating the Broncos. Also, the Cardinals just got blasted by 19 points at home versus Akron and that is the same Zips team that Western Michigan beat once this season and only lost to by a single point in the other game. The point is that the Broncos are the hotter team right now, playing better, have triple revenge here, and are on their home floor. It all adds up to a great spot to back the host as an underdog in this one. 10* WESTERN MICHIGAN +3.5 |
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03-03-22 | Grizzlies -2.5 v. Celtics | Top | 107-120 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
NBA TNT Game of the Week Thursday 10* Top Play Memphis Grizzlies -2.5 @ Boston Celtics @ 7:40 ET - The Celtics Jaylen Brown is out for this game with a sprained ankle. The Grizzlies are currently riding a very special run from a very special player Ja Morant! Memphis has won 11 of 14 games and 6 of last 7 on the road. Boston is off a major comeback win versus the Hawks but will not be able to do the same against a streaking Grizzlies team playing with a ton of confidence right now. Before rallying from a double digit halftime deficit to defeat Atlanta, the Celtics were on a 1-3 ATS run. The road team pulls away as this one goes on as Morant and Company prove to be too much against a Celtics team that will really miss Brown in this game. 10* MEMPHIS -2.5 |
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03-03-22 | Cincinnati v. SMU OVER 140.5 | Top | 71-76 | Win | 100 | 8 h 8 m | Show |
CBB AAC Total of the Year Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 140.5 in SMU Mustangs vs Cincinnati Bearcats @ 7 ET - This is a chance for both teams to have huge breakout games offensively after each team was stifled in their most recent game because they faced league-leading Houston. Keep in mind, the Bearcats are still on a 6-3 run to the over which included a recent 5 game stretch in which they scored an average of 75.4 points per game. After a string of match-ups that were defensive-minded grinders this one will be a much more wide-open affair. SMU is a high-quality team hungry to bounce back after the disappointing result versus the Cougars. The Mustangs have scored an average of 78.8 points per game at home this season and they are favored by 7.5 here. That put this game at a 79 to 72 estimated final which totals 10 points above the current posted total on this game. I feel we have good value with both teams coming off games in which they were held to 61 or less points. 10* OVER 140.5 in SMU |
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03-02-22 | Knicks v. 76ers OVER 221.5 | Top | 108-123 | Win | 100 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
NBA ESPN Smash Pass Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 221.5 in Philadelphia 76ers vs New York Knicks @ 7:30 ET - The 76ers have been piling up points since James Harden hit the floor with Joel Embiid and now it will be his debut in front of the home fans for the first time. It will be a raucous atmosphere and I am expecting a fast-paced contest with a ton of scoring in this rematch with the Knicks after these teams met in New York Sunday. The over is on a 10-3 run in Knicks games. The over is on a 4-0 run in 76ers games. More of the same here. 10* OVER 221.5 in Philadelphia |
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03-02-22 | Fordham v. Massachusetts OVER 141.5 | Top | 73-81 | Win | 100 | 9 h 30 m | Show |
CBB A-10 Total of the Month Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 141.5 in Massachusetts Minutemen vs Fordham Rams @ 7 ET - This match-up flew over the total Sunday even though Darius Quisenberry, star guard for Fordham, returned to action with a surprisingly poor shooting performance. Look for him to be much stronger in his second game back. Quisenberry is the leading scorer for the Rams but he scored just 8 points in Sunday's win and the rest of the team piled up 77 on UMass. Now this is the home finale for UMass and I love the fact they scored 73 points in Sunday's loss even though they shot a putrid 6 of 29 from three point land. The Minutemen will be much better on their home floor this evening but again will struggle to stop a Rams team rejuvenated by the return of Quisenberry. Look for good pace to this contest just like we saw in Sunday's game. 10* OVER 141.5 in Massachusetts |
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03-01-22 | Wisc-Milwaukee v. Illinois-Chicago -2.5 | Top | 69-80 | Win | 100 | 9 h 8 m | Show |
CBB Tourney Topper Tuesday 10* Top Play Illinois-Chicago Flames -2.5 @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee Panthers @ 8 ET - We are getting line value here because this game is at UW-Milw even though UIC had the better record in the Horizon League regular season. So the higher-rated Flames are being hosted by the Panthers and the result is a much lower line on the much better team in my opinion. Coming into this season big things were expected from the Panthers because of Bradley, Jr (considered an NBA prospect) and Vin Baker (Boston College transfer who had to sit out last season.). However, Bradley ended up injury prone and has been shut down for the season and Bradley just not materialize into the big contributor he was expected to be. Conversely, the Flames hopes were riding on a number of transfers and those hopes did materialize for them. Of course I am not saying UIC is a great team but they have exceeded expectations and are certainly a better team that the Panthers. Already 2-0 against them this season and UIC had big turnover edges in the match-ups this season plus a big rebounding edge in the 2nd meeting and overall had 28 more field goal attempts combined in the two games. Couple all that with only having to lay a small number here and you have solid value in my opinion. Look for Flames to advance to 2nd round of Horizon League tourney in convincing fashion. 10* ILLINOIS-CHICAGO -2.5 |
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02-27-22 | Mavs +4 v. Warriors | Top | 107-101 | Win | 100 | 9 h 0 m | Show |
NBA ESPN Smash Pass Sunday 10* Top Play Dallas Mavericks +4 @ Golden State Warriors @ 7:30 ET - The Mavericks are off a loss by 5 points at Utah in a game in which the Mavericks had 14 more field goal attempts! Yes, it was a bit of a phony final as the Jazz shot 54% from the field. Now the Mavs are only getting about 4 points against Warriors team that is 26-6 at home while Dallas is only about a .500 team on the road. If you look up the definition of "trap line" in a bettors dictionary they could use this game as an example. Looks so easy to lay a short number with the Warriors on their home floor, especially off a huge win. However, that big win came against a very short-handed Blazers team and note Golden State had lost 4 of 5 heading into that game. Dallas is a fantastic 6-1 the last 7 times they were off a loss. Also, the Mavs lone loss in those 7 games came in OT. The Mavericks have shown a propensity for responding off losses and I expect that to continue here. Adding fuel to the fire for Dallas here is the fact that Golden State destroyed the Mavericks by 38 points last month. Payback time is here and now. 10* DALLAS +4 |
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02-27-22 | St. John's -125 v. DePaul | Top | 94-99 | Loss | -125 | 9 h 9 m | Show |
CBB Money Line Mauling Sunday 10* Top Play St John's Red Storm Money Line -115 @ DePaul Blue Demons @ 5 ET - I like grabbing Red Storm off a home loss here. St John's is on a 4-0 ATS run when off a home loss. The Red Storm are on a 4-1 SU run in road games and have covered 5 in a row away from home. The Blue Demons are a respectable team but they are still just 4-13 SU in Big East games this season. DePaul is off a win at Georgetown but this was on the heels of a 2-8 SU stretch and one of those two wins was also against those same Hoyas. Keep in mind Georgetown is on a 17-game losing streak. So, when facing teams other than the Hoyas, the Blue Demons are on a 1-8 SU run and just 2-13 SU against Big East teams not named Georgetown. This line is in the -1.5 range but I feel we get even more value here by playing the money line which is in the -115 to -125 range. Look for the Red Storm to continue their strong road play here. 10* ST JOHN'S -115 |
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02-26-22 | Raptors v. Hawks OVER 224 | Top | 100-127 | Win | 100 | 9 h 32 m | Show |
