Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-12-21 | Duke -1 v. Virginia Tech | Top | 67-74 | Loss | -109 | 17 h 9 m | Show |
Duke/Virginia Tech 7:00: Now that Coach K is back on the bench, Duke playing with energy and emotion. You can tell because their defense has picked up. They've had double digit steals over last two games and winning battle on the boards. F Hurt is stepping up his game and when he scores in double-digits, Duke is 18-5 SU. Sure, Duke has been overvalued most of the year but value coming back to the Blue Devils. Duke the call. |
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01-08-21 | Purdue v. Michigan State -4 | 55-54 | Loss | -115 | 17 h 47 m | Show | |
Purdue/Michigan State 7:00: This series has favored the home team (4-0-1 ATS). Sure, Michigan State lost 7 straight ATS up until Tuesday when they got it together vs Rutgers with a 68-45 blasting. We'll look for that momentum to carry over here. Although Michigan State has its share of turnover problems, Purdue is even worse (averaging 1.8 more than opponents). And the Boilermakers are anything but their namesake offensively averaging just 71.6 PPG (201 nationally). Purdue 0-7-2 ATS vs teams above .600. We'll lay a few buckets with Aaron Henry and the Spartans. |
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01-07-21 | Illinois v. Northwestern +7.5 | 81-56 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 50 m | Show | |
Analysis to come... |
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01-06-21 | St. Joe's v. St Bonaventure -12 | 57-83 | Win | 100 | 15 h 12 m | Show | |
St. Joe's/St. Bonaventure 4:00: Hawks 0-7 SU in Billy Lange's first year at the helm but have taken on a pretty rough schedule. They've been competitive taking Auburn and URI to OT. However, they're facing basically the same team they faced last year 89-73; as a matter of fact, Bonnies have won and covered last 4 in this series with an average margin of victory of 18 points. Hawks poor defensively at the bottom tier in the nation (341st) allowing 89.4 PPG. Offensively, St. Joe's has very little perimeter game and I don't see it heating up at the Reilly Center in NY. Bonnies the call. |
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01-06-21 | Tulsa +1 v. South Florida | 61-51 | Win | 100 | 14 h 18 m | Show | |
Tulsa/USF 4:00: Tulsa is a streaky team when they get rolling under Haith. They have a very good defense, strong backcourt in Joiner and Rachal, and now have recently developed an inside presence with Idowu. Tulsa has won 9 straight in this series and simply the better team. |
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01-05-21 | Missouri v. Mississippi State +2.5 | 63-78 | Win | 102 | 21 h 47 m | Show | |
Missouri/Mississippi State 9:00: #13 ranked Missouri, picked to be a bottom feeder in their conference this season, overachieving. Coming off a big win at Arkansas on Saturday, they now have to go into a tough venue at Humphrey Coliseum vs Mississippi State. Bulldogs are coming off a double overtime loss at home vs Kentucky Saturday. Look for veteran HC Howland to clean up the Bulldogs' turnovers, which cost them late in the game. Iverson Molinar and Stewart Jr. should help lead the way. Bulldogs have covered nine straight in this series and we'll take the points here. |
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12-31-20 | Michigan v. Maryland +2.5 | 84-73 | Loss | -105 | 1 h 35 m | Show | |
12-23-20 | Northwestern +9.5 v. Indiana | 74-67 | Win | 100 | 1 h 39 m | Show | |
Northwestern/Indiana 8:30: Northwestern uncharacteristically has an offense this year. They're coming off a huge win over then #4 ranked Michigan State. They've been having success this year (4-1 SU/ATS) by utilizing a Princeton style offense and have 4 shooters on the floor to do it; consequently, they've lit it up from 3 pt range at a 43.5% clip. And yes, they still play great defense holding foes to under 60 PPG. Indiana is tough at home, no doubt; however, Northwestern has covered 4 of 5 in this series including 3 of 4 at Indiana. We'll take the hot Wildcats as Indiana had turnover issues beating Butler in their last game. |
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12-16-20 | TCU +5 v. Oklahoma State | 77-76 | Win | 100 | 18 h 38 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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12-15-20 | Wichita State v. Tulsa -1.5 | 69-65 | Loss | -120 | 19 h 39 m | Show | |
Wichita State/Tulsa 7:00: Wichita State dealing with the fallout of their legendary coach - Gregg Marshall - resignation. Interim HC Isaac Brown having a tough time dealing with Covid 19 issues and getting his team in rhythm. They were sloppy at home on the 12th with turnovers and offensive poor rhythm down the stretch in a winnable game vs Okie State. Tulsa, on the other hand, not polished either but did put together a decent win 11 days ago. Tulsa is ahead in the defensive curve at this point of the season as well. Tulsa has a senior laden team with Rachal (17.3 PPG) and Joiner (11.7 PPG/7 RPG) leading the way. They've covered 8 of their last 11 at home and should deliver. |
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12-15-20 | St Bonaventure v. Akron +6.5 | 81-74 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 39 m | Show | |
St. Bonaventure/Akron 2:00: No tune up game for the Bonnies on account of Covid 19 restrictions. Akron, however, did get a chance to blow out lightweight Cedarville 97-49. The Zips arguably have the best player in the MAC Loren Christian Jackson on the floor and he's got a decent supporting cast. Bonnies do have a veteran team but they have a good travel here in their first game whereas the Zips have a mere 40 minute bus drive and have experience playing on this Rocket Mortgage Fieldhouse floor in Cleveland. We'll grab the 6' points. |
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12-01-20 | Kentucky v. Kansas -4 | 62-65 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 21 m | Show | |
03-11-20 | Kansas State v. TCU UNDER 126 | 53-49 | Win | 100 | 4 h 32 m | Show | |
Kansas State/TCU 9:30: Both of these teams struggle mightily on the offensive end of the floor. You'll find both teams at the bottom of the Big 12 in scoring; on the other hand, defensively is where each team is respectable limiting opposition to roughly 65 PPG. And remember, these teams face some pretty good offensive opposition in the league, including Baylor and Kansas. However, when they face each other, it's usually an ugly defensive battle. Over their last 7 matchups, the average scoring output was 123.3 PPG with a range of 116 to 131. There was an OT game that reached 130 included. With limited offensive weaponry, on a neutral floor in tournament basketball, we'll stay "under". |
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03-11-20 | Kansas State +2.5 v. TCU | 53-49 | Win | 100 | 3 h 9 m | Show | |
Kansas State/TCU 9:30: Each team has it's go to guy. TCU has Desmond Bane while the Wildcats have Xavier Sneed. Outside of them, limited supporting cast; however, F Sneed does have a reliable PG in Diarra who averages 13.3 PPG and dishes out 4.2 APG. Furthermore, 6'9" Mawien does a nice job defensively and attacks the boards. TCU swept the season series in two closely contested games. K State has beaten TCU two years straight in the Big 12 tourney and the stage is set for the third. K State the call. |
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03-11-20 | Miami-FL +3.5 v. Clemson | 64-69 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
