12-29-17 |
USC v. Ohio State -7.5 |
|
7-24 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 51 m |
Show
|
|
12-24-17 |
Houston v. Fresno State +2.5 |
Top |
27-33 |
Win
|
100 |
89 h 49 m |
Show
|
|
12-23-17 |
Army v. San Diego State -6.5 |
Top |
42-35 |
Loss |
-107 |
7 h 56 m |
Show
|
224….10* San Diego State -6-1/2 over Army @ 3:30 Eastern ARMED FORCES BOWL…BDS Normally, at this time the year would not entertain go against a strong rushing unit such as Army but, they have a one-dimensional attack, and some of their wins were against deflated units. The Cadets are 1-5 L6 versus the MWC. And now they bring the #8 rushing defense in the country, leading RB Penny (2,027) and a solid four-game winning streak to their bright 10-2 season with losses to Fresno State and Boise State the best clubs in the conference. So, I am not afraid to lay the small price considering SDS is 17-4-2 ATS after allowing under 100 yards rushing. In closing, recall SDS beat Army 42-7 back in 2012, they once again have too many athletes for the opposition. Good Luck.
|
12-23-17 |
Texas Tech v. South Florida -3 |
|
34-38 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 44 m |
Show
|
Texas Tech should be another disinterested unit on Saturday...USF!
|
12-21-17 |
Temple v. Florida International +7 |
|
28-3 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 50 m |
Show
|
|
12-20-17 |
Louisiana Tech +4 v. SMU |
Top |
51-10 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 53 m |
Show
|
10* LA TECH+ POINTS vs. SMU...SMU playing in their last CFB Bowl going back in 2012. Since finishing 7-5 (#69 Power Scale), they appear to have an edge against LT who competed for 6-6 with a #69 Power Scale. Still must note their former HC Chad Morris left for the opening at Arkansas. The 'Stangs just 1-3-1 ATS outside of their home stadium and a horrid recent 1-5-1 ATS L7 in 2017. La Tech has had a nice 32-21 ATS record in bowl action L53 on the board, usually playing fairly well with a 4-1 ATS L5 vs. Bowl opponents. Critical, they are 12-5 L17 ATS as a Bowl dog. No doubt the 'Stangs have the talent edge but, may be faced with a disinterested unit. Good Luck.
|
12-16-17 |
Middle Tennessee State v. Arkansas State UNDER 61 |
|
35-30 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 21 m |
Show
|
|
12-02-17 |
Georgia +3 v. Auburn |
|
28-7 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 31 m |
Show
|
5* Georgia +3 over Auburn I'll take three any day in this series that has 5-2 ATS L7 meetings and the chalk comes 6-2 ATS to boot. We know the Tigers CRUSHED Georgia 40-17 during November and beat Alabama in rousing fashion. However, looking back at a tough facility Auburn did fall to LSU 27-23. Prior to their blowout loss to Auburn, the 'Dawgs had won three straight in the series. We believe they get back on track here as the War Eagles are caught celebrating 'Bama. Good Luck.
|
12-02-17 |
Idaho +6.5 v. Georgia State |
|
24-10 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 38 m |
Show
|
4* IDAHO+ over Georgia State The line has moved up this morning to +6-1/2 or +7 pending your outlet. This has all transpired because of the quarterback injuries facing Idaho. And we know this is a revenge game for State after being waxed last year 37-12 by Potato Heads. Georgia shows in bowl position already so, that just might accrue enough emotional support for Idaho to stay under this number. Remember, the Potato Heads are a remarkable 15-1 ATS in Conference Championship games. Also, GSU is a perfect 0-5 ATS after surrendering less than 170 yards passing in their last game, and Idaho is 8-2 ATS after a SU loss. Good Luck.
|
12-02-17 |
TCU +7.5 v. Oklahoma |
|
17-41 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 2 m |
Show
|
5* TCU+ 7-1/2 over Oklahoma @ 12:30 Eastern BIG-12 CHAMPIONSHIP GAME This is a major revenge situation for the Horned Frogs after being pasted 38-20 in their initial meeting with Oklahoma (11-1) this year. However, for TCU that loss came right after an emotional 24-7 victory against "hated" Texas. Against the Sooners, TCU fizzled in the first quarter and the Sooners never looked back with an easy win. RB Anderson sourced for 200 yards rushing. Here we look for a MAJOR REVERSAL as the Horned Frogs have a solid 10-2 SU mark this season. In four of the last five games with the Sooners, the final score has been decided by six points or less. OU is 3-7 ATS L10 achieving over 450 total yards in their last game. Also, the Sooners show 1-7 ATS at neutral sites. TCU on a solid run of 4-0 ATS on turf and will come to play "early" here to offset the OU emotion. Good Luck.
|
11-25-17 |
Clemson v. South Carolina +13.5 |
|
34-10 |
Loss |
-110 |
14 h 29 m |
Show
|
4* South Carolina+ over Clemson @ 7:30 Eastern CFB Series Reverse Angle...BDS The people down in Gamecock country won't forget the 56-7 loss last year to the Tigers. This time around, though, the showdown is in South Carolina under the lights with a national audience taking in the festive event. SC shows 8-3 with a ranking of #24, while the Tigers field at #4. We do note Clemson is in line for the College Football Playoffs if, all goes well. They do have the #4 rated strength of schedule this season. Technically, the Gamecocks have covered 5 straight at home in the series, 8-2 ATS overall against the ACC. Clemson, despite their lofty value, show 5-11 ATS in November and 2-5 ATS against winning home units. In closing, SC will give a great fight but, the Clemson SOS will pay off late in the game with a SU win still, TAKE THE POINTS!
|
11-25-17 |
Wisconsin v. Minnesota +18 |
|
31-0 |
Loss |
-105 |
8 h 4 m |
Show
|
3* Minnesota+ over Wisconsin CFB Fan Appreciation Side...BDS Again cashed our Appreciation move yesterday with Baylor over TCU. This afternoon we have undefeated Wisconsin (11-0) traveling to Minnesota (5-6) after back-to-back DD wins at home against conference rivals Iowa and Michigan. Obviously, the Badgers are the far superior unit and have won 13 straight games vs. the Golden Gophers. Also, the current line posted above -18, we expect it to move to -19 or higher by game time...VALUE! Yes, quite possibly a letdown in some phases of the game, accruing the home unit a rare cover in the series. Remember, Minnesota is 22-8 ATS L30 in the month of November, and 6-3-1 ATS L10 overall. Good Luck.
