Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-01-20 | Colgate -12 v. Holy Cross | Top | 73-64 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 44 m | Show |
Colgate/Holy Cross 2:00: Raiders in a bad mood after losing at home to Lafayette on 29th. They're 5-0 ATS on Saturdays and should have their way with Holy Cross; after all, Holy Cross (3-19) is one of the worst defensive teams in the nation allowing an abysmal 80.5 PPG on 50% shooting from floor. look for Jordan Burns and company to turn it up a few notches here to stay atop the Patriot League Standings. |
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01-31-20 | VCU v. Rhode Island -1 | 75-87 | Win | 100 | 18 h 41 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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01-30-20 | Colorado -4.5 v. UCLA | 68-72 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 30 m | Show | |
Colorado/UCLA 11:00pm: Colorado stepping up its play this year. Defensive minded Buffaloes (24th in points at 61.7 PPG) are now averaging 73 PPG on 46.2% from the floor since the 1st of the year. That's bad news for offensively challenged UCLA which ranks at the bottom tier of the PAC 12 in scoring. Bruins' HC Cronin will need a few recruiting classes to get the Bruins back to respectability. And Colorado's F Tyler Bey (leading rebounder in PAC 12) back in the fray, going to be going the Buffaloes way tonight. 5-1 ATS as a favorite and 5-1 ATS on Thursdays. Colorado the call. |
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01-30-20 | Minnesota v. Illinois -4.5 | 51-59 | Win | 100 | 19 h 23 m | Show | |
Minnesota/Illinois 7:30: Illinois is rolling and right on MSU's tail having its site on a Big 10 Championship. They fear no one and coming off back to back impressive road wins. Let up here? Unlikely, for you talk to the team members and they are focused on winning next game. They have been an actual better team on the road but they buried Minnesota in 3 of the last 4 at home. Minnesota is struggling now and face a well coached team that has a well balanced unit with Dosunmu, Feliz and a freshman - Cockburn who has been Big 10 Freshman of the Week 7 times this season! They're tough on the boards, play great defense and confident down stretch of games. We'll roll with the Fighting Illini. |
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01-29-20 | West Virginia v. Texas Tech -2 | 81-89 | Win | 100 | 18 h 22 m | Show | |
WV/Texas Tech 8:00: WV having a great season under Huggins. His defense has been awesome and they're closing games out. They defeated the Red Raiders January 11th in WV 66-54. Red Raiders, on the other hand, struggling a bit and failed to cover against Kentucky in Lubbock in their last game. Nevertheless, like Beard's boys here. In conference play, TT is allowing just 58.8 PPG over their last 6 and they're quite opportunistic in creating turnovers. That is an area WV struggles with (293rd) offensively and it should rear its ugly head on the road vs the well coached Red Raiders - eager for revenge and to get back in the Big 12 hunt down the stretch. Tech the call. |
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01-29-20 | Monmouth +2 v. St. Peter's | 63-66 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 47 m | Show | |
Monmouth/St. Peters 7:00: Monmouth the better team here. They're on a 4-0 run and hitting shots. When the Hawks score 75+, they're 5-0 SU. Monmouth is a senior laden team with Hammond, Traore and top perimeter threat - Salnave doing 64% of their scoring. St. Peters is offensively challenged ranking 322nd in the nation offensively at 64.4 PPG. Hawks control a 3-1 ATS run in this series and we'll grab a bucket with them. |
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01-28-20 | Butler +1 v. Georgetown | 69-64 | Win | 100 | 4 h 58 m | Show | |
01-28-20 | Purdue v. Rutgers -2.5 | 63-70 | Win | 100 | 3 h 26 m | Show | |
Purdue/Rutgers 8:00: Purdue coming off blowout win while Rutgers barely sneaking by conference bottom feeder Nebraska. Speculators believe the Boilermakers are now going to snap into the pre-season team they were projected to be; however, I won't be on the bandwagon yet. Scrappy Rutgers I've been riding most of the year and they're still hungry and especially strong at home (8-1-1 ATS). Perhaps Rutgers overlooked Nebraska with focus on a Purdue team that's beaten them like a drum for a long time. Now that Rutgers has a legitimate contending Big 10 team, I don't see a fall off here. And remember that Purdue still hasn't shown they can compete on the Big 10 road (0-4-1 ATS road dog). Rutgers the call. |
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01-28-20 | Florida State +1 v. Virginia | 56-61 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 12 m | Show | |
Fla State/Virginia 7:00: 'Noles attempting to go for season sweep after January 15th SU win at Florida State. Seminoles finding ways of closing out games and winning (10-0 SU run) and like the point we get here. Virginia, on the other hand, still searching for that go-to-shooter this season. Closest thing is Woldetensae who actually resembled a legitimate perimeter shooter at Wake Forest; however, Florida State has a few of them and lots of athleticism which is well coached by Hamilton. Bennett does a great job but doesn't have the offensive guns to deliver here. Virginia ranks 344th in nation from perimeter this year. Too much burden on defense and Fla State should pull away down stretch. |
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01-26-20 | Monmouth +2.5 v. Iona | 94-88 | Win | 100 | 11 h 34 m | Show | |
