Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-09-21 | Phillies v. Braves +1.5 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 44 m | Show | |
The set-up: Aaron Nola is 3-1 with a 2.89 ERA this year for the Phillies. Huascar Ynoa is 3-1 with a 2.36 ERA for the Braves. These pitchers are evenly matched. Nola is better at home (2-0, 1.43), than he is on the road though (1-1, 5.00), and that's been the case for years now. The pick: Ynoa is an even better 2-0 with a 1.58 ERA in friendly confines this season. After a sluggish stretch, the Braves are playing a lot better, both on the mound and at the plate. Off last night's 8-7 win, expect the Braves to fight hard until the end in this one as well. This is an 8* RUN-LINE DESTRUCTION on the Braves. |
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05-06-21 | Wizards v. Raptors +0.5 | Top | 131-129 | Loss | -112 | 12 h 29 m | Show |
The set-up: The Raptors need to win out and get some outside help to make the play-in tournament. The Wizards have been steamrolling of late, but off a tight 135-134 loss in Milwaukee just last night, I finally expect Washington to stumble here in the second game of the back-to-back scenario. Toronto has three more games at home, before three on the road. It's now or never for the Raptors. The pick: Washington has a tricky schedule, with a game at Indiana up next, followed by two at Atlanta, before then wrapping up with two at home vs. Cleveland and Charlotte. The Wizards though are just 2-7 ATS in their last nine when playing the second game of a back-to-back and off an ATS victory in the first. Everything points to Toronto finding a way to get the job done for bettors tonight. This is a 10* COACHS CORNER on the Raptors. |
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05-05-21 | Wizards +7 v. Bucks | Top | 134-135 | Win | 100 | 13 h 0 m | Show |
The set-up: Both teams need wins. Both teams have been playing really well of late. At some point, one of these two teams is going to have a minor "letdown," and I believe that time has come for the Bucks, who enter off back-to-back home wins over East leading Brooklyn, including a hard-fought 124-118 victory just last night. The pick: Washington most recently hammered the Pacers 154-141 in regulation at home two nights ago and it plays with the added incentive of revenge here after falling 133-122 to the Bucks on March 15th. With a game tomorrow night at Toronto, the road ahead doesn't get any easier for the visiting side either. I expect this one to come right down to the wire, so grab the points. This is a 10* PLAY-BOOK on the Wizards. |
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05-04-21 | Raptors v. Clippers -9.5 | Top | 100-105 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 60 m | Show |
The set-up: The Clippers have lost three straight games. They've lost four straight against the spread. They haven't faced the Raptors yet this year, but with the Lakers and Knicks up next, I expect the home side to lay the foot on the gas from start to finish in this one. Note as well that the Clippers are 7-2 ATS in their last nine after three or more straight ATS/SU losses in a row. The pick: After three straight losses, the Raptors got a huge game from Kyle Lowry to beat the Lakers 121-114 here two nights ago. With a game at home vs. Washington up next though, this sets up not only as a letdown spot after beating the Champs, but also a "look ahead" spot as well. That = trap. Look for the hungry and focussed home side to take advantage. This is a 10* COACHS CORNER on the Clippers. |
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05-03-21 | 76ers v. Bulls +7 | Top | 106-94 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 51 m | Show |
The set-up: I think the Bulls catch the 76ers at the right time here. Clearly, if we just went by each team's offensive and defensive seasonal averages, then we'd be taking Philadelphia 9 times out of 10, but in this case, Philly is off a hard-fought 113-111 OT win just last night in San Antonio, and several of its starters will be rested here, or see very limited time. Philly has a night off after this before a game at Houston, so the temptation to get caught "looking ahead" is there as well. The pick: Despite who is or isn't playing for Chicago today, the Bulls have performed well for bettors in this spot by going 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to revenge a SU/ATS road loss in which they allowed 125 or more points in (lost 127-105 on March 11th.) Chicago has lost three straight. It has two whole nights off after this before a game at Charlotte. I say the Bulls come to play tonight. No outright, but a nail-biter until the end. Grab the points. This is a 10* PLAY-BOOK on the Bulls. |
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05-02-21 | Kings +7 v. Mavs | Top | 111-99 | Win | 100 | 13 h 7 m | Show |
The set-up: The Mavericks lost outright to the Kings last week, but they had to hold on for dear life in last night's 125-124 home win over the Wizards and as such, I believe fatigue will be a major factor for the home side here. The Kings are playing their most inspired ball of the season right now and have to be feeling confident after beating The Kings and the Lakers 110-106 last time out. The pick: Dallas has a night off before a game vs. the Heat, followed by a home game vs. the Nets. Not only is this a classic letdown spot, but it's also a "look ahead." When you put those two situational "spot wagers" together, that = "trap." Outright? It's possible, but in the end let's grab up all those points! This is a 10* UNDERDOG BEST OF THE BEST on the Kings. |
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05-02-21 | Lightning -1.5 v. Red Wings | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -125 | 8 h 18 m | Show |
The set-up: Did Tampa get caught "looking past" the lowly Wings in its 1-0 shootout loss here yesterday? I'd say the answer to that question is a resounding "yes." Sure, Detroit has played a lot better over the last month, but the Lightning have dominated this series all year and I expect an immediate return to normalcy here. The Bolts had won four in a row previous and with two whole nights off after this, before a much tougher two-game home set vs. the Stars (who they played in the Finals last year), Tampa will be eager to atone for yesterday's "brain fart." The pick: Note as well that Detroit is just 2-8 in its last ten after shutting out its opponent in its previous outing. I expect the Lightning to full throttle from start to finish and as a result, I don't only expect Tampa to win this game, but I look for it to win by a sizeable margin. This is a 10* PLAY-BOOK on the Lightning PUCK-LINE (-1.5). |
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05-01-21 | Wizards v. Mavs -6 | Top | 124-125 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 59 m | Show |
The set-up: As primarily a "situational" handicapper, I love the way this one sets up for the home side. Amazingly, the Wizards are on the cusp of a playoff spot, sitting just one game back of the No. 8 spot. They still have three weeks left in the regular season, but off a 122-93 road win at Cleveland just last night, I'm finally expecting a letdown here. Besides, the Wizards have a night off after this before a home game vs. the Pacers, a team which sits a .5 game back of them for that final playoff spot. In fact note, this is the Wizards very final game vs. a Western Conferenece team, putting added incentive over its final eight games after tonight. The pick: I think the Mavericks keep the foot on the gas. They're in a tight race now with the 5th, 6th, 7th and 8th placed teams in the West. Dallas is off the 115-105 win over the Pistons, and they have the Kings coming to town tomorrow night. No need to look past this dangerous Wizards side tonight. I look for Washington to finally have a letdown here. Lay the points. This is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on the Mavericks. |
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04-30-21 | Blazers +0.5 v. Nets | Top | 128-109 | Win | 100 | 12 h 1 m | Show |
The set-up: I think the Nets rest players here strategically vs. this Western Conference opponent. Brooklyn is off a 130-113 win over Indiana just last night, but with a night off after this before a tough five-game road swing to end the season, starting with back-to-back games at Milwaukee, this absolutely sets up as a classic "trap" for the home side. The pick: Portland plays with revenge here after falling 116-112 at home to the Nets on March 23rd. Portland smashed Memphis 130-109 in its last outing, and with tough upcoming games at Boston and Atlanta, it's now or never for this playoff hopeful Portland side. A great situational call on the visiting side here. This is a 10* COACHS CORNER on the Blazers. |
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04-28-21 | Mariners v. Astros -1.5 | Top | 5-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 44 m | Show |
The set-up: Justin Dunn has actually been quite good for the Mariners, going 1-0 with a 3.68 ERA. Dunn's team though is struggling mightily at the plate, going 0-3 in its last three and totalling five runs in the process. The M's bullpen has been decent, but I can't see Seattle getting any production at the plate vs. Zack Greinke. The pick: WHo is 2-0 with a 2.76 ERA. Hosuton is 5-0 in its last five at home vs. clubs with winning records, while Seattle is only 20-49 in its last 69 vs. a starter with a WHIP of less than 1.15. I look for Houston to not only win today, but to win by a sizeable margin. This is a 10* RUN-LINE DESTRUCTION on the Astros. |
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04-27-21 | Mavs v. Warriors +1 | Top | 133-103 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 44 m | Show |
The set-up: No need to overthink this one. Dallas has the best player on the floor in Luka Doncic, but the Mavericks played and lost in Sacramento just last night. They're also playing without Kristaps Porzingis. The pick: The Warriors are off a 117-113 win over the Kings, and they play with revenge here after falling 134-132 to the Mavericks in early February. It's a perfect storm of situational factors working in favor of the hungry home side tonight. This is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on the Warriors. |
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04-27-21 | Lightning v. Blackhawks +1.5 | Top | 7-4 | Loss | -147 | 12 h 18 m | Show |
The set-up: Tampa is coming off back-to-back wins over Columbus, but it needed OT to sneak by 4-3 last time out. The end of the regular season is in sight now. I think Tampa gets caught complacent here vs. the revenge-minded Hawks side which fell 4-1 to Tampa on March 20th in their most recent matchup. The pick: Chicago is 12-9-1-1 at home this year. The Hawks have the offense to keep up with anyone in the league, and I expect them to catch the Lightning flat-footed here. Chicago is also 7-2 in its last nine in trying to revenge a three goals or greater loss vs. an opponent. In a contest which I see being decided late on in extra time or shootout, I'm laying what I deem to be a very reasonable mid-sized price for the extra 1.5 goals of insurance. This is a 10* PUCK-LINE DESTRUCTION on the Blackhawks. |
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04-26-21 | Reds +1.5 v. Dodgers | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 14 m | Show |
