11-03-18 |
Georgia -7.5 v. Kentucky |
|
34-17 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 57 m |
Show
|
3* Georgia over Kentucky In Las Vegas when the lines open for CFB you have about 15 minutes before valued has been extracted by the betting community on selective sides and totals. Here Georgia came open in most watering holes about -10 or -9-1/2. Since there has been so much action on the Wildcats with the game coming to the state of Kentucky. However, and although, I would love from the sporting standpoint to log the Wildcats, can't see it with this being a "critical" game for the 'Dawgs and their playoff changes. Lay the points, and then go out to dinner, don't watch this baby because believe you will see a turnover filled game because of all the emotion found herewith. Good Luck. CHECK OUT OUR 10* SATURDAY COLLEGE BOMBS 40-19 ROLL IN TOP PLAYS
|
11-03-18 |
UL-Lafayette +9.5 v. Troy |
|
16-26 |
Loss |
-101 |
8 h 13 m |
Show
|
4* ULL+ over Troy CFB Deep South Monster...BDS
|
11-03-18 |
Iowa +115 v. Purdue |
|
36-38 |
Loss |
-100 |
4 h 1 m |
Show
|
CFB MONEY LINE CALL GOOD LUCK, BRAD
|
11-03-18 |
UL-Lafayette v. Troy OVER 64 |
Top |
16-26 |
Loss |
-115 |
2 h 42 m |
Show
|
10* ULL/TROY OVER the total CFB LATE MONEY MOVE...BDS
|
11-03-18 |
Dartmouth +10 v. Princeton |
|
9-14 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 19 m |
Show
|
|
11-03-18 |
Rutgers v. Wisconsin -28 |
|
17-31 |
Loss |
-114 |
5 h 11 m |
Show
|
3* Wisconsin over Rutgers CFB Fan Appreciation Winner...BDS
|
11-03-18 |
Air Force v. Army OVER 41.5 |
|
14-17 |
Loss |
-120 |
5 h 3 m |
Show
|
3* Air Force and Army OVER the total CFB TOTAL APPRECIATION...BDS
|
11-03-18 |
Texas A&M +3.5 v. Auburn |
|
24-28 |
Loss |
-105 |
5 h 56 m |
Show
|
4* A&M over Auburn SEC SLAM EVENT...BDS APPRECIATION ANGLE....
|
11-03-18 |
Michigan State v. Maryland +3 |
Top |
24-3 |
Loss |
-110 |
23 h 32 m |
Show
|
10* MARYLAND+ over Michigan State Maryland and Michigan State are both 5-3 this season. However, after being shutout by Iowa two weeks back the Terps have came to live crushing the Illini 63-33 in a wide open game. Michigan State although holding strong is coming off a murderous strength part of their schedule against Northwestern, Penn State (A) Michigan and Purdue. Despite losing by 14 to the Blue, they rebounded nicely 23-13 as we expected in the office. This encounter is being played at Maryland with an early start which should help the unit at rest. Last season, MSU led 17-0 before Maryland could score any points 17-7 win for the Spartans. The issues in that game were bad weather, including snow, and a Maryland offense that completed just 2 passes, while rushing for 2.6 yards per carry. So, if you can imagine a revenge game, this is it. No doubt State leads the series 7-2 SU. However, the Terps have regained offensive confidence and we see a huge upset that will change bowl invitations. Remember the Spartans are suffering from injury issues now. From the techs come a super 0-4 ATS for Michigan State after a SU win. Good Luck.
|
11-02-18 |
Colorado v. Arizona -3 |
|
34-42 |
Win
|
100 |
26 h 19 m |
Show
|
5* Arizona over Colorado CFB FRIDAY NIGHT 5* BEST BET PROGRAM THANK YOU, BRAD DIAMOND SPORTS
|
11-02-18 |
Western Kentucky +14 v. Middle Tennessee State |
|
10-29 |
Loss |
-110 |
24 h 55 m |
Show
|
5* WESTERN KENTUCKY+ OVER MTS CFB FRIDAY NIGHT 5* BEST BET PROGAM
|
11-02-18 |
Pittsburgh +7.5 v. Virginia |
|
23-13 |
Win
|
100 |
24 h 30 m |
Show
|
5* Pittsburgh+ over Virginia CFB FRIDAY NIGHT BEST BET PROGRAM
|
10-30-18 |
Miami-OH +7.5 v. Buffalo |
|
42-51 |
Loss |
-134 |
2 h 3 m |
Show
|
3* Miami Ohio+ over Buffalo MAC TUESDAY ANGLE...BDS
|
10-30-18 |
Kent State v. Bowling Green UNDER 68 |
|
35-28 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 57 m |
Show
|
3* Kent State/Bowling Green UNDER the total CFB MACK KEY TOTAL...BDS
|
10-27-18 |
Hawaii v. Fresno State OVER 60 |
|
20-50 |
Win
|
100 |
27 h 16 m |
Show
|
4* Hawaii/Fresno State OVER the total CFB TOTAL BAIL OUT BLOWOUT SPECIAL..BDS GOOD LUCK, BRAD DIAMOND
|
10-27-18 |
Texas v. Oklahoma State OVER 59.5 |
Top |
35-38 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 41 m |
Show
|
8:00 Eastern (179/180) 10* Texas/OKlahoma State OVER the total Texas (6-1) visits Oklahoma State (3-4) in a huge conference battle. Instead of trying to assess the winner, we'll take with the OVER in this hard driving encounter. Two weeks ago Oklahoma State faced Iowa State combind they bagged a combined 90 points. Also, two weeks ago Texas and Oklahoma put together 93 points. After each fell back from the scoring perspective and a understandable letdown. Here believe we will watch an increase in points with total going OVER 6 of 7 at Oklahoma State. Good Luck.