Monmouth/Iona 1:00: Monmouth sits atop the Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference while Iona is a bottom feeder. The Hawks smothered them 73-61 on January 5th. Iona off a satisfying win over Canisius. Gaels struggling defensively, especially guarding on the perimeter (353rd nationally) and 0-9 when allowing 70+. Monmouth 5-1 ATS on the road and 6-1 ATS vs a team with a less than .500 home record. Hawks are careful with the rock with just 1 turnover per 18.8% of the time coming up the floor. We'll look for the season sweep. |
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01-26-20 | Maryland v. Indiana -1 | 77-76 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
Maryland/Indiana 1:00: Maryland finally got their Big 10 road win at Northwestern but needed a valiant effort to do it. Indiana not an easy place to play and the Hoosiers are looking to avenge the 75-59 loss at Maryland earlier this season. What hurts MD even more is the 2-8 ATS Sunday ledger and the 1-5 ATS mark in Indiana. Hoosiers starting to roll and can separate themselves ahead of the Terps with a win here. We'll give the edge to Indiana. |
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01-25-20 | Arizona v. Arizona State +5 | 65-66 | Win | 100 | 18 h 11 m | Show | |
Arizona/Arizona State 9:30: Sun Devils still have a bad taste in mouth from 75-47 demolition at Arizona on January 4th. Bobby Hurley eager to have his boys return the favor here. Arizona struggling to cover on road at 2-9 ATS. Sun Devils a dangerous 4-1 ATS as a dog and should make a game of it this time around. |
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01-25-20 | Washington +8 v. Colorado | 62-76 | Loss | -104 | 18 h 15 m | Show | |
Washington/Colorado 9:00: The Huskies are desperate for a win after their 1-4 SU/ATS slide. A closer look reveals they've lost two of those in OT. Yes, they're competitive for a majority of their games but failing to close as exhibited in their last game - 67-66 loss at Utah. Colorado given much too much credit here. Sure, leading rebounder Bey (finger) will be back but keep in mind that Colorado has lost 5 straight in this series. Washington should keep it competitive. |
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01-25-20 | Oklahoma State v. Texas A&M +2.5 | 73-62 | Loss | -109 | 15 h 44 m | Show | |
Oklahoma State/Texas A&M 4:00: Okie State has aspirations of stopping the bleeding by going out of conference to take on an old foe; however, Aggies no pushover. A&M may be one of the lowest scoring teams in the NCAA but they play hard and are solid defensively (43rd in nation) under Buzz Williams; as a matter of fact, they gave LSU a rough time at Reed Arena on January 14th almost pulling the outright in OT. Aggies 7-0 ATS as a dog and we'll grab the bucket here. |
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01-25-20 | NC State v. Georgia Tech +1.5 | 58-64 | Win | 100 | 14 h 19 m | Show | |
NC State/Georgia Tech 4:00: NC State feeling good about themselves off a win over defending champs Virginia despite dressing just seven scholarship players with Andree (foot) and Bates (concussion) out. Meanwhile, GT playing hard but unable to close out games with close losses to ND, VA and most recently at Louisville. GT 5-1 ATS in this series with the last 4 decided in final minute. Today, Pastner's bunch delivers. |
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01-24-20 | Yale -5 v. Brown | 73-62 | Win | 100 | 20 h 18 m | Show | |
Yale/Brown 7:00: Yale is a legitimate NCAA Tournament team and Brown is a mere also ran in the Ivy League. Yale breezed by the Bears last Friday and should deliver at Brown tonight. Yale is road tested with an outright at Clemson and easy cover at UNC. The Bulldogs have a very productive offense with Atkinson (16.5 PPG) leading the way, a perimeter threat in Swain, and a really good glass cleaner on both ends with Bruner. Defensively, Yale is well disciplined allowing a measly 36.5% (5th in nation) from the floor. Brown offense struggles at 68.9 PPG (245th) and not good defensively allowing 71 PPG (231st). Brown dependent on Brandon Anderson to manufacture the points consistently. Yale too well rounded and focused here. With Yale a blistering 42-10 ATS as a road favorite, I find value in laying points on the road with Yale. |
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01-23-20 | James Madison v. William & Mary -9 | 75-88 | Win | 100 | 17 h 29 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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01-22-20 | Syracuse +4.5 v. Notre Dame | 84-82 | Win | 100 | 19 h 7 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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01-21-20 | Texas A&M +9.5 v. Missouri | 66-64 | Win | 100 | 20 h 34 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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01-20-20 | Bucknell v. Colgate -8 | 65-80 | Win | 100 | 6 h 32 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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01-19-20 | Minnesota v. Rutgers -4.5 | 56-64 | Win | 100 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
01-18-20 | Toledo v. Akron -5 | 99-89 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
Toledo/Akron 2:00: Groce has the Zips rolling and should deliver here; after all, they're stingy on the defensive side and smooth offensively at home. Akron has covered 10 of its last 14 at home. Toledo has lost nine straight ATS and 0-5 ATS traveling. Toledo is a weak defensive rebounding team (215th nationally) and much too reliant on PG Jackson offensively. Akron has a Jackson of their own: Loren Cristian Jackson and he has a good supporting cast. Akron the call. |
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01-18-20 | South Carolina v. Texas A&M -1.5 | 81-67 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