Mia Fla/Clemson Noon: Bettors not showing any love to Miami Florida with Lykes (eye) most likely not playing. I'm going to show them love though. Keep in mind, Jim Larranaga is an awesome tournament coach (Final 4 with George Mason back in 2006) and he guided his boys to a win in at least on tournament games in 7 of his 8 seasons. Hurricanes has freshman guard Wong step in and fill the void for Lykes by adding 18 points and 9 rebounds in win over Syracuse. 'Canes have good on court leadership with G Vasiljevic too. As for Clemson, they fell flat on their face down the stretch knowing they had to finish season with 2 wins to be in line for an at large bid; instead, they got beat at Virginia Tech and at home to lightweight Georgia Tech, which completed the season sweep. Miami Florida won this meeting Dec 31st 73-68 in OT at Clemson. They're 3-1 ATS in this series and I'm taking the points with the Hurricanes. |
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03-10-20 | Northeastern v. Hofstra -1 | 61-70 | Win | 100 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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03-09-20 | St. Mary's v. BYU OVER 145 | 51-50 | Loss | -109 | 21 h 35 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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03-08-20 | Delaware +1.5 v. College of Charleston | 79-67 | Win | 100 | 12 h 2 m | Show | |
Delaware/C of C 2:30: College of Charleston has virtually owned this series with a 5-1 SU/6-0 ATS ledger. The Cougars swept the regular season series but should have trouble here. The Blue Hens, 18-10-1 ATS, have their best team assembled in years and sport a well balanced offense, solid free throw shooting team (76.2%), and respectable on the defensive boards; moreover, Delaware sports a 3-1 SU mark on a neutral floor and we'll look for them to advance to the next round. |
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03-08-20 | Lafayette +10 v. Colgate | 64-89 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
Lafayette/Colgate 2:00: Lafayette has been undervalued for most of the year as its 18-10-1 ATS mark indicates. They've competed well vs the Patriot League best including sweeping this regular season series; as a matter of fact, they've covered 4 straight in this series. And despite not having their best scorer - Jaworski (knee) since February 12th, they've found ways to win. They still have a good offensive base in Stephens, Jarrett and O'Boyle. Cherry is getting more minutes and making the best of it. We'll look for the Leopards to remain competitive today. Surely they're not intimidated going into Cotterell Court - a venue with only 1,750 seats. We'll take the double digits. |
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03-07-20 | Oklahoma State v. Texas -3.5 | 81-59 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 13 m | Show | |
Oklahoma State/Texas 4:00: Lots of bettors now on the Texas bandwagon after the Longhorns reeled off 5 straight wins and covers. That concerns me as the value is deteriorating a bit. Nevertheless, I feel Coach Smart can get them by the Cowboys here. Longhorns should be able to lock down the offensively challenged Cowboys which struggle on the road. They were blown out by Oklahoma, West Virginia and Kansas as a traveler. We'll look for the Longhorns roll to continue here. |
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03-07-20 | Louisville v. Virginia | 54-57 | Win | 100 | 12 h 40 m | Show | |
Louisville/Virginia 4:00: Louisville came on like gangbusters earlier in the year, eventually reaching #1 but leveled off. They worked Virginia February 8th 80-73 in Louisville. But the Cardinals have shown some vulnerability on the road and that's where they should falter here. Cardinals have come up empty in their last 5 trips to Virginia. The Cavaliers have gradually grown into a productive team as Bennett has them on a 7-0 run. They're not pretty in their wins but grinding them out with that #1 defense. And someone eventually steps up when needed. Lately it was F Jay Huff. We'll look for the Cavaliers to find a way for sweet revenge tonight. |
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03-07-20 | Kansas v. Texas Tech +4 | Top | 66-62 | Push | 0 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
Kansas/Texas Tech 2:00: Two high quality coaches - Self and Beard - going head to head today. I'll lay my money on Beard and the Red Raiders which are getting a few buckets at home. TT has covered 4 of the last 6 in this series and 2 of 3 at Texas Tech, including last year's 91-62 blowout. And the Red Raiders need this one more for NCAA Tournament seeding than Kansas does. Tech gave Kansas all they could handle earlier this year in a highly contested 78-75 loss in Kansas. Sure, Kansas is playing great on the road and Azubuike is on a tear; however, a bit overvalued down the stretch- failing to cover their last 2 games. Tech is on an 0-3 SU slide and I expect them to come out swinging here. Remember, last time Tech was on an 0-3 SU slide, they defeated then #1 Louisville December 10th. Look for Beard to have his men well prepared for this one. |
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03-07-20 | Baylor +1.5 v. West Virginia | 64-76 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 53 m | Show | |
Baylor/West Virginia 1:00: Bears in every game this year and have the ability to close. West Virginia, on the other hand, continues to have problems shooting with little perimeter game and trouble closing out games with poor free throw shooting. Not going to cut it against the stout defense of the Bears. And with G-F Vital and F Clark (out vs Texas Tech) back for this one, Bears should sweep this series. |
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03-07-20 | Villanova -7.5 v. Georgetown | 70-69 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 6 m | Show | |
Villanova/Georgetown Noon: Georgetown has fallen on bad times with key injuries - McClung and Yurtseven. Blair is trying to run the show and HC Ewing doesn't have enough coachable talent to finish games. Look for the Wildcats to run away with this one again. Villanova is heating up and playing very well on the road (4-0 SU/ATS run). 'Cats blew out Georgetown 80-66 back on January 11th and that was with leading scorer McClung playing. 'Cats good at taking away top threat and wearing down a team. They got 5 players averaging double digits including Bey who went off for 33 in the first matchup. Villanova the call. |
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03-06-20 | Siena v. Monmouth -1 | 86-72 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 58 m | Show | |
Siena/Monmouth 7:00: Monmouth turning in a solid season, positioned as the #3 seed of the Metro Atlantic. They gave the class of the Metro - Siena - all they could handle back on January 3rd. Despite the 75-72 loss, the Hawks easily covered as 6' point dogs. And as a matter of fact, they've gone 4-1 SU / 4-0-1 ATS in this series. Don't write off Deion Hammond and company on this floor where they're 11-1 SU! |
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03-06-20 | Yale -7 v. Dartmouth | 72-61 | Win | 100 | 18 h 57 m | Show | |
Yale/Dartmouth 7:00: A total mismatch. Yale is an NCAA Tournament able team and should continue to own this series. The Bulldogs have covered 6 straight against Dart including double digit victories in the last four at Dartmouth. Dart will once again have trouble trading points; after all, they score 11 PPG fewer than the Bulldogs. Look for Yale, which plays well on Fridays, sweep this series with another decisive win. |
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03-05-20 | Navy +7.5 v. Boston University | 63-69 | Win | 100 | 5 h 28 m | Show | |
Navy/Boston University 7:00: Navy has held their own against the class of the Patriot League. The Midshipmen are a sweet 12-3 ATS vs teams above .500; moreover, they're 10-4 ATS on the road vs teams above .500 at home. Boston U blasted Navy on February 15th 77-54 avenging an OT home loss. Yes, the Midshipmen upset the Terriers at Case Gym back on January 22nd. And Boston's home court isn't much of an advantage in this series. Navy has gone 3-0 SU/ATS in the last 3 at Case Gym ("the roof"). We'll back Cam Davis and company here. |