|
10-27-18 |
Texas A&M +1.5 v. Mississippi State |
|
13-28 |
Loss |
-105 |
5 h 54 m |
Show
|
5* Texas A&M+ over Miss State SEC GAME OF THE WEEK....BDS
|
10-27-18 |
UNLV +3 v. San Jose State |
|
37-50 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 14 m |
Show
|
5* UNLV+ over San Jose State Despite Rodgers being out for the Rebels, feel their running game (253) will take control of this encounter. No doubt both units have played into some tough luck this year, but TOP likely to go to the visitor who has not quit on the visitor. With the line fluctuation this week there is still value inside the UNLV side. Good Luck.
|
10-27-18 |
Cincinnati v. SMU +9 |
|
26-20 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 23 m |
Show
|
5* SMU+ over Cinncinnati AAC Conference Game of the Week...BDS
|
10-27-18 |
Harvard +18.5 v. Dartmouth |
|
17-24 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 32 m |
Show
|
5* Harvard+ OVER Dartmouth IVY LEAGUE GAME OF THE WEEK...BDS
|
10-27-18 |
Cornell +23 v. Princeton |
|
0-66 |
Loss |
-109 |
3 h 5 m |
Show
|
3* Cornell+ over Princeton CFB Ivy League Appreciation Angle...BDS
|
10-27-18 |
Texas Tech +6 v. Iowa State |
|
31-40 |
Loss |
-105 |
6 h 31 m |
Show
|
5* Texas Tech over Iowa State Big-12 Game of the Week...BDS Underdogs (with offense) in this conference roll in week #9 and have an outstanding chance of of winning when accruing a FG+ inside the Vegas board, especially if they are the road team and the underdog. Good Luck.
|
10-26-18 |
Louisiana Tech v. Florida Atlantic OVER 57.5 |
|
21-13 |
Loss |
-110 |
3 h 42 m |
Show
|
3* Florida Atlantic/Louisiana Tech OVER the total CFB Valued Added Total...BDS
|
10-25-18 |
Georgia Tech v. Virginia Tech UNDER 59.5 |
|
49-28 |
Loss |
-110 |
3 h 20 m |
Show
|
3* Georgia Tech/Virginia Tech UNDER the total ACC Appreciation Total Alert...BDS
|
10-25-18 |
Toledo v. Western Michigan UNDER 68 |
|
51-24 |
Loss |
-105 |
13 h 59 m |
Show
|
5* MAC CONFERENCE TOTAL OF THE WEEK 6-0 PERFECT RUN IN CFB TOTALS RIGHT HERE... GOOD LUCK, BDS TOTALS ON CRUSHING 12-2 RUN DIME PLAYERS HAVE EARNED OVER $15,000
|
10-20-18 |
Ohio State v. Purdue OVER 68 |
|
20-49 |
Win
|
100 |
29 h 59 m |
Show
|
3* (333/334) Ohio State/Purdue OVER the total Grab this quickly as the number is rising. OSU 7-0, Purdue 3-3 coming into action as Ross-Aide Stadium. The main reason for our assertion is the improvement of the Purdue offense which has racked up 40+ points L4 encounters. The Boilers are ranked #10 in offense going for 510.2 yards per game and 7.0 points per play. This increase in Purdue production was generated by QB Blough jumping into the lineup after a 0-3 start. The Boilers are 15-15 in red zone offense against the Big-10 conference. Further, we note Purdue is a stronger OVER play at home when listed as an underdog. Ohio State is ranked #2 in total offense, 556.9 yards per game and 6.96 yards per play. Purdue is 4-1 OVER L5 versus on the road, 6-2 OVER after scoring 40+ points in their last game. OSU is 4-0 OVER less than 100 yards rushing in their last game, 9-1 OVER after allowing 20+ points in their previous game. Finally, the Buckeyes are a super 6-2 OVER in road assignments. Realize this has been an UNDER series of late, but national coverage at night, and a sky high Purdue unit should force the number to go OVER. Good Luck.