South Carolina/Texas A&M 1:00: A&M poised to deliver here after hard fought OT loss to LSU on Tuesday. South Carolina, meanwhile, is coming off their most monumental regular season win in a few years upsetting Kentucky. They're in for a letdown here. Martin has found a new scoring weapon in his arsenal but A&M sports the SEC's Top Ranked Defense at 63 PPG. Buzz has good on court leadership with senior F Nebo who leads the team in points, rebounds and blocks. And Fr Gordon came on strong vs LSU adding 17 points. A&M 5-1 ATS on Saturdays and we'll roll with them. |
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01-18-20 | Baylor -6 v. Oklahoma State | 75-68 | Win | 100 | 9 h 24 m | Show | |
Baylor/Oklahoma State Noon: Okie State doesn't have much home court advantage and they surely have trouble against good teams. Cowboys 0-4 ATS vs teams above .600. Oklahoma State is severely offensively challenged averaging a paltry 66.2 PPG, shooting just 40.5% from the field (323rd nationally), and a measly 29% from 3 point range (329th in nation). Consequently, they will be choked out by one of the premier defenses (#6) in the nation. I don't see a slip up here from the rolling Bears. |
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01-17-20 | Dayton v. St. Louis +7.5 | 78-76 | Win | 100 | 19 h 5 m | Show | |
Dayton/St. Louis 7:00: On paper, St. Louis looks to be over matched against the explosive offense of the Toppin and Landers' lead Flyers; however, Billikens are a tough out with tenacious defense and a good trio of shooters in G Goodwin, F French and F Perkins. SLU sports a 3-0-1 ATS mark at home vs a team with a road win % above .600. Of course, the Flyers are looking to avenge their ATL 10 Quarterfinals loss last March. SLU had 3 extra prep days for this one and I believe they'll keep it tight. Dayton is 0-6 ATS on Friday. St. Louis the call. |
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01-16-20 | William & Mary +1.5 v. Delaware | 77-68 | Win | 100 | 19 h 16 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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01-15-20 | Tennessee v. Georgia -2.5 | 63-80 | Win | 100 | 20 h 52 m | Show | |
Tennessee/Georgia 7:00: Tennessee coming off back-to-back SU wins but having trouble covering numbers. The Volunteers are offensively challenged averaging 66 PPG which is 302nd in the nation. Sure, they play pretty good defense but they will have difficulty matching buckets with Georgia on this floor. Georgia averages about 79 PPG and already 0-2 in SEC after losses to SEC heavyweights Kentucky and Auburn. We'll look for a great sense of urgency from the Bulldogs to get back in the win column. |
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01-15-20 | Indiana v. Rutgers -3.5 | 50-59 | Win | 100 | 20 h 41 m | Show | |
Indiana/Rutgers 7:00: Pikiell doing a great job making Rutgers a legitimate relevant team in the Big 10. Rutgers has covered 8 straight games. They're coming off a SU loss at Illinois and should get back to their winning ways on their home floor. Rutgers plays great defense and fundamentally sound. Jacob Young is picking up his game substantially and that should carry over tonight. Indiana struggles on the Big 10 road with blowout losses at Wisconsin and Maryland. Rutgers the call. |
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01-11-20 | Texas Tech +5 v. West Virginia | 54-66 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 10 m | Show | |
Texas Tech/West Virginia 6:00: Chris Beard's preparation is second to none. As Texas Tech is coming off a loss to #4 Baylor, Beard will have his men ready to handle Huggins' full court pressure and succeed. WV does have a smothering defense but Tech's defense is almost equally as good on paper and arguably better in real time action. Tech's Ramsey and Moretti offer a strong scoring punch while WV offense struggles to find rhythm too often. We'll look for Tech to keep them out of rhythm here. Tech is 9-1 ATS on the road off 3 or more home games, 9-1 ATS on Saturdays, and 4-1 ATS as a dog. Remember, December 10th the Red Raiders were 7' point dogs going in to then #1 Louisville and easily pulled off the upset. We'll roll with TT. |
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01-10-20 | Maryland v. Iowa +1.5 | 49-67 | Win | 100 | 19 h 56 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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01-09-20 | Minnesota v. Michigan State -12 | 58-74 | Win | 100 | 5 h 21 m | Show | |
Minnesota/Michigan State 9:00: Minnesota, coming off a good win against Northwestern, should experience trouble at this venue. Favorite and home team at 5-0 ATS/4-1 ATS respectively. Michigan State has amped up their game with back-to-back blowout wins against conference foes. Winston is now getting good support and their defense is clamping down. Michigan State 38-18 ATS vs teams with road winning % less than .400. We'll roll with #8 Michigan State which is finally living up to their pre-season billing. |
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01-09-20 | Memphis v. Wichita State -5.5 | 67-76 | Win | 100 | 4 h 59 m | Show | |
Memphis/Wichita State 7:00: Shockers did not have their usual NCAA Tournament team under HC Marshall last year; consequently, they got swept in this series even though it was competitive. Tonight, the Shockers have talent under always well prepared HC Marshall and had 4 days to prep for this double revenge game. Shockers have great balance this year in perimeter shooters Etienne and Stevenson plus inside force Echenique; in addition, quality depth. Memphis, on the other hand, was rolling at #22 in polls until a lackluster effort at home vs Georgia. Memphis, comprised of mostly talented freshmen and sophomores under Hardaway, sport a 1-4-1 ATS off 3 or more home games. It will be tough for them to deliver in this venue in which the Shockers are undefeated. |