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03-05-20 | Nebraska +17.5 v. Michigan | 58-82 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 11 m | Show | |
Nebraska/Michigan 6:30: From a media standpoint, this one could be over by halftime; however, Nebraska still working hard under Hoiberg despite an 0-14 SU slide. Sure, 'Huskers never beat Michigan in Ann Arbor and catching the most likely NCAA Tourney bound Wolves off an 0-2 slide. However, the Wolves have bigger fish to fry with Maryland on deck and the conference tourneys coming up. Besides, Michigan already blew out Nebraska last year at home and beat them handily this season at Nebraska 79-68. Nebraska does sport a 7-3 ATS mark on the road including competitive covered losses at Rutgers (72-75), Illinois (59-71 as a 14 point dog), and at ranked MD (70-72 as an 18 point dog). Nebraska has some shooters in Cheatham and Burke Jr. They need to cut back on turnovers and make some foul shots. We'll look for them to be competitive tonight. |
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03-04-20 | St. Louis -2 v. George Mason | 69-57 | Win | 100 | 17 h 24 m | Show | |
St. Louis/George Mason 7:00: Huge win for Billikens at Rhode Island. Don't believe a let down happens here. St. Louis sports a 5-1 ATS mark vs GMU and 3-1 ATS at GMU. GMU shot out of the gate strong early in the year (11-1) only to stumble bad down the stretch. They're currently on a 1-4 SU slide. They're not a good offensive team (67.2 PPG) and do not scare anyone on the perimeter (30.1% ranked 319th in nation). St. Louis is well balanced on both ends of the floor now and should continue their winning momentum as they enter conference tourney. |
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03-04-20 | LSU +3.5 v. Arkansas | Top | 90-99 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 22 m | Show |
LSU/Arkansas 7:00: Arkansas is a major disappointment and will have to win the SEC Tournament to get to the NCAAs. Sure, the Hogs were ever so close to winning games at home to South Carolina, Auburn and Mississippi State but were unable to finish down the stretch. Tonight, they face a very good offensive team in LSU that can trade buckets with the best of them. LSU is playing for a possible double bye in the SEC Tourney with a win here. The Tigers have a confident team well oiled offense with Mays, Days, Watford and Smart. Throw in Williams off the bench and when LSU is on, they're tough to beat. Sure, Arkansas can defend but they struggle on the boards and that should once again hurt them against a very good rebounding team in LSU. We'll look for LSU to get over the hump and find a way to cover consecutive games here. |
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03-04-20 | Xavier v. Providence OVER 132.5 | 74-80 | Win | 100 | 3 h 40 m | Show | |
Xavier/Providence 6:30: Kind of surprised this "total" is set this low. The last four games in this series played at Providence have averaged 142.5 points with a range of 136 to 153. You throw out the 153 (high) and you still have a significantly higher number in 139 as an average. Xavier most likely won't have one of their solid defenders tonight - Scruggs, which adds some point value. "Over" the call. |
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03-03-20 | Michigan State -1 v. Penn State | 79-71 | Win | 100 | 18 h 48 m | Show | |
Michigan State/Penn State 7:00: Hard to fade Izzo in March let alone in a revenge mode with stakes on the line in positioning for Big 10 Tourney. Penn State won 2/4/20 75-70 at Michigan State when Penn State was red hot; however, Penn State has now cooled down (1-3 ATS slide) while #17 Michigan State has won 2 straight over ranked opponents. Winston and Tillman are now getting good support from freshmen Hall and Watts. We'll grab the hot Spartans. |
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03-03-20 | Mississippi State v. South Carolina OVER 146.5 | 71-83 | Win | 100 | 18 h 33 m | Show | |
Miss State/S. Carolina 6:30: I see a few more points of value with the "over" here. Both teams are "over" heavy for the season and this series has gone 4-1 O/U over the last 5 meetings. SC HC Martin misses Minaya (thumb) who not only did some good things on the wing offensively but was a very good defender. Miss State has an efficient offense this season under Howland; however, defensively, on the road the Bulldogs have given up 83 (Ole Miss), 77 (Arkansas) and 87 to Texas A&M which incidentally ranks at the bottom of the SEC in scoring. We'll look for a higher scoring game here. |
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03-02-20 | NC State v. Duke -12.5 | 69-88 | Win | 100 | 17 h 20 m | Show | |
NC State/Duke 7:00: NC State has covered this one 6 straight times including February 19th 88-66 blowout at NC State. NC State is coming off a lackluster win at home vs Pitt a part of a 1-4 ATS slide. Meanwhile, Duke is coming off its second straight loss, first at Wake Forest in OT and then Saturday at Virginia. Look for Coach K to have his men play harder than ever as the Blue Devils get back on their home floor at Cameron. NC State lost their last two road games to ACC lightweight Boston College and a struggling North Carolina. Duke's Vernon Carey Jr. and Tre Jones overdue to go off tonight. Duke should deliver easily. |
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03-01-20 | Xavier -1 v. Georgetown | 66-63 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
Xavier/Georgetown 2:00: Xavier occasionally shows flashes of brilliance against quality conference opponents - as exhibited at Seton Hall February 1st, yet also disappoints - like at home vs Villanova on February 22nd. Today, we'll look for a season sweep of this series as the Musketeers picking up their game (6-1 ATS). They're also playing a shell of a Georgetown team that's running out of bodies as top two scorers McClung (foot) and Yurtseven (ankle) saw limited practice time Friday. Yurtseven could possibly go but McClung still noticeably off his stride. Xavier is 11-3 SU in this series and Ewing is not that good of a coach to guide his young personnel to victory. The Hoyas are on an 0-3 SU slide and will need a huge run in the Big East Tourney to get to the dance. Xavier has their site at getting an at large big with a season sweep here and another conference win either against Providence or Butler. We'll go with Xavier here. |
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03-01-20 | Indiana v. Illinois -5.5 | 66-67 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
Indiana/Illinois 2:00: I do realize Indiana has beaten Illinois 7 of the last 8 meetings and haven't lost to Illinois since 1/24/18; then again, this isn't the same Illinois team that's been a Big 10 punching bag the last few years. Illinois in in a 4 way tie for 2nd place in the conference and has its site on a 20 win season and a double-bye in the conference tourney with a win here. Illinois' mojo is their defense which allows 64.7 PPG (54th in nation), creates turnovers into transition buckets. Griffin and Dosunmu give them some offensive firepower. Indiana, on the other hand, is not faring on the road well against the higher tier Big 10 teams; as a matter of fact, they've got punched out at Penn State by 15, beaten at OSU by 9, blasted at Michigan by 24 and lost by 8 at Purdue. Illinois is a higher tier Big 10 team and hungry for some serious revenge and deliver the 20 and double-bye. We'll lay the number with them. |
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02-29-20 | South Carolina +5.5 v. Alabama | 86-90 | Win | 100 | 18 h 50 m | Show | |
South Carolina/Alabama 8:30: SC has not had success in Alabama but the door is open for them to succeed tonight;after all, Alabama will most likely be without their best player - Petty Jr. SC seeking to avenge its earlier season home loss and we'll look for Martin's bunch to deliver the goods tonight. |