|
10-20-18 |
Oregon v. Washington State -135 |
|
20-34 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 36 m |
Show
|
|
10-20-18 |
Mississippi State +7 v. LSU |
|
3-19 |
Loss |
-119 |
118 h 16 m |
Show
|
|
10-20-18 |
Georgia Southern v. New Mexico State +13 |
|
48-31 |
Loss |
-109 |
115 h 7 m |
Show
|
|
10-20-18 |
Alabama -28.5 v. Tennessee |
|
58-21 |
Win
|
100 |
113 h 25 m |
Show
|
|
10-20-18 |
Dartmouth -18 v. Columbia |
|
28-12 |
Loss |
-119 |
5 h 5 m |
Show
|
|
10-20-18 |
Miami-OH v. Army OVER 46.5 |
|
30-31 |
Win
|
100 |
109 h 1 m |
Show
|
|
10-20-18 |
Northwestern -20 v. Rutgers |
|
18-15 |
Loss |
-115 |
13 h 39 m |
Show
|
5* Northwestern over Rutgers Realize RB Larkin will must likely not play again this week, so expect the 'Cats rushing game to suffer again, I think, as Rutgers has 3rd problems stopping the running game. Don't forget this Rutgers has an inconsistent offense with problems at the quarterback position. Also, can't expect their defense to stop the 'Cats outstanding passing attack, while noting NW has gone 3-0 SU in the Big-10 with wins over Purdue, Michigan State and Nebraska. Against the spread they show 4-0 ATS this season. Overall, the 'Cats are 21-5-1 ATS in conference, 4-0 ATS on turf and 9-1-1 ATS during October. The Scarlet Knights come in 1-5 ATS against the Big-10 and 8-20 ATS off a SU loss. Good Luck.
|
10-20-18 |
Auburn -175 v. Ole Miss |
Top |
31-16 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 32 m |
Show
|
10* Auburn -175 over Ole Miss @ 12:00 Eastern Tough spread number now taking some value off the chalk. However, the War Eagle will come today in this very difficult road setting. Auburn (4-3) has lost back-to-back games SU & ATS to Tennessee at home, and Mississippi State on the road. Ole Miss (5-2) has won back-to-back games versus Arkansas and ULM, but covering only against ULM. Despite the recent showing Auburn has more solid talent than the hyper Rebels. The major keys in the game for Auburn is their passing defense (208) challenging QB Jordan Ta'amu of Mississippi, and of course the injuries to Dean, Davidson, Whitlow and Ashley. If they can play through these issues, a SU win is in the cards. Series numbers point to Auburn SU 31-11 all-time edge for the visitor. They are 8-3-1 ATS at Ole Miss, and 4-0-1 ATS L5 encounters. The Rebs show 2-8 ATS off a SU win and 4-10 ATS home L14. They have played one SEC game at home in 2018 losing to Alabama 62-7. So, with the climbing Vegas number this morning we'll go with the money line which paid dividends again last night with Yale over Penn. Good Luck.
|
10-19-18 |
Yale -170 v. Pennsylvania |
|
23-10 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 6 m |
Show
|
3* YALE -170 over Pennsylvania Last week we were hurt by the line movement in the Quakers win over Columbia. No matter, we are going against Penn, even considering they have won 5 straight at home. The Quakers who will have a more balanced attack than the visitor since RB Dundek is out again this week. Therefore, the Eli will rely heavily on outstanding QB Rawlings (1,425) who has thrown 9 touches this season and possesses a solid compliment of wide outs to cause problems in the Quakers secondary. No doubt Penn has a moderate edge on defense with their consistent sack ratio (4.8), however asset is reduced on the offensive side of the ball. Last week against the Lions, the Quakers miffed 1 of 5 times inside first and goal situations scoring just 13 points. This issue just might take some of the edge off the Quakers offense. Last year Yale 24-19 at home, and we estimate a similar differential, but more high scoring game and could go OVER the total. This is the first game (ESPN) aired since 2002 at Franklin Field. A close call, but an Eli victory. Good Luck.
|
10-13-18 |
Boise State -17 v. Nevada |
|
31-27 |
Loss |
-109 |
75 h 6 m |
Show
|
|
10-13-18 |
Ole Miss v. Arkansas +7 |
|
37-33 |
Win
|
100 |
72 h 4 m |
Show
|
|
10-13-18 |
Army v. San Jose State +15 |
|
52-3 |
Loss |
-106 |
79 h 18 m |
Show
|
|
10-13-18 |
Temple v. Navy UNDER 49.5 |
|
24-17 |
Win
|
100 |
68 h 0 m |
Show
|
|
10-13-18 |
Georgia v. LSU OVER 50 |
|
16-36 |
Win
|
100 |
68 h 58 m |
Show
|
|
10-13-18 |
Texas A&M -135 v. South Carolina |
|
26-23 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 36 m |
Show
|
|
10-13-18 |
Central Florida v. Memphis +6 |
Top |
31-30 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 43 m |
Show
|
|
10-13-18 |
Columbia +2.5 v. Pennsylvania |
|
10-13 |
Loss |
-109 |
5 h 48 m |
Show
|
|
10-13-18 |
Iowa -5 v. Indiana |
|
42-16 |
Win
|
100 |
65 h 32 m |
Show
|
|
10-12-18 |
Arizona +13.5 v. Utah |