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01-09-20 | College of Charleston -8.5 v. Elon | Top | 73-65 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 43 m | Show |
COFC/Elon 7:00: Elon struggling in the Colonial Athletic Association while College of Charleston rolling. Elon, 4-12 SU, relying on Sheffield II to supply the motherlode of points for the Phoenix while getting little help from anyone else; consequently, they're 249th in the nation scoring points (68.6 PPG) yet bad defensively as well (270th in nation allowing 72.8 PPG). That's a recipe for disaster as they host a team that's handled itself on the road. Cougars are 6-1 ATS on the road and 5-0 ATS off a SU win. Defensively, they're not great but guard the perimeter well (allow 29%). We'll look for the Cougars to keep it rolling here. |
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01-08-20 | Oklahoma v. Texas -2 | 72-62 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 3 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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01-08-20 | St. John's +4 v. Georgetown | 66-87 | Loss | -108 | 17 h 48 m | Show | |
St. John's/Georgetown 6:30: Both teams started off on fire but only one is showing promise. St. John's had some big victories early and most recently went to Arizona to claim an outright as a double-digit dog. They remained competitive in the Big East with covers at Xavier and Butler and hungry for that first conference win. They should get it at Georgetown tonight. Georgetown endured blowout back-to-back defeats in the Big East road after a strong non-conference ledger. Hoyas look dazed and confused and give up easy buckets from the perimeter; consequently, we'll look for the Red Storm to break out of their perimeter shooting slump tonight. SJ's Coach Anderson has his men forcing turnovers (13th in nation). With the Hoyas sloppy in play and 1-4 ATS off a SU loss, we'll look for the road team (3-1-1 ATS in series) to deliver here. |
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01-07-20 | Villanova v. Creighton -1.5 | 64-59 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 6 m | Show | |
Villanova/Creighton 9:00: Both teams coming off losses but Creighton should have the edge here. They're 10-0 on their home floor and respond well off losses at 4-0 ATS. Villanova got worked vs Marquette on the 4th and it won't be easy walking into this venue with the vengeful Blue Jays eager to make up for getting swept last year in this series. Their came a time in recent history when McDermott had the horses to run Villanova out of the gym. Tonight, Creighton has those perimeter marksmen including Zegarowski who can get hot. The Blue Jays were stone cold at Butler on the 4th but should get it together tonight in their comfortable confines. Villanova just 1-9-1 ATS as a traveler and 1-8 ATS on the road vs a team with a home winning % above .600. Creighton has some good wins including Texas Tech, Nebraska, OK, Arizona State and Marquette on their resume. We'll look for them to knock off #16 Villanova tonight. |
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01-07-20 | Penn State v. Rutgers +2 | 61-72 | Win | 100 | 2 h 41 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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12-19-19 | Hofstra +2 v. Princeton | 87-72 | Win | 100 | 19 h 41 m | Show | |
Hofstra/Princeton 7:00: Both teams coming off wins but at different intervals. Hofstra delivered a win at home over Stonybrook on the 10th whereas Princeton is coming off an OT win at Iona on the 15th. Princeton can score but must outgun them on a account of poor defense. The Tigers allow a generous 77.1 PPG on 50% shooting! As a matter of fact, they're 3-0 when they score 77+ and 0-7 when they don't hit the 76 point mark. Hofstra is not the greatest defensive team but more sound on that end of the floor. The senior laden Pride which gets 74% of their scoring from seniors: Ray, Coburn, Pemberton and their star G Buie. The Pride is 16-7 ATS on the road and let's not forget that November 21st won outright at UCLA. We'll grab the bucket and the Pride. |
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12-18-19 | Alabama -8.5 v. Samford | 105-87 | Win | 100 | 18 h 24 m | Show | |
Alabama/Samford 7:30: At first glance, Samford seems like a play; after all, they're undefeated at home and now getting points from a team that struggles on the road. A second glance though reveals that Samford's home floor is merely an hour from Tuscaloosa. Alabama plans to have a good fan base here that Coach Oats has captured. And 'Tide still has the talent strength to the Bulldogs. Sure, Sharkey is talented and trouble but Alabama goes nine qaulity deep despite early season talent losses to injuries. Tide starting to find their groove in the Nate Oats' system. They cut back significantly on turnovers in last game at Penn State almost upsetting them to go on a 5-1 ATS tear. Samford, however, is coming off a blowout at Hawaii on the 15th. And surely, teams coming back from Hawaii will feel the jet lag, among other things. Tide should deliver here. |
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12-17-19 | Florida -5 v. Providence | 83-51 | Win | 100 | 19 h 56 m | Show | |
Florida/Providence 7:00: This one is set at the Barclays Center in Brooklyn, NY and I'm going with the Gators here. They're coming off a loss to #19 Butler and Coach White wasn't happy pointing out the immaturity of his team. I heard that message before and it should be a wake up call for the Gators; after all, they do have a signature win this season over Xavier so they're definitely capable of delivering here. Providence, on the other hand, is a shaky 1-8 ATS despite being handed a light schedule. The Friars do have a dangerous backcourt in Duke and Pipkins but overall, Gators much deeper and talented. Gators 6-1 ATS as a neutral floor favorite and we'll lay a little wood here. |