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02-29-20 | Baylor -7 v. TCU | 72-75 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 55 m | Show | |
Baylor/TCU 2:00: TCU should be unable to trade buckets effectively with Baylor. Baylor buried TCU earlier this season and the 7-1 ATS road savvy Bears should bury them here too. Baylor defense allows just 38.9% from the floor (16th nationally) will be able to choke out the poor shooting Horned Frogs which score an average of 65.3 PPG (315th). Moreover, TCU is very thin at guard with Farabello on the rack and Nembhard ailing. Baylor the call. |
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02-29-20 | Texas +11 v. Texas Tech | 68-58 | Win | 100 | 11 h 40 m | Show | |
Texas/Texas Tech Noon: Looks like trouble for the Longhorns with only eight scholarship players available; however, truth be told, Longhorns are playing their best basketball now without Sims, Febres and Liddell. And Heper was out vs WV and we know what happened there. Texas lost the first of this series 62-57 on February 8th and would boost their NCAA Tournament resume significantly if they can pull off a win in Lubbock for the first time since 2015. Tall task considering TT is coming off a bad loss to Oklahoma and the Red Raiders can lock down defensively. Nevertheless, Texas is passing and shooting (51.1% last 3 games) well. We'll look for them to be competitive here as a double digit dog. |
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02-29-20 | Army +11 v. Colgate | 65-91 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
Army/Colgate Noon: Army on a nice 7-3 ATS run and looking to avenge it's closely contested earlier season home loss to the Raiders. Colgate showed strength earlier in the year but sliding a bit on a 1-3 ATS fall. They're coming off a loss to conference bottom feeder Bucknell. Army's Tommy Funk and sidekick Matt Wilson lead a pretty good offense for the Black Knights; as a matter of fact, Army is shooting a strong 47.5% from the floor (20th nationally) and that bodes well against a Colgate defense allowing 43.4% from the floor (213th). When Army scores more than 62, they're 15-6. We'll grab the double digits with the vengeful Army squad. |
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02-28-20 | Harvard v. Columbia +8 | 77-69 | Push | 0 | 18 h 42 m | Show | |
Harvard/Columbia 7:00: On paper, this matchup considerably favors the Crimson. They favor in virtually every statistical offensive and defensive category. As you know, games aren't played on paper and for some strange reason, the Lions come alive in this rivalry regardless of how dominant Harvard is that given year. Columbia, beaten in the first matchup this season 77-73 in OT at Harvard as a 14' point dog. That was the third straight OT game in this series. Moreover, Columbia is 4-0 ATS at home vs Harvard. Sure, Harvard is 18-7 SU this season but a money burning 9-15 ATS. They've failed to cover in 8 of their last 10 games. And while Harvard has a legitimate shot at vying for an Ivy League Championship, they have a tendency to play down to their competition and barely win these games. We'll look for Columbia to hang tough tonight again in this series. |
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02-27-20 | Delaware +4 v. College of Charleston | 71-80 | Loss | -103 | 2 h 34 m | Show | |
Delaware/College of Charleston 6:00: Charleston won the first matchup back on December 30th 75-63, part of a 5-0 SU/ATS run in the series; however, Delaware is a better team this season as the season progresses. The Blue Hens are 20-9 SU in the CAA and possess three good shooters in Darling, Mutts and Allen. They're more efficient offensively than the Cougars shooting 48.1% and 35.6% perimeter compared to the 43.9% and 33.6% for COFC; moreover, they're a bit better on the boards. Cougars have lost 4 straight and playing into revenge here. I like the Blue Hens 7-2 ATS road dog mark and their chances here. We'll look for Allen (2nd leading scorer held to just 3 points in loss to Hofstra) to be more of a contributor here as the Blue Hens deliver. |
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02-26-20 | LSU +5 v. Florida | 66-81 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 41 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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02-26-20 | Georgia v. South Carolina -5.5 | 90-94 | Loss | -109 | 18 h 58 m | Show | |
Georgia/South Carolina 6:30: South Carolina has won and covered 6 of the last 7 in this series including choking out the Bulldogs 75-59 at Georgia on February 12th. South Carolina HC Martin not happy with his men, who are now on the bubble after losing two straight. You can rest assured hot head Martin will have his guys hustling to the highest degree on their home floor tonight. Gamecocks take pride in defense and control the #20 defense in terms of FG% at 38.9%. Georgia has a good backcourt with Edwards and Harris but not convinced they can rally this Georgia team, that's on a 1-4 ATS slide, to win here. Gamecocks the call. |
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02-25-20 | Texas Tech v. Oklahoma UNDER 138.5 | 51-65 | Win | 100 | 19 h 21 m | Show | |
Texas Tech/Oklahoma 9:00pm: This series has gone "under" in 4 of the last 5 meetings including the earlier season win by TT. It's that time of year when defenses have to lock in and Chris Beard is one of the great defensive minded coaches who will have his men prepared to handle the Sooners' sharp shooters (Doolittle, Manek, Reaves). Oklahoma's HC Kruger no slouch on the defensive side either but personnel has dictated his team's play the last few seasons - more on the offensive; however, Tech not a great shooting team and will need to lock down, create turnovers with transition buckets. Both teams on the plus side in turnover margin and this should be another defensive battle on this neutral floor (Oklahoma City Thunder's floor). "Under' the call. |
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02-24-20 | West Virginia v. Texas +5.5 | 57-67 | Win | 100 | 18 h 52 m | Show | |
West Virginia/Texas 7:00: West Virginia's high intensity full court press defense, which dominated early in the season, once again affecting shooters' legs late in the season. They're offense has been atrocious, especially on the road. WV has lost four straight conference road tilts and should struggle again here. Texas is looking to avenge its 97-59 blowout loss at WV January 20th. Texas is now kicking it gear off two straight big wins including 70-59 Saturday at Kansas State. Texas is 3-1 SU at home vs WV under HC Smart. The Mounties, which blew out (32 points!) another conference foe - TCU - at home earlier in the season, ended up losing in OT to them Saturday. WV is on a 1-4 ATS slide. They're really struggling from the perimeter at 29% (340th nationally) and should be clanking them tonight; after all, Texas defense stepping up their game late in season. Longhorns the call. |
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02-23-20 | Loyola Maryland v. Lafayette -5 | 70-68 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
Loyola-MD/Lafayette 2:00: Lafayette having a great season including beating much of the class of the Patriot League including American, Colgate and, most recently Boston U! And they beat Boston U without their top scorer Jaworski (17.5 PPG) who went down with a season ending knee injury on the 15th. Fortunately, E.J. Stephens stepped up as the go to guy dropping 18 and 27 in the last 2 games, respectively. Lafayette sports a 17-7-1 ATS mark this season and one of my go-to plays. The Leopards have covered 4 straight in this series including 17 and 15 point blowout wins on this floor. Loyola-MD has not shown the road strength vs top tier teams on the road and because of defensive lapses, most likely will find trouble stopping the efficient offense of Lafayette. |