|
10-42 |
Loss |
-106 |
51 h 50 m |
Show
|
|
10-12-18 |
Air Force +11 v. San Diego State |
|
17-21 |
Win
|
100 |
61 h 43 m |
Show
|
|
10-12-18 |
Air Force v. San Diego State UNDER 44 |
|
17-21 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 6 m |
Show
|
|
10-11-18 |
Georgia Southern v. Texas State +18 |
|
15-13 |
Win
|
100 |
24 h 14 m |
Show
|
|
10-11-18 |
Texas Tech +7.5 v. TCU |
|
17-14 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 39 m |
Show
|
|
10-06-18 |
Nebraska v. Wisconsin -18 |
|
24-41 |
Loss |
-104 |
2 h 34 m |
Show
|
|
10-06-18 |
Kentucky +6 v. Texas A&M |
Top |
14-20 |
Push |
0 |
1 h 8 m |
Show
|
|
10-06-18 |
LSU v. Florida +3.5 |
|
19-27 |
Win
|
100 |
140 h 19 m |
Show
|
|
10-06-18 |
Miami-OH v. Akron -4.5 |
|
41-17 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 41 m |
Show
|
|
10-06-18 |
San Diego State +14 v. Boise State |
|
19-13 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 37 m |
Show
|
|
10-06-18 |
Iowa -6.5 v. Minnesota |
|
48-31 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 28 m |
Show
|
|
10-06-18 |
East Carolina +12 v. Temple |
|
6-49 |
Loss |
-106 |
51 h 11 m |
Show
|
|
10-06-18 |
Missouri v. South Carolina +2.5 |
|
35-37 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 26 m |
Show
|
3* EARLY CFB APPRECIATION ANGLES RETURN 1:30 EASTERN FOR LATER CARD THANKS, AND GOOD LUCK....BDS
|
10-06-18 |
Illinois v. Rutgers +5 |
|
38-17 |
Loss |
-105 |
1 h 20 m |
Show
|
|
10-06-18 |
Eastern Michigan v. Western Michigan -4 |
|
24-27 |
Loss |
-107 |
1 h 16 m |
Show
|
|
10-06-18 |
Oklahoma v. Texas +7 |
|
45-48 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 9 m |
Show
|
|
10-05-18 |
Georgia Tech v. Louisville +4.5 |
|
66-31 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 56 m |
Show
|
|
09-29-18 |
Ole Miss +12.5 v. LSU |
|
16-45 |
Loss |
-110 |
124 h 37 m |
Show
|
|
09-29-18 |
Ohio State v. Penn State +4 |
|
27-26 |
Win
|
100 |
129 h 50 m |
Show
|
|
09-29-18 |
Ohio State v. Penn State +4 |
|
27-26 |
Win
|
100 |
127 h 24 m |
Show
|
4* Penn State+ over Ohio State Grab the four now as the public and sharps will move on this quickly. Last year at Ohio State, the Bucks won 39-38 and we see somewhat of a replica Saturday. Huge revenge game for PSU, especially considering their 1-5 SU mark L6 against this hated foe. But, we must back the Nits who are at home Saturday night, with revenge and the under valued underdog to say the least. There are some key pieces missing from the 2017 from the Blue and White, however, the Bucks come in off a major blowout showing 1-4 ATS L5 after scoring 40+ points. Good Luck.
|
09-29-18 |
Virginia Tech +4.5 v. Duke |
|
31-14 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 3 m |
Show
|
3* Virginia Tech+ (133) over Duke CFB Fan Appreciation Winner...BDS Okay, QB Jackson is out for Tech and the defense took a hit in personnel and ego last week allowing 49 points to "ODU!" The Gobblers now go on the road facing Duke that has won 7 straight games after crushing 55-13 against NC Central last week. They had defeated Baylor, Northwestern and Army prior to last week. Tech mounted over 300 yards rushing last week in their loss to ODU, this gives us an inclination that we may have an overlay on the board. VPI has won back to back games in the series 24-3 and 24-21. Realize the Devils appear to be world beaters, but just can't trust them laying this number. The former Kansas QB Pruitt takes over for Jackson and the kid can play, but we assume he will be highly conservative early. Granted with Jackson, VPI won game #1 of the season against Florida State 24-3 getting +7, so we can't discount the overall ability of the unit. The underdog in the series is 4-1 ATS, while Tech begins 6-1 ATS after allowing 40+ in a loss. In closing, the Blue Devils bring a 1-4-1 ATS mark after an ATS loss. GL
|
09-29-18 |
Army +7.5 v. Buffalo |
|
42-13 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 1 m |
Show
|
3* ARMY+ (109) over Buffalo No doubt the Bisons are flying high winning 4 straight (3-1 ATS) games. The Cadets just missed the Sooners last in OT 28-29. They are 2-2 SU (2-1-1 ATS) this season against a fairly good schedule. These two have split the 16-17 games by three and four points, which is an indicator the habit maybe appropriate. The Cadets are rated #2 in rushing the football, 315 yards per game, and should create issues for the Buffalo defense. Technically, Army is on a 4-1 ATS run as an underdog. And, with the public projecting a letdown after OU, we have accrued sufficient value to make this another CFB Appreciation special. Good Luck, and thank you.