|
11-25-17 |
Alabama v. Auburn +5.5 |
|
14-26 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 45 m |
Show
|
112517 5* Auburn+ (226) over Alabama @ 3:30 Eastern CFB Game of the Week…BDS Here we go with another Iron Bowl war between two old-time SEC rivals from Alabama. At this writing, the Crimson Tide are favored -4-1/2 over Auburn, with the line opening around -3 at different spots on the Strip. The last three games in the series have seen the Crimson Tide win by a total of 114-69, 30-12 last year at home. But, hold on now the Tigers this season have played the #5 schedule based on the difficulty of the opponent….’Bama is at #26. Also, Auburn will move the ball offensively against Nick Saban’s defense, and we just might see an outright upset Saturday. Remember, Alabama is 1-4 ATS L5 in SEC games, 0-2 ATS L2. Granted Auburn is lacking at home going 2-5 ATS but, the Tigers show 6-1-1 ATS in the SEC and 4-1 ATS in November. Make sure have at least a FG as we see a very close game down to the last minute. Good Luck.
|
11-25-17 |
Connecticut v. Cincinnati UNDER 58 |
|
21-22 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 55 m |
Show
|
112517 4* (145/146) UConn/Cincinnati UNDER the total CFB Total of the Week…BDS Two bad 3-8 teams trying to bring a positive spin to close out the 2017 season. Both are inconsistent, and UConn has suffered numerous injuries throughout the season. We expect this to be a frustrating event for each coach with the unit committing fewer mistakes taking home the SU win. Cincinnati is 2-12 ATS at home as a note of interest. From the total standpoint, the last three in the series have gone UNDER. Traveling Huskies are an amazing 11-0 UNDER after allowing 170 yards passing and 13-3 UNDER after surrendering 300+ yards rushing? Finally, they come 7-2 UNDER L9 versus losing entities. Cincinnati is 9-2 UNDER at home against under .500 schools and 7-1 UNDER allowing 40+ points in the last game. With the Bearcats overall 12-5 UNDER at home, the value seems clearly low. Good Luck.
|
11-25-17 |
Tulane +8 v. SMU |
Top |
38-41 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 42 m |
Show
|
10* Tulane (203) over SMU @ 12:00 Eastern CFB REVENGE GAME OF THE MONTH...BDS Double Revenge for visiting Greenies after dropping a heartbreaking 35-31 decision LY at home. This time around we find SMU 6-5 SU, Tulane 5-6 SU off BB SU wins. Believe Tulane more positive mindset critical here in road outing. The Greenies show 6-1 ATS at the Mustangs and 9-of-11 ATS on the road of late. Further, they have a perfect tech 6-0 ATS after surrendering less than twenty points in the last game. SMU comes 5-1 ATS at home but, 1-5 ATS in the conference and 4-9 ATS in the month of November. With Tulane 5-2-1 ATS in conference L8, TAKE THE POINTS.
|
11-24-17 |
Texas Tech v. Texas -7 |
|
27-23 |
Loss |
-115 |
3 h 15 m |
Show
|
4* Texas -7 (142) over Texas Tech A 5-6 Tech unit visits a 6-5 Texas club down Austin on senior night. Tech started the season 4-1 SU but, has obviously decayed. The Longhorns are on a solid 3-1 run after winning at West Virginia last week SU. Texas leads the recent series ATS 6-1 with the chalk 5-2 ATS. The Longhorns have the edge in SOS rated around #9 at most outlets. Granted Texas has a banged up OL but, meshed well in key down and distance situations at WVU. Remember on defense they held both #4 Oklahoma and #19 Oklahoma State to season lows in yardage. The 'Horns have the #2 rushing defense in the conference which will force Tech into throwing all night into some negative situations. No doubt Tech has one of the highest rated offenses in the Big-12 but can't expect them to score 37 and 45 (2015 and 2016) against this Texas defense. The Longhorns show a solid 7-2-1 ATS L10, 3-1-1 ATS at home. In closing, Tech is a horrid 1-5 ATS in Big-12 games. Good Luck.
|
11-24-17 |
Baylor +25 v. TCU |
|
22-45 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 55 m |
Show
|
3* (115) Baylor+ over TCU Our appreciation offering yesterday, of course, won with the Vikings in a close call. Here one-win Baylor tries to circumvent the conference title driven Horned Frogs on their home field. Granted TCU has covered 5 straight in the series has the domination edges at many positions but, it appears it's the "spot" the sporting community may overplay. And, that's even considering the Baylor 2017 issues, and bringing a frosh QB to the starting lineup. No matter, this old-time traditional battle usually brings the unexpected, and we know the UNDERDOG is 6-0 ATS in the series. TCU shows 2-11 ATS at home 1-5 ATS off a SU win. TAKE THE POINTS!
|
11-18-17 |
Nevada +16.5 v. San Diego State |
|
23-42 |
Loss |
-108 |
14 h 31 m |
Show
|
4* NEVADA+ over San Diego State CFB Reverse Angle of the Week...BDS Right now SDS is rolling with an 8-2 mark at home vs. 2-8 Nevada. However, some strange techs surface in this heated rivalry. First off, this is double revenge for Nevada, and they have gone 8-2-1 ATS during the month of November. SDS has a winning record ATS in 2017 but, they show 1-4 ATS in home games. Overall, they have covered just four times in the last thirteen on this field. Overall, SDS has won back-to-back games by a total of 82-14, and they just might have somewhat of a letdown here. TAKE THE POINTS!