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02-23-20 | Wichita State +4.5 v. Cincinnati | 64-67 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
Wichita State/Cincinnati 1:00: Shockers got a wake up call at Houston on February 9th. They were blasted 76-43. Since then, they've reeled off 3 straight wins and locking down defensively. Shockers looking to avenge their 80-79 loss at home earlier this season when Cumberland hit a 3 with 3.5 seconds left. Cincy is on an 0-4 ATS slide capped with an OT home loss to UCF on the 19th. Shockers have covered 3 straight at Cincinnati and we'll grab the points here. |
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02-22-20 | Navy v. Army -2.5 | 75-86 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show | |
Navy/Army 1:30: These teams with identical records but heading in opposite directions. Navy is currently on a 1-5 SU/ATS slide; meanwhile, Army on a nice 7-2 ATS tear. The Cadets are coming off a competitive loss and cover at Loyola-MD and should complete the season sweep at home today. Army has shown its ability to play strong against the class of the Patriot League including a really good Lafayette team the Cadets beat soundly twice this season. We'll look for Tommy Funk and company to continue to roll with a win and cover here. |
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02-22-20 | Kansas +2 v. Baylor | 64-61 | Win | 100 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
Kansas/Baylor Noon: No question, Baylor a dangerous team on a 23-0 run including that 67-55 blowout win at Kansas on January 11th. In that game, Kansas leading scorers Azubuike and Dotson were shut down and neither got to the foul line once! That's an unlikely scenario tonight. Kansas has gone 7-0 SU/ATS on the road and Azubuike and Dotson are on their game. Self will make it a priority for them to attack the rim. Kansas has won 3 of the last 4 in Waco and we'll look for sweet revenge here. |
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02-22-20 | Marquette +2 v. Providence | 72-84 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
Marquette/Providence Noon: Providence, under HC Cooley, is a team that will get you excited enough to believe they're a legitimate force to be reckoned with and then, almost just as quickly, have you fall flat on your face. Such be the case here. Providence is riding a sweet 2-0 SU/ATS run yet has difficulty covering three straight. Marquette, on the other hand, is riding a 7-2 ATS run. Sure, Marquette is 0-2 SU 1-1 ATS in their last 2 heavily contested battles but should do well here. The Golden Eagles are looking to avenge their 81-80 OT loss at home back on January 7th. Marquette has covered in its last 2 trips to providence and should deliver here. The 16-9 ATS Golden Eagles have been a value play all season now that their defensive game has improved dramatically from a season ago. And that offense still rocks behind Markus Howard (26.7 PPG). Marquette the call. |
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02-22-20 | Virginia -3 v. Pittsburgh | Top | 59-56 | Push | 0 | 9 h 50 m | Show |
Virginia/Pittsburgh Noon: Virginia starting to turn up its game on a 3-0 SU/2-1 ATS run. They're coming off a season high 78 point output and should continue their offensive fireworks vs a Pitt defense ranking last in the ACC in FG% allowed at 51.9%. Pitt is also weak in defensive rebounding. Offensively, the Panthers aren't good either - struggling in virtually every category; consequently, the #1 defense in the nation (52.6 PPG allowed) should continue to make life miserable for the Panthers. Pitt is currently on an 0-3 S/U/ATS slide. With the Cavaliers' Clark and Key turning up their game, and Woldetensae adding to the fire since he's been inserted in the starting lineup, we'll look for Bennett's boys to deliver; after all, they've won this series 11 of the last 12 and 4 of the last 5 in Pittsburgh. |
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02-21-20 | VCU v. St. Louis +1.5 | 62-80 | Win | 100 | 20 h 43 m | Show | |
VCU/St. Louis 9:00: Billikens play hard defense, create turnovers and efficient offensively enough to capitalize. Remember, these guys covered easily against the class of the league - Dayton - both times this season. VCU offers a challenge for they've played well at this venue before and they play hard; however, not sturdy on the road this season and have been overvalued most of the year as their 9-17 ATS mark indicates. They're on an 0-3 slide and it won't be easy against a fired up Billikens team coming off a tough loss to U Mass. We'll give the edge to Goodwin and company here. |
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02-20-20 | Northeastern v. Delaware +1 | Top | 48-70 | Win | 100 | 3 h 59 m | Show |
Northeastern/Delaware 7:00: Delaware sits 2 games behind Hofstra for the lead in the CAA. The Blue Hens, which have 5 guys averaging double-digits in scoring, have rattled off wins in 7 of their last 8 conference tilts. For most of the season, they've been efficient offensively at 48% (14th nationally) and respectable defensively. They're coming off a loss at W&M last Saturday. Tonight, we get them as a dog and they've flourished in that roll at 8-2 ATS. NE, on the other hand, has struggled after achieving success with an 0-4 ATS mark off an ATS win. Delaware won at NE earlier this season and we're going to look for Darling and company to complete the season sweep tonight. |
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02-19-20 | SMU -6.5 v. Tulane | 72-80 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 26 m | Show | |
02-19-20 | TCU v. Texas -124 | 56-70 | Win | 100 | 5 h 21 m | Show | |
02-19-20 | Michigan v. Rutgers -2.5 | 60-52 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
02-19-20 | Syracuse +9 v. Louisville | 66-90 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 3 m | Show | |
02-19-20 | East Carolina v. Memphis -13 | 73-77 | Loss | -108 | 5 h 44 m | Show | |
02-19-20 | Boston University -130 v. Lafayette | 59-61 | Loss | -130 | 5 h 33 m | Show | |
Boston/Lafayette 7:00: Hard to replace a Justin Jaworski who averages 17 PPG. Didn't come in to play vs lightweight Holy Cross but will be a stretch to match points with a good shooting Boston team without him. Terriers are 5-1 as a road favorite. This series has been tight though and we'll grab value with the Terriers on the money line. |
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02-18-20 | Baylor v. Oklahoma +4 | 65-54 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 53 m | Show | |
Baylor/Oklahoma 9:00: Baylor rolling on a 22-0 run and eyeing Big 12 Title. They do have Kansas on deck yet know Oklahoma no slouch; as a matter of fact, Oklahoma gave Baylor its toughest Big 12 test to date in Waco January 20th in a 61-57 loss. Oklahoma was running hot themselves on a nice run until running into Kansas. Sooners are 11-1 SU on this floor and could be one of the biggest wins of the decade to take out a #1 team. Sooners have three really good shooters in Doolittle, Manek and Reaves. We'll look for Oklahoma to deliver. |
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02-18-20 | Illinois v. Penn State -6 | 62-56 | Loss | -109 | 18 h 32 m | Show | |
Illinois/Penn State 6:30: Hard to get off the Penn State bandwagon now. They're locked in and playing their best ball on a 7-0 SU/ATS tear. Lamar Stevens has been virtually unstoppable and he's got great supporting help including Myles Dread who's tight on both ends of the floor; moreover, Lions' second leading scorer - Myreon Jones (illness), who sat out against Northwestern, should be back tonight. On the other hand, Illinois on an 0-4 slide including getting blown out at Rutgers. Without leading scorer Dosunmu (ankle), the Fighting Illini were lost. His status is questionable; however, he has had very little practice since that ill fated game against Michigan State when he severely sprained his ankle off a dunk. It will be tough to be back in top form especially at this strong venue. And Penn State has won and covered this series 6 straight times. 7th should be a charm. |