|
09-28-18 |
Memphis -14.5 v. Tulane |
|
24-40 |
Loss |
-109 |
8 h 27 m |
Show
|
3* Memphis over Tuland Friday Fan Appreciation Move Actually laying a tough number down in Louisiana tonight, but must give great respect to the Tigers critical stat pack. First off, Memphis shows #12 in scoring (44.0), while the Greenies are ranked #118 accruing 15.7 points per game. Average yards per attempt brings Memphis in with one yard on the season. However, were the two schools differ is rushing yards per attempt offensively and opponents yards per play. The Tigers are rated #1 in the country running the football with a 8.7 yards per rush, defensively the are holding their foes to 4.8 yards per play. Tulane has been running at 3.6 yards (#102) per play, while ranked #89 in opponents yards per play with 6.1 yards per. Memphis controls the series ATS with a 13-3-1 mark, 4-1 ATS L5 at Tulane. Also, they show 12-1 ATS on the road versus a losing home unit. Tulane comes in 1-10 ATS in Friday editions, and 1-3-1 ATS off a SU loss. GL.
|
09-22-18 |
Wisconsin v. Iowa +3.5 |
|
28-17 |
Loss |
-115 |
7 h 57 m |
Show
|
(408) 5* IOWA +3 over Wisconsin @ 8:30 Eastern COLLEGE FOOTBALL GAME OF THE WEEK…BDS Last week road warrior Wisconsin actually lost a home game to BYU 24-21. The Cougars rushing attack crunched the Wisky defense for 191 rushing yards. Iowa started slow against Northern Illinois, but led 38-0 going into the 4th quarter. Iowa’s defense held NIU to 6 yards rushing, therefore, few scoring drives. The Badgers are on a 5-1 SU streak against the hated Hawkeyes, but they still must gain closure after that devastating loss which knocked them out of the rankings. Talking much about the running attacks, over the last two meetings won by Wisconsin 17-9 and 38-17, the Hawkeyes managed a combined rushing total of 108 yards. If Ferentz wants to win this prime-time special Iowa needs to win the line of scrimmage. No doubt Hornibrook and Stanley will battle it out as offensive leaders and quarterbacks. Critical, Iowa’s Stanley must not replicate his 8/24 performance in 2017. Fortunately, for the Hawkeyes they are gaining a few injured key pieces to their lineup. Wisconsin has won the last two in the series by 55-26, however, the Hawkeyes smell blood and should be inside the upset tonight. Granted Wisconsin has been a super play on the road against the spread, but Iowa is on a solid 5-0 ATS run. In addition, they show 6-1-1 ATS at home and 4-0 ATS after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in a game. Wisky 0-4 ATS on turf and 1-4 ATS during September. TAKE THE POINTS.
|
09-22-18 |
Clemson -15.5 v. Georgia Tech |
|
49-21 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 47 m |
Show
|
|
09-22-18 |
Marist v. Stetson +4 |
|
14-19 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 12 m |
Show
|
|
09-22-18 |
Kent State v. Ole Miss -28.5 |
|
17-38 |
Loss |
-105 |
1 h 2 m |
Show
|
5* Ole Miss (366) over Kent State @ 12:00 Eastern Normally, would not lay this number with Ole Miss after 'Bama, but must estimate that the Rebs will want to save face in the SEC after their last flounder. Remember, they have edge on the offense side at QB and RB, especially considering the smallish KSU smallish secondary. As we fully expect Ole Miss to achieve second level space after their passing game shocks the visitor. The Rebels are a PERFECT 4-0 ATS after losing by 20+ points and 5-1-1 ATS after achieving under 170 yards passing (Alabama defense). Kent State shows 1-6 ATS L7 after surrendering 40+ points and 1-5 ATS chasing the SEC. Good Luck, and thanks for using BDS.
|
09-22-18 |
Georgia -14.5 v. Missouri |
|
43-29 |
Loss |
-102 |
1 h 31 m |
Show
|
|
09-21-18 |
Washington State +4.5 v. USC |
|
36-39 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 20 m |
Show
|
|
09-20-18 |
Tulsa v. Temple -6.5 |
|
17-31 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 38 m |
Show
|
|
09-15-18 |
Texas State +8 v. South Alabama |
|
31-41 |
Loss |
-103 |
2 h 51 m |
Show
|
|
09-15-18 |
Houston -1 v. Texas Tech |
|
49-63 |
Loss |
-107 |
23 h 38 m |
Show
|
5* Houston (169) over Texas Tech @ 4:15 Eastern Yes, the 45-18 victory against Arizona was impressive even against a mistake prone defense. Here the Cougars travel face Big-12 rival Texas Tech possessing an 18-12-1 SU record in the all-time series. In 2017 the Red Raiders defeated Houston 27-24, but the Cougars coughed up five turnovers to hand TTU the win. Houston had over 500+ yards of offense and still lost. This is game is critical for the Cougars on a national with this being a Power 5 Conference foe. They are 13-6 ATS against non-conference teams and 15-6 ATS during September. Texas Tech defeated Lamar(?), enough said about that! So, I wonder if the Red Raiders will come to play with an overconfident psyche? Coach is still playing around with the quarterback situation, so we can’t sit around awaiting his choice. No matter, the offensive unit is balanced and talented, and should receive some support this week from the walking wounded. Texas Tech defeated Lamar(?) last week 77-0, enough said about that! But, already coach Kingsbury has sent mixed signals as to who will start at quarterback, having three capable talents. As always, the Red Raiders have a solid balanced offensive unit, and it is one of the reasons Tech has won 8 straight non-conference games at home. In week #1 Ole Miss beat Texas Tech 47-27 doing it with big plays. In fact, the Rebels scored five touchdowns on drives of 5 plays or less. Tech is 3-7 ATS L10 games and 1-6 ATS versus a unit with a >.500 road mark. Lay the small price with Houston as they gain revenge for their give loss last season at home. Good Luck.