The set-up: I think the Reds obviously have a legitimate shot at winning this game outright. However, I also see it coming down to the wire, decided late or even in extra frames. As such, I'm going to lay the reasonable price for the extra 1.5 runs of insurance. The Reds won't be lacking for motivation here obviously after seven straight losses. Tyler Mahle is 1-1 with a 1.74 ERA for the Reds, sporting a sharp 31/9 K/W over 20.2 innings of work. The pick: Julio Urias is 3-0 with a 2.81 ERA for the Dodgers. He just went seven scoreless vs. the Mariners. He owns a 26/4 K/W over 25.2 innings. Urias though looks primed for a letdown after his recent gem. Do I think the Reds would beat the Dodgers in a seven-game playoff series? I do not. Do I think they can compete hard on Monday night to try and break a seven-game slide with their best pitcher on the mound and the eyes of the World on this game? Absolutely. Lay the price, grab the 1.5 runs. This is a 10* RUN-LINE GAME OF THE WEEK on the Reds. |
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04-26-21 | Thunder v. 76ers -11.5 | Top | 90-121 | Win | 100 | 11 h 14 m | Show |
The set-up: The Thunder have lost 16 of 17, including a 129-109 home loss to the Wizards. OKC has officially thrown in the towel on the season, but after six straight non ATS covers in a row, I like Philly to take advantage here and to pull away down the stretch for a comfortable cover. The pick: In fact, the 76ers have lost four straight SU as well, including a blowout 132-94 loss at Milwaukee on Saturday. Whether Simmons or Embiid play or not, I love the rest of the role players and Tobias Harris to step up here and deliver with a sizeable victory. Lay the points. This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the 76ers. |
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04-25-21 | Cavs +9.5 v. Wizards | Top | 110-119 | Win | 100 | 12 h 7 m | Show |
The set-up: I expect the Cavaliers to comfortably sneak in through the backdoor down the stretch. Cleveland is coming off a 108-102 road loss in Charlotte. With a game tomorrow night at playoff hopeful Toronto, I believe Cleveland will give everything it has tonight to try and pull off a victory. Washington has been playing fantastic, but after winning six of its last seven, including two in a row, and with San Antonio coming to town tomorrow night, followed by the Lakers, this absolutely sets up as a classic "look-ahead" trap for the home side as well. The pick: Finally note that Washington is a poor 3-7 ATS in its last ten after scoring 125 or more points in a SU/ATS road victory in its last outing (won 129-109 at OKC.) No outright, but much closer than what this spread would suggest. Grab the points. This is a 10* ULTIMATE SHOCKER on the Cavaliers. |
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04-24-21 | Senators +1.5 v. Canucks | 2-4 | Loss | -196 | 33 h 10 m | Show | |
The set-up: Here's a contest which I see being decided late or in extra time. Sure, why not sprinkle a little on the Senators on the money-line as well here. Ottawa easily handled the Canucks 3-0 here two nights ago. The Sens are unquestionably playing their best hockey of the year right now, as they've won four of their last five, including three straight. The pick: The Canucks returned from a lengthy COVID break and somehow managed to beat the Leafs in two straight, but after the adrenalin wore off, they fell flat here against the Sens, and all signs point to an identical thing happening here in my opinion. I'm laying the price for the extra 1.5 goals of insurance, as I expect this one to come right down to the wire. This is a 6* PUCK-LINE DESTRUCTION on the Senators. |
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04-22-21 | Lakers v. Mavs -2 | Top | 110-115 | Win | 100 | 14 h 59 m | Show |
The set-up: The Mavericks come in off a 127-117 win over Detroit here jsut last night. They won, but they didn't cover. The Mavericks have dropped six straight ATS, but I expect that trend to end here, as I expect Luka Doncic and company to bring their "A" game with Anthony Davis and the LA Lakers coming to town. Working in a starter that returns from injury doesn't always go smoothly, so honestly it's hard to predict exactly what we'll get out of LA this evening. The pick: The Mavericks play with revenge here as well after falling 138-115 to LA on X-Mas Day. Despite having played just last night, I like the Mavs here, as I just can't trust all of the uncertainty right now involving LA's line-up. Dallas didn't expend a lot of energy in last night's win and fatigue isn't going to be an issue. I'm laying the points, but expecting a decisive win. This is a 10* ULTIMATE DESTRUCTION on the Dallas Mavericks. |
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04-21-21 | Cardinals +1.5 v. Nationals | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 50 m | Show |
The set-up: In a contest which I see being decided late, or even in extra innings, my strongest play on this game is to lay the reasonable price for the extra 1.5 runs of insurance. Max Scherzer is 0-1 with a 2.37 ERA for the Nationals. He's given up just one run over 13 innings. Scherzer continues to get little run support. The pick: Carlos Martinez is 0-3 with a 7.80 ERA this year for the Cards. Martinez is 0-2 with a 5.40 ERA in ten career games vs. the Nationals. Washington was already thin coming into this one though, and now its suffered another setback with an injury to Juan Soto. I think Martinez can get back on track here in this favorable matchup and match Scherzer inning for inning. This is a 10* RUN-LINE DESTRUCTION on the Cardinals. |
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04-20-21 | Hornets +6 v. Knicks | Top | 97-109 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 20 m | Show |
The set-up: Obviously the Knicks are the biggest surprise team in the league this year. New York has to be feeling damn good about its chances of landing a big off-season free-agent after its big season this year. However, after eight straigth blowout wins and covers, everything points to a classic letdown here, especially with another "cream puff" coming to town tomorrow night in Atlanta. The Knicks were super lucky to escape with a home victory last time out, nailing a three-point shot with no time left on the clock to force OT with the Pels, to then go on and win/cover by ten. The pick: The Hornets come in off a dominant 109-101 home win over the Blazers, proving that they haven't thrown in the towel either. And with the news that LaMelo Ball is cleared to start working with the team again, there's added incentive again all of a sudden. If Charlotte can win this game, it has contests upcoming vs. the lowly Bulls and Cavaliers, so a three-game win streak would be a very realistic goal here. Outright win? Possible. In the end though, let's grab up all these points! This is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on the Hornets. |
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04-20-21 | Bruins v. Sabres +1.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
The set-up: There's no question that Boston has been playing better of late, but I think it's overvalued here against a Sabres team that's arguably playing its best hockey of the season right now as well. Boston comes in off a 6-3 win over Washington, and it's now won four in a row. The Sabres have been alternating wins and losses over their last six games, most recently off a 4-2 win here over the Penguins two nights ago. The pick: This is the opener of three straigth between the clubs and the Sabres play with revenge here after a 3-2 loss in these team's most recent matchup on April 13th. There's no way the home side doesn't give everything it has here. And the Bruins could easily get caught in "trap." In a contest which I see being decided late or even in extra time, I'm grabbing the 1.5 goals of insurance. This is a 10* PUCK-LINE DESTRUCTION on the Sabres. |
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04-18-21 | Blazers v. Hornets +5 | Top | 101-109 | Win | 100 | 11 h 9 m | Show |
The set-up: The Blazers have lost five of their last six. They average 114.6 PPG, while conceding 114.8. The Hornets come in equally as hungry,a s they've lost four in a row. Charlotte got hit by the injury bug early, but this is still a great situational spot bet in my opinion, against a Portland team that's struggling in many regards and which is going to get caught looking ahead to back-to-back home games starting on Tuesday vs. the Clippers and Nuggets. The pick: Charlotte has lost four in a row, but was decently competitive in a 130-115 setback at the Nets in their latest action. The Hornets play with revenge here after falling 123-111 to the Blazers in early March, and note that they're 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to revenge a road loss vs. an opponent in which they conceded 120 or more points in. Grab the points and expect this one to come right down to the wire. This is a 10* COACHS CORNER on the Hornets. |
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04-17-21 | Cavs v. Bulls -1.5 | Top | 96-106 | Win | 100 | 13 h 48 m | Show |
The set-up: The Bulls are out for revenge here after the lost 103-94 here to Cleveland back on March 24th. The Cavs are coming off a listless 119-101 loss to the Warriors. Despite having played and lost just last night at home to the Grizzlies, I like Chicago to dig deep here and find a way to get the job done vs. the lowly Cavaliers. The pick: The Cavaliers are just 7-15 ATS in their last 22 road games, while Chicago is 8-2 ATS in its last ten in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent in which it scored 95 or less points in. Look for the hungry home side to defend its court and lay the short points. This is a 10* COACHS CORNER on the Bulls. |
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04-15-21 | Kings +12 v. Suns | Top | 114-122 | Win | 100 | 14 h 16 m | Show |
The set-up: I think there's value on this hungry underdog side out to break an eight-game slide. That includes a 123-111 setback at home to Washington just last night. Clearly Phoenix is the better team, but it's interesting to note that it's been exchanging ATS wins/losses over its last ten games straight. The pick: Off a big 106-86 SU/ATS win/cover at home over the Heat, there's no reason not to believe this incredibly strong pattern won't continue here. The Suns don't need to run up the score in the second half if they have a lead. The Kings are 7-2 ATS in their last nine after five or more straight ATS losses in a row. No outright, but closer than expected. This is a 10* COACHS CORNER on the Kings. |
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04-14-21 | Marlins v. Braves -1.5 | Top | 6-5 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
The set-up: The Braves have yet to hit their stride this year. Perhaps ATL won't live up to its preseason expectations, but it's a really good team that's out to avenge yesterday's 14-8 humbling defeat to these very Marlins. In fact the Braves have now lost three straight. And after four straight losses, the Marlins have now won three in a row. But not only is ATL clearly the more motivated side in this matchup, but it also definitely has the superior starting pitcher on the hill. And it's this massive talent discrepancy that makes me have no issues at all in laying the 1.5 runs for the pick-em price. The pick: Nick Neidert gave up one earned run off three hits with five walks over 4.1 innins in a no-decision to the lowly Mets on Thursday. Clearly he'll have his hands full here though in this difficult road venue. Charlie Morton is 1-1 with a 3.27 ERA this season. The veteran holds a 12:3 K:BB and I think he's well worth the price of admission (-1.5 runs) in this matchup and considering how desperate/hungry his team is. This is a 10* RUN-LINE DESTRUCTION on the Braves. |
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04-12-21 | Marlins +1.5 v. Braves | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