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12-14-19 | Gonzaga v. Arizona OVER 151.5 | 84-80 | Win | 100 | 19 h 44 m | Show | |
12-14-19 | Syracuse +3 v. Georgetown | 79-89 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
Syracuse/Georgetown 1:00: Georgetown, already lost Gardner and Alexander, now down to 7 scholarship players after the latest incident involving LeBlanc and Akinjo. Probably not directly going to come in to play in this game, but the depth will later in the year. For now, it's bad for the program. In this series, the road team has gone 10-2 ATS and the dog 8-3 ATS. Boeheim has his zone defense gradually working in to a disruptive force, forcing turnovers and creating points off it. Georgetown is turnover prone (16.7 per game) and should fall victim here. We'll look for Hughes and company to deliver the goods. |
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12-14-19 | Oregon +3.5 v. Michigan | 71-70 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
Oregon/Michigan Noon: Oregon has been a dangerous road team under Altman for years. The Ducks have covered 10 of their last 11 road games and were extremely competitive this season going 3-1 ATS against the likes of Memphis (W), Seton Hall (W), Gonzaga (OT) and a narrow loss at UNC. Sure, Oregon has a few players that will sit out but depth is there and Altman know how to use his bench. We'll look for Pritchard and company to keep it tight for the Michigan defense (173rd in nation) will allow the Ducks to stay in it. |
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12-13-19 | Nebraska v. Indiana -16 | 90-96 | Loss | -111 | 19 h 29 m | Show | |
Nebraska/Indiana 8:00: At first glance, Nebraska seems to be the call; after all, they beat them outright last year on Indiana's home floor and have Fred Hoiberg, who had success years ago at Iowa State, now running the show. With a closer look, however, we see that Nebraska hasn't beaten a good team yet and the cupboard was left bare for Hoiberg in terms of quality recruits. The 'Huskers are poor defensively and worse - ridiculously bad on the defensive boards (next to last in NCAA Division 1A) and a pathetic free throw shooting team at 56%. Therefore, if they don't outscore their opponent, they most likely won't win. That doesn't bode well against the vengeful Hoosiers. Indiana is gradually getting back their early season scoring prowess as they get healthy. Hoosiers are a strong boarding team (9th in the nation) and can put points on the board (81 PPG). They're 5-1 ATS at home and 5-2 ATS on Fridays. Hoosiers should roll. |
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12-11-19 | Wisconsin v. Rutgers -2 | 65-72 | Win | 100 | 19 h 37 m | Show | |
Wisconsin/Rutgers 7:00: Rutgers no joke at home. A good scoring mix lead by Harper Jr., Johnson and Baker. And they've got some juice coming off the bench with Yeboah and Young. Rutgers off a pair of tough road losses including Sunday staying within the number at Michigan State. Wisconsin, on the other hand, is feeling pretty good about themselves off a blowout over Indiana; however, they struggle to generate offense on the road and ranked 256th offensively. Rutgers can D UP at home and I like them here. Home team in this series is 5-1 ATS. Rutgers the call. |
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12-10-19 | Maryland v. Penn State +2 | 69-76 | Win | 100 | 18 h 5 m | Show | |
Maryland/Penn State 7:00: This series has been home dominant with the home team winning outright the last 5 times. Penn State has a strong floor and a veteran team coming off a blowout loss to a very good team in Ohio State. Penn State was in that game (trailing by single digits with 14 minutes left) until their star - Lamar Stevens fouled out. Penn State goes when Stevens goes. He does have a good surrounding cast that should keep Cowan and company in check. Maryland came back from the dead to win their last game at Illinois. Maryland won't have an easy time here. We'll grab the bucket. |
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12-04-19 | South Carolina v. Massachusetts UNDER 141 | Top | 84-80 | Loss | -114 | 18 h 9 m | Show |
South Carolina/U Mass 7:00: Both of these teams are offensively challenged to a degree. SC struggles to put up points against winning teams and relies on sound defense, forcing turnovers to manufacture points. Frank Martin doesn't have that gifted go-to scorer. Lawson is the Gamecocks' leading scorer and Kotsar has recently shown promise. The Minutemen rely mostly on G T.J. Weeks to generate points. Both teams guard the 3 point line well at around 27%, yet don't have that pin point accurate 3 point shooter to do any damage in the first place. SC is 2-6 O/U vs the Atlantic 10 and this total is slightly higher than it should be. "Under" the call. |
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12-03-19 | Duke +6.5 v. Michigan State | 87-75 | Win | 100 | 7 h 57 m | Show | |
Duke/Michigan State 9:30: Neither team is making money for anybody this season for both teams overpriced early; however, Duke's Coach K is dangerous as a dog as once again demonstrated with their 11/5 win over Kansas as a 2' point pup. Moreover, Coach K has virtually owned Izzo on a 7-1 SU run and he's still stewing over the one point loss in the NCAA's at the end of March. Duke won't have their third leading scorer Cassius Stanley (hamstring) but Baker and a host of talent can surely fill in. Sure, Michigan State's PG Winston is a game changer but Duke has a pretty great PG of their own in Tre Jones. And C Carey Jr. can measure up to Michigan State's big man Tillman. Duke is 10-3 ATS vs the Big Ten and you can always expect a Coach K team to play at maximum effort in these marquee games. Duke the call. |