|
09-15-18 |
Boise State +3 v. Oklahoma State |
|
21-44 |
Loss |
-130 |
63 h 32 m |
Show
|
Note, we taking this early because of the line value already tampered with by the wise guys. We still want the side, but must have the aforementioned number. Good Luck.
|
09-15-18 |
Florida State v. Syracuse +3 |
|
7-30 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 2 m |
Show
|
5* Syracuse+ over Florida State CFB EASTERN EDGE GAME OF THE WEEK When you look at these two offensively you can't help think that the Sems are going in the wrong direction. FSU is ranked #113 in 3rd conversions, so no matter how strong their defense is they will consistently give back the football. QB Francois has had problems in down and distance situations. The Orange have a wild and wily offense led by QB Dungey. Under the dome up in New York brings a solid setting for a high scoring game with Syracuse's inconsistent defense. Trends, give us Florida State @ 0-7-2 ATS in conference, while 'Cuse comes 4-0 ATS L4 games in September, 5-1 ATS after rushing for 200+ yards. The home team in the series is 5-2 ATS.
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09-15-18 |
Miami-FL v. Toledo +12 |
Top |
49-24 |
Loss |
-105 |
11 h 23 m |
Show
|
10* TOLEDO+ over Miami Florida First off, the 'Canes are a road favorite in this situation, and are expected to win and cover by must experts and public opinion. So, we jumped into our power rating system looking at double-digit underdogs that are under valued by the recent results, etc. Granted the 'Canes may win SU on the road, but the number is all Toledo. This is our power rating mismatch of the year. Good Luck.
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09-14-18 |
Georgia State +29 v. Memphis |
|
22-59 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 20 m |
Show
|
Interesting situation becomes playable when you have a non-Saturday game with a hefty points in a FBS battle. State has sufficient offense to guarantee a few scores, while the Tigers maybe looking [ast this encounter at the road ahead. State shows 22-9 ATS in roadies, while Memphis is 2-5 ATS in non-conference affairs. Good Luck.
|
09-13-18 |
Boston College v. Wake Forest +6.5 |
|
41-34 |
Loss |
-105 |
1 h 41 m |
Show
|
|
09-13-18 |
Old Dominion v. Charlotte +2.5 |
|
25-28 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 8 m |
Show
|
3* Charlotte+ over ODU @ 4:00 Eastern Both units come in banged up, while the day and time change has to be of some effect on the outcome. Charlotte brings back 18 starters with two quarterbacks still battling out for the lead. ODU shows 16 starters back without their starter from last season, and more importantly they lost key RB Lawry. Charlotte has lost 45-9 to Appalachian State, but stopped Division II Fordham 34-10, whereas the Monarchs have lost BB games to Liberty (52-10) and FIU (28-20). Last season, ODU at home beat Charlotte 6-0, as the visitor could not continue drives lacking a solid passing game. The world be expecting the Monarchs coming off BB downers to respond in kind this afternoon. However, Charlotte is more experienced this year and is playing with more tenaciousness than ODU. Our early season power ratings have Charlotte at a plus 2-1/2 in value vs. ODU. Good Luck with our Appreciation Thursday edition.
|
09-08-18 |
Michigan State v. Arizona State +5.5 |
|
13-16 |
Win
|
100 |
24 h 56 m |
Show
|
NO COMMENT, TRAVELING FRIDAY AND SATURDAY DAY
|
09-08-18 |
USC v. Stanford -5.5 |
|
3-17 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 2 m |
Show
|
NO COMMENT, TRAVELING FRIDAY NIGHT, SATURDAY DAY
|
09-08-18 |
Western Illinois -1 v. Illinois |
|
14-34 |
Loss |
-110 |
72 h 12 m |
Show
|
4* Western Illinois over Illini FCS over FBS with value as Illini looks to be a frustrated unit again this season. Illinois was 2-10 last year and almost blew it in week #1 against Kent State in a 31-24 win. Actually, Kent had a comfortable lead at half, but the Illini came back later for the win. What most don't realize is that 5 players were suspended before the game, as coach Smith was highly dismayed. Despite playing at home this week, they catch a fired up WIU unit looking to make this FBS struggle. One of the media darlings this year in preseason (b/c of the coach) Coastal Carolina was defeated by the West last year 52-10. And, they are loaded once again. Talented QB Sean McGuire brings back his 2,852 yards of offense making him the key bell weather for the team, along with a solid running game. Also, the early pubs have Illinois down near the bottom of the Big Ten and start without an experienced quarterback. In their last meeting the Illini during 2015 ran away from the West 44-0 but we expect this year's battle to be a highlight film. If new head coach Jared Elliot has calmed down and is able to focus for this instate rivalry, an outright win would be no surprise. Good Luck.