NBA Total of the Month Saturday 10* OVER 224 in Atlanta Hawks vs Toronto Raptors @ 7:40 ET - The Raptors in 2nd game of a back to back and scored only 93 points at Charlotte last night. Toronto is on a 3-0 run to the over when playing 2nd game of back to back this month. The Hawks are off a low-scoring loss at Chicago Thursday and should bounce back big here. The over is on a 4-0 run in Atlanta's last 4 home games. All 4 of those Hawks total at least 239 points and the average points scored was 245. In other words, we have excellent line value with this total posted in the mid-220s. Yes the Raptors have not scored well of late but Hawks will force an up-tempo game here and Toronto did score 125 when these teams met 3 weeks ago. More of the same expected here and we take advantage of the extra line value here with both teams coming off low-scoring losses heading into this one. 10* OVER 224 in Atlanta |
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02-26-22 | Georgia Tech v. Notre Dame OVER 137.5 | Top | 56-90 | Win | 100 | 6 h 30 m | Show |
CBB Total of the Month Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 137.5 in Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets @ 5 ET - The over is 4-0 in last 4 meetings between these teams. Notre Dame enters this game on a 4-0 run to the over. Look for a free-flowing game here as one of the best teams in the ACC takes on one of the worst. The Yellow Jackets susceptible to allowing a ton of points in this one but look for them to score well as Notre Dame has no reason to be overly intense on defense here. By the way, the Irish have scored an average of 79 points last 4 games and that does not include OT points. At the same time, the Fighting Irish have allowed 78 points last 3 games and again this is not including overtime points. Notre Dame has won 16 of 19 games and can roll to another easy win here and I expect a good pace as neither team has anything to lose really. Georgia Tech is muddling near the bottom of the ACC and the Fighting Irish don't need to play lockdown D here to roll to a comfortable win. The hosts are a double digit favorite for a reason. Given all of the above stats and the situation an 80-70 final sounds about right in this one and that puts it well above the posted total. 10* OVER 137.5 in Notre Dame |
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02-25-22 | Akron +8 v. Ohio | Top | 91-83 | Win | 100 | 8 h 26 m | Show |
CBB Earliest Cash Friday 10* Top Play Akron Zips +8 @ Ohio University Bobcats @ 6 ET - The Zips Bryan Trimble Jr was recently placed on a leave of absence. Akron had just wrapped up a 3-game losing streak - all losses by 4 or less points - and the Zips have responded with back to back wins by an average margin of 16.5 points per victory. Granted, the wins were against weaker teams in the MAC but the point is that this team has banded together and is better off without Trimble. Team chemistry is so important and these guys are really working hard now for each other and working well together and playing solid defense and crashing the boards. I don't see them getting blown out here at Ohio. Yes the Bobcats are a very strong team and they did win the first meeting by 6 points at Akron. However, Ohio shot 50% from the field in that game while the Zips had a rare 9 for 17 shooting performance from the free throw line in that one. All that and yet Akron sill lost by only 6 points. This Zips team is starting to jell at the right time and I look for them to be very tough on the Bobcats in this one and it goes down to the wire. 10* AKRON |
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02-24-22 | Maryland v. Indiana -6 | Top | 64-74 | Win | 100 | 7 h 51 m | Show |
CBB Contrarian Crusher Thursday 10* Top Play Indiana Hoosiers -6 vs Maryland Terrapins @ 7 ET - The Hoosiers have lost 5 straight games and are off a crazy OT loss at Ohio State where they failed to cover as underdog. That was a nice break (seems rare but always do admit it) for me as the Buckeyes -6.5 were my play there. Now I come back with a fired up Indiana team off that tough loss from earlier this week. The Hoosiers have faced 4 ranked teams during this 5-game losing streak. In other words, they have simply faced a murderers row of opponents and have paid for that. Now they get a chance against a lesser team plus they are at home. I like the fact that Maryland is on a 2-game winning streak but faced a Penn State team that is below .500 on the season and a Nebraska team that is the worst in the Big Ten. Also, Fatts Russell had huge games against both the Nittany Lions and Cornhuskers but the Hoosiers held him to a rough performance when they faced the Terrapins earlier this season. As Russell goes, so go the Terps and because of that key factor and the situational edges here I am fully expecting a home blowout here. 10* INDIANA |
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02-23-22 | Xavier +2.5 v. Providence | Top | 92-99 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 38 m | Show |
CBB Big East Beast Wednesday 10* Top Play Xavier Musketeers +2.5 @ Providence Friars @ 7 ET - If you look up "trap line" in a "dictionary for bettors" and it gave you examples this one would be a perfect fit. The Friars are at home, they are a ranked team and they are hosting an unranked team they already beat on the road this season and have beaten 3 of last 4 times overall and also 6 of last 8 times when hosting. Consider all that and then consider the fact this line opened up at very nearly a pick'em even though the Musketeers come into this game having lost 4 of 5 games and Providence comes into this game winners of 9 of 10. This game has "trap" written all over it in my opinion and sure enough the betting markets are already falling for it! The line is up to a 2.5 and I would not be surprised if it climbs even higher. Either way though, I am pulling the trigger now early this morning and taking advantage of the added line value. This one all the way up to a 2.5 as of early morning Wednesday. Grab the points with the road dog but I am expecting an outright upset. 10* XAVIER +2.5 |
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02-22-22 | Yale -2.5 v. Dartmouth | Top | 66-61 | Win | 100 | 7 h 4 m | Show |
CBB Ivy League Game of the Year Tuesday 10* Top Play Yale Bulldogs -2.5 @ Dartmouth Big Green @ 6 ET - The Bulldogs laying a short number here on the road. I understand the low line as Dartmouth has the home court edge plus revenge factor in their favor here. However, the Big Green just 4-7 in conference games and has a poor overall record on the season. Yale, on the other hand, has a 9-2 record in Ivy League action plus a solid overall record on the season. What I especially like about this game is having the Bulldogs off a loss. Yale just lost to Princeton in what was a battle for first place. However, there will be no sulking and hanging of heads here for Yale. In fact, now it is more important than ever for the Bulldogs to win out and they have a pair of weaker foes on deck after this clash with Dartmouth. For an understanding of how much value we have here, note that Yale lost to Princeton by just 6 points plus had beaten them by 6 points earlier this season. Conversely, the Big Green lost at home to the Tigers by 4 and also got blasted at Princeton by 45 points. As noted above, the Bulldogs only have 2 conference losses this season. The other one was to Pennsylvania and the Quakers are another strong team that also beat Dartmouth by double digits. The points is that catching Yale off a loss is a great situation for laying a short price away from home as other results this season also show that the Bulldogs, comparatively with the Big Green, are the better team. 10* YALE -2.5 |
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02-21-22 | Indiana v. Ohio State -6.5 | Top | 69-80 | Win | 100 | 9 h 52 m | Show |
CBB Revenge Game of the Year Monday 10* Top Play Ohio State Buckeyes -6.5 vs Indiana Hoosiers @ 7 ET - The Buckeyes are off a loss Saturday versus Iowa. Also, Ohio State lost at Indiana by 16 points early last month. In other words, the set up here is perfect for a revenge win by a large margin. Adding to the value is the fact that the Buckeyes are a PERFECT 6-0 this SEASON when off a loss. When facing a Big Ten team and Ohio State is coming off a loss they have won all 4 games and by an average margin of 10 points! I am looking for a win here by a double digit margin as Indiana's slump continues. The Hoosiers have lost 4 straight both SU and ATS. Also, the home team is a perfect 4-0 SU and ATS in meetings between these teams. Going further back and looking at meetings in Columbus, the Buckeyes are a rock solid 13-6 both SU and ATS when hosting Indiana. Before their loss to Iowa Saturday, Ohio State was on a 6-1 ATS run. As for the Hoosiers, they are 2-6 ATS in road games this season. Look for these trends to continue here as the Buckeyes get big-time revenge payback. 10* OHIO STATE -6.5 |
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02-20-22 | Marquette v. Creighton OVER 141 | Top | 82-83 | Win | 100 | 5 h 30 m | Show |