The set-up: The Braves are probably the better team in this series, but so far Atlanta has yet to find its stride this season, either at the plate or on the hill. Last night the Braves fell 7-6 at home to the Phillies. Both teams are dealing with issues, but I think that Sandy Alcantara offers great value in this matchup. The pick: Alcantara is a horse, who threw six scoreless vs. the Rays on Opening Day, before then taking a loss vs. the Cardinals, depsite tying a career-high with ten strikeouts. Over 18 2/3's vs. the Braves, he has three no-decision and a 2.41 ERA. Huascar Ynoa earned a no-decision despite a strong effort vs. the Nationals in his last start, but that has to be taken with a "grain of salt" considering the form of Washington right now. Outright is obviously possible, but I'm laying the price for the extra 1.5 runs of insurance just in case. This is an 8* RUN LINE PLAY on the Marlins. |
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04-10-21 | Lakers +11.5 v. Nets | Top | 126-101 | Win | 100 | 14 h 14 m | Show |
The set-up: Both teams are banged up. The Lakers more so. This is a lot of points to be giving up though to the defending champs, who I expect to keep this one a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. LA has split its last eight games. The Lakers fell 110-104 to the Heat last time out. I expect a very competitive affair here as well. The pick: Brooklyn enters off a 139-111 blowout win over the Pels at home. The Nets though are still just 1-6 ATS in their last seven as double-digit favorites. I think this is a great situational play. No outright, but closer than expected. Grab the points. This is a 10* PLAY-BOOK on the Lakers. |
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04-10-21 | Mariners +1.5 v. Twins | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 20 h 35 m | Show |
The set-up: Seattle is 3-4. The Mariners are still "rebuilding," but they won't be going down without a fight here with Yusei Kikuchi on the mound. Kikuchi is coming off a great Spring and fantastic opening start, allowing three runs over six innings, walking one and striking out ten in the victory. The pick: The Twins got five shutout innings from Michael Pineda in his season opening win over the Brewers. Milwaukee continues to struggle at the plate no matter who it faces though, so Pineda's performance needs to be taken with a grain of salt in my opinion. I like Kikuchi to match his counterpart inning for inning and in a situation like that, I believe the value swings to the undervalued underdog. That said, I'm going to lay the very reasonable price here for the extra 1.5 runs of insurance in the end. This is a 10* RUN-LINE PLAY OF THE MONTH on the Mariners. |
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04-09-21 | Spurs +7 v. Nuggets | Top | 119-121 | Win | 100 | 14 h 46 m | Show |
The set-up: San Antonio plays with revenge here after falling 106-96 on this floor just two nights ago. Despite that loss, the Spurs have actually been pretty good on the road, going 12-8 SU and 13-7 ATS. Denver is 17-9 SU at home but only 12-14 ATS. Note that the Nuggets are just 2-7 ATS in their last nine after holding their previous opponent to 99 points or less in a SU/ATS victory as well. The pick: The Spurs are still in the mix for a playoff spot, but they desperately need to find a spark. Note though that San Antonio is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to revenge a road loss vs. an opponent in which it was held to under 100 points in. No outright, but closer than expected. Grab the points. This is a 10* COACHS CORNER on the Spurs. |
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04-08-21 | A's +1.5 v. Astros | Top | 2-6 | Loss | -135 | 12 h 24 m | Show |
The set-up: The A's come in off their first win of the season, a tight, extra innings 4-3 victory over the defending champs at home last night, and they can obviously not afford to take the foot off the gas here. The A's play with revenge here as well after droppping all four of their seasoning opening home series vs. the Astros. Off a 4-2 win at LA two nights ago, the Astros return home for the first time this season. The pick: The A's hand the ball to Cole Irvin for his first start of the year. He features a five-pitch arsenal, highlighted by a 90.9 MPH sinker. Chrisitan Javier got hit hard in his opener and note that he's a terrible 0-2 with a ballooned 6.94 ERA in 11.2 innings vs. the A's in his career. The fact that the Astros haven't seen Irvin yet is working in favor of Oakland as well here. While the outright is possible, I'm going to lay this very reasonable price for the extra 1.5 runs. This is a 10* DESTRUCTION on the A's. |
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04-08-21 | Lakers v. Heat -8 | Top | 104-110 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 55 m | Show |
The set-up: This is a bad spot for the Lakers. LA is coming off a win over the Raptors, but it has a tough game here vs. a hungry Miami team that's off a 124-112 loss at Memphis, but which had won four in a row previous. The Heat also hit the road after this for a tough four-game Western road swing, putting added importance onto this contest. The pick: LA I think is going to go through the motions with its superstars injured and sidelined. LA plays tonight against the Heat, and then tomorrow night in Brooklyn, making this a prime "look ahead" spot for the visiting side as well. This one is going to be personal to Pat Riley and the home side. Lay the points. This is a 10* COACHS CORNER on the Miami Heat. |
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04-07-21 | Knicks v. Celtics -3.5 | Top | 99-101 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 2 m | Show |
The set-up: These two teams have identical records at 25-26. Each still has a good shot at making the playoffs, but both need a win here. New York has lost four of its last five. The Knicks only average 105 PPG, while allowing 104.4. The pick: The Celtics have split their last ten games. Boston is coming off a lacklustre loss just last night vs. Philly, but I'm not buying into the fatigue factor here. Note that the Celtics average 112.4 PPG, while conceding 110.6. Boston is 7-2 ATS in its last nine after three or more straight ATS losses in a row. The panic button has been pressed in Boston. Expect a big response/win this evening and lay short points. This is a 10* DESTRUCTION on the Celtics. |
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04-06-21 | Dodgers v. A's +1.5 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -114 | 13 h 23 m | Show |
The set-up: Clearly, the panic button has been smashed in Oakland after its 0-5 start. The A's have drawn two tough opponents right out of the gate in Houston and LA, but there's no question that "enough is enough" for the A's right now. Is Clayton Kershaw a better pitcher than Chris Bassitt? Both pitchers got off to terrible starts in their respective openers. Kershaw is 0-1 with a 7.94 ERA after getting shelled for six runs over 5 2/3's innings in an 8-5 loss to the Rockies. He also saw the A's in Spring training and was rocked for nine runs over three innings, finishing the tune-up with an 0-2, 10.22 ERA record. The pick: Bassitt is 0-1 with a 5.06 ERA. Unlike his counterpart though, he had a great Spring, finishing 2-0 with a 1.74 ERA. Note though, that he left that game vs. Houston with a 1-0 deficit, only to watch his relievers instantly give up two home runs. Note that the A's are also 7-2 in their last nine after three or more straight losses in a row. Lay the price, grab the extra 1.5 runs of insurance. This is a 10* RUN-LINE BEST OF THE BEST on the A's. |
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04-05-21 | Giants +1.5 v. Padres | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 15 h 43 m | Show | |
The set-up: I like the Giants to keep this one competitive throughout. Giants starter Anthony DeSclafani is 1-0 with a 2.25 ERA in four starts vs. San Diego, including posting a 1.50 ERA and 0.75 WHIP in two previous starts at Petco. The pick: Adrian Morejon is in the Padres starting rotation out of necessity, as Dinelson Lamet is rehabbing his shoulder for another month still. Look for the hungrier visiting side to take advantage. This is an 8* RUN LINE play on the Giants. |
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04-05-21 | Dodgers v. A's +1.5 | 10-3 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 14 m | Show | |
The set-up: The Dodgers are 3-1 and the A's are 0-4. I love the home side here to keep this one a lot more competitive than what this line would suggest. Dustin May was 3-1 with a 2.57 ERA last year for the Dodgers. He goes up against Frankie Montas, who was 3-5 with a 5.60 ERA in 2020. The pick: "Embarrassing," A's manager Bob Melvin said after Sunday's loss. "We played really poorly. We have to turn things around. It's not just going to happen." Oakland is 8-2 in its last ten home games following a three-games or longer losing streak. Lay the price for the extra 1.5 goals of insurance. This is a 10* RUN LINE play on the A's. |
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04-05-21 | Baylor v. Gonzaga -4 | Top | 86-70 | Loss | -114 | 14 h 5 m | Show |
The set-up: Both teams are fantastic. Baylor is great at shooting the three-ball, and Gonzaga is the best at shooting from two-point range. The Bulldogs allow just 89.1 points per 100 possessions on the season. The Bulldogs also have size at every position, which is a mismatch issue for Baylor, as it starts four players 6-foot-5 or shorter. The pick: The Bears are also tough defensively, but not on the same level as the Zags, allowing 91.8 points per 100 possessions overall (and 97.9 points per 100 possessions vs. Big 12 opponents.) Baylor would have had difficulties with that red hot UCLA team too. Expect Gonzaga's size, experience and depth to prove to be the difference maker and lay the points. This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on Gonzaga. |
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04-05-21 | Flyers +1.5 v. Bruins | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 36 m | Show | |
The set-up: In a game which is going to be more competitive than what Las Vegas is trying to lead us to believe, I'm going to lay the mid-sized price for the extra 1.5 goals of insurance here. To say this is a "revenge" game would be a massive understatement, as Boston has won all five in the season series so far. The pick: Boston is off a 7-5 win over Pittsburgh on Saturday and looks primed for a letdown, as note that the B's are just 2-7 in their last nine after scoring six or more goals in a victory in their last outing. Philly is the more desperate and revenge minded team here which is still in the thick of the playoff hunt. Lay the price for the 1.5 goals. This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on the Flyers. |
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04-05-21 | Mets v. Phillies +1.5 | 3-5 | Win | 110 | 12 h 39 m | Show | |
The set-up: The Mets hit the field for the first time this year and while they clearly have the superior starter on the mound in this matchup, the Phillies have the advantage of having already played a series, while also having the advantage of playing at home here. The Mets were terrible last year, especially on the road. They also have give Jacob DeGrom little run support most nights. The pick: Matt Moore has been given a second chance after throwing a year in Japan. Thankfully Moore will be able to rely on a revamped bullpen which has thrown 7 1/3 scoreless innings over the first three games. Great value on the run-line here. This is an 8* RUN LINE play on the Phillies. |
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04-03-21 | UCLA v. Gonzaga -14 | Top | 90-93 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 42 m | Show |
The set-up: UCLA is great at shooting the three-ball, and it's been super efficient so far in its big Cindarella run. The Bruins had to play an extra game as well in the FIRST FOUR to even advance into the Big Dance. Gonzaga is on a mission to go undefeated, but after three straight covers to advance here, I'm expecting the Zags to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish in this one. The pick: Gonzaga is the highest scoring team in the nation, averaging 92.9 PPG. UCLA only averages 72.6. The Bruins are just happy to be here, while the Bulldogs are going to want to send a message at this point to its final opponent. On the National stage, look for Gonzaga to lay the hammer down from the opening tip, until the final horn. This is a 10* FINAL FOUR GAME OF THE WEEK on Gonzaga. |