|
11-18-17 |
California +15 v. Stanford |
|
14-17 |
Win
|
100 |
28 h 31 m |
Show
|
|
11-18-17 |
Kansas State +20 v. Oklahoma State |
|
45-40 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 0 m |
Show
|
|
11-18-17 |
UL-Monroe v. Auburn OVER 68 |
Top |
14-42 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 39 m |
Show
|
10* UL-Monroe/Auburn OVER the total College Total of the Year....BDS We have been RED HOT on the all-sports agenda #2 this week in money won, #8 in College Football, and former College Champion back in 2014. Here we have some conflicting perceptions but, first let's attack the positives. Remember, last week Auburn was our easy 10* SEC GOY winner? Okay, now they are home where Uncle Gus is 7-13 ATS during November in non-conference tilts so, obviously, we're jumping away from laying the wood. Although it is attractive, somewhat, as visiting ULM has allowed five teams to achieve their highest accumulated yardage on offense this season. ULM is #16 in points scored...37.06 and #18 in yardage gained (4,276) @ 6.67 yards per play. The hot Tigers of Auburn come in #9 the L3 weeks scoring an average of 44.7 points per game accumulating 6.47 yards per play this season and massive 4,683 yards offensively. Now normally, we might stay away from this type situation but, Uncle Gus knows he has the situation well at hand and we guarantee the fans will see most of the roster this afternoon. The weather will be clear around 70. Auburn has gone OVER in 7 straight (5-0 OVER grass) and 8-1 OVER against losing teams. The visiting Warhawks come in 7-0 OVER off a SU win, 8-2 OVER grass, 13-3 0VER road, and 16-7 OVER against the vaunted SEC.
|
11-18-17 |
Texas +3.5 v. West Virginia |
Top |
28-14 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 24 m |
Show
|
|
11-17-17 |
UNLV +2.5 v. New Mexico |
|
38-35 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 32 m |
Show
|
5* UNLV (4-6) +2-1/2 over New Mexico (3-7) Clearly, UNM is on a massive losing streak, while the Rebs have at least won 2-of-3 SU. Also, the differential in the Fresno State games for each tells us a more definitive story. Also, the Rebs have covered five straight on the road and their getting points as a plus. Recently, they have been playing much better off an SU loss at 4-1 ATS. UNM has even played poorly in Vegas against losing teams with a 4-9 ATS mark. Finally, they show 8-23 ATS after surrendering more than 450 yards in their last game. In the series, UNLV has covered 5-of-7. TAKE THE POINTS!
|
11-11-17 |
Boise State -6 v. Colorado State |
|
59-52 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 28 m |
Show
|
|
11-11-17 |
Alabama v. Mississippi State +14.5 |
Top |
31-24 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 3 m |
Show
|
10* Mississippi State+ over Alabama CFB UPSET OF THE MONTH...BDS
|
11-11-17 |
Tulane v. East Carolina +5.5 |
Top |
31-24 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 9 m |
Show
|
|
11-11-17 |
Georgia v. Auburn +3 |
Top |
17-40 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 13 m |
Show
|
10* AUBURN+ over Georgia SEC GAME OF THE YEAR..BDS Realize the Bulldogs are on a roll but, they could be looking down the road at a bigger game on deck. However, the Tigers can match up in most situations on both sides of the ball. So, with the home team 8-2 ATS in the series, we look for the OUTRIGHT UPSET.
|
11-11-17 |
Nebraska v. Minnesota UNDER 48 |
|
21-54 |
Loss |
-115 |
15 h 27 m |
Show
|
4* (175/176) Nebraska/Minnesota UNDER the total….Each unit comes in with losing 4-5 records SU, looking for an outside chance at the post season. Nebraska has controlled the series of late with an 18-2 SU mark winning in 2016, 24-17 in their building. The Huskers show 5-0 UNDER against losing teams, and 12-4-1 UNDER in conference. RB Bryant, in addition, is out for Nebraska. The Golden Gophers are 4-1 L5 UNDER allowing less than 170 yards passing and 9-4 UNDER after surrendering more than 200 yards rushing in their last game. And, recall the Gophers are 119th in passing so, they won’t beat you deep. With this being played in Minnesota we look for a surprising defensive war for four quarters. Good Luck.
|
11-10-17 |
BYU v. UNLV -170 |
|
31-21 |
Loss |
-170 |
9 h 1 m |
Show
|
4* UNLV (Money Line Only) over BYU @ 10:30 Eastern Money line edition in CFB for Friday and don't miss three 10* TOP PLAYS coming on Saturday. We are #7 in CFB as we write. Here the visiting Cougs will have a real adjustment on playing with an inexperienced QB and the lack of a consistent running attack. Add in the fact UNLV can control the line of scrimmage on both sides of the ball, will virtually eliminate the visitors chance of winning. RB Thomas should help the home squad control tempo and TOP as they edge a spirited foe who just lacks confidence at this juncture of the season. BYU comes in 0-5 ATS in Friday editions but, we still feel more comfortable with the SU money line. Good Luck. Don't miss our THREE TOP 10* PLAYS ON SATURDAY in College Football
|
11-10-17 |
Temple v. Cincinnati +3 |
|
35-24 |
Loss |
-115 |
68 h 1 m |
Show
|
Play on: 5* Cincinnati+3 (120) over Temple @ 7:00 Eastern (Friday) College Friday Night Eastern Edge….BDS This is a huge situation for each club if they expect a bowl invite. Temple is coming off a win against Navy as an underdog, while the Bearcats rebound off an underdog SU win over Tulane. The Owls have beaten the Bearcats in back-to-back games, so this is a special double revenge scenario for Cincinnati on their home field. With Temple being inconsistent on defense the ‘Cats actually have a solid chance to win this SU. Remember, the Owls are 0-4 ATS off a SU win, while the ‘Cats are 9-2 ATS against a losing football team, and now we’re accruing line value with the public laying into Temple. Take the points. Good Luck.