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02-17-20 | Xavier -1.5 v. St. John's | 77-74 | Win | 100 | 18 h 33 m | Show | |
Xavier/St. John's 6:30: St. John's got by inconsistent Providence and did it without their best player Heron (ankle). Unlikely to beat Xavier, which has won 10 straight in this series. Xavier is back in the at-large-bid picture with a nice little conference winning run until stumbling block vs #20 Butler. Xavier took the first game in this series back on January 5th - 75-67. Tonight, the Red Storm will have to depend on their frantic full-court press which did create 20 turnovers in the first match; moreover, they'll have to rely mostly on Figueroa to offset loss of Heron. Xavier cleaned up their game a bit (8 turnovers vs Butler). St. John's surely more vulnerable against Xavier's bigs (Jones should control the paint) than Xavier is to the full court press which HC Steele will have them prepared for. Xavier the call. |
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02-16-20 | Colgate -4.5 v. Loyola Maryland | 80-84 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
Colgate/Loyola MD 2:00: Colgate stands at top of the Patriot League and, with the exception of Lafayette, has swept through the entire conference. On the other hand, Loyola-MD has shown it can beat the lightweights of the Patriot League - especially at home, yet struggles with the upper echelon of the league. Colgate controls a 6-2 ATS edge in this series including a 92-70 throttling January 8th. Sure, Loyola-MD plays well on their home floor but don't have the defensive game (309th) to stop the productive Raiders' offense. And offensively, Greyhounds too dependent on Kostecka who lacks supporting help. Raiders' defense solid including from the perimeter; therefore, they can afford to squeeze down against the Greyhounds struggling 3 point game (32.2%). We'll look for Jordan Burns and company to roll here. |
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02-15-20 | Georgia v. Texas A&M +1.5 | 69-74 | Win | 100 | 12 h 36 m | Show | |
Georgia/Texas A&M 3:30: Oh how the A&M offense blows, painful to watch at times; however, Georgia defense on the road no stalwart and they allow teams to beat them repeatedly. A&M has enough ammunition along with Flagg and leading scorer Nebo to deliver here. We'll look for Buzz Williams to get his sweet revenge today. |
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02-15-20 | Texas +1 v. Iowa State | 52-81 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 48 m | Show | |
Texas/Iowa State 2:00: Longhorns not good enough to beat the elite as exhibited by their winless record against Big 12 elite; however, they're undefeated vs the bottom feeders of the conference including 72-68 home win over ISU on February 1st. Today, I'm going to look for a season sweep. ISU is dependent on their leading scorer Haliburton but when he busted his wrist the Cyclones were rightly so in a panic mode; consequently, Wednesday the Cyclones got thrashed 90-61 vs Oklahoma. Texas the call. |
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02-15-20 | Mississippi State +2.5 v. Arkansas | 78-77 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
Mississippi State/Arkansas 1:00: Arkansas has dropped three straight and not convinced they can exact revenge on the Bulldogs who defeated them back on Jan 22nd. Miss State has covered 5 straight in this series and with the Bulldogs in a desperation mode in dire need of finishing 4-3 minimum down the stretch for a chance at an NCAA Tourney bid, this one they'll need as the schedule gets much tougher. Count on Coach Ben Howland to have Reggie Perry and company on their game here. |
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02-15-20 | Syracuse +9.5 v. Florida State | Top | 77-80 | Win | 100 | 11 h 40 m | Show |
Syracuse/Florida State Noon: Syracuse' leading scorer Hughes (groin) unlikely to go thus giving us value. If he does go, it's gravy. 'Cuse has Girard III, stepping up in his absence, who can outright shoot. And the coach's son - Boeheim is shooting 40% from the perimeter. We'll look for the Syracuse zone to finally start to gel; after all, it's getting around the time of year when it does. The Orange has been a solid road play all season at 5-1 ATS and actually did well at Florida State over the last 3 visits including OT in its last visit and an outright in 2014. With Syracuse in a desperate need for a signature win to boost their NCAA Tournament resume, we'll look for the Orange to do well in this spot. |
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02-14-20 | Yale -4 v. Princeton | 88-64 | Win | 100 | 18 h 10 m | Show | |
Yale/Princeton 7:00: Yale is an NCAA Tournament team while Princeton is not quite there yet. Tonight, this rivalry should prove that. Yale has covered at Princeton in the last two tilts. This time, Yale is laying wood and deservingly so. When Yale is driven to win, they're tough to beat, including on the road as exhibited earlier this season in non-conference play against quality opposition. The Bulldogs are 25th in the nation in FG% at 47.4% and 18th in the nation in 3 point% at 37.9%. That doesn't bode well against a Princeton defense that allows 47% from the floor (337th) and 33.5% from the perimeter (212th). With the favorite in this series at 19-7-2 ATS, lay a few buckets with Yale. |
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02-13-20 | Drexel v. William & Mary OVER 138.5 | 72-77 | Win | 100 | 3 h 10 m | Show | |
Drexel/William & Mary 7:00: Both teams have heavy "under" trends not because of great defense but sluggish outings against good defensive teams in their league. Both of these teams are below average defensively. This series, however, is 2-1 O/U at W&M and this is where the value comes to play. In the last 6 games of this series the range has been 141 to 193 with a mean of 158 PPG. Both teams average around 70 PPG yet struggle on the defensive end. We have a few points value with the "over" here and we'll take it! |
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02-13-20 | Drexel v. William & Mary -5 | 72-77 | Push | 0 | 3 h 59 m | Show | |
Drexel/William & Mary 7:00: Good spot for the Tribe to shake out of their offensive dull-drum. After an 0-5 ATS slide including back to back sluggish road outings, they're back at their comfortable confines where they've won 8 of their last 10 games (6-3 ATS). W&M has a serious threat inside with C Nathan Knight who has double-doubles in 10 of his last 12 games. He has a good supporting cast with Van Vliet and perimeter sharp shooters Loewe (44% from 3 pt) and Fr. Ayesa who needs to shoot more. Drexel thrashed W&M earlier this year but I'm looking for the Tribe to get revenge tonight; after all, this series has been quite lopsided with hefty margin of victories in 8 of the last 10 matchups. Drexel has struggled mightily on the road (1-8 ATS) and 0-5 ATS on the road vs teams with a home winning % above .600. Tribe the call. |
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02-12-20 | Kansas v. West Virginia +1 | 58-49 | Loss | -115 | 18 h 8 m | Show | |
analysis to follow... |
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02-12-20 | Bucknell v. Navy UNDER 131 | 59-60 | Win | 100 | 18 h 48 m | Show | |
analysis to follow... |
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02-12-20 | South Carolina +2.5 v. Georgia | 75-59 | Win | 100 | 17 h 27 m | Show | |
02-11-20 | Oklahoma State v. Kansas State -3 | 64-59 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 6 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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02-11-20 | North Carolina v. Wake Forest | 57-74 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 2 m | Show | |
Analysis to follow... |
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02-11-20 | Penn State v. Purdue -4 | 88-76 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 29 m | Show | |
Penn State/Purdue 6:30: Penn State made a nice run (6-0 SU/ATS) to climb to #13 in nation; however, it should come to a screeching halt at Purdue. The Nitany Lions have come up empty 13 straight times at Purdue. Sure, Penn State has covered at Purdue but now the line is down to two buckets. Purdue is a super February team under Painter and the Boilermakers' tough defense should take away the strength of Penn State - Lamar Stevens. Purdue sports the 13th best perimeter defense in the nation allowing just 28.6%. We'll look for Purdue to deliver. |
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02-10-20 | TCU v. Texas Tech -10 | 42-88 | Win | 100 | 20 h 5 m | Show | |
TCU/Texas Tech 9:00: TCU upset the Red Raiders earlier this season 66-54. That was when the young Raiders were still getting it together. TCU, however, has been outright bad ever since. They're dreadful on the road at 1-5 ATS. The offensively challenged Horned Frogs, which average just 66.7 PPG will struggle at this venue now that TT's Coach Beard has his boys playing good defense. And on the defensive side, TCU allows a generous 35.8% (311th nationally) from the perimeter which should result in easy transaction buckets. TT has dominated this series to the tune of 5-1-1 ATS and should get revenge in a big way tonight. |
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02-09-20 | Wichita State +5.5 v. Houston | 43-76 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
Wichita State/Houston 3:00: Shockers have been overvalued for most of the year as exhibited by their mediocre 10-10-2 ATS ledger; however, that was with them as a favorite for most of the year. Wichita State now takes the revenge road dog role in which they've been dangerous to the tune of 4-1 ATS. Moreover, they're 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 road tilts vs a team with a winning home record. Sure, Houston is a strong 43-3 SU on this floor. They are young and have a tendency to put it in cruise control with leads as exhibited in last game vs Tulane in which the Green Wave outscored them in the second half to cover. Shockers a well coached, disruptive team with a top 20 defense that creates turnovers. We'll grab the points. |
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02-09-20 | St. Peter's v. Monmouth -4 | 81-69 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 35 m | Show | |
St. Peter's/Monmouth 2:00: Monmouth coming off a tough loss at Fairfield should bounce back strong on their home floor where they're undefeated at 8-0 SU. St. Peter's far from a juggernaut on the road and walking in to revenge. SPC won this matchup January 20th 66-63 but should have tough time here. The team in this series that won the season's first matchup went on to lose the follow up game three straight seasons. We'll look for that trend to continue here. |
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02-09-20 | Cincinnati -1 v. Connecticut | 71-72 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
Cincinnati/U Conn Noon: Cincinnati's Cumberland is the best player on the floor and he's heating up: 20+ PPG in 3 of last 4. U Conn is coming off an impressive shocker at Tulsa but question their maturity handling that win coming in to this one. Bearcats smothered U Conn in the first meeting 67-51 - its 8th straight win in this series. I'll look for the veteran leadership of the Bearcats to handle themselves well here and deliver. |
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02-08-20 | Dartmouth v. Yale -13.5 | 57-75 | Win | 100 | 2 h 56 m | Show | |
Dartmouth/Yale 7:00: Yale is a team that most likely will be going to the NCAA Tournament. Dartmouth is an also ran in the IVY League that has endured 8 straight losses. Yale is coming off an upsetting defeat as chalk last night against Harvard (77-78) and know there are no more slip ups allowed from here forward; therefore, they'll be focused here. Dartmouth covered last night at Brown but should get blasted here; after all, they're in the bottom tier offensively in virtually all categories of offense in the NCAA, including 327th in points scored (64.6 PPG); therefore, unlikely to match points with a focused Yale team that is not only good defensively (allow 63.8 PPG), but averages 77 PPG on the offensive end and they're 21st in the nation knocking down 3's at 37.7%. Yale delivers. |
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02-08-20 | Oklahoma State v. Baylor -12 | Top | 70-78 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 3 m | Show |
Oklahoma State/Baylor 6:00: In the season's first meeting, #1 Baylor was sleep walking through the first half as Oklahoma State was on fire. In the second half, Baylor adjusted, clamped down and won and covered. No such luck for the Cowboys hanging around in this one; after all, they're coming off a comfortable home blowout win over road sluggish TCU. And they haven't covered two in a row virtually all season. Moreover, they're in the bottom tier of the nation in PPG, FG%, 3 PT% and defensive rebounding. Unfortunately for them, Baylor is strong in just about every area Oklahoma State isn't. Baylor delivers big. |
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02-08-20 | Bucknell v. Loyola Maryland -2.5 | 65-78 | Win | 100 | 15 h 29 m | Show | |
Bucknell/Loyola MD 5:00: Greyhounds should get revenge from January 25th beatdown. L-MD much better home team while Bucknell has difficultly on the road. Bison a money burning 1-8 ATS on the road vs a home team above .600. We'll look for Kostecka and company to work a Bison defense that allows a generous 47% from the floor which is 335th in the nation! |
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02-08-20 | Michigan State -1.5 v. Michigan | 68-77 | Loss | -116 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
Michigan State/Michigan Noon: Michigan State has covered 4 straight in this series and should deliver the goods again. Spartans are coming off two straight losses and eager to vault back in to Big 10 contention. Michigan started the year like world beaters and then collapsed. Much of the problem had to do with one of their top guns - Livers - going down with a groin injury. He missed 6 straight games, returned vs Illinois and then reinjured groin. He's questionable tonight, which gives the Spartans value; after all, Livers will not have his wind and be out of rhythm with teammates. Spartans 5-2 ATS on Saturdays while the Wolves are just 1-8-1 ATS vs teams above .500. We'll look for Winston and company to deliver here. |
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02-08-20 | LSU +5.5 v. Auburn | 90-91 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
LSU/Auburn Noon: LSU looking to bounce back off shocking loss at Vanderbilt. LSU leads the SEC and needs a win to stay atop the standings. Auburn is on a roll with nine deep wearing out teams on their run; however, LSU has the offensive playmakers in Mays, Smart, and a heating up Emmitt Williams and Watford to hang with Auburn on this floor. Auburn just 3-10 ATS at home vs teams with a winning road record. We'll look for LSU to tweak their poor defense enough to cover this game. |
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02-07-20 | Maryland v. Illinois -2 | 75-66 | Loss | -109 | 20 h 47 m | Show | |