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11-27-19 | Dayton v. Kansas -3.5 | 84-90 | Win | 100 | 1 h 33 m | Show | |
Dayton/Kansas 5:00: Dayton a dangerous team with Obi Toppin shooting an astounding 72.3% from the field and can knock down the 3. However, Kansas can offset his effort with big man Azubuike. And Kansas has a better balanced backcourt led by Dotson. Kansas defense much more sound and that ultimately will be the decision maker. Self is a successful tournament coach whereas his counterpart - Grant - never got his teams to the NCAA Sweet 16. Kansas the call. |
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11-27-19 | Dayton v. Kansas OVER 147 | 84-90 | Win | 100 | 1 h 33 m | Show | |
Dayton/Kansas 5:00: Dayton is the #1 FG% team in the nation shooting a ridiculous 56%. And they've taken on some pretty stiff competition. But defensively, they rank a dismal 282 in the land. Kansas has the talent to match points and can run the floor with the best of them. Kansas 4-1 O/U vs Atlantic 10 whereas Dayton 11-1 O/U in non-conference play. Over the call. |
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11-26-19 | Wichita State v. South Carolina UNDER 132.5 | 70-47 | Win | 100 | 2 h 55 m | Show | |
Wichita State/S. Carolina 6:00: Heavy "under" trends on Wichita State as they're locking down opponents to the tune of 58 PPG. The Shockers have not allowed a team to shoot 40% this season. On the flip side, defensive minded South Carolina is holding foes to 59.4 PPG. Martin's boys are once again hustling defensively but offensively challenged. SC shooting just 42% from the floor and a feeble 27% from 3 point range. On the neutral court in Cancun, we'll look for brick city here. |
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11-26-19 | Wichita State -3.5 v. South Carolina | 70-47 | Win | 100 | 2 h 42 m | Show | |
04-08-19 | Texas Tech +1.5 v. Virginia | 77-85 | Loss | -102 | 21 h 10 m | Show | |
Texas Tech/Virginia 9:20: Going to give the edge to Tech. Having Tariq Owens not at his best - with a swollen ankle from Saturday - is concerning though. The St. John's transfer has been a dominant force on both ends of the floor all season. His presence can help contain Virginia's excellent big men Diakite and Hunter. Fortunately Odiase is a huge rebounding and defensive presence as well. What I love about Texas Tech though, is their ability to shine with the next man up; for example, when Big 12 Player of the Year - Culver - was struggling bad for most of the game, Mooney stepped up with a career game. Everybody on TT has had their step-up moments in this tournament from Moretti to Francis. And HC Beard has emerged as one of the most detailed coaches in the game. He's bonded a group of transfers into an incredibly well schooled team. Not taking away anything from Virginia, I've been riding them all season, but Tech has a bit more hustle and flow to their game now. And I don't see Culver struggling two games in a row. Tech it is. |
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04-06-19 | Texas Tech +3 v. Michigan State | 61-51 | Win | 100 | 140 h 36 m | Show | |
Texas Tech/Michigan State 8:49: It's about time this Red Raiders' team gets respect. They're a legitimate heavyweight. Chris Beard has once again done an amazing job. He was a winner at every stop in his career and he clearly can match wits with Izzo, who will be in his 8th Final Four. Remember, Tech has suffocated each team they played in this tournament. They held an athletic and explosive Buffalo team to just 58 points. Next took on a white-hot Michigan team coming into the tournament and didn't just beat them, they destroyed them. Wolves could barely get a shot off. Tech followed up befuddling #1 seed Gonzaga, which had the #1 offense in the nation, holding them to a season low 69 points! There is no team in the nation as prepared the way Tech is. And they have a big time NBA lottery pick in Culver to wreak more havoc. Sure, Michigan State is tough and physical but Beard's frontline bunch led by Tariq Owens can hold their own and more. And let's not forget the hot clutch shooting of Moretti. Tech delivers. |
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04-06-19 | Auburn v. Virginia -5.5 | 62-63 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 3 m | Show | |
Auburn/Virginia 6:09: Auburn made a nice run and I ran with them; however, Virginia is another animal and it should end here. The Tigers' Okeke was huge throughout the season as a scorer, rebounder, defender. Sure, after Okeke went down with the knee injury midway through the game vs North Carolina, the Tigers were fueled by inspiration from their fallen teammate and it carried over vs Kentucky. Now that the well disciplined Cavaliers had nearly a week to set their game plan, Brown and Harper will have difficulty carrying the load. Virginia is very tough defending the perimeter (29% allowed), and Auburn virtually lived by the 3 all season. Remember, Okeke was a huge part of that. Take away that 12 points per game and 7 rebounds per game, Auburn should be handcuffed here. Virginia doesn't allow easy transition either. They're very sharp at burying 3's (7th in the nation) and get back defensively. They should be able to contain the speed of Brown and Harper. In halfcourt sets, Diakite is a beast and tough to challenge. Virginia should deliver comfortably. |
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04-04-19 | Lipscomb +105 v. Texas | 66-81 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 17 m | Show | |