|
11-08-17 |
Toledo v. Ohio UNDER 63 |
|
10-38 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 27 m |
Show
|
Play on: 4* (107/108) Toledo/Ohio UNDER the total…Here we have a classic MAC battle with two outstanding teams when the Rockets visit the Bobcats. Toledo is a monster 8-1 this season, while Ohio will challenge with a solid 7-2 SU mark. Toledo has a sensational offense with QB Woodside (2,656) who has thrown for 19 touches. Ohio has an impressive offense too, led by QB Rourke (1,504) who has been special as well, passing for 13 touches, while running for another 16. Clearly, Rourke is a one-man show, for the most part. Still, the Rockets bring critical UNDER numbers L6 on Wednesday’s…6-0 low! Toledo builds on that angle with a 15-4 UNDER record in road settings against winning football teams. Ohio (41.2) and Toledo (39.0) are the highest-scoring teams in the league and have comparable defenses, as the Bobcats allow 25.7 points a game and the Rockets 24.4. Strictly from the trend standpoint, the Bobcats are 8-2 UNDER L10 and show 4-0 UNDER in the month of November. In conference, they bring a solid 21-8-1 UNDER in MAC games. Over the last five games in the series, the total is 3-1-1 UNDER. In closing, when two high powered offenses meet in an important conference war, the defenses suddenly become paramount. Realize the offensive nature of both units suggests the opposite but, it's November and certain fundamental tendencies take a back seat to EMOTION!
|
11-07-17 |
Akron v. Miami-OH UNDER 53 |
|
14-24 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 56 m |
Show
|
5* Akron/Miami Ohio UNDER Early in the year, Miami lost a few close games in head-scratching fashion. That and injuries have had an effect on the RedHawks, leading to a depressing season. And now they face Akron looking for bowl entry. I see the RedHawks winning, though, 21-17 as the total goes UNDER following the series trend which indicates a 7-2 UNDER L9. Also, Zips UNDER 4-0 in November, while the Red Hawks have shot UNDER 46-19 L65 games and 16-5 UNDER off a SU loss. We realize MO has issues defensively but, the weather and the early week encounter should mitigate offensive productivity for both units. Good Luck.
|
11-04-17 |
Virginia Tech v. Miami-FL -110 |
Top |
10-28 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 9 m |
Show
|
10* Miami Florida (342) EVEN over Virginia Tech Because of injuries we prefer laying the money line since it's about right! HC Richt of Miami has to deal with a lot tonight considering QB Rosier (8-0 SU) is coming off an injury and their best RB is on the shelf. Richt, though, we remind you is 29-6 SU vs. the ACC as a head coach. Also, he is an outstanding emotional coach who will remind his troops about that 37-16 loss LY to the 'Canes at Lane Stadium. QB Rosier has won eight straight as a starter throwing 17 touches with just 4 interceptions. Miami has won 12 straight, 5-0 vs. the ACC. Granted the Hokies are vaunted foes, however, we project at least a SU win this evening by Miami in this emotional thriller. Good Luck.
|
11-04-17 |
Texas v. TCU -6.5 |
Top |
7-24 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 59 m |
Show
|
10* TCU....(382 over Texas This is a 4-4 'Horns unit going up against the high flying Frogs from TCU who just happen to be one of the best teams in the country. Laying -6-1/2? TCU is 4-1 ATS, 4-1 ATS in November and 5-1 ATS off an ATS loss. Texas shows 1-5 ATS in November and 1-4 ATS off a loss of 20+ points. TCU has covered 4-of-5 in the series...BLOWOUT!
|
11-04-17 |
Northwestern v. Nebraska +130 |
|
31-24 |
Loss |
-100 |
4 h 3 m |
Show
|
|
11-04-17 |
Maryland -3 v. Rutgers |
Top |
24-31 |
Loss |
-115 |
6 h 29 m |
Show
|
10* Maryland -3, not higher over Rutgers One of the keys here is the changing home field from the last time they met. How many fans will be present for the inconsistent Knights? The Terps are 5-2 ATS against losing teams, while the road unit is 4-1 ATS in the series. Plus, since achieving bowl status last season with the help of a soft schedule, Maryland has played the second-toughest schedule in the nation thus far as its first eight opponents are a combined 32-14. The Terrapins are on pace to play the toughest schedule in the nation by season's end, as its 12 opponents are a combined 53-24. Good Luck.
|
11-04-17 |
Rice v. UAB -10 |
|
21-52 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 37 m |
Show
|
|
11-04-17 |
Florida v. Missouri -140 |
|
16-45 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 34 m |
Show
|
|
11-02-17 |
Navy -7 v. Temple |
|
26-34 |
Loss |
-103 |
3 h 5 m |
Show
|
Play on: 4* Navy -7 (313) over Temple Revenge...key motivational tool for the Middies as they come into Philly looking to avenge a 34-10 loss to the Owls in the conference championship game. Plus, the Middies lost three critical games at the end of last season to LT, Army and the aforesaid Owls which should have the visitor ready physically and emotionally. NAVY EDGES: ROAD UNIT 4-0 ATS IN THE SERIES DOG 4-1 ATS (SERIES) 10-3 ATS IN NOVEMBER STATS... 376.1: Average yards per game rushing by Navy, which is No. 1 in the country. 20.9: Average points per game by Temple which is last in the AAC and 112th nationally. 49.5: The third-down conversion percentage of Navy, which is No. 1 in the AAC and No. 6 in the nation. By comparison, Temple’s conversion percentage is 40.5, eighth in the AAC and 59th nationally.
|
10-28-17 |
UL-Monroe +3 v. Idaho |
|
23-31 |
Loss |
-120 |
6 h 50 m |
Show
|
4* UL-Monroe (165) over Idaho (H) @ 5:00 Eastern Double Revenge series scenario for the visiting Warhawks (3-4, 4-3 ATS) in another smashing Sun Belt game versus home standing Idaho (2-5, 3-3-1 ATS). Despite a home situation, really can't trust the emotionally drained Potato Heads who were just CRUSHED by Missouri 68-21. Sometimes it's very difficult for a defense to rebound in a must-win situation. ULM is the #33 rated offense in the nation this season and can produce a 500+ total yardage outing here. ULM is 5-1 ATS on the road and 4-1 ATS on turf. And, after gaining 200+ yards on the ground they come in 4-1 ATS. Although, Idaho is at home and brings consistent numbers ATS in the conference, seemingly the Warhawks have the "critical" emotional edge Saturday. Good Luck.