CBB Contrarian Crusher Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 141 in Creighton Bluejays vs Marquette Golden Eagles @ 3 ET - The Bluejays averaging 76 points last 4 games against Marquette. The Golden Eagles enter this game on a 3-1 run to the over with their last 4 games averaging 78 points per game. Given these numbers you can see why I would not be surprised to see this one get into the 150s and I am expecting at least 140s in this game. Creighton is building confidence right with 3 straight wins and scoring an average of 80 points per game in those contests. Look for an entertaining affair between these teams Sunday afternoon as both teams are okay with an uptempo game and the pacing and scoring confidence of these teams (based on recent trending) indicates a high-scoring game is likely here. 10* OVER 141 in Creighton |
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02-19-22 | Georgetown v. Villanova OVER 142.5 | Top | 66-74 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 17 m | Show |
CBB Big East Total of the Year Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 142.5 in Villanova Wildcats vs Georgetown Hoyas @ 5 ET - The over is 3-0 in last 3 meetings between these teams. Villanova games have gone over the total in 5 straight entering this one and it is the perfect situation for an over. The Wildcats are off a big win over a ranked Providence team and have a ranked Connecticut team on deck. The Cats will probably be willing to simply "run and gun" here with a Georgetown team that can't beat anybody these days. The Hoyas are on a horrific losing streak and it has a lot to do with a lack of attention to defense! Georgetown allowing 81 points last 6 games. Villanova allowing 75.4 points last 5 games. This one should play out a very entertaining pace and hot shooting for the Wildcats at home continues. 10* OVER 142.5 in Villanova |
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02-18-22 | Northern Kentucky v. Detroit OVER 135 | Top | 52-60 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 49 m | Show |
CBB Situational Slaughter CBB 10* Top Play OVER 135 in Detroit Mercy Titans vs Northern Kentucky Norse @ 7 ET - This total has dropped from the 140 range to the 135 range and I love the value here with the over. Detroit is finally back home where they have averaged 86.6 points per game this season. Northern Kentucky enters this game on a run of 5-1 to the over and they have scored an average of 76 points per game last 6 games. The Titans have hardly played any home games this season so this is huge for them and they have scored so well at home. From a situational standpoint, the Titans off a road loss in which they scored just 59 points and now being back home sets this one up perfectly for a high-scoring affair. 10* OVER 135 in Detroit |
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02-17-22 | Wizards v. Nets OVER 214.5 | Top | 117-103 | Win | 100 | 8 h 8 m | Show |
Rickenbach NBA Situational Slaughter Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 214.5 in Brooklyn Nets vs Washington Wizards @ 7:40 ET - I don't expect much defense here. Brooklyn expended a lot of energy last night as they held the Knicks to 41 second half points in rallying back from a 21 point half-time deficit for a big comeback road win. As for Washington, they fell just short at Indiana last night and will be pushing hard to get the road win tonight. The Wizards have allowed 112 points or more in 4 of last 5 and 8 of last 11. Neither team has been that impressive on the defensive end in recent weeks until Brooklyn came up stronger last two games. Here they run out of gas in that regard and this one turns into a bit of a run and gun high-scoring affair for that reason. I also love the fact the total has dropped from the 220 range to the 215 range and will take advantage of the added line value here. 10* OVER 214.5 in Brooklyn |
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02-17-22 | Towson v. NC-Wilmington OVER 135.5 | Top | 79-55 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 49 m | Show |
Rickenbach CBB Early Dominator Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 135.5 in NC-Wilmington Seahawks vs Towson Tigers @ 6 ET - Towson blew a double digit lead when they hosted NC-Wilmington earlier this season and that ended up forcing overtime and the Tigers went on to lose to the Seahawks in the extra session. That said, we have excellent line value here with this low total. Towson is the best team in the CAA but still are behind NC-Wilmington in the standings. That is why the Tigers are favored on the road here. What I love about the value here is that Towson will be relentless in this game no matter the score. In other words, if they get up big again (which I do expect) they will keep their foot on the gas and not let the game slip away from them late again. This is going to lead to a higher-scoring game here in my opinion. 3 of the last 4 meetings between these teams went over the total. The Seahawks are on a 7-3 run to the over last 10 games. 10* OVER 135.5 in NC Wilmington |
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02-17-22 | Minnesota +6.5 v. Penn State | Top | 46-67 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 21 m | Show |
Rickenbach CBB Afternoon Annihilation Thursday 9* Top Play Minnesota Golden Gophers +6.5 @ Penn State Nittany Lions @ 4 ET - Yes the Golden Gophers have been struggling but this spot sets up very well. The Nittany Lions are off a huge comeback win over Michigan State. Minnesota is off a game in which they got thoroughly embarrassed and scored just 45 points at Ohio State. Minny has struggled like I said but they did beat Penn State on Saturday. PSU also, prior to the win over the Spartans Tuesday, had lost 6 of last 7 games. The Nittany Lions are the much better rebounding team but the Golden Gophers the better team in terms of not turning the ball over. Grab the points here in a game with upset potential. 9* MINNESOTA +6.5 |
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02-16-22 | Wizards v. Pacers OVER 225.5 | Top | 108-113 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 18 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Cash Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 225.5 in Indiana Pacers vs Washington Wizards @ 7:40 ET - The last time Washington played they burned us with the over courtesy of a 4th quarter in which the Wizards and their opponent each totaled only 16 points. Here we get payback! Washington is visiting Indiana and the Wizards had gone over in 3 straight before Monday's ridiculous finish. As for the Pacers they have gone over in 11 of last 12 games. Also, Indiana's last 6 games against the Wizards have ALL been overs. Here is number 7 in a row. 10* OVER 225.5 in Indiana |
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02-16-22 | George Mason v. St. Joe's OVER 139.5 | Top | 75-70 | Win | 100 | 10 h 20 m | Show |
CBB A10 Total of the Year Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 139.5 in St Joseph's Hawks vs George Mason Patriots @ 7 ET - Some key statistical edges in this one point to this total being too low. First off, the Hawks are averaging 73 points per game this season. Note that the Patriots opened up as a 2 point road favorite here for a reason. In other words the projection here would be 75-73 final based on those numbers and that puts this total in the 148 range. Also, George Mason is knocking down 38.5% of threes on the road this season and St Joseph's hitting 36.8% of threes at home this season. The Hawks have scored more than 70 in 9 of last 11 home games. They consistently get to at least the 70 mark when they are hosting and, again, Patriots are favored here so you can see why I am expecting 140s here. Additionally, the over is 6-3 last 9 George Mason games as they have been allowing a ton of points. Also, the Hawks have allowed 69 points or more in 5 of last 6 games with the lone exception being an OT game which was 60-60 at end of regulation. This one flies over the total. 10* OVER 139.5 in St Joseph's |
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02-15-22 | Cavs v. Hawks OVER 219.5 | Top | 116-124 | Win | 100 | 8 h 7 m | Show |
NBA Total of the Week Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 219.5 in Atlanta Hawks vs Cleveland Cavaliers @ 7:40 ET - This total has been dropping this morning and it makes sense because each team is off an ugly, low-scoring loss. However, I love coming back with overs when teams are off duds. This is particularly true when a team has shown a knack in terms of bouncing back with strong efforts when off a low-scoring clunker. The last 3 times the Hawks were off a game in which they were held to 100 points or less, they have scored an average of 125 points in their next game. The Cavs have averaged a respectable 108 points the last 3 times they were off a game in which they were held to 95 or less points. The Hawks will dictate the tempo here on their home floor and the over was on a 4-1 run in Atlanta's games prior to the ugly loss at Boston. All 4 of those Hawks games totaled at least 239 points. While we won't see that many points here, we should see this one at least get into the 220s and the 230s would not be a big surprise to me either. 10* OVER 219.5 in Atlanta |
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02-15-22 | Akron v. Western Michigan OVER 128 | Top | 57-61 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 54 m | Show |
CBB MAC Total of the Month Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 128 in Western Michigan Broncos vs Akron Zips @ 6 ET - This total has dropped about 3 points from its opener and, while I do understand the line move, it has led to more value here for us with the over. Yes, these are two slower-paced teams. However, this also is a game comprised of two teams with rather sub-par defenses. The Broncos allowing 76 points per game this season. The Zips allowing 36% from three point land on the season. Western Michigan finally ended a long losing streak with a 77-63 win over Central Michigan Saturday and I look for that to give the Broncos a boost of confidence heading into this match-up with Akron. The Zips have averaged 69.4 points per game last 5 games and 4 of those 5 games totaled 130 points or more. Look for this to reach at least that mark as well. 10* OVER 128 in Western Michigan |
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02-14-22 | Spurs v. Bulls -4.5 | Top | 109-120 | Win | 100 | 9 h 55 m | Show |
NBA Contrarian Crusher Monday 10* Top Play Chicago Bulls -4.5 vs San Antonio Spurs @ 8:10 ET - Can you imagine how high this line would be if Zach LaVine was not out for the Bulls? Exactly! The point is we are getting a ton of line value here on a very good Chicago team that also is playing this game with triple revenge! Indeed the Bulls lost both games versus Spurs last season plus lost at San Antonio earlier this season. In that match-up however, SA shot a ridiculous percentage from 3-point land and outscored the Bulls by 24 points from beyond the arc. Of course this was the difference in the game and the Spurs aren't going to be hitting a ridiculous 16 threes in the rematch on the road. Also, Chicago is off a non-covering SU win versus OKC Saturday and the Bulls are 4-0 ATS the last 4 times they have entered a game off an ATS loss. The Spurs are off B2B wins and have not won 3 straight games since right around Christmas. From a situational standpoint, I love the value with the home team as a small favorite in this one. 10* CHICAGO -4.5 |
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02-14-22 | Pistons v. Wizards OVER 218 | Top | 94-103 | Loss | -111 | 8 h 16 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Cash Monday 9* Top Play OVER 218 in Washington Wizards vs Detroit Pistons @ 7:10 ET - The Wizards have gone over the total in 3 straight games and allowed 119 points on average in these 3. The Pistons have gone over the total in 2 straight games and allowed 122 points on average in last 4 games. Each of last two meetings between these teams totaled more than this total. This one flies over the total as both these teams continue to pay little attention on the defensive end! 9* OVER 218 in Washington |
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02-14-22 | St. Louis +2.5 v. St Bonaventure | Top | 79-83 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 22 m | Show |
CBB CBSSN Blowout Monday 10* Top Play St Louis Billikens +2.5 @ St Bonaventure @ 5 ET - The Billikens are off a loss that followed a 6-game winning streak. St Louis is a perfect 4-0 SU the last 4 times they entered game off a loss. The Bonnies are off B2B wins but this followed losses in 6 of 10 games and St Bonaventure has not won 3 straight games since early December. The set up is perfect for a road win here especially when you consider this is a revenge game as the Bonnies won at St Louis Friday. Payback time here for the Billikens as they return the favor by winning at St Bonaventure. 10* ST LOUIS +2.5 |
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02-14-22 | William & Mary v. NC-Wilmington OVER 140 | Top | 73-80 | Win | 100 | 6 h 14 m | Show |
CBB Daytime Dominator Monday 9* Top Play OVER 140 in NC-Wilmington Seahawks vs William & Mary Tribe @ 2 ET - Neither one of these teams is very good defensively as evidenced by their field goal percentage defense both inside and outside the arc. Also, William & Mary has allowed 80 points per game game last 4 games. NC-Wilmington has allowed 75 points per game last 4 games. I know the teams shot ridiculously high percentages when they met a little over a week ago and that is why the game totaled 162 points. However, even with lesser shooting percentages but a good pace in this one, it should get well into the 140s and I will grab the value here as neither team has impressed defensively of late. 9* OVER 140 in NC-Wilmington |
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02-13-22 | Colorado State +2.5 v. Boise State | Top | 77-74 | Win | 100 | 6 h 48 m | Show |
CBB Contrarian Crusher Sunday 10* Top Play Colorado State Rams +2.5 @ Boise State Broncos @ 4 ET - The Rams are the better team offensively. Statistically these teams are nearly equal on the defensive end but the shooting edge of Colorado State is the key here. Boise State is favored but that is only because they are at home. I love taking short dogs in college hoops. The Rams are about a 3 point dog here but have the offensive firepower to pull off the upset here because they can get key buckets when they need. They are the type of team that can thrive on the road and yet we get line value here because of the home court factored in for the Broncos. The Rams are 7-2 SU on the road and Boise State does have a pair of road losses already this season. 10* COLORADO STATE +2.5 |
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02-13-22 | Hawks +7 v. Celtics | Top | 95-105 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 3 m | Show |
NBA Game of the Week Sunday 10* Top Play Atlanta Hawks +7 @ Boston Celtics @ 2:10 ET - Trae Young is probable for the Hawks in this one. Atlanta has won 4 of the last 5 meetings with Boston SU and is on an overall 6-2 ATS run last 8 meetings. I know the Celtics have won 7 straight games overall but their two most recent home wins each by 6 points and I love the value with the Hawks here off a loss. Atlanta had won 9 of 12 games before losing at home versus San Antonio Friday. Also, the Hawks are 3-1 SU last 4 times when off a loss. I would not be surprised at all to see an upset here but am grabbing the points for added insurance in this one and, yes, I am aware of the John Collins injury. 10* ATLANTA +7 |
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02-13-22 | Maryland v. Purdue OVER 147 | Top | 61-62 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 4 m | Show |
CBB Daytime Dominator Sunday 9* Top Play OVER 147 in Purdue Boilermakers vs Maryland Terrapins @ 1 ET - The Terrapins are off a 110 to 82 loss and that was even at home! Now Maryland is on the road and facing a Purdue team that is angry off an 82-56 loss at Michigan. The Boilermakers will bounce back and pile up the points here as they also have revenge from a loss at Maryland last season. The Terrapins are 7-2 to the over in road games this season and the Boilermakers were on a 10-2 run to the over before their game against the Wolverines stayed under the total. 9* OVER 147 in Purdue |
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02-12-22 | Cavs +3.5 v. 76ers | Top | 93-103 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 54 m | Show |
NBA PA Dominator Saturday 10* Top Play Cleveland Cavaliers +3.5 @ Philadelphia 76ers @ 7:40 ET - Both teams off wins and both teams in 2nd game of back to back but I feel it will be much tougher on the 76ers than the Cavaliers. Keep in mind the Sixers lost Curry in the trade for Harden and they still don't have Harden available yet. Also, this is the 2nd game of a back to back and Embiid might be limited or possibly even miss the contest. You never know for sure these days but he could end up being in street clothes with it being 2nd game of a B2B and he is so injury-prone. In any event I like Cleveland taking on a team that is without a key outside shooter and they did struggle overall with the 3-ball yesterday and the Cavs are not the Thunder! OKC was missing a ton of personnel for yesterday's game but the red hot Cavaliers will present a much stiffer challenge. The Cavs have won 13 of 16 games! 10* CLEVELAND +3.5 |
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02-12-22 | Knicks v. Blazers OVER 216.5 | Top | 103-112 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 44 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Cash Saturday 9* Top Play OVER 216.5 in Portland Trailblazers vs New York Knicks @ 5 ET - The Knicks are 6-2 to over last 8 games. They have allowed 118 points last 5 games. New York has scored average of 111 points last 7 games. Neither of those numbers include any OT points. I know the Blazers have been trending under but Portland has allowed 114 per game last 7 home games and is off a SU win and ATS cover and is 3-1 to the over the last 4 times off an ATS win. 9* OVER 216.5 in Portland |
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02-12-22 | Georgia Tech v. Virginia OVER 122.5 | Top | 53-63 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 3 m | Show |
CBB ESPN Smash Pass Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 122.5 in Virginia Cavaliers vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets @ 4 ET - One can understand the low total posted here when you consider the long-term with Virginia basketball. However, a big key to the Cavaliers having won 3 straight and 5 of 7 has been their offensive production and the over is on a 6-1 run L7 Cavs games. Virginia has scored an average of 66.4 ppg in this 7-game stretch. The Yellow Jackets have allowed an average of 75.3 ppg their last 8 games against Division I opponents. Georgia Tech has averaged scoring 70.5 points last 4 road games. Don't be surprised when this one gets into the 130s. The Yellow Jackets don't have good defensive numbers and the Cavaliers are allowing higher shooting percentages than usual this season. Yes, the Cavs like to play a slow-tempo game but the way these two teams are going right now I fully expect another over in this one. 10* OVER 122.5 in Virginia |
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02-12-22 | Temple +4.5 v. Tulane | Top | 83-92 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 43 m | Show |
CBB Philly Insider Saturday 9* Top Play Temple Owls +4.5 @ Tulane Green Wave @ 2 ET - Even though Jake Forrester is likely to miss again, Jeremiah Williams and Damian Dunn are both expected to play in this one. Also, Temple is 8-0 SU at Tulane since the Green Wave joined the AAC beginning in 2014. We also get the Owls angry off a loss here as they lost at South Florida on a buzzer beater. Getting points with an angry road dog that should be healthier here is something I won't pass up on. Look for the Owls to make it 9 in a row SU in games played as a visitor against Tulane but we'll grab the points for added insurance here. 9* TEMPLE +4.5 |
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02-11-22 | Thunder v. 76ers -12.5 | Top | 87-100 | Win | 100 | 8 h 6 m | Show |
NBA PA Dominator Friday 9* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -12.5 vs Oklahoma City Thunder @ 7 ET - Even if James Harden does not play tonight, Philly is bolstered by the huge trade that got rid of the toxic Ben Simmons and brought in a superstar. The Sixers will be bolstered by this trade no matter who is on the floor tonight and Philadelphia is hungry to bounce back after the home loss to Phoenix Tuesday. With two days off between games, the 76ers will have fresh legs here and they can run and gun their way to victory past a Thunder team that just does not have the horses to keep up. Oklahoma City is already one of the league's worst teams even when healthy but right now the Thunder are extremely short-handed. Yes this is a big number to lay but OKC is off B2B home losses by an average margin of 15.5 points and its last 4 road losses have also come by an average margin of 15.5 points. Lay it! 9* PHILADELPHIA -12.5 |
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02-11-22 | Cavs v. Pacers OVER 216.5 | Top | 120-113 | Win | 100 | 8 h 42 m | Show |
NBA Contrarian Crusher Friday 10* Top Play OVER 216.5 in Indiana Pacers vs Cleveland Cavaliers @ 7 ET - With all the personnel changes for the Pacers following the trade, one might be reluctant to invest in the over here. However, I feel this could lead to a rather fast-paced disorganized game where players on defense miss switches and/or are out of position. Things like this happen when a team has a new influx of players like Indiana does now. I also love the fact that these two teams just met and the game totaled only 183 points. Keep in mind, that is the only under the Pacers have had in their last 9 games. The Cavaliers have allowed 115 points or more in 3 of last 4 road games. Cleveland has a tendency to not score well but they now take on a Pacers team that, other than the one clunker against the Cavs, allowed 123.7 points per game in other 10 games dating back to January 20th. Look for plenty of points in this one. 10* OVER 216.5 in Indiana |
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02-11-22 | Wright State v. Wisc-Milwaukee OVER 146.5 | Top | 57-60 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 32 m | Show |
CBB Earliest Cash Friday 10* Top Play OVER 146.5 in Wisconsin-Milwaukee Panthers vs Wright State Raiders @ 7 ET - The Panthers just got held to only 39 points on their home floor in their most recent game! You know what is coming here from UW-Milwaukee after a game like that. Even though they will respond on the offensive end here, this Panthers team has allowed 76 points per game last 7 games. I am looking for a shootout here as a result as the Raiders come into this one having won 4 straight games and averaging 80 points per game during the win streak. Wright State has averaged scoring 79 points last 6 road games. The over is 4-0 in last 4 meetings between these teams and I look for that trend to continue here. 10* OVER 146.5 in Wisconsin-Milwaukee |
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02-10-22 | Iowa v. Maryland +4.5 | Top | 110-87 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 32 m | Show |
CBB Big Ten Game of the Month Thursday 10* Top Play Maryland Terrapins +4.5 vs Iowa Hawkeyes @ 7 ET - The Terrapins go as Fatts Russell and Eric Ayala go. That said, with those guys struggling overall the last 3 games it comes as no surprise that Maryland enters this one on a 3-game losing streak. However, match-ups certainly matter in basketball. That said, Russell and Ayala both had solid games against the Hawkeyes in the first meetings this season and that was at Iowa and ended up a loss by only a 5-point margin. Now the Terrapins are getting nearly that same number at home and note that the Hawkeyes are 2-5 on the road this season. This one sets up well for an upset and I like the extra value of having a few points on our side as well should Maryland fall just short. Note that Maryland is allowing only 65.5 ppg at home while Iowa is allowing 74.4 ppg on the road. The better defense at home and off 3 straight losses and catching some points...I'll take it! 10* MARYLAND +4.5 |
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02-10-22 | William & Mary v. Towson OVER 136.5 | Top | 60-75 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 21 m | Show |
CBB Earliest Cash Thursday 9* Top Play OVER 136.5 in Towson Tigers vs William & Mary Tribe @ 5 ET - This game is off the radar of most sports bettors and I feel that is why we are getting such a good value here. Towson is one of the best teams in the CAA and William & Mary is one of the worst which is why the spread on this game is 18. Where the value lies in my opinion is with the total. The last time these teams met the Tigers won 91-69 even though they were on the road for that one earlier this season! The Tribe enter this game having allowed 88 points per game their last two games even though they were at home! Towson is off an ugly low-scoring road loss in most recent game and that means they will not hold back and should score a pile of points here. Keep in mind, prior to that road loss the Tigers were on a 9-game stretch that saw them win 8 of 9 games. Towson, taking out the few clunkers in the bunch, averaged 78 points scored in the other 6 games and now they take on a team that is one of the worst in the league. That means the Tigers should get to 80+ easily and if the 18 point spread is right (which so often these numbers are good) that means this one flies over the total. 10* OVER 136.5 in Towson |
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02-09-22 | Spurs v. Cavs OVER 216 | Top | 92-105 | Loss | -113 | 8 h 20 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Dominator Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 216 in Cleveland Cavaliers vs San Antonio Spurs @ 7:10 ET - The Cavaliers could have Curtis Levert (acquired from Indiana) on the floor for this one tonight. Also, Darius Garland could be back after missing 4 straight games. Even if those guys don't play, although odds favor both coming back and at least one of them for sure, I like the over in this match-up. The Spurs have been so poor on the defensive end and they like to play an uptempo style and Cleveland, in an Indiana sandwich, could just "play along" here in a rather meaningless non-conference match-up. The Cavaliers just beat the Pacers and now have a game at Indiana on deck. So this is a classic flat spot for the Cavs in terms of defensive intensity. Also, the over is on a perfect 5-0 run in meetings between these teams. The Spurs have trended under on the road and the Cavaliers have trended under at home this season but that is what has resulted in downward line movement here. The result is exceptional value on the over in this match-up. 10* OVER 216 in Cleveland |
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02-08-22 | Villanova v. St. John's +4 | Top | 75-69 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 15 m | Show |
CBB PA Insider Tuesday 10* Top Play St John's Red Storm +4 vs Villanova Wildcats @ 8:30 ET - Villanova is a great team but St John's is very scrappy and this is particularly true at home. The Red Storm are seeking revenge for getting blown out at Nova earlier this season. In that game, though St John's lost by double digits they simply shot very poorly! Villanova was on fire from deep and the Red Storm had about the same number of 3-point attempts plus overall had 15 more FG attempts in the game but it was just an off-shooting game for them. The Wildcats also are likely to be without Gillespie in this one and he is arguably their best player and a team leader. This is a very tricky spot for the Cats and the home team has won each of the last 4 meetings between these teams. The safe play here is to grab the points but we likely will not need them! 10* ST JOHN'S +4 |
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02-08-22 | Suns v. 76ers -106 | Top | 114-109 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 4 m | Show |
NBA PA Money Line NBA 10* Philadelphia 76ers Money Line -105 vs Phoenix Suns @ 7:10 ET - The 76ers opened up as a 2.5 point favorite and now this line is down near a pick'em. Long-time followers know I love to fade line moves. Of course Phoenix is a great team but they are on the road here in the 2nd game of a back to back and playing their 4th game in 6 nights and the travel hasn't been particularly easy. The Suns have gone from the Southeast to the Northeast to the Midwest and now back to the Northeast again. Philly is at home and is rested and also has not had a back to back since mid-January. The Sixers have two off days on deck after this too as they do not play again until Friday. Philadelphia wants to make up for their most recent home game as it was a disappointing home loss to the Wizards. The 76ers had won 8 of 10 home games heading into that one. They get right back on track here. 10* PHILADELPHIA Money Line -105 |
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02-07-22 | Raptors v. Hornets OVER 224 | Top | 116-101 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 54 m | Show |
NBA Total of the Week Monday 10* Top Play OVER 224 in Charlotte Hornets vs Toronto Raptors @ 7:10 ET - The Hornets have been trending under but this is the right match-up to get them going again. On the season, Charlotte has been a high-scoring team. Now, after an ugly low-scoring home loss to the Heat, the Hornets will bounce back against a team that has been playing plenty of run and gun basketball of late. The Raptors are on a run of 3 straight overs and overs in 6 of last 8 games overall. Speaking of trending to overs, when Toronto and Charlotte have squared off the over is 5-2 in last 7 games. The average points scored in the first half of the last 4 meetings is 130! That is a pace for 260 in each game. Though they did not get to that lofty total, they did get to overs in all but 1 of those 4 games and the fact is these teams are rested (each was off yesterday) and I expect a fast-paced game all the way through which will fly over the very manageable total posted on this game. 10* OVER 224 in Charlotte |
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02-07-22 | NC-Wilmington v. Hofstra -6 | Top | 71-73 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 27 m | Show |
CAA Game of Year Monday 10* Top Play Hofstra Pride -6 vs NC Wilmington Seahawks @ 5 ET - This line has gone from an opener of 7.5 to as low as a 6 as of mid-morning game-day and it is now "go time" with this one. Yes the Seahawks have the much better record than the Pride but why do you think this game is priced this way? You think the odds makers made a mistake? They did not! Hofstra was installed as a 7.5 point home favorite with good reason in this one. The Pride have revenge from a loss at UNC-Wilmington a little over a week ago. They lost the game by 6 but were outscored by 21 points from 3-point land on a rare poor shooting night for Hofstra. Also, the Pride severely outrebounded the Seahawks by a 13-carom margin but were done in by a rare turnover-prone effort as they turned it over 17 times in the game. UNCW turned it over only 9 times in that game. Now with the Pride as the hosts watch all the flukiness of that first game result get flip-flopped here. Hofstra will not be denied here as they have also played the tougher schedule so far this season but are set up well here with an edge as they are playing 3rd straight home game while the Seahawks are on the road for a 3rd straight time! 10* HOFSTRA -6 |
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02-06-22 | Pacers v. Cavs OVER 216.5 | Top | 85-98 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 14 m | Show |
NBA Total Dominator Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 216.5 in Cleveland Cavaliers vs Indiana Pacers @ 6 ET - The Cavaliers could get Darius Garland back today. The Pacers could get both Malcolm Brogdon and Domantas Sabonis back today. Either way I like the over. Indiana has been given a lot of time to younger players recently and this has strengthened their bench when guys like Brogdon and Sabonis are back. The fast-paced style that the Pacers have been playing with has led to a perfect 7-0 run to the over. I know Cleveland likes to play slower and the Cavaliers have been trending under. However, the last 4 meetings between these teams have averaged 217 points per game and the way the Pacers have been playing of late this game should have a much stronger pace than even those 4 match-ups did. That said, this one gets well into the 220s. Indiana, not including OT, allowing 121 points last 11 games! The Pacers, not including OT, scoring an average of 114 points per game last 11 games! 10* OVER 216.5 in Cleveland |
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02-06-22 | Minnesota v. Iowa OVER 148.5 | Top | 59-71 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 36 m | Show |
CBB Daytime Dominator Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 148.5 in Iowa Hawkeyes vs Minnesota Golden Gophers @ 4:30 ET - Iowa fired up off B2B losses and an overall unacceptable stretch that has seen them lose 4 of last 7 games. The Hawkeyes will respond in a huge way here at home in this game. Iowa has averaged 88.8 points per game at home this season. Minnesota is averaging 69.9 points per game on the road this season. The Golden Gophers have endured a 1-7 stretch that has seen them allow 74.4 points per game. Now they face a team capable of hanging 90 points on them and I see an incredible tempo to this game as the Hawkeyes are itching for that huge big home win to get them back on track. This is the perfect spot for it and Minnesota has the talent to hang around within about 10 or 12 in this game and that should send this soaring over the total. 10* OVER 148.5 in Iowa |
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02-05-22 | Suns v. Wizards OVER 219.5 | Top | 95-80 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 47 m | Show |
NBA Non-Conf Total of the Month Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 219.5 in Washington Wizards vs Phoenix Suns @ 7:10 ET - This total opened up at 223 and has now fallen to as low as 219.5 this morning. The Wizards are without Bradley Beal and he is a big scorer. However, Washington is still battling hard and just scored 106 points in a win at Philly Wednesday in a game that easily could have been higher-scoring as the Wizards had 59 points at the half. Washington is known for scoring better when at home and has only had one "dud" in their last dozen home games. In the other 11 games at home during this hot stretch of scoring, the Wizards have averaged 115 points per game! The Suns come into this one having averaged 112.4 points per game on the road this season. The over is 5-0 in last 5 meetings between these teams. With Phoenix off a loss at Atlanta, the Suns will come out fired up for a big road win and they are going to push the tempo here and also keep their foot on the gas throughout this game. Phoenix responds off a loss, Wizards fight hard at home (only once in last dozen home games have they had a loss by more than a 5-point margin) and the result is a high-scoring shootout here. 10* OVER 219.5 in Washington |
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02-05-22 | Penn State v. Wisconsin OVER 129.5 | Top | 49-51 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
CBB Big Ten Total of the Year Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 129.5 in Wisconsin Badgers vs Penn State Nittany Lions @ 6 ET - The Nittany Lions are off an upset win versus Iowa and that game was not as high-scoring as it appears because it did go to overtime. However, the 132 points in regulation would have been enough in terms of comparing to the number posted on this match-up for Penn State at Wisconsin. I am well aware of the fact that the Nittany Lions have often struggled to score well on the road this season. However, the win over the Hawkeyes is a big confidence boosting win for this team. Also, Greg Lee is off a strong game at the forward position and the frontcourt of Lee, Seth Lundy and John Harrar can produce solid interior offense for PSU in this one. Wisconsin used to be known for defensive low-scoring grinders but the situation has been much different this season. The Badgers are allowing 67 points per game and 44% shooting from the field! The over is 8-2 in Wisconsin's last 10 games and they do average 75.4 ppg at home. If you consider that number plus the 8.5 point spread in this game you are looking at a game getting into the low 140s and yet this number is hovering near 130. I feel we have excellent line value with the over here as the Badgers are hungry to bounce back at home after a disappointing road loss at Illinois. Wisconsin has averaged 78 ppg last 6 home games. Penn State has allowed 72 points per game in their 6 true road games this season and 75 points per game on the road if you remove the low-scoring grinder with Ohio State from the equation. This total just too low with Badgers poised for a big bounce back on their floor but dealing with a Nittany Lions team surging with confidence right now after beating Iowa. Penn State ready for a solid road performance and can hang around in this game which will push it over the total. 10* OVER 129.5 in Wisconsin |
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02-05-22 | Ole Miss v. Florida -8.5 | Top | 57-62 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 31 m | Show |
Rickenbach CBB Daytime Dominator Saturday 10* Top Play Florida Gators -8.5 vs Ole Miss Rebels @ 3:30 ET - Though the Gators probably will not have Colin Castleton back just yet, he has started practicing again and this is giving the Florida team a mental boost as they know one of their best players has an imminent return. The big injury news about this match-up is that Ole Miss just lost freshman guard Daeshun Ruffin for the rest of the season to a knee injury suffered in the Rebels upset win at LSU early this week. Though a freshman, he had taken on a starters role for the last 10 games and he had thrived at the point guard position. In fact, he had 21 points in the upset win over these Gators at Ole Miss last month. His loss is huge and is particularly troublesome because guard Jarkel Joiner is still out. That means Austin Crowley likely will be at the point guard position again. Point guard is such an important position and now Ole Miss down to their third choice there. Also, the home team has won and covered each of the last 4 meetings between these teams. Look for the Gators to win in a home blowout by a double digit margin as they get their revenge. 10* FLORIDA -8.5 |
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02-04-22 | Bulls v. Pacers OVER 231 | Top | 122-115 | Win | 100 | 8 h 16 m | Show |
NBA Central Division Total of the Month Friday 10* Top Play OVER 231 in Indiana Pacers vs Chicago Bulls @ 7:10 ET - A lot of injury/covid issues/concerns in this one. It will not matter. No matter who has been on the floor lately, both these teams have been trending over. Yes, the Bulls game last night went to OT but it was over the total by the end of regulation. Also, Chicago is on a perfect 5-0 run to the over in the 2nd game of a B2B. Indiana enters this game on an overall 6-0 run to the over and the Bulls have gone over the total in 4 straight games overall. The Pacers have been forced to play a bunch of younger guys recently and give more minutes than usual to role players as well. The result has been a lack of defensive efficiency but fantastic offensive efficiency. The Pacers, not including OT, have allowed an average of 122 last 7 games and scored an average of 114 last 6 games! The Bulls, not including OT points, have allowed 110 points or more in 6 of last 7 games and have scored 111 points or more in 6 straight games. Chicago averaging 119 per game in those 6 games and tonight's game could go either way in terms of the side in my opinion and that means a 120-119 type game given the above numbers. Look for this one to sneak into the 240s and the line is near the 230 mark. 10* OVER 231 in Indiana |
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02-04-22 | Creighton v. Seton Hall -6 | Top | 55-74 | Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show |
CBB Big East Game of the Year Friday 10* Top Play Seton Hall Pirates -6 vs Creighton Bluejays @ 7 ET - I know Bryce Aiken might still be out here but I still like the Pirates a ton in this spot even if he does not play. The key is that if he does he is likely to be close to 100% because his only issue was being in concussion protocol. In my mind the bigger story here is the Bluejays being without center Ryan Kalkbrenner as he rolled his ankle quite badly in Tuesday's game. That is a tough injury so even if Kalkbrenner plays he is unlikely to be himself. From a situational standpoint, this is a great spot as Creighton is off an upset win at Connecticut as a double digit dog! The Bluejays had lost 3 straight road games heading into that one and the margin of the games was 23 points per defeat! Yes Seton Hall has been struggling to cover games lately but the Pirates are 8-3 at home this season and off B2B losses SU as a solid home favorite each of last two games in Newark, the Pirates are hungry. Look for the hosts to respond in a huge way here. Note that Creighton is only making 30.9% of threes this season and on the road they are allowing 37.5% threes! The Pirates stats, when at home, are nearly the identical reverse of that with hot shooting and strong defense. They pull away for the double digit win here in my opinion. 10* SETON HALL -6 |
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02-04-22 | Dartmouth v. Yale OVER 136.5 | Top | 69-72 | Win | 100 | 8 h 6 m | Show |
CBB Earliest Cash Friday 9* Top Play OVER 136.5 in Yale Bulldogs vs Dartmouth Big Green @ 5 ET - Sometimes Dartmouth gets involved in low-scoring grinders but I see Yale dictating the pace and flow of this game on their home floor. The Bulldogs struggled a bit in non-conference action but now are red hot in Ivy League action including knocking off Princeton in their most recent game. As for the Big Green, 4 of their last 6 games have totaled at least 139 points. Each of Dartmouth's 3 road games in Ivy League action have totaled at least 139 points and have actually averaged 145 points apiece! With each team off a big win (Big Green just won at Columbia) confidence riding high for these guard-heavy teams and I look for solid shooting and another high-scoring game. These teams are "feeling it" right now as Dartmouth had a string of tight losses before the win over the Lions and getting over the hump, even though against a weaker foe, was big for them heading into this match-up. Plenty of points here as Big Green do shoot well from 3-point land (even on the road) but also allow high shooting percentages. 9* OVER 136.5 in Yale |
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02-03-22 | Bulls v. Raptors OVER 224 | Top | 120-127 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
NBA Situational Slaughter Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 224 in Toronto Raptors vs Chicago Bulls @ 7:40 ET - Only 3 of Bulls last 13 games have resulted in an under. Chicago allowing 115 points per game last 6 games but also scoring an average of 120 points per game last 5 games. Toronto has been trending toward lower-scoring numbers than that. However, the Raptors have allowed an average of 111 points per game last 6 games and have scored an average of 114 points per game last 5 games. Zach LaVine is probable for the Bulls here and that is good news in terms of Chicago's point production. The Bulls are an underdog here but playing extremely well and will help push the pace in this one as we continue to see the high-scoring trending in Chicago's games. 10* OVER 224 in Toronto |
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02-03-22 | Wolves v. Pistons +7.5 | Top | 128-117 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 21 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Cash Thursday 9* Top Play Detroit Pistons +7.5 vs Minnesota Timberwolves @ 7:10 ET - Yes, Detroit has an ugly SU record on the season. However, Minnesota has been a road-adverse team. Looking at the last 11 Timberwolves games, the home team is a perfect 11-0 ATS in those games! Wolves at home, they get the cash. Minny on the road, their opponent gets the cash. This pattern going for 3 weeks now and I look for it to continue here. Pistons off a home loss to New Orleans but were on a 5-1 ATS run heading into that one. Detroit also is on a 6-2 ATS run in home games. Pistons lost Cade Cunningham to injury in that game and he only played 21 points. He could come back for this game and is listed as questionable. Either way, I do like the home dog here catching big points. 9* DETROIT +7.5 |
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02-03-22 | Drexel v. Delaware OVER 141 | Top | 76-68 | Win | 100 | 8 h 30 m | Show |
CBB CAA Total of the Year Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 141 in Delaware Fightin Blue Hens vs Drexel Dragons @ 6 ET - This total opened up in the 147 range and is now down to the 141 range as of game day morning. The odds makers that set this total must be clueless in terms of what they are doing, right? Of course not! Long-time followers know I love fading line moves like this when the situation is right. That's because the odds maker are some of the sharpest guys around and I respect their numbers. So take a closer look at this one and note that these teams combined for 158 points in their first meeting this season and no it did NOT go to overtime. The fact is both these teams have solid shooting stats this season. Both teams also tend to struggle on the defensive end. Drexel had one good game defensively against Elon two weeks ago but, in their other 7 games since early January the Dragons have allowed an average of 74.4 ppg. The Fightin Blue Hens have had 7 games since early January and, not including OT points, Delaware has allowed an average of 73.9 ppg. Looking at these numbers you can see why this total opened up closer to 150 than 140. Now, with huge value after the move, I am hammering the over in this Blue Hens match-up! 10* OVER 141 in Delaware |
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02-03-22 | St. John's -4.5 v. Georgetown | Top | 90-77 | Win | 100 | 7 h 36 m | Show |
CBB Big East Beast Thursday 9* Top Play St John's Red Storm -4.5 @ Georgetown Hoyas @ 6 ET - The Red Storm off B2B losses but faced a pair of ranked foes and they have not lost 3 straight games this entire season. Also, in their loss to Providence Tuesday, St John's actually had 16 more field goal attempts in the game but the Friars got to the line for 33 free throw attempts - 3 times as many as the 11 the Red Storm got! St John's is a little under-valued here off the unusual results the last two games and note that Georgetown has lost 9 straight games including a 19-point beatdown at St John's. Though the Hoyas are now at home for the rematch, they are simply not a very good basketball team and the Red Storm will be aggressive and bring extra hunger to this match-up as a result of B2B losses. Only one of Georgetown's defeats in the 9-game skid came by a margin of less than 7 points. Once again, look for the Hoyas to lose by 7 or more points as their losing streak reaches 10 games. 9* ST JOHN'S -4.5 |
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02-02-22 | Wizards v. 76ers OVER 213 | Top | 106-103 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 52 m | Show |
NBA Eastern Conf Total of the Month Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 213 in Philadelphia 76ers vs Washington Wizards @ 7:10 ET - This total has dropped from the 218 range to the 213 range and this is offering great line value on the over. I understand the Wizards will again be without Bradley Beal and he is a big-time scorer. However, the odds makers knew this when they posted the total. The line coming down is because Washington has scored so poorly recently but the odds makers knew that as well. The keys to this game are that Joel Embiid is back for this one after resting against Memphis and I look for he and the Sixers to have a huge game on the offensive end. Philly lost at Washington last month and will be out for revenge here. Though that game stayed under the total it did reach the 215 mark and note that the under ended a streak of 4 straight overs in match-ups between these teams. The 76ers will take advantage of a team allowing 114.5 points per game last 6 games. This line is right around a 10. If Philly gets at least 115 - and I feel strongly they will do even better than that - it puts this game in the 115-105 range which is 220 points. This game gets well into the 220s the way I see it and I am taking advantage of the drop on this total. 10* OVER 213 in Philadelphia |
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02-02-22 | Florida v. Missouri +6 | Top | 66-65 | Win | 100 | 6 h 46 m | Show |
CBB SEC Game of the Month Wednesday 10* Top Play Missouri Tigers +6 vs Florida Gators @ 3 ET - The Tigers have been struggling overall but this is a different team when on their home floor. Though Missouri is likely without Javon Pickett here lets not forget the Gators are still without leading scorer and leading rebounder Colin Castleton. That said, the value is with the home underdog here. Florida is off big win versus Oklahoma State but had lost 5 of 8 games heading into that one. Also, the Gators have lost 3 of last 4 road games. Missouri is just 2-2 SU last 4 home games but the two losses were each by 3 or less points! Now a line that opened at -5 is already up to a -6 and this is just two much for Florida to be laying on the road when you consider all of the above. Look at the defensive stats for these two teams in this spot too. Gators allow 69 points and 47% shooting on the road. Tigers allow 63 points and 39% shooting when at home. Grab the home dog! 10* MISSOURI +6 |
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02-01-22 | Warriors v. Spurs +3.5 | Top | 124-120 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 43 m | Show |
NBA Western Conf Game of the Month Tuesday 10* Top Play San Antonio Spurs +3.5 vs Golden State Warriors @ 8:40 ET - The Warriors are off 5 straight wins but are in the 2nd game of a B2B and Klay Thompson will sit. Conversely, the news is much better on the Spurs front as they were able to rest up yesterday plus get Dejounte Murray back tonight for this one. Also listed as probable are Poeltl and White. San Antonio as a home dog is the play here as they are 4-1 SU the last 5 times off a loss. The Spurs did win at Golden State earlier this season and it was no fluke. San Antonio played a strong game in Oakland and they can do it again here with a refreshed Murray ready to go and he is having a great season. The Warriors barely covered at Houston against a bad Rockets team and, keep in mind, Golden State was on a 1-5 ATS run in road games heading into that one. I don't think we'll need the points here but I will grab them for added insurance. 10* SAN ANTONIO +3.5 |
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02-01-22 | Boston College +9.5 v. Virginia | Top | 55-67 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 38 m | Show |
CBB Game of the Week Tuesday 10* Top Play Boston College Eagles +9.5 @ Virginia Cavaliers @ 6 ET - The Cavs are a solid team known for stellar defense. However, their long-term struggle season after season tends to be with scoring and that is the situation now moreso than ever this season. That is a big part of the reason the Cavaliers are a rather mediocre 12-9 this season. Now, because they are at home and hosting an Eagles team that has had its share of struggles this season we are seeing this line way too high. Virginia has gone just 7-7 last 14 games and only 3 of the wins were by more than 5 points. You read that right...the Cavs have just 3 wins of more than 5 points in their last 14 games! That said, I love the Eagles plus the big points here and will challenge the Cavaliers to win this game by double digits. Boston College has some extra confidence heading into this win off a big win over Pittsburgh. Keep in mind, that is the same Panthers team that the Cavs beat by an average margin of only 3 points in their two meetings this season. The Eagles have played 20 games this season and only 5 of them resulted in a loss by a double digit margin. I see the Cavaliers winning this game but I look for it to be a tight low-scoring battle as the road team covers! 10* BOSTON COLLEGE +9.5 |