Lipscomb/Texas 7:00: I'm going to look for the upset here. Like the way Lipscomb is closing games. Garrison Mathews is a big-time player. He's averaging 24 PPG and 7.8 RPG - that's up from 20 PPG / 5.4 RPG in regular season action. Lipscomb is road tested doing very well in enemy venues. Sure, Texas blew them out back in November 2017; however, Mathews now has a better supporting cast now in Marberry and Cooper. As for Texas, they've had plenty of chances to get in to the Big Dance and couldn't measure up. Roach was a discipline problem the entire year for HC Smart. And offensively, they're stagnant in half court play. Bison the call. |
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04-02-19 | Wichita State v. Lipscomb +1 | 64-71 | Win | 100 | 42 h 58 m | Show | |
Wichita State/Lipscomb 7:00: Lipscomb no joke. They drop an average of 83.7 PPG on opponents. Sure, they play in the Atlantic Sun Conference - which gets very little exposure and limited athletes; however, they're very well coached and have been a road warrior all year including impressive performances at Belmont, TCU, Louisville. And they took out NC Greensboro, Davidson and N.C. State in the NIT. I do realize Wichita State is always dangerous as long as Greg Marshall is patrolling the sidelines; however, he doesn't have the shooters this year nor the big game playmakers. As the stakes grown higher, you got to be able to put the ball in the basket. The Bisons', however, do have shooters led by Garrison Matthews who is averaging nearly 35 PPG in this tournament. Bisons deliver. |
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03-31-19 | Michigan State +2.5 v. Duke | 68-67 | Win | 100 | 14 h 38 m | Show | |
Michigan State/Duke 5:05: Duke barely clinging on to victories and overdue for a route. And surely Coach K owns Izzo to the tune of 11-1 SU; however, I like Michigan State's experience and Winston as the big game facilitator. Duke does not have the perimeter game this season (30.7% which is 331st in the nation) but Zion Williamson can scorch teams anywhere on the floor. And Duke runs there offense so smoothly, they've mastered the game around the rim. But I like Michigan State's inside game which seals off easy buckets around the rim. Tillman, Goins, Ward are cut from Izzo's cloth of strength in the paint and securing rebounds. Also like the Spartans' freshmen Henry and Brown stepping up their game as crunch time arrives. And, of course, McQuaid usually steps up at one time or another in a big game with a big shot. And Michigan State can run the floor with the best of them if it turns into a transition game. With Duke's Reddish (knee) still iffy - he'll most likely play - we'll give the edge to the Spartans. |
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03-31-19 | Auburn +5 v. Kentucky | 77-71 | Win | 100 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
Auburn/Kentucky 2:20: Like the chemistry the Tigers have. Pearl has them playing their best basketball now - 11-0 run after getting blown out in Lexington. Sure, leading rebounder and threat on anywhere from the floor - Okeke is out and that hurts; however, Auburn is playing as a team with next man up attitude. And there is still plenty of weaponry with Brown and Harper leading the way. And someone from the deep Auburn bench usually steps up whether it be Doughty, McCormick, Purifoy or Wiley. Kentucky would have been in deep trouble had P.J. Washington (foot) not played versus Houston. Kentucky is sneaking by teams and have trouble getting into sets late in games. Auburn looking for double same season revenge and I like their chances. We'll look for Pearl to keep his boys on the attack and deliver. |
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03-30-19 | Purdue v. Virginia -4 | 75-80 | Win | 100 | 18 h 59 m | Show | |
Purdue/Virginia 8:49: Had Purdue (+2) against Tennessee and delivered; however, don't like the matchup against the nation's #1 scoring defense. Cavaliers slapped the monkey off their back in the NCAA Round One by overcoming double digit deficit to Gardner-Webb. Confidence built in the Second Round by holding the prolific offense of Oklahoma, which dropped 95 on Ole-Miss in Round 1, to just 51 points. Another prolific offense - Oregon, which was one of the hottest teams in the nation leading in to the Sweet 16, was held to just 49. Virginia parallels the Villanova team of Jay Wright,which for years got in to the NCAA Tourney but ended underachieving but gradually improving each appearance until finding confidence and composure. Virginia has a great coach also in Bennett and he's instilled that confidence in this year's bunch. Even when Virginia is not at its best - and clearly the numbers were ugly against Oregon, the Cavaliers found a way to deliver. Cavaliers' defense will take away a team's offensive strength. For Purdue, they've been hot from the perimeter in this tourney but Virginia, #3 in the nation guarding the perimeter. Purdue has a season history of struggling against very good defensive teams. We'll look for Virginia's suffocating defense to ignite their offense and deliver today. |
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03-30-19 | Texas Tech +4.5 v. Gonzaga | 75-69 | Win | 100 | 15 h 18 m | Show | |
Texas Tech/Gonzaga 6:09: Really impressed how Red Raiders' HC Beard prepared his team to shut down Michigan. Sure, Gonzaga is another animal on the offensive end. The Zags have the #1 scoring offense in the nation and two NBA lottery picks; however, keep in mind that Texas Tech found offensive rhythm against the #2 defense in the nation. And in some circles, Texas Tech sports the true #1 defense in the nation. Yes, defense wins championships. We'll look for Culver, Odiase, Clark, Owens and company to find ways of containing the Zags while transitioning effectively for points. Tech the call. |