|
10-28-17 |
Louisiana Tech -13 v. Rice |
|
42-28 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 0 m |
Show
|
3* Louisiana Tech (175) over Rice (H) @ 3:30 Eastern The Bulldogs show off BB disturbing losses to Southern Miss and UAB by an overall total of 8 points, now 3-4 on the season. Rice 1-6 is at home after five straight losses to UTSA, Army, Pittsburgh, FIU and Houston by a combined point-differential of 88 points an average of 17.6 points per game. Last year, although with a stronger unit it was Louisiana 61-16 over Rice, as the winner gained a total of 735 yards overall, 301 rushing all on their home field. The Owls despite their record have improved somewhat in 2017 but, lack the offense to pull the upset or sufficient firepower to cover the number on their home field. Rice is dead last in NCAA offenses securing 11 points a game and that's against the #104 rated schedule in 2017. They are 1-4 ATS on turf (their home field), while Tech shows 4-1 ATS L5 vs. losing units and 15-3 ATS after allowing 280+ yards through the air. Good Luck.
|
10-28-17 |
Virginia +1.5 v. Pittsburgh |
|
14-31 |
Loss |
-102 |
1 h 59 m |
Show
|
|
10-28-17 |
Oklahoma State v. West Virginia +7.5 |
|
50-39 |
Loss |
-103 |
2 h 5 m |
Show
|
4* West Va+ over Oklahoma State @ 12:00 Eastern 6-1 Pokes show up in West Virginia after beating Texas 13-10 down in Austin, while the 5-2 Mounties also arrive off a win 38-36 over Baylor at Waco. Last year Oklahoma State at home beat the Mounties 37-20 accruing a yardage advantage of 421-358. Granted the Pokes have the talent advantage but, show 1-4 ATS L5 in the conference. Believe the inconsistent West Virginia defense will play their best game of the year, gaining an ATS win and maybe an outright win for the home crowd. Good Luck.
|
10-26-17 |
Stanford v. Oregon State +21.5 |
|
15-14 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 34 m |
Show
|
4* Oregon State+ (110) over Stanford @ 9:00 Eastern Stanford (5-2) travels to Oregon State (1-6) for a Thursday night Pac-12 and ESPN affair. The Cardinal have won seven straight in the series, 6-1 ATS. Last year Stanford won at home 26-15. This time around Stanford is in the midst of a four-game winning streak against Oregon, Utah, Arizona State and UCLA. Whereas, the Beavers have lost five straight to Colorado, Southern California, Washington, Washington State and Minnesota. The Cardinal possesses the edges on offense and defense, Points for and Points against. Classic RB Love (1,387, 11) should be ready for tonight, while Oregon State will look to replacement QB Garretson (114.3) continuing on the uptick. Starter QB Luton has been out with an injury. From the emotional standpoint, this should be a challenging spot for Stanford who has a MAJOR REVENGE game with Washington State on-deck. Also, in these short week starts, the home team accrues somewhat of an edge and the Beavers show off a bye. Technically, the Cardinals have illustrated much success this year but, show 2-5 ATS after allowing 20+ points. Oregon State is 4-1 ATS in Thursday calls, 9-3 ATS in conference and 7-3 ATS at home. We’ll take a ticket with the Beavers to keep this close.
|
10-26-17 |
Eastern Michigan +7.5 v. Northern Illinois |
|
27-30 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 52 m |
Show
|
|
10-21-17 |
Colorado +10 v. Washington State |
Top |
0-28 |
Loss |
-105 |
10 h 30 m |
Show
|
10* (411) Colorado +11 over Washington State @ 10:45 Eastern Last week Washington State (6-1) was flying high going into the Cal game but, came away with a 38-3 loss. Now the Cougars set up at home to play hard trying Colorado (4-3). The Cougars are 5-0 SU at home this season and the world is expecting a large rebound. Colorado surely does not have the defensive talent of the Bears so, we expect a combined higher scoring game this afternoon. Another question for State is, will QB Faulk comeback from a five-interception game, being sacked nine times? Granted Colorado has given up 35.5 points per game this season, winning last time over Oregon State by 3. The Buffs were rebounding from three straight losses, the last two heart stoppers, 27-23 to UCLA and 45-42 to Arizona. The key for the visitor will be TOP which is critical keeping the Cougars offense off the field. If the Buffs running attack continues to improve we should have a nail-bitter here. Also, QB Montez of Colorado has been successful with his conservative passing game not throwing an INT in 95 attempts. Staying away from the turnover is critical for the visitor. Recall last year Colorado defeated Washington 38-24. Trending we find Colorado 6-1 ATS L7 road games vs. a home unit with a winning record and 7-2 ATS on the road L9. Washington State fields with a 1-4 ATS mark in October and 2-5 ATS record against a winning team. In the series, the UNDERDOG is 5-2 ATS. Good Luck.
|
10-21-17 |
LSU v. Ole Miss OVER 60 |
|
40-24 |
Win
|
100 |
24 h 18 m |
Show
|
102117 4* (405/406) Ole Miss/LSU OVER the total @ 7:15 Eastern Our total this evening is in a traditional battle between Ole Miss and LSU being played down in Oxford. To be clear, because of sanctions, this is the Rebels Bowl game. Doubt highly they can win this SU but, with highly ranked QB Patterson (2,143) and a corpse of talented receivers the underdog will look to do damage against DB “U!” What will cause great pain for the Rebels is their soft running attack, placing the offense in horrible down and distance situations. RB Wilkins will need a big game to keep the Tigers defense guessing. Make no mistake, though, Ole Miss will put up some points indeed. They are averaging 31.8 points and allowing 37.0 per game. LSU is averaging 25.6 points while surrendering 19.4 points per game. However, they will be facing a very forgiving defense that is ranked #82 in third down stops…@ 40.4%, not good. Ole Miss is 7-1 OVER L8 and 5-0 OVER vs. the SEC. LSU is 5-2-2 OVER in October and 9-3-1 OVER after holding the prior opposition to under 170 yards passing. We look for a high scoring game and the OVER on the Vegas board. Good Luck.
|
10-21-17 |
Oregon v. UCLA -6 |
|
14-31 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 17 m |
Show
|
102017 4* (384) UCLA -6 (H) over Oregon @ 4:00 Eastern Oregon will be without QB Justin Herbert on Saturday afternoon out in Los Angeles, and that should be the demise of the Ducks this afternoon. The offense overall has floundered since his injury. Last week Oregon (4-3) was crushed by Stanford (5-2) 49-7. The Ducks come in 1-3 SU L4. The frustrated Bruins show at home 3-3 overall, 1-3 SU L4. Clearly, UCLA has the edge in strength of schedule but, must turnaround a six-game losing streak to the Ducks dating back to 2007. They have a HUGE edge at quarterback with Josh Rosen (392.3) but, must stay away from the turnover bug (15, L6 games) to be successful both SU and ATS. On defense, that’s another story for a Mora coached unit allowing 40.5 points per game. However, Oregon has a very young team especially on defense and we believe they will not illustrate consistent pressure against UCLA QB Rosen. Granted there are trending numbers favoring Oregon but, without the ability to control TOP we’ll take the Bruins. The Ducks show 2-7-1 ATS on the road L10. Good Luck.
|
10-21-17 |
Tulsa v. Connecticut +4 |
|
14-20 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 20 m |
Show
|
4* UCONN+ (318) over Tulsa @ 12:00 Eastern As you know we used UCONN as a major play on this site last week. Here we catch the Huskies at home, while being booked as the underdog(?). For decades in College Football there has been a noted negative losing pattern of major proportions when schools from the South or Southeast region come East booked as the favorite. Tulsa is 0-3 SU on the road this season, and show off an upset win over Houston. UConn cashed last week down in Philly when they defeated Temple in an AAC game. The Huskies actually have a viable chance of running the football Saturday against a Tulsa rush defense (dead last nationally) that is hurting at the line of scrimmage. Also, UCONN has a major edge in senior starters 15-10. From the trending standpoint, Tulsa is a perfect 0-6 ATS after allowing less than 20-points in their last game. Good Luck.
|
10-21-17 |
Louisville +6.5 v. Florida State |
|
31-28 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 49 m |
Show
|
3* Louisville +6-1/2, prefer 7....over Florida State CFB Fan Appreciation Saturday Special...BDS Sorry, no analysis appreciation moves
|
10-20-17 |
Marshall v. Middle Tennessee State +2 |
|
38-10 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 32 m |
Show
|
102017 5* Middle Tennessee State+ (310) over Marshall @ 7:00 Eastern Our C-USA Game of the Week has 5-1 Marshall visiting 3-4 MTS. Despite, the change in quarterback (Stockstill injured) to young Urzua, the Blue Raiders attack is holding well and playing more efficiently at home. Actually, MTS seems to be in a qualifying spot with this a huge revenge game after being crushed last year and showing now 4-0 ATS off a SU loss. Also, Marshall maybe somewhat overvalued nationally as the Blue Raiders have faced a more challenging schedule. In closing, we’ll back the home team that clearly has the emotional edge, while covering four straight in the series. Good Luck. #1 nationally in 2017 10-0 perfect run in College Football 12-1 L13 selections overall 15-1 in the NHL L16
|
10-19-17 |
Memphis v. Houston OVER 61.5 |
|
42-38 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 40 m |
Show
|
4* (303/304) Houston/Memphis OVER the total What I like much about this encounter is the turnover factor concerning each unit. Houston has surrendered 13 turnovers this season and leads the AAC in that category. Upstart Memphis comes in creating the 2nd most turnovers in the conference with 17. Add in the short week, and we could have a generous total in the turnover stat for each club. Remember, the Tigers are 7-1 OVER on Thursday, while the Cougars show 9-4 OVER in Thursday editions. Further, Houston is 6-2 OVER L8 times out. Finally, in 2016 Memphis at home defeated Houston 48-44 with almost 1,200 total yards of offense. Good Luck.
|
10-14-17 |
Navy +3.5 v. Memphis |
Top |
27-30 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 39 m |
Show
|
|
10-14-17 |
Georgia Tech +6.5 v. Miami-FL |
|
24-25 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 17 m |
Show
|
|
10-14-17 |
Auburn v. LSU +7.5 |
|
23-27 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 35 m |
Show
|
4* LSU (208) +7-1/2 over Auburn Over the years LSU has been a very dangerous team in Death Valley when they appear to be overmatched. Visiting Auburn is 5-1 vs. LSU's 4-2 record. Key...the ability of the LSU defense to circumvent the Auburn running which is their most important offensive cog. Recently, the LSU OC has brought back the old jet sweep which has helped the attack. Because Auburn's defense has a tendency to overact we think LSU can produce more than expected offensively. Overall, this should be a defensive struggle and a close game. The home team in the series is 7-1 ATS, while LSU has covered 4-of-5 in the series. Good Luck.
|
10-14-17 |
Florida State -7 v. Duke |
|
17-10 |
Push |
0 |
4 h 42 m |
Show
|
4* (155) Florida State -7 over Duke Difficult game for the struggling 1-3 Sems but, can't trust Devils who are off back-to-back losses. Florida State has the major edge at the line of scrimmage with their tenacious athletic defense, and remember State is a desperate unit. Both units have key injuries, Sems a little more attrition but, they have more depth. FSU is 19-0 SU in the series winning by double-digits in all. Duke (4-2) has lost back-to-back games after starting with four straight wins. Realize this is huge game for the Devils but, trust Sems personality and talent especially, if QB Jones plays a conservative game and stay away from key turnovers in positive field position. FSU has covered 5 straight in this building. Good Luck.
|
10-14-17 |
Connecticut +11 v. Temple |
|
28-24 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 43 m |
Show
|
|
10-13-17 |
Washington State v. California +17 |
|
3-37 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 11 m |
Show
|
|
10-13-17 |
Clemson v. Syracuse +24 |
|
24-27 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 34 m |
Show
|
|
10-07-17 |
Temple v. East Carolina UNDER 60 |
|
34-10 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 30 m |
Show
|
|
10-07-17 |
Eastern Michigan +14 v. Toledo |
|
15-20 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 43 m |
Show
|
5* (317) Eastern Michigan+ over Toledo @ 12:00 Eastern Normally, would never go against the Rockets at home against a lesser foe but, their defense is dropped to #95 in total defense nationally. So, despite EMUs frustrations this season, they should get under the number and challenge Toledo SU. EMU is 12-3-1 ATS on the road and 8-1 ATS against .500+ units. Toledo on a recent down at home is 0-5 ATS in Vegas.
|
10-04-17 |
Arkansas State -7.5 v. Georgia Southern |
|
43-25 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 51 m |
Show
|
4* Arkansas State (301) over Georgia Southern @ 8:00 Eastern A Decent number for State to lay on the road considering they are just 1-2 SU with the only win over Arkansas-Bluff. In 2016, Arkansas State at home survived 27-26 against Southern. Where they major change here is on offense where State has become more of a passing with QB Hansen (10/2) throwing for 985 yards and 69% completions. Southern has new starter behind the center in QB Wertz (2/2) but, he has struggled to throw the football with just 230 yards in three games. Also, on the playing field Arkansas State eleven senior starters to just four for Southern. Overall, the visitor has too many weapons at this point in the season for Georgia Southern. Remember, State is 5-0 ATS off a bye week. Good Luck.
|
09-30-17 |
Clemson v. Virginia Tech +7.5 |
|
31-17 |
Loss |
-110 |
15 h 21 m |
Show
|
|
09-30-17 |
New Mexico State v. Arkansas -18 |
|
24-42 |
Push |
0 |
1 h 24 m |
Show
|
|
09-28-17 |
Texas v. Iowa State +5 |
|
17-7 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 36 m |
Show
|
|
09-24-17 |
East Carolina +4.5 v. Connecticut |
|
41-38 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 19 m |
Show
|
|
09-23-17 |
UCLA v. Stanford -7 |
|
34-58 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 51 m |
Show
|
5* (410) Stanford -7, nothing higher over UCLA @ 10:30 Eastern CFB PAC-12 GAME OF THE WEEK...BDS Power numbers give us the Cardinal tonight at home. Granted they are 0-5 ATS vs. >.500 units and 0-4 ATS at home recently. However, they show 11-3 ATS off a SU loss, and now we have "true" line value with the public taking down the early quote. UCLA (4.2) has deficit running numbers compared to the Cardinal 7.5 yards per carry, which is a critical insight when evaluating "TOP." Finally, "I could go on forever" the favorite in this series is hitting a red hot 78% against the number. Buy at -7! Good Luck!
|
09-23-17 |
Hawaii v. Wyoming OVER 54 |
|
21-28 |
Loss |
-115 |
4 h 4 m |
Show
|
|
09-23-17 |
Hawaii v. Wyoming -4.5 |
|
21-28 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 57 m |
Show
|
|
09-23-17 |
Penn State v. Iowa +13.5 |
Top |
21-19 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 27 m |
Show
|
|
09-23-17 |
Syracuse v. LSU OVER 56 |
|
26-35 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 53 m |
Show
|
|
09-23-17 |
UL-Monroe +5 v. UL-Lafayette |
Top |
56-50 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 5 m |
Show
|
|
09-23-17 |
Alabama v. Vanderbilt +20.5 |
Top |
59-0 |
Loss |
-115 |
1 h 54 m |
Show
|
|
09-23-17 |
Old Dominion v. Virginia Tech -28 |
|
0-38 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 21 m |
Show
|
|
09-23-17 |
Army +3 v. Tulane |
|
17-21 |
Loss |
-115 |
2 h 30 m |
Show
|
4* Army (381) +3 over Tulane @ 12:00 Eastern Would feel stronger about this situation if they were, obviously, playing back east....but, we still favor the Middies (2-1) who should control the line of scrimmage and the game clock. Respect Tulane (1-2) who can score but, their defense should not have the long-term capabilities of shutting down their opposition. Remember, is 5-1 ATS vs. the AAC and 8-2 ATS in the month of September. The Greenies show with a horrendous 1-8 ATS home mark vs. winning road units. Good Luck.
|
09-23-17 |
UNLV v. Ohio State UNDER 66.5 |
|
21-54 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 47 m |
Show
|
|
09-22-17 |
Virginia +13.5 v. Boise State |
|
42-23 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 12 m |
Show
|
|
09-16-17 |
Clemson v. Louisville +3.5 |
Top |
47-21 |
Loss |
-115 |
26 h 17 m |
Show
|
10* Louisville+ over Clemson @ 8:00 Eastern Saturday CFB TOP UPSET ALERT....BDS
|
09-16-17 |
Tennessee +4.5 v. Florida |
Top |
20-26 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 46 m |
Show
|
|
09-16-17 |
Central Michigan +9.5 v. Syracuse |
|
17-41 |
Loss |
-103 |
6 h 34 m |
Show
|
|
09-16-17 |
Air Force +23.5 v. Michigan |
|
13-29 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 9 m |
Show
|
|
09-16-17 |
Oklahoma State v. Pittsburgh +11.5 |
|
59-21 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 25 m |
Show
|
|
09-15-17 |
Illinois v. South Florida UNDER 55.5 |
|
23-47 |
Loss |
-105 |
2 h 2 m |
Show
|
5* SFU/Illinois Under 55-1/2 CFB BEST BET TOTAL...BDS
|
09-15-17 |
UMass +14.5 v. Temple |
Top |
21-29 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 27 m |
Show
|
10* UMASS+ over Temple @ 7:00 Eastern CFB EASTERN EDGE TOP PLAY...BDS
|
09-09-17 |
Auburn +6 v. Clemson |
|
6-14 |
Loss |
-115 |
29 h 3 m |
Show
|
5* Auburn+ (377) over Clemson @ 7:00 Eastern Brad Diamond's Famous SEC Game of the Week This is game #2 of the season for these stellar programs out of the ACC and SEC. Both schools won against smallish programs in week #1. The defending national champions Clemson, though, have a huge hurdle to overcome Saturday, playing against a SEC unit without QB Deshaun Watson who has graduated to the NFL. That's ground's enough for this handicapper to give Auburn a more than serious look, especially when you consider that today's visitor has dominated the series 33-14-2. Clemson brings just 12 starters back, while Auburn has 15 in the fold. Clemson comes in winners of three straight in the series, which equates to a triple revenge scenario for Auburn and they're getting points! And, we remind the public Auburn has covered 5-of-6 in non-conference games. Good Luck.
|
09-09-17 |
Northwestern v. Duke OVER 55 |
|
17-41 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 21 m |
Show
|
4* (315/316) Northwestern/Duke OVER 55 @ 12:00 Eastern Clearly, a contrarian move considering the total on the board (series) currently has never been exceeded going back as far as 1998. That tells you the boys in Vegas are not dead at the switch. NW (7-6) coach Fitzerald (77-62) have 16 starters returning with super QB in Thorson who killed the Devils secondary in 2016. Because of their experience, the 'Cats could really challenge in the Big Ten this season. Duke (4-8) out of the ACC brings back 14 starters with young 6-5 QB Jones stepping in to lead the attack. He put up strong numbers, however, against lowly UNCC last week. No matter he should be able to exploit the Wildcats secondary that is truly banged up. With this being triple revenge for Duke, we fully expect an exceptional offensive outing Saturday afternoon. The climate will help with the temperatures in the 70's.
|
09-01-17 |
Colorado State v. Colorado -3.5 |
|
3-17 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 10 m |
Show
|
Colorado over Colorado State Surely, this spot points to line value for the Buffs, even though the Rams played last week. Coach McIntyre has CU sky high for this date in Denver (neutral site) and he already stated that QB Montez is ready mentally and physically, despite being tagged as the starter for the season. Remember, last year the kid played well in relief and had a massive game at Oregon. The talk is the Buffs lost too many starters on defense but, we disagree. They have very talented replacements on defense and a huge OL that will fortify their crushing running attack. The last time these two played the Buffs won 44-7. Look for a different type venue here with the Rams flashy QB and there ability to throw down the field. Look for Colorado to dominate with their ball control offense frustrating the CSU defense, and keeping their offense off the field. Technically, Colorado is 4-0 ATS in September and have covered the last 11-of-15 in the series. State is 5-12 SU against the PAC-12. Finally, believe there is a close game on deck but, we see Colorado winning by 7. Good Luck.
|
09-01-17 |
Navy v. Florida Atlantic +10 |
|
42-19 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 53 m |
Show
|
Fla. Atlantic+ over Navy @ 8:00 Clearly, the "Trap Game" of the day in College Football. First off, Navy comes in the more established program with a solid coach running the triple option. FAU has some solid assets of their own with Lane Kiffin running the show. He has picked up some HIGH-LEVEL talent to fortify the Owls program. And, he now has another riverboat gambler in OC Kendal Briles. So, we look for an uptick offensively. When looking at the returning starters from the production standpoint, FAU is ranked #8 on offense. On defense, the production base of returning starters has an effective yield of 76%. The Middies come in a huge favorite but, bring only a 32% production efficiency on offense. Their defense has a 53% production effectiveness, overall the squad is ranked just #103 in the nation. This situation might surprise some but, I know Kiffin would like to start 2017 with a win. For now, we'll just TAKE THE POINTS.
|
08-31-17 |
Ohio State v. Indiana UNDER 58 |
|
49-21 |
Loss |
-105 |
8 h 59 m |
Show
|
5* Ohio State/Indiana UNDER the total This maybe one of the best defenses the Hoosiers have put together in many years. In fact, this spring the program focused on stopping the run and pass, and of course, LB Scales was on the mark against any formation. Overall Indiana returns 9 starters on defense but, must stop the run more effectively to stay in this encounter with highly ranked Ohio State. The Buckeyes have a plethora of offensive personnel and a classic textbook defense led by that vicious DL. And, we note DC Schiano loves the group's talent. Remember this is a conference game for each but, Indiana will want it more considering their status. Ohio State has Oklahoma up on September 9th so, I'm assuming Urban will want to keep his troops healthy for that national championship type battle. Indiana comes in 7-of-10 UNDER. Good Luck.
|
01-09-17 |
Clemson v. Alabama -6 |
|
35-31 |
Loss |
-115 |
9 h 44 m |
Show
|
|
01-02-17 |
Auburn +3 v. Oklahoma |
|
19-35 |
Loss |
-130 |
10 h 4 m |
Show
|
|
01-02-17 |
Iowa v. Florida -3 |
|
3-30 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 17 m |
Show
|
5* Florida over Iowa Have great respect for Iowa program but, there is too much Gator speed and math applications that reflect a stronger positioning case for the favorite. Would be, somewhat, conservative considering we cashed both 10* College moves on Saturday. Good Luck!
|
12-31-16 |
Ohio State v. Clemson +3 |
Top |
0-31 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 34 m |
Show
|
|
12-31-16 |
Washington v. Alabama -13 |
Top |
7-24 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 25 m |
Show
|
|
12-30-16 |
North Carolina v. Stanford OVER 54 |
Top |
23-25 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 31 m |
Show
|
The injuries to Hood and McCaffrey have kept this line steady which adds real value to overall game concept on offense of attacking consistently referenced by each OC. GO HIGH AND CASH!
|
12-29-16 |
South Florida v. South Carolina UNDER 62 |
|
46-39 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 45 m |
Show
|
|
12-28-16 |
Indiana v. Utah UNDER 55 |
|
24-26 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 10 m |
Show
|
|
12-27-16 |
Army v. North Texas +11 |
|
38-31 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 5 m |
Show
|
|
12-26-16 |
Vanderbilt +5.5 v. NC State |
|
17-41 |
Loss |
-103 |
1 h 2 m |
Show
|
|
12-26-16 |
Maryland v. Boston College UNDER 44 |
|
30-36 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 28 m |
Show
|
|