|
09-08-18 |
Georgia v. South Carolina +10.5 |
|
41-17 |
Loss |
-110 |
44 h 30 m |
Show
|
3:30 Eastern 4* South Carolina+ (348) over Georgia 09/08 The second of three home games for the Gamecocks with no less the Georgia Bulldogs who went to the Championship game last year only to lose 26-23 versus Alabama. The 2017 South Carolina battle with Georgia saw the 'Dawgs winning 24-10 at home, their ninth straight win. Georgia took a 14-7 lead at half and never looked back with QB Fromm (16/22) throwing for two touches and 196 yards. In addition, the 'Dawgs were more effective in time (38:22 vs. 21:38) management, while accruing a 26-14 first down advantage. QB Bentley (227) of South Carolina struggled with two interceptions. This season Georgia does have talent on defense, but they have only 5 starters coming back. This is crucial in an early season REVENGE game for SC who needs to enhance their offensive productivity. Currently the line is Georgia -10 on the Las Vegas. Over the last three seasons the ‘Dawgs have out gunned the Gamecocks 104-44, winning three straight games, covering two-of-three. SC covered last season grabbing 23-1/2 points. Now the line has been adjusted accordingly with Georgia not the same unit on defense, while the Gamecocks have more offensive help. SC must maintain a successful running game to stay within the number. Also, South Carolina have gained support for their defense with Belk and Horn. From the experience standpoint, they did play 16 frosh last week against Coastal Carolina. Technically, in the series SC is 7-3-1 L11 ATS and 3-1-1 ATS at home. Take the points with Gamecocks, but make sure you have +10. Good Luck.
|
09-08-18 |
UCLA v. Oklahoma -29 |
|
21-49 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 17 m |
Show
|
|
09-08-18 |
Towson +30.5 v. Wake Forest |
|
20-51 |
Loss |
-110 |
68 h 51 m |
Show
|
|
09-03-18 |
Virginia Tech +7.5 v. Florida State |
|
24-3 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 14 m |
Show
|
8:00 Eastern 4* Virginia Tech+ (219) over Florida State In this ACC opener we have the #19 and #20 ranked units out of the preseason rankings. The difference just might be the Sems have the more prolific offense. Florida State brings back 12 starters 8 on the offensive side of the ball. They are currently ranked #77 in production starters returning. On the other hand, Tech visits carrying around 7 starters offensively with a #58 ranking in production starters. But, we note great support will come from starting QB Jackson who garnered 3,315 yards of total of offense with 60% completions last season. The major concern is the defense which shows 7 new starters, and that will be the key factor in the game determining who wins and covers. The last meeting of the schools came in 2012 at Lane Stadium as the Sems won 28-22. The Series Record has Florida State leading 23-12-1. Important for FSU is the return of QB Francois, who was injured last year, looking for a consistent and healthy season. Florida State has first-year HC Taggart prepping, so Virginia Tech picks up a slight edge on the sideline. The home team has covered 4 straight in the series, but we’re not buying. Recall Florida State is 0-6-2 ATS L8 conference games and 1-3-1 ATS L5 in the month of September. Tech has always played well as a road dog, especially going back to Beamer Ball. Also, in September the Hokies show 5-2 ATS L7. Stay with Virginia Tech to make this a competitive game staying close in a hostile environment. Good Luck.
|
09-02-18 |
Miami-FL v. LSU +3.5 |
|
17-33 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 15 m |
Show
|
Louisiana is 3-0 all-time in games played at AT&T Stadium with all three wins coming over teams ranked in the Top 25 (No. 18 Texas A&M, 2011 Cotton Bowl; No. 3 Oregon in 2011; No. 20 TCU in 2013). In addition, they show 6-1 ATS L7 on the field, while the 'Canes come in a horrid 1-7 ATS at neutral sites. Take the points tonight with the Tigers. Good Luck.
|
09-01-18 |
Louisiana Tech -10 v. South Alabama |
|
30-26 |
Loss |
-100 |
20 h 13 m |
Show
|
7:00 PM 4* (178) Louisiana Tech over South Alabama Last year these two schools started a back-to-back series with Louisiana Tech winning the initial battle 34-16. This time around, we have a changing of the guard for South Alabama as they bring in new head coach Steve Campbell who has an FCS background. South Alabama, out of the lowest rated conference in the FBS, returns 14 starters with improved options on offense and on the defense side of the ball. In the 2017 Sun Belt, the Jags finished 4-8, while losing their last two games of the season. In the C-USA, the Bulldogs finished 7-6 winning their fourth straight bowl game in head coach Skip Holtz’s 5th season. With 15 starters returning and a qualified offense and the best defense Holtz has had since arriving on campus they have a great chance to reach the championship. In their game last season, the Jags were hurt by an ineffective running game (98 yards) circumventing consistent drives. If Louisiana Tech controls the line of scrimmage they can cover with room to spare. Some of the key edges have to be Holtz’s experience over Campbell’s enthusiasm, and the fact Tech plays three of their first four games on the road. Therefore, we have a major “must win” situation for Holtz and his football team. South Alabama will be improved this season but must back Tech who is 6-0 ATS versus the Sun Belt Conference. Good Luck.