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03-29-19 | Houston +3 v. Kentucky | 58-62 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 24 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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03-29-19 | LSU v. Michigan State -6 | 63-80 | Win | 100 | 18 h 36 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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03-28-19 | Texas Tech v. Michigan -125 | 63-44 | Loss | -125 | 22 h 48 m | Show | |
Texas Tech/Michigan 9:39: Had Texas Tech as a Top Play against Buffalo and they delivered big; however, Michigan is another animal. Beilein is one of the best tournament coaches in the game and he has Michigan playing at their best. The Wolves consistently have been a defensive juggernaut (#2 scoring defense in NCAA), very low turnovers, and finding a rhythm offensively. Sure, Culver is a major force for the Red Raiders and a matchup nightmare. Nevertheless, Michigan will find a way to slow him down. Wolves are hard to go against on a neutral floor where they're a cash cow - 42-19-4 ATS! Big Blue the call. |
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03-28-19 | Purdue +2 v. Tennessee | 99-94 | Win | 100 | 20 h 38 m | Show | |
Purdue/Tennessee 7:30: Big Ten proved to be a force in the NCAA Tournament as Purdue along with Michigan and Michigan State remain alive. And even Iowa, which was dead and buried in the first half against Tennessee, came back with a vengeance to have Tennessee on the ropes before falling in OT but grabbing a cover. Purdue has been shooting the lights out in this tourney and Tennessee's defense, which was stalwart for most of the regular season (68.9 PPG allowed), has been suspect lately; after all, they've given up 78.2 PPG on average over their last 6 games. And Purdue's HC Painter - 0-4 in the Sweet 16 - is overdue for a win in this round. Painter has been stellar in revenge games and has a veteran team that vividly remembers the November 22, 2017 Battle 4 Atlantis Tournament OT loss. Purdue the call. |
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03-27-19 | Lipscomb +3.5 v. NC State | 94-93 | Win | 100 | 20 h 14 m | Show | |
Lipscomb/NC State 9:00: The Bison are not intimidated by power conferences. They've gone into Louisville and TCU to cover both. And remember, they also covered at Belmont, blew out Liberty in Virginia. And currently back on a tear in the NIT winning at Davidson and NC Greensboro - which are two strong home mid-major floors. NC State clearly a formidable foe but failed to cover against Hofstra and Harvard in this tourney. Lipscomb averages 83.7 PPG with a well balanced and deep team led by Garrison Matthews. The Bison are a sweet 23-7 ATS on the road vs teams with home winning % above .600. Lipscomb the call. |
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03-24-19 | Liberty v. Virginia Tech OVER 124.5 | 58-67 | Win | 100 | 16 h 25 m | Show | |
Liberty/Virginia Tech 7:10: Both teams sporting top 10 defenses in the nation; however, "total" posted a bit low for this one. Keep in mind, Tech has Justin Robinson back - who before foot injury was leading scorer and offensive facilitator for the Hokies. He contributed 9 points in limited time on Friday as the offensive go-to-key handed to Alexander-Walker; nevertheless, Robinson adds quality offensive minutes in contributing to a team that shoots the 3 ball well. And Liberty's Homesley went off on a pretty good defensive team in Mississippi State. We'll look for Buzz Williams to push the tempo a bit against Liberty and put this one "over". |
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03-24-19 | Buffalo v. Texas Tech -3.5 | 58-78 | Win | 100 | 15 h 2 m | Show | |
Buffalo/Texas Tech 6:10: Just a bit too much credit given to Buffalo, which has some quality wins but banged most of the year with MAC lightweights. The Bulls did catch Syracuse off guard early in the season before the Orangemen could fine tune their 2-3 zone. And beating an inconsistent Arizona State team does not solidify the Bulls as a legitimate Sweet 16 contender. To be the man, you got to beat the man. And Texas Tech, a year off an Elite 8 appearance, has scrapped with quality opposition most of the year. They possess a top 10 defense and one of the best guards in the tournament in Culver. He surely makes everyone around him better. Tech delivers. |
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03-24-19 | UCF v. Duke -13 | 76-77 | Loss | -109 | 14 h 18 m | Show | |
03-24-19 | Washington v. North Carolina -11.5 | 59-81 | Win | 100 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
03-23-19 | Auburn -135 v. Kansas | 89-75 | Win | 100 | 18 h 29 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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03-23-19 | Villanova +4 v. Purdue | 61-87 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 43 m | Show | |
Villanova/Purdue 9:00: In recent years, Villanova has a tendency to rise to the occasion in March under Coach Wright. The Wildcats are a sweet 14-3 ATS in NCAA Tournament action. Cats are also 11-2 ATS vs Big Ten and 6-2 ATS on Saturdays. As for Purdue, 2-7 ATS vs the Big East and had some troubles on the road including a neutral floor loss to lightweight Notre Dame in mid December. Sure, Purdue can light up the net but also give up the 3. Boilermakers are 154th in teh nation defending the perimeter. Wildcats' senior leadership of Booth and Pachall should carry them through. |
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03-23-19 | Maryland v. LSU -135 | 67-69 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |