Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-18-17 | Wolves v. Spurs -1.5 | 99-107 | Win | 100 | 12 h 46 m | Show | |
The Spurs are now a different team without the services of star forward Kawhi Leonard and veteran star point guard Tony Parker who are both out with injuries, However despite of this I'm betting the Spurs are still a team that must be respected , thanks to a top tier defense, and pass-first offensive attack and one of the NBAs top HCs Gregg Popovich.San Antonio after winning 61 games last season and recording its best defensive rating (103.5) since 2011 and a 111.1 offensive rating will still be a force to reckoned with and the pundits maybe should not get ahead of themselves by automatically assuming that a up-trending Minnesota Wolves team can just march into San Antonio and pull off a upset. Yes, agreed , the Spurs could still not be at that the top of their game just yet, with new bodies acclimating to an old system, but I'm betting they are still capable of a win here on opening night especially with the likes of LaMarcus Aldridge on the floor and the new young blood of Joffrey Lauvergne, Rudy Gay, Derrick White, and Brandon Paul more than ready to compete. Meanwhile, Minnesota despite of their quality roster are still a side, that has recorded eight consecutive losing seasons and has missed the playoffs for 13 straight years and should still be looked at as wait see type side. The Spurs have taken the last 11 tilts ion this series from Minnesota, including seven in a row at the AT&T Center and one more is on tonight's agenda. Timberwolves are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 vs. Western Conference. NBA Favorites vs. the money line like San Antonio - first 6 games of the season, after closing out last season with 3 or more straight ATS losses, good team from last season (60% to 75%) playing a bad team from last year (25% to 40%) are 35-4 SU dating back 21 seasons for a 90% conversion rate. Play on San Antonio to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-18-17 | Pelicans v. Grizzlies -2.5 | 91-103 | Win | 100 | 9 h 9 m | Show | |
Memphis enters this season led by one of the NBA's top inside/outside combinations in point guard Mike Conley and center Marc Gasol and are still a team that must be respected despite of changing up their style of play to a quicker up-tempo game plan as was the case in a preseason game last week against tonight's opposition, the New Orleans Pelicans in a lopsided 142-101 beat down. Tonight I'm betting the Grizzlies dominate again on a short line against a team that depends far to much on the duo of Cousins and Davis. In my opinion. Cousins despite of his extreme talent never fits into a dressing room, and is once again a guy that does not fit into a team concept and this always will put his team in the position of lacking chemistry. As you can see I'm not a big fan of Alvin Gentry's Pelicans because of this and feel their at a disadvantage here on the road vs a very hard working team. Note: Pelicans were just 11-14 SU after trading for Cousins last season. Pelicans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Western Conference. NBA Favorites like Memphis - average team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games, vs. division opponents are 26-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for their betting backers. Play on Memphis to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-18-17 | Nets +3.5 v. Pacers | 131-140 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 49 m | Show | |
The Indiana Pacers and Brooklyn Nets start their season opener Wednesday at Bankers Life Fieldhouse. One was a play off team from last season, and one well was not. Despite of that the team (Nets) that was not is still being given respect here by the lines-makers making them only 5 point dogs vs Indiana on the opening line and still showing value at 3.5. Vegas has a lot of smart minds on the other side of the counter, and their correct I'm betting their upgraded assessments of the Brooklyn Nets a team that I expect will go over their projected win total for this season, thanks in part to some very good off season moves that brought the ultra talented and Russell over from the Lakers and added the service of defensive specialist DeMarre Carroll and Alan Crabbe. Meanwhile, the Pacers are a team with a different flavor this season as they traded George to Oklahoma City for guard Victor Oladipo and forward Domantas Sabonis. Indiana will also have to start the season without Glenn Robinson III, who had surgery on his left ankle , which will put them at a disadvantage. NBA team vs the money line like Indiana - first 6 games of the season, after closing out last season with 8+ spread covers in last 10 games, team that had a losing record last season are 41-12 SU for a 775 conversion rate over the L/21 season for bettors. Play on the Brooklyn Nets to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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10-17-17 | Celtics v. Cavs OVER 211.5 | 99-102 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 6 m | Show | |
The Celtics have added the offensive explosiveness of Kyrie Irving to a strong overall lineup with a lot of depth. Irving and the smoothness of inside/outside threat Gordon Hayward ( if they can stay healthy) will be a dynamic duo. Also the addition rookie Jayson Tatum who is one of the very best players from this draft class is also going to surprise a lot of the pundits as he fits in perfectly with HC Brad Stevens system. Meanwhile, on D, the Celtics I'm betting may not be that staunch defensively as Horford and Baynes are undersized , and protecting the rim will be a key issue , especially tonight against a Cleveland team that can light it up in a big way from the inside thanks to some off season tinkering. The Cavs are now more versatile than ever with the additions of Derrick Rose and Jose Calderon and Turkish small forward Cedi Ozman on the wing and always remain offensively dangerous with the best player in the NBA ( James) on the floor . I'm betting these teams come at each other full throttle tonight, in a tilt that I have pegged to go over a total. Note this Total has been beaten down by both sharps and the public from its orginal 214.5 opening and is now a viable investment opportunity. CLEVELAND is 39-16 OVER L/54 when the total is 210 to 219.5 dating back to last season and is 18-8 OVER L/26 in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5, with the average combined score ringing in at 222.5 ppg. Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Cleveland.Over is 20-7-1 in Cavaliers last 28 home games. Play OVER |
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06-12-17 | Cavs v. Warriors -8.5 | 120-129 | Win | 100 | 36 h 15 m | Show | |
NBA Finals - Best of 7 - Game 5 - GSW Leads 3-1 |
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06-09-17 | Warriors -6 v. Cavs | 116-137 | Loss | -105 | 31 h 58 m | Show | |
NBA Finals - Best of 7 - Game 4 - GSW Leads 3-0 The Cleveland Cavaliers after playing their hearts out, and still losing game 3 of this series, are now both emotionally and physically drained for game 4 of this series. Both of the Cavs big time stars Irving and James, played alot of minutes, and when, Lue tried to rest James, you could see the swing on the pulse of the game in the Warriors favor. .What also became interesting in the third quarter of the last game, was how the Cavs slowed things down instead of trying to run and gun with the Warriors , and had good results for a while doing this , winning the third quarter 33-22. But Both Irving and James are tenaciously attacking one on one at that point and also playing from 45 to 55 minutes overall, which means both could easily run out of gas at some point here in game 4, if they slow down for ball control again. This I'm betting will be disasterous for the Cavs in this game vs a very under rated Dubs D, (ranked 2nd per 100 possessions). I know alot has been said, about a Cavaliers comeback after last years 3-1 deficit ended in a surprising 7 game championship run for them, but now things are very different. For one Durant is now a Dub, and Curry is 100% healthy, and the Warriors as a whole are hell bent on not giving the Cavaliers any squeeze room to make a come back and will be all out primed to end it here in Ohio tonight. The linesmakers are making the Warriors -6 or more favs and I feel their being generous and I'm going to recommend we lay the points. GOLDEN STATE is 10-1 ATS L/11 when leading in a playoff series this season winning SU by more than 16 ppg. GOLDEN STATE is 7-0 ATS in road games in all playoff games this season winning sU by ana verage of 14.2 ppg. GOLDEN STATE is 9-1 ATS L/10 in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game and 10-2 ATS vs. teams who are called for 2+ less fouls/game than their opponents this season. Play on the Golden State Warriors to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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06-07-17 | Warriors -3 v. Cavs | 118-113 | Win | 100 | 59 h 14 m | Show | |
NBA Finals - Best of 7 - Game 3 - GSW Leads 2-0 The Golden State Warriors showed their superiority vs the Cleveland Cavaliers in the first two games of this series, winning both games by double digits. It was the Cavs 22 nd ranked Defensive rating , that continues to be their Achilles heel, as the Warriors 132 point output in game 2 would suggest. Hey, folks, I'm well aware things can quickly change in NBA play off plays, like they did last year when the Dubs took the first two games of the finals vs the Cavs by a combined 48 points before succumbing in 7 games. But this time around things are different. Like I keep on saying the addition of Durant to the Warriors puts them in a different universe than the rest of NBA, and after last years historic collapse you can bet , that the Warriors will come out here again extremely focused and prepared to play with a proverbial chip on their shoulders. It must also be noted that in last years final series, Curry was less than 100%. Thats not the case this time around. What I'm betting will happen in game 3 , will be that the greatness of super star LeBron James, will not be enough to upend a healthy, very motivated and fresh Warriors team, that looks at a victory here on the road as being a decisive payback blow to Cavs chances of repeating, and their own desire to reign supreme over the basketball universe. GOLDEN STATE is 8-1 ATS L/9 in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game, winning SU by an average of 10 ppg and 26-7 ATS off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points winning sU by ana verage of 14.2 ppg. NBA Favorites like the Warriors - off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games on the season are 56-22 in their followup game for a impressive 72% conversion rate for bettors going back 21 seasons. Play on Golden State Warriors to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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06-04-17 | Cavs v. Warriors -8.5 | 113-132 | Win | 100 | 59 h 45 m | Show | |
NBA Finals - Best of 7 - Game 2 - GSW Leads 1-0 Game 1 went as expected, by me, as the Warriors won a 113-91 event, and now with the lines-makers continuing be in a hold pattern concerning the line, barley budging (-7 to -9) I still feel here at home in Oakland that the Dubs are the far superior team, so I will have no problem backing them here tonight,to cover again. As I said previously, the two best teams according to my power rankings are going head to head for the NBA championship this season. The difference is that the Warriors are in a class of their own, while the Cavaliers are the best of the rest. The last few seasons these teams I thought were fairly evenly matched, but now with Durant's presence in the Dubs lineup, there's just too much talent for the Cavs to handle. Defense has been issue for the Cavaliers chances at a repeat this season, and in game one that became evident again. Note: Cavs are ranked 20th in ppg allowed this season, and 21 in defensive rating per 100 possessions (110.3) In this game I'm expecting , for the Warriors to come out and take advantage of their opponents soft defensive play again via the top offensive attack in the NBA (115.9 ppg), and for their own very under rated D, to stymie LeBron and Company.The Warriors D is ranked 2nd in Defensive rating per 100 possessions. GOLDEN STATE is 27-16 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts this season winning SU by an average of 14.4 ppg. CLEVELAND is 1-8 ATS in a road game where the total is 220 to 229.5 this season.GOLDEN STATE is 8-1 ATS when leading in a playoff series this season winning SU by an average of 18.9 ppg. GOLDEN STATE is 21-10 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.CLEVELAND is 3-13 ATS in road games in non-conference games this season losing SU by an average of 9.8 ppg. NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like the Cavaliers - revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more against opponent off an home win scoring 110 or more points are just 6-35 ATS L/41 in the followup game. Play on the Golden State Warriors to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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06-01-17 | Cavs v. Warriors -7 | 91-113 | Win | 100 | 150 h 7 m | Show | |
Game 1 NBA Finals The two best teams according to my power rankings are going head to head for the NBA championship this season. The difference is that the Warriors are in a class of their own, while the Cavaliers are the best of the rest. The last few seasons these teams I thought were fairly evenly matched, but now with Durant's presence in the Dubs lineup, there's just too much talent for the Cavs to handle. Defense has been issue for the Cavaliers chances at a repeat this season, and I'm expecting for at least game 1 of this series, for the Warriors to come out and take advantage of their opponents soft defensive play. Note: Cavs rank 21st in the league per 100 possessions on defense. On the other side of the ball the Warriors have shown consistency on D all season long as is evident by ranking 2nd per 100 possessions and as is usually the case the most amazing offense in the basketball world ranking first in the NBA (115.9 ppg) and universe as we know it. GOLDEN STATE in 41 games when playing against a team with a winning record this season, have seen their average margin of victory come by 12.1 ppg. CLEVELAND is 3-12 ATS in road games in non-conference games this season losing SU by an average of 8.8 ppg. Play on the Golden State Warriors to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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05-25-17 | Cavs -9.5 v. Celtics | 135-102 | Win | 100 | 36 h 39 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 5 - CLE Leads 3-1 There is only one way to put this, Boston is banged up and exhausted and in over their heads from a talent perspective against the defending champions. Don't get me wrong the Celtics have played valiantly at times, but as has been the case or most of these matchups, the superior team is Cleveland Cavaliers and Im betting they cash on the line and advance to the finals against the Golden State Warriors after tonight. Cavaliers are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 road games.Celtics are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Cavaliers are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Boston.Road team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings NBA Underdogs like the Celtics - off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 17-56 ATS dating back 21 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 77% for bettors. Play on the Cleveland Cavaliers to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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05-23-17 | Celtics v. Cavs -14.5 | 99-112 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 9 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 4 - CLE Leads 2-1 After humiliating the Boston Celtics with an explosive 48 minute surge in game 2 of this series, winning by 46 points, as I expected the Cleveland Cavaliers ran out of gas in game 3. The Cavs looked asleep at the proverbial wheel after a half time DD lead, evaporated into thin air as they lost by a 111-108 count. James was flat, and his team played soft,while the Celtics played loose and with extreme grit. I'm betting the amount of energy the Celtics exerted in that game to get back some lost respect will effect them tonight against a now very angry James and company, who went from being media god, to a public and media battering ram over the last 48 hours. Talk about exact polar opposites and extreme , irrational exuberance after the last two games, and your looking at an illusion, created by the media, and fans who gobble this stuff up . Hey everyone, loves an underdog, and I loved the Celtics effort in game 3 , but they are in over their heads with Isiah Thomas down. With that said, I expect another turn around zig/zag event and a DD margin of victory for the Cavaliers and subsequent cover in game 4 NBA Road underdogs like the Celtics - good offensive team - scoring 99+ points/game on the season against opponent after leading their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half are just 32-62 for a go against conversion rate of 66% over the L/5 seasons. Play on the Cleveland Cavaliers to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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05-22-17 | Warriors v. Spurs OVER 216 | 129-115 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 4 - GSW Leads 3-0 Golden State is a explosive team, that knows how to close out opponents, and tonight I expect they will come out with all guns blazing in attempt to finish off an exhausted and banged up opponent. The Spurs are a proud franchise, and will pull out all the stops to avoid at least being humiliated again in front o their own fans, and will have to reciprocate with some offensive fireworks of their own or be blown of the court. This I am betting will lead to a higher scoring game than the linesmakers expect. The Warriors pounded the Blazers by a 128-103 count to end that opening round series, and than clobbered the Utah Jazz, by a 121-95 score in the second round. More of the same total points production must be expected tonight, Golden State after 8 more consecutive winsspanning a 28 game sample size have seen a combined average score of 219.5 ppg go on the board and on the road after two more consecutive wins have seen a combined average of 220 ppg get scored spanning 33 games. Golden State has gone over in 4 straight games, and have scored 116.1 ppg this season, while allowing an average of 105.2 ppg in road games. Meanwhile, San Antonio has averaged 106.1 ppg at home this season, and despite of overall solid defensive numbers this season, have struggled on D of late , because of injuries, allowing 125, 107, 113, 136, 120 pts in 5 o their L/6 games. Play on the OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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05-21-17 | Celtics +17 v. Cavs | 111-108 | Win | 100 | 11 h 43 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 3 - CLE Leads 2-0 |
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05-20-17 | Warriors -6.5 v. Spurs | 120-108 | Win | 100 | 83 h 24 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 3 - GSW Leads 2-0 I have no problems reversing my views on certain matchups. This is one series, where I thought the underdog Spurs were capable of hanging with the Warriors. I no longer believe this to be the case, as Golden State, a well rested juggernaut look unstoppable at the moment vs a banged up and tired Spurs team, and despite of a couple days rest are team in over their heads vs a championship calibre opponent. GOLDEN STATE is 11-2 ATS L/13 in road games when playing against a team with a winning record winning SU by an average of 8.6 ppg. GOLDEN STATE is 9-1 ATS in road games off 2 or more consecutive home wins this season winning su by an average of 13.4 ppg. GOLDEN STATE is 8-1 ATS after a huge blowout win by 30 or more this season, winning the follow up by an average of 21.5 ppg. NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like the Spurs - revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more against opponent off an home win scoring 110 or more points 6-34 ATS L/40. Play on the Golden State Warriors to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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05-19-17 | Cavs -5 v. Celtics | 130-86 | Win | 100 | 26 h 58 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 2 - CLE Leads 1-0 |
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05-16-17 | Spurs +13.5 v. Warriors | 100-136 | Loss | -102 | 26 h 52 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 2 - GSW Leads 1-0 San Antonio knows that defense and physical play will be the key to slowing down the explosive Golden State Warriors. The Spurs behind the 27th ranked pace in the league and 2nd best points against numbers and the best defensive rating are well suited to grind and bang and make life difficult for the Warriors. They proved that in the first half of game 1 of this series, but got caught up trying to run and gun with the Warriors in the 2nd half of that game and finally fell, by a 113-111 count after blowing a DD lead. This time around Im betting on an even more physical defensive effort from the Spurs, and a complete game effort and subseuqent cover.SAN ANTONIO is 8-0 ATS L/8 off a close road loss of 3 points or less, dating back three seasons. NBA Home favorites like the Warriors - when leading in a playoff series, a top-level team (75% or better playing a good team (60% to 75%) are just 9-32 ATS dating back 21 seasons. (Spurs) Leonard injured ruled out of Game 2- : Spurs are 6-2 ATS without Leonard in the lineup this season.
Play on the San Antonio Spurs to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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05-14-17 | Spurs v. Warriors UNDER 211 | 111-113 | Loss | -105 | 43 h 10 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 1 San Antonio knows that defense and physical play will be the key to slowing down the explosive Golden State Warriors. The Spurs behind the 27th ranked pace in the league and 2nd best points against numbers and the best defensive rating are well suited to grind and bang and make life difficult for the Warriors. Meanwhile, the Warriors despite of their reputation, are a solid defensive team as well, and ranked 2nd in defensive rating in the league per 100 possessions. I am betting much more physical game than might be expected which will result in a final combined score that remains on the low side of the number. The Spurs showed their defensive capabilities last time out, in a lopsided 114-75 win vs the Houston Rockets to advance to this round, which sets up a trend that show HC Popovich is 11-2 UNDER L/13 in road games off a win by 15 points or more as an underdog with a combined average of 188.2 ppg going on the scoreboard. GOLDEN STATE is also 11-2 UNDER L/13 when playing only their 2nd game in 7 days over the last few seasons with an average of just 201 combined points going on the board. GOLDEN STATE is 18-7 UNDER L/25 versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game with a total combined score of 207.7 ppg getting scored.SAN ANTONIO is 23-12 UNDER versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season dating back to last season, with a combined average of 201 ppg going on the board . NBA teams (GOLDEN STATE/SAN Antonio) - in a game involving 2 very good teams - outscoring opponents by 7+ PPG, after a combined score of 205 points or more are 53-15 to the under in the followup game. NBA teams like the Spurs - in a game involving 2 very good teams - outscoring opponents by 7+ PPG, after scoring 105 points or more re 32-8 to the under for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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05-12-17 | Celtics v. Wizards OVER 216 | 91-92 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 40 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 6 - BOS Leads 3-2 Both Washington and Boston are playing this series in a fast and furious manner, as both exhibit explosive offenses with neither team showing consistent defensive instincts. Four of the five game so far have eclipsed the number. The last two saw 223 and 224 points scored and the first two saw 240 and 235 scored, with the lone under seeing Washington win by pouring 121 ppg on the board ( 121-89) Everything once again points to this being a high scoring run and gun affair.With the linesmakers refusing to bend on the total, I'm running with a recommended over investment on this game 6 battle. WASHINGTON is 20-9 OVER L/29 versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts - 2nd half of the season dating back to last season, with a combined average of 223.7 ppg getting scored.WASHINGTON is 15-4 OVER L/19 versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game with a combined average of 233 ppg going on the board. BOSTON is 13-4 OVER after scoring 120 points or more with a combined average of 220.7 ppg clicking in!WASHINGTON in 23 games against Atlantic division opponents this season, a combined average of 220.9 ppg were scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (BOSTON/Washington) - in the second round of the playoffs are 92-42 to the OVER dating back 20 seasons and also NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 like the Celtics - off a home blowout win by 20 points or more against opponent after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points are 52-27 OVER dating back 20 seasons. Play OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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05-11-17 | Spurs +7 v. Rockets | 114-75 | Win | 100 | 25 h 48 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 6 - SAS Leads 3-2 The Spurs and the Rockets played a hard fought back and fourth affair in the last game of this series, and now in a crucial do or die Game 6 battle, more of the same type of tenacious action must be expected. The Rockets need a win to stay alive, and the Spurs would love nothing more to end it now. With that said, Im betting on another hard battle with end end result proving getting points to be golden proposition. HC Popovich of the Spurs is a master tactician, that will be ready for the small ball attack here in game 6. I'm also betting he will now key running the attack through with Aldridge in this tilt, and for the the Spurs’ big men to finally show up and do some damage. I know the Spurs are banged up, but their are some key guys missing for the Rockets to ie Nene, which has forced D'Antoni to shorten his teams rotiation, which will effect their flow on tired legs here tonight especially after they went in to OT last time . NBA teams like the Rockets - off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are just 40-82 ATS L/122 for a go against conversion rate fof 67% for bettors. HOUSTON is 2-11 ATS in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 assists/game or more this season. Play on the San Antonio Spurs to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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05-10-17 | Wizards v. Celtics OVER 216 | 101-123 | Win | 100 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 5 - Series tied at 2-2 The first two games in this series here in Boston easily eclipsed the number, and wide open offensive affairs, and I am betting on nothing changing tonight. (235 points were scored in game 1 and 248 combined points in game 2.) WASHINGTON is 11-3 OVER L/14 in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this seaso with na average of 233.6 ppg going on the board. BOSTON is 7-0 OVER L/7 in home games after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread this season, with a combined average of 228.4 ppg. HC Brooks of the Wizards is 21-9 OVER after 2 or more consecutive wins with a combined average of 222 ppg going on the board. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 like the Boston/Washingtn - in the second round of the playoffs are 90-42 to the OVER dating back 21 seasons. Play OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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05-09-17 | Rockets v. Spurs -5.5 | 107-110 | Loss | -105 | 35 h 0 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 5 - Series tied at 2-2 Houston came out and pounded the Spurs in game 4 of this series, 125-104 , but it it must be noted, that HOUSTON is just 4-12 ATS after a blowout win by 20 points or more this season.Also after high scoring tilts, the Spurs , have played well, both defensively and offensively as they are 8-1 ATS after a combined score of 225 points or more this season winning SU 14.3 ppg and are 14-4 ATS in home games off a road loss . With that, said look for Popvich and company to bounce back and come here with all guns blazing and to deliver their backers the cash. HOUSTON is 6-15 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts - 2nd half of the season this season. SAN ANTONIO is 22-11 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season, winning SU by an average of 8 ppg this season. Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points like San Antonio - revenging a loss vs opponent against opponent off a win by 20 points or more over a division rival 53-22 ATS for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like the Rockets - off a win by 20 points or more over a division rival, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 12-35 ATS for 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the San Antonio Spurs to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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05-07-17 | Celtics v. Wizards -4.5 | 102-121 | Win | 100 | 23 h 29 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 4 - BOS Leads 2-1 Washington came out firing on all cylinders in game 3 of this series, and smashed the Celtics 116-89. In the previous two games, the Wizards also looked like the superior team for long stretches, before folding, because of shoddy D,. But now I''m betting that the Wizards have figured their opponents out, and will show their abilities to dominate once again here on their own floor where they have played their best hoops this season. WASHINGTON is 18-8 ATS in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. WASHINGTON is 21-12 ATS off a home win this season.WASHINGTON is 18-8 ATS in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5 this season. Favorite is 4-0 ATS L/4 meetings with the home team covering 7 straight times. Play on the Washington Wizards to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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05-05-17 | Spurs v. Rockets -4.5 | 103-92 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 47 m | Show | |
The San Antonio Spurs after starting their 2nd round series vs Houston with a loss rebounded last time out, with a 121-96 victroy but suffered a big loss in the process as Star guard Tony Parker was injured and will now miss the rest the play offs. I know the Spurs played 19 games without Parker during the regular season, but regrouping and reforming units in a post seaon atmosphere, wihtout a proven post season performer will effect the teams flow. Meanwhile, Houston last time out, surprisingly struggled in transition against a Spurs defense that wanted to break the Rockets' fast break, flow. But now after seeing what the Spurs did last time out will now be better prepared. It also did not help that thier super star Harden had an off game shooting 3 for 17 and sinking just 13 points. I'm betting he rebounds, along with home team, here on their own home floor and give us a winning ticket. |
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05-04-17 | Jazz +12.5 v. Warriors | 104-115 | Win | 100 | 24 h 13 m | Show | |
Utah lost the first game of this series, by a 106-94 count covering as 13 point underdogs and did not look out of place . I’m betting on the Jazz to continue to press for physical action, and to make this game a mucky battle , which favors them staying close enough for a cover once again. UTAH is 75-49 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons NBA Home favorites like the Warriors - when leading in a playoff series, a top-level team ( 75% or better ) playing another quality team (60% to 75%) are just 9-31 ATS L/21 seasons for a conversion rate of 78% for go against bettors. Play on the Utah Jazz to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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05-03-17 | Raptors v. Cavs OVER 213.5 | 103-125 | Win | 100 | 17 h 24 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 -
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05-02-17 | Jazz v. Warriors UNDER 207 | 94-106 | Win | 100 | 30 h 31 m | Show | |
The Utah Jazz successes and failures are predicated on playing solid defensive basketball, as they own the leagues top D, allowing 96.8 ppg, behind the slowest pace in the league (91.6). The Jazz coaching staff know their only chance at victory vs an explosive Golden State team, will see them having to heavily focus around formulating a physical style of hoops, that concentrates on strong rebounding and physical interior play. The Jazz offense ranks 28th in the NBA. Meanwhile, Golden State may take some time to warm up offensively after being off for an extended period of time after sweeping a Portland side in the first round that plays a completely different style of play than Utah. It must also be noted that Golden State despite of their explosive offensive reputation can play solid D, as well, as is evident by their 4th ranked efficiency rating 99.8 ppg per 100 possessions. Considering, what I am betting on happening here in game 1 , a lower scoring game must be expected. UTAH L/128 play off games have seen an average of 189.7 ppg get scored. Under is 5-0-1 in Jazz last 6 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Under is 11-4 in Warriors last 15 home games. Under is 22-8-1 in Warriors last 31 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Under is 13-3-1 in the last 17 meetings in Golden State. Under is 23-7-2 in the last 32 meetings. The Jazz advanced via a upset of the LA Clippers last time out which sets up this long term trend…NBA teams have gone Under 40 of the L/51 times where the total is 200 to 209.5 (JAZZ) - off an upset win as an underdog against opponent like Golden State off a road win by 10 points or more for a powerful 78% conversion rate. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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05-01-17 | Raptors +7 v. Cavs | 105-116 | Loss | -115 | 23 h 7 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 1 The Toronto Raptors take on a Cleveland Cavaliers that they matchup well against. Some teams just seem to play certain teams , very tough, and that’s the situation tonight. In 4 meetings this season, the Raptors are just 1-3 SU , but the three losses all came by 4 points or less, with the lone win coming on the road in convincing fashion (98-83) with a lot of key Cavs resting. With the Raptors currently in top form after wrapping up their previous series with Milwaukee by winning 3 straight games, I’m betting that their momentum will carry into this game vs a Cavaliers side that may exhibit rust after an extended 7 day lay off after eliminating the Pacers in 4 straight in their opening play off series. CLEVELAND is 12-24 ATS after 4 or more consecutive wins . TORONTO is 10-1 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season and 13-4 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. Play on the Toronto Raptors to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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04-30-17 | Wizards v. Celtics -4.5 | 111-123 | Win | 100 | 3 h 8 m | Show | |
Two teams that don’t get along very well play each other tonight in the opening game of Eastern Conference semi final in Boston, as the Celtics host the Wizards. Looking at both teams first round series, it became obvious to me that the Celtics have now rounded into the team that many pundits thought they were, and that is that they are a contender for the Eastern Conference crown thanks to a D, that is currently ranked 6th in scoring defense, allowing 96.5 points per game,. Boston after starting slowly against the Bulls in their opening round series reeled off 4 straight wins after losing the first two games on their own home floor, and now look to be in top form. Meanwhile, Washington despite of getting by Atlanta to get here in their opening round series, struggled at times against the Hawks, and used their home court advantage to advance by winning 3 games as hosts, but now here on the road in Beantown where they have lost 5 straight and failed to cover all five times I’m betting their at a disadvantage. in game 1 of this series. Boston was 30-11 SU in the regular season at home while Washington was a sub par 19-22 SU on the road. Play on the Boston Celtics to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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04-28-17 | Celtics v. Bulls +3.5 | 105-83 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 51 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 6 - BOS Leads 3-2 Boston won the last two games here in Chicago in this series, but I'm betting on a big time effort tonight by the Bulls on their own home floor to extend this series to 7 games.The Bulls erased 20-point deficits in Games 3 and 4 before Boston surged ahead to get the wins, but now with adjustments and desperation I can see the Bulls holding their lead in this game.BOSTON is 2-15 ATS after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.CHICAGO is 16-5 ATS after 3 or more consecutive losses. Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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04-27-17 | Raptors v. Bucks -1.5 | 92-89 | Loss | -103 | 25 h 59 m | Show | |
The Raptors have taken a 3-2 lead in this series after having lost the first game. Considering how schizophrenic both teams have been, in this series, I won't be surprised by a complete reversal tonight, by a desperate Bucks team trying to avoid elimination. The Raptors have never proven they can close a deal easily and nothing changes tonight, especially with super star Kyle Lowry dealing with a back injury.
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04-26-17 | Hawks +6 v. Wizards | 99-103 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
It has become obvious that the Atlanta Hawks match-up well against the Washington wizards, playing them tough in the first two games of this series on the road, and than taking out the Wizards by convincing margins in both Game 3 and Game 4. Game 5 is Wednesday in Washington, and now I'm betting once again that his meeting will have both these teams interlocked in battle, that will favor the team getting points.Hawks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win.Wizards are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS loss. The biggest issues for the Wizards, centers around their downtown shots. The Wizards during the regular season were a top tier 3-point shooting team , but right now the Wizards are hitting a playoff-low 29.7 percent after four games and are having difficulties in transition as they were also outscored in fastbreak points in game 4. What has also become obvious is that Atlanta's coaching staff have done a better job, of preparing for this series, and have put themselves in a good place for an upset going forward, and more importantly as far as we are concerned a cover tonight. Note: NBA team vs the money line like the Wizards - as a # 4 seed in the playoffs, are just 19-39 SU L/ 52 games dating back 5 seasons. Favorites like the Washington - vs. division opponents, off 2 or more consecutive road losses are just 31-55 ATS over the last 5 years, for a go against conversion rate of 61% for bettors.ATLANTA is 8-0 ATS L/8 after 2 consecutive division games over the last couple of seasons. Play on Atlanta to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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04-25-17 | Grizzlies v. Spurs OVER 186 | 103-116 | Win | 100 | 4 h 18 m | Show | |
The Spurs I am betting will be out to move the ball quickly into transition tonight, and not get caught up in a mucky physical affair, something that the Grizzlies would like to play on the road. The pace I am beting is set by the Spurs, after losing 2 straight on the road the need for urgency , and a game plan that favors the Spurs speed and superior offensive abilities will be in full effect tonight. With that said Memphis will have no choice but to respond with some offensive fireworks of their own or be blown off the court, which will result in a total that eclipses the number. NBA teams where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points like the Grizzlies - off a close win by 3 points or less over a division rival, well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days are 51-17 OVER dating back 21 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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04-25-17 | Thunder v. Rockets -7.5 | 99-105 | Loss | -103 | 4 h 36 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 5 - HOU Leads 3-1 Im betting on Houston wrapping up this series Tuesday night at home. The Rockets have been has been the superior team this series despite of not catching fire yet from three point land. Eventually the Rockets will explode, and tonight is as good a time as any to light a fire and connect on their treys. Bet on the Rockets to romp. NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points like the Rockets - a top tier team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after scoring 110 points or more 2 straight games are a bankroll expanding 40-12 ATS dating back 21 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. OKLAHOMA CITY is 9-23 ATS L/32 in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220. Houston has won 7 straight at home in this series. Play on the Houston Rockets to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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04-24-17 | Bucks +6 v. Raptors | 93-118 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 5 - Series tied at 2-2 The Raptors made adjustment in game 4 of this series, and somehow found a way to win vs what looked to be a lifeless Milwaukee Bucks side, getting a much needed 87-76 victory. However, despite of the Raptors getting the needed win to tie this series up, I felt that something was not right with them, and continually got the feeling that despite of leading for most of the game, that they still could have blown it at anytime. The same must be said about the Raptors game 2 106-100 win after losing the opener. I kept getting the feeling that , that their is something missing , from their lineup ( grit, heart, rhythm) ie or all the above.The Raptors are not receiving alot of respect from me in this series, because of getting run out of their gym in Game 1 and absolutely crushed in Game 3 in Milwaukee. Last time out the Bucks duo of Middleton and Antetokunmpo struggled mightily, but Im betting they rebound in a big way tonight. Bucks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.Bucks are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up loss.Bucks are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 vs. NBA Atlantic.Raptors are 8-22-1 ATS in their last 31 Conference Quarterfinals games. Raptors are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games.Bucks are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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04-24-17 | Bucks v. Raptors OVER 191 | 93-118 | Win | 100 | 2 h 25 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 5 - Series tied at 2-2 Milwaukee really had some problems last time out against the Raptors in game 2 of this series losing by a 87-76 count and will now have to speed up their tempo to get back in a groove. The Bucks cannot play to the Raptors pace and they know this. With that said look for a much higher scoring two away affair tonight. MILWAUKEE is 33-16 OVER after a loss by 10 points or more with a combined average of 209.3 ppg going on the board and 10-1 L/11 to the over under the same loss peremiters, with combined average of 212.2 ppg. TORONTO is 12-4 OVER L/16 in home games after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games this season. Play on the OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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04-23-17 | Celtics v. Bulls +2.5 | 104-95 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 25 m | Show | |
The Boston Celtics arrived in Chicago for game 3 of this series and turned their play around by getting themselves back into their Eastern Conference playoff series with the Bulls with a lopsided 104-87 win. The series now stands at 2-1 . However, despite of that big game last time out, Im now betting on the Bulls coming back and getting back into a groove in game 4. My own numbers alos suggest tthere is value backin the home underdog. CHICAGO is 28-18 ATS as an underdog this season and s 22-9 ATS in home games after a loss by 10 points or more and also 13-4 ATS L/17 after scoring 90 points or less. NBA Home underdogs the Bulls - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days are 122-77 ATS. Play on chicago to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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04-23-17 | Celtics v. Bulls OVER 204 | 104-95 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 13 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 4 - CHI Leads 2-1 Boston has scored 100 or more points in 13 of their L/15 overall and allowed 100 or more points in 12 of those 15 tilts. Prior to their last trip the court, the Bulls had scored 102 or more ppg in 6 straight, and tonight I expect they will be more ready to run and gun than they were last time out. My own data chart suggests an upward pace trend in this game, which will result in a much higher scoring affair than the linesmakers expect. CHICAGO is 8-1 OVER on Sunday games this season with an average of 212.4 ppg going on th scoreboard. Over is 7-2-1 in Celtics last 10 games playing on 1 days rest. Play OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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04-23-17 | Rockets +1 v. Thunder | 113-109 | Win | 100 | 3 h 37 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 4 - HOU Leads 2-1 |
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04-22-17 | Warriors v. Blazers OVER 217 | 119-113 | Win | 100 | 8 h 29 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 3 - GSW Leads 2-0 These teams are ready to run and gun here tonight in game 3 of this series. Portland had a muted effort in game 2 scoring just 81 points. However, I now expect the Blazers will be ready to come out here firing on all cylinders on their own home court, and Im betting on their extremely capable opponents the Golden State Warriors to answer back with some offensive fireworks of their own. Game one of this series saw the Warriors and Blazers partake and in a 121-109 affair, and a repeat type performance is a high probability outcome tonight. PORTLAND is 8-1 OVER after 2 straight games where they attempted 90 or more shots this seasonPORTLAND is 13-4 OVER L/17 versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game with a combined average of 227.1 ppg going on the scoreboard and 15-4 OVER L/19 when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 70% or better) with an average of 222.7 ppg going on the board. Six of the L/8 games played here in Portland have eclipsed the number. Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 like the Warriors - off a home win, a top-level team (75% or better ) playing a team with a losing record 31-11 L/42 for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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04-22-17 | Spurs v. Grizzlies +5 | 108-110 | Win | 100 | 6 h 4 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 4 - SAS Leads 2-1 Now that the Grizzlies have bullied the officials into allowing them to pound away with physical abandon, against the Spurs, without the same repercussions they suffered in the first two game of this series.Im betting they now have the advantage. Although the Spurs had more attempts (28, to Memphis' 20) in the last game at the charity stripe, the Grizzlies were still getting away with alot more than they were allowed to in game 1 and 2. Now Im betting they have the advantage here tonight behind the the trio of point guard Mike Conley, center Marc Gasol and power forward Zach Randolph. MEMPHIS is 15-7 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. Play on the Memphis Grizzlies to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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04-22-17 | Wizards +3 v. Hawks | 98-116 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 28 m | Show | |
Game 3 between the visiting Wizards and the Hawks takes place this Saturday at Philips Arena, with Washington holding a 2-0 lead. In the first two games Atlanta played the Wizards tough, but that was not a enough to register a victory. The bottom line here is that The Wizards finished the season as one of the league's hottest sides and have not slowed down in the play offs , while the Hawks have been extremely inconsistent all season long, and have demonstrated their volatility in this series, with huge runs , followed by long lulls of futility. That In my humble opinion is not going to get the job done against a side like the Wizards. WASHINGTON is 20-8 ATS L/28 off 2 or more consecutive home wins. ATLANTA is 5-13 ATS L/18 vs. division opponents this season. Dating back to Nov 4 of this season, the Wizards have won 5 straight meetings in this series, including the only game as visitors by a 112-86 count covering as 3.5 point dogs. NBA favorites Favorites like the Hawks - vs. division opponents, off 2 or more consecutive road losses are just 31-51 ATS in their followup games, for a go against 62% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Washington Wizards to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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04-21-17 | Clippers v. Jazz OVER 197 | 111-106 | Win | 100 | 6 h 55 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 3 - Series tied at 1-1 |
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04-21-17 | Rockets +2.5 v. Thunder | 113-115 | Win | 100 | 6 h 47 m | Show | |
According to my own numbers the wrong team is favored here. I know Oklahoma city is at home , and played the Rockets tough in the last three quarters, in game 2 of this series, before the Rockets took control and showed their superiority. I also know super star Westbrook will be the go to guy, again, and the home crowd will help them out, but Westbrooks usage numbers during the regular season were astonishing as he owns a 41.7 % ratio.Note: OKC owned a sub par 18-21 SU record this season when Westbrook had over a 40 % usage rate and they were 0-2 against the Rockets, and had a big game last time out. However, we all know what the results were in that game. Nothing changes tonight, despite of what will be the Thunders best efforts. HOUSTON is 12-4 ATS on the road when the line is +3 to -3 this season. Play on the Houston Rockets to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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04-21-17 | Celtics v. Bulls OVER 206.5 | 104-87 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 8 m | Show | |
With the Boston Celtics a 2-0 hole, I'm betting the Beatown basketball crew come out here with all guns blazing in desperation mode. The Chicago Bulls will than have to reciprocate with some offensive fireworks of their own in a tilt I am betting eclipses the total. CHICAGO is 14-6 OVER L/20 after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games this season, with a combined average of 215.1 ppg going on the scoreboard, and in the /bulls L/53 games vs Atlantic division teams the combined average total of those tilts rang in at 207.4 ppg. The Celtics have scored 100 or more points in 12 of their L/14 and allowed 100 or more points in 12 of their L/14. Play OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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04-20-17 | Spurs -3.5 v. Grizzlies | 94-105 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 49 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 3 - SAS Leads 2-0 |
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04-20-17 | Spurs v. Grizzlies OVER 188 | 94-105 | Win | 100 | 4 h 28 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 3 - SAS Leads 2-0 Grinding into a slow methodical pace has not helped the Grizzlies so far in this series, and now they will have to speed things up here on their own home floor. Of course the Spurs will reciprocate with their own fire works which I am betting leads to a higher scoring game that many may anticipate based on the first two games in this series. In Memphis's L/9 games off a loss to a division rival thye have seen an average of 201.9 ppp get scored. Memphis when on 2 days rest have seen a combined score of 202.5 ppg get scored. SAN ANTONIO is 23-12 OVER after a cover as a double digit favorite dating back to last season have seen an average of 201.4 ppg go on the scoreboard. NBA Home teams where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points like the Grizzlies - attempting 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season, in April games have seen the over go 57-26 dating back 5 seasons . Play OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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04-20-17 | Raptors v. Bucks OVER 196 | 77-104 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 4 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 3 - Series tied at 1-1 These teams took part in a 106-100 point game last time out in Toronto which is a true pace, of where I am betting this series is headed in . MILWAUKEE is 25-16 OVER in home games this season with an a average of average of 209 ppg going on the scoreboard. Toronto has seen an average of 204.9 ppg go on the board in road games this season. Play OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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04-20-17 | Cavs v. Pacers OVER 209.5 | 119-114 | Win | 100 | 2 h 55 m | Show | |
These teams played two high scoring games in the first two meetings of this series, and nothing suggests anything will change tonight. All teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 the Pacers - revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points, off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog are 64-28 on the over for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. CLEVELAND in their L/27 after a combined score of 225 points or more this season have seen an average of 220.4 ppg go on the scoreboard.CLEVELAND is 20-8 OVER L/28 as a road favorite this season have seen a combined score of 222.5 ppg go on the scoreboard. HC McMillians L/8 games have seen an average of 220.1 ppg go on the board. HC Lue is 20-7 OVER L/27 in a road game where the total is 210 to 219.5 with ana verage of 221.1 ppg clicking in on the board. Play OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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04-19-17 | Blazers v. Warriors -12 | 81-110 | Win | 100 | 6 h 15 m | Show | |
Warriors coach Steve Kerr said Durant may not play tonight against Portland in the second game of this series, after Golden State took a 121-109 victory Sunday. Even withut Durant Im betting the Warriors are the superior team, and come out here firing darts against a over rated Portland side that they have beaten in 11 of the past 12 meetings .GOLDEN STATE is 21-8 ATS L/29 in the first round of the playoffs and get the nod again in this spot as they go for 10 straight wins at home in this series. Play on Golden State to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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04-19-17 | Thunder v. Rockets -7.5 | 111-115 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 50 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 2 |
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04-18-17 | Jazz v. Clippers OVER 198.5 | 91-99 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 41 m | Show | |
The Los Angeles Clippers lost Game 1 of this series 97-95 to the Utah Jazz, at Staples Center because they played to the Jazz pace. Now I expect they will speed up their play and look for quicker transition into their offense. Their Clippers reserves were outscored by the Jazz's 47-20 , but Im expecting a different story this time around and a more aggressive offensive effort from the Clippers in a game 2. With that said, I am betting the combined score will eclipse the total. In Utah's last 12 games as a underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points a total of 200.6 ppg were scored. In the Clippers L/19 home games after a 1 or more straight unders a total combined score in the following game came up a 214.8 ppg and their L/26 games revenging a loss the total combined score clicked in at 208 ppg. Play OVER 1 unit reg selection |
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04-18-17 | Bulls v. Celtics -7 | 111-97 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 1 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 2 Chicago went all out to secure a playoff spot, winning 7 of their L/9 games, and than stormed in and took out Boston in game 1 of this series, hauling down an amazing 20 offensive rebounds, something Im betting they won't even close to replicating tonight in game 2 of this series. The question is what makes the Bulls so much better than they were during the regular season. They were a streaky mediocre team to say the least and despite of the late season run are still according to my power rankings the less of the two teams doing battle tonight. Meanwhile, while the Celtics took out 13 of their L/17 opponents,entering the play offs and despite of looking like they were asleep at the proverbial wheel in game one, are now wide awake and will be playing with immediate urgency .With that said, look for the Celtics to play a complete game what promises to be an energized home crowd. CHICAGO is 9-23 ATS L/31 off a road win over the last 2 seasons and is is 16-30 ATS off an upset win as an underdog. Play on the Boston Celtics to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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04-18-17 | Bucks v. Raptors -7.5 | 100-106 | Loss | -115 | 2 h 46 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 2 - MIL Leads 1-0 The Raptors are now 0-9 SU L/9 in opening games of first-round playoff series . The team came out very flat losing by a 97-83 count . It was noted that all star G Kyle Lowry , had flu symptoms and that some players were experiencing fatigue, because a virus or something similar was making the rounds through the locker room. Whether this was an excuse or rumor makes no difference as I now expect the talented Raptors to come out on fire and ready for redemption in game two of this series. Now with time to rest and get completely healthy I expect a reversal in the Raptors fortunes here in game two.MILWAUKEE is 6-18 ATS L/24 after allowing 85 points or less Play on the Toronto Raptors to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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04-17-17 | Grizzlies +11 v. Spurs | 82-96 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 29 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 2 - SAS Leads 1-0 |
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04-16-17 | Thunder v. Rockets -7 | 87-118 | Win | 100 | 12 h 29 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 1 |
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04-16-17 | Bulls v. Celtics -7.5 | 106-102 | Loss | -105 | 51 h 12 m | Show | |
Chicago went all out to secure a playoff spot, winning 7 of their L/9 games, including a 112-73 beatdown of Brooklyn in their season finale. I mean this team worked really hard, and must be exhausted by now.I respect their effort, but what Im betting on now, is that not even the short rest , will be enough to avert a loss on tired legs vs what my own power rankings suggest is the far superior side and one of the top teams in the East. The Celtics took out 13 of their L/17 opponents, and once again look strong as favorites on their own home floor. In their L/meeting here on March 12 the Celtics handed the Bulls as 100-80 beatdown. Rinse and repeat in Game 1 of this series. NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like the Bulls- revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more against opponent off an home win scoring 110 or more points are just 4-32 ATS for a go against 89% conversion rate for bettors. CHICAGO is 8-19 ATS L/27 in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 assists/game or more. Play on the Boston Celtics to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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04-16-17 | Hawks v. Wizards UNDER 211 | 107-114 | Loss | -110 | 64 h 26 m | Show | |
Atlanta saw an average of 202.6 ppg go on the scoreboard in their road games this season, and own the 27th ranked offensive rating in the league. Meanwhile, the Wizards saw an average of almost 216 ppg go on the scoreboard in their home games this season. With that said, the Hawks who own the 4th best defensive rating in the NBA will Im betting attempt to give themselves a chance at winning on the road by implementing a slower more physical game plan to deal with the Wizards take no prisoners style of hoops. This will see the total combined score hit in a the 207-209 range according to my own player to player and systems matchup configurations. Thus giving value to an under wager. Note: The Wizards despite of some high scoring game outputs this season still rank only 11 th in pace in the league, Atlanta has seen 11 of their L/14 games stay on the low side of the number. HC Budenholzer is 17-6 UNDER L/23 versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game with the total combined score coming in at 208.5 ppg. ATLANTA is 12-3 UNDER l/15 versus lower tier defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season and is 11-2 UNDER versus poor defensive teams - allowing a shooting pct defense of 46% + with a combined average of 203.2 ppg getting scored.. Atlanta is 10-0 UNDER off a road loss by 10 points or more this season, which happened in their finale. ATLANTA is 30-9 UNDER after playing a road game this season.ATLANTA is 13-2 UNDER after a blowout loss by 15 points or more this season.ATLANTA is 13-3 UNDER L/16 vs. division opponents this season.The Hawks from a long term perspective have seen a combined average of 187.3 ppg go on the board in their L/54 play off road games dating back to the late 90s. Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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04-16-17 | Hawks +5.5 v. Wizards | 107-114 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 3 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 1 The fourth-seeded Wizards (49-33) and No. 5 Hawks (43-39) open their best-of-seven first-round series in the nations capital this Sunday. Alot of pundits expect the Wizards to run all over the Hawks. But in this playoff opener. I expect Hawks Coach Mike Budenholzer will have his team playing a tougher brand of defense, and is expected to have Tim Hardaway Jr. and Taurean Prince starting Game 1, which gives the Hawks a much different dynamic , than the Wizards may have planned on playing against. I really feel the Hawks must not be underestimated as was the case when they won four in a row late in the season, including a home-and-home sweep over the defending NBA champion Cleveland Cavaliers.With that said, look for the Hawks to bang their way to a cover in game 1. ATLANTA is 31-16 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) and 17-8 ATS L/25 versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game this season. Play on the Hawks to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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04-15-17 | Jazz v. Clippers -5 | 97-95 | Loss | -110 | 50 h 56 m | Show | |
Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 1 The Clippers enter this play off series vs the Utah Jazz having won 11 of their L/13 games including 7 straight,and are back to playing at a very high level, after a mid season swoon because of key injury issues. Meanwhile, the Jazz are also playing a top tier style of basketball. However, from a matchup perspective my own data suggests the Clippers are the superior overall team when healthy as they are now , especially when playing here at home in the Staples Center. Utah is 11-22 ATS L/33 in road games when playing against a team with a winning record.UTAH is 1-10 ATS L/11 as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season and failed to cover 14 of 19 road games as dogs. UTAH is 2-11 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less this season.Jazz are 7-22-1 ATS in their last 30 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Jazz are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 vs. NBA Pacific.Jazz are 8-22-2 ATS in their last 32 vs. Western Conference.Clippers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Clippers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Jazz are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings. P:lay on the LA Clippers to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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04-12-17 | Nets +13.5 v. Bulls | 73-112 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
The goal for the Bulls here tonight is to win this game , and get into the play offs, Its a simple scenario. Bulls win= playoffs. All that stands in their way is a sometimes explosive , Brooklyn Nets team. that have proven they can be a formidable opponent, for all comers over the last month of the season, and will not easily bow down to the Bulls in this spot. Another thing that must be considered concerning for Bulls backers is that the team, has been playing all out of late, and must be extremely tired. Last time out they played a full game at full speed, beating lowly Orlando 122-75 which sets up these dismal trends. CHICAGO is 0-11 ATS L/11 in home games after allowing 90 points or less over the last 2 seasons and is 1-11 ATS L/12 after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games dating back to last season. Also the two most recent meetings in this series were were decided by 1 and 2 points respectively, and Im betting on a much closer game than the lines-makers expect once again. Play on the Brooklyn Nets to cover |
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04-11-17 | Thunder v. Wolves -4 | 100-98 | Loss | -114 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
The Oklahoma City Thunder enter into this game with their super star Westbrook achieving his statistical goals, and the team guaranteed the 6th seed entering the play offs. With nothing left to play for in the regular season, and staying healthy the main focus, I'm betting against the Thunder tonight in Minnesota . Meanwhile, a young Wolves team that would love to end their season on a winning note in their final home game of the season, will be primed to play and play hard . It must also be noted that the team is unveiling a new logo, so getting off on the proverbial right foot is important, and thus we should have a motivated group to back in this spot. Play on the Minnesota Wolves to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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04-10-17 | Cavs v. Heat -2.5 | 121-124 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
Tonight Miami needs a win badly to keep their play off hopes alive, and I am betting they will be primed to play hard, against a Cleveland team that may rest key players, for all or parts of this game. I know the Cavaliers have revenge on board, for a 120-92 loss to the Heat March 4th, where the Cavs also rested players, but once again the champs don't have alot of incentives to tire their stars for short term goals, considering they played last night, with super star James clocking 47 minutes . I am betting HC Lues' focus is on the play offs, and that will be evident tonight. The Heat have won 12 straight games in this series here in Miami and nothing changes tonight. Cavaliers are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 games playing on 0 days rest.Heat are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Play on the Miami Heat to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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04-09-17 | Wolves v. Lakers +5 | 109-110 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
The Lakers despite of being eliminated from the post season, and by all accounts having an overall dismal season, have been rolling of late winning three straight games and more importantly have covered 4 straight tilts. QUOTE:"I think we're playing more together," said Lakers forward Larry Nance Jr. . "We're not necessarily caring who gets the points, who gets the rebounds, who gets the steals. Everybody's focused on trying to get some wins." END QUOTE: Meanwhile, the visiting, Minnesota Wolves are looking a little fatigued of late , and that was evident in a 120-113 loss on Friday to Utah, after blowing a decent lead. With that said, the Timberwolves are 0-3 on their current four-game road swing and are weak favorites here in spot according to my own cross reference matchup guides. MINNESOTA is 12-22 ATS L/34 when playing against a team with a losing record this season and is 11-26 ATS L/27 versus lower tier teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game. Play on the LA Lakers to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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04-09-17 | Mavs +2 v. Suns | 111-124 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 11 m | Show | |
The Dallas Mavs dont have alot to play for as they have been eliminated from the post season, and look unmotivated in a loss last time out. However they do have to keep their pride intact going into the off season , which actually means something top pedigree coaches like Carlisle. Their hosts the Suns are bottom feeders in the Western Conference and a lowly 1 1/2 games below the Los Angeles Lakers . However despite of that have won two of three against Dallas this season and actually stunned the Oklahoma City Thunder last time out by a 120-99 count. With that said, Im now betting the young Suns after their all out, take no prisoners win last time out, will now be in an emotional letdown spot today vs a side that wants revenge for an earlier loss in this series this season. It must also be noted that the Mavericks entered the fourth in the league in scoring defense (100.5) and Phoenix was last (113.2) Even with a depleted Dallas lineup, I am betting they can keep pace with this opponent and even pull off the SU upset as road dogs. Suns are 12-28 ATS in their last 40 games following a straight up win.Mavericks are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.Suns are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. DALLAS is 21-9 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season and is 11-3 ATS L/14 revenging a home loss vs opponent this season. PHOENIX is 6-16 ATS L/22 versus poor offensive teams - scoring or less 98 points/game. NBA Road favorites like Dallas - with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season, on Sunday games are a bankroll expanding 35-8 ATS for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. It must be noted seems to like playing on Sundays , as is evident by a 10-0 ATS record in Sunday games this season winning SU by an average of 13 ppg. Also NBA Road favorites like the Mavs - poor defensive team - shooting pct defense of 46% or better on the season, poor rebounding team - out-rebounded by opponents by 3+ per game are 31-13 ATS for 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Dallas to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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04-08-17 | Pacers -4 v. Magic | 127-112 | Win | 100 | 7 h 6 m | Show | |
The Indiana Pacers look suddenly rejuvenated after the addition of former franchise juggernaut Lance Stephenson. Since his arrival the Pacers took the Cleveland Cavaliers to double ot and than proceeded to win their two following games. Now playing with confidence and also a sense of urgency I expect they will be primed to perform tonight vs a Orlando team out of the play offs and debuting D League prospects. From a matchup perspective the Pacers have owned the Magic this season, winning all three meetings, by an average of 14 ppg, including a 98-88 win here in the Magic Kingdom on Feb 1. What we have here is a Rinse and repeat situation based on head to head and matchup analysis. The Pacers are 4-0 SU/ATS L/4 visits to Central Florida to play the Magic. ORLANDO is 13-25 ATS in home games this season and 25-34 ATS as underdogs losing SU by an average of 8.5 ppg. Pacers HC McMillan is 35-15 ATS L/40 in road games versus terrible teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game, winning SU by an average of 7 ppg. Indiana Pacers to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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04-07-17 | Wolves v. Jazz -9 | 113-120 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
The Jazz enter this game notching wins in four of their last five games despite of an array injury woes. I personally respect the Jazzs coach Quin Snyder and his ability to mix and match lineups while continuing to have players remain disciplined behind his system, despite of his walking wounded . Meanwhile, the Timberwolves blew another fourth-quarter lead in Thursday's 105-98 loss to Portland . This young team breaks down on a regular basis as that was their 21st time after leading by double digits that they lost a game, the worst such record in the league. With that said, I expect the home team will be primed to play tonight, and be very motivated to keep the all important fourth seed entering the post season, and to also be focused on reaping revenge for a a 107-80 home loss to the Wolves which ended a five-game winning streak in the series. Timberwolves are 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 road games.Jazz are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 home games.Favorite is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Play on the Utah Jazz to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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04-06-17 | Bucks v. Pacers -4 | 89-104 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show | |
The Indiana Pacers play host to the Milwaukee Bucks on Thursday night as both teams try to garner post season spots, but Indiana is the more desperate of the two and cannot afford a loss. The Milwaukee Bucks after a strong run, winning 14 of 17 have now lost two in a row in look exhausted in their last tilt losing by a 110-79 blowout decision vs the Oklahoma City. Meanwhile, the Indiana Pacers, have looked very rejuvenated since the return of Lance Stephenson and rode the energy of the home crowd last time out in a smash down of a good Toronto Raptors team by a 108-90 count. Now with Indiana needing wins to stay alive for the post season and the added incentive of getting revenge for three straight losses in this series this season Im betting we see a take no prisoners attitude and an extremely motivated (performance from the home team . ( The Pacers are 27-12 at home, while the Bucks have held their own on the road at 18-20.) It must be noted that he Indiana Pacers are 8-0 SU/ATS L/8 with same season triple revenge as hosts. Meanwhile the Bucks are just 1-11 SU and and 2-10 ATS L/12 away vs a side like the Pacers looking to get revenge for three straight losses in a series. Play on the Indiana Pacers to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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04-06-17 | Nets v. Magic -2 | 107-115 | Win | 100 | 5 h 38 m | Show | |
Two teams at the bottom end of my power rankings go head to head tonight in the Magic Kingdom as the Brooklyn Nets play the Orlando Magic. Granted Brooklyn has looked decent of late, but still have alot of problems to deal with in the off season, as they have a tendency of going into catastrophic breakdown mode when not consistently hitting treys from downtown and a defense that is porous to say the least. Also according to my own cross reference systems and play player to player matchup scenarios the Magic actually have the edge here on their own home floor. With Orlando playing with better flow, thanks to their wings ability to run and shoot in transition Im betting they matchup well and get my endorsement in this ugly betty spot play . The Magic are 3-1 SU/ATS L/4 at home in this series including a 118-11 win here back on Dec 16th of this season. (Brooklyn shot an amazing 64% from the floor in victory vs Philadelphia last time out, and now expecting for a reversion to the mean in a letdown effort scenario). Play on the Orlando Magic to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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04-05-17 | Mavs +12 v. Clippers | 101-112 | Win | 100 | 12 h 32 m | Show | |
The Clippers have won four of their last five overall and seven of nine, but one of the losses came to the Mavericks , a team that has won two straight meetings in this series. The Clippers are just 4-13 ATS L/17 when playing against a team with a losing record, and look to be over blown favorites in ths spot. LA CLIPPERS are 2-12 ATS in home games when playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent. With that said, Im betting on HC Carlisle formulating a game plan that helps his team be very competetive tonight. NBA Home favorites like the LA Cippers - a strong 3PT shooting team (36.5% or better) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or worse), average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game) against a horrible rebounding team (-5.5 or less reb/game). Play on the Dallas Mavericks to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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04-05-17 | Warriors -7.5 v. Suns | 120-111 | Win | 100 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
Two teams at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum go head to head tonight as the explosive Golden State Warriors visit the desert to play the young Phoienx Suns. The Warriors have won 12 straight SU while the Suns have lost 12 straight. The bottom line here, is that Golden State has virtually wrapped up the top seed in the West , but are still trying to keep momentum on their side, going towards the play offs, and despite of resting some players will still be primed to win. Im also sure HC Kerr has told his team not overlook tonight's opponent, which gives me confidence in laying points with my own rankings is the best and deepest team in the league. It must be noted that the Warriors have beaten the Suns 10 straight times, including three times this season by 6, 13, 29 points respectively, and Im betting on another conclusive win here. This from a league wide NBA data base: Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like the Suns - revenging a road blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more against opponent off an home win scoring 110 or more points are just 4-31 ATS or a go against conversion rate of 89% for bettors.
Play on the Golden State Warriors to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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04-04-17 | Mavs +2.5 v. Kings | 87-98 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 19 m | Show | |
The Dallas Mavericks and Sacramento Kings are two teams that won't be in the play offs this season. The Kings will miss their 11th straight post season, and the Mavs will miss for only the second time in 17 seasons. The Kings are rebuilding , while Dallas looks for younger players to replace the old guard. Needless to say this game does not have alot excitement attached to it. However, more importantly it is a bankroll expansion money making opportunity , that has me recommeding we go against a Sacramento side, that meets my criteria as a weak favorite despite of winning 3 of their L/5 overall. DALLAS is 18-8 ATS L/26 versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game.DALLAS is 15-4 ATS after having lost 3 of their last 4 games this season and is is 9-1 ATS after 3 straight games being outrebounded by opponent by 5 or more this season. SACRAMENTO is 4-13 ATS L/17 when playing with 2 days rest. This is a key long term trend form a NBA Database: NBA Home teams like the Kings - good 3PT shooting team (36.5% or more) against a poor 3PT defense (36.5% or more ), average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game) against a lower tier rebounding team (5.5 or less reb/game) are 18-51 ATS for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Dallas Mavericks to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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04-04-17 | Bucks +5.5 v. Thunder | 79-110 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
Oklahoma City is slumping a bit of late, and Im blaming that on the one man show Russell Westbrook. Why you say? Westbrook is a super star. Yes, and he has an ego that matches his vast talents, and has a tendency to be selfish. With that said, and for now at least the Thunder have lost focus on their post season goals and don't seem to be as foused on more important factors, but rather on their super stars records status. Meanwhile, the Bucks , are a team fighting for a post season appearence and playoff positioning, and are capable of upsetting the Thunder in their own diggs. Last time out, they looked like the pressure of their current status, effected their play, in a 109-105 loss, but today I expect they bounce back in a big way. QUOTE: We didn't play hard enough, we didn't do what we usually do," key Bucks cog Antetokounmpo said. "That's the game, and we move on. We know how important these last five games are for us. We're going to play together and try to finish it off strong." END QUOTE Bucks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss.Bucks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games. Thunder are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Milwaukee has covered 3 of the L/ 4 meetings in this series and won a 98-94 decision at home back on Jan 2 of this season. Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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04-04-17 | Nets v. 76ers -1 | 141-118 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
Brooklyn has been playing decent basketball of late, and have won two straight, but despite of their better play, are still a team with all lot of deficiencies. The Nets are also on tired legs as this will be their 3rd game in 4 days. Note: BROOKLYN is just 11-27 ATS when playing their 3rd game in 4 days , losing SU by an average of 11 ppg. Meanwhile, Philadelphia their hosts tonight despite of being banged up and depleted, are a side with some great work ethic, and seeing some great contributions from new faces like Alex Poythress who was in the NBA development league. With that said, I like the home team in this spot, from a systems matchup perspective and recommend we plug our noses , hold our breath and pull the trigger on the 76ers side that has won all three meetings in this series this season and 25-11 ATS at home during the current campaign including 5-1-1 ATS vs their division. PHILADELPHIA is 20-9 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses this seasonPHILADELPHIA is 11-2 ATS vs. division opponents this seasonPHILADELPHIA is 7-0 ATS when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season. BROOKLYN is 4-13 ATS after having won 2 of their last 3 games. Play on the Philadelphia 76ers 1 unit reg selection |
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04-02-17 | Nuggets v. Heat -4 | 116-113 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
The Miami Heat and the Denver Nuggets, both need to get in the win column today, and this will be an important play off type game for both of them as they vie for a post season appearance. Due to tiebreakers, the Chicago Bulls are in seventh place, the Heat are eighth. With that said, the the Heat matchup well vs the Nuggets and have won three straight games in their series and once again get my backing here today. It must be noted that the Nuggets are banged up and have three players who are questionable for Sunday: point guard Jameer Nelson (calf); shooting guard Will Barton (foot) and forward Darrell Arthur (knee) which I: betting effects their flow. MIAMI is 11-2 ATS L/13 versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts and is 13-1 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game and also 12-1 ATS L/13 versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots.DENVER is 0-7 ATS L/7 revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite this season. MIAMI is 15-7 ATS as a home favorite this season winning SU by an average of 8 ppg. Play on Miami Heat to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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04-02-17 | Mavs +6 v. Bucks | 109-105 | Win | 100 | 6 h 19 m | Show | |
When there was no pressure on Milwaukee they looked to be in a flow, and have gotten themselves in a position for a play off spot by winning 14 of their L/18 overall. But now with added pressure , Im wondering about their ability to be as dangerous. Their last effort punctuated my current thought processes , as they struggled to beat a Motown Pistons team that is mired in a deep funk, working extra hard to get a 108-105 OT win after blowing a 18 point lead. Milwaukee is also expected to be without guard Malcolm Brogdon, a Rookie of the Year candidate , and his absence was missed last time out , and Im betting will be missed again. Meanwhile the desperate Mavericks come to Milwaukee looking to stop a four game losing streak and need wins badly to stay in the play off picture. The odds are they won't make it to post season play, which means I expect they wil be playing loose and dangerous with nothing really to lose.It must be noted that Dallas has won eight of the last 10 meetings with the Bucks, including an 86-75 overtime victory earlier this season. and I'm recommedning we back them today getting points. MILWAUKEE is 5-15 ATS versus poor defensive teams like Dallas - shooting pct defense of 46% or more this season.DALLAS is 9-0 ATS in Sunday games this season. MILWAUKEE is just 6-15 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. Play on the Dallas Mavericks to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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04-02-17 | Hornets +5.5 v. Thunder | 113-101 | Win | 100 | 5 h 24 m | Show | |
I have been hard on Charlotte this season because of their wild inconsistencies, but they are presently playing at a high level, winning 6 of their L/8 SU/ATS and must be respected. My own player to player and matchup systems analysis also tell me that actually matchup well against their hosts the Oklahoma City Thunder . The Hornets beat the Thunder 123-112 on Jan 4 th, and Im betting they will be competitive today vs a team off a hard fought heart breaking loss to the Spurs, last time out by a 100-95 count that will now have them in a letdown scenario this Sunday. Hornets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Northwest. Play on Charlotte to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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04-01-17 | Hawks +4.5 v. Bulls | 104-106 | Win | 100 | 8 h 30 m | Show | |
Two teams on 2 game winning streaks, enter into this tilt in decent form, and vying for a play off spot. The Hawks prior to their wins , had a ugly 7 game losing streak, but have been wildly inconsistent all season long, as have their opponents today the Chicago Bulls, who proved their inefficiencies in a loss to lowly injury riddled Philadelphia recently. From a head to head matchup perspective the Hawks , however, have the edge against a team that depends to much on a hot shooting from downtown, as their coach Hoiberg prefers. I know the the Hawks are playing with out key cog Millsap, but watching their recent adjustments to his absence gives me confidence in them making this a hard fought affair, that gives them the edge taking points. Note: The Hawks own a seven-game winning streak vs the Bulls including three this season and get the nod again with points in hand. CHICAGO is 17-32 ATS L50 as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points dating back to last season.CHICAGO is 11-22 ATS L/33 after a win by 6 points or less which happened against the Cavs last time out.Hawks are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 vs. NBA Central.Bulls are 18-40 ATS in their last 58 vs. NBA Southeast. Play on the Atlanta Hawks to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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03-31-17 | Pistons v. Bucks -10 | 105-108 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 27 m | Show | |
The Detroit Pistons stopped a five-game losing streak Thursday but nothing comes easy for the Pistons, and its seems they are just plain tired and wiped out as the regular season finish line comes closer. The Pistons have lost 8 of their L/10 SU and after watching some of their games, it has become obvious to me that things are a mess with Motown hoops. I know the Pistons are still in pursuit of a play off spot, and HC Van Gundy is saying all the right things, but the results on the court are much different than his perceptions. Meanwhile, Milwaukee a team that looks destined for the play offs improved to 13-3 SU in its last 16 games with a 103-100 road victory against a strong Boston Celtics on Wednesday, and Im betting this tilt we be like a walk in the park after playing a superior side last time out. With that said, and according to my own matchup stats the Bucks are the far superior team in a head to head matchup, and I'm recommending we lay the lumber here with the young men from Wisconsin. Milwaukee is 5-2 in the last seven home meetings with Detroit and have crushed them by DDs in their L/2 meetings this season. DETROIT is 0-7 ATS in road games vs. division opponents this season losing SU 22.7 ppg and 1-10 ATS L/11 off a road win, losing SU by ana verage of 15 ppg. Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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03-31-17 | Nuggets +2 v. Hornets | 114-122 | Loss | -102 | 10 h 37 m | Show | |
Denver after losing last time out to the red hot Portland Blazers 122-113, have dropped out of the final play off spot in the Western Conference. Its not like the Nuggets will now throw in the towel as regaining their post season status is very attainable as long as they can muster up wins. More importantly they are now under pressure to get a victory tonight vs the inconsistent Charlotte Hornets. With that said, Im betting the Nuggets leave everything on the floor and will not easily be taken down tonight, which makes taking points a viable wagering situation. QUOTE: "I've been in the league a long time, and you expect the unexpected," Nuggets coach Michael Malone told the Post. "If we stop believing and letting go of the rope, it could get ugly. I didn't get that sense (Thursday). Our guys are disappointed that we had a bad home loss against New Orleans and a tough loss against a Portland team that is playing very well. We have an opportunity to get back on track." END QUOTE. I like the Nuggets drive , while I dont have the same confidence in the tired looking Hornets , a side that will most likely not make a play off appearence this season. DENVER is 14-4 ATS off a loss against a division rival .CHARLOTTE is 1-10 ATS L/11 in home games when playing their 3rd game in 4 days this season. Denver Nuggets to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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03-30-17 | Cavs v. Bulls +6 | 93-99 | Win | 100 | 11 h 53 m | Show | |
Two rivals the Chicago Bulls and the the banged up Cleveland Cavaliers go head to head tonight in a prime time battle that Im betting will be a hard fought one. The Cavaliers have recently been slumping and the players have echoed their frustration , but have not shown any urgency in their tones, or performance on the court as HC Lue said his long term focus is on the post season and staying healthy. With that said, look for a hungry and desperate Bulls team to come out here and give it their all ,as they vie for a post season appearance vs what looks to be a Cavaliers team just gojng through the motions. I know the Bulls have struggled, of late but they have matched up well against the Cavaliers, winning all three meetings this season and wont go down easily in this spot, as they are well rested and are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 3 or more days rest. CLEVELAND is 13-22 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record this season and are just 15-22 ATS on the road including 1-4 ATS L/5 overall. Bulls are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 and are are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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03-29-17 | Hawks -1 v. 76ers | 99-92 | Win | 100 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
Two injury-riddled teams the Atlanta Hawks and Philadelphia 76ers go head to head on Wednesday night in the City of Brotherly Love. Both sides are off wins last night. The Sixers upset the Nets as road dogs, and the Hawks took a victory over the lowly Suns, but failed to cover. Looking at a long term data base, as part of tonight's handicapping analysis my betting direction centered on the struggling Hawks ability to notch a 2nd straight win vs a side trying to do the same. My attention also focuses on my player to player systems matchups which centers on bench strength , which favors the Hawks. Also it must be noted that Philadelphia is coming home, off 5 straight road games, and will take time to acclimate themselves to their own digs, which I'm betting will be an advantage to the visitors. I know both these teams do not inspire bettors, but according to my own humble opinion is that the Hawks are a very viable betting option in this particular spot. ATLANTA is 21-9 ATS in road games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 3 seasonPHILADELPHIA is 4-13 ATS ( when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. NBA teams teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the 76ers - off an upset win as a road underdog, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season,are just 22-51 ATS in their followup tilt. NBA Home underdogs like Philadelphia - after playing 2 consecutive road games, playing on back-to-back days are 45-76 ATS datng back 5 seasons. Also NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 Hawks - after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games, extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days are 71-37 ATS for 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Atlanta to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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03-28-17 | 76ers v. Nets -2.5 | 106-101 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
Brooklyn has showed remarkable improvements over the last month, and have been very competitive covering 9 of their L/12 overall and have also won 3 of their L/4 overall , with the one loss coming to a strong Washington Wizards team. Meanwhile, the visiting Philadelphia 76ers have lost 11 of their L/14 games, and will now go against a team with revenge on board, for a 105-95 loss here at home back on Jan 8. With that said, I'm betting on the Nets getting the revenge they want. BROOKLYN is 8-1 ATS in home games after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread this season.76ers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.Nets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. From a NBA Trends data base: NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the 76ers - in a game involving two poor defensive teams (45.5-47.5%), average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game) against a poor rebounding team (-3 to -5.5 reb/game) are 9-32 ATS dating back 5 seasons, Favorites like the Nets - poor defensive team - shooting pct defense of 46% or more on the season, after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 35% or less are 26-5 ATS for a 84% conversion rate for betting backers. Brooklyn to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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03-28-17 | Heat v. Pistons +2.5 | 97-96 | Win | 100 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
Miami has some back court injury issues they are dealing with at the moment. Which is not a good omen for their chances tonight, vs their struggling but desperate hosts Detroit. It must be noted that the Heat have lost three of its last four games with shooting guard Dion Waiters (15.8 ppg) on the sidelines with ankle injury. Guess what he is expected to be out again tonight, which I'm betting effects the Heats flow. Also key cog Hassan Whiteside, has a cut hand that is still healing and other nagging injuries that are slowing him which is another reason for a negative outlook for the Heat tonight. Add to that Dragic is also banged up with a sore hip, and you can see that Heat are getting far to much respect from the linesmakers in ths spot. . With that said, I feel that the Heat are fade material tonight despite of having the superior team when healthy. DETROIT is 9-1 ATS L/10 home games when playing against a team with a losing record and is 9-1 ATS vs. teams who are called for 2+ more fouls/game than their opponents - 2nd half of the season over the last couple of seasons. DETROIT is 14-4 ATS L/18 in home games after having lost 4 of their last 5 games. Detroit won both games in this series this season and are 4-1 SU/ATS L/5 here in Motown. |
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03-28-17 | Bucks +3.5 v. Hornets | 118-108 | Win | 100 | 9 h 52 m | Show | |
Milwaukee is a team that has won 11 of their L/14 games. and still looking very much like a side on the rise in the NBA. Yes, they had a bad game last time out, vs the Bulls, but after their previous two losses they bounced back, and I once again expect another rebound in this spot. Meanwhile, despite of Charlotte playing decent ball at the moment, the Hornets are still very inconsistent, which was evident last time against the the Phoenix Suns. In that tilt, the Hornets ran out to a huge 17-1 lead, and up 22 points at the half, and were up by 25 in the third quarter. But than the wheels fell of the proverbial apple cart . Towards the end of the game they were up just 105-101 before pulling away late for the victory. that was ugly and told me a story of a team with problems.My own power ranking suggest their wildly erratic play , and player to players systems do not match-up well vs a Bucks side that can perform well vs best teams in the NBA, especially at their current level of over all play. CHARLOTTE is 1-8 ATS after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread this season.CHARLOTTE is 3-14 ATS after playing 2 consecutive home games this season. Milwaukee has covered 5 straight meetings here in Charlotte. The road team is 11-1 ATS in the last 12 meetings. Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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03-27-17 | Cavs +5 v. Spurs | 74-103 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
It seems the media in general is proclaiming that the Cleveland Cavaliers are on a down trend, and that LeBron James is degrading and has lost a step and that the Cavaliers defense is not of a championship quality. Now with all detractors out in full force, the Cavaliers visit another top tier team the San Antonio Spurs. I have alot of respect for the Spurs, but tonight Im betting on James ,who is now, entering this tilt with a big chip on his shoulder, to rally the troops and come out here with a all out effort in what I expect to be a subsequent cover.
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03-26-17 | Pelicans v. Nuggets -5 | 115-90 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
The only two losses Denver has suffered in their L/8 games have come to the explosive Houston Rockets. Since those losses, the Nuggets have shot 50 percent from the field and have missed only three of their 56 free throws in their last two games. Meanwhile, New Orleans despite of playing better of late, with Cousins and Anthony jelling, this particular matchup is not a good one for them ,as they will be in a letdown state and on tired legs in a high altitude after running and gunning but losing to the Rockets last time out. The Nuggets beat the Pelicans 107-102 in the season opener on Oct. 26 despite Davis' 50 points and 15 rebounds, and Im betting on a repeat performance here from the Nuggets and more importantly a cover. DENVER is 15-6 ATS L/21 versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game and is 21-11 ATS versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game and make 6 or more treys per game. Play on the Denver Nuggets to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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03-26-17 | Thunder v. Rockets -5.5 | 125-137 | Win | 100 | 7 h 42 m | Show | |
The explosive Houston Rockets host the Oklahoma City Thunder in a game between to hot teams that could face each other in the play offs. With that said, despite of the Thunder playing some very good hoops at the moment, I still rank them well below the Houston Rockets in head to head play, especially here in Texas. With the Rockets out looking to establish dominance over a potential post season partner, I expect they will be very primed here at home to make a statement. Look for key offensive catalyst James Harden to be the deal breaker today. The stars current streak of four straight games with at least 30 points and 10 assists is the longest since Michael Jordan accomplished the task in five consecutive contests in 1988-89. This from a NBA team vs team ATS data base: Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points like the Rockets - a top tier team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games of the season, after scoring 110 points or more 2 straight games are a bankroll expanding 39-10 ATS for a 80% conversion rate for betting backers. OKLAHOMA CITY is 6-20 ATS L/26 in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 and is 2-11 ATS L/13 in road games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season and s 1-8 ATS in road games after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread this season.Thunder HC Donovan is 5-16 ATS in road games versus Top tier offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game, losing SU by an average of 7.6 ppg. Thunder are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Rockets are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 vs. Western Conference.Thunder are 1-8 ATS in the last 9 meetings. Play on Houston Rockets to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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03-26-17 | Nets +7 v. Hawks | 107-92 | Win | 100 | 3 h 2 m | Show | |
Atlanta has lost 6 straight games, and are getting more frustrated by the day, as their once strong play off hopes slightly fade. Meanwile, Brooklyn despite of getting hammered by one of the leagues top teams last night the Wizards, are playing some overall good hoops and have covered 8 of their L/10 games overall. Nothing comes easy for the Hawks,and Im betting that is once again the case tonight, against a Nets team that is currently capable of running and gunning with some of the better teams in the East . In their most recent meeting on March 8 Atlanta did win 110-105 but failed to cover as 10 point dogs. The linesmakers have lowered the Hawks favorite status here, but it is still bloated in my humble betting opinion. When the Hawks are slumping they have not been a good bet in the past, as HC Budenholzer is 5-18 ATS after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games.ATLANTA is 18-29 ATS as a favorite this season. Brooklyn Nets to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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03-25-17 | Jazz v. Clippers -4 | 95-108 | Win | 100 | 6 h 48 m | Show | |
In what could be a possible play off matchup, the Utah Jazz and Los Angeles Clippers square off Saturday at Staples Center. These teams don;t seem to like each other much, so both should be prepared to play tonight.The Jazz are coming off a 108-101 win on Thursday over the New York Knicks, which ended a three-game losing string, but while watching that game, the Jazz truly looked a little tired to me. Their tenacious defense first type of play not only tires their opponents but also themselves, and that at least to me is apparent at the moment.With key components Derek Favors and and Shelvin Mack expected to not play tonight, and this being their 5th road game in their L/6 games, Im betting their tired legs will not serve them well tonight. Meanwhile, the Clippers lost 97-95 to the host Dallas Mavericks on Thursday and are now 7-7 in March. Their Dr.Jeckyll and Mr.Hyde outputs may be troubling, but this is still a solid overall team, with the likes of Chris Paul and Blake Griffin patrolling the hardwood. The Clippers are 23-11 at home in Staples this season, outscoring their opponents by an average of 8 ppg. UTAH is 1-8 ATS L/9 as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season and 13-28 ATS as a road underdogs dating back to last season. Play on the LA Clippers to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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03-24-17 | Cavs -3 v. Hornets | 112-105 | Win | 100 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
Cleveland enters this game having lost 2 of their L/3, but they match up very well vs their hosts tonight the Charlotte Hornets, as is evident by winning three straight meetings this season, including a 121-109 beatdown here in Charlotte back on Dec 31. With that said, and as the play offs approach, the defending champions are trying to strategiclly rest players but at the same time maintain momentum. After their recent mini downturn, Im sure their will be an uregency to get things moving in the right direction again and they will be in top form in this spot, with the core of the team healthy and expected to play. Meanwhile, despite of Charlotte playing better of late and on a 3 game winning streak, are a team that is wildly inconsistent, and in the lower tier levels of my power rankings. CHARLOTTE is 3-11 ATS L/13 revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points this season .CHARLOTTE is 0-7 ATS L/7 after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread this season.Cavaliers are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 vs. NBA Southeast.Hornets are 4-10 ATS in their L/14 home games.Cavaliers are 4-0-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings all as favorites. Play on the Cleveland Cavaliers to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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03-23-17 | Clippers -4 v. Mavs | 95-97 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
The LA Clippers enter this game against their hosts the Dallas Mavericks , with momentum as they chase the down the Utah Jazz for 4th seed in the Western Conference play off race. I am expecting the Clippers who are on a three game winning streak to be primed on keeping the pedal to metal in this spot vs a struggling Mavericks team that has lost 4 of their L/6 overall SU/ATS. The Clippers have won the last 2 visits here to Dallas, and get the nod again. Mavericks are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Clippers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Play on the LA Clippers to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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03-23-17 | Suns +4 v. Nets | 98-126 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
The Brooklyn Nets looked like they had won a champinship when they hit a buzzer beater last time out in a win vs the Detroit Pistons (98-96). Now in an emotional letdown state I expect the Brooklyn Nets to have prblems dealing with another lower tier team the Phoenix Suns. Incidently it must be noted that the Nets have not won two straight games in almost a year, and have failed to make it two wins in a row in their L/13 tries overall. If they do get it tonight, Im betting it won;t come easily and that the vistors cover. I know the Suns do not inspire bettors, but these teams are more evenly matched than the pundits might think, at least according to my own player to player matchup systems indicate. PHOENIX is 17-6 ATS L/23 in road games vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game. Phoenix is 21-12 ATS L/23 as a underdog o 3.5 to 9.5 points. Suns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Suns are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Atlantic.Nets are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Nets are 5-14 ATS in their last 19 home games.Underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings This is a long erm league wide ATS trend from a NBA data base : Road underdogs like the Suns- after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games against opponent after a win by 6 points or less are 40-8 ATS L/48 for a powerful 83% conversion rate for betting backers. Phoenix Suns to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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03-23-17 | Raptors v. Heat -4 | 101-84 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
Despite of Heat star Hassan Whiteside being less than 100% with a lacerated hand, I still like the Heat at home tonight vs their rivals the Toronto Raptors, who are also expected to be without key component Sege Ibaka (suspension). Last season these teams took part in a closely contested play off series, that the Heat won, and could face each other in the play offs again. With that said, I expect the Heat to be very focused on sending a message to the visitors tonight prior to the above mentioned post season possbilites. |
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03-22-17 | Pacers v. Celtics UNDER 207 | 100-109 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 26 m | Show | |
For whatever reason its become apparent of late that Indiana is having alot of problems on the road, as compared to home. The Pacers do play a more conservative style on the road, and are also playing a better overall brand of defensive hoops, which has culminated in alot of lower scoring tilts. For example, the Pacers have scored less than 99 points, in 7 of their L/8 away games, and in 6 straight, scoring 99,97,88,85,81,91 respectively. Also in their L/10 games only one combined score has eclipsed todays total. Meanwhile, Boston, as the season progressed have based their successes and failures on playing a top tier brand of basketball, which has resulted, in 17 of their L/21 games staying on the low side of the Total and have gone under in 8 of their 9 March match-ups with an average of 205.3 ppg going on the scoreboard. These teams did take part in a 109-102 affair in Indiana that the Celtics won back on Dec 22, but based on how the teams are playing now, Im betting on a lower aggregated score that comes in at no more than 201-204 combined points. With that said, Im recommending we take the under. In Indiana's L/21 games when playing their third game in 4 days, they have seen a combined score of 203.7 ppg go on the board. INDIANA is 32-19 UNDER revenging a same season loss vs opponent dating back to last season with a combined average of 204 ppp going on the scoreboard. Boston's HC McMillian is 118-87 under when the total is 200 to 209.5 in all games he has coached with this team, with a combined average score 200.4 ppg getting scored. Under is 6-0 in Pacers last 6 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 13-3 in Pacers last 16 road games.Under is 23-8 in Pacers last 31 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 20-6-1 in Celtics last 27 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 7-1-1 in Celtics lThree of the L/4 games played in Boston in this series have gone under. Play on UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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03-21-17 | Warriors -4 v. Mavs | 112-87 | Win | 100 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
Golden State looks ready to rev up as the play offs approach, as was the case last night in fairly easy road win in Oklahoma City vs the Thunder by a 111-95 count. The mighty Warriors after a short slump have now won four straight, and three straight by Double digits blowouts, and must be respected in their current form. Meanwhile, Dallas after winning 5 of 6 games, between Feb 25 to March 10, have since been slumping losing 3 of 5, two of which came against the lowly Sixers and Suns. Right now I'm not liking what I see from the Mavericks, despite of getting a win vs a less than prime time Brooklyn Nets last time out. In my own view the Mavericks look a little ragged and exhausted as the age of their key players, is becoming an issue here in the stretch drive when a high energy level is needed . Tonight, despite of HC Kerrs propensity to rest starters , I expect Dubs key offensive catalyst Curry to play, because of the matchup between him and his brother has been highlighted by the NBA and their media pundits. With that said, I am recommending we lay the points with the road Warriors. GOLDEN STATE is 27-13 ATS L/24 after 2 straight blowout wins by 15 points or more and is 44-26 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. Warriors are 9-1 SU L/9 in this series. Golden State to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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03-21-17 | Grizzlies v. Pelicans -2 | 82-95 | Win | 100 | 8 h 27 m | Show | |
The Pelcians Anthony Davis and his side kick DeMarcus Cousins are currently playing at a very hight level, and in good form as they host the Memphis Grizzlies tonight. With the twin tower super stars finally starting to jell, and the Pelicans winning 4 of their L/5, Im expecting good things from them here tonight vs a Dr.Jeckyll and Mr.Hyde Grizzlies. After losing five straight, Memphis has won four consecutive tilts, including a 104-96 home win on Saturday over San Antonio. That hard fought win against the Spurs however, Im betting will take its toll on the team, and have them in an emotional letdown situation in this spot, even though they are on two days rest. You have to remember the Grizzlies cant rest starters , as they play hard for a play off birth, and with this being their 6th game in 10 days they will still be on tired legs.NEW ORLEANS is 15-7 ATS in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game this season. Play on the New Orleans Pelicans to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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03-21-17 | Bulls +6.5 v. Raptors | 120-122 | Win | 100 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
The Bulls despite of their struggles enter this game against their hosts the Toronto Raptors playing decently without Dwayne Wade in the lineup, who will miss the rest of the season with assorted nagging injuries. Chicago took out the Utah Jazz 95-86 on Saturday at the United Center, as they showed some unexpected life, and previous to that played a very good Wizards team tough in a 112-107 loss covering as dogs. Butler scored 23 points against Utah and looks suddenly reenergized which is a good thing for the Bulls going forward and more importantly as far as we are concerned tonight. Meanwhile, Toronto is still trying to find an identity with their star Kyle Guard Lowry sidelined, alternating defensive strategies and run and gun attack systems as was evident in recent win vs Detroit, 87-75 and than Indiana 116-91 smack down of the Pacers. In this matchup and according to my own player to player and systems matchup analysis, the Bulls match up well against the Raptors, making the visitors viable underdogs in this spot.It must be also noted that this Bulls franchise has owned the Raptors in the recent past as is evident by having won 11 in a row against Toronto, including twice this season, and Toronto as mentioned above will be hard pressed to get a victory here and or cover. CHICAGO is 25-11 ATS L/36 versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game. Torontos HC Casey is 3-16 ATS revenging 2 consecutive straight up losses to opponent as a favorite. Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover |
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03-20-17 | Jazz v. Pacers +3 | 100-107 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
. Utah is ending a four-game road trip tonight at Indiana. They dropped the last two games in their travels to Cleveland and Chicago, falling 95-86 to the Bulls on Saturday night, and looked exhausted in doing so. The Jazz play a very physical and tenacious style of basketball that not only wears it opponents down, but also has a way of burning them out to . I really like Utah , and their style of play, but Im betting their legs won't support them in this spot. Meanwhile, Indiana enters this game having alternated wins and losses over their L/12 games. All the losses have come on the road . They lost last time out to Toronto 116-91 on the road, and now Im betting on a rinse in repeat situation here tonight, at home sweet home where they are 24-10 SU on the season. INDIANA is 9-0 ATS L/9 in home games versus good defensive teams - allowing 98 or less points/game like Utah dating back to last season. Play on the Indiana Pacers to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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03-19-17 | Cavs v. Lakers +11.5 | 125-120 | Win | 100 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a matchup of the Western Conference's worst club against the Eastern Conference's best.The Lakers lost to the Bucks 107-103 in a physical contest that resulted in the ejection of Young and teammate D'Angelo Russell fro their last game. The kids brought alot of energy into that tilt, as they play for roster positions next year and a attempt to garner some respect from their opponents. I expect these kids will play this game like its for a championship tonight and will not be easily dismantled. Meanwhile, Cleveland looked lifeless in a lopsided 108-78 loss with LeBron James, Kyrie Irving and Kevin Love resting vs the LA Clippers last night , and I wont be surprised if one or more of these guys rest again tonight or see alot of bench minutes during this matchup vs an inferior side. Cavs are just 1-8 ATS L/9 in road games when playing on back-to-back days this season. Take the points with the LA Lakers to cover 1 unit reg selection |
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03-19-17 | Blazers v. Heat -6.5 | 115-104 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
The Miami Heat continue to be on fire as is evident by a 23-5 SU run , that after a ugly 11-30 start to their season. This Miami team has something referred to by sports pundits as chemistry, and along with their work ethic are a hard team to play against. Meanwhile, their opponents the Blazers are also hot, and off two straight road underdog wins, but are also on tired legs as they played last night and playing their 5th straight road game, and 7th game in 10 days. It must be noted that NBA teams like the Blazers - off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog, tired team - playing 6 or more games in 10 days are just 8-32 ATS for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors dating back 21 seasons. With that said, I am betting the hard working Heat take advantage of a tired Portland team tonight and get us the cover. MIAMI is 10-0 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts winning SU by an average of 11.2 ppg and is 7-0 ATS L/7 when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) winning those tilts by an average of 12.5 ppg. MIAMI is 10-1 ATS L/11 after successfully covering the spread in 5 or more consecutive games this season. MIAMI is 8-0 ATS off 2 or more consecutive home wins this season.PORTLAND is 3-12 ATS after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season. Play Miami to cover 1 unit reg selection |