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04-02-21 | Flames +1.5 v. Oilers | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 28 h 37 m | Show | |
The set-up: Calgary's still in the hunt for the final playoff spot. The Flames won't be rolling over here and in this case, I think they're worth the price of admission here to lay this larger price, just to get the extra 1.5 goals of insurance, in case this one goes into extra periods, or even the shootout. The pick: Calgary does play with revenge here, as it's only won two of the six in the season series. The Flames continue to get solid goaltending from Jacob Markstrom and David Rittich. These provincial rivals are poised to a battle until the final moments. This is a 6* PUCK-LINE PLAY-BOOK on the Flames. |
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03-31-21 | Maple Leafs -1.5 v. Jets | 3-1 | Win | 185 | 13 h 45 m | Show | |
The set-up: Both teams have been the best in the league. I think that the Leafs will win this game, and at the very least, also bury and empty netter. However, I don't think it's going to come to that. The pick: These teams numbers are incredibly similar, but the Jets are just 2-9 in their last 11 after a road victory in which they scored five or more goals in. Toronto plays with the added incentive of "revenge" here as well after losing 5-2 in the most recent matchup in mid March. Lay the 1.5 goals for the monster plus-money return. This is an 8* SITUATIONAL PUCK-LINE DESTRUCTION on the Leafs. |
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03-30-21 | Oilers +1.5 v. Canadiens | 0-4 | Loss | -189 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
The set-up: I think this is going to be a very competitive game. The Oilers are coming off a confidence-building 3-2 win OT win at Toronto last night, and I'm not going to buy into the whole fatigue factor here, instead I'll go the other way and expect it to help out the visiting side here. The pick: And especially against a Montreal team that's not seen live action for a month. Yes, the Habs will be rested. But rest leads to rust. Besides, every other team, in every other sport that's been hit by COVID has struggled to start with, or for the entire rest of the season. Will Montreal miraculously be the one team that bucks this trend? In a contest which I see being decided late or in extra time This is an 8* BIG-CHALK PUCKLINE DESTRUCTION on the Oilers. |
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03-29-21 | Grizzlies v. Rockets +5 | Top | 120-110 | Loss | -107 | 13 h 8 m | Show |
The set-up: The Grizzlies four-game win streak against-the-spread came to an end in its second straight straight-up loss to Utah, falling 126-110 last time out. With the rematch at home against the Jazz on Wednesday, this absolutely sets up as a "look-ahead" spot as well for the visiting side. The pick: The Rockets struggles this season are well documented. First it was the James Harden ordeal, and then they were hit hard by COVID. The Rockets are getting healthier though and after hammering the Wolves 129-107 last time out, I expect the still hungry home side to catch this Memphis team flat-footed. The outright is definitely possible, but in the end grab as many points as you can. This is a 10* COACHS CORNER on the Houston Rockets. |
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03-29-21 | Oregon State v. Houston -7.5 | 61-67 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 20 m | Show | |
The set-up: Will Oregon State's Cindarella run come to an end here? Maybe not. But for this play, I'm not concentrating on which team will win and cover the entire game, I believe this one sets up well for Houston in the first half of this contest. Oregon State stymied Loyola Chicago last time out in the first half, but Houston is an entirely different animal, that plays an entirely difference pace and approach. The pick: This is a bad matchup for the Beavers, who have been on an amazing run up to this point. If this was a "normal" season, Oregon State wouldn't even be in the NCAA Tournament. "Timing" and chemistry is obviously a big and real thing in sports wagering. I think the general CBB betting public has fallen in love with the Beavers, but all signs point to the Cougars coming out firing right out of the gate here as they look to "flip the script" on Oregon State and put the pressure on the Beavers from the "get go." I'm laying the points in the first half. This is an 8* FIRST HALF DESTRUCTION on Houston. |
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03-28-21 | Oregon +2.5 v. USC | Top | 68-82 | Loss | -109 | 108 h 55 m | Show |
The set-up: The Ducks smashed Iowa 95-80 behind 23 points from Chris Duarte last time out and I like them to carry that momentum over here into another victry. USC advanced by beating Kansas 85-51. These teams met on February 22nd in LA, and the Trojans won 72-58, setting this up as a classic revenge spot as well for Oregon. The pick: The Mobely brothers are tough to stop, but the Ducks perimeter defense has vastly improved since the last time these teams played against each other. The Ducks won the Pac 12 Championship and they've won 11 of their last 12. With a chance to avenge the earlier loss, I look for the red hot Ducks to do just that (that said, grab as many points as you can!) This is a 10* ELITE OF THE ELITE on Oregon. |
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03-28-21 | UCLA v. Alabama -6 | 88-78 | Loss | -115 | 105 h 20 m | Show | |
The set-up: UCLA has been hot. Previous to this point, the Bruins entered the Tournament on a four-game slide. UCLA averages 73.1 PPG, while allowing 67.9. Johnny Juzang and company have been playing well, but I think regression is finally in store here vs. this sizzling hot Alabama team. The pick: The Tide have won eight in a row, which includes the SEC Tournament Championship. Bama averages 79.7 PPG, while allowing 69.5. This is easily the toughest team that UCLA has faced so far in this tournament, but I can't see the Bruins slowing down this tremendous Tide offense, which excels in shooting from range (Alabama also has a huge rebounding advantage, by 14 per game.) I look for the Tide to pull away for a comfortable cover in the second half. This is an 8* SUPER BLOWOOUT on Alabama. |
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03-28-21 | Florida State +3 v. Michigan | 58-76 | Loss | -116 | 103 h 6 m | Show | |
The set-up: The Seminoles are a dangerous team that I think can win this one outright. FSU is off a dominating 71-53 win over Colorado in its last outing. Michigan advanced by beating LSU 86-78. The pick: Each team features depth and experience. FSU's Anthony Polite is going to be a matchup issue for Michigan, which continues to play without top player Livers. I believe FSU's strong defensive play continues here and while I do think the outright is possible, in the end I'll recommend that you grab as many points as you can. This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on FSU. |
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03-27-21 | Oral Roberts v. Arkansas -11 | Top | 70-72 | Loss | -110 | 82 h 45 m | Show |
The set-up: Oral Roberts has been fantastic, most recently advancing past Florida 81-78. The Golden Eagles have a dynamic offense which averages 82.0 PPG. The one weakness of Oral Roberts though is its defensive play, as it concedes 75.9 PPG. The pick: Arkansas held on for a tight 68-66 win over a dangerous Texas Tech side and I expect it to lay the hammer down here with the Elite Eight in sight. The Razorbacks already defeated Oral Roberts 87-76 in mid-December, but all signs point to an even bigger blowout here. This is simply a really bad matchup for Oral Roberts, as Arkansas has a couple players over 7 feet. Lay the points, expect a rout. This is a 10* SWEET 16 GAME OF THE YEAR on Arkansas. |
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03-27-21 | Villanova v. Baylor -6.5 | 51-62 | Win | 100 | 80 h 40 m | Show | |
The set-up: Villanova beat UNT 84-61 to advance in its most recent matchup, while Baylor advanced by beating Wisconsin 73-63. Both teams have looked good this year and honestly, it wouldn't be too difficult to write a convincing argument for either side to cover this contest. The pick: Villanova has two National Championships since 2016 though, while Baylor hasn't advanced past the first round since 2012. The Bears are the hungrier side here for sure. Baylor averages 83 PPG, while Villnova averages 75. Look for the Bears superior offense to pull away for the comfortable cover in the closing moments. This is an 8* PLAY-BOOK on Baylor. |
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03-27-21 | Oregon State +6.5 v. Loyola-Chicago | 65-58 | Win | 100 | 77 h 1 m | Show | |
The set-up: Both teams are coming off big upsets to advance to the round of 16. Loyola Chicago sports some of the best defensive metrics in the country and while it did take out No. 1 Illinois last time out, I think the Beavers are still be undervalued in this spot. Oregon State's numbers over the last month have been incredible and it has an opportunity here to once again shock the nation. The pick: Loyola Chicago's only weakness is its offense. The Beavers are going to try and push the pace and get the Ramblers out of their comfort zone. I don't expect this underdog Oregon State side to go down quietly. I'm grabbing the points and expecting a war until the final buzzer blares. This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on Oregon State. |
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03-25-21 | Maple Leafs -1.5 v. Senators | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 51 m | Show |
The set-up: Using a "situational" approach to this strange NHL season can be effective. Team's are having to play double and triple headers against each other on a regular basis, so there are many scheduling, revenge factors, injuries and other external factors to consider, other than just offensive and defensive averages. That's the case every season, but not playing out of their respective divisions is certainly something that's never occured before. The pick: Here's a great spot to pull the trigger on Toronto to win big. The Senators are coming off a satisfying come-from-behind 3-1 win at home over Calgary, sweeping the Flames in two straight. Can anyone say "letdown" spot here? Toronto just broke a three-game slide with a 2-0 win over Calgary and it's had four whole nights off to prepare for this one. Toronto also plays with revenge here after falling 4-3 in these team's most recent matchup against each other in early March. I look for the visiting side to not only win, but to win by a decisive margin. This is a 10* PUCK-LINE ULTIMATE DESTRUCTION on the Leafs. |
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03-25-21 | NC State v. Colorado State +1.5 | 61-65 | Win | 100 | 30 h 38 m | Show | |
The set-up: The 14-10 NCState Wolfpack average 73.5 PPG, while allowing 69.4. They're coming off a win over Davidson to advance. CSU beat Buffalo in the first round. Colorado State averages 75.9 PPG, while allowing just 65.8. The pick: The Wolfpack are only 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight following an ATS victory, while the Rams are 7-2 ATS in their last nine neutral site games following an ATS win. These teams are evenly matched, but CSU's superior defensive numbers will see it through to the semifinals. This is a 10* DESTRUCTION on Colorado State. |
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03-24-21 | Sabres +1.5 v. Penguins | 2-5 | Loss | -104 | 27 h 7 m | Show | |
The set-up: Buffalo is going to win a game at some point. It enters this one having lost 14 in a row. The Sabres came up short in New York last time out, falling 5-3. The last time Buffalo faced the Pens, the Sabres fell 3-0 in early March. This is a big game for the Sabres, as they look to avenge that shutout, while also break this miserable 14-game losing streak. The pick: This is the first game of a back-to-back. Buffalo is looking a 16-game losing streak right in the face here if it can't finally break through. We don't have to question the visiting side's effort in this one, but the Penguins have been in poor form of late, losing three of their last four, and I absolutely think they're overpriced here. In a contest which I see being decided late, or even in extra time, I'm laying the short price for the exrtra 1.5 goals of insurance. This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on Sabres PUCK LINE. |
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03-23-21 | Avalanche v. Coyotes +1.5 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 15 h 8 m | Show |
The set-up: The Coyotes play with revenge here, as they've dropped four of five in this season series. I think that matters here. The Avalanche now suddenly resemble the team that everyone thought they'd be before the season started. Colorado waffled with consistency for most of the first portion of the campaign, but it enters on a seven-game win streak. The pick: Arizona has lost six of seven. That includes a 5-1 setback here just last night. But I do now absolutely feel that this sets up as a classic "letdown/look-ahead" spot for the red hot visiting side, which will have one night off, before an important two-game home set against the division leading Golden Knights. The Coyotes have two whole nights off after this, before a home set with the Sharks, so it's time to "put up, or shut-up" for the home side here. I'm going to lay the price for the extra 1.5 goals of insurance. This is a 10* PUCK-LINE DESTRUCTION on the Coyotes. |
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03-22-21 | Pacers v. Bucks -10 | Top | 113-140 | Win | 100 | 29 h 50 m | Show |
The set-up: Indiana is coming off a hard-fought 109-106 OT victory in Miami just last night and I think it'll stumble here as it comes in "gassed." The Pacers managed to win both in Miami, but an imminent letdown does in fact seem, imminent. The pick: Milwaukee is coming off six straight SU victories, but it's gone just 2-4 ATS in that span, including going 0-2 ATS the last two. The Bucks hammered the Pacers 130-110 the last time these teams faced off and all signs point to a similar style beatdown here in my opinion. A great situational play, as I think that the Pacers are tired, and I expect the home side to push the pace and pull away down the stretch. This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the Bucks. |
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03-22-21 | Maryland +6 v. Alabama | 77-96 | Loss | -115 | 28 h 23 m | Show | |
The set-up: Maryland was in complete command in its 63-54 win over UConn as a 3.5-point underdog. Alabama won handily over Iona 68-55, but it was unable to cover the large 17-point spread. Maryland isn't explosive offensively (68.6), but it's efficent, as it hit 51.2 percent from the floor in its last outing. The Terps though are fantastic on the defensive end, conceding just 64.6 PPG. The pick: The Tide are on a seven-game win streak after winning the Conference Tournament and first round. Overall Alabama averages 79.2 PPG, while allowing 69.3. The Tide only managed 68 points in their last game, making just 47.2 percent from the floor. Regression is appearing for Alabama right before our eyes. Maryland's defense is underrated and I like it to once again keep the Terps competitive late. Grab the points. This is an 8* BLOOD-BATH on Maryland. |
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03-22-21 | Colorado v. Florida State -1.5 | 53-71 | Win | 100 | 27 h 24 m | Show | |
The set-up: Colorado easily got by Georgetown 96-73 on Saturday, while FSU handled UNC Greensboro 64-54. The Buffs had an unusually awesome percentage from range in their opener and suffice it to say, I'm not expecting lightning to strike twice for them here. Overall the Buffs average 73.8 PPG, while allowing 63.6. The pick: Florida State allowed UNCG back into its opening round game, before finally pulling away for good in the final five minutes. Don't expect the Seminoles to take the foot off the gas here though. The Seminoles sport one of the deepest rotations in the country and I'm not reading too much into Colorado's win over an overrated Georgetown team, which somehow caught first in the Big East Tournament to advance. Look for the deeper and more experienced Seminoles to pull away and maintain down the stretch. This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on Florida State. |
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03-22-21 | Ohio v. Creighton -5.5 | Top | 58-72 | Win | 100 | 26 h 49 m | Show |
The set-up: Ohio is coming off a monumental 62-58 upset win over Virginia in the first round. Can anyone say letdown spot? The Bobcats are in unchartered territory now and I think they'll stumble here vs. the deeper and more experienced Blue Jays. Creighton avoided an upset with a 63-62 win over UCSB. The pick: Don't read too much into Ohio's win though. Yes, it was big and signficant, however UVA got hit by some major COVID issues just a week and half before the Tournament started. There's a big asterisk beside that victory. However, we can read a lot from Creighton's win, as the Blue Jays bent, but didn't break. The Blue Jays' numbers on the defensive end are more efficient and I expect that to play a part here as well. I'm laying the points and expecting a blowout. This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on Creighton. |
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03-21-21 | Oral Roberts v. Florida -8 | Top | 81-78 | Loss | -109 | 30 h 47 m | Show |
The set-up: Oral Roberts has been fantastic, but I think its Cindarella run comes to an end tonight. The Golden Eagles most recently go by Ohio State in the first round as 15 point underdogs. Florida though comes off an impressive victory over Virginia Tech as a 1.5 point dog and I think it's superior defensive play, and experience will be just too much Oral Roberts to handle in the second round. The Golden Eagles are great offensively, averaging 81.5 PPG, but they've been poor defensively, conceding 75.6. The pick: Florida averages 74 PPG, while conceding 69.8. There were plenty of BIG upsets in the first round. Both of these teams come in off upsets. Oral Roberts upset win in the first round can absolutely be classified as a "major" upset though. And this then sets it up for a letdown for sure. Look for Florida's depth on both ends of the court to be the difference and lay the points with confidence. This is a 10* SECOND ROUND GAME OF THE YEAR on Florida. |
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03-21-21 | Texas Tech -1 v. Arkansas | 66-68 | Loss | -109 | 28 h 20 m | Show | |
The set-up: Texas Tech is 18-10, advancing by beating Utah State 65-53. Arkansas is 23-6 after getting the better of Colgate 85-68. I think the Red Raiders Mac McClung will be a matchup issue for Arkansas today. Texas Tech only allows 63 PPG this year, but just conceded 53 to the Aggies, and there's no reason not to think they won't bring that same intensity here towards the Razorbacks. The pick: Arkansas allows 70.6 PPG, and it just gave up 68 to Colgate. The Red Raiders are well-coachd and experienced and I look for their tough defensive play to be just too much for Arkansas to handle. Lay the the points. This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on Texas Tech. |
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03-21-21 | Loyola-Chicago v. Illinois -7 | 71-58 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 19 m | Show | |
The set-up: This is an instate rivalry, but these teams haven't played in over a decade. Illinois cruised by Drexel 78-49 and while I'm not expecting quite as big a blowout here, I do definitely expect Illinois to jump out to a quick lead, one which I expect it to hold onto going into the half-time break. The Ramblers played from behind in their 71-60 win over Georgia Tech last time out, and I think they are in fact "gassed" after that ordeal. The pick: Loyola Chicago's offense simply can't match pace with Illinois. The Illini come from the tough Big Ten as well and I think they'll be out to send a message here today. Note that Illinois is also 7-2 ATS in its last nine after a 25 points or greater win in its last outing. Look for the Fightning Illni to put the foot on the gas to open up the FIRST HALF. This is a 9* FIRST HALF DESTRUCTION on Illinois. |
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03-20-21 | Abilene Christian +9 v. Texas | 53-52 | Win | 100 | 33 h 15 m | Show | |
The set-up: Abilene Christian is 23-4, while Texas is 19-7. The Wildcats have won four in a row, most recently a 34-point victory over Nicholls in the conference tournament game. Abilene Christian is extremely adept defensively and I expect that fact to keep it competitive with the Longhorns late. The pick: Texas has won five in a row, including beating Oklahoma State in the Big 12 title game. Expectations are high for the Longhorns, but note that they're 0-9 ATS in their last nine NCAA Tournament games. The Wildcats are 7-2 ATS in their last nine netural site contests as an underdog in the +8.5 to +11.5 points range as well. The Wildcats have looked like one of the best and most dangerous mid-major teams and I look for them to at the very least, take this one right down to the wire. Grab the points. This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on Albilene Christian. |
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03-20-21 | Ohio v. Virginia -7 | Top | 62-58 | Loss | -110 | 107 h 15 m | Show |
The set-up: After seeing a bunch of favorites get the hook early on Friday, the Virginia Cavaliers will be cautious not to follow the same fate here in what is actually a very favorable matchup for them. Note that the Cavs are still the reigning NCAA Champion, because last year's tournament was cancelled. The Cavs had a small COVID issue, and one player will not be at the game today, but they've won seven of their last ten and three in a row. The pick: Ohio has won nine of its last ten games. It's had to deal with COVID issues this year as well. The Bobcats lack the depth and experience a this level though, and note that the Cavs are 10-3 straight-up in their last 13 NCAA Tournament games and 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 after an ATS loss. The Cavs are well-coached and their defense is suffocating. Look for UVA to pull away for a comfortable win and cover on Saturday night. This is a 10* FIRST ROUND GAME OF THE YEAR on UVA. |
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03-20-21 | Texas Southern v. Michigan -25.5 | 66-82 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 16 m | Show | |
The set-up: No upsets here. There were a bunch yesterday obviously, but I expect the Wolverines to come in focussed and to pull away in the second half for a comfortable win and cover. Texas Southern has won ten games in a row, including an eight-point victory over Mount St. Mary's in the FIRST FOUR. The pick: Michigan is 20-4 this year. The Wolverines will come in angry after getting upset by Ohio State in the Big Ten tournament by a point. Wolverines head coach Juwan Howard had this to say of his team's great season in the tough Big Ten Conference: "It's been a great experience for not only players but the coaches as well. All we've dealt with has truly prepared us for this time. Some of the close games that we've had this year, the overtime victory that we've had, a loss during a close game. We've also experienced some games that we've really dominated on both ends of the floor. It's prepared us for this moment." The Wolverines bring a ton of experience here and they're 4-1-1 ATS in their last six NCAA Tournament games as the favorite, while The Tigers are just 2-7-1 ATS in their last ten Saturday games (does that matter? It certainly doesn't help!) Texas Southern ranks 237th in adjusted offensive efficiency, while Michigan ranks seventh. Lay the points. This is an 8* PLAY-BOOK on Michigan. |
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03-19-21 | Kings v. Celtics -7 | Top | 107-96 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 60 m | Show |
The set-up: I think this one sets up well for the Celtics. Sacramento plays better at home than on the road, and after its 121-119 win oat Washington two nights ago, an inevitable letdown is imminent. Note that not only is it a "letdown" spot for the visiting side, but it's also a "look-ahead" spot as well with a game in Philadelphia tomorrow night. The pick: BOston has lost two in a row and is in desperation mode. The Celtics also play with revenge here after falling 116-111 in Sacramento in early February. It's a perfect set of situational circumstances working in favor of Boston tonight, so lay the points with confidence. This is a 10* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Cetlics. |
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03-19-21 | Cleveland State +20 v. Houston | Top | 56-87 | Loss | -109 | 28 h 41 m | Show |
The set-up: Houston smoked Cincinnati in the ACC Tournament Championship game, but I think it'll have its hands full here with this underrated Cleveland State side. The Vikings are the Horizon League Tourney champ after dispatching Oakland 80-69. Cleveland State averages only 69.5 PPG, but it's one of the best on the defensive ends, especially at defending the three-ball, allowing just 30.4 percent from range, which ranks 34th in the country. The pick: Houston allows only 57.6 PPG, while scoring 77.6. Clearly the Cougars are a good team, but note that they're just 1-4 ATS in their last five after scoring 90 or more points in their previous outing. The Vikings on the other hand are 7-1 ATS in their last eight as an underdog and 4-0 ATS in their last four neutral site games. I think the Vikings tough defensive play keeps them competitive late. No outright, but much closer than what this massive spread would suggest. Grab the points. This is a 10* COACHS CORNER on Cleveland State. |
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03-19-21 | Georgia Tech v. Loyola-Chicago -5.5 | 60-71 | Win | 100 | 25 h 46 m | Show | |
The set-up: Georgia Tech finished 17-8. Loyola Chicago finished 24-4. The Yellow Jackets are led by Jose Alvarado and they allow 70 PPG. Loyola Chicago though is led by senior center Cameron Krutwig, who actually helped lead the Ramblers to a Final Four berth in his freshman year in 2018. The pick: The Ramblers own one of the top defenses in the country, conceding just 55.5 PPG. Finally, the Yellow Jackets are going to have play this game without standout Moses Wright as well. While I do think an outright upset is possible, in the end let's grab the points. This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on Loyola Chicago. |
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03-18-21 | UCLA +2 v. Michigan State | Top | 86-80 | Win | 100 | 33 h 51 m | Show |
The set-up: UCLA enters on a four-game losing streak. That included a first round exit in the conference tournament to the eventual champion Oregon State Beavers. It was a tight game though, as the Bruins eventually lost 83-79 in OT. Michigan State had an up and down year as well. The Spartans lost in the first round of their conference tournament as well by a score of 68-57 to Maryland. The pick: UCLA averages 72.8 PPG, and it concedes 68.5. Michigan State on the other hand averages 69 PPG, while allowing 70.6. The Spartans are also a poor 5-11 ATS in their last 16 following an ATS loss and just 1-6 ATS in their last seven neutral site games, while UCLA has in fact performed very well in this spot for bettors of late, going 7-3 ATS in its last ten as an underdog. Clearly I think the outright is going to happen, but in the end I'm still grabbing the points. This is a 10* FIRST-FOUR PLAY-BOOK on UCLA. |
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03-18-21 | Thunder +7 v. Hawks | Top | 93-116 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 52 m | Show |
The set-up: The Thunder have split their last ten games. Overall they average 106.4 PPG, while allowing 112.1. Atlanta is on a six-game win streak. The Hawks average 112.9 PPG, while allowing 111.4. OKC though has performed well in this spot for bettors, going 4-1 ATS in its last five following an ATS loss. The Thunder are also a great 13-7 ATS on the road this season. The pick: With an eight-game extended Western road swing starting at the Lakers on Saturday night, there's no question that this also sets up as a "look ahead" spot for the home side. The Thunder have been trading good starts with bad of late, but with upcoming road dates at Houston and Minnesota, a three-game win skein is a very real possibility. I like the "hungrier" team to at the very least, keep this one close down the stretch. This is a 10* NON-CONFERENCE ELITE OF THE ELITE on the Thunder. |
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03-17-21 | Clippers v. Mavs +2.5 | Top | 89-105 | Win | 100 | 15 h 2 m | Show |
The set-up: These two teams are evenly matched, but after losing 109-99 to the Clippers here two nights ago, I expect the Mavericks to lay everything on the line here to avenge that setback. Note that the Mavs are 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to revenge a home loss vs. an opponent in which it scored 100 or less points in. The pick: The Clippers have been alternating ATS wins/losses over their last four games and I look for that pattern to continue here, especially with three whole nights off after this before a home game against the Hornets. While the outright win is clearly not out of the question, I'm still grabbing the points. This is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on the Mavericks. |
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03-17-21 | Toledo v. Richmond +2.5 | Top | 66-76 | Win | 100 | 12 h 21 m | Show |
The set-up: Toledo finished 21-8, while Ricmond was 13-8. The Rockets finished averaging 81.3 PPG, whiel conceding 71.4. The Spiders average 75.6 PPG, while allowing only 69.3. The pick: Richmond ended the season by losing three straight, but this is a deep and talented Spiders team which comes from the much tougher conference. Toledo has been great no doubt, but its competition has to be called into question here, as its offensive numbers are skewed due to that talent level faced. I think Richmond can win this one outright, but in the end I'll grab the points. This is a 10* DESTRUCTION on Richmond. |
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03-16-21 | Wolves +9 v. Lakers | Top | 121-137 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 11 m | Show |
The set-up: Obviously the Lakers are the better team. LA is still having to play without the services of big man AD though, so consistency from game to game has been an issue for the defending champs of late. Minnesota has had problems since Day 1 this year (COVID, injuries), but it comes in playing its best basketball of the season, having covered in three straight and going 2-1 SU as well. With two road games at Phoenix upcoming, the road ahead isn't going to get any kinder for the Wolves either. Not surprisingly, Minnesota plays with revenge here as well after a 112-104 loss as a six-point dog in early February. The pick: The Lakers have won and covered in two straight since the break, but a letdown is imminent here facing this lowly Wolves side and with LaMelo Ball and the Hornets (Jordan), coming to town on Thursday. I look for the hungrier visiting side to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. Grab the points. This is a 10* UNDERDOG BEST OF THE BEST on the T-Wolves. |
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03-16-21 | Knicks +7 v. 76ers | 96-99 | Win | 100 | 13 h 10 m | Show | |
The set-up: I think this is a great spot to pull the trigger on the Knicks. New York has covered in three of its last four games and gone 2-2 SU in that span. Last time out it fell 117-112 at Brooklyn. If you sleep on the Knicks this year, Julius Randle and company are going to burn you. New York plays with revenge after falling 109-89 to Philly on December 26th, but the Knicks have made big strides since then. And with a game at home against Orlando on Thursday, New York has nothing to look past to in this revenge spot. The pick: Philly continues to do well without big man Joel Embiid in the line-up, as it's won and covered in three straight since the break. But with a game at home tomorrow night vs. the surging Bucks, this absolutely sets up as a "look ahead" spot for the home side. This is a classic "trap" for Philly here and I expect it to fall in. Grab the points. This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on the Knicks. |
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03-14-21 | Islanders v. Devils +1.5 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 42 m | Show | |
The set-up: The Devils had a 2-0 lead over New York in the second period yesterday, but it stubmled and ended up losing 3-2. Enough is enough here for New Jersey, which is clearly a team that has plenty of issues, but which won't be lacking motivation today after losing three in a row and eight of its last ten. Note that four of the Devils last five games have been decided by a single goals, which proves that NJ is in fact trying its hardest. The pick: Would anyone fault the Isles for a bit of a mental letdown here after eight straight victories? And with a much more high-profile game in the Nation's Capital on Tuesday, this is also a "look-ahead" spot the visiting side. The home side does not have that luxury though, as we can expect it to risk life and limb here to get into shooting and passing lanes to try and earn an elusive victory. Lay the price for the extra 1.5 goals of insurance. This is a 6* PUCK-LINE DESTRUCTION on the Devils. |
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03-14-21 | Jazz v. Warriors +6.5 | Top | 119-131 | Win | 100 | 23 h 44 m | Show |
The set-up: Are the Jazz a better overall team than the Warriors? Their win/loss record would certainly indicate that. However, I think this one sets up well for the home side to at the very least, keep this one close enough to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. Utah's numbers both defensively and offensively are superior, but after its rather easy victory at home over the Rockets, and with upcoming road contests at Boston, Washington, Toronto and Chicago, this sets up as a look-ahead spot for the visiting side. The pick: No such luxury for the Warriors though, who not only play with revenge here after falling 127-108 to the Jazz back on January 23rd, but who have lost four straight overall. Note that GS is 7-2 ATS in its last nine home games after three games or longer losing ATS/SU streak. A great situational call on the home side here in my opinion. Grab the points. This is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on the Warriors. |
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03-13-21 | Kings v. Hawks -4 | 106-121 | Win | 100 | 30 h 28 m | Show | |
The set-up: The Kings beat the Rockets 125-105 before the break. Sacramento has struggled on the road though this season and I think it'll have its hands full here vs. this rested home side. Note that the Kings are just 1-6 ATS in their last seven as an undredog. The pick: Atlanta looks for its fourth straight win here, and it's definitely been better at home than on the road. Sacramento is also a terrible 3-10 ATS in its last 13 here, while the Hawks are 4-0 ATS the last four in this series. Home court DOES matter here, so lay that points. This is an 8* PLAY-BOOK on the ATL Hawks. |
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03-11-21 | South Carolina +7 v. Ole Miss | Top | 59-76 | Loss | -105 | 31 h 14 m | Show |
The set-up: South Carolina plays with revenge here in the Tournament after losing the only regualr season matchup with Ole Miss by a score of 81-74. While the Gamecocks lost that contest by seven, I expect this one to come right down to the wire, where whichever team has its hands on the ball last will come out on top. South Carolina lost its final two games of the regular season, but it played the Rebels competitively in the regular season and I expect that to happen again here. The pick: Ole Miss has a significant advantage on the defensive side of the ball, but the Rebels are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight neutral site games as a favorite in the +6 to +9 points range as well. I like SC to battle tough and to at the very least, take this one down to the final moments. Grab the points. This is an 8* SITUATIONAL TOURNEY BLOWOUT on South Carolina. |
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03-11-21 | 76ers v. Bulls -2.5 | Top | 127-105 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 34 m | Show |
The set-up: Philadelphia is 24-12 and the Bulls are 16-18. Philly is going to have to make some adjustments coming out of the break, with a few key players still on the COVID list. Overall the 76ers are averaging 114.7 PPG, while allowing 111.2. The pick: The Bulls have won six of their last nine games. Overall Chicago is averaging 115 PPG, while allowing 115.2. Chicago comes in healthier than its been in a long time and it plays with revenge. Note as well that the 76ers are just 13-36-2 ATS in their last 51 on the road, while the Bullds are a solid 4-1 ATS in their last five as the favorite. Philly struggles on the road even with its best players in the line-up, but with Simmons and Embiid out, I have a hard time seeing the visiting side competing whatsoever today. Lay the points. This is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on the Bulls. |
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03-11-21 | Oklahoma State v. West Virginia -2.5 | Top | 72-69 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 16 m | Show |
The set-up: Oklahoma State just upset the Mountaineers 85-80 as ten-point dogs, but after winning six of their final seven games down the stretch of the regular season, I look for the Cowboys to finally take a step back here. Overall Oklahoma State averages a decent 76.7 PPG, but it concedes 72.3. The pick: WVU is etter on both end of the floor, averaging 77.6 PPG, while allowing 72.1. The Cowboys have actually won four out of the last seven in this series, so the Mountaineers have added incentive in this matchup. Finally note that WVU is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent in which it allowed 85 or more points in. Lay the short points. This is a 10* BIG 12 BEST OF THE BEST on West Virginia. |
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03-10-21 | Spurs +5.5 v. Mavs | Top | 104-115 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 1 m | Show |
The set-up: Both teams are hungry for a win here. San Antonio entered the break just at the right time, as it had lost three of its final five. The Mavs won three straight heading into the break, so the timing was very bad for them. Also note that Luke Doncic is questionable for this contest and if he does play, he's not going to be at 100%. The pick: Finally note that San Antonio is 5-2 ATS in its last seven on the road, while the Mavericks are just 2-7 ATS in their last nine vs. clubs with winning records. Expect this rested Spurs team to at the very least, take this one right down to the wire. Grab the points. This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the San Antonio Spurs. |
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03-10-21 | Bucknell +14.5 v. Colgate | 75-105 | Loss | -115 | 28 h 32 m | Show | |
The set-up: I like the Bucknell Bison to sneak in through the back door comfortably in this one. Bucknell advanced to the semis with a 92-84 win over Lafayette. Colgate got here by defeating Boston 77-69. The pick: The Bison though are 7-3 ATS in their last ten vs. teams with winning records, while Colgate is just 2-4 ATS in its last six after back-to-back SU/ATS victories. Colgate hasn't been good at covering big numbers at home and I expect that trend to continue here vs. this high-scoring Bison side. Grab as many points as you can. This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on Bucknell. |
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03-09-21 | Jets v. Maple Leafs -1.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 29 h 17 m | Show |
The set-up: After back-to-back defeats to end a five-game Western swing in Vancouver, I expect Toronto to not only win this game, but to win big. The Leafs still by far have the best numbers in the league, posting 3.46 GPG, while allowing only 2.42. The pick: Winnipeg enters off a humbling 7-1 loss at Montreal, and note that it's just 2-6 in its last eight after a five goals or greater loss in its previous outing. The Jets have also conceded three goals or more in seven of their last ten games. Look for Toronto to pull away late for a big win on home ice! This is a 10* PUCK-LINE DESTRUCTION on the Leafs. |
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03-08-21 | Senators v. Oilers -1.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 7 m | Show | |
The set-up: Ottawa comes in off a tough 4-3 shootout win in Calgary just last night and suffice it to say, I expect a predictable letdown here in the second game of the back-to-back. The Senators have been playing a lot better than at the start of the season, but they're still pretty bad in every department. And now throw on the fact that they're coming off a satisfying victory (in a shootout no less), just 24 hours previous, and there's no question that this one has "letdown" written all over it for the visiting side. The pick: Edmonton has looked shaky this year, but here's a big opportunity to build off its 3-2 win over Calgary in its previous outing, a victory which snapped a three-game slide. With a favorable upcoming schedule, the Oilers have nothing to look past to here either. It's a perfect situation for Edmonton to not only win here at home on Monday night, but to win in a big blowout fashion. As such, I'm pulling the trigger on the home side on the puck-line. This is an 8* PUCK-LINE DESTRUCTION on the Oilers. |
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03-08-21 | Blues v. Sharks +1.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 1 m | Show | |
The set-up: I think this is a good spot to pull the trigger on the home side on the puck line here. The price of admission is worth it, as I expect the Sharks to throw everything they have at the Blues tonight. St. Louis just had its four-game win streak snapped in a 4-3 OT loss at LA last time out, and with four whole days off after this, I believe it'll struggle to find energy here in San Jose. The pick: The Sharks not only play with revenge after a 7-6 loss to the Blues back on February 27th, but they are also desperate to break a three-game slide, including a 4-0 shutout loss at home to Vegas in their most recent. In a contest which I see being decided late or even in extra time, I'm laying the price for the extra 1.5 goals of insurance. This is an 8* PUCK-LINE PLAY-BOOK on the Sharks. |
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03-07-21 | Michigan v. Michigan State +11 | Top | 64-70 | Win | 100 | 31 h 12 m | Show |
The set-up: These teams played on Thursday and the Wolverines managed the 69-50 victory. Michigan is still in hunt for the No. 1 seed in the Big Dance, but with the regular season title wrapped up and the Big Ten Tournament to now look ahead too, I do indeed believe that the Wolverines will get caught looking past their lowly opponent today. The pick: Michigan State could earn a spot in the NCAA Tournament with an upset win today. It's also senior night at Michigan State. There's a lot on the line today for the home side. Revenge from the immediate loss. Senior night. A spot in the Big Dance on the line. Michigan isn't going to lose this game, but I believe the conditions are definitely right for a much more competitive battle than what Las Vegas is trying to lead us to believe. This is a few too many points to be giving up, so make sure to grab as many as you can. This is a 10* GAME OF THE MONTH on Michigan State. |
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03-07-21 | Wisconsin +5.5 v. Iowa | 73-77 | Win | 100 | 22 h 13 m | Show | |
The set-up: Wisconsin will be laying everything on the line here in my estimation as it looks to avoid a three-game losing streak to end the season. The Badgers have actually lost four of their last five, including a tight 73-69 defeat to at No. 23 Purdue on Tuesday. Iowa is still in a hunt for a No. 1 seed, but after its big 102-64 spanking of Neraska, I think it comes out a bit complacent here. This is a revenge game for Wisconsin, which lost 77-62 at home to the Hawkeyes back on February 18th (note that the Badgers are 7-2 ATS In their last nine in trying to revenge a home loss vs. an opponent in which it lost both SU and ATS and in which it scored 65 or less points in.) The pick: Iowa has a great offense, but it's defense is its weakness. I'll point out as well that the Hawkeyes are just 1-4 ATS in their last five after back-to-back SU/ATS victories. Look for this one to come right down to the wire and grab as many points as you can. This is an 8* REVENGE DESTRUCTION on Wisconsin. |
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03-06-21 | UNLV v. Wyoming | Top | 69-80 | Loss | -105 | 30 h 20 m | Show |
The set-up: The Rebels lost to No. 19 SDSU last time out. With the victory, the Aztecs claimed the MWC regular season title. Despite that though, UNLV has been playing well of late, winning three of its last five. Overall the Rebels have averaged 69.7 PPG this season, while allowing 67.3. The pick: Wyoming is ripe for the picking here after having four of its last seven games canceled or postponed due to COVID. Most recently the Cowboys lost 72-59 to Utah State. Wyoming has poor numbers, averaging 75.4 PPG, while allowing 75.9. The Rebels are playing better and have a golden opportunity to close out strong against this disorganized Wyoming side. A great situational spot wager on UNLV. This is a 10* MOUNTAIN WEST GAME OF THE MONTH on UNLV. |
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03-06-21 | Villanova v. Providence +4 | 52-54 | Win | 100 | 22 h 50 m | Show | |
The set-up: Villanova is the better team, but I think the home side can at the very least, take this one right down to the wire. Villanova enters off a 12 point win over Creighton at home. The Wildcats though are just 11-9 ATS. The Friars are 11-13 ATS this seaosn. Villanova is the better team here, but this one has battle till the end written all over it. The pick: Providence is good on the boards and it plays better at home. The Friars also play with revenge here after falling 71-56 at Villanova earlier in the season (note that they're 6-3 ATS in their last nine in trying to revenge a road loss of ten or more points vs. an opponent.) I'm grabbing the points and getting the popcorn ready! This is an 8* UNDERDOG DESTRUCTION on Providence. |
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03-06-21 | Florida State v. Notre Dame +7 | 73-83 | Win | 100 | 19 h 21 m | Show | |
The set-up: I think FSU gets caught looking past Notre Dame this afternoon. The Seminoles enter off a relatively simple 29 oint home win over Boston College, but note that they've split their first six true road games this year. The pick: The Irish are going to be in a terrible mood here after losing four straight, including an upset loss to NC State at home in their most recent. Notre Dame is just 5-5 at home, but note that the Irish have responded well in this spot for bettors by going 7-2 ATS in their last nine after a ten points or greater SU home loss in their last outing. Expect the home side to play with pride as it looks to close out the regular season with a signature victory. That said, grab the points for sure. This is a 9* REVENGE DESTRUCTION on Notre Dame. |
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03-05-21 | Lightning v. Blackhawks +1.5 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 58 m | Show |
The set-up: The pick: This is a 10* PUCK-LINE DESTRUCTION on the Hawks. |
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03-05-21 | Cal-Irvine -8.5 v. Long Beach State | 71-68 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 23 m | Show | |
The set-up: No upsets here in our opinion. Cal Irvine is 14-8 this year and the Anteaters won't take the foot off the gas with the regular season finish line in sight. LBSU is just 5-9 and it enters having lost two straight. LBSU has a good offense which averages 73.6 PPG, but the Anteaters have an exceptional defense which concedes just 64.3. The pick: UC Irvine's offense is averaging only 64.3 PPG as well, but the visitors catch a break here for sure facing this terrible LBSU defense which allows 80.6 PPG. LBSU is just 1-3 ATS in its last four at home, while UC Irvine is 7-3-1 ATS in its last 11 when playing with four-plus days of rest. Look for the Anteaters to come in focussed and for their superior defense to be the difference-maker in the end. This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on UC Irvine. |
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03-04-21 | Canisius v. Siena -6 | Top | 66-73 | Win | 100 | 27 h 41 m | Show |
The set-up: Canisius is 6-4 and Siena is 11-3. The Griffins are 5-1 in their last six, but they're coming off a loss in their last outing to Fairfield. Canisius has had to deal with several COVID postponements this season The pick: The Saints enter having won three straight. Sienna is better at home than on the road, coming in having gone 9-4-1 ATS in its last 14 in friendly confines. I can't trust the Griffins on the road. The Saints haven't been great against the spread, but they've been playing really well lately, scoring 68 or more points in three straight wins and allowing 70 or less at the same time. I look for the Saints to pull away down the stretch for a comfortable cover. This is a 10* MID-MAJOR MAULING on Siena. |
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03-03-21 | Fordham +7.5 v. George Washington | Top | 49-53 | Win | 100 | 7 h 55 m | Show |
The set-up: This is the first round of the A-1 Championship. George Washington crushed Fordham 71-47 back on December 30th, but I think the hungry Rams can keep this one much more competitive now that the Tournament is here. Fordham won't be lacking for motivation after two straight losses. The Rams average only 52 PPG, while the Colonials average 69.7. The pick: Fordham's defense has been decent though, conceding just 67.6 PPG. Of course, when you score less than you allow, it's hard to win on most nights. The Colonials though lost four of their last five games down the stretch and have zero momentum here. George Washington's numbers over the last month are so terrible, that they're now comparable to Fordham's. In this battle of bottom feeders, I'm going to grab the points and expect it to be much closer than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. This is a 10* DESTRUCTION on Fordham. |
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03-02-21 | Sabres +1.5 v. Rangers | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 26 h 15 m | Show | |
The set-up: In a contest which I see being decided late or even in extra time, I'm going to lay the price for the extra 1.5 goals of insurnace. Both teams have plenty of issues. For Buffalo though, it's not a talent issues, it's a chemistry issue. The Sabres were also hit hard by the COVID at the start of the season. The pick: New York on the other hand has struggled all season with offensive consistency, and now it's having to deal with the loss of top offensive talent Panarin to personal reasons. I think Buffalo is the "hungrier" and better team on paper here and while the outright win is obviously not out of the question, in the end I'll recommend to play this one on the PUCK LINE. This is an 8* PUCK-LINE DESTRUCTION on the Buffalo Sabres. |
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03-02-21 | IUPU Ft Wayne +7.5 v. Cleveland State | Top | 104-108 | Win | 100 | 12 h 15 m | Show |
The set-up: Fort Wayne enters the Horizon League Tournament with an 8-14 record. The Mastadons enter with momentum as well afte rwinning two of three, most recently a victory over Green Bay. The Vikings are 16-7 and they're won two of their last three as well. The pick: Cleveland State though has been off since February 20th, when it defeated this very Purdue Fort Wayne team by a score of 67-55. The longer two week lay off isn't going to help with chemistry and note that the Mastadons are 5-1 ATS in their last six following an ATS victory. I expect a battle until the final moments, so grab as many points as you can. This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on Purdue Fort Wayne. |
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03-01-21 | Jazz v. Pelicans +7 | Top | 124-129 | Win | 100 | 27 h 53 m | Show |
The set-up: The Pelicans have been alternating SU/ATS wins/losses over their last five games and they most recently come off a 117-114 road loss as 2.5 point favorites at San Antonio. They also play with revenge here after losing 129-118 to the Jazz as 6.5 point underdogs back on January 21st. Clearly the Pelicans have all the motivation they need right in front of them here, but also note that they're 7-2 ATS in their last nine home games after allowing 115 or more points in a SU/ATS road loss in their previous outing. The pick: Utah's the better team, I won't try to convince you otherwise, but I simly feel this spread is too large for it to cover. With a more high-profile and "tougher" game looming at Philadelphia on Wednesday, this is also a prime "look ahead" spot for the visiting side. A great situational play that I'm taking out of my PLAY-BOOK. Grab the points. This is a 10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the New Orleans Pelicans. |
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03-01-21 | Florida International +17.5 v. Western Kentucky | Top | 59-71 | Win | 100 | 5 h 28 m | Show |
The set-up: Clearly WKU is the better team. The Hilltoppers are 16-5, but I don't think they're going to be able to cover this large spread. The FIU Panthers are 9-15. FIU won't be lacking for motivation after losing six in a row. The Panthers average 74.9 PPG, and they allow 76. The pick: WKU comes in complacent here after winning seven of its last eight, including a 91-58 blowout victory over FIU in its last outing. Winning can lead to complacency (especially at the Collegiate level), and that's what I'm expecting here. With a final home series vs. fourth place ODU up next, this also sets up as a "look-ahead" spot for the home side. I like FIU to keep this one a lot closer than what this spread would suggest. This is a 10* DESTRUCTION on Florida International. |
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02-28-21 | Nevada v. Utah State -8 | Top | 66-87 | Win | 100 | 27 h 37 m | Show |
The set-up: The Aggies took the first game on Friday night by a score of 75-72. This is a battle between the third and fifth ranked teams. This game means much more to Utah State at this point though, because its still currently on the outside of the NCAA Tournament looking in. Utah State has already moved into third though after Boise State lost to SDSU. Utah State needs to win its last three games and it has a chance to run down Colorado State still. The pick: Nevada played well and covered two nights ago, but previous to that it hadn't played since early February due to COVID issues. I think the Wolfpack get caught flat-footed here now in this second contest and vs. this determined home side. Nevada gave its best shot and came up short last time out and with a chance to end their Tournament hopes, I like the Aggies to find a way to deliver the goods. This is a 10* ULTIMATE DESTRUCTION on Utah State. |
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02-27-21 | Charlotte +5 v. UTEP | Top | 47-70 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
The set-up: The 49ers are third in the Conference USA and 47th in the country in scoring defense, limiting their opposition to just 64.9 PPG. Charlotte is also proficient from the charity stripe, ranked third in the conference. Charlotte took both meetings last year, this is the first this season. However note that the 49ers lost to UTEP 57-53 the last time these teams played in El Paso back in 2019, so the visiting side won't be taking anything for granted. The pick: The Miners are 10-10 overall and 6-8 in league play. UTEP averages 71 PPG, and it allows 69.6. Note though that Charlotte has done extremely well in this spot for bettors, going 7-2 ATS in its last nine conference road games as an underdog in the +4.5 to +6.5 points range. This one is going to come down to the final moments, so I'm grabbing the points. This is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on Charlotte. |
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02-26-21 | Clippers -6 v. Grizzlies | Top | 119-99 | Win | 100 | 12 h 0 m | Show |
The set-up: No need to overthink this one. These teams played just last night and the Grizzlies managed the outright win as 8.5 point underdogs. Coming into that contest the Clippers had been on quite the run, but they still have a chance to catch the idle Lakers, who have been struggling without big man AD in the lineup. Now this line has dropped a couple points and the "better" team in this matchup plays with revenge and has all the motivation it now needs to bounce back and crush the Grizzlies. The pick: Memphis had been on an extended losing streak leading up to that point and it played with revenge as well. With both those motivational factors now out of the way, an immediate return to mediocrity is imminent in my opinion. I look for the visiting side to make a quick and immediate response in this bounce-back revenge scenario. Lay the points. This is a 10* COACH'S CORNER on the LA Clippers. |
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02-25-21 | Oilers v. Canucks +1.5 | 3-0 | Loss | -210 | 30 h 27 m | Show | |
The set-up: I'm going to lay the steeper price for the extra goal and a half of insurance. Is Vancouver the "hungrier" team in this fight? Without question in my opinion. The Canucks offense has been decent, but inconsistencies in net and in the backend have seen Vancouver take a major step back this season. That said, the Canucks are for sure the "hungrier" team in this fight after losing three in a row including a 4-3 OT loss at home to Winnipeg, before the 4-3 loss to these very Oilers two nights ago. It's an extended break after this as well for the Canucks, as they don't play again till March 1st in Winnipeg. Suffice it to say, I expect them to come out extremely prepared here. The pick: Edmonton is going to finally get caught a little complacent here my estimation. The Oilers have won four in a row, and with a much more high-profile series against the Leafs at home on Saturday, this is definitely a "look ahead" spot as well for the visiting side. In a contest which I see being decided late or in extra time, let's lay the chalk for the 1.5 goals. This is a 6* BIG-CHALK PUCK-LINE DESTRUCTION on the Vancouver Canucks. |