MD/Illinois 8:00: MD still hasn't proven their dominance on the road and face a tough task tonight at Illinois. Illinois is still stewing over dropping their last game at Iowa and eager to avenge their Dec 7th one point loss at Maryland. The Fighting Illini know the stakes - two games behind Maryland in the Big 10 - and desperately need a win here. Illinois a sweet 4-0 ATS off a SU loss and undefeated at home. They're strong on the offensive glass and Dosunmu and Cockburn are a scoring force (averaging 30 PPG). Illinois plays great defense and Maryland isn't exactly a scoring machine on the road - ranking in the lower tier of the NCAA offensively in FG% and 3 pt. range. Illinois the call. |
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02-06-20 | Murray State +6.5 v. Belmont | Top | 64-71 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 11 m | Show |
Murray State/Belmont 7:30: Murray State is used to winning, currently sporting a 21 game conference win streak. They play disciplined defense, have a sharp shooter in Tevin Brown who can burn you from the perimeter and get to the foul line. He's got a great supporting cast too including Williams who averages 13.2 PPG / 7.3 RPG. Yes, Belmont is out to avenge the 85-75 loss at Murray State January 23rd, and they play well at home; however, Murray State is just a better team that can exploit the Bruins' weaknesses. Bruins are soft on the defensive glass while Murray State is good on the offensive glass. And the Racers have proven to get to the foul line at a higher percentage rate than the Bruins. Racers are 18th nationally getting to the charity stripe. Murray State the call. |
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02-06-20 | Connecticut v. Tulsa -2.5 | 72-56 | Loss | -106 | 3 h 26 m | Show | |
U Conn/Tulsa 7:00: Tulsa has been on a tear since their 44-75 bludgeoning at Cincinnati January 8th; as a matter of fact, they've won and covered 6 straight including at OT win at U Conn January 26th. Tulsa's defense has suffocated opponents to the tune of 38.8% from floor and 5th in the nation guarding the perimeter. U Conn lost their perimeter threat - Polley - January 12th and really struggling to fill that void. We'll stay with Haith's boys and ride the winning momentum as the Golden Hurricane stay focused here. |
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02-05-20 | Seton Hall -1.5 v. Georgetown | 78-71 | Win | 100 | 20 h 37 m | Show | |
Seton Hall/Georgetown 8:30: Seton Hall the veteran and poised team here with Powell. McKnight (knee) should be good to go, if not, the Pirates have enough quality depth to get by. On the other hand, Georgetown much reliant on McClung. Sure, they got by St. John's without him as Blair stepped up, but Seton Hall is another animal. Pirates cruised by GT earlier this season and control an 8-2 edge in this matchup. And now that athletic big man - Mamukelashvili (wrist) is back in the fray, Seton Hall should deliver. The Pirates are in a fowl mood after getting beaten down at home vs Xavier. Pirates are 7-0 ATS off a double-digit loss at home and 16-5 ATS on the road off 3 straight home games. Seton Hall the call. |
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02-05-20 | Iowa v. Purdue -3 | 68-104 | Win | 100 | 19 h 37 m | Show | |
Iowa/Purdue 7:00: Purdue, a bubble team, perhaps saved their season on the 1st with a strong finish on the road at Northwestern thanks to the Stefanovic buzzer beater. They did not cover that game but now go back to West Lafayette where they should settle in. They've trashed some good Big 10 teams here including Michigan State and Wisconsin. Iowa, which is coming off a big home win over Illinois, now has to visit a venue where they were blown out by 16 and 22 in their last two visits. Iowa hasn't seen much Big 10 road action and it won't be easy here. Purdue is 18-5 SU in February, 3-1 ATS in this series, and had an extra prep day. Purdue delivers. |
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02-04-20 | Missouri v. Texas A&M | 51-68 | Win | 100 | 20 h 17 m | Show | |
Missouri/Texas A&M 9:00: Missouri really having a rough time of it on an 0-6 ATS slide. They're 0-6 ATS on Tuesdays and lost 9 of the last 11 in this series. Both teams are brick laying machines with offenses in the bottom tier of the NCAA. Both, however, play well defensively. We'll give the edge to Buzz Williams' boys who are 4-0 ATS on Tuesdays and 5-0 ATS off an ATS loss. A&M does have some players stepping up besides Nebo. Mitchell dropped in 13 points in his last game and Flagg and freshman Miller are developing as the season progresses. We'll look for the Aggies to get it done on their home floor. |
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02-04-20 | Auburn v. Arkansas +1 | 79-76 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 7 m | Show | |
Auburn/Arkansas 7:00: Couldn't resist taking the Hogs at +1 on their home floor catching Auburn off a huge win over Kentucky. Arkansas doing some good themselves coming off a big win at Alabama. Arkansas in a better position to win here. They've got a disruptive opportunistic defense and take away the perimeter like no other (#1 at 24.7%). Auburn is prone to turnovers on the road and overrated much of the season as their 10-11 ATS record indicates. We'll give the edge to Mason Jones and company as Musselman's bunch gets er done. |
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02-03-20 | Texas +15 v. Kansas | 58-69 | Win | 100 | 20 h 24 m | Show | |
Texas/Kansas 9:00: On paper, this is a blowout for Kansas; after all, Kansas has a suffocating top 20 defense taking on an offensively challenged Longhorns team ranked 302nd in nation! However, Texas comfortable in this setting. They've covered 5 straight at Kansas. Texas HC Smart finally starting to get his guys to close out games as exhibited at TCU and against Iowa State. Kansas' Azubuike just 11 points in 44 minutes last few games. He's sure to do well here but not a source that will take the Longhorns out of this game. Texas lost the first battle on January 18th 66-57 in Texas. Texas 17-7 ATS with revenge in this series and we're grabbing the boatload of points. |
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02-03-20 | North Carolina +9.5 v. Florida State | 59-65 | Win | 100 | 2 h 3 m | Show | |
02-03-20 | Lafayette +2.5 v. Bucknell | Top | 65-62 | Win | 100 | 2 h 8 m | Show |
Analysis to follow... |
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02-01-20 | Purdue -5.5 v. Northwestern | 61-58 | Loss | -104 | 17 h 25 m | Show | |
Purdue/Northwestern 9:00: Purdue should finally shake out of their road problems against a Wildcats group that's become the Big 10's whipping boy. Purdue hasn't lived up to its hype this year but should blossom in this spot against an inferior team. |
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02-01-20 | Wichita State -1.5 v. Tulsa | 51-54 | Loss | -109 | 15 h 16 m | Show | |
Wichita State/Tulsa 6:00: Shockers a go-to-play on the road especially vs teams above .600. Wichita State sports a 10-2-1 ATS mark in that role and controls a 4-1 ATS mark in this series. Sure, Haith has done an excellent job with the Golden Hurricane this season; however, the 5-0 run stops here. |
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02-01-20 | Houston +3.5 v. Cincinnati | 62-64 | Win | 100 | 15 h 47 m | Show | |
Houston/Cincinnati 6:00: Houston remains a half a game ahead of Tulsa in the competitive American Athletic Conference. The Cougars do their best work on the road and like the poise of their backcourt. Sure, Cumberland is the best player on the floor for Cincinnati but Sampson uses his bench well as Fr Guard Mills doing a bang up job. We'll look for the Cougars to take it down the stretch and cover. |
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02-01-20 | Oregon -1.5 v. Stanford | 60-70 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 19 m | Show | |
Oregon/Stanford 6:00: Pritchard and company just too much for the Cardinal tonight. Oregon stays atop the PAC 12. |