|
09-01-18 |
Albany v. Pittsburgh -25.5 |
|
7-33 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 7 m |
Show
|
|
09-01-18 |
Texas State v. Rutgers -16.5 |
|
7-35 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 4 m |
Show
|
4* (246) Rutgers over Texas State This situation will be all about the Rutgers defense stopping the run and getting to the quarterback. Coach Ash of the Scarlet Knights accrues a Big-10 level of personnel vs. the #9 rated conference (Sun Belt) in the FBS. Also, the betting line has varied this week because of starting frosh QB Sitowski. If he limits mistakes Rutgers will cover. Remember, Texas State uses a dual-threat triple option offense which will call for the Knights to be athletic defensively, and that issue, again, has improved over last year. Also, State was ranked #102 in total defense in 2017 and it won't help that face a Big-10 unit Saturday. Rutgers began the last seasons in bad shape because they faced PAC-12 unit Washington. With the Knights 5-2 ATS L7 times out, and 5-2 ATS during the month of September. Opposing Texas State is 2-5 ATS in September and 2-5 ATS in non-conference. Stay with Rutgers for a surprising up-tick win and cover. Good Luck.
|
08-31-18 |
Colorado State v. Colorado UNDER 65 |
|
13-45 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 15 m |
Show
|
5* (147/148) Colorado/Colorado State UNDER the total
This looks to be a solid BEST BET on the total side of the board from the #8 CFB handicapper in 2017, and a former National Champion. First, we start with a UNDER/OVER opening at 61-1/2 at the Westgate in Las Vegas, but the total has now taken a ride up to 65 as we write. In fact, at the MGM Mirage the number is 65-1/2, William Hill shows 66. What I'm trying to point out there appears to be some hidden value here around 4-5 points. Colorado returns 10 starters just 4 on offense led by QB Steve Montez (2,975) who threw 18 touches last year. For the Rams, first year QB K. J. Carta-Sameuls was a star in game #1 against Hawaii throwing for 537 yards (#1 in the country coming into Friday) and 5 touchdowns. So, now you can pretty understand the psychology behind the line movement. However, the total has gone UNDER 4 straight times in the series, while the Rams (5-0) and Buffaloes (6-0) have been perfect UNDER moves on Friday. In the conference battles CSU has shot UNDER at a 5-1 clip vs. the PAC-12, while Colorado is 13-3 UNDER against the MWC. Yes, we do expect a high scoring game, but not in the 65-66 range. Good Luck.
|
01-01-18 |
Alabama v. Clemson +3 |
Top |
24-6 |
Loss |
-100 |
23 h 10 m |
Show
|
|
01-01-18 |
LSU v. Notre Dame +148 |
|
17-21 |
Win
|
148 |
3 h 34 m |
Show
|
|
01-01-18 |
Central Florida +11 v. Auburn |
|
34-27 |
Win
|
100 |
49 h 29 m |
Show
|
4* Central Florida+ over Auburn CFB BOWL LETDOWN THEORY APPLIED BDS
|
12-30-17 |
Wisconsin -6.5 v. Miami-FL |
Top |
34-24 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 14 m |
Show
|
|
12-30-17 |
Washington v. Penn State -120 |
Top |
28-35 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 20 m |
Show
|
10* Penn State over Washington As you can see you can't trust top tier PAC-12 units big games, i.e., USC! Here both units finished 10-2 with the huge difference being the Nits played a much difficult schedule. Now PSU will have defensive cog Buckholz ready at full speed which should help offset some of the Huskies quickness. For Washington, the WR Pettis will be back in the lineup. No doubt we have great respect the Huskies #1 rush defense, however, we clearly the Nits double offense with Barkley and McSorley causing gap issues throughout the night. If Penn State has the defense for QB Browning (who has fallen off this season, they should it would should be a FG game. Washington is 4-11 SU in Bowl games, while PSU comes 18-11 SU in post season action. Note, we are using the money line b/c of the Nits issues when laying a FG or less, no matter, we LOVE THEIR CHANCES SU.
|
12-30-17 |
Louisville v. Mississippi State +7 |
|
27-31 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 33 m |
Show
|
5* Mississippi St (258) over Louisville Dan Mullen left and now the fiesty 'Dawgs must face Looie without QB Fitz who is out for the season. Let's look back at the season, MSU lost by 7 to Alabama, and Fitz only had 158 yards throwing. It was the defense and running game that almost produced an upset in the 4th quarter. They finished 8-4 on the season. Looie won three straight at the end which included Kentucky. However, they allowed 41 and 42 to Clemson and Wake this year. QB Jackson (3,489) multi-talents ran for 1,433 yards but, this is an SEC defense that held running attacks to 127 yards a game. Believe you will see heavy early money on Looie, however, MSU is a tight bunch and will come to win this for Mullen. Remember, Looie is a horrific 1-6-1 ATS after winning by 20+ points.
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